DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 55.7 - - 60.7 - - 61.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 330 - - 425 - - 199 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 318 - - 3212 - - 4123 - - 3967 - - 157 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11169 - - 11949 - - 11550 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 9328 - - 12222 - - 13133 - - 12977 - - 9167 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1557 - - 1394 - - 1377 - - 1732 - - 2182 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 443 - - 519 - - 400 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 291 - - 281 - - 286 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 13 - - 17 - - 18 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 16 - - 14 - - -14 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 59 - - 2002 - - 861 - - -703 - - -1963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9270 - - 10220 - - 12273 - - 13680 - - 11131 sfcLCL ODpotential -7150 - - -3639 - - -6062 - - -7739 - - -9190 ODpotential blCL 16478 - - 15861 - - 19195 - - 20716 - - 18357 blCL maxRH 54 - - 60 - - 57 - - 70 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 55.7 - - 60.7 - - 61.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 35.7 - - 31.7 - - 26.0 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 57.4 - - 62.0 - - 63.5 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 34.6 - - 30.4 - - 24.8 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 330 - - 425 - - 199 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 318 - - 3212 - - 4123 - - 3967 - - 157 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98423 15 132 8 101 17 092 8 089 3 106 98423 90961 14 142 4 157 4 029 9 094 3 121 90961 85208 8 088 13 183 11 246 8 347 7 089 85208 80422 5 005 7 175 10 192 8 245 7 049 80422 76294 1 295 5 236 5 170 5 220 4 348 76294 72656 2 244 9 238 8 245 4 287 2 265 72656 69359 3 295 4 230 10 259 4 276 3 238 69359 66326 9 278 5 283 11 281 9 292 5 290 66326 63520 9 280 5 278 10 260 13 277 8 312 63520 60809 16 300 10 314 6 280 8 271 20 295 60809 58001 26 307 22 301 18 289 20 292 22 286 58001 55102 28 314 21 301 21 296 21 285 25 283 55102 52340 31 313 30 300 26 297 25 283 30 275 52340 49857 40 307 41 298 40 291 38 285 35 274 49857 47636 48 304 47 293 48 289 48 284 40 278 47636 45628 53 305 49 292 53 286 53 284 41 282 45628 43803 58 304 50 292 50 287 52 287 43 287 43803 42137 58 298 49 287 45 288 46 290 47 292 42137 40604 53 297 47 284 43 288 40 292 47 290 40604 39175 49 300 46 286 41 289 38 295 43 285 39175 37833 48 304 45 287 40 292 37 295 39 284 37833 36550 47 306 44 288 39 295 37 295 35 284 36550 35264 45 305 42 291 38 297 36 296 33 286 35264 33950 41 304 40 293 37 298 35 297 35 289 33950 32614 38 303 39 292 39 299 36 297 37 292 32614 31246 37 301 39 293 43 301 39 297 39 292 31246 29840 37 299 41 296 47 302 45 297 42 292 29840 28400 39 299 46 298 49 303 50 296 46 290 28400 26928 40 300 51 298 50 302 54 296 49 290 26928 25428 40 302 51 297 50 300 54 297 49 289 25428 23904 39 304 48 296 49 297 50 297 47 288 23904 22351 37 308 44 294 46 294 46 294 43 288 22351 20763 34 309 41 292 43 293 43 290 40 287 20763 19168 31 309 38 291 40 293 40 288 38 286 19168 17643 29 307 35 291 37 291 36 287 36 285 17643 16257 27 305 31 292 35 289 34 287 35 285 16257 15017 26 304 28 294 33 287 31 287 33 284 15017 13901 25 303 25 294 30*284 29*286 32 283 13901 12890 25 303 23*293 25*281 26*285 31 283 12890 11972 25 304 21*292 21 279 22 283 29 284 11972 11141 25 305 19 291 16 277 18 283 27 286 11141 10390 24 307 18 291 15 277 16 284 24 289 10390 9710 23*310 16 291 15 279 15 285 21*293 9710 9088 20*314 14 291 14 281 15 288 18*297 9088 8525 17 320 13 291 14 284 14 290 15 304 8525 8047 13 326 12 291 13 286 13 292 12 312 8047 7674 10 330 11 291 13 287 13 294 10 320 7674 7414 8 332 10 291 12 289 11 295 7 334 7414 7254 7 334 9 291 11 289 10 296 6 344 7254 7162 5 332 8 291 9 290 8 296 4 350 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography