DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 78.8 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 253 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4225 - - 5124 - - - - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3532 - - 4114 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4885 - - 5784 - - - - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2661 - - 3043 - - - - - 504 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 455 - - 446 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 175 - - - - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 94 - - -144 - - - - - -3038 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4791 - - 5929 - - - - - 3781 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -391 - - -841 - - - - - -5770 ODpotential blCL - - - 5276 - - 6625 - - - - - 6512 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 85 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 220 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 78.8 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 55.4 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 77.1 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 54.8 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 253 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4225 - - 5124 - - - - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 39 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97564 48 236 44 240 37 253 97564 90134 42 249 45 240 38 258 90134 84432 40 254 42 246 34 261 84432 79730 32 256 33 254 30 268 79730 75715 29 266 22 259 23 270 75715 72182 24 267 20 278 17 274 72182 68988 19 259 20 284 14 278 68988 66054 20 256 22 282 14 283 66054 63337 24 267 22 271 20 281 63337 60707 33 270 25 268 27 284 60707 57959 39 268 32 266 34 277 57959 55098 44 270 37 264 42 271 55098 52358 49 268 43 262 47 265 52358 49882 50 265 49 262 46 263 49882 47652 51 265 51 266 48 264 47652 45631 48 265 53 268 50 264 45631 43790 43 264 50 262 45 263 43790 42109 40 264 43 256 39 262 42109 40567 37 262 35 254 35 259 40567 39129 35 257 33 247 30 258 39129 37775 34 253 31 246 27 258 37775 36464 32 255 28 248 24 261 36464 35128 28 254 25 252 23 258 35128 33735 23 254 21 255 24 256 33735 32288 20 256 20 253 27 253 32288 30772 15 258 16 253 29 250 30772 29177 12 257 14 249 27 245 29177 27501 11 256 18 254 23 240 27501 25747 13 264 20 257 18 256 25747 23915 15 267 17 261 14 281 23915 22009 14 264 12 259 6 297 22009 20016 11 254 7 264 3 286 20016 17930 8 225 8 220 5 231 17930 15799 6 203 10 208 11 247 15799 13748 9 144 10 200 16 228 13748 11879 9 144 13 202 13 240 11879 10220 15 181 14 204 15 262 10220 8753 15 176 13 199 15 249 8753 7450 16 161 13 181 12 223 7450 6292 17 160 14*174 15 174 6292 5267 17*166 14*173 21 157 5267 4363 16*171 14 173 23 157 4363 3564 16 174 13 174 24 159 3564 2849 16 176 13 175 23 164 2849 2217 15 177 13 176 23 170 2217 1689 15 179 13 177 22 173 1689 1285 14 180 12 178 20 171 1285 1007 14 181 12 179 16 165 1007 839 13 181 11 179 13 162 839 742 12 182 10 180 7*158 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography