DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 80.5 - - 79.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 505 - - 266 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9020 - - 12210 - - 10940 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11832 - - 14625 - - 13191 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14081 - - 17271 - - 16001 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3105 - - 1522 - - 2020 - - 8526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 626 - - 771 - - 601 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 266 - - 263 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1086 - - 1581 - - 113 - - -9559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12995 - - 15691 - - 15889 - - 14823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -80 - - 752 - - -1361 - - -12586 ODpotential blCL - - - 14161 - - 16519 - - 17362 - - 17850 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 85 - - 60 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 80.5 - - 79.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 29.2 - - 27.6 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 77.3 - - 77.6 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 28.9 - - 27.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 505 - - 266 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9020 - - 12210 - - 10940 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99129 30 123 21 106 23 101 30 087 99129 91588 27 110 24 107 25 099 27 096 91588 85783 18 106 19 108 22 098 21 090 85783 80973 17 106 19 109 17 103 15 097 80973 76841 15 102 15 116 16 100 14 102 76841 73191 11 086 10 104 11 088 13 098 73191 69883 8 133 9 108 10 102 9 087 69883 66843 7 160 2 094 8 089 7 104 66843 64025 11 173 12 197 0 344 5 069 64025 61293 7 260 9 208 6 259 5 280 61293 58449 10 237 13 236 15 254 13 280 58449 55511 15 267 16 247 21 263 22 278 55511 52712 23 274 23 265 25 267 25 268 52712 50189 31 275 32 280 32 276 29 274 50189 47927 34 268 43 279 38 274 33 274 47927 45879 33 271 46 273 41 275 41 279 45879 44013 36 280 44 272 46 277 49 276 44013 42304 38 285 44 274 51 275 53 274 42304 40727 39 290 46 277 52 270 52 275 40727 39264 38 291 47 280 50 267 52 275 39264 37899 37 291 46 279 50 268 52 273 37899 36595 33 292 40 276 50 270 52 272 36595 35286 30 295 37 278 50 269 51 272 35286 33946 26 296 35 277 47 265 49 270 33946 32581 23 297 35 275 43 262 48 269 32581 31176 21 299 34 272 42 265 46 269 31176 29719 20 300 33 267 41 268 43 270 29719 28213 20 296 32 263 39 271 41 271 28213 26660 21 288 30 264 37 276 39 273 26660 25066 22 283 30 270 35 280 36 275 25066 23435 24 285 31 274 34 282 33 276 23435 21762 27 289 30 277 32 283 30 276 21762 20039 27 291 27 283 29 282 28 277 20039 18297 25 293 18*287 22 281 26 276 18297 16622 20 296 15*279 15*272 24 274 16622 15096 18*298 14 275 15*269 21 273 15096 13729 15*290 14 272 15 268 18 273 13729 12501 12 279 14 269 15 266 15 271 12501 11393 10 266 15 266 16 264 15 270 11393 10392 9 257 15 264 16 262 15 269 10392 9490 8 253 15 263 17 261 15 269 9490 8680 7 250 16 261 17 261 16 270 8680 7952 7 246 16 261 17 260 16 271 7952 7289 6 244 16 260 17 259 16 271 7289 6693 6 240 16 260 17 259 16 271 6693 6189 5 239 15 259 16 258 16 271 6189 5797 5 238 15 259 16 258 15 272 5797 5525 5 236 15 259 16 258 13 271 5525 5359 5 235 14 259 15 258 11*270 5359 5264 4 235 13 259 13 258 7*267 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography