DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 83.8 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -25 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4508 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3773 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5945 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2054 - - 8473 - - 3563 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 303 - - 30 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 273 - - 222 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 48 - - -4896 - - -1669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5898 - - 6191 - - 2965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2940 - - -6012 - - -3970 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8885 - - 7307 - - 5265 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 84 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 70 - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 83.8 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.6 - - 61.1 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 85.0 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 59.7 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -25 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4508 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 38 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99304 24 089 19 074 21 064 99304 91862 18 076 19 089 20 065 91862 86091 18 101 23 095 19 090 86091 81283 20 110 18 081 18 092 81283 77133 14 103 12 091 14 083 77133 73469 11 114 11 104 10 091 73469 70163 10 129 10 139 5 106 70163 67127 14 156 10 160 5 172 67127 64312 10 174 8 198 5 186 64312 61593 12 181 12 224 8 268 61593 58780 8 249 13 247 15 238 58780 55890 26 246 26 258 27 246 55890 53171 39 234 36 243 40 248 53171 50762 53 235 55 232 54 242 50762 48623 57 243 61 232 59 236 48623 46680 63 253 57 243 53 239 46680 44888 66 255 60 251 50 247 44888 43225 66 246 63 252 54 249 43225 41664 59 244 61 247 55 249 41664 40187 52 250 57 242 53 245 40187 38784 48 254 52 244 50 240 38784 37424 46 254 46 240 43 239 37424 36039 42 248 40 230 38 243 36039 34598 38 240 39 223 37 243 34598 33104 34 238 39 223 38 246 33104 31546 31 252 38 233 43 244 31546 29908 36 275 32 240 42 236 29908 28191 37 284 27 249 41 238 28191 26396 32 264 30 264 40 244 26396 24525 32 245 31 265 37 249 24525 22581 29 241 32 255 32 244 22581 20557 30 253 31 258 29 247 20557 18458 32 265 27 267 34 262 18458 16332 27 261 25 267 37 272 16332 14292 26 259 26 273 31 270 14292 12438 27 272 26 283 27 271 12438 10794 28 287 25 294 23 281 10794 9335 25 296 19 291 15 282 9335 8039 18 295 12 272 8 230 8039 6886 11*279 11 264 6 226 6886 5860 9*275 9 257 5 242 5860 4953 7 273 8 244 3 281 4953 4150 6 271 7 237 4 334 4150 3429 5 272 6 231 6 353 3429 2791 4 274 6 226 8 358 2791 2257 4 275 5 225 9 001 2257 1847 3 276 5 223 10 002 1847 1564 3 276 5 222 9 003 1564 1393 3 279 5*222 7*004 1393 1294 3 279 4*222 4*005 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography