DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.9 - - 53.8 - - 58.5 - - 51.9 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 70 - - 185 - - 5 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 683 - - 1967 - - 823 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7207 - - 8237 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7889 - - 9174 - - 8030 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 857 - - 855 - - 698 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 157 - - 306 - - 74 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 209 - - 239 - - 232 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -14 - - -24 - - -32 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3943 - - -6170 - - -6535 - - -5211 - - -3508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11166 - - 14060 - - 15710 - - 13241 - - 10732 sfcLCL ODpotential -14049 - - -13417 - - -12753 - - -11850 - - -12342 ODpotential blCL 21272 - - 21306 - - 21927 - - 19880 - - 19565 blCL maxRH 62 - - 67 - - 78 - - 30 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.9 - - 53.8 - - 58.5 - - 51.9 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.3 - - 18.1 - - 15.3 - - 19.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 53.3 - - 57.3 - - 52.0 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 17.0 - - 14.6 - - 19.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 70 - - 185 - - 5 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 683 - - 1967 - - 823 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96161 35 291 41 285 44 286 41 282 43 291 96161 89155 23 307 19 271 26 276 29 291 30 302 89155 83749 18 310 11 269 16 264 17 287 23 285 83749 79252 10 279 14 281 17 275 11 265 17 272 79252 75362 9 261 16 280 19 273 12 275 13 286 75362 71903 9 274 15 279 17 267 16 273 16 302 71903 68745 9 295 12 278 18 251 23 264 26 297 68745 65829 11 293 11 261 20 242 26 256 30 277 65829 63120 17 279 15 275 20 248 25 250 31 256 63120 60502 26 268 24 282 24 265 27 257 35 242 60502 57783 29 265 27 280 25 264 31 255 36 240 57783 54967 32 275 36 281 33 274 37 262 39 250 54967 52282 34 278 42 273 44 266 46 262 46 262 52282 49870 34 280 41 270 47 264 54 262 55 262 49870 47703 42 287 44 274 51 265 57 261 58 266 47703 45734 52 287 53 278 57 273 61 270 66 269 45734 43945 54 285 57 279 61 276 63 272 63 269 43945 42308 52 284 55 280 60 271 61 272 54 273 42308 40784 51 283 58 282 60 273 60 273 51 277 40784 39351 50 283 58 281 60 277 55 279 46 277 39351 38002 48 285 59 283 55 280 46 284 44 274 38002 36714 43 286 56 282 52 281 41 287 42 272 36714 35427 44 290 48 279 51 283 38 289 41 272 35427 34115 45 294 42 283 46 281 35 290 38 273 34115 32785 43 297 41 289 39 279 33 289 39 275 32785 31424 39 298 39 292 34 275 34 283 39 273 31424 30022 32 297 36 295 32 272 33 266 37 259 30022 28586 26 297 32 297 26 276 32 260 32 257 28586 27115 20 298 28 291 22 285 25 263 28 259 27115 25611 19 300 24 284 21 282 22 264 26 257 25611 24077 18 301 22 280 20 273 23 267 26 260 24077 22512 14 300 18 278 19 267 22 267 26 264 22512 20912 9 293 14 271 16 264 20 264 25 266 20912 19305 8 287 13 274 15 268 18 265 24 264 19305 17770 7 296 13 281 14 274 17 269 21 260 17770 16373 4 314 11 284 13 274 16 271 17 255 16373 15122 2 344 9 282 11 269 13 268 15 250 15122 13995 1 000 7 278 10 263 11 263 14 247 13995 12974 1 302 6 271 9 260 10 258 13 243 12974 12047 2 272 5 266 8 258 10 256 12 238 12047 11206 2 233 5 263 7 258 10 256 12 231 11206 10449 2 173 6 253 9 245 13 253 12 225 10449 9765 3 160 6 237 12*238 17 243 13 224 9765 9139 3 160 8 230 13*238 20 234 17 227 9139 8576 5 172 11 218 14 239 20 231 21 231 8576 8098 7 167 12*209 14 239 19*231 24 231 8098 7728 10 164 11*209 13 239 18*232 23 231 7728 7470 11 171 9 209 13 239 16 232 19 234 7470 7313 10*178 8 208 11 238 13 232 14*236 7313 7223 5*218 6 208 8 238 8 233 7*237 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography