DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.6 - - 73.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 266 - - 23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1673 - - 4216 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5958 - - 7878 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6734 - - 9277 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 929 - - 2773 - - 10986 - - 187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 437 - - 71 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 138 - - 200 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5034 - - -3739 - - -8828 - - -5126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11769 - - 13017 - - 14093 - - 10389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9022 - - -5951 - - -10543 - - -9848 ODpotential blCL - - - 15756 - - 15228 - - 15807 - - 15111 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 75 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.6 - - 73.0 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.0 - - 31.6 - - 29.2 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 68.4 - - 72.2 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 31.4 - - 29.1 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 266 - - 23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1673 - - 4216 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 0 - - 32 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98249 6 241 5 264 6 335 9 334 98249 90876 9 233 9 289 5 298 7 339 90876 85198 5 241 6 277 6 323 2 322 85198 80523 4 077 3 154 4 254 6 303 80523 76504 4 002 2 045 3 153 3 333 76504 72943 2 278 2 261 6 301 8 318 72943 69708 5 312 1 330 5 245 7 290 69708 66720 11 265 13 286 11 277 13 287 66720 63938 16 223 14 271 14 272 12 274 63938 61227 17 245 18 260 21 278 19 287 61227 58386 26 262 25 260 27 268 27 275 58386 55443 36 264 37 261 38 263 35 266 55443 52643 41 254 45 254 46 263 43 264 52643 50125 49 249 52 252 55 261 54 260 50125 47867 55 250 60 252 65 256 61 258 47867 45816 65 252 68 251 71 252 65 257 45816 43933 72 252 75 252 75 252 67 257 43933 42193 74 251 78 251 78 251 71 254 42193 40577 72 253 78 250 77 250 73 249 40577 39074 71 254 78 250 73 250 70 246 39074 37681 71 252 74 248 68 249 64 245 37681 36363 70 252 67 246 62 248 59 246 36363 35059 65 252 58 244 53 245 54 245 35059 33734 58 252 52 243 48 241 45 238 33734 32382 53 250 52 244 49 239 40 228 32382 30985 49 249 52 246 52 239 43 233 30985 29536 46 248 49 248 53 238 45 233 29536 28041 44 248 49 249 51 236 46 230 28041 26502 43 246 48 248 46 235 44 229 26502 24920 43 244 45 245 43 233 42 230 24920 23299 42 240 43 241 40 231 40 232 23299 21636 39 236 41 237 38 231 40 235 21636 19923 34 236 38 232 36 234 41 237 19923 18193 28 234 34 228 33 237 37 235 18193 16532 25 228 31 226 30 236 30 232 16532 15018 22 221 29 223 26 228 25 227 15018 13660 19 206 27 220 23 211 23 220 13660 12439 17 194 26 215 21 208 20 208 12439 11337 15 185 24 208 18 204 18 195 11337 10343 13 178 18 194 16 203 18 188 10343 9446 11 175 13*177 13 201 17 180 9446 8641 10 176 11*165 12 201 16 170 8641 7918 10 163 9 149 10 200 13 154 7918 7260 9*140 8 137 9 200 10 126 7260 6670 7*086 8 131 8 200 11 089 6670 6172 7 079 8 127 8 200 15 069 6172 5786 7 078 7 123 7 200 18 062 5786 5519 7 077 7 121 7 201 16 059 5519 5356 7 076 7 119 7*201 12*055 5356 5263 7 076 6 119 6*200 6*052 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography