DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 62.2 - - 68.6 - - 65.0 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 119 - - 194 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 652 - - 1687 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3123 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2974 - - 4009 - - 3158 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 159 - - 620 - - 1017 - - 1247 - - 405 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 176 - - 283 - - 84 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 043 - - 027 - - 037 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3832 - - -5822 - - -6908 - - -6610 - - -3066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6170 - - 8796 - - 10917 - - 9769 - - 5405 sfcLCL ODpotential -15790 - - -15714 - - -15830 - - -15300 - - -13588 ODpotential blCL 18128 - - 18688 - - 19839 - - 18458 - - 15926 blCL maxRH 37 - - 64 - - 86 - - 70 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 62.2 - - 68.6 - - 65.0 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 32.4 - - 29.4 - - 30.9 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 61.4 - - 67.2 - - 64.8 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 32.0 - - 28.7 - - 30.5 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 119 - - 194 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 652 - - 1687 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 44 281 38 294 46 279 45 281 47 280 96353 89315 23 295 31 292 24 282 31 290 30 293 89315 83889 16 300 27 285 24 294 16 303 25 291 83889 79383 13 300 16 268 29 292 12 305 19 273 79383 75482 11 301 11 243 24 283 17 288 13 280 75482 72012 12 320 6 257 17 268 22 284 14 289 72012 68864 18 325 8 307 11 252 16 282 15 304 68864 65969 17 308 12 327 8 281 13 291 17 306 65969 63286 18 316 17 340 6 310 8 254 13 315 63286 60691 17 316 20 339 11 346 9 344 13 329 60691 57998 14 333 17 337 18 344 17 332 15 331 57998 55224 24 353 17 353 15 349 21 334 24 330 55224 52584 32 001 18 013 16 000 24 333 26 328 52584 50202 38 005 31 009 26 358 29 342 22 324 50202 48053 40 003 40 001 32 359 27 347 17 323 48053 46086 51 010 48 006 37 007 29 358 20 339 46086 44267 59 013 52 011 45 006 37 353 32 346 44267 42579 67 020 55 012 47 001 46 349 44 347 42579 41006 74 020 56 009 45 001 48 348 49 347 41006 39533 72 018 56 007 43 003 45 351 47 347 39533 38149 62 016 53 007 42 359 41 355 42 350 38149 36816 56 009 50 006 41 359 38 354 40 354 36816 35466 54 008 48 005 40 359 34 352 39 355 35466 34070 50 009 46 004 38 356 29 352 38 355 34070 32629 48 012 41 002 34 350 25 349 30 351 32629 31131 48 016 36 001 31 340 25 341 23 345 31131 29567 47 023 34 003 30 338 29 338 22 345 29567 27936 47 028 32 006 28 342 28 336 28 337 27936 26239 43 024 29 013 24 349 25 335 27 333 26239 24478 41 032 25 019 20 352 21 334 24 338 24478 22650 32 034 22 015 17 358 20 332 21 346 22650 20748 31 015 25 006 17 356 20 337 24 354 20748 18768 34 010 30 004 23 358 23 352 26 002 18768 16749 31 010 28 009 27 012 26 009 24 017 16749 14804 26 012 23 014 24 018 24 023 22 027 14804 13034 24 014 19 015 20 020 20 030 21 034 13034 11457 22 016 18 016 17 021 17 031 19 036 11457 10052 20 016 16 019 15 023 16 030 16 035 10052 8800 19 015 15 023 14 022 15 028 15 032 8800 7685 19 016 13 024 14 019 14 026 16 031 7685 6696 19 015 13 023 14 016 14 025 17 032 6696 5824 19 013 14 022 14 016 15 023 17 030 5824 5054 20 012 15 020 15 016 15 017 17 025 5054 4366 20 012 15 017 13*016 14 011 17 016 4366 3759 19 012 14 018 11*021 11 013 17 010 3759 3251 17 015 11*025 10 026 8*027 16 012 3251 2862 14 020 7*039 10 028 7*035 14 019 2862 2594 11 024 7 043 9 029 7 038 10 029 2594 2431 8*026 6 044 8 030 6 039 6*041 2431 2338 3*046 5 045 7 032 5 039 2*078 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography