DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 87.7 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 315 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3792 - - 4709 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2700 - - 3888 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4452 - - 5369 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 826 - - 1611 - - - - - 3768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 465 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 26 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 188 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - -9 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1657 - - 212 - - - - - -1359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2795 - - 5157 - - - - - 2102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 376 - - -972 - - - - - -2544 ODpotential blCL - - - 4076 - - 6341 - - - - - 3287 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 79 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 2940 - - 2260 - - - - - 3360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 87.7 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.4 - - 67.3 - - - - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 86.2 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 67.0 - - - - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 315 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3792 - - 4709 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 17 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98062 4 182 2 226 10 341 98062 90646 3 237 9 224 9 337 90646 84937 6 085 4 120 4 058 84937 80203 6 093 9 071 10 079 80203 76168 5 118 9 044 11 047 76168 72609 2 184 3 300 6 068 72609 69391 9 174 9 206 6 143 69391 66438 12 144 15 170 4 214 66438 63706 6 159 12 176 11 185 63706 61092 10 244 7 202 10 195 61092 58372 29 236 24 240 12 249 58372 55546 36 209 34 218 33 219 55546 52848 31 196 36 218 35 199 52848 50405 52 244 46 231 39 231 50405 48207 68 239 58 232 51 237 48207 46216 71 235 62 230 56 233 46216 44390 69 233 66 230 60 228 44390 42702 69 234 69 230 59 223 42702 41133 67 234 71 229 58 217 41133 39667 60 231 63 226 54 210 39667 38289 52 221 51 219 47 200 38289 36959 48 205 53 217 42 191 36959 35605 50 200 53 214 43 195 35605 34194 50 201 49 214 46 202 34194 32728 48 204 47 215 50 206 32728 31190 44 205 47 218 52 208 31190 29570 43 206 47 223 50 215 29570 27866 45 212 44 225 37 225 27866 26080 40 222 37 222 29 237 26080 24220 31 235 26 225 25 250 24220 22284 16 236 21 241 25 254 22284 20273 13 210 15 237 24 254 20273 18185 15 233 8 225 22 281 18185 16057 19 243 10 229 24 276 16057 13998 18 224 18 250 24 266 13998 12117 12 202 17 224 25 259 12117 10437 14 157 21 188 25 255 10437 8936 26 150 23 208 22 247 8936 7598 29 170 28 216 21 223 7598 6412 30 191 27*207 29 195 6412 5365 31*204 26*197 35 184 5365 4443 27*208 26 189 36 177 4443 3628 24 209 26 187 35 171 3628 2898 23 209 26 187 35 168 2898 2252 21 208 26 186 32 166 2252 1713 20 208 26 186 29 163 1713 1300 19 207 25 186 26 161 1300 1015 18 207 24 187 21 159 1015 842 17 207 23 186 19 158 842 743 14 207 19 187 13*157 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography