DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.5 - - 50.5 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 191 - - 63 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 863 - - 2494 - - 1885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3714 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3184 - - 4815 - - 4207 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 589 - - 978 - - 1848 - - 1957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 327 - - 206 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 30 - - 30 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 203 - - 203 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 18 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -19 - - -13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -168 - - 853 - - 1012 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3353 - - 3962 - - 3195 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5652 - - -2118 - - 265 - - -969 ODpotential blCL - - - 8836 - - 6933 - - 3942 - - 3306 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 85 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.5 - - 50.5 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 45.0 - - 44.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 53.4 - - 50.1 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 44.0 - - 44.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 191 - - 63 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 863 - - 2494 - - 1885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 39 - - 91 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96818 27 087 18 068 31 100 32 095 96818 89649 26 096 15 100 32 099 32 090 89649 84070 24 110 21 119 20 098 24 084 84070 79413 20 108 20 110 15 105 18 073 79413 75400 8 100 13 116 8 107 11 084 75400 71848 6 104 10 107 10 183 6 096 71848 68629 5 313 2 141 7 150 4 132 68629 65657 5 257 6 232 5 242 5 237 65657 62884 9 250 18 237 18 229 15 248 62884 60197 12 228 18 227 20 232 23 233 60197 57387 4 244 15 241 12 252 18 188 57387 54424 20 274 22 245 19 261 12 210 54424 51556 41 254 33 243 36 248 32 261 51556 48984 48 245 46 248 53 239 52 251 48984 46697 50 251 54 248 58 238 60 235 46697 44633 60 250 59 239 59 239 56 228 44633 42748 63 245 59 237 60 236 48 232 42748 41015 63 243 66 239 58 238 46 237 41015 39410 70 242 77 235 63 243 53 236 39410 37913 81 240 82 229 73 239 56 233 37913 36512 90 237 83 228 77 232 59 228 36512 35174 90 235 88 227 77 228 65 224 35174 33838 82 233 96 225 85 225 76 224 33838 32478 76 231 100 225 99 225 91 225 32478 31095 75 229 94 227 102 226 98 223 31095 29666 73 226 86 229 87 226 99 220 29666 28176 68 227 80 229 71 225 96 218 28176 26626 60 228 74 226 68 223 89 219 26626 25018 55 227 71 221 69 221 79 222 25018 23350 53 225 70 220 71 221 72 224 23350 21624 51 220 68 218 69 222 67 220 21624 19832 51 213 63 215 64 219 61 215 19832 17968 53 209 59 211 56 217 55 210 17968 16070 53 211 55 207 50 218 51 204 16070 14235 48 213 52 205 47 216 49 197 14235 12558 40 215 46 202 47 208 47 191 12558 11062 34 216 40 200 49 200 46 189 11062 9729 31 216 38 198 51 194 46 192 9729 8540 30 213 38 198 51 191 45 196 8540 7482 30 210 39 198 49 191 46 199 7482 6542 31 208 39 198 45 193 48 201 6542 5711 30 208 36 198 42 196 49 201 5711 4974 29 207 34*200 40 198 49 199 4974 4311 29 203 33*201 38*199 48 198 4311 3722 28 197 32 202 36*201 45 195 3722 3229 26*194 31 203 33 202 41 193 3229 2850 24*194 30 204 30 203 36 193 2850 2588 22 194 27 204 27 204 30 193 2588 2429 20 194 25 205 24 204 25 193 2429 2337 12 194 15 205 14 204 13*194 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography