DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 36.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.3 - - 30.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -65 - - 44 - - 99 - - -11 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1554 - - 1873 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7910 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8760 - - 9079 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 202 - - 1100 - - 880 - - 1651 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 184 - - 252 - - 16 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 346 - - 021 - - 071 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -931 - - 194 - - 713 - - -460 - - -876 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8153 - - 8567 - - 8366 - - 7683 - - 8098 sfcLCL ODpotential -10441 - - -7898 - - -7237 - - -8651 - - -10966 ODpotential blCL 17663 - - 16658 - - 16316 - - 15873 - - 18188 blCL maxRH 82 - - 72 - - 81 - - 70 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 36.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.3 - - 30.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.8 - - 24.0 - - 26.9 - - 25.1 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 35.7 - - 37.3 - - 33.9 - - 30.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.0 - - 22.9 - - 25.8 - - 24.0 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -65 - - 44 - - 99 - - -11 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1554 - - 1873 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97024 51 088 57 092 54 090 49 101 39 092 97024 89873 56 097 58 094 61 096 54 100 55 095 89873 84317 57 100 59 097 58 098 63 096 63 094 84317 79651 44 094 52 094 54 102 60 097 61 094 79651 75575 33 096 37 091 46 098 50 096 52 091 75575 71949 26 087 24 087 31 085 33 090 39 077 71949 68664 24 058 22 084 22 087 24 072 26 073 68664 65652 18 043 17 067 15 075 22 052 23 058 65652 62865 22 020 15 055 10 085 13 020 19 041 62865 60165 18 005 13 043 11 358 15 020 19 037 60165 57354 20 003 13 048 12 358 18 003 20 020 57354 54457 25 341 22 010 17 008 21 006 25 018 54457 51721 31 341 29 360 25 004 31 003 31 003 51721 49285 35 342 34 357 32 003 33 007 30 003 49285 47115 38 348 35 356 38 011 43 023 36 023 47115 45161 43 344 41 006 51 017 70 026 58 027 45161 43388 42 341 49 009 70 015 82 017 69 030 43388 41752 48 353 57 004 73 009 83 017 87 033 41752 40233 59 357 60 359 70 008 81 023 96 030 40233 38812 62 352 59 359 69 018 85 029 99 029 38812 37476 60 348 60 005 88 032 90 032 96 030 37476 36198 61 354 63 009 98 031 92 034 90 031 36198 34918 66 360 64 013 91 027 91 033 88 033 34918 33612 64 355 64 017 86 027 88 032 85 033 33612 32285 63 347 61 017 79 025 81 028 81 031 32285 30928 63 347 55 011 76 018 71 022 78 029 30928 29535 63 353 50 003 79 013 64 013 74 028 29535 28109 63 359 48 354 81 011 56 009 70 022 28109 26651 61 357 51 350 78 011 52 013 68 017 26651 25166 54 345 55 349 70 010 52 015 66 016 25166 23657 55 334 55 348 63 009 51 010 63 019 23657 22118 55 331 53 347 58 006 47 003 53 017 22118 20546 54 331 52 346 54 005 45 000 41 011 20546 18967 54 331 51 346 51 004 46 004 36 006 18967 17457 53 330 48 343 49 006 44 012 35 005 17457 16085 52 329 45 339 44 007 38 017 33 006 16085 14860 50 327 43 334 36 003 30 019 30 006 14860 13760 48 325 41 330 30 357 23 015 26 006 13760 12765 44 325 38 329 26 350 19 010 22 007 12765 11866 41 325 33 329 23 346 17 010 20 012 11866 11053 37 326 27 331 20 346 15 015 18 019 11053 10321 34 327 21 333 16 346 13 025 16 032 10321 9661 32 329 15 340 12*351 10 041 16 050 9661 9060 30 328 11*351 7*011 10 069 17 068 9060 8520 28 322 10*351 6 018 11 079 18 084 8520 8063 24 309 8 346 6 022 11 077 18 093 8063 7708 20 290 7 345 6 024 11 075 17 094 7708 7460 16 280 6 344 6 025 10 073 12 089 7460 7309 13*277 5 342 6 027 8*072 10*087 7309 7222 6*276 4 342 4 026 4*071 5*083 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography