DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 74.9 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 140 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7781 - - 4293 - - - - - 2410 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13672 - - 11652 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16791 - - 13303 - - - - - 11420 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2056 - - 3042 - - - - - 4113 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 373 - - - - - 66 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 020 - - - - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 17 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -24 - - - - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3361 - - 2022 - - - - - 534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13431 - - 11282 - - - - - 10886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 562 - - -2039 - - - - - -3747 ODpotential blCL - - - 16229 - - 15342 - - - - - 15167 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 360 - - - - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 74.9 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 49.9 - - - - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 77.9 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 49.0 - - - - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 140 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7781 - - 4293 - - - - - 2410 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99665 28 115 27 110 34 097 99665 92087 27 107 28 102 24 098 92087 86262 30 116 25 096 23 095 86262 81458 23 104 21 101 23 093 81458 77342 20 102 20 107 21 084 77342 73716 23 109 20 105 18 086 73716 70435 22 103 19 117 19 102 70435 67417 14 098 18 120 15 090 67417 64635 14 120 12 127 12 121 64635 61957 15 105 13 156 11 108 61957 59178 7 070 12 137 5 261 59178 56321 9 271 4 288 11 229 56321 53626 18 231 17 297 10 213 53626 51211 21 242 24 252 5 252 51211 49032 24 235 33 227 19 251 49032 47039 22 228 37 214 27 239 47039 45211 20 240 33 211 33 235 45211 43520 23 249 28 227 37 223 43520 41935 29 251 37 240 34 223 41935 40444 28 255 34 238 30 246 40444 39046 26 257 26 229 35 247 39046 37710 27 257 22 231 39 240 37710 36370 23 249 22 234 40 237 36370 35001 16 226 23 235 42 242 35001 33607 16 210 23 235 32 245 33607 32180 18 204 22 230 25 239 32180 30714 23 202 21 224 26 238 30714 29212 27 203 22 219 29 238 29212 27678 25 205 23 209 32 239 27678 26118 24 212 24 206 31 241 26118 24534 23 219 24 212 26 246 24534 22924 21 226 19 222 20 249 22924 21281 19 239 18 235 16 236 21281 19632 20 235 17 256 15 224 19632 18055 14*227 18 251 16 223 18055 16621 9*221 18 232 15 219 16621 15336 7 210 17 210 11 210 15336 14179 6 195 13*179 9 204 14179 13130 5 201 9*152 6 206 13130 12177 4 212 5 128 3*219 12177 11311 4 216 4 065 2*339 11311 10529 4 220 6 028 6 013 10529 9821 4 221 8 008 10 023 9821 9172 4 222 10 002 14 029 9172 8586 3 223 11 360 18 033 8586 8087 3 222 12 001 18 034 8087 7698 3 220 12 002 17 035 7698 7426 2 221 12 001 14 034 7426 7260 2 223 11 001 11 033 7260 7164 2 222 8 000 5 030 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography