DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 67.5 - - 65.2 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 141 - - -5 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 525 - - 2032 - - 1795 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5767 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5353 - - 6860 - - 6623 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1486 - - 2309 - - 3634 - - 223 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 278 - - 35 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 286 - - 269 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - 3 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5226 - - -6271 - - -6616 - - -5998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10579 - - 13132 - - 13240 - - 10372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13714 - - -12869 - - -13797 - - -15048 ODpotential blCL - - - 19067 - - 19729 - - 20420 - - 19422 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 49 - - 62 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 67.5 - - 65.2 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 25.3 - - 22.7 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 67.5 - - 68.4 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 24.3 - - 21.5 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 141 - - -5 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 525 - - 2032 - - 1795 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 22 067 28 085 18 060 19 082 96292 89323 30 086 28 100 34 073 33 063 89323 83870 29 092 19 097 31 084 22 079 83870 79342 20 081 16 071 20 089 23 071 79342 75419 18 088 13 062 12 074 19 057 75419 71923 19 091 13 086 3 052 13 034 71923 68747 18 072 14 081 3 228 13 353 68747 65820 13 032 12 045 2 292 16 305 65820 63104 10 332 10 346 13 017 17 298 63104 60479 11 321 11 305 16 011 14 314 60479 57763 14 328 14 321 10 300 15 321 57763 54956 18 308 20 326 14 311 15 316 54956 52278 13 270 22 299 24 309 24 333 52278 49862 2 124 16 269 26 277 32 320 49862 47678 14 049 5 266 20 238 34 284 47678 45683 22 035 11 043 5 203 27 249 45683 43846 13 334 19 016 13 010 7 264 43846 42147 18 242 14 285 18 317 25 011 42147 40574 22 230 22 245 26 260 26 317 40574 39119 21 238 22 250 21 259 26 268 39119 37769 21 245 22 256 19 276 24 278 37769 36475 16 263 18 277 19 289 25 288 36475 35172 12 277 18 289 20 304 25 297 35172 33830 15 292 20 304 21 317 26 316 33830 32454 14 329 18 317 20 326 29 327 32454 31032 18 350 19 329 22 333 27 323 31032 29555 19 353 19 334 22 329 25 315 29555 28025 20 347 21 331 24 325 26 310 28025 26441 20 339 20 327 23 321 24 303 26441 24803 16 347 14 321 20 313 23 303 24803 23114 11 339 12 311 19 310 21 310 23114 21371 8 297 13 307 17 320 19 320 21371 19565 9 295 14 317 17 337 18 325 19565 17731 8 322 13 324 16 343 18 332 17731 15969 8 349 12 334 15 348 21 347 15969 14367 6 355 11 345 14 357 20 000 14367 12938 5 005 9 349 14 008 19 012 12938 11661 7 032 8 000 14 018 18 023 11661 10519 11 043 9 020 12 021 16 030 10519 9495 12 048 11 031 9 027 11 031 9495 8579 10 057 11 036 6 037 7 029 8579 7761 8 068 9 042 3 024 3 025 7761 7031 7 080 6*037 2*333 2 049 7031 6369 6 087 3*002 3*290 2 096 6369 5777 5*083 4 296 3 276 4 091 5777 5279 3*059 4 279 3 268 7 069 5279 4894 2 300 4 273 3 262 10 064 4894 4627 3 276 4 270 3 257 12 053 4627 4465 3 269 4 268 2 249 11*046 4465 4373 3 267 4 267 2 239 8*043 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography