DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.3 - - 29.9 - - 32.8 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 34 - - -5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1274 - - 1159 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 2711 - - 2596 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 513 - - 721 - - 866 - - 342 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 147 - - 54 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 155 - - 193 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3847 - - -1602 - - -941 - - -1265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5138 - - 4314 - - 3537 - - 2557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19245 - - -14355 - - -13098 - - -14844 ODpotential blCL - - - 20535 - - 17066 - - 15694 - - 16136 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 61 - - 66 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.3 - - 29.9 - - 32.8 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.0 - - 16.0 - - 22.2 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 29.7 - - 33.3 - - 29.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.2 - - 15.0 - - 21.1 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 34 - - -5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1274 - - 1159 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96357 24 250 35 271 36 267 26 277 96357 89281 14 295 19 266 23 308 21 309 89281 83806 11 321 8 263 16 327 20 325 83806 79208 12 342 4 318 14 319 22 325 79208 75224 15 004 4 355 14 313 20 332 75224 71688 20 342 11 344 16 339 14 334 71688 68468 27 319 21 322 21 333 19 325 68468 65496 32 304 27 302 28 315 24 321 65496 62732 33 294 31 300 37 304 32 308 62732 60052 35 292 39 300 41 301 40 304 60052 57256 46 293 45 296 47 298 48 299 57256 54356 51 288 51 291 53 292 53 297 54356 51583 51 290 54 288 56 291 62 297 51583 49070 54 294 55 288 57 289 69 294 49070 46802 59 294 54 292 59 290 65 294 46802 44739 63 293 56 296 64 293 64 296 44739 42849 66 289 63 297 61 296 63 299 42849 41106 64 284 68 295 55 303 58 309 41106 39502 57 288 69 289 71 305 76 304 39502 38034 60 293 64 287 74 299 78 295 38034 36680 62 299 58 292 59 293 60 295 36680 35387 61 303 52 300 51 314 56 317 35387 34087 58 295 57 305 68 328 78 323 34087 32746 56 294 62 302 70 319 78 322 32746 31358 57 298 66 297 61 307 71 319 31358 29907 58 301 66 293 56 302 70 315 29907 28380 61 305 65 293 58 304 69 311 28380 26775 63 308 66 294 63 302 66 310 26775 25092 63 312 65 298 67 298 64 310 25092 23333 61 313 61 302 66 295 60 309 23333 21501 56 311 53 303 63 296 56 307 21501 19587 53 312 51 302 55 298 53 304 19587 17587 48 312 46 302 50 299 52 301 17587 15542 43 313 39 298 45 296 48 298 15542 13570 37 311 34 292 41 290 46 295 13570 11777 29 306 29 284 37 287 44 293 11777 10187 24 301 24 280 31 285 38 289 10187 8782 21 298 20 280 25 278 32 282 8782 7539 19 298 16 281 21 271 28 276 7539 6442 16 299 14 282 17 266 26 271 6442 5474 12 293 11 275 15 259 24 266 5474 4624 10 266 10 254 15 243 20 254 4624 3879 11 237 9 230 16 226 18 233 3879 3218 9 221 6*199 13 212 17 215 3218 2638 7 205 5*161 10*200 17 207 2638 2156 7 193 5 155 9*195 15 200 2156 1786 6 184 4 152 9 193 13 192 1786 1533 4 171 4 152 8 193 10 176 1533 1378 2*138 3 152 7 193 8*160 1378 1291 1*109 3 155 5 192 5*136 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography