DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.3 - - 75.0 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 335 - - 86 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4487 - - 5743 - - 5996 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7902 - - 8926 - - 8288 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9315 - - 10571 - - 10824 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1217 - - 1230 - - 1786 - - 2502 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 464 - - 521 - - 340 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 022 - - 035 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -12 - - -25 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6247 - - -5019 - - -4612 - - -8754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15563 - - 15591 - - 15437 - - 13130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14137 - - -11447 - - -11147 - - -17257 ODpotential blCL - - - 23452 - - 22018 - - 21971 - - 21632 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 58 - - 68 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.3 - - 75.0 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.1 - - 21.9 - - 22.2 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 74.2 - - 75.2 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 21.3 - - 21.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 335 - - 86 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4487 - - 5743 - - 5996 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96684 28 246 34 264 37 267 32 264 96684 89478 7 261 7 253 18 239 17 262 89478 83978 7 011 4 157 8 195 16 276 83978 79406 9 024 3 034 8 093 7 334 79406 75462 7 060 8 052 8 056 13 041 75462 71984 20 075 11 090 15 060 20 025 71984 68845 19 077 11 086 9 020 14 027 68845 65956 18 069 25 054 11 036 14 005 65956 63281 29 034 33 026 20 046 17 020 63281 60686 33 019 27 358 30 012 22 022 60686 57972 27 007 22 349 26 349 32 359 57972 55155 31 013 31 010 33 003 40 000 55155 52468 59 014 47 013 55 006 50 008 52468 50057 79 007 66 009 70 008 64 010 50057 47910 80 357 78 000 80 006 77 004 47910 45976 70 350 78 352 76 360 74 359 45976 44210 68 005 71 358 66 003 61 006 44210 42578 87 020 78 020 66 019 58 020 42578 41047 92 018 92 025 77 029 63 028 41047 39601 79 010 93 021 80 026 64 025 39601 38234 71 001 86 016 76 016 63 019 38234 36915 68 356 80 014 76 006 68 015 36915 35584 66 351 76 010 73 003 70 012 35584 34216 65 347 72 007 68 004 67 011 34216 32815 65 344 69 005 63 005 60 012 32815 31366 64 343 65 001 57 002 55 010 31366 29859 58 344 61 355 50 003 54 006 29859 28296 50 351 60 355 47 007 51 002 28296 26679 47 359 52 357 45 007 46 360 26679 25011 44 358 43 357 46 004 40 358 25011 23297 46 356 42 356 46 005 33 355 23297 21530 48 355 42 355 43 006 30 001 21530 19700 43 353 40 355 38 002 30 002 19700 17845 33 348 37 355 38 000 31 004 17845 16064 26 346 35 354 38 006 31 012 16064 14446 25 349 34 354 34 013 30 022 14446 13006 25 357 31 357 28 016 27 028 13006 11722 27 006 26*001 20*015 25 029 11722 10571 25 012 19*004 15*016 22 027 10571 9538 19*019 13 007 13 020 20 024 9538 8614 15*029 12 011 13 025 18 024 8614 7789 14 037 11 019 14 032 17 028 7789 7052 14 045 9 029 14 039 17 034 7052 6385 13 050 9 035 14 043 17 041 6385 5790 13 053 8 043 14 046 17 047 5790 5288 12 055 7 049 14 048 16 051 5288 4900 11 058 7 054 13 050 13 053 4900 4631 10 060 6 057 13 051 11 053 4631 4468 9 061 6 059 12 052 8*053 4468 4374 8 061 6 060 10 054 5*052 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography