DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 47.6 - - 54.5 - - 52.7 - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 140 - - 182 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1478 - - 4143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3493 - - 5555 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4471 - - 7136 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 288 - - 1836 - - 2580 - - 5418 - - 1165 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 244 - - 376 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 127 - - 254 - - 032 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 7 - - 30 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -676 - - -1324 - - -711 - - -4813 - - -1855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3627 - - 5796 - - 7847 - - 7766 - - 4806 sfcLCL ODpotential -4770 - - -3237 - - -1544 - - -8035 - - -6037 ODpotential blCL 7721 - - 7708 - - 8680 - - 10987 - - 8988 blCL maxRH 78 - - 74 - - 83 - - 58 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 47.6 - - 54.5 - - 52.7 - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.4 - - 29.0 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 46.3 - - 53.0 - - 52.9 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 32.1 - - 30.2 - - 28.9 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 140 - - 182 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1478 - - 4143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96330 19 287 32 272 29 278 25 280 33 279 96330 89289 12 301 14 278 24 269 19 295 18 296 89289 83847 13 287 11 291 13 266 13 286 15 284 83847 79288 11 301 9 285 10 263 9 288 6 292 79288 75326 12 294 6 275 9 262 10 291 8 278 75326 71792 16 266 8 265 14 244 13 267 12 275 71792 68563 16 265 5 235 9 225 14 273 15 270 68563 65572 23 256 14 265 14 261 18 267 20 251 65572 62786 26 254 24 260 23 260 23 266 20 250 62786 60075 20 259 23 253 27 252 29 256 20 267 60075 57235 24 269 20 254 26 245 26 254 23 258 57235 54279 29 262 24 256 26 254 28 263 26 255 54279 51463 36 263 30 262 30 260 36 260 33 262 51463 48949 39 263 36 260 36 259 41 259 41 262 48949 46715 41 269 40 263 40 260 42 260 45 258 46715 44703 42 275 43 269 43 260 43 261 45 259 44703 42872 45 278 44 273 48 260 46 266 45 268 42872 41198 45 270 46 273 52 262 52 268 48 271 41198 39657 43 264 52 269 53 262 54 265 51 272 39657 38224 42 264 54 261 51 265 53 264 54 272 38224 36883 43 268 53 255 54 265 53 266 55 271 36883 35593 45 270 52 253 60 262 53 267 54 269 35593 34292 48 271 51 255 62 256 52 265 53 269 34292 32950 49 273 51 258 62 255 51 264 52 269 32950 31571 50 276 52 260 60 257 49 264 51 271 31571 30143 52 279 52 262 56 260 49 265 49 271 30143 28656 50 280 53 267 52 264 50 266 47 270 28656 27110 48 280 51 266 50 267 50 267 44 270 27110 25501 47 278 49 261 49 269 48 269 45 271 25501 23828 48 277 48 260 47 270 45 271 46 272 23828 22093 47 279 45 263 46 270 43 271 46 271 22093 20294 44 278 40 266 44 270 42 270 43 269 20294 18428 38 273 38 265 42 271 40 270 42 267 18428 16533 36 267 36 264 40 271 38 273 40 268 16533 14709 36 267 35 265 37 268 34 273 34 264 14709 13052 31 270 31 264 34 261 32 264 30 258 13052 11581 24 268 26 258 30 254 30 254 28 254 11581 10273 18 263 21 250 25 247 26 246 26 248 10273 9107 13 254 18 244 19 240 21 240 22 240 9107 8066 10 245 16 238 13*237 16 236 17 232 8066 7138 8 241 15 231 10*238 11 235 11 223 7138 6314 7 241 12 221 7 241 7 237 7 213 6314 5582 7 242 9 205 4 245 3 240 4 204 5582 4922 7 243 7*179 2 263 1 281 2 187 4922 4335 8 240 5*148 1 293 2 025 1 100 4335 3842 8 233 5 130 1 332 3 031 2 060 3842 3463 7 224 5 123 2 353 4 033 2 046 3463 3201 6 213 5 117 2 004 4 034 2 030 3201 3041 4*214 5 114 2 009 4*032 1*325 3041 2950 3*207 5 112 2 010 3*032 1*277 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography