DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.1 - - 64.5 - - 58.5 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 53 - - 124 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 415 - - 3442 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 4821 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3408 - - 6435 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 200 - - 2830 - - 2856 - - 4772 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 115 - - 310 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 231 - - 296 - - 021 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -6 - - 26 - - 8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3783 - - -6103 - - -2652 - - -4561 - - -3559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6735 - - 9511 - - 9087 - - 7514 - - 6511 sfcLCL ODpotential -13500 - - -12581 - - -5735 - - -8724 - - -11222 ODpotential blCL 16451 - - 15989 - - 12170 - - 11676 - - 14174 blCL maxRH 87 - - 85 - - 79 - - 66 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.1 - - 64.5 - - 58.5 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 29.0 - - 35.0 - - 36.1 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 59.4 - - 63.2 - - 59.9 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 28.8 - - 34.9 - - 35.9 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 53 - - 124 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 415 - - 3442 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 39 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95886 35 290 34 293 42 282 37 284 42 290 95886 88988 30 295 26 298 24 296 26 284 31 293 88988 83619 20 290 20 285 20 296 20 288 20 296 83619 79098 11 335 9 305 16 274 18 274 21 295 79098 75167 12 326 11 321 8 285 19 272 24 284 75167 71690 21 282 16 293 8 302 8 274 15 285 71690 68517 25 270 23 274 21 300 16 308 17 279 68517 65566 24 262 23 259 28 287 28 287 24 280 65566 62813 34 265 33 260 33 275 40 276 32 284 62813 60147 40 264 38 259 39 263 41 268 40 276 60147 57390 45 263 38 261 41 260 44 271 47 269 57390 54558 47 257 43 260 45 265 47 271 47 262 54558 51862 50 258 47 259 50 265 48 269 46 261 51862 49428 49 257 49 261 51 265 52 268 50 263 49428 47253 45 276 55 272 57 272 61 269 59 268 47253 45307 66 281 68 276 66 271 70 266 70 269 45307 43551 75 271 75 270 70 268 71 268 75 271 43551 41935 69 263 76 265 75 273 76 274 78 271 41935 40426 68 268 75 266 79 279 77 273 77 268 40426 39002 70 270 76 268 78 279 73 272 76 266 39002 37656 69 268 75 267 75 276 73 271 76 266 37656 36356 67 265 72 263 73 272 74 271 75 266 36356 35036 65 265 67 261 73 270 74 269 75 267 35036 33671 64 266 65 261 71 270 73 269 76 269 33671 32264 64 267 64 260 71 271 72 268 76 270 32264 30803 64 270 62 259 72 269 70 269 74 272 30803 29276 64 270 61 259 70 265 69 269 70 273 29276 27685 61 267 60 261 66 261 66 268 66 271 27685 26031 57 262 60 261 64 259 64 265 62 267 26031 24316 54 259 59 261 64 260 63 263 61 265 24316 22541 55 256 58 258 63 261 63 263 60 266 22541 20699 56 256 56 255 61 262 61 264 58 268 20699 18785 54 255 55 253 58 261 57 265 54 269 18785 16839 48 252 51 251 55 260 53 267 48 268 16839 14970 42 246 46 248 50 259 49 268 42 268 14970 13275 37 244 40 247 44 255 44 267 37 267 13275 11769 32 246 31 249 36 253 37 262 34 261 11769 10429 26 250 24 253 27 253 29 251 30 249 10429 9233 21 258 19 263 19 255 21 239 25 237 9233 8167 18 269 17 275 13 258 12 234 18 227 8167 7217 16 281 17 284 10*265 6 249 12 209 7217 6375 15 288 17 288 8*273 4 288 8 181 6375 5628 15 289 17 285 8 284 4 337 7 155 5628 4955 14 284 15 279 7 293 5 002 6 135 4955 4358 10 267 12 271 7 301 6 010 5 118 4358 3857 8 233 9 261 7 307 7 013 4 105 3857 3471 9 206 6*248 7 311 7 015 4 096 3471 3205 9 194 4*239 7 315 7 017 2 103 3205 3043 8*175 3 231 7 316 6*018 1*205 3043 2951 5*164 2 215 6 318 4*021 2*225 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography