DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 36.9 - - 36.2 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 1 - - 67 - - -3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 504 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 3497 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 289 - - 807 - - 1023 - - 1963 - - 1080 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 11 - - 135 - - 7 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 154 - - 146 - - 007 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - -2 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2006 - - 1 - - 125 - - -270 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4956 - - 2949 - - 3372 - - 3220 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -13833 - - -8941 - - -7631 - - -1715 - - -242 ODpotential blCL 16783 - - 11891 - - 11128 - - 4665 - - 3192 blCL maxRH 52 - - 90 - - 89 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 36.9 - - 36.2 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 30.3 - - 33.0 - - 32.9 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.0 - - 32.3 - - 36.3 - - 37.4 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 30.1 - - 32.4 - - 32.8 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 1 - - 67 - - -3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 504 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 62 - - 57 - - 64 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97147 59 073 52 074 52 077 56 083 49 079 97147 90088 52 084 52 086 48 084 54 077 50 078 90088 84565 49 094 45 092 42 089 47 079 52 081 84565 79904 45 086 43 090 39 091 41 075 47 082 79904 75840 31 082 32 099 29 099 31 077 34 081 75840 72219 24 060 24 074 26 086 24 076 24 078 72219 68918 10 085 8 058 19 060 21 069 18 081 68918 65878 16 086 21 055 20 048 22 050 19 054 65878 63076 21 028 25 022 22 026 21 026 16 034 63076 60376 29 006 24 011 22 001 20 360 19 039 60376 57557 33 359 33 359 33 358 29 000 35 012 57557 54630 46 348 44 352 45 352 42 348 45 357 54630 51850 49 347 45 351 45 350 41 350 50 351 51850 49379 52 349 48 357 51 360 47 357 49 347 49379 47173 57 348 53 357 55 357 47 353 45 352 47173 45176 61 346 56 354 58 353 48 011 55 007 45176 43380 62 349 61 353 66 360 65 008 68 009 43380 41756 65 350 67 357 71 355 68 005 65 010 41756 40263 66 352 68 357 67 000 61 006 58 019 40263 38867 69 001 69 004 73 015 57 005 57 023 38867 37543 70 007 69 009 74 020 57 014 61 031 37543 36261 68 007 73 017 74 021 60 019 64 033 36261 34958 66 007 74 020 74 021 63 020 59 028 34958 33606 65 007 72 019 72 021 65 019 55 021 33606 32209 63 007 68 016 68 023 64 017 56 019 32209 30755 61 007 65 013 63 024 62 016 58 019 30755 29232 59 005 62 012 59 026 61 016 57 019 29232 27644 61 004 60 012 55 025 60 016 53 016 27644 25991 64 003 57 011 53 027 59 017 48 011 25991 24272 65 002 56 008 54 031 57 019 45 010 24272 22489 65 002 59 006 53 032 54 016 42 014 22489 20635 61 004 58 009 52 022 51 015 39 018 20635 18702 55 009 50 012 56 018 51 023 40 017 18702 16736 44 009 39 010 48 023 48 032 41 028 16736 14850 35 003 33 003 34 018 40 038 44 042 14850 13140 31 002 30 002 29 009 28 030 39 047 13140 11625 25 006 25 006 26 011 24 016 27 034 11625 10277 20 010 20 009 18 016 20 012 24 017 10277 9079 17 013 15 009 13 014 15 008 24 015 9079 8015 15 018 12 012 11 019 13 005 22 017 8015 7074 13 023 9 019 8 038 8 017 18 019 7074 6244 11 023 5 046 4 072 3 037 14 023 6244 5513 10 018 5 099 4 140 2 031 7 017 5513 4862 10 003 7 135 6 159 2 050 2 006 4862 4289 9 337 13 158 11 161 2 053 2 033 4289 3811 9 322 17 163 12*156 3 034 3 342 3811 3444 5 311 18 163 12*151 3 025 5 310 3444 3191 2 255 15 160 11 146 3 015 5 307 3191 3037 2*223 12*157 10 144 3*012 5*305 3037 2949 2*206 7*154 8 141 3*007 4*304 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography