DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 86.0 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 352 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3987 - - 8313 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7479 - - 10998 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8815 - - 13141 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2851 - - 2032 - - - - - 8853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 598 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 264 - - - - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8462 - - -5783 - - - - - -11759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17278 - - 18925 - - - - - 16134 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13706 - - -10721 - - - - - -17787 ODpotential blCL - - - 22521 - - 23862 - - - - - 22162 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 87 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 86.0 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 16.9 - - - - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 84.8 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 16.4 - - - - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 352 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3987 - - 8313 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - - - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96806 32 255 31 258 39 268 96806 89519 21 252 25 259 27 265 89519 83977 15 261 19 257 13 278 83977 79402 11 229 16 248 12 309 79402 75472 4 180 10 220 11 288 75472 71991 6 297 7 287 12 306 71991 68835 3 173 8 248 14 327 68835 65947 9 033 2 282 10 328 65947 63298 17 353 11 338 9 337 63298 60759 17 348 13 338 9 356 60759 58111 18 328 17 317 19 319 58111 55352 13 294 19 270 26 293 55352 52699 16 275 22 260 28 286 52699 50276 20 290 21 281 30 298 50276 48073 24 303 27 297 34 309 48073 46055 29 303 31 301 35 303 46055 44203 36 299 35 298 37 301 44203 42509 38 285 40 288 39 295 42509 40960 40 276 43 273 38 288 40960 39527 44 273 40 270 41 284 39527 38181 42 267 38 276 42 279 38181 36884 41 268 40 284 39 281 36884 35574 34 272 41 285 39 283 35574 34223 32 281 41 283 37 285 34223 32836 35 280 39 280 36 286 32836 31399 36 276 37 279 34 284 31399 29903 33 270 33 276 32 283 29903 28352 30 268 32 273 32 283 28352 26744 31 267 32 273 31 284 26744 25083 31 266 34 272 30 296 25083 23373 27 268 29 270 25 300 23373 21611 22 277 19 272 18 298 21611 19792 19 288 11 291 15 276 19792 17946 17 288 11 304 16 270 17946 16169 14 280 12 305 15 273 16169 14554 12 269 11*293 5 252 14554 13116 10 260 9*275 5 180 13116 11830 9 257 9 267 8 201 11830 10673 8 264 8 265 8 222 10673 9631 6*275 8 265 9 241 9631 8695 5*283 7 265 11 252 8695 7859 4 288 6 263 12 259 7859 7110 3 285 6 262 13 265 7110 6430 2 256 5 261 13 270 6430 5822 2 234 5 257 13 277 5822 5310 3 226 4 254 11 282 5310 4913 3 219 4 251 9 287 4913 4638 4 218 4 250 5 292 4638 4471 4 218 4 248 3*296 4471 4374 3 216 4 248 2*312 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography