DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.8 - - 46.7 - - 53.1 - - 47.1 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - 72 - - 78 - - -40 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 725 - - 1578 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5786 - - 6639 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 333 - - 1225 - - 546 - - 118 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 158 - - 210 - - 17 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 19 - - 21 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 233 - - 254 - - 258 - - 242 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -10 - - -12 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -3226 - - -4125 - - -3530 - - -1630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 9012 - - 10764 - - 8793 - - 6893 sfcLCL ODpotential -10109 - - -10400 - - -10095 - - -9669 - - -9802 ODpotential blCL 15370 - - 16186 - - 16734 - - 14931 - - 15064 blCL maxRH 69 - - 71 - - 75 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.8 - - 46.7 - - 53.1 - - 47.1 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 26.0 - - 24.6 - - 27.3 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 45.8 - - 52.2 - - 48.9 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 25.7 - - 24.5 - - 27.3 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - 72 - - 78 - - -40 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 725 - - 1578 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 18 359 23 332 28 348 26 000 25 353 96160 89222 29 007 26 350 27 356 29 000 28 360 89222 83771 27 018 22 354 20 355 27 010 29 006 83771 79195 23 015 15 023 13 007 24 356 34 008 79195 75222 26 357 20 010 18 001 15 010 25 012 75222 71676 30 351 14 349 19 338 18 349 23 011 71676 68441 26 350 10 317 17 311 28 339 23 351 68441 65482 19 341 5 335 7 274 28 324 24 344 65482 62755 20 334 13 332 11 001 24 325 26 344 62755 60130 20 311 22 292 17 293 26 349 23 348 60130 57417 16 287 21 291 25 290 20 344 11 325 57417 54596 29 310 28 309 29 322 29 341 20 308 54596 51891 52 317 55 315 61 317 48 323 52 318 51891 49468 62 316 61 311 63 311 63 314 62 320 49468 47295 66 316 59 308 60 310 67 311 68 318 47295 45325 70 313 59 311 64 310 75 311 73 312 45325 43534 73 307 63 311 68 304 80 305 78 306 43534 41901 74 301 68 305 68 301 78 298 78 303 41901 40390 74 299 69 301 66 305 74 300 75 304 40390 38974 73 301 68 300 69 307 70 305 72 305 38974 37639 72 303 67 301 71 306 66 308 70 306 37639 36354 70 304 67 302 70 303 64 309 67 307 36354 35058 69 303 67 303 69 303 62 309 65 309 35058 33726 66 303 66 304 68 304 61 307 62 310 33726 32362 64 302 65 304 67 305 60 306 60 311 32362 30954 64 302 64 303 66 306 59 308 59 311 30954 29497 64 302 63 302 65 307 59 310 58 313 29497 27994 63 303 62 303 64 307 60 311 58 316 27994 26446 62 305 62 304 63 306 60 310 58 318 26446 24858 61 307 61 305 62 306 59 310 57 319 24858 23229 58 308 59 306 60 308 58 311 56 319 23229 21555 53 307 56 307 58 310 56 314 54 319 21555 19828 50 305 52 307 53 311 54 317 51 319 19828 18083 49 305 50 307 50 311 51 318 47 317 18083 16408 47 306 47 306 46 312 46 317 42 315 16408 14885 46 306 45 304 44 312 42 315 37 312 14885 13525 45 305 43 302 42 312 39 315 33 311 13525 12307 44 304 40 302 40 312 36 317 31 311 12307 11212 42 302 37 303 37 312 34 321 29 312 11212 10227 40 301 34 305 33 312 31 324 28 314 10227 9343 38 299 30 306 27 311 26 325 27 317 9343 8553 34 298 25 305 22 306 21 324 25 318 8553 7846 31 294 22 300 21 296 16 319 22 316 7846 7204 28 287 21 286 22*278 14 301 18 309 7204 6630 27 272 24 267 22*262 18 277 15 292 6630 6144 29 256 24*258 22 259 21 265 17 273 6144 5768 29 248 22*255 22 258 21 256 21 267 5768 5509 23 241 20 254 21 257 18 249 20 264 5509 5351 17 237 18 253 19 256 15*246 14*259 5351 5262 9*233 14 252 14 256 9*242 7*251 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography