DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.3 - - 73.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 32 - - -14 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3152 - - 2676 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4589 - - 4113 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1571 - - 1823 - - 3193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 223 - - 124 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 130 - - 141 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 31 - - 230 - - -1834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4558 - - 3883 - - 3129 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2326 - - -2400 - - -4190 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6915 - - 6513 - - 5485 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.3 - - 73.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 60.4 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.2 - - 73.8 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.5 - - 59.2 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 32 - - -14 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3152 - - 2676 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99346 45 080 37 088 40 075 99346 91876 38 081 35 078 34 071 91876 86131 34 080 31 075 28 072 86131 81345 31 076 28 073 23 070 81345 77213 26 077 23 075 20 079 77213 73568 22 073 23 082 20 080 73568 70268 19 072 19 064 20 076 70268 67241 17 055 13 056 19 049 67241 64450 9 033 12 059 14 047 64450 61752 8 020 17 015 18 028 61752 58960 6 326 18 337 20 342 58960 56097 16 325 17 319 20 318 56097 53377 24 317 19 301 22 298 53377 50936 31 310 22 305 22 298 50936 48748 37 299 36 308 31 315 48748 46755 41 297 44 302 41 308 46755 44927 46 298 46 300 43 304 44927 43244 46 297 44 287 43 294 43244 41679 47 293 51 272 42 278 41679 40209 48 289 51 266 44 274 40209 38814 47 287 48 264 48 271 38814 37456 43 288 41 264 48 270 37456 36069 42 288 40 264 45 274 36069 34624 41 286 42 264 42 277 34624 33123 41 281 43 270 43 277 33123 31553 43 281 43 279 44 274 31553 29902 39 283 41 284 41 265 29902 28172 34 279 37 280 38 255 28172 26365 31 272 30 262 41 257 26365 24487 30 275 32 250 30 254 24487 22547 30 272 33 251 23 249 22547 20530 28 270 25 263 23 253 20530 18428 26 263 24 267 23 262 18428 16290 24 264 26 267 24 262 16290 14236 22 267 23 262 22 257 14236 12368 17 265 18 262 17 247 12368 10713 12 246 13 258 12 242 10713 9250 13 219 12 234 11 250 9250 7953 10 214 12 213 10 248 7953 6802 7 199 6 201 7 233 6802 5781 8 159 5 139 6 201 5781 4884 9*136 7*129 8 157 4884 4093 10*132 8*134 9 145 4093 3385 10 130 8 137 10 144 3385 2759 10 129 8 141 11 142 2759 2236 10 129 8 143 11 140 2236 1835 10 129 8 144 11 139 1835 1558 9 129 8 145 10 137 1558 1390 8 129 7 146 8*136 1390 1294 7 129 5 146 5*135 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography