DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 73.3 - - 69.4 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 327 - - 98 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2634 - - 3456 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8752 - - 9538 - - 7841 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9842 - - 10664 - - 9079 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1791 - - 1515 - - 1437 - - 304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 446 - - 244 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 238 - - 250 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -23 - - -27 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6723 - - -6793 - - -6860 - - -4940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16566 - - 17458 - - 15940 - - 12165 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11989 - - -11596 - - -11919 - - -12788 ODpotential blCL - - - 21831 - - 22260 - - 20998 - - 20012 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 23 - - 22 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 73.3 - - 69.4 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 21.9 - - 25.0 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 71.3 - - 68.5 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 21.2 - - 24.6 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 327 - - 98 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2634 - - 3456 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97870 9 296 9 309 14 277 12 314 97870 90614 9 352 4 239 8 307 8 318 90614 85013 8 339 4 273 7 326 3 325 85013 80369 1 138 5 320 6 002 3 057 80369 76367 3 140 7 330 8 022 4 081 76367 72833 2 227 7 295 8 356 6 057 72833 69626 5 284 10 252 11 294 12 345 69626 66673 7 277 9 258 13 271 14 309 66673 63941 11 303 9 277 13 263 16 285 63941 61311 21 295 12 283 15 263 22 278 61311 58586 30 287 22 286 21 280 26 275 58586 55770 31 283 32 279 30 282 29 279 55770 53084 31 284 34 277 35 283 32 283 53084 50666 34 288 33 283 38 283 38 284 50666 48493 37 291 37 289 42 285 45 282 48493 46512 39 294 40 287 44 285 47 281 46512 44685 36 291 31 278 45 283 51 281 44685 42986 25 288 22 274 44 282 54 281 42986 41396 15 281 20 271 41 282 51 280 41396 39905 5 290 15 260 36 279 45 279 39905 38513 5 293 11 259 28 268 39 280 38513 37192 4 281 15 283 22 263 36 280 37192 35880 3 230 18 287 18 264 35 277 35880 34546 3 225 16 290 19 266 28 269 34546 33193 3 294 16 298 18 267 22 261 33193 31808 7 314 16 303 16 270 19 256 31808 30381 9 303 13 304 13 271 17 253 30381 28916 8 274 10 297 12 268 15 256 28916 27415 9 250 11 278 13 268 13 268 27415 25886 8 258 12 271 15 273 12 283 25886 24333 8 278 14 279 16 281 12 283 24333 22751 8 286 13 282 14 278 13 271 22751 21133 8 271 10 282 12 263 14 258 21133 19502 8 251 8 259 13 251 15 249 19502 17942 9 246 12 243 13 248 14 243 17942 16523 9 244 13 242 12 241 13 233 16523 15255 9 241 13 238 10 227 13 218 15255 14114 9 233 12 233 9 210 13 203 14114 13081 9 225 11 229 9 197 13 193 13081 12142 10 223 12 228 9 195 13 189 12142 11291 12 225 12*229 11 203 13 192 11291 10522 12*225 12*232 12 211 14 197 10522 9827 11*224 12 235 11 228 15 203 9827 9189 11 223 13 237 11*243 15 209 9189 8614 11 221 13 240 11*248 14 217 8614 8125 10 220 13 241 11 249 11 227 8125 7744 10 219 13 242 11 250 10 244 7744 7479 9 218 12 242 10 251 9 252 7479 7317 8 217 11 242 10 251 8*253 7317 7224 6 216 8 243 7 251 4*254 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography