DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.3 - - 56.4 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 43 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 2187 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 462 - - 2292 - - 253 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2544 - - 1531 - - 3449 - - 987 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 197 - - 27 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 24 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 356 - - 099 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -139 - - 701 - - -858 - - -357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 601 - - 1591 - - 1111 - - 478 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -688 - - 326 - - -1534 - - -2503 ODpotential blCL - - - 1150 - - 1966 - - 1787 - - 2624 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.3 - - 56.4 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 50.9 - - 52.1 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 56.9 - - 56.7 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 49.6 - - 50.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 43 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 2187 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 87 - - 43 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96474 20 300 26 291 32 305 35 287 96474 89300 17 299 19 302 20 323 23 303 89300 83780 11 286 18 300 19 313 21 299 83780 79214 10 278 15 284 18 293 20 285 79214 75266 15 271 16 282 18 286 19 275 75266 71740 17 256 19 278 19 287 18 275 71740 68519 16 269 20 266 19 283 19 278 68519 65550 18 272 20 263 22 290 19 275 65550 62787 18 254 23 270 24 288 19 277 62787 60098 14 260 22 261 24 284 23 287 60098 57303 17 282 20 262 24 272 25 278 57303 54403 17 280 20 296 15 273 17 261 54403 51630 15 280 20 305 20 320 21 315 51630 49146 7 301 12 305 21 312 24 306 49146 46921 13 004 9 321 13 279 18 301 46921 44913 21 011 17 349 22 333 27 322 44913 43100 29 012 26 359 26 335 24 326 43100 41441 32 358 26 016 20 355 46 344 41441 39907 26 025 36 038 32 005 50 347 39907 38480 40 044 53 022 40 008 42 353 38480 37137 62 034 60 021 41 015 34 360 37137 35833 70 032 58 024 35 020 30 355 35833 34502 68 032 49 027 29 020 29 351 34502 33116 61 030 41 030 30 012 29 357 33116 31676 55 031 41 024 33 009 33 360 31676 30163 51 032 42 021 35 009 36 359 30163 28565 46 033 40 021 37 012 41 356 28565 26882 39 036 37 022 39 015 46 356 26882 25110 35 039 33 023 42 016 48 358 25110 23253 32 043 26 017 42 018 42 001 23253 21314 26 057 22 009 37 027 33 003 21314 19288 17 066 19 003 26 024 25 003 19288 17171 4 126 6 359 14 355 18 360 17171 15018 15 237 9 271 14 274 18 313 15018 12956 21 230 17 256 20 267 21 288 12956 11088 19 213 17 235 18 264 17 286 11088 9436 19 213 18 221 15 247 11 279 9436 7973 20 210 19 218 15 239 11 250 7973 6680 22 202 20 214 16 233 11 239 6680 5536 20 193 18 208 13 230 10 243 5536 4527 16 186 15 203 10 238 9 263 4527 3640 8 183 10 202 7 251 9 273 3640 2859 1 187 5*211 4 251 6 277 2859 2162 2 353 1*288 1 220 6 275 2162 1548 3 334 1 356 2 104 5 268 1548 1037 5 333 2 360 3 097 4 255 1037 645 7*340 2 002 3 097 3 246 645 377 6*341 2 005 3*098 2 246 377 214 6 340 2 005 2*099 2 254 214 121 5 340 2 006 2 099 2*254 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography