DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 73.1 - - 63.9 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - -22 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4269 - - 1979 - - 426 - - 277 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7636 - - 4358 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9097 - - 6807 - - 5254 - - 5105 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3682 - - 7255 - - 1312 - - 1812 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 165 - - 66 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 5 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 221 - - 069 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 2 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - 82 - - -10 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -706 - - -742 - - 880 - - 732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9803 - - 7550 - - 4374 - - 4374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2886 - - -3661 - - -1615 - - -661 ODpotential blCL - - - 11983 - - 10468 - - 6869 - - 5766 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 630 - - 680 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 73.1 - - 63.9 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 54.7 - - 60.7 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 74.9 - - 65.0 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 53.6 - - 60.0 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - -22 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4269 - - 1979 - - 426 - - 277 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 102 - - 78 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98019 28 251 37 246 33 267 32 285 98019 90690 17 252 17 246 16 270 18 281 90690 85012 13 269 9 282 7 272 9 240 85012 80291 13 236 11 257 10 290 3 172 80291 76238 10 204 10 238 7 277 4 270 76238 72680 3 178 5 260 1 336 2 232 72680 69482 2 355 2 292 4 308 3 328 69482 66555 7 280 9 321 5 267 8 321 66555 63853 4 298 5 311 7 259 11 311 63853 61236 9 307 10 298 10 253 11 288 61236 58497 13 296 12 288 13 263 16 248 58497 55670 19 291 16 285 20 264 21 246 55670 52997 25 271 29 267 28 277 23 269 52997 50591 37 269 41 268 43 265 32 268 50591 48417 47 264 51 263 48 253 38 259 48417 46429 52 267 55 257 49 251 58 252 46429 44591 62 265 59 258 57 251 67 241 44591 42885 68 263 69 261 66 254 65 245 42885 41290 74 266 76 264 73 254 71 250 41290 39786 80 267 81 264 73 251 75 247 39786 38368 81 265 81 262 75 250 77 239 38368 37008 80 263 78 259 78 248 73 234 37008 35639 78 262 69 257 76 246 70 235 35639 34234 74 264 54 250 65 248 64 235 34234 32799 68 264 47 237 55 249 54 235 32799 31315 55 259 50 234 47 251 39 238 31315 29777 43 248 46 229 40 254 37 227 29777 28192 40 235 46 226 36 238 37 216 28192 26566 31 233 42 234 43 227 37 210 26566 24897 23 238 34 249 40 225 37 212 24897 23182 21 239 30 241 39 221 36 212 23182 21418 18 239 23 227 37 221 36 212 21418 19599 17 239 21 211 36 217 36 213 19599 17759 18 234 19 214 35 214 38 215 17759 15996 24 231 20 210 35 214 39 215 15996 14396 28 224 23 205 34 215 35 209 14396 12970 30 219 25 202 33 216 32 206 12970 11695 28 216 25 202 33 217 29 207 11695 10551 26 214 24 202 31 212 25 209 10551 9523 23*206 24 204 28 200 20 207 9523 8601 20*190 23 206 26 192 17 198 8601 7780 20 180 22 209 24 186 15 186 7780 7045 20 177 21*212 19 180 14 177 7045 6381 19 175 21*216 14 173 13 172 6381 5787 19 173 20 218 10 169 14 176 5787 5287 18 172 19 221 6*143 13*155 5287 4900 18 171 18 223 5*089 12*139 4900 4631 17 171 16 225 6 065 11 134 4631 4468 16 171 14 225 6 062 10 135 4468 4374 13 171 10 224 5 061 7 140 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography