DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.2 - - 55.9 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 120 - - -47 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2165 - - 4053 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1870 - - 2894 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2825 - - 4713 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 642 - - 1358 - - 407 - - 141 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 322 - - 12 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 29 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 355 - - 340 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -11 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2764 - - -5959 - - -7565 - - -6977 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5589 - - 10672 - - 8307 - - 7718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8649 - - -14637 - - -18821 - - -20298 ODpotential blCL - - - 11474 - - 19350 - - 19562 - - 21039 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 39 - - 21 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.2 - - 55.9 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 23.9 - - 22.6 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 67.6 - - 58.6 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 23.0 - - 22.2 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 120 - - -47 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2165 - - 4053 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96383 23 211 23 221 26 262 20 259 96383 89232 15 246 14 215 18 239 9 267 89232 83734 12 244 10 223 12 246 13 255 83734 79184 10 235 7 231 3 214 10 217 79184 75262 8 246 12 208 10 227 2 233 75262 71748 10 252 12 226 19 211 10 208 71748 68540 20 229 17 258 15 233 13 205 68540 65589 30 242 20 243 16 249 16 248 65589 62870 41 244 30 263 40 263 32 258 62870 60263 45 249 51 256 48 256 32 258 60263 57525 55 251 56 244 45 257 45 274 57525 54677 54 248 55 253 56 268 63 271 54677 51967 50 265 67 267 66 271 67 272 51967 49532 68 273 83 266 77 269 77 277 49532 47353 83 269 87 259 81 263 77 268 47353 45371 82 257 74 248 70 253 57 268 45371 43555 63 248 61 244 50 269 60 319 43555 41896 45 255 58 247 71 318 88 322 41896 40371 44 274 69 302 94 316 86 310 40371 38944 79 303 99 308 94 307 77 306 38944 37591 95 304 105 301 81 305 67 313 37591 36278 84 305 99 302 68 313 61 328 36278 34940 87 324 86 315 64 330 64 335 34940 33550 96 328 89 328 74 340 67 334 33550 32106 97 324 94 331 77 331 69 328 32106 30591 95 321 91 330 79 319 72 322 30591 28990 82 317 85 328 82 316 76 320 28990 27305 66 309 78 323 79 316 76 318 27305 25538 59 300 72 318 71 316 72 314 25538 23691 61 297 66 311 69 317 70 312 23691 21766 58 296 58 302 69 316 66 314 21766 19761 52 289 57 294 63 314 60 312 19761 17668 51 281 57 291 50 297 57 296 17668 15530 55 276 55 293 51 289 52 301 15530 13469 50 277 48 296 50 296 49 303 13469 11600 35 284 44 301 44 311 46 305 11600 9951 38 309 39 304 39 318 43 314 9951 8497 31 317 33 307 40 317 45 328 8497 7214 25 342 28 328 42 325 45 337 7214 6083 40 360 35 343 46 337 43 346 6083 5088 48 358 32*353 40 344 41 351 5088 4216 47 358 31*355 34 347 38 352 4216 3448 42*359 31 355 32 348 36 355 3448 2761 33*356 30 355 32 349 37 359 2761 2154 32 355 29 355 31 349 36 001 2154 1648 31 355 28 356 29 348 34 001 1648 1260 29 355 27 356 26 347 29 000 1260 994 28 354 25 356 20 345 21 356 994 832 25 354 23 356 16 343 17*354 832 741 20 354 19 356 8*340 8*351 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography