DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 546 - - 582 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6479 - - 9138 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9708 - - 11911 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11307 - - 13966 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1805 - - 1746 - - - - - 7604 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 635 - - 728 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 29 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 227 - - - - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 55 - - 64 - - - - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4014 - - -7546 - - - - - -15941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15321 - - 21513 - - - - - 20317 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11021 - - -13588 - - - - - -24032 ODpotential blCL - - - 22328 - - 27554 - - - - - 28407 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 39 - - - - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 10.7 - - - - - 6.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 90.1 - - - - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 10.6 - - - - - 6.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 546 - - 582 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6479 - - 9138 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99076 32 103 32 116 28 091 99076 91570 30 106 28 107 25 097 91570 85780 32 114 24 106 22 107 85780 80974 30 113 26 107 26 095 80974 76864 23 094 23 111 23 099 76864 73241 14 092 19 103 17 098 73241 69949 12 108 11 100 15 084 69949 66918 4 139 2 226 9 072 66918 64097 5 117 8 147 8 005 64097 61383 7 259 2 263 14 295 61383 58599 15 235 6 283 14 174 58599 55730 17 263 22 258 19 261 55730 53016 35 269 36 254 33 285 53016 50612 42 264 44 267 41 274 50612 48471 46 263 45 266 34 266 48471 46523 49 263 38 276 28 279 46523 44734 44 272 37 285 24 286 44734 43073 39 280 32 280 21 287 43073 41514 29 293 26 276 23 286 41514 40043 28 306 22 282 27 281 40043 38656 27 307 22 289 29 274 38656 37322 26 304 23 292 31 267 37322 35976 25 297 27 290 33 265 35976 34591 27 290 31 285 34 267 34591 33170 30 284 35 281 35 264 33170 31702 33 278 39 276 37 259 31702 30175 34 272 40 270 39 257 30175 28593 35 269 40 263 39 258 28593 26954 37 270 40 261 39 256 26954 25265 39 273 41 266 39 259 25265 23525 39 272 42 271 40 268 23525 21732 40 271 42 273 39 271 21732 19883 41 268 43 271 37 267 19883 18013 42 261 43 263 37 260 18013 16220 45 253 44 253 39 252 16220 14592 46 248 42*246 40 246 14592 13143 43 247 36*241 38 240 13143 11849 37*244 31 235 33 234 11849 10688 30*236 30 229 30 232 10688 9644 27 229 29 228 30 232 9644 8708 26 220 29 226 29 233 8708 7870 26 216 29 224 29 232 7870 7120 25 214 29 223 28 232 7120 6439 25 212 28 222 27 231 6439 5830 25 211 28 220 26 230 5830 5315 24 209 27 219 23 228 5315 4916 24 208 26 219 20 225 4916 4640 23 208 25 218 16 221 4640 4471 21 207 24 218 12*217 4471 4374 18 207 20 217 7*212 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography