DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 92.2 - - 90.1 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 180 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4965 - - 4569 - - 3662 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3997 - - 3570 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5625 - - 5229 - - 4322 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2826 - - 6999 - - 5774 - - 3135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 443 - - 396 - - 205 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 075 - - 058 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 221 - - -303 - - -442 - - -320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5404 - - 5532 - - 4764 - - 1064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -917 - - -1311 - - -1830 - - -1992 ODpotential blCL - - - 6542 - - 6540 - - 6152 - - 2736 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 80 - - 72 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 2650 - - 3380 - - 3860 - - 5080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 92.2 - - 90.1 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.8 - - 70.3 - - 71.5 - - 77.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.5 - - 90.9 - - 89.8 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 69.0 - - 70.9 - - 77.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 180 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4965 - - 4569 - - 3662 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 20 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98383 11 136 4 073 12 043 9 072 98383 90933 10 119 10 082 9 095 11 080 90933 85197 6 083 8 096 7 115 12 061 85197 80434 12 095 9 125 7 092 13 064 80434 76352 18 080 16 126 10 090 14 075 76352 72766 14 061 18 102 14 088 13 077 72766 69548 9 072 13 069 15 073 15 075 69548 66611 7 092 9 043 12 055 13 058 66611 63899 8 112 4 358 10 009 12 069 63899 61280 5 132 6 260 11 337 6 013 61280 58568 2 037 6 273 12 323 5 305 58568 55756 12 321 12 300 13 301 11 323 55756 53045 18 273 18 276 15 282 17 293 53045 50580 18 249 19 259 17 273 19 273 50580 48360 22 243 25 251 21 257 20 258 48360 46356 30 238 28 240 24 243 19 250 46356 44552 30 239 30 240 24 231 21 240 44552 42907 29 244 27 243 20 227 19 225 42907 41372 26 244 20 248 18 226 15 218 41372 39923 20 230 22 246 20 243 13 238 39923 38546 13 222 25 239 21 246 13 247 38546 37205 11 252 17 236 16 246 15 254 37205 35834 14 272 14 258 18 265 18 271 35834 34404 18 278 14 262 23 276 18 298 34404 32919 20 284 18 272 18 291 13 295 32919 31364 17 272 17 285 14 303 12 268 31364 29729 13 263 13 279 14 290 16 280 29729 28018 7 309 5 287 11 273 15 298 28018 26225 7 341 5 010 2 275 15 321 26225 24350 7 343 6 013 8 026 14 328 24350 22401 7 358 6 023 11 031 16 334 22401 20373 4 016 6 028 7 038 10 334 20373 18260 3 097 4 079 5 049 8 354 18260 16105 7 114 4 095 5 062 9 023 16105 14024 6 110 6 070 7 067 8 047 14024 12129 9 105 8 082 9 072 10 076 12129 10445 16 098 10 088 12 085 15 084 10445 8948 14 095 11 085 13 095 17 084 8948 7617 11 096 11 084 14 092 19 093 7617 6433 8*089 10 081 13 084 19 102 6433 5384 8*086 10*079 12 076 17 100 5384 4459 7 082 9*079 12*071 17 099 4459 3640 7 080 9 076 11*066 18 100 3640 2908 7 077 9 075 11 063 19 099 2908 2260 7 073 9 073 10 059 18 099 2260 1719 7 071 8 074 9 054 17 101 1719 1303 7 070 8 072 8 050 15 102 1303 1016 7 069 8 072 8 048 12 100 1016 843 7 068 8 072 7 047 9*099 843 744 6 068 7 072 6 046 5*097 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography