DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 53.4 - - 53.2 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 152 - - 42 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 745 - - 3125 - - 2901 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 4081 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3066 - - 5446 - - 5222 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1985 - - 1613 - - 2134 - - 1956 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 330 - - 215 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 29 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 087 - - 034 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -647 - - -185 - - 67 - - -454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3713 - - 5631 - - 5155 - - 2792 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3053 - - -2799 - - -1797 - - -3604 ODpotential blCL - - - 6119 - - 8245 - - 7019 - - 5941 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 70 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 53.4 - - 53.2 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 37.1 - - 38.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 52.3 - - 52.6 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 35.9 - - 37.8 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 152 - - 42 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 745 - - 3125 - - 2901 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 27 082 24 078 30 095 28 085 96481 89459 29 081 24 093 27 102 28 079 89459 83982 25 079 21 092 28 103 22 089 83982 79381 21 092 18 096 21 099 20 104 79381 75397 20 091 11 101 14 110 15 089 75397 71870 10 079 8 108 7 127 9 094 71870 68677 6 083 4 103 2 104 5 094 68677 65741 4 276 1 251 4 265 1 333 65741 63006 7 222 7 251 5 253 7 297 63006 60337 5 248 5 283 6 230 10 262 60337 57531 13 254 10 287 9 235 12 276 57531 54599 12 236 15 254 16 268 12 281 54599 51795 8 269 13 247 15 266 14 316 51795 49275 17 277 14 280 14 292 22 329 49275 47019 20 265 14 286 16 304 25 337 47019 44967 16 259 13 299 15 312 27 341 44967 43081 13 279 13 308 16 324 31 338 43081 41340 11 292 16 318 22 328 31 337 41340 39732 10 325 16 317 22 324 30 347 39732 38239 11 344 16 338 18 343 32 350 38239 36847 12 346 20 359 25 015 29 355 36847 35515 17 352 27 011 33 020 36 007 35515 34179 19 353 33 014 41 024 46 015 34179 32811 21 001 38 015 52 026 53 021 32811 31411 24 358 43 018 61 027 61 026 31411 29961 22 347 48 022 64 026 62 025 29961 28449 15 334 48 021 64 031 62 022 28449 26871 13 324 33 010 56 031 62 023 26871 25230 18 300 18 351 39 029 51 025 25230 23532 23 288 11 316 28 029 34 030 23532 21776 23 297 15 294 22 033 23 028 21776 19957 19 300 13 303 14 028 17 023 19957 18069 14 313 8 315 8 010 15 024 18069 16150 12 330 5 337 6 022 12 023 16150 14298 8 321 5 331 6 038 11 020 14298 12609 1 325 4 317 8 049 10 036 12609 11104 5 102 1 315 9 047 11 054 11104 9764 6 083 3 129 8 048 12 059 9764 8569 6 068 5 123 7 059 11 057 8569 7505 4 076 4 120 7 058 10 052 7505 6559 4 119 3 152 7 034 9 046 6559 5723 6 138 2*132 7*028 10 039 5723 4981 6 138 2*109 7*028 11 031 4981 4315 6 128 2 091 8 030 13 024 4315 3725 5 117 2 086 8 034 12 021 3725 3231 3*120 2 083 8 035 11 020 3231 2851 2*150 2 082 8 036 9 022 2851 2588 1 157 2 082 8 038 8 024 2588 2429 1 164 2 079 7 038 5 026 2429 2337 1 162 2 082 6 037 3*029 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography