DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 91.5 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 466 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1660 - - 3497 - - - - - 221 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3279 - - 4756 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3983 - - 5821 - - - - - 2544 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1487 - - 2411 - - - - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 483 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 318 - - - - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9617 - - -9000 - - - - - -7208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13600 - - 14822 - - - - - 9753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18164 - - -16574 - - - - - -17338 ODpotential blCL - - - 22147 - - 22395 - - - - - 19882 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 27 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 91.5 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 34.6 - - - - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 88.6 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 34.0 - - - - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 466 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1660 - - 3497 - - - - - 221 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99433 50 112 46 110 33 115 99433 91917 36 109 37 109 42 107 91917 86133 28 123 30 114 41 101 86133 81347 31 125 27 122 31 100 81347 77232 29 111 26 121 28 102 77232 73607 25 116 24 113 24 115 73607 70335 26 119 23 125 22 120 70335 67330 18 108 24 115 14 073 67330 64558 9 138 17 106 9 114 64558 61890 13 155 6 160 15 119 61890 59133 8 142 13 180 4 158 59133 56312 11 239 14 212 13 220 56312 53654 19 236 20 230 17 239 53654 51276 25 273 20 248 20 232 51276 49133 35 269 28 269 15 256 49133 47170 34 258 32 266 18 275 47170 45352 33 257 33 268 24 275 45352 43654 32 262 33 266 26 265 43654 42060 30 266 30 265 25 263 42060 40558 28 281 28 279 26 250 40558 39137 32 294 33 292 23 264 39137 37766 34 296 36 292 24 280 37766 36379 35 289 36 289 29 282 36379 34946 34 283 33 284 31 279 34946 33464 33 279 31 275 31 278 33464 31920 33 283 31 274 29 272 31920 30304 32 287 31 279 28 276 30304 28619 32 287 31 280 27 284 28619 26865 28 283 27 276 26 283 26865 25047 22 274 23 265 25 272 25047 23162 20 266 23 256 23 270 23162 21205 18 267 22 260 20 266 21205 19173 16 278 18 269 14 264 19173 17107 11 283 11 274 8 261 17107 15117 5 293 6 277 6 265 15117 13303 2 281 4 255 5 285 13303 11688 2 257 4 246 4 313 11688 10253 2 300 3 252 4 318 10253 8977 3 333 2 292 4 262 8977 7843 4 325 2 327 6 228 7843 6836 5 315 2 329 6 220 6836 5943 5 310 3*324 6 231 5943 5152 4 313 4*321 5 256 5152 4440 5*316 6 319 5 290 4440 3810 6*317 7 319 9 321 3810 3283 7 317 8 318 15 324 3283 2880 7 318 9 318 15 321 2880 2603 7 316 8 317 13*321 2603 2435 6 317 8 317 11*320 2435 2339 6 316 7 317 7 319 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography