DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 49.0 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 8 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 347 - - 256 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4373 - - 5175 - - 5084 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1614 - - 1356 - - 1644 - - 2075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 60 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 098 - - 155 - - 161 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 12 - - 15 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 803 - - 711 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4372 - - 4373 - - 4373 - - 4372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -322 - - 471 - - 284 - - -489 ODpotential blCL - - - 4695 - - 4704 - - 4800 - - 4862 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 49.0 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 48.4 - - 48.8 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 50.2 - - 50.7 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 48.2 - - 48.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 8 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 347 - - 256 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95699 35 353 32 347 22 349 25 336 95699 88789 30 005 30 003 23 008 24 005 88789 83444 23 000 26 006 27 015 21 007 83444 78997 21 010 26 010 24 017 17 014 78997 75126 16 018 22 010 19 020 13 000 75126 71660 13 004 13 357 17 003 7 340 71660 68505 12 351 10 328 13 336 11 007 68505 65594 13 325 11 319 18 314 14 326 65594 62890 19 288 19 293 22 293 18 298 62890 60272 17 259 18 272 21 275 19 287 60272 57549 13 268 18 269 26 275 32 285 57549 54727 26 268 23 271 28 272 33 285 54727 52029 38 259 33 266 30 281 34 297 52029 49581 42 253 41 260 39 284 39 286 49581 47377 43 248 46 256 49 274 43 268 47377 45382 43 243 46 254 47 262 36 262 45382 43550 44 241 46 255 39 262 33 267 43550 41851 45 239 46 255 35 271 41 269 41851 40276 44 238 44 251 41 271 47 268 40276 38819 44 238 42 250 46 268 48 274 38819 37467 45 238 42 252 48 269 54 283 37467 36178 45 236 43 253 49 274 57 283 36178 34880 44 233 43 251 52 278 57 282 34880 33547 43 232 44 250 51 280 56 284 33547 32183 42 234 45 252 49 282 58 287 32183 30773 42 237 45 253 49 284 60 287 30773 29307 42 241 47 250 49 283 60 286 29307 27783 41 244 46 249 48 281 58 285 27783 26204 40 248 43 251 47 277 56 284 26204 24569 40 250 40 253 46 275 53 282 24569 22884 38 250 38 252 45 274 50 279 22884 21144 35 247 37 251 41 272 46 276 21144 19345 35 244 37 251 35 270 43 276 19345 17527 34 240 36 248 33 267 40 275 17527 15786 33 240 35 245 34 262 35 271 15786 14206 32 237 30 241 32 256 31 266 14206 12798 29 236 25 239 28 255 29 263 12798 11541 26 240 24 243 23 258 28 260 11541 10416 22 245 23 242 21 255 25 255 10416 9408 18 247 21 236 20 247 21 250 9408 8506 16 246 19 229 19 241 17 247 8506 7702 15 243 16 226 18 236 14 246 7702 6983 14 238 14 222 16 229 12 242 6983 6333 10 223 11 211 13 218 9 233 6333 5752 8 198 9 193 11 200 7 214 5752 5264 7 175 8*175 10*181 7 189 5264 4885 5 149 7*161 10*167 8 165 4885 4623 4 114 6 153 9 160 8 151 4623 4464 3*093 6 152 8 158 6*143 4464 4372 3*086 5 153 6 155 4*138 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography