DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.1 - - 58.6 - - 56.5 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 54 - - 153 - - 35 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 529 - - 1397 - - 1129 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2841 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2850 - - 3719 - - 3451 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 542 - - 896 - - 1113 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 130 - - 251 - - 144 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 036 - - 078 - - 079 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -1 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -535 - - -594 - - -655 - - -339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3385 - - 4314 - - 4106 - - 2676 sfcLCL ODpotential -8029 - - -4909 - - -4810 - - -5271 - - -6877 ODpotential blCL 10366 - - 7759 - - 8529 - - 8722 - - 9214 blCL maxRH 81 - - 83 - - 85 - - 81 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.1 - - 58.6 - - 56.5 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.8 - - 46.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 53.7 - - 57.4 - - 56.1 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 46.6 - - 46.8 - - 45.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 54 - - 153 - - 35 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 529 - - 1397 - - 1129 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 33 - - 40 - - 26 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96734 19 116 16 078 10 089 21 116 18 106 96734 89600 20 102 19 100 11 115 18 110 25 096 89600 84040 24 113 17 107 10 086 16 109 18 099 84040 79421 15 093 11 137 9 018 18 108 12 104 79421 75440 11 065 8 149 3 046 11 100 12 098 75440 71912 4 013 2 271 4 057 6 156 3 062 71912 68709 1 296 11 265 8 303 1 167 2 130 68709 65757 5 353 11 256 12 277 9 268 6 298 65757 63021 14 300 16 284 17 268 16 249 13 265 63021 60364 19 286 18 278 18 268 17 242 17 253 60364 57580 25 267 23 273 23 268 23 255 23 258 57580 54686 35 272 30 268 32 256 31 252 34 252 54686 51922 37 276 33 268 32 252 32 260 33 262 51922 49413 43 280 41 268 42 260 42 266 45 276 49413 47149 49 275 49 269 51 259 52 265 55 272 47149 45098 60 274 61 276 55 268 61 269 61 264 45098 43239 52 275 69 270 70 268 78 266 67 263 43239 41552 52 303 59 265 77 272 72 270 78 267 41552 40020 93 317 56 275 74 278 84 285 87 266 40020 38611 84 309 60 279 74 280 85 280 86 261 38611 37285 72 301 68 279 74 279 71 272 76 258 37285 35999 71 297 71 279 72 278 72 272 76 258 35999 34689 71 289 68 276 68 274 72 269 80 259 34689 33328 69 289 61 272 61 270 68 266 80 261 33328 31923 61 290 55 268 54 272 66 266 71 261 31923 30461 55 287 51 267 47 271 60 267 62 258 30461 28929 51 279 49 267 46 276 52 264 57 258 28929 27331 47 274 48 267 51 280 49 263 52 260 27331 25667 47 272 47 269 55 281 49 265 50 262 25667 23936 51 271 50 276 54 276 50 262 49 260 23936 22142 55 275 52 276 54 267 52 252 48 254 22142 20283 56 277 50 268 52 259 52 257 49 251 20283 18356 52 277 47 266 45 264 46 269 49 253 18356 16396 43 284 39 276 33 268 32 276 41 257 16396 14507 33 297 29 287 22 261 22 262 28 254 14507 12787 25 306 21 289 17 249 21 242 21 245 12787 11254 18 310 12 293 12 242 19 235 18 231 11254 9888 13 322 5 335 7 230 14 230 14 213 9888 8670 14 350 9 030 3 177 9 216 14 199 8670 7584 17 010 12 045 4 118 8 201 15 199 7584 6621 19 022 13 048 5 110 7 195 13 195 6621 5770 19 029 12 049 5 112 5 190 9 182 5770 5017 18 032 12 046 6 105 4 168 6 159 5017 4340 17 031 12 042 7 084 4 114 5 140 4340 3741 16 027 14 039 7*079 5*087 5 127 3741 3241 17 025 14 034 8*079 6*079 6 111 3241 2855 18 024 12*032 8 078 7 079 7 099 2855 2590 16 026 9*035 7 078 7 078 7 091 2590 2430 12 031 8 036 7 079 6 079 6 088 2430 2337 5*048 6 037 6 079 5 078 4*088 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography