DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 65.6 - - 67.8 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 204 - - 51 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6964 - - 8939 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4509 - - 6247 - - 6698 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6287 - - 8401 - - 10376 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1694 - - 1819 - - 1400 - - 6008 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 474 - - 349 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 254 - - 246 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1193 - - -324 - - 1085 - - -4597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7480 - - 8725 - - 9292 - - 5891 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5205 - - -3910 - - -1032 - - -6601 ODpotential blCL - - - 11492 - - 12311 - - 11408 - - 7895 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 60 - - 87 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 65.6 - - 67.8 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 31.6 - - 31.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 64.4 - - 67.6 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 30.3 - - 30.1 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 204 - - 51 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6964 - - 8939 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97523 9 036 12 039 5 027 10 268 97523 90197 4 350 8 354 10 339 8 305 90197 84555 3 271 5 239 8 298 7 305 84555 79848 7 269 7 246 9 287 4 270 79848 75774 10 221 11 237 14 275 8 307 75774 72181 13 274 12 250 19 260 17 289 72181 68935 20 258 10 260 16 257 18 277 68935 65941 27 245 24 258 24 263 27 251 65941 63141 31 242 26 241 23 250 32 242 63141 60399 37 270 32 269 36 263 35 261 60399 57541 50 269 51 268 51 265 52 271 57541 54607 63 257 63 263 67 261 66 265 54607 51821 69 252 72 260 67 258 66 261 51821 49313 70 255 74 259 69 263 68 266 49313 47070 75 259 80 262 80 264 84 265 47070 45049 83 262 93 261 95 262 98 262 45049 43212 93 264 101 260 108 262 108 261 43212 41523 103 266 105 261 116 262 117 261 41523 39954 113 268 111 263 121 263 125 261 39954 38489 119 270 116 267 125 264 127 261 38489 37111 120 270 118 268 124 265 129 261 37111 35784 122 271 116 269 116 266 128 260 35784 34441 126 272 114 269 108 267 118 261 34441 33055 128 272 112 270 102 266 101 261 33055 31627 126 273 108 273 97 267 90 261 31627 30138 114 274 103 272 91 268 87 262 30138 28575 100 273 94 270 86 266 84 262 28575 26942 91 272 83 267 81 266 76 262 26942 25237 86 270 74 263 77 267 68 263 25237 23459 83 271 71 266 70 265 63 268 23459 21612 74 275 67 270 64 264 60 272 21612 19696 64 274 60 273 58 266 55 275 19696 17702 56 272 51 277 52 271 50 275 17702 15670 47 273 43 279 46 276 43 275 15670 13717 40 274 36 276 37 276 33 281 13717 11951 33 274 32 279 24*276 27 270 11951 10390 27 273 25 285 16*270 20 252 10390 9004 22 271 17*277 15 268 15 248 9004 7766 18 272 15*265 14 262 15 246 7766 6661 14*282 14 262 13 252 14 240 6661 5677 13*287 13 258 12 242 14 232 5677 4807 13 288 12 254 12 235 14 224 4807 4036 12 289 11 251 11 229 14 216 4036 3344 11 289 11 249 11 225 14 209 3344 2730 11 289 10 246 11 221 14 203 2730 2218 10 290 9 244 11 220 14 198 2218 1824 9 289 9 243 10 218 13 194 1824 1552 8 290 8 241 10 217 11 190 1552 1387 8 290 8 241 10 217 9*185 1387 1293 7 290 7 241 8 216 5*181 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography