DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 56.4 - - 57.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 372 - - 183 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2729 - - 3505 - - 2733 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3927 - - 4697 - - 3860 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5050 - - 5826 - - 5054 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 775 - - 860 - - 920 - - 1673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 452 - - 330 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 006 - - 011 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 6 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 760 - - -1131 - - -2125 - - -2431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4291 - - 6957 - - 7180 - - 4768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8528 - - -9028 - - -9861 - - -11139 ODpotential blCL - - - 13578 - - 14854 - - 14915 - - 13476 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 61 - - 54 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 56.4 - - 57.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 34.1 - - 33.8 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 54.3 - - 55.9 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 33.0 - - 32.9 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 372 - - 183 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2729 - - 3505 - - 2733 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 31 282 39 277 30 278 32 273 96719 89443 29 266 36 267 34 273 19 287 89443 83903 15 273 16 262 20 270 20 270 83903 79338 14 306 9 293 8 217 16 249 79338 75408 21 284 24 293 7 278 7 320 75408 71903 19 273 27 273 26 286 19 309 71903 68714 10 273 18 267 27 279 25 293 68714 65788 15 296 15 283 20 273 23 279 65788 63071 23 292 18 289 17 304 22 286 63071 60433 29 298 24 284 23 307 25 303 60433 57676 38 293 33 295 31 291 32 304 57676 54803 45 280 46 294 42 288 41 293 54803 52049 46 275 52 286 49 289 46 287 52049 49557 47 278 53 281 53 286 50 286 49557 47318 48 282 52 281 54 286 50 288 47318 45291 48 285 52 282 52 291 48 289 45291 43451 50 294 49 289 50 295 44 293 43451 41778 53 292 51 292 51 292 47 293 41778 40243 48 286 50 289 51 290 46 291 40243 38811 44 287 49 290 50 293 45 294 38811 37462 44 293 48 291 50 294 44 298 37462 36160 44 296 48 292 49 297 44 299 36160 34837 45 298 48 296 49 299 44 300 34837 33467 46 299 50 300 49 302 45 299 33467 32051 49 300 51 303 51 305 46 301 32051 30576 51 300 53 304 54 308 47 307 30576 29031 53 300 54 304 55 309 50 313 29031 27417 53 300 54 304 56 310 51 316 27417 25734 54 299 54 306 57 314 52 317 25734 23983 51 297 52 308 52 317 51 319 23983 22173 48 295 47 308 44 315 46 322 22173 20303 42 298 42 309 39 313 38 324 20303 18366 39 303 39 313 36 317 34 325 18366 16396 40 310 37 318 33 322 32 326 16396 14497 41 315 37 321 30 330 29 332 14497 12766 38 318 34 326 28 339 27 340 12766 11224 33 321 30 333 27 346 26 349 11224 9851 30 327 29 342 26 355 24 358 9851 8628 28 335 27 348 25 006 22 009 8628 7542 24 336 22 352 23 016 20 020 7542 6580 20 331 12*357 18 017 16 025 6580 5732 14*335 10*003 16*011 15 016 5732 4984 12*341 10 005 15*010 17 001 4984 4316 12 343 10 006 15 010 20 000 4316 3725 12 344 10 006 16 011 21 006 3725 3231 11 343 10 007 15 012 20 009 3231 2851 11 343 10 008 15 013 18 011 2851 2588 10 343 9 009 14 012 14 012 2588 2429 9 342 9 008 13 013 11 012 2429 2337 8 342 7 008 10 013 5*012 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography