DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.1 - - 42.9 - - 46.7 - - 43.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 66 - - 72 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 372 - - 2156 - - 2872 - - 2385 - - 408 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 109 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 046 - - 072 - - 057 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -47 - - -1798 - - -1259 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5308 - - 7061 - - 6522 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -8454 - - -8721 - - -5310 - - -1483 - - -6234 ODpotential blCL 13715 - - 13983 - - 10572 - - 6745 - - 11496 blCL maxRH 68 - - 60 - - 74 - - 85 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.1 - - 42.9 - - 46.7 - - 43.6 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 30.6 - - 36.5 - - 39.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.0 - - 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 44.0 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 29.3 - - 35.3 - - 38.0 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 66 - - 72 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97339 9 141 5 238 5 300 3 241 7 291 97339 90068 10 096 9 125 3 009 5 113 4 101 90068 84477 9 086 10 080 5 122 8 117 4 024 84477 79869 5 103 9 083 9 117 10 109 7 099 79869 75894 5 118 7 105 5 115 8 063 10 109 75894 72368 1 175 4 100 9 165 5 287 2 052 72368 69170 8 224 3 318 3 173 5 232 8 178 69170 66209 13 224 9 251 9 260 9 241 9 195 66209 63434 16 223 18 247 15 253 12 239 12 232 63434 60733 17 221 19 232 21 241 17 244 19 259 60733 57913 18 233 20 232 25 235 21 250 21 245 57913 54974 23 239 28 233 29 238 24 258 24 250 54974 52156 24 238 31 229 35 229 35 256 31 260 52156 49620 24 237 29 235 34 226 39 247 32 256 49620 47354 25 243 29 235 29 232 34 242 33 260 47354 45316 29 246 32 242 29 240 30 244 34 254 45316 43470 29 244 29 241 25 233 24 241 30 241 43470 41775 24 242 19 259 18 273 17 265 20 277 41775 40213 18 276 23 263 28 275 24 282 23 293 40213 38771 9 250 14 231 22 257 22 248 16 271 38771 37426 12 040 7 248 12 260 9 218 7 224 37426 36136 29 003 16 351 11 343 13 353 6 003 36136 34839 61 356 47 358 36 358 32 348 22 357 34839 33513 65 353 60 359 51 360 38 346 30 350 33513 32161 46 349 53 360 51 359 38 347 29 348 32161 30770 22 003 37 349 36 353 34 355 27 345 30770 29330 18 013 22 347 19 353 26 360 22 352 29330 27842 26 027 18 008 13 005 15 343 16 005 27842 26308 30 036 17 008 14 020 10 336 13 341 26308 24732 29 034 15 028 9 028 3 070 10 323 24732 23115 26 032 14 050 3 061 1 134 3 293 23115 21450 23 033 13 043 2 062 3 253 4 274 21450 19730 20 036 13 015 5 007 3 259 6 294 19730 17990 18 041 13 008 7 358 3 322 6 317 17990 16321 17 048 10 034 3 043 4 332 6 330 16321 14801 16 056 11 072 4 093 3 326 4 336 14801 13446 16 060 14 084 7 100 2 008 3 004 13446 12232 15 057 13 078 7 094 4 029 4 055 12232 11143 14 047 13 074 7 077 6 036 7 084 11143 10166 14 038 13 071 8 068 7 048 8 103 10166 9290 14 039 14 068 8 073 6 059 7 123 9290 8510 15 048 14 067 8 077 6 065 6 142 8510 7811 17 058 15 065 8 072 6 060 7 155 7811 7178 20 063 16 059 8 069 6 053 6 142 7178 6613 18 060 15 055 8 069 5 052 6 103 6613 6135 14 053 11 047 7 070 5 053 7 076 6135 5765 11 053 10 046 7 070 5 055 7 066 5765 5508 9 057 10 046 7 071 4 054 6 058 5508 5351 4 051 9*045 6*071 4*056 4*038 5351 5262 2*041 8*046 6*072 3*057 3*019 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography