DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 80.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -85 - - 27 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1629 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1295 - - 3066 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5045 - - 1922 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 23 - - 163 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 25 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 253 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 19 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 18 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3247 - - -766 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4542 - - 3832 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6161 - - -4471 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7456 - - 7537 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 920 - - 1170 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 80.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.6 - - 67.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.5 - - 81.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.0 - - 67.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -85 - - 27 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1629 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 90 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 32 084 20 092 98946 91451 23 093 18 086 91451 85666 20 091 18 077 85666 80878 19 086 21 084 80878 76779 13 075 22 075 76779 73177 8 112 12 074 73177 69923 8 128 6 137 69923 66920 7 124 6 139 66920 64140 14 113 4 195 64140 61453 9 022 8 161 61453 58675 15 299 14 307 58675 55839 24 271 19 279 55839 53151 29 256 34 247 53151 50734 33 257 41 235 50734 48559 34 257 34 241 48559 46570 37 257 28 253 46570 44724 40 259 39 240 44724 43010 44 258 64 224 43010 41420 62 239 72 217 41420 39931 66 234 68 218 39931 38526 63 233 67 232 38526 37166 60 230 67 240 37166 35785 58 228 59 240 35785 34353 54 235 55 243 34353 32871 55 250 55 243 32871 31323 55 254 55 245 31323 29698 53 255 54 247 29698 27998 52 255 53 248 27998 26223 52 255 53 250 26223 24374 55 254 55 252 24374 22454 57 253 59 253 22454 20460 56 250 60 251 20460 18387 55 249 58 249 18387 16279 51 250 53 250 16279 14256 46 254 49 257 14256 12420 41 263 48 263 12420 10786 42 268 47 264 10786 9331 42 265 46 262 9331 8032 42 257 46 259 8032 6874 42 250 46 256 6874 5848 41 248 47 254 5848 4942 41 248 45 253 4942 4142 40 248 40 253 4142 3425 38 249 36*253 3425 2789 37 249 32*253 2789 2256 35 249 28 253 2256 1847 32 249 25 253 1847 1565 28 249 22 252 1565 1393 23*249 19 252 1393 1294 15*248 13 252 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography