DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.4 - - 77.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 174 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4945 - - 6809 - - 1688 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8224 - - 9460 - - 4358 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 9773 - - 11637 - - 6516 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2429 - - 3203 - - 3963 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 467 - - 456 - - 173 - - - W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 16 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 212 - - 168 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 27 - - 30 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1734 - - 2478 - - 1098 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8040 - - 9160 - - 5418 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 469 - - 609 - - -1709 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 9304 - - 11028 - - 8225 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 89 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1260 - - 1390 - - 3150 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.4 - - 77.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.0 - - 58.9 - - 67.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 84.2 - - 78.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 57.7 - - 66.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 174 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4945 - - 6809 - - 1688 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 43 - - 57 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98687 14 096 17 149 10 166 98687 91298 21 133 12 148 14 116 91298 85563 17 118 14 141 14 108 85563 80798 16 104 19 133 15 116 80798 76699 11 110 16 114 13 107 76699 73071 7 146 12 077 10 073 73071 69795 5 255 3 208 3 011 69795 66803 5 226 9 217 3 268 66803 64046 7 241 10 230 10 253 64046 61383 9 246 6 237 8 212 61383 58618 10 239 10 256 14 268 58618 55801 15 239 23 234 23 260 55801 53155 13 263 18 244 26 255 53155 50776 22 278 27 275 37 271 50776 48636 28 266 36 271 42 268 48636 46684 30 256 39 265 40 264 46684 44880 33 249 39 257 38 260 44880 43196 35 248 39 249 39 252 43196 41616 38 242 45 239 40 243 41616 40129 42 238 49 236 45 241 40129 38730 45 239 50 238 47 239 38730 37386 47 242 51 240 46 240 37386 36031 48 246 49 242 43 242 36031 34640 44 249 43 246 39 244 34640 33215 38 249 35 248 33 245 33215 31743 32 251 30 245 31 246 31743 30214 29 256 26 247 29 246 30214 28629 27 259 24 249 29 246 28629 26990 25 261 23 254 29 249 26990 25302 23 262 23 259 29 254 25302 23566 20 267 23 266 28 260 23566 21781 18 275 22 268 26 266 21781 19941 16 281 20 270 23 276 19941 18076 12 258 17 255 18 274 18076 16284 15 231 16 250 15 263 16284 14656 19 236 15 246 16 255 14656 13206 22 237 15 241 16 250 13206 11907 24 234 14*237 17 243 11907 10738 22*228 14*228 17 235 10738 9685 20*223 14 222 17 227 9685 8740 17 217 13 217 16 215 8740 7894 14 209 13 212 16 201 7894 7138 12 200 13 209 16*186 7138 6452 12 196 13 206 17*174 6452 5838 11 194 12 203 17 171 5838 5321 11 192 12 202 16 167 5321 4920 10 190 12 200 16 164 4920 4642 10 189 11 200 15 163 4642 4473 10 189 11 199 13 162 4473 4375 9 189 9 199 10 160 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography