DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 84.7 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 171 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3065 - - 3843 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2599 - - 2958 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3725 - - 4503 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 866 - - 1266 - - - - - 1842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 391 - - 357 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 198 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -678 - - -926 - - - - - -1708 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4403 - - 5429 - - - - - 2451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4789 - - -4263 - - - - - -3856 ODpotential blCL - - - 8514 - - 8766 - - - - - 4599 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 60 - - - - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 84.7 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.0 - - 63.3 - - - - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 83.5 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 62.8 - - - - - 67.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 171 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3065 - - 3843 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97934 33 258 36 264 29 272 97934 90597 28 243 34 249 24 295 90597 84932 13 238 22 229 16 261 84932 80240 9 208 13 209 8 231 80240 76218 8 141 8 177 4 183 76218 72673 6 114 5 156 1 159 72673 69461 9 155 5 177 5 125 69461 66518 11 171 5 194 5 143 66518 63825 14 201 9 229 7 239 63825 61243 18 209 14 225 13 219 61243 58580 17 207 17 213 14 199 58580 55855 16 219 19 211 13 232 55855 53252 22 226 22 214 21 241 53252 50887 26 219 28 213 24 220 50887 48754 31 202 31 206 31 208 48754 46807 37 196 37 195 36 202 46807 45003 42 191 42 188 38 196 45003 43317 44 192 41 189 37 196 43317 41732 42 196 39 197 37 199 41732 40234 42 200 38 204 37 204 40234 38812 43 203 38 207 35 205 38812 37431 41 204 38 207 34 208 37431 36022 40 204 38 204 35 213 36022 34559 39 205 37 202 33 214 34559 33045 37 206 33 204 30 209 33045 31464 34 207 31 212 28 210 31464 29799 34 223 31 229 26 236 29799 28052 32 231 27 236 25 247 28052 26226 27 204 26 208 25 239 26226 24321 26 182 26 196 26 234 24321 22339 23 173 26 194 22 244 22339 20282 15 176 17 199 21 252 20282 18150 14 184 14 199 20 234 18150 15986 21 186 20 200 18 226 15986 13907 23 199 21 212 17 205 13907 12024 22 205 20 215 10 181 12024 10354 18 203 15 213 5 159 10354 8873 16 210 12 211 6 168 8873 7552 17 214 13 206 5 147 7552 6376 17 212 13 203 5 083 6376 5335 17 210 12*206 8 080 5335 4416 16*207 11*203 9 088 4416 3604 16*205 11 201 10 081 3604 2879 16 205 11 198 10 068 2879 2237 16 204 12 197 11 052 2237 1703 15 203 11 197 13 035 1703 1293 15 203 11 196 14 024 1293 1012 14 203 11 195 14 015 1012 841 14 203 10 195 12 010 841 743 12 202 9 196 9*005 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography