DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.9 - - 82.0 - - 85.2 - - 85.6 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 194 - - 201 - - 47 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1248 - - 3537 - - 4243 - - 3759 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2833 - - 3344 - - 1773 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1908 - - 4197 - - 4903 - - 4419 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1531 - - 1969 - - 2338 - - 3397 - - 4254 Hgt.Variab. W* 173 - - 372 - - 391 - - 237 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 095 - - 078 - - 101 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 9 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -195 - - 1040 - - 418 - - 0 - - -1552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2103 - - 3157 - - 4485 - - 4419 - - 2295 sfcLCL ODpotential -2613 - - -82 - - -647 - - -1134 - - -3088 ODpotential blCL 4521 - - 4279 - - 5550 - - 5553 - - 3831 blCL maxRH 98 - - 93 - - 92 - - 85 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1300 - - 2080 - - 1850 - - 2180 - - 2580 CAPE Temp@2m 76.9 - - 82.0 - - 85.2 - - 85.6 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.9 - - 70.4 - - 67.9 - - 68.5 - - 71.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.5 - - 80.8 - - 83.8 - - 85.2 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.9 - - 69.3 - - 67.4 - - 68.1 - - 71.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 194 - - 201 - - 47 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1248 - - 3537 - - 4243 - - 3759 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 74 - - 67 - - 40 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98440 6 108 17 114 12 127 14 140 4 060 98440 90980 13 099 12 126 17 156 10 114 10 124 90980 85247 17 097 14 143 18 123 12 126 11 126 85247 80497 13 109 15 124 18 102 16 122 16 118 80497 76406 18 106 17 119 14 098 15 108 19 096 76406 72798 23 097 21 118 11 081 18 083 16 078 72798 69561 18 085 20 105 6 092 20 054 16 076 69561 66621 15 079 16 087 8 114 12 032 17 069 66621 63904 13 088 14 071 8 091 6 353 12 038 63904 61276 6 112 6 019 10 075 3 028 6 349 61276 58550 0 002 6 336 6 010 6 354 6 303 58550 55717 9 306 9 290 9 301 10 310 9 283 55717 52989 13 272 16 265 16 277 17 275 15 262 52989 50516 14 256 10 257 16 231 21 253 19 257 50516 48311 17 262 6 275 14 202 19 238 21 258 48311 46332 14 239 5 261 9 225 20 226 25 245 46332 44540 15 230 4 204 10 240 20 207 21 220 44540 42893 15 233 3 151 13 236 17 205 22 223 42893 41353 14 260 7 268 16 222 16 210 27 212 41353 39899 16 272 7 234 15 211 21 216 26 212 39899 38520 12 272 7 220 14 204 23 217 28 220 38520 37178 8 274 5 211 13 209 23 215 29 223 37178 35807 5 277 6 219 13 223 20 211 26 217 35807 34378 3 271 9 211 14 235 15 206 25 218 34378 32895 4 293 11 211 14 235 14 207 24 230 32895 31342 3 326 11 230 14 224 12 227 21 242 31342 29705 4 067 9 238 9 251 15 264 19 246 29705 27985 10 100 7 206 5 231 15 270 17 248 27985 26182 12 096 8 194 4 207 9 267 12 276 26182 24297 12 101 13 167 4 204 7 250 12 279 24297 22338 13 099 13 157 3 236 4 239 11 302 22338 20302 10 102 11 136 1 152 5 123 7 329 20302 18182 11 112 11 129 2 157 5 067 2 028 18182 16025 11 116 7 115 2 178 7 017 8 060 16025 13951 10 083 6 079 2 139 6 000 9 064 13951 12064 17 049 11 054 6 063 8 022 12 055 12064 10388 15 059 12 046 12 054 11 066 11 086 10388 8898 6 049 13 043 13 068 11 113 10 112 8898 7574 6 020 13 048 13 092 12 125 12 127 7574 6400 7 066 11 057 11 094 13 123 14 130 6400 5358 8 088 10 074 10*087 13 118 15 128 5358 4437 8 093 8*091 10*083 12*113 15 125 4437 3622 11 100 8*093 10 080 12*107 15 122 3622 2894 14 099 8 094 10 078 11 103 15 121 2894 2249 14*090 8 095 10 077 11 100 14 121 2249 1711 13*086 8 095 10 076 11 099 13 119 1711 1298 11 085 8 095 10 075 10 097 11 113 1298 1014 11 085 8 095 10 075 10 096 9 105 1014 842 10 085 7 096 10 075 10 096 7 098 842 743 9 085 7 096 9 075 8 096 4*093 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography