DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 55.9 - - 59.3 - - 63.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 15 - - 48 - - 15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 441 - - 1188 - - 1896 - - 2731 - - 827 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 62 - - 93 - - 70 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 100 - - 110 - - 055 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1395 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6659 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 - - 5263 sfcLCL ODpotential -7381 - - 0 - - -241 - - -1145 - - -3797 ODpotential blCL 12644 - - 5263 - - 5504 - - 6408 - - 9060 blCL maxRH 86 - - 101 - - 100 - - 93 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 410 - - 570 - - 940 - - 1680 - - 1420 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 55.9 - - 59.3 - - 63.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 55.8 - - 58.1 - - 58.9 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 55.4 - - 58.6 - - 62.6 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 55.7 - - 57.5 - - 58.2 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 15 - - 48 - - 15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 102 - - 101 - - 74 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99026 11 124 11 181 8 004 8 070 1 268 99026 91649 9 178 5 217 3 166 8 342 4 067 91649 85930 8 158 5 223 4 186 7 286 8 352 85930 81175 9 303 1 236 9 235 12 255 15 338 81175 77062 18 291 11 288 9 254 12 277 13 313 77062 73413 12 245 12 276 13 277 14 277 11 278 73413 70114 7 209 10 278 11 268 13 274 14 267 70114 67089 9 311 10 266 12 226 12 255 13 266 67089 64293 14 292 6 242 9 222 11 243 11 277 64293 61582 16 236 7 277 9 259 10 268 11 290 61582 58760 13 240 15 237 16 254 14 275 16 263 58760 55835 12 269 15 223 20 249 23 260 11 263 55835 53017 25 246 29 225 30 227 32 243 24 239 53017 50465 38 217 41 215 35 229 44 225 38 224 50465 48186 33 206 34 213 46 230 47 226 45 228 48186 46140 39 223 51 232 58 229 58 224 57 229 46140 44281 65 226 75 227 67 226 62 222 63 222 44281 42571 89 218 86 215 72 220 65 220 64 218 42571 40984 98 212 85 208 70 216 67 218 63 218 40984 39506 95 206 74 203 59 213 64 216 62 220 39506 38129 91 201 69 194 51 212 57 213 60 218 38129 36818 89 200 66 183 48 211 51 210 56 214 36818 35502 86 200 62 179 47 210 49 211 52 214 35502 34151 83 200 61 183 45 208 48 213 50 214 34151 32772 78 201 60 189 44 206 47 216 48 215 32772 31353 70 201 57 195 44 206 47 219 47 215 31353 29883 62 200 50 200 45 206 47 222 46 216 29883 28365 55 201 44 203 44 209 45 222 45 217 28365 26798 51 209 40 209 43 212 43 221 46 217 26798 25187 48 212 48 207 44 216 41 218 46 219 25187 23535 44 210 44 212 40 218 40 218 45 224 23535 21838 39 207 42 214 39 219 40 221 42 232 21838 20092 32 208 40 217 38 221 35 224 43 232 20092 18331 26 208 37 219 36 222 34 227 41 227 18331 16645 24 197 36 222 35 220 33 229 33 222 16645 15111 24 190 34 225 31 220 30 231 25 222 15111 13737 23 182 27 223 26 221 26 231 19 225 13737 12501 23 189 21 213 18 216 20 227 17 217 12501 11384 23 204 20 197 14 208 15 217 18 204 11384 10375 21 214 20 183 13 193 12 199 19 192 10375 9467 22 215 19 172 14 177 12 173 18 173 9467 8654 24 203 15 159 15 164 13 150 17 150 8654 7924 23 192 12 153 16 153 12 134 16 126 7924 7262 16 176 12 152 16 139 11 109 14 094 7262 6670 12 139 11 151 15 133 11 089 13 067 6670 6173 12 100 9 133 14 124 11 064 16 047 6173 5787 15 075 8 114 12 117 11 060 17 040 5787 5520 14 069 8 105 11 114 11 058 15 035 5520 5357 11*068 7*102 11*112 10 056 12*031 5357 5263 8*069 6*100 9*110 9*055 7*028 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography