DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 51.5 - - 59.3 - - 58.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - 132 - - 194 - - 4 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1089 - - 3242 - - 1402 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4356 - - 6771 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5917 - - 8070 - - 6230 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 215 - - 1434 - - 1985 - - 3462 - - 688 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 220 - - 358 - - 81 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 59 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 285 - - 125 - - 202 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -8 - - -11 - - 7 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10452 - - -10198 - - -10756 - - -11328 - - -10143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14826 - - 16116 - - 18827 - - 17559 - - 14516 sfcLCL ODpotential -22710 - - -20939 - - -19748 - - -20850 - - -20953 ODpotential blCL 27083 - - 26856 - - 27818 - - 27080 - - 25326 blCL maxRH 29 - - 40 - - 57 - - 61 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 51.5 - - 59.3 - - 58.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -13.6 - - -3.4 - - -8.5 - - -3.7 - - -0.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 51.7 - - 59.1 - - 59.7 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -14.2 - - -4.5 - - -9.3 - - -4.6 - - -1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - 132 - - 194 - - 4 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1089 - - 3242 - - 1402 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96010 59 280 73 268 75 279 72 281 65 294 96010 88906 37 283 45 282 59 284 49 304 51 306 88906 83362 36 299 40 300 48 292 45 308 45 310 83362 78767 43 308 39 310 34 296 42 305 45 310 78767 74849 43 303 36 310 28 302 37 301 42 300 74849 71412 35 294 36 306 32 308 35 295 39 292 71412 68301 34 291 39 303 35 303 34 299 37 297 68301 65434 35 292 37 299 36 302 38 306 38 304 65434 62776 37 297 34 300 36 299 41 304 39 306 62776 60213 46 307 37 304 33 301 37 303 39 304 60213 57554 49 308 39 307 37 316 40 312 40 306 57554 54788 49 309 48 318 46 323 49 310 43 307 54788 52124 49 314 59 316 55 320 54 310 53 301 52124 49703 54 320 62 312 61 314 58 306 54 302 49703 47505 57 319 61 310 61 308 57 306 55 301 47505 45494 57 318 58 309 58 309 54 307 54 294 45494 43661 61 321 55 304 58 307 52 298 55 287 43661 41990 60 324 47 314 51 305 53 288 57 281 41990 40457 61 334 53 338 46 318 49 286 53 277 40457 39038 66 341 65 344 50 336 35 309 48 271 39038 37706 73 343 68 344 55 339 31 329 35 266 37706 36422 73 344 60 346 52 339 31 319 23 290 36422 35127 70 344 50 343 43 341 31 304 21 302 35127 33792 66 345 47 336 35 340 35 303 22 300 33792 32420 65 347 46 332 32 321 41 306 23 302 32420 30997 62 351 47 331 37 311 44 308 31 289 30997 29512 56 352 46 332 42 311 44 310 33 279 29512 27967 48 345 45 329 44 312 43 312 34 282 27967 26366 45 330 45 324 43 314 42 312 34 290 26366 24715 48 322 45 321 40 318 42 310 36 297 24715 23019 47 323 45 322 35 319 39 310 35 303 23019 21272 41 327 42 328 32 322 35 314 30 305 21272 19467 36 326 38 333 31 329 30 321 21 307 19467 17638 31 318 34 335 28 331 26 324 17 316 17638 15877 27 307 29 333 26 329 22 324 15 325 15877 14274 21 303 23 326 22 328 19 325 13 331 14274 12848 17 306 18 317 19 330 15 323 9 329 12848 11577 14 315 14 314 15 336 11 319 6 316 11577 10441 10 330 10 317 11 348 6 319 3 287 10441 9426 6 354 5 330 7 012 1 038 4 187 9426 8519 5 022 3 047 5*056 3 128 8 176 8519 7713 4 045 6 090 4*073 3 137 7 179 7713 6991 5 060 6 096 3 081 3 154 6 181 6991 6338 4 070 5*086 1 090 2*183 6 167 6338 5755 4 106 2*064 1 176 3*201 6 143 5755 5265 7 090 2 313 1 190 3 203 7 111 5265 4886 10 072 3 276 2 196 3 203 9 087 4886 4623 12 052 3 267 2 196 3 200 10 062 4623 4464 10*040 4 264 2 199 3 200 9*053 4464 4372 7*028 3 261 2 199 2 199 7*046 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography