DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.8 - - 91.6 - - 91.7 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 150 - - 172 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6549 - - 10869 - - 8315 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9561 - - 12426 - - 10548 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11377 - - 15697 - - 13143 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3012 - - 1314 - - 3392 - - 8986 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 490 - - 469 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 227 - - 198 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 13 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -69 - - 26 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8142 - - -3305 - - -5894 - - -12333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19520 - - 19003 - - 19038 - - 16710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12653 - - -6131 - - -10157 - - -16942 ODpotential blCL - - - 24030 - - 21828 - - 23300 - - 21318 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.8 - - 91.6 - - 91.7 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.2 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 91.4 - - 91.4 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 22.4 - - 22.3 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 150 - - 172 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6549 - - 10869 - - 8315 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 101 - - 66 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 34 102 36 100 34 099 35 096 98989 91500 32 108 29 107 28 101 25 081 91500 85770 42 107 26 115 22 100 25 078 85770 81032 27 097 34 108 20 098 25 094 81032 76944 21 097 27 091 23 090 22 092 76944 73326 19 101 15 101 22 078 20 088 73326 70072 19 107 15 114 17 086 17 072 70072 67104 18 079 15 085 15 085 14 085 67104 64358 10 068 14 061 15 063 20 071 64358 61700 15 092 14 065 13 060 18 039 61700 58951 14 047 13 038 11 036 10 020 58951 56120 15 347 15 011 11 022 9 026 56120 53432 23 313 24 320 21 329 23 337 53432 51031 35 320 40 323 34 333 29 342 51031 48875 51 315 52 315 46 324 36 333 48875 46897 57 306 53 303 53 310 45 310 46897 45065 57 308 53 305 54 310 50 311 45065 43357 58 307 54 306 58 311 56 314 43357 41757 58 307 55 304 59 311 57 312 41757 40256 59 310 54 306 57 311 50 310 40256 38850 61 309 54 310 54 311 44 306 38850 37503 59 300 53 305 49 305 40 305 37503 36147 58 292 55 295 52 296 37 301 36147 34751 56 285 57 288 56 293 40 297 34751 33317 46 279 55 285 55 292 43 295 33317 31835 39 281 45 284 47 288 42 293 31835 30295 30 295 31 298 35 292 39 288 30295 28704 25 302 23 308 22 302 25 303 28704 27064 18 293 18 299 16 298 18 311 27064 25372 15 267 12 262 12 276 13 293 25372 23633 13 254 19 231 9 239 11 221 23633 21844 13 237 23 224 8 219 13 219 21844 20002 17 226 21 218 10 223 8 242 20002 18135 23 229 21 212 13 227 3 137 18135 16341 26 234 13*209 9 260 7 069 16341 14709 24 243 6*227 10 284 4 347 14709 13251 18 253 6 240 11*282 5 290 13251 11944 11*261 8 236 9*268 7 264 11944 10767 6*257 9 233 7 240 8 246 10767 9708 4 247 9 229 8 210 9 236 9708 8757 4 242 10 226 8 200 10 232 8757 7907 3 236 10 223 10 187 11 229 7907 7147 4 229 10 221 11 184 12 228 7147 6458 4 223 10 219 11 182 13 227 6458 5842 4 216 10 218 12 182 13 224 5842 5323 4 211 10 217 12 181 13 220 5323 4920 5 208 9 217 12 181 11 214 4920 4642 5 207 9 217 11 180 9 203 4642 4472 5 206 9 216 11 180 7*192 4472 4375 4 205 8 217 10 180 4*168 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography