DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 61.6 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2618 - - 1985 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2729 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4055 - - 3422 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1061 - - 1479 - - 205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 291 - - 128 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 45 - - 28 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 135 - - 183 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2315 - - -3023 - - -2012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6371 - - 6445 - - 3305 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13363 - - -12883 - - -11818 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17418 - - 16305 - - 13111 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 52 - - 46 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 61.6 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.3 - - 38.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.6 - - 61.7 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.1 - - 37.0 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2618 - - 1985 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98056 17 256 26 254 23 265 98056 90718 15 231 26 254 22 270 90718 85012 15 240 21 258 21 268 85012 80244 14 272 10 252 16 254 80244 76138 18 282 8 276 11 255 76138 72523 18 276 13 277 11 275 72523 69266 15 277 18 274 14 294 69266 66292 17 285 19 272 17 293 66292 63546 20 284 17 283 16 287 63546 60890 24 287 21 288 20 285 60890 58131 31 282 29 271 29 284 58131 55285 38 273 36 268 36 281 55285 52574 45 268 42 264 41 268 52574 50132 53 264 47 261 47 263 50132 47937 60 262 52 263 53 260 47937 45941 64 261 57 263 53 259 45941 44108 61 258 60 260 55 260 44108 42414 56 258 60 255 59 256 42414 40838 56 258 56 253 58 252 40838 39364 53 260 54 253 56 250 39364 37977 48 260 53 253 53 252 37977 36634 48 259 50 254 52 253 36634 35270 47 253 49 257 49 254 35270 33854 43 252 46 258 45 260 33854 32390 40 255 42 257 40 264 32390 30864 40 254 39 260 36 268 30864 29266 40 253 35 262 34 273 29266 27598 39 259 32 264 31 275 27598 25857 38 266 31 269 29 270 25857 24040 39 270 32 267 29 263 24040 22148 38 274 36 263 30 260 22148 20174 33 273 35 271 28 261 20174 18115 26 267 29 276 25 269 18115 16017 24 276 24 281 22 281 16017 13998 26 290 22 289 19 289 13998 12161 25 293 21 294 17 294 12161 10528 21 289 20 295 16 298 10528 9079 18 288 17 300 14 302 9079 7795 15 293 14 307 13 303 7795 6661 13 295 11 307 13 294 6661 5665 9 287 8 292 12 273 5665 4790 3*262 6 263 11 238 4790 4019 1*140 3*224 9 215 4019 3329 1 131 2*191 7 182 3329 2718 1 131 1 182 8 145 2718 2209 1 131 1 174 10 131 2209 1818 1 138 1 183 11 123 1818 1549 1 144 0 179 10 118 1549 1386 1 146 0 178 8*115 1386 1292 1 153 0 191 5*114 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography