DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 106 - - -21 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 914 - - 2184 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 985 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1018 - - 2288 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 839 - - 2218 - - 4192 - - 475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 259 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 161 - - 160 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -532 - - 81 - - -921 - - -375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1550 - - 2207 - - 1042 - - 496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3454 - - -842 - - -1658 - - -2179 ODpotential blCL - - - 4472 - - 3130 - - 1779 - - 2300 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 82 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 43.4 - - 46.8 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 51.6 - - 51.8 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 42.2 - - 46.2 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 106 - - -21 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 914 - - 2184 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 28 - - 29 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96860 27 111 23 120 18 090 20 107 96860 89673 24 111 21 118 17 105 17 106 89673 84085 14 121 14 116 16 121 18 109 84085 79415 12 148 10 148 11 132 13 098 79415 75381 10 154 8 164 6 163 6 118 75381 71817 11 176 8 210 6 202 5 129 71817 68581 6 202 10 220 10 218 3 195 68581 65595 6 227 12 243 17 228 14 249 65595 62821 14 243 20 252 19 249 20 241 62821 60127 21 242 20 255 22 235 23 231 60127 57316 25 257 26 261 25 232 31 244 57316 54404 37 258 36 255 40 254 43 252 54404 51627 45 259 46 254 55 255 54 252 51627 49129 50 266 52 256 60 254 60 255 49129 46902 60 268 64 264 63 260 65 260 46902 44909 67 268 77 264 80 260 83 258 44909 43105 82 275 84 264 85 256 85 248 43105 41445 96 279 92 275 84 263 83 250 41445 39906 102 280 96 274 88 264 85 254 39906 38464 98 274 92 264 90 258 90 252 38464 37098 97 269 96 258 93 253 94 247 37098 35770 99 266 97 258 95 252 96 246 35770 34415 99 266 96 258 95 254 95 248 34415 33008 97 267 95 259 95 256 94 251 33008 31549 91 267 92 259 94 256 93 251 31549 30020 83 267 88 258 91 255 92 251 30020 28406 72 266 80 257 88 253 91 250 28406 26708 62 265 73 258 84 252 89 249 26708 24929 54 268 67 257 77 254 85 249 24929 23073 49 267 60 255 69 253 77 248 23073 21145 49 259 51 252 63 248 67 244 21145 19138 45 253 46 250 58 243 60 238 19138 17044 42 241 47 252 55 241 58 234 17044 14905 41 230 44 246 50 240 55 230 14905 12842 38 221 41 221 45 230 50 223 12842 10973 36 210 44 208 45 215 45 214 10973 9329 32 204 43 201 43 208 38 214 9329 7884 29 195 41 191 37 201 31 217 7884 6607 28 185 38 185 31 195 30 209 6607 5478 26 182 32 188 29 194 31 198 5478 4481 24 182 25 196 27 194 32 192 4481 3606 23 182 20 198 25 192 31 190 3606 2833 22 182 16*189 22 187 29 187 2833 2144 20 180 14*173 20 180 26 183 2144 1535 15*176 13 162 18 173 24 175 1535 1028 9*166 12 159 17 169 23 166 1028 640 6 155 12 157 16 166 21 161 640 374 5 154 11 156 13 163 16 157 374 213 5 152 11 156 10 161 13*156 213 121 4 151 9 155 7*160 6*154 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography