DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 65.7 - - 68.7 - - 65.1 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 8 - - 23 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 275 - - 82 - - 1157 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 935 - - 742 - - 1817 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 973 - - 1419 - - 1009 - - 2251 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 35 - - 133 - - 0 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 209 - - 253 - - 262 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 193 - - 0 - - 831 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 742 - - 742 - - 986 - - 742 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential -237 - - -130 - - 303 - - -1472 - - -3798 ODpotential blCL 1172 - - 872 - - 1514 - - 2214 - - 4540 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1060 - - 1070 - - 1370 - - 1180 - - 910 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 65.7 - - 68.7 - - 65.1 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.6 - - 65.3 - - 66.4 - - 64.2 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.9 - - 65.7 - - 68.6 - - 66.5 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.5 - - 65.4 - - 65.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 8 - - 23 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 275 - - 82 - - 1157 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 94 - - 67 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96407 41 257 35 261 44 254 33 272 34 270 96407 89236 22 246 24 255 34 254 30 274 22 275 89236 83738 16 249 18 243 24 243 26 268 21 278 83738 79191 16 266 12 248 10 250 15 262 15 272 79191 75273 13 266 16 254 13 298 9 282 9 257 75273 71803 5 274 15 247 12 282 12 272 14 267 71803 68668 7 029 10 237 11 262 13 258 11 249 68668 65778 10 323 9 249 15 268 14 277 7 258 65778 63104 19 256 16 254 21 232 24 261 21 271 63104 60545 12 261 21 264 24 257 24 238 22 232 60545 57867 40 271 40 275 38 270 31 244 28 252 57867 55052 50 264 48 265 48 256 46 254 46 249 55052 52335 59 249 54 246 54 249 55 242 55 242 52335 49865 66 244 56 243 55 245 50 239 51 241 49865 47645 67 244 63 246 60 247 49 244 48 250 47645 45635 70 243 70 245 63 248 49 253 44 257 45635 43792 73 245 71 247 61 248 46 256 43 261 43792 42083 72 246 65 248 57 249 48 256 50 265 42083 40486 69 243 58 243 55 247 53 254 59 256 40486 38993 68 241 58 236 60 244 58 249 57 254 38993 37589 70 243 61 233 68 242 57 247 53 253 37589 36235 72 244 65 232 75 239 62 246 52 260 36235 34857 68 244 69 233 79 236 73 241 58 262 34857 33424 61 242 72 234 82 233 81 233 68 255 33424 31943 57 242 72 235 85 232 85 231 75 246 31943 30400 57 241 69 233 84 232 89 228 73 244 30400 28797 58 242 68 232 82 231 86 227 53 254 28797 27139 58 241 65 232 79 231 79 225 42 262 27139 25416 59 241 65 233 75 232 73 225 37 271 25416 23616 63 241 65 235 71 231 68 225 33 278 23616 21739 62 242 63 234 67 230 61 229 33 278 21739 19779 59 239 61 233 62 231 52 234 34 268 19779 17728 57 234 57 233 58 233 45 237 32 259 17728 15630 54 230 55 232 53 231 42 237 31 252 15630 13604 47 228 50 232 50 228 40 235 28 245 13604 11759 42 232 44 235 45 228 35 236 23 246 11759 10119 39 237 41 234 38 235 28 244 21 252 10119 8665 38 236 37 229 36 243 27 248 22 257 8665 7373 41 229 34 226 32 253 29 250 22 265 7373 6227 42 218 33 225 20 261 30 254 20 276 6227 5213 43 207 30 225 17 259 23 266 20 287 5213 4321 44 201 29 223 17 257 19 266 20 292 4321 3532 44 195 28 222 17 251 21 269 20 287 3532 2826 43 188 27 222 17 250 20 272 20 286 2826 2201 39 186 27 221 16*254 18 274 18 293 2201 1679 33 178 23 216 13*254 16 274 16 297 1679 1278 27 174 21 213 12 253 13 271 13 294 1278 1003 23*173 17 210 10 253 10 267 7 273 1003 837 20*172 15*210 9 253 8*265 3*246 837 742 14 172 11*209 8 253 4*262 2*242 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography