DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 97.0 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 163 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 730 - - 1581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 763 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 836 - - 1689 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 724 - - 1904 - - - - - 260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 262 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 349 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10300 - - -11194 - - - - - -10680 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11136 - - 12883 - - - - - 10805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17745 - - -17444 - - - - - -16447 ODpotential blCL - - - 18581 - - 19133 - - - - - 16571 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 43 - - - - - 12 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 97.0 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 41.2 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.3 - - 95.7 - - - - - 94.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 40.0 - - - - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 163 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 730 - - 1581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99030 14 129 15 147 6 130 99030 91577 10 142 11 153 8 114 91577 85818 9 149 4 121 7 104 85818 81027 11 136 4 069 6 094 81027 76901 14 110 7 110 4 073 76901 73290 11 091 8 106 6 098 73290 70053 11 092 10 122 9 087 70053 67074 10 078 8 108 5 089 67074 64305 5 103 3 129 1 087 64305 61646 7 114 4 143 2 193 61646 58901 5 259 6 233 13 284 58901 56079 16 255 16 266 18 287 56079 53395 22 263 29 255 28 283 53395 50982 40 266 40 260 38 268 50982 48834 52 260 49 259 41 266 48834 46883 50 257 50 259 43 265 46883 45078 48 254 50 261 46 270 45078 43395 45 251 51 263 50 268 43395 41815 40 264 49 261 52 264 41815 40326 45 271 46 260 51 262 40326 38917 50 269 41 261 46 260 38917 37548 46 266 41 259 43 257 37548 36148 42 266 42 254 41 255 36148 34688 35 266 35 253 37 251 34688 33167 26 271 23 249 32 253 33167 31571 26 261 19 252 32 261 31571 29889 27 257 22 260 30 257 29889 28129 27 255 25 260 20 244 28129 26288 27 252 23 245 13 231 26288 24368 19 253 19 238 18 216 24368 22374 12 247 10 243 19 224 22374 20297 7 250 12 229 21 236 20297 18125 8 268 11 234 20 237 18125 15907 9 266 10 237 14 216 15907 13768 8 263 5 247 8 218 13768 11817 8 202 6 208 5 214 11817 10080 7 183 4 180 4 227 10080 8533 3 208 2 161 3 205 8533 7157 1 155 1 116 0 316 7157 5937 3 093 0 077 8 002 5937 4857 3 075 2 318 8 353 4857 3907 3 018 5 320 7 337 3907 3069 7 355 7 331 6 322 3069 2320 11 352 8*341 6 314 2320 1659 16 357 7*346 5 309 1659 1109 15*358 6 348 4 303 1109 688 13*360 6 350 3 288 688 399 11 001 5 352 2 270 399 224 10 002 5 352 2*260 224 124 8 003 4 353 2*260 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography