DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 63.5 - - 75.3 - - 80.0 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 274 - - 316 - - 110 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1447 - - 2330 - - 2356 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 836 - - 1523 - - 1083 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1553 - - 2436 - - 2463 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 527 - - 426 - - 1258 - - 3035 - - 854 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 296 - - 366 - - 262 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 16 - - 62 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 032 - - 085 - - 133 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -6 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -504 - - -2351 - - -5143 - - -7741 - - -6070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 625 - - 3904 - - 7579 - - 10204 - - 6192 sfcLCL ODpotential -9095 - - -8724 - - -10296 - - -12015 - - -11251 ODpotential blCL 9216 - - 10277 - - 12732 - - 14478 - - 11373 blCL maxRH 94 - - 68 - - 40 - - 65 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 63.5 - - 75.3 - - 80.0 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.2 - - 47.1 - - 42.7 - - 35.7 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 61.8 - - 73.3 - - 79.1 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 46.7 - - 41.7 - - 34.6 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 274 - - 316 - - 110 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1447 - - 2330 - - 2356 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96453 33 298 26 295 33 286 29 298 29 291 96453 89308 25 311 26 297 29 303 28 308 27 310 89308 83876 20 317 24 302 28 301 28 311 27 320 83876 79378 25 326 19 325 21 300 23 310 26 324 79378 75483 28 323 18 329 20 308 22 309 27 322 75483 72025 28 316 22 322 22 308 24 306 29 311 72025 68871 24 310 23 316 22 311 21 298 29 298 68871 65944 21 307 20 306 18 303 21 300 25 289 65944 63205 27 302 22 295 21 294 24 301 23 296 63205 60527 28 292 27 294 26 285 29 292 25 303 60527 57715 32 287 32 287 28 285 30 294 28 302 57715 54801 36 283 33 285 30 287 36 287 32 291 54801 52034 34 286 33 286 32 290 35 285 36 286 52034 49550 38 295 37 291 37 293 40 286 41 284 49550 47322 44 291 41 290 42 289 44 283 45 281 47322 45298 49 290 45 288 44 281 44 275 46 275 45298 43464 55 288 49 287 46 277 45 268 47 268 43464 41803 55 290 51 285 49 276 46 271 44 269 41803 40279 56 291 51 283 51 276 50 274 51 271 40279 38858 55 291 50 280 50 274 53 272 53 268 38858 37513 53 293 46 281 45 272 49 269 51 263 37513 36204 50 293 43 284 40 274 46 268 48 262 36204 34867 46 292 41 284 39 275 44 268 46 262 34867 33473 42 289 39 283 38 274 43 271 43 262 33473 32025 37 288 38 281 37 273 42 273 39 263 32025 30504 33 287 36 279 36 272 39 273 36 264 30504 28899 29 284 33 276 34 275 33 274 33 265 28899 27208 28 280 31 271 31 274 29 273 30 262 27208 25435 26 280 28 272 29 269 25 267 26 251 25435 23579 24 286 25 278 25 266 23 259 23 244 23579 21646 22 290 22 282 21 268 21 255 20 247 21646 19628 18 288 20 283 21 270 19 263 17 251 19628 17522 15 290 17 282 18 274 17 267 16 257 17522 15368 13 290 15 289 14 283 15 273 15 261 15368 13289 11 285 14 296 13 302 13 292 13 270 13289 11396 10 270 12 295 12 319 11 317 11 296 11396 9712 9 263 9 292 10 327 10 327 10 319 9712 8217 6 266 6 298 7 331 8 327 9 338 8217 6890 3 252 5 320 6 333 9 319 9 343 6890 5714 2 179 5 004 5 342 10 297 9 324 5714 4675 1 076 6 045 3 336 10 288 8 301 4675 3760 3 052 6 073 2 331 8 284 7 281 3760 2954 3 063 6 073 1*345 2*255 5 253 2954 2235 2 046 4 037 1*043 3*140 5 208 2235 1600 5 005 4*024 1 075 4 132 7 181 1600 1071 6 358 4*028 1 086 4 132 8 167 1071 666 1 105 4 031 1 097 4 132 8 161 666 387 5 126 3 035 1 102 4 133 8 158 387 219 4 113 3 035 1 106 4 133 6 155 219 122 2*101 3 037 1 109 4 134 4*150 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography