DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 100.3 - - 100.0 - - 91.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 428 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7029 - - 12098 - - 12791 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9957 - - 14196 - - 14132 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11857 - - 16926 - - 17619 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3973 - - 2230 - - 1524 - - 12330 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 561 - - 724 - - 555 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 19 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 284 - - 286 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -24 - - 21 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 737 - - 1687 - - 2451 - - -8269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11120 - - 15240 - - 15169 - - 12645 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2027 - - -1 - - 1251 - - -11023 ODpotential blCL - - - 13884 - - 16927 - - 16368 - - 15399 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - 85 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 1510 - - 270 - - 320 - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 100.3 - - 100.0 - - 91.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 48.0 - - 48.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.4 - - 98.6 - - 99.5 - - 95.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 47.5 - - 47.7 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 428 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7029 - - 12098 - - 12791 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 39 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99209 41 108 38 113 28 104 40 085 99209 91749 44 107 40 105 35 094 32 101 91749 85997 35 102 39 098 35 099 33 101 85997 81213 30 107 37 100 34 102 31 097 81213 77109 27 099 31 105 33 099 31 098 77109 73501 22 105 23 106 25 093 29 088 73501 70237 21 113 18 107 18 109 22 086 70237 67251 20 120 13 106 18 111 15 100 67251 64500 19 098 14 116 13 097 14 104 64500 61853 16 104 16 141 13 124 13 132 61853 59132 14 117 16 136 13 139 13 137 59132 56366 8 162 11 158 12 149 9 158 56366 53762 13 214 13 203 13 208 12 217 53762 51416 16 220 13 211 15 225 13 227 51416 49291 15 226 13 230 11 220 11 225 49291 47334 16 225 12 229 14 193 10 203 47334 45517 17 219 18 206 21 187 16 196 45517 43818 17 224 19 204 23 188 18 193 43818 42221 13 208 15 199 21 188 18 178 42221 40715 8 190 8 186 18 178 21 158 40715 39294 9 185 8 177 16 173 20 160 39294 37926 13 194 11 187 14 180 15 165 37926 36549 18 199 13 190 18 189 14 176 36549 35134 18 201 15 185 20 193 18 182 35134 33683 17 208 17 185 18 197 17 189 33683 32183 16 211 16 199 14 202 12 197 32183 30628 15 207 15 202 10 202 12 194 30628 29021 15 197 17 200 10 195 13 184 29021 27362 13 186 17 194 12 196 13 182 27362 25656 9 153 14 184 12 202 10 193 25656 23904 6 149 11 170 10 193 4 212 23904 22102 4 165 7 182 9 199 5 218 22102 20240 6 138 6 170 7 175 6 210 20240 18358 5 139 5*157 1*083 4 160 18358 16548 3 210 2*224 4*322 3 100 16548 14896 6 260 5 282 5 302 2 048 14896 13417 8 259 7 287 5 296 3 332 13417 12089 6*243 8 288 6 291 4 325 12089 10893 5*236 8 288 7 286 5 318 10893 9816 5 243 8 287 7 284 6 312 9816 8848 6 249 8 286 8 282 7 304 8848 7983 6 250 8 285 8 280 8 298 7983 7208 5 251 8 285 8 279 9 294 7208 6505 5 252 8 283 8 279 10 291 6505 5876 5 251 8 283 8 277 10 289 5876 5345 5 249 8 282 8 276 10 287 5345 4934 5 248 7 281 8 276 10 287 4934 4649 4 247 7 280 8 276 8 289 4649 4475 4 246 7 279 7 275 6*290 4475 4375 4 246 6 278 7 274 4*294 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography