DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 71.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2396 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3833 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1984 - - 5684 - - 385 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 204 - - 18 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 21 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 329 - - 019 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3971 - - -4940 - - -3462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7805 - - 6235 - - 4756 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11079 - - -10394 - - -10438 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14912 - - 11689 - - 11732 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 55 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 71.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 48.5 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.3 - - 72.1 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.9 - - 47.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2396 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97883 31 228 41 238 46 234 97883 90585 31 228 35 238 29 242 90585 84926 29 217 27 249 24 252 84926 80182 22 223 22 230 25 243 80182 76079 18 230 22 230 22 240 76079 72462 14 253 20 230 19 261 72462 69223 19 267 18 234 22 266 69223 66273 26 260 20 255 23 276 66273 63555 32 261 31 263 32 269 63555 60936 34 255 39 251 34 264 60936 58218 38 250 45 249 42 257 58218 55420 45 248 50 250 52 256 55420 52757 53 253 56 252 58 256 52757 50351 67 262 63 256 64 252 50351 48195 81 266 72 259 73 254 48195 46244 100 257 87 260 94 254 46244 44456 120 249 106 252 105 248 44456 42796 121 243 115 247 104 243 42796 41237 111 240 110 245 102 242 41237 39764 110 238 110 242 102 240 39764 38366 111 236 108 239 100 238 38366 37008 113 236 104 239 95 237 37008 35623 114 238 98 237 90 237 35623 34180 103 245 95 234 87 238 34180 32684 67 253 91 237 85 236 32684 31119 47 251 59 253 75 237 31119 29481 43 254 40 255 57 256 29481 27787 41 262 37 252 35 258 27787 26033 37 263 33 252 25 252 26033 24205 32 265 32 253 24 252 24205 22304 32 271 28 257 20 245 22304 20322 32 272 27 267 18 241 20322 18253 28 272 25 270 19 243 18253 16145 25 276 23 269 22 257 16145 14118 24 284 22 276 20 265 14118 12276 26 298 23 288 17 272 12276 10638 29 309 22 306 12 279 10638 9183 29 318 22 318 10 301 9183 7894 28 327 20 321 11 325 7894 6754 26 331 15 314 10 329 6754 5746 18 325 11 302 8 317 5746 4859 9 309 10 302 6 328 4859 4074 7*304 8 308 7 358 4074 3371 3*306 6 319 8 009 3371 2749 2 319 4 341 8 015 2749 2229 2 332 3 358 7 020 2229 1830 1 352 3 008 5 031 1830 1555 1 002 3 014 4 048 1555 1388 1 007 2*018 3*067 1388 1293 1 007 2*019 3*097 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography