DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 81.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -10 - - -15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2428 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3865 - - 1295 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1782 - - 6839 - - 5188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 141 - - 15 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 264 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 311 - - -1641 - - -843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3554 - - 2936 - - 2139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3356 - - -3432 - - -2848 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7221 - - 4727 - - 4144 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 760 - - 1960 - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 81.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 72.0 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.5 - - 83.0 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.2 - - 70.8 - - 72.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -10 - - -15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2428 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99278 31 097 22 081 26 078 99278 91812 32 088 31 097 21 085 91812 86053 28 085 30 090 24 095 86053 81260 18 092 23 076 24 093 81260 77122 17 103 16 089 19 085 77122 73467 18 095 15 114 12 088 73467 70162 14 090 13 145 7 114 70162 67127 10 110 9 136 5 121 67127 64324 4 128 1 045 1 266 64324 61621 4 167 6 248 9 203 61621 58835 5 261 13 253 8 224 58835 55993 17 262 19 264 24 284 55993 53310 24 251 31 253 33 259 53310 50906 28 247 31 248 36 258 50906 48757 35 261 41 267 40 268 48757 46807 38 266 45 268 48 269 46807 45012 45 273 42 265 48 263 45012 43340 44 271 40 262 41 259 43340 41772 30 263 38 264 41 261 41772 40293 17 262 34 263 43 260 40293 38889 15 256 29 262 40 258 38889 37526 16 275 25 261 34 256 37526 36134 23 283 25 261 33 254 36134 34685 25 286 27 263 33 253 34685 33181 27 286 26 266 33 256 33181 31608 27 287 23 267 30 262 31608 29961 30 288 23 263 27 270 29961 28239 33 284 24 266 23 267 28239 26444 33 283 28 272 21 287 26444 24575 36 278 29 286 23 292 24575 22636 43 275 34 288 28 286 22636 20623 40 281 39 283 28 284 20623 18532 34 286 37 284 25 286 18532 16403 36 282 33 287 24 285 16403 14354 38 279 33 282 26 282 14354 12492 32 277 34 277 28 279 12492 10838 25 279 34 274 28 278 10838 9369 23 290 30 270 28 276 9369 8063 23 297 23 272 24 274 8063 6904 20 299 17 272 16 272 6904 5876 16 301 10 258 13 273 5876 4968 11 301 8 251 13 275 4968 4162 9*303 7 254 12 278 4162 3439 9*304 7 255 11 279 3439 2798 9 305 7 257 9 283 2798 2262 9 306 6 260 7 290 2262 1850 8 306 6 262 5 301 1850 1566 8 306 5 264 4 309 1566 1394 8 306 4*265 3*312 1394 1295 6 306 3*264 2*316 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography