DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 11.5 - - 18.7 - - 24.4 - - 25.4 - - 17.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 66 - - 72 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5243 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 420 - - 919 - - 1151 - - 1540 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 99 - - 103 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 118 - - 099 - - 162 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -536 - - -629 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5260 - - 5796 - - 5891 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential -10917 - - -385 - - -8357 - - -7911 - - -8391 ODpotential blCL 16177 - - 5645 - - 13617 - - 13172 - - 13651 blCL maxRH 98 - - 98 - - 83 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 11.5 - - 18.7 - - 24.4 - - 25.4 - - 17.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.2 - - 16.1 - - 17.8 - - 18.4 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 12.3 - - 17.8 - - 23.4 - - 26.0 - - 20.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.2 - - 16.5 - - 17.3 - - 17.8 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 66 - - 72 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 93 - - 32 - - 49 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94969 22 339 26 322 32 318 38 314 34 328 94969 88350 19 355 20 334 26 325 28 334 25 348 88350 83107 18 000 22 342 25 343 25 345 22 349 83107 78666 21 003 23 347 30 347 28 347 27 343 78666 74810 21 354 21 347 26 341 25 343 25 346 74810 71378 17 331 15 345 20 338 25 349 27 346 71378 68247 20 344 26 348 26 340 27 346 31 338 68247 65349 29 348 36 336 31 340 29 346 29 335 65349 62643 40 342 43 337 40 343 34 347 31 344 62643 60006 45 330 50 336 49 338 41 345 40 349 60006 57237 49 326 53 332 53 333 50 342 46 345 57237 54344 52 327 54 330 55 329 55 335 50 339 54344 51562 54 330 55 332 56 328 58 329 52 330 51562 49043 57 330 57 333 58 329 60 325 54 324 49043 46776 60 329 61 333 60 327 61 322 57 322 46776 44713 61 328 62 329 60 325 62 322 60 323 44713 42817 59 325 62 325 61 324 66 323 64 324 42817 41060 56 321 61 320 61 322 67 320 68 321 41060 39426 54 321 61 317 61 320 62 315 65 315 39426 37910 56 323 59 314 62 319 56 316 55 311 37910 36512 60 315 57 311 62 312 55 319 48 313 36512 35200 64 310 57 309 60 307 53 313 52 315 35200 33910 68 304 60 304 59 309 54 307 58 309 33910 32610 68 299 63 300 61 312 57 302 60 300 32610 31296 68 299 66 301 64 312 58 301 58 300 31296 29948 67 302 67 304 62 313 56 302 56 301 29948 28550 65 304 66 303 57 310 54 306 55 300 28550 27106 62 307 62 303 56 305 52 307 52 302 27106 25616 59 310 58 306 57 304 50 303 51 306 25616 24081 56 311 54 309 55 302 50 302 50 308 24081 22508 53 314 52 310 51 300 49 302 47 311 22508 20894 49 319 50 309 46 300 45 302 43 311 20894 19232 45 321 45 308 42 299 41 303 39 308 19232 17548 40 323 39 310 38 296 37 302 35 309 17548 15933 35 323 33 311 34 295 33 301 30 313 15933 14466 32 321 28 308 30 297 30 301 24 313 14466 13158 28 319 23 307 25 301 26 303 19 311 13158 11987 23 316 19 306 20 304 21 305 14 313 11987 10937 18 312 14 304 15 305 17 306 11 321 10937 9992 14 310 10 299 10 299 14 305 9 330 9992 9143 11 309 7 292 6 281 12 296 8 336 9143 8384 8 306 4 284 5 251 10 282 6 329 8384 7706 5 303 2 258 4 217 6 262 6 314 7706 7094 1 318 1 128 3 181 3 206 4 297 7094 6551 2 063 3 100 3 115 4 160 0 088 6551 6094 2 050 3 104 3 100 4 160 2 101 6094 5741 1 182 3 112 3 098 4 161 2 081 5741 5495 2 165 3 118 3 099 4 162 1 051 5495 5346 2*147 3*117 3 098 3*162 2*032 5346 5260 2*134 2*118 2*099 3*162 2*024 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography