DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 76.6 - - 78.8 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 246 - - 41 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1790 - - 2766 - - 1960 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 942 - - 1769 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1895 - - 2871 - - 2066 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 807 - - 1434 - - 1621 - - 274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 360 - - 189 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 22 - - 23 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 359 - - 356 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5992 - - -7481 - - -8692 - - -8390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7887 - - 10353 - - 10759 - - 8513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13465 - - -13910 - - -14741 - - -15958 ODpotential blCL - - - 15360 - - 16781 - - 16807 - - 16080 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 53 - - 49 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 76.6 - - 78.8 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.6 - - 31.9 - - 32.3 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 75.4 - - 78.6 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 30.8 - - 31.3 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 246 - - 41 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1790 - - 2766 - - 1960 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96194 37 281 28 285 30 262 35 276 96194 89091 27 280 30 276 28 286 27 295 89091 83638 24 279 27 275 26 289 26 295 83638 79122 20 281 23 267 24 284 26 292 79122 75239 16 285 22 267 21 272 22 296 75239 71799 17 270 19 276 16 274 17 284 71799 68664 18 270 17 270 15 278 15 269 68664 65763 19 272 16 259 18 271 19 248 65763 63075 26 258 22 266 23 275 17 254 63075 60478 28 258 29 262 28 273 22 262 60478 57777 34 261 35 257 37 263 33 263 57777 54974 45 250 42 255 48 258 43 263 54974 52281 51 247 52 260 56 258 54 259 52281 49846 57 253 60 256 63 260 61 257 49846 47649 61 258 65 253 68 262 63 260 47649 45630 62 261 65 251 69 255 67 259 45630 43764 63 259 64 252 63 248 67 249 43764 42055 66 249 71 251 65 249 66 245 42055 40496 67 243 71 248 73 243 69 244 40496 39058 68 241 76 249 76 245 71 244 39058 37703 68 243 76 249 77 245 74 244 37703 36382 64 247 67 246 73 246 72 243 36382 35030 63 251 62 248 68 248 69 246 35030 33620 64 252 61 249 61 250 63 251 33620 32159 64 253 61 249 54 251 56 252 32159 30629 61 256 57 251 51 250 49 250 30629 29016 61 258 54 254 49 250 47 248 29016 27320 59 259 52 255 46 251 46 250 27320 25538 53 262 48 258 44 256 44 253 25538 23674 49 269 42 264 37 262 38 259 23674 21734 48 273 37 272 29 267 28 262 21734 19710 41 274 33 274 25 271 22 262 19710 17597 28 273 26 276 20 275 16 267 17597 15438 21 277 20 282 15 284 10 274 15438 13352 22 283 16 291 11 299 5 294 13352 11448 20 290 10 305 6 326 1 356 11448 9755 15 301 6 329 4 021 3 112 9755 8252 10 320 4 007 8 057 8 102 8252 6919 10 350 9 040 10 069 10 094 6919 5736 13 011 13 043 12 072 13 074 5736 4688 16 021 15 045 15 057 18 060 4688 3766 19 019 16 033 18 036 20 045 3766 2954 24 013 18*014 21 012 24 027 2954 2231 30*001 22*001 25*358 32 012 2231 1595 29*359 23 360 25*357 38 004 1595 1066 28 359 23 359 24 356 36 359 1066 662 27 358 22 358 24 356 30 354 662 385 25 358 21 358 22 355 21 346 385 218 22 358 19 357 19 354 16 342 218 122 17 358 16 357 15 354 8*335 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography