DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 93.1 - - - - - 87.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 315 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2531 - - 7135 - - - - - 98 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6453 - - 10007 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7359 - - 11963 - - - - - 4926 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2219 - - 3453 - - - - - 7723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 402 - - 551 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 307 - - - - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -18 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2490 - - 285 - - - - - -6612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9849 - - 11678 - - - - - 11539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5539 - - -2012 - - - - - -9916 ODpotential blCL - - - 12898 - - 13975 - - - - - 14842 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 90 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 1070 - - - - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 93.1 - - - - - 87.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 92.0 - - - - - 90.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 56.0 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 315 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2531 - - 7135 - - - - - 98 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 61 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99166 35 112 36 103 37 090 99166 91605 39 110 32 106 36 101 91605 85841 36 105 31 111 34 096 85841 81099 31 096 34 102 29 093 81099 77007 31 090 30 100 25 091 77007 73378 26 089 29 106 19 094 73378 70088 23 099 23 097 19 113 70088 67096 18 118 13 094 25 105 67096 64362 20 123 8 126 27 095 64362 61744 19 115 13 155 15 099 61744 59025 22 121 25 156 4 087 59025 56213 20 154 26 155 22 161 56213 53566 21 188 24 171 25 156 53566 51200 23 192 24 189 23 189 51200 49064 26 185 32 182 32 194 49064 47108 27 184 36 178 33 188 47108 45298 25 174 33 180 31 180 45298 43610 24 169 28 171 29 177 43610 42023 21 172 26 168 25 174 42023 40527 16 169 21 159 23 170 40527 39112 11 174 15 148 21 169 39112 37751 9 201 8 196 17 175 37751 36377 15 222 6 197 19 144 36377 34967 17 218 9 172 18 137 34967 33522 15 179 13 151 15 149 33522 32027 15 157 18 154 17 151 32027 30475 12 160 14 164 22 160 30475 28872 12 180 17 163 23 167 28872 27218 17 191 17 167 26 173 27218 25515 21 191 17 165 27 182 25515 23767 21 192 22 160 24 183 23767 21970 20 200 28 160 22 177 21970 20121 17 211 28 163 22 168 20121 18252 11 217 26 168 22 164 18252 16455 4 219 20 161 21 161 16455 14812 5 044 12 140 18 151 14812 13340 11 042 6 141 14 146 13340 12019 11 050 3*230 6 163 12019 10833 11 068 5*267 3 222 10833 9765 10 078 6 280 4 259 9765 8807 7 078 6 299 4 278 8807 7950 3*059 6 309 5 286 7950 7182 3*004 6 316 6 288 7182 6486 4 357 5 325 6 287 6486 5863 4 355 5 329 7 287 5863 5337 4 353 4 335 7 286 5337 4929 4 349 4 338 7*286 4929 4647 3 345 4 338 6*287 4647 4474 3 342 3 340 5 293 4474 4375 3 340 3 341 4 298 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography