DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.6 - - 65.2 - - 70.6 - - 68.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 120 - - 214 - - -3 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3098 - - 6768 - - 6879 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 10672 - - 13727 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 12108 - - 15778 - - 15889 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1531 - - 2592 - - 1894 - - 2388 - - 3658 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 313 - - 486 - - 91 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 281 - - 271 - - 301 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 5 - - 21 - - 22 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9596 - - -4574 - - -2677 - - -1647 - - -7559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16760 - - 16682 - - 18456 - - 17536 - - 14724 sfcLCL ODpotential -18052 - - -11464 - - -7498 - - -6405 - - -13867 ODpotential blCL 25215 - - 23572 - - 23276 - - 22294 - - 21031 blCL maxRH 31 - - 29 - - 33 - - 37 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.6 - - 65.2 - - 70.6 - - 68.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.5 - - 17.3 - - 14.3 - - 16.2 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 68.0 - - 72.7 - - 72.3 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.4 - - 16.1 - - 13.2 - - 15.2 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 120 - - 214 - - -3 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3098 - - 6768 - - 6879 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97749 16 039 19 010 24 021 21 039 20 039 97749 90567 19 056 15 058 15 051 21 038 26 044 90567 84940 18 037 15 069 15 066 19 047 23 046 84940 80253 14 034 12 055 6 057 15 034 17 051 80253 76222 16 013 10 027 5 032 13 348 15 042 76222 72673 20 355 16 352 17 006 13 013 12 007 72673 69488 22 010 12 358 18 337 26 342 23 356 69488 66572 34 336 24 005 22 348 26 346 23 343 66572 63860 34 323 30 329 23 336 27 343 26 336 63860 61222 34 320 29 320 27 319 29 330 29 327 61222 58469 34 318 29 319 28 316 28 319 29 320 58469 55614 37 316 30 313 30 316 28 318 27 317 55614 52894 35 315 27 301 33 307 33 318 29 322 52894 50452 34 315 23 298 32 298 33 309 31 322 50452 48265 34 318 24 316 27 308 28 303 32 311 48265 46271 39 323 28 325 27 326 24 321 26 309 46271 44431 36 320 25 323 25 321 24 324 26 322 44431 42721 31 321 23 324 20 311 22 319 24 328 42721 41120 26 325 20 327 16 307 20 307 20 333 41120 39620 24 329 17 335 11 305 16 290 20 332 39620 38226 22 326 17 332 8 318 10 282 13 325 38226 36911 20 310 12 315 9 306 8 295 6 330 36911 35607 14 269 13 296 11 288 10 288 7 011 35607 34277 11 243 13 256 15 254 16 255 5 338 34277 32926 10 259 10 247 13 230 16 241 7 261 32926 31547 12 262 8 260 10 229 12 228 9 219 31547 30130 11 251 9 265 10 234 10 222 8 206 30130 28677 11 244 10 251 11 235 14 211 6 226 28677 27191 12 242 10 247 12 229 14 205 5 226 27191 25676 11 244 10 253 11 233 11 203 3 210 25676 24135 8 250 9 260 9 242 6 209 1 159 24135 22566 6 236 9 254 8 250 3 228 1 149 22566 20962 6 235 8 250 8 250 3 239 3 220 20962 19348 6 253 7 252 6 251 4 222 6 242 19348 17804 5 274 6 250 5 245 5 227 7 252 17804 16401 6 284 6 248 5*250 4*264 7 261 16401 15144 6 287 7 247 7*272 4*323 5 269 15144 14012 7 287 8 256 8 285 5 330 3 268 14012 12987 8 284 9*264 9 283 5 319 1 235 12987 12055 8 281 10*270 9 281 6 309 1 089 12055 11209 9 279 10 274 9 278 6 302 2 049 11209 10445 9 276 9 280 9 272 7 298 4 022 10445 9754 8 275 9 286 9 265 7 293 6 008 9754 9120 7 275 7 289 9 260 7 290 9 000 9120 8548 6 279 6 289 9 256 7 287 12 354 8548 8061 5 291 5 285 8 253 7 284 13 350 8061 7681 4 314 5 283 8 251 7 282 12 349 7681 7417 5 343 4 279 8 249 6 281 9 351 7417 7256 4*358 3 277 7 248 5 279 7*351 7256 7163 4*355 3 275 6 246 4 277 4*354 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography