DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 71.5 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 200 - - - - - -80 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 908 - - 1525 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3155 - - 3694 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3901 - - 4518 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 967 - - - - - 210 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 277 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 16 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 149 - - - - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -6 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7058 - - -9023 - - - - - -6360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10959 - - 13542 - - - - - 9312 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17213 - - -17346 - - - - - -16515 ODpotential blCL - - - 21114 - - 21864 - - - - - 19467 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 68 - - - - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 71.5 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.3 - - 23.0 - - - - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 69.8 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 22.8 - - - - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 200 - - - - - -80 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 908 - - 1525 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97563 6 254 7 258 3 002 97563 90306 11 118 4 217 7 023 90306 84685 10 113 8 174 6 314 84685 80040 5 332 7 106 9 233 80040 76048 10 294 0 323 7 253 76048 72526 11 280 8 283 11 277 72526 69334 11 258 15 291 13 273 69334 66387 10 227 17 269 16 280 66387 63659 10 236 17 248 18 290 63659 61033 14 268 15 257 28 283 61033 58309 20 263 19 259 39 268 58309 55494 18 269 23 265 40 254 55494 52813 22 281 30 273 34 254 52813 50408 21 281 30 271 32 258 50408 48255 18 290 28 271 32 265 48255 46295 18 296 23 268 31 267 46295 44492 19 298 21 271 29 263 44492 42821 19 294 23 278 28 265 42821 41263 19 291 23 282 28 267 41263 39805 16 294 21 285 26 264 39805 38434 16 300 20 289 24 262 38434 37110 17 304 18 294 21 266 37110 35768 17 305 15 299 18 274 35768 34381 17 307 13 304 16 279 34381 32954 16 314 14 313 15 280 32954 31473 17 324 16 320 12 274 31473 29925 17 327 15 322 9 263 29925 28311 15 326 14 319 8 260 28311 26629 12 319 13 321 5 238 26629 24880 7 308 9 309 6 217 24880 23069 5 308 6 266 10 217 23069 21189 3 289 6 230 13 232 21189 19235 5 227 9 227 13 238 19235 17243 9 228 12 236 14 241 17243 15322 12 229 17 234 16 245 15322 13573 15 222 18 230 17 253 13573 12018 16 211 17 224 19 260 12018 10633 13 205 16 216 21 256 10633 9397 10 209 15 212 22 245 9397 8296 9 213 15 212 22 232 8296 7317 9 208 14 213 22 216 7317 6451 11 193 11 206 23 197 6451 5684 15 176 11 182 26 178 5684 4995 21 163 14*159 31 165 4995 4385 23*159 17*153 36 158 4385 3874 21*157 17 150 36 157 3874 3481 20 153 17 148 32 160 3481 3210 19 151 16 147 26 164 3210 3045 18 150 15 146 19*167 3045 2951 13 147 12 145 10*169 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography