DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 97.7 - - - - - 86.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 515 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9577 - - 12493 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12173 - - 14625 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14405 - - 17321 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2032 - - 1190 - - - - - 12261 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 690 - - 776 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 244 - - - - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 67 - - - - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2538 - - -2735 - - - - - -13750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16944 - - 20057 - - - - - 18127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6859 - - -6029 - - - - - -18915 ODpotential blCL - - - 21264 - - 23350 - - - - - 23291 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 58 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 97.7 - - - - - 86.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 22.9 - - - - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.0 - - 95.7 - - - - - 91.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 22.9 - - - - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 515 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9577 - - 12493 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98567 20 116 20 120 15 072 98567 91099 17 115 13 111 14 093 91099 85354 28 104 15 100 17 091 85354 80606 22 076 24 092 21 096 80606 76539 12 082 23 081 20 102 76539 72961 12 134 12 097 23 097 72961 69723 13 129 12 127 11 072 69723 66753 15 100 11 149 1 036 66753 64007 2 343 12 109 3 192 64007 61357 8 250 4 325 2 288 61357 58615 7 244 12 261 16 282 58615 55796 16 259 21 247 24 264 55796 53111 31 254 29 252 25 256 53111 50689 40 249 34 253 26 260 50689 48516 40 245 32 255 38 256 48516 46554 42 245 33 253 46 243 46554 44758 49 242 42 247 45 243 44758 43088 51 239 47 246 41 250 43088 41522 50 239 45 244 39 259 41522 40051 47 242 35 246 42 258 40051 38669 36 245 37 255 45 254 38669 37339 29 244 34 260 46 250 37339 35994 25 254 25 258 38 254 35994 34609 22 265 21 259 33 252 34609 33191 21 274 20 263 24 250 33191 31728 20 276 20 261 21 247 31728 30208 18 278 18 262 21 247 30208 28632 17 287 14 268 20 246 28632 27005 18 291 14 263 20 244 27005 25329 16 286 13 251 19 241 25329 23605 13 293 9 254 15 242 23605 21828 14 307 8 292 10 231 21828 19992 16 312 10 316 8 210 19992 18133 16 293 9*305 6 093 18133 16352 10 268 7*262 7 062 16352 14728 6*259 7 255 3 059 14728 13273 7*264 7 249 1 049 13273 11966 9 262 8 246 2 329 11966 10789 9 261 8 244 4 300 10789 9729 8 258 8 243 7 292 9729 8776 8 253 8 241 10 285 8776 7925 7 246 8 240 13 280 7925 7163 6 239 8 238 16 276 7163 6471 6 232 8 237 17 273 6471 5852 5 225 8 236 18 272 5852 5330 5 218 8 236 17 270 5330 4925 5 213 8 235 15 268 4925 4644 5 212 8 234 11 264 4644 4473 5 210 8 234 8*259 4473 4375 5 209 7 233 4*250 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography