DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 63.1 - - 70.3 - - 71.6 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 332 - - 404 - - 96 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 4528 - - 7388 - - 6126 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 8208 - - 10561 - - 8696 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 9589 - - 12449 - - 11187 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1977 - - 2039 - - 1890 - - 4473 - - 440 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 482 - - 605 - - 353 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 228 - - 212 - - 194 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -6 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2576 - - -127 - - -199 - - -2200 - - -7378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7838 - - 9716 - - 12649 - - 13388 - - 12642 sfcLCL ODpotential -6610 - - -1648 - - -1504 - - -3596 - - -10986 ODpotential blCL 11872 - - 11237 - - 13953 - - 14783 - - 16249 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 81 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 63.1 - - 70.3 - - 71.6 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 38.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.8 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 60.6 - - 67.5 - - 70.3 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 38.2 - - 32.5 - - 30.7 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 332 - - 404 - - 96 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 4528 - - 7388 - - 6126 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 50 - - 24 - - 83 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98964 6 121 6 223 2 242 4 273 8 276 98964 91577 10 101 9 128 4 134 4 094 4 123 91577 85844 16 080 11 093 10 113 8 085 9 083 85844 81082 8 106 4 110 8 084 8 036 15 083 81082 76987 12 114 8 093 4 082 7 102 10 053 76987 73366 9 058 7 094 3 177 8 077 5 083 73366 70072 2 054 4 101 10 142 1 062 13 074 70072 67023 2 229 5 197 6 149 5 221 5 352 67023 64186 10 243 7 186 6 269 3 234 5 214 64186 61440 20 234 18 241 20 226 16 246 14 227 61440 58578 23 243 22 235 17 229 13 226 16 227 58578 55610 22 230 20 233 25 242 20 240 29 236 55610 52796 31 265 27 252 38 250 34 244 34 231 52796 50273 48 256 41 254 42 248 35 243 37 230 50273 48014 56 257 50 263 47 248 41 248 43 237 48014 45964 66 258 57 256 54 248 55 244 52 242 45964 44087 66 258 54 243 59 238 63 238 62 240 44087 42360 69 264 55 245 60 234 65 235 66 239 42360 40762 78 262 70 250 64 238 65 236 64 236 40762 39278 85 257 83 246 69 236 65 234 58 235 39278 37896 89 259 88 242 71 234 63 231 55 237 37896 36580 93 260 88 242 72 232 62 230 52 237 36580 35259 92 260 86 243 73 231 62 231 50 236 35259 33906 87 259 85 245 73 232 61 231 48 234 33906 32525 83 258 82 246 72 234 61 231 48 232 32525 31106 80 258 77 247 70 234 61 229 50 230 31106 29637 78 259 72 247 68 233 63 229 52 228 29637 28123 76 260 66 247 66 232 64 229 53 225 28123 26563 72 263 61 245 65 233 63 229 54 223 26563 24962 62 263 58 245 64 234 60 229 54 223 24962 23323 54 258 56 245 61 234 58 231 52 226 23323 21640 52 254 52 243 59 234 55 235 51 231 21640 19911 50 249 49 240 57 235 51 239 51 235 19911 18170 47 243 47 239 53 236 47 236 49 235 18170 16509 42 240 44 238 47 238 38 225 35 228 16509 15000 36 245 37 236 39 235 30 208 23 213 15000 13650 33 247 31 235 31*229 24 199 20 198 13650 12436 31 243 28 236 21*220 22 197 19 193 12436 11340 27 239 27 235 18 215 21*197 19 191 11340 10348 21 237 20*229 17 214 18*196 19 189 10348 9455 17 242 15*227 15 211 15 195 19 187 9455 8652 16 252 12 228 14 210 13 194 19 185 8652 7930 16 259 12 228 14 210 12 194 19 184 7930 7272 15 263 11 228 13 210 11 193 18 182 7272 6681 15 264 11 229 13 209 11 193 17 180 6681 6181 14 256 10 229 12 209 10 193 14 176 6181 5792 12 245 10 229 12 209 10 193 12 169 5792 5522 10 234 9 230 11 209 9 193 8 155 5522 5358 8 230 9 229 11 209 9 193 6 135 5358 5263 6*227 8 229 10 209 8 193 4*113 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography