DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 61.7 - - 67.7 - - 65.2 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 116 - - 199 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1580 - - 3446 - - 2558 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5317 - - 6938 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 6408 - - 8274 - - 7386 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 704 - - 2622 - - 2858 - - 3717 - - 1369 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 239 - - 370 - - 78 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 055 - - 057 - - 058 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -15 - - -19 - - -26 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7690 - - -7921 - - -8090 - - -8735 - - -9409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12064 - - 14329 - - 16365 - - 16121 - - 13784 sfcLCL ODpotential -15618 - - -13805 - - -13242 - - -15062 - - -17593 ODpotential blCL 19992 - - 20213 - - 21516 - - 22448 - - 21967 blCL maxRH 22 - - 17 - - 21 - - 22 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 61.7 - - 67.7 - - 65.2 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.7 - - 14.4 - - 11.0 - - 9.7 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 61.7 - - 67.3 - - 66.7 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.0 - - 13.3 - - 9.9 - - 8.7 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 116 - - 199 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1580 - - 3446 - - 2558 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96223 28 281 25 282 35 268 24 287 28 296 96223 89123 22 301 19 283 23 278 22 298 22 322 89123 83678 22 300 16 301 19 301 20 308 18 340 83678 79135 17 285 16 301 20 307 19 319 22 345 79135 75219 8 291 15 302 20 308 19 327 21 336 75219 71751 11 321 14 308 16 326 15 327 16 330 71751 68598 15 311 15 310 15 326 18 342 20 334 68598 65699 19 321 18 312 18 322 19 336 20 330 65699 63008 26 308 23 309 19 316 15 341 21 323 63008 60393 36 305 27 308 27 324 19 328 24 320 60393 57648 37 289 27 297 32 308 25 314 24 308 57648 54781 36 283 28 288 34 289 31 306 29 322 54781 52050 48 283 35 283 36 281 31 304 28 313 52050 49603 55 278 40 282 42 275 32 301 20 312 49603 47410 54 277 44 277 43 270 31 295 23 322 47410 45428 52 277 47 276 36 279 24 291 19 320 45428 43612 49 278 46 279 31 295 19 322 21 013 43612 41945 39 289 36 273 31 290 16 335 29 010 41945 40424 32 300 22 275 19 279 25 008 27 015 40424 39013 29 304 9 290 7 034 26 010 27 027 39013 37684 29 314 18 025 16 069 20 016 38 048 37684 36404 32 313 26 016 27 092 14 070 57 053 36404 35114 28 329 19 005 36 089 18 081 68 053 35114 33784 21 001 11 027 40 078 25 062 70 053 33784 32418 23 026 22 043 40 073 33 051 68 054 32418 31004 30 028 37 043 37 066 34 049 56 053 31004 29532 33 031 36 046 35 062 31 052 49 046 29532 28004 33 035 33 050 35 061 25 057 44 038 28004 26423 25 032 31 052 34 058 25 053 38 035 26423 24789 20 014 25 051 29 053 27 043 34 036 24789 23104 21 359 18 040 21 047 21 039 29 033 23104 21364 24 007 20 030 18 030 18 028 22 026 21364 19565 27 018 24 026 20 021 19 024 21 020 19565 17738 25 022 24 025 23 021 20 027 21 026 17738 15979 21 025 20 028 23 022 20 028 21 032 15979 14377 17 029 18 033 20 026 19 025 18 031 14377 12949 14 033 16 036 18 029 17 022 15 023 12949 11672 12 032 15 035 16 029 15 018 13 019 11672 10527 11 022 13 027 14 025 14 021 13 022 10527 9499 9 008 10 018 12 027 13 028 15 032 9499 8576 5 356 7 017 11*034 14 037 19 041 8576 7755 3 011 7 032 12*044 16*045 23 049 7755 7022 5 049 9*047 12 051 18*051 26 054 7022 6360 10 063 11*054 13 056 18 055 28 056 6360 5770 15 066 11 055 13 058 18 057 29 056 5770 5274 19 065 10 054 12 061 17 059 26 053 5274 4891 18 059 9 054 12 063 16 061 21 048 4891 4626 13 047 8 054 11 066 14 063 13 039 4626 4465 7*028 7 055 10 066 12 064 7*023 4465 4373 4*348 5 055 8 068 8 066 3*334 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography