DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 89.4 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 281 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 6592 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4359 - - 9521 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5954 - - 11420 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2160 - - 5459 - - - - - 3003 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 517 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 10 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 236 - - - - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 11 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1476 - - 1628 - - - - - -1544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7430 - - 9792 - - - - - 5920 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5411 - - -789 - - - - - -5673 ODpotential blCL - - - 11365 - - 12209 - - - - - 10049 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 98 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 2110 - - 2650 - - - - - 2830 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 89.4 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 61.1 - - - - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 88.5 - - - - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 60.7 - - - - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 281 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 6592 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 90 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99097 34 112 31 107 19 122 99097 91592 32 108 22 116 27 078 91592 85834 26 094 26 125 28 073 85834 81085 22 095 24 110 22 091 81085 77007 17 102 22 105 18 117 77007 73400 11 122 17 089 16 115 73400 70118 11 125 8 092 10 114 70118 67100 12 115 9 136 9 114 67100 64306 9 083 9 155 9 101 64306 61618 1 129 8 157 6 177 61618 58857 3 253 12 202 12 247 58857 56039 14 259 22 229 28 249 56039 53383 20 289 24 247 29 262 53383 50994 37 275 31 273 36 275 50994 48842 47 266 40 274 42 279 48842 46871 48 259 45 266 50 277 46871 45051 47 257 47 257 54 272 45051 43356 46 253 47 252 50 267 43356 41771 45 251 44 252 47 256 41771 40280 43 249 43 253 45 251 40280 38879 42 243 41 249 41 246 38879 37534 41 234 40 242 39 242 37534 36179 39 233 39 238 40 240 36179 34783 38 236 38 232 40 238 34783 33354 35 241 36 233 36 235 33354 31877 33 245 32 236 32 235 31877 30343 29 242 25 229 28 232 30343 28753 26 236 25 230 27 222 28753 27109 26 235 25 236 27 219 27109 25419 24 231 23 231 27 226 25419 23683 23 230 23 225 27 229 23683 21898 22 229 23 225 25 229 21898 20056 21 227 23 224 23 231 20056 18189 21 223 23 223 21 238 18189 16395 19 227 23 221 19 241 16395 14760 19 231 21 223 18 246 14760 13298 19 226 19 223 18 253 13298 11986 19 220 17*223 19 256 11986 10805 19 218 15*223 19 253 10805 9742 18 219 13 224 17 249 9742 8786 15 219 12 229 15 244 8786 7932 12 215 10 233 13 237 7932 7167 9 213 9 243 10 225 7167 6473 6*214 8 249 7 201 6473 5852 3*228 8 251 6 166 5852 5329 1 312 7 252 6 137 5329 4924 2 339 7 253 6 112 4924 4644 2 339 7 252 5 099 4644 4473 2 334 7 252 5*084 4473 4375 2 330 6 251 4*074 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography