DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 63.8 - - 57.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 297 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9135 - - 6423 - - 3563 - - 1811 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15740 - - 13640 - - 10909 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18145 - - 15433 - - 12573 - - 10821 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1908 - - 1991 - - 2090 - - 2614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 581 - - 538 - - 311 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 21 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 258 - - 338 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 34 - - -37 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5606 - - 5080 - - 4183 - - 2538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12540 - - 10354 - - 8390 - - 8283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2854 - - 1695 - - 701 - - -1487 ODpotential blCL - - - 15291 - - 13738 - - 11872 - - 12308 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 79 - - 97 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 780 - - 380 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 63.8 - - 57.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 42.8 - - 44.9 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 65.9 - - 60.5 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 42.0 - - 43.8 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 297 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9135 - - 6423 - - 3563 - - 1811 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 16 - - 89 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99097 28 084 23 110 21 087 25 104 99097 91569 21 091 19 095 21 095 25 088 91569 85767 20 114 18 095 20 098 19 091 85767 80961 20 100 13 100 16 084 20 114 80961 76840 13 106 12 110 12 096 14 098 76840 73204 13 115 9 100 14 091 12 088 73204 69909 8 117 8 106 8 085 10 088 69909 66871 8 100 6 126 2 129 7 059 66871 64052 3 137 7 173 10 248 5 306 64052 61335 4 283 8 270 12 273 7 252 61335 58510 14 272 19 263 20 260 14 268 58510 55573 22 267 25 255 28 263 21 270 55573 52764 25 265 26 261 30 262 29 269 52764 50230 33 262 33 260 33 264 32 266 50230 47952 38 262 38 262 37 268 35 270 47952 45883 41 260 38 263 36 268 39 269 45883 43990 42 260 37 265 36 271 40 268 43990 42248 42 256 37 269 37 274 40 274 42248 40640 34 250 38 264 37 272 39 282 40640 39157 20 238 27 256 29 269 38 279 39157 37794 11 229 14 245 19 269 23 278 37794 36512 9 208 8 256 7 280 16 278 36512 35233 14 194 7 220 2 335 12 286 35233 33925 16 194 7 182 1 014 14 287 33925 32594 11 189 5 181 1 311 14 282 32594 31227 10 191 5 157 4 306 13 280 31227 29819 9 183 5 113 4 301 11 280 29819 28374 12 212 2 019 5 287 8 279 28374 26898 17 225 7 235 9 282 5 287 26898 25395 18 236 16 238 10 283 6 293 25395 23870 21 237 20 247 11 281 8 299 23870 22319 24 242 23 249 12 287 10 304 22319 20736 25 249 24 252 11 301 16 299 20736 19144 23*256 26 252 12 306 18 300 19144 17622 19*259 26 249 15 312 21 305 17622 16240 18 258 24*248 16 313 25 310 16240 15005 17 257 21*248 15 312 29 314 15005 13893 17 254 18 248 15 319 31 318 13893 12887 16 251 17 250 17*327 31 319 12887 11973 16 247 17 252 20*333 30 321 11973 11143 15 243 17 255 22 337 29*321 11143 10394 15 241 17 259 22 339 26*322 10394 9715 15 238 18 264 23 340 24 324 9715 9093 15 236 18 266 22 339 21 327 9093 8530 14 235 18 268 22 340 17 331 8530 8051 14 234 18 269 22 339 15 333 8051 7676 13 232 17 270 21 339 13 335 7676 7415 13 232 16 271 19 339 10 336 7415 7255 12 231 15 272 16 338 9 337 7255 7163 9 230 11 271 10 337 5 337 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography