DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.5 - - 76.9 - - 74.6 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 87 - - 440 - - 486 - - 174 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1707 - - 5864 - - 8485 - - 8985 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 9132 - - 11298 - - 11095 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 6535 - - 10692 - - 13313 - - 13813 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1620 - - 1708 - - 1572 - - 2207 - - 9413 Hgt.Variab. W* 222 - - 573 - - 671 - - 487 - - 3 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 14 - - 19 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 186 - - 196 - - 206 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 26 - - 45 - - 44 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7013 - - -4588 - - -3164 - - -2241 - - -9094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13548 - - 15281 - - 16478 - - 16055 - - 13470 sfcLCL ODpotential -13857 - - -10488 - - -8087 - - -6384 - - -12836 ODpotential blCL 20392 - - 21180 - - 21400 - - 20197 - - 17211 blCL maxRH 26 - - 25 - - 27 - - 36 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.5 - - 76.9 - - 74.6 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.8 - - 20.2 - - 18.9 - - 18.6 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 71.0 - - 75.4 - - 74.5 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 19.3 - - 18.0 - - 18.1 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 87 - - 440 - - 486 - - 174 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1707 - - 5864 - - 8485 - - 8985 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98203 17 239 22 244 19 252 16 266 8 246 98203 90743 12 237 13 242 14 237 19 251 12 266 90743 84992 9 218 11 222 12 229 11 253 11 280 84992 80230 5 111 6 167 7 221 4 259 7 259 80230 76146 9 042 7 096 7 088 8 058 9 096 76146 72579 1 017 9 073 10 078 8 058 13 072 72579 69382 5 088 10 080 7 077 5 073 5 066 69382 66459 5 348 5 102 7 171 2 287 4 026 66459 63743 4 264 2 258 3 229 8 264 5 271 63743 61106 12 228 9 223 16 234 20 241 21 229 61106 58352 33 258 28 265 24 249 23 238 25 229 58352 55456 42 255 38 262 32 260 32 251 33 244 55456 52660 48 260 53 260 52 262 54 255 47 248 52660 50114 64 254 66 254 67 253 69 253 59 248 50114 47809 68 249 71 253 74 250 78 252 67 248 47809 45712 69 253 77 254 81 250 85 251 71 248 45712 43802 74 252 75 250 83 245 88 247 74 248 43802 42056 71 250 73 245 78 240 84 242 75 247 42056 40451 67 252 72 245 77 239 84 241 81 245 40451 38963 67 256 72 247 78 238 88 240 91 242 38963 37578 67 256 74 248 78 238 88 237 94 237 37578 36256 65 256 73 246 78 238 85 235 94 235 36256 34930 62 256 71 243 79 237 83 234 94 235 34930 33572 62 254 69 243 80 235 85 233 94 235 33572 32186 61 252 68 243 81 234 87 232 93 234 32186 30757 58 250 69 243 80 234 88 230 92 234 30757 29273 53 248 68 240 80 234 88 229 92 232 29273 27736 48 243 66 237 79 234 87 230 91 230 27736 26151 48 240 63 236 72 234 80 231 82 230 26151 24526 48 241 56 234 61 233 66 231 63 229 24526 22865 43 240 49 230 53 231 52 225 52 220 22865 21155 37 237 46 226 48 229 45 218 49 215 21155 19388 34 235 43 225 45 228 42 218 45 218 19388 17597 34 232 39 224 41 227 35 217 36 223 17597 15877 33 227 34 223 32 224 25 215 28 221 15877 14311 31 222 29 219 25*216 20*211 24 216 14311 12912 28 220 24 215 19*203 19*208 21 211 12912 11657 25 219 22*212 19 198 19 207 19 208 11657 10528 22 217 18*201 19 197 20 207 18 207 10528 9513 20 210 15 189 19 196 20 206 18 209 9513 8599 19 199 15 186 19 195 20 205 18 211 8599 7783 18 189 14 185 20 195 20 205 19 213 7783 7051 17*183 14 184 20 195 20 205 19 214 7051 6387 15*177 13 182 20 194 20 205 19 215 6387 5792 12 166 13 182 20 194 20 205 19 215 5792 5290 9 146 12 181 20 194 19 205 17 214 5290 4902 8 133 12 181 19 194 19 204 15 212 4902 4632 8 130 11 180 18 194 18 204 12 207 4632 4468 7 128 11 181 18 194 17 204 9*202 4468 4374 6 127 10 180 15 194 14 204 5*194 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography