DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 66.9 - - 72.9 - - 70.6 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 168 - - 190 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1519 - - 2514 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 3617 - - 4378 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 4512 - - 5507 - - 2953 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 219 - - 1522 - - 3942 - - 5151 - - 1004 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 261 - - 322 - - 7 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 17 - - 10 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 157 - - 139 - - 009 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -9 - - 4 - - 7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1763 - - -2484 - - -2901 - - -5917 - - -3637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4715 - - 6997 - - 8408 - - 8870 - - 6589 sfcLCL ODpotential -7537 - - -4977 - - -4337 - - -8273 - - -8438 ODpotential blCL 10489 - - 9489 - - 9844 - - 11226 - - 11390 blCL maxRH 85 - - 71 - - 90 - - 80 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 180 - - 50 - - 290 - - 0 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 66.9 - - 72.9 - - 70.6 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 - - 42.0 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 65.5 - - 71.2 - - 71.0 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 46.4 - - 46.1 - - 41.9 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 168 - - 190 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1519 - - 2514 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 0 - - 58 - - 22 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97414 5 023 11 272 3 327 6 267 17 318 97414 90219 5 005 2 271 2 290 10 019 9 059 90219 84659 3 021 4 095 3 248 9 020 11 084 84659 80038 4 038 2 084 3 254 5 343 5 055 80038 76051 3 301 1 262 4 266 5 278 5 275 76051 72511 4 252 4 261 6 238 5 240 8 286 72511 69292 8 170 6 235 10 246 9 238 9 264 69292 66323 8 284 7 184 10 209 10 244 9 260 66323 63559 14 249 9 236 12 206 15 249 14 243 63559 60869 9 221 12 231 13 200 11 212 17 218 60869 58048 23 245 19 233 26 229 17 208 26 220 58048 55110 33 217 32 207 27 200 25 216 37 211 55110 52304 40 219 35 214 35 224 37 228 38 219 52304 49784 52 214 54 220 49 217 51 226 35 230 49784 47525 48 212 60 213 53 210 49 222 41 244 47525 45467 44 220 56 221 53 222 53 227 67 227 45467 43603 64 225 79 220 70 225 77 220 77 215 43603 41913 76 216 80 215 86 216 85 213 82 217 41913 40348 68 205 70 216 85 213 83 212 91 217 40348 38885 53 218 67 221 84 215 74 213 88 216 38885 37516 67 235 72 226 82 219 63 217 80 219 37516 36207 80 233 79 227 80 221 58 220 68 224 36207 34893 83 231 80 228 73 221 52 221 47 226 34893 33540 78 232 77 227 68 219 51 220 34 210 33540 32147 67 236 73 228 63 218 49 218 31 209 32147 30702 53 236 68 231 54 219 50 218 28 212 30702 29193 43 230 59 234 45 224 49 221 33 207 29193 27623 37 223 46 239 39 229 44 218 34 203 27623 25993 36 219 36 233 34 228 34 215 29 202 25993 24301 30 223 34 227 27 229 26 215 21 202 24301 22550 24 220 28 238 24 228 20 217 12 196 22550 20732 22 208 23 245 22 230 14 219 9 183 20732 18845 20 203 20 237 15 233 9 210 9 164 18845 16926 19 205 19 227 14 225 8 201 10 168 16926 15078 19 211 17 216 14 217 8 202 12 182 15078 13394 18 211 15 207 14 207 12 194 14 190 13394 11891 15 201 13 204 14 200 14 193 14 182 11891 10547 10 181 12 201 13 198 14 193 14 163 10547 9341 4 154 11 196 11 197 11 182 15 154 9341 8261 4 077 10 191 9 196 10 153 16 145 8261 7297 4 119 10 187 7 183 10 135 17 139 7297 6440 7 159 13 180 7 158 8 128 15 138 6440 5678 12 169 17 170 8*148 6 119 10 137 5678 4992 21 165 20*161 10*141 5 102 4 108 4992 4383 27 160 19*159 10 140 4 062 7 029 4383 3874 25 162 18 158 10 139 4 032 10 010 3874 3481 20 167 18 156 10 138 5 020 9 354 3481 3210 14 169 17 155 10 136 5 014 7 330 3210 3046 8*169 16 154 9 136 4*010 7*305 3046 2951 3*186 12 152 8 135 4*009 5*290 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography