DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 57.7 - - - - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 364 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6787 - - 7332 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10052 - - 10470 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11848 - - 12393 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3553 - - 2901 - - - - - 6063 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 577 - - 584 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 28 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 257 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -11 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -777 - - 745 - - - - - -6494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12626 - - 11649 - - - - - 11756 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2234 - - -257 - - - - - -10469 ODpotential blCL - - - 14082 - - 12650 - - - - - 15731 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 92 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 57.7 - - - - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 24.6 - - - - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 55.5 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 24.4 - - - - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 364 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6787 - - 7332 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 70 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98114 4 321 7 282 4 336 98114 90714 3 155 6 249 11 051 90714 84967 6 151 5 330 10 014 84967 80186 5 172 4 314 7 340 80186 76093 7 177 4 253 7 335 76093 72479 5 348 5 261 9 317 72479 69188 7 285 2 276 9 274 69188 66141 12 283 6 319 8 284 66141 63285 26 293 11 310 9 271 63285 60485 31 268 23 282 13 258 60485 57571 29 248 31 262 28 271 57571 54565 27 250 33 260 26 266 54565 51686 29 260 28 266 32 280 51686 49105 32 267 32 272 41 272 49105 46818 39 266 40 271 39 262 46818 44750 45 262 47 265 34 275 44750 42858 49 261 49 259 46 274 42858 41126 54 261 52 255 51 261 41126 39531 63 258 55 252 45 248 39531 38051 73 253 59 250 40 256 38051 36678 82 246 62 249 47 264 36678 35383 85 243 67 245 54 256 35383 34101 80 241 72 242 57 249 34101 32798 76 239 72 241 56 246 32798 31476 74 239 69 242 54 245 31476 30116 70 241 66 245 52 246 30116 28709 64 244 61 247 50 249 28709 27257 57 248 57 249 49 255 27257 25761 50 248 55 251 49 259 25761 24225 47 251 53 254 49 260 24225 22649 45 255 50 256 49 262 22649 21029 42 258 47 258 48 264 21029 19360 41 256 44 257 46 264 19360 17674 38 253 41 255 46 264 17674 16058 35 250 38 252 47 267 16058 14593 32 248 31 252 42 268 14593 13287 29 246 29*254 34 269 13287 12118 26*246 28*255 27 270 12118 11066 24*249 28 255 22 276 11066 10117 23 250 28 256 18 289 10117 9263 23 251 28 257 18 301 9263 8496 23 251 28 257 19 307 8496 7807 23 251 28 258 20 310 7807 7179 23 251 28 258 21 311 7179 6616 23 251 28 258 21 312 6616 6138 22 251 28 258 21 311 6138 5767 21 251 27 258 20 310 5767 5510 21 250 26 258 18 309 5510 5352 20 251 24 258 15*309 5352 5262 17 250 20 258 11*309 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography