DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 81.7 - - 83.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 445 - - 204 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2518 - - 4151 - - 3111 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4624 - - 5929 - - 4850 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5511 - - 7144 - - 6104 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1006 - - 1192 - - 3237 - - 4377 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 409 - - 507 - - 356 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 330 - - 356 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - 14 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6807 - - -6736 - - -9091 - - -10915 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12319 - - 13881 - - 15196 - - 13869 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15581 - - -13974 - - -16425 - - -19612 ODpotential blCL - - - 21092 - - 21118 - - 22529 - - 22565 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 32 - - 27 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 81.7 - - 83.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 31.0 - - 26.8 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 78.8 - - 81.8 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 30.6 - - 26.4 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 445 - - 204 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2518 - - 4151 - - 3111 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99635 36 112 30 105 33 106 22 098 99635 92107 31 105 27 103 27 099 23 091 92107 86318 20 094 21 099 22 104 24 089 86318 81497 14 101 15 097 16 095 21 094 81497 77331 14 119 14 122 10 071 18 095 77331 73661 17 084 20 134 6 111 11 063 73661 70344 10 072 13 108 10 121 7 083 70344 67294 7 088 5 114 3 053 7 051 67294 64465 3 327 3 019 5 357 4 332 64465 61741 10 252 11 278 11 304 10 335 61741 58919 14 251 19 267 23 283 23 285 58919 56010 25 258 30 250 37 262 40 268 56010 53256 42 275 40 266 45 263 50 268 53256 50791 62 278 57 276 55 277 57 279 50791 48591 74 272 70 274 68 278 65 283 48591 46594 77 267 78 269 77 273 71 279 46594 44755 80 268 80 269 81 271 78 275 44755 43048 83 270 85 272 84 272 83 274 43048 41451 84 269 88 271 87 272 85 274 41451 39953 83 267 87 269 87 272 86 275 39953 38542 80 266 83 268 80 271 81 275 38542 37185 75 266 76 267 74 271 75 274 37185 35814 70 266 72 268 71 270 70 274 35814 34401 66 264 68 268 67 269 67 273 34401 32949 61 261 62 269 60 269 62 272 32949 31446 58 261 59 269 52 269 56 271 31446 29879 55 262 56 270 48 270 50 270 29879 28251 50 263 51 270 46 270 47 269 28251 26559 45 265 48 269 45 268 47 268 26559 24804 44 265 47 267 44 266 48 266 24804 22988 43 263 46 264 44 264 47 266 22988 21105 43 261 46 263 45 262 47 267 21105 19152 42 263 45 263 44 262 47 268 19152 17171 38 263 42 262 43 263 46 269 17171 15270 34 259 39 261 42 265 44 267 15270 13544 31 254 35 258 41 267 42 266 13544 12009 29 252 33 256 37 267 35 270 12009 10643 26 255 30 257 29 270 26 281 10643 9423 24 262 26 262 24 276 21 293 9423 8332 20 271 20 271 21 283 17 304 8332 7359 17 284 13*299 15 300 14 323 7359 6495 14 299 13*310 12*323 13 342 6495 5725 12*315 13 317 12*341 13 356 5725 5031 12*321 13 330 12 354 12 004 5031 4414 13 324 13 334 13 358 12 007 4414 3894 12 327 13 338 13 359 12 008 3894 3494 12 330 13 341 12 000 10 005 3494 3217 12 332 13 342 12 001 9 359 3217 3049 11 333 12 343 12 001 7*349 3049 2952 10 334 11 345 10 003 5*341 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography