DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.2 - - 88.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5434 - - 4251 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4304 - - 1279 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6871 - - 5688 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1558 - - 4261 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 308 - - 202 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 267 - - 266 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 590 - - -15 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6281 - - 5704 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2850 - - -2214 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9721 - - 7902 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1140 - - 2080 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.2 - - 88.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.9 - - 67.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.0 - - 89.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.5 - - 66.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5434 - - 4251 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98624 29 096 15 075 98624 91147 24 080 17 078 91147 85418 18 070 19 089 85418 80698 15 074 20 092 80698 76650 14 065 20 085 76650 73076 14 081 18 064 73076 69842 16 091 17 054 69842 66866 20 094 15 051 66866 64109 22 075 9 066 64109 61459 15 067 7 089 61459 58712 11 037 5 014 58712 55877 9 343 11 326 55877 53184 10 312 16 323 53184 50757 19 300 15 290 50757 48572 26 300 16 287 48572 46581 32 288 17 281 46581 44752 19 264 17 267 44752 43061 14 227 14 239 43061 41487 27 149 17 194 41487 40011 29 149 30 165 40011 38612 27 144 28 150 38612 37254 28 145 23 145 37254 35869 26 146 23 140 35869 34429 24 153 24 159 34429 32938 27 166 19 181 32938 31383 15 202 9 250 31383 29758 19 256 15 293 29758 28062 26 294 20 293 28062 26293 27 297 19 286 26293 24450 22 289 18 272 24450 22537 12 290 17 269 22537 20546 16 295 16 273 20546 18476 21 292 19 281 18476 16371 18 278 25 278 16371 14348 17 273 23 262 14348 12509 17 262 22 247 12509 10872 18 256 22 253 10872 9411 15 266 20 261 9411 8109 12 269 17 263 8109 6946 11*264 14 263 6946 5912 11*265 14*263 5912 4998 11 265 13*264 4998 4186 10 266 13 265 4186 3458 10 267 12 265 3458 2811 10 267 11 266 2811 2271 9 268 10 267 2271 1855 9 269 10 268 1855 1569 8 269 9 268 1569 1395 8 269 8 268 1395 1295 7 269 7 268 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography