DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 86.7 - - - - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 201 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1798 - - 2365 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1670 - - 1967 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2458 - - 3025 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 539 - - 1082 - - - - - 395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 323 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 200 - - - - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4040 - - -4372 - - - - - -2940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6498 - - 7397 - - - - - 3683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8146 - - -7460 - - - - - -10794 ODpotential blCL - - - 10604 - - 10485 - - - - - 11537 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 43 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 340 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 86.7 - - - - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 56.9 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 85.5 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 56.0 - - - - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 201 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1798 - - 2365 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96950 42 249 34 246 39 262 96950 89676 20 266 19 241 25 255 89676 84106 11 224 14 258 13 239 84106 79493 1 135 11 251 4 020 79493 75535 3 176 4 214 6 037 75535 72036 5 141 4 153 3 108 72036 68865 6 131 4 156 6 103 68865 65964 1 049 7 158 3 110 65964 63294 5 241 8 171 1 212 63294 60730 5 040 5 135 9 262 60730 58070 12 357 5 347 3 228 58070 55312 11 350 9 319 5 001 55312 52664 12 346 11 331 8 358 52664 50256 11 342 10 335 12 346 50256 48075 8 341 8 322 14 318 48075 46078 12 356 9 323 15 294 46078 44241 16 359 14 331 18 302 44241 42547 18 353 18 328 12 334 42547 40978 17 337 15 328 18 358 40978 39518 14 338 13 353 23 004 39518 38151 12 358 13 359 23 008 38151 36830 13 348 11 329 22 013 36830 35483 14 319 12 329 21 009 35483 34081 14 312 12 350 21 004 34081 32627 13 350 14 023 20 009 32627 31106 21 023 17 015 19 015 31106 29503 23 018 15 003 19 018 29503 27819 17 012 14 004 19 019 27819 26054 12 019 16 004 20 019 26054 24208 16 037 21 000 18 018 24208 22286 24 035 22 006 17 015 22286 20281 30 027 23 027 18 006 20281 18186 27 031 25 033 18 355 18186 16045 24 016 22 025 17 356 16045 13975 16 335 17 017 18 359 13975 12086 13 289 17 316 14 019 12086 10401 9 296 16 297 9 357 10401 8905 9 261 13 267 11 328 8905 7572 11 234 11 229 11 305 7572 6389 11 239 14 229 15 275 6389 5339 12 255 16 228 21 249 5339 4417 16 268 17 226 29 229 4417 3602 17 265 18*217 33 221 3602 2875 16*246 17*206 38 207 2875 2234 14*217 17 201 40 197 2234 1700 14 214 17 199 38 191 1700 1290 14 213 17 198 34 189 1290 1009 13 212 16 198 24 184 1009 839 13 211 15 197 20*183 839 743 11 212 13 197 11*181 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography