DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 86.0 - - 86.0 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 353 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2651 - - 5358 - - 6245 - - 165 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6231 - - 8647 - - 8548 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7479 - - 10186 - - 11073 - - 4993 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2152 - - 3040 - - 3272 - - 2239 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 519 - - 355 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 215 - - 223 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 18 - - 18 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 942 - - 1205 - - 1688 - - 619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6537 - - 8981 - - 9386 - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2613 - - -658 - - -451 - - -1796 ODpotential blCL - - - 10092 - - 10844 - - 11524 - - 6789 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 81 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 1910 - - 1950 - - 1580 - - 3540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 86.0 - - 86.0 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.6 - - 61.2 - - 59.5 - - 70.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 84.7 - - 86.1 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 60.8 - - 59.0 - - 69.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 353 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2651 - - 5358 - - 6245 - - 165 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 9 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 7 151 8 186 3 219 6 082 98769 91379 12 118 14 159 9 164 2 217 91379 85645 13 116 12 135 10 121 3 150 85645 80864 13 112 14 121 12 100 12 105 80864 76743 5 070 13 104 11 097 11 079 76743 73112 3 159 8 118 3 072 9 079 73112 69824 5 303 5 036 2 050 5 053 69824 66824 8 203 6 282 5 333 5 349 66824 64084 3 283 4 247 4 338 3 337 64084 61451 13 296 10 303 10 344 8 011 61451 58735 6 285 11 280 16 294 14 306 58735 55953 10 310 10 289 15 285 18 274 55953 53319 21 306 21 305 21 306 18 298 53319 50964 26 298 24 300 21 307 17 313 50964 48851 26 297 23 307 19 314 17 323 48851 46914 26 296 22 312 17 314 15 312 46914 45118 24 296 21 300 16 308 14 298 45118 43441 22 298 21 289 18 295 14 296 43441 41863 18 298 18 281 19 279 16 292 41863 40374 14 300 14 271 18 268 17 285 40374 38967 10 302 12 259 19 258 19 277 38967 37614 9 295 11 249 21 255 24 272 37614 36253 11 284 13 249 25 267 25 267 36253 34853 12 282 15 257 24 275 24 266 34853 33416 14 286 16 283 22 288 20 269 33416 31929 15 293 16 299 21 301 21 290 31929 30384 16 303 15 309 19 312 18 296 30384 28787 17 308 14 322 14 328 12 300 28787 27136 17 312 12 338 11 341 7 315 27136 25437 15 313 10 356 6 327 4 348 25437 23691 11 304 9 001 2 003 2 019 23691 21893 9 323 5 354 2 048 1 244 21893 20036 3 245 5 224 4 251 3 197 20036 18156 8 213 9 221 7 240 5 183 18156 16351 7 217 8 246 7 245 5 180 16351 14711 5 238 8 266 6 260 3 167 14711 13246 6 230 7 260 8 271 3 161 13246 11934 8 233 8 255 9*267 3 229 11934 10755 9 239 9*257 9*263 7 266 10755 9695 10 246 9*251 9 252 9 267 9695 8745 10 250 8 242 8 240 9 256 8745 7896 9*254 7 228 8 226 9 238 7896 7138 6*256 7 214 8 210 9 223 7138 6451 3 250 7 199 8 203 8 210 6451 5837 2 226 7 195 8 199 5 177 5837 5319 2 212 7 191 8 196 5*117 5319 4919 2 203 7 191 8 195 7*089 4919 4642 3 200 7 190 8 194 7 078 4642 4472 3 198 7 190 7 193 6 072 4472 4375 3 194 7 189 7 193 4 068 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography