DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 79.3 - - 75.9 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 316 - - 40 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3137 - - 3014 - - 2410 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2781 - - 2598 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3797 - - 3674 - - 3070 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 777 - - 774 - - 1069 - - 1080 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 449 - - 403 - - 193 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 24 - - 26 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 197 - - 195 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -923 - - -871 - - -181 - - -1249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4720 - - 4545 - - 3251 - - 1991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4783 - - -4310 - - -4931 - - -7382 ODpotential blCL - - - 8580 - - 7984 - - 8001 - - 8124 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 79 - - 84 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 460 - - 440 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 79.3 - - 75.9 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 61.6 - - 63.7 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 77.7 - - 75.7 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 61.1 - - 63.5 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 316 - - 40 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3137 - - 3014 - - 2410 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 15 - - 38 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97986 7 267 16 258 21 303 13 329 97986 90550 10 248 13 244 16 286 15 299 90550 84803 11 269 9 240 11 261 16 308 84803 80029 7 291 5 226 13 213 14 261 80029 75908 13 277 12 323 3 324 9 225 75908 72261 22 255 24 273 19 288 12 262 72261 68979 18 270 19 267 20 296 20 292 68979 66009 19 293 25 281 29 296 28 290 66009 63290 31 285 34 279 29 274 28 283 63290 60661 43 281 37 291 35 296 31 289 60661 57909 46 291 56 289 52 297 42 292 57909 55058 64 281 70 279 66 287 58 294 55058 52357 67 277 71 285 71 288 75 295 52357 49954 75 288 81 294 87 290 95 291 49954 47826 91 290 95 290 100 284 101 284 47826 45910 92 289 97 289 102 284 96 285 45910 44152 94 297 94 292 100 290 95 293 44152 42517 104 303 99 298 106 296 104 296 42517 40980 108 300 105 298 111 296 110 293 40980 39525 111 297 109 298 111 295 107 292 39525 38143 112 297 111 298 110 295 106 293 38143 36798 112 297 110 298 108 296 103 294 36798 35424 110 295 108 297 106 297 99 292 35424 33992 105 295 104 295 101 296 97 289 33992 32505 102 294 98 293 94 294 95 288 32505 30952 102 293 92 294 85 293 91 289 30952 29320 94 293 90 293 80 294 86 291 29320 27617 74 295 86 289 80 295 76 292 27617 25842 61 296 74 287 83 295 73 288 25842 23992 55 294 55 289 85 294 73 287 23992 22067 52 293 52 290 75 290 66 289 22067 20068 49 290 51 293 51 284 55 287 20068 17991 46 288 48 292 38 293 41 279 17991 15876 39 295 42 292 37 293 30 289 15876 13836 35 301 34 291 32 284 30 295 13836 11975 34 293 30 283 30 276 29 280 11975 10318 24 283 27 277 27 268 27 265 10318 8840 15 270 22 266 24 258 25 263 8840 7520 14 259 20 248 22 251 24 263 7520 6344 18 243 21 240 20 248 23 259 6344 5302 27 235 25 234 23 234 25 245 5302 4385 26*219 26*219 28 216 35 224 4385 3579 24*204 25*201 30*202 39 214 3579 2860 24 202 25 199 29*198 41 205 2860 2224 24 200 25 197 28 196 41 198 2224 1694 24 200 25 195 27 194 37 194 1694 1288 23 199 24 195 25 193 32 191 1288 1009 22 199 23 194 23 192 24 187 1009 839 20 198 21 194 20 191 20 186 839 742 17 198 18 194 16 191 13*185 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography