DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 87.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 166 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1929 - - 2754 - - - - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1760 - - 2178 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2589 - - 3414 - - - - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 568 - - 1220 - - - - - 218 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 322 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 25 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 204 - - - - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4473 - - -5231 - - - - - -3145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7063 - - 8646 - - - - - 3887 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10351 - - -10229 - - - - - -11489 ODpotential blCL - - - 12940 - - 13643 - - - - - 12231 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 40 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 87.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 52.3 - - - - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 86.6 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 51.2 - - - - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 166 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1929 - - 2754 - - - - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97009 35 240 31 254 32 269 97009 89711 22 278 23 267 27 262 89711 84138 15 270 21 259 18 288 84138 79529 4 244 10 250 19 297 79529 75555 6 201 5 288 10 287 75555 72049 8 185 8 282 6 306 72049 68877 2 107 7 240 10 285 68877 65968 2 214 7 224 10 277 65968 63294 10 228 10 238 11 256 63294 60726 13 230 14 242 13 252 60726 58051 12 230 17 259 13 276 58051 55265 13 241 20 275 12 300 55265 52592 18 236 21 264 12 300 52592 50170 18 243 20 253 15 284 50170 47992 20 242 20 251 19 260 47992 46007 13 276 17 259 19 250 46007 44182 14 301 18 283 17 267 44182 42500 10 307 21 280 17 278 42500 40943 13 325 18 289 21 313 40943 39496 16 320 14 321 23 315 39496 38137 13 322 12 329 20 313 38137 36819 11 337 8 350 18 319 36819 35472 11 347 9 337 17 317 35472 34066 13 347 13 314 14 306 34066 32605 16 347 15 316 12 310 32605 31077 18 341 15 320 9 312 31077 29469 16 338 16 324 12 316 29469 27784 15 345 19 330 17 328 27784 26018 19 001 18 332 17 323 26018 24175 25 002 13 339 15 311 24175 22255 21 358 15 352 11 308 22255 20255 14 359 13 342 11 331 20255 18168 12 347 13 328 15 337 18168 16031 11 335 14 318 20 337 16031 13959 11 322 14 314 19 332 13959 12065 11 307 13 305 12 290 12065 10381 10 279 15 286 16 289 10381 8888 11 233 16 264 22 295 8888 7560 18 208 20 245 26 296 7560 6379 25 210 26 236 25 284 6379 5333 27 215 30 233 25 260 5333 4412 29 222 30 226 27 240 4412 3600 33 225 29*217 28 229 3600 2874 31*220 28*211 33 212 2874 2234 26*209 27 206 34 203 2234 1699 25 207 26 203 31 199 1699 1290 24 207 25 202 27 196 1290 1009 23 206 23 201 18 191 1009 839 21 205 21 200 15 190 839 742 18 205 18 200 5*184 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography