DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.9 - - 37.8 - - 36.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 50 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1247 - - 1640 - - 1970 - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 94 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 231 - - 226 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -207 - - -341 - - -505 - - -2208 ODpotential blCL - - - 5468 - - 5602 - - 5766 - - 7469 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.9 - - 37.8 - - 36.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 36.1 - - 35.6 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 37.1 - - 37.0 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 35.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 50 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 90 - - 98 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95862 26 295 25 285 31 298 28 298 95862 88890 15 293 17 297 23 315 23 308 88890 83454 12 311 17 307 21 307 19 312 83454 78917 15 303 19 286 18 306 18 295 78917 74987 13 308 19 292 17 318 11 295 74987 71480 16 310 21 283 20 296 15 279 71480 68279 14 281 14 300 16 299 10 282 68279 65310 12 311 27 285 19 286 19 283 65310 62544 31 267 30 269 26 272 25 270 62544 59862 33 246 29 267 28 273 18 276 59862 57017 25 244 32 266 28 281 20 284 57017 54014 25 253 31 265 44 260 44 256 54014 51159 37 255 42 249 49 246 49 244 51159 48620 43 248 39 241 42 251 43 251 48620 46351 38 248 35 256 47 260 44 260 46351 44293 39 262 52 262 55 257 51 264 44293 42413 54 258 69 252 60 257 61 263 42413 40686 66 252 75 250 69 255 69 256 40686 39090 77 254 82 252 76 250 72 249 39090 37612 95 255 95 252 82 248 75 246 37612 36244 115 254 109 248 92 246 81 246 36244 34953 120 252 119 246 101 245 85 245 34953 33671 118 250 126 246 110 246 86 244 33671 32368 116 250 129 246 116 246 87 244 32368 31047 112 252 128 246 109 244 83 244 31047 29696 102 252 116 248 96 242 74 244 29696 28307 86 248 93 245 83 242 64 243 28307 26880 77 242 80 239 72 244 57 241 26880 25416 72 239 75 239 62 246 52 243 25416 23913 66 238 66 242 51 246 46 247 23913 22375 60 236 58 246 44 243 41 247 22375 20796 54 235 55 245 43 241 37 240 20796 19167 46 237 53 244 44 232 41 230 19167 17516 40 241 47 246 44 236 44 231 17516 15929 37 245 40 247 39 247 42 237 15929 14484 37 250 34 244 33 251 38 242 14484 13193 34 256 34 245 31 251 34 245 13193 12035 31 258 36 249 31 253 33 248 12035 10993 29 257 37 251 30 254 31 252 10993 10056 27 254 37 252 29 251 30 253 10056 9212 27 251 36 254 28 249 29 252 9212 8455 27 246 35 255 27 247 28 250 8455 7773 27 236 32 254 25 244 25 242 7773 7152 27 227 29 252 24 241 23 229 7152 6595 24 223 26 248 23 236 22 223 6595 6124 19 222 22 241 21 232 20 224 6124 5758 15 220 18 234 19 230 17 224 5758 5505 12 218 17 233 17 228 13 218 5505 5350 11*217 16*232 14*227 9 209 5350 5261 9*216 12*231 10*226 4*193 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography