DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.8 - - 51.3 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 193 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2507 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1196 - - 2017 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1840 - - 3167 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 466 - - 1577 - - 3151 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 316 - - 6 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 019 - - 052 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4265 - - -3858 - - -4562 - - -3029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6105 - - 7026 - - 5303 - - 3769 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14193 - - -13083 - - -14624 - - -14435 ODpotential blCL - - - 16033 - - 16250 - - 15365 - - 15175 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 67 - - 52 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.8 - - 51.3 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 29.1 - - 31.4 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 28.8 - - 31.3 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 193 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2507 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96152 58 267 66 259 67 266 68 266 96152 89004 39 254 44 271 44 274 41 265 89004 83585 23 260 25 273 29 267 29 285 83585 79080 17 273 14 286 21 272 19 275 79080 75179 12 259 14 293 18 281 14 274 75179 71730 8 270 13 270 17 278 18 287 71730 68601 14 281 17 248 22 277 22 284 68601 65708 19 273 21 260 25 269 25 282 65708 63003 25 270 26 266 25 266 27 284 63003 60368 30 266 29 267 30 262 31 281 60368 57615 36 257 36 265 34 262 33 276 57615 54757 42 255 42 257 33 266 34 271 54757 52024 43 250 42 254 34 266 35 266 52024 49563 44 251 42 252 40 259 44 265 49563 47361 50 247 47 251 48 259 47 261 47361 45377 52 245 50 248 56 251 50 260 45377 43575 56 251 53 250 57 245 58 255 43575 41925 68 255 59 254 57 251 62 252 41925 40401 74 254 66 254 64 253 67 252 40401 38975 76 255 69 256 70 251 68 248 38975 37632 80 253 74 256 76 250 68 245 37632 36329 82 252 79 253 71 252 65 250 36329 34998 83 253 79 254 68 255 67 253 34998 33609 75 256 73 258 64 258 56 253 33609 32162 68 258 63 259 54 260 47 250 32162 30648 59 260 55 259 46 254 39 255 30648 29054 51 265 47 263 41 256 34 260 29054 27379 46 270 40 268 35 263 30 266 27379 25620 39 272 34 271 29 264 27 254 25620 23776 32 272 31 269 26 259 27 251 23776 21850 24 276 30 275 25 261 25 254 21850 19836 18 272 24 279 25 275 24 272 19836 17731 14 287 16 282 20 280 19 286 17731 15584 11 302 13 290 14 284 13 288 15584 13517 12 304 13 305 13 293 13 283 13517 11639 9 299 14 314 14 317 12 306 11639 9977 7 343 10 316 12 325 15 320 9977 8513 13 004 11 354 12 003 10 359 8513 7225 18 003 16 357 16 011 16 023 7225 6092 18 002 17 356 16 005 16 020 6092 5092 17 003 18 000 12 001 11 006 5092 4214 18 010 18 005 9 004 8 347 4214 3442 20 015 15*010 9 011 7 345 3442 2754 23 026 12*017 8 021 6 022 2754 2148 22*028 12 018 8 033 9 054 2148 1644 15*024 11 019 7 041 13 060 1644 1258 14 023 11 020 7 047 15 059 1258 993 14 023 11 020 6 049 14 058 993 832 13 023 10 021 6*051 10 058 832 740 11 023 9 020 4*052 5*057 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography