DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 100.1 - - 99.5 - - 90.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 457 - - 198 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5171 - - 11755 - - 12010 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8561 - - 13952 - - 13586 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9999 - - 16583 - - 16838 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2158 - - 4028 - - 2810 - - 9455 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 733 - - 560 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 268 - - 282 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2617 - - 1061 - - 601 - - -9389 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12617 - - 15523 - - 16237 - - 13766 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5638 - - -1328 - - -1917 - - -12480 ODpotential blCL - - - 15637 - - 17911 - - 18755 - - 16856 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 67 - - 73 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 510 - - 210 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 100.1 - - 99.5 - - 90.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.7 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.3 - - 98.1 - - 98.9 - - 93.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 46.2 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 457 - - 198 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5171 - - 11755 - - 12010 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99201 35 114 36 113 31 102 32 077 99201 91686 43 101 39 113 37 102 35 092 91686 85912 41 095 38 104 31 103 32 107 85912 81143 30 102 34 098 31 108 29 105 81143 77048 29 112 24 102 29 089 30 100 77048 73428 26 098 21 107 25 087 27 085 73428 70155 17 092 18 101 20 099 18 086 70155 67158 18 110 12 101 17 090 14 114 67158 64387 17 096 10 129 4 107 11 082 64387 61721 4 076 6 121 7 149 3 072 61721 58969 7 244 4 202 0 234 3 255 58969 56146 7 226 6 221 9 326 7 342 56146 53488 1 041 4 230 8 302 10 350 53488 51116 11 326 7 299 9 292 13 332 51116 48984 14 301 10 270 12 270 14 298 48984 47030 9 309 5 274 10 259 14 282 47030 45217 14 332 14 317 11 306 12 302 45217 43525 18 327 18 316 15 317 13 313 43525 41941 19 324 17 320 17 319 13 316 41941 40449 18 322 18 328 18 323 12 326 40449 39043 18 320 19 329 19 328 13 334 39043 37689 18 317 19 324 19 328 13 339 37689 36323 18 311 18 320 18 328 10 335 36323 34918 14 305 16 317 16 320 8 319 34918 33481 9 290 11 303 13 309 9 314 33481 32002 3 278 7 277 8 297 10 309 32002 30465 3 340 4 308 6 312 7 301 30465 28872 2 307 4 322 4 318 5 302 28872 27224 7 257 7 303 4 307 5 282 27224 25528 14 259 12 292 2 271 5 229 25528 23793 15 266 13 303 3 274 4 232 23793 22009 15 253 13 283 8 281 6 264 22009 20166 13 233 12 262 9 283 8 276 20166 18297 9 216 11*248 6*310 6 292 18297 16495 8 218 7*244 4*309 4 318 16495 14851 6 277 8 268 5 292 3 351 14851 13378 11 295 8 268 5 288 3 356 13378 12055 14 288 9 268 6 286 4 341 12055 10864 13*277 9 269 6 285 6 326 10864 9791 12*273 9 269 8 280 9 315 9791 8827 11 271 9 269 9 278 12 307 8827 7966 10 271 9 269 10 278 15 299 7966 7195 10 272 9 270 11 278 17 292 7195 6495 9 273 9 270 11 277 19 287 6495 5869 9 274 9 271 11 277 21 283 5869 5341 9 274 9 271 11 277 20 281 5341 4931 8 274 9 270 11 277 19 281 4931 4648 8 274 9 270 11 276 15 283 4648 4475 7 274 8 270 10 276 12*287 4475 4375 7 273 8 270 9 276 6*296 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography