DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 92.7 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 267 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 5170 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2323 - - 5846 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3075 - - 7493 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1279 - - 4306 - - - - - 319 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 458 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 140 - - - - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9486 - - -6293 - - - - - -7199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12561 - - 13787 - - - - - 9538 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14927 - - -10741 - - - - - -14928 ODpotential blCL - - - 18002 - - 18234 - - - - - 17267 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 47 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 92.7 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 40.0 - - - - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 90.7 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 39.6 - - - - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 267 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 5170 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97822 11 288 4 293 20 267 97822 90549 3 003 3 262 8 320 90549 84947 7 075 2 037 7 027 84947 80320 10 072 10 034 11 066 80320 76346 9 075 12 030 11 082 76346 72838 8 085 8 036 12 069 72838 69658 5 055 4 059 13 055 69658 66732 5 059 4 114 9 037 66732 64023 7 079 5 126 4 337 64023 61410 4 141 5 199 4 260 61410 58688 5 213 10 216 13 243 58688 55864 8 229 13 205 22 217 55864 53180 20 258 17 240 23 206 53180 50761 37 259 35 253 28 230 50761 48587 47 248 50 246 37 242 48587 46605 43 238 53 238 46 248 46605 44779 41 243 53 239 50 246 44779 43083 47 249 55 241 50 242 43083 41496 52 251 57 243 45 239 41496 40003 56 252 56 243 41 238 40003 38595 55 252 50 245 40 238 38595 37239 48 256 42 251 40 237 37239 35868 39 259 35 253 38 237 35868 34452 31 258 28 248 35 236 34452 32994 25 256 27 247 32 233 32994 31482 25 254 25 247 30 226 31482 29905 25 252 23 248 29 222 29905 28264 23 240 20 234 26 221 28264 26555 19 219 20 208 24 217 26555 24775 16 213 19 209 23 214 24775 22925 15 209 18 208 19 209 22925 21004 13 195 16 193 16 196 21004 19005 9 178 11 173 15 179 19005 16972 11 157 11 164 14 158 16972 15018 15 143 16 147 20 148 15018 13240 15 136 18 135 25 142 13240 11658 12 136 16 128 26 143 11658 10248 11 143 13 129 23 145 10248 8987 10 152 10 138 13 142 8987 7860 10 157 8*148 9 135 7860 6855 10 158 7*153 7 130 6855 5963 10 159 7 153 6 126 5963 5171 10 158 6 152 6 122 5171 4457 10 157 6 146 7 111 4457 3824 9 153 6 133 6 095 3824 3295 6*139 6 122 9 061 3295 2888 5*120 6 118 10 040 2888 2607 5 116 6 116 9 027 2607 2437 4 114 5 115 7 023 2437 2339 4 114 5 115 4*021 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography