DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 57.8 - - 53.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 41 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 1627 - - 296 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5507 - - 6455 - - 5124 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1607 - - 2789 - - 4286 - - 2656 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 185 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 177 - - 116 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 8 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2162 - - -1893 - - -1764 - - -2393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7669 - - 8348 - - 6888 - - 6768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7301 - - -6508 - - -6499 - - -7666 ODpotential blCL - - - 12808 - - 12963 - - 11623 - - 12040 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 68 - - 63 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 57.8 - - 53.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 36.5 - - 38.6 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 58.4 - - 57.5 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 35.3 - - 37.3 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 41 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 1627 - - 296 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 26 074 22 097 19 089 18 088 96481 89308 21 103 13 102 17 077 28 082 89308 83761 12 087 6 094 12 070 20 070 83761 79145 6 036 4 041 8 051 12 061 79145 75150 2 210 4 306 7 304 16 024 75150 71612 6 019 3 295 9 281 14 334 71612 68426 18 322 15 300 9 297 12 292 68426 65507 25 292 22 301 10 326 7 276 65507 62778 25 289 28 295 25 309 17 294 62778 60131 31 296 34 290 35 296 33 277 60131 57387 42 288 42 285 43 290 37 281 57387 54540 50 282 56 280 58 279 56 275 54540 51821 64 276 66 273 68 272 67 271 51821 49370 70 270 72 270 78 271 72 271 49370 47167 64 269 73 271 80 267 75 270 47167 45169 57 270 73 271 83 263 80 264 45169 43356 65 272 77 270 84 262 87 259 43356 41697 74 275 79 269 86 263 93 258 41697 40160 75 274 81 269 87 263 97 258 40160 38723 67 274 79 269 87 263 100 258 38723 37371 54 270 76 268 87 263 98 259 37371 36075 47 271 71 268 84 262 92 262 36075 34772 47 273 63 268 80 263 81 265 34772 33436 42 267 59 266 77 265 74 267 33436 32068 41 265 55 268 71 268 71 265 32068 30654 40 259 48 272 63 270 69 266 30654 29181 36 249 38 269 57 269 64 268 29181 27654 32 244 32 261 48 266 53 266 27654 26073 25 237 31 249 39 262 44 266 26073 24446 18 235 27 249 31 262 35 267 24446 22778 12 259 22 261 27 266 28 263 22778 21060 13 280 19 282 24 267 24 263 21060 19286 13 286 18 292 21 266 22 276 19286 17492 14 286 13 279 17 268 18 283 17492 15770 15 288 13 275 11 276 16 279 15770 14204 17 285 15 278 7 294 13 267 14204 12807 19 280 16 284 8 311 10 255 12807 11557 19 280 16 285 9 309 9 248 11557 10435 15 280 14 281 10 292 9 248 10435 9427 10 272 11 268 10 280 7 249 9427 8524 5 236 9 255 8 279 5 247 8524 7718 5 200 7 243 5 275 3 229 7718 6998 4 182 5*234 3 261 4 204 6998 6345 3 156 4*211 2 197 5 189 6345 5761 3*104 3 180 3 153 6 178 5761 5269 3*074 3 168 5*130 6 161 5269 4889 2 077 3 167 5*120 6 134 4889 4626 1 113 3 167 5 115 5 107 4626 4465 1 139 3 169 4 115 5*086 4465 4373 1 161 3 168 3 113 5*077 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography