DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.3 - - 45.6 - - 57.3 - - 60.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 133 - - 191 - - -2 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 590 - - 1816 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3889 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 3583 - - 4809 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 411 - - 571 - - 3020 - - 6373 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 178 - - 291 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 21 - - 18 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 159 - - 162 - - 155 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -15 - - -9 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3324 - - -4043 - - -5608 - - -8247 - - -5580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6274 - - 7626 - - 10418 - - 11200 - - 8533 sfcLCL ODpotential -12379 - - -10281 - - -10441 - - -11632 - - -11938 ODpotential blCL 15329 - - 13864 - - 15250 - - 14584 - - 14890 blCL maxRH 54 - - 42 - - 50 - - 51 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.3 - - 45.6 - - 57.3 - - 60.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 23.1 - - 22.0 - - 21.6 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 44.7 - - 55.9 - - 60.3 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 22.3 - - 21.0 - - 20.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 133 - - 191 - - -2 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 590 - - 1816 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96915 26 113 17 107 23 100 22 121 14 099 96915 89766 17 104 17 118 14 123 8 106 13 105 89766 84196 9 106 14 123 9 160 5 057 8 094 84196 79528 9 109 9 117 6 163 2 317 7 039 79528 75485 5 141 5 159 2 221 4 287 7 350 75485 71896 1 108 5 160 4 166 7 285 6 304 71896 68633 5 232 12 217 10 237 11 295 8 319 68633 65639 7 225 10 250 10 284 13 301 10 266 65639 62862 14 237 14 233 18 239 14 305 10 233 62862 60152 8 288 20 285 26 283 27 298 23 290 60152 57330 32 258 35 249 35 243 37 260 37 264 57330 54434 30 247 29 227 32 233 29 258 33 255 54434 51671 27 262 18 254 24 256 37 277 43 285 51671 49177 48 268 48 272 51 275 60 275 65 282 49177 46952 62 266 71 264 69 271 70 274 70 278 46952 44948 75 265 81 262 78 266 81 270 79 273 44948 43137 89 265 87 264 86 265 90 266 82 270 43137 41491 100 266 101 266 96 266 95 264 83 272 41491 39971 112 265 112 264 104 266 98 267 87 276 39971 38552 121 263 116 263 108 267 100 270 90 277 38552 37215 120 263 112 264 107 267 101 269 89 275 37215 35922 112 266 105 266 104 266 100 265 88 272 35922 34612 108 269 102 268 98 265 99 264 87 268 34612 33257 104 268 102 269 92 265 96 265 88 265 33257 31859 98 266 100 268 89 265 89 267 88 264 31859 30410 94 265 96 267 87 267 84 268 85 266 30410 28900 90 264 91 265 86 268 81 269 79 268 28900 27328 83 264 85 263 81 268 78 269 75 269 27328 25695 75 263 78 262 74 266 72 267 72 268 25695 24002 67 260 70 259 68 260 67 263 68 266 24002 22253 56 256 61 255 61 255 63 257 65 263 22253 20442 47 253 54 253 55 252 58 252 61 258 20442 18565 41 250 47 252 49 251 52 251 55 254 18565 16658 37 244 42 250 44 250 47 251 48 253 16658 14826 34 239 37 244 41 248 42 250 41 252 14826 13164 33 239 35 239 40 245 40 246 37 248 13164 11684 32 237 33 236 40 240 36 237 35 242 11684 10366 30 237 31 234 38 235 31 228 33 237 10366 9186 29 238 29 233 34 226 28 225 31 235 9186 8132 28 238 27 232 29 217 26 224 29 235 8132 7190 27 234 25 229 26 209 23 219 27 233 7190 6354 25 225 24 222 23 198 20 210 23 225 6354 5610 25 208 23 210 21 187 18 198 21 209 5610 4941 27 188 23 194 20*175 17 185 22 190 4941 4347 32 169 24 176 19*168 16 174 25 172 4347 3849 35 163 24*168 19 163 16 167 24 165 3849 3466 32 162 23*161 18 160 15 162 21 165 3466 3203 26 162 22 159 18 158 14 159 17 167 3203 3042 22*161 20 157 16 157 13*157 13*168 3042 2951 10*159 14 155 13 156 10*155 7*175 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography