DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 51.4 - - 53.3 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 460 - - 572 - - 122 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 3301 - - 4039 - - 632 - - 1231 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 9515 - - 10160 - - 7206 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 8100 - - 10507 - - 11246 - - 7839 - - 8438 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 917 - - 965 - - 952 - - 1941 - - 1971 Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 491 - - 565 - - 182 - - 173 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 28 - - 32 - - 22 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 228 - - 229 - - 232 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 23 - - 23 - - 16 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg -47 - - -65 - - -68 - - -38 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 877 - - 732 - - 1120 - - 616 - - 1215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 9775 - - 10126 - - 7223 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -8080 - - -5695 - - -510 - - -51 - - 1139 ODpotential blCL 16180 - - 16202 - - 11756 - - 7890 - - 7299 blCL maxRH 86 - - 82 - - 91 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 51.4 - - 53.3 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 33.4 - - 33.7 - - 41.7 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 49.2 - - 51.0 - - 44.2 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 33.3 - - 33.6 - - 41.7 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 460 - - 572 - - 122 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 3301 - - 4039 - - 632 - - 1231 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 30 - - 66 - - 102 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98991 17 110 17 132 8 153 9 081 12 085 98991 91583 13 072 15 091 17 131 9 142 9 081 91583 85832 11 086 11 073 13 105 13 134 9 080 85832 81052 12 102 5 078 8 098 16 086 13 090 81052 76940 12 103 9 117 6 113 11 054 16 087 76940 73313 5 062 7 074 9 121 6 096 12 078 73313 70023 6 135 9 104 4 090 7 071 7 056 70023 66984 5 275 2 322 5 321 5 230 4 048 66984 64147 5 122 4 146 5 262 9 176 8 245 64147 61411 20 269 3 264 5 207 8 250 10 234 61411 58564 22 255 23 258 21 250 17 255 6 276 58564 55596 10 262 14 257 14 250 26 255 32 262 55596 52793 16 290 7 276 19 264 39 261 44 257 52793 50299 39 286 33 286 41 279 54 267 51 265 50299 48060 56 278 53 275 57 270 62 260 58 264 48060 46024 59 272 60 265 59 258 60 260 59 260 46024 44171 60 271 60 268 59 261 58 264 58 257 44171 42471 59 264 60 273 62 264 58 265 57 261 42471 40891 55 257 56 266 61 263 58 268 64 268 40891 39412 54 254 50 258 54 265 60 266 70 267 39412 38030 54 250 46 258 47 264 59 259 70 262 38030 36711 53 247 45 261 42 261 55 254 68 260 36711 35394 53 245 44 260 38 262 52 257 68 263 35394 34055 52 243 42 258 35 264 52 266 69 267 34055 32700 51 243 40 256 34 265 53 270 69 267 32700 31316 49 243 39 255 34 265 51 267 69 266 31316 29890 47 246 39 254 35 264 48 261 69 265 29890 28427 46 249 39 254 37 259 48 257 69 265 28427 26931 44 252 41 254 41 255 49 258 69 265 26931 25407 42 254 42 254 44 253 51 262 68 264 25407 23859 41 255 42 253 45 254 50 264 65 261 23859 22285 40 256 42 253 46 256 49 262 63 257 22285 20681 38 258 41 255 47 256 48 259 63 256 20681 19073 37 261 41 255 48 254 49 257 61 255 19073 17541 36 261 43 255 47 251 51 255 59 252 17541 16155 35 260 44 254 47 249 52 252 56 248 16155 14921 36 259 44 252 47 247 52 250 54 245 14921 13818 37 257 43 249 46 243 50 247 52 244 13818 12827 38 254 42 243 45 236 47 241 50 241 12827 11933 39 250 41 237 40*230 44 233 47 237 11933 11122 39 245 39*232 37*228 42 230 44 236 11122 10388 39 241 35*229 35 228 41 230 42 236 10388 9722 37 238 32 228 34 228 39 230 40 238 9722 9112 35 235 30 227 33 229 37 230 38 241 9112 8561 31*231 28 227 32 230 34 231 35*242 8561 8092 28*229 27 228 31 230 31*232 32*244 8092 7725 25 229 25 228 29 231 28*232 27 245 7725 7470 21 229 23 228 26 231 24 232 23 245 7470 7313 18 229 20 228 22 231 20 232 19 245 7313 7223 10 229 13 227 14 231 11 232 11 244 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography