DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 89.5 - - 92.5 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 311 - - 127 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 3715 - - 4262 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 816 - - 2569 - - 2555 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1600 - - 3822 - - 4369 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1154 - - 1608 - - 1999 - - 1258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 429 - - 338 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 049 - - 165 - - 185 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2997 - - -3579 - - -4808 - - -6687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4597 - - 7402 - - 9178 - - 6811 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9172 - - -8588 - - -8852 - - -11823 ODpotential blCL - - - 10772 - - 12410 - - 13221 - - 11947 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 66 - - 70 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 360 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 89.5 - - 92.5 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.4 - - 57.5 - - 52.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 87.5 - - 91.5 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 56.5 - - 51.8 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 311 - - 127 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 3715 - - 4262 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97909 15 218 8 189 7 202 12 178 97909 90494 12 159 13 208 6 225 4 197 90494 84784 12 142 13 192 8 229 4 005 84784 80060 7 108 8 175 3 173 4 082 80060 76011 5 071 4 148 4 334 4 076 76011 72456 1 146 4 037 5 326 2 006 72456 69252 1 082 5 305 6 344 5 006 69252 66290 5 358 4 274 6 297 11 338 66290 63523 6 322 4 248 5 250 9 300 63523 60841 6 268 8 236 6 242 7 266 60841 58048 14 253 14 247 12 269 8 270 58048 55153 21 242 21 240 22 247 21 246 55153 52399 26 244 28 239 28 239 27 237 52399 49932 33 243 35 240 34 240 31 233 49932 47738 41 239 38 241 37 241 34 233 47738 45773 43 241 44 240 44 237 40 235 45773 43999 50 244 51 240 50 236 48 235 43999 42370 54 242 54 240 53 237 54 234 42370 40851 54 243 54 239 53 236 52 232 40851 39417 55 245 52 240 50 235 48 229 39417 38058 53 246 49 240 47 233 46 227 38058 36737 51 247 46 240 47 231 46 226 36737 35385 48 248 44 240 46 231 45 224 35385 33975 44 247 44 240 44 231 44 223 33975 32509 38 244 43 240 41 231 41 222 32509 30971 31 236 40 238 38 231 39 222 30971 29348 26 226 31 231 36 230 36 220 29348 27639 23 225 24 216 31 228 33 219 27639 25844 21 237 18 208 23 221 30 218 25844 23964 19 237 13 220 16 202 24 214 23964 22004 17 234 13 212 11 188 19 203 22004 19960 16 233 12 205 10 186 17 192 19960 17828 16 232 13 193 14 183 16 181 17828 15649 17 224 15 199 14 184 14 175 15649 13542 18 221 16 211 13 199 14 183 13542 11619 14 218 15 208 14 203 16 188 11619 9909 11 212 15 203 17 201 19 192 9909 8389 10 209 15 201 19 202 19 200 8389 7039 11 194 16 196 18 206 18 209 7039 5841 12 182 14 193 13 211 15 214 5841 4782 10 172 10 189 8*200 9 211 4782 3849 7 135 6*170 8*196 6 192 3849 3025 5 101 5*165 8 190 8 189 3025 2289 4 043 5 166 8 185 10 191 2289 1639 3*025 5 164 8 183 11 197 1639 1097 2*035 5 165 8 181 13 200 1097 681 2 046 5 165 7 179 13 199 681 395 2 054 5 165 7 178 12 195 395 222 2 062 5 165 7 178 10*189 222 124 2 062 5 166 6 178 6*185 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography