DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 39.8 - - 42.2 - - 40.7 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -34 - - -15 - - -4 - - -9 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 53 - - 283 - - 436 - - 80 - - 82 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 337 - - 318 - - 298 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -9 - - -7 - - -13 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3034 - - -3167 - - -2551 - - -3098 - - -3284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10257 - - 10390 - - 9774 - - 10321 - - 10508 sfcLCL ODpotential -13173 - - -12776 - - -10383 - - -11705 - - -13087 ODpotential blCL 20396 - - 19999 - - 17606 - - 18928 - - 20310 blCL maxRH 57 - - 47 - - 60 - - 51 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 39.8 - - 42.2 - - 40.7 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.0 - - 20.4 - - 25.2 - - 21.5 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 45.2 - - 47.4 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 19.2 - - 24.1 - - 20.4 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -34 - - -15 - - -4 - - -9 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96611 30 099 24 103 29 094 42 100 24 110 96611 89512 22 086 26 089 16 128 20 081 18 072 89512 83991 17 080 20 080 11 085 14 037 17 061 83991 79397 18 073 15 072 8 051 15 004 20 024 79397 75432 20 062 15 038 10 067 13 340 24 011 75432 71925 14 023 20 029 16 042 14 016 22 021 71925 68718 10 013 18 016 18 014 17 015 17 026 68718 65743 12 015 15 354 18 011 17 015 16 016 65743 62997 12 006 17 338 25 349 26 005 23 006 62997 60373 16 344 19 325 27 327 25 335 26 334 60373 57670 22 333 24 326 27 326 28 322 24 333 57670 54874 30 322 28 322 26 324 27 328 23 330 54874 52208 33 320 31 322 26 328 25 329 22 326 52208 49802 32 325 32 326 28 334 25 330 20 310 49802 47640 37 329 34 329 32 334 25 321 20 309 47640 45690 35 311 39 312 31 325 24 309 24 318 45690 43935 27 289 42 292 41 317 25 311 19 305 43935 42328 24 290 39 277 46 295 33 305 26 299 42328 40825 25 290 39 274 43 286 44 288 35 305 40825 39410 27 286 39 278 40 291 40 290 36 308 39410 38077 29 281 35 286 36 282 37 288 37 304 38077 36799 29 292 32 292 35 281 36 279 38 297 36799 35518 29 308 30 297 36 280 36 279 40 290 35518 34207 28 315 29 304 37 280 36 280 41 285 34207 32872 28 312 29 299 36 278 37 281 40 279 32872 31501 29 306 30 299 35 277 37 282 39 275 31501 30087 30 305 31 295 34 275 39 282 40 276 30087 28635 30 305 32 285 33 274 39 280 41 281 28635 27147 31 303 32 278 35 269 41 273 43 282 27147 25629 32 298 32 279 36 275 40 273 45 284 25629 24083 32 295 31 284 37 282 41 283 47 287 24083 22503 30 295 30 287 38 286 41 293 46 291 22503 20888 27 296 28 289 35 290 37 300 39 297 20888 19271 24 296 28 289 28 294 30 305 31 306 19271 17732 23 297 28 291 25 299 25 312 24 314 17732 16335 24 302 27 296 25 306 23 320 21 319 16335 15086 25 309 27 305 25 313 22 327 19 322 15086 13962 27 316 26 315 26 320 21 330 18 325 13962 12945 28 322 26 324 25 326 21 333 18 330 12945 12023 28 327 26 330 25 330 21 335 18 335 12023 11188 28 330 26 336 24 334 20 338 17 341 11188 10435 28 332 24 340 22 337 19 342 16 349 10435 9755 27 333 23 344 21 340 18 347 16 356 9755 9134 25 334 21 348 18 343 17 353 15 007 9134 8574 23 335 19 351 15 347 14 001 15 017 8574 8099 20 335 17 353 12 355 11 009 13 023 8099 7728 17 335 14 355 9 002 8 016 11 024 7728 7471 13 331 11 356 6 360 5 013 9 020 7471 7313 11*329 8*355 4*345 4*360 7*012 7313 7223 6*317 4*337 3*318 3*298 4*339 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography