DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 76.5 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 182 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1980 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1084 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 748 - - 2087 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 611 - - 1526 - - - - - 105 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 291 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 103 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 303 - - - - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4932 - - -6095 - - - - - -5235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5681 - - 8182 - - - - - 5357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13543 - - -12526 - - - - - -12563 ODpotential blCL - - - 14291 - - 14613 - - - - - 12685 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 41 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 76.5 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 41.4 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 75.2 - - - - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 40.3 - - - - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 182 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1980 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96233 5 226 5 304 9 337 96233 89131 9 074 4 076 10 358 89131 83663 13 029 6 019 8 032 83663 79113 15 008 12 348 15 005 79113 75189 14 355 14 347 15 001 75189 71722 23 344 19 338 23 347 71722 68591 27 340 22 327 29 329 68591 65716 30 330 25 314 31 325 65716 63047 31 318 28 303 35 314 63047 60450 37 315 33 302 35 307 60450 57728 43 304 40 299 38 304 57728 54893 46 299 47 298 43 303 54893 52177 53 296 55 295 52 302 52177 49730 55 289 58 294 56 294 49730 47536 53 291 55 289 59 292 47536 45545 49 294 50 286 60 291 45545 43724 50 289 51 292 56 288 43724 42044 50 284 52 291 54 287 42044 40484 56 278 65 283 54 284 40484 39027 71 277 76 278 54 281 39027 37656 77 276 78 274 57 278 37656 36329 73 275 76 273 60 275 36329 34978 70 276 73 273 59 276 34978 33571 65 276 70 276 67 275 33571 32110 61 278 63 276 78 272 32110 30579 56 275 57 274 76 273 30579 28966 54 274 56 276 65 277 28966 27270 51 275 52 273 52 281 27270 25490 46 278 46 274 43 286 25490 23635 41 286 43 279 37 284 23635 21708 38 291 39 279 35 281 21708 19692 35 295 35 277 34 280 19692 17578 32 298 32 273 33 282 17578 15412 30 297 29 271 32 286 15412 13320 26 297 24 275 26 291 13320 11418 19 295 19 284 19 288 11418 9728 15 293 15 289 16 285 9728 8228 13 295 12 294 13 291 8228 6898 10 297 9 299 11 299 6898 5718 8 300 7 303 8 303 5718 4675 4 302 6 296 8 298 4675 3758 1 279 5 275 8 282 3758 2951 1 209 4 272 8 263 2951 2231 1 348 2*282 6 242 2231 1596 3 342 1*289 5 208 1596 1068 6*340 1 302 6 183 1068 664 5*341 0 311 7 172 664 386 4 347 0 334 7 167 386 218 4 350 0 022 6 169 218 122 3 350 0 008 5*171 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography