DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 47.1 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 74 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 381 - - 2313 - - 2019 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3005 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2702 - - 4633 - - 4341 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1742 - - 2863 - - 1289 - - 2248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 237 - - 83 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 325 - - 329 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -11 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 248 - - 1589 - - 1403 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2454 - - 3044 - - 2938 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -935 - - 588 - - 373 - - -634 ODpotential blCL - - - 3637 - - 4045 - - 3968 - - 2971 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 47.1 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 48.6 - - 47.1 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 42.9 - - 41.7 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 74 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 381 - - 2313 - - 2019 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 75 - - 89 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 31 287 36 289 39 307 30 290 96376 89190 25 278 32 296 25 304 26 301 89190 83652 18 283 27 295 26 304 23 297 83652 79061 17 289 24 288 28 304 21 307 79061 75087 17 281 23 280 24 283 21 303 75087 71547 18 272 21 272 22 269 23 277 71547 68317 24 280 24 274 21 269 24 264 68317 65335 26 268 27 269 22 282 23 264 65335 62567 24 256 26 265 27 291 22 269 62567 59878 26 273 28 272 29 279 26 274 59878 57061 29 281 32 269 30 267 32 273 57061 54128 29 272 32 268 34 268 35 279 54128 51318 31 274 37 274 43 274 40 279 51318 48776 37 280 45 277 47 276 42 280 48776 46493 43 277 55 276 51 285 50 289 46493 44438 48 278 61 277 61 287 57 293 44438 42575 53 276 67 273 67 284 61 293 42575 40862 42 273 58 267 66 279 62 291 40862 39275 37 285 50 276 60 278 65 299 39275 37805 51 306 57 295 59 284 68 299 37805 36437 67 307 73 301 57 285 64 298 36437 35131 68 307 74 300 62 293 68 305 35131 33829 64 308 75 300 80 301 74 303 33829 32498 60 304 78 298 87 304 70 297 32498 31132 54 302 77 292 79 305 64 297 31132 29714 50 305 72 285 69 305 61 299 29714 28234 45 302 73 287 63 300 58 302 28234 26698 42 298 70 295 52 296 58 309 26698 25098 43 300 47 285 37 301 62 313 25098 23430 44 304 47 284 37 328 59 311 23430 21696 42 307 47 294 45 334 53 308 21696 19894 36 305 41 304 45 331 49 310 19894 18015 30 302 38 308 41 331 47 317 18015 16097 26 304 35 318 36 337 45 321 16097 14245 23 308 30 333 30 344 42 323 14245 12557 22 310 25 339 29 350 39 328 12557 11056 19 303 20 337 30 352 37 334 11056 9720 17 292 16 337 30 351 34 338 9720 8530 15 293 12 339 25 349 31 340 8530 7469 14 309 10 338 19 346 28 341 7469 6526 12 325 9 335 15 344 24 345 6526 5695 10 337 11 331 16 338 21 346 5695 4959 9 344 14*329 17*333 21 341 4959 4299 9 342 15*327 17*331 21 336 4299 3714 10 334 15 326 17 330 21 332 3714 3223 12 327 15 325 16 328 20 330 3223 2846 12*323 15 325 15 327 18 328 2846 2586 10*319 14 325 14 326 14 326 2586 2428 8 318 13 324 12 326 11 324 2428 2337 6 318 9 324 8 326 6*318 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography