DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 60 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 212 - - 537 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 316 - - 642 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 381 - - 259 - - 666 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 133 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 350 - - 074 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 23 - - -1109 - - -1120 - - -64 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 293 - - 1751 - - 1241 - - 184 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 102 - - -13776 - - -12811 - - -14373 ODpotential blCL - - - 214 - - 14418 - - 12932 - - 14493 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 77 - - 74 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 45.6 - - 48.8 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 52.1 - - 55.5 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 44.6 - - 48.0 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 60 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 212 - - 537 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 8 - - 0 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96177 23 006 17 350 15 349 17 016 96177 89231 12 044 11 021 14 016 18 013 89231 83834 18 058 12 040 16 038 16 023 83834 79329 22 060 11 067 20 044 17 042 79329 75410 19 042 8 069 18 037 23 045 75410 71920 17 027 14 031 20 026 24 033 71920 68763 21 026 23 029 20 028 17 029 68763 65872 21 009 26 015 25 019 19 018 65872 63195 19 000 22 355 25 359 21 004 63195 60606 18 349 21 346 24 350 19 357 60606 57896 19 351 20 339 21 342 19 348 57896 55071 19 348 18 336 18 332 19 346 55071 52369 15 345 16 324 16 320 21 344 52369 49935 15 351 12 322 13 326 16 340 49935 47742 13 357 10 003 6 318 12 350 47742 45739 9 348 10 359 4 016 6 307 45739 43899 6 314 6 325 6 009 2 252 43899 42199 6 268 6 277 3 324 1 313 42199 40620 5 229 5 245 2 236 1 101 40620 39145 3 176 5 201 5 195 6 212 39145 37761 1 258 3 176 5 149 10 208 37761 36424 5 272 1 308 5 099 11 175 36424 35066 7 247 4 259 3 084 8 157 35066 33659 7 269 3 265 3 096 6 168 33659 32204 9 280 5 279 2 030 4 178 32204 30684 10 270 8 267 2 344 4 221 30684 29084 7 268 7 271 5 062 4 218 29084 27402 1 339 2 313 6 068 6 146 27402 25635 2 338 1 001 3 055 7 132 25635 23781 2 298 1 289 3 092 4 119 23781 21836 5 040 3 056 5 073 3 140 21836 19795 9 028 7 039 5 061 6 093 19795 17657 12 017 10 038 6 051 8 074 17657 15469 13 015 10 037 7 041 10 062 15469 13356 12 016 10 035 8 036 10 057 13356 11428 10 020 9 034 7 033 9 052 11428 9712 8 017 7 029 7 026 8 044 9712 8189 8 021 7 034 8 033 7 051 8189 6839 10 043 8 060 5 060 4 062 6839 5646 10 066 6 091 4 046 6 043 5646 4597 9 091 5 080 7 064 9 090 4597 3682 8 085 6 067 7 090 8 093 3682 2880 8 054 8 046 6 084 9 065 2880 2167 12 021 13 021 9 029 13 028 2167 1544 19 010 15 011 16 012 14 024 1544 1029 13 356 11*356 12 001 7 011 1029 639 6 342 4*343 5 343 2 304 639 372 3*354 3 350 2 335 3 194 372 212 3*001 3 357 1 023 2 176 212 120 3 004 3 359 1*074 1*170 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography