DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 99.0 - - 98.3 - - 89.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 433 - - 149 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8656 - - 12933 - - 13356 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11313 - - 14886 - - 14382 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13484 - - 17761 - - 18184 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4172 - - 2051 - - 2199 - - 13936 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 621 - - 741 - - 525 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 58 - - 176 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 243 - - 167 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -40 - - -24 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1340 - - 816 - - 946 - - -10430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14825 - - 16946 - - 17239 - - 14807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3592 - - -495 - - -341 - - -13139 ODpotential blCL - - - 17076 - - 18256 - - 18525 - - 17515 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 64 - - 77 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 110 - - 80 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 99.0 - - 98.3 - - 89.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 39.0 - - 37.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.6 - - 97.2 - - 98.0 - - 94.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 38.8 - - 37.1 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 433 - - 149 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8656 - - 12933 - - 13356 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99091 31 110 30 115 25 103 23 094 99091 91656 28 100 25 108 25 117 22 096 91656 85906 25 102 25 097 24 109 23 100 85906 81132 25 104 21 095 23 103 26 091 81132 77028 21 106 17 102 19 093 21 090 77028 73406 20 096 13 112 16 080 18 092 73406 70133 15 085 13 111 7 082 14 078 70133 67125 8 101 11 084 6 111 8 062 67125 64357 9 117 5 091 7 092 7 066 64357 61710 5 083 11 111 9 150 0 091 61710 58974 10 197 5 250 3 192 3 274 58974 56155 13 198 16 225 13 255 13 257 56155 53472 16 244 21 243 22 268 20 265 53472 51060 23 253 27 251 28 262 23 267 51060 48896 28 258 29 256 31 265 27 282 48896 46923 31 257 31 255 34 268 33 280 46923 45101 29 243 30 246 32 261 33 272 45101 43404 31 230 32 236 33 249 32 261 43404 41816 34 229 38 239 41 249 37 254 41816 40329 33 234 38 247 41 250 37 258 40329 38934 32 240 32 248 34 247 31 249 38934 37594 30 245 26 249 31 252 28 242 37594 36241 24 242 21 251 25 249 23 241 36241 34848 21 228 18 249 20 239 21 240 34848 33421 20 223 17 247 18 240 18 239 33421 31949 19 230 18 242 17 252 16 238 31949 30419 19 233 18 238 16 255 15 237 30419 28835 19 231 20 237 18 246 15 240 28835 27200 15 226 14 234 15 236 15 241 27200 25516 10 244 9 244 7 225 10 231 25516 23786 10 263 10 253 6 220 5 215 23786 22002 8 255 8 233 8 189 8 202 22002 20160 5 243 5 201 8 156 13 182 20160 18295 5 256 3*122 8*108 11 139 18295 16496 6 263 2*103 6*101 8 120 16496 14852 5*258 0 143 4 098 6 112 14852 13379 2*223 1 223 3 095 4 128 13379 12056 3 135 1 250 2 095 3 147 12056 10864 4 141 2 255 1 113 2 185 10864 9792 4 147 3 251 1 251 1 248 9792 8828 3 151 4 251 2 259 2 282 8828 7966 3 161 4 249 3 260 4 297 7966 7194 3 169 4 246 3 259 5 304 7194 6495 3 182 4 245 4 258 6 308 6495 5869 3 198 5 242 4 258 8 310 5869 5340 4 207 5 240 4 257 8 311 5340 4931 4 211 5 239 4 257 8 312 4931 4648 4 213 5 237 4 255 7 315 4648 4475 4 214 5 237 4 255 6*321 4475 4375 4 214 5 236 4 254 5*326 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography