DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.3 - - 59.4 - - 60.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 47 - - 124 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 198 - - 1344 - - 2583 - - 6199 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 94 - - 125 - - 16 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 065 - - 077 - - 121 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -860 - - -2205 - - -3025 - - -26 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 6123 - - 7468 - - 8289 - - 5290 sfcLCL ODpotential -4614 - - -4418 - - -4501 - - -5020 - - -4188 ODpotential blCL 9876 - - 9681 - - 9764 - - 10283 - - 9451 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 83 - - 88 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 160 - - 80 - - 120 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.3 - - 59.4 - - 60.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 44.7 - - 44.8 - - 42.7 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 52.6 - - 58.0 - - 61.6 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 43.5 - - 44.1 - - 42.3 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 47 - - 124 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 85 - - 32 - - 54 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97402 3 083 6 220 7 275 6 288 7 331 97402 90217 5 038 1 239 2 124 3 331 5 045 90217 84637 7 010 3 318 3 056 5 020 7 015 84637 79994 4 030 5 250 4 299 7 359 4 360 79994 76014 2 087 4 213 6 278 5 329 3 304 76014 72503 6 346 4 160 8 243 10 265 4 242 72503 69308 5 213 7 186 10 216 11 270 5 268 69308 66354 1 195 5 199 12 225 12 263 12 282 66354 63591 8 243 7 246 10 211 11 207 13 251 63591 60915 7 242 7 269 9 241 6 228 12 232 60915 58135 10 223 19 209 24 218 23 243 21 228 58135 55244 30 226 31 219 37 220 41 227 42 226 55244 52480 37 225 38 225 46 223 51 219 38 222 52480 49980 36 227 51 218 52 218 51 225 39 229 49980 47722 45 233 59 223 59 224 65 226 56 231 47722 45683 62 231 66 225 60 225 70 231 81 235 45683 43843 69 231 70 233 79 232 86 233 95 232 43843 42156 79 232 82 233 92 228 94 229 96 230 42156 40587 84 226 85 228 91 227 96 228 95 227 40587 39123 72 215 77 222 86 225 91 227 89 224 39123 37757 57 223 65 223 81 224 82 226 82 224 37757 36454 64 240 62 231 73 225 76 227 75 225 36454 35149 71 241 65 237 65 228 70 227 69 227 35149 33813 71 240 66 236 60 229 65 228 63 228 33813 32450 65 240 66 231 58 227 61 229 60 228 32450 31046 54 240 65 228 58 224 59 230 58 228 31046 29592 46 237 60 230 55 222 55 228 55 227 29592 28089 42 232 54 233 48 222 51 227 52 226 28089 26539 40 225 48 239 41 223 43 228 47 227 26539 24943 41 219 43 240 34 227 34 226 41 224 24943 23306 43 214 37 238 28 231 27 222 35 217 23306 21627 39 218 38 234 27 231 21 225 31 214 21627 19900 32 224 35 243 27 225 17 230 26 210 19900 18157 25 225 25 233 24 229 16 234 19 203 18157 16486 23 223 22 226 19 234 15 229 16 198 16486 14965 22 222 21 216 18 228 16 226 16 199 14965 13607 21 225 20 206 20 218 17 219 16 199 13607 12390 20 228 19 205 21 214 17 212 16 195 12390 11294 19 222 18 206 19 208 17 205 17 188 11294 10305 15 221 17 205 17 199 15 199 17 182 10305 9413 9 224 15 200 16 193 12 191 16 179 9413 8614 7 202 13 190 14 193 10 176 13 172 8614 7896 8 170 12 174 11 191 8 158 10 157 7896 7244 10 138 10 151 8 183 7 150 8 148 7244 6660 11 104 7 100 5 115 7 143 6 138 6660 6166 12 067 10 067 5 084 7 138 6 094 6166 5783 15 051 9 064 5 081 6 133 6 063 5783 5517 13 045 8 065 5 080 6 128 7 041 5517 5355 8*044 7*064 5*078 5*126 5*022 5355 5263 4*049 6*065 5*077 4*121 3*010 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography