DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 77.5 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4205 - - 1207 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 7165 - - 4358 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9033 - - 6035 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2602 - - 3591 - - 5787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 325 - - 138 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 200 - - 073 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 24 - - -9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2148 - - 809 - - -445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6885 - - 5227 - - 4822 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -490 - - -2223 - - -3642 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9523 - - 8258 - - 8018 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 81 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2610 - - 3280 - - 3300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 77.5 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.4 - - 68.6 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.6 - - 78.4 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.1 - - 67.4 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4205 - - 1207 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 26 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98799 11 070 9 109 5 096 98799 91375 11 155 10 120 6 109 91375 85602 15 144 10 106 8 116 85602 80820 14 129 15 125 8 119 80820 76732 17 115 13 114 10 102 76732 73132 12 110 8 095 13 104 73132 69861 5 148 1 328 8 091 69861 66854 6 187 8 233 5 314 66854 64097 4 217 10 214 10 273 64097 61458 5 231 7 235 11 257 61458 58737 7 225 9 247 12 256 58737 55946 11 247 14 252 15 260 55946 53303 16 239 18 254 19 263 53303 50931 16 235 17 253 20 249 50931 48797 15 242 18 257 19 250 48797 46847 15 249 18 253 20 264 46847 45037 18 244 20 243 22 258 45037 43346 24 237 24 244 26 251 43346 41763 25 235 28 246 35 246 41763 40275 27 238 34 248 42 242 40275 38876 28 240 39 247 45 244 38876 37530 29 242 39 249 44 247 37530 36172 26 240 35 253 40 246 36172 34773 23 234 30 247 35 244 34773 33339 23 231 27 231 31 242 33339 31858 22 233 25 230 28 242 31858 30318 20 233 22 235 24 250 30318 28725 20 227 20 239 20 256 28725 27078 20 223 19 247 18 264 27078 25384 20 221 18 250 17 266 25384 23645 21 224 18 247 17 260 23645 21855 22 228 18 240 17 248 21855 20009 21 228 18 235 19 238 20009 18139 21 226 19 237 22 236 18139 16342 21 221 22 239 23 238 16342 14705 19 216 22 236 21 237 14705 13243 17 212 20 229 17 228 13243 11937 15 208 18 220 15 216 11937 10764 14 206 16 217 14 211 10764 9708 13*204 16 215 13 212 9708 8760 12*202 14 214 12 214 8760 7913 11 201 12 213 12 216 7913 7153 11 200 9 213 11 217 7153 6463 10 199 6*210 10 218 6463 5847 10 200 1*180 7 215 5847 5326 9 200 3 071 4 205 5326 4923 9 200 3 067 1 105 4923 4643 8 201 3 065 3 051 4643 4473 8 201 3 068 4*039 4473 4375 7 201 3 065 4*034 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography