DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.2 - - 78.4 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2872 - - 1482 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2749 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4309 - - 2919 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3023 - - 3335 - - 3946 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 276 - - 137 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 302 - - 021 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 715 - - 217 - - -525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3594 - - 2702 - - 1820 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -663 - - -1111 - - -1411 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4972 - - 4030 - - 2706 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 920 - - 1320 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.2 - - 78.4 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.3 - - 70.4 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.6 - - 78.3 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.0 - - 69.4 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2872 - - 1482 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 101 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99413 34 081 36 094 31 093 99413 91899 31 091 27 087 31 085 91899 86131 30 087 23 081 27 077 86131 81349 29 083 25 083 27 079 81349 77223 28 083 25 085 25 082 77223 73580 26 082 20 082 22 079 73580 70292 20 074 18 083 15 078 70292 67285 11 084 11 076 13 088 67285 64500 11 109 8 119 8 070 64500 61801 6 114 10 126 3 293 61801 58998 8 111 8 131 6 227 58998 56094 4 347 3 232 6 169 56094 53335 7 253 14 254 10 234 53335 50878 25 221 27 224 20 230 50878 48682 36 215 38 217 26 226 48682 46684 47 216 51 224 40 226 46684 44861 58 213 63 219 58 222 44861 43176 68 212 65 215 62 216 43176 41598 70 207 65 211 62 212 41598 40105 71 205 65 208 63 210 40105 38690 71 208 66 212 63 210 38690 37317 70 208 68 215 64 211 37317 35919 71 207 68 216 65 216 35919 34469 72 209 69 215 66 221 34469 32971 70 211 67 214 63 225 32971 31412 67 214 61 218 44 229 31412 29780 55 219 48 217 31 225 29780 28075 38 222 35 221 25 235 28075 26293 33 227 24 228 20 233 26293 24437 26 236 16 236 16 236 24437 22516 18 255 12 260 11 282 22516 20523 14 275 10 296 11 337 20523 18448 13 277 7 316 5 355 18448 16329 16 248 6 286 1 248 16329 14283 18 247 9 303 5 024 14283 12425 16 251 11 297 4 032 12425 10778 15 253 10 270 2 350 10778 9315 14 254 8 264 2 330 9315 8013 12 258 7 268 4 347 8013 6856 10 264 5 274 6 005 6856 5833 7 274 4 294 9 019 5833 4930 5*285 4 340 10 026 4930 4131 4*294 5 011 9 031 4131 3415 4 299 6*016 8 037 3415 2781 4 299 6*020 8 042 2781 2250 4 304 5 021 7 047 2250 1843 3 306 5 020 6 049 1843 1563 3 310 5 021 5 051 1563 1392 3 311 5 021 4*051 1392 1294 3 313 4 020 3*053 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography