DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.0 - - 35.9 - - 42.2 - - 37.2 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 18 - - 58 - - -39 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 802 - - 2335 - - 1696 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 65 - - 96 - - 15 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 246 - - 249 - - 241 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -599 - - -1447 - - -283 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5861 - - 6709 - - 5544 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -5550 - - -5071 - - -4412 - - -3988 - - -5909 ODpotential blCL 10811 - - 10332 - - 9674 - - 9249 - - 11170 blCL maxRH 85 - - 94 - - 91 - - 86 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.0 - - 35.9 - - 42.2 - - 37.2 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 29.0 - - 31.4 - - 31.6 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 35.4 - - 41.3 - - 38.4 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 28.6 - - 31.2 - - 31.5 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 18 - - 58 - - -39 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 77 - - 62 - - 42 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96375 25 058 17 044 21 047 26 058 16 062 96375 89287 20 054 20 050 25 045 23 053 25 049 89287 83778 20 046 17 049 18 024 20 026 24 026 83778 79149 21 030 15 029 17 358 24 002 19 011 79149 75118 14 044 15 026 11 009 18 017 26 013 75118 71543 17 349 25 355 24 343 25 007 26 354 71543 68318 19 335 26 354 21 327 28 359 15 023 68318 65326 36 342 19 354 21 337 30 346 31 001 65326 62543 34 328 30 334 40 322 40 341 43 347 62543 59892 22 331 32 327 35 312 39 342 30 321 59892 57145 20 358 24 317 25 293 23 316 20 305 57145 54274 38 336 31 332 22 316 34 314 30 315 54274 51528 54 321 44 331 38 323 49 318 44 323 51528 49069 52 311 52 322 52 321 61 314 60 321 49069 46907 54 306 57 316 62 314 64 310 67 319 46907 44993 56 311 55 312 64 318 65 326 70 321 44993 43264 60 319 59 320 82 337 88 341 78 331 43264 41675 63 326 69 333 104 341 103 341 86 335 41675 40187 66 332 89 342 101 339 105 337 88 332 40187 38781 70 337 92 342 86 336 90 338 87 328 38781 37453 77 342 84 339 73 331 77 337 83 325 37453 36175 82 344 81 340 76 326 82 330 80 323 36175 34884 79 344 77 341 74 328 81 327 77 322 34884 33556 72 339 69 342 71 330 76 324 76 320 33556 32194 56 334 64 340 70 329 75 324 75 319 32194 30786 54 328 59 333 68 325 74 325 73 319 30786 29327 57 325 63 326 67 321 71 325 71 320 29327 27820 58 322 64 323 62 318 66 324 69 319 27820 26267 55 320 63 320 56 316 60 323 67 317 26267 24672 52 319 61 317 54 315 55 322 64 315 24672 23036 49 319 59 316 53 315 52 319 62 314 23036 21359 46 319 56 315 54 314 52 317 59 312 21359 19635 42 318 51 313 54 314 50 317 55 312 19635 17898 39 317 46 310 53 313 48 318 50 313 17898 16235 36 317 42 307 50 309 47 319 47 315 16235 14726 34 316 39 304 47 304 48 316 45 317 14726 13380 33 315 36 302 43 298 48 311 43 317 13380 12176 31 313 32 302 39 294 45 305 41 314 12176 11096 30 311 29 303 35 291 42 296 38 306 11096 10125 28 309 26 304 30 288 38 287 37 292 10125 9256 26 308 23 306 28 284 35 276 37 277 9256 8482 24 307 20 305 26 281 33 267 37 266 8482 7789 23 307 17 301 26 275 32 261 37 259 7789 7161 22 306 16 291 26 270 31 258 36 256 7161 6599 21 298 18 275 24 257 30 253 33 254 6599 6125 21 284 20 258 23 253 28 250 29 251 6125 5758 21 280 19 254 22 252 25 247 24 246 5758 5505 19 278 15 248 21 251 20 244 18 241 5505 5350 12*274 13*247 19*250 17*243 15*239 5350 5261 6*268 10*246 14*249 10*241 9*237 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography