DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 77.5 - - 75.4 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 229 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 203 - - 4534 - - 202 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5247 - - 8053 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5264 - - 9595 - - 5263 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2587 - - 3308 - - 6857 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 425 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 232 - - 234 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8256 - - -6294 - - -10243 - - -7506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13521 - - 15890 - - 15507 - - 12770 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11984 - - -9599 - - -13865 - - -14488 ODpotential blCL - - - 17248 - - 19194 - - 19128 - - 19752 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 39 - - 35 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 77.5 - - 75.4 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 25.9 - - 25.7 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 75.5 - - 75.1 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 25.8 - - 25.6 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 229 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 203 - - 4534 - - 202 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 5 011 4 025 9 007 8 008 97823 90561 10 061 3 115 12 022 16 030 90561 84912 13 058 3 090 7 014 14 016 84912 80227 10 028 4 038 4 020 8 358 80227 76203 13 351 10 015 7 012 1 074 76203 72639 9 333 15 329 16 003 7 011 72639 69423 13 343 19 314 23 331 19 353 69423 66491 20 333 20 313 25 327 26 341 66491 63779 25 315 26 306 32 319 29 330 63779 61148 26 304 27 300 35 311 29 321 61148 58394 27 311 25 298 37 298 32 309 58394 55530 31 316 25 307 34 291 35 302 55530 52797 36 304 32 302 33 297 34 298 52797 50341 35 287 33 294 32 303 28 303 50341 48144 29 283 31 278 29 301 27 312 48144 46158 29 291 28 268 26 290 27 306 46158 44344 29 297 25 288 21 286 27 295 44344 42668 29 303 27 304 23 302 25 301 42668 41105 29 306 28 319 27 314 24 311 41105 39647 23 321 23 323 28 326 19 323 39647 38284 17 348 12 327 22 325 17 314 38284 36979 17 015 9 022 11 335 10 298 36979 35667 21 029 16 037 15 024 5 350 35667 34321 23 039 24 036 19 025 10 019 34321 32945 23 043 26 031 18 025 13 017 32945 31527 20 039 23 033 15 030 14 010 31527 30058 17 043 20 040 13 037 12 010 30058 28540 15 051 19 042 13 041 7 024 28540 26971 13 057 18 042 13 046 6 053 26971 25353 12 042 14 048 12 075 4 081 25353 23692 13 011 10 045 7 107 2 341 23692 21986 12 349 9 018 3 143 3 337 21986 20227 8 317 9 359 2 330 4 352 20227 18448 9 282 9 329 5 337 3 350 18448 16741 12 269 11 297 8 330 1 355 16741 15187 14 271 16 284 11 316 5 311 15187 13797 15 282 18 279 12 313 7 324 13797 12550 17 292 17 284 11 310 6 315 12550 11427 16 298 14 293 10 299 6 298 11427 10413 13 302 10*285 8 271 7 294 10413 9500 10 302 7*262 9 254 9 286 9500 8683 7 295 6 243 10 245 11 276 8683 7950 5 291 6 233 10 241 12 266 7950 7285 3 300 5 228 10 239 12 258 7285 6688 1 071 5 223 11 237 13 254 6688 6185 2 088 5 219 11 236 15 254 6185 5794 2 090 5 215 11 235 15 253 5794 5523 2 088 5 215 10 235 14 252 5523 5358 2*088 4 214 10 234 8*244 5358 5264 2*086 4 213 8*234 5*241 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography