DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 55.7 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 118 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 202 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5246 - - 5246 - - - - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5263 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1150 - - 2081 - - - - - 98 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 123 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 062 - - 105 - - - - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2501 - - -3713 - - - - - -519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7764 - - 8976 - - - - - 5781 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12806 - - -11905 - - - - - -12161 ODpotential blCL - - - 18068 - - 17168 - - - - - 17423 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 60 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 55.7 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 35.2 - - - - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 54.5 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 34.0 - - - - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 118 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 202 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97476 8 191 7 242 5 337 97476 90267 6 114 10 168 5 021 90267 84685 7 142 7 122 3 013 84685 80033 5 091 6 161 11 268 80033 76018 6 308 3 268 13 246 76018 72464 13 258 14 281 9 288 72464 69263 12 268 12 263 11 308 69263 66345 16 260 13 274 16 305 66345 63645 15 256 16 268 22 294 63645 61030 11 281 13 260 25 281 61030 58311 15 295 18 278 29 271 58311 55505 13 300 21 274 32 253 55505 52832 18 318 20 295 22 255 52832 50426 20 322 23 303 23 280 50426 48268 16 323 22 294 25 286 48268 46304 14 321 20 286 24 281 46304 44499 16 333 16 292 20 275 44499 42829 18 341 17 306 19 289 42829 41273 18 346 19 311 21 300 41273 39817 19 351 17 319 19 301 39817 38449 21 352 18 331 16 303 38449 37136 21 350 18 334 16 308 37136 35813 19 344 16 330 15 312 35813 34455 17 336 16 328 14 313 34455 33070 17 340 16 328 12 308 33070 31644 18 342 16 332 9 304 31644 30165 16 341 15 335 8 305 30165 28634 16 337 14 342 7 309 28634 27055 17 335 15 351 6 298 27055 25426 18 330 15 354 4 293 25426 23753 18 321 14 342 5 300 23753 22027 16 312 14 310 7 288 22027 20244 12 305 15 292 12 285 20244 18436 10 297 12 289 13 278 18436 16699 8 298 10 273 14 274 16699 15118 5 272 11 254 17 271 15118 13705 5 224 11 240 17 263 13705 12443 7 210 12 231 14 253 12443 11312 9 203 12 229 14 244 11312 10299 10 207 13 230 14 238 10299 9394 9 213 11 232 14 232 9394 8589 7 211 9 229 12 225 8589 7871 5 194 7 220 11 214 7871 7221 4 165 5 186 12 195 7221 6640 4 122 4 133 10 179 6640 6151 7 067 4 116 5 138 6151 5773 7 061 4 111 5 077 5773 5512 7 062 4 108 6 049 5512 5353 7*062 4*106 5*036 5353 5262 6*062 4*105 3*025 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography