DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 85.1 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 279 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3137 - - 5910 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6786 - - 8974 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7965 - - 10738 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1468 - - 1884 - - - - - 1320 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 382 - - 495 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 091 - - - - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 22 - - - - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2579 - - -2899 - - - - - -5462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10544 - - 13637 - - - - - 9837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8201 - - -7592 - - - - - -12023 ODpotential blCL - - - 16166 - - 18330 - - - - - 16398 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 35 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 85.1 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 40.2 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 84.2 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 39.6 - - - - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 279 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3137 - - 5910 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97782 11 296 13 245 20 291 97782 90511 9 235 10 259 14 296 90511 84916 5 230 7 248 7 300 84916 80262 6 008 4 035 6 037 80262 76260 5 056 11 036 11 029 76260 72750 8 062 9 044 10 029 72750 69596 10 024 7 054 11 035 69596 66704 7 007 8 013 9 031 66704 64026 1 011 6 311 7 002 64026 61440 1 132 6 229 11 322 61440 58758 3 300 8 230 12 269 58758 55986 10 320 6 264 15 254 55986 53349 19 303 18 294 23 269 53349 50976 26 290 27 288 24 278 50976 48833 27 290 30 289 27 292 48833 46865 27 300 29 289 37 290 46865 45042 28 314 30 298 42 287 45042 43342 33 321 36 304 39 289 43342 41745 39 324 37 307 37 294 41745 40242 43 328 37 312 37 299 40242 38824 44 324 37 315 37 300 38824 37460 39 326 39 316 38 307 37460 36086 27 326 31 327 35 316 36086 34674 15 320 21 326 23 314 34674 33237 5 316 12 306 14 311 33237 31766 3 240 6 275 11 282 31766 30242 5 269 7 269 11 258 30242 28661 5 315 8 287 9 285 28661 27024 9 016 6 318 9 321 27024 25336 13 023 8 010 8 000 25336 23599 10 020 9 024 8 020 23599 21809 7 018 7 010 7 045 21809 19962 8 069 9 079 13 083 19962 18092 19 085 19 092 19 092 18092 16294 21 088 21 091 22 094 16294 14656 20 088 20 089 21 098 14656 13195 18 089 18 088 19 105 13195 11889 17 092 15*087 17 113 11889 10716 16 096 13*086 15 121 10716 9663 16 098 12 087 14 126 9663 8718 15*095 12 087 14 125 8718 7875 13*092 11 089 15 118 7875 7120 12 091 10 092 16 109 7120 6436 11 091 10 094 17 098 6436 5825 9 093 9 097 18 087 5825 5311 7 100 8 100 19 076 5311 4913 6 110 7 103 17 068 4913 4638 5 116 7 105 13 061 4638 4470 5 119 6 107 9*053 4470 4374 4 122 6 109 4*038 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography