DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.5 - - 26.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.1 - - 22.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 12 - - 11 - - -5 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 105 - - 198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 9115 - - 9208 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1531 - - 972 - - 985 - - 2665 - - 1284 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 48 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 251 - - 258 - - 266 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 18 - - 17 - - 20 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 16 - - 14 - - 11 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1955 - - 2048 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 7161 - - 7160 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5771 - - -1916 - - 948 - - -1285 - - -4255 ODpotential blCL 12932 - - 11031 - - 8260 - - 8447 - - 11417 blCL maxRH 92 - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.5 - - 26.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.1 - - 22.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.1 - - 22.2 - - 26.3 - - 26.1 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.4 - - 29.9 - - 32.5 - - 33.0 - - 29.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.7 - - 21.2 - - 25.7 - - 27.6 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 12 - - 11 - - -5 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 105 - - 198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 82 - - 101 - - 91 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 15 084 12 082 9 059 18 057 14 048 96350 89183 21 047 15 056 7 069 17 028 19 036 89183 83629 18 028 19 055 10 062 19 006 24 032 83629 78989 15 036 14 044 16 042 14 013 22 038 78989 74966 13 026 9 029 6 038 13 013 19 003 74966 71397 22 000 22 351 24 004 22 011 16 020 71397 68167 20 330 22 315 31 343 37 350 23 355 68167 65218 15 329 28 316 32 310 33 316 20 318 65218 62488 21 329 28 323 27 312 31 299 28 307 62488 59833 27 334 30 339 27 318 35 303 39 306 59833 57055 50 322 42 322 38 315 46 315 43 306 57055 54168 57 308 62 306 57 308 57 313 50 306 54168 51414 67 303 69 303 63 303 63 303 54 307 51414 48938 72 302 70 297 69 300 67 300 60 307 48938 46721 70 303 69 299 72 298 67 301 66 304 46721 44715 72 304 80 304 75 300 66 301 68 302 44715 42886 84 302 89 299 79 301 66 301 65 301 42886 41206 91 302 92 295 81 300 71 304 59 302 41206 39649 100 305 90 295 86 300 78 303 54 305 39649 38197 108 306 92 298 92 300 83 300 54 307 38197 36844 109 306 102 301 96 300 84 296 58 308 36844 35558 109 307 106 301 97 299 83 295 62 307 35558 34284 108 308 104 302 95 299 83 296 65 305 34284 32993 107 310 100 303 90 301 83 298 69 302 32993 31694 104 311 95 305 86 304 82 298 73 298 31694 30372 99 312 90 306 84 305 79 298 77 294 30372 29018 91 312 84 308 82 306 76 299 77 293 29018 27632 78 311 77 311 77 305 74 299 72 293 27632 26215 62 307 72 316 71 304 72 300 66 294 26215 24770 56 304 67 318 66 302 69 299 62 297 24770 23299 56 306 62 317 61 299 65 300 58 300 23299 21800 56 307 54 312 55 298 59 304 55 305 21800 20266 56 308 48 305 53 299 50 304 51 309 20266 18724 56 307 46 302 51 301 39 298 46 310 18724 17251 53 304 44 302 48 303 37 292 43 307 17251 15913 47 299 42 302 44 304 36 293 42 304 15913 14716 40 292 40 301 42 303 36 296 41 303 14716 13637 35 286 39 299 41 301 35 297 41 303 13637 12660 33 282 38 296 39 298 34 297 41 304 12660 11774 32 281 35 292 37 295 34 295 40 306 11774 10970 31 283 32 287 34 293 34 293 38 307 10970 10246 31 284 28 282 29 290 33 290 37 306 10246 9593 29 286 23*276 24*285 30 287 35 303 9593 8995 26 289 18*269 18*277 25 284 32 298 8995 8457 21 294 13 260 13 268 20 279 27 293 8457 8001 15 300 8 246 9 253 14 271 20 289 8001 7646 9 312 5 224 6 234 9 258 13 286 7646 7398 5 330 4 195 5 225 6 237 7 280 7398 7247 2*028 3 178 5 219 4*217 2*263 7247 7161 2*078 2 174 4 212 2*172 5*114 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography