DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 51.4 - - 59.8 - - 59.1 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 69 - - 162 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 431 - - 2269 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 6000 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5259 - - 7097 - - 7175 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1345 - - 1078 - - 1448 - - 2377 - - 3881 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 134 - - 302 - - 41 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 47 - - 16 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 128 - - 171 - - 163 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7548 - - -4892 - - -6550 - - -5931 - - -7022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11921 - - 10152 - - 13647 - - 13106 - - 11397 sfcLCL ODpotential -16826 - - -11563 - - -12198 - - -11347 - - -12924 ODpotential blCL 21199 - - 16822 - - 19295 - - 18522 - - 17298 blCL maxRH 83 - - 81 - - 84 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 51.4 - - 59.8 - - 59.1 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.1 - - 22.6 - - 15.3 - - 17.0 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 51.8 - - 59.6 - - 61.3 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.0 - - 21.3 - - 14.0 - - 15.9 - - 16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 69 - - 162 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 431 - - 2269 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 23 - - 38 - - 70 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95566 23 281 35 264 47 276 38 274 42 279 95566 88666 15 305 18 283 29 276 23 280 24 300 88666 83329 14 314 17 315 17 299 18 293 17 319 83329 78858 15 303 15 298 18 315 18 328 18 343 78858 74990 17 314 13 290 18 299 19 339 21 343 74990 71570 20 325 13 328 15 314 19 342 18 340 71570 68471 22 324 16 340 15 331 20 345 17 345 68471 65616 27 325 20 336 16 330 20 327 19 337 65616 62964 32 320 27 333 21 330 22 316 20 325 62964 60384 36 312 33 323 27 322 27 314 24 319 60384 57684 39 309 37 314 32 311 33 305 31 312 57684 54871 43 307 40 303 35 307 35 296 35 301 54871 52163 47 299 42 296 40 298 36 292 34 297 52163 49698 49 294 45 289 44 290 40 291 36 289 49698 47466 49 286 49 280 47 283 43 288 37 285 47466 45422 50 285 49 277 47 280 41 280 38 280 45422 43532 54 285 52 274 47 278 38 284 33 278 43532 41782 55 278 53 268 47 273 45 274 42 276 41782 40165 58 277 56 259 56 259 56 259 56 263 40165 38676 64 269 56 253 60 250 61 253 57 258 38676 37300 62 270 48 259 55 257 66 260 68 262 37300 35993 65 271 61 267 68 267 84 260 89 257 35993 34684 72 265 76 262 84 260 89 253 93 252 34684 33342 76 259 76 255 79 253 79 251 84 248 33342 31973 72 258 68 252 71 251 71 253 72 247 31973 30563 60 258 58 258 64 258 65 257 65 253 30563 29102 52 256 52 268 58 262 59 256 59 254 29102 27590 49 253 47 274 51 263 50 255 51 254 27590 26024 46 259 39 282 42 260 43 252 44 252 26024 24407 41 264 31 283 35 254 39 246 42 247 24407 22745 34 268 30 270 29 251 34 247 37 245 22745 21037 25 281 28 266 24 256 26 257 30 250 21037 19275 23 279 23 266 20 263 20 263 23 252 19275 17490 21 262 24 269 19 267 15 271 17 249 17490 15773 12 239 24 267 18 266 13 276 13 244 15773 14207 6 272 17 266 15 268 10 274 11 245 14207 12807 7 316 6 294 9 279 6 262 11 242 12807 11551 5 336 4 012 1 008 2 204 10 231 11551 10426 3 030 4 064 3 146 5 207 10 212 10426 9417 2 047 3 092 5 187 8 226 8 207 9417 8516 2 063 3 150 6 207 7 224 7 204 8516 7712 1 104 5 178 7*209 6*209 7 185 7712 6993 2 149 7 186 5*200 6*191 7 176 6993 6343 2 151 7 186 4 188 6 176 8 177 6343 5760 2 130 6*184 3 160 6 166 8 185 5760 5269 3 103 3*178 3 154 6 155 8 188 5269 4889 4 092 1 072 3 152 5 150 7 180 4889 4626 5 077 1 039 3 150 5 143 5 157 4626 4465 5*057 1 037 3 153 4 136 4*132 4465 4373 4*047 1 037 3 153 3 132 4*120 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography