DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.0 - - 100.9 - - 99.0 - - 90.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 484 - - 187 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8225 - - 13536 - - 12772 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11060 - - 15450 - - 14128 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13053 - - 18364 - - 17600 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3679 - - 1520 - - 1725 - - 10467 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 652 - - 779 - - 557 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 22 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 265 - - 282 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 16 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2062 - - 1308 - - 398 - - -10634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15115 - - 17057 - - 17202 - - 15012 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4159 - - 584 - - -646 - - -14053 ODpotential blCL - - - 17212 - - 17780 - - 18246 - - 18430 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 72 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 320 - - 180 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.0 - - 100.9 - - 99.0 - - 90.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 40.2 - - 37.9 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.1 - - 98.8 - - 98.7 - - 93.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 40.2 - - 37.9 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 484 - - 187 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8225 - - 13536 - - 12772 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99277 36 102 37 095 34 102 25 098 99277 91714 38 109 28 102 30 106 25 094 91714 85886 35 104 28 109 31 107 30 091 85886 81077 31 092 31 110 29 100 33 091 81077 76974 24 093 29 104 25 096 25 093 76974 73374 20 105 22 111 20 093 24 106 73374 70121 20 105 22 113 21 092 22 100 70121 67144 20 112 20 104 23 102 18 108 67144 64409 16 122 11 121 15 090 20 103 64409 61780 17 138 6 142 8 085 13 080 61780 59075 9 122 10 163 6 189 4 185 59075 56312 1 234 5 173 6 253 9 216 56312 53684 6 236 7 245 12 286 9 271 53684 51303 9 232 13 236 17 256 17 272 51303 49149 13 243 14 242 19 251 21 269 49149 47170 15 257 17 256 20 265 24 273 47170 45331 18 266 18 268 20 272 25 275 45331 43612 19 267 20 274 20 283 22 280 43612 42000 14 266 18 282 18 291 20 283 42000 40484 9 264 14 275 14 295 17 277 40484 39055 7 275 12 270 13 282 13 272 39055 37677 8 263 13 266 16 280 13 278 37677 36287 12 264 18 269 21 293 15 288 36287 34859 18 285 20 295 22 302 17 301 34859 33405 19 293 15 302 19 301 22 309 33405 31914 19 291 11 307 14 291 17 308 31914 30379 14 294 11 284 12 263 17 285 30379 28804 13 314 12 292 13 252 16 276 28804 27181 15 327 11 315 11 275 12 291 27181 25506 14 338 11 334 10 310 11 321 25506 23782 13 342 10 341 10 326 10 325 23782 22003 10 352 7 338 8 315 7 318 22003 20159 5 012 1*040 5 316 5 307 20159 18285 4 329 3*283 1*151 4 108 18285 16481 5 281 9 265 1*214 6 102 16481 14835 6 220 9 265 3 256 2 107 14835 13362 8*215 9 266 4 267 1 291 13362 12040 8*227 8 267 5 278 5 300 12040 10849 7 243 8 268 9 284 9 302 10849 9779 6 249 7 267 12 285 13 298 9779 8817 6 250 6 266 13 285 17 293 8817 7958 6 249 5 263 14 285 19 289 7958 7188 5 246 5 259 15 284 21 286 7188 6490 5 242 4 257 15 284 22 283 6490 5865 4 237 4 251 16 284 22 281 5865 5338 4 231 3 247 16 283 22 281 5338 4930 4 225 3 244 15 283 20 280 4930 4647 4 224 3 243 15 283 16 281 4647 4474 4 221 3 242 14 283 12*283 4474 4376 4 220 3 239 12 283 6*287 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography