DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 82.5 - - 93.3 - - 95.6 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 127 - - 172 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 697 - - 2612 - - 1445 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 1521 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 804 - - 2719 - - 1553 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 700 - - 3688 - - 5842 - - 132 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 183 - - 316 - - 148 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 51 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 349 - - 302 - - 164 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -16 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4150 - - -7845 - - -8310 - - -9802 - - -9176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4272 - - 8649 - - 11030 - - 11356 - - 9301 sfcLCL ODpotential -15990 - - -15567 - - -13896 - - -15125 - - -16008 ODpotential blCL 16112 - - 16371 - - 16615 - - 16678 - - 16132 blCL maxRH 36 - - 30 - - 25 - - 21 - - 17 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 82.5 - - 93.3 - - 95.6 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 45.6 - - 45.5 - - 46.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 81.6 - - 92.1 - - 95.7 - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 44.8 - - 44.4 - - 45.3 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 127 - - 172 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 697 - - 2612 - - 1445 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98135 15 094 15 085 8 120 4 100 4 072 98135 90777 14 051 15 068 11 134 8 108 5 050 90777 85111 12 059 12 092 10 111 10 084 4 105 85111 80427 10 095 9 102 8 079 8 085 9 080 80427 76403 7 094 8 087 8 084 8 081 11 067 76403 72847 9 079 7 083 9 088 10 075 10 074 72847 69628 10 048 10 100 10 097 9 084 8 090 69628 66672 8 049 10 108 6 090 6 079 8 093 66672 63939 5 087 7 093 4 070 3 064 7 087 63939 61303 0 287 3 335 4 040 1 297 1 043 61303 58565 5 233 7 266 5 284 5 282 3 311 58565 55728 4 218 9 236 14 249 15 261 15 273 55728 53021 7 283 9 236 18 246 21 253 20 257 53021 50585 12 266 11 254 16 242 21 254 18 253 50585 48395 16 262 15 259 18 244 21 254 18 252 48395 46398 22 257 19 249 21 243 23 247 18 249 46398 44561 25 247 22 249 25 248 28 247 20 247 44561 42857 27 244 26 245 27 242 31 239 24 243 42857 41271 25 243 28 235 27 234 32 230 27 238 41271 39788 25 239 25 237 25 232 34 225 30 235 39788 38394 23 230 25 239 24 235 35 219 39 235 38394 37045 19 221 23 232 25 233 32 217 55 237 37045 35667 17 208 20 221 23 227 29 219 64 237 35667 34227 15 202 18 218 20 222 26 221 49 239 34227 32731 16 207 16 211 18 219 24 222 26 236 32731 31166 18 201 17 201 18 215 22 223 21 241 31166 29522 17 193 18 194 19 208 21 226 16 244 29522 27795 15 193 18 189 19 202 20 229 14 249 27795 25984 12 192 17 189 18 197 18 229 12 248 25984 24094 12 173 12 184 16 191 13 215 8 225 24094 22126 13 164 12 166 13 173 10 179 11 172 22126 20073 8 182 9 172 13 167 11 166 15 168 20073 17926 5 198 7 203 10 173 12 165 18 167 17926 15730 7 206 9 214 9 187 9 159 16 162 15730 13610 10 199 12 217 8 200 7 151 16 158 13610 11681 12 198 13 213 9 210 7 170 13 150 11681 9966 11 206 12 208 8 215 7 184 9 149 9966 8442 9 220 9 200 8 224 4 219 5 157 8442 7087 5 230 6 193 7 224 8 268 3 331 7087 5884 3 221 4 198 6 226 11 269 8 282 5884 4818 1 179 3 225 6 238 11 268 9 277 4818 3878 1 011 3 295 5 248 9 262 8 275 3878 3047 3 009 4 355 4*258 6 255 7 269 3047 2305 4 017 4 002 2*276 4 237 6 258 2305 1649 5 001 6 357 1 296 2*194 4 228 1649 1103 8 352 6*352 1 310 2*175 4 188 1103 685 10 003 5*348 1 321 2 164 5 169 685 397 10 350 4 350 1 323 2 161 5 164 397 223 7 317 4 350 1 316 2 160 5*167 223 124 5*310 4 350 1 322 2 159 4*172 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography