DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.0 - - 78.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 146 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5409 - - 6499 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4696 - - 5677 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6846 - - 7936 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1682 - - 1173 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 361 - - 415 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 19 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 307 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 18 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 319 - - -146 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6527 - - 8082 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3184 - - -4120 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10030 - - 12056 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 74 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.0 - - 78.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 47.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.5 - - 77.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.4 - - 46.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 146 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5409 - - 6499 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98864 26 084 23 073 98864 91361 19 068 23 074 91361 85594 22 083 19 077 85594 80825 22 091 15 070 80825 76714 18 079 14 078 76714 73071 8 078 13 087 73071 69784 10 124 9 114 69784 66773 12 138 4 157 66773 63991 10 148 8 202 63991 61305 4 180 12 255 61305 58520 14 238 25 244 58520 55640 31 229 31 233 55640 52902 38 252 48 253 52902 50454 59 251 58 247 50454 48243 66 243 65 243 48243 46218 71 243 74 241 46218 44360 80 243 83 239 44360 42649 86 239 81 237 42649 41061 80 235 73 239 41061 39578 68 235 73 245 39578 38186 67 236 75 245 38186 36843 63 233 76 245 36843 35477 63 239 75 245 35477 34058 61 247 72 250 34058 32587 59 250 70 257 32587 31048 58 248 71 259 31048 29433 59 250 69 257 29433 27740 59 255 68 257 27740 25968 61 258 67 260 25968 24120 64 260 69 266 24120 22200 66 264 73 271 22200 20204 64 264 70 272 20204 18126 58 262 65 274 18126 16020 47 256 54 281 16020 14016 42 248 36 289 14016 12206 38 255 24 284 12206 10597 34 265 23 284 10597 9168 29 275 20*293 9168 7900 20*282 18*301 7900 6772 16*286 19 303 6772 5769 16 288 19 305 5769 4882 17 290 20 306 4882 4095 17 291 20 308 4095 3389 17 292 20 309 3389 2763 17 293 20 310 2763 2239 16 294 19 310 2239 1837 16 294 19 311 1837 1559 15 294 18 311 1559 1391 14 295 17 311 1391 1294 11 295 13 311 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography