DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 54.0 - - 59.8 - - 56.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 66 - - 31 - - 10 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 231 - - 367 - - 662 - - 383 - - 758 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 724 - - 725 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 891 - - 1027 - - 1322 - - 1043 - - 1418 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 240 - - 272 - - 644 - - 527 - - 1072 Hgt.Variab. W* 87 - - 118 - - 111 - - 64 - - 68 W* B/S 15 - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 170 - - 217 - - 024 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2327 - - -1149 - - -475 - - -639 - - 338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3219 - - 2176 - - 1798 - - 1682 - - 1080 sfcLCL ODpotential -15077 - - -11534 - - -7860 - - -8684 - - 31 ODpotential blCL 15968 - - 12561 - - 9182 - - 9727 - - 1387 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 50 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 54.0 - - 59.8 - - 56.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 47.2 - - 54.5 - - 52.1 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 53.5 - - 59.5 - - 56.8 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 46.9 - - 54.3 - - 52.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 66 - - 31 - - 10 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 231 - - 367 - - 662 - - 383 - - 758 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 66 256 65 259 64 251 69 247 67 258 96264 89068 43 259 46 255 44 262 49 256 45 268 89068 83553 30 265 29 249 37 258 32 272 32 270 83553 78973 26 281 25 252 27 274 21 286 21 277 78973 75015 21 281 21 268 22 286 22 302 14 295 75015 71523 17 285 20 285 20 293 24 308 16 321 71523 68375 14 277 20 283 18 303 21 311 19 328 68375 65495 17 285 22 285 22 311 19 312 19 327 65495 62834 30 299 27 294 27 312 20 334 16 346 62834 60242 37 295 36 296 34 304 25 321 21 319 60242 57548 41 291 41 297 43 297 43 298 42 290 57548 54775 45 289 43 295 43 294 44 290 43 286 54775 52122 48 290 46 297 48 292 49 293 45 292 52122 49718 51 293 47 294 48 292 52 297 50 295 49718 47550 51 291 44 291 46 291 52 300 51 295 47550 45576 44 289 46 291 44 290 51 297 50 296 45576 43769 39 297 47 286 45 293 48 297 46 297 43769 42100 40 297 40 279 47 294 44 295 42 297 42100 40551 38 293 35 280 46 288 41 285 39 296 40551 39103 38 293 36 282 37 286 39 278 38 294 39103 37740 35 293 41 271 32 288 35 277 36 289 37740 36417 30 289 38 268 35 278 34 277 31 289 36417 35067 24 282 35 269 39 273 37 281 29 293 35067 33663 23 288 34 271 39 273 39 284 28 304 33663 32209 23 292 31 274 37 275 38 283 28 314 32209 30689 23 294 31 274 34 284 37 283 26 314 30689 29090 22 290 30 271 35 296 38 290 26 312 29090 27410 19 282 28 268 37 298 41 298 32 308 27410 25650 15 274 23 270 32 289 45 306 35 304 25650 23816 14 282 20 275 25 272 36 299 24 306 23816 21910 16 293 19 288 21 279 25 278 27 316 21910 19926 18 290 19 293 21 284 21 277 26 305 19926 17848 18 291 20 282 25 282 20 291 24 299 17848 15713 15 285 20 277 27 281 20 299 23 307 15713 13645 12 291 18 275 24 282 21 299 18 300 13645 11762 13 275 16 271 20 275 20 300 19 296 11762 10092 13 254 14 260 16 275 17 307 16 291 10092 8614 11 248 12 261 12 265 12 304 11 279 8614 7305 11 223 15 250 12 255 9 298 10 270 7305 6151 17 234 16 231 16 240 9 300 6 288 6151 5134 20 238 17 217 18 230 9 278 6 332 5134 4239 20 236 18 215 16 235 8 245 11 354 4239 3453 20 235 17 225 15 235 2 254 18 020 3453 2757 16 233 15 225 12 224 2 306 30 028 2757 2150 11 222 12 198 9 207 4 348 31 025 2150 1646 8 199 11 182 7*208 9 012 29*024 1646 1260 4 177 5*174 2*213 10*021 27*023 1260 995 1*315 3*171 2 218 10*023 24 022 995 833 1*321 3 169 1 219 9 024 21 022 833 741 1 324 2 169 1 220 7 024 16 021 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography