DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 96.5 - - - - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 256 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5923 - - 6234 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4858 - - 4979 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6583 - - 6894 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2519 - - 3877 - - - - - 3025 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 510 - - 478 - - - - - 24 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 159 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 64 - - -386 - - - - - -3624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6519 - - 7280 - - - - - 4369 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -502 - - -1083 - - - - - -6191 ODpotential blCL - - - 7085 - - 7977 - - - - - 6935 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 83 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 1330 - - - - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 96.5 - - - - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 67.0 - - - - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.3 - - 94.8 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 66.6 - - - - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 256 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5923 - - 6234 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 31 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98950 26 115 23 098 28 085 98950 91518 29 098 28 110 29 082 91518 85775 33 099 26 113 25 078 85775 80992 29 099 22 102 24 073 80992 76878 24 099 20 103 22 087 76878 73250 21 086 20 112 19 101 73250 69990 17 096 19 118 13 107 69990 67026 16 130 14 114 11 126 67026 64298 19 138 9 087 12 107 64298 61673 14 127 7 091 12 078 61673 58968 15 095 14 097 18 074 58968 56211 20 094 17 091 20 037 56211 53598 26 090 21 089 13 047 53598 51224 26 065 24 072 21 070 51224 49072 27 064 26 062 31 071 49072 47096 27 065 24 061 33 064 47096 45269 25 051 23 061 28 060 45269 43570 19 043 24 065 22 078 43570 41976 20 053 22 079 21 099 41976 40473 26 057 28 078 25 099 40473 39051 29 054 30 077 25 099 39051 37671 31 054 30 069 25 111 37671 36267 35 061 29 059 32 119 36267 34812 37 064 26 067 35 126 34812 33305 42 073 25 080 32 134 33305 31727 31 078 25 074 31 144 31727 30066 19 064 16 076 28 142 30066 28323 21 070 15 092 20 129 28323 26499 20 071 14 082 15 107 26499 24595 15 060 14 080 13 122 24595 22614 12 065 8 086 6 111 22614 20557 8 101 1 155 4 074 20557 18422 5 132 2 200 4 055 18422 16247 5 100 4 120 5 111 16247 14148 7 090 6 112 8 082 14148 12241 6 094 6 111 5 092 12241 10548 6 116 7 120 6 121 10548 9039 9 147 7 132 7 141 9039 7693 10*156 8*147 7 158 7693 6496 9*162 8*153 8 171 6496 5434 9 164 9 155 10 181 5434 4496 10 166 9 157 14 181 4496 3667 10 168 9 159 18 171 3667 2926 10 170 9 161 25 162 2926 2272 10 171 9 162 27 159 2272 1726 10 172 9 163 27 158 1726 1307 10 174 9 164 24 156 1307 1019 9 174 9 165 20 156 1019 844 9 174 8 164 17*156 844 744 8 175 8 164 11*156 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography