DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.7 - - 31.4 - - 28.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1086 - - 1220 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2523 - - 2657 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 877 - - 1178 - - 2273 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 129 - - 74 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 021 - - 024 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 139 - - 91 - - -339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2384 - - 2566 - - 1631 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6176 - - -7670 - - -836 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8699 - - 10327 - - 2128 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.7 - - 31.4 - - 28.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.2 - - 25.0 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 30.6 - - 31.5 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.4 - - 24.2 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1086 - - 1220 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96179 35 233 37 230 39 228 96179 88902 38 233 36 241 36 247 88902 83345 27 250 29 246 30 246 83345 78744 22 255 25 263 27 242 78744 74763 26 262 28 261 29 257 74763 71242 24 243 24 249 29 258 71242 68045 20 259 25 268 34 264 68045 65106 33 272 29 269 39 264 65106 62382 40 254 33 264 38 252 62382 59719 40 241 38 261 38 247 59719 56907 44 253 42 258 45 261 56907 53966 58 256 54 255 57 257 53966 51145 69 248 65 246 63 253 51145 48600 67 248 66 251 72 250 48600 46317 71 254 76 252 78 245 46317 44252 80 254 81 249 78 242 44252 42370 83 252 80 248 75 243 42370 40644 78 252 81 249 72 245 40644 39046 75 253 82 249 75 247 39046 37556 82 252 82 247 84 248 37556 36165 94 249 88 246 90 246 36165 34834 97 246 99 240 91 242 34834 33497 103 244 98 240 91 239 33497 32131 107 243 105 241 95 237 32131 30734 106 242 108 238 101 236 30734 29282 103 241 105 236 102 235 29282 27761 96 242 100 234 93 236 27761 26173 85 247 95 233 72 236 26173 24523 74 250 84 235 59 234 24523 22808 57 252 65 240 56 239 22808 21023 50 247 59 241 53 243 21023 19158 45 247 54 241 47 243 19158 17213 39 249 39 244 40 246 17213 15226 37 247 35 250 31 247 15226 13308 34 248 36 246 25 248 13308 11560 27 248 37 244 24 251 11560 10011 21 249 33 243 23 256 10011 8643 22 247 23 242 19 253 8643 7430 21 252 16 254 18 248 7430 6352 17 258 14 263 16 253 6352 5402 13 254 12 271 14 274 5402 4573 7 275 9 297 8 309 4573 3846 6 347 6 348 5 002 3846 3197 9 023 6*028 6 036 3197 2626 9*025 7*029 8 047 2626 2149 8*023 7 025 8 049 2149 1783 8 022 7 023 8 050 1783 1531 7 021 6 021 7 049 1531 1378 6 019 6 019 5*048 1378 1291 5 017 4 017 3*042 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography