DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.5 - - 62.0 - - 67.3 - - 67.4 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 194 - - 301 - - 61 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3483 - - 5502 - - 5834 - - 992 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 11181 - - 12904 - - 12088 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 12493 - - 14512 - - 14844 - - 10002 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2605 - - 1701 - - 2018 - - 2003 - - 3918 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 381 - - 508 - - 308 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 16 - - 25 - - 31 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 226 - - 236 - - 290 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3037 - - -300 - - -305 - - 104 - - -2469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10200 - - 12793 - - 14818 - - 14740 - - 12472 sfcLCL ODpotential -10977 - - -6076 - - -5145 - - -4570 - - -9000 ODpotential blCL 18140 - - 18569 - - 19657 - - 19414 - - 19002 blCL maxRH 41 - - 39 - - 41 - - 85 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.5 - - 62.0 - - 67.3 - - 67.4 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 30.8 - - 27.1 - - 27.6 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 64.3 - - 69.0 - - 70.5 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 29.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.9 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 194 - - 301 - - 61 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3483 - - 5502 - - 5834 - - 992 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97972 3 156 6 187 9 195 4 235 3 305 97972 90639 2 057 2 106 8 156 7 237 6 280 90639 84991 2 289 2 158 5 159 1 177 6 319 84991 80318 4 108 6 131 5 152 5 049 10 016 80318 76304 12 072 3 089 7 104 3 057 6 036 76304 72766 15 050 3 075 7 081 2 148 2 139 72766 69568 8 034 2 120 4 041 4 094 5 126 69568 66624 1 076 3 133 1 001 7 066 6 085 66624 63883 2 028 4 131 2 196 3 052 6 034 63883 61215 4 342 3 107 5 200 4 303 6 317 61215 58432 11 299 3 279 7 256 11 286 11 289 58432 55558 16 267 10 290 10 269 15 278 16 278 55558 52823 15 263 15 291 15 276 20 269 23 273 52823 50359 20 282 23 283 27 278 31 273 30 277 50359 48150 28 282 29 275 37 277 41 274 35 277 48150 46144 33 282 34 273 42 273 45 276 40 277 46144 44304 34 285 37 274 40 275 44 276 42 278 44304 42605 34 288 36 274 38 276 42 275 41 273 42605 41032 34 290 32 276 36 273 42 274 39 271 41032 39571 33 291 30 281 34 276 46 275 45 275 39571 38207 30 293 29 286 34 278 53 277 58 276 38207 36905 28 297 29 288 34 278 55 277 59 277 36905 35600 27 301 28 285 31 277 52 280 50 281 35600 34265 25 302 27 283 31 279 45 282 41 276 34265 32910 23 301 27 282 31 280 38 276 33 282 32910 31525 21 298 26 280 30 281 30 275 24 282 31525 30103 19 295 24 277 27 280 25 282 20 272 30103 28646 18 291 23 276 25 278 22 284 20 268 28646 27156 16 290 22 276 24 279 21 283 19 268 27156 25639 14 294 19 277 24 281 21 285 18 272 25639 24097 13 289 16 282 20 285 20 289 16 278 24097 22528 12 286 14 289 15 287 16 289 14 279 22528 20924 10 282 12 293 13 288 13 289 13 282 20924 19311 8 280 10 280 10 291 11 294 12 286 19311 17767 6 286 8 262 8 283 8 296 9 285 17767 16366 5 300 6 258 6 265 5 291 6 273 16366 15114 4 320 3 261 4*258 2*322 3 224 15114 13987 3 343 2 259 3*270 3*014 4 090 13987 12966 2 357 1*247 3 267 4 003 8 066 12966 12038 2 344 2*244 3 261 4 349 6 050 12038 11196 2 299 3 240 3 254 3 328 4 013 11196 10436 3 275 4 234 4 242 3 305 3*333 10436 9747 4 262 5 230 4 232 3 255 4*287 9747 9116 5 256 5 226 5 224 4 236 5 258 9116 8545 5 253 5 223 5 220 4 226 6 240 8545 8060 4 256 5 218 5 214 4 222 7 230 8060 7681 3 273 5 214 6 211 4 219 6 224 7681 7417 2 327 5 213 5 210 4 217 4 220 7417 7256 3*350 4 211 5 209 4 216 1 209 7256 7163 3*354 4 209 5 208 4 214 0 202 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography