DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 159 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3901 - - 2836 - - 624 - - 502 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3267 - - 2240 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4561 - - 3496 - - 1284 - - 1162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3110 - - 3015 - - 1230 - - 1821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 437 - - 326 - - 125 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 115 - - 015 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 4 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 26 - - 122 - - 512 - - -379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4535 - - 3374 - - 772 - - 1541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -431 - - -891 - - 280 - - -5322 ODpotential blCL - - - 4992 - - 4387 - - 1004 - - 6484 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 84 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 2450 - - 3330 - - 2310 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.1 - - 69.8 - - 70.1 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 81.3 - - 71.2 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 68.7 - - 69.8 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 159 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3901 - - 2836 - - 624 - - 502 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 36 - - 101 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97933 11 163 22 210 22 257 11 272 97933 90496 5 240 10 202 15 262 8 248 90496 84815 8 198 11 212 8 216 3 264 84815 80095 6 237 5 137 9 181 2 008 80095 76015 13 225 6 255 5 221 5 203 76015 72422 10 192 14 236 12 258 7 243 72422 69194 7 270 7 210 9 261 11 253 69194 66247 20 255 19 245 16 261 13 245 66247 63518 26 231 31 247 25 258 16 254 63518 60867 26 240 32 252 29 271 26 264 60867 58105 30 261 33 259 35 274 34 271 58105 55239 38 264 37 260 42 258 38 269 55239 52501 45 255 40 261 43 251 39 263 52501 50049 50 251 46 257 39 260 39 260 50049 47861 54 250 51 251 45 266 42 267 47861 45859 56 247 53 249 55 258 52 266 45859 44006 53 249 53 248 62 252 62 252 44006 42299 49 256 50 249 64 250 65 242 42299 40742 49 259 46 253 59 251 61 240 40742 39306 46 258 42 256 42 246 55 242 39306 37955 42 257 36 257 23 239 49 242 37955 36643 38 258 31 261 23 243 45 241 36643 35302 37 260 29 268 22 250 42 242 35302 33903 37 264 28 276 21 255 38 245 33903 32450 36 272 27 280 21 263 34 248 32450 30928 36 280 24 279 21 266 33 253 30928 29323 38 283 23 275 22 266 33 257 29323 27636 36 282 24 270 24 267 32 257 27636 25864 30 280 24 273 27 269 29 260 25864 24013 26 289 25 267 30 270 26 266 24013 22084 28 280 25 257 31 271 24 274 22084 20075 25 273 26 248 32 272 22 278 20075 17982 23 275 28 250 32 273 22 284 17982 15852 21 281 28 258 30 268 30 305 15852 13801 15 281 23 266 25 269 23 308 13801 11936 16 242 17 265 21 280 18 284 11936 10276 21 216 12 246 20 290 23 266 10276 8797 17 205 11 224 17 278 28 259 8797 7479 13 190 11 203 17 253 22 253 7479 6306 13 181 12 180 14 235 11 235 6306 5267 13*174 13 156 8 192 6 188 5267 4353 14*167 14 141 7 150 5 100 4353 3549 14 158 13*132 5 096 14 054 3549 2835 15 156 13*124 5 042 23 040 2835 2207 15 155 13 117 6 019 25 032 2207 1684 14 155 13 114 9 014 23 030 1684 1282 14 154 13 112 10*014 20*029 1282 1006 13 154 12 111 10*015 17*027 1006 838 13 154 12 111 9 015 14 026 838 742 11 154 10 110 8 015 10 024 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography