DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.6 - - 39.3 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2621 - - 2295 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2780 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4058 - - 3732 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 837 - - 1165 - - 1499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 300 - - 105 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 085 - - 129 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -619 - - -1106 - - -1422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4677 - - 4838 - - 2714 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10756 - - -11377 - - -13014 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14814 - - 15109 - - 14306 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.6 - - 39.3 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 23.0 - - 22.9 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.7 - - 39.2 - - 33.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.8 - - 21.8 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2621 - - 2295 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95975 22 342 12 016 14 330 95975 88960 14 343 14 354 15 010 88960 83440 9 003 14 006 20 356 83440 78823 4 276 13 278 17 340 78823 74829 5 283 16 293 11 289 74829 71286 20 257 22 292 15 295 71286 68065 30 244 32 261 33 272 68065 65111 33 247 37 244 38 259 65111 62369 36 253 38 245 43 259 62369 59705 43 263 45 256 48 258 59705 56921 59 260 56 258 58 258 56921 54032 68 258 60 261 65 251 54032 51289 79 258 70 266 78 258 51289 48844 87 257 95 261 91 260 48844 46666 94 255 104 256 98 258 46666 44689 98 258 105 257 103 256 44689 42881 112 263 110 263 110 258 42881 41218 117 263 116 263 121 260 41218 39680 108 264 117 260 127 261 39680 38245 114 267 119 259 126 259 38245 36899 117 265 117 259 123 258 36899 35601 94 261 110 260 117 257 35601 34281 82 261 97 260 110 258 34281 32912 81 262 80 255 101 260 32912 31495 79 260 74 253 93 259 31495 30015 78 256 73 255 86 257 30015 28459 78 254 75 255 81 255 28459 26831 76 257 72 253 78 256 26831 25129 71 258 69 252 73 259 25129 23354 69 257 66 255 67 259 23354 21510 65 257 61 257 59 257 21510 19589 56 254 58 256 55 255 19589 17585 50 254 55 252 52 253 17585 15538 48 256 51 251 50 250 15538 13566 44 258 45 252 48 250 13566 11773 36 259 38 251 43 253 11773 10183 31 256 34 246 36 253 10183 8772 26 249 32 242 33 247 8772 7523 20 241 28 241 32 244 7523 6422 11 225 20 231 26 232 6422 5460 4 183 9 199 16 213 5460 4620 5*107 7 147 11 181 4620 3883 5*094 7*134 13 153 3883 3226 4 090 8*131 15 141 3226 2646 4 088 8 129 15 138 2646 2162 4 082 8 128 15 137 2162 1790 3 077 7 128 13 135 1790 1535 3 075 7 128 11 134 1535 1379 3 073 6 128 7*132 1379 1291 2 071 5 129 4*131 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography