DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 47.0 - - 51.5 - - 53.3 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 31 - - 95 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 602 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 706 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 697 - - 941 - - 517 - - 1038 - - 699 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 32 - - 156 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 075 - - 120 - - 149 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -94 - - -110 - - -270 - - -910 - - -194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 215 - - 231 - - 976 - - 1031 - - 314 sfcLCL ODpotential -12297 - - 0 - - -11058 - - -11532 - - -13875 ODpotential blCL 12418 - - 121 - - 11764 - - 11653 - - 13995 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 91 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 47.0 - - 51.5 - - 53.3 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 46.8 - - 48.1 - - 49.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.9 - - 46.7 - - 50.8 - - 53.5 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 46.7 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 31 - - 95 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 602 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 83 - - 66 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96326 24 078 20 073 20 079 17 084 12 107 96326 89288 17 090 22 079 19 072 21 069 19 087 89288 83852 24 078 25 088 17 085 19 067 26 080 83852 79304 21 072 30 086 23 085 19 070 24 070 79304 75328 16 060 25 075 22 084 18 068 19 059 75328 71786 10 014 12 049 20 064 21 058 17 048 71786 68584 10 037 7 008 17 003 18 025 21 035 68584 65658 20 359 10 358 13 336 16 353 17 003 65658 62960 30 338 24 334 22 335 23 345 17 358 62960 60338 32 333 25 327 20 319 23 324 22 333 60338 57592 31 323 28 334 22 324 26 324 23 322 57592 54750 33 314 35 325 29 320 30 321 32 324 54750 52060 38 301 37 313 32 314 34 310 36 318 52060 49655 40 304 37 315 33 316 35 312 33 316 49655 47512 45 306 42 316 36 318 32 318 32 323 47512 45592 44 315 39 322 36 339 33 337 26 327 45592 43854 43 317 53 339 43 358 36 352 27 354 43854 42253 35 324 34 333 49 002 37 358 29 358 42253 40754 35 347 26 011 41 005 42 010 25 000 40754 39335 49 014 46 024 34 013 40 009 25 001 39335 37987 57 024 53 020 31 015 34 359 28 357 37987 36672 54 027 49 018 31 011 28 352 30 354 36672 35324 48 023 39 022 32 005 22 347 29 351 35324 33915 42 001 26 015 34 003 19 345 26 346 33915 32447 39 335 26 350 30 001 21 340 25 342 32447 30905 35 331 36 341 26 345 23 331 23 338 30905 29275 35 331 40 332 28 340 26 328 21 322 29275 27558 34 329 38 327 30 339 30 331 23 316 27558 25748 31 327 35 325 32 326 29 328 25 323 25748 23849 28 321 33 320 31 317 29 318 25 319 23849 21870 27 314 31 318 28 309 28 320 25 310 21870 19804 29 316 30 320 25 308 27 326 25 315 19804 17645 29 323 26 323 21 314 27 324 25 319 17645 15437 24 323 22 318 20 315 26 318 26 323 15437 13306 18 316 18 308 19 308 24 315 25 330 13306 11370 16 313 14 300 16 297 19 315 23 337 11370 9654 16 312 11 299 15 295 15 316 19 333 9654 8138 15 311 10 300 13 305 13 321 16 324 8138 6798 14 313 9 308 11 316 12 330 14 324 6798 5615 12 317 8 321 8 334 9 342 11 332 5615 4572 11 324 7 337 7 354 6 006 8 342 4572 3659 11 337 6 355 6 001 5 020 7 346 3659 2858 13 355 7 006 7 002 5 001 7 348 2858 2148 16 010 10 008 8 359 6 340 8 333 2148 1529 16 010 9 003 6 340 6 313 7 322 1529 1020 12 354 5 343 1*352 3 265 3 355 1020 635 6 349 2 355 3*118 3 173 2 094 635 371 3 345 1 050 3 120 3 158 3 120 371 211 2*340 1*071 3 122 3 152 3 123 211 120 1*350 1*075 3 120 3*149 2*123 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography