DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.4 - - 26.9 - - 28.7 - - 25.0 - - 17.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 25 - - 43 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2096 - - 5375 - - 2834 - - 1218 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 11466 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 11106 - - 14385 - - 11844 - - 10228 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3188 - - 2091 - - 2066 - - 1615 - - 1352 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 167 - - 276 - - 81 - - 34 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 26 - - 24 - - 19 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 305 - - 298 - - 329 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 32 - - 23 - - 12 - - 14 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -22 - - -14 - - -16 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -304 - - 3642 - - 6455 - - 4150 - - 2462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7465 - - 7464 - - 7931 - - 7694 - - 7767 sfcLCL ODpotential -3806 - - -891 - - 2587 - - 543 - - -961 ODpotential blCL 10967 - - 11997 - - 11798 - - 11301 - - 11189 blCL maxRH 76 - - 78 - - 77 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.4 - - 26.9 - - 28.7 - - 25.0 - - 17.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 19.7 - - 19.5 - - 16.8 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.1 - - 30.7 - - 32.2 - - 30.1 - - 25.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.4 - - 18.5 - - 18.3 - - 15.7 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 25 - - 43 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2096 - - 5375 - - 2834 - - 1218 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97014 28 080 26 088 25 080 31 078 22 071 97014 89940 32 086 24 109 24 090 25 092 27 073 89940 84374 27 086 25 113 15 102 27 097 22 083 84374 79697 16 080 18 106 10 118 20 088 19 100 79697 75634 8 099 12 104 8 123 10 098 14 080 75634 72031 3 116 5 101 1 059 8 129 4 055 72031 68762 5 303 4 254 6 317 5 170 6 275 68762 65759 7 273 10 254 9 278 1 225 11 254 65759 62967 19 284 12 247 14 256 8 264 10 272 62967 60250 25 263 19 256 20 255 19 253 27 259 60250 57445 31 271 19 267 20 248 23 243 28 255 57445 54531 36 261 34 258 30 258 29 265 23 269 54531 51709 27 254 36 254 34 260 38 264 38 277 51709 49149 36 283 38 273 43 266 52 263 47 269 49149 46842 55 277 55 267 54 260 55 258 48 267 46842 44738 58 263 59 256 56 257 54 263 50 269 44738 42810 53 257 53 255 55 261 54 265 56 265 42810 41035 50 264 49 267 55 268 55 274 57 260 41035 39388 58 272 58 280 61 279 70 282 51 280 39388 37874 68 272 81 281 82 283 101 272 86 277 37874 36510 76 271 107 273 103 273 117 258 108 264 36510 35243 87 269 117 264 113 262 111 249 95 253 35243 33985 95 262 109 262 101 261 91 251 79 259 33985 32712 99 254 89 262 78 264 76 268 81 280 32712 31430 107 253 78 268 69 277 99 289 91 284 31430 30119 108 255 78 272 79 289 114 292 93 283 30119 28767 102 258 83 270 87 288 114 292 91 286 28767 27377 95 260 89 268 90 282 111 289 86 291 27377 25955 86 261 93 267 92 277 105 285 79 292 25955 24503 80 259 88 268 88 277 101 283 72 286 24503 23023 78 256 75 271 78 278 102 285 71 283 23023 21514 73 255 59 272 65 279 101 285 70 286 21514 19979 67 255 47 271 51 282 84 286 64 297 19979 18450 58 260 41 269 38 287 63 296 48 308 18450 17000 50 269 38 271 28 291 48 309 34 319 17000 15691 44 277 36 273 22 299 38 317 28 326 15691 14522 40 284 34 276 20*307 29 322 24 329 14522 13472 36 290 32 279 20*307 23 328 21 330 13472 12522 35 296 31 284 20 305 19*335 18 331 12522 11661 36 302 30*293 20 303 18*340 15 334 11661 10881 38 307 28*303 20 300 18 338 14*336 10881 10178 39 312 28 306 20 297 18 335 15*338 10178 9544 38 317 27 305 20 295 18 330 15 336 9544 8962 37 319 27 305 20 293 17 325 15 334 8962 8436 34 319 25 305 19 291 16 323 15 332 8436 7988 29 320 22 304 19 289 14 320 14 328 7988 7639 23 320 18 305 18 288 13 317 12 324 7639 7395 16 321 15 305 16 287 10 315 10 321 7395 7246 11*324 11 308 14 286 9 314 8 319 7246 7160 5*337 6 312 9 285 5 309 4 323 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography