DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 81.8 - - 76.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 337 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 5573 - - 1362 - - 10 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7441 - - 8790 - - 4358 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8793 - - 10401 - - 6190 - - 4838 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2186 - - 2457 - - 5001 - - 2909 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 424 - - 515 - - 131 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 229 - - 316 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 17 - - -9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1712 - - 1539 - - 262 - - 464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7081 - - 8863 - - 5928 - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -286 - - 94 - - -2545 - - -2422 ODpotential blCL - - - 9079 - - 10307 - - 8735 - - 7260 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 101 - - 94 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 1020 - - 1220 - - 2160 - - 2860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 81.8 - - 76.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 57.6 - - 64.3 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 80.7 - - 77.0 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 57.4 - - 63.0 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 337 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 5573 - - 1362 - - 10 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 102 - - 76 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99112 32 109 37 107 24 108 32 093 99112 91643 27 099 32 117 25 101 24 095 91643 85880 25 095 26 102 25 109 24 094 85880 81083 24 094 25 104 19 102 22 089 81083 76955 19 097 18 106 15 095 21 088 76955 73319 12 075 15 100 15 100 17 093 73319 70048 10 103 12 086 9 104 11 085 70048 67052 3 155 5 054 9 106 7 121 67052 64278 9 175 3 258 3 096 7 133 64278 61597 9 179 8 236 8 251 3 274 61597 58817 8 237 10 238 10 257 11 277 58817 55953 15 239 17 246 17 265 17 271 55953 53240 18 226 24 232 23 240 22 240 53240 50811 20 225 28 224 24 231 23 234 50811 48632 25 224 31 224 27 232 28 249 48632 46649 30 213 36 233 38 238 42 239 46649 44840 34 218 43 230 41 221 44 221 44840 43169 41 223 40 221 37 234 34 229 43169 41606 39 227 40 242 51 260 40 247 41606 40137 37 240 48 260 44 250 42 243 40137 38748 40 245 50 260 45 243 43 242 38748 37408 44 241 46 256 45 239 40 237 37408 36054 38 235 39 246 41 233 38 226 36054 34656 40 217 38 236 34 226 38 209 34656 33220 41 212 39 229 31 213 39 207 33220 31735 41 222 42 233 33 215 37 211 31735 30196 35 236 39 234 27 211 33 205 30196 28604 31 237 29 226 24 208 29 194 28604 26960 30 232 24 222 26 206 26 196 26960 25267 25 232 21 216 22 202 22 207 25267 23531 22 240 19 220 16 208 18 212 23531 21745 20 242 17 231 12 232 13 205 21745 19903 18 246 16 235 9 249 9 205 19903 18040 12 251 13 236 10 254 7 237 18040 16254 6 266 8 261 12 258 9 263 16254 14631 8 281 6 276 10 249 9 268 14631 13182 7 280 6 264 9 237 10 253 13182 11884 6 282 7 254 10 234 12 242 11884 10717 6 282 7*248 11 233 14 236 10717 9667 7*276 7*245 11 231 14 233 9667 8724 7*271 7 241 11 228 13 232 8724 7881 6 264 7 235 10 228 11 231 7881 7127 5 252 7 230 9 230 9 229 7127 6443 4 212 7 226 7*235 6 228 6443 5831 4 198 7 222 4*256 2 217 5831 5316 4 189 7 218 2 314 2 080 5316 4917 4 184 7 216 3 336 5*064 4917 4640 4 181 7 214 3 342 6*061 4640 4472 4 180 7 214 3 345 5 060 4472 4375 4 179 7 213 2 343 4 057 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography