DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 96.9 - - - - - 89.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 391 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1888 - - 7542 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5886 - - 10431 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6716 - - 12370 - - - - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2174 - - 6753 - - - - - 8853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 600 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 31 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 276 - - - - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 15 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -13 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2706 - - -2107 - - - - - -7809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9422 - - 14477 - - - - - 12187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6422 - - -3938 - - - - - -11024 ODpotential blCL - - - 13138 - - 16308 - - - - - 15401 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 71 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 1390 - - 540 - - - - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 96.9 - - - - - 89.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 48.2 - - - - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 95.4 - - - - - 94.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 47.7 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 391 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1888 - - 7542 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99302 35 102 32 110 35 095 99302 91797 35 106 36 102 34 098 91797 86016 38 108 35 106 29 100 86016 81231 37 101 34 105 23 108 81231 77114 29 091 30 104 31 097 77114 73483 23 098 25 103 30 090 73483 70209 19 105 20 104 24 081 70209 67216 15 118 18 111 18 086 67216 64456 17 123 16 117 13 102 64456 61795 15 126 17 116 9 126 61795 59046 14 112 8 131 8 109 59046 56223 9 118 7 154 7 079 56223 53552 11 137 10 162 1 014 53552 51161 11 079 13 118 8 256 51161 49021 12 044 11 061 4 123 49021 47072 11 015 12 008 11 045 47072 45271 12 358 14 002 18 021 45271 43589 14 356 15 002 24 002 43589 42007 15 349 19 001 26 002 42007 40513 16 339 22 354 22 012 40513 39106 17 326 23 349 19 018 39106 37751 20 323 21 345 17 021 37751 36386 20 325 18 354 14 033 36386 34986 14 337 15 007 12 051 34986 33551 13 359 13 016 9 057 33551 32068 13 005 12 028 7 057 32068 30526 13 027 12 052 7 065 30526 28929 12 036 11 057 7 089 28929 27281 8 054 9 069 10 108 27281 25590 9 071 9 102 9 113 25590 23856 9 097 13 110 11 113 23856 22074 11 134 11 117 13 091 22074 20232 16 143 14 135 12 090 20232 18359 17 144 14 126 13 084 18359 16552 13 131 13 118 15 073 16552 14899 11 112 13 101 14 070 14899 13418 10 100 13*088 12 065 13418 12087 8 103 9*082 8 050 12087 10889 6 116 2 067 4 016 10889 9811 3 141 2 290 5 315 9811 8844 2 189 5 275 7 300 8844 7979 3 248 6 275 9 296 7979 7205 4*277 7 271 10 295 7205 6502 5*284 7 270 11 295 6502 5874 5 278 7 270 11 294 5874 5344 5 264 7 268 11 293 5344 4933 5 260 7 268 10 292 4933 4649 5 256 7 267 8 291 4649 4475 5 253 7 267 6*288 4475 4376 5 253 6 266 4*289 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography