DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 60.0 - - 60.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 175 - - 37 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3343 - - 5622 - - 6238 - - 2860 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10836 - - 12763 - - 11808 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12353 - - 14632 - - 15248 - - 11870 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1787 - - 1232 - - 1142 - - 2412 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 319 - - 436 - - 273 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 22 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 029 - - 017 - - 015 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 7 - - 7 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3249 - - 4155 - - 4750 - - 2771 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9104 - - 10477 - - 10499 - - 9100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -953 - - 1530 - - 1127 - - -1271 ODpotential blCL - - - 13306 - - 13102 - - 14121 - - 13141 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 75 - - 77 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 60.0 - - 60.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 38.9 - - 38.9 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 62.4 - - 63.8 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 37.9 - - 38.1 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 175 - - 37 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3343 - - 5622 - - 6238 - - 2860 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98205 7 304 12 300 16 314 14 297 98205 90920 15 328 10 330 12 313 14 312 90920 85275 16 335 9 328 18 313 25 332 85275 80591 15 324 15 319 21 312 24 339 80591 76563 17 313 17 319 14 304 21 338 76563 73000 18 299 19 316 12 313 17 341 73000 69764 17 295 17 310 15 319 18 343 69764 66778 16 299 14 305 16 310 17 332 66778 64004 14 299 14 292 17 305 14 306 64004 61313 14 287 18 280 20 304 14 299 61313 58501 15 279 21 273 24 295 19 303 58501 55583 16 280 20 271 24 280 22 297 55583 52800 16 284 18 280 20 274 20 286 52800 50301 17 294 16 285 16 286 14 292 50301 48063 17 307 14 304 15 313 13 337 48063 46037 17 315 15 320 14 321 16 351 46037 44182 18 321 17 339 14 348 18 356 44182 42467 19 328 20 343 16 360 19 359 42467 40872 18 324 21 339 17 358 20 357 40872 39385 17 323 19 334 18 351 20 351 39385 38002 19 323 19 329 19 339 18 343 38002 36688 21 318 21 323 19 326 17 337 36688 35383 23 313 23 317 20 319 17 332 35383 34058 26 310 24 313 21 317 18 322 34058 32715 27 312 23 312 20 317 16 317 32715 31342 27 310 21 311 19 313 14 317 31342 29932 23 310 19 316 17 314 12 319 29932 28491 19 311 15 318 14 316 9 324 28491 27019 18 314 15 315 13 317 7 330 27019 25517 19 315 16 313 14 317 7 334 25517 23987 18 318 17 316 14 321 8 340 23987 22427 15 325 15 318 13 325 8 347 22427 20830 15 335 12 329 9 328 7 345 20830 19224 14 346 11 351 7 339 6 338 19224 17686 13 355 12 005 7 007 4 351 17686 16287 12 003 12 012 9*020 6 026 16287 15040 11 010 12*015 9*010 8 026 15040 13920 11 017 9*016 7 006 9 003 13920 12908 11*022 7 017 7 008 7 009 12908 11989 10*026 6 016 5 012 5*037 11989 11155 9 029 5 014 4 013 2*056 11155 10402 7 027 4 010 2 023 1 161 10402 9720 4 026 2 011 1 066 3 207 9720 9095 3 026 1 012 1 156 6 207 9095 8531 2 030 0 048 2 164 8 206 8531 8050 1 043 0 147 2 169 8 203 8050 7676 0 090 1 158 2 172 7 200 7676 7415 0 145 1 160 2 172 6 196 7415 7254 1 149 1 165 3 172 3 186 7254 7162 1 163 1 165 2 173 2 171 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography