DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 77.3 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 68 - - 190 - - 156 - - -16 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1633 - - 3126 - - 2986 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 2468 - - 2272 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2293 - - 3786 - - 3646 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1546 - - 1947 - - 2709 - - 3804 - - 1187 Hgt.Variab. W* 195 - - 341 - - 315 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 15 - - 14 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 228 - - 211 - - 183 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -6 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 273 - - 346 - - -132 - - -1937 - - -1006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2020 - - 3440 - - 3779 - - 2680 - - 1749 sfcLCL ODpotential -179 - - -285 - - -753 - - -3501 - - -3225 ODpotential blCL 2472 - - 4071 - - 4399 - - 4244 - - 3968 blCL maxRH 97 - - 88 - - 88 - - 79 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 1960 - - 2020 - - 2030 - - 1670 - - 1370 CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 77.3 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.9 - - 67.6 - - 67.4 - - 67.8 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.2 - - 79.3 - - 80.5 - - 78.2 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.8 - - 67.5 - - 67.2 - - 67.8 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 68 - - 190 - - 156 - - -16 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1633 - - 3126 - - 2986 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 53 - - 50 - - 17 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96902 57 254 63 259 75 262 58 277 61 265 96902 89714 40 256 46 258 45 258 46 274 47 264 89714 84160 27 270 36 258 28 259 37 266 33 277 84160 79543 22 272 23 250 22 255 24 270 21 275 79543 75559 15 253 12 242 18 231 18 264 8 264 75559 72028 9 271 10 228 13 228 17 247 9 285 72028 68833 12 283 8 256 7 265 13 236 13 246 68833 65929 17 251 13 266 9 269 9 276 10 244 65929 63265 20 243 19 253 17 255 12 280 3 270 63265 60693 23 254 25 241 27 259 25 261 18 257 60693 58017 29 252 31 259 35 258 36 245 36 247 58017 55231 42 257 45 257 43 258 44 248 46 247 55231 52561 53 260 54 253 52 255 52 251 53 253 52561 50163 60 261 61 254 60 255 55 256 57 256 50163 48026 71 262 73 258 67 259 63 260 62 257 48026 46095 81 261 84 258 79 261 77 260 73 255 46095 44324 84 260 92 261 93 262 87 261 85 253 44324 42681 86 260 97 262 101 261 89 261 87 253 42681 41137 86 259 97 261 99 261 87 260 83 254 41137 39680 84 259 95 260 94 260 86 258 81 252 39680 38299 80 261 90 260 93 259 84 258 80 251 38299 36958 76 262 83 261 92 259 81 259 79 252 36958 35589 73 264 76 262 86 261 77 258 77 253 35589 34163 70 266 72 264 80 263 74 259 73 255 34163 32686 67 269 68 268 74 265 69 261 66 257 32686 31142 63 271 64 271 65 268 61 263 56 260 31142 29518 55 267 60 273 58 269 53 263 50 262 29518 27814 50 263 56 273 52 265 45 259 44 259 27814 26026 49 260 51 269 48 263 44 255 41 256 26026 24159 46 259 47 266 43 265 42 255 41 261 24159 22222 39 261 43 265 38 267 36 256 37 263 22222 20206 34 265 38 265 34 266 30 255 33 260 20206 18103 32 263 35 263 32 262 26 255 27 255 18103 15962 30 254 32 254 29 257 25 263 24 251 15962 13899 28 248 30 248 28 250 25 263 22 255 13899 12023 26 257 26 254 25 251 20 262 21 260 12023 10357 26 267 24 261 22 262 17 268 19 256 10357 8872 27 263 23 264 19 269 14 270 15 249 8872 7550 25 256 24 262 16 273 10 271 7 237 7550 6372 23 260 18 265 14 272 9 270 6 211 6372 5331 22 269 15 261 14 269 10 261 9 212 5331 4413 24 265 15*255 12*251 12 238 11 222 4413 3603 25 249 15*245 12*229 15 224 14 225 3603 2877 26*235 16 232 14 214 16 214 17 217 2877 2236 25*230 16 226 15 208 16 202 21 208 2236 1702 23 224 16 224 15 207 17 193 23 201 1702 1292 21 221 16 222 15 206 16 188 21 198 1292 1011 19 219 15 222 14 205 14 185 15 198 1011 841 17 218 15 221 14 205 12 183 13 198 841 743 14 218 13 221 12 205 8*183 7*197 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography