DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.8 - - 40.8 - - 47.7 - - 43.1 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 86 - - 66 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 1176 - - 2677 - - 1162 - - 182 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 112 - - 104 - - 20 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 066 - - 142 - - 049 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -838 - - -1808 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6099 - - 7070 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -7693 - - -5800 - - -5329 - - -3733 - - -5422 ODpotential blCL 12954 - - 11061 - - 10591 - - 8995 - - 10684 blCL maxRH 78 - - 75 - - 77 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.8 - - 40.8 - - 47.7 - - 43.1 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 32.5 - - 35.0 - - 39.3 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.6 - - 39.6 - - 46.8 - - 44.5 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 31.3 - - 33.8 - - 38.4 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 86 - - 66 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 8 - - 39 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96204 27 269 33 270 35 278 35 277 43 283 96204 89206 13 288 21 271 28 276 23 295 20 279 89206 83795 14 315 25 263 24 269 18 271 16 287 83795 79251 10 285 16 276 14 263 12 275 13 276 79251 75288 12 279 16 284 13 256 17 254 14 268 75288 71756 19 249 23 251 23 247 20 256 16 253 71756 68554 19 255 19 246 23 241 22 271 15 261 68554 65594 27 258 16 264 23 232 24 264 18 271 65594 62821 34 250 24 258 24 236 26 250 25 252 62821 60119 33 242 30 247 27 245 25 243 29 249 60119 57285 28 250 28 245 27 250 25 246 33 249 57285 54337 30 262 26 248 31 252 29 247 33 244 54337 51534 37 254 33 244 37 251 33 251 31 245 51534 49029 40 243 40 241 44 249 40 248 34 248 49029 46798 41 244 43 244 45 246 41 241 39 240 46798 44785 46 250 46 248 45 245 40 238 41 237 44785 42954 53 250 50 248 47 243 42 239 40 240 42954 41279 59 250 57 247 51 242 45 238 40 246 41279 39740 65 251 63 245 57 242 51 237 43 245 39740 38319 75 253 65 245 65 241 57 232 45 238 38319 37000 77 253 63 248 64 241 58 231 48 234 37000 35740 74 254 63 251 62 240 55 230 49 231 35740 34471 72 257 63 251 56 241 50 232 47 231 34471 33167 70 257 61 251 55 241 48 233 45 237 33167 31832 68 255 62 251 54 238 48 234 47 238 31832 30457 67 255 63 248 51 234 47 233 46 235 30457 29032 65 257 60 247 49 233 47 234 41 235 29032 27559 61 260 55 251 48 234 47 234 42 239 27559 26039 55 262 51 255 46 235 47 233 45 238 26039 24475 46 263 47 256 45 236 43 231 45 233 24475 22874 40 263 43 252 41 239 34 227 42 228 22874 21234 38 263 39 253 36 239 29 223 34 225 21234 19550 37 259 36 257 29 242 28 219 22 224 19550 17852 35 256 35 257 26 252 23 215 20 222 17852 16221 33 254 34 254 25 256 19 213 21 217 16221 14732 30 253 32 251 24 253 19 217 21 211 14732 13401 27 254 29 248 22 243 19 221 21 206 13401 12208 23 254 25 242 22 234 19 223 20 201 12208 11136 19 252 23 234 21 229 18 222 18 199 11136 10170 15 244 21 230 20 226 17 218 17 197 10170 9300 13 226 18 225 18 220 16 213 16 192 9300 8520 14 215 16 219 16 211 14 201 16 186 8520 7820 12 206 13 213 13 202 13 190 15 174 7820 7184 10 192 11 199 9 193 10 174 14 157 7184 6614 8 172 8 190 5 170 7 157 12 129 6614 6134 7 106 4 093 4 155 6 093 11 086 6134 5763 10 063 4 067 3 149 8 064 14 057 5763 5507 12 049 4 067 3 146 8 056 14 050 5507 5351 9*042 4 066 3*144 7*052 10*042 5351 5262 4*036 4*066 3*142 4*049 5*039 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography