DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.3 - - 76.6 - - 76.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 462 - - 490 - - 184 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1676 - - 6648 - - 9852 - - 10064 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 9779 - - 12417 - - 11979 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 6504 - - 11476 - - 14680 - - 14892 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2292 - - 1805 - - 1305 - - 1968 - - 8990 Hgt.Variab. W* 216 - - 606 - - 705 - - 514 - - 4 W* B/S 6 - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 281 - - 258 - - 261 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 10 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 9 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6884 - - -4127 - - -2967 - - -3233 - - -10711 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13388 - - 15604 - - 17648 - - 18125 - - 15086 sfcLCL ODpotential -13413 - - -9435 - - -7114 - - -7494 - - -15861 ODpotential blCL 19917 - - 20911 - - 21794 - - 22386 - - 20236 blCL maxRH 64 - - 70 - - 82 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.3 - - 76.6 - - 76.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.6 - - 16.5 - - 13.0 - - 10.4 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 68.7 - - 74.8 - - 75.8 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 16.1 - - 12.6 - - 10.2 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 462 - - 490 - - 184 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1676 - - 6648 - - 9852 - - 10064 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97579 22 329 14 238 24 254 27 275 30 307 97579 90188 15 292 13 316 12 303 13 285 18 296 90188 84552 11 299 15 313 12 342 9 339 10 331 84552 79889 11 010 3 054 10 339 12 345 14 360 79889 75874 13 333 9 332 13 350 12 003 11 009 75874 72322 6 047 4 357 10 328 10 339 13 018 72322 69105 7 295 5 024 2 176 5 348 9 334 69105 66155 2 227 8 308 4 232 7 282 5 295 66155 63403 7 282 18 304 10 295 9 278 7 219 63403 60721 27 270 29 260 29 285 30 281 25 281 60721 57931 37 268 39 254 46 266 38 271 34 284 57931 55042 51 273 45 262 51 256 43 268 40 279 55042 52288 61 258 53 265 52 257 55 262 52 273 52288 49823 63 261 59 266 57 265 57 265 49 270 49823 47618 71 268 66 272 58 275 66 275 47 287 47618 45613 90 270 82 273 81 271 84 268 72 274 45613 43792 98 268 95 269 95 266 94 263 90 265 43792 42130 102 266 104 265 105 263 101 263 101 263 42130 40591 107 264 107 264 112 261 110 262 118 260 40591 39144 106 263 106 265 114 260 123 259 125 256 39144 37776 106 266 104 266 113 261 122 256 124 257 37776 36456 107 267 102 267 107 263 119 258 120 258 36456 35122 107 265 100 267 102 264 118 264 119 260 35122 33747 105 265 98 267 101 264 110 267 116 265 33747 32340 101 266 97 266 100 264 101 266 104 268 32340 30889 99 270 96 266 97 265 96 264 95 266 30889 29385 86 269 91 267 92 265 91 263 86 261 29385 27832 68 264 73 264 81 264 81 262 82 257 27832 26238 58 263 63 257 66 261 65 260 66 259 26238 24608 56 264 61 258 60 259 54 261 46 265 24608 22937 55 266 56 262 55 267 49 270 41 272 22937 21214 52 270 51 268 49 272 44 274 37 269 21214 19435 50 271 46 272 42 270 36 272 33 268 19435 17633 45 272 41 273 38 266 29 269 30 268 17633 15903 41 272 35 275 32*263 20*263 23 265 15903 14331 36 271 30 278 21*255 14*255 13 256 14331 12927 31 270 25 280 16 250 14 255 9 259 12927 11670 27 270 19*285 15 250 14 257 10 279 11670 10538 22 271 13*292 13 253 14 258 12 285 10538 9519 17 277 9 295 12 256 15 261 14 284 9519 8604 14 289 8 294 12 260 16 262 16 281 8604 7786 11 307 6 285 11 262 16 264 17 278 7786 7053 10*317 6 277 11 265 16 265 19 275 7053 6388 9*326 6 269 10 267 16 265 19 273 6388 5793 8 338 5 262 10 270 16 266 20 271 5793 5291 7 353 5 255 10 271 16 266 19 270 5291 4902 6 000 5 249 9 272 16 266 17 269 4902 4633 5 360 5 246 9 272 15 266 13 268 4633 4468 4 359 5 246 9 274 14 266 10*268 4468 4374 3 359 5 245 8 273 12 266 5*269 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography