DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 90.4 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 235 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5319 - - 10440 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8713 - - 12453 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10147 - - 15268 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4211 - - 3047 - - - - - 11100 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 563 - - 563 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 186 - - - - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -24 - - - - - 30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2162 - - 929 - - - - - -10155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12310 - - 14340 - - - - - 14531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4132 - - -740 - - - - - -13152 ODpotential blCL - - - 14279 - - 16008 - - - - - 17528 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 98 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 190 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 90.4 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 42.3 - - - - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 89.6 - - - - - 88.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 42.2 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 235 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5319 - - 10440 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 91 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98736 26 127 34 099 36 098 98736 91256 28 126 27 117 27 096 91256 85519 31 125 23 114 17 089 85519 80750 28 127 17 127 11 113 80750 76644 24 105 15 119 16 114 76644 73026 14 098 13 101 17 100 73026 69769 13 120 10 131 16 078 69769 66790 13 115 8 159 9 064 66790 64049 12 085 8 139 2 082 64049 61424 15 349 8 058 3 173 61424 58716 16 289 11 305 7 348 58716 55922 17 275 14 273 18 279 55922 53256 18 280 19 282 23 267 53256 50855 26 300 26 286 22 280 50855 48695 36 304 33 293 32 294 48695 46723 42 305 39 303 40 297 46723 44901 50 312 48 307 49 294 44901 43207 56 312 56 307 55 292 43207 41621 59 314 59 310 57 294 41621 40124 56 314 63 315 57 303 40124 38712 47 312 65 318 56 312 38712 37354 42 314 62 319 60 323 37354 35988 18 310 46 314 53 328 35988 34584 5 339 22 306 41 320 34584 33154 3 021 7 292 29 305 33154 31686 3 011 7 286 17 287 31686 30167 4 000 7 278 13 264 30167 28593 4 344 5 249 13 274 28593 26965 4 322 4 133 10 250 26965 25286 4 318 10 098 11 179 25286 23560 5 142 11 119 12 149 23560 21784 11 138 13 165 16 132 21784 19952 13 134 17 188 17 133 19952 18098 20 121 18 179 17 144 18098 16316 17 119 16*169 13 145 16316 14691 10 148 11*173 4 141 14691 13240 6 183 8 182 3 192 13240 11938 5 234 7 194 6 216 11938 10765 11*261 7 205 9 224 10765 9710 11*259 6 209 11 227 9710 8761 9 254 6 206 13 227 8761 7913 7 245 5 203 14 227 7913 7154 5 219 5 190 15 226 7154 6464 5 200 4 163 16 225 6464 5847 5 194 4 151 16 224 5847 5327 6 191 5 143 16 222 5327 4923 6 189 5 136 14 218 4923 4643 6 187 4 134 12 214 4643 4473 6 187 5 132 9*209 4473 4375 5 187 4 133 5*204 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography