DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 36.0 - - 38.7 - - 35.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 43 - - 71 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 694 - - 1403 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7900 - - 8609 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 531 - - 1086 - - 1140 - - 2066 - - 488 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 138 - - 206 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 110 - - 100 - - 065 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 9 - - 15 - - 6 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 678 - - 1387 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -4271 - - -2427 - - -1115 - - -743 - - -4406 ODpotential blCL 11493 - - 10327 - - 9724 - - 7965 - - 11628 blCL maxRH 88 - - 86 - - 90 - - 94 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 36.0 - - 38.7 - - 35.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 32.1 - - 34.3 - - 33.4 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 35.7 - - 38.1 - - 36.0 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 31.1 - - 33.1 - - 32.9 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 43 - - 71 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 694 - - 1403 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 43 - - 61 - - 77 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96813 16 116 16 087 16 104 17 097 10 135 96813 89700 12 100 13 093 8 089 14 109 11 106 89700 84195 12 078 9 080 9 070 10 089 7 052 84195 79621 17 080 10 110 8 063 11 070 12 068 79621 75655 18 069 14 109 7 103 10 057 13 061 75655 72124 13 065 11 097 7 109 8 102 10 054 72124 68917 9 063 7 082 4 082 6 078 11 035 68917 65968 6 007 7 038 4 045 7 346 9 004 65968 63229 10 348 12 020 5 019 10 340 5 352 63229 60562 13 337 13 004 7 357 13 349 14 356 60562 57777 15 341 16 002 9 002 12 351 22 346 57777 54889 17 359 23 005 22 011 21 013 19 008 54889 52119 23 004 32 010 35 010 34 011 35 017 52119 49619 30 014 37 013 44 010 45 005 46 008 49619 47378 39 018 39 013 48 012 49 008 50 009 47378 45344 44 019 43 015 52 013 54 013 55 010 45344 43477 45 020 45 018 52 014 55 013 57 012 43477 41748 47 024 46 023 52 017 59 014 61 014 41748 40134 50 025 50 025 52 020 62 013 69 014 40134 38622 48 024 54 024 54 020 63 013 78 010 38622 37207 47 023 53 023 54 019 62 011 76 008 37207 35864 36 025 51 024 53 015 59 011 67 006 35864 34537 29 030 44 025 47 016 53 011 58 007 34537 33203 24 028 39 034 42 020 46 009 49 007 33203 31867 23 064 31 041 35 034 36 015 40 007 31867 30519 30 089 23 061 29 046 28 037 33 000 30519 29149 29 105 19 067 23 051 27 046 24 001 29149 27752 29 113 16 088 18 047 24 043 18 014 27752 26325 26 114 18 108 14 059 18 035 17 017 26325 24873 23 113 17 119 11 081 11 045 15 007 24873 23400 21 112 17 130 9 096 6 068 13 348 23400 21903 20 110 17 136 9 105 4 079 14 350 21903 20371 20 107 16 134 8 105 5 084 14 002 20371 18833 20 105 14 126 7 101 8 082 14 017 18833 17361 20 104 14 118 7 103 9 078 13 022 17361 16021 20 103 13 117 6 114 7 073 11 020 16021 14822 20 104 12 119 6 129 4 064 7 018 14822 13742 19 106 12 123 7 135 3 089 3 031 13742 12764 18 110 13 127 10 134 5 128 1 098 12764 11878 17 116 15 132 12 132 9 135 2 132 11878 11073 17 124 17 136 14 132 11 133 3 144 11073 10347 18 130 18 139 14 131 12 131 4 153 10347 9688 19 135 19 140 14 127 12 122 6 151 9688 9085 21 137 19 137 13*118 12 105 9 148 9085 8540 22 138 17 131 12*107 12 086 12 147 8540 8077 22 137 13*122 11 102 12 077 14 145 8077 7716 20 138 10*114 10 099 11 073 13 146 7716 7464 15 142 8 110 10 097 10 069 11 150 7464 7311 11*149 7 108 9 095 8 067 7*159 7311 7222 4*177 5 105 6 093 5*065 3*226 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography