DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 72.4 - - 81.9 - - 83.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 171 - - 240 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1152 - - 3649 - - 3288 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 447 - - 2414 - - 1218 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1258 - - 3755 - - 3394 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 110 - - 900 - - 1999 - - 4042 - - 1356 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 237 - - 391 - - 244 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 19 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 002 - - 005 - - 005 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3015 - - -6190 - - -5995 - - -9095 - - -9598 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3136 - - 7449 - - 9750 - - 12489 - - 9721 sfcLCL ODpotential -12940 - - -12189 - - -10556 - - -13701 - - -15408 ODpotential blCL 13061 - - 13447 - - 14311 - - 17095 - - 15531 blCL maxRH 44 - - 39 - - 79 - - 79 - - 15 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 72.4 - - 81.9 - - 83.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.1 - - 40.6 - - 39.6 - - 29.3 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 71.1 - - 80.3 - - 83.4 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.8 - - 39.7 - - 38.6 - - 28.4 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 171 - - 240 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1152 - - 3649 - - 3288 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 38 289 29 297 35 287 30 286 43 283 96425 89242 23 298 22 287 29 278 29 291 28 301 89242 83776 19 304 23 286 30 284 31 296 25 309 83776 79241 25 298 23 299 27 290 26 306 23 320 79241 75330 25 291 18 294 20 299 20 303 21 309 75330 71866 17 286 12 290 18 283 19 298 20 300 71866 68718 14 281 11 294 16 281 19 290 19 307 68718 65797 13 281 13 284 19 274 23 284 24 299 65797 63066 19 278 19 282 23 263 28 277 29 286 63066 60414 26 263 25 281 29 266 32 264 33 270 60414 57649 33 259 32 270 33 268 32 262 30 267 57649 54769 41 256 37 262 40 260 38 265 32 266 54769 52002 45 253 38 257 44 256 41 264 35 261 52002 49499 47 252 39 261 42 257 43 262 37 263 49499 47261 45 251 45 257 42 257 45 260 44 266 47261 45256 44 257 47 251 48 260 47 258 47 264 45256 43447 46 263 45 251 49 256 46 260 45 270 43447 41798 39 257 42 262 45 258 46 267 45 266 41798 40279 31 265 43 279 42 268 47 255 45 263 40279 38862 28 290 46 286 41 272 47 255 51 262 38862 37521 30 300 41 284 40 270 46 257 52 260 37521 36215 28 301 36 281 38 266 46 256 50 260 36215 34879 29 305 33 284 36 262 45 254 45 258 34879 33485 28 308 32 284 36 257 44 257 39 263 33485 32034 18 302 30 278 36 261 44 263 38 267 32034 30512 18 281 30 274 35 267 40 266 32 262 30512 28906 26 281 32 268 33 267 33 264 28 265 28906 27220 26 278 32 261 34 261 31 265 27 274 27220 25448 25 275 31 261 34 260 33 269 26 273 25448 23595 21 273 29 260 32 264 31 270 23 273 23595 21668 20 267 26 256 29 264 26 267 22 267 21668 19658 24 261 26 252 28 260 22 265 21 253 19658 17555 27 258 25 252 24 258 22 263 20 251 17555 15403 24 257 20 257 20 260 19 260 17 254 15403 13325 19 255 16 261 15 261 14 257 13 262 13325 11432 16 265 12 274 11 266 8 271 8 281 11432 9748 14 285 9 305 8 289 8 331 6 338 9748 8253 11 301 8 333 6 333 13 349 11 002 8253 6925 7 311 5 347 7 004 15 357 13 009 6925 5746 3 308 4 346 8 009 15 008 15 017 5746 4702 1 225 2 323 7 005 13 012 17 018 4702 3782 2 146 1 148 5*005 10*010 17 019 3782 2972 3 131 2 088 5*006 8*008 14 020 2972 2248 3 131 3 034 4 005 8 006 9 015 2248 1609 3 106 7*002 4 006 7 006 7 004 1609 1078 2 055 7*000 4 005 7 004 6 360 1078 670 3 007 7 002 3 005 6 004 6 357 670 390 3 009 6 003 3 005 6 004 5 345 390 220 2 360 6 005 3 004 6 003 5*324 220 123 1*036 5 005 3 002 5 003 4*319 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography