DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 89.3 - - 88.8 - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 330 - - 82 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2835 - - 9147 - - 7275 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4682 - - 9776 - - 7265 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5828 - - 12140 - - 10268 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4417 - - 4983 - - 5973 - - 8961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 596 - - 348 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 190 - - 187 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -21 - - -7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4202 - - -425 - - -2193 - - -8501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10030 - - 12565 - - 12461 - - 11455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5857 - - -1323 - - -3162 - - -10924 ODpotential blCL - - - 11685 - - 13463 - - 13430 - - 13878 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 85 - - 97 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1260 - - 650 - - 470 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 89.3 - - 88.8 - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 44.1 - - 44.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 86.8 - - 87.9 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 43.8 - - 43.9 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 330 - - 82 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2835 - - 9147 - - 7275 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 40 - - 89 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99648 26 112 20 102 15 085 26 091 99648 92149 20 124 12 094 15 110 15 081 92149 86343 16 124 7 103 15 106 12 092 86343 81514 16 111 10 130 9 129 12 101 81514 77361 10 112 12 114 8 135 5 104 77361 73702 3 108 9 141 8 123 4 109 73702 70382 9 135 11 131 2 126 6 043 70382 67328 4 131 7 154 6 203 3 281 67328 64510 3 230 9 198 5 212 6 151 64510 61772 11 235 12 230 10 263 5 257 61772 58917 15 199 15 220 21 230 23 230 58917 55970 16 240 17 240 16 229 22 223 55970 53141 30 251 27 245 21 247 21 237 53141 50578 41 240 36 242 30 252 25 248 50578 48276 42 227 39 233 40 248 31 250 48276 46198 33 217 39 230 45 240 40 246 46198 44324 26 224 38 238 43 240 45 242 44324 42625 30 250 41 249 40 250 40 241 42625 41064 44 256 47 256 42 261 37 247 41064 39607 51 254 52 261 44 265 37 253 39607 38237 52 255 56 264 46 264 36 253 38237 36916 53 254 58 266 45 263 35 252 36916 35579 51 250 60 266 43 263 33 252 35579 34197 45 244 58 264 41 263 32 256 34197 32774 38 239 52 262 39 263 32 258 32774 31296 33 233 43 255 37 260 31 260 31296 29753 29 231 34 248 35 256 29 262 29753 28147 25 227 32 245 33 253 28 265 28147 26477 25 225 27 237 32 251 29 266 26477 24747 21 218 26 240 31 248 31 261 24747 22961 19 216 23 238 32 245 34 250 22961 21118 15 211 21 240 32 244 34 242 21118 19212 11 207 19 241 29 239 29 236 19212 17270 11 212 19 234 25 236 26 234 17270 15393 13 206 19 230 24 235 25 236 15393 13676 13 197 18*229 21 233 21 234 13676 12139 14 194 15*224 17 228 16 228 12139 10762 15 198 12 220 13*221 12 218 10762 9528 16 207 9 214 11*215 9 202 9528 8422 16 213 6 194 9 200 7 178 8422 7434 15 215 5 169 8 193 6 150 7434 6556 13*210 5 154 8 185 6 128 6556 5773 12*197 5 142 7 179 6 112 5773 5067 11 181 5 134 7 175 6 099 5067 4439 11 170 5 126 7 171 6 087 4439 3911 11 163 5 121 6 169 6 078 3911 3504 10 157 5 117 6 166 6 069 3504 3222 9 152 5 115 6 165 5 062 3222 3051 8 149 5 115 6 165 4*057 3051 2953 7 148 5 113 5 164 3*056 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography