DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.5 - - 79.1 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 213 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 2082 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3247 - - 4113 - - 2936 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4020 - - 5075 - - 2953 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 765 - - 1035 - - 2716 - - 605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 314 - - 23 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 23 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 066 - - 073 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7129 - - -7897 - - -10097 - - -8424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11149 - - 12973 - - 13051 - - 11378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13677 - - -13006 - - -15574 - - -15874 ODpotential blCL - - - 17697 - - 18081 - - 18527 - - 18827 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 32 - - 31 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.5 - - 79.1 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 33.0 - - 32.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 77.8 - - 78.7 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.1 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 213 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 2082 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97774 12 023 14 358 13 033 10 016 97774 90597 9 044 12 031 9 047 10 032 90597 84976 8 050 11 031 12 031 8 040 84976 80271 11 055 4 024 13 359 12 022 80271 76217 12 020 4 359 12 334 20 009 76217 72656 15 352 16 338 21 333 26 354 72656 69455 19 346 21 343 22 330 23 332 69455 66511 22 335 23 330 24 326 23 329 66511 63769 29 330 27 318 33 315 29 320 63769 61110 31 314 30 306 35 307 36 308 61110 58341 30 310 33 304 33 302 35 298 58341 55480 32 308 38 305 41 306 41 303 55480 52768 34 309 41 300 45 302 40 294 52768 50330 39 311 44 306 47 306 42 298 50330 48135 47 309 48 304 50 299 50 298 48135 46140 47 303 52 299 51 296 56 297 46140 44310 44 303 47 300 49 295 54 295 44310 42617 43 305 42 302 42 295 46 292 42617 41039 40 304 38 303 35 300 36 294 41039 39564 30 299 29 299 30 299 28 299 39564 38186 17 302 17 296 21 284 21 291 38186 36867 11 359 8 350 9 252 16 270 36867 35536 13 032 8 026 3 288 10 234 35536 34161 11 053 6 049 3 242 6 212 34161 32743 11 066 6 072 5 189 8 186 32743 31268 13 070 7 101 6 191 8 178 31268 29728 13 073 8 121 5 202 7 176 29728 28123 11 070 7 127 3 218 6 168 28123 26453 9 052 4 119 0 279 6 170 26453 24719 10 033 3 050 0 067 6 170 24719 22925 9 034 4 040 0 231 7 184 22925 21063 7 031 2 033 3 236 8 206 21063 19133 4 359 3 300 6 257 7 236 19133 17175 6 307 7 291 8 279 9 266 17175 15294 7 289 8 278 10 277 11 269 15294 13582 6 277 8 260 11 271 13 268 13582 12054 5 271 7 252 10 270 12 267 12054 10686 5 271 7 257 9 270 12 264 10686 9460 6 267 7 263 9 267 12 259 9460 8362 6 261 8 264 8 261 11 255 8362 7380 6 253 8 261 7 253 9 248 7380 6508 5 244 7 257 6 245 7 238 6508 5732 4 237 4*254 3 227 5 212 5732 5033 4 238 1*092 2 176 6 183 5033 4412 3*219 2 072 2 117 6 169 4412 3892 2*135 3 067 3 087 6 158 3892 3492 3 108 3 064 3 081 5 150 3492 3216 3 096 3 062 3 077 4 159 3216 3048 3 093 4 061 3*075 3*170 3048 2952 3 090 3 061 3*073 2*193 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography