DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.6 - - 88.1 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6719 - - 7040 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6092 - - 5663 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8156 - - 8477 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1148 - - 1389 - - 5892 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 478 - - 359 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 242 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2073 - - -2188 - - -5310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10230 - - 10665 - - 6605 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7153 - - -7108 - - -9948 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15309 - - 15585 - - 11243 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 64 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.6 - - 88.1 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.2 - - 45.8 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.1 - - 87.5 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.9 - - 44.5 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6719 - - 7040 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98708 8 072 22 063 11 080 98708 91172 11 071 11 026 20 028 91172 85391 14 067 3 070 17 024 85391 80638 15 074 4 039 14 057 80638 76558 10 099 3 350 14 048 76558 72949 8 102 2 223 10 009 72949 69684 7 097 4 089 2 004 69684 66682 6 052 9 046 6 059 66682 63894 4 040 6 028 7 004 63894 61203 8 015 7 030 6 299 61203 58408 12 332 9 359 9 319 58408 55522 16 317 12 331 16 315 55522 52779 21 310 16 314 16 296 52779 50332 20 297 19 300 17 297 50332 48168 16 288 20 277 23 279 48168 46231 22 287 19 274 22 254 46231 44466 29 279 28 279 27 250 44466 42829 28 270 30 273 32 253 42829 41290 24 266 33 273 32 257 41290 39834 25 275 36 269 30 261 39834 38454 33 282 33 265 26 258 38454 37114 26 277 29 262 23 264 37114 35749 25 265 27 256 24 269 35749 34328 27 253 28 249 26 265 34328 32855 27 246 28 242 28 259 32855 31315 25 246 28 242 28 255 31315 29697 24 251 27 244 27 255 29697 28002 22 252 27 249 26 258 28002 26234 20 246 24 254 24 265 26234 24393 18 240 20 253 25 268 24393 22481 17 246 20 262 24 267 22481 20493 15 261 19 271 20 265 20493 18425 15 294 16 283 17 267 18425 16318 17 302 14 294 14 266 16318 14285 17 303 12 299 11 264 14285 12434 15 298 12 291 12 268 12434 10790 13 289 12 274 14 271 10790 9330 10*258 8*246 14 266 9330 8031 8*239 8*243 11 254 8031 6878 7 237 8 243 7 239 6878 5855 7 237 8 242 7 239 5855 4949 6 235 8 242 8 246 4949 4147 5 233 8 241 9 250 4147 3428 4 233 8 241 10 252 3428 2789 3 232 8 240 10 255 2789 2256 3 233 8 241 10 256 2256 1846 2 233 8 241 10 256 1846 1564 2 231 8 240 9 255 1564 1393 2 233 7 240 7*252 1393 1294 2 235 6 239 4*245 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography