DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 96.0 - - - - - 87.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 303 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 4809 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3415 - - 3957 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4625 - - 5469 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1608 - - 2417 - - - - - 1732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 482 - - 465 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 189 - - - - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1156 - - -2474 - - - - - -4093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5781 - - 7943 - - - - - 4837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4967 - - -6996 - - - - - -6946 ODpotential blCL - - - 9592 - - 12465 - - - - - 7690 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 66 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 1580 - - 510 - - - - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 96.0 - - - - - 87.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.1 - - 63.7 - - - - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.8 - - 94.3 - - - - - 89.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 63.0 - - - - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 303 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 4809 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 11 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99226 43 102 41 087 32 083 99226 91676 39 092 37 099 40 090 91676 85879 36 092 32 102 46 094 85879 81121 26 093 28 093 43 092 81121 77032 24 103 24 101 34 089 77032 73431 23 100 24 114 24 080 73431 70187 23 103 20 114 20 076 70187 67196 23 096 18 110 15 066 67196 64416 19 084 18 115 7 075 64416 61737 12 063 17 111 5 113 61737 58976 7 037 10 112 10 122 58976 56149 5 017 6 145 7 120 56149 53471 10 195 8 145 6 108 53471 51069 15 183 13 163 7 159 51069 48918 15 149 16 156 13 184 48918 46961 13 129 15 156 23 176 46961 45163 12 144 18 164 22 175 45163 43493 19 158 19 166 21 181 43493 41928 20 162 20 164 20 180 41928 40451 16 166 20 161 20 177 40451 39050 13 171 20 160 20 175 39050 37690 11 174 19 157 20 173 37690 36302 15 168 16 158 19 165 36302 34855 17 158 16 165 18 160 34855 33352 14 156 17 168 15 153 33352 31778 13 165 16 166 14 145 31778 30124 10 165 15 168 12 133 30124 28388 9 160 15 168 10 118 28388 26566 11 164 14 166 9 116 26566 24660 13 165 12 162 9 130 24660 22679 13 168 11 162 10 141 22679 20621 12 177 10 166 9 132 20621 18480 12 181 9 164 9 133 18480 16293 13 181 10 163 11 148 16293 14181 14 170 11 158 13 146 14181 12259 13 165 13 157 11 154 12259 10553 12 172 16 167 11 176 10553 9039 9 185 17 180 12 193 9039 7694 9 174 15 189 14 201 7694 6499 11 186 15*193 16 192 6499 5439 16*206 16*191 18 184 5439 4503 17*200 17 190 20 181 4503 3675 18 198 17 189 22 182 3675 2933 18 197 18 189 24 185 2933 2277 18 196 18 189 26 187 2277 1729 18 196 18 189 26 187 1729 1309 17 195 17 190 24 187 1309 1019 17 195 17 190 17 184 1019 844 16 195 16 190 15*183 844 744 14 195 14 190 7*181 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography