DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 63.6 - - 58.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 76 - - 21 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 1147 - - 1640 - - 81 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1058 - - 1807 - - 2300 - - 741 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 560 - - 828 - - 1024 - - 1658 - - 1143 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 193 - - 157 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 339 - - 354 - - 025 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -318 - - -129 - - 283 - - -163 - - -96 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1376 - - 1936 - - 2017 - - 904 - - 838 sfcLCL ODpotential -6062 - - -3614 - - -2598 - - -3858 - - -1835 ODpotential blCL 7120 - - 5421 - - 4898 - - 4599 - - 2577 blCL maxRH 86 - - 86 - - 88 - - 85 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 63.6 - - 58.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 56.4 - - 57.3 - - 56.6 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 61.8 - - 63.5 - - 59.4 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 55.1 - - 56.0 - - 56.4 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 76 - - 21 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 1147 - - 1640 - - 81 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 45 - - 51 - - 41 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 37 273 38 269 39 262 45 277 40 273 96405 89294 27 262 28 248 36 274 32 275 28 275 89294 83818 19 245 27 260 27 267 22 262 18 266 83818 79247 9 246 22 237 25 267 18 264 16 275 79247 75294 11 292 15 213 20 237 18 257 14 283 75294 71797 16 261 12 266 12 224 15 247 11 279 71797 68630 17 240 18 256 10 271 14 276 17 290 68630 65728 19 266 24 250 20 273 21 269 25 265 65728 63036 20 253 29 243 27 253 24 250 30 254 63036 60420 25 255 30 248 31 243 30 251 42 259 60420 57686 34 245 40 255 43 245 43 254 48 253 57686 54849 45 244 50 249 52 245 52 251 55 253 54849 52138 52 242 51 241 58 242 62 245 64 252 52138 49690 48 246 51 242 62 239 68 242 71 252 49690 47485 53 252 54 246 62 240 71 241 75 249 47485 45474 54 250 60 250 63 244 72 243 75 248 45474 43628 54 252 66 251 69 248 74 246 77 251 43628 41928 60 252 74 251 78 249 80 251 81 255 41928 40357 66 249 82 249 84 248 86 253 85 257 40357 38894 67 249 83 247 84 249 85 254 90 255 38894 37523 66 250 81 248 84 251 85 254 91 252 37523 36201 67 250 80 248 86 252 85 255 91 253 36201 34857 70 251 78 246 86 250 81 254 93 255 34857 33461 70 251 76 246 83 248 74 254 91 255 33461 32015 68 251 71 246 77 249 70 255 83 255 32015 30503 64 251 67 245 67 250 66 255 76 254 30503 28915 59 251 62 247 63 250 61 257 66 255 28915 27252 54 252 56 250 60 252 58 259 56 257 27252 25512 50 253 51 251 56 255 55 261 45 262 25512 23691 46 252 47 253 51 256 51 264 40 264 23691 21792 44 253 43 255 47 258 46 267 34 262 21792 19808 41 258 41 255 44 261 44 268 28 266 19808 17735 37 258 37 254 43 261 42 269 28 280 17735 15618 31 262 30 258 37 260 36 268 29 287 15618 13578 23 266 24 269 26 266 30 264 28 285 13578 11726 19 269 20 279 21 272 20 271 22 285 11726 10084 13 289 17 293 18 275 18 264 17 296 10084 8628 16 318 17 321 17 299 18 269 16 294 8628 7334 26 332 24 318 23 303 19 276 16 297 7334 6184 28 325 23 314 22 308 16 281 15 311 6184 5166 25 318 18 313 19 321 15 312 13 338 5166 4274 24 310 18 298 19 316 18 345 14 007 4274 3492 23 311 15 305 17 331 20 002 20 016 3492 2794 20 320 13 325 15*342 20 009 21 019 2794 2178 15 323 10*336 12*353 18 013 18 024 2178 1664 13 331 8*339 11 354 16 019 13 033 1664 1270 12*331 8 338 11 355 14 024 12 045 1270 1000 9*324 8 339 10 355 12 026 9 048 1000 836 8 323 7 339 9 355 10 026 8*045 836 742 7 323 6 338 8 356 5*025 4*032 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography