DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 36.0 - - 39.4 - - 35.6 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - -5 - - 8 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1164 - - 595 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 10174 - - 9605 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 670 - - 3245 - - 2717 - - 1791 - - 3093 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 15 - - 99 - - 40 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 336 - - 270 - - 251 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -15 - - 6 - - 11 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1521 - - -2549 - - 754 - - 1084 - - -710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8683 - - 9712 - - 9420 - - 8521 - - 7873 sfcLCL ODpotential -8232 - - -8599 - - -6641 - - -6760 - - -6500 ODpotential blCL 15394 - - 15761 - - 16815 - - 16365 - - 13662 blCL maxRH 90 - - 69 - - 57 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 36.0 - - 39.4 - - 35.6 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 19.0 - - 23.5 - - 23.7 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 42.1 - - 44.8 - - 43.4 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 17.9 - - 22.3 - - 22.5 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - -5 - - 8 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1164 - - 595 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96479 7 006 10 355 14 352 17 353 9 349 96479 89483 9 031 13 036 10 045 13 027 9 020 89483 84001 10 043 12 074 10 043 12 081 10 051 84001 79414 8 041 11 076 5 051 11 065 9 059 79414 75439 6 022 7 066 6 047 4 005 8 060 75439 71910 6 353 4 314 12 013 8 310 6 012 71910 68712 8 316 9 290 12 335 8 320 8 315 68712 65778 15 290 14 287 16 308 10 330 9 308 65778 63050 19 283 14 278 18 285 11 286 12 307 63050 60404 18 280 15 261 17 267 15 274 16 293 60404 57642 14 272 17 282 18 283 18 288 20 288 57642 54765 19 286 24 283 25 278 31 292 27 295 54765 52006 20 287 23 286 27 272 35 283 31 302 52006 49503 23 303 25 289 27 273 30 283 34 302 49503 47239 30 300 29 285 27 270 27 287 37 297 47239 45177 36 288 27 285 23 276 29 287 38 289 45177 43295 34 274 27 299 28 293 34 290 33 268 43295 41570 29 276 29 305 27 290 40 294 40 250 41570 39988 20 279 28 318 37 319 25 282 45 319 39988 38553 16 356 34 323 36 323 60 325 83 327 38553 37244 40 356 37 327 43 334 89 319 72 317 37244 36000 55 355 34 348 76 330 82 319 71 312 36000 34751 59 000 50 354 93 328 69 323 73 311 34751 33473 65 005 60 350 80 330 57 325 75 312 33473 32169 60 005 58 350 58 332 49 325 75 313 32169 30830 46 002 50 353 44 339 46 326 72 316 30830 29449 38 001 46 355 37 342 40 327 61 319 29449 28031 28 351 42 002 35 344 32 327 46 322 28031 26579 20 340 35 006 33 341 29 323 42 319 26579 25095 19 332 26 004 25 337 26 323 39 311 25095 23585 20 326 18 355 19 339 23 318 35 300 23585 22044 17 324 16 338 20 333 25 307 29 285 22044 20467 15 320 18 316 19 327 27 299 30 271 20467 18887 13 308 16 304 17 318 27 294 32 265 18887 17380 12 293 14 297 16 297 26 291 33 263 17380 16015 12 293 14 294 17 281 23 286 32 265 16015 14797 14 303 14 293 19 275 21 278 32 270 14797 13705 16 311 14 296 18 272 20 270 32 276 13705 12719 18 317 14 300 17 270 20 264 33 281 12719 11826 20 322 14 305 15 269 19 260 33 284 11826 11018 22 325 13 310 13 267 17 257 32 286 11018 10288 23 328 13 315 11*266 15 256 30 288 10288 9629 24 329 12 319 10*265 13*255 28 290 9629 9025 24 330 12 323 8 265 11*255 26 291 9025 8479 23 330 12 327 7 271 9 256 22 293 8479 8016 22 330 11 331 5 276 8 255 17 295 8016 7655 18 333 10 335 5 279 5 246 11 301 7655 7403 14 339 7 340 4 276 4 229 6 315 7403 7249 9*346 5*342 3 272 2 212 3*345 7249 7161 4*000 2*352 2 265 1 175 4*082 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography