DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.2 - - 78.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 256 - - -8 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2407 - - 3945 - - 2297 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2108 - - 3222 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3067 - - 4605 - - 2957 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 631 - - 1062 - - 1916 - - 483 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 360 - - 411 - - 87 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 183 - - 185 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -408 - - -660 - - -1575 - - -2377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3475 - - 5265 - - 4532 - - 3121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4306 - - -5048 - - -8032 - - -9931 ODpotential blCL - - - 7373 - - 9653 - - 10989 - - 10674 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 76 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.2 - - 78.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.4 - - 60.6 - - 60.7 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 79.8 - - 78.4 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 60.1 - - 60.4 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 256 - - -8 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2407 - - 3945 - - 2297 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96761 40 245 42 257 52 267 43 274 96761 89471 22 254 29 255 34 257 29 262 89471 83906 13 249 23 255 26 256 16 281 83906 79340 11 278 17 246 17 257 16 254 79340 75420 9 274 5 262 8 266 8 188 75420 71969 4 318 3 298 6 001 5 055 71969 68866 9 321 5 307 7 014 10 034 68866 66032 2 028 7 296 8 331 9 001 66032 63413 14 048 4 293 7 274 10 300 63413 60876 26 031 7 058 1 197 5 286 60876 58219 33 006 18 039 8 045 4 032 58219 55452 30 342 27 359 22 005 14 008 55452 52801 34 330 31 341 28 347 22 350 52801 50400 36 331 33 329 31 328 29 331 50400 48228 36 341 33 323 27 316 28 318 48228 46243 36 351 30 338 19 324 23 309 46243 44424 33 359 27 347 20 339 18 310 44424 42745 33 357 29 350 25 001 21 336 42745 41188 38 344 35 357 42 354 37 355 41188 39736 38 348 41 355 54 349 44 353 39736 38366 39 358 41 353 51 349 50 350 38366 37037 40 003 38 357 46 353 52 352 37037 35682 41 003 36 003 40 358 49 356 35682 34271 44 004 38 005 35 356 40 358 34271 32805 47 008 39 005 32 359 34 359 32805 31269 45 013 40 008 32 006 31 354 31269 29650 39 015 41 011 30 012 30 353 29650 27947 33 009 37 016 22 015 27 356 27947 26160 31 355 30 017 18 009 20 358 26160 24291 31 352 26 006 22 007 17 354 24291 22346 29 357 28 360 26 004 21 002 22346 20319 25 004 27 358 30 355 26 011 20319 18199 20 012 23 358 28 357 30 012 18199 16032 18 005 25 009 28 010 29 013 16032 13946 22 014 28 019 29 012 26 014 13946 12045 18 040 19 036 26 033 20 037 12045 10353 9 031 10 062 17 062 12 081 10353 8852 5 030 4 052 4 107 3 120 8852 7519 8 085 3 125 5 195 3 235 7519 6339 3 149 10 169 11 202 11 242 6339 5299 5 203 15*180 17 199 20 237 5299 4386 8 193 16*181 21 192 23 213 4386 3581 15*186 17 181 22*188 24 199 3581 2861 15*186 17 182 22*186 26 187 2861 2225 15 186 17 183 22 185 27 180 2225 1696 15 187 17 184 21 185 27 178 1696 1288 15 187 16 184 19 185 25 177 1288 1009 14 187 16 185 17 185 19 173 1009 839 13 187 15 185 15 185 15*171 839 743 12 187 13 185 12 185 7*168 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography