DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 57.9 - - 53.0 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 336 - - -4 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2326 - - 3026 - - 2625 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2129 - - 2613 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2986 - - 3686 - - 3285 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1458 - - 886 - - 1077 - - 2890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 406 - - 58 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 25 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 352 - - 360 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2369 - - -3304 - - -3332 - - -4240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5356 - - 6991 - - 6618 - - 4981 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8955 - - -11504 - - -12016 - - -14074 ODpotential blCL - - - 11941 - - 15190 - - 15301 - - 14815 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 46 - - 49 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 57.9 - - 53.0 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 30.1 - - 27.0 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 56.4 - - 53.2 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 29.6 - - 26.9 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 336 - - -4 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2326 - - 3026 - - 2625 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96541 18 120 13 130 7 145 20 100 96541 89375 17 114 9 130 6 115 10 071 89375 83888 10 090 7 166 5 117 6 039 83888 79324 4 144 5 217 5 340 2 066 79324 75368 4 170 2 222 7 300 4 321 75368 71852 6 270 3 304 6 260 8 313 71852 68668 7 245 3 008 5 221 11 302 68668 65753 6 345 7 300 5 264 19 275 65753 63049 21 277 22 304 15 283 15 268 63049 60431 39 291 40 294 39 296 34 297 60431 57706 49 273 47 271 47 277 51 283 57706 54878 51 262 50 263 53 272 59 275 54878 52166 59 268 61 265 66 272 63 276 52166 49715 70 273 75 269 77 272 74 274 49715 47512 89 261 90 264 87 267 82 271 47512 45509 92 255 93 259 89 268 88 273 45509 43679 92 258 96 260 89 269 94 275 43679 42000 100 263 97 264 86 275 94 277 42000 40456 107 265 103 271 99 280 99 286 40456 39024 112 263 113 274 108 280 100 288 39024 37674 111 258 120 271 110 278 97 289 37674 36359 105 255 121 267 111 277 96 289 36359 35013 102 260 119 266 111 276 94 287 35013 33608 103 266 119 268 110 274 94 285 33608 32144 103 265 119 271 110 275 92 284 32144 30608 99 261 119 273 105 277 90 283 30608 28988 99 257 111 270 97 281 87 285 28988 27284 97 258 103 261 92 286 85 287 27284 25497 92 258 101 259 92 278 84 284 25497 23630 87 255 93 260 96 272 82 285 23630 21682 83 254 85 260 95 271 84 284 21682 19652 76 250 77 257 81 275 78 290 19652 17559 73 246 70 256 64 272 50 294 17559 15441 68 249 63 256 54 277 43 300 15441 13398 58 255 56 260 44 283 40 308 13398 11542 49 263 48 268 39 288 34 315 11542 9898 44 278 42 284 36 291 30 322 9898 8445 34 292 33 300 31 309 31 335 8445 7163 21 301 24 314 31 336 32 348 7163 6037 18 288 23 314 32 348 34 004 6037 5047 14 349 24 342 31 359 35 013 5047 4179 24 355 25*352 30 002 33 017 4179 3417 26*348 25*352 30*001 32 017 3417 2738 25*344 26 352 30*001 32 016 2738 2138 25 343 26 352 29 000 31 015 2138 1639 24 342 26 352 27 360 29 013 1639 1255 24 342 25 352 25 359 25 010 1255 992 22 342 24 352 22 359 20 007 992 832 21 342 22 352 20 359 17*006 832 741 18 342 18 352 15 358 11*006 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography