DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 29.6 - - 31.8 - - 28.5 - - 26.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 89 - - 108 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 3881 - - 3393 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 7108 - - 6881 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 8942 - - 8454 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2143 - - 2414 - - 4762 - - 2894 - - 1914 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 308 - - 313 - - 22 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 27 - - 23 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 260 - - 250 - - 181 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - -20 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2149 - - 1143 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6794 - - 7311 - - 5261 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential -1935 - - 83 - - -877 - - -1144 - - -1931 ODpotential blCL 7196 - - 8859 - - 9331 - - 6405 - - 7191 blCL maxRH 79 - - 77 - - 82 - - 80 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 70 - - 60 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 29.6 - - 31.8 - - 28.5 - - 26.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 18.1 - - 18.0 - - 26.2 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.7 - - 28.7 - - 30.8 - - 29.1 - - 27.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 17.0 - - 17.0 - - 25.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 89 - - 108 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 3881 - - 3393 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 6 - - 27 - - 21 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97007 22 100 18 094 20 094 26 109 19 096 97007 89846 17 108 14 124 17 113 18 131 22 063 89846 84226 13 101 17 142 6 126 11 118 14 080 84226 79515 11 091 18 133 12 148 5 131 12 079 79515 75449 6 086 9 130 12 134 6 121 12 066 75449 71838 4 215 11 112 14 168 6 137 6 092 71838 68563 6 175 7 211 8 178 6 193 2 127 68563 65544 12 242 7 226 1 236 8 234 6 217 65544 62729 34 240 24 231 14 176 24 234 16 222 62729 59971 42 241 42 243 36 229 33 212 24 206 59971 57049 43 246 50 243 46 234 31 228 25 213 57049 53986 43 247 45 241 45 236 31 244 25 234 53986 51053 41 244 38 240 41 240 34 244 31 247 51053 48407 40 245 39 244 41 243 36 235 36 244 48407 46035 42 245 43 241 39 245 33 233 35 238 46035 43891 44 244 45 234 38 246 29 241 32 240 43891 41935 44 243 40 228 39 242 30 248 32 245 41935 40138 47 244 30 229 37 237 35 247 40 241 40138 38478 51 245 31 242 34 237 38 242 41 225 38478 36939 53 242 39 247 35 248 35 247 33 239 36939 35517 51 239 47 246 43 255 35 265 37 259 35517 34183 50 240 53 240 50 253 47 267 43 265 34183 32868 52 241 52 235 51 251 55 255 44 264 32868 31540 50 238 47 233 46 254 50 247 43 260 31540 30210 43 233 44 234 46 255 30 249 41 259 30210 28870 44 232 46 235 46 250 26 277 47 263 28870 27515 50 228 51 232 38 253 56 272 67 267 27515 26138 49 222 54 228 40 271 78 262 81 265 26138 24728 44 221 54 227 57 277 79 257 77 260 24728 23282 42 225 54 229 66 275 73 249 69 255 23282 21799 43 233 56 232 62 273 64 247 62 247 21799 20276 44 238 56 235 51 267 58 251 58 244 20276 18708 45 242 48 240 46 257 54 250 59 250 18708 17122 43 251 39 244 43 251 48 243 55 249 17122 15599 43 262 38 247 40 246 40 234 52 241 15599 14211 46 267 41 253 36 242 36 228 47 238 14211 12968 49 268 42 260 33 242 34 226 41 233 12968 11851 51 269 40 262 33 243 32 226 35 231 11851 10843 50 271 39 262 32 244 30 225 30 232 10843 9933 48 272 37 262 32 245 27 225 25 231 9933 9111 45 274 35*261 30*247 24 225 20 222 9111 8373 41 276 33*261 28*249 20 224 16 203 8373 7709 39 275 31 261 25 249 16 221 14 177 7709 7106 38 271 28 260 24 250 13 215 15 157 7106 6563 37 262 27 260 23 250 11 210 17 148 6563 6104 35 256 26 260 23 250 10 204 16 146 6104 5747 33 254 25 259 22 250 9 199 14 145 5747 5499 30 253 23 259 21 250 8 192 11 143 5499 5348 26*252 21 259 20 250 6*187 7 139 5348 5260 19*251 17 258 16 250 4*181 3*128 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography