DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.7 - - 84.6 - - 91.5 - - 92.3 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 293 - - 346 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2072 - - 3728 - - 2661 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4212 - - 5515 - - 4340 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 2953 - - 5065 - - 6721 - - 5654 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1306 - - 1341 - - 1686 - - 4019 - - 2830 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 349 - - 450 - - 297 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 333 - - 341 - - 006 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -5 - - 9 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9751 - - -9130 - - -8975 - - -10183 - - -11478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12704 - - 14195 - - 15697 - - 15837 - - 14432 sfcLCL ODpotential -16303 - - -14527 - - -13219 - - -14133 - - -17321 ODpotential blCL 19256 - - 19592 - - 19940 - - 19787 - - 20275 blCL maxRH 32 - - 47 - - 42 - - 51 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.7 - - 84.6 - - 91.5 - - 92.3 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 32.8 - - 32.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.6 - - 82.4 - - 89.1 - - 91.0 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 32.4 - - 32.1 - - 32.3 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 293 - - 346 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2072 - - 3728 - - 2661 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99538 22 106 23 110 23 099 19 093 19 100 99538 92035 19 108 20 118 19 100 16 103 18 092 92035 86203 19 101 19 107 13 114 16 105 15 094 86203 81358 19 081 13 105 15 115 14 112 12 071 81358 77206 14 077 10 099 10 092 13 112 9 083 77206 73542 13 084 7 106 4 100 10 062 15 086 73542 70224 9 059 6 054 7 125 4 016 12 045 70224 67172 6 094 3 113 3 012 4 019 6 028 67172 64340 5 006 6 070 3 153 2 039 5 354 64340 61616 7 288 5 340 4 039 1 098 4 291 61616 58804 12 273 15 275 17 310 12 337 8 325 58804 55913 18 288 17 275 20 279 23 288 22 297 55913 53164 28 279 24 286 27 282 30 279 28 286 53164 50687 36 277 35 284 37 286 38 280 37 278 50687 48475 42 280 42 279 42 279 43 280 41 276 48475 46482 49 279 45 275 45 275 47 280 43 280 46482 44668 52 279 48 276 47 275 48 282 47 282 44668 42999 54 280 50 276 47 277 46 286 47 282 42999 41445 53 278 52 275 46 279 38 290 45 282 41445 39981 49 277 53 273 45 283 35 293 44 281 39981 38597 46 278 52 272 44 285 34 291 42 279 38597 37259 46 276 50 272 41 287 35 290 40 279 37259 35901 47 274 47 271 39 286 34 289 35 278 35901 34499 43 274 45 272 37 283 31 285 31 274 34499 33055 40 274 41 272 37 280 30 276 33 268 33055 31556 38 271 38 270 37 275 31 274 35 267 31556 29991 36 269 36 272 35 272 31 274 35 267 29991 28365 33 268 34 272 32 274 30 274 34 265 28365 26677 29 266 33 267 29 274 28 272 32 264 26677 24927 26 263 31 263 30 271 27 271 30 263 24927 23120 24 263 29 263 30 266 28 271 32 260 23120 21252 25 264 27 265 28 263 30 268 33 259 21252 19314 30 263 26 265 28 261 29 266 33 261 19314 17345 30 258 27 263 29 259 27 264 32 262 17345 15446 25 251 27 258 29 259 27 263 33 260 15446 13714 21 247 26 252 27 257 26 259 31 257 13714 12166 19 250 23 248 25 255 23 254 25 257 12166 10783 16 255 20 255 22 255 20 253 19 261 10783 9544 11 262 17 267 18 258 17 259 15 271 9544 8433 5 304 14 281 12 268 13 269 13 282 8433 7442 8 344 9 302 7*294 9 291 11 290 7442 6560 11 358 8 333 6*323 7 309 8 296 6560 5775 13 360 9*344 6 329 7*337 4 319 5775 5068 15 355 10*337 7 339 8*358 3 043 5068 4439 18 345 10 331 7 344 8 005 5 068 4439 3911 20 332 10 331 7 347 8 007 6 070 3911 3504 19 316 10 333 7 352 8 009 5 072 3504 3223 16 306 10 334 7 354 8 010 4 074 3223 3051 14*304 9 335 7 354 8 010 2*095 3051 2953 10*301 8 336 6 354 7 010 1*132 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography