DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 40.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 206 - - 321 - - 91 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2283 - - 3114 - - 1798 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 4251 - - 5015 - - 3315 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 5276 - - 6107 - - 4791 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2083 - - 1599 - - 1335 - - 1728 - - 1850 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 322 - - 411 - - 226 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 39 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 332 - - 031 - - 060 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1734 - - -1649 - - -3288 - - -4911 - - -5135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4684 - - 6926 - - 9395 - - 9702 - - 8086 sfcLCL ODpotential -4656 - - -13093 - - -14141 - - -15621 - - -16260 ODpotential blCL 7606 - - 18369 - - 20248 - - 20412 - - 19211 blCL maxRH 77 - - 81 - - 78 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 40.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 20.5 - - 17.1 - - 17.4 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 38.6 - - 45.6 - - 48.3 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.7 - - 19.3 - - 16.3 - - 16.9 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 206 - - 321 - - 91 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2283 - - 3114 - - 1798 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 25 - - 10 - - 73 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 6 132 5 189 8 240 3 038 11 085 96430 89418 9 051 3 059 7 107 2 346 12 045 89418 83977 13 061 7 070 5 076 5 034 10 007 83977 79421 13 034 11 055 5 063 6 057 9 354 79421 75466 10 009 13 078 7 029 12 048 13 357 75466 71960 10 019 19 042 13 063 13 048 14 346 71960 68786 14 014 19 019 19 008 21 031 17 011 68786 65865 21 029 20 018 19 355 22 006 21 014 65865 63143 27 011 18 358 21 346 21 356 23 003 63143 60490 40 344 27 352 28 344 28 344 29 347 60490 57719 40 329 38 343 33 342 37 342 34 341 57719 54840 46 335 50 336 45 342 46 344 42 348 54840 52086 55 338 57 335 57 343 57 342 55 345 52086 49621 69 344 67 337 68 343 66 342 61 336 49621 47447 90 339 77 338 88 340 84 343 67 342 47447 45493 103 332 100 335 98 337 100 336 91 335 45493 43718 94 335 101 333 91 339 102 334 99 322 43718 42090 101 351 96 345 95 346 105 339 103 331 42090 40563 123 000 102 355 109 346 109 336 127 346 40563 39122 125 359 107 351 113 343 112 332 119 343 39122 37761 116 352 109 349 113 339 112 331 105 333 37761 36445 113 345 110 347 114 338 109 332 102 326 36445 35107 114 338 113 342 112 338 103 333 100 324 35107 33718 109 334 115 339 108 339 93 337 101 326 33718 32282 106 331 114 337 103 339 88 339 98 331 32282 30794 103 327 108 336 100 338 88 340 81 333 30794 29240 99 325 98 335 97 337 87 339 74 330 29240 27621 98 328 90 331 89 336 85 337 74 330 27621 25941 97 333 84 330 80 335 79 334 75 332 25941 24201 96 338 80 334 74 337 71 331 76 331 24201 22405 92 339 78 340 71 338 66 330 75 330 22405 20544 87 339 77 341 70 337 64 329 70 329 20544 18620 79 338 74 341 68 336 60 327 61 326 18620 16673 68 338 68 339 65 337 55 325 53 321 16673 14807 54 335 58 337 57 338 51 326 48 320 14807 13115 42 329 46 333 44 334 45 329 43 323 13115 11614 35 325 35 327 35 327 36 327 38 323 11614 10283 30 326 25 321 30 322 29 319 34 318 10283 9100 25 328 18 318 23 313 26 301 33 309 9100 8046 18 328 12 317 17 292 24 277 30 297 8046 7111 13 329 8 314 12 268 18 260 25 286 7111 6285 10 328 6 305 5*257 11 257 17 278 6285 5553 9 329 5*307 4*260 4 263 9 272 5553 4897 9 330 4*311 1 357 2*046 3 267 4897 4317 9 329 4 322 2 033 4*058 2 085 4317 3830 10 326 4 331 3 043 5 060 4 072 3830 3456 9 319 4 341 4 047 5 059 4 062 3456 3197 7 303 4 347 4 050 5 060 4 052 3197 3040 6*296 4 351 4 050 5 060 3*043 3040 2950 4*291 4 352 4 050 5 059 2*037 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography