DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 74.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 90 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6437 - - 6417 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5698 - - 5275 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7874 - - 7854 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 562 - - 1586 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 428 - - 357 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 294 - - 286 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 25 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1154 - - 666 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6720 - - 7189 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 273 - - -355 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7601 - - 8209 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 89 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 74.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 47.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 73.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.7 - - 46.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 90 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6437 - - 6417 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 57 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 24 091 28 091 98721 91250 19 089 26 082 91250 85511 24 107 21 085 85511 80751 23 099 15 090 80751 76644 17 097 13 105 76644 73005 13 082 5 087 73005 69706 3 358 5 129 69706 66678 5 177 4 230 66678 63882 8 170 14 216 63882 61181 5 221 11 239 61181 58369 15 236 15 274 58369 55459 32 260 33 264 55459 52702 48 249 49 248 52702 50241 52 242 62 239 50241 48032 55 244 61 244 48032 46015 63 251 70 257 46015 44165 75 258 86 261 44165 42460 86 258 97 262 42460 40878 91 258 103 262 40878 39400 96 259 105 262 39400 38010 93 256 100 259 38010 36668 84 249 92 254 36668 35305 78 242 86 251 35305 33892 74 241 81 246 33892 32431 72 242 77 244 32431 30906 70 244 75 247 30906 29303 67 245 74 247 29303 27620 65 243 73 241 27620 25857 65 243 73 245 25857 24022 63 247 72 254 24022 22121 58 254 67 256 22121 20148 52 260 63 251 20148 18098 49 262 61 252 18098 16006 48 266 55 259 16006 13988 42 264 48 249 13988 12151 36 254 47 245 12151 10532 25 247 28 249 10532 9111 15*245 10 237 9111 7855 11*279 10*264 7855 6734 11 282 11*271 6734 5739 11 288 13 282 5739 4857 11 293 14 285 4857 4076 11 297 14 287 4076 3374 11 300 15 289 3374 2752 11 303 15 290 2752 2233 11 305 15 290 2233 1832 11 306 15 291 1832 1557 10 307 14 291 1557 1390 10 307 13 292 1390 1294 8 308 11 292 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography