DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.2 - - 77.8 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 303 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2084 - - 4801 - - 4399 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4167 - - 6290 - - 5174 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5077 - - 7794 - - 7392 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2468 - - 2026 - - 2547 - - 2378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 467 - - 292 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 24 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 093 - - 087 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2960 - - -1732 - - -2798 - - -5088 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8038 - - 9526 - - 10190 - - 8042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5335 - - -3889 - - -5697 - - -9893 ODpotential blCL - - - 10412 - - 11683 - - 13089 - - 12846 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 67 - - 58 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.2 - - 77.8 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 45.6 - - 43.3 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 75.1 - - 76.8 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 45.4 - - 43.1 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 303 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2084 - - 4801 - - 4399 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98234 8 306 11 300 19 304 11 314 98234 90938 11 331 11 330 13 313 17 323 90938 85315 14 339 8 326 15 321 22 325 85315 80655 18 333 15 339 17 344 19 338 80655 76631 18 318 19 337 15 338 17 347 76631 73055 14 297 20 322 15 329 15 341 73055 69802 12 297 16 314 14 332 12 327 69802 66804 14 300 14 300 12 313 12 320 66804 64023 15 300 17 300 15 303 16 317 64023 61332 15 290 20 289 18 300 18 297 61332 58517 14 283 20 269 22 293 19 282 58517 55593 15 285 18 263 25 280 19 297 55593 52816 17 293 15 291 20 271 20 286 52816 50326 15 302 12 309 11 284 16 265 50326 48094 15 322 10 330 6 311 7 268 48094 46072 16 332 10 339 7 335 4 001 46072 44223 16 346 11 006 6 006 7 016 44223 42519 17 352 15 016 10 026 9 025 42519 40938 16 344 16 010 13 022 10 022 40938 39462 15 333 16 001 14 010 11 012 39462 38079 16 318 16 347 13 351 12 001 38079 36751 17 310 16 335 13 334 12 352 36751 35409 18 308 18 326 14 323 13 347 35409 34024 21 304 19 316 15 320 14 340 34024 32599 24 298 19 314 15 315 16 329 32599 31121 28 299 20 310 16 309 17 327 31121 29577 30 297 22 305 18 303 17 324 29577 27971 27 297 24 300 20 300 16 315 27971 26305 23 301 23 296 22 298 16 306 26305 24583 19 305 19 300 20 299 15 306 24583 22803 16 311 15 304 15 303 14 308 22803 20957 14 320 11 317 11 309 11 309 20957 19038 11 328 8 324 7 322 8 320 19038 17086 9 344 5 351 4 351 3 354 17086 15208 8 005 4 045 1 062 1 112 15208 13499 6 027 4 079 2 137 3 143 13499 11976 5 048 4 109 3 165 3 144 11976 10616 4 069 3 139 3 178 3 149 10616 9399 4 084 3 160 4 163 4 153 9399 8311 3 087 3*144 4*137 5 152 8311 7340 3 104 3*128 4*118 7 149 7340 6479 3 134 3 119 4 107 8 144 6479 5712 3*149 3 103 5 092 8 137 5712 5021 3*140 4 092 5 084 6 121 5021 4405 3 123 4 085 5 079 5 091 4405 3889 3 108 4 078 5 074 5 066 3889 3490 3 097 5 074 5 072 5 050 3490 3215 4 089 5 074 5 071 5 041 3215 3048 4 087 4 073 5 070 3*029 3048 2952 4 086 4 072 5 069 2*018 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography