DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 64 - - -17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2940 - - 4241 - - 371 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5554 - - 6821 - - 4356 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7768 - - 9069 - - 5199 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3144 - - 5976 - - 1937 - - 2275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 281 - - 36 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 300 - - 036 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 11 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -3 - - -48 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1898 - - 2751 - - -1163 - - -1220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5871 - - 6318 - - 6362 - - 5593 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -124 - - 921 - - -4092 - - -5007 ODpotential blCL - - - 7892 - - 8148 - - 9291 - - 9380 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 82 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 290 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 33.5 - - 29.1 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 46.5 - - 43.4 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 32.4 - - 28.6 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 64 - - -17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2940 - - 4241 - - 371 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 102 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 14 030 20 074 6 126 10 041 96483 89437 12 073 10 099 9 083 10 057 89437 83961 8 102 5 120 3 063 6 012 83961 79364 2 336 6 327 5 340 5 332 79364 75384 8 309 11 308 12 344 9 352 75384 71860 8 319 11 307 11 333 11 014 71860 68664 10 294 12 313 12 341 12 005 68664 65721 13 269 12 308 10 344 10 002 65721 62973 11 270 12 313 5 352 14 356 62973 60305 10 312 17 324 15 332 18 330 60305 57518 11 297 19 291 14 311 17 313 57518 54609 8 331 9 296 16 308 15 272 54609 51807 32 321 15 293 24 287 23 325 51807 49281 39 301 21 310 37 305 42 315 49281 47030 41 303 37 311 46 297 40 306 47030 44991 50 294 47 294 43 292 39 311 44991 43126 48 283 45 277 44 291 44 314 43126 41409 47 278 40 279 45 295 47 314 41409 39816 47 276 43 290 46 297 49 315 39816 38331 52 274 47 291 46 298 52 313 38331 36943 57 275 49 289 49 303 52 310 36943 35614 61 275 50 286 54 305 51 308 35614 34279 64 272 52 282 58 303 51 308 34279 32910 65 269 54 277 58 300 50 311 32910 31512 68 266 56 273 56 297 50 313 31512 30072 70 262 55 271 53 294 50 313 30072 28583 72 260 53 272 51 290 49 316 28583 27049 70 260 50 272 47 291 50 317 27049 25472 65 261 45 271 43 296 47 316 25472 23864 55 263 38 273 39 297 41 323 23864 22230 44 267 30 280 34 299 39 335 22230 20562 31 265 22 288 26 305 39 342 20562 18850 24 263 18 291 6 331 36 348 18850 17118 26 275 13 294 8 011 30 353 17118 15453 26 274 10 298 11 333 22 353 15453 13937 24 262 12 295 17 316 18 357 13937 12582 16 255 14 296 19 318 17 005 12582 11366 11 266 16 291 18 326 18 013 11366 10275 9 269 14 288 17 335 20 019 10275 9292 7 268 12*290 17 344 21 024 9292 8413 6*266 11*294 16 355 23 030 8413 7627 4*273 10 300 17 008 24 035 7627 6925 4 297 9 301 19 019 24 039 6925 6290 6 328 8 302 23 027 23 041 6290 5722 6 343 8 302 25 032 19 043 5722 5243 6 348 7 301 24*034 14 044 5243 4874 5 350 7 301 22*035 8 041 4874 4618 5 349 6 299 19 036 2 355 4618 4461 4 349 6 300 17 036 3*275 4461 4372 4 351 5 299 10 036 4*265 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography