DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 64.4 - - 58.5 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 187 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2549 - - 2913 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2236 - - 2305 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3209 - - 3573 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 834 - - 952 - - 2713 - - 338 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 376 - - 331 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 331 - - 026 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3533 - - -4373 - - -4390 - - -3072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6742 - - 7946 - - 5131 - - 3814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14750 - - -14614 - - -13494 - - -12464 ODpotential blCL - - - 17959 - - 18187 - - 14235 - - 13205 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 42 - - 43 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 64.4 - - 58.5 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 32.5 - - 39.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 63.2 - - 60.1 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 31.9 - - 38.8 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 187 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2549 - - 2913 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97033 51 260 56 264 56 268 58 275 97033 89883 36 264 42 246 40 258 40 268 89883 84354 31 255 33 244 36 246 32 255 84354 79721 30 241 30 252 28 253 22 252 79721 75696 23 240 23 253 22 240 20 232 75696 72132 22 235 22 250 23 240 21 233 72132 68911 21 231 24 249 25 244 21 242 68911 65958 22 246 28 261 26 257 22 262 65958 63230 25 248 31 269 28 272 23 269 63230 60604 22 256 30 261 28 275 25 276 60604 57874 19 259 28 255 32 272 32 276 57874 55036 25 292 30 262 41 271 39 277 55036 52326 38 290 38 273 48 274 44 279 52326 49886 47 283 49 280 52 278 54 282 49886 47699 51 275 53 280 52 279 63 278 47699 45713 49 272 52 279 52 282 64 275 45713 43888 50 278 50 282 55 285 64 278 43888 42199 54 281 51 285 59 286 64 280 42199 40630 56 280 53 282 61 283 65 276 40630 39168 58 283 56 278 60 281 66 272 39168 37792 59 289 58 278 59 281 60 270 37792 36461 60 294 57 280 58 281 54 270 36461 35107 59 295 55 282 56 279 51 270 35107 33700 56 293 54 284 55 278 49 272 33700 32240 52 289 52 285 53 277 46 274 32240 30711 50 287 51 285 50 276 44 272 30711 29103 49 286 50 286 48 277 42 273 29103 27415 48 286 48 285 46 278 39 277 27415 25646 48 283 47 281 45 279 38 284 25646 23799 46 280 49 273 43 280 36 290 23799 21878 41 281 50 272 41 284 32 297 21878 19875 37 288 44 281 38 292 27 297 19875 17786 35 298 38 290 32 299 24 296 17786 15653 35 307 34 305 28 306 24 296 15653 13600 36 324 32 310 28 316 22 310 13600 11736 33 331 31 326 28 334 16 337 11736 10082 25 325 26 331 24 340 16 001 10082 8611 23 336 23 331 22 339 18 002 8611 7306 25 346 23 345 21 344 16 356 7306 6156 25 353 23 348 19 350 15 351 6156 5145 22 353 19 350 16 351 14 347 5145 4260 17 352 12*338 13 341 12 338 4260 3482 10*350 9*326 9 326 11 339 3482 2786 8*351 8 327 7 322 9 341 2786 2172 8 352 8 330 6 335 8 341 2172 1661 8 352 8 332 6 353 7 346 1661 1268 7 354 8 335 6 008 6 354 1268 998 7 355 7 336 6 019 5 005 998 835 7 356 7 337 5 024 4*016 835 741 6 356 6 337 4*026 2*011 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography