DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 77.9 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 497 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7450 - - 9389 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10410 - - 12046 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12278 - - 14217 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2095 - - 1983 - - - - - 8190 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 621 - - 698 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 21 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 201 - - - - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 47 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3055 - - -2066 - - - - - -8831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15334 - - 16283 - - - - - 13207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5683 - - -5603 - - - - - -13684 ODpotential blCL - - - 17961 - - 19820 - - - - - 18059 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 40 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 77.9 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 20.8 - - - - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 76.4 - - - - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 20.3 - - - - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 497 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7450 - - 9389 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97664 29 253 33 260 36 288 97664 90335 26 276 28 271 32 284 90335 84651 27 266 29 287 21 285 84651 79913 19 258 28 279 17 288 79913 75835 10 272 20 272 18 294 75835 72243 15 291 15 269 20 298 72243 69001 19 276 19 257 24 293 69001 66034 18 260 20 266 24 275 66034 63291 22 263 27 258 10 289 63291 60611 28 264 25 255 26 273 60611 57824 31 259 24 247 39 258 57824 54963 37 255 31 245 42 256 54963 52232 44 248 41 244 37 263 52232 49762 47 245 48 249 40 270 49762 47541 46 246 45 253 47 267 47541 45538 42 252 44 265 54 264 45538 43730 37 257 53 267 59 260 43730 42082 35 259 45 261 59 252 42082 40554 35 261 33 278 54 249 40554 39120 32 255 39 287 51 251 39120 37771 29 248 40 286 52 251 37771 36474 27 243 34 285 54 250 36474 35166 27 240 32 275 55 251 35166 33819 27 237 33 260 55 252 33819 32437 25 238 33 250 53 252 32437 31007 23 238 32 247 51 250 31007 29523 23 239 33 249 49 247 29523 27985 22 233 34 252 47 246 27985 26394 24 223 33 253 45 246 26394 24753 24 216 30 250 43 245 24753 23063 24 215 32 226 41 243 23063 21322 25 215 31 214 37 239 21322 19525 24 206 27 215 34 234 19525 17707 23 199 25 220 32 231 17707 15964 22 207 25 221 31 229 15964 14379 25 216 23*213 29 224 14379 12965 28*216 21*203 27 216 12965 11700 26*210 21 201 25 212 11700 10562 23 206 21 201 23 212 10562 9539 21 202 21 200 23 216 9539 8621 19 199 21 200 23 220 8621 7799 18 197 21 201 23 223 7799 7063 17 196 21 200 23 224 7063 6396 17 196 21 201 23 225 6396 5799 16 195 21 201 22 226 5799 5295 16 194 20 201 20 225 5295 4905 15 193 20 201 17 224 4905 4634 14 193 19 201 13 219 4634 4469 14 193 18 201 10*215 4469 4374 12 193 16 202 5*210 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography