DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 42.0 - - 41.6 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 116 - - 55 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3547 - - 3658 - - 3480 - - 1299 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11013 - - 11096 - - 10463 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12557 - - 12668 - - 12490 - - 10309 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2928 - - 3066 - - 2989 - - 3069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 335 - - 263 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 18 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 227 - - 251 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 17 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 20 - - 26 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5363 - - 5507 - - 5164 - - 3148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7194 - - 7161 - - 7326 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2671 - - 1520 - - 1529 - - -473 ODpotential blCL - - - 9886 - - 11148 - - 10961 - - 10782 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - 83 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 630 - - 250 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 42.0 - - 41.6 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 45.0 - - 44.9 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 35.0 - - 32.8 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 116 - - 55 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3547 - - 3658 - - 3480 - - 1299 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 51 - - 33 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96716 30 265 40 265 36 284 44 287 96716 89340 35 267 43 273 50 281 35 286 89340 83751 31 270 36 282 38 275 32 281 83751 79170 35 273 33 278 28 278 31 267 79170 75220 35 279 32 274 29 278 33 261 75220 71711 34 272 31 270 35 275 28 263 71711 68507 31 260 35 260 34 268 25 270 68507 65525 25 260 35 256 31 269 32 271 65525 62744 28 268 33 258 37 259 38 255 62744 60053 33 258 30 257 38 251 35 244 60053 57237 30 255 32 251 33 250 28 235 57237 54292 30 253 29 247 32 249 25 236 54292 51465 29 251 31 250 32 244 30 240 51465 48918 31 258 34 246 36 237 40 235 48918 46642 36 249 35 245 39 230 44 226 46642 44586 36 235 38 242 40 231 39 217 44586 42708 35 231 40 235 40 233 32 222 42708 40985 36 225 36 230 34 234 39 235 40985 39411 29 214 31 229 33 247 46 238 39411 37970 23 208 32 232 44 255 47 249 37970 36637 25 212 34 235 48 259 55 254 36637 35373 32 212 33 239 51 259 59 252 35373 34118 41 203 31 243 50 259 56 249 34118 32845 51 196 30 239 48 264 54 247 32845 31554 56 193 30 242 50 269 51 248 31554 30235 54 195 28 236 51 271 46 251 30235 28879 49 197 24 229 48 275 39 254 28879 27490 45 199 20 223 44 278 35 250 27490 26071 43 199 19 222 34 280 33 246 26071 24625 41 200 20 226 24 261 32 246 24625 23157 40 201 19 227 25 230 32 249 23157 21664 40 203 20 226 32 214 29 255 21664 20140 38 206 21 225 35 209 26 250 20140 18614 34 210 22 223 29 215 26 228 18614 17162 31 215 21 224 22 228 26 216 17162 15846 28 218 20 225 19 238 24 219 15846 14669 25 221 19 227 19 239 25 229 14669 13609 22 224 19*229 21 238 25 239 13609 12649 20*226 18*229 23*238 24 249 12649 11776 19*225 19 227 23*239 23 256 11776 10982 18 223 19 226 22 242 22*262 10982 10265 16 221 19 227 21 246 21*266 10265 9614 15 219 19 228 18 253 18 270 9614 9016 15 216 19 228 17 257 14 274 9016 8476 14 213 18 228 16 259 10 277 8476 8015 13 211 18 228 15 261 7 278 8015 7655 13 209 17 228 14 262 4 274 7655 7404 12 208 16 227 13 262 2 263 7404 7250 11 207 14 227 11 262 1 240 7250 7161 8 206 9 225 7 262 1 153 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography