DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 76.8 - - 76.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 35 - - -17 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2187 - - 2498 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1422 - - 726 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2847 - - 3158 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1813 - - 2255 - - 4273 - - 516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 198 - - 35 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 167 - - 169 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -9 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 517 - - 658 - - -1624 - - -552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2330 - - 2500 - - 2367 - - 1295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 280 - - -67 - - -2880 - - -3201 ODpotential blCL - - - 2567 - - 3225 - - 3623 - - 3944 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 85 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 1790 - - 1740 - - 1530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 76.8 - - 76.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.1 - - 68.0 - - 67.9 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 76.5 - - 76.9 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 67.3 - - 67.4 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 35 - - -17 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2187 - - 2498 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 96 - - 42 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97682 16 245 14 250 15 276 10 296 97682 90257 9 199 10 226 8 309 3 353 90257 84593 8 143 9 194 4 008 4 152 84593 79915 8 117 8 120 2 203 4 160 79915 75892 5 121 10 093 11 129 7 119 75892 72356 6 167 8 084 11 102 13 112 72356 69155 12 135 10 133 7 194 11 086 69155 66214 9 131 13 177 12 218 4 207 66214 63508 7 213 12 217 15 223 14 238 63508 60907 19 230 23 227 25 240 24 243 60907 58208 26 234 26 242 33 247 35 238 58208 55410 35 248 39 252 30 244 35 236 55410 52715 46 261 50 260 34 255 42 251 52715 50265 63 262 62 257 56 259 59 255 50265 48057 68 260 63 257 67 257 65 255 48057 46052 66 260 61 259 66 259 61 259 46052 44224 63 262 60 260 64 262 58 262 44224 42551 56 263 57 260 64 264 56 261 42551 41010 50 262 55 259 64 264 57 259 41010 39571 48 263 54 258 62 263 58 258 39571 38209 47 264 54 260 58 265 58 258 38209 36884 46 263 52 260 53 267 56 260 36884 35532 43 263 49 259 50 266 53 265 35532 34124 39 265 44 260 46 266 50 270 34124 32664 34 267 39 260 41 267 49 273 32664 31138 31 269 33 264 36 265 47 273 31138 29530 29 272 30 267 31 261 43 272 29530 27843 29 272 28 266 30 260 36 271 27843 26075 33 277 28 269 30 264 31 278 26075 24227 41 282 32 281 32 272 33 283 24227 22301 41 287 33 284 34 280 31 285 22301 20290 37 298 35 283 33 280 26 290 20290 18191 35 301 29 286 34 279 23 286 18191 16048 33 295 27 295 21 267 27 276 16048 13975 27 301 23 277 16 274 23 273 13975 12080 12 318 15 278 16 272 16 274 12080 10390 13 203 12 253 10 249 11 228 10390 8886 19 202 16 230 10 243 13 206 8886 7548 18 210 13 211 9 226 15 201 7548 6362 16 208 14 182 14 175 22 187 6362 5320 15 196 19 174 21 167 27 183 5320 4406 16 177 21 171 26 168 30 178 4406 3598 16 169 21*169 26 169 31 172 3598 2875 16*165 19*167 25 169 32 170 2875 2235 16*163 17 166 23 169 31 169 2235 1701 15 163 16 166 21 169 29 168 1701 1292 15 162 15 167 19 169 24 165 1292 1010 14 161 14 167 16 169 17 156 1010 840 13 161 13 167 14 169 15*154 840 743 11 161 11 167 10*169 8*150 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography