DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 53.7 - - 50.5 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 448 - - 171 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2681 - - 3504 - - 2179 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8950 - - 9670 - - 8361 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9888 - - 10711 - - 9387 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1612 - - 1490 - - 1457 - - 1312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 412 - - 498 - - 309 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 33 - - 32 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 234 - - 230 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 23 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -82 - - -89 - - -93 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1955 - - 528 - - -63 - - -168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11843 - - 10183 - - 9451 - - 7391 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7331 - - -2381 - - -4442 - - -6230 ODpotential blCL - - - 17219 - - 13092 - - 13829 - - 13453 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 72 - - 68 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 53.7 - - 50.5 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.1 - - 33.7 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 51.7 - - 49.7 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 33.6 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 448 - - 171 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2681 - - 3504 - - 2179 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97920 8 253 7 236 7 249 10 275 97920 90630 8 199 3 204 3 223 4 264 90630 84967 6 195 3 321 4 359 2 106 84967 80251 5 185 3 302 3 317 5 356 80251 76212 5 333 3 050 5 334 8 342 76212 72673 7 327 8 334 10 333 4 340 72673 69468 14 344 15 324 21 331 15 000 69468 66518 12 332 13 315 16 306 17 338 66518 63781 13 007 9 039 4 009 9 278 63781 61129 21 347 17 352 14 332 11 288 61129 58369 20 297 20 292 17 276 16 276 58369 55493 10 268 14 237 14 262 15 286 55493 52728 12 313 13 289 26 296 29 299 52728 50237 38 302 33 292 36 286 40 285 50237 48007 55 298 46 297 43 293 47 282 48007 45976 67 292 61 293 54 292 55 288 45976 44099 70 284 68 282 61 283 62 283 44099 42351 67 283 66 278 64 275 63 276 42351 40711 66 286 66 279 63 272 62 270 40711 39166 67 285 66 278 61 274 59 269 39166 37716 63 282 61 277 60 274 56 270 37716 36337 53 276 52 274 57 272 54 269 36337 34970 43 264 45 267 50 266 51 265 34970 33592 39 255 40 259 42 258 46 258 33592 32209 39 253 38 254 40 254 41 248 32209 30811 38 249 39 252 42 251 39 243 30811 29387 39 244 42 251 44 249 34 242 29387 27941 42 240 44 250 44 248 31 246 27941 26474 45 239 47 247 44 248 34 249 26474 24988 47 242 51 245 44 247 36 251 24988 23488 46 245 53 244 43 247 36 252 23488 21971 44 248 50 245 41 248 35 254 21971 20430 41 250 45 246 36 251 34 257 20430 18888 39 250 40 246 31 256 34 259 18888 17416 39 250 39 247 28 259 34 260 17416 16078 39 249 40 246 28 261 33 260 16078 14877 40 247 41 244 30 259 32 259 14877 13794 41 246 42 241 34 254 31 255 13794 12810 41 245 42 238 37 248 33 248 12810 11916 41 244 41 235 40 241 37 242 11916 11106 40 242 40*234 41 235 41 237 11106 10373 39*240 38*233 41 232 43 234 10373 9711 37*237 36 233 39*230 44 230 9711 9103 35 234 35 233 37*230 45 226 9103 8554 33 233 34 234 35 230 44 223 8554 8087 31 233 32 234 33 230 39 223 8087 7722 29 233 30 235 31 231 31 226 7722 7468 26 232 27 235 28 231 25 228 7468 7313 22 233 23 235 24 231 21*228 7313 7223 13 233 15 236 14 231 12*228 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography