DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.2 - - 44.2 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 292 - - 121 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7817 - - 5498 - - 3024 - - 1661 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14532 - - 12896 - - 10637 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16827 - - 14508 - - 12034 - - 10671 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2001 - - 3451 - - 2308 - - 2361 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 505 - - 506 - - 314 - - 102 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 18 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 325 - - 309 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 27 - - 46 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 7304 - - 5328 - - 4707 - - 2799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9524 - - 9180 - - 7327 - - 7873 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 3887 - - 3012 - - 2193 - - -439 ODpotential blCL - - - 12940 - - 11496 - - 9841 - - 11110 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 260 - - 270 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.2 - - 44.2 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.7 - - 31.6 - - 36.7 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 49.1 - - 47.1 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 30.8 - - 35.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 292 - - 121 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7817 - - 5498 - - 3024 - - 1661 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 72 - - 96 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99423 33 105 24 103 29 098 31 101 99423 91857 27 095 20 105 23 090 28 090 91857 86055 23 097 18 113 16 086 23 088 86055 81243 14 110 19 084 16 115 18 084 81243 77089 14 124 12 085 21 095 17 106 77089 73425 17 119 11 153 14 070 18 098 73425 70099 8 084 15 140 7 155 12 069 70099 67022 3 033 15 107 11 140 9 118 67022 64167 8 176 4 117 8 105 10 122 64167 61404 5 139 9 138 5 137 8 116 61404 58510 8 217 6 081 8 121 7 135 58510 55488 18 172 15 201 10 176 3 187 55488 52593 9 205 9 203 13 180 11 206 52593 49977 16 225 11 224 9 248 4 238 49977 47626 16 222 13 226 10 249 7 263 47626 45494 18 217 14 237 10 243 10 259 45494 43548 19 222 13 247 9 231 12 252 43548 41759 19 230 14 248 6 246 10 250 41759 40102 18 235 13 233 5 274 8 247 40102 38563 18 234 12 221 7 303 1 001 38563 37137 18 227 7 215 7 303 6 050 37137 35800 15 216 0 236 2 035 21 055 35800 34492 11 213 5 068 12 070 48 061 34492 33177 9 207 15 072 26 067 62 061 33177 31854 8 158 27 080 43 061 58 056 31854 30505 17 100 50 082 52 061 55 052 30505 29123 35 086 57 074 51 059 47 047 29123 27711 45 085 53 070 48 058 42 044 27711 26272 43 087 49 069 46 058 40 041 26272 24808 37 092 43 071 44 058 35 035 24808 23325 29 100 34 074 34 063 31 030 23325 21816 16 110 23 079 22 059 28 029 21816 20276 8 155 16 084 20 036 20 029 20276 18734 7 207 14 070 22 015 11 024 18734 17264 6*233 12 043 22 009 9 021 17264 15931 6*248 13 028 20 009 7 014 15931 14740 5 249 12*026 17 005 5 352 14740 13666 4 254 10*018 14 357 6 335 13666 12694 4 267 9 000 13*347 9 331 12694 11811 4 301 9 341 13*334 13 329 11811 11008 6 316 11 326 16 321 17*326 11008 10284 9 321 12 318 19 312 21*323 10284 9628 10 322 13 313 20 307 23 321 9628 9027 10 322 13 310 20 305 23 320 9027 8483 10 323 13 309 20 304 22 319 8483 8020 10 322 12 306 20 302 21 318 8020 7658 9 322 11 305 19 301 18 317 7658 7406 9 322 11 304 17 301 15 316 7406 7251 8 322 10 304 15 300 13 315 7251 7162 6 322 7 302 10 299 8 314 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography