DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 71.3 - - 72.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 485 - - 230 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4871 - - 6656 - - 8963 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6504 - - 7958 - - 9412 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7864 - - 9649 - - 11956 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1452 - - 1396 - - 1359 - - 9114 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 538 - - 610 - - 527 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 307 - - 310 - - 318 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -8 - - 17 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -992 - - -1535 - - -516 - - -7169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8857 - - 11185 - - 12473 - - 10122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3900 - - -4731 - - -3854 - - -8505 ODpotential blCL - - - 11764 - - 14380 - - 15810 - - 11457 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 69 - - 76 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 71.3 - - 72.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 32.1 - - 27.8 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 68.4 - - 71.0 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 31.5 - - 27.3 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 485 - - 230 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4871 - - 6656 - - 8963 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98447 16 114 18 101 20 107 19 104 98447 91021 17 112 13 103 15 090 21 090 91021 85322 20 121 11 126 18 081 19 095 85322 80614 20 119 16 112 10 114 18 087 80614 76542 19 121 18 117 12 126 15 094 76542 72932 15 113 15 130 15 124 9 120 72932 69666 9 156 13 133 13 131 15 123 69666 66647 13 164 14 167 9 162 9 131 66647 63815 15 154 21 166 11 187 9 180 63815 61058 19 197 18 191 18 188 19 203 61058 58187 22 186 19 188 13 193 16 205 58187 55205 21 199 24 213 21 222 20 204 55205 52353 24 202 26 207 22 214 20 199 52353 49780 22 202 23 205 24 222 21 209 49780 47467 23 214 23 207 26 221 22 214 47467 45371 27 214 24 210 27 216 25 217 45371 43466 29 211 25 207 25 209 26 211 43466 41721 28 201 25 204 23 206 25 203 41721 40115 27 192 25 199 21 196 22 198 40115 38629 26 188 26 193 22 186 22 189 38629 37248 28 184 30 183 27 178 23 179 37248 35935 31 175 37 170 35 170 31 163 35935 34623 27 173 39 157 44 153 45 150 34623 33275 31 167 47 153 46 146 52 141 33275 31887 43 165 48 153 45 149 50 143 31887 30448 42 167 46 159 37 161 31 154 30448 28952 32 178 38 167 23 178 24 158 28952 27395 23 198 18 197 18 182 20 161 27395 25775 14 212 17 212 15 185 17 157 25775 24094 10 221 15 209 12 183 15 159 24094 22352 6 225 13 207 11 184 12 180 22352 20545 5 257 8 207 11 188 8 217 20545 18669 8 292 6 266 8 215 11 246 18669 16759 9 317 8 302 9 254 11 262 16759 14919 6 320 9 308 15 289 15 283 14919 13249 6 287 12 301 19*303 17 291 13249 11768 8 270 15 298 18*311 16 294 11768 10446 9 281 16*301 18 312 15 301 10446 9261 13 297 16*303 18 314 14 321 9261 8199 15*302 16 304 18 316 15 338 8199 7251 16*304 16 306 17 318 17 349 7251 6408 16 304 16 308 17 319 19 355 6408 5657 16 306 16 310 16 321 20 357 5657 4980 17 307 16 312 16 322 21 357 4980 4377 16 308 15 314 15 323 21 357 4377 3871 16 309 15 316 15 324 20 357 3871 3480 15 310 14 317 15 325 19 356 3480 3210 15 311 14 318 14 325 17 355 3210 3046 14 312 13 319 13 325 14*354 3046 2951 12 313 11 319 11 326 9*353 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography