DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 50.7 - - 54.4 - - 52.1 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 72 - - 163 - - -11 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1602 - - 2868 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 4574 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4595 - - 5861 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1274 - - 2407 - - 2582 - - 4956 - - 863 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 207 - - 322 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 19 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 293 - - 322 - - 327 - - 333 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -5 - - -5 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -233 - - 309 - - 310 - - -2365 - - -847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3184 - - 4286 - - 5552 - - 5316 - - 3798 sfcLCL ODpotential -2581 - - -976 - - -525 - - -3504 - - -3530 ODpotential blCL 5532 - - 5571 - - 6386 - - 6455 - - 6481 blCL maxRH 96 - - 90 - - 91 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 50.7 - - 54.4 - - 52.1 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 42.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 50.0 - - 53.0 - - 52.2 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 41.3 - - 39.8 - - 38.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 72 - - 163 - - -11 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1602 - - 2868 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 62 - - 62 - - 59 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96459 19 333 11 302 28 298 10 347 20 301 96459 89605 8 016 8 352 7 315 11 315 12 005 89605 84222 6 356 6 310 8 355 7 304 7 008 84222 79691 7 276 6 328 6 308 9 296 4 011 79691 75742 12 264 9 302 10 266 15 274 12 329 75742 72219 11 256 14 290 10 274 12 269 15 292 72219 69019 8 250 15 265 10 266 11 271 15 266 69019 66070 8 267 13 253 12 278 13 284 10 248 66070 63324 11 283 13 269 16 281 15 280 10 261 63324 60657 14 283 13 282 17 278 18 275 13 282 60657 57871 18 284 15 290 18 281 18 284 20 282 57871 54971 22 283 20 288 22 298 25 308 20 290 54971 52200 23 284 22 287 27 302 33 305 27 306 52200 49713 21 278 22 289 30 308 36 313 33 319 49713 47487 18 271 21 296 34 319 45 326 44 319 47487 45464 16 270 20 306 35 324 53 328 48 310 45464 43598 17 260 21 316 36 329 54 328 47 305 43598 41860 15 260 23 321 35 335 51 333 42 312 41860 40233 16 271 24 312 34 340 51 342 41 322 40233 38702 19 248 20 283 32 340 54 348 43 330 38702 37264 20 248 16 252 31 337 57 351 45 339 37264 35885 30 243 15 250 26 328 57 351 48 346 35885 34498 47 228 18 251 21 320 54 353 53 349 34498 33073 68 212 30 229 15 308 47 351 56 351 33073 31617 80 203 47 214 13 314 40 351 58 354 31617 30119 84 201 64 204 18 272 29 344 62 358 30119 28568 79 201 68 197 33 220 16 343 64 002 28568 26971 70 203 60 199 34 205 14 324 62 008 26971 25331 60 207 49 204 27 207 20 255 50 006 25331 23649 52 213 38 208 22 213 18 237 35 356 23649 21927 37 216 29 219 12 250 13 258 14 334 21927 20156 18 193 18 230 12 270 8 295 7 301 20156 18324 16 186 12 220 10 269 8 295 9 320 18324 16459 12 201 13 212 10 284 10 306 15 352 16459 14659 4 270 2 328 9 333 15 319 18 006 14659 13020 7 319 11 001 11 359 17 338 19 006 13020 11558 8 334 11 354 14 354 21 350 20 001 11558 10254 10 352 13 005 18 353 23 352 20 354 10254 9091 13 355 15 001 22 350 23 349 19 346 9091 8053 17 357 18 349 22 347 22 347 18 344 8053 7127 18 356 20 342 21 345 21 346 18 350 7127 6306 16 353 21 336 20*340 21 341 18 356 6306 5575 15 352 21 331 20*333 21 338 19 357 5575 4917 14 346 21*327 20 327 21 337 19 355 4917 4331 15 346 20*324 20 326 20 336 20 349 4331 3840 15 336 19 321 20 325 19 335 21 340 3840 3461 15 316 18 321 19 325 18 335 19 329 3461 3200 14 303 17 321 18 325 16 334 17 316 3200 3041 12*298 16 321 17 325 14*333 13*308 3041 2950 7*293 12 321 13 325 10*333 8*296 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography