DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 93.7 - - 93.5 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 510 - - 548 - - 242 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6479 - - 9069 - - 9877 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9680 - - 11826 - - 12024 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11307 - - 13897 - - 14705 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1284 - - 1397 - - 1058 - - 9146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 620 - - 711 - - 558 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 224 - - 235 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 35 - - 72 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6313 - - -7331 - - -6645 - - -14847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17621 - - 21229 - - 21351 - - 19224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13203 - - -13007 - - -11934 - - -22120 ODpotential blCL - - - 24510 - - 26904 - - 26639 - - 26496 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 37 - - 32 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 93.7 - - 93.5 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 13.9 - - 13.3 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 91.5 - - 92.8 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 13.9 - - 13.3 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 510 - - 548 - - 242 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6479 - - 9069 - - 9877 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98661 33 101 32 102 25 101 28 099 98661 91148 27 102 27 093 26 101 23 082 91148 85415 24 098 19 088 21 097 19 074 85415 80673 23 106 22 104 16 084 18 099 80673 76586 20 103 19 107 15 096 19 109 76586 72972 16 075 14 094 12 108 14 086 72972 69711 9 091 10 094 13 087 12 067 69711 66743 15 123 6 113 14 082 9 092 66743 64012 14 066 11 181 2 321 3 118 64012 61379 7 329 9 169 7 209 9 215 61379 58656 15 268 11 250 13 258 14 282 58656 55853 25 246 28 243 27 255 27 256 55853 53201 28 248 31 244 32 253 31 253 53201 50820 34 264 34 256 36 258 37 260 50820 48676 45 266 40 262 42 257 47 263 48676 46716 54 267 48 265 49 259 54 262 46716 44904 61 265 54 265 54 262 56 263 44904 43218 65 263 59 267 58 267 57 267 43218 41640 65 261 63 267 62 269 62 270 41640 40159 64 262 64 268 63 268 67 270 40159 38765 63 266 63 270 62 269 67 270 38765 37426 63 271 61 272 60 271 63 270 37426 36076 60 273 61 275 58 273 61 272 36076 34687 57 273 57 276 58 277 59 275 34687 33263 53 273 52 273 56 275 59 277 33263 31792 49 272 49 271 55 273 59 275 31792 30264 46 269 46 269 49 271 57 272 30264 28681 45 265 45 269 44 271 51 272 28681 27045 47 264 45 266 43 271 45 271 27045 25356 48 263 46 264 43 270 43 272 25356 23615 45 262 45 262 41 269 41 272 23615 21820 42 259 42 260 37 268 36 272 21820 19963 37 257 37 256 32 267 30 270 19963 18083 30 253 31 252 26 264 26 265 18083 16282 23 247 25 248 20*261 21 258 16282 14650 19 243 17*245 12*257 12 251 14650 13199 18 243 14*242 12 254 5 247 13199 11902 16*236 13 241 12 252 8 248 11902 10735 14*224 13 239 12 246 10 251 10735 9685 13 221 13 234 13 238 12 252 9685 8741 13 217 13 225 13 231 14 252 8741 7896 12 214 13 219 14 227 15 251 7896 7140 12 210 13 215 14 223 15 250 7140 6454 12 207 13 211 14 221 16 249 6454 5840 12 204 13 208 14 219 16 246 5840 5321 12 201 14 205 14 217 15 243 5321 4920 11 200 13 204 14 216 13 238 4920 4642 11 199 13 203 14 216 10 230 4642 4472 11 198 13 202 13 215 8*221 4472 4375 10 198 11 202 11 215 5*215 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography