DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 81.3 - - 80.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 215 - - 2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4111 - - 7499 - - 6048 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3928 - - 6672 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5548 - - 8936 - - 7485 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1715 - - 1883 - - 4746 - - 3099 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 364 - - 488 - - 160 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 238 - - 226 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -909 - - -546 - - -836 - - -3871 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6457 - - 9482 - - 8321 - - 5166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3041 - - -2311 - - -2239 - - -6095 ODpotential blCL - - - 8589 - - 11247 - - 9724 - - 7390 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 83 - - 101 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 130 - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 81.3 - - 80.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 44.2 - - 48.3 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 80.0 - - 80.5 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 42.8 - - 47.1 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 215 - - 2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4111 - - 7499 - - 6048 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 103 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 28 246 37 247 39 251 43 255 96719 89462 36 251 42 259 34 258 36 262 89462 83874 34 246 38 255 37 256 29 269 83874 79244 23 237 31 247 34 246 25 266 79244 75270 19 255 21 247 21 253 17 262 75270 71759 27 273 15 266 21 272 20 277 71759 68575 29 270 19 272 26 268 21 277 68575 65642 21 255 18 260 21 267 20 270 65642 62912 13 272 18 268 18 278 20 268 62912 60258 25 277 31 260 29 281 31 279 60258 57491 36 259 37 256 39 270 35 271 57491 54622 41 260 37 261 39 264 34 265 54622 51889 43 261 37 255 38 257 35 265 51889 49433 39 260 37 257 35 249 37 263 49433 47236 36 262 38 264 36 248 39 262 47236 45270 40 263 40 265 43 260 38 261 45270 43523 45 265 43 264 49 263 37 269 43523 41936 46 262 50 256 49 261 42 272 41936 40451 40 251 47 246 46 262 42 270 40451 39045 37 244 43 243 41 260 38 272 39045 37712 34 240 40 239 37 256 31 283 37712 36418 34 246 36 230 33 252 26 290 36418 35097 33 253 32 224 32 251 25 283 35097 33721 30 256 30 224 33 249 22 276 33721 32292 27 252 30 231 32 246 19 277 32292 30796 24 252 32 242 31 246 19 271 30796 29222 24 252 35 248 29 247 23 267 29222 27573 25 252 36 252 28 251 27 264 27573 25848 27 253 37 257 29 257 28 263 25848 24047 29 256 34 262 31 264 27 265 24047 22171 30 258 30 260 33 268 27 270 22171 20218 30 257 30 262 34 270 28 268 20218 18184 30 249 34 259 33 265 30 263 18184 16112 32 240 41 253 34 255 31 264 16112 14118 33 233 38 247 34 254 29 263 14118 12304 33 235 33 237 28 252 27 258 12304 10692 32 241 29 236 26 248 25 248 10692 9256 30 245 19*242 18 240 22 251 9256 7974 27 253 14*241 15*231 19 250 7974 6832 23 268 13 241 14*230 18 243 6832 5816 18*272 13 240 14 229 17 233 5816 4917 16*268 12 239 14 227 18 227 4917 4122 15 265 12 237 13 225 19 223 4122 3408 13 260 11 236 13 224 19 219 3408 2775 12 259 11 235 13 223 19 215 2775 2247 11 257 10 235 12 223 18 211 2247 1840 10 255 10 233 12 222 17 207 1840 1560 10 255 9 233 11 222 14 202 1560 1391 9 254 9 234 9 222 10*197 1391 1294 8 254 7 233 7 222 6*190 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography