DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.3 - - - - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 312 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4026 - - 6138 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7467 - - 9206 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8854 - - 10966 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1836 - - 1700 - - - - - 7403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 419 - - 520 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 106 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 222 - - - - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -24 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6457 - - -6315 - - - - - -11640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15312 - - 17282 - - - - - 16016 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12099 - - -11094 - - - - - -18155 ODpotential blCL - - - 20953 - - 22060 - - - - - 22530 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 55 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.3 - - - - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 16.0 - - - - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 76.2 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 14.8 - - - - - 12.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 312 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4026 - - 6138 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 11 249 18 252 15 272 96219 89035 7 271 2 252 12 257 89035 83510 3 278 3 309 7 301 83510 78953 9 011 9 287 8 337 78953 75011 14 003 14 283 20 337 75011 71519 17 333 20 304 29 322 71519 68405 30 331 39 320 37 324 68405 65587 41 321 44 320 43 320 65587 62981 36 302 37 314 41 309 62981 60444 34 312 32 306 36 301 60444 57782 43 323 38 300 37 306 57782 55001 49 313 44 297 42 307 55001 52327 47 308 44 296 45 296 52327 49903 46 309 41 296 41 293 49903 47717 43 311 38 303 37 299 47717 45732 41 313 37 307 41 305 45732 43928 40 317 37 312 42 312 43928 42282 39 322 43 327 50 314 42282 40762 36 323 52 333 56 317 40762 39335 33 323 60 334 60 316 39335 37990 31 322 65 334 60 314 37990 36694 30 323 66 334 56 314 36694 35384 30 321 62 334 50 317 35384 34033 31 318 57 334 47 319 34033 32646 34 317 54 331 43 316 32646 31209 41 321 52 327 41 314 31209 29714 45 325 49 324 39 312 29714 28164 47 326 47 317 41 307 28164 26560 46 327 46 312 46 302 26560 24909 43 326 42 314 45 300 24909 23214 40 327 35 315 39 300 23214 21467 36 328 31 312 33 305 21467 19660 32 329 27 311 28 312 19660 17826 28 330 24 316 25 323 17826 16065 25 334 21 323 20 330 16065 14463 20 342 17 332 12 325 14463 13036 15 348 12 346 7 304 13036 11760 11 355 6*006 6 285 11760 10612 9 012 1*023 6 277 10612 9580 6*052 1 021 5 279 9580 8652 6*079 0 010 5 286 8652 7824 6 082 0 275 5 295 7824 7082 4 088 1 222 6 302 7082 6409 2 105 2 219 6 307 6409 5807 1 174 2 217 6 313 5807 5300 3 214 3 212 5 315 5300 4907 4 219 3 212 4 320 4907 4635 4 220 3 211 3 330 4635 4469 4 219 3 212 2*343 4469 4374 4 221 3 212 2*351 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography