DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 56.0 - - 64.6 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 52 - - 98 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 273 - - 1080 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3266 - - 4073 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 643 - - 1237 - - 1202 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 100 - - 195 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 11 - - 16 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 151 - - 150 - - 154 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2398 - - -5265 - - -6514 - - -5965 - - -2504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5350 - - 8531 - - 10588 - - 8917 - - 5457 sfcLCL ODpotential -13610 - - -13485 - - -12799 - - -13326 - - -11737 ODpotential blCL 16561 - - 16751 - - 16872 - - 16278 - - 14689 blCL maxRH 56 - - 75 - - 70 - - 53 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 56.0 - - 64.6 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 29.6 - - 29.0 - - 30.6 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 55.4 - - 63.8 - - 62.1 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 29.2 - - 28.7 - - 30.4 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 52 - - 98 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 273 - - 1080 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 20 302 23 285 40 293 24 300 30 299 96298 89336 13 309 16 288 23 288 20 320 19 290 89336 83927 14 306 12 309 10 295 16 313 13 290 83927 79397 12 293 9 313 4 301 11 273 15 288 79397 75459 4 309 7 288 7 303 6 241 10 286 75459 71959 12 302 6 306 8 278 12 252 11 270 71959 68783 13 284 9 285 10 270 9 261 6 257 68783 65858 12 285 15 260 18 273 17 265 14 273 65858 63147 17 282 16 247 23 252 25 252 21 258 63147 60523 18 296 21 284 20 263 22 251 25 251 60523 57800 40 288 33 273 29 267 15 258 26 244 57800 54992 42 277 34 268 34 263 33 272 41 264 54992 52318 38 289 38 282 42 267 50 262 50 259 52318 49913 44 295 47 282 48 270 50 265 43 261 49913 47748 56 296 53 282 51 271 48 272 46 274 47748 45776 68 290 61 280 58 271 55 274 63 277 45776 43972 68 285 64 276 63 269 62 265 69 268 43972 42307 55 284 57 277 57 270 63 261 62 260 42307 40754 42 290 48 281 48 275 58 265 52 257 40754 39293 46 308 45 290 48 281 54 272 51 262 39293 37917 58 310 50 300 50 285 53 278 52 266 37917 36596 64 308 54 301 51 287 49 279 49 267 36596 35265 58 308 52 299 48 287 47 277 46 269 35265 33893 39 310 44 298 42 283 43 272 43 268 33893 32477 23 294 33 295 33 274 36 267 38 264 32477 31007 23 280 21 285 25 264 29 256 30 256 31007 29471 24 285 16 271 16 235 22 238 25 243 29471 27870 22 285 15 262 16 228 19 223 23 226 27870 26206 18 275 14 245 17 229 22 228 28 224 26206 24482 18 273 15 239 21 233 28 230 33 224 24482 22704 21 280 19 242 24 237 31 230 33 223 22704 20864 25 277 24 246 23 239 27 228 30 223 20864 18952 27 273 22 251 19 236 21 219 26 220 18952 17002 26 274 19 252 17 222 19 206 25 211 17002 15122 22 271 19 249 17 213 19 202 25 205 15122 13410 18 258 19 241 16 213 19 202 23 204 13410 11884 16 242 19 235 15 210 18 202 21 206 11884 10525 17 228 18 223 14 202 17 204 19 207 10525 9311 15 216 15 213 13 202 16 207 18 204 9311 8228 14 208 13 211 14 208 14 205 18 195 8228 7263 13 201 12 209 15 210 12 195 18 184 7263 6408 13 194 13 204 14 201 12 176 20 172 6408 5650 13 187 14 194 14 181 15 160 25 163 5650 4970 15 179 15 179 16 161 20 152 29 157 4970 4366 17 171 18 165 17*155 21 153 29 156 4366 3861 20 163 18 160 17*152 20 154 23 157 3861 3473 21 159 16*158 16 150 17 157 14 157 3473 3205 15 159 13*153 16 149 13 158 8 161 3205 3043 7*157 12 152 15 148 10*158 5*171 3043 2951 0*298 8 148 11 147 5*154 3*305 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography