DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 56.1 - - 63.5 - - 56.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 141 - - 145 - - -47 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1161 - - 2335 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 868 - - 1780 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 740 - - 1821 - - 2995 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 344 - - 544 - - 907 - - 1579 - - 351 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 226 - - 285 - - 15 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 15 - - 22 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 214 - - 205 - - 182 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1187 - - -1658 - - -1867 - - -1326 - - -398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1927 - - 3479 - - 4862 - - 2068 - - 1139 sfcLCL ODpotential -14268 - - -10639 - - -9159 - - -3489 - - -3448 ODpotential blCL 15008 - - 12460 - - 12154 - - 4231 - - 4189 blCL maxRH 77 - - 70 - - 85 - - 79 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 56.1 - - 63.5 - - 56.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 50.6 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 55.2 - - 62.7 - - 58.6 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 42.8 - - 44.6 - - 50.5 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 141 - - 145 - - -47 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1161 - - 2335 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 41 - - 18 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96280 48 241 51 244 56 246 51 256 48 254 96280 89122 48 248 54 252 52 256 47 261 39 258 89122 83669 40 267 37 263 36 257 36 263 31 282 83669 79122 31 276 24 271 27 254 25 262 28 284 79122 75167 23 282 15 288 20 257 18 258 27 272 75167 71666 23 296 14 321 11 270 14 258 25 259 71666 68507 25 281 18 299 12 276 14 282 24 260 68507 65623 29 277 23 288 15 281 18 277 25 266 65623 62968 28 290 26 280 25 275 30 273 29 275 62968 60410 40 295 32 280 36 285 36 288 39 279 60410 57750 50 291 47 286 50 286 48 288 47 283 57750 54982 55 288 51 285 55 285 57 285 56 279 54982 52313 55 287 55 291 61 284 61 283 59 273 52313 49877 56 292 57 290 63 284 66 283 64 277 49877 47666 59 295 59 290 66 285 71 282 71 279 47666 45642 62 293 62 289 67 285 73 278 75 276 45642 43777 66 287 65 282 67 286 72 275 75 274 43777 42050 62 285 67 275 68 286 68 276 73 273 42050 40443 58 287 60 274 67 283 62 276 70 272 40443 38941 54 284 56 271 65 274 60 276 67 270 38941 37535 51 282 47 270 59 267 59 271 62 268 37535 36186 49 284 42 269 51 265 52 264 58 266 36186 34829 50 284 40 266 51 258 48 260 50 265 34829 33429 49 283 39 264 52 257 47 252 47 257 33429 31986 47 280 39 258 43 264 44 247 46 249 31986 30483 42 279 36 253 41 246 43 249 44 246 30483 28904 36 285 30 250 37 245 46 251 43 246 28904 27246 29 298 24 250 32 237 41 244 40 250 27246 25504 25 302 22 253 29 234 32 226 36 251 25504 23682 25 297 23 255 28 238 30 234 31 243 23682 21787 24 302 20 262 23 244 31 237 28 240 21787 19811 22 325 14 274 18 244 27 239 28 248 19811 17744 17 327 10 286 16 240 23 237 28 244 17744 15631 13 342 7 304 13 235 22 238 25 238 15631 13596 9 354 5 283 15 235 22 246 25 241 13596 11744 11 323 14 264 17 246 22 248 26 240 11744 10095 11 305 18 266 18 251 21 240 26 238 10095 8629 9 303 14 258 19 233 21 225 26 238 8629 7328 7 283 12 235 21 212 22 215 26 238 7328 6177 7 226 16 204 27 210 26 221 31 234 6177 5165 10 207 20 200 31 216 31 223 43 226 5165 4277 13 221 25 208 32 218 32 216 43 217 4277 3496 17 225 28 217 28*215 31 212 38 215 3496 2796 23 231 27 226 25*209 31 207 37 211 2796 2178 28 244 24*225 24 207 30 201 36 204 2178 1663 28 247 17*215 23 205 29 195 34 199 1663 1268 23 237 16 214 22 203 26 190 30 197 1268 998 16 222 15 214 21 203 20 186 20 193 998 834 14*220 14 213 19 202 17*184 17*192 834 741 8*218 12 213 15 201 10*182 8*189 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography