DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 84.4 - - 82.4 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 478 - - 301 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1701 - - 2537 - - 1545 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3326 - - 4020 - - 3166 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4024 - - 4860 - - 3869 - - 2650 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 745 - - 1256 - - 1293 - - 392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 438 - - 318 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 15 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 325 - - 322 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6693 - - -7330 - - -7570 - - -4902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10718 - - 12191 - - 11440 - - 7552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14608 - - -13780 - - -14507 - - -13763 ODpotential blCL - - - 18632 - - 18640 - - 18376 - - 16413 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 32 - - 28 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 84.4 - - 82.4 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 39.5 - - 40.9 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 81.6 - - 80.4 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 38.9 - - 40.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 478 - - 301 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1701 - - 2537 - - 1545 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99354 29 111 30 115 25 104 29 097 99354 91782 32 102 30 106 31 101 32 104 91782 85965 28 102 27 101 29 105 32 098 85965 81168 23 116 25 106 26 102 29 103 81168 77057 25 115 22 116 25 099 28 103 77057 73439 21 105 22 105 23 107 20 099 73439 70178 18 119 16 105 17 110 16 107 70178 67193 17 120 11 136 13 108 10 095 67193 64441 13 144 14 147 8 127 10 093 64441 61791 12 170 8 172 11 187 3 129 61791 59032 15 204 15 215 14 228 9 221 59032 56193 24 220 24 222 25 225 19 228 56193 53515 28 227 30 236 23 233 21 233 53515 51109 32 248 33 241 28 241 27 248 51109 48933 45 253 42 249 38 252 38 255 48933 46942 54 245 54 248 51 253 49 255 46942 45103 59 241 60 245 59 252 56 255 45103 43394 63 244 62 246 64 251 60 254 43394 41791 64 242 63 243 66 249 62 249 41791 40274 62 246 63 243 64 246 61 250 40274 38833 60 255 60 250 58 248 58 259 38833 37436 59 258 58 255 57 253 57 267 37436 36028 60 261 61 260 61 259 58 267 36028 34588 59 272 57 271 57 272 57 275 34588 33119 49 279 46 279 44 277 49 281 33119 31601 39 273 37 270 38 271 42 275 31601 30018 40 263 40 258 42 264 46 273 30018 28369 46 264 48 262 49 267 55 276 28369 26652 48 267 51 269 52 275 59 276 26652 24865 45 271 50 274 55 281 57 277 24865 23010 40 279 42 280 50 284 57 286 23010 21080 35 277 35 277 39 281 48 291 21080 19076 28 269 31 272 32 277 34 283 19076 17034 23 265 24 270 26 276 26 277 17034 15061 18 268 17 273 18 277 20 277 15061 13261 16 272 15 279 14 285 16 283 13261 11655 15 276 13 285 13 297 13 296 11655 10224 13 284 11 294 11 306 11 310 10224 8948 11 290 9 305 9 314 9 320 8948 7813 8 292 7 314 8 317 8 327 7813 6805 6 287 5 315 6 315 8 329 6805 5915 5 266 2 331 3 310 7 324 5915 5128 5 240 2*340 2 318 6 321 5128 4422 2*224 3*336 3*321 6 330 4422 3797 2*263 5 328 7*323 8 335 3797 3274 3 299 6 325 9 322 13 330 3274 2875 3 302 6 323 10 322 14*326 2875 2601 3 305 7 323 10 321 12*325 2601 2434 3 306 6 321 9 321 11 324 2434 2339 3 305 6 321 8 320 7 323 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography