DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 68.2 - - 78.7 - - 77.8 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 191 - - 212 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 879 - - 2860 - - 203 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5278 - - 6765 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5940 - - 7921 - - 5264 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 611 - - 2358 - - 7709 - - 96 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 231 - - 355 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 075 - - 191 - - 191 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4384 - - -7054 - - -7519 - - -10230 - - -7318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9647 - - 12994 - - 15440 - - 15495 - - 12582 sfcLCL ODpotential -13495 - - -11761 - - -9873 - - -12942 - - -12878 ODpotential blCL 18757 - - 17701 - - 17794 - - 18206 - - 18142 blCL maxRH 68 - - 68 - - 87 - - 76 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 68.2 - - 78.7 - - 77.8 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 30.2 - - 29.2 - - 28.2 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 66.5 - - 76.7 - - 78.3 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 30.0 - - 29.0 - - 28.0 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 191 - - 212 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 879 - - 2860 - - 203 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97819 4 223 3 250 10 252 3 313 8 226 97819 90537 3 018 3 265 5 267 4 356 5 015 90537 84906 10 058 7 187 6 262 7 326 13 050 84906 80238 9 022 5 093 1 271 8 328 11 021 80238 76230 9 004 5 023 1 165 9 326 9 348 76230 72705 10 342 11 356 4 346 8 295 8 338 72705 69514 9 342 10 344 10 326 12 321 11 352 69514 66577 14 344 14 328 17 337 17 327 20 324 66577 63867 18 333 15 326 21 327 17 339 22 316 63867 61244 21 316 19 328 24 305 24 325 23 312 61244 58487 29 307 23 320 24 288 29 304 25 309 58487 55609 32 296 27 310 24 295 32 293 27 305 55609 52859 31 289 31 301 26 311 30 291 27 305 52859 50389 30 289 32 296 30 311 25 297 26 308 50389 48175 32 289 30 295 30 304 24 304 23 310 48175 46161 35 286 28 294 28 296 24 305 17 311 46161 44312 36 281 29 296 25 290 21 303 15 320 44312 42600 33 281 35 288 27 286 20 299 14 320 42600 41006 38 283 35 279 32 275 24 288 11 318 41006 39524 35 267 35 267 31 265 29 273 13 293 39524 38149 27 237 27 242 29 249 28 250 17 276 38149 36840 22 225 23 220 26 238 23 241 18 251 36840 35533 19 232 27 223 28 244 20 245 16 228 35533 34197 19 239 28 234 32 248 20 246 11 221 34197 32832 23 258 26 253 33 249 20 244 8 232 32832 31427 28 268 25 262 32 252 21 246 9 238 31427 29970 31 272 27 262 30 254 22 249 11 240 29970 28464 34 269 29 263 28 258 22 251 13 246 28464 26910 36 264 30 265 26 266 19 253 16 257 26910 25310 34 261 28 266 24 267 20 251 17 260 25310 23667 29 265 25 259 21 259 21 252 18 253 23667 21978 24 271 25 250 22 249 20 253 19 258 21978 20235 20 277 24 258 23 251 19 256 18 263 20235 18470 20 289 23 272 23 258 18 258 18 265 18470 16771 21 295 21 281 22 266 17 264 17 262 16771 15221 17 292 18 290 18 275 16 269 16 257 15221 13832 12 279 15 286 15 278 15 275 14 257 13832 12583 10 257 13 262 14 277 14 278 13 268 12583 11456 9 248 11 255 14 271 13 278 12 281 11456 10439 8 256 10 255 14 267 12 275 11 288 10439 9524 7 257 8 256 12 262 11 263 10 283 9524 8704 7 257 5 251 7 241 9 240 9 267 8704 7968 7 260 3 223 5*217 8 228 10 258 7968 7299 4 270 4 172 4*207 7 219 10 252 7299 6698 1 136 4 149 4 198 7 212 11 248 6698 6191 4 091 4*093 3 189 6 206 10 246 6191 5797 7 062 4*077 3 182 6 201 9 241 5797 5525 10 048 4 075 3 177 5 197 6 237 5525 5358 9*041 4 075 3 175 5*194 3*234 5358 5264 4*037 4 074 2 172 4*191 2*254 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography