DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 96.0 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 299 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7259 - - 12574 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10214 - - 14359 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12087 - - 17402 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5877 - - 1897 - - - - - 9473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 597 - - 653 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 218 - - - - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 20 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1408 - - 3262 - - - - - -5547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13495 - - 14141 - - - - - 9924 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2749 - - 1754 - - - - - -8328 ODpotential blCL - - - 14836 - - 15648 - - - - - 12704 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 99 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 740 - - - - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 96.0 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 48.7 - - - - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.1 - - 95.1 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 48.5 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 299 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7259 - - 12574 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 97 - - - - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99019 29 108 28 103 20 106 99019 91558 35 111 32 111 24 096 91558 85816 32 098 27 108 25 092 85816 81067 23 093 25 109 27 095 81067 76977 21 101 19 095 23 086 76977 73359 18 107 19 108 16 076 73359 70090 13 091 13 102 7 122 70090 67087 10 091 10 127 12 109 67087 64299 13 087 7 129 10 080 64299 61626 3 031 14 158 3 206 61626 58892 2 263 8 156 12 222 58892 56089 15 279 11 235 13 243 56089 53441 25 268 26 250 29 260 53441 51073 30 275 28 254 32 264 51073 48935 36 278 31 266 32 267 48935 46973 39 278 37 273 35 270 46973 45157 39 277 40 276 38 268 45157 43462 38 275 38 273 36 267 43462 41875 35 271 33 270 30 263 41875 40387 31 262 30 261 25 252 40387 38990 25 255 21 239 24 249 38990 37648 22 251 20 231 26 242 37648 36294 20 235 20 223 29 247 36294 34900 20 218 20 222 26 245 34900 33469 21 222 20 221 25 236 33469 31989 22 227 20 223 23 231 31989 30450 21 229 21 226 22 223 30450 28855 21 226 22 221 21 218 28855 27206 20 220 19 209 19 214 27206 25510 18 208 17 207 17 205 25510 23771 18 196 16 214 16 205 23771 21980 15 201 17 215 17 205 21980 20131 13 207 15 197 21 205 20131 18260 15 204 12*199 21 204 18260 16461 16 203 10*216 18 202 16461 14819 16 213 10 223 12 200 14819 13349 14*221 10 225 9 204 13349 12030 13*227 10 224 8 208 12030 10842 12 230 9 223 7 215 10842 9773 11 228 9 220 6 232 9773 8812 10 223 9 216 6 259 8812 7953 9 217 9 214 7 280 7953 7184 8 209 9 211 8 291 7184 6487 7 198 9 210 9 299 6487 5863 7 193 9 210 10 307 5863 5336 7 190 9 209 9 318 5336 4929 7 189 8 208 9 332 4929 4647 7 188 8 208 8 341 4647 4474 7 188 8 208 7*347 4474 4375 7 188 7 208 5*351 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography