DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 72.6 - - 76.2 - - 69.9 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 215 - - 152 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 391 - - 2950 - - 4743 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2400 - - 3534 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1051 - - 3610 - - 5403 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 896 - - 1413 - - 1286 - - 3464 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 350 - - 364 - - 7 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 302 - - 337 - - 354 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 7 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -884 - - -576 - - 70 - - -2825 - - -1774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1935 - - 4187 - - 5333 - - 3567 - - 2516 sfcLCL ODpotential -2651 - - -3804 - - -489 - - -5970 - - -5471 ODpotential blCL 3702 - - 7414 - - 5892 - - 6712 - - 6213 blCL maxRH 81 - - 81 - - 91 - - 64 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 72.6 - - 76.2 - - 69.9 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.1 - - 56.9 - - 55.5 - - 57.0 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 71.3 - - 75.2 - - 71.9 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.2 - - 56.9 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 215 - - 152 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 391 - - 2950 - - 4743 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 23 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96935 60 257 64 257 73 261 74 264 77 269 96935 89541 48 264 53 268 47 265 48 273 40 282 89541 83962 33 268 35 273 26 272 26 284 22 274 83962 79353 24 270 22 258 24 292 24 297 19 292 79353 75386 16 296 17 267 25 290 26 296 21 323 75386 71879 23 306 22 306 22 278 27 286 24 314 71879 68705 26 298 26 306 23 286 27 287 22 295 68705 65802 29 283 28 297 27 295 25 291 19 297 65802 63125 31 277 32 294 30 289 28 302 26 313 63125 60540 28 291 35 288 32 285 35 302 34 309 60540 57846 32 300 35 279 37 292 41 296 37 304 57846 55048 38 291 34 282 44 298 51 298 47 306 55048 52364 43 287 39 291 45 284 58 294 62 300 52364 49932 52 282 49 287 51 272 60 287 66 297 49932 47734 60 278 54 280 57 270 63 280 61 292 47734 45728 64 273 58 275 60 272 62 276 62 289 45728 43881 65 273 63 273 64 273 62 277 67 280 43881 42180 64 273 66 270 65 275 62 276 64 278 42180 40608 58 270 61 266 64 276 62 275 62 274 40608 39152 50 272 56 261 58 276 57 275 58 277 39152 37794 46 282 49 262 52 272 50 271 54 274 37794 36480 45 284 44 270 48 270 48 269 50 273 36480 35138 45 281 43 272 45 273 46 271 48 276 35138 33741 44 280 42 276 43 279 43 278 43 279 33741 32294 42 281 41 277 43 281 41 281 40 284 32294 30781 36 284 40 276 42 279 39 282 38 288 30781 29190 31 287 37 275 40 278 37 283 35 292 29190 27520 27 296 32 278 37 280 35 288 33 297 27520 25769 24 314 24 291 31 287 35 296 30 296 25769 23938 23 328 20 304 26 293 33 302 29 296 23938 22027 21 336 20 307 22 295 30 302 21 303 22027 20031 18 336 20 311 22 309 29 305 21 322 20031 17945 14 335 20 323 23 320 16 316 15 318 17945 15811 13 327 18 332 17 332 13 360 12 328 15811 13751 12 345 16 326 15 007 16 008 21 346 13751 11876 10 004 11 339 13 353 18 004 27 001 11876 10214 6 352 9 353 11 341 19 001 29 015 10214 8745 6 352 7 332 11 336 18 006 24 019 8745 7442 5 356 8 299 12 332 18 013 20 017 7442 6285 4 343 8 285 11*329 18 014 13 017 6285 5262 3 281 8 296 10*328 18 009 13 012 5262 4359 5 269 8*310 9 329 17 001 15 006 4359 3561 5 291 7*307 9 332 16 355 17 009 3561 2847 6 311 6 304 9 337 14 353 19 011 2847 2215 8 311 6 302 8 341 14 350 22 011 2215 1688 9 311 6 300 8 345 13 350 22 008 1688 1284 10*310 6 299 8 347 12 350 20 003 1284 1006 9*310 5 298 8 348 10 353 14 351 1006 838 6 309 5 297 7 349 8 356 10*342 838 742 6 309 5 297 7 350 4*354 5*334 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography