DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 68.8 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 276 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2847 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7652 - - 9016 - - - - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8331 - - 10055 - - - - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1030 - - 2479 - - - - - 1390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 394 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 12 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 163 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -15 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10576 - - -9946 - - - - - -7917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18908 - - 20002 - - - - - 15142 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17993 - - -16612 - - - - - -15878 ODpotential blCL - - - 26324 - - 26667 - - - - - 23102 blCL maxRH - - - 20 - - 24 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 68.8 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.5 - - 6.1 - - - - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 67.0 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.7 - - 5.4 - - - - - 13.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 276 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2847 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97607 11 279 12 285 11 289 97607 90325 3 119 7 250 6 332 90325 84718 7 070 6 193 3 333 84718 80077 4 002 5 129 4 233 80077 76089 4 234 8 334 4 214 76089 72563 5 181 12 280 4 277 72563 69369 3 324 10 226 13 317 69369 66441 8 279 7 214 18 303 66441 63742 13 248 11 280 15 257 63742 61117 17 232 20 267 8 266 61117 58386 15 229 26 234 23 277 58386 55595 11 302 10 222 27 259 55595 52950 19 311 14 314 21 241 52950 50557 17 316 22 319 17 262 50557 48395 13 342 20 325 21 294 48395 46420 15 353 18 340 22 304 46420 44598 17 001 18 353 17 313 44598 42910 14 018 16 359 13 332 42910 41338 13 038 11 015 12 347 41338 39868 12 054 9 054 11 352 39868 38498 12 077 8 101 9 342 38498 37191 14 097 9 117 6 001 37191 35885 16 098 12 112 5 088 35885 34552 18 086 14 102 13 122 34552 33198 21 074 17 092 15 119 33198 31812 23 068 19 083 15 104 31812 30385 22 068 20 076 17 090 30385 28920 21 067 20 068 18 082 28920 27418 19 060 20 057 19 094 27418 25886 19 060 22 065 19 114 25886 24328 21 075 24 080 19 131 24328 22742 23 089 25 099 17 132 22742 21119 23 100 23 111 16 124 21119 19485 21 110 19 124 16 123 19485 17919 18 121 20 140 15 132 17919 16496 18 135 21 148 14 142 16496 15224 18 145 21 154 10 152 15224 14079 19 152 22 162 5 174 14079 13045 19 157 21 171 2 214 13045 12108 20 161 20 179 2 240 12108 11259 21 162 17 183 2 207 11259 10494 22 161 15*180 3 194 10494 9803 23 159 13*174 6 183 9803 9171 23 157 12 166 9 167 9171 8601 22*156 12 162 13 157 8601 8117 19*156 12 160 14 152 8117 7740 17 156 11 159 12 151 7740 7477 15 156 11 159 7 162 7477 7316 13 156 9 158 5*187 7316 7224 9 154 7 156 3*252 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography