DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.4 - - 49.1 - - 45.6 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 83 - - 72 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1053 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6114 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 175 - - 862 - - 3233 - - 2487 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 194 - - 108 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 059 - - 117 - - 091 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 528 - - -1245 - - -284 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5586 - - 6507 - - 5546 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -8475 - - -4155 - - -3383 - - -3455 - - -5164 ODpotential blCL 13736 - - 10269 - - 8645 - - 8717 - - 10426 blCL maxRH 79 - - 82 - - 79 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.4 - - 49.1 - - 45.6 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.9 - - 39.6 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 43.4 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 37.1 - - 37.7 - - 38.4 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 83 - - 72 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1053 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 27 - - 15 - - 9 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97113 4 142 10 241 7 262 15 273 3 276 97113 89930 9 105 8 149 1 322 2 303 3 011 89930 84414 9 087 10 140 2 215 8 068 3 109 84414 79823 3 101 6 130 4 175 5 108 1 017 79823 75850 9 127 5 144 1 216 6 114 6 154 75850 72331 5 175 1 240 2 076 8 121 7 184 72331 69135 7 240 7 232 2 240 6 178 6 198 69135 66175 11 259 10 244 7 228 15 219 10 264 66175 63405 17 232 16 243 15 247 18 211 15 249 63405 60710 14 225 18 237 21 229 19 228 20 231 60710 57890 21 248 23 238 22 228 21 241 23 237 57890 54966 28 243 24 234 26 230 28 237 27 245 54966 52185 32 244 28 241 27 234 27 229 27 236 52185 49680 30 240 34 237 32 240 27 235 26 230 49680 47428 30 238 35 236 35 235 30 238 30 232 47428 45380 32 240 33 232 34 234 29 237 28 230 45380 43503 33 240 27 235 29 236 25 245 26 241 43503 41777 24 232 26 228 23 238 23 248 26 242 41777 40188 19 214 20 218 18 236 20 246 20 232 40188 38720 15 258 14 243 14 253 17 262 14 239 38720 37361 14 274 10 269 11 280 16 284 14 265 37361 36070 8 275 11 311 13 308 16 300 17 278 36070 34783 7 305 14 321 17 318 19 309 16 286 34783 33468 10 332 13 323 19 316 21 313 17 292 33468 32123 13 337 12 323 17 311 20 314 16 295 32123 30738 13 341 10 325 15 309 19 307 15 296 30738 29304 12 356 9 342 14 315 18 303 17 292 29304 27826 12 014 11 358 10 333 15 309 15 290 27826 26302 14 020 12 015 8 011 9 322 8 286 26302 24732 13 012 13 035 9 035 9 335 7 291 24732 23117 16 001 14 039 11 044 9 353 6 316 23117 21452 20 014 12 042 10 044 7 030 3 333 21452 19734 16 019 9 052 6 043 5 014 6 295 19734 17995 11 017 6 057 3 037 4 348 8 291 17995 16324 7 036 4 044 3 031 3 347 5 287 16324 14804 5 072 3 055 1 027 2 328 3 256 14804 13448 6 107 3 129 1 265 1 291 4 236 13448 12236 6 129 4 166 2 238 2 210 5 231 12236 11149 5 152 5 185 4 210 4 183 6 206 11149 10174 6 175 6 191 5 202 7 189 9 201 10174 9300 7 179 7 187 6 192 8 193 10 203 9300 8519 7 176 6 174 6 178 8 194 10 203 8519 7821 4 169 4 160 6 162 7 185 9 200 7821 7186 3 116 3 120 4 136 4 148 8 189 7186 6619 5 087 6 075 4 124 4 113 5 138 6619 6139 7 076 7*058 4 122 4 103 6 101 6139 5767 9 054 7*058 4 120 4 100 5 080 5767 5509 10 032 7 059 4 116 4 097 5 065 5509 5352 8 017 6 060 4*116 3*095 4*047 5352 5262 4*006 6 060 3*117 2*091 3*031 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography