DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 61.3 - - 59.9 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 246 - - 41 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4985 - - 7915 - - 7332 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12247 - - 14708 - - 12613 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13995 - - 16925 - - 16342 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3007 - - 1647 - - 1824 - - 7810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 536 - - 290 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 21 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 271 - - 326 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2453 - - 3592 - - 3317 - - -3026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11542 - - 13334 - - 13026 - - 10190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1217 - - 2045 - - 649 - - -6668 ODpotential blCL - - - 15212 - - 14880 - - 15693 - - 13831 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 97 - - 67 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 61.3 - - 59.9 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 27.6 - - 27.6 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 63.3 - - 63.2 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 26.9 - - 27.1 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 246 - - 41 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4985 - - 7915 - - 7332 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 86 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98119 14 289 8 310 5 302 10 288 98119 90797 8 249 9 283 12 317 9 323 90797 85140 2 186 6 259 11 331 9 339 85140 80459 4 067 5 199 5 319 7 334 80459 76423 4 107 2 287 7 310 6 355 76423 72839 4 100 0 262 7 288 4 331 72839 69595 4 295 3 242 5 244 5 275 69595 66617 8 257 13 266 11 265 11 272 66617 63856 11 247 18 259 17 266 17 261 63856 61180 16 276 17 260 17 269 17 265 61180 58376 26 282 22 277 21 278 21 277 58376 55454 32 272 30 273 30 273 30 270 55454 52661 32 263 33 263 33 264 35 260 52661 50140 33 263 33 256 32 259 34 257 50140 47867 42 262 37 260 33 259 33 262 47867 45796 48 256 42 260 36 257 30 259 45796 43896 46 253 42 250 37 248 28 255 43896 42147 44 249 38 247 35 246 23 268 42147 40535 39 248 33 248 28 253 16 310 40535 39043 37 246 29 246 23 270 19 329 39043 37659 39 245 24 245 18 280 18 351 37659 36351 37 237 20 248 13 291 22 012 36351 35054 33 230 22 253 13 327 33 036 35054 33740 30 231 24 253 17 357 61 048 33740 32410 27 236 22 250 19 356 74 051 32410 31049 25 239 16 234 16 359 71 051 31049 29647 23 241 4 246 19 004 59 053 29647 28212 22 234 8 325 20 001 40 038 28212 26750 19 229 13 296 19 001 35 021 26750 25262 17 234 16 259 18 359 30 019 25262 23751 21 238 14 247 15 337 25 015 23751 22213 24 240 11 254 14 306 23 011 22213 20638 23 245 9 279 11 290 18 016 20638 19055 18 245 6 285 9 288 13 015 19055 17543 15 236 6*258 10*307 12 352 17543 16172 13 227 6*250 9*327 11 320 16172 14951 9*222 5 253 7 341 6 326 14951 13852 6*232 3 265 6 337 5 039 13852 12855 5 262 4 269 6 333 9 038 12855 11949 5 284 4 278 6 328 13 031 11949 11125 6 291 4 280 6 324 15 027 11125 10380 6 291 5 281 6 319 16 023 10380 9704 5 283 5 281 6 317 17 018 9704 9084 4 273 5 280 5 314 17 013 9084 8523 4 268 6 279 5 312 17 008 8523 8046 4 263 6 278 5 309 15 005 8046 7673 3 256 6 278 5 308 13 001 7673 7413 3 252 5 276 5 308 11 357 7413 7254 3 251 5 276 4 307 8*353 7254 7162 3 250 4 274 4 305 5*353 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography