DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 95 - - -31 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 460 - - 2569 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 2535 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1897 - - 4006 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1238 - - 1345 - - 6182 - - 1750 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 266 - - 16 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 16 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 233 - - 243 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4603 - - -2298 - - -4042 - - -494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6500 - - 6304 - - 5337 - - 1788 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13038 - - -7258 - - -5245 - - -2420 ODpotential blCL - - - 14935 - - 11264 - - 6539 - - 3714 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 79 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 43.4 - - 47.1 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 66.1 - - 67.5 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 42.3 - - 46.4 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 95 - - -31 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 460 - - 2569 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - 100 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97039 38 257 39 276 36 272 30 253 97039 89774 22 266 35 256 39 268 29 265 89774 84190 24 271 28 244 37 262 29 271 84190 79570 22 266 12 232 25 254 21 259 79570 75577 16 245 9 281 15 230 18 267 75577 72035 7 225 11 269 14 267 14 279 72035 68801 6 275 12 242 14 247 8 279 68801 65796 9 293 3 179 13 209 20 256 65796 63018 15 261 11 254 17 218 17 241 63018 60342 22 208 22 244 13 233 14 262 60342 57524 27 213 29 238 22 240 31 257 57524 54597 39 235 42 235 39 239 49 243 54597 51831 54 230 53 230 60 239 50 239 51831 49353 61 231 60 232 67 232 67 251 49353 47142 64 234 64 234 66 236 84 245 47142 45146 70 236 68 238 80 238 84 237 45146 43313 76 234 79 235 88 231 78 235 43313 41609 76 231 87 225 85 225 78 240 41609 40022 73 228 86 219 78 224 81 243 40022 38536 70 227 82 221 76 227 81 244 38536 37140 70 231 82 226 76 229 83 245 37140 35796 75 235 87 228 79 231 87 245 35796 34435 80 235 93 229 85 231 89 244 34435 33031 81 232 96 226 90 228 90 241 33031 31586 79 230 92 221 92 224 88 238 31586 30088 76 229 89 220 93 223 86 236 30088 28524 73 229 85 221 93 225 83 234 28524 26893 71 231 82 224 92 229 83 233 26893 25196 68 233 81 229 88 231 89 230 25196 23434 67 236 82 233 84 234 90 232 23434 21610 66 240 78 234 81 234 83 236 21610 19713 60 241 67 233 75 232 77 236 19713 17731 50 238 53 234 64 228 74 232 17731 15709 42 241 47 240 57 227 73 232 15709 13761 43 244 45 241 56 232 69 231 13761 11990 45 238 41 236 53 238 64 229 11990 10412 42 228 39 231 45 239 57 231 10412 9008 36 220 40 233 40 237 45 233 9008 7759 30 218 39 238 34 232 36 232 7759 6648 26 221 37 243 29 229 33 233 6648 5661 24 231 33 246 26 230 32 239 5661 4791 25 244 26 248 23 232 31 249 4791 4023 27 252 19*242 20 234 30 257 4023 3333 26 249 18*237 19 235 29 260 3333 2722 21 242 17 234 18 236 26 259 2722 2212 15*227 16 232 17 237 22 253 2212 1820 11*217 15 231 15 238 17 243 1820 1551 9 214 14 230 13 240 12 228 1551 1386 8 214 13 230 11*241 8*216 1386 1293 6 213 10 229 7*243 4*197 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography