DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 58.7 - - 64.2 - - 54.3 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 54 - - 95 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 505 - - 2153 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 3732 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3498 - - 5146 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 1780 - - 4900 - - 744 - - 609 Hgt.Variab. W* 1 - - 125 - - 245 - - 12 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 172 - - 127 - - 112 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - 21 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1233 - - -3428 - - -2783 - - -158 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4184 - - 6927 - - 7929 - - 3111 - - 3246 sfcLCL ODpotential -8066 - - -6056 - - -3853 - - -3208 - - -3491 ODpotential blCL 11017 - - 9554 - - 8999 - - 6160 - - 6443 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 96 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 170 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 58.7 - - 64.2 - - 54.3 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 39.3 - - 50.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 58.1 - - 63.2 - - 55.1 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - 49.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 54 - - 95 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 505 - - 2153 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 101 - - 85 - - 97 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96641 22 065 22 040 23 044 23 052 19 027 96641 89618 21 053 19 052 13 049 18 035 19 027 89618 84129 23 066 12 060 10 032 15 017 15 036 84129 79535 21 065 13 070 10 019 8 020 17 031 79535 75541 13 045 13 081 6 058 5 065 12 028 75541 71975 6 023 9 059 5 021 4 052 11 050 71975 68724 6 295 5 007 4 339 6 335 7 033 68724 65737 8 283 11 285 6 294 10 302 5 327 65737 62974 14 290 15 277 11 251 15 280 9 305 62974 60290 18 262 15 268 14 259 14 256 7 236 60290 57472 19 239 19 248 17 240 14 244 11 229 57472 54529 19 236 17 230 18 238 20 224 18 226 54529 51704 21 225 25 226 26 243 23 227 15 218 51704 49155 16 222 24 211 27 210 27 219 23 212 49155 46877 21 228 22 210 22 210 24 207 25 206 46877 44828 28 224 26 221 27 222 27 223 23 217 44828 42966 36 224 33 219 31 215 28 215 21 225 42966 41258 40 220 34 216 31 216 22 212 19 214 41258 39685 39 222 31 213 27 218 19 209 21 200 39685 38223 39 221 29 205 26 196 18 199 16 198 38223 36861 35 221 28 203 27 174 18 193 10 205 36861 35562 27 231 26 204 21 168 15 182 9 192 35562 34255 12 190 20 210 16 159 13 167 9 186 34255 32907 14 158 18 213 14 149 13 151 13 181 32907 31525 17 156 17 219 11 147 14 135 17 177 31525 30094 19 152 14 211 11 138 11 126 14 183 30094 28602 16 150 17 213 12 146 5 175 13 203 28602 27050 15 151 23 212 12 191 11 187 19 209 27050 25438 17 151 25 203 21 188 13 189 21 205 25438 23767 20 157 29 197 26 181 12 207 23 207 23767 22039 21 170 34 191 27 191 14 213 22 208 22039 20247 22 181 36 191 26 200 16 200 19 207 20247 18390 23 185 31 201 25 195 17 180 16 207 18390 16508 24 183 28 205 27 187 15 163 14 204 16508 14704 27 176 22 197 21 192 15 170 16 209 14704 13069 30 172 19 191 20 193 20 188 19 206 13069 11612 30 173 16 186 20 198 22 201 17 194 11612 10309 28 175 13 187 20 209 21 221 16 207 10309 9144 25 177 13 203 18 212 22 232 17 222 9144 8101 22 178 16 220 15 211 24 234 19 236 8101 7171 21 182 19 229 11 201 24 233 21 247 7171 6344 20 185 21 230 9 183 23 230 22 255 6344 5607 21 183 19 226 8*164 21 227 22 259 5607 4943 22 176 16 216 7*147 17 222 21 260 4943 4350 22 167 13 200 7 136 11 209 17 260 4350 3853 15 160 11*187 7 125 8 176 13 263 3853 3469 5 146 10*179 6 115 8 144 10 272 3469 3204 3 109 8 171 6 111 7 123 8 286 3204 3043 1*038 8 168 5 109 6*115 7*296 3043 2951 2*348 6 166 5 108 4*112 5*301 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography