DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 71.4 - - 79.3 - - 78.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 172 - - 216 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1001 - - 2048 - - 476 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 3218 - - 4095 - - 2936 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 3994 - - 5041 - - 3469 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 734 - - 1069 - - 2143 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 229 - - 314 - - 82 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 21 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 079 - - 051 - - 016 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6794 - - -8320 - - -8876 - - -9543 - - -8985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9747 - - 12315 - - 13918 - - 13012 - - 11938 sfcLCL ODpotential -16370 - - -15033 - - -13754 - - -13932 - - -15376 ODpotential blCL 19322 - - 19027 - - 18795 - - 17401 - - 18329 blCL maxRH 24 - - 32 - - 37 - - 41 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 71.4 - - 79.3 - - 78.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 28.3 - - 28.7 - - 32.1 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 69.9 - - 77.6 - - 78.2 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 28.1 - - 28.5 - - 31.9 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 172 - - 216 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1001 - - 2048 - - 476 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97809 18 056 17 039 23 036 21 034 23 050 97809 90606 19 065 16 065 19 057 21 052 26 047 90606 84965 15 046 14 076 13 069 20 056 22 062 84965 80278 14 047 14 064 5 087 13 024 21 045 80278 76254 16 012 15 030 9 015 15 015 20 021 76254 72730 19 004 19 021 12 007 19 350 22 351 72730 69566 29 352 24 359 22 013 20 004 18 353 69566 66652 27 332 24 333 24 344 23 353 19 344 66652 63932 27 319 24 328 24 323 26 337 23 334 63932 61287 28 318 23 323 25 312 29 320 27 324 61287 58529 30 320 26 319 26 315 29 317 26 319 58529 55672 31 318 26 310 28 316 27 318 26 317 55672 52952 29 315 22 297 28 308 28 319 26 323 52952 50510 28 312 18 280 24 297 26 315 27 323 50510 48320 28 314 16 294 20 301 22 316 26 318 48320 46324 30 316 17 317 17 315 16 322 22 318 46324 44483 30 314 19 312 16 324 16 331 22 329 44483 42766 29 311 21 308 15 319 16 335 21 333 42766 41159 25 314 20 310 12 307 15 328 20 347 41159 39651 19 320 15 314 7 292 10 310 22 356 39651 38239 16 330 10 325 2 251 3 255 20 354 38239 36890 8 307 5 326 3 140 5 135 12 352 36890 35535 8 227 5 238 5 155 7 110 10 047 35535 34139 9 205 11 203 11 183 6 116 14 056 34139 32705 6 213 11 197 16 186 7 154 11 075 32705 31225 6 235 9 195 13 186 10 172 8 115 31225 29687 10 227 11 202 13 193 10 166 6 111 29687 28088 15 216 13 206 12 197 8 167 5 080 28088 26425 14 214 12 212 9 192 6 165 3 087 26425 24699 10 209 9 215 8 189 4 156 1 025 24699 22914 7 198 8 198 7 194 2 171 2 025 22914 21065 7 191 8 181 7 203 1 188 3 008 21065 19147 6 206 7 177 6 201 2 217 3 321 19147 17195 3 246 4 178 5 201 4 248 5 298 17195 15314 3 268 4 231 6 235 6 267 7 294 15314 13598 5 279 7 257 9 264 7 289 9 293 13598 12065 6 291 10 262 11 271 9 292 10 298 12065 10693 7 300 9 268 11 275 10 292 10 304 10693 9463 7 296 9 276 10 281 10 295 10 308 9463 8362 6 289 9 276 9 281 9 298 9 311 8362 7378 5 284 8 273 8 279 8 302 8 315 7378 6505 4 285 6 267 6 275 6 306 7 322 6505 5728 3 298 5 262 3*273 4 312 5 332 5728 5030 3 309 3 265 1*038 3 332 3 341 5030 4409 5 312 2*260 2 051 3 358 2 353 4409 3890 6 322 1*104 3 052 4 009 2 345 3890 3491 4 329 2 081 3 054 4*014 2 321 3491 3215 2 331 3 077 4 052 4*014 2 295 3215 3048 0*230 3 074 4 051 4 016 3*275 3048 2952 1*220 3 074 4 052 4 017 3*265 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography