DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 538 - - 576 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5018 - - 7265 - - - - - 2592 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8525 - - 10369 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9846 - - 12093 - - - - - 7420 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1245 - - 1517 - - - - - 3538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 581 - - 672 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 24 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 192 - - - - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 53 - - - - - 33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2891 - - -2523 - - - - - -4601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12738 - - 14617 - - - - - 12022 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7081 - - -6018 - - - - - -8998 ODpotential blCL - - - 16927 - - 18111 - - - - - 16418 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 50 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 28.2 - - - - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 75.9 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 27.9 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 538 - - 576 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5018 - - 7265 - - - - - 2592 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98462 9 143 9 084 6 075 98462 91022 15 106 13 112 12 047 91022 85290 16 107 12 133 9 046 85290 80527 11 107 12 122 12 100 80527 76449 9 171 5 115 13 112 76449 72870 12 134 6 173 12 096 72870 69628 11 128 7 180 8 073 69628 66635 10 086 9 179 3 250 66635 63865 6 222 11 183 9 252 63865 61189 13 231 10 179 4 359 61189 58358 13 190 15 223 11 260 58358 55399 19 236 22 237 35 248 55399 52601 31 231 21 224 41 246 52601 50105 29 227 23 245 43 252 50105 47874 35 244 39 248 47 249 47874 45850 48 245 46 243 49 245 45850 44001 56 242 51 242 50 236 44001 42303 61 244 57 243 44 233 42303 40717 67 246 66 242 42 265 40717 39227 71 246 71 239 63 268 39227 37832 73 244 73 237 70 262 37832 36495 75 242 75 237 70 256 36495 35149 77 239 77 236 67 248 35149 33775 77 235 76 234 63 245 33775 32379 74 231 72 230 56 244 32379 30947 71 227 70 226 52 240 30947 29464 67 225 69 225 50 235 29464 27930 61 223 64 227 49 231 27930 26346 55 220 57 230 47 227 26346 24712 51 214 53 229 45 226 24712 23033 52 206 49 223 43 226 23033 21304 55 202 48 213 40 222 21304 19520 53 204 49 205 40 213 19520 17711 49 206 51 203 42 207 17711 15970 44 207 49 205 43 204 15970 14382 41 208 44 205 42 202 14382 12964 39 208 37*200 39 198 12964 11695 37 206 28*193 35 192 11695 10556 32*198 25 191 29 188 10556 9533 26*188 25 191 24 189 9533 8615 22 183 24 191 21 193 8615 7794 21 183 24 192 20*199 7794 7060 21 183 24 193 19*204 7060 6394 20 182 24 193 19 207 6394 5797 20 182 23 194 19 208 5797 5294 19 182 23 194 18 208 5294 4904 18 182 22 194 16 206 4904 4633 17 182 21 195 13 204 4633 4469 17 182 20 195 10 201 4469 4374 14 183 17 195 6 198 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography