DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.6 - - 91.0 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 508 - - 208 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9934 - - 14359 - - 13736 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12463 - - 16168 - - 15001 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14762 - - 19187 - - 18564 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4558 - - 1540 - - 2258 - - 12870 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 697 - - 809 - - 593 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 211 - - 231 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -22 - - -40 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2743 - - 602 - - -250 - - -12316 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17506 - - 18586 - - 18815 - - 16693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4208 - - -170 - - -1885 - - -15718 ODpotential blCL - - - 18970 - - 19357 - - 20449 - - 20094 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 56 - - 50 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.6 - - 91.0 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 23.7 - - 22.2 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 89.7 - - 90.3 - - 86.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 23.6 - - 22.2 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 508 - - 208 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9934 - - 14359 - - 13736 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98454 8 117 11 101 4 324 13 031 98454 90972 9 050 10 074 11 063 10 059 90972 85231 7 063 12 083 13 087 16 078 85231 80499 16 117 11 096 11 080 16 080 80499 76432 18 093 9 090 18 077 13 083 76432 72865 10 085 12 070 22 073 16 088 72865 69652 14 093 11 100 9 101 17 089 69652 66695 9 114 12 114 5 114 9 079 66695 63953 9 183 3 247 5 023 6 040 63953 61304 8 186 7 241 7 289 4 326 61304 58538 8 233 10 237 9 270 8 273 58538 55650 11 246 13 230 13 249 15 261 55650 52872 17 257 18 246 18 248 21 256 52872 50360 25 262 23 251 21 251 19 257 50360 48109 27 259 24 254 22 261 20 268 48109 46084 28 252 26 250 26 263 26 275 46084 44249 29 249 26 247 27 261 26 266 44249 42572 28 246 27 246 27 261 26 264 42572 41027 28 248 26 246 25 254 26 263 41027 39585 25 253 24 251 24 246 25 263 39585 38227 22 254 22 255 22 246 23 266 38227 36920 19 254 20 256 21 254 22 267 36920 35602 14 264 16 261 19 259 20 263 35602 34245 14 284 13 271 15 264 17 269 34245 32852 11 274 11 287 12 269 14 277 32852 31412 12 265 11 299 7 290 11 283 31412 29917 13 258 10 301 5 330 4 314 29917 28370 13 257 7 280 3 317 1 043 28370 26772 11 263 4 270 2 266 3 147 26772 25122 9 270 3 278 3 136 6 143 25122 23422 8 258 3 293 6 111 8 145 23422 21671 10 185 9 174 9 157 21 165 21671 19860 18 186 16*186 13*148 19 155 19860 18023 24 202 17*195 11*151 14 128 18023 16257 26*198 15 201 6 181 7 099 16257 14645 21*200 13 210 5 232 3 079 14645 13200 15 208 12 214 6 255 1 179 13200 11903 10 218 12 218 7 257 3 244 11903 10736 7 230 11 219 7 254 5 261 10736 9684 6 233 11 219 7 250 7 270 9684 8740 6 232 10 219 8 246 9 276 8740 7895 5 231 10 218 8 243 11 279 7895 7139 5 227 10 217 8 240 13 279 7139 6453 5 225 9 215 8 237 14 280 6453 5839 5 222 9 213 8 235 14 280 5839 5321 5 217 9 212 8 233 14 278 5321 4919 5 216 8 211 8 232 12 275 4919 4642 5 216 8 211 8 231 10 271 4642 4472 5 215 8 211 7 231 7*266 4472 4375 5 214 7 211 7 230 4*261 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography