DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 61.2 - - 56.9 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 68 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 856 - - 1263 - - 1234 - - 757 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5684 - - 6091 - - 6062 - - 5585 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1050 - - 1904 - - 1770 - - 1663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 186 - - 26 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 173 - - 109 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 11 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5630 - - -6128 - - -4897 - - -2988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11315 - - 12220 - - 10959 - - 8573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14892 - - -14762 - - -12685 - - -10598 ODpotential blCL - - - 20576 - - 20853 - - 18747 - - 16183 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 61.2 - - 56.9 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.7 - - 23.3 - - 24.6 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 61.9 - - 60.1 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 22.2 - - 23.4 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 68 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 856 - - 1263 - - 1234 - - 757 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 100 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95726 38 335 47 338 33 351 40 337 95726 88819 38 351 41 344 37 009 37 002 88819 83463 39 003 35 347 35 357 38 008 83463 78998 35 008 31 002 34 358 39 003 78998 75125 29 014 30 020 31 008 30 006 75125 71680 27 012 27 021 22 010 21 013 71680 68539 24 001 23 011 16 003 16 357 68539 65642 22 347 19 004 13 358 13 335 65642 62953 20 327 15 336 9 336 12 312 62953 60344 18 303 16 306 9 336 11 295 60344 57630 18 278 18 273 17 281 16 285 57630 54817 24 272 26 272 28 267 23 273 54817 52147 42 254 45 253 38 243 34 244 52147 49781 35 244 44 242 36 234 39 237 49781 47692 25 266 36 242 44 245 45 237 47692 45811 51 257 63 250 70 241 68 236 45811 44083 65 247 73 242 72 238 79 232 44083 42470 65 244 68 243 56 237 58 228 42470 40949 50 242 60 246 49 234 51 222 40949 39507 39 249 50 248 49 233 47 216 39507 38142 35 257 36 245 48 235 43 220 38142 36823 36 257 34 238 41 241 35 224 36823 35490 37 258 36 236 36 241 39 221 35490 34113 38 259 35 233 38 238 38 213 34113 32699 28 260 30 237 42 236 34 208 32699 31237 24 248 23 243 40 237 36 211 31237 29715 24 234 23 224 37 235 35 223 29715 28137 16 235 31 223 33 232 34 218 28137 26509 14 194 31 204 33 230 33 206 26509 24834 22 199 29 191 32 219 31 207 24834 23117 28 196 27 190 32 207 30 215 23117 21354 24 182 27 194 26 192 26 205 21354 19531 19 178 27 192 22 197 27 204 19531 17685 17 184 28 203 23 214 33 212 17685 15916 18 190 28 213 26 219 38 214 15916 14311 17 203 24 214 28 216 37 211 14311 12883 16 222 17 212 26 210 34 207 12883 11609 16 236 12 223 21 203 30 199 11609 10471 15 242 11 238 17 199 27 192 10471 9452 13 240 11 241 14 197 24 191 9452 8540 11 230 10 230 11 195 19 196 8540 7728 8 215 10 207 9 188 16 205 7728 7002 7 189 11 187 8 179 12 206 7002 6347 6 156 11*181 7*174 7 190 6347 5762 5*120 9*178 5*163 5*143 5762 5270 4*090 6 174 3 130 6*110 5270 4889 3 080 5 170 3 090 5 096 4889 4626 1 089 5 170 4 078 5 089 4626 4465 1 120 5 170 3 072 4 076 4465 4373 1 149 4 173 3 066 4 067 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography