DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 85.0 - - 83.8 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 366 - - 79 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7860 - - 8770 - - 9089 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10616 - - 11383 - - 10439 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12688 - - 13598 - - 13917 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1387 - - 1532 - - 1434 - - 9367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 615 - - 375 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 20 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 208 - - 199 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -20 - - 14 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -122 - - -611 - - 440 - - -6377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12811 - - 14210 - - 13478 - - 10753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4273 - - -4901 - - -2984 - - -9043 ODpotential blCL - - - 16961 - - 18499 - - 16901 - - 13418 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 70 - - 67 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 85.0 - - 83.8 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 37.4 - - 39.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 83.8 - - 84.1 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 37.3 - - 39.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 366 - - 79 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7860 - - 8770 - - 9089 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98514 11 151 16 150 7 146 8 120 98514 91092 12 127 14 155 9 139 11 134 91092 85363 11 130 10 134 11 141 5 150 85363 80620 8 121 9 090 12 124 4 061 80620 76559 8 116 4 048 9 090 7 058 76559 72982 7 092 3 106 7 059 9 038 72982 69743 5 085 5 142 4 033 8 040 69743 66772 3 137 5 142 6 349 9 012 66772 64042 3 188 6 188 9 272 6 336 64042 61414 5 280 8 205 13 229 15 260 61414 58674 17 286 12 262 15 266 19 267 58674 55832 33 260 29 260 33 276 32 283 55832 53136 37 258 37 263 48 265 54 267 53136 50725 44 273 42 269 51 255 58 255 50725 48570 66 279 69 278 65 273 61 268 48570 46612 97 277 99 272 89 276 82 270 46612 44808 104 271 102 267 99 270 94 265 44808 43126 94 269 104 267 105 267 97 264 43126 41545 78 269 92 269 100 264 96 263 41545 40052 76 270 78 270 90 262 89 261 40052 38649 81 272 75 268 78 263 76 257 38649 37304 76 273 73 264 64 262 64 256 37304 35949 66 272 67 267 59 259 60 255 35949 34554 54 274 62 267 57 254 55 251 34554 33123 50 266 54 270 55 251 47 245 33123 31644 49 260 46 267 50 248 43 241 31644 30109 45 258 44 259 42 249 39 238 30109 28523 42 260 41 259 36 262 33 239 28523 26886 35 264 36 259 32 268 26 243 26886 25200 29 262 31 259 27 263 23 253 25200 23468 26 256 27 258 24 256 21 263 23468 21691 22 252 23 252 21 249 18 261 21691 19858 16 242 19 250 18 242 17 250 19858 18002 9 240 12 253 13 235 15 237 18002 16220 8 243 5 241 6 199 11 202 16220 14602 10 230 3*159 2*224 7 141 14602 13161 10*195 4*174 3*244 3 069 13161 11869 9*169 4 195 4 238 1 092 11869 10706 7 153 5 201 4 228 3 187 10706 9658 5 149 5 207 4 212 5 198 9658 8718 4 154 6 211 4 200 7 205 8718 7877 2 187 6 213 5 190 9 211 7877 7124 3 216 6 214 5 185 10 215 7124 6441 3 229 7 214 6 182 11 219 6441 5830 4 229 7 213 6 178 12 220 5830 5315 4 229 7 213 6 177 11 220 5315 4916 4 228 7 213 6 176 10 218 4916 4639 5 228 7 213 6 176 6 212 4639 4472 5 227 7 213 6 176 5*201 4472 4374 4 227 6 213 6 175 2*189 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography