DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 43.2 - - 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 59 - - 83 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 968 - - 2146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7207 - - 7986 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8174 - - 9353 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 634 - - 772 - - 1244 - - 2029 - - 607 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 170 - - 249 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 265 - - 289 - - 280 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -30 - - -28 - - -4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 951 - - 2130 - - -42 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7266 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -1735 - - -1577 - - 459 - - -4397 - - -6615 ODpotential blCL 8958 - - 9751 - - 8894 - - 11620 - - 13838 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 96 - - 80 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 43.2 - - 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - 45.5 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 39.1 - - 39.2 - - 37.6 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 59 - - 83 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 968 - - 2146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 76 - - 84 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96793 2 048 5 033 12 041 7 026 16 068 96793 89555 9 040 5 033 7 328 16 356 13 041 89555 83977 9 343 8 360 9 331 19 341 16 337 83977 79377 12 332 11 003 10 346 16 329 12 343 79377 75400 11 346 14 337 16 344 21 341 15 342 75400 71884 9 336 15 322 16 352 19 350 14 004 71884 68709 12 345 16 330 18 340 24 349 23 009 68709 65788 21 327 18 315 25 317 32 332 29 330 65788 63093 12 309 16 311 24 308 30 310 28 309 63093 60492 23 329 22 320 21 306 27 307 26 306 60492 57772 36 309 33 307 29 300 30 300 28 300 57772 54940 48 298 41 297 37 295 37 298 32 302 54940 52232 56 290 50 290 44 290 45 298 41 306 52232 49796 60 288 55 289 50 287 50 293 45 302 49796 47619 65 292 59 290 58 286 54 294 49 302 47619 45650 70 294 62 290 62 289 58 295 51 301 45650 43858 69 294 63 291 63 291 58 295 51 303 43858 42218 68 296 64 295 57 292 60 297 53 307 42218 40700 67 301 63 302 54 293 56 295 52 309 40700 39276 67 303 63 306 52 294 54 295 50 308 39276 37937 67 306 62 307 51 295 50 293 49 308 37937 36654 67 309 59 307 51 295 47 293 48 309 36654 35368 66 309 56 305 50 295 47 290 49 310 35368 34052 64 309 54 304 48 297 46 288 47 311 34052 32713 61 307 51 303 47 297 45 288 41 310 32713 31341 57 308 47 304 44 297 43 289 39 307 31341 29928 54 309 45 304 41 296 41 290 39 305 29928 28481 52 309 45 303 40 297 39 296 38 303 28481 27000 51 307 45 302 40 301 36 301 36 308 27000 25490 50 304 44 301 38 305 33 303 35 315 25490 23956 51 302 42 301 36 307 30 303 33 320 23956 22392 52 302 39 302 33 311 27 307 29 322 22392 20796 54 302 37 306 30 314 25 311 27 320 20796 19193 55 301 35 311 26 316 24 316 24 319 19193 17661 54 300 34 313 23 316 22 321 22 321 17661 16268 52 300 34 312 22 314 21 326 20 328 16268 15024 48 300 33 310 21 313 20 331 18 335 15024 13906 44 300 33 307 21 314 18 335 16 343 13906 12896 42 301 33 305 22 314 17 338 14 349 12896 11981 39 302 32 303 21 315 15 341 12 356 11981 11155 36 301 30 302 20 314 13 344 10 006 11155 10409 33 297 27 301 17 307 11 348 7 022 10409 9736 30 293 24 299 16*301 9 353 5 044 9736 9121 27 288 22 294 15*293 7 349 5 076 9121 8565 24 281 18*283 14 290 4 318 5 097 8565 8094 20 272 15*270 13 288 4 292 5 096 8094 7726 15 259 13 265 13 287 4 287 4 087 7726 7470 12 250 12 263 12 286 3 283 3 078 7470 7313 9*246 10 263 10 285 3*281 2*062 7313 7223 4*244 7 262 7 286 2*280 1*324 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography