DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 94.6 - - 93.9 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 483 - - 206 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6831 - - 14707 - - 15261 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9913 - - 16429 - - 16226 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11659 - - 19535 - - 20089 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6625 - - 1444 - - 1477 - - 7952 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 605 - - 803 - - 613 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 28 - - 42 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 255 - - 286 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -34 - - 19 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6689 - - -503 - - -740 - - -13443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18349 - - 20039 - - 20830 - - 17820 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9578 - - -2637 - - -3338 - - -18386 ODpotential blCL - - - 21237 - - 22172 - - 23427 - - 22762 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 50 - - 82 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 94.6 - - 93.9 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 19.8 - - 15.6 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 92.6 - - 93.4 - - 86.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 19.6 - - 15.7 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 483 - - 206 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6831 - - 14707 - - 15261 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98552 12 112 23 129 7 128 11 087 98552 91039 17 142 9 114 17 110 13 129 91039 85280 22 137 5 171 11 088 18 124 85280 80543 22 128 14 151 9 097 13 094 80543 76481 22 121 18 137 12 115 13 079 76481 72895 19 125 20 113 11 118 14 082 72895 69653 13 086 20 110 12 127 12 073 69653 66692 9 072 19 103 14 140 8 085 66692 63971 10 115 8 081 10 095 10 083 63971 61337 6 085 2 009 7 017 8 066 61337 58579 3 336 4 305 7 325 6 002 58579 55714 5 015 5 320 5 321 5 330 55714 52988 13 022 12 349 17 347 18 348 52988 50550 25 025 20 025 17 005 17 357 50550 48358 37 017 29 020 22 011 23 004 48358 46356 42 004 35 002 31 354 27 344 46356 44517 45 359 40 359 37 358 29 340 44517 42815 45 358 44 358 44 357 33 348 42815 41233 40 355 42 355 44 354 37 351 41233 39758 33 353 35 351 36 352 36 352 39758 38378 30 357 29 347 27 344 32 350 38378 37056 28 357 28 345 21 334 27 344 37056 35726 26 352 26 347 21 331 25 334 35726 34356 24 349 23 350 21 333 23 328 34356 32952 23 348 23 350 21 337 23 333 32952 31502 23 349 25 351 23 344 22 343 31502 29997 24 352 23 353 24 353 20 350 29997 28438 24 000 20 354 22 358 20 355 28438 26827 21 009 18 005 18 002 19 358 26827 25167 18 014 15 013 16 008 16 355 25167 23458 14 019 11 022 12 011 14 352 23458 21693 11 025 8 047 11*074 11 003 21693 19873 3 006 8*062 9*098 11 094 19873 18036 7 194 2*289 5 137 11 103 18036 16268 6 180 5 262 3 156 7 101 16268 14652 2 184 6 260 2 168 3 062 14652 13205 2 020 6 259 1 219 5 344 13205 11906 4*338 6 259 2 300 10 322 11906 10738 7*303 6 258 4 300 15 313 10738 9686 8 293 6 255 6 299 18 307 9686 8741 8 284 6 253 8 297 21 302 8741 7896 7 278 5 251 9 296 23 298 7896 7140 6 270 5 247 10 296 24 295 7140 6454 5 259 5 245 10 295 25 292 6454 5839 5 251 5 242 11 295 26 290 5839 5321 4 243 5 239 11 294 25 289 5321 4920 4 235 5 238 11 294 22 288 4920 4642 4 230 5 237 11 295 18 290 4642 4472 4 229 5 236 10 295 14*291 4472 4375 4 226 4 234 9 295 6*296 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography