DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 44.0 - - 41.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 17 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2078 - - 3340 - - 2209 - - 593 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 72 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 239 - - 225 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -670 - - -946 - - -1154 - - -1927 ODpotential blCL - - - 5931 - - 6208 - - 6416 - - 7189 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 40 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 44.0 - - 41.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 40.1 - - 39.9 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 43.6 - - 41.7 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 39.2 - - 39.9 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 17 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 99 - - 83 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95897 36 317 32 340 28 343 13 000 95897 88838 27 326 27 331 25 326 17 327 88838 83318 27 316 22 308 24 317 24 315 83318 78765 23 302 20 319 23 316 20 316 78765 74852 29 302 27 283 27 291 20 293 74852 71370 24 279 23 288 29 307 24 275 71370 68211 18 286 27 307 25 331 18 304 68211 65299 32 275 38 261 28 282 32 258 65299 62589 44 250 46 244 44 232 46 240 62589 59948 45 246 52 255 53 249 49 257 59948 57168 56 261 63 263 64 262 61 265 57168 54280 70 265 77 262 76 261 76 262 54280 51534 84 261 87 258 83 257 84 255 51534 49066 90 258 89 257 86 257 84 253 49066 46847 94 259 95 259 95 260 87 257 46847 44829 101 259 105 258 106 258 97 259 44829 42979 107 259 107 255 108 254 104 257 42979 41276 112 259 106 257 104 254 108 255 41276 39702 116 258 112 259 107 258 113 254 39702 38247 117 256 119 259 117 260 119 256 38247 36899 118 255 121 257 126 260 119 257 36899 35622 119 255 119 254 128 259 117 258 35622 34346 118 254 117 252 121 258 116 256 34346 33038 117 253 117 254 108 256 114 255 33038 31702 114 253 109 254 97 256 101 256 31702 30327 106 254 99 254 91 257 90 257 30327 28903 98 256 89 258 87 258 86 257 28903 27435 94 257 84 260 83 258 82 255 27435 25924 91 256 81 258 77 256 77 255 25924 24371 86 254 76 254 73 253 75 256 24371 22781 82 254 75 250 71 247 74 255 22781 21147 77 256 73 248 64 241 71 248 21147 19464 72 258 74 255 63 249 63 239 19464 17766 67 258 69 261 64 259 58 246 17766 16139 64 257 60 256 58 263 56 261 16139 14663 63 255 58 249 50 260 49 263 14663 13344 60 256 53 249 44 252 44 255 13344 12161 56 258 47 259 42 248 40 251 12161 11096 52 260 43 266 41 244 34 252 11096 10137 48 262 38 263 37 238 29 251 10137 9274 44 266 35 257 34 240 27 244 9274 8502 40 267 32 254 32 245 26 231 8502 7809 36 265 29 252 29 247 26 217 7809 7178 33 262 25 247 27 246 26 205 7178 6612 31 258 23 243 25 243 24 199 6612 6134 29 253 22 242 22 240 20 202 6134 5764 26 250 20 241 18 235 16 199 5764 5508 24 249 19 240 15 230 13 191 5508 5351 21 248 17*239 12*228 10*186 5351 5262 15*247 13*239 7*225 5*179 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography