DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 86.6 - - - - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13384 - - 11448 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15273 - - 10804 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18212 - - 16276 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1031 - - 2799 - - - - - 14011 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 755 - - 305 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 259 - - - - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 41 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4620 - - 5430 - - - - - -7023 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13593 - - 10847 - - - - - 11399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 3387 - - 2159 - - - - - -9670 ODpotential blCL - - - 14825 - - 14117 - - - - - 14046 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 101 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 1520 - - - - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 86.6 - - - - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 54.0 - - - - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.6 - - 88.4 - - - - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 52.9 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13384 - - 11448 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 103 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98719 27 101 23 107 24 093 98719 91255 17 092 20 101 19 098 91255 85523 13 124 15 093 17 092 85523 80772 18 107 12 091 13 084 80772 76705 14 097 16 108 17 075 76705 73117 15 142 10 088 14 069 73117 69853 14 142 6 161 14 065 69853 66854 16 111 14 147 13 043 66854 64097 22 055 14 109 7 018 64097 61445 11 348 16 046 3 088 61445 58701 8 264 12 326 7 357 58701 55879 6 265 20 252 20 271 55879 53196 18 284 19 254 25 248 53196 50778 40 277 31 272 30 261 50778 48598 53 266 46 261 41 261 48598 46612 60 258 57 255 52 256 46612 44790 63 254 64 251 60 253 44790 43102 62 252 67 249 62 253 43102 41525 60 251 63 249 62 253 41525 40045 57 250 56 250 58 253 40045 38653 55 250 52 253 53 253 38653 37316 54 250 49 257 49 255 37316 35969 53 250 46 258 42 257 35969 34584 49 252 40 259 34 259 34584 33165 43 256 33 263 30 264 33165 31698 35 260 27 267 27 270 31698 30177 24 268 20 272 23 276 30177 28607 15 282 15 277 17 283 28607 26987 12 317 13 293 14 293 26987 25313 12 318 10 301 11 291 25313 23589 11 288 7 271 11 282 23589 21813 14 267 9 248 15 269 21813 19984 13*263 11 264 13 250 19984 18138 10*267 13 268 12 243 18138 16362 10 273 13*269 12 255 16362 14738 11 266 12*268 12 263 14738 13283 11 253 12 267 11 269 13283 11975 10 245 12 265 11 275 11975 10798 9 235 12 263 12 279 10798 9737 10 229 12 259 12 280 9737 8784 10 225 11 257 12 280 8784 7931 10 221 11 255 13 280 7931 7167 10 218 11 253 13 279 7167 6474 10 215 10 252 12 278 6474 5854 10 213 9 249 12 277 5854 5330 10 212 9 247 10 273 5330 4925 10 210 8 246 7 266 4925 4645 10 210 7 244 4 253 4645 4473 10 210 7 244 2*227 4473 4375 9 209 6 243 2*194 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography