DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 46.6 - - 52.1 - - 50.8 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 8 - - 122 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1410 - - 799 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3379 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 4403 - - 3792 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 770 - - 1380 - - 3811 - - 3096 - - 1944 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 23 - - 234 - - 115 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 293 - - 001 - - 345 - - 356 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 5 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1098 - - -2080 - - -1884 - - -2225 - - -1161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4049 - - 5031 - - 6287 - - 6017 - - 4112 sfcLCL ODpotential -6287 - - -4547 - - -3708 - - -4090 - - -4412 ODpotential blCL 9238 - - 7498 - - 8111 - - 7882 - - 7363 blCL maxRH 71 - - 100 - - 88 - - 83 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 46.6 - - 52.1 - - 50.8 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 34.9 - - 34.7 - - 34.6 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 46.3 - - 50.8 - - 50.3 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 34.2 - - 33.7 - - 34.2 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 8 - - 122 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1410 - - 799 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 99 - - 50 - - 31 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96997 27 097 25 078 30 095 30 106 13 099 96997 89794 28 093 19 116 19 087 25 106 16 098 89794 84151 20 101 16 113 13 086 19 105 16 100 84151 79451 15 111 11 103 9 099 9 116 13 078 79451 75394 11 073 7 083 6 111 5 147 9 038 75394 71791 9 008 4 054 4 164 2 185 4 347 71791 68513 3 285 3 304 3 245 7 256 5 281 68513 65487 7 276 8 257 8 262 10 261 8 263 65487 62669 14 259 11 254 11 249 13 281 10 288 62669 59932 19 259 20 249 18 249 20 260 16 290 59932 57054 24 254 30 250 28 261 27 271 20 266 57054 54039 34 260 42 250 40 248 41 243 27 243 54039 51165 44 255 42 252 46 248 41 251 39 253 51165 48597 55 255 50 248 52 253 52 253 49 247 48597 46308 61 247 55 247 60 249 57 248 54 246 46308 44242 57 247 56 249 63 241 60 245 59 247 44242 42367 61 255 62 249 62 239 64 245 64 247 42367 40656 77 253 70 247 66 244 70 248 66 248 40656 39079 82 243 71 243 72 247 77 251 67 251 39079 37616 77 242 69 244 76 247 84 251 74 255 37616 36254 81 248 77 250 82 249 88 251 88 254 36254 34957 97 247 94 249 91 250 94 250 93 252 34957 33662 103 242 99 244 99 246 97 248 94 250 33662 32342 102 240 94 243 99 242 96 246 93 249 32342 30994 99 242 92 243 94 241 93 245 94 248 30994 29599 94 243 90 242 89 244 89 244 91 248 29599 28144 86 243 85 244 86 247 83 246 83 249 28144 26629 75 244 76 246 80 250 77 249 72 251 26629 25055 67 245 68 247 71 252 69 255 62 254 25055 23425 62 245 61 248 61 251 56 258 49 254 23425 21743 55 244 52 247 52 246 44 254 36 249 21743 20001 47 244 48 241 47 242 42 248 30 245 20001 18191 43 242 48 237 45 240 41 248 30 247 18191 16346 41 238 43 235 44 242 38 250 29 252 16346 14565 34 233 31 229 38 242 33 248 27 258 14565 12943 24 232 21 215 27 231 28 246 25 256 12943 11499 18 242 14 210 20 217 23 246 25 248 11499 10212 13 250 8 228 14 214 19 246 23 244 10212 9061 7 267 5 248 11 231 15 249 17 244 9061 8031 6 324 6 285 11 256 12 262 11 247 8031 7111 8 336 10 296 13 273 12 276 7 254 7111 6294 7 327 11 301 12 284 11 287 4 255 6294 5567 6 307 11 302 10 294 10 296 1 211 5567 4912 4 288 10 299 8*302 9 304 2 120 4912 4328 4 291 8 294 6*323 7 325 5 104 4328 3839 6 315 6 290 5 342 7*348 6 108 3839 3461 7 316 4 285 5 350 7*354 5 121 3461 3200 5 308 2 283 5 354 7 356 4 148 3200 3041 4*299 1*314 5 357 6 357 3*189 3041 2950 2*293 0*001 5 358 5 358 4*206 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography