DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 87.3 - - 88.5 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 252 - - 21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 3424 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3662 - - 5165 - - 2936 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4416 - - 6417 - - 2954 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1204 - - 6300 - - 13381 - - 473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 393 - - 30 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 149 - - 138 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - 3 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6656 - - -7546 - - -12034 - - -9934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11073 - - 13964 - - 14988 - - 12887 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10466 - - -9842 - - -13482 - - -13683 ODpotential blCL - - - 14882 - - 16259 - - 16436 - - 16636 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 60 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 87.3 - - 88.5 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 35.9 - - 32.4 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.1 - - 85.4 - - 88.0 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 35.5 - - 32.0 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 252 - - 21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 3424 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98370 11 252 6 279 12 212 18 232 98370 91019 9 240 5 312 2 256 6 208 91019 85332 7 188 7 327 4 082 3 014 85332 80615 5 110 3 257 6 056 6 049 80615 76563 5 093 7 177 6 343 8 040 76563 72974 1 058 5 123 5 313 6 050 72974 69715 8 212 6 289 5 311 2 303 69715 66709 10 176 11 246 6 254 2 123 66709 63899 5 218 12 211 11 239 10 243 63899 61170 12 241 14 212 22 235 19 246 61170 58335 15 239 17 222 19 235 18 230 58335 55384 28 238 27 238 23 248 25 235 55384 52559 36 232 38 235 33 242 36 238 52559 50030 37 235 42 231 41 237 41 237 50030 47786 38 242 41 234 45 233 43 238 47786 45783 37 237 39 236 44 233 40 239 45783 43983 31 235 33 234 39 234 31 245 43983 42344 30 237 30 238 32 233 27 253 42344 40824 27 251 26 234 29 235 27 247 40824 39392 27 250 26 230 27 234 28 240 39392 38037 28 246 26 230 26 233 28 235 38037 36725 30 248 26 234 26 230 28 233 36725 35394 27 247 25 235 28 230 28 231 35394 34018 26 240 26 231 31 232 31 228 34018 32601 30 238 30 230 34 232 36 224 32601 31132 32 240 36 230 36 229 38 222 31132 29600 34 241 38 230 36 227 38 219 29600 28004 34 240 37 233 37 227 38 219 28004 26343 33 239 36 236 38 227 39 222 26343 24622 31 236 34 234 38 226 41 219 24622 22844 31 231 31 227 37 223 42 218 22844 21003 31 225 31 222 36 224 37 222 21003 19098 28 227 28 222 33 229 31 223 19098 17167 24 232 24 217 28 219 25 216 17167 15305 20 233 22 213 26 216 22 204 15305 13604 18 231 21 212 23 218 21 201 13604 12081 15 221 21 214 20 215 20 206 12081 10716 14 213 20 216 18 207 20 211 10716 9491 15 213 18 216 16 193 19 214 9491 8393 15 216 15 210 15 179 19 213 8393 7411 15 219 13 193 15 165 19 209 7411 6538 15 215 13*173 16 155 19 200 6538 5759 15 199 14*160 16 148 19 191 5759 5057 16*175 15 151 16 146 20 182 5057 4431 17*161 15 149 16 143 20 175 4431 3905 17 158 15 147 15 142 19 172 3905 3500 17 154 15 145 15 141 18 170 3500 3220 16 152 14 144 14 140 13 173 3220 3050 15 151 14 143 13*139 9*178 3050 2952 12 149 12 142 10*138 6*184 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography