DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.2 - - 65.4 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 420 - - 180 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2534 - - 4121 - - 3866 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1692 - - 2977 - - 2435 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2639 - - 4226 - - 3971 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1431 - - 1537 - - 1938 - - 2578 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 486 - - 361 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 26 - - 27 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 358 - - 358 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6511 - - -5579 - - -5206 - - -6517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9150 - - 9806 - - 9177 - - 6639 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15626 - - -13914 - - -13199 - - -14234 ODpotential blCL - - - 18265 - - 18140 - - 17170 - - 14355 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 51 - - 51 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.2 - - 65.4 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 22.4 - - 25.5 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 63.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 21.6 - - 24.8 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 420 - - 180 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2534 - - 4121 - - 3866 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97163 63 265 67 272 55 280 61 272 97163 89767 60 268 66 270 59 273 60 271 89767 84076 47 271 54 270 56 272 48 273 84076 79380 33 275 34 268 41 267 34 274 79380 75347 23 279 21 270 25 277 28 298 75347 71791 20 281 23 279 23 284 27 304 71791 68574 13 280 20 279 17 276 22 294 68574 65600 17 308 21 306 18 299 19 294 65600 62831 26 310 25 310 22 305 19 299 62831 60154 27 303 29 305 24 316 18 316 60154 57355 24 300 28 297 30 312 24 319 57355 54441 25 309 27 300 35 309 33 322 54441 51662 31 317 30 308 40 314 39 322 51662 49168 39 319 35 314 41 314 39 321 49168 46934 43 315 37 316 38 313 38 321 46934 44910 45 315 38 320 37 321 41 323 44910 43077 48 311 43 321 45 329 43 324 43077 41416 48 311 50 322 53 336 44 329 41416 39890 53 316 57 328 59 340 49 328 39890 38466 61 327 66 340 62 342 55 323 38466 37123 69 331 73 344 63 341 61 321 37123 35821 71 331 73 343 65 340 63 322 35821 34490 70 329 70 340 64 341 61 324 34490 33101 67 327 66 336 63 342 59 326 33101 31658 64 324 65 335 62 343 57 327 31658 30144 62 322 63 335 62 343 54 329 30144 28547 60 320 62 334 62 341 53 332 28547 26866 59 319 60 332 61 339 53 335 26866 25097 58 319 58 329 60 337 53 340 25097 23242 55 319 56 328 59 337 51 342 23242 21307 55 321 54 329 58 338 48 343 21307 19287 55 326 52 332 54 339 46 344 19287 17178 52 328 49 333 50 340 44 345 17178 15028 47 325 45 334 46 342 42 348 15028 12962 41 324 40 336 41 347 37 353 12962 11093 33 331 33 340 34 354 31 002 11093 9442 26 351 27 349 29 004 28 015 9442 7985 24 012 25 006 29 013 23 027 7985 6694 25 023 27 020 24 021 17 030 6694 5550 28 026 20 027 21 018 18 028 5550 4538 26 026 19*015 23*010 24 025 4538 3649 27 020 23*005 27*001 30 018 3649 2866 28*011 27 359 28 359 35 010 2866 2168 31*360 27 358 28 358 37 002 2168 1553 31 358 27 358 28 357 36 358 1553 1041 31 358 27 357 28 357 33 355 1041 648 30 357 27 357 27 357 27 351 648 378 28 357 25 357 26 356 22 348 378 215 25 357 23 356 23 356 18 347 215 121 20 356 19 356 18 356 12*345 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography