DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 49.5 - - 50.4 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 88 - - 14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 2802 - - 2268 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 1285 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 804 - - 2907 - - 2372 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1707 - - 2847 - - 3462 - - 510 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 264 - - 153 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 176 - - 148 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1017 - - 665 - - -147 - - -392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1821 - - 2242 - - 2519 - - 513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2868 - - -299 - - -988 - - -2241 ODpotential blCL - - - 3672 - - 3206 - - 3360 - - 2362 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 83 - - 86 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 49.5 - - 50.4 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 40.3 - - 40.0 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 48.7 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 39.0 - - 38.8 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 88 - - 14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 2802 - - 2268 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 31 - - 43 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96694 22 139 19 104 22 091 30 112 96694 89559 24 125 18 115 17 112 23 105 89559 83998 19 104 15 126 12 114 14 101 83998 79337 8 105 10 128 10 142 7 070 79337 75299 5 103 3 130 9 131 0 153 75299 71718 8 075 4 208 4 187 4 242 71718 68456 5 353 2 259 3 179 9 213 68456 65435 11 294 10 290 6 317 4 258 65435 62629 16 282 15 300 16 311 9 332 62629 59916 15 302 21 309 23 301 17 322 59916 57085 23 313 26 304 25 295 24 303 57085 54151 29 310 29 306 31 303 32 293 54151 51351 34 306 40 304 38 301 35 290 51351 48819 39 302 44 303 40 300 37 293 48819 46540 41 305 44 302 43 300 46 289 46540 44472 45 304 45 304 48 298 46 284 44472 42577 48 300 49 305 53 294 46 292 42577 40831 46 299 51 303 53 294 50 296 40831 39215 44 303 52 299 53 299 56 301 39215 37717 49 299 53 299 59 305 60 305 37717 36324 52 292 54 300 69 303 68 306 36324 34993 45 292 50 299 68 300 69 305 34993 33654 35 306 45 300 61 299 70 309 33654 32273 42 303 45 298 51 295 71 310 32273 30850 40 294 47 297 43 291 65 309 30850 29368 41 293 42 299 42 295 56 308 29368 27816 43 293 37 302 38 299 43 297 27816 26189 41 300 34 302 33 294 35 283 26189 24478 35 310 31 301 36 283 33 284 24478 22682 27 318 25 293 29 281 31 295 22682 20806 26 308 22 286 21 278 32 307 20806 18843 27 314 19 286 20 263 31 305 18843 16791 23 328 16 289 16 251 22 296 16791 14697 19 343 12 292 14 253 17 256 14697 12683 15 350 9 296 13 254 20 229 12683 10854 10 355 6 303 11 247 18 232 10854 9232 6 002 1 311 10 230 12 236 9232 7801 2 049 3 194 9 218 9 232 7801 6539 5 156 6 196 10 218 9 219 6539 5423 7 173 9 197 10 226 9 201 5423 4438 9 188 9 197 10 223 8 198 4438 3572 9 193 9*195 8 209 8 192 3572 2807 7 184 8*185 7*184 8 182 2807 2124 2 166 8 181 7*157 10 172 2124 1521 1 038 7 175 8 149 12 166 1521 1020 3*351 7 173 8 146 13 160 1020 636 2*349 7 172 8 145 13 156 636 372 2 352 6 170 7 144 11 154 372 212 2 352 6 169 7 143 8*152 212 121 2 357 5 169 6 143 4*149 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography