DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.3 - - 93.7 - - 100.8 - - 99.9 - - 91.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 312 - - 338 - - 144 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 325 - - 3940 - - 11500 - - 8169 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2936 - - 5644 - - 11710 - - 8473 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 3318 - - 6933 - - 14493 - - 11162 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 799 - - 3280 - - 3704 - - 7226 - - 2645 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 444 - - 653 - - 441 - - 7 W* B/S 9 - - 7 - - 11 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 151 - - 181 - - 142 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - 18 - - 25 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6567 - - -5032 - - 784 - - -2193 - - -7674 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9885 - - 11966 - - 13710 - - 13355 - - 10629 sfcLCL ODpotential -11071 - - -7144 - - 203 - - -3410 - - -10651 ODpotential blCL 14389 - - 14077 - - 14290 - - 14572 - - 13605 blCL maxRH 56 - - 68 - - 95 - - 91 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 560 - - 600 - - 1050 - - 1220 - - 1300 CAPE Temp@2m 81.3 - - 93.7 - - 100.8 - - 99.9 - - 91.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 51.1 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.5 - - 91.5 - - 98.4 - - 98.5 - - 93.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.4 - - 50.6 - - 49.7 - - 50.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 312 - - 338 - - 144 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 325 - - 3940 - - 11500 - - 8169 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 66 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99830 43 106 35 099 37 106 31 110 28 098 99830 92263 35 104 26 105 29 093 31 095 29 107 92263 86414 33 099 30 115 19 097 24 105 30 101 86414 81559 27 098 29 103 19 111 20 108 27 097 81559 77384 21 099 22 093 22 129 15 096 24 095 77384 73707 17 101 14 083 23 114 13 111 19 108 73707 70397 14 099 12 116 17 108 14 109 15 111 70397 67367 14 098 12 117 17 133 10 126 9 122 67367 64570 8 108 9 124 13 116 14 144 10 137 64570 61860 8 148 10 154 9 134 10 117 9 104 61860 59045 8 172 12 172 10 167 11 188 13 188 59045 56141 17 232 14 212 8 212 6 154 11 183 56141 53358 40 209 39 219 32 239 20 248 13 249 53358 50850 42 195 50 206 52 225 47 235 36 240 50850 48613 35 215 42 208 55 215 56 223 50 228 48613 46596 49 236 47 219 53 219 54 220 53 224 46596 44751 59 235 55 225 55 225 55 222 53 228 44751 43047 63 230 62 225 60 227 60 226 55 230 43047 41467 63 229 62 226 61 228 62 229 55 228 41467 39991 63 233 59 230 56 227 59 230 53 228 39991 38605 61 233 55 232 50 226 53 227 49 227 38605 37269 59 230 51 231 47 226 49 224 47 224 37269 35917 57 229 50 229 45 227 47 226 48 224 35917 34517 57 229 50 231 43 229 43 227 45 224 34517 33077 53 228 49 233 39 230 38 224 41 221 33077 31582 49 229 46 233 34 227 35 221 40 219 31582 30023 45 231 43 233 33 227 30 218 35 221 30023 28401 39 233 40 232 31 229 33 220 30 219 28401 26719 33 233 37 229 31 235 33 222 28 214 26719 24977 28 230 32 222 31 234 30 226 29 212 24977 23179 23 224 28 214 30 222 28 223 31 215 23179 21321 22 217 29 210 29 212 28 219 33 218 21321 19398 22 214 27 210 31 216 28 213 30 212 19398 17442 20 221 23 214 29 216 27 210 27 200 17442 15549 17 222 21 216 25*214 24 208 24 202 15549 13815 16 204 22 210 20*210 20 203 20 201 13815 12262 16 190 22 206 15 203 14*192 18 197 12262 10870 15 190 19 199 14 200 10*182 15 186 10870 9620 13 194 16 192 12 190 8 171 12 171 9620 8500 14 197 15 190 10 178 6 159 10 157 8500 7499 14 195 13*182 10 166 5 148 7 141 7499 6608 14 186 13*170 10 158 3 131 5 116 6608 5814 13 178 13 161 9 153 3 103 5 074 5814 5098 13 175 13 153 9 149 3 066 7 031 5098 4461 11 170 13 147 9 146 3 042 10 014 4461 3926 8 165 12 143 9 144 4 033 10 005 3926 3513 5*160 12 140 9 142 4 030 9 354 3513 3227 3*142 11 138 8 141 4 030 8 345 3227 3053 2 131 11 137 8 139 4 029 6*335 3053 2953 2 122 9 136 7 139 4 028 4*329 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography