DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 96.9 - - 96.6 - - 87.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 443 - - 172 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9081 - - 13328 - - 12965 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11665 - - 15227 - - 14214 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13909 - - 18156 - - 17793 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3694 - - 1232 - - 1447 - - 13006 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 634 - - 754 - - 546 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 31 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 242 - - 257 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -31 - - -14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 173 - - 2771 - - 2550 - - -7596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13737 - - 15386 - - 15244 - - 11974 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2064 - - 886 - - 1007 - - -10293 ODpotential blCL - - - 15973 - - 17270 - - 16786 - - 14670 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 57 - - 67 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 190 - - 160 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 96.9 - - 96.6 - - 87.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 44.0 - - 44.4 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.6 - - 95.1 - - 96.0 - - 91.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 43.7 - - 44.2 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 443 - - 172 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9081 - - 13328 - - 12965 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99143 37 105 37 102 25 113 25 101 99143 91680 42 106 32 107 30 106 34 091 91680 85925 35 102 33 105 29 101 32 089 85925 81144 29 096 26 102 26 091 28 083 81144 77041 26 100 23 109 22 098 23 077 77041 73428 23 089 14 106 21 093 17 099 73428 70166 17 089 10 114 15 087 17 083 70166 67174 13 078 7 092 12 065 15 082 67174 64414 12 102 10 110 8 051 12 047 64414 61766 11 082 11 056 7 077 8 043 61766 59025 1 188 1 357 1 330 5 334 59025 56189 7 225 4 290 6 290 8 289 56189 53490 19 266 21 270 21 284 21 284 53490 51076 21 269 18 253 18 274 20 286 51076 48917 26 286 21 293 22 297 21 305 48917 46955 28 295 30 302 28 307 28 311 46955 45156 17 308 24 302 25 303 20 311 45156 43489 14 291 10 294 13 285 24 311 43489 41924 13 264 8 252 11 263 19 293 41924 40449 13 253 9 269 13 268 12 275 40449 39058 12 263 11 262 10 273 8 254 39058 37719 10 288 9 283 5 292 4 237 37719 36366 8 314 10 314 9 304 6 304 36366 34972 9 326 12 314 12 295 12 298 34972 33542 11 313 12 299 16 305 16 297 33542 32060 6 329 12 305 17 312 16 309 32060 30517 6 018 11 319 16 324 13 325 30517 28918 9 007 12 336 14 339 11 337 28918 27263 14 340 14 354 12 360 9 000 27263 25561 14 347 15 005 11 008 8 029 25561 23814 9 351 10 024 7 007 7 036 23814 22013 4 330 4 043 2 104 5 024 22013 20151 3 301 2 087 5 116 2 305 20151 18272 2 280 2*069 7*101 9 103 18272 16475 6 282 1*278 3*105 9 119 16475 14834 5*273 3 257 1 217 5 133 14834 13363 5*217 3 251 3 244 3 162 13363 12043 8 193 4 247 4 252 3 233 12043 10853 8 188 5 247 5 257 5 260 10853 9782 7 186 5 244 6 260 6 271 9782 8820 6 181 5 243 6 262 7 276 8820 7960 5 174 6 239 7 263 8 278 7960 7190 4 176 6 237 7 264 8 279 7190 6491 4 181 6 235 7 264 8 279 6491 5865 4 190 6 232 7 264 8 281 5865 5338 4 196 6 229 7 264 8 281 5338 4930 4 201 6 227 7 264 6 284 4930 4647 4 203 5 227 7 264 5 290 4647 4474 4 205 5 227 7 263 3*300 4474 4376 4 206 5 225 6 263 2*312 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography