DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 94 - - 0 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2447 - - 3348 - - 2352 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2347 - - 3090 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3884 - - 4785 - - 3789 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 579 - - 766 - - 1048 - - 2842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 291 - - 106 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 21 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 297 - - 307 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 13 - - 16 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -218 - - -414 - - -309 - - -1492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4102 - - 5199 - - 4098 - - 2785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8882 - - -7543 - - -8445 - - -11885 ODpotential blCL - - - 12766 - - 12328 - - 12234 - - 13178 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 74 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 36.2 - - 36.8 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 53.9 - - 50.3 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 35.1 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 94 - - 0 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2447 - - 3348 - - 2352 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - 9 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96416 87 247 88 248 96 246 91 252 96416 89170 52 250 57 248 60 256 53 257 89170 83697 32 252 30 251 36 265 29 246 83697 79185 23 246 21 250 23 267 20 252 79185 75279 13 234 23 235 22 260 16 259 75279 71801 5 227 16 229 18 260 12 262 71801 68635 11 263 14 254 17 261 13 250 68635 65711 19 253 20 242 19 256 18 257 65711 62995 20 239 25 240 25 250 26 260 62995 60360 24 241 28 240 27 243 30 254 60360 57601 31 246 27 243 29 247 31 252 57601 54737 38 250 30 249 30 247 36 248 54737 51999 47 248 39 252 37 253 38 247 51999 49516 52 244 51 249 48 256 41 253 49516 47273 57 246 56 247 52 253 44 259 47273 45227 60 245 54 246 50 251 47 259 45227 43352 56 243 53 245 50 250 52 259 43352 41625 54 237 55 247 50 251 60 260 41625 40023 55 234 57 250 53 255 62 260 40023 38527 55 238 60 250 56 260 65 259 38527 37127 56 246 60 251 59 260 66 258 37127 35784 58 254 59 256 59 261 65 260 35784 34431 62 260 59 260 60 268 67 265 34431 33044 65 261 60 263 64 274 74 270 33044 31623 66 263 61 269 68 276 78 274 31623 30150 69 263 65 272 70 277 78 278 30150 28606 69 262 68 269 72 281 72 279 28606 26987 65 264 68 267 72 283 67 279 26987 25290 64 267 67 270 70 282 63 277 25290 23519 64 270 65 273 66 281 59 277 23519 21678 58 271 62 275 62 283 55 280 21678 19757 49 275 57 278 59 286 55 284 19757 17749 47 277 51 277 54 287 52 288 17749 15693 47 275 46 274 49 283 46 289 15693 13708 43 275 42 274 46 282 41 289 13708 11901 36 276 37 275 42 284 37 294 11901 10296 29 274 32 275 38 287 36 301 10296 8875 25 276 27 277 34 288 38 309 8875 7618 23 280 24 285 31 292 40 314 7618 6508 22 288 24 293 29 296 39 318 6508 5533 22 298 22*294 27 300 36 319 5533 4681 22 303 16*294 24 302 33 318 4681 3933 18*302 16 295 23*304 29 315 3933 3266 16*303 16 297 23*305 25 313 3266 2675 15 303 15 298 23 306 22 312 2675 2181 14 303 15 299 22 307 19 312 2181 1802 14 304 14 299 21 308 15 311 1802 1541 13 304 13 300 19 308 12 311 1541 1382 11 304 12 301 16 308 9*309 1382 1292 9 304 10 300 12 309 4*306 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography