DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 46.8 - - 58.1 - - 50.6 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 299 - - 188 - - -25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 1680 - - 2682 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 1581 - - 2134 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 995 - - 2340 - - 3342 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 500 - - 654 - - 825 - - 242 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 320 - - 321 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 17 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 253 - - 237 - - 186 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3742 - - -5359 - - -6616 - - -5418 - - -3085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4737 - - 7700 - - 9958 - - 6159 - - 3826 sfcLCL ODpotential -18928 - - -16584 - - -15679 - - -13836 - - -12442 ODpotential blCL 19923 - - 18924 - - 19021 - - 14577 - - 13182 blCL maxRH 48 - - 39 - - 35 - - 36 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 46.8 - - 58.1 - - 50.6 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.5 - - 16.2 - - 17.3 - - 26.9 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.7 - - 45.2 - - 57.1 - - 53.9 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.3 - - 16.2 - - 17.2 - - 26.9 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 299 - - 188 - - -25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 1680 - - 2682 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96226 20 077 15 053 16 071 18 036 22 051 96226 89158 31 073 25 078 28 068 22 066 22 086 89158 83672 20 059 21 066 16 089 13 087 17 077 83672 79106 16 038 6 055 7 052 6 137 3 039 79106 75152 7 346 7 203 8 321 2 250 2 290 75152 71642 2 173 10 206 14 274 10 315 7 304 71642 68457 1 103 10 193 17 250 13 298 12 273 68457 65517 8 290 8 325 12 225 16 253 19 270 65517 62780 13 273 15 296 12 264 16 263 25 257 62780 60113 20 257 19 285 16 264 24 263 28 251 60113 57335 20 261 24 275 30 269 30 265 36 255 57335 54477 34 263 40 275 45 268 42 274 50 270 54477 51764 41 272 47 270 50 273 51 273 59 270 51764 49324 40 289 49 271 52 276 55 274 62 275 49324 47131 55 292 52 278 53 278 58 277 63 276 47131 45136 62 288 58 279 58 280 60 279 63 277 45136 43309 60 287 57 279 60 283 61 282 66 279 43309 41630 57 285 56 280 60 284 62 285 67 280 41630 40078 53 286 52 286 53 293 61 286 63 282 40078 38634 47 292 51 289 50 294 59 286 61 288 38634 37279 44 301 47 299 48 295 55 283 62 291 37279 35970 43 309 43 307 47 299 51 280 64 292 35970 34637 41 314 41 313 47 299 47 279 64 293 34637 33252 40 317 40 314 47 294 43 280 65 293 33252 31816 41 317 38 313 47 290 42 279 65 294 31816 30314 43 315 38 313 47 290 43 275 64 296 30314 28733 44 311 38 311 47 290 44 275 64 299 28733 27070 44 308 39 307 46 291 44 283 64 301 27070 25323 43 304 40 306 44 293 43 290 60 302 25323 23496 41 304 41 311 42 300 43 294 54 298 23496 21595 43 309 40 313 40 310 41 295 49 292 21595 19615 43 313 39 311 39 311 38 296 43 290 19615 17546 41 321 38 310 37 303 37 301 40 298 17546 15437 41 327 36 314 37 309 36 309 40 299 15437 13417 42 332 35 323 34 313 34 313 35 303 13417 11587 41 336 36 333 33 335 30 326 30 313 11587 9962 38 339 34 339 34 339 30 338 25 333 9962 8523 31 342 33 335 29 329 28 334 23 340 8523 7246 28 332 36 321 29 318 24 320 22 331 7246 6115 33 317 28 315 33 301 23 319 20 320 6115 5115 38 300 24 303 34 281 23 306 17 308 5115 4237 34 289 29 282 30 272 21 280 13 302 4237 3464 32 287 29 274 20*251 17 263 9 317 3464 2773 30 286 24*269 19*244 16 257 8 313 2773 2162 20 271 15*258 18 239 15 247 8 283 2162 1652 15 222 13 253 17 236 13 236 9 253 1652 1262 13*197 13 252 16 234 12 221 11 227 1262 994 11*194 12 251 16 233 11 204 11 210 994 832 9 193 11 250 15 232 9*193 6 192 832 740 7 192 10 250 13 231 6*186 1*147 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography