DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 77.5 - - 72.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 193 - - -27 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2448 - - 3752 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2073 - - 2945 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3108 - - 4412 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1793 - - 1482 - - 3170 - - 118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 367 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 229 - - 180 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7223 - - -7103 - - -6937 - - -2966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10332 - - 11516 - - 7679 - - 3708 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15266 - - -14649 - - -14234 - - -11126 ODpotential blCL - - - 18374 - - 19061 - - 14976 - - 11868 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 83 - - 29 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 77.5 - - 72.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 29.4 - - 41.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 76.3 - - 73.6 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 28.6 - - 40.8 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 193 - - -27 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2448 - - 3752 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 12 136 4 265 9 018 11 076 96497 89432 4 117 3 193 4 215 4 011 89432 83947 10 272 2 059 6 199 4 207 83947 79348 10 233 7 255 10 295 4 031 79348 75336 7 233 9 231 15 264 7 317 75336 71788 1 025 8 173 10 215 11 230 71788 68609 16 263 12 250 9 256 9 251 68609 65666 28 243 26 235 22 237 13 238 65666 62948 31 233 28 242 27 241 31 248 62948 60383 38 252 37 257 39 248 48 235 60383 57688 46 256 49 250 48 246 50 245 57688 54834 62 253 63 249 61 250 67 255 54834 52106 73 254 74 253 76 255 81 257 52106 49686 80 256 85 257 90 258 92 258 49686 47542 90 257 96 258 100 260 99 260 47542 45599 99 255 105 254 109 260 108 261 45599 43815 104 254 109 252 113 259 115 258 43815 42164 105 252 110 253 111 256 116 254 42164 40624 103 251 109 255 107 252 115 253 40624 39176 103 253 108 255 109 257 114 256 39176 37805 105 256 108 256 118 264 114 259 37805 36474 107 257 108 256 114 261 115 261 36474 35116 106 256 109 256 109 256 115 260 35116 33703 104 255 109 256 109 255 113 257 33703 32237 103 255 109 257 110 257 111 254 32237 30703 100 253 108 257 110 257 111 253 30703 29091 99 250 105 256 109 256 109 256 29091 27404 102 252 105 255 106 255 106 258 27404 25640 102 254 104 255 103 254 100 259 25640 23802 98 255 101 256 97 256 91 261 23802 21892 89 255 90 255 87 259 80 264 21892 19906 79 252 77 250 75 259 69 268 19906 17835 76 246 75 245 66 257 62 269 17835 15721 73 241 73 246 60 257 54 266 15721 13680 65 246 65 248 54 261 47 259 13680 11822 53 255 53 253 46 267 46 261 11822 10171 44 256 42 254 39 272 46 268 10171 8709 40 259 38 254 36 265 41 270 8709 7413 35 274 34 263 36 254 35 263 7413 6265 23 262 27 265 31 244 34 249 6265 5245 13 234 18*246 26 233 32 243 5245 4345 9 217 12*234 23 221 29 241 4345 3549 6*242 12 231 21 215 27 239 3549 2837 6*279 11 230 19 210 25 229 2837 2209 6 281 11 229 17 205 24 219 2209 1684 6 282 11 227 16 198 24 211 1684 1281 6 282 11 226 15 188 23 205 1281 1004 6 283 10 225 13 183 19 202 1004 837 5 282 10 225 11 182 13 199 837 742 5 283 9 225 8*180 6*191 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography