DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 72.5 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 502 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 2143 - - - - - 550 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2961 - - 3730 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3560 - - 4465 - - - - - 2872 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 778 - - 1413 - - - - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 421 - - - - - 113 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 315 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6252 - - -5657 - - - - - -862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9812 - - 10123 - - - - - 3734 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15045 - - -12889 - - - - - -7110 ODpotential blCL - - - 18605 - - 17354 - - - - - 9982 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 81 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 72.5 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 36.3 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 69.8 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 35.7 - - - - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 502 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 2143 - - - - - 550 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 22 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98709 23 116 21 118 14 116 98709 91228 17 104 16 115 9 140 91228 85507 19 113 16 133 11 113 85507 80768 14 118 20 121 10 089 80768 76684 11 135 11 123 12 103 76684 73072 10 123 13 147 10 087 73072 69801 5 133 11 135 7 078 69801 66797 7 149 5 131 7 070 66797 64013 6 138 7 224 6 338 64013 61327 9 260 12 249 10 263 61327 58523 13 251 15 266 11 285 58523 55612 19 270 19 264 24 272 55612 52841 22 278 16 259 20 275 52841 50375 27 295 29 320 38 318 50375 48196 37 306 43 306 37 322 48196 46230 44 320 35 317 50 348 46230 44425 48 337 46 352 64 348 44425 42750 71 347 80 351 70 341 42750 41189 76 341 88 347 72 335 41189 39723 72 338 88 344 69 334 39723 38336 70 339 84 343 67 336 38336 36994 63 339 78 344 66 336 36994 35631 45 333 64 344 65 334 35631 34219 39 323 43 334 64 332 34219 32760 35 306 37 308 61 330 32760 31241 36 298 34 297 59 328 31241 29650 36 300 29 301 59 326 29650 27991 34 299 37 300 58 326 27991 26262 36 291 38 310 56 324 26262 24468 37 286 34 326 47 322 24468 22612 35 286 26 320 37 318 22612 20689 26 283 25 316 32 307 20689 18696 23 283 20 308 28 303 18696 16676 21 285 18 297 25 304 16676 14735 19 292 19 298 24 309 14735 12970 16 298 18 299 22 311 12970 11402 14 300 17 298 19 313 11402 10010 14 302 15 298 17 319 10010 8771 13 308 13 306 16 327 8771 7668 12 317 11 318 16 335 7668 6689 12 324 10 328 16 342 6689 5824 12 330 10 332 16 347 5824 5058 12 332 11*328 17 347 5058 4369 13 330 11*320 18 341 4369 3759 11*323 12 316 20 331 3759 3251 9*314 12 314 20*320 3251 2862 9 311 12 313 18*314 2862 2594 8 310 12 312 16 312 2594 2431 8 309 11 312 14 311 2431 2338 7 308 9 311 9 310 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography