DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 94.8 - - 94.1 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 478 - - 201 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5414 - - 10144 - - 10370 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8794 - - 12642 - - 12277 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10242 - - 14972 - - 15198 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1931 - - 1584 - - 1565 - - 10001 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 569 - - 705 - - 532 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 226 - - 236 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 28 - - 60 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10398 - - -8277 - - -6802 - - -15961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20641 - - 23251 - - 22001 - - 20338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15869 - - -12510 - - -11048 - - -22136 ODpotential blCL - - - 26111 - - 27482 - - 26246 - - 26512 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 74 - - 43 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 94.8 - - 94.1 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.9 - - 5.5 - - 10.8 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 93.0 - - 93.7 - - 89.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.8 - - 5.5 - - 10.9 - - 9.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 478 - - 201 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5414 - - 10144 - - 10370 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99109 32 108 33 100 29 110 31 097 99109 91628 30 104 27 118 26 100 22 093 91628 85882 26 098 25 105 26 109 23 082 85882 81110 26 099 28 112 25 112 24 086 81110 76986 25 102 28 103 26 106 17 103 76986 73373 22 096 23 094 22 097 21 116 73373 70122 16 103 17 109 11 091 18 086 70122 67133 11 109 11 088 12 088 14 075 67133 64365 9 109 5 058 6 039 16 066 64365 61693 10 142 11 142 6 118 7 026 61693 58918 8 265 11 270 8 349 7 015 58918 56041 14 285 19 278 19 293 13 301 56041 53303 30 288 26 296 30 291 27 305 53303 50848 48 278 46 288 46 292 45 303 50848 48651 54 277 56 282 57 290 56 298 48651 46655 60 284 61 282 60 291 60 295 46655 44822 69 287 65 284 63 290 62 294 44822 43122 72 286 67 283 65 288 65 292 43122 41538 69 283 67 281 64 286 66 290 41538 40059 61 282 60 280 59 282 62 286 40059 38675 48 277 46 276 51 273 57 278 38675 37348 43 271 39 267 49 261 52 266 37348 36007 43 267 39 262 46 258 50 262 36007 34625 43 265 39 258 39 263 42 277 34625 33216 44 263 37 259 33 267 27 281 33216 31764 43 263 35 260 30 268 21 263 31764 30255 41 264 34 259 28 263 21 242 30255 28686 38 260 33 255 27 257 21 234 28686 27060 35 256 31 252 25 256 21 232 27060 25379 33 255 29 252 24 256 20 238 25379 23648 32 252 26 250 23 253 20 239 23648 21861 30 248 25 246 22 249 20 239 21861 20012 29 242 25 243 22 246 20 242 20012 18140 27 242 24 243 21 248 18 247 18140 16343 25 244 22*245 16*248 16 249 16343 14708 22 242 16*240 11*246 10 238 14708 13250 21 241 14 238 11 247 6 222 13250 11945 20 239 14 237 11 247 7 231 11945 10770 17*237 13 235 11 243 9 240 10770 9712 12*232 12 229 12 238 10 246 9712 8762 9 226 12 223 13 234 11 250 8762 7913 7 218 12 218 13 231 12 252 7913 7152 6 209 12 214 13 229 13 253 7152 6463 6 204 12 210 13 227 13 252 6463 5845 6 202 11 207 13 225 13 253 5845 5325 6 200 11 205 13 224 13 251 5325 4922 6 199 11 203 13 223 11 249 4922 4643 6 200 11 202 13 223 8 244 4643 4473 6 199 10 202 12 222 6*236 4473 4375 6 199 10 202 11 222 4*232 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography