DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.2 - - 98.4 - - 101.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 359 - - 285 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 267 - - 11200 - - 13841 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 13354 - - 15347 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 5095 - - 16028 - - 18669 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1757 - - 2823 - - 1464 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 666 - - 661 - - - - - - W* B/S 3 - - 42 - - 48 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 331 - - 239 - - 268 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -18 - - 15 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5156 - - 1886 - - 2760 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10252 - - 14143 - - 15910 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -9327 - - 74 - - 1736 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 14422 - - 15954 - - 16933 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 64 - - 71 - - 99 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 470 - - 520 - - 250 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 86.2 - - 98.4 - - 101.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.4 - - 51.1 - - 46.2 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 87.1 - - 96.9 - - 100.3 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.8 - - 50.6 - - 45.8 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 359 - - 285 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 267 - - 11200 - - 13841 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 95 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99051 47 107 43 114 38 096 99051 91592 47 094 45 098 45 108 91592 85870 41 087 42 086 45 109 85870 81135 30 097 31 088 34 098 81135 77066 30 104 25 107 21 094 77066 73461 28 098 28 108 22 113 73461 70190 25 099 27 101 24 114 70190 67203 27 103 26 099 24 110 67203 64469 22 107 21 113 21 116 64469 61847 12 137 18 138 13 140 61847 59144 14 165 16 162 12 171 59144 56376 13 121 18 133 16 171 56376 53761 15 087 20 103 23 132 53761 51410 14 078 17 094 24 110 51410 49283 11 081 20 101 24 120 49283 47326 10 093 25 121 25 127 47326 45509 13 130 22 140 22 129 45509 43812 17 166 20 153 17 152 43812 42220 21 183 23 155 19 168 42220 40719 24 181 23 160 21 177 40719 39299 25 177 22 164 20 176 39299 37931 26 176 21 167 20 165 37931 36552 26 174 21 164 21 153 36552 35134 23 169 21 164 22 151 35134 33684 18 164 20 170 16 152 33684 32189 18 165 19 168 13 170 32189 30639 17 162 14 185 10 178 30639 29032 12 142 11 175 9 176 29032 27370 9 126 8 163 10 166 27370 25659 6 105 6 138 11 155 25659 23900 5 110 7 137 10 150 23900 22093 5 108 9 123 11 114 22093 20235 2 123 7 102 7*112 20235 18358 5 216 2 189 2*018 18358 16553 7 189 6*217 2 329 16553 14904 9 175 6*206 2 304 14904 13425 8 178 4 204 2 294 13425 12097 5 186 3 210 2 283 12097 10901 1 193 2 219 3 268 10901 9823 3 357 1 245 3 260 9823 8855 5 347 1 266 4 258 8855 7989 7 346 2 284 4 256 7989 7214 8 349 3 280 4 254 7214 6510 10 352 4 275 5 252 6510 5880 11 354 4 270 5 251 5880 5348 10*353 5 265 5 249 5348 4936 8*344 6 261 5 248 4936 4651 6 327 6 259 5 249 4651 4476 5 322 6 257 5 249 4476 4376 4 319 5 255 4 247 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography