DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 77.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 269 - - 42 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1748 - - 3282 - - 2312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3899 - - 5081 - - 2936 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4741 - - 6275 - - 5305 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1493 - - 1659 - - 2089 - - 1617 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 395 - - 191 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 21 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 055 - - 039 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3896 - - -3817 - - -5180 - - -5485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8637 - - 10092 - - 10486 - - 8438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9700 - - -8797 - - -10160 - - -12799 ODpotential blCL - - - 14441 - - 15072 - - 15465 - - 15752 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 90 - - 67 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 77.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 43.3 - - 41.7 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 75.3 - - 76.6 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 43.1 - - 41.6 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 269 - - 42 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1748 - - 3282 - - 2312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97798 13 291 12 286 13 318 13 318 97798 90583 4 005 5 357 6 334 10 335 90583 84967 3 342 3 307 10 343 10 033 84967 80300 3 009 2 269 5 286 7 358 80300 76293 2 287 5 313 6 301 6 297 76293 72755 10 307 14 287 12 312 7 274 72755 69542 7 267 15 273 17 295 13 298 69542 66573 13 291 18 268 21 282 22 289 66573 63815 16 286 21 275 24 275 28 283 63815 61149 20 285 26 269 27 272 29 279 61149 58372 30 287 28 282 29 284 28 285 58372 55501 40 294 41 290 40 287 40 296 55501 52776 51 295 51 287 52 292 52 290 52776 50336 62 289 59 288 64 297 56 291 50336 48163 60 287 61 291 66 290 60 288 48163 46207 51 290 58 293 62 286 60 285 46207 44415 48 301 54 296 54 292 55 286 44415 42751 48 304 50 298 52 297 51 285 42751 41193 48 299 48 294 48 287 47 283 41193 39725 48 296 47 286 47 280 45 279 39725 38338 48 293 51 277 48 277 43 273 38338 36998 49 292 52 274 49 273 42 264 36998 35642 50 289 48 279 44 271 43 263 35642 34243 50 286 43 284 41 274 42 263 34243 32809 48 284 42 287 40 281 40 267 32809 31322 45 286 43 289 38 286 40 275 31322 29772 45 288 41 290 36 289 41 277 29772 28156 45 286 39 289 35 289 40 278 28156 26476 42 283 39 285 35 286 39 277 26476 24733 38 283 38 281 36 285 37 280 24733 22931 37 283 36 281 35 284 35 283 22931 21065 37 283 35 283 33 284 32 283 21065 19128 35 281 34 283 29 285 29 283 19128 17159 31 282 30 280 25 285 26 284 17159 15265 25 282 25 277 23 281 23 284 15265 13545 20 280 21 275 20 279 21 280 13545 12013 14 277 19 274 18 278 19 274 12013 10645 9 271 17 267 17 273 18 265 10645 9421 7 263 16 254 16 260 17 256 9421 8325 5 256 14 239 13 247 13 253 8325 7348 5 254 10 239 9 246 8 252 7348 6481 4 263 2*236 3 253 3 234 6481 5711 3 293 1*060 1*022 3 160 5711 5019 4*313 3 057 2*039 3 128 5019 4403 5*327 4 055 3 039 3 107 4403 3887 5 341 4 054 3 038 3 077 3887 3490 5 352 4 054 4 039 3 061 3490 3215 5 358 5 053 4 038 2 050 3215 3048 5 000 4 053 4 040 1*025 3048 2952 5 002 4 053 3 037 0*307 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography