DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 66.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 42 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2006 - - 2394 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3443 - - 3831 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1868 - - 2907 - - 3341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 201 - - 201 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - 213 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 60 - - -660 - - -2856 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3383 - - 4492 - - 4150 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1125 - - -1747 - - -4849 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4568 - - 5578 - - 6143 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 66.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.3 - - 51.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.4 - - 66.2 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 42 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2006 - - 2394 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 88 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96744 34 246 41 261 45 272 96744 89434 36 239 36 251 28 255 89434 83830 34 244 38 246 36 251 83830 79175 27 257 37 253 36 255 79175 75189 22 257 31 254 31 266 75189 71682 25 277 24 273 30 268 71682 68499 38 281 27 287 27 271 68499 65570 43 277 33 286 29 278 65570 62852 41 274 34 278 32 277 62852 60214 42 277 36 275 38 277 60214 57465 47 276 46 272 46 279 57465 54611 55 275 55 269 53 274 54611 51874 62 273 62 273 58 273 51874 49399 70 273 69 277 61 276 49399 47177 74 272 75 276 65 280 47177 45172 71 273 76 274 68 278 45172 43364 66 275 69 274 63 275 43364 41729 63 283 61 277 59 275 41729 40223 63 293 59 282 57 275 40223 38811 62 299 58 289 56 276 38811 37475 57 300 58 293 53 280 37475 36180 55 300 56 293 51 284 36180 34862 53 299 52 292 47 286 34862 33490 47 295 51 291 41 287 33490 32069 42 289 49 285 40 290 32069 30583 40 284 42 277 43 289 30583 29020 35 283 37 270 40 283 29020 27380 34 281 37 268 35 272 27380 25663 38 281 38 270 31 263 25663 23874 34 281 38 274 29 261 23874 22016 32 278 38 278 28 263 22016 20080 35 274 34 280 30 270 20080 18058 37 275 32 279 29 279 18058 15989 35 269 34 274 23 280 15989 13991 31 255 35 265 24 279 13991 12173 34 250 37 257 33 273 12173 10559 34 257 37 248 36 267 10559 9128 32 264 35 250 36 261 9128 7858 26 261 31 257 33 256 7858 6729 23 256 27 256 28 249 6729 5727 22 255 26 246 26 239 5727 4843 20 245 26 236 25 229 4843 4062 19*228 24*225 25 219 4062 3362 18*220 22*217 26 211 3362 2742 18 216 20 214 25 205 2742 2225 17 215 19 212 23 201 2225 1828 16 213 18 212 19 196 1828 1554 14 212 17 211 14 189 1554 1388 12 211 15 210 11*184 1388 1293 9 209 11 210 6*178 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography