DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 95.0 - - 93.4 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 414 - - 234 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 4267 - - 2072 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3118 - - 5322 - - 3472 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3801 - - 6591 - - 4396 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1149 - - 1189 - - 3217 - - 792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 497 - - 324 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 24 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 185 - - 276 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 20 - - 26 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8520 - - -7984 - - -8469 - - -5526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12322 - - 14575 - - 12865 - - 7867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15939 - - -13818 - - -13744 - - -13356 ODpotential blCL - - - 19740 - - 20409 - - 18140 - - 15696 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 38 - - 31 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 95.0 - - 93.4 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 39.1 - - 45.1 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 92.4 - - 91.5 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 38.6 - - 44.9 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 414 - - 234 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 4267 - - 2072 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99267 36 102 38 106 33 105 32 108 99267 91772 38 111 33 114 29 111 30 099 91772 86006 37 103 31 112 28 106 31 093 86006 81240 31 105 23 105 28 095 29 098 81240 77146 28 096 18 112 25 094 30 098 77146 73528 16 088 18 120 21 090 20 090 73528 70246 18 107 17 113 14 107 15 078 70246 67228 16 091 19 117 12 129 9 075 67228 64449 9 095 17 091 17 122 9 127 64449 61773 8 140 8 070 12 099 12 133 61773 59002 17 139 4 193 4 027 8 105 59002 56169 9 128 12 198 11 269 8 328 56169 53504 1 283 11 212 16 224 16 256 53504 51116 14 296 6 272 9 216 16 221 51116 48962 23 265 13 279 12 263 13 236 48962 46990 23 254 22 255 21 256 19 248 46990 45169 24 248 24 253 25 252 24 251 45169 43473 26 246 25 252 28 251 29 252 43473 41882 28 246 28 250 30 250 33 252 41882 40382 30 246 29 249 31 250 35 251 40382 38966 30 247 28 249 30 251 34 248 38966 37599 28 248 26 250 27 251 31 246 37599 36216 26 246 25 248 25 250 28 246 36216 34785 23 239 25 246 25 248 26 248 34785 33312 19 248 23 245 23 247 25 249 33312 31783 12 251 15 250 17 245 19 247 31783 30185 8 225 11 239 14 233 15 238 30185 28519 7 207 11 232 15 231 14 234 28519 26782 7 213 11 223 15 234 13 239 26782 24977 4 200 9 209 12 234 9 246 24977 23107 5 145 10 181 10 213 6 226 23107 21169 6 150 10 173 9 200 6 205 21169 19156 6 181 8 188 6 193 5 187 19156 17108 6 198 6 211 4 199 4 191 17108 15133 4 209 5 227 3 209 4 201 15133 13333 3 219 3 229 3 200 4 192 13333 11728 2 222 2 230 3 187 4 170 11728 10296 2 210 2 220 3 189 2 154 10296 9019 1 170 3 195 6 189 2 244 9019 7879 3 132 5 167 7 158 4 227 7879 6864 5 138 5*156 8 147 5 157 6864 5966 8 159 5*160 7 155 7 130 5966 5170 11 157 4 167 6 165 6 139 5170 4457 9 146 4 182 4*177 6 172 4457 3824 8*150 4 191 2*222 6 189 3824 3294 6*165 4 199 3 274 4 221 3294 2887 6 173 4 204 3 282 4 278 2887 2607 6 178 4 207 3 287 5 290 2607 2437 5 179 3 207 3 288 5*294 2437 2340 5 180 3 209 3 289 4*295 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography