DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 70.9 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 148 - - -34 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2251 - - 2516 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1953 - - 1913 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2911 - - 3176 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 623 - - 1006 - - 1582 - - 786 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 293 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 204 - - 172 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1810 - - -1923 - - -2335 - - -2286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4721 - - 5099 - - 3077 - - 3029 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6020 - - -5292 - - -8065 - - -9639 ODpotential blCL - - - 8931 - - 8468 - - 8807 - - 10381 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 65 - - 64 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 70.9 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 58.3 - - 59.9 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 77.1 - - 72.2 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 58.0 - - 59.8 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 148 - - -34 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2251 - - 2516 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96902 33 257 37 253 43 260 42 267 96902 89601 31 258 30 254 35 271 30 272 89601 83971 25 247 27 265 30 276 26 276 83971 79331 17 234 26 262 23 270 21 266 79331 75355 5 244 15 244 18 277 14 261 75355 71848 10 284 13 249 13 268 14 272 71848 68703 16 246 13 273 8 272 15 288 68703 65832 19 279 25 292 18 288 17 285 65832 63168 26 274 22 286 26 273 26 274 63168 60600 26 256 24 273 29 268 32 260 60600 57930 34 268 36 273 38 265 37 259 57930 55149 48 267 46 264 43 260 43 267 55149 52482 54 260 51 257 48 263 45 275 52482 50065 51 261 52 258 51 268 46 286 50065 47881 51 265 52 264 51 270 51 287 47881 45897 51 270 47 272 43 273 51 278 45897 44086 48 273 45 288 35 276 43 266 44086 42420 46 278 44 292 41 306 40 292 42420 40879 43 285 44 296 49 304 55 301 40879 39440 37 296 43 298 47 303 54 296 39440 38079 37 304 42 299 43 309 44 289 38079 36758 37 306 40 300 38 316 32 287 36758 35412 36 304 36 306 36 317 27 289 35412 34008 34 303 36 308 37 314 28 287 34008 32551 32 304 36 305 38 312 27 292 32551 31027 30 304 34 302 36 314 27 299 31027 29424 28 300 34 305 33 316 27 299 29424 27740 26 293 31 304 30 317 25 294 27740 25973 24 290 26 306 27 307 24 291 25973 24123 26 282 26 313 30 302 26 292 24123 22192 28 269 25 305 31 303 29 294 22192 20176 26 275 25 288 31 308 29 301 20176 18071 25 276 24 275 23 307 27 311 18071 15923 25 264 21 270 21 295 24 313 15923 13854 27 254 25 267 21 283 23 303 13854 11974 23 247 25 273 22 284 21 296 11974 10304 19 236 25 263 24 279 24 293 10304 8819 18 245 23 255 25 259 28 285 8819 7498 22 247 23 254 26 254 26 275 7498 6326 22 238 20 246 26 249 27 262 6326 5288 21 239 18 239 24 237 30 246 5288 4374 19 246 17 234 23 221 30 224 4374 3569 19*237 16*219 23 209 32 213 3569 2849 17*218 16*209 24 199 35 200 2849 2215 17 214 15 205 26 191 36 193 2215 1687 16 212 15 203 27 183 34 181 1687 1283 16 211 15 202 25 179 30 177 1283 1006 15 211 14 201 20 175 22 174 1006 838 14 211 14 201 17 174 19 173 838 742 13 210 12 201 11*172 12*173 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography