DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 72.6 - - 67.6 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 0 - - -19 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2964 - - 1763 - - 2067 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6633 - - 4358 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7792 - - 6591 - - 6895 - - 5087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4369 - - 6894 - - 4130 - - 803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 367 - - 152 - - 131 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 12 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 119 - - 026 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 5 - - -28 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1614 - - 168 - - 1104 - - 629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9407 - - 6423 - - 5792 - - 4459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3870 - - -2634 - - -2128 - - -3389 ODpotential blCL - - - 11662 - - 9225 - - 9023 - - 8476 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 98 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 1860 - - 810 - - 1150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 72.6 - - 67.6 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 59.1 - - 57.0 - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 74.1 - - 69.5 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 57.9 - - 55.6 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 0 - - -19 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2964 - - 1763 - - 2067 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 93 - - 87 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98328 4 272 6 136 8 132 3 225 98328 90953 10 143 11 123 9 104 10 101 90953 85288 14 126 11 124 9 098 14 093 85288 80593 9 118 9 123 8 120 10 090 80593 76550 8 131 2 157 4 113 8 082 76550 72979 5 106 1 169 6 030 8 055 72979 69756 9 121 9 164 1 060 5 056 69756 66796 5 146 11 149 6 172 2 090 66796 64053 9 219 6 208 5 208 5 308 64053 61399 13 209 12 226 10 231 14 241 61399 58633 11 195 13 207 16 216 17 222 58633 55756 16 229 21 223 22 228 22 227 55756 53003 28 223 30 218 29 227 27 228 53003 50526 32 217 34 214 32 219 30 228 50526 48302 37 216 37 215 34 215 31 228 48302 46275 41 209 41 217 35 214 31 225 46275 44413 38 200 41 216 35 208 31 222 44413 42696 30 188 36 207 31 202 29 214 42696 41110 23 188 28 196 25 199 23 212 41110 39638 25 193 22 200 17 205 17 196 39638 38264 24 183 20 200 11 209 14 167 38264 36950 16 165 15 184 7 172 8 109 36950 35629 13 149 12 170 2 102 6 063 35629 34267 8 162 8 162 4 012 7 049 34267 32867 8 162 7 158 8 089 5 039 32867 31417 9 173 9 155 8 088 3 013 31417 29907 8 184 7 155 6 077 2 344 29907 28342 9 198 6 175 5 057 3 013 28342 26721 13 194 11 190 4 026 3 065 26721 25048 11 184 12 194 4 360 5 108 25048 23327 10 187 10 183 2 338 8 111 23327 21555 6 173 6 171 1 279 10 114 21555 19727 4 127 3 201 1 171 12 115 19727 17879 3 082 2 209 4 162 12 115 17879 16107 4 057 1 233 7 160 13 100 16107 14498 4 063 1 276 9 155 15 075 14498 13064 4 090 2 226 9 150 16 065 13064 11780 4 113 3 158 8 135 15 068 11780 10626 6 121 6 138 7 112 14 078 10626 9587 7 122 8 131 9 090 14 088 9587 8655 6 128 10 127 10 077 15 097 8655 7823 6*138 11 124 11 067 17 105 7823 7078 5*153 12*121 12*056 17 111 7078 6405 4 169 13*120 12*046 15 118 6405 5802 4 182 13 118 13 031 10 128 5802 5296 4 190 13 119 13 023 5*160 5296 4905 4 196 12 119 13 018 3*185 4905 4634 4 200 12 120 12 016 1 248 4634 4469 4 201 11 120 11 014 1 326 4469 4374 4 203 9 122 8 011 1 339 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography