DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 59.6 - - 65.8 - - 64.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 168 - - 248 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1422 - - 7134 - - 5855 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5407 - - 9871 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 6250 - - 11962 - - 10683 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 717 - - 4749 - - 2455 - - 4596 - - 7025 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 260 - - 506 - - 176 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 31 - - 32 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 242 - - 181 - - 227 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -10 - - -22 - - -25 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4977 - - -5393 - - -1365 - - -3393 - - -7395 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9351 - - 11643 - - 13328 - - 14077 - - 11769 sfcLCL ODpotential -10931 - - -8462 - - -4107 - - -6261 - - -11654 ODpotential blCL 15305 - - 14712 - - 16069 - - 16944 - - 16028 blCL maxRH 50 - - 55 - - 55 - - 60 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 59.6 - - 65.8 - - 64.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.6 - - 24.0 - - 22.4 - - 18.2 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 59.4 - - 65.0 - - 65.7 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.2 - - 23.3 - - 21.5 - - 17.2 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 168 - - 248 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1422 - - 7134 - - 5855 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96528 13 083 5 157 4 208 1 146 12 270 96528 89367 13 095 9 147 1 148 7 112 11 106 89367 83866 9 102 12 133 8 155 5 194 11 105 83866 79288 3 024 6 112 9 127 3 157 9 114 79288 75355 8 339 2 150 4 087 6 086 8 126 75355 71894 4 305 6 150 0 043 10 032 5 071 71894 68763 3 242 6 157 5 205 8 006 7 353 68763 65884 2 230 4 254 5 239 1 331 9 329 65884 63205 8 249 12 275 12 261 6 233 16 301 63205 60602 12 259 15 259 15 250 9 261 16 271 60602 57880 13 267 13 238 13 247 15 269 16 241 57880 55040 17 253 11 229 14 242 18 250 13 241 55040 52303 23 247 14 244 13 246 16 228 16 263 52303 49813 29 230 22 247 17 244 15 229 22 260 49813 47561 27 217 26 240 20 238 15 241 24 253 47561 45503 22 218 28 232 21 235 16 255 21 254 45503 43610 22 232 26 229 20 235 16 262 14 252 43610 41863 24 236 24 230 18 240 9 262 6 240 41863 40247 23 240 21 232 16 231 8 280 3 327 40247 38745 31 232 20 230 17 226 10 245 12 355 38745 37344 41 216 28 217 23 232 12 239 12 338 37344 36011 49 219 38 212 31 227 12 246 16 350 36011 34685 59 223 45 212 34 221 11 262 21 010 34685 33337 65 222 48 215 32 219 9 278 27 016 33337 31970 59 219 50 215 32 219 8 278 17 010 31970 30568 51 219 48 214 33 219 9 263 12 358 30568 29121 44 222 41 213 32 218 10 250 11 348 29121 27627 39 227 34 215 26 219 10 236 9 348 27627 26083 33 230 30 218 21 221 9 234 6 345 26083 24488 27 232 24 217 19 223 11 238 7 343 24488 22843 24 234 18 215 17 228 11 249 7 332 22843 21145 18 236 16 224 14 237 8 281 5 305 21145 19385 15 237 15 239 10 265 9 317 4 305 19385 17596 14 235 12 251 8 289 9 331 6 305 17596 15870 12 236 8 261 5 306 7 350 6 309 15870 14298 9 232 5 258 2 339 4 039 2 066 14298 12894 7 218 5 232 2*064 3 063 6 100 12894 11636 6 211 6 208 2*117 2*049 5 091 11636 10505 4 204 7 188 3 149 1*027 3 080 10505 9487 3 187 7 169 3 162 1 352 2 016 9487 8575 2 129 6 144 3 171 1 275 3 333 8575 7759 3 093 6 125 3 183 1 246 4 322 7759 7030 3 089 6 122 4 193 1 228 5 320 7030 6369 2 090 4*125 4 196 2 218 5 319 6369 5779 2 099 2*152 4 199 2 211 4 321 5779 5281 5 091 2 247 4 202 2 207 3 323 5281 4895 7 075 4 249 4 203 2 205 3 343 4895 4629 9 053 4 248 4 204 2 207 4 005 4629 4467 7*035 4 247 4 203 2 206 4*014 4467 4373 5*022 4 246 4 204 2 202 4*013 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography