DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.4 - - 69.6 - - 76.2 - - 76.9 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 322 - - 394 - - 145 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2785 - - 5094 - - 3745 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4779 - - 6633 - - 5154 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5778 - - 8087 - - 6738 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2023 - - 1746 - - 3119 - - 5110 - - 5773 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 401 - - 523 - - 340 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 28 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 021 - - 003 - - 011 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2138 - - -880 - - -931 - - -2788 - - -4861 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5091 - - 6658 - - 9018 - - 9526 - - 7815 sfcLCL ODpotential -5387 - - -2920 - - -1716 - - -4122 - - -7126 ODpotential blCL 8339 - - 8698 - - 9803 - - 10860 - - 10079 blCL maxRH 99 - - 88 - - 88 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 140 - - 180 - - 200 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m 61.4 - - 69.6 - - 76.2 - - 76.9 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.1 - - 50.4 - - 46.6 - - 45.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 67.4 - - 73.5 - - 75.6 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.6 - - 49.7 - - 46.0 - - 44.6 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 322 - - 394 - - 145 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2785 - - 5094 - - 3745 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 53 - - 52 - - 87 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 36 107 33 109 29 106 35 098 30 098 99296 91780 25 101 28 097 28 113 22 089 27 097 91780 86001 26 096 22 113 23 103 22 101 19 098 86001 81198 24 100 22 115 17 112 19 092 19 111 81198 77063 18 095 20 102 17 119 11 095 16 095 77063 73399 11 108 15 088 16 122 6 130 13 087 73399 70075 10 134 8 088 11 111 14 136 7 122 70075 67021 3 132 7 126 8 157 11 139 10 159 67021 64172 1 150 8 148 9 180 6 152 10 169 64172 61393 5 101 9 143 6 181 2 217 4 164 61393 58494 4 103 4 148 3 199 1 268 1 243 58494 55485 6 212 7 219 8 245 7 287 3 271 55485 52611 9 237 7 238 10 229 13 270 7 268 52611 50031 9 233 11 258 7 249 12 266 7 261 50031 47728 10 270 12 257 15 267 20 271 14 291 47728 45650 10 276 8 236 17 260 19 264 17 281 45650 43754 12 299 9 295 12 267 13 268 17 258 43754 42021 13 295 17 272 16 275 16 271 18 243 42021 40433 13 343 15 267 20 256 19 257 21 243 40433 38967 19 339 15 282 20 248 18 244 23 234 38967 37599 22 335 18 284 20 244 18 240 22 231 37599 36288 21 334 18 283 20 238 18 237 22 231 36288 34963 17 337 15 290 20 238 18 233 22 229 34963 33595 16 345 13 291 18 245 18 233 22 224 33595 32187 15 351 12 298 16 254 17 232 23 218 32187 30727 16 352 11 300 15 253 15 230 23 214 30727 29204 16 000 5 306 13 239 15 226 24 210 29204 27620 14 016 2 295 11 232 17 221 25 210 27620 25977 13 031 2 294 11 239 18 221 23 211 25977 24277 10 045 2 268 12 252 17 227 20 212 24277 22522 4 047 4 263 13 260 14 232 16 207 22522 20706 2 304 6 264 11 258 12 239 14 203 20706 18825 7 302 7 272 8 245 12 243 16 224 18825 16915 6 277 9 263 8 225 14 242 24 241 16915 15074 7 253 11 249 10 226 18 240 25 245 15074 13394 6 269 8 261 13 229 18 241 24 244 13394 11895 8 282 7 270 16 229 17 239 21 240 11895 10554 8 280 7 278 15 232 15 239 17 237 10554 9352 6 280 8 272 12 235 10 241 11 238 9352 8276 4 278 7 257 6*249 6 251 5 251 8276 7315 2 277 5 241 3*282 4*269 3 336 7315 6461 1 320 2*232 3 337 3*333 6 006 6461 5699 2 010 1*317 5 004 5 006 9 011 5699 5013 4 009 1 359 6 007 6 013 10 010 5013 4401 5 002 3 019 6 010 7 014 10 008 4401 3886 5 347 3 023 7 012 7 014 10 005 3886 3489 4 333 4 027 7 012 7 015 9 003 3489 3215 3 336 4 028 7 013 7 014 8 001 3215 3048 3*338 4 030 7 013 7 015 7*358 3048 2952 3*339 4 030 7 014 7 015 5*357 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography