DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 28.3 - - 25.2 - - 19.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 23 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5243 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2334 - - 5594 - - 1928 - - 1084 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 74 - - 33 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 263 - - 258 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -521 - - -1294 - - -355 - - -334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5782 - - 6556 - - 5617 - - 5594 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2593 - - -2657 - - -2761 - - -3176 ODpotential blCL - - - 7854 - - 7918 - - 8022 - - 8436 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 78 - - 79 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 28.3 - - 25.2 - - 19.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 17.8 - - 18.9 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.6 - - 27.7 - - 25.4 - - 20.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 16.7 - - 18.2 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 23 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 11 - - 15 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96988 21 101 23 112 21 107 24 096 96988 89799 19 124 13 096 18 097 19 103 89799 84206 14 134 7 105 11 094 17 099 84206 79516 12 112 12 116 6 128 14 078 79516 75454 11 110 9 104 8 130 11 055 75454 71863 11 112 6 130 4 130 12 054 71863 68597 8 072 10 155 5 199 4 339 68597 65575 4 342 5 138 8 199 10 246 65575 62750 9 258 3 240 6 237 7 243 62750 59983 20 243 16 261 14 263 11 290 59983 57071 20 223 19 246 16 252 20 272 57071 54021 12 249 16 249 16 270 23 255 54021 51088 18 275 21 274 24 284 22 260 51088 48440 28 267 23 277 29 275 22 277 48440 46072 28 253 25 282 28 271 26 281 46072 43930 22 242 27 278 26 270 30 275 43930 41971 17 246 26 270 28 273 31 270 41971 40165 17 262 26 266 28 275 29 270 40165 38496 22 265 25 268 28 280 28 273 38496 36950 29 261 26 270 32 282 28 275 36950 35520 33 251 30 268 32 278 28 277 35520 34171 30 243 29 265 28 270 28 279 34171 32836 29 240 26 254 24 261 31 284 32836 31489 31 241 24 250 23 261 34 288 31489 30137 36 235 27 247 22 260 35 287 30137 28770 40 211 30 232 18 253 30 281 28770 27379 50 200 36 207 21 221 25 266 27379 25972 58 195 42 198 26 189 22 189 25972 24549 51 202 38 191 25 176 29 160 24549 23100 41 204 37 185 27 174 26 162 23100 21621 35 200 34 182 26 171 27 161 21621 20102 35 202 27 186 23 190 26 174 20102 18544 28 200 21 202 29 223 17 208 18544 16974 21 215 16 231 21 242 7 159 16974 15469 17 245 13 248 11 250 9 175 15469 14099 12 268 12 261 3 255 2 256 14099 12871 10 289 11 279 4 295 3 338 12871 11767 12 294 13 294 7 299 7 322 11767 10771 14 292 16 303 10 298 11 316 10771 9871 15 291 16 309 11 294 15 311 9871 9059 16 291 16 307 12 286 18 309 9059 8331 16 296 17 297 15 277 21 305 8331 7675 16 302 19 284 21 272 24 301 7675 7078 17 304 21 274 28 270 26 293 7078 6542 18 296 22 268 32 267 29 284 6542 6089 18 282 22 267 32 265 29 277 6089 5738 17 273 21 265 30 263 26 272 5738 5494 16 271 20 264 26 261 21 266 5494 5346 14*269 19*264 23*260 18*265 5346 5260 12*269 15*263 16*258 13*263 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography