DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 14 - - -10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6095 - - 7347 - - 5539 - - 1130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 29 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 295 - - 317 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -3 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1193 - - -2630 - - -1266 - - -447 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4144 - - 5581 - - 4217 - - 3397 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2114 - - -3395 - - -2591 - - -2681 ODpotential blCL - - - 5065 - - 6346 - - 5542 - - 5631 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 94 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 80 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 30.5 - - 32.9 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 44.5 - - 42.2 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 29.3 - - 31.7 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 14 - - -10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 76 - - 46 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95936 36 264 35 276 24 307 21 274 95936 88890 23 266 24 291 20 307 21 276 88890 83436 18 251 21 284 21 301 20 281 83436 78887 12 254 17 288 16 284 17 267 78887 74933 20 258 15 290 15 294 7 240 74933 71386 22 266 20 262 25 279 15 280 71386 68142 20 260 20 237 25 252 22 268 68142 65149 20 264 11 236 10 218 13 254 65149 62347 26 270 23 285 18 281 10 274 62347 59606 28 264 28 267 33 270 21 273 59606 56742 26 262 24 260 31 256 30 273 56742 53768 27 270 24 266 30 255 33 271 53768 50919 31 277 30 264 34 259 33 268 50919 48341 36 275 31 258 36 259 31 263 48341 46019 41 271 35 265 34 261 33 263 46019 43910 48 267 43 271 40 267 38 266 43910 41987 56 262 53 268 50 269 43 274 41987 40226 63 257 62 259 58 270 46 274 40226 38602 68 251 69 252 66 265 48 268 38602 37093 71 248 73 250 69 254 49 265 37093 35687 73 248 74 245 67 244 53 265 35687 34351 77 251 64 241 58 245 55 264 34351 33024 83 253 55 252 58 263 54 262 33024 31678 92 250 71 268 71 268 52 259 31678 30313 96 247 83 261 81 262 53 256 30313 28912 91 247 83 249 83 253 55 257 28912 27465 85 251 72 246 75 252 57 258 27465 25976 83 256 62 258 64 256 59 258 25976 24443 79 260 66 266 60 257 58 257 24443 22863 70 263 66 265 57 256 53 257 22863 21234 58 268 61 265 56 256 44 255 21234 19549 51 275 54 268 54 259 37 247 19549 17797 45 277 47 269 51 263 34 245 17797 16010 39 277 43 270 47 265 31 250 16010 14284 37 280 39 273 43 262 30 261 14284 12710 35 283 35 276 39 260 31 271 12710 11306 33 284 31 277 36 263 32 279 11306 10051 30 287 29 276 33 268 33 284 10051 8928 27 290 28 275 32 274 34 288 8928 7922 24 294 26 277 31 278 34 290 7922 7024 22 299 24 279 29 282 33 291 7024 6225 20 305 22 283 26 286 32 291 6225 5513 19 307 19 285 24 290 30 290 5513 4871 19 306 18 288 21 294 28 288 4871 4299 18 302 16 290 20 298 26 282 4299 3819 16 298 15 291 17 302 22 273 3819 3449 14 297 14 292 14 307 19 262 3449 3194 12 297 13 293 11 313 16 254 3194 3039 11*298 12*294 8*316 13*250 3039 2949 8*299 9*295 5*317 8*244 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography