DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 95.1 - - 95.3 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 524 - - 231 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6282 - - 9392 - - 10292 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9506 - - 12071 - - 12322 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11110 - - 14220 - - 15120 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1686 - - 1215 - - 1050 - - 8973 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 606 - - 709 - - 557 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 238 - - 238 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 20 - - 76 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8828 - - -8256 - - -7958 - - -16669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19939 - - 22477 - - 23079 - - 21046 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15679 - - -13571 - - -13245 - - -24187 ODpotential blCL - - - 26789 - - 27791 - - 28365 - - 28563 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 41 - - 48 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 95.1 - - 95.3 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.9 - - 9.6 - - 7.1 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.5 - - 93.1 - - 94.6 - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.8 - - 9.5 - - 7.1 - - 5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 524 - - 231 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6282 - - 9392 - - 10292 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98742 39 118 25 123 18 100 29 084 98742 91220 25 115 23 107 23 110 21 100 91220 85451 23 091 24 101 25 102 22 112 85451 80697 19 107 18 110 20 087 19 101 80697 76617 18 110 20 114 16 092 17 090 76617 73012 13 083 22 096 19 111 15 081 73012 69754 17 080 15 077 13 104 10 111 69754 66770 5 067 3 076 9 065 11 095 66770 64018 10 087 10 206 8 291 8 006 64018 61372 9 013 15 193 7 259 5 298 61372 58632 7 303 12 241 11 258 9 272 58632 55819 16 285 12 240 13 237 17 254 55819 53158 32 274 21 273 21 272 25 264 53158 50770 44 271 35 278 34 279 34 275 50770 48623 50 265 44 272 42 273 41 273 48623 46665 54 265 49 270 46 271 45 275 46665 44861 57 266 55 270 52 272 49 277 44861 43186 62 268 61 271 56 270 53 275 43186 41621 66 271 65 270 58 269 55 272 41621 40150 69 271 65 268 60 268 56 270 40150 38763 69 273 64 271 59 266 55 269 38763 37428 68 277 62 276 56 266 53 269 37428 36082 65 278 60 279 54 270 50 269 36082 34696 62 279 58 281 52 275 48 271 34696 33276 60 279 57 281 51 279 47 277 33276 31808 59 280 55 282 52 281 46 283 31808 30283 56 280 50 281 54 283 47 285 30283 28701 50 281 45 280 52 284 47 284 28701 27062 46 283 41 280 45 282 44 283 27062 25370 44 281 39 280 39 280 38 282 25370 23629 42 278 37 279 36 280 34 281 23629 21835 37 274 34 277 33 282 31 281 21835 19982 29 270 30 274 29 282 26 278 19982 18108 24 268 26 273 25 278 23 270 18108 16307 19 266 21 272 18*272 21 265 16307 14670 13 264 13*262 8*248 13 257 14670 13214 9 266 11*253 8 242 4 214 13214 11914 7*262 11 252 8 239 6 217 11914 10745 5*248 10 250 9 237 8 236 10745 9693 5 241 9 245 9 238 10 249 9693 8748 5 238 8 240 10 237 12 254 8748 7902 5 232 8 234 10 237 13 256 7902 7145 5 226 7 228 10 237 14 258 7145 6457 5 222 7 222 11 236 15 258 6457 5842 5 218 6 216 11 236 15 258 5842 5323 5 214 6 212 10 236 15 258 5323 4921 5 211 6 209 10 236 13 256 4921 4643 5 210 6 208 10 235 10 254 4643 4472 5 208 6 207 10 235 7*249 4472 4375 5 208 6 205 9 235 5*242 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography