DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.8 - - - - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 347 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2288 - - 6856 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1448 - - 5065 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2395 - - 6963 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2238 - - 2796 - - - - - 6059 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 544 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 41 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 255 - - - - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -8 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6956 - - -4355 - - - - - -9069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9351 - - 11319 - - - - - 9193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11484 - - -7903 - - - - - -13288 ODpotential blCL - - - 13879 - - 14866 - - - - - 13411 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 61 - - - - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.8 - - - - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 43.0 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.7 - - 90.5 - - - - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 42.0 - - - - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 347 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2288 - - 6856 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 8 124 9 094 3 155 98167 90735 8 107 9 217 7 069 90735 84993 7 099 4 192 5 009 84993 80245 10 126 6 097 2 335 80245 76169 7 131 4 085 8 063 76169 72564 2 113 0 023 6 066 72564 69282 2 185 5 284 9 005 69282 66258 7 025 1 211 8 332 66258 63454 12 341 7 007 10 349 63454 60750 5 337 9 359 11 337 60750 57940 13 014 14 003 11 341 57940 55040 21 357 22 350 18 352 55040 52294 22 350 22 338 22 357 52294 49838 17 359 16 329 27 345 49838 47647 26 025 17 356 27 327 47647 45675 33 013 22 352 33 319 45675 43887 30 007 29 343 41 320 43887 42240 29 006 33 339 52 321 42240 40701 30 007 33 340 54 319 40701 39251 31 006 34 342 51 317 39251 37875 31 007 35 345 49 315 37875 36538 31 009 35 347 47 317 36538 35174 31 009 33 349 43 317 35174 33755 31 006 29 350 39 317 33755 32283 31 005 27 350 36 316 32283 30741 35 005 28 349 35 316 30741 29117 34 000 27 349 34 318 29117 27409 29 359 25 350 33 323 27409 25621 30 356 26 348 30 327 25621 23755 33 353 29 349 25 330 23755 21812 30 353 27 348 23 331 21812 19786 24 355 22 343 22 330 19786 17670 16 356 17 335 19 331 17670 15505 11 005 11 332 15 334 15505 13415 7 027 6 346 9 351 13415 11514 5 308 6 349 8 042 11514 9826 4 260 6 335 11 045 9826 8328 3 216 5 308 6 025 8328 6996 3 214 3*284 3 020 6996 5810 0 098 3*276 1 074 5810 4759 3 039 3 271 1 225 4759 3832 6 026 3 265 4 253 3832 3013 7*017 2 257 7 259 3013 2280 6*006 2 248 10 261 2280 1633 5 004 2 242 12 258 1633 1093 5 004 2 235 13 253 1093 679 4 005 2 230 13 247 679 395 4 005 2 230 12 239 395 222 4 005 2 228 9 230 222 123 3 005 2 225 6*224 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography