DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 43.0 - - 37.0 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 28 - - -51 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 586 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7223 - - 7792 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 352 - - 860 - - 736 - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 124 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 243 - - 246 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -28 - - -14 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3641 - - -2216 - - -882 - - -967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10864 - - 10008 - - 8105 - - 8190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9598 - - -8003 - - -6799 - - -8214 ODpotential blCL - - - 16821 - - 15795 - - 14021 - - 15436 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 72 - - 76 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 43.0 - - 37.0 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 24.5 - - 26.8 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 42.7 - - 39.2 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.8 - - 23.4 - - 25.6 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 28 - - -51 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 586 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - 6 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96829 35 088 32 096 46 097 55 106 96829 89636 30 084 28 087 47 095 48 106 89636 84032 26 099 23 086 35 085 43 092 84032 79376 25 100 21 096 23 071 28 075 79376 75356 19 089 17 093 18 069 22 083 75356 71786 13 054 12 072 17 053 19 072 71786 68537 12 025 11 041 11 015 19 053 68537 65540 14 011 10 008 11 341 16 014 65540 62764 16 006 8 347 13 323 17 346 62764 60078 19 340 13 312 17 316 18 346 60078 57270 24 320 21 312 22 319 21 341 57270 54355 31 303 29 307 29 310 23 326 54355 51580 34 298 34 300 31 301 28 315 51580 49093 35 292 35 293 31 300 27 317 49093 46880 36 296 36 297 33 311 30 321 46880 44895 39 295 37 300 29 317 26 336 44895 43098 33 290 32 305 31 343 34 002 43098 41462 23 281 27 322 44 357 62 024 41462 39949 16 294 31 335 56 011 73 012 39949 38531 18 314 33 335 60 016 65 012 38531 37207 21 313 30 335 51 013 66 016 37207 35948 22 306 27 334 43 013 75 020 35948 34689 21 301 25 334 37 011 79 020 34689 33402 20 296 23 333 35 004 70 018 33402 32097 18 301 20 334 33 352 50 011 32097 30762 17 308 18 336 28 346 34 358 30762 29388 17 319 19 338 25 343 27 338 29388 27978 21 331 21 337 27 347 30 329 27978 26537 23 333 23 332 30 353 33 329 26537 25067 23 329 25 325 31 354 33 328 25067 23573 22 325 26 320 27 346 32 329 23573 22051 21 322 25 315 25 329 30 330 22051 20496 22 318 23 314 28 319 29 325 20496 18936 23 312 21 315 28 314 30 318 18936 17446 23 308 21 314 26 310 32 313 17446 16092 24 307 22 309 24 307 33 311 16092 14881 24 307 22 305 24 305 32 311 14881 13792 23 309 22 304 23 303 31 310 13792 12805 22 310 22 304 23 302 30 310 12805 11908 20 308 21 307 22 303 28 309 11908 11095 18 301 19 307 21 304 27 306 11095 10361 17 291 18 301 20 298 26 302 10361 9697 15 282 17 288 20 286 25 294 9697 9090 13 274 18 268 22 270 24 280 9090 8542 11 257 18 250 24 254 25 263 8542 8077 10 245 17*245 24 243 27 247 8077 7716 10 220 15*243 22 241 26 239 7716 7464 10 210 13 243 17 243 22 240 7464 7311 9*211 11 243 13 244 17 242 7311 7222 4*220 7 244 7*246 8*245 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography