DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 83.2 - - 79.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 339 - - 109 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1412 - - 3351 - - 2137 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2990 - - 4544 - - 3136 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3735 - - 5674 - - 4460 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1515 - - 2059 - - 1610 - - 482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 429 - - 253 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 16 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 358 - - 344 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7473 - - -6904 - - -6037 - - -5026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11209 - - 12578 - - 10497 - - 7365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15250 - - -14047 - - -12620 - - -14838 ODpotential blCL - - - 18985 - - 19721 - - 17080 - - 17177 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 24 - - 32 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 83.2 - - 79.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 36.1 - - 41.8 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 81.0 - - 78.6 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 35.7 - - 41.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 339 - - 109 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1412 - - 3351 - - 2137 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98041 1 132 7 185 13 252 7 272 98041 90741 5 356 4 211 5 196 3 055 90741 85100 2 163 7 278 2 356 5 085 85100 80412 3 136 4 231 8 326 8 017 80412 76387 2 101 1 166 2 096 10 358 76387 72845 6 110 1 083 2 065 10 029 72845 69639 3 043 2 348 4 015 5 029 69639 66689 2 317 6 312 9 002 4 141 66689 63944 3 220 7 260 12 299 7 303 63944 61296 1 128 7 193 8 244 11 281 61296 58548 12 295 9 309 4 298 6 270 58548 55707 20 284 22 297 25 304 22 312 55707 53001 17 293 21 291 26 302 28 301 53001 50556 27 332 27 324 29 321 28 319 50556 48357 39 331 33 323 34 320 36 321 48357 46355 44 332 36 325 39 316 40 319 46355 44519 45 334 38 331 36 325 36 327 44519 42826 43 344 34 346 32 339 34 338 42826 41253 43 353 34 001 31 356 31 352 41253 39780 42 009 36 008 31 003 28 005 39780 38394 45 017 37 011 30 002 26 013 38394 37060 46 017 38 013 29 001 26 012 37060 35707 46 012 38 013 29 003 25 004 35707 34309 48 000 38 010 29 005 23 000 34309 32865 52 355 38 356 27 001 21 001 32865 31361 51 359 38 351 27 353 18 358 31361 29784 46 008 35 356 27 352 18 346 29784 28136 43 014 31 001 25 355 18 341 28136 26418 41 015 29 004 24 351 18 331 26418 24633 41 014 28 004 26 342 22 329 24633 22785 41 012 29 005 28 347 27 334 22785 20869 43 015 30 008 27 000 27 338 20869 18879 42 022 31 018 27 008 22 348 18879 16853 37 027 30 026 26 022 19 003 16853 14902 29 036 27 029 25 030 18 016 14902 13125 23 044 21 031 23 031 17 023 13125 11543 18 044 17 030 19 028 14 029 11543 10135 16 039 14 023 16 022 13 039 10135 8879 12 026 14 014 14 021 13 043 8879 7759 12 008 15 008 15 018 14 041 7759 6765 16 360 17 005 18 009 17 032 6765 5887 18 360 18*003 18 005 19 025 5887 5109 17 003 18*002 15*001 20 019 5109 4411 14 002 17 000 13*353 18 015 4411 3791 11*358 16 357 13 345 17 004 3791 3273 10*357 16 356 12 342 17 351 3273 2874 10 357 15 355 12 341 16 338 2874 2600 9 356 14 354 12 340 12 329 2600 2434 8 356 13 354 11 340 8*325 2434 2339 7 356 11 354 9 339 3*305 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography