DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.9 - - 72.8 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 470 - - 317 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 3051 - - 1740 - - 321 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3824 - - 4413 - - 3322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4690 - - 5374 - - 4063 - - 2643 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 888 - - 1783 - - 1036 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 464 - - 338 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 313 - - 311 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 6 - - -8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7195 - - -6983 - - -6485 - - -4163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11885 - - 12358 - - 10548 - - 6807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14487 - - -13992 - - -14046 - - -13035 ODpotential blCL - - - 19177 - - 19366 - - 18109 - - 15678 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 59 - - 53 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 77.9 - - 72.8 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 31.7 - - 34.8 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 75.1 - - 70.8 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 30.8 - - 34.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 470 - - 317 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 3051 - - 1740 - - 321 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98598 11 115 14 075 21 077 20 084 98598 91130 14 076 16 099 19 088 17 081 91130 85400 16 089 14 105 16 084 18 071 85400 80648 10 115 11 110 10 087 18 068 80648 76547 13 126 4 096 13 089 15 093 76547 72923 17 121 6 137 11 095 13 097 72923 69651 8 143 4 192 8 102 12 106 69651 66644 11 116 10 181 4 233 2 144 66644 63868 7 293 2 315 1 302 4 186 63868 61185 14 230 15 247 14 286 6 290 61185 58375 9 230 17 232 21 263 21 273 58375 55446 23 269 19 233 25 252 25 265 55446 52641 32 272 23 266 27 267 24 279 52641 50121 36 272 33 276 31 269 29 279 50121 47876 40 275 34 278 30 269 29 282 47876 45855 37 282 38 283 30 285 28 303 45855 44031 41 288 37 282 40 309 37 326 44031 42367 40 285 35 291 27 312 33 297 42367 40825 29 288 32 312 33 003 23 342 40825 39384 29 307 35 330 54 009 34 007 39384 38025 34 317 36 334 57 006 30 000 38025 36708 33 317 34 324 48 359 29 350 36708 35367 26 315 33 313 38 354 33 343 35367 33975 26 324 31 306 30 352 37 337 33975 32535 31 330 30 304 27 345 36 329 32535 31035 33 329 28 305 29 327 27 317 31035 29463 32 328 27 309 34 317 26 312 29463 27820 31 331 27 316 33 310 30 311 27820 26108 25 333 25 319 30 305 26 306 26108 24332 17 336 21 311 27 300 23 288 24332 22496 15 328 22 307 26 292 25 277 22496 20596 16 321 21 314 25 294 25 280 20596 18626 17 327 16 318 22 301 20 292 18626 16622 16 331 12 310 17 305 16 302 16622 14695 13 328 11 291 13 299 13 304 14695 12943 12 321 10 284 11 286 12 301 12943 11387 11 314 9 286 9 276 12 298 11387 10003 11 314 8 292 8 273 11 295 10003 8771 9 322 8 299 7 278 11 294 8771 7672 8 329 7 305 6 280 10 296 7672 6695 6 329 5 309 5 280 9 301 6695 5830 5 315 3*312 5 287 7 313 5830 5063 3*301 3*315 6 299 8 330 5063 4374 4*297 4 315 10*309 10 338 4374 3763 4 296 5 313 13*312 13 332 3763 3253 5 295 5 313 14 312 16 320 3253 2863 5 295 6 312 14 311 15*313 2863 2594 5 295 6 311 14 311 12*309 2594 2432 5 294 6 311 13 311 11 308 2432 2338 4 294 5 311 11 310 7 307 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography