DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 45.4 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - 68 - - 271 - - 157 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3595 - - 5290 - - 4042 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4552 - - 6626 - - 5401 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 6588 - - 8283 - - 7035 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1653 - - 3953 - - 2415 - - 2372 - - 4677 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 268 - - 467 - - 355 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 33 - - 32 - - 29 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 294 - - 315 - - 350 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 22 - - 20 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -37 - - 28 - - 34 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1533 - - 1043 - - -35 - - -1334 - - -4462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4485 - - 5545 - - 8318 - - 8370 - - 7413 sfcLCL ODpotential -5583 - - -107 - - -927 - - -3048 - - -7766 ODpotential blCL 8534 - - 6695 - - 9210 - - 10083 - - 10717 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 77 - - 78 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 45.4 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.4 - - 39.2 - - 27.6 - - 19.1 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 44.5 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 38.4 - - 26.8 - - 18.7 - - 17.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - 68 - - 271 - - 157 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3595 - - 5290 - - 4042 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 101 - - 9 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 10 072 12 065 9 111 1 115 5 030 96287 89190 12 071 10 073 10 082 7 098 9 043 89190 83686 10 054 8 104 1 034 7 023 13 035 83686 79100 14 011 12 059 9 085 8 001 13 031 79100 75144 12 004 6 013 7 349 11 023 14 024 75144 71656 13 341 11 043 10 014 11 341 15 342 71656 68477 15 330 15 339 10 310 7 039 6 311 68477 65511 18 335 11 301 24 303 31 306 25 316 65511 62756 19 303 14 289 43 287 42 289 38 305 62756 60094 24 300 24 292 35 285 32 292 35 315 60094 57297 24 301 32 290 19 292 40 320 42 323 57297 54371 35 303 36 290 37 314 57 318 51 318 54371 51568 57 305 46 304 65 309 64 312 56 317 51568 49041 69 300 65 308 79 304 67 310 60 320 49041 46773 72 294 78 303 83 301 72 313 67 324 46773 44717 74 293 82 299 83 303 78 317 81 327 44717 42846 77 295 82 298 86 308 90 318 100 323 42846 41148 82 297 83 300 96 311 104 316 105 321 41148 39598 86 294 85 303 102 310 110 320 104 332 39598 38162 85 289 87 307 100 315 119 331 138 350 38162 36818 80 284 90 310 106 326 135 340 158 352 36818 35522 78 279 94 313 119 332 150 342 153 348 35522 34214 77 278 98 313 125 332 149 337 145 344 34214 32865 73 280 104 314 123 328 138 330 140 338 32865 31477 70 283 108 313 117 323 137 327 134 332 31477 30037 70 282 109 313 114 321 131 328 127 328 30037 28534 68 277 107 312 113 318 124 328 121 326 28534 26968 63 275 101 311 111 316 118 326 116 326 26968 25338 61 279 94 309 110 314 118 324 109 327 25338 23648 61 284 86 306 109 313 118 323 104 327 23648 21899 62 288 79 299 105 313 116 320 101 326 21899 20084 61 291 77 293 98 313 113 319 100 325 20084 18197 58 294 75 292 86 309 105 320 99 324 18197 16284 56 296 73 293 76 303 89 317 92 324 16284 14460 55 297 71 295 70 299 74 310 77 321 14460 12820 55 297 66 298 64 298 64 302 61 315 12820 11374 55 298 56 301 55 296 53 297 48 309 11374 10093 55 298 45 303 45 295 41 297 39 308 10093 8952 55 299 40 304 37*299 33 310 31 317 8952 7936 55 299 41 303 36*302 30 325 28 329 7936 7031 55 298 40*301 35 307 30*330 27 340 7031 6228 54 295 39*298 33 313 30*341 28 353 6228 5515 53 289 37 295 33 317 30 348 29 001 5515 4872 51 282 35 294 33 320 30 350 28 003 4872 4300 47 273 33 292 32 321 30 352 26 002 4300 3820 41 267 31 292 32 322 30 353 24 360 3820 3450 34 265 29 291 31 323 29 353 20 357 3450 3194 26 264 27 291 29 324 28 354 17 355 3194 3038 21*264 24 291 27 325 25 354 15*353 3038 2950 11*263 17 291 20 325 18 355 9*351 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography