DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 32.3 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 90 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3903 - - 4354 - - 3234 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3992 - - 3651 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5340 - - 5791 - - 4671 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 832 - - 836 - - 771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 418 - - 298 - - 157 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 39 - - 38 - - 32 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 266 - - 276 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 21 - - 24 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 47 - - 21 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -355 - - 847 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5695 - - 4945 - - 4671 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12540 - - 640 - - -10801 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17880 - - 5151 - - 15472 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 32.3 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.4 - - 15.0 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.3 - - 32.1 - - 29.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.0 - - 14.8 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 90 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3903 - - 4354 - - 3234 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 99 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95640 55 251 45 257 44 254 95640 88610 32 258 34 265 30 260 88610 83157 25 255 25 243 29 251 83157 78617 19 284 19 228 26 240 78617 74685 12 284 8 244 27 244 74685 71205 9 253 11 257 30 240 71205 68067 14 244 15 236 21 238 68067 65173 6 186 11 185 15 259 65173 62465 4 243 36 247 33 247 62465 59817 46 267 55 242 41 235 59817 57001 76 248 66 248 52 243 57001 54033 81 236 80 249 74 246 54033 51204 88 248 95 249 89 251 51204 48679 107 253 106 255 102 254 48679 46432 115 247 120 256 115 253 46432 44396 115 240 125 252 122 251 44396 42531 111 241 124 250 123 250 42531 40817 113 246 127 250 130 249 40817 39233 128 248 141 249 143 247 39233 37756 143 245 157 248 156 245 37756 36367 144 242 167 245 164 243 36367 35026 142 241 167 242 166 241 35026 33663 137 237 162 240 164 241 33663 32252 130 234 158 237 158 240 32252 30799 129 233 155 233 150 239 30799 29291 129 233 154 230 141 238 29291 27717 129 234 154 230 136 238 27717 26081 127 234 154 234 128 239 26081 24386 126 232 149 237 111 242 24386 22638 124 231 137 237 88 248 22638 20841 121 230 128 238 63 252 20841 18983 114 231 114 243 53 261 18983 17045 104 232 87 254 60 266 17045 15062 97 232 71 265 65 269 15062 13152 94 232 66 267 64 274 13152 11421 93 231 61 268 59 283 11421 9886 91 233 60 271 60 292 9886 8526 83 238 59 277 62 298 8526 7321 67 245 56 281 62 301 7321 6264 49 255 48*280 58 299 6264 5341 41*263 43*277 51*293 5341 4536 42*264 42 277 42*287 4536 3825 42 265 41 276 37 284 3825 3186 42 265 40 275 36 284 3186 2620 41 266 38 275 32 282 2620 2146 40 266 36 275 28 281 2146 1782 38 267 34 274 25 280 1782 1530 34 267 30 274 22 279 1530 1378 29 267 26 274 19 279 1378 1290 21 267 19 274 14 279 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography