DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - -36 - - -65 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 723 - - 724 - - 723 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 740 - - 740 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 334 - - 1428 - - 541 - - 698 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 300 - - 321 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -547 - - -524 - - -269 - - -386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1287 - - 1264 - - 1009 - - 1126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11107 - - -9829 - - -12766 - - -11843 ODpotential blCL - - - 11847 - - 10569 - - 13506 - - 12583 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 75 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.8 - - 33.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 38.2 - - 31.9 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 42.6 - - 35.8 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 37.6 - - 31.9 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - -36 - - -65 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 1 - - 27 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 48 236 56 239 53 255 46 254 96392 89105 49 256 56 244 47 264 42 261 89105 83539 39 266 47 252 43 263 34 274 83539 78925 23 262 33 256 35 258 34 280 78925 74944 24 269 28 272 31 274 29 285 74944 71439 36 279 30 278 35 270 26 282 71439 68276 36 278 28 294 33 270 29 272 68276 65366 36 286 37 304 30 299 33 274 65366 62682 41 286 49 291 39 287 38 286 62682 60103 49 278 58 282 48 278 50 281 60103 57423 51 271 59 281 52 279 57 272 57423 54637 54 275 59 285 64 282 63 268 54637 51950 63 281 72 284 76 278 72 272 51950 49508 76 280 82 280 84 273 84 266 49508 47295 86 277 89 279 87 273 87 267 47295 45265 92 276 95 278 92 277 93 270 45265 43394 97 272 100 276 101 277 97 270 43394 41660 105 269 108 271 109 273 102 271 41660 40053 113 268 119 270 116 271 115 273 40053 38559 118 269 131 268 124 269 124 272 38559 37163 121 270 132 267 126 267 129 271 37163 35822 122 271 127 269 123 269 128 268 35822 34465 119 272 127 273 124 273 126 274 34465 33062 115 273 127 275 126 275 128 279 33062 31614 109 273 123 275 126 275 126 276 31614 30099 104 273 117 277 123 276 123 275 30099 28506 98 274 103 276 110 276 108 275 28506 26839 88 274 95 274 93 273 96 273 26839 25099 78 274 88 273 82 274 80 278 25099 23291 72 274 77 274 72 281 70 286 23291 21412 61 274 66 280 64 284 68 289 21412 19448 53 281 58 284 57 285 65 286 19448 17393 51 284 54 283 54 289 63 286 17393 15295 50 283 49 284 47 290 58 287 15295 13276 45 282 41 289 41 298 52 296 13276 11449 40 281 34 287 34 304 47 310 11449 9834 40 280 29 293 29 308 40 311 9834 8403 37 281 30 310 31 319 35 322 8403 7136 30 272 29 311 31 326 32 333 7136 6010 24 258 23 312 31 342 33 336 6010 5014 26 266 23 324 33 350 36 339 5014 4138 28 273 25 326 33 348 35 342 4138 3371 33 262 25 328 33 352 32 347 3371 2693 38 250 23 328 35 354 34 355 2693 2102 36 240 22 323 34 346 37 355 2102 1613 31 231 23 320 31 336 35 348 1613 1240 27 221 23 318 28 330 30 340 1240 984 18 210 20 310 24 326 25 335 984 828 16*207 17 307 20*324 21*333 828 740 9*203 9*300 12*321 14*332 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography