DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 66.7 - - 66.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 311 - - 154 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2442 - - 4341 - - 4102 - - 1055 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1554 - - 3049 - - 2534 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2547 - - 4447 - - 4207 - - 1161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1096 - - 2020 - - 2215 - - 2965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 452 - - 352 - - 85 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 156 - - 184 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -376 - - 81 - - -181 - - -1092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2923 - - 4366 - - 4389 - - 2253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2483 - - -183 - - -566 - - -2144 ODpotential blCL - - - 5030 - - 4630 - - 4773 - - 3305 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 85 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 66.7 - - 66.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 47.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 64.9 - - 65.3 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 47.0 - - 46.6 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 311 - - 154 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2442 - - 4341 - - 4102 - - 1055 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 40 - - 75 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97365 21 288 31 276 31 297 35 297 97365 89987 24 285 28 294 27 297 26 305 89987 84315 23 272 25 285 24 306 20 311 84315 79614 19 268 17 278 21 290 21 306 79614 75569 17 276 14 288 19 267 21 291 75569 71985 17 283 18 287 17 263 21 279 71985 68720 17 276 23 272 19 273 20 276 68720 65704 17 265 26 262 24 279 22 281 65704 62904 17 271 24 249 26 273 25 277 62904 60190 18 276 21 245 25 261 25 266 60190 57344 22 271 21 261 23 266 25 267 57344 54372 30 267 28 275 26 276 28 272 54372 51527 34 264 34 272 31 274 31 272 51527 48965 32 266 33 267 33 269 33 271 48965 46673 31 269 30 264 31 264 32 271 46673 44599 31 271 29 262 31 263 29 272 44599 42709 34 272 30 259 31 258 29 272 42709 40974 38 267 30 262 28 252 27 268 40974 39376 39 258 31 260 24 250 24 263 39376 37895 41 253 33 253 21 252 20 258 37895 36519 44 246 37 244 20 248 15 263 36519 35204 42 245 39 236 20 243 11 268 35204 33882 40 247 35 235 17 236 7 276 33882 32519 44 246 34 231 15 224 5 291 32519 31110 47 244 32 223 15 219 4 249 31110 29631 41 252 27 232 11 244 2 217 29631 28070 23 263 14 247 8 278 3 013 28070 26429 14 272 8 220 3 246 12 023 26429 24707 7 287 2 049 6 061 14 021 24707 22903 5 329 8 063 14 060 12 027 22903 21020 5 007 5 058 9 055 8 014 21020 19055 1 026 1 101 3 031 10 348 19055 16999 2 188 1 127 2 005 9 354 16999 14898 1 130 2 094 4 015 8 018 14898 12872 1 187 2 203 3 020 8 035 12872 11030 5 205 8 208 2 014 7 042 11030 9395 7 189 11 190 1 199 5 037 9395 7944 8 159 7 182 2 341 6 025 7944 6660 9 142 4 188 5 295 1 295 6660 5525 10 141 6 196 6 229 6 190 5525 4523 9 154 7*187 9*199 8 194 4523 3640 8 175 8*173 13*189 9 215 3640 2861 10*175 11 162 15 186 12 239 2861 2165 10*173 12 155 15 184 17 246 2165 1551 10 171 12 153 15 183 19*245 1551 1040 10 169 13 152 15 182 19*243 1040 648 10 168 13 151 15 182 18 241 648 379 9 166 12 150 15 181 16 239 379 215 9 166 12 150 14 180 13 237 215 122 8 165 10 150 12 179 10 235 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography