DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.9 - - 67.7 - - 73.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 257 - - 390 - - 139 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 309 - - 2275 - - 3770 - - 4421 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1424 - - 2682 - - 2697 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 414 - - 2380 - - 3876 - - 4527 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 541 - - 1077 - - 1156 - - 1214 - - 3218 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 342 - - 461 - - 347 - - 10 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 146 - - 165 - - 169 - - 191 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -839 - - -988 - - -1609 - - -804 - - -3335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1253 - - 3368 - - 5485 - - 5331 - - 3458 sfcLCL ODpotential -7132 - - -4763 - - -4497 - - -3086 - - -6551 ODpotential blCL 7546 - - 7143 - - 8373 - - 7613 - - 6673 blCL maxRH 84 - - 82 - - 76 - - 83 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 470 - - 140 - - 80 - - 50 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 57.9 - - 67.7 - - 73.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 53.3 - - 49.3 - - 49.4 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 66.0 - - 70.8 - - 71.4 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 52.3 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 257 - - 390 - - 139 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 309 - - 2275 - - 3770 - - 4421 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 30 - - 5 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97697 13 249 26 235 23 250 30 238 20 269 97697 90254 12 245 21 234 26 242 19 253 14 263 90254 84564 11 277 12 250 22 248 15 269 18 269 84564 79866 11 287 10 272 16 266 15 288 17 245 79866 75819 11 285 11 287 15 274 14 294 15 243 75819 72226 12 297 12 292 16 288 13 296 11 293 72226 68978 12 305 12 289 16 298 17 295 17 319 68978 65992 13 301 11 281 17 286 19 296 19 315 65992 63212 15 304 11 290 16 274 19 290 18 298 63212 60502 18 304 14 290 15 272 18 280 18 282 60502 57665 18 279 17 289 14 275 17 272 16 276 57665 54720 20 262 21 278 18 282 18 265 16 292 54720 51905 17 267 22 265 24 275 21 265 20 286 51905 49370 14 274 18 255 25 259 25 263 22 271 49370 47102 11 264 16 249 25 248 26 253 22 265 47102 45047 12 250 15 249 22 238 24 244 23 253 45047 43167 18 233 15 249 17 232 18 238 22 245 43167 41434 19 223 15 237 14 231 15 236 21 239 41434 39828 17 208 15 213 14 223 15 235 19 235 39828 38330 16 187 18 186 15 202 13 223 14 226 38330 36927 19 171 23 157 18 169 14 196 11 203 36927 35585 28 156 28 138 25 140 18 157 12 147 35585 34237 36 150 36 127 34 123 32 134 23 121 34237 32855 39 146 42 128 46 118 52 104 41 110 32855 31436 39 152 38 130 51 112 49 095 44 102 31436 29957 35 160 32 125 49 111 48 097 41 095 29957 28393 29 160 31 120 45 113 49 099 45 092 28393 26743 27 154 32 125 42 116 48 099 43 090 26743 25006 28 149 34 131 39 120 45 102 41 091 25006 23183 31 149 35 136 35 127 42 112 37 099 23183 21282 32 149 36 141 33 135 35 129 33 119 21282 19303 32 151 39 144 33 143 29 145 26 138 19303 17240 39 156 43 146 35 148 26 148 21 140 17240 15129 45 157 42 145 38 146 27 147 20 138 15129 13087 36 151 34 137 35 138 26 147 16 138 13087 11225 31 135 32 127 30 135 17 133 13 123 11225 9568 30 126 30 126 26 144 15 110 15 097 9568 8092 23 131 22 139 21 146 18 104 19 099 8092 6782 17 151 18 170 15 143 12 106 21 107 6782 5620 19 148 16 178 12 170 4 157 20 110 5620 4595 14 140 13 170 9*180 7*201 10 120 4595 3695 5 104 10 190 11*177 8*199 3 189 3695 2903 1 081 8*196 11 174 9 195 7 216 2903 2196 2 177 9*176 12 170 10 192 10 229 2196 1573 4 212 10 168 12 168 10 191 15 238 1573 1054 3 239 10 164 12 165 10 189 16 234 1054 657 3*189 10 162 12 164 11 188 15 230 657 383 4*154 10 160 12 162 10 187 14 225 383 217 4 143 9 159 11 162 10 186 11 221 217 122 3 141 8 159 10 162 9 185 8*217 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography