DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.5 - - 47.9 - - 59.5 - - 60.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 47 - - 89 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 288 - - 950 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 392 - - 1055 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 255 - - 586 - - 1670 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 98 - - 181 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 339 - - 359 - - 353 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -913 - - -1499 - - -2493 - - -2736 - - -979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1033 - - 1891 - - 3549 - - 2857 - - 1100 sfcLCL ODpotential -14184 - - -12010 - - -10142 - - -9226 - - -9534 ODpotential blCL 14304 - - 12402 - - 11197 - - 9347 - - 9655 blCL maxRH 64 - - 75 - - 61 - - 67 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.5 - - 47.9 - - 59.5 - - 60.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 40.5 - - 44.8 - - 48.2 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 47.4 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 47.3 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 47 - - 89 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 288 - - 950 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95568 54 289 58 296 66 292 62 303 55 282 95568 88676 36 306 29 311 39 286 42 302 35 315 88676 83322 27 318 17 336 24 293 32 287 33 319 83322 78827 19 326 16 347 15 335 13 284 23 305 78827 74915 14 320 16 340 15 008 3 338 18 291 74915 71445 15 310 17 299 14 326 11 329 16 314 71445 68326 16 305 15 285 17 279 19 298 13 310 68326 65470 20 315 10 297 16 268 22 291 13 287 65470 62816 23 293 13 289 16 270 28 282 21 263 62816 60240 27 291 20 276 18 256 35 271 29 258 60240 57537 31 278 28 276 26 271 42 270 36 261 57537 54723 31 272 37 267 43 264 47 265 41 253 54723 52018 32 296 35 267 38 259 40 268 33 261 52018 49565 49 292 42 280 39 285 55 276 53 274 49565 47364 53 289 47 273 47 265 54 261 54 263 47364 45359 50 286 46 272 46 260 49 256 50 256 45359 43516 51 280 45 272 45 266 51 256 51 251 43516 41823 52 271 49 267 50 265 52 252 57 245 41823 40279 46 266 55 260 56 258 52 251 54 243 40279 38860 37 267 55 253 58 248 50 253 48 249 38860 37523 34 260 46 258 49 244 45 251 45 250 37523 36217 32 258 47 264 46 247 46 242 43 245 36217 34876 36 257 47 261 46 245 43 238 44 229 34876 33477 41 264 48 255 47 240 45 234 47 219 33477 32023 53 268 48 252 46 239 48 230 50 219 32023 30497 55 265 52 247 50 236 48 227 51 221 30497 28887 50 259 52 241 56 232 52 228 54 221 28887 27194 47 254 50 237 55 229 55 228 58 220 27194 25418 44 246 47 233 52 227 55 228 60 221 25418 23560 41 242 46 229 48 228 53 228 58 220 23560 21623 41 248 46 229 47 229 48 225 53 218 21623 19597 42 256 46 232 46 229 46 223 50 220 19597 17475 38 252 43 233 44 229 46 222 47 226 17475 15306 36 236 38 229 41 232 44 225 43 230 15306 13214 27 236 28 229 34 235 37 231 34 229 13214 11316 16 229 18 226 23 233 25 227 25 212 11316 9631 16 221 17 209 18 213 21 209 23 202 9631 8135 15 219 16 209 18 202 19 200 18 202 8135 6808 14 220 14 209 17 190 17 191 14 203 6808 5633 11 219 11 207 16 179 16 183 12 208 5633 4596 6 194 8 185 16 171 15 182 10 212 4596 3685 7 157 9 165 17 169 15 182 6 204 3685 2886 7 145 7 153 15 163 12 184 3 140 2886 2178 5 110 5 083 9 159 4 192 5 087 2178 1557 3 053 6 044 1*106 5 354 3 083 1557 1043 6 356 7 009 4*353 4 350 1 070 1043 649 8 354 7*351 4 358 4 354 1 326 649 378 7 349 5*340 4 002 3 353 1 294 378 215 4 329 3 338 3 004 3 354 2 283 215 121 1*329 3 338 3 004 3*353 3*281 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography