DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.8 - - 91.2 - - 95.1 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 227 - - 306 - - 296 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2350 - - 3502 - - 5366 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 1987 - - 2955 - - 4380 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 3010 - - 4162 - - 6026 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 658 - - 2759 - - 2485 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 331 - - 419 - - 479 - - - - - - W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 20 - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 219 - - 218 - - 209 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -7 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1048 - - -1048 - - -239 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4059 - - 5210 - - 6266 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -3770 - - -2290 - - -1127 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 6780 - - 6452 - - 7153 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 83 - - 98 - - 83 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 220 - - 1450 - - 1740 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 84.8 - - 91.2 - - 95.1 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.4 - - 70.7 - - 70.0 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.5 - - 89.3 - - 93.2 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.0 - - 70.2 - - 69.4 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 227 - - 306 - - 296 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2350 - - 3502 - - 5366 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 93 - - 32 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99025 48 098 42 110 32 107 99025 91519 37 086 38 098 37 101 91519 85742 29 082 34 087 35 098 85742 80977 30 091 33 086 31 097 80977 76900 35 086 32 092 30 098 76900 73307 36 077 33 095 27 093 73307 70063 34 077 31 092 26 089 70063 67096 29 073 28 091 26 088 67096 64368 25 078 28 089 26 080 64368 61754 22 077 23 074 22 092 61754 59036 21 067 23 056 24 070 59036 56227 20 056 20 062 21 048 56227 53566 19 049 19 052 20 036 53566 51182 23 039 19 042 18 043 51182 49042 23 020 20 029 20 039 49042 47091 24 010 18 034 19 036 47091 45290 25 003 17 040 17 040 45290 43608 25 001 18 036 19 048 43608 42028 24 359 17 033 21 054 42028 40537 22 348 16 025 24 058 40537 39125 20 348 17 015 24 054 39125 37759 21 358 16 022 21 050 37759 36366 20 358 15 044 19 048 36366 34915 18 355 16 044 20 046 34915 33406 18 357 16 035 23 051 33406 31826 19 007 18 033 24 058 31826 30163 18 016 19 049 26 068 30163 28416 16 026 17 056 26 072 28416 26585 18 034 15 054 21 064 26585 24675 13 353 12 034 14 041 24675 22691 9 003 11 021 10 022 22691 20625 10 022 9 033 10 025 20625 18473 9 033 9 032 8 027 18473 16279 4 041 6 016 8 011 16279 14167 11 102 5 127 1 073 14167 12244 4 076 4 190 4 202 12244 10538 5 290 6 241 7 213 10538 9026 9 272 7 240 6 233 9026 7682 10 274 9 233 7 244 7682 6488 9 241 9 221 8*232 6488 5430 12 219 10 230 9*221 5430 4496 16 222 11*227 10 217 4496 3670 23*225 12*224 11 210 3670 2931 22*221 12 221 11 207 2931 2276 21 220 12 219 11 206 2276 1729 20 218 12 217 11 204 1729 1309 20 218 12 215 11 203 1309 1021 19 217 11 214 11 203 1021 845 17 217 11 215 11 203 845 744 15 217 10 214 10 202 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography