DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.5 - - 74.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 366 - - 150 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2234 - - 3831 - - 5058 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1438 - - 2708 - - 3213 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2339 - - 3937 - - 5164 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1305 - - 1447 - - 1418 - - 5396 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 454 - - 372 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 002 - - 350 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8131 - - -8255 - - -7927 - - -10568 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10471 - - 12193 - - 13092 - - 10690 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17244 - - -16610 - - -15473 - - -18556 ODpotential blCL - - - 19583 - - 20547 - - 20637 - - 18678 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 77 - - 66 - - 14 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.5 - - 74.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 19.2 - - 17.0 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 70.5 - - 73.3 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 18.7 - - 16.7 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 366 - - 150 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2234 - - 3831 - - 5058 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97130 57 268 63 270 61 278 63 278 97130 89804 50 273 56 270 55 282 46 278 89804 84168 40 279 39 272 44 281 32 281 84168 79483 29 277 25 274 24 271 24 274 79483 75453 23 284 20 276 19 259 19 277 75453 71896 23 289 21 294 18 291 15 302 71896 68680 16 302 17 293 19 297 18 308 68680 65724 15 319 15 295 18 306 16 314 65724 62977 20 309 19 303 19 314 19 328 62977 60316 19 306 23 310 23 321 23 333 60316 57544 20 319 21 318 23 325 24 329 57544 54665 27 328 23 329 25 325 28 325 54665 51910 31 327 27 325 28 321 30 319 51910 49421 30 325 26 314 30 315 31 319 49421 47177 31 330 30 322 29 312 32 315 47177 45132 35 328 30 318 29 309 31 312 45132 43266 40 326 32 319 28 303 31 314 43266 41562 40 322 36 318 38 315 34 331 41562 40008 41 327 50 314 48 308 41 308 40008 38586 42 328 45 313 51 304 44 302 38586 37259 42 333 40 323 53 304 47 305 37259 35965 43 335 39 330 54 306 45 306 35965 34642 45 333 43 323 51 308 42 310 34642 33260 46 331 42 327 43 311 39 309 33260 31822 43 329 39 336 35 303 36 305 31822 30313 42 327 38 333 31 306 32 303 30313 28717 42 330 38 329 32 314 29 306 28717 27035 39 329 35 323 32 316 30 310 27035 25265 33 331 33 322 30 316 32 311 25265 23407 32 331 34 325 26 316 28 310 23407 21469 32 333 31 327 24 320 21 300 21469 19449 28 335 27 330 23 321 18 295 19449 17339 24 334 23 330 19 318 18 312 17339 15186 18 335 20 328 16 320 15 317 15186 13110 13 341 15 325 15 324 12 324 13110 11226 12 347 9 337 12 322 9 338 11226 9558 10 357 7 005 6 332 6 346 9558 8084 9 007 7 017 6 018 3 015 8084 6778 6 043 3 014 4 004 6 001 6778 5623 11 053 4 073 4*355 8 347 5623 4603 16 042 7*040 4*356 6 341 4603 3705 17 031 10*013 5 354 4 346 3705 2913 18*017 13 004 5 352 3 359 2913 2205 20*002 13 002 5 351 3 008 2205 1579 21 360 13 001 5 348 4 012 1579 1058 21 360 13 000 5 346 4 013 1058 659 20 360 13 360 5 343 4 013 659 384 19 359 13 360 5 343 4 010 384 217 18 359 12 360 4 342 3 007 217 122 15 359 11 359 4 342 3*002 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography