DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 53.0 - - 57.9 - - 51.9 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 96 - - 110 - - -13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 874 - - 202 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5935 - - 5263 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 99 - - 1445 - - 4173 - - 1951 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 185 - - 118 - - 11 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 258 - - 249 - - 229 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -2955 - - -4651 - - -3842 - - -2021 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 8891 - - 9915 - - 9105 - - 7283 sfcLCL ODpotential -8127 - - -7842 - - -7761 - - -9499 - - -9853 ODpotential blCL 13389 - - 13777 - - 13024 - - 14761 - - 15115 blCL maxRH 78 - - 81 - - 86 - - 87 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 53.0 - - 57.9 - - 51.9 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 32.5 - - 32.8 - - 30.5 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 51.8 - - 56.5 - - 53.5 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 32.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 96 - - 110 - - -13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 874 - - 202 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 23 - - 45 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 54 059 53 053 47 066 40 054 33 048 96422 89497 43 059 38 057 40 065 35 058 30 058 89497 84046 32 054 27 063 32 054 33 056 29 066 84046 79461 22 053 20 063 21 045 23 050 27 067 79461 75478 14 057 10 057 11 036 21 040 18 069 75478 71940 11 016 9 062 6 086 11 349 15 046 71940 68736 11 347 6 348 5 021 8 301 14 343 68736 65808 17 313 12 331 9 319 9 268 16 309 65808 63102 30 292 24 308 20 301 15 287 17 298 63102 60483 32 280 30 288 29 274 27 286 24 295 60483 57749 31 273 31 290 26 271 31 273 33 266 57749 54904 30 264 33 274 32 275 33 275 32 262 54904 52171 32 264 36 260 38 267 37 263 32 259 52171 49699 30 277 25 255 33 241 33 253 26 256 49699 47476 34 286 22 282 13 248 40 249 37 242 47476 45466 40 281 31 268 31 243 37 234 35 218 45466 43647 54 252 53 242 44 245 29 246 19 227 43647 41975 51 240 54 238 65 241 40 257 28 251 41975 40419 46 250 55 243 71 231 58 241 46 231 40419 38975 48 262 63 243 63 235 64 232 50 223 38975 37630 54 258 63 246 51 244 62 232 44 223 37630 36341 57 255 64 249 44 247 54 237 40 225 36341 35043 58 258 63 253 42 248 44 241 36 227 35043 33708 58 263 55 262 43 248 37 243 33 228 33708 32341 56 265 50 268 39 253 32 246 28 241 32341 30932 57 266 48 271 35 260 31 250 23 245 30932 29469 59 272 47 277 29 270 27 239 19 229 29469 27960 57 272 44 276 28 269 20 239 19 220 27960 26406 55 271 24 284 22 265 20 243 18 214 26406 24810 51 278 14 305 15 255 20 241 15 211 24810 23179 39 287 13 302 13 245 19 246 15 219 23179 21507 30 292 16 284 15 263 19 252 15 232 21507 19787 28 291 21 277 17 293 17 269 15 237 19787 18050 28 287 24 281 19 296 16 279 16 235 18050 16383 27 285 25 285 20 293 14 276 18 235 16383 14867 27 289 25 287 19 291 15 271 16 237 14867 13514 28 293 22 292 15 289 14 269 13 239 13514 12301 28 296 17 299 11 286 12 268 10 239 12301 11210 28 296 14 304 8 288 10 265 8 237 11210 10229 28 295 12 309 6 298 7 260 7 231 10229 9349 27 291 11 315 5 304 4 244 6 214 9349 8560 27 287 11 319 3 297 3 226 6 197 8560 7853 26 282 10 319 3 273 3 231 6 189 7853 7211 25 276 10 312 4 265 5 247 5 186 7211 6636 25 269 10 291 5 257 8 245 3 206 6636 6150 25 263 11*268 6 254 10 242 3 247 6150 5774 25 261 11*260 6 252 10 239 4 251 5774 5513 20 260 10 258 6 252 9 235 3 246 5513 5353 14*258 9 257 5*251 8 232 2*237 5353 5262 6*257 8 257 5*249 5*229 2*259 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography