DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 39.6 - - 42.0 - - 37.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 67 - - 46 - - -8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 816 - - 2404 - - 833 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9826 - - 11414 - - 9843 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2729 - - 1462 - - 1297 - - 1162 - - 2526 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 169 - - 221 - - 66 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 16 - - 23 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 348 - - 339 - - 001 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 16 - - 18 - - 24 - - 26 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -18 - - -18 - - -29 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2665 - - 4253 - - 2682 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -574 - - 508 - - 1411 - - -1843 - - -5301 ODpotential blCL 7736 - - 9318 - - 10003 - - 11686 - - 12463 blCL maxRH 101 - - 96 - - 95 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 39.6 - - 42.0 - - 37.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.9 - - 36.6 - - 35.4 - - 33.1 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - 42.2 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.1 - - 32.1 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 67 - - 46 - - -8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 816 - - 2404 - - 833 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 84 - - 78 - - 69 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97244 3 139 5 251 8 320 7 350 4 313 97244 90070 8 070 8 137 3 340 13 040 8 068 90070 84549 10 057 13 104 4 105 10 005 14 069 84549 79953 7 041 8 115 3 074 4 332 12 041 79953 75980 6 059 4 111 2 129 1 312 5 010 75980 72457 9 350 3 050 3 223 6 331 3 042 72457 69256 6 274 3 343 5 177 5 240 5 270 69256 66301 10 258 13 257 7 226 9 226 9 240 66301 63544 22 239 15 239 16 227 16 236 17 228 63544 60854 19 233 14 244 20 216 20 229 21 218 60854 58028 21 243 20 250 22 215 21 223 23 214 58028 55076 31 236 26 238 25 229 24 224 24 221 55076 52244 34 223 30 224 30 230 28 226 27 227 52244 49690 33 213 30 214 32 223 26 226 25 223 49690 47395 27 206 29 207 29 217 23 227 20 237 47395 45312 23 206 26 203 26 211 23 224 21 248 45312 43406 21 207 23 202 22 205 22 222 22 248 43406 41648 20 204 19 203 19 204 17 236 19 247 41648 40022 19 207 18 199 18 220 14 265 12 266 40022 38519 24 212 18 200 13 230 12 289 5 284 38519 37139 28 205 17 215 6 299 9 308 13 357 37139 35852 25 192 16 203 10 295 11 327 21 331 35852 34577 24 172 13 156 2 251 3 304 8 301 34577 33283 35 124 25 077 26 052 15 066 9 104 33283 31976 36 107 28 055 19 043 7 033 7 051 31976 30640 25 123 19 062 17 027 11 359 15 350 30640 29267 12 124 21 053 15 010 14 335 23 343 29267 27859 6 076 16 042 12 353 18 331 29 326 27859 26417 11 028 10 024 12 338 18 337 34 326 26417 24944 15 022 9 358 15 347 20 336 30 340 24944 23449 15 024 13 350 17 351 19 337 22 354 23449 21931 12 028 16 342 20 343 15 342 18 359 21931 20382 9 023 18 335 24 336 12 350 18 003 20382 18827 8 009 21 330 23 338 14 352 17 007 18827 17340 8 355 22 326 20 341 16 346 16 009 17340 15989 8 345 22 324 20 340 17 344 14 009 15989 14780 10 335 22 324 21 344 17 349 12 012 14780 13692 12 329 21 325 23 353 18 357 12 019 13692 12706 13 327 20 329 24 360 20 007 13 029 12706 11812 14 326 20 337 25*360 24 013 16 036 11812 11002 15 327 21 347 24*355 28 014 21 040 11002 10272 15 327 22*354 21 349 30*012 25 041 10272 9613 15 326 22*356 19 342 30*007 29 037 9613 9012 14 326 20 354 17 336 29 003 31 032 9012 8470 12 324 16 349 15 331 26 001 30 027 8470 8011 9 320 13 343 14 328 23 359 25 024 8011 7652 7 313 11 339 13 325 19 357 20 019 7652 7402 5 307 9 335 11 324 15 355 14 013 7402 7249 3*301 8 334 10 322 12 353 10*007 7249 7161 3*297 6 331 7 320 6 350 4*353 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography