DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 47.7 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 172 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1594 - - 4071 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3402 - - 5473 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 4587 - - 7064 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 223 - - 3243 - - 2537 - - 7405 - - 370 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 232 - - 367 - - 10 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 212 - - 229 - - 242 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 12 - - 29 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2142 - - -2905 - - -2370 - - -6932 - - -4874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5093 - - 7492 - - 9434 - - 9885 - - 7827 sfcLCL ODpotential -7363 - - -6198 - - -4927 - - -9007 - - -9255 ODpotential blCL 10313 - - 10785 - - 11991 - - 11959 - - 12207 blCL maxRH 78 - - 89 - - 94 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 47.7 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 25.5 - - 25.7 - - 27.3 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 46.7 - - 55.3 - - 60.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 24.4 - - 24.7 - - 26.2 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 106 - - 172 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1594 - - 4071 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 54 - - 77 - - 99 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 7 056 7 112 6 242 13 323 7 059 96376 89257 5 102 3 011 5 101 5 274 6 006 89257 83759 7 133 4 340 4 056 3 200 6 249 83759 79182 0 062 5 262 9 296 6 353 2 107 79182 75201 5 343 6 270 10 281 12 311 10 330 75201 71672 14 322 9 306 12 284 19 291 23 296 71672 68480 20 291 14 303 17 283 17 291 17 283 68480 65510 22 289 15 310 15 304 17 288 9 287 65510 62733 16 298 26 312 31 311 33 305 27 315 62733 60066 32 305 34 306 44 294 39 303 40 299 60066 57295 48 302 40 298 48 298 45 300 44 298 57295 54395 56 303 44 303 46 301 46 298 46 301 54395 51610 60 300 50 307 48 301 53 302 61 303 51610 49110 59 296 55 304 58 301 70 301 71 300 49110 46881 57 295 66 302 68 298 74 296 69 302 46881 44868 65 301 76 299 72 298 74 301 70 310 44868 43040 82 305 82 300 81 306 89 309 87 314 43040 41376 101 303 98 302 102 307 104 307 105 308 41376 39850 116 299 114 300 111 303 107 303 106 301 39850 38435 125 296 116 298 107 299 103 303 100 298 38435 37108 120 295 113 299 107 299 103 304 96 301 37108 35827 111 296 112 302 107 302 106 304 95 304 35827 34527 110 297 114 305 107 303 109 303 96 306 34527 33179 113 299 113 305 111 303 111 305 100 307 33179 31789 110 300 110 304 105 303 108 308 104 309 31789 30345 106 301 107 304 100 303 101 309 105 311 30345 28840 101 302 103 305 95 304 93 308 100 311 28840 27278 96 306 97 308 90 306 87 307 89 308 27278 25657 89 307 89 309 86 309 80 306 80 304 25657 23977 81 306 79 308 79 310 72 303 74 299 23977 22240 74 309 70 306 71 309 67 300 70 297 22240 20442 68 311 63 306 64 304 64 298 66 296 20442 18576 58 312 56 304 58 299 61 297 61 296 18576 16679 49 309 49 302 52 296 58 297 56 295 16679 14852 44 306 42 298 48 293 54 296 52 294 14852 13189 41 309 37 293 44 288 50 291 50 292 13189 11707 37 315 33 289 37 283 44 281 48 289 11707 10385 30 318 27 286 32 277 37 268 46 283 10385 9204 22 315 20 280 27 268 32 261 43 275 9204 8148 16 313 14 275 22 256 29 259 39 269 8148 7205 13 314 12 276 17*244 26 258 36 267 7205 6368 11 315 12 270 14*238 22 257 32 267 6368 5622 11 311 12 262 12 233 20 256 28 266 5622 4951 12 299 10*248 10 229 17 255 23 265 4951 4354 13 284 7*228 9 227 14 254 17 260 4354 3854 12 268 6 213 8 224 11 252 11 245 3854 3469 10 249 5 209 7 221 8 249 8 211 3469 3204 8 227 5 202 7 219 6 247 7 177 3204 3042 6*216 4 199 6 219 4*245 7*156 3042 2951 4*203 4 193 5 215 3*242 5*143 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography