DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 43.2 - - 51.0 - - 42.1 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - 56 - - 91 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 50 - - 623 - - 1816 - - 1128 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 94 - - 110 - - 4 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 27 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 083 - - 202 - - 194 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1574 - - -5407 - - -7491 - - -5008 - - -2112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6835 - - 10670 - - 12754 - - 10270 - - 7373 sfcLCL ODpotential -13935 - - -14225 - - -14916 - - -14098 - - -12765 ODpotential blCL 19196 - - 19487 - - 20178 - - 19360 - - 18026 blCL maxRH 63 - - 68 - - 53 - - 65 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 43.2 - - 51.0 - - 42.1 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.4 - - 15.6 - - 14.0 - - 16.4 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.5 - - 42.3 - - 49.8 - - 45.9 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 15.5 - - 13.8 - - 16.2 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - 56 - - 91 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95794 49 027 43 006 51 006 52 018 52 029 95794 88969 39 022 39 019 40 014 38 010 44 006 88969 83660 28 035 34 025 26 032 26 020 34 011 83660 79189 29 037 33 020 27 029 26 031 35 027 79189 75292 40 013 30 022 30 014 37 013 31 027 75292 71826 35 011 18 019 24 010 31 008 26 023 71826 68663 16 022 10 053 16 344 23 015 21 018 68663 65731 15 346 28 028 22 017 23 011 22 015 65731 62997 39 345 43 347 34 357 28 354 29 000 62997 60356 37 346 36 325 36 339 33 339 37 335 60356 57628 29 342 33 335 31 330 34 324 34 321 57628 54806 43 333 37 337 34 336 29 328 30 328 54806 52096 51 327 43 336 41 339 36 342 35 338 52096 49641 52 319 48 326 48 330 49 329 42 331 49641 47433 50 318 47 323 50 322 51 320 46 321 47433 45430 51 319 44 320 45 314 46 313 44 317 45430 43597 51 317 42 312 40 306 41 309 39 318 43597 41908 47 312 37 305 33 298 36 305 34 311 41908 40342 44 310 31 303 24 295 32 299 31 289 40342 38887 41 316 28 308 20 300 36 288 33 285 38887 37530 36 321 28 308 27 292 36 274 35 276 37530 36237 36 326 30 304 28 282 36 255 35 257 36237 34940 39 321 31 303 24 280 34 247 35 246 34940 33613 40 313 32 304 22 277 33 246 36 247 33613 32264 41 309 32 306 21 274 32 245 40 247 32264 30882 41 311 30 308 23 272 32 248 38 246 30882 29450 42 318 31 315 28 275 32 261 35 250 29450 27970 44 325 35 321 31 284 32 275 34 258 27970 26442 47 330 39 323 33 297 29 290 32 266 26442 24866 47 331 40 324 35 309 29 302 30 279 24866 23245 46 330 38 324 35 314 30 307 32 293 23245 21575 44 328 37 320 33 318 29 309 32 298 21575 19849 42 325 36 317 32 321 28 314 30 300 19849 18100 40 324 34 316 31 321 28 320 28 306 18100 16420 37 324 31 316 28 319 26 321 25 310 16420 14890 34 324 28 316 25 317 22 319 23 314 14890 13524 31 325 25 315 23 315 19 316 21 315 13524 12300 29 327 22 315 21 313 16 313 17 314 12300 11200 27 329 19 316 18 311 13 309 14 311 11200 10211 26 332 17 317 15 305 11 300 10 302 10211 9323 25 335 14 319 12 294 8 283 8 283 9323 8531 23 336 11 317 10 276 8 262 8 258 8531 7823 20 336 7 304 10 262 8 254 8 246 7823 7183 14 329 5 267 10 252 7 256 7 237 7183 6613 8 303 7 258 7 229 7 248 5 227 6613 6133 9 271 8 267 6 211 8 233 5 216 6133 5763 13 262 4 273 6 208 8 226 4 198 5763 5507 16 260 0 292 5 204 7 219 3 150 5507 5351 13*254 1*079 5 202 5*209 3 102 5351 5261 7*252 1*083 5*202 3*194 2*085 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography