DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 53.8 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 111 - - 168 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 800 - - 2462 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 6386 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5861 - - 7523 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 728 - - 3307 - - 6515 - - 98 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 191 - - 314 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 062 - - 105 - - 087 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - -1299 - - -1059 - - -3904 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5486 - - 7160 - - 8583 - - 9167 - - 5263 sfcLCL ODpotential -7522 - - -5134 - - -2732 - - -6053 - - -4354 ODpotential blCL 12784 - - 10995 - - 10255 - - 11316 - - 9617 blCL maxRH 81 - - 84 - - 89 - - 73 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 30 - - 80 - - 10 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 53.8 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 40.7 - - 42.7 - - 39.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 52.5 - - 60.5 - - 62.1 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 39.7 - - 42.5 - - 39.1 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 111 - - 168 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 800 - - 2462 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 37 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97480 7 065 7 263 16 300 10 002 4 315 97480 90261 6 360 1 114 8 275 12 344 3 025 90261 84688 9 326 3 267 2 294 6 327 4 326 84688 80065 5 003 5 261 3 159 6 290 6 302 80065 76077 8 357 6 287 3 214 8 285 5 331 76077 72543 5 286 8 257 6 275 8 251 7 313 72543 69333 5 314 4 235 9 273 7 254 8 260 69333 66377 11 261 9 240 13 220 10 262 14 241 66377 63638 10 244 11 262 6 229 12 279 10 262 63638 60971 15 241 24 239 18 244 19 251 16 273 60971 58186 23 229 24 230 24 235 27 226 23 239 58186 55312 29 239 28 235 29 224 33 220 30 234 55312 52578 38 237 37 236 37 230 35 233 38 230 52578 50117 48 240 49 235 39 237 42 244 43 229 50117 47900 63 238 52 236 61 244 53 243 50 234 47900 45879 70 233 70 238 75 240 67 238 64 236 45879 44026 75 234 81 237 83 238 76 235 75 234 44026 42312 82 236 86 237 88 238 80 234 81 230 42312 40718 82 235 88 237 90 240 83 235 81 229 40718 39230 74 233 81 236 85 243 82 238 77 229 39230 37839 65 231 69 238 71 244 75 241 72 231 37839 36512 56 231 59 240 60 245 63 242 63 233 36512 35184 49 237 50 236 53 245 52 241 50 232 35184 33829 43 231 48 230 46 239 45 237 38 223 33829 32454 39 222 47 220 42 231 41 228 37 212 32454 31043 40 222 44 219 44 224 38 223 35 207 31043 29582 40 224 45 224 46 216 36 220 33 207 29582 28069 36 229 40 224 40 212 34 222 31 206 28069 26511 30 231 34 223 36 212 30 226 28 207 26511 24915 23 232 25 230 27 212 22 215 25 210 24915 23285 16 253 20 227 18 211 18 209 22 205 23285 21613 14 260 15 231 14 225 16 196 19 196 21613 19889 14 261 11 240 10 228 15 191 19 199 19889 18147 12 265 9 245 9 224 14 186 19 205 18147 16474 9 247 8 226 10 209 11 192 18 208 16474 14954 10 233 7 231 7 219 10 202 17 201 14954 13598 12 233 12 213 10 223 12 201 16 194 13598 12381 14 226 13 194 11 210 13 196 15 189 12381 11286 13 214 11 191 11 194 12 188 14 184 11286 10298 9 202 10 189 10 183 11 179 13 180 10298 9408 6 184 9 180 9 178 9 161 12 177 9408 8610 5 160 8 174 8 165 8 150 11 171 8610 7894 5 148 7 172 7*143 8 140 10 157 7894 7242 6 134 6 154 7*124 7 129 9 135 7242 6658 8 103 7 108 7 108 6 117 10 116 6658 6164 10 078 10*066 7 103 6 108 11 096 6164 5781 13 064 10*063 7 099 6 101 12 075 5781 5516 14 057 9 062 6 097 6 096 12 058 5516 5355 11*050 9 062 6 096 5*092 9*045 5355 5263 5*045 8 063 6 095 4*087 5*038 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography