DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 61.4 - - 62.6 - - 59.5 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 105 - - 271 - - 116 - - -9 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1054 - - 1650 - - 1607 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1530 - - 1057 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1714 - - 2310 - - 2267 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 382 - - 519 - - 763 - - 1765 - - 1492 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 308 - - 231 - - 7 - - 23 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 029 - - 044 - - 024 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -366 - - -1208 - - -1234 - - -1557 - - -2869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2080 - - 3519 - - 3501 - - 2298 - - 3610 sfcLCL ODpotential -4612 - - -4242 - - -3910 - - -4808 - - -9811 ODpotential blCL 6326 - - 6552 - - 6177 - - 5549 - - 10552 blCL maxRH 99 - - 85 - - 94 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 61.4 - - 62.6 - - 59.5 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.7 - - 48.7 - - 50.0 - - 52.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 59.6 - - 61.7 - - 60.4 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.9 - - 52.2 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 105 - - 271 - - 116 - - -9 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1054 - - 1650 - - 1607 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 41 - - 75 - - 88 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96914 67 262 72 259 70 253 73 258 81 260 96914 89545 53 272 50 258 56 262 58 268 55 270 89545 83959 34 269 40 267 37 262 41 268 35 273 83959 79398 25 269 31 265 23 270 26 273 19 263 79398 75471 19 252 22 260 24 285 27 287 15 295 75471 71980 17 231 24 246 28 266 29 286 22 298 71980 68806 10 251 18 244 20 249 25 273 19 277 68806 65888 11 304 12 246 11 252 16 258 15 256 65888 63185 17 289 17 276 17 284 18 276 17 261 63185 60566 20 268 23 282 21 276 20 276 16 270 60566 57839 22 266 26 270 23 278 23 265 25 282 57839 55016 25 268 31 258 31 270 26 271 33 282 55016 52323 36 272 32 259 37 260 36 268 38 266 52323 49901 45 271 36 268 42 268 40 271 37 262 49901 47722 59 257 56 263 55 264 48 266 38 263 47722 45745 64 255 65 249 64 251 49 262 47 270 45745 43940 70 261 65 252 66 256 72 264 73 270 43940 42270 83 264 73 262 87 261 95 253 96 256 42270 40707 93 263 88 262 100 256 98 245 97 247 40707 39239 98 260 94 258 90 258 94 246 94 247 39239 37855 91 258 91 255 76 252 82 250 89 249 37855 36516 80 259 79 255 76 253 71 253 78 252 36516 35158 61 262 68 262 68 257 64 251 70 258 35158 33749 53 265 52 267 65 261 63 250 63 259 33749 32292 49 262 39 259 55 263 61 257 55 258 32292 30771 44 256 36 251 43 258 45 261 51 256 30771 29167 35 255 38 248 41 254 37 253 49 257 29167 27483 31 251 34 245 41 255 39 257 46 259 27483 25723 31 245 30 251 34 256 39 262 44 259 25723 23888 28 241 34 262 32 264 37 261 42 255 23888 21974 21 237 39 263 34 269 36 259 41 253 21974 19972 16 238 38 260 38 271 36 262 37 263 19972 17880 21 247 33 254 35 267 33 267 35 269 17880 15744 21 259 24 254 25 249 28 264 32 265 15744 13685 16 272 21 265 22 260 23 236 29 273 13685 11809 13 279 18 268 21 276 16 249 23 271 11809 10142 8 272 9 253 17 282 12 317 10 243 10142 8666 5 123 7 217 8 264 5 287 4 319 8666 7361 7 120 5 170 8 185 4 204 5 096 7361 6208 6 131 4 161 5 153 5 130 8 115 6208 5190 5 143 3 168 2 096 4 107 8 116 5190 4293 7 148 6 159 2 123 5 109 10 096 4293 3504 12 138 8 146 3 100 8 105 12 084 3504 2800 12 123 6*120 5*066 8 078 13 073 2800 2180 10*070 7*033 8*044 10 049 15 066 2180 1665 11*021 8 029 8 043 10 037 16 062 1665 1270 11 019 8 029 8 044 10 034 15 060 1270 1000 10 019 8 029 8 045 9 032 12 055 1000 835 10 018 8 028 8 045 7 028 10 053 835 741 8 018 7 028 7 046 4*024 7*052 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography