DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.1 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 - - 43.0 - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - -10 - - -6 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 62 - - 220 - - 421 - - 330 - - 65 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 297 - - 240 - - 246 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -14 - - -9 - - -11 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7220 - - -6459 - - -7396 - - -7457 - - -7582 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14444 - - 13682 - - 14620 - - 14680 - - 14806 sfcLCL ODpotential -16954 - - -14933 - - -15334 - - -16133 - - -17485 ODpotential blCL 24177 - - 22156 - - 22557 - - 23356 - - 24708 blCL maxRH 33 - - 21 - - 19 - - 29 - - 16 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.1 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 - - 43.0 - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.9 - - 9.2 - - 8.0 - - 5.4 - - 1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 49.2 - - 50.9 - - 49.8 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.8 - - 8.0 - - 7.1 - - 4.2 - - 0.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - -10 - - -6 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 28 358 26 337 30 343 27 353 24 336 96429 89436 24 357 19 017 12 353 17 335 24 347 89436 83959 17 014 23 039 13 035 6 350 20 355 83959 79381 9 032 15 042 15 029 12 010 21 015 79381 75429 14 049 8 065 9 012 14 336 24 008 75429 71917 24 022 13 034 16 008 15 354 22 010 71917 68731 13 351 16 360 24 002 23 008 18 009 68731 65818 12 326 23 332 28 346 35 004 22 016 65818 63135 18 000 18 328 24 331 33 345 28 358 63135 60547 23 001 23 346 21 333 28 334 26 340 60547 57848 25 343 23 340 19 340 26 338 24 338 57848 55043 21 322 24 320 22 337 23 335 22 335 55043 52357 18 318 23 318 21 320 22 329 19 332 52357 49932 17 324 18 321 17 309 20 317 18 330 49932 47755 14 318 17 319 16 288 19 304 18 330 47755 45781 12 315 15 320 13 285 17 297 16 330 45781 43974 11 318 13 322 10 290 11 286 15 329 43974 42312 11 334 11 309 7 276 5 276 12 284 42312 40772 13 320 15 290 7 256 11 257 18 239 40772 39333 14 288 24 276 13 281 13 279 17 218 39333 37983 20 259 22 260 19 256 16 277 9 217 37983 36695 21 249 20 249 19 245 19 267 8 262 36695 35408 20 252 17 256 17 251 21 263 11 259 35408 34095 22 259 19 263 17 258 24 259 16 253 34095 32761 23 259 22 263 19 260 25 260 19 256 32761 31395 25 262 24 262 23 260 28 262 20 269 31395 29992 27 267 23 259 27 262 30 264 26 277 29992 28554 24 269 23 254 29 258 31 267 30 280 28554 27083 25 273 25 260 28 259 29 267 29 279 27083 25580 25 286 28 267 28 271 29 271 29 287 25580 24050 23 301 24 277 26 282 28 283 25 300 24050 22491 22 309 18 293 21 291 24 295 20 316 22491 20898 24 310 16 306 17 299 19 303 18 321 20898 19295 24 311 16 311 16 304 16 307 17 319 19295 17761 22 313 16 314 17 307 16 312 16 319 17761 16365 19 317 16 317 18 311 16 319 16 325 16365 15115 16 321 16 319 18 315 16 324 16 331 15115 13990 14 323 15 320 18 319 17 331 17 336 13990 12972 13 322 14 322 17 323 17 335 16 340 12972 12048 12 322 13 324 15 327 16 341 16 344 12048 11211 12 322 11 328 13 331 14 345 15 348 11211 10455 11 325 10 334 11 337 12 351 13 353 10455 9772 11 328 8 343 9 343 10 357 12 359 9772 9146 10 332 7 355 7 348 8 007 11 008 9146 8583 10 337 6 014 5 360 6 026 9 020 8583 8104 9 343 6 035 4 033 5 063 7 038 8104 7731 9 346 5 053 3 076 5 091 6 065 7731 7472 7 345 4 060 3 100 3 107 5 081 7472 7314 6*341 2*057 1*177 2*156 4*100 7314 7223 5*317 2*297 2*240 1*246 1*285 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography