DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 69.3 - - 73.4 - - 70.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 210 - - 322 - - 85 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5269 - - 8465 - - 7160 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 10746 - - 13491 - - 11538 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 12477 - - 15673 - - 14368 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 391 - - 2452 - - 1166 - - 1936 - - 2150 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 442 - - 598 - - 363 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 27 - - 25 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 230 - - 272 - - 334 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -7 - - 43 - - 36 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5383 - - -3133 - - -271 - - -789 - - -4661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12608 - - 15611 - - 15945 - - 15158 - - 11886 sfcLCL ODpotential -13217 - - -7901 - - -4521 - - -4938 - - -11271 ODpotential blCL 20441 - - 20378 - - 20194 - - 19306 - - 18495 blCL maxRH 41 - - 43 - - 62 - - 62 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 69.3 - - 73.4 - - 70.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 26.0 - - 28.3 - - 29.4 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.7 - - 67.7 - - 71.3 - - 70.2 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 25.6 - - 27.9 - - 29.1 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 210 - - 322 - - 85 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5269 - - 8465 - - 7160 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97803 6 133 11 017 5 079 9 069 16 054 97803 90561 11 067 7 031 6 107 13 071 22 066 90561 84944 6 057 6 068 7 027 13 067 15 073 84944 80275 15 068 10 116 2 002 12 016 16 046 80275 76273 16 039 14 081 9 075 8 050 11 028 76273 72774 14 025 14 041 18 054 12 061 12 057 72774 69625 13 015 10 057 10 051 12 040 14 032 69625 66730 12 345 7 047 8 047 8 008 12 022 66730 64033 8 321 5 344 8 348 11 359 10 001 64033 61407 9 322 7 312 9 324 12 328 13 334 61407 58669 18 316 10 297 14 296 21 307 21 326 58669 55841 30 311 22 311 21 298 28 308 29 323 55841 53152 43 293 41 299 36 297 37 309 35 325 53152 50729 50 297 55 295 51 298 46 308 43 324 50729 48549 56 294 61 295 62 295 57 306 50 321 48549 46556 61 294 62 294 68 296 66 304 54 320 46556 44716 63 296 63 294 69 296 72 300 57 317 44716 43002 65 297 63 296 66 296 73 298 63 314 43002 41402 66 298 63 297 62 296 70 298 67 310 41402 39902 65 299 62 296 62 296 69 299 66 307 39902 38502 63 300 61 296 63 295 68 299 64 307 38502 37173 60 300 57 294 60 293 66 297 63 305 37173 35851 56 300 53 291 58 289 63 294 62 300 35851 34506 53 300 54 288 57 288 61 292 60 297 34506 33144 54 299 53 289 53 289 57 294 57 297 33144 31753 53 297 49 291 46 292 49 297 50 298 31753 30322 48 301 41 292 37 294 39 300 42 300 30322 28856 38 306 33 297 28 294 29 297 33 299 28856 27358 31 311 26 302 22 300 22 298 26 294 27358 25831 28 313 23 307 19 301 19 299 21 283 25831 24279 24 312 20 310 17 303 16 300 16 286 24279 22695 19 308 18 310 14 311 12 304 12 298 22695 21074 13 306 14 306 12 311 11 309 10 307 21074 19444 7 304 10 293 10 297 10 305 8 331 19444 17886 4 288 6 273 8 270 8 278 7 323 17886 16473 3 217 5 240 5*234 4 188 9 283 16473 15212 5 206 5 232 4*243 4*123 2 224 15212 14079 6 213 5 243 3 246 3*085 5 081 14079 13055 6 222 5*257 3 255 3 027 8 064 13055 12125 5 221 5*260 4 267 4 356 9 060 12125 11280 5 215 5 261 4 274 5 340 10 058 11280 10516 5 209 4 256 5 277 6 332 11 056 10516 9823 4 200 4 237 5 281 7 325 11 048 9823 9189 4 181 3 205 5 282 7 322 10 038 9189 8615 5 162 3 191 6 284 8 320 9 022 8615 8127 6 148 3 180 6 286 8 318 8 005 8127 7746 7 139 3 173 6 286 7 317 8 348 7746 7480 5 142 3 168 5 287 7 316 7 335 7480 7317 4*159 3 165 5 286 7 315 6 323 7317 7224 1*240 2 161 4 287 5 315 4*315 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography