DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 45.6 - - 48.2 - - 46.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 13 - - 30 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 1254 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7207 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7509 - - 8461 - - 7224 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 1541 - - 1767 - - 2273 - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 75 - - 153 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 279 - - 266 - - 216 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -17 - - -4 - - -4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -308 - - 286 - - 1238 - - 1 - - -1103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7531 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7224 - - 8326 sfcLCL ODpotential -6973 - - -3156 - - -1335 - - -2767 - - -7973 ODpotential blCL 14196 - - 10665 - - 9796 - - 9991 - - 15196 blCL maxRH 78 - - 83 - - 87 - - 83 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 45.6 - - 48.2 - - 46.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 39.7 - - 41.9 - - 41.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 47.9 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 38.9 - - 40.7 - - 40.7 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 13 - - 30 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 1254 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 31 - - 49 - - 32 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96749 15 102 10 079 10 089 4 033 6 036 96749 89565 6 083 8 067 7 085 7 026 5 029 89565 83989 6 068 10 083 2 066 6 029 6 022 83989 79361 12 345 10 027 10 353 13 355 18 357 79361 75404 18 356 13 338 17 340 19 338 21 327 75404 71929 20 348 19 340 24 320 23 335 21 327 71929 68792 37 323 29 314 33 320 35 322 32 326 68792 65914 41 310 36 310 38 316 40 314 40 310 65914 63237 42 294 38 303 43 307 47 307 46 302 63237 60630 38 287 42 303 46 299 52 292 48 288 60630 57897 46 303 48 303 52 292 51 291 44 292 57897 55040 62 302 57 299 56 293 59 296 52 302 55040 52308 77 283 76 288 76 288 77 289 71 297 52308 49854 78 276 75 279 77 284 82 284 81 285 49854 47655 80 279 73 282 73 283 80 278 80 273 47655 45661 80 280 79 282 73 282 74 275 69 266 45661 43831 80 283 84 279 77 279 72 274 67 272 43831 42145 84 281 86 278 82 274 77 275 78 276 42145 40599 88 276 88 279 84 273 84 275 87 275 40599 39175 88 276 89 280 83 275 85 274 83 271 39175 37845 90 279 86 278 80 276 82 274 77 268 37845 36571 90 279 83 276 77 276 77 272 73 266 36571 35292 88 278 82 275 74 275 74 272 68 263 35292 33983 84 278 81 275 73 273 70 271 66 261 33983 32649 80 279 75 278 73 274 67 272 64 263 32649 31283 77 280 66 280 73 276 65 274 56 271 31283 29879 70 282 61 280 63 279 61 275 49 276 29879 28440 63 284 56 279 56 282 53 277 42 272 28440 26967 56 284 54 280 54 283 45 280 36 270 26967 25466 50 283 52 278 48 283 43 282 30 281 25466 23940 46 283 49 279 44 285 43 283 28 292 23940 22385 43 285 48 286 43 291 40 282 28 291 22385 20793 42 288 47 290 42 296 36 286 28 286 20793 19192 39 290 40 291 38 297 34 293 28 283 19192 17662 35 294 32 290 35 293 31 297 26 286 17662 16272 28 299 26 287 32 289 28 297 24 293 16272 15029 23 304 23 282 28 286 24 295 23 302 15029 13913 20 310 22 279 24 282 20 292 18 309 13913 12904 18 313 20 280 22 281 16 292 11 321 12904 11990 17 315 18 285 21 286 13 296 6 348 11990 11164 16 313 16 292 20 292 11 302 4 034 11164 10418 13 310 13 301 18 293 9 305 4 064 10418 9744 11 307 11 309 14 288 8 301 4 072 9744 9127 8 304 11 312 9 282 6 277 4 071 9127 8571 5 299 12 305 4*277 5 237 3 066 8571 8097 4 283 12 293 2*269 4 217 3 056 8097 7728 4 258 11*285 2 265 4 215 2 049 7728 7471 4 241 9*280 1 266 3 212 1 050 7471 7314 4*226 7 279 1 261 3*214 0*303 7314 7223 4*245 4 277 1 262 2*216 1*294 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography