DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 74.1 - - 75.7 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 162 - - 38 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 988 - - 3683 - - 2849 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 2269 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1094 - - 3789 - - 2955 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1538 - - 1533 - - 2182 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 348 - - 205 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 027 - - 008 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 15 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3961 - - -3520 - - -3418 - - -2688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5056 - - 7310 - - 6373 - - 2810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11500 - - -9700 - - -9130 - - -9228 ODpotential blCL - - - 12594 - - 13489 - - 12085 - - 9350 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 64 - - 56 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 74.1 - - 75.7 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 42.8 - - 48.5 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 73.2 - - 75.5 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 41.8 - - 47.6 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 162 - - 38 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 988 - - 3683 - - 2849 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96096 24 333 22 340 15 017 7 111 96096 89073 10 341 10 316 17 330 14 006 89073 83660 0 241 5 302 12 310 15 358 83660 79152 1 357 5 287 8 291 14 350 79152 75253 4 307 5 293 9 290 11 337 75253 71792 2 022 5 321 8 308 5 343 71792 68641 8 029 2 245 11 323 10 346 68641 65727 11 024 1 062 6 337 10 341 65727 63024 13 342 7 286 10 275 13 328 63024 60395 15 016 14 032 9 057 9 338 60395 57651 22 026 19 014 22 036 19 039 57651 54824 26 035 20 045 23 045 17 055 54824 52134 37 058 46 065 40 068 32 075 52134 49713 62 054 58 051 48 050 41 051 49713 47545 65 036 52 041 41 038 40 035 47545 45582 64 040 45 045 39 040 36 034 45582 43792 71 045 56 042 45 046 43 041 43792 42154 76 041 61 035 54 041 52 042 42154 40641 74 041 57 033 57 037 54 041 40641 39220 70 044 53 037 54 036 53 040 39220 37869 65 046 52 041 51 039 51 039 37869 36552 60 045 50 042 48 043 47 038 36552 35203 54 046 49 043 46 046 45 035 35203 33794 48 047 50 044 46 047 45 031 33794 32328 46 045 51 045 47 046 45 025 32328 30792 44 039 50 045 48 044 46 022 30792 29171 43 032 49 044 50 041 47 026 29171 27466 43 030 48 041 53 038 50 031 27466 25673 43 031 49 039 55 038 51 033 25673 23794 44 035 51 039 52 041 47 034 23794 21832 45 041 52 040 44 045 42 038 21832 19787 47 050 52 045 41 045 38 044 19787 17658 49 056 51 054 41 049 34 047 17658 15483 49 060 50 060 42 058 32 048 15483 13379 45 061 48 062 44 065 31 053 13379 11462 41 061 42 067 44 069 31 060 11462 9758 35 058 34 075 41 074 30 063 9758 8249 29 055 28 084 35 080 28 064 8249 6912 25 061 24 089 28 084 26 065 6912 5727 23 075 21 086 22 077 23 067 5727 4682 23 083 20*073 19 064 20 063 4682 3763 21 077 19*050 17*040 17 051 3763 2954 20 060 19 033 17*019 16 032 2954 2232 21 039 19 024 17 010 18 013 2232 1597 21*022 19 023 17 007 20 005 1597 1068 20*007 19 021 17 005 19 000 1068 663 19 005 18 020 16 004 16 351 663 386 18 004 17 020 15 003 13 341 386 218 16 004 16 019 14 002 9 331 218 122 13 003 13 019 11 002 5*324 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography