DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 58.1 - - - - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 365 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3226 - - 5166 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7161 - - 8745 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8287 - - 10227 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1436 - - 1584 - - - - - 1262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 520 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 33 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 267 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -12 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2048 - - -1681 - - - - - -5321 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10335 - - 11908 - - - - - 10583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5772 - - -4735 - - - - - -10030 ODpotential blCL - - - 14059 - - 14962 - - - - - 15292 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 70 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 58.1 - - - - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 24.0 - - - - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 56.1 - - - - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 23.7 - - - - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 365 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3226 - - 5166 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96143 5 082 8 072 7 060 96143 89089 10 092 4 103 13 080 89089 83595 6 054 2 072 13 046 83595 78991 4 044 5 335 10 027 78991 75005 8 061 9 316 11 357 75005 71461 20 348 9 315 18 000 71461 68241 21 321 21 326 26 340 68241 65300 11 313 22 305 24 328 65300 62590 14 325 24 278 31 311 62590 59958 11 335 18 299 23 318 59958 57188 40 320 46 311 48 319 57188 54298 69 311 69 307 58 308 54298 51545 76 309 72 304 69 301 51545 49078 84 306 79 306 72 303 49078 46873 89 301 88 305 79 307 46873 44877 86 298 91 300 90 303 44877 43058 84 300 88 295 93 296 43058 41392 89 302 86 295 91 291 41392 39855 94 300 86 296 89 287 39855 38425 95 297 87 294 87 285 38425 37087 91 294 86 292 84 286 37087 35805 88 293 84 291 80 287 35805 34519 85 293 81 289 77 289 34519 33198 82 294 78 289 75 291 33198 31849 80 296 76 290 74 294 31849 30461 76 298 74 292 72 296 30461 29027 72 300 72 294 68 297 29027 27550 68 300 68 296 64 298 27550 26033 64 300 66 298 59 298 26033 24478 62 299 65 298 56 299 24478 22887 62 299 65 298 55 300 22887 21254 62 301 64 299 57 299 21254 19571 62 302 63 299 59 297 19571 17867 62 302 62 298 58 297 17867 16231 62 300 61 296 55 298 16231 14743 62 298 60 293 52 298 14743 13413 61 295 58 291 50 294 13413 12223 60 293 53 289 48 288 12223 11151 57 292 45*284 47 281 11151 10186 52 291 36*275 47 276 10186 9316 44 288 34 270 46 273 9316 8536 36*280 34 268 45 272 8536 7835 33*274 33 267 43 272 7835 7198 32 269 33 266 41 274 7198 6627 30 265 33 265 37 275 6627 6145 29 263 32 264 31 273 6145 5771 28 261 31 264 25 268 5771 5511 27 261 30 264 19 262 5511 5353 25 260 27 263 16*260 5353 5262 20 260 22 263 10*256 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography