DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.4 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 261 - - 42 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2158 - - 3587 - - 3804 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4241 - - 5302 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5151 - - 6580 - - 6797 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1607 - - 1569 - - 2275 - - 2411 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 404 - - 224 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 336 - - 335 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2566 - - -2765 - - -2777 - - -3267 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7717 - - 9345 - - 9575 - - 6218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6233 - - -7135 - - -6285 - - -6829 ODpotential blCL - - - 11384 - - 13715 - - 13082 - - 9780 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 90 - - 88 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.4 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.1 - - 24.6 - - 23.4 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 53.8 - - 55.0 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 24.4 - - 23.3 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 261 - - 42 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2158 - - 3587 - - 3804 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 59 - - 50 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97598 17 284 18 316 20 291 22 307 97598 90426 11 297 14 300 15 281 14 295 90426 84878 6 323 10 283 13 296 3 281 84878 80245 11 311 7 247 14 305 11 334 80245 76246 8 282 7 260 12 276 15 311 76246 72719 4 211 9 259 7 232 8 238 72719 69514 9 022 8 202 8 225 3 162 69514 66559 13 341 3 139 7 217 5 284 66559 63826 10 301 0 032 4 248 7 221 63826 61163 11 249 7 210 14 252 2 229 61163 58365 10 245 10 266 17 232 16 249 58365 55466 12 257 19 279 12 243 22 232 55466 52688 26 263 35 261 26 270 19 236 52688 50164 35 246 41 248 37 261 22 253 50164 47882 34 249 39 249 40 253 28 262 47882 45796 41 250 44 250 42 246 37 261 45796 43866 50 247 49 248 48 242 47 252 43866 42070 57 243 56 247 52 240 55 243 42070 40389 61 238 61 245 57 239 61 237 40389 38813 61 235 65 241 61 238 63 231 38813 37334 62 232 66 238 64 236 62 227 37334 35917 64 232 66 234 66 233 61 228 35917 34493 69 231 65 229 69 229 63 229 34493 33037 77 227 70 224 68 224 63 229 33037 31558 82 221 80 218 64 220 56 222 31558 30048 84 216 91 208 62 218 50 214 30048 28495 89 214 99 205 63 216 47 216 28495 26898 94 214 95 210 66 213 51 222 26898 25254 86 216 82 215 65 214 61 223 25254 23561 73 220 66 215 62 216 64 222 23561 21823 66 224 58 218 57 220 59 221 21823 20036 60 227 53 222 49 223 51 220 20036 18197 52 230 45 224 40 228 40 222 18197 16340 41 233 37 227 32 232 30 223 16340 14556 28 225 29 227 27 231 28 223 14556 12930 18 200 22 216 25 232 25 230 12930 11482 14 180 15 201 18 240 18 242 11482 10189 10 176 7 192 8 274 9 260 10189 9037 4 172 1 259 9 323 10 300 9037 8008 5 337 8 344 13 336 12 320 8008 7091 11 338 13*338 16*336 14 332 7091 6277 14 344 15*336 16*336 17 337 6277 5552 16*345 15 336 16 335 21 340 5552 4900 16*337 15 336 16 335 27 341 4900 4320 16 328 15 336 16 335 29 337 4320 3834 16 327 15 336 16 335 27 332 3834 3458 16 327 14 337 15 335 24 328 3458 3199 15 327 14 337 15 335 20 324 3199 3041 14 326 13 337 13 335 17*321 3041 2950 11 327 11 337 10 334 11*318 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography