DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 75.7 - - 77.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 391 - - 112 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2316 - - 6496 - - 6334 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6509 - - 9829 - - 8971 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7377 - - 11557 - - 11395 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1699 - - 2886 - - 5317 - - 594 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 573 - - 375 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 15 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 214 - - 207 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -9 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3020 - - -1742 - - -2789 - - -7132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10397 - - 13299 - - 14185 - - 12397 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6232 - - -3951 - - -4251 - - -10606 ODpotential blCL - - - 13609 - - 15508 - - 15646 - - 15870 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 52 - - 58 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 75.7 - - 77.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 35.3 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 72.8 - - 75.7 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 35.1 - - 32.7 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 391 - - 112 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2316 - - 6496 - - 6334 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98940 6 295 5 293 8 035 8 346 98940 91517 2 136 6 047 5 317 3 351 91517 85799 5 119 4 078 5 318 7 038 85799 81062 9 093 6 120 3 053 5 036 81062 76977 12 108 7 092 5 080 11 075 76977 73363 10 111 8 101 4 095 9 075 73363 70082 8 119 9 115 11 088 7 104 70082 67048 7 112 9 159 1 080 5 103 67048 64225 11 108 9 129 6 195 1 098 64225 61511 7 213 6 097 2 142 6 208 61511 58685 18 221 9 226 6 269 7 192 58685 55752 32 228 21 220 23 234 21 221 55752 52948 41 223 40 225 47 228 31 219 52948 50403 43 225 48 221 49 228 43 231 50403 48122 46 224 47 219 46 232 54 234 48122 46069 47 224 49 224 49 233 59 233 46069 44201 54 226 57 227 57 231 65 236 44201 42484 60 226 65 227 66 230 72 237 42484 40892 68 229 69 226 74 228 77 234 40892 39413 75 229 74 226 77 226 78 230 39413 38035 77 227 78 225 77 224 78 228 38035 36723 78 225 79 224 75 222 78 226 36723 35408 78 225 78 224 72 222 76 224 35408 34061 77 224 76 224 70 224 71 223 34061 32688 74 224 74 223 69 223 64 223 32688 31273 69 223 72 221 66 223 58 224 31273 29807 65 223 69 221 63 223 55 224 29807 28291 62 224 65 221 59 223 54 223 28291 26728 60 223 61 221 55 222 53 222 26728 25122 57 220 58 221 51 221 50 221 25122 23477 52 217 54 219 48 221 47 221 23477 21792 46 214 50 218 44 221 44 225 21792 20061 41 214 45 215 40 221 41 230 20061 18316 37 214 40 214 35 219 35 225 18316 16642 34 215 37 214 30 214 27 213 16642 15115 31 216 34 216 25 197 21 198 15115 13747 27 217 30 218 22 190 18 186 13747 12516 23 216 25*218 21 188 17 181 12516 11405 21 214 21*216 18*189 16 177 11405 10402 20 215 17 214 15*192 16 174 10402 9497 17 209 17 214 12 198 14 171 9497 8685 15 198 15 213 11 204 12 169 8685 7954 11*188 14 213 10 209 10 167 7954 7290 6*148 14 213 9 214 7 168 7290 6693 6 140 13 214 8 216 4 168 6693 6188 6 136 13 214 8 219 2 171 6188 5797 6 133 12 214 8 221 0 165 5797 5525 5 131 12 214 8 222 1 011 5525 5359 5 131 12 214 7 223 3*017 5359 5264 5 129 10 214 7 223 3*015 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography