DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.3 - - 90.2 - - - - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 252 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3605 - - 4075 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3039 - - 3325 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4265 - - 4735 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2029 - - 3444 - - - - - 1002 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 425 - - 417 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 199 - - - - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -670 - - -69 - - - - - -1439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4936 - - 4804 - - - - - 2182 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3461 - - -1384 - - - - - -4500 ODpotential blCL - - - 7726 - - 6119 - - - - - 5243 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 100 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 3550 - - 4080 - - - - - 3860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.3 - - 90.2 - - - - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 71.1 - - - - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.5 - - 88.8 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 70.5 - - - - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 252 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3605 - - 4075 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 100 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97805 28 219 30 235 25 265 97805 90358 25 230 24 232 23 251 90358 84619 19 252 20 247 19 254 84619 79884 14 257 17 239 10 291 79884 75827 3 108 7 223 10 307 75827 72263 4 121 3 097 6 190 72263 69078 6 064 6 099 14 158 69078 66175 3 185 8 190 13 163 66175 63475 16 207 23 217 13 148 63475 60865 20 237 18 253 18 255 60865 58186 28 245 27 265 29 263 58186 55415 34 272 37 268 36 261 55415 52746 47 268 49 261 48 259 52746 50317 58 270 59 263 57 252 50317 48120 68 271 69 266 64 251 48120 46111 75 271 74 267 68 254 46111 44261 79 270 75 268 73 260 44261 42547 82 269 79 269 82 263 42547 40951 85 270 83 270 88 268 40951 39465 88 271 86 269 89 273 39465 38076 89 272 86 269 91 275 38076 36740 88 272 83 270 93 273 36740 35381 83 272 80 270 90 271 35381 33967 75 271 74 268 86 271 33967 32500 67 269 66 265 81 270 32500 30972 62 266 57 261 75 269 30972 29372 57 261 51 256 70 268 29372 27701 53 257 47 255 66 266 27701 25952 51 257 48 256 63 265 25952 24124 56 259 51 258 60 264 24124 22220 59 257 52 260 56 263 22220 20231 55 253 56 258 52 260 20231 18154 56 249 59 251 47 259 18154 16031 54 248 52 248 42 257 16031 13979 46 238 49 237 39 257 13979 12106 42 232 47 240 34 257 12106 10436 40 244 41 252 23 253 10436 8947 30 253 27 263 13 256 8947 7618 19 267 21 266 9 251 7618 6434 18 279 19 262 8 215 6434 5385 18 275 16*243 11 192 5385 4458 16*256 16*220 15 186 4458 3639 16*238 17 208 20 187 3639 2906 17 229 18 198 25 190 2906 2258 17 225 19 195 27 192 2258 1716 17 223 19 194 24 191 1716 1301 16 222 19 193 19 187 1301 1016 16 221 18 192 12 177 1016 842 15 221 17 192 10 172 842 743 14 220 15 191 4*153 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography