DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 86.3 - - - - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 186 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7611 - - 8473 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10304 - - 10734 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12439 - - 13301 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2524 - - 2383 - - - - - 9484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 535 - - 486 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 25 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 217 - - - - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 12 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -70 - - 51 - - - - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -625 - - 203 - - - - - -11362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13065 - - 13099 - - - - - 15739 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2285 - - -1166 - - - - - -15078 ODpotential blCL - - - 14724 - - 14467 - - - - - 19454 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 98 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 86.3 - - - - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 43.7 - - - - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 86.1 - - - - - 87.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 43.6 - - - - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 186 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7611 - - 8473 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 91 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98910 30 119 31 119 26 084 98910 91415 37 114 30 119 31 103 91415 85665 34 109 33 121 29 102 85665 80910 26 103 29 109 21 099 80910 76815 21 104 20 093 18 109 76815 73187 17 118 14 109 18 107 73187 69895 11 122 20 130 9 095 69895 66872 10 181 5 127 8 102 66872 64070 11 141 5 200 4 310 64070 61372 9 259 7 218 6 344 61372 58587 9 195 10 245 16 250 58587 55741 11 239 22 225 31 234 55741 53066 26 260 25 235 30 246 53066 50653 36 259 38 251 39 250 50653 48477 52 254 51 248 47 246 48477 46502 60 251 58 247 51 248 46502 44690 62 246 62 245 54 250 44690 43011 60 243 62 244 56 251 43011 41440 57 240 59 242 57 250 41440 39962 52 240 55 240 55 250 39962 38570 49 239 52 239 53 251 38570 37235 46 239 49 240 50 250 37235 35889 43 240 44 240 49 250 35889 34507 42 242 39 233 48 252 34507 33090 34 238 37 224 47 255 33090 31628 28 248 36 225 45 256 31628 30110 39 258 34 229 42 256 30110 28538 41 258 33 237 39 254 28538 26916 41 258 32 246 37 253 26916 25246 40 257 34 254 35 253 25246 23530 39 256 35 256 34 252 23530 21764 38 252 35 254 33 248 21764 19939 36 245 33 248 31 243 19939 18086 35 238 31 239 29 240 18086 16303 34 237 29 235 29 238 16303 14676 33 237 28*230 27 234 14676 13222 31*237 27*225 26 231 13222 11920 29*237 27 222 26 228 11920 10749 26 236 26 219 26 228 10749 9696 23 234 26 217 26 228 9696 8750 20 230 26 216 26 228 8750 7904 17 224 26 214 26 227 7904 7147 15 214 25 213 25 227 7147 6459 13 205 25 213 25 227 6459 5843 12 201 25 212 23 226 5843 5324 12 198 24 212 21 225 5324 4922 11 196 24 211 18 222 4922 4643 11 195 23 211 14 219 4643 4473 10 194 21 211 11*216 4473 4375 9 193 17 211 6*211 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography