DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 47.1 - - 45.0 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -35 - - -49 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1292 - - 1293 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 908 - - 3132 - - 4125 - - 1404 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 21 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 206 - - 238 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1811 - - -2958 - - -1496 - - -268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3103 - - 4251 - - 2789 - - 1560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8544 - - -8308 - - -2471 - - -2300 ODpotential blCL - - - 9836 - - 9601 - - 3764 - - 3592 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 100 - - 94 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 47.1 - - 45.0 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 32.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 48.1 - - 46.6 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 31.6 - - 36.5 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -35 - - -49 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 99 - - 77 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95540 58 240 70 248 64 256 74 236 95540 88406 46 250 55 245 61 258 69 250 88406 82881 52 265 52 251 66 252 67 259 82881 78324 59 256 53 253 64 244 57 261 78324 74402 53 251 51 250 50 249 54 265 74402 70930 52 251 44 247 44 261 47 264 70930 67766 45 264 39 250 42 273 37 264 67766 64828 46 277 45 267 46 273 42 277 64828 62095 52 271 56 268 50 266 48 277 62095 59440 55 263 58 261 51 260 51 268 59440 56654 60 267 60 262 55 258 60 261 56654 53754 70 265 68 262 61 256 64 256 53754 50977 72 260 74 257 66 256 63 250 50977 48464 82 258 81 253 72 257 70 255 48464 46206 92 253 86 250 77 256 84 256 46206 44167 89 249 89 250 86 255 87 251 44167 42305 85 252 100 249 100 250 85 249 42305 40587 90 256 116 246 108 244 90 248 40587 38991 103 258 118 242 113 240 104 243 38991 37505 117 259 113 245 117 237 114 239 37505 36119 118 257 116 248 120 235 110 236 36119 34793 112 254 121 249 120 234 101 235 34793 33454 110 251 123 249 121 233 96 235 33454 32069 111 250 125 248 121 234 97 236 32069 30640 102 252 124 246 123 235 101 236 30640 29152 85 252 116 244 128 236 105 235 29152 27595 84 248 105 242 132 236 110 234 27595 25971 81 243 100 243 130 234 116 234 25971 24285 72 243 98 245 124 232 121 236 24285 22540 67 251 91 243 116 236 111 236 22540 20744 70 254 80 240 103 241 93 233 20744 18896 70 251 74 240 94 243 83 232 18896 16991 64 244 66 242 86 239 75 238 16991 15061 58 238 65 241 79 233 64 246 15061 13206 56 233 70 242 77 234 56 253 13206 11520 54 227 74 240 72 236 52 257 11520 10020 54 222 73 238 59 243 48 258 10020 8682 54 227 70 237 50 253 43 257 8682 7487 58 239 67 238 50 257 42 257 7487 6421 65 247 63 239 49 254 44 261 6421 5478 66 247 58 238 45 250 45 262 5478 4646 63 244 53 235 41 248 44 260 4646 3909 57 240 46 230 38 246 43 258 3909 3248 47 236 39 223 34 244 39 254 3248 2663 36 229 35 218 32 243 34 248 2663 2174 26 221 31 215 28 241 30 240 2174 1797 18 212 27 212 24 239 25 234 1797 1538 12 199 23 210 20 239 19 228 1538 1381 10*190 19*209 16*238 15*225 1381 1291 5*174 12*206 10*238 7*217 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography