DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 89.7 - - 93.7 - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 208 - - 142 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8828 - - 11340 - - 14013 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11375 - - 13077 - - 14846 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13656 - - 16168 - - 18841 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3968 - - 1946 - - 1498 - - 14563 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 596 - - 555 - - 524 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 282 - - 280 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -36 - - 9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1721 - - 1770 - - 2838 - - -11035 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11936 - - 14398 - - 16004 - - 15412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 179 - - 812 - - 1936 - - -12883 ODpotential blCL - - - 13477 - - 15356 - - 16905 - - 17259 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 100 - - 99 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 170 - - 220 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 89.7 - - 93.7 - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 41.3 - - 38.0 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.2 - - 89.2 - - 93.4 - - 90.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 41.1 - - 38.0 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 208 - - 142 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8828 - - 11340 - - 14013 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 100 - - 98 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98707 24 107 23 097 23 116 15 098 98707 91213 14 104 19 099 19 089 19 098 91213 85473 12 096 15 092 15 103 20 085 85473 80726 11 108 14 102 15 095 17 093 80726 76642 20 103 12 121 14 076 18 085 76642 73038 15 104 20 118 7 100 15 059 73038 69791 16 097 14 102 13 106 12 075 69791 66822 12 063 12 074 12 077 12 099 66822 64075 1 273 4 016 12 016 13 073 64075 61427 7 225 4 279 6 320 11 006 61427 58689 7 239 11 252 11 291 15 312 58689 55860 10 261 19 231 20 241 21 264 55860 53169 14 281 19 248 25 238 27 245 53169 50754 30 270 29 264 31 255 31 251 50754 48587 42 260 39 257 40 256 42 252 48587 46612 43 254 42 250 46 253 52 253 46612 44793 46 250 49 248 54 253 58 253 44793 43101 53 250 55 247 57 249 60 252 43101 41517 58 250 57 246 57 245 59 250 41517 40029 60 249 58 246 57 245 55 250 40029 38629 60 249 58 247 57 245 51 251 38629 37286 59 249 58 247 54 247 48 252 37286 35933 58 249 57 249 50 249 45 252 35933 34543 54 252 52 252 46 250 43 250 34543 33118 45 256 41 256 42 250 41 248 33118 31649 34 256 28 257 35 250 33 250 31649 30130 26 258 20 259 26 244 27 253 30130 28562 22 260 16 260 14 242 22 245 28562 26942 20 261 16 263 11 252 17 237 26942 25271 17 260 16 259 12 261 14 235 25271 23556 11 263 13 254 13 257 12 248 23556 21791 7 279 12 257 13 253 12 268 21791 19971 10 290 9 271 10*261 9 269 19971 18129 12 291 7 272 10*267 3 273 18129 16356 13 291 11*261 10 269 3 294 16356 14734 15*282 12*262 10 270 4 301 14734 13279 13*279 12 264 10 271 5 303 13279 11972 7 290 12 267 10 276 7 301 11972 10795 4 318 11 271 10 280 8 295 10795 9735 4 326 11 279 10 284 10 289 9735 8782 4 329 10 288 9 287 12 284 8782 7930 3 331 10 296 9 290 13 280 7930 7167 3 333 10 301 9 292 15 277 7167 6474 3 333 10 305 9 294 16 275 6474 5854 3 329 10 307 8 295 17 273 5854 5331 2 327 9 309 8 296 16 273 5331 4926 2 323 9 309 8 296 15 273 4926 4645 2 321 9 310 8 297 12 273 4645 4474 2 317 9 310 8 296 9*275 4474 4375 2 315 8 310 7 297 5*279 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography