DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 33.7 - - 37.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - -15 - - 9 - - -8 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 74 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9084 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1411 - - 1848 - - 1110 - - 3169 - - 2523 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 43 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 17 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 297 - - 279 - - 277 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 20 - - 19 - - 26 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -16 - - 13 - - -7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1411 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7673 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5682 - - -6314 - - -4620 - - -6057 - - -3597 ODpotential blCL 12844 - - 13476 - - 13704 - - 13219 - - 10759 blCL maxRH 80 - - 80 - - 85 - - 80 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 33.7 - - 37.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.2 - - 27.6 - - 29.0 - - 27.8 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.9 - - 39.2 - - 41.6 - - 39.8 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 26.6 - - 28.0 - - 27.2 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - -15 - - 9 - - -8 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 74 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 19 - - 39 - - 20 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96302 29 023 19 003 17 012 27 026 23 050 96302 89379 23 351 18 012 15 026 23 348 20 024 89379 83940 22 342 22 356 14 351 11 015 12 341 83940 79374 22 319 17 327 22 337 18 337 17 326 79374 75405 20 304 14 313 15 335 17 342 13 312 75405 71848 29 313 17 296 25 296 23 333 19 325 71848 68618 27 304 20 320 21 294 24 302 28 312 68618 65669 15 301 24 345 18 323 20 308 16 317 65669 62926 40 305 42 305 31 315 27 301 29 302 62926 60268 51 293 46 294 36 307 36 301 44 293 60268 57506 56 294 54 301 47 304 58 297 55 290 57506 54644 72 289 68 294 64 292 65 292 66 289 54644 51916 76 287 77 291 70 291 73 294 75 290 51916 49443 73 291 81 294 79 293 83 291 81 289 49443 47200 82 297 89 300 92 294 87 287 91 292 47200 45156 92 298 103 298 109 295 94 291 99 291 45156 43285 99 298 110 294 113 294 102 294 96 292 43285 41559 98 302 98 295 102 298 98 296 96 296 41559 39962 114 308 92 303 103 305 97 302 106 302 39962 38486 137 307 109 306 112 304 111 305 118 303 38486 37130 142 304 123 301 120 301 120 301 118 298 37130 35860 143 304 126 296 119 301 113 297 106 290 35860 34603 141 305 127 296 106 298 101 293 98 284 34603 33319 127 306 121 300 103 294 103 290 97 282 33319 32012 105 301 110 300 101 293 105 288 100 284 32012 30672 99 290 95 300 89 296 101 290 96 288 30672 29291 101 289 81 301 76 298 86 294 90 292 29291 27876 96 289 73 299 71 300 78 289 82 298 27876 26429 81 290 72 293 69 299 77 285 76 303 26429 24953 67 291 72 293 67 297 70 283 72 304 24953 23454 61 287 66 297 64 296 54 282 70 302 23454 21930 60 282 57 296 61 296 44 282 66 301 21930 20376 58 278 53 289 58 298 40 284 61 295 20376 18815 54 277 51 282 50 299 38 285 63 289 18815 17321 49 279 46 278 41 292 36 280 67 288 17321 15965 45 282 41 276 36 282 37 273 63 286 15965 14755 40 283 37 276 34 275 40 270 56 279 14755 13669 40 284 35 278 33 270 41 269 51 269 13669 12689 39 284 34 279 31 266 41 269 47 261 12689 11801 38 284 33 280 30 264 40 269 44 257 11801 10997 38 284 32 280 30 265 38 269 40 257 10997 10272 38 284 31 281 29 267 37 270 36 264 10272 9616 37 285 30 282 27*270 34 272 34 272 9616 9016 36 287 29 284 25*274 30 274 33 277 9016 8474 33 289 26 287 21 278 25 277 31 277 8474 8013 29 292 21 291 17 281 19 279 25 275 8013 7653 23 296 14 296 13 282 12 278 17 273 7653 7402 15 304 8 304 11 282 7 275 11 271 7402 7249 8*319 4*313 9 282 3*260 4*261 7249 7161 4*350 1*340 6 282 1*145 5*096 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography