DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 87.3 - - 87.7 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 349 - - 435 - - 231 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2108 - - 3447 - - 3641 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3617 - - 4700 - - 4626 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4430 - - 5770 - - 5964 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 767 - - 853 - - 879 - - 2304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 372 - - 472 - - 391 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 015 - - 012 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6591 - - -8250 - - -7631 - - -6591 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11022 - - 14021 - - 13595 - - 8931 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15719 - - -16700 - - -15029 - - -14936 ODpotential blCL - - - 20149 - - 22470 - - 20993 - - 17276 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 56 - - 38 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 87.3 - - 87.7 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 34.1 - - 36.3 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 84.7 - - 86.1 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 33.1 - - 35.5 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 349 - - 435 - - 231 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2108 - - 3447 - - 3641 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98759 20 113 14 122 13 089 20 082 98759 91271 19 102 20 117 14 118 15 069 91271 85513 18 115 16 102 20 100 15 097 85513 80761 15 111 18 093 25 090 23 102 80761 76677 19 117 15 095 22 088 21 090 76677 73060 20 107 14 121 16 088 19 089 73060 69784 13 097 14 116 10 090 18 077 69784 66782 9 112 8 092 8 080 12 061 66782 64018 7 091 5 142 5 006 1 081 64018 61350 9 304 6 341 5 349 1 048 61350 58585 13 275 16 289 16 297 16 308 58585 55743 15 291 18 271 23 278 21 286 55743 53039 30 297 25 296 24 291 22 302 53039 50613 36 296 31 299 30 300 24 314 50613 48445 35 303 31 303 32 306 29 318 48445 46486 34 314 31 309 34 310 32 317 46486 44693 36 318 32 322 32 318 31 319 44693 43028 39 318 37 334 32 323 29 320 43028 41469 40 324 43 333 35 325 30 321 41469 40006 45 332 43 329 38 324 32 323 40006 38629 47 334 41 329 39 322 35 323 38629 37300 45 334 39 330 36 323 37 320 37300 35949 42 332 39 328 32 323 35 318 35949 34546 38 328 37 323 30 321 32 316 34546 33095 34 327 33 321 32 319 30 312 33095 31585 30 326 28 316 30 314 32 308 31585 30004 27 325 24 309 29 308 33 308 30004 28353 23 327 21 303 28 306 34 308 28353 26630 19 317 19 296 27 304 32 311 26630 24838 20 303 19 295 24 306 27 316 24838 22984 22 301 19 305 20 317 21 321 22984 21056 23 305 19 322 19 337 18 335 21056 19049 22 311 18 333 18 350 17 347 19049 17003 21 315 17 337 15 354 14 351 17003 15033 19 323 14 340 13 358 13 353 15033 13242 16 336 10 345 12 002 12 353 13242 11648 12 352 6 355 11 007 10 353 11648 10227 10 004 5 009 10 010 9 355 10227 8956 10 008 6 014 9 021 8 009 8956 7821 10 007 8 012 11 029 9 024 7821 6814 12 007 12 016 13*021 12 023 6814 5925 14 009 13*015 13*016 16 017 5925 5141 16*013 13*015 13 014 17 016 5141 4436 15*018 13 015 13 013 16 016 4436 3811 14 020 13 016 13 012 14 007 3811 3287 13 022 13 016 13 011 12 353 3287 2884 13 022 13 015 13 011 11 346 2884 2606 12 023 12 016 12 010 10 343 2606 2437 11 023 11 015 11 010 8*342 2437 2340 9 024 10 015 9 010 5*340 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography