DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.8 - - 98.1 - - 94.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 35 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4130 - - 6325 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3878 - - 4559 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5567 - - 7762 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2279 - - 7082 - - 12067 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 351 - - 291 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 25 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 257 - - 276 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2472 - - -1694 - - -6181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8039 - - 9457 - - 7477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5449 - - -4100 - - -8212 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11016 - - 11862 - - 9508 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 49 - - 50 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1410 - - 1270 - - 2320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.8 - - 98.1 - - 94.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 61.1 - - 65.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 94.0 - - 98.1 - - 97.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.7 - - 59.8 - - 64.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 35 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4130 - - 6325 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99145 34 081 37 076 33 081 99145 91645 33 087 27 078 32 075 91645 85915 29 075 23 078 31 073 85915 81174 22 074 20 065 26 064 81174 77077 21 079 17 070 18 058 77077 73440 16 079 16 078 14 040 73440 70136 12 094 10 074 8 048 70136 67102 11 121 5 026 7 058 67102 64313 11 116 1 043 7 033 64313 61633 11 076 9 127 2 360 61633 58858 8 017 10 108 3 173 58858 56006 4 287 2 003 2 131 56006 53315 7 197 8 273 3 351 53315 50917 11 174 9 239 6 252 50917 48773 14 186 13 226 13 244 48773 46818 22 187 22 218 22 234 46818 45013 23 192 24 217 29 222 45013 43330 20 196 24 217 30 212 43330 41750 18 199 23 214 28 207 41750 40265 19 204 23 211 27 214 40265 38864 20 207 25 214 33 221 38864 37506 20 212 26 216 37 221 37506 36122 21 215 25 215 37 215 36122 34685 20 216 25 213 34 210 34685 33197 17 214 23 211 31 211 33197 31644 15 214 22 211 29 217 31644 30014 16 218 23 217 24 226 30014 28311 15 221 21 225 20 231 28311 26533 12 221 17 227 18 234 26533 24681 10 225 14 225 17 235 24681 22761 9 243 12 249 14 254 22761 20766 9 261 12 272 13 289 20766 18688 8 291 9 290 10 299 18688 16572 10 291 10 306 7 280 16572 14537 11 288 10 311 8 283 14537 12683 11 298 9 322 6 304 12683 11025 10 307 10 318 7 317 11025 9544 9 305 8 301 5 303 9544 8218 9 296 7*274 5 285 8218 7036 6 272 6*268 4 280 7036 5984 4*253 6 268 4 280 5984 5053 4*251 5 270 3 284 5053 4229 3 251 5 273 3 288 4229 3488 3 253 4 278 3 295 3488 2833 2 256 4 285 3 302 2833 2285 2 266 4 291 2 308 2285 1863 2 269 3 294 2 311 1863 1573 2 276 3 297 2 316 1573 1397 2 276 3 298 2*318 1397 1295 1 278 3 298 2*315 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography