DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 76.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 202 - - 223 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 202 - - 2829 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 6759 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5263 - - 7890 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 65 - - 1365 - - 1858 - - 4348 - - 81 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 144 - - 359 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 074 - - 178 - - 171 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4454 - - -7929 - - -8078 - - -10279 - - -7168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9716 - - 13192 - - 15969 - - 15544 - - 12431 sfcLCL ODpotential -14673 - - -14016 - - -12058 - - -14280 - - -14170 ODpotential blCL 19935 - - 19279 - - 19948 - - 19544 - - 19433 blCL maxRH 67 - - 61 - - 60 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 65.4 - - 75.9 - - 76.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.3 - - 26.6 - - 24.3 - - 26.5 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 63.6 - - 74.0 - - 76.0 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 26.3 - - 24.1 - - 26.2 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 202 - - 223 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 202 - - 2829 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97738 4 307 7 201 17 248 18 305 6 306 97738 90512 5 319 4 168 10 257 9 336 7 002 90512 84918 7 000 3 357 3 343 10 011 12 007 84918 80289 7 042 10 005 8 033 5 007 13 357 80289 76314 8 032 13 358 16 033 3 340 10 350 76314 72797 12 358 14 346 15 005 11 351 9 018 72797 69607 12 334 12 347 10 353 14 329 13 347 69607 66674 13 320 14 326 11 340 11 332 13 326 66674 63954 12 308 15 301 18 313 14 333 11 331 63954 61315 15 308 15 301 21 296 23 314 19 325 61315 58557 21 305 18 297 19 288 29 301 26 312 58557 55693 24 302 19 292 23 279 29 284 28 294 55693 52953 29 294 24 279 24 261 26 268 27 276 52953 50477 31 281 25 277 25 258 27 256 25 270 50477 48259 32 280 31 267 33 257 31 264 30 271 48259 46255 33 280 36 259 40 256 35 264 36 264 46255 44433 33 282 35 261 41 258 43 263 43 261 44433 42759 34 286 36 268 44 261 45 260 46 257 42759 41204 32 285 39 275 43 264 41 262 42 259 41204 39747 25 280 35 275 39 268 34 264 33 261 39747 38383 21 271 32 276 36 268 34 269 29 263 38383 37075 18 273 26 280 31 277 31 271 26 270 37075 35758 15 275 22 278 26 280 28 269 24 269 35758 34408 12 278 18 281 23 284 28 269 26 279 34408 33028 10 271 16 285 22 287 28 270 28 289 33028 31607 10 256 15 282 21 288 28 270 29 293 31607 30132 11 258 14 280 21 288 26 270 30 295 30132 28608 12 268 15 271 21 286 25 270 30 296 28608 27037 14 278 16 265 20 281 25 278 30 292 27037 25424 14 282 18 272 20 279 25 284 27 288 25424 23768 14 282 18 282 20 282 23 285 23 284 23768 22063 16 285 18 291 20 284 19 281 19 278 22063 20303 18 288 19 292 19 282 18 271 17 270 20303 18519 19 289 19 288 17 279 17 265 16 267 18519 16805 19 289 18 287 17 279 16 265 16 268 16805 15242 17 289 16 285 15 283 13 263 15 267 15242 13843 15 287 14 278 14 283 12 262 16 263 13843 12588 13 287 13 269 14 276 12 262 16 261 12588 11456 12 287 13 262 15 269 13 265 16 260 11456 10436 10 285 13 253 16 261 13 263 14 260 10436 9518 9 278 12 246 14 254 11 260 12 256 9518 8696 7 271 10 243 9 236 8 239 10 254 8696 7959 6 270 7 235 7*216 5 204 8 245 7959 7291 2 257 5 206 5*188 5 193 6 222 7291 6692 2 094 4 154 5 183 4 186 4 188 6692 6187 5 071 5 075 5 178 4 181 4 143 6187 5795 8 059 5 074 4 173 4 176 4 116 5795 5523 9 051 5 074 4 171 4 175 5 096 5523 5358 8*042 5*073 4 169 3*174 4*072 5358 5263 4*031 5*074 4 168 3*171 2*047 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography