DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 57.2 - - 58.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 62 - - 33 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 278 - - 1428 - - 1107 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 382 - - 1533 - - 1212 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 633 - - 1396 - - 2309 - - 3516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 76 - - 183 - - 138 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 134 - - 242 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3069 - - -1881 - - -1290 - - -95 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3451 - - 3414 - - 2502 - - 216 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9477 - - -4786 - - -2612 - - -400 ODpotential blCL - - - 9859 - - 6319 - - 3824 - - 521 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 57.2 - - 58.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 42.6 - - 47.4 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 56.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 41.8 - - 46.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 62 - - 33 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 278 - - 1428 - - 1107 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96901 38 102 24 087 45 104 40 098 96901 89747 33 102 26 103 31 101 38 100 89747 84158 25 106 22 106 22 106 27 091 84158 79492 21 103 17 116 15 105 18 085 79492 75468 15 092 17 122 9 138 17 071 75468 71901 10 083 9 108 10 126 7 057 71901 68664 7 073 5 146 8 053 4 097 68664 65678 2 319 5 184 2 293 1 046 65678 62895 5 275 8 247 10 253 6 267 62895 60191 11 255 10 230 20 216 12 218 60191 57350 15 246 14 269 16 230 12 247 57350 54371 17 265 20 253 21 235 23 228 54371 51511 25 263 23 252 21 245 23 237 51511 48919 36 245 35 259 34 254 23 239 48919 46592 37 235 46 238 42 247 28 249 46592 44489 33 243 40 231 50 239 38 246 44489 42580 36 252 44 232 51 231 38 237 42580 40828 47 247 45 227 43 224 37 234 40828 39204 48 241 41 230 35 224 38 228 39204 37692 45 243 44 236 39 234 40 218 37692 36280 56 238 56 234 48 233 42 214 36280 34934 57 230 64 228 56 227 42 213 34934 33589 59 231 58 220 61 218 44 212 33589 32212 67 226 52 216 58 211 49 209 32212 30797 69 219 54 215 47 212 50 204 30797 29327 66 219 57 212 38 216 45 195 29327 27786 67 221 60 209 33 218 39 178 27786 26175 65 220 59 207 29 219 35 179 26175 24481 62 218 53 206 29 216 37 191 24481 22703 57 216 49 203 31 210 37 197 22703 20843 47 216 49 199 29 210 36 201 20843 18895 31 212 47 199 31 206 36 199 18895 16856 23 191 41 199 38 195 40 188 16856 14773 27 190 36 190 43 187 48 179 14773 12765 30 194 36 184 44 180 48 178 12765 10940 30 191 33 184 47 175 45 179 10940 9318 30 183 31 180 46 172 37 178 9318 7879 27 180 28 176 38 171 25 173 7879 6602 19 170 23 171 25 171 16 171 6602 5473 14 156 19 172 18 175 10 177 5473 4478 14 156 16 177 16 192 11 187 4478 3604 13 152 13 183 15 207 16 192 3604 2834 13 156 7 182 14 216 19 192 2834 2144 12 164 3 153 11 225 19 194 2144 1536 7 169 3*131 7*233 12 203 1536 1030 4 161 3*131 4*242 5 233 1030 643 2*160 3 133 4 244 3 281 643 376 2*237 4 135 3 242 2 304 376 214 2 241 4 134 3 242 1 343 214 121 2 240 3 136 3 240 1*008 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography