DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 39.4 - - 43.8 - - 40.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 71 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1167 - - 1922 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5405 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6228 - - 6983 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 336 - - 930 - - 1100 - - 1879 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 200 - - 226 - - 22 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 064 - - 075 - - 047 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 967 - - 1243 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5262 - - 5740 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -9576 - - -6902 - - -5839 - - -1574 - - -6757 ODpotential blCL 14837 - - 13130 - - 12822 - - 6836 - - 12018 blCL maxRH 87 - - 94 - - 90 - - 95 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 39.4 - - 43.8 - - 40.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 35.4 - - 37.1 - - 37.9 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 38.3 - - 42.8 - - 41.0 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 34.2 - - 35.8 - - 37.4 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 71 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1167 - - 1922 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 75 - - 58 - - 79 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96098 19 289 31 299 22 300 30 292 31 306 96098 89250 10 318 21 281 18 325 11 315 14 293 89250 83920 7 352 9 264 14 312 13 350 4 331 83920 79430 11 300 2 336 15 267 16 281 13 297 79430 75514 9 262 6 046 9 202 13 254 11 275 75514 72022 12 291 16 304 13 279 14 258 11 285 72022 68826 18 262 15 255 19 255 18 241 15 275 68826 65862 11 259 9 182 18 228 16 238 15 266 65862 63104 11 294 10 252 12 263 15 258 14 261 63104 60433 27 267 23 260 16 253 15 268 12 273 60433 57631 27 251 21 256 13 251 16 272 18 268 57631 54707 16 259 21 259 18 258 22 255 18 254 54707 51911 20 279 28 246 23 257 19 257 22 276 51911 49394 39 261 29 245 35 251 25 265 25 253 49394 47151 35 256 27 239 33 249 30 266 20 253 47151 45130 29 283 16 241 25 259 34 260 26 252 45130 43285 47 283 26 291 33 270 35 254 36 242 43285 41594 45 271 50 273 48 267 42 256 37 238 41594 40038 29 282 54 259 51 263 54 255 37 232 40038 38599 34 298 40 249 44 263 48 254 30 223 38599 37259 40 293 32 257 35 262 43 261 24 226 37259 35978 40 289 36 275 32 265 43 263 27 234 35978 34693 39 287 38 282 35 269 36 259 26 234 34693 33376 37 289 37 283 35 271 30 252 21 226 33376 32028 33 295 37 282 34 272 30 252 18 203 32028 30638 29 302 36 285 34 272 30 252 21 190 30638 29198 28 306 34 293 33 274 31 252 24 202 29198 27709 26 300 31 291 28 279 34 254 27 212 27709 26177 18 293 25 292 23 290 31 258 22 220 26177 24604 12 357 13 303 19 294 21 267 14 219 24604 22993 16 347 7 001 11 270 14 273 10 192 22993 21338 17 334 12 357 5 245 6 270 11 174 21338 19636 16 353 16 325 9 290 2 314 8 157 19636 17912 18 025 16 313 14 294 6 296 8 164 17912 16252 14 025 10 317 13 294 8 273 10 154 16252 14740 9 004 5 354 6 295 4 308 12 152 14740 13391 10 348 5 056 3 083 5 074 11 177 13391 12186 9 359 7 079 7 101 8 124 7 194 12186 11107 8 022 8 093 9 111 11 147 6 187 11107 10139 8 054 9 102 10 124 12 162 11 190 10139 9270 8 081 9 113 11 134 13 165 13 179 9270 8494 8 103 9 114 12 130 13 155 13 165 8494 7800 9 101 10 118 11 121 12 137 11 147 7800 7170 12 094 12 111 9*095 11 110 10 130 7170 6605 13 084 12*089 9*079 11 081 9 100 6605 6129 15 070 11*067 9 076 12 064 11 061 6129 5761 16 060 10 064 8 074 13 055 14 045 5761 5506 14 055 10 064 8 073 12 051 12 038 5506 5350 9*049 9 063 8 073 10*049 8*028 5350 5261 4*049 8 063 7 072 6*047 4*018 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography