DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 65.4 - - 69.8 - - 72.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 45 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 631 - - 1054 - - 950 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 736 - - 1160 - - 1056 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 716 - - 857 - - 2020 - - 1373 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 131 - - 159 - - 96 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 353 - - 343 - - 146 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -788 - - -1603 - - -1498 - - -1913 - - -1463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 909 - - 2339 - - 2658 - - 2969 - - 1585 sfcLCL ODpotential -7636 - - -6980 - - -4990 - - -4796 - - -4996 ODpotential blCL 7757 - - 7716 - - 6150 - - 5852 - - 5118 blCL maxRH 68 - - 68 - - 82 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 210 - - 510 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 65.4 - - 69.8 - - 72.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.7 - - 55.6 - - 58.5 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.5 - - 65.0 - - 69.3 - - 72.9 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.5 - - 54.3 - - 57.3 - - 59.1 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 45 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 631 - - 1054 - - 950 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96602 13 134 7 079 8 094 6 122 4 046 96602 89425 7 113 5 075 3 072 4 016 1 095 89425 83879 5 037 6 014 8 315 13 003 9 044 83879 79305 10 011 8 013 11 299 18 341 10 012 79305 75390 16 336 16 003 10 349 17 335 13 321 75390 71938 28 333 24 323 23 337 21 340 17 320 71938 68812 34 310 29 319 31 322 32 321 29 309 68812 65932 35 296 39 301 35 310 37 301 35 301 65932 63245 39 292 39 290 37 288 41 290 40 294 63245 60624 41 287 38 291 39 285 40 291 42 290 60624 57866 49 285 42 290 45 288 43 289 45 289 57866 54989 57 283 55 286 51 286 53 285 51 286 54989 52240 73 275 65 280 61 285 63 281 54 285 52240 49763 75 269 69 272 67 278 68 279 57 285 49763 47537 75 267 69 271 73 278 73 277 63 285 47537 45515 74 263 71 272 75 276 76 277 69 278 45515 43659 71 262 75 273 77 275 74 276 66 272 43659 41942 71 261 79 272 80 274 74 276 65 274 41942 40363 77 260 81 265 83 268 79 274 72 277 40363 38910 81 257 79 259 83 261 84 273 75 279 38910 37553 80 253 77 258 79 263 88 273 76 284 37553 36240 74 252 75 259 80 266 85 274 79 281 36240 34896 69 255 75 263 83 263 83 278 78 275 34896 33492 67 257 75 264 83 260 84 275 79 268 33492 32029 66 257 76 262 82 261 82 269 81 270 32029 30492 63 254 77 260 82 262 83 267 78 269 30492 28869 59 251 80 261 83 264 79 269 74 269 28869 27159 54 248 82 262 83 267 73 272 70 267 27159 25364 49 242 82 266 79 270 66 272 64 264 25364 23489 51 239 70 268 65 270 61 267 58 259 23489 21544 48 240 51 254 52 259 52 260 56 257 21544 19522 41 236 44 237 48 253 52 255 54 260 19522 17413 36 224 41 224 42 249 48 259 48 264 17413 15266 33 221 35 221 33 233 34 255 35 261 15266 13207 22 219 28 224 30 239 28 234 27 233 13207 11337 11 218 23 225 25 234 27 231 27 227 11337 9673 9 237 19 234 19 233 24 232 23 232 9673 8191 10 269 13 242 11 235 18 230 18 226 8191 6871 9 292 5 248 6 223 13 207 14 222 6871 5698 8 312 1 288 5 221 12 205 13 221 5698 4661 9 330 3 037 4 233 10 226 11 224 4661 3749 10 344 5 037 4 259 11 249 9 223 3749 2946 10 358 5 027 5 288 11 250 7 210 2946 2227 11 009 5 005 6 328 9 241 6 187 2227 1594 11 012 9 352 6*341 5 210 6 165 1594 1067 9 010 9*353 5*341 4*161 4 155 1067 663 8 000 7*352 4 342 4*149 2 144 663 386 5 333 5 354 4 345 4 146 0 346 386 219 4 315 5 355 4 344 4 144 2 323 219 122 3*313 4 354 3 347 3 143 2*310 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography