DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 87.1 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 512 - - 553 - - 246 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6409 - - 8973 - - 9061 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9626 - - 11752 - - 11384 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11237 - - 13801 - - 13889 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1679 - - 1475 - - 1752 - - 8463 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 619 - - 711 - - 545 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 208 - - 215 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 37 - - 37 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9038 - - -6545 - - -6204 - - -12997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20276 - - 20347 - - 20094 - - 17374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14070 - - -10663 - - -10715 - - -19002 ODpotential blCL - - - 25307 - - 24464 - - 24604 - - 23378 blCL maxRH - - - 18 - - 20 - - 21 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 87.1 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.4 - - 12.0 - - 12.5 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 85.9 - - 86.5 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.1 - - 12.0 - - 12.5 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 512 - - 553 - - 246 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6409 - - 8973 - - 9061 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99017 26 113 24 111 21 099 29 110 99017 91503 33 117 21 123 16 110 21 077 91503 85728 34 116 24 116 19 134 15 073 85728 80941 27 101 24 100 27 112 24 100 80941 76834 20 102 22 108 26 101 25 105 76834 73210 18 107 23 099 19 101 21 103 73210 69932 14 119 12 101 16 097 16 103 69932 66931 21 125 14 131 13 100 10 109 66931 64156 9 119 6 161 2 131 9 118 64156 61466 6 121 3 177 3 279 1 207 61466 58670 17 228 14 228 10 234 9 225 58670 55776 17 223 21 225 18 237 20 248 55776 53014 26 238 32 235 33 243 35 247 53014 50532 32 244 37 236 39 239 41 239 50532 48306 34 253 38 237 39 240 42 238 48306 46291 38 258 38 239 41 241 41 246 46291 44454 43 256 41 250 40 246 41 252 44454 42760 47 254 46 255 43 255 43 257 42760 41185 52 256 50 256 49 260 46 263 41185 39711 56 258 52 257 54 264 51 269 39711 38327 58 259 52 259 56 265 55 271 38327 37000 58 258 54 260 55 266 57 270 37000 35662 56 258 53 261 56 268 57 271 35662 34289 53 257 51 262 56 269 57 272 34289 32884 48 255 48 262 54 270 56 272 32884 31433 44 254 44 261 48 270 55 272 31433 29928 42 254 39 262 40 269 51 272 29928 28370 40 252 35 262 35 266 46 270 28370 26760 37 252 35 260 32 265 41 268 26760 25098 33 254 37 258 30 266 36 266 25098 23386 30 255 36 257 30 263 31 262 23386 21621 27 253 32 256 30 259 29 257 21621 19798 27 249 27 250 29 253 27 253 19798 17952 25 246 25 245 26 249 24 248 17952 16177 23 241 23 237 20 244 21 240 16177 14562 23 235 19*230 14*234 17 227 14562 13121 23 227 16*219 13*231 12 220 13121 11834 19*219 15 216 13 228 8 232 11834 10677 15*207 15 213 13 226 9 236 10677 9635 13 201 15 211 14 220 11 233 9635 8700 13 198 16 208 14 215 12 228 8700 7864 12 196 16 205 15 211 13 225 7864 7114 12 194 16 204 15 208 14 221 7114 6434 12 193 16 203 16 207 15 219 6434 5826 12 191 16 201 16 205 15 216 5826 5312 11 191 16 200 16 204 15 213 5312 4915 11 190 16 200 16 204 14 209 4915 4639 10 190 15 200 15 203 12 204 4639 4471 10 190 15 200 14 203 9*198 4471 4375 9 190 13 199 13 202 5*194 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography