DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 55.8 - - 59.2 - - 55.1 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -73 - - 231 - - 334 - - 74 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1585 - - 2873 - - 1979 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8037 - - 9095 - - 7561 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8792 - - 10081 - - 9186 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 965 - - 1375 - - 1349 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 306 - - 421 - - 226 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 18 - - 21 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 244 - - 249 - - 244 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -45 - - -51 - - -48 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4138 - - -5565 - - -4875 - - -4153 - - -3404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11362 - - 14358 - - 14956 - - 13340 - - 10627 sfcLCL ODpotential -13745 - - -12287 - - -11000 - - -9793 - - -11032 ODpotential blCL 20968 - - 21079 - - 21081 - - 18979 - - 18255 blCL maxRH 55 - - 48 - - 46 - - 59 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 55.8 - - 59.2 - - 55.1 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 18.4 - - 18.9 - - 22.1 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 54.5 - - 57.5 - - 54.6 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.5 - - 18.2 - - 18.7 - - 22.0 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -73 - - 231 - - 334 - - 74 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1585 - - 2873 - - 1979 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97698 8 339 12 275 21 281 24 298 18 312 97698 90399 16 320 6 300 17 267 19 298 20 295 90399 84767 15 289 12 296 12 286 13 306 13 284 84767 80105 6 267 15 272 10 298 10 304 9 277 80105 76099 5 308 10 253 12 295 9 295 8 286 76099 72553 14 326 6 250 11 274 13 284 11 302 72553 69336 15 312 6 319 7 228 17 265 15 294 69336 66384 16 294 15 305 4 259 14 245 16 270 66384 63653 18 271 18 283 10 285 14 247 19 249 63653 61015 15 252 20 265 21 271 22 266 22 256 61015 58268 20 274 24 265 27 264 29 267 26 262 58268 55424 37 276 32 266 33 265 34 267 28 261 55424 52709 42 269 36 269 37 268 36 269 33 262 52709 50264 41 270 39 272 40 269 40 266 41 260 50264 48067 39 273 39 273 41 268 41 265 43 259 48067 46060 40 277 40 275 41 269 41 270 42 264 46060 44206 44 274 42 275 42 270 40 271 41 265 44206 42480 47 272 45 273 43 271 39 271 41 262 42480 40865 47 275 46 274 44 270 39 272 39 263 40865 39356 45 278 45 274 44 268 40 269 38 263 39356 37951 44 278 44 273 45 267 42 265 40 261 37951 36627 44 282 42 275 44 270 40 266 39 261 36627 35325 40 285 38 280 39 272 36 266 37 262 35325 34010 36 287 34 285 33 274 30 266 35 262 34010 32677 32 289 30 287 28 272 27 265 32 262 32677 31313 28 293 24 284 24 270 26 266 29 261 31313 29909 25 294 18 284 20 265 24 264 27 262 29909 28466 23 288 14 287 16 258 23 264 25 263 28466 26988 22 284 15 285 15 261 20 267 23 267 26988 25482 20 286 18 281 16 268 17 268 20 269 25482 23953 17 287 19 282 16 274 14 269 16 264 23953 22396 15 289 16 284 16 276 13 269 14 254 22396 20807 13 296 14 286 15 272 13 264 13 252 20807 19210 11 303 11 286 13 268 13 259 13 254 19210 17684 9 303 9 279 11 257 10 250 11 251 17684 16297 7 301 7 267 8 241 7 235 9 239 16297 15057 6 299 6 268 5 241 5 229 7 224 15057 13941 7 304 7 287 6 261 7 243 8 218 13941 12931 8 306 11 285 12 265 11 252 9 222 12931 12013 12 296 16 280 18 264 18 255 13 231 12013 11181 15 287 20 276 22 260 22 253 17 238 11181 10431 18 281 23 271 22*254 23 247 21 241 10431 9753 20 275 24 265 22*251 23*245 24 242 9753 9133 20 270 22*254 23 249 22*244 26 240 9133 8573 20 261 21*246 22 248 22 244 27 236 8573 8098 20 251 20 244 22 249 21 244 27 230 8098 7728 20 243 19 243 21 249 20 244 24 229 7728 7471 17 239 17 243 19 248 18 244 19 230 7471 7314 14*239 15 243 17 248 16 244 15*231 7314 7223 6*246 10 243 11 248 9 244 7*230 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography