DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 97.4 - - - - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 341 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11665 - - 13755 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13775 - - 15402 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16493 - - 18583 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2607 - - 1805 - - - - - 12097 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 690 - - 698 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 243 - - - - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 1 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - 12 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2050 - - 3598 - - - - - -6824 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14443 - - 14986 - - - - - 11201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 309 - - 2543 - - - - - -9578 ODpotential blCL - - - 16184 - - 16040 - - - - - 13954 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 100 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 430 - - 690 - - - - - 1200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 97.4 - - - - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 46.3 - - - - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.8 - - 96.0 - - - - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 46.2 - - - - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 341 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11665 - - 13755 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 102 - - - - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99100 36 114 26 128 18 085 99100 91621 30 107 23 106 23 078 91621 85884 24 096 27 100 25 099 85884 81138 26 089 26 093 25 111 81138 77026 23 092 20 091 22 105 77026 73382 18 109 18 085 22 098 73382 70093 16 124 13 095 17 098 70093 67094 14 116 12 130 15 090 67094 64349 8 107 13 138 8 081 64349 61717 8 139 14 133 3 119 61717 58985 10 177 11 169 1 230 58985 56154 9 214 12 187 7 209 56154 53462 10 218 11 195 12 204 53462 51047 11 236 11 202 11 208 51047 48882 15 240 12 219 13 219 48882 46913 16 215 15 220 17 226 46913 45100 19 197 19 199 19 223 45100 43413 23 192 20 197 18 207 43413 41837 27 174 25 188 21 203 41837 40358 27 168 29 175 27 202 40358 38967 29 170 30 170 30 196 38967 37627 31 172 28 171 29 196 37627 36277 32 174 26 178 28 198 36277 34886 29 177 26 179 29 203 34886 33460 28 179 26 184 29 202 33460 31985 26 186 24 185 27 197 31985 30454 25 194 18 185 23 190 30454 28868 23 195 20 180 20 187 28868 27228 22 192 20 175 18 187 27228 25536 20 185 17 181 15 189 25536 23797 18 183 16 186 12 184 23797 22006 16 178 15 185 14 187 22006 20158 13 182 9*195 15 205 20158 18287 13*220 6*232 9 234 18287 16486 12*233 6 239 8 251 16486 14842 10 229 7 242 8 253 14842 13370 9 216 7 243 7 252 13370 12047 8 212 7 245 6 249 12047 10856 7 213 7 246 5 241 10856 9784 6 219 7 246 3 225 9784 8820 5 224 7 247 2 192 8820 7959 5 227 7 246 3 152 7959 7188 5 226 7 246 4 125 7188 6489 5 226 7 245 5 112 6489 5864 5 225 7 245 6 104 5864 5337 5 223 7 244 7 099 5337 4929 5 222 7 244 7 089 4929 4646 5 221 6 242 7 073 4646 4474 5 221 6 243 5*057 4474 4375 5 220 6 242 3*039 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography