DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 80.2 - - 78.5 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 100 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3224 - - 2963 - - 503 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2533 - - 2142 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3884 - - 3623 - - 1163 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1623 - - 2421 - - 4549 - - 1927 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 343 - - 294 - - 66 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 060 - - 086 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -19 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 776 - - 710 - - -1820 - - -185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3109 - - 2913 - - 2984 - - 929 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -898 - - -886 - - -3482 - - -1655 ODpotential blCL - - - 4782 - - 4509 - - 4645 - - 2398 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 81 - - 72 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 3090 - - 2610 - - 1740 - - 2500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 80.2 - - 78.5 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 69.5 - - 67.7 - - 71.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 79.4 - - 79.3 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 68.1 - - 66.5 - - 71.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 100 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3224 - - 2963 - - 503 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 26 - - 0 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98304 12 145 16 137 10 101 2 075 98304 90859 15 154 8 140 3 151 11 071 90859 85116 8 147 9 169 4 075 13 054 85116 80353 10 095 8 135 6 116 9 054 80353 76270 11 099 11 080 7 100 8 091 76270 72691 7 076 5 119 7 061 10 095 72691 69463 5 044 6 125 1 025 9 079 69463 66484 5 261 1 143 3 259 1 037 66484 63711 14 257 9 236 1 182 7 238 63711 61029 15 232 14 261 8 207 13 228 61029 58236 20 230 22 242 17 230 16 249 58236 55335 28 231 26 228 27 246 21 252 55335 52579 34 243 25 244 30 256 22 248 52579 50112 40 252 34 256 31 249 27 250 50112 47914 43 249 44 251 34 247 37 247 47914 45944 40 241 44 249 42 249 42 240 45944 44159 34 241 46 251 53 239 44 228 44159 42518 34 246 52 248 58 230 48 221 42518 40986 37 246 58 243 60 225 53 216 40986 39538 39 247 60 240 61 221 59 208 39538 38164 56 253 62 234 62 218 62 206 38164 36828 76 245 70 228 63 217 61 206 36828 35461 73 241 77 223 64 214 58 208 35461 34036 70 243 71 219 65 208 56 211 34036 32555 64 250 65 223 63 203 54 215 32555 31004 46 255 59 222 61 202 53 219 31004 29373 31 248 50 219 59 199 50 221 29373 27665 26 233 46 238 50 193 45 217 27665 25885 24 228 30 229 43 232 34 215 25885 24036 24 237 26 218 25 248 26 245 24036 22117 20 244 22 232 23 236 16 257 22117 20120 15 261 19 254 16 278 13 291 20120 18038 16 266 14 272 14 307 14 317 18038 15915 14 299 13 267 18 322 20 337 15915 13865 14 307 15 286 20 328 22 352 13865 11992 11 286 15 287 20 312 18 354 11992 10321 11 247 10 297 19 307 15 338 10321 8835 4 190 3 358 10 306 13 332 8835 7516 4 117 7 035 5 102 7 353 7516 6348 5 218 8 037 9 077 5 072 6348 5313 7 219 6 050 9 110 4 132 5313 4402 6*198 6*059 9 134 4 139 4402 3595 5*201 6*060 8 132 4 158 3595 2872 5 205 6 060 7 123 6 182 2872 2233 5 209 7 060 6 112 9 185 2233 1700 5 212 7 059 6 101 9 182 1700 1292 4 216 7 059 5*094 9 175 1292 1011 4 218 7 059 5*088 9 170 1011 840 4 219 7 059 5 086 7*166 840 743 4 219 6 059 4 085 4*162 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography