DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 70.9 - - 80.9 - - 82.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 110 - - 187 - - 25 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1031 - - 2230 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1278 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1137 - - 2336 - - 1978 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 107 - - 664 - - 1569 - - 1689 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 200 - - 307 - - 163 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 17 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 358 - - 359 - - 354 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -6 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5018 - - -8015 - - -9231 - - -9380 - - -6422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5139 - - 9152 - - 11567 - - 11358 - - 6544 sfcLCL ODpotential -18260 - - -18335 - - -18203 - - -18285 - - -15890 ODpotential blCL 18381 - - 19472 - - 20539 - - 20263 - - 16012 blCL maxRH 31 - - 28 - - 53 - - 53 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 70.9 - - 80.9 - - 82.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 32.0 - - 30.9 - - 33.4 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 70.2 - - 79.7 - - 82.2 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 31.0 - - 29.8 - - 32.5 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 110 - - 187 - - 25 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1031 - - 2230 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 5 260 3 068 9 299 7 246 9 287 96487 89378 8 066 16 105 3 192 6 092 11 090 89378 83897 11 088 14 069 13 111 4 051 13 093 83897 79337 11 088 9 034 12 063 9 088 16 061 79337 75413 15 056 9 049 12 029 13 070 12 048 75413 71950 14 023 12 035 14 021 18 028 20 039 71950 68819 22 023 15 035 13 028 19 025 20 023 68819 65949 30 351 24 007 17 024 17 009 18 353 65949 63293 32 340 26 351 20 357 23 356 19 359 63293 60715 32 345 28 356 27 351 31 349 24 003 60715 58009 35 346 38 354 35 351 35 353 28 001 58009 55195 45 342 44 345 44 349 46 355 37 360 55195 52517 50 338 50 342 51 346 50 347 42 352 52517 50122 52 347 54 348 49 348 42 353 43 357 50122 47994 63 350 61 357 59 357 54 358 54 359 47994 46093 66 337 64 349 59 347 59 343 51 344 46093 44357 58 329 51 336 45 337 48 332 49 335 44357 42734 45 338 47 341 41 352 42 341 50 328 42734 41204 43 350 46 354 43 354 42 341 47 333 41204 39756 53 357 50 356 45 349 41 340 48 337 39756 38379 60 358 52 348 47 344 39 340 52 338 38379 37037 59 356 53 343 46 341 41 344 56 338 37037 35664 59 352 53 343 48 341 49 347 57 337 35664 34229 64 348 52 344 51 343 52 343 56 335 34229 32734 69 346 51 345 51 343 50 338 56 335 32734 31163 68 343 50 341 49 343 48 338 56 338 31163 29506 63 341 49 341 47 344 46 341 52 341 29506 27768 58 342 49 344 44 346 47 343 46 342 27768 25948 54 343 46 346 42 345 48 343 42 339 25948 24041 47 340 45 345 43 344 46 339 40 337 24041 22047 43 337 44 340 43 343 42 335 35 332 22047 19963 46 337 43 336 40 340 38 333 33 327 19963 17788 44 335 40 335 38 339 35 334 31 326 17788 15573 38 334 36 332 33 343 29 336 27 327 15573 13446 31 338 30 330 27 346 22 341 23 331 13446 11517 25 346 23 341 22 346 17 344 19 336 11517 9809 22 355 20 008 17 348 14 344 16 343 9809 8297 20 005 19 026 14 006 11 345 14 351 8297 6956 19 012 18 031 14 024 11 359 13 357 6956 5766 20 018 18 029 15 039 9 019 12 001 5766 4714 22 022 20 028 15 046 8 030 11 358 4714 3788 25 023 22 026 14 040 9 021 12 357 3788 2973 26 022 21 024 15*025 12 008 15 354 2973 2246 27 018 22 016 16*003 16*356 19 354 2246 1606 30 011 23*006 16 359 16*355 22 359 1606 1074 31 005 20*360 16 359 16 354 22 002 1074 668 27 359 18 358 16 358 15 354 19 359 668 388 17 347 16 357 15 358 15 353 14 350 388 219 13 338 15 357 14 357 13 353 10 337 219 122 6*329 12 357 12 357 10 353 6*325 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography