DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 53.1 - - 61.0 - - 58.4 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 112 - - 135 - - -17 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 894 - - 1886 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3768 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3887 - - 4879 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 336 - - 827 - - 2056 - - 2948 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 192 - - 261 - - 8 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 155 - - 148 - - 146 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1403 - - -3466 - - -4443 - - -5636 - - -3042 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4354 - - 7354 - - 9322 - - 8589 - - 5994 sfcLCL ODpotential -12271 - - -11446 - - -10248 - - -11517 - - -10109 ODpotential blCL 15222 - - 15333 - - 15127 - - 14469 - - 13061 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 85 - - 86 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 53.1 - - 61.0 - - 58.4 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 31.4 - - 30.6 - - 31.3 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 52.1 - - 59.9 - - 59.2 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 31.3 - - 30.3 - - 31.1 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 112 - - 135 - - -17 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 894 - - 1886 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 17 - - 41 - - 43 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97097 5 150 8 229 8 279 13 250 5 257 97097 89930 10 095 8 154 5 222 2 356 7 066 89930 84421 12 099 6 130 4 157 7 047 7 105 84421 79840 8 086 7 121 4 142 4 059 6 119 79840 75868 6 021 3 150 4 114 8 135 0 319 75868 72336 4 238 8 204 2 319 9 128 5 203 72336 69123 6 187 7 207 5 231 9 196 9 264 69123 66147 7 241 10 217 10 240 11 202 12 221 66147 63357 12 229 12 204 18 232 18 242 11 263 63357 60648 13 259 9 226 14 205 21 221 19 253 60648 57830 25 259 16 255 8 261 11 210 19 230 57830 54905 25 231 24 224 27 242 24 256 22 246 54905 52107 25 264 22 243 26 234 29 242 26 242 52107 49577 38 260 35 253 29 245 29 237 29 231 49577 47301 39 242 38 244 34 242 32 243 30 233 47301 45239 32 240 33 239 34 239 36 243 32 239 45239 43362 31 249 33 244 35 241 36 238 35 237 43362 41646 33 257 35 245 36 244 33 239 36 233 41646 40067 30 261 32 245 36 242 34 242 37 232 40067 38608 25 268 29 247 35 245 34 241 38 230 38608 37249 25 274 29 256 36 255 35 247 37 231 37249 35948 27 274 34 266 38 262 40 251 35 234 35948 34641 26 271 36 266 37 263 41 249 37 238 34641 33299 24 265 35 265 35 260 39 248 40 238 33299 31919 23 262 31 263 32 255 37 248 38 232 31919 30483 23 263 28 257 30 250 35 246 37 230 30483 28983 25 264 27 248 28 244 32 241 38 233 28983 27422 25 263 26 242 28 241 30 233 38 232 27422 25799 23 262 24 242 28 237 30 229 37 229 25799 24114 21 262 22 245 28 233 30 231 36 228 24114 22371 18 259 23 240 27 231 30 234 34 233 22371 20561 16 251 22 230 26 230 30 236 32 237 20561 18678 16 244 20 227 25 232 28 238 29 239 18678 16760 17 238 19 232 24 237 23 241 25 239 16760 14913 18 239 18 237 21 240 19 244 21 237 14913 13232 18 240 16 234 17 236 16 244 19 236 13232 11736 17 232 16 227 15 231 16 241 17 237 11736 10403 15 227 16 227 15 229 17 235 18 236 10403 9212 12 226 15 227 15 228 17 227 20 226 9212 8149 10 220 13 222 15 224 16 216 21 214 8149 7202 9 213 12 216 14 219 13 202 19 201 7202 6362 10 202 12 208 11 210 12 180 20 186 6362 5617 12 191 14 197 10 188 14 163 23 173 5617 4946 16 180 15 182 12*160 18 155 27 164 4946 4350 21 169 17*168 13*154 19 153 31 158 4350 3852 24 163 15*160 13 150 18 151 32 157 3852 3468 24 161 15 155 13 147 17 150 28 159 3468 3203 18 162 14 153 12 146 15 149 22 163 3203 3042 13*161 13 152 12 145 13*149 17*165 3042 2951 5*159 10 149 10 143 8*146 8*166 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography