DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 90.5 - - 88.0 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 400 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4955 - - 8890 - - 8066 - - 1337 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8302 - - 11528 - - 9959 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9783 - - 13718 - - 12894 - - 6165 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3181 - - 1785 - - 2182 - - 6036 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 637 - - 395 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 248 - - 283 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -5 - - -20 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1577 - - 783 - - 771 - - -4385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11361 - - 12935 - - 12124 - - 10551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3523 - - -605 - - -784 - - -6966 ODpotential blCL - - - 13306 - - 14323 - - 13678 - - 13131 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 88 - - 88 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 110 - - 150 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 90.5 - - 88.0 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 48.4 - - 49.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 89.0 - - 88.1 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 48.2 - - 49.5 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 400 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4955 - - 8890 - - 8066 - - 1337 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 51 - - 51 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 23 121 17 110 14 085 17 081 98786 91388 16 095 23 112 9 112 15 098 91388 85661 21 088 15 101 12 107 15 093 85661 80896 17 093 4 116 11 078 13 061 80896 76790 15 079 12 114 8 049 14 062 76790 73161 9 078 16 095 10 089 9 063 73161 69902 12 100 14 082 10 105 5 054 69902 66938 12 090 4 072 8 095 4 089 66938 64205 2 144 6 166 4 001 7 067 64205 61561 11 229 10 222 8 279 8 284 61561 58843 17 232 19 227 19 227 17 243 58843 56070 21 252 22 244 25 231 22 238 56070 53437 25 253 28 243 32 228 31 236 53437 51056 29 247 34 236 34 232 33 231 51056 48897 34 237 40 239 38 241 37 242 48897 46918 40 239 46 237 47 243 45 250 46918 45093 43 250 47 240 53 242 54 248 45093 43402 50 262 53 248 58 245 57 242 43402 41822 49 257 56 247 61 244 55 241 41822 40333 46 244 56 243 59 241 53 245 40333 38928 47 241 57 239 57 239 54 244 38928 37572 47 243 58 238 55 238 54 239 37572 36201 50 243 55 237 50 238 52 236 36201 34790 49 241 50 237 43 234 49 234 34790 33347 42 239 44 241 36 234 42 233 33347 31860 37 237 36 244 32 244 35 231 31860 30318 34 236 31 244 33 248 36 237 30318 28720 29 236 30 233 36 241 39 244 28720 27067 27 234 32 222 37 228 39 243 27067 25367 25 227 32 222 35 219 36 231 25367 23625 25 219 30 220 33 218 33 225 23625 21834 25 217 29 218 29 219 29 223 21834 19988 24 215 29 214 27 216 26 219 19988 18121 22 211 28 208 26 210 24 214 18121 16328 20 207 24 204 23 207 23 210 16328 14695 19 208 18*206 15 201 19 199 14695 13238 17 212 11*212 10*198 12 176 13238 11932 15 218 9 221 7*203 7 163 11932 10758 14*222 8 230 5 220 2 182 10758 9701 11*221 7 238 4 252 4 292 9701 8753 7 218 7 249 5 281 8 305 8753 7904 5 218 7 260 7 297 11 312 7904 7145 5 218 7 266 9 300 14 323 7145 6457 4 218 8 271 10 300 19*334 6457 5842 4 219 8 275 11 299 23*335 5842 5323 4 216 8 277 11 299 22 333 5323 4921 4 217 8 279 11 299 20 329 4921 4642 4 216 8 280 11 298 18 326 4642 4473 4 216 8 280 10 298 16 324 4473 4375 4 215 7 280 9 298 10 322 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography