DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.2 - - 41.0 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 61 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2517 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3954 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 991 - - 3594 - - 500 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 225 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 200 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 863 - - -1268 - - -158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3091 - - 2560 - - 1450 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 180 - - -1850 - - -13004 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3774 - - 3142 - - 14296 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 97 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.2 - - 41.0 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.3 - - 34.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 39.8 - - 41.5 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.2 - - 33.4 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 61 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2517 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 86 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 3 236 3 235 3 252 96395 89214 5 200 8 281 1 258 89214 83659 5 158 12 240 13 299 83659 79072 4 186 12 216 13 266 79072 75112 9 284 6 268 7 239 75112 71579 18 271 18 272 18 288 71579 68371 19 259 20 254 28 254 68371 65416 24 257 26 260 33 252 65416 62667 34 258 37 264 44 256 62667 60010 45 262 49 256 54 256 60010 57246 59 256 58 258 63 259 57246 54383 66 254 77 257 83 259 54383 51658 74 254 83 256 95 257 51658 49213 77 255 92 259 100 255 49213 47021 91 258 100 259 103 253 47021 45038 104 256 108 257 108 252 45038 43234 109 251 115 254 113 254 43234 41578 107 249 118 252 119 256 41578 40039 104 252 117 252 127 256 40039 38594 98 252 115 254 131 255 38594 37229 92 247 117 257 132 255 37229 35909 93 245 121 260 131 255 35909 34565 91 246 121 261 131 257 34565 33169 86 244 111 260 123 260 33169 31726 81 243 100 256 113 260 31726 30224 79 246 91 251 104 257 30224 28649 77 251 83 246 101 257 28649 26999 76 253 77 243 94 261 26999 25275 74 252 74 241 80 258 25275 23480 69 250 71 238 69 249 23480 21614 67 251 70 235 70 246 21614 19670 67 252 69 235 68 245 19670 17645 67 251 66 238 64 242 17645 15581 63 253 57 242 60 244 15581 13591 53 256 47 246 53 246 13591 11787 44 258 39 247 44 250 11787 10194 38 255 34 247 37 257 10194 8788 33 256 31 258 30 264 8788 7546 29 260 29 274 23 276 7546 6450 25 260 25 282 18 287 6450 5488 20 245 18 272 15 292 5488 4646 14*232 14 246 11 295 4646 3905 10*218 12 232 9 297 3905 3243 7 205 11 228 8 280 3243 2658 6 190 10 221 9 255 2658 2169 5 185 9 216 10 234 2169 1794 5 183 8 210 10 220 1794 1537 5 180 7 206 7 198 1537 1380 4 180 6*203 5*164 1380 1291 4 179 4*200 4*147 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography