DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 66.2 - - 66.0 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -14 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 104 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1541 - - 1294 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2616 - - 2334 - - 2062 - - 1736 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 13 - - 9 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 186 - - 208 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -429 - - -60 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1970 - - 1354 - - 1293 - - 1293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1321 - - -998 - - -747 - - -1423 ODpotential blCL - - - 2862 - - 2292 - - 2041 - - 2717 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 840 - - 780 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 66.2 - - 66.0 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.1 - - 64.1 - - 64.5 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -14 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 104 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96291 71 246 90 247 91 253 76 258 96291 89178 45 268 53 258 54 257 54 259 89178 83720 28 277 35 258 30 261 35 265 83720 79199 17 282 23 254 21 258 26 272 79199 75295 14 279 16 261 16 266 18 276 75295 71822 12 285 12 265 12 280 16 280 71822 68669 11 297 9 253 15 267 16 269 68669 65763 14 281 9 218 15 249 16 271 65763 63058 9 274 6 237 12 266 16 257 63058 60431 15 269 14 252 17 252 20 249 60431 57695 16 268 15 240 18 227 27 244 57695 54866 21 257 26 255 25 246 26 244 54866 52170 39 245 37 233 24 246 35 258 52170 49746 39 231 34 233 37 254 42 254 49746 47568 31 235 43 241 42 250 54 258 47568 45596 35 237 50 242 53 250 64 251 45596 43803 46 239 55 242 59 246 57 250 43803 42152 50 233 55 239 54 247 56 257 42152 40618 43 224 47 224 54 251 62 259 40618 39180 37 228 42 213 51 248 59 254 39180 37823 39 227 40 222 46 249 55 251 37823 36508 47 222 43 229 45 247 56 248 36508 35170 48 222 47 229 46 242 57 244 35170 33781 47 223 49 230 47 238 57 243 33781 32342 46 228 50 233 49 238 56 243 32342 30839 47 235 49 238 51 239 53 243 30839 29261 49 241 48 240 51 240 51 241 29261 27608 49 245 46 242 47 240 48 232 27608 25879 44 252 43 241 43 239 45 224 25879 24072 43 257 40 243 40 239 42 225 24072 22191 42 256 37 249 37 241 41 228 22191 20231 40 251 35 252 35 242 39 232 20231 18189 36 239 32 243 33 239 37 233 18189 16108 36 234 34 235 32 235 34 234 16108 14101 36 233 33 237 29 238 28 237 14101 12270 37 227 29 231 26 236 23 237 12270 10640 35 224 28 220 27 226 23 228 10640 9194 33 226 30 219 28 224 25 219 9194 7912 29 228 28 222 26 230 25 217 7912 6774 27 231 28 226 23 235 24 218 6774 5763 28 233 29 226 20 236 22 223 5763 4871 31 228 28 223 20 233 21 234 4871 4084 31 221 28 216 19 229 20 245 4084 3379 29 213 26 209 18 226 19 250 3379 2755 25 206 23 203 17 224 17 246 2755 2233 21 202 19 199 14 220 15 237 2233 1832 18 198 15 194 11 215 12 226 1832 1557 16*196 12 191 9 212 8 209 1557 1389 13*195 10*189 6*211 6*191 1389 1293 9 193 6*186 4*208 3*160 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography