DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.5 - - 20.2 - - 27.8 - - 28.5 - - 18.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 80 - - 106 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 957 - - 1082 - - 1424 - - 1464 - - 870 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 106 - - 117 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 086 - - 096 - - 097 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -1110 - - -1190 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5260 - - 6371 - - 6451 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential -407 - - -397 - - -8241 - - -8284 - - -9109 ODpotential blCL 5667 - - 5657 - - 13502 - - 13545 - - 14369 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 77 - - 68 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.5 - - 20.2 - - 27.8 - - 28.5 - - 18.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.6 - - 17.6 - - 18.8 - - 19.1 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.1 - - 19.2 - - 26.6 - - 28.6 - - 21.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 17.3 - - 18.0 - - 18.4 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 80 - - 106 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 96 - - 7 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95637 16 067 19 014 27 048 12 024 11 349 95637 88730 23 065 20 018 23 025 19 012 26 023 88730 83344 25 035 17 022 18 004 25 033 28 020 83344 78851 18 039 19 026 16 350 24 025 21 016 78851 74944 16 023 12 033 14 335 26 010 19 359 74944 71450 16 006 9 040 12 325 20 353 21 342 71450 68268 19 019 13 352 16 334 19 341 28 349 68268 65336 23 019 28 349 27 336 30 347 32 346 65336 62607 31 359 40 343 35 337 40 340 36 339 62607 59947 41 333 48 335 42 333 43 331 41 336 59947 57151 44 329 55 326 47 323 48 328 46 335 57151 54226 52 327 61 324 55 323 57 327 52 331 54226 51424 63 329 70 323 67 323 65 327 59 328 51424 48906 69 326 76 320 73 320 70 324 66 326 48906 46658 71 326 76 318 76 318 72 321 71 323 46658 44629 73 325 75 319 76 315 74 319 71 320 44629 42776 75 322 74 321 74 314 75 317 69 316 42776 41070 74 321 75 323 73 316 73 316 68 315 41070 39492 75 322 79 323 74 316 72 316 67 316 39492 38028 81 319 81 320 77 315 74 317 68 320 38028 36676 85 316 83 317 80 314 78 315 73 320 36676 35402 83 316 80 313 80 310 80 313 76 315 35402 34138 81 318 77 313 77 308 80 308 73 313 34138 32847 80 319 75 315 73 309 76 307 71 316 32847 31528 78 320 74 317 72 311 73 311 73 318 31528 30168 76 319 73 315 72 313 71 315 74 319 30168 28757 75 318 72 313 71 314 70 316 72 320 28757 27298 73 318 70 315 68 315 68 316 69 318 27298 25794 69 320 68 318 64 316 67 315 66 316 25794 24247 62 321 63 319 61 316 64 315 63 317 24247 22660 56 319 56 318 58 316 58 316 60 320 22660 21030 52 316 52 318 53 314 54 317 56 322 21030 19352 48 314 49 317 48 315 50 318 49 322 19352 17657 44 313 43 316 41 319 44 317 42 320 17657 16030 39 315 37 317 35 322 37 316 37 318 16030 14549 34 316 32 319 30 326 31 316 34 319 14549 13227 28 317 27 320 26 329 27 317 29 319 13227 12044 23 319 21 320 22 329 23 320 25 321 12044 10980 19 323 16 322 17 327 20 324 21 324 10980 10024 17 329 12 322 13 322 17 326 18 330 10024 9167 15 335 8 325 10 315 14 326 15 336 9167 8402 13 340 5 329 6 304 11 319 11 338 8402 7718 10 346 3 348 3 296 7 306 6 340 7718 7102 7 007 3 036 2 081 1 283 3 344 7102 6555 7 050 3 069 4 092 2 114 1 336 6555 6097 7 072 2 080 4 095 3 109 1 180 6097 5742 6 075 2 083 4 095 3 105 3 164 5742 5496 6 073 2 084 4 096 2 102 3 154 5496 5347 5*071 2*086 4*094 2*097 2 143 5347 5260 4*070 2*086 3*096 2*097 1*142 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography