DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 92.7 - - - - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 541 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10036 - - 12199 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12554 - - 14412 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14864 - - 17027 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2116 - - 1824 - - - - - 10233 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 703 - - 784 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 246 - - - - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 40 - - 49 - - - - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2709 - - -1834 - - - - - -11658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17574 - - 18862 - - - - - 16035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6048 - - -5338 - - - - - -16537 ODpotential blCL - - - 20912 - - 22365 - - - - - 20913 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 51 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 92.7 - - - - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 23.4 - - - - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.2 - - 90.9 - - - - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 23.5 - - - - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 541 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10036 - - 12199 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98545 21 105 18 122 9 067 98545 91060 11 113 11 099 12 076 91060 85329 11 144 9 089 14 065 85329 80581 16 124 8 079 9 082 80581 76485 9 121 9 102 10 100 76485 72869 9 130 8 113 8 089 72869 69598 11 124 11 150 8 110 69598 66603 10 151 9 170 4 121 66603 63851 9 154 15 187 4 224 63851 61208 5 273 11 197 13 177 61208 58455 10 240 10 229 7 242 58455 55618 6 259 13 262 16 272 55618 52928 16 310 17 305 19 280 52928 50484 30 300 28 306 25 301 50484 48269 33 298 32 296 44 291 48269 46254 34 295 31 295 49 285 46254 44418 34 298 33 307 45 282 44418 42733 34 305 36 311 39 283 42733 41168 33 311 36 306 38 287 41168 39701 31 313 36 300 41 287 39701 38321 31 308 36 301 43 285 38321 36996 29 302 37 305 40 281 36996 35664 30 299 35 304 36 279 35664 34295 31 295 33 294 32 279 34295 32891 28 295 34 292 29 281 32891 31438 21 286 30 291 29 281 31438 29928 21 271 21 282 30 288 29928 28362 20 277 19 280 28 292 28362 26743 18 290 19 282 25 288 26743 25078 13 298 17 283 23 275 25078 23369 9 288 15 280 22 263 23369 21610 11 276 14 263 21 253 21610 19792 14 253 15 252 17 246 19792 17953 20 236 16*250 15 248 17953 16187 25*239 18*247 17 255 16187 14580 25*245 18 246 17 255 14580 13145 22 248 18 246 18 256 13145 11859 20 247 18 245 19 256 11859 10701 18 247 19 245 20 254 10701 9657 16 246 19 245 20 251 9657 8720 15 245 20 246 21 248 8720 7881 13 243 20 246 21 245 7881 7128 12 241 20 246 22 243 7128 6446 11 239 20 246 22 242 6446 5834 10 237 20 246 21 240 5834 5318 10 236 20 246 20 238 5318 4918 9 234 19 246 17 236 4918 4641 9 233 18 246 14 232 4641 4472 8 232 18 245 11*228 4472 4375 8 232 15 245 6*223 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography