DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.9 - - 55.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 16 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 257 - - 4539 - - 4000 - - 4696 - - 1260 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 40 - - 27 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 213 - - 072 - - 026 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -11 - - 7 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2327 - - -3785 - - -3143 - - -4230 - - -3567 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5278 - - 6737 - - 6095 - - 7181 - - 6518 sfcLCL ODpotential -8456 - - -6108 - - -4975 - - -6320 - - -7623 ODpotential blCL 11407 - - 9060 - - 7926 - - 9271 - - 10574 blCL maxRH 99 - - 96 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.9 - - 55.6 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 34.7 - - 37.4 - - 34.4 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 53.3 - - 53.6 - - 56.1 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 34.2 - - 37.1 - - 34.2 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 16 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 86 - - 99 - - 97 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96261 22 296 38 284 34 301 29 312 25 288 96261 89317 11 331 15 279 17 316 14 331 19 328 89317 83876 6 321 11 287 11 307 6 304 19 309 83876 79328 10 301 7 297 15 261 12 290 13 310 79328 75377 17 305 9 320 12 241 15 256 10 290 75377 71835 22 275 9 310 6 236 11 262 6 272 71835 68593 25 245 13 256 13 248 16 255 13 255 68593 65601 19 240 18 239 19 237 21 237 14 248 65601 62808 21 260 21 240 19 249 17 243 17 249 62808 60079 25 256 27 241 19 265 18 256 23 245 60079 57234 27 236 30 232 25 254 20 246 23 240 57234 54291 27 232 28 227 28 245 23 247 20 234 54291 51478 30 235 29 224 34 237 33 239 23 232 51478 48948 32 235 30 226 36 223 37 228 30 235 48948 46694 36 233 34 231 34 221 34 229 34 241 46694 44665 38 230 39 231 40 236 40 236 40 238 44665 42825 40 229 44 234 50 234 46 230 47 231 42825 41152 46 233 51 234 51 234 51 228 52 224 41152 39619 52 231 53 230 55 240 55 228 56 222 39619 38198 52 230 51 232 58 241 58 228 58 222 38198 36867 54 230 49 231 59 242 60 229 61 226 36867 35585 57 226 51 232 58 241 60 228 62 226 35585 34286 58 224 52 233 58 240 59 226 61 225 34286 32945 61 223 50 229 56 239 58 224 60 226 32945 31563 63 221 51 224 54 234 56 222 59 228 31563 30128 63 219 57 217 53 228 54 222 58 226 30128 28630 61 216 61 212 53 226 52 221 56 223 28630 27072 54 218 60 213 54 219 51 221 53 220 27072 25453 54 221 54 218 55 214 50 219 51 217 25453 23775 57 220 47 221 54 214 49 218 49 216 23775 22043 55 217 43 221 51 217 48 218 45 219 22043 20256 52 214 42 218 46 222 45 220 42 221 20256 18410 50 213 41 211 41 227 41 225 39 222 18410 16532 46 211 39 209 35 230 36 228 36 223 16532 14725 39 206 37 214 30 231 29 227 30 223 14725 13082 32 204 35 217 28 225 24 222 23 213 13082 11621 27 208 32 213 28 222 23 226 17 206 11621 10315 21 217 29 203 26 221 22 227 11 213 10315 9145 17 227 26 191 23 220 18 224 8 206 9145 8099 15 229 20 187 19 217 12 218 6 186 8099 7165 15 226 15 192 15 211 8 209 8 169 7165 6335 15 221 11 201 11 202 5 203 9 163 6335 5597 14 217 9 212 7 191 3 195 8 157 5597 4932 12 209 8 220 4 170 1 166 5 144 4932 4341 10 197 9 221 3 118 1 076 2 081 4341 3846 8 188 9 218 4 085 2 050 4 031 3846 3465 4 179 8 217 4 076 3 034 4 015 3465 3202 3 166 6 216 4 072 3 029 3 356 3202 3042 2*157 5*215 4*073 3*027 2*319 3042 2950 2*164 4*213 4*072 3*026 2*297 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography