DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 90.3 - - 90.5 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 467 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5370 - - 11074 - - 11534 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8685 - - 13396 - - 13155 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10198 - - 15902 - - 16362 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4767 - - 1819 - - 1900 - - 12734 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 532 - - 721 - - 541 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 27 - - 38 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 254 - - 255 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -19 - - -21 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -412 - - 1724 - - 1501 - - -8865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10610 - - 14179 - - 14862 - - 13242 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2877 - - 304 - - -945 - - -11457 ODpotential blCL - - - 13075 - - 15598 - - 17307 - - 15833 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 61 - - 60 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 660 - - 100 - - 40 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 90.3 - - 90.5 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 42.9 - - 40.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 88.5 - - 90.0 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 42.6 - - 39.9 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 467 - - 189 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5370 - - 11074 - - 11534 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 42 109 32 112 32 102 35 082 99164 91714 44 105 38 104 31 105 36 092 91714 85981 43 108 35 110 32 103 33 095 85981 81210 34 102 28 106 29 100 34 094 81210 77097 22 102 27 116 25 093 29 094 77097 73486 15 119 21 118 22 093 20 098 73486 70225 15 126 15 113 17 087 19 106 70225 67218 16 127 11 109 10 092 12 091 67218 64441 14 128 14 128 9 124 5 072 64441 61788 19 122 10 137 10 147 4 189 61788 59043 4 136 10 171 15 155 13 180 59043 56178 21 235 21 224 16 229 10 208 56178 53428 30 210 34 214 31 228 21 243 53428 50972 27 203 30 199 38 211 35 219 50972 48782 20 216 21 228 26 217 29 216 48782 46797 43 250 51 245 45 242 42 241 46797 44982 57 238 56 233 56 236 52 237 44982 43304 63 237 53 234 53 232 51 228 43304 41737 53 252 51 238 50 235 47 227 41737 40263 56 259 50 237 50 238 46 233 40263 38873 57 254 49 236 50 238 46 236 38873 37533 55 243 48 237 49 238 45 239 37533 36179 59 241 49 240 47 240 41 238 36179 34787 59 243 49 245 43 244 37 234 34787 33358 51 249 50 251 41 246 36 231 33358 31877 38 250 47 253 41 252 32 239 31877 30338 33 251 38 253 36 255 29 250 30338 28746 30 245 30 247 28 251 25 250 28746 27101 29 235 27 241 26 240 24 241 27101 25405 27 230 24 237 26 237 25 237 25405 23661 23 228 20 236 23 239 24 240 23661 21867 16 228 16 235 18 236 19 246 21867 20020 13 233 13 236 10 220 12 224 20020 18160 11 237 9 241 4*165 11 149 18160 16374 9 243 6*254 3*093 13 124 16374 14744 6 254 5*261 0 066 10 119 14744 13283 5 262 5 262 1 277 6 126 13283 11972 5 257 5 261 2 260 2 159 11972 10792 5*248 5 259 3 256 2 216 10792 9730 4*234 5 258 3 255 3 257 9730 8777 3 220 5 255 4 255 4 272 8777 7924 3 216 5 252 5 254 4 279 7924 7161 3 215 5 250 5 255 5 285 7161 6469 3 217 5 246 5 256 5 288 6469 5850 3 217 5 244 5 255 5 291 5850 5328 4 220 5 241 5 257 6 293 5328 4924 4 220 5 239 5 256 5 293 4924 4644 4 222 5 239 5 255 5 298 4644 4473 4 222 5 238 5 256 4*306 4473 4375 4 221 5 235 5 255 4*314 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography