DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.9 - - 86.5 - - 94.0 - - 93.3 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 204 - - 386 - - 196 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1618 - - 9912 - - 7268 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2936 - - 3773 - - 10493 - - 7988 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 2953 - - 4611 - - 12905 - - 10261 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 457 - - 2196 - - 1988 - - 3153 - - 5699 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 286 - - 648 - - 468 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 29 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 15 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 330 - - 278 - - 096 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 6 - - 38 - - 15 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7350 - - -7846 - - -461 - - -3169 - - -9014 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10304 - - 12457 - - 13366 - - 13431 - - 11969 sfcLCL ODpotential -12568 - - -11973 - - -1629 - - -5517 - - -12305 ODpotential blCL 15521 - - 16584 - - 14534 - - 15778 - - 15259 blCL maxRH 97 - - 93 - - 87 - - 75 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 77.9 - - 86.5 - - 94.0 - - 93.3 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 42.2 - - 45.1 - - 44.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.8 - - 84.8 - - 91.3 - - 91.6 - - 89.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 41.8 - - 44.5 - - 43.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 204 - - 386 - - 196 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1618 - - 9912 - - 7268 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 73 - - 46 - - 0 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99749 44 108 37 111 32 111 32 095 37 100 99749 92167 33 101 31 112 32 109 22 110 26 088 92167 86336 25 094 25 108 23 103 28 112 22 113 86336 81515 22 104 19 110 19 104 24 095 23 114 81515 77377 18 112 17 124 18 108 16 102 22 091 77377 73719 14 109 17 127 15 127 13 101 20 100 73719 70416 10 121 15 112 12 138 10 122 15 095 70416 67385 13 134 11 121 12 149 10 176 7 135 67385 64574 7 174 13 113 12 136 11 137 13 128 64574 61872 15 204 6 228 5 151 11 209 12 197 61872 59083 16 184 23 200 22 203 17 209 16 190 59083 56198 17 190 29 195 26 204 24 203 26 208 56198 53448 30 227 31 205 33 204 34 199 37 205 53448 50989 48 223 39 218 43 218 39 212 40 213 50989 48798 57 214 59 217 62 220 49 222 45 227 48798 46811 59 212 59 210 65 215 59 222 52 225 46811 44985 57 216 47 217 56 207 60 218 58 221 44985 43298 55 221 45 222 46 208 58 214 61 225 43298 41722 52 226 45 221 50 214 53 216 63 227 41722 40237 54 225 53 219 57 222 55 222 61 224 40237 38835 58 222 55 218 63 225 62 226 59 222 38835 37481 59 220 56 222 64 224 67 227 59 222 37481 36109 60 216 57 223 59 222 66 225 61 225 36109 34692 60 215 56 222 56 223 62 221 61 226 34692 33235 58 215 55 223 54 223 56 220 58 224 33235 31725 55 228 52 226 48 221 51 219 54 221 31725 30149 43 228 46 225 41 223 47 217 51 221 30149 28508 40 221 41 225 39 225 45 216 47 222 28508 26802 39 215 39 229 40 227 42 216 42 221 26802 25034 37 212 38 225 40 227 37 217 38 218 25034 23209 38 213 40 222 40 225 33 221 33 217 23209 21322 44 215 44 222 43 223 34 227 29 224 21322 19371 49 217 47 220 47 217 37 234 29 229 19371 17389 49 218 45 222 45 215 37 235 29 227 17389 15482 44 224 38 222 32 213 32 229 26 221 15482 13744 38 236 28 225 18*224 22 225 20 218 13744 12191 31 244 25 246 18*253 12 229 14 223 12191 10804 24 251 27 258 18 263 7*228 9 228 10804 9560 18 255 20 257 18 267 5*220 5 222 9560 8448 12 257 13 255 17 272 3 193 2 178 8448 7454 9 258 10 255 17 277 2 140 2 128 7454 6571 8 264 10 264 15 283 3 095 3 118 6571 5785 8 273 10 273 14 290 4 085 3 112 5785 5076 10 283 9*282 13 297 5 078 3 101 5076 4445 11 294 8*303 13 303 6 075 4 089 4445 3915 12 298 8 327 12 307 6 073 5 084 3915 3506 12 293 8 336 12 310 6 072 5 081 3506 3224 10 295 7 341 11 312 6 071 5 078 3224 3052 8*301 7 343 11 314 6 071 4*079 3052 2953 5*304 7 345 10 315 6 071 3*081 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography