DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 83.6 - - 84.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 410 - - 172 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2931 - - 5204 - - 5847 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4190 - - 6052 - - 6121 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5254 - - 7527 - - 8171 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1329 - - 1259 - - 1266 - - 1560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 396 - - 528 - - 411 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 34 - - 34 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 160 - - 172 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 20 - - 38 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6093 - - -5683 - - -4956 - - -7004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11347 - - 13211 - - 13128 - - 9343 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13285 - - -11541 - - -10374 - - -14591 ODpotential blCL - - - 18539 - - 19068 - - 18545 - - 16930 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 28 - - 34 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 83.6 - - 84.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 33.6 - - 34.6 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 81.1 - - 82.9 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 33.3 - - 34.3 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 410 - - 172 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2931 - - 5204 - - 5847 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98827 8 097 6 098 15 138 5 113 98827 91421 14 133 8 140 5 113 10 101 91421 85662 13 097 13 134 8 102 13 076 85662 80882 12 072 17 108 13 098 14 074 80882 76802 13 082 17 107 12 074 15 097 76802 73208 13 098 15 107 11 084 15 089 73208 69946 14 103 10 121 5 058 12 056 69946 66952 5 108 5 103 0 088 6 008 66952 64182 5 126 5 212 8 248 6 259 64182 61505 8 280 4 279 12 262 9 271 61505 58717 15 257 12 259 15 250 17 256 58717 55831 25 268 27 266 26 260 26 259 55831 53089 36 264 39 260 38 256 38 261 53089 50629 44 259 46 259 53 257 53 258 50629 48418 48 263 52 261 59 255 61 255 48418 46404 51 263 54 261 59 256 68 256 46404 44553 50 260 53 260 62 256 71 256 44553 42836 48 257 51 261 61 255 66 255 42836 41239 43 257 46 261 53 254 60 256 41239 39746 33 258 40 258 48 257 52 253 39746 38351 32 261 34 259 43 261 42 256 38351 37013 30 263 31 263 40 258 39 259 37013 35658 31 261 30 264 32 264 36 262 35658 34260 31 259 29 267 27 273 31 267 34260 32818 30 265 29 269 26 274 27 273 32818 31315 28 270 28 267 26 272 25 273 31315 29740 26 270 27 265 26 270 23 268 29740 28100 26 267 26 266 25 267 22 263 28100 26394 26 267 27 270 25 268 21 258 26394 24621 24 271 26 272 23 272 20 258 24621 22778 21 275 21 271 18 268 18 256 22778 20864 19 269 18 268 14 259 16 252 20864 18877 18 261 19 259 16 258 16 253 18877 16855 18 254 20 254 17 261 14 257 16855 14904 16 249 19 253 16 259 13 253 14904 13127 15 243 17 251 15 253 16 251 13127 11546 13 241 15 248 15 250 20 251 11546 10140 11 244 12 242 12 234 19 248 10140 8886 7 245 8 224 7*202 17 222 8886 7771 4 233 5*203 5*198 16 182 7771 6781 3 195 4*199 4 197 12 172 6781 5904 5*172 4 195 3 188 10 158 5904 5125 5*161 3 176 2 166 9 130 5125 4424 5 155 3 154 2 136 9 104 4424 3803 4 143 3 135 2 120 10 086 3803 3281 4 137 3 128 2 107 11 070 3281 2880 4 134 3 122 2 100 10 055 2880 2603 4 132 3 119 2 096 9 044 2603 2435 4 130 3 119 2 095 7 034 2435 2339 4 131 3 118 1 092 5*030 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography