DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 79.1 - - 76.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 531 - - 579 - - 251 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8031 - - 8543 - - 8327 - - 4764 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10963 - - 11423 - - 10820 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12859 - - 13371 - - 13155 - - 9592 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1031 - - 1425 - - 1648 - - 2789 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 677 - - 713 - - 535 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 21 - - 25 - - 26 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 211 - - 221 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 51 - - 58 - - 61 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -360 - - -1350 - - -1652 - - -3594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13220 - - 14721 - - 14808 - - 13187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3438 - - -4921 - - -5838 - - -8751 ODpotential blCL - - - 16297 - - 18292 - - 18993 - - 18343 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 48 - - 48 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 79.1 - - 76.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 28.8 - - 26.1 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 77.2 - - 76.3 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 28.7 - - 26.1 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 531 - - 579 - - 251 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8031 - - 8543 - - 8327 - - 4764 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98049 4 276 8 280 7 303 10 351 98049 90639 5 287 13 302 11 314 12 317 90639 84930 6 355 9 316 5 304 10 296 84930 80187 5 279 10 289 7 296 6 328 80187 76093 3 018 10 265 10 339 5 049 76093 72479 1 298 9 212 15 292 6 004 72479 69225 6 092 5 185 11 264 8 292 69225 66240 11 293 5 285 5 270 5 299 66240 63457 20 259 20 263 17 269 24 272 63457 60761 23 236 29 243 29 256 34 262 60761 57939 25 252 30 248 28 253 30 258 57939 54990 39 260 39 260 34 262 29 268 54990 52175 47 257 47 264 41 266 36 270 52175 49657 53 254 51 265 48 263 37 269 49657 47418 52 262 52 263 43 262 46 280 47418 45409 56 261 50 269 49 272 50 265 45409 43571 51 267 55 268 49 278 48 283 43571 41877 56 271 51 268 53 286 58 298 41877 40321 55 269 52 281 58 282 61 297 40321 38876 55 272 56 285 57 281 58 299 38876 37525 56 275 58 282 58 301 64 307 37525 36233 59 274 61 278 74 318 71 308 36233 34932 57 272 58 274 84 320 71 301 34932 33593 51 272 50 272 77 311 71 294 33593 32219 48 278 45 273 69 300 72 289 32219 30798 47 286 46 274 62 289 72 284 30798 29322 47 292 52 277 58 279 71 282 29322 27792 44 289 53 281 60 273 67 278 27792 26211 43 283 48 281 60 273 63 273 26211 24580 40 277 43 273 54 270 58 268 24580 22902 36 276 42 270 49 261 53 264 22902 21174 32 280 43 270 50 258 51 262 21174 19392 28 282 42 268 46 260 49 259 19392 17589 24 278 36 264 40 258 46 254 17589 15860 22 269 29 256 34 250 41 247 15860 14291 21 261 23*244 29*240 36 239 14291 12893 15*246 20*224 26*229 32 232 12893 11641 13*230 20 218 26 225 31 228 11641 10517 13 226 20 215 26 224 30*227 10517 9506 13 219 21 213 26 222 31*226 9506 8596 13 213 22 211 26 221 30 226 8596 7783 13 208 22 209 26 219 30 226 7783 7052 14 206 22 208 26 218 29 225 7052 6389 14 203 23 207 26 217 28 224 6389 5794 14 201 22 206 26 217 26 223 5794 5293 14 199 22 206 25 216 24 220 5293 4904 13 198 22 205 24 215 20 217 4904 4633 13 197 21 205 23 215 16 214 4633 4469 13 197 20 205 22 214 13 211 4469 4374 11 196 17 205 18 214 8 207 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography