DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 36.6 - - 36.7 - - 38.7 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 2 - - 18 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 61 - - 16 - - 293 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9071 - - 7162 - - 9303 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2501 - - 1443 - - 3042 - - 2257 - - 4165 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 25 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 162 - - 158 - - 181 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 17 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 22 - - 33 - - 30 - - 25 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1910 - - 1 - - 2142 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -4113 - - 675 - - -604 - - 1480 - - -896 ODpotential blCL 11275 - - 8396 - - 7766 - - 7823 - - 8058 blCL maxRH 91 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 36.6 - - 36.7 - - 38.7 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 34.5 - - 36.2 - - 38.6 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.6 - - 40.6 - - 40.4 - - 42.7 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 34.1 - - 35.9 - - 38.7 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 2 - - 18 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 61 - - 16 - - 293 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 102 - - 103 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96213 27 295 47 284 34 307 32 311 33 280 96213 89304 13 319 20 293 21 309 19 325 16 318 89304 83862 9 323 14 271 21 293 11 320 15 317 83862 79284 14 308 4 213 18 263 15 296 16 319 79284 75320 17 282 9 315 14 244 15 277 16 309 75320 71810 18 282 14 288 14 230 21 255 14 276 71810 68610 19 272 13 286 13 217 25 238 18 251 68610 65632 25 251 18 259 17 236 21 228 21 233 65632 62842 25 244 24 241 20 244 17 239 22 234 62842 60125 25 245 25 237 23 247 17 255 20 248 60125 57279 26 240 27 234 27 241 21 254 22 255 57279 54328 28 236 30 229 30 235 31 236 26 242 54328 51529 31 234 34 231 36 230 38 227 36 237 51529 49026 31 236 37 229 38 234 38 228 39 226 49026 46792 38 238 40 226 41 239 39 238 36 228 46792 44776 43 230 41 225 46 237 45 240 38 233 44776 42950 41 225 43 227 49 232 48 234 42 233 42950 41287 40 227 46 229 51 231 47 232 43 230 41287 39762 44 232 50 231 52 232 45 234 44 229 39762 38347 53 229 51 231 49 232 44 235 45 228 38347 37027 57 227 53 232 46 233 43 233 46 224 37027 35765 58 230 57 230 44 234 42 229 46 223 35765 34501 57 232 57 224 43 236 40 226 45 224 34501 33211 57 230 55 214 44 237 39 226 43 226 33211 31900 60 227 58 211 46 236 39 226 42 227 31900 30559 57 227 62 214 51 230 40 225 40 228 30559 29179 53 229 56 220 59 225 46 225 39 227 29179 27766 50 230 51 224 63 222 52 226 37 225 27766 26321 50 228 50 224 58 218 55 226 39 229 26321 24854 50 227 52 219 53 217 53 221 48 226 24854 23374 49 226 50 212 51 220 40 213 45 219 23374 21868 45 225 48 209 49 225 37 210 40 213 21868 20328 41 221 46 213 45 227 40 217 37 213 20328 18781 38 219 43 218 40 221 37 221 35 218 18781 17303 37 219 39 219 37 215 31 219 33 221 17303 15961 36 218 34 215 35 215 27 215 30 223 15961 14761 34 214 31 208 33 219 25 213 27 225 14761 13682 32 208 30 200 32 220 26 215 24 226 13682 12705 30 203 28 195 32 217 24 219 20 224 12705 11819 28 197 25 191 31 211 21 222 17 218 11819 11015 26 192 22 183 28 203 18 217 14 214 11015 10289 23 185 22 175 23 197 16 209 12 208 10289 9631 20 182 22*173 21 191 15*200 12 203 9631 9028 17 176 21*171 19 181 15*192 11 197 9028 8483 16 162 20 170 17 168 14 184 10 187 8483 8019 17 148 16 159 15 158 13 179 9 169 8019 7657 16 136 13 150 14 154 12 176 9 151 7657 7405 12 127 10 147 11 152 10 173 7 139 7405 7251 8*119 9 146 10*151 8 173 4*127 7251 7161 2*048 5 146 6*152 5 170 2*107 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography