DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 45.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 23 - - 66 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 558 - - 329 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 121 - - 662 - - 433 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 495 - - 820 - - 456 - - 523 - - 640 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 29 - - 136 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 145 - - 111 - - 089 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -63 - - -41 - - 101 - - -112 - - -70 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 183 - - 162 - - 561 - - 545 - - 190 sfcLCL ODpotential -14188 - - 0 - - 140 - - -201 - - -13267 ODpotential blCL 14308 - - 121 - - 522 - - 634 - - 13387 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 45.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 45.6 - - 47.8 - - 48.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 45.4 - - 48.9 - - 50.6 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 45.5 - - 47.3 - - 48.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 23 - - 66 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 558 - - 329 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 23 073 14 068 20 048 30 046 31 063 96597 89549 22 067 24 075 26 071 18 064 17 065 89549 84001 22 051 23 069 18 086 11 063 16 049 84001 79390 19 039 16 054 11 079 11 032 15 030 79390 75432 13 026 10 042 10 036 17 022 8 013 75432 71926 13 060 7 065 11 014 18 015 14 005 71926 68742 11 059 9 081 6 006 14 360 20 357 68742 65820 7 017 11 023 6 015 9 015 18 355 65820 63122 9 034 15 358 16 350 12 354 14 347 63122 60514 14 014 16 003 21 349 15 346 14 340 60514 57794 15 345 17 340 20 341 17 347 13 342 57794 54977 18 330 20 328 19 334 21 343 12 348 54977 52297 20 331 19 324 17 315 20 325 13 332 52297 49890 22 343 15 334 15 305 19 303 15 310 49890 47732 21 330 16 324 16 319 18 305 14 311 47732 45777 19 321 17 325 16 331 13 306 11 300 45777 43993 21 326 22 335 16 333 10 326 5 274 43993 42357 22 322 20 325 13 313 10 319 4 337 42357 40835 18 307 13 296 12 274 12 263 4 272 40835 39402 16 288 13 270 15 266 16 245 10 243 39402 38042 19 284 16 259 17 262 19 256 11 244 38042 36719 24 275 18 260 21 261 25 250 14 258 36719 35366 23 271 20 257 26 261 26 250 17 256 35366 33955 21 274 25 256 29 263 27 253 18 259 33955 32486 20 270 27 256 30 263 29 252 23 256 32486 30945 20 267 25 256 28 257 31 253 27 253 30945 29316 21 278 22 264 26 259 32 252 28 252 29316 27600 22 284 16 264 25 265 31 256 28 256 27600 25795 21 286 10 255 18 263 31 259 28 267 25795 23902 17 286 4 253 8 258 26 261 26 273 23902 21927 10 292 2 021 1 182 21 263 19 281 21927 19867 6 358 3 002 2 190 14 249 11 261 19867 17718 8 000 1 276 6 225 10 226 7 241 17718 15520 7 347 5 267 9 258 7 234 10 301 15520 13397 7 335 5 296 7 276 8 285 11 306 13397 11465 8 338 5 329 4 293 5 299 8 317 11465 9747 8 342 4 359 4 305 6 323 9 335 9747 8222 8 349 4 012 5 324 9 346 11 351 8222 6870 9 357 6 008 8 341 13 002 13 006 6870 5673 12 005 7 013 11 353 15 012 14 017 5673 4617 14 013 8 012 13 004 16 018 15 020 4617 3692 17 015 12 011 15 011 17 020 17 018 3692 2880 21 013 17 012 19 012 18 018 18 015 2880 2160 24 010 20 012 19 009 16 015 15 010 2160 1534 19 007 13 008 11 356 9 356 9 350 1534 1021 9 355 3 342 3*345 4 322 5 330 1021 635 0 228 2 154 2*113 0*064 2 059 635 372 5 162 4 151 2 110 1*090 4 081 372 212 4 151 3*147 3 110 2 089 3 073 212 120 3*143 3*145 3 110 2 088 2*065 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography