DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.8 - - 94.6 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 400 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7159 - - 10691 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10092 - - 12995 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11987 - - 15519 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2989 - - 2119 - - - - - 12496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 577 - - 677 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 284 - - - - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -22 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1979 - - 517 - - - - - -9053 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13967 - - 15003 - - - - - 13430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3911 - - -584 - - - - - -11660 ODpotential blCL - - - 15898 - - 16103 - - - - - 16036 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 77 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.8 - - 94.6 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 43.4 - - - - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.5 - - 93.0 - - - - - 91.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 43.3 - - - - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 400 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7159 - - 10691 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 8 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99089 25 105 26 121 21 077 99089 91555 21 106 21 115 18 071 91555 85778 14 114 17 105 20 091 85778 81007 12 115 13 109 18 101 81007 76900 12 123 9 109 18 113 76900 73283 12 112 11 124 15 120 73283 70028 12 117 13 118 12 123 70028 67049 13 117 14 130 9 120 67049 64302 9 121 13 129 5 088 64302 61671 4 248 6 146 1 354 61671 58958 13 223 13 220 5 203 58958 56173 21 218 22 217 10 236 56173 53548 24 216 21 231 18 231 53548 51197 24 224 23 230 20 233 51197 49071 26 233 26 215 25 242 49071 47120 30 247 25 217 30 236 47120 45309 34 247 27 231 26 225 45309 43613 33 244 29 238 22 231 43613 42019 31 243 29 239 21 239 42019 40517 34 241 32 245 24 252 40517 39100 38 237 35 251 27 262 39100 37738 38 235 35 251 27 260 37738 36367 38 235 35 244 27 250 36367 34957 36 235 35 240 24 237 34957 33513 35 235 35 239 22 232 33513 32022 33 238 32 238 21 231 32022 30474 29 240 26 240 21 227 30474 28872 24 244 20 238 19 223 28872 27218 20 244 16 229 13 211 27218 25516 17 239 16 218 11 197 25516 23768 16 240 16 219 10 194 23768 21967 14 237 13 232 7 204 21967 20109 11 228 9 236 8 220 20109 18233 8 221 4 222 5 163 18233 16436 6 232 1*219 7 103 16436 14799 5 254 3*303 7 085 14799 13332 6*271 4 299 5 084 13332 12015 7*282 5 296 3 058 12015 10829 6 289 5 292 2 013 10829 9762 5 291 6 288 3 343 9762 8803 5 289 6 284 4 336 8803 7946 4 285 6 280 5 331 7946 7179 4 281 7 277 6 331 7179 6482 4 275 7 275 7 331 6482 5860 4 268 7 273 7 332 5860 5334 4 260 7 272 7 332 5334 4927 4 257 7 271 7 333 4927 4646 4 254 7 270 6 336 4646 4474 4 253 7 270 4*341 4474 4375 4 250 6 270 4*344 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography