DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 59.8 - - 54.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 158 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1606 - - 5574 - - 3393 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7146 - - 12663 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10616 - - 14584 - - 12403 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2988 - - 3375 - - 2578 - - 3935 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 172 - - 419 - - 134 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 14 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 177 - - 352 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 15 - - -51 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2091 - - 4756 - - 4115 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8525 - - 9828 - - 8288 - - 7163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2050 - - 1780 - - 319 - - -5116 ODpotential blCL - - - 12666 - - 12804 - - 12084 - - 12280 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 84 - - 94 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 570 - - 300 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 59.8 - - 54.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 41.2 - - 42.5 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 62.4 - - 58.1 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 40.4 - - 41.2 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 158 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1606 - - 5574 - - 3393 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 36 - - 77 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98178 8 262 5 216 13 216 15 232 98178 90837 5 268 4 330 4 252 2 203 90837 85172 4 244 7 280 12 321 8 343 85172 80496 1 327 7 262 14 311 9 333 80496 76482 6 339 3 300 8 308 9 332 76482 72924 8 311 3 314 4 266 7 295 72924 69695 10 287 7 316 5 280 3 252 69695 66708 10 229 11 277 9 286 3 273 66708 63911 11 212 14 248 11 264 7 267 63911 61190 13 230 17 226 17 246 16 254 61190 58350 17 231 22 221 22 241 23 244 58350 55399 21 223 27 226 30 238 32 235 55399 52582 24 224 32 229 36 233 37 229 52582 50053 27 233 35 231 39 229 38 230 50053 47790 31 238 37 231 42 226 41 232 47790 45737 33 237 39 233 42 227 44 231 45737 43857 30 232 39 236 42 230 46 231 43857 42130 31 225 33 238 39 230 40 233 42130 40534 25 219 26 236 28 229 32 236 40534 39054 18 239 23 224 20 239 23 251 39054 37680 27 222 19 231 15 257 20 269 37680 36383 26 208 22 234 18 257 13 291 36383 35100 25 205 21 224 20 244 13 291 35100 33799 23 207 21 209 17 226 16 251 33799 32481 20 217 18 214 17 240 17 243 32481 31130 19 237 19 240 16 255 14 242 31130 29738 14 234 15 235 8 225 13 236 29738 28308 13 210 13 212 7 240 13 240 28308 26844 15 200 15 224 6 292 12 244 26844 25350 12 216 12 239 5 293 10 251 25350 23831 5 227 6 204 4 243 9 247 23831 22284 2 231 5 179 2 218 9 256 22284 20705 3 300 3 200 2 260 9 287 20705 19118 5 285 2 267 1 290 9 311 19118 17602 5 259 4 312 2 337 9 343 17602 16226 5 241 5 298 5 326 10 359 16226 14995 5 216 6*286 7 319 12 358 14995 13886 6 193 5*270 8 310 13 347 13886 12880 7 178 4 247 8*302 15 338 12880 11966 8 167 4 203 7*298 14 334 11966 11136 10*159 7 174 5 300 13 332 11136 10385 12*156 7 168 3 309 10 330 10385 9706 14 157 8 165 1 008 6 328 9706 9084 14 154 8 163 1 067 3 333 9084 8522 12 144 8 161 3 071 1 065 8522 8045 11 141 8 160 3 070 2 105 8045 7672 10 140 8 159 4 066 2 085 7672 7412 8 140 8 158 4 065 2 056 7412 7254 7 141 7 158 3 063 1*002 7254 7163 5 142 6 158 3 058 1*331 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography