DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.4 - - 86.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 495 - - 231 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4547 - - 7689 - - 6390 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8298 - - 10895 - - 9491 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9608 - - 12750 - - 11451 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3055 - - 2352 - - 2966 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 517 - - 656 - - 479 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 23 - - 25 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 254 - - 264 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -11 - - -20 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5871 - - -3729 - - -6291 - - -11418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15479 - - 16480 - - 17743 - - 16683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9517 - - -7240 - - -10505 - - -17829 ODpotential blCL - - - 19125 - - 19990 - - 21956 - - 23093 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 30 - - 19 - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.4 - - 86.7 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 33.7 - - 26.5 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 85.2 - - 84.9 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 33.5 - - 26.3 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 495 - - 231 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4547 - - 7689 - - 6390 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99604 36 118 29 096 33 097 26 091 99604 92098 28 102 27 110 26 093 27 096 92098 86309 19 094 25 106 22 110 25 084 86309 81488 18 110 17 107 17 111 20 092 81488 77326 17 113 12 118 13 100 15 113 77326 73655 18 105 13 136 11 103 13 108 73655 70337 16 075 17 136 3 103 12 057 70337 67279 4 321 10 104 7 190 2 038 67279 64449 7 199 4 276 3 334 1 346 64449 61714 10 236 15 254 12 291 7 349 61714 58892 19 274 16 280 19 297 10 285 58892 56014 29 261 30 261 35 277 40 282 56014 53292 34 267 39 257 46 262 51 264 53292 50847 46 274 46 263 50 266 49 262 50847 48645 57 273 60 271 59 274 55 277 48645 46642 64 270 70 270 71 273 67 279 46642 44802 67 270 72 268 74 269 76 275 44802 43097 69 271 74 268 75 268 79 273 43097 41502 70 270 75 268 76 268 80 273 41502 40003 70 268 75 267 76 268 81 274 40003 38596 69 268 74 267 74 267 78 273 38596 37250 65 265 70 266 69 264 72 271 37250 35901 61 261 66 264 65 263 68 270 35901 34521 60 257 63 263 60 263 64 269 34521 33116 58 257 60 263 57 264 61 267 33116 31671 53 259 57 264 55 264 58 265 31671 30178 49 260 55 265 54 264 55 263 30178 28639 48 260 52 264 52 264 52 263 28639 27054 50 261 48 264 49 263 49 263 27054 25425 47 260 46 263 45 262 46 262 25425 23757 44 257 43 261 42 261 44 260 23757 22046 43 253 40 258 41 261 43 257 22046 20283 43 246 39 253 40 260 41 254 20283 18501 42 246 41 252 39 259 40 252 18501 16791 41 250 43 253 40 257 38 251 16791 15232 36 256 42 256 40 257 36 253 15232 13837 30 258 36*258 38 258 35 257 13837 12586 25 255 28*259 34 261 34 262 12586 11459 22 246 23 256 27*263 33 269 11459 10443 17*242 23 255 26*264 32 276 10443 9528 13*256 23 255 26 264 29 282 9528 8708 12 258 23 254 26 264 26 286 8708 7973 12 255 23 253 26 264 24 286 7973 7303 12 251 22 252 25 264 24 283 7303 6702 12 247 22 252 25 264 24 278 6702 6195 12 245 22 251 25 264 24 272 6195 5800 12 242 21 250 24 263 22 268 5800 5527 11 241 21 250 23 263 19 263 5527 5360 11 241 20 250 22 263 15*259 5360 5264 10 240 17 250 18 263 9*255 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography