DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 65.5 - - 68.6 - - 66.1 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 268 - - 394 - - 150 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3992 - - 5092 - - 3294 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9878 - - 10880 - - 9100 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 11200 - - 12300 - - 10502 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 2164 - - 1714 - - 2040 - - 613 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 438 - - 539 - - 338 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 221 - - 246 - - 244 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -15 - - -20 - - -23 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5440 - - -6473 - - -5301 - - -5359 - - -4843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12664 - - 17674 - - 17602 - - 15861 - - 12067 sfcLCL ODpotential -14289 - - -12626 - - -10723 - - -10400 - - -11213 ODpotential blCL 21512 - - 23826 - - 23023 - - 20902 - - 18437 blCL maxRH 36 - - 58 - - 66 - - 55 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 65.5 - - 68.6 - - 66.1 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.6 - - 13.2 - - 16.4 - - 21.8 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 63.7 - - 66.3 - - 64.9 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.3 - - 12.4 - - 15.8 - - 21.5 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 268 - - 394 - - 150 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3992 - - 5092 - - 3294 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98429 13 221 14 256 9 211 15 227 11 237 98429 90988 2 213 5 250 9 232 6 229 10 224 90988 85288 9 054 2 105 7 263 2 336 3 206 85288 80584 9 051 5 074 3 002 6 358 6 030 80584 76529 9 072 8 089 3 061 4 008 8 030 76529 72939 9 108 13 120 4 165 4 285 5 024 72939 69687 2 112 5 102 9 161 5 232 2 200 69687 66696 13 262 8 277 5 155 6 202 6 196 66696 63907 19 229 14 254 5 263 4 235 5 267 63907 61191 14 223 20 225 19 256 17 261 13 266 61191 58349 17 243 17 219 22 240 23 246 20 265 58349 55400 25 251 21 241 25 245 26 248 27 264 55400 52592 25 239 24 239 28 248 28 252 29 254 52592 50081 23 255 22 235 28 241 31 254 26 252 50081 47858 30 266 23 248 28 247 32 258 27 261 47858 45873 29 257 27 252 29 248 30 260 27 272 45873 44085 21 260 23 263 24 252 26 257 25 274 44085 42452 16 301 20 286 19 278 21 274 19 281 42452 40939 33 332 29 305 27 305 25 293 20 288 40939 39516 36 338 32 309 27 305 23 289 22 288 39516 38175 31 333 29 306 25 300 18 289 20 278 38175 36889 24 326 26 306 22 298 15 281 17 267 36889 35601 20 339 23 309 20 295 16 273 15 255 35601 34285 19 344 22 309 19 294 16 266 15 246 34285 32946 24 339 22 306 18 292 17 259 16 244 32946 31572 24 336 22 304 18 285 19 261 18 251 31572 30158 22 337 20 305 18 277 19 262 21 257 30158 28706 21 335 18 305 18 270 18 262 20 256 28706 27220 21 332 15 305 17 267 18 261 18 250 27220 25704 22 328 14 304 15 269 18 261 18 243 25704 24162 19 326 14 301 13 271 18 259 19 237 24162 22589 15 317 14 298 14 274 17 263 17 239 22589 20982 18 303 17 298 15 283 15 272 13 244 20982 19368 21 307 18 302 14 288 11 276 9 243 19368 17825 17 311 14 303 10 283 8 258 10 222 17825 16424 12 300 10 288 7 256 7 223 12 208 16424 15172 12 267 9 259 8 231 8 206 13 199 15172 14044 14 242 10 245 10 226 10 205 12 194 14044 13022 14 229 11 237 10*231 11 206 11 192 13022 12094 14 222 12 228 10*236 10 212 11 194 12094 11252 14 219 12*223 10 240 9*224 12 197 11252 10491 13 219 12*222 11 244 9*234 13 202 10491 9802 13 221 12 221 12 247 10 240 13 205 9802 9171 12 223 12 221 12 248 10 244 12 209 9171 8601 11 224 12 221 12 250 10 246 11 217 8601 8117 10 224 11 222 12 251 10 248 10 230 8117 7739 8 218 10 221 12 251 10 248 9 240 7739 7477 7 210 10 221 11 251 10 249 9 244 7477 7316 6 211 9 221 10 252 9 249 7*245 7316 7224 4*241 7 220 8 252 7 249 4*248 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography