DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 67.1 - - 69.1 - - 63.1 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 184 - - 79 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 386 - - 2163 - - 2353 - - 363 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1764 - - 1263 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1046 - - 2823 - - 3013 - - 1023 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 975 - - 887 - - 1145 - - 1356 - - 1644 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 299 - - 232 - - 22 - - 6 W* B/S 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 196 - - 253 - - 207 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -336 - - -1222 - - -864 - - -706 - - -291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1382 - - 4045 - - 3877 - - 1729 - - 1032 sfcLCL ODpotential -3233 - - -4935 - - -4110 - - -3581 - - -1749 ODpotential blCL 4279 - - 7758 - - 7123 - - 4604 - - 2490 blCL maxRH 96 - - 93 - - 91 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 67.1 - - 69.1 - - 63.1 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.5 - - 52.1 - - 54.9 - - 58.1 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 65.8 - - 68.4 - - 63.3 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 51.7 - - 54.7 - - 58.0 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 184 - - 79 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 386 - - 2163 - - 2353 - - 363 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 72 - - 65 - - 80 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96991 75 265 76 269 64 260 68 256 73 265 96991 89596 51 259 46 265 45 266 50 265 47 273 89596 84000 32 260 32 260 33 266 41 274 35 279 84000 79411 21 286 25 249 33 263 35 277 25 292 79411 75463 20 282 15 245 25 255 26 273 20 298 75463 71972 18 263 10 263 16 257 21 274 19 288 71972 68830 17 283 14 286 13 273 22 274 22 276 68830 65970 25 296 23 293 20 284 16 287 19 266 65970 63328 21 274 29 285 25 289 21 307 16 274 63328 60765 12 269 27 278 25 273 24 290 23 291 60765 58092 12 281 23 282 21 265 23 263 27 272 58092 55319 24 289 20 278 23 265 27 265 27 257 55319 52671 31 276 23 261 25 266 34 270 35 263 52671 50277 29 262 28 258 33 266 38 265 43 258 50277 48116 25 264 28 256 35 265 37 255 39 251 48116 46137 27 272 28 252 35 267 34 251 33 244 46137 44307 29 273 31 251 39 266 35 258 31 245 44307 42603 37 261 37 253 42 261 39 259 32 254 42603 41011 44 261 41 253 44 253 41 259 35 261 41011 39514 43 261 41 254 45 247 42 254 39 256 39514 38098 42 261 43 252 44 245 46 246 42 247 38098 36728 46 256 48 247 48 244 47 239 46 246 36728 35336 51 249 53 243 53 238 47 235 48 242 35336 33894 54 242 57 239 53 233 44 232 47 235 33894 32403 53 238 56 236 50 232 40 229 44 229 32403 30853 50 238 51 234 46 229 42 223 40 220 30853 29241 42 240 48 228 37 230 47 214 29 215 29241 27562 25 244 45 218 36 230 49 211 25 223 27562 25800 17 237 49 216 35 222 45 222 26 218 25800 23953 16 224 37 224 29 213 39 239 30 216 23953 22026 20 219 32 264 19 211 31 255 32 217 22026 20017 19 224 29 278 21 258 16 288 17 245 20017 17919 16 246 26 264 16 297 4 287 3 158 17919 15779 19 247 14 281 9 293 4 212 16 167 15779 13720 20 242 9 289 10 231 6 226 12 197 13720 11849 12 251 9 284 8 237 7 222 8 237 11849 10188 9 261 8 273 8 247 7 252 11 242 10188 8713 11 276 6 262 9 247 4 266 12 243 8713 7405 12 280 6 231 9 244 3 258 8 251 7405 6246 9 272 9 213 10 241 7 252 7 251 6246 5220 7 252 10 218 10 245 9 242 7 243 5220 4318 4 223 8 219 8 265 11 241 7 242 4318 3525 3 202 5*212 6*273 10 246 6 237 3525 2818 4 169 5*201 5*263 8 240 5 217 2818 2194 5 147 5 198 5 259 7 224 7 218 2194 1675 4 138 5 197 5 252 7 213 9 222 1675 1277 3*096 5 194 5 248 8*209 10 223 1277 1002 2*091 5 193 5 245 8*207 10 219 1002 836 2 087 5 194 5 244 7 206 8 216 836 741 1 086 5 194 4 241 5 207 4*214 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography