DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.3 - - 66.1 - - 67.5 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 131 - - 419 - - 439 - - 203 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2322 - - 4620 - - 6468 - - 3990 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4066 - - 6276 - - 7769 - - 5502 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 5315 - - 7613 - - 9461 - - 6983 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2459 - - 1424 - - 2022 - - 5721 - - 3203 Hgt.Variab. W* 278 - - 514 - - 586 - - 387 - - 6 W* B/S 5 - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 309 - - 297 - - 014 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 3 - - 11 - - 22 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1633 - - -752 - - -1013 - - -4425 - - -6950 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6948 - - 8365 - - 10475 - - 11408 - - 9903 sfcLCL ODpotential -4206 - - -4115 - - -4070 - - -6023 - - -9906 ODpotential blCL 9521 - - 11728 - - 13531 - - 13006 - - 12858 blCL maxRH 68 - - 68 - - 60 - - 56 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.3 - - 66.1 - - 67.5 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 32.9 - - 30.1 - - 27.4 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 56.7 - - 63.5 - - 65.8 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 32.3 - - 29.2 - - 26.5 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 131 - - 419 - - 439 - - 203 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2322 - - 4620 - - 6468 - - 3990 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98215 5 128 2 225 0 318 7 181 9 305 98215 90749 11 119 9 230 3 302 1 269 6 331 90749 84997 5 116 5 198 3 214 5 337 2 350 84997 80236 2 250 6 114 11 206 8 303 4 073 80236 76135 4 240 2 047 5 200 7 264 8 010 76135 72505 4 347 3 243 1 283 7 253 9 338 72505 69217 12 300 11 253 8 278 3 250 6 336 69217 66171 10 260 14 233 15 271 16 298 11 319 66171 63330 17 269 16 262 18 264 24 270 22 284 63330 60584 24 264 15 266 17 249 20 268 24 274 60584 57715 27 264 23 271 23 280 18 283 22 263 57715 54726 33 270 39 269 35 276 26 280 32 272 54726 51869 43 270 45 265 44 266 42 268 44 270 51869 49309 47 269 48 265 49 262 50 266 47 268 49309 47034 50 264 51 265 50 265 51 271 47 271 47034 44990 53 264 53 269 54 272 53 276 44 273 44990 43134 57 271 58 272 60 273 57 277 45 279 43134 41434 67 275 63 273 66 274 64 271 50 277 41434 39869 75 275 70 275 68 269 60 267 52 279 39869 38419 77 275 73 270 58 270 55 273 57 282 38419 37066 76 273 69 267 58 283 55 279 62 282 37066 35770 73 273 65 272 60 286 55 280 62 280 35770 34464 72 275 66 278 57 286 54 277 61 275 34464 33120 71 277 66 281 54 286 52 276 61 271 33120 31738 67 279 65 282 53 286 50 276 58 270 31738 30305 63 280 63 282 50 286 49 276 54 269 30305 28808 61 280 61 283 48 286 49 276 50 270 28808 27249 57 279 59 283 48 284 49 277 50 273 27249 25627 55 277 56 277 49 284 48 279 51 275 25627 23947 56 275 56 273 49 286 48 280 50 276 23947 22211 55 273 57 275 46 282 47 278 49 275 22211 20411 52 274 53 278 46 278 49 274 48 273 20411 18546 46 276 48 277 43 280 50 275 47 272 18546 16656 40 276 44 274 40 277 45 276 43 267 16656 14843 37 277 41 273 41 275 40 271 39 260 14843 13194 35 282 38 276 38 275 32 267 33 260 13194 11723 30 290 33 282 31 272 24 262 27 266 11723 10409 24 296 26 285 20*265 22 264 23 274 10409 9231 19 301 19 282 16*268 18 267 21 278 9231 8176 14 305 12*279 15 271 14 272 19 279 8176 7232 12 312 9*287 12 282 9*282 16 278 7232 6392 11 317 9 291 10 294 6*303 12 277 6392 5645 10*320 8 302 9 310 5 348 7 274 5645 4970 10*326 8 310 9 321 6 017 2 271 4970 4370 11 331 8 318 8 330 6 024 2 095 4370 3866 10 333 7 325 8 337 7 028 4 092 3866 3477 10 334 7 329 8 341 7 030 6 092 3477 3208 9 336 7 333 8 344 7 031 6 092 3208 3045 9 337 7 334 8 346 7 032 6*094 3045 2951 8 337 6 336 7 347 7 032 4*094 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography