DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 36.8 - - 35.6 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 145 - - 47 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2117 - - 3439 - - 3934 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 3348 - - 2514 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3554 - - 4876 - - 5371 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1252 - - 1598 - - 2278 - - 3855 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 325 - - 234 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 297 - - 287 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 14 - - 31 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 238 - - -524 - - -1703 - - -2982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3316 - - 5400 - - 7074 - - 4274 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -359 - - -4379 - - -14205 - - -5546 ODpotential blCL - - - 3913 - - 9255 - - 19576 - - 6837 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 89 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 36.8 - - 35.6 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 17.5 - - 8.8 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 29.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 16.7 - - 8.0 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 145 - - 47 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2117 - - 3439 - - 3934 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 56 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95983 15 018 19 009 19 015 10 011 95983 89023 13 013 18 005 17 013 6 352 89023 83586 17 010 8 359 5 000 12 313 83586 79033 6 328 4 283 6 302 10 273 79033 75089 9 277 15 236 21 264 22 267 75089 71592 23 274 15 234 19 253 20 247 71592 68387 28 268 24 260 21 263 25 271 68387 65408 38 249 31 256 38 260 41 268 65408 62651 37 241 37 245 46 243 54 251 62651 59986 34 253 40 231 47 240 54 235 59986 57167 51 257 46 247 53 233 54 231 57167 54185 68 243 66 248 55 228 61 243 54185 51329 79 240 77 241 65 244 77 241 51329 48793 91 235 83 239 85 241 77 235 48793 46534 104 231 99 238 88 235 77 235 46534 44470 117 228 108 232 89 229 84 231 44470 42566 119 225 111 229 94 223 84 225 42566 40804 124 226 119 225 94 221 81 222 40804 39168 132 226 126 219 98 222 75 221 39168 37642 137 225 129 216 104 221 71 227 37642 36211 147 225 129 216 109 218 90 231 36211 34842 160 223 134 218 111 214 104 224 34842 33463 168 224 145 220 116 209 103 217 33463 32043 172 226 152 218 122 205 94 217 32043 30588 174 227 140 210 116 205 87 221 30588 29088 168 223 130 207 114 203 85 221 29088 27535 147 219 124 205 119 200 81 220 27535 25931 121 212 119 200 120 198 74 218 25931 24267 111 206 117 202 118 199 68 220 24267 22535 105 201 112 208 118 200 63 225 22535 20739 103 201 104 211 115 202 56 229 20739 18867 106 215 102 205 112 205 50 234 18867 16917 104 226 97 199 83 218 45 241 16917 14944 86 231 91 206 56 237 41 248 14944 13060 71 237 95 229 40 248 37 253 13060 11355 53 235 58 246 31 246 33 256 11355 9844 47 235 34 249 29 239 27 253 9844 8507 41 237 30 243 24 232 23 239 8507 7327 31 233 25 238 13 210 19 214 7327 6285 19 224 16 237 7 209 12 191 6285 5365 10 210 8*252 6*234 7 215 5365 4553 3 212 7*280 7*265 10 258 4553 3837 4*314 6 288 8 280 14 275 3837 3194 7*326 6 296 8 288 16 281 3194 2625 7 328 6 300 9 291 17 284 2625 2149 7 328 5 306 9 293 16 286 2149 1783 7 327 5 309 9 294 13 289 1783 1531 7 327 5 311 9 295 10 293 1531 1378 6 326 5 312 8 295 8*295 1378 1290 5 325 4 313 7 295 4*296 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography