DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.0 - - 44.9 - - 49.8 - - 47.3 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 39 - - 41 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 124 - - 1165 - - 3681 - - 2881 - - 1203 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 88 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 099 - - 207 - - 258 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -462 - - -476 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5724 - - 5738 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -5786 - - -3244 - - -1717 - - -761 - - -935 ODpotential blCL 11047 - - 8506 - - 6979 - - 6023 - - 6197 blCL maxRH 88 - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 190 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 35.0 - - 44.9 - - 49.8 - - 47.3 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 38.0 - - 42.7 - - 45.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.4 - - 44.2 - - 49.1 - - 47.5 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 36.9 - - 41.5 - - 45.4 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 39 - - 41 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 86 - - 94 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96196 30 290 49 286 38 305 32 307 38 280 96196 89275 17 308 28 285 23 306 23 324 21 307 89275 83844 6 311 16 264 25 293 15 309 16 308 83844 79289 12 319 9 255 21 260 18 289 14 314 79289 75336 20 293 7 301 13 255 19 266 15 314 75336 71814 21 274 14 287 15 246 19 255 21 283 71814 68609 20 279 12 275 16 226 26 257 28 262 68609 65643 28 271 18 273 21 248 29 243 24 247 65643 62866 34 250 29 252 26 247 23 227 20 241 62866 60160 33 237 31 242 25 249 17 235 20 251 60160 57327 30 234 30 240 29 246 19 257 24 245 57327 54385 26 240 33 237 34 239 30 250 26 235 54385 51581 28 244 36 229 38 234 41 235 34 239 51581 49075 34 238 38 229 39 231 42 224 41 233 49075 46850 37 231 40 232 40 236 38 230 40 230 46850 44847 39 230 43 231 46 238 41 243 39 235 44847 43026 42 235 47 230 51 237 46 244 43 233 43026 41363 45 238 49 227 55 235 48 238 43 226 41363 39833 54 234 50 229 59 232 46 233 40 225 39833 38411 62 228 55 231 61 229 46 230 39 229 38411 37080 63 227 60 229 60 226 45 225 39 230 37080 35805 62 230 60 226 58 225 44 221 37 228 35805 34525 56 236 53 223 57 226 41 221 37 228 34525 33214 51 234 49 218 60 227 44 229 40 227 33214 31872 47 221 54 218 66 226 56 230 43 224 31872 30490 42 225 59 218 70 223 62 227 46 220 30490 29059 40 229 58 219 70 220 60 223 48 218 29059 27580 41 229 54 219 67 222 59 220 48 218 27580 26056 41 229 51 222 58 226 55 220 47 221 26056 24492 41 226 45 226 41 224 50 223 46 224 24492 22895 40 224 38 224 35 220 39 224 39 223 22895 21258 36 224 33 220 32 222 28 225 30 217 21258 19572 33 227 31 217 32 227 26 215 24 206 19572 17863 32 225 33 215 29 227 25 212 22 204 17863 16223 31 217 38 214 29 224 25 213 17 205 16223 14733 30 207 41 212 31 219 25 210 16 205 14733 13402 27 201 38 207 34 211 25 209 15 208 13402 12209 22 196 32 201 35 207 27 210 15 214 12209 11137 18 192 27 196 33 207 25 205 15 223 11137 10171 16 191 23 194 31 214 21 197 15 220 10171 9302 14 192 19 192 27 222 19 194 15 209 9302 8525 13 195 17 192 23 225 16 196 13 198 8525 7825 15 195 17 193 21 224 13 202 9 180 7825 7191 17 190 16 192 17 220 11 209 6 161 7191 6622 16 172 13 186 13 214 10 210 5 154 6622 6142 11 124 8 160 10 210 8 213 5 118 6142 5769 12 077 5 113 9 208 6 215 5 094 5769 5510 14 060 5 104 9 208 4 218 5 078 5510 5353 10 053 5*102 8*208 2 218 5*066 5353 5262 5*051 4*099 7*207 0*258 3*062 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography