DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 87.5 - - 84.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 140 - - -16 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2340 - - 2854 - - 1718 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2031 - - 2186 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3000 - - 3514 - - 2378 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 700 - - 1206 - - 2324 - - 1975 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 312 - - 98 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 183 - - 177 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1737 - - -1675 - - -1630 - - -1442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4737 - - 5189 - - 4009 - - 2185 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5537 - - -5584 - - -6176 - - -7178 ODpotential blCL - - - 8537 - - 9098 - - 8554 - - 7921 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 101 - - 88 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 1240 - - 1520 - - 1860 - - 1950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 87.5 - - 84.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 67.0 - - 68.7 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 86.6 - - 84.8 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 66.2 - - 68.2 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 140 - - -16 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2340 - - 2854 - - 1718 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 102 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98348 7 176 9 206 5 202 5 092 98348 90852 13 132 10 136 6 138 2 126 90852 85109 17 118 11 136 6 114 5 085 85109 80372 13 095 13 097 14 076 11 079 80372 76304 9 075 14 073 12 064 17 058 76304 72715 9 088 14 076 6 086 17 055 72715 69497 11 080 13 069 10 081 13 055 69497 66573 10 068 5 040 10 048 11 053 66573 63876 9 070 5 028 11 020 10 033 63876 61285 7 057 7 005 9 351 10 358 61285 58590 14 352 9 350 7 333 11 314 58590 55770 20 309 14 311 12 304 6 294 55770 53046 31 276 26 285 20 284 22 277 53046 50586 36 251 35 260 35 261 33 261 50586 48391 36 241 38 248 39 255 38 254 48391 46412 42 245 43 247 44 251 45 251 46412 44606 51 249 47 246 48 245 51 244 44606 42934 53 247 50 246 52 242 54 241 42934 41369 50 241 53 243 55 244 55 239 41369 39894 49 238 56 240 58 242 55 238 39894 38497 53 237 61 230 59 236 55 238 38497 37142 52 231 66 228 63 229 56 238 37142 35761 51 223 64 226 64 225 58 238 35761 34325 51 222 63 225 63 228 59 236 34325 32835 51 231 62 228 60 236 59 236 32835 31277 53 238 59 233 57 242 55 238 31277 29640 47 241 53 240 50 244 53 241 29640 27925 45 246 42 244 37 240 51 246 27925 26133 35 252 27 253 32 234 47 251 26133 24270 32 254 21 270 30 236 44 245 24270 22336 30 250 27 268 24 260 30 243 22336 20325 26 252 28 281 25 277 18 253 20325 18230 13 256 22 287 26 291 17 278 18230 16092 7 264 9 237 23 300 19 284 16092 14022 7 254 11 241 17 297 15 272 14022 12129 9 237 11 237 8 257 13 252 12129 10441 7 200 10 213 8 205 18 232 10441 8937 10 227 9 198 13 185 19 240 8937 7597 15 220 13 189 17 194 17 230 7597 6407 22 193 18 193 16 198 18 207 6407 5357 23 190 23 196 18 193 21 202 5357 4435 24 199 22 193 21 182 26 194 4435 3622 25*202 21*187 22 179 27 188 3622 2894 21*196 20*184 22*178 27 187 2894 2250 20 192 20 183 21*177 26 191 2250 1712 20 191 20 182 20 177 24 194 1712 1299 19 190 19 182 19 178 22 194 1299 1014 18 189 18 182 17 178 18 190 1014 842 17 189 17 181 15 178 15 188 842 743 15 189 14 181 11 178 8*185 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography