DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 78.2 - - 78.3 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 81 - - 10 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2783 - - 2883 - - 2230 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2040 - - 1919 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3443 - - 3543 - - 2890 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1883 - - 2104 - - 2866 - - 3542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 269 - - 126 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 22 - - 23 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 190 - - 188 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1174 - - 1098 - - 73 - - -808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2269 - - 2445 - - 2817 - - 1550 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 540 - - 324 - - -666 - - -2077 ODpotential blCL - - - 2903 - - 3219 - - 3556 - - 2819 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 92 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 2370 - - 2980 - - 2740 - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 78.2 - - 78.3 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.5 - - 69.5 - - 68.0 - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 77.8 - - 78.3 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 81 - - 10 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2783 - - 2883 - - 2230 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 66 - - 77 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97217 36 251 38 259 45 264 44 268 97217 89882 34 263 39 244 41 263 34 273 89882 84259 28 269 30 245 30 265 20 262 84259 79608 18 259 22 261 18 274 12 258 79608 75602 10 280 14 268 10 283 4 276 75602 72073 8 287 6 282 8 277 5 280 72073 68900 7 278 7 310 4 244 2 195 68900 65986 10 250 11 267 9 271 5 304 65986 63265 12 261 13 260 12 266 9 274 63265 60620 22 261 15 271 16 266 16 283 60620 57870 25 269 21 269 22 260 27 267 57870 55034 29 268 22 264 23 266 18 272 55034 52316 34 274 31 285 26 282 35 300 52316 49850 46 275 45 279 52 284 54 291 49850 47652 52 268 51 272 59 277 54 284 47652 45676 49 261 53 262 57 272 50 283 45676 43886 53 255 55 255 53 266 50 282 43886 42242 63 244 58 247 52 259 49 277 42242 40716 68 236 61 243 54 256 48 271 40716 39285 69 236 64 242 54 256 49 267 39285 37933 72 238 63 245 48 259 46 266 37933 36621 73 240 58 253 41 268 37 268 36621 35282 71 243 53 260 40 272 30 268 35282 33887 62 246 45 259 37 270 31 266 33887 32438 46 249 36 249 31 269 31 268 32438 30920 40 263 31 253 26 267 30 272 30920 29323 39 270 28 260 21 260 28 276 29323 27647 36 278 30 267 18 264 25 277 27647 25893 34 284 30 273 18 270 23 278 25893 24060 31 292 27 279 20 271 20 280 24060 22148 28 294 22 282 19 269 18 279 22148 20149 27 283 18 279 17 264 16 274 20149 18057 25 271 18 274 16 264 14 270 18057 15918 26 274 18 276 14 268 12 244 15918 13852 25 280 18 287 11 257 13 214 13852 11970 26 273 16 286 11 243 13 223 11970 10296 23 259 16 255 13 242 17 230 10296 8817 17 190 16 240 16 229 20 215 8817 7504 14 215 16 212 19 219 24 206 7504 6335 19 224 19 204 21 212 26 206 6335 5301 25 216 22 204 23 209 27 206 5301 4391 29 206 24 201 23 205 31 197 4391 3587 29*205 25*198 24*199 33 191 3587 2867 28*203 24*194 25*192 33 187 2867 2231 26 201 24 191 24 189 31 184 2231 1699 25 201 23 190 24 187 29 182 1699 1291 24 201 22 189 23 186 25 180 1291 1011 22 201 21 188 21 186 19 178 1011 840 20 201 19 188 18 185 17 178 840 742 16 201 16 188 14 185 11*177 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography