DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.0 - - 61.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 119 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 946 - - 4255 - - 16 - - 4 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 7260 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5774 - - 9083 - - 4375 - - 4832 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1633 - - 2011 - - 5694 - - 4381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 336 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 20 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 182 - - 184 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 38 - - 22 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6461 - - -3865 - - -6835 - - -4761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12235 - - 12949 - - 11211 - - 9593 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14422 - - -9931 - - -12639 - - -11015 ODpotential blCL - - - 20196 - - 19014 - - 17014 - - 15847 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 72 - - 78 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.0 - - 61.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 26.3 - - 27.9 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 25.5 - - 27.1 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 119 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 946 - - 4255 - - 16 - - 4 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96152 22 311 25 286 27 278 31 291 96152 89037 17 301 22 285 24 288 18 313 89037 83575 21 292 20 289 24 280 19 301 83575 79050 26 290 19 302 19 299 16 322 79050 75132 30 283 25 285 22 283 27 295 75132 71680 26 277 17 290 20 270 24 281 71680 68567 25 260 23 272 10 272 15 281 68567 65689 26 237 25 245 20 244 27 242 65689 63031 23 241 32 252 35 252 35 244 63031 60492 39 246 48 253 45 267 39 252 60492 57857 51 242 60 246 52 258 43 251 57857 55102 56 239 63 237 58 245 53 250 55102 52455 60 236 62 234 55 233 62 244 52455 50058 65 234 59 238 56 234 64 235 50058 47889 70 235 63 239 71 240 67 230 47889 45895 75 233 75 236 78 234 74 232 45895 44046 78 231 82 231 77 227 79 231 44046 42330 79 232 81 231 77 228 87 231 42330 40746 82 239 84 235 80 229 95 230 40746 39284 85 243 83 233 82 226 96 226 39284 37923 79 240 77 231 86 227 92 222 37923 36613 73 236 78 230 88 225 89 222 36613 35290 72 231 76 223 84 221 88 225 35290 33925 71 228 72 217 85 219 85 226 33925 32523 68 226 70 219 84 220 85 221 32523 31072 65 221 71 223 81 221 82 219 31072 29562 65 218 72 222 78 222 75 220 29562 27998 65 216 72 215 73 223 71 223 27998 26381 63 212 72 213 70 220 68 227 26381 24716 61 208 69 214 72 213 68 229 24716 23004 59 205 64 212 69 211 68 227 23004 21248 57 204 61 209 65 209 66 214 21248 19446 54 205 58 207 61 208 62 208 19446 17625 51 206 56 208 56 208 56 211 17625 15877 49 207 53 209 49 210 50 213 15877 14285 47 208 50 207 43 209 45 211 14285 12868 45 209 47 205 39 207 40 205 12868 11603 41 208 43 203 36 205 35 202 11603 10471 37 205 38 200 33 204 31 202 10471 9456 32 200 32*196 30 202 27 204 9456 8548 28 193 25*187 27 200 24 211 8548 7738 26 186 22 182 24 196 21 221 7738 7014 24 180 20 181 21 194 19 234 7014 6358 22*174 20 181 19 193 17 244 6358 5771 18*170 19 181 18 194 15 247 5771 5277 11 166 18 180 16 194 12 245 5277 4893 6 156 18 180 15 193 9*239 4893 4628 5 149 17 180 12 190 6*230 4628 4466 5 149 16 180 9*186 4 217 4466 4373 4 148 13 180 5*181 2 196 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography