DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 55.1 - - 58.3 - - 57.8 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 98 - - 311 - - 191 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1593 - - 2385 - - 1904 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 7792 - - 8727 - - 8223 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8800 - - 9593 - - 9112 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 390 - - 1419 - - 1237 - - 1304 - - 757 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 250 - - 396 - - 311 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 238 - - 256 - - 267 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -26 - - -34 - - -30 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3632 - - -3307 - - -2272 - - -2467 - - -656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10855 - - 12107 - - 11866 - - 11579 - - 7881 sfcLCL ODpotential -11246 - - -11378 - - -7693 - - -7641 - - -6457 ODpotential blCL 18469 - - 20178 - - 17286 - - 16753 - - 13681 blCL maxRH 43 - - 86 - - 53 - - 50 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 55.1 - - 58.3 - - 57.8 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 27.4 - - 31.4 - - 32.2 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 54.4 - - 56.4 - - 56.4 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 26.3 - - 30.2 - - 31.1 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 98 - - 311 - - 191 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1593 - - 2385 - - 1904 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97735 2 227 15 245 18 279 13 304 6 302 97735 90296 7 247 12 262 13 266 9 250 14 281 90296 84588 9 270 7 269 11 266 14 265 12 306 84588 79868 6 309 4 240 10 264 13 282 9 338 79868 75817 9 330 5 314 7 303 10 310 8 331 75817 72251 14 330 15 322 11 332 8 328 7 332 72251 69030 17 335 15 329 13 337 13 337 10 337 69030 66068 20 338 14 324 16 326 14 347 11 346 66068 63323 23 325 16 321 17 331 17 351 12 356 63323 60662 20 322 15 327 20 314 20 344 13 002 60662 57892 20 327 15 326 15 310 23 328 20 337 57892 55036 22 326 20 341 16 325 22 316 22 328 55036 52339 26 337 24 341 16 330 20 317 21 317 52339 49922 31 344 30 348 26 331 25 313 23 304 49922 47749 34 347 34 332 25 316 28 306 29 302 47749 45779 40 341 36 326 33 322 41 306 48 303 45779 43984 43 336 47 324 46 311 51 298 57 296 43984 42329 43 333 51 317 49 309 49 299 59 296 42329 40783 39 329 51 315 52 308 53 303 61 297 40783 39332 34 326 45 310 53 307 57 304 63 299 39332 37971 27 329 38 304 54 308 58 303 65 300 37971 36671 25 329 37 300 54 308 60 303 68 300 36671 35372 22 327 33 298 49 305 62 304 71 301 35372 34047 20 326 29 290 44 296 57 303 67 302 34047 32704 20 321 29 287 42 289 50 299 56 302 32704 31333 19 311 31 287 40 287 48 296 50 300 31333 29923 19 298 29 287 37 285 47 295 49 299 29923 28477 19 293 27 288 34 283 41 292 48 299 28477 26999 21 294 29 292 33 282 35 288 43 298 26999 25495 22 291 29 295 32 283 32 283 37 290 25495 23968 23 287 28 294 31 286 32 283 35 284 23968 22413 23 285 27 290 28 287 30 286 31 287 22413 20823 23 279 24 285 26 287 28 287 25 290 20823 19227 23 273 22 282 23 286 25 287 21 288 19227 17701 22 271 20 280 21 285 21 289 18 289 17701 16312 20 272 19 279 19 282 18 292 15 293 16312 15071 17 272 17 276 18 282 15 294 12 298 15071 13953 15 270 16 271 16 283 14 297 10 304 13953 12940 13 267 14 264 15 284 13 299 8 310 12940 12023 13 263 13 257 14 283 13 301 8 317 12023 11191 12 261 14 252 14 278 13 299 8 323 11191 10441 12 260 14 249 14 269 14 293 9 326 10441 9762 12 261 14 245 14*261 13 282 10 325 9762 9141 12 263 14*242 14*258 13*273 12 321 9141 8579 11 264 13*240 15 257 13*269 12 311 8579 8102 11 266 12 238 14 255 13 267 12 299 8102 7732 10 263 11 238 14 255 13 267 11 291 7732 7473 9 257 10 238 13 254 12 266 9 287 7473 7315 8 253 9 238 12 254 11 266 8*283 7315 7224 4*257 7 237 8 254 8 265 3*274 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography