DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 94.7 - - 87.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 71 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4250 - - 6149 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3731 - - 4026 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5687 - - 7586 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2175 - - 2362 - - 4719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 315 - - 264 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 307 - - 316 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -553 - - -27 - - -3497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6240 - - 7613 - - 4793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4297 - - -3535 - - -6975 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9984 - - 11121 - - 8271 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 61 - - 59 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1920 - - 1590 - - 2270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 94.7 - - 87.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.8 - - 65.8 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.4 - - 95.1 - - 90.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.3 - - 64.4 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 71 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4250 - - 6149 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99358 38 097 24 098 27 056 99358 91801 30 086 30 075 29 090 91801 85987 27 080 26 071 29 089 85987 81192 23 091 15 086 25 072 81192 77070 21 095 15 111 19 056 77070 73428 17 079 21 098 10 072 73428 70141 13 077 19 090 10 108 70141 67125 10 074 14 080 12 123 67125 64339 13 070 16 049 15 098 64339 61668 10 082 17 022 19 068 61668 58913 13 116 3 357 16 042 58913 56084 17 082 9 149 4 202 56084 53418 8 087 8 131 6 181 53418 51040 2 126 5 156 4 216 51040 48916 4 042 5 181 2 207 48916 46975 14 139 10 159 10 157 46975 45176 22 136 13 150 17 169 45176 43497 15 134 15 137 18 163 43497 41923 6 149 11 138 13 147 41923 40441 3 167 8 165 11 167 40441 39036 4 151 8 172 13 184 39036 37671 6 165 7 185 12 195 37671 36279 9 160 10 199 12 202 36279 34832 10 165 12 205 11 218 34832 33332 8 198 11 220 9 231 33332 31764 6 187 6 193 5 242 31764 30117 6 163 6 161 4 219 30117 28395 5 108 2 159 4 267 28395 26599 9 033 5 046 4 078 26599 24734 8 018 3 048 4 074 24734 22802 2 042 3 294 2 286 22802 20793 6 303 12 308 11 309 20793 18700 8 322 11 314 16 318 18700 16569 10 336 12 335 18 317 16569 14519 17 339 19 352 20 343 14519 12651 23 336 23 351 23 354 12651 10985 23 334 21 346 22 351 10985 9500 22 333 16 332 18 345 9500 8179 21 330 10*312 11 334 8179 7002 15 323 9*310 6 315 7002 5956 9*309 8 311 5 316 5956 5031 7*304 7 313 6 331 5031 4211 6 305 6 316 7 343 4211 3475 5 306 5 318 9 348 3475 2824 4 309 5 321 10 350 2824 2279 4 310 4 325 11 351 2279 1860 4 312 4 327 11 351 1860 1571 3 313 4 329 10 352 1571 1395 3 315 3 329 8*351 1395 1295 3 315 3 329 5*352 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography