DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 50.3 - - 57.4 - - 54.2 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 115 - - 154 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 851 - - 1992 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3909 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3844 - - 4985 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 236 - - 1073 - - 1105 - - 2689 - - 415 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 190 - - 277 - - 2 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 132 - - 137 - - 115 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1456 - - -3561 - - -4062 - - -4979 - - -3006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4407 - - 7405 - - 9048 - - 7931 - - 5958 sfcLCL ODpotential -12817 - - -12514 - - -11462 - - -12452 - - -11955 ODpotential blCL 15768 - - 16358 - - 16447 - - 15403 - - 14906 blCL maxRH 65 - - 57 - - 77 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 50.3 - - 57.4 - - 54.2 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 28.6 - - 28.4 - - 30.2 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.6 - - 49.1 - - 56.1 - - 55.8 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 28.5 - - 28.3 - - 30.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 115 - - 154 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 851 - - 1992 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 48 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95770 29 309 22 293 34 298 27 303 29 296 95770 88978 16 337 10 338 16 297 20 310 22 311 88978 83667 8 358 12 345 7 330 11 305 13 338 83667 79204 7 027 8 328 4 342 8 310 9 318 79204 75316 8 006 5 353 2 269 7 289 9 271 75316 71859 12 344 11 355 5 002 3 288 6 277 71859 68721 20 310 15 324 11 313 12 297 8 298 68721 65830 14 291 11 304 12 309 15 328 9 324 65830 63133 18 319 17 312 18 312 19 316 16 321 63133 60507 21 317 18 312 21 312 22 320 26 312 60507 57769 22 328 22 336 27 317 27 303 33 294 57769 54945 29 338 27 326 24 306 28 303 30 298 54945 52259 40 331 19 351 23 312 33 321 34 319 52259 49845 30 340 37 342 40 320 49 317 42 306 49845 47679 52 345 51 327 45 311 40 312 29 311 47679 45697 58 340 40 325 33 319 36 327 36 332 45697 43871 53 350 36 343 38 336 58 326 66 321 43871 42194 63 354 67 341 62 331 70 320 74 314 42194 40644 68 348 76 332 72 325 70 318 66 312 40644 39197 64 347 71 329 70 323 64 319 57 313 39197 37836 56 345 60 330 61 324 56 322 53 312 37836 36525 52 342 53 330 51 322 48 326 50 311 36525 35199 48 340 48 330 43 321 42 327 44 309 35199 33828 47 340 44 331 37 324 39 321 39 308 33828 32418 48 340 39 332 32 324 36 312 38 308 32418 30951 47 340 34 335 26 320 30 306 36 309 30951 29418 43 343 30 334 22 315 23 305 32 308 29418 27817 36 348 29 330 22 311 22 303 28 299 27817 26148 26 335 28 327 23 312 25 302 29 294 26148 24417 20 333 26 321 23 312 25 301 29 298 24417 22627 14 326 25 312 23 303 22 305 27 308 22627 20772 10 329 23 308 25 299 22 313 25 314 20772 18846 14 338 18 304 23 306 21 317 21 314 18846 16891 19 330 15 309 18 312 15 320 18 314 16891 15012 20 316 16 312 15 312 15 324 15 314 15012 13305 17 310 15 308 15 313 14 320 13 320 13305 11787 13 309 12 303 14 310 13 317 11 322 11787 10437 8 298 10 303 10 299 10 304 8 307 10437 9236 6 277 8 294 7 280 7 285 6 279 9236 8164 6 259 6 269 5 255 6 269 7 260 8164 7212 6 244 5 229 7 235 9 245 9 247 7212 6368 6 235 6 199 9 223 9 226 9 230 6368 5620 4 224 7 188 8*211 7 199 10 207 5620 4948 3 210 7 175 6*164 6 153 10 185 4948 4351 2 184 7*161 6 143 7 140 12 168 4351 3852 2 152 6*146 7 135 7 129 13 158 3852 3468 2 144 6 132 7 129 7 126 12 156 3468 3203 2 161 6 126 7 126 6 121 9 156 3203 3043 1*171 5 123 6 125 5*118 5*141 3043 2950 1*194 5 120 6 123 4*115 2*131 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography