DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 44.6 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 57 - - 124 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 306 - - 1202 - - 1154 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 410 - - 1307 - - 1259 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 625 - - 475 - - 922 - - 1297 - - 854 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 217 - - 112 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 356 - - 076 - - 162 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -117 - - -1974 - - -2677 - - -2152 - - -991 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 237 - - 2384 - - 3984 - - 3411 - - 1112 sfcLCL ODpotential -282 - - -9427 - - -7520 - - -6464 - - -7139 ODpotential blCL 402 - - 9837 - - 8827 - - 7723 - - 7260 blCL maxRH 100 - - 69 - - 69 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 44.6 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 35.1 - - 38.1 - - 40.8 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 44.1 - - 53.6 - - 54.8 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 34.3 - - 37.3 - - 40.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 57 - - 124 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 306 - - 1202 - - 1154 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95473 53 300 58 298 60 313 43 317 58 317 95473 88630 43 320 39 325 44 315 46 325 54 323 88630 83226 40 326 35 321 37 318 40 322 46 328 83226 78706 38 326 33 316 37 322 37 325 42 323 78706 74796 31 317 30 317 31 322 38 323 38 318 74796 71323 33 317 28 318 27 319 34 317 36 310 71323 68167 38 310 26 317 27 321 31 316 35 310 68167 65261 38 305 30 318 27 321 33 316 36 315 65261 62565 35 303 31 309 29 318 37 315 40 317 62565 59948 34 307 29 306 34 315 42 313 42 319 59948 57208 35 314 35 310 36 316 44 312 45 317 57208 54358 40 314 37 312 34 318 46 316 47 322 54358 51632 40 313 36 315 35 323 50 317 57 330 51632 49176 43 315 36 316 43 322 56 321 65 326 49176 46974 47 315 39 322 46 319 56 322 62 325 46974 44976 47 315 45 323 44 323 52 323 56 325 44976 43154 42 315 46 323 47 332 50 325 52 323 43154 41493 40 317 46 330 52 328 47 326 47 323 41493 39980 37 322 48 340 50 331 47 327 53 316 39980 38578 37 336 55 351 52 344 55 333 60 311 38578 37250 42 344 61 350 58 344 58 339 58 314 37250 35954 47 347 62 344 61 342 53 343 53 319 35954 34626 47 346 61 341 63 342 58 346 42 324 34626 33236 41 339 60 339 64 343 61 347 40 328 33236 31787 35 332 55 342 58 341 50 354 40 333 31787 30263 32 323 47 344 49 336 39 349 36 347 30263 28653 30 313 34 342 42 333 39 333 26 341 28653 26959 30 308 28 331 32 328 44 324 28 315 26959 25182 29 310 24 321 28 314 35 320 39 300 25182 23324 24 309 23 323 26 306 27 309 38 302 23324 21386 20 298 19 337 20 309 25 305 30 299 21386 19362 18 293 12 310 12 290 19 291 22 288 19362 17244 13 274 10 264 12 266 18 286 20 279 17244 15082 12 243 18 230 20 245 16 277 18 272 15082 13003 11 237 20 222 24 233 18 246 14 250 13003 11122 11 213 22 210 23 223 22 223 18 226 11122 9460 16 193 24 207 25 211 24 208 25 207 9460 7992 16 202 21 198 24 203 24 202 27 199 7992 6692 13 205 17 181 20 198 21 193 25 197 6692 5541 11 212 16 185 17 198 19 185 22 196 5541 4524 8 219 14 180 14 199 16 178 19 191 4524 3631 3 181 13 175 12 199 12 171 16 185 3631 2847 5 116 12 179 9 199 8 157 12 183 2847 2150 6 117 7 182 2 177 5 137 7 179 2150 1538 4 116 3 352 3*068 4*141 2 133 1538 1030 2 010 11 355 2*072 3*154 1 016 1030 642 8 321 10*356 2 075 3 161 1 354 642 375 8 321 7*355 2 077 3 164 1 277 375 213 7 319 6 355 2 081 3 168 2 241 213 121 4*318 5 356 2 079 3 168 2*242 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography