DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.1 - - 77.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 399 - - 37 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4100 - - 6602 - - 2301 - - 1110 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7497 - - 9685 - - 4358 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8928 - - 11430 - - 7129 - - 5938 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2310 - - 4769 - - 3704 - - 6083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 578 - - 202 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 254 - - 240 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2083 - - 1561 - - 1366 - - -1497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6845 - - 9869 - - 5763 - - 7436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -325 - - -94 - - -729 - - -3906 ODpotential blCL - - - 9253 - - 11524 - - 7858 - - 9844 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 89 - - 87 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 2020 - - 1320 - - 2510 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.1 - - 77.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 57.4 - - 66.0 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 84.6 - - 77.7 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 57.1 - - 65.0 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 399 - - 37 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4100 - - 6602 - - 2301 - - 1110 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 54 - - 49 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99192 25 099 32 091 32 084 38 099 99192 91708 35 108 28 116 23 090 22 080 91708 85940 33 110 25 117 17 108 18 070 85940 81165 29 102 23 113 18 111 19 089 81165 77043 19 099 22 099 21 104 20 088 77043 73398 13 116 16 094 19 089 18 089 73398 70098 14 100 11 116 12 065 18 085 70098 67062 7 046 12 111 1 056 11 066 67062 64267 3 170 1 247 4 154 3 086 64267 61586 2 208 10 274 2 206 2 103 61586 58808 3 199 9 239 11 273 10 270 58808 55957 6 267 7 164 7 236 11 257 55957 53260 11 254 7 255 3 223 9 267 53260 50842 15 212 18 244 13 257 12 266 50842 48675 13 181 17 220 18 235 14 232 48675 46705 12 218 18 213 20 209 21 219 46705 44896 19 210 23 207 25 204 33 218 44896 43215 20 200 28 204 31 202 36 206 43215 41637 20 202 29 198 31 197 34 201 41637 40151 21 215 22 215 28 210 31 211 40151 38751 23 222 28 223 34 216 33 216 38751 37405 24 223 32 223 34 213 34 214 37405 36049 23 223 30 222 33 213 34 212 36049 34652 23 225 27 219 34 214 31 216 34652 33220 23 228 23 218 29 219 26 222 33220 31740 20 229 19 220 23 225 20 233 31740 30202 18 232 16 223 15 231 14 246 30202 28608 14 230 14 229 13 222 14 235 28608 26964 11 225 13 230 15 214 15 212 26964 25272 11 225 12 223 14 217 16 209 25272 23537 10 222 11 217 13 224 15 209 23537 21750 9 220 11 217 14 228 12 231 21750 19909 9 205 12 224 14 242 11 259 19909 18046 11 191 12 227 14 250 11 271 18046 16259 11 185 12 234 14 255 12 271 16259 14634 11 197 11 227 13 263 11 274 14634 13184 12 214 10 227 11 271 9 274 13184 11887 13 221 10*235 9 268 10 261 11887 10722 11 223 10*243 9 262 12 256 10722 9673 10*228 10 247 9 257 11 254 9673 8731 10*240 10 250 8 253 10 253 8731 7888 9 255 10 253 7 250 8 249 7888 7134 10 272 10 255 5*244 7 247 7134 6449 10 283 10 258 4*240 6*248 6449 5836 10 289 10 259 4 241 5*253 5836 5320 10 292 9 260 4 240 4 260 5320 4919 10 293 9 261 4 240 3 267 4919 4642 10 294 9 262 4 240 2 275 4642 4472 10 294 8 261 4 240 1 293 4472 4375 9 294 8 260 3 240 1 313 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography