DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 95.5 - - 96.3 - - 90.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 418 - - 186 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2500 - - 8916 - - 9811 - - 3892 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6232 - - 11577 - - 11794 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7328 - - 13744 - - 14639 - - 8720 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5249 - - 3201 - - 2991 - - 7917 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 649 - - 513 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 62 - - 17 - - 22 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 187 - - 199 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -28 - - -21 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1084 - - 514 - - 1194 - - -2903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8413 - - 13230 - - 13446 - - 11623 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4672 - - -1978 - - -971 - - -5661 ODpotential blCL - - - 12000 - - 15722 - - 15610 - - 14381 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 63 - - 72 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 2200 - - 370 - - 490 - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 95.5 - - 96.3 - - 90.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.4 - - 52.2 - - 52.1 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.4 - - 93.8 - - 95.9 - - 94.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 51.7 - - 51.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 418 - - 186 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2500 - - 8916 - - 9811 - - 3892 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99308 42 099 44 104 38 108 38 099 99308 91811 37 110 37 103 33 099 33 089 91811 86035 38 109 37 107 35 094 33 098 86035 81236 35 100 40 108 36 096 33 102 81236 77123 29 095 37 101 34 103 31 097 77123 73511 24 108 27 097 30 105 26 101 73511 70248 27 117 23 106 22 109 25 099 70248 67254 28 114 19 115 17 119 20 094 67254 64502 24 106 18 124 11 107 16 093 64502 61864 17 107 16 125 10 104 12 101 61864 59141 16 104 16 130 13 117 15 135 59141 56348 8 123 11 136 9 135 16 129 56348 53710 19 193 16 186 19 202 10 191 53710 51351 23 202 24 202 27 211 18 223 51351 49225 26 223 24 206 29 223 28 224 49225 47274 28 222 20 207 31 227 33 223 47274 45465 30 217 21 215 27 224 27 223 45465 43777 24 228 20 219 23 224 21 216 43777 42193 20 242 16 232 22 217 19 217 42193 40697 20 251 13 246 16 210 16 220 40697 39280 18 251 13 265 10 224 13 208 39280 37915 15 241 12 244 9 255 9 199 37915 36536 14 235 13 216 10 234 5 199 36536 35119 12 225 12 203 10 210 6 180 35119 33669 10 213 10 205 10 205 9 172 33669 32173 12 194 9 212 8 208 9 164 32173 30619 8 193 8 222 8 221 6 159 30619 29009 7 197 8 229 7 218 5 170 29009 27347 7 195 8 213 8 199 8 171 27347 25638 6 193 7 187 9 188 8 185 25638 23883 4 209 5 155 8 181 8 186 23883 22077 4 198 3 163 7 183 7 187 22077 20215 6 181 5 177 5 177 6 187 20215 18332 6 169 5 158 4 113 5 144 18332 16524 5 135 6 149 6 116 4 123 16524 14876 8 116 8*153 5*141 2 122 14876 13401 10 107 8*163 4*175 2 202 13401 12075 10 106 7 174 4 192 4 212 12075 10882 8 109 7 182 4 197 5 214 10882 9807 6 107 7 188 4 201 6 214 9807 8841 5 098 7 192 4 202 6*211 8841 7977 4*084 7 194 4 202 6*208 7977 7204 2*071 7 194 5 202 5 204 7204 6502 0 025 7 195 5 203 5 199 6502 5874 1 242 7 196 5 203 5 193 5874 5344 2 229 7 198 5 203 4 188 5344 4933 2 225 7 199 5 204 4 185 4933 4649 2 218 7 199 5 204 3 179 4649 4475 2 219 7 201 5 205 2 169 4475 4375 2 219 6 200 5 204 2 158 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography