DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 48.6 - - 54.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -19 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 165 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 269 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 850 - - 852 - - 1711 - - 729 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 150 - - 161 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -143 - - 7 - - -136 - - -96 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 264 - - 262 - - 258 - - 217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6525 - - -77 - - -1162 - - -1600 ODpotential blCL - - - 6646 - - 346 - - 1284 - - 1721 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 48.6 - - 54.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 47.8 - - 53.5 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 48.4 - - 55.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 47.6 - - 53.6 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -19 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 165 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 72 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95955 33 006 30 356 32 013 16 357 95955 89026 27 017 26 015 23 014 16 024 89026 83621 16 025 19 015 16 013 14 017 83621 79086 6 003 11 357 11 351 13 002 79086 75154 4 008 5 317 9 319 9 320 75154 71665 3 354 6 298 6 345 3 270 71665 68485 2 129 7 250 5 299 5 225 68485 65540 2 138 5 225 9 254 10 241 65540 62802 5 260 6 259 11 257 14 248 62802 60156 12 270 11 280 14 269 15 266 60156 57392 18 266 19 265 17 268 19 272 57392 54508 19 252 27 251 27 262 26 257 54508 51747 21 256 30 250 33 260 29 256 51747 49260 25 256 30 250 36 258 31 261 49260 47020 26 248 27 251 36 255 34 258 47020 44979 29 243 27 256 33 247 35 251 44979 43105 31 235 30 248 32 246 32 250 43105 41374 28 231 28 240 35 250 35 262 41374 39777 28 225 30 242 36 251 40 261 39777 38301 26 213 27 239 36 247 43 259 38301 36924 26 205 28 228 32 243 42 264 36924 35598 29 201 17 224 27 241 41 265 35598 34253 34 182 10 234 19 244 40 262 34253 32859 32 164 9 210 16 241 34 259 32859 31416 28 153 10 218 14 228 31 258 31416 29909 26 150 17 200 14 211 28 251 29909 28323 42 163 34 148 15 225 18 245 28323 26658 47 162 35 143 17 240 17 253 26658 24909 43 162 24 149 19 252 21 258 24909 23078 36 164 17 149 18 265 27 263 23078 21167 31 172 14 146 18 269 31 269 21167 19169 26 183 16 147 16 273 33 272 19169 17079 21 186 26 168 13 269 31 266 17079 14947 19 185 24 190 17 238 27 254 14947 12902 22 185 19 196 24 226 20 257 12902 11049 28 190 19 183 22 224 17 251 11049 9407 33 198 26 177 19 224 17 232 9407 7952 33 204 30 177 22 213 19 208 7952 6664 30 207 30 183 26 206 22 194 6664 5524 28 207 29 196 26 209 24 190 5524 4519 27 200 29 213 26 209 26 192 4519 3637 29 183 29 222 27 207 26 192 3637 2859 28 175 28 224 28 205 26 192 2859 2163 19 174 24 220 27 202 26 191 2163 1550 6 165 16 210 24 197 24 189 1550 1038 4 161 9 198 20 188 21 185 1038 646 1 003 5 186 17 178 18 179 646 377 2 329 3*159 14 168 14 170 377 214 1*321 3*151 11*163 11 166 214 121 1*320 2 149 7*161 6*160 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography