DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 61.0 - - 56.6 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 182 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 2577 - - 1643 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5161 - - 6264 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6395 - - 7405 - - 6471 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 861 - - 1243 - - 1308 - - 684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 326 - - 50 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 20 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 052 - - 055 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -33 - - -32 - - -22 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7951 - - -8334 - - -7865 - - -8282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14347 - - 15740 - - 14337 - - 12657 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16813 - - -16646 - - -16716 - - -19153 ODpotential blCL - - - 23208 - - 24051 - - 23187 - - 23527 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 36 - - 29 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 61.0 - - 56.6 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.6 - - 7.4 - - 9.6 - - 7.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 60.7 - - 58.5 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.6 - - 6.5 - - 8.5 - - 6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 182 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 2577 - - 1643 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96771 42 068 48 087 44 080 42 091 96771 89657 48 094 44 096 41 089 42 087 89657 84108 35 108 27 091 31 090 39 073 84108 79509 23 105 20 088 23 089 33 069 79509 75537 21 093 12 086 22 085 26 080 75537 71989 16 078 16 086 17 059 18 083 71989 68757 10 076 14 081 5 070 13 079 68757 65780 9 049 15 041 6 037 12 009 65780 63014 10 030 15 016 20 016 17 345 63014 60358 21 334 17 317 23 005 24 004 60358 57630 26 349 22 353 25 345 35 354 57630 54817 36 350 38 354 30 323 33 339 54817 52119 41 340 42 344 32 329 35 330 52119 49677 42 330 45 334 40 339 36 331 49677 47482 46 331 47 328 45 333 40 328 47482 45494 51 336 48 332 43 326 43 323 45494 43683 51 335 47 331 39 325 40 323 43683 42034 47 330 39 330 40 316 37 323 42034 40520 44 346 33 346 35 318 39 313 40520 39104 48 005 31 000 28 335 35 305 39104 37770 49 014 31 009 29 347 21 319 37770 36487 48 020 33 015 30 351 22 331 36487 35194 49 023 35 016 30 354 23 334 35194 33861 49 020 37 012 30 359 24 337 33861 32491 49 014 38 007 32 005 24 344 32491 31072 51 012 39 005 34 010 25 354 31072 29592 53 011 43 008 37 011 26 359 29592 28056 53 006 48 011 41 011 26 001 28056 26462 51 002 51 011 43 009 27 001 26462 24815 49 001 49 007 44 006 30 360 24815 23116 47 000 46 002 44 003 33 357 23116 21363 45 360 44 358 43 360 35 354 21363 19549 42 359 43 355 41 358 36 354 19549 17710 39 358 40 354 40 360 36 359 17710 15943 36 000 36 357 37 005 34 004 15943 14337 30 002 31 002 32 011 30 009 14337 12907 25 000 26 005 26 015 23 014 12907 11631 22 359 22 006 22 020 17 015 11631 10488 20 004 20 012 20 027 13 016 10488 9463 21 016 20 023 19 036 9 022 9463 8545 24 031 21 035 19 043 9 037 8545 7728 28 043 22*044 19 049 11 051 7728 6999 30*050 22*049 19*052 14 059 6999 6340 30*053 22 051 18*054 18 062 6340 5754 29 054 22 052 17 055 21 061 5754 5263 26 054 21 053 15 055 19 056 5263 4885 22 054 19 054 13 056 12 045 4885 4623 18 054 16 054 10 057 5 009 4623 4464 15 054 14 054 8 057 4*310 4464 4373 10 053 10 054 5 057 4*281 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography