DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.1 - - 71.7 - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 88 - - 8 - - 35 - - -16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1590 - - 1098 - - 904 - - 351 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2250 - - 1758 - - 1564 - - 1011 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 735 - - 1804 - - 1056 - - 2204 - - 2165 Hgt.Variab. W* 213 - - 104 - - 139 - - 46 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 26 - - 24 - - 20 - - 21 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 190 - - 179 - - 177 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -8 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 437 - - 675 - - 542 - - -54 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1813 - - 1083 - - 1022 - - 1065 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential -5118 - - 170 - - -20 - - -673 - - -1046 ODpotential blCL 7368 - - 1588 - - 1584 - - 1684 - - 1789 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1460 - - 1710 - - 1950 - - 1960 - - 2010 CAPE Temp@2m 73.1 - - 71.7 - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.3 - - 68.9 - - 69.8 - - 69.5 - - 69.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 71.7 - - 72.3 - - 72.8 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.1 - - 68.6 - - 69.4 - - 69.3 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 88 - - 8 - - 35 - - -16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1590 - - 1098 - - 904 - - 351 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 101 - - 90 - - 100 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96680 19 256 31 272 30 269 34 275 31 272 96680 89371 29 228 30 274 28 256 32 272 32 279 89371 83852 19 228 28 259 25 258 29 279 25 279 83852 79289 13 261 18 239 21 256 25 272 22 264 79289 75366 16 269 15 221 16 242 16 241 19 253 75366 71913 8 267 9 204 18 250 16 253 10 271 71913 68786 11 262 9 205 16 240 20 222 9 291 68786 65896 14 258 13 232 15 231 17 232 16 256 65896 63229 30 238 19 252 18 232 24 219 25 232 63229 60680 37 234 29 246 28 240 27 225 28 239 60680 58016 38 231 42 236 39 244 35 238 37 234 58016 55223 54 240 53 234 47 235 47 246 51 240 55223 52537 74 239 64 237 67 238 67 244 68 241 52537 50099 82 239 83 238 87 234 83 238 77 236 50099 47891 83 242 87 238 86 236 83 237 78 236 47891 45873 89 246 84 243 91 241 81 242 77 240 45873 44022 101 246 96 243 100 238 91 242 79 245 44022 42318 106 240 104 239 102 233 102 236 84 246 42318 40738 103 233 107 236 100 230 104 229 93 242 40738 39265 99 230 110 234 102 232 102 226 103 237 39265 37882 98 233 110 230 102 233 100 227 110 235 37882 36545 95 235 109 226 101 232 97 227 110 234 36545 35184 91 236 105 223 94 230 93 226 105 235 35184 33771 88 235 102 223 81 222 88 224 96 236 33771 32309 82 236 100 227 68 212 83 220 88 236 32309 30785 73 237 91 229 57 206 79 218 80 235 30785 29184 60 236 72 226 55 207 74 216 71 232 29184 27507 53 233 60 224 53 213 68 221 66 229 27507 25751 53 229 69 227 64 219 65 225 65 228 25751 23918 44 232 55 228 61 226 64 228 63 229 23918 22012 41 234 42 229 48 231 61 232 60 229 22012 20029 42 236 40 233 39 235 66 234 60 229 20029 17961 37 235 37 237 36 243 64 234 57 228 17961 15852 25 237 32 230 37 249 55 234 51 228 15852 13815 24 231 22 226 35 245 44 235 46 228 13815 11956 27 230 18 231 28 232 31 233 43 231 11956 10299 27 242 19 236 20 222 27 235 40 235 10299 8821 26 240 20 242 17 226 24 226 36 236 8821 7502 30 229 20 239 16 236 25 216 34 233 7502 6328 35 219 22 232 16 237 25 205 34 219 6328 5290 37 214 28 216 16 226 26 192 35 205 5290 4377 37 214 37 202 19 211 33 188 36 194 4377 3574 37 213 37 197 26 199 37 184 36 182 3574 2857 36*211 35 194 30 191 36 181 36 178 2857 2223 33*209 32*193 29 187 33 182 35 178 2223 1694 28 207 29*191 27*184 31 180 31 178 1694 1288 25 205 26 190 24*181 28*179 26 177 1288 1009 23 205 24 189 21 179 25*178 20 176 1009 840 21 204 21 189 19 178 22 177 17*176 840 743 16 204 16 189 15 177 15 177 12*175 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography