DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 91.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 441 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1927 - - 4054 - - - - - 338 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3466 - - 5175 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4250 - - 6377 - - - - - 2661 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 932 - - 1592 - - - - - 577 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 499 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 21 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 351 - - - - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 15 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10039 - - -7949 - - - - - -6779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14290 - - 14327 - - - - - 9440 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17673 - - -13981 - - - - - -14777 ODpotential blCL - - - 21923 - - 20358 - - - - - 17438 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 39 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 91.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 36.5 - - - - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 88.5 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 35.8 - - - - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 441 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1927 - - 4054 - - - - - 338 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99239 36 117 25 104 29 104 99239 91677 31 110 24 101 24 102 91677 85857 27 112 25 107 25 093 85857 81049 30 117 24 103 23 101 81049 76943 32 101 22 108 21 098 76943 73333 21 099 21 103 17 103 73333 70068 19 096 14 122 14 107 70068 67072 13 099 9 117 12 120 67072 64305 9 127 6 143 13 100 64305 61643 7 173 10 168 6 117 61643 58882 10 195 19 197 10 215 58882 56046 20 242 19 225 24 227 56046 53372 28 239 27 237 34 227 53372 50973 28 249 30 240 39 241 50973 48807 40 262 34 251 47 244 48807 46825 50 256 45 255 48 249 46825 44993 51 254 53 250 52 253 44993 43289 53 257 58 245 55 253 43289 41688 56 255 58 250 57 251 41688 40175 56 259 60 259 57 247 40175 38746 52 260 56 260 53 248 38746 37368 49 255 50 257 47 257 37368 35980 42 257 44 253 45 266 35980 34560 39 263 42 259 41 280 34560 33112 37 265 40 276 46 291 33112 31612 37 274 45 290 46 293 31612 30040 40 284 54 296 45 296 30040 28396 44 286 56 297 45 296 28396 26677 46 285 52 297 45 295 26677 24887 45 286 45 296 38 296 24887 23028 45 290 37 292 34 291 23028 21097 43 291 35 287 31 285 21097 19087 43 292 36 289 29 283 19087 17037 35 292 32 292 29 290 17037 15060 24 293 24 292 28 299 15060 13262 17 295 20 291 22 304 13262 11664 14 297 16 292 15 307 11664 10244 11 294 14 295 10 310 10244 8978 9 289 11 301 7 316 8978 7847 8 293 8 304 5 311 7847 6840 7 302 4*316 5 290 6840 5949 6 310 3*335 4 278 5949 5158 4 320 3 346 3 282 5158 4447 3*005 4 352 3 309 4447 3816 3*019 5 353 5 328 3816 3288 3 020 5 354 10 330 3288 2884 4 020 6 354 11*329 2884 2606 4 019 5 354 11*329 2606 2436 3 019 5 354 10 329 2436 2339 3 017 5 354 6 328 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography