DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 63.8 - - 61.8 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 570 - - 220 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7182 - - 9807 - - 10381 - - 2924 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10260 - - 12455 - - 12359 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12010 - - 14635 - - 15209 - - 7752 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1459 - - 1882 - - 3171 - - 4611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 647 - - 741 - - 550 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 219 - - 242 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 8 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 42 - - 68 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -103 - - -275 - - 131 - - -4342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12113 - - 14910 - - 15079 - - 12095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2514 - - -2522 - - -1272 - - -7780 ODpotential blCL - - - 14524 - - 17157 - - 16481 - - 15532 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 43 - - 89 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 63.8 - - 61.8 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.4 - - 12.7 - - 10.1 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 62.0 - - 61.5 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 12.1 - - 9.7 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 570 - - 220 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7182 - - 9807 - - 10381 - - 2924 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 0 - - 56 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97442 3 250 10 241 14 299 13 325 97442 90102 5 081 3 277 3 358 8 354 90102 84480 7 080 7 107 8 120 5 048 84480 79819 14 098 12 105 12 116 6 104 79819 75793 12 094 11 090 13 091 13 092 75793 72221 7 148 5 119 6 094 4 085 72221 68986 9 136 7 117 6 084 5 063 68986 66024 5 208 10 194 2 178 3 038 66024 63274 9 139 10 173 6 207 6 203 63274 60573 5 181 14 179 19 202 18 215 60573 57742 29 215 27 217 30 223 33 232 57742 54816 37 217 34 221 30 219 32 224 54816 52018 41 224 33 229 29 238 25 228 52018 49492 44 231 36 237 38 252 34 249 49492 47228 47 239 45 240 47 252 44 246 47228 45171 55 238 54 242 50 253 50 256 45171 43288 59 237 59 243 60 257 59 262 43288 41558 63 237 65 243 71 254 69 261 41558 39964 70 236 73 243 76 250 78 260 39964 38486 79 235 82 240 79 251 88 259 38486 37109 91 234 89 238 82 252 95 260 37109 35792 102 232 93 237 86 253 101 260 35792 34469 111 230 96 237 90 252 106 260 34469 33111 117 229 97 236 91 251 109 260 33111 31720 121 228 97 234 90 253 111 259 31720 30284 120 227 93 232 92 252 109 258 30284 28803 112 228 85 233 89 247 97 257 28803 27289 101 225 81 233 79 244 80 256 27289 25737 93 224 78 231 68 248 67 264 25737 24144 82 227 74 230 65 255 64 269 24144 22508 70 230 64 230 63 257 62 269 22508 20820 63 231 54 230 53 256 58 269 20820 19075 56 230 47 230 41 248 51 268 19075 17307 51 232 40 231 34 243 43 265 17307 15613 45 235 32*233 27*238 34 257 15613 14074 37 239 21*233 21*235 25 247 14074 12702 26*239 18 229 20 235 19 236 12702 11474 17*226 18 228 19 237 16 226 11474 10371 16 219 17 225 19 238 14 229 10371 9378 15 216 17 222 20 241 14 239 9378 8487 15 212 17 217 20 244 14*250 8487 7692 15 209 17 214 20 245 15*258 7692 6979 15 206 18 211 20 247 15 262 6979 6332 15 204 18 208 20 248 16 265 6332 5753 15 201 18 206 20 249 16 267 5753 5265 15 200 17 204 20 249 16 269 5265 4887 14 198 17 203 19 249 14 270 4887 4625 14 198 17 203 19 250 11 272 4625 4465 13 198 16 202 17 249 9 273 4465 4373 12 197 14 202 14 249 4 273 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography