DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 48.6 - - 47.1 - - 50.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 332 - - 226 - - 106 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 3502 - - 2656 - - 2896 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 7415 - - 6646 - - 6451 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 8563 - - 7717 - - 7957 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3026 - - 1328 - - 2403 - - 2806 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 443 - - 356 - - 285 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 26 - - 29 - - 29 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 236 - - 241 - - 235 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -13 - - -12 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2317 - - 76 - - 945 - - 751 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7579 - - 8487 - - 6773 - - 7206 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -5808 - - -1648 - - 94 - - -587 - - -2254 ODpotential blCL 11070 - - 10211 - - 7623 - - 8544 - - 7516 blCL maxRH 87 - - 96 - - 100 - - 91 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 48.6 - - 47.1 - - 50.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 29.5 - - 35.5 - - 36.8 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 46.5 - - 45.5 - - 49.5 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 29.3 - - 35.3 - - 36.6 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 332 - - 226 - - 106 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 3502 - - 2656 - - 2896 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 82 - - 101 - - 64 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96864 6 274 36 290 29 284 37 275 19 276 96864 89435 22 281 20 275 36 261 45 257 36 275 89435 83755 36 262 27 259 38 261 34 244 41 256 83755 79099 27 242 29 250 29 266 21 256 30 245 79099 75090 24 239 26 237 25 252 21 262 23 254 75090 71533 28 245 25 241 30 244 29 254 17 264 71533 68295 28 247 30 245 26 241 27 248 18 258 68295 65305 24 250 23 246 17 246 22 261 17 257 65305 62518 21 258 18 252 18 258 23 266 16 283 62518 59799 25 269 24 259 25 253 27 255 25 273 59799 56967 34 263 34 254 23 258 22 257 25 254 56967 54037 32 253 29 253 24 276 16 304 15 262 54037 51226 32 274 24 262 35 268 34 281 25 274 51226 48693 32 273 26 268 42 263 43 264 36 265 48693 46445 32 267 40 274 43 261 42 261 41 260 46445 44426 38 272 53 269 45 263 47 266 41 260 44426 42580 48 280 55 266 53 264 57 265 45 267 42580 40879 60 286 57 268 63 264 67 260 56 267 40879 39316 66 286 65 271 70 263 74 254 69 261 39316 37879 65 284 67 270 73 260 76 251 79 255 37879 36547 61 281 65 268 71 259 73 251 83 251 36547 35279 59 279 64 267 68 259 71 251 84 251 35279 34012 58 278 63 267 65 257 70 252 83 252 34012 32716 58 277 62 267 63 257 68 254 81 253 32716 31395 58 276 59 267 61 257 67 256 78 254 31395 30037 56 276 56 267 59 258 66 257 76 254 30037 28632 53 277 54 266 58 258 65 257 74 253 28632 27182 49 277 51 265 57 257 65 258 72 254 27182 25689 45 278 50 265 57 257 64 259 71 256 25689 24156 42 278 49 265 56 256 64 260 68 261 24156 22588 41 278 47 264 55 254 63 260 58 256 22588 20981 41 278 44 260 54 253 61 258 55 258 20981 19331 39 277 41 254 51 252 60 257 55 263 19331 17663 35 274 40 249 49 253 56 257 54 258 17663 16061 32 270 39 248 47 255 54 256 54 252 16061 14603 30 266 40 252 46 256 53 256 55 248 14603 13299 32 263 41 254 45 255 52 256 57 244 13299 12130 36 262 42 254 44 254 52 255 57 242 12130 11076 39 259 41 250 41 252 50 250 54 241 11076 10126 39 258 38 245 39 249 46 247 47 240 10126 9270 36 256 31*240 37 248 43 245 39 240 9270 8502 32 253 28*236 35 245 38*241 31 237 8502 7812 30 252 27 236 33*243 34*238 27 231 7812 7182 29 256 27 236 32*242 32 236 25 226 7182 6617 28 254 26 236 31 241 30 234 24 223 6617 6139 25 251 25 237 30 241 29 234 21 223 6139 5767 21 245 24 237 29 240 28 233 18 224 5767 5509 18 242 23 237 28 240 27 233 14 226 5509 5352 16*241 21 237 25 240 24 232 10*229 5352 5262 13*240 18 237 19 239 18 231 5*235 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography