DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.0 - - 76.7 - - 84.3 - - 82.1 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 225 - - 284 - - 65 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2475 - - 8717 - - 6436 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4421 - - 9350 - - 6434 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5468 - - 11710 - - 9429 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 352 - - 3203 - - 4598 - - 7821 - - 1945 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 340 - - 560 - - 312 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 007 - - 143 - - 215 - - 234 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 8 - - -36 - - -39 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3847 - - -2145 - - -2215 - - -3854 - - -6305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7614 - - 13926 - - 13284 - - 9258 sfcLCL ODpotential -10647 - - -4341 - - -3442 - - -5201 - - -9663 ODpotential blCL 13599 - - 9809 - - 15152 - - 14630 - - 12616 blCL maxRH 90 - - 58 - - 61 - - 61 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 670 - - 1210 - - 40 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 62.0 - - 76.7 - - 84.3 - - 82.1 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 53.3 - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 75.0 - - 82.3 - - 81.3 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 53.0 - - 32.2 - - 33.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 225 - - 284 - - 65 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2475 - - 8717 - - 6436 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99048 11 125 11 191 8 002 7 063 2 168 99048 91657 10 181 6 195 6 216 5 324 6 333 91657 85945 5 225 8 209 8 211 10 280 10 340 85945 81190 6 276 8 230 10 217 14 265 11 304 81190 77085 12 281 13 269 14 250 16 260 12 266 77085 73446 18 260 16 266 15 256 14 253 7 282 73446 70125 12 254 17 270 13 264 15 260 15 273 70125 67077 11 263 19 256 15 253 12 273 15 260 67077 64278 12 243 13 228 11 232 9 293 4 150 64278 61548 18 259 11 255 17 260 21 250 14 271 61548 58688 19 239 19 236 24 229 29 224 29 236 58688 55734 28 242 27 230 32 235 31 226 29 221 55734 52903 34 216 33 213 43 230 34 234 24 236 52903 50351 33 201 35 208 41 223 37 229 24 240 50351 48059 31 205 30 210 28 210 34 219 25 237 48059 45970 34 212 31 215 23 221 27 225 27 239 45970 44049 39 216 33 224 37 225 34 233 38 233 44049 42284 52 212 50 223 56 222 50 227 47 224 42284 40662 66 206 66 215 74 216 66 219 52 223 40662 39161 74 201 72 210 79 213 77 213 63 221 39161 37762 79 197 80 209 82 214 79 211 71 214 37762 36429 82 194 88 209 84 213 79 212 72 211 36429 35093 79 191 93 208 83 212 78 212 73 213 35093 33721 69 189 95 207 82 211 77 214 74 215 33721 32312 57 185 96 206 82 212 77 214 74 216 32312 30849 47 179 94 205 83 211 78 213 74 216 30849 29320 43 176 84 202 84 211 79 213 74 217 29320 27730 42 177 69 196 85 212 79 214 69 217 27730 26082 39 175 58 189 79 213 73 215 63 216 26082 24378 34 172 51 184 66 208 65 211 59 216 24378 22621 31 174 46 181 56 201 59 207 55 216 22621 20802 29 173 40 183 49 198 51 205 52 215 20802 18915 28 170 34 185 41 194 38 200 50 211 18915 16995 27 165 28 182 33 185 26 182 47 204 16995 15143 25 163 24 177 25 175 21 176 41 199 15143 13454 23 165 23 177 17 169 20 181 31 194 13454 11946 23 172 24 184 15*174 18 190 20 186 11946 10598 24 181 25 195 14*182 17*201 15 192 10598 9388 25 188 24 203 13 191 17*209 13 204 9388 8304 27 189 20 200 14 204 17 220 10 220 8304 7335 27 179 18 185 14 215 17 232 9 240 7335 6474 30 159 19 168 15 221 17 236 10 261 6474 5707 34 147 19*159 15 225 17 240 13 276 5707 5016 30 149 18*152 15 228 17 242 18 282 5016 4402 19 157 17 145 15 230 16 244 23 284 4402 3887 11 146 16 143 15 231 16 244 25 285 3887 3489 8 145 15 140 15 233 16 245 24 285 3489 3215 6 146 14 137 14 233 15 245 20 285 3215 3048 2*131 13 136 13 234 14 246 15*285 3048 2952 1*007 11 134 11 234 11 246 8*282 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography