DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 83.7 - - 81.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 234 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3511 - - 11677 - - 9302 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7094 - - 13450 - - 4358 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8339 - - 16505 - - 14130 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6608 - - 1505 - - 3488 - - 11059 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 586 - - 82 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 211 - - 203 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 21 - - 42 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2777 - - 4398 - - 2109 - - -6223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11116 - - 12107 - - 12021 - - 10598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4412 - - 2345 - - 416 - - -9082 ODpotential blCL - - - 12751 - - 14160 - - 13714 - - 13457 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 96 - - 98 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 330 - - 140 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 83.7 - - 81.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 45.4 - - 43.2 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.5 - - 83.0 - - 82.5 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 45.1 - - 42.9 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 234 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3511 - - 11677 - - 9302 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 85 - - 91 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97780 17 266 16 266 17 257 16 275 97780 90489 8 237 9 273 11 249 9 271 90489 84834 3 155 9 224 13 274 5 299 84834 80135 6 051 4 154 4 280 3 292 80135 76100 5 039 2 056 7 002 5 011 76100 72562 6 056 3 051 11 005 11 013 72562 69384 8 043 4 027 9 342 13 349 69384 66472 10 010 5 030 6 331 10 320 66472 63779 12 344 10 347 6 335 9 299 63779 61175 10 330 14 333 10 328 11 298 61175 58462 13 300 23 308 18 305 18 303 58462 55648 14 294 24 291 26 291 24 300 55648 52964 21 305 27 291 33 292 34 301 52964 50546 27 301 29 295 37 290 41 293 50546 48372 29 299 33 298 38 294 42 292 48372 46386 31 290 36 300 40 300 42 295 46386 44549 34 285 39 299 43 304 43 292 44549 42840 35 283 40 295 43 302 42 287 42840 41244 35 287 39 289 43 295 42 287 41244 39750 38 290 37 286 43 289 41 287 39750 38352 36 290 34 286 43 285 42 284 38352 37013 33 288 33 283 39 284 40 282 37013 35668 32 289 32 282 35 283 37 282 35668 34287 31 292 32 286 34 282 36 282 34287 32874 31 295 34 290 34 283 33 281 32874 31418 32 298 37 290 33 284 30 282 31418 29903 30 298 34 290 31 282 26 276 29903 28333 26 295 28 287 29 281 23 268 28333 26711 23 296 23 289 26 284 22 265 26711 25042 22 299 22 291 22 286 21 260 25042 23329 20 294 22 288 18 281 19 255 23329 21564 16 278 20 277 18 270 17 249 21564 19743 12 260 17 259 19 252 18 249 19743 17906 12 236 14*238 12 242 17 236 17906 16153 12 216 14*233 10 231 15 214 16153 14558 14 212 13 230 11*214 16 198 14558 13129 15 207 13 225 12*205 16 195 13129 11845 15 202 11 212 13 203 15 197 11845 10688 13 202 11 208 14 203 15 200 10688 9646 12 204 11 206 14 203 15 207 9646 8709 13*204 11 202 14 203 15 214 8709 7871 12*201 10 199 14 202 15 221 7871 7120 10 194 10 197 14 203 16 227 7120 6439 8 184 10 194 14 203 16 230 6439 5829 7 180 10 193 14 202 16 231 5829 5314 6 178 9 191 13 202 15 231 5314 4915 6 179 9 190 12 202 12 232 4915 4639 6 180 9 190 11 201 8 237 4639 4471 5 181 9 190 9 200 5*239 4471 4374 5 182 8 190 7 200 2*263 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography