DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 5.6 - - 21.6 - - 22.0 - - 17.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 57 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3066 - - 3360 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1272 - - 2194 - - 1274 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 4503 - - 4797 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 161 - - 726 - - 1869 - - 4886 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 231 - - 77 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 17 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 245 - - 267 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1305 - - 1394 - - 1295 - - -1336 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2595 - - 3109 - - 3502 - - 2627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14467 - - 764 - - 402 - - -2103 ODpotential blCL - - - 15757 - - 3739 - - 4395 - - 3394 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 5.6 - - 21.6 - - 22.0 - - 17.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -0.7 - - 12.8 - - 11.4 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.1 - - 21.4 - - 22.3 - - 18.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.2 - - 11.7 - - 10.3 - - 9.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 57 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3066 - - 3360 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 100 209 95 203 84 208 78 212 96298 88917 94 214 96 212 89 213 89 220 88917 83190 94 222 96 213 88 222 94 224 83190 78438 99 230 95 227 97 227 96 223 78438 74341 93 230 86 227 91 227 90 232 74341 70728 83 230 81 234 88 244 88 237 70728 67464 81 238 88 249 90 248 87 241 67464 64456 83 247 96 254 83 248 84 245 64456 61663 86 250 95 250 78 249 85 255 61663 58963 88 247 88 249 82 256 91 261 58963 56148 85 244 88 253 88 257 101 262 56148 53228 84 247 89 252 91 253 107 261 53228 50439 89 250 90 252 89 253 104 263 50439 47931 90 249 93 253 89 257 97 267 47931 45684 90 247 92 253 91 261 95 271 45684 43644 90 249 88 253 92 265 96 274 43644 41777 92 252 86 253 96 265 99 274 41777 40052 95 255 85 253 96 263 99 272 40052 38455 97 256 86 256 91 263 94 270 38455 36967 102 256 90 259 89 266 89 272 36967 35579 104 254 90 261 93 269 89 276 35579 34248 102 252 90 260 97 268 91 281 34248 32908 98 252 90 260 99 267 96 285 32908 31530 93 252 90 262 100 267 101 286 31530 30117 89 252 92 263 101 269 104 286 30117 28652 85 254 92 261 102 269 107 285 28652 27121 80 257 91 259 99 267 110 285 27121 25526 77 260 90 258 96 263 112 285 25526 23864 76 261 89 257 92 260 111 284 23864 22137 76 259 88 255 90 259 106 279 22137 20351 75 259 87 256 89 260 102 274 20351 18504 72 261 84 260 85 263 98 273 18504 16600 67 265 77 263 78 265 89 274 16600 14673 59 268 68 263 72 267 78 273 14673 12823 50 269 60 260 67 270 68 273 12823 11142 40 266 53 259 62 272 61 275 11142 9656 31 260 43 258 57 272 54 277 9656 8343 27 254 34 253 51 272 50 279 8343 7185 26 253 30 252 38 270 45 280 7185 6166 24 256 27 256 25 268 38 280 6166 5270 23 262 23*258 21*267 30 278 5270 4479 22 268 19*251 21*267 27 278 4479 3780 20 269 19 249 20 267 25 277 3780 3151 16 261 18 246 19 267 23 276 3151 2595 11 242 17 243 18 267 21 275 2595 2129 10 233 16 242 17 267 18 274 2129 1772 9 227 15 240 16 268 15 274 1772 1525 8 218 14 239 14 267 11 275 1525 1376 6*208 12 238 12 267 8*276 1376 1290 3*180 9 238 9 267 4*273 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography