DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.9 - - 38.3 - - 39.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 428 - - 280 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9929 - - 12035 - - 11277 - - 2339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16600 - - 18368 - - 17485 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18939 - - 21045 - - 20287 - - 11349 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1192 - - 1263 - - 2809 - - 5687 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 679 - - 740 - - 629 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 18 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 022 - - 017 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - -29 - - -52 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 7540 - - 8023 - - 6550 - - 2114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11399 - - 13022 - - 13738 - - 9236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 5152 - - 5122 - - 2865 - - -1604 ODpotential blCL - - - 13787 - - 15923 - - 17422 - - 12953 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 78 - - 60 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 90 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.9 - - 38.3 - - 39.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.0 - - 6.1 - - 4.5 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 39.7 - - 42.2 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 5.4 - - 3.7 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 428 - - 280 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9929 - - 12035 - - 11277 - - 2339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98074 12 132 3 158 11 019 10 096 98074 90611 1 045 2 207 5 100 2 052 90611 84879 8 035 2 285 5 025 6 041 84879 80138 5 063 2 047 9 325 10 045 80138 76050 2 001 5 326 7 341 12 001 76050 72445 3 323 7 010 3 046 6 334 72445 69174 4 188 9 275 12 317 6 039 69174 66141 1 135 8 204 12 266 7 355 66141 63309 7 038 2 082 8 236 6 300 63309 60553 9 304 7 337 5 303 6 309 60553 57659 9 280 11 298 12 298 9 302 57659 54636 5 315 10 315 11 292 12 317 54636 51748 15 303 16 303 15 303 20 320 51748 49155 17 290 18 302 19 308 25 309 49155 46835 16 299 16 305 20 312 24 308 46835 44734 19 297 18 319 22 316 24 320 44734 42816 21 290 23 321 24 324 28 328 42816 41051 20 286 25 316 28 326 30 327 41051 39414 20 288 25 311 30 325 29 333 39414 37892 20 289 23 305 28 323 30 336 37892 36479 19 288 20 299 26 325 29 336 36479 35144 18 284 18 293 23 322 26 337 35144 33825 17 277 15 294 19 322 22 339 33825 32496 17 268 15 298 17 320 18 337 32496 31166 18 254 13 289 14 311 14 325 31166 29823 22 246 12 268 13 300 11 320 29823 28459 28 241 13 256 12 288 11 309 28459 27076 34 234 17 253 11 270 11 270 27076 25678 40 231 21 253 12 259 17 243 25678 24265 41 233 21 256 10 278 20 239 24265 22838 36 243 15 279 10 306 11 253 22838 21394 24 262 13*316 9*328 9 282 21394 19920 12*293 13*350 9*347 10 267 19920 18439 5*025 14 005 11 005 7 260 18439 17021 5 043 14 010 14 012 6 298 17021 15731 6 046 13 018 17 016 6 359 15731 14573 6 045 12 027 19 018 10 024 14573 13529 6 043 12 034 21 020 15 032 13529 12580 6 041 11 038 22 021 21 036 12580 11717 6 040 11 038 22 021 25*038 11717 10933 6 038 11 037 23 021 29*038 10933 10224 5 037 11 035 22 021 31 036 10224 9581 6 037 11 032 22 021 32 034 9581 8992 5 036 11 029 22 021 31 030 8992 8458 5 036 11 025 21 021 30 027 8458 8004 5 035 10 022 20 021 27 023 8004 7648 5 036 10 020 19 021 24 020 7648 7400 4 035 10 019 18 021 21 018 7400 7248 4 035 9 018 16 020 17 017 7248 7161 3 036 7 016 12 020 10 013 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography