DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 55.3 - - 53.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -3 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 121 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2992 - - 4422 - - 4522 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 194 - - 187 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -616 - - -744 - - -684 - - -356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 737 - - 866 - - 805 - - 477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1183 - - -1124 - - -1431 - - -2071 ODpotential blCL - - - 1304 - - 1245 - - 1552 - - 2192 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 90 - - 81 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 380 - - 380 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 55.3 - - 53.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 51.8 - - 50.7 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 55.6 - - 54.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 51.0 - - 49.9 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -3 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 58 - - 25 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96128 26 311 20 312 22 312 27 302 96128 89080 17 308 13 311 18 321 18 312 89080 83618 13 304 11 290 14 317 15 310 83618 79066 13 270 16 280 12 328 14 304 79066 75123 9 246 19 279 14 291 14 274 75123 71604 12 241 19 273 13 269 12 240 71604 68381 20 241 17 252 14 272 14 246 68381 65381 26 247 27 246 23 259 15 269 65381 62578 27 241 31 241 31 254 28 267 62578 59859 30 244 34 245 36 248 31 250 59859 57006 31 239 36 240 32 248 32 249 57006 54028 27 243 33 239 34 251 37 247 54028 51180 29 252 35 242 35 245 35 246 51180 48621 39 258 39 251 38 253 38 253 48621 46333 47 253 52 252 44 255 42 258 46333 44260 50 251 55 245 49 256 46 257 44260 42365 59 251 54 244 53 252 49 253 42365 40623 62 245 61 243 57 247 54 248 40623 39009 66 241 64 244 61 248 57 245 39009 37506 75 240 70 248 65 249 59 244 37506 36102 84 235 74 247 65 246 61 244 36102 34759 84 231 75 241 66 244 64 243 34759 33413 85 235 76 237 68 242 65 241 33413 32029 93 236 76 235 66 241 63 241 32029 30607 93 236 74 233 61 241 61 240 30607 29132 82 237 71 229 54 243 57 238 29132 27595 71 239 65 220 50 248 50 239 27595 25988 70 236 58 209 45 252 46 241 25988 24301 66 231 54 211 38 260 43 242 24301 22533 57 232 48 214 33 261 37 243 22533 20689 50 228 46 220 30 240 32 248 20689 18763 42 228 44 225 27 228 30 252 18763 16749 30 230 37 234 26 232 28 251 16749 14693 29 232 29 246 25 234 25 248 14693 12708 30 233 26 245 25 235 24 247 12708 10902 28 233 22 238 24 238 24 244 10902 9295 25 239 20 244 24 245 23 238 9295 7867 20 247 17 252 20 251 21 236 7867 6598 14 255 14 256 16 258 19 239 6598 5473 12 265 13 252 16 261 18 244 5473 4478 12 271 13 246 15 261 17 252 4478 3604 13 272 14 243 15 254 16 258 3604 2834 14 270 15 239 16 245 16 260 2834 2146 14 264 14 234 16 237 16 259 2146 1537 12 252 13 225 15 230 16 255 1537 1031 10 231 12 214 14 220 14 246 1031 642 9 210 10 205 13 208 12 229 642 375 8 197 10 201 11 199 11 209 375 213 7 193 8 197 9 191 9*197 213 121 5*192 6*194 6*187 6*191 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography