DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 48.6 - - 52.3 - - 47.7 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 95 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2569 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 4030 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 5562 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 379 - - 4558 - - 3077 - - 4155 - - 4797 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 40 - - 259 - - 21 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 123 - - 084 - - 272 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - 8 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1017 - - -2670 - - -1325 - - -1145 - - -1439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3968 - - 5621 - - 6887 - - 4096 - - 4391 sfcLCL ODpotential -4358 - - -3935 - - -2389 - - -1921 - - -3856 ODpotential blCL 7309 - - 6886 - - 7951 - - 4872 - - 6807 blCL maxRH 93 - - 99 - - 96 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 48.6 - - 52.3 - - 47.7 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - 40.0 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 47.9 - - 51.3 - - 47.5 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 33.8 - - 32.1 - - 39.1 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 95 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2569 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 96 - - 85 - - 101 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96735 11 287 22 270 27 288 21 293 18 278 96735 89628 5 275 12 254 17 276 10 292 14 275 89628 84118 2 331 3 238 8 242 12 283 14 309 84118 79512 4 306 1 316 6 220 12 261 11 297 79512 75519 7 235 6 342 2 234 6 287 8 307 75519 71959 7 237 7 270 11 264 10 287 12 287 71959 68708 15 239 12 261 14 250 15 261 12 275 68708 65701 18 244 14 241 11 224 13 268 17 275 65701 62902 21 259 20 250 17 261 18 277 22 264 62902 60175 23 243 26 244 26 266 24 272 19 258 60175 57318 20 247 24 236 28 255 29 268 19 264 57318 54356 28 254 20 246 23 245 32 266 19 269 54356 51533 26 262 24 275 20 260 27 263 24 277 51533 48999 30 280 33 276 28 273 28 280 35 282 48999 46736 38 275 39 270 39 270 37 275 40 276 46736 44691 40 271 43 271 43 266 39 279 43 277 44691 42825 45 275 49 270 46 268 45 276 45 275 42825 41111 56 275 57 268 53 270 47 275 43 278 41111 39532 67 272 66 265 61 268 50 281 44 281 39532 38071 78 274 75 263 70 265 57 279 43 278 38071 36702 91 277 83 263 76 261 60 274 39 279 36702 35384 95 276 90 261 80 258 61 272 38 294 35384 34052 95 274 94 260 80 256 64 269 48 306 34052 32683 95 272 96 259 77 255 65 266 57 305 32683 31282 96 271 94 258 74 257 64 262 55 305 31282 29836 96 269 91 259 74 258 63 258 48 306 29836 28337 94 269 89 260 74 257 65 257 40 307 28337 26784 90 268 85 261 74 257 69 256 35 322 26784 25175 84 269 78 261 73 257 73 255 36 334 25175 23510 78 268 68 262 70 257 69 254 36 339 23510 21799 72 264 59 261 64 255 52 256 31 331 21799 20037 62 262 51 259 56 254 29 257 22 325 20037 18218 47 270 46 257 47 253 20 243 16 325 18218 16370 40 273 40 257 38 253 23 242 14 319 16370 14589 41 273 34 263 31 254 25 250 14 305 14589 12968 38 272 31 268 25 257 22 254 15 291 12968 11523 31 270 24 267 22 261 17 257 17 283 11523 10234 22 268 16 260 20 260 13 262 17 282 10234 9081 14 263 13 247 17 253 9 272 13 286 9081 8050 9 254 10 235 13 244 7 289 11 288 8050 7128 6 251 8 232 9 239 7 299 9 288 7128 6309 4 255 6 231 4 232 6 304 9 287 6309 5580 3 264 5 223 1*192 6 303 8 287 5580 4922 4 261 4 206 3*098 6 295 7 287 4922 4336 5 253 4 177 3 088 5 288 5 284 4336 3844 5 239 5 149 4 083 5 282 4 281 3844 3464 5 226 5 136 4 081 5 278 3 266 3464 3201 4 206 5 129 4 079 5 274 3 241 3201 3042 3*194 5*127 4 076 4*273 4*220 3042 2950 2*190 4*123 4 076 4*272 4*214 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography