DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 50.0 - - 48.9 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 266 - - -23 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2944 - - 2996 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2565 - - 2507 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3604 - - 3656 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 783 - - 1064 - - 3703 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 374 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 352 - - 342 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -880 - - 99 - - -2171 - - -929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4485 - - 3557 - - 2912 - - 1669 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3264 - - 267 - - -2782 - - -3593 ODpotential blCL - - - 6868 - - 3389 - - 3523 - - 4333 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 95 - - 88 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 50.0 - - 48.9 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 37.4 - - 39.2 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 48.6 - - 49.8 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 266 - - -23 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2944 - - 2996 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 81 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96370 40 256 35 261 30 268 34 271 96370 89132 28 258 31 248 30 266 32 265 89132 83611 21 276 20 255 24 274 23 278 83611 79052 22 289 14 264 18 288 14 284 79052 75106 14 271 14 257 16 292 13 313 75106 71616 12 301 12 276 12 283 15 322 71616 68460 21 311 14 306 9 304 8 325 68460 65542 24 293 23 292 19 321 14 346 65542 62823 25 280 27 285 20 299 14 310 62823 60179 31 279 35 280 26 296 26 317 60179 57421 41 279 40 279 35 280 32 287 57421 54540 52 281 53 284 37 295 38 300 54540 51770 66 279 57 284 58 295 53 286 51770 49267 72 273 69 280 68 279 48 276 49267 47004 74 271 73 274 59 280 52 302 47004 44942 75 271 68 277 62 296 67 301 44942 43053 69 271 66 287 70 298 70 296 43053 41313 73 284 72 292 74 294 68 293 41313 39702 88 288 80 290 72 291 56 293 39702 38197 99 285 86 287 64 293 43 300 38197 36785 105 280 90 283 63 299 41 321 36785 35426 106 273 95 281 63 301 49 336 35426 34052 99 267 98 277 57 301 52 340 34052 32636 92 266 93 274 52 300 47 344 32636 31181 91 267 78 276 45 308 45 003 31181 29673 94 268 72 278 45 310 66 021 29673 28096 94 273 67 277 42 308 83 023 28096 26448 87 278 59 278 36 320 85 022 26448 24730 74 282 53 285 35 327 73 020 24730 22950 66 284 48 293 28 329 58 013 22950 21110 58 288 42 303 25 336 43 003 21110 19198 47 295 30 312 29 340 33 355 19198 17199 43 301 30 316 33 340 29 353 17199 15154 40 303 31 320 31 339 29 352 15154 13184 37 297 28 330 30 343 29 351 13184 11397 40 304 30 331 30 348 29 348 11397 9811 33 321 30 334 28 353 31 344 9811 8402 33 326 28 341 30 356 30 342 8402 7149 29 326 27 347 32 357 29 350 7149 6037 24 340 29 355 33 357 29 358 6037 5053 28 360 29 354 31 353 28 001 5053 4187 27*003 23*351 27 349 27 355 4187 3423 20*356 19*351 24 347 24 349 3423 2742 19 354 19 351 23 347 22 355 2742 2141 18 353 19 352 22 346 21 003 2141 1640 17 353 18 352 21 346 19 006 1640 1255 17 353 17 353 18 345 16 005 1255 991 16 353 17 353 16 344 13 359 991 832 15 353 16 354 13*344 10 354 832 740 13 353 13 354 9*342 5*348 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography