DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.8 - - 47.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 10 - - 32 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 546 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 121 - - 651 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 69 - - 248 - - 470 - - 991 - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 115 - - 7 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 28 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 185 - - 054 - - 071 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1995 - - -1909 - - -2473 - - -1592 - - -1028 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2115 - - 2030 - - 3124 - - 1715 - - 1149 sfcLCL ODpotential -17853 - - -15697 - - -14079 - - -12631 - - -13927 ODpotential blCL 17973 - - 15818 - - 14730 - - 12753 - - 14048 blCL maxRH 49 - - 60 - - 61 - - 68 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.8 - - 47.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 39.3 - - 45.6 - - 52.4 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.8 - - 47.2 - - 58.0 - - 60.0 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 38.2 - - 44.4 - - 51.1 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 10 - - 32 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 546 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 26 091 23 072 21 057 29 076 34 103 96385 89475 29 094 27 087 19 086 23 090 28 095 89475 84055 35 074 25 086 22 094 20 090 26 090 84055 79521 30 065 19 089 21 095 20 067 29 072 79521 75614 23 075 18 080 15 094 11 064 20 067 75614 72125 19 079 19 084 15 074 14 077 15 071 72125 68936 12 059 16 083 17 081 17 066 17 071 68936 66020 14 050 10 065 17 079 12 062 15 059 66020 63342 20 054 11 072 15 072 10 074 7 043 63342 60751 15 066 18 066 17 070 17 081 11 132 60751 58058 1 016 11 030 17 057 17 060 16 099 58058 55285 2 226 12 318 7 000 12 027 12 051 55285 52645 10 071 4 297 13 308 8 328 4 358 52645 50261 24 074 13 100 10 288 16 321 6 326 50261 48103 35 066 31 103 11 167 17 301 15 347 48103 46117 36 051 40 094 27 131 16 183 14 317 46117 44272 24 058 34 083 31 112 29 154 17 201 44272 42560 14 095 20 070 24 087 25 141 23 172 42560 40971 12 143 10 072 15 071 15 107 21 147 40971 39500 19 180 1 300 7 054 5 096 12 106 39500 38132 30 173 14 207 15 192 17 210 14 211 38132 36813 37 160 27 177 30 178 30 203 25 214 36813 35465 40 144 32 158 35 167 33 197 26 211 35465 34056 37 135 28 152 33 165 33 195 26 215 34056 32590 29 137 21 153 26 165 33 195 25 215 32590 31050 20 140 17 154 20 165 28 191 27 209 31050 29422 17 149 14 150 15 162 20 181 29 205 29422 27709 18 160 11 129 13 149 14 173 24 202 27709 25909 13 141 13 131 14 147 13 162 16 168 25909 24028 14 122 17 143 18 149 17 153 16 158 24028 22067 15 130 19 150 18 152 14 155 9 153 22067 20016 15 137 19 154 17 162 8 162 6 084 20016 17865 13 132 17 151 14 170 4 154 8 066 17865 15658 14 117 14 140 10 161 5 119 8 075 15658 13521 13 106 12 132 9 155 6 110 6 053 13521 11570 12 115 11 140 8 161 5 087 8 037 11570 9832 9 132 7 144 3 190 6 066 8 034 9832 8290 7 123 4 128 1 133 6 075 8 041 8290 6925 7 129 4 112 3 126 5 092 9 064 6925 5718 6 135 5 110 4 123 5 100 8 089 5718 4657 5 088 7 083 6 096 6 076 9 075 4657 3729 11 048 12 056 9 058 10 052 15 049 3729 2916 16 028 15 035 12 031 15 027 20 023 2916 2196 20 013 19 016 16 011 21 011 23 015 2196 1566 24 010 25 011 16 006 19 008 23 013 1566 1046 24 010 22 009 10*002 9 001 13 012 1046 650 14 007 6 003 2*360 2 358 3 346 650 379 2 299 2 200 1 078 1 037 2 319 379 215 0 154 3*192 1 092 1*059 2 261 215 121 1*129 2*185 1 099 1*071 1*254 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography