DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.0 - - 91.9 - - 93.3 - - 88.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 130 - - 320 - - 227 - - -9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 807 - - 6970 - - 8361 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 5670 - - 6574 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1467 - - 7630 - - 9021 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4048 - - 3412 - - 3676 - - 10094 - - 231 Hgt.Variab. W* 192 - - 533 - - 507 - - 24 - - 13 W* B/S 5 - - 31 - - 22 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 230 - - 177 - - 200 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4312 - - -713 - - 177 - - -6609 - - -3917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5779 - - 8343 - - 8844 - - 7353 - - 4660 sfcLCL ODpotential -6264 - - -1916 - - -510 - - -7783 - - -6824 ODpotential blCL 7731 - - 9546 - - 9531 - - 8526 - - 7567 blCL maxRH 68 - - 68 - - 80 - - 68 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 290 - - 350 - - 470 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m 84.0 - - 91.9 - - 93.3 - - 88.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.4 - - 57.9 - - 57.0 - - 59.4 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.0 - - 89.9 - - 91.7 - - 89.5 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.1 - - 57.3 - - 56.4 - - 58.9 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 130 - - 320 - - 227 - - -9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 807 - - 6970 - - 8361 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98018 25 068 21 098 15 105 16 085 18 083 98018 90723 13 071 13 083 13 125 10 088 15 057 90723 85096 14 113 7 104 17 100 11 094 16 059 85096 80407 17 107 11 132 16 094 12 095 14 071 80407 76362 12 089 17 128 13 109 9 104 12 083 76362 72786 10 086 15 104 11 116 5 085 11 087 72786 69546 13 081 16 085 8 125 4 106 12 073 69546 66573 9 088 13 081 8 102 5 139 7 068 66573 63827 3 057 8 086 10 092 7 128 3 127 63827 61179 2 337 5 072 7 078 6 083 3 143 61179 58431 5 334 1 173 1 002 4 006 6 342 58431 55594 10 293 6 285 9 300 13 311 20 316 55594 52905 10 297 10 288 13 285 15 266 20 277 52905 50498 24 312 17 318 11 321 15 317 15 297 50498 48339 36 303 35 303 37 308 41 307 34 312 48339 46372 41 304 42 296 41 291 43 296 44 307 46372 44564 41 307 38 297 35 292 43 295 45 304 44564 42886 41 305 34 300 35 300 44 294 45 300 42886 41318 39 308 29 304 32 308 42 292 46 294 41318 39845 37 317 29 311 28 315 36 293 43 289 39845 38454 38 322 38 311 31 308 28 298 35 287 38454 37107 39 319 42 305 36 299 25 300 31 289 37107 35737 37 316 41 310 39 290 28 294 30 293 35737 34309 36 315 34 313 33 286 33 292 30 296 34309 32829 37 316 27 302 22 307 34 291 28 293 32829 31280 29 316 21 298 22 299 28 286 29 292 31280 29650 27 325 21 292 28 296 21 302 30 304 29650 27939 26 311 20 304 27 300 22 298 24 311 27939 26147 20 331 15 316 18 307 21 310 13 301 26147 24275 17 346 8 304 10 307 12 313 9 302 24275 22325 13 338 6 312 7 304 8 298 9 299 22325 20292 8 355 6 015 3 046 5 279 4 340 20292 18175 4 024 3 084 2 157 3 226 5 324 18175 16021 9 139 12 172 7 209 2 275 2 305 16021 13955 9 137 11 145 8 150 2 144 2 216 13955 12081 4 117 11 127 6 138 1 098 5 136 12081 10414 4 069 6 127 3*147 1 056 7 128 10414 8930 2 094 4*154 3*158 2 104 5 119 8930 7605 3 137 3*184 3 166 2 126 4 126 7605 6426 4 121 3 223 3 168 3 134 4 151 6426 5379 4 128 3 231 4 171 3 138 4 175 5379 4454 4 179 3 236 4 175 3 148 5 192 4454 3636 5 229 3 238 5 179 4 171 6 203 3636 2904 7 245 4 239 5 182 5 187 8 205 2904 2256 9 257 3 238 5 184 7 196 10 201 2256 1715 10*264 4 237 6 186 7 198 12 196 1715 1301 9*265 3 235 6 187 7 200 14 193 1301 1015 8 265 3 234 6 187 7 199 13 193 1015 842 7 264 3 235 6 187 7 200 11 194 842 743 6 263 3 235 5 188 6*200 4*198 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography