DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.0 - - 28.4 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 59 - - 82 - - 6 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 881 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 3874 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1070 - - 1448 - - 999 - - 1980 - - 1251 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 41 - - 174 - - 20 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 128 - - 127 - - 096 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - 539 - - -626 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 2949 - - 3335 - - 3577 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -11398 - - -321 - - -36 - - -8670 - - -8381 ODpotential blCL 14348 - - 3271 - - 3910 - - 11620 - - 11331 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 96 - - 91 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.0 - - 28.4 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 26.4 - - 28.4 - - 28.7 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.7 - - 27.7 - - 31.5 - - 33.5 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 26.3 - - 27.8 - - 28.1 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 59 - - 82 - - 6 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 881 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 100 - - 84 - - 64 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95134 27 004 24 323 32 326 34 330 31 337 95134 88468 25 009 17 358 23 347 29 349 21 000 88468 83199 25 019 20 357 26 354 33 355 26 001 83199 78775 23 012 20 006 23 358 28 356 24 002 78775 74934 22 003 24 014 18 005 19 350 21 358 74934 71503 22 348 26 004 25 359 20 352 21 343 71503 68371 22 349 28 354 29 350 24 359 24 351 68371 65486 29 351 31 348 34 350 29 004 26 357 65486 62804 36 349 35 345 39 345 34 355 27 355 62804 60187 40 346 40 345 42 341 39 349 30 354 60187 57427 44 340 45 344 44 338 42 342 34 346 57427 54534 48 336 48 340 45 336 45 336 39 335 54534 51758 51 334 49 339 47 335 47 333 43 327 51758 49255 56 336 52 339 51 333 49 332 45 327 49255 47010 62 338 57 339 52 332 55 334 53 334 47010 44960 65 337 62 336 54 331 63 330 59 329 44960 43065 64 334 63 333 59 331 61 321 57 320 43065 41301 60 333 62 332 60 332 55 321 55 319 41301 39654 56 334 60 331 58 333 52 322 53 321 39654 38121 55 331 57 326 56 330 49 324 52 322 38121 36701 51 326 51 319 52 324 51 326 50 324 36701 35358 50 323 47 313 49 314 52 323 52 324 35358 34027 51 313 45 314 45 305 48 316 50 319 34027 32679 52 304 46 318 44 304 44 309 51 314 32679 31312 49 303 45 321 45 307 42 310 54 304 31312 29902 47 302 45 321 45 310 42 311 53 300 29902 28428 45 303 47 318 42 312 40 307 49 303 28428 26891 42 305 48 313 39 319 38 309 43 304 26891 25290 38 309 42 306 39 320 38 313 35 305 25290 23630 37 312 40 306 37 316 38 313 35 309 23630 21910 38 313 37 308 36 312 38 313 37 311 21910 20122 36 314 35 309 35 308 37 313 38 314 20122 18265 33 316 32 308 33 304 34 313 39 316 18265 16377 28 317 29 307 32 302 32 315 37 315 16377 14561 23 317 25 305 31 304 29 318 30 312 14561 12912 20 319 23 301 28 307 26 322 25 321 12912 11444 18 320 20 298 25 311 24 326 25 335 11444 10136 17 318 17 296 22 311 21 328 24 339 10136 8969 15 315 13 294 18 308 19 328 20 339 8969 7931 13 313 10 291 14 304 16 324 17 336 7931 7010 10 309 7 290 10 299 13 316 14 332 7010 6198 8 300 5 283 6 283 10 303 11 325 6198 5481 7 282 3 242 3 236 5 275 7 309 5481 4840 5 263 4 182 3 167 2 209 2 243 4840 4274 3 228 6 159 4*146 3 142 3 158 4274 3802 2 150 6 147 4*137 4 119 3 132 3802 3439 3 126 4 139 4 129 3 106 2 070 3439 3189 3 113 4 134 4 123 3 102 2 050 3189 3036 2*102 3*129 4 121 3*099 1*045 3036 2949 2*102 3*128 4 118 3*096 1*043 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography