DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.9 - - 77.9 - - 78.4 - - 73.7 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 246 - - 159 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1064 - - 2681 - - 2322 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2251 - - 1806 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1724 - - 3341 - - 2982 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 638 - - 883 - - 987 - - 2116 - - 1858 Hgt.Variab. W* 158 - - 353 - - 291 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 17 - - 17 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 202 - - 187 - - 170 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 234 - - 328 - - -84 - - -1024 - - -803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1490 - - 3014 - - 3067 - - 1768 - - 1546 sfcLCL ODpotential -4877 - - 217 - - -3103 - - -5467 - - -2957 ODpotential blCL 6601 - - 3124 - - 6085 - - 6210 - - 3700 blCL maxRH 97 - - 91 - - 89 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 1170 - - 1960 - - 2180 - - 1960 - - 2330 CAPE Temp@2m 70.9 - - 77.9 - - 78.4 - - 73.7 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.5 - - 66.7 - - 67.0 - - 68.0 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.7 - - 76.4 - - 77.5 - - 74.4 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.4 - - 66.6 - - 66.9 - - 67.9 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 246 - - 159 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1064 - - 2681 - - 2322 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 63 - - 55 - - 42 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96645 53 261 60 258 55 265 58 264 56 266 96645 89468 39 268 42 257 44 264 46 270 44 267 89468 83946 26 263 31 270 30 259 35 267 26 267 83946 79334 20 256 20 269 16 281 21 254 20 258 79334 75350 16 259 14 255 15 281 14 275 17 242 75350 71848 9 257 9 255 13 243 14 296 9 228 71848 68685 4 266 9 245 13 241 15 277 8 289 68685 65789 10 299 13 247 15 247 17 253 14 286 65789 63131 14 271 14 271 16 255 18 219 16 236 63131 60572 20 254 20 261 20 268 25 256 21 249 60572 57905 29 237 36 249 37 261 41 251 33 251 57905 55115 37 237 39 242 45 247 48 237 48 250 55115 52420 40 242 45 247 49 246 52 241 55 251 52420 49979 51 247 57 248 60 249 58 247 61 255 49979 47796 59 249 63 248 66 250 65 253 71 256 47796 45825 64 249 66 249 70 252 72 255 79 255 45825 44023 63 249 65 247 69 250 71 256 78 256 44023 42357 61 251 60 246 64 247 66 255 79 262 42357 40805 62 254 58 251 61 248 62 256 84 267 40805 39347 67 254 62 254 60 252 60 259 87 268 39347 37969 68 252 68 253 60 255 61 263 81 268 37969 36635 65 252 69 251 60 256 62 264 72 267 36635 35281 61 254 64 250 59 256 59 264 61 266 35281 33877 60 255 61 250 54 256 54 263 51 267 33877 32424 57 253 60 250 52 257 51 263 43 270 32424 30901 54 251 59 248 51 259 48 264 40 272 30901 29298 51 251 56 246 49 260 43 267 36 271 29298 27615 47 250 53 246 49 260 40 269 32 270 27615 25850 43 252 48 247 48 258 40 269 28 271 25850 24008 39 255 42 249 48 255 38 270 29 273 24008 22093 34 253 38 246 43 250 36 268 30 271 22093 20098 34 248 36 243 39 252 40 256 32 266 20098 18017 33 243 34 244 37 257 39 251 33 260 18017 15896 30 235 36 244 33 252 34 254 33 257 15896 13849 23 231 40 240 35 251 29 255 33 259 13849 11986 21 235 31 242 36 250 29 256 32 262 11986 10328 20 247 20 246 26 244 29 254 31 259 10328 8852 21 264 17 254 20 235 22 240 28 259 8852 7535 22 272 17 267 17 230 20 228 21 257 7535 6363 20 275 17 279 14 237 20 225 19 247 6363 5323 17 273 16 272 13 239 20 224 20 236 5323 4406 16 270 17 251 14 230 20 219 24 210 4406 3597 20 257 16*224 15*215 19 209 31 201 3597 2874 25 238 17*210 17*195 23 192 35 200 2874 2234 26*219 17 204 18 188 28 181 36 195 2234 1701 24*205 17 201 18 186 27 177 33 191 1701 1292 22 202 17 200 18 185 25 174 28 188 1292 1011 21 201 16 199 17 185 20 172 21 184 1011 840 19 200 16 198 16 184 17 172 18 183 840 743 15 200 14 198 14 184 12*170 11*182 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography