DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 78.0 - - 77.5 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 283 - - 33 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3456 - - 7028 - - 7024 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6992 - - 9862 - - 7808 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8284 - - 11856 - - 11852 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2151 - - 1531 - - 2690 - - 3844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 527 - - 265 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 244 - - 266 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 20 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 19 - - 17 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4857 - - -2902 - - -4059 - - -8769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13142 - - 14759 - - 15912 - - 13144 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10081 - - -7243 - - -8830 - - -15160 ODpotential blCL - - - 18365 - - 19099 - - 20682 - - 19535 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 47 - - 84 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 78.0 - - 77.5 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 28.1 - - 22.6 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 77.2 - - 78.4 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 27.3 - - 22.0 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 283 - - 33 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3456 - - 7028 - - 7024 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96371 2 321 4 267 5 139 1 132 96371 89240 2 319 7 310 1 045 5 293 89240 83727 11 016 7 327 5 319 8 347 83727 79161 14 340 14 342 14 316 23 334 79161 75273 18 356 12 001 9 330 24 340 75273 71876 23 356 17 337 17 331 22 337 71876 68811 23 334 20 343 18 347 19 331 68811 65981 33 327 32 329 29 346 20 358 65981 63317 40 318 40 312 41 315 35 331 63317 60718 42 317 43 310 50 307 48 308 60718 58026 48 310 49 308 55 306 51 305 58026 55234 54 303 55 302 57 303 50 302 55234 52542 58 299 58 297 58 298 54 295 52542 50100 54 295 56 293 58 294 59 288 50100 47901 52 293 55 288 61 288 61 284 47901 45899 53 291 55 287 62 284 63 282 45899 44059 58 289 57 287 61 281 63 279 44059 42356 58 287 59 283 58 278 60 276 42356 40775 51 284 55 276 53 279 51 274 40775 39301 42 282 47 274 49 277 42 275 39301 37921 36 280 41 273 49 269 39 276 37921 36602 34 280 39 273 50 264 44 269 36602 35283 33 278 42 273 53 265 49 263 35283 33939 32 275 43 274 53 266 53 262 33939 32567 32 271 44 275 51 266 54 265 32567 31146 30 265 43 275 47 266 53 266 31146 29666 29 262 41 277 44 263 50 263 29666 28131 31 267 39 280 40 261 46 261 28131 26541 34 275 38 283 37 264 44 260 26541 24898 40 278 40 285 37 268 42 259 24898 23204 44 277 43 283 38 268 39 259 23204 21455 44 277 44 282 37 267 37 264 21455 19648 43 281 41 281 36 271 34 269 19648 17816 41 285 36 283 32 275 31 272 17816 16055 40 290 33 285 25 273 28 273 16055 14452 38 291 31 283 19 268 23 270 14452 13022 36 287 28*276 14*259 18 262 13022 11742 32 281 22*264 13*256 14 258 11742 10593 28 274 17 255 13 259 12 261 10593 9561 23 267 15 251 14 262 11 273 9561 8635 18*262 12 248 15 266 13 283 8635 7809 12*256 10 240 15 268 15 286 7809 7069 7 246 8 229 16 269 17 284 7069 6400 5 220 7 221 16 270 19 281 6400 5800 4 199 6 213 16 270 20 277 5800 5295 4 192 6 206 16 271 19 276 5295 4904 4 188 6 202 16 271 15 276 4904 4634 4 185 5 199 15 271 10 280 4634 4468 4 186 5 197 14 271 7*284 4468 4374 4 185 5 196 11 271 3*305 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography