DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 55.6 - - 59.1 - - 53.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 18 - - 19 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 342 - - 1103 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5170 - - 5931 - - 4374 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 217 - - 1367 - - 1541 - - 1652 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 93 - - 141 - - 4 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 35 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 275 - - 098 - - 044 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 4 - - -10 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3294 - - -2137 - - -2051 - - -1387 - - -2207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7668 - - 7307 - - 7982 - - 5761 - - 6582 sfcLCL ODpotential -14511 - - -11438 - - -11950 - - -10148 - - -12050 ODpotential blCL 18884 - - 16608 - - 17881 - - 14522 - - 16424 blCL maxRH 79 - - 68 - - 66 - - 75 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 55.6 - - 59.1 - - 53.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 39.1 - - 39.6 - - 44.0 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 57.8 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 37.8 - - 38.4 - - 42.6 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 18 - - 19 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 342 - - 1103 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 18 272 22 268 14 284 16 267 33 285 96221 89190 6 273 11 263 10 305 8 284 12 295 89190 83756 4 336 6 309 10 283 7 287 7 005 83756 79214 3 289 8 299 10 289 11 298 12 021 79214 75266 4 248 10 266 14 305 13 310 10 355 75266 71763 11 348 10 269 17 295 16 324 11 318 71763 68587 21 342 15 296 22 285 21 318 14 324 68587 65657 21 315 21 297 22 288 22 303 19 331 65657 62933 22 290 22 293 24 294 26 296 25 320 62933 60302 26 293 24 301 27 298 30 299 30 318 60302 57578 30 295 28 298 31 306 33 305 34 309 57578 54761 33 300 31 297 35 306 32 307 35 303 54761 52070 38 302 39 305 39 297 38 306 41 299 52070 49651 42 295 45 303 43 297 43 305 39 297 49651 47497 37 300 39 298 42 298 41 289 38 294 47497 45554 41 301 38 302 33 308 33 281 39 288 45554 43784 35 301 38 293 37 305 28 302 35 285 43784 42166 25 313 28 294 36 292 30 299 24 285 42166 40672 22 311 21 306 26 282 27 284 21 269 40672 39270 23 308 20 309 23 314 15 287 28 250 39270 37945 23 312 21 318 25 324 13 307 30 236 37945 36668 25 331 21 328 26 333 10 306 13 249 36668 35376 26 338 22 330 25 341 8 303 8 265 35376 34043 25 336 23 329 23 345 7 306 7 261 34043 32673 27 335 24 332 23 344 7 294 9 250 32673 31253 30 341 25 334 22 338 10 248 21 242 31253 29773 29 342 27 336 22 327 15 252 25 247 29773 28236 28 340 28 337 23 322 18 269 18 259 28236 26641 28 330 27 333 24 320 17 286 11 287 26641 24991 29 322 26 326 25 323 17 297 15 317 24991 23291 30 315 24 324 25 323 19 300 23 323 23291 21535 29 315 21 326 21 318 21 301 24 322 21535 19714 28 320 22 328 17 317 19 300 18 332 19714 17863 26 323 22 327 16 321 16 310 13 330 17863 16081 25 323 19 324 15 325 14 325 10 306 16081 14458 24 324 17 322 13 332 11 331 10 294 14458 13008 22 329 15 326 11 340 8 332 8 299 13008 11712 18 336 13 336 10 346 6 332 5 326 11712 10551 14 344 10 349 10 350 7 339 6 012 10551 9512 10 351 8 360 8 351 7 346 8 030 9512 8585 6 002 5 019 5 347 6 004 9 047 8585 7762 4 031 3 065 2 339 5 032 8 063 7762 7029 4 072 4 107 0 201 5 048 5 077 7029 6366 4 105 4 118 1*165 3 056 4 088 6366 5774 4 126 3 111 1*107 2 069 8 077 5774 5276 5 124 1*073 1 071 1 081 13 069 5276 4891 6 089 1*321 1 093 1 046 17 063 4891 4626 7 060 3 273 1 112 1 041 14 052 4626 4465 7*039 3 268 1 127 1*044 8*039 4465 4373 6*029 3 263 1 132 1*048 4*010 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography