DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 352 - - 165 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5466 - - 9543 - - 8994 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8355 - - 11997 - - 11064 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10294 - - 14371 - - 13822 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3007 - - 1998 - - 2177 - - 8354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 628 - - 479 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 23 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 220 - - 219 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 40 - - 46 - - 48 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2079 - - 2755 - - -788 - - -6204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8215 - - 11616 - - 14611 - - 10579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 58 - - 1138 - - -4008 - - -9119 ODpotential blCL - - - 10236 - - 13233 - - 17830 - - 13493 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 68 - - 41 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 170 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 35.1 - - 21.9 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 70.4 - - 71.4 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 34.5 - - 21.5 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 352 - - 165 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5466 - - 9543 - - 8994 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97386 45 270 57 271 57 282 55 284 97386 90010 45 274 42 286 51 288 45 290 90010 84320 31 273 35 283 37 280 38 291 84320 79640 16 274 20 264 23 282 27 283 79640 75647 15 286 14 256 19 276 21 274 75647 72115 10 286 10 243 14 247 13 241 72115 68890 11 297 8 271 7 241 10 234 68890 65895 13 237 12 223 16 234 17 242 65895 63116 13 258 11 240 19 234 19 247 63116 60439 21 240 16 254 13 217 15 232 60439 57643 24 236 22 248 10 261 18 241 57643 54723 36 248 37 235 30 246 30 241 54723 51926 46 240 41 234 39 239 34 238 51926 49407 48 235 46 233 43 237 38 244 49407 47162 44 226 45 230 45 236 40 241 47162 45139 42 225 41 236 42 242 37 241 45139 43300 47 232 43 241 40 249 33 252 43300 41624 52 232 48 236 40 250 33 264 41624 40087 51 230 49 228 37 248 25 270 40087 38661 48 233 45 225 32 244 17 298 38661 37327 47 237 40 230 27 243 18 323 37327 36045 46 236 37 237 23 246 14 327 36045 34752 46 234 36 241 21 253 12 318 34752 33423 45 234 36 241 21 261 14 302 33423 32061 45 236 36 241 22 265 20 284 32061 30653 46 238 36 242 24 264 27 280 30653 29190 46 240 36 245 24 257 26 276 29190 27674 46 244 35 248 25 250 22 258 27674 26108 43 249 35 250 27 246 24 245 26108 24493 39 251 34 250 30 245 28 239 24493 22833 36 249 32 245 31 242 31 236 22833 21121 38 243 31 238 31 237 33 235 21121 19352 39 238 33 236 31 237 34 235 19352 17562 40 237 35 237 33 240 34 235 17562 15844 39 236 33*236 32 239 33 232 15844 14281 37 232 29*231 27*232 31 225 14281 12885 36 229 26 226 22*223 29 215 12885 11634 35 224 24 221 22 222 28 209 11634 10509 31*217 23 220 22 221 25 210 10509 9495 27*209 23 219 22 220 23 213 9495 8585 25 205 22 218 22 219 23 217 8585 7772 24 205 22 217 22 218 23 220 7772 7042 22 204 22 216 22 217 23 221 7042 6380 20 203 21 216 21 217 23 221 6380 5788 19 203 21 215 21 216 22 222 5788 5288 18 203 20 214 21 215 20 221 5288 4900 17 203 20 214 20 215 17 219 4900 4631 16 203 19 213 19 215 13 216 4631 4468 15 203 18 213 18 214 10*213 4468 4373 12 204 15 213 15 214 5*210 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography