DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 49.5 - - 43.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 83 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1801 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 6862 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1509 - - 1516 - - 75 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 223 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 12 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 228 - - 229 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2024 - - -2377 - - -3086 - - -492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7286 - - 9240 - - 8349 - - 5753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7457 - - -6551 - - -8203 - - -7499 ODpotential blCL - - - 12719 - - 13413 - - 13465 - - 12760 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 97 - - 99 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 49.5 - - 43.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 27.6 - - 25.1 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 48.5 - - 44.9 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 27.5 - - 25.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 83 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1801 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 86 - - 95 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 11 078 17 070 22 074 21 063 96468 89389 13 064 21 070 18 080 16 057 89389 83868 19 065 18 082 13 065 15 050 83868 79250 14 059 15 063 11 044 13 049 79250 75248 9 043 12 019 12 023 11 038 75248 71695 7 068 7 332 11 337 13 013 71695 68468 12 004 10 332 16 327 18 356 68468 65492 14 341 12 325 19 319 17 347 65492 62722 21 326 17 314 24 311 22 331 62722 60034 24 315 19 308 24 323 24 330 60034 57227 25 314 23 318 36 298 32 300 57227 54311 34 309 33 304 38 291 40 287 54311 51528 44 299 43 296 38 297 37 286 51528 49027 49 288 45 288 41 294 37 291 49027 46786 47 284 41 284 44 289 46 291 46786 44766 42 286 41 281 51 286 54 285 44766 42935 39 291 45 275 59 281 54 280 42935 41261 36 287 52 269 64 274 51 282 41261 39708 40 280 57 268 64 269 58 289 39708 38265 45 270 61 273 63 267 75 286 38265 36929 43 262 62 277 64 270 81 278 36929 35666 43 264 60 279 66 271 79 274 35666 34403 48 266 59 279 68 271 77 274 34403 33107 51 265 57 277 66 268 75 276 33107 31781 52 268 55 275 59 266 69 277 31781 30415 51 272 51 274 53 268 60 282 30415 28999 49 276 47 273 52 272 60 289 28999 27534 46 280 45 272 51 276 60 290 27534 26023 43 281 45 272 48 277 57 288 26023 24469 39 281 46 273 43 279 53 288 24469 22879 36 279 47 273 40 279 48 292 22879 21244 36 276 47 274 41 278 44 297 21244 19559 36 276 46 276 44 279 40 296 19559 17852 35 280 43 277 46 281 38 290 17852 16211 31 285 39 278 45 280 39 283 16211 14718 28 288 35 278 44 277 40 278 14718 13385 26 285 31 276 41 274 38 277 13385 12190 25 278 28 272 36 273 36 278 12190 11116 24 270 26 265 33 275 33 279 11116 10149 23 262 24 261 29 279 30 280 10149 9280 23 252 22 257 26 283 27 279 9280 8504 21 248 20 252 22 281 24 277 8504 7807 19 247 18 244 18 275 21 272 7807 7175 15 249 15*236 15 263 18 265 7175 6610 11 247 13*228 14 246 16 256 6610 6132 8 234 12 228 14 239 16 250 6132 5763 6 220 12 228 13 239 15 248 5763 5507 4 206 11 227 12 237 13 249 5507 5351 4*204 10 227 9*235 9 250 5351 5261 3*204 9 227 5*229 6*251 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography