DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 96.7 - - 97.2 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 377 - - 177 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4417 - - 10568 - - 11313 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7838 - - 12865 - - 12940 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9245 - - 15396 - - 16141 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3828 - - 2507 - - 2383 - - 10561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 458 - - 663 - - 529 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 258 - - 262 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 9 - - -12 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -705 - - 2078 - - 2449 - - -7163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9950 - - 13319 - - 13693 - - 11539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3774 - - 889 - - 997 - - -9770 ODpotential blCL - - - 13019 - - 14507 - - 15144 - - 14146 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 78 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 1340 - - 910 - - 900 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 96.7 - - 97.2 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 53.0 - - 51.9 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.8 - - 95.2 - - 96.8 - - 92.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 52.7 - - 51.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 377 - - 177 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4417 - - 10568 - - 11313 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 19 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99141 40 100 35 112 31 108 38 099 99141 91638 37 105 34 109 30 098 32 093 91638 85883 32 114 32 104 30 096 29 098 85883 81120 28 106 32 102 29 106 30 096 81120 77013 28 092 32 095 30 107 33 099 77013 73386 26 093 27 092 27 100 29 095 73386 70117 24 106 20 101 21 100 20 082 70117 67133 24 109 17 122 17 105 15 085 67133 64398 20 097 19 113 19 105 17 112 64398 61782 17 079 20 096 19 093 16 106 61782 59060 20 118 20 131 13 134 9 145 59060 56245 29 118 29 138 27 151 22 157 56245 53589 22 129 24 135 27 145 25 151 53589 51216 20 148 22 152 24 160 22 159 51216 49078 22 156 25 162 27 173 24 172 49078 47119 28 160 27 163 28 174 27 174 47119 45307 36 158 30 163 25 174 27 174 45307 43619 39 153 29 163 20 172 24 169 43619 42036 37 145 27 162 18 170 19 164 42036 40544 35 141 27 159 17 171 18 168 40544 39137 32 141 27 156 17 179 18 174 39137 37783 30 143 27 158 19 181 18 177 37783 36419 30 145 28 160 21 171 18 175 36419 35017 29 147 28 160 23 169 20 177 35017 33579 27 146 27 166 25 173 23 177 33579 32092 26 146 27 171 27 175 26 174 32092 30546 26 148 26 168 28 178 28 175 30546 28945 26 153 26 163 29 180 29 178 28945 27291 22 158 27 165 30 183 27 184 27291 25588 21 167 25 170 24 185 21 187 25588 23841 16 172 19 178 18 183 15 188 23841 22043 8 157 11 182 13 190 12 189 22043 20187 6 165 8 162 10 182 10 209 20187 18306 5 185 6 147 5 149 9 181 18306 16499 3 196 4*193 3*143 8 144 16499 14853 2 233 6*238 2*226 4 132 14853 13379 3 255 8 255 4 259 0 024 13379 12056 5 264 9 257 5 263 3 314 12056 10865 8 268 9 259 6 264 5 307 10865 9792 11*268 9 259 7 264 8 300 9792 8829 12*270 9 260 8 264 10 294 8829 7968 11 273 9 260 8 264 12 289 7968 7196 9 279 8 260 8 264 13 285 7196 6496 7 285 8 260 9 264 14 282 6496 5870 6 284 8 260 9 263 14 280 5870 5341 5 283 8 260 9 262 14 278 5341 4932 5 277 7 259 9 262 13 278 4932 4648 4 274 7 259 9 262 11 279 4648 4475 4 271 7 259 8 261 8*281 4475 4375 4 269 6 258 8 262 4*285 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography