DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.8 - - 56.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 256 - - 413 - - 259 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 181 - - 4261 - - 5409 - - 3381 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 10094 - - 11164 - - 9410 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7388 - - 11469 - - 12617 - - 10588 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1183 - - 1636 - - 2656 - - 2445 - - 1746 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 451 - - 566 - - 414 - - 12 W* B/S 6 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 13 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 255 - - 281 - - 283 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -11 - - -21 - - -36 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3313 - - -489 - - -47 - - -734 - - -3551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10701 - - 11959 - - 12665 - - 11323 - - 10774 sfcLCL ODpotential -8667 - - -4864 - - -3857 - - -4705 - - -8886 ODpotential blCL 16055 - - 16333 - - 16474 - - 15293 - - 16109 blCL maxRH 40 - - 49 - - 45 - - 48 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.8 - - 56.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 28.8 - - 29.3 - - 31.7 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 54.5 - - 57.6 - - 54.8 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.3 - - 27.6 - - 28.2 - - 30.5 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 256 - - 413 - - 259 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 181 - - 4261 - - 5409 - - 3381 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 2 178 11 313 1 350 6 279 13 284 98230 90753 2 126 9 228 3 270 5 219 4 280 90753 84989 3 083 9 202 8 229 6 278 3 053 84989 80219 4 016 7 183 10 218 4 278 6 044 80219 76126 6 354 3 166 7 208 4 290 6 014 76126 72520 5 266 3 265 4 265 5 289 5 329 72520 69262 4 279 11 281 8 283 7 301 4 324 69262 66264 8 327 13 258 19 268 15 283 12 308 66264 63472 19 320 8 267 15 265 18 275 20 278 63472 60760 29 291 19 289 19 280 20 272 25 275 60760 57927 31 272 31 277 31 280 26 277 27 277 57927 54980 34 268 37 274 37 278 34 275 33 278 54980 52163 42 270 41 274 43 275 44 275 43 276 52163 49636 50 262 47 270 50 270 53 273 50 276 49636 47381 49 263 52 270 55 270 56 276 53 279 47381 45349 54 273 60 276 60 275 60 279 56 282 45349 43509 64 279 68 279 66 278 64 280 59 286 43509 41834 72 281 75 279 71 277 66 281 58 291 41834 40291 76 280 77 277 71 276 64 280 60 297 40291 38859 75 277 79 276 65 276 57 285 60 297 38859 37524 73 276 80 275 60 279 50 292 54 297 37524 36250 73 277 80 273 58 284 47 296 49 292 36250 34978 71 277 78 272 56 286 47 296 50 288 34978 33679 69 278 76 273 53 286 47 297 51 290 33679 32359 65 279 74 274 49 286 49 298 50 292 32359 31008 62 280 72 273 45 288 49 300 48 291 31008 29619 60 280 69 273 41 291 47 299 46 288 29619 28195 58 280 66 275 37 294 43 298 43 287 28195 26740 55 279 59 277 34 298 42 297 41 288 26740 25256 52 278 51 280 31 297 39 297 38 289 25256 23748 49 279 46 279 30 296 35 297 34 289 23748 22211 46 283 41 278 27 299 32 297 33 290 22211 20639 39 288 33 281 24 301 29 298 32 292 20639 19061 32 291 26 288 21 299 23 297 29 291 19061 17553 26 292 22 294 19 299 19 296 26 289 17553 16185 22 295 19 295 17 303 17 297 25 286 16185 14963 18 296 17 295 15 305 16 300 24 284 14963 13862 16 292 16 294 13 302 16 304 24 284 13862 12866 15 285 14 289 12*295 16 304 23 285 12866 11961 14 280 11*282 12*289 15 301 22 286 11961 11141 13 278 7*270 12 286 15*293 21 287 11141 10401 11 285 6 267 13 283 15*288 21 288 10401 9731 8 288 6 259 14 280 16 285 21 287 9731 9118 5 264 6 253 14 279 17 284 21 284 9118 8564 4 215 5 249 14 278 17 282 21 277 8564 8094 5 173 5 245 14 278 17 282 20 274 8094 7727 6 160 5 240 14 276 16 281 18 272 7727 7471 5*163 4 239 13 276 15 281 15 271 7471 7314 3*171 4 237 12 276 14 281 12*270 7314 7223 2 174 3 235 9 276 9 280 6*269 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography