DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 61.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -3 - - 95 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 514 - - 2186 - - 131 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 1426 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1109 - - 2781 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1417 - - 842 - - 2168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 55 - - 253 - - 34 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 110 - - 131 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1028 - - -561 - - -1298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2137 - - 3343 - - 2024 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8465 - - -6826 - - -8060 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9574 - - 9607 - - 8786 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 61.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 48.6 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.0 - - 60.6 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.4 - - 47.3 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -3 - - 95 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 514 - - 2186 - - 131 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 71 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97588 10 187 8 208 8 262 97588 90255 7 179 4 221 4 335 90255 84604 7 157 4 251 5 344 84604 79917 6 112 6 189 1 335 79917 75885 6 026 2 125 5 360 75885 72321 5 357 3 297 8 338 72321 69100 5 018 6 306 11 314 69100 66145 7 331 3 316 8 305 66145 63404 12 293 13 313 15 316 63404 60747 24 284 18 289 21 297 60747 57964 25 291 20 296 30 290 57964 55065 37 289 33 282 38 278 55065 52296 43 287 44 283 44 280 52296 49809 45 283 49 282 50 282 49809 47593 49 288 51 285 55 284 47593 45600 56 290 53 288 57 284 45600 43790 60 287 55 290 55 286 43790 42132 58 282 54 288 52 290 42132 40593 56 281 52 289 51 293 40593 39149 54 283 50 290 51 294 39149 37785 51 283 48 291 51 296 37785 36463 50 281 47 290 47 296 36463 35118 54 281 45 291 44 293 35118 33718 55 281 42 292 41 291 33718 32264 50 283 42 292 39 289 32264 30739 42 280 41 288 39 288 30739 29131 38 278 41 287 38 290 29131 27440 35 279 39 285 37 291 27440 25668 35 283 33 281 34 291 25668 23819 30 289 30 280 31 289 23819 21895 25 287 26 281 29 285 21895 19886 19 278 23 280 27 282 19886 17784 21 253 24 283 27 286 17784 15636 16 270 20 277 25 289 15636 13563 11 287 17 276 25 291 13563 11676 13 288 14 271 25 289 11676 10001 13 253 7 245 16 277 10001 8517 17 219 8 248 10 225 8517 7197 14 189 12 242 10 195 7197 6027 8 171 10 212 12 186 6027 4997 6 148 13 162 15 201 4997 4097 12 141 16 152 21 185 4097 3311 19 155 16*144 22 161 3311 2614 20 144 15*135 19 148 2614 2001 18 132 14 132 17 144 2001 1491 14*120 14 130 16 143 1491 1099 11*113 13 129 15 142 1099 830 9 110 13 128 13*142 830 667 7 108 12 128 11*141 667 573 5 107 10 127 7 141 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography