DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 49.8 - - 52.3 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 190 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2283 - - 3425 - - 2943 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2383 - - 3473 - - 2805 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3720 - - 4862 - - 4380 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1041 - - 1352 - - 2281 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 354 - - 279 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 25 - - 29 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 247 - - 234 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 28 - - 20 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -23 - - 126 - - -351 - - -2428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3743 - - 4736 - - 4732 - - 3721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1913 - - -253 - - -982 - - -4969 ODpotential blCL - - - 5633 - - 5115 - - 5362 - - 6262 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 96 - - 91 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.1 - - 49.8 - - 52.3 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 35.9 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 48.9 - - 51.9 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 33.1 - - 35.7 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 190 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2283 - - 3425 - - 2943 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 84 - - 65 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96485 12 068 7 109 7 128 15 078 96485 89316 4 106 8 134 7 206 6 059 89316 83729 8 147 6 175 8 222 7 298 83729 79049 6 216 9 215 9 220 15 254 79049 74997 9 272 7 274 5 280 4 038 74997 71375 17 230 12 224 22 242 25 265 71375 68113 26 260 26 265 29 263 35 263 68113 65151 42 267 35 275 23 270 32 253 65151 62381 36 257 30 260 20 251 26 245 62381 59634 29 248 27 255 22 256 19 265 59634 56737 33 264 46 268 51 272 51 271 56737 53752 46 269 62 265 66 265 65 264 53752 50936 57 270 65 264 66 256 71 264 50936 48437 69 269 66 264 64 258 71 261 48437 46218 77 262 69 262 66 268 67 270 46218 44218 76 261 73 267 77 277 79 277 44218 42400 86 269 90 271 95 275 88 271 42400 40738 102 270 107 266 101 267 89 263 40738 39204 106 266 106 263 99 265 93 265 39204 37774 111 267 114 268 104 270 102 264 37774 36432 122 266 126 269 113 270 107 259 36432 35138 125 265 129 268 117 269 107 258 35138 33825 125 265 129 268 118 268 108 260 33825 32463 122 264 126 266 118 270 110 263 32463 31054 118 262 124 263 118 270 111 264 31054 29583 116 260 123 261 116 268 109 265 29583 28038 115 259 122 259 116 265 106 264 28038 26421 113 260 121 258 115 264 105 263 26421 24734 108 263 120 258 112 265 104 262 24734 22978 99 268 114 261 109 267 101 261 22978 21160 83 269 107 264 106 272 96 262 21160 19276 67 266 98 267 96 275 86 272 19276 17326 58 260 79 264 86 271 79 277 17326 15348 53 253 69 259 79 267 77 275 15348 13446 52 252 66 257 75 265 70 270 13446 11715 51 256 65 259 73 267 68 265 11715 10177 51 259 59 265 68 268 65 262 10177 8813 50 258 52 267 61 268 58 259 8813 7601 46 257 48 264 53 266 53 255 7601 6523 42 260 43 262 48 261 50 254 6523 5564 42 262 36*259 41 253 47 254 5564 4716 41 259 30*254 37*248 44 252 4716 3964 35*255 29 252 33*242 40 249 3964 3290 29*247 26 247 31 236 35 245 3290 2692 27 244 25 245 30 234 31 241 2692 2193 25 242 24 244 29 232 27 237 2193 1808 23 241 23 243 27 231 22 234 1808 1544 21 240 22 242 25 230 16 229 1544 1383 19 239 19 242 22 230 11*224 1383 1292 14 237 15 241 17 229 5*202 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography