DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 46.4 - - 48.9 - - 50.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - -23 - - -10 - - -23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2499 - - 2514 - - 3032 - - 4064 - - 985 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 20 - - 19 - - 15 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 299 - - 303 - - 312 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -11 - - -9 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -494 - - -1631 - - -1433 - - -1798 - - -2256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3445 - - 4582 - - 4385 - - 4749 - - 5207 sfcLCL ODpotential -1835 - - -4503 - - -3275 - - -3576 - - -6761 ODpotential blCL 4786 - - 7454 - - 6226 - - 6527 - - 9712 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 84 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 46.4 - - 48.9 - - 50.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.1 - - 36.7 - - 40.0 - - 39.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 46.9 - - 49.2 - - 51.2 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.3 - - 35.5 - - 39.0 - - 39.0 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - -23 - - -10 - - -23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97254 1 348 3 220 12 319 9 004 4 306 97254 90089 8 070 3 143 6 014 10 020 13 078 90089 84556 9 074 9 093 4 079 6 014 16 059 84556 79951 12 042 8 101 1 041 7 005 10 029 79951 75979 11 036 8 106 2 147 6 318 6 016 75979 72454 7 318 2 007 4 097 2 323 4 240 72454 69254 9 251 3 218 7 179 8 228 8 232 69254 66294 19 238 8 218 11 189 12 219 10 220 66294 63529 20 238 16 241 12 234 12 244 11 227 63529 60826 16 250 20 243 18 237 16 241 16 228 60826 57983 19 253 21 240 22 230 17 232 18 225 57983 55022 22 237 24 233 24 227 19 227 18 229 55022 52193 23 229 24 227 25 230 22 235 20 241 52193 49643 25 225 23 219 25 230 25 238 22 248 49643 47356 21 216 20 211 22 228 24 236 24 252 47356 45286 15 223 14 215 17 232 20 237 22 251 45286 43396 15 247 10 239 13 251 14 262 16 267 43396 41659 15 235 8 265 11 270 12 296 14 306 41659 40058 9 234 8 293 8 316 15 327 18 330 40058 38573 5 279 8 335 16 352 23 358 26 354 38573 37192 5 307 13 360 24 359 32 009 40 357 37192 35886 5 347 16 005 29 003 44 006 46 007 35886 34584 9 341 15 360 27 003 51 003 51 011 34584 33239 5 070 3 049 27 357 39 356 52 008 33239 31854 12 136 28 097 13 079 13 337 47 004 31854 30413 31 141 24 095 12 083 7 309 33 357 30413 28905 37 147 13 088 7 025 11 308 25 346 28905 27330 23 168 6 094 17 319 16 305 28 345 27330 25692 5 348 6 309 18 314 19 317 37 001 25692 23996 15 005 9 349 17 332 18 348 46 019 23996 22244 13 016 10 025 14 355 28 016 51 024 22244 20427 8 017 16 007 17 359 39 022 46 034 20427 18538 7 341 16 344 19 355 42 022 47 044 18538 16618 11 346 18 344 22 356 39 024 40 044 16618 14773 15 346 23 345 18 349 30 019 30 045 14773 13099 18 332 21 346 16 349 19 002 23 041 13099 11613 19 336 19 350 20 358 16 348 19 022 11613 10293 17 337 20 006 22 004 17 350 17 006 10293 9117 20 353 23 013 24 008 19 350 16 359 9117 8069 26 002 25 012 24 007 21 349 16 354 8069 7138 29 002 23 001 21 358 24 346 18 347 7138 6312 30 357 21 344 20 345 26 343 20 344 6312 5579 32 347 26 339 23 335 26 339 21 345 5579 4918 34 336 30 335 25 326 24 335 23 347 4918 4331 33 326 27 323 23 316 22 330 25 347 4331 3840 30 318 25 313 22 311 20 326 26 343 3840 3461 27 311 22 307 20 307 17 320 22 338 3461 3200 23 307 20 303 17 306 14 316 18 330 3200 3041 20*304 17*301 15*304 12*314 13*320 3041 2950 13*302 11*299 10*303 8*312 7*305 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography