DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.8 - - 24.9 - - 29.2 - - 25.4 - - 20.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 37 - - 35 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 969 - - 2043 - - 970 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 9979 - - 11053 - - 9980 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1499 - - 2094 - - 1731 - - 2401 - - 2045 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 145 - - 184 - - 19 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 043 - - 029 - - 016 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 19 - - -18 - - -16 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -136 - - 1276 - - 1116 - - 1080 - - -904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7298 - - 8704 - - 9937 - - 8901 - - 8065 sfcLCL ODpotential -5411 - - -3046 - - -3930 - - -4356 - - -6756 ODpotential blCL 12572 - - 13025 - - 14983 - - 14336 - - 13917 blCL maxRH 77 - - 70 - - 51 - - 55 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.8 - - 24.9 - - 29.2 - - 25.4 - - 20.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.4 - - 12.1 - - 11.0 - - 11.9 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.3 - - 28.3 - - 32.6 - - 32.2 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.7 - - 11.1 - - 10.0 - - 10.7 - - 9.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 37 - - 35 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 969 - - 2043 - - 970 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97388 67 084 55 082 71 087 69 088 51 082 97388 90212 73 081 64 081 70 083 71 087 61 083 90212 84620 75 082 66 086 61 085 63 081 66 083 84620 79923 71 083 65 087 54 089 53 078 59 076 79923 75827 62 081 59 086 52 086 48 084 48 080 75827 72148 45 077 46 086 45 083 43 086 45 085 72148 68760 31 066 33 091 35 068 33 080 39 074 68760 65645 22 046 26 066 29 036 32 054 37 046 65645 62792 20 026 13 035 20 013 24 017 23 028 62792 60042 24 011 12 024 13 019 15 344 23 015 60042 57175 30 358 30 014 19 015 26 004 25 003 57175 54202 31 341 41 359 36 359 35 358 29 002 54202 51371 32 336 43 350 38 353 37 351 42 359 51371 48848 31 335 39 347 35 350 40 353 43 356 48848 46608 34 345 36 348 35 350 43 351 41 011 46608 44589 42 349 35 353 36 355 43 358 58 020 44589 42753 45 346 37 360 39 004 52 011 75 017 42753 41067 43 343 41 005 46 014 64 012 86 014 41067 39500 40 347 47 009 57 019 72 014 88 014 39500 38038 39 352 54 012 67 020 78 018 92 019 38038 36683 39 355 59 014 74 020 84 021 103 024 36683 35403 38 353 62 016 79 021 94 021 117 027 35403 34129 34 358 64 016 84 024 101 022 125 028 34129 32832 35 004 63 017 92 026 97 020 128 027 32832 31517 28 010 62 021 99 028 92 019 131 026 31517 30173 37 034 63 023 100 027 92 019 127 025 30173 28796 42 024 56 022 95 026 91 018 101 023 28796 27394 38 013 46 023 90 025 86 022 77 017 27394 25966 29 013 41 017 82 024 77 024 68 012 25966 24514 25 021 35 008 68 023 72 022 62 011 24514 23040 23 032 33 019 53 021 68 021 55 011 23040 21543 23 042 36 024 42 016 59 020 51 012 21543 20021 23 050 35 026 37 013 46 017 45 013 20021 18500 23 058 30 028 34 017 35 014 36 011 18500 17053 20 056 23 029 31 025 29 012 29 006 17053 15742 17 050 19 033 27 037 25 014 24 001 15742 14571 15 047 15 039 25 047 22 016 21 358 14571 13517 14 046 14 047 22 054 19 019 20 357 13517 12562 13 047 14 054 20 057 17 023 19 358 12562 11695 14 048 14 058 18*055 16 024 19 359 11695 10910 16 047 15 058 17*050 16 025 20 001 10910 10200 18 046 16*057 16 042 17*023 20 003 10200 9559 21 043 16*053 16 032 18*020 20 005 9559 8972 22 041 15 049 14 021 18 018 20 009 8972 8442 23 039 13 044 14 019 17 018 20 014 8442 7991 20 037 10 036 13 018 14 017 18 017 7991 7640 17 033 8 032 12 016 11 013 15 017 7640 7395 12 025 7 029 10 015 8 004 11 010 7395 7246 8*013 6 026 9 014 5 352 7*001 7246 7160 3*345 4 024 6 012 3 332 4*351 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography