DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.9 - - 102.2 - - 99.9 - - 89.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 555 - - 252 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10245 - - 13277 - - 11608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12713 - - 15318 - - 13436 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15073 - - 18105 - - 16436 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3244 - - 2007 - - 2307 - - 10329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 811 - - 596 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 22 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 267 - - 278 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 23 - - 15 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2926 - - -973 - - -2752 - - -12579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18000 - - 19079 - - 19189 - - 16956 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4804 - - -2570 - - -5189 - - -17300 ODpotential blCL - - - 19877 - - 20675 - - 21625 - - 21676 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 66 - - 56 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.9 - - 102.2 - - 99.9 - - 89.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 32.1 - - 29.6 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 100.2 - - 99.2 - - 93.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 32.1 - - 29.6 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 555 - - 252 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10245 - - 13277 - - 11608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98898 36 115 25 112 31 115 27 081 98898 91444 30 107 27 105 25 081 34 090 91444 85685 26 101 24 112 26 091 28 093 85685 80908 22 101 23 105 25 096 24 100 80908 76815 22 096 21 100 19 095 22 092 76815 73201 19 095 19 101 17 108 17 090 73201 69934 19 080 17 102 20 096 19 117 69934 66950 18 094 16 103 19 087 20 107 66950 64197 18 102 14 115 8 082 17 076 64197 61544 11 102 15 113 7 096 10 038 61544 58809 9 101 4 079 7 036 10 019 58809 56004 4 356 7 352 7 013 15 357 56004 53359 10 328 12 350 9 341 15 331 53359 50997 23 299 13 324 15 319 11 316 50997 48861 33 301 34 313 28 313 22 315 48861 46907 35 292 39 305 38 314 37 315 46907 45105 37 293 41 303 43 313 43 316 45105 43428 38 293 41 303 43 311 45 316 43428 41854 38 294 39 302 43 309 46 315 41854 40371 37 298 37 303 43 306 46 313 40371 38972 37 301 36 303 41 304 45 310 38972 37626 36 301 35 301 39 302 42 307 37626 36269 33 296 35 299 35 303 38 306 36269 34875 31 292 34 296 32 306 34 306 34875 33446 29 291 33 297 28 308 32 308 33446 31968 28 294 31 300 24 309 29 311 31968 30432 28 298 28 303 21 309 26 311 30432 28842 28 298 28 305 21 309 23 311 28842 27200 26 295 27 304 22 309 22 312 27200 25506 24 295 25 300 22 308 22 312 25506 23766 25 299 23 292 21 303 22 310 23766 21973 25 297 22 286 20 298 20 304 21973 20122 24 289 23 282 20 295 18 297 20122 18246 25 278 24*278 18 293 16 291 18246 16442 28*272 22*273 15*291 12 285 16442 14800 28*270 22 270 16*289 11 293 14800 13331 23 266 22 269 16 288 12 300 13331 12015 20 260 22 268 17 287 14 298 12015 10830 18 259 22 267 17 284 16 293 10830 9763 16 258 22 266 19 278 18 287 9763 8805 15 258 23 265 20 276 19 282 8805 7948 13 258 23 265 20 274 20 278 7948 7181 13 258 23 264 20 272 21 275 7181 6485 12 258 23 264 20 271 21 273 6485 5861 11 258 23 264 20 270 21 271 5861 5336 10 258 22 263 20 270 21 269 5336 4929 10 258 22 263 19 269 18 267 4929 4646 9 258 21 263 19 269 14 265 4646 4474 9 259 20 262 18 269 11*263 4474 4375 8 258 17 262 15 268 5*257 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography