DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 501 - - 538 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8580 - - 11803 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11385 - - 14078 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13408 - - 16631 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1899 - - 1609 - - - - - 11939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 678 - - 773 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 231 - - - - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5445 - - -2672 - - - - - -12477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18854 - - 19304 - - - - - 16853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9365 - - -5527 - - - - - -16947 ODpotential blCL - - - 22773 - - 22158 - - - - - 21322 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 49 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.9 - - 9.9 - - - - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 79.4 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 9.9 - - - - - 12.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 501 - - 538 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8580 - - 11803 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98121 12 122 10 078 2 206 98121 90714 8 138 8 151 7 074 90714 85003 4 117 7 159 5 045 85003 80258 10 135 6 227 3 038 80258 76161 5 158 6 223 2 166 76161 72535 6 238 5 211 2 263 72535 69265 7 236 7 213 6 251 69265 66260 12 236 11 247 8 229 66260 63460 15 237 17 255 10 274 63460 60736 9 231 17 243 17 267 60736 57899 15 288 16 249 15 284 57899 54969 24 281 19 286 17 287 54969 52188 25 282 23 292 20 294 52188 49704 23 297 27 286 23 300 49704 47503 27 309 23 302 25 301 47503 45524 31 314 29 313 20 334 45524 43722 29 308 21 321 26 354 43722 42066 25 308 22 002 27 012 42066 40522 22 306 36 013 33 024 40522 39072 21 301 38 022 36 026 39072 37708 24 296 39 030 34 027 37708 36399 28 285 37 034 31 026 36399 35082 28 282 28 034 25 024 35082 33731 27 284 17 018 19 019 33731 32348 24 283 14 333 13 355 32348 30923 18 283 18 303 15 335 30923 29445 15 290 19 290 20 335 29445 27917 14 295 14 280 18 341 27917 26339 12 291 10 284 12 356 26339 24712 10 294 10 298 9 014 24712 23036 11 288 9 299 6 031 23036 21309 14 268 9 313 1 056 21309 19531 13 260 9 309 5 111 19531 17732 11 264 6*288 8 035 17732 16003 11 267 7*268 12 001 16003 14427 11*265 8 262 7 342 14427 13016 9*253 8 260 6 303 13016 11747 8 239 8 254 7 277 11747 10605 8 234 7 243 8 261 10605 9577 8 228 7 228 9 253 9577 8652 7 221 7 217 10 246 8652 7825 7 215 7 208 11 240 7825 7084 7 209 7 201 12 235 7084 6412 7 204 7 195 13 230 6412 5810 7 201 8 190 13 225 5810 5302 7 197 8 188 13 219 5302 4908 7 196 8 187 13 212 4908 4636 6 194 8 186 11 203 4636 4469 6 193 8 185 8*193 4469 4374 6 193 7 186 4*186 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography