DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.1 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 - - 20.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 24 - - -17 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 2399 - - 2334 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10945 - - 11409 - - 11344 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 1313 - - 1665 - - 3912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 182 - - 91 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 34 - - 29 - - 26 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 002 - - 001 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 32 - - 22 - - 20 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -43 - - -43 - - -38 - - -49 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3587 - - 3951 - - 4181 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7358 - - 7458 - - 7163 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -654 - - 179 - - 144 - - -3011 ODpotential blCL - - - 11599 - - 11230 - - 11200 - - 10172 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 89 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.1 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 - - 20.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 21.9 - - 21.0 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 33.0 - - 31.8 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 20.8 - - 19.9 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 24 - - -17 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 2399 - - 2334 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 54 - - 6 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95891 25 270 27 281 27 274 30 273 95891 88956 22 258 28 285 30 284 30 305 88956 83581 14 271 14 253 30 284 27 307 83581 79074 17 278 14 217 22 248 24 290 79074 75170 24 271 26 276 18 277 18 251 75170 71691 27 246 34 261 23 285 21 283 71691 68514 21 243 30 249 29 278 25 283 68514 65556 22 239 29 248 26 256 25 271 65556 62769 24 245 25 246 23 259 30 274 62769 60042 31 265 32 261 34 273 29 280 60042 57186 38 270 36 261 39 278 28 283 57186 54221 39 270 36 272 40 281 30 272 54221 51391 38 275 38 273 36 275 26 270 51391 48839 36 270 35 266 33 266 22 273 48839 46538 33 269 30 268 28 263 24 291 46538 44444 30 271 32 285 26 285 31 301 44444 42534 30 280 36 288 33 295 31 305 42534 40787 27 286 32 284 34 294 28 301 40787 39170 22 296 21 291 26 301 19 307 39170 37664 19 310 20 321 21 321 18 336 37664 36265 22 324 28 336 25 333 28 353 36265 34945 27 333 32 339 30 337 36 356 34945 33649 30 342 33 343 34 344 42 357 33649 32349 35 350 35 350 36 346 47 359 32349 31050 37 354 40 353 35 349 49 001 31050 29741 35 002 45 353 35 350 46 358 29741 28409 31 359 41 358 34 348 40 352 28409 27053 21 348 31 352 32 346 33 351 27053 25671 14 337 22 335 27 343 28 350 25671 24266 13 331 20 340 23 339 24 344 24266 22840 14 333 17 350 20 343 20 341 22840 21388 16 340 16 355 18 348 17 344 21388 19904 18 343 12 350 15 350 14 351 19904 18412 19 342 9 340 13 348 12 356 18412 16984 18 342 6 334 12 346 11 001 16984 15685 17 347 5 355 9 346 11 006 15685 14523 19 359 8 020 7 354 14 014 14523 13477 25 010 15 026 10 011 21 013 13477 12531 32 016 23 025 17 012 30 006 12531 11674 39*013 30*019 24*008 36 001 11674 10895 41*006 32*011 29*004 38 001 10895 10191 41 360 32 005 30 002 38 001 10191 9555 40 357 32 003 30 001 38 003 9555 8970 37 355 31 002 29 001 36 003 8970 8441 33 353 29 000 28 000 34 003 8441 7992 30 351 27 359 25 360 30 002 7992 7641 26 350 24 358 22 359 26 360 7641 7396 22 348 22 357 19 358 20 357 7396 7246 18 347 18 356 15 358 15*355 7246 7160 11 346 11 355 9 356 8*353 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography