DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.3 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 131 - - 190 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1572 - - 4016 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 3533 - - 5484 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4565 - - 7009 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 201 - - 2257 - - 1853 - - 6470 - - 1274 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 245 - - 378 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 292 - - 295 - - 351 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3975 - - -4387 - - -3051 - - -6361 - - -3590 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6927 - - 8952 - - 10060 - - 9313 - - 6543 sfcLCL ODpotential -13918 - - -11060 - - -7968 - - -10238 - - -8389 ODpotential blCL 16869 - - 15625 - - 14977 - - 13190 - - 11341 blCL maxRH 87 - - 55 - - 74 - - 60 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.3 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 31.5 - - 32.6 - - 35.4 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 59.2 - - 64.9 - - 66.1 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 30.8 - - 32.1 - - 35.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 131 - - 190 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1572 - - 4016 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96680 18 314 25 287 27 299 22 311 29 281 96680 89674 13 297 12 293 16 282 19 305 10 283 89674 84188 14 279 10 301 15 260 18 292 15 298 84188 79593 19 290 10 298 12 268 11 288 18 290 79593 75615 18 279 15 281 13 269 11 275 14 279 75615 72078 13 259 14 254 21 268 14 284 11 287 72078 68865 12 250 15 252 18 265 22 288 14 294 68865 65896 14 273 14 265 18 280 22 275 22 292 65896 63139 21 274 17 272 24 280 21 273 28 278 63139 60487 19 268 20 276 24 288 19 291 26 288 60487 57754 16 289 18 290 30 292 36 318 37 314 57754 54934 20 318 22 307 34 305 43 301 41 311 54934 52236 20 331 33 325 33 316 40 299 40 309 52236 49801 33 342 36 328 36 323 38 312 42 316 49801 47613 39 335 37 325 38 321 46 321 53 322 47613 45619 36 327 40 324 42 320 54 318 60 313 45619 43776 34 337 43 327 48 318 56 315 63 318 43776 42066 44 344 47 328 53 316 61 317 74 324 42066 40480 54 347 53 329 59 318 69 321 78 327 40480 39005 61 345 61 330 68 321 78 323 80 328 39005 37627 64 339 69 328 71 322 79 325 78 325 37627 36310 65 337 72 326 71 327 76 327 74 321 36310 34983 67 339 72 328 73 332 75 327 74 323 34983 33612 69 342 72 333 71 332 76 326 79 327 33612 32199 68 343 70 334 70 330 77 327 83 330 32199 30734 60 342 64 331 69 329 76 328 83 330 30734 29204 50 341 56 325 69 328 74 330 81 327 29204 27611 42 341 48 321 69 325 74 333 80 327 27611 25954 39 341 47 323 68 324 76 335 80 330 25954 24236 39 339 47 327 62 322 78 336 78 333 24236 22463 40 340 47 330 55 318 74 336 70 336 22463 20630 40 340 43 331 49 316 62 331 59 333 20630 18729 34 336 38 330 42 314 50 323 51 323 18729 16796 28 325 32 327 35 312 41 314 49 319 16796 14938 24 319 27 319 31 309 34 309 45 320 14938 13254 22 321 24 309 29 303 31 306 37 317 13254 11759 22 325 19 301 27 298 29 299 31 311 11759 10428 21 323 18 299 25 295 27 291 27 304 10428 9241 19 321 16 297 23 291 23 286 23 302 9241 8180 17 319 13 297 19 285 21 287 20 313 8180 7233 16 317 11 299 14*279 19 290 19 325 7233 6392 15 316 10 293 12*281 17 294 19 335 6392 5644 13 316 9 289 11 285 14 300 19 337 5644 4968 11 318 10*288 10 293 11 310 17 336 4968 4368 11 310 10*286 9 298 9 325 12 332 4368 3863 14 288 8 289 9 303 9 335 6 337 3863 3475 14 272 7 294 8 308 8 341 3 355 3475 3207 12 261 6 297 8 311 8 346 2 343 3207 3044 9*259 6 300 7 313 7*348 3*299 3044 2951 5*255 5 304 7 315 6*351 3*280 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography