DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 60.0 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 51 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 969 - - 3815 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 1506 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1074 - - 3920 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3362 - - 2685 - - - - - 4295 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 93 - - 250 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 13 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 260 - - - - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 15 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -705 - - 808 - - - - - -920 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1779 - - 3112 - - - - - 1042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1256 - - 139 - - - - - -1391 ODpotential blCL - - - 2330 - - 3781 - - - - - 1513 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 130 - - - - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 60.0 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 46.8 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 59.5 - - - - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 45.5 - - - - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 51 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 969 - - 3815 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97335 34 294 31 291 33 295 97335 89989 24 285 26 287 31 299 89989 84374 19 286 21 288 26 300 84374 79712 21 284 21 290 18 293 79712 75666 20 276 23 277 18 273 75666 72069 16 268 23 260 22 262 72069 68801 16 262 22 257 20 265 68801 65787 20 268 20 257 17 267 65787 62978 24 267 21 256 18 273 62978 60239 25 260 25 250 21 275 60239 57368 23 258 25 247 23 270 57368 54378 23 266 22 247 23 268 54378 51520 25 273 19 265 23 266 51520 48948 27 272 24 271 19 264 48948 46646 28 271 27 274 19 275 46646 44563 28 269 28 278 21 282 44563 42662 29 274 30 278 24 294 42662 40918 32 271 32 280 24 294 40918 39306 27 273 30 284 24 294 39306 37810 30 294 30 291 24 296 37810 36413 36 292 33 290 22 298 36413 35075 37 286 35 286 23 297 35075 33725 34 288 34 286 23 297 33725 32334 34 291 34 288 23 292 32334 30904 39 292 33 290 24 291 30904 29417 41 289 34 290 23 294 29417 27861 40 288 35 288 22 297 27861 26231 37 288 34 289 21 297 26231 24524 32 286 30 290 20 299 24524 22738 30 287 26 288 18 300 22738 20873 28 290 24 293 16 303 20873 18922 26 291 22 300 15 306 18922 16880 22 293 16 302 13 312 16880 14795 15 293 10 298 8 330 14795 12790 9 290 6 341 3 011 12790 10967 5 273 8 012 5 017 10967 9348 3 233 3 046 4 028 9348 7911 3 210 6 179 1 189 7911 6635 6 215 8 195 6 206 6635 5504 9 233 8 215 7 206 5504 4505 7 227 7*237 7 218 4505 3626 8 221 6*250 8 241 3626 2850 8 220 5 253 8 254 2850 2157 7 211 4 257 8 253 2157 1546 7*202 3 262 7 250 1546 1037 6*191 2 272 6 248 1037 646 5 182 2 280 5 245 646 378 5 178 2 283 4 239 378 215 4 176 2 286 3*232 215 122 4 176 2 290 2*233 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography