DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.9 - - 73.6 - - 82.9 - - 82.5 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 204 - - 8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 2109 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2935 - - 4117 - - 2936 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 3947 - - 5102 - - 2953 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 120 - - 657 - - 1093 - - 2823 - - 789 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 224 - - 311 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 144 - - 109 - - 027 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5020 - - -8275 - - -9250 - - -10954 - - -8045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7972 - - 12222 - - 14353 - - 13907 - - 10998 sfcLCL ODpotential -15359 - - -14796 - - -13900 - - -15680 - - -15195 ODpotential blCL 18311 - - 18743 - - 19002 - - 18633 - - 18148 blCL maxRH 69 - - 58 - - 57 - - 88 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.9 - - 73.6 - - 82.9 - - 82.5 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 31.0 - - 30.4 - - 32.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 72.0 - - 81.2 - - 82.3 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 30.7 - - 30.2 - - 31.8 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 204 - - 8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 2109 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97741 5 081 5 137 10 271 12 007 4 349 97741 90555 9 013 7 071 3 216 14 356 12 031 90555 84997 10 355 7 048 6 034 9 018 12 028 84997 80367 7 028 7 033 8 012 6 346 11 016 80367 76369 10 023 10 005 13 032 4 320 11 328 76369 72848 11 355 11 330 13 008 8 022 8 347 72848 69661 11 341 10 335 11 345 8 345 12 344 69661 66724 12 313 13 324 12 323 14 319 15 335 66724 64001 14 305 17 322 19 327 19 323 15 330 64001 61363 17 301 20 301 24 307 23 315 17 324 61363 58600 17 296 17 288 22 280 25 301 21 309 58600 55717 20 288 16 277 20 265 25 289 24 295 55717 52951 26 275 19 270 22 254 25 274 26 281 52951 50454 29 261 23 258 22 251 25 264 25 282 50454 48218 34 247 31 246 33 252 33 265 32 271 48218 46201 32 240 37 239 35 250 34 254 36 254 46201 44370 34 240 37 245 39 250 38 253 34 251 44370 42687 36 248 37 249 41 249 39 249 35 252 42687 41131 37 255 36 252 39 249 36 250 34 249 41131 39685 33 259 35 252 36 252 33 254 34 252 39685 38328 31 263 32 251 35 254 33 257 31 253 38328 37023 31 267 29 259 33 257 34 260 26 258 37023 35700 27 274 25 261 29 263 31 263 23 271 35700 34329 27 277 23 259 28 265 30 263 24 278 34329 32913 27 278 24 261 30 268 32 269 26 275 32913 31439 26 277 24 258 30 273 35 276 29 270 31439 29896 25 276 24 249 30 276 34 276 32 264 29896 28285 22 272 23 251 31 278 31 274 32 260 28285 26609 22 266 22 259 29 275 31 270 29 257 26609 24872 24 265 22 263 26 267 27 268 23 251 24872 23073 22 259 23 259 23 262 22 263 18 254 23073 21210 18 257 21 254 21 255 20 259 16 255 21210 19275 16 260 19 250 19 246 20 250 17 250 19275 17304 14 267 18 246 18 244 18 242 17 245 17304 15404 13 271 16 245 18 244 17 242 14 241 15404 13670 14 271 14 246 17 245 16 244 13 244 13670 12122 13 269 13 244 16 243 14 243 12 240 12122 10738 10 263 12 240 15 240 13 243 12 240 10738 9498 7 251 12 234 14 235 12 245 10 243 9498 8389 5 231 11 227 13 231 10 248 8 249 8389 7399 6 197 9 218 11 228 8 245 6 253 7399 6520 9 173 9 205 7 216 5 230 4 252 6520 5739 13 163 9 185 4*177 3 188 2 229 5739 5037 17 159 11 170 3*136 2 133 2 196 5037 4413 20 158 11*162 3 120 2 050 2 170 4413 3893 19 159 9*152 4 108 3 034 1 039 3893 3492 15 161 9 145 4 100 4 029 3 013 3492 3216 12 160 8 141 4 093 4 028 2 354 3216 3048 6*155 7 139 4 091 4*027 2*305 3048 2952 1*349 7 137 3 089 4*027 2*279 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography