DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 89.2 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 565 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6546 - - 9101 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9744 - - 11868 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11374 - - 13929 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1874 - - 2870 - - - - - 7746 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 627 - - 720 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 210 - - - - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 45 - - - - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6805 - - -5857 - - - - - -11622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18179 - - 19787 - - - - - 15998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11529 - - -9788 - - - - - -16724 ODpotential blCL - - - 22903 - - 23717 - - - - - 21099 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 32 - - - - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 89.2 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.3 - - 15.7 - - - - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 87.1 - - - - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 15.6 - - - - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 565 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6546 - - 9101 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98648 19 120 25 142 13 084 98648 91122 19 096 24 099 13 100 91122 85380 24 098 21 100 17 097 85380 80681 23 090 21 111 16 081 80681 76633 19 111 16 109 14 089 76633 73031 18 119 18 088 16 111 73031 69774 13 148 8 136 11 115 69774 66786 15 141 12 162 9 079 66786 64025 12 184 13 191 5 225 64025 61378 9 162 15 183 5 241 61378 58635 7 200 17 193 23 230 58635 55775 35 232 29 237 31 226 55775 53023 48 230 44 234 39 232 53023 50532 57 239 56 238 50 238 50532 48299 74 240 74 237 60 241 48299 46277 82 237 79 235 64 240 46277 44425 80 235 70 236 69 239 44425 42712 70 233 65 237 71 234 42712 41122 59 236 63 236 59 231 41122 39646 53 242 54 234 35 237 39646 38273 48 244 39 238 23 248 38273 36961 41 244 33 244 15 265 36961 35640 34 246 28 246 12 275 35640 34278 27 249 23 243 10 287 34278 32879 22 249 20 242 10 297 32879 31430 19 245 19 248 15 271 31430 29924 20 243 19 247 23 248 29924 28366 23 241 17 242 23 247 28366 26755 27 237 19 233 26 237 26755 25094 30 234 27 229 34 222 25094 23389 32 231 32 228 37 219 23389 21629 33 230 33 228 33 221 21629 19809 34 226 33 224 29 220 19809 17964 36 219 33 221 28 217 17964 16190 36 217 32 219 29 214 16190 14575 32 217 30*219 28 214 14575 13132 26 216 26*218 25 212 13132 11841 22*214 22 216 20 209 11841 10682 17*204 21 213 17 207 10682 9638 16 198 21 212 16 209 9638 8702 15 196 21 210 16 210 8702 7866 15 194 21 209 17 210 7866 7116 15 192 20 207 17 210 7116 6436 14 191 20 206 17 209 6436 5827 14 190 20 205 17 209 5827 5313 14 189 20 204 17 208 5313 4915 13 189 19 203 15 205 4915 4639 13 188 18 203 13 201 4639 4471 12 189 18 203 10*197 4471 4374 11 188 15 203 5*191 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography