DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 74.2 - - 74.2 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 312 - - 22 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6055 - - 8054 - - 6520 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5004 - - 6515 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6715 - - 8714 - - 7180 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2206 - - 1691 - - 3581 - - 538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 530 - - 554 - - 221 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 349 - - 325 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - 18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1361 - - 184 - - -1080 - - -2949 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8076 - - 8530 - - 8261 - - 3691 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3331 - - -1135 - - -1878 - - -5520 ODpotential blCL - - - 10046 - - 9849 - - 9058 - - 6262 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 59 - - 60 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 74.2 - - 74.2 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 39.2 - - 40.6 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 72.4 - - 74.0 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 38.1 - - 39.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 312 - - 22 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6055 - - 8054 - - 6520 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97991 17 251 17 248 17 266 13 309 97991 90521 18 231 20 224 21 248 16 260 90521 84748 15 226 19 221 23 249 21 248 84748 79983 18 244 19 232 20 248 19 250 79983 75893 21 249 16 256 14 247 19 247 75893 72291 18 241 17 262 11 273 13 259 72291 69047 11 235 17 263 16 273 16 265 69047 66065 15 245 20 264 21 286 18 280 66065 63297 24 254 29 268 31 281 29 282 63297 60624 29 254 35 261 39 271 41 276 60624 57850 33 268 39 263 42 269 44 267 57850 54975 43 271 43 266 46 269 51 265 54975 52227 51 274 51 270 56 266 58 267 52227 49744 58 273 60 271 62 265 61 268 49744 47505 64 274 66 273 65 269 61 271 47505 45465 71 274 73 274 70 274 64 273 45465 43599 79 269 81 273 79 274 71 273 43599 41889 84 265 86 270 85 271 76 272 41889 40314 78 265 86 269 85 268 77 271 40314 38850 73 270 80 269 82 268 75 271 38850 37479 75 272 75 272 76 270 72 272 37479 36159 76 270 74 273 69 272 69 272 36159 34822 78 269 75 273 66 273 66 273 34822 33435 81 270 76 273 68 274 67 275 33435 31995 83 271 76 274 70 274 69 275 31995 30484 81 272 75 275 71 274 69 275 30484 28890 77 275 72 276 69 276 66 277 28890 27214 75 277 71 278 68 277 64 278 27214 25457 75 278 72 279 66 279 60 279 25457 23625 59 281 59 284 53 283 48 278 23625 21730 42 295 37 288 33 284 31 278 21730 19761 36 297 29 285 29 284 26 294 19761 17706 33 295 28 295 25 300 23 300 17706 15603 27 305 25 302 22 309 18 318 15603 13569 25 313 25 313 23 324 21 345 13569 11726 18 323 23 325 21 323 24 345 11726 10103 14 334 20*334 19 321 20 333 10103 8663 16 356 13*334 15 321 17 331 8663 7379 15*012 12 335 11*320 14 328 7379 6235 13*016 10 337 10*319 11 325 6235 5220 12 017 9 341 8 320 7 328 5220 4325 10 019 8 350 7 321 4 331 4325 3533 9 019 7 000 6 324 1 257 3533 2826 9 020 7 008 5 329 4 193 2826 2200 9 022 7 014 4 334 9 197 2200 1678 8 023 7 019 4 337 13 204 1678 1279 8 024 6 023 4 339 15 207 1279 1004 8 024 6 024 4 341 13 206 1004 837 7 025 6 025 4 341 10*204 837 742 7 025 6 025 3 343 5*201 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography