DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 61.4 - - 57.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 3 - - -22 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2990 - - 5061 - - 3779 - - 859 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5885 - - 6425 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7818 - - 9889 - - 8607 - - 5687 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1821 - - 1709 - - 2343 - - 3528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 240 - - 134 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 216 - - 231 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 48 - - 58 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3151 - - 3861 - - 3667 - - 416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4668 - - 6028 - - 4940 - - 5272 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 926 - - 1169 - - -335 - - -2825 ODpotential blCL - - - 6892 - - 8720 - - 8942 - - 8512 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 87 - - 85 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 140 - - 180 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 61.4 - - 57.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 49.8 - - 50.9 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 3 - - -22 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2990 - - 5061 - - 3779 - - 859 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 49 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97419 16 294 22 292 17 288 23 291 97419 90206 12 300 13 276 12 304 13 322 90206 84639 12 310 6 260 9 301 13 346 84639 80007 8 294 2 299 7 353 10 336 80007 76021 8 260 3 211 8 351 5 028 76021 72517 4 283 4 216 4 299 6 010 72517 69349 4 338 0 035 3 338 4 318 69349 66438 7 255 9 286 9 010 5 013 66438 63750 4 261 9 252 8 253 8 298 63750 61140 4 310 2 252 2 180 2 206 61140 58393 17 250 19 221 15 223 19 220 58393 55533 30 232 22 224 23 248 17 230 55533 52790 39 243 32 246 34 251 23 271 52790 50298 56 242 46 252 47 249 39 267 50298 48048 68 237 58 244 53 246 54 253 48048 46004 79 233 66 237 61 246 63 246 46004 44131 92 230 72 236 67 245 67 246 44131 42395 95 229 83 237 71 243 71 247 42395 40772 97 232 94 235 77 241 75 248 40772 39249 103 234 91 230 81 239 79 245 39249 37828 99 232 76 232 78 237 78 243 37828 36480 81 229 71 242 69 239 73 243 36480 35138 68 243 69 247 67 244 70 246 35138 33772 70 246 65 249 68 244 72 247 33772 32379 63 239 62 250 66 242 71 242 32379 30940 55 248 58 252 64 243 69 239 30940 29443 55 257 61 250 63 245 66 242 29443 27888 56 258 67 249 63 248 66 247 27888 26279 54 257 67 248 64 250 66 250 26279 24619 52 254 62 246 64 249 67 251 24619 22913 52 252 59 245 62 247 67 248 22913 21154 52 250 57 245 60 246 66 242 21154 19343 52 247 56 245 59 244 65 238 19343 17515 50 245 54 242 56 239 61 237 17515 15769 45 243 50 238 51 235 54 236 15769 14190 39 238 44 234 45 233 45 233 14190 12788 35 229 36 229 37 233 36 230 12788 11539 32 218 28 225 29 232 28 227 11539 10420 30 215 23*225 22 231 21 225 10420 9417 27 218 22*225 18*233 16 225 9417 8516 25*222 22 223 18*234 13 232 8516 7713 24*223 22 221 17 234 11 246 7713 6995 23 222 22 217 17 234 11 263 6995 6343 22 220 21 215 17 232 12 274 6343 5761 20 217 21 212 16 231 13*278 5761 5270 18 212 20 210 16 228 13*278 5270 4890 17 209 19 208 14 225 11 281 4890 4626 15 207 18 207 12 222 7 287 4626 4465 14 206 16 206 10 219 5 293 4465 4373 11 205 13 205 7 215 2 299 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography