DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 59.8 - - 56.9 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 37 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3550 - - 4228 - - 2990 - - 2664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 89 - - 69 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 073 - - 167 - - 086 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -738 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6001 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2063 - - -1120 - - -749 - - -798 ODpotential blCL - - - 7326 - - 6383 - - 6012 - - 6061 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 870 - - 1160 - - 950 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 59.8 - - 56.9 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 55.0 - - 53.7 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 59.0 - - 56.3 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 53.9 - - 53.0 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 37 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 101 - - 90 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98765 4 036 9 033 8 015 11 002 98765 91430 2 347 9 357 10 352 5 327 91430 85759 4 084 5 299 12 330 13 333 85759 81044 5 307 9 282 12 313 15 340 81044 76968 13 291 13 300 14 312 16 325 76968 73355 10 282 14 292 16 308 16 307 73355 70080 8 268 14 286 16 298 12 305 70080 67061 7 269 11 285 18 285 13 310 67061 64257 8 297 13 259 16 282 18 297 64257 61544 20 295 16 270 22 277 24 282 61544 58714 24 256 22 251 24 259 26 269 58714 55770 26 222 21 244 24 259 24 272 55770 52966 26 243 23 260 28 261 29 280 52966 50451 33 245 29 258 29 261 32 272 50451 48197 38 235 34 252 30 261 33 276 48197 46145 42 226 39 241 32 260 36 277 46145 44255 49 221 43 232 37 256 39 276 44255 42498 59 220 51 220 40 247 40 268 42498 40855 72 217 60 209 43 236 38 258 40855 39317 80 213 65 202 44 228 36 249 39317 37878 81 209 66 200 43 223 32 243 37878 36505 79 203 66 199 40 215 29 240 36505 35136 76 199 63 194 44 204 32 232 35136 33746 70 194 57 186 52 191 35 216 33746 32347 68 182 45 176 52 178 31 196 32347 30929 68 175 38 172 46 175 27 172 30929 29477 65 180 40 176 39 173 28 157 29477 27983 57 190 41 173 33 170 24 167 27983 26447 42 200 36 176 30 173 23 182 26447 24867 34 204 37 179 27 179 23 189 24867 23247 35 206 40 185 26 188 20 197 23247 21580 41 206 39 192 28 205 19 206 21580 19862 37 206 42 195 27 216 20 206 19862 18124 27 205 41 202 25 224 22 204 18124 16453 22 204 39 212 32 226 20 211 16453 14932 19 203 35 223 34 226 22 226 14932 13574 17 203 27 225 30 235 25 235 13574 12357 16 202 18 216 23 244 25 236 12357 11262 16 197 12 195 17 240 20 236 11262 10276 16 189 12 177 12 225 15 243 10276 9388 13 171 13 173 9 208 9 242 9388 8593 11 135 12 171 6 182 4 226 8593 7881 11 097 12 171 4 147 2 174 7881 7235 11 076 11 171 3 119 3 150 7235 6654 10 077 10 171 2 108 3 142 6654 6163 10 075 9 170 2 090 2 136 6163 5782 10 074 8 169 2 087 2 131 5782 5517 10 073 8 167 2 085 2 127 5517 5356 9*073 7*167 2*081 2*129 5356 5263 8*073 6*167 2*086 1*122 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography