DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.0 - - 96.0 - - - - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 334 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5807 - - 11363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9002 - - 13435 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10635 - - 16191 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5265 - - 2112 - - - - - 12273 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 533 - - 651 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 56 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 263 - - - - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3879 - - 901 - - - - - -9057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14514 - - 15291 - - - - - 13434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5549 - - 59 - - - - - -11478 ODpotential blCL - - - 16184 - - 16132 - - - - - 15854 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 93 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.0 - - 96.0 - - - - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 43.6 - - - - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.7 - - 94.7 - - - - - 91.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 43.5 - - - - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 334 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5807 - - 11363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 72 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99010 31 109 26 129 11 097 99010 91529 24 106 25 122 17 082 91529 85777 21 113 22 111 19 097 85777 81009 14 110 17 108 17 086 81009 76885 11 123 14 111 18 066 76885 73236 12 120 12 129 12 074 73236 69951 13 108 12 132 7 109 69951 66967 15 106 12 117 7 129 66967 64234 10 091 10 107 6 066 64234 61613 2 073 7 082 5 049 61613 58909 2 134 3 109 3 050 58909 56133 4 232 7 212 8 325 56133 53511 11 247 13 245 15 304 53511 51156 11 248 10 238 18 274 51156 49031 11 267 14 272 19 281 49031 47086 16 262 20 279 22 291 47086 45288 16 257 21 280 26 288 45288 43608 16 266 19 279 26 284 43608 42030 19 280 20 285 23 286 42030 40541 20 288 22 296 21 291 40541 39135 19 293 23 297 23 298 39135 37780 20 292 24 293 24 304 37780 36410 17 289 20 288 20 306 36410 35000 13 286 13 275 16 297 35000 33555 10 294 9 279 12 283 33555 32063 9 299 9 276 10 277 32063 30512 6 272 10 255 8 276 30512 28907 7 233 12 248 7 293 28907 27252 8 212 13 249 8 308 27252 25550 6 237 10 240 7 314 25550 23802 7 281 6 276 5 297 23802 22004 6 281 4 310 7 260 22004 20147 3 268 2 022 4 230 20147 18270 2 076 7 045 6 053 18270 16469 3 056 8*048 9 043 16469 14827 2 043 5*041 9 038 14827 13355 1 141 4 030 7 031 13355 12035 2 153 3 024 7 020 12035 10846 3*142 2 285 6 011 10846 9775 3*142 3 267 7 359 9775 8814 3 152 4 253 7 347 8814 7954 3 164 5 245 8 336 7954 7185 3 183 5 242 9 329 7185 6487 4 196 6 239 10 323 6487 5862 5 208 6 236 10 320 5862 5336 6 210 6 234 10 318 5336 4928 6 211 6 232 10 317 4928 4646 6 211 6 232 8 320 4646 4474 6 210 6 231 7*323 4474 4375 6 210 6 231 5*329 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography