DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 36.8 - - 39.5 - - 40.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 132 - - 169 - - 117 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3023 - - 5749 - - 6988 - - 6267 - - 531 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 12696 - - 13789 - - 12991 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 12033 - - 14759 - - 15998 - - 15277 - - 9541 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2531 - - 1392 - - 947 - - 1378 - - 4681 Hgt.Variab. W* 219 - - 401 - - 462 - - 394 - - 31 W* B/S 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 322 - - 329 - - 320 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -6 - - -10 - - -12 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 3834 - - 5358 - - 6610 - - 5519 - - 2301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8199 - - 9402 - - 9389 - - 9758 - - 7240 sfcLCL ODpotential -399 - - 1965 - - 3371 - - 1616 - - -1958 ODpotential blCL 12432 - - 12794 - - 12627 - - 13661 - - 11499 blCL maxRH 71 - - 86 - - 100 - - 70 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 36.8 - - 39.5 - - 40.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 20.8 - - 23.5 - - 22.9 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 39.6 - - 42.0 - - 43.5 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 19.7 - - 22.4 - - 22.0 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 132 - - 169 - - 117 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3023 - - 5749 - - 6988 - - 6267 - - 531 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 44 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97383 17 292 13 268 12 299 6 294 14 286 97383 90040 8 285 20 273 21 295 13 310 10 291 90040 84417 5 334 14 276 13 277 16 295 14 302 84417 79767 7 301 12 285 11 244 16 278 16 300 79767 75758 10 275 15 270 13 257 19 273 14 298 75758 72188 14 271 20 256 19 266 20 262 13 281 72188 68934 18 262 19 250 20 258 21 253 18 277 68934 65928 24 259 19 260 20 263 20 250 23 266 65928 63123 24 255 22 264 22 265 21 264 21 265 63123 60390 19 255 24 258 21 257 24 267 19 274 60390 57530 18 264 21 262 20 261 26 274 21 277 57530 54555 21 264 22 271 21 275 25 275 22 285 54555 51717 20 275 20 267 20 282 21 285 22 285 51717 49167 18 287 17 281 18 278 22 288 23 297 49167 46887 13 284 17 282 18 280 25 290 28 297 46887 44828 8 290 16 284 21 281 26 290 25 296 44828 42952 13 303 15 291 22 286 23 298 23 298 42952 41229 18 305 16 308 21 297 22 310 21 310 41229 39641 18 314 19 315 19 312 25 323 23 322 39641 38180 20 309 22 313 21 322 27 332 23 327 38180 36836 21 287 25 302 25 321 30 341 23 340 36836 35570 19 309 25 300 26 319 34 353 29 348 35570 34312 23 314 27 303 26 317 42 357 31 349 34312 33031 24 315 31 302 27 315 42 355 31 351 33031 31729 25 318 31 307 29 311 36 357 30 342 31729 30399 25 322 31 316 32 304 32 355 29 337 30399 29031 24 326 33 321 32 305 32 351 28 339 29031 27628 24 329 32 329 34 303 28 349 25 338 27628 26193 25 331 29 340 34 301 25 334 20 339 26193 24731 25 331 29 351 28 306 31 307 17 324 24731 23246 25 330 29 356 25 313 36 293 19 315 23246 21741 24 326 23 354 26 317 32 288 20 309 21741 20209 22 326 17 347 25 324 29 291 23 300 20209 18675 20 331 14 333 18 320 25 295 24 298 18675 17212 19 330 14 326 15*313 21 296 22 302 17212 15885 16 324 11*330 11*328 13*297 17 304 15885 14700 13 320 8*335 10 339 8*303 11 306 14700 13634 9 318 8 335 8 342 5 321 8 303 13634 12666 7*322 8 331 6 340 5 326 7 300 12666 11787 6*334 7 328 5 335 5 326 7 299 11787 10989 7 345 7 326 5 331 5 325 8 300 10989 10267 7 352 7 321 6 324 6 321 9 301 10267 9614 8 356 6 315 6 318 6 320 11*304 9614 9014 8 000 6 309 7 316 7 319 13*308 9014 8473 8 003 6 305 7 314 7 318 14 312 8473 8013 8 003 6 301 7 312 8 318 14 316 8013 7653 8 002 5 299 7 310 7 318 12 316 7653 7403 6 359 5 297 7 309 7 318 9 316 7403 7250 5 357 5 297 6 308 7 317 7 316 7250 7161 4 355 4 296 5 308 5 318 4 319 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography