DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.8 - - 85.5 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - -2 - - 127 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1437 - - 5064 - - 9205 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5233 - - 6834 - - 11009 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6265 - - 9892 - - 14033 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2673 - - 4190 - - 1858 - - 8425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 257 - - 442 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 16 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 227 - - 225 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 63 - - 40 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1538 - - 2512 - - 1672 - - -5658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4727 - - 7381 - - 12362 - - 10034 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -676 - - -744 - - 7 - - -9583 ODpotential blCL - - - 6941 - - 10636 - - 14026 - - 13959 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 82 - - 76 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 1660 - - 1600 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.8 - - 85.5 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.7 - - 61.0 - - 46.2 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 80.5 - - 85.7 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 59.7 - - 45.9 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - -2 - - 127 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1437 - - 5064 - - 9205 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 28 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98872 21 112 17 111 16 123 10 075 98872 91456 22 116 15 099 17 091 20 081 91456 85746 26 104 17 096 14 088 20 082 85746 80998 24 089 16 100 13 078 20 083 80998 76915 19 082 15 099 11 082 13 088 76915 73313 13 091 14 094 13 101 14 077 73313 70059 12 081 11 102 13 092 10 073 70059 67056 5 346 3 319 3 100 7 118 67056 64282 8 235 3 307 7 090 1 035 64282 61606 15 231 19 228 8 270 4 022 61606 58814 24 252 30 231 24 243 19 239 58814 55970 36 253 38 252 32 254 33 261 55970 53298 49 242 51 246 50 252 48 257 53298 50898 57 242 57 237 58 248 59 255 50898 48738 68 248 64 240 64 247 69 250 48738 46766 73 245 74 241 72 246 73 244 46766 44940 72 241 75 237 76 242 74 244 44940 43236 72 245 73 242 77 244 74 249 43236 41641 76 252 75 247 77 249 74 254 41641 40143 78 255 76 247 80 252 75 256 40143 38733 76 254 74 244 80 253 73 256 38733 37380 72 247 71 241 79 251 66 254 37380 36020 69 240 70 241 76 247 61 254 36020 34626 67 238 69 243 72 244 60 255 34626 33200 66 239 66 245 68 243 60 253 33200 31728 63 241 63 246 64 245 58 250 31728 30199 60 242 60 245 58 246 52 249 30199 28616 57 242 57 243 53 245 45 248 28616 26979 53 240 54 241 53 244 40 247 26979 25289 50 240 50 242 51 247 39 249 25289 23550 43 243 43 244 45 250 38 254 23550 21758 34 243 37 245 38 251 35 257 21758 19911 29 241 31 244 32 251 31 256 19911 18046 28 238 26 239 27 249 27 252 18046 16259 28 234 24 235 23 244 25 248 16259 14636 28 231 24 234 20*234 22 238 14636 13189 29 230 24 232 18*226 20 224 13189 11891 31 230 23 231 18 226 20 219 11891 10724 30 229 22*230 18 226 19 222 10724 9674 27 225 21*229 18 226 19 227 9674 8731 22 218 20 228 18 226 19 231 8731 7888 17 209 20 227 18 225 19 233 7888 7133 13 204 18 226 18 225 19 235 7133 6448 12*207 17 225 18 225 19 235 6448 5835 11*214 15 225 17 225 19 236 5835 5319 8 215 12 226 17 224 17 236 5319 4918 6 215 10 227 17 224 15 235 4918 4641 5 214 9 228 16 224 11 233 4641 4472 5 216 8 228 15 224 8*232 4472 4375 4 218 7 229 12 224 4*234 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography