DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.5 - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 137 - - 152 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1005 - - 1507 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3560 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3998 - - 4500 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 668 - - 725 - - 1082 - - 2450 - - 807 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 213 - - 252 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 25 - - 23 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 155 - - 152 - - 136 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -22 - - -19 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2546 - - -2576 - - -3565 - - -4545 - - -1357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5498 - - 6574 - - 8065 - - 7497 - - 4308 sfcLCL ODpotential -12550 - - -11028 - - -9785 - - -9746 - - -7478 ODpotential blCL 15501 - - 15026 - - 14285 - - 12698 - - 10429 blCL maxRH 92 - - 82 - - 83 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.5 - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 31.2 - - 31.6 - - 31.3 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 48.5 - - 55.3 - - 54.7 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 31.2 - - 31.5 - - 31.2 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 137 - - 152 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1005 - - 1507 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 28 - - 34 - - 44 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96159 23 311 21 290 26 306 24 294 26 303 96159 89307 10 280 17 317 17 304 12 341 16 305 89307 83963 2 136 12 313 7 332 12 328 6 321 83963 79465 6 010 8 259 8 325 10 305 9 295 79465 75545 15 303 5 138 11 262 9 289 9 292 75545 72055 19 270 3 312 12 248 11 300 6 297 72055 68862 14 241 10 306 7 247 19 283 9 314 68862 65891 8 236 12 278 8 252 23 264 17 295 65891 63117 15 263 12 266 9 290 20 261 22 280 63117 60421 26 258 14 266 20 280 15 261 21 267 60421 57603 25 270 21 268 21 269 10 257 16 262 57603 54677 31 261 24 254 26 269 17 276 15 279 54677 51883 30 252 25 253 31 253 23 261 18 286 51883 49363 30 238 24 231 29 251 23 261 20 274 49363 47105 23 225 22 247 31 256 28 270 19 269 47105 45060 36 269 35 256 37 246 32 251 19 274 45060 43183 60 256 48 258 36 244 31 234 21 261 43183 41451 54 242 54 248 45 247 33 222 20 242 41451 39848 37 237 51 236 53 240 35 219 19 214 39848 38361 30 244 40 238 47 235 38 215 21 196 38361 36981 38 253 39 241 43 235 38 213 24 182 36981 35676 45 257 41 241 45 237 40 216 30 151 35676 34377 44 257 41 240 45 233 38 212 35 147 34377 33047 42 258 40 240 43 225 32 203 40 155 33047 31678 41 259 39 241 40 216 32 193 40 163 31678 30255 39 257 38 240 38 219 36 190 38 164 30255 28765 37 258 37 238 41 222 38 191 36 164 28765 27209 35 264 34 237 42 219 37 195 34 165 27209 25589 33 267 32 237 38 212 35 193 33 166 25589 23908 21 256 32 237 33 208 33 182 33 166 23908 22168 12 239 28 231 29 203 30 168 33 166 22168 20366 12 260 19 214 27 189 31 163 30 167 20366 18496 14 262 13 180 30 178 27 171 25 168 18496 16597 14 248 18 176 27 179 19 190 16 165 16597 14775 15 230 23 185 24 190 15 218 5 160 14775 13119 13 225 25 189 20 195 12 237 2 269 13119 11640 7 254 22 187 15 197 9 242 5 324 11640 10318 6 240 16 182 13 197 8 235 5 010 10318 9135 6 153 14 184 13 200 7 231 2 314 9135 8081 9 151 14 187 15 195 6 214 6 189 8081 7143 11 169 17 181 18 176 7 176 13 166 7143 6314 14 178 23 166 23 158 11 155 18 157 6314 5579 22 169 31 154 24 156 13 148 18 156 5579 4917 31 157 34 151 25*153 16 147 11 156 4917 4330 38 156 32*153 25*152 16 149 2 098 4330 3838 37 158 28*155 24 153 14 150 5 021 3838 3460 31 161 26 155 23 152 12 150 7 349 3460 3199 23 161 25 155 22 152 10 148 7 318 3199 3041 18*160 22 155 20 152 8*144 7*306 3041 2950 9*160 16 153 14 151 4*136 5*301 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography