DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 51.6 - - 54.9 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 431 - - 198 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2222 - - 3335 - - 3799 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2802 - - 3710 - - 3767 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3659 - - 4772 - - 5236 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 933 - - 919 - - 1035 - - 3709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 372 - - 458 - - 371 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 124 - - 122 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3897 - - -4131 - - -5383 - - -7388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7557 - - 8903 - - 10619 - - 8681 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13697 - - -12476 - - -13936 - - -16761 ODpotential blCL - - - 17356 - - 17248 - - 19172 - - 18054 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 53 - - 76 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 51.6 - - 54.9 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.5 - - 17.4 - - 13.2 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 49.4 - - 53.7 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.0 - - 16.3 - - 12.1 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 431 - - 198 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2222 - - 3335 - - 3799 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97325 55 248 51 245 59 249 57 253 97325 89888 42 243 41 237 51 246 50 248 89888 84191 36 237 41 244 45 250 39 251 84191 79492 31 237 42 250 36 255 30 252 79492 75455 30 239 35 253 27 254 26 266 75455 71892 30 246 37 249 28 249 31 264 71892 68666 27 256 35 243 32 241 34 253 68666 65694 30 263 34 250 33 243 38 251 65694 62926 40 265 40 259 37 253 41 249 62926 60235 50 263 46 259 45 255 42 251 60235 57423 56 257 50 257 49 251 46 254 57423 54501 55 256 50 254 47 252 48 255 54501 51715 54 259 47 252 50 256 44 256 51715 49216 54 256 46 251 51 252 45 261 49216 46978 56 252 45 252 51 247 50 256 46978 44953 56 251 45 254 47 242 48 246 44953 43112 55 252 48 255 42 245 43 245 43112 41433 54 253 53 253 44 250 43 249 41433 39900 55 254 57 250 49 242 44 244 39900 38489 57 257 60 251 55 234 43 237 38489 37165 58 258 62 251 55 233 39 237 37165 35879 55 257 60 253 49 241 38 243 35879 34567 50 257 58 254 49 246 41 245 34567 33200 49 259 55 257 45 246 40 247 33200 31783 47 259 50 258 40 246 37 252 31783 30302 37 257 45 263 39 255 33 256 30302 28744 30 260 40 272 36 265 29 263 28744 27113 27 262 34 276 32 271 27 275 27113 25408 25 265 29 280 29 278 28 279 25408 23631 22 264 27 283 27 282 25 281 23631 21781 21 267 25 282 27 284 22 286 21781 19849 19 277 23 280 26 287 20 291 19849 17828 18 286 19 278 24 290 19 296 17828 15760 18 295 13 275 20 285 16 304 15760 13763 18 306 11 286 15 280 13 301 13763 11947 18 318 10 300 10 299 9 299 11947 10336 16 314 10 306 9 322 6 312 10336 8910 14 302 11 312 8 337 4 347 8910 7649 13 303 9 327 5 000 0 075 7649 6540 8 299 3 341 3 131 5 195 6540 5566 5 236 3*141 6*129 7 175 5566 4712 4 149 5*127 7*127 10 152 4712 3958 8*113 6 126 7 126 12 141 3958 3284 8*108 6 124 8 123 13 135 3284 2687 9 106 6 123 8 122 13 130 2687 2189 9 104 6 122 8 120 13 127 2189 1806 9 105 6 121 8 119 13 124 1806 1543 8 104 6 122 7 119 11 123 1543 1383 7 104 6 122 7 119 9*121 1383 1292 6 105 5 123 6 119 5*120 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography