DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 52.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.0 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 38 - - 120 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 347 - - 1461 - - 1235 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2744 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2668 - - 3783 - - 3556 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 1117 - - 1437 - - 1486 - - 491 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 102 - - 236 - - 110 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 023 - - 049 - - 022 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -313 - - -1288 - - -1729 - - -2079 - - -80 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2650 - - 3956 - - 5513 - - 5636 - - 2418 sfcLCL ODpotential -8276 - - -6578 - - -6786 - - -6858 - - -6421 ODpotential blCL 10613 - - 9246 - - 10569 - - 10414 - - 8758 blCL maxRH 81 - - 69 - - 70 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 52.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.0 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 43.8 - - 43.1 - - 41.8 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.5 - - 52.3 - - 57.9 - - 58.0 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.5 - - 42.7 - - 41.9 - - 40.8 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 38 - - 120 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 347 - - 1461 - - 1235 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95947 43 313 49 310 45 299 55 309 52 295 95947 88883 29 321 28 326 33 307 37 313 38 311 88883 83430 29 331 21 335 23 306 35 318 32 322 83430 78921 29 325 21 319 24 318 32 323 22 320 78921 75027 20 336 19 314 24 327 20 330 13 307 75027 71558 24 336 23 308 23 328 21 338 18 329 71558 68423 22 310 23 302 35 321 30 329 25 332 68423 65563 17 306 27 307 36 301 26 299 24 296 65563 62900 23 304 25 294 27 285 21 283 20 262 62900 60288 30 292 23 297 27 305 33 317 24 314 60288 57558 26 273 33 308 48 299 54 293 43 293 57558 54740 43 299 43 300 47 284 38 273 44 272 54740 52032 51 286 42 286 32 279 26 277 33 278 52032 49559 39 280 35 289 29 296 34 293 43 284 49559 47327 34 293 38 297 38 293 45 286 44 287 47327 45297 43 294 42 289 46 290 48 284 45 290 45297 43433 49 289 48 286 53 285 48 284 46 288 43433 41715 55 284 54 279 57 280 51 281 46 284 41715 40127 60 272 55 268 58 274 53 277 43 280 40127 38654 41 257 45 260 54 267 51 273 38 281 38654 37282 27 250 32 260 49 257 43 264 35 287 37282 35974 24 298 24 273 44 255 37 260 36 293 35974 34665 36 313 28 294 34 263 40 284 40 292 34665 33324 43 307 34 302 34 286 43 289 45 288 33324 31942 35 291 36 303 40 296 42 285 44 283 31942 30501 20 292 34 304 38 289 40 282 39 280 30501 28989 19 313 32 301 31 276 38 277 35 282 28989 27407 23 319 32 289 32 272 39 273 32 283 27407 25755 25 322 30 287 33 279 35 271 30 289 25755 24035 26 321 29 293 33 282 30 268 34 285 24035 22250 30 319 28 293 28 283 27 264 39 273 22250 20394 31 328 22 291 23 278 26 263 38 269 20394 18457 23 336 15 294 20 278 25 278 39 275 18457 16481 14 311 14 294 19 291 23 297 35 282 16481 14578 14 292 16 296 22 312 22 315 24 291 14578 12846 17 288 18 302 23 328 23 327 19 313 12846 11304 20 290 18 307 22 340 22 337 20 336 11304 9930 20 308 17 314 20 347 18 351 18 352 9930 8703 17 329 16 326 17 353 16 004 15 004 8703 7610 13 342 14 338 14 359 15 013 13 012 7610 6638 9 351 10 354 12 007 14 018 11 018 6638 5780 8 008 8 025 10 019 12 019 11 019 5780 5021 9 017 8 047 7 038 11 015 11 017 5021 4341 12 012 10 050 6*046 9 009 11 013 4341 3741 15 004 11 042 6*046 8*012 12 012 3741 3239 16 360 12 033 6 048 8*018 12 015 3239 2855 16 357 12*026 6 050 8 022 11 019 2855 2590 13 356 9*023 6 051 7 023 9 023 2590 2429 10 356 8 023 5 052 7 024 6 024 2429 2337 5*355 6 022 5 052 5 025 2*029 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography