DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 58.9 - - 64.4 - - 65.4 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 33 - - 78 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 2806 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1097 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 443 - - 2911 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 114 - - 1429 - - 1213 - - 4590 - - 368 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 91 - - 247 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 14 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 169 - - 176 - - 187 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -169 - - -661 - - 444 - - -2814 - - -897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 290 - - 1104 - - 2467 - - 2937 - - 1019 sfcLCL ODpotential -9213 - - -2041 - - 126 - - -3214 - - -3942 ODpotential blCL 9334 - - 2484 - - 2785 - - 3336 - - 4064 blCL maxRH 89 - - 100 - - 98 - - 71 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 58.9 - - 64.4 - - 65.4 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.9 - - 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 52.9 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 58.5 - - 63.8 - - 65.7 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.0 - - 54.3 - - 53.6 - - 52.6 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 33 - - 78 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 2806 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 101 - - 92 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 17 321 12 014 20 326 23 331 10 316 96305 89331 19 345 15 015 12 342 20 334 15 025 89331 83917 14 007 13 018 8 340 17 335 17 010 83917 79401 10 010 9 031 8 033 7 328 12 014 79401 75477 6 015 3 014 5 352 6 008 7 042 75477 71976 5 037 4 026 4 268 9 322 7 038 71976 68796 4 328 6 324 6 296 4 250 4 327 68796 65880 6 302 8 300 13 299 2 280 7 191 65880 63165 10 245 16 228 19 259 14 280 8 185 63165 60510 11 241 16 225 23 228 24 260 18 244 60510 57754 24 268 19 254 22 230 29 240 31 237 57754 54908 44 264 33 260 30 251 31 247 34 237 54908 52180 55 248 43 256 43 254 44 250 43 244 52180 49712 49 249 48 252 50 245 57 243 50 241 49712 47495 63 249 52 246 55 240 59 241 57 235 47495 45480 69 244 58 246 59 244 60 242 60 234 45480 43631 76 244 66 250 64 244 64 245 65 238 43631 41928 82 241 78 246 68 243 74 245 74 240 41928 40349 89 236 85 240 74 242 83 243 81 241 40349 38872 95 232 89 237 83 242 90 241 85 239 38872 37481 97 229 96 235 91 237 93 239 88 236 37481 36139 91 230 98 233 92 235 91 240 87 232 36139 34777 83 230 93 234 93 237 88 242 84 233 34777 33363 75 229 77 236 88 237 85 242 78 234 33363 31896 69 229 56 232 79 239 81 246 72 237 31896 30359 59 230 51 226 70 237 72 248 66 238 30359 28739 50 233 53 228 62 228 62 245 61 237 28739 27039 45 236 49 231 57 224 53 243 58 236 27039 25261 43 235 41 230 52 227 45 241 56 236 25261 23406 37 229 40 232 47 229 46 238 54 234 23406 21475 30 223 40 233 42 232 45 230 54 230 21475 19462 29 225 36 228 35 233 42 224 50 225 19462 17359 29 230 30 229 31 232 37 217 46 212 17359 15210 23 235 24 226 28 231 33 217 49 203 15210 13134 18 225 22 211 27 219 31 211 47 206 13134 11248 21 211 25 203 29 214 34 203 42 205 11248 9576 24 199 27 200 31 207 36 202 38 199 9576 8095 26 195 29 194 32 201 36 198 37 193 8095 6783 26 195 30 190 32 195 35 193 35 188 6783 5622 24 193 29 189 32 188 31 191 34 189 5622 4597 20 185 26 186 27 184 23 192 32 193 4597 3696 18 176 23 181 18*183 17 194 31 194 3696 2903 18 177 21 185 16*181 16 194 28 191 2903 2195 17 187 18 200 15 179 15 195 24 187 2195 1571 14 210 14 209 14 175 14 195 19 184 1571 1052 13 228 12 200 13 174 12 194 16 179 1052 655 9 222 10*182 12 173 11 193 13 171 655 381 9 178 8*171 12 172 9 191 11 160 381 216 8 162 7 168 11 172 8 188 7*147 216 122 5*155 6 166 9 171 6*187 4*137 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography