DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.0 - - 40.1 - - 45.7 - - 41.5 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 38 - - 94 - - -19 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 4488 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 7491 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 9549 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 1214 - - 2517 - - 6735 - - 3827 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 83 - - 316 - - 8 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 15 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 265 - - 292 - - 292 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -556 - - -2993 - - 390 - - -2770 - - -1787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5817 - - 8255 - - 9159 - - 8031 - - 7048 sfcLCL ODpotential -7682 - - -5477 - - -647 - - -4389 - - -4868 ODpotential blCL 12943 - - 10738 - - 10196 - - 9650 - - 10129 blCL maxRH 57 - - 88 - - 89 - - 86 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.0 - - 40.1 - - 45.7 - - 41.5 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 22.4 - - 23.9 - - 24.8 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.4 - - 39.4 - - 44.6 - - 42.7 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 22.2 - - 23.8 - - 24.7 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 38 - - 94 - - -19 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 4488 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 54 - - 57 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 32 092 35 088 41 092 35 095 43 075 96531 89456 25 081 31 075 38 089 35 095 40 077 89456 83909 21 075 25 071 26 081 32 086 34 077 83909 79251 19 066 18 071 17 077 27 072 27 074 79251 75218 18 053 14 070 14 057 20 049 23 064 75218 71630 17 035 8 044 14 037 17 028 17 034 71630 68379 18 023 9 020 11 011 8 018 12 010 68379 65388 16 018 7 349 15 340 7 009 11 350 65388 62597 21 347 5 343 18 302 16 327 11 336 62597 59861 27 306 26 309 27 303 20 303 7 276 59861 56991 30 299 31 304 33 304 21 299 29 317 56991 54039 27 303 33 306 34 304 36 312 33 308 54039 51232 30 308 36 304 42 300 43 302 28 292 51232 48687 41 306 39 299 44 290 36 296 39 304 48687 46397 49 302 39 303 33 305 37 309 49 310 46397 44340 53 300 47 313 46 319 47 308 53 320 44340 42485 58 298 56 310 58 305 48 307 74 324 42485 40824 57 294 54 301 51 299 56 325 99 321 40824 39321 55 293 50 304 44 317 88 331 108 320 39321 37925 56 294 57 317 57 330 107 328 107 320 37925 36613 58 290 63 316 74 330 114 325 104 320 36613 35353 57 281 62 309 85 328 117 323 101 321 35353 34083 55 275 61 307 81 323 116 323 100 325 34083 32778 58 273 61 303 72 316 110 324 98 331 32778 31443 61 271 60 298 66 313 100 329 96 336 31443 30068 60 271 55 292 59 312 98 336 94 339 30068 28645 57 273 47 291 49 311 97 340 92 340 28645 27176 55 274 41 296 42 301 88 342 88 342 27176 25662 55 271 41 298 29 293 79 345 85 343 25662 24107 55 269 41 300 31 309 67 343 80 345 24107 22514 54 268 40 300 34 314 60 336 75 347 22514 20883 51 268 36 294 34 314 53 328 71 349 20883 19210 50 266 35 284 31 313 44 322 67 350 19210 17525 48 265 35 284 29 314 36 318 59 348 17525 15916 45 267 33 293 26 316 31 318 50 346 15916 14458 41 271 31 299 24 321 28 323 42 346 14458 13161 37 275 29 299 23 326 27 328 35 346 13161 12002 33 280 25 298 23 329 27 331 30 348 12002 10961 30 284 21 295 21 325 27 333 28 351 10961 10024 27 288 17 292 18*316 27 332 28 353 10024 9182 23 292 14 291 16*308 25 331 28 354 9182 8429 21 293 13 296 16 300 24 330 28 354 8429 7753 19 291 13 304 16 293 22 328 26 353 7753 7138 18 284 14 309 15 290 20 324 23 350 7138 6586 19 275 15 307 15 288 18 319 19 346 6586 6119 21 270 15 294 15 286 16 313 15 339 6119 5756 19 265 15 277 14 285 14 306 11 326 5756 5504 16 255 12 268 14 283 12 300 9 313 5504 5350 12*242 11 266 13 283 10 296 8 300 5350 5261 8*238 9*265 11 283 7*292 6*287 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography