DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 69.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 33 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3262 - - 3316 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3264 - - 2419 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4699 - - 4753 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2190 - - 2193 - - 4243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 328 - - 237 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 005 - - 011 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2383 - - -1923 - - -2370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7082 - - 6677 - - 3664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8921 - - -8226 - - -4352 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13620 - - 12979 - - 5646 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 49 - - 51 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 69.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.9 - - 44.7 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.8 - - 69.3 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.6 - - 43.4 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 33 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3262 - - 3316 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98459 23 120 8 132 6 040 98459 91006 16 109 9 095 5 094 91006 85265 16 090 11 087 11 076 85265 80480 18 091 10 078 10 087 80480 76345 16 075 14 087 5 075 76345 72693 8 076 11 084 2 017 72693 69394 5 084 6 044 3 025 69394 66364 5 035 7 048 6 024 66364 63565 12 337 18 312 13 340 63565 60866 10 278 20 294 21 345 60866 58052 16 319 23 312 27 322 58052 55150 35 315 34 314 36 315 55150 52403 40 303 40 312 40 310 52403 49949 43 295 45 309 41 307 49949 47757 45 293 49 302 46 307 47757 45779 52 291 56 300 57 306 45779 43982 59 289 68 300 71 301 43982 42328 66 287 75 297 77 298 42328 40786 69 290 78 296 81 298 40786 39333 71 293 79 298 83 298 39333 37957 71 293 77 297 84 298 37957 36618 70 292 76 296 83 298 36618 35254 67 291 75 296 81 298 35254 33835 65 293 73 297 81 300 33835 32369 62 295 68 299 74 303 32369 30845 56 300 59 300 63 307 30845 29247 53 305 54 304 59 309 29247 27571 51 309 51 307 56 310 27571 25816 51 309 50 310 53 309 25816 23985 51 305 51 312 51 310 23985 22079 51 304 52 313 51 313 22079 20094 50 306 50 311 48 315 20094 18034 48 308 45 310 42 313 18034 15945 44 311 37 312 35 314 15945 13942 38 314 31 318 28 316 13942 12125 32 318 27 322 23 317 12125 10511 29 321 24 320 21 317 10511 9079 26 319 21 311 19 314 9079 7809 23 314 19 299 16 308 7809 6685 18 314 15 307 14 317 6685 5691 14 325 14 338 14 344 5691 4815 13*341 15*349 15 010 4815 4041 14*356 17*005 17 023 4041 3348 14 003 17 009 18 027 3348 2733 15 005 17 011 18 028 2733 2220 15 006 17 012 18 029 2220 1825 14 008 16 013 17 030 1825 1553 14 008 15 013 14 030 1553 1388 13 008 14 014 11*031 1388 1293 10 008 11 014 6*032 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography