DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 42.3 - - 51.4 - - 49.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 107 - - 170 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2346 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 6303 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 7407 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 70 - - 1117 - - 1191 - - 3608 - - 165 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 117 - - 309 - - 10 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 068 - - 138 - - 171 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -713 - - -3104 - - -3506 - - -4826 - - -1592 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5974 - - 8365 - - 10914 - - 10089 - - 6855 sfcLCL ODpotential -12848 - - -11323 - - -9301 - - -10160 - - -7561 ODpotential blCL 18109 - - 16584 - - 16708 - - 15422 - - 12823 blCL maxRH 65 - - 72 - - 89 - - 91 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 42.3 - - 51.4 - - 49.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.9 - - 24.5 - - 22.1 - - 23.6 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 41.2 - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 24.0 - - 21.8 - - 23.2 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 107 - - 170 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2346 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 66 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96232 22 271 13 300 21 316 19 332 13 288 96232 89308 2 016 12 000 15 021 10 003 9 007 89308 83857 8 061 5 002 11 042 6 025 11 360 83857 79262 6 054 4 083 6 009 8 031 10 031 79262 75288 6 040 7 076 7 331 13 012 10 020 75288 71774 11 030 5 031 8 307 18 340 8 023 71774 68601 15 357 3 342 8 274 23 309 10 360 68601 65687 14 348 5 330 11 257 26 280 15 317 65687 62984 9 317 10 327 7 278 17 254 18 276 62984 60361 10 276 11 275 6 309 7 236 21 257 60361 57614 8 271 10 223 9 259 5 265 16 255 57614 54740 8 296 9 201 14 206 15 222 24 232 54740 51979 12 293 11 223 18 190 19 205 24 224 51979 49493 15 231 16 201 23 199 20 221 19 234 49493 47262 19 196 22 203 24 216 22 233 22 241 47262 45230 25 192 26 218 23 232 22 239 24 244 45230 43365 22 182 32 223 27 238 24 235 26 247 43365 41641 15 191 34 204 27 228 27 223 29 246 41641 40041 25 203 31 183 30 201 26 212 27 227 40041 38556 34 192 33 179 31 186 23 206 22 219 38556 37181 35 186 36 184 33 183 23 195 17 203 37181 35880 34 191 30 181 34 178 26 180 15 184 35880 34585 30 192 32 182 35 171 26 168 19 162 34585 33268 28 185 33 180 37 174 29 169 19 143 33268 31929 27 179 32 178 33 173 29 176 19 147 31929 30553 26 179 30 176 31 171 27 174 15 159 30553 29129 28 180 29 174 30 172 26 166 12 166 29129 27659 28 181 30 174 30 173 24 164 11 173 27659 26143 25 182 28 174 29 171 22 163 11 185 26143 24583 20 186 24 176 26 167 20 164 11 182 24583 22983 14 183 18 176 21 167 17 166 10 169 22983 21336 10 166 15 168 17 172 15 177 9 172 21336 19636 8 165 14 176 13 185 14 197 11 190 19636 17914 7 183 11 198 9 205 14 214 13 198 17914 16263 7 188 9 211 9 214 13 230 8 237 16263 14765 7 189 8 206 11 215 12 244 9 259 14765 13428 9 193 9 199 13 213 12 250 12 258 13428 12228 9 192 10 196 14 216 12 253 14 257 12228 11148 9 186 10 195 14 219 11 254 15 259 11148 10175 9 180 10 195 13 217 10 250 15 262 10175 9302 9 180 10 195 12 212 10 235 15 261 9302 8521 10 180 9 194 10 206 9 211 12 249 8521 7823 9 171 8 190 6*193 6 187 10 231 7823 7189 8 146 8 180 4*155 6 181 9 234 7189 6621 8 104 6 144 3 143 5 179 7 243 6621 6140 10 074 8 077 3 138 5 176 5 253 6140 5767 11 060 8 068 3 131 4 174 3 294 5767 5509 10 048 7 068 3 128 4 173 4 339 5509 5352 8*033 7 067 3 126 4*173 4*341 5352 5262 5*021 6*068 3 125 3*171 4*328 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography