DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.2 - - 23.8 - - 32.9 - - 30.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 51 - - 94 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 449 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5510 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 440 - - 381 - - 1308 - - 1394 - - 351 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 120 - - 112 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 067 - - 056 - - 053 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -151 - - -1707 - - -1251 - - -141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5661 - - 6969 - - 6512 - - 5402 sfcLCL ODpotential -11539 - - -10779 - - -9221 - - -8665 - - -9175 ODpotential blCL 16799 - - 16289 - - 14482 - - 13926 - - 14436 blCL maxRH 97 - - 81 - - 65 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.2 - - 23.8 - - 32.9 - - 30.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.2 - - 18.1 - - 21.2 - - 21.2 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.6 - - 23.1 - - 31.9 - - 31.8 - - 26.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 17.6 - - 20.4 - - 20.7 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 51 - - 94 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 449 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96727 44 051 29 051 45 040 45 065 34 057 96727 89617 39 047 31 054 34 040 40 053 37 059 89617 84096 31 055 33 050 29 045 31 045 39 049 84096 79479 27 055 27 047 23 051 27 038 28 043 79479 75466 23 037 26 049 23 037 25 023 30 035 75466 71896 27 028 25 034 21 033 26 012 28 018 71896 68659 23 015 18 017 23 016 24 010 22 016 68659 65661 14 024 16 004 23 357 28 011 27 013 65661 62863 13 022 24 348 28 347 34 002 33 000 62863 60147 19 355 32 344 33 341 38 349 42 353 60147 57323 30 352 35 355 34 342 44 341 50 347 57323 54406 45 348 49 348 43 340 50 336 50 343 54406 51616 52 338 54 336 51 332 56 335 56 340 51616 49108 54 336 58 333 57 328 61 329 61 329 49108 46874 55 335 62 331 58 326 63 325 64 328 46874 44857 56 333 63 328 59 327 63 324 68 329 44857 43020 56 333 62 326 62 327 64 323 68 327 43020 41339 54 329 58 324 62 324 62 322 66 327 41339 39793 47 323 48 320 56 320 56 323 66 329 39793 38360 38 320 37 317 45 316 50 321 63 327 38360 37026 31 319 30 314 37 318 45 320 59 325 37026 35753 26 317 28 316 33 321 41 322 56 325 35753 34474 26 315 31 317 33 324 39 320 54 327 34474 33161 29 314 33 315 32 324 40 315 51 331 33161 31817 31 315 33 311 32 322 42 312 52 334 31817 30435 33 315 34 310 33 324 45 316 52 331 30435 29006 37 316 35 310 36 326 45 322 50 331 29006 27530 41 316 34 309 37 329 43 324 50 336 27530 26005 43 316 31 312 38 334 40 326 52 341 26005 24435 43 315 32 320 38 334 39 330 50 341 24435 22825 41 317 36 324 36 330 40 332 47 339 22825 21170 37 319 40 323 36 325 41 330 46 337 21170 19465 32 321 40 322 36 324 41 328 46 337 19465 17742 28 324 35 322 35 325 39 327 45 339 17742 16093 25 325 30 322 33 326 36 327 40 340 16093 14599 23 326 25 321 31 326 31 330 33 338 14599 13269 21 329 21 321 27 326 27 333 29 337 13269 12081 20 334 16 323 22 323 24 337 25 340 12081 11015 19 339 13 330 17 319 20 339 21 344 11015 10058 18 342 10 343 12 315 16 338 17 348 10058 9200 15 342 7 354 8 314 11 336 12 353 9200 8433 11 336 5 008 4 316 6 339 9 002 8433 7747 7 322 3 036 2 007 3 016 7 013 7747 7126 5 302 4 055 3 057 4 063 6 018 7126 6572 3 285 3 054 4 062 5 067 3 010 6572 6107 3 074 4 066 5 060 5 069 1 048 6107 5748 7 073 7*066 5 060 5 067 2 046 5748 5499 8 074 6*066 5 058 5 061 2 029 5499 5347 6*073 6 067 4*058 5*055 2*006 5347 5261 4*072 5 068 4*056 4*053 2*340 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography