DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.7 - - 86.8 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 381 - - 59 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6341 - - 9678 - - 7883 - - 237 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9468 - - 12141 - - 9221 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11169 - - 14506 - - 12711 - - 5065 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1945 - - 1742 - - 2592 - - 4765 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 644 - - 326 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 225 - - 228 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 24 - - 33 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1079 - - 1484 - - 664 - - -5553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12249 - - 13023 - - 12048 - - 10618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3321 - - 791 - - -762 - - -8798 ODpotential blCL - - - 14490 - - 13715 - - 13473 - - 13863 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 98 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 210 - - 200 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.7 - - 86.8 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 47.3 - - 48.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 88.3 - - 87.2 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 47.1 - - 48.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 381 - - 59 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6341 - - 9678 - - 7883 - - 237 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 91 - - 97 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98837 25 108 22 119 9 116 16 101 98837 91405 24 110 17 116 15 103 18 098 91405 85680 16 101 14 115 18 114 19 089 85680 80933 14 093 18 114 12 106 14 083 80933 76838 15 105 15 109 13 120 8 068 76838 73232 16 109 9 107 13 085 9 089 73232 69972 10 086 11 103 9 088 11 095 69972 66986 10 097 10 117 11 116 4 121 66986 64234 6 083 5 183 5 106 8 152 64234 61578 5 267 7 256 7 298 1 105 61578 58840 20 218 25 230 28 248 19 276 58840 56051 17 224 29 232 30 238 28 247 56051 53416 29 250 36 243 32 255 33 248 53416 51044 35 241 37 241 37 249 38 255 51044 48898 39 255 40 254 42 250 43 260 48898 46927 53 264 49 257 48 250 47 258 46927 45104 63 263 54 253 51 249 52 254 45104 43405 65 259 56 249 54 250 55 251 43405 41812 68 254 56 246 55 249 55 249 41812 40311 72 251 56 243 56 246 55 247 40311 38893 68 245 59 244 58 245 58 250 38893 37527 65 238 62 245 60 248 60 254 37527 36150 67 233 64 244 61 250 58 258 36150 34739 63 232 64 241 59 248 52 256 34739 33306 53 232 58 240 53 240 46 250 33306 31833 47 229 51 239 48 233 37 238 31833 30300 42 230 43 242 44 232 32 229 30300 28708 36 234 34 241 38 244 27 231 28708 27061 31 235 29 238 23 239 22 225 27061 25367 28 237 27 235 21 225 19 218 25367 23629 22 235 26 232 24 228 16 211 23629 21841 18 228 24 231 25 234 16 208 21841 19993 15 228 21 233 22 243 16 213 19993 18122 15 244 19 238 17 247 16 228 18122 16325 22 255 17 244 14 236 17 241 16325 14690 25 256 14*242 9 225 17 240 14690 13231 21 250 13*238 6*232 17 236 13231 11924 18*237 12 236 6*240 15 233 11924 10749 16*229 12 234 6 240 12 228 10749 9692 14 223 11 230 8 236 9 216 9692 8744 13 219 11 225 10 232 7 210 8744 7897 11 214 11 222 11 228 5 224 7897 7139 9 203 11 219 12 226 5 255 7139 6451 9 199 11 216 12 224 7 286 6451 5837 8 195 11 214 12 223 8 308 5837 5319 8 193 10 211 12 222 9*329 5319 4919 8 191 10 211 12 221 9*344 4919 4641 7 192 10 210 12 221 9 350 4641 4472 7 191 10 209 11 220 8 353 4472 4375 7 191 9 209 10 219 6 353 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography