DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.4 - - 30.4 - - 31.0 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 27 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 19 - - 849 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9029 - - 9859 - - 10003 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1190 - - 1067 - - 1195 - - 3424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 126 - - 45 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 175 - - 162 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1869 - - 2699 - - 2842 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7160 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1718 - - -780 - - 598 - - -5677 ODpotential blCL - - - 10747 - - 10639 - - 9405 - - 12839 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 90 - - 91 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.4 - - 30.4 - - 31.0 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 25.5 - - 28.1 - - 20.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 33.9 - - 35.4 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 24.5 - - 27.4 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 27 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 19 - - 849 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 61 - - 63 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96908 31 087 36 088 31 115 23 083 96908 89755 26 086 27 094 26 091 22 094 89755 84187 19 097 21 101 17 084 17 090 84187 79528 19 094 16 109 10 105 12 072 79528 75475 10 094 9 103 7 141 5 049 75475 71869 7 139 3 094 7 135 5 099 71869 68585 5 212 6 241 3 332 3 027 68585 65553 7 300 10 255 10 275 10 276 65553 62735 17 274 15 272 12 261 13 249 62735 60003 19 258 21 260 24 278 22 269 60003 57148 25 257 30 262 30 271 25 276 57148 54183 42 267 42 263 43 265 39 271 54183 51360 52 263 49 263 53 259 51 265 51360 48826 62 266 59 268 59 265 57 266 48826 46561 68 262 67 267 66 268 64 264 46561 44523 63 265 68 266 69 267 64 265 44523 42669 64 273 68 267 67 269 62 269 42669 40963 74 273 70 272 68 272 70 269 40963 39396 87 277 88 277 87 272 90 269 39396 37960 113 276 108 273 111 269 114 266 37960 36639 109 275 108 271 118 267 116 263 36639 35384 101 279 100 273 112 267 109 264 35384 34128 96 279 97 271 106 267 103 264 34128 32847 94 277 96 269 101 265 97 262 32847 31549 93 274 95 268 95 264 91 261 31549 30223 90 272 90 266 88 262 85 260 30223 28862 83 272 84 266 83 260 80 259 28862 27468 76 274 79 266 77 261 77 260 27468 26044 68 276 73 267 71 262 72 260 26044 24598 59 272 66 267 65 264 66 258 24598 23135 50 264 59 267 58 264 59 256 23135 21651 43 262 50 264 53 263 52 252 21651 20136 42 265 43 260 48 263 46 245 20136 18616 42 265 39 260 43 262 42 240 18616 17160 39 259 39 262 39 259 37 238 17160 15837 34 252 40 261 35 256 31 238 15837 14651 31 247 39 258 32 255 26 238 14651 13583 28 246 38 254 30 256 22 238 13583 12617 25 248 34 251 27 259 18 234 12617 11741 22 251 29 246 23 258 17 225 11741 10948 19 252 23 238 19 249 17 214 10948 10233 15 250 18*225 14*234 16 202 10233 9587 12*240 14*207 10*210 16 186 9587 8994 9*216 10 185 8 177 17 167 8994 8459 7 184 8 166 9 156 17 156 8459 8003 7 153 8 161 9 148 16 147 8003 7648 6 134 7 158 9 143 14 138 7648 7400 3 110 7 157 8 139 11 129 7400 7248 2 100 6 158 7 137 7*122 7248 7161 2 098 5 158 5 137 1*064 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography