DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 60.0 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 36 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 997 - - 2956 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 5586 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 5825 - - 7784 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2081 - - 1839 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 232 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 25 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 206 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 19 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 51 - - 60 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1452 - - 3144 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4373 - - 4640 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 507 - - 848 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 5318 - - 6936 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 410 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 60.0 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 54.3 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 60.9 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 53.0 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 36 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 997 - - 2956 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 69 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97723 20 286 25 290 97723 90466 16 292 19 292 90466 84857 15 286 12 259 84857 80204 4 278 6 237 80204 76183 9 270 11 278 76183 72644 9 263 12 300 72644 69456 10 258 8 270 69456 66546 7 257 5 234 66546 63856 4 021 2 129 63856 61244 20 239 19 259 61244 58544 22 221 20 205 58544 55754 21 205 25 196 55754 53066 26 214 27 217 53066 50620 47 230 46 234 50620 48409 65 232 65 235 48409 46395 80 230 81 233 46395 44546 92 231 92 233 44546 42827 100 231 101 233 42827 41216 102 232 105 232 41216 39698 103 235 105 231 39698 38265 108 238 104 232 38265 36885 110 239 107 233 36885 35495 108 236 111 234 35495 34064 101 233 112 234 34064 32600 92 231 107 232 32600 31095 86 231 100 230 31095 29545 85 231 94 229 29545 27953 85 230 90 229 27953 26323 84 229 89 227 26323 24657 81 227 88 225 24657 22957 78 226 87 224 22957 21211 77 226 83 225 21211 19410 73 226 76 225 19410 17591 63 225 66 224 17591 15849 45 218 55 220 15849 14270 40 215 43 215 14270 12867 37 211 39 214 12867 11611 36 209 38 213 11611 10483 34 205 37 212 10483 9470 34 202 35 210 9470 8561 33 200 34*209 8561 7750 31 200 31*208 7750 7025 30 199 29 207 7025 6367 27*198 27 206 6367 5778 26*198 25 206 5778 5282 24 197 23 204 5282 4897 22 196 20 202 4897 4630 20 196 18 202 4630 4467 17 195 17 201 4467 4373 13 195 12 200 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography