DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 38.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.6 - - 29.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 18 - - 34 - - -18 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 424 - - 1610 - - 2447 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9434 - - 10620 - - 11457 - - 10129 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2015 - - 1917 - - 1667 - - 1025 - - 2578 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 140 - - 202 - - 59 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 12 - - 21 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 024 - - 002 - - 000 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 6 - - 22 - - 31 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 8 - - -17 - - -29 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2273 - - 3459 - - 4296 - - 2968 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 1363 - - 1873 - - 954 - - -1235 - - -5062 ODpotential blCL 8071 - - 8747 - - 10503 - - 11364 - - 12224 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 88 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 38.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.6 - - 29.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 35.8 - - 34.8 - - 32.3 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.0 - - 42.4 - - 44.6 - - 41.4 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 35.0 - - 33.6 - - 31.3 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 18 - - 34 - - -18 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 424 - - 1610 - - 2447 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 93 - - 53 - - 45 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96373 19 330 13 294 29 297 17 321 20 311 96373 89549 10 342 9 002 11 311 6 308 13 342 89549 84189 10 012 9 354 2 333 6 307 11 004 84189 79670 9 305 14 322 7 053 5 290 9 327 79670 75737 6 239 17 291 10 334 8 311 6 304 75737 72230 4 254 11 268 15 289 16 289 8 319 72230 69024 10 271 7 258 13 274 14 284 10 299 69024 66057 13 276 10 265 13 268 14 277 15 280 66057 63301 14 278 14 266 15 262 14 275 20 275 63301 60629 17 271 15 268 16 270 17 280 20 278 60629 57830 19 261 19 271 20 283 22 278 20 281 57830 54916 20 254 23 261 24 285 24 279 18 295 54916 52133 21 251 22 253 24 283 26 290 26 308 52133 49626 21 250 20 262 24 281 30 295 30 308 49626 47372 24 256 24 262 25 279 29 305 36 321 47372 45325 32 257 24 253 22 269 31 315 46 329 45325 43442 38 234 23 253 17 267 33 313 53 327 43442 41692 37 224 31 239 19 263 29 306 50 327 41692 40055 39 223 34 229 24 253 24 307 47 335 40055 38522 48 225 37 230 24 237 19 309 49 342 38522 37093 60 225 46 229 21 232 19 316 50 342 37093 35734 67 222 63 224 26 225 16 295 47 338 35734 34384 69 218 77 217 36 220 9 278 37 330 34384 33023 69 213 81 212 48 217 10 279 29 336 33023 31661 71 212 77 210 56 212 16 250 30 338 31661 30296 68 213 69 211 53 207 34 211 18 336 30296 28918 61 210 61 207 46 202 33 198 16 319 28918 27521 51 207 59 207 44 197 31 187 11 235 27521 26103 46 207 52 206 37 197 24 186 11 204 26103 24661 45 208 40 206 28 198 21 209 6 180 24661 23196 44 208 29 205 20 201 22 221 10 227 23196 21708 39 207 27 204 17 205 13 215 13 286 21708 20193 26 218 24 203 14 210 3 217 17 302 20193 18672 16 233 18 210 6 212 10 313 17 303 18672 17214 13 228 11 217 4 320 13 328 17 316 17214 15886 15 219 7 222 7 336 12 329 17 334 15886 14694 15 220 3 243 8 340 13 330 20 351 14694 13621 14 225 2 335 9 343 15 338 22 001 13621 12648 13 226 3 010 10 348 18 346 25 009 12648 11767 11 223 3 011 11*352 21 352 29 014 11767 10967 8 221 1*352 11*356 23 358 33 018 10967 10246 6 218 1*005 12 360 25*002 37 020 10246 9596 5*210 1 014 13 004 27*003 39 021 9596 9001 4*196 2 025 13 004 26 002 39 019 9001 8464 4 173 3 026 12 003 25 001 36 017 8464 8007 4 153 3 026 11 003 22 359 31 014 8007 7650 5 138 2 027 10 002 18 357 25 010 7650 7401 4 115 2 027 8 001 14 354 17 002 7401 7248 3 085 2 027 7 000 11 352 12*354 7248 7161 2 052 1 028 5 359 5 348 6*340 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography