DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 75.7 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 522 - - 311 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3450 - - 5434 - - 5016 - - 607 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4673 - - 6325 - - 5794 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5772 - - 7756 - - 7338 - - 2929 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1443 - - 1115 - - 1371 - - 802 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 458 - - 581 - - 477 - - 96 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 033 - - 014 - - 348 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3628 - - -2236 - - -1488 - - -3187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9400 - - 9993 - - 8827 - - 6116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13150 - - -10862 - - -7647 - - -10355 ODpotential blCL - - - 18922 - - 18618 - - 14985 - - 13284 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 46 - - 57 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 75.7 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 39.9 - - 44.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 73.0 - - 73.7 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 39.3 - - 44.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 522 - - 311 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3450 - - 5434 - - 5016 - - 607 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99047 39 105 26 111 27 104 21 089 99047 91560 34 110 27 113 23 096 29 089 91560 85786 29 100 20 110 26 099 27 087 85786 81005 19 100 16 109 23 090 25 098 81005 76886 14 109 15 096 16 092 22 091 76886 73232 12 106 14 095 12 098 14 105 73232 69923 9 075 10 101 10 103 9 106 69923 66885 4 035 9 101 9 133 3 110 66885 64074 4 107 5 050 8 083 5 101 64074 61358 2 294 7 233 7 278 8 342 61358 58531 14 329 10 268 15 268 16 312 58531 55601 26 294 22 296 27 291 26 298 55601 52821 35 289 33 288 36 296 36 304 52821 50337 44 297 45 293 46 293 50 298 50337 48124 57 296 58 293 55 294 56 293 48124 46125 68 295 69 293 62 295 63 292 46125 44291 77 294 75 292 70 296 69 292 44291 42590 82 293 80 294 77 298 73 293 42590 41002 84 295 86 295 83 298 76 294 41002 39514 83 297 89 295 83 298 76 296 39514 38119 79 298 85 295 80 298 74 297 38119 36777 77 301 81 298 77 300 72 298 36777 35420 78 303 80 301 76 302 72 300 35420 34016 79 303 80 304 76 304 72 301 34016 32567 78 303 80 307 76 306 71 301 32567 31060 76 303 77 308 75 306 69 301 31060 29487 73 304 72 309 70 308 64 303 29487 27848 70 306 68 309 63 309 57 305 27848 26145 68 307 62 312 56 311 51 308 26145 24377 65 308 58 314 52 312 47 310 24377 22543 61 310 56 315 52 315 47 311 22543 20639 58 309 54 310 51 313 47 315 20639 18659 59 310 57 314 53 318 47 320 18659 16641 57 315 54 322 51 328 44 330 16641 14701 48 321 44 329 39 336 34 339 14701 12945 36 329 32 337 26 344 21 352 12945 11388 26 339 24 346 17 000 12 010 11388 10005 19 349 18 354 15 012 8 024 10005 8772 16 356 15*007 12 012 7 018 8772 7673 13 005 13*013 11*007 8 010 7673 6698 11 021 13 014 11*003 13 009 6698 5835 9*032 13 015 11 359 16 006 5835 5070 8*034 13 014 11 353 16 359 5070 4381 8 035 13 015 12 347 17 347 4381 3770 8 033 13 014 12 342 18 331 3770 3259 8 033 13 014 12 340 18*319 3259 2867 7 031 13 014 12 339 16*314 2867 2597 7 030 12 014 12 338 14 313 2597 2433 7 029 11 014 11 338 13 312 2433 2338 6 029 10 014 9 338 8 311 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography