DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 60.6 - - 59.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 20 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1602 - - 1500 - - 1171 - - 708 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2262 - - 2160 - - 1831 - - 1368 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1250 - - 904 - - 813 - - 1336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 135 - - 115 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 082 - - 072 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 685 - - 455 - - 330 - - -42 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1577 - - 1705 - - 1501 - - 1410 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 243 - - -36 - - -6189 - - -763 ODpotential blCL - - - 2019 - - 2196 - - 8020 - - 2131 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 60.6 - - 59.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 60.6 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 55.0 - - 55.2 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 20 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1602 - - 1500 - - 1171 - - 708 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 92 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97709 23 233 27 257 26 270 29 277 97709 90199 24 245 20 247 23 258 20 282 90199 84437 19 255 14 250 19 244 17 271 84437 79695 10 242 13 238 13 261 13 266 79695 75647 0 007 7 212 6 269 12 275 75647 72099 10 340 5 054 3 013 6 292 72099 68898 6 317 12 353 6 005 7 313 68898 65964 1 105 12 280 7 292 13 262 65964 63248 15 322 14 282 17 312 5 278 63248 60614 36 295 33 285 28 284 20 263 60614 57857 51 281 44 277 38 285 32 296 57857 55017 55 264 59 267 63 276 64 281 55017 52339 56 261 61 266 68 267 67 269 52339 49932 61 276 63 275 66 276 64 273 49932 47765 75 282 82 280 80 278 81 278 47765 45803 93 278 93 275 96 273 102 273 45803 44015 101 271 92 272 101 270 108 268 44015 42364 90 269 92 275 94 267 104 263 42364 40823 87 270 102 279 95 272 104 263 40823 39371 91 275 101 278 97 272 105 264 39371 37994 93 276 95 274 96 269 100 263 37994 36652 96 277 92 269 92 267 94 263 36652 35282 98 278 93 269 91 270 92 264 35282 33855 97 277 93 271 94 272 93 268 33855 32373 91 276 91 273 94 273 94 271 32373 30822 84 273 86 273 91 270 92 272 30822 29189 78 269 80 270 89 269 92 271 29189 27475 73 268 77 269 86 271 93 270 27475 25680 73 266 74 269 80 272 90 271 25680 23811 74 261 68 265 68 271 80 271 23811 21882 74 260 67 261 63 271 71 271 21882 19887 73 258 69 264 66 268 69 266 19887 17809 65 258 72 266 63 264 58 259 17809 15686 58 261 63 256 59 266 50 259 15686 13637 46 258 44 257 54 266 45 262 13637 11769 29 284 19 315 40 253 39 267 11769 10109 24 306 16 318 19 248 36 280 10109 8638 19 303 22 293 14 289 19 296 8638 7338 10 279 24 279 20 304 13 300 7338 6185 10 211 19 259 22 313 11 278 6185 5164 14 196 7 221 15 314 7 244 5164 4268 12 144 12 111 6 301 4 131 4268 3481 15 096 14 100 5 101 10 093 3481 2782 16*081 15 090 13 092 18 079 2782 2169 15*079 15*085 16*075 20 068 2169 1659 15 077 15*083 15*073 18*057 1659 1267 14 077 14 082 15 072 16*053 1267 998 14 076 13 082 14 072 14 051 998 835 13 076 12 082 12 072 12 050 835 741 11 076 9 082 10 072 9 049 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography