DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 45.7 - - 45.4 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 123 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 2178 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 2361 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1576 - - 3615 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1048 - - 722 - - 3421 - - 2283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 54 - - 265 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 255 - - 222 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1909 - - -2050 - - -4081 - - -1993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3485 - - 5665 - - 5375 - - 3285 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10971 - - -8987 - - -11007 - - -9967 ODpotential blCL - - - 12547 - - 12602 - - 12300 - - 11259 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 80 - - 89 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 45.7 - - 45.4 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 25.6 - - 26.5 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 45.0 - - 46.1 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.8 - - 25.9 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 123 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 2178 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 18 - - 57 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95682 79 238 93 239 111 244 105 244 95682 88561 70 246 82 243 80 251 79 250 88561 83091 68 249 73 245 69 252 70 252 83091 78541 64 250 62 251 58 252 60 249 78541 74588 64 253 61 258 53 257 52 255 74588 71064 61 258 61 259 54 261 52 262 71064 67868 58 261 59 259 54 257 48 263 67868 64916 56 261 58 264 53 260 46 265 64916 62166 57 261 61 263 58 265 52 266 62166 59502 59 256 63 256 60 264 58 259 59502 56723 57 255 63 250 63 256 63 255 56723 53827 62 263 63 249 65 253 70 256 53827 51067 73 267 67 258 74 256 77 256 51067 48607 85 266 79 265 81 259 84 257 48607 46425 95 262 97 262 93 259 98 257 46425 44465 101 257 106 255 101 253 103 247 44465 42691 97 260 99 255 98 251 95 248 42691 41065 105 271 103 267 97 261 100 264 41065 39562 115 271 116 267 110 266 115 265 39562 38155 118 267 116 260 114 263 110 253 38155 36825 118 267 112 257 115 259 108 249 36825 35536 117 267 107 258 114 253 107 249 35536 34221 113 264 108 259 111 252 106 248 34221 32852 110 261 109 259 109 253 105 248 32852 31433 108 261 108 258 109 256 105 249 31433 29950 105 262 107 259 108 258 104 249 29950 28391 101 262 105 261 104 256 103 249 28391 26758 98 262 101 261 101 253 102 248 26758 25048 94 262 95 261 98 252 100 248 25048 23266 89 264 91 261 93 252 98 249 23266 21417 86 266 88 263 88 253 93 250 21417 19495 84 265 83 267 83 259 86 253 19495 17500 80 264 76 271 79 265 79 255 17500 15474 73 262 67 271 75 265 76 253 15474 13528 64 259 59 263 71 260 74 250 13528 11760 57 258 55 257 70 254 69 249 11760 10190 48 260 49 254 64 251 63 248 10190 8796 40 264 45 252 52 252 59 244 8796 7560 36 264 42 254 47 256 54 240 7560 6466 35 261 38 259 40 257 46 240 6466 5504 34 258 34 265 29 256 37 241 5504 4660 32 255 27 268 20 252 29 247 4660 3917 30 256 19*265 14 242 20 257 3917 3254 27 259 13*256 12 232 12 269 3254 2666 23 260 12 256 12 230 8 272 2666 2176 18 255 11 254 11 229 8 266 2176 1799 13*248 11 254 10 228 7 259 1799 1539 10*243 10 254 9 226 7 243 1539 1382 8 241 9 253 8*226 5*225 1382 1291 6 236 8 253 5*222 3*192 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography