DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 100.0 - - 96.8 - - 88.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 267 - - 4 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5675 - - 6280 - - 2601 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4712 - - 5044 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6335 - - 6940 - - 3261 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1771 - - 2746 - - 5367 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 522 - - 488 - - 124 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 204 - - 183 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -14 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -656 - - -2279 - - -4913 - - -4888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6991 - - 9219 - - 8174 - - 5633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3710 - - -4522 - - -7670 - - -8852 ODpotential blCL - - - 10045 - - 11462 - - 10931 - - 9596 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 72 - - 68 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 2090 - - 770 - - 1120 - - 1200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 100.0 - - 96.8 - - 88.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.4 - - 62.0 - - 63.5 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.5 - - 98.2 - - 97.0 - - 90.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 61.3 - - 63.0 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 267 - - 4 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5675 - - 6280 - - 2601 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99068 32 116 32 104 23 096 34 083 99068 91598 37 097 33 111 32 088 32 087 91598 85824 36 088 33 105 31 083 32 091 85824 81026 31 088 28 091 30 096 34 092 81026 76910 23 100 22 093 24 094 28 094 76910 73282 20 097 17 104 19 086 19 086 73282 70002 18 081 19 106 14 090 14 076 70002 67000 14 074 16 096 13 092 9 092 67000 64237 10 081 10 085 11 066 10 099 64237 61592 8 096 9 053 13 042 13 071 61592 58861 12 090 9 056 10 057 13 043 58861 56037 12 071 10 093 8 082 11 025 56037 53344 11 045 8 108 6 040 7 014 53344 50925 5 046 4 133 8 353 4 010 50925 48762 6 093 6 138 3 348 2 132 48762 46799 9 111 8 104 5 130 6 118 46799 45002 5 118 8 090 7 101 11 080 45002 43338 11 153 13 132 13 117 11 080 43338 41779 18 153 16 136 21 123 16 110 41779 40306 17 158 12 126 18 126 18 113 40306 38909 14 139 11 089 14 130 12 102 38909 37552 11 112 12 065 14 134 9 101 37552 36167 9 084 13 056 13 135 9 116 36167 34722 8 063 10 068 8 137 5 120 34722 33224 5 068 6 077 2 129 2 127 33224 31658 4 148 1 107 3 282 1 311 31658 30010 7 160 4 223 6 264 4 311 30010 28278 11 154 8 234 8 274 6 334 28278 26464 10 158 11 248 9 317 11 355 26464 24572 6 163 9 257 16 346 12 003 24572 22607 2 095 5 272 15 340 8 004 22607 20562 7 014 3 295 9 337 8 012 20562 18430 7 340 5 284 6 312 12 360 18430 16257 8 290 6 312 6 320 12 333 16257 14166 6 252 4 301 7 328 8 338 14166 12266 3 006 1 165 3 329 3 317 12266 10574 4 040 4 120 2 136 0 307 10574 9066 5 039 2 151 4 250 2 310 9066 7719 4 205 7*226 10 245 5 280 7719 6520 10*225 8*221 11 237 9 242 6520 5455 11*226 9 217 12 228 14 231 5455 4514 11 225 9 211 12 211 16 221 4514 3682 12 222 11 203 13*197 18 210 3682 2938 12 218 11 199 15*186 21 202 2938 2280 12 216 11 196 16 184 24 198 2280 1731 12 214 12 195 15 183 24 195 1731 1309 11 212 12 194 15 183 23 192 1309 1020 11 211 11 193 15 183 18 188 1020 844 11 210 11 193 14 182 15*187 844 744 10 210 10 193 11 182 8*185 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography