DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 56.1 - - 62.9 - - 62.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -54 - - 49 - - 49 - - -23 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3362 - - 4307 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 306 - - 809 - - 2665 - - 8655 - - 6287 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 109 - - 167 - - 5 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 15 - - 17 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 158 - - 147 - - 159 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -11 - - -2 - - -4 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3326 - - -5281 - - -6004 - - -7188 - - -5400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6277 - - 8644 - - 10312 - - 10141 - - 8352 sfcLCL ODpotential -10476 - - -9450 - - -8791 - - -9515 - - -8358 ODpotential blCL 13427 - - 12812 - - 13098 - - 12467 - - 11310 blCL maxRH 69 - - 73 - - 85 - - 87 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 56.1 - - 62.9 - - 62.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 28.5 - - 27.6 - - 27.5 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 55.5 - - 62.3 - - 64.9 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 28.3 - - 27.4 - - 27.2 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -54 - - 49 - - 49 - - -23 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 47 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95982 14 302 13 334 9 340 6 005 12 288 95982 88999 6 316 8 346 4 313 9 338 7 351 88999 83577 9 359 5 336 6 288 15 327 12 005 83577 79034 12 348 5 319 8 282 14 304 14 352 79034 75096 11 301 8 344 7 300 8 310 11 331 75096 71597 8 295 9 328 11 314 9 302 17 324 71597 68411 10 295 10 293 11 303 10 306 14 302 68411 65470 11 271 7 263 12 279 13 308 11 308 65470 62718 6 287 12 264 18 250 14 281 14 316 62718 60019 12 283 13 243 15 227 13 263 17 289 60019 57183 25 267 13 248 17 247 14 262 21 260 57183 54238 36 247 32 227 31 239 20 250 15 251 54238 51421 37 234 39 226 30 228 27 254 15 279 51421 48884 37 225 37 226 26 249 35 241 25 253 48884 46617 38 222 37 224 39 239 34 223 31 239 46617 44567 39 222 36 213 43 212 25 218 30 229 44567 42688 40 222 28 206 38 204 18 226 25 218 42688 40951 43 213 29 214 40 222 27 238 24 217 40951 39337 51 204 40 210 52 212 39 225 28 221 39337 37835 64 200 50 203 61 202 59 199 35 221 37835 36438 73 196 59 198 60 196 65 187 44 206 36438 35114 75 194 69 194 61 193 59 195 56 191 35114 33803 75 193 67 196 62 192 61 186 57 189 33803 32475 74 194 69 199 63 194 67 181 53 186 32475 31119 71 196 68 198 59 195 60 185 50 186 31119 29716 66 200 62 205 58 196 54 191 44 190 29716 28253 58 204 57 210 58 197 55 192 41 189 28253 26730 49 206 55 209 57 198 52 192 40 192 26730 25150 42 205 52 206 55 198 46 196 40 199 25150 23514 39 199 47 203 52 197 43 197 40 204 23514 21826 38 192 42 200 50 197 41 196 41 206 21826 20080 37 187 37 195 48 198 39 198 41 207 20080 18267 36 184 35 189 45 198 37 203 37 203 18267 16425 34 184 35 186 41 197 37 208 32 194 16425 14650 31 189 31 187 38 196 37 210 28 185 14650 13032 28 197 24 192 35 198 36 208 25 180 13032 11587 24 207 18 202 33 200 33 201 22 179 11587 10296 22 217 17 217 31 203 31 194 20 184 10296 9140 22 227 18 227 28 203 29 188 18 192 9140 8105 23 231 19 232 25 197 28 186 18 202 8105 7180 25 229 20 231 24 190 26 185 19 214 7180 6355 26 221 20 223 24 184 25 185 20 224 6355 5619 26 208 20 210 22 177 24 183 21 231 5619 4954 26 192 20 193 21 166 23 182 21 236 4954 4360 28 176 21 176 20*153 22 180 20 241 4360 3860 30 164 20 169 19*149 20 177 18 244 3860 3474 28 162 19*163 18 147 17 172 15 245 3474 3207 23 162 18*160 17 145 15 168 11 246 3207 3044 18*161 16 158 15 145 11*164 9*244 3044 2951 8*158 12 156 11 143 6*159 6*244 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography