DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.5 - - 34.1 - - 39.7 - - 36.5 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 4 - - 6 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1221 - - 339 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 10231 - - 9349 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 732 - - 2330 - - 1573 - - 1831 - - 2262 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 90 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 351 - - 338 - - 342 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -17 - - -5 - - 7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -22 - - 2573 - - 2188 - - -1016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7185 - - 7658 - - 7161 - - 8179 sfcLCL ODpotential -6437 - - -5287 - - -1854 - - -2037 - - -6643 ODpotential blCL 13599 - - 12449 - - 12085 - - 11386 - - 13805 blCL maxRH 84 - - 79 - - 73 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.5 - - 34.1 - - 39.7 - - 36.5 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 28.0 - - 31.5 - - 31.8 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.3 - - 40.4 - - 45.1 - - 44.4 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 28.1 - - 30.4 - - 31.8 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 4 - - 6 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1221 - - 339 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95886 46 303 38 299 48 307 46 326 26 314 95886 89024 26 336 19 319 30 307 33 319 24 329 89024 83669 20 337 13 321 19 311 21 323 15 337 83669 79157 20 344 20 316 26 323 25 329 20 354 79157 75229 20 346 21 329 24 331 24 327 28 342 75229 71759 30 325 16 334 23 343 21 328 27 337 71759 68607 30 314 19 315 24 323 20 323 20 338 68607 65676 31 323 19 323 25 321 25 333 25 349 65676 62944 36 326 27 345 29 337 33 336 32 343 62944 60299 36 320 32 327 30 334 33 335 36 344 60299 57539 33 313 31 324 29 335 31 343 41 337 57539 54676 31 322 36 331 31 346 37 345 42 339 54676 51946 38 337 45 337 43 349 44 346 43 345 51946 49494 44 342 50 338 51 346 49 354 45 350 49494 47316 49 343 53 344 55 347 55 359 49 353 47316 45369 54 349 62 354 58 358 63 351 49 004 45369 43608 70 354 71 003 60 001 55 351 51 009 43608 41990 73 355 76 011 67 010 52 009 59 011 41990 40486 79 015 88 012 79 014 64 010 68 010 40486 39074 93 021 93 009 82 011 72 004 72 008 39074 37746 87 015 93 009 79 010 73 359 70 007 37746 36472 75 008 85 014 74 011 68 359 63 007 36472 35195 67 002 71 016 73 009 62 001 58 006 35195 33890 60 355 55 005 74 005 63 359 49 003 33890 32562 61 345 56 356 69 359 60 354 47 001 32562 31200 58 341 60 353 61 352 55 356 46 360 31200 29794 51 343 57 350 55 349 49 349 47 359 29794 28349 47 343 53 345 53 349 47 342 47 001 28349 26868 44 339 52 343 53 347 45 343 47 000 26868 25356 42 334 49 343 50 344 43 344 49 351 25356 23820 40 331 43 341 46 344 42 343 47 345 23820 22258 36 331 38 340 39 344 39 343 40 342 22258 20664 34 332 34 339 34 342 35 345 33 340 20664 19065 33 333 31 338 30 338 30 345 29 340 19065 17538 34 333 27 336 26 334 26 341 26 339 17538 16151 35 331 24 334 23 330 24 337 25 340 16151 14913 36 330 22 332 20 327 22 334 23 342 14913 13799 35 327 22 330 18 326 19 331 21 344 13799 12793 33 325 21 329 16 327 16 329 19 344 12793 11882 31 324 21 329 15 329 14 328 16 343 11882 11059 29 324 21 330 14 332 12 328 14 343 11059 10318 27 325 20 331 13*336 10 330 11 343 10318 9649 25 327 20 333 12*339 8*333 9 343 9649 9038 23 330 18 336 10 341 6*339 6 344 9038 8488 20 333 16 342 7 339 4 345 4 350 8488 8021 17 336 13 347 5 333 3 350 2 359 8021 7658 13 337 10 351 4 334 1 338 2 017 7658 7405 10 339 7 353 2 327 0 243 3 024 7405 7250 7*343 5*355 2 317 1 189 3*019 7250 7161 3*000 2*360 1 312 1 193 3*009 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography