DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.1 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 429 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6314 - - 7275 - - 6620 - - 4236 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13659 - - 14479 - - 13600 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15324 - - 16285 - - 15630 - - 13246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1590 - - 1646 - - 1800 - - 2540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 630 - - 479 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 287 - - 296 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 13 - - 13 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - -9 - - -11 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1351 - - -1369 - - -2408 - - -2372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16676 - - 17655 - - 18039 - - 15619 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7936 - - -7190 - - -8831 - - -10569 ODpotential blCL - - - 23260 - - 23475 - - 24461 - - 23815 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 46 - - 44 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.1 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.5 - - 17.7 - - 15.6 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 72.0 - - 72.5 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.4 - - 16.6 - - 14.5 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 429 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6314 - - 7275 - - 6620 - - 4236 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99321 30 112 29 103 27 111 31 110 99321 91771 28 114 28 114 17 113 26 105 91771 85962 25 115 22 110 20 114 23 106 85962 81140 19 121 18 106 19 101 20 114 81140 76989 18 118 15 130 14 100 13 081 76989 73330 15 126 12 123 11 126 8 058 73330 70020 12 135 7 140 6 117 10 077 70020 66969 5 099 4 129 5 129 5 065 66969 64144 1 049 3 204 2 271 3 331 64144 61411 8 287 3 324 1 207 3 275 61411 58565 11 229 9 259 7 280 6 274 58565 55625 13 296 12 264 19 286 19 295 55625 52826 24 294 23 284 28 281 28 280 52826 50316 38 291 39 293 40 289 36 284 50316 48085 49 285 50 285 51 289 49 284 48085 46082 57 283 59 282 58 286 56 283 46082 44259 64 286 63 286 64 289 61 284 44259 42582 71 289 68 288 68 289 63 285 42582 41025 73 288 71 287 69 286 63 286 41025 39568 72 287 71 287 67 284 60 284 39568 38206 69 287 70 286 64 283 56 283 38206 36905 66 288 68 286 62 282 53 282 36905 35603 64 288 65 286 60 282 53 281 35603 34276 61 289 62 287 59 281 53 278 34276 32927 58 291 60 288 57 281 53 276 32927 31547 54 290 58 289 54 282 51 274 31547 30128 50 289 55 289 51 283 47 275 30128 28674 46 288 50 289 48 284 45 275 28674 27185 45 290 46 289 46 284 42 274 27185 25668 43 290 43 287 42 283 40 273 25668 24124 40 289 41 284 40 284 38 273 24124 22551 37 289 39 283 37 284 35 275 22551 20941 34 286 36 282 35 282 33 276 20941 19324 32 282 33 281 33 279 31 275 19324 17779 31 282 31 282 30 279 28 276 17779 16377 29*283 28*285 26*281 24 277 16377 15123 27*284 22*288 21*286 21 279 15123 13995 23 285 17 288 16 290 16*285 13995 12973 18 284 15 287 12 297 12*290 12973 12046 15 282 15 287 12 297 8 302 12046 11204 14 282 15 288 12 298 7 318 11204 10444 14 282 15 287 12 299 8 325 10444 9755 14 283 15 287 12 299 9 325 9755 9123 14 282 15 287 12 299 10 323 9123 8551 13 282 14 287 12 299 10 320 8551 8064 13 282 14 286 12 298 10 318 8064 7684 12 282 13 286 11 299 10 317 7684 7419 11 281 12 285 10 299 8 315 7419 7257 10 281 12 285 10 298 6 313 7257 7163 8 281 9 285 8 297 4 311 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography