DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.4 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 - - 30.3 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 10 - - 17 - - -15 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 1558 - - 637 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10190 - - 10568 - - 9647 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2668 - - 1171 - - 2318 - - 1369 - - 1762 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 111 - - 143 - - 54 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 24 - - 32 - - 30 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 314 - - 304 - - 302 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 29 - - 36 - - 38 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -23 - - -29 - - -25 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 3027 - - 2823 - - 1562 - - -656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7163 - - 7745 - - 8085 - - 7817 sfcLCL ODpotential -2257 - - -1023 - - -786 - - -6967 - - -7762 ODpotential blCL 9419 - - 11213 - - 11354 - - 16614 - - 14923 blCL maxRH 96 - - 92 - - 78 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.4 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 - - 30.3 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.3 - - 27.3 - - 25.8 - - 20.2 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.8 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 26.2 - - 24.7 - - 19.0 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 10 - - 17 - - -15 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 1558 - - 637 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 70 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96700 11 074 16 100 12 092 18 099 12 083 96700 89522 13 053 14 101 8 112 13 077 20 068 89522 83931 10 047 13 101 9 052 7 054 17 054 83931 79256 13 016 11 060 6 079 7 023 9 034 79256 75220 16 340 9 023 4 013 10 343 11 344 75220 71660 16 318 11 008 7 342 12 314 7 311 71660 68431 17 312 16 316 17 314 16 321 15 300 68431 65468 24 312 14 332 13 323 11 325 9 282 65468 62720 34 303 36 303 21 312 16 313 14 330 62720 60035 39 290 46 292 33 313 30 304 36 302 60035 57215 50 290 55 299 54 304 50 303 52 294 57215 54283 68 291 70 291 74 294 69 302 66 298 54283 51506 75 290 73 290 80 292 84 299 82 297 51506 49029 83 295 75 295 83 294 86 291 89 294 49029 46817 102 297 85 302 94 299 91 291 94 291 46817 44827 120 291 105 300 109 295 107 294 103 293 44827 43017 125 281 120 289 112 286 116 293 110 294 43017 41345 122 281 120 282 107 284 117 289 114 292 41345 39792 133 288 126 288 121 292 117 288 115 289 39792 38348 160 293 145 292 141 293 121 288 118 288 38348 37003 171 292 151 291 153 291 126 290 118 288 37003 35721 164 291 152 290 154 290 132 293 116 291 35721 34441 161 292 149 291 147 291 135 295 118 295 34441 33136 142 291 136 292 134 294 130 295 118 296 33136 31812 127 288 125 292 120 294 123 294 116 296 31812 30460 121 283 120 290 108 293 114 293 112 295 30460 29073 118 281 116 289 102 290 106 291 106 293 29073 27656 115 281 113 288 102 288 98 290 101 291 27656 26213 112 283 110 288 102 288 93 289 96 290 26213 24745 108 285 106 289 101 288 92 290 90 292 24745 23259 103 287 101 292 98 289 90 292 84 295 23259 21747 98 289 95 294 93 292 88 293 80 298 21747 20204 91 290 86 294 86 295 83 294 77 299 20204 18656 85 291 76 291 78 294 76 293 75 300 18656 17178 80 290 69 288 71 291 70 292 71 299 17178 15838 74 285 62 285 65 288 65 291 66 299 15838 14643 69 283 57 283 60 286 62 291 61 299 14643 13571 65 285 53 282 55 285 59 292 56 299 13571 12604 61 289 50 283 51 286 56 292 52 299 12604 11728 57 292 46 289 49 289 54 293 48 298 11728 10935 52 295 43 299 48*293 52 295 46 297 10935 10220 48 297 40*307 46*297 48*297 44 296 10220 9575 38 297 36*311 42 301 45*299 42 295 9575 8984 39 300 31 314 36 305 40 301 40 295 8984 8450 33 301 26 315 30 307 33 303 35 295 8450 7997 26 301 22 316 26 308 28 303 28 296 7997 7643 19 300 18 316 23 309 23 304 21 298 7643 7397 12 299 15 315 20 309 19 304 14 302 7397 7247 7*301 13 315 17 309 14 305 8*307 7247 7160 1*342 7 315 10 309 7 306 2*345 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography