DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 237 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2204 - - 5959 - - 7297 - - 1969 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9945 - - 13154 - - 11398 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11214 - - 14969 - - 16307 - - 10979 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2410 - - 3028 - - 2545 - - 5287 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 483 - - 242 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 180 - - 209 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 22 - - 28 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 21 - - 16 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 248 - - 2235 - - 3329 - - -287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10966 - - 12734 - - 12979 - - 11266 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3669 - - -184 - - -337 - - -4896 ODpotential blCL - - - 14883 - - 15153 - - 16644 - - 15875 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 76 - - 75 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 30.1 - - 28.6 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 63.4 - - 64.3 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 29.4 - - 28.1 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 237 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2204 - - 5959 - - 7297 - - 1969 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 6 - - 1 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98260 5 240 6 266 4 338 9 347 98260 90884 9 223 7 289 7 327 8 358 90884 85204 4 241 3 285 5 275 6 309 85204 80535 3 018 1 063 2 101 2 266 80535 76512 2 018 1 233 4 313 6 327 76512 72943 4 297 4 282 7 272 6 309 72943 69706 7 269 8 288 7 276 10 298 69706 66719 12 231 10 274 9 273 9 293 66719 63926 11 254 12 280 14 272 14 290 63926 61201 19 257 20 265 22 267 22 276 61201 58355 19 256 24 257 28 270 29 275 58355 55410 30 264 34 256 35 267 37 270 55410 52610 40 255 44 255 44 265 45 265 52610 50097 48 249 50 252 52 259 50 258 50097 47837 51 252 58 251 59 255 54 255 47837 45775 63 252 66 250 65 253 58 253 45775 43881 72 252 73 250 69 252 60 252 43881 42132 76 249 76 249 72 250 61 250 42132 40509 74 249 75 248 72 249 63 249 40509 39001 72 250 74 248 70 249 64 247 39001 37603 69 249 71 247 66 246 63 245 37603 36289 67 249 68 242 62 242 59 241 36289 34993 66 249 62 237 59 239 55 238 34993 33688 65 249 57 236 55 233 53 236 33688 32370 60 248 56 239 52 234 52 234 32370 31021 53 246 53 242 50 239 49 233 31021 29630 49 246 49 244 49 241 45 233 29630 28202 45 245 48 245 54 237 41 235 28202 26741 42 242 50 245 55 232 46 236 26741 25257 41 241 50 242 50 231 52 233 25257 23755 42 240 47 238 46 231 49 233 23755 22229 42 236 45 234 43 231 44 233 22229 20669 38 232 43 231 41 232 42 230 20669 19101 35 229 38 227 38 233 42 224 19101 17598 31 228 32 221 35*230 40 221 17598 16230 29 224 29 217 32*224 35 221 16230 15003 27 215 27*213 30 220 29 223 15003 13897 23 208 26*209 27 218 25 226 13897 12893 19 201 24 205 24 217 21 226 12893 11980 16*192 18 189 19 213 17 219 11980 11150 13*184 16 176 15 204 13*206 11150 10400 11 176 14 164 12 191 11*189 10400 9721 9 166 14 161 11 182 10 173 9721 9097 8 150 14 160 10 179 9 157 9097 8532 7 147 14 160 10 177 9 144 8532 8052 7 147 13 159 10 176 8 136 8052 7676 6 148 13 159 9 176 6 125 7676 7415 6 148 12 159 9 175 5 096 7415 7255 5 148 11 159 8 176 3 074 7255 7163 5 149 9 159 6 175 3 049 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography