DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 84.9 - - 88.1 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 272 - - 71 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1329 - - 3797 - - 3767 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 627 - - 2565 - - 1693 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1435 - - 3903 - - 3874 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1188 - - 2507 - - 3535 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 409 - - 264 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 353 - - 000 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4071 - - -4474 - - -6210 - - -7719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5506 - - 8378 - - 10085 - - 7842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9302 - - -8682 - - -11783 - - -15867 ODpotential blCL - - - 10737 - - 12585 - - 15657 - - 15990 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 46 - - 43 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 84.9 - - 88.1 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 48.7 - - 44.4 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 83.2 - - 87.4 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 48.2 - - 43.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 272 - - 71 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1329 - - 3797 - - 3767 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98889 15 110 15 096 13 086 16 088 98889 91522 13 105 12 083 12 088 13 074 91522 85831 16 086 2 028 14 057 12 078 85831 81098 7 102 2 072 7 050 13 067 81098 77006 6 156 5 061 6 048 8 059 77006 73380 3 074 3 103 1 035 5 010 73380 70091 2 250 3 229 4 278 9 335 70091 67063 6 191 9 252 10 266 11 316 67063 64260 3 186 9 238 12 259 10 287 64260 61559 10 282 11 237 15 259 14 270 61559 58758 17 284 13 241 18 249 18 257 58758 55864 22 294 17 263 20 259 22 266 55864 53116 27 296 22 272 24 278 24 273 53116 50650 28 284 27 283 29 285 30 286 50650 48437 31 285 31 290 37 288 39 286 48437 46423 32 289 38 295 40 289 43 286 46423 44567 35 289 42 297 42 292 44 285 44567 42840 36 291 44 296 43 294 46 286 42840 41225 35 294 43 295 45 295 45 286 41225 39712 35 298 44 297 44 293 43 286 39712 38292 34 305 40 299 42 294 39 288 38292 36928 36 309 35 305 40 298 34 293 36928 35545 36 317 34 316 35 306 32 303 35545 34112 36 327 35 328 35 315 31 306 34112 32627 36 342 36 335 38 319 31 309 32627 31076 38 352 34 342 38 319 30 314 31076 29442 38 358 33 346 34 321 30 316 29442 27724 35 004 32 351 29 329 26 318 27724 25918 30 007 31 004 24 340 21 325 25918 24024 27 001 28 015 20 353 16 334 24024 22044 26 354 23 012 17 002 13 341 22044 19976 26 355 20 006 16 358 14 340 19976 17815 24 355 19 006 16 353 16 338 17815 15608 21 359 18 007 16 003 15 350 15608 13483 22 015 18 011 18 018 15 030 13483 11561 23 028 21 017 22 024 17 047 11561 9860 21 031 21 018 20 028 14 057 9860 8349 16 026 20 014 16 034 12 054 8349 7005 14 018 18 012 14 025 12 030 7005 5811 12 012 15 010 14 010 14 017 5811 4754 10 006 13*002 13*000 14 010 4754 3825 10 007 11*353 10*358 12 360 3825 3005 12 006 10 352 9 358 9 344 3005 2273 12 001 9 352 8 359 6 329 2273 1627 10*353 8 353 7 001 4 308 1627 1089 7*347 8 354 7 002 3 273 1089 676 6 347 7 356 6 004 3 238 676 393 5 346 6 356 6 004 4 221 393 221 5 348 6 357 5 003 5 215 221 123 5 348 6 357 5 004 5*218 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography