DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 83.8 - - 85.5 - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 388 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2492 - - 4680 - - 3709 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4572 - - 6301 - - 5248 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5485 - - 7673 - - 6702 - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1649 - - 3698 - - 5039 - - 4899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 506 - - 366 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 353 - - 015 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4509 - - -4111 - - -6043 - - -8886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9994 - - 11785 - - 12745 - - 11841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7012 - - -6688 - - -8763 - - -12655 ODpotential blCL - - - 12497 - - 14361 - - 15465 - - 15609 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 76 - - 52 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 83.8 - - 85.5 - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 42.1 - - 39.7 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 81.1 - - 84.0 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 41.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 388 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2492 - - 4680 - - 3709 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99631 30 107 27 097 32 110 28 095 99631 92077 22 125 16 100 30 089 27 099 92077 86262 23 124 14 111 19 093 26 095 86262 81436 19 115 16 117 15 109 16 080 81436 77286 22 110 15 122 14 114 9 084 77286 73628 20 092 16 125 11 120 9 088 73628 70320 10 062 13 103 9 124 8 082 70320 67274 1 255 7 074 11 111 6 100 67274 64446 5 207 0 303 3 086 4 051 64446 61697 9 197 10 234 7 278 3 302 61697 58829 8 262 13 254 14 283 10 282 58829 55864 8 263 13 266 17 285 16 283 55864 53058 21 304 19 302 27 297 26 299 53058 50548 25 296 24 299 30 299 23 304 50548 48294 26 302 28 304 28 301 35 313 48294 46242 31 305 31 304 35 310 38 303 46242 44357 31 305 32 305 39 308 31 317 44357 42622 28 305 33 309 36 310 44 338 42622 41024 24 305 30 311 38 337 47 341 41024 39547 23 303 27 312 43 341 42 348 39547 38172 23 301 26 307 41 345 45 010 38172 36852 26 303 24 297 38 351 45 009 36852 35516 29 301 25 290 36 353 41 006 35516 34134 30 300 29 286 31 349 37 005 34134 32712 30 301 30 289 26 334 30 008 32712 31234 29 301 27 293 24 310 27 359 31234 29690 25 299 26 293 25 293 29 347 29690 28084 22 289 27 281 26 291 26 339 28084 26418 23 279 26 274 24 294 19 317 26418 24693 24 280 24 277 23 289 17 301 24693 22913 23 284 22 281 21 283 15 295 22913 21071 20 282 20 274 19 280 14 287 21071 19157 20 278 21 268 20 275 17 285 19157 17206 20 274 22 267 24 271 23 275 17206 15326 19 266 22 265 25 265 27 265 15326 13611 17 250 22 256 23 255 24 259 13611 12079 14 246 20 244 20 251 20 260 12079 10709 13 254 17 243 18 256 17 265 10709 9480 12 259 12 253 14 265 14 270 9480 8379 10 264 7*278 11 274 10 274 8379 7397 8 281 6*322 7*300 5 283 7397 6525 7 312 6 336 5*340 2 012 6525 5749 7*334 7 352 7 008 5 070 5749 5049 8*337 8 357 7 018 7 072 5049 4426 8 341 8 358 8 019 7 071 4426 3903 8 343 8 001 8 020 7 069 3903 3499 9 347 8 002 8 021 6 068 3499 3220 8 349 8 002 8 021 6 068 3220 3050 8 350 8 003 8 021 4*069 3050 2953 7 351 8 004 7 022 3*071 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography