DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 59.8 - - 64.8 - - 57.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 87 - - 276 - - 141 - - -53 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 600 - - 1661 - - 1960 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1548 - - 1492 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1260 - - 2321 - - 2620 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 308 - - 649 - - 886 - - 613 - - 291 Hgt.Variab. W* 152 - - 312 - - 265 - - 17 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 23 - - 27 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 206 - - 197 - - 182 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5472 - - -5296 - - -5389 - - -5285 - - -4622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6732 - - 7617 - - 8009 - - 6026 - - 5363 sfcLCL ODpotential -19550 - - -16771 - - -15984 - - -17449 - - -17227 ODpotential blCL 20810 - - 19092 - - 18604 - - 18190 - - 17968 blCL maxRH 37 - - 38 - - 34 - - 37 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 59.8 - - 64.8 - - 57.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 29.8 - - 32.9 - - 34.9 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 58.3 - - 64.0 - - 59.7 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 29.3 - - 32.5 - - 34.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 87 - - 276 - - 141 - - -53 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 600 - - 1661 - - 1960 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96931 63 256 70 255 64 258 66 253 73 262 96931 89665 61 255 65 256 58 256 59 254 61 260 89665 84069 54 252 48 252 49 252 54 258 50 258 84069 79401 41 252 35 252 42 251 42 256 39 255 79401 75369 27 246 28 244 35 258 30 261 27 271 75369 71833 21 292 17 263 21 259 23 258 21 270 71833 68658 25 284 21 284 20 289 17 289 14 270 68658 65752 20 268 26 276 24 303 21 304 16 303 65752 63074 20 291 29 279 30 297 22 307 19 320 63074 60485 26 311 30 287 27 286 23 304 19 319 60485 57775 43 316 36 301 32 289 27 296 31 288 57775 54983 61 304 54 301 38 292 36 286 44 280 54983 52349 56 293 56 290 51 301 46 293 45 286 52349 49979 50 289 52 284 55 285 50 282 46 289 49979 47844 48 294 51 281 58 277 50 280 45 288 47844 45903 49 297 52 279 58 275 48 279 48 282 45903 44129 49 298 50 280 54 272 45 278 49 274 44129 42493 48 300 49 284 49 273 41 277 47 269 42493 40963 44 299 48 287 47 280 39 278 42 268 40963 39520 41 295 48 287 48 285 40 280 38 270 39520 38153 41 291 48 286 47 286 43 281 36 274 38153 36825 43 291 47 288 46 287 43 280 37 278 36825 35470 43 295 45 289 44 289 40 278 37 279 35470 34059 42 300 43 290 42 291 37 278 35 277 34059 32594 41 304 41 292 41 293 36 283 33 278 32594 31063 40 309 39 294 42 296 37 289 35 282 31063 29452 40 312 39 296 44 299 40 290 38 280 29452 27760 38 316 39 300 46 299 41 286 39 276 27760 25982 35 320 38 307 44 299 39 282 36 277 25982 24121 27 318 35 316 40 301 35 283 30 280 24121 22180 22 320 28 319 30 303 29 287 25 285 22180 20154 19 321 20 308 22 297 24 289 20 278 20154 18039 14 304 15 297 18 292 19 288 18 270 18039 15875 12 294 13 271 15 272 14 271 15 260 15875 13786 11 280 15 249 17 246 14 261 13 270 13786 11888 13 271 17 241 17 241 14 272 11 283 11888 10208 18 277 17 257 17 257 16 271 11 277 10208 8718 20 278 21 263 21 263 19 261 15 271 8718 7396 18 265 23 255 24 257 21 255 18 270 7396 6226 16 247 24 246 27 252 23 252 23 266 6226 5195 27 237 29 241 31 246 27 246 28 249 5195 4291 36 234 36 236 36 236 33 233 35 234 4291 3502 40 226 39 227 35 220 39 219 42 219 3502 2800 38 217 34*220 32*208 38 210 43 213 2800 2180 35 211 27*211 30*201 37 201 42 210 2180 1664 31*206 23 206 29 198 36 194 39 207 1664 1268 24*201 22 205 27 195 31 190 34 205 1268 997 19 199 21 204 25 194 23 184 23 200 997 834 17 198 20 204 23 193 20 183 19 198 834 741 14 198 17 203 18 192 12*182 10*196 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography