DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.4 - - 71.3 - - 76.9 - - 76.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 298 - - 343 - - 131 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4752 - - 7263 - - 6975 - - 1178 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 12315 - - 14370 - - 13602 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 13762 - - 16273 - - 15985 - - 10188 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4200 - - 1397 - - 1735 - - 2215 - - 3402 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 483 - - 585 - - 423 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 281 - - 285 - - 300 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 22 - - 25 - - 11 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9037 - - -4142 - - -2615 - - -3081 - - -5621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16202 - - 17905 - - 18889 - - 19067 - - 15810 sfcLCL ODpotential -17123 - - -10607 - - -8172 - - -9313 - - -13649 ODpotential blCL 24287 - - 24369 - - 24445 - - 25298 - - 23837 blCL maxRH 50 - - 53 - - 45 - - 48 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.4 - - 71.3 - - 76.9 - - 76.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 17.6 - - 18.5 - - 17.6 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.1 - - 73.1 - - 78.6 - - 79.4 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 16.6 - - 17.4 - - 16.5 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 298 - - 343 - - 131 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4752 - - 7263 - - 6975 - - 1178 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99723 26 110 31 106 26 105 25 113 26 118 99723 92179 30 105 25 111 24 113 23 096 25 101 92179 86364 25 098 24 114 21 114 18 112 23 091 86364 81556 24 105 23 120 14 102 19 112 16 092 81556 77408 17 092 24 112 13 123 15 091 14 110 77408 73737 14 114 15 099 16 114 8 084 11 088 73737 70425 19 086 12 115 10 107 9 098 11 080 70425 67389 11 054 15 096 11 104 3 088 12 056 67389 64572 6 063 9 044 10 065 2 149 7 054 64572 61847 6 090 7 347 10 007 8 030 8 032 61847 59024 15 010 6 330 8 313 13 332 11 345 59024 56128 26 327 15 343 15 307 22 314 22 320 56128 53393 38 314 32 327 24 322 27 314 26 312 53393 50943 43 307 41 314 34 314 32 316 28 309 50943 48747 47 304 47 307 42 308 41 313 35 310 48747 46749 49 308 50 308 43 310 42 317 36 311 46749 44904 56 306 53 310 46 317 45 324 35 318 44904 43186 61 308 56 312 50 318 49 326 42 324 43186 41579 61 306 56 309 51 315 51 323 48 324 41579 40073 58 302 53 307 51 312 51 318 48 320 40073 38667 54 299 50 308 49 309 50 312 46 318 38667 37333 53 301 49 308 47 307 48 310 43 313 37333 36006 55 302 47 306 44 305 45 308 41 307 36006 34657 56 300 48 305 43 303 43 307 40 306 34657 33288 55 300 47 305 43 301 43 306 41 306 33288 31888 53 303 42 306 42 300 43 305 40 304 31888 30447 50 305 37 303 41 299 43 303 38 302 30447 28971 46 307 34 302 39 298 41 301 37 299 28971 27465 42 308 33 302 37 299 39 301 34 297 27465 25929 40 308 32 303 36 300 37 301 32 297 25929 24367 39 308 31 305 34 301 37 301 32 296 24367 22775 37 309 29 309 32 302 35 301 32 295 22775 21146 34 311 28 311 31 305 32 300 30 293 21146 19509 29 311 27 312 30 310 29 303 28 291 19509 17943 26 310 27 312 29 313 25 307 25 291 17943 16520 23 307 26 309 26*313 22*311 23 293 16520 15245 21 304 26 306 20*308 18*311 22 297 15245 14098 18 300 23*304 15 297 14 306 20 301 14098 13058 16 299 18*301 13 289 12 301 19 304 13058 12115 14 298 12 294 12 286 12 298 17 306 12115 11259 13 300 11 289 12 282 12 297 16 308 11259 10486 12 303 10 285 12 280 12 297 15*309 10486 9787 11 307 9 278 12 277 12 296 14*311 9787 9147 10 314 8 269 11 275 12 296 14 315 9147 8568 9 322 8 261 11 272 12 296 14 319 8568 8075 8 331 7 256 11 270 11 296 13 320 8075 7690 6 345 7 251 10 269 11 295 12 321 7690 7422 4 356 6 247 9 268 10 295 9 322 7422 7258 2*005 6 246 9 267 10 296 7 323 7258 7164 1*002 5 243 7 265 8 295 4 327 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography