DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 44.7 - - 48.4 - - 45.9 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 22 - - 66 - - -15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 1703 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7207 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7742 - - 8910 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 471 - - 1199 - - 1448 - - 2840 - - 2112 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 106 - - 220 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 12 - - 17 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 127 - - 133 - - 138 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 519 - - 1687 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -3949 - - -3244 - - -264 - - -1154 - - -729 ODpotential blCL 11172 - - 10986 - - 9174 - - 8377 - - 7952 blCL maxRH 89 - - 88 - - 91 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 60 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 44.7 - - 48.4 - - 45.9 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 40.2 - - 43.2 - - 42.9 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 44.5 - - 48.0 - - 46.7 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 39.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.4 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 22 - - 66 - - -15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 1703 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 50 - - 62 - - 78 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 31 072 26 071 25 071 38 072 25 079 96531 89524 37 076 32 082 29 077 31 077 31 082 89524 84029 24 070 26 089 23 081 23 071 25 088 84029 79458 14 074 15 081 14 075 12 060 15 072 79458 75516 10 060 10 098 6 066 6 036 11 040 75516 72015 10 029 9 091 4 128 6 324 9 021 72015 68826 1 293 10 058 7 110 4 225 5 350 68826 65892 6 185 6 352 4 066 3 151 2 126 65892 63170 5 218 3 236 7 226 7 219 6 176 63170 60528 14 208 7 169 8 229 6 217 8 156 60528 57767 21 209 13 209 22 207 21 219 19 227 57767 54882 24 209 22 201 20 199 21 198 20 212 54882 52090 23 206 28 203 23 199 23 197 28 195 52090 49552 24 203 28 192 27 186 33 184 34 177 49552 47281 27 193 30 178 28 171 33 175 32 165 47281 45231 31 172 30 161 29 163 32 170 26 170 45231 43360 23 164 30 152 34 163 29 162 22 180 43360 41637 39 197 31 161 31 161 31 169 26 176 41637 40051 61 183 52 177 46 175 35 175 34 159 40051 38607 55 169 64 173 51 173 38 174 38 140 38607 37282 38 185 55 170 45 171 37 169 31 125 37282 36022 53 204 41 175 34 169 35 160 38 126 36022 34762 78 205 39 182 30 168 31 144 39 129 34762 33473 80 203 43 180 36 158 29 137 36 127 33473 32163 73 201 41 170 38 154 28 132 36 123 32163 30818 60 194 40 164 35 157 29 137 35 121 30818 29433 51 184 44 172 33 158 28 141 33 118 29433 28012 47 186 37 172 31 154 25 143 32 116 28012 26558 49 186 28 175 29 132 22 142 30 113 26558 25076 39 204 22 183 29 109 18 140 28 110 25076 23572 22 213 18 204 21 099 14 136 28 108 23572 22042 12 182 13 203 16 088 18 121 28 109 22042 20481 16 159 14 184 15 100 22 109 27 106 20481 18919 17 165 16 162 16 119 20 113 23 096 18919 17432 15 164 19 151 18 134 18 130 18 088 17432 16084 15 150 20 149 19 142 18 142 16 085 16084 14880 17 140 20 149 20 147 17 151 14 086 14880 13796 19 137 20 145 20 148 15 159 13 092 13796 12814 22 136 21 139 21 147 13 165 10 099 12814 11922 25 134 23 134 22 145 15 167 8 110 11922 11112 26 133 27 131 24 143 18 163 9 132 11112 10381 27 131 29 131 25 139 21 156 13 142 10381 9718 26 128 31 131 25 137 23 149 15 141 9718 9110 25 124 30 131 23*134 25 145 15 138 9110 8560 25 119 28 131 21*133 23 143 13 137 8560 8091 24 116 22*128 19 133 21 142 9 141 8091 7724 21 114 17*127 17 133 18 142 5 157 7724 7469 15 113 13 127 15 133 14 141 3 197 7469 7313 9*113 11 126 13 132 11*141 3*227 7313 7223 1*061 6 127 8 130 5*138 3*247 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography