DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.2 - - 98.3 - - 95.9 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 281 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7216 - - 8500 - - 4652 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5943 - - 6827 - - 1760 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7876 - - 9160 - - 5312 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1454 - - 1445 - - 4843 - - 1392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 568 - - 550 - - 230 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 151 - - 176 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - 25 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 312 - - -429 - - -3512 - - -5518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7564 - - 9589 - - 8824 - - 6263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3954 - - -3655 - - -6918 - - -8077 ODpotential blCL - - - 11830 - - 12815 - - 12230 - - 8821 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 72 - - 76 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 570 - - 30 - - 80 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.2 - - 98.3 - - 95.9 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.4 - - 58.6 - - 59.7 - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.9 - - 96.5 - - 95.6 - - 89.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 57.7 - - 59.0 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 281 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7216 - - 8500 - - 4652 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99067 38 079 47 111 31 107 30 092 99067 91607 35 092 39 098 33 104 30 087 91607 85866 38 101 33 090 33 097 31 086 85866 81087 36 101 32 089 34 091 35 093 81087 76972 31 095 29 094 32 079 37 092 76972 73357 25 089 27 107 26 075 35 081 73357 70110 22 089 25 114 18 096 25 074 70110 67142 19 089 21 099 17 110 16 089 67142 64385 18 103 15 096 14 097 16 103 64385 61718 16 105 15 116 10 082 15 086 61718 58971 13 094 18 110 10 098 11 094 58971 56147 16 064 17 082 14 091 11 097 56147 53463 16 055 14 074 12 093 9 059 53463 51056 10 065 9 074 9 090 9 034 51056 48900 6 089 5 064 8 050 7 031 48900 46933 6 067 4 080 9 040 4 077 46933 45117 7 053 6 085 8 036 6 109 45117 43426 5 051 5 063 8 028 7 080 43426 41842 2 061 3 029 8 011 9 033 41842 40352 3 048 3 036 6 351 11 011 40352 38943 8 041 7 076 4 331 12 003 38943 37576 12 037 9 080 1 008 11 000 37576 36182 13 037 8 068 2 058 10 011 36182 34734 11 046 7 055 5 029 8 010 34734 33235 10 050 6 020 6 006 8 344 33235 31669 7 066 7 343 7 354 9 329 31669 30022 6 069 9 328 9 359 9 327 30022 28293 4 049 8 335 10 010 8 337 28293 26480 4 037 7 360 10 016 7 352 26480 24582 6 026 8 022 9 021 6 002 24582 22604 6 018 8 029 9 020 6 027 22604 20541 4 025 7 026 8 006 9 029 20541 18389 3 013 8 013 8 357 14 031 18389 16197 2 083 8 351 11 356 13 021 16197 14096 4 097 2 316 8 351 9 359 14096 12195 8 082 2 088 3 337 5 015 12195 10509 13 078 8*109 4 158 5 335 10509 9011 12*077 8*126 10 138 6 166 9011 7675 5*094 9 129 10 135 10 152 7675 6484 4 129 9 133 10 135 9 152 6484 5426 6 167 8 144 9*140 9 157 5426 4492 7 172 8 154 9*150 10 166 4492 3665 9 180 8 161 8 164 10 176 3665 2925 10 182 8 167 8 175 10 183 2925 2271 10 182 8 171 8 183 10 188 2271 1726 11 184 8 174 8 186 10 188 1726 1307 11 184 8 177 8 188 9 181 1307 1018 11 185 8 178 8 188 7 168 1018 844 10 185 8 179 8 189 5*152 844 744 10 185 7 179 7 190 4*121 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography