DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 76.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1335 - - 1638 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2772 - - 3075 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1952 - - 2281 - - 2153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 213 - - 128 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 146 - - 164 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 693 - - 509 - - -161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2079 - - 2567 - - 1456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 111 - - -612 - - -1488 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2661 - - 3687 - - 2783 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 91 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 960 - - 930 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 76.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.3 - - 69.6 - - 70.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.8 - - 76.9 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 68.8 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1335 - - 1638 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 85 - - 64 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98862 10 112 2 174 9 003 98862 91504 10 089 4 086 5 170 91504 85781 8 098 7 104 9 139 85781 81011 5 129 6 132 7 146 81011 76905 2 163 9 185 2 206 76905 73277 2 283 11 175 8 238 73277 69987 5 245 5 189 11 223 69987 66958 11 217 8 254 10 224 66958 64157 10 216 13 243 11 247 64157 61476 9 229 13 235 11 247 61476 58707 11 244 13 252 12 241 58707 55845 18 237 22 248 17 256 55845 53125 23 235 27 235 27 256 53125 50710 26 259 25 256 30 248 50710 48575 45 251 42 251 39 249 48575 46642 44 243 48 239 50 237 46642 44858 44 251 49 240 52 231 44858 43191 42 247 51 239 55 233 43191 41627 39 241 48 238 57 235 41627 40150 38 242 45 237 56 236 40150 38751 35 243 42 239 52 238 38751 37393 30 245 38 240 49 237 37393 36006 27 249 35 240 46 236 36006 34565 28 249 33 238 41 235 34565 33073 29 244 31 235 36 236 33073 31516 27 235 30 240 30 238 31516 29879 27 234 24 247 27 244 29879 28164 24 240 23 244 27 255 28164 26371 23 244 23 240 21 246 26371 24503 27 240 21 231 19 233 24503 22563 27 228 19 229 18 227 22563 20549 24 217 19 225 17 221 20549 18457 19 219 18 223 16 215 18457 16333 13 224 15 219 15 209 16333 14290 11 216 12 211 12 205 14290 12433 10 192 12 194 11 201 12433 10784 11 184 14 190 11 202 10784 9322 13 191 16 200 13 199 9322 8020 15 199 16 204 14 196 8020 6862 15 202 15 207 15 196 6862 5835 13 201 14 208 14 200 5835 4929 13 197 13 206 13 202 4929 4128 12 184 12 199 12 200 4128 3412 11 169 11*182 13 193 3412 2778 11*159 9*169 12 188 2778 2248 11*150 9 165 11 176 2248 1841 11 146 8 163 10 164 1841 1561 10 145 8 161 9 156 1561 1391 9 144 7 161 7*153 1391 1294 8 143 6 161 4*148 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography