DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 96.5 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 370 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 9550 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7095 - - 12026 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8217 - - 14378 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2713 - - 3209 - - - - - 9864 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 637 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 27 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 303 - - - - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -7 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2528 - - 627 - - - - - -4331 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10745 - - 13752 - - - - - 8707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5576 - - -1074 - - - - - -7208 ODpotential blCL - - - 13793 - - 15452 - - - - - 11584 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 94 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 320 - - - - - 1870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 96.5 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 51.0 - - - - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.6 - - 95.1 - - - - - 89.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 50.6 - - - - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 370 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 9550 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 78 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99195 41 099 39 108 37 101 99195 91674 48 094 34 108 28 098 91674 85903 43 103 35 110 27 097 85903 81136 29 101 31 096 33 096 81136 77044 24 101 25 093 31 092 77044 73436 26 101 22 102 25 089 73436 70183 26 099 24 113 21 095 70183 67212 22 095 21 114 17 102 67212 64479 17 107 16 113 18 116 64479 61863 14 124 15 130 19 108 61863 59161 12 120 13 140 13 096 59161 56364 14 132 22 143 8 138 56364 53710 18 130 26 137 21 132 53710 51346 19 136 23 135 27 129 51346 49226 27 141 22 135 25 128 49226 47280 28 150 22 140 22 123 47280 45476 22 168 23 145 20 125 45476 43793 17 191 23 148 19 132 43793 42211 16 222 25 151 21 142 42211 40716 14 231 28 154 24 147 40716 39303 14 207 30 158 24 150 39303 37941 18 188 27 165 22 156 37941 36565 19 187 22 170 18 166 36565 35148 16 187 19 170 15 173 35148 33692 13 183 15 161 13 171 33692 32188 12 183 12 158 16 166 32188 30624 13 190 11 170 16 163 30624 29008 15 200 8 193 15 162 29008 27341 16 203 6 204 12 159 27341 25627 13 212 5 194 7 151 25627 23868 7 207 4 121 5 156 23868 22060 6 184 3 073 3 166 22060 20193 5 187 5 012 3 234 20193 18300 5 169 3 018 6 167 18300 16483 10 130 1 148 9 151 16483 14834 14 123 2*094 6 171 14834 13362 14 113 1*015 4 262 13362 12042 11 091 2 329 8 298 12042 10854 10 061 3 314 10 310 10854 9784 8 044 4 309 11 317 9784 8822 6*033 5 301 12 320 8822 7962 2*018 5 299 12 321 7962 7192 1 237 5 297 12 323 7192 6493 2 222 6 294 12 326 6493 5868 3 209 6 295 10 331 5868 5340 3 207 6 294 9 341 5340 4931 4 204 6 295 7 355 4931 4647 4 203 6 295 5 007 4647 4475 4 202 6 296 4*015 4475 4375 4 203 5 295 3*020 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography