DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 45.2 - - 49.8 - - 44.0 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 47 - - 41 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 1903 - - 3801 - - 1718 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 95 - - 92 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 267 - - 277 - - 242 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1801 - - -2436 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7063 - - 7698 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -6405 - - -5056 - - -5320 - - -2676 - - -3982 ODpotential blCL 11666 - - 10318 - - 10582 - - 7938 - - 9243 blCL maxRH 90 - - 82 - - 78 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 45.2 - - 49.8 - - 44.0 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 32.6 - - 34.4 - - 40.9 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.4 - - 44.4 - - 49.1 - - 45.2 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 31.5 - - 33.1 - - 40.2 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 47 - - 41 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 26 - - 12 - - 40 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96033 32 299 32 282 29 293 30 300 39 292 96033 89224 15 316 17 300 21 305 22 311 26 298 89224 83901 11 338 16 309 15 310 17 318 18 324 83901 79401 11 322 13 286 12 306 12 312 17 335 79401 75476 13 291 8 286 9 277 11 302 15 318 75476 71982 15 294 6 325 12 274 12 309 12 308 71982 68789 18 298 10 330 12 277 15 304 12 310 68789 65832 18 285 14 317 8 286 14 288 15 293 65832 63082 14 286 19 300 13 311 15 291 17 291 63082 60407 16 306 19 293 19 299 17 303 18 300 60407 57604 17 315 16 298 21 292 20 305 19 315 57604 54689 17 308 16 307 24 286 24 307 24 316 54689 51899 16 302 17 313 20 299 29 304 25 310 51899 49382 20 312 19 319 22 326 24 304 24 317 49382 47130 22 303 22 322 26 328 21 325 27 327 47130 45095 17 309 23 320 25 335 25 333 31 330 45095 43239 17 313 20 317 27 333 27 336 33 331 43239 41531 11 311 18 329 25 333 29 335 32 333 41531 39952 5 013 15 349 20 346 23 349 32 334 39952 38485 14 037 18 028 18 016 25 001 24 342 38485 37127 16 095 16 053 22 010 30 345 21 359 37127 35846 35 120 17 104 19 354 26 330 22 352 35846 34568 38 110 24 107 8 016 16 328 19 334 34568 33257 34 099 25 086 10 044 14 001 18 338 33257 31915 32 090 29 063 17 035 20 000 19 337 31915 30532 30 088 28 052 22 034 21 347 19 333 30532 29098 27 095 24 051 22 026 21 337 20 331 29098 27617 25 104 19 050 18 028 21 333 20 332 27617 26089 24 104 13 062 12 027 18 349 17 319 26089 24519 21 107 9 081 9 011 13 357 12 311 24519 22910 19 118 8 120 6 352 14 345 6 347 22910 21259 17 126 10 129 2 330 12 347 2 346 21259 19561 16 126 7 119 4 083 6 101 5 189 19561 17853 14 122 5 119 8 105 9 111 13 147 17853 16217 14 115 7 124 12 132 10 121 15 142 16217 14728 15 084 14 137 11 124 13 121 14 135 14728 13396 13 080 14 139 9 098 10 095 12 131 13396 12201 10 075 11 124 7 086 8 072 8 112 12201 11127 8 064 8 064 7 070 7 049 8 075 11127 10160 8 057 9 043 8 053 5 023 6 057 10160 9291 8 052 8 035 8 035 4 352 3 044 9291 8514 8 047 7 034 8 027 5 341 0 023 8514 7816 8 048 6 038 7 020 5 327 2 225 7816 7182 9 046 7 040 4 005 5 297 3 235 7182 6614 10 041 5 036 2 295 7 272 6 262 6614 6135 9 039 3 023 2 286 9 261 12 264 6135 5764 7 031 1 281 2 280 10 254 15 257 5764 5507 6 001 1 272 2 277 9 250 14 252 5507 5351 6 329 1*268 2*277 7*246 9 247 5351 5261 5*322 1*267 2*277 5*242 5*243 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography