DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 73.7 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 185 - - 67 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3853 - - 4653 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3838 - - 3821 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5290 - - 6090 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1505 - - 2066 - - 6534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 381 - - 300 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 40 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - 205 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1637 - - -1834 - - -3264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6927 - - 7925 - - 4559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10058 - - -9305 - - -5098 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15348 - - 15395 - - 6393 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 73.7 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.9 - - 43.5 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.6 - - 42.2 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 185 - - 67 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3853 - - 4653 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98561 6 077 11 029 4 359 98561 91025 11 107 1 083 11 011 91025 85261 13 127 7 094 10 008 85261 80504 8 122 10 098 5 049 80504 76383 8 102 10 067 6 074 76383 72713 8 042 9 049 8 042 72713 69397 7 014 6 016 13 011 69397 66368 10 001 9 348 16 001 66368 63567 15 355 16 330 22 335 63567 60868 21 335 22 327 24 326 60868 58077 28 322 25 325 26 316 58077 55195 37 317 33 318 30 312 55195 52448 43 309 41 310 36 310 52448 49977 47 304 48 301 42 302 49977 47780 56 300 55 299 50 296 47780 45813 60 295 59 295 53 295 45813 44029 64 300 62 294 59 290 44029 42385 69 301 63 294 60 286 42385 40850 72 298 64 293 55 290 40850 39405 72 296 63 294 52 291 39405 38035 69 300 61 296 52 291 38035 36705 66 301 60 300 52 292 36705 35347 65 299 60 299 52 290 35347 33933 65 297 60 297 54 287 33933 32468 62 300 60 299 53 288 32468 30938 58 306 54 303 49 290 30938 29332 49 308 47 304 45 290 29332 27652 42 308 41 297 41 288 27652 25898 38 303 37 292 39 284 25898 24077 34 296 35 293 38 280 24077 22187 29 294 31 292 35 277 22187 20217 26 293 27 286 29 275 20217 18163 24 292 22 286 23 267 18163 16068 20 298 17 284 18 257 16068 14051 15 299 15 273 17 267 14051 12219 12 288 17 266 22 282 12219 10598 12 285 21 272 24 294 10598 9166 13 288 21 274 22 294 9166 7896 14 287 14 254 15 283 7896 6768 11 272 12*244 12 269 6768 5764 7*250 11*239 12 257 5764 4877 5*243 8 228 12 247 4877 4090 3 233 6 210 13 241 4090 3385 2 224 4 187 13 237 3385 2760 1 206 4 173 14 233 2760 2237 1 184 3 163 13 229 2237 1835 1 153 3 155 13 225 1835 1558 1 131 3 153 11 221 1558 1390 1 120 3 149 8*217 1390 1294 1 116 3 148 5*212 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography