DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 81.0 - - 76.1 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 133 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 4038 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1595 - - 2979 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2600 - - 4698 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2455 - - 1833 - - 4373 - - 154 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 338 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 38 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 052 - - 060 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2177 - - -1620 - - -3595 - - -4184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4777 - - 6319 - - 4338 - - 4927 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8554 - - -7174 - - -8917 - - -12111 ODpotential blCL - - - 11154 - - 11872 - - 9660 - - 12854 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 58 - - 46 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 81.0 - - 76.1 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.4 - - 55.9 - - 59.6 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 80.0 - - 77.8 - - 74.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 54.9 - - 58.7 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 133 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 4038 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 9 219 12 219 12 249 11 263 98166 90772 7 194 10 215 12 236 10 269 90772 85057 7 113 11 183 5 239 4 328 85057 80294 8 100 7 171 2 234 5 043 80294 76188 8 131 7 133 6 203 7 334 76188 72597 1 347 6 045 5 100 2 199 72597 69381 6 356 5 006 7 033 3 022 69381 66453 8 345 1 264 5 018 7 000 66453 63762 4 319 3 314 7 005 6 046 63762 61166 5 332 11 318 17 334 12 349 61166 58469 9 313 14 288 17 301 18 310 58469 55674 20 306 18 277 22 268 25 280 55674 53000 32 301 32 294 31 287 31 291 53000 50592 51 293 52 287 55 283 53 283 50592 48436 55 276 57 273 60 270 63 271 48436 46473 56 268 58 265 60 266 66 268 46473 44660 58 267 58 265 62 266 68 262 44660 42971 61 266 65 267 63 266 68 261 42971 41387 65 265 71 266 66 268 67 263 41387 39892 67 264 74 263 68 268 67 266 39892 38477 62 266 71 265 64 270 66 271 38477 37105 56 270 62 269 61 274 66 274 37105 35709 51 272 55 272 58 278 63 278 35709 34259 51 271 51 271 56 283 62 280 34259 32759 46 277 45 272 47 279 51 285 32759 31200 35 281 36 276 37 277 39 283 31200 29567 30 287 30 279 27 276 32 287 29567 27860 26 294 27 284 24 286 25 297 27860 26070 20 296 27 285 26 298 26 308 26070 24203 14 280 21 298 21 305 18 323 24203 22265 7 284 21 307 20 328 15 004 22265 20246 2 067 10 348 12 346 13 004 20246 18134 4 066 7 002 8 008 8 008 18134 15975 3 092 4 005 8 010 6 032 15975 13890 4 107 2 324 2 003 3 035 13890 11993 1 305 7 298 4 299 1 011 11993 10310 4 268 10 309 9 301 4 342 10310 8819 6 002 9 337 9 318 7 340 8819 7497 11 352 10 360 7 338 9 341 7497 6326 11 351 9 014 6 014 6 006 6326 5293 10 352 5*007 7 029 10 039 5293 4383 7 355 3*013 7 029 11 049 4383 3580 4 021 2 034 5 031 9 064 3580 2861 4*074 2 050 4 034 7 076 2861 2226 4*077 2 064 4 040 6 084 2226 1695 4 080 2 075 4 048 5 081 1695 1289 4 080 2 078 4 054 3 065 1289 1009 4 080 2 080 4 057 3 041 1009 839 4 080 2 083 4*059 2*016 839 743 4 081 2 081 3*060 2*339 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography