DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 84.9 - - 84.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 517 - - 205 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7495 - - 10221 - - 10374 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10487 - - 12749 - - 12301 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12323 - - 15049 - - 15202 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1291 - - 1219 - - 1430 - - 10308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 642 - - 727 - - 537 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 216 - - 223 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 18 - - 28 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2588 - - -1726 - - -1976 - - -10518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14911 - - 16776 - - 17179 - - 14894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6733 - - -4803 - - -4740 - - -15221 ODpotential blCL - - - 19056 - - 19852 - - 19942 - - 19596 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 47 - - 56 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 84.9 - - 84.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 25.4 - - 23.3 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 82.9 - - 83.9 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 25.4 - - 23.2 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 517 - - 205 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7495 - - 10221 - - 10374 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98118 7 223 4 273 4 001 3 328 98118 90716 6 116 6 196 7 245 7 330 90716 84992 5 138 3 206 3 309 3 322 84992 80218 6 125 3 175 4 008 2 345 80218 76126 9 090 2 042 7 006 4 031 76126 72541 11 090 2 336 6 339 8 025 72541 69309 2 086 3 292 7 320 7 351 69309 66353 7 320 4 301 5 293 9 301 66353 63628 14 307 9 313 8 289 12 306 63628 60992 15 285 17 283 17 283 17 290 60992 58237 23 270 23 269 25 274 23 282 58237 55362 28 263 25 272 25 264 23 272 55362 52608 26 269 25 272 24 267 22 266 52608 50129 26 276 26 265 26 269 23 269 50129 47910 27 275 25 265 26 265 25 270 47910 45900 27 266 24 268 25 262 25 265 45900 44063 28 259 25 264 26 260 25 263 44063 42370 26 258 22 256 25 256 23 263 42370 40798 23 266 11 267 19 252 18 266 40798 39333 19 271 10 288 10 252 9 268 39333 37968 11 279 6 276 6 251 2 292 37968 36662 8 307 4 316 1 246 2 050 36662 35349 12 301 5 319 1 016 4 056 35349 33999 14 277 6 303 1 329 3 056 33999 32616 16 260 10 290 3 279 2 356 32616 31188 18 258 12 279 7 268 4 325 31188 29703 20 256 13 269 10 266 6 017 29703 28165 19 259 13 264 13 264 9 023 28165 26573 18 265 13 256 13 261 7 338 26573 24932 18 265 11 248 10 258 4 300 24932 23244 18 259 14 252 10 251 6 264 23244 21502 18 252 16 256 12 247 10 249 21502 19699 18 251 16 264 12 254 12 247 19699 17868 14 246 13 253 11 243 11 235 17868 16110 10 239 10*240 8*247 7 216 16110 14513 10 242 9*237 8*259 2 315 14513 13086 12*238 9 237 8 259 4 290 13086 11806 10*226 8 235 8 256 5 255 11806 10654 9 223 8 229 7 243 7 238 10654 9616 9 220 8 220 8 226 9 228 9616 8684 8 215 7 212 8 215 11 222 8684 7850 7 211 8 205 9 208 12 217 7850 7104 6 207 8 199 10 203 14 215 7104 6427 6 202 8 194 10 200 15 212 6427 5820 6 198 8 190 11 198 16 210 5820 5309 5 195 8 187 11 196 15 208 5309 4912 5 193 8 186 11 195 14 205 4912 4638 5 193 8 185 11 194 12 200 4638 4470 5 193 8 185 10 194 9*193 4470 4374 4 191 7 185 9 194 5*186 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography