DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.4 - - 68.1 - - 69.4 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 81 - - 156 - - 44 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 861 - - 2211 - - 2053 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 1192 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 966 - - 2317 - - 2159 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 1050 - - 1456 - - 2796 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 172 - - 290 - - 190 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 19 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 351 - - 327 - - 193 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1417 - - -2625 - - -2671 - - -2644 - - -1230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1538 - - 3591 - - 4988 - - 4804 - - 1352 sfcLCL ODpotential -11412 - - -8946 - - -8045 - - -6810 - - -3766 ODpotential blCL 11533 - - 9912 - - 10362 - - 8969 - - 3888 blCL maxRH 55 - - 59 - - 55 - - 59 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.4 - - 68.1 - - 69.4 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 46.4 - - 46.9 - - 49.0 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 60.7 - - 67.1 - - 69.2 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 45.4 - - 45.9 - - 48.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 81 - - 156 - - 44 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 861 - - 2211 - - 2053 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96205 13 311 10 295 15 285 19 306 14 332 96205 89119 11 334 8 323 13 317 12 347 10 349 89119 83679 16 312 12 355 13 330 12 340 12 349 83679 79186 11 342 14 351 14 311 14 323 16 356 79186 75325 21 331 16 327 19 307 18 313 16 350 75325 71885 21 296 18 295 22 283 23 308 22 331 71885 68737 20 275 20 290 24 272 24 287 29 300 68737 65826 23 281 24 278 24 263 26 264 31 276 65826 63115 30 273 28 278 31 271 33 273 38 268 63115 60471 36 268 39 269 43 267 42 269 41 263 60471 57689 43 267 44 264 47 264 45 268 48 265 57689 54785 45 270 49 269 50 269 55 271 55 265 54785 51998 54 274 54 267 54 270 61 267 55 265 51998 49474 55 272 57 267 54 268 59 267 55 272 49474 47212 54 276 63 270 54 268 59 271 54 275 47212 45171 56 277 64 272 55 273 56 271 50 274 45171 43316 56 278 58 278 54 277 49 276 46 274 43316 41622 55 281 54 276 48 282 47 280 45 274 41622 40068 47 284 47 270 46 278 41 273 39 274 40068 38632 37 289 40 274 41 273 37 275 40 275 38632 37290 33 300 31 283 34 282 41 282 37 277 37290 35995 33 308 28 290 29 285 40 277 36 280 35995 34675 31 315 21 289 27 282 33 275 38 276 34675 33299 26 324 16 294 24 274 33 280 37 273 33299 31864 24 328 16 294 22 273 33 279 35 274 31864 30356 24 326 17 295 22 281 29 271 34 275 30356 28761 25 322 19 302 22 286 26 266 31 273 28761 27080 25 318 19 313 20 288 23 265 30 265 27080 25312 23 318 18 331 15 288 20 261 28 262 25312 23460 22 325 15 333 11 287 19 266 26 264 23460 21529 22 331 15 319 15 292 20 275 24 267 21529 19514 21 330 15 317 18 298 20 276 24 271 19514 17405 19 329 15 324 16 305 17 276 20 268 17405 15245 17 332 13 324 12 307 13 283 15 263 15245 13159 14 332 8 317 7 292 10 271 12 244 13159 11263 7 333 4 269 5 246 9 245 13 231 11263 9584 3 036 4 209 7 204 9 226 11 229 9584 8101 5 076 6 157 9 179 8 213 10 224 8101 6788 5 071 6 133 8 177 7 206 8 218 6788 5628 5 065 5 124 6 170 5 210 6 209 5628 4604 6 043 3 111 3 188 6 254 2 211 4604 3704 8 028 3 012 3 276 8 259 1 199 3704 2910 11 359 8 357 4*318 7 252 2 213 2910 2201 14 358 12 358 4*323 6*242 2 261 2201 1576 15 000 12 358 3 325 4*209 5 282 1576 1055 14 356 10*354 3 328 4 198 9 279 1055 656 10 345 6*349 2 331 4 189 11 264 656 382 8 308 6 351 2 329 4 185 10 241 382 216 6*289 5 352 2 329 4 184 7*222 216 122 4*286 5 352 2 329 3 181 5*209 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography