DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 99.7 - - - - - 88.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 396 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 14430 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 16065 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 19258 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2454 - - - - - 13992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 746 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - - - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -33 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2807 - - - - - -9749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 16452 - - - - - 14125 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1805 - - - - - -12616 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17453 - - - - - 16992 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 380 - - - - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 99.7 - - - - - 88.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.9 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 98.0 - - - - - 93.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.8 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 396 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 14430 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 41 - - - - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99002 32 107 29 096 99002 91555 29 098 26 087 91555 85804 29 099 27 084 85804 81025 22 105 22 078 81025 76933 18 091 16 079 76933 73324 15 105 13 107 73324 70044 15 085 11 094 70044 67035 6 073 12 088 67035 64269 8 090 13 079 64269 61623 6 137 8 082 61623 58890 7 182 6 302 58890 56084 10 215 17 268 56084 53438 10 263 11 271 53438 51062 23 286 20 304 51062 48922 31 277 28 291 48922 46966 31 277 26 284 46966 45151 28 289 27 285 45151 43455 29 289 29 285 43455 41864 27 286 34 284 41864 40376 26 287 36 277 40376 38984 27 290 35 268 38984 37645 27 283 32 265 37645 36290 24 270 28 265 36290 34893 20 266 20 262 34893 33460 16 278 12 266 33460 31978 20 296 10 297 31978 30436 21 302 7 309 30436 28838 16 287 6 250 28838 27190 15 252 12 224 27190 25501 15 241 13 219 25501 23771 8 240 14 207 23771 21990 4 188 17 188 21990 20151 5*156 15 174 20151 18287 3*167 10 161 18287 16489 3 204 7 162 16489 14846 4 218 6 167 14846 13373 5 221 5 177 13373 12051 5 222 4 190 12051 10861 6 221 3 204 10861 9789 6 219 2 232 9789 8827 7 218 2 283 8827 7966 7 216 2 306 7966 7194 7 215 3 314 7194 6495 7 214 4 319 6495 5869 8 213 5 322 5869 5340 8 213 5 324 5340 4931 8 213 5 328 4931 4648 7 213 5 339 4648 4475 7 213 5*352 4475 4375 7 213 5*357 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography