DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.9 - - 43.0 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 117 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2134 - - 2528 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2321 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3571 - - 3965 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 780 - - 1170 - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 262 - - 92 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 252 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1155 - - -799 - - -1259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4726 - - 4765 - - 2551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9224 - - -8589 - - -9636 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12795 - - 12554 - - 10928 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 65 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.9 - - 43.0 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.0 - - 27.0 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.2 - - 43.5 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.8 - - 25.8 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 117 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2134 - - 2528 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94741 97 246 97 248 102 248 94741 87977 77 252 78 255 72 260 87977 82790 62 251 63 256 53 258 82790 78416 51 252 52 258 48 267 78416 74594 42 250 47 255 46 270 74594 71172 37 258 43 255 44 270 71172 68040 35 271 40 264 44 269 68040 65138 38 266 41 269 45 263 65138 62418 39 254 41 255 47 260 62418 59767 38 257 42 257 52 261 59767 56995 47 263 52 259 58 258 56995 54098 58 255 60 251 66 255 54098 51316 64 258 69 255 76 258 51316 48813 72 260 78 256 83 258 48813 46574 75 257 78 256 83 258 46574 44546 76 253 78 257 86 261 44546 42696 77 252 80 258 88 260 42696 41002 83 253 81 258 89 258 41002 39439 91 253 84 256 90 257 39439 37990 95 252 92 252 91 255 37990 36638 95 255 99 249 91 254 36638 35339 95 257 104 247 88 254 35339 34022 101 260 105 249 88 257 34022 32657 105 260 101 252 87 262 32657 31250 101 259 97 254 86 264 31250 29784 92 259 91 255 84 266 29784 28247 84 257 88 257 84 268 28247 26634 82 260 86 257 82 266 26634 24945 79 264 84 259 74 265 24945 23183 73 267 79 262 67 265 23183 21355 66 268 70 261 66 269 21355 19457 56 268 60 263 63 270 19457 17483 50 266 54 265 53 270 17483 15471 45 269 45 271 43 272 15471 13529 37 274 37 280 35 280 13529 11761 33 275 34 283 31 285 11761 10190 28 272 31 283 28 286 10190 8798 25 268 30 286 28 286 8798 7563 23 268 30 288 29 289 7563 6468 22 272 29 289 30 292 6468 5501 21 276 24 287 31 293 5501 4652 19 273 18*280 30 291 4652 3907 15*261 13*263 25 284 3907 3243 11*240 13 257 20 272 3243 2659 11 236 12 251 16 257 2659 2170 10 234 12 248 15 249 2170 1795 10 233 11 246 14 242 1795 1537 9 232 10 244 12 233 1537 1380 8 231 9 243 8*222 1380 1291 7 231 7 242 4*199 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography