DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 59.6 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 14 - - -29 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 649 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2086 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3384 - - 3828 - - 2137 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 101 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 323 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -811 - - -1447 - - -242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2898 - - 2741 - - 1535 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1968 - - -2239 - - -1284 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4054 - - 3533 - - 2577 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 92 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 59.6 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.9 - - 60.7 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.5 - - 51.4 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 14 - - -29 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 649 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 60 - - 67 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95357 73 246 83 248 80 252 95357 88345 61 253 60 258 61 257 88345 82934 50 255 46 266 53 263 82934 78422 41 263 46 271 44 273 78422 74547 36 271 41 275 38 277 74547 71129 35 277 42 285 44 285 71129 68025 39 281 52 290 52 296 68025 65158 49 289 56 290 59 300 65158 62498 58 303 57 299 61 301 62498 59925 73 311 70 307 63 310 59925 57220 89 304 84 302 73 312 57220 54386 93 297 84 299 86 305 54386 51691 86 299 80 310 98 307 51691 49290 90 312 102 318 108 312 49290 47140 103 317 124 311 109 309 47140 45183 114 314 125 308 105 312 45183 43386 121 312 121 315 104 318 43386 41735 120 312 123 319 109 320 41735 40215 109 311 124 318 111 319 40215 38797 95 309 121 317 108 315 38797 37457 90 311 115 316 105 312 37457 36155 88 312 108 315 103 313 36155 34826 88 313 104 315 100 314 34826 33443 88 313 102 316 93 314 33443 32009 89 312 98 316 85 310 32009 30511 87 309 91 317 82 309 30511 28936 84 305 84 315 78 311 28936 27283 82 300 76 311 73 311 27283 25553 81 298 71 307 71 306 25553 23745 77 299 68 305 67 306 23745 21866 70 301 67 304 62 306 21866 19913 64 304 66 305 57 305 19913 17880 57 303 61 310 51 305 17880 15811 50 301 53 314 43 307 15811 13824 45 300 46 313 38 310 13824 12019 43 302 42 311 34 309 12019 10415 41 304 37 313 30 307 10415 8991 40 303 33 319 26 309 8991 7724 41 302 31 324 24 316 7724 6601 43 300 30 324 23 325 6601 5609 40 299 28 317 24 331 5609 4740 34 299 26 310 24 334 4740 3976 28 299 24 309 23 335 3976 3296 23 301 21 310 21 338 3296 2696 18 303 19 313 20 347 2696 2195 15*305 18 316 19 357 2195 1810 12*308 16 320 18 003 1810 1545 10 309 14 322 15 009 1545 1384 9 311 12*323 12*011 1384 1292 7 311 8*323 5*019 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography