DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 56.4 - - 66.0 - - 66.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - 105 - - 17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 292 - - 1120 - - 1005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 397 - - 1225 - - 1111 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 91 - - 441 - - 1077 - - 1706 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 93 - - 203 - - 109 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 16 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 347 - - 044 - - 235 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1413 - - -3361 - - -3773 - - -3802 - - -1443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1534 - - 3758 - - 4998 - - 4914 - - 1565 sfcLCL ODpotential -9434 - - -9035 - - -7340 - - -7076 - - -6585 ODpotential blCL 9555 - - 9432 - - 8565 - - 8187 - - 6707 blCL maxRH 57 - - 54 - - 70 - - 63 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 56.4 - - 66.0 - - 66.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 40.9 - - 44.9 - - 46.2 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 56.1 - - 65.4 - - 67.1 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 40.0 - - 44.0 - - 45.5 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - 105 - - 17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 292 - - 1120 - - 1005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96188 16 122 10 072 2 218 3 018 6 136 96188 89154 16 081 10 073 13 107 11 103 18 114 89154 83718 18 086 5 119 17 095 15 117 17 100 83718 79184 17 083 7 139 8 118 9 105 10 068 79184 75263 12 061 10 119 8 132 2 223 8 034 75263 71789 6 086 8 125 6 094 5 176 3 349 71789 68647 8 140 8 152 3 202 5 166 1 089 68647 65754 7 146 6 203 6 263 1 120 3 178 65754 63054 9 184 8 231 10 250 5 270 3 229 63054 60415 10 223 11 250 14 225 13 254 12 278 60415 57653 14 231 15 258 13 227 17 255 21 267 57653 54790 13 227 22 261 14 272 18 252 21 246 54790 52055 12 238 21 259 21 281 15 249 19 233 52055 49572 16 246 16 266 26 267 17 250 19 244 49572 47323 17 233 12 262 27 254 22 247 21 254 47323 45269 8 251 11 249 27 253 25 261 18 266 45269 43391 10 306 9 256 27 252 30 274 16 290 43391 41668 14 265 14 299 19 236 25 276 25 301 41668 40067 16 234 19 296 1 126 17 252 30 293 40067 38579 13 222 14 283 9 354 12 331 29 333 38579 37208 10 193 7 259 16 357 31 005 44 008 37208 35899 15 176 4 020 32 002 74 016 70 008 35899 34567 34 156 7 131 43 002 80 014 75 003 34567 33172 46 154 17 153 27 353 67 002 76 002 33172 31719 50 152 19 160 3 304 67 357 79 005 31719 30192 43 149 20 161 3 144 48 357 77 010 30192 28579 34 142 19 154 9 150 5 020 62 011 28579 26894 30 167 18 162 9 153 9 148 27 355 26894 25148 25 176 21 200 12 222 11 196 7 250 25148 23326 23 179 14 216 12 245 10 227 8 238 23326 21420 19 183 7 203 7 217 12 231 10 248 21420 19426 13 177 9 186 10 186 13 222 10 256 19426 17342 7 198 10 185 12 181 14 219 10 270 17342 15212 13 210 9 195 11 194 12 230 8 280 15212 13154 18 210 13 207 16 219 12 240 8 270 13154 11281 15 188 16 205 19 218 13 241 11 255 11281 9616 13 178 15 196 19 204 14 235 12 240 9616 8137 8 180 15 192 14 194 12 226 11 231 8137 6821 4 194 15 193 9 200 8 222 8 233 6821 5654 3 241 13 194 6 245 4 229 4 232 5654 4621 2 268 11 198 6 279 3 245 1 251 4621 3714 1 299 9 206 6 278 1 274 1 346 3714 2915 1 006 5 220 4 290 1 325 2 345 2915 2203 4 013 1 300 2 336 0 350 2 302 2203 1576 7 016 4 351 2*028 0*303 3 278 1576 1054 7 014 8 351 3*037 1*255 3 262 1054 655 8 007 8*351 2 044 1 237 3 247 655 382 10 007 6*346 2 046 1 231 3 239 382 216 5 003 4 346 2 046 1 229 3*237 216 122 2*010 4 348 2 047 1 228 3*239 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography