DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.9 - - 83.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 383 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3519 - - 7053 - - 9790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7193 - - 10024 - - 10705 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8347 - - 11881 - - 14618 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3556 - - 3025 - - 2653 - - 10888 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 443 - - 581 - - 359 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 33 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 270 - - 283 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 12 - - 10 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -15 - - 20 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1141 - - -64 - - 1580 - - -6886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9489 - - 11946 - - 13039 - - 11262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3101 - - -1368 - - 88 - - -9540 ODpotential blCL - - - 11448 - - 13249 - - 14530 - - 13915 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 74 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 60 - - 80 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.9 - - 83.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 44.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 80.5 - - 83.4 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 44.2 - - 40.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 383 - - 65 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3519 - - 7053 - - 9790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 65 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98399 6 153 15 162 8 184 2 104 98399 90994 7 129 12 124 12 132 10 115 90994 85280 16 124 8 122 9 106 13 089 85280 80552 16 112 11 125 7 132 7 054 80552 76506 9 079 13 114 9 112 7 070 76506 72947 9 076 9 086 8 107 8 066 72947 69732 9 112 8 090 8 090 5 076 69732 66780 9 138 2 153 3 061 5 054 66780 64036 9 177 10 225 5 270 4 344 64036 61384 13 187 12 219 10 238 10 273 61384 58624 10 236 14 226 14 223 17 237 58624 55751 26 248 26 236 22 246 22 247 55751 52995 34 240 35 238 34 252 32 259 52995 50510 37 241 41 239 43 250 41 258 50510 48286 39 248 41 241 46 247 46 256 48286 46279 40 257 38 250 41 245 46 253 46279 44453 39 257 39 254 38 256 44 261 44453 42783 34 261 34 257 42 264 45 269 42783 41236 31 268 32 274 42 266 49 273 41236 39786 27 276 32 281 39 269 52 275 39786 38420 26 263 30 285 38 273 49 276 38420 37103 23 250 28 290 38 275 42 276 37103 35773 23 244 27 296 35 277 36 273 35773 34400 22 241 27 297 33 280 33 273 34400 32991 22 239 25 297 30 284 30 272 32991 31534 22 232 24 298 29 290 31 267 31534 30020 18 229 21 295 28 292 32 264 30020 28449 18 231 20 282 26 292 30 263 28449 26824 21 245 20 269 23 297 25 266 26824 25150 19 254 16 277 19 305 22 277 25150 23430 13 260 16 282 16 306 21 289 23430 21656 9 288 15 267 16 294 20 293 21656 19820 11 302 13 266 16 281 19 297 19820 17960 11 308 13 276 8 287 18 309 17960 16187 8 328 9 297 9*340 5 024 16187 14583 9 359 9 357 9*323 5 082 14583 13148 11 016 12*015 10 303 3 031 13148 11858 11 016 8*358 10 297 6 346 11858 10696 11 010 4 322 10 293 7 331 10696 9651 9 007 4 302 9 285 8 322 9651 8711 7*009 4 287 9 277 8 313 8711 7871 3*351 4 258 8 270 9 301 7871 7119 2 294 4 242 8 264 10 289 7119 6437 2 258 5 235 7 259 11 280 6437 5827 3 228 5 226 7 254 12 273 5827 5313 4 220 5 222 7 250 11 267 5313 4915 4 215 5 217 7 248 8 261 4915 4639 4 212 5 216 7 247 4 254 4639 4471 4 211 5 216 6 246 2*248 4471 4374 4 210 5 214 6 245 1*247 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography