DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.9 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 3 - - -17 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5258 - - 1400 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3578 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6695 - - 2837 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2345 - - 2332 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 260 - - 123 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 24 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 230 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 17 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 17 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1093 - - 366 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5602 - - 2471 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1345 - - -1600 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8040 - - 4437 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 101 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1130 - - 2780 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.9 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 73.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.2 - - 80.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.1 - - 72.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 3 - - -17 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5258 - - 1400 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 41 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99385 49 094 32 085 99385 91902 37 088 31 081 91902 86120 27 092 25 084 86120 81321 20 090 23 092 81321 77188 19 091 22 092 77188 73527 17 092 19 087 73527 70207 15 117 15 097 70207 67156 10 086 12 090 67156 64339 6 131 3 067 64339 61628 11 129 2 013 61628 58818 2 280 13 290 58818 55934 20 284 23 265 55934 53207 23 270 20 261 53207 50743 40 264 41 286 50743 48538 59 274 68 271 48538 46563 73 272 72 262 46563 44749 74 271 74 276 44749 43064 78 275 88 287 43064 41499 80 276 85 283 41499 40031 78 274 78 273 40031 38638 74 273 76 271 38638 37286 72 272 74 272 37286 35905 70 273 73 273 35905 34467 68 277 69 274 34467 32976 66 279 65 275 32976 31417 65 279 62 275 31417 29780 63 276 60 275 29780 28067 57 273 58 272 28067 26280 48 259 57 262 26280 24421 45 241 56 255 24421 22493 43 244 48 246 22493 20493 42 250 40 244 20493 18419 43 253 40 247 18419 16317 40 253 35 248 16317 14296 28 253 31 251 14296 12457 22 257 28 249 12457 10821 23 260 28 242 10821 9364 23 251 31 240 9364 8063 21 237 34 242 8063 6902 20*235 34 242 6902 5871 20*234 34 241 5871 4962 20 235 34 239 4962 4157 19 234 33 235 4157 3434 18 234 31*232 3434 2795 18 234 29*231 2795 2260 17 234 27 230 2260 1849 16 234 25 230 1849 1566 15 234 21 230 1566 1393 13 235 18 230 1393 1294 10 235 12 229 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography