DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 74.7 - - 78.3 - - 74.2 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 148 - - 340 - - 311 - - 55 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1229 - - 1810 - - 2325 - - 1827 - - 633 BL Depth Hcrit 1006 - - 1723 - - 2076 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1889 - - 2470 - - 2985 - - 2487 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 577 - - 579 - - 1326 - - 1057 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* 235 - - 348 - - 367 - - 191 - - 81 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 175 - - 179 - - 178 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1799 - - -2520 - - -1357 - - -278 - - 47 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3688 - - 4990 - - 4342 - - 2765 - - 1246 sfcLCL ODpotential -7694 - - -7034 - - -3026 - - -2280 - - -3336 ODpotential blCL 9583 - - 9504 - - 6011 - - 4767 - - 4629 blCL maxRH 81 - - 84 - - 88 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 710 - - 730 - - 1250 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 74.7 - - 78.3 - - 74.2 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.8 - - 55.4 - - 61.5 - - 64.2 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 72.8 - - 76.4 - - 73.9 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.9 - - 54.6 - - 61.1 - - 64.0 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 148 - - 340 - - 311 - - 55 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1229 - - 1810 - - 2325 - - 1827 - - 633 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 37 - - 54 - - 71 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97753 12 308 6 244 13 274 21 295 16 345 97753 90371 11 281 14 308 11 247 12 278 14 284 90371 84682 9 279 14 280 10 324 9 305 9 282 84682 79935 11 320 8 254 10 280 12 307 9 310 79935 75850 10 315 6 300 8 274 10 280 13 309 75850 72285 10 320 9 255 11 282 13 288 15 279 72285 69087 14 315 8 252 8 287 10 297 9 292 69087 66152 21 287 19 293 13 266 19 293 20 305 66152 63440 27 263 26 275 25 272 26 264 25 258 63440 60803 31 265 33 261 26 240 26 261 28 255 60803 58035 41 265 34 259 44 278 47 281 42 276 58035 55161 60 268 54 269 68 274 61 271 55 281 55161 52415 72 264 74 266 75 266 72 264 69 268 52415 49958 85 255 89 257 86 256 82 264 82 263 49958 47772 95 248 96 246 95 246 92 251 92 255 47772 45796 100 245 98 241 99 242 99 244 99 246 45796 43992 101 243 99 240 101 242 101 244 101 243 43992 42324 100 243 99 241 103 243 104 245 101 243 42324 40768 99 245 98 243 102 244 104 245 99 243 40768 39302 100 247 96 244 98 245 101 245 94 245 39302 37918 101 247 95 246 93 246 96 246 88 247 37918 36579 100 248 94 247 88 247 87 249 82 250 36579 35220 99 249 92 248 84 247 79 252 76 252 35220 33812 96 249 91 247 80 247 72 254 68 256 33812 32356 92 249 89 245 79 247 67 256 60 261 32356 30836 89 249 88 245 78 248 63 260 54 264 30836 29238 86 250 86 247 74 251 58 264 49 269 29238 27562 81 252 81 251 66 255 52 268 43 273 27562 25805 75 257 74 255 57 262 48 270 37 276 25805 23970 68 263 66 258 50 269 44 272 28 279 23970 22059 57 267 57 260 50 271 38 273 20 290 22059 20065 40 260 49 260 49 271 36 274 21 283 20065 17988 38 259 41 259 41 271 35 277 22 278 17988 15876 35 279 32 264 36 263 34 267 23 273 15876 13834 29 275 29 264 30 263 33 259 26 264 13834 11965 20 245 29 250 28 253 30 256 28 273 11965 10293 23 239 27 249 29 251 28 261 25 285 10293 8805 21 248 21 256 25 251 22 262 17 286 8805 7485 18 246 18 251 18 246 19 259 10 289 7485 6318 13 219 16 251 14 246 18 262 8 301 6318 5285 9 226 14 261 13 241 15 249 6 294 5285 4373 9 220 12 263 11 230 12 222 8 255 4373 3566 8 206 5 245 11*198 12 203 12 242 3566 2845 10 174 7*183 12*179 13*182 11 218 2845 2211 13*160 8*176 12 178 12*178 14 194 2211 1685 10*155 8 175 12 179 12 178 15*188 1685 1282 10 154 8 175 12 179 12 178 12*184 1282 1006 9 155 8 175 12 179 11 178 11 182 1006 839 8 154 7 175 11 180 11 178 10 182 839 742 8 154 7 175 10 180 9 177 8 181 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography