DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 54.1 - - 61.6 - - 58.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 8 - - 42 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 914 - - 618 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 1019 - - 724 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 180 - - 705 - - 646 - - 1016 - - 550 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 150 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 311 - - 021 - - 156 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -120 - - -1636 - - -2436 - - -928 - - -60 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 241 - - 1757 - - 3455 - - 1653 - - 181 sfcLCL ODpotential -9335 - - -8230 - - -7941 - - -6447 - - -7735 ODpotential blCL 9456 - - 8351 - - 8960 - - 7171 - - 7856 blCL maxRH 90 - - 70 - - 60 - - 78 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 54.1 - - 61.6 - - 58.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 47.1 - - 47.1 - - 52.1 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 54.1 - - 61.2 - - 58.9 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 45.9 - - 45.8 - - 51.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 8 - - 42 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 914 - - 618 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95453 14 047 10 312 21 320 28 342 2 237 95453 88679 24 047 12 067 13 009 20 009 10 044 88679 83413 22 054 16 051 18 033 17 023 13 046 83413 78995 16 055 16 048 17 037 16 019 12 042 78995 75138 17 041 17 046 14 048 13 018 11 026 75138 71704 19 030 22 035 13 051 12 021 12 007 71704 68591 17 017 22 025 13 043 13 015 11 003 68591 65714 17 005 20 009 17 026 15 016 11 010 65714 63029 17 352 20 354 20 006 19 008 12 010 63029 60424 18 352 20 343 20 344 20 352 17 003 60424 57706 24 352 20 336 19 333 19 334 22 356 57706 54877 25 348 20 327 19 328 19 330 21 345 54877 52154 23 339 20 332 20 327 20 331 19 333 52154 49673 24 338 20 337 20 327 20 329 19 325 49673 47428 22 339 18 338 19 327 21 326 22 326 47428 45377 16 339 16 345 17 330 23 327 20 325 45377 43484 11 351 14 352 16 333 24 322 21 333 43484 41723 12 013 14 351 16 332 24 321 26 338 41723 40086 16 017 13 350 15 335 23 329 28 348 40086 38568 18 022 13 007 15 356 21 345 27 001 38568 37157 18 030 17 030 19 018 26 011 36 018 37157 35813 20 030 18 044 24 024 36 020 47 023 35813 34462 21 034 22 045 26 026 40 021 64 023 34462 33065 24 040 26 036 28 026 37 017 63 020 33065 31622 24 040 24 030 25 022 28 016 52 019 31622 30116 18 047 16 060 18 027 26 026 44 010 30116 28534 16 087 16 075 21 026 29 029 38 013 28534 26871 22 102 17 067 21 031 25 022 30 011 26871 25124 23 093 16 073 15 051 20 013 25 012 25124 23295 16 090 14 086 11 061 14 023 22 014 23295 21385 14 108 16 083 11 071 15 031 20 013 21385 19388 12 126 17 068 16 067 17 037 21 014 19388 17299 7 133 14 099 12 075 16 040 20 015 17299 15166 5 128 17 146 7 144 13 035 17 014 15166 13108 4 157 16 153 10 159 5 046 10 013 13108 11232 9 160 10 154 8 161 1 068 7 004 11232 9562 15 151 5 186 4 180 3 259 6 344 9562 8080 10 097 4 171 2 229 4 261 6 331 8080 6764 5 094 6 122 1 188 5 302 7 333 6764 5597 2 139 5 092 2 338 6 356 8 344 5597 4566 6 039 3 038 8 336 8 008 10 354 4566 3662 12 036 5 021 11 355 9 358 13 004 3662 2868 13 033 9 015 9 003 9 349 14 006 2868 2162 14 022 10 013 10 346 5 337 9 002 2162 1543 15 008 12 003 10 343 3 192 2 340 1543 1032 14 359 13 353 6*349 8*162 5 190 1032 641 10 355 10 336 4*016 9*157 8 178 641 375 5 011 8 311 4 021 9 156 8 168 375 213 3*052 6 309 4 024 9 155 6*163 213 121 1*067 4*311 3 026 7 154 3*153 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography