DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 246 - - 57 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3429 - - 4048 - - 3684 - - 962 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11102 - - 11693 - - 10469 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12439 - - 13058 - - 12694 - - 9972 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 974 - - 1383 - - 1486 - - 1938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 429 - - 257 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 244 - - 253 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 24 - - 14 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - 8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 760 - - -616 - - -1318 - - -1637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11680 - - 13674 - - 14012 - - 11609 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5683 - - -5990 - - -6620 - - -9569 ODpotential blCL - - - 18122 - - 19048 - - 19314 - - 19541 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 87 - - 74 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 20.5 - - 18.6 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 57.6 - - 58.2 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 19.7 - - 17.9 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 246 - - 57 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3429 - - 4048 - - 3684 - - 962 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 46 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98484 5 307 4 291 3 226 4 294 98484 91119 0 163 10 258 3 350 4 326 91119 85408 7 134 3 206 4 343 2 345 85408 80662 6 097 3 087 4 015 4 098 80662 76591 5 081 3 173 3 271 6 025 76591 73002 1 116 1 113 4 229 7 322 73002 69746 3 251 1 273 5 252 9 289 69746 66742 10 299 6 263 6 283 8 252 66742 63941 18 275 16 256 15 285 18 275 63941 61214 23 223 20 248 25 257 22 263 61214 58360 23 236 20 250 21 253 22 276 58360 55403 27 258 27 263 31 263 34 265 55403 52603 30 260 32 256 38 256 38 258 52603 50099 30 254 36 253 42 255 43 253 50099 47861 33 259 43 251 45 254 48 248 47861 45824 44 261 47 253 50 256 50 250 45824 43952 54 260 54 255 57 255 56 254 43952 42219 62 257 62 254 63 254 63 255 42219 40611 68 253 68 252 67 255 68 255 40611 39115 72 253 74 253 72 256 74 255 39115 37730 75 254 80 255 79 257 78 255 37730 36423 73 254 83 257 82 257 79 256 36423 35129 73 254 81 255 81 258 74 258 35129 33819 74 254 79 252 78 257 69 258 33819 32491 72 253 79 251 74 256 66 256 32491 31132 69 250 76 251 70 255 64 257 31132 29732 65 247 72 251 67 257 57 257 29732 28294 60 247 69 251 62 261 52 256 28294 26823 57 249 66 250 56 265 46 258 26823 25326 58 249 64 251 49 267 39 262 25326 23806 59 249 62 255 46 267 35 261 23806 22258 58 249 59 258 46 265 35 255 22258 20674 55 249 55 258 46 261 38 251 20674 19082 53 248 52 257 44 257 39 250 19082 17560 52 248 50 253 42 254 39 250 17560 16179 50 249 48 252 39 253 37 251 16179 14945 46 251 44 252 35 254 33 250 14945 13836 39 253 37*253 31 255 30 248 13836 12834 31*254 30*254 25*256 27 247 12834 11924 23*251 20 251 20*258 24 248 11924 11100 16 244 14 245 11 256 20 251 11100 10357 13 241 13 242 10 254 16*254 10357 9684 12 241 12 240 9 253 11*257 9684 9069 12 240 12 239 9 252 7 259 9069 8512 11 240 12 238 9 252 5 266 8512 8038 10 240 11 236 8 250 4 277 8038 7668 9 240 11 235 8 249 4 280 7668 7411 8 240 10 234 8 248 3 277 7411 7253 8 238 9 233 7 247 1 290 7253 7162 6 238 7 231 6 247 1 029 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography