DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 71.8 - - 71.7 - - 68.2 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 290 - - 341 - - 126 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 501 - - 8683 - - 8734 - - 7120 - - 2058 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 11185 - - 11319 - - 9411 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 5329 - - 13511 - - 13562 - - 11948 - - 6886 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1946 - - 2221 - - 2649 - - 2422 - - 4212 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 568 - - 601 - - 404 - - 57 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 188 - - 192 - - 194 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - 28 - - 45 - - 17 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5037 - - 1133 - - 1501 - - 1156 - - -1130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10367 - - 12378 - - 12061 - - 10792 - - 8017 sfcLCL ODpotential -8657 - - 383 - - 1136 - - 332 - - -2920 ODpotential blCL 13986 - - 13128 - - 12426 - - 11616 - - 9806 blCL maxRH 93 - - 94 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 20 - - 60 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 71.8 - - 71.7 - - 68.2 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 33.7 - - 35.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 71.0 - - 70.7 - - 68.1 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 32.0 - - 33.3 - - 35.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 290 - - 341 - - 126 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 501 - - 8683 - - 8734 - - 7120 - - 2058 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 77 - - 101 - - 95 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96744 36 280 42 272 41 272 50 268 50 293 96744 89502 29 300 29 283 33 274 33 277 36 294 89502 83964 18 312 18 302 25 281 21 301 24 316 83964 79376 15 301 15 323 19 301 20 324 22 322 79376 75441 15 323 14 334 17 321 16 324 24 317 75441 71985 16 331 14 344 16 331 15 326 20 319 71985 68872 16 324 15 325 17 332 15 335 15 319 68872 66013 18 321 14 319 12 327 13 317 14 308 66013 63333 19 302 17 313 16 312 16 305 16 297 63333 60710 25 306 23 292 24 283 31 289 28 291 60710 57956 36 290 31 282 35 276 38 278 36 283 57956 55068 42 272 41 271 41 281 42 280 47 276 55068 52282 48 275 41 276 52 274 55 277 54 275 52282 49763 48 276 49 280 55 273 55 273 57 275 49763 47511 58 276 57 283 63 284 57 279 51 280 47511 45474 68 272 66 282 65 280 61 281 50 287 45474 43612 82 262 84 260 61 272 61 281 53 291 43612 41899 75 288 69 266 57 270 60 277 58 290 41899 40315 104 286 69 271 62 271 58 276 61 288 40315 38842 87 284 81 271 67 270 55 274 60 286 38842 37468 65 278 74 269 66 268 49 273 54 282 37468 36153 60 271 61 262 60 262 42 272 42 279 36153 34836 60 264 61 260 52 259 38 261 27 288 34836 33492 60 262 54 266 44 257 37 238 22 283 33492 32121 59 259 39 256 36 247 33 224 21 275 32121 30712 51 251 39 249 34 240 30 230 20 273 30712 29251 40 245 42 252 33 248 26 235 18 259 29251 27734 33 254 40 262 31 258 21 242 22 271 27734 26162 34 259 32 268 30 263 15 259 15 290 26162 24539 37 256 22 259 25 261 12 281 11 342 24539 22869 30 243 21 245 16 242 10 287 14 026 22869 21148 19 188 18 216 14 205 7 262 15 017 21148 19370 17 168 17 163 14 174 5 288 13 018 19370 17570 15 198 13 155 10 186 1 309 11 008 17570 15841 18 218 8 181 10 194 0 225 11 348 15841 14268 19 210 8*202 11*194 3 179 11 329 14268 12864 18 198 11*203 11*194 5*183 11 315 12864 11608 18 189 14 199 12 194 6*186 10 311 11608 10481 21 189 15 196 12 194 6 187 9 313 10481 9469 24 188 16 193 13 193 7 191 6 324 9469 8560 25 186 16 189 13 192 7 193 5 344 8560 7749 24 180 16 186 14 191 7 195 4 002 7749 7023 23 172 16 183 14 191 7 196 5*014 7023 6365 21 164 15 179 14 191 7 198 7*017 6365 5777 16*158 15 177 14 190 7 199 8 018 5777 5280 9*153 14 175 14 190 7 200 9 018 5280 4896 5 140 14 174 14 190 7 200 9 018 4896 4630 3 111 13 173 14 190 6 200 9 017 4630 4467 2 080 13 173 13 190 6 202 8 016 4467 4373 2 067 11 173 12 190 6 202 6 016 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography