DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 70.1 - - 69.0 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 619 - - 353 - - 222 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 920 - - 1279 - - 1013 - - 882 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1534 - - 1742 - - 1635 - - 971 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 65 - - 84 - - 53 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 187 - - 158 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 178 - - 476 - - 270 - - 140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 742 - - 803 - - 743 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 23 - - 28 - - 34 - - -2098 ODpotential blCL - - - 897 - - 1251 - - 979 - - 2980 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 1180 - - 1050 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 70.1 - - 69.0 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 68.6 - - 68.1 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 70.2 - - 69.0 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 68.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 619 - - 353 - - 222 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 95 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 30 277 39 276 34 282 35 284 96362 89292 21 281 19 274 30 279 23 299 89292 83864 15 271 17 283 17 288 19 304 83864 79337 7 305 11 294 6 302 14 310 79337 75400 7 325 9 339 2 181 12 306 75400 71899 9 310 13 350 3 118 5 300 71899 68746 6 294 9 010 4 008 5 071 68746 65870 4 278 7 316 4 335 11 336 65870 63228 11 272 12 250 10 274 11 260 63228 60678 20 280 18 267 23 289 16 290 60678 58016 42 271 41 279 29 280 26 281 58016 55255 52 258 43 267 33 271 29 277 55255 52598 55 254 44 249 41 269 35 280 52598 50189 61 254 50 256 50 280 45 277 50189 48022 68 252 66 264 55 273 58 270 48022 46050 75 245 75 257 70 265 66 262 46050 44230 82 241 78 252 73 257 68 257 44230 42531 89 240 80 252 71 249 69 252 42531 40937 94 240 84 249 72 245 72 251 40937 39441 96 240 88 247 76 244 76 250 39441 38038 97 241 88 245 80 243 71 244 38038 36686 88 244 81 243 81 239 66 239 36686 35313 71 245 62 243 80 235 67 239 35313 33889 66 243 57 243 60 227 66 239 33889 32416 57 242 58 240 45 218 63 242 32416 30878 44 239 54 239 46 220 56 241 30878 29263 40 234 50 235 47 219 45 232 29263 27570 40 235 46 230 48 220 39 220 27570 25795 38 231 45 227 48 223 38 219 25795 23940 37 223 46 227 48 227 45 223 23940 22013 37 215 46 228 47 231 51 229 22013 20012 38 212 47 227 47 233 53 230 20012 17932 41 209 46 226 47 235 48 234 17932 15809 46 204 44 220 47 236 47 237 15809 13759 47 189 48 206 45 234 44 236 13759 11899 43 187 48 190 42 226 39 236 11899 10248 31 194 41 188 40 214 34 233 10248 8779 20 202 30 199 37 206 30 231 8779 7470 17 207 23 217 31 206 27 227 7470 6306 16 208 21 224 24 211 23 221 6306 5275 15 207 20 219 21 207 20 212 5275 4366 14 203 19 207 21 197 19 201 4366 3564 14 198 19 196 20 190 19 192 3564 2847 14 198 18 192 18 187 18 185 2847 2214 13 198 17 193 17 188 18 181 2214 1687 11 194 15 191 14 181 18 177 1687 1283 9 190 12*188 11*171 16 169 1283 1007 7*186 9*187 8*160 14*158 1007 839 6*186 8 187 8 158 12*154 839 742 5 185 7 187 6 156 10 152 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography