DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 79.5 - - 81.2 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 246 - - 66 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1287 - - 3507 - - 3562 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 606 - - 2312 - - 1517 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1393 - - 3613 - - 3668 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 874 - - 2684 - - 3431 - - 3225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 387 - - 257 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 39 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 080 - - 190 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5388 - - -5414 - - -6537 - - -7869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6781 - - 9027 - - 10205 - - 7992 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9981 - - -10010 - - -10707 - - -12761 ODpotential blCL - - - 11374 - - 13623 - - 14375 - - 12884 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 85 - - 91 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 79.5 - - 81.2 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 40.3 - - 36.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 77.9 - - 80.4 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 39.4 - - 36.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 246 - - 66 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1287 - - 3507 - - 3562 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96787 31 270 35 283 31 287 34 287 96787 89601 29 282 27 283 38 302 31 308 89601 84111 19 287 21 289 30 301 26 320 84111 79556 15 318 17 294 20 294 25 323 79556 75622 19 326 13 299 15 295 21 320 75622 72143 15 316 13 306 12 291 18 317 72143 68983 15 316 16 305 15 309 17 308 68983 66058 18 305 19 289 17 299 17 288 66058 63321 20 277 22 279 21 293 22 276 63321 60649 21 268 28 271 26 278 25 263 60649 57842 28 267 33 268 28 274 25 259 57842 54899 33 265 38 270 36 273 33 265 54899 52068 40 256 46 262 46 268 39 268 52068 49526 41 249 45 257 50 262 43 266 49526 47263 37 248 41 257 48 253 45 259 47263 45225 33 258 37 263 37 259 41 257 45225 43377 34 267 40 267 37 272 37 262 43377 41691 37 269 40 264 42 270 38 264 41691 40142 37 267 36 262 40 264 35 264 40142 38703 34 261 33 258 36 265 31 268 38703 37353 30 255 29 253 31 263 31 269 37353 36051 27 253 27 249 25 259 29 263 36051 34728 25 255 25 247 24 253 24 244 34728 33350 22 255 22 251 24 247 25 227 33350 31914 21 247 21 258 22 252 24 235 31914 30402 21 229 20 258 18 257 20 243 30402 28804 25 211 23 247 17 256 17 241 28804 27121 25 212 24 234 16 244 17 232 27121 25354 24 227 30 226 19 228 18 233 25354 23507 22 234 29 225 23 224 22 237 23507 21584 19 221 24 214 19 225 21 237 21584 19574 17 199 18 203 13 231 16 233 19574 17470 15 202 14 195 13 222 13 230 17470 15322 12 199 13 200 16 211 12 209 15322 13252 12 198 13 214 16 220 10 208 13252 11368 14 190 15 221 16 216 12 205 11368 9695 13 187 15 217 16 207 13 200 9695 8210 10 190 11 213 15 211 12 194 8210 6890 7 194 8 195 11 225 9 186 6890 5719 6 193 7 180 6 201 7 179 5719 4681 5 186 5 174 5 187 5 190 4681 3768 3 170 3*148 5*184 5 209 3768 2962 2 127 2*094 4*184 5 217 2962 2241 3 051 2 082 4 187 5 216 2241 1604 6*013 2 079 4 190 5 212 1604 1074 6*010 2 076 4 190 4 207 1074 668 5 011 2 073 4 194 3 200 668 389 5 011 1 074 4 195 3 195 389 219 5 011 1 076 4 195 3*195 219 123 4 010 1 077 4 196 3*200 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography