DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.5 - - 70.3 - - 73.7 - - 65.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 265 - - 149 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 419 - - 1886 - - 2348 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1696 - - 1792 - - 725 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1079 - - 2546 - - 3008 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 579 - - 759 - - 1096 - - 1516 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 127 - - 321 - - 286 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 203 - - 184 - - 158 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1785 - - -2528 - - -2407 - - -2239 - - -1024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2864 - - 5074 - - 5415 - - 2981 - - 1766 sfcLCL ODpotential -11240 - - -9071 - - -7049 - - -8202 - - -7377 ODpotential blCL 12319 - - 11617 - - 10057 - - 8944 - - 8119 blCL maxRH 74 - - 66 - - 62 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.5 - - 70.3 - - 73.7 - - 65.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 50.9 - - 52.7 - - 55.5 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.1 - - 68.7 - - 72.5 - - 68.6 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 50.7 - - 52.5 - - 55.5 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 265 - - 149 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 419 - - 1886 - - 2348 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96742 71 257 70 257 68 257 71 257 74 265 96742 89546 62 259 58 257 59 256 62 261 64 267 89546 83971 55 261 45 262 50 259 52 267 47 268 83971 79328 39 247 37 253 41 264 35 276 30 273 79328 75340 22 258 26 252 33 256 27 283 21 284 75340 71847 18 285 17 270 20 274 21 274 16 286 71847 68713 14 293 14 271 18 276 12 288 12 295 68713 65842 14 304 12 275 22 300 21 302 13 323 65842 63188 13 304 20 277 26 290 24 305 22 314 63188 60628 19 275 27 273 25 285 31 292 28 299 60628 57962 31 282 25 290 31 292 31 297 34 293 57962 55191 43 289 44 297 41 297 38 296 36 296 55191 52552 51 289 53 289 49 296 44 308 42 313 52552 50190 53 280 53 285 51 293 45 314 42 316 50190 48066 53 275 52 287 48 299 44 320 40 313 48066 46125 53 272 53 292 50 308 44 318 38 308 46125 44335 52 274 54 291 51 309 43 315 37 304 44335 42678 49 278 52 289 48 308 41 313 37 304 42678 41131 43 284 51 292 45 310 38 309 39 303 41131 39676 43 284 52 298 43 313 35 308 39 303 39676 38299 44 280 53 300 42 314 38 314 38 300 38299 36963 46 278 54 301 41 311 42 312 35 298 36963 35599 48 284 51 298 40 306 43 300 34 300 35599 34182 46 291 45 292 41 302 44 296 33 301 34182 32713 42 293 47 291 42 303 42 292 34 298 32713 31173 38 287 51 294 41 302 40 286 35 296 31173 29550 40 286 46 303 41 301 36 285 37 298 29550 27842 39 292 34 305 42 308 32 289 35 296 27842 26050 33 292 27 297 34 318 28 302 29 297 26050 24177 28 286 24 292 23 312 21 310 21 296 24177 22227 26 278 22 290 20 304 16 299 18 288 22227 20199 24 275 21 287 20 304 17 302 18 286 20199 18081 19 275 19 285 18 307 16 308 16 298 18081 15919 13 274 17 285 14 303 14 306 11 314 15919 13835 12 288 12 289 11 304 10 307 9 334 13835 11943 12 298 8 303 6 282 8 265 7 329 11943 10267 12 275 12 296 6 320 2 316 5 299 10267 8785 12 247 15 262 11 296 7 335 3 295 8785 7471 10 207 16 232 15 257 12 277 8 296 7471 6303 6 160 13 205 14 227 11 247 11 255 6303 5272 2 251 8 185 12 198 11 207 15 218 5272 4365 10 286 5 209 11 188 15 196 21 207 4365 3565 18 268 8 230 12*186 17 194 20 193 3565 2849 24 251 12*212 12*183 17 192 18 182 2849 2216 23 236 12*205 12 183 16 187 18 175 2216 1688 20 220 12 204 12 184 15 180 16 170 1688 1284 18*213 12 203 12 184 14 175 14 161 1284 1006 12*205 12 202 11 184 11 171 11 146 1006 837 11 204 11 202 11 184 9*167 8 131 837 742 10 203 10 202 10 184 5*158 5*119 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography