DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.9 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 184 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2581 - - 5844 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1585 - - 3936 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2687 - - 5950 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2618 - - 2944 - - - - - 2867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 419 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 192 - - - - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1173 - - -62 - - - - - -3416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3861 - - 6012 - - - - - 3539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2106 - - -567 - - - - - -5792 ODpotential blCL - - - 4793 - - 6517 - - - - - 5914 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 420 - - - - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.9 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 50.9 - - - - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 75.6 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 50.1 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 184 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2581 - - 5844 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 70 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96838 44 282 39 267 39 268 96838 89565 26 281 33 275 34 280 89565 84023 16 296 29 283 30 292 84023 79442 19 294 26 277 31 297 79442 75493 23 299 22 276 27 288 75493 71992 27 307 21 295 23 282 71992 68797 31 295 27 294 23 294 68797 65826 30 282 29 280 24 291 65826 63042 23 277 27 267 24 274 63042 60337 16 285 22 259 23 273 60337 57514 19 285 20 263 20 271 57514 54577 25 268 21 264 16 270 54577 51766 24 263 22 259 15 267 51766 49227 19 257 21 254 15 258 49227 46950 16 257 23 247 15 248 46950 44891 19 248 26 242 20 241 44891 43012 22 240 27 231 23 232 43012 41285 27 237 27 226 25 227 41285 39691 36 234 30 231 31 221 39691 38217 44 230 38 228 40 213 38217 36848 51 226 42 222 48 209 36848 35540 55 222 43 218 53 208 35540 34217 55 221 43 218 57 205 34217 32846 53 222 44 217 58 202 32846 31421 50 222 46 218 55 203 31421 29927 48 222 48 218 52 204 29927 28352 46 223 48 218 49 206 28352 26696 45 222 47 218 45 208 26696 24957 42 220 45 219 42 208 24957 23137 38 216 43 217 38 205 23137 21241 33 209 39 211 35 201 21241 19264 30 205 37 204 34 197 19264 17200 29 203 33 202 32 191 17200 15092 28 196 32 196 32 187 15092 13058 29 193 30 193 30 189 13058 11207 26 195 26 195 28 191 11207 9561 22 196 22 193 24 193 9561 8097 19 195 18 188 20 198 8097 6794 17 195 15*190 18 206 6794 5637 14 196 11*194 17 209 5637 4613 12 195 11 194 15 211 4613 3712 10 199 11 193 14 214 3712 2917 7*210 11 193 14 223 2917 2207 5*219 11 192 14 239 2207 1581 4 216 11 191 16 247 1581 1059 4 211 10 191 17 246 1059 660 3 206 10 190 16 244 660 384 3 203 10 189 13 239 384 218 2 202 9 190 10 235 218 122 2 200 8 189 6*231 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography