DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 48.8 - - 52.3 - - 47.8 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 134 - - 349 - - 203 - - -5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1129 - - 2577 - - 3026 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2283 - - 2418 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1789 - - 3237 - - 3686 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1149 - - 685 - - 937 - - 2631 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 388 - - 343 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 356 - - 341 - - 092 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4911 - - -5922 - - -6051 - - -7337 - - -5997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6700 - - 9159 - - 9738 - - 8078 - - 6737 sfcLCL ODpotential -20369 - - -19947 - - -19986 - - -22785 - - -22625 ODpotential blCL 22158 - - 23184 - - 23672 - - 23525 - - 23365 blCL maxRH 42 - - 43 - - 46 - - 39 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 48.8 - - 52.3 - - 47.8 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.3 - - 11.8 - - 12.6 - - 15.9 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 46.9 - - 51.0 - - 49.6 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 11.4 - - 12.2 - - 15.6 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 134 - - 349 - - 203 - - -5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1129 - - 2577 - - 3026 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96879 56 265 54 249 59 257 67 258 67 260 96879 89625 44 263 38 252 46 256 54 253 47 259 89625 84037 37 259 39 262 39 265 42 257 43 256 84037 79386 30 248 37 256 33 268 33 261 27 272 79386 75379 23 260 34 270 26 285 22 263 23 269 75379 71844 24 261 33 269 27 282 25 293 20 289 71844 68636 16 281 23 283 28 282 28 295 20 301 68636 65675 22 310 25 288 30 291 34 298 29 309 65675 62934 33 304 29 299 30 286 33 290 35 302 62934 60293 38 296 32 305 31 297 30 291 38 302 60293 57560 46 307 42 312 37 314 38 309 47 306 57560 54739 57 305 55 312 51 313 53 309 54 299 54739 52058 61 303 61 299 56 301 49 299 48 302 52058 49672 64 297 54 297 52 304 45 310 50 313 49672 47568 62 304 53 301 56 314 58 321 56 323 47568 45683 65 315 56 315 63 317 63 321 55 324 45683 43955 67 320 61 323 63 321 59 316 51 321 43955 42344 57 314 62 331 59 318 58 316 48 319 42344 40830 66 350 63 344 52 319 58 320 46 316 40830 39402 75 351 66 350 50 326 55 321 45 314 39402 38049 71 344 66 350 51 332 52 322 44 313 38049 36732 67 339 65 346 52 332 51 324 44 314 36732 35384 63 334 66 342 53 331 50 327 43 317 35384 33976 62 332 67 338 53 331 49 330 42 321 33976 32511 64 332 65 334 54 335 48 334 43 323 32511 30972 65 329 62 330 54 339 50 339 44 326 30972 29348 63 324 60 327 52 337 53 343 44 327 29348 27640 63 320 63 320 53 330 50 344 41 328 27640 25844 66 320 68 316 54 324 44 341 37 326 25844 23961 72 319 68 317 54 318 43 334 36 323 23961 21992 76 321 66 319 55 320 47 329 33 329 21992 19936 73 324 62 319 55 322 48 326 36 336 19936 17799 68 330 58 319 54 322 46 329 42 335 17799 15629 62 330 56 325 51 323 44 334 40 337 15629 13547 55 330 51 331 48 329 41 337 37 338 13547 11659 50 333 45 333 42 331 38 336 36 339 11659 9989 48 336 43 333 38 329 34 326 32 337 9989 8514 47 338 41 336 36 333 30 319 27 319 8514 7214 43 348 36 347 33 336 29 317 25 313 7214 6070 33 351 28 352 27 347 25 316 23 304 6070 5066 23 346 23 348 19 347 15 329 13 295 5066 4189 22 353 19 348 10*334 8 322 8 277 4189 3421 23 360 14*350 9*335 4 291 9 252 3421 2737 21 004 13*352 8 337 2 260 8 231 2737 2137 19*004 12 354 8 339 1 130 8 197 2137 1636 14*358 12 356 8 343 2 092 9 175 1636 1254 12 356 11 357 8 345 3 085 9 158 1254 991 12 356 11 358 7 347 4 085 8 149 991 831 11 356 10 359 7 348 4 086 7*151 831 740 9 356 9 359 6 348 4*092 4*154 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography