DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.3 - - 56.3 - - 64.4 - - 58.2 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 94 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1553 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 4546 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 142 - - 982 - - 3119 - - 2444 - - 447 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 39 - - 217 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 141 - - 115 - - 101 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -1 - - 15 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3362 - - -6220 - - -6618 - - -5979 - - -3924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6313 - - 9172 - - 11164 - - 8931 - - 6876 sfcLCL ODpotential -13660 - - -13043 - - -11773 - - -11893 - - -9594 ODpotential blCL 16611 - - 15994 - - 16319 - - 14845 - - 12546 blCL maxRH 70 - - 73 - - 70 - - 71 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.3 - - 56.3 - - 64.4 - - 58.2 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 26.8 - - 25.9 - - 29.8 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 55.5 - - 63.3 - - 61.3 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 26.7 - - 25.7 - - 29.5 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 94 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1553 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96006 32 290 40 289 39 288 38 290 38 296 96006 89092 17 299 29 283 26 297 27 301 30 296 89092 83703 17 312 17 294 20 286 25 292 26 305 83703 79208 21 294 16 299 17 308 19 287 20 304 79208 75302 16 286 17 275 21 308 14 302 16 312 75302 71807 13 316 13 296 18 287 18 291 20 314 71807 68615 26 291 18 292 17 292 23 284 21 312 68615 65665 27 272 20 286 16 307 18 281 18 295 65665 62921 24 287 24 289 20 309 17 294 20 294 62921 60256 27 286 26 279 30 287 27 290 24 297 60256 57474 35 280 30 261 36 271 30 288 34 290 57474 54598 39 277 35 263 37 264 35 281 37 285 54598 51860 48 275 42 264 40 266 40 274 37 283 51860 49395 55 268 48 265 45 269 43 270 39 278 49395 47179 61 260 55 264 50 267 46 269 43 278 47179 45164 66 256 61 258 57 259 53 263 50 273 45164 43322 74 257 68 255 67 253 61 259 56 266 43322 41638 86 256 81 254 82 251 73 253 65 258 41638 40094 88 253 89 253 93 246 86 249 75 253 40094 38663 84 252 86 251 89 245 91 247 84 249 38663 37321 83 253 83 253 85 247 87 245 94 246 37321 36029 83 255 83 253 85 248 85 244 97 244 36029 34721 83 255 81 252 83 249 85 243 93 243 34721 33371 82 255 79 252 81 249 84 243 90 242 33371 31982 80 255 76 252 79 249 83 245 87 243 31982 30542 76 255 73 251 76 248 81 246 84 242 30542 29038 70 256 70 250 72 248 79 246 81 242 29038 27470 65 255 68 249 69 247 76 245 78 243 27470 25840 62 254 65 250 66 247 72 246 73 245 25840 24150 59 255 63 252 62 248 66 247 67 247 24150 22401 57 258 61 255 58 249 60 248 61 248 22401 20589 53 259 57 257 54 250 54 249 53 247 20589 18705 49 259 51 258 49 250 49 249 46 247 18705 16788 44 256 45 257 44 250 43 249 40 246 16788 14943 40 252 41 254 40 249 36 251 35 250 14943 13268 37 249 38 251 37 249 32 254 32 257 13268 11776 33 249 34 250 34 249 31 255 31 259 11776 10445 28 252 29 249 31 249 29 253 29 258 10445 9254 23 256 22 249 26 247 26 246 26 258 9254 8187 17 258 16 248 21 245 23 238 22 261 8187 7234 14 259 12 247 16 241 17 232 18 264 7234 6388 12 260 10 249 12 237 11 222 14 262 6388 5637 11 260 10 250 7 230 8 201 9 250 5637 4960 10 254 9 244 4*209 6 172 6 221 4960 4359 9 239 8 228 2*159 7 148 6 184 4359 3857 9 211 7 199 2 122 6 133 3 169 3857 3471 10 189 6 178 3 109 6 125 1 352 3471 3205 9 182 4 159 3 101 6 118 3 337 3205 3043 5*183 4*148 3 095 4*108 4*318 3043 2951 3*182 3*141 3 093 3*101 3*312 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography