DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 72.6 - - 76.0 - - 76.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 220 - - 321 - - 211 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 7040 - - 8046 - - 8925 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 10010 - - 10980 - - 11430 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 12101 - - 13107 - - 13986 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3187 - - 5594 - - 5862 - - 3780 - - 4272 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 498 - - 578 - - 521 - - 15 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 21 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 256 - - 260 - - 266 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 15 - - -17 - - -15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6509 - - 740 - - -504 - - -866 - - -8311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11773 - - 11362 - - 13612 - - 14853 - - 13576 sfcLCL ODpotential -8876 - - -950 - - -1800 - - -3019 - - -11674 ODpotential blCL 14139 - - 13051 - - 14907 - - 17005 - - 16938 blCL maxRH 99 - - 91 - - 92 - - 67 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 740 - - 360 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 72.6 - - 76.0 - - 76.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 40.8 - - 34.1 - - 29.5 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.9 - - 70.7 - - 73.7 - - 75.0 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 39.7 - - 33.8 - - 29.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 220 - - 321 - - 211 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 7040 - - 8046 - - 8925 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 64 - - 68 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98532 14 124 17 123 12 125 17 129 9 121 98532 91091 16 096 9 136 9 140 4 067 16 094 91091 85356 11 082 11 142 5 184 5 106 8 106 85356 80603 6 111 10 149 7 211 6 098 2 137 80603 76511 6 165 8 168 9 172 3 275 7 077 76511 72857 10 185 6 171 10 139 7 212 9 063 72857 69518 11 175 11 211 8 125 8 223 4 037 69518 66442 12 179 12 194 4 183 10 197 5 222 66442 63591 5 203 4 244 5 223 5 211 7 195 63591 60835 14 243 14 237 16 251 12 244 10 255 60835 57973 12 273 11 228 17 243 15 256 12 267 57973 55017 20 272 13 277 10 262 13 279 13 280 55017 52211 20 261 20 273 20 283 17 273 16 283 52211 49703 21 268 23 269 22 279 22 275 18 277 49703 47469 29 283 26 276 26 269 27 274 22 273 47469 45459 38 277 35 277 31 268 30 271 24 270 45459 43634 44 270 46 274 39 269 36 266 26 270 43634 41966 49 269 51 272 42 267 41 261 34 269 41966 40434 50 271 52 273 44 272 42 263 40 265 40434 39008 50 275 50 272 44 274 40 267 39 265 39008 37671 46 278 43 272 41 275 39 274 37 270 37671 36391 42 280 40 275 39 277 38 278 35 274 36391 35104 38 280 38 276 37 279 35 279 32 279 35104 33784 36 280 36 273 35 280 33 279 27 284 33784 32433 35 281 35 273 34 280 31 277 22 286 32433 31042 35 281 34 275 32 279 30 277 19 283 31042 29600 37 280 33 274 32 276 29 281 13 283 29600 28109 40 275 33 275 32 274 27 284 11 288 28109 26571 40 270 33 278 31 275 25 281 12 285 26571 24989 35 268 32 277 30 276 26 277 16 278 24989 23369 36 265 33 277 30 276 27 276 20 275 23369 21704 34 263 31 273 31 275 27 276 22 272 21704 19989 31 270 28 271 27 279 26 277 24 268 19989 18252 26 285 26 269 20 286 23 278 25 267 18252 16582 20 291 25 269 19 285 20 277 26 269 16582 15059 16 283 24 269 19 278 19*272 26 270 15059 13695 16 277 22 265 20*271 19*269 24 272 13695 12470 17 278 19*260 20*265 19 268 24 274 12470 11365 17 277 17*257 21 263 19 267 23 277 11365 10367 16 274 14 256 21 262 20 266 22 278 10367 9468 15 269 14 256 22 260 20 266 21 277 9468 8662 15 265 13 255 22 260 20 266 20 276 8662 7937 15 258 13 256 22 259 20 266 20 276 7937 7278 15 249 13 256 22 258 20 266 20 275 7278 6685 14 240 12 256 22 257 20 266 20 275 6685 6183 12 233 11 256 22 257 20 266 19 273 6183 5794 10 233 11 257 21 256 20 266 18 272 5794 5523 9 234 10 257 21 256 19 266 15 270 5523 5358 7*235 10 256 20 256 18 266 12*268 5358 5264 6*234 9 256 17 255 15 265 7*263 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography