DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 60.7 - - 56.4 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 120 - - 32 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7574 - - 4098 - - 1651 - - 843 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14496 - - 11437 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16584 - - 13108 - - 10661 - - 9853 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1800 - - 1956 - - 1697 - - 2528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 547 - - 352 - - 166 - - 56 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 248 - - 271 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 8 - - -3 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3953 - - 4529 - - 3492 - - 2213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12631 - - 8579 - - 7170 - - 7640 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2311 - - 1598 - - 648 - - -2068 ODpotential blCL - - - 14273 - - 11510 - - 10013 - - 11921 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 340 - - 330 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 60.7 - - 56.4 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 47.4 - - 49.1 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 63.4 - - 59.9 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 46.2 - - 48.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 120 - - 32 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7574 - - 4098 - - 1651 - - 843 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99481 19 095 25 103 19 108 17 103 99481 91956 16 112 14 072 17 097 13 085 91956 86144 12 096 9 112 9 075 12 081 86144 81310 11 075 10 121 7 075 12 086 81310 77143 7 101 8 097 7 131 8 080 77143 73472 7 109 7 080 9 119 7 098 73472 70147 6 111 4 146 1 085 8 075 70147 67083 5 094 7 156 3 257 2 027 67083 64253 2 138 6 165 6 263 2 002 64253 61521 1 199 7 179 9 225 7 268 61521 58681 6 261 7 243 10 221 14 244 58681 55750 9 262 11 257 10 233 20 226 55750 52960 25 256 23 252 20 259 21 233 52960 50451 36 240 35 245 35 249 30 241 50451 48203 41 236 41 235 41 237 38 236 48203 46163 44 232 43 232 42 231 41 232 46163 44291 47 230 44 229 43 229 44 229 44291 42564 48 230 43 227 43 225 47 225 42564 40965 49 230 42 225 44 223 49 224 40965 39484 45 225 45 222 45 223 47 225 39484 38108 38 223 47 219 41 221 46 224 38108 36801 35 224 43 217 32 215 51 220 36801 35499 38 220 37 216 31 211 55 217 35499 34172 39 221 36 214 30 212 57 216 34172 32824 38 223 37 203 29 211 54 215 32824 31442 36 222 34 205 29 210 52 215 31442 30020 35 217 32 209 29 210 46 220 30020 28562 33 212 30 208 26 212 37 226 28562 27071 32 213 29 205 24 216 32 228 27071 25550 31 213 28 201 24 221 30 228 25550 24002 28 209 27 198 25 221 28 226 24002 22426 22 205 26 194 25 225 25 227 22426 20817 17 201 24 187 21 250 18 245 20817 19207 13 213 14 192 14 250 12 278 19207 17676 10*243 6 193 4 221 7 330 17676 16287 9*262 4 319 4 271 9 333 16287 15045 9 261 7 325 6 306 11 325 15045 13927 9 255 8*311 7 326 11 323 13927 12914 9 249 8*288 8 334 13 325 12914 11994 9 236 8 271 8 330 12 325 11994 11160 10 225 8 261 8*311 10 321 11160 10406 10 214 8 251 8*294 7*310 10406 9723 11 206 7 243 7 278 3*274 9723 9098 12 200 7 232 6 269 3 231 9098 8533 12 195 6 226 4 265 4 201 8533 8052 12 192 6 222 3 254 4 187 8052 7677 12 191 6 217 2 235 4 177 7677 7415 12 190 5 214 1 224 4 178 7415 7255 11 189 5 213 1 222 4 179 7255 7163 9 188 4 211 1 218 3 182 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography