DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 90.1 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 308 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 4794 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 793 - - 3399 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1543 - - 4901 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1314 - - 1816 - - - - - 2016 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 467 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 15 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 192 - - - - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4094 - - -4858 - - - - - -6448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5638 - - 9760 - - - - - 6572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8724 - - -9796 - - - - - -12329 ODpotential blCL - - - 10267 - - 14697 - - - - - 12452 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 69 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 90.1 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 47.6 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 88.2 - - - - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 46.6 - - - - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 308 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 4794 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 9 245 8 217 2 212 98082 90638 11 218 8 242 8 250 90638 84918 12 206 8 214 2 103 84918 80189 12 158 10 196 5 032 80189 76130 13 089 4 191 5 014 76130 72560 8 032 5 091 6 344 72560 69344 3 021 2 358 6 343 69344 66383 4 308 7 309 6 023 66383 63621 2 251 10 262 7 316 63621 60941 6 282 7 252 7 273 60941 58136 16 242 15 260 12 251 58136 55218 19 242 21 245 22 251 55218 52433 28 245 24 240 28 253 52433 49930 35 235 30 239 29 248 49930 47697 35 222 36 229 30 247 47697 45685 34 219 36 221 33 241 45685 43858 40 216 39 223 38 232 43858 42185 50 211 48 217 44 226 42185 40637 55 212 55 212 48 226 40637 39187 54 210 56 211 54 223 39187 37823 52 210 55 211 58 217 37823 36502 53 214 56 215 58 219 36502 35154 59 216 60 215 58 221 35154 33747 61 216 61 212 60 219 33747 32286 60 215 61 213 62 217 32286 30755 56 214 59 214 63 218 30755 29141 52 212 53 214 62 218 29141 27442 49 209 48 213 56 218 27442 25659 45 207 43 211 50 217 25659 23793 42 205 42 208 46 215 23793 21848 39 202 41 206 44 212 21848 19818 36 199 38 206 45 209 19818 17699 33 199 36 207 47 210 17699 15531 29 203 38 208 54 209 15531 13432 28 205 39 212 51 211 13432 11515 26 206 36 214 42 218 11515 9811 24 202 29 208 31 219 9811 8299 25 195 27 198 27 213 8299 6956 25 190 26 197 22 217 6956 5767 18 192 23*201 15 222 5767 4717 13 188 17*199 10 224 4717 3794 9 187 15 195 9 234 3794 2981 9 214 15 193 10 250 2981 2254 8 213 15 191 12 262 2254 1613 6*193 15 190 15 265 1613 1081 6*173 14 188 17 263 1081 672 6 169 14 186 16 256 672 391 6 165 13 185 13 247 391 221 6 164 13 185 10 239 221 123 5 163 11 185 6*229 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography