DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.8 - - 77.5 - - 73.5 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 305 - - 445 - - 276 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1656 - - 3167 - - 1807 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3256 - - 4488 - - 3332 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3979 - - 5489 - - 4129 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 346 - - 1120 - - 1920 - - 1846 - - 758 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 330 - - 462 - - 327 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 344 - - 346 - - 324 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 3 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4834 - - -6129 - - -5076 - - -3848 - - -4123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7173 - - 10109 - - 10565 - - 7977 - - 6461 sfcLCL ODpotential -14052 - - -13608 - - -11085 - - -7640 - - -10643 ODpotential blCL 16390 - - 17587 - - 16574 - - 11769 - - 12981 blCL maxRH 32 - - 38 - - 39 - - 47 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.8 - - 77.5 - - 73.5 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 35.8 - - 39.2 - - 46.6 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 69.9 - - 75.0 - - 71.7 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 34.8 - - 38.4 - - 46.2 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 305 - - 445 - - 276 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1656 - - 3167 - - 1807 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98257 4 300 11 301 2 127 8 215 13 281 98257 90768 5 159 11 234 8 251 8 286 7 262 90768 85004 1 171 8 190 9 220 9 280 4 295 85004 80240 1 051 4 205 7 250 9 276 3 043 80240 76148 4 045 3 212 5 282 4 331 8 000 76148 72556 5 026 1 201 7 273 2 302 4 010 72556 69314 11 334 1 033 8 265 9 315 6 339 69314 66334 13 294 7 288 12 282 12 285 12 294 66334 63565 18 281 13 272 14 259 10 283 13 299 63565 60860 21 271 22 281 21 271 23 282 29 293 60860 58041 23 269 25 278 27 266 27 267 34 273 58041 55130 29 277 28 279 29 280 26 266 31 260 55130 52356 36 268 37 274 37 282 36 283 34 273 52356 49869 37 261 43 268 45 275 47 282 48 279 49869 47655 40 267 49 270 48 272 54 277 54 276 47655 45658 46 277 47 276 51 275 56 275 57 277 45658 43839 49 282 48 281 52 277 58 277 60 281 43839 42168 46 285 49 284 56 282 63 281 64 284 42168 40620 48 293 53 286 62 283 67 282 67 285 40620 39173 48 295 55 286 62 281 68 282 69 285 39173 37813 46 292 54 285 59 281 67 283 68 286 37813 36500 46 288 53 284 57 283 67 284 66 288 36500 35169 46 284 51 284 56 283 67 285 59 291 35169 33793 46 283 49 283 55 284 67 287 50 293 33793 32375 46 282 48 282 55 287 67 288 42 296 32375 30898 46 282 47 280 54 289 65 289 37 301 30898 29351 45 283 47 279 52 286 62 290 36 304 29351 27735 44 285 47 279 50 286 59 291 36 306 27735 26049 43 287 47 283 49 289 55 294 35 309 26049 24293 41 290 43 286 45 292 48 297 33 308 24293 22473 35 293 37 293 43 295 42 300 31 309 22473 20581 30 296 34 300 42 299 36 303 28 313 20581 18616 27 299 31 302 37 297 33 304 25 316 18616 16623 25 299 29 299 32 294 28 307 23 319 16623 14709 24 298 27 297 25 298 23 314 19 326 14709 12967 22 301 23 304 19 307 18 323 17 333 12967 11413 18 306 18 315 16 319 16 333 16 339 11413 10028 16 306 15 321 15 330 14 340 18 343 10028 8791 15 307 14 323 15 338 13 345 19 345 8791 7689 14 315 14 329 12 345 11 351 19 346 7689 6709 14 325 13 335 9 356 10 359 17 348 6709 5841 12 331 10 339 8*001 11 002 17 350 5841 5072 10 337 7 349 8*359 11 356 17 350 5072 4381 9 341 6*357 9 353 12*348 19 344 4381 3769 8 340 6*354 10 346 14*329 20 336 3769 3257 8 334 6 346 10 343 15 325 20 325 3257 2865 10 325 6 342 10 341 15 324 17 316 2865 2596 10 320 6 338 10 339 15 323 14 311 2596 2432 8*317 6 338 10 339 14 322 12 310 2432 2338 3*307 5 337 8 338 11 322 7*308 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography