DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.3 - - 24.4 - - 19.7 - - 19.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 19 - - 14 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 685 - - 707 - - 769 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1333 - - 1345 - - 1367 - - 1429 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 657 - - 1350 - - 1037 - - 957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 97 - - 88 - - 90 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 006 - - 359 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 285 - - 293 - - 229 - - 260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1048 - - 1052 - - 1138 - - 1169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 152 - - 176 - - 125 - - 103 ODpotential blCL - - - 1181 - - 1169 - - 1242 - - 1326 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 300 - - 150 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.3 - - 24.4 - - 19.7 - - 19.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 22.8 - - 17.8 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.2 - - 19.7 - - 19.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 22.5 - - 17.7 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 19 - - 14 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 685 - - 707 - - 769 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96043 81 251 77 249 92 253 88 254 96043 88886 78 254 75 251 81 260 80 256 88886 83422 68 258 68 255 75 265 63 261 83422 78875 49 262 49 250 59 264 56 270 78875 74947 34 260 40 246 49 256 43 260 74947 71504 30 256 38 247 40 254 34 256 71504 68405 27 266 32 251 35 252 31 260 68405 65555 25 248 29 260 32 248 32 252 65555 62918 32 244 34 260 35 259 34 252 62918 60363 39 251 41 258 42 260 42 255 60363 57692 43 255 47 256 48 263 55 258 57692 54898 56 251 59 254 60 257 61 250 54898 52189 64 246 68 250 62 249 67 247 52189 49718 70 243 69 243 65 248 70 248 49718 47479 72 242 70 244 74 249 78 247 47479 45435 73 245 76 245 83 243 87 239 45435 43563 81 247 86 246 87 239 97 236 43563 41846 93 245 99 242 92 240 98 235 41846 40260 96 240 96 235 91 237 98 239 40260 38781 86 238 86 239 86 243 107 244 38781 37394 77 242 88 250 105 250 117 245 37394 36056 75 247 102 254 114 249 120 245 36056 34702 79 248 110 250 108 246 115 243 34702 33303 80 246 105 248 97 243 105 238 33303 31858 73 243 96 251 97 238 95 234 31858 30343 67 243 83 248 91 235 87 233 30343 28745 67 248 76 248 85 237 82 235 28745 27066 66 248 69 245 87 238 74 232 27066 25303 64 244 65 244 82 241 67 236 25303 23459 63 241 61 244 77 240 62 235 23459 21538 61 242 59 239 74 242 64 227 21538 19535 58 242 61 235 66 242 65 221 19535 17445 55 243 56 230 58 237 59 218 17445 15316 46 239 48 230 53 233 54 219 15316 13265 42 238 40 234 51 229 44 224 13265 11405 37 243 33 238 46 222 42 224 11405 9757 35 243 31 238 38 218 41 230 9757 8292 37 237 34 235 36 219 38 236 8292 6990 38 235 36 220 35 228 36 238 6990 5839 32 224 34 212 31 225 26 240 5839 4842 10 208 12 193 13 212 8 195 4842 3988 9 099 8 094 9 059 11 109 3988 3255 17 062 19 039 21 042 16 049 3255 2610 19 050 20 031 23 029 21 027 2610 2047 19 027 20 019 22 009 21 009 2047 1579 18*359 19*011 20*004 19*004 1579 1220 17*356 17*008 18*001 18*002 1220 974 16 354 16 006 16 359 16 360 974 824 14 353 14 005 14 358 14 359 824 739 11 351 11 004 11 357 11 359 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography