DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 84.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3230 - - 2195 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2858 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4667 - - 3632 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2832 - - 4692 - - 2969 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 270 - - 146 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 027 - - 027 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -921 - - -1926 - - -1906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5589 - - 5558 - - 3201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3540 - - -3905 - - -4390 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8207 - - 7537 - - 5685 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 96 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 550 - - 1050 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 84.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 64.9 - - 68.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.9 - - 85.5 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.8 - - 63.5 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3230 - - 2195 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 72 - - 82 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99001 19 109 3 063 23 019 99001 91560 16 076 11 087 8 049 91560 85820 14 075 14 082 11 074 85820 81069 10 067 8 074 11 055 81069 76981 6 074 5 052 7 058 76981 73364 6 103 3 020 7 015 73364 70098 10 110 2 131 5 325 70098 67096 8 035 10 019 5 047 67096 64314 4 009 9 335 11 329 64314 61649 8 008 7 328 11 312 61649 58885 14 331 16 322 16 324 58885 56031 16 318 16 303 21 308 56031 53314 16 330 13 310 21 310 53314 50881 26 331 25 323 29 313 50881 48721 32 316 33 310 26 305 48721 46760 29 296 29 295 22 314 46760 44954 22 288 25 309 30 333 44954 43286 34 331 33 323 34 336 43286 41730 39 330 36 322 39 339 41730 40263 34 324 36 319 36 338 40263 38872 31 314 35 314 29 331 38872 37520 30 309 34 309 28 321 37520 36141 31 311 36 308 33 318 36141 34705 31 312 35 306 34 310 34705 33214 28 311 31 304 32 308 33214 31654 25 313 28 304 30 309 31654 30012 23 315 29 306 28 312 30012 28290 27 309 29 307 26 314 28290 26488 28 302 29 312 29 319 26488 24610 24 283 27 319 29 320 24610 22662 21 281 17 307 26 331 22662 20644 17 285 18 286 22 329 20644 18548 18 299 19 284 20 328 18548 16415 19 300 19 280 21 320 16415 14366 16 304 19 280 20 311 14366 12506 15 312 18 281 19 309 12506 10854 12 308 15 285 18 297 10854 9384 9 288 13 276 17 275 9384 8079 10 281 15 264 14 261 8079 6917 11 279 14 261 11 265 6917 5884 7 281 11 257 9 273 5884 4971 3*293 7 251 7 288 4971 4163 2*013 3*246 4 312 4163 3437 3 031 1*032 3 012 3437 2796 3 029 3 029 4 052 2796 2261 3 028 3 027 5 057 2261 1849 3 026 3 027 6 056 1849 1565 3 026 3 027 5 056 1565 1393 3 025 3 024 5*055 1393 1294 3 025 3 024 3*050 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography