DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 96.2 - - - - - 87.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 424 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8699 - - 13423 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11293 - - 15275 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13527 - - 18251 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4679 - - 1601 - - - - - 12570 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 744 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 227 - - - - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -15 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1097 - - 2795 - - - - - -8989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12431 - - 15456 - - - - - 13366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1910 - - 1946 - - - - - -11625 ODpotential blCL - - - 15437 - - 16305 - - - - - 16001 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 87 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 820 - - 300 - - - - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 96.2 - - - - - 87.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 43.0 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.5 - - 94.5 - - - - - 91.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 42.8 - - - - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 424 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8699 - - 13423 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 50 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99108 29 107 23 110 18 115 99108 91693 20 116 23 117 21 084 91693 85945 22 107 22 100 21 091 85945 81156 24 101 21 098 21 104 81156 77050 18 098 21 106 19 107 77050 73438 12 093 19 105 18 106 73438 70161 11 097 15 104 13 092 70161 67142 9 121 10 103 11 083 67142 64355 10 136 7 116 14 067 64355 61677 10 159 8 141 4 011 61677 58913 14 170 14 182 5 198 58913 56075 14 201 19 204 15 239 56075 53396 20 216 25 222 27 233 53396 51002 25 219 31 228 27 244 51002 48857 36 233 36 231 30 257 48857 46897 46 233 40 229 35 264 46897 45088 53 229 39 229 35 261 45088 43403 50 230 36 231 31 258 43403 41824 40 230 31 231 28 250 41824 40339 42 224 30 228 29 243 40339 38941 43 225 32 229 28 243 38941 37598 37 233 29 233 24 247 37598 36241 29 239 23 237 20 250 36241 34845 28 228 22 231 17 251 34845 33414 28 216 24 225 16 248 33414 31934 26 216 24 230 18 248 31934 30397 23 222 24 232 17 246 30397 28808 21 222 24 233 16 231 28808 27170 18 226 19 239 15 226 27170 25482 13 235 13 247 14 238 25482 23749 9 242 8 275 12 243 23749 21964 11 228 9 249 13 214 21964 20123 20 221 13*209 18 183 20123 18257 23 220 13*206 15 178 18257 16462 18 222 10 214 8 173 16462 14822 13*229 8 224 3 124 14822 13353 12*227 8 228 2 030 13353 12033 11 210 8 231 3 347 12033 10845 10 179 8 233 5 322 10845 9775 11 159 8 234 6 313 9775 8814 10 155 7 236 8 308 8814 7954 9 154 7 237 9 306 7954 7185 7 157 7 237 10 306 7185 6487 6 165 7 236 11 305 6487 5863 6 174 7 235 11 305 5863 5336 6 179 7 235 11 303 5336 4929 6 181 7 235 10 301 4929 4646 7 183 7 234 8 297 4646 4474 6 185 7 235 7*293 4474 4375 6 186 6 234 5*293 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography