DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 45.5 - - 41.1 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 220 - - -24 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3265 - - 4939 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2734 - - 3879 - - 724 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3925 - - 5599 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2256 - - 1470 - - 5726 - - 114 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 414 - - 8 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 343 - - 322 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2054 - - -3781 - - -7753 - - -6594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5980 - - 9381 - - 8493 - - 7334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7701 - - -8473 - - -12370 - - -12994 ODpotential blCL - - - 11626 - - 14072 - - 13110 - - 13734 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 90 - - 56 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 45.5 - - 41.1 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 6.6 - - 6.6 - - 4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 44.3 - - 42.7 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 6.6 - - 6.6 - - 4.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 220 - - -24 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3265 - - 4939 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96297 13 343 24 017 34 033 42 050 96297 89325 18 067 22 051 27 052 34 058 89325 83862 16 085 14 066 10 085 12 066 83862 79297 9 065 5 092 2 152 5 060 79297 75328 3 088 2 172 3 261 11 354 75328 71806 7 197 8 241 10 258 14 333 71806 68611 3 238 11 215 14 236 11 295 68611 65649 16 280 10 303 9 278 8 306 65649 62876 28 263 25 278 12 300 11 293 62876 60187 27 260 27 268 19 289 17 290 60187 57383 36 261 36 270 22 271 22 282 57383 54455 44 252 44 265 33 281 35 289 54455 51642 50 264 52 253 48 259 41 277 51642 49112 57 263 46 251 42 269 32 281 49112 46845 62 274 65 282 64 278 34 278 46845 44771 86 272 89 275 84 268 50 284 44771 42869 98 263 103 262 83 259 73 280 42869 41118 97 254 95 252 76 260 73 276 41118 39492 86 251 79 256 80 269 67 279 39492 37974 75 261 84 264 88 269 66 277 37974 36553 93 265 97 265 92 265 65 273 36553 35186 114 260 106 261 94 261 60 270 35186 33803 120 254 110 257 89 257 49 274 33803 32373 116 254 109 251 78 255 43 290 32373 30903 110 257 107 249 70 255 47 302 30903 29377 110 254 103 248 68 256 50 300 29377 27784 107 251 102 247 69 256 49 293 27784 26127 101 254 106 247 68 257 45 293 26127 24402 94 255 103 250 69 261 42 298 24402 22612 89 257 92 255 70 265 44 304 22612 20765 83 261 82 259 65 274 46 308 20765 18857 73 263 78 260 64 279 42 309 18857 16878 63 260 62 263 62 270 36 308 16878 14865 49 263 43 268 51 274 39 308 14865 12929 41 278 43 297 42 288 41 304 12929 11169 43 277 49 291 42 304 43 308 11169 9608 33 265 42 290 41 309 48 313 9608 8231 22 285 39 328 39 319 37 322 8231 7012 32 353 38 339 33 325 26 338 7012 5930 38 002 22*342 26 329 25 343 5930 4969 32 002 19*342 24 330 25 340 4969 4123 25*000 18 342 22 329 23 334 4123 3375 20*359 18 343 21 328 21 328 3375 2706 17 359 18 343 19 328 19 321 2706 2115 14 359 18 343 18 327 17 315 2115 1623 14 360 17 343 17 326 15 310 1623 1245 13 359 16 344 15 326 13 306 1245 986 13 000 16 344 13 325 11 300 986 829 12 000 15 344 11 324 8*292 829 740 11 000 13 344 7*322 5*287 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography