DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 35.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 9 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2392 - - 2580 - - 2385 - - 1844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 24 - - 1 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 285 - - 261 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2971 - - -1807 - - -117 - - -1067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10133 - - 8969 - - 7279 - - 8229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11612 - - -9640 - - -8295 - - -8466 ODpotential blCL - - - 18774 - - 16802 - - 15457 - - 15628 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 78 - - 83 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 35.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.9 - - 21.1 - - 23.3 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 39.7 - - 38.5 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 20.0 - - 23.0 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 9 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 32 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 18 070 23 077 25 080 32 090 96559 89524 22 083 16 094 17 094 27 083 89524 84030 14 085 14 115 8 104 15 080 84030 79422 9 098 10 122 6 090 7 067 79422 75418 5 094 7 130 5 127 5 054 75418 71849 1 005 3 267 2 192 2 046 71849 68595 7 290 7 267 3 289 6 252 68595 65598 11 289 9 259 15 293 14 262 65598 62819 20 287 16 287 17 296 15 262 62819 60124 25 262 25 278 26 282 23 282 60124 57319 20 264 24 267 29 268 27 284 57319 54422 20 275 23 269 28 263 34 270 54422 51668 25 277 21 266 27 263 31 264 51668 49193 34 268 33 281 35 281 34 275 49193 46969 33 267 41 283 41 285 38 275 46969 44949 28 272 40 284 45 282 44 273 44949 43108 28 272 42 286 46 278 47 272 43108 41426 22 283 39 280 50 282 52 278 41426 39882 28 307 33 277 52 279 60 278 39882 38453 36 309 34 286 47 275 58 273 38453 37125 37 304 39 292 44 280 54 272 37125 35862 31 296 41 291 43 286 52 275 35862 34599 28 297 38 287 41 286 48 275 34599 33311 23 296 37 282 39 285 44 272 33311 32002 20 291 37 278 38 286 41 270 32002 30662 21 290 36 280 37 286 38 270 30662 29284 24 297 34 287 35 287 36 269 29284 27872 24 300 31 291 34 285 35 268 27872 26428 18 299 28 290 32 285 35 268 26428 24956 14 297 26 288 30 287 34 268 24956 23462 13 292 22 288 27 289 31 270 23462 21942 14 284 18 281 24 286 28 271 21942 20390 15 278 18 278 23 282 28 273 20390 18831 15 280 18 280 23 281 28 278 18831 17341 15 286 18 282 22 281 27 281 17341 15989 14 288 18 284 20 283 25 282 15989 14780 12 285 17 286 18 284 22 284 14780 13693 11 280 16 285 16 286 19 286 13693 12709 10 276 15 286 15 287 16 288 12709 11818 10 274 14 286 14 289 14 290 11818 11010 11 275 14 287 14 290 12 291 11010 10281 11 277 14 288 14 291 11 292 10281 9622 11 277 14 288 13 290 11 294 9622 9019 11 275 13 289 11 287 10 297 9019 8475 9 272 11 288 9 281 10 300 8475 8013 7 268 9 287 7 270 8 304 8013 7652 5 266 6 285 5 255 6 309 7652 7402 2 265 3 275 4 229 4 312 7402 7249 0*330 1*251 2*173 1*323 7249 7161 1*073 1*169 2*130 1*339 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography