DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 60.0 - - 60.2 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 65 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 127 - - 1010 - - 382 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 232 - - 1115 - - 488 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 525 - - 1233 - - 382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 172 - - 50 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 003 - - 018 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1592 - - -1821 - - -1685 - - -728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1824 - - 2936 - - 2173 - - 849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9349 - - -8447 - - -7675 - - -8786 ODpotential blCL - - - 9581 - - 9562 - - 8163 - - 8907 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 67 - - 75 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 60.0 - - 60.2 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 48.0 - - 51.4 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 59.4 - - 60.2 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 46.7 - - 50.5 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 65 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 127 - - 1010 - - 382 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95583 53 303 45 311 58 301 56 285 95583 88671 32 304 40 304 47 315 31 311 88671 83309 27 309 38 304 38 314 29 323 83309 78814 28 310 34 312 30 314 31 319 78814 74934 19 302 24 307 27 310 28 317 74934 71513 15 300 18 294 25 297 22 306 71513 68406 21 312 21 310 22 299 17 292 68406 65529 22 309 25 307 25 298 18 288 65529 62856 21 302 28 296 25 290 18 287 62856 60274 22 301 28 288 25 295 20 291 60274 57573 23 300 31 287 32 297 27 299 57573 54752 31 301 35 295 39 294 37 290 54752 52042 38 303 37 306 35 299 28 278 52042 49589 40 310 48 323 54 322 35 326 49589 47402 49 316 67 314 65 307 49 315 47402 45439 59 314 72 301 55 293 53 294 45439 43644 51 308 49 289 33 286 35 296 43644 41990 39 334 28 328 29 335 43 323 41990 40465 52 001 49 349 56 339 51 329 40465 39046 80 357 72 344 66 330 51 329 39046 37702 92 347 80 336 62 332 50 329 37702 36389 91 342 73 333 59 335 45 330 36389 35041 86 340 60 337 50 340 41 328 35041 33633 78 342 49 337 37 332 34 326 33633 32166 66 339 45 335 25 330 25 329 32166 30627 63 333 53 329 26 315 19 302 30627 29003 52 333 53 326 40 305 27 291 29003 27294 34 336 38 321 48 299 44 286 27294 25503 29 323 26 298 37 281 56 278 25503 23630 33 312 33 301 40 278 54 280 23630 21676 34 312 36 310 38 289 44 282 21676 19637 28 309 28 309 27 288 37 273 19637 17508 26 296 27 293 26 280 36 267 17508 15332 22 293 26 286 25 278 31 267 15332 13237 16 288 20 282 21 279 23 270 13237 11333 11 280 14 275 17 280 14 270 11333 9643 8 274 11 269 14 276 11 261 9643 8143 7 266 7 261 10 267 10 260 8143 6813 6 259 5 254 6 254 8 266 6813 5637 4 257 3 253 3 235 5 262 5637 4599 1 301 1 118 2 163 3 257 4599 3689 3 033 3 076 3 122 1 264 3689 2890 3 036 4 060 4 075 2 325 2890 2181 6 004 5 024 5 037 7 345 2181 1558 9 001 6*008 4 008 10 341 1558 1042 11 359 5*001 3 006 9 333 1042 648 10 360 4 002 3*015 6 324 648 378 7*353 4 004 2*017 5 310 378 214 4*349 4 005 2 020 4 293 214 121 4 350 3 005 2 018 3*293 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography