DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.6 - - 81.5 - - 85.3 - - 83.7 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 122 - - 505 - - 549 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2276 - - 8941 - - 11845 - - 11651 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5842 - - 11681 - - 14121 - - 13430 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 7104 - - 13769 - - 16673 - - 16479 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3041 - - 2736 - - 1767 - - 2336 - - 10768 Hgt.Variab. W* 272 - - 688 - - 778 - - 586 - - 2 W* B/S 17 - - 13 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 191 - - 193 - - 194 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -21 - - 31 - - 32 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5921 - - -1736 - - 437 - - -133 - - -9311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13025 - - 15506 - - 16237 - - 16613 - - 13687 sfcLCL ODpotential -8870 - - -4609 - - -1890 - - -2567 - - -12331 ODpotential blCL 15974 - - 18378 - - 18563 - - 19046 - - 16706 blCL maxRH 70 - - 47 - - 51 - - 44 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.6 - - 81.5 - - 85.3 - - 83.7 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 28.1 - - 28.3 - - 25.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.6 - - 79.6 - - 83.3 - - 83.0 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 28.0 - - 28.2 - - 25.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 122 - - 505 - - 549 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2276 - - 8941 - - 11845 - - 11651 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98420 15 094 22 122 10 112 13 104 12 102 98420 90964 7 084 15 089 9 134 5 075 9 083 90964 85218 12 105 8 091 15 089 9 097 11 048 85218 80465 15 106 12 142 5 103 7 087 9 076 80465 76379 13 093 13 131 9 143 10 098 10 081 76379 72772 7 069 10 122 10 155 5 088 11 104 72772 69504 5 299 4 092 10 162 4 202 3 110 69504 66492 12 268 4 289 9 211 10 245 5 285 66492 63694 11 268 12 255 12 239 13 263 9 280 63694 60981 11 278 16 265 17 259 16 273 16 282 60981 58162 16 268 19 274 18 268 20 273 23 285 58162 55249 22 276 25 279 20 270 24 267 27 275 55249 52479 27 278 28 278 22 275 26 267 29 271 52479 49992 29 276 29 273 27 272 30 268 30 268 49992 47772 30 275 29 269 28 266 32 265 31 264 47772 45767 30 272 32 267 30 265 34 259 37 258 45767 43939 30 265 37 262 35 261 36 255 37 252 43939 42258 27 260 37 257 38 258 38 255 38 250 42258 40696 26 253 34 253 39 255 40 252 39 249 40696 39238 22 239 30 248 35 251 39 248 39 246 39238 37874 20 218 26 244 31 243 33 241 35 241 37874 36569 18 214 23 235 27 234 27 230 32 233 36569 35257 16 223 21 226 24 227 26 225 29 224 35257 33911 16 233 19 221 21 223 26 227 28 220 33911 32535 16 236 18 221 20 225 23 229 24 222 32535 31112 17 238 18 226 19 230 18 227 18 219 31112 29634 18 238 18 232 18 237 17 221 15 194 29634 28102 19 232 18 237 16 241 17 218 18 185 28102 26515 16 223 15 236 14 240 15 210 18 191 26515 24879 13 217 12 223 12 222 13 202 16 190 24879 23195 13 218 13 206 13 194 12 192 17 186 23195 21461 12 223 12 207 13 175 14 188 19 183 21461 19670 16 198 14 202 14 183 18 180 21 182 19670 17854 28 163 22 170 18*178 17*175 19 178 17854 16107 27 150 24 157 14*183 12*178 15 176 16107 14513 23 157 18*160 12 191 11 182 10 171 14513 13087 19 169 13*179 12 192 11 183 7 168 13087 11807 15 178 11 190 12 193 11 185 6 173 11807 10654 11 196 11 191 12 193 12 189 7 183 10654 9617 8 210 10 193 12 194 12 195 7 194 9617 8684 4 225 9 194 13 194 13 198 8 203 8684 7851 2*338 8 195 13 195 13 201 10 208 7851 7104 4*007 8 194 13 196 14 203 11 211 7104 6427 4 009 8 195 13 196 14 205 12 211 6427 5820 3 011 8 194 13 197 14 206 13 211 5820 5309 3 015 8 194 13 196 14 206 13 210 5309 4913 2 014 8 194 13 196 14 207 12 209 4913 4638 1 011 7 194 13 197 13 207 10 206 4638 4470 1 003 7 194 12 197 13 208 8*201 4470 4374 1 003 7 194 11 197 11 208 4*195 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography