DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.5 - - 87.4 - - 91.6 - - 91.6 - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 116 - - 394 - - 316 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 6109 - - 10738 - - 11242 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 9525 - - 13139 - - 12573 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5264 - - 11170 - - 15799 - - 16303 - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1405 - - 5180 - - 3300 - - 2851 - - 11782 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 564 - - 632 - - 437 - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 35 - - 21 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 195 - - 214 - - 198 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -9 - - 3 - - 30 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4532 - - -2762 - - 706 - - 459 - - -8198 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9796 - - 13933 - - 15093 - - 15845 - - 13464 sfcLCL ODpotential -8027 - - -3874 - - -267 - - -558 - - -10476 ODpotential blCL 13291 - - 15044 - - 16066 - - 16861 - - 15741 blCL maxRH 97 - - 83 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 240 - - 480 - - 240 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m 75.5 - - 87.4 - - 91.6 - - 91.6 - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.7 - - 44.1 - - 43.1 - - 39.9 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.1 - - 84.4 - - 89.0 - - 90.3 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.6 - - 43.9 - - 42.8 - - 39.7 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 116 - - 394 - - 316 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 6109 - - 10738 - - 11242 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 33 - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99825 42 103 36 098 37 100 27 106 34 095 99825 92250 34 105 28 109 29 093 31 099 28 105 92250 86409 29 100 28 115 24 104 23 091 28 105 86409 81567 27 094 29 105 25 117 16 107 22 096 81567 77411 19 092 22 100 21 124 18 114 21 092 77411 73748 17 105 19 104 15 128 15 107 19 100 73748 70433 13 107 13 085 19 125 13 106 18 118 70433 67397 16 121 10 113 13 121 8 121 5 107 67397 64595 14 115 11 122 10 137 10 184 2 179 64595 61890 10 144 6 155 14 113 13 158 7 197 61890 59089 16 174 11 210 6 191 6 170 12 181 59089 56196 11 194 18 200 21 213 15 237 11 207 56196 53440 27 226 30 221 30 222 25 236 17 232 53440 50964 49 218 50 221 44 226 35 234 29 244 50964 48757 51 209 59 212 57 223 48 230 50 238 48757 46764 42 225 53 214 61 215 59 220 56 226 46764 44936 56 237 52 230 53 220 53 218 48 224 44936 43241 64 234 54 232 49 231 47 228 45 232 43241 41660 67 232 52 230 49 236 47 234 45 233 41660 40177 60 232 49 231 47 236 47 234 45 233 40177 38784 53 232 48 234 46 237 47 233 47 234 38784 37451 47 229 47 232 44 236 48 233 48 232 37451 36112 42 226 43 229 41 236 47 233 48 230 36112 34737 39 223 40 224 42 234 46 233 49 230 34737 33331 37 225 38 223 44 232 47 236 49 231 33331 31883 39 228 34 227 45 233 46 237 46 233 31883 30383 38 227 32 231 41 237 41 236 43 235 30383 28833 33 231 27 228 32 232 33 229 39 238 28833 27235 26 241 22 226 25 207 30 216 33 233 27235 25592 18 240 20 200 28 200 28 215 30 227 25592 23913 16 239 19 207 22 211 25 219 28 231 23913 22194 17 226 18 233 19 227 20 226 19 240 22194 20430 17 232 21 247 16 238 13 231 10 247 20430 18647 19 237 22 247 11 236 10 222 6 242 18647 16934 17 237 15 241 9*230 6*199 5 241 16934 15370 14 233 12 235 7*213 6*194 4 240 15370 13967 11 236 10 227 7 211 6 193 4 235 13967 12705 9 235 9 226 6 209 6 192 4 223 12705 11566 5 230 9*227 6 210 5 194 5 208 11566 10537 4 183 8*225 6 211 5 196 5 191 10537 9608 6 167 5 215 5 213 5 198 6 179 9608 8775 6 150 3 195 5 214 5 201 8 171 8775 8027 7 140 3 186 5 217 4 203 9 164 8027 7345 8 137 2 177 4 218 4 204 10 159 7345 6733 6 113 2 169 4 221 4 207 11 154 6733 6215 8 064 2 157 4 223 4 209 11 151 6215 5813 9 057 2 150 4 225 4 208 10 146 5813 5533 8 057 2 144 4 226 4 209 8 139 5533 5363 8*057 2 146 4 225 4 208 6*130 5363 5265 7*057 2 142 3 226 3 208 4*126 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography