DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.4 - - 98.0 - - 97.9 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 441 - - 167 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6704 - - 12255 - - 13170 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9764 - - 14337 - - 14352 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11532 - - 17083 - - 17998 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4012 - - 1839 - - 1350 - - 11525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 732 - - 544 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 30 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 256 - - 273 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -31 - - 13 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1397 - - 1227 - - 2092 - - -9274 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12929 - - 15857 - - 15907 - - 13651 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3778 - - -1143 - - 659 - - -11950 ODpotential blCL - - - 15310 - - 18226 - - 17339 - - 16326 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 53 - - 68 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 430 - - 70 - - 100 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.4 - - 98.0 - - 97.9 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 43.0 - - 42.8 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.8 - - 96.3 - - 97.6 - - 92.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 42.6 - - 42.5 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 441 - - 167 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6704 - - 12255 - - 13170 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99180 31 117 32 106 29 098 28 111 99180 91627 33 097 32 093 28 100 26 091 91627 85845 32 094 26 099 29 091 29 091 85845 81089 28 091 22 104 25 085 33 079 81089 76995 23 099 19 101 19 081 24 077 76995 73372 23 098 16 099 13 094 17 060 73372 70098 17 075 14 087 15 081 14 068 70098 67111 11 081 12 089 16 067 20 070 67111 64366 15 097 13 080 13 077 18 058 64366 61730 11 059 10 054 10 053 15 054 61730 58995 3 182 0 007 5 010 11 021 58995 56174 2 190 7 204 7 273 11 307 56174 53495 9 306 5 251 6 276 13 286 53495 51086 21 295 15 303 11 307 14 309 51086 48923 23 289 19 305 16 298 16 305 48923 46954 23 301 19 316 17 301 13 297 46954 45143 25 306 19 318 20 312 10 311 45143 43467 25 304 20 314 23 314 14 330 43467 41902 24 300 20 313 21 316 20 329 41902 40429 22 301 20 317 21 323 21 326 40429 39041 20 316 18 318 23 326 19 335 39041 37703 20 324 14 320 21 327 22 334 37703 36353 19 321 14 326 18 331 21 331 36353 34961 17 322 15 324 16 333 17 332 34961 33532 13 321 12 324 13 334 14 336 33532 32053 9 306 7 316 12 335 14 344 32053 30515 13 305 9 320 11 343 14 350 30515 28921 14 302 13 327 9 356 10 350 28921 27272 9 299 13 327 8 352 5 355 27272 25573 5 332 9 320 6 339 4 351 25573 23826 5 003 9 348 6 003 6 355 23826 22026 6 360 11 011 10 030 6 015 22026 20166 5 009 7 030 8 057 4 057 20166 18288 1 030 3*083 7*091 11 094 18288 16487 5 195 1*151 2*106 9 110 16487 14843 7 193 4 259 2 264 4 136 14843 13370 7 199 5 262 4 266 2 163 13370 12047 6*222 5 262 5 268 1 248 12047 10857 6*237 5 264 6 271 4 298 10857 9784 6 228 5 262 6 274 7 302 9784 8822 6 217 5 259 7 275 9 300 8822 7961 6 206 5 256 7 275 11 297 7961 7190 6 198 4 254 7 276 13 294 7190 6492 6 194 4 248 7 277 14 291 6492 5866 6 192 4 245 7 277 16 289 5866 5339 6 191 4 240 7 277 16 288 5339 4930 6 191 4 237 7 276 15 288 4930 4647 6 191 4 235 7 276 12 292 4647 4475 6 190 4 235 6 277 9*297 4475 4375 6 191 3 233 6 276 5*309 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography