DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.5 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 379 - - 207 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6571 - - 7799 - - 3090 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6217 - - 6853 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8008 - - 9236 - - 4527 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1235 - - 1415 - - 4077 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 555 - - 481 - - 71 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 297 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 32 - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -86 - - 608 - - -2818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8095 - - 8629 - - 7346 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4795 - - 145 - - -4251 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12803 - - 9091 - - 8778 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.5 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.4 - - 25.8 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.8 - - 58.3 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.2 - - 24.7 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 379 - - 207 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6571 - - 7799 - - 3090 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 61 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97778 14 246 20 276 14 296 97778 90385 14 251 18 257 19 262 90385 84711 18 227 17 252 17 252 84711 79997 16 226 16 240 10 259 79997 75905 15 225 13 225 8 248 75905 72273 16 207 17 213 17 242 72273 69004 12 199 16 212 16 220 69004 66001 10 221 13 207 11 226 66001 63199 19 226 24 224 23 241 63199 60475 25 242 32 242 33 246 60475 57630 40 242 45 241 43 241 57630 54680 49 235 50 234 47 234 54680 51859 49 238 51 239 46 237 51859 49310 53 243 52 240 51 243 49310 47019 59 244 57 244 60 243 47019 44933 69 242 69 245 68 239 44933 43018 78 238 80 242 71 235 43018 41252 85 237 87 235 78 235 41252 39614 93 238 96 229 87 235 39614 38093 110 234 104 227 98 233 38093 36674 117 230 112 228 108 230 36674 35320 121 229 119 230 117 227 35320 33958 121 229 121 230 125 225 33958 32556 119 230 120 229 129 224 32556 31113 117 229 118 228 128 223 31113 29612 115 227 116 226 124 223 29612 28042 113 226 112 226 114 225 28042 26410 108 227 99 227 104 227 26410 24717 97 231 87 227 96 227 24717 22965 86 234 80 228 85 227 22965 21151 75 232 74 230 72 227 21151 19267 66 235 65 232 63 224 19267 17308 54 240 54 236 58 227 17308 15316 44 241 46 239 48 235 15316 13407 42 240 40 242 35 243 13407 11681 38 242 29 244 23 231 11681 10153 28 240 12*240 15 200 10153 8794 13*250 8*257 11 213 8794 7584 8*287 7 266 9 250 7584 6506 8 292 8 290 13 279 6506 5550 8 302 9 297 17 292 5550 4704 8 309 10 303 20*299 4704 3955 8 315 11 306 20*300 3955 3284 8 320 11 308 20 301 3284 2688 8 324 11 310 20 301 2688 2191 8 327 11 311 20 302 2191 1808 8 329 11 312 19 302 1808 1544 7 330 11 313 17 303 1544 1384 7 329 10 312 14 303 1384 1292 6 330 9 313 10 304 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography