DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 45.9 - - 49.7 - - 49.0 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 0 - - 17 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1667 - - 2155 - - 4822 - - 4745 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 11 - - 32 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 286 - - 268 - - 263 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -16 - - -10 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - -1827 - - -1347 - - -765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 2950 - - 4778 - - 4299 - - 3716 sfcLCL ODpotential -1860 - - -879 - - -2715 - - -2485 - - -3839 ODpotential blCL 4811 - - 3830 - - 5666 - - 5437 - - 6790 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 10 - - 10 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 45.9 - - 49.7 - - 49.0 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 44.2 - - 39.1 - - 40.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 45.9 - - 49.3 - - 49.4 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.3 - - 43.8 - - 37.9 - - 39.3 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 0 - - 17 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96717 13 070 16 106 6 116 14 106 10 081 96717 89540 13 063 15 101 8 102 8 093 16 067 89540 83933 16 026 11 090 7 050 8 048 16 056 83933 79266 10 011 9 068 3 073 8 019 10 018 79266 75259 12 341 12 010 9 012 12 356 12 014 75259 71719 11 300 15 347 7 348 13 324 13 329 71719 68499 16 320 22 316 14 324 10 320 7 208 68499 65502 32 314 32 296 25 289 33 314 20 332 65502 62739 32 295 29 296 24 307 38 286 44 297 62739 60096 39 293 31 300 37 312 38 279 49 288 60096 57321 60 292 53 297 51 302 41 292 50 291 57321 54420 71 284 68 290 66 297 60 304 60 300 54420 51652 74 286 76 289 79 294 76 300 74 299 51652 49169 85 293 81 292 84 294 82 294 83 290 49169 46955 107 292 92 297 95 294 91 294 84 289 46955 44950 123 282 112 289 118 285 104 292 94 294 44950 43111 118 276 120 277 116 276 119 283 113 290 43111 41415 117 283 111 280 110 279 121 277 115 285 41415 39856 141 292 142 293 141 289 121 281 113 285 39856 38414 161 292 156 292 157 290 126 285 120 287 38414 37063 159 290 153 289 154 288 134 287 123 287 37063 35759 157 289 156 287 155 287 138 289 122 289 35759 34439 157 290 150 287 146 288 138 291 122 290 34439 33075 150 292 143 288 130 287 135 292 122 292 33075 31674 132 290 125 289 117 285 126 291 123 291 31674 30219 114 282 109 287 112 282 115 289 121 290 30219 28701 109 278 105 287 109 281 103 287 115 290 28701 27123 107 279 103 287 101 284 95 286 106 289 27123 25486 102 282 99 288 95 287 91 286 100 287 25486 23796 95 284 93 288 93 289 89 288 96 287 23796 22051 89 286 85 289 86 292 86 291 86 292 22051 20248 85 287 79 291 76 295 79 293 77 295 20248 18379 80 288 73 290 68 293 71 293 71 296 18379 16484 73 290 66 287 63 285 64 289 64 296 16484 14666 64 289 58 284 57 279 60 283 57 293 14666 13023 54 284 45 282 47 277 54 276 47 291 13023 11565 46 281 36 278 37 276 46 274 42 286 11565 10266 42 283 31 277 35 283 41 283 40 281 10266 9104 37 287 24 279 34 295 36 295 38 284 9104 8064 30 295 20 289 29 303 28 307 33 291 8064 7137 23 305 17 301 24 307 20 315 27 299 7137 6315 20 315 15 308 21 306 14 317 23 306 6315 5582 20 321 12 314 19 303 11 314 21 309 5582 4923 20 321 10 321 18 294 10 306 21 304 4923 4335 20 317 7 333 17 285 9 291 21 294 4335 3843 18 311 4 347 15 278 9 279 19 282 3843 3463 16 308 4 319 14 274 8 272 16 274 3463 3201 13 308 5 296 12 271 7 268 11 269 3201 3041 10*309 4*292 11*269 6*266 8*268 3041 2950 5*311 3*286 8*268 5*263 4*264 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography