DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.0 - - 83.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 409 - - 89 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5740 - - 8687 - - 8340 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8968 - - 11375 - - 10010 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10568 - - 13515 - - 13168 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4012 - - 2396 - - 2567 - - 8704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 539 - - 637 - - 379 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 203 - - 208 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 36 - - 31 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1130 - - -55 - - -1092 - - -8414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11699 - - 13570 - - 14260 - - 12791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3120 - - -1717 - - -4466 - - -13137 ODpotential blCL - - - 13688 - - 15232 - - 17634 - - 17513 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 79 - - 79 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.0 - - 83.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 40.1 - - 35.4 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 83.5 - - 83.4 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 39.9 - - 35.2 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 409 - - 89 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5740 - - 8687 - - 8340 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 14 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98294 5 105 4 182 14 237 10 297 98294 90901 9 120 9 157 9 162 4 137 90901 85212 6 096 7 131 8 086 14 111 85212 80506 8 078 12 112 6 058 11 059 80506 76465 6 071 5 057 9 063 11 040 76465 72900 12 070 9 038 6 063 4 051 72900 69669 7 025 8 068 8 075 4 078 69669 66698 4 089 7 093 8 110 2 128 66698 63942 4 150 8 124 4 120 5 135 63942 61276 7 199 5 217 2 209 5 247 61276 58506 9 191 9 258 7 218 7 259 58506 55642 11 168 11 227 15 214 15 212 55642 52914 16 199 23 211 24 227 23 223 52914 50468 24 233 24 219 32 230 30 234 50468 48281 32 237 31 228 38 228 37 232 48281 46295 42 230 42 228 44 226 43 232 46295 44472 48 227 52 223 51 219 52 223 44472 42788 54 223 59 219 56 215 61 214 42788 41223 59 219 66 215 62 209 70 205 41223 39756 64 217 68 214 61 207 71 202 39756 38375 68 215 69 216 57 209 60 205 38375 37049 67 216 66 217 58 209 51 210 37049 35714 63 219 59 221 57 211 51 210 35714 34338 55 220 54 223 50 221 48 208 34338 32927 50 222 48 223 46 224 42 217 32927 31471 46 225 44 221 40 224 38 221 31471 29957 39 227 39 220 35 222 33 221 29957 28391 35 230 35 218 31 219 29 220 28391 26774 34 236 32 222 29 217 26 218 26774 25105 32 239 29 227 26 220 24 220 25105 23388 31 240 27 226 23 220 21 223 23388 21616 32 233 27 221 22 214 20 220 21616 19786 34 220 30 215 24 212 21 218 19786 17939 34 206 31 211 25 216 23 220 17939 16170 32 203 28 211 22 219 21 220 16170 14562 32 202 25*211 18*220 17 216 14562 13126 33 199 22*210 14*217 14 204 13126 11837 33 199 19 208 13 212 13 193 11837 10677 30*201 18 206 13 210 12 189 10677 9633 25*202 17 204 13 209 10 191 9633 8697 20 200 17 203 13 208 10 197 8697 7860 18 198 17 202 14 207 10 205 7860 7111 15 195 16 201 14 206 10 214 7111 6431 14 194 16 200 14 206 10 221 6431 5824 14 193 16 198 14 205 11 225 5824 5311 13 192 16 198 14 205 10 228 5311 4914 13 191 15 197 13 205 9 229 4914 4638 12 191 15 197 13 204 6 229 4638 4471 12 191 14 197 12 205 4*225 4471 4375 10 191 12 197 10 204 2*226 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography