DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 95.6 - - 94.8 - - 83.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 508 - - 229 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6238 - - 9957 - - 10211 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9464 - - 12521 - - 12256 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11066 - - 14785 - - 15039 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1583 - - 1119 - - 1226 - - 8933 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 716 - - 555 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 253 - - 262 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 39 - - 16 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6517 - - -5086 - - -4436 - - -11748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17584 - - 19872 - - 19476 - - 16124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11725 - - -8849 - - -8448 - - -17594 ODpotential blCL - - - 22791 - - 23634 - - 23487 - - 21970 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 26 - - 30 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 95.6 - - 94.8 - - 83.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.4 - - 21.9 - - 23.2 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.2 - - 93.5 - - 94.1 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 21.8 - - 23.2 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 508 - - 229 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6238 - - 9957 - - 10211 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98644 14 096 13 107 6 077 15 067 98644 91170 22 090 19 124 8 092 12 083 91170 85416 20 097 21 093 13 095 13 097 85416 80649 14 101 18 078 12 080 19 092 80649 76560 17 116 19 082 14 071 20 082 76560 72960 18 113 11 119 14 088 18 085 72960 69713 8 103 10 107 14 101 11 105 69713 66740 7 182 2 129 11 074 12 114 66740 63994 8 191 8 241 4 356 1 354 63994 61355 11 217 15 240 15 275 12 291 61355 58626 10 217 16 227 22 250 22 271 58626 55806 19 258 20 254 25 245 28 257 55806 53119 29 265 26 270 24 258 26 258 53119 50699 36 262 34 265 34 259 33 265 50699 48536 38 251 44 256 57 255 58 259 48536 46571 38 248 52 250 67 249 69 249 46571 44759 42 251 48 244 57 247 69 245 44759 43073 45 250 44 249 48 248 57 249 43073 41499 43 251 42 251 42 253 47 251 41499 40024 36 259 37 253 38 256 40 251 40024 38637 30 270 33 264 35 261 36 252 38637 37305 28 275 30 267 33 271 29 265 37305 35965 27 278 27 268 29 274 24 277 35965 34589 26 277 26 266 27 272 23 282 34589 33179 25 274 27 263 26 268 22 283 33179 31721 25 276 28 262 25 270 21 283 31721 30205 26 282 26 270 25 275 22 288 30205 28636 26 288 24 278 24 280 22 293 28636 27011 24 286 22 279 24 283 21 297 27011 25335 24 280 22 280 25 284 19 304 25335 23609 24 276 24 278 24 285 18 311 23609 21826 22 271 24 274 23 286 18 310 21826 19983 22 267 24 275 22 286 20 305 19983 18115 22 275 22 287 20 290 20 302 18115 16320 20 286 18*295 12*285 16 296 16320 14688 17 286 13*274 8*255 6 284 14688 13235 15 275 12 258 8 252 3 276 13235 11933 14*268 12 256 8 253 3 279 11933 10760 10*266 11 254 9 256 5 282 10760 9704 9 262 10 253 11 261 7 279 9704 8756 8 259 10 251 12 264 10 275 8756 7909 7 255 9 249 12 266 14 271 7909 7150 7 249 9 247 13 268 17 269 7150 6461 6 243 8 246 13 268 18 267 6461 5846 6 236 8 244 14 269 19 266 5846 5325 6 230 7 242 13 269 19 266 5325 4923 6 226 7 241 13 270 17 267 4923 4643 6 222 7 241 13 270 13 268 4643 4473 5 221 7 240 12 270 10*268 4473 4375 5 221 6 239 11 270 5*270 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography