DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 60.4 - - 60.1 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 385 - - 106 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2561 - - 4948 - - 5385 - - 1773 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10663 - - 12560 - - 12224 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11571 - - 13958 - - 14395 - - 10783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1335 - - 1902 - - 2000 - - 3168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 530 - - 356 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 221 - - 224 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 15 - - 19 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 16 - - 13 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1747 - - -571 - - -969 - - -2534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13318 - - 14529 - - 15365 - - 13318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7508 - - -5060 - - -5808 - - -8773 ODpotential blCL - - - 19079 - - 19018 - - 20203 - - 19556 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 41 - - 42 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 60.4 - - 60.1 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 21.4 - - 17.6 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 61.8 - - 63.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 21.0 - - 17.2 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 385 - - 106 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2561 - - 4948 - - 5385 - - 1773 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98790 18 238 15 252 11 282 6 272 98790 91414 19 238 17 255 16 266 13 232 91414 85672 20 244 16 244 17 242 18 238 85672 80886 21 247 20 257 17 254 16 254 80886 76767 18 235 20 255 18 265 11 257 76767 73123 13 231 17 241 21 261 15 283 73123 69827 13 270 12 248 16 256 15 266 69827 66797 16 277 14 263 14 277 11 273 66797 63982 19 269 19 273 19 284 14 274 63982 61249 21 269 24 275 22 270 19 255 61249 58388 24 265 29 264 29 262 24 264 58388 55424 29 264 33 255 34 263 34 265 55424 52608 32 264 35 259 40 262 40 265 52608 50077 38 266 43 263 46 258 45 263 50077 47807 46 261 49 260 50 256 52 256 47807 45750 52 255 53 257 53 255 57 250 45750 43876 52 250 54 253 56 255 59 248 43876 42150 49 248 55 252 60 254 59 250 42150 40551 45 248 54 252 60 252 60 251 40551 39068 43 249 52 251 59 249 58 248 39068 37696 42 250 51 248 56 248 56 246 37696 36400 41 252 49 246 55 248 52 245 36400 35114 39 252 45 245 53 246 48 245 35114 33808 38 251 42 248 49 244 44 245 33808 32482 35 249 41 250 47 246 42 247 32482 31124 34 248 40 250 47 248 42 249 31124 29727 33 248 40 248 46 248 40 251 29727 28293 32 246 40 247 45 249 39 253 28293 26828 33 246 40 246 42 250 37 252 26828 25334 33 246 39 246 40 250 37 249 25334 23815 31 246 37 247 37 249 36 246 23815 22269 29 245 34 246 34 247 36 243 22269 20689 27 244 30 244 32 245 34 242 20689 19103 23 244 27 244 31 244 33 241 19103 17589 21 243 25 243 30 243 32 242 17589 16215 20 242 23 243 29 242 34 239 16215 14984 19 241 22*242 27*241 35 237 14984 13877 18 240 20*241 24*239 33 236 13877 12872 17 239 17 238 20 237 30 238 12872 11960 16*238 12 226 14 230 26 241 11960 11132 15*234 12 219 12 221 21*244 11132 10384 12 226 11 215 11 217 16*247 10384 9708 10 219 11 211 11 214 11 243 9708 9087 8 207 11 209 10 212 7 229 9087 8525 8 203 11 207 10 211 5 211 8525 8047 8 199 11 205 10 209 5 202 8047 7674 7 196 10 203 9 208 4 191 7674 7414 7 194 10 202 9 207 3 173 7414 7254 7 193 9 202 8 207 2 130 7254 7162 6 192 8 201 7 206 1 112 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography