DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 74.0 - - 79.4 - - 77.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 150 - - 350 - - 247 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1336 - - 3152 - - 4780 - - 3774 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 1064 - - 2731 - - 3838 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1996 - - 3812 - - 5440 - - 4434 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 832 - - 947 - - 755 - - 1098 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* 238 - - 421 - - 432 - - 128 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 13 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 046 - - 063 - - 134 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1744 - - -1315 - - -937 - - -1580 - - -3261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3740 - - 5127 - - 6377 - - 6015 - - 4004 sfcLCL ODpotential -10769 - - -7458 - - -5759 - - -6709 - - -11352 ODpotential blCL 12765 - - 11270 - - 11199 - - 11143 - - 12094 blCL maxRH 76 - - 83 - - 90 - - 72 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 74.0 - - 79.4 - - 77.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.8 - - 54.2 - - 54.1 - - 53.8 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.5 - - 72.0 - - 77.8 - - 77.4 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.4 - - 53.6 - - 53.4 - - 53.4 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 150 - - 350 - - 247 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1336 - - 3152 - - 4780 - - 3774 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 32 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96926 36 269 32 280 32 275 42 272 31 279 96926 89651 23 270 28 278 23 268 31 276 24 287 89651 84093 12 264 19 257 22 263 24 278 17 286 84093 79487 5 302 10 250 14 259 19 262 16 296 79487 75513 6 320 7 277 12 286 15 263 12 295 75513 71994 7 297 8 295 13 300 12 276 11 281 71994 68815 12 281 8 285 10 288 14 288 14 289 68815 65914 17 274 13 291 11 292 15 286 14 285 65914 63243 17 285 19 300 11 296 15 300 15 311 63243 60673 20 296 19 303 17 313 20 299 21 317 60673 57986 21 294 17 293 23 302 22 301 27 323 57986 55181 15 282 17 290 24 286 35 298 40 309 55181 52492 13 297 21 290 33 292 38 287 36 289 52492 50040 22 295 29 297 39 292 39 293 34 306 50040 47818 24 286 34 295 38 287 38 300 42 307 47818 45806 32 287 36 281 38 281 42 304 44 303 45806 43984 37 278 35 264 39 282 43 300 41 294 43984 42322 37 288 36 278 39 286 37 298 37 295 42322 40793 42 297 39 291 34 282 30 297 33 322 40793 39366 37 300 38 296 32 284 29 304 46 335 39366 38017 35 301 33 293 38 281 33 315 51 335 38017 36708 35 295 32 292 39 279 34 316 46 339 36708 35370 31 290 32 291 38 285 30 316 41 345 35370 33973 28 280 29 288 36 293 28 319 41 348 33973 32521 26 272 26 286 34 297 33 325 38 351 32521 30999 25 273 27 288 32 300 34 330 34 344 30999 29391 26 284 28 293 28 306 30 327 32 340 29391 27701 29 296 30 295 26 313 28 321 27 332 27701 25929 29 302 31 292 28 313 23 324 25 328 25929 24078 26 303 27 297 27 300 22 315 22 321 24078 22156 22 301 21 303 23 303 22 303 21 308 22156 20159 18 306 19 308 22 311 20 306 22 297 20159 18070 18 317 18 306 22 305 20 302 26 293 18070 15927 16 324 16 296 22 295 25 292 29 288 15927 13852 12 323 17 289 22 290 26 283 31 288 13852 11960 10 305 17 277 22 283 22 267 30 282 11960 10279 8 277 18 254 22 267 17 253 24 263 10279 8790 6 282 16 248 18 262 14 244 20 241 8790 7470 4 269 10 257 11 243 11 241 18 227 7470 6299 6 267 2 280 4*161 8 212 16 220 6299 5266 8 271 5 072 6*074 2*139 14 193 5266 4358 6 242 10*057 6 070 2*122 15 180 4358 3559 4 203 13*050 6 066 2 130 11 179 3559 2845 11 051 13 048 6 062 2 132 5 181 2845 2215 17*043 13 046 6 060 2 135 3 194 2215 1688 16*038 13 045 6 057 2 139 3 207 1688 1285 16 037 12 044 6 055 2 139 5 214 1285 1006 16 036 12 043 6 053 2 140 7 221 1006 838 15 035 11 042 5 053 2 141 7 223 838 742 12 034 10 042 5 053 2 142 4*226 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography