DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 88.0 - - 86.3 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 452 - - 252 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1648 - - 3225 - - 2723 - - 585 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3270 - - 4537 - - 3970 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3971 - - 5549 - - 5046 - - 2907 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 956 - - 2092 - - 1751 - - 876 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 466 - - 363 - - 74 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 201 - - 212 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -1 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6046 - - -5534 - - -5771 - - -3342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10017 - - 11084 - - 10818 - - 6249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10483 - - -8530 - - -9007 - - -9120 ODpotential blCL - - - 14454 - - 14079 - - 14053 - - 12027 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 79 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 88.0 - - 86.3 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 47.3 - - 46.9 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 85.2 - - 84.5 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 47.0 - - 46.7 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 452 - - 252 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1648 - - 3225 - - 2723 - - 585 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99200 27 102 26 098 31 101 27 109 99200 91726 23 104 25 105 21 104 23 094 91726 85942 21 100 19 111 17 102 19 085 85942 81159 24 108 19 114 12 085 18 086 81159 77047 21 100 13 121 11 077 19 072 77047 73407 12 110 9 101 9 090 17 044 73407 70112 9 115 9 095 8 088 9 063 70112 67084 6 085 10 090 9 103 4 090 67084 64281 3 101 2 000 5 074 2 336 64281 61578 3 348 4 284 4 276 8 291 61578 58774 4 275 7 253 7 263 7 230 58774 55872 5 236 7 235 9 265 7 240 55872 53105 8 226 11 211 14 235 11 254 53105 50621 11 217 13 208 17 227 22 239 50621 48403 17 238 15 239 18 223 23 228 48403 46387 19 240 19 241 19 233 24 225 46387 44531 25 226 25 233 22 240 23 223 44531 42804 28 219 29 224 25 233 23 220 42804 41192 32 215 32 213 26 221 22 216 41192 39683 34 210 36 209 28 217 23 211 39683 38270 36 208 36 205 29 210 27 204 38270 36914 35 209 34 204 29 203 27 195 36914 35548 32 214 31 206 26 202 24 187 35548 34141 28 217 28 208 23 203 22 182 34141 32694 23 217 25 207 22 200 21 179 32694 31192 21 208 23 206 25 198 24 183 31192 29626 20 216 19 207 30 199 27 179 29626 27998 18 227 17 208 24 200 28 181 27998 26302 14 213 15 205 18 201 23 196 26302 24545 12 205 13 195 16 197 14 198 24545 22727 12 212 13 202 14 206 13 204 22727 20839 12 223 12 224 11 224 10 201 20839 18873 13 223 13 236 10 239 9 201 18873 16866 14 204 12 233 11 233 11 207 16866 14931 14 189 11 219 12 225 13 212 14931 13165 12 183 12 200 11 214 13 214 13165 11588 9 185 12 193 12 202 13 216 11588 10179 9 197 11 199 12 194 12 207 10179 8920 9 205 12 200 12 185 13 191 8920 7795 10 205 11 195 11 177 14 173 7795 6795 11 206 10 193 10 181 13 159 6795 5909 11 206 10*194 10 196 12 155 5909 5123 12 202 11*196 12*204 12 170 5123 4418 12*195 11 199 13*208 14 203 4418 3795 11*193 12 201 14 210 17 217 3795 3276 11 194 12 202 13 212 17*219 3276 2877 10 194 12 204 13 214 14*223 2877 2602 10 195 12 205 12 215 13 225 2602 2435 9 196 11 205 12 215 11 227 2435 2339 8 195 9 205 9 216 7 229 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography