DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 78.7 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 133 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2167 - - 3662 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1283 - - 2190 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2273 - - 3769 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1032 - - 1093 - - - - - 1864 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 334 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 172 - - - - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1041 - - -1721 - - - - - -3087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3314 - - 5490 - - - - - 3210 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9642 - - -8398 - - - - - -9052 ODpotential blCL - - - 11915 - - 12167 - - - - - 9175 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 96 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 78.7 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 55.1 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 77.7 - - - - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 53.8 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 133 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2167 - - 3662 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 83 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98983 20 104 21 106 27 094 98983 91489 18 114 16 119 25 096 91489 85721 23 113 16 123 17 095 85721 80926 24 118 19 129 12 083 80926 76790 22 119 20 126 6 119 76790 73149 17 114 18 124 11 133 73149 69862 10 146 10 117 11 120 69862 66849 10 162 9 176 10 109 66849 64061 9 152 7 176 1 023 64061 61366 10 107 14 175 10 215 61366 58572 13 228 10 215 10 243 58572 55682 24 236 24 231 24 252 55682 52929 33 229 35 226 33 233 52929 50444 31 230 32 231 28 241 50444 48203 44 246 41 244 41 256 48203 46161 60 237 53 238 53 251 46161 44285 64 231 53 234 58 245 44285 42545 62 230 52 236 56 247 42545 40922 59 230 52 234 58 251 40922 39405 59 230 50 233 58 252 39405 37982 59 228 45 235 55 251 37982 36613 58 226 43 235 50 251 36613 35231 55 224 40 230 44 254 35231 33808 49 221 34 222 39 254 33808 32340 41 220 27 216 32 254 32340 30807 33 214 23 215 28 252 30807 29191 27 205 24 214 25 248 29191 27493 23 203 21 209 23 241 27493 25712 21 196 17 198 21 237 25712 23847 22 188 18 200 20 233 23847 21898 23 185 17 210 17 227 21898 19857 27 176 16 206 16 223 19857 17718 30 170 20 195 16 222 17718 15528 29 163 22 188 15 217 15528 13414 27 158 19 181 13 209 13414 11493 20 158 15 180 11 199 11493 9790 11 162 12 195 9 194 9790 8279 7 174 9 198 7 214 8279 6937 8 169 9 191 7 226 6937 5749 11 183 11 205 7 218 5749 4700 14 200 11*206 6 203 4700 3779 13 216 10*196 6 207 3779 2967 6*211 9 188 9 236 2967 2242 6*185 8 172 15 246 2242 1605 5 176 7 165 18 243 1605 1074 5 171 7 157 18 235 1074 668 4 167 7 152 17 229 668 389 4 165 6 150 15 221 389 219 4 162 6 149 12*215 219 123 3 164 5 148 8*207 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography