DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 38.0 - - 34.2 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -4 - - 3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1031 - - 1960 - - 1530 - - 656 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 305 - - 295 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -7 - - -4 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4161 - - -2503 - - -1892 - - -3345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11323 - - 9666 - - 9055 - - 10508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13537 - - -10584 - - -10362 - - -12457 ODpotential blCL - - - 20699 - - 17746 - - 17524 - - 19619 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 83 - - 85 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 38.0 - - 34.2 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.4 - - 21.4 - - 20.3 - - 11.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 44.5 - - 43.1 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.3 - - 20.3 - - 19.0 - - 12.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -4 - - 3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96220 45 022 53 041 51 052 40 054 96220 89433 39 033 43 040 47 046 38 057 89433 84113 38 047 38 045 39 050 41 066 84113 79569 33 044 35 053 34 060 34 072 79569 75564 21 033 28 028 28 052 23 063 75564 71999 14 037 18 030 25 048 19 047 71999 68776 20 030 21 011 26 019 22 036 68776 65809 18 015 19 004 21 359 20 016 65809 63053 24 016 16 002 26 001 29 007 63053 60401 28 011 22 349 34 331 34 339 60401 57651 34 006 28 001 26 336 29 344 57651 54796 48 347 37 001 24 358 27 359 54796 52055 49 340 41 359 52 358 51 358 52055 49584 49 341 58 341 64 338 56 335 49584 47378 52 340 54 336 50 332 47 335 47378 45369 54 342 50 346 47 348 50 350 45369 43531 50 347 54 346 57 353 58 354 43531 41854 45 349 49 342 59 351 66 355 41854 40326 40 339 40 339 54 350 71 354 40326 38919 34 327 37 329 52 344 71 349 38919 37607 36 319 43 318 45 338 57 343 37607 36358 39 317 44 308 43 342 47 337 36358 35108 36 320 41 306 37 346 42 331 35108 33829 31 322 31 307 27 340 39 328 33829 32524 25 320 30 304 26 337 36 327 32524 31184 22 318 33 303 29 339 35 325 31184 29799 24 314 33 302 28 336 34 325 29799 28373 26 309 32 300 28 327 34 325 28373 26912 25 306 32 301 33 327 31 327 26912 25416 27 306 34 306 35 330 28 328 25416 23892 31 307 37 310 36 326 28 325 23892 22333 32 309 36 311 37 321 31 327 22333 20739 31 311 32 311 35 319 32 333 20739 19137 29 313 28 312 32 320 31 336 19137 17606 27 313 26 314 28 321 29 334 17606 16214 25 313 24 315 25 320 27 330 16214 14970 22 313 23 314 23 317 26 325 14970 13851 20 313 22 312 21 314 25 322 13851 12838 19 313 21 311 20 310 24 320 12838 11921 19 312 21 309 21 308 24 319 11921 11091 19 310 22 308 21 308 23 318 11091 10343 20 309 22 308 21 308 22 319 10343 9667 19 308 22 307 20 309 21 319 9667 9050 19 308 21 308 19 309 19 320 9050 8494 17 310 19 307 15 310 18 321 8494 8023 14 312 15 308 11 310 15 321 8023 7658 10 317 10 307 7 309 12 322 7658 7405 6 323 5 300 3 299 8 324 7405 7250 3*331 3*293 1*215 5*321 7250 7161 2*349 0*215 2*168 1*329 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography