DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.1 - - 91.9 - - 99.7 - - 99.4 - - 89.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 154 - - 492 - - 542 - - 263 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2043 - - 6293 - - 12046 - - 11869 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5798 - - 9516 - - 14281 - - 13678 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 6871 - - 11121 - - 16874 - - 16697 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1807 - - 1558 - - 2570 - - 2056 - - 9835 Hgt.Variab. W* 283 - - 607 - - 779 - - 609 - - 5 W* B/S 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 231 - - 245 - - 264 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 11 - - 54 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4655 - - -2216 - - 894 - - -586 - - -10513 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11527 - - 13338 - - 15981 - - 17284 - - 14891 sfcLCL ODpotential -9451 - - -5082 - - -1091 - - -3531 - - -14609 ODpotential blCL 16322 - - 16203 - - 17965 - - 20228 - - 18986 blCL maxRH 40 - - 50 - - 59 - - 46 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 440 - - 510 - - 170 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 83.1 - - 91.9 - - 99.7 - - 99.4 - - 89.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 48.2 - - 43.9 - - 37.8 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.0 - - 90.0 - - 97.5 - - 98.4 - - 92.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.7 - - 48.2 - - 43.8 - - 37.8 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 154 - - 492 - - 542 - - 263 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2043 - - 6293 - - 12046 - - 11869 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99233 41 101 35 104 33 109 31 109 21 102 99233 91680 34 102 30 098 34 104 30 111 30 094 91680 85863 25 100 25 111 30 103 30 105 33 097 85863 81062 25 100 24 109 24 114 31 106 31 110 81062 76957 25 109 23 125 19 113 22 099 29 106 76957 73344 22 112 26 128 16 125 15 105 22 085 73344 70077 20 109 23 110 21 139 12 123 13 088 70077 67090 16 096 16 096 20 130 15 133 11 105 67090 64346 13 098 10 132 13 130 14 107 9 144 64346 61702 9 072 12 145 9 140 6 121 13 132 61702 58972 3 266 8 145 10 156 12 187 5 168 58972 56180 7 234 7 201 7 211 11 200 13 217 56180 53541 16 267 13 250 10 231 12 247 12 254 53541 51174 21 256 20 254 13 264 14 258 19 275 51174 49038 20 244 23 247 19 261 16 263 19 257 49038 47072 19 243 23 252 20 249 16 262 14 237 47072 45245 20 242 21 258 20 236 15 255 13 242 45245 43535 20 240 17 262 20 237 17 248 17 259 43535 41928 20 248 15 260 18 245 20 235 22 258 41928 40415 21 267 15 254 17 254 21 222 20 231 40415 38991 25 278 18 255 18 268 18 215 22 213 38991 37623 32 278 23 262 23 277 12 267 12 216 37623 36247 38 274 26 263 27 276 21 290 9 281 36247 34836 36 272 25 265 25 275 25 288 17 290 34836 33391 32 275 20 273 18 272 20 289 18 289 33391 31904 25 289 16 287 11 268 12 268 15 275 31904 30366 19 313 17 294 11 284 12 244 14 262 30366 28786 19 327 19 305 15 311 8 263 9 273 28786 27161 25 332 24 319 18 329 9 335 12 002 27161 25489 26 332 28 326 21 340 22 359 23 010 25489 23766 23 329 32 331 24 338 25 351 24 004 23766 21984 19 321 27 329 21 331 22 342 23 008 21984 20138 15 311 11 299 10 320 16 343 18 020 20138 18263 11 302 9 271 8*261 8*328 5 039 18263 16459 9 288 8 229 9*257 5*272 2 217 16459 14815 9 250 10 230 10 257 6 252 3 227 14815 13345 13 226 12 234 10 256 6 250 2 214 13345 12027 18 229 15*242 10 255 7 252 2 234 12027 10840 20 231 13*243 9 250 8 257 5 279 10840 9771 18 229 11 242 9 246 10 264 7 286 9771 8811 14 229 10 240 9 241 11 266 10 287 8811 7953 10 233 7 232 9 237 12 268 13 283 7953 7185 7*234 6 225 9 233 13 269 16 281 7185 6488 3*209 5 219 9 230 13 270 17 279 6488 5864 3 123 5 211 9 227 14 271 18 278 5864 5337 5 125 4 205 9 225 14 271 18 277 5337 4929 5 126 4 199 9 224 14 271 17 277 4929 4647 5 128 4 197 9 223 13 271 14 279 4647 4475 5 128 4 195 9 222 13 271 11*281 4475 4376 5 131 4 194 8 221 11 271 5*284 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography