DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 15 - - -26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 204 - - 2248 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1641 - - 3685 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1273 - - 1608 - - 3978 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 175 - - 18 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 335 - - 340 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2209 - - -2131 - - -3393 - - -1908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3850 - - 5816 - - 4687 - - 3201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7786 - - -8289 - - -7671 - - -10344 ODpotential blCL - - - 9427 - - 11974 - - 8965 - - 11637 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 49 - - 44 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 47.4 - - 48.9 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.2 - - 66.4 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 46.1 - - 47.6 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 15 - - -26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 204 - - 2248 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96854 69 246 80 246 85 256 77 258 96854 89649 46 252 56 244 60 255 50 257 89649 84100 33 254 38 245 46 247 42 257 84100 79500 25 257 24 254 28 242 35 255 79500 75544 24 268 18 265 19 247 28 255 75544 72036 28 266 18 267 19 267 24 262 72036 68848 22 267 17 270 18 267 28 265 68848 65928 20 279 18 278 17 262 27 260 65928 63226 25 285 27 279 21 262 23 271 63226 60599 37 272 34 279 31 276 28 282 60599 57852 43 271 46 278 45 274 42 275 57852 55000 59 262 53 264 51 262 50 265 55000 52285 65 249 51 260 49 265 55 269 52285 49850 59 262 55 267 57 268 62 275 49850 47676 67 267 63 268 66 272 70 276 47676 45723 68 267 70 267 77 271 79 277 45723 43951 64 273 67 270 72 267 76 276 43951 42318 63 283 64 275 66 272 75 286 42318 40799 61 288 59 278 65 277 85 296 40799 39373 58 287 54 282 65 280 82 296 39373 38022 57 286 54 286 64 282 73 288 38022 36709 57 288 55 289 62 283 63 278 36709 35368 55 290 57 289 63 286 53 277 35368 33971 53 288 58 289 61 285 49 285 33971 32520 53 284 57 291 54 283 46 290 32520 30998 52 281 55 295 51 281 46 291 30998 29393 49 280 51 296 51 276 50 287 29393 27708 46 280 49 288 48 275 51 282 27708 25945 40 278 45 283 44 278 45 280 25945 24110 33 283 39 282 40 285 39 279 24110 22206 31 295 33 282 39 291 37 279 22206 20225 31 301 30 289 39 294 36 283 20225 18160 31 299 29 291 37 297 32 287 18160 16055 30 295 30 287 38 300 30 290 16055 14028 25 296 32 287 38 298 29 293 14028 12188 24 297 33 292 36 299 28 303 12188 10555 25 295 32 296 32 305 29 319 10555 9109 26 291 28 304 29 314 28 330 9109 7827 27 288 26 316 29 322 28 335 7827 6693 27 290 28 324 30 327 28 339 6693 5692 26 295 28 325 27 329 26 341 5692 4812 25 303 23 323 22 330 24 342 4812 4037 24 309 18*324 17 332 22 341 4037 3342 22 312 13*331 14 337 21 341 3342 2729 19 313 13 333 14 340 19 342 2729 2216 14 312 12 336 13 342 17 344 2216 1822 9*311 12 337 12 343 15 343 1822 1551 6*313 11 338 11 343 13 340 1551 1386 5 315 10 338 9*341 9*332 1386 1292 4 318 8 339 5*340 4*341 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography