DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 56.7 - - 59.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 53 - - -13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 159 - - 1322 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1596 - - 2759 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 549 - - 1295 - - 5108 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 183 - - 19 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 219 - - 223 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1557 - - -1289 - - -1941 - - -351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3153 - - 4048 - - 3235 - - 1644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7995 - - -6020 - - -2777 - - -3319 ODpotential blCL - - - 9591 - - 8779 - - 4071 - - 4612 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 80 - - 89 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 56.7 - - 59.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 43.6 - - 49.6 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 56.3 - - 60.2 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 42.4 - - 48.4 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 53 - - -13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 159 - - 1322 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 18 - - 56 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96634 30 083 31 082 27 073 34 068 96634 89555 26 083 25 080 22 072 26 077 89555 84059 14 092 15 089 11 076 12 067 84059 79446 12 091 6 101 7 083 3 011 79446 75453 0 105 2 106 2 223 10 316 75453 71894 7 335 4 317 4 316 11 296 71894 68659 5 321 7 232 8 263 20 275 68659 65696 7 332 11 311 4 278 12 279 65696 62915 30 288 27 297 19 301 17 297 62915 60203 36 287 36 290 33 289 36 289 60203 57398 42 285 42 283 40 283 45 283 57398 54510 53 280 52 279 57 285 55 284 54510 51767 63 277 62 278 66 282 62 284 51767 49309 62 285 68 284 80 284 73 282 49309 47115 72 294 80 288 84 281 76 278 47115 45117 81 291 86 283 79 280 71 281 45117 43285 85 290 82 280 75 285 66 292 43285 41605 91 293 80 290 80 295 80 305 41605 40060 101 296 89 296 92 299 109 303 40060 38631 104 295 96 297 98 297 118 297 38631 37290 98 292 92 294 95 292 115 294 37290 35989 93 290 93 294 95 288 106 293 35989 34662 89 293 92 294 93 289 100 290 34662 33280 87 294 87 295 85 289 95 288 33280 31849 82 292 84 293 81 285 88 287 31849 30357 78 288 82 292 74 284 80 283 30357 28792 79 287 78 293 71 286 74 283 28792 27152 79 286 76 293 72 286 71 284 27152 25437 73 290 77 292 74 287 70 284 25437 23649 66 288 77 291 74 286 68 287 23649 21790 58 285 73 291 70 284 66 291 21790 19857 55 286 66 289 69 283 66 290 19857 17844 53 288 56 284 63 281 64 288 17844 15793 47 286 44 283 49 282 63 286 15793 13820 42 280 36 280 40 285 57 281 13820 12025 36 275 33 276 31 276 47 277 12025 10429 28 275 26 270 28 271 38 288 10429 9010 22 273 20 261 25 266 28 287 9010 7748 19 272 17 253 21 264 26 274 7748 6630 17 275 16 251 17 266 28 261 6630 5644 16 279 16 257 14 266 22 243 5644 4777 16 280 17 265 14 262 16 240 4777 4011 18 279 16 267 13 255 13 238 4011 3324 19 275 13*259 12 248 11 230 3324 2716 18 267 9*241 11 241 10 222 2716 2207 14 255 6 216 10 235 11 212 2207 1817 10*245 6 213 9 231 11 201 1817 1548 5*231 6 212 8 228 10 191 1548 1385 4 226 5 211 7*226 7*177 1385 1292 3 222 5 210 5*223 4*161 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography