DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 75.8 - - 75.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 289 - - 53 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2349 - - 3611 - - 3007 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4361 - - 5357 - - 2936 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5342 - - 6604 - - 6000 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1670 - - 1791 - - 2251 - - 2203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 418 - - 224 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 330 - - 334 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2670 - - -2609 - - -3982 - - -4671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8012 - - 9214 - - 9982 - - 7624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6884 - - -6279 - - -9187 - - -11649 ODpotential blCL - - - 12226 - - 12883 - - 15187 - - 14602 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 56 - - 46 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 75.8 - - 75.8 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 45.5 - - 42.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 73.6 - - 75.1 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 45.4 - - 42.1 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 289 - - 53 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2349 - - 3611 - - 3007 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97926 8 273 17 324 9 319 8 338 97926 90693 5 325 3 288 3 349 8 317 90693 85092 10 330 3 182 5 281 9 006 85092 80426 4 281 2 210 7 293 5 001 80426 76389 9 284 5 283 9 295 2 266 76389 72812 14 265 18 287 21 311 8 324 72812 69577 15 257 25 279 28 291 21 316 69577 66604 13 264 21 263 25 271 27 299 66604 63846 17 302 17 271 25 268 30 285 63846 61174 25 288 23 268 29 265 33 270 61174 58386 28 274 29 275 31 275 32 277 58386 55506 34 272 36 282 34 285 35 289 55506 52774 38 273 38 283 38 287 39 290 52774 50321 37 278 37 284 40 285 41 287 50321 48118 40 283 39 287 41 286 40 287 48118 46118 42 283 41 287 43 290 38 292 46118 44290 41 286 39 289 44 290 39 299 44290 42609 36 291 38 296 41 289 42 303 42609 41054 33 299 36 298 39 294 43 310 41054 39601 33 305 31 298 41 301 42 318 39601 38230 35 303 28 301 42 304 41 325 38230 36906 36 302 29 302 40 309 41 328 36906 35563 36 302 30 303 38 314 40 326 35563 34173 36 302 31 305 40 319 40 323 34173 32742 35 301 31 308 41 321 41 322 32742 31253 34 300 31 314 41 321 41 322 31253 29700 30 298 32 317 39 321 36 317 29700 28085 28 298 33 317 36 320 34 312 28085 26405 30 299 32 315 33 320 34 308 26405 24664 31 302 31 312 33 315 33 305 24664 22864 29 304 30 308 33 312 35 309 22864 20998 28 300 30 305 30 311 35 316 20998 19060 26 291 26 304 28 313 30 319 19060 17091 26 285 24 302 25 315 20 315 17091 15200 25 289 23 299 21 316 13 321 15200 13481 21 290 22 296 18 317 10 338 13481 11954 18 289 19 293 16 317 9 345 11954 10593 15 289 17 289 15 314 10 345 10593 9379 11 291 15 287 14 308 11 340 9379 8294 9 293 13 289 13 299 12 335 8294 7326 8 304 10*303 11 302 12 330 7326 6467 8 326 9*318 10*314 12 327 6467 5702 8*329 9 322 9*321 10 328 5702 5013 9*327 9 328 9 330 8 334 5013 4400 10 327 9 331 9 334 7 342 4400 3886 10 330 9 335 9 336 6 348 3886 3488 10 332 9 338 9 339 6 349 3488 3214 9 334 9 340 9 340 4 339 3214 3047 9 336 9 341 8 341 4*313 3047 2952 8 336 8 341 7 341 3*295 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography