DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 90.6 - - 87.8 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 472 - - 166 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12857 - - 15035 - - 14950 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14822 - - 16688 - - 15768 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17685 - - 19863 - - 19778 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1563 - - 1721 - - 1511 - - 10438 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 739 - - 803 - - 567 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 270 - - 290 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -55 - - -27 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -979 - - -220 - - 1169 - - -11869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18665 - - 20084 - - 18610 - - 16246 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4000 - - -2105 - - 76 - - -14750 ODpotential blCL - - - 21685 - - 21968 - - 19702 - - 19126 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 53 - - 77 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 90.6 - - 87.8 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 15.5 - - 19.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 88.8 - - 87.7 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.3 - - 15.4 - - 19.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 472 - - 166 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12857 - - 15035 - - 14950 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97673 7 308 4 335 7 205 20 279 97673 90284 7 264 8 286 6 324 3 310 90284 84597 12 288 12 274 15 312 6 010 84597 79866 11 272 16 255 12 315 4 038 79866 75791 11 291 16 250 17 292 12 343 75791 72227 12 307 12 268 14 264 12 310 72227 69013 17 287 18 300 15 304 12 317 69013 66058 17 277 24 293 24 308 21 327 66058 63319 15 291 24 287 23 297 22 306 63319 60665 17 305 18 289 16 276 17 290 60665 57895 17 306 15 313 17 303 18 299 57895 55043 17 300 22 316 22 308 19 313 55043 52343 17 302 19 305 19 313 20 325 52343 49911 17 329 19 309 25 304 29 312 49911 47722 26 322 25 297 32 308 33 309 47722 45733 26 312 34 308 42 310 37 314 45733 43920 38 314 45 304 42 307 40 323 43920 42255 44 304 44 296 44 324 49 334 42255 40709 42 299 43 306 52 329 57 338 40709 39266 42 299 47 309 55 330 62 342 39266 37911 43 299 45 306 57 334 65 346 37911 36613 43 300 42 305 57 335 67 349 36613 35304 40 302 40 311 54 333 66 350 35304 33958 39 308 41 317 48 326 63 348 33958 32579 39 312 41 319 45 321 56 341 32579 31155 38 313 41 318 45 319 50 333 31155 29674 36 315 41 316 42 316 48 328 29674 28139 33 315 39 315 41 315 45 325 28139 26552 31 311 34 315 38 315 41 323 26552 24917 29 308 29 316 32 315 34 319 24917 23238 26 308 23 320 27 318 24 318 23238 21511 23 309 17*318 17*323 14 316 21511 19725 20 301 14*282 8*324 4 304 19725 17913 18*292 16 251 8 322 3 339 17913 16164 17*288 15 251 9 313 7 336 16164 14566 15 293 14 256 10 307 11 328 14566 13134 12 297 13 262 11 298 14 321 13134 11847 9 301 13 269 12 295 16 315 11847 10689 8 298 13 274 14 288 17 307 10689 9646 8 296 12 279 15 282 19 301 9646 8708 8 292 12 283 17 279 20 294 8708 7870 7 286 11 286 18 277 22 289 7870 7119 7 279 11 290 18 276 23 285 7119 6438 7 274 11 293 18 275 24 282 6438 5828 7 268 10 296 19 274 24 279 5828 5314 7 262 10 298 18 274 23 278 5314 4915 7 259 10 299 18 274 21 278 4915 4640 6 256 9 300 18 273 16 279 4640 4471 6 255 9 301 16 273 12*281 4471 4375 6 254 8 302 14 273 5*292 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography