DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 45.0 - - 51.5 - - 47.6 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 44 - - 114 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 1751 - - 626 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7901 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7596 - - 8958 - - 7833 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 184 - - 742 - - 1108 - - 1428 - - 357 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 117 - - 257 - - 53 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 177 - - 233 - - 249 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -2 - - -13 - - -10 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1403 - - -2453 - - -2679 - - -2685 - - -2697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8625 - - 10049 - - 11637 - - 10519 - - 9920 sfcLCL ODpotential -11772 - - -9820 - - -9296 - - -9090 - - -10836 ODpotential blCL 18994 - - 17416 - - 18254 - - 16923 - - 18059 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 84 - - 90 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 45.0 - - 51.5 - - 47.6 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 26.5 - - 25.9 - - 27.0 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 44.6 - - 50.6 - - 47.8 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 25.4 - - 24.8 - - 26.3 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 44 - - 114 - - 1 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 1751 - - 626 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 15 - - 36 - - 59 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96505 22 302 38 275 32 299 21 303 31 284 96505 89617 11 296 28 285 25 294 19 293 19 302 89617 84253 8 301 23 287 25 284 18 293 19 295 84253 79733 13 290 13 265 29 264 21 277 17 286 79733 75799 20 261 11 282 19 247 20 245 19 277 75799 72294 22 248 10 263 11 267 15 240 20 265 72294 69098 15 231 18 254 11 276 12 268 17 248 69098 66155 16 260 25 246 20 257 21 276 13 249 66155 63418 23 252 28 244 26 245 19 262 22 269 63418 60759 20 242 23 229 27 235 23 253 31 270 60759 57992 17 256 22 240 29 239 36 247 33 262 57992 55117 31 263 26 246 30 239 37 246 26 257 55117 52361 36 265 34 267 38 265 44 261 46 262 52361 49901 40 267 47 265 51 261 59 265 69 257 49901 47742 58 278 62 270 62 270 70 269 73 261 47742 45806 63 281 74 280 77 281 92 278 97 270 45806 44035 67 291 91 291 99 283 120 275 108 270 44035 42391 82 298 103 292 109 282 116 275 109 266 42391 40851 95 299 103 291 112 281 114 275 110 266 40851 39404 98 296 99 290 112 281 110 274 108 266 39404 38044 96 293 94 287 100 280 102 274 97 265 38044 36746 93 295 88 282 81 277 92 274 87 266 36746 35449 79 299 82 282 70 274 79 276 74 265 35449 34124 66 296 76 285 71 272 60 280 55 262 34124 32777 59 293 69 289 71 274 48 277 52 263 32777 31395 56 295 61 296 64 275 46 275 57 264 31395 29970 55 301 57 297 50 276 51 278 59 262 29970 28508 49 309 52 299 41 284 53 274 60 259 28508 27012 47 310 40 301 40 279 52 272 63 259 27012 25484 43 308 35 293 33 273 51 269 65 260 25484 23931 38 306 29 289 26 277 48 265 64 261 23931 22357 35 308 22 288 21 272 40 264 57 257 22357 20762 30 311 19 285 18 259 32 264 49 246 20762 19169 22 312 18 281 17 250 26 261 38 237 19169 17648 17 314 17 278 17 248 22 258 31 232 17648 16264 15 318 15 276 16 251 19 256 28 231 16264 15024 13 324 14 274 14 257 16 255 23 225 15024 13909 12 330 12 272 12 259 14 258 16 214 13909 12902 11 336 9 268 12 253 13 254 12 190 12902 11988 10 344 7 261 12 243 13 241 10 162 11988 11160 9 354 5 239 13 234 14 229 7 159 11160 10414 6 006 4 222 14 228 15 219 5 176 10414 9738 3 029 5 218 12 228 13 213 5 170 9738 9120 3 095 6 205 11*233 10 211 6 152 9120 8563 5 127 7 185 11*233 6 222 9 146 8563 8091 8 133 9 174 10 233 5*242 11 145 8091 7724 10 141 8*176 10 233 5*247 13 149 7724 7468 9 156 6*178 9 233 5 249 11 157 7468 7312 8*171 5 177 8 232 4 249 9*168 7312 7223 4*220 4 176 6 231 3 251 4*216 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography