DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 39.8 - - 41.1 - - 34.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -78 - - 195 - - 329 - - 63 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1558 - - 2900 - - 886 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7968 - - 9112 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8764 - - 10107 - - 8092 - - 7332 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 436 - - 857 - - 1095 - - 1222 - - 2482 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 289 - - 421 - - 164 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 30 - - 32 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 218 - - 224 - - 232 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 27 - - 25 - - 15 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -65 - - -64 - - -40 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2440 - - -594 - - 1215 - - 870 - - 110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9662 - - 9359 - - 8892 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -13040 - - -7014 - - -2009 - - 137 - - -513 ODpotential blCL 20262 - - 15778 - - 12116 - - 7955 - - 7845 blCL maxRH 90 - - 81 - - 81 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 39.8 - - 41.1 - - 34.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.8 - - 24.1 - - 27.3 - - 31.3 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 38.9 - - 39.7 - - 34.0 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.3 - - 23.7 - - 27.2 - - 31.2 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -78 - - 195 - - 329 - - 63 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1558 - - 2900 - - 886 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 26 - - 25 - - 91 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96460 27 289 21 291 24 289 20 287 28 294 96460 89498 11 277 18 293 17 309 15 301 12 285 89498 84106 11 302 16 279 12 282 15 268 9 302 84106 79586 19 282 18 281 19 283 18 287 18 286 79586 75660 23 278 18 279 24 278 19 281 25 281 75660 72157 24 288 15 281 21 272 24 271 27 292 72157 68956 27 289 15 303 18 272 24 273 27 290 68956 66004 27 272 24 280 23 272 23 272 23 283 66004 63266 23 264 26 254 28 259 22 265 17 274 63266 60603 21 277 18 268 20 262 14 273 20 276 60603 57809 27 281 18 298 18 306 25 279 20 276 57809 54892 38 266 34 280 30 288 32 293 24 313 54892 52103 48 262 54 260 50 266 50 284 45 301 52103 49605 49 261 57 251 58 259 55 271 51 283 49605 47367 58 267 52 254 60 261 48 267 46 288 47367 45329 71 263 54 263 62 262 49 278 51 295 45329 43455 72 260 67 265 63 263 54 282 56 298 43455 41715 73 263 81 262 63 262 58 284 61 301 41715 40092 78 259 94 255 62 260 63 285 69 301 40092 38575 81 256 93 246 63 259 64 283 73 298 38575 37160 78 254 82 244 61 256 60 284 72 296 37160 35815 75 253 77 249 59 255 62 285 66 298 35815 34479 75 252 84 251 61 254 62 282 70 306 34479 33126 74 250 90 247 68 253 57 275 76 305 33126 31763 72 247 91 241 76 249 50 267 72 303 31763 30379 70 245 88 236 77 243 40 281 66 303 30379 28972 66 243 82 234 68 237 37 288 62 306 28972 27548 64 242 74 232 56 232 34 285 57 306 27548 26117 61 240 67 231 47 229 30 277 45 299 26117 24679 56 236 62 230 42 228 27 273 36 283 24679 23228 51 232 60 229 38 229 23 279 28 272 23228 21748 48 228 60 227 35 231 22 285 21 278 21748 20233 46 227 58 224 32 232 21 270 18 283 20233 18708 45 227 54 218 30 231 22 246 15 288 18708 17249 45 225 51 213 30 229 21 246 13 293 17249 15921 44 224 50 210 32 227 21 250 13 296 15921 14733 44 222 51 208 37 224 22 254 14 298 14733 13662 44 220 51 207 43 220 24 255 16 301 13662 12691 45 219 51 207 46 217 25 257 18 299 12691 11811 46 218 51 209 45 215 26 260 19 294 11811 11013 46 218 51 210 41 215 26 257 19 290 11013 10296 47 217 50 211 39*217 26 244 17 282 10296 9649 47 214 49 212 38*219 28 229 15 269 9649 9057 47 212 47*213 37 221 28 226 14 260 9057 8522 44 210 40*216 35 225 27*226 13 256 8522 8066 40 210 34 218 33 227 24*230 13 254 8066 7710 32 213 30 219 30 228 21 232 12 254 7710 7462 24 215 27 219 27 229 18 233 9*256 7462 7310 18*216 22 220 23 230 16 234 8*257 7310 7222 9*216 13 219 14 230 9 235 5 260 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography