DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 82.8 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 24 - - -31 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5619 - - 4620 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4271 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7056 - - 6057 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2461 - - 3952 - - 7060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 296 - - 215 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 263 - - 273 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1920 - - 1219 - - -1532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5136 - - 4838 - - 2828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 250 - - -1127 - - -3490 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6806 - - 7184 - - 4786 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 78 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 670 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 82.8 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.6 - - 65.7 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.8 - - 84.1 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 64.4 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 24 - - -31 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5619 - - 4620 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 13 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99493 36 088 36 086 28 081 99493 91958 34 082 31 082 30 073 91958 86151 30 075 27 081 29 065 86151 81351 24 082 23 072 28 070 81351 77232 19 076 19 072 24 072 77232 73597 12 079 16 081 18 074 73597 70300 13 085 15 088 17 099 70300 67260 8 075 9 086 12 090 67260 64445 9 135 4 107 1 212 64445 61715 5 083 1 139 5 126 61715 58884 4 314 17 272 20 289 58884 55993 17 287 19 275 22 264 55993 53253 24 275 30 281 24 280 53253 50793 41 282 47 288 45 288 50793 48610 54 278 55 279 58 279 48610 46639 58 278 57 278 56 278 46639 44821 66 278 60 275 60 282 44821 43128 65 270 61 265 59 274 43128 41545 65 267 60 259 57 267 41545 40064 65 268 61 257 67 274 40064 38670 65 269 62 260 69 272 38670 37316 64 272 61 264 65 270 37316 35934 63 272 63 269 65 273 35934 34496 61 273 65 272 63 271 34496 33005 58 275 64 275 63 268 33005 31444 58 278 60 276 63 268 31444 29804 57 281 55 273 63 271 29804 28087 51 272 52 268 62 274 28087 26291 49 255 49 263 58 272 26291 24422 53 247 47 256 52 267 24422 22487 52 247 50 248 48 255 22487 20480 50 248 51 246 52 248 20480 18396 48 250 45 249 49 251 18396 16284 44 251 42 248 39 246 16284 14257 41 249 41 246 41 239 14257 12412 41 250 39 248 39 243 12412 10773 35 253 31 252 32 249 10773 9319 24 256 22 253 24 252 9319 8028 19*260 17 256 12 255 8028 6878 17*261 13*260 8 264 6878 5856 14 263 11*265 8 273 5856 4951 12 263 11 268 9 277 4951 4149 11 263 10 271 9 281 4149 3430 10 264 10 274 9 282 3430 2792 9 264 10 277 9 281 2792 2258 9 264 9 277 8 281 2258 1848 8 265 9 278 7 281 1848 1565 8 265 9 279 6 279 1565 1393 7 266 8 280 4*275 1393 1295 6 266 7 280 3*270 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography