DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 40.2 - - 38.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 92 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 2180 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5862 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 7241 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 757 - - 2320 - - 4288 - - 894 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 250 - - 38 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 12 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 223 - - 242 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1220 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 6022 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2074 - - 166 - - -1135 - - -1965 ODpotential blCL - - - 7335 - - 7075 - - 6396 - - 7226 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 101 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 40.2 - - 38.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 32.3 - - 34.2 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 38.9 - - 38.3 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 31.5 - - 33.7 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 92 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 2180 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 100 - - 102 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96764 28 074 38 074 32 099 27 072 96764 89658 25 094 25 072 28 088 26 075 89658 84104 23 096 18 070 16 071 23 070 84104 79468 19 082 15 072 9 071 16 051 79468 75454 11 061 11 058 7 078 8 036 75454 71891 6 070 7 007 5 033 4 030 71891 68657 7 029 3 310 4 301 7 336 68657 65674 5 326 5 280 8 291 10 318 65674 62895 8 293 10 286 14 295 13 288 62895 60185 17 282 15 282 19 286 15 268 60185 57344 23 270 19 274 21 280 18 272 57344 54382 26 265 24 273 23 278 23 283 54382 51546 24 265 27 273 25 274 25 280 51546 48998 21 269 29 270 25 275 21 277 48998 46727 21 277 27 265 27 272 20 275 46727 44671 19 278 21 261 25 266 22 274 44671 42793 17 274 18 272 22 265 21 270 42793 41063 17 274 19 279 17 266 17 269 41063 39461 17 262 17 283 13 277 12 272 39461 37978 13 244 14 292 7 290 8 277 37978 36607 2 266 8 292 6 355 6 047 36607 35316 8 036 9 081 14 024 18 056 35316 34039 10 058 26 079 21 038 26 052 34039 32741 13 071 34 075 27 055 29 055 32741 31421 17 081 35 069 31 060 31 065 31421 30063 19 090 36 065 33 060 32 067 30063 28659 20 093 31 065 34 062 31 066 28659 27209 16 078 19 065 33 066 25 074 27209 25716 10 045 8 061 22 069 19 073 25716 24182 7 025 1 059 8 052 12 053 24182 22614 2 034 3 238 1 300 5 323 22614 21006 2 150 3 276 3 215 6 248 21006 19347 4 247 6 304 1 298 4 271 19347 17665 5 275 9 295 5 313 10 301 17665 16050 4 320 9 285 6 291 11 291 16050 14578 3 338 8 284 5 284 10 289 14578 13264 2 330 5 295 4 292 9 289 13264 12086 3 332 4 305 4 324 8 302 12086 11027 3 342 3 298 6 341 8 335 11027 10076 3 003 2 290 6 331 5 360 10076 9223 3 067 2 306 6 312 3 036 9223 8458 2 091 2 300 7 302 2 115 8458 7773 2 173 2*281 7 286 2 154 7773 7150 1 175 3*241 8 270 3 230 7150 6592 1 204 4 228 10 253 6 253 6592 6121 3 219 4 221 10 250 8 258 6121 5757 4 218 4 218 10 247 9 253 5757 5504 4 218 4 216 9 245 7 247 5504 5350 4*215 4 215 8 244 5 236 5350 5261 3*217 4 215 6*242 3*222 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography