DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 49.1 - - 52.0 - - 47.7 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -81 - - 114 - - 236 - - 14 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 939 - - 2745 - - 1462 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 8888 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8146 - - 9952 - - 8669 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 1120 - - 1498 - - 1342 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 204 - - 370 - - 118 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 19 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 239 - - 244 - - 248 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -43 - - -38 - - -27 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6140 - - -6087 - - -3959 - - -2997 - - -1177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13364 - - 14233 - - 13911 - - 11666 - - 8401 sfcLCL ODpotential -16113 - - -12891 - - -10322 - - -8917 - - -8364 ODpotential blCL 23336 - - 21037 - - 20274 - - 17586 - - 15587 blCL maxRH 89 - - 74 - - 86 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 49.1 - - 52.0 - - 47.7 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.0 - - 12.5 - - 16.5 - - 22.1 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.2 - - 48.4 - - 50.7 - - 47.6 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.6 - - 12.1 - - 16.2 - - 22.0 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -81 - - 114 - - 236 - - 14 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 939 - - 2745 - - 1462 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 0 - - 46 - - 23 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 44 282 45 291 37 291 36 293 40 290 96395 89357 30 289 29 281 33 281 27 297 33 304 89357 83914 17 286 13 298 22 282 22 296 26 307 83914 79380 17 292 15 292 18 292 15 298 23 302 79380 75440 18 291 17 278 20 265 15 296 23 300 75440 71940 15 300 13 303 16 287 12 291 19 291 71940 68763 24 284 18 294 18 305 16 305 16 300 68763 65828 34 280 30 271 24 292 25 307 22 319 65828 63108 36 287 33 277 31 285 31 292 27 300 63108 60491 33 286 29 276 25 287 27 287 25 295 60491 57752 26 275 23 271 27 296 28 292 27 309 57752 54887 29 278 30 270 34 284 35 290 35 304 54887 52145 41 273 38 265 43 278 41 286 40 295 52145 49683 52 269 46 268 46 274 43 284 41 292 49683 47480 60 258 54 265 47 272 45 280 45 296 47480 45482 62 251 58 258 49 263 46 273 51 291 45482 43652 65 250 62 249 57 253 50 262 50 278 43652 41971 69 247 70 245 67 244 56 252 48 264 41971 40424 68 244 69 244 73 240 67 248 52 255 40424 38991 62 243 65 245 67 239 72 244 60 247 38991 37656 59 242 62 245 64 240 69 240 69 241 37656 36382 59 240 59 244 63 240 65 239 73 239 36382 35107 58 240 58 242 63 239 63 236 70 238 35107 33804 57 239 59 240 62 238 61 236 66 239 33804 32481 56 238 58 238 61 238 59 237 63 240 32481 31129 55 238 56 239 59 239 57 238 61 244 31129 29738 51 239 53 240 57 240 55 238 59 246 29738 28313 47 241 50 239 54 240 53 236 57 247 28313 26854 44 242 47 240 52 238 51 234 56 247 26854 25365 42 243 45 239 50 235 50 232 55 248 25365 23849 40 242 44 236 50 233 51 234 52 250 23849 22303 39 240 45 235 51 234 52 240 49 255 22303 20721 38 240 44 239 51 239 52 248 46 261 20721 19131 37 243 41 244 49 245 49 255 42 266 19131 17610 34 246 38 248 45 249 46 259 38 269 17610 16229 31 247 35 251 42 252 43 262 35 271 16229 14994 27 246 32 251 39 253 40 264 33 273 14994 13883 25 244 29 249 36 253 37 266 31 275 13883 12877 23 244 28 247 35 253 35 266 29 277 12877 11966 22 244 27 246 33 253 32 265 26 277 11966 11140 23 246 27 246 31 251 28 262 24 275 11140 10397 23 248 27 246 27*249 25 257 23 274 10397 9725 24 250 26 247 22*245 21 251 21 271 9725 9112 25 250 25 246 21 244 17*248 19 265 9112 8558 25 248 24*245 20 244 16*247 18 257 8558 8089 23 245 21*241 19 244 15 248 16 250 8089 7723 21 242 17 239 18 244 14 248 14 250 7723 7468 18 239 15 238 17 244 12 247 11 252 7468 7312 15*239 13 238 14 244 10 247 9*252 7312 7223 6*240 9 238 10 244 6 247 4*251 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography