DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 281 - - 40 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3915 - - 6385 - - 5215 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11490 - - 13567 - - 11096 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12925 - - 15395 - - 14225 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1552 - - 1120 - - 1539 - - 3663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 521 - - 258 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 289 - - 326 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 17 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 28 - - -17 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1959 - - 2368 - - 609 - - -3532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10967 - - 13028 - - 13617 - - 10697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2611 - - -2190 - - -4541 - - -9953 ODpotential blCL - - - 15536 - - 17585 - - 18766 - - 17117 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 69 - - 49 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 34.0 - - 29.4 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.4 - - 67.6 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 33.4 - - 29.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 281 - - 40 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3915 - - 6385 - - 5215 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97897 14 280 17 318 7 333 10 312 97897 90674 3 298 2 276 8 290 9 344 90674 85071 1 329 3 242 7 278 8 328 85071 80407 7 339 6 224 12 313 8 359 80407 76380 7 297 3 317 9 297 4 294 76380 72803 14 282 11 311 11 315 5 245 72803 69563 22 277 23 268 28 293 19 306 69563 66601 20 279 25 261 28 274 26 300 66601 63848 19 279 21 271 22 260 26 292 63848 61171 24 286 22 281 27 269 32 282 61171 58377 31 278 32 273 34 265 33 274 58377 55486 34 270 37 274 33 279 33 281 55486 52742 35 273 38 278 37 287 39 287 52742 50281 37 279 36 278 38 285 41 285 50281 48075 38 283 37 280 39 286 41 286 48075 46076 40 282 39 280 41 284 39 292 46076 44252 38 279 37 280 39 283 37 294 44252 42573 32 279 32 283 35 284 37 302 42573 41014 27 289 28 282 32 291 40 309 41014 39559 26 300 25 287 31 298 39 314 39559 38194 28 303 26 294 31 303 38 319 38194 36890 29 304 28 299 33 306 37 323 36890 35584 29 304 29 300 34 308 36 321 35584 34251 29 304 28 299 35 309 38 318 34251 32896 28 302 27 295 35 311 39 318 32896 31509 27 300 26 290 35 313 38 315 31509 30082 25 300 24 287 35 314 36 312 30082 28622 24 300 24 288 33 315 34 311 28622 27129 25 301 26 295 33 314 33 311 27129 25608 26 305 28 302 34 313 32 310 25608 24062 27 306 29 304 33 311 34 310 24062 22487 28 303 29 305 32 310 33 311 22487 20878 30 298 30 304 31 312 29 311 20878 19264 31 295 31 302 29 314 23 315 19264 17723 31 295 31 301 25 317 19 326 17723 16324 28 296 28*302 22 321 17 338 16324 15073 23 295 22*302 17*325 15 346 15073 13948 19*292 15 297 12*328 12 348 13948 12931 17*288 12 294 9 331 8 348 12931 12009 15 287 11 292 9 330 5 352 12009 11172 11 291 11 289 10 328 3 012 11172 10416 8 295 11 286 10 326 5 025 10416 9732 6 293 10 283 11 325 8 022 9732 9104 5 287 10 280 11 324 11 014 9104 8537 5 282 10 278 11 323 13 003 8537 8054 4 275 9 276 11 323 14 355 8054 7678 4 270 9 275 11 322 13 349 7678 7416 4 265 8 274 10 321 11 344 7416 7255 3 264 8 273 10 321 9*340 7255 7163 3 260 6 272 7 321 5*345 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography