DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 57.6 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 165 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2032 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 6073 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 7093 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1125 - - 1228 - - 3887 - - 93 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 293 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 115 - - 098 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2190 - - -3174 - - -4757 - - -1314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7452 - - 10268 - - 10021 - - 6577 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8270 - - -7503 - - -9248 - - -8195 ODpotential blCL - - - 13532 - - 14596 - - 14511 - - 13457 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 46 - - 49 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 57.6 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 32.2 - - 32.2 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 57.2 - - 58.9 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 31.7 - - 31.6 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 165 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2032 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97553 8 285 10 291 6 328 7 306 97553 90306 5 287 12 280 13 336 9 328 90306 84720 2 255 8 281 14 319 7 320 84720 80082 6 326 5 344 9 321 4 345 80082 76067 16 308 8 319 9 299 10 334 76067 72507 11 279 9 278 8 271 15 290 72507 69289 14 269 14 267 13 269 14 279 69289 66331 16 268 12 257 14 268 14 279 66331 63573 21 268 18 271 23 261 21 253 63573 60903 25 257 25 263 29 249 27 249 60903 58128 32 256 30 251 32 248 27 251 58128 55248 41 255 37 251 35 248 34 244 55248 52505 49 253 46 250 41 243 40 239 52505 50041 52 248 51 247 48 243 47 237 50041 47829 50 246 53 246 53 246 50 239 47829 45814 49 248 52 245 55 247 53 242 45814 43961 47 249 50 245 54 247 54 243 43961 42242 45 248 47 244 51 244 54 242 42242 40638 43 250 45 243 49 241 52 240 40638 39136 41 252 44 244 49 242 51 240 39136 37736 40 252 46 247 51 245 49 241 37736 36410 39 251 47 246 50 245 46 240 36410 35095 38 250 44 245 46 241 43 238 35095 33756 35 246 37 244 40 237 41 239 33756 32392 31 238 32 242 33 236 37 241 32392 30988 31 236 30 237 30 235 35 238 30988 29533 31 237 30 236 31 235 34 233 29533 28028 29 238 30 237 31 231 33 228 28028 26476 26 238 28 237 29 229 31 225 26476 24880 23 236 25 234 27 228 27 222 24880 23245 19 230 23 230 24 224 24 217 23245 21567 16 220 21 226 22 219 22 209 21567 19839 15 216 20 218 19 213 19 199 19839 18096 15 219 17 213 17 203 15 196 18096 16424 15 222 15 213 16 198 12 194 16424 14906 13 222 13 217 12 204 10 202 14906 13551 12 219 12 225 10 223 10 205 13551 12337 12 213 13 230 11 236 11 202 12337 11245 13 213 15 231 13 235 13 195 11245 10260 16 209 15 226 14 220 14 187 10260 9375 16 202 15 218 13 203 15 180 9375 8582 14 197 13 205 13 193 16 178 8582 7870 12 190 10 190 11 174 16 175 7870 7223 11 182 7*163 9 154 15 167 7223 6643 8 154 6*124 8 144 12 146 6643 6153 8 073 6 119 7 135 11 103 6153 5775 9 067 6 113 6 124 13 070 5775 5513 8 067 5 110 6 115 13 055 5513 5353 8*066 5 109 5*108 10*047 5353 5262 7*066 5 107 4*098 5*046 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography