DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 65.9 - - 69.0 - - 70.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 76 - - 206 - - 265 - - 67 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1635 - - 2835 - - 4753 - - 4519 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2328 - - 3864 - - 2725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 2295 - - 3495 - - 5413 - - 5179 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 925 - - 2490 - - 1071 - - 2509 - - 2096 Hgt.Variab. W* 212 - - 349 - - 446 - - 276 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 23 - - 25 - - 20 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 284 - - 292 - - 292 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -8 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 512 - - 622 - - 860 - - -603 - - -3071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1784 - - 2873 - - 4553 - - 5783 - - 3813 sfcLCL ODpotential -1246 - - 10 - - -262 - - -1610 - - -6152 ODpotential blCL 3541 - - 3485 - - 5675 - - 6789 - - 6894 blCL maxRH 100 - - 86 - - 83 - - 73 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 310 - - 120 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 65.9 - - 69.0 - - 70.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.6 - - 55.7 - - 51.5 - - 47.8 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 64.9 - - 67.7 - - 70.3 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 54.6 - - 50.5 - - 47.4 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 76 - - 206 - - 265 - - 67 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1635 - - 2835 - - 4753 - - 4519 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 46 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98199 17 096 11 101 5 072 12 038 14 076 98199 90782 19 079 16 120 9 083 13 072 17 059 90782 85100 20 094 17 100 23 116 16 073 13 072 85100 80387 18 110 16 091 22 109 15 082 17 094 80387 76309 15 094 18 098 17 089 16 097 18 092 76309 72690 13 092 16 101 16 093 17 094 14 092 72690 69423 10 075 15 080 11 069 22 082 18 106 69423 66436 11 142 7 137 3 092 18 063 13 085 66436 63665 20 135 14 172 14 162 7 168 3 036 63665 60976 10 155 12 202 14 172 14 189 8 216 60976 58179 21 190 20 213 12 218 14 221 16 209 58179 55275 28 217 29 219 18 236 19 246 16 210 55275 52483 30 226 35 213 33 234 22 258 16 244 52483 49958 29 227 36 215 38 225 37 243 31 251 49958 47686 30 209 39 214 39 219 37 228 34 254 47686 45615 37 199 37 198 33 217 30 223 38 258 45615 43714 44 181 34 222 25 225 35 233 38 264 43714 41963 34 191 45 234 40 246 43 247 34 257 41963 40337 55 231 61 229 54 233 40 245 32 263 40337 38818 79 226 75 218 56 226 34 254 37 268 38818 37396 87 218 81 211 55 226 36 254 40 277 37396 36032 83 215 79 208 56 225 40 254 48 278 36032 34662 79 209 71 210 55 225 42 258 40 283 34662 33262 76 205 62 217 50 231 26 270 41 306 33262 31826 71 212 58 222 45 245 30 310 45 310 31826 30324 70 225 57 224 46 252 40 311 50 303 30324 28746 71 229 58 230 41 254 39 299 55 295 28746 27089 68 227 61 233 29 280 41 285 56 289 27089 25348 68 229 63 235 31 291 42 279 55 291 25348 23523 70 233 63 238 28 278 46 271 53 288 23523 21625 68 241 61 243 32 264 52 256 51 282 21625 19655 58 244 53 245 34 265 51 258 49 278 19655 17607 49 247 53 239 37 258 47 260 45 281 17607 15522 45 247 54 238 41 253 44 264 38 286 15522 13513 41 242 49 239 42 253 44 270 33 283 13513 11686 34 235 44 245 39 254 43 281 35 287 11686 10064 33 236 37 252 37 265 47 288 44 301 10064 8622 31 248 35 254 37 278 46 290 48 306 8622 7340 27 268 32 268 35 286 41 290 45 303 7340 6199 21 264 25 282 28*289 35 289 40 295 6199 5189 16 262 23 284 28*290 27*289 37 289 5189 4299 16 277 24 283 27 291 23*291 34 287 4299 3512 18 289 24*283 26 291 21 292 31 289 3512 2810 19*297 24*283 25 292 21 292 26 293 2810 2189 18*299 24 284 25 292 20 293 21 294 2189 1673 17 299 24 284 24 292 19 293 17 291 1673 1276 16 299 23 284 23 293 19 294 14 286 1276 1002 15 299 22 284 22 292 18 294 11 278 1002 837 14 299 21 284 21 293 16 294 9*270 837 742 11 299 17 284 17 292 13 294 4*254 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography