DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 74.1 - - 74.2 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 65 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1721 - - 1713 - - 1746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4358 - - 4358 - - 4358 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6549 - - 6541 - - 6574 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1845 - - 3005 - - 2728 - - 1902 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 225 - - 88 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 21 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 156 - - 089 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - 5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -645 - - -351 - - -612 - - -1761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7194 - - 6892 - - 7186 - - 6137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6232 - - -4139 - - -5323 - - -7877 ODpotential blCL - - - 12781 - - 10680 - - 11897 - - 12252 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 61 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 760 - - 710 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 74.1 - - 74.2 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 58.4 - - 57.3 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 74.5 - - 75.5 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 57.1 - - 56.3 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 65 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1721 - - 1713 - - 1746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97959 10 233 17 235 17 253 22 302 97959 90670 10 302 3 255 6 246 8 320 90670 85046 5 245 2 271 7 297 4 335 85046 80363 10 199 4 270 6 337 3 309 80363 76330 8 174 4 305 2 046 6 333 76330 72800 2 202 3 327 2 040 5 001 72800 69631 4 294 4 235 7 319 7 008 69631 66720 3 275 6 239 8 311 8 356 66720 64019 4 254 8 233 8 279 6 320 64019 61414 6 323 6 235 8 265 10 293 61414 58711 15 310 10 299 10 284 13 273 58711 55914 24 306 19 297 21 297 20 300 55914 53248 33 301 28 301 27 300 30 303 53248 50838 39 301 37 302 36 306 36 306 50838 48662 42 302 41 302 41 307 42 310 48662 46673 42 304 40 307 41 306 46 311 46673 44834 42 308 41 312 41 309 49 312 44834 43122 41 311 40 315 42 313 50 316 43122 41521 40 312 38 316 39 316 48 321 41521 40018 39 311 36 319 34 321 39 322 40018 38610 34 315 36 325 30 328 26 335 38610 37265 35 326 36 334 26 344 16 357 37265 35919 33 332 30 339 19 355 8 015 35919 34537 29 339 24 356 13 015 9 044 34537 33118 27 348 21 010 16 037 14 048 33118 31652 24 355 21 016 18 046 16 055 31652 30128 21 007 21 016 18 054 15 062 30128 28548 22 012 20 021 18 057 16 068 28548 26913 22 015 19 035 17 058 17 069 26913 25226 20 022 16 046 16 057 18 067 25226 23490 18 031 14 047 15 057 18 066 23490 21700 19 039 13 037 16 059 19 064 21700 19855 20 041 15 032 18 056 22 066 19855 17989 20 041 18 033 21 049 23 065 17989 16200 19 040 20 035 23 044 22 059 16200 14575 18 040 21 035 23 041 20 056 14575 13125 18 044 21 038 22 042 17 057 13125 11827 19 051 21 043 20 043 16 062 11827 10662 21 058 20 045 18 042 16 067 10662 9616 22 063 18 047 16 041 16 071 9616 8678 23 065 16 048 15 042 17 074 8678 7841 21 064 13 053 13 048 17 076 7841 7093 18*063 10*059 11*056 18 076 7093 6416 13*062 6*067 9*066 19 075 6416 5811 8 065 2 100 7 077 18 072 5811 5302 4 070 3 185 5 094 15 067 5302 4908 2 093 3 194 3 134 10 061 4908 4636 1 114 4 197 2 151 5 055 4636 4470 1 123 4 199 2 159 2*050 4470 4374 1 132 4 199 2 162 1*277 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography