DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 76.5 - - - - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 251 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1237 - - 4441 - - - - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5598 - - 8025 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6298 - - 9502 - - - - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 767 - - 2813 - - - - - 79 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 436 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 236 - - - - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -8 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4943 - - -5288 - - - - - -5587 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11242 - - 14790 - - - - - 10851 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10600 - - -9095 - - - - - -12488 ODpotential blCL - - - 16898 - - 18597 - - - - - 17751 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 77 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 76.5 - - - - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 29.8 - - - - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 74.3 - - - - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 29.6 - - - - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 251 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1237 - - 4441 - - - - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 8 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97633 17 293 14 307 13 297 97633 90432 3 343 2 306 16 342 90432 84850 7 359 3 047 16 339 84850 80222 11 324 10 343 15 328 80222 76238 10 319 13 316 13 350 76238 72699 9 309 14 310 12 345 72699 69487 16 304 22 306 17 332 69487 66552 16 291 17 289 23 323 66552 63835 13 290 22 288 22 329 63835 61187 26 288 32 278 32 294 61187 58419 38 285 38 279 32 286 58419 55538 48 285 46 282 39 292 55538 52789 56 282 57 281 55 287 52789 50328 61 282 68 282 66 284 50328 48132 68 284 76 284 67 286 48132 46141 71 285 74 284 66 290 46141 44315 67 283 70 283 68 292 44315 42630 59 277 65 282 68 290 42630 41065 52 277 61 282 67 289 41065 39603 47 284 57 284 63 290 39603 38232 47 287 55 285 61 291 38232 36917 50 284 51 285 59 294 36917 35597 54 279 49 280 53 294 35597 34243 54 278 53 278 49 294 34243 32862 53 275 55 281 44 293 32862 31441 54 276 51 284 37 292 31441 29971 53 282 48 286 32 295 29971 28452 55 286 49 284 30 297 28452 26887 55 285 47 279 31 293 26887 25277 52 283 47 276 33 289 25277 23626 48 279 47 274 35 287 23626 21929 45 275 44 275 35 286 21929 20179 43 274 41 275 34 286 20179 18408 40 277 38 278 32 288 18408 16706 35 280 34 282 29 289 16706 15156 30 279 31 281 27 290 15156 13770 26 276 29 275 25 291 13770 12526 22 269 27 269 22 292 12526 11407 20 260 25 265 19 293 11407 10398 19 250 20*259 17 291 10398 9490 18 237 16*248 17 286 9490 8676 17 235 14 239 18 280 8676 7946 14 233 14 236 19 274 7946 7282 11 225 13 235 21 270 7282 6686 6*210 13 233 23 267 6686 6183 2*145 12 232 23 263 6183 5792 3 136 12 231 23 259 5792 5522 3 129 11 231 18 254 5522 5357 2 125 11 230 13*250 5357 5263 2 122 10 230 7*245 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography