DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.7 - - 86.5 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 134 - - 219 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3505 - - 6183 - - 5571 - - 144 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6882 - - 9088 - - 4359 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8333 - - 11011 - - 10399 - - 4972 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3308 - - 2502 - - 3938 - - 5008 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 471 - - 221 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 24 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 350 - - 340 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -12 - - -10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1453 - - 1972 - - 1633 - - -691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6881 - - 9040 - - 8767 - - 5663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1147 - - -210 - - -1069 - - -4509 ODpotential blCL - - - 9480 - - 11221 - - 11468 - - 9481 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1780 - - 1640 - - 1910 - - 3280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.7 - - 86.5 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 61.7 - - 62.6 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 86.3 - - 87.8 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 61.1 - - 61.3 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 134 - - 219 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3505 - - 6183 - - 5571 - - 144 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 91 - - 68 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99264 33 090 42 094 44 093 38 103 99264 91728 40 111 28 117 29 095 38 091 91728 85936 45 107 30 123 23 109 34 092 85936 81158 35 094 35 109 28 111 31 097 81158 77052 26 082 38 097 33 107 29 098 77052 73434 22 108 28 097 30 100 26 095 73434 70178 25 111 22 096 26 098 23 103 70178 67210 26 114 21 110 23 102 24 099 67210 64478 26 113 20 114 18 100 18 093 64478 61841 22 119 21 128 13 096 14 087 61841 59101 22 120 24 132 18 132 12 123 59101 56283 12 129 22 141 19 149 17 153 56283 53617 14 191 18 169 17 182 12 179 53617 51225 26 197 22 192 24 196 19 204 51225 49077 31 179 26 202 19 214 21 206 49077 47122 8 189 22 198 20 222 17 211 47122 45325 10 284 8 195 11 167 13 164 45325 43652 14 274 4 198 5 140 9 152 43652 42076 13 270 9 236 5 207 6 181 42076 40586 14 276 12 238 7 256 1 129 40586 39178 15 269 12 252 8 287 3 301 39178 37822 15 260 12 269 8 286 5 289 37822 36453 14 255 12 277 7 281 7 275 36453 35044 11 244 10 268 7 253 8 259 35044 33597 4 266 9 270 7 248 7 254 33597 32098 5 315 10 286 8 265 6 263 32098 30538 6 320 11 300 7 274 5 259 30538 28923 7 311 12 294 10 273 7 269 28923 27257 13 319 13 293 13 269 9 289 27257 25546 12 330 14 318 10 300 11 320 25546 23787 9 341 9 343 7 349 10 326 23787 21975 8 342 11 007 8 002 5 330 21975 20108 8 339 12 006 9 360 4 025 20108 18221 9 330 14 005 10 006 8 017 18221 16413 7 324 15 013 9 013 10 011 16413 14771 5 325 10 009 8 354 9 001 14771 13305 4 318 10 005 11 345 10 350 13305 11990 6 340 10*003 10 344 10 343 11990 10808 9 003 10*003 9*343 9 334 10808 9744 13 010 9 004 6*340 8 323 9744 8789 12*006 6 002 5 340 6 311 8789 7934 11*000 4 352 3 339 3 292 7934 7170 9 351 2 325 2 342 1 278 7170 6476 7 334 2 302 2 341 0 331 6476 5856 6 310 2 276 1 344 1 064 5856 5332 5 291 2 258 1 343 2*069 5332 4927 5 284 2 248 1 341 3*063 4927 4645 5 278 2 240 1 331 3 061 4645 4474 5 276 2 240 1 335 1 067 4474 4375 4 273 2 235 1 328 1 070 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography