DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -12 - - -42 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1293 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 600 - - 117 - - 112 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 173 - - 183 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1366 - - -667 - - -904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2660 - - 1960 - - 2197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9984 - - -8829 - - -9472 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11277 - - 10122 - - 10765 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 60 - - 64 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.6 - - 40.0 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.0 - - 48.5 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.4 - - 40.2 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -12 - - -42 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96143 21 275 20 306 18 330 96143 89170 18 013 13 008 19 005 89170 83751 22 027 10 027 15 004 83751 79200 20 018 12 013 15 355 79200 75229 18 001 11 005 16 000 75229 71689 13 002 15 339 13 343 71689 68466 12 333 13 332 11 008 68466 65480 24 320 26 316 26 334 65480 62729 32 303 40 289 40 305 62729 60109 31 295 36 288 40 291 60109 57377 36 292 37 292 37 280 57377 54515 42 287 40 292 36 283 54515 51754 47 287 45 294 47 287 51754 49256 54 285 58 287 63 288 49256 47012 54 285 67 288 78 292 47012 44978 64 300 85 290 94 289 44978 43118 89 298 95 286 97 283 43118 41411 92 285 95 285 93 283 41411 39840 82 283 92 285 95 285 39840 38392 77 295 90 283 93 283 38392 37043 77 293 85 282 85 280 37043 35744 79 285 78 283 78 282 35744 34423 77 282 74 283 74 284 34423 33051 70 282 69 280 68 285 33051 31633 70 284 66 280 63 285 31633 30154 72 282 66 274 61 285 30154 28606 74 281 63 270 64 283 28606 26986 74 281 62 272 67 278 26986 25293 71 283 60 275 64 271 25293 23529 69 286 56 279 58 268 23529 21698 68 291 54 284 53 271 21698 19790 67 295 52 286 51 274 19790 17798 64 294 52 283 51 275 17798 15761 56 286 49 278 50 273 15761 13796 44 274 44 268 46 270 13796 12010 36 260 39 258 44 266 12010 10425 30 254 36 255 42 264 10425 9018 26 264 34 258 41 265 9018 7765 25 275 32 264 40 267 7765 6650 25 282 33 267 41 269 6650 5661 25 285 34 268 42 267 5661 4785 25 284 35 266 39 261 4785 4011 24 280 32 264 35 251 4011 3318 22 274 26 258 34 243 3318 2706 18 261 20 248 31 238 2706 2199 15 241 21 234 25 226 2199 1810 14 220 19 218 22 216 1810 1544 10 207 15 205 14 210 1544 1383 6*190 10*193 8*194 1383 1292 4*173 7*183 6*144 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography