DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 89.6 - - 92.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 226 - - 36 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1080 - - 1881 - - 1665 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 335 - - 1089 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1186 - - 1988 - - 1772 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 863 - - 1401 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 305 - - 162 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 165 - - 153 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7641 - - -9049 - - -10352 - - -8050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8828 - - 11038 - - 12125 - - 8173 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16907 - - -16638 - - -17741 - - -17813 ODpotential blCL - - - 18093 - - 18626 - - 19513 - - 17936 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 23 - - 18 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 89.6 - - 92.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 41.9 - - 39.7 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 88.1 - - 91.7 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 41.3 - - 39.0 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 226 - - 36 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1080 - - 1881 - - 1665 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98065 11 347 9 354 4 306 9 350 98065 90781 10 339 4 339 9 327 10 354 90781 85142 7 337 8 323 7 334 8 347 85142 80476 4 354 6 342 5 011 4 022 80476 76465 5 241 7 329 5 002 7 045 76465 72913 9 204 10 285 8 300 10 009 72913 69688 7 171 11 242 13 274 15 318 69688 66730 0 022 9 212 12 252 17 280 66730 63995 8 290 8 261 11 258 15 264 63995 61342 13 282 14 266 16 268 15 272 61342 58585 20 280 20 281 18 273 17 280 58585 55741 26 282 24 287 26 275 26 287 55741 53040 27 286 31 287 34 280 34 289 53040 50613 35 287 41 289 41 282 42 291 50613 48432 40 294 45 287 46 285 49 290 48432 46445 41 298 44 286 47 286 51 289 46445 44615 35 296 38 285 44 289 48 286 44615 42919 31 291 34 285 38 287 41 285 42919 41334 30 293 29 291 32 288 34 287 41334 39851 29 298 28 296 28 292 28 292 39851 38457 25 301 27 293 27 295 26 300 38457 37112 22 303 23 290 25 295 26 302 37112 35741 22 304 20 299 23 301 26 300 35741 34311 22 299 22 306 24 311 24 301 34311 32823 19 301 24 304 24 319 21 307 32823 31264 18 314 24 303 22 321 21 314 31264 29620 19 325 21 309 21 319 18 317 29620 27894 18 334 17 316 18 310 18 313 27894 26084 17 335 16 319 15 316 18 302 26084 24186 16 333 16 322 16 337 15 315 24186 22202 16 335 16 330 18 350 16 336 22202 20128 15 338 14 338 14 357 8 345 20128 17959 13 338 12 344 11 356 5 335 17959 15745 11 338 10 341 9 350 6 327 15745 13610 9 336 9 338 7 349 6 326 13610 11666 7 322 7 333 6 356 4 001 11666 9939 4 314 6 322 6 005 6 059 9939 8409 4 324 4 305 6 359 8 068 8409 7052 4 320 4 300 8 346 9 037 7052 5848 4 339 5 298 9 335 7 341 5848 4783 6 017 4 323 8 328 7 297 4783 3846 6 038 3 355 6 320 6 273 3846 3020 5 037 1 359 4 301 6 253 3020 2283 5 026 1*185 2*235 5 212 2283 1633 4*015 1*173 2*170 6 172 1633 1093 2*021 2 168 3 155 8 162 1093 678 2 032 2 163 3 150 9 161 678 394 2 044 2 163 3 148 8 165 394 221 2 049 2 159 3 148 6 172 221 123 2 053 2 158 3 147 4*178 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography