DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.2 - - 50.7 - - 58.6 - - 55.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 130 - - 152 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 763 - - 1961 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3889 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3756 - - 4954 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 298 - - 924 - - 2267 - - 3012 - - 965 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 191 - - 276 - - 3 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 143 - - 138 - - 040 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2428 - - -5002 - - -5777 - - -6916 - - -3043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5380 - - 8759 - - 10732 - - 9868 - - 5994 sfcLCL ODpotential -11534 - - -11632 - - -10882 - - -12433 - - -10080 ODpotential blCL 14485 - - 15388 - - 15836 - - 15384 - - 13031 blCL maxRH 77 - - 76 - - 77 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.2 - - 50.7 - - 58.6 - - 55.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 22.8 - - 21.8 - - 22.4 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 49.5 - - 57.2 - - 57.0 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 22.7 - - 21.6 - - 22.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 130 - - 152 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 763 - - 1961 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 3 - - 7 - - 48 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 21 273 31 275 28 279 32 275 35 290 96221 89236 9 295 18 268 22 284 13 298 15 280 89236 83826 13 303 17 262 19 272 14 300 10 301 83826 79273 9 286 13 267 12 250 16 285 9 280 79273 75306 12 266 13 260 11 243 12 261 13 276 75306 71765 18 249 17 252 14 257 12 262 19 263 71765 68543 15 236 19 231 20 247 15 273 18 262 68543 65567 14 251 14 216 20 233 18 273 18 260 65567 62781 24 271 16 242 19 234 23 251 23 251 62781 60057 29 253 23 250 24 253 26 250 26 247 60057 57200 29 246 29 244 32 249 29 251 28 243 57200 54239 30 256 30 240 33 242 29 247 30 242 54239 51426 34 256 29 246 33 248 31 246 32 245 51426 48910 36 247 34 247 39 251 38 244 37 243 48910 46671 37 251 38 250 44 248 44 243 39 241 46671 44653 43 255 41 251 46 245 47 240 41 242 44653 42817 52 253 49 251 50 244 49 242 44 241 42817 41138 58 251 56 250 53 247 51 240 48 240 41138 39593 63 249 60 248 56 245 50 239 51 237 39593 38161 71 247 64 243 60 241 54 237 52 235 38161 36827 77 245 67 246 64 238 58 233 53 238 36827 35548 74 247 72 248 65 237 59 230 55 238 35548 34256 72 251 72 248 66 235 59 231 55 236 34256 32920 72 253 70 249 65 232 60 230 58 234 32920 31546 72 253 69 245 62 232 59 229 58 234 31546 30120 71 253 67 240 60 233 56 230 58 233 30120 28630 67 254 64 242 57 236 54 234 54 231 28630 27076 62 254 59 245 53 239 52 233 49 229 27076 25460 56 253 57 248 52 237 47 229 46 231 25460 23790 52 255 55 248 49 231 40 222 40 231 23790 22072 52 258 53 247 43 227 33 219 29 218 22072 20299 51 262 51 248 37 230 29 222 22 210 20299 18458 47 263 49 254 33 239 26 223 21 212 18458 16581 42 262 44 258 32 244 25 228 19 213 16581 14771 37 259 37 255 31 244 24 233 18 217 14771 13119 32 255 33 247 30 244 23 238 16 219 13119 11646 28 252 30 245 28 243 23 240 16 219 11646 10329 23 248 26 242 25 237 22 237 16 215 10329 9152 19 242 20 235 23 229 20 227 17 206 9152 8099 16 233 16 226 19 220 16 210 18 191 8099 7161 13 222 12 216 13 211 12 188 19 173 7161 6329 11 207 10 206 9 192 11 165 21 161 6329 5590 9 190 9 194 8*162 11 148 22 156 5590 4925 9 176 9 180 8*148 9 139 18 155 4925 4335 11 169 10 166 9 142 7 130 7 149 4335 3842 14 164 9*157 8 138 5 115 2 067 3842 3462 13 163 8*147 8 135 4 094 4 007 3462 3201 8 164 7 143 8 132 3 074 3 345 3201 3041 4*165 7 141 7 131 3*058 3*305 3041 2950 1*160 6 138 7 129 2*040 3*289 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography