DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.5 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - -35 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 964 - - 2767 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 4358 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5792 - - 7595 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1304 - - 3593 - - - - - 313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 184 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 23 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 097 - - - - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -15 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2699 - - -1866 - - - - - -3519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8492 - - 9462 - - - - - 7894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12816 - - -12305 - - - - - -12448 ODpotential blCL - - - 18608 - - 19900 - - - - - 16822 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 27 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.5 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 41.5 - - - - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 70.0 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - - - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - -35 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 964 - - 2767 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97678 26 273 24 264 30 290 97678 90404 11 249 26 246 17 288 90404 84826 10 289 9 218 10 287 84826 80173 6 252 5 286 3 320 80173 76155 2 115 3 349 6 302 76155 72606 3 059 5 109 2 299 72606 69402 3 034 4 103 5 079 69402 66483 1 009 3 356 4 007 66483 63801 2 246 8 311 9 303 63801 61210 3 211 8 285 8 279 61210 58504 2 125 5 267 5 262 58504 55692 5 006 6 285 6 273 55692 52997 5 326 9 261 11 282 52997 50557 6 299 10 247 11 267 50557 48354 12 262 12 244 13 253 48354 46339 13 256 12 228 22 250 46339 44480 17 243 14 236 33 242 44480 42757 21 216 20 232 35 228 42757 41157 22 204 20 218 30 223 41157 39671 19 197 19 207 27 215 39671 38283 16 169 18 196 21 213 38283 36955 13 152 17 188 15 199 36955 35621 12 170 16 172 15 190 35621 34251 14 179 14 153 16 178 34251 32848 10 146 12 123 16 159 32848 31399 9 130 11 134 16 154 31399 29894 14 131 15 142 16 149 29894 28335 18 114 18 133 16 149 28335 26726 23 106 22 118 15 143 26726 25070 26 104 22 110 18 130 25070 23367 24 107 22 111 20 116 23367 21604 24 116 21 117 18 110 21604 19773 25 123 19 123 14 118 19773 17909 26 124 19 129 12 126 17909 16112 30 118 24 132 14 122 16112 14477 33 113 30 124 16 129 14477 13026 35 110 32 119 17 137 13026 11738 35 110 28 122 18 137 11738 10586 31 114 27 125 21 138 10586 9551 26 123 27 121 23 133 9551 8622 23 132 28 114 26 124 8622 7794 25 131 28*109 29 116 7794 7055 28 120 28*104 32 110 7055 6385 30*105 27 101 33 104 6385 5788 29*094 26 098 31 099 5788 5286 26 091 23 095 26 094 5286 4898 22 087 20 092 20 088 4898 4630 18 084 17 089 13 074 4630 4467 15 083 14 087 10*052 4467 4373 10 082 9 083 6*030 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography