DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 43.0 - - 45.1 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 103 - - -13 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1737 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1866 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1291 - - 3174 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1156 - - 609 - - 2972 - - 112 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 231 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 196 - - 229 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4793 - - -4632 - - -5894 - - -4184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6084 - - 7807 - - 7187 - - 5476 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19474 - - -17667 - - -18232 - - -19374 ODpotential blCL - - - 20765 - - 20841 - - 19524 - - 20666 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 57 - - 37 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 43.0 - - 45.1 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.9 - - 13.8 - - 18.6 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 42.3 - - 47.0 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 12.5 - - 17.5 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 103 - - -13 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1737 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95423 69 271 68 271 76 279 65 282 95423 88702 65 279 58 281 54 275 60 271 88702 83423 51 289 56 293 45 282 49 273 83423 78944 39 287 43 287 40 291 42 289 78944 75019 30 289 29 278 34 290 33 297 75019 71533 33 305 26 287 34 279 32 303 71533 68395 42 302 33 291 34 285 35 289 68395 65514 47 288 39 290 37 297 33 274 65514 62821 45 289 39 291 39 294 33 284 62821 60202 47 290 40 293 38 291 39 296 60202 57471 47 283 43 290 39 293 41 290 57471 54616 42 275 45 282 41 290 43 276 54616 51856 33 274 42 280 42 283 36 282 51856 49353 36 304 40 290 41 283 41 285 49353 47107 60 310 48 301 42 289 44 274 47107 45075 76 297 59 301 45 290 39 274 45075 43236 67 286 61 289 49 285 35 290 43236 41568 46 301 61 277 54 277 39 286 41568 40033 59 315 44 286 41 276 38 277 40033 38608 64 315 51 304 36 293 28 285 38608 37276 62 326 53 308 44 303 30 295 37276 35992 66 334 47 313 46 298 36 290 35992 34684 67 338 44 319 45 295 38 287 34684 33321 67 341 48 321 42 299 35 286 33321 31906 66 339 55 317 43 304 30 282 31906 30425 66 327 58 315 46 302 31 279 30425 28865 64 320 58 316 44 302 33 279 28865 27228 52 328 55 317 41 307 34 280 27228 25511 42 330 51 318 42 310 37 280 25511 23718 39 318 48 321 42 308 40 274 23718 21850 39 306 43 320 38 304 42 270 21850 19897 40 296 34 302 36 295 43 274 19897 17852 41 289 38 288 36 287 43 275 17852 15763 39 286 41 292 37 288 41 272 15763 13752 33 284 36 287 31 287 39 273 13752 11930 28 280 31 270 31 269 36 273 11930 10317 26 278 31 266 35 265 35 271 10317 8887 25 283 29 271 32 270 35 268 8887 7620 24 288 23 273 25 265 32 264 7620 6505 19 291 16 268 21 255 30 257 6505 5528 14 289 14 270 19 255 31 250 5528 4676 13 285 14 275 17 260 31 243 4676 3928 15 282 11 260 14 250 26 237 3928 3259 16 281 8*219 12 236 22 236 3259 2668 13 278 7*198 11 233 19 237 2668 2176 8 263 7 196 11 231 15 233 2176 1798 5 231 6 194 10 230 11 225 1798 1539 4 210 6 194 8 230 8 201 1539 1381 3*196 5 194 7*228 7*172 1381 1291 2*194 4 195 4*229 6*156 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography