DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 85.4 - - 87.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 214 - - 54 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1138 - - 5001 - - 7472 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 3389 - - 4115 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1244 - - 5108 - - 7579 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 982 - - 3136 - - 3344 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 420 - - 313 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 27 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 330 - - 282 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -14 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7559 - - -6439 - - -4185 - - -7954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8803 - - 11547 - - 11764 - - 8078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11677 - - -10189 - - -7280 - - -11870 ODpotential blCL - - - 12921 - - 15297 - - 14859 - - 11993 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 72 - - 75 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 85.4 - - 87.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 34.8 - - 35.4 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 84.0 - - 86.6 - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 33.6 - - 34.3 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 214 - - 54 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1138 - - 5001 - - 7472 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96474 25 298 29 272 24 271 36 270 96474 89204 25 281 31 283 29 279 35 288 89204 83696 21 284 24 278 24 289 26 293 83696 79168 19 288 18 281 24 290 20 296 79168 75257 19 282 22 282 31 288 19 312 75257 71790 15 277 25 278 30 285 19 298 71790 68638 11 272 21 267 23 279 18 289 68638 65710 15 287 17 275 22 277 20 292 65710 62962 26 286 25 276 28 274 29 284 62962 60286 31 274 31 265 28 272 32 276 60286 57491 32 272 34 269 35 275 38 279 57491 54579 39 270 47 263 43 265 39 277 54579 51785 43 260 46 265 42 269 51 277 51785 49274 43 267 51 271 50 271 52 275 49274 47036 47 272 51 268 54 271 52 278 47036 45026 49 270 50 267 55 270 56 276 45026 43215 45 265 49 265 53 267 59 273 43215 41569 43 266 43 261 50 263 58 272 41569 40054 46 270 42 257 46 259 57 269 40054 38641 48 268 46 255 47 260 55 268 38641 37309 48 264 48 258 53 262 53 267 37309 36015 46 259 48 260 55 267 54 264 36015 34692 43 256 45 259 50 270 55 265 34692 33312 39 258 43 257 45 267 53 266 33312 31880 37 258 42 257 44 265 48 262 31880 30376 37 255 40 255 43 267 45 259 30376 28788 37 254 37 256 41 268 44 262 28788 27118 36 253 36 261 39 268 42 263 27118 25360 33 255 35 262 36 268 40 265 25360 23518 30 260 32 262 30 265 37 264 23518 21595 27 261 30 263 27 263 34 255 21595 19588 26 258 28 264 24 261 31 254 19588 17493 26 254 28 265 24 259 27 256 17493 15357 22 252 24 262 24 263 24 258 15357 13294 17 259 19 254 21 264 20 257 13294 11415 16 272 15 253 19 268 17 260 11415 9744 17 283 14 269 17 280 12 274 9744 8257 19 290 17 285 15*284 9 287 8257 6934 18 298 17 295 14*284 9 296 6934 5756 14 306 11*303 12 284 10 300 5756 4713 9 315 7*309 10 283 12 302 4713 3793 7 326 4 318 8 282 14 302 3793 2981 6 340 3 328 6 281 15 302 2981 2256 8 348 2 346 5 279 15 301 2256 1615 10*359 2 352 4 278 15 300 1615 1081 9*001 2 357 3 277 16 297 1081 672 8 004 2 001 3 273 15 295 672 390 7 005 1 001 3 276 13 290 390 220 7 006 1 002 2 274 9*282 220 123 6 006 1 359 2 273 6*277 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography