DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.0 - - 90.9 - - 89.8 - - 83.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 145 - - 321 - - 12 - - -11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 832 - - 3785 - - 4495 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 3184 - - 2021 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1492 - - 4445 - - 5155 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 714 - - 4582 - - 4373 - - 4301 - - 1310 Hgt.Variab. W* 201 - - 435 - - 238 - - 29 - - 23 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 098 - - 095 - - 177 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2573 - - -1399 - - 94 - - -1258 - - -418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4065 - - 5844 - - 5061 - - 2002 - - 1161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5457 - - -2095 - - -1308 - - -3139 - - -3407 ODpotential blCL 6949 - - 6540 - - 6463 - - 3883 - - 4150 blCL maxRH 67 - - 80 - - 84 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 1190 - - 1640 - - 3820 - - 3210 CAPE Temp@2m 82.0 - - 90.9 - - 89.8 - - 83.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.7 - - 67.7 - - 70.0 - - 77.0 - - 77.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.9 - - 88.9 - - 89.8 - - 84.8 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.5 - - 67.3 - - 68.7 - - 76.4 - - 76.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 145 - - 321 - - 12 - - -11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 832 - - 3785 - - 4495 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 22 - - 35 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 20 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98478 3 036 10 167 12 195 9 275 7 350 98478 91049 8 119 4 126 6 164 2 271 10 049 91049 85322 7 114 11 084 6 116 1 219 10 067 85322 80581 17 100 11 085 10 083 6 116 9 091 80581 76514 11 077 4 102 8 062 11 081 11 089 76514 72935 5 059 2 085 5 060 11 070 13 070 72935 69701 3 125 2 182 4 073 8 084 6 058 69701 66738 4 098 7 200 2 234 4 045 2 064 66738 64016 6 058 7 183 7 227 5 292 4 323 64016 61415 5 008 4 089 2 119 7 221 4 253 61415 58733 7 251 6 278 8 323 3 333 3 052 58733 55965 11 218 15 231 16 268 14 303 11 307 55965 53341 14 250 18 254 18 265 18 277 20 270 53341 50993 27 252 22 265 21 272 21 277 21 282 50993 48876 24 262 26 271 28 281 29 284 30 292 48876 46928 27 282 37 267 40 279 45 281 42 279 46928 45126 38 280 45 270 48 276 48 272 44 268 45126 43454 38 281 48 269 49 267 42 257 38 257 43454 41887 33 284 36 274 37 255 33 245 33 253 41887 40405 36 284 26 267 25 246 29 258 30 256 40405 38999 34 293 17 274 19 250 25 263 23 259 38999 37632 25 297 19 275 19 261 23 262 19 261 37632 36235 24 286 23 268 24 261 26 264 21 261 36235 34780 25 273 25 257 26 255 26 260 24 257 34780 33271 24 261 23 254 25 250 25 254 24 253 33271 31691 20 263 22 252 24 249 23 246 23 250 31691 30027 15 264 19 247 22 247 20 242 22 250 30027 28281 10 265 14 242 20 239 16 238 18 243 28281 26454 7 262 10 229 19 230 15 233 15 233 26454 24545 6 212 9 223 16 231 15 227 15 233 24545 22559 4 213 8 212 11 223 11 222 12 223 22559 20492 3 189 7 190 6 209 7 214 7 203 20492 18343 3 182 5 179 5 173 9 212 4 216 18343 16159 0 246 4 173 7 163 9 179 2 135 16159 14060 4 144 7 150 7 159 4 144 2 105 14060 12158 10 102 11 135 6 134 5 079 4 121 12158 10471 11 098 9 120 7 120 10 088 6 111 10471 8974 8 097 8 107 7 109 13 094 13 108 8974 7644 6 124 5 122 8 102 15 094 17 112 7644 6458 7 150 5 137 8 099 15 095 17 115 6458 5403 7 159 5 127 8*097 14 098 16 118 5403 4472 7 161 8*110 8*097 13 101 14 118 4472 3647 7 167 9*101 9 095 11 107 11 118 3647 2910 6 178 9 099 9 095 9 115 9 119 2910 2258 5 139 10 098 8 094 8 133 9 127 2258 1716 8*106 10 098 8 095 8 155 9 129 1716 1301 8*103 9 097 8 094 8 168 8 121 1301 1016 7 102 9 097 8 094 8 173 7 115 1016 843 7 102 9 097 7 094 7*175 6 117 843 743 6 101 8 097 7 094 5*177 4*121 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography