DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 60.9 - - 61.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 28 - - 18 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 707 - - 883 - - 570 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5535 - - 5711 - - 5398 - - 4846 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1839 - - 1624 - - 1777 - - 1457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 128 - - 95 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 21 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 303 - - 167 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - 21 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1162 - - 1338 - - 1024 - - 473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4374 - - 4374 - - 4374 - - 4374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 371 - - 811 - - 679 - - 375 ODpotential blCL - - - 5164 - - 4900 - - 4719 - - 4471 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 170 - - 470 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 60.9 - - 61.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 59.4 - - 60.6 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 61.7 - - 62.3 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 58.9 - - 60.4 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 28 - - 18 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 707 - - 883 - - 570 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98124 2 081 4 036 5 104 3 264 98124 90746 8 096 9 144 2 219 5 359 90746 85082 7 109 6 161 1 026 8 034 85082 80389 8 116 4 143 6 050 8 046 80389 76332 6 101 5 148 7 007 10 023 76332 72763 5 087 9 097 3 071 7 011 72763 69577 6 099 7 077 6 073 3 035 69577 66673 3 032 2 092 5 008 5 090 66673 63968 9 312 2 158 4 293 3 315 63968 61340 10 267 8 305 9 262 5 252 61340 58616 16 227 15 255 13 267 13 269 58616 55814 21 253 27 253 22 272 23 264 55814 53126 39 264 40 257 34 269 33 273 53126 50694 47 263 49 260 55 259 64 259 50694 48515 61 263 62 257 77 255 83 253 48515 46527 69 262 76 256 90 253 88 250 46527 44683 73 261 82 256 91 252 88 249 44683 42960 78 259 88 258 91 253 88 250 42960 41342 82 256 92 258 94 254 92 251 41342 39818 85 255 90 256 98 254 98 251 39818 38380 85 255 86 254 100 253 101 249 38380 36996 79 253 78 252 95 253 97 248 36996 35605 70 247 68 245 83 252 87 247 35605 34185 55 235 58 232 72 245 77 245 34185 32743 51 230 56 229 68 233 70 241 32743 31265 54 231 57 228 65 228 68 232 31265 29740 53 231 56 227 56 226 70 224 29740 28167 52 231 55 227 52 225 70 222 28167 26546 51 230 54 226 54 225 68 222 26546 24879 49 226 54 225 55 226 67 223 24879 23166 49 222 54 224 55 229 58 225 23166 21405 50 220 53 222 50 235 50 223 21405 19590 50 221 50 221 41 241 41 225 19590 17753 49 221 45 221 38 243 40 229 17753 15994 48 222 38 229 41 247 37 236 15994 14395 45 228 34 237 39 249 33 241 14395 12971 40 231 26 243 36 247 28 244 12971 11698 29 230 21 244 30 244 22 242 11698 10554 15 221 16 244 24 240 18 234 10554 9526 6 207 10 245 18 233 15 226 9526 8604 2 242 5 259 14 218 13 220 8604 7782 5 303 4 296 12 200 12 217 7782 7046 6 308 4 329 11 185 12 217 7046 6381 5 323 5 346 11 178 11 218 6381 5786 5*347 4*345 11*179 11 218 5786 5286 4*001 3*339 10*172 8 208 5286 4899 3 355 1 305 10 167 6*198 4899 4631 2 330 1 264 9 164 5*187 4631 4468 2 323 1 254 8 163 4 181 4468 4374 1 324 1 249 7 163 4 177 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography