DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.8 - - 82.6 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 502 - - 253 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8531 - - 13620 - - 11983 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11523 - - 15791 - - 13992 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13592 - - 18681 - - 17044 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3805 - - 1657 - - 2952 - - 8906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 651 - - 797 - - 608 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 256 - - 259 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -7 - - -17 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2115 - - 2114 - - -450 - - -10094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15708 - - 16567 - - 17494 - - 15359 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3102 - - 1295 - - -2214 - - -12939 ODpotential blCL - - - 16694 - - 17386 - - 19258 - - 18203 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 75 - - 63 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 160 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.8 - - 82.6 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 27.5 - - 23.3 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 79.4 - - 80.6 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 27.3 - - 23.0 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 502 - - 253 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8531 - - 13620 - - 11983 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99581 31 114 29 101 29 108 31 089 99581 92039 22 123 15 094 26 088 26 096 92039 86249 20 121 15 106 23 089 21 094 86249 81442 20 116 17 117 16 105 18 084 81442 77289 18 111 15 122 10 129 15 072 77289 73614 17 100 17 120 10 126 7 059 73614 70296 13 080 13 109 12 103 6 104 70296 67253 10 059 11 096 6 115 5 105 67253 64427 4 342 5 027 6 051 3 106 64427 61680 6 232 9 282 6 337 5 086 61680 58808 9 235 12 270 9 303 10 333 58808 55838 10 259 15 273 17 285 18 286 55838 53021 15 276 15 272 15 274 19 297 53021 50494 15 288 18 303 31 306 26 312 50494 48226 25 297 31 295 35 303 32 306 48226 46160 27 287 32 288 33 304 33 301 46160 44263 23 282 31 289 34 301 31 303 44263 42518 22 283 30 283 34 293 31 307 42518 40912 23 280 27 268 35 285 32 319 40912 39428 24 272 26 262 35 278 31 323 39428 38052 24 271 24 267 32 272 29 323 38052 36745 26 269 25 272 32 275 29 317 36745 35438 33 261 28 273 33 280 31 303 35438 34100 36 257 30 273 32 283 33 287 34100 32735 33 259 31 272 27 283 34 284 32735 31326 30 259 31 276 28 281 34 287 31326 29865 29 259 29 277 30 272 31 285 29865 28354 29 257 26 271 34 270 32 284 28354 26800 27 254 25 267 33 276 34 286 26800 25206 26 253 29 265 27 276 30 286 25206 23572 24 256 28 264 24 272 27 277 23572 21893 26 264 25 266 24 273 26 270 21893 20163 28 266 20*267 19 277 22 267 20163 18410 26 261 14*263 12*272 19 263 18410 16723 24 257 13 260 11*264 16 256 16723 15183 23 254 13 259 11 260 13 255 15183 13802 18*257 13 257 12 259 11 259 13802 12562 15*261 13 257 12 258 10 266 12562 11443 12 263 14 255 12 258 11 271 11443 10433 9 259 14 254 13 259 12 272 10433 9522 8 255 14 254 13 259 12 273 9522 8705 7 251 14 254 14 259 13 274 8705 7971 6 249 14 253 14 259 13 275 7971 7302 5 245 14 253 14 259 14 275 7302 6702 5 243 14 253 14 260 14 275 6702 6195 4 239 14 253 14 259 14 276 6195 5801 4 237 14 253 13 260 13 276 5801 5527 4 236 13 253 13 260 12 275 5527 5360 4 235 13 253 13 260 9*274 5360 5264 3 235 12 253 11 260 6*272 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography