DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 85.4 - - 90.4 - - 89.3 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 249 - - 355 - - 124 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2493 - - 5858 - - 5608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 3793 - - 6512 - - 5727 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4816 - - 8182 - - 7931 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 210 - - 2430 - - 1915 - - 2714 - - 661 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 350 - - 524 - - 365 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 90 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 059 - - 055 - - 300 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 19 - - 32 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6456 - - -7599 - - -5085 - - -4606 - - -4728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8795 - - 12416 - - 13267 - - 12538 - - 7067 sfcLCL ODpotential -14496 - - -12014 - - -8580 - - -8117 - - -10619 ODpotential blCL 16835 - - 16830 - - 16762 - - 16048 - - 12958 blCL maxRH 56 - - 73 - - 74 - - 91 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 120 - - 140 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 85.4 - - 90.4 - - 89.3 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 39.2 - - 40.0 - - 42.2 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.5 - - 83.6 - - 88.0 - - 88.1 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 38.9 - - 39.6 - - 42.0 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 249 - - 355 - - 124 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2493 - - 5858 - - 5608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98152 15 046 15 089 17 149 7 151 3 081 98152 90770 14 108 15 077 14 127 8 102 6 111 90770 85091 16 097 14 077 11 098 16 107 10 075 85091 80408 13 075 11 106 8 067 15 100 13 073 80408 76369 10 071 12 107 11 093 13 093 15 089 76369 72800 7 097 11 093 17 097 14 086 13 096 72800 69584 11 106 10 092 13 103 13 077 13 096 69584 66642 13 108 7 100 8 101 8 075 11 083 66642 63921 10 093 8 100 8 093 6 078 9 099 63921 61295 3 048 4 093 6 075 7 080 8 118 61295 58571 1 118 5 156 5 198 4 340 5 080 58571 55753 2 056 3 190 9 206 12 243 9 313 55753 53062 8 309 2 279 6 203 16 226 18 266 53062 50641 13 278 9 251 9 231 18 225 20 243 50641 48472 13 253 12 230 14 237 14 223 19 238 48472 46493 17 253 15 244 16 246 15 237 20 236 46493 44663 23 252 19 248 18 251 22 242 23 233 44663 42959 26 241 22 238 24 241 27 234 25 224 42959 41364 26 228 25 228 27 234 29 229 23 227 41364 39873 27 225 26 221 32 224 34 233 26 243 39873 38478 27 225 25 218 36 215 48 231 48 222 38478 37135 28 228 26 218 38 212 58 219 53 215 37135 35771 29 231 26 215 38 212 51 217 51 209 35771 34358 29 233 25 214 38 216 44 218 39 213 34358 32900 27 233 24 215 37 220 38 235 26 210 32900 31386 23 229 22 212 29 220 26 252 22 210 31386 29802 19 221 20 200 22 211 13 215 9 232 29802 28151 17 213 20 191 18 208 14 200 3 185 28151 26431 16 202 20 198 14 216 11 201 7 165 26431 24644 17 197 17 198 13 200 12 200 8 146 24644 22797 16 182 13 183 17 186 13 195 6 141 22797 20884 13 167 12 182 18 184 10 177 8 129 20884 18902 14 153 13 206 15 190 7 140 14 119 18902 16892 12 163 12 217 10 202 7 091 16 125 16892 14956 7 194 11 226 8 219 7 068 14 132 14956 13189 6 234 11 228 8 232 5 078 13 136 13189 11612 6 244 10 220 8 220 6 132 12 133 11612 10200 6 234 9 205 7 201 7 170 11 131 10200 8938 7 224 8 190 4*197 6*180 9 123 8938 7810 8 215 7 178 3*210 5*190 5 090 7810 6808 8 209 4 183 1 215 3 214 4 019 6808 5922 7 201 1 165 0 216 2 265 5 353 5922 5137 6 185 3*090 1 045 3 305 6 341 5137 4430 4 157 4*072 2 046 4 318 9 326 4430 3804 3 127 5 059 3 048 6 322 12 312 3804 3281 7 067 5 057 3 048 6 322 15 306 3281 2879 10 047 6 056 4 048 6 323 16 307 2879 2603 10 039 5 055 4 050 6 323 13 310 2603 2435 7 034 5 055 4 049 6 324 10 312 2435 2339 3*038 5 055 3 049 5 322 5*314 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography