DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 46.9 - - 54.1 - - 53.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 141 - - 218 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1550 - - 3162 - - 1573 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 5411 - - 6761 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4372 - - 6378 - - 7990 - - 6401 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 660 - - 1790 - - 2134 - - 4595 - - 4130 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 252 - - 369 - - 54 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 55 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 088 - - 140 - - 228 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -18 - - -14 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6932 - - -6869 - - -8107 - - -10739 - - -11203 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11304 - - 13248 - - 16098 - - 17141 - - 15577 sfcLCL ODpotential -16871 - - -14067 - - -15264 - - -18305 - - -18923 ODpotential blCL 21243 - - 20445 - - 23254 - - 24706 - - 23296 blCL maxRH 88 - - 69 - - 73 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 46.9 - - 54.1 - - 53.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.3 - - 4.6 - - -1.4 - - -7.1 - - -6.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.7 - - 47.0 - - 53.7 - - 54.4 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.2 - - 3.4 - - -2.4 - - -7.9 - - -7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 141 - - 218 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1550 - - 3162 - - 1573 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95573 94 267 87 265 88 265 83 270 91 269 95573 88517 71 271 69 270 68 270 54 276 61 282 88517 83145 56 273 58 274 54 271 46 283 51 288 83145 78648 41 275 47 277 42 277 45 287 46 292 78648 74760 31 272 38 278 35 283 42 292 43 297 74760 71321 27 280 32 278 32 278 39 285 43 298 71321 68199 31 285 28 278 34 278 38 273 45 295 68199 65322 34 287 31 279 38 282 37 283 46 290 65322 62652 38 290 36 279 42 287 38 286 42 286 62652 60051 41 294 37 279 45 285 40 288 40 287 60051 57310 46 293 38 280 43 283 43 287 43 289 57310 54439 54 287 41 285 45 284 46 285 47 291 54439 51680 57 281 49 284 47 283 47 283 51 290 51680 49191 58 280 52 281 49 286 46 283 50 287 49191 46962 58 282 56 283 53 284 48 285 48 286 46962 44940 61 283 63 279 56 283 53 288 48 288 44940 43093 67 283 66 277 62 282 58 287 50 284 43093 41400 72 285 67 278 69 280 62 284 49 279 41400 39847 76 284 69 281 69 280 67 278 51 277 39847 38413 76 280 72 284 67 281 69 275 58 276 38413 37079 77 279 74 283 69 282 71 275 64 272 37079 35804 77 279 75 281 73 279 71 276 64 270 35804 34523 75 281 74 281 72 277 69 276 65 268 34523 33211 73 283 73 283 67 279 66 277 62 267 33211 31868 71 283 71 283 63 282 62 278 58 268 31868 30480 68 284 68 284 60 282 60 279 54 269 30480 29035 66 286 64 285 55 281 55 281 50 272 29035 27533 63 287 60 285 49 284 51 282 46 275 27533 25976 58 289 55 284 46 286 49 281 41 276 25976 24369 45 292 51 287 44 287 45 283 38 274 24369 22714 33 293 43 294 39 293 38 287 36 277 22714 21007 32 297 35 296 31 301 33 291 31 284 21007 19243 32 305 30 301 27 304 29 300 23 289 19243 17453 29 311 28 313 22 310 24 310 18 303 17453 15730 25 318 23 322 16 322 17 320 14 301 15730 14158 21 330 17 328 12 338 11 334 9 299 14158 12756 19 341 13 330 9 352 7 347 4 335 12756 11505 18 350 10 335 6 354 5 020 4 044 11505 10385 17 354 9 351 4 001 6 061 5 075 10385 9383 14 356 8 015 4 053 6 081 5 089 9383 8486 10 355 6 046 5*084 6 091 5 106 8486 7686 7 356 6 081 5*086 5 097 3 120 7686 6971 5 021 7*094 3 087 3*115 2 141 6971 6324 8 051 6*091 2 101 2*165 3 140 6324 5746 13 062 4 082 1 185 3 220 3 126 5746 5259 18 062 2 076 2 217 4 233 3 109 5259 4883 15 050 1 089 3 221 4 237 4 086 4883 4622 10 032 0 176 3 222 4 238 5 071 4622 4463 5*355 1 195 3 222 4 239 6*059 4463 4372 4*314 1 213 3 224 4 238 5*054 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography