DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.5 - - 95.1 - - 101.6 - - - - - 93.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 378 - - 442 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1127 - - 5897 - - 12009 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 9097 - - 14139 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5955 - - 10725 - - 16837 - - - - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1856 - - 5063 - - 2582 - - - - - 13602 Hgt.Variab. W* 183 - - 546 - - 729 - - - - - 5 W* B/S 6 - - 43 - - 67 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 258 - - 244 - - - - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - -17 - - -32 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5240 - - -3670 - - 357 - - - - - -11484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11196 - - 14396 - - 16480 - - - - - 15862 sfcLCL ODpotential -9301 - - -5756 - - -1601 - - - - - -14457 ODpotential blCL 15256 - - 16481 - - 18438 - - - - - 18834 blCL maxRH 82 - - 65 - - 57 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 50 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 84.5 - - 95.1 - - 101.6 - - - - - 93.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.7 - - 46.9 - - 43.8 - - - - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.9 - - 93.7 - - 99.8 - - - - - 98.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 46.5 - - 43.3 - - - - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 378 - - 442 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1127 - - 5897 - - 12009 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99511 47 107 43 097 42 097 29 100 99511 91964 47 094 43 108 46 103 38 094 91964 86159 43 088 39 111 39 107 41 083 86159 81379 37 099 32 106 35 105 35 082 81379 77269 31 107 30 102 30 105 30 088 77269 73631 30 107 28 102 28 107 28 097 73631 70336 28 103 22 105 25 109 27 088 70336 67323 26 097 23 107 23 108 22 084 67323 64559 16 087 22 095 21 111 20 091 64559 61908 12 084 20 085 17 096 13 101 61908 59185 10 080 15 089 14 086 10 069 59185 56416 11 095 11 112 9 093 7 062 56416 53789 7 124 7 149 3 344 9 028 53789 51425 9 141 9 173 8 254 13 333 51425 49302 4 093 6 182 9 237 12 302 49302 47354 11 333 7 299 10 247 16 285 47354 45540 13 290 13 267 13 255 12 315 45540 43842 20 281 16 266 14 284 18 322 43842 42249 20 284 16 284 14 289 18 313 42249 40748 20 278 14 301 11 289 18 299 40748 39330 22 269 12 324 6 293 17 301 39330 37964 23 268 14 326 4 337 13 281 37964 36588 22 271 17 310 12 339 9 278 36588 35176 17 279 13 309 14 338 6 004 35176 33731 6 334 6 346 13 355 12 023 33731 32237 11 039 10 010 10 008 11 026 32237 30684 12 036 12 012 9 016 7 012 30684 29078 9 045 11 016 10 012 7 011 29078 27419 9 041 8 026 8 017 8 028 27419 25711 10 037 8 040 5 045 9 047 25711 23955 12 060 9 073 4 094 8 044 23955 22147 14 090 5 115 4 197 4 027 22147 20285 12 105 6 210 4 204 3 236 20285 18401 3 182 9 214 3*190 4 091 18401 16587 8 271 7 217 2*146 6 070 16587 14930 5 278 1 212 1 083 5 058 14930 13445 2 172 2 082 0 003 3 042 13445 12111 2 164 4 106 1 287 3 352 12111 10911 2 341 3*098 2 269 4 328 10911 9830 6 344 1*064 2 263 5 315 9830 8859 6 337 1 301 3 257 6 310 8859 7992 3 326 2 276 4 249 8 306 7992 7215 1 217 3 266 4 247 9 302 7215 6510 4*183 3 259 4 240 10 299 6510 5879 5*171 3 253 5 237 11 295 5879 5347 6 161 3 246 5 235 11 292 5347 4935 6 161 4 238 5 234 11 291 4935 4650 6 160 3 235 5 233 9 293 4650 4476 5 159 3 234 5 233 7*296 4476 4376 5 160 3 232 5 232 5*303 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography