DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.8 - - 26.0 - - 33.6 - - 31.9 - - 26.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 59 - - 110 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 978 - - 1801 - - 1868 - - 1276 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 118 - - 0 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 125 - - 155 - - 139 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -719 - - -1910 - - -847 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5980 - - 7172 - - 6108 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -9301 - - -8518 - - -7936 - - -7480 - - -8583 ODpotential blCL 14561 - - 13779 - - 13197 - - 12741 - - 13844 blCL maxRH 81 - - 78 - - 74 - - 72 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.8 - - 26.0 - - 33.6 - - 31.9 - - 26.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.1 - - 19.1 - - 21.2 - - 24.3 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.3 - - 25.1 - - 32.4 - - 33.4 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 18.6 - - 20.2 - - 23.3 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 59 - - 110 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95709 47 313 37 321 29 335 26 333 33 324 95709 88906 31 328 23 325 32 327 31 339 22 342 88906 83524 13 332 12 314 27 320 32 339 22 354 83524 79019 19 335 18 325 17 325 24 329 21 342 79019 75119 19 330 22 325 20 326 16 326 21 337 75119 71635 8 327 17 322 22 319 19 332 22 322 71635 68453 10 358 14 336 19 327 18 341 9 324 68453 65498 21 348 16 359 20 350 26 341 17 346 65498 62744 27 336 25 340 22 326 22 335 29 324 62744 60094 25 322 20 330 16 326 25 300 26 302 60094 57333 33 350 37 008 32 352 20 321 23 307 57333 54459 52 349 50 347 38 344 14 323 33 311 54459 51725 58 345 49 342 39 342 45 318 38 302 51725 49262 53 348 48 344 42 331 49 307 38 295 49262 47043 49 352 46 342 39 330 33 317 30 294 47043 45028 50 351 43 344 41 328 29 329 30 302 45028 43215 47 351 40 345 42 326 46 314 44 302 43215 41595 42 000 36 351 36 324 49 301 46 300 41595 40113 41 009 36 352 28 326 44 300 45 299 40113 38721 41 012 36 351 29 330 38 304 46 290 38721 37407 41 005 34 351 33 332 34 303 46 292 37407 36139 37 000 33 352 35 333 34 301 46 293 36139 34858 37 003 33 351 37 333 35 305 46 289 34858 33537 41 003 34 350 34 327 35 309 46 285 33537 32182 39 000 32 348 26 312 34 310 43 284 32182 30781 32 358 29 343 19 303 32 313 41 284 30781 29327 30 348 24 339 15 308 31 316 39 289 29327 27823 33 338 20 353 18 322 28 320 34 294 27823 26273 35 338 25 355 30 330 27 324 29 292 26273 24682 36 342 33 344 33 332 28 327 28 298 24682 23055 35 344 36 337 33 329 26 326 28 304 23055 21388 35 347 33 339 28 326 24 322 25 302 21388 19673 37 352 33 345 27 328 23 319 23 295 19673 17934 39 356 34 351 27 337 22 321 23 292 17934 16260 39 359 34 357 26 345 21 331 19 299 16260 14735 36 002 30 002 23 352 20 340 15 312 14735 13375 31 003 24 003 19 357 17 343 12 319 13375 12158 24 002 19 001 14 356 14 338 11 316 12158 11067 16 356 14 356 9 330 10 324 11 313 11067 10089 10 344 10 343 9 298 10 297 11 311 10089 9215 7 322 7 317 11 277 12 277 9 301 9215 8437 5 298 7 289 12 261 12 271 8 280 8437 7745 5 265 7 266 10 252 9 266 6 262 7745 7122 7 249 6 245 5 229 3 217 3 197 7122 6571 10 253 3 230 4 165 3 155 5 132 6571 6107 12 257 1 115 4 162 4 151 7 115 6107 5748 12 257 2 120 4 160 4 148 7 104 5748 5500 11 252 2 125 4 157 4 146 6 095 5500 5348 7*241 2*126 4*156 3*143 5*090 5348 5261 3*222 2*125 3*155 3*139 3*093 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography