DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 38.6 - - 39.6 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 106 - - 56 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5812 - - 1456 - - 1816 - - 1639 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12506 - - 9441 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14822 - - 10466 - - 10826 - - 10649 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1987 - - 1847 - - 2517 - - 1951 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 360 - - 237 - - 209 - - 56 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 172 - - 218 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 11 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 109 - - -21 - - 17 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 6246 - - 3305 - - 3665 - - 3488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8576 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2638 - - 767 - - 2163 - - 1006 ODpotential blCL - - - 12184 - - 9699 - - 8663 - - 9643 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 89 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 530 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 38.6 - - 39.6 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 35.0 - - 36.0 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 41.4 - - 42.8 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 33.8 - - 34.8 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 106 - - 56 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5812 - - 1456 - - 1816 - - 1639 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 58 - - 99 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97507 6 085 12 080 7 348 8 079 97507 90221 7 102 10 095 6 015 6 082 90221 84611 8 100 2 087 7 351 10 055 84611 79944 7 119 3 204 5 329 10 018 79944 75907 3 139 3 111 1 018 3 322 75907 72331 2 220 2 294 4 302 7 177 72331 69078 12 201 11 256 12 274 4 220 69078 66071 14 201 16 230 16 252 11 251 66071 63265 16 242 19 227 18 246 16 240 63265 60522 26 246 23 236 22 242 18 250 60522 57631 30 242 22 238 23 242 21 250 57631 54616 27 247 19 240 22 240 20 243 54616 51738 25 228 18 242 16 246 16 251 51738 49149 20 229 16 235 15 251 12 262 49149 46837 21 209 15 245 12 251 10 261 46837 44753 11 207 16 214 15 253 7 265 44753 42859 18 226 11 209 9 228 8 275 42859 41121 23 206 12 225 4 266 7 310 41121 39511 28 187 11 193 4 259 7 342 39511 38020 25 161 10 194 2 350 9 038 38020 36645 18 158 11 178 4 102 12 030 36645 35353 22 171 17 155 13 112 12 051 35353 34091 28 162 23 130 24 091 26 074 34091 32828 30 160 25 114 25 076 33 066 32828 31550 32 162 22 105 30 056 35 049 31550 30245 31 162 20 085 34 043 34 041 30245 28901 23 145 22 050 32 041 33 040 28901 27521 22 132 23 049 31 036 32 041 27521 26108 18 117 25 057 29 033 30 042 26108 24667 15 100 27 064 27 036 27 042 24667 23201 19 118 28 069 24 038 25 038 23201 21708 20 123 27 068 20 034 23 030 21708 20183 19 118 24 070 16 025 20 023 20183 18650 18 105 19 081 12 019 17 011 18650 17187 17 091 17 098 6 019 14 358 17187 15858 17*079 16 117 2 118 8 354 15858 14671 17*073 17 131 8 161 2 006 14671 13604 16 070 18 140 12 167 4 185 13604 12641 14 069 18 149 14 174 10 196 12641 11767 12 069 16 157 14 182 14 200 11767 10975 10 068 14*166 14*191 16*204 10975 10259 9 066 12*174 13*199 14*209 10259 9609 7 064 11 178 11 207 12 215 9609 9012 6 060 8 177 9 217 8 225 9012 8473 5 057 6 171 7 226 5 248 8473 8013 4 056 4 160 5 234 4 291 8013 7654 3 056 3 149 5 241 5 326 7654 7403 2 057 2 140 4 244 6 336 7403 7250 2 060 2 135 4 246 5 340 7250 7161 2 068 2 134 3 247 4 340 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography