DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 77.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 421 - - 121 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4434 - - 9638 - - 10615 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7912 - - 12165 - - 12049 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9262 - - 14466 - - 15443 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4325 - - 2023 - - 2512 - - 12271 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 666 - - 456 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 159 - - 191 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -32 - - -30 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6389 - - -1647 - - -1199 - - -9576 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15652 - - 16114 - - 16643 - - 13952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10553 - - -4549 - - -3499 - - -12546 ODpotential blCL - - - 19815 - - 19015 - - 18942 - - 16921 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 53 - - 72 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 77.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 20.9 - - 19.0 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 75.6 - - 77.6 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 20.1 - - 18.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 421 - - 121 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4434 - - 9638 - - 10615 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97005 40 270 38 275 47 278 46 287 97005 89747 28 267 28 282 29 278 32 286 89747 84209 12 271 15 269 16 288 19 283 84209 79601 5 284 7 260 11 308 15 317 79601 75625 7 325 5 296 12 327 15 340 75625 72120 9 336 7 314 14 327 16 346 72120 68963 11 332 10 328 15 328 17 347 68963 66072 17 339 14 342 16 325 16 336 66072 63394 24 323 18 327 20 323 19 318 63394 60777 27 305 25 297 24 308 23 309 60777 58026 31 292 28 283 31 296 33 293 58026 55155 43 284 34 283 40 286 40 290 55155 52394 47 278 38 282 50 289 50 289 52394 49897 49 277 49 282 52 286 51 293 49897 47653 53 279 52 286 55 293 64 301 47653 45629 53 276 57 289 71 290 66 286 45629 43813 35 294 52 284 80 281 79 299 43813 42163 44 313 51 291 54 290 123 297 42163 40629 54 308 55 294 63 302 104 296 40629 39186 59 302 55 297 82 299 81 293 39186 37830 57 298 54 299 83 291 74 290 37830 36523 48 300 51 298 84 291 76 288 36523 35203 35 297 42 297 87 301 72 286 35203 33844 18 279 28 294 69 303 67 289 33844 32451 18 288 21 279 51 294 55 301 32451 31015 19 287 19 284 42 288 45 302 31015 29528 19 279 19 290 33 285 38 290 29528 27993 16 279 19 285 24 277 25 285 27993 26407 14 285 18 287 18 277 21 273 26407 24774 14 286 15 293 16 281 19 257 24774 23097 13 281 13 287 14 284 16 260 23097 21367 9 253 10 272 12 283 15 261 21367 19579 8 221 8 259 9 278 11 241 19579 17772 9 196 7 234 5 230 7 198 17772 16036 9 177 6*184 8*167 8 169 16036 14453 6 163 8*140 7*171 7 174 14453 13036 3 141 8 139 7 177 7 186 13036 11762 3 090 8 141 7 180 7 192 11762 10616 4 091 8 143 7 186 8 197 10616 9584 8*106 7 150 7 191 9 202 9584 8656 9*110 6 162 7 197 11 206 8656 7827 8 111 6 173 6 202 12 210 7827 7085 8 114 6 182 6 204 13 213 7085 6412 6 121 6 188 6 206 14 216 6412 5809 5 133 6 194 6 207 14 218 5809 5301 4 145 6 198 5 209 14 219 5301 4908 4 157 6 200 5 211 12 220 4908 4636 4 164 6 202 5 210 9 219 4636 4469 4 168 6 202 5 210 6*215 4469 4374 3 168 5 202 5 210 4*214 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography