DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.9 - - 82.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 488 - - 465 - - 198 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11117 - - 12359 - - 12465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13457 - - 14454 - - 13941 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15945 - - 17187 - - 17293 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1847 - - 2278 - - 1935 - - 12047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 733 - - 747 - - 565 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 24 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 216 - - 233 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -27 - - 44 - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2931 - - -2109 - - -1234 - - -12251 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18877 - - 19297 - - 18528 - - 16627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6687 - - -4446 - - -3293 - - -15914 ODpotential blCL - - - 22632 - - 21633 - - 20586 - - 20289 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 87 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.9 - - 82.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.4 - - 11.4 - - 14.6 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 81.1 - - 81.9 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.2 - - 11.3 - - 14.6 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 488 - - 465 - - 198 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11117 - - 12359 - - 12465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 49 - - 34 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98158 14 142 8 128 13 128 6 142 98158 90739 11 116 8 122 7 137 6 090 90739 85045 5 103 6 171 3 084 7 071 85045 80322 10 137 3 182 1 343 6 056 80322 76242 6 140 3 166 2 217 4 047 76242 72620 1 073 7 209 7 209 5 266 72620 69333 8 260 6 220 8 206 11 220 69333 66309 14 264 10 238 9 242 11 234 66309 63506 16 254 14 251 13 252 10 256 63506 60781 14 233 17 247 13 274 9 285 60781 57934 19 259 16 263 20 278 17 283 57934 55010 17 292 19 276 22 280 21 288 55010 52250 19 325 19 285 21 292 21 306 52250 49779 21 314 22 302 25 307 29 311 49779 47573 22 292 26 303 29 304 31 300 47573 45583 27 288 27 300 29 303 28 302 45583 43770 38 285 30 292 28 306 30 315 43770 42099 38 275 38 281 29 307 34 313 42099 40543 37 274 43 273 29 309 32 303 40543 39082 35 279 43 273 27 305 27 299 39082 37711 35 282 41 273 24 304 21 308 37711 36400 30 277 37 273 23 310 22 319 36400 35087 26 273 32 275 24 307 21 316 35087 33744 23 275 27 278 21 300 17 331 33744 32371 21 278 26 282 19 302 17 323 32371 30952 18 278 22 284 18 290 17 316 30952 29477 14 283 19 286 20 281 14 323 29477 27948 12 302 18 285 21 292 13 322 27948 26367 13 312 18 274 18 305 12 309 26367 24737 15 293 15 278 12 300 12 313 24737 23062 16 287 9 296 8 288 9 266 23062 21340 15 295 5 333 5 270 10 232 21340 19560 5 274 4 022 2 116 7 187 19560 17754 8 193 2*322 5*021 12 096 17754 16021 12*157 5*263 6*303 9 068 16021 14441 9*142 5 254 7 281 1 000 14441 13027 4 154 6 248 8 260 3 261 13027 11757 2 197 6 235 9 245 6 255 11757 10613 3 232 6 225 10 235 8 255 10613 9583 3 235 6 212 11 228 11 255 9583 8657 3 233 7 203 12 223 12 256 8657 7830 3 231 7 198 13 220 14 255 7830 7088 3 224 7 194 13 217 15 255 7088 6415 3 218 8 190 14 216 15 255 6415 5812 4 214 8 188 14 214 15 253 5812 5304 4 207 8 187 14 213 15 252 5304 4910 4 206 8 186 13 212 13 249 4910 4636 4 204 8 185 13 211 10 245 4636 4470 4 204 8 186 13 211 7*239 4470 4374 3 203 7 186 11 211 4*234 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography