DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 56.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 48 - - 103 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2823 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 4259 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 5816 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 2442 - - 2569 - - 2693 - - 383 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 38 - - 273 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 105 - - 130 - - 110 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 1 - - 11 - - 4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1875 - - -3082 - - -2096 - - -3876 - - -3179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4826 - - 6033 - - 7913 - - 6828 - - 6131 sfcLCL ODpotential -7135 - - -5669 - - -6115 - - -10323 - - -10902 ODpotential blCL 10086 - - 8620 - - 11931 - - 13275 - - 13854 blCL maxRH 79 - - 74 - - 75 - - 66 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 56.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 41.1 - - 38.6 - - 37.4 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 56.2 - - 61.8 - - 59.4 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 40.5 - - 38.3 - - 37.2 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 48 - - 103 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2823 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96055 36 297 26 287 31 284 33 304 29 304 96055 89173 22 308 19 297 20 288 31 298 21 321 89173 83822 18 312 17 299 15 309 24 303 17 321 83822 79318 12 332 10 299 16 302 19 312 18 299 79318 75397 13 331 7 326 9 285 18 300 20 300 75397 71915 13 298 11 295 9 312 10 289 17 297 71915 68758 9 312 14 309 14 315 5 288 11 265 68758 65840 13 313 13 320 17 330 12 322 9 296 65840 63123 16 307 18 310 22 294 24 291 23 294 63123 60496 17 322 16 279 16 259 22 290 21 302 60496 57752 27 332 21 307 34 306 33 310 25 291 57752 54891 44 299 42 293 49 295 26 285 34 302 54891 52164 49 291 46 275 35 293 46 309 46 312 52164 49714 45 298 33 291 35 313 68 309 61 313 49714 47512 42 306 49 306 70 312 63 312 62 313 47512 45506 46 311 55 308 81 310 71 318 71 320 45506 43664 48 312 61 306 76 304 77 312 82 314 43664 41966 52 310 53 302 58 299 66 303 72 306 41966 40403 52 304 48 301 38 294 52 293 57 302 40403 38960 47 300 46 302 29 300 39 277 43 288 38960 37617 41 301 41 301 37 321 36 264 40 276 37617 36331 43 312 41 319 43 316 26 280 42 279 36331 35032 53 326 41 325 44 310 21 285 40 280 35032 33687 67 328 36 323 38 297 18 287 35 278 33687 32297 76 329 38 316 38 286 18 289 34 273 32297 30849 72 334 43 312 38 283 24 280 33 272 30849 29332 52 330 41 307 37 283 40 275 35 269 29332 27752 37 313 32 310 37 286 42 277 39 270 27752 26109 38 303 30 326 35 292 41 284 42 276 26109 24403 39 300 23 329 33 297 39 288 40 278 24403 22638 37 296 22 310 32 300 36 289 36 281 22638 20804 36 286 29 305 31 297 33 291 30 284 20804 18896 37 278 31 309 30 291 32 291 27 287 18896 16953 35 281 31 308 31 292 31 292 25 290 16953 15079 32 287 31 296 29 296 30 295 24 289 15079 13372 27 282 30 288 25 296 25 301 22 293 13372 11851 22 278 27 283 24 289 20 300 19 299 11851 10497 20 280 24 277 23 277 18 295 14 296 10497 9289 17 283 20 272 19 261 16 281 10 278 9289 8212 15 290 15 268 16 241 14 254 9 252 8212 7253 14 296 10 268 11 218 12 223 11 230 7253 6403 13 300 7 272 7*191 10 196 12 206 6403 5648 12 300 6 276 6*163 10 170 14 184 5648 4969 11 297 5 271 6 138 11 154 16 170 4969 4366 9 289 4 255 6 129 10 142 17 160 4366 3862 7 278 3 224 6 123 9 134 17 155 3862 3474 6 261 2 168 6 118 8 126 15 157 3474 3206 6 246 2 124 6 117 6 119 12 160 3206 3044 4*241 2*108 6 115 5*114 8*163 3044 2951 3*225 2*105 6 114 3*110 3*176 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography