DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 34.7 - - 33.9 - - 29.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 10 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1291 - - 2493 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 481 - - 1499 - - 2022 - - 507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 96 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 201 - - 214 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1304 - - -604 - - -530 - - -47 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2595 - - 3097 - - 1822 - - 1339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10626 - - -7918 - - -1835 - - -3272 ODpotential blCL - - - 11917 - - 10411 - - 3127 - - 4564 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 93 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 34.7 - - 33.9 - - 29.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 26.0 - - 30.7 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 34.8 - - 35.0 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 24.9 - - 30.3 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 10 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 74 - - 91 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96289 46 207 42 226 46 243 41 249 96289 89104 55 233 39 225 39 239 37 248 89104 83539 46 244 44 233 41 255 35 250 83539 78897 33 244 38 241 38 253 36 254 78897 74914 14 257 22 241 31 237 37 250 74914 71398 23 286 19 270 22 242 33 250 71398 68200 42 284 34 277 25 260 36 254 68200 65259 46 275 39 270 31 259 37 255 65259 62536 44 267 37 268 33 258 33 259 62536 59881 43 267 38 264 38 257 38 263 59881 57089 46 266 41 257 47 265 48 259 57089 54176 50 264 55 268 60 264 58 262 54176 51382 55 267 67 264 68 259 71 263 51382 48856 68 268 70 255 75 257 83 260 48856 46582 71 268 71 257 76 259 87 257 46582 44511 74 271 75 263 81 262 89 257 44511 42609 79 272 81 265 88 263 90 259 42609 40854 87 271 88 261 90 260 92 258 40854 39231 97 268 92 263 92 261 94 256 39231 37720 102 263 100 262 102 259 95 254 37720 36315 96 262 101 260 104 256 96 253 36315 34985 100 268 97 261 102 256 101 252 34985 33662 110 268 97 263 104 257 102 253 33662 32307 113 264 100 263 103 256 101 253 32307 30918 111 264 101 261 97 253 98 254 30918 29472 105 266 101 259 93 253 97 254 29472 27952 101 267 97 258 91 253 95 254 27952 26355 96 269 92 261 88 254 93 254 26355 24682 89 271 86 264 82 256 89 254 24682 22941 81 272 80 266 76 257 74 252 22941 21140 75 272 79 266 70 260 60 253 21140 19270 71 272 76 266 66 267 57 258 19270 17320 67 276 68 266 65 267 56 262 17320 15329 55 276 61 268 63 265 57 265 15329 13408 41 274 54 268 56 265 56 267 13408 11659 37 275 47 266 53 267 49 265 11659 10103 37 275 40 269 48 266 46 265 10103 8723 35 274 33 267 42 264 44 266 8723 7501 34 274 32 263 37 262 36 263 7501 6420 34 279 33 263 33 260 30 260 6420 5465 33 286 30 267 27 260 25 261 5465 4627 27 290 22 268 21 262 19 265 4627 3890 19 289 15 261 18 257 13 268 3890 3230 15 286 12 241 17 246 10 264 3230 2648 11 279 10*222 16 234 10 252 2648 2162 8 265 8*207 13 226 10 236 2162 1790 7 241 7 200 11 222 8 222 1790 1534 7 217 6 199 8 219 5 198 1534 1379 6*209 6 198 6*217 3*154 1379 1291 3*200 5 196 4*214 3*126 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography