DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.6 - - 63.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 160 - - 16 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1962 - - 3572 - - 1838 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 521 - - 2189 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2067 - - 3677 - - 1943 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2571 - - 1648 - - 3315 - - 506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 345 - - 150 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 25 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 003 - - 356 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2833 - - -2533 - - -3547 - - -2644 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4900 - - 6211 - - 5490 - - 2765 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7355 - - -6770 - - -6932 - - -6034 ODpotential blCL - - - 9422 - - 10447 - - 8875 - - 6155 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 46 - - 45 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.6 - - 63.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 40.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 62.8 - - 63.9 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 36.0 - - 39.0 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 160 - - 16 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1962 - - 3572 - - 1838 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96186 25 289 21 300 25 295 21 315 96186 89135 19 300 17 293 15 318 10 020 89135 83708 10 340 10 267 14 298 15 347 83708 79195 11 350 9 271 12 274 15 307 79195 75290 16 324 10 303 9 270 19 303 75290 71825 19 305 21 296 20 308 20 315 71825 68665 17 291 21 281 25 299 19 318 68665 65720 20 285 20 277 27 292 20 312 65720 62963 22 284 20 276 28 291 26 305 62963 60278 27 290 21 282 28 287 29 303 60278 57467 31 298 26 289 25 293 27 309 57467 54537 37 298 31 298 25 311 27 306 54537 51730 37 293 36 298 26 309 26 306 51730 49196 33 297 34 299 27 319 24 320 49196 46924 33 308 31 307 36 329 33 341 46924 44869 34 316 32 316 46 332 44 347 44869 43000 33 323 36 327 50 332 49 348 43000 41298 44 331 43 333 49 330 53 358 41298 39739 52 334 44 340 44 336 60 007 39739 38295 50 336 45 345 49 359 76 018 38295 36939 48 347 47 356 64 015 99 024 36939 35627 53 359 49 005 72 018 109 024 35627 34289 61 359 52 008 66 015 94 022 34289 32897 64 353 51 010 54 012 70 019 32897 31457 64 349 49 012 47 008 53 017 31457 29955 63 350 50 008 43 007 43 008 29955 28373 63 352 47 357 41 005 43 004 28373 26709 64 353 45 351 38 359 45 004 26709 24963 64 354 44 353 36 353 44 003 24963 23137 64 359 45 355 37 349 43 002 23137 21234 63 004 46 353 41 350 42 001 21234 19247 59 003 47 355 43 351 43 359 19247 17170 55 003 47 000 43 358 44 360 17170 15048 51 007 44 003 41 004 45 008 15048 13001 46 011 39 005 41 010 47 017 13001 11138 41 014 35 007 39 015 49 022 11138 9484 36 014 32 010 36 018 46 025 9484 8021 32 018 30 014 33 020 37 030 8021 6724 29 025 27 017 29 021 28 035 6724 5576 24 027 22 018 26 016 26 034 5576 4561 20 026 20*011 27 010 28 028 4561 3668 19 021 21*006 30 005 31 020 3668 2881 21 015 22 004 29 001 35 014 2881 2179 23*008 21 003 29*359 37 011 2179 1559 23*006 21 002 28*357 38 010 1559 1043 22 006 21 001 27 356 34 007 1043 649 21 006 20 001 25 355 28 002 649 378 19 006 19 001 23 355 19 352 378 215 17 006 17 000 20 354 15 349 215 121 13 005 14 360 15 354 9*344 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography