DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 44.3 - - 53.0 - - 52.4 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 157 - - 256 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1073 - - 2100 - - 2593 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7545 - - 8442 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8280 - - 9306 - - 9800 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 368 - - 743 - - 1085 - - 921 - - 1051 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 240 - - 349 - - 206 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 64 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 107 - - 107 - - 060 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 15 - - 10 - - 18 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1164 - - -3532 - - -2401 - - -1399 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 9445 - - 12839 - - 12202 - - 8622 sfcLCL ODpotential -9158 - - -7877 - - -8758 - - -7626 - - -9170 ODpotential blCL 16380 - - 16157 - - 18064 - - 17426 - - 16393 blCL maxRH 71 - - 56 - - 40 - - 48 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 44.3 - - 53.0 - - 52.4 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 28.2 - - 22.0 - - 24.3 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 43.2 - - 51.2 - - 52.0 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.1 - - 27.2 - - 21.4 - - 24.0 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 157 - - 256 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1073 - - 2100 - - 2593 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97343 8 344 9 324 3 258 9 237 11 293 97343 90100 8 043 7 017 2 355 4 049 3 090 90100 84514 9 036 8 059 5 354 6 039 8 045 84514 79896 8 016 10 029 5 003 4 053 6 035 79896 75922 3 099 7 335 4 306 4 008 5 062 75922 72389 5 032 7 334 2 243 3 351 2 347 72389 69179 3 246 9 292 6 254 5 284 6 283 69179 66216 4 265 8 287 10 233 5 248 8 236 66216 63447 15 226 12 261 17 256 15 277 9 240 63447 60752 11 247 11 255 15 234 19 274 13 273 60752 57948 10 262 11 254 12 242 18 268 22 273 57948 55049 17 310 13 267 13 278 18 260 24 257 55049 52275 24 302 14 274 16 276 18 262 20 252 52275 49765 28 312 20 304 18 288 20 273 18 270 49765 47512 37 317 31 314 23 297 26 283 25 280 47512 45474 41 321 37 315 26 299 31 285 31 281 45474 43626 37 326 32 321 23 305 27 286 30 280 43626 41942 31 341 26 346 19 336 14 295 23 269 41942 40388 32 005 29 003 23 355 14 348 13 301 40388 38944 42 007 36 360 33 351 30 348 25 336 38944 37602 49 006 38 357 39 347 37 345 32 337 37602 36329 50 008 37 356 42 345 36 344 32 336 36329 35057 45 011 34 355 41 345 34 342 30 334 35057 33761 42 013 32 355 38 348 31 342 29 333 33761 32443 41 015 31 357 34 351 29 345 28 333 32443 31094 40 017 30 002 30 355 28 349 28 335 31094 29705 39 017 31 007 26 356 26 349 28 339 29705 28282 39 015 32 009 24 000 23 350 25 339 28282 26826 39 013 33 010 25 006 22 360 22 335 26826 25341 38 014 32 011 24 011 23 009 20 335 25341 23832 37 014 30 012 23 011 24 014 18 346 23832 22293 35 018 28 013 22 008 23 015 17 354 22293 20718 31 022 27 016 21 009 22 009 17 352 20718 19132 26 020 24 017 20 011 21 004 18 354 19132 17615 24 017 21 017 19 012 20 004 17 001 17615 16235 22 021 18 019 17 015 19 006 14 011 16235 15001 21 030 16 025 14 020 16 007 12 020 15001 13889 21 045 15 035 11 023 13 006 10 023 13889 12884 22 060 14 054 9 026 10 001 8 020 12884 11972 23 070 15 072 7 035 8 001 7 005 11972 11146 23 077 17 084 5 057 6 334 7 349 11146 10402 22 082 18 094 4 093 4*288 7 338 10402 9729 22 088 19 102 5*114 2*275 5 340 9729 9115 22 094 19 108 6*113 1 282 1 357 9115 8561 22 100 18*110 6 109 1 073 2 138 8561 8091 22 102 16*108 6 107 1 074 4 137 8091 7724 20 103 14 107 6 104 2 074 4 128 7724 7469 15 101 13 107 6 101 2 075 3 123 7469 7313 10*096 11 105 5 101 2 074 2*109 7313 7223 2*051 8 104 4 100 1 078 0*342 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography