DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.2 - - 73.5 - - 75.6 - - 68.7 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 262 - - 150 - - -23 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 478 - - 2225 - - 3057 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1941 - - 2305 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1138 - - 2885 - - 3717 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 838 - - 1104 - - 1309 - - 1111 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 339 - - 314 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 16 - - 19 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 199 - - 188 - - 163 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1009 - - -1006 - - -542 - - -1525 - - -1993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2147 - - 3891 - - 4259 - - 2267 - - 2735 sfcLCL ODpotential -5948 - - -4245 - - -4261 - - -3908 - - -7825 ODpotential blCL 7086 - - 7130 - - 7978 - - 4650 - - 8567 blCL maxRH 85 - - 81 - - 78 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.2 - - 73.5 - - 75.6 - - 68.7 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.5 - - 59.0 - - 59.5 - - 61.3 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 71.9 - - 74.6 - - 70.6 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.4 - - 58.8 - - 59.3 - - 61.3 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 262 - - 150 - - -23 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 478 - - 2225 - - 3057 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 22 - - 13 - - 4 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96723 69 259 69 254 75 255 72 264 81 261 96723 89553 56 256 49 257 54 253 56 256 61 259 89553 84003 41 273 37 257 42 255 43 268 36 255 84003 79399 30 266 30 261 28 268 26 287 13 265 79399 75440 17 282 16 267 15 271 16 275 9 300 75440 71956 13 319 9 300 7 302 10 250 10 299 71956 68823 15 337 8 302 9 316 6 289 8 322 68823 65965 14 326 8 296 10 314 8 312 6 315 65965 63323 14 288 15 302 18 301 16 319 12 347 63323 60765 15 294 22 288 25 292 25 308 22 335 60765 58116 21 306 22 286 27 290 27 289 27 306 58116 55380 29 306 26 293 27 296 24 287 25 285 55380 52758 38 297 37 296 35 303 29 309 25 303 52758 50382 41 279 43 287 40 298 35 302 31 312 50382 48240 34 272 40 275 41 283 35 289 35 301 48240 46288 29 292 33 275 38 277 36 276 41 288 46288 44490 31 295 36 283 37 282 35 274 44 277 44490 42823 27 289 41 288 39 286 34 284 43 273 42823 41270 27 299 41 292 40 289 33 295 42 270 41270 39811 31 307 38 302 36 293 34 300 34 276 39811 38436 30 311 35 305 30 296 33 299 33 295 38436 37101 25 311 34 300 30 299 31 299 31 300 37101 35737 19 306 28 277 33 299 30 296 31 293 35737 34314 15 299 25 267 35 295 30 292 32 288 34314 32835 17 301 27 273 35 286 33 290 32 286 32835 31286 17 305 29 280 36 284 36 286 32 286 31286 29653 15 302 30 286 37 286 37 285 33 288 29653 27936 21 310 30 292 36 287 36 286 34 287 27936 26135 25 309 29 293 34 291 33 292 34 291 26135 24253 26 302 28 294 32 293 32 296 36 300 24253 22296 27 290 27 293 28 293 32 299 31 307 22296 20259 26 287 24 291 24 287 28 296 24 310 20259 18132 21 280 22 284 22 292 21 298 20 321 18132 15955 17 260 18 273 21 291 20 291 15 322 15955 13856 11 252 15 258 17 284 19 277 15 301 13856 11961 6 223 9 240 13 261 16 261 15 286 11961 10291 8 224 9 232 12 238 16 251 16 266 10291 8811 14 216 17 226 16 235 16 260 17 267 8811 7493 13 188 18 206 20 226 15 262 21 257 7493 6322 11 185 16 200 18 206 19 231 23 234 6322 5288 9 211 15 195 19 196 25 208 29 218 5288 4379 13 223 15 199 20*193 27 196 30 207 4379 3575 19 220 18*202 19*191 27 190 30 198 3575 2856 26 213 17*200 19 189 26 188 29 190 2856 2221 26 213 17 199 19 188 25 185 31 177 2221 1691 25 212 16 198 19 188 23 182 32 171 1691 1285 18*205 16 198 18 187 20 179 29 169 1285 1007 13*200 15 198 18 187 16 173 21 165 1007 838 12 198 14 197 16 187 13 169 17*163 838 742 10 198 12 197 14 187 6*163 8*160 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography