DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 36.6 - - 39.2 - - 40.4 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 99 - - 155 - - 84 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3242 - - 3789 - - 2772 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 4541 - - 5209 - - 4047 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 6235 - - 6782 - - 5765 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4396 - - 2687 - - 3824 - - 3866 - - 2730 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 284 - - 346 - - 253 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 322 - - 319 - - 307 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - -7 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2385 - - -72 - - 451 - - -820 - - -1522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5335 - - 6307 - - 6331 - - 6585 - - 4472 sfcLCL ODpotential -3620 - - -982 - - 3 - - -1582 - - -3636 ODpotential blCL 6570 - - 7217 - - 6779 - - 7347 - - 6586 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 36.6 - - 39.2 - - 40.4 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 19.5 - - 22.0 - - 22.1 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 35.7 - - 37.9 - - 39.5 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.0 - - 18.8 - - 21.5 - - 21.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 99 - - 155 - - 84 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3242 - - 3789 - - 2772 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 101 - - 102 - - 48 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 7 138 4 215 5 251 2 106 3 031 96391 89277 8 116 4 141 5 225 1 110 4 158 89277 83768 3 106 6 157 9 234 2 224 5 268 83768 79168 2 227 1 195 4 255 1 106 7 272 79168 75177 11 305 8 288 14 274 16 268 15 337 75177 71626 27 276 28 282 18 278 19 259 19 274 71626 68414 26 275 29 281 21 306 11 278 7 295 68414 65428 33 287 32 274 32 270 34 282 25 307 65428 62627 40 265 32 277 31 263 45 279 40 292 62627 59908 38 278 35 292 35 288 40 283 41 283 59908 57080 39 291 37 292 42 282 35 295 35 285 57080 54148 43 289 43 280 44 277 37 295 32 296 54148 51343 49 280 49 276 50 282 48 296 44 295 51343 48822 55 278 57 281 60 290 58 296 54 300 48822 46575 61 282 65 287 69 292 68 297 66 302 46575 44561 69 282 72 291 75 295 75 299 75 308 44561 42739 71 285 78 299 89 305 91 310 90 314 42739 41082 83 299 107 307 117 308 115 310 113 307 41082 39563 108 307 137 301 132 301 128 302 123 305 39563 38146 129 305 128 297 122 299 125 303 123 307 38146 36808 133 302 111 304 110 301 131 311 123 309 36808 35512 138 304 123 316 111 308 136 314 123 309 35512 34197 150 305 134 316 115 312 135 314 122 308 34197 32834 148 302 131 311 120 311 132 313 120 307 32834 31430 143 299 131 307 123 308 127 311 118 306 31430 29973 141 298 131 303 127 306 126 308 116 307 29973 28454 139 298 134 300 130 305 128 307 114 308 28454 26870 140 301 135 299 132 307 129 308 111 310 26870 25220 141 304 133 300 130 308 126 310 109 312 25220 23508 137 306 129 306 126 309 120 312 107 314 23508 21741 119 304 116 310 119 313 117 314 105 316 21741 19921 99 295 88 300 102 314 108 316 103 317 19921 18048 92 286 81 284 79 302 87 311 93 318 18048 16169 87 283 84 282 74 286 68 300 71 316 16169 14387 75 285 76 287 70 284 58 293 47 312 14387 12781 57 289 54 291 49 291 49 298 32 308 12781 11355 43 296 38 287 29 294 38 300 27 305 11355 10085 32 298 28 286 25 296 31 299 27 302 10085 8951 26 296 23 292 22 297 27 298 26 299 8951 7937 23 301 19 301 19 300 22 297 23 296 7937 7031 21 308 16*309 17*304 18 296 19 293 7031 6228 20 318 14*315 14*309 13*296 14 290 6228 5513 21 328 13 319 12 315 10*299 9 295 5513 4870 21 336 12 322 11 319 7 304 5 317 4870 4298 20 340 11 324 11 321 7 308 4 002 4298 3818 18 343 11 325 10 324 6 309 6 024 3818 3449 15 343 10 327 10 325 6 311 7 032 3449 3194 11 338 10 328 10 327 6 313 7 037 3194 3038 10*337 9 328 9 328 5 313 6*040 3038 2949 6*334 8 328 8 328 5 314 4*043 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography