DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 67.6 - - 59.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 300 - - -10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3440 - - 8004 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11340 - - 14893 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12450 - - 17014 - - 11129 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4735 - - 3037 - - 4656 - - 2521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 451 - - 576 - - 111 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 16 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 185 - - 149 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 15 - - 16 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 27 - - 44 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2010 - - 5043 - - 3450 - - -431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10441 - - 11972 - - 7679 - - 7595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -933 - - 2598 - - -577 - - -5368 ODpotential blCL - - - 13383 - - 14416 - - 11706 - - 12532 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 81 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 810 - - 1500 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 67.6 - - 59.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 39.6 - - 50.1 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 69.6 - - 63.9 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 39.0 - - 48.9 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 300 - - -10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3440 - - 8004 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 25 - - 102 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99037 2 014 6 117 10 351 3 041 99037 91663 3 102 2 039 3 036 6 011 91663 85938 3 135 2 029 4 087 7 012 85938 81174 3 210 5 328 5 052 6 031 81174 77060 4 238 6 277 7 338 5 026 77060 73412 4 200 7 242 8 281 6 324 73412 70099 6 255 8 237 7 262 4 288 70099 67051 6 246 7 214 8 243 8 275 67051 64225 14 236 10 241 14 232 8 236 64225 61480 17 223 15 235 12 247 6 250 61480 58602 21 238 19 247 22 239 29 238 58602 55622 28 234 33 231 39 232 40 222 55622 52777 34 230 42 229 46 233 34 228 52777 50205 40 232 44 233 50 239 44 240 50205 47902 45 233 46 238 53 241 54 237 47902 45828 48 233 49 234 56 241 59 232 45828 43952 49 230 47 226 52 234 57 229 43952 42241 45 228 44 226 44 228 52 227 42241 40662 41 232 45 231 38 234 50 228 40662 39195 42 226 48 229 37 240 50 231 39195 37835 41 219 48 223 37 242 50 235 37835 36547 42 219 47 216 37 242 50 239 36547 35265 40 219 47 211 35 243 47 240 35265 33955 35 220 47 209 32 242 44 238 33955 32623 33 221 45 211 28 234 41 236 32623 31259 33 222 42 213 27 222 40 237 31259 29855 30 222 40 214 28 221 38 236 29855 28415 28 224 38 215 28 221 35 235 28415 26943 28 225 34 216 31 221 32 235 26943 25440 27 229 29 215 32 222 27 235 25440 23910 27 230 28 215 31 218 26 234 23910 22353 25 228 29 216 30 217 27 229 22353 20770 21 223 28 216 32 216 29 227 20770 19190 18 215 23 215 34 214 31 226 19190 17681 16 211 22*211 34 211 31 221 17681 16307 15 210 23*201 33 206 30 214 16307 15074 15 210 23 197 30 202 30 207 15074 13961 17 209 22 194 27 197 29 200 13961 12949 20*211 21 192 25 190 29 194 12949 12029 23*211 19 184 23 184 29 191 12029 11192 21 203 18 182 21*176 29 190 11192 10433 16 186 17 175 20*167 29 188 10433 9746 15 167 17 173 19 158 27 186 9746 9115 15 161 17 172 18 151 22 181 9115 8544 15 159 17 170 17 148 17 170 8544 8059 14 158 16 170 15 138 15 147 8059 7680 14 157 16 169 13 134 14 127 7680 7417 13 157 15 169 12 132 13 113 7417 7256 12 157 14 169 10 131 8*099 7256 7163 10 158 10 168 5 130 2*052 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography