DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.3 - - 40.5 - - 35.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 10 - - 74 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 212 - - 1179 - - 121 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9222 - - 10189 - - 9131 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2502 - - 926 - - 1135 - - 1025 - - 2709 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 61 - - 199 - - 19 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 168 - - 182 - - 150 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -703 - - 1442 - - 1067 - - 1359 - - -674 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7866 - - 7780 - - 9123 - - 7772 - - 7837 sfcLCL ODpotential -7768 - - -5928 - - -5389 - - -5349 - - -6713 ODpotential blCL 14930 - - 15150 - - 15578 - - 14480 - - 13875 blCL maxRH 67 - - 71 - - 75 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.3 - - 40.5 - - 35.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.2 - - 25.4 - - 25.6 - - 26.8 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 38.5 - - 43.7 - - 42.4 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 24.2 - - 24.5 - - 25.7 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 10 - - 74 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 212 - - 1179 - - 121 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 38 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96205 22 267 31 276 30 278 36 276 38 288 96205 89212 13 296 20 260 27 277 17 303 20 282 89212 83802 14 309 20 271 22 269 15 285 10 290 83802 79257 10 307 19 279 16 259 14 258 9 291 79257 75284 12 268 18 275 12 238 14 256 12 272 75284 71751 10 259 16 249 14 235 13 253 14 256 71751 68547 16 259 18 239 21 240 16 268 11 266 68547 65578 24 257 21 243 25 233 22 262 17 267 65578 62801 28 250 23 245 23 237 23 245 24 249 62801 60095 26 242 24 246 21 249 19 246 26 242 60095 57257 25 249 25 245 26 253 23 254 28 246 57257 54301 32 258 28 244 34 247 31 246 29 244 54301 51484 39 254 33 244 39 247 35 244 31 240 51484 48967 42 247 40 243 44 252 40 249 34 244 48967 46729 42 248 42 244 47 249 44 243 40 246 46729 44717 45 255 42 248 45 247 43 239 44 244 44717 42892 52 254 46 253 47 246 42 240 43 242 42892 41223 56 251 52 251 48 244 41 241 41 241 41223 39685 61 251 59 244 49 245 44 240 41 241 39685 38260 71 251 62 246 56 242 52 235 44 242 38260 36940 76 250 65 250 61 239 56 234 50 240 36940 35689 75 251 67 253 62 238 55 234 54 234 35689 34438 72 255 68 254 61 239 54 232 54 232 34438 33160 71 257 68 252 60 240 49 228 53 233 33160 31860 71 256 66 249 60 239 46 230 52 234 31860 30528 70 254 64 246 57 238 48 232 50 235 30528 29156 67 256 62 247 53 236 50 234 48 234 29156 27750 64 258 59 250 51 234 52 236 47 232 27750 26312 59 258 55 252 51 233 51 235 48 234 26312 24846 52 258 52 250 49 235 44 231 50 235 24846 23358 48 259 48 247 46 237 36 227 43 233 23358 21851 46 261 46 248 42 236 33 224 31 229 21851 20317 45 262 45 253 38 237 31 223 24 222 20317 18778 43 261 44 257 34 244 28 220 23 211 18778 17305 41 259 42 257 32 250 24 220 22 203 17305 15964 39 258 40 254 31 251 22 223 21 199 15964 14764 36 257 38 251 30 250 22 228 19 200 14764 13684 33 256 36 250 29 247 22 231 18 204 13684 12705 30 254 33 249 27 244 22 232 17 207 12705 11818 27 251 29 247 25 239 21 233 17 206 11818 11012 24 247 26 242 22 232 20 232 16 201 11012 10286 20 241 21 234 19*224 17 227 15 193 10286 9628 17 230 18*221 15*217 14*219 15 183 9628 9025 13 214 14*206 10 193 10*202 14 173 9025 8480 9 188 10 180 9 173 8 159 13 161 8480 8017 9 156 8 153 8 167 9 141 12 146 8017 7656 8 141 7 147 8 164 9 134 12 132 7656 7404 6 128 7 138 7 161 7 128 9 120 7404 7250 4*106 6 134 7 161 6 122 6*105 7250 7161 1*077 4 132 6 159 3 125 2*037 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography