DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 95.3 - - 93.3 - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 296 - - 80 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3548 - - 11758 - - 11804 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7210 - - 13712 - - 12600 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8376 - - 16586 - - 16632 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3737 - - 2441 - - 2194 - - 6296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 442 - - 644 - - 423 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 51 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 303 - - 359 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 15 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1470 - - 4171 - - 5335 - - -5652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9846 - - 12416 - - 11297 - - 10030 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4231 - - 1286 - - 1620 - - -8754 ODpotential blCL - - - 12607 - - 15300 - - 15012 - - 13131 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 85 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 2220 - - 1510 - - 2240 - - 1990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 95.3 - - 93.3 - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.0 - - 55.6 - - 58.5 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.3 - - 94.1 - - 93.6 - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 54.5 - - 57.9 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 296 - - 80 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3548 - - 11758 - - 11804 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 40 - - 41 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99362 46 099 47 107 33 109 32 085 99362 91830 43 104 41 107 31 108 30 103 91830 86008 36 102 31 107 30 095 37 099 86008 81195 30 100 28 089 30 100 38 092 81195 77076 31 097 26 088 34 101 32 099 77076 73457 29 091 27 104 31 098 29 108 73457 70193 22 097 23 106 22 091 25 095 70193 67207 19 116 18 120 17 096 18 084 67207 64457 18 103 18 120 13 109 13 112 64457 61799 17 074 14 112 12 108 15 116 61799 59031 7 055 12 110 8 098 12 103 59031 56190 6 209 4 084 7 063 10 064 56190 53526 12 172 5 200 1 346 10 029 53526 51149 8 095 9 171 9 226 9 311 51149 49003 13 027 4 063 1 078 6 287 49003 47039 21 355 17 353 13 359 15 345 47039 45230 23 339 23 333 19 344 21 343 45230 43546 22 327 25 328 20 337 20 343 43546 41963 20 321 26 326 21 332 18 344 41963 40471 21 313 26 323 22 328 17 347 40471 39064 28 306 27 321 21 323 17 348 39064 37712 27 301 25 320 19 314 17 342 37712 36348 22 297 21 318 17 301 16 327 36348 34945 19 297 17 317 17 298 15 308 34945 33506 16 299 15 324 10 301 14 301 33506 32022 15 307 13 335 11 323 11 311 32022 30483 15 318 12 344 6 329 8 316 30483 28890 10 339 6 000 3 238 1 142 28890 27245 6 095 3 028 1 017 1 076 27245 25553 8 149 1 125 2 079 3 038 25553 23814 12 147 2 221 4 111 7 059 23814 22025 18 140 5 218 4 123 13 077 22025 20179 17 149 9 198 5 212 19 084 20179 18307 15 151 6*172 8*227 18 081 18307 16507 16 132 3*131 4*222 15 077 16507 14863 16 125 3 079 1 021 12 075 14863 13390 12 121 2 017 3 023 9 073 13390 12066 7 111 3 335 4 022 5 071 12066 10873 4 069 3 323 5 019 2 055 10873 9799 3 038 5 296 4 012 2 327 9799 8833 4*010 5 293 4 006 5 306 8833 7970 5*338 5 287 4 353 8 303 7970 7197 7 328 5 284 4 345 11 301 7197 6496 7 324 5 281 4 341 14 298 6496 5869 7 316 4 277 5 334 16 293 5869 5341 7 311 4 275 4 335 16 289 5341 4932 6 303 4 273 5 333 15 289 4932 4648 6 299 4 273 4 332 13 291 4648 4475 6 296 4 270 4 332 10*293 4475 4376 5 294 4 270 4 333 5*295 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography