DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.0 - - 45.8 - - 53.5 - - 52.8 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 127 - - 227 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 792 - - 2646 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 6637 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5853 - - 7707 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 108 - - 755 - - 2332 - - 4884 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 199 - - 355 - - 68 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 268 - - 267 - - 260 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1085 - - -2781 - - -4137 - - -7264 - - -4271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6347 - - 8635 - - 11844 - - 12526 - - 9533 sfcLCL ODpotential -10506 - - -8639 - - -8887 - - -11226 - - -9654 ODpotential blCL 15767 - - 14492 - - 16594 - - 16488 - - 14916 blCL maxRH 74 - - 70 - - 85 - - 83 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.0 - - 45.8 - - 53.5 - - 52.8 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 26.6 - - 20.0 - - 16.3 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 44.5 - - 51.6 - - 52.2 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 25.4 - - 19.4 - - 16.0 - - 18.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 127 - - 227 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 792 - - 2646 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 31 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96530 13 111 10 142 5 180 7 098 13 139 96530 89350 6 080 6 088 5 183 5 339 5 046 89350 83758 4 004 2 191 1 031 7 318 10 339 83758 79084 7 014 6 273 8 307 8 301 17 339 79084 75061 10 310 3 256 8 273 16 325 23 311 75061 71542 41 310 28 320 25 350 23 346 30 329 71542 68375 49 307 42 304 46 316 39 319 36 316 68375 65466 39 311 37 305 42 303 40 314 38 308 65466 62751 37 318 36 317 43 304 45 311 41 308 62751 60101 44 314 43 309 47 301 49 304 46 302 60101 57320 54 304 48 300 50 300 53 299 47 304 57320 54419 65 299 55 295 55 300 56 296 56 301 54419 51648 79 296 65 293 62 293 64 294 59 297 51648 49156 80 289 74 290 68 294 66 289 65 296 49156 46924 79 296 77 297 78 286 72 288 68 293 46924 44905 88 299 85 294 77 284 74 285 73 291 44905 43066 97 294 90 287 74 286 74 285 76 291 43066 41379 94 288 88 284 81 279 79 283 80 285 41379 39824 84 286 82 286 81 274 80 279 80 283 39824 38384 79 289 83 287 71 272 75 276 81 282 38384 37044 80 291 84 283 62 269 62 272 77 281 37044 35769 80 292 83 282 59 268 50 263 67 279 35769 34492 77 291 79 285 56 271 46 259 57 276 34492 33183 68 292 74 285 53 272 45 264 46 273 33183 31847 67 300 68 292 51 274 43 269 35 274 31847 30473 66 301 66 295 49 277 42 272 29 276 30473 29048 64 299 59 293 52 277 43 274 28 276 29048 27577 62 298 55 294 54 266 43 276 35 275 27577 26059 58 298 51 294 49 265 45 277 47 273 26059 24498 54 298 47 291 37 276 48 274 48 275 24498 22894 51 301 44 291 32 279 48 268 45 282 22894 21244 50 305 41 292 31 278 37 259 41 294 21244 19548 48 309 39 292 34 277 23 268 34 293 19548 17838 43 310 37 291 34 280 24 283 24 254 17838 16202 38 305 34 290 31 283 24 284 11 275 16202 14717 34 302 31 292 27 284 22 283 12 300 14717 13390 31 300 28 295 25 284 20 283 13 293 13390 12198 27 301 24 296 22 286 18 283 16 282 12198 11126 24 303 20 297 19 288 17 284 17 273 11126 10161 21 307 17 298 16 291 15 284 18 267 10161 9292 18 313 13 301 12 291 13 277 19 264 9292 8515 15 320 9 304 10 284 13 266 19 260 8515 7818 12 325 7 301 10*278 13 262 19 256 7818 7186 9 322 6 289 10*272 13 261 19 254 7186 6618 8 295 10 275 10 269 12 261 20 252 6618 6139 14 266 11*271 10 267 12 261 20 251 6139 5767 18 261 10*269 10 265 12 261 19 251 5767 5509 16 260 10 268 10 265 11 260 16 250 5509 5352 11*255 9 268 9 264 10 260 11*248 5352 5262 6*252 8 267 8 264 9*260 5*245 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography