DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 74.1 - - 73.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 283 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2423 - - 3674 - - 2969 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2175 - - 3054 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3083 - - 4334 - - 3629 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 691 - - 873 - - 1389 - - 1975 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 414 - - 197 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 033 - - 052 - - 108 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1323 - - -1776 - - -2118 - - -3310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4406 - - 6110 - - 5747 - - 4052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6723 - - -7215 - - -7676 - - -9973 ODpotential blCL - - - 9806 - - 11549 - - 11305 - - 10715 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 80 - - 85 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 74.1 - - 73.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 50.0 - - 50.8 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 72.3 - - 73.1 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 283 - - 35 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2423 - - 3674 - - 2969 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97941 8 247 12 268 16 307 18 315 97941 90557 4 206 7 271 10 284 10 314 90557 84829 7 227 7 260 9 277 18 317 84829 80083 10 228 10 222 12 228 20 274 80083 76014 14 233 12 246 10 280 13 254 76014 72415 16 221 18 255 18 293 9 268 72415 69171 15 260 17 237 18 263 16 279 69171 66203 19 259 16 270 18 251 11 274 66203 63473 25 254 25 271 24 270 21 273 63473 60872 30 247 35 250 29 260 33 265 60872 58151 38 271 31 264 29 260 34 247 58151 55288 61 264 52 266 49 263 43 255 55288 52548 71 255 68 257 62 268 61 271 52548 50102 79 255 83 257 85 262 85 262 50102 47933 92 252 96 249 101 253 100 254 47933 45978 100 251 101 246 110 250 108 249 45978 44185 105 249 104 249 114 249 115 248 44185 42521 108 249 109 253 113 251 119 250 42521 40965 108 249 111 254 114 253 121 253 40965 39501 108 250 107 252 111 253 115 254 39501 38117 106 250 103 249 102 251 102 252 38117 36779 105 250 101 248 96 248 96 249 36779 35418 102 251 97 246 95 250 94 247 35418 34000 97 252 94 246 92 250 92 245 34000 32527 93 252 90 248 85 246 91 246 32527 30981 90 250 89 248 83 245 91 248 30981 29352 88 249 87 249 82 248 87 249 29352 27642 86 255 82 258 80 254 78 252 27642 25859 80 258 73 263 70 266 67 270 25859 24006 71 263 65 264 63 268 59 273 24006 22078 63 266 59 266 57 268 53 271 22078 20069 57 264 54 264 53 268 48 269 20069 17973 55 262 50 265 49 263 45 266 17973 15834 53 259 48 267 44 271 41 262 15834 13776 44 260 39 259 35 280 35 269 13776 11906 33 275 35 249 24 255 23 276 11906 10239 21 256 29 261 23 248 21 246 10239 8752 21 264 25 267 18 258 25 240 8752 7430 24 273 19 275 15 260 18 243 7430 6259 21 278 15 313 7 285 10 221 6259 5230 11 303 10*356 2 002 4 139 5230 4331 13 027 5*044 4*104 8 123 4331 3538 14*034 5 049 5*112 10 124 3538 2830 11*033 6 051 5 112 10 123 2830 2204 11 033 6 053 5 110 9 124 2204 1682 11 033 6 054 5 106 7 126 1682 1281 10 033 6 054 5 105 6 127 1281 1005 10 033 6 055 5 104 6 125 1005 838 9 034 6 056 5 105 4*125 838 742 8 033 5 056 4 105 3*122 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography