DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 83.9 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 197 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1688 - - 2402 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1598 - - 1980 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2348 - - 3062 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 452 - - 947 - - - - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 321 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 207 - - - - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4100 - - -4043 - - - - - -2672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6449 - - 7106 - - - - - 3415 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8881 - - -7410 - - - - - -9294 ODpotential blCL - - - 11229 - - 10472 - - - - - 10037 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 46 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 130 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 83.9 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 55.5 - - - - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 82.6 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 54.6 - - - - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 197 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1688 - - 2402 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96850 36 240 26 260 32 266 96850 89591 18 243 18 256 18 287 89591 84047 2 210 14 210 14 291 84047 79470 7 081 8 174 3 360 79470 75525 9 081 4 113 6 054 75525 72034 8 064 5 101 6 073 72034 68873 3 049 3 033 7 096 68873 65972 5 059 3 352 12 048 65972 63299 2 003 4 020 8 020 63299 60714 3 039 7 016 5 278 60714 58016 17 021 17 005 15 006 58016 55237 20 343 23 329 18 351 55237 52593 15 330 25 327 18 328 52593 50194 21 324 27 334 22 329 50194 48024 28 349 30 339 26 336 48024 46042 30 343 31 338 29 340 46042 44225 23 350 31 340 33 338 44225 42555 26 016 29 344 28 332 42555 41012 30 021 28 353 21 338 41012 39569 36 021 31 000 18 356 39569 38206 41 017 32 002 19 003 38206 36880 41 016 35 003 19 005 36880 35527 45 018 36 010 18 014 35527 34116 46 020 33 018 16 015 34116 32650 40 021 32 022 17 007 32650 31113 33 019 29 022 19 000 31113 29491 33 015 28 013 21 348 29491 27788 30 001 35 359 26 356 27788 26003 33 357 38 358 32 004 26003 24141 34 005 36 009 30 012 24141 22204 36 003 33 008 23 001 22204 20192 38 354 37 006 33 357 20192 18103 37 002 44 357 34 004 18103 15977 33 006 36 359 31 003 15977 13926 25 011 21 006 29 353 13926 12053 19 343 15 338 18 346 12053 10382 19 285 19 305 16 331 10382 8892 13 290 14 310 17 325 8892 7564 15 281 16 309 12 316 7564 6382 15 282 16 288 12 307 6382 5333 17 282 14 258 14 281 5333 4411 18 280 16 242 24 236 4411 3599 17 272 16*223 25 222 3599 2873 15*253 15*212 31 206 2873 2233 14*227 15 208 35 197 2233 1699 13 218 15 206 34 194 1699 1290 13 216 15 205 30 191 1290 1009 13 214 14 204 22 185 1009 839 12 214 13 204 18*184 839 743 11 214 12 204 9*180 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography