DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.4 - - 34.7 - - 42.3 - - 43.9 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 247 - - 355 - - 84 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 2543 - - 4184 - - 3797 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 6593 - - 7960 - - 6901 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 7604 - - 9245 - - 8858 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 313 - - 1227 - - 1205 - - 1762 - - 1312 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 361 - - 478 - - 287 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 18 - - 19 - - 23 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 250 - - 250 - - 246 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - -8 - - -11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -565 - - -1740 - - -1169 - - -1444 - - -3183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5825 - - 9344 - - 10414 - - 10302 - - 8446 sfcLCL ODpotential -4687 - - -7464 - - -5017 - - -5658 - - -8605 ODpotential blCL 9947 - - 15068 - - 14262 - - 14516 - - 13867 blCL maxRH 78 - - 72 - - 75 - - 80 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.4 - - 34.7 - - 42.3 - - 43.9 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.1 - - 12.6 - - 15.3 - - 17.4 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.4 - - 32.9 - - 40.0 - - 43.1 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 11.5 - - 15.0 - - 17.3 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 247 - - 355 - - 84 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 2543 - - 4184 - - 3797 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96361 8 076 6 158 4 275 4 056 4 069 96361 89248 6 059 5 106 1 107 6 312 6 356 89248 83774 2 268 9 004 8 095 7 246 6 289 83774 79190 5 195 7 301 7 348 3 104 3 265 79190 75198 2 352 7 311 9 306 11 333 5 355 75198 71640 3 006 10 282 18 284 16 332 15 339 71640 68412 12 354 6 330 15 298 27 322 21 325 68412 65455 26 317 15 324 22 305 31 311 25 306 65455 62702 34 293 21 307 25 302 25 300 24 310 62702 60014 30 289 21 311 26 301 30 305 25 317 60014 57200 37 294 30 304 39 301 45 305 38 317 57200 54284 45 295 41 302 44 300 57 305 53 303 54284 51509 56 299 51 302 57 299 64 298 60 300 51509 49016 65 297 61 298 64 300 66 299 66 299 49016 46786 68 293 66 298 70 301 71 300 71 298 46786 44774 68 295 74 301 76 300 76 301 74 304 44774 42947 74 302 83 302 81 303 83 305 83 312 42947 41275 94 306 92 305 90 308 95 308 98 315 41275 39733 115 305 109 304 105 308 106 306 110 310 39733 38303 129 302 118 300 114 304 108 301 108 306 38303 36972 132 301 116 298 117 303 109 299 104 304 36972 35701 126 301 114 299 116 305 112 301 104 305 35701 34426 121 302 116 301 113 307 115 305 106 308 34426 33116 119 304 117 304 113 306 114 309 109 311 33116 31776 118 304 115 307 112 307 110 311 110 313 31776 30396 115 306 108 309 109 310 102 310 106 313 30396 28969 104 310 100 309 105 313 96 309 97 311 28969 27498 92 309 93 307 99 315 92 310 87 308 27498 25984 83 307 85 305 88 313 88 310 78 305 25984 24429 79 308 78 306 77 308 80 308 71 303 24429 22835 78 312 75 308 68 306 70 306 66 301 22835 21198 75 316 70 311 61 305 62 304 62 301 21198 19510 68 317 63 313 55 302 56 303 59 301 19510 17803 60 314 55 313 51 299 52 301 57 302 17803 16163 52 310 49 311 47 298 50 298 55 301 16163 14671 42 308 45 310 44 299 49 293 54 298 14671 13338 34 306 40 311 40 299 47 289 53 294 13338 12146 27 305 35 312 35 300 42 282 52 288 12146 11075 23 301 31 310 29 297 35 274 51 281 11075 10114 20 294 27 305 22*280 26 256 48 274 10114 9251 17 287 24 293 20*256 24*248 43 267 9251 8480 15 278 23 278 20 252 24*247 38 262 8480 7790 15 271 20*261 20 250 24 247 33 258 7790 7164 16 264 19*253 20 249 24 246 29 253 7164 6602 17 258 19 251 20 248 23 245 27 245 6602 6129 19 254 18 250 19 247 23 245 24 240 6129 5761 18 253 18 250 19 247 22 245 22 236 5761 5506 15 249 17 249 18 246 21 245 18 232 5506 5351 10 244 16 248 17 246 19 244 14*230 5351 5262 6*241 13 248 15 246 15 244 8*228 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography