DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.2 - - 30.1 - - 33.7 - - 33.7 - - 28.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 61 - - 102 - - -3 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1452 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2949 - - 2950 - - 4445 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1157 - - 2030 - - 1229 - - 2544 - - 1430 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 41 - - 221 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 321 - - 329 - - 323 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -454 - - 606 - - -1092 - - -562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2948 - - 3404 - - 3839 - - 4042 - - 3512 sfcLCL ODpotential -5921 - - -980 - - -353 - - -4281 - - -4679 ODpotential blCL 8870 - - 3930 - - 4798 - - 7231 - - 7629 blCL maxRH 94 - - 92 - - 91 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.2 - - 30.1 - - 33.7 - - 33.7 - - 28.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 25.9 - - 27.5 - - 26.7 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 29.3 - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 25.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.7 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 61 - - 102 - - -3 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1452 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 69 - - 65 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94686 37 316 45 298 47 300 49 299 56 292 94686 88158 31 341 28 308 37 315 43 320 39 305 88158 83008 28 346 19 337 27 320 37 332 31 325 83008 78644 22 343 20 342 20 335 32 334 29 332 78644 74820 19 344 21 339 18 339 27 336 26 331 74820 71392 21 342 23 340 21 334 27 334 26 325 71392 68260 20 336 25 336 21 327 30 330 27 323 68260 65359 22 329 25 321 23 325 32 320 27 325 65359 62640 26 322 26 314 28 323 34 312 32 323 62640 59976 31 326 29 315 31 318 34 313 34 313 59976 57185 39 323 31 320 32 311 36 314 38 314 57185 54288 40 318 35 319 33 309 38 313 40 312 54288 51509 41 320 38 316 38 318 39 313 37 309 51509 48984 41 322 41 318 43 316 41 316 42 317 48984 46710 41 322 44 320 46 313 44 317 48 320 46710 44639 42 323 46 318 46 310 45 316 51 322 44639 42731 44 324 45 318 45 315 46 323 52 327 42731 40964 46 328 47 328 47 321 51 328 51 326 40964 39322 50 333 52 331 50 326 50 331 44 329 39322 37795 52 334 50 330 54 332 51 336 47 340 37795 36380 49 334 49 334 56 334 54 340 58 344 36380 35039 46 338 53 338 56 336 56 340 66 343 35039 33698 46 341 56 341 54 340 55 341 66 344 33698 32324 46 340 56 342 53 342 55 344 64 345 32324 30925 41 336 54 340 51 343 50 346 59 345 30925 29492 38 333 51 334 48 342 47 350 52 346 29492 28017 37 331 48 328 44 340 44 353 44 345 28017 26498 36 332 45 323 40 340 40 353 40 342 26498 24924 35 334 43 323 36 341 37 353 40 343 24924 23292 34 332 43 324 33 342 35 353 40 349 23292 21602 34 329 40 325 30 340 34 354 39 356 21602 19852 32 326 33 323 29 336 32 353 38 000 19852 18035 27 328 29 324 26 335 27 352 35 002 18035 16187 22 341 25 332 24 340 23 353 31 002 16187 14410 20 350 20 336 22 350 21 001 27 002 14410 12793 18 350 17 344 19 002 20 010 23 006 12793 11353 17 351 15 352 15 011 18 019 20 012 11353 10070 16 350 14 358 14 015 15 031 17 016 10070 8926 16 348 13 002 14 017 14 038 15 021 8926 7907 14 347 13 008 14 014 13 034 15 022 7907 7000 13 346 12 011 14 008 14 022 16 021 7000 6197 11 347 11 011 13 002 16 013 17 018 6197 5487 9 344 9 005 11 347 15 001 16 009 5487 4849 7 329 7 347 10*333 13 343 14 350 4849 4283 5 314 6 332 10*330 12 333 14 338 4283 3808 3 311 5 323 10 328 11 327 14 326 3808 3443 1 327 5 319 10 328 11 325 13 312 3443 3190 1 009 5 319 9 329 10 324 12 298 3190 3037 1*028 4*320 8 329 9*324 9*286 3037 2949 1*030 4*321 7 330 7*323 6*275 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography