DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 95.7 - - 92.9 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 398 - - 235 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1366 - - 3191 - - 1307 - - 145 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3039 - - 4475 - - 2928 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3689 - - 5515 - - 3631 - - 2468 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 676 - - 1277 - - 1954 - - 322 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 446 - - 278 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 20 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 221 - - 327 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 14 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7198 - - -8424 - - -7942 - - -4371 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10887 - - 13940 - - 11574 - - 6840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12048 - - -12002 - - -11531 - - -11042 ODpotential blCL - - - 15737 - - 17517 - - 15162 - - 13510 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 74 - - 74 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 95.7 - - 92.9 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 42.7 - - 50.5 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 93.3 - - 91.0 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 42.2 - - 50.2 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 398 - - 235 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1366 - - 3191 - - 1307 - - 145 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99297 42 110 34 111 28 115 26 094 99297 91791 35 108 28 109 29 108 31 106 91791 86012 34 108 31 112 29 091 37 110 86012 81241 33 108 34 108 31 115 33 104 81241 77155 29 103 31 102 31 108 26 112 77155 73542 25 097 29 115 26 091 23 117 73542 70258 18 103 22 115 17 104 18 078 70258 67250 14 116 17 123 19 134 8 078 67250 64478 8 136 14 134 13 131 8 132 64478 61797 12 143 9 163 6 117 8 123 61797 59020 12 138 10 192 4 263 5 063 59020 56178 14 156 10 202 8 230 4 322 56178 53508 9 184 10 182 13 192 11 217 53508 51124 7 238 10 166 16 174 20 191 51124 48980 6 238 9 188 12 186 17 186 48980 47022 9 221 16 207 15 209 17 198 47022 45214 15 233 20 229 20 224 18 211 45214 43526 23 240 28 240 25 232 20 224 43526 41940 28 237 32 241 26 240 23 241 41940 40446 28 236 34 243 32 243 29 245 40446 39032 25 236 27 238 25 242 29 243 39032 37665 23 236 23 237 19 233 25 230 37665 36280 20 232 19 238 17 230 17 219 36280 34849 18 228 16 230 17 229 14 226 34849 33372 16 230 16 224 17 223 15 218 33372 31835 15 234 16 220 17 211 16 207 31835 30226 14 236 16 210 17 205 16 199 30226 28548 10 227 16 200 16 198 16 194 28548 26803 9 206 15 191 14 190 15 184 26803 24998 9 193 13 203 10 185 14 164 24998 23137 15 202 17 209 12 189 13 153 23137 21211 22 197 20 198 19 187 18 176 21211 19212 24 195 21 190 23 183 22 178 19212 17174 22 207 18 203 19 177 20 170 17174 15204 19 218 16 218 11 188 15 154 15204 13404 15 226 13 233 7 229 8 149 13404 11795 11 228 11 245 6 262 1 159 11795 10357 8 226 8 243 4 276 2 332 10357 9072 6 222 6 224 2 272 3 344 9072 7924 4 226 5 216 2 249 2 356 7924 6902 4 229 4 212 2 202 2 352 6902 5997 4 219 4*195 3 151 2 329 5997 5193 6 192 4*203 4 146 2 304 5193 4471 7 181 4 210 3 145 1 244 4471 3831 6*190 4 221 0*102 2 199 3831 3297 5*207 4 226 4*328 4 306 3297 2887 5 212 4 228 5 328 9 326 2887 2607 5 216 4 231 5 326 10*328 2607 2437 4 217 4 232 5 327 8*327 2437 2340 4 218 4 232 5 325 5 326 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography