DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.4 - - 62.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 466 - - 234 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3923 - - 4901 - - 3769 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9908 - - 10788 - - 9652 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11130 - - 12109 - - 10977 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 986 - - 1057 - - 1290 - - 1767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 563 - - 410 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 237 - - 243 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -15 - - -22 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1602 - - -2233 - - -2925 - - -3524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12732 - - 14343 - - 13903 - - 10748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8048 - - -7580 - - -7938 - - -10166 ODpotential blCL - - - 19178 - - 19689 - - 18915 - - 17390 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 54 - - 42 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.4 - - 62.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.4 - - 25.6 - - 26.2 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 60.8 - - 60.4 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 25.1 - - 25.8 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 466 - - 234 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3923 - - 4901 - - 3769 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98860 6 139 2 101 13 133 10 196 98860 91447 9 160 4 201 3 130 7 076 91447 85717 9 119 10 161 3 046 12 050 85717 80962 10 091 13 116 8 061 12 062 80962 76869 10 070 17 098 9 062 13 079 76869 73254 11 069 14 092 5 081 9 076 73254 69988 10 066 13 097 7 095 8 077 69988 66983 4 118 5 098 3 043 7 049 66983 64187 4 117 5 173 3 301 4 004 64187 61470 11 233 16 233 13 236 9 252 61470 58640 11 223 17 223 17 246 17 259 58640 55714 21 267 21 261 25 256 26 260 55714 52931 32 266 29 269 32 259 34 256 52931 50428 38 256 37 262 37 262 39 256 50428 48184 39 249 40 259 42 261 45 255 48184 46154 39 249 39 257 45 259 47 255 46154 44301 38 252 41 259 44 259 50 254 44301 42594 39 253 44 259 40 260 47 254 42594 41015 39 257 41 261 35 262 42 255 41015 39547 41 263 39 270 34 272 38 263 39547 38180 43 264 41 276 35 284 37 273 38180 36878 40 263 42 277 36 289 37 274 36878 35575 37 266 43 272 36 291 34 275 35575 34245 36 267 44 268 37 285 34 276 34245 32896 35 270 42 269 43 282 37 276 32896 31518 33 272 40 269 44 281 37 278 31518 30101 32 274 37 270 43 282 35 279 30101 28647 32 276 36 274 40 282 33 277 28647 27158 31 276 34 273 38 281 32 275 27158 25640 30 277 31 271 35 278 31 275 25640 24096 29 276 29 270 32 274 30 275 24096 22524 28 276 28 272 29 274 27 275 22524 20920 25 277 26 275 26 274 24 273 20920 19309 23 277 24 274 24 273 23 271 19309 17769 24 276 23 276 21 273 21 271 17769 16369 25 276 20 281 17 273 17 269 16369 15116 23 273 17 279 11 272 12 263 15116 13989 20 265 14 258 10 246 9 242 13989 12970 18 252 12*234 11 218 11 217 12970 12046 16 240 11*230 10 217 14 207 12046 11209 13*228 11 232 10*227 16 204 11209 10455 12*221 12 234 10*233 16 203 10455 9773 12 220 12 236 11 239 13 204 9773 9149 12 219 12 238 12 243 10 216 9149 8587 11 218 12 240 12 245 8 238 8587 8108 11 217 12 241 12 246 9 251 8108 7735 10 216 12 242 12 247 9 258 7735 7475 9 216 11 242 11 247 8 261 7475 7315 8 215 10 242 10 247 6*262 7315 7224 6 214 8 243 7 247 4*264 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography