DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 87.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 232 - - 57 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2721 - - 5802 - - 5496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2887 - - 5398 - - 4231 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4158 - - 7239 - - 6933 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 973 - - 4346 - - 3540 - - 877 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 460 - - 298 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 228 - - 224 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5649 - - -2118 - - -2754 - - -6782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9807 - - 9358 - - 9687 - - 8077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8887 - - -3859 - - -5140 - - -10638 ODpotential blCL - - - 13045 - - 11098 - - 12073 - - 11933 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 63 - - 77 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 87.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 50.6 - - 48.8 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 85.9 - - 86.5 - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 49.3 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 232 - - 57 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2721 - - 5802 - - 5496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96931 24 251 29 231 37 242 33 253 96931 89689 29 236 30 246 29 252 23 252 89689 84186 20 218 22 259 21 258 19 275 84186 79643 9 272 12 250 18 250 21 292 79643 75722 7 285 5 253 13 235 13 274 75722 72244 6 281 11 297 10 309 10 298 72244 69073 19 270 17 252 16 269 16 290 69073 66144 12 264 9 223 8 249 13 256 66144 63414 16 282 13 284 21 288 19 282 63414 60763 31 269 33 269 34 270 32 265 60763 58012 37 262 38 269 37 274 34 270 58012 55170 37 272 34 275 41 280 41 279 55170 52461 40 277 45 274 52 267 52 279 52461 50030 47 274 50 265 51 271 65 276 50030 47874 55 273 53 266 68 277 73 268 47874 45943 57 275 63 273 66 275 68 270 45943 44183 55 274 61 274 62 272 65 277 44183 42553 56 270 59 277 61 261 66 278 42553 41027 57 266 61 282 57 259 65 274 41027 39587 52 263 59 285 50 259 63 271 39587 38222 46 257 55 286 51 256 61 269 38222 36895 39 255 50 288 50 254 60 268 36895 35542 29 259 42 272 40 269 57 268 35542 34137 26 267 39 248 36 283 47 262 34137 32680 31 264 39 241 33 282 42 251 32680 31156 39 262 39 239 38 273 40 254 31156 29555 37 264 40 240 45 270 42 265 29555 27877 34 265 41 240 46 269 44 270 27877 26121 35 264 39 243 44 268 45 271 26121 24290 36 263 38 250 36 272 44 276 24290 22389 35 261 41 258 32 282 38 280 22389 20412 34 259 41 261 37 285 38 279 20412 18350 27 265 32 262 37 282 41 280 18350 16248 19 262 24 264 30 283 33 278 16248 14229 14 260 22 258 19 277 17 280 14229 12398 12 252 20 253 17 263 14 281 12398 10767 14 237 19 243 17 256 16 266 10767 9315 18 229 19 233 16 249 17 249 9315 8021 19 228 16*230 16*240 21 236 8021 6871 19 236 13*232 16*235 22 231 6871 5848 18 259 12 233 17 230 20 230 5848 4944 17*279 12 231 18 226 19 228 4944 4143 12*282 12 229 18 224 18 227 4143 3424 9 280 12 228 18 222 17 226 3424 2787 9 279 11 226 18 221 16 224 2787 2254 8 280 11 224 18 220 14 221 2254 1845 7 279 11 223 17 219 12 217 1845 1563 7 280 10 222 17 219 9 209 1563 1392 6 279 10 221 15 218 7*195 1392 1294 5 280 8 221 12 217 5*174 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography