DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.2 - - 75.9 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3158 - - 2641 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3023 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4595 - - 4078 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1742 - - 2066 - - 1088 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 295 - - 144 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 35 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 141 - - 158 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 287 - - -133 - - -846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4309 - - 4211 - - 2141 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1384 - - -4817 - - -3156 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5979 - - 8895 - - 4451 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 86 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.2 - - 75.9 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.7 - - 61.8 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 76.1 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.4 - - 60.4 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3158 - - 2641 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 57 - - 45 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98253 12 049 7 045 12 057 98253 90907 17 062 12 050 15 027 90907 85225 15 080 11 044 12 014 85225 80515 7 077 6 350 9 009 80515 76466 2 165 8 336 11 347 76466 72888 8 359 9 318 10 326 72888 69655 11 338 10 289 15 315 69655 66684 11 328 10 284 16 307 66684 63937 17 325 9 310 11 277 63937 61295 14 315 7 300 8 263 61295 58562 12 304 12 284 9 287 58562 55755 15 290 18 291 13 281 55755 53108 14 276 21 279 19 281 53108 50732 12 280 20 265 22 273 50732 48588 14 277 18 257 21 261 48588 46632 18 268 17 253 21 246 46632 44835 17 255 17 245 21 235 44835 43169 10 278 14 249 19 231 43169 41606 9 290 13 260 19 207 41606 40132 8 280 12 244 19 196 40132 38733 7 293 12 228 17 200 38733 37375 8 270 13 245 18 208 37375 35990 21 231 22 229 16 215 35990 34548 22 228 23 222 14 240 34548 33053 17 229 22 214 16 260 33053 31490 23 212 23 225 18 262 31490 29846 23 221 16 256 19 258 29846 28127 15 249 10 264 21 255 28127 26335 10 249 15 232 22 253 26335 24470 15 226 21 236 22 259 24470 22534 18 236 20 253 19 262 22534 20522 17 251 15 268 14 267 20522 18434 11 270 14 271 14 293 18434 16313 11 291 16 279 17 307 16313 14270 17 307 19 291 16 309 14270 12410 19 316 18 304 13 306 12410 10757 16 315 16 316 9 308 10757 9290 14 317 14 326 8 324 9290 7986 10 316 10 318 8 322 7986 6829 5 306 7 269 10 285 6829 5808 4 294 9 218 11 248 5808 4909 2*267 8 204 10 214 4909 4114 1*142 7*174 11 185 4114 3401 2 138 7*162 12 170 3401 2770 2 138 7 158 12 157 2770 2243 2 141 7 158 12 146 2243 1838 1 141 6 156 11 136 1838 1560 1 147 6 156 10 127 1560 1390 1 150 6 156 8*119 1390 1294 1 153 5 156 4*115 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography