DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.3 - - 63.0 - - 65.4 - - 61.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 224 - - 276 - - 105 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 456 - - 1692 - - 2117 - - 1145 - - 463 BL Depth Hcrit 1276 - - 2301 - - 2675 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top 1893 - - 3129 - - 3554 - - 2582 - - 1900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 968 - - 947 - - 1294 - - 1108 - - 1394 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 299 - - 346 - - 204 - - 85 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 095 - - 107 - - 114 - - 125 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -8 - - -9 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1659 - - -233 - - 467 - - 343 - - 274 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3552 - - 3362 - - 3088 - - 2239 - - 1626 sfcLCL ODpotential -11500 - - -7934 - - 226 - - 79 - - -1 ODpotential blCL 13393 - - 11063 - - 3328 - - 2503 - - 1901 blCL maxRH 77 - - 89 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.3 - - 63.0 - - 65.4 - - 61.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 52.8 - - 56.4 - - 56.6 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 61.5 - - 63.8 - - 61.1 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.9 - - 51.8 - - 55.4 - - 56.2 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 224 - - 276 - - 105 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 456 - - 1692 - - 2117 - - 1145 - - 463 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 57 - - 73 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98154 15 060 17 084 18 073 12 082 16 041 98154 90758 15 073 13 074 12 056 13 081 16 048 90758 85091 9 068 10 058 7 071 8 031 15 042 85091 80373 8 068 8 031 6 089 5 330 9 007 80373 76296 10 034 7 033 3 031 5 310 6 001 76296 72692 10 020 11 032 2 069 9 302 11 006 72692 69434 8 355 13 016 7 089 5 256 10 357 69434 66454 7 303 11 328 8 004 2 123 6 333 66454 63712 7 289 10 257 11 317 2 338 6 280 63712 61065 12 298 10 246 15 296 15 314 13 295 61065 58298 27 271 19 282 23 272 21 277 19 273 58298 55428 31 259 24 283 24 266 21 265 21 280 55428 52709 23 263 25 271 28 268 29 266 24 298 52709 50293 26 281 25 255 30 263 35 266 28 285 50293 48171 30 291 19 258 25 255 27 262 27 271 48171 46267 24 289 20 265 22 240 19 266 28 280 46267 44510 22 290 24 262 25 262 21 284 28 277 44510 42869 26 289 25 267 28 262 24 283 21 270 42869 41329 28 293 26 274 27 259 20 289 15 260 41329 39876 26 300 24 275 26 259 20 266 13 265 39876 38496 24 306 20 264 23 259 19 242 13 265 38496 37151 24 307 18 261 16 255 17 228 18 235 37151 35776 24 297 15 280 9 236 15 229 17 219 35776 34347 25 289 15 298 6 237 14 226 14 202 34347 32869 23 276 17 314 4 285 9 217 11 206 32869 31324 24 251 21 315 8 291 7 253 9 209 31324 29699 22 251 20 312 10 285 12 260 8 207 29699 27991 19 257 16 299 11 277 10 245 9 201 27991 26204 18 267 16 278 12 262 11 215 17 206 26204 24344 20 268 16 271 14 248 17 224 18 223 24344 22416 22 252 15 262 17 235 18 244 18 240 22416 20414 18 241 16 239 15 243 16 248 19 240 20414 18330 13 223 19 231 16 257 14 251 18 233 18330 16208 11 217 18 230 16 248 17 251 19 241 16208 14166 9 234 13 225 18 230 21 251 22 249 14166 12310 9 251 9 227 17 236 19 248 21 250 12310 10660 8 261 10 248 12 247 15 236 18 247 10660 9191 7 269 13 255 9 256 11 235 15 231 9191 7884 6 260 11 250 9 256 8 235 16 214 7884 6725 6 239 8 225 7 216 9 210 16 210 6725 5707 4 184 7 183 7 170 12 190 13 202 5707 4820 6 117 6 139 8 139 12 160 13 176 4820 4039 6 097 7 121 9*127 14 138 16 151 4039 3342 4 089 8*111 10*119 14 129 16 141 3342 2727 6 098 8*107 10 115 13*126 14 139 2727 2214 7*098 8 107 11 113 11*125 11*138 2214 1821 7*096 8 106 11 112 11 125 9*136 1821 1551 5 096 8 107 10 111 10 124 8 136 1551 1387 4 094 7 107 10 111 9 125 7 136 1387 1293 3 096 6 107 8 111 7 125 6 136 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography