DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 56.4 - - 67.3 - - 69.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 85 - - 217 - - 47 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 513 - - 1487 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 3706 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3506 - - 4480 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 562 - - 1195 - - 2833 - - 546 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 150 - - 285 - - 38 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 030 - - 017 - - 095 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2529 - - -2932 - - -5496 - - -8699 - - -6988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5480 - - 6438 - - 9977 - - 11651 - - 9940 sfcLCL ODpotential -14922 - - -11226 - - -12421 - - -16034 - - -17099 ODpotential blCL 17873 - - 14732 - - 16901 - - 18986 - - 20051 blCL maxRH 43 - - 73 - - 48 - - 53 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 56.4 - - 67.3 - - 69.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 38.8 - - 34.1 - - 29.1 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 55.4 - - 65.6 - - 68.9 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 37.5 - - 33.2 - - 28.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 85 - - 217 - - 47 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 513 - - 1487 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96520 8 278 11 272 8 240 9 302 14 255 96520 89501 4 354 8 191 7 213 10 308 4 037 89501 84084 2 294 7 123 5 214 7 281 3 107 84084 79532 1 039 4 146 7 247 6 287 3 306 79532 75567 3 264 6 169 9 218 9 275 8 299 75567 72050 7 285 4 270 6 279 12 258 12 289 72050 68863 5 256 8 223 7 218 11 257 13 302 68863 65947 7 300 12 304 7 290 11 292 21 310 65947 63277 19 302 16 298 16 319 15 332 22 330 63277 60699 16 322 19 336 23 333 29 336 26 328 60699 57993 29 317 34 312 37 317 32 308 26 309 57993 55175 40 324 38 313 43 306 36 309 30 305 55175 52486 45 316 43 310 45 306 43 312 36 301 52486 50065 43 300 50 305 48 304 47 306 43 302 50065 47893 41 299 60 304 53 304 54 303 48 310 47893 45925 56 301 70 302 58 303 64 306 58 311 45925 44138 73 298 78 302 65 303 63 303 55 304 44138 42498 84 295 87 302 59 306 50 295 60 291 42498 40966 91 294 89 300 61 316 51 292 53 287 40966 39522 92 294 89 298 65 314 52 289 51 295 39522 38156 87 295 88 297 69 311 55 291 54 297 38156 36836 87 297 84 298 72 308 65 296 57 294 36836 35497 89 299 80 300 72 306 68 295 60 290 35497 34107 88 299 80 303 70 306 64 294 62 289 34107 32672 83 299 81 303 67 306 61 295 60 290 32672 31178 79 299 80 301 69 302 62 297 59 292 31178 29621 77 299 79 298 71 299 63 299 68 292 29621 28005 75 299 77 297 74 298 67 298 75 294 28005 26329 75 298 77 297 78 299 73 300 75 297 26329 24593 76 299 76 299 80 302 75 304 72 302 24593 22800 75 301 73 302 77 304 73 308 68 307 22800 20940 67 304 64 304 69 304 70 308 62 309 20940 19005 54 306 53 303 58 302 63 305 59 308 19005 17038 46 305 42 298 48 298 54 300 55 301 17038 15150 40 302 36 295 44 293 48 294 49 289 15150 13440 35 301 32 293 41 287 44 287 44 281 13440 11920 30 301 28 289 38 280 41 281 40 276 11920 10563 26 296 25 285 34 278 37 276 35 272 10563 9351 24 291 24 284 30 280 30 267 29 270 9351 8266 24 288 23 283 26 281 24 258 23 268 8266 7298 22 289 21 283 22 280 19 255 17 262 7298 6440 18 291 18 284 18 276 15 250 13 253 6440 5677 14 294 16 285 14 274 8 233 9 229 5677 4991 12 296 16 280 9*279 4 171 10 188 4991 4381 10 297 12 276 4*323 6 109 13 161 4381 3872 7 296 6*287 4 017 7 102 14 148 3872 3480 4 298 3*011 5 023 8 100 13 144 3480 3210 1 333 4 032 5 028 7 098 11 146 3210 3046 2*097 4 036 5 030 7*097 7*150 3046 2951 2*124 4 039 5 029 6*095 4*158 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography