DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 73.0 - - 69.5 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 184 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 2259 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 4185 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3733 - - 5252 - - 2953 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1099 - - 4571 - - 4611 - - 879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 308 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 137 - - 115 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7514 - - -8450 - - -9960 - - -6794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11248 - - 13703 - - 12913 - - 9747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13004 - - -13380 - - -15169 - - -13644 ODpotential blCL - - - 16737 - - 18632 - - 18122 - - 16596 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 88 - - 92 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 73.0 - - 69.5 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.0 - - 22.8 - - 23.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 71.4 - - 70.7 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 22.6 - - 22.8 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 184 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 2259 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 50 - - 67 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97589 12 255 16 303 11 322 4 284 97589 90370 4 246 10 290 11 316 9 333 90370 84779 8 304 4 253 4 302 8 311 84779 80126 7 283 6 262 3 278 6 285 80126 76109 7 296 11 273 9 289 6 290 76109 72540 7 333 5 283 8 267 9 290 72540 69300 13 296 13 287 9 268 9 278 69300 66316 16 261 17 265 8 265 7 273 66316 63536 12 247 12 261 21 260 20 260 63536 60853 16 249 18 252 22 248 22 256 60853 58055 26 250 27 260 24 250 26 254 58055 55136 41 249 40 250 36 247 34 242 55136 52351 53 244 52 244 47 241 46 230 52351 49858 57 240 62 238 57 237 54 229 49858 47629 57 240 66 236 64 235 61 231 47629 45602 59 241 67 239 68 237 67 233 45602 43739 62 240 69 239 71 238 73 233 43739 42016 61 240 67 237 72 235 77 231 42016 40416 58 241 63 235 70 233 76 230 40416 38926 56 238 58 234 67 233 73 231 38926 37535 53 233 55 233 62 234 69 232 37535 36207 49 233 52 233 58 233 62 229 36207 34879 44 242 50 233 52 231 55 227 34879 33517 41 247 45 229 49 228 49 225 33517 32119 39 245 43 224 48 226 46 225 32119 30667 36 235 45 225 46 224 45 225 30667 29149 39 231 44 225 43 223 44 225 29149 27570 39 228 41 223 39 220 40 222 27570 25930 37 226 37 222 37 216 35 219 25930 24232 34 224 34 222 34 214 31 217 24232 22477 33 222 31 221 30 215 25 216 22477 20658 33 218 30 221 25 218 20 216 20658 18771 33 217 31 222 23 220 18 214 18771 16853 31 218 33 221 25 219 19 213 16853 15008 29 221 33 221 28 218 21 209 15008 13330 27 228 31 222 26 214 21 203 13330 11835 25 235 27 221 21 204 20 198 11835 10498 23 238 20 221 16 198 18 197 10498 9301 19 237 15 222 13 191 16 193 9301 8228 14 232 12 218 11 170 14 183 8228 7269 9 225 9 202 10 148 13 166 7269 6418 6 216 7 171 11 132 13 151 6418 5662 5 199 9*147 10 129 11 145 5662 4980 6 184 10*142 9 127 9 136 4980 4375 10 170 10 139 8 126 6 114 4375 3868 11*159 11 137 7 124 6 068 3868 3478 11*154 10 135 6 122 6 044 3478 3209 10 150 10 133 6 120 3 028 3209 3045 10 148 10 132 5*118 2*312 3045 2951 8 146 8 131 4*115 2*264 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography