DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.1 - - 87.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 572 - - 265 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7390 - - 9491 - - 8606 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10424 - - 12194 - - 11072 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12218 - - 14319 - - 13434 - - 4830 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1299 - - 1509 - - 1846 - - 7998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 650 - - 733 - - 550 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 212 - - 218 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 45 - - 46 - - 33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3670 - - -2823 - - -4401 - - -10247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15889 - - 17143 - - 17836 - - 15077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7921 - - -6871 - - -9089 - - -15632 ODpotential blCL - - - 20139 - - 21190 - - 22523 - - 20462 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 29 - - 24 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.1 - - 87.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 27.0 - - 22.8 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 86.1 - - 86.3 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 27.0 - - 22.8 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 572 - - 265 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7390 - - 9491 - - 8606 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98837 35 110 23 125 17 086 25 101 98837 91381 28 090 32 110 24 109 21 094 91381 85647 22 097 31 093 29 099 24 085 85647 80900 14 109 18 090 25 080 23 093 80900 76818 16 134 15 090 18 081 23 083 76818 73199 16 109 15 106 15 100 17 080 73199 69921 12 101 14 124 16 121 11 120 69921 66904 15 092 12 092 9 162 9 105 66904 64115 5 152 11 083 10 165 8 225 64115 61435 13 231 11 299 7 015 7 095 61435 58635 20 217 19 248 20 262 10 261 58635 55747 24 242 28 231 33 249 32 255 55747 53034 43 260 42 250 41 242 44 247 53034 50601 59 260 55 259 46 244 47 240 50601 48411 68 259 64 258 53 249 48 239 48411 46411 69 255 70 256 59 251 50 242 46411 44567 68 253 68 254 62 252 52 246 44567 42858 65 251 66 252 62 254 54 250 42858 41266 62 249 63 249 62 254 56 254 41266 39781 61 251 60 249 60 251 56 253 39781 38391 63 254 60 250 59 249 57 249 38391 37057 64 254 61 250 59 250 57 246 37057 35713 64 253 62 248 61 248 58 244 35713 34332 65 254 63 248 62 246 61 244 34332 32918 63 256 61 249 63 246 63 244 32918 31457 59 258 56 249 61 246 62 245 31457 29938 56 258 52 252 58 246 60 246 29938 28367 54 258 51 254 53 246 56 245 28367 26747 53 259 50 255 48 246 52 243 26747 25078 51 259 49 256 46 247 47 241 25078 23363 49 259 47 255 44 248 42 238 23363 21598 46 258 44 255 40 248 38 234 21598 19775 41 253 39 252 35 245 34 230 19775 17929 41 248 36 247 32 243 31 232 17929 16157 41 241 34 244 28 242 27 233 16157 14546 37 235 26*238 23*238 23 227 14546 13109 28*228 19*224 19*228 20 214 13109 11824 19*214 19 219 19 223 19 208 11824 10669 16 207 19 217 19 222 18 209 10669 9630 14 202 19 214 19 220 18 211 9630 8696 13 200 19 212 20 218 19 212 8696 7861 12 197 19 209 20 216 19 212 7861 7112 12 195 19 208 20 214 20 212 7112 6433 11 193 20 206 20 213 20 212 6433 5825 10 191 19 205 20 212 19 212 5825 5313 10 190 19 205 20 211 19 211 5313 4915 9 189 19 204 19 210 17*210 4915 4639 9 189 18 203 19 210 14*207 4639 4471 8 188 17 203 18 209 11 204 4471 4374 8 188 15 204 15 209 6 201 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography