DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 94.6 - - - - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 424 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2154 - - 11721 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5434 - - 13872 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6982 - - 16549 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5355 - - 1441 - - - - - 11274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 711 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 222 - - - - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 15 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6361 - - -408 - - - - - -10324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13343 - - 16958 - - - - - 14701 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9656 - - -1829 - - - - - -13992 ODpotential blCL - - - 16638 - - 18378 - - - - - 18368 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 89 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 94.6 - - - - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 34.5 - - - - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 93.0 - - - - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 34.4 - - - - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 424 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2154 - - 11721 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 56 - - - - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98987 40 112 35 108 35 087 98987 91499 39 108 29 101 28 093 91499 85740 34 113 26 105 31 096 85740 80970 30 101 25 103 29 094 80970 76881 30 088 25 096 25 096 76881 73292 26 077 23 097 26 098 73292 70057 18 070 24 107 24 088 70057 67091 14 095 19 097 17 082 67091 64358 17 096 19 095 12 086 64358 61721 15 071 10 090 15 089 61721 58986 9 071 9 115 8 044 58986 56184 9 048 2 101 8 336 56184 53533 11 311 13 295 15 328 53533 51144 13 268 15 286 21 310 51144 48986 11 295 18 284 19 310 48986 47004 19 300 18 297 21 319 47004 45167 28 302 31 311 28 314 45167 43452 37 298 41 301 35 301 43452 41842 40 297 40 295 39 296 41842 40326 34 292 32 288 36 294 40326 38899 34 283 24 285 34 289 38899 37533 28 280 18 280 28 287 37533 36166 21 279 13 258 23 268 36166 34767 14 280 8 274 24 259 34767 33335 11 286 7 270 23 264 33335 31857 9 303 6 265 20 261 31857 30325 10 278 4 260 19 253 30325 28741 14 267 5 225 18 247 28741 27105 14 288 8 231 16 248 27105 25420 9 275 13 253 15 261 25420 23689 13 280 14 267 18 275 23689 21906 15 281 11 300 16 269 21906 20062 10 268 8 291 11 250 20062 18191 9 258 15*252 11 214 18191 16395 10 248 15*252 9 208 16395 14759 11 240 13 247 6 222 14759 13297 13 240 12 246 5 237 13297 11985 11 245 11 239 7 238 11985 10804 9 241 10 225 9 235 10804 9742 7 230 9 213 11 233 9742 8787 5 211 9 203 12 230 8787 7934 5 193 9 195 13 228 7934 7169 5*177 9 189 13 226 7169 6475 7*162 9 186 14 224 6475 5855 8 150 9 182 14 222 5855 5332 10 143 9 179 14 219 5332 4926 10 142 9 178 12 215 4926 4645 9 143 9 178 10 209 4645 4473 9 144 9 177 8*200 4473 4375 7 145 8 177 4*192 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography