DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.5 - - 49.9 - - 58.9 - - 58.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 30 - - 141 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 479 - - 4976 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 6065 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3472 - - 7969 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 235 - - 2848 - - 4415 - - 8424 - - 1672 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 107 - - 375 - - 28 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 176 - - 198 - - 249 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -9 - - 34 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2055 - - -1855 - - 93 - - -5530 - - -2077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5006 - - 5328 - - 7876 - - 8482 - - 5028 sfcLCL ODpotential -6345 - - -4104 - - -1053 - - -6560 - - -5872 ODpotential blCL 9296 - - 7576 - - 9022 - - 9512 - - 8823 blCL maxRH 98 - - 98 - - 93 - - 85 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.5 - - 49.9 - - 58.9 - - 58.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 36.8 - - 34.5 - - 31.7 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 49.5 - - 57.7 - - 58.5 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.1 - - 35.7 - - 33.4 - - 30.7 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 30 - - 141 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 479 - - 4976 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 91 - - 70 - - 41 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96684 26 264 31 250 33 257 34 276 34 268 96684 89400 21 266 29 259 26 267 26 268 32 270 89400 83787 22 259 25 254 28 266 22 269 23 262 83787 79114 16 249 18 257 24 261 22 270 16 275 79114 75064 14 264 17 259 21 251 19 271 16 276 75064 71471 15 260 15 249 24 250 18 274 14 264 71471 68201 13 268 13 251 20 242 19 263 14 276 68201 65174 13 288 14 263 17 241 21 254 24 274 65174 62369 18 293 14 267 18 248 24 261 23 256 62369 59644 23 294 23 271 23 264 19 249 14 247 59644 56788 32 287 27 267 20 270 15 247 29 266 56788 53813 36 288 26 282 29 278 36 265 32 263 53813 50963 40 293 41 276 43 270 40 267 37 254 50963 48407 46 289 43 278 44 270 37 265 41 250 48407 46134 51 290 49 282 50 276 45 272 55 255 46134 44096 56 287 56 275 53 270 58 265 60 255 44096 42253 53 289 54 277 50 272 61 269 54 263 42253 40564 67 296 69 284 63 276 72 272 68 268 40564 39006 90 295 89 281 85 273 86 264 85 261 39006 37572 98 293 96 281 98 272 91 263 88 257 37572 36247 97 294 97 281 103 270 101 266 98 262 36247 34982 95 293 93 279 98 268 105 265 109 263 34982 33704 94 292 88 279 94 267 100 263 108 262 33704 32387 90 293 84 279 91 267 91 260 97 262 32387 31036 83 295 77 279 86 267 83 257 87 260 31036 29641 74 297 68 279 78 266 80 256 82 257 29641 28188 65 297 57 279 69 264 75 257 76 257 28188 26678 59 296 50 277 62 262 67 258 65 261 26678 25112 56 295 49 275 57 262 58 261 51 261 25112 23490 52 296 49 275 55 263 51 266 42 257 23490 21810 47 296 48 275 52 264 46 270 41 253 21810 20066 44 294 45 273 48 263 41 269 41 249 20066 18251 43 291 41 270 43 259 36 266 42 247 18251 16402 38 288 38 268 39 255 33 258 42 244 16402 14622 32 286 35 265 35 251 31 246 42 240 14622 13002 26 290 31 261 32 248 30 233 41 236 13002 11556 23 291 25 255 30 246 31 227 39 234 11556 10265 22 290 21 250 27 240 30 226 37 233 10265 9107 19 285 18 248 23 232 27 227 33 231 9107 8069 16 278 16 246 20*225 24 228 28 226 8069 7142 13 272 15 242 18*220 20 230 21 216 7142 6319 12 264 16 236 16 212 17 232 16 201 6319 5585 12 255 16 228 14 203 15 234 11 182 5585 4925 13 243 15 218 12 193 12 237 9 157 4925 4338 14 232 13 204 12 187 10 240 10 133 4338 3845 14 222 11*191 11 182 8 244 9 120 3845 3465 13 206 10*183 11 179 7 245 9 115 3465 3202 10 192 9 176 10 177 6 247 7 122 3202 3042 7*188 8 173 10 175 6*249 5*137 3042 2950 4*176 6 167 8 174 5*249 2*175 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography