DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 232 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6645 - - 4513 - - - - - 297 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9707 - - 7819 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11473 - - 9341 - - - - - 5125 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2805 - - 4469 - - - - - 2187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 574 - - 429 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 225 - - - - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 16 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 971 - - 956 - - - - - 750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10502 - - 8386 - - - - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -428 - - -1140 - - - - - -1784 ODpotential blCL - - - 11901 - - 10481 - - - - - 6909 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 84 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1030 - - 2530 - - - - - 3200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 62.8 - - - - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.1 - - 84.4 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 62.3 - - - - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 232 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6645 - - 4513 - - - - - 297 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 35 - - - - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98843 17 139 6 236 11 077 98843 91404 13 102 13 117 13 062 91404 85646 14 095 20 110 11 086 85646 80855 12 097 17 108 7 086 80855 76734 9 126 5 127 5 107 76734 73092 5 149 3 175 3 045 73092 69793 3 203 2 267 5 018 69793 66774 6 194 5 236 5 316 66774 64004 2 229 4 223 9 323 64004 61356 8 309 9 267 15 300 61356 58647 10 309 9 239 16 277 58647 55881 13 274 17 255 18 278 55881 53263 22 265 25 264 27 280 53263 50909 28 278 26 280 31 282 50909 48788 33 281 31 281 32 283 48788 46847 36 280 38 281 34 285 46847 45052 38 275 44 278 39 286 45052 43380 39 271 45 278 43 282 43380 41809 38 271 42 278 43 280 41809 40326 36 271 37 277 35 279 40326 38927 35 273 32 281 31 278 38927 37580 33 276 29 288 29 276 37580 36221 30 278 27 292 22 275 36221 34822 27 281 25 297 18 279 34822 33385 25 286 24 299 16 284 33385 31898 24 289 21 295 17 280 31898 30351 25 290 20 290 17 278 30351 28749 25 288 20 285 17 278 28749 27093 23 283 21 285 19 283 27093 25390 19 282 18 280 19 289 25390 23643 16 278 18 278 18 290 23643 21847 12 272 16 278 15 290 21847 19994 8 270 16 277 13 296 19994 18121 12 270 16 274 12 303 18121 16326 18 269 17 272 12 304 16326 14692 21 267 18 273 11 302 14692 13231 20 261 17 271 11 292 13231 11920 18*256 16 265 13 281 11920 10745 14*250 15 259 16 272 10745 9687 12 240 13*255 16 263 9687 8737 11 228 11*248 14 254 8737 7889 10 216 9 240 10 244 7889 7131 11 208 7 230 5 225 7131 6445 11 203 7 221 3 195 6445 5833 11 200 7 215 1 267 5833 5317 11 197 7 210 3*078 5317 4918 11 195 7 206 5*078 4918 4641 10 194 7 205 5 077 4641 4472 10 193 7 204 4 074 4472 4375 9 193 6 204 3 075 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography