DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.4 - - 97.0 - - 94.6 - - 86.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 236 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5463 - - 7164 - - 5528 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4551 - - 5661 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6123 - - 7824 - - 6188 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2209 - - 2779 - - 3085 - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 488 - - 141 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 141 - - 161 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -260 - - 487 - - -554 - - -3926 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6383 - - 7337 - - 6742 - - 4669 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1536 - - -673 - - -1611 - - -7124 ODpotential blCL - - - 7659 - - 8497 - - 7799 - - 7867 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 75 - - 84 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 1430 - - 1350 - - 990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.4 - - 97.0 - - 94.6 - - 86.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.5 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.1 - - 95.4 - - 94.7 - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 66.7 - - 67.1 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 236 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5463 - - 7164 - - 5528 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98774 24 093 29 098 28 090 22 098 98774 91381 23 084 28 091 22 085 22 090 91381 85677 20 091 23 093 14 087 20 084 85677 80921 23 090 19 114 16 105 17 077 80921 76827 17 082 12 117 15 098 18 091 76827 73207 12 082 10 092 12 088 17 088 73207 69936 12 100 13 073 13 093 13 111 69936 66946 12 105 9 081 10 084 12 101 66946 64196 12 084 10 065 12 089 10 071 64196 61570 12 054 13 055 15 070 17 053 61570 58867 11 077 7 108 10 074 9 058 58867 56089 27 054 22 070 26 064 20 091 56089 53465 32 048 29 051 33 051 33 058 53465 51120 29 058 28 062 29 059 26 053 51120 49004 28 069 28 077 26 065 21 070 49004 47054 28 062 26 065 23 065 21 072 47054 45244 22 046 21 041 21 059 17 077 45244 43554 18 040 16 041 18 041 16 062 43554 41971 13 044 15 050 13 047 16 038 41971 40479 16 042 20 064 13 071 15 048 40479 39063 21 040 24 064 17 074 14 054 39063 37689 23 041 23 054 18 077 14 061 37689 36284 22 049 22 053 17 073 13 061 36284 34820 15 058 19 056 16 061 14 053 34820 33301 9 032 14 043 16 043 15 039 33301 31714 11 003 16 022 17 049 14 048 31714 30052 13 014 14 025 12 054 13 068 30052 28319 14 033 12 045 9 056 15 056 28319 26506 13 050 13 057 12 064 12 052 26506 24609 11 062 11 062 11 054 14 052 24609 22632 7 115 2 094 7 029 10 048 22632 20572 7 140 4 193 3 309 5 031 20572 18425 4 129 1 240 6 329 5 049 18425 16237 5 115 3 128 2 005 5 056 16237 14133 9 096 10 107 7 118 4 117 14133 12225 9 093 11 098 14 115 14 113 12225 10532 12 119 11 130 13 120 21 112 10532 9025 14 130 12*136 12 135 21 119 9025 7684 13 140 12*137 12 142 18 130 7684 6492 12*146 12 138 12*145 11 136 6492 5434 11*149 12 139 12*147 10 154 5434 4499 11 151 12 141 12 151 12 163 4499 3672 11 152 11 141 12 156 13 170 3672 2930 11 154 11 143 11 163 13 175 2930 2275 11 155 11 143 11 168 14 178 2275 1727 10 157 10 145 11 170 14 175 1727 1308 10 158 10 145 10 171 13 168 1308 1019 10 158 10 145 10 173 11 160 1019 844 9 158 9 145 9 173 9 155 844 743 9 159 9 145 8 174 5*145 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography