DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 80.7 - - 79.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 373 - - 152 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1866 - - 3765 - - 2876 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3335 - - 4891 - - 3861 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4188 - - 6088 - - 5199 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1092 - - 1658 - - 1988 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 459 - - 312 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 014 - - 015 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 12 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3799 - - -3832 - - -4185 - - -3000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7987 - - 9920 - - 9385 - - 5339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10539 - - -9881 - - -10470 - - -11128 ODpotential blCL - - - 14727 - - 15969 - - 15669 - - 13467 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 42 - - 63 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 80.7 - - 79.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 45.3 - - 46.0 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 78.4 - - 77.7 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 45.1 - - 45.8 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 373 - - 152 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1866 - - 3765 - - 2876 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98621 21 089 17 088 16 125 6 062 98621 91257 20 094 16 096 14 082 21 065 91257 85574 19 094 15 089 15 077 19 068 85574 80857 12 084 15 077 16 069 19 070 80857 76791 12 111 12 072 14 066 15 065 76791 73201 13 081 9 104 8 074 9 059 73201 69959 10 101 6 115 7 071 8 078 69959 66974 9 092 7 145 5 094 5 121 66974 64204 5 349 2 197 2 031 4 133 64204 61516 8 274 8 259 7 271 7 307 61516 58718 9 266 15 244 17 259 16 288 58718 55834 16 278 18 235 25 256 25 270 55834 53100 23 277 23 253 32 258 33 266 53100 50644 31 277 28 271 31 261 35 270 50644 48432 38 280 42 282 45 274 42 269 48432 46416 49 276 52 271 47 269 46 268 46416 44559 52 276 51 279 52 282 54 275 44559 42842 56 281 59 287 68 284 73 276 42842 41255 57 282 64 288 74 282 76 273 41255 39780 54 285 62 287 76 283 73 274 39780 38397 49 290 56 291 72 284 71 276 38397 37061 42 290 53 297 63 287 58 279 37061 35705 41 286 45 295 57 290 44 282 35705 34301 43 289 40 291 51 298 37 276 34301 32854 35 291 35 296 37 295 30 272 32854 31345 26 287 32 298 32 289 29 267 31345 29765 18 272 26 298 26 291 27 272 29765 28117 12 276 17 284 21 292 17 269 28117 26407 13 281 13 279 21 292 15 268 26407 24632 11 275 13 287 20 294 15 267 24632 22789 7 275 9 272 16 303 9 294 22789 20871 4 254 4 221 8 297 3 291 20871 18874 3 194 4 171 4 217 5 197 18874 16844 3 184 5 171 5 181 6 191 16844 14890 1 287 4 158 5 165 6 174 14890 13113 2 348 2 112 4 145 6 154 13113 11531 4 038 4 099 4 146 6 150 11531 10124 6 063 6 085 4 132 5 155 10124 8870 7 070 7 069 4 100 3 160 8870 7754 8 062 6 053 5 063 1 107 7754 6764 7 047 5*034 6 048 3 052 6764 5888 7 034 5*026 6*042 7 041 5888 5111 6 024 5 022 7*036 8 032 5111 4413 3*007 5 017 8 026 9 025 4413 3793 3*329 5 012 9 013 10 019 3793 3274 3 321 6 010 9 009 10 007 3274 2875 3 316 6 008 9 008 11 348 2875 2601 3 314 6 008 9 006 10 339 2601 2434 3 312 5 008 8 006 8*338 2434 2339 2 312 5 007 7 005 4*337 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography