DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 35.0 - - - - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - - - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2158 - - 2506 - - - - - 2498 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 8 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 21 - - - - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 249 - - - - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 24 - - - - - 29 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 19 - - - - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - - - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -455 - - -518 - - - - - -778 ODpotential blCL - - - 7617 - - 7680 - - - - - 7940 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 35.0 - - - - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 34.6 - - - - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 39.0 - - - - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 34.7 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 96 - - - - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96025 21 351 18 336 28 336 96025 88989 20 322 18 305 15 311 88989 83486 22 299 27 323 18 315 83486 78909 27 297 27 295 24 312 78909 74983 32 314 23 280 25 294 74983 71509 33 312 26 307 25 302 71509 68366 41 303 35 296 28 297 68366 65475 48 287 41 279 38 282 65475 62771 54 282 50 276 42 258 62771 60128 58 281 59 276 53 257 60128 57348 64 281 63 277 62 261 57348 54436 75 281 70 278 70 264 54436 51642 80 278 80 276 77 264 51642 49128 82 273 87 273 82 262 49128 46881 83 273 91 269 86 262 46881 44849 87 274 92 265 90 261 44849 42988 92 272 93 264 93 261 42988 41277 97 270 99 265 98 260 41277 39703 104 267 108 264 103 259 39703 38260 108 265 112 261 107 259 38260 36930 107 263 109 257 109 260 36930 35669 104 264 104 256 110 259 35669 34411 102 264 101 257 109 256 34411 33125 100 264 99 258 108 256 33125 31817 98 265 98 259 105 256 31817 30479 97 266 95 259 97 255 30479 29105 92 266 92 259 92 252 29105 27700 84 263 87 258 90 252 27700 26264 80 263 83 258 87 253 26264 24802 79 264 80 259 84 254 24802 23318 77 264 78 259 77 253 23318 21809 76 265 74 258 72 252 21809 20270 75 264 71 257 69 253 20270 18726 73 264 68 257 67 254 18726 17253 70 263 66 258 63 255 17253 15917 69 264 66 260 59 257 15917 14723 69 265 65 262 56 260 14723 13649 67 264 66 263 56 263 13649 12676 64 263 66 263 56 264 12676 11795 60 260 64 262 56 264 11795 10995 55 257 61 261 56 262 10995 10272 48 254 57 259 54 260 10272 9617 40 249 52 258 52 258 9617 9017 31 243 46 257 48 255 9017 8475 23 234 39 255 42 253 8475 8014 16 222 31 253 34 250 8014 7654 12 207 24 250 26 246 7654 7403 10 200 19 246 19 242 7403 7249 9*196 15*244 14*237 7249 7161 6*191 8*239 6*223 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography