DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 73 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1450 - - 2387 - - 1088 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3102 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3771 - - 4708 - - 3410 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1131 - - 1324 - - 3277 - - 2242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 242 - - 60 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 187 - - 061 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - 9 - - 14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 940 - - 1071 - - 375 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2831 - - 3638 - - 3035 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1406 - - 84 - - -510 - - -936 ODpotential blCL - - - 5177 - - 4624 - - 3920 - - 3274 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 90 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 44.8 - - 46.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.8 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 43.6 - - 45.5 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 73 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1450 - - 2387 - - 1088 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 60 - - 101 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96566 18 303 27 293 35 313 38 297 96566 89353 14 304 16 290 19 315 21 298 89353 83855 11 293 17 300 16 310 15 288 83855 79300 5 288 13 285 18 299 14 282 79300 75343 10 284 12 267 14 293 14 280 75343 71823 15 263 15 263 13 275 17 269 71823 68623 19 249 21 267 17 268 19 264 68623 65666 22 242 24 263 22 270 21 267 65666 62915 19 244 24 258 24 264 22 259 62915 60238 19 263 23 255 24 263 23 254 60238 57431 21 258 23 251 26 265 23 262 57431 54508 20 253 23 242 25 261 24 272 54508 51723 18 260 18 237 17 259 21 272 51723 49220 15 268 10 263 11 263 14 274 49220 46982 11 268 10 294 7 293 10 319 46982 44963 7 274 6 289 6 291 10 352 44963 43119 3 245 4 013 1 050 14 017 43119 41426 7 113 7 028 7 064 19 023 41426 39861 9 080 12 041 17 068 30 031 39861 38408 11 053 21 048 26 059 46 027 38408 37058 16 046 32 054 46 052 55 036 37058 35763 22 044 46 053 63 051 62 046 35763 34447 23 046 62 055 73 054 63 047 34447 33089 19 042 73 058 78 053 60 045 33089 31692 16 039 75 058 78 054 57 043 31692 30237 14 043 67 057 78 056 57 041 30237 28711 12 057 54 055 67 056 56 039 28711 27113 11 044 37 053 44 050 55 036 27113 25446 9 304 18 060 25 042 55 035 25446 23719 18 270 5 088 13 055 55 037 23719 21934 20 268 1 034 12 089 42 046 21934 20091 11 256 7 339 13 074 20 050 20091 18182 2 232 5 315 15 030 17 041 18182 16238 2 080 5 092 14 029 19 035 16238 14364 4 118 8 090 11 070 17 039 14364 12658 6 135 8 102 11 104 12 054 12658 11139 9 148 7 123 12 128 6 090 11139 9791 11 155 7 136 12 138 7 140 9791 8591 12 159 8 142 10 136 8 154 8591 7523 14 162 9 145 9 126 8 157 7523 6573 15 163 10 151 5 108 6 150 6573 5733 17 166 11 161 5 103 3 124 5733 4989 18 173 10*170 4 092 3 077 4989 4322 19*181 10*177 4 080 4 042 4322 3729 18*186 9 184 3*071 7 036 3729 3234 16 188 9 188 3*064 8 038 3234 2852 15 188 8 191 3 061 8 042 2852 2589 13 188 8 193 3 059 7 046 2589 2429 12 189 7 195 3 059 5*051 2429 2338 8 188 6 196 2 059 3*060 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography