DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 86.5 - - 87.4 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 222 - - 34 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2542 - - 2414 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 382 - - 1567 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1181 - - 2649 - - 2521 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 705 - - 3167 - - 4157 - - 254 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 338 - - 189 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 029 - - 172 - - 167 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -12 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5990 - - -7465 - - -7873 - - -6301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7171 - - 10115 - - 10394 - - 6424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13325 - - -12922 - - -13192 - - -11889 ODpotential blCL - - - 14506 - - 15571 - - 15713 - - 12012 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 32 - - 29 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 86.5 - - 87.4 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.3 - - 42.5 - - 42.1 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 85.0 - - 87.4 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 41.5 - - 41.1 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 222 - - 34 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2542 - - 2414 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98759 9 212 10 172 4 153 9 133 98759 91381 10 168 11 181 6 238 7 154 91381 85666 13 156 5 192 8 186 9 177 85666 80906 9 143 8 204 6 209 4 168 80906 76787 2 300 7 212 8 224 5 292 76787 73145 5 297 6 233 8 220 9 239 73145 69853 8 252 11 264 6 260 7 225 69853 66835 9 237 15 266 11 286 7 303 66835 64050 8 226 16 255 14 279 12 312 64050 61349 9 274 17 256 20 277 15 296 61349 58523 16 286 19 260 25 269 23 276 58523 55590 25 289 24 268 29 266 31 267 55590 52795 32 280 28 273 33 268 34 271 52795 50287 37 277 35 277 37 269 38 274 50287 48038 40 276 40 275 39 271 41 269 48038 45988 42 276 42 271 41 274 41 270 45988 44107 40 272 40 266 44 272 46 270 44107 42374 37 270 38 265 44 266 49 267 42374 40766 38 269 38 267 43 264 50 264 40766 39264 39 268 39 271 39 267 48 262 39264 37856 37 265 40 267 37 273 44 262 37856 36505 32 268 38 261 37 273 42 264 36505 35143 31 271 32 261 34 269 42 265 35143 33734 29 272 27 269 29 267 38 265 33734 32273 26 276 24 274 25 270 36 265 32273 30741 22 280 21 273 23 271 34 266 30741 29127 18 278 20 273 23 273 32 267 29127 27429 17 274 20 274 22 274 30 267 27429 25645 17 273 19 274 21 274 29 266 25645 23776 16 271 18 276 19 275 26 266 23776 21827 16 277 16 280 17 279 22 263 21827 19792 15 285 13 283 15 275 20 263 19792 17667 12 288 11 271 15 273 19 271 17667 15495 10 282 10 260 14 275 16 276 15495 13401 9 274 9 261 11 272 12 273 13401 11498 7 269 7 261 7 263 8 247 11498 9808 1 302 4 265 4 275 7 208 9808 8307 2 009 4 295 6 303 3 181 8307 6972 3 295 6 309 9 280 3 242 6972 5787 3 285 6 300 9 253 5 243 5787 4737 3 268 5 270 10 230 8 239 4737 3811 3 249 5 240 11 205 10 239 3811 2995 2 242 5*206 12*188 12 242 2995 2265 1 278 5*188 13*174 15 245 2265 1621 2*350 5 175 14 168 18 243 1621 1084 2*008 5 172 14 166 19 237 1084 673 2 028 5 165 14 164 18 226 673 391 2 035 5 165 13 163 15 211 391 220 2 038 5 164 12 163 12 200 220 123 2 041 4 162 10 162 7*194 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography