DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 100.7 - - - - - 91.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 544 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8737 - - 13261 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11492 - - 15293 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13565 - - 18089 - - - - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3390 - - 3894 - - - - - 11826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 672 - - 805 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 255 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -901 - - 1137 - - - - - -10606 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14467 - - 16953 - - - - - 14983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3758 - - -225 - - - - - -13718 ODpotential blCL - - - 17323 - - 18314 - - - - - 18095 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 58 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 450 - - - - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 100.7 - - - - - 91.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 40.5 - - - - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.7 - - 98.6 - - - - - 93.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 40.5 - - - - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 544 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8737 - - 13261 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99233 37 110 34 103 34 089 99233 91639 37 119 27 109 28 093 91639 85827 28 112 28 117 27 099 85827 81052 27 103 28 107 32 098 81052 76934 26 106 24 112 22 082 76934 73302 27 098 25 113 14 113 73302 70040 19 095 21 106 17 135 70040 67055 23 098 12 090 16 116 67055 64309 12 097 8 106 13 084 64309 61677 4 186 4 195 7 060 61677 58970 3 223 11 203 6 220 58970 56199 7 279 14 228 11 245 56199 53575 14 259 21 225 21 262 53575 51209 21 272 18 250 23 252 51209 49061 25 262 24 274 20 266 49061 47087 26 245 27 268 24 280 47087 45256 25 245 26 262 27 281 45256 43542 24 259 24 266 28 284 43542 41929 23 268 24 274 28 286 41929 40409 22 267 24 277 24 284 40409 38980 20 267 24 271 18 271 38980 37607 21 274 25 264 19 271 37607 36225 23 274 29 261 25 280 36225 34804 25 269 31 266 28 282 34804 33353 27 281 34 285 26 286 33353 31868 28 295 29 297 23 289 31868 30341 27 317 22 315 20 286 30341 28767 34 336 27 328 18 293 28767 27143 35 339 30 332 16 307 27143 25467 32 335 30 328 15 321 25467 23741 30 325 29 322 16 322 23741 21961 24 313 24 311 19 316 21961 20122 18 295 19 291 20 311 20122 18255 13 282 14*272 16 308 18255 16459 10 247 12*248 8 276 16459 14821 12*249 12 247 6 262 14821 13353 15*254 12 247 7 269 13353 12035 15 254 12 249 10 273 12035 10848 15 254 12 253 13 274 10848 9779 14 254 12 256 15 273 9779 8819 12 253 12 258 16 271 8819 7960 10 250 13 261 18 270 7960 7190 8 248 13 262 18 269 7190 6492 8 246 13 264 19 268 6492 5867 7 242 13 265 19 268 5867 5339 6 238 12 266 18 267 5339 4931 6 236 12 266 17 267 4931 4647 5 233 12 266 14 268 4647 4475 5 232 11 266 10*268 4475 4376 5 231 10 266 5*270 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography