DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 57.1 - - 51.4 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 41 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 577 - - 273 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2337 - - 2898 - - 2594 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 374 - - 773 - - 468 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 129 - - 43 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 086 - - 080 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2407 - - -2085 - - -867 - - -1450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4744 - - 4983 - - 3461 - - 3787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10751 - - -8401 - - -7861 - - -11730 ODpotential blCL - - - 13088 - - 11299 - - 10455 - - 14067 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 58 - - 70 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 57.1 - - 51.4 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 43.6 - - 44.6 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 56.7 - - 51.7 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 42.4 - - 43.5 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 41 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 577 - - 273 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 27 076 19 052 32 031 33 051 96646 89522 25 057 23 051 24 053 35 064 89522 83974 19 026 26 034 24 049 31 065 83974 79339 11 013 19 037 24 038 25 041 79339 75362 9 014 13 045 17 035 20 023 75362 71861 5 069 14 023 15 029 14 007 71861 68685 7 059 13 010 12 032 6 322 68685 65740 7 031 12 012 10 020 3 330 65740 62998 14 010 15 359 12 000 7 008 62998 60346 14 001 14 354 10 345 9 011 60346 57584 9 027 11 004 10 344 10 359 57584 54714 7 043 7 006 10 351 11 005 54714 51973 5 048 7 343 11 333 9 003 51973 49521 5 052 3 336 6 335 2 040 49521 47346 6 057 7 059 6 095 5 131 47346 45389 11 084 14 064 13 052 7 105 45389 43605 28 078 23 080 16 069 10 133 43605 41959 39 063 39 079 25 088 11 123 41959 40423 44 060 49 066 33 088 16 090 40423 38985 48 065 53 063 41 082 24 082 38985 37632 55 070 60 066 47 077 31 087 37632 36326 59 070 67 067 53 073 37 087 36326 35000 58 067 70 068 57 072 41 085 35000 33626 58 067 69 069 60 075 45 085 33626 32209 61 073 67 069 63 079 48 086 32209 30734 63 078 64 069 65 084 54 089 30734 29188 64 079 57 072 62 085 57 089 29188 27574 62 078 48 075 56 083 54 085 27574 25897 58 080 43 077 51 083 49 082 25897 24157 55 085 42 084 48 087 47 084 24157 22356 50 089 40 086 47 090 44 087 22356 20483 39 090 37 086 44 091 41 088 20483 18531 27 091 35 089 41 091 38 091 18531 16539 20 089 28 093 34 094 36 097 16539 14619 19 089 22 092 24 097 29 107 14619 12872 19 094 18 097 17 099 19 114 12872 11320 20 106 15 111 15 111 12 097 11320 9939 19 117 13 126 15 134 6 103 9939 8710 18 126 10 127 12 151 4 159 8710 7615 15 138 7 116 5 160 2 185 7615 6643 13 158 6 111 2 058 2 061 6643 5785 12 163 5 106 5 030 5 046 5785 5025 11 158 4 087 8 027 7 032 5025 4344 11 153 4 053 9 026 9 023 4344 3742 11 155 5 040 10 030 9 023 3742 3240 10 156 5*060 10 049 10 032 3240 2854 7 152 4*082 9*074 9 055 2854 2589 5 134 4 086 9*079 8 088 2589 2429 4 110 4 087 8 080 7 106 2429 2337 2*097 3 088 5 081 4*114 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography