DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 46.0 - - 41.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - -5 - - -16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3082 - - 4777 - - 4162 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 53 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 219 - - 218 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -279 - - -620 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5541 - - 5882 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2376 - - -2125 - - -1718 - - -2380 ODpotential blCL - - - 7638 - - 7387 - - 6980 - - 7642 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 75 - - 85 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 330 - - 380 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 46.0 - - 41.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 38.3 - - 39.3 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 45.9 - - 43.1 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 38.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - -5 - - -16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 41 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95760 34 319 43 326 31 335 39 337 95760 88770 29 322 33 321 35 330 28 328 88770 83347 25 309 28 313 36 326 25 325 83347 78831 26 318 27 291 35 304 27 320 78831 74925 26 316 22 301 27 307 27 313 74925 71455 23 299 27 304 25 295 31 297 71455 68286 20 302 29 279 20 280 29 275 68286 65356 29 281 24 298 16 287 16 294 65356 62597 43 261 44 267 9 344 19 341 62597 59846 49 245 52 249 54 246 61 256 59846 56956 58 238 52 234 65 236 68 230 56956 53997 56 237 54 239 52 238 47 235 53997 51196 57 241 57 243 41 254 30 264 51196 48666 64 240 60 243 51 263 42 292 48666 46374 67 235 66 240 66 258 75 262 46374 44309 69 235 71 238 85 246 91 250 44309 42449 73 238 77 239 92 240 96 249 42449 40750 82 240 82 240 90 239 104 243 40750 39192 88 238 85 241 88 241 95 241 39192 37757 89 235 88 239 87 243 87 249 37757 36425 86 234 89 236 86 245 99 256 36425 35156 82 235 84 234 86 245 104 254 35156 33890 77 237 76 234 82 245 99 252 33890 32594 71 237 68 234 75 245 97 252 32594 31271 66 235 64 234 68 244 95 253 31271 29913 65 235 61 234 60 241 91 252 29913 28511 64 234 58 235 56 240 81 250 28511 27069 62 234 55 237 53 238 69 247 27069 25587 59 236 53 237 52 240 62 245 25587 24069 57 236 50 238 49 241 57 241 24069 22519 55 236 46 240 45 236 54 236 22519 20928 52 236 42 242 41 230 51 233 20928 19287 49 236 38 242 38 228 51 236 19287 17627 46 236 36 239 36 231 45 236 17627 16031 44 239 36 236 35 235 38 233 16031 14576 42 241 37 236 34 238 37 233 14576 13274 39 242 35 236 34 238 38 235 13274 12107 36 240 33 234 34 238 39 229 12107 11055 34 239 31 234 33 237 39 222 11055 10106 30 239 30 237 32 236 37 218 10106 9251 27 242 28 236 29 236 34 216 9251 8484 26 246 26 232 27 235 30 215 8484 7796 27 246 25 227 25 234 26 215 7796 7171 27 243 23 223 25 232 22 216 7171 6609 27 236 21 220 24 230 20 217 6609 6134 25 232 20 220 22 228 18 218 6134 5764 21 230 18 219 20 223 16 218 5764 5508 17 228 16 219 15 219 14 216 5508 5351 15*228 14*219 12*218 11*214 5351 5262 11*227 11*219 5*218 5*216 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography