DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 56.6 - - - - - 41.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 202 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 136 - - 1190 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7146 - - 9519 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9146 - - 10200 - - - - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 692 - - 799 - - - - - 1832 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 266 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 192 - - - - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4332 - - -4500 - - - - - -3193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13479 - - 14700 - - - - - 10356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14035 - - -12666 - - - - - -13602 ODpotential blCL - - - 23181 - - 22866 - - - - - 20765 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 67 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 56.6 - - - - - 41.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.2 - - 17.9 - - - - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 58.9 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 17.0 - - - - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 202 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 136 - - 1190 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97495 7 213 7 253 5 346 97495 90277 8 130 10 170 5 050 90277 84681 10 133 8 145 2 008 84681 80032 4 032 6 136 11 260 80032 76030 9 299 7 307 11 266 76030 72487 11 270 14 281 11 293 72487 69281 12 266 14 274 12 302 69281 66348 16 250 15 277 17 305 66348 63644 12 244 14 254 22 296 63644 61034 12 282 12 256 26 278 61034 58317 17 277 19 269 32 267 58317 55500 15 278 22 266 34 255 55500 52818 19 304 23 287 28 263 52818 50417 21 306 26 288 28 273 50417 48265 18 302 23 281 28 272 48265 46302 15 298 21 276 26 272 46302 44495 16 316 19 283 25 274 44495 42823 19 320 20 294 24 278 42823 41266 19 319 22 301 24 283 41266 39812 17 330 21 307 22 285 39812 38449 19 338 20 312 19 281 38449 37146 18 335 18 312 16 285 37146 35840 17 329 17 312 15 299 35840 34509 16 321 16 313 14 306 34509 33157 14 320 14 315 12 301 33157 31774 13 321 12 322 9 286 31774 30351 12 322 12 326 8 273 30351 28889 13 325 13 330 7 273 28889 27392 15 331 12 331 7 272 27392 25861 16 336 10 339 9 255 25861 24303 16 337 10 343 10 238 24303 22709 13 321 9 336 11 243 22709 21075 11 292 8 296 12 254 21075 19428 12 283 11 280 12 258 19428 17851 11 279 12 273 13 258 17851 16415 10 263 12 260 16 259 16415 15131 9 242 14 246 17 259 15131 13976 10 227 15 238 18 259 13976 12933 12 218 15 234 17 257 12933 11991 13 211 15 231 17 254 11991 11141 13 205 15 230 16 249 11141 10378 13 199 13*227 16 242 10378 9692 12*193 10*218 15 232 9692 9069 10*184 7 194 12 219 9069 8508 7 167 7 189 8 197 8508 8035 5 157 7 186 5 157 8035 7666 5 156 7 184 5 128 7666 7409 5 156 7 181 4 113 7409 7252 4 157 7 181 3*085 7252 7162 4 159 6 181 2*055 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography