DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 73.2 - - - - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 502 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3966 - - 6299 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9952 - - 11940 - - - - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11175 - - 13507 - - - - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2560 - - 3003 - - - - - 2318 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 628 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 220 - - - - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -38 - - -38 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1822 - - -377 - - - - - -4749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12997 - - 13885 - - - - - 11974 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4511 - - -2774 - - - - - -9895 ODpotential blCL - - - 15686 - - 16281 - - - - - 17119 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 66 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 380 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 73.2 - - - - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 37.2 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 70.7 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 36.7 - - - - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 502 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3966 - - 6299 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99318 20 116 19 121 9 080 99318 91874 18 098 21 115 16 098 91874 86120 12 104 17 094 17 099 86120 81313 14 113 13 113 12 093 81313 77162 12 115 10 112 11 115 77162 73494 10 118 4 127 10 105 73494 70185 13 127 11 150 9 092 70185 67152 6 171 8 164 5 169 67152 64351 5 163 6 190 1 139 64351 61650 9 221 8 201 7 228 61650 58842 13 191 16 205 19 209 58842 55919 19 225 24 213 15 214 55919 53108 29 231 23 219 28 242 53108 50586 32 233 32 230 39 247 50586 48352 34 233 38 235 52 246 48352 46347 39 232 43 240 59 245 46347 44521 42 232 51 242 61 245 44521 42838 47 234 53 243 61 246 42838 41268 47 234 53 247 61 250 41268 39797 45 231 52 249 63 251 39797 38418 42 225 49 247 60 251 38418 37106 40 221 44 244 52 251 37106 35798 42 221 39 241 47 248 35798 34468 43 221 34 239 41 245 34468 33119 40 226 31 239 35 245 33119 31737 35 228 30 240 33 244 31737 30314 32 229 31 239 31 242 30314 28855 28 226 31 236 27 238 28855 27365 27 222 30 232 22 229 27365 25846 30 220 30 226 20 221 25846 24299 32 220 31 222 20 216 24299 22720 32 220 33 220 21 214 22720 21103 33 219 35 218 22 213 21103 19476 33 218 36 216 24 214 19476 17921 32 216 35 215 26 214 17921 16505 31 214 34 213 28 213 16505 15238 30 212 31 212 29 213 15238 14098 29 211 28*211 29 214 14098 13065 29 211 23*212 28 215 13065 12128 27 214 22 214 28 217 12128 11279 24*217 22 217 28 218 11279 10512 23*219 22 219 28 218 10512 9819 23 221 22 222 27 219 9819 9184 22 222 22 224 24 223 9184 8611 22 223 21 225 20 232 8611 8124 21 224 21 227 17 240 8124 7744 20 225 20 227 15 243 7744 7480 18 225 18 228 13 244 7480 7318 16 226 16 228 10 244 7318 7224 11 226 11 228 5*245 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography