DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 75.3 - - 78.2 - - 70.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 236 - - 149 - - -31 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 2629 - - 2610 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2197 - - 1987 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1852 - - 3289 - - 3270 - - 742 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1083 - - 688 - - 1141 - - 1774 - - 334 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 346 - - 298 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 20 - - 19 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 205 - - 197 - - 176 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 55 - - -282 - - -912 - - -1423 - - -937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1797 - - 3571 - - 4182 - - 2166 - - 1680 sfcLCL ODpotential -230 - - -4299 - - -4599 - - -6924 - - -6914 ODpotential blCL 2082 - - 7588 - - 7869 - - 7666 - - 7657 blCL maxRH 99 - - 88 - - 76 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 75.3 - - 78.2 - - 70.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.6 - - 62.1 - - 62.3 - - 63.4 - - 63.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 74.0 - - 77.2 - - 71.6 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.6 - - 61.8 - - 62.1 - - 63.3 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 236 - - 149 - - -31 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 2629 - - 2610 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 53 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96707 73 254 79 245 75 247 71 257 80 260 96707 89531 64 249 62 253 59 250 60 258 59 257 89531 84009 43 254 47 253 46 257 47 264 40 259 84009 79432 23 283 26 247 31 250 33 273 22 274 79432 75482 17 282 13 263 18 253 23 266 14 281 75482 71979 8 253 11 275 12 291 12 260 8 272 71979 68821 2 327 7 254 11 269 10 250 11 275 68821 65960 8 358 4 277 10 263 7 258 13 273 65960 63340 13 321 9 295 15 303 11 316 13 302 63340 60826 14 282 18 306 24 315 17 325 19 303 60826 58209 13 287 21 309 21 321 16 330 19 298 58209 55472 24 317 23 300 23 321 20 316 23 302 55472 52835 28 318 22 298 25 300 24 293 27 300 52835 50447 27 304 26 302 27 291 26 292 28 290 50447 48295 28 292 28 304 28 295 28 292 27 289 48295 46343 29 286 31 294 28 294 28 290 29 294 46343 44555 29 289 30 287 26 283 30 289 30 294 44555 42897 31 292 29 292 25 282 30 288 29 297 42897 41344 32 293 30 292 28 286 27 292 30 302 41344 39880 32 294 32 286 32 283 23 299 29 303 39880 38493 33 297 33 299 29 290 20 301 24 298 38493 37148 36 302 38 304 32 296 19 299 19 293 37148 35778 37 303 38 298 34 297 26 294 20 286 35778 34356 35 305 34 292 33 295 29 292 25 291 34356 32883 33 309 32 292 30 294 29 292 27 298 32883 31340 33 308 31 295 29 295 26 295 24 299 31340 29713 36 304 30 299 28 295 24 295 20 303 29713 28004 35 304 29 302 25 299 22 293 19 303 28004 26213 35 304 29 301 25 300 23 291 19 303 26213 24340 31 299 27 295 27 292 25 289 21 300 24340 22388 24 302 25 292 27 294 25 295 20 302 22388 20349 19 307 20 292 22 297 22 305 16 304 20349 18218 17 291 16 284 15 293 18 303 13 299 18218 16038 16 281 15 275 15 291 14 303 11 293 16038 13934 15 293 15 271 16 286 13 306 13 302 13934 12025 11 294 16 279 16 292 14 298 16 302 12025 10341 9 294 13 252 16 277 14 283 15 297 10341 8853 7 255 14 239 17 256 16 264 16 285 8853 7533 7 247 12 247 16 253 16 259 18 271 7533 6356 14 268 15 265 16 259 17 261 20 264 6356 5312 20 265 21 261 18 250 19 257 24 257 5312 4393 27 252 23 242 21 230 22 237 27 239 4393 3585 30 237 22*218 21*209 25 219 36 215 3585 2864 31 217 21*208 20*203 27 205 38 207 2864 2227 29*211 21 206 20 198 28 194 37 202 2227 1695 27*208 20 204 20 196 28 188 35 200 1695 1287 23 204 20 204 19 195 25 184 31 199 1287 1008 21 203 19 203 18 194 20 179 21 197 1008 839 19 202 18 202 17 193 17 178 17*196 839 743 15 201 15 202 15 193 11*176 8*193 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography