DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 44.0 - - 52.3 - - 51.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 81 - - 188 - - -9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 740 - - 2978 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 6806 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5801 - - 8039 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 640 - - 2144 - - 4827 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 166 - - 347 - - 0 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 279 - - 193 - - 238 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 22 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1607 - - -2207 - - -5005 - - -2509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7408 - - 10246 - - 10267 - - 7772 sfcLCL ODpotential -7057 - - -5738 - - -6091 - - -8138 - - -7372 ODpotential blCL 12318 - - 11539 - - 14130 - - 13400 - - 12634 blCL maxRH 88 - - 82 - - 52 - - 62 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 44.0 - - 52.3 - - 51.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 30.2 - - 25.9 - - 25.3 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.6 - - 43.1 - - 50.6 - - 51.7 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 29.7 - - 25.5 - - 25.1 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 81 - - 188 - - -9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 740 - - 2978 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96442 9 318 9 323 12 002 10 034 10 325 96442 89449 10 024 15 035 11 021 20 022 9 043 89449 83978 9 056 9 050 11 007 14 356 14 038 83978 79397 9 052 10 070 3 006 8 033 14 029 79397 75419 5 022 8 057 3 081 4 071 8 042 75419 71881 5 335 1 285 5 009 2 231 4 063 71881 68677 10 293 10 261 13 329 7 301 5 297 68677 65753 19 289 15 277 15 320 11 310 7 285 65753 63049 23 273 17 280 18 297 15 299 9 305 63049 60418 21 271 22 281 23 276 17 281 17 306 60418 57657 18 270 22 282 22 271 16 288 24 297 57657 54770 15 289 22 279 27 288 25 298 30 293 54770 51998 23 291 23 279 29 278 32 283 29 292 51998 49493 26 286 23 293 24 263 34 274 29 307 49493 47235 32 293 27 299 23 267 33 277 36 303 47235 45176 36 285 30 295 20 269 33 286 39 292 45176 43293 33 275 29 289 18 304 31 286 37 290 43293 41562 26 273 26 287 26 321 27 302 24 248 41562 39986 18 287 29 297 38 335 28 312 53 333 39986 38565 19 326 28 296 44 328 26 316 93 329 38565 37253 27 339 33 326 46 330 69 335 96 322 37253 35996 34 346 40 349 59 337 86 334 95 321 35996 34727 37 346 57 006 72 338 79 335 92 321 34727 33421 38 345 67 003 79 336 69 337 84 323 33421 32083 35 346 63 004 73 337 64 339 71 325 32083 30700 30 347 56 007 58 345 55 341 60 327 30700 29263 24 350 44 009 49 349 41 344 47 330 29263 27776 22 348 32 359 50 342 33 343 39 331 27776 26239 22 344 24 345 46 349 28 336 25 331 26239 24657 22 341 22 344 36 002 26 325 15 336 24657 23036 20 340 21 342 28 360 22 322 18 306 23036 21373 17 345 19 337 23 347 23 319 29 286 21373 19663 14 343 15 332 20 334 24 316 29 282 19663 17938 13 316 15 320 17 321 23 308 27 285 17938 16285 16 289 18 312 13 305 23 294 28 289 16285 14783 18 290 20 310 11 289 23 284 29 290 14783 13443 18 296 18 311 10 288 23 280 29 289 13443 12242 17 299 15 309 8 297 20 279 29 288 12242 11162 16 302 10 301 6 293 16 278 28 287 11162 10189 14 306 7 291 4 260 13 277 27 285 10189 9315 13 311 6 295 4 212 11 268 26 282 9315 8533 13 314 5 312 6*193 11 257 25 280 8533 7832 13 314 5 321 6*193 11 250 24 278 7832 7195 13 309 4 317 6 193 11 248 23 277 7195 6624 14 300 4 309 7 193 11 246 23 277 6624 6142 14 291 5*285 7 193 11 244 22 277 6142 5769 14 282 4*279 7 193 10 243 19 274 5769 5510 12 273 3 279 6 193 10 242 15 269 5510 5352 8*261 3 279 6 194 9*241 11*264 5352 5262 4*251 3 280 6 194 7*238 5*256 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography