DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 38.7 - - 36.4 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1258 - - 2085 - - 2248 - - 2365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 295 - - 204 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -3 - - 7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3663 - - -2703 - - -2431 - - -3065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10826 - - 9866 - - 9594 - - 10227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14162 - - -14105 - - -13012 - - -12755 ODpotential blCL - - - 21324 - - 21267 - - 20174 - - 19917 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 59 - - 61 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 38.7 - - 36.4 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.0 - - 21.3 - - 20.2 - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 44.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.1 - - 20.2 - - 19.0 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95904 38 299 44 303 34 337 24 321 95904 89089 29 331 28 334 24 002 13 325 89089 83710 23 353 21 348 25 349 17 001 83710 79201 22 014 15 003 22 343 22 018 79201 75311 23 006 14 008 17 006 19 039 75311 71850 17 005 17 005 18 003 16 043 71850 68702 14 023 18 355 19 001 17 035 68702 65802 19 013 15 008 17 011 18 018 65802 63111 26 001 21 037 14 039 13 019 63111 60511 32 007 30 019 14 063 15 034 60511 57821 36 013 36 018 23 031 12 013 57821 55036 41 027 36 034 20 057 5 075 55036 52333 48 027 47 018 34 030 26 029 52333 49865 47 016 47 008 47 007 41 012 49865 47655 40 008 37 010 44 006 46 012 47655 45675 23 022 24 014 30 004 33 013 45675 43894 25 023 22 019 22 004 25 360 43894 42270 23 007 22 029 19 346 20 359 42270 40761 24 005 25 032 22 339 19 358 40761 39341 25 004 23 028 22 342 20 355 39341 38005 24 002 26 019 20 352 19 354 38005 36723 24 355 31 012 20 001 16 356 36723 35438 24 346 31 003 21 004 15 000 35438 34124 19 350 29 360 20 006 15 007 34124 32784 18 355 27 002 17 010 15 010 32784 31409 18 359 23 360 14 001 14 359 31409 29992 17 003 17 347 15 356 13 336 29992 28538 16 003 12 337 15 356 10 314 28538 27050 13 358 11 338 15 335 9 302 27050 25531 12 333 10 333 15 315 9 304 25531 23986 19 317 13 326 15 314 11 314 23986 22411 25 323 17 325 16 324 14 321 22411 20798 29 334 20 330 21 339 17 329 20798 19176 29 342 21 338 27 350 21 337 19176 17622 27 346 19 344 28 354 23 341 17622 16213 23 346 15 347 23 355 20 347 16213 14958 19 344 12 346 16 355 14 353 14958 13834 16 341 10 344 11 353 9 355 13834 12820 13 338 9 343 7 342 7 351 12820 11904 11 339 8 344 5 328 6 352 11904 11077 9 344 7 348 4 318 5 000 11077 10333 9 351 6 354 2 302 4 017 10333 9661 9 358 5 359 1 250 3 042 9661 9048 10 005 3 006 2 191 4 061 9048 8495 10 010 2 014 2 181 4 071 8495 8025 9 010 1 016 2 188 4 075 8025 7660 8 006 1 350 2 204 3 073 7660 7406 6 356 1 292 2 211 2 053 7406 7251 3*339 1*280 1*216 1*352 7251 7161 1*324 1*285 1*225 1*337 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography