DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 561 - - 252 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7572 - - 11311 - - 10648 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10581 - - 13692 - - 12668 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12400 - - 16139 - - 15476 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3510 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 9068 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 660 - - 773 - - 580 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 224 - - 225 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 49 - - 46 - - 30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3670 - - -1120 - - -1474 - - -10779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16071 - - 17260 - - 16950 - - 15155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6339 - - -2468 - - -3198 - - -14527 ODpotential blCL - - - 18739 - - 18607 - - 18674 - - 18903 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 70 - - 92 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 28.1 - - 27.9 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 88.0 - - 87.5 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 28.1 - - 27.9 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 561 - - 252 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7572 - - 11311 - - 10648 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98466 19 127 16 103 12 099 18 083 98466 91008 17 102 14 100 20 077 14 080 91008 85305 15 093 15 098 13 061 15 096 85305 80582 18 112 11 112 11 062 14 101 80582 76516 18 104 13 120 8 113 14 107 76516 72923 10 110 14 103 10 123 16 107 72923 69682 10 131 15 154 7 127 11 080 69682 66700 7 104 14 148 11 180 1 011 66700 63941 6 268 8 205 12 196 4 208 63941 61278 6 185 6 089 5 144 6 298 61278 58496 20 249 23 237 22 223 24 231 58496 55630 32 236 32 231 27 248 32 251 55630 52903 36 249 37 241 39 251 42 253 52903 50434 49 258 45 249 48 250 54 247 50434 48202 59 258 52 249 55 249 58 246 48202 46164 58 254 55 249 56 251 57 247 46164 44295 50 252 53 250 57 251 57 248 44295 42575 45 256 53 253 57 249 56 249 42575 40982 48 260 56 255 58 249 55 250 40982 39499 54 263 55 256 61 248 56 250 39499 38114 56 263 51 254 60 247 57 248 38114 36790 54 259 51 251 56 247 55 244 36790 35462 52 252 54 248 56 248 54 243 35462 34104 53 250 56 249 57 243 52 245 34104 32718 52 251 55 252 55 238 51 243 32718 31285 49 253 51 253 55 247 49 239 31285 29793 47 254 46 252 51 254 48 240 29793 28249 48 255 43 252 41 249 46 247 28249 26652 45 255 42 252 40 246 41 244 26652 25005 42 252 40 249 40 249 39 243 25005 23311 40 247 39 245 40 253 36 249 23311 21564 37 244 35 240 36 252 32 248 21564 19758 34 242 32 236 31 244 29 241 19758 17927 32 239 32 233 29 239 27 233 17927 16166 33 234 31*233 27*235 26 229 16166 14560 34 234 27*232 23*233 24 227 14560 13124 32*235 24 231 21 230 21 224 13124 11837 28*234 23 230 21 229 18 222 11837 10679 23 230 23 228 21 228 18 222 10679 9638 21 224 23 226 21 227 18 224 9638 8703 20 219 22 224 21 224 18 224 8703 7867 19 216 22 221 21 223 18 224 7867 7118 19 213 22 219 21 221 19 223 7118 6438 19 211 22 218 21 220 19 223 6438 5828 18 209 22 216 20 219 18 222 5828 5315 18 207 21 215 20 218 17 221 5315 4916 17 206 21 214 20 217 16 219 4916 4640 17 205 20 213 19 217 13 216 4640 4472 16 204 19 213 18 217 10*213 4472 4375 14 204 16 213 15 217 6*209 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography