DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.6 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 168 - - 376 - - 236 - - -22 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2130 - - 3398 - - 3772 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 1687 - - 2933 - - 3036 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 2790 - - 4058 - - 4432 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 601 - - 701 - - 914 - - 3644 - - 3891 Hgt.Variab. W* 286 - - 438 - - 388 - - 13 - - 2 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 29 - - 24 - - 26 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 355 - - 351 - - 360 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -4 - - -15 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2148 - - -1624 - - -1628 - - -5414 - - -6179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4938 - - 5682 - - 6060 - - 6154 - - 6919 sfcLCL ODpotential -9550 - - -7601 - - -5920 - - -15655 - - -19558 ODpotential blCL 12340 - - 11659 - - 10352 - - 16395 - - 20298 blCL maxRH 65 - - 67 - - 66 - - 50 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.6 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 33.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 54.2 - - 55.5 - - 52.4 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 33.6 - - 32.7 - - 27.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 168 - - 376 - - 236 - - -22 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2130 - - 3398 - - 3772 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96912 49 256 52 268 47 260 50 265 51 265 96912 89672 45 261 44 263 44 267 41 266 44 265 89672 84085 41 254 40 251 43 257 37 262 38 269 84085 79419 29 246 33 249 41 260 35 267 33 265 79419 75378 18 256 25 251 33 261 31 272 25 273 75378 71800 23 282 15 257 21 267 25 275 22 271 71800 68565 29 279 24 284 25 284 24 287 21 282 68565 65602 29 265 25 270 27 275 28 284 23 307 65602 62865 30 281 27 287 33 286 32 283 37 304 62865 60216 39 287 37 286 40 286 39 274 44 266 60216 57434 45 279 42 275 41 285 43 294 49 300 57434 54550 50 276 44 282 57 292 64 292 65 291 54550 51802 57 278 64 284 71 281 72 278 60 285 51802 49320 70 281 72 275 70 271 66 282 74 298 49320 47129 73 279 67 287 73 289 82 292 91 292 47129 45188 81 285 88 286 92 284 96 286 94 278 45188 43425 91 279 95 277 97 273 92 275 84 276 43425 41787 91 279 88 268 92 273 79 276 70 295 41787 40256 76 282 70 276 76 279 68 294 88 323 40256 38824 69 283 64 298 72 306 82 316 107 323 38824 37477 69 277 77 312 86 316 92 315 110 318 37477 36171 74 274 84 307 91 312 89 308 110 316 36171 34836 76 278 84 301 92 308 89 309 105 317 34836 33444 76 286 83 301 88 308 87 309 98 317 33444 32001 71 295 80 301 82 306 82 306 87 313 32001 30491 68 296 77 301 80 303 81 304 81 306 30491 28899 68 296 75 299 79 300 80 302 79 308 28899 27224 70 302 74 295 83 296 79 299 77 313 27224 25464 71 302 78 294 86 296 82 298 76 315 25464 23618 71 293 81 296 87 297 83 300 75 310 23618 21685 70 292 82 299 86 300 84 304 76 307 21685 19656 63 292 76 301 81 304 79 309 82 311 19656 17535 56 289 68 304 70 310 70 314 81 319 17535 15385 52 297 59 307 60 312 62 316 70 320 15385 13331 44 304 47 304 52 310 55 315 64 321 13331 11478 37 301 41 303 46 311 49 317 57 330 11478 9846 36 301 39 312 41 319 45 322 47 337 9846 8407 35 319 39 326 39 327 43 328 40 341 8407 7138 35 340 37 333 37 332 41 334 35 346 7138 6018 32 352 35 339 32 335 38 336 33 348 6018 5033 30 351 33 346 27*344 32 342 31 350 5033 4171 34 356 25*353 27*348 30 354 30 356 4171 3412 35*002 25*354 27 350 31 359 30 003 3412 2734 32*003 25 355 27 351 31 360 30 007 2734 2136 31 002 25 355 27 351 30 000 29 008 2136 1637 30 002 25 356 27 352 28 001 27 007 1637 1254 28 001 24 356 26 352 26 001 24 006 1254 991 26 001 23 356 25 352 21 000 19 005 991 832 24 001 21 356 23 353 18 000 16 004 832 740 19 001 18 356 19 353 13*360 11*004 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography