DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 72.7 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 573 - - 597 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7413 - - 9236 - - - - - 2374 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10487 - - 12004 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12241 - - 14064 - - - - - 7202 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1659 - - 1692 - - - - - 4702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 675 - - 737 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 23 - - - - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 224 - - - - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 45 - - 55 - - - - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -40 - - 576 - - - - - -5313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12282 - - 13489 - - - - - 12515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2156 - - -1212 - - - - - -11838 ODpotential blCL - - - 14397 - - 15276 - - - - - 19040 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 58 - - - - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 72.7 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 28.0 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 70.8 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 27.7 - - - - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 573 - - 597 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7413 - - 9236 - - - - - 2374 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98244 16 063 27 064 14 102 98244 90878 13 123 11 086 21 059 90878 85195 15 114 10 119 19 058 85195 80462 11 122 7 123 14 051 80462 76391 16 083 10 111 13 046 76391 72808 13 069 10 095 10 081 72808 69583 13 112 9 106 9 068 69583 66620 14 111 10 082 8 095 66620 63873 3 004 3 349 4 222 63873 61215 11 252 8 249 16 144 61215 58411 27 234 21 232 9 222 58411 55463 32 241 29 241 32 249 55463 52654 33 249 31 235 41 244 52654 50145 33 257 27 247 35 249 50145 47900 38 253 35 247 35 254 47900 45855 41 242 40 252 40 262 45855 43985 45 242 42 261 50 261 43985 42266 52 246 49 267 51 257 42266 40673 59 246 61 267 48 264 40673 39186 65 246 74 262 52 273 39186 37797 72 248 82 255 59 274 37797 36472 87 250 81 255 62 271 36472 35146 98 243 80 264 60 268 35146 33786 94 234 82 272 58 269 33786 32395 83 235 85 275 58 271 32395 30961 85 249 85 275 57 270 30961 29473 92 251 85 272 54 265 29473 27932 89 248 85 269 52 262 27932 26339 86 241 83 268 49 265 26339 24698 85 234 81 265 44 266 24698 23010 79 232 79 262 41 264 23010 21268 66 226 72 262 41 266 21268 19467 61 221 61 260 39 272 19467 17639 60 225 51 256 35 276 17639 15885 53 226 41 251 29 273 15885 14297 46 224 31*242 22 260 14297 12887 37*224 24*232 17 242 12887 11631 26*218 24 230 13 237 11631 10503 22 209 23 228 12 253 10503 9490 21 205 23 226 12 271 9490 8579 21 203 23 224 14 278 8579 7766 21 202 23 222 16*278 7766 7037 20 201 23 221 17*276 7037 6377 20 200 22 220 17 273 6377 5785 20 199 22 218 18 272 5785 5286 20 198 22 217 17 270 5286 4899 19 198 21 216 16 269 4899 4631 18 198 20 216 13 268 4631 4467 17 198 19 215 10 268 4467 4373 15 198 17 215 5 266 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography