DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 40.6 - - 43.2 - - 40.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - 219 - - 341 - - 97 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1815 - - 2123 - - 1401 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8192 - - 8535 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 9021 - - 9329 - - 8607 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1070 - - 618 - - 618 - - 621 - - 755 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 317 - - 384 - - 220 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 36 - - 33 - - 26 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 240 - - 243 - - 243 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 28 - - 24 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -78 - - -73 - - -64 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 938 - - -279 - - -484 - - -527 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 8083 - - 9608 - - 9092 - - 7749 sfcLCL ODpotential -8107 - - -7358 - - -7619 - - -8411 - - -9459 ODpotential blCL 15329 - - 16379 - - 16948 - - 17018 - - 16681 blCL maxRH 85 - - 75 - - 67 - - 65 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 40.6 - - 43.2 - - 40.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 30.4 - - 26.3 - - 25.4 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 39.7 - - 41.8 - - 39.4 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 29.8 - - 26.0 - - 25.4 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - 219 - - 341 - - 97 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1815 - - 2123 - - 1401 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97068 14 280 13 277 18 272 14 283 18 288 97068 89835 3 199 11 243 11 293 12 288 4 317 89835 84262 3 126 5 209 8 285 11 298 5 030 84262 79646 7 053 2 248 6 279 8 296 4 010 79646 75675 3 332 4 037 4 277 6 274 6 322 75675 72162 7 275 6 341 4 274 6 272 5 274 72162 68961 12 285 5 313 7 281 8 256 7 298 68961 65997 13 270 11 287 13 275 9 260 9 277 65997 63233 12 249 11 258 10 244 9 255 11 257 63233 60529 8 239 12 265 15 255 16 256 15 267 60529 57699 15 277 18 275 22 263 23 265 24 271 57699 54771 24 260 16 261 16 252 20 254 23 255 54771 51971 23 240 13 265 12 264 19 266 24 281 51971 49458 19 249 25 282 29 286 32 292 34 289 49458 47234 32 279 39 283 43 289 41 292 34 294 47234 45249 40 290 43 287 45 289 43 302 38 304 45249 43452 46 304 45 298 49 302 53 308 48 307 43452 41809 51 306 52 307 56 303 57 309 51 311 41809 40292 48 306 59 311 60 305 61 312 52 314 40292 38873 46 310 60 311 63 306 59 312 50 316 38873 37543 47 316 58 309 62 306 52 312 50 319 37543 36272 50 319 56 308 59 304 47 316 50 317 36272 35001 49 317 56 308 54 302 47 322 50 314 35001 33703 47 313 56 309 50 304 47 325 49 312 33703 32385 44 309 54 308 48 308 47 326 48 310 32385 31034 42 306 50 307 47 312 46 324 46 308 31034 29643 43 303 48 306 46 314 45 321 44 306 29643 28217 45 302 45 304 46 314 46 316 43 304 28217 26757 47 303 44 300 46 312 46 314 42 304 26757 25269 47 303 42 297 47 310 45 314 41 305 25269 23757 47 300 41 298 47 311 42 313 39 307 23757 22217 46 297 40 299 46 310 41 313 37 309 22217 20642 47 294 39 298 44 308 41 314 35 309 20642 19058 47 291 40 295 43 304 41 313 35 307 19058 17545 48 289 42 291 43 299 41 311 34 306 17545 16169 49 286 44 287 44 295 40 308 33 305 16169 14939 49 282 45 282 46 291 40 306 31 305 14939 13832 50 277 47 276 47 285 39 303 30 307 13832 12831 51 270 49 271 47 280 39 300 28 308 12831 11924 53 265 51 266 47 273 38 294 26 309 11924 11102 53 260 51 261 45 264 36 283 25 303 11102 10361 52 256 49 255 43 253 35 266 25 288 10361 9694 50 253 47 247 40*245 36 248 26 269 9694 9085 48 246 45*242 38*243 35*242 30 248 9085 8538 48 237 43*240 37 243 32*242 33 235 8538 8074 46 235 41 240 35 243 29 242 31 232 8074 7714 40 235 37 240 32 243 27 243 25 234 7714 7464 32 235 33 241 29 243 24 243 19 237 7464 7310 26 236 27 241 25 243 21 244 15 237 7310 7222 14*235 16 242 14 243 12 244 8*238 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography