DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.4 - - 47.5 - - 42.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 65 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1080 - - 4382 - - 3242 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 161 - - 150 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -381 - - -1826 - - -577 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5643 - - 7089 - - 5839 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3485 - - -3247 - - -3346 - - -3496 ODpotential blCL - - - 8747 - - 8509 - - 8608 - - 8758 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 90 - - 82 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.4 - - 47.5 - - 42.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 34.7 - - 34.9 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 46.4 - - 45.2 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 34.3 - - 34.7 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 65 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 62 - - 27 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96689 15 097 23 075 25 030 22 055 96689 89679 18 101 29 077 23 068 20 072 89679 84191 18 100 15 079 18 079 18 076 84191 79595 19 081 9 092 9 062 16 057 79595 75609 13 076 3 028 6 055 12 052 75609 72054 9 044 6 034 6 041 10 038 72054 68820 7 001 7 045 5 033 8 010 68820 65844 7 003 3 007 4 344 8 355 65844 63082 9 337 4 326 6 310 6 332 63082 60398 11 321 9 354 10 317 7 347 60398 57595 16 319 12 320 15 312 14 318 57595 54695 15 340 10 320 13 292 11 305 54695 51921 23 341 20 324 12 005 12 223 51921 49412 28 331 34 327 42 340 33 348 49412 47174 27 335 34 329 49 319 54 318 47174 45153 34 338 32 349 31 335 29 333 45153 43301 31 351 43 359 39 018 27 048 43301 41578 41 006 53 001 45 026 32 052 41578 39954 49 007 59 002 51 024 39 032 39954 38431 49 004 60 003 58 015 51 011 38431 37020 43 001 58 006 60 010 56 001 37020 35691 37 345 55 006 59 006 57 007 35691 34378 34 322 53 005 62 004 57 015 34378 33047 23 291 53 002 58 004 49 018 33047 31693 21 267 48 359 51 012 48 033 31693 30302 30 238 29 340 47 018 56 037 30302 28862 33 236 21 301 52 017 64 040 28862 27373 33 231 29 258 50 015 62 040 27373 25838 35 229 42 244 25 357 52 032 25838 24267 33 230 39 240 27 265 36 019 24267 22668 27 234 36 236 36 247 17 350 22668 21044 23 238 33 234 32 240 15 260 21044 19381 20 238 29 235 29 241 18 246 19381 17701 18 238 23 240 23 246 17 236 17701 16090 18 238 21 245 19 251 13 232 16090 14624 19 237 22 246 17 248 14 236 14624 13314 16 230 21 246 18 245 15 242 13314 12137 13 223 18 244 17 244 13 241 12137 11078 12 221 14 235 15 238 11 237 11078 10124 13 219 12 228 14 230 11 232 10124 9265 13 216 11 224 14 224 12 222 9265 8495 11 212 9 219 13 216 13 213 8495 7803 9 215 6 208 11 203 13 203 7803 7174 8 224 4 180 8 190 12 192 7174 6610 7 237 4 172 6 172 10 178 6610 6133 5 249 4 169 5 168 6 152 6133 5764 3 256 4 166 4 166 4 130 5764 5507 2 255 3 163 3 162 3 108 5507 5351 2*258 3*161 3*159 2*070 5351 5262 1*258 3*161 2*150 2*028 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography