DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.1 - - 83.5 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 83 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4467 - - 4422 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4437 - - 3729 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5904 - - 5859 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1454 - - 1920 - - 5325 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 442 - - 303 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 195 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -22 - - -419 - - -3089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5926 - - 6278 - - 4384 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1416 - - -2440 - - -4469 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7320 - - 8299 - - 5764 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 50 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.1 - - 83.5 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.5 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.4 - - 82.9 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.6 - - 59.7 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 271 - - 83 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4467 - - 4422 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 63 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98771 28 084 22 082 18 064 98771 91320 15 082 20 068 14 073 91320 85606 13 102 14 073 10 056 85606 80870 13 087 9 099 5 046 80870 76794 15 081 7 078 8 056 76794 73189 16 071 8 067 12 034 73189 69925 15 056 12 060 10 027 69925 66913 12 039 15 040 12 038 66913 64117 17 020 21 024 21 031 64117 61430 19 001 25 012 27 032 61430 58658 19 000 26 357 31 017 58658 55814 25 356 31 349 38 005 55814 53132 28 356 37 347 46 356 53132 50729 35 354 42 351 50 352 50729 48559 40 345 47 349 53 346 48559 46580 40 338 45 347 45 346 46580 44774 40 335 36 346 33 346 44774 43114 37 328 37 330 32 328 43114 41564 30 331 44 317 31 315 41564 40102 28 326 36 320 27 325 40102 38713 28 316 26 321 28 325 38713 37362 24 308 24 319 22 324 37362 35984 23 326 27 305 24 309 35984 34549 18 314 24 303 30 314 34549 33061 22 298 20 304 33 315 33061 31504 25 283 22 299 30 308 31504 29867 24 271 23 294 27 301 29867 28152 19 278 24 287 25 296 28152 26361 17 275 23 286 17 302 26361 24498 16 252 17 280 14 287 24498 22566 17 240 15 267 18 266 22566 20557 22 220 16 247 19 253 20557 18468 25 217 21 222 16 257 18468 16345 23 216 25 219 13 254 16345 14306 17 211 22 226 17 240 14306 12452 16 202 20 217 18 233 12452 10803 14 202 18 212 17 230 10803 9338 13 211 16 223 17 229 9338 8034 14 220 14 234 18 231 8034 6876 13*219 13*224 19 232 6876 5851 11*211 12*215 17 225 5851 4945 11 204 12 205 15 214 4945 4144 11 199 12 198 15 212 4144 3425 10 194 12 193 15 209 3425 2787 10 190 11 189 14 208 2787 2255 10 187 11 187 13 206 2255 1846 10 184 11 184 12 204 1846 1563 9 184 10 183 10 202 1563 1392 9 184 10 182 8*201 1392 1294 8 184 8 182 4*198 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography