DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 88.4 - - 87.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 515 - - 216 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7957 - - 10952 - - 11745 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10857 - - 13348 - - 13431 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12785 - - 15780 - - 16573 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2134 - - 2027 - - 1644 - - 10736 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 652 - - 742 - - 569 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 212 - - 215 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 18 - - 34 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4012 - - -2606 - - -2267 - - -11986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16797 - - 18387 - - 18840 - - 16363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7810 - - -5485 - - -5549 - - -16694 ODpotential blCL - - - 20595 - - 21265 - - 22122 - - 21070 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 58 - - 75 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 88.4 - - 87.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 21.5 - - 18.8 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 86.6 - - 87.1 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 21.2 - - 18.7 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 515 - - 216 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7957 - - 10952 - - 11745 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98399 14 128 5 079 5 010 8 027 98399 90934 10 105 8 137 5 029 2 074 90934 85213 6 109 8 121 7 066 9 076 85213 80486 7 074 11 087 10 097 13 077 80486 76416 10 099 14 076 16 091 16 080 76416 72838 17 107 10 091 15 082 16 084 72838 69611 20 093 13 122 9 097 14 073 69611 66656 13 099 9 115 9 109 4 055 66656 63928 9 091 5 208 2 358 7 042 63928 61276 8 175 12 203 9 247 6 303 61276 58502 9 217 10 221 11 240 14 262 58502 55614 20 237 16 238 15 251 16 251 55614 52846 25 237 24 244 22 253 23 253 52846 50348 28 242 29 245 28 251 27 254 50348 48103 32 243 33 247 32 253 30 253 48103 46071 35 244 38 240 40 250 36 253 46071 44227 39 249 40 242 40 246 40 249 44227 42551 46 254 46 246 43 246 41 244 42551 41002 53 255 50 247 46 246 44 241 41002 39552 56 254 51 248 46 243 45 238 39552 38186 57 255 52 249 48 240 46 232 38186 36875 55 255 52 248 50 237 47 229 36875 35554 50 256 50 243 52 231 47 228 35554 34197 44 252 49 236 55 226 50 230 34197 32805 42 244 48 233 53 230 50 237 32805 31365 41 244 46 235 48 236 41 247 31365 29869 39 248 42 243 38 241 28 248 29869 28319 35 249 35 245 30 244 23 234 28319 26714 34 244 31 247 25 246 22 228 26714 25059 31 241 29 247 22 247 20 227 25059 23357 27 239 27 247 20 249 18 225 23357 21604 23 235 22 243 17 248 16 217 21604 19791 19 228 18 237 14 239 16 208 19791 17953 16 222 15 231 9*227 14 196 17953 16187 16 224 11*232 7*248 6 152 16187 14581 16 223 10*233 7 248 2 024 14581 13146 13*219 10 233 7 244 4 270 13146 11857 10*210 9 230 8 234 6 255 11857 10696 9 206 9 224 9 223 8 249 10696 9651 8 204 8 216 11 210 10 245 9651 8713 8 199 8 208 12 206 11 241 8713 7873 8 196 8 200 13 202 12 238 7873 7122 7 192 8 194 14 200 13 235 7122 6440 7 190 8 190 14 199 13 231 6440 5829 7 187 8 186 14 197 13 227 5829 5315 7 186 8 183 14 197 13 222 5315 4916 7 185 8 181 14 196 12 214 4916 4640 7 185 8 180 14 196 10 204 4640 4471 6 185 8 180 13 196 7*195 4471 4375 6 184 7 180 12 196 4*188 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography