DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 47.6 - - 45.8 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - -1 - - 8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3726 - - 4097 - - 4544 - - 4350 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 18 - - 25 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 287 - - 306 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -15 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3047 - - -809 - - -792 - - -745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5998 - - 3760 - - 3743 - - 3696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4971 - - -1735 - - -1698 - - -2133 ODpotential blCL - - - 7922 - - 4686 - - 4649 - - 5084 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 47.6 - - 45.8 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 41.2 - - 39.6 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 47.7 - - 45.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 40.4 - - 38.4 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - -1 - - 8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 102 - - 74 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96080 9 315 16 295 18 302 19 326 96080 89028 10 316 18 307 19 334 14 340 89028 83602 8 004 5 300 14 336 14 348 83602 79086 19 011 9 328 13 312 9 291 79086 75188 18 312 16 309 16 320 12 303 75188 71742 18 295 17 305 27 305 17 284 71742 68595 29 291 32 293 33 297 29 287 68595 65651 41 284 41 285 45 289 39 278 65651 62887 45 285 45 278 46 280 42 277 62887 60183 47 279 41 277 41 278 42 275 60183 57340 47 277 45 283 41 283 44 281 57340 54375 49 278 54 278 51 283 49 279 54375 51536 52 276 54 275 59 278 49 276 51536 48974 53 276 54 273 59 274 48 276 48974 46673 57 274 56 273 57 272 47 277 46673 44583 61 272 60 271 53 269 46 276 44583 42664 62 269 61 264 49 264 43 274 42664 40891 63 260 60 254 47 261 41 272 40891 39243 63 247 56 248 46 261 39 268 39243 37709 67 247 54 253 47 261 38 265 37709 36282 78 241 62 251 48 255 36 262 36282 34925 83 231 72 240 52 242 35 260 34925 33572 81 225 79 230 57 230 33 253 33572 32193 78 225 82 220 61 224 31 242 32193 30795 78 227 81 217 60 222 29 235 30795 29367 79 228 81 217 56 220 25 236 29367 27897 73 226 77 215 56 219 25 235 27897 26378 61 225 71 213 55 218 26 212 26378 24814 52 233 66 212 49 214 28 193 24814 23206 52 241 64 212 37 207 32 191 23206 21545 49 240 62 216 30 202 31 200 21545 19822 45 233 59 221 30 198 23 224 19822 18032 45 228 54 223 28 196 14 272 18032 16208 42 222 46 223 21 199 9 324 16208 14449 34 213 35 219 9 206 14 334 14449 12847 29 213 27 213 7 319 16 335 12847 11416 25 217 22 213 18 289 18 327 11416 10137 22 226 16 228 34 284 24 326 10137 8995 20 235 15 255 42 290 31 322 8995 7975 19 244 17 275 39 297 37 323 7975 7066 19 252 21 285 34 300 39 323 7066 6258 19 258 23 287 30 300 38 321 6258 5540 20 259 25 286 26 300 37 320 5540 4891 19 257 25 285 22 300 34 317 4891 4314 17 252 24 285 19 299 31 313 4314 3829 14 245 23 285 16 300 28 308 3829 3456 11 240 21 286 14 302 24 303 3456 3197 8 236 19 286 13 303 21 300 3197 3040 7*236 17*287 11*304 18*298 3040 2950 5*231 11*287 8*306 12*296 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography