DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.8 - - 90.9 - - 98.1 - - 98.4 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 115 - - 416 - - 452 - - 187 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2362 - - 5194 - - 11692 - - 12895 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5874 - - 8576 - - 13893 - - 14246 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 7190 - - 10022 - - 16520 - - 17723 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1641 - - 2318 - - 3388 - - 2398 - - 3483 Hgt.Variab. W* 271 - - 540 - - 729 - - 563 - - 19 W* B/S 20 - - 17 - - 29 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 290 - - 283 - - 302 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 14 - - -17 - - -24 - - -18 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2041 - - -1477 - - 2278 - - 2314 - - -2783 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9232 - - 11499 - - 14243 - - 15409 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -7044 - - -4095 - - -493 - - 253 - - -7155 ODpotential blCL 14234 - - 14117 - - 17013 - - 17470 - - 11532 blCL maxRH 60 - - 70 - - 67 - - 69 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 360 - - 1040 - - 940 - - 490 - - 3420 CAPE Temp@2m 80.8 - - 90.9 - - 98.1 - - 98.4 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.2 - - 55.3 - - 50.2 - - 45.5 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.8 - - 89.3 - - 96.3 - - 97.9 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 55.0 - - 49.9 - - 45.3 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 115 - - 416 - - 452 - - 187 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2362 - - 5194 - - 11692 - - 12895 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99244 38 111 37 107 33 110 37 107 34 101 99244 91743 39 096 38 100 35 113 32 116 32 097 91743 85963 39 097 33 104 35 106 32 108 32 097 85963 81176 34 097 26 104 33 100 32 095 34 099 81176 77059 30 101 26 100 29 102 28 100 35 093 77059 73442 27 105 25 100 24 105 26 095 28 086 73442 70188 25 103 23 112 22 117 18 094 21 090 70188 67200 20 097 22 114 16 089 13 110 14 097 67200 64421 10 065 17 107 6 112 10 064 15 096 64421 61737 1 346 12 082 11 159 5 027 12 040 61737 58980 4 288 4 016 5 096 2 076 9 035 58980 56160 5 354 4 256 8 341 8 040 11 045 56160 53500 4 104 3 190 6 268 9 332 11 011 53500 51127 7 063 7 035 10 200 10 261 4 315 51127 48996 14 003 16 359 5 027 8 217 4 315 48996 47040 22 344 20 346 15 352 4 292 11 327 47040 45226 25 334 23 338 21 337 12 329 17 324 45226 43533 26 317 23 329 24 329 17 330 20 321 43533 41945 25 306 23 318 25 317 20 320 21 308 41945 40453 23 301 22 309 24 309 17 302 21 296 40453 39048 22 294 21 305 21 302 19 293 20 292 39048 37698 22 292 19 306 19 303 21 294 19 288 37698 36335 21 296 17 304 17 308 21 303 16 298 36335 34933 19 305 16 307 14 312 21 321 14 313 34933 33495 17 315 13 316 6 302 16 324 8 265 33495 32012 11 314 8 317 4 257 8 276 10 218 32012 30474 6 286 5 326 3 255 6 241 4 231 30474 28879 4 257 5 009 2 261 2 216 3 305 28879 27232 4 220 5 015 1 325 1 020 5 243 27232 25537 7 197 3 273 2 357 4 357 7 240 25537 23796 5 213 11 241 4 305 6 330 4 247 23796 22001 7 205 13 241 7 286 5 290 3 286 22001 20150 8 191 8 236 4 270 2 296 4 001 20150 18278 8 177 7 200 3*223 4*007 11 038 18278 16481 4 176 2 290 1*339 5*356 10 034 16481 14839 7 329 6 343 2 339 5 334 5 021 14839 13366 15 331 7 351 3 295 6 321 2 335 13366 12042 16 327 6 355 3 289 6 316 3 297 12042 10851 13 309 5*328 5 282 6 310 5 285 10851 9779 11 283 6*303 6 279 7 299 7 278 9779 8816 11 268 6 293 6 277 7 294 9 272 8816 7956 11*266 6 293 7 277 7 289 11 269 7956 7186 8*267 6 291 7 277 8 287 11 264 7186 6488 4 277 6 289 7 277 8 283 9 261 6488 5863 2 309 6 286 7 276 8 282 7 257 5863 5337 1 281 6 283 7 275 8 281 4 243 5337 4930 1 243 5 281 7 274 8 280 3 186 4930 4647 1 222 5 279 7 274 8 279 4 134 4647 4474 1 196 5 279 7 274 8 278 4*112 4474 4376 1 182 5 278 6 274 7 278 3*085 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography