DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 51 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 4116 - - 5077 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 6763 - - 4358 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6465 - - 8944 - - 9905 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3292 - - 3637 - - 3306 - - 6106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 281 - - 78 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 184 - - 188 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -12 - - 21 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 545 - - 2500 - - 3367 - - -1885 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5920 - - 6444 - - 6538 - - 6261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1946 - - -365 - - -161 - - -5475 ODpotential blCL - - - 8411 - - 9309 - - 10066 - - 9850 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 73 - - 73 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 650 - - 580 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 54.6 - - 53.3 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 68.7 - - 69.8 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 53.3 - - 52.0 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 51 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 4116 - - 5077 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97751 28 290 23 296 26 292 26 308 97751 90451 26 297 21 301 25 302 30 303 90451 84834 24 295 20 289 22 302 27 313 84834 80183 17 297 20 282 20 291 21 313 80183 76177 13 301 16 288 16 291 18 309 76177 72643 11 304 12 294 12 297 14 311 72643 69446 7 297 7 277 7 292 9 294 69446 66511 7 243 7 260 8 296 7 289 66511 63798 11 224 10 240 10 265 8 257 63798 61183 9 220 11 219 13 249 12 240 61183 58470 11 247 16 223 17 233 17 234 58470 55660 22 256 21 242 22 232 25 230 55660 52975 29 251 28 246 26 239 26 234 52975 50552 32 247 32 240 31 242 30 236 50552 48369 36 246 35 235 37 241 35 237 48369 46369 38 243 38 233 40 240 40 239 46369 44517 38 244 40 235 43 239 45 242 44517 42791 36 245 41 238 44 239 44 241 42791 41174 35 246 39 240 44 239 41 237 41174 39653 35 245 38 240 41 237 39 238 39653 38225 34 243 36 239 38 236 37 240 38225 36857 32 242 34 238 36 235 36 238 36857 35484 29 240 31 236 34 236 35 237 35484 34083 28 236 29 236 32 235 32 240 34083 32660 27 235 27 236 28 235 27 243 32660 31204 26 232 25 233 23 237 24 246 31204 29693 23 233 21 230 21 239 22 248 29693 28128 22 236 18 239 19 240 21 245 28128 26509 20 243 16 248 15 241 17 242 26509 24843 13 244 14 244 13 242 12 248 24843 23137 5 222 9 236 8 237 9 259 23137 21386 5 086 3 197 4 163 7 228 21386 19580 4 034 2 017 3 121 5 234 19580 17750 3 259 4 242 1 149 6 268 17750 15994 7 227 6 211 2 162 7 244 15994 14400 10 214 9 199 6 181 8 205 14400 12980 12 212 11 197 9 190 11 197 12980 11711 14 210 13 201 10 198 13 201 11711 10571 16 202 13 203 10*201 13 201 10571 9547 16 193 13*202 10*201 12 198 9547 8626 14 186 12*198 9 198 11 193 8626 7803 13 180 10 194 8 194 9 187 7803 7066 11*174 9 187 8 191 9 183 7066 6397 10*169 7 178 7 186 8 183 6397 5799 7 160 6 171 6 177 8 187 5799 5295 4 144 5 167 4 166 7 189 5295 4904 4 139 4 166 4 152 5 179 4904 4634 3 138 4 165 3 138 3 140 4634 4469 3 137 4 164 3 130 4*105 4469 4374 3 139 4 165 2 125 4*090 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography