DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 79.1 - - 77.3 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 346 - - 64 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3251 - - 8138 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7177 - - 11091 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8312 - - 13199 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4864 - - 2016 - - 8759 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 594 - - 99 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 243 - - 250 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -8 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6109 - - -2973 - - -11349 - - -8869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14422 - - 16173 - - 16613 - - 14133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9118 - - -6472 - - -15458 - - -15183 ODpotential blCL - - - 17430 - - 19671 - - 20722 - - 20446 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 88 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 79.1 - - 77.3 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 25.8 - - 22.3 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 76.6 - - 76.4 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 25.7 - - 22.2 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 346 - - 64 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3251 - - 8138 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 50 - - 22 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98665 15 231 18 272 22 274 26 290 98665 91252 17 270 18 279 16 270 18 275 91252 85482 14 270 13 248 16 278 16 282 85482 80711 16 285 9 270 10 288 12 278 80711 76625 11 271 13 274 10 312 5 257 76625 73016 2 222 8 273 12 297 11 326 73016 69762 12 309 6 324 11 282 16 320 69762 66773 12 309 9 321 8 268 11 299 66773 63989 11 308 18 332 13 349 7 330 63989 61279 20 301 27 295 20 311 11 315 61279 58453 26 267 28 272 28 292 18 305 58453 55533 26 281 29 278 38 283 35 292 55533 52765 39 288 45 283 47 282 49 283 52765 50302 64 285 67 280 67 277 65 277 50302 48115 79 276 77 272 75 270 74 267 48115 46145 86 281 82 279 79 275 80 268 46145 44342 100 288 94 286 89 279 91 271 44342 42668 107 285 99 282 94 277 97 270 42668 41099 103 281 100 278 95 275 95 269 41099 39623 100 281 97 277 93 274 91 268 39623 38238 96 282 91 277 89 272 85 267 38238 36913 93 284 87 277 85 271 82 265 36913 35581 91 283 84 276 82 270 80 264 35581 34215 90 280 82 273 78 269 79 263 34215 32823 87 280 80 271 75 267 76 261 32823 31391 80 282 78 270 73 266 74 259 31391 29907 71 283 76 270 73 266 72 260 29907 28374 64 283 72 272 74 265 69 261 28374 26803 61 280 66 274 71 264 65 259 26803 25194 56 277 59 273 62 265 61 257 25194 23546 51 274 53 267 52 265 55 256 23546 21855 48 271 49 263 46 264 49 255 21855 20113 45 267 46 261 43 262 45 255 20113 18353 40 263 44 259 41 261 42 254 18353 16664 35 260 41 260 39 261 39 253 16664 15128 30 259 34 261 35 260 37 251 15128 13753 27 256 24*255 31 255 33 245 13753 12518 26 249 19*245 27 251 30 238 12518 11404 22 243 18 244 22 248 27 235 11404 10398 18 236 18 243 20 249 24 235 10398 9491 16 235 18 243 19 249 21 239 9491 8679 14*232 18 243 19 249 18 244 8679 7949 12*226 18 242 19 249 15 249 7949 7286 9 216 18 242 18 250 12 254 7286 6690 8 208 17 242 18 250 10 259 6690 6187 7 205 17 242 17 250 9 264 6187 5796 7 203 16 242 17 250 9 266 5796 5524 6 201 16 242 16 250 8 265 5524 5358 6 200 15 242 15*250 6 264 5358 5263 6 200 13 242 12*250 5*262 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography