DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 57.5 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 152 - - 44 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 2204 - - 2240 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 1173 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1541 - - 2309 - - 2345 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1497 - - 2262 - - 2093 - - 4126 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 287 - - 197 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 110 - - 118 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 407 - - 396 - - 143 - - -1600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1134 - - 1913 - - 2202 - - 1722 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 115 - - 291 - - -419 - - -2227 ODpotential blCL - - - 1426 - - 2018 - - 2764 - - 2349 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 57.5 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.7 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 56.4 - - 59.4 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 48.6 - - 49.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 152 - - 44 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 2204 - - 2240 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 88 - - 101 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97515 4 106 6 322 12 351 10 336 97515 90171 5 099 3 358 8 020 9 064 90171 84535 10 102 4 077 8 014 8 068 84535 79874 12 099 11 101 2 012 3 072 79874 75860 4 128 12 090 5 107 6 111 75860 72295 5 148 3 104 6 077 6 101 72295 69039 3 139 5 165 1 213 3 107 69039 66015 5 224 7 185 8 213 3 254 66015 63194 10 224 10 227 8 204 5 250 63194 60454 11 226 11 224 7 248 6 268 60454 57594 9 241 9 254 8 267 4 273 57594 54624 7 250 8 253 14 304 10 349 54624 51790 5 219 7 284 16 300 19 329 51790 49252 9 315 7 327 16 322 22 332 49252 46999 15 332 15 358 16 343 23 344 46999 44964 17 342 24 350 24 353 27 349 44964 43103 26 345 31 340 32 356 27 357 43103 41389 32 351 37 346 40 358 35 004 41389 39799 35 000 38 352 42 358 42 001 39799 38319 41 003 37 357 41 001 45 001 38319 36933 44 003 38 002 42 006 48 008 36933 35602 47 003 40 006 45 009 55 015 35602 34258 49 003 43 007 49 008 61 020 34258 32873 48 000 43 006 49 011 60 018 32873 31447 44 001 44 009 49 016 56 016 31447 29957 39 002 46 012 49 019 51 016 29957 28383 34 359 43 012 48 018 47 018 28383 26724 32 356 35 007 45 017 47 022 26724 24979 30 358 28 001 38 015 44 022 24979 23151 31 001 26 001 30 010 38 019 23151 21245 32 002 26 002 23 004 31 012 21245 19254 32 004 26 003 22 000 23 006 19254 17172 29 000 24 004 20 358 20 003 17172 15041 27 358 23 005 18 359 18 358 15041 12984 25 360 22 004 17 002 16 001 12984 11113 22 006 22 360 17 004 16 015 11113 9455 21 007 19 355 20 359 19 024 9455 7990 20 005 18 352 18 350 20 011 7990 6694 15 011 15 350 16 324 15 346 6694 5546 11 005 11 355 13 304 11 309 5546 4534 8 342 6 358 7 324 8 289 4534 3647 5 284 4 347 3 026 4 251 3647 2866 5 231 3*354 3*073 3 202 2866 2169 6*191 2*057 4*115 3 179 2169 1554 7*170 4 112 5 117 3 159 1554 1042 6 158 5 113 5 119 3 149 1042 649 6 155 5 113 5 119 2 138 649 379 6 152 5 112 5 119 2 131 379 215 5 149 5 112 5 119 2*126 215 122 4 149 5 112 4 119 2*118 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography