DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 64 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 179 - - 1574 - - 676 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2500 - - 3896 - - 2998 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 768 - - 1201 - - 1764 - - 1435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 211 - - 72 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 173 - - 182 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3163 - - -1934 - - -1239 - - -621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5664 - - 5830 - - 4237 - - 2959 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10901 - - -9120 - - -7373 - - -6244 ODpotential blCL - - - 13401 - - 13016 - - 10371 - - 8582 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 82 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 43.8 - - 49.3 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 60.5 - - 59.9 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 42.6 - - 48.0 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 64 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 179 - - 1574 - - 676 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96564 9 085 12 058 11 087 17 081 96564 89469 15 100 12 071 12 078 13 051 89469 83983 15 102 8 083 8 071 11 049 83983 79400 7 078 6 039 7 008 13 037 79400 75439 3 050 6 298 12 328 14 009 75439 71928 8 304 14 292 15 320 13 348 71928 68743 12 289 17 272 21 293 22 302 68743 65826 16 299 17 274 22 275 26 291 65826 63133 26 284 25 287 28 286 28 288 63133 60529 34 283 38 281 33 286 32 285 60529 57805 46 285 40 276 39 284 36 289 57805 54983 49 272 46 272 52 286 51 284 54983 52303 58 269 69 284 73 277 66 279 52303 49892 70 274 74 273 67 269 68 274 49892 47731 73 269 63 263 59 272 69 281 47731 45776 66 268 57 274 71 285 78 285 45776 43996 60 271 70 286 78 286 80 280 43996 42368 72 289 85 287 85 282 77 273 42368 40854 90 292 87 284 89 276 78 269 40854 39424 88 290 77 279 75 275 76 271 39424 38066 81 285 73 279 74 269 69 270 38066 36749 68 280 66 279 74 268 63 266 36749 35407 64 277 59 273 64 267 61 267 35407 34014 68 280 53 266 59 265 54 263 34014 32574 64 281 51 263 59 265 59 261 32574 31072 56 274 52 261 58 260 65 259 31072 29498 54 263 52 261 57 253 63 256 29498 27852 48 254 51 262 55 253 59 252 27852 26135 46 250 52 262 56 258 56 251 26135 24352 44 250 53 263 56 260 54 250 24352 22506 43 254 53 264 54 258 51 250 22506 20595 41 258 48 264 51 262 45 251 20595 18614 35 258 41 264 44 265 41 256 18614 16599 29 251 34 262 38 265 41 262 16599 14661 25 240 27 253 34 266 38 261 14661 12902 22 230 24 242 29 263 32 255 12902 11344 20 222 22 236 26 256 28 251 11344 9962 18 214 20 232 23 250 27 250 9962 8730 16 206 19 224 20 248 26 253 8730 7632 14 198 17 214 17 244 22 255 7632 6656 11 191 16 207 15 237 18 256 6656 5796 9 188 14 203 14 227 14 253 5796 5034 8 191 11 199 13 214 11 246 5034 4353 8 198 8*195 10 193 8 233 4353 3751 8 210 4*183 8 187 7 219 3751 3248 8 219 3 172 5*184 5 216 3248 2861 7 222 3 170 4*183 2 235 2861 2593 6*221 3 168 3 182 2 309 2593 2431 3*224 2 169 3 180 2*333 2431 2338 3 224 2 167 3 182 2*339 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography