DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.0 - - 14.0 - - 17.1 - - 16.9 - - 17.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 88 - - 66 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1153 - - 1481 - - 1803 - - 256 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit 722 - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 Hcrit BL Top 1813 - - 2141 - - 2463 - - 916 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 533 - - 462 - - 455 - - 1936 - - 1793 Hgt.Variab. W* 124 - - 206 - - 200 - - 22 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 21 - - 20 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 331 - - 339 - - 336 - - 346 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -77 - - 307 - - 654 - - -867 - - -1004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1891 - - 1834 - - 1809 - - 1783 - - 1743 sfcLCL ODpotential -18694 - - -17187 - - 423 - - -1064 - - -14640 ODpotential blCL 20507 - - 19328 - - 2040 - - 1980 - - 15379 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 12.0 - - 14.0 - - 17.1 - - 16.9 - - 17.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.8 - - 9.1 - - 12.3 - - 12.3 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 12.0 - - 13.7 - - 16.8 - - 17.3 - - 18.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.2 - - 8.1 - - 11.5 - - 12.0 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 88 - - 66 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1153 - - 1481 - - 1803 - - 256 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 86 - - 99 - - 88 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96235 91 239 86 248 87 238 102 253 87 247 96235 89114 87 246 78 251 74 248 93 257 80 261 89114 83625 76 255 78 253 74 258 84 256 77 259 83625 79031 61 261 62 253 60 260 67 260 64 258 79031 75078 50 265 39 246 45 248 47 258 46 254 75078 71597 38 257 31 245 39 234 37 251 40 255 71597 68463 35 236 29 257 32 244 34 247 36 245 68463 65580 38 249 32 260 36 254 39 242 37 243 65580 62895 49 244 41 244 43 249 50 240 51 244 62895 60318 53 243 52 245 53 253 56 242 64 254 60318 57628 56 242 61 241 60 230 63 245 73 253 57628 54788 61 240 70 233 62 232 74 239 81 241 54788 52030 65 240 73 236 72 238 83 241 84 239 52030 49522 72 243 82 239 88 243 95 244 88 241 49522 47264 86 241 95 240 102 243 99 241 93 241 47264 45201 97 237 107 237 105 239 99 239 95 244 45201 43299 103 235 111 234 100 238 100 240 103 249 43299 41544 106 236 104 235 101 242 108 244 119 250 41544 39918 110 236 106 240 112 246 122 246 129 247 39918 38399 112 236 116 242 127 245 133 243 133 244 38399 36968 117 238 125 240 137 241 135 240 130 244 36968 35583 129 240 131 236 138 236 135 236 126 245 35583 34183 137 238 130 230 134 234 125 239 122 249 34183 32741 134 236 121 229 131 233 115 243 119 254 32741 31262 120 236 118 236 124 239 116 247 118 258 31262 29727 100 238 122 241 128 244 120 248 121 259 29727 28116 87 243 126 243 134 242 122 247 120 257 28116 26428 84 249 126 244 136 241 122 246 115 256 26428 24669 81 253 116 245 129 244 108 249 99 261 24669 22847 70 257 99 245 99 247 85 256 83 267 22847 20967 58 257 84 247 69 250 64 260 70 275 20967 19020 59 257 64 251 52 251 49 261 56 281 19020 17000 62 256 55 253 46 255 48 262 48 280 17000 14935 58 255 52 256 48 258 45 265 43 281 14935 12935 51 251 40 265 45 259 44 278 37 278 12935 11116 46 248 33 266 40 260 36 285 26 298 11116 9513 44 250 33 273 34 263 26 286 24 313 9513 8103 34 262 30 283 27 279 22 292 17 342 8103 6860 26 269 26 293 22 288 13 326 25 019 6860 5772 20 279 23 307 16 322 19 000 25 026 5772 4818 16 320 19 328 19 347 22 014 25 029 4818 3985 17 336 19 336 23 359 25 018 26 030 3985 3255 20 351 24 349 24 352 26 007 26 024 3255 2610 25 346 25*344 22*339 24 352 25 004 2610 2046 24*336 23*340 22*337 23 349 23 351 2046 1578 23*332 22 339 21 336 21 348 21 347 1578 1220 21 331 22 339 21 336 19 347 19 345 1220 973 19 330 20 338 19 336 17*346 16 344 973 824 17 330 18 338 17 335 14*346 14*343 824 739 13 329 14 337 14 335 10 345 10*343 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography