DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 80.8 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - -28 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3120 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4557 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2940 - - 6695 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 194 - - 23 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 233 - - 219 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2285 - - -4814 - - -3416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6842 - - 6110 - - 4712 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7470 - - -7699 - - -10041 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12027 - - 8994 - - 11336 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 50 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 80.8 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 58.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.4 - - 82.6 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.3 - - 57.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - -28 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3120 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98065 23 226 15 224 24 222 98065 90714 11 244 15 249 12 260 90714 85036 9 225 13 262 7 314 85036 80347 6 164 6 240 8 337 80347 76340 4 091 1 029 7 345 76340 72819 6 337 8 345 9 357 72819 69631 6 345 5 002 9 340 69631 66696 7 016 5 002 8 313 66696 63990 9 359 5 026 2 290 63990 61384 11 337 12 352 6 006 61384 58686 13 320 17 300 15 287 58686 55908 4 297 5 252 16 242 55908 53261 38 347 23 351 20 350 53261 50887 46 325 30 327 29 318 50887 48765 33 320 24 331 17 324 48765 46822 33 348 27 335 22 335 46822 45023 37 348 28 330 23 333 45023 43348 32 339 24 325 20 326 43348 41776 25 322 23 314 20 316 41776 40291 22 304 26 309 19 311 40291 38884 23 291 27 301 18 305 38884 37519 25 284 25 294 18 293 37519 36128 22 281 26 291 19 278 36128 34683 23 279 25 288 22 272 34683 33184 25 280 22 285 22 271 33184 31614 24 279 19 277 22 272 31614 29963 23 279 18 272 22 275 29963 28234 21 281 16 271 21 271 28234 26429 20 280 15 275 24 266 26429 24554 23 276 15 272 25 265 24554 22610 22 285 16 270 21 266 22610 20590 17 294 19 276 17 267 20590 18486 15 271 21 270 18 262 18486 16344 16 240 23 258 21 253 16344 14287 19 240 23 261 21 252 14287 12424 21 254 23 264 20 260 12424 10776 21 256 22 263 19 268 10776 9315 19 253 19 263 17 270 9315 8018 18 252 14 262 13 263 8018 6865 16 250 11 252 10 249 6865 5843 14 244 10 246 10 248 5843 4938 12*239 10 239 12 241 4938 4138 12*236 10 233 13 233 4138 3419 11 234 10 228 14 224 3419 2783 11 232 10 224 14 216 2783 2251 10 232 10 222 14 210 2251 1843 9 232 10 219 13 204 1843 1562 9 231 9 219 11 200 1562 1391 8 231 7*219 7*192 1391 1294 7 232 5*219 4*169 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography