DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 78.4 - - 67.9 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 142 - - -34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4703 - - 5399 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3361 - - 3993 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5363 - - 6059 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1499 - - 1556 - - 215 - - 75 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 375 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 28 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 236 - - 241 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -193 - - -2734 - - -5633 - - -4759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5556 - - 8793 - - 6375 - - 5502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4672 - - -8735 - - -12393 - - -13261 ODpotential blCL - - - 10035 - - 14794 - - 13135 - - 14003 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 75 - - 36 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 78.4 - - 67.9 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 42.1 - - 42.8 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 77.6 - - 70.7 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 41.6 - - 42.6 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 142 - - -34 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4703 - - 5399 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96744 45 238 45 248 41 259 25 281 96744 89400 26 220 32 244 26 260 20 262 89400 83837 11 203 21 241 15 253 18 259 83837 79255 7 236 14 250 11 238 15 267 79255 75294 11 277 10 268 7 198 14 237 75294 71793 16 264 8 288 8 194 15 224 71793 68635 20 236 15 241 13 223 19 227 68635 65738 24 219 27 205 23 216 30 220 65738 63056 25 225 26 209 28 210 32 207 63056 60468 30 225 31 239 29 235 30 256 60468 57772 23 241 40 250 34 234 48 252 57772 54929 47 249 48 250 44 231 49 248 54929 52161 60 243 56 249 52 240 57 243 52161 49656 68 244 65 248 61 245 66 238 49656 47432 77 244 81 243 75 245 77 238 47432 45445 84 246 88 238 88 246 87 243 45445 43646 96 248 92 243 96 248 103 246 43646 41999 104 251 107 251 107 251 114 246 41999 40467 113 255 116 251 117 251 117 245 40467 39021 116 253 118 250 122 251 118 245 39021 37648 112 248 115 248 120 248 119 246 37648 36312 110 248 113 244 119 244 117 243 36312 34950 104 247 114 240 118 241 119 239 34950 33535 95 246 117 239 118 241 117 237 33535 32066 89 246 111 241 111 244 114 235 32066 30530 89 247 96 245 98 245 108 237 30530 28924 88 247 85 247 84 243 92 241 28924 27253 82 244 80 249 78 244 80 242 27253 25508 76 243 75 249 75 247 77 242 25508 23686 70 245 69 247 72 248 76 242 23686 21788 64 248 65 244 72 245 73 241 21788 19807 61 249 62 240 71 242 71 241 19807 17739 65 243 61 238 66 240 66 242 17739 15628 68 234 58 236 56 239 58 244 15628 13594 67 227 53 236 47 240 47 243 13594 11748 61 224 48 236 41 247 39 239 11748 10113 56 226 44 238 35 252 31 240 10113 8668 52 233 41 243 29 253 24 243 8668 7386 45 238 39 242 27 250 22 247 7386 6245 36*243 34*239 27 243 23 252 6245 5232 32*241 30*237 26 242 24 259 5232 4338 31 240 30 237 25 244 24 261 4338 3546 30 240 29 237 25 246 24 262 3546 2836 29 239 28 236 24 247 24 263 2836 2208 29 239 28 236 24 248 23 262 2208 1684 28 238 27 236 23 249 23 260 1684 1281 26 238 26 236 21 248 21 257 1281 1004 25 237 24 235 17 246 17 252 1004 837 22 236 22 235 14 244 13*249 837 742 18 236 18 235 7*241 5*241 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography