DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 53.7 - - 53.3 - - 50.6 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 98 - - 51 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2146 - - 1323 - - 523 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3109 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4467 - - 3644 - - 2844 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1347 - - 1632 - - 2564 - - 2143 - - 5041 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 250 - - 176 - - 78 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 30 - - 28 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 213 - - 209 - - 253 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -28 - - -13 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1365 - - 1166 - - 507 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 3102 - - 2478 - - 2338 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -1499 - - 622 - - 309 - - 100 - - -768 ODpotential blCL 3837 - - 3845 - - 3335 - - 2744 - - 3106 blCL maxRH 94 - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 53.7 - - 53.3 - - 50.6 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.6 - - 47.9 - - 50.0 - - 49.2 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.0 - - 50.5 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 47.4 - - 49.4 - - 49.0 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 98 - - 51 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2146 - - 1323 - - 523 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 90 - - 90 - - 102 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 42 290 34 304 33 288 46 280 49 294 96412 89261 25 302 26 294 23 299 22 280 27 290 89261 83753 24 298 20 287 18 314 12 288 16 310 83753 79169 24 275 20 286 21 292 20 291 18 302 79169 75234 21 276 27 275 25 276 18 299 15 319 75234 71748 22 288 25 271 32 279 25 297 19 334 71748 68562 23 287 19 276 24 265 28 281 24 299 68562 65636 23 284 18 272 19 264 18 275 26 288 65636 62939 28 279 16 271 21 285 15 296 27 296 62939 60330 33 280 25 280 26 288 26 290 30 296 60330 57592 35 284 39 295 47 290 49 292 32 299 57592 54722 42 286 48 284 57 289 47 294 43 313 54722 51958 40 286 44 291 54 296 65 304 75 310 51958 49460 54 314 66 302 65 300 82 300 87 301 49460 47220 73 303 86 291 78 292 86 296 86 304 47220 45195 79 286 93 276 83 286 86 295 92 312 45195 43349 66 279 84 270 80 287 83 303 96 316 43349 41648 51 285 69 268 85 300 97 315 114 320 41648 40068 54 296 58 284 105 312 122 315 134 317 40068 38595 65 303 95 308 134 310 140 308 139 308 38595 37217 76 309 128 309 144 301 140 302 135 305 37217 35896 96 313 139 304 129 294 120 296 129 303 35896 34562 115 308 127 299 110 296 100 300 122 300 34562 33182 111 303 113 297 115 304 105 311 109 301 33182 31762 95 299 119 296 122 300 111 309 94 311 31762 30291 95 305 121 296 122 299 108 299 100 317 30291 28756 100 305 119 297 123 299 107 295 96 308 28756 27151 94 303 111 300 123 296 105 297 95 305 27151 25475 72 300 88 298 119 295 103 301 95 307 25475 23729 51 292 67 287 111 300 101 300 94 307 23729 21918 42 288 61 275 88 304 98 294 92 301 21918 20042 31 274 56 270 57 289 96 297 92 297 20042 18097 21 236 42 259 51 264 82 305 87 300 18097 16125 23 218 36 244 51 252 58 296 69 305 16125 14232 26 211 34 234 49 251 46 259 43 298 14232 12522 28 209 33 229 46 258 52 242 39 272 12522 11016 29 210 32 223 47 263 49 245 38 260 11016 9690 29 209 32 217 44 258 41 249 33 265 9690 8513 29 209 34 215 40 245 35 254 28 276 8513 7467 31 209 35 215 38 231 33 261 27 285 7467 6537 32 211 37 216 39 223 33 265 27 291 6537 5711 31 215 36 216 39 218 33 266 26 294 5711 4978 30 218 36*216 39 215 32 265 26 296 4978 4316 27 219 35*215 38 212 31 263 25 298 4316 3727 24 216 33 213 36*211 29 261 24 299 3727 3233 21 209 31 212 34*209 27 257 21 299 3233 2852 19 203 29 212 31 209 24*255 17 298 2852 2589 15 198 26 211 27 209 21*253 13 296 2589 2429 12*196 23 211 24 209 19 252 10*294 2429 2338 5*194 14 212 14 209 11 252 5*290 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography