DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 57.2 - - 63.5 - - 65.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 114 - - 169 - - 65 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1396 - - 2750 - - 2837 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1607 - - 946 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1500 - - 2855 - - 2943 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 244 - - 819 - - 2678 - - 2768 - - 2237 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 221 - - 319 - - 237 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 30 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 336 - - 356 - - 359 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -430 - - 108 - - 203 - - -298 - - -1093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 551 - - 1392 - - 2652 - - 3241 - - 1215 sfcLCL ODpotential -5228 - - 117 - - -42 - - -1308 - - -3635 ODpotential blCL 5349 - - 1383 - - 2897 - - 4251 - - 3757 blCL maxRH 82 - - 96 - - 89 - - 80 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 100 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 57.2 - - 63.5 - - 65.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 51.7 - - 52.3 - - 51.6 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 56.3 - - 62.3 - - 64.6 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.9 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 - - 50.7 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 114 - - 169 - - 65 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1396 - - 2750 - - 2837 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 82 - - 55 - - 21 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96259 23 294 19 336 9 314 12 311 19 317 96259 89170 7 303 10 295 15 302 16 318 12 342 89170 83719 5 319 10 346 9 327 18 330 13 351 83719 79201 13 326 19 340 14 335 18 335 15 356 79201 75318 12 311 17 319 20 319 21 320 23 335 75318 71896 23 315 20 314 24 309 24 304 25 319 71896 68786 31 305 24 312 24 300 21 291 21 301 68786 65893 33 291 27 298 28 288 27 286 27 296 65893 63188 37 280 34 285 41 280 38 283 38 281 63188 60555 37 284 42 276 45 272 41 278 37 277 60555 57789 45 288 43 275 48 273 45 282 43 276 57789 54906 47 283 45 279 48 275 45 279 43 273 54906 52140 49 283 53 284 57 280 52 285 43 279 52140 49627 57 282 55 279 64 275 61 278 46 281 49627 47352 57 277 52 279 61 274 56 278 50 292 47352 45280 53 281 51 289 53 284 62 287 63 293 45280 43390 56 285 58 289 54 290 65 289 70 287 43390 41660 59 284 57 288 56 286 64 289 62 286 41660 40069 57 287 54 292 57 283 57 284 49 288 40069 38594 56 295 50 294 50 294 43 297 40 310 38594 37214 58 300 52 299 48 305 40 312 43 324 37214 35885 61 300 54 304 47 313 44 323 48 334 35885 34539 56 305 54 308 50 320 46 326 53 339 34539 33141 55 304 51 310 52 320 46 329 54 336 33141 31691 50 304 47 316 49 320 46 332 55 329 31691 30171 51 314 45 320 45 324 43 330 50 334 30171 28572 56 317 44 319 43 330 39 333 46 338 28572 26897 50 319 45 320 45 334 37 335 41 333 26897 25137 41 319 43 321 46 335 37 335 36 329 25137 23294 33 312 39 329 41 333 37 337 33 333 23294 21371 28 303 31 349 34 330 35 335 31 336 21371 19363 26 305 22 018 26 332 30 326 30 339 19363 17262 24 307 20 016 19 337 25 314 27 340 17262 15118 21 313 19 358 15 345 19 308 22 336 15118 13053 16 316 14 360 10 002 14 323 16 333 13053 11176 9 298 9 353 6 034 7 343 11 347 11176 9514 4 286 4 325 5 048 5 058 8 051 9514 8046 4 074 1 114 4 065 9 076 12 096 8046 6744 5 076 4 121 3 090 10 077 11 106 6744 5590 1 071 3 114 4 101 5 065 9 088 5590 4572 5 209 3 214 1 351 3 026 7 065 4572 3677 4 199 4 207 2 317 3*013 7 046 3677 2889 3 350 3 163 2*324 3*004 7 032 2889 2185 7 337 3 314 2*332 3 002 7 017 2185 1565 8 336 5*327 2 352 3 358 7 010 1565 1049 7 343 4*330 2 358 3 358 7 008 1049 653 7 331 4 336 2 006 3 357 7 005 653 381 4 296 3 339 2 009 3 355 6 359 381 216 1 237 3 341 2 011 3 355 5*345 216 122 1*172 3 341 2 012 3 356 4*336 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography