DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 88.2 - - 87.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 549 - - 584 - - 271 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6274 - - 8223 - - 8515 - - 4019 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9545 - - 11160 - - 11012 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11102 - - 13051 - - 13343 - - 8847 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1363 - - 1362 - - 1518 - - 3413 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 630 - - 704 - - 552 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 26 - - 24 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 227 - - 230 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 11 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 52 - - 66 - - 63 - - 52 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6937 - - -5262 - - -5583 - - -8459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18040 - - 18314 - - 18927 - - 17307 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13702 - - -10385 - - -11513 - - -15719 ODpotential blCL - - - 24804 - - 23436 - - 24856 - - 24566 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 24 - - 22 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 88.2 - - 87.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 21.8 - - 17.9 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 86.4 - - 86.5 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 21.8 - - 18.0 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 549 - - 584 - - 271 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6274 - - 8223 - - 8515 - - 4019 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98961 33 096 31 121 23 105 21 097 98961 91450 27 108 25 102 22 106 24 093 91450 85688 23 114 21 106 19 105 21 087 85688 80908 26 101 24 099 25 095 24 103 80908 76808 14 096 18 085 26 091 26 105 76808 73203 18 121 13 120 19 091 20 100 73203 69928 15 105 10 111 12 106 15 102 69928 66908 7 083 7 186 6 102 12 100 66908 64101 0 248 15 158 9 214 7 293 64101 61388 6 273 4 219 5 186 8 137 61388 58572 7 148 8 239 15 269 10 263 58572 55690 9 241 24 233 29 241 24 264 55690 52993 41 263 26 264 31 260 36 262 52993 50579 39 277 36 269 38 265 37 254 50579 48405 47 274 42 268 43 269 38 264 48405 46425 47 262 47 272 50 273 48 273 46425 44607 45 256 53 274 55 270 59 274 44607 42922 45 258 56 273 58 265 64 269 42922 41345 45 264 56 271 59 263 65 263 41345 39861 46 269 55 266 60 262 64 261 39861 38462 45 270 55 264 59 261 63 260 38462 37116 40 265 55 262 59 260 62 259 37116 35762 35 254 56 261 59 259 61 258 35762 34371 33 245 56 260 59 259 60 259 34371 32949 35 247 55 261 58 259 58 257 32949 31484 38 254 54 259 56 257 56 254 31484 29967 40 257 52 256 55 254 55 251 29967 28397 41 258 51 253 55 252 55 251 28397 26772 42 258 50 253 56 253 55 252 26772 25095 42 256 49 252 56 254 55 254 25095 23372 43 251 49 251 54 255 53 255 23372 21598 45 250 49 251 51 256 49 256 21598 19768 47 252 48 252 46 256 45 258 19768 17916 46 253 44 251 42 255 41 259 17916 16139 43 251 40 249 38 253 35 255 16139 14526 42 247 36 246 33*247 32 245 14526 13088 41 243 31*240 26*238 29 236 13088 11804 35*240 27*234 25 233 26 229 11804 10652 28*236 27 232 25 233 24 229 10652 9616 25 231 26 230 25 231 24*231 9616 8685 24 227 26 228 25 230 23*231 8685 7852 23 220 26 227 25 229 24 231 7852 7106 23 217 26 225 25 228 23 231 7106 6429 23 215 26 224 25 227 23 231 6429 5822 23 213 25 223 24 226 22 230 5822 5311 22 211 25 221 24 225 20 229 5311 4914 22 209 24 220 23 225 17 226 4914 4639 21 208 23 220 22 224 14 223 4639 4471 20 208 22 220 20 224 11 220 4471 4375 17 208 18 219 17 223 7 217 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography