DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.7 - - 96.2 - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 526 - - 237 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5669 - - 10417 - - 10165 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9008 - - 12915 - - 12237 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10497 - - 15245 - - 14993 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1392 - - 1128 - - 1370 - - 8777 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 583 - - 734 - - 559 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 245 - - 249 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 67 - - 60 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9856 - - -7498 - - -5719 - - -13101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20354 - - 22744 - - 20713 - - 17478 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16003 - - -11760 - - -9872 - - -19146 ODpotential blCL - - - 26500 - - 27005 - - 24865 - - 23522 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 53 - - 59 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.7 - - 96.2 - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.0 - - 10.9 - - 19.0 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 95.7 - - 95.6 - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 10.9 - - 19.1 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 526 - - 237 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5669 - - 10417 - - 10165 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98943 28 102 37 107 35 105 32 100 98943 91425 27 105 27 108 28 111 23 098 91425 85649 24 111 17 115 17 102 20 095 85649 80858 23 112 21 129 13 084 20 087 80858 76738 20 109 21 109 15 106 20 087 76738 73116 16 113 14 104 22 112 15 104 73116 69846 17 112 11 100 19 090 19 105 69846 66851 15 105 10 110 10 094 12 070 66851 64101 3 124 6 051 10 071 12 096 64101 61456 4 201 4 241 7 320 7 031 61456 58722 4 272 5 263 5 303 4 287 58722 55913 10 285 13 266 13 276 9 280 55913 53252 16 293 18 277 20 271 19 277 53252 50865 31 283 28 278 30 276 30 280 50865 48726 40 276 37 279 36 280 36 277 48726 46775 44 275 42 280 42 278 42 275 46775 44975 47 275 44 279 45 276 47 273 44975 43300 49 273 45 277 46 275 47 271 43300 41730 46 272 45 274 44 270 45 270 41730 40255 42 274 40 272 41 265 41 270 40255 38867 40 273 36 269 35 263 33 264 38867 37533 40 267 36 264 32 263 29 257 37533 36186 39 265 36 262 33 259 29 254 36186 34800 40 266 36 264 34 259 29 253 34800 33380 40 265 35 262 35 256 30 253 33380 31913 38 261 34 258 35 252 30 249 31913 30389 34 259 31 256 32 250 28 246 30389 28809 30 262 27 255 29 249 26 246 28809 27174 28 268 25 256 26 248 25 241 27174 25486 27 272 23 259 21 248 21 237 25486 23746 27 273 22 266 19 256 18 242 23746 21951 24 269 20 269 17 261 17 247 21951 20094 22 262 20 261 18 257 18 242 20094 18209 21 255 22 256 19 252 18 244 18209 16399 21 256 22*259 17*255 17 253 16399 14753 23 262 17*257 13*252 16 258 14753 13286 25 264 15 254 12 248 12 250 13286 11971 24 263 15 253 13 248 10 237 11971 10791 17*256 14 250 13 247 11 239 10791 9729 11*245 13 246 14 248 12 244 9729 8776 9 238 13 243 14 249 13 248 8776 7924 8 230 13 241 15 249 15 250 7924 7161 7 222 13 238 15 249 15 251 7161 6470 6 215 12 236 15 250 16 251 6470 5851 6 209 12 233 15 249 16 251 5851 5329 6 204 12 232 15 249 15 251 5329 4924 6 199 11 231 14 249 14 251 4924 4644 6 198 11 230 14 249 11 248 4644 4473 6 198 11 229 13 249 8*246 4473 4375 5 197 10 229 12 248 5*243 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography