DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.9 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 509 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7076 - - 8723 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10123 - - 11510 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11904 - - 13551 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1660 - - - - - 5846 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 618 - - 686 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 241 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 46 - - 58 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2584 - - -3122 - - - - - -9840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14488 - - 16674 - - - - - 14216 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7072 - - -7568 - - - - - -15635 ODpotential blCL - - - 18976 - - 21119 - - - - - 20010 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 67 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.9 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 16.9 - - - - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 74.1 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 16.4 - - - - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 509 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7076 - - 8723 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97627 21 243 24 266 24 320 97627 90243 18 277 19 275 27 306 90243 84551 25 280 20 295 25 295 84551 79840 24 288 22 280 23 298 79840 75781 20 291 16 268 23 305 75781 72205 16 270 10 270 22 291 72205 68986 8 321 7 001 16 280 68986 66028 12 274 18 279 12 277 66028 63274 10 245 17 254 6 267 63274 60607 3 011 6 284 4 147 60607 57845 43 265 48 268 28 295 57845 54994 51 267 51 272 42 286 54994 52263 53 280 52 277 59 280 52263 49782 57 282 58 279 70 276 49782 47540 65 284 64 286 71 276 47540 45504 81 286 84 288 76 281 45504 43653 86 282 96 283 89 283 43653 41958 78 280 90 277 99 281 41958 40390 68 282 81 277 102 279 40390 38924 68 284 73 275 103 281 38924 37553 71 279 67 277 95 283 37553 36244 72 273 67 278 90 284 36244 34931 70 271 66 271 83 280 34931 33585 68 270 62 264 78 274 33585 32207 64 270 64 261 75 272 32207 30784 61 271 64 261 72 272 30784 29307 61 268 62 262 69 271 29307 27777 63 263 60 262 66 271 27777 26197 64 261 61 261 64 272 26197 24566 62 261 60 262 62 270 24566 22889 57 261 57 263 60 267 22889 21161 51 261 52 261 57 265 21161 19379 46 261 46 259 51 262 19379 17577 42 258 40 258 44 259 17577 15847 39 255 35 257 37 257 15847 14273 35 251 28*253 31 254 14273 12869 30*246 21*244 24 250 12869 11613 23*240 19 242 20 242 11613 10486 19 236 19 242 17 237 10486 9473 18 235 19 241 16 240 9473 8564 17 233 19 241 16 248 8564 7753 16 231 19 240 17 257 7753 7026 16 229 19 240 18 263 7026 6368 15 227 19 240 20 265 6368 5779 14 225 19 239 20 267 5779 5282 13 223 18 239 19 268 5282 4897 13 222 18 239 17 269 4897 4630 12 220 17 239 13 272 4630 4467 12 220 16 238 10*274 4467 4374 11 219 14 238 5*275 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography