DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.3 - - 76.5 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 555 - - 231 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6875 - - 9752 - - 9344 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10010 - - 12395 - - 11567 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11703 - - 14580 - - 14172 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1200 - - 988 - - 1401 - - 9208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 637 - - 732 - - 539 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 218 - - 216 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 28 - - 36 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3621 - - -1603 - - -3051 - - -11532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15325 - - 16184 - - 17224 - - 15908 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9163 - - -5247 - - -6938 - - -17113 ODpotential blCL - - - 20866 - - 19827 - - 21110 - - 21488 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 54 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.3 - - 76.5 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 20.5 - - 15.1 - - 12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 75.3 - - 75.9 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 20.5 - - 15.0 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 555 - - 231 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6875 - - 9752 - - 9344 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98096 10 147 5 167 11 305 12 352 98096 90668 4 010 6 097 2 239 5 311 90668 84975 6 283 8 024 11 118 3 219 84975 80271 3 228 4 294 1 358 6 087 80271 76199 10 160 9 228 7 255 3 063 76199 72589 11 165 12 201 4 214 2 165 72589 69324 14 189 12 228 5 267 4 285 69324 66321 8 193 18 218 14 234 15 248 66321 63536 3 250 15 207 15 222 17 232 63536 60828 15 248 17 230 17 232 18 244 60828 57989 17 255 23 247 23 244 23 248 57989 55047 21 258 23 251 27 249 27 252 55047 52256 29 256 26 258 28 254 28 250 52256 49758 34 252 30 255 28 258 28 251 49758 47530 42 258 36 251 32 256 28 254 47530 45526 52 256 46 249 39 252 33 262 45526 43705 60 253 57 247 50 247 42 254 43705 42041 67 251 65 242 58 241 51 245 42041 40506 71 248 69 237 64 234 58 242 40506 39070 70 247 68 237 67 232 63 233 39070 37717 69 247 67 240 70 231 64 229 37717 36414 66 244 67 241 68 233 62 230 36414 35096 65 242 65 241 64 237 59 235 35096 33739 63 241 62 242 61 239 57 238 33739 32349 61 241 59 240 56 240 55 240 32349 30921 59 242 56 242 52 238 52 240 30921 29441 57 243 53 244 50 238 50 237 29441 27910 55 243 51 244 48 241 48 234 27910 26325 52 246 50 245 46 243 46 234 26325 24689 51 247 48 245 44 245 43 234 24689 23008 49 247 47 245 42 245 40 235 23008 21275 46 245 45 243 40 243 37 236 21275 19487 42 244 42 240 38 241 34 237 19487 17674 37 245 36 238 32 238 31 234 17674 15934 31 247 26*238 22 233 25 225 15934 14353 23 246 15*233 12*235 15 209 14353 12946 16*235 13 233 11*238 6 222 12946 11686 12*221 13 231 11 237 9 235 11686 10552 11 218 12 227 11 234 11 234 10552 9531 10 216 12 221 12 225 12 236 9531 8614 10 215 12 215 13 216 13 236 8614 7794 9 212 12 210 13 210 14 236 7794 7059 9 208 12 206 14 207 14 236 7059 6393 8 205 12 203 14 204 15 235 6393 5797 8 202 12 201 14 202 14 232 5797 5293 7 198 12 199 14 199 14 228 5293 4903 7 196 12 197 14 198 12 221 4903 4633 7 195 11 196 14 198 10 212 4633 4468 6 196 11 196 13 197 7*203 4468 4374 6 195 10 196 12 197 4*198 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography