DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 67.4 - - 70.0 - - 68.4 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 197 - - 289 - - 98 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7508 - - 8355 - - 7237 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 12445 - - 13340 - - 11725 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 14716 - - 15563 - - 14445 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 4177 - - 4022 - - 3784 - - 1857 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 487 - - 573 - - 382 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 238 - - 250 - - 296 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -10 - - 12 - - -10 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5021 - - 2038 - - 1772 - - 503 - - -4698 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12246 - - 12679 - - 13791 - - 13942 - - 11922 sfcLCL ODpotential -9476 - - 34 - - -70 - - -1137 - - -9020 ODpotential blCL 16700 - - 14682 - - 15633 - - 15582 - - 16244 blCL maxRH 88 - - 74 - - 75 - - 70 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 370 - - 260 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 67.4 - - 70.0 - - 68.4 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 36.9 - - 34.6 - - 32.4 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 66.1 - - 68.2 - - 67.6 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.7 - - 36.7 - - 34.2 - - 32.2 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 197 - - 289 - - 98 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7508 - - 8355 - - 7237 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97895 13 269 9 278 8 278 11 251 9 264 97895 90599 3 122 7 248 9 273 5 310 2 049 90599 84954 10 048 2 171 3 262 4 315 8 016 84954 80288 8 049 5 075 2 072 4 034 9 042 80288 76299 7 072 7 069 5 065 5 033 12 053 76299 72797 15 042 11 074 6 071 8 020 10 032 72797 69644 12 034 11 063 3 060 10 009 10 025 69644 66748 10 031 10 046 4 043 9 350 10 008 66748 64053 8 011 6 026 4 033 6 327 9 341 64053 61437 8 325 4 324 6 301 4 315 12 271 61437 58704 15 299 11 320 7 298 8 307 9 274 58704 55867 24 278 22 302 22 292 26 292 25 297 55867 53169 30 289 37 293 37 292 37 292 37 300 53169 50740 48 289 50 287 46 295 46 298 50 301 50740 48551 62 285 57 285 59 291 66 292 68 295 48551 46550 64 280 60 281 64 285 70 288 69 297 46550 44700 65 284 65 285 69 288 70 291 74 296 44700 42980 70 287 72 289 76 292 74 291 77 294 42980 41370 73 289 77 290 82 291 79 291 78 295 41370 39860 75 291 77 291 84 291 82 293 79 298 39860 38448 74 292 75 292 82 291 80 294 81 299 38448 37103 69 293 71 292 77 292 76 294 81 298 37103 35762 63 290 64 289 68 293 71 295 75 297 35762 34407 59 283 55 283 56 289 66 297 65 300 34407 33042 56 277 50 282 46 285 58 297 61 302 33042 31653 56 276 48 286 42 290 47 297 53 303 31653 30225 47 276 49 291 40 294 41 298 44 306 30225 28761 34 267 48 295 42 295 41 299 39 310 28761 27262 27 249 39 292 38 295 35 304 35 310 27262 25733 25 241 27 284 28 298 30 311 30 319 25733 24182 20 234 17 270 23 305 27 311 27 329 24182 22606 18 235 13 268 20 297 23 315 24 327 22606 20996 19 231 13 269 17 290 18 315 20 325 20996 19382 19 219 11 237 10 275 10 308 12 321 19382 17842 16 206 9 196 3 214 2 199 6 253 17842 16445 9 174 8 166 3*202 2 173 10 192 16445 15194 6 159 7*154 3*203 1*197 10 164 15194 14066 4 193 5*167 4 211 1*245 8 139 14066 13043 6 220 4 191 4 220 3 289 6 115 13043 12113 6 229 4 218 6 251 6 297 5 094 12113 11269 3 257 5 241 6 255 7 298 4 064 11269 10506 4 320 7 250 7 258 8 298 4 031 10506 9816 6 333 8 251 7 260 8 298 5 002 9816 9183 8 335 8 252 7 261 9 298 7 339 9183 8610 9 340 8 251 7 261 9 297 9 325 8610 8124 9 345 8 250 7 261 9 297 11 318 8124 7744 8 354 8 250 7 262 9 297 11 315 7744 7479 6 353 7 249 7 263 9 297 9 309 7479 7317 5*350 7 250 6 262 8 297 8*306 7317 7224 4*322 5 249 5 262 6 296 5*298 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography