DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.7 - - 85.2 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - -18 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4440 - - 66 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3811 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5877 - - 1503 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2194 - - 7708 - - 2731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 312 - - 47 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 231 - - 265 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -690 - - -3253 - - -1517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6568 - - 4756 - - 2813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3440 - - -4835 - - -3893 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9317 - - 6338 - - 5189 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 1530 - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.7 - - 85.2 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.3 - - 68.5 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.2 - - 86.0 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.9 - - 67.2 - - 71.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - -18 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4440 - - 66 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 8 - - 88 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99443 43 098 29 083 30 067 99443 91933 32 087 27 091 28 083 91933 86131 24 092 27 088 24 093 86131 81321 21 104 20 082 21 090 81321 77179 18 112 16 099 17 101 77179 73510 18 113 13 113 13 102 73510 70173 12 079 10 130 9 109 70173 67119 8 066 7 101 6 074 67119 64317 7 052 4 076 4 024 64317 61621 12 311 11 318 8 335 61621 58844 15 274 14 276 13 311 58844 55993 23 304 16 296 19 311 55993 53278 36 298 30 298 28 295 53278 50838 38 295 36 298 30 280 50838 48678 46 294 48 295 34 288 48678 46739 50 285 48 281 46 282 46739 44952 39 292 45 288 51 284 44952 43287 45 309 53 308 55 307 43287 41728 60 323 70 316 53 289 41728 40257 73 326 72 314 53 286 40257 38860 70 324 63 308 50 283 38860 37503 59 316 58 305 50 282 37503 36119 52 308 53 306 50 281 36119 34680 50 308 49 306 52 278 34680 33187 50 317 49 301 50 276 33187 31628 42 308 47 301 42 278 31628 29989 40 292 42 300 34 275 29989 28269 41 288 41 300 33 270 28269 26468 41 278 40 294 38 267 26468 24591 40 277 40 280 42 271 24591 22646 37 278 40 278 41 280 22646 20627 38 281 38 285 38 283 20627 18530 41 288 36 298 33 286 18530 16399 37 292 32 302 27 291 16399 14358 29 297 22 298 22 300 14358 12512 20 297 17 292 18 301 12512 10869 15 278 14 285 13 279 10869 9405 15 268 10 280 10 267 9405 8099 17 269 8 276 7 266 8099 6934 14*262 7 268 5 272 6934 5898 10*248 7 260 3 321 5898 4982 8 237 7 256 5 359 4982 4172 6 230 7 254 7 008 4172 3445 6 226 7 256 7 010 3445 2802 5 224 7 257 8 012 2802 2264 4 221 6 259 8 017 2264 1851 4 218 6 261 7 022 1851 1567 4 216 6*262 6 024 1567 1394 3 216 6*264 5*028 1394 1295 3 219 5 265 3*036 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography