DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.6 - - 34.5 - - 37.8 - - 38.2 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 60 - - 73 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1354 - - 3247 - - 2662 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 8708 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8560 - - 10454 - - 9868 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 1804 - - 1551 - - 1709 - - 1483 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 192 - - 278 - - 152 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 254 - - 217 - - 292 - - 025 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -11 - - -5 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1253 - - 2011 - - 1726 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7308 - - 8444 - - 8143 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -3705 - - -2382 - - -396 - - -707 - - -3436 ODpotential blCL 10927 - - 10942 - - 10850 - - 10575 - - 10658 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 80 - - 83 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.6 - - 34.5 - - 37.8 - - 38.2 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.9 - - 27.7 - - 26.1 - - 27.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.3 - - 33.8 - - 37.0 - - 38.1 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 26.5 - - 25.0 - - 26.7 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 60 - - 73 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1354 - - 3247 - - 2662 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 2 - - 18 - - 30 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96244 17 310 17 333 11 316 10 306 14 315 96244 89126 8 289 14 304 16 308 20 331 20 336 89126 83680 10 296 4 324 7 305 12 319 13 341 83680 79178 14 321 18 343 17 337 21 333 15 349 79178 75301 17 309 22 315 20 307 25 317 20 348 75301 71866 17 302 20 308 25 305 28 304 29 325 71866 68752 31 303 29 311 29 301 27 291 33 304 68752 65870 39 293 35 299 30 293 28 287 32 290 65870 63173 43 281 34 283 41 288 40 286 40 285 63173 60546 43 279 38 280 52 277 45 280 41 279 60546 57788 45 284 49 281 53 275 46 282 44 277 57788 54903 48 283 53 281 50 274 48 281 46 275 54903 52133 51 283 52 281 55 281 54 284 47 280 52133 49623 59 281 49 278 62 278 64 281 51 281 49623 47353 62 278 44 282 63 276 63 279 48 285 47353 45277 60 277 52 291 54 283 59 283 57 293 45277 43372 61 278 61 291 57 287 60 288 66 293 43372 41624 62 274 63 291 63 284 62 289 66 291 41624 40018 58 276 62 290 62 285 63 285 58 289 40018 38535 54 283 59 292 58 289 50 287 45 298 38535 37161 55 285 59 297 51 296 42 304 42 315 37161 35861 49 290 58 297 51 306 42 315 46 321 35861 34568 56 302 52 301 50 308 45 325 48 319 34568 33257 63 293 50 306 45 307 49 327 46 324 33257 31937 62 282 48 310 39 312 50 324 46 330 31937 30596 56 278 49 312 37 323 43 326 43 331 30596 29224 49 281 47 317 37 329 38 335 39 333 29224 27819 42 283 47 325 39 329 39 341 37 336 27819 26381 33 286 42 326 40 329 37 341 35 336 26381 24917 25 289 29 324 39 333 34 340 34 337 24917 23431 21 289 19 335 36 333 34 338 31 341 23431 21918 18 288 19 342 28 336 33 334 28 345 21918 20372 19 280 21 335 23 344 31 331 28 344 20372 18823 20 278 18 331 21 347 28 331 28 339 18823 17344 19 280 15 340 18 351 25 333 27 334 17344 16001 15 280 14 346 14 359 21 335 25 335 16001 14800 13 280 11 336 11 008 17 336 22 339 14800 13718 12 279 7 315 8 013 12 338 18 344 13718 12740 11 276 5 294 6 013 7 007 14 351 12740 11853 11 273 5 284 5 012 6 053 8 013 11853 11051 9 271 4 274 4*357 6 058 7 063 11051 10328 8 275 3 250 3*314 5*039 9 086 10328 9674 6 290 3 225 4 298 4*033 11 086 9674 9075 6 312 3*225 4 293 4 028 11 078 9075 8535 6 319 5*221 4 288 4 024 11 066 8535 8074 6 307 6 218 4 285 4 023 10 054 8074 7715 6 281 6 217 4 285 4 021 9 048 7715 7464 6 262 5 215 4 284 4 021 8 046 7464 7311 6*253 5 216 4 284 3 021 6*045 7311 7222 4*254 3 214 3 284 3 020 3*026 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography