DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 90.0 - - 89.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 476 - - 175 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5567 - - 8504 - - 8772 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8931 - - 11298 - - 10919 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10395 - - 13332 - - 13600 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1604 - - 2235 - - 2199 - - 8520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 582 - - 664 - - 481 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 208 - - 218 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 31 - - 30 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7932 - - -9451 - - -8752 - - -15224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18328 - - 22784 - - 22353 - - 19601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13377 - - -14256 - - -13543 - - -21896 ODpotential blCL - - - 23772 - - 27588 - - 27143 - - 26272 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 30 - - 29 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 90.0 - - 89.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 3.0 - - 5.1 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 88.3 - - 89.6 - - 85.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.5 - - 3.0 - - 5.1 - - 9.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 476 - - 175 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5567 - - 8504 - - 8772 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99179 30 108 31 101 30 103 28 106 99179 91682 29 116 28 114 23 109 24 102 91682 85897 33 111 25 121 22 121 26 082 85897 81099 30 104 24 126 22 116 22 092 81099 76975 21 100 26 116 19 110 25 100 76975 73347 17 090 20 101 19 094 19 095 73347 70074 12 109 18 108 18 101 16 096 70074 67076 15 132 13 106 14 088 10 108 67076 64296 7 152 3 210 7 005 9 090 64296 61601 9 145 11 150 3 174 5 173 61601 58789 18 244 11 267 11 269 6 238 58789 55871 23 234 24 248 22 253 21 269 55871 53105 20 247 28 253 35 265 41 276 53105 50629 23 256 33 254 44 264 51 272 50629 48409 31 264 35 263 47 266 54 273 48409 46404 37 271 39 269 50 274 62 281 46404 44575 45 273 44 273 57 278 69 282 44575 42890 53 273 49 276 54 277 65 281 42890 41325 58 272 52 276 45 275 56 278 41325 39865 58 272 49 275 41 276 46 274 39865 38495 53 273 42 275 40 276 39 272 38495 37180 48 272 39 276 39 275 37 273 37180 35853 46 272 37 274 38 274 37 275 35853 34487 45 270 38 271 38 272 38 275 34487 33086 44 268 39 268 40 269 39 275 33086 31638 44 268 40 267 42 268 38 275 31638 30131 43 267 40 267 42 269 37 274 30131 28564 44 266 41 265 42 268 36 272 28564 26941 45 264 42 263 41 266 36 269 26941 25264 44 263 42 261 39 264 37 265 25264 23539 41 260 40 261 37 262 36 262 23539 21758 39 255 37 259 34 261 33 259 21758 19919 35 250 34 254 31 259 30 254 19919 18056 29 247 29 248 27 257 27 250 18056 16269 24 243 24 240 22 250 22 244 16269 14642 20 237 20*232 16*240 17 234 14642 13192 17 225 15*219 13*235 12 226 13192 11893 17 216 14 214 12 232 8 237 11893 10726 15*207 14 213 12 230 9 244 10726 9676 13*197 14 210 12 225 10 241 9676 8733 12 194 13 208 12 219 11 237 8733 7889 12 191 13 206 12 213 12 234 7889 7134 12 190 13 204 13 209 13 230 7134 6449 11 188 13 203 13 206 13 227 6449 5836 11 186 13 201 13 204 13 224 5836 5319 10 186 13 200 13 202 13 220 5319 4918 10 185 13 200 13 201 12 214 4918 4641 10 184 12 200 13 200 10 206 4641 4472 9 184 12 199 12 200 8*196 4472 4375 8 185 11 199 11 200 5*189 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography