DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.4 - - 37.6 - - 41.4 - - 39.5 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 167 - - 219 - - 68 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2038 - - 2196 - - 1778 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8266 - - 8476 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 9244 - - 9402 - - 8984 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3303 - - 1178 - - 1068 - - 1150 - - 1301 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 304 - - 341 - - 214 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 000 - - 019 - - 062 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - 6 - - 19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1486 - - -727 - - -896 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7758 - - 10130 - - 9880 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -412 - - -1551 - - -6558 - - -8195 - - -6239 ODpotential blCL 7634 - - 10795 - - 15960 - - 17179 - - 13461 blCL maxRH 98 - - 83 - - 53 - - 57 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.4 - - 37.6 - - 41.4 - - 39.5 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 28.9 - - 22.4 - - 21.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 36.4 - - 40.1 - - 38.9 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 27.7 - - 21.2 - - 21.1 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 167 - - 219 - - 68 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2038 - - 2196 - - 1778 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97350 6 113 3 280 9 315 3 335 4 235 97350 90116 8 036 4 014 9 355 9 022 7 048 90116 84566 14 026 4 049 8 343 15 009 14 042 84566 79970 13 017 6 059 3 001 13 337 17 028 79970 76006 12 337 8 043 2 046 8 306 11 004 76006 72497 13 294 7 359 5 082 2 253 3 304 72497 69306 11 261 7 343 6 317 7 291 5 287 69306 66348 9 219 6 290 3 253 7 263 7 262 66348 63579 5 245 10 278 6 311 7 278 8 251 63579 60876 15 258 18 271 16 283 9 281 14 266 60876 58051 19 254 14 259 14 274 15 293 16 274 58051 55113 18 262 12 289 18 280 23 295 20 289 55113 52295 18 281 20 285 22 290 28 290 24 296 52295 49755 18 283 17 278 24 290 26 300 24 313 49755 47478 20 294 12 299 19 296 27 314 35 322 47478 45423 23 301 19 323 12 325 32 322 47 322 45423 43569 24 307 27 336 27 342 38 324 48 331 43569 41887 29 329 36 333 38 328 37 331 45 345 41887 40330 39 334 42 343 45 354 43 002 46 360 40330 38873 45 342 56 357 59 006 62 005 54 004 38873 37511 53 352 68 002 70 005 69 005 61 004 37511 36215 54 354 74 004 78 009 72 008 66 005 36215 34924 53 357 79 007 88 011 78 012 70 004 34924 33612 54 359 86 007 95 009 82 013 73 006 33612 32283 56 000 90 007 95 006 85 012 75 010 32283 30926 60 001 85 009 91 004 84 011 75 009 30926 29534 64 002 76 011 86 005 81 009 72 005 29534 28107 66 001 71 012 81 008 78 006 69 003 28107 26650 63 358 68 013 73 012 72 007 69 003 26650 25166 56 357 63 014 68 016 65 008 70 005 25166 23657 50 358 59 013 68 017 58 014 69 011 23657 22119 47 360 57 012 64 017 55 024 66 019 22119 20548 45 000 54 012 58 017 55 029 64 030 20548 18969 42 001 49 012 50 019 54 028 63 040 18969 17460 39 002 42 013 44 020 51 028 57 042 17460 16088 36 001 37 014 39 022 46 029 50 040 16088 14862 33 359 32 015 34 022 38 032 45 039 14862 13762 30 357 28 015 29 023 31 035 39 043 13762 12769 26 355 25 013 24 023 26 040 35 050 12769 11871 24 354 22 011 20 024 23 046 33 058 11871 11059 20 349 20 008 16 023 21 051 32 065 11059 10329 16 341 17 004 13 020 19 057 31 070 10329 9671 15 335 15*002 11*018 18 061 29 073 9671 9070 14 334 12*360 10*018 17*062 28 076 9070 8529 14 334 11 360 10 019 17*061 27 077 8529 8070 13 334 10 000 10 019 17 062 25 076 8070 7712 11 333 10 001 9 020 16 062 23 074 7712 7463 9 330 9 001 9 021 15 062 18 070 7463 7310 7*327 8 002 8 021 12 062 14*067 7310 7222 4*324 6 002 6 022 8 063 6*063 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography