DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 62.8 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 64 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1135 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2935 - - 2935 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3969 - - 4128 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1615 - - 1826 - - - - - 2046 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 182 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 23 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 1 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 004 - - - - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1655 - - 503 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5625 - - 3625 - - - - - 2951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4394 - - -1125 - - - - - -1352 ODpotential blCL - - - 8363 - - 5253 - - - - - 4304 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 97 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 720 - - - - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 62.8 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 56.6 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 62.0 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 55.6 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 64 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1135 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 89 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97428 5 232 1 085 6 299 97428 90241 9 147 2 207 5 052 90241 84672 11 135 2 293 8 051 84672 80042 6 071 2 102 3 017 80042 76052 4 327 4 355 5 009 76052 72513 6 224 7 251 6 311 72513 69298 7 268 8 231 7 273 69298 66335 12 245 15 234 14 232 66335 63570 16 227 16 204 19 240 63570 60868 24 238 21 216 26 245 60868 58030 27 228 31 224 28 226 58030 55075 32 224 35 217 27 218 55075 52250 38 231 31 234 26 228 52250 49709 49 233 49 232 39 231 49709 47433 60 220 60 223 49 223 47433 45371 65 216 59 216 52 215 45371 43482 61 213 55 211 54 206 43482 41741 61 208 55 209 56 194 41741 40131 62 209 63 207 60 189 40131 38632 65 210 76 201 67 188 38632 37232 69 207 81 198 74 189 37232 35891 68 203 80 196 80 188 35891 34544 66 200 79 196 82 187 34544 33165 64 202 78 197 80 187 33165 31757 61 207 75 199 75 188 31757 30310 51 208 67 199 69 190 30310 28808 38 204 61 199 63 191 28808 27252 39 198 58 196 55 191 27252 25636 43 197 52 191 44 191 25636 23961 47 194 45 193 36 190 23961 22227 48 189 41 194 32 184 22227 20430 49 186 42 195 32 184 20430 18567 45 183 36 194 34 186 18567 16675 38 181 34 193 22 184 16675 14854 33 179 34 194 19 185 14854 13196 31 178 33 195 17 191 13196 11718 27 182 32 193 15 196 11718 10398 22 189 30 187 13 200 10398 9215 18 197 25 180 12 207 9215 8158 14 204 19 178 12 219 8158 7216 13 208 15 181 15 231 7216 6379 13 200 10 183 17 237 6379 5636 15 183 6 192 17 239 5636 4964 16 171 4 212 15 240 4964 4366 16*168 3*227 12 240 4366 3863 14*165 1*333 8 246 3863 3476 12 161 1 001 4 255 3476 3208 12 160 2 009 2 274 3208 3045 10 159 2 014 1*307 3045 2951 8 158 2 019 1*322 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography