DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 80.8 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 68 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6648 - - 5369 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5764 - - 4269 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8085 - - 6806 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3559 - - 3582 - - 3721 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 413 - - 308 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 172 - - 202 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 966 - - -416 - - -3204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7120 - - 7222 - - 4499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -258 - - -1579 - - -5523 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8343 - - 8385 - - 6818 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 89 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 230 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 80.8 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 53.6 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.3 - - 80.4 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.4 - - 52.8 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 68 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6648 - - 5369 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96889 31 265 40 267 35 279 96889 89625 25 272 30 274 27 281 89625 84036 21 282 21 300 18 285 84036 79426 15 296 11 303 16 300 79426 75464 18 323 7 348 15 319 75464 71956 24 316 16 327 18 323 71956 68770 16 323 19 323 18 325 68770 65840 12 339 14 320 13 319 65840 63128 15 333 18 298 20 303 63128 60503 14 304 16 298 25 296 60503 57753 9 288 18 303 15 291 57753 54873 11 293 14 265 15 283 54873 52116 17 271 24 281 26 277 52116 49665 23 265 32 279 26 274 49665 47512 25 267 27 269 29 262 47512 45591 22 269 17 250 19 240 45591 43839 17 256 15 253 14 227 43839 42223 19 268 21 257 17 223 42223 40716 20 265 20 256 18 223 40716 39296 17 249 16 262 18 228 39296 37947 14 252 11 279 17 235 37947 36635 13 273 13 285 17 238 36635 35295 12 274 14 280 16 230 35295 33899 11 260 9 257 13 222 33899 32450 12 255 11 212 12 227 32450 30935 15 250 14 211 14 239 30935 29343 14 252 15 215 16 231 29343 27676 12 280 10 224 16 222 27676 25931 10 267 6 241 14 212 25931 24110 11 230 7 219 19 222 24110 22217 15 229 17 222 26 230 22217 20253 21 230 22 226 25 240 20253 18209 25 224 24 223 24 252 18209 16126 24 216 24 225 23 251 16126 14119 18 209 22 235 23 239 14119 12294 12 201 21 244 22 237 12294 10674 9 190 20 242 19 233 10674 9234 9*182 18 224 17 222 9234 7952 10*178 19 214 20 213 7952 6810 10 176 19*207 22 209 6810 5796 10 174 20*205 25 209 5796 4900 11 173 20 204 29 210 4900 4108 11 171 20 202 32 210 4108 3397 11 170 20 201 33 207 3397 2768 11 169 20 201 32 204 2768 2242 11 169 19 200 30 202 2242 1838 11 169 19 200 26 200 1838 1559 10 169 18 200 21 198 1559 1391 10 168 16 200 17*196 1391 1294 8 169 12 199 10*194 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography