DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 91.8 - - 88.9 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 288 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2470 - - 7958 - - 4587 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3664 - - 8073 - - 4406 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4793 - - 10282 - - 6910 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6603 - - 1970 - - 3930 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 542 - - 275 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 31 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 045 - - 023 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8496 - - -3544 - - -6187 - - -4762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13289 - - 13827 - - 13097 - - 7103 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14126 - - -8316 - - -11782 - - -10628 ODpotential blCL - - - 18919 - - 18598 - - 18692 - - 12968 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 46 - - 37 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 91.8 - - 88.9 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 38.8 - - 39.4 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 89.8 - - 88.3 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 288 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2470 - - 7958 - - 4587 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97895 4 226 20 247 18 278 9 268 97895 90577 2 194 10 230 8 243 6 309 90577 84948 2 115 3 199 8 175 4 340 84948 80283 5 111 3 102 7 130 4 073 80283 76284 9 097 7 107 7 075 12 093 76284 72765 13 090 10 105 11 064 16 080 72765 69591 13 094 8 114 7 067 11 083 69591 66684 10 101 4 152 3 005 9 082 66684 63993 6 128 7 156 5 282 4 037 63993 61397 3 190 6 163 8 237 9 287 61397 58710 12 294 7 255 12 249 19 273 58710 55942 22 287 18 281 18 274 26 273 55942 53305 38 280 40 285 40 283 38 284 53305 50925 48 279 49 283 53 285 49 287 50925 48775 53 284 60 284 58 288 56 287 48775 46805 61 287 63 287 61 288 59 289 46805 44980 67 288 64 289 62 290 61 293 44980 43277 66 288 65 291 65 292 65 293 43277 41679 63 289 64 290 67 291 68 291 41679 40176 63 293 63 291 67 293 69 293 40176 38760 62 298 57 291 61 295 71 295 38760 37396 56 300 52 290 55 294 66 296 37396 36014 49 295 49 290 50 292 59 293 36014 34586 46 293 48 290 48 292 54 291 34586 33116 47 294 46 292 48 295 48 295 33116 31591 46 296 44 292 46 298 43 298 31591 29998 45 297 40 294 40 299 37 296 29998 28335 36 294 33 292 34 295 33 293 28335 26603 30 293 27 291 32 291 31 291 26603 24800 21 291 23 288 25 291 26 296 24800 22934 15 292 17 283 20 289 22 295 22934 20999 9 291 12 283 13 298 13 297 20999 18991 3 306 6 272 7 298 7 316 18991 16954 2 089 1 212 1 237 1 333 16954 14997 5 142 5 127 7 129 5 148 14997 13220 11 151 9 141 13 130 14 139 13220 11638 11 143 9*148 13 138 17 142 11638 10228 7 117 6*144 8 154 10 144 10228 8969 6 094 4 124 4 152 4 171 8969 7845 4 086 2 070 2*096 2 191 7845 6843 2 046 3 030 5*034 1 096 6843 5954 3 014 4 024 7 025 4 051 5954 5164 5*018 5 023 8 023 7 036 5164 4454 5*017 5 023 9 022 10 026 4454 3823 5 012 6 024 9 021 11 021 3823 3294 5 010 6 025 9 020 11 015 3294 2888 5 009 6 024 9 021 11 005 2888 2607 4 010 6 025 9 021 10 358 2607 2437 4 009 6 025 9 021 8*358 2437 2340 4 010 5 025 7 021 4*001 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography