DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 62.4 - - 70.8 - - 71.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 110 - - 225 - - 67 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1271 - - 3706 - - 3749 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 2430 - - 1671 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1377 - - 3812 - - 3854 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 337 - - 938 - - 1624 - - 1985 - - 502 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 215 - - 385 - - 263 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 000 - - 007 - - 359 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3997 - - -6375 - - -6095 - - -5297 - - -4916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4118 - - 7752 - - 9908 - - 9152 - - 5038 sfcLCL ODpotential -13308 - - -14185 - - -12683 - - -11277 - - -11896 ODpotential blCL 13429 - - 15562 - - 16495 - - 15131 - - 12018 blCL maxRH 36 - - 48 - - 87 - - 78 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 62.4 - - 70.8 - - 71.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 29.3 - - 27.8 - - 32.1 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 61.8 - - 69.4 - - 71.2 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 28.4 - - 27.0 - - 31.3 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 110 - - 225 - - 67 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1271 - - 3706 - - 3749 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 8 266 13 304 21 280 12 301 12 261 96441 89278 3 153 7 202 14 258 12 299 6 019 89278 83779 9 278 5 322 10 272 15 262 8 338 83779 79204 16 287 8 268 13 270 15 247 14 297 79204 75251 18 286 13 275 17 287 16 272 19 294 75251 71751 19 298 15 288 14 288 14 276 14 293 71751 68561 22 308 15 287 18 285 23 299 20 314 68561 65620 23 306 21 288 28 281 26 294 26 301 65620 62889 29 298 23 293 26 273 26 297 24 290 62889 60226 32 289 26 298 27 282 33 301 26 298 60226 57432 37 290 31 293 35 287 38 298 34 304 57432 54531 44 291 36 295 40 292 41 297 40 305 54531 51769 43 293 46 300 44 299 46 304 43 306 51769 49301 46 291 52 296 49 296 52 301 51 308 49301 47122 44 286 51 293 50 302 53 299 59 304 47122 45187 49 315 60 312 58 317 58 307 58 302 45187 43444 78 322 76 321 69 317 63 308 60 302 43444 41845 86 318 80 321 67 314 59 301 62 298 41845 40348 79 317 72 317 64 316 56 298 62 297 40348 38934 67 318 63 317 62 315 56 299 60 297 38934 37590 67 331 63 319 60 313 57 299 58 299 37590 36279 68 331 64 318 58 310 57 300 59 302 36279 34934 69 324 65 318 57 306 56 300 59 304 34934 33526 70 322 66 319 56 306 56 301 59 305 33526 32059 69 322 65 317 56 309 55 303 58 307 32059 30517 67 320 65 315 56 312 53 306 59 308 30517 28890 65 318 63 314 56 313 52 307 61 309 28890 27179 63 317 62 311 56 310 52 308 64 313 27179 25386 61 316 60 309 58 310 56 310 67 315 25386 23514 58 316 57 312 61 315 61 313 67 315 23514 21565 56 318 55 319 65 321 63 316 64 314 21565 19533 54 319 57 328 64 323 62 319 60 314 19533 17409 46 318 58 334 55 323 58 320 56 316 17409 15239 36 310 43 331 46 320 50 319 52 320 15239 13149 32 302 31 318 39 318 44 319 46 323 13149 11254 29 301 26 307 32 314 38 322 39 326 11254 9577 25 309 24 303 29 311 30 326 31 332 9577 8094 21 318 21 309 23 317 22 331 21 341 8094 6782 15 326 15 323 15 339 16 339 14 350 6782 5619 11 323 11 326 11 003 11 348 11 349 5619 4594 6 316 8 322 12*010 11*356 10 339 4594 3693 9 021 9 348 12*010 11*359 14 346 3693 2900 14 024 13 001 12 008 11 360 17 358 2900 2193 19 022 17 007 12 007 11 360 20 005 2193 1570 26 018 16*006 12 007 11 359 22 005 1570 1052 24 014 12*001 11 007 11 359 20 003 1052 654 14 004 11 001 11 006 11 358 17 359 654 381 8 341 10 000 10 005 10 358 13 350 381 216 6 325 9 360 10 006 10 359 10*340 216 122 4*313 8 360 9 005 8 358 6*331 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography