DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.6 - - 47.1 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 54 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 883 - - 1714 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8089 - - 8921 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1067 - - 2001 - - 3598 - - 1423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 213 - - 17 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 128 - - 105 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3705 - - -2923 - - -3574 - - -3917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11794 - - 11844 - - 10798 - - 11141 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11344 - - -10072 - - -9094 - - -10792 ODpotential blCL - - - 19433 - - 18993 - - 16317 - - 18015 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 51 - - 53 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.6 - - 47.1 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 23.2 - - 25.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 49.3 - - 49.8 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 22.1 - - 24.1 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 54 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 883 - - 1714 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96899 26 266 32 256 36 277 39 287 96899 89677 28 284 25 263 22 270 32 273 89677 84133 22 272 21 273 18 273 22 269 84133 79545 18 243 23 264 21 286 16 295 79545 75608 16 249 19 260 22 293 14 323 75608 72129 12 276 17 271 19 288 15 330 72129 68968 12 301 20 274 21 290 13 312 68968 66053 18 301 19 284 19 286 19 293 66053 63340 21 293 21 288 24 290 24 285 63340 60697 25 280 28 286 29 288 28 290 60697 57913 28 267 32 272 30 285 29 283 57913 54997 29 264 31 264 32 272 30 269 54997 52196 30 261 31 259 34 264 31 263 52196 49664 30 265 33 263 34 265 30 267 49664 47395 33 269 35 263 33 264 33 265 47395 45347 34 269 35 262 33 263 35 261 45347 43488 30 271 33 268 33 265 32 262 43488 41789 26 274 30 261 32 264 29 269 41789 40236 21 273 23 259 27 259 23 261 40236 38815 13 284 16 274 20 253 20 238 38815 37499 13 276 15 292 16 272 18 232 37499 36243 14 271 18 304 14 287 15 235 36243 34982 14 265 20 305 13 280 11 236 34982 33693 14 259 20 297 10 278 9 250 33693 32381 11 260 19 269 14 265 9 283 32381 31037 8 297 13 261 16 260 10 277 31037 29656 12 319 10 277 12 256 9 257 29656 28240 13 319 10 290 8 260 5 235 28240 26791 14 318 10 292 7 271 2 185 26791 25312 15 320 9 302 7 292 3 091 25312 23806 16 329 9 324 8 322 6 084 23806 22269 13 343 9 340 7 340 7 101 22269 20696 10 001 7 003 5 353 7 105 20696 19112 8 029 7 027 4 025 7 111 19112 17598 7 046 7 043 5 054 6 125 17598 16222 6 053 6 059 5 077 6 139 16222 14991 6 064 6 078 5 098 6 150 14991 13885 7 074 6 098 5 118 6 160 13885 12883 7 086 5 117 5 134 6 167 12883 11975 8 097 6 132 8 142 7 168 11975 11153 10 111 9 137 10 136 8 164 11153 10411 12 123 11 133 12 130 9 154 10411 9740 15 129 12 129 12 128 9 140 9740 9125 18 130 12*128 12 126 10 125 9125 8569 18*131 12*127 11 124 11 115 8569 8097 17*133 11 128 10 123 11 109 8097 7728 15 134 10 128 8 122 9 102 7728 7471 13 134 9 128 6 119 7 091 7471 7314 11 134 8 128 4*114 4*074 7314 7223 7 132 6 126 3*105 2*018 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography