DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 77.1 - - 76.9 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 359 - - 169 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1798 - - 3348 - - 3358 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1073 - - 2332 - - 2036 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1904 - - 3454 - - 3465 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 779 - - 1326 - - 1986 - - 2247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 432 - - 338 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 163 - - 182 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1916 - - -2462 - - -2854 - - -4119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3820 - - 5916 - - 6320 - - 4242 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5972 - - -5254 - - -5995 - - -8035 ODpotential blCL - - - 7876 - - 8708 - - 9460 - - 8158 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 75 - - 69 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 77.1 - - 76.9 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 51.5 - - 49.6 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.8 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 50.7 - - 48.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 359 - - 169 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1798 - - 3348 - - 3358 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97401 9 241 16 266 23 266 19 270 97401 89986 7 251 11 264 13 260 16 260 89986 84351 10 273 12 273 10 282 10 260 84351 79697 9 297 14 290 12 317 7 304 79697 75688 8 319 13 291 14 315 13 311 75688 72148 10 323 10 299 13 307 16 318 72148 68931 10 320 10 283 15 307 17 317 68931 65956 10 315 11 293 18 304 13 315 65956 63183 12 312 13 293 18 295 14 314 63183 60482 13 309 14 298 17 298 16 300 60482 57656 17 300 17 296 17 300 17 283 57656 54717 21 292 19 296 18 294 15 287 54717 51903 22 282 21 290 20 282 17 283 51903 49366 23 272 24 279 22 276 18 280 49366 47098 24 264 27 267 24 270 22 267 47098 45047 24 263 27 253 30 257 28 252 45047 43175 28 256 27 246 30 247 29 242 43175 41460 33 247 28 245 30 245 29 244 41460 39880 38 242 35 240 36 241 33 241 39880 38419 47 241 47 239 42 234 37 235 38419 37063 57 241 58 237 46 229 42 229 37063 35769 62 234 59 233 47 224 44 218 35769 34457 57 234 56 230 48 222 43 216 34457 33089 55 234 56 229 48 222 44 218 33089 31663 54 230 55 227 48 221 45 216 31663 30169 54 228 53 225 47 219 44 212 30169 28591 54 227 52 226 47 217 43 208 28591 26930 53 228 50 226 45 217 43 205 26930 25185 50 228 46 225 42 216 41 202 25185 23359 46 225 42 222 39 213 39 200 23359 21453 40 223 38 216 37 208 38 200 21453 19458 34 217 35 209 37 202 38 197 19458 17371 32 206 35 201 36 197 37 191 17371 15239 32 202 35 200 35 196 35 187 15239 13179 29 203 33 198 33 192 33 185 13179 11302 27 199 33 192 32 187 32 185 11302 9634 30 191 35 187 30 186 31 185 9634 8153 32 183 34 186 27 186 29 186 8153 6838 31 181 31 189 25 189 27 186 6838 5670 29 186 26 194 20 193 24 186 5670 4637 26 193 19 197 15 196 21 188 4637 3729 19 204 12*185 14*192 17 193 3729 2929 11 206 12*175 14*189 13 191 2929 2216 7*175 12 167 14 185 9 193 2216 1587 8*159 12 163 15 182 9 207 1587 1063 8 156 12 160 15 180 11 208 1063 662 8 153 12 157 15 178 11 204 662 386 8 152 12 156 14 177 10 195 386 218 7 151 11 156 13 177 8*186 218 123 7 151 10 155 11 175 6*180 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography