DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 61.3 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 318 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1700 - - 2328 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8119 - - 8669 - - - - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8907 - - 9535 - - - - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1014 - - 1181 - - - - - 195 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 386 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 115 - - - - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 20 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4838 - - -5962 - - - - - -4279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13746 - - 15498 - - - - - 11502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12095 - - -12232 - - - - - -14609 ODpotential blCL - - - 21002 - - 21767 - - - - - 21832 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 25 - - - - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 61.3 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 19.0 - - - - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 59.4 - - - - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 18.7 - - - - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 318 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1700 - - 2328 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97602 6 311 3 322 15 285 97602 90372 3 182 5 235 8 062 90372 84809 4 191 7 224 8 035 84809 80190 4 169 5 218 6 030 80190 76210 7 143 4 213 5 013 76210 72688 6 069 6 170 6 331 72688 69503 2 000 2 205 7 303 69503 66580 3 289 3 235 8 283 66580 63880 3 314 3 128 9 246 63880 61274 13 323 9 338 8 254 61274 58547 15 339 13 353 3 267 58547 55726 27 325 25 326 26 338 55726 53063 23 331 21 333 25 345 53063 50658 36 357 31 359 27 008 50658 48477 49 359 44 359 39 009 48477 46484 56 356 52 356 46 006 46484 44651 61 352 58 357 51 005 44651 42953 65 357 60 000 54 009 42953 41370 66 003 61 005 54 011 41370 39886 59 016 55 014 49 020 39886 38500 57 029 47 029 43 032 38500 37189 52 033 42 039 40 043 37189 35889 51 047 44 052 33 050 35889 34566 57 058 48 061 30 065 34566 33219 59 063 48 060 35 076 33219 31838 57 062 44 055 38 080 31838 30416 54 061 41 052 40 076 30416 28955 50 063 42 053 38 070 28955 27454 47 063 40 056 35 067 27454 25921 43 062 38 067 32 067 25921 24359 36 059 35 074 31 069 24359 22764 31 058 32 072 28 070 22764 21131 29 059 29 071 24 073 21131 19484 27 061 26 071 21 081 19484 17904 25 066 23 071 21 088 17904 16469 25 074 21 073 22 094 16469 15187 27 086 21 080 24 097 15187 14038 29 097 23 090 28 100 14038 13001 30 104 25 100 31 103 13001 12065 31 108 27 108 33 106 12065 11219 31 110 27 114 33 109 11219 10459 31 112 26 117 33 109 10459 9773 29 113 22*118 34 107 9773 9147 25*114 21*117 34 102 9147 8583 22*113 20 116 33 097 8583 8104 20 113 19 115 30 094 8104 7732 19 112 18 115 26 092 7732 7473 17 111 17 114 20 090 7473 7314 15 111 15 113 14*084 7314 7223 10 109 10 112 4*056 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography