DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 67.7 - - 68.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 0 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 424 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1577 - - 1861 - - 1295 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1320 - - 1695 - - 1968 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 38 - - 13 - - - W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 158 - - 144 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 284 - - 345 - - -395 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1293 - - 1516 - - 1690 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -537 - - -412 - - -1646 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 2114 - - 2273 - - 2941 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 67.7 - - 68.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.8 - - 65.1 - - 64.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 67.8 - - 68.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 64.8 - - 64.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 0 - - -3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 424 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99366 48 086 31 100 32 083 99366 91843 42 078 38 088 35 088 91843 86045 32 078 35 085 33 087 86045 81247 29 082 30 087 28 083 81247 77131 26 086 27 086 21 083 77131 73504 20 079 25 080 20 088 73504 70219 19 075 21 067 23 080 70219 67200 17 076 17 066 19 066 67200 64408 18 051 17 062 15 067 64408 61712 10 024 13 028 12 046 61712 58912 10 010 8 324 10 360 58912 56016 10 312 14 299 17 312 56016 53271 19 311 21 287 26 289 53271 50823 28 303 22 277 27 273 50823 48627 33 290 20 280 28 279 48627 46627 45 290 32 283 35 283 46627 44793 50 277 40 277 36 274 44793 43096 45 276 39 273 33 268 43096 41513 43 281 36 274 30 268 41513 40026 36 278 34 275 24 268 40026 38626 27 272 32 271 24 263 38626 37274 25 277 29 264 27 264 37274 35900 26 271 29 265 31 264 35900 34470 27 258 26 251 28 256 34470 32986 23 276 22 245 28 239 32986 31434 20 292 20 245 25 232 31434 29805 19 288 17 251 20 235 29805 28097 20 292 14 248 17 238 28097 26309 17 298 13 237 16 251 26309 24445 14 296 13 252 15 271 24445 22511 14 296 12 271 13 273 22511 20500 16 284 12 272 11 274 20500 18409 20 270 17 260 14 276 18409 16280 21 274 15 251 16 262 16280 14231 18 281 12 246 16 260 14231 12371 16 280 13 251 12 270 12371 10722 11 223 13 244 6 269 10722 9260 8 239 9 254 6 286 9260 7958 8 278 6 261 6 291 7958 6804 7 277 4 262 6 291 6804 5782 5 262 4 241 5 269 5782 4883 2 186 4 211 5 242 4883 4089 6 128 5 164 5 216 4089 3380 7 133 7 153 6 195 3380 2754 7 144 8 154 6 176 2754 2232 7 145 7*155 6 162 2232 1832 6*132 6*156 6 151 1832 1557 5*126 5 157 5 149 1557 1389 4 125 5 159 4*148 1389 1294 3 123 3 160 3*144 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography