DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 86.9 - - 86.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 409 - - 157 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7114 - - 9915 - - 9533 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10092 - - 12376 - - 11438 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11942 - - 14743 - - 14361 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1861 - - 949 - - 1217 - - 9296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 591 - - 666 - - 479 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 215 - - 217 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 40 - - 38 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2323 - - 2485 - - 1682 - - -6580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9619 - - 12258 - - 12680 - - 10956 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 165 - - 920 - - 112 - - -9473 ODpotential blCL - - - 11777 - - 13823 - - 14249 - - 13849 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 69 - - 75 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 90 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 86.9 - - 86.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 47.9 - - 45.2 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 85.5 - - 85.9 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 47.7 - - 45.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 409 - - 157 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7114 - - 9915 - - 9533 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98933 15 111 18 125 10 099 12 098 98933 91504 16 120 18 132 11 082 17 084 91504 85755 18 118 16 120 12 101 16 088 85755 80972 19 108 16 108 17 118 13 102 80972 76866 16 102 15 108 17 111 12 116 76866 73258 13 117 16 118 18 110 16 104 73258 69994 11 085 11 090 12 106 12 089 69994 67004 3 168 5 121 8 125 9 109 67004 64242 9 110 9 130 6 233 5 312 64242 61584 9 224 6 214 4 236 5 256 61584 58818 16 228 15 235 11 256 9 281 58818 55957 23 226 35 228 36 241 34 247 55957 53279 26 236 33 230 39 234 41 233 53279 50896 32 243 34 242 37 241 40 242 50896 48749 42 244 39 248 43 248 48 249 48749 46782 50 246 48 249 49 250 54 249 46782 44963 52 248 51 248 53 250 59 248 44963 43270 49 244 50 248 55 249 60 247 43270 41685 46 239 48 245 54 247 59 246 41685 40192 45 236 49 239 54 244 58 246 40192 38787 44 235 50 235 52 243 57 246 38787 37438 43 235 47 234 52 243 57 246 37438 36082 43 235 44 235 51 243 54 246 36082 34690 43 235 44 236 48 241 51 244 34690 33262 42 236 44 236 45 238 47 243 33262 31784 40 237 42 238 42 237 42 240 31784 30246 35 235 37 240 37 238 37 236 30246 28655 28 232 32 238 32 238 31 237 28655 27010 24 233 28 237 27 236 25 235 27010 25313 22 232 24 235 25 231 23 233 25313 23568 21 233 21 232 22 230 22 231 23568 21772 21 229 20 230 20 232 22 226 21772 19921 22 221 22 225 20 233 22 224 19921 18050 22 217 24 227 20 236 21 226 18050 16258 24 222 23*229 20 234 21 230 16258 14633 26 227 20*222 17*224 20 227 14633 13186 26*223 19 219 17*221 17 218 13186 11891 25*218 19 218 17 220 16 215 11891 10725 23 215 19 217 17 220 16 216 10725 9675 21 213 19 216 17 219 16 219 9675 8732 20 210 19 215 18 217 16 222 8732 7889 19 208 19 214 18 217 17 225 7889 7135 18 205 19 213 18 216 17 226 7135 6449 17 204 18 212 18 215 17 228 6449 5836 17 203 18 211 17 215 16 229 5836 5319 16 202 18 210 17 214 15 229 5319 4919 15 201 17 210 17 214 13 228 4919 4641 15 201 17 209 16 213 10 224 4641 4472 14 200 16 209 15 213 7*221 4472 4375 12 200 14 209 13 213 4*219 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography