DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.6 - - 29.0 - - 32.2 - - 29.9 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 4 - - 3 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1021 - - 166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7162 - - 10031 - - 9176 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1300 - - 2560 - - 963 - - 1281 - - 2201 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 76 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 305 - - 266 - - 266 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 20 - - 24 - - 24 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - 2871 - - 2015 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -8284 - - -4615 - - 1018 - - 953 - - -795 ODpotential blCL 15445 - - 11777 - - 9013 - - 8223 - - 7957 blCL maxRH 83 - - 89 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.6 - - 29.0 - - 32.2 - - 29.9 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.8 - - 24.9 - - 29.0 - - 28.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.1 - - 33.9 - - 36.7 - - 35.1 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.8 - - 23.9 - - 28.4 - - 29.4 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 4 - - 3 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1021 - - 166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 58 - - 85 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 25 060 16 049 19 048 25 055 16 048 96419 89340 18 059 23 043 28 046 23 052 25 056 89340 83803 19 036 14 037 16 027 17 021 26 022 83803 79171 21 037 8 056 12 007 16 014 25 015 79171 75148 22 018 22 009 20 358 28 013 27 015 75148 71572 9 024 20 007 24 353 32 003 28 001 71572 68349 16 002 23 357 22 351 27 355 28 012 68349 65378 31 342 28 350 34 333 36 343 36 354 65378 62612 33 323 34 317 36 322 36 335 37 335 62612 59943 17 010 20 313 31 339 20 335 20 327 59943 57165 21 022 9 268 30 344 36 336 25 347 57165 54293 46 322 33 321 39 323 47 318 35 332 54293 51560 57 320 55 324 44 321 50 319 49 327 51560 49118 60 314 65 320 55 317 58 311 57 319 49118 46978 55 314 61 314 58 312 56 308 61 317 46978 45072 51 315 57 317 60 322 57 326 66 320 45072 43340 55 320 61 323 79 339 79 338 71 326 43340 41742 61 324 69 335 93 341 93 342 77 331 41742 40248 59 333 88 339 100 338 98 338 80 330 40248 38840 75 345 80 338 93 337 93 335 79 326 38840 37513 83 346 62 339 82 337 87 332 77 323 37513 36241 79 345 59 335 70 341 81 330 78 322 36241 34966 73 344 56 334 67 337 73 328 79 321 34966 33662 60 341 59 332 64 333 68 323 77 320 33662 32334 44 334 62 330 64 328 68 322 73 319 32334 30970 40 323 62 329 64 327 68 322 69 318 30970 29565 46 317 61 327 65 325 67 323 66 318 29565 28122 50 316 60 323 65 321 65 321 65 318 28122 26646 54 316 58 319 63 317 59 317 65 318 26646 25142 55 315 56 315 59 314 55 314 66 318 25142 23615 54 314 56 312 56 312 52 313 66 316 23615 22061 51 315 56 310 55 311 51 315 63 313 22061 20475 48 317 55 310 55 313 51 315 61 309 20475 18885 44 320 53 310 55 315 52 315 61 307 18885 17371 41 321 50 308 57 313 52 314 58 305 17371 16000 40 320 48 306 58 310 51 313 53 306 16000 14778 40 317 46 304 57 305 51 308 49 307 14778 13682 41 315 45 302 54 299 51 302 47 308 13682 12693 42 313 44 301 50 294 50 296 45 307 12693 11797 42 312 43 301 45 289 47 292 42 301 11797 10988 42 311 40 301 40 286 42 288 38 294 10988 10261 40 312 37 302 33*283 35 285 35 287 10261 9604 39 312 33 303 26*280 29*282 31 281 9604 9004 35 313 28 303 20 274 25*278 27 273 9004 8465 30 314 21 304 16 267 20 272 22 266 8465 8006 23 316 16 305 13 258 16 264 16 258 8006 7649 17 317 12 305 10 249 12 255 10 247 7649 7401 12 318 8 306 8 241 8 243 6 225 7401 7248 7*324 5*308 7 233 5 232 3*193 7248 7161 3*351 2*329 4 226 2 210 3*114 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography