DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.4 - - 69.7 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 357 - - 157 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3876 - - 5573 - - 6297 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3948 - - 5399 - - 5526 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5313 - - 7010 - - 7734 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1790 - - 1236 - - 1234 - - 2431 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 409 - - 515 - - 411 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 210 - - 205 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 14 - - 8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4631 - - -3777 - - -2046 - - -6268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9945 - - 10788 - - 9781 - - 7562 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10689 - - -9132 - - -7357 - - -12206 ODpotential blCL - - - 16002 - - 16142 - - 15091 - - 13500 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 55 - - 66 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.4 - - 69.7 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 25.3 - - 31.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 66.6 - - 69.0 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 24.2 - - 30.1 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 357 - - 157 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3876 - - 5573 - - 6297 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98285 15 205 15 209 14 234 10 243 98285 90830 16 219 13 200 12 231 10 202 90830 85030 17 223 13 196 13 199 11 207 85030 80196 17 198 18 215 16 204 13 224 80196 76021 10 232 17 216 18 217 15 241 76021 72331 16 219 18 211 22 223 22 244 72331 69001 14 249 15 237 17 222 16 244 69001 65939 22 242 23 249 24 249 22 259 65939 63107 22 241 22 247 26 250 27 265 63107 60383 24 258 24 249 29 249 33 265 60383 57544 35 264 27 261 27 250 33 254 57544 54590 39 270 36 272 32 261 30 265 54590 51760 42 273 45 269 38 269 34 270 51760 49217 46 268 48 267 42 270 41 279 49217 46952 49 270 48 268 47 274 50 273 46952 44918 47 271 46 263 49 270 54 271 44918 43085 42 278 43 275 44 280 57 268 43085 41421 50 285 60 290 52 284 50 270 41421 39888 58 284 79 281 58 282 66 285 39888 38465 59 281 62 275 62 275 80 282 38465 37133 56 283 51 284 61 271 78 281 37133 35847 55 288 49 293 56 273 72 281 35847 34538 53 293 50 298 55 276 67 279 34538 33179 52 299 48 297 54 277 63 271 33179 31771 52 304 46 296 54 277 64 264 31771 30298 50 303 47 297 54 277 60 261 30298 28749 47 296 49 295 54 277 58 262 28749 27122 47 292 54 294 52 276 53 262 27122 25419 43 293 57 300 52 274 47 264 25419 23640 37 295 52 303 49 268 43 267 23640 21788 34 288 47 299 42 262 43 273 21788 19861 35 290 45 296 36 264 50 272 19861 17856 30 280 41 293 36 267 52 267 17856 15814 30 275 34 283 38 272 48 261 15814 13841 26 268 30 278 37 278 42 257 13841 12045 20 266 29 275 33 274 41 259 12045 10454 17 273 26 269 31 265 40 262 10454 9045 16 270 23 260 26 252 33 255 9045 7795 15 261 19*245 20*225 28 243 7795 6682 12 249 15*217 20*220 27 242 6682 5692 10*231 15 213 19 217 26 233 5692 4817 9*219 15 211 19 205 25 222 4817 4042 9 217 15 209 19 203 25 208 4042 3347 9 216 15 208 19 200 26 198 3347 2733 9 216 15 207 19 199 26 192 2733 2219 8 216 14 206 18 198 25 187 2219 1824 8 215 14 205 17 197 22 181 1824 1552 7 216 13 205 17 196 17 174 1552 1387 7 216 12 205 15 196 14*171 1387 1293 6 216 10 205 12 195 8*167 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography