DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.1 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 160 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5326 - - 7804 - - - - - 687 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8654 - - 10213 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10154 - - 12632 - - - - - 5515 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3259 - - 3917 - - - - - 8948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 532 - - 473 - - - - - 38 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 208 - - - - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 40 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1458 - - 2425 - - - - - -2947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8696 - - 10208 - - - - - 8462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 74 - - 321 - - - - - -5577 ODpotential blCL - - - 10080 - - 12311 - - - - - 11092 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1010 - - 790 - - - - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.1 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 54.3 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 84.0 - - - - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 53.0 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 160 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5326 - - 7804 - - - - - 687 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 60 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99208 39 112 34 118 34 093 99208 91746 36 115 32 109 29 108 91746 85977 33 118 31 113 32 110 85977 81193 24 102 27 111 29 094 81193 77082 15 111 20 106 21 079 77082 73446 15 121 18 105 13 092 73446 70162 17 124 19 110 10 099 70162 67157 13 098 14 113 9 100 67157 64384 8 118 11 122 7 111 64384 61718 2 159 2 002 6 106 61718 58954 6 245 10 241 3 158 58954 56078 23 239 19 232 4 196 56078 53326 27 227 24 224 21 231 53326 50861 28 214 32 223 33 228 50861 48666 32 223 39 223 43 226 48666 46681 44 217 51 219 55 228 46681 44862 51 215 56 203 61 226 44862 43178 53 224 54 208 60 217 43178 41605 64 230 56 212 55 216 41605 40125 58 221 57 213 57 217 40125 38732 57 214 60 215 65 219 38732 37392 58 214 58 213 69 222 37392 36038 58 212 55 208 70 225 36038 34643 58 210 57 209 59 231 34643 33213 57 212 56 214 47 223 33213 31737 55 218 55 218 49 218 31737 30204 52 227 54 223 43 220 30204 28616 47 227 46 226 34 224 28616 26974 44 216 33 230 31 221 26974 25282 40 212 27 233 31 217 25282 23549 31 223 24 238 28 219 23549 21772 25 234 23 237 24 218 21772 19940 22 229 20 227 21 216 19940 18085 21 219 20 227 18 217 18085 16302 18 207 17 217 14 219 16302 14679 17 203 15 204 11 211 14679 13227 16 209 14*202 9 216 13227 11925 17 216 14*202 8 230 11925 10753 17*217 13 203 8 236 10753 9697 16*214 13 204 9 239 9697 8749 13 207 13 206 9 242 8749 7902 10 198 12 208 8 246 7902 7143 9 188 12 210 6 253 7143 6456 8 184 12 212 5 272 6456 5840 8 182 11 214 4*306 5840 5322 7 180 11 216 5*343 5322 4920 7 180 10 217 7 357 4920 4642 7 180 10 218 7 001 4642 4472 7 180 10 218 7 003 4472 4375 6 181 9 219 5 004 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography