DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 65.2 - - 71.6 - - 66.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 276 - - 198 - - -19 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 539 - - 1689 - - 2417 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1569 - - 1973 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1199 - - 2349 - - 3077 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 594 - - 394 - - 806 - - 2559 - - 134 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 314 - - 317 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 133 - - 129 - - 119 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4567 - - -4894 - - -5385 - - -5854 - - -4261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5767 - - 7243 - - 8462 - - 6597 - - 5002 sfcLCL ODpotential -14773 - - -11779 - - -10839 - - -12634 - - -12677 ODpotential blCL 15972 - - 14128 - - 13916 - - 13376 - - 13418 blCL maxRH 45 - - 47 - - 65 - - 39 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 65.2 - - 71.6 - - 66.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 36.6 - - 37.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 63.5 - - 70.3 - - 68.9 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 36.6 - - 37.4 - - 40.9 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 276 - - 198 - - -19 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 539 - - 1689 - - 2417 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 33 201 17 216 13 199 7 248 7 152 96624 89405 5 122 10 176 18 213 13 282 12 354 89405 83890 7 053 8 123 3 201 2 040 3 012 83890 79295 7 016 5 068 2 340 9 016 4 040 79295 75326 14 352 9 018 2 014 9 012 6 329 75326 71831 15 329 13 015 2 017 10 005 9 318 71831 68682 10 306 11 350 7 326 9 326 10 325 68682 65806 6 302 11 306 13 324 12 302 9 334 65806 63160 9 261 13 276 14 317 15 287 12 313 63160 60608 11 276 22 267 20 302 21 294 21 300 60608 57955 26 275 30 276 31 281 36 283 31 275 57955 55202 34 285 38 287 34 286 36 281 35 267 55202 52542 43 271 42 279 38 275 40 267 40 264 52542 50111 40 270 45 264 52 265 48 260 59 262 50111 47916 49 274 58 260 66 257 63 257 63 257 47916 45913 64 260 69 252 74 251 71 256 68 258 45913 44063 66 253 69 245 73 250 74 255 81 255 44063 42343 59 260 63 240 73 248 77 249 83 249 42343 40743 58 268 60 245 72 245 74 246 78 247 40743 39262 67 273 64 259 68 249 75 252 75 248 39262 37890 77 272 68 265 69 257 77 257 82 254 37890 36571 78 272 72 265 72 260 75 257 75 261 36571 35230 71 274 75 265 74 263 70 259 66 261 35230 33835 60 280 60 268 74 264 65 262 60 257 33835 32385 50 277 46 264 60 264 62 258 54 256 32385 30867 47 270 47 262 46 263 60 259 48 252 30867 29270 43 269 47 265 45 264 51 262 50 254 29270 27591 36 260 42 278 45 269 43 266 53 265 27591 25828 31 260 36 276 44 275 41 275 47 271 25828 23982 30 273 35 272 47 282 42 280 40 272 23982 22056 29 284 36 274 50 285 47 282 38 272 22056 20045 27 291 34 277 44 285 50 286 39 277 20045 17947 25 291 28 285 36 284 44 289 39 287 17947 15809 22 290 23 283 25 281 36 292 34 293 15809 13753 15 288 18 285 24 275 28 293 25 300 13753 11879 15 259 14 281 17 279 24 288 23 294 11879 10209 12 264 10 255 13 258 18 290 19 297 10209 8723 8 298 7 257 9 226 12 260 15 282 8723 7408 6 309 4 248 9 222 13 226 16 251 7408 6246 6 313 3 245 10 218 15 218 23 234 6246 5222 7 315 3 259 9 212 16 217 25 226 5222 4322 4 323 3 246 8 195 15 196 23 210 4322 3529 2 092 5 182 8*158 15 167 20 190 3529 2820 17 142 10*152 8*138 14 156 20 178 2820 2194 26 123 9*137 8 132 13 143 22 165 2194 1674 24 117 9 134 8 129 12 132 23 155 1674 1275 19*112 9 132 8 126 12 125 23 147 1275 1001 14*109 8 131 7 123 11 122 19 147 1001 835 13 108 8 130 7 124 8*120 15 146 835 741 10 107 7 130 7 123 5*119 6*141 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography