DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 33.4 - - 27.3 - - 20.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -4 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 890 - - 2423 - - 2603 - - 1529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 17 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 338 - - 333 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 24 - - 11 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -17 - - 8 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3259 - - -2370 - - -209 - - -2194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10422 - - 9532 - - 7371 - - 9355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11913 - - -10217 - - -7804 - - -10144 ODpotential blCL - - - 19075 - - 17379 - - 14966 - - 17305 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 68 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 33.4 - - 27.3 - - 20.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.9 - - 17.1 - - 20.5 - - 5.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 38.1 - - 33.6 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.8 - - 16.0 - - 19.4 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -4 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96070 17 001 28 031 40 040 30 047 96070 89070 22 033 28 041 32 041 25 044 89070 83635 31 033 29 038 25 039 25 030 83635 79101 28 042 27 043 20 033 19 038 79101 75144 26 037 21 041 20 018 28 021 75144 71624 26 024 19 034 29 005 33 010 71624 68439 25 019 26 022 29 355 31 360 68439 65503 29 010 26 005 26 351 30 351 65503 62764 31 353 27 354 29 349 35 343 62764 60092 28 355 36 346 35 344 42 340 60092 57283 42 345 47 337 45 342 47 337 57283 54358 52 339 59 334 58 340 56 338 54358 51568 60 335 68 332 69 336 66 339 51568 49062 66 332 71 331 73 334 71 338 49062 46813 69 331 70 330 74 334 72 336 46813 44774 69 329 68 330 75 333 72 334 44774 42911 67 327 67 329 73 330 72 331 42911 41200 65 327 66 327 71 329 72 328 41200 39628 65 328 66 327 73 328 73 325 39628 38181 69 327 70 327 75 326 75 323 38181 36846 70 323 75 327 77 325 77 322 36846 35587 70 323 78 327 77 324 78 321 35587 34338 71 325 81 326 76 325 80 321 34338 33068 72 325 82 325 76 326 80 322 33068 31778 74 324 81 325 74 326 78 325 31778 30457 76 325 79 327 70 326 74 327 30457 29098 77 326 78 327 66 326 71 328 29098 27705 77 326 77 327 63 327 68 329 27705 26279 74 326 77 326 61 329 65 330 26279 24823 71 324 76 326 58 330 61 332 24823 23345 66 323 73 325 56 331 54 333 23345 21838 62 321 69 324 54 332 48 333 21838 20297 58 319 64 321 53 332 44 335 20297 18746 54 318 61 319 52 331 40 339 18746 17262 51 317 58 318 51 331 37 342 17262 15914 48 316 56 318 48 332 34 344 15914 14709 46 316 54 319 45 334 32 345 14709 13626 45 316 52 322 41 337 29 345 13626 12647 43 317 49 324 37 341 27 344 12647 11762 41 317 46 326 34 345 24 344 11762 10960 39 318 43 328 30 350 21 344 10960 10238 38 320 39 330 26 355 18 345 10238 9587 37 321 36 333 22 000 14 345 9587 8991 35 322 32 336 17 004 10 345 8991 8455 32 322 27 337 12 007 7 343 8455 8000 27 322 21 339 7 006 5 340 8000 7645 20 323 16 338 3 354 4 334 7645 7398 13 325 11 336 2 226 4 331 7398 7247 7*330 8*337 3*208 3*333 7247 7160 2*008 3*347 3*201 3*338 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography