DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.8 - - 33.5 - - 29.6 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 82 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 711 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5260 - - 5772 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 526 - - 538 - - 602 - - 289 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 164 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 233 - - 222 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -59 - - -839 - - -672 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5319 - - 6612 - - 5933 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10811 - - -9528 - - -10423 - - -11313 ODpotential blCL - - - 16071 - - 15300 - - 15684 - - 16573 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 67 - - 70 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.8 - - 33.5 - - 29.6 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 23.5 - - 22.6 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.2 - - 24.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 22.6 - - 22.2 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 82 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 711 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97249 32 070 38 065 19 064 11 079 97249 90097 22 097 20 071 21 057 15 074 90097 84476 24 079 22 052 21 060 21 056 84476 79773 20 076 19 046 16 037 26 038 79773 75721 13 083 13 039 13 016 28 024 75721 72130 16 068 6 058 14 007 23 019 72130 68855 16 038 6 100 11 014 13 030 68855 65815 12 351 9 010 9 004 7 043 65815 62983 6 278 9 329 12 354 9 017 62983 60263 13 023 6 328 21 343 24 348 60263 57456 37 006 21 356 29 343 29 350 57456 54546 40 000 32 353 36 352 40 348 54546 51782 45 353 38 352 45 353 48 341 51782 49324 49 347 47 350 46 346 47 340 49324 47139 51 346 53 347 46 351 46 344 47139 45159 51 347 55 345 51 351 46 342 45159 43349 51 350 53 337 52 334 46 336 43349 41688 51 348 49 324 49 325 50 335 41688 40156 51 342 53 327 53 331 54 335 40156 38731 49 340 70 333 60 330 60 334 38731 37400 51 338 68 330 64 326 62 328 37400 36124 55 339 67 328 65 325 69 323 36124 34843 58 341 66 328 65 326 75 319 34843 33527 59 340 65 330 66 326 75 317 33527 32181 61 339 64 330 67 324 74 318 32181 30790 62 341 64 328 68 324 74 320 30790 29347 60 343 64 326 69 325 75 322 29347 27853 58 343 64 326 69 326 74 325 27853 26312 59 343 64 329 65 327 64 327 26312 24725 59 346 61 333 59 327 54 326 24725 23098 56 350 58 334 55 327 50 328 23098 21426 53 354 51 336 52 328 45 332 21426 19706 50 355 44 340 46 331 40 333 19706 17966 46 355 39 344 40 336 37 334 17966 16295 39 357 35 347 34 339 33 335 16295 14772 34 002 30 348 29 339 30 337 14772 13412 31 007 27 350 27 336 28 337 13412 12194 29 010 24 352 24 333 25 337 12194 11101 27 011 22 353 22 331 24 336 11101 10120 23 010 18 349 18 327 22 336 10120 9242 19 008 13 337 14 318 18 333 9242 8460 14 005 10 306 12 300 12 324 8460 7762 9 004 11 274 14 279 9 301 7762 7132 3 001 14 258 18 266 9 284 7132 6573 4 211 14 250 20 258 9 270 6573 6106 7 228 11*243 18 251 8 249 6106 5746 8 235 9*236 14 241 6 217 5746 5498 7 235 8 233 11 230 5 191 5498 5347 5*234 7 233 9*226 4 157 5347 5260 5*233 6 232 6*222 3*137 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography