DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 59.6 - - 64.7 - - 66.7 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 23 - - 0 - - 72 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1410 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2935 - - 2935 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 4403 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1549 - - 2704 - - 5109 - - 3098 - - 1134 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 32 - - 19 - - 198 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 151 - - 215 - - 062 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -6 - - 17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -770 - - -645 - - -2948 - - -1456 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3722 - - 3597 - - 5900 - - 5859 - - 2951 sfcLCL ODpotential -3068 - - -2243 - - -4667 - - -3379 - - -3811 ODpotential blCL 6020 - - 5195 - - 7619 - - 7782 - - 6763 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 220 - - 60 - - 110 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 59.6 - - 64.7 - - 66.7 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.1 - - 53.7 - - 48.8 - - 50.8 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 59.2 - - 64.7 - - 65.8 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.8 - - 52.9 - - 47.6 - - 50.1 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 23 - - 0 - - 72 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1410 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 103 - - 102 - - 65 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99014 12 130 5 129 2 271 7 050 4 044 99014 91582 13 063 8 058 12 081 4 079 6 018 91582 85841 14 048 9 058 11 047 9 080 7 115 85841 81096 8 103 7 074 3 054 10 063 14 091 81096 76994 10 112 5 083 6 125 5 033 14 065 76994 73351 5 109 7 094 7 131 2 100 8 056 73351 70047 4 153 2 087 2 082 4 083 6 064 70047 66996 6 204 1 241 8 223 5 312 2 037 66996 64146 8 206 5 232 4 168 8 196 8 201 64146 61377 13 252 10 245 8 279 6 209 10 164 61377 58496 22 237 16 224 19 246 15 228 9 211 58496 55506 26 268 16 237 26 248 19 249 21 244 55506 52642 35 264 29 253 33 236 34 248 37 251 52642 50074 43 266 38 264 33 229 43 230 51 242 50074 47793 54 266 44 271 29 241 44 239 53 234 47793 45734 61 262 60 259 53 254 54 249 54 237 45734 43845 62 256 64 242 69 246 64 241 64 237 43845 42104 65 266 59 245 67 239 61 236 69 234 42104 40491 77 267 64 251 68 246 66 242 75 235 40491 38991 84 254 74 246 75 240 78 239 83 235 38991 37591 87 251 77 241 72 237 78 234 88 231 37591 36258 89 251 77 239 73 239 75 237 88 230 36258 34922 88 251 77 239 73 240 79 242 88 231 34922 33547 85 252 77 239 72 240 77 238 88 231 33547 32129 82 252 76 239 71 240 72 231 88 230 32129 30654 81 253 76 240 70 239 76 232 87 230 30654 29113 81 254 75 242 69 238 73 233 84 229 29113 27512 78 256 74 243 70 236 68 232 78 228 27512 25855 72 259 70 243 69 235 64 230 72 225 25855 24144 63 258 64 243 65 234 62 228 68 224 24144 22385 55 253 58 243 60 234 61 229 62 228 22385 20575 51 250 52 243 56 234 58 231 53 230 20575 18700 46 249 47 241 50 234 54 235 47 228 18700 16792 40 248 40 236 44 232 49 236 47 223 16792 14954 38 242 33 227 41 227 48 231 48 218 14954 13281 34 237 33 222 38 223 48 224 47 211 13281 11790 30 236 31 223 36 218 46 219 43 207 11790 10460 26 240 27 228 33 213 40 213 39 208 10460 9269 22 246 26 232 30 210 33 207 34 213 9269 8203 18 245 24 232 26 208 25 203 29 221 8203 7250 16 239 22 227 22 208 18 192 24 228 7250 6403 16 230 19 217 18 209 13 177 18 235 6403 5650 15 216 17 204 14 209 9 162 13 244 5650 4971 14 197 15 190 10 210 6*139 10 266 4971 4368 14 177 14 175 7 210 4*097 10 299 4368 3864 13 160 13 168 6 214 4 062 13 318 3864 3476 12 152 10 159 4 214 4 055 14 325 3476 3208 9 145 9 156 4 214 4 051 12 326 3208 3045 8*140 8*153 3*215 4 049 11*327 3045 2951 6*139 6*151 3*215 4 048 6*328 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography