DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.4 - - 40.4 - - 43.1 - - 39.2 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - 209 - - 357 - - 88 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1453 - - 2150 - - 1550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7913 - - 8569 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8659 - - 9357 - - 8756 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 559 - - 604 - - 698 - - 670 - - 727 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 288 - - 392 - - 220 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 27 - - 26 - - 24 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 233 - - 242 - - 247 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 17 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -62 - - -58 - - -54 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -973 - - -1117 - - 110 - - 752 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8195 - - 9777 - - 9247 - - 8004 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -10705 - - -9216 - - -5593 - - -5740 - - -5939 ODpotential blCL 17927 - - 17875 - - 14950 - - 14496 - - 13161 blCL maxRH 58 - - 73 - - 74 - - 80 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.4 - - 40.4 - - 43.1 - - 39.2 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 22.9 - - 27.7 - - 29.3 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.6 - - 39.5 - - 41.4 - - 38.7 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.9 - - 22.7 - - 27.5 - - 29.2 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - 209 - - 357 - - 88 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1453 - - 2150 - - 1550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97020 15 268 21 275 24 293 15 287 23 279 97020 89783 6 308 8 242 15 278 16 298 19 288 89783 84205 7 280 2 175 10 282 13 284 17 298 84205 79571 12 276 9 325 8 271 11 271 12 293 79571 75565 11 285 9 277 10 280 11 266 12 269 75565 72013 14 280 12 257 13 276 17 247 15 276 72013 68786 18 281 16 269 13 259 15 247 15 277 68786 65808 22 259 18 265 17 262 13 289 16 268 65808 63038 21 255 23 256 26 257 20 272 15 263 63038 60344 21 269 22 256 26 250 19 270 13 273 60344 57514 25 278 21 269 21 257 25 281 15 287 57514 54567 29 285 26 282 28 271 37 281 26 293 54567 51760 35 285 36 283 39 272 47 276 38 286 51760 49257 41 281 43 281 43 270 47 274 42 276 49257 47045 43 281 45 278 43 276 44 279 39 277 47045 45061 44 282 48 276 49 279 49 284 45 284 45061 43255 44 282 54 281 56 275 59 284 52 281 43255 41600 49 285 62 283 61 274 67 281 61 280 41600 40068 55 286 68 281 66 277 72 281 70 277 40068 38637 55 286 68 276 71 279 81 283 75 275 38637 37299 55 285 66 272 74 279 87 283 74 274 37299 36021 56 284 62 273 74 278 84 286 73 275 36021 34744 56 282 62 277 74 280 84 288 73 280 34744 33442 56 280 62 280 74 283 81 286 73 286 33442 32120 56 278 61 280 71 284 77 284 71 287 32120 30769 56 276 60 279 68 283 75 281 67 286 30769 29382 56 275 58 278 65 280 73 277 61 286 29382 27963 55 275 56 276 63 276 69 273 53 290 27963 26517 55 277 54 273 62 274 67 271 45 295 26517 25044 54 279 54 273 61 273 65 272 40 300 25044 23550 53 280 55 273 61 273 62 276 37 304 23550 22029 50 281 57 273 61 272 58 280 35 306 22029 20474 47 281 57 275 61 271 56 283 32 305 20474 18912 44 282 54 276 59 272 54 285 29 305 18912 17417 41 283 49 277 55 273 52 286 27 305 17417 16058 39 282 46 276 52 275 50 288 28 304 16058 14843 37 281 44 275 50 275 47 289 28 304 14843 13750 36 280 42 273 47 274 45 290 27 303 13750 12763 35 279 40 271 45 273 42 288 25 303 12763 11870 34 277 38 269 42 273 40 284 22 299 11870 11061 33 274 36 266 39 269 37 277 20 292 11061 10333 32 268 34 258 35 260 33 265 18 283 10333 9674 32 260 34 244 31*247 32 252 18 272 9674 9072 32 247 34*234 30*243 30*247 20 253 9072 8530 35 235 33*232 29 242 29*247 21 239 8530 8070 36 226 30 233 28 241 27 247 19 234 8070 7712 32 224 27 233 26 241 25 247 15 235 7712 7463 26 226 24 234 24 241 23 247 10 238 7463 7310 20*227 21 234 20 241 19 248 8*238 7310 7222 10*227 12 235 13 242 11 249 3*232 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography