DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.7 - - 33.5 - - 36.3 - - 32.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - -52 - - -30 - - -48 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 62 - - 73 - - 644 - - 143 - - 70 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 270 - - 274 - - 267 - - 255 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -16 - - -14 - - -16 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -748 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7972 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 8845 sfcLCL ODpotential -9434 - - -8040 - - -6067 - - -6255 - - -9711 ODpotential blCL 16657 - - 15263 - - 13289 - - 13477 - - 16934 blCL maxRH 81 - - 73 - - 90 - - 80 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.7 - - 33.5 - - 36.3 - - 32.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 27.4 - - 30.9 - - 28.5 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.1 - - 37.4 - - 38.6 - - 36.3 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 26.8 - - 30.3 - - 28.8 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - -52 - - -30 - - -48 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 0 - - 60 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 27 091 19 087 21 082 11 088 23 090 96301 89195 25 087 28 081 19 080 18 075 22 067 89195 83689 18 070 22 070 9 069 18 066 15 062 83689 79103 15 054 14 059 4 054 14 021 20 037 79103 75141 17 008 13 035 10 014 9 001 12 025 75141 71638 21 350 16 001 13 355 11 005 9 013 71638 68478 15 335 13 339 15 332 18 348 13 347 68478 65570 12 333 12 344 13 305 18 331 14 331 65570 62863 22 310 19 319 13 309 20 308 24 307 62863 60246 32 306 27 297 27 315 25 310 28 303 60246 57511 44 296 37 295 36 301 35 299 32 297 57511 54668 47 289 41 293 40 294 42 295 38 295 54668 51955 51 287 47 293 44 296 48 302 45 304 51955 49512 55 290 51 292 53 295 58 301 54 302 49512 47323 59 292 55 290 62 292 66 295 62 300 47323 45342 64 294 58 291 66 291 72 292 66 301 45342 43534 69 296 63 297 69 293 75 294 71 300 43534 41866 78 297 74 298 74 293 78 297 74 298 41866 40316 80 296 81 296 81 293 80 296 77 297 40316 38872 79 296 82 295 88 294 83 296 78 296 38872 37525 77 297 80 294 88 294 84 295 78 297 37525 36247 73 297 78 294 83 293 77 293 76 295 36247 34973 70 299 75 294 77 291 71 293 71 294 34973 33677 71 301 72 294 73 291 68 291 68 294 33677 32362 70 302 70 296 68 292 64 292 67 294 32362 31017 67 302 70 296 66 292 62 290 66 292 31017 29632 64 301 68 296 66 291 61 288 64 290 29632 28211 62 302 64 296 65 292 59 288 63 290 28211 26756 58 301 60 295 60 291 57 290 62 291 26756 25271 56 300 57 292 58 287 54 294 58 295 25271 23761 54 301 56 291 58 285 50 297 53 301 23761 22222 51 302 53 291 56 285 45 299 48 306 22222 20645 49 304 49 292 51 287 42 300 45 308 20645 19061 46 304 44 293 45 289 40 301 41 308 19061 17546 42 303 39 293 40 291 37 301 37 310 17546 16170 38 300 35 294 35 291 34 301 33 312 16170 14940 35 297 31 295 31 292 30 301 30 315 14940 13835 32 295 28 295 28 293 26 302 26 317 13835 12837 29 293 26 296 25 294 24 303 23 318 12837 11934 26 292 24 296 23 295 22 304 20 318 11934 11116 24 291 22 297 22 295 21 303 18 316 11116 10379 22 291 20 297 21 294 20 302 17 314 10379 9713 20 291 19 297 21 292 20 300 16 311 9713 9103 18 291 18 296 20 290 19 296 16 308 9103 8553 17 291 17 295 20 287 18 292 15 303 8553 8085 16 290 16 293 18 281 17 287 14 298 8085 7720 15 286 15 290 16 275 15 276 13 294 7720 7467 12 278 13 283 13 270 12 262 11 289 7467 7311 10*272 10*279 10 267 10*255 8*283 7311 7223 6*270 5*274 6*267 5*255 4*274 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography