DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.2 - - 76.2 - - 77.7 - - 75.2 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 327 - - 382 - - 225 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3563 - - 5935 - - 2820 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9625 - - 11549 - - 8935 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 10771 - - 13143 - - 10028 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1146 - - 4090 - - 2996 - - 3660 - - 1259 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 453 - - 566 - - 370 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 18 - - 20 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 235 - - 242 - - 242 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -54 - - -49 - - -51 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8197 - - -5371 - - -3024 - - -5602 - - -6170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15422 - - 16143 - - 16168 - - 15630 - - 13394 sfcLCL ODpotential -13878 - - -10052 - - -6888 - - -10118 - - -11649 ODpotential blCL 21102 - - 20823 - - 20031 - - 20146 - - 18873 blCL maxRH 61 - - 74 - - 85 - - 85 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.2 - - 76.2 - - 77.7 - - 75.2 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.3 - - 30.4 - - 31.7 - - 31.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 74.2 - - 75.7 - - 73.7 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 29.3 - - 30.7 - - 30.9 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 327 - - 382 - - 225 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3563 - - 5935 - - 2820 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99388 29 107 24 096 31 109 20 122 25 090 99388 91905 19 101 24 105 25 091 23 118 17 104 91905 86134 18 106 21 100 22 103 21 101 16 108 86134 81333 19 103 16 116 19 108 16 100 17 088 81333 77193 18 099 14 123 9 098 16 094 16 095 77193 73534 13 094 10 132 7 133 10 076 15 088 73534 70219 8 064 11 114 12 146 7 084 9 079 70219 67185 8 041 7 107 9 138 2 130 3 069 67185 64389 0 015 6 112 7 151 3 186 1 138 64389 61688 3 110 2 157 2 217 2 232 2 060 61688 58889 5 088 7 188 8 257 5 295 5 309 58889 56020 7 299 5 242 11 230 9 265 7 270 56020 53306 16 267 6 268 9 206 13 236 14 223 53306 50870 23 251 17 260 13 251 19 252 17 246 50870 48684 28 247 26 244 24 251 26 242 24 243 48684 46698 30 239 31 240 30 247 28 234 30 242 46698 44873 35 232 35 236 36 245 31 234 32 241 44873 43182 38 228 38 232 40 238 36 234 34 238 43182 41600 40 226 39 229 42 233 40 232 41 234 41600 40116 40 226 39 228 43 232 44 230 47 230 40116 38725 38 226 37 227 41 230 44 228 49 227 38725 37397 36 226 35 226 38 227 42 226 47 226 37397 36067 33 227 32 227 35 225 38 225 43 227 36067 34711 30 227 30 227 32 223 35 224 36 225 34711 33335 30 227 30 223 29 219 32 222 31 224 33335 31930 32 227 29 220 23 214 30 220 29 224 31930 30487 30 229 25 219 20 206 24 218 26 223 30487 29010 20 242 17 222 20 204 19 219 21 222 29010 27504 17 260 14 241 15 219 15 220 17 219 27504 25972 17 261 16 245 14 234 13 222 16 216 25972 24418 17 254 16 241 14 240 12 225 16 215 24418 22833 17 243 18 233 16 240 12 229 17 206 22833 21213 18 232 19 231 18 241 13 238 18 193 21213 19582 20 223 18 231 20 243 15 244 16 189 19582 18017 20 218 17 233 21 245 17 247 13 195 18017 16591 20 220 19 234 22 246 19 249 11 207 16591 15314 20 228 21 236 23 244 20 247 12 223 15314 14164 22 238 24 240 24*244 21 244 14 235 14164 13122 24 244 26 246 23*245 22 242 18 242 13122 12177 24 247 27 251 23 245 22 241 21 245 12177 11319 23 248 25*252 21 243 21 239 23 245 11319 10545 21 246 22*246 19 241 20*238 23 242 10545 9844 20 242 19 236 19 240 19*239 24 237 9844 9202 20 236 19 234 19 241 19 240 25 232 9202 8623 20 230 19 233 19 241 19 242 23 232 8623 8131 22 223 18 233 18 241 18 242 19 240 8131 7749 20 219 17 233 17 242 18 243 16 245 7749 7482 16 216 16 233 16 242 16 243 14 247 7482 7318 11*215 14 233 14 242 14 244 11 248 7318 7224 5*214 10 233 10 242 10 244 6*246 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography