DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.8 - - 63.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 53 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 502 - - 2065 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1939 - - 3502 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 985 - - 907 - - 3196 - - 1245 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 212 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 191 - - 187 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 12 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -786 - - -44 - - -1528 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2725 - - 3546 - - 2822 - - 1293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6790 - - -5183 - - -2307 - - -4220 ODpotential blCL - - - 8729 - - 8685 - - 3601 - - 5514 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 81 - - 90 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.8 - - 63.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 55.7 - - 56.0 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.8 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 54.5 - - 55.3 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 53 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 502 - - 2065 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 25 - - 61 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 83 249 100 254 103 252 90 256 96419 89214 51 255 64 259 64 262 52 260 89214 83716 32 248 38 259 36 270 34 276 83716 79178 23 291 21 243 29 263 30 283 79178 75266 27 286 10 257 21 261 20 274 75266 71806 16 263 15 286 6 271 9 286 71806 68679 3 136 9 269 6 303 9 284 68679 65793 6 052 4 186 9 266 10 264 65793 63106 9 332 3 137 10 226 10 251 63106 60505 14 288 5 322 5 204 9 248 60505 57793 12 252 9 266 7 235 8 254 57793 54986 10 212 11 240 13 228 13 235 54986 52329 14 198 16 228 12 239 14 222 52329 49952 26 204 23 228 21 243 27 224 49952 47814 32 195 33 211 35 223 36 215 47814 45866 33 185 39 198 45 205 42 201 45866 44082 29 187 41 192 48 194 41 195 44082 42434 27 197 41 200 42 198 41 204 42434 40903 30 205 41 212 39 214 28 204 40903 39465 37 221 39 215 40 216 22 210 39465 38104 35 222 38 213 39 215 26 223 38104 36781 31 224 38 211 39 215 31 225 36781 35431 30 222 36 210 39 216 37 232 35431 34026 29 217 33 208 38 217 34 238 34026 32568 26 216 29 210 38 215 32 243 32568 31040 24 222 28 214 37 212 32 242 31040 29436 20 226 28 218 35 208 33 221 29436 27759 13 218 28 217 35 209 40 209 27759 26008 13 212 29 215 37 212 43 204 26008 24178 27 220 30 213 39 215 43 206 24178 22273 32 216 30 209 37 219 41 213 22273 20291 26 208 28 203 31 216 36 219 20291 18225 18 194 23 199 26 214 32 216 18225 16120 15 181 18 213 22 214 32 209 16120 14096 10 186 15 230 18 227 33 203 14096 12259 9 190 17 204 18 222 32 202 12259 10628 10 189 19 183 21 204 29 201 10628 9179 13 190 21 180 25 196 28 202 9179 7891 16 191 24 179 28 192 31 202 7891 6747 18 188 27 180 29 194 33 204 6747 5735 20 187 28 185 29 198 33 208 5735 4843 22 188 26 190 26 200 31 209 4843 4057 22 186 22*195 22 198 28 205 4057 3357 21 183 19*195 19 194 26 198 3357 2737 19 180 18 192 18 192 23 192 2737 2222 15*176 17 190 17 191 19 186 2222 1826 10*165 16 190 15 189 14 174 1826 1553 8 161 15 189 14 189 11 158 1553 1388 7 160 13 189 11*188 9*149 1388 1293 6 160 10 189 8*187 5*142 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography