DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.2 - - 42.4 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 83 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3257 - - 3746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3461 - - 3178 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4694 - - 5183 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1081 - - 1427 - - 2294 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 379 - - 279 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 311 - - 309 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1074 - - -1084 - - -1912 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5768 - - 6267 - - 3204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5427 - - -5578 - - -4864 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10121 - - 10761 - - 6156 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 67 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.2 - - 42.4 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.5 - - 19.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.8 - - 41.8 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.7 - - 18.8 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 83 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3257 - - 3746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 16 286 8 011 17 325 96175 89238 8 005 7 020 12 338 89238 83771 9 352 8 331 8 343 83771 79151 6 051 11 297 13 330 79151 75128 8 325 15 302 20 329 75128 71559 6 357 12 278 20 320 71559 68331 7 347 18 246 22 247 68331 65343 20 323 23 293 18 301 65343 62547 37 295 37 293 33 303 62547 59833 44 288 45 288 46 289 59833 57001 50 286 49 286 52 285 57001 54053 57 283 57 288 59 286 54053 51227 59 282 65 289 64 289 51227 48678 60 285 70 288 69 291 48678 46400 63 289 72 289 72 291 46400 44344 64 291 75 292 73 291 44344 42463 66 294 78 293 74 293 42463 40728 70 292 81 290 77 294 40728 39119 70 290 78 288 80 294 39119 37623 70 292 75 291 81 293 37623 36229 70 294 74 296 80 295 36229 34901 69 298 73 300 81 299 34901 33576 75 300 78 302 80 303 33576 32224 79 299 84 300 76 306 32224 30838 78 303 84 299 72 307 30838 29398 76 307 77 306 70 306 29398 27889 73 311 73 310 67 306 27889 26308 70 312 71 307 65 307 26308 24653 66 312 63 308 67 307 24653 22926 63 315 57 311 66 304 22926 21126 59 320 54 313 60 299 21126 19246 57 321 52 313 55 295 19246 17279 53 319 50 314 50 296 17279 15271 48 316 45 313 44 299 15271 13340 43 316 41 310 39 299 13340 11593 37 314 37 311 36 299 11593 10049 33 313 33 313 34 300 10049 8683 30 315 29 314 29 301 8683 7473 26 318 23 312 24 301 7473 6402 20 318 15 302 18 298 6402 5457 14*310 9*292 10 280 5457 4625 10*306 8*295 7 268 4625 3891 9 307 8 301 7 282 3891 3233 8 310 7 307 8 300 3233 2651 8 313 7 313 9 314 2651 2165 7 315 6 317 10 325 2165 1792 6 318 6 321 10 333 1792 1536 6 318 6 322 9 338 1536 1380 6 320 5 322 7*341 1380 1291 5 320 5 322 4*340 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography