DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.3 - - 54.6 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 232 - - 139 - - 147 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1669 - - 1576 - - 1584 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 952 - - 789 - - 816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 58 - - 44 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 077 - - 091 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 158 - - 206 - - 248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1511 - - 1370 - - 1336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -317 - - -221 - - -143 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1986 - - 1797 - - 1727 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.3 - - 54.6 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.4 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.2 - - 54.6 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.1 - - 53.0 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 232 - - 139 - - 147 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98500 8 110 5 135 12 062 98500 91017 12 101 12 110 9 062 91017 85269 9 115 9 086 7 071 85269 80501 7 116 4 023 9 031 80501 76386 4 082 3 356 6 012 76386 72758 2 039 4 036 4 346 72758 69498 1 030 4 090 2 325 69498 66515 5 293 4 002 9 013 66515 63749 5 219 12 249 8 300 63749 61079 4 211 8 210 9 259 61079 58301 12 259 11 256 11 264 58301 55415 23 238 18 246 13 270 55415 52661 29 235 23 254 24 262 52661 50197 30 238 27 235 25 230 50197 48010 35 225 33 219 32 229 48010 46047 38 227 37 219 41 220 46047 44273 48 227 48 219 44 212 44273 42642 55 218 50 216 47 213 42642 41113 51 209 47 215 47 213 41113 39669 49 204 46 216 48 214 39669 38301 45 201 46 214 48 214 38301 36974 41 201 46 211 50 209 36974 35619 38 199 44 209 50 207 35619 34208 36 200 40 210 46 211 34208 32742 30 213 36 215 44 217 32742 31207 29 224 34 219 42 216 31207 29593 32 227 35 222 40 210 29593 27900 29 229 36 225 36 203 27900 26125 27 231 32 225 34 211 26125 24273 25 230 26 208 33 221 24273 22350 26 219 28 217 31 228 22350 20352 24 230 25 221 28 234 20352 18272 24 242 21 225 25 233 18272 16154 20 241 21 231 24 235 16154 14115 18 222 24 228 20 227 14115 12265 21 229 30 218 20 216 12265 10624 28 228 32 210 23 207 10624 9167 33 216 34 209 26 204 9167 7872 32 209 35 208 26 207 7872 6723 30 209 35 209 26 210 6723 5705 25 205 33 205 27 210 5705 4810 20 195 28 195 24 208 4810 4024 16 167 21 185 16 198 4024 3325 14 134 14 167 10 164 3325 2711 11 108 11 128 11 124 2711 2202 8 087 11 102 12 107 2202 1814 6*079 9*096 11*106 1814 1547 5*078 7*092 9*105 1547 1385 4 076 5 091 8 105 1385 1292 3 075 4 091 5 106 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography