DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.1 - - 39.7 - - 36.4 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 11 - - -7 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1329 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 10339 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2579 - - 947 - - 2512 - - 1555 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 117 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 346 - - 336 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -12 - - -14 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 3178 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6103 - - -456 - - -6101 - - -6963 ODpotential blCL - - - 13265 - - 10795 - - 13263 - - 14125 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 88 - - 79 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.1 - - 39.7 - - 36.4 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 33.9 - - 32.8 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 43.9 - - 43.0 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 32.6 - - 32.3 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 11 - - -7 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1329 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 53 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96146 17 022 23 061 19 061 22 070 96146 89024 15 359 19 010 15 026 16 025 89024 83539 21 345 22 013 23 005 22 013 83539 78972 24 333 18 341 16 343 16 355 78972 75030 25 319 18 311 22 341 22 334 75030 71563 28 312 19 307 29 326 28 344 71563 68428 25 316 22 307 29 307 28 324 68428 65536 21 308 25 307 24 288 21 287 65536 62838 19 303 27 325 15 317 14 252 62838 60201 24 326 30 329 26 352 2 082 60201 57442 29 331 28 312 32 333 9 330 57442 54595 24 338 27 335 32 319 29 319 54595 51897 31 008 45 351 32 330 34 327 51897 49467 56 008 43 352 32 348 33 349 49467 47279 51 359 33 359 39 356 45 358 47279 45300 40 013 41 007 46 358 54 357 45300 43505 52 020 62 004 58 358 56 352 43505 41866 82 008 77 358 61 354 52 348 41866 40347 89 001 70 355 56 351 46 346 40347 38926 71 359 51 357 50 349 41 345 38926 37591 58 002 44 360 47 346 40 344 37591 36313 65 001 52 356 45 344 39 344 36313 35032 67 002 58 356 45 346 40 345 35032 33723 67 005 58 357 47 348 43 346 33723 32392 65 007 56 357 50 350 45 346 32392 31029 60 007 52 358 50 351 45 347 31029 29627 56 006 47 359 49 352 43 347 29627 28192 54 006 44 001 45 353 41 348 28192 26726 53 010 43 003 41 354 40 350 26726 25233 53 014 43 005 39 356 41 353 25233 23718 53 017 45 007 38 359 44 355 23718 22177 53 019 49 009 39 001 47 356 22177 20603 52 020 53 009 42 003 48 356 20603 19022 51 019 56 009 45 003 47 355 19022 17509 51 017 54 009 46 003 44 354 17509 16133 51 014 47 009 46 003 41 354 16133 14902 49 013 40 007 44 003 39 354 14902 13793 46 014 35 005 42 003 36 355 13793 12791 42 015 31 004 38 002 35 356 12791 11882 38 016 28 003 35 000 33 357 11882 11059 34 015 24*002 33 358 32 357 11059 10318 30 013 20*360 30 355 31 357 10318 9648 26 009 17 356 27 351 29 356 9648 9037 21 005 13 349 23 348 26 354 9037 8487 16 359 11 341 19 343 22 352 8487 8021 10 348 9 333 15 338 16 350 8021 7658 6 332 8 328 12 333 12 351 7658 7405 5 321 7 324 8 326 8 353 7405 7250 3*303 6 322 6*319 5*352 7250 7161 2*273 4 318 3*301 3*355 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography