DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 73.4 - - 71.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 315 - - 77 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3848 - - 9504 - - 9482 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9679 - - 14317 - - 13171 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11056 - - 16712 - - 16690 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4406 - - 1210 - - 1281 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 402 - - 617 - - 387 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 24 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 200 - - 001 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - 88 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5118 - - -830 - - 364 - - -4939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16175 - - 17543 - - 16327 - - 12163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9873 - - -5129 - - -3759 - - -10062 ODpotential blCL - - - 20929 - - 21841 - - 20449 - - 17286 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 54 - - 79 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 73.4 - - 71.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 21.2 - - 24.6 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 71.5 - - 70.6 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 20.6 - - 24.3 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 315 - - 77 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3848 - - 9504 - - 9482 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97788 6 089 10 047 11 062 5 051 97788 90563 14 103 13 087 12 073 13 080 90563 84940 11 084 13 080 9 067 16 068 84940 80271 9 057 8 050 11 033 12 064 80271 76266 10 064 5 028 13 025 13 038 76266 72752 12 051 8 027 12 016 16 023 72752 69580 13 055 7 031 8 348 14 005 69580 66656 11 027 9 352 11 319 14 332 66656 63945 12 345 12 334 17 328 20 331 63945 61329 15 329 15 321 20 316 22 318 61329 58603 20 331 16 316 21 308 23 314 58603 55775 26 320 22 321 22 302 27 311 55775 53076 32 310 30 314 25 305 31 307 53076 50645 33 302 35 296 34 304 33 306 50645 48458 33 305 33 291 37 298 31 309 48458 46462 36 307 32 292 38 296 32 302 46462 44624 41 306 35 299 37 295 33 296 44624 42918 44 306 37 303 37 294 36 293 42918 41320 45 307 39 300 37 290 36 289 41320 39823 46 307 39 300 36 289 36 285 39823 38424 44 306 39 299 36 291 36 285 38424 37093 43 305 38 298 36 291 36 288 37093 35766 41 305 37 299 35 289 35 289 35766 34414 39 304 36 299 33 289 35 287 34414 33043 37 303 34 299 31 290 33 286 33043 31644 35 301 32 298 30 290 30 286 31644 30209 34 298 30 296 28 292 28 287 30209 28741 32 298 28 297 25 294 25 290 28741 27242 29 300 25 298 21 294 20 289 27242 25713 24 302 21 298 17 290 17 283 25713 24162 19 302 18 301 13 293 14 278 24162 22584 13 297 14 298 10 300 7 270 22584 20973 7 284 10 283 6 302 3 305 20973 19357 3 236 6 240 7 239 7 268 19357 17817 4 194 8*209 4*195 12 239 17817 16422 7 208 6*214 2*110 6 195 16422 15176 6 206 5 216 2 086 4 120 15176 14053 5 189 5 214 2 044 5 078 14053 13035 4 170 5 211 3 022 7 069 13035 12109 4 161 5 206 4 007 8 069 12109 11268 4*159 5 199 4 358 9 066 11268 10507 4*155 5 193 5 350 9 058 10507 9817 6 150 5 188 5 343 8 049 9817 9184 7 148 5 185 5 340 8 033 9184 8612 7 148 5 180 5 337 7 015 8612 8125 7 149 5 178 5 335 7 353 8125 7744 7 148 4 176 5 334 8 332 7744 7479 6 148 4 174 5 334 8 318 7479 7317 6 147 4 173 4 331 8*305 7317 7224 5 145 3 170 3 332 5*299 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography