DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 79.7 - - 79.3 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 448 - - 509 - - 254 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8080 - - 10800 - - 9404 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11168 - - 13463 - - 11926 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13141 - - 15861 - - 14465 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3320 - - 2817 - - 3284 - - 8894 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 645 - - 742 - - 562 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 251 - - 252 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 580 - - 840 - - -1916 - - -9812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12561 - - 15022 - - 16382 - - 15077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -418 - - -216 - - -4068 - - -12842 ODpotential blCL - - - 13559 - - 16077 - - 18533 - - 18106 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 77 - - 73 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 210 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 79.7 - - 79.3 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 31.4 - - 25.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 76.3 - - 77.2 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 31.2 - - 24.8 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 448 - - 509 - - 254 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8080 - - 10800 - - 9404 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99677 34 103 38 119 26 110 31 097 99677 92081 27 110 22 121 23 110 24 098 92081 86227 23 124 13 104 23 104 23 102 86227 81389 21 124 17 097 16 101 21 108 81389 77232 17 119 17 108 14 106 17 109 77232 73568 15 129 12 119 11 105 12 110 73568 70251 13 118 14 129 8 124 8 084 70251 67203 6 198 10 136 13 128 6 117 67203 64370 14 183 11 202 4 150 12 114 64370 61599 11 159 11 216 9 226 3 019 61599 58696 10 185 13 202 13 212 8 258 58696 55689 11 238 10 224 9 227 10 243 55689 52824 20 233 17 239 11 264 12 245 52824 50249 21 230 19 238 15 263 14 251 50249 47945 19 236 19 240 17 256 14 260 47945 45859 22 242 23 248 20 258 19 276 45859 43960 27 237 26 250 22 261 21 274 43960 42222 26 236 27 243 20 262 26 273 42222 40626 26 238 26 235 21 267 24 267 40626 39158 30 238 25 236 25 265 19 262 39158 37801 30 235 26 240 27 259 17 262 37801 36514 30 228 28 242 27 256 19 264 36514 35223 29 227 28 232 25 246 21 265 35223 33899 27 237 27 236 26 238 22 266 33899 32544 27 236 26 239 26 237 22 262 32544 31147 26 234 25 241 25 240 22 257 31147 29700 24 235 23 244 21 246 21 257 29700 28204 21 243 21 249 18 254 20 258 28204 26663 21 251 20 255 17 261 19 258 26663 25078 22 249 21 254 17 262 18 259 25078 23452 24 244 23 246 18 260 17 262 23452 21780 25 241 25 242 21 256 18 264 21780 20056 26 243 27 241 23 247 21 259 20056 18311 26 245 28 244 24 246 23 255 18311 16634 28 244 24*247 23 249 23 252 16634 15105 27 241 19*247 20*250 21 249 15105 13736 22*240 18 247 16*251 19 246 13736 12506 16*242 15 249 16 252 16 245 12506 11396 13 242 15 250 16 252 15 246 11396 10394 10 237 15 251 16 252 15 248 10394 9491 9 236 15 252 16 253 15 249 9491 8681 9 234 15 253 16 253 15 249 8681 7952 8 233 14 254 16 253 16 249 7952 7289 8 232 14 255 16 253 16 249 7289 6693 8 229 14 255 16 253 16 249 6693 6189 7 228 14 256 15 253 16 249 6189 5797 7 227 14 256 15 253 15 248 5797 5525 7 226 13 256 15 253 13 246 5525 5359 6 226 13 256 14 252 10*244 5359 5264 6 225 12 256 12 253 7*242 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography