DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 92.1 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 579 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8892 - - 10119 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11654 - - 12717 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13720 - - 14947 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1464 - - 1145 - - - - - 8598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 693 - - 751 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 205 - - - - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 44 - - - - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4870 - - -3770 - - - - - -13854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18591 - - 18718 - - - - - 18231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11875 - - -9999 - - - - - -22017 ODpotential blCL - - - 25595 - - 24946 - - - - - 26393 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 30 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 92.1 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 23.9 - - - - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.5 - - 90.1 - - - - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 23.8 - - - - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 579 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8892 - - 10119 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98833 32 107 34 100 27 105 98833 91333 25 114 23 106 24 086 91333 85567 23 115 18 108 20 073 85567 80796 15 108 16 109 20 071 80796 76689 17 120 17 118 16 072 76689 73067 14 093 17 121 9 077 73067 69806 15 098 11 115 11 091 69806 66824 13 084 10 120 8 122 66824 64082 7 050 13 098 11 157 64082 61451 4 332 9 107 8 148 61451 58730 11 255 10 244 8 209 58730 55929 13 249 21 241 18 249 55929 53274 19 254 26 252 24 257 53274 50884 29 259 35 262 34 265 50884 48737 35 260 41 265 40 265 48737 46781 39 268 40 263 41 263 46781 44978 37 270 36 264 41 258 44978 43298 36 277 36 276 42 257 43298 41721 40 291 40 285 43 260 41721 40235 46 296 44 289 44 267 40235 38835 50 295 47 292 46 273 38835 37490 52 292 50 293 48 279 37490 36136 52 293 49 292 51 284 36136 34742 46 296 48 293 52 287 34742 33315 36 296 47 293 47 286 33315 31842 33 293 43 292 40 280 31842 30311 34 291 38 288 38 273 30311 28725 34 294 32 283 37 272 28725 27080 32 298 29 284 34 273 27080 25380 30 298 30 291 31 274 25380 23630 28 299 29 296 27 279 23630 21827 16 293 20 294 22 288 21827 19962 10 240 12 265 15 291 19962 18074 16 188 13 221 15 270 18074 16266 19 180 17*201 16 249 16266 14630 21*192 16*207 15 229 14630 13178 22*201 16 207 15 217 13178 11881 21 203 17 206 15 214 11881 10716 20 203 17 206 15 215 10716 9668 19 202 18 205 16 216 9668 8727 17 200 18 205 17 216 8727 7885 17 199 19 205 17 215 7885 7131 16 198 19 204 18 215 7131 6447 16 197 19 204 18 214 6447 5835 15 196 19 204 18 213 5835 5318 15 195 19 204 17 212 5318 4918 14 195 19 204 15 211 4918 4641 14 194 18 203 13 207 4641 4472 13 195 18 203 10*202 4472 4375 12 194 15 203 5*197 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography