DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.6 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 408 - - 433 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6034 - - 11680 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9237 - - 13860 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10862 - - 16508 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3472 - - 1249 - - - - - 11543 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 564 - - 719 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 210 - - - - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 19 - - - - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -395 - - 3367 - - - - - -7397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11258 - - 13142 - - - - - 11773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2682 - - 1219 - - - - - -9585 ODpotential blCL - - - 13544 - - 15289 - - - - - 13961 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 71 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 730 - - - - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.6 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 52.5 - - - - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 93.9 - - - - - 91.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 52.0 - - - - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 408 - - 433 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6034 - - 11680 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99194 38 108 33 104 49 097 99194 91768 49 108 36 115 33 089 91768 86020 46 112 43 114 27 101 86020 81197 37 108 40 108 29 112 81197 77050 28 104 31 109 32 105 77050 73414 25 114 22 105 28 098 73414 70135 26 113 23 109 25 114 70135 67136 21 107 24 099 24 110 67136 64393 8 093 10 097 19 101 64393 61768 10 135 8 169 14 095 61768 59054 15 141 17 177 6 285 59054 56281 13 171 23 177 15 220 56281 53653 18 207 19 192 17 208 53653 51272 27 204 25 213 17 216 51272 49110 28 197 30 206 20 220 49110 47128 29 194 28 203 22 220 47128 45299 31 196 25 208 24 225 45299 43598 32 200 28 208 25 223 43598 42005 33 194 32 206 28 209 42005 40506 30 195 33 209 28 202 40506 39096 29 212 32 215 26 210 39096 37739 32 224 31 221 28 214 37739 36371 37 222 24 224 25 212 36371 34962 34 227 15 229 23 214 34962 33516 24 237 14 223 23 211 33516 32022 19 235 15 216 23 209 32022 30471 16 225 19 216 24 208 30471 28869 18 217 23 217 20 211 28869 27218 23 198 25 216 16 221 27218 25520 27 195 27 212 15 232 25520 23776 27 199 28 210 14 236 23776 21979 25 204 27 210 15 223 21979 20126 22 204 23 207 18 195 20126 18253 16 193 20*206 18 177 18253 16456 13 178 14*208 12 156 16456 14820 13 171 11 212 4 150 14820 13354 13 175 10 214 3 231 13354 12036 12*184 10 214 5 238 12036 10849 10*199 10 213 6 239 10849 9779 7 226 9 213 8 237 9779 8819 6 247 9 210 9 236 8819 7960 6 253 9 208 11 234 7960 7190 5 256 9 206 12 233 7190 6492 5 255 8 204 12 231 6492 5866 5 254 8 202 13 230 5866 5339 5 252 8 201 13 228 5339 4930 5 250 8 200 12 226 4930 4647 4 247 8 199 9 222 4647 4475 4 247 8 199 7*217 4475 4375 4 245 7 199 5*214 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography