DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 65.1 - - 63.4 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 173 - - 23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 5623 - - 6330 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 789 - - 3752 - - 2102 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2160 - - 5728 - - 6435 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2766 - - 1993 - - 3769 - - 2041 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 410 - - 240 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 9 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 330 - - 345 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 8 - - 25 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1176 - - -145 - - 1071 - - -2781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3336 - - 5873 - - 5364 - - 2903 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3146 - - -1608 - - -118 - - -4560 ODpotential blCL - - - 5306 - - 7336 - - 6553 - - 4681 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 66 - - 81 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 65.1 - - 63.4 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 39.9 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 64.1 - - 63.7 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 38.9 - - 39.6 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 173 - - 23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 5623 - - 6330 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96259 5 004 15 262 20 303 15 320 96259 89182 6 000 10 311 11 298 8 338 89182 83717 8 328 16 294 10 307 11 282 83717 79210 10 315 8 347 2 319 3 284 79210 75329 14 295 18 307 18 299 16 004 75329 71877 14 280 17 269 14 285 18 290 71877 68753 9 263 13 243 8 303 12 276 68753 65840 19 277 26 264 19 283 18 312 65840 63094 36 280 38 273 37 279 31 286 63094 60424 46 283 45 275 45 274 34 273 60424 57635 47 275 40 272 42 269 32 278 57635 54719 39 267 34 271 39 268 37 281 54719 51910 35 282 33 279 40 274 43 271 51910 49365 47 287 43 288 47 283 44 275 49365 47074 55 280 55 287 54 287 46 283 47074 44992 56 269 60 282 55 287 47 286 44992 43079 55 270 58 280 53 291 47 298 43079 41313 60 281 56 287 57 299 63 306 41313 39679 72 284 68 293 70 296 77 299 39679 38168 83 276 78 282 77 289 78 296 38168 36767 80 263 75 272 73 289 74 299 36767 35427 68 269 65 280 67 298 65 301 35427 34070 73 288 67 296 68 306 51 305 34070 32661 87 291 80 305 71 311 50 336 32661 31205 95 284 92 300 82 315 78 343 31205 29690 92 277 97 293 93 314 80 330 29690 28103 87 276 95 289 97 310 86 321 28103 26445 84 278 89 291 96 306 84 320 26445 24711 83 279 84 297 89 307 75 321 24711 22900 84 278 83 301 84 310 71 326 22900 21013 85 282 84 305 83 313 74 331 21013 19041 83 289 80 304 79 312 74 331 19041 16980 69 292 66 301 71 310 65 330 16980 14878 52 284 48 301 58 310 50 331 14878 12853 42 284 34 304 39 311 39 337 12853 11016 32 300 28 311 24 317 31 345 11016 9389 20 309 25 318 17 330 25 352 9389 7946 16 306 21 324 14 343 19 351 7946 6665 16 315 16*328 14*346 15 345 6665 5530 19 327 11*331 14*346 16 343 5530 4525 22 331 10 330 15 347 19 345 4525 3640 23 329 9 330 15 346 20 348 3640 2860 21 326 9 331 15 346 22 354 2860 2164 19*324 9 330 15 345 25 001 2164 1549 16*320 8 331 15 344 27 006 1549 1038 13 316 8 331 15 343 26 008 1038 646 11 316 8 331 15 343 22 008 646 378 10 316 7 331 14 343 17 006 378 215 9 316 7 331 13 342 13 005 215 121 7 317 6 331 10 342 7*003 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography