DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 50.3 - - 54.5 - - 52.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 124 - - 403 - - 322 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1138 - - 3140 - - 3767 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2754 - - 3156 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1798 - - 3800 - - 4427 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 812 - - 794 - - 1106 - - 4509 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* 209 - - 435 - - 429 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 005 - - 360 - - 357 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2751 - - -2280 - - -3394 - - -6906 - - -5486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4549 - - 6080 - - 7821 - - 7648 - - 6227 sfcLCL ODpotential -15854 - - -13711 - - -14487 - - -18812 - - -19035 ODpotential blCL 17652 - - 17511 - - 18914 - - 19553 - - 19775 blCL maxRH 60 - - 61 - - 44 - - 42 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 50.3 - - 54.5 - - 52.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 26.7 - - 23.2 - - 21.7 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 48.3 - - 52.8 - - 52.5 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 26.4 - - 22.7 - - 21.4 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 124 - - 403 - - 322 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1138 - - 3140 - - 3767 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96630 16 116 7 095 6 130 7 090 9 059 96630 89452 9 117 6 127 3 141 2 201 5 028 89452 83937 5 080 11 148 9 242 9 314 7 028 83937 79352 2 330 8 136 9 217 12 274 3 325 79352 75384 6 315 1 039 3 315 7 314 0 138 75384 71871 9 269 4 283 10 297 12 328 11 354 71871 68688 9 334 2 037 8 259 10 282 13 318 68688 65761 27 325 17 332 13 328 10 307 13 293 65761 63041 33 294 28 303 27 306 22 309 17 296 63041 60415 28 284 34 285 33 298 34 295 33 297 60415 57697 40 292 40 286 37 295 42 293 43 299 57697 54881 54 291 51 288 50 293 54 295 51 297 54881 52177 68 292 62 288 62 291 62 294 59 293 52177 49731 74 289 69 287 70 289 68 289 67 290 49731 47532 75 288 71 287 73 289 71 289 69 289 47532 45535 76 291 72 289 74 289 74 290 70 288 45535 43710 77 293 75 290 74 288 80 287 66 288 43710 42037 75 292 77 286 79 287 83 287 61 294 42037 40491 73 289 74 283 81 287 84 288 64 300 40491 39048 72 290 70 285 76 287 83 288 68 299 39048 37691 77 295 70 287 72 289 76 289 67 295 37691 36376 78 294 71 288 69 292 73 292 62 294 36376 35034 78 291 69 291 65 295 70 292 64 296 35034 33632 79 290 67 293 63 295 68 292 66 298 33632 32175 80 291 67 294 65 295 67 292 66 298 32175 30647 74 294 69 293 66 294 67 295 65 296 30647 29035 70 295 67 292 62 294 65 300 64 295 29035 27340 69 295 61 294 58 299 61 304 61 297 27340 25562 65 297 58 297 60 305 60 307 57 300 25562 23702 63 300 59 298 61 306 60 306 56 303 23702 21762 65 298 61 300 62 304 60 304 55 307 21762 19735 65 300 61 304 61 308 58 308 52 313 19735 17619 57 306 54 309 55 314 53 315 47 316 17619 15470 46 310 48 312 46 318 42 319 39 316 15470 13411 39 320 41 321 39 328 32 326 30 315 13411 11548 37 327 36 322 36 323 31 322 29 320 11548 9904 39 332 35 330 33 323 32 319 32 326 9904 8452 37 342 36 347 28 344 26 337 31 334 8452 7172 35 349 35 352 30 353 26 357 23 351 7172 6044 34 355 34 000 29 000 25 003 23 006 6044 5053 33 014 28 004 19*358 19 359 19 358 5053 4186 28 021 18*005 16*357 18 358 17 349 4186 3423 24 016 15*004 16 358 17 358 16 353 3423 2742 23 017 14 005 16 359 17 358 16 000 2742 2140 21*022 14 006 16 000 16 358 17 007 2140 1640 17*022 14 006 15 001 16 358 16 010 1640 1255 14 021 13 006 15 001 15 357 16 011 1255 991 13 021 12 006 14 002 13 357 12 006 991 831 12 020 12 006 14 002 12*357 10 002 831 740 10 020 11 006 12 002 9*357 5*353 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography