DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.0 - - 71.0 - - 73.4 - - 65.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 289 - - 398 - - 137 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4445 - - 5043 - - 1505 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7208 - - 10272 - - 10860 - - 7804 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 11654 - - 12252 - - 8713 - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 801 - - 3112 - - 3067 - - 1596 - - 3090 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 471 - - 546 - - 257 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 17 - - 18 - - 21 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 238 - - 235 - - 250 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -39 - - -28 - - -72 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5527 - - -1726 - - -1239 - - -2306 - - -3229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12752 - - 13380 - - 13492 - - 11019 - - 10455 sfcLCL ODpotential -10232 - - -4777 - - -4700 - - -5741 - - -6617 ODpotential blCL 17456 - - 16431 - - 16952 - - 14454 - - 13842 blCL maxRH 90 - - 88 - - 90 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 62.0 - - 71.0 - - 73.4 - - 65.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 37.3 - - 39.1 - - 42.1 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.6 - - 69.4 - - 71.2 - - 64.5 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 36.2 - - 37.9 - - 41.5 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 289 - - 398 - - 137 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4445 - - 5043 - - 1505 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 53 - - 59 - - 69 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99546 31 100 34 106 30 102 30 104 29 106 99546 92002 28 104 29 107 21 113 18 104 21 095 92002 86214 26 103 21 106 20 106 20 098 20 079 86214 81418 22 112 16 105 16 104 19 101 18 074 81418 77281 22 113 12 131 18 097 19 107 12 089 77281 73630 14 108 13 118 14 108 18 119 12 117 73630 70330 13 155 12 139 8 121 10 106 13 107 70330 67305 14 143 13 139 7 165 10 134 8 094 67305 64498 11 157 10 161 9 186 9 179 6 140 64498 61793 6 176 14 170 10 177 10 192 7 170 61793 58994 19 209 24 191 26 198 19 202 14 209 58994 56105 25 205 31 193 37 194 32 202 32 205 56105 53381 35 202 40 205 40 205 35 207 37 190 53381 50939 45 204 49 206 52 210 44 217 32 210 50939 48753 51 209 55 202 61 203 57 212 45 222 48753 46775 57 217 54 205 60 199 66 200 53 212 46775 44956 64 219 56 210 56 202 61 197 54 204 44956 43261 70 217 62 215 54 206 54 205 54 201 43261 41668 75 212 71 213 57 208 55 208 57 199 41668 40168 74 209 78 208 67 206 60 210 60 199 40168 38764 74 206 85 206 76 207 73 210 64 202 38764 37427 76 204 82 204 79 206 79 208 67 206 37427 36092 74 206 69 203 72 202 72 204 67 207 36092 34732 71 212 59 206 63 198 71 197 61 206 34732 33353 61 217 49 208 55 200 69 194 55 205 33353 31943 48 223 45 208 45 205 56 198 54 197 31943 30494 44 222 41 213 39 201 45 200 54 191 30494 29008 41 216 38 213 39 200 41 207 56 194 29008 27484 35 208 37 210 40 200 37 211 55 195 27484 25931 35 202 36 210 36 204 37 212 48 199 25931 24356 41 191 32 217 32 210 38 203 41 204 24356 22754 45 182 38 210 37 210 43 190 37 209 22754 21121 45 175 47 199 49 199 47 186 29 215 21121 19486 34 173 51 191 52 197 47 188 19 224 19486 17929 29 178 47 185 45 195 42 187 14 229 17929 16518 27 184 35 175 38 191 36 178 13 214 16518 15254 25 188 28 173 31 187 31 164 20 195 15254 14117 24 190 25 184 25 189 28 158 24 191 14117 13085 23 196 23 202 21*198 25 161 25 194 13085 12146 22 204 20*221 19*211 21 177 26 199 12146 11295 22 213 19*233 19 224 18 207 26 204 11295 10526 22 221 19 238 19 233 20 235 23 209 10526 9830 22 227 19 239 19 238 25 247 19 214 9830 9194 21 231 18 239 19 240 27*250 15 219 9194 8619 20 234 17 240 19 242 26*250 12 220 8619 8130 20 235 17 240 19 243 23 250 10 219 8130 7748 18 232 16 240 18 243 21 251 9 219 7748 7482 15 229 14 240 17 243 19 251 7 217 7482 7318 12*228 13 240 15 243 16 251 6*214 7318 7225 5*228 9 239 11 242 11 251 3*212 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography