DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 98.4 - - - - - 91.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 444 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5085 - - 12195 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8337 - - 14296 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9913 - - 17023 - - - - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4880 - - 1513 - - - - - 12911 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 473 - - 734 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 47 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 288 - - - - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 9 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -9 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1508 - - 2340 - - - - - -7814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11422 - - 14684 - - - - - 12192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3586 - - 943 - - - - - -10152 ODpotential blCL - - - 13499 - - 16080 - - - - - 14529 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 84 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 340 - - 340 - - - - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 98.4 - - - - - 91.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 48.5 - - - - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 96.5 - - - - - 94.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 48.2 - - - - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 444 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5085 - - 12195 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 37 - - - - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99347 54 112 43 100 50 101 99347 91893 53 102 45 116 39 096 91893 86121 43 098 43 118 35 099 86121 81299 34 108 35 113 32 092 81299 77154 30 116 32 104 30 101 77154 73514 27 120 30 099 27 109 73514 70250 26 118 25 102 22 106 70250 67278 26 102 21 130 22 106 67278 64531 21 099 18 135 14 102 64531 61892 10 063 6 107 9 114 61892 59178 5 116 8 164 8 122 59178 56393 2 136 12 187 4 177 56393 53754 4 223 6 202 5 217 53754 51383 15 205 14 214 10 252 51383 49247 22 198 22 221 13 247 49247 47289 20 174 27 218 17 243 47289 45472 7 258 14 235 20 246 45472 43774 29 275 16 253 23 245 43774 42177 36 265 19 247 23 241 42177 40670 32 254 21 245 18 240 40670 39247 30 245 23 251 16 243 39247 37880 26 244 25 256 17 252 37880 36503 21 239 25 256 18 259 36503 35089 19 230 25 258 17 261 35089 33641 18 235 22 261 16 258 33641 32147 19 234 18 263 14 254 32147 30596 19 223 11 252 8 263 30596 28990 19 216 8 254 6 266 28990 27331 18 213 6 254 5 248 27331 25624 17 207 5 237 5 241 25624 23872 12 204 7 237 1 188 23872 22071 8 190 7 244 2 060 22071 20213 6 162 6 273 2 142 20213 18334 2 133 2*348 5 104 18334 16529 4 005 5*027 7 050 16529 14882 3 295 4 019 6 008 14882 13406 3 259 3 314 5 337 13406 12080 2 245 3 299 5 317 12080 10886 2*251 4 290 5 294 10886 9810 4*256 4 281 6 278 9810 8843 5 256 4 273 7 267 8843 7979 6 256 4 265 8 258 7979 7205 5 257 5 261 9 253 7205 6503 5 261 5 256 10 248 6503 5875 4 265 5 251 10 244 5875 5344 4 266 5 248 10 240 5344 4933 4 268 5 245 9 235 4933 4649 4 269 5 244 7 226 4649 4475 3 269 5 244 5*218 4475 4376 3 268 5 244 4*212 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography