DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 63.8 - - 63.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 39 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1493 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 2930 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 504 - - 1059 - - 3640 - - 184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 174 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 167 - - 148 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2291 - - -2532 - - -3630 - - -2077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3584 - - 5463 - - 4924 - - 3370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7280 - - -5558 - - -6161 - - -11161 ODpotential blCL - - - 8573 - - 8488 - - 7455 - - 12454 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 63.8 - - 63.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 63.4 - - 64.3 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 39 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1493 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 89 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 84 245 99 245 94 249 96 246 96539 89417 62 255 66 251 68 256 56 257 89417 83939 47 262 36 262 38 263 34 278 83939 79379 27 254 23 266 27 265 28 291 79379 75440 14 254 18 278 19 254 23 299 75440 71954 16 294 18 303 10 264 16 299 71954 68784 16 296 17 297 17 291 22 304 68784 65865 13 295 14 269 22 291 21 311 65865 63163 18 305 11 272 25 290 19 317 63163 60542 25 297 19 295 25 284 22 311 60542 57803 25 292 20 291 23 286 24 288 57803 54950 26 298 19 297 24 284 16 272 54950 52227 32 298 27 308 16 302 22 308 52227 49801 35 291 35 306 29 313 29 313 49801 47656 34 280 35 298 32 323 27 341 47656 45734 30 280 30 300 43 343 43 352 45734 43994 25 292 38 334 53 339 43 358 43994 42384 26 319 48 339 54 350 58 006 42384 40873 24 322 51 338 60 359 65 009 40873 39444 20 302 53 339 64 001 70 008 39444 38086 19 273 54 341 65 002 71 007 38086 36763 21 270 55 342 65 002 65 013 36763 35413 21 265 53 340 65 000 55 013 35413 34009 20 237 47 335 65 359 47 354 34009 32550 15 222 42 338 62 357 48 341 32550 31023 15 232 34 335 57 355 43 338 31023 29420 16 247 21 312 50 353 34 349 29420 27738 13 278 19 289 44 352 33 005 27738 25973 13 270 21 268 37 358 31 002 25973 24126 16 273 20 268 22 342 26 355 24126 22202 19 281 18 277 16 305 21 354 22202 20203 20 282 12 298 7 285 15 343 20203 18135 19 284 12 295 9 284 13 316 18135 16038 17 276 14 305 13 294 11 305 16038 14017 16 276 11 303 10 296 10 306 14017 12178 16 275 9 283 15 285 9 308 12178 10544 14 245 6 239 16 279 9 299 10544 9096 19 209 11 215 12 237 9 285 9096 7814 13 193 14 219 14 238 8 244 7814 6678 11 178 16 199 14 214 12 223 6678 5675 9 174 13 175 11 179 14 221 5675 4795 8 168 12 150 9 179 13 219 4795 4020 7 166 11 152 7 197 9 218 4020 3328 8 168 8*170 7 190 8 216 3328 2716 7 174 6*167 7 173 9 209 2716 2207 7 179 6 167 7 163 10 192 2207 1816 6 188 5 166 7 160 11 173 1816 1548 5 184 5 167 6 156 11 159 1548 1385 3*143 5 167 5*153 8*149 1385 1292 2*116 4 169 4*148 5*136 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography