DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.2 - - - - - 90.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 529 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9445 - - 14120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12068 - - 15991 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14273 - - 18948 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4187 - - 2278 - - - - - 12513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 688 - - 814 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 222 - - - - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 25 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2624 - - 1225 - - - - - -10491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16898 - - 17724 - - - - - 14867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3637 - - 772 - - - - - -13024 ODpotential blCL - - - 17910 - - 18176 - - - - - 17400 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 72 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 170 - - - - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.9 - - 101.2 - - - - - 90.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 37.4 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.1 - - 99.1 - - - - - 93.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 37.4 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 529 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9445 - - 14120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99245 41 109 34 099 34 098 99245 91735 41 113 32 111 28 095 91735 85928 38 098 35 110 30 091 85928 81112 31 085 34 104 28 098 81112 77006 22 105 29 108 26 110 77006 73407 22 119 22 105 24 091 73407 70155 21 105 20 100 23 091 70155 67176 22 097 18 101 22 091 67176 64442 22 090 14 121 22 092 64442 61824 12 096 16 119 17 078 61824 59118 12 142 13 115 4 125 59118 56335 10 145 10 129 8 166 56335 53696 1 260 5 239 4 199 53696 51315 8 312 10 260 6 251 51315 49162 11 318 10 265 9 253 49162 47183 11 313 8 262 14 255 47183 45344 11 294 11 279 15 257 45344 43623 14 290 15 294 12 268 43623 42003 19 288 15 294 13 299 42003 40477 21 280 15 287 13 313 40477 39040 24 272 19 277 16 314 39040 37659 26 268 26 273 22 300 37659 36273 27 266 28 274 27 288 36273 34858 26 267 28 276 28 286 34858 33420 22 269 26 274 24 286 33420 31942 18 275 18 266 15 287 31942 30413 13 266 11 269 13 262 30413 28830 11 255 8 296 11 250 28830 27193 9 267 4 295 7 251 27193 25505 5 302 3 207 7 243 25505 23772 5 315 4 186 7 229 23772 21990 1 317 4 189 6 181 21990 20150 2 198 5*212 10 129 20150 18281 8 191 8*231 11 108 18281 16480 11 191 9 240 6 116 16480 14836 12*209 9 241 3 170 14836 13363 13*217 9 240 3 222 13363 12041 13 216 9 235 5 260 12041 10851 12 215 9 228 8 273 10851 9780 12 213 9 219 11 276 9780 8818 11 209 9 212 14 276 8818 7959 11 204 10 208 16 276 7959 7189 10 200 10 203 17 276 7189 6491 10 198 10 199 18 276 6491 5866 9 194 10 196 18 277 5866 5339 9 191 10 194 18 277 5339 4930 9 189 10 193 16 278 4930 4647 8 189 10 193 13 280 4647 4475 8 188 10 193 10*282 4475 4375 7 189 9 192 5*286 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography