DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.5 - - 83.1 - - 93.1 - - 95.3 - - 88.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 141 - - 133 - - 2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 283 - - 1033 - - 1457 - - 1041 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 637 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 389 - - 1140 - - 1565 - - 1148 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 561 - - 1458 - - 2607 - - 223 Hgt.Variab. W* 87 - - 221 - - 249 - - 123 - - 13 W* B/S 12 - - 17 - - 25 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 048 - - 142 - - 148 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -9 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1843 - - -4279 - - -6066 - - -6833 - - -5681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2232 - - 5419 - - 7631 - - 7981 - - 5805 sfcLCL ODpotential -10014 - - -9112 - - -8873 - - -9665 - - -9887 ODpotential blCL 10403 - - 10252 - - 10438 - - 10813 - - 10011 blCL maxRH 71 - - 54 - - 50 - - 43 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 180 - - 940 - - 1440 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m 67.5 - - 83.1 - - 93.1 - - 95.3 - - 88.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 59.9 - - 60.2 - - 60.8 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 82.1 - - 92.2 - - 95.6 - - 91.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.7 - - 58.7 - - 58.8 - - 59.5 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 141 - - 133 - - 2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 283 - - 1033 - - 1457 - - 1041 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99076 37 093 36 109 34 104 24 112 28 082 99076 91560 29 094 27 096 29 110 26 111 25 099 91560 85780 21 109 18 103 23 105 21 104 22 109 85780 80999 21 107 17 123 17 105 17 092 23 092 80999 76883 19 098 17 122 14 124 15 096 15 088 76883 73251 17 089 19 120 13 118 11 110 12 105 73251 69968 11 117 13 115 11 119 12 135 10 100 69968 66951 11 118 10 119 14 140 10 147 7 136 66951 64162 5 082 3 174 15 129 14 151 13 171 64162 61480 12 200 13 211 6 213 7 107 10 144 61480 58691 16 191 17 199 15 217 8 244 5 246 58691 55794 11 210 18 191 22 211 21 232 16 232 55794 53029 18 219 16 199 22 211 22 217 22 247 53029 50539 22 225 18 217 22 220 24 236 23 249 50539 48296 25 220 22 224 25 227 26 235 26 263 48296 46249 24 216 23 226 21 229 22 235 31 248 46249 44377 21 215 21 239 16 235 24 248 24 228 44377 42649 17 219 17 245 18 263 20 258 22 274 42649 41050 11 229 13 250 17 283 17 287 39 278 41050 39572 10 268 12 283 19 305 28 300 30 273 39572 38189 4 294 14 324 24 312 28 309 20 288 38189 36846 20 350 23 340 26 318 29 322 32 303 36846 35479 27 335 28 333 28 328 32 324 42 303 35479 34057 18 029 24 333 31 332 33 323 44 302 34057 32583 25 017 19 336 34 331 35 320 40 303 32583 31040 30 355 24 333 35 327 38 320 33 305 31040 29416 32 358 27 341 32 327 33 325 28 309 29416 27708 27 007 28 352 28 332 28 324 24 310 27708 25915 18 013 27 359 24 340 20 328 27 310 25915 24042 11 001 25 003 23 347 17 329 30 318 24042 22092 10 004 21 003 20 360 17 337 22 324 22092 20054 8 001 18 000 16 359 15 344 16 322 20054 17925 2 342 16 358 14 005 13 348 12 327 17925 15748 6 178 12 357 12 012 11 004 8 339 15748 13645 6 116 7 352 10 004 8 011 3 010 13645 11724 11 048 6 358 9 347 10 003 4 045 11724 10013 12 023 8 004 9 337 10 320 7 043 10013 8488 10 009 8 006 9 328 13 283 6 043 8488 7129 5 003 8 003 9 323 14 270 3 017 7129 5920 3 354 8 002 8 321 13 257 4 279 5920 4848 5 001 8 008 6 323 11 240 6 266 4848 3903 8 007 10 011 5 335 10 220 8 266 3903 3068 12 012 10 010 4 355 9 198 11 269 3068 2322 13 021 9 008 3 011 9 173 14 268 2322 1662 9 026 7*011 1*101 10*157 16 266 1662 1112 9 356 4*023 2*139 10*150 17 261 1112 690 8*354 2 054 2 144 10 148 15 253 690 400 1*056 2 061 2 141 10 147 11 236 400 224 1 063 2 063 2 142 9 146 7 218 224 124 1 069 2 067 2 142 7 146 5*206 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography