DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 65.0 - - 72.2 - - 72.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 33 - - 53 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 413 - - 1208 - - 1013 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 519 - - 1314 - - 1119 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 96 - - 524 - - 1302 - - 1397 - - 874 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 107 - - 180 - - 84 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 344 - - 347 - - 357 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -949 - - -1336 - - -1377 - - -1339 - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1070 - - 1855 - - 2691 - - 2458 - - 703 sfcLCL ODpotential -9632 - - -5893 - - -4362 - - -4418 - - -4955 ODpotential blCL 9753 - - 6412 - - 5676 - - 5537 - - 5077 blCL maxRH 65 - - 74 - - 78 - - 69 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 65.0 - - 72.2 - - 72.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 57.5 - - 60.9 - - 61.9 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 64.8 - - 71.8 - - 72.6 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 56.3 - - 59.6 - - 60.7 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 33 - - 53 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 413 - - 1208 - - 1013 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96723 12 099 13 086 10 111 4 035 6 052 96723 89568 5 120 9 075 5 109 6 024 5 070 89568 84014 6 062 4 067 6 011 8 035 8 039 84014 79397 8 007 10 018 7 327 12 340 19 356 79397 75453 18 346 14 359 16 333 13 335 17 340 75453 71979 20 333 20 328 28 327 25 338 18 323 71979 68832 34 320 28 319 31 322 33 320 28 314 68832 65948 37 302 28 306 32 316 38 313 35 306 65948 63272 35 289 30 307 38 304 38 299 41 298 63272 60666 34 303 42 305 45 294 44 293 41 287 60666 57936 49 298 48 295 49 290 53 289 44 296 57936 55082 66 289 61 288 66 290 64 287 53 296 55082 52345 74 279 71 280 77 281 77 284 65 285 52345 49878 71 278 69 277 75 277 81 276 74 275 49878 47669 72 277 69 278 68 275 75 268 75 266 47669 45663 73 273 74 276 65 275 68 264 68 263 45663 43823 76 273 78 271 69 272 67 268 70 267 43823 42138 82 272 78 271 74 268 74 272 80 267 42138 40596 85 269 82 272 79 266 82 268 85 264 40596 39170 86 271 83 271 79 266 84 264 82 260 39170 37824 87 272 79 270 77 267 80 263 72 257 37824 36509 85 271 77 269 74 266 75 262 71 256 36509 35164 82 269 76 267 73 267 72 262 68 255 35164 33758 80 269 74 265 69 266 68 263 65 256 33758 32294 76 271 71 266 66 265 64 264 61 258 32294 30756 70 272 66 270 67 265 61 265 54 259 30756 29134 64 274 60 274 63 268 57 267 47 262 29134 27429 57 275 55 275 51 271 47 271 41 265 27429 25638 53 276 47 275 48 268 36 270 33 272 25638 23764 46 277 43 275 42 265 34 272 29 275 23764 21806 37 278 42 280 34 269 36 272 26 280 21806 19759 37 285 40 287 31 284 31 273 22 273 19759 17620 38 291 37 290 32 292 25 280 21 267 17620 15437 34 290 33 288 28 288 22 285 18 278 15437 13336 27 297 28 276 26 288 21 291 16 301 13336 11427 21 311 24 273 26 290 21 303 14 327 11427 9733 17 318 21 285 22 287 19 316 12 343 9733 8232 14 317 20 307 17 294 15 324 9 346 8232 6899 11 314 18 327 13 320 9 329 8 342 6899 5718 7 315 16 343 10 356 5 338 8 342 5718 4674 5 332 13 353 9 016 5 343 9 345 4674 3756 7 353 12 001 7 022 6 347 10 348 3756 2948 12 001 12 010 6 020 7 349 10 349 2948 2228 14 006 13 016 7 007 8 355 11 355 2228 1594 16 005 14 016 7*350 8*354 11 356 1594 1068 17 001 13 009 6*347 7*356 10 347 1068 664 17 350 10*358 6 347 6 357 8 337 664 387 14 331 6*344 6 348 6 358 6 328 387 218 9 309 6 345 5 347 5 358 5 311 218 122 5*300 5 344 5 348 4 359 5*305 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography