DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 166 - - 362 - - 202 - - -33 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2903 - - 4676 - - 4804 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 2241 - - 3912 - - 3748 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 3563 - - 5336 - - 5464 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1352 - - 1240 - - 1313 - - 5230 - - 839 Hgt.Variab. W* 318 - - 483 - - 403 - - 16 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 39 - - 39 - - 36 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 332 - - 338 - - 340 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 23 - - 18 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -9 - - -7 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3163 - - -3051 - - -3439 - - -6003 - - -5387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6726 - - 8388 - - 8904 - - 6744 - - 6128 sfcLCL ODpotential -8933 - - -12992 - - -11976 - - -14648 - - -17695 ODpotential blCL 12496 - - 18328 - - 17440 - - 15389 - - 18436 blCL maxRH 49 - - 54 - - 80 - - 85 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 24.6 - - 24.6 - - 29.9 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 57.6 - - 60.2 - - 57.7 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 23.9 - - 23.9 - - 29.7 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 166 - - 362 - - 202 - - -33 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2903 - - 4676 - - 4804 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97205 49 270 49 267 49 261 54 265 51 282 97205 90021 37 250 34 256 41 262 45 264 38 271 90021 84469 26 256 34 253 32 255 34 267 31 270 84469 79833 18 273 30 252 30 255 25 267 24 266 79833 75803 19 270 23 247 27 260 22 263 24 260 75803 72236 19 255 12 246 21 252 22 264 26 266 72236 69016 18 260 11 253 12 258 20 251 26 249 69016 66064 12 281 13 260 15 283 11 294 8 229 66064 63338 15 292 8 285 13 290 19 293 7 294 63338 60723 18 294 15 323 15 326 18 293 12 306 60723 58006 21 298 22 290 22 299 18 326 17 319 58006 55168 27 313 26 313 32 306 33 311 34 306 55168 52460 47 319 39 325 44 306 45 302 43 299 52460 50033 58 295 56 310 54 299 48 294 42 301 50033 47849 63 292 60 307 52 307 45 306 50 321 47849 45854 66 304 62 319 59 324 54 326 68 320 45854 44019 64 316 74 327 71 327 70 331 77 317 44019 42316 79 327 85 323 82 325 81 329 81 316 42316 40725 96 315 91 315 90 322 88 325 81 317 40725 39235 103 306 97 311 97 318 92 322 80 320 39235 37838 106 306 103 310 101 316 94 322 78 323 37838 36493 111 309 108 310 100 314 94 326 80 323 36493 35128 114 307 110 309 96 318 95 330 82 322 35128 33707 114 305 108 310 95 323 98 335 83 320 33707 32229 112 307 103 314 94 326 97 338 81 318 32229 30678 110 313 102 317 93 328 91 338 77 328 30678 29050 111 315 103 318 94 328 88 338 77 338 29050 27346 110 311 104 319 94 328 89 337 79 341 27346 25564 112 308 105 320 95 329 89 337 79 344 25564 23702 115 310 106 325 91 332 87 339 75 344 23702 21767 119 315 93 327 76 336 84 339 72 340 21767 19749 107 317 64 326 53 334 68 337 75 340 19749 17639 97 316 40 335 37 343 40 334 65 341 17639 15500 77 322 42 352 37 342 34 337 42 340 15500 13454 58 338 44 353 37 345 32 343 31 340 13454 11599 54 346 45 344 37 350 30 350 28 338 11599 9952 55 345 51 342 40 350 29 351 25 338 9952 8496 55 343 56 346 45 349 31 352 26 347 8496 7214 55 343 56 347 46 348 36 352 28 351 7214 6088 54 345 51*344 40*340 37 343 31 347 6088 5098 53 346 43*335 38*338 36 341 32 346 5098 4227 51*343 42 333 38 338 35 343 31 349 4227 3458 46*335 41 332 38 338 33 344 31 351 3458 2769 43 330 40 332 37 338 32 345 31 352 2769 2160 41 327 40 331 36 338 30 345 30 351 2160 1652 39 326 39 331 35 337 27 344 28 349 1652 1263 37 325 37 331 34 337 24 343 24 345 1263 996 34 325 35 331 32 337 19 342 17 337 996 833 31 324 31 331 29 337 16*341 15*334 833 741 24 324 25 331 23 337 11*340 8*331 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography