DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.6 - - 59.7 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 57 - - -22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 2397 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 724 - - 1335 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2015 - - 3057 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 819 - - 745 - - 2970 - - 2198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 235 - - 38 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 23 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 004 - - 007 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 273 - - 647 - - -1176 - - -604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1742 - - 2410 - - 1918 - - 1345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8155 - - -7165 - - -1748 - - -1900 ODpotential blCL - - - 10170 - - 10222 - - 2490 - - 2641 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 91 - - 86 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.6 - - 59.7 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 53.7 - - 54.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 61.3 - - 60.5 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 52.3 - - 52.9 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 57 - - -22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 2397 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 62 - - 43 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97221 43 258 39 260 43 274 40 278 97221 89912 32 262 30 263 34 278 33 284 89912 84304 20 270 26 270 26 276 24 292 84304 79660 13 296 19 269 19 295 14 307 79660 75658 4 358 11 267 12 309 8 289 75658 72127 4 044 3 274 6 223 6 267 72127 68940 4 325 4 002 4 140 5 308 68940 66026 6 320 10 288 9 331 7 332 66026 63335 11 327 8 328 3 318 11 351 63335 60734 26 285 25 296 27 302 24 311 60734 58029 29 272 25 277 23 285 22 294 58029 55213 27 281 23 283 19 294 27 298 55213 52508 40 279 35 288 37 292 36 290 52508 50055 46 279 47 282 47 286 41 285 50055 47839 53 278 55 275 53 274 48 275 47839 45819 60 271 57 268 53 267 50 269 45819 43972 61 263 59 263 53 264 51 262 43972 42283 59 251 58 250 56 255 51 260 42283 40729 56 239 56 234 57 243 50 262 40729 39281 50 236 55 228 53 234 54 272 39281 37921 40 235 53 223 49 236 65 276 37921 36608 35 235 52 222 50 243 63 266 36608 35267 33 229 51 226 54 253 59 262 35267 33866 32 225 49 232 57 258 57 264 33866 32409 33 233 49 237 56 258 52 262 32409 30879 34 240 49 241 54 255 52 262 30879 29265 35 247 47 245 51 254 47 262 29265 27567 35 251 43 253 46 253 44 259 27567 25785 34 252 38 253 45 252 42 253 25785 23924 32 251 37 248 49 251 41 259 23924 21986 29 252 37 247 50 249 41 266 21986 19965 26 246 33 243 45 262 37 273 19965 17856 25 241 32 247 36 272 30 278 17856 15708 23 237 32 262 28 272 23 276 15708 13644 21 234 32 269 21 286 16 287 13644 11768 22 254 30 272 17 316 14 308 11768 10104 23 287 21 304 11 336 10 327 10104 8628 22 308 15 338 8 352 7 315 8628 7317 19 310 12 335 6 017 14 344 7317 6161 12 312 18 006 16 016 22 003 6161 5144 9 318 35 015 28 015 27 022 5144 4255 17 014 35 012 29 015 29 033 4255 3475 37 019 29*006 27 011 28 033 3475 2780 41 018 26*004 25 010 26 028 2780 2168 35*015 25 004 24 009 24 026 2168 1659 31*014 23 004 23 009 23 025 1659 1267 28 014 22 004 20 008 21 023 1267 998 25 013 21 004 18 008 16 019 998 835 22 013 19 004 15*007 14 017 835 741 17 013 15 004 11*007 8*015 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography