DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 59.5 - - 59.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 302 - - 41 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2253 - - 3275 - - 3368 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4293 - - 5120 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5246 - - 6268 - - 6361 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1139 - - 1276 - - 1944 - - 1729 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 411 - - 214 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 334 - - 346 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4049 - - -4900 - - -4803 - - -7392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9296 - - 11168 - - 11164 - - 10343 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10933 - - -10932 - - -10731 - - -15268 ODpotential blCL - - - 16179 - - 17200 - - 17092 - - 18219 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 81 - - 88 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 59.5 - - 59.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 20.5 - - 20.7 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 57.4 - - 59.1 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 20.3 - - 20.4 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 302 - - 41 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2253 - - 3275 - - 3368 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 23 - - 52 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97778 11 265 7 304 13 285 14 280 97778 90519 7 267 8 277 9 290 14 305 90519 84897 1 192 8 217 7 301 8 285 84897 80228 6 320 4 323 11 336 2 090 80228 76188 9 336 8 343 7 352 7 004 76188 72617 8 340 11 352 4 003 10 335 72617 69395 9 310 11 350 10 009 8 023 69395 66420 5 308 9 339 15 351 13 020 66420 63655 12 318 13 314 11 318 12 335 63655 60990 21 299 20 298 12 320 13 308 60990 58199 24 298 29 295 25 299 21 318 58199 55269 32 298 36 294 33 290 28 305 55269 52441 38 299 41 290 40 282 38 286 52441 49880 48 291 45 281 45 276 46 274 49880 47586 50 282 48 275 49 272 50 268 47586 45502 52 278 50 271 52 268 53 264 45502 43590 55 275 49 267 52 262 54 259 43590 41821 56 269 49 266 51 258 54 253 41821 40175 56 261 53 261 52 260 52 250 40175 38638 55 255 56 255 56 261 52 251 38638 37201 55 254 57 251 60 258 54 252 37201 35828 54 255 58 249 60 251 56 251 35828 34457 53 254 56 247 59 247 58 248 34457 33058 55 252 56 247 56 245 60 243 33058 31636 56 251 56 249 52 247 55 238 31636 30176 56 250 53 248 47 246 45 241 30176 28659 56 250 51 247 43 245 41 246 28659 27086 56 249 52 246 38 246 37 244 27086 25459 52 248 52 245 40 245 34 239 25459 23782 48 244 50 244 44 242 36 237 23782 22055 52 241 50 242 44 240 41 237 22055 20266 55 239 53 238 45 238 45 235 20266 18409 54 238 55 236 47 236 50 231 18409 16523 51 240 53 237 49 236 54 227 16523 14708 47 244 49 242 49 236 51 227 14708 13054 42 246 43 244 45 235 43 228 13054 11580 37 242 38 241 38 234 31 226 11580 10267 32 236 32 237 28 241 19 234 10267 9098 23 233 22 238 19 263 10 280 9098 8059 13 242 12 253 14 298 10 340 8059 7134 10 281 9 301 14*330 12 002 7134 6313 12 312 12*325 15*339 12 004 6313 5582 13*322 13*331 15 344 13 000 5582 4923 14*325 14 332 15 346 17 358 4923 4336 14 326 14 334 15 348 22 357 4336 3844 14 327 14 335 14 348 22 353 3844 3464 14 328 14 336 14 349 19 348 3464 3202 13 329 13 337 14 349 14 339 3202 3042 12 330 13 337 12 350 11*330 3042 2950 10 331 11 338 10 350 6*313 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography