DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 44.0 - - 45.5 - - 44.3 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - -26 - - -21 - - -20 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 238 - - 384 - - 614 - - 626 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 155 - - 169 - - 141 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -7 - - 1 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1073 - - -1121 - - -531 - - 1 - - -730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4024 - - 4072 - - 3482 - - 2950 - - 3681 sfcLCL ODpotential -7761 - - -5744 - - -3958 - - -3433 - - -4887 ODpotential blCL 10712 - - 8695 - - 6909 - - 6384 - - 7838 blCL maxRH 81 - - 99 - - 100 - - 83 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 44.0 - - 45.5 - - 44.3 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 36.5 - - 40.4 - - 42.5 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 46.6 - - 46.9 - - 46.1 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 35.5 - - 39.4 - - 42.4 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - -26 - - -21 - - -20 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 95 - - 101 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95841 23 323 24 294 31 311 19 312 30 291 95841 88892 16 316 17 300 27 311 14 333 18 306 88892 83459 12 295 18 306 20 306 17 315 21 300 83459 78921 12 297 15 306 16 298 16 293 19 300 78921 74995 14 272 12 299 14 304 13 283 18 299 74995 71493 14 267 13 282 16 304 12 279 19 301 71493 68289 15 278 14 268 17 299 12 285 23 283 68289 65320 14 274 21 278 20 301 12 300 26 282 65320 62561 15 265 23 260 24 274 14 294 19 274 62561 59885 11 259 25 248 14 272 14 290 17 300 59885 57045 5 287 35 249 35 256 28 273 23 278 57045 54060 29 237 32 240 34 222 27 209 38 249 54060 51217 20 204 20 215 29 226 27 221 41 240 51217 48662 11 242 33 256 48 255 44 263 42 250 48662 46375 46 262 58 249 69 248 65 252 53 255 46375 44310 66 243 72 237 77 234 78 235 62 250 44310 42431 72 235 77 233 78 228 80 226 68 246 42431 40706 75 238 77 233 77 225 77 223 72 243 40706 39117 83 241 78 232 73 224 73 225 71 239 39117 37647 90 238 81 233 73 230 73 228 67 235 37647 36284 89 235 84 232 80 235 75 229 64 232 36284 34985 82 234 83 230 90 235 78 227 63 229 34985 33681 77 237 80 229 95 233 84 226 62 227 33681 32342 75 239 77 228 95 229 91 224 61 226 32342 30970 74 237 76 226 92 227 96 222 61 227 30970 29556 71 233 76 225 92 227 96 222 60 230 29556 28090 69 230 77 226 92 226 91 222 57 233 28090 26575 68 229 77 228 90 225 84 222 53 237 26575 25010 68 230 76 230 88 223 80 221 49 239 25010 23393 66 230 73 233 87 221 78 220 47 240 23393 21725 64 231 70 234 84 220 77 220 46 239 21725 19998 60 230 65 231 76 222 75 222 49 238 19998 18202 54 230 58 227 62 224 72 224 53 237 18202 16371 48 232 51 224 48 221 69 227 56 236 16371 14601 42 236 46 224 41 222 66 229 54 236 14601 12986 37 237 43 227 37 217 60 227 50 236 12986 11544 33 234 38 228 34 210 53 227 49 236 11544 10254 30 229 31 228 31 207 47 228 49 236 10254 9099 28 226 25 228 28 206 44 230 49 236 9099 8064 25 224 21 230 24 205 41 229 49 236 8064 7140 23 225 19 234 21 204 37 225 48 236 7140 6319 21 225 18 236 19 203 32 219 48 236 6319 5587 19 221 17 232 17 201 26 208 47 236 5587 4928 17 211 16 219 16 196 23 193 45 236 4928 4340 18 192 16 195 16 184 22 175 40 236 4340 3846 21 173 20 175 18 173 23 162 31 234 3846 3465 22 164 21 168 18 173 20 158 23 229 3465 3202 17 166 16 167 15 173 16 155 15 217 3202 3042 13*164 13*164 12*171 13*151 10*205 3042 2950 6*154 6*155 6*169 6*141 6*190 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography