DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 79.1 - - 75.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 342 - - 157 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11062 - - 9148 - - 5556 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13183 - - 11652 - - 8391 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15890 - - 13976 - - 10384 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3752 - - 4441 - - 5633 - - 4541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 643 - - 610 - - 401 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 218 - - 307 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -38 - - -18 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3501 - - 1591 - - -1882 - - -4286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12389 - - 12385 - - 12267 - - 8662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2080 - - 284 - - -3724 - - -7040 ODpotential blCL - - - 13810 - - 13692 - - 14108 - - 11415 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 99 - - 90 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 770 - - 700 - - 80 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 79.1 - - 75.3 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 39.5 - - 36.5 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 78.1 - - 75.1 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 342 - - 157 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11062 - - 9148 - - 5556 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 94 - - 59 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98409 20 099 21 111 9 141 9 049 98409 90931 11 127 8 082 13 092 18 086 90931 85193 11 117 7 113 18 081 25 101 85193 80463 12 097 10 086 18 090 17 103 80463 76409 5 072 12 094 14 066 17 099 76409 72812 6 134 6 076 12 074 13 063 72812 69531 13 146 3 153 2 127 7 061 69531 66501 7 162 5 217 5 249 2 296 66501 63696 8 227 10 229 9 240 9 277 63696 60983 11 236 14 238 12 254 14 275 60983 58148 13 252 17 244 17 260 19 266 58148 55206 18 273 16 258 21 258 24 259 55206 52409 22 275 22 266 26 265 24 266 52409 49902 23 268 27 267 30 267 26 275 49902 47656 23 266 28 267 29 263 26 277 47656 45621 22 268 27 264 25 263 25 276 45621 43763 22 269 23 263 21 267 24 275 43763 42056 22 265 19 267 19 272 22 274 42056 40476 20 264 17 275 17 271 22 273 40476 39006 19 254 20 270 18 284 22 280 39006 37633 15 244 18 249 22 291 25 298 37633 36321 14 248 9 206 22 293 28 307 36321 35010 13 177 11 179 14 277 21 309 35010 33671 10 144 21 151 3 210 13 316 33671 32305 12 170 28 132 10 133 6 356 32305 30893 20 170 24 128 10 104 6 027 30893 29425 22 168 18 131 10 065 8 014 29425 27900 16 170 13 141 13 055 8 010 27900 26321 11 170 10 155 10 043 7 352 26321 24691 11 166 8 158 6 013 7 332 24691 23014 12 161 9 146 3 344 6 334 23014 21287 10 155 9 129 4 270 7 336 21287 19506 4 178 8 118 8 264 8 326 19506 17704 4 194 5 138 10 268 9 302 17704 15973 6*170 5 149 11 263 11 294 15973 14396 7*151 4*161 12 255 11 285 14396 12986 7 147 5*177 12 249 12 281 12986 11720 8 151 6 193 12 247 12 281 11720 10580 8 153 8 207 11*249 12 282 10580 9555 9 155 9 215 9*254 12 282 9555 8633 8 161 11 220 7 267 12 282 8633 7808 8 169 12 223 5 280 11 286 7808 7070 7 176 13 224 5 309 10 295 7070 6401 7 182 14 224 5 339 10 312 6401 5801 7 189 15 225 5 349 10 334 5801 5296 7 192 15 224 6 351 11 351 5296 4905 7 196 15 224 6 354 11 004 4905 4634 6 197 15 225 6 355 10 014 4634 4469 6 198 14 225 5 355 8*018 4469 4374 6 199 13 225 5 355 7*019 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography