DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 63.2 - - 63.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 194 - - 58 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7902 - - 10411 - - 10653 - - 7435 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14285 - - 16587 - - 15670 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16912 - - 19421 - - 19663 - - 16445 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4014 - - 1306 - - 1494 - - 2619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 556 - - 383 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 22 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 214 - - 230 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 20 - - 24 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 19 - - 12 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5781 - - 7071 - - 6639 - - 5503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11131 - - 12350 - - 13024 - - 10943 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2807 - - 3740 - - 3156 - - 1345 ODpotential blCL - - - 14105 - - 15681 - - 16507 - - 15100 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 87 - - 96 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 390 - - 260 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 63.2 - - 63.4 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 33.7 - - 31.1 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 65.7 - - 66.9 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 194 - - 58 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7902 - - 10411 - - 10653 - - 7435 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 48 - - 86 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99472 26 115 29 119 26 106 27 102 99472 91872 29 107 24 117 25 110 23 099 91872 86039 23 106 28 110 16 110 21 102 86039 81224 14 099 24 112 19 123 18 087 81224 77089 12 115 14 095 22 117 13 107 77089 73433 13 099 9 114 18 100 15 127 73433 70115 11 114 8 123 7 121 7 096 70115 67057 10 134 4 176 3 085 5 134 67057 64215 12 147 5 207 1 121 7 140 64215 61450 5 133 10 218 3 239 8 135 61450 58557 6 209 14 212 11 237 5 213 58557 55559 8 249 15 235 16 237 7 239 55559 52696 15 258 18 242 19 241 14 258 52696 50113 19 245 22 236 22 245 19 255 50113 47792 19 244 21 236 23 238 22 244 47792 45687 19 234 19 238 19 230 23 237 45687 43772 21 228 21 239 19 245 23 243 43772 42029 24 223 22 236 21 252 22 251 42029 40436 24 221 21 234 22 255 25 264 40436 38971 23 219 21 234 22 258 26 269 38971 37617 23 222 19 247 20 263 24 281 37617 36334 26 233 21 254 20 276 25 293 36334 35057 31 236 22 249 23 282 24 295 35057 33755 31 233 22 244 25 276 24 292 33755 32432 30 227 22 241 25 272 24 289 32432 31079 27 219 23 238 25 262 23 284 31079 29686 25 216 23 235 26 252 22 275 29686 28260 24 221 24 233 27 248 22 264 28260 26802 26 228 26 230 28 247 24 263 26802 25315 31 228 29 226 29 243 26 257 25315 23803 35 228 32 223 30 235 27 251 23803 22265 36 229 34 223 31 231 26 248 22265 20694 31 227 33*226 35*226 25 248 20694 19119 28 224 27*224 33*223 30 240 19119 17615 27*223 25 221 32 224 30*233 17615 16248 25*227 24 222 29 227 28*230 16248 15022 21 229 23 222 25 230 24 231 15022 13915 20 220 20 219 21 232 21 232 13915 12911 18 209 16 212 18 234 16 232 12911 11997 15 203 15 208 18 235 13 234 11997 11167 13 195 15 203 17 235 11 240 11167 10415 12 187 14 201 17 235 10 247 10415 9733 11 184 14 199 17 235 10 251 9733 9107 11 182 14 198 16 236 10 255 9107 8540 11 181 13 196 16 236 10 258 8540 8057 10 179 13 195 15 235 10 260 8057 7680 10 178 12 193 15 235 9 261 7680 7417 9 178 11 193 14 235 7 260 7417 7256 9 177 11 192 12 235 5 258 7256 7163 7 177 8 191 9 234 3 257 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography