DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.4 - - 88.2 - - 94.9 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 472 - - 535 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 943 - - 5113 - - 9284 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 8553 - - 11990 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5771 - - 9941 - - 14112 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1598 - - 3288 - - 3786 - - - - - 7915 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 558 - - 710 - - - - - 6 W* B/S 13 - - 22 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 208 - - 191 - - - - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 13 - - 21 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3416 - - -1176 - - 743 - - - - - -4346 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9187 - - 11118 - - 13369 - - - - - 8722 sfcLCL ODpotential -7177 - - -3072 - - -1250 - - - - - -7543 ODpotential blCL 12948 - - 13013 - - 15362 - - - - - 11919 blCL maxRH 66 - - 66 - - 78 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 370 - - 480 - - - - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m 79.4 - - 88.2 - - 94.9 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.2 - - 54.3 - - 50.9 - - - - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.5 - - 86.3 - - 92.8 - - - - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.0 - - 54.2 - - 50.8 - - - - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 472 - - 535 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 943 - - 5113 - - 9284 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - - - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 53 110 52 117 36 104 44 089 99164 91674 43 104 48 097 45 106 38 103 91674 85940 40 105 40 091 45 107 32 102 85940 81186 39 095 34 105 37 108 29 096 81186 77074 37 092 31 106 29 104 33 093 77074 73450 28 101 22 102 21 107 32 095 73450 70196 21 116 18 113 19 107 25 095 70196 67220 25 130 23 122 25 113 19 107 67220 64477 27 122 29 118 29 123 16 126 64477 61845 24 112 25 127 28 133 18 131 61845 59128 16 139 20 156 20 152 20 116 59128 56329 27 155 31 163 24 174 18 132 56329 53666 33 150 41 155 33 168 23 164 53666 51266 32 151 42 147 40 155 29 166 51266 49103 30 160 37 144 42 149 32 163 49103 47126 32 165 28 156 37 142 30 167 47126 45302 24 171 14 167 29 142 28 169 45302 43604 16 183 11 199 13 124 25 165 43604 42014 16 167 9 197 4 159 16 156 42014 40519 22 162 12 167 8 185 7 114 40519 39111 24 155 15 166 11 196 4 057 39111 37757 19 141 16 173 12 205 3 305 37757 36390 16 129 14 176 10 212 5 262 36390 34981 15 128 10 170 6 230 5 233 34981 33537 13 126 9 157 6 206 2 210 33537 32044 8 125 9 125 6 148 3 054 32044 30494 7 149 9 111 8 096 4 026 30494 28889 8 171 4 116 7 080 4 039 28889 27232 8 176 3 146 5 081 5 061 27232 25526 10 167 8 130 7 116 6 068 25526 23777 11 134 14 123 11 121 12 087 23777 21976 16 128 18 130 13 132 12 100 21976 20119 24 138 20 129 12 133 13 115 20119 18239 27 140 20 131 12 114 15 108 18239 16437 24 141 17 141 14 104 15 092 16437 14796 19 139 14 148 13*115 10 085 14796 13326 13 139 9 144 8*134 4 072 13326 12008 11 143 7 146 6 169 2 306 12008 10823 8 131 6*177 6 195 4 284 10823 9757 6 111 5*200 7 200 5 288 9757 8799 4 100 5 212 8 201 6 294 8799 7943 2 068 4 215 8 200 8 297 7943 7177 1 010 4 214 8 199 9 298 7177 6482 1 296 4 210 9 199 10 300 6482 5859 2*258 5 207 9 198 10 302 5859 5334 2*240 5 204 9 197 9 308 5334 4928 3 229 5 202 9 196 7 318 4928 4646 3 224 5 200 9 195 6 333 4646 4474 3 220 5 199 8 195 4*350 4474 4375 3 219 5 198 8 196 3*360 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography