DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 29.9 - - 31.2 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 20 - - 55 - - 3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2949 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1166 - - 1454 - - 1625 - - 1603 - - 1619 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 28 - - 40 - - 16 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 132 - - 120 - - 139 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - -74 - - -176 - - -76 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2948 - - 2949 - - 3024 - - 3126 - - 3026 sfcLCL ODpotential -375 - - -255 - - -468 - - -779 - - -671 ODpotential blCL 3324 - - 3205 - - 3418 - - 3729 - - 3621 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 29.9 - - 31.2 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 25.0 - - 27.4 - - 28.2 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.0 - - 25.9 - - 29.2 - - 30.9 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 25.2 - - 27.3 - - 28.1 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 20 - - 55 - - 3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 88 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95694 19 047 30 048 17 027 10 007 10 005 95694 88846 23 056 23 033 18 025 18 032 18 033 88846 83487 24 054 17 030 22 027 26 043 20 042 83487 78977 16 044 17 014 19 018 27 036 19 026 78977 75055 18 047 13 037 11 005 22 010 21 004 75055 71573 19 036 26 019 19 358 23 005 24 356 71573 68407 28 009 25 358 23 336 28 348 26 001 68407 65477 32 354 27 354 25 344 32 351 33 360 65477 62752 42 349 42 346 41 347 44 347 38 350 62752 60108 50 337 50 336 51 332 50 334 42 342 60108 57332 51 331 51 330 50 325 51 330 48 337 57332 54438 51 331 54 327 57 328 58 330 53 332 54438 51674 60 335 64 329 66 325 66 327 59 330 51674 49185 71 330 71 324 71 322 70 326 63 329 49185 46954 70 327 70 322 72 320 72 325 66 329 46954 44927 69 327 68 323 72 319 71 323 67 328 44927 43067 67 326 68 323 70 320 70 321 67 327 43067 41349 64 325 68 322 66 321 66 321 67 323 41349 39760 63 325 64 318 62 319 62 321 60 321 39760 38292 64 319 60 314 59 313 59 315 57 319 38292 36934 68 312 61 310 60 311 57 313 56 314 36934 35643 76 306 64 307 64 306 56 307 54 313 35643 34346 76 305 63 307 63 303 55 306 52 314 34346 33011 73 305 61 307 61 304 55 308 51 318 33011 31638 67 308 58 307 59 305 53 311 50 319 31638 30211 59 311 53 308 55 308 49 315 50 318 30211 28720 53 311 49 306 52 310 48 318 47 317 28720 27164 47 311 46 307 48 310 47 319 44 319 27164 25545 44 314 43 309 42 312 45 318 45 321 25545 23866 44 317 41 314 40 314 43 317 45 320 23866 22130 42 319 41 317 39 314 42 318 44 321 22130 20330 41 321 40 318 38 316 40 319 41 325 20330 18456 39 321 37 318 36 317 38 317 37 328 18456 16546 36 320 34 317 33 316 35 315 33 329 16546 14702 30 321 29 317 29 317 31 315 31 329 14702 13021 25 319 23 312 24 314 27 315 28 331 13021 11524 21 315 18 308 20 308 24 314 24 333 11524 10191 16 315 13 308 15 303 19 313 19 328 10191 9006 10 318 8 313 10 300 14 310 15 323 9006 7953 5 316 4 332 4 284 7 302 10 316 7953 7021 2 286 1 054 2 204 3 272 6 312 7021 6202 2 205 2 135 5 170 3 205 4 288 6202 5481 5 169 7 150 6 163 5 175 3 217 5481 4840 7 154 9 146 7 151 6 160 3 170 4840 4275 8 148 10 147 8 144 7 148 3 129 4275 3803 5 143 8 147 7 136 6 148 2 111 3803 3440 3 101 4 143 6 130 5 144 2 077 3440 3189 2 066 3 137 5 124 4 142 2 050 3189 3036 2*039 3*133 5*123 4*139 2*033 3036 2949 2*033 2*132 4*120 3*139 1*026 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography