DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.1 - - 47.9 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 249 - - 66 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 1778 - - 1312 - - 882 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2882 - - 3278 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3725 - - 4099 - - 3633 - - 3202 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1539 - - 2119 - - 2120 - - 1867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 314 - - 187 - - 105 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 294 - - 296 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 707 - - 617 - - 1134 - - 865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3018 - - 3482 - - 2500 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 281 - - 303 - - 499 - - 241 ODpotential blCL - - - 3444 - - 3796 - - 3134 - - 2961 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.1 - - 47.9 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 49.4 - - 47.3 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 43.4 - - 44.1 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 249 - - 66 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 1778 - - 1312 - - 882 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 88 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97475 22 275 28 286 34 293 38 299 97475 90122 25 297 28 287 27 296 29 306 90122 84434 28 282 28 291 26 300 24 310 84434 79701 24 271 24 290 26 289 26 301 79701 75651 18 284 20 282 20 284 23 288 75651 72082 19 292 23 283 17 291 18 275 72082 68835 23 274 28 274 25 286 19 277 68835 65828 21 255 29 259 28 271 26 276 65828 63024 19 260 24 255 31 258 31 266 63024 60302 21 268 25 259 33 253 35 259 60302 57463 29 264 30 257 34 262 35 265 57463 54509 36 264 36 263 38 264 36 265 54509 51678 42 266 39 266 38 262 37 262 51678 49125 44 265 44 264 39 260 38 262 49125 46837 49 264 47 255 40 259 39 262 46837 44761 51 255 44 252 41 259 40 261 44761 42863 46 249 42 252 42 254 39 261 42863 41118 45 253 44 249 42 250 37 262 41118 39505 50 252 47 241 40 247 35 261 39505 38005 54 248 47 238 40 241 34 256 38005 36607 55 241 49 237 39 236 29 254 36607 35275 50 235 49 230 36 233 23 252 35275 33940 47 236 47 221 33 229 19 250 33940 32572 50 238 48 219 31 225 14 248 32572 31173 55 239 55 222 29 222 10 239 31173 29736 57 239 60 223 26 219 9 179 29736 28247 50 239 59 225 26 210 11 116 28247 26696 41 237 51 228 28 194 11 086 26696 25076 38 230 38 231 22 186 6 079 25076 23390 37 226 26 226 10 211 1 005 23390 21644 31 234 26 226 10 219 9 285 21644 19832 28 242 26 221 15 252 12 282 19832 17947 25 242 21 221 16 241 12 269 17947 16028 14 234 14 216 11 210 9 260 16028 14181 10 233 11 199 7 199 4 239 14181 12502 10 232 9 196 8 202 1 142 12502 11011 12 228 8 199 9 178 3 088 11011 9684 13 226 9 209 11 147 3 095 9684 8502 11 218 10 201 11 143 2 137 8502 7449 10 200 9 186 9 167 2 202 7449 6512 10 193 9 183 5 220 3 246 6512 5684 8 221 7 193 7 268 7 268 5684 4951 10 263 6 224 10 287 13 283 4951 4294 11*272 7*270 14 294 17 288 4294 3711 10*274 10*290 16*295 18 289 3711 3222 10 274 11 294 16*296 18*289 3222 2846 9 274 11 295 16 296 17*289 2846 2586 9 274 11 295 15 296 15 289 2586 2428 8 274 10 295 14 296 13 288 2428 2337 7 274 9 295 9 296 9 289 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography