DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 47.9 - - 53.7 - - 51.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 112 - - 98 - - 62 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1892 - - 5868 - - 1084 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8044 - - 10929 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 9098 - - 13075 - - 8291 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 722 - - 2276 - - 4072 - - 5641 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 271 - - 393 - - 187 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 19 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 022 - - 025 - - 302 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 21 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -7 - - 49 - - -13 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1452 - - 4012 - - 1068 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 7647 - - 9064 - - 7223 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -3561 - - -1661 - - 672 - - -1469 - - -3711 ODpotential blCL 10784 - - 10759 - - 12403 - - 9760 - - 10934 blCL maxRH 82 - - 74 - - 98 - - 94 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 270 - - 490 - - 760 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 47.9 - - 53.7 - - 51.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 38.7 - - 44.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 47.1 - - 53.0 - - 50.6 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 37.9 - - 37.4 - - 43.6 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 112 - - 98 - - 62 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1892 - - 5868 - - 1084 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 0 - - 94 - - 75 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97909 17 269 15 231 21 257 26 280 22 270 97909 90380 18 278 13 253 20 258 21 283 15 278 90380 84617 15 287 13 267 15 255 18 285 15 300 84617 79878 9 268 14 269 9 273 13 276 17 304 79878 75812 10 285 13 278 11 300 10 279 11 318 75812 72214 14 292 15 280 13 291 16 287 16 315 72214 68964 18 303 14 281 14 289 18 289 17 303 68964 65973 19 299 15 288 16 274 17 287 16 292 65973 63183 19 294 15 298 17 270 18 301 17 306 63183 60473 18 292 14 304 19 265 22 294 20 305 60473 57642 18 294 17 315 12 290 14 303 14 296 57642 54702 18 297 17 310 10 311 17 312 13 309 54702 51902 11 311 15 328 13 349 15 341 14 348 51902 49405 10 333 13 326 12 334 20 345 18 356 49405 47186 7 041 7 340 6 006 20 005 26 039 47186 45197 22 048 13 044 24 030 32 032 42 031 45197 43395 27 049 32 061 27 048 40 034 48 036 43395 41733 42 060 47 067 50 057 52 048 58 042 41733 40189 49 060 59 059 67 056 60 048 61 040 40189 38751 52 064 64 060 68 057 59 047 56 038 38751 37413 68 064 71 065 68 059 55 050 50 038 37413 36140 80 064 79 066 70 061 56 055 47 042 36140 34868 81 063 81 062 70 061 58 053 47 043 34868 33570 76 061 80 060 69 060 57 048 47 043 33570 32249 70 059 78 061 67 059 54 045 46 042 32249 30898 63 057 73 062 65 061 51 044 45 039 30898 29509 52 058 66 062 62 063 50 044 46 037 29509 28086 46 055 58 062 60 066 49 046 46 036 28086 26632 45 051 48 061 56 070 48 050 45 039 26632 25150 45 049 40 056 50 069 46 055 41 043 25150 23647 44 049 35 054 45 064 41 056 38 045 23647 22119 41 052 34 054 40 059 40 055 35 046 22119 20557 35 054 33 052 36 056 35 053 33 050 20557 18992 32 055 33 048 34 050 34 051 33 049 18992 17504 34 054 34 043 33 043 31 044 33 041 17504 16157 36 051 36 038 33 040 30 042 33 036 16157 14951 36 047 35 037 31 038 28 041 31 034 14951 13862 33 046 33 038 29*036 25 040 28 033 13862 12873 30 048 30 040 27*034 21 039 24 032 12873 11972 27 048 28 043 25 033 19 037 20 029 11972 11154 25 048 27 045 23 031 15 033 17 023 11154 10413 23 046 25 044 21 028 13 026 15 014 10413 9741 20 043 22 040 18 024 10 012 15 006 9741 9125 18 038 18*032 17 019 9 348 16 355 9125 8567 17 031 15*024 15 014 9*333 17 340 8567 8093 15 018 14 022 13 010 9*308 17 321 8093 7725 15 004 13 022 12 007 9 302 15 299 7725 7469 13 358 12 021 11 006 9 300 12 285 7469 7313 10*356 10 022 10 005 8 299 10*283 7313 7223 5*353 7 022 7 004 6 297 6*277 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography