DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 71.7 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 502 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5523 - - 6345 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11204 - - 11978 - - - - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12731 - - 13553 - - - - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1683 - - 2222 - - - - - 1822 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 545 - - 630 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 227 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -20 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2162 - - -1621 - - - - - -4557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14893 - - 15175 - - - - - 11782 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6666 - - -5917 - - - - - -9906 ODpotential blCL - - - 19397 - - 19470 - - - - - 17130 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 69 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 71.7 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 30.1 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 69.0 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 29.3 - - - - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 502 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5523 - - 6345 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99436 38 103 29 100 28 093 99436 91955 27 109 22 097 27 107 91955 86187 22 102 15 106 21 098 86187 81391 17 113 20 114 17 079 81391 77251 19 109 19 106 15 075 77251 73603 17 095 13 113 14 065 73603 70314 12 074 8 121 9 058 70314 67291 5 101 4 117 8 053 67291 64483 0 081 5 264 8 009 64483 61757 6 108 9 197 1 236 61757 58910 10 225 11 218 12 233 58910 55963 17 230 18 223 20 222 55963 53160 28 233 23 226 22 239 53160 50646 33 233 29 226 34 246 50646 48407 35 243 39 233 57 243 48407 46396 38 249 44 236 63 239 46396 44578 39 255 39 242 61 240 44578 42918 37 256 42 247 62 241 42918 41377 34 256 45 244 60 247 41377 39929 36 254 46 236 61 249 39929 38563 37 250 47 232 59 246 38563 37255 37 249 45 234 57 243 37255 35942 37 248 44 237 53 237 35942 34600 35 246 43 238 51 237 34600 33234 34 244 42 237 49 241 33234 31836 32 244 37 236 49 243 31836 30399 30 243 34 232 46 239 30399 28926 29 242 30 232 43 237 28926 27419 26 242 28 237 39 237 27419 25882 24 242 25 242 37 238 25882 24320 21 243 21 240 34 236 24320 22732 18 242 17 233 29 226 22732 21111 19 233 18 222 26 215 21111 19482 20 224 22 215 25 203 19482 17925 20 218 23 210 24 193 17925 16510 21 211 22 201 24 186 16510 15243 23 202 20 189 24 182 15243 14103 24 194 15*187 24 182 14103 13070 20*189 11*194 23 182 13070 12133 15*186 11 198 22 183 12133 11283 15 187 10 215 20 185 11283 10515 14 188 11 223 17 188 10515 9821 13 191 12 236 14 192 9821 9186 13 194 12 240 10 204 9186 8612 12 195 13 242 8 231 8612 8125 12 196 13 243 8 252 8125 7745 11 197 13 244 9 258 7745 7480 10 198 12 244 8 260 7480 7318 9 197 11 245 7*260 7318 7224 7 196 8 244 4*260 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography