DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 52.1 - - 57.7 - - 55.9 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 96 - - 246 - - 40 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1637 - - 4444 - - 3241 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7703 - - 10192 - - 7207 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8844 - - 11652 - - 10449 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 327 - - 2011 - - 2102 - - 1990 - - 730 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 238 - - 442 - - 218 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 282 - - 327 - - 329 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -4 - - 5 - - 7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1819 - - -2135 - - -1500 - - -2380 - - -3752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9042 - - 10980 - - 13152 - - 12830 - - 10976 sfcLCL ODpotential -8156 - - -7042 - - -5615 - - -6357 - - -10905 ODpotential blCL 15379 - - 15886 - - 17267 - - 16806 - - 18128 blCL maxRH 62 - - 75 - - 77 - - 72 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 52.1 - - 57.7 - - 55.9 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 29.3 - - 25.3 - - 25.0 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 51.2 - - 56.0 - - 55.3 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.5 - - 28.1 - - 24.5 - - 24.6 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 96 - - 246 - - 40 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1637 - - 4444 - - 3241 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96826 20 296 23 310 17 279 35 280 29 309 96826 89653 10 313 20 303 20 316 21 300 20 300 89653 84142 13 310 15 290 21 304 11 331 16 313 84142 79562 17 300 8 301 20 289 15 313 16 321 79562 75577 17 295 10 312 15 276 19 304 19 301 75577 72051 19 295 11 315 9 288 17 294 20 288 72051 68867 19 294 16 313 8 302 12 285 15 284 68867 65933 18 293 16 298 9 289 11 288 17 291 65933 63206 18 291 15 294 15 288 19 291 20 286 63206 60564 21 289 20 297 19 295 20 290 18 292 60564 57807 23 290 22 290 20 299 18 299 18 296 57807 54952 23 297 22 275 21 307 24 308 24 310 54952 52231 23 290 21 285 26 302 26 305 28 306 52231 49772 27 283 25 295 24 299 26 319 28 314 49772 47568 26 289 23 308 24 313 31 325 28 317 47568 45579 20 309 25 325 23 328 29 326 23 324 45579 43773 25 329 26 352 28 350 27 339 28 342 43773 42131 31 003 34 002 35 354 32 344 34 345 42131 40621 42 006 36 003 37 357 37 342 32 343 40621 39205 45 017 36 009 39 357 38 342 28 348 39205 37873 48 022 36 014 38 355 34 345 28 350 37873 36598 50 022 37 013 37 354 31 348 27 352 36598 35319 50 020 38 009 35 353 28 350 25 350 35319 34012 49 016 35 007 32 353 26 348 24 345 34012 32681 48 014 32 005 28 352 26 342 20 341 32681 31316 45 018 32 003 25 349 26 336 17 339 31316 29909 40 020 31 003 24 348 27 334 16 337 29909 28465 37 017 29 004 23 346 28 330 18 338 28465 26989 35 012 26 003 23 341 28 329 21 337 26989 25485 31 006 26 356 25 335 28 332 23 333 25485 23955 28 359 28 349 27 335 27 337 23 333 23955 22397 29 350 29 347 28 337 26 342 22 334 22397 20804 31 345 29 347 27 342 24 345 20 335 20804 19203 30 348 26 347 22 346 21 345 18 334 19203 17674 27 356 22 348 18 347 17 343 16 331 17674 16286 23 360 17 350 13 346 13 340 14 326 16286 15045 19 358 13 352 10 341 10 333 13 321 15045 13929 15 352 11 346 9 333 9 326 11 318 13929 12920 12 344 10 335 8 327 7 321 10 317 12920 12005 10 336 10 326 7*323 5 314 9 318 12005 11177 9 328 9 319 6*323 4*317 7 321 11177 10429 8 322 8 313 6 323 3*328 5 329 10429 9753 7 317 7 308 6 324 4 330 3 355 9753 9135 7 317 6*303 6 326 4 331 2 033 9135 8576 6 318 4*291 6 328 5 331 3 038 8576 8101 5 320 3 285 6 329 5 329 2 024 8101 7730 4 322 2 278 6 330 5 328 2 350 7730 7472 3 315 2 274 5 331 5 329 2 305 7472 7314 3*294 2 269 5 332 4 327 2*263 7314 7223 3*279 1 267 4 332 3 327 2*259 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography