DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.0 - - 73.8 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 409 - - 167 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4278 - - 6146 - - 5918 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5984 - - 7482 - - 6854 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7271 - - 9139 - - 8911 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1163 - - 1541 - - 4402 - - 1986 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 563 - - 415 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 291 - - 297 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 20 - - 48 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3099 - - -3634 - - -5958 - - -7909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10371 - - 12774 - - 14870 - - 10861 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9357 - - -8898 - - -11390 - - -11496 ODpotential blCL - - - 16628 - - 18037 - - 20301 - - 14448 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 60 - - 37 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.0 - - 73.8 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 23.9 - - 18.0 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 67.5 - - 72.3 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 22.7 - - 16.9 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 409 - - 167 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4278 - - 6146 - - 5918 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 3 142 3 149 3 351 10 003 98164 90710 7 138 1 018 5 027 5 017 90710 84974 10 119 2 351 5 029 6 041 84974 80241 4 106 7 172 0 193 3 048 80241 76168 3 223 4 158 4 233 6 355 76168 72561 2 116 3 118 2 214 4 283 72561 69294 3 216 3 260 5 324 4 100 69294 66278 7 139 8 239 12 274 7 318 66278 63479 3 356 12 209 18 263 15 280 63479 60777 15 275 7 283 9 272 12 273 60777 57955 21 265 22 282 17 280 19 272 57955 55034 22 287 24 274 26 271 33 263 55034 52261 25 280 24 268 32 264 36 259 52261 49772 26 278 30 270 39 263 36 262 49772 47539 31 283 38 271 44 268 43 266 47539 45504 37 286 44 270 52 271 51 264 45504 43633 42 289 47 271 56 272 51 265 43633 41908 49 295 54 275 60 274 61 272 41908 40323 60 296 61 279 64 273 74 273 40323 38863 70 299 64 285 65 271 75 271 38863 37499 71 298 65 286 65 271 72 271 37499 36185 66 295 65 282 66 270 71 272 36185 34853 62 301 68 280 67 269 74 274 34853 33480 63 302 71 279 68 273 79 276 33480 32068 66 295 71 279 70 277 83 277 32068 30604 65 289 69 279 73 280 83 276 30604 29078 62 284 68 280 74 281 80 275 29078 27491 58 283 65 281 73 280 76 276 27491 25844 55 284 62 281 71 279 73 277 25844 24139 54 285 58 280 67 277 69 279 24139 22383 53 286 54 279 64 275 62 280 22383 20571 50 286 49 277 60 272 57 277 20571 18696 44 283 45 274 55 270 56 272 18696 16792 39 280 42 273 51 271 51 268 16792 14964 35 284 39 274 45 272 44 262 14964 13299 30 288 34 276 36 269 38 267 13299 11812 25 291 29 276 24 265 35 276 11812 10483 21 288 22 268 20 267 31 284 10483 9291 18 277 15*260 19*269 28 290 9291 8224 14*265 14*263 16*275 25 294 8224 7270 9*264 12 269 14 280 22 297 7270 6423 8 268 10 280 11 288 18 299 6423 5668 6 283 8 292 9 298 14 302 5668 4987 5 301 7 305 8 312 9 309 4987 4381 5 316 7 317 7 321 4 342 4381 3873 5 332 7 326 7 327 4 052 3873 3481 5 343 7 331 7 331 5 075 3481 3210 5 347 7 335 7 334 6 082 3210 3046 5 351 6 337 6 335 5*090 3046 2951 4 352 6 339 6 339 3*096 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography