DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 89.0 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 445 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1873 - - 3746 - - - - - 290 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3431 - - 4939 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4195 - - 6070 - - - - - 2613 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1015 - - 2508 - - - - - 447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 488 - - - - - 58 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 17 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 210 - - - - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 20 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9569 - - -7243 - - - - - -5608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13765 - - 13314 - - - - - 8222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16241 - - -12685 - - - - - -13308 ODpotential blCL - - - 20436 - - 18755 - - - - - 15921 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 44 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 89.0 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 38.5 - - - - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 86.2 - - - - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 37.8 - - - - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 445 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1873 - - 3746 - - - - - 290 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99442 44 110 36 112 27 115 99442 91959 35 102 34 114 30 104 91959 86179 27 102 32 115 25 098 86179 81380 27 107 30 110 24 101 81380 77259 22 121 24 109 25 105 77259 73620 25 123 20 110 26 102 73620 70330 22 113 16 125 17 104 70330 67313 20 121 17 135 11 118 67313 64523 13 128 20 137 11 123 64523 61827 13 152 11 151 11 146 61827 59028 20 164 20 191 15 182 59028 56136 30 180 34 192 22 190 56136 53387 35 184 41 189 37 198 53387 50935 35 206 46 202 49 200 50935 48752 48 217 52 213 54 200 48752 46772 58 222 63 219 55 212 46772 44945 70 223 69 217 61 218 44945 43242 75 219 70 215 66 218 43242 41644 74 221 71 217 70 218 41644 40137 73 225 71 219 73 220 40137 38714 70 223 67 215 73 221 38714 37341 64 219 62 210 68 219 37341 35952 59 216 57 210 64 216 35952 34519 55 214 55 211 60 216 34519 33047 52 213 52 212 55 216 33047 31522 50 213 50 212 49 214 31522 29929 50 214 49 211 46 213 29929 28268 47 212 46 208 44 215 28268 26543 41 214 41 211 38 210 26543 24759 37 212 38 215 35 207 24759 22913 39 214 36 213 32 200 22913 20993 37 210 32 206 29 193 20993 18995 32 202 31 203 25 194 18995 16958 26 201 29 206 21 197 16958 14996 22 197 23 206 18 200 14996 13209 19 192 20 196 18 200 13209 11619 15 192 20 186 20 200 11619 10204 15 198 18 178 22 200 10204 8942 15 201 16 173 21 198 8942 7817 15 196 13 169 18 185 7817 6815 16 192 10*167 12 165 6815 5928 16 191 8*172 10 161 5928 5141 13 194 6 186 9 174 5141 4433 9*200 5 199 8 190 4433 3806 6*218 5 225 8 199 3806 3281 6 228 5 233 6 251 3281 2879 5 232 5 240 8*299 2879 2603 5 236 5 242 8*303 2603 2435 5 238 5 244 7 304 2435 2339 5 238 5 245 5 305 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography