DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 58.5 - - 59.7 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 67 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 821 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 925 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 325 - - 480 - - 1453 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 160 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 344 - - 073 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3044 - - -3570 - - -3132 - - -1174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3165 - - 4495 - - 3255 - - 1295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16584 - - -14987 - - -13093 - - -13616 ODpotential blCL - - - 16705 - - 15912 - - 13215 - - 13737 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 50 - - 54 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 58.5 - - 59.7 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 39.9 - - 46.2 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 58.1 - - 60.2 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 38.9 - - 45.3 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 67 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 821 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97223 52 095 36 117 50 098 44 107 97223 89999 42 110 38 103 46 094 36 116 89999 84365 38 107 39 091 40 089 37 096 84365 79714 39 101 36 092 33 090 35 087 79714 75718 33 098 30 092 28 086 36 079 75718 72165 26 093 24 089 19 070 33 067 72165 68944 26 086 20 096 14 074 18 051 68944 65991 24 073 17 086 14 069 13 029 65991 63268 25 045 20 062 20 055 17 043 63268 60644 26 026 21 043 23 029 23 030 60644 57915 26 009 22 025 20 003 23 360 57915 55086 25 357 26 005 24 355 23 355 55086 52378 29 352 30 352 30 348 29 348 52378 49940 32 348 34 344 36 346 35 345 49940 47755 35 348 37 338 38 340 38 340 47755 45768 38 347 38 340 37 342 37 339 45768 43942 39 340 39 341 35 341 32 340 43942 42247 33 334 35 336 30 336 28 337 42247 40665 22 322 27 330 21 322 24 322 40665 39185 11 302 16 306 15 297 18 296 39185 37804 5 228 10 278 10 258 16 250 37804 36482 8 188 11 254 13 235 22 227 36482 35140 19 174 15 213 18 237 26 221 35140 33742 24 173 23 188 20 234 24 229 33742 32288 22 168 24 191 23 219 22 242 32288 30762 23 162 21 191 23 209 21 245 30762 29152 22 162 21 191 20 210 18 231 29152 27456 19 161 19 190 19 210 16 219 27456 25673 17 158 18 184 19 202 17 220 25673 23804 15 159 17 186 21 201 19 227 23804 21849 14 169 17 199 20 210 17 226 21849 19800 13 175 16 208 15 219 15 224 19800 17655 11 182 12 213 9 214 7 205 17655 15458 7 197 6 222 7 201 8 193 15458 13335 4 211 3 206 7 202 8 205 13335 11403 3 191 4 187 7 220 7 223 11403 9690 4 189 5 196 8 233 7 249 9690 8174 6 186 5 196 9 235 8 265 8174 6832 7 175 5 187 9 231 7 269 6832 5646 8 159 5 162 7 222 4 251 5646 4602 7 128 6 125 5 192 2 209 4602 3689 7 069 6 099 5 162 1 134 3689 2889 10 036 6 062 3 081 6 053 2889 2179 14 010 8 025 10 019 11 026 2179 1556 16 010 9 004 9 013 9 022 1556 1041 15 015 6*345 4 021 5 347 1041 647 7 008 4*342 2 043 3 284 647 377 2 295 4 343 2 063 4 250 377 214 2*255 3 345 2*071 4 245 214 121 1*240 3 346 2*073 3*247 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography