DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 56.0 - - 54.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - -27 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 1293 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1498 - - 2451 - - 1605 - - 774 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 166 - - 150 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2055 - - -1846 - - -811 - - -1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3348 - - 3139 - - 2105 - - 1294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8111 - - -5654 - - -3770 - - -4323 ODpotential blCL - - - 9404 - - 6947 - - 5064 - - 5616 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 56.0 - - 54.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.8 - - 50.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 57.2 - - 56.6 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 46.1 - - 49.7 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - -27 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95904 33 278 34 276 38 271 35 288 95904 88949 21 271 26 279 28 288 18 294 88949 83565 11 271 17 281 20 290 13 292 83565 79072 7 270 13 296 12 309 10 298 79072 75169 8 328 14 273 13 289 12 312 75169 71709 14 296 15 242 14 275 13 284 71709 68571 12 272 11 234 14 280 10 270 68571 65672 18 289 17 259 21 260 17 262 65672 62984 20 280 28 273 26 262 24 239 62984 60386 33 282 36 269 33 270 22 261 60386 57679 42 260 42 263 40 260 38 257 57679 54850 45 261 42 261 44 256 44 254 54850 52115 48 272 42 266 50 259 51 256 52115 49634 62 276 46 269 51 258 53 253 49634 47412 67 265 52 265 54 254 58 249 47412 45406 63 248 61 255 57 248 65 245 45406 43579 50 241 57 241 59 242 62 243 43579 41891 51 254 58 252 57 246 58 248 41891 40320 67 262 72 255 59 258 65 250 40320 38853 84 255 85 249 68 253 67 248 38853 37478 81 249 82 242 73 244 69 248 37478 36156 70 244 77 235 79 240 70 247 36156 34818 65 244 76 234 81 235 68 245 34818 33433 69 248 76 236 82 235 65 242 33433 32000 73 248 76 237 81 236 63 238 32000 30503 72 244 74 236 75 233 61 240 30503 28932 66 242 71 234 68 233 59 250 28932 27287 59 244 64 234 65 240 56 255 27287 25564 58 246 55 233 63 241 53 256 25564 23767 58 244 51 235 57 237 49 255 23767 21902 51 242 46 242 49 238 47 252 21902 19963 36 248 44 254 44 239 48 249 19963 17942 35 251 47 259 37 245 52 249 17942 15882 40 236 50 255 36 246 55 249 15882 13898 52 239 59 251 38 244 54 250 13898 12093 50 246 58 243 37 241 51 252 12093 10491 44 246 46 221 41 237 44 253 10491 9066 35 233 36 211 49 236 39 247 9066 7798 26 213 35 219 51 228 36 240 7798 6671 28 214 37 220 49 216 37 233 6671 5673 34 212 39 210 46 209 44 225 5673 4794 38 208 39 203 43 206 48 220 4794 4018 37 204 35 200 38 203 45 214 4018 3325 32 204 29 194 32 197 39 211 3325 2714 26 204 23 184 25 189 31 207 2714 2205 18 202 20 179 22 185 22 199 2205 1815 13 196 17 175 17 178 15 185 1815 1547 10 192 14 170 13 170 11 164 1547 1385 8*190 11*168 10*164 8*147 1385 1292 5*190 7*166 5*150 5*131 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography