DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 62.7 - - 65.1 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 151 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1766 - - 1749 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5933 - - 5830 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6827 - - 6810 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1482 - - 1846 - - 4969 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 270 - - 62 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 226 - - 247 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2940 - - -2922 - - -6086 - - -3300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9767 - - 9732 - - 11350 - - 8563 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6044 - - -5406 - - -8471 - - -8115 ODpotential blCL - - - 12871 - - 12216 - - 13734 - - 13378 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 95 - - 92 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 90 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 62.7 - - 65.1 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 37.9 - - 33.3 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 61.1 - - 64.6 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 37.7 - - 33.3 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 151 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1766 - - 1749 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 81 - - 67 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97760 11 282 10 318 16 284 21 281 97760 90520 8 248 12 293 12 299 9 329 90520 84879 5 289 10 240 12 289 11 326 84879 80174 8 284 3 251 3 293 13 257 80174 76136 11 283 9 284 7 320 7 283 76136 72577 5 244 6 282 7 320 4 315 72577 69350 13 274 16 284 13 310 7 346 69350 66371 14 270 9 280 8 280 7 292 66371 63606 15 302 14 317 12 330 10 006 63606 60941 26 274 29 275 22 290 18 306 60941 58168 29 264 30 273 27 288 24 303 58168 55255 19 284 26 279 33 280 33 285 55255 52436 26 297 35 273 39 270 40 266 52436 49894 51 279 48 267 51 268 47 263 49894 47620 59 269 54 261 56 263 53 265 47620 45557 59 268 55 261 59 260 60 262 45557 43663 61 266 57 262 61 257 65 256 43663 41916 64 261 61 261 63 256 68 252 41916 40293 64 258 66 257 64 255 68 252 40293 38777 62 254 67 254 67 253 71 249 38777 37364 59 253 68 251 70 248 76 240 37364 36026 57 252 68 248 72 245 79 238 36026 34697 59 250 66 246 71 244 79 238 34697 33347 61 246 66 246 69 244 77 237 33347 31977 61 243 67 246 68 243 73 236 31977 30574 61 241 67 246 67 242 71 236 30574 29129 58 239 64 245 65 242 70 236 29129 27643 55 224 61 243 61 242 66 238 27643 26118 57 216 59 240 58 241 61 239 26118 24557 57 218 55 237 55 240 55 239 24557 22963 57 224 50 236 53 239 54 237 22963 21331 55 234 50 236 51 240 56 233 21331 19656 59 238 51 235 48 238 57 230 19656 17963 60 241 52 233 46 231 53 228 17963 16336 57 248 52 232 44 227 44 226 16336 14851 48 254 48 233 41 227 36 226 14851 13521 38 255 43 238 36 227 32 230 13521 12323 34 254 38 245 32 227 27 232 12323 11242 32 254 35 249 28 228 23 230 11242 10264 32 248 33 250 22 230 19 225 10264 9383 34 233 31 247 17 237 12 220 9383 8592 35 223 28 242 14 246 6 234 8592 7882 34 222 26 236 12 256 5 275 7882 7235 31*224 22*230 11 256 6 282 7235 6655 26*226 17*227 10 254 6 265 6655 6163 22 226 16 226 10 252 9 252 6163 5782 22 226 15 226 10 250 11 247 5782 5517 20 226 15 226 9 250 10 244 5517 5355 19 226 14 225 9*249 8*240 5355 5263 15 226 12 225 8*247 5*238 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography