DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 66.9 - - - - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 15 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 953 - - 2353 - - - - - 188 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 4357 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5781 - - 7181 - - - - - 5016 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2407 - - 3114 - - - - - 4892 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 192 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 172 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 14 - - - - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3372 - - -2667 - - - - - -4191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9154 - - 9848 - - - - - 9208 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12770 - - -10044 - - - - - -11193 ODpotential blCL - - - 18551 - - 17225 - - - - - 16209 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 91 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 66.9 - - - - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 39.1 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 67.9 - - - - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 37.9 - - - - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 15 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 953 - - 2353 - - - - - 188 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 64 - - - - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97735 28 293 28 283 30 285 97735 90443 21 273 27 275 24 285 90443 84817 18 257 22 255 24 295 84817 80139 10 271 14 244 20 289 80139 76121 9 260 9 272 13 276 76121 72592 11 242 12 273 10 315 72592 69416 7 252 9 250 8 296 69416 66504 5 286 6 255 7 263 66504 63810 10 241 11 270 12 269 63810 61217 12 226 14 259 11 253 61217 58519 12 268 17 250 12 269 58519 55726 15 279 19 259 24 278 55726 53067 23 276 26 276 32 273 53067 50660 29 267 35 284 34 278 50660 48483 25 263 43 280 42 283 48483 46487 22 263 43 278 49 278 46487 44640 24 263 40 276 53 272 44640 42917 28 263 38 269 54 267 42917 41302 35 255 41 264 53 266 41302 39784 33 235 40 254 54 263 39784 38357 27 243 38 245 55 255 38357 36991 33 245 36 238 57 249 36991 35624 30 228 28 234 52 243 35624 34232 24 197 24 214 40 231 34232 32821 20 193 24 193 28 215 32821 31369 19 176 24 189 22 191 31369 29862 21 165 21 186 26 191 29862 28302 23 148 20 193 35 201 28302 26686 22 143 20 204 42 207 26686 25017 20 154 22 215 41 210 25017 23298 23 175 23 211 34 216 23298 21526 27 182 22 202 27 217 21526 19695 26 185 20 199 21 209 19695 17840 23 190 18 192 18 215 17840 16058 23 186 17 178 18 228 16058 14438 26 158 25 157 17 235 14438 12994 33 141 32 149 14 219 12994 11702 33 134 31 145 13 151 11702 10550 27 133 26 139 19 131 10550 9522 24 137 21 135 20 139 9522 8602 23 138 18 139 19 148 8602 7782 21 136 15*150 19 158 7782 7049 16 135 12*161 17 166 7049 6385 11*133 11 169 16 173 6385 5790 6*131 9 175 14 177 5790 5289 3 119 7 179 12*179 5289 4901 1 012 6 181 9*174 4901 4632 1 347 5 182 6 159 4632 4468 1 331 5 181 4 134 4468 4373 1 325 4 183 4 119 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography