DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.6 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 60 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1739 - - 2825 - - - - - 999 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4358 - - 5878 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6567 - - 7653 - - - - - 5827 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1845 - - 2130 - - - - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 214 - - 251 - - - - - 77 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 164 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2192 - - 2215 - - - - - 1453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4375 - - 5439 - - - - - 4374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 612 - - -161 - - - - - 291 ODpotential blCL - - - 5955 - - 7814 - - - - - 5536 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1670 - - 1710 - - - - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.6 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.5 - - 66.1 - - - - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 76.1 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 65.0 - - - - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 60 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1739 - - 2825 - - - - - 999 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99312 42 121 37 115 37 084 99312 91792 43 106 34 112 30 092 91792 86017 36 097 37 107 28 098 86017 81225 24 097 37 094 33 097 81225 77116 22 102 26 090 33 095 77116 73515 22 109 17 107 27 095 73515 70263 20 116 17 118 22 084 70263 67274 24 114 20 115 16 075 67274 64512 24 106 18 114 10 092 64512 61851 22 089 19 119 8 120 61851 59092 16 091 18 114 10 139 59092 56261 13 096 13 106 16 121 56261 53594 13 090 8 114 19 101 53594 51202 12 091 7 126 17 078 51202 49046 12 082 10 101 14 060 49046 47071 12 068 12 091 13 058 47071 45244 12 050 13 080 15 067 45244 43544 10 020 11 056 16 063 43544 41955 8 347 8 031 18 059 41955 40465 8 323 9 009 21 055 40465 39062 10 313 9 014 20 033 39062 37710 10 315 10 016 19 037 37710 36343 9 321 10 359 16 030 36343 34934 8 325 12 346 14 017 34934 33485 7 326 12 332 14 006 33485 31986 3 011 6 007 13 003 31986 30428 3 035 5 036 9 020 30428 28815 6 029 9 037 10 021 28815 27148 8 047 8 047 7 041 27148 25433 8 063 3 042 6 060 25433 23674 6 088 4 101 6 058 23674 21864 4 077 7 114 4 068 21864 19999 4 074 6 103 7 072 19999 18112 3 098 4 130 6 060 18112 16300 5 111 8 120 7 036 16300 14655 7 092 11 086 6 038 14655 13191 9 069 12 069 5 041 13191 11884 8 084 9 085 4 021 11884 10711 6 100 7 095 4 343 10711 9655 3 102 5 111 4 320 9655 8709 3 086 3 133 5 313 8709 7865 3 100 3*152 5 303 7865 7112 3*116 3*158 4 295 7112 6431 4*141 3 161 4*289 6431 5823 4 160 3 163 3*289 5823 5310 6 180 3 166 3 266 5310 4914 6 183 3 168 2 248 4914 4639 6 185 3 169 2 235 4639 4471 6 187 3 171 2 231 4471 4374 5 188 3 171 2 227 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography