DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 70.5 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 444 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5736 - - 6839 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7154 - - 8071 - - - - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8729 - - 9832 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1873 - - 1610 - - - - - 6495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 599 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 001 - - - - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2097 - - -3175 - - - - - -8676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10827 - - 13008 - - - - - 11629 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7195 - - -8509 - - - - - -13177 ODpotential blCL - - - 15924 - - 18341 - - - - - 16129 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 46 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 70.5 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 23.1 - - - - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 67.8 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 22.1 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 444 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5736 - - 6839 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 16 115 12 092 10 076 98241 90829 7 106 6 102 11 080 90829 85109 8 143 8 102 9 061 85109 80346 11 138 5 095 6 031 80346 76242 9 111 8 117 4 081 76242 72606 9 088 4 096 8 054 72606 69308 3 033 2 075 6 043 69308 66261 1 195 4 286 3 077 66261 63417 4 120 6 222 8 016 63417 60660 4 141 7 188 9 333 60660 57798 7 347 3 001 9 315 57798 54843 14 336 13 347 17 336 54843 52044 18 341 28 340 22 342 52044 49540 26 344 29 333 22 339 49540 47301 37 356 33 332 30 339 47301 45273 53 353 41 325 35 323 45273 43423 58 345 48 322 38 319 43423 41724 61 344 56 322 42 320 41724 40154 64 343 62 321 46 318 40154 38696 65 343 64 322 47 313 38696 37337 66 344 64 324 47 311 37337 36038 67 344 63 325 48 311 36038 34728 67 344 61 327 46 310 34728 33379 64 344 56 329 42 306 33379 31991 61 345 48 332 40 306 31991 30550 56 348 44 334 39 310 30550 29043 52 351 41 336 37 315 29043 27472 48 350 39 337 32 320 27472 25837 42 348 38 338 29 320 25837 24143 38 346 37 340 28 317 24143 22391 37 344 35 342 24 323 22391 20576 38 344 33 343 19 326 20576 18693 37 347 29 346 16 324 18693 16782 35 351 25 353 14 323 16782 14944 31 352 20 357 12 331 14944 13273 27 353 15 005 12 339 13273 11786 24 356 12 019 10 346 11786 10457 22 001 11*010 9 355 10457 9270 18*001 11*004 10 002 9270 8207 16*358 11 003 10 002 8207 7258 15 354 12 001 11 358 7258 6414 14 352 12 001 11 353 6414 5663 14 352 12 360 10 351 5663 4985 14 351 12 359 10 349 4985 4381 14 351 12 359 10 346 4381 3873 13 351 11 359 9 344 3873 3481 13 351 11 359 9 342 3481 3211 12 352 11 359 7 337 3211 3046 12 352 10 359 6*330 3046 2951 10 352 9 360 4*325 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography