DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 58.8 - - 65.1 - - 69.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 147 - - 218 - - 166 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 579 - - 1720 - - 2601 - - 2962 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 817 - - 1614 - - 1747 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 684 - - 1825 - - 2707 - - 3067 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1239 - - 951 - - 1374 - - 1511 - - 2727 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 262 - - 342 - - 324 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 20 - - 23 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 021 - - 156 - - 174 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -6 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3 - - 400 - - 287 - - -660 - - -1502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 687 - - 1425 - - 2420 - - 3727 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential -411 - - 109 - - 37 - - -5363 - - -2610 ODpotential blCL 1095 - - 1716 - - 2670 - - 8430 - - 2732 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 92 - - 86 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 58.8 - - 65.1 - - 69.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.9 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 57.8 - - 63.7 - - 68.7 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 51.9 - - 53.7 - - 53.1 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 147 - - 218 - - 166 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 579 - - 1720 - - 2601 - - 2962 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 81 - - 67 - - 46 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97916 17 272 19 236 19 251 29 277 21 280 97916 90392 20 275 12 258 21 257 22 285 17 279 90392 84625 15 282 13 268 16 262 15 284 13 307 84625 79882 12 291 12 274 8 287 12 282 14 317 79882 75816 12 285 15 282 10 305 12 288 15 317 75816 72233 12 290 17 277 13 294 14 288 17 306 72233 68993 15 303 15 288 15 290 14 300 16 301 68993 66001 17 304 15 286 17 274 21 310 18 317 66001 63212 18 300 12 286 17 265 24 305 21 322 63212 60503 18 310 13 323 14 258 19 295 22 307 60503 57676 20 303 18 333 7 310 13 301 16 310 57676 54747 16 300 17 329 11 339 12 335 13 323 54747 51961 12 311 12 324 9 349 15 354 16 022 51961 49472 14 009 15 013 20 015 24 006 23 016 49472 47260 17 014 20 018 22 021 26 016 31 028 47260 45277 16 035 19 031 26 042 36 032 39 032 45277 43479 33 057 32 061 39 051 39 042 45 040 43479 41820 49 059 43 068 51 058 48 053 54 045 41820 40275 54 064 59 063 62 061 57 053 60 045 40275 38828 60 067 67 065 69 062 59 053 58 044 38828 37468 74 069 73 070 70 063 57 055 53 043 37468 36153 85 069 78 070 68 065 55 058 48 044 36153 34812 83 068 79 067 66 064 54 057 45 048 34812 33414 74 065 78 066 65 062 51 054 43 049 33414 31961 69 063 74 066 63 061 49 050 43 044 31961 30437 61 061 66 066 59 062 47 048 45 038 30437 28833 50 055 59 063 56 065 45 048 45 036 28833 27147 47 049 49 060 51 067 43 051 42 039 27147 25376 47 049 41 055 45 064 40 055 38 042 25376 23521 42 052 37 049 41 057 36 054 33 041 23521 21585 35 053 32 044 35 052 34 051 29 039 21585 19561 31 047 28 039 29 046 29 052 24 041 19561 17448 30 040 27 032 27 038 24 042 18 040 17448 15296 28 038 27 026 26 036 23 041 17 049 15296 13220 25 045 24 028 26 038 20 056 20 063 13220 11327 21 047 19 034 25 035 18 061 19 062 11327 9639 18 045 17 042 23 027 14 049 15 041 9639 8139 21 054 19 050 20 023 14 023 19 025 8139 6808 19 054 17 049 18 017 19 006 21 014 6808 5633 12 036 10 032 14 001 18 345 15 355 5633 4602 8 016 6 349 14 349 12 319 8 278 4602 3701 6 009 7 337 7 342 6*268 8 245 3701 2907 5 037 5 345 2*339 4*239 10 216 2907 2199 7 027 3*000 1*160 5 184 12 198 2199 1574 7 008 2*012 2 157 6 171 15 184 1574 1054 3*353 2 017 3 156 7 166 16 173 1054 657 3*359 2 024 3 155 7 163 16 164 657 383 3 001 2 025 3 155 7 162 15 158 383 217 2 003 2 029 3 154 7 161 13 154 217 122 2 002 2 029 3 154 6 160 10*151 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography