DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 83.1 - - 77.9 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 309 - - 102 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 4092 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2804 - - 5079 - - 3109 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3503 - - 6415 - - 4490 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 896 - - 1864 - - 1931 - - 851 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 445 - - 249 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 197 - - 216 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 10 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5049 - - -4084 - - -3122 - - -797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8552 - - 10499 - - 7612 - - 3137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9067 - - -7832 - - -7177 - - -8185 ODpotential blCL - - - 12570 - - 14247 - - 11667 - - 10524 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 38 - - 51 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 83.1 - - 77.9 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 44.9 - - 52.4 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 80.9 - - 76.9 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 44.6 - - 52.3 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 309 - - 102 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 4092 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97863 8 100 6 164 4 351 4 080 97863 90588 8 093 9 119 2 153 9 070 90588 84947 10 093 10 104 3 163 8 040 84947 80275 11 092 9 073 6 096 6 034 80275 76268 13 071 10 051 7 063 8 049 76268 72734 12 063 9 035 11 038 12 036 72734 69538 10 050 8 010 11 008 11 003 69538 66604 14 004 14 350 15 349 10 351 66604 63888 18 346 17 341 17 348 10 345 63888 61259 19 334 21 341 21 335 14 333 61259 58527 23 319 22 322 24 327 22 341 58527 55709 27 312 31 310 34 317 30 335 55709 53021 30 298 35 288 30 299 32 324 53021 50586 30 300 33 286 27 301 27 315 50586 48385 38 297 35 288 27 307 22 331 48385 46378 46 290 43 285 29 303 27 006 46378 44521 51 283 49 283 33 295 35 008 44521 42788 49 278 48 281 33 291 29 355 42788 41162 43 272 44 280 33 292 29 346 41162 39638 39 270 40 271 34 286 23 320 39638 38211 34 268 37 261 35 276 26 296 38211 36843 30 260 34 253 35 266 28 280 36843 35466 28 258 31 246 34 255 29 269 35466 34051 28 256 30 244 34 245 30 261 34051 32598 28 255 31 245 34 241 32 251 32598 31089 28 253 31 245 34 241 32 248 31089 29513 27 248 30 246 30 241 30 248 29513 27871 25 244 27 245 25 242 26 248 27871 26162 21 240 23 246 19 244 20 250 26162 24388 20 232 18 248 13 240 12 254 24388 22557 20 229 16 235 13 226 10 241 22557 20665 18 229 17 224 15 222 15 230 20665 18706 16 220 17 221 16 226 19 224 18706 16713 16 199 17 211 17 220 19 216 16713 14791 20 195 20 205 19 207 18 212 14791 13039 24 187 24 198 21 193 18 208 13039 11476 25 172 27 192 23 179 18 195 11476 10083 23 158 26 186 23 167 20 179 10083 8841 21 146 23 175 20 151 20 164 8841 7733 19 142 17 162 17 137 19 146 7733 6747 17 145 10*155 13 136 18 129 6747 5872 14 147 6*166 9 157 16 118 5872 5095 9 149 6 183 8*191 11 126 5095 4397 4 148 6 196 10*208 7 187 4397 3780 2*215 6 202 11 214 10 225 3780 3265 4*269 6 207 10 218 12 241 3265 2870 5 270 6 211 10 219 12 255 2870 2599 5 270 6 212 10 220 10 263 2599 2433 5 270 6 214 9 221 8*267 2433 2339 4 269 6 214 8 222 4*270 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography