DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 59.9 - - 62.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 99 - - 35 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 3099 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 4450 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4124 - - 6092 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1758 - - 2418 - - 6527 - - 295 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 281 - - 35 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 25 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 282 - - 298 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -57 - - -30 - - -12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2864 - - -1299 - - -5380 - - -3905 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6988 - - 7391 - - 8332 - - 6858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6495 - - -3397 - - -7126 - - -8308 ODpotential blCL - - - 10619 - - 9489 - - 10078 - - 11260 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 99 - - 90 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 59.9 - - 62.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 38.0 - - 36.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 59.1 - - 62.4 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 37.5 - - 36.2 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 99 - - 35 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 3099 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 98 - - 62 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 12 063 9 079 5 017 13 081 96358 89251 5 037 8 068 9 031 10 067 89251 83755 4 056 1 037 8 006 7 030 83755 79169 8 080 0 276 12 336 7 028 79169 75164 15 309 14 304 15 293 15 324 75164 71607 19 259 23 256 16 307 10 285 71607 68386 28 314 36 315 25 324 12 337 68386 65449 48 298 48 302 37 311 32 323 65449 62755 40 288 42 297 44 299 42 320 62755 60144 32 293 37 295 45 295 44 306 60144 57393 40 306 40 299 45 296 45 303 57393 54507 55 308 51 307 50 304 54 311 54507 51746 71 305 67 308 65 307 73 309 51746 49272 80 299 78 303 80 303 85 301 49272 47061 79 299 78 301 83 303 78 303 47061 45066 89 309 87 310 92 309 86 312 45066 43267 107 308 105 307 102 304 97 308 43267 41637 102 296 96 292 96 291 91 296 41637 40134 89 291 78 283 88 284 80 287 40134 38718 80 307 73 295 80 291 77 292 38718 37376 86 309 78 303 85 302 82 299 37376 36078 86 303 87 303 95 302 86 300 36078 34761 88 300 94 301 94 302 88 300 34761 33398 93 300 96 299 94 302 89 300 33398 31991 97 302 95 299 93 302 88 301 31991 30529 98 303 93 302 89 302 86 301 30529 29005 95 304 90 304 84 301 83 300 29005 27422 91 304 86 304 80 300 79 299 27422 25780 85 303 80 304 77 300 76 298 25780 24081 79 304 73 303 73 300 72 300 24081 22329 74 304 68 302 70 301 69 302 22329 20518 70 304 64 301 68 302 65 303 20518 18640 66 303 63 300 66 302 61 305 18640 16732 61 302 62 300 63 301 57 304 16732 14895 55 302 58 301 60 301 55 303 14895 13224 49 302 52 302 55 301 52 303 13224 11736 44 302 46 304 49 297 49 303 11736 10409 41 301 41 303 44 290 45 300 10409 9224 39 301 39 299 40 281 43 295 9224 8165 38 300 37 291 35 277 42 290 8165 7221 38 297 35 284 32 279 41 287 7221 6382 39 292 31*280 30 281 38 288 6382 5636 40 286 29*280 27 284 36 291 5636 4963 39 278 28 281 25 287 35 292 4963 4365 36*272 26 282 23 290 33 293 4365 3862 33*270 25 283 21 292 29 293 3862 3474 30 270 23 284 19 294 25 292 3474 3206 26 271 21 285 18 296 19 290 3206 3044 23 271 19 286 16*297 13*288 3044 2951 15 272 14 287 12*298 7*280 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography