DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 85.3 - - 85.0 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 369 - - 85 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3892 - - 8789 - - 8674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7461 - - 11408 - - 10226 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8720 - - 13617 - - 13502 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2786 - - 1689 - - 2046 - - 10037 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 450 - - 619 - - 380 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 270 - - 304 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - -28 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7670 - - -6001 - - -6520 - - -14009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16391 - - 19619 - - 20023 - - 18385 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14811 - - -11828 - - -11610 - - -20365 ODpotential blCL - - - 23531 - - 25445 - - 25112 - - 24740 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 36 - - 32 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 85.3 - - 85.0 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 12.9 - - 10.9 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.2 - - 83.9 - - 85.2 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.7 - - 12.4 - - 10.5 - - 9.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 369 - - 85 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3892 - - 8789 - - 8674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96440 46 262 45 266 45 264 55 276 96440 89285 24 265 32 259 34 265 34 287 89285 83830 15 265 21 261 23 264 24 289 83830 79299 18 256 15 262 16 270 18 278 79299 75409 16 267 20 257 16 282 13 317 75409 71960 15 305 22 262 15 275 15 323 71960 68821 11 331 13 265 13 270 13 283 68821 65953 13 273 10 233 11 236 14 242 65953 63312 16 272 13 241 14 234 16 242 63312 60763 26 259 24 254 24 250 21 256 60763 58112 26 244 30 247 31 248 28 255 58112 55354 24 237 29 237 32 241 31 247 55354 52700 26 234 28 238 30 242 27 247 52700 50287 29 237 30 238 27 249 24 257 50287 48098 30 244 29 233 29 246 27 259 48098 46096 29 251 28 237 30 242 30 250 46096 44260 31 249 31 246 30 244 30 247 44260 42579 34 244 35 246 34 244 35 247 42579 41027 31 245 40 246 45 241 49 241 41027 39579 27 261 41 243 44 237 49 230 39579 38220 26 267 40 243 39 236 44 228 38220 36914 27 262 40 243 38 240 40 231 36914 35600 30 251 39 239 40 241 37 237 35600 34247 31 246 35 230 40 235 37 238 34247 32858 30 248 32 227 41 232 41 238 32858 31421 29 254 32 234 42 234 43 241 31421 29925 28 258 33 241 39 239 38 245 29925 28373 28 262 33 251 34 249 31 250 28373 26766 28 264 32 262 29 266 24 265 26766 25106 30 267 30 267 26 275 21 276 25106 23397 32 271 29 272 25 276 20 276 23397 21635 32 274 28 279 23 282 18 274 21635 19814 27 278 24 286 21 291 14 282 19814 17969 25 285 18 298 16 303 11 290 17969 16196 24 286 18 308 12 314 6 311 16196 14585 21 285 16*302 10*307 7 322 14585 13147 17 285 13*283 9*305 9 317 13147 11858 16 283 11 273 9 306 8 320 11858 10697 16 279 11 273 9 305 7 325 10697 9652 17*276 10 272 9 306 7 325 9652 8713 14*273 8 270 9 305 6 324 8713 7874 9 269 6 268 8 304 5 322 7874 7121 6 267 5 265 8 303 5 317 7121 6439 4 251 5 262 8 301 4 310 6439 5829 3 243 4 255 7 300 3 302 5829 5314 3 237 3 249 7 298 1 278 5314 4915 3 230 3 244 7 297 1 230 4915 4640 3 226 3 240 7 297 1 155 4640 4471 3 222 2 239 6 298 1*105 4471 4374 3 221 2 236 6 297 1*088 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography