DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 67.3 - - 71.2 - - 69.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 259 - - 374 - - 152 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3830 - - 5075 - - 3035 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9743 - - 10852 - - 8930 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 11038 - - 12284 - - 10243 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 359 - - 1536 - - 1722 - - 3057 - - 714 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 428 - - 531 - - 333 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 204 - - 235 - - 255 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -4 - - -12 - - -24 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4372 - - -2825 - - -2904 - - -4783 - - -4278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11597 - - 13864 - - 15189 - - 15027 - - 11503 sfcLCL ODpotential -13590 - - -8292 - - -7884 - - -9946 - - -11267 ODpotential blCL 20814 - - 19330 - - 20168 - - 20189 - - 18491 blCL maxRH 30 - - 37 - - 34 - - 33 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 67.3 - - 71.2 - - 69.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 31.6 - - 29.6 - - 28.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 65.4 - - 68.9 - - 68.1 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.4 - - 30.9 - - 28.7 - - 27.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 259 - - 374 - - 152 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3830 - - 5075 - - 3035 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98334 10 105 7 135 10 137 7 124 7 142 98334 90960 10 080 16 125 9 146 4 123 7 068 90960 85268 9 092 15 095 13 147 7 111 8 105 85268 80558 10 123 3 121 10 116 6 101 8 101 80558 76507 9 095 7 125 6 129 6 077 8 100 76507 72930 8 109 8 079 11 136 5 108 7 068 72930 69698 9 127 9 076 10 094 8 105 7 089 69698 66734 6 105 3 072 9 066 10 090 9 107 66734 63990 7 119 4 154 2 287 6 047 10 075 63990 61348 7 046 5 124 2 162 1 033 6 049 61348 58602 5 023 2 174 4 282 5 314 6 009 58602 55764 12 339 6 071 7 251 11 284 15 304 55764 53078 12 319 9 348 3 310 7 283 15 280 53078 50667 23 312 16 338 7 319 8 274 15 261 50667 48501 30 305 25 325 17 316 13 291 12 277 48501 46528 33 303 31 313 26 311 21 302 19 295 46528 44713 34 303 34 310 30 309 25 299 24 295 44713 43025 32 301 30 311 29 308 25 296 24 291 43025 41442 28 303 24 310 24 307 22 291 23 280 41442 39954 24 311 21 310 19 304 18 285 21 273 39954 38565 24 314 21 309 20 306 16 287 19 271 38565 37246 19 322 21 308 21 302 17 286 14 280 37246 35933 16 326 17 308 19 299 18 285 16 282 35933 34594 14 326 14 303 15 293 16 288 15 276 34594 33233 14 336 12 296 12 289 13 290 10 283 33233 31838 16 342 11 305 10 292 11 289 8 289 31838 30403 19 341 11 326 9 317 7 307 7 287 30403 28932 22 340 14 340 10 346 6 335 4 295 28932 27426 21 345 14 353 9 360 6 343 3 337 27426 25889 17 353 12 352 7 352 4 333 2 345 25889 24325 13 357 9 334 7 309 5 307 2 328 24325 22733 11 338 8 312 8 301 6 315 3 359 22733 21107 11 321 10 320 8 324 5 335 2 012 21107 19473 11 308 11 311 8 312 4 326 2 316 19473 17912 8 299 9 294 7 293 4 294 4 285 17912 16494 4 282 6 274 6 267 4 243 6 259 16494 15229 3 260 4 239 6 226 5 188 11 214 15229 14091 5 247 5 222 7 206 7 167 11 196 14091 13062 8 227 7 216 6*205 7 159 9 171 13062 12127 10 212 10 211 6*213 6 158 7 147 12127 11279 11 200 9*208 6 221 4 194 6 132 11279 10513 9 192 9*207 7 228 4*222 5 125 10513 9819 8 180 9 206 8 237 7*247 4 127 9819 9183 9 165 9 205 9 240 9 254 3 149 9183 8610 10 151 9 204 9 242 10 256 2 210 8610 8122 12 141 9 204 9 242 10 256 6 267 8122 7743 12 137 8 202 9 243 10 256 9 275 7743 7478 9 139 8 201 9 244 10 257 9 275 7478 7317 7*143 7 200 8 243 9 256 7*274 7317 7224 3*224 5 198 6 243 7 256 4*275 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography