DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.2 - - 98.4 - - 91.6 - - 79.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 394 - - 76 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10039 - - 14439 - - 4937 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12460 - - 16069 - - 7387 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14867 - - 19267 - - 9765 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4223 - - 1886 - - 8343 - - 1089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 662 - - 745 - - 303 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 19 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 242 - - 084 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 16 - - -15 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1171 - - 3764 - - -2932 - - -2675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13697 - - 15504 - - 12698 - - 7052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -275 - - 3025 - - -4907 - - -6897 ODpotential blCL - - - 15142 - - 16242 - - 14672 - - 11273 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 96 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 820 - - 730 - - 1030 - - 2560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.2 - - 98.4 - - 91.6 - - 79.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 44.9 - - 50.9 - - 63.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.6 - - 96.8 - - 92.1 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 44.8 - - 50.6 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 394 - - 76 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10039 - - 14439 - - 4937 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 83 - - 89 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99028 36 109 20 129 22 072 32 107 99028 91608 29 111 18 108 18 117 24 094 91608 85906 27 110 23 103 22 114 21 105 85906 81178 25 106 25 119 22 096 20 103 81178 77080 20 089 26 106 18 095 16 096 77080 73437 15 081 19 094 17 103 14 089 73437 70140 10 107 14 099 13 108 13 096 70140 67129 11 124 11 116 13 119 10 108 67129 64361 12 132 12 147 10 117 10 123 64361 61701 15 124 17 152 11 160 6 178 61701 58959 7 117 15 161 14 170 9 198 58959 56136 7 241 14 158 16 162 15 185 56136 53446 16 242 13 218 14 190 17 199 53446 51030 19 241 24 233 25 232 20 218 51030 48870 19 244 29 233 32 236 26 227 48870 46904 24 247 32 241 35 241 34 236 46904 45087 31 242 35 240 39 245 38 241 45087 43391 33 229 33 229 38 249 37 241 43391 41801 34 218 33 221 34 247 33 241 41801 40306 35 215 32 222 35 241 32 240 40306 38904 31 213 28 220 33 242 35 241 38904 37562 27 212 25 220 25 238 32 240 37562 36213 33 225 26 225 23 233 27 238 36213 34824 36 215 27 219 23 231 24 232 34824 33400 31 204 26 209 22 226 21 221 33400 31929 32 201 26 208 25 216 18 216 31929 30401 31 199 23 209 25 209 19 213 30401 28816 29 201 22 209 27 209 21 210 28816 27175 27 198 22 205 26 207 20 207 27175 25486 22 198 20 200 20 207 18 204 25486 23751 15 192 18 197 19 203 12 203 23751 21961 9 189 11 205 16 206 14 189 21961 20113 4 182 6*226 12 234 14 195 20113 18245 4 229 5*240 12 260 9 225 18245 16453 6*232 5 242 12 269 6 284 16453 14817 7*216 6 243 11 270 6 309 14817 13349 7 212 7 244 9 270 5 313 13349 12029 6 220 7 244 5 272 3 307 12029 10840 5 228 8 244 0 270 2 283 10840 9769 5 226 8 243 4*093 2 242 9769 8808 5 221 8 241 8*092 2 202 8808 7948 5 218 8 240 11 089 2 168 7948 7179 5 214 8 240 12 087 3 135 7179 6481 5 208 9 240 13 084 4 107 6481 5858 5 204 9 239 13 083 6 083 5858 5333 6 201 9 239 13 081 8 071 5333 4926 6 201 9 239 13 080 10 062 4926 4645 6 201 8 239 12 080 10 056 4645 4474 6 200 8 238 11 080 9*049 4474 4375 5 200 8 238 9 080 7*043 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography