DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.8 - - 98.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 520 - - 248 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7354 - - 14376 - - 13582 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10348 - - 16193 - - 15019 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12182 - - 19204 - - 18410 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3276 - - 2340 - - 2925 - - 11984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 626 - - 814 - - 625 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 256 - - 269 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 15 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 76 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5242 - - 1400 - - 1051 - - -10661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17425 - - 17805 - - 17360 - - 15038 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6705 - - 1156 - - 153 - - -13250 ODpotential blCL - - - 18887 - - 18048 - - 18257 - - 17626 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 77 - - 80 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 220 - - 130 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.8 - - 98.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 36.7 - - 36.6 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.4 - - 98.7 - - 97.7 - - 92.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 36.7 - - 36.6 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 520 - - 248 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7354 - - 14376 - - 13582 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99104 32 097 33 113 31 101 42 105 99104 91563 33 117 30 116 29 106 31 091 91563 85770 33 125 26 111 26 107 26 099 85770 80985 30 111 25 102 28 103 26 106 80985 76868 21 114 19 099 22 104 22 108 76868 73235 16 111 20 136 12 112 13 089 73235 69962 18 104 18 102 15 133 8 101 69962 66961 14 103 11 081 11 092 13 099 66961 64184 8 104 3 133 5 047 12 052 64184 61516 9 088 6 203 6 294 11 354 61516 58770 9 355 2 296 8 279 11 294 58770 55961 6 311 9 292 16 278 22 278 55961 53310 11 310 13 281 23 277 26 271 53310 50929 31 287 25 281 30 286 29 289 50929 48790 48 279 36 276 40 284 39 290 48790 46840 60 274 40 274 40 279 42 286 46840 45041 63 271 41 274 34 278 35 281 45041 43363 62 269 44 273 32 282 29 281 43363 41787 61 266 48 272 35 280 29 285 41787 40300 59 265 50 270 41 276 30 282 40300 38899 56 262 53 267 47 272 35 276 38899 37555 53 258 52 262 49 265 42 272 37555 36205 50 255 48 258 47 259 46 266 36205 34817 45 255 41 256 42 258 43 261 34817 33394 40 253 35 253 36 259 37 259 33394 31924 35 242 33 248 33 254 32 254 31924 30396 32 231 32 241 34 246 32 250 30396 28810 28 226 31 236 32 236 35 238 28810 27171 25 225 31 232 33 229 34 234 27171 25488 23 223 29 230 29 229 28 233 25488 23763 20 227 25 235 22 233 24 228 23763 21986 19 233 23 246 16 252 20 231 21986 20148 23 242 24*255 15*267 15 243 20148 18280 26 248 23*259 12*270 12 251 18280 16480 26 252 17 262 9 267 8 254 16480 14835 23 258 13 260 9 266 7 253 14835 13361 20*266 13 259 9 266 6 250 13361 12037 17*266 12 257 10 267 6 255 12037 10847 15 261 12 255 11 268 7 263 10847 9775 13 257 11 253 12 269 9 270 9775 8813 11 252 11 252 14 271 12 275 8813 7954 9 245 11 251 15 271 14 276 7954 7185 7 233 11 249 16 272 15 276 7185 6487 6 224 11 248 16 272 16 276 6487 5863 6 215 10 247 16 272 17 276 5863 5337 6 208 10 246 16 272 17 276 5337 4929 5 203 10 245 16 272 16 277 4929 4647 5 199 10 245 15 272 13 279 4647 4474 5 198 9 244 15 273 10*281 4474 4375 5 197 9 244 13 272 5*286 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography