DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 94.8 - - 94.6 - - 86.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 273 - - 236 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10815 - - 13698 - - 13461 - - 1860 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13191 - - 15193 - - 14885 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15643 - - 18526 - - 18289 - - 6688 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2941 - - 1933 - - 1728 - - 9699 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 719 - - 648 - - 614 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 263 - - 280 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - 41 - - 12 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1338 - - 1445 - - 1604 - - -6589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16982 - - 17082 - - 16686 - - 13278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3010 - - 1016 - - 631 - - -8645 ODpotential blCL - - - 18653 - - 17510 - - 17658 - - 15333 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 99 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 40 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 94.8 - - 94.6 - - 86.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 34.1 - - 35.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.0 - - 93.9 - - 94.0 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 34.2 - - 35.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 273 - - 236 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10815 - - 13698 - - 13461 - - 1860 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 96 - - 23 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98556 18 109 24 103 23 100 20 106 98556 91119 20 116 14 097 14 092 20 091 91119 85393 20 101 14 107 12 089 16 069 85393 80637 19 109 17 092 19 079 20 077 80637 76554 21 108 15 092 21 067 23 078 76554 72957 13 073 13 099 15 057 21 082 72957 69712 8 082 7 107 8 067 16 071 69712 66736 10 112 2 188 2 006 13 040 66736 63996 4 086 8 192 6 280 8 008 63996 61366 7 245 11 212 12 277 11 329 61366 58637 13 251 14 233 19 256 20 276 58637 55819 16 262 16 263 18 245 21 255 55819 53132 22 270 25 269 22 251 25 252 53132 50722 35 260 33 262 30 255 34 255 50722 48565 45 247 41 248 40 254 43 256 48565 46594 45 247 46 241 49 254 55 255 46594 44774 47 252 43 242 53 247 62 248 44774 43084 50 250 45 246 50 243 58 243 43084 41511 50 244 48 246 51 242 52 243 41511 40034 46 239 48 246 52 240 52 242 40034 38642 42 240 45 244 49 242 51 242 38642 37303 38 239 41 241 44 246 44 245 37303 35956 34 240 39 244 40 247 39 251 35956 34575 30 243 41 248 34 247 40 257 34575 33160 28 246 46 238 31 242 39 256 33160 31697 26 247 42 242 33 225 33 255 31697 30176 25 248 37 250 35 226 29 245 30176 28600 26 250 33 265 33 238 27 233 28600 26972 25 255 20 258 30 255 24 229 26972 25294 22 253 15 270 21 278 21 238 25294 23571 18 244 18 276 14 282 15 260 23571 21800 12 224 19 284 12 282 9 256 21800 19973 14 220 12*271 5*281 7 197 19973 18121 17 207 9*235 3*355 4 157 18121 16341 8*238 9 238 4 326 2 130 16341 14717 8*288 9 243 4 309 0 353 14717 13264 8 287 9 250 5 301 3 318 13264 11958 8 282 10 259 6 290 6 313 11958 10783 8 277 11 267 9 278 8 306 10783 9724 8 274 12 271 11 273 10 300 9724 8773 8 270 12 274 13 271 12 293 8773 7923 8 266 13 277 14 271 15 288 7923 7161 8 264 13 278 14 270 17*284 7161 6470 8 261 13 279 15 269 18*282 6470 5851 7 258 13 280 15 269 19 281 5851 5329 7 256 13 280 15 268 19 281 5329 4925 7 254 13 281 15 268 17 281 4925 4645 7 253 13 281 14 268 14 283 4645 4473 7 252 12 281 14 268 11 285 4473 4375 6 251 11 281 12 267 6 287 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography