DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 72.8 - - 75.6 - - 73.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 369 - - 272 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 681 - - 4622 - - 4795 - - 2172 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3884 - - 3895 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1341 - - 5282 - - 5455 - - 2832 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2747 - - 1103 - - 1771 - - 4809 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 166 - - 487 - - 447 - - 83 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 178 - - 181 - - 189 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - -6 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3536 - - -941 - - -2549 - - -2637 - - -3091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4877 - - 6223 - - 8004 - - 5469 - - 3833 sfcLCL ODpotential -7201 - - -3281 - - -6517 - - -4043 - - -5749 ODpotential blCL 8542 - - 8563 - - 11972 - - 6875 - - 6491 blCL maxRH 78 - - 82 - - 84 - - 95 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 72.8 - - 75.6 - - 73.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.4 - - 48.1 - - 43.1 - - 52.5 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.3 - - 70.8 - - 74.1 - - 74.0 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.2 - - 47.3 - - 42.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 369 - - 272 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 681 - - 4622 - - 4795 - - 2172 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 27 - - 38 - - 81 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97374 43 233 55 233 53 236 46 246 44 251 97374 89976 48 251 49 249 47 239 46 257 41 257 89976 84308 42 256 39 250 42 244 45 253 37 260 84308 79619 28 249 28 244 34 245 38 255 34 263 79619 75599 19 268 20 258 25 259 29 260 28 253 75599 72077 12 244 18 257 21 271 26 267 22 259 72077 68913 10 291 12 261 17 250 18 256 15 258 68913 65994 24 295 20 286 18 267 18 268 17 289 65994 63265 33 272 31 272 26 266 30 271 30 280 63265 60617 37 268 39 268 32 265 35 273 31 282 60617 57851 39 270 44 271 34 277 36 278 35 284 57851 54978 52 287 45 282 40 285 41 283 42 282 54978 52238 66 279 57 288 50 287 50 285 47 285 52238 49771 65 271 68 282 59 286 56 288 54 288 49771 47553 58 276 66 282 64 283 62 288 60 287 47553 45535 58 284 64 285 61 280 65 284 65 284 45535 43693 58 286 63 291 58 286 58 283 62 282 43693 42013 59 291 64 296 60 293 52 290 54 282 42013 40468 60 294 64 299 63 296 52 294 48 288 40468 39026 61 298 62 303 63 296 54 294 46 294 39026 37666 56 297 61 307 58 299 53 293 46 295 37666 36350 45 297 60 311 54 304 52 294 47 294 36350 35007 40 300 58 314 51 307 49 295 47 292 35007 33609 36 297 52 319 49 309 46 295 45 291 33609 32157 32 291 44 315 48 307 45 296 41 294 32157 30638 29 290 38 309 41 309 42 300 37 300 30638 29042 30 295 33 317 34 305 38 301 35 302 29042 27371 32 296 29 323 33 300 33 300 33 302 27371 25621 29 297 28 317 34 299 30 303 31 303 25621 23794 26 304 26 315 31 299 29 312 28 307 23794 21890 25 300 22 306 25 299 26 309 23 315 21890 19902 18 306 23 311 23 303 25 302 22 311 19902 17830 13 309 10 302 18 294 19 307 16 311 17830 15712 7 287 9 269 15 279 10 289 9 310 15712 13667 7 213 9 225 18 256 12 270 7 283 13667 11813 11 203 9 233 13 244 21 266 13 274 11813 10169 11 212 8 270 10 235 14 244 13 250 10169 8708 7 237 5 276 11 226 13 203 14 216 8708 7412 4 300 2 243 14 188 16 182 19 204 7412 6262 2 214 5*154 14*179 17 172 21 189 6262 5244 12 182 12*170 13*177 17 172 19 178 5244 4345 18 171 13 173 13 177 17 174 18 174 4345 3551 18 171 13 175 13 179 16 177 18 171 3551 2840 16 168 13 178 13 181 16*181 18 167 2840 2210 13 162 13 180 13 183 15*185 17 165 2210 1685 12*164 13 182 12 185 14 188 17 162 1685 1282 10*164 13 183 12 186 13 190 15 160 1282 1005 9 165 13 184 12 187 12 192 12 159 1005 838 8 166 12 184 11 187 11 192 8 154 838 742 7 165 11 185 10 188 9 193 4*145 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography