DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.7 - - 40.2 - - 42.6 - - 40.6 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 72 - - 62 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1129 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6190 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 575 - - 1352 - - 3743 - - 2779 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 189 - - 103 - - 28 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 252 - - 251 - - 227 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 488 - - -987 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5702 - - 6250 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -2882 - - -2235 - - -2363 - - -1891 - - -2839 ODpotential blCL 8143 - - 8425 - - 7625 - - 7153 - - 8100 blCL maxRH 91 - - 95 - - 92 - - 78 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.7 - - 40.2 - - 42.6 - - 40.6 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 33.6 - - 33.6 - - 36.1 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 39.3 - - 41.7 - - 41.5 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.4 - - 32.4 - - 32.3 - - 35.0 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 72 - - 62 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1129 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 80 - - 69 - - 12 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96729 11 266 25 260 23 280 18 284 22 276 96729 89621 7 274 12 248 20 261 16 304 15 274 89621 84118 6 290 3 237 10 245 12 288 17 285 84118 79517 5 271 4 278 8 253 11 247 11 260 79517 75521 8 230 3 272 8 235 7 296 4 280 75521 71966 9 242 9 241 16 247 19 267 11 278 71966 68750 14 232 13 236 20 232 20 242 16 259 68750 65772 16 249 19 249 14 255 17 249 18 262 65772 62972 20 243 22 240 20 268 23 257 28 254 62972 60241 20 235 22 231 27 248 29 251 32 246 60241 57385 25 247 30 246 33 243 32 250 28 249 57385 54416 32 239 32 247 31 244 33 257 28 259 54416 51580 30 232 29 244 28 252 33 265 30 268 51580 49040 21 240 25 245 30 249 35 262 36 266 49040 46774 29 273 30 256 33 251 37 260 41 265 46774 44732 44 272 41 263 42 261 42 265 45 262 44732 42873 52 273 52 267 54 263 52 263 47 258 42873 41161 62 273 64 268 65 261 60 259 48 258 41161 39573 71 272 78 266 80 261 66 257 51 262 39573 38100 81 275 87 264 91 258 74 258 56 263 38100 36732 91 280 91 266 95 256 83 258 59 263 36732 35429 94 279 94 268 97 257 91 258 60 263 35429 34127 95 278 95 268 98 258 96 257 61 264 34127 32797 96 277 95 266 98 257 98 255 65 263 32797 31443 97 276 95 264 96 256 99 252 69 258 31443 30057 97 276 94 263 94 255 96 251 73 253 30057 28630 95 275 94 263 93 255 91 252 77 251 28630 27165 92 273 92 264 89 256 84 253 78 251 27165 25663 86 271 88 264 83 256 77 254 77 251 25663 24124 75 267 81 263 76 256 73 255 77 250 24124 22550 73 265 72 260 71 255 68 254 74 250 22550 20939 71 266 64 258 65 257 64 253 67 252 20939 19284 65 266 57 259 57 260 59 253 57 253 19284 17617 59 266 52 260 51 260 50 255 47 253 17617 16019 51 267 46 263 46 258 40 256 40 252 16019 14564 45 272 40 267 40 257 35 257 37 250 14564 13262 38 281 34 270 35 257 32 257 36 249 13262 12093 33 287 28 271 31 258 29 257 33 254 12093 11040 26 286 23 268 26 258 25 256 28 262 11040 10092 19 280 18 259 22 256 21 253 23 270 10092 9238 15 276 16 251 19 253 18 252 17 276 9238 8473 14 270 16 246 17 250 14 255 12 281 8473 7786 15 266 17 246 15 252 12 259 10 283 7786 7162 17 261 17 250 12 254 11 255 9 284 7162 6601 19 257 17*254 11 253 10 247 9 282 6601 6127 20 256 15*254 11 253 10 240 10 277 6127 5760 19 255 14 253 11 252 10 236 10 263 5760 5505 14 246 14 252 10 252 9 232 9 244 5505 5350 11*242 12 252 10*252 7*229 7*235 5350 5261 7*239 10 251 8*251 5*227 5*235 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography