DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.6 - - 41.4 - - 47.9 - - 43.0 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 151 - - 171 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1315 - - 2918 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5506 - - 6713 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6376 - - 7979 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 1438 - - 1307 - - 3118 - - 117 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 244 - - 332 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 19 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 168 - - 208 - - 205 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1779 - - -3964 - - -4682 - - -6951 - - -4348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7040 - - 10340 - - 12661 - - 12214 - - 9610 sfcLCL ODpotential -13793 - - -13169 - - -13280 - - -16796 - - -16838 ODpotential blCL 19054 - - 19545 - - 21259 - - 22058 - - 22099 blCL maxRH 51 - - 62 - - 62 - - 77 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.6 - - 41.4 - - 47.9 - - 43.0 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.9 - - 14.9 - - 11.1 - - 8.6 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 40.0 - - 46.3 - - 45.6 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.8 - - 14.9 - - 11.1 - - 8.5 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 151 - - 171 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1315 - - 2918 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96682 10 081 7 328 6 036 11 038 11 019 96682 89545 15 037 10 067 10 066 12 032 16 030 89545 84017 12 027 14 047 9 046 17 029 19 050 84017 79396 19 022 13 060 6 072 18 008 22 053 79396 75391 10 023 12 050 7 046 10 008 18 029 75391 71830 11 339 9 001 16 006 13 002 17 007 71830 68600 10 331 15 341 25 339 27 343 25 348 68600 65647 30 334 12 019 25 343 27 340 30 354 65647 62905 36 336 21 348 24 329 29 328 40 340 62905 60247 35 325 26 318 27 318 32 318 44 321 60247 57483 40 318 34 322 30 325 39 320 43 319 57483 54616 49 319 48 321 45 322 48 321 44 326 54616 51877 59 307 57 310 54 317 52 324 51 329 51877 49410 62 312 61 316 60 326 54 323 54 332 49410 47220 70 318 70 318 68 326 57 336 67 344 47220 45283 81 317 71 321 63 325 91 337 97 339 45283 43547 87 316 77 327 87 336 105 330 99 331 43547 41946 90 320 91 329 95 332 88 326 82 325 41946 40449 93 320 86 326 83 329 69 332 67 328 40449 39043 93 321 77 337 65 340 62 350 60 339 39043 37720 91 321 72 345 75 000 67 354 62 344 37720 36445 86 320 72 348 81 359 68 350 65 345 36445 35156 82 322 74 346 78 352 68 344 69 344 35156 33827 79 325 73 341 72 344 67 342 72 341 33827 32463 77 326 71 336 67 334 66 342 72 340 32463 31053 74 325 70 334 65 333 65 340 70 341 31053 29590 71 323 69 334 64 338 65 338 61 342 29590 28079 68 323 67 336 64 343 66 341 52 341 28079 26521 65 324 63 335 65 346 64 346 49 342 26521 24915 60 325 58 332 62 343 57 346 46 345 24915 23266 53 325 55 331 57 337 50 340 41 339 23266 21569 49 325 52 331 52 332 48 341 38 329 21569 19820 47 326 49 330 48 329 47 342 36 327 19820 18053 45 326 45 330 44 328 45 343 35 334 18053 16360 41 325 39 326 39 329 41 342 32 342 16360 14823 37 325 32 322 33 329 35 341 29 345 14823 13453 32 326 27 324 27 330 29 340 25 345 13453 12231 28 328 22 329 22 333 23 339 21 343 12231 11138 22 328 16 331 17 335 18 336 16 342 11138 10159 16 328 11 328 12 330 13 327 13 342 10159 9282 12 328 8 321 8 313 9 308 10 341 9282 8500 9 331 5 317 4*243 7 269 7 332 8500 7801 6 340 2 295 4*221 7 241 6 312 7801 7170 4 354 3 194 4 214 8 231 5 280 7170 6605 1 042 3*180 4 210 8 225 6 248 6605 6130 3 126 3*174 4 204 8 221 6 231 6130 5761 4 124 2 170 4 201 8 216 6 215 5761 5506 2 089 2 164 4 198 8 213 5 203 5506 5350 1*044 2 162 4 197 6*209 3*195 5350 5261 1*297 2 161 4 197 5*205 1*222 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography