DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 81.7 - - 89.2 - - 90.6 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 450 - - 495 - - 193 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2470 - - 6576 - - 10191 - - 12162 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5899 - - 9711 - - 12702 - - 13679 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 7298 - - 11404 - - 15019 - - 16990 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2852 - - 1369 - - 1233 - - 2054 - - 13770 Hgt.Variab. W* 268 - - 599 - - 716 - - 556 - - 2 W* B/S 5 - - 31 - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 344 - - 310 - - 307 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 12 - - 15 - - 12 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -17 - - 13 - - 18 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8594 - - -6328 - - -4100 - - -2423 - - -13445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15893 - - 17733 - - 19120 - - 19414 - - 17822 sfcLCL ODpotential -15021 - - -10653 - - -6618 - - -4774 - - -18799 ODpotential blCL 22319 - - 22057 - - 21637 - - 21764 - - 23175 blCL maxRH 81 - - 63 - - 41 - - 48 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 81.7 - - 89.2 - - 90.6 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 18.3 - - 18.9 - - 19.0 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.9 - - 80.0 - - 87.3 - - 90.2 - - 86.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 18.0 - - 18.8 - - 18.8 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 450 - - 495 - - 193 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2470 - - 6576 - - 10191 - - 12162 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 11 082 15 121 11 131 19 090 15 082 98241 90825 16 096 11 153 8 117 9 085 12 080 90825 85109 16 108 15 123 8 132 6 135 12 082 85109 80371 16 102 13 109 11 115 13 112 10 101 80371 76295 18 102 13 134 11 106 14 117 12 118 76295 72678 8 145 12 140 7 169 14 118 12 131 72678 69379 4 182 5 178 8 190 2 200 11 111 69379 66355 4 169 7 172 8 165 7 224 5 050 66355 63591 1 002 9 090 8 161 11 200 3 312 63591 60942 7 322 10 339 8 035 4 111 4 233 60942 58184 9 020 11 314 14 333 9 336 6 325 58184 55343 16 349 17 341 17 327 16 331 13 325 55343 52652 25 336 27 355 21 346 19 340 13 329 52652 50226 37 344 35 346 27 339 23 331 19 323 50226 48040 46 349 36 336 29 334 25 328 21 315 48040 46051 48 348 38 329 34 329 27 321 22 314 46051 44238 46 342 39 325 35 319 28 311 23 302 44238 42577 44 336 37 325 33 312 26 312 23 298 42577 41033 41 336 36 326 32 313 26 322 23 308 41033 39583 39 340 35 327 33 315 27 323 22 317 39583 38219 38 340 33 327 35 313 30 316 22 318 38219 36910 36 336 32 326 35 314 31 313 24 315 36910 35593 35 331 34 325 32 318 29 316 26 318 35593 34238 33 324 34 326 32 324 28 321 27 322 34238 32849 32 319 32 329 31 328 27 324 26 321 32849 31412 31 319 30 333 27 327 24 329 22 320 31412 29918 32 321 30 334 24 330 19 328 18 316 29918 28368 33 321 29 331 23 333 17 323 16 308 28368 26764 34 318 29 324 23 332 18 323 15 307 26764 25106 34 314 28 322 23 335 20 326 13 318 25106 23397 31 313 25 322 23 340 20 338 13 348 23397 21637 25 316 19 317 15 332 19 346 17 001 21637 19828 19 328 15 319 13 328 15 347 11 358 19828 18000 19 346 13 331 15 340 13*003 6 028 18000 16241 20 357 14 342 14*347 9*357 4 017 16241 14634 22 359 17 348 12*346 9 352 6 336 14634 13193 23 358 19 352 12 344 8 341 7 324 13193 11899 20 354 15*356 11 341 8 319 8 318 11899 10733 14 346 10*001 10 327 9 308 9 313 10733 9683 9 345 7 003 9 309 9 299 9 308 9683 8740 4 014 6 002 8 293 10 293 9 301 8740 7896 5*077 4 355 8 281 10 287 10 295 7896 7140 8*091 3 341 8 272 11 284 11 288 7140 6454 11 089 2 311 8 265 11 282 12 283 6454 5840 11 085 2 278 8 258 11 279 12 279 5840 5321 9 079 3 256 8 253 11 277 12 277 5321 4920 8 079 3 247 8 251 11 275 11 275 4920 4642 7 079 3 243 8 249 11 275 9 275 4642 4472 6 079 3 241 8 248 10 274 7*276 4472 4375 5 080 3 241 7 246 9 272 5*279 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography