DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 63.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 219 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2303 - - 8533 - - 5831 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6059 - - 10902 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7131 - - 13361 - - 10659 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2856 - - 1479 - - 3208 - - 4683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 312 - - 517 - - 170 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 218 - - 220 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 39 - - 42 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4187 - - 1029 - - -476 - - -5117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11318 - - 12333 - - 11135 - - 9491 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7365 - - 3 - - -2347 - - -8763 ODpotential blCL - - - 14496 - - 13358 - - 13006 - - 13137 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 95 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 63.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 28.0 - - 30.2 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 66.8 - - 65.0 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 27.3 - - 29.8 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 219 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2303 - - 8533 - - 5831 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - 21 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96687 19 080 20 105 20 074 29 081 96687 89522 25 093 21 101 23 099 26 088 89522 83982 22 119 14 102 28 089 21 099 83982 79355 17 121 12 105 12 097 23 078 79355 75360 12 116 10 087 15 124 5 040 75360 71856 9 120 4 107 10 096 2 067 71856 68692 4 114 4 249 7 198 3 245 68692 65769 10 247 10 232 8 211 6 274 65769 63037 22 247 11 246 22 235 20 243 63037 60399 27 240 27 249 33 237 28 246 60399 57662 37 247 38 241 35 243 32 249 57662 54811 43 251 42 258 39 255 36 250 54811 52057 60 248 60 260 52 258 49 254 52057 49560 64 243 69 254 66 257 71 258 49560 47321 68 246 77 252 79 254 85 253 47321 45300 70 245 79 250 80 249 82 249 45300 43461 62 248 80 251 82 247 84 247 43461 41782 61 260 77 251 89 245 87 245 41782 40244 68 274 72 255 88 246 89 245 40244 38819 79 282 73 257 87 250 89 245 38819 37480 75 279 72 262 86 253 88 248 37480 36188 68 274 69 267 85 253 89 253 36188 34882 62 269 67 266 83 251 90 253 34882 33538 59 267 66 264 80 251 84 250 33538 32160 57 268 65 263 77 254 77 248 32160 30735 55 270 63 262 73 257 73 248 30735 29253 52 270 60 259 70 261 68 250 29253 27718 47 268 55 258 66 261 63 253 27718 26132 40 265 52 257 64 259 61 256 26132 24499 34 261 53 259 61 257 59 257 24499 22823 34 261 51 259 53 254 56 253 22823 21100 33 256 45 253 45 249 51 245 21100 19325 33 248 40 243 40 245 43 241 19325 17531 31 245 36 234 34 241 34 242 17531 15809 28 243 31 232 27 232 27 236 15809 14244 29 244 25*236 24 228 24 228 14244 12847 28 244 20*235 22 231 24 225 12847 11596 25 242 19 232 20*233 24 224 11596 10471 23 238 18 228 19*231 23 223 10471 9459 22 231 17 221 18 228 21 221 9459 8552 22 221 16 216 18 225 20 219 8552 7741 20*211 16 212 18 221 18 217 7741 7016 17*201 16 209 18 218 17 215 7016 6359 14 190 15 206 18 216 17 215 6359 5772 11 177 15 204 18 214 16 214 5772 5277 9 166 15 201 17 212 14 212 5277 4893 9 163 14 200 17 211 11 205 4893 4628 8 163 14 200 16 210 9 192 4628 4466 8 162 13 199 14 209 6*173 4466 4373 7 162 11 199 11 209 4*148 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography