DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 49.3 - - 58.3 - - 56.5 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 97 - - 165 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 1889 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 5972 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 6950 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 112 - - 1115 - - 1238 - - 3006 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 117 - - 286 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 069 - - 113 - - 117 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -118 - - -2506 - - -3677 - - -5222 - - -1658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5379 - - 7768 - - 10628 - - 10485 - - 6921 sfcLCL ODpotential -9959 - - -8580 - - -9068 - - -11176 - - -9896 ODpotential blCL 15220 - - 13842 - - 16018 - - 16439 - - 15158 blCL maxRH 73 - - 56 - - 60 - - 65 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 49.3 - - 58.3 - - 56.5 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 33.8 - - 30.2 - - 29.1 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 48.0 - - 56.7 - - 57.6 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.4 - - 32.6 - - 29.7 - - 28.3 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 97 - - 165 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 1889 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 7 302 13 270 14 283 18 322 9 315 97492 90217 9 353 9 248 12 299 16 300 14 284 90217 84613 14 327 8 311 10 300 6 291 12 304 84613 79959 13 312 9 329 19 276 22 305 19 334 79959 75946 15 342 10 352 9 266 25 289 27 293 75946 72431 34 300 27 332 11 025 15 278 22 275 72431 69257 31 286 33 291 19 324 12 307 15 291 69257 66317 23 290 31 273 30 286 21 294 18 279 66317 63570 24 282 30 272 35 273 27 278 23 275 63570 60905 25 282 30 272 36 269 33 277 31 276 60905 58129 32 282 32 272 39 267 41 272 36 272 58129 55259 38 273 36 269 40 261 44 265 41 269 55259 52526 42 268 38 273 37 273 45 272 43 269 52526 50062 48 273 44 279 50 280 52 276 48 270 50062 47843 53 271 49 277 51 277 51 278 51 272 47843 45819 52 268 49 273 49 277 56 280 55 277 45819 43957 52 267 50 269 50 275 52 278 55 275 43957 42233 52 266 49 268 51 275 48 278 50 274 42233 40629 48 264 46 271 47 277 47 279 47 274 40629 39136 47 257 43 273 42 277 42 281 42 275 39136 37751 45 252 43 273 41 277 38 281 34 276 37751 36442 42 254 42 270 42 276 37 279 30 280 36442 35136 40 257 39 267 41 273 37 278 30 285 35136 33803 38 259 37 269 38 271 38 273 31 287 33803 32444 36 260 37 271 36 272 37 271 32 286 32444 31043 35 261 35 271 35 273 34 270 32 286 31043 29589 34 262 33 269 33 271 33 270 31 281 29589 28084 33 263 34 267 32 268 32 272 31 277 28084 26533 31 264 34 263 31 269 29 277 31 280 26533 24938 28 264 32 256 29 270 25 282 26 283 24938 23304 26 257 29 253 27 268 22 282 21 280 23304 21625 25 251 26 254 26 268 20 276 19 273 21625 19894 24 250 22 257 23 270 19 272 17 266 19894 18139 22 251 20 256 18 271 17 275 16 269 18139 16455 19 252 17 255 14 267 13 275 14 277 16455 14925 14 251 15 247 12 260 10 274 11 279 14925 13561 11 250 13 233 12 249 8 272 9 277 13561 12340 8 245 11 214 13 236 7 262 8 267 12340 11243 7 241 9 205 12 229 7 248 7 251 11243 10257 7 228 9 209 11 230 7 240 8 235 10257 9370 8 226 9 217 10 235 6 231 8 225 9370 8577 8 211 11 204 10 226 5 215 8 215 8577 7865 7 184 11 187 8 205 6 189 8 198 7865 7220 7 153 9 178 6*168 6 159 8 180 7220 6641 7 125 7 154 5*121 5 148 7 156 6641 6153 8 086 8 074 5 117 5 139 6 109 6153 5775 12 063 8 068 5 112 4 132 7 072 5775 5513 14 054 8 068 5 109 4 127 10 054 5513 5354 10 049 7 069 5 107 4*119 7*044 5354 5262 4*046 6*069 4 106 3*117 4*033 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography