DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.9 - - 41.8 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 97 - - 110 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 715 - - 2464 - - 5380 - - 5813 - - 445 Hgt.Variab. W* 35 - - 115 - - 121 - - 45 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 233 - - 334 - - 047 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - -1433 - - -892 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5261 - - 6695 - - 6154 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -718 - - -2399 - - -2361 - - -2353 ODpotential blCL 5262 - - 5979 - - 7661 - - 7623 - - 7615 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 101 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 20 - - 110 - - 240 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 37.9 - - 41.8 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 37.6 - - 36.3 - - 37.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 40.5 - - 46.1 - - 46.2 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 - - 36.4 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 97 - - 110 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 75 - - 103 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96117 7 265 14 267 20 263 18 296 17 267 96117 89016 17 267 17 270 22 290 19 295 16 302 89016 83511 15 300 24 297 28 303 24 296 27 311 83511 78930 29 294 28 298 34 295 29 296 34 307 78930 75009 36 296 26 290 35 287 39 301 36 298 75009 71554 37 305 31 291 39 285 42 299 38 302 71554 68413 39 303 37 294 41 289 49 295 44 300 68413 65509 45 298 42 296 46 292 55 289 46 293 65509 62800 49 290 46 294 48 293 53 287 48 291 62800 60158 48 286 48 292 51 292 53 288 52 294 60158 57381 50 289 52 289 58 288 55 289 60 289 57381 54474 58 290 58 285 65 285 58 286 60 284 54474 51672 66 288 62 281 67 282 61 283 61 283 51672 49134 68 284 63 279 64 280 66 279 65 281 49134 46853 67 280 65 274 64 280 66 279 59 279 46853 44778 66 276 65 270 64 280 61 284 52 288 44778 42877 67 273 63 269 62 278 55 283 50 295 42877 41125 68 270 56 270 55 272 46 284 50 292 41125 39508 65 262 48 263 47 264 40 283 40 294 39508 38016 62 252 47 261 40 260 37 280 30 298 38016 36634 57 246 46 257 36 259 29 277 23 297 36634 35328 55 242 43 254 32 255 21 282 15 323 35328 34036 53 239 40 256 24 259 18 271 12 016 34036 32731 51 238 41 258 31 257 21 254 23 030 32731 31416 49 238 48 253 53 230 37 224 5 056 31416 30074 46 237 57 245 52 222 42 199 10 177 30074 28686 42 234 60 238 51 222 40 200 12 176 28686 27249 38 232 56 242 48 221 30 212 7 157 27249 25765 36 233 51 249 41 218 19 246 5 042 25765 24238 36 235 38 251 25 214 17 248 9 016 24238 22671 35 233 25 248 12 210 12 271 11 013 22671 21059 33 236 17 256 5 216 10 338 13 016 21059 19396 30 244 11 255 2 286 3 057 11 025 19396 17712 25 251 9 292 3 022 4 357 10 025 17712 16096 22 257 11 289 6 353 6 004 13 026 16096 14626 17 261 8 283 7 333 5 011 18 030 14626 13314 14 267 5 306 7 328 6 008 21 037 13314 12138 16 270 7 321 8 332 6 018 21 043 12138 11078 18 264 6 306 9 338 6 016 20 043 11078 10123 13 250 7 280 9 339 5 011 19 039 10123 9263 7 238 7 265 9 338 5 008 18 031 9263 8493 8 227 6 260 8 336 4 008 17 022 8493 7801 8 238 5 255 7 334 4 015 16 016 7801 7172 7 253 4 248 5 331 3 024 14 011 7172 6608 5 236 3 242 5 331 3 035 11 000 6608 6132 4 195 2 242 4 331 3 040 9 330 6132 5763 2 103 2 237 4 332 3 044 10 302 5763 5507 3 051 2 236 4 333 3 045 10 289 5507 5351 2*019 2 231 3*332 3*046 7*283 5351 5262 1*001 2*233 3*334 3*047 4*278 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography