DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.2 - - 102.7 - - 100.8 - - 91.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 465 - - 194 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8065 - - 14249 - - 13728 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10861 - - 16027 - - 14941 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12893 - - 19077 - - 18556 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5324 - - 1768 - - 1861 - - 13111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 617 - - 786 - - 581 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 262 - - 276 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1530 - - 1881 - - 1344 - - -10439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14424 - - 17197 - - 17213 - - 14816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3199 - - 981 - - -227 - - -13172 ODpotential blCL - - - 16092 - - 18096 - - 18783 - - 17548 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 76 - - 62 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 100 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.2 - - 102.7 - - 100.8 - - 91.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 41.3 - - 39.6 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.5 - - 100.7 - - 100.3 - - 95.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 41.0 - - 39.3 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 465 - - 194 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8065 - - 14249 - - 13728 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99113 40 120 33 107 33 096 34 097 99113 91650 46 098 41 094 36 113 30 100 91650 85917 38 087 39 096 36 099 35 106 85917 81145 30 100 28 113 30 089 33 085 81145 77052 29 113 24 126 24 095 26 075 77052 73454 26 110 26 112 21 099 20 095 73454 70200 22 100 25 108 19 099 17 102 70200 67209 14 100 20 112 18 109 11 107 67209 64438 9 113 14 124 15 103 13 109 64438 61765 5 126 7 099 10 086 13 107 61765 59008 5 162 1 203 5 344 9 044 59008 56192 9 125 7 190 11 259 11 331 56192 53539 8 025 3 304 4 281 9 331 53539 51165 16 345 14 011 7 007 6 000 51165 49031 18 325 19 000 12 007 12 014 49031 47076 15 327 17 341 16 346 18 353 47076 45261 14 346 19 342 17 345 18 337 45261 43568 19 357 22 345 20 344 18 330 43568 41980 21 355 21 347 19 347 16 333 41980 40484 21 349 20 350 17 349 14 339 40484 39077 23 346 22 350 20 345 17 338 39077 37725 20 343 21 343 21 335 20 332 37725 36362 12 335 15 336 18 323 17 322 36362 34957 7 332 11 336 13 311 11 313 34957 33517 6 338 8 335 8 312 7 309 33517 32027 9 337 6 326 5 327 4 301 32027 30481 10 296 6 302 6 285 4 291 30481 28884 12 264 11 266 11 258 10 264 28884 27236 11 260 13 261 11 262 11 262 27236 25537 9 257 12 267 10 270 10 269 25537 23792 10 243 10 269 8 271 9 256 23792 21998 11 243 8 264 8 260 9 259 21998 20154 14 246 12*254 9*273 8 279 20154 18289 16 258 12*257 8*292 4 311 18289 16494 19 266 11 258 9 283 4 330 16494 14853 19 270 11 258 9 281 5 327 14853 13382 18*268 11 259 10 280 7 317 13382 12060 17*262 11 259 10 278 9 307 12060 10870 15 259 11 261 11 275 11 296 10870 9797 14 258 12 263 12 273 13 286 9797 8834 12 257 13 265 13 272 16 281 8834 7972 11 256 13 266 13 272 17 277 7972 7200 9 253 13 266 14 271 18 274 7200 6499 8 251 14 267 14 271 19 273 6499 5872 7 247 14 267 14 270 19 272 5872 5343 6 244 14 268 14 270 19 271 5343 4932 6 241 13 268 13 270 17 272 4932 4649 6 240 13 268 13 270 13 273 4649 4475 5 239 13 268 12 270 10*274 4475 4375 5 238 11 268 11 270 5*281 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography