DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 74.2 - - 76.2 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 414 - - 193 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6425 - - 8242 - - 9218 - - 6543 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13747 - - 15246 - - 15604 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15435 - - 17252 - - 18228 - - 15553 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1524 - - 1022 - - 977 - - 1398 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 583 - - 648 - - 525 - - 75 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 290 - - 309 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 12 - - 8 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 9 - - 19 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2380 - - 2806 - - 3194 - - 2727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13055 - - 14446 - - 15035 - - 12826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2008 - - 948 - - -267 - - -3529 ODpotential blCL - - - 17443 - - 16304 - - 18495 - - 19082 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 72 - - 76 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 74.2 - - 76.2 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 35.4 - - 34.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 75.3 - - 78.5 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 34.2 - - 33.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 414 - - 193 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6425 - - 8242 - - 9218 - - 6543 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99316 33 110 31 106 30 104 25 102 99316 91777 30 102 26 113 24 100 25 099 91777 85985 24 089 25 114 20 103 21 093 85985 81185 15 099 21 101 21 102 18 090 81185 77062 18 111 12 097 20 095 15 083 77062 73422 17 103 12 119 13 081 12 084 73422 70124 6 066 13 087 12 090 9 076 70124 67091 3 145 4 050 8 063 6 088 67091 64283 2 348 1 293 7 351 6 022 64283 61584 4 334 4 281 8 321 10 323 61584 58780 10 318 12 293 14 318 13 315 58780 55867 16 292 19 293 21 321 18 325 55867 53086 25 303 27 305 30 316 25 322 53086 50594 34 305 31 306 33 311 32 315 50594 48377 37 309 36 311 33 312 34 310 48377 46381 40 309 39 312 37 318 33 314 46381 44567 42 309 37 316 35 319 29 316 44567 42902 38 317 37 329 32 335 24 340 42902 41357 41 329 36 335 33 342 28 352 41357 39911 40 325 35 339 30 341 28 349 39911 38554 30 337 35 341 26 348 26 347 38554 37254 33 358 30 338 25 001 23 345 37254 35951 36 002 26 349 25 001 22 346 35951 34620 34 358 28 003 24 354 22 354 34620 33264 32 350 31 006 24 342 22 359 33264 31873 33 346 34 002 24 333 23 357 31873 30439 35 346 33 360 24 331 23 354 30439 28966 35 349 32 358 24 338 23 352 28966 27458 31 348 30 357 26 347 22 353 27458 25918 23 338 29 356 25 353 20 351 25918 24350 22 324 24 355 21 356 18 346 24350 22754 22 324 19 343 15 352 16 339 22754 21122 21 331 19 331 14 330 15 326 21122 19481 20 332 19 329 15*325 15 323 19481 17915 19 326 16*331 10*331 13 330 17915 16498 17*321 11*326 7 330 6*357 16498 15232 13*319 9 314 7 327 6*071 15232 14093 9 306 9 311 6 322 7 071 14093 13059 7 281 8 305 6 315 7 054 13059 12119 7 274 8 296 7 307 7 032 12119 11265 7 261 7 283 7 301 8 013 11265 10493 7 252 7 274 7 296 9 360 10493 9793 8 247 7 267 7 294 10 350 9793 9152 8 242 7 260 7 290 11 343 9152 8572 8 239 7 254 7 287 12 338 8572 8077 9 236 7 250 7 285 12 333 8077 7692 8 234 7 246 7 284 11 330 7692 7423 8 234 7 245 7 283 9 326 7423 7258 8 232 6 244 6 281 7 323 7258 7163 7 231 6 242 5 281 4 321 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography