DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 84.7 - - 91.3 - - 87.8 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 293 - - 395 - - 233 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3225 - - 6059 - - 1933 - - 157 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 4404 - - 6724 - - 3373 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 5548 - - 8383 - - 4256 - - 2480 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 647 - - 1687 - - 1723 - - 4841 - - 578 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 406 - - 552 - - 317 - - 20 W* B/S 11 - - 46 - - 36 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 261 - - 243 - - 302 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - 23 - - 8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9177 - - -7760 - - -6277 - - -8325 - - -5727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11516 - - 13309 - - 14660 - - 12582 - - 8208 sfcLCL ODpotential -16243 - - -13092 - - -10095 - - -12505 - - -11963 ODpotential blCL 18582 - - 18640 - - 18478 - - 16761 - - 14443 blCL maxRH 33 - - 74 - - 77 - - 71 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 84.7 - - 91.3 - - 87.8 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 34.4 - - 34.6 - - 40.5 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.3 - - 82.7 - - 88.8 - - 86.0 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 33.5 - - 33.6 - - 39.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 293 - - 395 - - 233 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3225 - - 6059 - - 1933 - - 157 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98272 12 109 17 122 8 098 18 092 18 105 98272 90865 18 117 17 137 11 135 3 080 16 108 90865 85152 11 115 11 158 8 152 1 241 8 125 85152 80392 7 150 7 168 4 207 5 141 4 171 80392 76278 5 126 5 199 5 216 3 123 7 177 76278 72637 4 083 5 177 6 196 3 147 7 139 72637 69350 6 088 9 153 9 194 7 182 1 301 69350 66342 5 072 5 133 6 200 7 191 6 285 66342 63576 2 291 0 050 4 223 5 232 6 256 63576 60923 6 327 3 302 5 244 9 273 9 253 60923 58174 16 319 6 312 6 241 12 245 11 253 58174 55332 18 301 9 288 7 256 13 235 13 262 55332 52624 17 288 14 280 11 279 13 252 15 271 52624 50184 15 272 18 273 15 283 16 280 18 288 50184 47989 15 262 21 261 19 289 20 296 25 289 47989 45990 17 260 20 248 23 273 21 296 28 287 45990 44155 22 260 23 246 24 244 22 293 25 277 44155 42471 29 256 28 243 30 233 26 256 20 268 42471 40918 33 253 32 245 32 231 33 231 26 252 40918 39474 33 251 32 243 33 235 32 226 33 239 39474 38116 32 251 29 245 32 234 29 225 32 231 38116 36805 29 250 28 247 29 233 30 223 28 229 36805 35474 27 246 26 244 26 236 28 225 24 231 35474 34094 23 247 24 244 24 239 26 232 23 232 34094 32669 19 250 22 245 24 239 25 236 24 232 32669 31184 16 250 20 244 24 240 23 235 25 231 31184 29629 13 242 18 242 23 239 21 232 25 230 29629 28005 10 228 17 236 19 235 19 230 23 228 28005 26310 11 235 17 237 16 237 17 230 20 226 26310 24549 13 250 17 242 15 244 17 230 18 221 24549 22725 13 259 14 244 14 249 16 229 18 212 22725 20832 9 256 12 237 12 249 13 227 14 198 20832 18862 5 243 9 225 8 245 7 202 11 171 18862 16853 4 233 8 199 6 214 7 164 14 161 16853 14915 3 156 8 178 10 204 8 170 18 163 14915 13148 5 115 10 186 14 206 10 199 15 173 13148 11574 7 127 11 188 15 208 12 198 14 196 11574 10170 6 131 10 182 12 205 11 181 15 200 10170 8917 3 124 7 176 6*196 10 172 15 185 8917 7797 2 347 3 177 3*202 10 175 11 173 7797 6800 3 318 1 243 3 210 9 186 8 193 6800 5916 3 298 1*262 3 227 7 198 8 224 5916 5132 2 288 1*264 3 243 6 227 8 240 5132 4427 1 315 1 265 3 255 6*264 8 261 4427 3802 1 035 2 263 3 262 9*297 10 290 3802 3279 3 058 2 261 3 265 10 301 14 304 3279 2878 4 059 2 256 4 266 10 303 14 313 2878 2602 3 053 2 259 4 267 10 304 11*319 2602 2435 2 039 2 258 4 268 10 304 9*320 2435 2339 0*086 2 257 3 268 8 304 6 319 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography