DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 19 - - 3 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1345 - - 1096 - - 872 - - 796 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6173 - - 5924 - - 5700 - - 5624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2727 - - 2548 - - 2544 - - 2129 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 122 - - 67 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 172 - - 170 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 26 - - 15 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1801 - - 1552 - - 1328 - - 1252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4373 - - 4372 - - 4372 - - 4372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 904 - - 702 - - 680 - - 683 ODpotential blCL - - - 5269 - - 5222 - - 5020 - - 4941 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 340 - - 270 - - 170 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 46.8 - - 45.6 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 49.0 - - 48.0 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 46.3 - - 45.3 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 19 - - 3 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1345 - - 1096 - - 872 - - 796 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96676 17 255 13 301 15 319 19 312 96676 89567 7 292 4 266 13 300 13 353 89567 84082 6 335 1 246 2 327 9 354 84082 79503 6 333 2 351 3 112 5 345 79503 75523 1 184 6 330 2 060 4 055 75523 71989 2 164 2 322 4 275 2 332 71989 68805 4 288 4 275 5 281 5 271 68805 65895 9 292 8 271 9 299 8 271 65895 63188 13 283 11 263 10 279 12 259 63188 60541 16 265 13 267 11 278 12 262 60541 57759 18 257 18 259 16 274 15 276 57759 54869 21 256 23 256 20 265 20 287 54869 52110 24 244 24 258 17 264 22 289 52110 49614 24 243 22 247 16 276 19 295 49614 47364 24 236 21 237 20 280 20 310 47364 45314 30 224 29 237 24 271 24 314 45314 43427 31 214 37 227 28 261 25 307 43427 41678 29 221 41 224 35 241 23 284 41678 40050 35 234 41 224 35 226 24 260 40050 38531 50 231 42 225 31 226 25 244 38531 37110 58 225 49 228 33 230 22 230 37110 35754 63 223 62 223 42 226 22 227 35754 34397 69 221 68 219 49 217 32 227 34397 33016 71 217 67 216 55 216 46 219 33016 31616 71 214 70 214 65 211 55 213 31616 30193 72 210 75 211 70 210 59 204 30193 28736 69 207 74 206 78 207 59 201 28736 27242 65 205 70 204 77 207 61 193 27242 25703 67 208 67 209 69 208 58 190 25703 24113 66 209 57 210 56 203 59 196 24113 22476 61 209 48 204 47 195 57 202 22476 20790 55 209 44 196 43 197 48 201 20790 19047 49 204 40 189 38 198 44 195 19047 17278 41 190 38 190 37 196 51 194 17278 15581 37 184 36 189 34 194 51 197 15581 14038 37 185 38 189 32 195 50 201 14038 12664 35 185 35 186 34 198 45 205 12664 11434 32 185 32 185 34 200 37 207 11434 10330 31 183 29 185 32 199 30 206 10330 9338 30 182 26 185 29 198 24 202 9338 8450 29 179 23 184 24 195 17 190 8450 7657 27 176 21 182 20 191 13 168 7657 6949 26 174 20 180 17 187 10 147 6949 6309 25*172 19*178 14 184 8 141 6309 5736 24*172 18*177 13*182 6*139 5736 5253 21 171 16 173 11*178 5*139 5253 4880 18 170 14 170 9 172 4 139 4880 4621 16 169 13 168 8 166 3 141 4621 4463 15 168 12 166 7 162 3 144 4463 4372 11 168 9 165 5 159 3 144 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography