DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 56.0 - - 54.3 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 118 - - 46 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1464 - - 1653 - - 201 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5462 - - 5716 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6525 - - 6714 - - 5262 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1957 - - 3149 - - 4261 - - 2567 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 257 - - 93 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 257 - - 269 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -18 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 699 - - 1103 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5827 - - 5611 - - 5262 - - 5263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1333 - - -1078 - - -915 - - -1783 ODpotential blCL - - - 7858 - - 7792 - - 6177 - - 7046 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 200 - - 410 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 56.0 - - 54.3 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 49.2 - - 50.4 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 54.7 - - 53.4 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 47.9 - - 49.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 118 - - 46 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1464 - - 1653 - - 201 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 97 - - 101 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98474 15 110 11 097 13 095 19 093 98474 91038 18 116 15 105 16 090 17 095 91038 85338 21 120 17 098 13 083 16 092 85338 80613 19 108 16 116 13 088 15 095 80613 76543 15 119 9 113 12 096 14 099 76543 72955 17 127 13 122 12 135 10 088 72955 69703 14 123 13 132 14 123 12 123 69703 66702 9 123 14 164 4 147 7 126 66702 63906 10 172 15 177 13 191 9 170 63906 61177 13 179 17 184 18 196 14 193 61177 58307 16 193 17 195 22 197 18 189 58307 55313 21 207 20 204 21 209 19 198 55313 52458 23 212 24 203 23 206 25 213 52458 49896 23 213 22 201 22 194 25 204 49896 47604 23 210 23 198 21 192 24 194 47604 45530 23 204 25 200 22 194 22 194 45530 43635 23 184 26 195 22 193 22 187 43635 41890 25 168 27 176 25 192 20 176 41890 40276 26 162 31 164 28 171 21 173 40276 38785 37 141 37 142 33 149 26 148 38785 37412 34 138 40 122 38 129 35 131 37412 36107 28 132 33 105 42 116 41 124 36107 34803 26 113 28 083 44 107 39 117 34803 33476 26 094 29 075 39 093 40 110 33476 32128 24 090 26 083 27 074 41 106 32128 30742 21 093 23 082 16 064 28 098 30742 29305 19 098 20 081 10 066 15 083 29305 27819 18 099 17 077 7 079 14 091 27819 26285 20 095 16 071 6 099 10 081 26285 24706 23 088 15 063 5 112 7 054 24706 23087 25 080 14 058 3 122 7 007 23087 21424 24 070 12 062 1 031 9 349 21424 19713 21 055 9 070 5 350 10 332 19713 17987 19 034 6 063 6 342 12 300 17987 16333 18 014 7 017 7 332 18 285 16333 14831 17 002 12 351 8 329 19 284 14831 13490 18 357 16 330 8 325 19 290 13490 12285 17 345 18 321 8 322 19 294 12285 11201 16 338 18 316 8 319 18 301 11201 10225 14 335 17 308 8 311 16 317 10225 9347 11 334 16 299 8 306 16 335 9347 8560 8 330 15 292 8 303 17 348 8560 7855 5 302 14 286 7 296 18 356 7855 7214 5 245 12*280 7 289 17 002 7214 6639 9*222 9*268 6 279 16 007 6639 6153 9*218 7 256 5 273 15 013 6153 5776 9 217 7 254 4 272 13 017 5776 5514 9 215 6 252 4 269 11 020 5514 5354 8 214 6 250 4 270 10*021 5354 5263 7 214 6 251 4*269 7*022 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography