DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.0 - - 62.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 82 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1341 - - 2009 - - 1253 - - 47 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5575 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6169 - - 6837 - - 6081 - - 4875 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1944 - - 2655 - - 2604 - - 1933 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 224 - - 251 - - 116 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 142 - - 110 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 10 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1796 - - 2411 - - 1707 - - 502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4374 - - 4426 - - 4374 - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 544 - - 353 - - -24 - - -1016 ODpotential blCL - - - 5625 - - 6484 - - 6105 - - 5891 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 1280 - - 1010 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.0 - - 62.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.9 - - 60.6 - - 58.7 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 66.3 - - 63.2 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 59.3 - - 57.9 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 82 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1341 - - 2009 - - 1253 - - 47 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 79 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98105 3 021 11 194 17 225 18 269 98105 90741 4 318 7 192 8 197 6 305 90741 85062 3 194 3 240 2 017 5 065 85062 80366 9 177 3 263 10 010 9 067 80366 76330 5 165 3 216 6 357 12 039 76330 72774 6 113 1 289 1 040 6 020 72774 69583 14 111 6 101 2 220 1 194 69583 66671 4 087 7 117 6 093 7 129 66671 63976 1 358 1 310 4 028 5 135 63976 61367 4 256 8 286 8 346 4 054 61367 58635 6 252 13 242 16 273 10 330 58635 55798 26 264 21 238 29 235 24 242 55798 53088 31 263 21 242 24 221 31 216 53088 50623 39 265 26 264 33 263 26 239 50623 48385 56 256 47 261 50 259 29 260 48385 46331 71 246 62 251 57 252 41 261 46331 44431 79 238 71 242 61 245 50 253 44431 42661 82 233 78 235 63 239 53 245 42661 41001 82 228 82 228 63 232 53 239 41001 39443 80 224 82 223 63 224 53 231 39443 37982 77 222 80 218 62 218 52 224 37982 36587 74 216 77 214 59 216 50 216 36587 35193 70 209 77 208 56 214 41 206 35193 33778 68 205 75 201 53 207 31 195 33778 32342 68 206 74 197 50 198 24 196 32342 30871 72 206 77 195 47 190 21 195 30871 29356 76 202 82 191 50 188 22 182 29356 27798 79 198 85 185 57 186 20 164 27798 26200 79 195 83 182 59 180 22 130 26200 24564 77 193 79 184 54 169 32 119 24564 22887 72 196 66 186 51 159 37 116 22887 21160 62 201 44 184 46 161 35 116 21160 19377 54 207 44 187 43 167 31 121 19377 17574 43 208 38 189 39 170 28 126 17574 15847 31 207 32 192 33 168 26 129 15847 14279 23 195 22 188 27 162 24 131 14279 12880 20 181 18 180 22 148 24 128 12880 11625 21 172 16 170 21 126 26 120 11625 10495 21 166 14 154 21 115 28 110 10495 9479 20 156 14 141 20 115 29 101 9479 8567 19 149 13 135 19 116 29 094 8567 7754 17 148 12 134 17 114 27 090 7754 7026 15 150 11*134 16 112 24 091 7026 6367 11*155 10*136 15*110 21 092 6367 5777 8*158 9 139 15*111 19 096 5777 5281 6 167 8 142 12 109 13 101 5281 4896 5 177 7 145 9 109 8*115 4896 4629 5 181 7 147 8 111 4*151 4629 4467 5 183 7 147 7 113 4 179 4467 4373 4 186 6 149 5 115 4 197 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography