DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 79.0 - - 78.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 337 - - 157 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11102 - - 12974 - - 12746 - - 11271 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 17442 - - 19010 - - 18252 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 20112 - - 21984 - - 21756 - - 20281 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2167 - - 2630 - - 4047 - - 2994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 659 - - 707 - - 549 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 264 - - 263 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 15 - - 20 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 17 - - 25 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5023 - - 5529 - - 5237 - - 5784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15090 - - 16456 - - 16519 - - 14498 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2069 - - 2904 - - 2153 - - 1695 ODpotential blCL - - - 18043 - - 19080 - - 19603 - - 18586 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 80 - - 58 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 520 - - 470 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 79.0 - - 78.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 31.3 - - 30.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 80.7 - - 81.4 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 30.2 - - 29.8 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 337 - - 157 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11102 - - 12974 - - 12746 - - 11271 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99757 30 118 20 098 25 090 26 090 99757 92146 25 109 20 103 21 098 24 090 92146 86324 24 106 20 105 19 095 25 112 86324 81508 20 104 18 114 17 091 23 101 81508 77352 13 094 17 114 11 100 14 077 77352 73678 12 100 12 098 12 113 9 108 73678 70362 10 095 8 110 6 098 6 084 70362 67322 7 099 7 160 3 200 2 325 67322 64515 2 114 4 188 7 225 5 303 64515 61808 4 329 1 079 5 193 11 268 61808 58994 15 258 15 275 5 304 10 276 58994 56071 25 261 26 262 27 276 24 275 56071 53276 35 258 42 258 40 262 38 264 53276 50759 44 251 47 255 50 260 45 261 50759 48498 51 254 54 258 60 264 55 266 48498 46439 60 257 63 260 69 265 64 268 46439 44549 67 258 70 260 75 265 70 268 44549 42804 73 258 76 260 79 264 74 268 42804 41186 77 259 75 260 77 264 69 268 41186 39683 70 260 66 261 66 264 57 268 39683 38294 59 259 58 262 51 263 44 269 38294 36984 51 259 51 261 41 263 35 267 36984 35683 41 262 39 262 32 264 28 265 35683 34359 34 264 33 267 26 270 22 268 34359 33016 25 268 27 269 23 275 18 272 33016 31642 21 270 21 270 20 274 16 276 31642 30233 21 270 20 270 18 268 16 278 30233 28789 24 268 21 269 17 258 15 276 28789 27310 26 266 23 269 18 254 15 275 27310 25801 28 266 26 268 22 254 19 273 25801 24265 28 267 28 265 27 255 25 271 24265 22699 26 269 28*263 30*253 27 270 22699 21097 23*271 22*265 26*251 27*264 21097 19483 20*276 14 269 18 254 23*255 19483 17937 18 278 12 268 13 260 16 244 17937 16527 16 274 12 268 13 261 13 235 16527 15262 14 269 12 268 12 263 11 232 15262 14120 13 265 11 266 12 265 9 232 14120 13083 11 257 11 265 12 267 7 236 13083 12140 11 251 11 263 12 270 6 244 12140 11284 10 247 11 262 12 271 6 256 11284 10509 10 244 11 260 12 272 6 272 10509 9806 10 242 11 259 11 272 6 286 9806 9162 9 239 11 258 11 273 6 297 9162 8579 9 237 10 257 11 273 7 305 8579 8083 9 235 10 256 11 273 7 310 8083 7695 8 233 10 254 10 273 7 313 7695 7425 8 233 9 254 10 273 6 316 7425 7259 8 232 9 253 9 273 4 321 7259 7164 6 231 7 253 7 273 3 322 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography