DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 49.1 - - 52.3 - - 50.3 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 118 - - 119 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 1983 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3755 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3987 - - 4976 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 603 - - 1484 - - 1990 - - 4534 - - 1824 Hgt.Variab. W* 1 - - 201 - - 254 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 292 - - 324 - - 322 - - 340 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1562 - - -2916 - - -2367 - - -3253 - - -2391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4513 - - 6904 - - 7343 - - 6204 - - 5342 sfcLCL ODpotential -6785 - - -6307 - - -4539 - - -5185 - - -8979 ODpotential blCL 9736 - - 10294 - - 9515 - - 8136 - - 11930 blCL maxRH 99 - - 92 - - 95 - - 75 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 49.1 - - 52.3 - - 50.3 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 29.5 - - 30.6 - - 33.8 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 48.0 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 29.3 - - 30.5 - - 33.6 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 118 - - 119 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 1983 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 68 - - 81 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95934 29 313 26 296 30 299 33 323 33 316 95934 89143 17 323 16 311 21 323 23 339 21 351 89143 83825 11 312 13 334 15 331 15 349 15 015 83825 79348 8 325 11 343 10 340 8 342 13 008 79348 75432 9 342 11 358 6 330 5 307 14 338 75432 71934 12 318 13 331 8 355 5 303 15 322 71934 68747 14 308 13 321 9 324 9 308 17 314 68747 65803 15 308 13 309 12 317 14 314 16 311 65803 63066 21 299 14 307 14 312 13 302 15 319 63066 60408 17 296 19 304 15 291 19 301 17 302 60408 57626 23 295 19 291 23 290 25 297 15 296 57626 54727 24 292 34 286 31 295 30 289 18 306 54727 51956 31 290 31 279 33 289 30 285 27 309 51956 49469 33 289 28 295 27 283 30 280 30 297 49469 47249 31 299 34 294 25 286 29 281 25 300 47249 45240 35 299 35 286 30 292 23 297 23 325 45240 43399 38 287 33 284 30 291 23 313 30 332 43399 41700 36 281 32 279 29 291 28 319 28 334 41700 40125 33 280 32 275 31 293 32 314 25 349 40125 38649 32 277 32 272 33 295 29 316 34 003 38649 37265 31 272 31 270 33 291 25 328 51 354 37265 35950 31 265 28 268 28 286 29 336 64 355 35950 34635 31 260 25 263 22 288 35 333 71 358 34635 33282 28 254 20 260 20 297 36 327 74 359 33282 31890 25 245 18 261 20 308 33 323 69 359 31890 30444 25 241 18 265 24 319 27 335 59 358 30444 28935 30 237 20 267 30 328 30 355 49 358 28935 27363 37 228 22 264 34 333 35 352 45 355 27363 25729 37 221 22 260 34 335 34 346 40 351 25729 24036 34 226 19 257 32 336 32 346 35 346 24036 22285 30 238 18 253 28 332 33 348 31 344 22285 20470 26 252 20 249 23 323 35 351 30 340 20470 18584 21 260 22 249 18 308 35 352 25 333 18584 16662 15 264 22 252 14 287 33 352 19 350 16662 14808 14 248 20 250 13 267 23 347 21 005 14808 13123 16 244 16 246 13 255 13 327 21 010 13123 11629 13 252 13 243 12 250 9 287 13 003 11629 10306 10 267 11 245 11 260 9 268 6 321 10306 9130 8 275 7 249 10 281 9 276 6 293 9130 8083 6 284 5 259 10 284 9 301 7 296 8083 7152 6 298 3 278 9 300 10 319 7 303 7152 6325 7 305 3 296 10 313 10 323 6 311 6325 5590 8 309 4 307 11*317 9 323 5 319 5590 4927 9 311 5 309 11*318 8 323 4 322 4927 4339 10 310 6*307 11 319 7 325 3 317 4339 3845 10 309 6*312 12 322 7 329 2 313 3845 3464 10 307 5 322 11 324 6 334 1 272 3464 3201 9 299 5 330 11 325 5 336 3 245 3201 3042 6*295 4 334 10 327 5*338 4*236 3042 2950 4*292 4 336 9 327 3*340 4*232 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography