DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 70.2 - - 72.7 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 267 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1278 - - 4520 - - 5456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1689 - - 4454 - - 4477 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2715 - - 5957 - - 6893 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1820 - - 1326 - - 1531 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 436 - - 326 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 236 - - 247 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2366 - - -1518 - - -2366 - - -5393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5081 - - 7476 - - 9260 - - 6687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6066 - - -7628 - - -8081 - - -12214 ODpotential blCL - - - 8781 - - 13585 - - 14974 - - 13508 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 58 - - 50 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 70.2 - - 72.7 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 41.9 - - 36.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 68.6 - - 72.1 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 41.2 - - 35.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 267 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1278 - - 4520 - - 5456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96289 20 264 30 257 34 273 19 312 96289 89080 18 279 21 252 25 290 18 302 89080 83587 14 264 14 241 19 288 16 312 83587 79069 10 264 11 239 18 249 22 284 79069 75189 16 262 9 262 23 221 30 255 75189 71772 25 263 23 274 20 235 25 236 71772 68667 30 262 28 269 20 254 24 256 68667 65803 36 252 36 263 30 268 30 273 65803 63141 40 253 41 258 38 262 37 270 63141 60559 48 247 44 246 48 251 46 259 60559 57858 44 253 44 248 48 249 48 251 57858 55026 61 267 56 264 51 258 47 252 55026 52287 76 260 66 259 56 255 52 252 52287 49795 71 256 68 253 63 251 60 252 49795 47540 64 259 71 252 71 251 63 255 47540 45483 61 261 70 253 70 253 63 258 45483 43603 59 261 60 254 64 254 56 258 43603 41882 54 260 52 255 51 248 52 262 41882 40301 50 254 46 256 41 246 46 254 40301 38835 38 277 45 257 32 246 40 247 38835 37462 42 287 42 249 35 239 26 245 37462 36144 44 281 33 248 41 221 20 253 36144 34811 39 279 30 255 29 221 25 232 34811 33432 37 280 30 256 25 222 29 211 33432 32007 37 283 30 255 25 226 28 201 32007 30520 33 282 31 254 26 227 23 203 30520 28958 29 276 30 253 23 223 22 212 28958 27320 26 267 28 249 23 220 23 219 27320 25607 22 256 27 246 25 228 22 221 25607 23820 22 246 27 245 25 238 17 228 23820 21963 24 244 26 249 23 241 16 231 21963 20027 25 256 24 257 21 240 19 226 20027 18003 24 267 24 258 20 246 20 225 18003 15935 21 260 25 261 20 258 18 245 15935 13941 18 250 24 262 21 262 21 270 13941 12130 17 254 22 259 25 268 24 275 12130 10522 19 249 21 257 25 274 22 277 10522 9099 18 246 19 257 22 277 20 287 9099 7837 14 237 15 251 15*271 20 289 7837 6715 12 223 11*241 12*255 19 276 6715 5720 11 212 10*238 12 253 17 254 5720 4841 9 215 10 237 11 251 16 246 4841 4062 9 242 10 236 11 248 15 245 4062 3363 10 259 9 235 11 244 15 246 3363 2744 9*256 9 234 10 242 14 245 2744 2226 7*251 9 234 10 240 12 244 2226 1828 6 248 9 234 10 239 11 240 1828 1554 5 248 8 233 10 238 9 233 1554 1388 5 248 8 233 9 237 7*219 1388 1293 4 247 7 234 8 237 5*206 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography