DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 46.7 - - 50.2 - - 53.6 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 21 - - 80 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 921 - - 570 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 1025 - - 674 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 752 - - 1096 - - 369 - - 781 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 28 - - 172 - - 68 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 053 - - 008 - - 018 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -29 - - 0 - - 380 - - -768 - - -115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 150 - - 121 - - 645 - - 1442 - - 236 sfcLCL ODpotential -8720 - - 0 - - 359 - - -5991 - - -6794 ODpotential blCL 8841 - - 121 - - 666 - - 6665 - - 6915 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 83 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 46.7 - - 50.2 - - 53.6 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 46.7 - - 47.9 - - 47.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 46.5 - - 49.5 - - 53.5 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 46.6 - - 47.2 - - 47.0 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 21 - - 80 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 921 - - 570 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 30 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95266 20 281 32 301 38 306 33 305 38 275 95266 88547 10 010 13 335 17 315 17 318 21 305 88547 83273 17 037 10 027 5 331 13 325 16 329 83273 78845 11 058 9 021 9 022 12 344 11 345 78845 75002 15 050 6 040 7 008 12 359 7 358 75002 71580 14 038 9 029 3 009 13 351 9 002 71580 68456 12 050 6 000 5 357 11 354 10 334 68456 65572 13 029 6 314 9 313 12 338 13 326 65572 62890 9 006 9 320 11 304 12 325 15 319 62890 60277 10 353 12 327 11 317 13 312 13 302 60277 57532 15 334 18 317 18 327 19 326 17 320 57532 54664 20 326 19 307 22 309 24 309 26 313 54664 51915 22 321 21 306 20 307 29 314 29 314 51915 49426 25 319 24 311 27 317 36 317 33 322 49426 47180 28 320 31 318 32 314 37 317 35 323 47180 45131 26 321 31 312 32 318 38 323 38 326 45131 43256 28 332 33 332 37 330 43 326 43 334 43256 41539 32 340 33 346 41 340 45 332 48 341 41539 39958 42 355 41 354 48 350 46 339 51 351 39958 38485 63 360 59 358 55 356 53 349 60 355 38485 37104 73 357 73 360 67 357 64 350 73 349 37104 35781 77 358 82 359 75 355 68 345 79 341 35781 34447 84 001 87 359 73 356 67 345 78 343 34447 33062 85 002 85 003 72 359 66 350 76 346 33062 31621 79 005 78 006 77 359 68 355 75 348 31621 30106 73 005 73 007 77 359 71 357 74 352 30106 28508 68 002 71 008 75 001 72 355 70 353 28508 26828 64 359 68 006 73 003 72 355 68 351 26828 25066 59 360 65 003 70 004 68 358 69 351 25066 23223 53 001 62 001 65 005 65 000 66 353 23223 21303 47 001 56 002 62 004 62 000 63 355 21303 19299 44 359 49 002 61 003 58 001 61 358 19299 17204 39 356 44 360 53 003 54 003 56 004 17204 15062 34 355 38 356 38 359 47 001 46 007 15062 12998 24 352 29 351 28 356 38 358 36 008 12998 11125 19 335 19 339 22 353 28 359 26 010 11125 9467 18 336 15 334 18 345 20 002 21 012 9467 8001 17 344 12 346 15 349 17 012 17 023 8001 6703 17 352 13 002 13 004 15 026 13 036 6703 5552 17 357 13 009 12 008 12 030 12 040 5552 4535 16 360 11 011 12 008 11 030 15 034 4535 3640 13 004 9 014 13 009 12 021 18 025 3640 2853 10 016 7 016 16 011 17 009 23 016 2853 2153 7 026 7 007 18 010 18 004 25 009 2153 1536 3 030 4 350 11*003 15 001 15 358 1536 1026 5 347 3 327 5*002 7*358 7 332 1026 638 3 005 2 337 4 007 4*011 1 257 638 373 2 062 1 028 4 010 3 018 2 149 373 213 1*090 1*050 4 012 3 023 2*141 213 121 1*088 1*053 3 014 3 024 2*135 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography