DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.8 - - 30.2 - - 28.3 - - 23.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 125 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 3424 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5731 - - 6948 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7184 - - 8485 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3198 - - 6352 - - 6197 - - 1591 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 322 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 340 - - 289 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 17 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -656 - - -379 - - -2762 - - -1159 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7840 - - 8865 - - 8023 - - 6419 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3028 - - -2498 - - -4579 - - -3660 ODpotential blCL - - - 10212 - - 10983 - - 9840 - - 8920 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 93 - - 76 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.8 - - 30.2 - - 28.3 - - 23.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.0 - - 9.9 - - 11.8 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 29.0 - - 28.8 - - 24.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 8.9 - - 10.8 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 125 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 3424 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 73 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95796 46 250 56 273 56 274 47 278 95796 88791 28 259 36 271 39 278 33 277 88791 83387 25 261 19 251 23 291 24 271 83387 78863 22 259 16 238 19 277 17 271 78863 74914 22 273 14 253 23 252 22 252 74914 71376 21 267 18 264 26 268 19 241 71376 68141 20 247 29 263 31 283 22 260 68141 65137 23 269 33 259 32 276 27 273 65137 62324 30 283 28 249 27 262 31 265 62324 59581 27 279 26 251 18 264 26 249 59581 56709 24 266 26 260 18 270 32 280 56709 53733 27 262 36 259 29 273 35 277 53733 50887 30 259 37 256 35 271 25 255 50887 48297 25 274 28 273 27 269 21 284 48297 45978 31 287 31 286 20 289 38 307 45978 43910 34 280 32 283 32 305 39 309 43910 42033 32 272 29 281 39 312 29 306 42033 40303 27 265 27 296 36 309 22 310 40303 38695 23 275 30 309 26 313 30 325 38695 37200 22 297 32 313 24 334 40 335 37200 35819 28 307 33 318 30 340 47 340 35819 34515 28 302 37 319 37 340 49 349 34515 33226 22 308 37 313 42 340 60 359 33226 31922 30 322 33 305 46 341 77 003 31922 30608 35 321 30 314 51 344 91 004 30608 29268 37 329 30 327 55 346 97 004 29268 27885 41 336 32 330 57 348 96 004 27885 26461 44 340 32 330 54 343 91 004 26461 24996 36 337 34 331 44 327 87 004 24996 23497 24 316 36 335 32 322 81 003 23497 21969 17 290 37 338 28 336 67 000 21969 20408 12 272 35 334 27 341 47 356 20408 18808 12 275 31 326 28 337 32 351 18808 17198 17 287 24 317 29 327 26 352 17198 15655 22 288 16 305 29 320 22 351 15655 14251 22 288 12 298 26 322 20 347 14251 12995 16 287 11 314 23 326 20 341 12995 11867 10 293 13 334 21 331 21 336 11867 10851 9 330 17 343 20 337 23 334 10851 9934 11 352 20 345 19 340 25 334 9934 9109 15 356 21*344 17 339 27 335 9109 8369 18 354 20*343 16 335 28 335 8369 7705 20*352 20 342 14 329 28 335 7705 7100 20*350 19 341 13 320 27 334 7100 6558 19 349 19 340 11 311 24 333 6558 6100 19 348 18 339 11 306 21 328 6100 5744 18 347 17 338 10 302 17 320 5744 5497 17 346 16 337 9 298 14 310 5497 5347 15 346 15 337 8*294 11 304 5347 5260 12 346 12 336 6*289 6*297 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography