DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 85.6 - - 84.4 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 376 - - 96 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6856 - - 8934 - - 9301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9812 - - 11532 - - 10807 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11684 - - 13762 - - 14129 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1734 - - 1284 - - 1310 - - 8813 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 554 - - 625 - - 403 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 210 - - 195 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 15 - - 20 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2224 - - -869 - - -76 - - -8289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13908 - - 14632 - - 14206 - - 12665 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6771 - - -5135 - - -4233 - - -14410 ODpotential blCL - - - 18455 - - 18897 - - 18362 - - 18785 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 85 - - 84 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 85.6 - - 84.4 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 36.0 - - 37.0 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 84.1 - - 84.6 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 35.8 - - 36.8 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 376 - - 96 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6856 - - 8934 - - 9301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 42 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98279 25 067 21 111 9 158 18 006 98279 90913 19 067 14 095 14 068 15 071 90913 85256 15 074 14 069 17 057 19 070 85256 80580 11 069 13 067 20 065 17 058 80580 76558 9 060 12 055 17 054 19 059 76558 72999 8 066 11 052 12 051 17 060 72999 69778 8 069 12 057 7 056 11 033 69778 66823 6 058 8 056 9 094 4 034 66823 64084 6 359 6 026 12 064 7 069 64084 61422 3 260 6 301 10 353 11 038 61422 58660 6 204 10 243 16 271 13 311 58660 55816 13 260 15 249 20 258 22 281 55816 53110 27 270 26 274 26 275 24 271 53110 50673 36 269 38 265 38 265 32 266 50673 48480 43 273 41 261 45 264 45 266 48480 46492 47 275 46 269 53 270 51 267 46492 44671 51 279 55 273 54 272 50 271 44671 42986 58 281 55 275 54 273 53 273 42986 41416 63 282 55 278 64 270 63 270 41416 39945 71 284 68 277 74 267 76 266 39945 38560 72 286 69 277 71 268 70 265 38560 37228 67 290 61 280 64 272 62 266 37228 35887 53 294 48 279 55 274 51 268 35887 34508 40 289 39 279 46 274 43 262 34508 33092 37 283 36 274 41 274 41 267 33092 31626 33 281 36 274 37 274 34 273 31626 30104 28 285 35 277 35 272 27 277 30104 28528 24 284 32 282 32 275 25 277 28528 26898 20 278 25 283 26 282 21 271 26898 25217 18 276 21 279 20 283 17 270 25217 23487 14 284 15 275 18 281 14 274 23487 21705 9 291 8 264 13 270 14 269 21705 19865 7 285 5 241 7 236 12 255 19865 18003 6 260 6 232 5 197 9 216 18003 16218 9 230 7 236 2 211 7 161 16218 14599 10 219 8*235 3*255 8 085 14599 13157 11 226 7*226 4*240 6 058 13157 11864 13*229 8 224 4 232 1 078 11864 10702 11*218 8 221 4 216 4 183 10702 9655 10 206 7 216 5 202 7 188 9655 8715 8 196 7 211 7 192 9 193 8715 7875 6 187 7 205 7 188 11 196 7875 7122 6 182 7 201 8 185 12 199 7122 6440 5 180 7 196 9 183 13 201 6440 5829 5 180 7 194 9 182 14 202 5829 5314 5 181 6 191 9 181 13 201 5314 4915 5 184 6 190 9 181 11 196 4915 4640 5 186 6 189 9 181 8 184 4640 4471 5 187 6 188 9 181 6*170 4471 4374 4 187 6 189 8 181 3*151 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography