DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.6 - - 48.1 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 50 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3549 - - 4346 - - 4161 - - 343 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 97 - - 31 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 098 - - 267 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -842 - - -1012 - - -320 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6104 - - 6275 - - 5582 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2062 - - -2248 - - -1989 - - -2619 ODpotential blCL - - - 7324 - - 7510 - - 7251 - - 7881 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 89 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.6 - - 48.1 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 39.3 - - 41.8 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.7 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 50 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 72 - - 55 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97235 5 035 13 337 14 010 16 012 97235 90111 13 043 8 016 13 015 13 036 90111 84575 8 006 7 331 9 005 4 036 84575 79998 7 348 6 342 10 329 6 038 79998 76049 2 008 3 070 6 297 5 026 76049 72535 1 280 2 181 8 283 5 356 72535 69340 8 269 8 264 12 268 10 304 69340 66391 10 249 11 269 14 249 11 272 66391 63647 15 238 13 249 17 232 15 254 63647 60984 21 242 17 237 17 225 19 240 60984 58191 26 237 19 241 13 241 13 238 58191 55273 24 229 23 248 17 267 13 276 55273 52482 15 228 22 241 20 270 17 276 52482 49969 11 262 17 235 21 264 17 281 49969 47715 16 262 11 243 17 247 17 272 47715 45662 16 242 11 280 6 263 11 255 45662 43771 7 230 14 286 10 311 7 297 43771 42013 6 314 3 280 10 331 8 346 42013 40371 7 277 10 354 18 002 17 004 40371 38842 6 130 12 004 23 016 19 017 38842 37421 15 078 14 046 23 016 27 028 37421 36082 20 062 21 051 27 031 34 026 36082 34757 20 054 27 043 36 038 39 029 34757 33409 25 055 31 044 44 041 44 035 33409 32039 30 057 37 045 47 044 54 037 32039 30635 32 058 39 046 46 049 63 039 30635 29185 31 061 39 050 45 049 65 041 29185 27690 31 076 40 048 46 049 61 041 27690 26154 37 088 38 046 43 050 52 039 26154 24581 36 085 32 052 39 053 43 043 24581 22973 27 073 31 058 35 051 38 049 22973 21322 21 060 28 063 28 051 35 046 21322 19620 22 064 24 072 23 044 33 043 19620 17897 21 067 20 071 20 037 30 045 17897 16244 17 064 15 063 20 035 26 051 16244 14743 14 060 12 061 21 034 21 053 14743 13405 15 056 14 041 21 034 19 047 13405 12207 16 058 18 031 23 028 19 036 12207 11132 16 059 18 022 21 021 18 029 11132 10165 16 056 17 019 18 021 16 031 10165 9299 17 048 15 023 15 022 14 042 9299 8522 18 044 13 030 11 024 14 045 8522 7825 17 044 10 042 8 025 13 040 7825 7191 15 046 7 059 4 018 9 030 7191 6622 14 048 5 083 2 324 6 359 6622 6141 12 051 5 089 3 283 8 318 6141 5768 9 055 5 092 3 273 12 297 5768 5510 8 056 4 094 4 269 11 291 5510 5352 7*057 4*097 4 269 7*292 5352 5262 6*057 4*098 3*267 4*293 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography