DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 64.0 - - 70.7 - - 69.3 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 211 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1351 - - 4480 - - 4280 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 9314 - - 11953 - - 7147 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 10361 - - 13490 - - 13290 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1399 - - 1983 - - 2538 - - 3075 - - 4527 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 229 - - 421 - - 85 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 221 - - 243 - - 246 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6304 - - -4422 - - -3496 - - -2936 - - -6666 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13468 - - 14784 - - 16987 - - 16226 - - 13830 sfcLCL ODpotential -14129 - - -10201 - - -7846 - - -7862 - - -12858 ODpotential blCL 21293 - - 20562 - - 21336 - - 21152 - - 20022 blCL maxRH 59 - - 64 - - 64 - - 60 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 64.0 - - 70.7 - - 69.3 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.8 - - 24.6 - - 21.2 - - 23.3 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 66.8 - - 72.9 - - 73.4 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 23.4 - - 20.2 - - 22.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 211 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1351 - - 4480 - - 4280 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97739 3 003 8 187 15 247 14 329 6 340 97739 90527 8 008 6 102 6 250 12 357 8 032 90527 84943 6 359 6 039 2 021 9 014 12 016 84943 80318 8 044 9 004 11 030 3 359 11 358 80318 76337 12 015 12 352 15 018 3 041 7 007 76337 72811 11 354 15 355 15 007 10 340 12 352 72811 69625 11 345 16 340 14 001 12 339 14 330 69625 66697 11 319 15 310 16 326 15 345 9 333 66697 63970 12 310 13 300 17 311 21 323 15 335 63970 61325 18 312 14 304 20 308 24 315 21 323 61325 58564 21 301 16 294 20 293 26 304 25 314 58564 55690 25 299 20 287 24 270 27 282 26 297 55690 52938 28 284 22 276 23 255 26 272 27 282 52938 50456 26 278 24 271 26 253 25 260 25 276 50456 48232 34 273 31 259 35 253 32 266 31 278 48232 46222 36 267 37 250 39 253 36 260 37 259 46222 44397 35 272 38 249 40 256 42 259 41 254 44397 42725 34 276 38 258 42 256 43 255 43 252 42725 41175 31 277 37 263 40 258 40 257 38 254 41175 39725 29 277 34 262 37 261 34 260 32 257 39725 38368 24 278 31 265 35 262 33 264 28 261 38368 37072 21 275 26 274 31 267 31 269 27 269 37072 35775 22 282 24 276 26 268 29 269 26 269 35775 34451 22 288 22 283 24 265 30 270 28 276 34451 33106 20 289 21 283 24 272 32 272 31 286 33106 31728 18 289 20 280 26 276 32 274 32 290 31728 30309 19 283 21 281 25 270 31 277 32 292 30309 28851 19 262 21 282 24 264 32 282 31 293 28851 27359 17 246 20 275 24 265 31 283 30 292 27359 25837 15 252 20 269 23 271 29 281 29 284 25837 24289 16 273 22 270 23 277 26 279 24 277 24289 22710 19 285 22 273 22 277 23 273 21 272 22710 21092 19 288 21 276 20 273 20 267 21 265 21092 19463 19 286 19 277 19 267 19 262 20 258 19463 17903 19 284 18 278 18 263 18 262 19 254 17903 16483 19 283 18 280 17 262 17 263 18 251 16483 15212 19 281 17 282 16 265 17 265 18 250 15212 14068 17 280 15 280 15*269 15*267 17 249 14068 13030 15 279 13 273 14*269 13*269 16 250 13030 12089 13 277 13 263 12 263 10 270 15 251 12089 11236 11 275 13 252 10 254 9 267 12 254 11236 10466 10 270 13*244 9 245 8 259 10 255 10466 9769 9 264 12*236 8 236 7 235 8 254 9769 9131 7 256 10 228 8 227 7 224 6 244 9131 8556 5 248 6 222 8 221 7 218 5 226 8556 8066 2 257 3 199 8 216 7 214 5 206 8066 7684 1 344 3 193 8 213 7 211 4 197 7684 7419 4 019 3 187 7 211 7 209 2 176 7419 7257 6*014 3 183 7 210 6 208 1*090 7257 7163 5*009 2 181 6 209 5 206 1*043 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography