DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 79.7 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 54 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2319 - - 2248 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1815 - - 727 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2979 - - 2908 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2515 - - 2303 - - - - - 2332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 225 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 177 - - - - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 760 - - 987 - - - - - -178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2219 - - 1921 - - - - - 921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 288 - - -241 - - - - - -834 ODpotential blCL - - - 2691 - - 3149 - - - - - 1577 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 2320 - - 2070 - - - - - 1980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 79.7 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.3 - - 73.4 - - - - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 79.2 - - - - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 72.2 - - - - - 73.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 54 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2319 - - 2248 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 98 - - - - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98954 46 098 41 102 44 091 98954 91496 42 095 42 095 42 092 91496 85791 38 095 39 097 41 092 85791 81058 33 094 35 097 39 088 81058 76974 31 088 33 096 36 084 76974 73370 24 087 28 094 32 083 73370 70115 20 092 23 086 27 071 70115 67129 22 094 20 094 20 064 67129 64364 28 096 26 104 14 069 64364 61692 34 092 30 100 16 084 61692 58920 32 079 31 087 22 083 58920 56060 26 063 31 071 27 071 56060 53338 24 060 30 065 27 066 53338 50891 23 069 27 066 23 065 50891 48697 23 080 23 068 18 059 48697 46702 26 082 20 075 12 083 46702 44877 26 070 14 080 10 115 44877 43196 10 064 5 074 10 152 43196 41633 10 106 6 188 7 183 41633 40165 5 119 9 188 10 231 40165 38772 3 146 12 216 16 219 38772 37417 3 167 35 242 19 209 37417 36033 5 205 43 240 20 209 36033 34588 10 241 38 243 16 208 34588 33087 16 270 25 248 12 198 33087 31515 20 285 20 238 12 181 31515 29859 16 287 18 212 11 171 29859 28120 7 239 13 211 9 166 28120 26297 5 214 7 215 8 167 26297 24394 4 182 6 203 11 182 24394 22420 12 141 8 178 14 167 22420 20368 13 140 10 157 16 165 20368 18233 12 114 11 127 15 164 18233 16059 13 123 11 127 15 163 16059 13966 9 159 11 135 15 178 13966 12067 11 175 11 141 13 170 12067 10382 12 195 11 157 12 160 10382 8887 11 197 12 165 10 160 8887 7559 10 176 12 173 9 170 7559 6380 8 175 13 181 8 179 6380 5335 7 183 13 183 9 191 5335 4414 7 192 12 182 11 202 4414 3603 7*195 12*181 11 205 3603 2878 8*195 12*180 8 198 2878 2238 8 194 12 178 8 194 2238 1704 8 193 12 176 8 193 1704 1294 9 192 11 175 8 190 1294 1012 8 191 11 174 6 183 1012 841 8 191 10 173 5 179 841 743 7 191 9 173 3*173 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography