DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 91.5 - - 90.9 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 432 - - 102 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3397 - - 7222 - - 7218 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7084 - - 10220 - - 9361 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8225 - - 12050 - - 12046 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2313 - - 2544 - - 4040 - - 2570 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 612 - - 386 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 17 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 309 - - 308 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -302 - - 841 - - 897 - - -1530 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8527 - - 11210 - - 11150 - - 5907 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3087 - - -879 - - -1109 - - -5359 ODpotential blCL - - - 11312 - - 12929 - - 13155 - - 9735 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 91 - - 92 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 1340 - - 1360 - - 2940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 91.5 - - 90.9 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 57.0 - - 56.7 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 89.8 - - 91.0 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 56.5 - - 56.1 - - 66.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 432 - - 102 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3397 - - 7222 - - 7218 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 64 - - 66 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99073 38 105 31 119 24 097 35 093 99073 91563 33 096 27 113 27 109 33 093 91563 85836 32 098 32 095 27 108 30 103 85836 81099 29 102 33 089 30 093 26 094 81099 77006 21 109 28 095 31 092 23 080 77006 73387 20 113 24 099 24 108 19 084 73387 70119 20 104 22 099 23 109 23 105 70119 67137 18 097 20 106 19 093 28 104 67137 64396 14 120 16 120 15 077 26 094 64396 61758 16 160 10 121 14 083 19 093 61758 59037 18 132 13 146 17 112 16 098 59037 56242 21 108 19 131 19 118 12 109 56242 53579 23 108 19 122 21 130 15 127 53579 51174 24 110 27 118 26 125 20 120 51174 49007 30 102 31 108 28 120 24 108 49007 47023 31 097 29 110 26 123 23 112 47023 45190 30 100 28 119 28 132 22 133 45190 43488 29 109 28 121 32 136 28 140 43488 41896 28 113 28 122 32 132 30 134 41896 40398 28 114 27 122 30 131 30 136 40398 38986 27 115 27 123 29 132 27 139 38986 37628 25 114 24 125 25 129 25 140 37628 36261 21 120 20 124 18 124 21 136 36261 34857 20 126 16 119 13 128 15 131 34857 33421 23 122 16 111 14 125 11 134 33421 31938 24 114 19 111 14 118 12 130 31938 30396 24 106 22 113 16 112 18 116 30396 28800 23 101 23 112 19 113 20 112 28800 27150 19 099 21 108 20 110 21 113 27150 25454 17 093 19 097 19 107 22 112 25454 23715 17 090 19 096 18 107 23 112 23715 21924 17 095 17 103 17 104 22 107 21924 20076 16 102 15 108 17 103 21 098 20076 18208 12 113 13 107 16 083 21 091 18208 16414 12 125 11 108 13 081 19 083 16414 14778 11 122 9 111 11 075 14 070 14778 13313 8 119 7*087 9*057 8 044 13313 11998 2 087 6*048 6*028 6 357 11998 10814 4 335 6 357 5 346 7 326 10814 9749 6 325 7 329 5 328 9 316 9749 8791 8*329 7 322 6 313 11 310 8791 7935 8*318 7 308 6 297 12 307 7935 7169 8 303 8 295 7 291 13 308 7169 6475 8 295 9 290 7 287 13 313 6475 5854 8 284 9 286 7 286 13 319 5854 5331 8 280 9 282 7 284 13 317 5331 4926 8 277 9 280 7 281 12 320 4926 4645 7 274 9 278 6 281 10 327 4645 4474 7 273 9 278 6 281 8*333 4474 4375 6 273 8 276 6 280 5*339 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography