DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 45.4 - - 51.2 - - 46.4 - - 40.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 68 - - 90 - - -50 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 831 - - 2263 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5871 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5892 - - 7324 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 437 - - 889 - - 1125 - - 1481 - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 163 - - 248 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 23 - - 28 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 248 - - 255 - - 237 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -13 - - -22 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 129 - - 386 - - -913 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5764 - - 6938 - - 6175 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -5935 - - -4849 - - -2405 - - -6868 - - -8201 ODpotential blCL 11197 - - 10741 - - 9729 - - 12130 - - 13463 blCL maxRH 95 - - 88 - - 87 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 45.4 - - 51.2 - - 46.4 - - 40.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 38.5 - - 39.1 - - 37.7 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 44.7 - - 50.4 - - 48.1 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 38.3 - - 38.9 - - 37.7 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 68 - - 90 - - -50 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 831 - - 2263 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 52 - - 47 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 44 012 50 011 31 003 37 003 36 353 96191 89284 37 015 42 009 40 018 31 008 25 350 89284 83814 35 013 31 010 41 015 31 023 26 011 83814 79184 29 018 15 014 30 357 32 358 29 006 79184 75190 21 346 10 017 14 345 23 348 29 356 75190 71687 18 346 20 355 12 344 19 346 16 359 71687 68501 29 348 26 340 21 342 19 346 15 360 68501 65537 21 344 21 339 22 336 18 351 23 336 65537 62778 21 319 20 336 25 312 26 337 30 321 62778 60135 17 330 20 319 28 301 27 306 21 300 60135 57405 21 341 15 332 18 291 22 300 12 288 57405 54561 41 323 35 346 8 180 28 333 31 337 54561 51851 54 312 67 321 58 330 51 332 52 324 51851 49444 60 312 74 316 72 321 64 326 62 321 49444 47307 64 317 72 317 72 320 70 323 66 320 47307 45377 70 322 72 319 73 318 73 317 68 315 45377 43616 80 326 74 321 73 316 72 309 67 312 43616 41997 89 328 78 324 73 317 70 304 69 310 41997 40489 93 327 82 326 74 317 69 303 71 308 40489 39072 89 325 82 324 72 316 72 304 72 304 39072 37737 76 325 79 319 70 314 74 303 72 299 37737 36451 60 323 75 313 67 312 74 301 71 296 36451 35155 61 317 70 310 65 310 72 299 69 295 35155 33822 67 315 62 309 64 309 69 300 67 294 33822 32458 71 314 66 310 63 309 65 302 66 293 32458 31053 72 314 66 312 62 309 61 304 63 292 31053 29596 72 315 65 314 60 309 60 306 60 294 29596 28090 70 317 65 313 58 309 61 309 59 299 28090 26539 69 319 64 312 56 310 61 309 60 303 26539 24944 68 321 62 311 54 312 59 308 60 305 24944 23309 68 321 60 311 54 315 56 309 58 305 23309 21626 67 320 58 312 54 317 55 310 56 303 21626 19891 63 319 56 313 56 318 55 312 53 302 19891 18135 55 317 54 314 57 317 54 312 50 302 18135 16450 48 315 50 313 56 316 52 311 46 302 16450 14917 46 315 45 312 54 314 50 309 43 302 14917 13548 47 314 41 311 51 311 48 307 40 301 13548 12323 46 313 40 310 45 307 46 304 39 301 12323 11222 45 311 38 307 40 301 44 301 38 300 11222 10233 43 308 37 303 36 294 41 299 37 299 10233 9345 41 303 36 296 34 285 38 297 36 298 9345 8552 39 296 35 289 34 278 35 291 34 296 8552 7842 37 288 36 280 32*267 32 282 32 291 7842 7199 37 278 36 271 30*258 30 268 31 282 7199 6624 37 269 34 261 30 256 30 256 30 268 6624 6141 35 262 30*252 29 254 28 250 32 257 6141 5767 30 256 27*249 28 253 26 245 29 251 5767 5509 22 249 25 248 26 253 21 241 21 243 5509 5352 18*246 22 248 23 252 17*239 17*240 5352 5262 11*243 17 247 18 251 11*237 9*236 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography