DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 60.2 - - 63.5 - - 60.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 226 - - 381 - - 226 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3445 - - 4947 - - 2021 - - 356 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 9427 - - 10769 - - 8358 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 10652 - - 12154 - - 9229 - - 7563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1010 - - 2828 - - 3869 - - 3080 - - 828 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 405 - - 536 - - 334 - - 35 W* B/S 2 - - 22 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 232 - - 237 - - 268 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -15 - - -36 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4064 - - -2816 - - -1357 - - -2179 - - -1576 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11288 - - 13468 - - 13511 - - 11409 - - 9139 sfcLCL ODpotential -8534 - - -8117 - - -3936 - - -5037 - - -5953 ODpotential blCL 15757 - - 18769 - - 16090 - - 14266 - - 13516 blCL maxRH 78 - - 75 - - 70 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 60.2 - - 63.5 - - 60.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 26.3 - - 29.2 - - 35.3 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 58.6 - - 61.2 - - 58.7 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 25.0 - - 28.1 - - 34.2 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 226 - - 381 - - 226 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3445 - - 4947 - - 2021 - - 356 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98521 22 114 13 125 15 150 8 131 6 127 98521 91023 13 131 8 133 5 144 7 092 18 116 91023 85257 6 109 7 169 6 106 2 118 8 066 85257 80492 1 184 5 184 3 117 2 178 1 073 80492 76396 2 219 5 183 4 188 4 225 3 170 76396 72770 2 192 7 197 5 230 5 217 1 189 72770 69475 2 273 7 199 6 274 7 222 4 278 69475 66440 4 284 6 215 8 291 6 233 7 264 66440 63621 7 256 10 259 13 280 9 273 8 290 63621 60885 7 248 12 276 18 259 17 274 14 294 60885 58035 9 277 13 277 17 244 22 268 18 277 58035 55093 16 291 13 263 13 252 21 261 19 260 55093 52299 19 286 14 262 13 273 17 258 17 253 52299 49798 21 277 17 281 15 262 17 264 17 260 49798 47571 24 263 22 287 16 250 18 268 17 271 47571 45563 21 249 22 278 14 261 16 264 17 274 45563 43739 18 246 20 257 15 281 11 268 13 268 43739 42075 15 247 17 239 17 273 13 287 10 268 42075 40545 14 255 16 231 17 250 17 286 11 282 40545 39118 15 260 14 244 16 246 17 277 14 279 39118 37778 14 254 13 249 12 257 13 271 12 264 37778 36496 12 255 12 246 12 268 12 275 11 263 36496 35213 12 263 11 251 12 283 10 288 10 283 35213 33903 12 266 10 260 10 294 8 309 8 297 33903 32572 12 273 7 277 8 302 6 312 5 288 32572 31209 9 278 5 290 6 308 4 312 4 288 31209 29808 4 284 1 297 4 301 3 300 4 301 29808 28373 3 016 4 080 1 123 1 194 3 292 28373 26906 4 047 6 084 5 112 3 146 2 247 26906 25412 4 085 5 111 4 134 2 149 2 190 25412 23895 2 071 4 142 4 191 1 145 2 153 23895 22348 1 141 6 140 6 186 5 175 2 206 22348 20768 2 030 8 132 10 165 12 164 10 182 20768 19185 11 227 6 167 10 163 15 167 18 172 19185 17674 24 212 15 209 11 190 18 164 19 162 17674 16299 25 206 22 210 18 198 17 155 18 149 16299 15068 20 198 21 206 21 196 14 154 17 144 15068 13957 18 188 19 197 19 193 12 161 14 150 13957 12949 15 183 17 188 15*193 12 179 12 163 12949 12032 12 185 14 181 11*196 12 194 12 183 12032 11199 9 193 10*182 8 211 13 206 14 203 11199 10447 6 210 6*195 8 217 13 217 16 220 10447 9766 4 241 3 223 9 245 12*237 18 234 9766 9143 5 267 3 236 9 251 14*263 16 247 9143 8581 7 273 3 243 10 253 15 267 15 265 8581 8104 9 273 3 246 10 255 15 269 14 273 8104 7733 9 266 3 248 10 256 15 269 13*275 7733 7474 7 257 3 249 10 256 14 269 11*275 7474 7315 6*255 3 246 9 257 13 269 9 274 7315 7224 2*256 2 246 7 256 9 269 5 274 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography