DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.5 - - 67.5 - - 66.8 - - 67.8 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 55 - - -3 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 683 - - 391 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 789 - - 497 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1337 - - 2678 - - 2740 - - 3535 - - 2688 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 137 - - 55 - - 14 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 171 - - 204 - - 241 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -3 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1255 - - -1057 - - -747 - - -2547 - - -1985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1377 - - 1846 - - 1244 - - 2669 - - 2107 sfcLCL ODpotential -4129 - - -1652 - - -1555 - - -3959 - - -4061 ODpotential blCL 4251 - - 2441 - - 2052 - - 4081 - - 4183 blCL maxRH 85 - - 100 - - 94 - - 79 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 60 - - 100 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 62.5 - - 67.5 - - 66.8 - - 67.8 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.8 - - 59.7 - - 61.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.5 - - 67.1 - - 67.0 - - 67.9 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.7 - - 59.4 - - 61.0 - - 56.1 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 55 - - -3 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 683 - - 391 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 101 - - 74 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98998 16 106 13 117 7 170 8 070 13 103 98998 91582 10 077 16 087 13 128 9 166 9 049 91582 85828 12 098 13 080 16 093 13 121 8 094 85828 81053 11 117 6 097 4 115 13 089 14 094 81053 76947 11 099 12 088 10 114 12 072 14 090 76947 73317 7 093 7 061 8 123 7 097 11 083 73317 70015 4 184 7 109 7 151 6 120 7 077 70015 66965 7 099 7 141 3 233 3 250 2 268 66965 64128 13 298 1 218 2 336 1 240 5 134 64128 61379 15 270 12 269 12 280 15 277 13 270 61379 58537 14 284 11 286 15 275 19 256 22 257 58537 55609 27 285 25 285 28 273 26 267 22 263 55609 52813 37 285 32 291 29 281 30 276 28 271 52813 50294 48 282 49 286 46 273 43 276 37 277 50294 48030 46 275 49 273 51 262 54 267 53 280 48030 45973 42 280 39 265 48 264 63 267 64 274 45973 44095 43 281 42 276 48 270 65 270 68 269 44095 42376 47 281 51 280 57 271 66 275 72 275 42376 40788 48 278 55 284 60 272 72 276 80 280 40788 39301 47 272 51 284 61 274 76 273 84 278 39301 37895 46 266 42 278 59 270 76 269 86 280 37895 36535 46 263 34 276 55 266 75 271 88 281 36535 35157 45 262 31 279 54 273 74 277 88 281 35157 33726 44 264 32 281 55 277 74 276 86 279 33726 32238 44 269 34 281 53 274 73 274 84 276 32238 30677 43 271 35 280 50 269 70 271 83 274 30677 29031 42 269 36 276 49 267 68 268 83 275 29031 27297 43 267 39 270 49 266 67 269 83 274 27297 25474 45 264 42 268 48 270 67 272 79 271 25474 23567 46 264 45 269 47 270 64 270 77 269 23567 21582 46 263 47 267 48 270 60 264 73 266 21582 19521 44 265 46 264 46 268 55 261 64 263 19521 17381 42 266 44 260 44 260 48 261 55 264 17381 15211 39 262 41 255 41 253 39 257 44 265 15211 13133 34 259 35 253 35 248 34 250 33 252 13133 11250 27 256 29 250 28 238 30 236 32 228 11250 9577 20 242 25 240 26 228 30 223 31 218 9577 8092 16 230 22 230 27 233 28 220 27 224 8092 6778 14 218 21 229 25 234 26 230 25 239 6778 5616 12 211 21 232 24 237 25 240 18 254 5616 4592 12 223 20 237 22 241 22 246 14 270 4592 3693 15 242 19 238 21 243 19 247 14 279 3693 2901 19 251 17 233 21 237 18 247 17 282 2901 2195 21 251 15 220 21 231 18 247 20 280 2195 1572 21 246 14 203 20 224 18 246 21 276 1572 1054 16 234 13*187 18 216 17 246 20 271 1054 656 12 212 12*175 16*210 16 245 17 265 656 383 9 186 11 171 14*207 14 243 12 258 383 217 8*179 10 169 12 204 12 241 10 255 217 122 7*173 8 167 9 201 9*241 5*250 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography