DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.4 - - 76.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 317 - - 54 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3095 - - 7455 - - 8366 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6751 - - 10259 - - 9490 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7923 - - 12283 - - 13194 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2646 - - 1464 - - 1031 - - 1004 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 558 - - 326 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 78 - - 32 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 017 - - 315 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -25 - - 13 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7489 - - -4776 - - -4035 - - -9525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15413 - - 17060 - - 17230 - - 13901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13746 - - -9828 - - -8510 - - -16238 ODpotential blCL - - - 21669 - - 22111 - - 21704 - - 20613 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 36 - - 41 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.4 - - 76.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.7 - - 16.2 - - 15.6 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 75.2 - - 77.1 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 15.1 - - 14.9 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 317 - - 54 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3095 - - 7455 - - 8366 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96370 29 305 14 295 20 271 23 287 96370 89201 21 276 18 273 14 304 11 327 89201 83686 19 273 24 273 18 304 17 332 83686 79106 14 283 19 288 21 298 20 315 79106 75165 14 278 19 292 17 299 19 321 75165 71686 22 282 30 298 30 304 30 305 71686 68536 28 293 31 300 34 298 34 302 68536 65664 31 302 29 308 36 308 41 320 65664 63040 32 313 31 310 39 312 44 331 63040 60506 33 312 34 311 38 313 44 316 60506 57845 37 315 36 318 36 313 40 305 57845 55058 40 320 37 319 35 313 38 301 55058 52368 38 326 36 315 37 307 38 304 52368 49923 37 322 36 312 40 305 42 309 49923 47719 40 312 38 313 44 311 47 311 47719 45718 42 311 40 321 47 315 47 316 45718 43898 43 315 39 326 43 317 45 318 43898 42240 40 316 38 324 40 318 42 312 42240 40713 36 314 37 322 38 315 37 313 40713 39290 33 310 36 319 35 312 31 316 39290 37951 30 306 33 315 32 311 28 319 37951 36662 29 304 31 309 31 311 27 320 36662 35360 27 301 29 305 30 312 27 319 35360 34019 25 300 26 303 29 313 27 316 34019 32643 22 300 25 308 28 313 26 311 32643 31219 20 301 26 315 28 314 24 308 31219 29736 21 309 26 318 28 316 23 310 29736 28198 23 317 25 319 26 318 25 313 28198 26605 24 323 24 319 23 322 28 318 26605 24960 23 328 23 322 22 325 28 323 24960 23266 23 329 22 326 22 328 29 329 23266 21517 23 327 23 330 22 330 29 332 21517 19705 23 327 23 332 21 332 28 333 19705 17865 22 327 21 333 20 335 25 334 17865 16093 20 327 19 338 19 341 21 336 16093 14479 18 331 16 350 14*353 17 338 14479 13041 15 344 12*014 10*014 12 341 13041 11758 13 358 9*025 8 013 5 011 11758 10608 8 011 8 025 5 005 1 082 10608 9574 5 027 6 028 3 345 1 274 9574 8646 3*039 4 029 2 297 2 294 8646 7817 4*033 1 017 3 249 3 337 7817 7075 4 025 2 215 4 230 5 006 7075 6403 4 016 4 215 5 224 8 016 6403 5802 2 347 4 213 6 219 11 014 5802 5295 2 310 5 213 6 217 13 009 5295 4904 2 285 5 211 6 215 13 004 4904 4633 3 273 6 211 6 214 11 356 4633 4468 3 268 5 211 6 213 9*348 4468 4374 3 266 5 212 5 213 6*345 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography