DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.4 - - 21.1 - - 28.2 - - 28.9 - - 21.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 66 - - 105 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1087 - - 1391 - - 2504 - - 4515 - - 3083 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 99 - - 117 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 045 - - 044 - - 046 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -1445 - - -1731 - - -106 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5260 - - 6706 - - 6992 - - 5366 sfcLCL ODpotential -648 - - -806 - - -3779 - - -3423 - - -2171 ODpotential blCL 5908 - - 6066 - - 9040 - - 8684 - - 7431 blCL maxRH 99 - - 96 - - 75 - - 75 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.4 - - 21.1 - - 28.2 - - 28.9 - - 21.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.4 - - 17.0 - - 17.5 - - 17.0 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.2 - - 20.1 - - 27.0 - - 29.2 - - 23.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 16.7 - - 16.8 - - 16.2 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 66 - - 105 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 83 - - 2 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94476 44 313 47 295 51 284 54 289 68 287 94476 87980 31 331 29 304 40 297 42 304 48 298 87980 82859 26 339 25 326 30 313 38 313 33 313 82859 78514 26 339 23 334 28 328 34 321 32 324 78514 74693 25 330 24 333 22 325 30 322 29 324 74693 71268 24 325 23 328 22 329 29 323 30 327 71268 68137 27 327 27 329 28 326 31 320 34 324 68137 65235 30 324 33 323 32 319 33 314 35 311 65235 62519 33 318 35 314 33 315 36 314 34 305 62519 59868 36 311 38 310 36 314 41 310 38 310 59868 57087 39 312 40 310 41 311 44 302 41 308 57087 54182 44 317 44 312 46 308 46 301 46 308 54182 51389 49 315 48 313 48 306 48 306 50 306 51389 48857 51 315 49 311 50 308 51 308 49 304 48857 46572 54 317 50 311 52 309 51 307 47 304 46572 44485 56 317 51 311 54 307 52 307 47 305 44485 42562 57 316 52 310 51 308 52 309 47 309 42562 40783 57 314 52 311 48 311 47 309 46 316 40783 39135 55 312 52 314 46 313 45 313 49 320 39135 37609 51 312 52 314 47 314 47 316 50 319 37609 36196 49 316 50 312 47 316 47 315 49 316 36196 34859 47 317 47 309 47 315 47 315 48 317 34859 33531 45 313 46 308 44 311 44 315 49 320 33531 32189 43 306 46 308 42 310 42 317 49 321 32189 30842 42 302 47 305 40 309 42 320 48 321 30842 29477 42 302 48 301 40 305 41 319 49 321 29477 28078 41 301 48 296 42 301 38 316 49 322 28078 26642 40 299 47 295 44 297 37 314 49 324 26642 25168 40 296 47 296 43 296 36 315 46 325 25168 23659 41 293 46 298 41 297 35 317 42 325 23659 22118 40 293 42 300 38 298 33 320 39 326 22118 20539 36 295 38 301 35 300 31 321 37 328 20539 18917 32 306 35 302 32 305 30 323 35 329 18917 17279 30 314 31 306 30 314 28 326 32 329 17279 15707 28 315 26 316 27 321 26 330 29 332 15707 14277 23 318 20 327 23 325 22 336 25 338 14277 13001 19 324 15 336 18 332 19 344 22 344 13001 11861 15 337 12 345 14 341 17 354 20 349 11861 10838 13 352 11 353 13 352 16 006 17 358 10838 9921 12 004 10 002 13 001 14 016 9 014 9921 9097 11 015 9 014 13 010 11 028 6 067 9097 8358 10 027 9 031 12 020 9 042 9 075 8358 7696 12 036 11 046 10 032 7 054 12 077 7696 7095 11 037 12 052 8 037 6 059 13 075 7095 6554 6 037 9 052 6 041 5 060 12 074 6554 6098 2 024 4 050 5 044 4 056 10 072 6098 5743 2 304 2 045 4 044 4 052 7 065 5743 5497 2 292 2 044 4 044 3 048 4 050 5497 5347 2*294 2*046 4*046 3*046 4*037 5347 5260 2*298 2*045 4*044 2*046 3*024 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography