DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 74.6 - - 82.1 - - 80.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 169 - - 215 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1128 - - 2197 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 3327 - - 4200 - - 2936 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 4121 - - 5190 - - 2953 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 202 - - 952 - - 1228 - - 2901 - - 815 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 237 - - 321 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 280 - - 014 - - 348 - - 353 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5217 - - -7362 - - -8080 - - -9827 - - -8325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8169 - - 11483 - - 13271 - - 12781 - - 11279 sfcLCL ODpotential -13234 - - -12468 - - -11605 - - -13648 - - -14216 ODpotential blCL 16186 - - 16589 - - 16795 - - 16601 - - 17169 blCL maxRH 75 - - 77 - - 80 - - 69 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 74.6 - - 82.1 - - 80.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.9 - - 35.1 - - 34.3 - - 35.3 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 73.2 - - 80.4 - - 80.4 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 35.0 - - 34.1 - - 35.1 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 169 - - 215 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1128 - - 2197 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97850 4 091 6 069 4 082 8 064 7 076 97850 90574 8 069 3 078 0 069 13 048 11 070 90574 84935 11 046 4 106 2 084 7 023 13 047 84935 80280 14 028 4 073 5 047 5 007 13 026 80280 76291 10 022 7 047 5 013 8 007 7 017 76291 72768 9 002 11 018 7 331 11 331 10 357 72768 69583 10 354 9 340 12 328 13 311 13 333 69583 66659 17 326 14 322 18 313 18 320 14 329 66659 63937 19 315 15 317 18 297 23 306 20 305 63937 61289 20 310 18 317 19 295 25 294 24 303 61289 58522 27 301 23 313 21 297 26 291 29 302 58522 55653 30 295 26 307 22 295 27 298 29 298 55653 52920 31 287 27 301 24 299 26 301 23 301 52920 50462 29 281 28 296 26 303 25 304 20 309 50462 48253 26 290 25 292 27 299 21 308 16 326 48253 46240 28 293 23 291 24 292 18 311 19 343 46240 44385 26 281 20 297 18 295 16 310 19 350 44385 42663 25 277 16 298 13 308 11 308 16 005 42663 41057 28 273 17 288 11 314 8 011 16 018 41057 39556 24 254 16 260 11 270 12 022 17 029 39556 38149 19 254 11 246 7 247 12 018 20 033 38149 36806 25 231 12 236 4 188 6 020 18 040 36806 35464 27 225 15 219 4 209 4 093 18 054 35464 34090 30 229 20 220 8 210 7 082 20 055 34090 32679 29 223 19 223 10 219 7 058 18 058 32679 31215 24 223 18 228 14 224 3 052 14 061 31215 29685 21 229 18 235 17 225 4 206 10 063 29685 28093 23 232 20 238 17 224 8 214 5 069 28093 26438 26 237 22 230 18 226 10 218 3 061 26438 24722 26 244 24 230 19 229 12 220 1 204 24722 22946 24 253 22 239 18 234 15 221 7 229 22946 21103 21 253 17 245 17 235 17 223 11 229 21103 19185 18 242 16 248 18 235 18 227 13 231 19185 17231 17 240 16 251 15 237 17 237 13 241 17231 15344 14 246 14 244 16 239 15 249 13 258 15344 13622 14 248 14 245 16 244 12 259 10 272 13622 12082 13 242 14 249 14 257 10 276 8 297 12082 10704 10 238 14 253 14 265 10 303 8 300 10704 9471 6 239 14 255 14 270 11 317 9 318 9471 8368 4 242 12 254 12 273 10 325 9 334 8368 7385 2 255 9 254 10 274 10 325 9 343 7385 6511 1 256 7 256 8 275 9 324 9 345 6511 5735 1 264 6 262 6*289 8 325 8 343 5735 5036 2 298 6 270 5*316 7 329 8 334 5036 4415 4 313 4*284 5 341 7 338 8 325 4415 3894 4 323 2*342 5 349 7 346 7 321 3894 3493 3 328 3 010 6 357 7 350 5 316 3493 3217 2 320 3 022 6 000 6 351 4 305 3217 3048 2*302 3 025 6 002 6*353 4*286 3048 2952 2*280 3 027 5 003 5*353 4*275 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography