DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 199 - - 40 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 842 - - 2874 - - 7209 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1764 - - 3565 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 948 - - 2980 - - 7315 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 795 - - 4836 - - 5996 - - 1213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 340 - - 285 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 084 - - 207 - - 228 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 25 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5521 - - -6784 - - -3758 - - -7516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6470 - - 9764 - - 11074 - - 7638 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8906 - - -10288 - - -5823 - - -10397 ODpotential blCL - - - 9854 - - 13268 - - 13138 - - 10519 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 89 - - 84 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 38.4 - - 33.9 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 79.6 - - 82.2 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 37.3 - - 32.8 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 199 - - 40 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 842 - - 2874 - - 7209 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 57 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96464 30 289 22 273 34 276 39 281 96464 89245 14 296 25 289 26 278 28 293 89245 83756 15 273 27 279 23 296 21 308 83756 79215 14 270 24 271 22 303 16 308 79215 75292 11 299 21 283 18 306 11 324 75292 71800 21 291 25 295 21 298 15 325 71800 68615 22 283 25 290 28 283 26 296 68615 65672 21 287 25 283 27 280 30 277 65672 62913 23 280 28 284 24 291 28 286 62913 60227 25 274 32 280 36 294 38 282 60227 57439 31 274 39 272 41 278 40 275 57439 54533 30 276 39 269 43 269 37 272 54533 51736 49 285 44 273 40 268 49 271 51736 49220 52 279 51 279 51 277 51 269 49220 46974 58 277 57 278 62 277 52 276 46974 44939 69 274 65 279 66 276 61 277 44939 43081 87 273 79 276 69 275 70 275 43081 41383 101 274 85 274 75 274 82 274 41383 39825 102 273 84 271 78 272 85 272 39825 38388 92 272 80 267 74 267 79 268 38388 37049 80 271 78 264 69 262 73 261 37049 35754 72 269 77 263 68 261 68 252 35754 34428 74 270 75 264 70 259 68 252 34428 33044 77 273 74 265 71 260 68 258 33044 31608 66 276 73 264 72 262 66 263 31608 30105 49 268 71 261 66 258 57 263 30105 28519 50 257 65 256 57 243 50 257 28519 26849 51 260 51 264 53 236 47 249 26849 25092 49 269 42 265 44 242 35 237 25092 23254 48 265 35 258 27 261 28 242 23254 21336 46 254 30 266 24 252 27 240 21336 19333 48 251 30 268 23 239 24 235 19333 17243 43 237 37 252 25 232 21 218 17243 15118 35 243 38 257 25 245 17 192 15118 13085 29 249 31 259 23 253 11 180 13085 11238 26 250 22 245 24 252 12 181 11238 9593 22 252 20 248 21 250 12 203 9593 8127 18 254 20 250 17*248 12 232 8127 6821 15 258 19 249 14*243 15 249 6821 5660 12 264 16 244 13 238 18 253 5660 4632 9 276 13 238 12 234 19 254 4632 3727 8 294 10*233 12 229 19 258 3727 2929 8 309 7*227 11 224 20 261 2929 2216 7 314 5 218 11 221 21 265 2216 1587 6 314 4 202 10 218 23 267 1587 1063 2*354 4 196 10 216 23 265 1063 661 3*082 3 190 10 215 21 262 661 385 3 082 3 184 9 213 17 257 385 217 3 085 3 183 8 212 13 253 217 122 3 086 3 182 7 209 7*246 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography