DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 83.2 - - 86.4 - - 86.3 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 156 - - 67 - - 194 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1207 - - 2744 - - 1939 - - 222 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2672 - - 3117 - - 3306 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 3530 - - 5068 - - 4263 - - 2545 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 414 - - 1598 - - 2852 - - 2522 - - 505 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 236 - - 236 - - 297 - - 54 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 254 - - 228 - - 216 - - 242 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - 13 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6533 - - -6700 - - -5753 - - -5980 - - -5269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8872 - - 10231 - - 10822 - - 10244 - - 7815 sfcLCL ODpotential -12706 - - -10214 - - -8623 - - -8432 - - -9996 ODpotential blCL 15045 - - 13744 - - 13691 - - 12695 - - 12541 blCL maxRH 97 - - 96 - - 101 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 83.2 - - 86.4 - - 86.3 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.9 - - 46.6 - - 47.1 - - 49.6 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.0 - - 81.8 - - 85.5 - - 84.7 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 46.2 - - 46.8 - - 49.2 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 156 - - 67 - - 194 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1207 - - 2744 - - 1939 - - 222 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 85 - - 103 - - 93 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99413 34 109 34 103 26 104 29 102 28 097 99413 91911 29 098 32 110 24 114 26 096 22 095 91911 86127 28 108 25 107 25 115 20 103 23 091 86127 81317 29 110 15 111 22 095 18 103 20 092 81317 77188 20 108 14 114 18 095 22 107 17 100 77188 73559 15 116 17 118 17 094 19 105 14 090 73559 70277 15 130 21 129 16 124 16 106 13 087 70277 67257 19 141 24 129 20 125 17 123 15 104 67257 64469 15 143 15 152 13 147 15 126 14 127 64469 61787 11 174 23 172 18 173 11 167 11 133 61787 58994 19 189 25 166 28 172 24 174 13 200 58994 56108 24 181 24 188 26 174 28 173 26 186 56108 53377 30 193 31 190 28 199 25 190 29 175 53377 50937 41 193 41 186 43 199 38 209 33 195 50937 48758 45 198 43 188 55 190 47 195 39 201 48758 46785 48 210 42 195 58 184 49 182 40 197 46785 44975 52 214 44 204 51 188 44 185 39 193 44975 43287 57 212 45 207 44 197 38 189 38 195 43287 41698 63 201 53 203 43 198 39 196 38 196 41698 40197 65 197 62 198 48 199 43 200 42 194 40197 38781 75 195 72 194 57 197 53 203 49 192 38781 37416 73 193 77 192 68 195 64 198 55 195 37416 36034 64 191 70 190 67 193 63 193 57 195 36034 34604 57 193 52 189 59 191 61 192 55 193 34604 33129 52 198 32 199 53 188 54 193 52 191 33129 31598 47 202 28 199 43 187 44 193 45 191 31598 29998 39 207 28 195 36 186 39 190 39 189 29998 28331 30 206 31 190 33 183 32 187 35 187 28331 26597 32 202 34 187 33 179 32 182 32 181 26597 24797 33 191 36 184 33 184 30 183 33 178 24797 22931 29 188 36 184 33 192 28 188 33 189 22931 20999 26 188 36 187 33 192 28 190 28 200 20999 19000 29 175 39 195 35 189 27 189 20 191 19000 16971 29 161 28 169 35 189 25 178 12 131 16971 15022 17 162 24 132 34 184 21 164 8 077 15022 13248 12 200 19 126 32 185 14 158 3 058 13248 11665 13 222 8 141 28 189 11 148 1 324 11665 10249 14 237 6 216 18 182 8 152 3 255 10249 8981 15 245 9 231 9 186 6 169 8 231 8981 7848 13 248 10 227 7 218 6 196 11 216 7848 6839 10 233 12 224 7 221 7 208 10 193 6839 5947 10 197 14 223 5 208 7 204 7 161 5947 5155 10 183 15 222 4*209 6 199 5 140 5155 4445 8 174 14 223 4*211 6*206 2 118 4445 3815 5 175 10*226 4 214 6*225 1 061 3815 3288 4 206 7*227 4 216 6 239 5 355 3288 2883 4 241 7 228 4 219 6 245 9 345 2883 2605 4 258 6 228 4 219 6 248 9*343 2605 2436 3*264 6 229 4 219 6 250 8*342 2436 2339 1*254 5 229 3 219 5 250 6 342 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography