DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 40.0 - - 49.2 - - 50.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 101 - - 221 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 4206 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 7795 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 9267 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 1515 - - 1885 - - 8859 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 116 - - 412 - - 57 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 077 - - 197 - - 242 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 5 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -2027 - - -1108 - - -6193 - - -2347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7289 - - 10376 - - 11456 - - 7610 sfcLCL ODpotential -6575 - - -5734 - - -3303 - - -7652 - - -6098 ODpotential blCL 11836 - - 10995 - - 12570 - - 12914 - - 11360 blCL maxRH 85 - - 81 - - 62 - - 71 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 40.0 - - 49.2 - - 50.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 26.5 - - 22.0 - - 18.7 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 39.0 - - 47.4 - - 50.4 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 25.9 - - 21.6 - - 18.5 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 101 - - 221 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 4206 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96949 33 097 26 090 24 087 24 104 13 092 96949 89764 31 094 19 094 20 083 20 111 18 092 89764 84122 21 096 14 104 13 072 18 108 12 097 84122 79415 13 082 11 092 7 084 9 090 9 091 79415 75361 5 077 6 090 5 154 2 028 7 040 75361 71767 7 042 7 061 7 174 4 236 6 320 71767 68497 6 315 8 304 4 257 4 279 1 041 68497 65483 13 288 17 272 11 284 18 276 15 291 65483 62690 21 261 22 248 21 262 29 244 24 262 62690 59979 15 282 18 260 24 276 27 270 21 263 59979 57120 32 260 36 261 40 266 43 263 29 265 57120 54122 38 245 41 247 47 249 49 251 38 250 54122 51262 40 265 44 253 54 251 53 257 43 251 51262 48709 64 263 62 254 65 250 58 259 49 261 48709 46433 73 259 70 254 67 251 67 256 65 256 46433 44380 73 262 69 258 68 255 70 251 72 251 44380 42517 80 264 75 260 73 258 73 253 75 253 42517 40814 87 259 85 256 82 258 83 257 82 254 40814 39241 82 255 85 252 89 253 93 255 86 253 39241 37779 81 257 84 253 87 251 96 253 89 254 37779 36421 88 258 95 255 94 254 99 254 95 257 36421 35132 103 256 105 251 106 253 102 255 103 258 35132 33850 112 253 105 248 103 248 101 254 105 257 33850 32550 113 251 101 248 95 248 97 253 103 258 32550 31234 107 251 97 248 90 251 94 252 103 258 31234 29886 101 252 92 248 88 253 91 254 100 257 29886 28492 94 253 87 250 85 254 86 254 95 257 28492 27054 85 255 80 253 81 256 80 254 89 258 27054 25572 76 254 72 254 76 256 75 255 82 259 25572 24051 68 255 65 254 68 258 70 257 71 261 24051 22493 62 258 60 255 58 259 61 259 58 261 22493 20898 56 260 57 256 55 256 51 256 50 261 20898 19256 52 261 53 256 55 253 49 252 45 260 19256 17596 50 259 49 258 50 249 46 251 42 258 17596 16004 46 256 44 257 43 246 38 252 39 255 16004 14558 40 251 39 254 37 244 31 250 35 249 14558 13266 32 249 32 248 31 244 24 245 31 246 13266 12104 25 251 24 238 25 241 19 240 25 246 12104 11056 19 241 20 225 22 231 15 236 20 240 11056 10110 13 225 14 219 19*222 14 237 17 235 10110 9256 10 240 9 230 11*207 14 237 14 235 9256 8491 10 233 6 223 9 200 14 238 12 236 8491 7802 10 224 5 210 8 197 13 239 9 239 7802 7175 9 221 6 216 7 195 13 240 7 244 7175 6612 7 208 5 212 7 193 13 241 6 254 6612 6135 4 137 2 146 6 191 13 241 4 271 6135 5765 5 078 3 081 6 190 12 241 3 300 5765 5508 8 053 3 079 5 189 12 241 3 335 5508 5352 7*038 3*077 5 189 11*241 3*351 5352 5262 4*029 3*077 5 188 9*242 3*341 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography