DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 56.2 - - 57.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -23 - - -26 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 122 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 927 - - 1240 - - 1009 - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 170 - - 172 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -382 - - -230 - - -228 - - -133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 503 - - 352 - - 350 - - 255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2462 - - -1725 - - -2711 - - -2981 ODpotential blCL - - - 2583 - - 1847 - - 2833 - - 3103 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 97 - - 91 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 56.2 - - 57.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 55.0 - - 55.9 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 57.0 - - 58.1 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 54.9 - - 55.8 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -23 - - -26 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 87 - - 66 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 11 106 7 336 12 050 12 078 96349 89287 6 042 6 289 12 009 13 048 89287 83778 13 015 8 039 2 021 9 344 83778 79194 15 347 10 003 13 342 11 330 79194 75250 13 327 11 320 7 339 11 304 75250 71767 12 005 13 328 21 333 15 346 71767 68606 36 336 29 312 25 326 24 323 68606 65712 43 303 24 309 27 320 34 324 65712 63032 33 282 28 304 38 300 39 309 63032 60428 20 309 37 292 41 283 37 293 60428 57687 35 309 45 293 41 285 36 290 57687 54801 54 286 53 294 49 294 45 295 54801 52028 59 284 66 296 66 299 67 297 52028 49540 74 289 86 293 85 293 91 292 49540 47316 95 286 101 286 101 286 99 284 47316 45300 98 276 102 280 101 279 99 278 45300 43455 85 270 93 276 94 274 91 275 43455 41757 79 279 85 277 85 276 84 288 41757 40201 92 291 88 289 92 295 100 297 40201 38768 105 295 105 298 111 300 109 297 38768 37421 100 290 110 295 108 295 107 293 37421 36108 90 278 102 285 98 285 101 289 36108 34764 89 275 98 277 96 281 93 283 34764 33361 88 278 99 281 96 280 93 278 33361 31899 89 283 102 287 95 279 94 276 31899 30366 91 287 102 290 94 277 91 275 30366 28752 89 286 95 287 85 274 86 273 28752 27056 86 284 91 280 84 283 84 271 27056 25277 83 282 89 280 86 288 78 278 25277 23417 73 276 84 281 83 281 76 290 23417 21479 73 274 75 279 81 274 68 282 21479 19454 77 277 71 279 78 279 65 272 19454 17334 77 278 66 283 68 283 63 273 17334 15174 70 277 59 285 60 282 57 277 15174 13098 58 275 51 287 55 281 51 280 13098 11213 48 276 48 288 48 281 45 279 11213 9542 42 276 48 286 39 283 40 284 9542 8063 38 273 47 282 33 288 35 293 8063 6753 33 263 43 277 32 290 28 300 6753 5594 32 249 41 271 29 288 20 300 5594 4572 31 239 39 263 25 286 15 286 4572 3674 31 234 36 251 22 282 14 265 3674 2884 30 226 33 238 20 270 16 252 2884 2179 29 214 30 224 20 252 19 244 2179 1558 28 202 27 209 19 231 20 232 1558 1043 27 193 26 193 18 208 20 210 1043 648 25 183 23 182 18 191 19 193 648 378 20 175 20 176 16 180 16 181 378 215 17 173 18*173 13*176 14*178 215 122 13*171 13*170 9*172 9*175 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography