DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.3 - - 86.0 - - 90.9 - - 90.6 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 427 - - 491 - - 239 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 8511 - - 14968 - - 15267 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 11496 - - 16901 - - 16609 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5264 - - 13572 - - 20029 - - 20328 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1638 - - 5379 - - 2626 - - 1582 - - 15522 Hgt.Variab. W* 112 - - 646 - - 817 - - 647 - - 7 W* B/S 6 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 222 - - 231 - - 233 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -3 - - -18 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9575 - - -3421 - - 2342 - - 2165 - - -11393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14840 - - 16994 - - 17688 - - 18164 - - 16658 sfcLCL ODpotential -12852 - - -4391 - - 1732 - - 558 - - -13658 ODpotential blCL 18116 - - 17963 - - 18297 - - 19770 - - 18922 blCL maxRH 53 - - 50 - - 63 - - 65 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 210 - - 110 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 75.3 - - 86.0 - - 90.9 - - 90.6 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 28.9 - - 30.5 - - 28.1 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.0 - - 83.0 - - 87.5 - - 88.5 - - 86.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 28.7 - - 30.2 - - 27.9 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 427 - - 491 - - 239 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 8511 - - 14968 - - 15267 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99582 28 114 25 117 24 097 25 091 26 103 99582 92021 23 115 21 114 21 101 22 094 21 097 92021 86195 22 100 18 099 20 123 17 095 21 097 86195 81366 25 101 15 124 15 107 13 100 16 085 81366 77207 24 102 20 115 10 108 16 101 13 097 77207 73537 17 089 19 102 18 127 9 135 12 089 73537 70227 10 097 11 106 12 124 11 157 4 158 70227 67199 2 117 4 122 9 180 7 161 9 176 67199 64401 12 211 5 252 7 185 4 160 12 174 64401 61698 11 196 13 230 9 230 12 235 7 201 61698 58881 12 248 22 237 21 253 19 248 11 225 58881 55970 19 247 29 237 34 248 29 253 29 263 55970 53218 26 262 31 236 42 244 41 251 44 254 53218 50755 37 267 35 255 47 250 49 255 49 253 50755 48542 47 271 48 263 54 260 53 260 50 261 48542 46524 56 269 55 264 60 264 59 265 60 270 46524 44671 58 269 57 266 63 266 63 268 68 272 44671 42957 50 266 51 267 59 268 62 271 66 272 42957 41363 34 268 43 265 52 270 58 274 61 273 41363 39871 25 257 29 262 47 272 53 276 56 274 39871 38474 10 236 23 242 38 267 50 277 53 275 38474 37137 8 184 13 203 29 249 48 279 49 276 37137 35796 9 145 9 182 24 248 44 280 46 279 35796 34426 11 133 11 183 18 246 39 280 41 283 34426 33033 12 146 16 169 17 229 37 277 37 285 33033 31605 13 159 18 164 18 212 37 276 36 284 31605 30129 14 158 17 160 18 217 36 275 37 281 30129 28604 15 156 20 165 20 212 32 277 37 280 28604 27032 13 155 20 168 20 209 32 277 37 280 27032 25415 8 184 12 186 16 216 28 265 34 280 25415 23762 9 235 11 205 13 237 18 243 30 276 23762 22066 15 253 14 241 23 238 19*251 26 256 22066 20326 21 264 21 255 22*235 20*241 26 237 20326 18564 26 269 24 258 19*236 19 236 24 236 18564 16865 25 257 23 252 17 235 16 232 20 228 16865 15311 23 251 19 240 15 231 15 231 18 223 15311 13918 21 255 16*236 14 230 15 231 16 219 13918 12665 18 256 14*233 13 229 14 232 14 216 12665 11532 16 257 13 231 13 229 14 232 12 214 11532 10510 14 262 12 228 12 229 13 232 11 213 10510 9587 13 274 9 221 12 228 13 232 9 213 9587 8758 12 284 9 219 12 229 13 232 8 213 8758 8014 9 288 8 217 12 229 13 232 7 213 8014 7335 3 285 8 215 12 229 13 232 6 214 7335 6726 2 128 8 213 12 229 12 231 5 216 6726 6210 4 114 7 212 11 229 12 231 5 216 6210 5810 4 107 7 210 11 229 12 231 4 215 5810 5532 4 103 6 210 11 229 11 231 3 215 5532 5362 3*103 6 210 10 229 11 231 3 212 5362 5264 3*101 6 209 10 229 10 230 2*208 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography