DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 76.0 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 566 - - 566 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5462 - - 8956 - - - - - 415 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8899 - - 11752 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10290 - - 13784 - - - - - 5243 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1346 - - 926 - - - - - 7650 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 608 - - 718 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 245 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 48 - - - - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5090 - - -1890 - - - - - -9327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15381 - - 15675 - - - - - 14570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14112 - - -8396 - - - - - -17470 ODpotential blCL - - - 24402 - - 22180 - - - - - 22713 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 51 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 76.0 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 21.5 - - - - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 74.0 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 21.4 - - - - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 566 - - 566 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5462 - - 8956 - - - - - 415 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98036 4 243 3 337 13 309 98036 90675 2 152 4 314 10 352 90675 84989 6 152 9 269 7 019 84989 80236 12 134 5 259 2 079 80236 76138 4 130 5 210 1 247 76138 72544 4 042 8 153 5 134 72544 69291 6 221 10 188 6 006 69291 66288 10 131 8 183 15 258 66288 63507 11 246 13 259 16 222 63507 60798 25 240 24 256 13 248 60798 57961 26 219 29 242 21 259 57961 55042 26 254 26 235 25 258 55042 52283 31 242 24 257 27 253 52283 49821 32 262 31 272 27 251 49821 47635 32 277 34 263 34 252 47635 45675 34 290 35 249 47 252 45675 43899 35 291 39 240 58 244 43899 42260 36 292 39 244 60 238 42260 40721 39 293 42 259 59 241 40721 39269 42 292 46 269 60 249 39269 37901 44 291 49 274 60 253 37901 36584 45 290 49 273 60 250 36584 35257 44 289 49 273 59 246 35257 33893 42 288 49 272 59 247 33893 32495 41 287 49 269 59 253 32495 31051 42 283 50 264 59 258 31051 29549 44 280 53 260 57 260 29549 27994 47 278 53 259 55 259 27994 26388 49 277 52 262 50 258 26388 24733 50 276 50 266 47 256 24733 23032 51 276 48 271 45 256 23032 21277 51 275 47 271 44 255 21277 19465 51 274 47 267 42 256 19465 17633 49 273 46 263 39 258 17633 15879 44 270 40 259 32 260 15879 14294 38 266 25*247 21 254 14294 12889 33 263 18*238 12 231 12889 11637 29 260 17 238 10 220 11637 10512 23*260 17 239 10 221 10512 9498 17*263 16 242 11 227 9498 8587 15 267 16 245 11 234 8587 7773 14 269 15 248 12 240 7773 7043 14 271 15 250 13 244 7043 6381 14 271 14 252 14 248 6381 5788 14 272 14 254 14 250 5788 5288 13 272 14 255 14*252 5288 4901 13 273 13 256 12*252 4901 4632 13 272 13 257 10 251 4632 4468 12 272 12 257 7 248 4468 4373 11 271 11 256 4 245 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography