DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.4 - - 88.2 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 5 - - -33 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2875 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1279 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4312 - - 1296 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2169 - - 6809 - - 4804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 187 - - 29 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 270 - - 281 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1021 - - -4523 - - -2543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5333 - - 5819 - - 3839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4446 - - -7192 - - -5495 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8758 - - 8488 - - 6791 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 80 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1270 - - 1710 - - 1990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.4 - - 88.2 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 67.1 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.4 - - 90.1 - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 5 - - -33 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2875 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 75 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99060 18 090 9 118 8 056 99060 91597 17 096 9 084 11 054 91597 85814 11 097 11 046 14 058 85814 81022 8 058 10 062 12 076 81022 76920 8 062 8 065 10 042 76920 73305 4 101 1 102 5 002 73305 70032 7 064 5 184 8 323 70032 67026 6 012 1 120 10 290 67026 64253 8 349 7 352 8 305 64253 61585 12 308 15 314 10 343 61585 58816 9 285 17 306 12 301 58816 55964 17 309 23 310 20 313 55964 53267 25 304 28 297 29 299 53267 50858 28 295 30 282 35 292 50858 48705 26 293 33 290 37 299 48705 46752 32 307 37 301 36 307 46752 44959 41 310 42 311 38 317 44959 43293 43 302 41 315 44 326 43293 41735 40 293 41 322 43 328 41735 40269 37 287 40 323 43 327 40269 38878 34 287 36 313 38 322 38878 37527 33 291 31 302 33 310 37527 36149 31 295 29 297 30 303 36149 34713 30 299 31 302 29 301 34713 33224 29 303 31 308 31 301 33224 31666 27 307 26 309 33 304 31666 30029 26 307 21 306 34 304 30029 28314 25 307 21 305 35 304 28314 26523 24 305 21 304 35 308 26523 24657 22 297 20 305 31 310 24657 22719 24 297 22 310 25 305 22719 20709 28 305 25 315 24 307 20709 18621 29 314 31 321 28 325 18621 16498 28 318 33 322 31 333 16498 14452 26 319 28 326 26 335 14452 12589 21 315 20 333 16 337 12589 10929 12 303 14 324 11 344 10929 9450 9 278 12 295 8 340 9450 8133 9 269 14 284 9 306 8133 6962 11 289 13 280 10 285 6962 5923 14 290 12 279 9 278 5923 5005 12*285 11 279 10 283 5005 4190 10*278 9 278 10 289 4190 3460 9 274 8 279 10 294 3460 2812 8 267 7 280 10 300 2812 2271 8 266 7 280 9 304 2271 1855 7 265 6 280 8 307 1855 1569 7 265 6 282 7 310 1569 1394 6 265 5*281 5*311 1394 1295 5 265 4*281 2*320 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography