DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 49.8 - - 50.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 3 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2592 - - 2968 - - 4647 - - 389 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5537 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7420 - - 7796 - - 9475 - - 5217 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2921 - - 2891 - - 2837 - - 4694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 110 - - 62 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 228 - - 231 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 26 - - 65 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1358 - - 2067 - - 2976 - - 116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6062 - - 5730 - - 6499 - - 5101 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1817 - - -490 - - 493 - - -2440 ODpotential blCL - - - 9237 - - 8286 - - 8982 - - 7657 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 90 - - 80 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 49.8 - - 50.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 39.8 - - 37.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 51.1 - - 53.3 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 38.6 - - 36.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 3 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2592 - - 2968 - - 4647 - - 389 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - 98 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 16 290 20 287 22 286 23 292 96175 89131 5 271 23 318 14 318 10 349 89131 83689 8 302 21 312 15 304 19 321 83689 79154 13 005 15 322 5 340 13 318 79154 75237 25 303 24 329 23 338 15 310 75237 71784 19 267 23 276 18 306 17 299 71784 68647 9 315 10 263 19 302 10 316 68647 65717 24 280 27 262 28 283 23 276 65717 62964 37 246 37 244 35 246 33 259 62964 60280 38 250 37 245 40 237 40 249 60280 57466 46 257 42 252 41 241 44 248 57466 54554 59 249 53 247 50 252 50 252 54554 51793 66 243 62 242 64 249 59 246 51793 49313 68 240 65 242 69 245 68 245 49313 47087 70 239 70 243 73 246 73 247 47087 45066 74 241 76 244 78 247 77 246 45066 43213 85 244 85 245 84 250 77 245 43213 41502 98 241 97 243 91 250 77 251 41502 39916 105 237 104 238 96 246 87 258 39916 38450 103 230 104 235 97 243 106 254 38450 37096 101 230 103 235 106 247 124 252 37096 35808 99 232 103 237 116 250 138 253 35808 34509 97 232 105 241 120 249 132 254 34509 33171 100 234 108 243 122 249 127 256 33171 31800 103 238 108 243 114 249 124 258 31800 30385 100 240 102 243 101 247 109 254 30385 28918 91 238 92 242 94 245 97 247 28918 27400 86 237 87 242 90 243 95 244 27400 25829 79 237 85 242 87 244 92 244 25829 24207 74 237 83 241 84 245 87 245 24207 22542 71 235 81 240 79 245 77 246 22542 20832 69 235 77 240 72 244 67 247 20832 19070 67 236 70 240 64 244 57 250 19070 17289 64 239 60 241 52 247 47 252 17289 15583 58 241 49 243 39 249 37 253 15583 14034 48 240 39 244 26 248 28 251 14034 12657 36 235 28 239 15 238 19 244 12657 11430 29 227 21 231 13 234 11 221 11430 10331 25 225 19 228 12*234 10 208 10331 9343 23 226 16 226 11*236 10 216 9343 8457 19 226 13*229 11 235 9 244 8457 7665 16*221 10*231 10 234 10 279 7665 6957 13*212 8 233 9 232 12 295 6957 6315 10 199 6 230 9 232 13 303 6315 5741 8 186 5 226 8 229 14 302 5741 5257 6 173 3 220 7 226 14*298 5257 4882 5 167 2 212 6 220 11*296 4882 4622 5 164 2 205 5 211 8 296 4622 4464 4 162 1 203 4 202 6 295 4464 4373 4 162 1 207 3 195 2 291 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography