DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.9 - - 83.6 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 67 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2270 - - 5018 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1997 - - 4270 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3707 - - 6455 - - 2947 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3796 - - 3441 - - 4557 - - 2683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 331 - - 151 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 225 - - 279 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -714 - - 726 - - -300 - - -468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4422 - - 5729 - - 3247 - - 1764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2715 - - -1107 - - -1991 - - -2148 ODpotential blCL - - - 6422 - - 7562 - - 4938 - - 3443 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 77 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1610 - - 1690 - - 2740 - - 3000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.9 - - 83.6 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.5 - - 68.1 - - 73.3 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 88.3 - - 83.5 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 66.7 - - 71.9 - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 67 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2270 - - 5018 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 9 - - 51 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99189 44 088 39 095 35 085 28 067 99189 91684 32 079 35 085 36 094 23 073 91684 85889 25 085 27 080 31 083 23 089 85889 81094 25 092 22 085 22 060 25 087 81094 77002 25 087 23 093 15 055 25 080 77002 73402 23 080 23 100 12 075 20 067 73402 70137 21 083 21 094 12 109 16 052 70137 67129 18 087 17 081 15 110 11 074 67129 64345 13 081 14 088 16 105 11 105 64345 61663 7 073 10 079 15 105 12 116 61663 58890 8 143 2 157 7 089 9 097 58890 56041 17 148 9 182 4 212 2 155 56041 53343 13 155 14 199 10 243 6 221 53343 50931 11 185 16 198 16 222 12 206 50931 48775 11 199 14 202 16 211 15 201 48775 46811 16 238 11 232 15 212 16 218 46811 45001 24 232 16 234 19 224 21 225 45001 43322 24 234 22 229 23 229 28 233 43322 41751 25 246 28 239 26 235 33 229 41751 40271 27 232 29 237 29 238 34 228 40271 38871 25 226 30 234 30 232 34 229 38871 37512 23 234 33 232 32 221 34 231 37512 36128 22 239 33 230 34 220 35 237 36128 34687 20 245 31 232 35 227 36 242 34687 33194 20 249 29 235 34 235 36 248 33194 31633 19 247 25 228 29 237 31 249 31633 29995 19 242 20 225 27 238 28 246 29995 28279 20 243 18 227 23 246 28 247 28279 26484 24 246 19 230 20 247 27 244 26484 24614 28 238 22 235 18 247 23 237 24614 22676 30 228 27 238 18 247 20 238 22676 20661 28 236 26 242 22 244 21 246 20661 18565 27 246 24 255 22 245 22 258 18565 16434 23 247 21 262 20 243 23 255 16434 14383 19 240 18 260 19 244 20 242 14383 12521 17 229 16 250 19 256 18 242 12521 10865 17 228 17 246 19 260 18 252 10865 9394 19 231 16 244 18 256 17 254 9394 8086 20 232 14 242 16 245 15 246 8086 6921 20 232 12*234 13 240 12 245 6921 5887 19 234 11*226 9 249 9 251 5887 4973 18 235 11 225 7 267 7 263 4973 4163 15*239 10 225 7 271 6 278 4163 3437 12*242 10 225 7*273 6 280 3437 2796 8 241 10 224 6*275 6 276 2796 2260 8 240 9 224 6 278 5 273 2260 1848 7 240 9 224 5 280 3 283 1848 1565 7 241 9 225 5 283 2 323 1565 1393 6 240 8 225 4 282 1*342 1393 1294 5 241 7 226 4 283 1*354 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography