DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.1 - - 70.9 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 41 - - -21 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 724 - - 2030 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1384 - - 2690 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1591 - - 3222 - - 3869 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 200 - - 25 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 24 - - 9 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 183 - - 169 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 510 - - 344 - - -419 - - -687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 874 - - 2346 - - 1163 - - 1430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 99 - - -966 - - -1628 - - -3539 ODpotential blCL - - - 1285 - - 3656 - - 2371 - - 4282 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 96 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 1860 - - 2150 - - 1020 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.1 - - 70.9 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 66.0 - - 67.9 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 73.8 - - 72.0 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 65.1 - - 67.5 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 41 - - -21 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 724 - - 2030 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 74 - - 85 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 33 252 42 273 44 265 43 265 96597 89342 33 249 37 253 36 269 32 278 89342 83802 25 253 31 252 31 281 23 279 83802 79231 14 254 17 234 21 254 17 270 79231 75334 11 256 7 214 9 218 7 228 75334 71935 15 231 8 215 3 186 7 158 71935 68865 22 217 13 221 10 221 7 170 68865 66039 21 196 15 220 15 214 8 207 66039 63424 5 171 13 207 17 208 17 199 63424 60882 7 263 14 218 17 212 20 206 60882 58208 13 245 17 225 20 213 27 221 58208 55403 19 228 18 231 28 209 33 216 55403 52688 28 246 32 246 32 230 31 223 52688 50206 37 256 41 247 36 240 35 240 50206 47957 42 262 40 248 40 245 40 249 47957 45902 44 265 40 252 40 252 44 250 45902 44016 45 261 42 253 44 258 46 247 44016 42274 46 256 46 252 47 256 44 241 42274 40655 47 250 49 253 42 254 41 239 40655 39146 45 245 50 251 40 259 38 249 39146 37739 42 241 48 246 45 264 40 263 37739 36398 39 235 42 243 40 260 46 268 36398 35054 36 231 41 237 33 258 47 266 35054 33667 37 228 41 228 31 259 41 261 33667 32229 31 223 39 225 28 258 37 256 32229 30722 26 220 36 228 28 248 32 249 30722 29135 21 218 32 233 31 247 29 241 29135 27469 20 215 30 238 26 242 26 233 27469 25720 20 220 30 236 25 241 25 230 25720 23891 22 222 26 234 23 238 24 235 23891 21985 20 215 22 229 21 242 23 238 21985 19998 20 223 22 210 18 234 22 235 19998 17929 23 229 21 217 19 223 23 242 17929 15818 18 229 15 200 15 226 24 239 15818 13779 13 225 12 188 14 225 23 235 13779 11919 15 197 12 201 16 206 16 231 11919 10260 19 185 21 204 20 197 7 258 10260 8781 21 192 27 192 24 199 10 200 8781 7467 24 195 28 193 28 198 22 182 7467 6304 26 192 25 194 32 196 31 181 6304 5276 25 190 26 189 34 190 35 177 5276 4371 24 187 28 184 33 186 37 174 4371 3570 24 185 28 182 31 183 39 174 3570 2854 23 183 27*182 29 180 40 173 2854 2221 22 182 26*183 26 178 39 171 2221 1692 21*179 25 183 23 176 37 169 1692 1286 19*178 24 183 20 174 34 168 1286 1007 18 176 23 183 16 171 25 165 1007 839 16 176 20 183 13*171 21*164 839 743 12 175 16 183 9*169 13*163 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography