DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 43.9 - - 54.4 - - 54.5 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 35 - - 81 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 564 - - 149 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 120 - - 669 - - 254 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 626 - - 837 - - 275 - - 663 - - 218 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 33 - - 147 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 325 - - 023 - - 057 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -88 - - -143 - - -940 - - -739 - - -471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 208 - - 263 - - 1609 - - 993 - - 592 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -17 - - -11713 - - -11181 - - -13476 ODpotential blCL 120 - - 137 - - 12382 - - 11435 - - 13597 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 84 - - 86 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 43.9 - - 54.4 - - 54.5 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.4 - - 43.6 - - 48.2 - - 50.9 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.3 - - 43.5 - - 53.7 - - 55.1 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 43.4 - - 47.4 - - 50.3 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 35 - - 81 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 564 - - 149 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 37 - - 44 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96588 26 100 27 100 28 098 39 093 24 126 96588 89526 25 081 25 105 19 120 18 078 21 079 89526 84030 16 094 21 089 13 089 10 053 19 066 84030 79430 17 097 18 072 11 063 13 355 26 032 79430 75461 20 079 22 048 12 060 9 359 25 021 75461 71941 17 040 17 047 19 048 14 025 16 018 71941 68734 13 034 16 007 20 022 17 014 12 025 68734 65770 15 021 14 344 20 356 23 014 17 027 65770 63034 14 339 17 343 22 338 26 002 23 003 63034 60422 15 326 19 342 21 334 26 342 21 340 60422 57715 22 328 22 334 22 330 23 339 17 334 57715 54905 28 321 26 322 26 325 22 332 19 337 54905 52226 32 318 31 318 26 320 24 327 22 330 52226 49822 30 324 31 322 24 336 22 323 19 309 49822 47670 31 334 26 333 24 337 18 318 17 303 47670 45724 30 323 28 325 25 329 18 319 19 311 45724 43961 26 301 37 306 33 321 19 328 10 303 43961 42348 18 283 40 262 35 290 22 307 10 285 42348 40842 20 283 37 254 38 269 30 288 20 296 40842 39420 20 292 35 263 34 281 28 277 24 305 39420 38069 18 293 29 269 29 279 26 268 26 304 38069 36751 17 289 22 273 28 277 30 260 28 297 36751 35400 17 297 19 272 30 274 34 254 30 281 35400 33988 16 306 20 275 31 269 36 251 34 268 33988 32518 15 295 23 277 32 263 35 254 36 265 32518 30974 18 283 27 274 33 260 34 260 38 261 30974 29343 22 282 30 266 33 259 37 267 38 262 29343 27622 24 284 31 253 34 254 40 269 38 266 27622 25810 29 284 33 253 38 252 42 266 42 269 25810 23909 32 286 33 267 38 269 41 269 44 279 23909 21923 29 286 33 274 39 278 40 281 36 291 21923 19855 26 282 32 280 32 289 31 296 28 299 19855 17704 23 286 26 297 26 303 25 307 23 306 17704 15512 24 302 22 307 22 311 22 318 19 307 15512 13394 25 314 23 314 21 316 20 324 17 312 13394 11465 25 322 23 324 20 323 17 326 16 325 11465 9751 25 328 22 335 18 329 16 331 16 335 9751 8231 23 332 20 340 17 333 15 342 15 342 8231 6882 20 336 17 345 15 338 14 355 16 351 6882 5688 16 341 15 353 14 347 16 007 16 002 5688 4635 13 348 12 005 14 358 18 011 17 009 4635 3711 10 356 9 018 15 005 20 010 18 012 3711 2901 10 007 8 027 16 008 24 009 21 010 2901 2182 10 008 9 015 12 008 21 007 23 009 2182 1553 9 356 10 356 11 353 13 346 19 003 1553 1034 9 350 8 339 9*338 9 334 14 350 1034 641 6 005 5 334 3*005 2 338 9 342 641 374 4 031 3 323 3 024 1*030 4 349 374 212 4 038 2 325 3 033 1*051 2*338 212 121 3*040 2*325 3 035 1 060 1*318 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography