DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.6 - - 90.3 - - 97.8 - - 98.9 - - 89.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 363 - - 427 - - 154 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 742 - - 4236 - - 11463 - - 14935 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 7774 - - 13670 - - 15686 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5570 - - 9064 - - 16291 - - 19763 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2827 - - 2102 - - 4435 - - 2126 - - 13081 Hgt.Variab. W* 119 - - 483 - - 710 - - 554 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 22 - - 31 - - 39 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 261 - - 247 - - 286 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 9 - - -19 - - 41 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3865 - - -2931 - - 2084 - - 4255 - - -8241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9435 - - 11996 - - 14207 - - 15509 - - 12619 sfcLCL ODpotential -8730 - - -5728 - - -167 - - 2641 - - -10767 ODpotential blCL 14300 - - 14792 - - 16458 - - 17122 - - 15144 blCL maxRH 82 - - 64 - - 52 - - 84 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 460 - - 730 - - 1050 - - 640 - - 720 CAPE Temp@2m 81.6 - - 90.3 - - 97.8 - - 98.9 - - 89.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 52.7 - - 50.1 - - 45.6 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.4 - - 89.0 - - 96.1 - - 98.5 - - 93.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.4 - - 52.4 - - 49.8 - - 45.3 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 363 - - 427 - - 154 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 742 - - 4236 - - 11463 - - 14935 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99249 35 106 33 091 36 111 34 119 23 107 99249 91727 37 101 37 111 32 116 25 115 25 085 91727 85904 35 100 35 108 29 111 26 103 24 082 85904 81084 28 099 30 096 30 099 33 100 28 098 81084 76955 22 099 24 095 25 090 30 091 30 107 76955 73333 15 101 18 120 18 096 22 083 24 098 73333 70067 16 099 17 128 10 118 13 064 22 087 70067 67060 12 086 15 106 12 129 5 068 14 072 67060 64285 4 110 11 085 10 112 6 139 5 074 64285 61617 3 045 6 086 9 094 5 123 3 128 61617 58854 4 338 2 050 0 357 3 086 1 323 58854 56026 11 307 5 259 9 254 7 284 6 322 56026 53366 10 263 7 253 8 253 13 268 8 311 53366 50986 5 251 5 225 8 245 11 253 13 299 50986 48850 9 304 5 267 10 270 6 268 10 302 48850 46903 14 291 6 288 9 285 5 351 5 332 46903 45105 12 260 4 279 8 276 6 329 5 323 45105 43427 7 264 1 215 5 237 6 248 6 297 43427 41853 8 303 1 037 2 245 8 221 11 313 41853 40369 9 324 6 336 4 002 6 235 15 312 40369 38973 17 295 12 316 10 347 4 308 8 302 38973 37631 12 279 14 304 12 328 6 332 5 299 37631 36275 4 227 11 279 12 309 8 284 5 301 36275 34877 1 273 7 268 10 304 8 287 3 358 34877 33445 2 048 2 133 4 358 7 347 4 040 33445 31966 3 180 9 137 5 140 7 044 3 172 31966 30428 6 215 9 135 8 161 3 115 5 174 30428 28834 7 224 8 110 11 149 9 151 6 155 28834 27187 2 291 9 068 12 132 14 141 7 149 27187 25495 8 050 6 039 8 114 14 134 10 138 25495 23761 8 087 4 207 4 160 12 124 11 124 23761 21980 11 137 9 192 4 175 8 127 10 096 21980 20143 14 141 12 179 6 165 6*106 10 079 20143 18280 13 134 11 171 6 143 4*082 5 072 18280 16484 6 128 8 166 5*139 1 028 2 024 16484 14843 4 091 6 175 3*155 2 294 1 359 14843 13372 3 040 3 190 2 235 3 284 2 201 13372 12050 5 304 2 013 4 260 4 283 4 205 12050 10860 9 282 5 006 5 260 4 280 5 210 10860 9789 10 269 7*338 5 260 4 280 6 215 9789 8826 10 259 5*289 5 259 4 280 7 217 8826 7965 7 242 5 277 5 255 4 279 7 217 7965 7194 6 215 5 271 5 250 4 280 7 213 7194 6495 5 189 4 261 5 246 4 280 8 207 6495 5868 6*166 4 254 5 241 4 278 9 197 5868 5341 6*152 4 243 5 237 4 279 9 189 5341 4931 7 140 4 234 5 232 4 277 9 184 4931 4648 6 129 4 229 5 231 3 277 7 183 4648 4475 5 128 4 227 5 231 3 277 6*184 4475 4376 5 129 4 225 4 231 3 277 4*184 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography