DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 73.6 - - - - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 508 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6615 - - 9918 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9756 - - 12491 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11443 - - 14746 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1944 - - 1484 - - - - - 8961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 607 - - 716 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 266 - - - - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -10 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4163 - - -2464 - - - - - -10451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15606 - - 17211 - - - - - 14826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9099 - - -6708 - - - - - -15846 ODpotential blCL - - - 20542 - - 21454 - - - - - 20220 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 71 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 73.6 - - - - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.1 - - 11.9 - - - - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 71.8 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 11.5 - - - - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 508 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6615 - - 9918 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97514 26 265 30 288 24 302 97514 90135 26 279 31 284 35 296 90135 84500 21 290 22 277 27 301 84500 79824 21 308 14 301 20 303 79824 75790 18 294 22 298 16 309 75790 72232 12 277 20 289 16 314 72232 69002 10 288 11 277 17 299 69002 66016 12 259 15 264 23 285 66016 63243 16 270 19 267 27 274 63243 60558 19 279 22 265 24 270 60558 57759 31 282 33 264 38 279 57759 54856 39 270 41 260 46 270 54856 52077 49 272 50 269 48 272 52077 49570 60 268 62 271 55 279 49570 47332 62 268 71 271 66 279 47332 45311 76 278 77 271 74 275 45311 43467 97 273 81 270 76 272 43467 41777 97 271 84 269 77 274 41777 40222 98 276 82 269 78 276 40222 38778 113 278 77 272 78 275 38778 37427 119 278 76 274 77 275 37427 36129 115 277 75 274 74 278 36129 34821 110 275 73 273 70 280 34821 33476 102 273 74 274 65 281 33476 32100 85 273 74 275 61 282 32100 30678 74 275 70 276 60 285 30678 29201 75 276 67 277 60 286 29201 27673 73 277 66 276 58 285 27673 26095 71 277 64 277 56 283 26095 24471 68 278 62 280 53 282 24471 22803 66 279 59 283 51 280 22803 21086 61 280 54 284 48 279 21086 19315 53 281 46 284 43 278 19315 17527 43 280 38 280 31 275 17527 15814 35 279 29*272 18 262 15814 14258 29 282 18*262 7 247 14258 12867 24 287 13 257 5 286 12867 11620 18*289 13 257 8 295 11620 10496 12*289 12 260 11 294 10496 9485 9 286 12 264 13 290 9485 8575 8 282 12 268 15 284 8575 7763 8 277 12 271 17 278 7763 7035 7 271 12 274 19 272 7035 6374 7 266 12 276 20 268 6374 5783 7 260 12 278 21 265 5783 5285 7 254 12 279 21 263 5285 4898 6 250 11 280 18 261 4898 4631 6 248 11 280 14 260 4631 4467 6 247 11 280 10*259 4467 4373 6 245 9 280 4*258 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography