DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.5 - - 82.6 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 332 - - -12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5168 - - 11583 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8507 - - 13614 - - 4359 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9996 - - 16411 - - 4376 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5443 - - 2134 - - 2040 - - 12099 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 517 - - 655 - - 23 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 272 - - 098 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 10 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2164 - - 2186 - - -2558 - - -8586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12160 - - 14226 - - 6934 - - 12963 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4239 - - 1141 - - -6935 - - -11365 ODpotential blCL - - - 14235 - - 15270 - - 11311 - - 15741 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 95 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 330 - - 3300 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 95.5 - - 82.6 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.6 - - 47.8 - - 66.5 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.8 - - 94.3 - - 85.1 - - 90.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 47.6 - - 65.1 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 332 - - -12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5168 - - 11583 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 82 - - 102 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98893 10 139 12 109 9 090 19 096 98893 91419 14 137 12 097 15 088 18 068 91419 85666 16 115 12 113 12 070 16 072 85666 80888 17 094 15 123 9 077 12 084 80888 76755 12 099 13 110 9 095 7 048 76755 73124 10 088 8 106 9 121 8 023 73124 69873 7 081 4 160 9 146 3 062 69873 66891 4 043 2 103 3 338 5 123 66891 64133 4 044 4 087 8 335 5 041 64133 61494 7 027 4 075 6 305 10 350 61494 58785 9 350 7 001 7 293 13 319 58785 56021 7 286 9 321 9 289 11 294 56021 53401 9 295 11 298 9 278 11 277 53401 51036 15 302 17 297 14 295 14 280 51036 48903 21 305 26 300 25 304 22 274 48903 46950 28 305 30 297 28 287 24 278 46950 45146 29 298 31 295 28 294 25 293 45146 43466 30 296 33 298 30 295 30 297 43466 41889 33 293 35 293 31 293 34 293 41889 40402 32 291 34 291 33 290 33 287 40402 39000 29 284 29 290 30 290 30 292 39000 37650 25 279 25 279 27 289 26 292 37650 36288 21 282 21 271 25 280 23 283 36288 34885 17 293 19 278 22 280 21 278 34885 33446 14 299 16 289 19 294 18 278 33446 31957 16 308 16 302 18 303 15 286 31957 30410 15 316 12 304 14 281 15 286 30410 28811 14 317 11 296 12 268 16 279 28811 27163 10 315 12 289 13 266 16 281 27163 25467 8 317 7 275 9 269 15 280 25467 23729 7 302 6 285 8 256 14 280 23729 21940 5 286 7 296 8 290 12 288 21940 20093 4 285 6 311 9 296 11 299 20093 18226 6 316 8 328 11 333 6 341 18226 16433 8 313 8*324 11 330 3 010 16433 14799 8 308 7*298 11 321 4 355 14799 13334 6 307 7 291 10 311 6 331 13334 12018 6 299 7 286 9 303 9 323 12018 10833 6*288 7 279 8 293 10 319 10833 9766 5*274 7 274 8 282 11 314 9766 8807 3 256 7 267 8 272 12 309 8807 7949 2 237 6 262 8 264 13 302 7949 7181 2 224 6 258 8 257 14 295 7181 6484 3 211 6 254 7 251 15 289 6484 5861 3 205 6 250 5 252 16 285 5861 5335 3 202 6 246 2 253 15 283 5335 4928 4 199 6 244 1 116 12 284 4928 4646 4 200 6 244 3 097 9 289 4646 4474 4 199 5 243 4*097 6*292 4474 4375 4 199 5 242 3*100 4*298 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography