DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 63.0 - - 63.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 150 - - 150 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1518 - - 2152 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2893 - - 3364 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3840 - - 4473 - - 3391 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 526 - - 1952 - - 4221 - - 2469 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 252 - - 287 - - 114 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 191 - - 148 - - 096 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 20 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -550 - - -447 - - 982 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 4391 - - 4920 - - 2409 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -3237 - - -2608 - - -1525 - - 128 - - -2976 ODpotential blCL 5575 - - 6448 - - 5998 - - 3263 - - 5314 blCL maxRH 98 - - 89 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 540 - - 290 - - 690 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 63.0 - - 63.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 51.6 - - 49.8 - - 54.8 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 61.8 - - 62.3 - - 57.7 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.3 - - 51.3 - - 49.1 - - 54.3 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 150 - - 150 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1518 - - 2152 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 55 - - 102 - - 97 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97633 9 329 11 302 16 300 14 315 19 278 97633 90333 9 319 12 314 12 320 10 342 12 293 90333 84707 11 306 14 331 5 285 13 305 13 331 84707 80056 14 252 7 321 7 273 9 285 12 344 80056 76065 8 242 7 264 13 272 12 284 12 330 76065 72552 8 282 8 258 11 252 11 298 10 314 72552 69361 7 277 9 218 17 211 14 257 6 301 69361 66390 4 294 11 209 14 207 22 234 10 236 66390 63616 17 230 16 241 20 227 25 227 17 240 63616 60920 25 209 22 230 23 221 22 222 23 237 60920 58093 29 209 25 222 20 222 22 226 26 226 58093 55142 34 205 29 219 33 221 29 227 29 228 55142 52319 34 194 39 216 44 213 33 223 35 232 52319 49777 36 212 48 202 45 213 38 219 44 228 49777 47497 48 213 46 198 47 212 42 217 48 217 47497 45425 53 204 43 201 47 211 47 216 49 211 45425 43524 52 206 44 205 50 213 54 215 52 215 43524 41769 57 210 46 208 57 213 62 216 59 218 41769 40137 69 211 52 211 63 209 70 214 68 215 40137 38611 80 209 60 211 68 204 79 207 78 211 38611 37183 88 206 69 207 76 200 83 203 85 206 37183 35817 97 202 83 199 78 197 83 200 85 204 35817 34449 101 200 88 195 78 193 80 197 83 199 34449 33056 94 197 76 188 77 188 79 194 82 193 33056 31640 77 189 69 181 74 182 78 192 81 190 31640 30185 68 184 69 182 74 174 76 187 74 186 30185 28674 67 184 67 181 73 165 75 178 63 179 28674 27103 61 185 61 177 72 163 73 167 56 166 27103 25465 57 189 51 170 66 169 66 164 54 158 25465 23760 56 190 32 163 53 172 61 172 53 159 23760 21990 58 185 24 178 46 179 58 181 51 156 21990 20149 60 176 27 184 43 190 45 186 49 156 20149 18234 54 166 36 167 38 193 43 188 47 161 18234 16289 45 158 36 146 31 195 44 190 43 171 16289 14423 40 152 28 139 24 196 37 189 43 182 14423 12727 36 151 24 141 28 192 30 186 38 183 12727 11215 31 151 23 142 27 161 24 179 29 182 11215 9868 24 153 21 141 31 148 22 167 9 176 9868 8664 20 155 18 141 30 139 21 158 5 085 8664 7590 17 154 15 147 23 133 20 147 9 091 7590 6633 16 153 13 163 18 130 18 135 14 096 6633 5785 15 153 14 174 13 129 14 120 16 096 5785 5031 14 158 15 178 9*135 12 109 17 093 5031 4353 13 173 16*182 6*146 11 105 18 091 4353 3751 14 194 15*185 6 147 11*104 19 091 3751 3248 16 209 13 191 6 148 11*100 19 095 3248 2860 16 216 12 193 6 149 10 096 17 097 2860 2593 14 216 11 194 5 149 10 095 14 089 2593 2431 11*216 10 195 5 149 9 093 10*080 2431 2338 5*214 8 196 5 149 6 092 6*071 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography