DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 54.7 - - 62.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 106 - - 146 - - -36 - - -73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 522 - - 1456 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3500 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3515 - - 4449 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 198 - - 626 - - 1125 - - 1389 - - 479 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 156 - - 246 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 148 - - 135 - - 158 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 7 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1839 - - -4577 - - -5487 - - -5682 - - -3441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4790 - - 8093 - - 9936 - - 8634 - - 6394 sfcLCL ODpotential -13622 - - -13240 - - -12507 - - -13431 - - -12777 ODpotential blCL 16573 - - 16755 - - 16956 - - 16383 - - 15729 blCL maxRH 53 - - 52 - - 52 - - 49 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 54.7 - - 62.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 30.2 - - 29.7 - - 31.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 53.7 - - 61.3 - - 59.8 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.3 - - 30.1 - - 29.5 - - 31.1 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 106 - - 146 - - -36 - - -73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 522 - - 1456 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95794 29 308 36 284 47 284 38 303 34 292 95794 88939 22 308 23 292 15 297 25 280 29 297 88939 83597 17 307 13 303 12 302 15 277 23 304 83597 79117 12 308 8 319 17 270 5 264 10 282 79117 75222 6 279 7 309 17 267 5 303 4 195 75222 71747 3 281 10 264 18 250 21 272 8 288 71747 68592 6 342 5 244 11 186 27 247 24 274 68592 65704 17 303 14 302 7 119 23 227 26 265 65704 63023 22 279 27 277 15 269 21 244 22 261 63023 60408 18 288 25 274 25 253 15 246 22 265 60408 57663 22 297 24 280 29 275 21 269 32 256 57663 54812 32 289 33 282 37 278 31 273 36 256 54812 52100 45 279 46 284 53 275 51 271 48 257 52100 49668 46 269 53 273 57 267 58 265 51 257 49668 47487 42 272 48 273 55 273 61 274 51 267 47487 45516 56 290 64 287 70 280 65 279 53 278 45516 43723 66 288 71 284 73 280 67 281 65 278 43723 42080 67 285 67 283 67 284 63 281 61 271 42080 40555 70 287 67 286 58 288 49 281 55 269 40555 39121 70 289 66 289 46 295 42 285 56 272 39121 37769 64 288 59 290 43 303 43 287 56 273 37769 36467 58 286 54 288 42 304 44 287 51 270 36467 35151 53 288 49 287 39 298 43 287 46 269 35151 33793 52 292 45 291 36 292 43 282 45 267 33793 32397 51 296 44 296 36 290 42 277 46 264 32397 30945 48 299 45 300 37 293 40 275 45 261 30945 29427 46 298 45 300 36 297 37 275 43 259 29427 27841 42 294 41 299 32 297 34 273 41 262 27841 26190 37 291 35 300 25 289 32 269 39 264 26190 24473 35 294 29 301 20 275 29 267 37 266 24473 22695 32 303 25 299 18 270 26 267 34 266 22695 20851 28 310 23 298 20 276 23 267 30 262 20851 18936 22 313 18 297 20 277 21 263 26 255 18936 16986 15 317 13 288 17 264 20 252 24 248 16986 15106 10 330 8 271 16 248 20 238 22 240 15106 13393 6 308 7 247 16 238 18 229 20 236 13393 11868 8 276 8 231 16 231 17 224 19 235 11868 10508 11 260 10 235 15 226 17 219 20 231 10508 9294 13 240 14 229 15 219 17 211 22 224 9294 8209 13 222 14 216 17 217 18 203 24 216 8209 7245 11 207 12 205 16 216 20 192 26 205 7245 6391 9 193 9 195 11 208 21 180 30 192 6391 5635 7 176 8 186 8 180 23 168 33 179 5635 4957 7 167 8 179 9*152 27 159 37 168 4957 4357 8 168 10 171 11*141 28 158 40 159 4357 3856 10 167 10*162 11 136 26 158 40 156 3856 3470 13 162 9*155 11 134 23 159 35 157 3470 3205 12 159 8 147 11 132 19 159 27 160 3205 3043 8*154 7 145 10 131 16*159 21*162 3043 2951 4*149 6 142 8 130 8*158 11*163 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography