DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.8 - - 74.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - -22 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3283 - - 3524 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3057 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4720 - - 4961 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3375 - - 2832 - - 2800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 291 - - 173 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 360 - - 356 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 227 - - -78 - - -1898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4493 - - 5039 - - 3192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1062 - - -2677 - - -5233 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5782 - - 7638 - - 6527 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 71 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.8 - - 74.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.6 - - 57.1 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.2 - - 75.5 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 55.8 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - -22 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3283 - - 3524 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98779 15 091 16 094 21 075 98779 91466 12 108 14 114 16 069 91466 85792 15 104 9 113 11 061 85792 81056 13 099 12 095 9 092 81056 76973 10 100 7 055 9 089 76973 73352 7 109 3 097 6 071 73352 70064 6 150 1 262 4 032 70064 67035 9 122 8 195 5 301 67035 64228 2 276 4 300 5 286 64228 61532 7 188 9 244 10 266 61532 58731 12 329 2 291 5 281 58731 55846 25 273 25 293 23 316 55846 53136 31 266 32 290 32 310 53136 50719 38 286 35 290 38 309 50719 48547 38 284 33 294 42 319 48547 46569 41 294 51 314 65 323 46569 44752 54 300 68 312 73 315 44752 43071 67 295 78 306 72 304 43071 41500 68 289 59 302 59 304 41500 40023 61 288 50 303 56 343 40023 38636 59 293 47 312 73 353 38636 37293 62 296 55 326 78 342 37293 35924 65 296 67 333 78 330 35924 34496 69 295 72 332 78 327 34496 33013 71 292 69 326 78 329 33013 31458 71 290 67 318 75 333 31458 29819 69 288 68 314 73 338 29819 28097 65 289 64 312 64 342 28097 26297 59 291 57 310 55 334 26297 24426 54 291 52 309 50 321 24426 22489 51 289 49 308 49 315 22489 20478 49 289 46 307 46 315 20478 18384 46 293 43 309 43 318 18384 16253 43 301 39 312 38 323 16253 14205 39 303 35 312 29 321 14205 12342 35 299 30 306 24 312 12342 10687 33 301 28 300 23 307 10687 9221 29 303 23 297 20 308 9221 7927 21 303 13 285 14 288 7927 6781 15 308 8 298 13 254 6781 5769 14 314 8*307 7 281 5769 4876 11*325 9*343 7 335 4876 4088 9*345 11 353 9 001 4088 3381 9 358 11 356 12 015 3381 2756 9 001 12 358 15 021 2756 2234 9 003 12 359 16 024 2234 1833 9 004 12 359 15 024 1833 1557 8 005 11 359 13 024 1557 1389 8 004 10 359 10*024 1389 1293 7 004 8 359 4*024 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography