DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 96.2 - - 95.4 - - 87.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 374 - - 253 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12898 - - 14857 - - 14584 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14917 - - 16377 - - 15852 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17726 - - 19685 - - 19412 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1913 - - 2112 - - 1694 - - 14154 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 765 - - 739 - - 645 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 267 - - 273 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 24 - - 17 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 575 - - 2172 - - 2241 - - -11216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17152 - - 17514 - - 17172 - - 15592 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -416 - - 1775 - - 1426 - - -13331 ODpotential blCL - - - 18142 - - 17910 - - 17986 - - 17707 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 98 - - 80 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 80 - - 80 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 96.2 - - 95.4 - - 87.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 33.3 - - 34.2 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.3 - - 95.0 - - 94.9 - - 90.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 33.3 - - 34.2 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 374 - - 253 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12898 - - 14857 - - 14584 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 90 - - 22 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98566 37 117 35 116 25 122 28 094 98566 91082 29 106 23 117 25 105 24 106 91082 85359 21 105 20 114 19 099 21 114 85359 80624 19 105 20 099 16 099 20 111 80624 76560 16 098 15 098 14 090 18 111 76560 72976 17 109 12 100 13 099 12 087 72976 69742 20 092 13 120 12 105 9 075 69742 66783 12 082 15 125 11 115 7 122 66783 64049 8 110 7 114 4 105 7 090 64049 61415 4 003 5 032 4 350 8 022 61415 58690 8 321 7 306 12 308 14 319 58690 55892 14 307 12 282 17 278 21 289 55892 53228 21 296 17 288 25 277 27 287 53228 50818 32 294 30 291 30 283 32 281 50818 48633 42 293 39 293 35 290 32 284 48633 46629 45 292 43 291 39 287 33 286 46629 44773 46 290 42 289 41 281 34 286 44773 43045 40 283 38 288 40 282 32 292 43045 41432 21 270 25 287 31 283 31 299 41432 39924 8 298 18 277 16 280 27 298 39924 38517 5 282 4 308 3 209 11 290 38517 37180 3 248 5 079 7 106 2 145 37180 35840 5 175 6 088 9 092 7 118 35840 34464 5 154 5 102 9 093 7 125 34464 33054 5 129 4 149 7 091 5 141 33054 31597 7 142 7 175 6 087 5 143 31597 30083 9 145 10 173 5 095 5 126 30083 28514 9 139 9 170 5 112 6 094 28514 26895 7 139 7 177 4 126 6 087 26895 25225 7 167 6 201 3 111 5 089 25225 23508 10 164 5 225 0 120 5 089 23508 21744 9 146 2 123 2 130 12 100 21744 19930 7 198 2*108 2*054 11 080 19930 18092 16*229 1*278 2*324 3 054 18092 16321 14*240 6 274 7 287 3 315 16321 14702 13 248 7 271 11 282 6 299 14702 13252 13 250 8 270 11 280 9 293 13252 11950 13 258 11 268 13 277 12 285 11950 10777 13 263 13 267 15 274 16 280 10777 9721 13 266 14 267 16 271 18 277 9721 8771 13 268 15 266 17 270 20 275 8771 7922 13 269 16 266 18 268 21 274 7922 7161 13 270 16 265 18 268 22 273 7161 6470 12 271 16 265 18 267 22 273 6470 5851 12 271 16 264 18 266 22 272 5851 5330 12 272 16 264 18 266 21 272 5330 4925 11 272 16 264 18 266 18 272 4925 4644 11 271 16 264 17 265 14 272 4644 4473 10 272 15 263 16 266 11*272 4473 4375 9 271 13 263 14 265 5*272 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography