DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 50.8 - - 48.9 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 239 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2636 - - 6585 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6461 - - 9668 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7697 - - 11646 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3736 - - 3443 - - 8546 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 491 - - 61 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 22 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 210 - - 181 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1636 - - 477 - - -4753 - - -2588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9333 - - 11170 - - 10015 - - 7850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3432 - - -717 - - -6118 - - -6058 ODpotential blCL - - - 11129 - - 12363 - - 11380 - - 11320 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 88 - - 92 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 50.8 - - 48.9 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.9 - - 19.6 - - 22.9 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 48.9 - - 48.5 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 19.3 - - 22.8 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 239 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2636 - - 6585 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 53 - - 68 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96890 17 096 30 101 22 128 19 080 96890 89739 19 126 19 113 16 108 15 095 89739 84134 14 119 17 114 14 097 15 107 84134 79445 12 114 12 137 6 118 9 113 79445 75382 6 113 6 125 9 150 5 112 75382 71773 3 135 3 226 4 218 2 017 71773 68483 5 194 6 196 6 222 4 198 68483 65452 7 265 10 272 16 269 14 243 65452 62645 22 243 20 252 17 269 17 247 62645 59906 22 255 24 260 26 265 24 264 59906 57011 25 253 30 257 38 249 32 259 57011 53965 33 251 38 255 52 250 44 240 53965 51047 47 241 47 242 57 245 56 234 51047 48443 45 237 43 243 57 241 54 237 48443 46140 49 249 55 249 53 244 50 245 46140 44068 64 245 62 245 55 251 55 246 44068 42182 68 244 70 245 77 246 63 242 42182 40450 75 249 85 242 86 233 69 237 40450 38851 97 243 97 238 80 229 71 235 38851 37366 107 242 106 237 78 235 77 236 37366 35991 118 242 116 236 89 238 95 233 35991 34701 118 241 122 235 106 238 108 231 34701 33431 114 240 122 234 119 238 106 229 33431 32153 112 239 119 233 115 237 91 224 32153 30860 110 237 115 232 101 233 85 218 30860 29529 107 237 111 232 90 228 85 216 29529 28151 100 238 104 233 91 228 84 217 28151 26730 92 238 97 235 93 237 79 220 26730 25268 79 238 86 238 78 242 68 225 25268 23770 67 239 76 233 60 239 57 221 23770 22240 58 238 72 228 49 228 47 217 22240 20672 55 234 67 227 53 224 45 220 20672 19062 53 231 60 225 55 227 43 221 19062 17437 48 228 54 221 45 230 40 215 17437 15877 43 224 47 218 36 227 37 209 15877 14456 37 221 38 217 33 224 37 205 14456 13186 33 213 33 217 29 219 39 203 13186 12045 30 206 29*215 26 210 42 201 12045 11015 27 206 25*211 24 202 43 199 11015 10082 25 210 24 210 24 191 41 197 10082 9238 24 215 23 210 24 188 35 192 9238 8480 24 215 23 209 23 187 32 187 8480 7796 23*213 22 209 23 185 30 182 7796 7172 21*209 22 209 22 184 27 176 7172 6611 18 205 21 209 22 183 25 172 6611 6135 17 204 21 209 21 182 23 168 6135 5765 16 203 20 209 20 182 19 163 5765 5508 15 203 19 209 19 181 15 155 5508 5352 14 203 18 209 17*181 10*150 5352 5262 12 202 15 208 13*181 4*130 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography