DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 98.6 - - - - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 505 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 14183 - - 14594 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15941 - - 16361 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19011 - - 19422 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1447 - - 1562 - - - - - 12963 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 772 - - 812 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 283 - - - - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -42 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2011 - - 552 - - - - - -11234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17001 - - 18871 - - - - - 15611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1043 - - -697 - - - - - -13694 ODpotential blCL - - - 17968 - - 20119 - - - - - 18070 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 55 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 98.6 - - - - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 29.4 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.9 - - 96.6 - - - - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 29.3 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 505 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 14183 - - 14594 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98560 28 106 31 095 23 090 98560 91087 24 097 20 114 22 078 91087 85343 18 098 17 108 18 075 85343 80587 18 096 16 103 18 068 80587 76514 19 098 17 096 17 075 76514 72925 17 089 15 089 17 078 72925 69695 13 072 17 091 18 078 69695 66754 13 058 18 062 18 095 66754 64042 11 045 14 036 18 062 64042 61427 6 024 5 057 14 009 61427 58717 7 357 2 048 16 332 58717 55907 13 328 7 331 17 291 55907 53222 22 299 16 299 22 278 53222 50803 30 290 27 287 31 281 50803 48622 37 287 34 285 34 280 48622 46626 39 287 37 280 31 279 46626 44784 38 284 34 278 28 282 44784 43075 28 281 23 281 21 279 43075 41485 15 287 14 275 8 272 41485 40003 8 304 5 257 4 058 40003 38618 4 277 2 224 9 064 38618 37290 2 320 3 182 9 059 37290 35953 4 357 3 155 8 062 35953 34578 5 002 0 102 7 083 34578 33167 6 351 1 040 9 109 33167 31708 4 349 3 068 13 113 31708 30191 6 079 8 082 12 114 30191 28618 10 089 14 085 11 125 28618 26992 13 089 13 084 12 132 26992 25316 13 078 12 082 14 142 25316 23594 15 077 12 091 13 154 23594 21824 16 084 11 104 14 130 21824 20004 9*066 6*101 11 113 20004 18159 2*300 2*315 5 090 18159 16378 3 294 8 290 7 346 16378 14752 4 302 10 287 12 325 14752 13294 5 308 10 285 14 317 13294 11985 5 310 10 285 16 312 11985 10806 6 309 10 283 17 307 10806 9744 7 304 10 281 18 301 9744 8790 8 300 10 281 19 296 8790 7936 8 295 10 280 21 291 7936 7171 9 290 10 279 22 286 7171 6478 9 286 10 278 23 283 6478 5857 10 283 10 277 23 280 5857 5333 10 280 9 276 22 278 5333 4927 10 278 9 276 20 277 4927 4645 9 277 9 276 16 277 4645 4474 9 276 9 275 13*279 4474 4375 8 275 8 275 6*282 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography