DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 80.0 - - 81.9 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 265 - - 88 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1702 - - 3615 - - 4617 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 909 - - 2428 - - 2525 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1807 - - 3722 - - 4723 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1179 - - 2002 - - 2018 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 402 - - 306 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 33 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 020 - - 079 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7925 - - -7983 - - -7537 - - -8719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9732 - - 11706 - - 12261 - - 8842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15669 - - -14022 - - -13278 - - -15294 ODpotential blCL - - - 17476 - - 17744 - - 18001 - - 15416 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 73 - - 71 - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 80.0 - - 81.9 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 29.0 - - 28.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 78.3 - - 81.1 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 28.1 - - 27.6 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 265 - - 88 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1702 - - 3615 - - 4617 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96908 33 275 31 256 36 277 39 284 96908 89679 25 288 25 266 27 274 31 279 89679 84134 20 278 21 273 22 280 22 274 84134 79562 20 257 21 266 20 289 17 292 79562 75636 17 247 19 265 17 290 12 311 75636 72148 10 263 16 270 15 288 11 313 72148 68979 14 292 18 276 20 292 15 300 68979 66067 19 297 21 289 22 284 19 285 66067 63358 23 292 23 288 24 282 23 285 63358 60710 24 278 26 284 29 281 25 285 60710 57913 24 269 30 271 30 276 28 276 57913 54983 27 265 31 260 32 262 30 259 54983 52172 29 261 33 255 33 258 30 252 52172 49637 32 260 36 258 33 263 28 261 49637 47366 32 259 35 259 34 257 31 263 47366 45319 32 261 34 257 34 251 34 260 45319 43463 30 261 32 260 31 254 35 258 43463 41770 23 259 32 257 31 259 30 258 41770 40216 22 257 23 242 27 253 25 261 40216 38779 16 240 23 250 24 238 19 239 38779 37440 10 277 16 241 29 223 19 218 37440 36148 12 285 15 231 24 212 21 217 36148 34826 14 272 17 235 19 216 21 209 34826 33443 14 251 17 238 15 232 17 212 33443 32003 12 234 16 232 17 242 17 219 32003 30493 9 237 17 222 19 235 19 212 30493 28903 9 237 15 217 20 209 21 204 28903 27229 9 235 15 217 17 205 20 202 27229 25468 9 244 13 214 15 205 18 199 25468 23619 7 263 11 209 11 195 15 185 23619 21686 3 285 6 188 8 172 14 170 21686 19661 4 134 5 148 8 142 14 162 19661 17543 7 158 6 149 9 146 13 155 17543 15379 8 126 9 134 10 148 11 149 15379 13293 9 097 10 117 11 135 14 145 13293 11395 9 108 11 116 12 133 15 158 11395 9711 10 132 11 136 11 151 12 164 9711 8217 11 139 10 155 9 161 10 165 8217 6891 12 132 10 147 9 153 9 173 6891 5716 13 122 11 137 7*141 6 162 5716 4679 11 113 9 129 3*104 3 117 4679 3766 8 092 5*089 3 086 2 085 3766 2960 7 061 5*032 2 077 1 020 2960 2240 10*019 6 022 2 069 2 309 2240 1603 10*005 6 020 1 064 3 292 1603 1074 10 003 6 018 1 057 4 287 1074 667 10 003 6 015 1 042 5 284 667 388 9 002 5 014 1 040 5 280 388 219 8 003 5 015 1 033 5 278 219 122 7 002 5 014 1 031 5*275 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography