DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 29.3 - - 29.2 - - 23.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 43 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 901 - - 1021 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9204 - - 9911 - - 10031 - - 9200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1196 - - 913 - - 832 - - 817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 150 - - 86 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 251 - - 251 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1655 - - 2751 - - 2871 - - 2040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7549 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3051 - - -1630 - - 466 - - 471 ODpotential blCL - - - 12255 - - 11541 - - 9565 - - 8729 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 94 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 29.3 - - 29.2 - - 23.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.8 - - 23.2 - - 23.5 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 32.7 - - 32.9 - - 31.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 22.2 - - 22.7 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 43 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 901 - - 1021 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 77 - - 65 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96902 35 091 39 078 38 088 33 082 96902 89769 34 102 29 079 31 098 25 086 89769 84176 26 103 24 086 17 101 19 092 84176 79492 18 087 16 094 7 093 14 084 79492 75434 5 058 8 105 2 280 11 071 75434 71831 6 087 1 033 4 248 6 035 71831 68558 3 308 5 255 7 284 2 350 68558 65544 8 311 7 242 13 279 12 285 65544 62745 8 291 10 253 16 261 15 266 62745 60023 19 298 20 277 15 270 16 266 60023 57180 20 274 27 267 24 279 24 265 57180 54229 21 280 31 275 29 274 29 272 54229 51410 26 282 32 268 37 272 35 269 51410 48869 27 279 30 278 37 260 35 292 48869 46589 27 276 35 278 33 272 45 276 46589 44527 28 272 34 275 37 280 39 260 44527 42644 24 268 29 277 36 277 34 281 42644 40923 19 277 32 289 42 281 53 287 40923 39362 23 293 29 288 49 289 55 293 39362 37943 25 302 24 298 50 294 59 298 37943 36635 18 326 52 319 49 306 70 303 36635 35393 26 352 59 318 58 312 80 304 35393 34148 35 349 45 327 66 312 78 306 34148 32877 33 346 35 334 61 313 74 307 32877 31586 27 335 29 325 48 314 61 303 31586 30266 23 336 29 311 32 303 47 290 30266 28907 21 345 28 308 33 290 43 280 28907 27515 19 347 31 312 35 299 43 274 27515 26094 17 349 32 318 33 313 43 278 26094 24649 17 353 24 325 26 312 42 290 24649 23181 16 352 14 323 19 297 34 296 23181 21685 14 343 11 316 20 284 24 292 21685 20155 12 334 9 295 21 284 23 280 20155 18618 9 326 11 274 20 290 26 281 18618 17151 7 321 10 273 19 296 26 286 17151 15820 7 319 10 281 17 301 24 292 15820 14631 7 314 10 286 15 303 21 296 14631 13562 7 305 9 290 13 303 19 297 13562 12595 7 300 9 295 11 303 17 296 12595 11719 8 298 8 302 10 303 15 293 11719 10926 7 299 8 309 10 301 14 288 10926 10212 6 300 8*310 9*297 13 283 10212 9567 5*295 6*304 7*288 11*278 9567 8979 4*281 4 281 5 272 8*269 8979 8448 3 260 3 246 4 250 5 247 8448 7996 2 251 4 228 4 237 3 233 7996 7644 2 260 4 216 4 223 3 219 7644 7398 1 269 4 212 4 217 2 181 7398 7247 1 270 3 208 4 214 2 136 7247 7161 1 265 3 207 3 208 2 139 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography