DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.8 - - 56.3 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 33 - - -46 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 966 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 1071 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 622 - - 1057 - - 1183 - - 123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 139 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 19 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 360 - - 348 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2840 - - -4157 - - -4246 - - -2245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2961 - - 5229 - - 4368 - - 2366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12439 - - -11657 - - -11032 - - -11156 ODpotential blCL - - - 12560 - - 12728 - - 11154 - - 11277 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 40 - - 41 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.8 - - 56.3 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 36.8 - - 38.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 58.9 - - 58.3 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 35.9 - - 37.3 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 33 - - -46 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 966 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96759 56 052 57 075 50 087 42 079 96759 89612 40 065 42 082 38 085 35 077 89612 84066 33 075 32 078 29 085 36 081 84066 79457 33 079 25 070 33 071 38 083 79457 75480 32 081 18 079 23 053 32 068 75480 71961 24 076 18 076 16 058 29 066 71961 68767 23 067 22 049 31 056 34 057 68767 65833 26 053 21 054 30 038 31 035 65833 63121 29 046 24 062 22 039 24 029 63121 60484 34 040 32 045 31 048 25 040 60484 57718 41 036 40 034 43 040 40 043 57718 54860 49 033 50 031 49 030 49 036 54860 52164 62 028 61 028 56 031 52 035 52164 49745 72 019 65 021 62 029 53 032 49745 47563 67 014 62 017 64 023 55 028 47563 45570 64 013 63 019 66 016 59 028 45570 43737 66 011 69 018 71 013 69 026 43737 42046 65 012 76 013 76 009 80 022 42046 40482 70 012 83 006 75 007 83 015 40482 39025 81 016 82 013 76 015 84 005 39025 37658 105 019 111 022 90 024 78 005 37658 36337 109 019 119 021 95 024 74 012 36337 34991 100 017 117 021 97 022 72 014 34991 33586 92 011 111 021 97 021 73 012 33586 32120 89 007 102 017 97 019 72 008 32120 30576 91 008 97 011 91 016 75 011 30576 28945 86 009 99 008 88 014 76 019 28945 27227 73 005 95 005 87 015 80 021 27227 25419 64 001 92 006 86 014 87 021 25419 23522 57 359 79 008 82 015 85 022 23522 21541 46 357 59 008 75 016 76 022 21541 19478 39 357 47 003 51 012 67 022 19478 17340 38 358 37 358 36 014 54 022 17340 15170 38 005 32 006 33 010 38 015 15170 13087 36 013 33 014 27 360 30 010 13087 11203 33 028 29 020 23 014 24 004 11203 9534 28 042 24 034 22 026 22 021 9534 8056 20 051 18 050 17 039 18 034 8056 6745 17 055 16 055 14 047 14 039 6745 5587 21 065 16 055 14 046 13 037 5587 4564 24 075 17 059 15 042 15 034 4564 3666 24 076 18 056 16 040 16 032 3666 2875 20 063 19 043 18 029 18 028 2875 2170 18 033 20 020 20 010 20 014 2170 1550 23 011 23*004 24 003 26 009 1550 1036 26 004 21*001 23 358 29 007 1036 643 23 001 20 000 20 355 25 002 643 375 14 353 19 359 17 353 16 349 375 213 12 350 16 359 14*351 12 339 213 121 9*350 13 359 8*348 6*330 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography