DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 62.9 - - 70.0 - - 69.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 63 - - 159 - - 60 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1630 - - 1708 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3050 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2938 - - 3953 - - 4030 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 139 - - 592 - - 1313 - - 1156 - - 736 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 151 - - 272 - - 203 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 348 - - 009 - - 003 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2436 - - -4008 - - -4897 - - -2796 - - -958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4774 - - 6946 - - 8850 - - 6827 - - 3296 sfcLCL ODpotential -12449 - - -11163 - - -11611 - - -8582 - - -8476 ODpotential blCL 14787 - - 14101 - - 15564 - - 12612 - - 10814 blCL maxRH 61 - - 50 - - 54 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 62.9 - - 70.0 - - 69.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 41.0 - - 39.5 - - 47.4 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 62.5 - - 68.8 - - 68.6 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 39.7 - - 38.3 - - 46.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 63 - - 159 - - 60 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1630 - - 1708 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 11 344 10 080 7 229 11 239 10 276 96334 89194 9 009 11 059 1 159 5 335 10 043 89194 83684 14 016 12 047 5 342 6 340 14 031 83684 79117 10 020 11 003 12 352 12 025 15 043 79117 75194 10 029 14 005 16 355 13 015 23 029 75194 71738 10 318 19 353 21 340 19 353 25 008 71738 68628 15 325 20 339 26 328 26 346 30 359 68628 65778 20 322 20 338 27 331 30 330 31 345 65778 63130 25 328 23 327 25 324 25 326 30 342 63130 60551 34 319 28 317 26 318 29 329 33 339 60551 57847 37 306 37 313 35 315 35 326 39 323 57847 55027 40 301 45 305 41 309 45 314 40 312 55027 52321 45 297 48 301 46 303 45 310 45 320 52321 49882 48 295 49 296 47 299 59 317 53 314 49882 47689 48 296 50 296 50 303 57 311 55 301 47689 45704 51 296 54 298 53 301 51 300 60 340 45704 43913 57 294 57 303 47 293 56 327 73 337 43913 42283 62 290 50 305 40 320 51 334 57 329 42283 40770 65 289 42 305 52 330 47 349 40 336 40770 39345 65 284 40 313 50 332 58 008 44 006 39345 37997 61 281 44 320 39 351 70 016 49 017 37997 36691 57 282 48 325 44 014 75 018 54 018 36691 35365 55 286 48 330 57 016 69 017 56 012 35365 33990 56 293 46 329 64 013 62 014 42 001 33990 32570 53 294 42 322 64 012 60 013 42 352 32570 31087 47 294 35 328 57 010 56 011 45 350 31087 29533 43 295 34 350 49 003 51 006 46 350 29533 27909 40 301 41 355 47 354 43 355 45 351 27909 26216 39 307 49 350 46 348 39 344 45 352 26216 24454 40 310 49 347 45 344 42 342 48 352 24454 22625 40 312 38 334 45 345 45 345 46 350 22625 20723 36 309 35 325 42 349 44 346 41 345 20723 18743 33 303 33 323 34 350 39 346 38 342 18743 16726 32 301 32 314 27 335 33 347 36 347 16726 14783 29 305 31 312 26 325 29 344 32 353 14783 13016 26 313 28 316 26 327 28 341 29 356 13016 11446 26 320 26 321 25 331 27 342 26 358 11446 10050 24 328 23 328 23 335 25 347 24 002 10050 8807 22 337 20 336 21 339 23 354 21 006 8807 7699 20 344 17 343 19 345 21 360 18 010 7699 6715 19 348 16 348 17 351 19 003 16 012 6715 5845 20 350 15 353 16 358 17 004 15 011 5845 5073 20 352 15 359 15 006 15 006 15 009 5073 4382 21 354 15 002 13*012 13*007 17 007 4382 3770 20 356 15 001 12*013 12*006 18 005 3770 3260 19 354 14*356 11 010 12 003 16 359 3260 2867 18 346 11*351 10 008 12 003 14 350 2867 2597 16 340 9 347 10 008 11 002 12 346 2597 2432 12*337 8 346 9 007 10 001 9 346 2432 2338 3*330 6 346 7 006 8 001 5*345 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography