DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 85.7 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 60 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3567 - - 4008 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3122 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5004 - - 5445 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2433 - - 2586 - - 4358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 282 - - 181 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 188 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -599 - - -802 - - -2220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5603 - - 6248 - - 3516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3861 - - -3540 - - -4331 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8865 - - 8985 - - 5626 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 650 - - 820 - - 1480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 85.7 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.0 - - 62.7 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.8 - - 86.4 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.7 - - 61.3 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 60 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3567 - - 4008 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 56 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99373 40 099 26 082 27 073 99373 91883 29 100 23 088 24 075 91883 86081 17 098 20 081 21 075 86081 81248 13 084 17 088 14 086 81248 77084 13 081 17 100 11 101 77084 73406 10 062 12 085 12 096 73406 70070 5 105 1 164 5 044 70070 67019 3 347 4 307 4 351 67019 64204 3 287 9 287 9 311 64204 61496 7 315 6 270 11 308 61496 58686 17 292 18 295 12 286 58686 55792 25 282 27 294 35 304 55792 53067 31 282 39 289 33 280 53067 50626 39 284 29 284 41 305 50626 48446 36 281 54 305 52 297 48446 46484 39 296 57 295 53 272 46484 44672 48 295 44 296 40 264 44672 42969 42 292 43 299 41 292 42969 41374 36 295 42 296 62 310 41374 39892 34 296 41 294 71 308 39892 38505 34 283 42 297 68 305 38505 37165 35 284 53 308 61 302 37165 35797 39 294 67 312 57 297 35797 34373 42 300 71 313 54 294 34373 32895 44 303 60 314 48 290 32895 31349 45 306 48 306 43 279 31349 29720 47 306 45 294 43 272 29720 28011 44 299 37 285 46 276 28011 26228 45 299 33 282 45 280 26228 24374 41 302 34 284 37 280 24374 22455 28 298 30 279 28 273 22455 20466 24 292 29 276 25 267 20466 18401 26 304 29 283 22 275 18401 16302 30 315 25 309 17 290 16302 14280 28 309 24 295 19 292 14280 12439 22 318 24 286 19 294 12439 10802 17 332 24 301 17 291 10802 9347 13 315 23 305 13 276 9347 8050 12 282 15 295 11 277 8050 6894 11 277 8 249 9 279 6894 5867 10*274 7*229 7 278 5867 4958 8*272 6*217 6 268 4958 4153 6 272 6 200 4 260 4153 3431 4 274 5 188 4 256 3431 2792 3 279 5 181 3 256 2792 2258 2 284 5 175 2 246 2258 1848 2 290 5 172 1 233 1848 1565 2 294 4 169 1 225 1565 1393 2 295 4 168 0*301 1393 1294 2 299 3 170 1*324 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography