DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.9 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 402 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7170 - - 9296 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10067 - - 11859 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11998 - - 14124 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1870 - - 1461 - - - - - 7579 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 564 - - 647 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 190 - - - - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 28 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 105 - - 1761 - - - - - -7717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11894 - - 12364 - - - - - 12092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1078 - - 313 - - - - - -12297 ODpotential blCL - - - 13076 - - 13811 - - - - - 16672 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 70 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 370 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.9 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 45.4 - - - - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 83.5 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 402 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7170 - - 9296 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98244 19 092 11 137 11 020 98244 90904 15 063 10 095 7 063 90904 85253 11 050 13 067 6 059 85253 80550 11 058 12 068 9 024 80550 76502 13 065 11 069 13 032 76502 72931 13 059 13 070 19 042 72931 69700 9 056 12 061 17 053 69700 66725 10 064 9 065 13 040 66725 63968 11 044 8 081 5 012 63968 61313 7 083 9 084 3 296 61313 58559 4 182 3 201 3 253 58559 55708 12 236 14 257 16 249 55708 52996 22 240 28 248 20 225 52996 50553 31 247 33 250 21 243 50553 48355 39 245 39 244 32 255 48355 46353 39 244 43 241 44 247 46353 44514 42 243 47 239 50 245 44514 42811 47 242 53 239 54 242 42811 41226 54 238 59 235 58 240 41226 39745 58 235 64 232 63 238 39745 38356 64 233 67 230 63 238 38356 37023 67 232 68 230 62 240 37023 35683 64 229 68 229 63 242 35683 34303 57 226 67 229 64 241 34303 32887 55 227 62 230 63 241 32887 31423 51 230 54 229 61 239 31423 29906 42 229 46 228 58 236 29906 28341 37 224 39 224 50 230 28341 26731 37 217 37 219 43 223 26731 25075 32 213 34 215 38 218 25075 23374 24 209 28 210 34 215 23374 21620 20 214 24 205 31 211 21620 19804 15 218 21 209 28 211 19804 17961 13 217 17 210 23 215 17961 16188 13 226 16 216 20 215 16188 14573 17 228 14*210 18 204 14573 13132 21*218 13*198 19 189 13132 11842 20*209 13 195 21 183 11842 10683 18 200 13 195 19 183 10683 9640 15 190 13 193 17 185 9640 8704 13 182 13 190 16 186 8704 7866 13 178 13 189 15 188 7866 7116 12 177 13 187 15 189 7116 6435 11 176 13 185 14 191 6435 5826 11 176 13 184 13 191 5826 5312 10 176 13 183 12 190 5312 4914 10 176 12 182 9 182 4914 4639 9 177 12 182 7 168 4639 4471 9 177 12 182 6*150 4471 4374 8 177 10 182 4*122 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography