DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.2 - - 58.5 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 406 - - 128 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5437 - - 6745 - - 6621 - - 3111 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12565 - - 14023 - - 13293 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14447 - - 15755 - - 15631 - - 12121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3592 - - 1125 - - 1388 - - 3085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 417 - - 601 - - 408 - - 36 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 25 - - 23 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 232 - - 227 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 29 - - 21 - - 18 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 22 - - 21 - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5715 - - 1892 - - 1570 - - 990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8733 - - 13864 - - 14061 - - 11132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 860 - - -3379 - - -2703 - - -2989 ODpotential blCL - - - 13587 - - 19134 - - 18334 - - 15110 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 74 - - 84 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.2 - - 58.5 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 23.0 - - 21.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 60.8 - - 61.5 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 22.2 - - 21.0 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 406 - - 128 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5437 - - 6745 - - 6621 - - 3111 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98982 5 355 6 066 9 049 1 325 98982 91590 3 223 2 354 8 005 11 026 91590 85862 8 146 6 080 4 026 13 026 85862 81100 8 109 5 101 3 062 6 039 81100 77009 10 075 2 230 6 060 8 055 77009 73385 2 339 0 011 3 010 7 078 73385 70080 9 235 2 281 1 048 6 074 70080 67021 12 219 14 237 10 255 5 333 67021 64181 5 154 16 186 19 223 11 261 64181 61435 14 271 2 152 15 230 20 221 61435 58548 27 246 20 242 20 233 25 220 58548 55525 42 233 35 227 34 238 24 233 55525 52628 44 223 38 219 44 235 37 242 52628 50035 31 226 38 236 46 239 43 243 50035 47732 32 247 45 244 44 240 42 252 47732 45654 45 249 50 246 45 243 48 256 45654 43753 49 244 50 246 48 241 51 254 43753 42008 52 240 48 248 47 242 50 252 42008 40397 56 234 52 252 48 248 49 248 40397 38905 55 234 57 249 52 249 48 246 38905 37527 56 246 59 244 54 245 50 244 37527 36233 69 252 55 238 53 240 53 244 36233 34950 71 252 48 240 50 238 53 245 34950 33646 70 254 48 242 49 235 49 244 33646 32320 71 259 48 236 50 234 42 243 32320 30963 72 262 45 230 49 237 40 244 30963 29569 70 264 43 232 46 237 41 245 29569 28140 66 264 44 235 44 235 39 246 28140 26679 65 262 45 240 41 236 36 246 26679 25189 63 257 44 246 35 238 34 245 25189 23675 57 252 41 250 30 241 33 244 23675 22133 51 242 40 250 29 240 31 243 22133 20560 51 232 41 244 34 240 29 240 20560 18984 50 230 43 242 39 240 30 237 18984 17483 47 229 43 241 40 239 33 234 17483 16123 43 225 42*241 37*235 36 233 16123 14908 40*222 33*240 30*230 36 233 14908 13814 36*223 26 234 25 227 35 234 13814 12823 34 226 25 233 24 227 31*234 12823 11922 31 231 25 233 24 227 26*235 11922 11104 28 235 25 232 24 227 23 235 11104 10363 25 239 25 231 23 227 21 234 10363 9691 22 243 24 231 23 227 20 232 9691 9075 19 247 24 230 22 227 20 228 9075 8517 16 249 24 230 22 226 20 223 8517 8041 15 251 23 229 21 226 19 219 8041 7670 13 251 22 229 20 226 16 213 7670 7412 12 251 21 228 19 226 12 207 7412 7254 11 251 19 227 17 225 9 200 7254 7162 8 251 13 226 11 224 3 182 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography