DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.9 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -77 - - 76 - - 141 - - 35 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 691 - - 2249 - - 2210 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 8401 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7898 - - 9456 - - 9417 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 196 - - 710 - - 1335 - - 2100 - - 563 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 174 - - 310 - - 208 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 248 - - 261 - - 273 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -25 - - -22 - - -24 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -712 - - -1781 - - -121 - - 143 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7935 - - 9680 - - 9578 - - 9274 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -7283 - - -6814 - - -4423 - - -3960 - - -4223 ODpotential blCL 14506 - - 14712 - - 13879 - - 13377 - - 11446 blCL maxRH 83 - - 70 - - 71 - - 79 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.9 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 36.7 - - 37.2 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 50.1 - - 52.7 - - 52.7 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 32.2 - - 35.5 - - 36.0 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -77 - - 76 - - 141 - - 35 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 691 - - 2249 - - 2210 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96407 33 294 22 290 32 291 28 289 38 285 96407 89191 26 293 23 292 32 277 28 298 32 302 89191 83714 25 295 27 296 32 290 31 300 27 314 83714 79186 26 302 26 299 25 293 27 305 25 314 79186 75286 25 293 20 291 23 304 24 304 21 311 75286 71831 16 284 17 296 22 291 24 302 22 313 71831 68683 13 282 13 296 19 282 20 289 22 309 68683 65770 13 277 12 304 15 273 18 278 23 301 65770 63055 22 277 18 289 19 272 22 281 25 292 63055 60414 26 268 24 269 28 269 29 275 32 284 60414 57643 32 260 30 266 37 266 36 269 35 269 57643 54760 45 254 41 263 42 264 43 263 38 266 54760 52008 48 246 46 258 42 256 44 259 39 257 52008 49524 46 246 46 252 38 254 42 260 37 255 49524 47294 47 252 48 247 41 259 41 260 39 262 47294 45282 49 258 47 247 47 261 44 266 44 270 45282 43462 46 257 46 257 48 260 50 268 46 270 43462 41808 36 259 44 266 46 259 49 260 45 268 41808 40290 27 274 39 268 42 272 44 265 48 268 40290 38877 25 302 35 284 44 282 46 270 51 267 38877 37551 28 318 36 294 41 277 44 265 51 268 37551 36283 32 328 34 293 37 272 43 259 49 265 36283 35013 31 332 31 292 34 275 43 259 47 262 35013 33715 31 332 28 292 33 275 43 261 45 262 33715 32395 26 337 26 290 33 272 41 266 42 267 32395 31043 23 327 25 286 32 272 38 271 38 271 31043 29652 22 308 26 283 33 271 36 270 36 269 29652 28226 19 289 29 276 32 266 37 269 35 269 28226 26770 19 279 26 271 30 264 38 268 33 271 26770 25287 19 279 23 266 27 266 34 270 30 271 25287 23781 18 278 21 264 25 266 30 272 27 267 23781 22247 17 271 21 262 24 265 26 273 24 263 22247 20681 19 268 22 259 25 262 24 270 22 258 20681 19108 22 270 24 261 27 262 24 264 22 255 19108 17602 22 271 24 264 27 262 24 259 22 255 17602 16231 19 268 22 263 25 261 22 257 21 256 16231 15004 18 263 20 261 22 258 21 256 19 255 15004 13899 19 262 19 260 19 257 19 258 17 257 13899 12898 18 265 17 262 16 256 17 261 15 259 12898 11989 17 272 15 267 13 258 15 265 13 265 11989 11165 16 283 13 275 11 261 13 270 12 270 11165 10421 15 289 12 284 10 261 12 274 11 277 10421 9747 15 291 12 288 10*261 12*275 11 282 9747 9130 16 281 13 282 11*262 12*275 11 284 9130 8573 17 266 14 263 11 261 11 274 11 284 8573 8099 20 251 13*252 11 261 11 273 11 283 8099 7729 21 240 13*249 11 260 11 273 11 284 7729 7472 19 238 12 248 10 260 10 273 10 283 7472 7314 15*241 10 248 9 261 8 272 8*281 7314 7223 7*245 7 248 7 260 6 271 4*279 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography