DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 97.6 - - 95.8 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 417 - - 241 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2320 - - 4600 - - 2727 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3727 - - 5586 - - 3958 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4644 - - 6924 - - 5051 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1355 - - 1305 - - 2719 - - 732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 363 - - 511 - - 358 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 37 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 295 - - 343 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 20 - - 15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11196 - - -9940 - - -9825 - - -8588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15841 - - 16865 - - 14877 - - 10929 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19568 - - -17246 - - -15884 - - -16560 ODpotential blCL - - - 24212 - - 24170 - - 20935 - - 18900 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 68 - - 69 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 97.6 - - 95.8 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 31.4 - - 38.6 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.1 - - 94.9 - - 93.9 - - 83.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 30.6 - - 38.2 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 417 - - 241 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2320 - - 4600 - - 2727 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99391 44 106 31 101 37 089 37 094 99391 91926 35 095 37 106 36 099 38 095 91926 86160 31 111 32 097 34 104 36 094 86160 81375 31 115 29 099 29 105 30 098 81375 77257 30 106 26 115 24 108 28 096 77257 73613 26 100 25 123 19 113 21 089 73613 70320 20 099 24 108 20 109 16 104 70320 67303 17 109 17 106 20 099 17 103 67303 64526 16 117 12 111 15 100 15 089 64526 61867 13 111 11 149 8 123 8 085 61867 59132 7 101 11 153 8 181 3 207 59132 56336 8 192 8 160 9 188 10 214 56336 53694 6 216 9 253 7 242 13 221 53694 51324 15 264 13 268 11 282 10 242 51324 49192 22 254 19 260 18 270 14 271 49192 47236 25 236 24 250 26 257 21 270 47236 45422 23 228 26 244 31 250 26 265 45422 43729 18 226 25 235 32 246 30 258 43729 42138 16 226 21 230 32 245 31 254 42138 40637 17 226 19 226 31 244 31 250 40637 39216 16 226 18 224 31 244 31 247 39216 37841 15 230 18 227 30 244 31 245 37841 36446 18 222 19 224 28 240 29 244 36446 35000 20 227 19 216 25 229 28 239 35000 33509 22 230 20 217 25 225 28 232 33509 31959 25 226 22 217 25 222 29 227 31959 30337 24 219 23 215 24 222 27 225 30337 28647 20 211 24 216 22 226 24 220 28647 26890 15 200 18 211 18 232 18 227 26890 25071 10 201 11 199 12 218 14 225 25071 23188 11 205 8 217 6 227 10 216 23188 21237 13 212 11 234 8 255 7 243 21237 19211 13 210 13 228 10 247 8 260 19211 17151 10 208 12 223 10 235 8 250 17151 15168 8 202 10 222 7 233 7 244 15168 13362 4 227 8 239 5 260 4 274 13362 11753 4 286 5 265 4 304 4 323 11753 10318 5 302 3 281 3 322 4 335 10318 9038 4 299 2 267 3 302 4 319 9038 7896 3 287 3*264 1 279 5 281 7896 6881 3 272 2*265 1 129 6 258 6881 5982 3 262 2 272 1 068 5 244 5982 5184 3*261 2 281 2*017 3 248 5184 4466 2*273 3 294 4*355 2 278 4466 3829 2 286 3 304 7 344 4 323 3829 3297 2 298 3 309 8 342 9 331 3297 2888 3 302 3 311 8 340 11 332 2888 2608 3 305 3 312 8 340 10 330 2608 2437 3 305 3 313 8 339 9*330 2437 2340 2 305 3 313 7 339 5*329 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography