DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 65.4 - - 64.9 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 54 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 664 - - 2072 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2101 - - 3509 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 876 - - 1432 - - 3680 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 211 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 084 - - 103 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1652 - - -1097 - - -2733 - - -1367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3753 - - 4606 - - 4027 - - 2660 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10497 - - -8274 - - -8996 - - -10480 ODpotential blCL - - - 12598 - - 11783 - - 10290 - - 11773 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 66 - - 62 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 65.4 - - 64.9 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 65.0 - - 65.9 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 48.7 - - 50.8 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 54 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 664 - - 2072 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96934 34 253 39 247 47 262 43 265 96934 89741 27 249 25 251 27 263 34 262 89741 84180 17 245 22 244 21 262 25 265 84180 79575 11 235 17 237 19 251 19 259 79575 75627 13 233 13 248 16 253 11 243 75627 72138 17 233 15 255 15 267 11 290 72138 68970 9 224 15 242 18 247 17 267 68970 66063 9 280 16 233 22 232 22 244 66063 63383 17 272 17 257 20 248 23 257 63383 60810 25 256 23 258 23 252 30 256 60810 58134 23 254 23 259 24 247 31 249 58134 55345 34 262 31 269 28 258 36 254 55345 52667 41 250 44 259 38 252 44 251 52667 50242 45 239 49 250 46 246 45 245 50242 48054 43 249 46 251 43 249 46 245 48054 46063 45 255 40 251 41 252 46 256 46063 44256 45 247 43 252 36 258 43 258 44256 42601 35 252 45 249 33 260 35 254 42601 41059 25 250 37 236 29 252 25 267 41059 39610 27 298 27 262 22 260 24 267 39610 38242 35 313 25 292 18 276 23 262 38242 36914 35 317 23 302 19 283 21 252 36914 35559 30 299 22 307 19 288 18 249 35559 34150 27 285 19 302 17 287 18 253 34150 32686 20 283 13 285 15 269 19 263 32686 31152 14 294 12 266 15 245 17 260 31152 29536 12 281 12 255 21 241 13 231 29536 27841 15 262 19 237 26 250 21 248 27841 26071 25 273 24 256 24 263 24 265 26071 24232 29 279 27 277 26 271 23 261 24232 22326 27 275 25 276 24 271 23 273 22326 20339 21 280 21 276 19 275 20 281 20339 18265 17 282 17 277 16 289 14 286 18265 16151 16 282 15 276 14 289 12 278 16151 14113 16 291 12 281 10 277 11 246 14113 12259 14 302 8 295 7 259 13 229 12259 10610 10 306 5 315 5 250 9 221 10610 9149 7 315 3 005 1 232 3 189 9149 7856 4 360 3 058 3 059 4 079 7856 6716 6 049 5 078 4 064 5 067 6716 5712 9 060 7 089 5 090 4 073 5712 4828 11 065 8 097 5 099 3 091 4828 4049 11 062 7*093 5 099 3 105 4049 3351 12 067 6*085 5 100 4 107 3351 2735 12 071 5 086 5 101 5 106 2735 2219 9*070 5 084 5 101 7 104 2219 1824 5*060 5 084 4 101 8 104 1824 1552 4 057 4 083 4 102 8 102 1552 1387 3 054 4 083 4*103 6*103 1387 1292 3 048 3 082 3*103 5*105 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography