DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 91.6 - - 89.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 429 - - 250 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2670 - - 6462 - - 4181 - - 317 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4020 - - 7082 - - 5064 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4994 - - 8786 - - 6505 - - 2640 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2919 - - 1583 - - 3226 - - 1140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 580 - - 419 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 13 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 196 - - 220 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 15 - - 28 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4979 - - -3398 - - -4995 - - -4546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9973 - - 12185 - - 11501 - - 7187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10051 - - -7661 - - -9346 - - -10388 ODpotential blCL - - - 15045 - - 16447 - - 15851 - - 13028 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 34 - - 35 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 91.6 - - 89.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 46.0 - - 47.0 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.5 - - 88.9 - - 87.7 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 45.2 - - 46.4 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 429 - - 250 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2670 - - 6462 - - 4181 - - 317 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98703 22 111 29 104 23 133 14 090 98703 91191 20 116 23 094 17 101 16 113 91191 85444 17 113 16 100 17 084 19 088 85444 80728 14 117 10 121 16 067 20 082 80728 76676 16 120 11 134 13 075 16 089 76676 73089 21 103 13 130 12 094 13 087 73089 69845 14 100 12 109 19 096 14 100 69845 66860 12 113 7 110 12 072 15 076 66860 64105 9 106 5 149 4 129 11 024 64105 61459 14 122 5 167 6 214 10 015 61459 58703 9 064 8 131 8 209 3 280 58703 55849 2 011 2 045 5 192 3 266 55849 53130 7 300 4 291 9 248 11 275 53130 50678 13 291 11 288 13 258 16 259 50678 48465 20 285 19 281 19 267 19 261 48465 46446 23 282 23 277 23 266 25 271 46446 44597 25 285 26 279 25 272 27 273 44597 42898 28 286 30 279 29 281 29 283 42898 41323 28 287 32 277 32 284 31 289 41323 39848 27 292 30 277 33 290 32 293 39848 38459 27 296 27 283 33 295 33 298 38459 37120 27 296 26 290 31 296 34 300 37120 35766 26 296 25 296 27 296 32 299 35766 34369 23 300 24 296 24 295 29 297 34369 32930 20 304 21 296 23 292 28 296 32930 31432 17 305 19 291 22 292 27 295 31432 29860 19 292 19 282 21 293 26 294 29860 28217 21 288 18 281 20 291 24 293 28217 26502 21 288 17 286 18 286 22 287 26502 24720 17 291 16 287 16 290 19 283 24720 22873 13 290 14 289 14 293 15 279 22873 20954 9 279 12 283 11 287 13 282 20954 18961 9 261 10 268 10 277 11 277 18961 16935 11 238 12 239 12 255 11 268 16935 14985 14 219 16 225 13 238 9 260 14985 13207 16 213 15 221 13 223 9 245 13207 11624 15 211 14 218 13 202 8 232 11624 10214 12 206 10 202 11 163 10 204 10214 8955 9 199 7*181 9 140 13 161 8955 7830 7 192 7*181 8 144 12 130 7830 6828 7 187 6 184 7*165 9 119 6828 5940 7 180 7 190 7*187 5 145 5940 5152 7*176 7 196 7 200 5 207 5152 4444 7*177 7 200 6 213 6 223 4444 3816 6 183 7 203 6 228 5 239 3816 3289 6 188 8 205 6 237 5 272 3289 2885 6 192 7 206 6 242 6*288 2885 2606 6 195 7 207 6 244 6*292 2606 2437 5 197 7 207 6 245 5 293 2437 2340 5 198 6 208 5 246 4 297 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography