DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 539 - - 232 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8066 - - 10015 - - 9515 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10889 - - 12601 - - 11713 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12894 - - 14843 - - 14343 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1976 - - 1439 - - 1698 - - 8739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 629 - - 733 - - 545 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 202 - - 205 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 42 - - 40 - - 26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1903 - - -1214 - - -2063 - - -10225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10991 - - 16057 - - 16407 - - 14601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 110 - - -5075 - - -6123 - - -15641 ODpotential blCL - - - 12784 - - 19918 - - 20466 - - 20016 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 45 - - 48 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 23.5 - - 21.2 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 78.0 - - 78.5 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 23.0 - - 20.8 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 539 - - 232 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8066 - - 10015 - - 9515 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98569 14 131 10 099 9 115 14 094 98569 91071 16 098 12 118 11 124 10 100 91071 85292 16 086 16 125 13 125 11 110 85292 80517 15 102 12 121 15 108 15 111 80517 76425 12 090 17 117 16 101 13 096 76425 72815 9 132 7 080 13 085 15 095 72815 69537 5 109 7 099 8 122 9 064 69537 66509 13 201 4 275 2 320 7 064 66509 63687 11 168 9 199 11 224 7 255 63687 60958 8 212 10 217 12 222 11 232 60958 58106 14 245 14 244 14 246 13 239 58106 55137 20 250 18 237 21 252 17 249 55137 52310 23 246 18 240 24 247 23 254 52310 49791 22 238 19 247 25 248 27 258 49791 47562 18 233 21 261 22 264 30 267 47562 45562 14 249 25 271 28 280 31 266 45562 43744 14 286 24 281 29 276 26 281 43744 42068 22 314 20 294 24 273 40 288 42068 40511 28 313 24 298 22 278 49 279 40511 39057 25 299 29 292 26 288 46 276 39057 37699 21 293 29 288 30 290 40 280 37699 36398 18 293 27 294 30 290 36 282 36398 35087 17 291 25 296 28 291 35 283 35087 33739 17 287 23 296 27 290 34 281 33739 32356 16 287 19 299 26 283 33 278 32356 30928 16 297 17 300 25 276 30 272 30928 29441 17 304 19 295 24 273 29 267 29441 27899 18 301 21 286 21 274 29 268 27899 26307 18 295 20 279 18 275 29 268 26307 24669 13 284 16 269 16 272 27 260 24669 22990 10 267 13 250 16 265 24 249 22990 21261 10 257 14 241 17 260 23 244 21261 19474 13 255 17 239 18 253 23 241 19474 17666 16 252 17 237 17 237 22 233 17666 15932 17 232 16*221 16 218 20 222 15932 14356 18 217 16*206 17*209 19 211 14356 12951 19*208 17 202 17*207 18 204 12951 11693 19*201 17 202 17 207 18 203 11693 10561 18 198 17 201 17 206 18 206 10561 9542 16 195 18 201 17 206 19 207 9542 8626 15 192 18 201 18 205 20 208 8626 7805 14 187 19 201 18 204 20 208 7805 7069 12 183 19 201 18 204 20 208 7069 6402 11 179 19 202 18 203 20 208 6402 5803 11 176 19 201 18 203 20 207 5803 5298 10 174 19 201 18 203 19 206 5298 4906 9 172 18 202 17 203 17 204 4906 4635 9 171 18 202 17 202 14 200 4635 4469 9 171 17 202 16 202 11*195 4469 4374 8 170 15 202 14 203 6*190 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography