DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 38.1 - - 38.0 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 292 - - 49 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4187 - - 4158 - - 2315 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4034 - - 4204 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5624 - - 5595 - - 3752 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1049 - - 1162 - - 1847 - - 1605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 433 - - 197 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 31 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 293 - - 265 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 32 - - 14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -93 - - -657 - - -2772 - - -4068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5718 - - 6253 - - 6525 - - 5361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3433 - - -5104 - - -12944 - - -16477 ODpotential blCL - - - 9057 - - 10699 - - 16696 - - 17769 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 76 - - 62 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 38.1 - - 38.0 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.3 - - 15.1 - - 13.9 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 36.9 - - 37.7 - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.0 - - 14.9 - - 13.8 - - 13.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 292 - - 49 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4187 - - 4158 - - 2315 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96548 46 258 53 247 56 250 55 259 96548 89395 40 259 49 254 56 251 55 254 89395 83841 48 248 47 248 50 247 45 243 83841 79194 49 244 41 232 46 237 48 245 79194 75170 35 229 35 230 47 235 53 242 75170 71599 28 228 38 238 37 227 37 228 71599 68308 37 241 37 236 29 233 27 253 68308 65248 39 237 34 213 51 259 51 267 65248 62450 30 225 33 244 60 256 58 259 62450 59777 32 238 61 257 51 244 49 255 59777 56988 48 246 58 247 39 244 42 266 56988 54078 51 251 40 235 38 262 46 276 54078 51297 42 261 32 260 48 276 57 282 51297 48808 43 272 47 273 62 277 67 278 48808 46595 53 277 63 278 73 277 68 276 46595 44593 60 278 76 279 76 278 69 277 44593 42756 65 278 82 280 76 281 72 280 42756 41064 67 281 85 278 82 282 79 280 41064 39501 70 287 85 277 84 279 79 275 39501 38049 76 293 83 280 77 279 71 273 38049 36689 82 298 80 283 75 287 64 277 36689 35384 87 303 79 285 83 295 69 279 35384 34065 95 308 80 288 89 299 74 278 34065 32702 102 312 81 290 90 301 78 275 32702 31291 110 314 80 290 89 302 76 274 31291 29814 116 314 80 289 89 301 72 276 29814 28261 119 313 80 290 83 301 69 276 28261 26632 120 313 79 292 75 301 67 274 26632 24930 114 315 78 295 73 299 64 274 24930 23155 102 313 76 298 73 296 61 276 23155 21310 85 308 76 301 70 296 58 281 21310 19389 70 305 73 303 66 296 57 288 19389 17392 59 305 66 303 65 297 56 293 17392 15360 52 304 56 303 61 299 56 297 15360 13406 46 303 49 305 54 300 55 298 13406 11636 42 306 45 307 49 299 51 296 11636 10073 40 311 44 309 45 298 46 295 10073 8695 41 312 42 310 42 299 44 295 8695 7477 44 306 41 308 40 297 43 295 7477 6399 42*299 37*301 38 290 40 293 6399 5446 37*295 33*294 33 281 35 284 5446 4611 34 294 33 293 26 270 32 267 4611 3878 33 294 32 293 23*266 29 252 3878 3223 31 293 32 292 22*265 26 242 3223 2645 29 293 31 292 21 265 24 237 2645 2161 27 293 30 292 20 265 22 233 2161 1790 25 293 28 292 19 265 19 228 1790 1534 24 293 26 292 17 265 14 222 1534 1379 21 293 23 292 15 265 10*214 1379 1291 16 293 17 292 11 265 4*192 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography