DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 90.8 - - 80.3 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 157 - - -3 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 939 - - 9677 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4358 - - 11543 - - 4358 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5767 - - 14505 - - 4376 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1823 - - 3204 - - 2588 - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 480 - - 27 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 227 - - 104 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 32 - - -3 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -269 - - 1317 - - -2256 - - -1478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6036 - - 13189 - - 6632 - - 5855 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3694 - - 308 - - -6351 - - -6182 ODpotential blCL - - - 9461 - - 14197 - - 10727 - - 10558 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 101 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1630 - - 680 - - 3480 - - 2330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 90.8 - - 80.3 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 47.8 - - 65.5 - - 63.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 90.7 - - 83.2 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 47.7 - - 64.2 - - 62.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 157 - - -3 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 939 - - 9677 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 102 - - 96 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 8 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98888 41 108 39 112 28 105 28 089 98888 91412 36 106 37 107 31 104 30 095 91412 85647 31 094 34 109 31 098 33 094 85647 80861 23 100 26 109 24 102 28 091 80861 76742 20 108 20 096 22 109 22 097 76742 73106 20 104 16 094 17 112 18 104 73106 69823 13 095 12 087 19 106 17 115 69823 66817 8 090 6 110 16 068 17 104 66817 64032 11 049 10 164 4 351 14 028 64032 61358 4 059 11 105 3 126 8 324 61358 58609 3 009 8 319 5 324 7 302 58609 55791 12 301 19 269 14 266 18 256 55791 53128 24 286 27 255 21 255 28 250 53128 50740 42 275 38 260 32 271 34 263 50740 48594 59 267 49 259 45 269 42 267 48594 46637 67 260 58 257 53 265 48 264 46637 44829 69 254 61 252 56 257 52 257 44829 43146 66 252 60 248 58 252 53 253 43146 41568 63 251 57 246 56 249 52 253 41568 40085 60 250 52 248 52 250 50 254 40085 38690 55 249 49 249 49 253 49 255 38690 37351 49 247 47 250 47 254 46 257 37351 36001 44 247 43 250 44 253 42 258 36001 34612 39 249 38 249 39 253 38 258 34612 33189 35 249 33 248 33 253 32 257 33189 31720 31 250 30 250 28 253 28 255 31720 30196 28 257 30 252 27 257 28 254 30196 28619 29 268 31 254 26 256 29 252 28619 26992 29 273 32 259 29 252 29 256 26992 25317 26 270 31 264 33 261 31 268 25317 23597 25 270 29 266 32 264 31 271 23597 21823 25 264 29 269 33 266 29 265 21823 19991 26 267 27 267 29 266 26 265 19991 18140 25 267 20 260 23 257 19 254 18140 16362 23 261 18 258 19 250 16 242 16362 14736 22 247 16*248 16 246 16 239 14736 13280 24 235 15*238 15 241 17 236 13280 11972 26 231 15 236 15 236 18 236 11972 10794 24 228 15 233 15 232 19 236 10794 9733 21 224 15 231 15 229 19 235 9733 8779 17 217 15 227 14 225 19 234 8779 7926 14 207 15 225 12 221 19 233 7926 7162 12 197 15 223 10 216 17 231 7162 6468 10 187 14 221 8 206 14 226 6468 5848 8*170 14 218 6 186 8 212 5848 5326 6*143 14 217 5 146 5 142 5326 4922 6 132 13 216 6 123 8 090 4922 4643 6 131 13 216 7 109 12 072 4643 4473 5 130 12 215 6*102 11*063 4473 4375 5 130 11 215 5*102 8*058 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography