DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.5 - - 64.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 446 - - 158 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5202 - - 6952 - - 4860 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8808 - - 10251 - - 8104 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10263 - - 12013 - - 9921 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1534 - - 1972 - - 3533 - - 1928 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 537 - - 612 - - 384 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 260 - - 251 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -9 - - -10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -942 - - -878 - - -2564 - - -4725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11205 - - 12892 - - 12486 - - 9989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4158 - - -3709 - - -6210 - - -9675 ODpotential blCL - - - 14421 - - 15722 - - 16131 - - 14938 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 55 - - 62 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.5 - - 64.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 27.0 - - 28.0 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 26.9 - - 28.1 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 446 - - 158 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5202 - - 6952 - - 4860 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98807 3 256 7 060 4 288 9 320 98807 91429 4 347 4 050 3 298 6 009 91429 85736 6 068 5 021 9 024 7 072 85736 80994 14 078 2 054 12 046 9 051 80994 76908 10 060 8 067 11 064 9 046 76908 73297 12 070 9 068 6 056 12 049 73297 70020 8 072 8 064 6 094 11 029 70020 67002 2 135 5 062 6 061 8 082 67002 64200 13 117 8 147 10 236 3 328 64200 61486 3 267 7 132 9 187 9 186 61486 58653 21 229 19 221 21 233 20 249 58653 55703 27 226 27 229 29 227 26 226 55703 52877 33 233 33 234 27 234 23 234 52877 50335 31 240 36 231 32 242 39 252 50335 48066 40 245 43 235 43 246 46 251 48066 46012 53 240 53 233 50 244 48 247 46012 44130 62 235 60 232 55 239 53 243 44130 42391 66 234 64 233 59 238 56 241 42391 40778 69 238 69 235 64 240 62 242 40778 39276 73 243 71 235 68 239 66 241 39276 37879 77 245 72 239 68 239 65 242 37879 36551 80 247 73 244 68 243 62 244 36551 35227 81 249 75 247 68 247 63 248 35227 33875 82 251 78 248 67 249 68 249 33875 32498 82 252 80 249 67 249 69 248 32498 31079 76 253 77 251 66 250 67 249 31079 29610 68 255 70 252 61 253 62 250 29610 28099 63 258 61 253 55 256 53 254 28099 26545 61 259 55 256 52 258 47 258 26545 24950 58 259 54 260 50 260 43 261 24950 23313 54 260 53 261 47 263 41 262 23313 21628 48 258 50 264 45 264 39 264 21628 19891 41 255 43 267 43 264 37 265 19891 18138 34 254 36 268 38 267 35 263 18138 16459 30 255 30 272 31 272 32 261 16459 14934 28 258 23 276 24 282 28 263 14934 13575 25 265 18 279 15 297 22 264 13575 12358 21 280 16*277 13 297 13 258 12358 11263 17*289 16*274 13 287 7 266 11263 10277 16*286 16 272 14*277 6 286 10277 9389 16 283 17 265 15*266 8 283 9389 8594 16 279 18 260 18 256 11 273 8594 7880 16 273 19 258 19 252 15 266 7880 7232 16 270 19 256 19 250 20 260 7232 6651 16 268 19 254 19 248 23 256 6651 6161 16 265 19 253 19 247 23 252 6161 5780 16 263 19 252 19 246 21 248 5780 5516 15 263 18 251 18 246 18 244 5516 5355 15 263 17 251 18 245 15*243 5355 5263 13 262 15 250 15 244 9*240 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography