DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.7 - - 89.2 - - 92.8 - - 92.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 461 - - 497 - - 204 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 963 - - 12438 - - 14023 - - 15319 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 14516 - - 15875 - - 16260 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 5791 - - 17266 - - 18851 - - 20147 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1638 - - 1560 - - 1572 - - 1870 - - 13535 Hgt.Variab. W* 195 - - 747 - - 797 - - 611 - - 4 W* B/S 34 - - 24 - - 41 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 181 - - 207 - - 252 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 15 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -23 - - -74 - - 20 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10309 - - -701 - - 141 - - 670 - - -14170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16101 - - 17968 - - 18711 - - 19478 - - 18547 sfcLCL ODpotential -13007 - - -2644 - - -2032 - - -486 - - -18855 ODpotential blCL 18798 - - 19910 - - 20883 - - 20633 - - 23231 blCL maxRH 69 - - 69 - - 55 - - 69 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 78.7 - - 89.2 - - 92.8 - - 92.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.3 - - 24.3 - - 24.3 - - 20.6 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.8 - - 87.3 - - 90.7 - - 91.9 - - 86.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 23.9 - - 24.2 - - 20.6 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 461 - - 497 - - 204 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 963 - - 12438 - - 14023 - - 15319 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98379 15 105 12 112 18 122 10 156 13 138 98379 90931 15 083 10 127 16 132 7 095 16 107 90931 85203 21 085 16 116 16 124 9 101 16 080 85203 80462 19 087 18 109 14 107 14 093 17 092 80462 76391 14 076 17 098 14 092 18 100 22 095 76391 72817 14 078 19 088 17 073 19 092 22 088 72817 69610 16 100 14 093 11 074 19 085 21 075 69610 66674 14 091 12 121 8 094 13 055 17 066 66674 63952 7 080 10 092 10 077 5 050 8 062 63952 61314 7 274 8 009 11 065 6 044 3 063 61314 58547 7 227 10 291 7 338 9 006 7 000 58547 55654 3 278 9 255 11 279 11 312 15 314 55654 52880 15 320 7 269 11 280 9 304 13 290 52880 50381 20 301 9 299 9 285 11 326 12 326 50381 48155 18 291 14 306 13 320 15 333 16 348 48155 46154 14 296 17 319 11 327 13 352 25 007 46154 44331 13 307 20 337 21 005 24 003 34 003 44331 42652 11 313 23 357 30 357 29 002 39 007 42652 41097 9 315 21 005 25 347 31 005 42 017 41097 39643 8 323 23 024 19 000 27 006 49 023 39643 38278 10 339 28 030 22 003 27 359 50 022 38278 36964 12 347 28 023 22 003 25 341 49 021 36964 35638 14 353 23 022 21 007 21 339 36 013 35638 34277 15 349 22 013 21 014 17 345 21 360 34277 32882 15 337 21 009 21 016 12 002 16 005 32882 31442 15 327 17 011 21 358 13 357 14 353 31442 29945 15 326 14 014 18 353 16 352 13 354 29945 28395 14 329 13 020 10 355 11 341 9 340 28395 26791 11 334 13 013 8 007 6 337 5 288 26791 25136 8 336 11 355 9 009 3 345 6 268 25136 23432 4 336 10 333 7 357 3 012 6 282 23432 21674 4 026 2 344 2 004 8*076 3 144 21674 19861 15 188 3 111 6*098 9*072 13 084 19861 18028 21 170 8*187 4*093 3 040 11 069 18028 16263 18 162 11*170 1 125 4 293 6 043 16263 14650 15 159 8 154 2 213 6 273 5 012 14650 13205 13 160 6 141 3 225 7 269 5 346 13205 11907 9 177 5 143 4 225 7 264 6 327 11907 10738 7 198 4 161 4 222 7 256 7 308 10738 9686 3 220 4 191 5 219 7 250 8 293 9686 8741 1 338 6 207 5 215 7 242 11 283 8741 7896 3 001 6 211 5 211 7 236 13 277 7896 7140 5 354 7 212 6 210 7 232 15 273 7140 6453 4 347 7 213 6 206 7 227 17 270 6453 5839 2*352 7 212 6 204 8 224 18 269 5839 5321 1*316 7 212 6 202 7 221 18 268 5321 4920 1 249 7 212 6 202 7 219 16 268 4920 4642 1 232 7 212 6 201 7 219 13 269 4642 4472 2 224 7 211 6 201 7 218 10*269 4472 4375 2 223 7 211 6 201 6 218 5*272 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography