DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 64.7 - - 74.6 - - 74.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 201 - - 226 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1224 - - 3280 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5572 - - 7102 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 6285 - - 8341 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 681 - - 2054 - - 5440 - - 65 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 263 - - 380 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 085 - - 228 - - 229 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4250 - - -6181 - - -7222 - - -10651 - - -7244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9512 - - 12467 - - 15564 - - 15916 - - 12508 sfcLCL ODpotential -14014 - - -12180 - - -11605 - - -14608 - - -14036 ODpotential blCL 19276 - - 18465 - - 19946 - - 19872 - - 19299 blCL maxRH 32 - - 30 - - 30 - - 34 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 64.7 - - 74.6 - - 74.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 28.9 - - 24.7 - - 22.8 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 63.0 - - 72.6 - - 74.2 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 28.7 - - 24.5 - - 22.6 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 201 - - 226 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1224 - - 3280 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97701 14 031 19 359 20 018 20 034 17 020 97701 90537 20 045 14 063 19 042 23 034 26 045 90537 84912 18 037 15 065 14 066 21 044 29 049 84912 80222 12 022 12 037 6 048 9 052 17 037 80222 76193 8 029 6 038 7 338 10 004 15 033 76193 72649 21 002 17 360 10 015 10 350 12 017 72649 69455 22 351 16 332 19 338 18 350 19 352 69455 66529 31 347 19 352 20 338 26 345 26 341 66529 63822 34 329 31 341 25 336 29 334 27 339 63822 61193 34 321 30 326 28 324 30 328 28 332 61193 58442 35 316 30 320 28 321 27 324 28 321 58442 55588 39 318 31 317 29 317 27 322 27 314 55588 52873 38 318 30 307 32 308 33 318 29 324 52873 50439 37 316 29 304 31 301 35 308 33 321 50439 48255 36 318 29 321 27 316 29 307 32 306 48255 46258 40 324 30 328 29 331 26 324 25 315 46258 44417 39 322 26 325 27 322 26 323 29 327 44417 42707 33 321 23 327 22 311 24 314 26 324 42707 41107 29 327 22 332 18 314 21 305 21 321 41107 39606 26 332 21 342 13 322 17 295 20 322 39606 38212 24 327 18 335 12 327 13 298 13 316 38212 36894 18 307 15 323 12 306 14 299 9 327 36894 35578 8 277 13 297 12 285 15 296 10 342 35578 34228 6 268 7 276 13 242 18 260 10 304 34228 32847 7 285 8 271 12 242 15 245 12 255 32847 31426 9 270 9 269 11 250 11 244 9 229 31426 29956 10 262 10 271 10 257 13 229 6 227 29956 28437 8 266 8 267 9 246 14 224 7 221 28437 26871 6 262 7 256 9 233 14 218 8 209 26871 25260 5 254 5 262 8 237 11 213 7 210 25260 23610 3 271 5 254 7 244 7 224 4 230 23610 21917 3 269 7 247 7 259 4 240 4 227 21917 20171 5 268 8 254 7 276 3 249 6 222 20171 18404 5 286 6 258 7 265 4 246 7 239 18404 16706 5 289 6 259 7 253 6 262 6 260 16706 15160 6 292 8 264 8 263 8 287 3 285 15160 13776 8 296 10 269 11 273 9 309 7 341 13776 12533 10 296 12 275 14 282 10 324 6 349 12533 11414 10 293 12 280 14 288 9 320 5 358 11414 10402 10 288 12 285 13 288 8 301 3 340 10402 9493 9 280 11 289 10 278 8 270 5 313 9493 8678 7 269 10 289 7*252 8 255 7 301 8678 7947 5 261 6 282 6*240 8 246 8 286 7947 7282 2 270 2 261 5 234 8 241 9 271 7282 6687 2 048 2*083 5 229 8 238 9 259 6687 6183 6 055 3*083 5 225 8 234 9 252 6183 5793 8 052 4 085 4 221 8 232 10 248 5793 5522 8 045 4 086 4 219 7 231 8 244 5522 5357 6*030 4 087 4 219 7*229 6*242 5357 5263 4*009 3 086 4 217 6*229 5*246 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography