DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 102 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3438 - - 3617 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3570 - - 3253 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4875 - - 5054 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1178 - - 1424 - - 3776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 295 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 325 - - 319 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -34 - - -111 - - -2079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4909 - - 5165 - - 3370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5377 - - -5012 - - -2688 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10252 - - 10066 - - 3979 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 81 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.6 - - 20.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.3 - - 38.0 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.4 - - 19.8 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 102 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3438 - - 3617 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 20 - - 26 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95843 20 268 24 298 14 294 95843 88997 5 359 9 295 13 313 88997 83605 6 088 11 281 12 329 83605 79059 7 039 5 274 10 293 79059 75093 16 334 17 314 10 304 75093 71541 25 292 20 271 19 286 71541 68305 15 315 11 283 17 290 68305 65315 20 325 22 310 19 312 65315 62524 35 292 31 276 36 288 62524 59829 41 261 38 261 37 268 59829 57011 31 275 31 263 35 282 57011 54063 34 290 37 289 47 289 54063 51229 53 293 57 289 57 290 51229 48667 61 294 61 290 66 288 48667 46366 72 291 69 288 71 289 46366 44281 79 287 80 289 79 289 44281 42378 81 286 92 287 84 286 42378 40624 82 288 98 284 85 287 40624 38998 88 291 98 282 88 290 38998 37485 98 290 98 283 95 291 37485 36074 105 290 104 285 99 291 36074 34724 109 289 111 286 103 291 34724 33371 117 290 114 286 107 290 33371 31986 128 291 117 286 108 289 31986 30566 132 289 116 286 106 289 30566 29096 127 286 115 287 103 291 29096 27563 115 285 114 288 102 290 27563 25970 101 286 108 289 99 287 25970 24323 92 286 97 290 93 285 24323 22616 88 284 90 292 86 285 22616 20840 84 287 85 291 77 287 20840 18990 77 291 79 289 63 285 18990 17069 71 292 67 289 52 283 17069 15116 66 293 58 294 43 288 15116 13234 65 296 55 302 40 299 13234 11514 64 301 53 306 40 305 11514 9978 57 308 48 310 40 310 9978 8612 47 314 40 313 39 314 8612 7403 39 318 31 315 34 317 7403 6337 31 316 21 310 27 318 6337 5400 19*313 13*306 21 315 5400 4580 16*318 13*309 18 312 4580 3857 16 321 13 314 16 310 3857 3209 16 324 13 319 16 308 3209 2635 16 326 13 321 15 307 2635 2156 16 328 13 324 15 306 2156 1787 15 330 12 325 14 306 1787 1533 15 330 12 326 12 304 1533 1379 14 331 11 327 10*304 1379 1290 11 332 9 328 5*302 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography