DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.7 - - 95.4 - - 93.3 - - 86.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 481 - - 388 - - 101 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5245 - - 6709 - - 5092 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4469 - - 5550 - - 3513 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5905 - - 7369 - - 5752 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2195 - - 2588 - - 3512 - - 4447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 559 - - 328 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 175 - - 172 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -896 - - 133 - - -838 - - -3802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6802 - - 7236 - - 6590 - - 4546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3491 - - -559 - - -1994 - - -6114 ODpotential blCL - - - 9396 - - 7928 - - 7746 - - 6858 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 75 - - 75 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 770 - - 1310 - - 1420 - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.7 - - 95.4 - - 93.3 - - 86.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.3 - - 66.1 - - 66.9 - - 69.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.9 - - 93.0 - - 92.6 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 65.7 - - 66.6 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 481 - - 388 - - 101 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5245 - - 6709 - - 5092 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98850 32 091 30 100 29 083 34 066 98850 91394 30 096 31 091 28 081 35 074 91394 85688 31 099 34 085 27 086 27 072 85688 80953 22 094 32 080 27 083 25 082 80953 76859 19 084 25 092 25 069 24 079 76859 73259 18 084 18 105 21 069 18 072 73259 70024 14 096 12 107 13 066 18 062 70024 67044 12 104 8 110 8 099 10 038 67044 64279 9 073 9 083 7 112 3 034 64279 61614 3 049 8 042 4 069 3 050 61614 58868 3 227 5 329 7 350 7 356 58868 56052 6 262 6 301 12 329 9 344 56052 53376 9 252 8 287 17 296 15 304 53376 50968 10 230 11 245 17 274 19 281 50968 48808 12 219 12 236 15 236 18 253 48808 46844 18 209 18 210 18 225 20 224 46844 45036 21 191 20 193 22 205 21 213 45036 43356 22 188 25 186 25 193 21 210 43356 41784 24 188 26 185 25 185 21 205 41784 40303 26 188 25 186 23 183 20 195 40303 38899 26 187 23 193 20 186 18 193 38899 37534 24 186 22 194 20 184 17 197 37534 36142 22 183 22 189 18 187 14 205 36142 34692 19 180 20 189 15 204 14 223 34692 33190 15 182 18 197 12 215 13 237 33190 31617 13 180 16 200 12 223 11 256 31617 29964 14 175 14 197 13 235 12 275 29964 28232 15 174 13 192 13 238 13 286 28232 26421 14 180 11 211 12 238 12 295 26421 24530 12 202 10 237 9 255 11 302 24530 22563 8 228 8 243 9 286 11 334 22563 20515 7 239 8 268 11 323 12 352 20515 18379 7 243 8 284 14 349 11 014 18379 16197 5 252 6 280 10 356 11 024 16197 14094 6 217 6 227 3 261 6 017 14094 12188 6 196 6 215 4 257 4 339 12188 10500 4 220 6 238 5 278 4 312 10500 8998 4 247 5 241 3 277 3 297 8998 7659 4 234 5*220 3 165 5 201 7659 6469 8*199 5*191 8*159 11 190 6469 5415 9*193 7 178 10*161 15 182 5415 4484 9 191 8 174 11 164 17 175 4484 3661 10 189 9 173 12 170 18 171 3661 2922 11 188 9 173 12 172 18 172 2922 2270 11 188 10 173 13 175 18 176 2270 1725 11 188 10 173 13 177 18 180 1725 1306 11 188 10 174 13 178 17 182 1306 1018 11 188 10 174 12 179 14 182 1018 843 10 187 10 174 12 179 12*182 843 744 10 188 9 174 10 179 6*181 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography