DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.7 - - 85.4 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 284 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 10350 - - 9646 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7570 - - 12517 - - 8038 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9002 - - 15178 - - 14474 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5817 - - 1548 - - 2977 - - 12195 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 421 - - 600 - - 243 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 86 - - 27 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 129 - - 247 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -39 - - -19 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3656 - - 53 - - -863 - - -8730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12658 - - 15126 - - 15337 - - 13107 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6877 - - -2656 - - -2943 - - -11656 ODpotential blCL - - - 15879 - - 17834 - - 17417 - - 16032 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 71 - - 68 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.7 - - 85.4 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 35.0 - - 32.9 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 85.7 - - 86.2 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 34.5 - - 32.4 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 284 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 10350 - - 9646 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97723 19 271 22 281 22 288 16 298 97723 90476 10 259 15 285 14 300 9 324 90476 84846 5 321 5 248 9 273 9 300 84846 80162 4 026 5 065 3 031 6 328 80162 76145 4 080 6 041 5 056 7 010 76145 72615 9 074 7 019 8 014 14 007 72615 69444 12 051 9 010 10 013 17 004 69444 66551 15 027 12 007 10 010 15 358 66551 63869 17 021 12 010 13 003 14 357 63869 61264 19 010 15 008 17 355 17 354 61264 58554 22 359 19 358 22 347 20 352 58554 55761 27 356 24 344 27 336 24 343 55761 53101 32 352 29 340 30 331 29 331 53101 50699 36 346 32 340 32 329 32 324 50699 48529 40 344 32 338 32 327 32 322 48529 46542 43 339 34 337 32 328 32 322 46542 44706 47 333 38 335 35 331 35 324 44706 42995 52 329 42 333 39 330 37 324 42995 41393 56 324 47 332 42 328 38 326 41393 39888 61 324 54 330 46 329 39 327 39888 38474 65 323 58 326 49 327 43 324 38474 37120 67 321 59 322 52 322 46 322 37120 35761 66 319 61 319 52 320 49 323 35761 34370 64 320 60 318 52 319 49 322 34370 32951 60 322 58 319 50 319 48 319 32951 31492 53 323 55 320 47 319 46 317 31492 29979 45 323 48 320 43 319 44 318 29979 28416 37 323 40 318 38 318 39 320 28416 26801 30 325 28 314 31 313 32 322 26801 25136 23 329 18 306 22 302 25 319 25136 23425 20 336 15 299 16 284 19 312 23425 21662 18 335 14 303 12 283 15 294 21662 19840 15 343 10 315 9 298 12 281 19840 18000 11 004 5 334 3 320 3 284 18000 16238 7 020 5*045 5 055 2 011 16238 14630 3 355 6*067 5*050 1 080 14630 13188 2 312 6 069 4*049 1 189 13188 11893 2 102 5 073 3 045 2 211 11893 10726 5 112 3 078 1 025 3 223 10726 9676 5*116 2 097 1 274 4 224 9676 8733 5*118 1 185 3 253 4 220 8733 7889 4 122 3 216 4 247 4 214 7889 7133 4 133 4 219 4 242 4 203 7133 6448 3 161 4 220 5 236 4 190 6448 5835 3 197 5 221 5 232 5 183 5835 5318 4 216 5 221 5 229 5 178 5318 4917 4 219 5 220 5 227 4 169 4917 4640 4 221 5 220 5 228 2 140 4640 4472 5 221 5 220 5 226 2*093 4472 4375 4 221 5 221 5 225 2*067 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography