DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 66.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 414 - - 462 - - 172 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 6083 - - 9417 - - 8740 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 9525 - - 12279 - - 11144 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 11144 - - 14478 - - 13801 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2523 - - 1957 - - 1535 - - 2951 - - 4985 Hgt.Variab. W* 106 - - 573 - - 688 - - 484 - - 17 W* B/S 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 16 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 251 - - 279 - - 297 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -6 - - 16 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4273 - - -1579 - - -425 - - -1858 - - -8226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9536 - - 12723 - - 14904 - - 15660 - - 13490 sfcLCL ODpotential -7632 - - -4534 - - -2694 - - -4219 - - -11955 ODpotential blCL 12895 - - 15678 - - 17172 - - 18020 - - 17218 blCL maxRH 58 - - 67 - - 73 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 66.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.8 - - 28.9 - - 25.7 - - 22.4 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 63.9 - - 70.5 - - 71.8 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 28.3 - - 25.2 - - 21.9 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 414 - - 462 - - 172 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 6083 - - 9417 - - 8740 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97761 5 164 10 241 10 276 6 296 6 291 97761 90354 6 087 5 208 6 240 4 285 7 327 90354 84626 4 002 6 159 4 226 1 265 6 006 84626 79882 2 058 4 164 0 276 3 009 7 047 79882 75805 2 025 3 236 5 356 3 355 10 011 75805 72212 7 349 3 332 6 345 1 059 4 002 72212 68951 8 325 7 324 9 326 8 341 5 021 68951 65944 7 309 8 314 11 299 11 315 9 339 65944 63158 13 318 10 349 8 321 9 325 7 338 63158 60461 19 320 22 327 18 326 16 336 10 339 60461 57658 17 309 21 310 18 306 19 324 19 334 57658 54766 20 320 19 318 16 302 25 319 22 329 54766 52025 32 329 25 324 22 315 26 318 32 325 52025 49574 38 331 34 331 33 331 37 325 39 326 49574 47382 45 331 42 331 44 330 48 319 41 317 47382 45382 48 325 50 331 51 318 48 307 46 306 45382 43542 48 327 52 326 51 309 47 300 48 297 43542 41846 47 328 52 323 50 305 49 291 52 292 41846 40280 46 326 49 321 48 300 50 277 55 284 40280 38831 43 325 45 319 46 297 52 271 56 270 38831 37486 41 326 41 316 44 296 52 271 57 262 37486 36201 40 328 40 314 42 298 51 271 53 262 36201 34911 41 331 39 313 41 299 50 273 51 264 34911 33588 42 332 38 315 39 299 47 275 50 264 33588 32236 41 330 38 316 39 296 44 276 48 265 32236 30844 41 327 39 314 40 294 39 280 45 269 30844 29402 41 326 40 312 39 296 37 284 42 274 29402 27912 41 323 40 314 37 299 38 287 41 278 27912 26375 40 322 38 319 33 299 39 287 43 278 26375 24795 39 322 35 321 32 297 38 286 42 275 24795 23181 39 324 32 317 32 298 36 285 38 274 23181 21526 39 324 31 315 34 302 32 289 34 279 21526 19824 38 320 32 314 35 307 31 298 32 286 19824 18102 36 315 32 314 34 313 30 305 29 294 18102 16448 31 313 29 313 29 316 25 310 26 299 16448 14942 23 316 24 312 19*304 19*311 21 303 14942 13595 17 316 19 308 17*294 18*310 16 304 13595 12385 14 307 16 301 17 292 18 309 13 306 12385 11294 14 289 12*281 17 287 18 307 13 312 11294 10308 13 280 11*265 17 282 19 302 15 315 10308 9420 9 301 11 260 17 278 20 297 17 315 9420 8623 5 315 11 253 17 275 20 294 19 312 8623 7906 2 340 10 250 17 273 20 292 20 309 7906 7254 2 040 10 248 17 271 21 290 21 303 7254 6668 2 083 10 246 17 270 21 289 22 297 6668 6172 3 070 10 244 17 268 20 288 22 291 6172 5787 3 048 9 243 16 267 20 287 21 286 5787 5520 3 047 9 242 16 267 20 287 18 282 5520 5357 3*043 9 242 15 267 18 286 15*279 5357 5263 2*043 8 241 14 266 16 286 10*276 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography