DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 80.3 - - 80.8 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 470 - - 217 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5776 - - 8775 - - 8758 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9280 - - 11756 - - 11307 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10837 - - 13836 - - 13819 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1549 - - 1561 - - 2216 - - 3418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 563 - - 673 - - 520 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 26 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 258 - - 256 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5576 - - -4684 - - -5188 - - -11377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16414 - - 18521 - - 19008 - - 16642 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11789 - - -10310 - - -10362 - - -17943 ODpotential blCL - - - 22626 - - 24146 - - 24181 - - 23207 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 30 - - 33 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 80.3 - - 80.8 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.8 - - 16.2 - - 14.6 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 77.1 - - 78.8 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 16.0 - - 14.5 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 470 - - 217 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5776 - - 8775 - - 8758 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99607 35 104 26 104 27 088 30 090 99607 92104 29 088 28 108 26 097 28 089 92104 86316 22 112 23 091 25 112 21 088 86316 81513 23 103 19 110 17 103 21 093 81513 77351 13 084 20 120 7 100 14 077 77351 73666 10 123 11 097 12 098 4 094 73666 70344 9 129 3 133 10 081 10 082 70344 67288 15 092 4 156 8 040 18 066 67288 64450 10 053 10 131 8 003 7 038 64450 61720 11 312 3 159 8 214 5 276 61720 58884 24 287 17 292 20 302 17 330 58884 55950 36 263 34 275 33 295 29 293 55950 53165 43 266 45 274 46 286 44 294 53165 50664 53 274 57 276 58 284 58 288 50664 48430 60 280 63 279 66 282 70 284 48430 46409 69 285 71 286 75 287 78 290 46409 44558 79 287 82 288 86 290 87 294 44558 42841 86 286 87 288 91 289 90 291 42841 41241 88 285 87 287 92 287 90 289 41241 39744 87 284 85 287 90 287 87 287 39744 38346 85 283 82 286 86 286 83 286 38346 37010 82 281 80 286 83 286 80 286 37010 35672 79 279 75 286 79 286 77 288 35672 34305 74 278 70 286 71 287 70 291 34305 32913 69 279 66 286 64 287 61 291 32913 31483 66 280 63 285 60 288 55 290 31483 30002 64 281 62 284 58 287 51 290 30002 28473 61 281 60 282 57 285 49 290 28473 26896 59 283 57 281 55 283 48 289 26896 25275 58 282 54 282 52 284 47 287 25275 23614 57 280 51 282 49 284 45 285 23614 21907 52 280 44 284 45 283 42 283 21907 20148 42 285 33 286 38 287 37 282 20148 18373 32 293 25 285 27 292 30 281 18373 16676 27 300 20 290 16 299 20 283 16676 15134 27 304 14*299 8*296 10 299 15134 13756 25 308 7*285 7*288 8 325 13756 12519 20 310 6 281 7 283 7 331 12519 11403 10*304 6 276 7 269 5 317 11403 10397 6*290 5 263 8 259 6 291 10397 9490 5 284 5 255 9 252 8 271 9490 8679 4 277 4 247 10 249 12 263 8679 7949 4 271 4 240 10 247 15 259 7949 7286 3 265 4 236 10 245 17 257 7286 6691 3 258 4 231 10 243 17 255 6691 6187 3 251 4 229 11 243 18 253 6187 5796 3 247 4 224 10 242 17 250 5796 5525 3 245 4 223 10 241 15 247 5525 5359 3 243 4 223 10 241 12*244 5359 5264 2 242 4 224 9 241 7*240 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography