DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.3 - - 77.7 - - 82.2 - - 73.7 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 250 - - 126 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1068 - - 1936 - - 2298 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1718 - - 1671 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1728 - - 2596 - - 2958 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 379 - - 596 - - 1081 - - 695 - - 393 Hgt.Variab. W* 177 - - 319 - - 270 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 18 - - 20 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 220 - - 213 - - 180 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -259 - - -1471 - - -2868 - - -2397 - - -776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1987 - - 4067 - - 5826 - - 3140 - - 1520 sfcLCL ODpotential -6248 - - -5511 - - -7270 - - -7968 - - -7174 ODpotential blCL 7976 - - 8107 - - 10228 - - 8711 - - 7917 blCL maxRH 92 - - 76 - - 56 - - 61 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.3 - - 77.7 - - 82.2 - - 73.7 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.9 - - 62.2 - - 59.2 - - 62.3 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 76.2 - - 81.3 - - 75.5 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.8 - - 62.0 - - 58.9 - - 62.2 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 250 - - 126 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1068 - - 1936 - - 2298 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96594 73 255 80 252 80 250 82 267 76 265 96594 89480 63 254 67 260 60 262 63 266 56 273 89480 83977 46 266 45 261 40 272 45 261 42 279 83977 79374 29 284 30 270 27 278 29 264 32 273 79374 75414 20 294 20 275 22 278 15 287 16 277 75414 71926 10 295 12 282 15 286 14 300 11 315 71926 68772 6 249 7 292 9 318 13 288 12 322 68772 65888 8 247 8 292 8 332 11 267 13 304 65888 63245 8 274 14 284 12 280 15 294 17 308 63245 60714 17 306 17 280 20 267 21 293 19 308 60714 58080 22 307 19 293 21 287 24 282 24 301 58080 55324 24 299 20 293 25 295 24 277 29 278 55324 52674 24 295 21 284 28 287 29 279 29 268 52674 50276 26 289 28 283 30 274 32 276 29 276 50276 48110 28 273 28 286 29 266 32 262 32 273 48110 46140 28 259 25 283 25 266 25 259 27 265 46140 44338 28 258 26 278 30 267 22 272 22 268 44338 42675 26 251 31 266 33 258 23 272 21 260 42675 41123 22 253 32 262 34 260 25 269 20 246 41123 39669 20 254 32 257 38 260 31 260 23 238 39669 38296 18 256 28 251 42 259 33 256 28 238 38296 36966 18 282 23 257 40 259 32 256 27 248 36966 35609 24 296 23 267 35 263 30 257 29 251 35609 34196 25 295 24 266 31 268 27 259 32 250 34196 32728 23 293 23 264 27 267 26 262 33 252 32728 31190 21 289 21 272 22 254 27 263 31 255 31190 29569 17 286 14 277 14 250 23 254 27 259 29569 27867 15 271 11 276 12 240 17 238 25 260 27867 26083 14 263 10 268 13 240 19 251 22 264 26083 24219 13 259 8 258 14 262 21 270 20 267 24219 22279 15 255 11 258 28 284 24 279 19 266 22279 20256 24 275 26 276 34 282 24 271 20 267 20256 18143 27 274 30 269 29 274 23 270 21 272 18143 15985 23 278 25 268 26 270 24 280 23 282 15985 13905 20 277 22 267 25 275 27 290 28 291 13905 12016 17 293 20 269 25 284 31 297 29 296 12016 10342 14 299 18 285 24 286 29 299 27 294 10342 8857 9 286 10 269 21 282 26 293 23 297 8857 7536 7 239 12 236 13 256 20 276 20 294 7536 6360 12 239 18 232 17 237 17 255 19 284 6360 5318 19 239 24 232 24 234 20 246 20 276 5318 4399 24 239 30 231 27 231 21 241 21 265 4399 3588 28 241 30 232 26*226 23 220 21 251 3588 2864 33 239 26*230 22*216 25 207 23 233 2864 2226 33*234 20*222 21 214 24 202 28 219 2226 1695 26*225 19 220 21 212 23 198 29 214 1695 1287 24 222 18 220 20 212 21 192 26 208 1287 1008 22 221 17 219 19 211 17 185 17 201 1008 839 19 221 16 219 17 210 14*183 14*199 839 743 15 220 14 219 14 210 7*180 7*196 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography