DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 36.5 - - 35.1 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 38 - - -6 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 655 - - 139 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9125 - - 9665 - - 9149 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1005 - - 1097 - - 1141 - - 2414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 130 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 37 - - 38 - - 33 - - 23 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 295 - - 291 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 39 - - 40 - - 36 - - 35 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -29 - - -27 - - -23 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1964 - - 2504 - - 1988 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2373 - - -1559 - - -1362 - - -4134 ODpotential blCL - - - 11498 - - 11224 - - 10511 - - 11296 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 85 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 36.5 - - 35.1 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 31.6 - - 31.7 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 40.4 - - 40.1 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 31.0 - - 31.4 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 38 - - -6 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 655 - - 139 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 41 - - 41 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96361 10 076 7 069 7 054 11 086 96361 89243 9 024 7 066 6 079 10 050 89243 83730 2 077 4 039 14 008 11 057 83730 79133 8 084 1 203 13 340 10 331 79133 75151 11 344 9 334 11 324 6 312 75151 71590 17 277 24 270 24 300 15 343 71590 68356 5 287 7 306 23 303 22 315 68356 65406 4 093 3 007 14 016 11 326 65406 62654 52 302 43 311 34 354 36 330 62654 59985 59 305 60 302 62 311 65 306 59985 57229 59 313 62 309 67 306 64 306 57229 54369 66 308 68 309 68 307 68 309 54369 51634 75 301 73 302 71 299 74 303 51634 49178 72 297 72 298 69 293 72 301 49178 46989 68 302 68 305 70 303 70 311 46989 45017 80 312 80 315 88 313 84 317 45017 43230 100 311 99 310 102 306 97 309 43230 41600 104 299 99 296 98 290 96 295 41600 40093 96 291 85 284 87 281 87 287 40093 38681 85 299 76 288 84 288 74 288 38681 37351 84 309 76 298 82 298 72 292 37351 36077 86 309 79 304 91 302 75 297 36077 34799 85 307 87 305 95 302 82 300 34799 33493 80 304 95 304 96 302 88 302 33493 32164 82 301 99 303 96 303 90 304 32164 30804 90 301 98 303 93 305 88 306 30804 29406 98 304 94 304 89 305 85 307 29406 27974 100 306 90 305 84 305 82 306 27974 26512 97 307 85 305 80 303 79 303 26512 25025 90 306 82 305 76 302 77 301 25025 23518 84 304 79 304 72 302 75 300 23518 21988 80 302 76 302 68 301 73 300 21988 20427 76 301 73 299 67 301 69 301 20427 18861 74 301 71 299 66 301 67 301 18861 17364 71 300 69 299 66 300 65 302 17364 16003 68 299 67 300 64 299 65 302 16003 14787 67 298 64 301 62 299 65 302 14787 13694 65 297 61 301 59 299 64 302 13694 12707 64 296 59 301 57 300 64 302 12707 11812 63 296 58 302 55 300 62 300 11812 11003 61 296 57 301 53 299 61 298 11003 10275 59 297 55*300 51 297 59 294 10275 9617 57*297 52*298 49*294 56 292 9617 9015 51*296 47 296 45*293 53 291 9015 8473 45 295 41 295 41 292 47 292 8473 8012 38 295 36 294 36 291 38 293 8012 7653 32 295 30 294 29 290 29 294 7653 7402 27 295 26 294 24 290 19 293 7402 7249 22 295 21 294 19 290 12*294 7249 7161 12 295 12 294 9 289 3*298 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography