DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 53.3 - - - - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 79 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1648 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5246 - - 5246 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 6709 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2403 - - 1842 - - - - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 224 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 063 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2252 - - -1505 - - - - - -308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7515 - - 8215 - - - - - 5570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7839 - - -7527 - - - - - -9624 ODpotential blCL - - - 13101 - - 14236 - - - - - 14886 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 53 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 53.3 - - - - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 36.0 - - - - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 52.2 - - - - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 34.8 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 79 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1648 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97520 9 028 3 107 5 351 97520 90325 5 126 6 113 13 071 90325 84760 12 146 5 149 11 077 84760 80119 8 129 2 177 2 050 80119 76129 3 158 5 203 4 254 76129 72605 2 352 5 216 6 328 72605 69415 5 287 5 273 10 318 69415 66483 14 317 14 317 9 329 66483 63768 13 296 18 286 17 323 63768 61141 13 309 14 281 19 299 61141 58381 16 309 10 293 17 342 58381 55505 30 322 32 325 32 329 55505 52776 35 312 32 311 34 324 52776 50324 25 314 21 313 34 330 50324 48116 20 331 22 337 27 352 48116 46110 20 340 30 351 48 010 46110 44285 37 006 50 006 59 013 44285 42619 64 003 69 001 60 017 42619 41082 67 007 67 355 58 021 41082 39647 66 023 55 016 52 023 39647 38297 73 030 59 024 48 024 38297 36999 72 027 63 019 48 022 36999 35688 70 022 66 018 48 018 35688 34338 70 020 66 017 48 017 34338 32954 70 020 65 016 47 019 32954 31524 68 019 63 016 43 022 31524 30041 65 019 60 017 40 023 30041 28506 63 020 55 018 37 021 28506 26923 58 022 51 020 35 017 26923 25295 50 025 46 024 32 015 25295 23625 43 025 38 027 29 013 23625 21907 40 024 32 027 27 013 21907 20134 36 025 29 026 23 015 20134 18339 30 027 26 029 20 017 18339 16613 23 031 20 031 16 025 16613 15043 18 029 14 027 13 030 15043 13642 17 024 13 023 12 024 13642 12391 17 021 14 021 13 022 12391 11273 16 016 15 022 14 026 11273 10271 13 015 15 022 15 034 10271 9376 10 029 14 024 14 046 9376 8577 11 057 12 035 14 062 8577 7863 15 072 11 059 14 073 7863 7217 17 072 11*067 15 075 7217 6638 17 069 10*064 15 071 6638 6150 13 064 10 063 15 065 6150 5773 11 063 10 063 12 058 5773 5512 11 063 9 062 9 046 5512 5353 10*063 9 062 5 026 5353 5262 8*064 8 062 3*005 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography