DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 9 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 274 - - 138 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 378 - - 242 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 549 - - 623 - - 1490 - - 1051 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 60 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 118 - - 359 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2045 - - -731 - - -101 - - -262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2166 - - 1109 - - 343 - - 383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13261 - - -9275 - - -309 - - -8303 ODpotential blCL - - - 13382 - - 9653 - - 551 - - 8424 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 82 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 44.2 - - 47.1 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 48.3 - - 48.2 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 43.3 - - 46.8 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 9 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 274 - - 138 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 29 - - 94 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96157 36 024 32 044 34 051 26 030 96157 89165 28 037 28 038 26 056 20 063 89165 83715 22 046 18 038 15 045 14 053 83715 79183 16 044 15 045 8 063 10 058 79183 75253 9 044 15 029 10 054 9 087 75253 71758 9 074 11 031 10 043 11 066 71758 68586 9 061 8 063 7 053 8 047 68586 65661 7 057 6 083 2 043 4 041 65661 62935 2 057 1 264 4 249 7 312 62935 60283 1 159 4 267 6 209 9 247 60283 57516 5 198 8 253 8 241 10 238 57516 54637 8 185 10 203 14 235 11 252 54637 51879 7 209 14 187 17 219 17 245 51879 49394 13 242 8 192 15 203 20 222 49394 47184 36 227 28 226 25 225 26 216 47184 45215 47 215 43 215 29 214 28 209 45215 43427 88 214 64 212 49 211 38 211 43427 41776 92 210 77 211 56 203 47 202 41776 40243 81 211 81 206 64 198 52 191 40243 38809 76 212 71 199 67 193 58 188 38809 37455 62 212 51 193 67 189 64 188 37455 36138 50 208 41 190 61 192 63 185 36138 34794 49 207 47 195 56 195 51 185 34794 33393 51 207 45 201 54 194 40 180 33393 31933 50 205 45 200 49 193 40 177 31933 30398 47 207 43 196 41 192 48 185 30398 28778 40 207 42 189 37 192 48 196 28778 27075 32 203 38 184 34 194 33 201 27075 25284 28 205 32 184 31 192 29 196 25284 23407 25 212 27 184 28 184 29 196 23407 21448 20 221 23 183 29 170 23 190 21448 19404 20 225 19 185 29 159 21 188 19404 17274 23 225 21 185 27 155 19 188 17274 15107 23 221 18 183 23 172 18 200 15107 13027 25 218 18 183 24 200 24 212 13027 11141 24 213 25 181 28 202 29 201 11141 9470 21 194 29 183 29 188 34 188 9470 7991 17 175 30 184 30 181 35 185 7991 6679 18 162 29 181 29 176 36 181 6679 5518 22 163 25 173 26 171 38 178 5518 4497 19 158 18 169 23 163 39 176 4497 3605 11 151 12 161 17 151 30 170 3605 2823 6 120 10 143 11 114 18 147 2823 2127 5 071 8 149 6 109 11 122 2127 1519 4 056 2 128 4 069 8 032 1519 1017 2 011 4 014 6 020 16 351 1017 634 6 333 3*082 5 016 16 345 634 371 6 315 4*119 4*010 12 338 371 212 4*296 4 118 3*003 9*335 212 121 2*301 3 118 3 356 5*333 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography