DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 63.7 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 70 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 2124 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 485 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1760 - - 2229 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2243 - - 2866 - - - - - 3614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 226 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 182 - - - - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 619 - - 612 - - - - - -983 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1141 - - 1618 - - - - - 1105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 248 - - 150 - - - - - -1933 ODpotential blCL - - - 1512 - - 2079 - - - - - 2055 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 1320 - - - - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 63.7 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.9 - - - - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 63.2 - - - - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 55.9 - - - - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 70 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 2124 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97078 50 277 55 274 53 291 97078 89683 40 264 47 274 44 282 89683 84063 33 269 34 278 36 283 84063 79439 28 274 31 284 29 281 79439 75486 29 277 30 281 26 283 75486 71983 33 280 26 281 30 271 71983 68772 33 279 22 280 32 264 68772 65785 31 272 23 279 30 267 65785 62991 27 256 24 273 30 270 62991 60267 23 244 27 263 28 272 60267 57419 19 246 26 253 25 272 57419 54470 16 255 21 248 22 269 54470 51662 16 262 18 245 22 267 51662 49129 16 262 18 250 23 270 49129 46848 15 254 19 248 22 267 46848 44771 16 233 20 234 21 263 44771 42865 16 222 19 233 21 262 42865 41107 17 230 19 240 21 262 41107 39478 20 222 21 237 21 262 39478 37962 25 212 25 230 22 259 37962 36544 28 199 26 223 23 255 36544 35181 31 198 28 215 24 251 35181 33805 37 196 30 206 23 247 33805 32387 44 197 33 203 23 238 32387 30934 49 193 37 196 25 220 30934 29432 44 186 41 186 27 203 29432 27873 35 178 39 177 29 200 27873 26253 35 182 33 178 30 201 26253 24561 36 185 35 181 27 204 24561 22788 34 188 33 188 26 203 22788 20931 36 189 31 195 25 201 20931 18986 35 190 31 202 24 204 18986 16950 31 186 27 203 23 211 16950 14870 28 185 26 193 23 213 14870 12864 27 187 27 189 23 213 12864 11037 26 191 26 192 24 214 11037 9413 23 193 22 194 23 216 9413 7970 20 192 23 193 21 214 7970 6688 16 192 24 195 19 209 6688 5549 13 197 22 199 18 204 5549 4542 11 208 20 201 16 203 4542 3655 9 208 17 201 15 213 3655 2874 8 203 16*198 15 224 2874 2176 8*196 14*193 16 229 2176 1559 8*183 13 183 15 229 1559 1045 7 166 12 181 14 227 1045 651 7 161 12 179 13 222 651 380 7 158 11 178 10 214 380 216 7 157 11 177 7*205 216 122 6 155 9 176 4*198 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography