DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 99.8 - - 98.1 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 412 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3429 - - 13595 - - 12426 - - 27 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7159 - - 15407 - - 12436 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8257 - - 18423 - - 17254 - - 4855 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1770 - - 3231 - - 2549 - - 2118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 455 - - 743 - - 370 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 39 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 011 - - 022 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 19 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -12 - - -104 - - 27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2595 - - 3678 - - 2073 - - -4377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10853 - - 14746 - - 15182 - - 9233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5628 - - 1416 - - 750 - - -8041 ODpotential blCL - - - 13885 - - 17007 - - 16504 - - 12896 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 60 - - 101 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1240 - - 1030 - - 540 - - 2210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 99.8 - - 98.1 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 49.7 - - 46.3 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.3 - - 98.2 - - 98.6 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 49.2 - - 45.8 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 412 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3429 - - 13595 - - 12426 - - 27 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 103 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99189 41 110 33 105 31 091 32 094 99189 91752 34 104 32 108 25 105 29 093 91752 86006 34 104 28 103 30 113 25 092 86006 81227 34 108 24 103 28 097 28 099 81227 77105 30 100 28 107 25 088 26 091 77105 73463 24 094 26 100 20 100 21 082 73463 70178 17 099 18 104 16 089 16 083 70178 67173 14 099 12 118 10 082 13 085 67173 64399 13 094 8 145 3 070 9 067 64399 61727 14 096 7 105 3 174 4 310 61727 58970 6 046 8 032 4 082 2 231 58970 56146 8 271 9 332 9 007 2 031 56146 53479 16 208 11 259 13 312 13 327 53479 51093 8 157 11 201 11 257 17 294 51093 48955 12 014 5 123 4 206 9 287 48955 47010 21 341 12 014 4 022 6 340 47010 45215 17 321 17 356 12 341 11 333 45215 43537 12 309 14 348 13 338 12 316 43537 41960 8 340 10 340 12 338 12 323 41960 40472 11 021 9 000 9 347 8 328 40472 39068 12 028 9 004 8 359 6 353 39068 37715 12 025 9 010 8 001 8 016 37715 36352 13 025 10 036 8 008 8 023 36352 34951 11 017 11 051 6 022 5 002 34951 33517 7 006 8 036 5 042 3 257 33517 32034 5 013 5 020 9 052 3 224 32034 30492 5 065 7 061 12 064 2 135 30492 28894 7 088 12 076 12 084 7 109 28894 27242 11 084 15 103 14 118 9 136 27242 25543 15 091 15 117 9 090 11 116 25543 23802 10 095 7 105 11 057 13 086 23802 22013 9 105 8 152 9 057 18 063 22013 20171 15 105 13*138 8 057 20 057 20171 18302 16 102 12*109 6*053 18 059 18302 16500 13 091 12 092 6*043 13 051 16500 14852 11 067 10 068 5 030 9 043 14852 13376 9 054 9 017 5 023 7 030 13376 12050 7 059 9 012 5 016 7 014 12050 10857 4 043 8 349 5 010 7 357 10857 9784 4 347 7 336 4 007 6 333 9784 8819 6*316 7 311 4 006 6 298 8819 7958 5*286 7 297 3 008 7 264 7958 7187 4 258 8 287 3 015 10 246 7187 6488 3 242 8 279 3 024 13 236 6488 5863 4 228 8 273 2 035 15 227 5863 5337 4 218 8 269 3 041 15 216 5337 4929 4 212 8 265 3 044 13*198 4929 4647 4 209 8 264 3 043 11*180 4647 4474 4 207 8 263 3 046 10 171 4474 4375 4 207 7 261 3 047 8 162 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography