DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 66.2 - - 65.1 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 328 - - 53 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2880 - - 4680 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6890 - - 8318 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7941 - - 9741 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2905 - - 1729 - - 5900 - - 143 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 484 - - 93 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 248 - - 254 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -11 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4081 - - -3672 - - -8557 - - -6273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12022 - - 13413 - - 13821 - - 11536 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8008 - - -7429 - - -12660 - - -12704 ODpotential blCL - - - 15949 - - 17170 - - 17923 - - 17967 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 83 - - 84 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 66.2 - - 65.1 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 25.5 - - 22.8 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 63.8 - - 64.3 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 25.5 - - 22.7 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 328 - - 53 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2880 - - 4680 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 33 - - 36 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98477 6 314 3 279 3 165 5 315 98477 91108 3 175 6 277 4 291 5 326 91108 85409 6 123 3 247 8 356 4 107 85409 80665 5 095 3 120 7 020 7 085 80665 76586 4 130 4 096 2 169 5 050 76586 72991 4 124 1 244 7 243 7 321 72991 69740 6 295 1 226 8 247 12 280 69740 66744 13 274 8 256 9 254 10 274 66744 63947 12 278 11 270 11 303 8 312 63947 61219 22 255 24 249 28 264 28 282 61219 58379 25 232 24 242 28 248 28 257 58379 55440 21 251 23 252 23 262 24 258 55440 52640 26 267 28 257 33 263 32 259 52640 50132 30 258 36 257 37 254 40 261 50132 47895 32 256 42 255 42 256 48 259 47895 45868 38 261 47 252 49 259 54 254 45868 44009 49 259 55 254 58 257 58 252 44009 42290 58 258 62 253 66 254 64 252 42290 40691 66 256 68 253 71 253 69 252 40691 39200 69 255 71 254 73 254 72 252 39200 37811 67 255 73 254 75 256 72 252 37811 36492 67 255 74 255 76 256 72 254 36492 35177 67 256 75 255 75 256 70 255 35177 33836 66 257 73 255 73 255 66 256 33836 32470 63 256 69 252 69 254 61 259 32470 31064 60 253 63 248 67 255 56 261 31064 29607 56 252 63 248 65 257 50 260 29607 28101 54 252 63 248 59 255 47 255 28101 26547 53 250 62 250 52 253 46 251 26547 24951 51 249 60 252 50 259 42 251 24951 23316 49 250 57 253 48 262 35 258 23316 21638 49 251 53 250 46 260 33 260 21638 19909 49 250 50 250 46 258 35 255 19909 18160 50 248 50 251 47 258 40 255 18160 16485 51 247 50 251 47 259 39 255 16485 14962 49 248 48 249 44 258 36 251 14962 13602 44 250 46 249 40 254 35 245 13602 12380 36 253 41 253 37 251 31 240 12380 11280 25 252 34 257 33 252 27 240 11280 10289 18 243 19*255 28 256 24 243 10289 9398 18 238 17*252 21 258 23 255 9398 8600 19*237 17 251 17 258 19 265 8600 7886 18*239 16 250 16 257 14 271 7886 7237 15 246 16 248 16 257 11 268 7237 6655 14 248 16 248 15 256 11 264 6655 6164 14 247 15 246 15 256 11 261 6164 5782 13 246 15 245 15 255 11 258 5782 5517 13 245 14 245 14 255 10 251 5517 5355 12 244 14 244 13*254 8*245 5355 5263 11 244 12 244 11*254 5*242 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography