DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.0 - - 91.3 - - 98.2 - - 82.2 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 164 - - 492 - - 498 - - 8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2520 - - 6243 - - 13294 - - 654 - - 584 BL Depth Hcrit 6166 - - 9475 - - 15267 - - 4358 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 7348 - - 11071 - - 18122 - - 5482 - - 5412 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1290 - - 2823 - - 1749 - - 3897 - - 3550 Hgt.Variab. W* 310 - - 605 - - 782 - - 117 - - 55 W* B/S 27 - - 36 - - 18 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 293 - - 155 - - 234 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - -12 - - 18 - - 24 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1915 - - -597 - - 3310 - - -1105 - - -888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9263 - - 11668 - - 14813 - - 6587 - - 6301 sfcLCL ODpotential -5958 - - -3486 - - 2346 - - -4982 - - -5573 ODpotential blCL 13306 - - 14557 - - 15776 - - 10464 - - 10985 blCL maxRH 71 - - 56 - - 96 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 930 - - 590 - - 3040 - - 2800 CAPE Temp@2m 80.0 - - 91.3 - - 98.2 - - 82.2 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.4 - - 54.8 - - 47.7 - - 67.5 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.7 - - 89.3 - - 96.0 - - 83.2 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.4 - - 54.8 - - 47.7 - - 66.1 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 164 - - 492 - - 498 - - 8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2520 - - 6243 - - 13294 - - 654 - - 584 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 85 - - 70 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99285 45 104 42 100 29 106 31 104 37 085 99285 91760 37 087 36 102 35 101 27 096 29 100 91760 86002 30 085 29 098 32 097 25 089 21 103 86002 81220 25 091 25 097 28 094 24 093 19 082 81220 77066 22 096 22 104 22 101 24 093 23 091 77066 73412 23 101 19 106 17 107 22 092 31 091 73412 70150 24 113 16 105 12 103 14 074 25 090 70150 67177 23 115 19 116 12 108 8 098 12 071 67177 64418 18 105 26 121 21 123 18 123 10 144 64418 61766 12 094 23 118 23 128 30 126 26 134 61766 59053 11 102 15 129 15 139 23 122 28 124 59053 56268 9 124 17 155 16 144 19 133 26 131 56268 53615 22 139 31 145 34 147 28 144 31 138 53615 51218 34 140 42 140 44 145 39 146 35 147 51218 49058 40 141 46 140 47 140 43 146 37 147 49058 47084 44 140 47 137 48 135 44 144 37 146 47084 45258 43 135 44 135 45 134 42 142 37 148 45258 43555 35 125 40 136 39 138 37 148 36 152 43555 41961 23 109 34 132 35 142 33 154 34 154 41961 40463 13 108 25 119 31 144 31 154 27 161 40463 39053 4 109 19 116 30 145 26 156 24 170 39053 37697 11 166 21 133 24 134 21 153 25 176 37697 36331 12 160 18 133 17 124 18 145 22 179 36331 34926 7 153 8 125 16 122 14 149 19 179 34926 33486 4 127 8 116 13 117 10 163 16 177 33486 31999 14 100 30 091 14 121 9 178 15 170 31999 30455 19 101 31 087 19 114 7 164 15 163 30455 28857 17 109 18 094 21 107 8 158 13 166 28857 27206 12 118 15 090 22 113 11 157 10 160 27206 25506 13 090 18 100 21 118 11 128 11 142 25506 23760 17 116 22 124 17 126 13 112 17 125 23760 21964 30 116 27 130 14 137 17 113 21 121 21964 20113 32 109 28 130 11 123 23 112 25 114 20113 18241 28 105 24 133 10*102 28 105 29 106 18241 16438 20 109 21 137 10*111 26 100 26 105 16438 14791 10 112 15 139 10 126 20 097 21 113 14791 13316 9 131 9 156 10 138 13 095 17 131 13316 11995 8 124 6*151 8 157 6 096 13 153 11995 10808 5 094 3*130 8 165 2 127 9 180 10808 9743 2 356 3 310 8 168 3 211 5 218 9743 8786 5 295 4 306 8 171 7 223 5 254 8786 7932 7*285 4 303 8 172 10 226 7 279 7932 7166 6*286 4 297 8 173 13 225 11 288 7166 6473 5 286 4 292 8 173 15 224 14 292 6473 5853 2 275 4 288 9 174 15*223 16*296 5853 5331 1 233 4 282 9 175 14*224 16*296 5331 4926 1 184 4 279 9 175 12 229 14 298 4926 4645 1 175 4 276 8 175 8 244 10 305 4645 4474 1 174 4 273 8 175 7 253 7 313 4474 4375 1 170 3 273 8 176 6 257 4 327 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography