DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 55.7 - - 66.3 - - 65.5 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 254 - - 326 - - 86 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1638 - - 4979 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5945 - - 8552 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6699 - - 10040 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 943 - - 2321 - - 7550 - - 173 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 315 - - 494 - - 109 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 15 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 225 - - 260 - - 262 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - -5 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4155 - - -6277 - - -6864 - - -11331 - - -7707 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9417 - - 12976 - - 16905 - - 16594 - - 12969 sfcLCL ODpotential -13411 - - -11862 - - -10379 - - -14358 - - -13234 ODpotential blCL 18672 - - 18561 - - 20419 - - 19621 - - 18496 blCL maxRH 84 - - 70 - - 85 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 55.7 - - 66.3 - - 65.5 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.2 - - 17.5 - - 9.9 - - 10.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.1 - - 53.7 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.6 - - 16.8 - - 9.3 - - 10.3 - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 254 - - 326 - - 86 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1638 - - 4979 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 0 - - 38 - - 59 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96277 21 282 14 302 21 299 18 300 15 272 96277 89037 9 310 8 324 12 299 19 307 15 328 89037 83481 11 317 18 323 15 297 19 311 19 329 83481 78904 18 342 20 315 18 321 14 320 23 314 78904 74987 26 312 24 308 24 317 19 331 26 317 74987 71535 24 300 30 296 32 294 24 309 31 310 71535 68414 20 309 28 288 31 295 27 306 24 318 68414 65522 31 306 26 295 28 299 30 302 30 313 65522 62812 35 292 30 287 30 285 32 287 38 287 62812 60185 38 285 33 285 32 273 37 277 38 275 60185 57436 43 285 40 274 40 271 44 276 34 278 57436 54556 53 278 52 271 51 270 46 278 40 286 54556 51785 63 271 65 266 63 265 52 275 50 282 51785 49285 65 272 68 259 67 260 60 268 60 273 49285 47048 69 273 67 260 66 260 60 265 61 267 47048 45026 71 270 63 261 61 262 60 269 58 266 45026 43193 69 265 57 263 57 265 60 269 54 268 43193 41523 61 258 52 265 53 267 58 269 56 274 41523 39996 50 259 45 268 45 270 57 276 63 277 39996 38584 42 262 38 274 44 284 60 282 64 275 38584 37263 41 259 35 275 44 287 58 282 61 272 37263 35994 44 258 34 271 41 283 52 278 59 273 35994 34715 47 257 35 271 39 280 46 272 57 274 34715 33402 48 256 38 271 38 281 43 272 54 275 33402 32058 47 258 40 266 38 280 43 276 51 275 32058 30672 45 263 43 265 35 274 44 276 48 275 30672 29239 45 266 43 267 33 264 43 273 45 276 29239 27764 46 266 40 272 33 262 40 269 43 275 27764 26244 47 267 37 271 34 266 37 269 42 272 26244 24683 46 268 39 264 36 267 36 269 41 270 24683 23083 44 268 42 260 38 266 37 268 40 270 23083 21438 42 267 42 259 39 265 38 267 38 271 21438 19743 40 266 41 260 41 265 38 268 37 272 19743 18025 37 265 40 261 41 265 37 270 37 273 18025 16374 34 266 37 264 39 266 35 273 37 275 16374 14871 30 268 33 268 35 269 33 276 36 276 14871 13526 28 268 30 272 29 273 29 278 35 277 13526 12319 27 266 27 273 25 277 23 277 34 277 12319 11233 25 264 24 271 20 276 18 270 32 277 11233 10254 22 263 21 268 17*269 18 269 29 277 10254 9373 19 263 19 261 16*264 18 268 26 276 9373 8583 17 263 18 255 16 262 18 267 23 273 8583 7874 13 258 16 253 16 260 18 266 22 273 7874 7229 8 237 13*249 16 259 18 265 22 276 7229 6650 7 204 8*238 15 258 18 264 21 279 6650 6159 6 194 5 222 15 257 17 264 19 280 6159 5780 3 119 5 221 15 257 17 263 17 278 5780 5515 6 051 4 218 14 257 16 263 14 272 5515 5355 6*033 4 218 14 256 15*263 10 268 5355 5262 2*013 4 217 12 256 13*262 6*265 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography