DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 74.7 - - 75.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 452 - - 172 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3535 - - 6744 - - 6970 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7495 - - 10092 - - 9768 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8596 - - 11805 - - 12031 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2144 - - 1862 - - 2758 - - 3612 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 610 - - 448 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 221 - - 233 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4919 - - -5491 - - -7991 - - -11677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13516 - - 17297 - - 20023 - - 16941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9233 - - -9486 - - -12956 - - -17089 ODpotential blCL - - - 17829 - - 21291 - - 24987 - - 22352 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 59 - - 67 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 74.7 - - 75.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.6 - - 16.5 - - 5.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 71.7 - - 74.2 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 15.7 - - 3.9 - - 9.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 452 - - 172 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3535 - - 6744 - - 6970 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97752 13 186 4 229 3 058 15 132 97752 90364 16 146 13 160 6 198 7 123 90364 84695 15 129 14 159 7 164 8 123 84695 79992 11 119 15 151 5 157 5 129 79992 75941 7 121 9 144 3 188 5 105 75941 72352 5 149 6 153 3 207 5 041 72352 69104 4 094 4 170 3 169 4 298 69104 66122 9 344 4 338 3 341 5 322 66122 63350 7 322 8 297 10 302 7 312 63350 60664 8 324 13 295 15 300 11 312 60664 57878 14 297 18 281 19 287 15 301 57878 55000 19 300 22 288 24 288 26 294 55000 52262 24 310 22 297 28 287 32 286 52262 49809 36 320 28 310 33 290 35 282 49809 47619 46 314 37 307 37 291 40 279 47619 45647 45 310 44 304 43 295 42 281 45647 43857 44 311 49 302 48 297 46 288 43857 42216 46 313 51 302 51 295 50 290 42216 40690 47 312 49 299 47 292 46 285 40690 39258 49 309 47 298 44 293 43 282 39258 37909 51 307 47 301 42 293 43 282 37909 36614 53 306 49 301 42 293 43 284 36614 35313 52 305 50 301 43 294 43 285 35313 33977 48 306 47 300 43 294 44 285 33977 32612 44 306 43 298 42 292 45 284 32612 31205 40 307 39 299 39 290 43 283 31205 29747 32 309 35 299 38 290 41 284 29747 28241 26 304 30 298 35 292 38 288 28241 26689 26 298 28 293 30 293 35 290 26689 25095 26 301 25 293 27 291 30 291 25095 23461 25 307 22 299 26 287 24 288 23461 21781 22 310 20 305 24 285 21 281 21781 20050 19 311 19 302 21 285 23 281 20050 18300 18 309 18 292 19 283 24 281 18300 16617 17 310 17 284 18 279 25 277 16617 15085 15 315 15 281 17 273 27 269 15085 13714 12 319 12 272 15 263 26 264 13714 12483 8 311 10*236 14*239 22 259 12483 11374 7 282 11*226 13*237 19 251 11374 10374 9 252 11 224 13 236 16 242 10374 9473 10 226 11 223 13 235 14 236 9473 8665 8*214 11 222 13 233 13 234 8665 7939 7*204 11 221 13 232 12 234 7939 7278 7 197 11 220 13 231 11 235 7278 6685 6 194 12 219 13 231 10 236 6685 6183 6 190 11 219 12 231 10 237 6183 5794 6 187 11 218 12 230 9 237 5794 5523 5 186 11 218 12 230 8 236 5523 5358 5 185 11 218 11 229 6 231 5358 5263 5 184 10 218 10 230 5*231 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography