DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.4 - - 39.8 - - 47.8 - - 45.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 109 - - 218 - - 24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 882 - - 3203 - - 1981 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 9203 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8088 - - 10410 - - 9187 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 913 - - 698 - - 1139 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 200 - - 381 - - 155 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 120 - - 231 - - 290 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 5 - - -6 - - -11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -412 - - -810 - - -322 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 8501 - - 11220 - - 9509 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -8831 - - -8720 - - -8119 - - -7178 - - -8046 ODpotential blCL 16053 - - 16808 - - 18529 - - 16365 - - 15269 blCL maxRH 73 - - 65 - - 64 - - 82 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.4 - - 39.8 - - 47.8 - - 45.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 27.9 - - 23.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 38.8 - - 46.3 - - 45.1 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 26.7 - - 23.2 - - 28.5 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 109 - - 218 - - 24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 882 - - 3203 - - 1981 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96538 31 281 40 291 30 286 36 277 45 294 96538 89557 14 290 20 294 28 288 15 300 28 285 89557 84103 15 288 15 286 23 284 13 323 21 294 84103 79531 20 280 16 274 19 273 21 291 22 307 79531 75585 20 278 16 281 13 259 22 274 20 300 75585 72092 23 271 13 294 6 282 12 273 15 286 72092 68915 21 280 18 288 13 310 10 300 13 275 68915 65979 18 281 19 276 16 308 12 304 9 277 65979 63247 14 306 12 266 18 298 16 291 18 309 63247 60597 24 303 18 295 20 292 21 290 18 303 60597 57828 26 305 21 300 20 294 23 293 25 310 57828 54956 34 317 29 310 27 299 35 288 36 289 54956 52220 44 303 34 308 36 296 38 291 36 284 52220 49750 44 308 46 301 43 298 37 299 37 287 49750 47529 47 309 43 296 43 297 40 300 38 289 47529 45510 48 302 33 296 41 297 45 296 37 292 45510 43656 48 310 37 312 44 299 52 290 40 300 43656 41945 54 323 49 310 49 301 51 290 48 293 41945 40370 60 323 56 311 54 305 51 294 55 285 40370 38918 64 324 56 314 56 309 50 296 53 281 38918 37572 71 323 55 322 54 311 47 298 54 282 37572 36289 79 318 58 324 51 315 45 299 53 282 36289 35009 83 317 60 319 48 317 43 299 50 283 35009 33705 79 320 58 319 46 317 40 300 47 287 33705 32381 73 327 57 321 43 316 36 300 43 289 32381 31026 75 328 56 321 43 315 33 300 40 290 31026 29632 77 328 56 321 43 314 33 300 38 290 29632 28204 76 328 54 324 40 318 34 304 37 290 28204 26743 75 331 52 327 38 320 34 308 37 291 26743 25254 71 338 49 328 36 319 32 305 36 293 25254 23741 62 342 48 335 35 320 29 300 31 297 23741 22198 54 345 43 343 32 324 26 302 25 297 22198 20620 48 347 33 346 27 329 24 304 22 293 20620 19035 40 348 25 351 23 326 24 305 21 295 19035 17520 33 354 21 352 20 322 23 309 22 304 17520 16144 26 000 17 349 18 320 21 317 21 313 16144 14914 20 002 14 345 15 321 19 324 19 319 14914 13809 17 000 11 342 13 323 16 330 15 324 13809 12811 15 003 9 341 11 324 13 333 12 329 12811 11909 13 009 7 334 9 317 11 334 9 330 11909 11095 10 014 5 316 6*276 8 333 7 320 11095 10362 8 017 4 298 6*244 5 321 4 318 10362 9701 5 018 1 276 6 239 5*310 4 344 9701 9095 3 010 2 130 6 233 6*301 4 354 9095 8548 2 356 5*121 6 229 8 291 5 347 8548 8083 0 245 6*120 6 224 8 289 5 331 8083 7719 2 167 6 121 5 222 8 288 6 317 7719 7466 2 146 5 121 5 218 8 287 6 306 7466 7311 0*190 5 119 4 219 7 286 5*297 7311 7223 1*290 4 118 4 218 5 287 4*289 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography