DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 82.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 112 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2048 - - 2485 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1166 - - 1746 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2708 - - 3145 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1865 - - 2062 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 269 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 192 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -137 - - -136 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2845 - - 3281 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -786 - - -1030 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 3494 - - 4175 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 360 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 82.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.0 - - 70.2 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 81.7 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 69.9 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 112 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2048 - - 2485 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 93 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97645 25 277 33 265 97645 90416 27 282 25 279 90416 84838 18 292 17 294 84838 80200 14 314 15 312 80200 76199 11 315 13 328 76199 72667 4 299 5 329 72667 69485 3 025 2 063 69485 66586 6 079 5 130 66586 63926 6 106 7 162 63926 61374 5 113 9 168 61374 58729 3 337 2 043 58729 56015 4 267 7 305 56015 53446 2 297 7 296 53446 51119 7 314 9 313 51119 49005 15 319 13 330 49005 47068 20 330 12 349 47068 45273 20 347 11 356 45273 43590 23 338 16 326 43590 42004 22 322 16 324 42004 40503 23 324 17 326 40503 39077 25 318 19 320 39077 37690 26 306 19 308 37690 36275 27 294 23 293 36275 34801 30 286 27 287 34801 33273 31 278 27 277 33273 31677 37 261 34 260 31677 30000 39 258 37 254 30000 28241 31 261 30 254 28241 26404 26 248 22 248 26404 24495 20 246 20 264 24495 22513 18 256 21 260 22513 20456 34 242 27 249 20456 18319 28 238 27 245 18319 16138 13 238 21 235 16138 14033 12 197 14 233 14033 12120 15 203 12 214 12120 10421 15 215 12 211 10421 8912 16 214 15 208 8912 7574 18 209 18 201 7574 6390 19 205 22 192 6390 5345 21 209 26 200 5345 4426 24 202 26 203 4426 3614 23 199 25*202 3614 2887 21*192 21*196 2887 2245 19*189 19 193 2245 1709 17 188 18 191 1709 1298 17 188 17 191 1298 1014 16 188 16 191 1014 842 15 188 15 190 842 743 12 188 13 190 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography