DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.6 - - 53.8 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 147 - - 216 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1098 - - 2966 - - 577 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2517 - - 4085 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3419 - - 5288 - - 2899 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 624 - - 798 - - 1922 - - 1942 - - 3381 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 226 - - 354 - - 72 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 241 - - 258 - - 241 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - 3 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -623 - - 174 - - 561 - - -571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 4042 - - 5114 - - 2338 - - 2909 sfcLCL ODpotential -9104 - - -6310 - - -248 - - -152 - - -1773 ODpotential blCL 11441 - - 9729 - - 5536 - - 3051 - - 4111 blCL maxRH 98 - - 76 - - 98 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 60 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 43.6 - - 53.8 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 - - 51.2 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 52.7 - - 58.6 - - 53.2 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 43.4 - - 45.5 - - 51.0 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 147 - - 216 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1098 - - 2966 - - 577 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 2 - - 92 - - 99 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 29 283 30 272 36 273 37 278 36 290 96668 89633 35 276 32 291 25 299 23 282 28 284 89633 84214 23 259 28 285 25 302 18 300 19 275 84214 79697 8 268 17 285 21 285 19 287 17 295 79697 75766 12 310 15 278 19 271 22 274 21 290 75766 72263 19 300 13 274 14 276 15 260 14 276 72263 69061 19 300 14 276 14 279 14 284 14 287 69061 66098 17 283 20 266 24 275 23 277 22 289 66098 63358 21 260 23 261 25 260 25 271 23 276 63358 60706 24 260 21 274 23 269 19 269 18 274 60706 57936 28 268 23 278 25 272 22 285 27 288 57936 55079 39 282 32 285 30 287 36 283 36 286 55079 52364 59 279 53 283 56 280 46 284 38 287 52364 49916 73 267 73 271 69 274 51 289 47 298 49916 47708 82 266 77 268 68 278 62 293 58 293 47708 45696 99 268 82 270 74 281 78 277 69 281 45696 43855 115 266 93 269 91 273 91 274 70 282 43855 42161 122 265 101 268 98 274 100 277 66 295 42161 40581 122 264 106 268 108 274 90 279 78 307 40581 39094 122 263 107 268 111 268 87 288 97 300 39094 37693 123 264 105 264 103 265 95 291 108 291 37693 36349 117 264 97 259 95 272 101 290 110 287 36349 34996 106 264 89 259 100 280 103 289 103 286 34996 33604 99 263 90 265 104 281 103 287 94 292 33604 32176 98 261 94 267 101 273 102 287 93 303 32176 30695 98 260 96 262 98 265 97 290 99 307 30695 29146 92 258 95 257 98 260 93 292 102 306 29146 27525 82 256 91 255 95 259 81 290 99 305 27525 25831 74 254 85 255 90 264 73 294 94 307 25831 24071 66 250 79 254 79 269 73 296 89 306 24071 22245 61 247 74 252 67 273 71 293 91 306 22245 20351 58 247 71 252 61 274 67 294 83 307 20351 18390 55 245 65 249 56 278 64 298 65 305 18390 16398 50 242 55 243 47 276 58 296 54 304 16398 14479 41 238 47 235 42 270 50 289 49 303 14479 12736 35 230 41 227 33 261 43 286 42 303 12736 11194 33 223 34 221 28 254 32 282 31 304 11194 9831 29 220 27 220 26 253 19 263 18 303 9831 8622 25 219 21 228 23 253 12 234 12 288 8622 7549 20 217 18 244 20 256 11 233 7 253 7549 6597 18 214 18 259 18 258 13 248 6 218 6597 5755 17 212 19 266 16*260 13 254 5 224 5755 5008 17 212 20 268 13*259 12 254 5 246 5008 4337 18 217 20 263 12 258 11 249 7 273 4337 3741 18 225 18*257 11 257 9 245 9 288 3741 3241 16 229 15*245 11 258 8*242 9 294 3241 2857 14 226 14 241 11 257 6*241 8 293 2857 2591 12 219 13 240 10 257 4 241 7 288 2591 2430 10 218 12 240 9 258 4 240 5*287 2430 2338 5*218 9 239 8 258 3 243 3*284 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography