DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.0 - - 30.2 - - 31.9 - - 32.2 - - 28.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 39 - - 52 - - 11 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 54 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2932 - - 2932 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 3047 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 980 - - 1208 - - 1284 - - 1224 - - 970 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 35 - - 58 - - 23 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 050 - - 065 - - 029 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 98 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -35 - - 1 - - -144 - - -697 - - -12133 ODpotential blCL 2985 - - 2949 - - 3191 - - 3647 - - 15083 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.0 - - 30.2 - - 31.9 - - 32.2 - - 28.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 29.7 - - 30.6 - - 30.3 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.7 - - 29.6 - - 31.3 - - 32.1 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 29.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.2 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 39 - - 52 - - 11 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 54 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 86 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96849 43 061 36 042 58 048 42 069 44 064 96849 89746 43 060 31 048 41 051 43 056 38 063 89746 84223 40 056 30 061 27 047 41 043 38 058 84223 79584 30 048 29 064 20 052 34 043 34 046 79584 75569 25 039 28 054 20 052 28 035 29 030 75569 72012 18 024 26 050 21 045 24 023 24 022 72012 68779 14 019 25 021 19 026 24 009 26 030 68779 65793 17 018 22 005 26 008 31 011 29 018 65793 63020 30 014 26 000 30 356 35 353 36 006 63020 60339 36 007 30 001 32 354 35 350 43 356 60339 57546 41 358 36 350 37 347 39 355 43 348 57546 54636 42 344 41 346 42 339 46 346 45 345 54636 51857 44 339 48 344 45 336 53 336 51 337 51857 49364 47 338 52 340 50 329 58 329 57 334 49364 47143 49 335 55 334 53 328 60 326 62 332 47143 45138 50 330 55 328 57 329 61 326 66 332 45138 43307 50 327 54 327 59 328 63 328 68 333 43307 41619 51 328 53 325 61 324 64 327 65 332 41619 40053 50 326 50 321 59 323 60 325 61 331 40053 38596 46 321 47 319 56 320 55 325 53 330 38596 37236 42 318 45 318 51 316 48 321 45 329 37236 35935 40 318 42 315 47 317 44 318 38 330 35935 34629 40 318 42 314 45 320 40 317 35 343 34629 33287 40 316 41 315 44 322 39 318 37 343 33287 31904 40 313 41 314 44 321 35 325 36 342 31904 30465 40 313 42 312 43 321 33 328 37 349 30465 28961 43 312 43 312 41 322 32 331 36 350 28961 27395 49 309 47 311 38 323 31 332 35 355 27395 25763 52 306 47 309 33 328 30 338 36 002 25763 24065 47 308 38 315 29 336 30 344 37 003 24065 22306 37 314 34 328 29 338 31 347 36 001 22306 20479 31 323 36 336 32 336 32 349 36 359 20479 18579 28 330 33 339 34 334 32 348 38 000 18579 16644 23 338 25 344 32 336 30 347 39 004 16644 14780 19 347 19 349 26 340 28 347 38 007 14780 13086 17 351 16 355 22 345 25 351 33 005 13086 11580 16 347 14 000 18 349 22 356 29 359 11580 10242 15 339 11 005 14 353 19 359 26 356 10242 9051 13 331 8 010 11 352 15 359 22 355 9051 7993 10 327 6 015 8 349 12 358 19 355 7993 7056 8 325 4 017 6 345 10 357 15 357 7056 6230 6 320 2 027 5 334 8 356 13 359 6230 5502 4 294 1 334 4 303 7 344 10 355 5502 4853 2 211 3 177 3 256 5 314 7 334 4853 4281 3 148 4 153 1 166 2 285 4 298 4281 3805 4 133 2 129 1 088 1 014 1 273 3805 3440 4 136 2 081 2 074 2 029 1 017 3440 3189 3 138 2 062 2*066 3 031 2 016 3189 3036 2*139 2*057 2*065 3*029 2*011 3036 2949 1*143 2*050 2 065 2*029 2*003 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography