DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.1 - - 44.3 - - 50.0 - - 44.7 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 67 - - 66 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 864 - - 1630 - - 1010 - - 146 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 103 - - 103 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 068 - - 086 - - 050 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -648 - - -1396 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5910 - - 6658 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -9211 - - -7764 - - -7291 - - -6970 - - -9196 ODpotential blCL 14472 - - 13026 - - 12553 - - 12232 - - 14458 blCL maxRH 77 - - 76 - - 72 - - 73 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.1 - - 44.3 - - 50.0 - - 44.7 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 37.1 - - 39.3 - - 41.1 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.8 - - 43.3 - - 49.1 - - 47.0 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 36.0 - - 38.2 - - 40.8 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 67 - - 66 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96192 18 295 26 289 32 284 26 302 27 297 96192 89231 13 310 16 285 21 300 15 313 21 298 89231 83840 11 323 8 314 14 300 15 312 16 315 83840 79342 9 288 11 344 2 026 5 289 11 318 79342 75436 5 326 9 298 2 015 3 304 6 360 75436 71958 12 315 4 262 5 287 10 272 10 310 71958 68789 16 293 10 312 13 329 6 345 4 306 68789 65868 12 296 12 298 20 287 16 319 12 321 65868 63162 16 357 13 312 19 281 29 282 20 309 63162 60540 32 316 18 302 19 285 23 263 34 270 60540 57832 38 311 27 309 28 305 29 293 31 275 57832 55053 46 296 41 300 38 291 38 284 31 284 55053 52396 42 305 43 303 35 293 38 288 41 276 52396 49980 47 310 46 308 43 305 45 295 39 279 49980 47799 52 318 55 310 55 306 49 297 39 291 47799 45811 67 318 66 307 66 301 58 298 52 303 45811 43989 72 311 67 305 70 297 66 293 65 297 43989 42312 63 308 57 307 60 298 62 291 64 289 42312 40757 53 321 50 319 46 304 49 297 54 287 40757 39304 59 333 55 330 41 320 43 303 44 287 39304 37942 59 335 61 334 48 328 45 311 38 304 37942 36639 44 335 60 335 50 329 45 316 42 313 36639 35333 36 326 49 338 44 329 40 320 41 315 35333 33994 35 320 33 327 34 333 34 322 33 317 33994 32625 30 333 30 313 25 334 18 328 28 319 32625 31213 30 338 28 315 23 316 12 301 22 315 31213 29750 29 334 19 314 20 307 16 303 16 300 29750 28241 27 325 16 299 16 290 16 298 12 289 28241 26685 24 321 16 289 17 282 18 284 16 285 26685 25086 24 321 17 295 17 278 21 284 22 276 25086 23443 27 320 21 303 17 283 21 286 25 276 23443 21753 29 320 24 306 19 291 18 290 19 279 21753 20010 27 316 26 304 21 295 15 293 15 272 20010 18246 24 309 24 302 19 296 14 292 13 269 18246 16550 22 304 22 299 17 296 14 291 11 276 16550 15003 21 304 18 296 15 296 13 294 9 294 15003 13619 17 298 14 295 13 291 11 293 7 303 13619 12380 13 282 12 277 10 282 8 282 5 292 12380 11266 11 257 14 248 10 269 6 269 3 255 11266 10265 11 240 13 238 11 254 5 254 3 224 10265 9367 11 234 11 235 9 236 5 234 3 200 9367 8567 8 232 9 231 8 217 6 216 4 192 8567 7852 6 227 7 227 7 203 6 200 4 190 7852 7205 6 226 5 221 5 177 5 179 4 178 7205 6628 6 224 3 187 5 127 5 131 4 152 6628 6142 4 216 5 092 6 088 6 081 5 079 6142 5768 2 098 6 067 6 087 7 065 10 054 5768 5509 8 069 6 068 6 086 7 058 11 050 5509 5352 8*064 6*068 6 086 6*054 8*039 5352 5262 4*062 6*068 5*086 4*050 5*029 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography