DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.0 - - 50.4 - - 55.1 - - 53.7 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 11 - - 112 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 235 - - 1458 - - 1519 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2695 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2556 - - 3779 - - 3840 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 334 - - 812 - - 1336 - - 1268 - - 975 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 67 - - 232 - - 126 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 181 - - 191 - - 210 - - 212 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -9 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4764 - - -3105 - - -2985 - - -955 - - -509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7102 - - 5661 - - 6764 - - 4795 - - 2846 sfcLCL ODpotential -16258 - - -11453 - - -10907 - - -6167 - - -7454 ODpotential blCL 18595 - - 14009 - - 14686 - - 10007 - - 9791 blCL maxRH 28 - - 47 - - 69 - - 65 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.0 - - 50.4 - - 55.1 - - 53.7 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 34.2 - - 34.0 - - 41.1 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 50.4 - - 54.3 - - 53.7 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.9 - - 33.1 - - 32.8 - - 40.2 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 11 - - 112 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 235 - - 1458 - - 1519 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96010 48 330 42 322 43 313 45 325 50 310 96010 89012 42 345 33 339 30 328 41 326 40 324 89012 83545 36 338 29 343 25 334 35 328 29 327 83545 78965 35 332 28 341 27 335 33 330 29 336 78965 75004 34 327 25 336 28 329 33 322 32 331 75004 71520 32 323 25 324 28 322 30 318 28 325 71520 68387 31 320 26 316 28 316 27 323 22 322 68387 65510 30 317 26 319 28 316 25 318 24 304 65510 62842 30 318 29 317 27 310 28 304 26 293 62842 60256 34 314 32 307 29 303 29 283 30 273 60256 57552 36 307 35 298 37 291 33 277 31 263 57552 54726 40 299 43 292 42 285 41 273 34 271 54726 52007 42 292 44 287 48 276 48 263 41 263 52007 49537 41 292 49 289 51 272 49 259 39 261 49537 47306 47 297 58 283 60 269 56 260 52 261 47306 45283 49 294 55 278 58 266 56 255 56 251 45283 43437 44 289 44 272 50 265 50 256 53 253 43437 41739 26 283 34 260 47 259 55 253 60 258 41739 40175 19 309 32 257 41 241 57 243 63 255 40175 38735 21 306 31 253 38 233 52 232 64 244 38735 37389 18 290 26 241 37 227 45 217 60 233 37389 36086 15 281 24 224 38 217 46 211 54 225 36086 34764 15 270 24 215 41 211 48 209 53 229 34764 33394 19 259 28 215 44 210 51 211 56 233 33394 31980 31 257 35 226 46 214 47 227 56 237 31980 30507 43 256 40 239 51 221 41 240 54 238 30507 28963 47 256 40 238 50 225 44 233 53 235 28963 27349 43 255 39 231 50 225 54 226 53 233 27349 25668 39 245 46 231 56 226 57 228 53 235 25668 23927 37 237 48 230 55 231 52 235 52 238 23927 22133 31 232 44 226 47 234 47 241 49 239 22133 20276 28 226 40 222 39 236 42 242 44 239 20276 18350 29 223 38 225 34 238 38 241 36 239 18350 16389 29 227 34 235 31 244 33 239 32 239 16389 14498 25 231 27 241 26 249 26 234 30 241 14498 12774 21 231 21 242 20 245 21 231 28 241 12774 11236 19 228 17 241 17 233 19 233 24 241 11236 9864 19 223 14 236 17 221 18 239 19 237 9864 8641 20 214 14 217 19 213 18 242 13 225 8641 7554 22 204 16 195 20 208 20 237 10 212 7554 6591 24 196 20 185 22 206 21 229 11 221 6591 5744 24 190 22 181 23 206 21 223 15 230 5744 4997 23 185 23 180 22 206 20 218 17 233 4997 4327 21 182 21 179 19*207 17*213 17 235 4327 3733 19 180 18 181 16*208 15*211 17 235 3733 3236 18 180 16 185 12 210 13 212 15 233 3236 2854 16 181 13 189 11 211 13 212 14 231 2854 2590 13 181 11*191 10 212 11 212 12 230 2590 2429 10 183 9*191 9 212 10 212 8 233 2429 2337 4*181 5 190 8 212 7 213 5*238 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography