DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.0 - - 72.6 - - 78.3 - - 76.1 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 108 - - 294 - - -17 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2087 - - 3207 - - 3755 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2206 - - 3124 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2747 - - 3867 - - 4415 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1697 - - 673 - - 653 - - 4294 - - 718 Hgt.Variab. W* 217 - - 286 - - 420 - - 20 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 23 - - 26 - - 24 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 195 - - 188 - - 172 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -8 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 339 - - 744 - - -119 - - -3565 - - -2725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2408 - - 3123 - - 4534 - - 4308 - - 3467 sfcLCL ODpotential -44 - - 566 - - -5366 - - -9241 - - -9620 ODpotential blCL 2791 - - 3301 - - 9781 - - 9984 - - 10362 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 81 - - 78 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 390 - - 540 - - 840 - - 600 - - 1010 CAPE Temp@2m 70.0 - - 72.6 - - 78.3 - - 76.1 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.8 - - 61.3 - - 60.9 - - 59.7 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.7 - - 72.1 - - 76.9 - - 76.7 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.8 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.5 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 108 - - 294 - - -17 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2087 - - 3207 - - 3755 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 100 - - 23 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96484 28 263 34 252 34 262 29 286 28 286 96484 89321 23 246 22 257 20 262 17 250 22 260 89321 83799 11 249 20 218 24 245 20 258 19 257 83799 79221 12 306 6 244 17 225 20 255 19 261 79221 75304 15 308 9 327 7 240 14 269 13 289 75304 71871 13 315 11 312 6 307 10 310 9 316 71871 68792 18 328 16 340 12 328 14 338 13 000 68792 65974 18 330 18 337 17 325 19 346 15 343 65974 63345 26 331 18 320 22 320 18 344 16 357 63345 60770 30 320 21 319 32 325 28 310 29 306 60770 58085 39 308 33 306 36 307 31 302 33 297 58085 55294 38 308 31 296 34 296 32 307 30 299 55294 52604 43 311 37 302 40 297 39 303 40 293 52604 50163 56 294 50 290 51 291 46 293 48 288 50163 47959 62 281 56 281 60 280 53 286 52 287 47959 45941 63 275 58 273 64 271 59 278 57 283 45941 44077 61 269 60 267 64 265 58 270 56 271 44077 42349 59 267 61 262 62 260 56 262 52 262 42349 40742 60 270 63 261 58 257 55 255 52 259 40742 39251 62 275 65 262 55 256 53 253 53 253 39251 37871 61 277 59 265 50 258 52 255 51 251 37871 36558 50 274 49 268 45 260 51 261 49 249 36558 35228 37 272 39 265 41 261 48 260 45 247 35228 33844 32 270 32 258 39 263 47 255 42 245 33844 32409 28 261 28 256 38 266 44 248 42 244 32409 30904 25 255 29 260 34 266 38 242 38 237 30904 29317 25 264 31 263 32 261 33 237 31 224 29317 27646 27 274 31 265 30 253 29 240 28 216 27646 25893 27 278 30 266 28 256 28 242 28 215 25893 24061 23 272 27 263 27 256 28 235 28 217 24061 22154 22 262 24 243 26 243 28 224 26 226 22154 20167 22 262 22 238 24 233 26 223 22 236 20167 18091 21 266 19 248 19 235 21 223 20 232 18091 15964 16 262 17 255 15 247 15 225 17 232 15964 13904 12 250 14 249 13 248 10 236 13 233 13904 12022 9 265 12 230 12 232 9 237 9 242 12022 10342 8 276 12 205 15 208 11 219 8 205 10342 8847 10 235 14 197 19 199 16 214 12 221 8847 7519 16 228 17 200 22 200 20 217 20 234 7519 6343 21 231 22 204 25 206 23 217 27 219 6343 5308 27 222 28 201 26*196 27 199 30 204 5308 4397 32 204 28*198 25*189 27 185 30 194 4397 3590 32 200 28*197 25 188 26 181 31 187 3590 2868 32*199 27 196 25 187 25 179 33 179 2868 2230 28*196 27 195 25 187 24 177 35 172 2230 1698 25 193 26 194 25 187 23 176 34 169 1698 1290 22 192 25 193 24 188 21 175 31 167 1290 1009 21 191 24 193 23 188 18 174 22 162 1009 839 19 191 21 193 21 188 16*174 19 161 839 742 15 190 17 192 18 187 12*172 10*159 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography