DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.5 - - 54.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -88 - - 111 - - 200 - - -7 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 667 - - 1748 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7207 - - 8106 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7874 - - 8955 - - 7224 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 169 - - 779 - - 1098 - - 1894 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 180 - - 301 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 13 - - 15 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 243 - - 242 - - 243 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -28 - - -33 - - -11 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5360 - - -5918 - - -5790 - - -6177 - - -4216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12584 - - 13793 - - 14746 - - 13402 - - 11440 sfcLCL ODpotential -15136 - - -13693 - - -12677 - - -13367 - - -13011 ODpotential blCL 22359 - - 21567 - - 21632 - - 20591 - - 20234 blCL maxRH 94 - - 94 - - 93 - - 92 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.5 - - 54.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.9 - - 15.0 - - 15.7 - - 17.0 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 48.7 - - 53.4 - - 50.2 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.6 - - 14.6 - - 15.3 - - 16.7 - - 17.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -88 - - 111 - - 200 - - -7 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 667 - - 1748 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 77 - - 72 - - 67 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 44 285 44 276 47 286 48 287 51 289 96287 89277 24 298 27 277 29 279 28 274 35 290 89277 83839 27 297 12 325 10 280 13 254 28 284 83839 79300 29 289 23 310 19 291 16 280 23 277 79300 75378 22 289 30 298 27 285 17 292 16 285 75378 71888 23 288 26 306 26 291 24 300 21 321 71888 68694 30 284 23 294 30 283 35 285 29 307 68694 65741 34 278 26 270 34 273 41 267 37 280 65741 63012 32 269 27 269 36 264 39 266 42 268 63012 60387 34 274 31 279 38 270 40 268 41 265 60387 57657 42 269 37 270 40 265 39 265 37 262 57657 54823 47 255 39 258 39 260 42 267 35 266 54823 52125 40 256 42 262 41 264 45 262 39 264 52125 49709 47 264 48 267 40 263 43 253 40 256 49709 47548 48 269 49 273 46 275 44 267 41 259 47548 45595 57 279 56 278 54 278 52 275 48 263 45595 43826 67 276 63 275 54 275 53 274 52 267 43826 42202 62 271 61 271 51 276 50 273 51 267 42202 40684 55 274 56 273 49 277 47 269 51 264 40684 39257 56 277 56 278 48 276 45 265 50 262 39257 37917 54 276 57 277 47 274 44 262 50 262 37917 36635 51 275 58 273 45 273 44 259 50 262 36635 35353 49 274 57 268 45 271 45 258 50 259 35353 34042 49 275 54 267 47 270 46 258 51 256 34042 32710 49 276 51 266 49 269 46 259 51 253 32710 31345 45 277 48 268 48 266 46 260 49 252 31345 29940 39 276 45 271 46 263 45 259 47 254 29940 28501 34 273 43 269 44 262 44 260 46 255 28501 27030 31 270 40 264 43 260 43 260 46 256 27030 25529 31 269 39 258 42 259 42 260 44 257 25529 24001 31 266 39 255 41 259 40 260 40 258 24001 22443 32 264 39 258 40 261 37 261 36 259 22443 20848 31 264 38 262 37 263 35 262 33 260 20848 19244 30 264 34 265 34 263 33 263 31 261 19244 17710 29 264 30 265 30 263 31 264 29 263 17710 16316 27 263 26 263 28 264 28 265 26 263 16316 15070 25 260 23 258 25 264 26 265 24 263 15070 13948 24 257 20 253 23 262 24 265 21 263 13948 12934 23 253 18 249 21 259 23 264 19 262 12934 12014 23 252 17 248 21 256 22 262 18 262 12014 11182 23 253 16 250 21 254 22 260 18 260 11182 10430 24 254 17 252 20 252 21 258 18 257 10430 9751 25 254 18 254 20 249 21 253 18 253 9751 9131 25 253 19 254 18*245 19 247 18 247 9131 8571 25 250 19 251 17*243 17 245 19 241 8571 8097 25 244 18*247 16 242 16 244 20 235 8097 7727 24 237 15*243 15 242 14 244 19 231 7727 7470 22 234 14 242 14 242 12 244 17 229 7470 7313 17*234 11 242 12 241 10*243 13*230 7313 7223 8*237 8 242 8 241 6*243 6*232 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography