DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 71.7 - - 72.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 137 - - 72 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2401 - - 4991 - - 3309 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4316 - - 6022 - - 4304 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5394 - - 7984 - - 6302 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5425 - - 3269 - - 5451 - - 1300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 365 - - 257 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 316 - - 010 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -55 - - 14 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3040 - - -1348 - - -3087 - - -4738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8435 - - 9332 - - 9389 - - 7692 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4101 - - -2708 - - -4393 - - -7404 ODpotential blCL - - - 9495 - - 10692 - - 10695 - - 10357 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 93 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 71.7 - - 72.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 40.9 - - 41.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 70.3 - - 71.6 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 137 - - 72 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2401 - - 4991 - - 3309 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 72 - - 96 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98887 2 036 9 029 2 023 8 357 98887 91523 5 059 6 350 6 004 5 328 91523 85827 6 324 9 278 12 347 9 331 85827 81093 5 304 5 237 10 314 10 326 81093 77008 10 281 10 305 12 287 12 306 77008 73385 10 275 16 307 15 300 12 294 73385 70096 11 274 16 278 16 290 15 294 70096 67070 11 264 18 260 21 277 18 289 67070 64259 15 269 18 251 20 269 17 283 64259 61531 18 260 16 245 25 256 21 280 61531 58689 18 250 17 255 25 249 23 271 58689 55749 18 255 23 258 25 266 26 280 55749 52955 17 271 21 262 27 272 31 268 52955 50453 20 280 22 290 23 290 21 265 50453 48207 20 282 28 303 27 302 18 285 48207 46161 18 288 30 306 32 300 24 290 46161 44278 18 293 29 310 35 301 29 287 44278 42532 16 296 25 320 35 306 30 287 42532 40898 14 287 26 329 35 311 29 296 40898 39361 13 283 25 331 35 320 28 309 39361 37914 12 280 21 335 38 327 29 320 37914 36522 12 270 18 337 35 330 33 326 36522 35121 14 237 16 342 32 334 37 327 35121 33684 17 205 16 350 30 340 35 331 33684 32229 19 188 12 346 16 351 29 329 32229 30751 24 181 4 252 16 009 11 340 30751 29233 26 178 9 155 4 348 14 101 29233 27661 18 194 7 122 6 162 24 080 27661 26023 15 186 6 096 7 135 16 078 26023 24323 19 179 7 082 8 072 3 081 24323 22564 22 170 6 072 7 335 9 000 22564 20741 22 164 4 045 11 339 11 013 20741 18845 17 172 4 321 13 349 11 013 18845 16917 10 216 7 279 12 000 12 356 16917 15068 12 263 2 288 10 001 9 337 15068 13388 12 278 4 039 14 355 10 347 13388 11889 9 282 9 018 16 338 14 350 11889 10549 6 277 11 355 16 320 17 349 10549 9347 2 269 11 338 14 312 16 345 9347 8271 2 291 11*326 13 311 15 339 8271 7309 4 292 10*319 11 313 13 332 7309 6454 7 300 8 316 8*321 11 328 6454 5692 8*309 7 313 6*334 9 330 5692 5006 8*315 5 313 4 353 6 335 5006 4394 8 321 4 312 3 013 3 341 4394 3881 8 326 3 318 3 027 0 169 3881 3486 8 331 2 323 3 034 3 176 3486 3213 7 335 2 326 3 037 5 179 3213 3047 7 337 2 325 3 040 5*184 3047 2952 6 337 2 330 3 042 3*189 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography