DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 68.2 - - 68.7 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 259 - - 48 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 671 - - 1686 - - 1636 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 3897 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3664 - - 4679 - - 4629 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 842 - - 884 - - 2951 - - 528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 313 - - 178 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 014 - - 349 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5975 - - -6660 - - -6169 - - -5494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9639 - - 11339 - - 10798 - - 8447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12048 - - -10981 - - -10267 - - -11302 ODpotential blCL - - - 15712 - - 15660 - - 14896 - - 14254 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 89 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 68.2 - - 68.7 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 28.8 - - 31.6 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 66.3 - - 68.1 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 28.6 - - 31.4 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 259 - - 48 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 671 - - 1686 - - 1636 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 55 - - 64 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98287 3 222 4 242 5 294 5 347 98287 90900 6 216 4 321 5 292 10 338 90900 85226 7 277 4 338 1 091 4 312 85226 80551 1 316 3 204 2 331 3 317 80551 76515 1 088 2 265 3 336 4 324 76515 72939 5 245 7 299 5 291 6 288 72939 69698 4 259 7 279 5 290 7 302 69698 66702 12 268 15 269 15 279 14 284 66702 63911 13 257 14 263 19 256 18 276 63911 61201 16 258 19 263 19 266 21 283 61201 58367 23 257 26 265 27 271 25 276 58367 55422 30 261 31 258 32 269 32 272 55422 52612 38 261 40 259 40 263 38 266 52612 50078 42 253 49 257 46 260 43 260 50078 47797 49 255 53 252 52 256 49 255 47797 45721 59 251 59 248 57 253 53 252 45721 43814 64 249 62 247 61 252 54 250 43814 42053 68 246 62 247 63 250 53 250 42053 40418 70 242 63 245 63 247 53 249 40418 38897 70 241 65 244 64 245 53 248 38897 37480 67 243 65 241 64 241 54 246 37480 36136 65 242 63 237 61 237 53 242 36136 34801 67 241 62 232 58 232 51 235 34801 33443 67 239 62 230 56 229 50 233 33443 32054 63 238 57 231 54 228 49 234 32054 30611 54 239 49 230 51 227 47 232 30611 29104 44 239 41 228 47 227 47 226 29104 27535 41 237 41 234 42 228 46 223 27535 25902 42 232 46 235 39 231 41 231 25902 24205 45 230 52 229 42 233 38 238 24205 22449 48 226 50 225 49 228 36 235 22449 20634 46 222 47 226 52 223 47 226 20634 18756 41 221 42 225 46 224 54 215 18756 16848 35 217 36 218 38 223 46 216 16848 15006 31 204 30 204 33 216 33 220 15006 13325 24 192 26 186 28 210 24 219 13325 11822 15 205 22 160 19 198 19 224 11822 10478 9 234 14 138 13 156 13 218 10478 9275 8 251 7 113 5 130 6 161 9275 8203 7 247 5 044 7 357 7 039 8203 7250 6 217 6 021 14 007 14 009 7250 6405 9 180 3 057 17 009 19 011 6405 5654 12 164 3 112 17 008 23 016 5654 4976 11 158 2*072 16*358 25 018 4976 4373 7 153 4*012 15*351 23 015 4373 3867 3*121 5 013 15 349 17 358 3867 3477 2*089 5 015 14 348 14 332 3477 3208 3 082 5 015 14 348 13 312 3208 3044 3 079 5 017 13 348 11*300 3044 2951 3 075 5 017 10 348 7*291 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography