DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 73.0 - - 65.9 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 173 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3058 - - 3714 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2586 - - 2859 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3718 - - 4374 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 895 - - 822 - - 3615 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 388 - - 352 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 162 - - 145 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4260 - - -3560 - - -5023 - - -3275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7978 - - 7935 - - 5766 - - 4017 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14163 - - -12184 - - -14773 - - -14008 ODpotential blCL - - - 17881 - - 16558 - - 15515 - - 14750 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 90 - - 48 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 73.0 - - 65.9 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 71.9 - - 68.3 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.6 - - 43.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 173 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3058 - - 3714 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97821 24 270 27 270 28 280 20 290 97821 90526 24 258 27 274 26 293 23 292 90526 84884 19 262 22 257 22 278 22 289 84884 80208 13 281 13 258 15 254 16 279 80208 76191 9 277 12 277 8 301 7 262 76191 72646 4 220 9 262 11 319 4 284 72646 69439 6 143 1 269 7 314 4 027 69439 66502 7 088 3 049 2 224 8 355 66502 63811 8 076 5 113 3 132 3 334 63811 61233 6 033 6 043 5 040 3 061 61233 58564 11 304 11 316 11 323 7 336 58564 55819 17 284 19 290 22 286 17 308 55819 53200 19 287 23 288 25 281 20 280 53200 50820 22 292 23 280 26 274 24 269 50820 48665 25 288 24 275 26 273 25 274 48665 46691 27 278 26 274 25 278 25 283 46691 44864 27 274 27 275 26 286 26 289 44864 43163 26 274 25 274 28 286 25 296 43163 41566 25 275 25 275 29 286 28 298 41566 40056 26 277 28 279 29 288 30 294 40056 38622 30 278 30 281 31 288 28 290 38622 37230 33 271 31 278 31 286 30 291 37230 35816 34 264 33 276 31 283 35 295 35816 34354 31 261 32 269 32 282 36 296 34354 32846 29 259 30 264 33 277 33 292 32846 31273 28 261 28 260 31 269 30 286 31273 29626 28 263 27 260 29 267 29 277 29626 27907 27 258 26 262 26 267 26 269 27907 26113 27 248 26 262 21 270 24 266 26113 24240 23 248 21 262 16 275 19 276 24240 22285 17 253 19 263 12 270 12 275 22285 20244 15 248 17 263 16 260 12 261 20244 18118 14 244 11 266 9 267 10 271 18118 15944 10 250 9 275 3 261 1 302 15944 13842 7 217 8 239 2 241 2 151 13842 11931 8 195 10 215 6 245 0 354 11931 10235 9 184 9 189 7 231 2 259 10235 8736 10 183 10 173 6 196 4 199 8736 7412 11 186 11 171 9 157 8 169 7412 6245 11 186 12 180 9 165 12 162 6245 5220 12 186 12*187 12 172 15 160 5220 4322 10*178 9*166 12 154 16 163 4322 3531 7*164 9 162 11 144 14 159 3531 2823 7 162 9 161 10 140 12 149 2823 2198 7 162 9 161 9 138 12 141 2198 1677 7 162 9 162 8 138 12 133 1677 1277 7 162 9 162 7 142 11 124 1277 1003 7 161 8 162 6 144 8 113 1003 836 6 163 8 163 5*145 5*099 836 742 6 161 7 163 4*145 2*084 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography