DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.4 - - 35.5 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 211 - - 61 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3629 - - 3541 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3674 - - 2671 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5066 - - 4978 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 748 - - 1385 - - 4172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 374 - - 246 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 23 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 259 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 14 - - 19 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1648 - - -2447 - - -3631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6714 - - 7426 - - 4922 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10870 - - -11218 - - -13794 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15936 - - 16196 - - 15085 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 45 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.4 - - 35.5 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 10.4 - - 7.3 - - 8.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 34.5 - - 35.2 - - 29.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 9.3 - - 6.9 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 211 - - 61 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3629 - - 3541 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95898 14 283 11 313 15 233 95898 88862 7 250 10 299 13 254 88862 83402 10 216 15 254 16 258 83402 78839 9 207 9 218 13 280 78839 74874 21 231 26 256 28 258 74874 71357 27 225 32 239 40 247 71357 68160 30 230 28 220 38 233 68160 65181 42 249 40 247 38 228 65181 62362 52 240 52 240 50 244 62362 59610 57 224 62 233 71 247 59610 56772 63 231 78 238 84 245 56772 53861 80 240 94 239 92 241 53861 51083 94 241 105 235 100 240 51083 48569 107 238 108 233 110 237 48569 46312 113 234 110 235 117 236 46312 44263 114 235 116 238 123 237 44263 42387 118 237 123 240 127 238 42387 40659 120 236 127 240 131 239 40659 39058 119 235 127 240 133 239 39058 37571 117 234 125 240 132 239 37571 36185 112 236 122 240 129 238 36185 34863 108 240 119 239 125 238 34863 33535 109 241 115 239 121 238 33535 32165 110 239 111 238 119 239 32165 30754 110 239 109 237 119 240 30754 29283 110 239 107 238 120 242 29283 27740 108 239 105 240 119 243 27740 26125 106 239 104 243 117 244 26125 24440 104 238 102 245 116 246 24440 22690 100 237 99 246 114 247 22690 20879 93 240 96 246 111 246 20879 18999 85 246 92 249 101 247 18999 17044 79 253 83 251 88 252 17044 15058 74 256 73 248 74 251 15058 13150 68 257 69 244 63 247 13150 11420 63 256 66 245 59 246 11420 9889 59 256 62 252 57 250 9889 8534 56 258 59 258 55 257 8534 7339 53 261 53 264 53 263 7339 6287 46 263 43 264 48 265 6287 5363 31*261 31*261 40 268 5363 4552 23*255 25*259 35 272 4552 3836 23 255 25 259 31 273 3836 3194 22 254 24 259 29 274 3194 2624 22 254 23 260 26 273 2624 2149 21 253 22 260 22 273 2149 1783 20 253 21 260 17 273 1783 1531 19 253 20 260 12 273 1531 1378 17 252 17 260 8*273 1378 1290 13 252 13 259 2*264 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography