DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 54.1 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 289 - - 291 - - 140 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 421 - - 7135 - - 8990 - - 8905 - - 4538 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 14203 - - 15691 - - 15135 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 9431 - - 16145 - - 18000 - - 17915 - - 13548 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3958 - - 2890 - - 1446 - - 1133 - - 1755 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 556 - - 601 - - 469 - - 73 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 15 - - 21 - - 25 - - 25 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 357 - - 358 - - 359 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 15 - - 17 - - 19 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg -26 - - 33 - - -29 - - -38 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 465 - - 4166 - - 5477 - - 5607 - - 4354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8966 - - 11980 - - 12524 - - 12309 - - 9195 sfcLCL ODpotential -4006 - - -1194 - - 1777 - - 2132 - - -274 ODpotential blCL 13437 - - 17339 - - 16223 - - 15783 - - 13822 blCL maxRH 81 - - 52 - - 64 - - 77 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 60 - - 100 - - 80 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 54.1 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 25.1 - - 25.3 - - 24.9 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 54.9 - - 57.5 - - 56.9 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 23.9 - - 24.1 - - 23.9 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 289 - - 291 - - 140 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 421 - - 7135 - - 8990 - - 8905 - - 4538 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97786 5 229 14 219 13 247 10 285 5 227 97786 90296 8 227 5 179 11 210 8 249 3 255 90296 84567 4 137 4 148 9 190 3 207 2 245 84567 79830 6 083 6 183 6 142 3 290 1 042 79830 75752 6 359 4 140 2 112 7 282 6 015 75752 72144 5 319 4 339 2 252 7 273 4 340 72144 68865 7 297 7 293 3 286 9 322 4 336 68865 65843 10 330 4 333 8 286 10 305 8 340 65843 63039 14 320 8 328 11 311 12 325 7 317 63039 60311 10 320 11 352 13 311 13 306 10 349 60311 57463 12 320 13 330 9 327 16 340 15 338 57463 54511 13 323 18 290 15 333 18 327 11 335 54511 51674 19 345 12 330 14 311 16 353 22 007 51674 49127 28 345 27 345 22 348 30 349 37 359 49127 46881 28 339 25 331 29 338 38 350 44 004 46881 44875 26 353 20 345 33 347 44 355 52 006 44875 43058 38 005 37 008 41 360 48 358 58 360 43058 41399 49 007 52 014 49 010 53 006 61 359 41399 39867 51 009 63 017 61 015 62 012 62 005 39867 38441 55 018 71 017 69 015 70 015 71 014 38441 37108 69 025 75 019 74 016 75 016 79 016 37108 35837 83 026 79 021 77 017 75 014 79 015 35837 34563 83 026 80 020 77 017 71 011 77 014 34563 33263 79 024 78 019 74 016 68 010 73 011 33263 31943 75 022 76 018 72 015 65 010 70 008 31943 30593 72 020 75 017 70 013 63 011 67 007 30593 29208 70 019 73 016 67 012 62 012 64 008 29208 27792 65 018 69 016 63 012 61 013 61 010 27792 26347 57 020 64 017 58 013 58 012 59 011 26347 24878 45 021 55 018 53 014 54 008 56 012 24878 23391 33 013 41 012 46 011 50 005 52 009 23391 21880 29 000 33 359 40 003 48 002 49 006 21880 20339 28 358 32 348 37 354 45 001 46 003 20339 18793 23 358 30 345 33*350 38*001 44 001 18793 17319 19 349 26*343 28*353 30*002 43 001 17319 15981 18 339 22*342 25 357 27 004 40 001 15981 14787 18 328 19 342 23 360 27 003 34 001 14787 13713 18 321 17 346 21 001 26 002 29*001 13713 12740 17 320 16 353 21 001 26 000 28*004 12740 11855 16 324 15 360 21 000 25 359 28 006 11855 11050 14 335 14 005 20 359 25 358 28 006 11050 10321 13 351 14 008 20 359 25 356 28 007 10321 9659 15*008 14 009 20 358 24 355 28 007 9659 9052 17*022 13 010 19 356 24 354 27 006 9052 8501 20 031 13 010 19 355 23 353 25 005 8501 8032 19 032 13 011 18 354 22 352 22 003 8032 7665 17 032 12 011 17 353 21 351 17 359 7665 7409 15 031 11 010 16 353 19 350 13 352 7409 7252 12 031 10 010 14 352 17 350 9 346 7252 7162 7 028 8 010 11 352 12 349 4 335 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography