DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/08 Minden 5626ft pt35275@39.156,-119.549 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FCST PERIOD 6 hr 6 hr 6 hr 6 hr 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 57.6 65.2 64.3 55.1 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 55.0 61.9 62.6 55.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 23 409 538 266 -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 104 3653 8910 8987 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5626 8163 12499 12190 5626 Hcrit Hgt.Variab 523 4582 3976 4591 8297 Hgt.Variab BL Top 5730 9279 14536 14613 5642 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 523 4582 3976 4591 8297 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 481 710 563 0 W* B/S 1 12 15 10 0 B/S BL Wind 9 7 8 10 5 BL Wind Direction 295 001 345 349 013 Direction Wind Shear 2 6 17 22 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 -4 22 8 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5099 -3264 222 70 -7343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10829 12543 14314 14543 12985 sfcLCL ODpotential -9277 -3855 -802 -677 -9520 ODpotential blCL 15007 13134 15338 15290 15162 blCL maxRH 40 65 60 72 26 maxRH blLCL 15007 13134 15338 15290 15162 blLCL CWtotal 5 -1 -1 -1 -1 CWtotal CWbase 10191 -1 -1 -1 -1 CWbase Temp@2m 43.4 57.6 65.2 64.3 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.8 26.4 25.5 24.0 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 55.0 61.9 62.6 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.7 26.2 25.4 23.9 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 409 538 266 -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 104 3653 8910 8987 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 2584 1784 666 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 723 849 923 931 854 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 67031 12 303 14 315 12 316 13 308 13 316 67031 59211 3 282 10 246 13 296 13 285 15 291 59211 54786 17 276 9 286 14 273 17 296 12 276 54786 50374 29 279 19 300 18 271 25 304 21 309 50374 48185 16 269 20 290 18 261 28 296 24 304 48185 45763 19 271 23 280 20 277 26 295 20 315 45763 43948 17 273 22 281 20 293 23 305 25 329 43948 42622 17 290 22 286 28 305 29 314 31 328 42622 41606 20 298 24 294 35 293 38 308 33 326 41606 40758 23 300 26 298 35 291 37 304 33 328 40758 40054 27 300 29 300 34 287 33 296 30 325 40054 39414 29 300 31 300 33 284 24 293 30 316 39414 38820 31 298 32 300 27 291 16 295 28 307 38820 38352 32 294 31 301 22 311 20 304 27 303 38352 37926 34 290 29 302 20 310 27 314 26 307 37926 37414 35 288 27 311 21 313 30 319 25 317 37414 36833 36 288 29 321 21 317 29 323 24 322 36833 35925 36 293 34 326 24 321 29 336 23 331 35925 34685 37 299 38 321 30 322 35 345 25 348 34685 33356 38 303 41 315 37 319 39 349 29 354 33356 32079 38 304 41 314 37 321 38 349 31 356 32079 30314 38 305 38 313 35 325 35 350 29 003 30314 27547 34 304 35 315 33 331 32 357 32 017 27547 23448 28 306 30 323 30 337 30 003 35 026 23448 19511 22 316 22 328 24 337 29 001 30 032 19511 16797 20 324 15 323 19 335 25 354 23 032 16797 14866 15 328 10 310 15*320 19*342 16 015 14866 13328 16 322 10 298 11*298 18*297 13 309 13328 12331 5 268 9 297 13 305 13 320 13 309 12331 11940 4 240 9 297 11 317 12 325 12 315 11940 11553 4 229 8 300 11 320 12 331 11 322 11553 11170 3 216 8 304 11 322 12 337 11 331 11170 10791 2 198 8 308 11 324 11 344 11 338 10791 10417 2 174 7 313 10 327 11 351 11 345 10417 10046 2 145 7 316 10 332 11 357 11 352 10046 9678 3 132 7*322 10 345 11 004 11 357 9678 9315 3 122 7*327 10 356 12 010 12 001 9315 8955 4 117 7 333 11 007 12 015 12 005 8955 8598 4 113 7 339 12 017 12 020 13 009 8598 8245 5 110 7 349 12 024 12 025 13 012 8245 7895 5 102 7 002 13 030 12 029 13 014 7895 7549 4 081 8 010 14 034 12 032 14 017 7549 7205 5 047 8 015 14 041 12 036 14 019 7205 6865 8 032 8 016 10 056 12 038 15 021 6865 6527 10 019 8 017 10 055 12 040 15 023 6527 6193 14 353 8 019 10 055 12 041 15 024 6193 5971 16 324 8 020 10 054 11 042 14 024 5971 5806 12*300 7 020 10 055 11 043 11 022 5806 5697 9*295 7 020 9 055 10 043 8 017 5697 5642 8 293 6 023 9 054 9 042 5*013 5642 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 67031 8 5 5 6 5 67031 59211 5 4 4 6 6 59211 54786 5 4 5 5 5 54786 50374 6 4 5 5 5 50374 48185 4 3 4 3 3 48185 45763 3 4 4 4 4 45763 43948 3 4 4 4 3 43948 42622 3 3 3 3 3 42622 41606 3 3 3 3 3 41606 40758 3 3 3 3 3 40758 40054 3 4 3 3 3 40054 39414 3 4 4 3 3 39414 38820 3 4 4 3 3 38820 38352 4 5 4 4 3 38352 37926 4 5 5 4 4 37926 37414 4 5 5 6 5 37414 36833 5 6 7 9 8 36833 35925 4 8 8 12 10 35925 34685 4 10 10 14 11 34685 33356 3 11 11 15 14 33356 32079 3 10 10 14 15 32079 30314 3 8 9 12 16 30314 27547 5 7 8 12 14 27547 23448 12 8 9 13 10 23448 19511 23 13 14 14 12 19511 16797 29 16 14 14 17 16797 14866 31 36 * 20 * 15 19 14866 13328 28 46 * 36 * 70 44 13328 12331 44 49 56 61 53 12331 11940 47 52 58 57 52 11940 11553 46 55 56 54 50 11553 11170 45 58 53 51 49 11170 10791 43 61 50 48 47 10791 10417 41 62 48 46 45 10417 10046 38 63 46 43 43 10046 9678 35 * 62 44 41 41 9678 9315 33 * 61 42 39 39 9315 8955 31 59 41 37 37 8955 8598 29 57 39 36 35 8598 8245 28 55 38 34 34 8245 7895 28 53 36 32 32 7895 7549 30 47 34 31 31 7549 7205 31 44 33 29 29 7205 6865 30 41 31 28 28 6865 6527 30 39 30 26 26 6527 6193 31 37 28 25 25 6193 5971 33 35 27 24 25 5971 5806 * 39 34 26 23 25 5806 5697 * 39 33 25 23 25 5697 5642 39 31 23 21 * 26 5642 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.drjack.info/BLIPMAP/parameters.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CWbase = Base of Explicitly-predicted Clouds [ftMSL] (intended for DrJack's use) CWtotal = Total Explicitly-predicted Cloud Water in column [gm] (intended for DrJack's use) Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16ft AGL (bottom grid point) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16ft AGL (bottom grid point) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography