DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.5 - - 44.9 - - 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 49 - - 81 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 712 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 816 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 990 - - 1025 - - 390 - - 961 - - 587 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 37 - - 159 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 098 - - 071 - - 065 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -45 - - -103 - - -188 - - -985 - - -141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 166 - - 224 - - 1004 - - 1106 - - 261 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 0 - - -10718 - - -10851 - - -12271 ODpotential blCL 121 - - 121 - - 11534 - - 10972 - - 12391 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 95 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.5 - - 44.9 - - 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 44.8 - - 47.1 - - 48.9 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 44.5 - - 50.0 - - 53.3 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 44.5 - - 46.4 - - 47.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 49 - - 81 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 712 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 78 - - 39 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 30 082 30 080 25 084 25 090 20 093 96372 89334 13 084 12 068 14 069 9 101 18 092 89334 83818 14 079 6 086 3 115 6 009 13 056 83818 79224 10 053 6 358 8 019 4 063 6 017 79224 75265 4 081 7 287 13 345 8 031 8 015 75265 71763 10 054 5 324 10 317 11 349 9 009 71763 68593 14 002 13 309 18 326 16 334 13 003 68593 65680 18 317 13 284 21 310 19 314 16 355 65680 62967 16 287 17 329 22 309 23 307 21 341 62967 60332 20 328 23 327 23 307 26 303 25 309 60332 57585 30 313 26 325 23 314 26 302 27 298 57585 54733 28 303 32 316 26 313 30 295 30 294 54733 52010 33 301 36 311 31 303 34 293 28 299 52010 49561 30 300 36 304 35 292 37 294 34 294 49561 47372 24 306 26 297 34 283 33 288 39 288 47372 45397 25 308 17 300 23 277 27 275 31 276 45397 43608 27 296 20 303 13 306 18 233 20 253 43608 41970 21 282 19 293 8 290 12 193 17 233 41970 40442 15 267 16 272 14 247 15 190 19 216 40442 39006 10 239 9 252 16 215 26 194 25 213 39006 37652 7 202 6 196 19 196 31 188 28 210 37652 36340 7 109 8 161 21 191 30 183 28 208 36340 35002 13 060 10 150 24 187 30 193 27 220 35002 33607 14 058 13 146 25 182 31 202 27 237 33607 32157 9 086 14 136 25 177 30 211 29 242 32157 30632 6 140 16 150 27 175 30 217 31 241 30632 29022 16 211 22 188 32 185 30 222 30 242 29022 27327 26 219 35 207 35 213 29 229 25 247 27327 25547 28 217 37 214 35 225 28 236 22 251 25547 23683 29 222 30 224 35 227 22 248 20 247 23683 21743 29 239 28 243 26 250 18 253 20 244 21743 19714 27 266 22 269 20 283 17 271 21 255 19714 17590 31 293 23 296 23 293 20 279 21 270 17590 15415 33 301 26 304 23 294 22 285 22 281 15415 13312 35 305 30 307 25 297 22 291 20 289 13312 11392 34 307 28 310 23 305 21 298 18 297 11392 9684 27 309 22 310 19 310 18 306 16 300 9684 8168 18 307 16 300 15 305 15 309 13 301 8168 6824 11 301 12 287 13 296 14 310 12 305 6824 5635 7 294 9 283 11 293 13 313 11 311 5635 4588 4 299 5 291 7 295 10 319 9 320 4588 3671 2 338 1 328 2 305 7 333 7 337 3671 2867 4 016 2 027 2 359 5 354 5 351 2867 2155 6 020 5 021 3 019 5 012 6 002 2155 1534 6 012 5 016 2 004 5 360 7 357 1534 1023 4 352 2 351 1*356 3 337 4 342 1023 636 2 025 1 054 1*064 1 356 1 357 636 372 2 044 1 092 2 073 1 052 2 147 372 212 2*050 1*099 2 072 1 061 2 150 212 120 2*053 1*098 2 074 1*065 2*157 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography