DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 54.9 - - 59.6 - - 56.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 60 - - 31 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 57 - - 1454 - - 3498 - - 73 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 5887 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4885 - - 6282 - - 8326 - - 4901 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1425 - - 1315 - - 1814 - - 3771 - - 1185 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 203 - - 238 - - 24 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 290 - - 320 - - 320 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - 6 - - -10 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -615 - - 796 - - 2079 - - -328 - - -799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5500 - - 5486 - - 6248 - - 5230 - - 5174 sfcLCL ODpotential -6283 - - -2974 - - -678 - - -4705 - - -10030 ODpotential blCL 11168 - - 9256 - - 9004 - - 9606 - - 14404 blCL maxRH 70 - - 74 - - 70 - - 61 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 54.9 - - 59.6 - - 56.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 45.9 - - 47.2 - - 48.5 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 55.4 - - 60.4 - - 59.4 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 44.7 - - 45.9 - - 47.2 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 60 - - 31 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 57 - - 1454 - - 3498 - - 73 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 50 279 65 279 63 287 50 271 68 272 96873 89812 32 284 41 281 41 286 38 290 40 288 89812 84366 26 304 26 289 21 294 26 297 24 302 84366 79838 16 309 15 281 16 294 16 312 14 317 79838 75918 8 335 9 253 15 265 13 290 10 004 75918 72423 9 353 5 258 12 248 11 260 10 353 72423 69243 9 305 2 239 10 220 9 238 6 011 69243 66309 11 286 4 206 9 196 10 227 7 329 66309 63589 14 278 6 262 2 178 12 191 6 262 63589 60957 17 273 18 261 12 286 8 259 12 281 60957 58216 18 257 22 262 24 266 15 270 22 281 58216 55411 19 241 30 260 30 261 26 276 29 291 55411 52761 19 254 22 252 30 279 34 293 36 305 52761 50387 21 271 25 296 42 288 45 293 61 300 50387 48266 34 286 43 289 53 299 63 292 58 299 48266 46327 46 281 56 288 65 301 72 297 54 313 46327 44530 50 278 64 292 67 305 74 310 67 323 44530 42851 54 284 65 300 74 315 92 320 77 319 42851 41275 63 296 70 315 88 321 102 322 87 314 41275 39793 72 303 81 325 95 323 101 322 93 312 39793 38399 77 307 95 327 96 323 98 322 94 311 38399 37058 81 310 103 327 94 323 92 323 93 310 37058 35705 82 310 97 324 91 318 87 321 88 310 35705 34316 81 312 89 320 89 317 81 317 82 311 34316 32894 80 316 84 317 84 321 76 316 77 313 32894 31427 83 321 81 314 75 321 72 318 69 312 31427 29902 85 325 77 316 68 317 66 321 59 310 29902 28325 84 327 72 316 66 315 62 323 52 310 28325 26696 81 322 68 314 65 312 60 322 48 307 26696 25015 80 316 68 312 64 311 59 320 47 306 25015 23281 81 313 69 312 62 311 59 319 48 309 23281 21490 80 316 69 315 59 314 59 319 50 313 21490 19641 76 323 66 321 55 319 54 319 52 318 19641 17777 68 328 60 328 52 326 48 325 47 325 17777 15993 54 330 53 332 48 332 44 335 41 334 15993 14371 39 334 42 336 42 336 41 341 37 343 14371 12923 30 340 30 342 32 339 35 344 33 350 12923 11635 25 340 20 343 22 342 25 346 27 354 11635 10490 24 338 15 342 16 350 18 355 17 354 10490 9470 23 338 15 346 13 359 15 010 8 003 9470 8558 23 340 16 355 11*356 12 022 5 052 8558 7745 21 343 16 000 9*345 11 024 6 072 7745 7018 18 345 14 359 8 335 11 016 9 074 7018 6359 15 346 10*349 7 325 11 004 11 071 6359 5771 12 346 6*320 5 311 11 355 12 068 5771 5275 9*343 5 294 4 296 11*345 13 062 5275 4892 6*330 5 282 4 287 10*334 12 049 4892 4627 4 313 4 274 3 281 8 318 9 034 4627 4466 3 314 4 269 3 277 6 311 7*021 4466 4373 2 318 4 266 3 272 4 303 5*011 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography