DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.1 - - 70.4 - - 71.4 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 409 - - 461 - - 150 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 6008 - - 8556 - - 9837 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 9216 - - 11326 - - 11633 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 5132 - - 10836 - - 13384 - - 14665 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3223 - - 2056 - - 2230 - - 1756 - - 9556 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 563 - - 659 - - 476 - - 5 W* B/S 5 - - 64 - - 28 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 271 - - 261 - - 251 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -12 - - -20 - - 8 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5018 - - -2511 - - -2599 - - -2176 - - -9209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10150 - - 13347 - - 15984 - - 16842 - - 13584 sfcLCL ODpotential -9214 - - -6628 - - -5902 - - -5762 - - -14100 ODpotential blCL 14346 - - 17464 - - 19286 - - 20427 - - 18474 blCL maxRH 32 - - 34 - - 34 - - 41 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.1 - - 70.4 - - 71.4 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 20.5 - - 14.6 - - 11.7 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 62.7 - - 68.8 - - 71.1 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 19.8 - - 13.8 - - 10.9 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 409 - - 461 - - 150 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 6008 - - 8556 - - 9837 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97366 42 302 44 287 49 283 45 289 41 301 97366 90053 37 297 36 283 42 290 42 298 41 300 90053 84399 36 289 36 274 37 283 38 290 37 292 84399 79670 37 284 33 270 30 268 36 268 40 272 79670 75579 36 278 28 268 25 253 32 250 37 250 75579 71963 34 267 28 264 26 248 33 241 32 248 71963 68700 35 248 35 257 33 255 36 250 30 263 68700 65719 38 234 38 244 39 250 43 249 34 267 65719 62967 34 236 36 235 41 240 42 242 37 254 62967 60296 33 239 32 241 37 242 37 242 38 241 60296 57499 31 244 30 251 30 249 33 245 36 238 57499 54591 33 251 31 254 29 254 27 251 34 244 54591 51821 31 258 29 251 31 256 31 261 33 248 51821 49335 34 266 29 254 32 254 34 260 33 255 49335 47113 36 260 30 260 32 262 35 261 38 261 47113 45104 35 256 32 263 35 268 32 269 38 262 45104 43279 32 251 24 252 29 262 33 278 35 265 43279 41620 18 281 12 273 15 265 32 271 33 266 41620 40097 26 319 20 333 15 328 16 278 36 263 40097 38676 26 321 25 342 18 350 12 300 31 256 38676 37341 21 328 20 001 17 355 10 293 24 251 37341 36061 17 355 22 016 14 353 13 278 25 248 36061 34769 20 007 22 009 13 340 16 281 27 255 34769 33438 21 004 22 358 17 332 21 295 25 278 33438 32075 21 357 22 349 21 324 24 297 23 290 32075 30669 20 349 21 342 20 321 23 297 21 289 30669 29209 20 344 19 335 20 313 21 296 20 284 29209 27696 21 345 19 329 20 306 22 293 23 279 27696 26132 24 345 20 329 19 304 23 292 24 279 26132 24517 26 342 19 329 18 301 23 294 22 279 24517 22853 27 343 18 328 16 302 20 292 21 280 22853 21139 25 345 17 327 14 303 17 287 20 277 21139 19367 23 345 16 327 12 305 14 284 19 273 19367 17571 19 340 13 328 12 306 11 289 17 271 17571 15845 12 336 10 330 10 301 9*276 13 268 15845 14277 8 345 7 322 8*294 10*255 3 212 14277 12882 7 358 6 317 6*285 10 253 4 187 12882 11631 5 359 5*327 6 280 9 253 5 219 11631 10505 3 350 3*331 5 278 8 253 7 242 10505 9491 2 351 2 320 5 273 7 254 9 253 9491 8580 2 007 2 311 5 265 5 252 12 259 8580 7766 2 358 2 298 4 256 4 250 14 261 7766 7037 2 344 1 267 4 247 4 245 16 262 7037 6376 2 337 2 247 4 238 3 241 17 262 6376 5785 3 346 2 226 4 227 3 235 17 261 5785 5286 3*008 3 219 4 220 2 231 15 260 5286 4898 4*021 3 213 4 214 2 225 13 255 4898 4631 4 018 3 211 4 210 2 225 9 248 4631 4467 3 013 3 211 4 210 2 222 7*240 4467 4373 2 012 3 209 3 209 2 221 4*233 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography