DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.5 - - 91.7 - - 99.3 - - 96.9 - - 86.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 87 - - 364 - - 445 - - 208 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 3662 - - 13700 - - 9676 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 7565 - - 15783 - - 12007 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5264 - - 8723 - - 18761 - - 14737 - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 856 - - 2802 - - 4811 - - 7623 - - 2531 Hgt.Variab. W* 109 - - 462 - - 767 - - 531 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 20 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 182 - - 221 - - 242 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - -16 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10998 - - -10977 - - -2888 - - -6093 - - -13041 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16263 - - 19701 - - 21650 - - 20831 - - 18306 sfcLCL ODpotential -15955 - - -13361 - - -4159 - - -7790 - - -16594 ODpotential blCL 21219 - - 22084 - - 22920 - - 22527 - - 21859 blCL maxRH 68 - - 72 - - 78 - - 67 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 77.5 - - 91.7 - - 99.3 - - 96.9 - - 86.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 22.7 - - 20.6 - - 22.2 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.4 - - 88.9 - - 96.1 - - 94.9 - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.3 - - 22.4 - - 20.2 - - 21.9 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 87 - - 364 - - 445 - - 208 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 3662 - - 13700 - - 9676 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99769 31 108 29 116 34 095 33 101 27 113 99769 92186 32 099 29 107 30 109 21 100 31 095 92186 86340 27 094 23 104 21 106 22 095 25 080 86340 81503 24 118 20 112 20 092 19 105 20 078 81503 77350 21 113 16 106 12 099 20 113 15 099 77350 73705 17 114 10 116 14 130 11 109 17 106 73705 70413 6 099 15 134 10 148 5 115 14 105 70413 67391 12 207 8 122 6 143 7 142 10 095 67391 64599 15 200 8 223 8 209 1 154 7 181 64599 61909 13 217 11 225 12 201 10 177 14 168 61909 59123 14 231 15 225 19 217 16 222 11 209 59123 56260 27 220 34 209 36 226 34 223 29 213 56260 53563 36 224 41 217 44 218 42 214 39 213 53563 51146 48 235 48 227 49 222 46 222 46 221 51146 48973 54 234 58 232 58 223 53 227 52 224 48973 46988 58 232 65 232 61 225 58 227 56 226 46988 45155 61 234 66 228 61 227 61 223 60 227 45155 43453 62 237 60 230 60 226 60 220 63 224 43453 41863 61 237 57 236 52 232 53 222 59 220 41863 40370 61 236 61 238 58 242 48 232 51 229 40370 38968 62 238 63 239 64 243 49 242 53 241 38968 37625 59 239 58 235 60 240 51 243 51 240 37625 36274 53 238 52 231 53 234 51 235 49 234 36274 34891 47 236 47 229 53 228 52 227 52 227 34891 33477 43 237 43 231 50 224 53 226 54 224 33477 32020 40 238 39 233 45 223 49 229 51 227 32020 30510 34 240 33 232 39 220 43 225 45 227 30510 28953 30 248 27 228 34 211 38 212 41 222 28953 27350 26 235 25 217 33 206 35 209 38 218 27350 25709 29 203 27 208 34 203 33 209 34 218 25709 24033 33 178 30 213 31 209 30 212 31 219 24033 22316 30 179 32 220 29 217 27 216 27 217 22316 20546 25 186 32 222 30*219 25 218 24 212 20546 18754 22 190 32 214 29*218 24 218 23 203 18754 17027 20 196 30 205 26 217 23 218 22 197 17027 15448 20 206 26 203 22 218 20*221 21 196 15448 14031 23 213 24 210 22 219 18*225 20 197 14031 12757 26 213 24 216 20 219 18 226 18 197 12757 11607 28 214 22 217 19 221 17 231 15 198 11607 10569 29 214 21 215 18 222 16 240 10 202 10569 9633 29 212 18 209 18 223 15 244 7 217 9633 8795 27 211 14*201 18 224 15 248 5 240 8795 8041 22 210 11*193 18 225 15 252 6 264 8041 7356 14 206 9 184 17 225 15 254 7 280 7356 6740 5 176 9 182 17 226 15 256 8 291 6740 6219 7 068 8 180 17 226 14 257 9 296 6219 5815 9 056 7 178 16 226 14 258 9 300 5815 5534 8 054 7 176 16 226 14 259 9 303 5534 5363 7*054 6 175 15 227 13 259 8*306 5363 5265 6*054 6 175 14 227 12 259 6*307 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography