DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 83.5 - - - - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 473 - - - - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1758 - - 3320 - - - - - 313 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3370 - - 4623 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4081 - - 5643 - - - - - 2636 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 981 - - 1682 - - - - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 478 - - - - - 85 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 214 - - - - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 16 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5219 - - -4357 - - - - - -3631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9301 - - 10000 - - - - - 6267 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11609 - - -9408 - - - - - -11363 ODpotential blCL - - - 15690 - - 15051 - - - - - 13999 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 87 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 83.5 - - - - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 47.7 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 80.7 - - - - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 47.3 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 473 - - - - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1758 - - 3320 - - - - - 313 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 48 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99237 44 126 35 114 31 108 99237 91683 35 108 40 114 27 113 91683 85889 32 097 24 106 32 110 85889 81104 29 097 24 109 29 108 81104 76986 23 105 25 116 30 103 76986 73362 21 110 23 119 24 091 73362 70116 21 122 15 126 21 106 70116 67143 22 115 13 146 23 105 67143 64386 12 118 13 147 17 104 64386 61726 14 165 13 178 6 121 61726 58963 14 188 19 191 10 193 58963 56113 19 213 25 208 19 229 56113 53410 31 234 31 229 30 231 53410 50981 50 244 48 249 44 240 50981 48799 59 251 58 252 54 241 48799 46804 67 253 64 255 56 243 46804 44954 72 252 72 258 63 244 44954 43224 70 251 76 258 68 243 43224 41599 64 247 69 256 70 246 41599 40061 61 244 60 246 70 250 40061 38603 58 242 55 241 69 256 38603 37203 54 239 52 237 52 253 37203 35803 50 236 52 236 53 242 35803 34375 48 236 45 235 53 244 34375 32916 46 238 41 233 44 238 32916 31407 43 237 39 226 42 232 31407 29830 41 235 37 224 38 238 29830 28188 37 234 33 233 30 236 28188 26478 31 238 30 239 23 239 26478 24697 26 242 26 239 18 242 24697 22850 22 242 21 239 17 239 22850 20933 16 240 17 241 15 233 20933 18942 11 240 13 233 11 222 18942 16916 9 228 13 208 11 203 16916 14964 8 213 14 208 9 202 14964 13185 8 208 12 212 7 204 13185 11598 8 214 9 210 6 202 11598 10183 8 226 8 208 6 210 10183 8920 8 232 9 206 8 213 8920 7795 7 228 10 192 12 205 7795 6794 8 209 10 179 12 188 6794 5910 9 188 9*177 10 173 5910 5125 10 177 8*181 8 180 5125 4420 8*178 7 194 7 201 4420 3795 6*197 6 215 6 215 3795 3273 5 221 6 228 6 284 3273 2874 5 228 6 236 10*314 2874 2600 5 233 6 239 10*316 2600 2434 4 233 5 241 9 316 2434 2339 4 234 5 243 7 316 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography