DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.1 - - 77.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 488 - - 178 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9606 - - 11340 - - 11375 - - 311 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12191 - - 13641 - - 12985 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14434 - - 16168 - - 16203 - - 5139 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1322 - - 1085 - - 1446 - - 11866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 688 - - 738 - - 529 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 31 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 146 - - 160 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -43 - - -19 - - 27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1503 - - 933 - - 952 - - -8207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12932 - - 15236 - - 15251 - - 13346 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 31 - - -1018 - - -487 - - -10025 ODpotential blCL - - - 14403 - - 17186 - - 16690 - - 15164 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 69 - - 74 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.1 - - 77.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.7 - - 24.7 - - 24.8 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 75.4 - - 76.7 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 24.5 - - 24.7 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 468 - - 488 - - 178 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9606 - - 11340 - - 11375 - - 311 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97713 24 232 25 239 24 232 29 239 97713 90276 24 224 32 244 30 268 13 260 90276 84556 14 218 21 237 22 272 13 264 84556 79828 8 266 9 242 13 262 14 265 79828 75780 20 285 16 278 17 286 15 288 75780 72209 21 274 20 275 21 285 20 297 72209 68978 18 276 20 277 19 278 22 286 68978 66006 15 283 15 270 18 274 21 278 66006 63253 15 303 17 283 20 283 22 280 63253 60588 25 288 27 288 26 289 25 284 60588 57803 33 280 35 284 34 288 33 285 57803 54908 38 281 40 283 42 286 42 287 54908 52146 44 281 46 284 48 284 48 290 52146 49662 49 280 52 284 53 286 55 292 49662 47442 53 282 55 283 60 287 63 290 47442 45439 56 285 60 284 67 286 75 288 45439 43618 58 286 61 286 68 285 78 284 43618 41953 54 288 59 286 65 285 78 283 41953 40412 48 290 51 284 63 284 73 285 40412 38977 45 292 45 286 55 279 69 286 38977 37636 39 296 41 293 44 283 62 284 37636 36354 36 300 37 294 42 289 51 280 36354 35063 35 305 36 293 40 293 47 280 35063 33732 36 307 37 295 39 295 41 280 33732 32367 36 306 37 298 38 297 35 277 32367 30955 34 307 36 299 37 295 32 277 30955 29485 32 309 32 301 35 293 28 281 29485 27958 31 312 29 307 31 294 26 282 27958 26375 30 318 26 312 26 293 25 280 26375 24740 32 324 24 320 23 294 23 277 24740 23058 30 327 22 328 18 304 19 275 23058 21323 24 337 15 341 14 316 15 270 21323 19529 17 355 10 359 6 324 8 272 19529 17721 10 024 4*039 2*108 3 100 17721 15994 6*068 7*099 6*110 6 094 15994 14419 4*100 7 104 6 116 4 117 14419 13008 4 116 6 115 5 143 4 160 13008 11740 5 122 5 129 5 165 5 172 11740 10598 5 129 5 140 5 171 7 176 10598 9570 5 137 4 156 5 172 8 180 9570 8646 5 145 4 173 5 175 9 185 8646 7820 5 154 5 184 5 177 9 189 7820 7080 5 163 5 189 6 177 10 194 7080 6408 5 173 5 193 6 178 11 197 6408 5807 5 181 5 196 6 179 11 200 5807 5300 6 187 5 199 6 179 11*201 5300 4907 6 190 5 200 6 179 10*198 4907 4635 6 191 5 201 6 178 8 190 4635 4469 6 192 5 201 5 179 5 179 4469 4374 5 193 5 201 5 179 4 172 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography