DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -40 - - -35 - - -31 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 405 - - 1304 - - 419 - - 640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 22 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 102 - - 137 - - 156 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 1 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -667 - - -851 - - -222 - - -356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3618 - - 3803 - - 3174 - - 3308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6179 - - -3295 - - -3315 - - -3954 ODpotential blCL - - - 9130 - - 6247 - - 6267 - - 6906 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 89 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 48.7 - - 48.5 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 56.9 - - 55.2 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 47.5 - - 47.6 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -40 - - -35 - - -31 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 55 - - 44 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95924 29 328 25 336 33 333 22 358 95924 88908 28 338 19 340 22 340 18 321 88908 83469 28 310 30 308 30 309 27 317 83469 78944 20 297 23 289 26 288 27 301 78944 75030 21 319 16 295 14 297 19 306 75030 71543 37 278 30 264 27 288 26 280 71543 68367 35 255 33 249 35 258 28 256 68367 65430 30 234 22 242 32 242 35 236 65430 62679 24 218 11 272 17 258 21 209 62679 59967 20 237 21 271 13 284 20 236 59967 57100 43 239 50 247 51 243 61 247 57100 54137 68 235 77 234 81 230 84 232 54137 51332 91 230 97 225 97 218 97 224 51332 48815 99 224 85 223 78 212 90 217 48815 46568 86 222 86 237 73 229 76 220 46568 44537 88 236 117 237 104 235 88 232 44537 42692 116 242 138 232 130 229 116 232 42692 41007 136 238 144 226 141 223 129 226 41007 39448 143 234 141 223 135 220 129 223 39448 37999 134 232 135 221 133 219 124 222 37999 36648 117 229 124 217 135 219 120 221 36648 35360 107 227 110 214 134 220 120 218 35360 34066 108 226 100 211 128 219 119 216 34066 32736 101 225 94 210 120 218 118 215 32736 31368 88 224 91 210 116 218 119 213 31368 29951 75 223 87 210 111 219 117 210 29951 28471 66 220 82 208 97 218 112 206 28471 26934 62 215 78 205 86 213 106 206 26934 25339 61 211 77 204 88 212 92 210 25339 23691 61 209 73 203 83 213 70 208 23691 21988 61 210 68 204 67 209 62 204 21988 20221 57 211 62 204 61 208 58 203 20221 18388 51 211 58 206 56 207 49 201 18388 16524 46 211 56 210 52 204 44 207 16524 14729 44 214 55 215 48 206 45 217 14729 13092 46 218 56 220 46 212 44 222 13092 11631 50 221 56 224 45 218 43 223 11631 10324 55 223 56 224 45 221 41 222 10324 9154 59 223 54 221 43 222 40 220 9154 8108 62 221 50 218 40 220 40 220 8108 7176 61 218 44 215 35 217 39 219 7176 6347 57 215 38 211 31 213 36 219 6347 5610 51 212 33 206 28 208 31 218 5610 4945 42 206 28 198 25 201 26 216 4945 4352 32 195 24 184 22 190 21 213 4352 3854 25 179 22 168 20 177 15 208 3854 3470 20 161 20 155 19 167 11 196 3470 3205 17 144 18 147 16 161 8 180 3205 3043 14*132 15*142 12*157 6*165 3043 2951 9*102 10*137 7*156 3*131 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography