DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 68.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3256 - - 160 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3261 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4693 - - 1597 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3266 - - 1787 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 328 - - 52 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 175 - - 103 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - -9 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -937 - - -1167 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5630 - - 2765 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1841 - - -3428 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6534 - - 5025 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 92 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 120 - - 620 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 68.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 60.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.8 - - 68.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.9 - - 59.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3256 - - 160 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 61 - - 67 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96010 33 242 36 261 96010 88950 23 244 29 234 88950 83508 20 258 17 244 83508 79001 14 291 17 253 79001 75143 25 303 12 265 75143 71750 31 282 22 289 71750 68688 25 270 27 288 68688 65865 31 296 36 297 65865 63244 43 288 46 287 63244 60701 45 285 47 283 60701 58018 50 289 48 287 58018 55193 57 286 53 283 55193 52464 57 283 59 274 52464 49993 57 275 58 274 49993 47764 57 274 57 278 47764 45730 60 275 58 277 45730 43860 61 274 56 279 43860 42140 56 272 55 278 42140 40555 48 268 54 270 40555 39094 40 266 38 247 39094 37738 28 263 26 235 37738 36436 25 275 19 229 36436 35110 24 266 18 225 35110 33731 28 258 16 232 33731 32300 29 256 16 245 32300 30804 28 253 16 255 30804 29229 29 255 19 261 29229 27578 28 265 23 260 27578 25848 25 265 26 258 25848 24041 22 259 27 260 24041 22159 24 255 28 262 22159 20195 26 258 30 264 20195 18150 26 255 30 266 18150 16069 27 254 29 266 16069 14067 27 245 30 263 14067 12249 27 246 29 256 12249 10633 27 248 29 247 10633 9197 26 250 27 242 9197 7918 22 255 22 238 7918 6780 18 255 18 234 6780 5769 14 244 15 232 5769 4876 12*232 13 231 4876 4086 10*218 10 230 4086 3378 8 196 7 224 3378 2753 8 166 4 192 2753 2232 8 160 5 127 2232 1831 8 155 8*105 1831 1557 7 153 8*103 1557 1389 7 153 8 103 1389 1294 6 152 6 102 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography