DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 49.7 - - - - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 146 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3251 - - 2465 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3987 - - 3594 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5572 - - 4786 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2080 - - 1517 - - - - - 3965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 302 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 24 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 233 - - - - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -16 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2045 - - 1963 - - - - - -396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3527 - - 2823 - - - - - 2733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 567 - - 1023 - - - - - -1541 ODpotential blCL - - - 5005 - - 3763 - - - - - 3878 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 99 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 270 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 49.7 - - - - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 45.4 - - - - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 48.7 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 44.1 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 146 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3251 - - 2465 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 97 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97516 31 281 41 281 37 293 97516 90126 32 276 40 285 32 287 90126 84448 32 273 30 279 25 291 84448 79747 24 276 22 271 25 291 79747 75705 16 284 18 277 24 275 75705 72158 14 283 17 279 15 264 72158 68930 18 262 14 289 12 281 68930 65936 28 241 25 264 23 265 65936 63165 25 224 35 238 23 250 63165 60491 16 219 27 221 13 218 60491 57683 15 240 20 226 16 267 57683 54748 27 260 22 243 29 270 54748 51940 44 254 40 248 39 270 51940 49399 51 243 46 244 49 270 49399 47115 49 242 46 253 58 261 47115 45048 52 247 50 257 55 259 45048 43162 58 246 53 257 54 272 43162 41426 65 242 58 255 65 278 41426 39823 69 236 64 255 74 278 39823 38339 68 233 67 253 79 278 38339 36960 74 233 69 252 82 279 36960 35642 82 231 71 251 87 278 35642 34314 88 226 69 251 89 277 34314 32945 89 221 68 253 90 276 32945 31534 85 215 70 256 92 276 31534 30067 77 212 71 256 92 277 30067 28532 72 214 70 254 92 277 28532 26929 77 214 66 252 91 279 26929 25258 81 209 60 251 90 280 25258 23520 78 206 49 247 90 279 23520 21717 69 208 37 236 91 283 21717 19846 58 212 29 228 85 285 19846 17920 54 211 28 228 68 282 17920 15990 44 209 30 227 49 275 15990 14150 39 211 33 229 38 273 14150 12481 35 216 32 231 30 271 12481 10997 32 219 33 233 25 263 10997 9676 30 220 33 234 23 253 9676 8499 29 221 32 234 24 253 8499 7451 27 223 32 232 25 257 7451 6519 25 225 31 231 26 261 6519 5693 23*227 30 231 25 262 5693 4961 22*228 29*232 25 263 4961 4302 21 228 28*233 24 262 4302 3716 20 228 27 233 22 262 3716 3226 18 228 25 234 20 263 3226 2848 18 228 24 234 17 264 2848 2587 17 228 22 234 14 264 2587 2428 15 229 20 234 12 263 2428 2337 11 228 13 233 6*262 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography