DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 72.4 - - 79.5 - - 78.3 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 345 - - 407 - - 120 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 131 - - 6594 - - 12480 - - 12101 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 9612 - - 14479 - - 13199 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 4959 - - 11422 - - 17308 - - 16929 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1454 - - 3900 - - 1528 - - 1728 - - 13408 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 550 - - 719 - - 476 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 18 - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 351 - - 331 - - 329 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -8 - - 43 - - -24 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3827 - - -2341 - - 797 - - -559 - - -11350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8786 - - 13764 - - 16512 - - 17489 - - 15726 sfcLCL ODpotential -7655 - - -4844 - - -469 - - -4530 - - -16147 ODpotential blCL 12614 - - 16266 - - 17777 - - 21459 - - 20522 blCL maxRH 64 - - 56 - - 68 - - 47 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 72.4 - - 79.5 - - 78.3 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 26.8 - - 21.2 - - 15.6 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 71.2 - - 78.0 - - 78.4 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 26.1 - - 20.3 - - 14.9 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 345 - - 407 - - 120 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 131 - - 6594 - - 12480 - - 12101 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96705 42 278 42 263 54 274 48 275 50 266 96705 89455 30 287 32 273 39 275 41 281 39 288 89455 83912 20 299 24 287 23 271 30 289 32 298 83912 79349 21 313 22 305 17 294 26 296 27 308 79349 75438 24 320 18 315 17 313 22 303 21 325 75438 71969 17 325 10 317 8 325 15 311 21 324 71969 68812 16 328 13 328 9 312 21 312 29 308 68812 65912 18 314 16 313 15 283 21 296 27 295 65912 63212 22 288 17 296 18 268 20 283 25 287 63212 60570 27 269 24 290 22 273 23 282 28 283 60570 57792 36 278 36 289 30 287 28 291 30 288 57792 54902 44 279 45 286 41 294 38 300 37 298 54902 52152 45 288 51 283 52 292 50 297 51 300 52152 49689 52 288 52 286 54 286 55 294 60 298 49689 47484 49 291 50 290 50 291 55 293 62 296 47484 45485 48 299 51 298 52 299 53 296 58 296 45485 43665 52 307 57 303 55 303 51 300 51 301 43665 42003 59 312 61 306 59 307 51 304 46 305 42003 40469 63 313 65 311 60 310 50 306 41 305 40469 39037 64 315 67 314 59 312 49 306 37 306 39037 37691 64 318 66 316 57 316 45 308 34 306 37691 36396 62 319 65 321 54 320 40 310 33 308 36396 35088 59 320 64 325 52 325 36 312 31 311 35088 33743 54 320 61 327 52 329 34 315 29 316 33743 32365 50 321 57 325 50 330 33 321 29 319 32365 30942 47 324 52 324 47 329 34 324 30 319 30942 29465 44 325 45 327 45 325 35 323 29 320 29465 27937 37 326 42 330 44 325 37 323 30 321 27937 26356 32 331 41 334 43 330 36 328 31 325 26356 24724 32 332 38 335 40 334 33 333 29 331 24724 23045 34 331 35 334 34 337 30 336 27 337 23045 21312 32 333 34 334 29 340 25 336 23 339 21312 19528 27 340 30 334 27 342 19 342 13 342 19528 17731 21 002 26 335 21*350 14*353 8 328 17731 16005 20 016 22 342 13*001 11*346 10 299 16005 14430 24 019 18 353 11 359 11 344 10 297 14430 13017 23 015 16 009 10 354 11 341 10 300 13017 11748 21 005 14*014 9 345 11 335 9 305 11748 10605 20 358 13*012 8 333 12 331 9 309 10605 9576 19 351 11 009 7 321 12 327 9 312 9576 8651 17 346 9 004 6 309 13 324 8 315 8651 7824 15 345 7 355 6 298 13 321 8 316 7824 7083 13 349 5 338 6 288 13 319 7 315 7083 6411 11 001 4 315 6 280 13 317 7 312 6411 5809 10 018 3 290 6 272 13 315 6 308 5809 5301 9*029 3 270 6 266 12 314 6 304 5301 4908 8*023 3 255 6 263 12 313 5 300 4908 4635 6 000 3 248 5 260 12 312 4 305 4635 4469 5 348 3 246 5 259 11 312 3*316 4469 4374 3 333 3 243 5 256 9 310 3*321 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography