DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 91.6 - - 92.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 308 - - 41 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1769 - - 6772 - - 7534 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5786 - - 9698 - - 8513 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6597 - - 11600 - - 12362 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2243 - - 3457 - - 3801 - - 1810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 534 - - 289 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 73 - - 29 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 298 - - 293 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -20 - - -14 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14138 - - -11533 - - -11552 - - -15163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20736 - - 23134 - - 23915 - - 19540 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20201 - - -16784 - - -16708 - - -21653 ODpotential blCL - - - 26798 - - 28384 - - 29070 - - 26029 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 61 - - 37 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 91.6 - - 92.1 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.9 - - 3.3 - - 0.2 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 90.4 - - 92.6 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.8 - - 2.5 - - -0.1 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 308 - - 41 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1769 - - 6772 - - 7534 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96702 23 271 31 291 33 271 35 313 96702 89529 12 264 20 288 12 298 20 313 89529 84007 8 008 8 234 10 341 11 352 84007 79450 9 036 2 118 7 343 11 001 79450 75545 6 046 4 089 5 056 7 356 75545 72089 4 085 2 011 7 065 2 359 72089 68948 5 095 6 336 10 005 8 038 68948 66071 5 021 8 358 13 015 11 019 66071 63440 12 014 13 001 15 016 13 026 63440 60916 16 000 14 358 13 009 15 015 60916 58280 17 353 14 356 15 011 15 006 58280 55531 21 349 16 356 17 007 15 002 55531 52892 23 346 17 351 18 348 18 358 52892 50507 19 342 16 338 18 330 19 342 50507 48362 21 346 14 349 12 317 13 310 48362 46416 26 338 19 356 12 339 8 289 46416 44629 18 295 19 316 18 338 7 314 44629 42975 18 270 21 286 18 304 14 299 42975 41439 11 266 15 273 20 297 17 297 41439 40001 11 283 12 264 17 273 21 276 40001 38644 12 299 10 272 14 260 20 264 38644 37335 5 313 7 255 13 257 18 264 37335 36013 3 309 10 259 15 284 17 276 36013 34649 5 294 15 273 17 282 20 283 34649 33249 13 296 13 288 18 279 21 288 33249 31798 15 300 14 306 19 283 20 294 31798 30288 16 303 15 312 20 288 18 300 30288 28722 15 309 14 318 20 293 17 308 28722 27100 17 309 16 320 20 301 18 309 27100 25424 19 308 16 319 19 310 18 310 25424 23698 18 305 15 319 16 314 14 311 23698 21914 15 309 13 315 14 314 12 302 21914 20069 12 327 10 313 14 306 12 297 20069 18196 10 332 8 297 13 301 13 304 18196 16393 4 298 8 276 11 306 13 314 16393 14748 4 226 6 296 9 318 11 333 14748 13278 3 267 8 327 7*327 7 351 13278 11964 5 320 8*344 6*319 5 350 11964 10783 7 334 6*346 6 309 6 348 10783 9720 8 345 5 340 6 303 5 342 9720 8766 9 359 4 327 7 297 4 335 8766 7914 7 032 4 315 7 290 4 323 7914 7151 7*061 4 280 7 286 5 308 7151 6460 5*071 4 267 7 284 7 299 6460 5842 2 081 4 260 7 282 10 295 5842 5322 1 221 4 253 7 281 13 291 5322 4920 3 225 4 249 7 280 13 290 4920 4641 3 225 4 247 7 279 9 298 4641 4472 3 223 4 247 6 279 7*310 4472 4375 3 222 4 245 6 278 6*322 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography