DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 48.9 - - 52.7 - - 46.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -98 - - 129 - - 224 - - 13 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1387 - - 3235 - - 1660 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7661 - - 9236 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8594 - - 10442 - - 8866 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 70 - - 1188 - - 1428 - - 1446 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 242 - - 385 - - 121 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 23 - - 20 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 209 - - 205 - - 215 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 19 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -56 - - -36 - - -32 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4671 - - -5436 - - -3868 - - -2389 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11894 - - 14031 - - 14311 - - 11255 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -13824 - - -10553 - - -7971 - - -7041 - - -6330 ODpotential blCL 21047 - - 19147 - - 18413 - - 15907 - - 13553 blCL maxRH 54 - - 48 - - 60 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 48.9 - - 52.7 - - 46.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.3 - - 13.0 - - 15.2 - - 22.1 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 48.2 - - 51.4 - - 46.1 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.1 - - 12.5 - - 14.7 - - 22.0 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -98 - - 129 - - 224 - - 13 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1387 - - 3235 - - 1660 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96294 46 298 39 301 37 301 33 293 33 290 96294 89233 31 302 21 300 26 294 26 298 22 318 89233 83755 19 290 17 292 16 287 20 295 24 304 83755 79213 10 289 20 280 16 283 20 293 19 301 79213 75286 18 288 17 281 17 291 19 279 18 295 75286 71787 22 283 20 290 19 283 22 281 22 284 71787 68611 24 287 25 285 19 276 21 277 17 283 68611 65690 19 262 23 259 23 270 19 257 20 282 65690 62963 11 241 14 246 21 258 17 266 24 263 62963 60297 14 263 17 258 21 250 21 259 23 236 60297 57511 25 247 29 237 29 241 27 243 28 235 57511 54628 35 246 36 229 34 227 38 231 41 243 54628 51888 55 241 48 240 41 227 48 228 49 234 51888 49425 69 233 66 240 54 231 55 222 51 227 49425 47211 78 228 83 230 71 227 62 221 57 225 47211 45199 77 228 82 222 81 220 69 221 57 216 45199 43357 78 233 77 219 81 215 71 211 58 210 43357 41659 82 233 80 222 80 213 68 208 57 210 41659 40085 77 229 79 221 83 212 70 211 59 212 40085 38621 66 226 73 219 84 209 75 213 65 212 38621 37258 60 223 71 219 79 210 75 216 67 213 37258 35968 63 220 69 219 77 216 74 217 67 215 35968 34686 65 215 68 217 75 216 73 214 68 213 34686 33387 60 211 65 210 71 212 70 210 66 209 33387 32070 54 208 63 204 70 207 67 205 62 207 32070 30721 52 209 58 202 67 203 64 205 61 209 30721 29332 51 209 52 204 60 201 57 205 60 209 29332 27909 49 205 50 206 52 201 52 206 56 207 27909 26459 44 200 47 205 47 201 49 207 49 207 26459 24986 37 200 42 203 43 202 47 207 43 211 24986 23495 32 203 37 202 39 204 42 207 37 216 23495 21982 31 204 33 203 36 205 37 207 35 218 21982 20438 29 205 28 203 33 205 34 207 34 213 20438 18889 27 205 23 204 31 203 34 206 34 203 18889 17411 24 205 21 206 29 203 34 202 35 197 17411 16068 23 203 21 208 29 204 34 199 37 195 16068 14866 22 203 22 207 30 204 34 197 38 194 14866 13781 22 204 24 207 31 202 35 195 39 194 13781 12799 23 206 26 206 32 199 36 193 40 194 12799 11905 25 207 28 205 32 196 37 191 42 195 11905 11094 26 207 30 205 26*197 36 192 45 197 11094 10361 29 207 34 204 23*200 32 196 47 198 10361 9698 31 208 35 204 22 202 26 202 48 200 9698 9091 32 209 34*205 22 204 21*210 47 202 9091 8544 33 209 30*206 21 206 19*213 41 206 8544 8080 31 208 25 209 20 207 18 215 33 212 8080 7718 27 208 22 210 19 208 17 216 26 218 7718 7466 21 210 20 210 18 208 15 216 20 220 7466 7311 16*213 17 210 15 208 13 217 14*220 7311 7223 7*216 11 210 10 208 8 217 7*219 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography