DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.4 - - 34.0 - - 38.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 55 - - 87 - - -10 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 1595 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 6656 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 683 - - 780 - - 1609 - - 976 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 94 - - 219 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 19 - - 10 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 236 - - 247 - - 238 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -6 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -159 - - 556 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5420 - - 6101 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -5671 - - -2691 - - -1949 - - -498 - - -5141 ODpotential blCL 10932 - - 7952 - - 8605 - - 5759 - - 10402 blCL maxRH 91 - - 85 - - 89 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.4 - - 34.0 - - 38.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.9 - - 28.8 - - 29.8 - - 35.0 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.7 - - 33.3 - - 37.1 - - 36.1 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 28.6 - - 29.6 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 55 - - 87 - - -10 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 1595 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 41 - - 57 - - 100 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96526 40 091 36 076 45 083 41 079 37 084 96526 89363 31 087 24 086 27 071 29 054 33 073 89363 83804 25 072 21 079 18 064 18 030 18 028 83804 79187 20 025 15 039 15 035 17 036 12 013 79187 75193 16 022 11 035 16 016 20 009 20 353 75193 71658 13 006 15 336 12 348 13 318 17 338 71658 68456 8 300 12 289 12 007 19 346 21 343 68456 65489 20 316 29 337 32 330 28 321 25 328 65489 62738 31 309 38 313 37 314 30 324 21 311 62738 60089 24 309 38 303 38 310 37 316 19 321 60089 57321 29 313 37 299 40 302 42 301 29 296 57321 54445 42 324 39 301 38 302 44 306 48 307 54445 51700 51 327 39 311 54 322 60 314 61 312 51700 49225 62 330 53 329 67 319 66 307 71 310 49225 46998 75 330 77 326 69 314 64 306 75 309 46998 44965 85 328 87 322 73 315 68 312 76 313 44965 43099 90 328 86 321 73 319 71 318 82 321 43099 41382 89 329 81 322 68 329 82 329 98 327 41382 39800 86 332 79 332 72 336 112 332 118 328 39800 38337 89 338 91 344 101 336 132 330 126 325 38337 36977 97 341 114 346 137 337 136 330 122 323 36977 35683 103 343 136 343 159 338 140 331 119 324 35683 34386 110 345 161 341 162 337 141 330 119 326 34386 33057 122 347 165 340 162 336 142 330 120 326 33057 31701 130 348 155 341 152 336 142 329 120 326 31701 30305 124 349 141 344 130 333 133 329 119 326 30305 28859 109 349 118 344 118 328 118 326 114 325 28859 27369 99 347 103 340 115 328 105 319 106 324 27369 25840 96 346 94 339 108 330 96 317 96 321 25840 24279 90 346 84 341 95 334 85 316 88 317 24279 22689 77 343 77 343 77 338 79 313 83 314 22689 21060 65 339 71 343 68 335 75 310 79 312 21060 19389 59 335 65 340 67 333 63 309 75 313 19389 17705 55 332 58 337 61 334 43 317 68 312 17705 16089 51 330 52 334 49 333 32 321 63 311 16089 14619 45 328 46 330 38 328 34 304 61 309 14619 13302 39 328 38 328 34 320 40 303 61 308 13302 12120 35 329 30 327 30 314 42 300 61 310 12120 11055 31 333 23 329 22 304 42 298 60 309 11055 10096 28 337 18 331 17 281 39 294 58 306 10096 9234 26 341 13 331 18 265 36 289 55 298 9234 8464 22 342 9 322 20 260 33 282 53 289 8464 7774 16 339 5 288 22 260 31 273 51 281 7774 7148 10 329 5 242 23*258 29 265 48 273 7148 6590 6 300 7 230 20*250 28 256 45 265 6590 6120 5 266 8 234 20 247 25 249 40 258 6120 5756 9 251 10 241 19 246 22 246 33 252 5756 5504 13 250 10 240 18 245 18 242 28 250 5504 5350 11*248 8*237 17 245 15 240 24 248 5350 5261 6*244 7*236 13 244 10*238 15*247 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography