DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.4 - - 89.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -27 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2670 - - 3354 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1279 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4107 - - 4791 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2070 - - 2082 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 215 - - 173 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 9 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 303 - - 258 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1477 - - -1355 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5584 - - 6147 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6126 - - -6764 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10233 - - 11555 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 56 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1840 - - 1690 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.4 - - 89.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.2 - - 66.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.3 - - 90.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.8 - - 65.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -27 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2670 - - 3354 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99280 46 088 43 089 99280 91814 38 085 36 081 91814 86105 32 082 31 070 86105 81350 24 082 25 067 81350 77232 20 081 18 071 77232 73582 15 070 14 067 73582 70273 10 085 13 045 70273 67231 5 074 12 021 67231 64418 5 159 10 353 64418 61708 3 079 5 302 61708 58906 7 330 8 310 58906 56040 5 310 10 288 56040 53338 16 004 6 260 53338 50911 20 349 10 324 50911 48736 20 333 20 334 48736 46766 20 321 21 335 46766 44959 17 313 19 329 44959 43281 13 317 19 320 43281 41712 11 331 14 310 41712 40237 8 325 8 302 40237 38845 7 342 6 288 38845 37496 14 358 3 328 37496 36122 10 351 8 345 36122 34694 7 351 12 329 34694 33216 10 351 12 318 33216 31669 9 345 15 319 31669 30044 6 333 16 314 30044 28338 5 309 14 299 28338 26553 5 280 12 291 26553 24695 11 294 15 302 24695 22769 11 273 15 285 22769 20767 8 248 11 243 20767 18679 5 256 8 239 18679 16550 3 183 6 237 16550 14498 2 198 5 253 14498 12628 3 260 4 286 12628 10960 4 241 2 295 10960 9475 5 203 1 286 9475 8152 3 243 6 341 8152 6976 8 315 9 345 6976 5934 7 332 5 330 5934 5014 5 343 4*315 5014 4199 3*336 3*282 4199 3466 3*321 3 266 3466 2817 3 311 3 257 2817 2275 3 301 4 252 2275 1857 3 295 4 248 1857 1570 3 292 4 247 1570 1395 3 289 3 246 1395 1295 2 288 3 245 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography