DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 61.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 148 - - 239 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1908 - - 3778 - - 4528 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5695 - - 7263 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 6736 - - 8606 - - 9356 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1199 - - 2059 - - 1659 - - 3048 - - 6347 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 275 - - 405 - - 156 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 175 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 298 - - 197 - - 199 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -8 - - 14 - - 7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7176 - - -6489 - - -6223 - - -5320 - - -6910 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11551 - - 13226 - - 14830 - - 14677 - - 11285 sfcLCL ODpotential -16636 - - -13242 - - -12558 - - -10987 - - -13556 ODpotential blCL 21010 - - 19978 - - 21164 - - 20343 - - 17930 blCL maxRH 41 - - 31 - - 32 - - 32 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 61.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 19.2 - - 17.4 - - 17.8 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 61.5 - - 66.6 - - 68.1 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.0 - - 18.4 - - 16.3 - - 16.8 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 148 - - 239 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1908 - - 3778 - - 4528 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96929 21 104 6 087 9 084 21 106 8 100 96929 89745 25 085 14 097 16 100 20 103 15 065 89745 84173 21 087 15 113 13 096 18 107 13 053 84173 79526 12 075 12 113 12 064 17 111 15 066 79526 75526 8 066 6 094 6 049 14 093 13 070 75526 72002 8 053 1 305 2 269 10 071 6 089 72002 68814 4 359 7 267 9 278 6 004 1 185 68814 65883 6 299 11 257 13 262 8 284 10 233 65883 63184 14 280 16 256 18 257 19 277 18 259 63184 60589 17 270 20 252 22 241 24 258 28 244 60589 57871 23 259 28 263 28 267 24 262 29 258 57871 55029 28 240 35 252 35 264 32 259 36 262 55029 52307 28 273 33 243 35 252 37 252 39 259 52307 49844 37 270 34 256 36 248 41 244 45 260 49844 47624 31 255 35 259 37 246 44 241 51 256 47624 45599 25 255 34 248 40 245 43 239 52 243 45599 43744 26 255 31 244 38 245 37 242 41 230 43744 42045 20 255 26 234 34 238 37 250 31 241 42045 40487 8 231 19 207 24 216 33 243 33 256 40487 39049 2 341 16 182 15 198 21 227 25 238 39049 37708 16 348 5 326 4 280 10 203 17 251 37708 36417 22 348 28 345 24 335 15 328 19 289 36417 35114 21 351 31 340 29 334 22 327 26 306 35114 33772 21 355 22 336 25 331 21 326 32 311 33772 32393 23 355 16 336 17 330 17 326 24 311 32393 30965 21 356 12 352 11 324 12 330 17 297 30965 29482 17 360 11 360 4 313 6 319 16 281 29482 27943 13 003 6 009 3 216 3 244 13 253 27943 26350 8 024 3 053 7 176 7 202 12 246 26350 24708 6 094 4 161 10 190 7 239 12 268 24708 23023 7 145 6 209 11 207 8 255 11 283 23023 21288 9 161 7 212 8 236 7 278 9 287 21288 19493 5 165 6 220 9 267 7 275 9 281 19493 17670 2 243 7 218 11 262 9 243 13 253 17670 15919 6 281 9 217 13 249 14 237 19 245 15919 14330 10 264 13 231 14 246 17 240 20 248 14330 12916 12 254 16 241 14 251 15 245 16 248 12916 11652 13 249 17 246 15 255 15 256 10 237 11652 10519 14 244 16 250 15 255 14 259 8 233 10519 9499 13 236 14 253 12*249 12*255 9 244 9499 8584 11 227 12 256 8*240 9*247 11 261 8584 7768 9 219 10 258 6 217 7 233 13 272 7768 7036 6 211 6*259 5 195 5 211 14 278 7036 6375 4 203 2*263 5 184 4 179 15 283 6375 5782 0 184 1 007 5 181 4 165 14 287 5782 5283 2 051 1 019 5 180 4 160 13 291 5283 4897 2 058 0 060 6 180 4 158 10 297 4897 4630 3 041 0 187 5 180 4 157 7 306 4630 4467 4*025 1 192 5 181 4 155 4*319 4467 4373 4*022 1 191 5 181 4 154 3*327 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography