DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 70.3 - - 77.9 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 243 - - 100 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 528 - - 1393 - - 2040 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1322 - - 1316 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1188 - - 2053 - - 2700 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 554 - - 433 - - 978 - - 177 - - 293 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 283 - - 241 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 24 - - 19 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 217 - - 224 - - 161 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -805 - - -3059 - - -4452 - - -1045 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1993 - - 5112 - - 7152 - - 1787 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential -11019 - - -10545 - - -10516 - - -9350 - - -9110 ODpotential blCL 12207 - - 12598 - - 13216 - - 10092 - - 9852 blCL maxRH 86 - - 60 - - 43 - - 64 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 70.3 - - 77.9 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 50.6 - - 49.4 - - 58.8 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 69.1 - - 77.4 - - 68.7 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.6 - - 50.6 - - 49.3 - - 58.8 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 243 - - 100 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 528 - - 1393 - - 2040 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96516 23 260 26 253 33 268 41 278 37 276 96516 89286 19 260 19 244 26 253 28 263 25 272 89286 83776 16 234 19 241 22 244 25 251 22 266 83776 79230 17 263 17 257 16 252 22 250 18 233 79230 75279 21 259 18 267 12 274 14 247 19 208 75279 71757 22 227 24 257 16 287 16 275 17 246 71757 68589 15 228 27 249 23 269 20 269 20 261 68589 65700 21 272 29 250 31 269 28 275 27 282 65700 63049 30 252 32 249 39 271 36 276 31 282 63049 60510 31 228 35 247 39 261 36 268 29 269 60510 57865 27 291 36 274 37 267 35 267 33 276 57865 55114 36 287 39 284 40 265 39 262 40 273 55114 52476 33 274 35 281 41 259 42 256 42 261 52476 50079 28 276 37 284 41 264 40 265 42 260 50079 47906 31 276 41 283 44 270 47 272 49 265 47906 45913 33 270 41 270 48 266 54 272 56 266 45913 44078 37 265 46 261 53 267 55 270 55 263 44078 42386 41 266 47 258 51 269 50 274 47 267 42386 40822 44 270 45 256 44 270 43 282 40 278 40822 39364 42 271 39 258 39 276 38 285 39 281 39364 37993 41 274 36 262 36 275 36 278 38 276 37993 36670 38 280 34 265 34 269 37 263 37 273 36670 35323 35 284 32 272 31 272 35 256 36 268 35323 33921 34 285 29 278 29 278 34 259 35 266 33921 32464 34 280 27 285 28 280 32 272 34 265 32464 30940 36 270 25 291 26 280 33 281 33 265 30940 29337 39 262 23 299 24 281 32 281 31 266 29337 27655 38 257 23 304 25 285 29 278 29 264 27655 25891 36 259 25 304 27 285 28 279 27 263 25891 24047 33 262 27 298 27 280 29 282 26 264 24047 22126 30 264 30 291 29 273 30 286 28 267 22126 20120 29 272 31 285 31 272 31 285 30 272 20120 18027 33 281 33 279 33 280 32 280 33 280 18027 15889 37 283 35 274 36 285 33 277 34 281 15889 13825 35 281 36 267 36 281 31 276 30 280 13825 11945 31 279 34 259 35 273 30 275 22 283 11945 10275 30 276 33 253 34 267 29 275 18 295 10275 8790 29 272 32 252 34 263 29 275 18 307 8790 7471 26 272 30 256 32 262 27 274 24 309 7471 6300 21 275 26 265 28 265 23 276 24 299 6300 5265 19 278 26 276 24 264 19 286 15 283 5265 4357 23 267 28 275 23 256 18 283 6 308 4357 3557 35 250 30 261 24 246 16 270 7 331 3557 2841 47 236 33 239 23*233 15 252 11 293 2841 2207 46 227 31*229 21*226 15 236 14 256 2207 1680 39 220 26*219 20 225 15 218 17 226 1680 1278 31*214 25 218 19 223 15 200 18 215 1278 1003 26*212 24 217 18 222 14 183 11 223 1003 836 23 212 22 216 16 221 10 173 8*228 836 742 17 211 18 215 13 221 5*161 3*271 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography