DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 29.4 - - 24.8 - - 20.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 14 - - -20 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2056 - - 3725 - - 805 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11066 - - 12735 - - 9815 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1227 - - 2362 - - 3148 - - 2521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 167 - - 28 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 23 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 332 - - 005 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 15 - - 23 - - 30 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -19 - - -36 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3838 - - 5191 - - 2655 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7228 - - 7544 - - 7161 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1161 - - 1686 - - -295 - - -4772 ODpotential blCL - - - 9905 - - 11049 - - 10110 - - 11933 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - 87 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 29.4 - - 24.8 - - 20.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 21.5 - - 20.5 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 33.2 - - 29.9 - - 25.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 20.7 - - 20.1 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 14 - - -20 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2056 - - 3725 - - 805 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 77 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96968 50 073 55 074 57 068 51 071 96968 89735 53 068 46 070 50 058 50 066 89735 84139 45 060 38 068 40 055 38 062 84139 79461 37 055 30 060 31 054 30 043 79461 75413 28 051 27 043 25 055 26 034 75413 71818 25 042 22 036 20 052 21 039 71818 68553 21 037 16 042 19 028 21 035 68553 65545 19 027 21 034 11 033 22 031 65545 62735 20 021 18 358 18 031 28 030 62735 59998 19 344 13 359 14 357 25 021 59998 57141 19 001 19 352 14 023 13 021 57141 54167 21 349 32 339 41 349 23 008 54167 51317 25 315 27 327 33 323 31 347 51317 48745 21 312 20 326 30 322 33 342 48745 46441 26 327 21 332 30 327 36 338 46441 44363 36 315 30 330 28 328 31 335 44363 42467 36 307 31 330 26 335 28 344 42467 40720 33 310 33 333 31 344 34 355 40720 39102 37 313 38 333 35 347 40 354 39102 37596 41 305 40 327 37 345 40 352 37596 36196 43 298 39 320 37 342 38 354 36196 34871 45 294 38 319 35 342 37 360 34871 33563 44 293 38 321 32 343 38 005 33563 32247 42 291 36 315 28 344 38 008 32247 30929 40 291 32 305 27 345 36 008 30929 29604 38 292 28 298 27 340 31 003 29604 28263 35 293 29 286 26 331 30 002 28263 26909 32 294 30 278 25 318 26 004 26909 25539 31 296 29 280 24 307 24 018 25539 24151 31 297 29 282 22 308 26 019 24151 22742 31 298 28 285 22 318 26 013 22742 21307 31 300 27 288 20 323 24 010 21307 19839 31 302 26 291 14 327 23 012 19839 18362 30 304 24 298 9 331 21 019 18362 16947 29 307 20 312 6 347 19 028 16947 15658 28 309 19 332 7 356 18 036 15658 14504 28 311 20 344 10 006 19 040 14504 13462 28 312 21*346 14 011 20 042 13462 12517 28 314 20*342 19 012 23 041 12517 11660 28*317 19 338 23 012 26 038 11660 10881 26*320 19 336 26 012 29 035 10881 10177 24 322 19 334 27*011 32 032 10177 9541 22 323 18 332 28*009 36 029 9541 8959 20 322 17 330 28 008 38 026 8959 8434 16 320 15 326 26 006 38 024 8434 7987 13 316 13 323 23 003 35 022 7987 7638 10 312 12 321 20 359 29 021 7638 7394 8 308 10 319 15 356 22 018 7394 7246 6 304 8 317 11 354 16*015 7246 7160 4 301 6 315 6 351 8*008 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography