DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.7 - - 83.7 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 392 - - 239 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2137 - - 4478 - - 2031 - - 299 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3601 - - 5476 - - 3455 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4460 - - 6801 - - 4354 - - 2621 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1338 - - 1618 - - 3189 - - 497 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 500 - - 326 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 20 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 257 - - 309 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 10 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5685 - - -4974 - - -6397 - - -4827 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10146 - - 11776 - - 10751 - - 7449 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13664 - - -11674 - - -13378 - - -13484 ODpotential blCL - - - 18124 - - 18475 - - 17732 - - 16105 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 53 - - 35 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.7 - - 83.7 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 42.9 - - 44.5 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 84.2 - - 82.0 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 41.8 - - 43.7 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 392 - - 239 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2137 - - 4478 - - 2031 - - 299 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98656 16 165 10 113 15 128 10 122 98656 91155 16 148 12 129 6 174 7 119 91155 85399 13 140 11 155 6 120 6 120 85399 80619 11 103 8 160 10 090 12 110 80619 76489 10 101 12 123 13 085 16 102 76489 72867 11 122 6 127 12 104 12 093 72867 69623 12 143 12 146 6 129 6 055 69623 66654 8 107 4 106 4 133 6 034 66654 63899 4 294 2 315 5 352 8 004 63899 61235 10 287 9 279 16 305 15 323 61235 58466 7 307 13 265 18 276 20 289 58466 55598 15 308 19 293 24 289 27 296 55598 52877 31 300 32 302 37 295 37 293 52877 50443 38 300 39 299 41 296 40 290 50443 48262 43 303 41 293 43 290 46 290 48262 46278 46 305 42 297 46 291 53 295 46278 44458 50 304 48 299 51 294 60 296 44458 42778 52 304 54 301 56 295 67 294 42778 41212 54 302 57 302 62 297 69 292 41212 39743 54 301 56 300 62 298 67 292 39743 38356 52 301 52 299 58 296 63 291 38356 37015 43 297 47 299 53 294 59 290 37015 35655 36 289 38 289 49 293 57 291 35655 34250 30 284 37 280 42 285 52 289 34250 32803 26 278 35 275 40 279 46 282 32803 31298 24 273 28 264 36 277 42 278 31298 29725 22 278 25 259 31 269 39 277 29725 28087 22 288 22 264 26 260 33 276 28087 26384 22 295 21 273 26 255 28 267 26384 24613 24 300 21 284 24 258 26 257 24613 22775 22 299 21 290 23 268 27 258 22775 20862 19 289 20 286 22 274 27 270 20862 18867 18 275 19 283 22 277 24 280 18867 16835 15 268 15 272 16 280 18 279 16835 14882 11 255 12 257 11 278 11 273 14882 13108 9 227 11 238 9 267 9 272 13108 11535 8 209 11 231 8 258 8 276 11535 10136 6 213 9 236 7 242 8 266 10136 8888 4 242 6 243 6 199 8 242 8888 7775 4 272 3 227 6 170 7 215 7775 6782 4 283 3*228 6 165 7 216 6782 5902 3 272 3*238 4 182 7 232 5902 5121 3*251 3 248 3 252 7 254 5121 4419 4*244 4 256 5*284 8 283 4419 3796 4 246 5 260 9*306 11 313 3796 3275 4 248 5 262 10 309 16 317 3275 2876 5 249 6 263 11 309 15*316 2876 2601 5 249 6 263 11 309 13*315 2601 2435 5 251 5 264 10 309 11 315 2435 2339 4 250 5 264 9 309 7 312 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography