DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 33.9 - - 32.3 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 0 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 443 - - 1114 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9453 - - 10124 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1754 - - 1977 - - 3497 - - 2339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 247 - - 229 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 24 - - 26 - - 22 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 21 - - 19 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2292 - - 2963 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 645 - - 1289 - - -712 - - -451 ODpotential blCL - - - 8808 - - 8835 - - 7874 - - 7613 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 33.9 - - 32.3 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 38.1 - - 36.9 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 30.9 - - 32.8 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 0 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 443 - - 1114 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95929 32 321 29 343 29 345 9 008 95929 88873 33 327 25 336 23 328 18 323 88873 83360 19 327 21 314 22 319 17 318 83360 78788 14 309 23 298 31 308 23 299 78788 74866 25 307 19 286 24 305 23 294 74866 71394 32 302 23 304 22 306 18 302 71394 68221 36 273 33 266 31 287 23 290 68221 65295 39 257 45 257 43 260 37 252 65295 62585 42 251 52 259 45 251 44 250 62585 59944 46 250 52 262 47 263 44 264 59944 57165 53 262 56 263 55 264 56 269 57165 54260 70 262 71 260 68 259 69 261 54260 51483 82 256 80 256 77 255 80 253 51483 48985 88 255 84 255 82 255 83 250 48985 46743 95 258 91 257 92 257 85 253 46743 44709 104 258 105 257 104 256 94 256 44709 42852 109 254 110 254 109 253 102 256 42852 41143 111 252 108 254 108 253 108 255 41143 39565 112 253 111 256 109 255 116 254 39565 38110 114 254 117 257 116 257 120 253 38110 36772 116 254 120 255 122 257 116 255 36772 35511 117 253 120 253 124 256 114 257 35511 34256 116 252 116 252 119 254 114 255 34256 32977 113 253 106 251 110 254 110 252 32977 31678 109 254 102 253 104 257 100 251 31678 30350 107 253 100 255 99 260 97 256 30350 28988 105 252 97 255 93 257 94 256 28988 27594 103 252 95 254 90 253 88 253 27594 26172 99 252 92 252 89 248 82 250 26172 24725 95 253 90 250 86 246 81 248 24725 23254 91 255 88 251 84 248 79 247 23254 21756 88 256 85 253 82 253 77 248 21756 20227 85 257 81 255 75 255 71 248 20227 18694 80 259 75 255 69 254 58 246 18694 17232 74 261 67 254 63 253 47 243 17232 15904 65 261 62 251 57 254 43 239 15904 14714 55 260 61 251 48 253 41 239 14714 13642 49 259 60 254 41 249 38 239 13642 12670 45 258 55 259 38 246 36 241 12670 11788 41 258 46 261 36 243 34 242 11788 10988 38 259 38 259 34 241 31 242 10988 10265 34 264 34*256 32 240 29 241 10265 9611 31*267 30*255 31 240 26 238 9611 9011 26*271 27 253 28 239 23 234 9011 8470 21 272 22 250 24 237 19 225 8470 8010 16 270 18 244 18 233 14 212 8010 7651 12 264 14 236 13 226 11 194 7651 7402 8 255 11 228 9 215 8 176 7402 7249 6 247 9 223 7*207 7*167 7249 7161 3 233 5 218 3*187 3*147 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography