DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 39.6 - - 42.1 - - 35.7 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 35 - - 88 - - -35 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 3187 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 6526 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 8248 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 342 - - 4900 - - 3679 - - 3075 - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 85 - - 277 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 15 - - 19 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 275 - - 282 - - 267 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -7 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1756 - - -330 - - -1442 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7018 - - 8578 - - 6704 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -2661 - - -3448 - - -1613 - - -3746 - - -3781 ODpotential blCL 7922 - - 8709 - - 9861 - - 9007 - - 9042 blCL maxRH 80 - - 60 - - 78 - - 77 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 39.6 - - 42.1 - - 35.7 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 27.3 - - 22.9 - - 24.9 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 39.2 - - 41.1 - - 37.2 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 26.2 - - 22.4 - - 24.8 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 35 - - 88 - - -35 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 3187 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96470 43 083 34 073 36 076 32 091 21 081 96470 89252 33 076 29 067 23 078 24 061 19 058 89252 83662 23 062 19 069 15 079 15 020 18 047 83662 79009 15 033 10 066 11 011 12 032 18 046 79009 74955 9 048 11 026 5 255 17 334 22 038 74955 71365 10 015 14 329 0 113 8 165 14 327 71365 68135 18 336 14 283 21 306 18 307 9 185 68135 65155 24 315 16 288 22 269 29 280 19 294 65155 62394 17 270 16 287 22 239 26 267 29 284 62394 59753 9 206 27 299 18 264 21 300 36 300 59753 57008 43 284 50 286 38 283 28 307 43 307 57008 54139 60 277 55 290 38 297 36 299 30 291 54139 51359 64 296 73 313 62 316 54 310 38 301 51359 48823 79 309 85 310 81 315 72 311 56 311 48823 46559 85 312 87 309 88 313 83 310 72 312 46559 44528 88 314 90 311 90 312 86 309 85 312 44528 42682 91 314 93 312 88 313 86 312 92 313 42682 40988 92 312 95 314 88 317 91 317 96 316 40988 39425 94 314 95 318 95 321 101 317 101 318 39425 37975 102 316 97 321 105 319 108 314 103 318 37975 36624 110 317 100 321 111 317 106 312 97 319 36624 35337 114 317 102 320 108 318 105 314 92 323 35337 34048 115 316 102 318 105 320 110 317 95 328 34048 32731 114 316 102 318 104 321 115 319 104 331 32731 31387 113 317 103 320 101 321 115 319 113 332 31387 30006 113 317 103 321 96 319 113 319 116 332 30006 28579 112 317 103 323 93 317 108 320 111 330 28579 27110 110 317 101 325 91 316 98 320 102 328 27110 25601 104 315 95 325 89 317 87 317 92 328 25601 24056 94 312 88 324 84 319 81 315 83 330 24056 22479 85 311 79 322 76 321 74 315 74 331 22479 20864 77 312 68 320 68 322 65 316 66 330 20864 19208 69 317 56 320 58 322 56 316 57 329 19208 17537 62 321 46 320 49 322 47 315 47 329 17537 15938 59 321 39 321 40 324 41 313 38 329 15938 14485 55 320 35 322 35 325 37 312 32 327 14485 13190 50 318 33 323 32 322 34 312 29 323 13190 12031 49 318 33 326 31 317 32 312 27 319 12031 10988 50 318 36 324 29 313 29 312 26 317 10988 10047 46 317 39 320 26 308 26 312 26 317 10047 9201 42 316 39 317 24 304 23 310 27 317 9201 8443 37 315 37 315 21*298 21 306 27 316 8443 7762 32 311 34 310 20*291 20 301 26 312 7762 7143 28 306 30 303 19 283 21 292 24 306 7143 6588 25 294 27 294 19 281 22 283 22 296 6588 6119 24 278 24 283 19 280 22 277 21 284 6119 5754 23 270 23 279 18 280 20 274 20 276 5754 5503 19 263 21 277 18 279 17 271 16 270 5503 5349 15*259 19*276 16 279 14 269 12*266 5349 5261 9*255 15*275 13 278 9*267 6*260 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography