DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 68.9 - - 76.0 - - 75.0 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 257 - - 327 - - 65 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4683 - - 8567 - - 8537 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 7982 - - 11162 - - 9820 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 9511 - - 13395 - - 13365 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 997 - - 1757 - - 1566 - - 1580 - - 715 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 445 - - 589 - - 346 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 015 - - 014 - - 003 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 14 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 32 - - 26 - - 18 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2647 - - -4712 - - -3590 - - -3750 - - -9922 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7022 - - 14224 - - 16986 - - 17116 - - 14297 sfcLCL ODpotential -9910 - - -10753 - - -8589 - - -8821 - - -16995 ODpotential blCL 14284 - - 20264 - - 21984 - - 22186 - - 21369 blCL maxRH 50 - - 37 - - 33 - - 30 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 68.9 - - 76.0 - - 75.0 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 21.8 - - 15.9 - - 14.5 - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 68.3 - - 74.9 - - 75.3 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 20.9 - - 14.9 - - 13.7 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 257 - - 327 - - 65 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4683 - - 8567 - - 8537 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 8 316 28 300 27 279 20 280 33 284 96622 89367 7 293 12 286 15 250 19 268 17 298 89367 83857 13 274 12 279 14 269 21 276 20 296 83857 79302 17 275 13 266 20 293 19 280 13 286 79302 75347 26 278 16 261 25 281 25 289 22 302 75347 71851 24 278 20 260 30 271 32 283 31 302 71851 68705 25 287 23 281 26 278 32 285 30 294 68705 65817 36 291 26 298 23 290 31 281 30 300 65817 63130 43 285 32 296 25 293 28 279 32 301 63130 60514 42 281 36 286 32 293 29 286 30 296 60514 57776 38 281 40 283 39 292 37 296 31 295 57776 54929 38 288 42 286 42 291 41 296 37 296 54929 52209 44 294 42 287 42 286 44 296 42 295 52209 49767 49 292 40 288 40 286 44 297 44 294 49767 47592 41 284 39 293 39 290 40 295 40 291 47592 45636 33 290 39 295 42 295 36 296 33 293 45636 43860 40 306 41 297 45 295 39 292 31 299 43860 42228 49 309 46 298 46 292 45 290 34 303 42228 40711 52 309 49 296 45 292 48 288 38 302 40711 39286 52 308 50 294 44 299 48 290 39 301 39286 37943 51 308 49 293 46 304 49 291 40 301 37943 36650 50 309 46 293 48 305 51 292 41 302 36650 35344 49 311 42 296 47 303 52 292 44 300 35344 34000 47 312 40 304 45 298 53 291 47 298 34000 32620 46 314 40 310 44 297 53 291 49 296 32620 31192 46 316 41 315 45 303 52 294 50 297 31192 29704 46 316 41 316 50 311 52 301 50 301 29704 28160 46 315 40 315 51 315 55 309 47 307 28160 26561 43 316 38 313 46 315 51 314 40 313 26561 24911 40 320 36 313 41 309 41 317 34 321 24911 23212 37 327 35 318 39 308 34 320 34 327 23212 21460 33 334 34 330 37 316 32 326 33 331 21460 19648 31 344 32 341 33 324 29 329 32 335 19648 17810 31 355 31 349 29 333 27 334 31 341 17810 16045 31 001 30 355 28 342 27 342 31 346 16045 14438 30 002 30 359 25*351 23*352 28 349 14438 13005 30 360 29 003 17*003 14*005 21 352 13005 11725 30 356 27 007 11 014 9 012 10 359 11725 10578 30 352 24*010 10 016 9 010 5 026 10578 9546 30 350 20*013 10 017 9 008 6 045 9546 8621 30 350 17 016 9 017 9 004 9 042 8621 7796 29 352 15 017 9 016 9 002 11 038 7796 7057 27 353 14 016 8 016 9 359 13 034 7057 6389 24 353 13 015 8 016 9 357 15 031 6389 5792 20 351 11 014 8 015 9 355 16 027 5792 5289 16 347 10 012 7 015 9 354 16 024 5289 4900 11 338 9 011 7 014 9 352 15 020 4900 4631 7 324 8 010 6 013 8 352 13 014 4631 4467 5*321 7 009 6 014 8 351 10*008 4467 4373 1*318 6 008 5 013 7 351 6*004 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography