DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 43.3 - - 50.2 - - 44.1 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 54 - - 40 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 800 - - 1631 - - 1105 - - 165 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 90 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 066 - - 165 - - 131 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -614 - - -2038 - - -128 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5877 - - 7300 - - 5391 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -9442 - - -6831 - - -6728 - - -5968 - - -7041 ODpotential blCL 14703 - - 12093 - - 11990 - - 11230 - - 12303 blCL maxRH 76 - - 80 - - 86 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 43.3 - - 50.2 - - 44.1 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 36.1 - - 36.7 - - 38.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 42.5 - - 49.5 - - 47.1 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 35.1 - - 35.5 - - 38.2 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 54 - - 40 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 21 - - 43 - - 21 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95917 33 288 40 283 43 290 39 292 44 289 95917 89045 19 303 26 296 27 288 30 290 26 306 89045 83677 18 303 22 292 22 293 27 301 18 311 83677 79170 15 319 17 295 17 289 22 286 18 322 79170 75247 22 299 20 327 15 314 12 276 20 314 75247 71747 19 274 26 289 24 303 19 291 18 293 71747 68563 12 276 22 275 22 292 19 285 17 297 68563 65623 23 305 15 297 19 302 23 286 21 322 65623 62876 33 287 24 290 24 277 29 261 30 294 62876 60217 35 281 27 278 24 274 24 267 31 281 60217 57460 35 279 27 287 28 290 28 293 30 287 57460 54598 38 276 36 273 40 276 38 280 34 284 54598 51856 41 277 45 264 51 267 45 269 39 274 51856 49389 50 276 55 263 55 264 46 267 43 267 49389 47188 60 270 61 264 59 264 50 266 46 267 47188 45206 67 266 66 262 65 261 60 262 53 266 45206 43412 70 264 72 261 72 259 73 260 63 264 43412 41776 73 262 75 262 77 259 83 257 75 260 41776 40266 75 261 76 262 74 259 80 255 83 258 40266 38850 74 261 74 261 71 259 75 253 81 255 38850 37515 72 263 72 263 70 260 73 254 76 252 37515 36232 70 265 71 266 69 260 72 253 74 252 36232 34943 71 268 72 268 69 260 71 253 74 252 34943 33621 73 270 72 267 70 260 70 254 72 252 33621 32271 73 270 70 266 69 260 68 255 69 251 32271 30880 70 271 67 264 67 259 65 255 67 251 30880 29439 65 270 63 263 64 257 63 255 65 252 29439 27949 60 269 58 260 61 255 62 256 63 254 27949 26412 57 268 56 258 58 255 60 259 60 255 26412 24830 54 267 54 259 55 256 57 261 55 255 24830 23207 52 268 52 262 51 260 53 262 49 254 23207 21538 49 269 49 264 48 263 49 262 44 251 21538 19817 45 270 45 264 46 263 45 263 41 251 19817 18075 40 269 43 262 44 262 41 265 37 254 18075 16400 35 267 40 261 42 261 37 265 35 257 16400 14875 32 266 37 262 39 262 34 266 32 260 14875 13514 29 265 34 261 35 262 30 267 30 262 13514 12296 27 266 29 259 30 261 27 266 28 261 12296 11203 24 267 24 257 25 257 23 263 26 259 11203 10221 19 264 20 254 21 253 20 257 25 256 10221 9340 16 257 17 251 18 246 18 250 23 255 9340 8551 13 246 14 247 15 239 16 246 20 253 8551 7845 12 238 13 238 12 228 14 239 16 246 7845 7203 10 230 11 231 10 219 12 229 13 230 7203 6629 6 206 8 214 8 205 10 219 13 215 6629 6143 4 158 4 178 4 173 6 199 11 202 6143 5769 4 107 3 067 4 169 4 185 3 175 5769 5510 6 072 3 066 4 167 2 172 2 059 5510 5352 7*056 3*066 3 167 1*154 2*020 5352 5262 5*054 3*066 3*165 0*131 2*338 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography