DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.3 - - 41.0 - - 49.3 - - 42.9 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 48 - - 89 - - -43 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2347 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5912 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 7408 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 753 - - 1198 - - 1847 - - 295 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 90 - - 249 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 23 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 238 - - 253 - - 232 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -8 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -108 - - -1717 - - -697 - - -1258 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5369 - - 6978 - - 8105 - - 6521 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -9833 - - -7675 - - -4949 - - -5763 - - -4145 ODpotential blCL 15094 - - 12936 - - 12357 - - 11025 - - 9407 blCL maxRH 84 - - 80 - - 77 - - 80 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.3 - - 41.0 - - 49.3 - - 42.9 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 29.0 - - 32.1 - - 32.8 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 40.3 - - 48.4 - - 44.7 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 28.8 - - 32.0 - - 32.8 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 48 - - 89 - - -43 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2347 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 21 - - 9 - - 20 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 27 019 20 005 22 004 28 017 24 038 96304 89374 21 354 20 011 14 006 21 000 22 029 89374 83921 21 338 21 356 14 008 19 355 16 346 83921 79346 26 316 18 329 16 345 18 341 17 331 79346 75369 23 310 17 322 17 321 15 338 16 325 75369 71819 24 314 11 312 20 303 19 335 17 334 71819 68600 20 313 23 298 28 289 26 318 22 328 68600 65648 28 298 35 297 20 312 26 305 23 321 65648 62910 33 292 50 299 14 317 29 290 33 293 62910 60269 52 300 56 290 39 304 36 294 43 299 60269 57516 58 298 56 295 57 304 56 300 55 293 57516 54650 67 293 69 297 68 296 66 293 64 290 54650 51917 72 287 77 293 69 295 70 297 77 296 51917 49450 72 288 79 293 73 298 81 296 83 293 49450 47214 81 295 84 301 88 299 88 290 88 294 47214 45170 92 297 98 302 106 298 96 293 100 294 45170 43297 95 299 109 298 111 296 103 295 99 291 43297 41570 96 304 100 298 96 297 97 298 93 294 41570 39970 115 309 94 307 94 304 95 304 99 303 39970 38490 142 308 108 310 106 306 107 305 112 306 38490 37128 148 306 123 305 115 304 114 304 115 301 37128 35848 149 308 126 300 118 303 105 301 108 294 35848 34574 140 309 118 302 112 301 94 296 106 291 34574 33265 113 308 121 305 105 298 97 293 105 288 33265 31923 91 298 107 305 97 298 101 292 100 288 31923 30539 94 291 90 303 83 300 98 295 90 293 30539 29104 94 292 79 299 74 302 89 297 83 300 29104 27623 80 294 79 290 71 303 75 294 79 301 27623 26097 64 294 78 293 67 303 59 289 74 300 26097 24530 58 291 65 300 62 302 50 289 70 301 24530 22926 55 287 54 299 57 300 47 292 64 300 22926 21278 50 283 53 290 54 301 42 296 62 297 21278 19581 46 282 50 280 47 303 35 296 62 294 19581 17865 43 283 45 275 38 299 31 288 56 289 17865 16219 40 286 39 276 33 291 33 276 43 274 16219 14720 38 288 34 281 33 284 35 271 39 261 14720 13381 37 286 32 285 33 278 38 270 39 260 13381 12183 37 282 31 287 33 275 40 271 40 266 12183 11110 38 279 30 288 33 274 41 271 41 272 11110 10146 39 278 30 288 33 275 39 272 39 274 10146 9280 39 279 30 287 33 276 35 272 38 273 9280 8506 39 281 30 287 31 274 30 268 35 268 8506 7811 38 285 29 286 26*265 28 261 32 259 7811 7180 34 289 27 282 25*258 27 255 29 255 7180 6613 27 291 25 272 25 255 27 248 26 253 6613 6136 20 283 23 254 24 253 26 243 25 247 6136 5764 16 262 21 248 23 252 23 239 23 240 5764 5508 15 228 16 241 22 251 20 235 19 235 5508 5351 12*211 15*240 20 250 16*234 15*232 5351 5262 6*208 12*238 15 250 9*232 8*230 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography