DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.0 - - 79.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 68 - - 119 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 613 - - 1239 - - 4472 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4358 - - 4358 - - 7426 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5441 - - 6067 - - 9300 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1482 - - 3876 - - 2973 - - 2577 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 211 - - 343 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 230 - - 197 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -28 - - 18 - - 13 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 316 - - 323 - - 1179 - - -214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5125 - - 5744 - - 8122 - - 4589 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3926 - - -3220 - - -1140 - - -3447 ODpotential blCL - - - 9367 - - 9287 - - 10440 - - 7822 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 98 - - 76 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 1620 - - 1780 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.0 - - 79.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.7 - - 62.3 - - 58.9 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 73.4 - - 80.0 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 60.9 - - 58.5 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 68 - - 119 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 613 - - 1239 - - 4472 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 93 - - 2 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98950 27 118 20 126 14 078 26 078 98950 91488 27 100 26 116 17 100 22 077 91488 85747 26 095 25 109 23 104 20 080 85747 81021 17 113 19 107 26 100 17 094 81021 76961 16 123 15 114 17 104 13 088 76961 73362 16 132 13 135 9 116 10 095 73362 70098 13 138 11 137 9 143 5 080 70098 67097 8 161 5 127 9 145 6 130 67097 64311 9 176 5 183 7 175 8 164 64311 61619 8 189 12 196 6 199 7 212 61619 58837 18 233 21 219 23 231 20 241 58837 55984 19 206 26 212 30 224 27 240 55984 53281 14 239 21 233 31 245 37 250 53281 50853 38 257 40 251 41 251 42 265 50853 48669 53 244 48 246 45 261 49 271 48669 46671 59 236 52 242 48 268 53 271 46671 44822 64 231 53 238 49 267 54 276 44822 43105 65 226 52 230 46 257 53 279 43105 41504 59 222 51 222 45 239 49 276 41504 40006 51 215 49 217 45 231 41 265 40006 38604 42 202 46 212 44 223 37 251 38604 37263 36 190 47 205 43 221 37 241 37263 35917 36 188 47 205 43 219 37 233 35917 34532 36 186 45 209 48 216 38 226 34532 33111 35 187 43 213 52 216 38 226 33111 31641 36 192 41 215 47 222 37 231 31641 30114 39 199 39 219 41 226 35 238 30114 28534 42 208 37 226 35 226 31 244 28534 26899 42 216 35 233 33 225 28 251 26899 25217 37 223 31 234 30 230 26 256 25217 23489 27 226 27 232 27 239 23 256 23489 21710 23 227 22 235 21 246 22 253 21710 19875 23 235 17 249 17 249 21 258 19875 18020 21 251 17 266 17 256 20 267 18020 16238 19 270 16 280 16 264 17 270 16238 14615 17 285 12 291 13 271 14 269 14615 13164 13 288 10 305 9 269 13 271 13164 11864 7 300 9 313 8 244 12 271 11864 10695 4 008 7 321 9 224 10 265 10695 9645 7 063 3 332 10*217 7 252 9645 8704 12 074 1 097 10*213 4 212 8704 7863 17 076 3 141 9 210 5 166 7863 7111 20 076 4 163 8 206 6 157 7111 6430 22 076 5*192 7 191 6 157 6430 5822 23*075 7*215 6 184 6 141 5822 5309 23*072 10 232 6 181 6 110 5309 4912 22 071 10 233 6 180 8 080 4912 4638 20 071 9 233 6 179 8 066 4638 4470 17 071 9 233 6 178 6*063 4470 4374 11 074 7 232 5 178 5*062 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography