DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.6 - - 102.5 - - 101.1 - - 91.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 440 - - 183 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7303 - - 14495 - - 14132 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10232 - - 16195 - - 15215 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12131 - - 19323 - - 18960 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6227 - - 1338 - - 1564 - - 13470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 591 - - 776 - - 576 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 258 - - 283 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 36 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2783 - - 2928 - - 2430 - - -9803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14915 - - 16395 - - 16531 - - 14180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4770 - - 2110 - - 1234 - - -12376 ODpotential blCL - - - 16901 - - 17213 - - 17726 - - 16752 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 71 - - 85 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 310 - - 160 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.6 - - 102.5 - - 101.1 - - 91.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 44.9 - - 43.1 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.0 - - 100.8 - - 100.7 - - 95.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 44.5 - - 42.7 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 440 - - 183 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7303 - - 14495 - - 14132 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99168 44 096 44 112 39 113 30 117 99168 91682 40 104 37 103 35 105 39 094 91682 85943 37 111 30 106 29 094 39 080 85943 81178 33 108 26 114 24 092 34 088 81178 77064 29 101 26 117 27 098 28 097 77064 73443 26 097 24 110 27 101 24 102 73443 70185 20 100 23 110 21 105 20 098 70185 67198 18 104 21 105 19 114 16 098 67198 64437 15 111 18 090 20 111 17 103 64437 61783 19 119 14 123 13 102 14 103 61783 59046 14 114 13 116 12 119 9 107 59046 56241 14 108 4 095 4 056 8 065 56241 53598 20 060 11 094 3 164 4 302 53598 51230 21 014 17 029 9 030 5 012 51230 49096 21 008 24 013 20 013 14 027 49096 47139 24 006 27 004 24 006 17 023 47139 45325 25 003 28 357 27 357 23 006 45325 43630 22 005 23 354 27 354 29 356 43630 42040 17 356 20 358 21 356 30 356 42040 40543 13 341 18 358 20 000 24 357 40543 39133 13 339 15 359 20 359 20 001 39133 37778 15 348 14 000 19 005 22 007 37778 36410 14 005 13 002 15 010 18 006 36410 35003 12 023 9 014 9 012 11 355 35003 33565 13 031 10 028 7 033 5 354 33565 32081 13 030 11 028 6 041 3 034 32081 30541 10 052 7 042 4 090 2 128 30541 28947 8 092 4 100 4 165 4 174 28947 27297 7 142 5 156 8 175 7 186 27297 25592 8 148 7 155 7 188 7 179 25592 23836 6 112 7 134 7 186 5 222 23836 22033 8 093 7 130 5 164 7 236 22033 20185 5 086 3*129 3*104 6 226 20185 18318 3 153 2*256 2*079 3 191 18318 16519 4 238 6 270 2 320 1 142 16519 14874 9 282 8 268 5 294 1 340 14874 13399 12*283 9 267 5 292 4 326 13399 12075 13*275 9 266 6 290 7 320 12075 10882 11 268 9 262 8 285 10 314 10882 9807 9 261 8 259 9 282 12 307 9807 8842 8 250 8 255 11 281 15 299 8842 7978 7 240 8 251 11 279 16 293 7978 7205 7 227 8 247 12 278 18 288 7205 6503 7 219 7 242 12 278 19 285 6503 5874 6 213 7 239 12 277 19 282 5874 5344 6 209 7 236 12 276 19 280 5344 4933 6 206 7 234 12 276 17 279 4933 4649 6 204 7 233 12 276 13 281 4649 4475 6 203 7 233 11 276 10*283 4475 4375 5 203 6 232 10 275 5*292 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography