DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 44.4 - - 46.7 - - 40.5 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 12 - - 38 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 135 - - 801 - - 126 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9145 - - 9811 - - 9136 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1675 - - 901 - - 1173 - - 940 - - 2617 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 59 - - 144 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 155 - - 166 - - 145 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 15 - - 15 - - 11 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 22 - - 11 - - 16 - - 26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2951 - - -949 - - -250 - - 1085 - - -1540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10114 - - 10095 - - 10061 - - 8051 - - 8703 sfcLCL ODpotential -12242 - - -9876 - - -8542 - - -7468 - - -9732 ODpotential blCL 19404 - - 19021 - - 18353 - - 16604 - - 16895 blCL maxRH 80 - - 87 - - 85 - - 87 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 44.4 - - 46.7 - - 40.5 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 25.4 - - 27.7 - - 30.3 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 48.2 - - 50.0 - - 48.1 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.0 - - 24.4 - - 26.5 - - 29.0 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 12 - - 38 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 135 - - 801 - - 126 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 47 - - 41 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95990 29 300 20 323 15 293 15 319 19 308 95990 89018 12 327 17 296 19 317 12 351 4 351 89018 83629 12 352 10 292 16 303 13 337 9 000 83629 79126 10 343 11 308 11 307 10 307 15 333 79126 75203 7 348 10 280 14 294 13 303 11 335 75203 71704 10 315 9 301 11 269 14 269 12 305 71704 68504 11 305 8 290 11 278 13 282 13 298 68504 65559 16 279 14 273 11 268 16 273 19 286 65559 62848 18 255 19 283 17 294 15 292 17 300 62848 60237 25 254 27 268 24 273 23 266 22 273 60237 57506 23 260 26 262 20 267 28 257 28 256 57506 54661 37 269 30 253 37 249 36 251 34 248 54661 51948 56 263 49 259 47 249 47 251 38 242 51948 49507 64 254 63 259 66 256 58 252 45 245 49507 47322 63 254 74 254 81 252 77 249 68 246 47322 45352 65 259 74 254 75 250 80 243 79 238 45352 43567 67 262 70 257 67 254 69 240 73 231 43567 41931 61 259 60 254 62 253 64 240 70 229 41931 40403 51 255 49 251 54 245 58 238 64 229 40403 38965 51 256 47 252 53 240 53 235 51 228 38965 37614 50 257 46 251 52 241 53 235 47 228 37614 36322 46 253 44 248 47 240 52 234 52 230 36322 35027 44 248 44 243 44 237 49 233 54 230 35027 33705 39 244 43 237 43 235 46 232 53 226 33705 32361 34 244 36 234 42 232 44 230 48 221 32361 30985 29 238 34 225 39 226 43 224 46 219 30985 29569 27 226 35 214 37 215 43 218 44 218 29569 28117 29 210 36 205 39 211 43 216 41 217 28117 26635 31 203 37 207 41 211 43 214 39 215 26635 25134 35 209 39 212 42 211 43 211 42 210 25134 23620 38 217 40 215 42 208 44 205 48 207 23620 22085 37 222 41 214 43 203 46 200 49 204 22085 20517 30 224 39 213 44 200 47 196 47 202 20517 18941 22 216 35 209 42 199 48 194 45 200 18941 17436 18 202 32 203 40 197 46 193 43 199 17436 16071 20 197 31 197 38 196 43 192 41 198 16071 14851 23 198 32 193 36 193 39 193 39 197 14851 13754 26 199 33 191 35 191 35 195 36 195 13754 12762 27 197 33 190 33 190 32 197 33 194 12762 11863 27 193 31 190 31 192 29 198 29 192 11863 11048 26 189 29 189 27 197 25 199 26 190 11048 10313 24 185 25 188 22*202 21 198 24 187 10313 9649 21 179 21*184 17*200 17*193 22 183 9649 9040 18 173 17*178 11 187 12*178 20 174 9040 8491 15 162 14 165 8 151 11 152 18 158 8491 8024 13 144 12 148 8 143 11 137 17 142 8024 7660 11 129 10 138 7 139 11 133 15 132 7660 7406 9 117 8 131 7 138 9 131 11 127 7406 7251 5*093 6 127 6 137 6 129 6*120 7251 7162 2*015 4 125 5 138 3 127 2*047 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography