DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 17.5 - - 21.5 - - 11.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 60 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1564 - - 2566 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3001 - - 4003 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1952 - - 936 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 187 - - 103 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 269 - - 296 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -504 - - 352 - - -1240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3505 - - 3652 - - 2531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1309 - - -6653 - - -9210 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4310 - - 10656 - - 10501 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 83 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 17.5 - - 21.5 - - 11.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 7.0 - - 10.3 - - 5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 17.2 - - 21.7 - - 16.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 6.0 - - 9.3 - - 8.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 60 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1564 - - 2566 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 34 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96237 56 224 58 224 56 229 96237 88809 58 216 53 218 64 227 88809 83044 69 231 59 235 70 240 83044 78276 85 250 66 246 80 249 78276 74203 85 256 71 258 80 258 74203 70648 75 259 74 262 77 261 70648 67468 65 258 70 262 70 259 67468 64541 61 260 70 263 68 267 64541 61823 63 264 71 262 76 272 61823 59203 70 267 72 264 83 267 59203 56458 78 268 79 267 81 263 56458 53575 83 269 87 267 81 265 53575 50792 87 267 91 264 85 267 50792 48264 88 267 90 261 91 269 48264 45984 87 269 88 262 98 268 45984 43909 91 272 89 267 101 267 43909 42008 101 269 95 271 103 266 42008 40260 106 264 105 270 106 265 40260 38647 99 262 114 268 110 263 38647 37152 108 269 127 262 110 262 37152 35757 123 271 122 261 108 263 35757 34426 121 265 111 264 109 263 34426 33095 114 267 113 267 111 262 33095 31735 113 272 121 266 111 263 31735 30342 118 271 127 263 100 263 30342 28896 118 270 126 262 83 265 28896 27386 116 269 125 262 80 270 27386 25806 112 270 122 262 80 269 25806 24152 105 271 108 267 76 269 24152 22423 96 272 89 271 75 270 22423 20624 87 273 84 271 76 269 20624 18756 83 277 78 273 74 271 18756 16817 77 284 71 276 72 277 16817 14853 66 286 64 277 65 279 14853 12976 54 288 56 279 51 275 12976 11280 47 292 47 283 42 274 11280 9776 43 295 42 287 39 278 9776 8441 39 296 39 287 37 281 8441 7258 35 298 35 286 33 282 7258 6214 29 299 30 283 28 280 6214 5295 22 294 23 280 22 275 5295 4492 18 287 17*282 17 268 4492 3785 17 286 15*288 13 270 3785 3155 13*282 14 292 12 281 3155 2596 10*276 13 296 12 287 2596 2129 7 269 12 300 11 295 2129 1771 6 267 11 302 9 308 1771 1524 5 265 10 304 7 329 1524 1375 5 266 9 305 5*339 1375 1290 4 265 7 306 3*350 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography