DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 52.0 - - 51.0 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -33 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 121 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3645 - - 4120 - - 3398 - - 1047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 19 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 168 - - 170 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -518 - - -829 - - -483 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 639 - - 950 - - 604 - - 399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1209 - - -1509 - - -1017 - - -1918 ODpotential blCL - - - 1330 - - 1630 - - 1138 - - 2039 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 83 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 180 - - 120 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 52.0 - - 51.0 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 48.2 - - 48.8 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 52.8 - - 51.7 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 47.4 - - 48.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -33 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 31 - - 56 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96094 25 351 26 350 27 005 17 006 96094 89114 18 350 27 349 20 016 16 012 89114 83676 11 338 18 334 14 027 13 009 83676 79122 6 026 6 354 2 007 13 322 79122 75157 12 285 12 311 4 292 18 319 75157 71610 11 225 17 235 23 247 22 283 71610 68380 8 279 12 189 14 228 21 242 68380 65397 26 251 9 290 10 223 17 210 65397 62607 34 238 25 253 13 258 14 235 62607 59889 32 234 31 240 21 254 18 247 59889 57037 27 237 31 236 26 252 18 269 57037 54066 27 251 32 247 33 259 26 281 54066 51233 37 255 38 256 37 260 32 278 51233 48690 44 252 41 258 37 258 35 272 48690 46411 47 251 41 256 37 257 37 269 46411 44341 49 249 44 252 37 257 38 270 44341 42445 53 248 46 250 39 258 40 270 42445 40701 56 246 48 250 40 257 38 270 40701 39089 59 245 49 250 38 254 33 269 39089 37592 63 246 51 249 36 252 29 270 37592 36192 70 244 55 248 34 251 25 274 36192 34848 75 242 61 247 32 254 19 282 34848 33490 78 241 64 245 30 260 11 308 33490 32094 79 241 65 243 24 269 14 008 32094 30660 78 242 62 240 21 293 21 014 30660 29170 73 242 49 242 26 280 23 009 29170 27611 64 239 36 253 19 273 23 002 27611 25984 54 238 37 258 20 277 18 339 25984 24286 40 243 35 251 25 261 15 287 24286 22518 33 251 34 252 24 255 18 252 22518 20677 33 247 35 251 24 255 19 245 20677 18752 33 242 35 246 24 244 18 243 18752 16739 32 239 34 241 25 228 17 227 16739 14682 31 237 32 239 25 224 22 208 14682 12697 33 230 27 234 25 228 20 223 12697 10890 38 230 25 230 26 232 17 249 10890 9284 40 226 24 225 26 240 14 258 9284 7857 37 216 24 220 25 247 7 284 7857 6590 35 213 27 216 25 246 6 314 6590 5467 33 213 32 214 25 237 7 308 5467 4474 31 211 36 208 25 228 8 293 4474 3600 29 209 35 203 26 218 11 279 3600 2829 27 203 34 197 26 210 13 269 2829 2141 26 196 32 192 26 203 15 260 2141 1533 26 188 29 184 25 195 16 245 1533 1027 24 182 27 179 23 186 16 225 1027 640 22 178 24 175 21 178 16 204 640 374 18 176 21 172 18 174 14 189 374 213 16*175 18 170 15 171 12*184 213 121 11*174 13*168 11*170 8*180 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography