DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.3 - - 85.6 - - 92.0 - - 90.7 - - 83.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 107 - - 0 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 842 - - 1684 - - 529 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 107 - - 107 - - 710 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 123 - - 949 - - 1791 - - 636 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 290 - - 1172 - - 1882 - - 1712 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 172 - - 248 - - 92 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 17 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 307 - - 140 - - 164 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3398 - - -5488 - - -6048 - - -6244 - - -3966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3521 - - 6437 - - 7840 - - 6880 - - 4090 sfcLCL ODpotential -10502 - - -10412 - - -9976 - - -9931 - - -8812 ODpotential blCL 10625 - - 11361 - - 11767 - - 10567 - - 8936 blCL maxRH 50 - - 66 - - 94 - - 34 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 310 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m 75.3 - - 85.6 - - 92.0 - - 90.7 - - 83.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.5 - - 58.2 - - 58.3 - - 61.3 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.6 - - 85.0 - - 91.0 - - 90.9 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.8 - - 56.9 - - 57.0 - - 60.0 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 107 - - 0 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 842 - - 1684 - - 529 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 77 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99482 46 099 33 110 35 112 32 111 41 097 99482 91932 41 100 33 115 30 114 34 106 29 112 91932 86145 31 100 28 102 29 113 29 105 30 108 86145 81346 23 103 23 105 25 106 26 104 29 097 81346 77215 22 100 22 109 17 107 21 100 24 092 77215 73575 21 106 19 115 20 106 18 116 19 099 73575 70285 15 108 18 128 17 105 16 107 16 109 70285 67271 14 110 13 115 14 094 13 134 12 109 67271 64479 12 086 8 134 10 142 14 118 13 127 64479 61773 9 152 14 173 16 158 13 134 16 127 61773 58956 16 181 20 187 21 169 19 178 12 159 58956 56045 23 183 31 183 28 178 27 186 17 197 56045 53277 28 187 45 186 36 190 33 199 23 198 53277 50803 28 198 50 179 43 197 39 202 32 199 50803 48610 35 213 33 188 47 188 44 200 45 206 48610 46626 51 213 44 208 46 194 51 202 53 208 46626 44799 64 205 60 204 55 199 58 199 61 200 44799 43105 65 202 64 199 64 200 65 198 64 195 43105 41526 65 205 66 197 69 197 71 198 66 192 41526 40040 67 207 68 199 71 196 70 197 66 189 40040 38633 68 209 69 201 71 195 70 195 67 186 38633 37266 68 209 68 200 72 194 74 192 70 185 37266 35871 69 206 72 196 75 196 76 195 74 188 35871 34417 69 208 74 200 71 201 72 196 74 188 34417 32905 63 211 68 208 61 203 65 196 69 189 32905 31324 55 210 45 210 51 201 59 195 61 192 31324 29661 49 211 36 201 48 199 54 194 55 192 29661 27918 43 211 37 194 46 196 49 194 49 192 27918 26091 38 203 41 192 43 194 42 196 44 192 26091 24181 32 196 44 194 40 194 39 194 38 195 24181 22193 24 188 40 194 39 201 36 200 34 201 22193 20125 17 193 29 190 36 217 29 216 26 209 20125 17973 15 212 16 192 30 207 15 208 10 208 17973 15778 14 219 13 214 19 167 6 262 4 125 15778 13663 14 229 12 230 4 157 5 223 5 118 13663 11732 11 229 9 230 4 263 7 192 11 173 11732 10011 6 232 8 222 9 283 8 180 12 179 10011 8478 4 244 9 219 14 285 7 185 9 191 8478 7114 5 166 10 217 15 285 7 221 1 347 7114 5903 8 139 9 212 12 279 9 264 3 324 5903 4831 7 135 8 202 8 280 10 275 4 289 4831 3886 3 105 5 164 4 283 10 258 6 266 3886 3053 5 048 4 120 2 220 9 240 7 246 3053 2308 7 032 2 069 4*158 7 208 9 236 2308 1651 8 018 2 340 5*145 9 179 12 233 1651 1104 9 006 2*315 5 141 10 171 13 222 1104 685 8 338 2*307 5 140 10*168 11 201 685 397 9 317 2 306 5 138 9*165 10 170 397 223 7*307 2 307 5 138 8 164 8*153 223 124 4*304 2 308 5 138 7 162 5*144 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography