DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 51.8 - - 58.6 - - 56.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 92 - - 103 - - -4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 551 - - 1797 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 3499 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3544 - - 4790 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 471 - - 802 - - 4033 - - 5071 - - 1208 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 153 - - 235 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 12 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 071 - - 143 - - 324 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 9 - - 11 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -352 - - -1760 - - -1698 - - -1750 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3303 - - 5304 - - 6489 - - 4702 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -5936 - - -4514 - - -2763 - - -3121 - - -3360 ODpotential blCL 8887 - - 8058 - - 7553 - - 6073 - - 6311 blCL maxRH 91 - - 93 - - 98 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 40 - - 300 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 51.8 - - 58.6 - - 56.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.6 - - 50.8 - - 57.5 - - 56.3 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 38.7 - - 40.3 - - 45.1 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 92 - - 103 - - -4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 551 - - 1797 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 72 - - 92 - - 69 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96338 20 297 23 316 25 294 24 315 17 303 96338 89460 16 015 10 292 14 294 12 324 12 342 89460 84058 13 002 6 311 3 306 9 281 16 348 84058 79518 5 301 10 291 5 335 5 307 8 304 79518 75584 13 281 6 276 8 284 8 310 7 278 75584 72074 14 268 6 236 13 256 11 285 8 296 72074 68852 19 273 10 272 12 249 15 256 14 282 68852 65865 23 255 14 269 13 256 17 245 19 256 65865 63074 17 235 16 256 13 247 15 252 19 257 63074 60347 12 261 13 249 12 239 18 262 20 266 60347 57489 18 239 19 255 17 242 21 257 20 265 57489 54524 16 238 20 236 15 252 19 253 18 262 54524 51699 22 253 19 255 18 263 19 258 21 266 51699 49159 30 243 31 248 27 255 24 261 22 262 49159 46890 37 237 35 240 31 245 26 262 24 250 46890 44840 43 230 38 239 33 239 32 257 28 247 44840 42964 45 226 43 233 42 236 41 247 35 242 42964 41235 46 225 47 228 51 233 47 243 46 236 41235 39633 47 225 50 227 53 233 50 241 56 234 39633 38145 48 224 52 227 56 233 56 239 65 236 38145 36762 51 221 54 227 59 232 65 240 73 236 36762 35447 54 217 54 226 60 232 70 239 78 235 35447 34133 56 216 52 225 58 230 67 236 79 232 34133 32790 58 215 52 224 56 224 58 227 78 228 32790 31420 57 214 53 221 54 219 54 220 75 227 31420 30005 51 215 53 219 54 220 56 218 64 225 30005 28532 47 218 52 220 53 223 58 218 53 216 28532 26999 44 219 49 223 50 223 57 221 52 215 26999 25403 41 218 44 225 45 222 52 224 49 218 25403 23747 38 218 38 221 40 216 45 221 43 218 23747 22034 36 216 36 213 38 208 40 214 38 215 22034 20260 34 219 37 208 38 206 38 212 37 210 20260 18416 31 229 35 204 37 208 38 215 39 209 18416 16541 32 231 31 200 32 205 33 217 38 213 16541 14735 24 231 23 197 22 194 28 220 33 221 14735 13091 18 234 15 199 16 184 21 216 28 226 13091 11626 14 231 10 188 14 185 17 208 23 225 11626 10317 11 216 5 176 11 177 13 191 19 219 10317 9146 10 201 6 160 9 169 11 180 16 212 9146 8099 9 193 9 160 9 172 10 173 15 201 8099 7163 8 185 11 161 9 167 9 162 15 183 7163 6333 7 171 12 164 10 160 9 151 14 165 6333 5594 7 158 13 166 10 155 8 145 11 150 5594 4929 7 155 13 165 10*152 8 142 7 121 4929 4339 6 154 11 162 9*149 6 141 7 081 4339 3845 3 138 6*152 7 144 4 137 7 061 3845 3464 2 038 2*092 7 142 2 134 5 044 3464 3202 2 012 2 070 7 140 0 354 3 034 3202 3042 1*340 3 064 6 138 1*327 1*024 3042 2950 1*281 2 061 5 137 1*324 1*218 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography