DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 70.8 - - 64.8 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 92 - - -1 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 294 - - 2250 - - 43 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5654 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5122 - - 7078 - - 4871 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1922 - - 2109 - - 4054 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 250 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 058 - - 311 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -12 - - -2 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5585 - - -6250 - - -7513 - - -6241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10708 - - 13329 - - 12384 - - 10615 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12545 - - -13096 - - -14113 - - -15440 ODpotential blCL - - - 17667 - - 20174 - - 18984 - - 19814 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 21 - - 26 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 70.8 - - 64.8 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 27.8 - - 26.3 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 71.0 - - 70.3 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 26.7 - - 25.4 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 92 - - -1 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 294 - - 2250 - - 43 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96065 37 301 27 299 29 281 32 291 96065 89067 18 307 23 298 22 303 28 321 89067 83641 6 320 16 298 16 320 22 326 83641 79105 6 340 12 312 10 342 12 327 79105 75166 10 340 16 330 14 348 14 350 75166 71673 18 342 19 336 20 337 20 344 71673 68525 20 341 21 346 25 337 25 351 68525 65651 21 338 20 351 24 339 26 346 65651 62998 24 339 21 343 24 337 25 334 62998 60431 29 332 23 335 23 333 27 326 60431 57751 31 323 27 329 24 330 25 319 57751 54965 29 313 28 321 25 323 23 319 54965 52293 25 306 28 315 25 312 25 314 52293 49880 21 315 23 308 23 305 24 305 49880 47714 22 316 17 310 18 301 21 301 47714 45745 22 301 15 319 16 301 18 297 45745 43940 15 291 15 278 22 280 25 294 43940 42274 11 325 14 267 23 277 26 277 42274 40729 18 328 13 293 21 279 24 273 40729 39286 22 291 17 287 24 286 26 286 39286 37933 21 273 21 276 32 297 36 294 37933 36634 17 275 22 269 39 297 42 292 36634 35326 12 283 19 264 37 296 42 292 35326 33980 11 309 18 271 31 289 37 296 33980 32599 18 312 23 280 30 280 30 289 32599 31176 23 301 25 281 27 277 27 276 31176 29699 21 305 23 283 24 281 24 274 29699 28165 19 313 20 294 23 279 21 273 28165 26574 19 319 20 304 21 283 17 277 26574 24927 19 323 21 310 20 299 14 296 24927 23229 17 329 18 318 18 311 14 304 23229 21473 15 336 14 329 13 319 14 297 21473 19656 9 339 10 333 8 328 12 295 19656 17817 0 304 4 287 4 318 9 292 17817 16052 4 157 4 211 3 259 6 275 16052 14446 2 052 1 314 3 320 3 262 14446 13012 6 353 6 334 7 325 4 300 13012 11727 9 337 9 330 10 323 7 328 11727 10573 9 331 9 328 10 323 8 339 10573 9537 6 331 7 329 6 326 8 342 9537 8609 3 351 4 005 2 036 5 327 8609 7783 4 085 5*075 3 094 2 279 7783 7046 6 095 6*073 3 073 2 223 7046 6380 7 092 4 068 3 064 2 178 6380 5785 8 086 2 049 2 027 4 137 5785 5283 7*069 1 273 2 352 6 091 5283 4896 4*048 2 255 2*330 9 071 4896 4628 2 008 2 251 2*316 12 054 4628 4466 1 352 2 250 2 309 11*043 4466 4373 1 332 2 248 2 311 7*038 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography