DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.3 - - 92.1 - - 99.0 - - 96.5 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 271 - - 392 - - 218 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1769 - - 4254 - - 2310 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 3298 - - 5293 - - 3618 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4092 - - 6578 - - 4634 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 161 - - 1021 - - 2385 - - 3814 - - 468 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 322 - - 488 - - 328 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 18 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 252 - - 272 - - 299 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7997 - - -8900 - - -7861 - - -8154 - - -6841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10336 - - 12993 - - 14440 - - 12789 - - 9182 sfcLCL ODpotential -16226 - - -13391 - - -11169 - - -11567 - - -13415 ODpotential blCL 18565 - - 17483 - - 17747 - - 16201 - - 15755 blCL maxRH 42 - - 37 - - 37 - - 62 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.3 - - 92.1 - - 99.0 - - 96.5 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 43.5 - - 43.5 - - 48.4 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.8 - - 90.3 - - 96.5 - - 94.8 - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 43.0 - - 43.0 - - 48.0 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 271 - - 392 - - 218 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1769 - - 4254 - - 2310 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 32 096 37 108 31 111 30 124 19 088 99291 91789 31 102 28 108 32 114 23 114 23 096 91789 85993 33 099 27 111 25 113 27 101 23 105 85993 81198 27 093 24 112 26 099 26 096 25 110 81198 77071 23 096 19 105 21 095 26 087 23 106 77071 73430 19 103 15 114 20 113 19 081 18 086 73430 70145 13 107 14 112 9 068 16 090 12 081 70145 67127 10 109 11 097 5 096 10 069 11 092 67127 64338 8 078 5 071 10 109 7 117 3 031 64338 61661 6 360 5 086 2 046 5 101 2 082 61661 58885 6 294 6 072 4 346 5 341 5 035 58885 56025 8 258 2 296 6 291 8 310 5 342 56025 53324 9 245 5 226 9 233 10 258 8 303 53324 50912 9 229 8 209 14 221 17 232 13 251 50912 48753 10 244 13 221 17 220 22 221 20 231 48753 46788 17 234 22 222 22 221 22 221 22 222 46788 44976 21 226 23 220 23 223 22 220 22 215 44976 43293 21 226 22 218 24 221 25 221 24 217 43293 41720 21 231 20 216 23 216 28 219 27 217 41720 40237 19 234 18 220 20 213 25 213 26 213 40237 38835 18 235 17 223 18 210 22 211 25 210 38835 37479 16 238 14 225 16 208 23 210 25 209 37479 36103 11 249 10 226 16 210 22 206 25 207 36103 34680 8 239 9 218 17 210 19 204 24 203 34680 33214 10 221 9 209 15 205 17 210 22 201 33214 31693 10 222 7 210 11 200 14 211 15 198 31693 30102 9 228 5 221 7 200 13 188 16 186 30102 28443 9 233 5 231 6 213 11 177 18 181 28443 26716 8 248 7 244 7 237 6 185 14 176 26716 24926 8 264 9 253 8 242 5 213 8 165 24926 23074 9 259 9 251 7 230 5 212 5 163 23074 21153 10 245 9 243 7 219 7 218 6 195 21153 19156 9 221 10 228 10 222 9 229 7 218 19156 17121 7 196 11 222 11 234 10 254 6 242 17121 15157 5 165 8 220 8 242 7 279 2 269 15157 13365 5 119 3 198 3 244 4 328 2 023 13365 11764 4 086 2 070 1 066 3 026 3 038 11764 10333 2 033 1 014 2 025 1 009 2 035 10333 9054 2 006 1 333 2 327 1 246 3 010 9054 7911 2 351 2 294 3 291 2 193 3 347 7911 6893 2 319 4 281 3*274 3 185 2 294 6893 5992 3 306 5 274 4*271 3 192 3 222 5992 5192 4 295 5 265 4 269 3*217 5 218 5192 4472 5 286 3*251 4 270 3*253 6 221 4472 3833 5 275 3*250 5 272 5 295 6 237 3833 3299 5 269 3 252 5 274 7 303 7 290 3299 2889 4 277 3 251 5 273 7 306 10 316 2889 2608 3 277 3 253 5 274 7 306 10 322 2608 2437 2 256 3 252 5 273 7 306 8*323 2437 2340 1*191 3 253 5 274 6 306 4*322 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography