DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 56.7 - - 55.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 9 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 574 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 679 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 518 - - 919 - - 1188 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 94 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 004 - - 033 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2108 - - -1839 - - -960 - - -902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2229 - - 2518 - - 1082 - - 1023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14297 - - -12447 - - -9884 - - -12805 ODpotential blCL - - - 14418 - - 13126 - - 10006 - - 12926 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 63 - - 73 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 56.7 - - 55.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 46.5 - - 51.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 56.7 - - 56.7 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 45.3 - - 50.2 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 9 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 574 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96758 28 064 29 057 41 052 59 069 96758 89622 33 053 32 053 39 056 46 067 89622 84096 20 041 24 039 29 055 42 073 84096 79459 14 038 26 028 23 047 33 065 79459 75424 18 020 22 020 24 022 24 032 75424 71875 11 014 7 019 19 009 18 355 71875 68679 7 029 8 036 13 021 10 332 68679 65731 13 007 17 355 21 017 17 001 65731 63006 6 314 13 325 19 355 16 354 63006 60371 6 027 11 003 8 004 9 020 60371 57600 16 009 19 002 16 017 15 030 57600 54720 14 001 21 349 18 354 18 021 54720 51992 21 035 13 010 12 008 16 021 51992 49554 27 033 18 039 11 039 11 037 49554 47382 32 043 26 043 17 049 10 070 47382 45425 33 038 32 038 24 055 12 073 45425 43649 33 038 35 033 28 047 20 051 43649 42024 37 051 35 034 33 036 29 040 42024 40517 37 054 32 038 34 035 34 038 40517 39099 36 055 30 042 35 039 34 043 39099 37752 35 051 31 040 35 042 33 051 37752 36439 35 046 33 040 35 043 31 060 36439 35096 36 041 34 041 33 046 28 065 35096 33694 37 039 34 043 33 052 25 068 33694 32235 37 042 35 049 33 059 23 070 32235 30707 37 054 35 055 35 065 25 069 30707 29097 35 058 35 060 35 068 27 067 29097 27401 31 062 33 064 30 071 26 071 27401 25616 28 063 30 072 25 079 24 079 25616 23742 26 066 25 069 24 078 24 081 23742 21780 22 075 19 056 22 062 22 077 21780 19729 22 076 15 063 16 049 19 065 19729 17589 23 071 14 082 11 077 14 054 17589 15402 17 072 12 073 13 084 10 074 15402 13288 16 072 13 064 14 077 14 094 13288 11362 15 084 12 074 14 090 13 108 11362 9651 12 098 9 096 13 122 9 127 9651 8137 10 109 9 113 13 134 7 134 8137 6798 11 114 7 136 13 131 8 130 6798 5618 13 110 2 163 7 125 7 124 5618 4580 12 100 2 154 2 027 5 070 4580 3672 10 078 5 073 8 027 12 049 3672 2876 10 050 11 029 14 018 17 021 2876 2171 13 023 17 009 19 010 19 014 2171 1551 23 011 19 003 19 005 20 009 1551 1038 27 002 16*001 13 002 13 003 1038 646 21 356 11*003 7 008 5 337 646 376 13 347 9 004 4 017 3 267 376 214 10*344 8 005 3*025 4 241 214 121 6*343 6 006 2*033 3*238 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography