DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.0 - - 83.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5702 - - 6621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5319 - - 5511 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7139 - - 8058 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1742 - - 1761 - - 8050 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 457 - - 373 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 002 - - 349 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2439 - - -1731 - - -6437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9578 - - 9790 - - 7733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8827 - - -7881 - - -12243 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15966 - - 15939 - - 13538 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 50 - - 59 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.0 - - 83.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.5 - - 44.9 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.3 - - 82.4 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.2 - - 43.6 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5702 - - 6621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98774 19 081 16 099 11 075 98774 91264 10 105 11 081 10 062 91264 85501 10 088 12 070 10 071 85501 80749 10 107 7 048 15 073 80749 76656 10 124 6 060 10 054 76656 73018 11 121 12 082 5 049 73018 69713 8 093 12 077 5 062 69713 66674 9 074 8 079 4 071 66674 63865 10 068 4 072 4 005 63865 61159 15 021 8 035 7 043 61159 58353 16 343 16 351 14 015 58353 55462 13 332 16 333 21 337 55462 52724 16 346 16 339 17 323 52724 50266 23 348 22 352 16 346 50266 48072 30 338 37 339 30 348 48072 46108 32 350 39 338 38 340 46108 44333 41 015 35 350 30 354 44333 42698 48 020 32 018 34 004 42698 41170 47 016 37 028 34 005 41170 39725 47 011 36 030 31 001 39725 38355 42 006 37 021 29 004 38355 37023 37 004 38 016 32 002 37023 35665 36 001 34 009 35 009 35665 34250 32 353 32 002 30 017 34250 32783 26 344 29 359 28 003 32783 31247 22 349 23 351 32 358 31247 29634 17 342 22 333 27 355 29634 27947 12 315 20 326 22 347 27947 26187 13 301 18 314 19 343 26187 24351 14 298 17 308 17 348 24351 22441 13 299 16 310 15 341 22441 20450 12 307 15 323 14 332 20450 18372 13 317 15 328 15 330 18372 16253 11 321 14 327 15 328 16253 14213 8 322 11 323 12 326 14213 12363 8 312 9 315 11 331 12363 10724 8 315 9 306 11 323 10724 9275 7 325 6*291 12 267 9275 7989 6*337 5*298 12 258 7989 6842 5*346 4 305 9 254 6842 5823 5 352 3 338 6 249 5823 4922 5 358 3 356 4 243 4922 4125 5 003 3 008 1 194 4125 3410 5 007 3 015 2 097 3410 2777 5 011 3 022 3 086 2777 2248 5 014 3 023 4 081 2248 1842 5 015 3 026 5 078 1842 1561 4 015 3 027 5 075 1561 1391 4 015 3 027 4*074 1391 1294 4 013 3 025 3*073 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography