DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1000z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.6 - - 70.8 - - 70.5 - - 73.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - -6 - - -17 - - -5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 292 - - 1085 - - 243 - - 1032 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 557 - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top 887 - - 1680 - - 838 - - 1627 - - 708 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1420 - - 2121 - - 2606 - - 2103 - - 3190 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 86 - - 51 - - 96 - - 35 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 22 - - 17 - - 25 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 146 - - 163 - - 169 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 13 - - 6 - - 15 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 313 - - 482 - - -143 - - 520 - - -127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 574 - - 1198 - - 981 - - 1107 - - 835 sfcLCL ODpotential -49 - - -186 - - -908 - - -177 - - -991 ODpotential blCL 936 - - 1866 - - 1746 - - 1804 - - 1699 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 480 - - 530 - - 1270 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m 67.6 - - 70.8 - - 70.5 - - 73.0 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.6 - - 67.0 - - 67.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 71.3 - - 71.2 - - 73.2 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.5 - - 66.6 - - 67.2 - - 68.9 - - 67.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - -6 - - -17 - - -5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 292 - - 1085 - - 243 - - 1032 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 86 - - 101 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98304 4 039 21 090 16 087 15 075 15 049 98304 90875 9 078 16 079 11 072 14 092 8 036 90875 85158 10 098 6 068 10 085 7 090 14 034 85158 80410 11 046 4 080 0 270 4 012 14 032 80410 76320 11 036 4 069 6 199 11 290 12 024 76320 72713 9 066 2 230 6 193 8 264 4 321 72713 69456 5 105 4 247 3 214 3 233 4 239 69456 66458 4 233 7 224 5 243 7 254 4 281 66458 63665 7 263 6 196 5 230 11 238 11 255 63665 60967 18 233 8 254 7 236 16 236 16 240 60967 58176 26 214 15 259 14 249 17 227 17 234 58176 55289 29 208 26 255 25 243 22 225 18 235 55289 52537 30 215 32 229 39 226 27 221 22 221 52537 50065 28 197 34 190 39 207 35 211 31 213 50065 47859 33 222 33 189 34 197 42 206 46 199 47859 45878 43 221 27 201 36 194 45 191 48 188 45878 44078 40 211 31 215 42 194 43 185 44 184 44078 42421 43 216 44 208 45 192 30 192 39 188 42421 40873 50 206 55 202 47 193 36 204 43 205 40873 39414 56 197 60 194 52 198 54 195 50 203 39414 38033 52 197 60 184 69 202 68 187 53 194 38033 36690 49 196 53 179 74 197 71 183 53 190 36690 35318 46 197 51 176 66 192 65 181 51 189 35318 33889 43 199 51 176 60 186 53 184 53 189 33889 32406 44 200 50 179 59 183 50 188 51 188 32406 30856 47 199 50 182 58 182 51 187 45 186 30856 29228 48 197 50 186 54 181 49 186 40 186 29228 27519 47 193 50 186 45 182 46 186 37 186 27519 25729 44 189 53 188 41 181 42 187 36 183 25729 23859 46 183 55 191 39 187 40 186 36 179 23859 21914 45 181 52 190 41 186 39 184 37 176 21914 19890 44 180 49 189 42 183 41 182 39 175 19890 17782 42 182 49 193 42 181 44 180 39 176 17782 15637 41 186 50 195 42 183 42 177 40 180 15637 13575 42 190 50 191 42 187 34 177 41 182 13575 11704 43 190 47 189 41 193 29 181 40 179 11704 10047 43 192 45 187 43 193 31 187 40 182 10047 8578 41 195 44 183 44 188 37 188 42 186 8578 7274 37 195 45 181 46 184 42 186 43 190 7274 6116 34 195 46 176 48 187 44 182 44 192 6116 5091 32 193 45 170 49 187 44 178 46 190 5091 4188 31 190 41 165 47 181 42 176 45 186 4188 3392 30 186 36 160 45 176 40 175 42 183 3392 2679 28 182 32 156 41 171 37 173 40 180 2679 2048 27 180 30*154 38 169 34*173 38 179 2048 1522 24 176 26*149 32 167 30*171 33 175 1522 1118 20*172 24 147 28 165 27 170 28 172 1118 840 16*168 21 145 24*164 24 169 24*170 840 671 14 167 18 144 20*163 21 168 21*169 671 574 10 164 14 143 14 163 15 168 15 167 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography