DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 85.0 - - 82.6 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 393 - - 233 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1677 - - 3124 - - 1868 - - 220 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3262 - - 4424 - - 3328 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4000 - - 5448 - - 4191 - - 2543 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1006 - - 1409 - - 1965 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 443 - - 314 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 31 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 342 - - 340 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 16 - - 9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7364 - - -7221 - - -6774 - - -4874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11364 - - 12670 - - 10966 - - 7417 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16413 - - -15076 - - -14066 - - -14353 ODpotential blCL - - - 20413 - - 20524 - - 18257 - - 16896 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 29 - - 36 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 85.0 - - 82.6 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.7 - - 42.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 82.5 - - 80.8 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 36.6 - - 41.9 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 393 - - 233 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1677 - - 3124 - - 1868 - - 220 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98531 15 133 2 102 13 083 8 121 98531 91045 17 110 15 132 10 138 10 095 91045 85299 18 105 20 123 13 134 11 115 85299 80547 16 119 17 101 17 119 13 120 80547 76477 17 128 11 099 16 112 15 105 76477 72907 20 115 12 126 9 116 13 087 72907 69685 12 116 12 111 8 104 12 080 69685 66731 9 105 10 088 8 059 10 057 66731 64004 8 127 5 134 2 319 8 010 64004 61361 7 070 3 171 4 302 10 336 61361 58608 4 075 5 230 9 252 12 289 58608 55764 11 327 7 308 6 268 13 278 55764 53052 19 302 15 305 17 298 20 287 53052 50605 23 299 23 289 27 285 27 289 50605 48412 26 304 28 295 29 290 28 297 48412 46433 34 309 29 308 28 302 27 302 46433 44628 44 313 40 316 34 315 31 315 44628 42963 51 311 51 310 48 311 43 317 42963 41413 51 312 54 310 51 305 47 310 41413 39955 53 316 54 315 49 308 45 308 39955 38575 54 322 53 320 50 314 46 314 38575 37238 56 325 54 325 51 319 47 319 37238 35880 58 326 57 325 51 324 47 322 35880 34473 55 326 56 324 52 326 47 325 34473 33019 49 325 52 324 52 326 48 326 33019 31505 44 325 45 324 48 327 48 324 31505 29921 41 322 42 323 40 327 45 325 29921 28269 39 321 40 321 36 326 38 326 28269 26549 33 321 35 321 34 325 34 325 26549 24761 27 321 29 320 32 323 31 324 24761 22907 26 321 26 320 29 322 29 325 22907 20981 27 319 27 322 26 323 26 325 20981 18975 26 321 26 322 24 321 23 322 18975 16933 24 320 23 318 24 314 22 313 16933 14968 19 319 18 314 19 310 18 305 14968 13182 14 321 12 312 13 310 12 295 13182 11592 10 328 8 302 9 309 8 286 11592 10176 8 334 7 291 9 307 7 290 10176 8912 7 325 7 288 8 304 6 300 8912 7787 7 310 7 287 7 293 5 301 7787 6789 7 297 2 279 2 221 5 257 6789 5906 7 288 1*119 3 129 3 222 5906 5123 5 281 1*090 3 103 1 173 5123 4420 1*301 1 025 3*027 2 031 4420 3796 1*336 3 341 6*348 4 014 3796 3275 2 336 4 336 8 341 10 346 3275 2875 2 335 4 333 8 339 12 335 2875 2601 2 334 4 334 8 337 11*333 2601 2434 2 329 4 332 8 336 10*332 2434 2339 2 332 4 331 7 336 6 331 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography