DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.2 - - 71.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 343 - - 221 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5121 - - 8635 - - 4374 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10765 - - 13691 - - 10113 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12330 - - 15844 - - 11582 - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2712 - - 1987 - - 4830 - - 2414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 626 - - 431 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 17 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 215 - - 260 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -5 - - -21 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2140 - - 450 - - -809 - - -2968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14471 - - 15394 - - 12391 - - 10194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6511 - - -3378 - - -4255 - - -6837 ODpotential blCL - - - 18841 - - 19222 - - 15837 - - 14062 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 43 - - 46 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 640 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.2 - - 71.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 32.4 - - 42.3 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 73.1 - - 70.4 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 31.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 343 - - 221 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5121 - - 8635 - - 4374 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98817 25 102 29 112 27 111 21 105 98817 91317 19 103 24 098 25 099 22 108 91317 85572 20 118 17 098 18 089 24 088 85572 80827 18 116 13 097 15 080 21 097 80827 76750 16 103 12 114 15 076 18 091 76750 73160 14 110 9 122 13 076 20 072 73160 69911 13 108 11 072 9 103 16 067 69911 66922 13 105 8 072 10 096 12 077 66922 64155 14 094 8 139 5 026 11 052 64155 61490 11 059 8 116 3 196 7 032 61490 58717 4 030 2 063 3 134 4 346 58717 55834 8 324 4 306 3 285 7 298 55834 53078 13 307 11 285 14 273 17 291 53078 50597 19 298 17 288 18 274 20 283 50597 48363 24 295 22 292 20 285 20 282 48363 46327 27 292 25 291 23 289 23 286 46327 44463 29 289 28 289 26 289 27 288 44463 42749 30 289 27 291 27 289 27 291 42749 41165 30 293 27 295 24 291 26 294 41165 39690 30 296 28 298 25 295 26 297 39690 38313 31 295 30 296 27 297 28 298 38313 37003 30 294 32 295 29 295 28 296 37003 35696 31 295 34 294 30 293 27 294 35696 34364 34 294 34 292 30 292 26 292 34364 33011 37 292 34 288 30 292 25 291 33011 31625 39 291 33 284 28 289 24 286 31625 30198 34 289 28 280 24 283 21 286 30198 28740 26 284 23 278 21 279 18 280 28740 27254 21 284 20 277 16 280 13 276 27254 25742 16 287 14 277 12 282 9 274 25742 24204 12 288 12 274 11 271 9 266 24204 22638 8 290 8 265 10 257 10 243 22638 21037 6 282 7 251 10 240 13 214 21037 19428 7 253 7 241 10 219 21 187 19428 17889 8 245 10 230 14 194 22 172 17889 16488 16 226 14*210 17 179 18 166 16488 15233 20 213 11*205 16 177 15 166 15233 14100 20 203 7 207 14 179 13 170 14100 13073 16*191 7 209 10 186 11 174 13073 12139 11*179 6 213 8*195 9 181 12139 11291 9 167 6 215 6*228 7 188 11291 10525 8 149 6 218 6 242 5 196 10525 9830 7 133 6 220 9 261 3 230 9830 9194 7 129 6 222 10 265 6 285 9194 8619 7 124 6 223 11 266 11 290 8619 8130 7 121 6 223 11 266 12 289 8130 7748 6 119 6 224 11 266 12 288 7748 7482 6 117 6 223 11 265 10 286 7482 7319 5 116 5 222 10 265 8*285 7319 7225 4 114 4 221 8 266 5*284 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography