DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.5 - - 43.9 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 59 - - 81 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 248 - - 2423 - - 6411 - - 5627 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 98 - - 108 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 111 - - 142 - - 091 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -682 - - -2022 - - -1021 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5944 - - 7284 - - 6283 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -3600 - - -2599 - - -3197 - - -3335 - - -3591 ODpotential blCL 8861 - - 7861 - - 8459 - - 8597 - - 8853 blCL maxRH 100 - - 93 - - 91 - - 93 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.5 - - 43.9 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 36.2 - - 34.8 - - 34.7 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 43.0 - - 47.5 - - 46.7 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 35.5 - - 34.2 - - 34.4 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 59 - - 81 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 74 - - 64 - - 72 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96812 19 091 17 051 22 055 21 058 7 047 96812 89753 18 080 14 075 15 068 15 058 12 052 89753 84225 18 062 13 076 10 081 10 056 16 047 84225 79611 15 059 11 060 10 078 7 040 16 032 79611 75633 11 067 10 047 8 073 9 003 12 016 75633 72106 12 061 6 045 7 061 9 351 8 353 72106 68898 8 036 1 328 7 026 8 000 8 357 68898 65934 7 340 1 358 6 347 6 356 8 336 65934 63171 11 297 5 330 5 317 6 334 9 302 63171 60482 10 278 7 285 9 287 10 319 12 306 60482 57665 8 267 7 274 10 265 14 301 16 306 57665 54728 11 296 9 279 11 274 17 299 15 310 54728 51915 11 288 11 288 13 299 17 304 16 324 51915 49381 9 286 14 294 12 298 14 297 20 329 49381 47113 11 298 12 300 11 298 10 312 21 325 47113 45058 15 282 13 300 15 310 12 333 19 325 45058 43177 14 263 15 289 17 294 17 326 18 326 43177 41441 10 236 15 252 17 287 19 304 19 321 41441 39831 9 240 13 242 20 278 17 288 18 314 39831 38337 16 224 12 257 16 253 14 271 15 304 38337 36953 19 202 14 249 14 254 12 263 12 270 36953 35643 17 198 16 243 16 264 13 253 7 270 35643 34345 17 207 14 237 14 253 14 238 8 281 34345 33033 20 214 18 220 16 248 15 238 9 264 33033 31703 21 213 21 209 22 243 16 249 11 245 31703 30339 22 212 15 204 24 238 17 260 16 240 30339 28929 23 211 14 213 22 228 15 262 22 239 28929 27470 21 209 16 213 17 224 15 253 23 238 27470 25963 17 198 16 194 12 227 14 244 19 232 25963 24412 14 201 16 184 13 209 15 236 19 227 24412 22822 11 212 15 194 14 201 17 232 19 238 22822 21187 9 222 14 203 15 210 16 234 15 254 21187 19502 9 227 13 218 15 219 13 236 11 258 19502 17798 9 228 13 232 14 225 10 241 8 253 17798 16161 9 224 12 235 12 234 8 255 9 252 16161 14672 10 230 9 243 10 236 9 255 10 259 14672 13347 9 236 10 251 10 252 8 249 8 272 13347 12163 7 230 14 244 12 257 6 251 5 285 12163 11100 7 224 15 234 11 248 5 243 3 256 11100 10142 7 228 12 226 9 232 5 227 4 219 10142 9280 7 230 9 217 8 215 6 206 5 210 9280 8508 6 221 8 198 6 196 6 180 6 204 8508 7814 5 210 8 189 5 185 6 166 7 195 7814 7183 4 207 7 199 4 172 5 157 5 182 7183 6617 4 212 6 203 3 160 5 150 4 170 6617 6138 4 208 4 194 2 155 4 140 2 152 6138 5766 2 172 1 125 2 152 4 130 2 092 5766 5509 2 115 1 122 2 146 3 122 2 045 5509 5352 2 028 1*109 2*145 3*108 3*014 5352 5262 3*358 1*111 2*142 2*091 3*353 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography