DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.8 - - 92.1 - - 99.1 - - 101.0 - - 90.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 297 - - 375 - - 179 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 2314 - - 5917 - - 8356 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 1494 - - 4351 - - 5842 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 229 - - 2422 - - 6025 - - 8464 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 687 - - 1801 - - 3150 - - 2791 - - 1511 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 358 - - 529 - - 466 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 50 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 005 - - 326 - - 224 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - -9 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7555 - - -7860 - - -6475 - - -5229 - - -9146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7785 - - 10282 - - 12501 - - 13693 - - 9270 sfcLCL ODpotential -14158 - - -11975 - - -9757 - - -8099 - - -12954 ODpotential blCL 14387 - - 14397 - - 15782 - - 16563 - - 13078 blCL maxRH 30 - - 32 - - 70 - - 82 - - 22 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 78.8 - - 92.1 - - 99.1 - - 101.0 - - 90.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 47.5 - - 44.2 - - 40.6 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.7 - - 90.2 - - 96.8 - - 99.6 - - 91.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 43.4 - - 39.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 297 - - 375 - - 179 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 2314 - - 5917 - - 8356 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98339 15 127 11 134 7 083 13 092 16 113 98339 90891 10 126 11 149 7 141 2 076 8 108 90891 85149 7 169 9 165 10 193 3 250 8 135 85149 80372 8 153 9 190 7 212 4 225 4 163 80372 76256 5 096 7 177 5 197 4 159 4 196 76256 72634 3 067 4 137 3 183 6 131 3 120 72634 69365 6 053 7 133 5 183 3 190 1 048 69365 66360 5 027 6 156 5 222 4 302 3 351 66360 63578 5 004 3 205 5 239 8 284 4 317 63578 60895 8 326 3 276 6 238 11 252 8 288 60895 58110 17 308 7 303 7 250 14 246 15 270 58110 55237 25 294 17 284 18 264 19 257 21 256 55237 52503 27 282 24 279 23 265 24 262 27 254 52503 50040 27 272 31 276 28 266 28 263 32 258 50040 47831 28 273 33 272 31 267 35 267 37 263 47831 45831 30 274 32 272 33 267 38 263 37 263 45831 44009 32 262 33 264 35 267 35 259 38 264 44009 42342 35 257 39 246 37 261 32 262 36 260 42342 40796 41 255 43 251 40 251 34 260 31 260 40796 39348 42 256 49 251 44 251 42 244 29 258 39348 37983 40 257 45 251 45 249 42 243 33 252 37983 36660 38 259 41 251 42 248 42 240 40 245 36660 35311 36 264 39 251 42 247 42 244 41 242 35311 33904 34 267 38 250 40 247 41 246 40 243 33904 32441 33 266 37 249 38 248 38 247 39 246 32441 30908 31 263 34 248 35 251 36 249 37 249 30908 29289 28 257 32 243 33 248 34 250 36 248 29289 27589 24 251 31 237 31 244 33 248 36 248 27589 25805 22 251 27 239 27 245 32 248 34 248 25805 23937 20 256 22 244 24 251 28 251 32 247 23937 21989 16 264 16 247 21 249 24 252 29 247 21989 19956 14 268 15 258 20 250 23 250 26 246 19956 17832 14 265 16 265 20 256 22 243 24 237 17832 15662 13 259 16 266 16 258 16 238 22 226 15662 13565 10 254 12 266 11 248 11 232 17 226 13565 11652 7 249 8 258 8 236 10 215 12 226 11652 9949 4 260 7 222 7 228 9*224 9 223 9949 8432 2 044 5 210 7 223 9*245 4 217 8432 7083 6 046 3 165 5*244 9 244 3 203 7083 5882 8 041 5 062 2*274 8 241 3 207 5882 4817 12 029 8 045 2 302 7 232 5 232 4817 3877 14 019 9 032 2 318 6 217 8 254 3877 3048 14 017 11*014 2 330 5 207 11 262 3048 2306 18 016 12*005 2 337 5 197 15 266 2306 1650 25 011 12 004 2 341 5 189 17 266 1650 1104 26 007 12 005 2 345 5 182 18 260 1104 685 21 003 12 004 2 346 4 179 18 251 685 398 14*358 11 004 2 349 4 176 15 242 398 223 11*355 10 004 2 350 4 176 12*236 223 124 8 355 9 004 2 350 4 176 8*232 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography