DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 51.6 - - 56.0 - - 52.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 143 - - 181 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1741 - - 2598 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3696 - - 4417 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4734 - - 5591 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 290 - - 1488 - - 1243 - - 2906 - - 957 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 259 - - 320 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 278 - - 309 - - 338 - - 051 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -6 - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1239 - - -2239 - - -2661 - - -4425 - - -2857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4190 - - 6973 - - 8253 - - 7376 - - 5808 sfcLCL ODpotential -12445 - - -11537 - - -10817 - - -13546 - - -13616 ODpotential blCL 15396 - - 16271 - - 16408 - - 16497 - - 16567 blCL maxRH 64 - - 60 - - 81 - - 75 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 51.6 - - 56.0 - - 52.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 31.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.4 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 50.4 - - 54.5 - - 52.5 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 31.3 - - 30.1 - - 30.2 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 143 - - 181 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1741 - - 2598 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 5 265 24 284 19 317 20 314 22 301 96395 89563 10 023 5 304 14 332 10 343 12 326 89563 84185 5 026 3 078 6 313 4 021 5 355 84185 79652 3 334 3 196 7 272 4 329 7 006 79652 75703 9 316 7 180 16 242 10 273 15 319 75703 72191 11 289 6 275 11 245 9 247 19 273 72191 69008 12 248 18 291 13 280 8 245 10 228 69008 66066 11 243 17 272 18 267 15 269 11 229 66066 63319 5 214 11 246 21 255 19 266 13 250 63319 60649 16 310 12 270 19 255 19 271 21 274 60649 57859 27 271 18 257 24 254 30 262 24 266 57859 54971 24 234 18 252 19 228 28 243 29 256 54971 52229 10 207 22 272 14 244 24 249 31 242 52229 49767 32 269 34 271 28 265 35 261 25 247 49767 47551 46 261 37 267 38 272 37 268 28 253 47551 45552 35 257 35 272 39 280 40 277 37 275 45552 43742 24 276 40 282 50 294 57 287 48 297 43742 42072 33 301 48 291 66 296 66 294 85 288 42072 40524 46 305 49 299 71 296 71 298 106 282 40524 39085 52 315 53 309 67 298 74 300 102 279 39085 37733 62 326 61 314 64 299 70 299 95 279 37733 36425 75 324 68 314 64 300 72 299 89 284 36425 35099 82 318 72 312 65 303 77 300 78 290 35099 33726 80 322 74 309 63 303 78 302 66 298 33726 32309 70 326 63 313 56 299 66 304 55 304 32309 30832 61 327 52 314 50 296 57 304 42 309 30832 29291 55 330 46 317 42 302 44 308 33 306 29291 27692 41 347 35 329 28 308 34 304 30 301 27692 26037 41 001 23 012 15 308 19 294 22 306 26037 24327 42 359 26 027 14 002 12 282 19 302 24327 22559 42 356 29 017 15 359 8 297 17 290 22559 20724 41 011 27 351 18 336 6 315 13 280 20724 18815 37 023 26 347 19 334 6 326 12 267 18815 16866 32 020 25 001 17 349 6 018 6 261 16866 14983 29 022 23 013 15 008 10 061 5 104 14983 13265 26 026 19 021 14 024 11 076 12 108 13265 11735 22 020 15 028 11 037 10 084 12 119 11735 10376 21 008 12 032 8 051 7 091 11 131 10376 9171 18 358 11 035 6 070 5 114 11 150 9171 8104 15 346 9 031 4 090 4 154 11 170 8104 7161 14 338 8 007 1 057 4 212 10 183 7161 6328 14 338 8 345 4 319 5 239 9 182 6328 5589 14 344 9 334 5*323 6 240 10 174 5589 4925 14 342 10*319 6*328 3 251 12 164 4925 4336 15 333 10*312 6 334 1 011 12 155 4336 3843 17 321 10 308 7 338 2 040 11 144 3843 3463 16 306 10 308 7 343 3 048 10 135 3463 3201 14 292 10 309 7 345 3 049 7 133 3201 3041 12*283 9 310 7 347 3*051 5*130 3041 2950 7*278 8 311 6 347 3*051 3*132 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography