DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 85.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4048 - - 941 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3308 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5485 - - 2378 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3268 - - 6018 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 278 - - 100 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 49 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 195 - - 235 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 120 - - -1598 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5365 - - 3976 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1357 - - -3674 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6842 - - 6052 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 97 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1380 - - 2660 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 85.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.6 - - 71.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.5 - - 85.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 70.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4048 - - 941 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 88 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99125 37 084 38 085 99125 91632 32 083 32 084 91632 85884 28 085 28 086 85884 81113 28 095 24 088 81113 77015 25 101 17 094 77015 73394 21 097 12 095 73394 70105 15 097 5 079 70105 67072 13 074 2 197 67072 64262 3 137 3 134 64262 61544 2 135 2 122 61544 58734 5 017 1 218 58734 55864 13 316 6 308 55864 53161 17 271 21 292 53161 50748 21 239 24 263 50748 48600 17 223 22 230 48600 46656 10 233 15 218 46656 44864 12 251 14 232 44864 43192 16 234 21 244 43192 41622 20 226 25 241 41622 40141 21 226 26 239 40141 38737 21 222 26 231 38737 37374 20 218 22 226 37374 35985 19 220 19 228 35985 34540 17 221 15 226 34540 33044 16 221 13 234 33044 31483 17 223 12 243 31483 29846 17 225 10 231 29846 28133 16 238 10 229 28133 26348 16 237 12 263 26348 24490 15 233 13 269 24490 22558 15 243 13 251 22558 20554 17 249 12 231 20554 18473 17 246 13 221 18473 16360 17 241 13 220 16360 14332 16 238 12 228 14332 12494 14 235 12 227 12494 10859 12 235 13 221 10859 9401 12 230 12 212 9401 8099 12 229 10 204 8099 6938 10 230 9 200 6938 5904 5*221 7 200 5904 4989 3*206 6 203 4989 4179 2 187 5 210 4179 3450 1 182 5 219 3450 2806 1 192 5*227 2806 2267 0 187 5*232 2267 1853 0 211 5 235 1853 1568 0 276 5 235 1568 1394 0 281 5 239 1394 1295 0 286 4 240 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography