DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 73.8 - - 72.4 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 226 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1910 - - 5593 - - 5832 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5832 - - 8623 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6738 - - 10421 - - 10660 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1991 - - 1691 - - 1470 - - 4299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 453 - - 54 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 281 - - 265 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -4 - - 26 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4405 - - -3580 - - -3476 - - -6830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11143 - - 14002 - - 14136 - - 11205 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11009 - - -9038 - - -9292 - - -14607 ODpotential blCL - - - 17747 - - 19459 - - 19952 - - 18981 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 35 - - 42 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 73.8 - - 72.4 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 27.5 - - 25.6 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 73.2 - - 74.4 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 26.8 - - 24.5 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 226 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1910 - - 5593 - - 5832 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97364 45 270 48 259 55 263 53 273 97364 90094 42 269 41 267 45 272 43 278 90094 84491 36 265 38 268 33 274 36 279 84491 79795 24 260 29 258 27 270 35 271 79795 75721 15 264 17 257 24 270 30 273 75721 72141 18 275 13 285 19 281 21 274 72141 68926 24 266 20 287 23 289 19 275 68926 65985 24 259 23 268 25 285 19 282 65985 63264 19 263 22 261 24 282 21 286 63264 60630 21 279 23 268 25 275 27 285 60630 57882 28 283 30 276 31 270 32 275 57882 55035 31 275 36 271 34 273 38 278 55035 52333 35 273 38 273 42 281 36 268 52333 49913 35 270 40 272 40 274 36 302 49913 47758 31 275 40 277 47 300 47 306 47758 45817 35 290 41 287 59 298 51 330 45817 44032 37 284 42 295 46 305 67 341 44032 42373 30 287 32 298 39 318 74 335 42373 40824 24 303 27 296 37 318 66 330 40824 39379 21 315 28 295 28 305 35 315 39379 38026 23 316 26 293 29 293 32 297 38026 36728 20 317 25 294 27 291 38 295 36728 35419 18 319 24 291 27 284 41 301 35419 34070 17 322 22 286 27 286 36 303 34070 32683 16 319 18 282 27 291 31 303 32683 31247 14 314 16 279 27 291 27 298 31247 29754 14 311 15 281 25 289 24 294 29754 28207 15 316 13 297 18 285 20 288 28207 26607 16 323 14 311 10 273 18 277 26607 24958 15 336 15 312 10 266 17 272 24958 23260 15 348 14 312 12 268 17 275 23260 21507 15 353 11 320 12 270 18 278 21507 19691 15 350 9 323 13 275 18 284 19691 17846 14 339 10 320 14 286 18 292 17846 16068 13 327 11 330 13 296 16 303 16068 14449 13 324 10 331 12 305 15 312 14449 13004 12 317 11 314 11 305 13 313 13004 11716 11 303 13 298 10*289 10 307 11716 10566 11 293 13*289 10*278 3 282 10566 9537 11 289 11*284 9 275 3 192 9537 8616 10 289 10 283 8 273 2 247 8616 7793 7 288 9 284 7 269 6 294 7793 7056 4*281 7 282 6 264 10 292 7056 6389 2*255 6 281 5 257 13 287 6389 5793 1 217 5 278 5 250 12 284 5793 5290 1 206 4 275 4 241 9 285 5290 4901 1 204 4 271 4 235 5 290 4901 4632 2 205 4 269 4 230 1 307 4632 4468 2 202 3 269 3 223 1*064 4468 4373 2 202 3 267 3 218 2*070 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography