DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 85.8 - - 82.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 248 - - 6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3839 - - 3378 - - 2006 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3223 - - 2794 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4499 - - 4038 - - 2666 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1140 - - 1644 - - 2206 - - 238 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 390 - - 117 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 182 - - 184 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 661 - - -585 - - -839 - - -800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3839 - - 4623 - - 3505 - - 1543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2703 - - -3851 - - -4699 - - -6318 ODpotential blCL - - - 7202 - - 7889 - - 7365 - - 7061 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 71 - - 71 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 3850 - - 3410 - - 3620 - - 2970 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 85.8 - - 82.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.3 - - 67.5 - - 69.3 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 84.3 - - 82.9 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 66.9 - - 68.9 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 248 - - 6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3839 - - 3378 - - 2006 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97547 32 234 29 250 26 259 25 249 97547 90131 22 251 27 247 26 263 24 276 90131 84424 22 260 20 245 23 268 25 260 84424 79709 20 259 15 253 22 272 20 255 79709 75659 15 266 15 268 16 269 14 295 75659 72083 7 303 6 275 10 272 13 297 72083 68869 14 292 12 315 9 322 2 262 68869 65936 14 251 16 284 10 314 7 339 65936 63214 19 290 26 285 24 298 25 321 63214 60588 29 264 27 261 32 276 36 281 60588 57877 21 266 24 260 32 263 30 267 57877 55048 29 294 37 284 38 279 31 286 55048 52307 54 284 51 286 53 288 49 290 52307 49831 59 286 61 292 65 289 66 286 49831 47626 69 289 77 288 76 286 76 284 47626 45644 84 284 87 285 83 286 84 288 45644 43845 94 283 92 286 89 289 95 291 43845 42191 97 285 95 289 97 291 101 293 42191 40655 96 286 98 291 101 293 104 294 40655 39212 93 286 98 291 101 293 104 294 39212 37847 87 286 93 291 97 294 103 294 37847 36524 82 285 86 289 93 293 101 295 36524 35175 78 283 80 287 92 294 97 295 35175 33772 74 283 76 285 89 296 91 296 33772 32319 70 283 73 284 76 295 82 298 32319 30801 65 280 69 284 66 291 70 297 30801 29204 57 276 63 282 61 288 61 291 29204 27529 45 276 53 279 56 288 56 288 27529 25777 44 278 44 277 52 286 51 286 25777 23951 40 278 41 277 47 283 44 283 23951 22054 39 276 42 275 43 281 39 283 22054 20077 39 276 41 274 40 283 35 285 20077 18015 37 285 39 281 38 286 32 286 18015 15910 31 292 35 285 34 281 28 283 15910 13878 17 283 24 275 27 266 23 272 13878 12023 15 275 16 260 23 248 22 262 12023 10366 14 259 13 254 20 236 22 257 10366 8888 16 255 16 243 21 230 22 250 8888 7569 19 250 19 241 20 231 21 246 7569 6394 18 244 18 237 20 224 22 238 6394 5351 14*213 17 220 22 205 23 214 5351 4433 14*198 17*202 23 193 26 193 4433 3621 14 194 18*190 23 189 29 183 3621 2893 15 190 19 182 22*187 30 180 2893 2248 15 186 19 181 21*185 29 181 2248 1711 15 185 19 180 20 184 28 184 1711 1297 15 184 19 180 19 183 25 186 1297 1013 14 183 18 180 17 183 20 184 1013 841 14 183 17 180 15 182 16*183 841 743 12 183 15 180 12 183 7*178 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography