DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 48.4 - - 49.4 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 188 - - -3 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2744 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 4546 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3918 - - 5737 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1114 - - 1706 - - 4928 - - 723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 332 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 151 - - 143 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - 1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2780 - - -4413 - - -8272 - - -5223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6699 - - 10150 - - 11224 - - 8175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8071 - - -10018 - - -13711 - - -12704 ODpotential blCL - - - 11989 - - 15755 - - 16662 - - 15655 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 85 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 48.4 - - 49.4 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.5 - - 14.2 - - 10.6 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 47.1 - - 49.5 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 13.0 - - 9.6 - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 188 - - -3 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2744 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 40 - - 37 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96949 28 123 21 117 18 125 22 101 96949 89783 22 129 16 133 13 095 17 101 89783 84208 18 131 13 150 8 089 12 107 84208 79531 11 119 12 155 7 149 6 123 79531 75483 8 146 7 153 6 129 10 153 75483 71893 9 150 9 172 2 181 7 128 71893 68629 7 155 10 196 5 227 4 224 68629 65619 5 149 10 208 11 234 9 231 65619 62822 11 256 10 226 15 236 13 240 62822 60111 10 260 10 241 13 236 11 240 60111 57279 15 278 13 270 20 266 19 249 57279 54336 29 268 24 273 27 265 18 267 54336 51513 31 267 37 274 36 271 39 272 51513 48973 34 269 46 269 51 269 51 266 48973 46719 36 272 46 272 55 267 56 272 46719 44690 43 280 52 274 57 270 66 276 44690 42841 59 280 53 277 70 276 80 276 42841 41152 62 281 64 284 90 277 98 274 41152 39606 66 291 103 282 108 276 111 271 39606 38174 91 295 126 280 120 274 116 269 38174 36830 112 288 130 278 120 273 116 269 36830 35535 117 285 128 279 120 275 116 271 35535 34224 111 286 122 281 118 277 115 273 34224 32871 103 289 101 282 108 277 109 273 32871 31483 88 289 72 278 89 275 94 271 31483 30052 74 286 60 273 74 273 77 266 30052 28565 68 285 63 272 63 273 66 266 28565 27020 55 287 61 269 54 268 56 267 27020 25411 44 289 53 268 53 269 49 265 25411 23739 39 290 46 267 51 273 46 264 23739 22006 34 290 39 266 45 266 41 264 22006 20209 29 283 34 262 38 253 37 266 20209 18343 24 272 30 256 35 246 31 260 18343 16454 20 263 24 243 33 240 29 244 16454 14641 17 255 22 229 32 232 32 234 14641 12996 16 248 22 228 29 226 32 229 12996 11532 17 238 21 228 28 223 30 228 11532 10229 17 234 20 225 26 216 27 223 10229 9065 14 234 20 220 24 201 26 210 9065 8026 12 231 20 213 23 186 26 194 8026 7101 12 220 18 199 22 171 29 180 7101 6281 13 207 16*176 23 155 32 170 6281 5553 15 192 18*160 23 147 38 160 5553 4898 18 177 18 155 23 145 42 150 4898 4317 19*166 18 150 22 144 40 146 4317 3831 19*160 18 149 21 144 33 148 3831 3456 18 156 18 148 20 144 27 152 3456 3197 17 154 17 147 18 144 21 159 3197 3040 16 153 16 146 16*144 15*165 3040 2950 11 151 12 145 11*143 7*173 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography