DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 96.8 - - 96.3 - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 425 - - 155 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4449 - - 12012 - - 12499 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7927 - - 14114 - - 13753 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9277 - - 16840 - - 17327 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4919 - - 2277 - - 1918 - - 11334 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 485 - - 718 - - 522 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 25 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 230 - - 232 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - -13 - - 17 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2199 - - 2521 - - 2977 - - -8978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11477 - - 14320 - - 14351 - - 13354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4900 - - -400 - - 1355 - - -12051 ODpotential blCL - - - 14177 - - 17240 - - 15972 - - 16427 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 79 - - 77 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 680 - - 670 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 96.8 - - 96.3 - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 48.7 - - 48.2 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.3 - - 95.2 - - 96.0 - - 92.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 48.5 - - 48.0 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 425 - - 155 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4449 - - 12012 - - 12499 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99253 26 106 32 108 30 128 19 084 99253 91793 34 112 28 118 25 108 22 086 91793 85997 34 111 27 117 25 094 25 091 85997 81170 30 103 28 106 26 094 27 099 81170 77023 26 107 23 098 19 098 27 103 77023 73376 20 102 14 097 17 085 22 086 73376 70101 19 088 14 122 13 086 18 080 70101 67113 14 081 14 123 11 106 12 080 67113 64355 10 112 11 126 15 129 9 115 64355 61712 13 115 12 133 14 128 10 148 61712 58983 13 162 11 158 8 157 6 171 58983 56160 15 174 9 181 9 187 5 195 56160 53469 11 194 11 193 12 203 6 213 53469 51051 15 204 9 188 12 200 9 241 51051 48892 15 204 10 208 11 187 12 196 48892 46943 18 203 18 210 15 201 14 183 46943 45154 23 192 25 202 22 197 19 188 45154 43486 25 181 26 184 28 189 24 185 43486 41921 26 170 29 173 32 189 27 191 41921 40445 25 166 29 167 28 186 26 192 40445 39051 23 165 26 164 27 173 27 186 39051 37710 23 165 23 169 28 162 28 176 37710 36355 21 168 21 171 25 162 26 177 36355 34959 19 172 18 164 23 179 23 188 34959 33526 13 172 16 160 19 179 16 181 33526 32047 10 160 13 163 16 168 11 163 32047 30509 7 149 10 168 14 165 10 170 30509 28914 7 166 7 168 12 152 11 175 28914 27263 8 177 8 165 12 151 11 169 27263 25561 9 183 9 160 12 168 11 168 25561 23815 10 180 9 168 11 179 11 172 23815 22019 10 172 9 181 9 178 11 172 22019 20166 11 170 11 181 10 171 13 173 20166 18289 10 181 10*176 5*166 14 166 18289 16485 9 202 6*172 4*197 11 144 16485 14840 7 219 4 202 5 228 7 130 14840 13367 4 227 4 225 5 232 4 162 13367 12044 3 244 5 231 5 234 4 192 12044 10853 4 244 5 236 6 236 4 221 10853 9781 4*233 5 239 6 236 6 243 9781 8818 4*217 6 240 7 236 7 255 8818 7958 4 196 6 241 7 235 9 262 7958 7187 4 186 6 241 7 235 11 267 7187 6489 4 184 7 240 7 235 12 270 6489 5864 5 187 7 240 7 234 12 273 5864 5337 5 193 7 240 7 234 12 273 5337 4929 5 198 6 239 7 233 11 274 4929 4646 5 201 6 238 7 234 9 275 4646 4474 5 203 6 237 7 233 6*277 4474 4375 5 203 6 237 6 233 4*278 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography