DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 69.7 - - - - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 456 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6449 - - 8641 - - - - - 4995 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9619 - - 11393 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11277 - - 13469 - - - - - 9823 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2120 - - 2220 - - - - - 3643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 600 - - 660 - - - - - 48 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 26 - - - - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 215 - - - - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 48 - - 55 - - - - - 45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -916 - - -137 - - - - - -2153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12193 - - 13607 - - - - - 11977 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3622 - - -2740 - - - - - -4935 ODpotential blCL - - - 14899 - - 16209 - - - - - 14758 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 76 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 69.7 - - - - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 24.6 - - - - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 68.5 - - - - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 24.2 - - - - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 456 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6449 - - 8641 - - - - - 4995 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97455 35 273 45 266 44 287 97455 90104 41 285 45 286 43 286 90104 84442 40 278 38 286 36 280 84442 79767 32 275 29 270 25 275 79767 75730 15 264 18 282 18 285 75730 72141 16 255 19 281 21 266 72141 68891 20 245 22 257 15 249 68891 65896 13 247 13 229 9 280 65896 63080 12 279 20 217 18 250 63080 60341 28 252 22 224 32 236 60341 57528 33 238 23 232 40 243 57528 54636 36 249 43 241 34 241 54636 51867 46 235 48 247 20 260 51867 49353 47 236 41 247 30 269 49353 47101 42 247 43 249 51 256 47101 45085 39 252 49 249 66 249 45085 43267 54 260 63 259 79 250 43267 41607 70 264 83 266 92 251 41607 40074 80 266 93 265 98 249 40074 38639 82 267 90 261 97 248 38639 37286 80 266 84 257 95 248 37286 35984 78 264 82 255 92 249 35984 34673 77 261 83 253 90 251 34673 33328 77 258 84 250 88 251 33328 31955 76 257 84 250 83 247 31955 30539 75 256 82 252 78 243 30539 29067 73 255 78 256 76 242 29067 27543 70 255 74 258 74 244 27543 25967 65 254 70 258 71 248 25967 24348 59 252 64 254 65 249 24348 22689 56 249 59 248 59 246 22689 20986 55 247 57 243 53 242 20986 19230 53 246 54 241 49 238 19230 17454 48 243 50 238 46 234 17454 15747 43 238 45 232 43 231 15747 14195 38 231 38*229 40 227 14195 12809 34 225 30*225 35 221 12809 11569 30*220 27 219 30 217 11569 10452 25*213 26 217 28*218 10452 9448 23 208 26 216 27*222 9448 8546 23 203 26 215 27 223 8546 7740 22 201 26 213 27 223 7740 7017 22 199 25 212 27 222 7017 6362 22 199 25 211 26 221 6362 5774 22 197 25 210 24 219 5774 5279 21 196 24 209 22 215 5279 4895 21 196 23 208 19 210 4895 4629 20 195 22 208 16 204 4629 4466 19 195 21 208 13 199 4466 4373 16 195 18 208 8 194 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography