DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 91.6 - - 89.9 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 238 - - -7 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2780 - - 4509 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2449 - - 3612 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3440 - - 5169 - - 744 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2983 - - 4348 - - 8244 - - 1426 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 418 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 032 - - 048 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1437 - - -880 - - -5217 - - -3229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4877 - - 6049 - - 5961 - - 3974 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2311 - - -1389 - - -6629 - - -5558 ODpotential blCL - - - 5751 - - 6558 - - 7373 - - 6302 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 76 - - 63 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 1560 - - 1710 - - 1250 - - 1260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 91.6 - - 89.9 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.7 - - 67.5 - - 66.3 - - 68.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 90.0 - - 90.3 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 67.1 - - 66.0 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 238 - - -7 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2780 - - 4509 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 3 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98458 15 224 11 194 11 237 3 227 98458 91005 8 185 6 178 7 220 4 017 91005 85288 8 101 8 165 3 052 7 086 85288 80552 11 095 11 115 6 074 12 091 80552 76475 5 081 9 077 8 084 13 090 76475 72879 1 196 7 047 6 052 12 064 72879 69636 4 200 5 046 3 058 7 025 69636 66680 4 197 1 349 3 088 2 355 66680 63964 2 132 2 080 4 099 3 158 63964 61352 4 040 2 353 3 039 1 015 61352 58645 7 322 5 287 5 318 7 303 58645 55861 16 281 16 280 16 291 15 305 55861 53228 28 269 26 272 28 277 24 294 53228 50863 32 284 30 283 32 274 30 269 50863 48736 37 286 37 274 36 269 35 261 48736 46791 33 287 36 270 29 274 35 286 46791 44988 30 300 29 279 34 300 43 300 44988 43303 38 309 34 296 49 304 54 291 43303 41719 48 302 48 293 59 296 58 288 41719 40230 49 298 51 291 51 297 47 291 40230 38827 45 301 46 290 41 290 40 288 38827 37468 41 305 35 291 36 293 36 291 37468 36081 38 307 29 298 30 279 29 288 36081 34635 34 301 25 300 23 274 25 289 34635 33134 32 295 27 290 19 274 23 281 33134 31564 29 295 26 288 22 274 24 273 31564 29909 25 294 24 293 23 279 25 272 29909 28172 14 288 19 290 17 287 22 275 28172 26349 8 291 10 282 12 289 13 270 26349 24448 10 242 12 259 10 270 7 247 24448 22474 3 240 8 253 10 269 6 278 22474 20421 1 343 3 270 7 266 3 298 20421 18286 5 021 2 116 6 272 1 241 18286 16120 6 028 5 095 3 149 3 096 16120 14044 4 081 5 074 3 082 4 071 14044 12157 7 094 7 071 5 071 4 080 12157 10477 8 093 7 072 6 076 6 133 10477 8981 6 059 9 056 9 078 9 130 8981 7648 8 040 9 046 10 072 11 114 7648 6460 9 039 9 040 10 064 13 100 6460 5405 5 049 9*037 10 057 14 091 5405 4474 4 034 8*034 10 053 15 083 4474 3651 6*024 8 034 10 051 16 075 3651 2914 7*023 8 032 10 051 16 064 2914 2263 7 021 8 031 10 050 17 053 2263 1719 7 019 8 030 9 050 19 040 1719 1302 7 018 8 030 9 050 19 035 1302 1017 7 017 8 029 9 049 16 032 1017 843 7 016 7 030 8*049 13*031 843 744 7 017 7 028 6*048 7*030 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography