DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 56.2 - - 63.7 - - 57.6 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 76 - - 105 - - -12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 513 - - 1100 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3506 - - 4093 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 303 - - 609 - - 1353 - - 1008 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 140 - - 201 - - 3 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 16 - - 16 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 170 - - 157 - - 153 - - 156 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -8 - - -7 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2383 - - -4961 - - -6363 - - -5863 - - -3362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5335 - - 8468 - - 10457 - - 8816 - - 6315 sfcLCL ODpotential -12853 - - -12037 - - -11776 - - -12060 - - -10418 ODpotential blCL 15804 - - 15543 - - 15869 - - 15012 - - 13370 blCL maxRH 46 - - 79 - - 87 - - 30 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 56.2 - - 63.7 - - 57.6 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 29.9 - - 28.3 - - 29.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 55.5 - - 62.9 - - 61.1 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 29.7 - - 28.0 - - 29.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 76 - - 105 - - -12 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 513 - - 1100 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 15 - - 49 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96036 31 301 20 326 21 298 17 312 19 305 96036 89086 20 309 14 300 20 310 15 334 13 310 89086 83680 11 328 11 296 15 305 17 319 10 328 83680 79147 6 004 10 285 10 296 15 307 13 344 79147 75208 6 334 10 282 13 285 11 274 14 308 75208 71699 8 321 8 302 9 283 6 253 10 291 71699 68505 10 301 10 282 8 281 9 279 13 283 68505 65570 17 286 17 294 14 289 11 293 11 286 65570 62849 21 259 21 283 15 287 19 284 13 281 62849 60212 20 258 20 270 14 278 24 260 17 265 60212 57458 36 259 34 255 30 267 29 256 23 250 57458 54603 48 254 47 245 48 245 40 248 32 245 54603 51877 61 248 54 246 50 239 43 244 39 242 51877 49409 69 246 70 247 61 246 52 242 48 239 49409 47194 71 246 76 243 75 243 70 239 61 238 47194 45197 72 246 73 243 79 235 82 233 74 231 45197 43387 73 248 71 246 71 234 79 225 81 222 43387 41736 66 247 70 246 69 235 76 224 83 216 41736 40208 57 249 59 238 59 231 71 224 82 215 40208 38774 55 251 54 232 54 230 62 225 73 214 38774 37421 55 248 57 231 56 231 60 224 63 214 37421 36114 54 243 58 231 58 231 63 224 61 216 36114 34789 54 236 55 228 59 227 65 222 64 218 34789 33419 51 230 52 224 56 222 62 219 65 218 33419 32007 49 227 50 221 54 221 57 217 62 216 32007 30541 47 219 51 217 55 218 54 218 57 212 30541 29012 46 214 48 212 54 213 51 218 51 211 29012 27421 46 212 45 208 52 211 47 216 44 213 27421 25771 46 211 44 208 47 210 43 210 40 212 25771 24067 45 212 42 210 43 208 42 204 40 210 24067 22313 43 212 42 208 44 204 43 202 40 207 22313 20503 37 207 42 206 44 199 42 200 38 207 20503 18632 32 197 38 200 41 196 39 199 33 210 18632 16732 32 190 36 194 38 193 34 201 28 214 16732 14902 33 193 35 193 34 195 30 203 24 219 14902 13236 31 195 31 197 31 200 27 204 21 222 13236 11750 26 196 27 203 27 205 24 206 18 221 11750 10423 19 195 22 207 24 209 22 208 18 218 10423 9236 14 192 18 207 21 212 20 207 19 210 9236 8174 13 192 15 205 18 213 18 202 21 201 8174 7226 13 192 15 202 16 212 17 197 22 192 7226 6383 15 191 17 196 15 205 18 188 24 180 6383 5635 18 186 18 188 15 189 20 173 29 165 5635 4961 23 177 20 177 17 168 23 162 34 154 4961 4361 30 164 22 167 17*160 23 158 35 154 4361 3860 33 159 21*164 17*156 22 157 32 159 3860 3473 30 162 18*160 17 153 19 157 28 166 3473 3205 22 165 17 158 16 152 15 157 21 172 3205 3043 16*166 16 157 15 152 11*156 13*176 3043 2951 5*170 10 153 11 149 5*156 6*183 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography