DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 98.5 - - 97.7 - - 90.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 438 - - 130 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4072 - - 11905 - - 12110 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7675 - - 14046 - - 13281 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8900 - - 16733 - - 16938 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3052 - - 1981 - - 2787 - - 11082 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 724 - - 488 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 29 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 279 - - 295 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 12 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -26 - - 8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2381 - - 1337 - - 1678 - - -9001 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11282 - - 15397 - - 15261 - - 13379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5112 - - -517 - - 191 - - -11485 ODpotential blCL - - - 14012 - - 17250 - - 16747 - - 15862 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 65 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 1050 - - 380 - - 450 - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 98.5 - - 97.7 - - 90.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 45.5 - - 45.5 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.2 - - 96.6 - - 97.4 - - 92.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.2 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 438 - - 130 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4072 - - 11905 - - 12110 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 91 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99185 34 115 33 109 26 111 20 099 99185 91678 33 120 26 120 23 112 23 083 91678 85887 32 102 24 116 24 103 26 106 85887 81076 27 097 25 114 25 088 26 102 81076 76961 23 103 20 112 17 100 25 085 76961 73345 21 104 16 122 12 101 20 088 73345 70070 22 087 13 112 10 108 13 090 70070 67074 20 080 10 102 13 095 12 099 67074 64320 17 062 15 101 14 092 14 095 64320 61678 10 015 16 071 15 070 14 082 61678 58944 4 199 8 096 4 101 8 046 58944 56120 5 141 2 118 5 167 2 312 56120 53434 5 359 3 262 4 275 9 300 53434 51028 11 326 7 344 8 356 6 351 51028 48880 14 320 12 352 12 349 13 008 48880 46930 20 337 17 354 12 354 14 359 46930 45136 19 339 17 001 10 353 11 350 45136 43466 10 348 15 006 8 354 9 356 43466 41899 10 005 13 009 9 009 7 013 41899 40422 15 010 13 007 10 014 7 023 40422 39027 16 012 14 007 11 018 9 025 39027 37685 17 011 13 010 12 016 11 034 37685 36330 18 002 12 008 13 010 13 035 36330 34935 19 347 15 359 15 009 15 027 34935 33503 20 351 14 007 14 013 15 025 33503 32024 18 002 12 029 9 031 14 018 32024 30488 12 001 11 028 8 041 8 020 30488 28899 6 352 10 021 8 031 6 027 28899 27256 4 009 8 029 8 030 6 032 27256 25563 6 028 7 040 9 034 5 032 25563 23821 6 048 6 030 9 039 5 043 23821 22024 6 058 8 035 9 059 9 095 22024 20168 6 077 7 060 13 078 16 100 20168 18295 6 101 5*085 10*080 14 097 18295 16494 4 148 1*039 4*064 9 105 16494 14848 6 168 3 307 3 319 5 084 14848 13373 3 194 4 298 3 312 4 030 13373 12050 3 284 5 290 4 307 8 342 12050 10859 6 301 5 285 6 295 12 330 10859 9787 7*302 6 280 7 292 14 322 9787 8823 6*290 6 277 8 289 15 317 8823 7962 4 267 6 272 9 288 17 311 7962 7192 4 253 6 268 10 288 18 306 7192 6492 4 241 6 264 10 286 18 301 6492 5867 4 234 6 260 10 286 19 296 5867 5339 4 226 6 258 10 286 18 294 5339 4930 4 219 6 255 10 285 16 292 4930 4647 4 215 6 255 10 286 13 293 4647 4474 3 216 5 254 10 285 11*294 4474 4376 3 214 5 252 8 285 6*299 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography