DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.4 - - 75.7 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 244 - - 114 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4565 - - 5487 - - 5647 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4107 - - 5183 - - 4864 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6002 - - 6924 - - 7084 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2281 - - 1504 - - 1548 - - 6347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 346 - - 460 - - 365 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 000 - - 007 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1457 - - -2350 - - -2225 - - -5337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7460 - - 9275 - - 9309 - - 6631 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10295 - - -9783 - - -8872 - - -11325 ODpotential blCL - - - 16297 - - 16707 - - 15956 - - 12619 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 51 - - 50 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.4 - - 75.7 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 38.3 - - 39.5 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 72.9 - - 74.9 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 37.1 - - 38.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 244 - - 114 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4565 - - 5487 - - 5647 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98653 24 105 20 126 19 077 6 111 98653 91144 18 080 15 103 12 090 9 089 91144 85373 14 077 16 096 6 130 15 067 85373 80620 14 090 16 081 10 136 19 079 80620 76544 16 105 12 077 15 118 16 092 76544 72937 16 089 9 092 12 091 11 087 72937 69654 12 055 8 090 13 065 6 067 69654 66621 2 056 5 093 11 041 6 047 66621 63803 8 054 6 104 7 009 6 032 63803 61084 11 037 3 069 11 329 9 025 61084 58263 13 026 7 044 9 322 9 351 58263 55345 13 354 12 360 8 346 13 325 55345 52567 9 331 16 326 13 356 14 316 52567 50074 14 357 15 318 23 336 17 337 50074 47858 21 008 14 352 22 328 22 350 47858 45874 34 018 22 019 18 352 31 346 45874 44071 40 020 31 012 25 356 35 335 44071 42417 40 031 34 009 32 356 35 334 42417 40888 45 036 40 006 39 357 36 339 40888 39457 47 036 43 005 40 355 37 345 39457 38105 48 037 42 005 37 356 37 353 38105 36793 50 039 38 006 34 356 37 357 36793 35456 51 037 36 015 30 359 37 360 35456 34064 49 034 39 022 33 011 37 002 34064 32619 44 026 43 020 38 016 37 005 32619 31105 42 014 44 019 41 016 35 012 31105 29511 43 005 41 023 42 017 35 016 29511 27836 41 001 38 021 40 020 35 017 27836 26078 38 004 35 018 36 014 34 018 26078 24240 33 013 33 012 34 008 32 020 24240 22324 29 025 30 007 31 006 30 019 22324 20333 30 032 28 010 28 007 27 015 20333 18264 33 033 26 020 25 009 25 009 18264 16158 34 031 27 031 22 012 22 011 16158 14128 32 030 26 040 20 021 18 014 14128 12279 29 028 23 043 17 033 14 026 12279 10638 24 022 18 039 13 035 11 026 10638 9188 19 007 16 032 12 027 9 018 9188 7906 16 355 14*007 13*004 10 007 7906 6771 14*351 13*358 13*004 9 004 6771 5765 13*349 13 358 13 005 9 006 5765 4876 12 348 13 359 13 006 9 009 4876 4088 10 348 13 000 12 007 9 011 4088 3383 9 351 13 001 12 008 9 012 3383 2757 8 353 12 002 12 009 8 014 2757 2235 8 355 12 002 11 009 8 015 2235 1834 7 357 12 003 11 009 7 016 1834 1558 7 357 11 003 11 009 6 017 1558 1390 6 358 10 003 10 009 5*015 1390 1293 5 358 9 003 8 009 3*013 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography