DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 62.9 - - 53.4 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 149 - - -14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 2132 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1475 - - 1634 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2238 - - 2792 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 339 - - 450 - - 1292 - - 299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 276 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 170 - - 190 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1859 - - -2143 - - -1514 - - -874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4097 - - 4935 - - 2255 - - 1615 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12861 - - -11629 - - -13146 - - -13455 ODpotential blCL - - - 15099 - - 14421 - - 13887 - - 14196 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 89 - - 69 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 62.9 - - 53.4 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 44.2 - - 46.3 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 61.8 - - 55.6 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 44.0 - - 46.3 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 149 - - -14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 2132 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 56 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96368 46 255 42 252 44 265 34 262 96368 89122 30 267 25 270 24 270 16 260 89122 83609 16 276 21 283 22 298 9 298 83609 79047 11 288 15 288 21 294 20 303 79047 75107 14 305 9 287 15 273 24 289 75107 71626 17 300 11 287 15 277 27 284 71626 68498 16 289 17 288 19 281 23 277 68498 65644 19 293 19 307 20 303 21 290 65644 62993 28 295 28 304 28 295 23 287 62993 60418 35 291 37 293 33 291 31 289 60418 57746 44 281 44 282 44 290 45 285 57746 54984 46 271 50 278 50 284 46 276 54984 52332 50 273 57 274 53 283 49 280 52332 49920 60 274 59 276 65 284 65 284 49920 47744 68 274 73 272 77 279 80 280 47744 45780 68 277 77 268 78 275 83 278 45780 44004 69 284 69 278 79 280 84 282 44004 42371 82 301 88 298 94 293 86 289 42371 40845 84 302 95 297 99 294 96 292 40845 39406 75 294 90 292 96 291 93 289 39406 38040 72 287 80 285 90 288 90 285 38040 36710 75 289 72 278 81 282 89 285 36710 35351 85 293 75 274 79 278 81 281 35351 33937 75 293 77 273 80 276 72 272 33937 32466 66 280 76 274 77 272 70 271 32466 30927 61 271 74 275 76 270 68 275 30927 29312 61 276 72 274 75 271 66 281 29312 27619 65 281 69 273 69 274 65 281 27619 25843 60 284 64 277 61 276 62 277 25843 23982 47 281 55 279 54 272 53 280 23982 22045 33 271 44 271 48 266 54 276 22045 20030 31 267 38 265 44 267 55 266 20030 17929 32 266 33 265 39 274 47 264 17929 15786 31 264 30 271 32 284 28 278 15786 13718 25 264 28 275 25 287 20 301 13718 11831 19 265 24 271 24 282 19 295 11831 10154 15 272 20 263 22 279 18 283 10154 8669 15 272 15 257 21 271 18 280 8669 7356 16 266 13 264 18 258 19 275 7356 6194 14 265 14 266 16 254 18 266 6194 5169 10 263 12 261 13 247 16 250 5169 4269 8 242 8 240 13 232 15 232 4269 3478 7 214 8*181 14 204 18 222 3478 2777 9*178 8*168 16 177 21 205 2777 2163 9*177 8 168 16 167 23 183 2163 1653 9 177 8 170 15 171 22 180 1653 1263 9 177 8 171 13 179 20 186 1263 995 9 177 8 173 11 185 15 189 995 833 8 177 7 174 9 189 11*187 833 741 7 178 7 174 5*190 4*182 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography