DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - -2 - - 27 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1170 - - 842 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 10180 - - 9852 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 766 - - 2768 - - 1262 - - 1311 - - 2260 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 16 - - 150 - - 68 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 277 - - 288 - - 295 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 24 - - 30 - - 29 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 9 - - 14 - - -10 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -201 - - -40 - - 2085 - - 2232 - - -767 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7364 - - 7202 - - 8095 - - 7620 - - 7930 sfcLCL ODpotential -9799 - - -7301 - - -4956 - - -4905 - - -7088 ODpotential blCL 16961 - - 14463 - - 15136 - - 14757 - - 14250 blCL maxRH 57 - - 66 - - 64 - - 75 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.4 - - 30.9 - - 30.6 - - 29.9 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 42.5 - - 45.7 - - 44.4 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.2 - - 29.7 - - 29.5 - - 28.7 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - -2 - - 27 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1170 - - 842 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96130 17 047 11 025 9 074 11 084 11 046 96130 89028 13 021 9 042 6 050 6 058 12 012 89028 83536 10 015 6 044 4 014 11 026 13 026 83536 78952 4 348 4 103 9 293 11 359 10 013 78952 74975 9 360 5 337 8 306 12 356 9 339 74975 71436 10 348 10 348 13 288 16 335 7 320 71436 68208 17 320 16 329 15 270 20 316 12 319 68208 65247 14 320 12 317 9 281 29 301 28 307 65247 62530 10 352 21 318 17 307 31 294 33 292 62530 59929 35 314 26 297 24 313 36 301 34 302 59929 57198 35 297 32 303 32 316 36 314 38 298 57198 54345 24 320 36 308 37 315 37 304 45 289 54345 51617 31 334 37 301 38 297 46 295 53 287 51617 49159 35 312 34 284 45 288 52 290 61 286 49159 46948 32 301 40 286 50 287 59 285 67 283 46948 44934 33 296 48 286 55 283 64 281 70 280 44934 43096 38 306 52 287 59 280 65 284 68 279 43096 41418 47 306 55 293 61 283 64 291 62 284 41418 39871 53 304 60 299 66 289 69 299 73 297 39871 38432 56 304 63 301 71 288 80 295 87 295 38432 37095 57 304 64 299 72 285 82 285 93 289 37095 35826 58 306 63 298 69 285 79 278 89 284 35826 34560 59 308 62 298 65 287 75 281 82 283 34560 33271 60 310 61 299 64 292 77 286 75 287 33271 31964 60 312 60 300 65 296 83 295 71 287 31964 30626 59 312 58 300 66 297 95 307 71 289 30626 29247 58 310 59 299 64 295 97 308 73 293 29247 27835 56 308 61 298 60 292 90 304 74 293 27835 26391 54 307 62 295 57 288 75 296 75 291 26391 24921 52 307 59 292 60 286 65 284 74 289 24921 23428 47 307 55 290 62 284 64 279 71 287 23428 21908 42 306 52 287 62 284 60 278 67 285 21908 20357 39 300 51 286 59 284 57 281 63 284 20357 18803 40 293 51 286 55 284 55 284 57 284 18803 17321 44 291 52 287 52 284 53 286 52 284 17321 15974 47 292 52 288 50 285 51 287 48 284 15974 14771 47 294 51 287 48 286 49 287 45 284 14771 13688 45 293 49 286 48 286 47 289 43 284 13688 12708 42 290 47 284 47 287 45 291 41 286 12708 11818 41 287 46 283 47 288 43 293 39 288 11818 11012 42 284 44 283 45 290 40 295 37 289 11012 10284 42 284 42 284 41*291 36*297 36 291 10284 9626 42 286 38 285 35*291 32*298 34 292 9626 9023 40 289 32 285 28 291 27 297 31 293 9023 8479 34 291 25 283 21 289 22 296 26 293 8479 8016 26 292 17 279 17 286 17 293 20 293 8016 7655 17 295 11 274 14 283 13 290 14 293 7655 7404 8 305 6 265 12 280 10 285 7 294 7404 7250 3*011 3*249 9 279 7 282 3*295 7250 7161 7*097 1*220 6 276 4 277 4*105 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography