DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 69.4 - - 69.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 337 - - 67 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2967 - - 6942 - - 7593 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6702 - - 9878 - - 9179 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7795 - - 11770 - - 12421 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2806 - - 1228 - - 1070 - - 6146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 555 - - 337 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 227 - - 237 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 15 - - 58 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6047 - - -3724 - - -3123 - - -7948 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13843 - - 15494 - - 15545 - - 12322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12050 - - -8554 - - -7559 - - -14216 ODpotential blCL - - - 19845 - - 20324 - - 19980 - - 18590 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 33 - - 37 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 69.4 - - 69.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.4 - - 16.1 - - 16.0 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 68.4 - - 69.9 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.7 - - 15.1 - - 15.4 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 337 - - 67 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2967 - - 6942 - - 7593 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 22 273 22 278 22 270 24 276 96366 89182 15 263 20 246 22 285 21 311 89182 83708 5 265 15 253 19 289 16 317 83708 79185 8 042 6 269 14 299 11 304 79185 75311 6 052 2 243 9 303 10 321 75311 71910 4 299 4 233 6 264 6 340 71910 68834 13 280 9 272 8 254 6 270 68834 65996 18 270 14 274 9 243 12 218 65996 63349 21 261 24 268 20 267 21 255 63349 60769 31 262 36 264 34 263 33 259 60769 58050 41 260 43 266 41 263 39 260 58050 55186 51 262 51 263 50 261 49 261 55186 52416 55 260 56 258 56 258 56 262 52416 49901 56 261 56 255 56 256 58 260 49901 47626 59 262 57 257 57 256 56 262 47626 45545 62 263 60 258 60 259 58 266 45545 43635 65 264 58 262 58 260 58 262 43635 41882 60 265 55 265 52 262 56 261 41882 40272 53 267 50 264 51 268 54 262 40272 38787 47 268 45 263 51 264 53 266 38787 37414 43 268 42 266 44 262 54 269 37414 36113 43 267 41 267 37 266 53 269 36113 34816 45 265 42 266 35 267 50 270 34816 33489 42 267 42 265 34 267 47 270 33489 32129 41 274 37 270 33 267 46 270 32129 30721 42 277 35 275 33 270 45 271 30721 29256 43 274 34 273 34 272 43 273 29256 27737 40 268 32 273 32 268 41 272 27737 26165 32 266 30 272 30 265 38 265 26165 24542 26 265 27 268 29 264 36 262 24542 22872 24 268 24 267 29 267 34 260 22872 21154 24 269 23 271 28 272 32 262 21154 19380 25 271 23 275 27 276 31 257 19380 17580 22 274 22 276 25 279 27 253 17580 15844 17 270 20 274 23 279 22 262 15844 14261 15 262 17 268 19 275 20 270 14261 12853 13 255 14*261 11*260 16 262 12853 11598 10 242 11*247 9*252 10 232 11598 10474 8 217 10 241 9 249 10 228 10474 9465 8 193 10 237 9 245 10 235 9465 8558 8*177 9 232 9 239 12 241 8558 7749 7*173 8 226 9 235 13 245 7749 7023 7 174 7 220 9 232 14 246 7023 6365 6 177 7 215 10 229 15 244 6365 5776 5 182 7 209 9 228 14 240 5776 5280 5 186 6 204 9 227 13 235 5280 4895 5 188 6 200 9 226 10 227 4895 4629 5 192 6 199 9 225 7 215 4629 4466 5 192 6 198 8 224 5*198 4466 4373 5 192 6 198 7 223 3*180 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography