DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 88.7 - - 90.6 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 194 - - 167 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6523 - - 6823 - - 7287 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9622 - - 9577 - - 9754 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11351 - - 11651 - - 12115 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4282 - - 3390 - - 4457 - - 7262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 576 - - 484 - - 449 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 291 - - 303 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 18 - - 5 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 268 - - 1583 - - 541 - - -4405 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11084 - - 10068 - - 11575 - - 8781 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1530 - - -804 - - -1127 - - -7555 ODpotential blCL - - - 12881 - - 12455 - - 13242 - - 11931 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 90 - - 67 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 1050 - - 1770 - - 1120 - - 1000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 88.7 - - 90.6 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 59.3 - - 54.6 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.7 - - 88.3 - - 90.2 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 58.0 - - 54.2 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 194 - - 167 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6523 - - 6823 - - 7287 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 60 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99211 36 114 29 115 27 096 33 089 99211 91729 35 107 34 112 26 095 29 089 91729 85960 34 097 35 107 27 103 25 089 85960 81180 26 090 30 096 28 107 24 088 81180 77065 21 092 19 080 24 097 23 095 77065 73432 18 103 14 074 21 083 18 090 73432 70157 15 112 12 092 17 079 16 095 70157 67157 14 093 8 105 10 085 12 101 67157 64379 11 062 3 165 3 054 6 092 64379 61698 4 037 5 159 5 254 3 286 61698 58926 4 241 2 240 7 261 6 270 58926 56079 6 267 6 286 7 269 5 237 56079 53384 10 244 10 228 11 263 5 264 53384 50974 14 192 18 171 17 230 10 262 50974 48824 10 147 12 162 13 199 9 238 48824 46876 4 066 5 125 8 167 10 206 46876 45081 2 126 5 137 4 140 7 223 45081 43405 11 128 6 139 4 136 7 202 43405 41829 11 125 11 115 15 127 12 178 41829 40343 8 154 13 109 19 113 16 156 40343 38941 12 172 10 142 12 110 13 134 38941 37591 14 187 15 181 8 138 8 120 37591 36231 14 186 19 181 14 154 9 111 36231 34833 16 178 21 176 17 152 12 142 34833 33402 18 167 22 166 20 165 19 168 33402 31922 21 161 24 166 23 168 24 168 31922 30384 21 163 23 166 22 170 21 174 30384 28789 21 158 20 162 18 170 18 175 28789 27142 22 147 20 157 17 162 17 166 27142 25445 23 147 19 153 18 152 22 157 25445 23703 22 153 18 151 18 148 27 155 23703 21910 21 164 15 146 17 147 26 157 21910 20062 17 170 13 147 15 147 23 159 20062 18192 9 140 13 150 14 144 20 157 18192 16397 7 067 13 135 12 128 17 155 16397 14760 8 075 9 110 11 112 10 156 14760 13295 8 051 5 065 9*098 5 178 13295 11981 9*016 4*350 4*061 5 226 11981 10799 8*344 5*318 4 334 6 258 10799 9735 7 312 7 305 5 324 9 287 9735 8781 7 292 9 291 6 313 10 304 8781 7927 7 284 9 291 8 298 10 317 7927 7164 6 267 10 288 9 294 12 330 7164 6471 6 259 10 287 9 292 14 338 6471 5852 6 250 10 286 9 289 14 340 5852 5329 5 243 10 285 9 288 13 341 5329 4925 5 236 10 285 9 287 11 342 4925 4644 5 233 10 284 9 287 9 340 4644 4473 5 232 10 284 9 286 7*338 4473 4375 5 230 8 283 8 285 4*337 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography