DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0704z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 56.2 - - 61.2 - - 64.9 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 83 - - 148 - - 72 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1069 - - 4368 - - 6396 - - 6990 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 7281 - - 9097 - - 8871 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 5897 - - 9196 - - 11224 - - 11818 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2974 - - 3121 - - 1337 - - 1481 - - 6693 Hgt.Variab. W* 133 - - 329 - - 436 - - 341 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 268 - - 268 - - 265 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 14 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 25 - - 17 - - 12 - - 18 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1524 - - 3322 - - 2355 - - 366 - - -6015 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4373 - - 5874 - - 8869 - - 11453 - - 10390 sfcLCL ODpotential -563 - - 908 - - -1102 - - -3626 - - -11527 ODpotential blCL 6460 - - 8288 - - 12326 - - 15444 - - 15901 blCL maxRH 95 - - 85 - - 63 - - 58 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 310 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 56.2 - - 61.2 - - 64.9 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 45.4 - - 37.3 - - 29.7 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 56.7 - - 61.3 - - 65.4 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.9 - - 44.2 - - 36.2 - - 28.6 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 83 - - 148 - - 72 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1069 - - 4368 - - 6396 - - 6990 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96690 34 278 42 266 39 269 36 260 50 273 96690 89460 26 276 27 273 28 271 24 274 30 294 89460 83923 21 293 22 280 21 271 23 287 22 313 83923 79318 23 286 21 296 14 262 19 286 19 311 79318 75369 17 298 14 290 9 274 9 293 15 332 75369 71884 20 315 9 355 12 278 9 297 13 329 71884 68726 26 294 15 348 7 271 10 250 14 278 68726 65807 28 277 26 254 4 351 3 238 7 233 65807 63079 34 264 31 266 25 265 25 286 32 288 63079 60435 40 266 36 280 42 272 38 273 39 268 60435 57657 49 270 42 277 45 276 43 276 35 269 57657 54752 50 272 41 276 46 282 51 286 45 286 54752 51988 51 279 47 275 54 285 60 282 52 281 51988 49502 59 283 55 273 61 280 61 273 49 278 49502 47272 74 277 63 274 64 273 63 286 56 296 47272 45268 83 269 73 275 67 277 68 287 70 295 45268 43454 93 265 85 274 79 281 57 282 78 285 43454 41781 112 267 93 272 81 274 53 290 64 290 41781 40229 131 267 96 269 71 268 73 301 68 300 40229 38792 136 266 97 267 65 284 84 298 67 300 38792 37447 137 266 95 266 80 292 81 296 60 301 37447 36155 137 266 94 267 93 291 75 299 59 305 36155 34850 137 268 98 269 95 286 71 303 61 306 34850 33508 137 270 102 270 88 283 70 306 64 305 33508 32133 127 272 100 267 79 283 70 306 67 302 32133 30714 103 265 97 263 74 286 69 305 67 300 30714 29240 96 252 91 261 70 289 68 302 66 300 29240 27714 101 247 83 262 66 290 67 301 62 302 27714 26136 99 252 72 265 62 292 65 303 57 304 26136 24509 84 260 64 268 59 292 60 305 51 306 24509 22836 70 262 63 275 58 289 54 305 46 305 22836 21110 63 260 63 282 56 285 49 302 42 300 21110 19328 60 259 61 285 54 284 46 298 42 294 19328 17524 57 260 56 284 49 283 42 293 40 289 17524 15793 50 262 45 280 43 281 38 287 36 284 15793 14222 41 264 35 277 36 280 31 282 30 276 14222 12824 37 265 31 275 29 278 22*274 22 264 12824 11577 36 267 29 272 21*273 16*263 16 247 11577 10458 36 269 27 272 18*269 16 264 14 239 10458 9453 36 269 25*272 18 268 15 265 13 242 9453 8549 33 266 23*271 17 267 15 265 14 247 8549 7741 27 263 22 271 17 267 15 266 15 251 7741 7018 22 260 19 269 17 267 15 265 16 254 7018 6362 17*257 16 267 16 268 14 265 17 255 6362 5774 16*258 15 266 16 268 14 265 17 255 5774 5279 12 254 14 265 15 268 14 265 16 255 5279 4895 9 248 13 265 15 268 13 264 14 255 4895 4629 7 242 12 265 14 268 12 264 11 254 4629 4466 6 241 11 265 13 268 12 263 8*252 4466 4373 5 239 9 265 11 268 10 263 5*250 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography