DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 27.5 - - 26.3 - - 16.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 74 - - 1 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 1110 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8172 - - 8316 - - 7222 - - 7221 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1238 - - 876 - - 1367 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 189 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 040 - - 055 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - 2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 951 - - 1095 - - 1 - - -66 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 231 - - -3035 - - -5065 - - -7373 ODpotential blCL - - - 7941 - - 11351 - - 12287 - - 14594 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 87 - - 81 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 27.5 - - 26.3 - - 16.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 22.5 - - 21.6 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.5 - - 26.9 - - 26.4 - - 22.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 21.3 - - 21.1 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 74 - - 1 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 1110 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 48 - - 23 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 19 032 23 024 26 041 20 037 96351 89268 20 033 15 042 17 063 17 036 89268 83783 11 033 5 030 9 050 12 047 83783 79215 8 332 2 020 6 010 9 097 79215 75227 9 284 11 272 16 333 9 353 75227 71681 11 258 17 270 14 303 16 300 71681 68443 13 264 17 277 9 311 14 298 68443 65439 17 265 21 294 21 309 22 302 65439 62653 20 255 26 280 23 286 24 292 62653 59956 18 260 21 260 20 273 26 298 59956 57145 22 289 23 281 26 284 23 291 57145 54226 29 285 27 282 27 285 23 308 54226 51445 27 276 22 282 23 288 30 306 51445 48950 23 283 23 305 18 290 27 286 48950 46707 27 296 28 306 12 328 16 307 46707 44676 30 290 22 302 32 343 22 332 44676 42839 26 283 16 316 38 336 27 360 42839 41162 18 294 27 344 30 331 45 019 41162 39625 20 320 31 347 35 011 75 017 39625 38202 27 331 28 006 56 022 80 012 38202 36875 28 338 43 016 75 018 69 020 36875 35616 25 356 48 014 72 016 68 030 35616 34361 28 014 53 029 69 026 72 036 34361 33082 33 020 74 040 78 034 75 039 33082 31782 36 023 82 040 82 035 74 041 31782 30451 39 022 70 038 75 034 71 042 30451 29080 39 018 52 029 68 034 69 041 29080 27674 37 013 45 022 63 036 67 041 27674 26238 36 011 44 017 59 036 63 041 26238 24778 36 012 43 012 57 033 55 041 24778 23297 34 015 39 009 51 032 48 046 23297 21791 33 017 33 011 41 026 41 050 21791 20253 30 013 27 013 36 011 34 042 20253 18712 28 008 23 012 32 001 28 022 18712 17242 26 004 23 005 26 359 25 005 17242 15909 25 003 24 000 22 358 21 355 15909 14718 22 006 23 357 21 359 20 351 14718 13646 20 010 20 355 21 000 18 351 13646 12676 18 012 17 355 20 001 17 355 12676 11797 16 010 14 359 17 001 16 359 11797 11000 15 005 12 006 15 002 14 004 11000 10282 14 003 11 014 12 009 14 010 10282 9633 12 357 9 023 10 021 14 018 9633 9040 8 338 9 033 9 040 15 026 9040 8506 5*334 7*038 8 060 15 030 8506 8054 4*339 7*039 7 063 15 033 8054 7702 4 349 6 040 7 061 15 033 7702 7457 4 353 6 041 6 060 13 029 7457 7307 3 355 5 041 5*057 10 016 7307 7221 3 359 4 043 3*055 6*000 7221 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography