DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 56.8 - - 66.4 - - 65.1 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 215 - - 312 - - 65 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1311 - - 5268 - - 3149 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5660 - - 8762 - - 6203 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 6372 - - 10329 - - 8210 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 165 - - 882 - - 2007 - - 3410 - - 137 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 276 - - 497 - - 249 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 20 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 252 - - 283 - - 282 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -8 - - -7 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1501 - - -4972 - - -5302 - - -8573 - - -7366 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6764 - - 11344 - - 15632 - - 16784 - - 12628 sfcLCL ODpotential -11225 - - -11456 - - -12654 - - -16031 - - -17425 ODpotential blCL 16487 - - 17828 - - 22983 - - 24241 - - 22687 blCL maxRH 56 - - 77 - - 70 - - 62 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 56.8 - - 66.4 - - 65.1 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 25.7 - - 15.9 - - 9.7 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 55.1 - - 64.1 - - 64.2 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 25.1 - - 15.1 - - 9.0 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 215 - - 312 - - 65 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1311 - - 5268 - - 3149 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96493 4 275 13 277 11 287 11 292 12 281 96493 89482 8 030 8 224 9 246 7 313 9 310 89482 84047 3 014 3 176 6 182 9 360 6 280 84047 79500 2 352 1 206 5 166 9 285 8 292 79500 75561 6 349 1 223 3 268 8 262 5 321 75561 72051 4 285 6 259 7 301 19 259 4 303 72051 68839 5 243 6 255 9 237 13 258 6 295 68839 65895 9 305 4 281 6 278 19 322 20 321 65895 63212 20 295 14 283 26 295 27 309 24 317 63212 60627 23 304 18 278 26 287 20 311 26 321 60627 57915 22 295 24 324 14 342 34 329 36 319 57915 55093 30 320 54 321 43 337 45 326 43 320 55093 52396 55 322 65 312 58 320 54 322 52 319 52396 49965 65 314 73 308 65 310 59 316 56 314 49965 47787 66 309 80 308 68 308 62 314 57 318 47787 45820 73 312 86 309 74 312 72 313 63 320 45820 44035 83 314 90 309 82 314 81 307 68 313 44035 42394 90 314 91 308 80 317 76 304 72 305 42394 40861 92 313 89 307 81 328 72 315 62 301 40861 39419 90 312 87 308 89 330 73 324 63 308 39419 38061 86 311 84 312 86 324 73 324 73 312 38061 36758 83 311 80 313 75 320 74 320 72 309 36758 35444 82 313 79 313 72 317 75 314 66 305 35444 34092 81 314 79 313 80 314 75 309 59 305 34092 32705 78 316 82 313 86 314 77 308 57 304 32705 31272 75 315 84 313 84 314 78 309 68 305 31272 29788 73 314 86 312 79 312 76 311 73 307 29788 28258 74 312 86 312 80 309 77 312 77 311 28258 26686 78 311 84 312 85 309 82 314 80 315 26686 25071 80 311 80 313 87 310 85 316 81 319 25071 23414 74 311 71 311 79 310 83 317 79 322 23414 21709 63 311 60 309 66 307 76 315 75 320 21709 19954 54 312 52 307 58 303 64 311 67 313 19954 18184 51 314 48 306 53 302 57 307 59 306 18184 16493 49 316 44 307 48 303 52 305 52 304 16493 14961 46 317 40 308 43 304 48 303 45 302 14961 13594 43 316 37 308 39 304 44 300 42 300 13594 12371 39 316 34 309 35 304 40 297 39 298 12371 11271 35 314 31 310 29*301 35 293 37 297 11271 10281 32 313 28 311 24*294 29 289 33 295 10281 9391 29 312 23 313 22 288 25 285 30 294 9391 8595 25 310 19 312 21 285 23*284 26 290 8595 7881 22 306 16 305 20 281 22*282 23 285 7881 7233 19 299 16 288 20 280 21 282 21 279 7233 6652 19 284 17*263 19 278 21 282 20 274 6652 6160 22 267 16*254 19 277 20 283 19 269 6160 5779 24 258 16 252 18 276 20 283 18 265 5779 5516 21 253 15 251 18 275 19 283 15 262 5516 5355 14*247 15 251 17 275 17 283 10 258 5355 5262 6*241 12 250 14 274 14 283 6*249 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography