DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 68.2 - - 66.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 93 - - 44 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 336 - - 2881 - - 2903 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 1437 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 442 - - 2986 - - 3009 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 875 - - 2231 - - 2234 - - 1842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 278 - - 216 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 236 - - 240 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1458 - - -1141 - - -492 - - -1077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1900 - - 4127 - - 3501 - - 1199 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4871 - - -4258 - - -2721 - - -2865 ODpotential blCL - - - 5313 - - 7244 - - 5730 - - 2987 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 95 - - 72 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 110 - - 180 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 68.2 - - 66.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.4 - - 50.7 - - 51.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 67.6 - - 66.3 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 49.3 - - 50.8 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 93 - - 44 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 336 - - 2881 - - 2903 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 82 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96382 4 002 4 175 3 336 4 358 96382 89288 4 059 4 016 7 338 2 024 89288 83821 8 015 6 006 9 299 10 347 83821 79298 13 341 14 344 13 333 16 356 79298 75416 13 328 14 315 17 335 17 347 75416 71975 15 316 19 301 21 320 18 334 71975 68849 25 322 22 302 27 303 30 298 68849 65972 29 302 26 299 28 297 30 296 65972 63277 33 288 36 293 33 299 34 303 63277 60634 39 282 50 285 43 288 44 294 60634 57861 40 281 50 276 50 281 47 286 57861 54973 47 287 47 273 52 275 50 280 54973 52207 56 277 54 274 55 273 52 274 52207 49706 56 265 62 272 57 269 52 269 49706 47450 55 265 60 265 56 266 50 268 47450 45388 55 267 54 258 54 265 50 271 45388 43486 57 263 53 253 56 265 56 272 43486 41722 58 256 54 257 63 265 64 265 41722 40081 63 253 63 257 69 259 62 255 40081 38547 69 248 72 250 67 250 55 247 38547 37100 78 242 75 240 61 242 55 256 37100 35702 88 236 73 236 62 248 66 257 35702 34294 87 235 75 239 71 248 77 254 34294 32847 84 237 85 240 77 245 84 250 32847 31366 85 237 89 238 78 242 89 246 31366 29830 86 235 87 236 79 241 91 243 29830 28223 87 236 81 237 80 239 89 242 28223 26544 84 238 72 239 75 237 86 243 26544 24793 79 237 67 240 67 238 79 243 24793 22973 75 235 64 241 62 242 64 240 22973 21085 66 236 59 241 54 243 52 236 21085 19118 57 241 52 242 44 245 47 235 19118 17064 52 242 44 243 37 242 38 236 17064 14968 39 231 30 245 29 239 30 230 14968 12946 25 220 22 231 20 230 26 217 12946 11105 19 222 17 227 18 221 24 214 11105 9467 15 222 19 215 20 215 21 220 9467 8012 16 216 19 207 19 216 16 215 8012 6721 17 208 18 211 16 220 12 209 6721 5574 18 200 16 217 13 225 9 203 5574 4561 15 201 14 232 11 236 7 218 4561 3669 12 208 12*243 12*243 8 251 3669 2884 9 222 12*242 13*243 12 263 2884 2182 8 238 12 239 13 242 15 263 2182 1563 8 250 12 237 13 240 17 260 1563 1047 9 246 11 235 13 239 16 253 1047 651 8*228 11 234 12 237 15 243 651 380 6*196 10 232 12 236 12 225 380 216 6 191 10 231 11 234 9*214 216 122 5 187 8 230 9 233 6*207 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography