DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 92.1 - - 92.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 375 - - 160 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2247 - - 5342 - - 5487 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4359 - - 6803 - - 6488 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5240 - - 8335 - - 8480 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1988 - - 5635 - - 5681 - - 3458 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 520 - - 396 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 330 - - 334 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - -15 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6444 - - -5159 - - -6069 - - -9759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11685 - - 13495 - - 14550 - - 12713 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8715 - - -7026 - - -8655 - - -14185 ODpotential blCL - - - 13955 - - 15361 - - 17135 - - 17139 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 65 - - 42 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 92.1 - - 92.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 42.8 - - 38.6 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 89.5 - - 91.2 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 42.4 - - 38.3 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 375 - - 160 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2247 - - 5342 - - 5487 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99455 22 104 15 089 21 089 20 091 99455 91952 16 088 15 097 17 091 13 097 91952 86160 7 102 14 091 12 090 15 084 86160 81350 11 108 8 080 7 053 13 071 81350 77213 13 084 7 089 5 014 13 064 77213 73566 11 073 8 083 6 055 9 034 73566 70273 6 049 8 027 7 037 10 046 70273 67241 11 006 3 301 9 334 13 002 67241 64440 10 327 5 287 12 312 13 337 64440 61745 13 260 15 316 11 306 13 322 61745 58931 14 284 19 287 18 302 20 300 58931 56016 23 299 18 276 21 283 25 287 56016 53246 30 288 22 299 22 296 23 297 53246 50759 36 274 32 287 35 280 40 280 50759 48545 44 272 42 278 39 270 44 272 48545 46560 57 277 53 283 52 279 51 277 46560 44750 66 269 62 281 62 278 59 276 44750 43077 70 277 69 284 65 277 60 275 43077 41513 83 277 78 281 67 280 62 276 41513 40040 90 271 81 276 71 279 65 277 40040 38650 88 268 76 275 74 278 67 277 38650 37310 87 270 73 276 73 277 66 276 37310 35954 82 273 70 278 69 278 63 276 35954 34552 74 273 66 279 65 279 60 279 34552 33108 66 270 62 280 62 280 59 280 33108 31605 69 267 55 284 57 280 56 282 31605 30034 64 270 47 286 53 278 48 283 30034 28397 54 274 44 284 44 280 42 278 28397 26698 48 267 43 282 35 277 37 273 26698 24940 46 267 42 278 34 274 34 271 24940 23125 42 273 39 280 32 280 29 277 23125 21248 35 271 32 281 28 280 25 280 21248 19304 30 266 27 279 26 276 26 275 19304 17333 24 262 26 269 24 275 25 272 17333 15438 21 264 25 260 23 273 21 270 15438 13713 15 253 22 258 19 262 17 274 13713 12171 11 249 18 255 17 262 16 279 12171 10790 6 267 14 264 15 268 15 284 10790 9551 5 288 9 274 14*280 13 287 9551 8440 6 298 7*291 12*292 12 290 8440 7448 7 310 7*310 12 309 10 298 7448 6566 8 325 7 317 11 328 8 312 6566 5780 9*325 8 324 11 340 7 337 5780 5072 10*324 8 331 12 346 7 013 5072 4442 10 324 8 335 12 349 8 036 4442 3913 11 326 8 340 12 352 8 044 3913 3505 10 328 8 342 12 352 8 047 3505 3223 10 331 8 344 12 354 6 050 3223 3051 10 332 8 345 11 354 4*051 3051 2953 9 332 7 346 10 355 3*053 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography