DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 90.8 - - 90.1 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 552 - - 239 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7743 - - 9035 - - 8869 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10719 - - 11801 - - 11213 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12571 - - 13863 - - 13697 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1739 - - 1714 - - 1591 - - 7686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 664 - - 712 - - 536 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 19 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 225 - - 235 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 46 - - 59 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6214 - - -8776 - - -7443 - - -13430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18786 - - 22640 - - 21141 - - 17805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13245 - - -14800 - - -13387 - - -20495 ODpotential blCL - - - 25816 - - 28663 - - 27084 - - 24870 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 36 - - 31 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 90.8 - - 90.1 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 4.4 - - 10.9 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 88.8 - - 89.4 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.0 - - 4.4 - - 10.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 552 - - 239 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7743 - - 9035 - - 8869 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 25 119 23 130 12 120 9 098 98769 91241 21 120 23 116 18 102 16 094 91241 85474 21 123 21 103 22 096 22 087 85474 80726 17 108 17 111 17 078 25 091 80726 76648 17 099 21 114 17 091 21 095 76648 73046 16 106 14 102 22 098 20 112 73046 69793 11 125 10 101 12 099 18 095 69793 66818 14 145 5 138 6 109 10 065 66818 64076 5 139 6 131 5 214 5 033 64076 61447 17 188 12 197 15 222 15 267 61447 58716 13 248 4 222 18 196 21 227 58716 55872 27 245 24 255 20 254 21 256 55872 53154 29 240 31 250 30 252 31 250 53154 50715 26 261 23 263 22 268 24 253 50715 48536 18 265 20 246 26 267 29 265 48536 46557 16 296 19 289 27 283 33 283 46557 44738 28 281 34 277 36 279 39 279 44738 43057 32 262 37 259 37 266 42 271 43057 41489 27 258 32 249 35 256 44 265 41489 40016 28 277 28 254 32 257 40 265 40016 38630 29 290 26 270 30 261 36 268 38630 37300 30 297 27 280 28 266 33 266 37300 35959 32 298 28 286 27 272 31 271 35959 34576 34 295 29 289 28 280 31 281 34576 33156 34 289 31 285 31 286 34 291 33156 31689 34 285 33 281 33 287 36 293 31689 30164 33 286 39 280 36 286 35 289 30164 28589 32 285 42 281 39 286 31 294 28589 26962 32 278 41 280 39 289 29 306 26962 25282 32 269 37 280 36 297 31 313 25282 23553 32 256 37 283 34 307 33 318 23553 21769 32 250 35 275 30 305 31 324 21769 19925 32 247 33 260 26 294 25 330 19925 18053 35 243 34 255 26 273 16 318 18053 16252 36 239 33 253 26 263 15 280 16252 14614 34 234 28*248 21*256 17 264 14614 13160 30*229 21*239 17*243 15 253 13160 11863 24*224 19 235 16 241 12 240 11863 10700 22 220 19 233 16 240 12 239 10700 9655 21 217 19 230 17 238 13 243 9655 8716 20 214 19 226 17 235 14 245 8716 7877 19 212 19 222 17 234 15 246 7877 7125 19 210 19 219 17 232 16 246 7125 6443 19 208 19 217 17 231 16 245 6443 5832 18 207 19 214 17 230 16 244 5832 5316 18 205 19 212 17 229 15 243 5316 4917 17 204 18 211 17 228 14 240 4917 4640 17 204 18 211 16 228 11 236 4640 4471 16 204 17 210 15 228 8*229 4471 4374 14 203 15 210 13 227 5*224 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography