DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 49.3 - - 48.8 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 85 - - 97 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 2041 - - 1451 - - 310 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2896 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3141 - - 4362 - - 3772 - - 2631 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2557 - - 2094 - - 1938 - - 1874 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 235 - - 217 - - 54 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 306 - - 297 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 712 - - 1151 - - 889 - - 294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2429 - - 3211 - - 2883 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 250 - - 496 - - 272 - - -40 ODpotential blCL - - - 2891 - - 3866 - - 3500 - - 2671 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 49.3 - - 48.8 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 48.7 - - 48.0 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 42.5 - - 43.8 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 85 - - 97 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 2041 - - 1451 - - 310 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 95 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97516 2 354 9 283 11 309 12 326 97516 90178 3 178 0 349 11 339 6 039 90178 84555 12 125 8 097 5 019 6 061 84555 79875 13 092 11 103 6 075 6 085 79875 75829 10 102 9 100 8 071 7 098 75829 72250 10 093 6 125 5 084 7 083 72250 69002 6 089 5 127 4 130 6 091 69002 66000 5 146 7 173 6 181 7 194 66000 63195 7 184 9 184 6 205 10 201 63195 60460 7 221 12 195 8 239 6 231 60460 57610 12 236 7 220 11 242 8 287 57610 54661 9 240 5 273 10 261 6 262 54661 51841 16 279 16 296 15 307 11 322 51841 49304 19 288 15 303 25 307 24 316 49304 47045 20 305 19 316 28 306 29 316 47045 45007 22 315 28 318 29 308 31 320 45007 43149 25 321 32 315 29 318 30 323 43149 41438 29 320 35 321 32 328 30 331 41438 39848 32 328 39 324 37 331 33 336 39848 38361 35 337 41 325 40 330 36 337 38361 36969 38 348 42 326 41 329 34 337 36969 35636 44 353 43 329 40 329 32 342 35636 34299 45 348 39 334 37 331 32 348 34299 32934 40 350 38 342 34 337 31 352 32934 31541 39 351 36 344 34 345 30 357 31541 30098 37 351 31 341 34 348 29 001 30098 28592 36 350 29 342 30 345 28 006 28592 27024 36 349 30 344 27 342 26 008 27024 25392 35 350 31 347 26 340 23 005 25392 23696 34 353 32 350 26 339 21 003 23696 21935 32 359 33 350 26 342 20 001 21935 20102 29 004 34 349 27 347 21 358 20102 18191 28 359 33 348 27 353 20 354 18191 16242 29 353 31 349 28 353 21 351 16242 14362 28 353 30 353 27 351 23 350 14362 12651 27 358 28 356 26 351 23 349 12651 11130 26 000 24 354 26 356 23 352 11130 9777 24 356 20 353 24 357 23 356 9777 8570 20 348 17 357 20 355 22 355 8570 7495 14 338 12 356 13 359 19 352 7495 6543 10 319 8 342 8 005 16 357 6543 5706 11 306 7 331 5 345 13 007 5706 4967 11 303 8*323 4 323 12 008 4967 4304 11 303 10*310 8*302 12 001 4304 3717 10 300 11 307 10*298 10 341 3717 3225 9*296 11 306 10 297 10 324 3225 2847 7*290 11 305 10 297 9*319 2847 2586 7 289 10 305 10 297 8*317 2586 2428 6 289 9 305 9 297 7 315 2428 2337 5 288 7 304 8 297 5 315 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography