DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 77.1 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 574 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5001 - - 7144 - - - - - 1869 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8515 - - 10272 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9829 - - 11972 - - - - - 6697 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1120 - - 1295 - - - - - 4067 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 583 - - 669 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 26 - - - - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 189 - - - - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 48 - - 57 - - - - - 39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2956 - - -3013 - - - - - -5489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12786 - - 14986 - - - - - 12187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8800 - - -7976 - - - - - -11016 ODpotential blCL - - - 18629 - - 19948 - - - - - 17713 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 34 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 77.1 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 25.8 - - - - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 75.3 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 25.5 - - - - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 574 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5001 - - 7144 - - - - - 1869 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98502 17 124 10 124 11 071 98502 91064 19 129 15 102 9 039 91064 85320 14 118 14 101 11 085 85320 80559 19 105 14 081 15 117 80559 76468 18 106 9 120 18 098 76468 72870 15 117 14 118 16 087 72870 69618 11 106 9 108 9 093 69618 66621 9 114 10 160 3 061 66621 63824 6 111 14 150 6 262 63824 61105 14 203 9 165 14 250 61105 58271 12 235 8 274 11 211 58271 55325 9 196 21 236 12 241 55325 52544 24 259 32 266 24 270 52544 50085 45 254 41 257 35 267 50085 47887 40 248 42 251 49 250 47887 45890 34 253 36 244 49 236 45890 44058 40 269 31 258 43 232 44058 42363 50 272 39 269 38 238 42363 40784 54 268 45 272 38 252 40784 39307 52 262 47 272 46 265 39307 37925 50 257 49 271 55 269 37925 36602 49 252 50 265 58 266 36602 35273 49 249 48 256 54 259 35273 33911 48 244 48 248 46 247 33911 32518 47 241 47 245 42 237 32518 31078 45 239 47 242 41 231 31078 29583 43 234 46 237 40 227 29583 28035 42 231 45 231 40 225 28035 26435 43 232 44 230 41 224 26435 24786 44 232 45 231 42 223 24786 23095 43 231 46 231 43 222 23095 21354 39 231 46 229 45 223 21354 19558 36 231 44 228 46 225 19558 17735 36 228 39 225 43 224 17735 15982 37 224 36 218 39 217 15982 14387 38 218 36 208 38 207 14387 12966 38 212 34*198 39 196 12966 11696 37 201 28*189 37 185 11696 10559 34*189 27 187 33 180 10559 9536 28*183 26 187 28 181 9536 8619 25 182 26 188 25 185 8619 7799 24 182 26 189 23 193 7799 7064 24 182 26 189 22*199 7064 6397 24 182 26 190 21*205 6397 5800 23 182 25 190 21 208 5800 5296 23 182 25 191 20 210 5296 4905 22 182 24 191 17 211 4905 4634 21 182 23 191 14 211 4634 4469 19 182 21 191 11 211 4469 4374 16 182 18 192 6 211 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography