DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 56.5 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1293 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1861 - - 3921 - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 23 - - 11 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 200 - - 212 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2511 - - -2566 - - -1085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3804 - - 3860 - - 2378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7582 - - -4188 - - -3770 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8875 - - 5482 - - 5063 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 56.5 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.5 - - 44.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.8 - - 57.8 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.1 - - 43.6 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 100 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 54 242 60 258 54 262 96395 89156 31 244 39 259 35 260 89156 83602 20 259 19 253 23 265 83602 78996 26 274 20 278 28 273 78996 75060 24 274 21 286 18 269 75060 71573 13 291 16 296 12 301 71573 68387 23 300 27 301 29 297 68387 65466 36 288 37 291 34 296 65466 62752 38 284 35 288 37 294 62752 60093 35 283 31 287 40 295 60093 57286 31 278 43 285 51 286 57286 54366 43 278 55 276 57 278 54366 51580 59 279 71 276 72 279 51580 49079 74 270 79 272 78 271 49079 46849 74 269 78 268 84 271 46849 44832 85 270 85 268 91 267 44832 43002 94 269 94 267 98 266 43002 41332 102 271 106 267 109 265 41332 39796 115 274 118 268 117 265 39796 38366 115 272 126 267 127 267 38366 37018 106 270 122 264 135 267 37018 35710 100 269 115 262 136 267 35710 34379 100 267 109 262 130 266 34379 32999 97 265 104 262 120 262 32999 31573 94 264 102 261 113 259 31573 30085 92 262 99 260 108 261 30085 28526 90 262 94 259 101 260 28526 26897 87 261 89 257 94 258 26897 25196 84 259 85 255 87 257 25196 23426 81 257 81 254 80 255 23426 21591 76 256 74 253 74 254 21591 19684 70 259 68 254 66 251 19684 17696 64 260 61 254 59 249 17696 15667 58 257 56 253 55 249 15667 13710 57 252 52 251 51 250 13710 11930 55 246 50 254 49 253 11930 10349 53 241 47 257 48 262 10349 8946 45 237 44 257 47 270 8946 7701 36 233 44 251 46 271 7701 6599 31 230 43 247 46 267 6599 5626 28 229 41 246 43 261 5626 4765 26 235 37 243 39 257 4765 4002 25 237 30 237 36 251 4002 3318 24 233 25 231 33 243 3318 2711 20 227 21 226 29 235 2711 2205 16 223 19 223 25 229 2205 1815 12 218 16 220 18 219 1815 1547 9 208 13 217 12 195 1547 1385 6*204 10*215 9*172 1385 1292 4*200 6*212 6*156 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography