DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 8.1 - - 19.7 - - 21.6 - - 20.3 - - 11.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - 75 - - 105 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3414 - - 4586 - - 4365 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 10579 - - 11674 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 12424 - - 13596 - - 13375 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2389 - - 897 - - 763 - - 907 - - 4256 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 277 - - 343 - - 208 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 25 - - 27 - - 29 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 297 - - 305 - - 311 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 33 - - 23 - - 31 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -18 - - -24 - - -27 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -268 - - 4741 - - 5810 - - 5560 - - -750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7429 - - 7683 - - 7786 - - 7815 - - 7912 sfcLCL ODpotential -3509 - - 1417 - - 2449 - - 1957 - - -4373 ODpotential blCL 10670 - - 11007 - - 11147 - - 11418 - - 11534 blCL maxRH 81 - - 86 - - 100 - - 81 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 8.1 - - 19.7 - - 21.6 - - 20.3 - - 11.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.3 - - 11.5 - - 13.0 - - 11.6 - - 2.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.9 - - 23.0 - - 24.8 - - 24.2 - - 19.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.1 - - 10.4 - - 12.0 - - 10.5 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - 75 - - 105 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3414 - - 4586 - - 4365 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 45 - - 98 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 8 141 4 299 6 248 4 342 6 031 96427 89294 6 130 1 272 3 275 6 092 4 280 89294 83784 2 199 2 146 5 290 2 218 4 258 83784 79170 2 168 7 237 7 268 9 295 7 282 79170 75165 8 310 2 207 10 232 10 244 11 247 75165 71606 19 264 10 314 6 018 8 302 5 287 71606 68365 30 275 34 269 32 275 29 275 23 301 68365 65392 26 271 33 251 36 260 30 273 30 292 65392 62625 26 282 29 281 32 267 32 272 29 278 62625 59913 39 281 33 285 26 277 29 276 24 285 59913 57054 46 277 37 284 37 279 41 290 34 297 57054 54074 48 277 48 279 54 278 52 289 43 293 54074 51243 54 274 57 275 61 277 52 292 51 291 51243 48715 58 276 61 276 60 282 56 295 57 297 48715 46466 63 284 61 280 62 287 62 297 65 305 46466 44446 68 284 64 285 68 290 74 296 78 306 44446 42626 71 280 69 288 75 295 86 300 88 309 42626 40967 72 282 79 297 94 302 107 306 104 311 40967 39430 81 289 110 302 127 303 128 306 120 306 39430 37997 96 293 134 297 141 297 133 303 125 303 37997 36662 105 294 124 294 127 293 129 302 127 305 36662 35389 113 296 123 303 113 299 124 303 129 309 35389 34117 124 296 138 308 120 310 119 304 130 311 34117 32817 137 296 146 308 132 312 118 308 129 312 32817 31497 146 293 144 305 133 308 121 310 128 311 31497 30147 147 290 143 302 134 306 125 310 127 310 30147 28758 145 288 142 300 136 305 127 310 125 309 28758 27335 140 288 141 297 137 304 129 310 123 310 27335 25881 130 289 143 297 137 303 131 310 119 313 25881 24401 115 289 143 299 139 306 135 311 118 316 24401 22900 102 285 123 297 132 308 134 314 120 318 22900 21375 96 278 97 286 108 304 121 314 116 318 21375 19828 96 274 92 276 85 291 99 311 103 317 19828 18294 95 272 94 277 83 279 76 304 82 316 18294 16849 90 274 88 282 80 280 65 297 61 313 16849 15553 82 277 76 287 70 287 61 295 49 310 15553 14403 72 282 63 291 55*295 53*297 44 308 14403 13372 62 286 53*293 34*303 40*304 42 308 13372 12440 52 289 41*294 31 305 35 310 40 310 12440 11595 43 292 31 295 29 306 32 312 37 313 11595 10828 38 295 30 297 28 306 31 313 35 316 10828 10137 35 299 27 298 27 306 30 313 32 318 10137 9510 33 305 25 298 26 306 29 313 30 320 9510 8936 29 311 22 298 25 305 27 313 26 321 8936 8417 25 317 19 298 24 305 24 312 23 323 8417 7976 20 321 17 298 23 304 22 312 19 325 7976 7631 16 324 15 298 21 304 19 312 15 327 7631 7391 12 325 14 298 19 303 17 312 11 329 7391 7244 8*329 12 298 16 303 14 311 7*332 7244 7160 4*344 8 299 10 302 9 311 3*342 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography