DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 60.6 - - 70.4 - - 66.1 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - -6 - - 274 - - 80 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 5286 - - 1847 - - 702 BL Depth Hcrit 7208 - - 7207 - - 10906 - - 7742 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 7224 - - 12494 - - 9055 - - 7910 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 972 - - 1314 - - 2411 - - 4231 - - 2520 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 16 - - 491 - - 236 - - 72 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 10 - - 42 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 216 - - 248 - - 205 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -10 - - -14 - - 14 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -923 - - -1645 - - 1534 - - 85 - - 488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8148 - - 8869 - - 10961 - - 8970 - - 7423 sfcLCL ODpotential -4285 - - -4846 - - -479 - - -2159 - - -2602 ODpotential blCL 11509 - - 12070 - - 12973 - - 11214 - - 10512 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 92 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 50 - - 280 - - 430 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 60.6 - - 70.4 - - 66.1 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 46.6 - - 47.1 - - 51.3 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 61.5 - - 68.5 - - 65.2 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 45.3 - - 46.1 - - 50.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - -6 - - 274 - - 80 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 5286 - - 1847 - - 702 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 69 - - 93 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99496 48 104 37 109 35 112 34 112 41 098 99496 91942 40 101 32 117 30 109 35 109 29 106 91942 86140 29 096 28 105 30 115 29 103 30 107 86140 81345 19 103 23 104 25 108 20 096 28 102 81345 77229 21 098 19 111 19 109 19 092 23 088 77229 73593 20 106 19 109 15 110 18 108 17 090 73593 70298 16 113 14 119 18 105 20 117 14 107 70298 67275 14 117 17 134 13 112 17 120 16 130 67275 64479 13 106 4 121 8 116 8 132 16 126 64479 61787 10 136 12 166 10 140 6 180 9 140 61787 58986 11 175 19 155 24 167 13 171 13 183 58986 56080 21 203 23 170 30 174 25 185 23 186 56080 53330 32 200 33 188 33 190 28 186 21 175 53330 50877 41 188 41 187 41 197 36 208 24 216 50877 48690 36 194 48 184 51 196 55 205 46 214 48690 46706 42 208 41 192 52 190 57 200 56 202 46706 44886 50 208 42 199 48 186 57 199 56 201 44886 43201 52 206 46 200 48 193 58 199 56 201 43201 41626 52 207 50 200 51 197 58 199 59 192 41626 40149 54 207 53 200 54 200 62 201 59 187 40149 38764 55 205 55 200 66 206 67 200 61 186 38764 37438 56 207 58 201 73 204 69 197 66 187 37438 36109 59 210 61 203 70 201 71 200 66 185 36109 34752 62 209 64 205 64 200 69 201 63 184 34752 33371 63 208 64 206 62 199 65 196 59 185 33371 31956 59 209 59 206 61 197 67 189 57 183 31956 30498 52 209 51 203 57 199 64 190 56 182 30498 29004 42 207 44 197 45 202 51 198 53 181 29004 27477 34 205 42 191 39 203 39 199 47 180 27477 25922 31 202 40 201 40 197 39 195 39 186 25922 24346 30 206 32 208 39 191 33 188 30 201 24346 22744 31 206 27 216 32 190 30 189 22 207 22744 21110 27 197 26 214 25 190 24 191 14 215 21110 19470 24 194 27 203 23 199 21 199 17 214 19470 17906 26 198 26 192 23 207 19 217 13 231 17906 16487 23 205 22 197 22 207 18 223 12 246 16487 15220 19 210 16 210 17 204 16 215 10 240 15220 14081 16 208 14 221 10 212 10 198 5 230 14081 13052 15 199 14 217 7*234 5 189 1 325 13052 12120 17 192 15 208 7*243 3 206 3 020 12120 11274 19 187 16 200 8 246 3 218 3 043 11274 10509 20 181 16 195 9 248 3 231 3 070 10509 9817 21 175 17 189 9 249 2 232 3 101 9817 9183 20 169 17 184 9 249 2*227 4 118 9183 8611 19 165 16 181 9 249 2*225 4 129 8611 8125 17 165 14 180 9 249 1 213 7*139 8125 7745 13 166 12 183 9 249 1 194 8*143 7745 7480 9 171 10 191 8 248 1 179 8 144 7480 7318 6*182 7*198 8 248 1 148 7 145 7318 7224 3*210 3*216 6 247 1 131 5 144 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography