DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 86.3 - - 86.7 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 514 - - 212 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8073 - - 10093 - - 11506 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10947 - - 12639 - - 13232 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12901 - - 14921 - - 16334 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2145 - - 1874 - - 1274 - - 10602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 653 - - 722 - - 563 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 31 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 216 - - 226 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -26 - - -25 - - 14 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3545 - - -3586 - - -2219 - - -11419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16447 - - 18508 - - 18554 - - 15796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7834 - - -7817 - - -5803 - - -16566 ODpotential blCL - - - 20735 - - 22738 - - 22137 - - 20942 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 24 - - 42 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 86.3 - - 86.7 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 18.8 - - 19.1 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.1 - - 84.2 - - 86.0 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 18.4 - - 18.9 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 514 - - 212 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8073 - - 10093 - - 11506 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98476 8 132 7 146 4 280 7 047 98476 90960 15 142 8 114 4 119 7 072 90960 85222 16 121 13 134 6 109 14 081 85222 80478 12 105 15 129 15 095 15 093 80478 76396 13 113 15 122 18 080 13 094 76396 72812 16 128 14 107 12 093 16 084 72812 69587 12 117 10 098 15 096 9 099 69587 66639 10 135 2 123 12 068 14 124 66639 63910 9 152 13 176 6 227 5 105 63910 61249 6 171 16 193 13 221 7 221 61249 58467 17 226 17 203 17 219 16 247 58467 55588 20 232 21 226 23 232 21 252 55588 52838 26 257 24 244 26 243 25 250 52838 50354 40 264 31 258 30 249 28 256 50354 48119 45 261 39 265 38 256 37 258 48119 46096 49 264 46 267 46 259 44 258 46096 44257 55 267 51 270 50 262 48 261 44257 42574 58 271 56 274 54 267 54 264 42574 41014 57 274 61 275 59 268 58 261 41014 39549 55 273 61 274 61 267 57 258 39549 38170 52 270 56 271 61 266 58 257 38170 36846 48 267 52 268 57 266 57 256 36846 35515 46 266 47 265 50 264 51 257 35515 34149 43 265 44 263 47 262 44 251 34149 32753 41 264 42 261 44 258 42 251 32753 31315 39 263 41 263 42 254 39 248 31315 29823 38 260 41 267 40 253 37 245 29823 28273 37 257 39 267 37 256 33 245 28273 26668 32 256 36 261 35 263 29 251 26668 25011 29 256 32 255 31 263 26 255 25011 23307 25 259 26 254 27 255 25 254 23307 21551 20 260 20 254 22 246 23 248 21551 19737 16 254 16 251 17 239 20 238 19737 17902 12 236 12 241 11*227 16 223 17902 16143 8 234 7*218 8*242 2 243 16143 14544 3 261 3*210 8 249 5 321 14544 13114 1*171 4 220 8 249 5 279 13114 11829 5*111 4 223 7 244 7 258 11829 10673 6 105 4 223 6 235 9 248 10673 9632 6 106 4 223 5 225 11 241 9632 8697 5 110 4 220 5 213 13 236 8697 7861 4 121 4 217 5 204 14 232 7861 7112 4 144 5 213 5 195 15 228 7112 6433 3 174 5 211 5 191 16 224 6433 5824 4 194 5 210 6 186 17 219 5824 5311 5 202 5 208 6 182 17 214 5311 4914 5 207 5 208 6 181 15 209 4914 4639 5 208 5 207 6 181 13 201 4639 4471 5 209 5 207 6 180 10*193 4471 4375 5 210 5 206 5 180 5*183 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography