DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 70.6 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 212 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5192 - - 6253 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4881 - - 5472 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6629 - - 7690 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3663 - - 4517 - - 8755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 430 - - 406 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 040 - - 025 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 212 - - 145 - - -4529 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6417 - - 7545 - - 5824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -682 - - -1024 - - -5841 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7311 - - 8714 - - 7135 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 69 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 190 - - 160 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.6 - - 70.6 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.1 - - 42.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.8 - - 40.8 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 212 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5192 - - 6253 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98547 27 093 13 063 14 067 98547 91082 20 083 16 089 13 058 91082 85355 18 092 13 100 15 046 85355 80599 16 077 18 091 13 076 80599 76483 12 083 16 067 18 073 76483 72838 9 073 18 064 15 071 72838 69540 9 061 16 044 17 058 69540 66522 11 065 12 046 11 022 66522 63726 11 035 14 065 3 087 63726 61002 14 348 19 016 15 012 61002 58165 12 314 17 332 16 347 58165 55227 10 310 13 308 14 337 55227 52415 25 317 23 326 23 338 52415 49886 39 306 35 311 28 329 49886 47627 41 290 33 294 29 324 47627 45578 32 282 25 303 25 321 45578 43700 27 300 29 302 23 330 43700 41965 29 310 21 301 23 336 41965 40350 30 310 16 310 20 343 40350 38842 30 308 16 333 24 012 38842 37434 31 302 20 343 38 024 37434 36085 33 294 23 343 46 031 36085 34725 32 288 23 356 51 039 34725 33326 30 286 28 024 62 047 33326 31892 26 287 38 038 80 053 31892 30399 21 297 45 041 87 054 30399 28830 21 304 43 039 85 054 28830 27182 20 303 36 035 75 053 27182 25459 20 308 32 028 63 047 25459 23663 19 314 27 014 60 039 23663 21800 18 317 24 010 53 040 21800 19868 17 324 22 019 37 035 19868 17864 15 341 19 016 29 029 17864 15824 13 007 18 013 24 027 15824 13859 14 005 17 357 21 025 13859 12075 16 347 19 336 21 002 12075 10492 19 342 19 340 22 356 10492 9084 17 355 17 349 18 359 9084 7829 14 010 15*003 16 004 7829 6710 12*020 14*010 15 010 6710 5715 11*032 14 021 13 019 5715 4836 11 036 14 024 12 026 4836 4058 11 039 13 027 11 031 4058 3359 10 041 13 028 10 036 3359 2741 10 043 13 030 10 041 2741 2225 10 044 12 031 9 044 2225 1828 9 045 12 031 9 047 1828 1554 9 045 12 031 8 049 1554 1388 8 044 11 031 6*051 1388 1293 7 044 9 030 3*050 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography