DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 32.0 - - 44.2 - - 38.1 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 60 - - 47 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 415 - - 1188 - - 878 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 90 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 062 - - 220 - - 172 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1271 - - -2071 - - -4822 - - -3167 - - -909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6531 - - 7333 - - 10084 - - 8429 - - 6170 sfcLCL ODpotential -15124 - - -12492 - - -13119 - - -12491 - - -11331 ODpotential blCL 20384 - - 17753 - - 18381 - - 17752 - - 16592 blCL maxRH 68 - - 67 - - 88 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 32.0 - - 44.2 - - 38.1 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 18.9 - - 19.1 - - 20.2 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 31.1 - - 43.4 - - 41.2 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 18.7 - - 18.6 - - 19.8 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 60 - - 47 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 86 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 32 034 28 020 18 035 26 006 30 004 96298 89407 21 008 21 352 19 024 12 360 24 332 89407 84059 24 353 18 000 21 007 13 347 19 311 84059 79562 18 341 15 356 18 349 16 351 15 325 79562 75609 11 328 16 342 20 319 22 337 15 325 75609 72072 11 358 10 337 15 304 20 316 16 324 72072 68861 15 342 13 335 16 302 16 310 20 304 68861 65919 27 337 19 328 15 313 18 306 14 304 65919 63189 25 328 28 323 27 311 21 306 19 323 63189 60559 25 320 31 311 32 292 43 290 47 293 60559 57846 26 315 25 286 26 298 42 288 52 283 57846 55028 28 317 34 319 45 296 41 289 50 284 55028 52320 39 320 37 304 46 290 50 292 45 285 52320 49853 46 311 36 297 42 292 52 288 49 292 49853 47615 43 304 36 301 43 297 53 292 63 291 47615 45574 32 301 44 313 44 301 60 293 67 287 45574 43696 36 317 59 312 53 299 61 291 66 289 43696 41963 52 321 58 303 55 294 61 291 70 293 41963 40363 51 319 37 294 53 293 65 287 73 289 40363 38883 32 341 42 306 56 295 63 283 70 282 38883 37511 37 346 61 315 57 293 62 283 65 277 37511 36207 51 339 65 315 58 293 60 277 63 278 36207 34907 51 332 50 316 57 294 57 271 61 280 34907 33585 44 329 42 316 48 293 53 271 57 281 33585 32239 37 332 33 321 35 288 49 268 54 279 32239 30850 32 339 22 315 35 285 47 264 56 274 30850 29407 25 337 26 296 37 284 44 263 60 278 29407 27917 20 316 29 292 37 283 40 267 59 284 27917 26380 19 309 29 292 33 283 36 275 53 284 26380 24797 21 296 32 292 31 287 33 282 47 283 24797 23172 27 286 36 290 33 291 33 284 43 285 23172 21500 29 278 33 283 34 288 33 284 41 291 21500 19776 29 274 31 285 32 283 33 286 37 294 19776 18030 27 276 29 284 29 279 32 290 30 294 18030 16354 24 278 28 275 29 277 31 295 27 295 16354 14831 21 276 25 269 28 276 31 297 28 295 14831 13472 20 275 23 266 28 275 31 297 28 296 13472 12257 18 274 21 262 29 274 31 296 29 296 12257 11166 17 271 21 258 29 274 30 294 30 295 11166 10184 15 267 21 255 29 274 28 293 30 294 10184 9303 15 263 21 253 28 274 25 294 28 291 9303 8516 16 259 20 250 26 273 22 296 25 286 8516 7812 15 255 19 247 23 270 18 294 21 279 7812 7173 13 249 15 241 19 266 15 281 16 269 7173 6605 11 242 12 231 15 255 12 254 14 260 6605 6127 6 236 8 214 11 240 11 223 13 249 6127 5759 1 226 2 150 8 222 10 216 10 243 5759 5504 5 049 3 063 7 222 7 208 5 234 5504 5350 5 039 3*063 7*220 5 193 1 224 5350 5261 4*017 2*062 6*220 3*172 1*247 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography