DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 294 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2236 - - 5054 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6371 - - 8565 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7297 - - 10115 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1962 - - 1410 - - 6144 - - 255 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 479 - - 86 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 84 - - 13 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 253 - - 243 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2838 - - -3055 - - -8786 - - -6684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10135 - - 13171 - - 14050 - - 11948 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8002 - - -8133 - - -14261 - - -15366 ODpotential blCL - - - 15299 - - 18248 - - 19524 - - 20629 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 49 - - 60 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 30.7 - - 26.2 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 68.1 - - 68.8 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 30.6 - - 26.1 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 294 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2236 - - 5054 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97880 12 276 15 315 11 301 12 264 97880 90618 3 292 8 224 15 314 10 305 90618 85015 6 355 7 171 11 315 7 356 85015 80350 3 008 2 321 7 298 4 007 80350 76314 3 320 5 288 10 286 3 348 76314 72743 5 261 10 231 12 256 10 288 72743 69519 11 261 11 258 15 269 14 268 69519 66560 19 252 20 274 23 279 19 273 66560 63807 19 243 26 260 26 274 22 285 63807 61137 18 247 25 261 30 279 31 285 61137 58342 21 256 28 263 31 269 30 279 58342 55438 23 269 27 249 28 272 31 287 55438 52679 32 280 31 268 32 274 31 280 52679 50208 34 263 38 259 30 254 26 268 50208 47997 27 244 28 253 21 255 19 283 47997 45998 20 299 18 303 26 308 22 311 45998 44184 26 322 24 321 32 322 24 323 44184 42519 17 327 20 313 27 330 24 337 42519 40970 10 349 12 319 22 349 27 347 40970 39516 21 008 11 005 21 360 27 353 39516 38150 30 006 20 007 20 001 27 355 38150 36838 32 009 26 356 19 352 25 351 36838 35518 32 009 25 351 18 345 18 343 35518 34164 29 016 18 349 17 344 14 332 34164 32780 25 020 11 356 17 342 13 322 32780 31353 20 022 10 353 15 341 15 315 31353 29872 12 016 10 350 12 338 15 305 29872 28341 8 022 9 347 7 319 16 288 28341 26763 12 354 8 328 7 291 19 276 26763 25143 16 347 8 319 11 295 19 288 25143 23484 17 347 10 326 15 312 21 298 23484 21781 17 346 13 330 17 322 21 301 21781 20028 17 348 14 333 16 319 18 304 20028 18259 19 350 17 337 12 314 15 303 18259 16564 19 352 18 339 9 313 13 304 16564 15022 16 353 17 340 10 331 11 313 15022 13647 11 351 14 339 17 336 11 333 13647 12419 6 342 10 333 18 340 11 353 12419 11315 4 316 8 312 14 340 9 006 11315 10320 7 295 7*272 8 323 6 003 10320 9424 9 286 7*266 7 291 3 327 9424 8622 8 284 7 261 8 264 4 293 8622 7901 5*280 7 256 10 253 7 276 7901 7247 2*250 7 253 10 249 11 263 7247 6661 1 231 7 248 10 248 15 254 6661 6166 1 209 7 246 10 246 18 250 6166 5783 1 186 7 243 10 245 18 248 5783 5518 1 165 6 242 10 244 15 245 5518 5356 1 156 6 242 10 244 11*241 5356 5263 1 156 6 241 8*243 5*233 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography