DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.2 - - 87.8 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 497 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8074 - - 11591 - - 11769 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11144 - - 14102 - - 13774 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13135 - - 16652 - - 16830 - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2770 - - 1453 - - 1431 - - 10893 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 636 - - 753 - - 592 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 251 - - 251 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -4 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2329 - - -1047 - - -1360 - - -11902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15464 - - 17700 - - 18191 - - 17168 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5234 - - -3672 - - -4812 - - -16396 ODpotential blCL - - - 18369 - - 20324 - - 21642 - - 21661 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 47 - - 43 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.2 - - 87.8 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 26.9 - - 25.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 83.8 - - 85.7 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 26.6 - - 25.0 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 497 - - 238 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8074 - - 11591 - - 11769 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99490 31 109 31 090 34 086 37 096 99490 91948 31 107 24 102 24 087 29 089 91948 86155 29 101 24 115 24 098 22 078 86155 81362 21 094 15 096 16 103 19 081 81362 77241 18 089 13 084 12 090 18 086 77241 73595 11 106 18 098 11 071 14 076 73595 70300 7 127 7 099 12 070 12 060 70300 67275 8 135 2 199 4 019 10 052 67275 64456 2 160 4 230 6 270 6 359 64456 61725 5 270 6 263 10 265 9 307 61725 58897 18 279 12 302 9 274 16 270 58897 55989 18 273 20 279 15 285 16 264 55989 53224 23 280 24 272 25 272 24 262 53224 50740 24 282 25 270 30 257 33 262 50740 48518 24 298 25 266 32 258 36 264 48518 46500 25 294 25 267 30 257 36 262 46500 44648 21 291 27 269 26 253 34 249 44648 42939 21 313 24 266 29 253 32 240 42939 41356 23 318 21 282 27 253 30 240 41356 39880 24 315 23 293 20 271 29 242 39880 38501 24 314 22 296 21 287 23 257 38501 37184 23 315 20 299 21 281 23 259 37184 35862 21 312 20 299 19 272 24 257 35862 34506 19 311 21 300 19 269 24 257 34506 33118 20 311 22 298 21 270 24 259 33118 31687 21 309 25 295 24 273 25 263 31687 30201 23 305 27 294 27 276 25 267 30201 28665 21 301 27 291 27 276 24 270 28665 27083 17 300 22 283 26 273 23 273 27083 25457 15 302 18 274 25 267 21 279 25457 23791 12 296 16 268 22 263 19 279 23791 22080 10 282 16 260 19 265 17 276 22080 20319 11 264 15 261 18 271 18 275 20319 18542 15 276 16 270 18*268 24 265 18542 16837 21 277 14*258 14*252 26 256 16837 15283 21 275 13*252 14 249 23 253 15283 13890 18*273 13 251 13 248 18 252 13890 12637 16*267 13 251 13 248 15 252 12637 11507 15 259 13 250 13 249 13 254 11507 10486 14 258 13 250 13 250 13 256 10486 9566 11 256 13 250 13 251 12 257 9566 8741 9 251 13 250 13 252 12 259 8741 7999 7 245 13 250 12 253 11 261 7999 7324 7 239 13 250 12 254 11 263 7324 6718 6 235 12 250 12 254 11 264 6718 6205 6 230 12 250 12 254 10 266 6205 5807 5 227 12 250 12 254 10 266 5807 5530 5 225 12 250 11 254 9 267 5530 5361 5 224 11 250 11 255 7*266 5361 5265 4 223 10 250 10 255 4*265 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography