DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 60.9 - - 57.7 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 211 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1437 - - 3605 - - 1717 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5272 - - 7082 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6265 - - 8433 - - 6545 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1976 - - 2297 - - 3402 - - 999 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 383 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 055 - - 057 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -27 - - -24 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7169 - - -7039 - - -8189 - - -7877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13434 - - 15473 - - 14734 - - 12251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14171 - - -12614 - - -14085 - - -15055 ODpotential blCL - - - 20436 - - 21047 - - 20630 - - 19428 blCL maxRH - - - 21 - - 24 - - 37 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 60.9 - - 57.7 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.1 - - 8.2 - - 8.5 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 60.4 - - 59.0 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.1 - - 7.0 - - 7.5 - - 9.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 211 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1437 - - 3605 - - 1717 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95906 46 273 61 271 64 272 52 283 95906 88835 31 292 37 281 47 289 36 309 88835 83396 23 312 25 291 33 299 30 317 83396 78847 19 322 23 302 24 321 20 308 78847 74909 18 311 24 307 23 333 25 325 74909 71443 17 305 24 306 23 316 30 328 71443 68324 20 313 18 304 20 299 23 302 68324 65449 24 310 22 321 17 303 23 307 65449 62775 30 305 27 318 26 315 31 312 62775 60185 36 292 33 310 36 310 38 300 60185 57470 36 283 36 299 37 296 40 297 57470 54637 37 284 38 288 35 294 47 302 54637 51928 42 279 44 288 47 299 50 295 51928 49488 48 282 52 287 54 290 47 282 49488 47281 59 282 55 284 46 287 41 280 47281 45253 61 280 53 283 46 289 37 295 45253 43379 60 282 55 285 49 293 46 312 43379 41656 60 278 60 285 55 294 59 309 41656 40075 61 273 64 281 59 289 53 300 40075 38613 60 273 63 278 55 289 33 330 38613 37256 58 274 59 274 49 293 39 357 37256 35962 56 275 53 272 45 288 47 009 35962 34665 55 280 41 277 38 285 56 014 34665 33335 54 283 36 291 29 304 56 011 33335 31974 49 287 35 303 27 327 44 356 31974 30574 40 292 33 311 31 319 33 326 30574 29127 27 311 33 313 36 305 33 305 29127 27632 28 325 33 310 36 303 34 304 27632 26085 32 329 33 309 34 304 34 307 26085 24484 33 332 32 313 32 308 32 310 24484 22833 30 333 30 316 30 312 30 314 22833 21125 27 333 29 319 28 315 28 320 21125 19355 25 332 26 322 27 317 27 326 19355 17555 21 334 24 321 25 317 27 331 17555 15821 17 340 21 321 23 317 26 335 15821 14241 14 346 18 327 22 320 24 337 14241 12831 15 350 17 338 20 328 21 342 12831 11572 15 354 16 351 17 340 17 350 11572 10443 14 358 14 001 15 349 13 355 10443 9431 10 003 11 005 13 351 10 353 9431 8524 6 023 10*016 10 356 9 358 8524 7714 7 050 11*036 9 012 11 015 7714 6990 11 060 13 050 10*035 14 032 6990 6335 15*063 16 056 13*049 19 045 6335 5751 17*065 16 058 15 057 24 054 5751 5262 16 064 16 059 15 058 26 057 5262 4884 15 064 15 061 14 059 23 054 4884 4623 14 065 14 061 13 061 17 049 4623 4464 12 064 13 062 11 061 11*043 4464 4372 8 066 11 063 8 062 5*020 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography