DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 57.7 - - 60.7 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 408 - - 211 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4886 - - 6417 - - 6670 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4752 - - 6126 - - 5986 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6323 - - 7854 - - 8107 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 961 - - 1195 - - 1338 - - 6867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 453 - - 564 - - 459 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 304 - - 292 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -684 - - -1617 - - -2371 - - -7072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7007 - - 9472 - - 10479 - - 8365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6532 - - -7503 - - -7134 - - -11853 ODpotential blCL - - - 12855 - - 15357 - - 15241 - - 13146 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 54 - - 48 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 57.7 - - 60.7 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 20.2 - - 18.7 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 55.6 - - 59.4 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.3 - - 19.1 - - 17.7 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 408 - - 211 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4886 - - 6417 - - 6670 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97756 6 273 6 231 17 321 7 296 97756 90389 10 250 5 243 14 264 13 285 90389 84725 6 214 10 259 12 240 16 267 84725 79997 12 237 12 237 8 239 15 261 79997 75893 11 215 16 223 15 223 14 233 75893 72244 11 240 11 217 14 208 13 225 72244 68938 23 225 9 229 10 236 17 223 68938 65899 17 222 12 233 16 238 17 229 65899 63070 22 220 21 227 24 229 25 248 63070 60318 21 203 25 202 29 230 27 249 60318 57438 37 259 33 237 37 247 39 254 57438 54460 54 248 50 245 50 247 48 253 54460 51621 53 234 51 244 50 248 53 252 51621 49060 47 239 51 248 54 252 58 251 49060 46769 54 253 57 252 58 250 61 251 46769 44695 60 254 59 250 62 254 62 254 44695 42797 64 256 59 254 69 251 68 257 42797 41055 65 256 66 257 69 255 77 257 41055 39454 65 258 68 252 76 259 83 252 39454 37974 64 259 65 258 80 259 79 254 37974 36603 65 263 70 266 82 264 85 256 36603 35300 69 265 76 269 86 269 87 256 35300 33988 69 268 84 273 90 274 86 265 33988 32635 67 270 88 275 93 278 87 269 32635 31238 64 274 86 277 90 278 85 269 31238 29779 61 281 81 281 84 277 83 267 29779 28247 60 283 74 284 80 277 79 272 28247 26643 57 285 65 285 79 275 71 275 26643 24968 55 286 57 283 70 277 67 273 24968 23221 52 287 52 281 60 279 67 272 23221 21406 50 289 48 281 56 287 62 273 21406 19514 50 293 43 282 50 287 51 277 19514 17538 49 297 40 285 44 281 43 276 17538 15522 45 301 37 288 39 275 40 275 15522 13583 41 301 33 292 34 277 36 277 13583 11825 35 299 30 297 27 284 29 277 11825 10264 29 301 26 302 21 290 22 271 10264 8881 26 313 19*301 14*284 16 265 8881 7656 24 319 15*299 13*287 11 261 7656 6568 17*311 15 300 13 288 9 269 6568 5601 16*311 14 302 12 289 9 272 5601 4745 15 312 14 303 12 291 9 275 4745 3987 15 313 13 305 12 294 9 279 3987 3307 14 314 13 306 11 294 9 283 3307 2705 13 315 13 307 11 296 9 286 2705 2201 13 316 12 309 10 297 8 288 2201 1814 12 317 12 310 10 298 8 290 1814 1547 11 317 11 310 10 299 7 291 1547 1385 10 317 10 310 9 299 5*291 1385 1292 9 317 9 310 8 299 3*290 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography