DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 9 - - -35 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 122 - - 2183 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 226 - - 2288 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3148 - - 3352 - - 3524 - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 45 - - 160 - - 19 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 21 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 003 - - 351 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2547 - - -953 - - -1629 - - -900 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2773 - - 3242 - - 1751 - - 1020 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4192 - - -3030 - - -2983 - - -4377 ODpotential blCL - - - 4418 - - 5318 - - 3104 - - 4497 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 56 - - 65 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 37.5 - - 41.9 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 50.8 - - 50.0 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 36.3 - - 40.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 9 - - -35 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 122 - - 2183 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96078 41 280 47 268 48 270 43 272 96078 89021 26 277 30 275 24 291 21 270 89021 83554 22 278 23 272 25 283 14 279 83554 78976 21 291 20 281 27 281 19 276 78976 75023 18 290 14 300 14 301 13 295 75023 71504 22 281 24 300 18 313 15 317 71504 68288 20 269 25 287 23 291 24 303 68288 65316 12 266 17 280 21 287 24 288 65316 62546 23 325 18 326 17 303 17 297 62546 59852 36 314 25 316 18 331 19 327 59852 57030 42 303 32 309 29 331 28 330 57030 54082 37 294 37 309 40 321 34 325 54082 51266 32 306 39 310 45 318 41 325 51266 48752 41 321 42 317 45 322 41 326 48752 46516 49 322 45 318 43 329 40 335 46516 44501 49 323 44 327 48 339 50 339 44501 42672 51 337 49 334 59 341 56 338 42672 41002 62 341 55 335 64 338 57 345 41002 39474 71 338 59 339 63 341 67 348 39474 38070 73 337 64 346 67 351 74 348 38070 36760 69 342 73 353 79 001 73 355 36760 35486 69 353 82 355 93 004 75 352 35486 34179 81 357 85 355 97 004 80 355 34179 32813 86 354 85 356 94 005 75 352 32813 31391 83 351 85 356 86 001 73 343 31391 29897 80 349 82 356 75 355 69 342 29897 28316 79 350 76 354 70 355 63 350 28316 26650 78 351 69 351 69 353 59 356 26650 24897 77 351 64 350 66 347 58 355 24897 23059 75 350 62 352 59 344 59 356 23059 21142 72 350 61 355 54 349 55 355 21142 19147 69 351 59 359 53 355 50 350 19147 17068 65 351 56 003 51 003 45 351 17068 14943 60 351 53 004 48 010 41 001 14943 12888 55 355 50 005 46 015 37 015 12888 11015 51 007 45 009 43 019 35 027 11015 9353 44 017 38 015 40 023 35 035 9353 7887 38 022 33 022 35 027 34 041 7887 6599 33 026 28 031 27 035 28 043 6599 5466 29 028 21 036 20 042 21 044 5466 4468 26 028 20 031 17 036 18 043 4468 3592 25 025 22 022 17 025 17 040 3592 2820 26 018 24*013 21 018 18 036 2820 2131 28 011 24*006 26 009 23 027 2131 1524 28 004 23 003 25 003 28 017 1524 1020 25 356 22 002 23 360 28 008 1020 635 21 350 21 002 20 357 22 357 635 371 17*345 19 001 16 354 16 347 371 212 15*343 17 000 13*353 12 342 212 120 11 342 13 360 9*351 6*336 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography