DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 57.5 - - 66.6 - - 62.3 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 11 - - 91 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 721 - - 375 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 3043 - - 2697 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 70 - - 396 - - 961 - - 751 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 27 - - 172 - - 100 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 096 - - 188 - - 086 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6835 - - -4936 - - -5147 - - -2944 - - -1742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9174 - - 7274 - - 8191 - - 5641 - - 4080 sfcLCL ODpotential -16318 - - -12914 - - -11507 - - -9332 - - -10924 ODpotential blCL 18656 - - 15252 - - 14550 - - 12029 - - 13262 blCL maxRH 27 - - 21 - - 36 - - 54 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 57.5 - - 66.6 - - 62.3 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.2 - - 34.6 - - 39.4 - - 46.0 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 57.5 - - 65.8 - - 62.1 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 33.6 - - 38.3 - - 45.3 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 11 - - 91 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 721 - - 375 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96144 9 282 9 320 12 307 23 313 6 029 96144 89099 15 338 8 329 10 332 17 320 6 344 89099 83672 18 328 11 323 16 329 16 329 15 341 83672 79162 15 339 5 008 9 312 7 311 11 337 79162 75265 16 344 10 007 11 357 8 359 18 335 75265 71833 12 329 10 350 12 337 13 353 15 327 71833 68725 11 343 9 006 12 333 15 002 6 337 68725 65840 19 346 16 343 14 338 23 351 17 355 65840 63168 27 320 19 338 27 334 22 349 21 354 63168 60589 19 293 30 336 27 341 17 360 24 001 60589 57887 20 311 34 325 19 342 18 354 26 360 57887 55070 35 321 24 323 19 354 29 349 31 358 55070 52372 33 337 28 347 37 356 36 353 32 358 52372 49929 39 342 45 354 51 003 40 010 32 012 49929 47723 45 338 57 357 55 008 48 013 41 017 47723 45715 48 354 54 360 54 011 53 013 45 021 45715 43895 52 010 51 020 48 022 57 012 53 030 43895 42242 58 019 54 040 48 047 48 025 52 026 42242 40717 68 026 62 048 58 054 41 058 45 054 40717 39291 80 031 71 049 69 058 50 071 53 065 39291 37947 85 034 74 051 73 063 62 070 56 065 37947 36645 86 037 68 051 74 068 67 067 57 063 36645 35320 69 042 68 062 70 071 64 062 57 064 35320 33943 52 045 63 072 69 077 63 060 56 065 33943 32517 45 047 48 068 59 086 61 066 55 069 32517 31032 32 055 33 065 47 081 53 085 52 080 31032 29476 18 043 21 069 38 066 43 091 43 090 29476 27855 16 034 16 074 22 061 38 073 33 093 27855 26166 17 041 17 066 12 079 29 062 31 080 26166 24411 18 058 17 062 10 073 14 060 29 077 24411 22592 18 069 16 077 12 073 10 076 20 081 22592 20708 21 078 19 079 17 067 13 080 14 093 20708 18749 17 074 18 081 16 063 14 083 14 097 18749 16748 10 060 15 071 15 067 14 086 15 093 16748 14812 7 052 10 063 13 086 12 089 14 096 14812 13046 5 064 5 052 9 096 9 092 11 107 13046 11472 2 066 0 081 4 092 7 083 7 116 11472 10070 3 290 2 234 0 103 7 073 3 111 10070 8820 5 288 2 266 1 208 6 077 1 087 8820 7707 4 285 2 282 1 171 4 093 1 085 7707 6719 3 272 1 243 2 180 2 137 1 207 6719 5847 2 265 2 188 4 193 2 215 1 253 5847 5075 1 257 3 194 6 199 3 245 2 276 5075 4383 1 202 3 198 8 203 3 265 2 297 4383 3771 2 175 4 193 7 203 2 287 3 338 3771 3259 3 165 5 183 6*202 2 079 4 005 3259 2866 4 164 4 166 3*194 5*086 4 030 2866 2596 4 161 3 125 3 188 5*086 4 061 2596 2432 4*152 3*094 3 184 5 087 4 089 2432 2338 2*144 2*096 2 184 4 086 3*099 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography