DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 74.3 - - 72.9 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 220 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 3594 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5459 - - 7325 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6171 - - 8655 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 661 - - 2624 - - 5944 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 388 - - 15 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 211 - - 215 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7628 - - -8007 - - -10959 - - -7586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13800 - - 16663 - - 16223 - - 12849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14142 - - -13297 - - -16488 - - -16081 ODpotential blCL - - - 20313 - - 21952 - - 21751 - - 21344 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 38 - - 54 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 74.3 - - 72.9 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 19.4 - - 20.1 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 72.3 - - 73.1 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 19.1 - - 19.9 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 220 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 3594 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97685 17 026 16 004 15 023 14 351 97685 90559 13 042 15 020 15 030 11 037 90559 84954 10 058 13 025 11 016 12 038 84954 80249 10 047 5 041 8 002 10 022 80249 76182 9 057 1 312 11 330 14 003 76182 72599 16 359 8 344 13 322 12 348 72599 69378 26 342 22 335 19 320 21 340 69378 66430 25 337 22 333 22 318 26 322 66430 63697 25 328 25 324 25 322 22 316 63697 61039 27 317 28 315 30 321 31 322 61039 58265 29 314 33 307 37 311 36 308 58265 55404 30 311 35 299 39 304 40 303 55404 52694 29 307 36 298 42 301 42 296 52694 50259 31 309 36 299 41 302 43 299 50259 48071 43 316 45 308 47 304 50 303 48071 46079 52 312 54 309 53 302 56 301 46079 44247 51 314 53 309 52 302 54 299 44247 42552 48 315 48 310 48 304 48 302 42552 40979 40 313 43 316 42 308 38 306 40979 39517 30 323 30 320 38 309 30 310 39517 38158 24 348 23 337 27 309 24 311 38158 36861 20 360 18 342 22 318 22 326 36861 35558 11 013 15 341 20 333 20 330 35558 34218 13 015 14 348 15 337 16 331 34218 32846 15 018 14 357 11 335 11 341 32846 31430 16 025 13 004 8 335 8 349 31430 29959 17 028 12 011 7 354 7 344 29959 28440 18 026 12 022 7 006 5 334 28440 26872 16 020 12 032 5 015 3 325 26872 25257 13 015 9 023 4 003 3 315 25257 23599 10 009 6 347 4 326 3 307 23599 21893 9 356 6 322 5 305 5 287 21893 20137 8 331 7 303 7 298 7 269 20137 18364 9 303 10 294 8 301 6 264 18364 16665 9 283 12 286 10 294 8 275 16665 15121 9 278 13 281 12 287 10 275 15121 13745 9 284 13 284 12 304 8 296 13745 12509 9 295 12 294 13 314 7 304 12509 11394 9 301 11 306 10 306 8 298 11394 10387 9 299 9 305 8 283 10 293 10387 9481 8 287 6 281 9 245 12 284 9481 8669 7 279 5*247 9 235 13 274 8669 7940 6 283 5*226 9 230 12 263 7940 7277 4 293 5 219 9 225 11 254 7277 6684 2*322 5 214 9 223 12 249 6684 6181 3*078 4 207 9 221 12 246 6181 5791 3 082 4 203 9 218 13 244 5791 5521 3 085 4 199 9 218 11 241 5521 5357 3 086 4 198 8 216 7*237 5357 5263 3 085 4 198 6*215 6*239 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography