DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 48.5 - - 50.9 - - - - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 59 - - 48 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1385 - - 2066 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 6213 - - 6894 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2622 - - 2606 - - 3475 - - - - - 3833 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 194 - - 211 - - - - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 143 - - 164 - - - - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -402 - - 707 - - 1015 - - - - - -20 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4775 - - 5506 - - 5879 - - - - - 4394 sfcLCL ODpotential -3994 - - -2226 - - -1358 - - - - - -2677 ODpotential blCL 8367 - - 8439 - - 8252 - - - - - 7051 blCL maxRH 88 - - 89 - - 90 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 48.5 - - 50.9 - - - - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 39.6 - - 40.3 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 48.9 - - 51.6 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - - - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 59 - - 48 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1385 - - 2066 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 55 - - 61 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 4 013 12 256 12 327 11 296 96454 89352 14 033 13 130 6 315 5 130 89352 83889 7 028 16 109 10 176 8 095 83889 79355 5 122 12 073 16 135 9 352 79355 75414 9 146 4 052 10 137 8 325 75414 71917 8 158 3 130 9 141 9 292 71917 68747 6 210 7 213 7 149 9 262 68747 65816 6 231 10 217 6 183 12 216 65816 63090 12 215 17 225 12 196 14 209 63090 60451 26 210 22 235 21 227 16 233 60451 57685 32 212 33 220 28 236 17 253 57685 54784 39 217 40 217 35 237 25 250 54784 51993 44 215 44 221 42 234 29 241 51993 49472 43 217 50 221 43 230 28 238 49472 47221 47 216 49 222 41 234 36 240 47221 45198 46 225 47 227 45 233 48 239 45198 43352 53 233 46 231 38 241 51 227 43352 41646 59 230 45 239 43 258 39 236 41646 40068 55 232 59 243 62 250 60 253 40068 38606 58 239 64 235 78 240 82 247 38606 37244 70 238 57 235 75 239 87 240 37244 35942 71 236 60 245 79 245 87 239 35942 34633 63 237 79 250 89 248 88 241 34633 33290 58 235 88 249 91 249 88 241 33290 31918 50 233 87 246 87 248 87 240 31918 30498 45 231 81 241 82 244 84 237 30498 29022 40 224 77 239 81 239 79 237 29022 27495 32 226 68 241 77 238 66 237 27495 25925 31 226 57 236 65 240 54 237 25925 24310 29 223 37 216 49 238 51 232 24310 22644 27 222 30 212 37 226 49 225 22644 20928 27 226 26 218 28 215 38 221 20928 19159 28 229 18 213 18 207 23 206 19159 17372 28 226 17 206 14 199 20 188 17372 15658 23 215 18 190 16 188 18 183 15658 14101 20 207 18 175 19 179 18 200 14101 12714 18 203 18 170 20 169 23 208 12714 11475 17 197 18 171 19 162 26 198 11475 10365 16 185 16 171 17 155 26 183 10365 9370 14 172 15 158 16 142 22 170 9370 8478 13 154 15 138 15 135 17 159 8478 7682 12 137 15 130 14 135 13 145 7682 6971 11 126 14 126 12*141 9 125 6971 6325 10 122 12*123 9*149 9 101 6325 5747 8 119 9*126 6 158 10 081 5747 5261 6 110 6 134 5 171 13 070 5261 4883 6 097 4 159 4 174 14 059 4883 4623 6 083 3 165 4 175 12 046 4623 4464 5*067 3 168 4 178 9*036 4464 4373 3*059 3 173 4 181 6*028 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography