DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 56.2 - - 54.8 - - 54.7 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 34 - - 23 - - 9 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 709 - - 623 - - 148 - - 268 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4357 - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 5537 - - 5451 - - 4976 - - 5096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1514 - - 1649 - - 1729 - - 1606 - - 1952 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 132 - - 107 - - 48 - - 40 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 16 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 121 - - 170 - - 161 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - 20 - - 28 - - 25 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1164 - - 1078 - - 603 - - 723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4373 - - 4373 - - 4373 - - 4373 - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential -2999 - - -730 - - 580 - - 372 - - 388 ODpotential blCL 7373 - - 6267 - - 4871 - - 4604 - - 4708 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 160 - - 140 - - 410 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 56.2 - - 54.8 - - 54.7 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 53.5 - - 53.7 - - 54.3 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 57.1 - - 55.5 - - 55.8 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 52.5 - - 53.2 - - 54.2 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 34 - - 23 - - 9 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 709 - - 623 - - 148 - - 268 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 83 - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96984 60 274 66 273 56 277 58 275 64 269 96984 89776 45 280 46 267 46 272 45 276 42 287 89776 84248 36 286 30 274 33 273 35 282 30 290 84248 79637 29 279 23 279 26 267 27 275 25 285 79637 75666 21 282 23 274 24 253 25 262 25 269 75666 72170 19 281 17 262 19 253 17 244 17 252 72170 68992 23 256 18 253 21 269 13 266 8 266 68992 66030 29 244 28 245 30 253 24 269 20 272 66030 63252 32 246 29 241 30 246 30 248 33 249 63252 60562 31 254 33 251 28 258 31 249 35 246 60562 57765 42 257 39 246 40 252 39 245 39 253 57765 54878 45 243 38 237 43 238 41 239 44 250 54878 52136 32 241 35 243 41 247 44 252 48 250 52136 49674 49 260 45 252 50 255 54 256 53 253 49674 47470 59 250 54 254 57 253 62 255 55 255 47470 45471 59 246 59 253 61 250 65 253 55 257 45471 43640 58 247 62 247 63 249 64 252 57 260 43640 41947 61 249 61 241 61 243 62 249 60 261 41947 40375 69 243 57 233 56 235 59 243 60 260 40375 38912 75 231 55 217 54 227 55 236 56 257 38912 37549 62 222 57 214 56 207 51 228 52 254 37549 36249 53 223 51 218 55 197 51 224 50 249 36249 34943 49 227 43 217 51 200 57 223 46 243 34943 33602 46 232 39 214 51 204 59 216 43 240 33602 32229 40 229 40 217 49 209 55 213 43 241 32229 30811 36 221 40 221 47 211 52 217 45 242 30811 29338 33 216 39 224 44 211 48 221 48 241 29338 27810 32 216 37 227 41 214 45 226 50 240 27810 26227 32 214 37 229 39 218 44 229 50 239 26227 24591 33 212 37 231 37 221 38 225 46 239 24591 22909 35 211 36 232 35 224 37 221 40 237 22909 21179 36 213 34 232 38 222 33 215 33 234 21179 19394 37 217 30 233 39 218 28 210 31 233 19394 17588 39 220 28 234 38 220 24 216 27 231 17588 15854 39 221 28 232 37 223 26 223 25 230 15854 14277 38 217 30 227 38 226 27 229 25 232 14277 12869 38 210 34 220 37 227 25 229 24 232 12869 11608 37 201 37 213 36 228 22 223 20 229 11608 10476 35 195 38 208 32 227 20 211 17 219 10476 9460 32 192 36 202 27 219 19 199 16 211 9460 8549 28 190 31 197 23 202 19 190 16 206 8549 7737 23 186 25 188 22 181 18 183 15 197 7737 7011 18 177 21 172 22 168 18 178 15 187 7011 6355 14 162 20 156 21 164 17 174 14 181 6355 5768 11 140 20*142 18*167 16 173 13 178 5768 5274 9 110 20*130 16*168 15*168 12*171 5274 4892 11 080 18 121 14 169 13*163 10*162 4892 4627 13 062 16 117 11 171 11 160 9 151 4627 4466 12*056 14 116 9 172 10 159 8 146 4466 4373 9*051 11 116 7 173 7 158 6 144 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography