DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.3 - - 32.4 - - 29.8 - - 24.5 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 11 - - 43 - - 6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2399 - - 1779 - - 1069 - - 92 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 11409 - - 10789 - - 10079 - - 9102 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2676 - - 956 - - 710 - - 982 - - 1272 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 144 - - 192 - - 92 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 29 - - 30 - - 19 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 285 - - 302 - - 329 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 26 - - 28 - - 27 - - 22 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 18 - - -25 - - -22 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 4249 - - 2918 - - 1957 - - 1413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7872 - - 8122 - - 7690 sfcLCL ODpotential -3307 - - 1326 - - -3299 - - -7064 - - -7520 ODpotential blCL 10469 - - 10083 - - 14088 - - 17143 - - 16622 blCL maxRH 91 - - 92 - - 78 - - 81 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.3 - - 32.4 - - 29.8 - - 24.5 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.0 - - 26.8 - - 20.7 - - 14.4 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 36.3 - - 33.2 - - 29.1 - - 25.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 25.7 - - 19.6 - - 13.4 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 11 - - 43 - - 6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2399 - - 1779 - - 1069 - - 92 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 67 - - 13 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 32 087 29 058 44 071 33 084 36 091 96483 89432 28 088 20 089 21 059 26 082 26 083 89432 83909 11 083 15 099 5 084 11 070 12 075 83909 79305 5 084 8 093 3 153 1 338 11 072 79305 75306 3 031 6 115 5 186 3 227 15 042 75306 71723 6 005 4 126 4 209 0 278 6 360 71723 68461 7 329 2 255 7 256 7 287 9 319 68461 65459 7 301 8 248 6 270 3 273 1 282 65459 62646 7 278 13 260 8 301 10 308 10 287 62646 59908 12 276 17 265 22 275 20 286 27 283 59908 57064 23 264 12 264 21 261 18 268 30 293 57064 54105 30 266 23 278 22 268 31 284 36 293 54105 51282 44 265 36 276 36 282 49 286 41 289 51282 48756 50 261 47 268 53 283 53 284 41 296 48756 46508 51 267 52 266 56 281 53 287 46 302 46508 44487 60 271 53 269 54 282 56 293 52 302 44487 42656 64 271 55 278 54 283 57 296 53 303 42656 40982 64 273 60 278 57 294 60 303 60 315 40982 39436 63 274 57 278 67 299 67 308 73 316 39436 38003 60 271 60 286 73 298 75 309 78 316 38003 36675 60 271 68 287 74 298 85 311 84 314 36675 35419 63 274 71 285 76 301 96 315 86 319 35419 34171 67 275 71 286 81 305 104 316 91 325 34171 32903 67 273 70 293 85 306 105 316 89 325 32903 31616 62 270 73 299 86 306 101 318 86 320 31616 30295 60 268 77 302 83 307 91 320 85 313 30295 28931 59 270 77 302 80 307 80 319 83 310 28931 27532 60 274 75 301 77 307 72 314 76 308 27532 26102 58 277 71 300 74 305 69 308 71 313 26102 24642 55 278 66 297 73 304 69 306 67 315 24642 23160 53 278 61 290 71 303 69 307 61 312 23160 21652 50 279 58 283 68 301 66 306 57 308 21652 20111 48 280 56 279 65 297 64 303 56 306 20111 18564 47 279 54 279 62 292 63 301 56 305 18564 17089 47 277 52 279 59 286 61 300 57 305 17089 15752 48 277 51 279 58 284 59 300 55 306 15752 14561 47 277 51 278 58 283 55 302 52 308 14561 13495 45 279 50 280 57 285 50 304 46 310 13495 12535 44 281 46 284 54 288 45 307 39 312 12535 11667 44 281 41*288 49 292 40 311 32 317 11667 10884 43 280 36*289 44*296 35 315 28 325 10884 10178 41 278 36 289 38*300 30*321 25 337 10178 9542 38 278 34 288 35 302 27*327 24*349 9542 8960 35 278 32 286 34 302 24 330 23*359 8960 8434 29 279 28 283 32 303 22 330 21 005 8434 7987 22 279 24 280 29 303 19 330 17 006 7987 7638 14 278 20 277 25 302 15 329 13 005 7638 7395 8 274 17 275 21 302 11 329 9 001 7395 7246 2*253 14 273 18 302 9 328 6 350 7246 7160 5*108 8 270 11 301 5 330 3 332 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography