DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.1 - - 93.1 - - 98.4 - - 98.6 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 400 - - 434 - - 169 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 877 - - 7967 - - 13500 - - 15103 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 10783 - - 15361 - - 15912 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5705 - - 12795 - - 18328 - - 19931 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2235 - - 4477 - - 2419 - - 1261 - - 1333 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 615 - - 754 - - 573 - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 19 - - 27 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 310 - - 220 - - 266 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -9 - - -23 - - 34 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4247 - - -273 - - 2817 - - 4158 - - -986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9953 - - 13069 - - 15512 - - 15773 - - 5363 sfcLCL ODpotential -7992 - - -1939 - - 821 - - 2657 - - -5356 ODpotential blCL 13697 - - 14734 - - 17507 - - 17274 - - 9732 blCL maxRH 94 - - 63 - - 59 - - 69 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 500 - - 650 - - 430 - - 440 - - 3730 CAPE Temp@2m 83.1 - - 93.1 - - 98.4 - - 98.6 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.5 - - 50.6 - - 44.9 - - 44.1 - - 69.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.5 - - 91.6 - - 96.6 - - 98.2 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.2 - - 50.3 - - 44.6 - - 43.9 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 400 - - 434 - - 169 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 877 - - 7967 - - 13500 - - 15103 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99271 42 111 31 101 36 114 23 111 24 085 99271 91782 33 099 35 101 36 101 33 106 28 103 91782 85980 28 098 32 099 34 103 33 098 30 100 85980 81172 24 103 25 096 28 099 26 092 29 098 81172 77056 18 109 17 105 19 098 24 090 27 104 77056 73427 18 115 14 120 16 097 15 080 22 100 73427 70151 18 108 13 110 10 109 13 089 17 089 70151 67148 15 094 14 115 11 124 6 073 13 073 67148 64371 7 083 12 122 7 133 4 158 4 015 64371 61700 7 032 8 144 7 190 5 213 2 299 61700 58932 9 328 2 029 4 180 4 243 3 242 58932 56088 11 309 7 323 3 322 5 259 3 194 56088 53406 10 282 3 243 6 266 9 238 4 256 53406 51010 6 230 9 176 10 195 11 210 10 260 51010 48863 9 233 7 243 5 246 4 197 5 263 48863 46912 6 195 7 255 8 266 1 347 3 034 46912 45120 7 020 1 166 6 213 4 201 1 180 45120 43449 11 346 6 031 3 137 8 155 8 139 43449 41880 14 346 9 028 7 071 12 122 15 120 41880 40401 14 356 9 036 10 059 16 110 18 120 40401 39006 10 006 5 050 9 062 13 108 19 121 39006 37661 4 326 1 042 8 067 7 095 18 119 37661 36303 3 148 1 320 6 050 8 068 15 123 36303 34904 12 154 7 143 4 099 14 087 13 135 34904 33469 15 152 13 150 8 162 10 110 12 146 33469 31985 15 153 12 146 13 160 11 164 13 143 31985 30442 13 158 12 156 17 147 14 176 11 142 30442 28842 10 163 15 154 17 136 16 175 8 138 28842 27189 7 160 16 156 14 130 20 164 9 135 27189 25488 5 178 15 163 12 134 20 154 9 138 25488 23740 5 207 14 179 11 138 17 139 9 144 23740 21940 9 210 13 183 10 159 13 132 8 133 21940 20083 15 199 14 174 11*177 8*110 9 124 20083 18207 16 180 14 172 10*178 4*095 10 126 18207 16409 15 158 12 166 8 167 0 005 11 135 16409 14774 12 134 9 152 5 176 3 270 10 160 14774 13309 9 100 8*124 4 188 3 270 7 187 13309 11996 7 064 5*085 4 227 5 267 4 244 11996 10813 7 024 5 003 5 239 6 267 6 280 10813 9748 8 351 7 335 6 250 7 266 8 287 9748 8791 10 332 7 318 6 252 8 266 9 287 8791 7936 11 324 8 310 7 254 9 266 10 284 7936 7169 12 320 8 299 7 253 9 264 9 279 7169 6475 11 317 8 293 8 252 9 265 8 275 6475 5853 10*319 8 287 8 251 9 264 7 273 5853 5330 8*325 8 282 8 251 9 263 8 273 5330 4925 5 326 8 279 8 250 9 263 8 270 4925 4644 4 311 8 277 8 250 9 263 6 267 4644 4473 3 304 8 275 8 249 9 262 4*273 4473 4375 3 302 7 274 7 249 8 262 2*293 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography