DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 77.0 - - 77.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 512 - - 297 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 2475 - - 2642 - - 663 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3263 - - 3988 - - 3962 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3892 - - 4798 - - 4965 - - 2986 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 959 - - 1330 - - 1048 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 444 - - 378 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 211 - - 215 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -692 - - -1674 - - -1792 - - -1000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4584 - - 6472 - - 6757 - - 3986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5448 - - -5201 - - -5654 - - -7037 ODpotential blCL - - - 9340 - - 9999 - - 10619 - - 10023 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 71 - - 66 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 290 - - 190 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 77.0 - - 77.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 56.4 - - 55.2 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 74.1 - - 75.0 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 56.2 - - 55.1 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 512 - - 297 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 2475 - - 2642 - - 663 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99131 33 098 31 112 22 114 22 099 99131 91671 23 095 26 105 20 107 23 089 91671 85902 17 116 19 092 22 110 18 098 85902 81114 19 117 12 120 20 100 15 099 81114 76995 19 117 14 125 13 092 15 090 76995 73350 16 097 13 120 8 109 12 096 73350 70056 4 069 9 099 8 080 8 104 70056 67038 3 166 2 123 6 051 8 080 67038 64241 6 139 5 159 5 172 3 262 64241 61537 3 193 6 166 7 192 9 230 61537 58721 10 238 8 216 9 227 12 227 58721 55796 11 228 12 221 19 239 17 244 55796 53002 13 212 19 232 24 229 21 235 53002 50487 18 222 22 227 22 225 20 225 50487 48227 20 221 22 218 21 229 21 222 48227 46173 21 218 21 219 23 228 23 219 46173 44291 21 219 21 226 22 225 23 216 44291 42559 23 229 23 227 21 224 20 221 42559 40958 24 233 22 227 20 220 18 220 40958 39473 21 237 21 229 18 217 15 214 39473 38087 18 251 21 236 19 223 13 220 38087 36757 19 258 21 247 20 230 15 225 36757 35412 18 257 21 255 21 238 16 224 35412 34022 11 265 17 256 19 241 17 225 34022 32588 7 300 9 258 17 241 14 224 32588 31097 6 323 7 266 15 238 12 217 31097 29539 5 322 9 260 14 238 12 227 29539 27914 5 290 11 257 15 248 12 246 27914 26221 10 281 12 270 13 257 10 245 26221 24462 12 284 12 272 12 257 10 242 24462 22641 12 292 10 273 12 243 12 243 22641 20749 7 282 8 260 10 240 11 239 20749 18782 6 234 8 234 11 233 9 230 18782 16777 8 214 11 220 13 229 11 219 16777 14844 12 219 14 225 15 228 13 215 14844 13081 14 220 15 220 14 219 14 211 13081 11509 17 215 15 209 14 202 14 204 11509 10108 18 212 16 202 15 193 16 193 10108 8857 17 206 16 196 14 183 18 183 8857 7742 16 194 15 189 13 170 19 173 7742 6749 16 184 14 187 11 170 18 162 6749 5871 15 182 12 194 10 193 16 158 5871 5092 16 190 12*205 11*207 13 173 5092 4395 18*196 12*209 12*212 14 202 4395 3780 18*198 13 211 13 214 15 216 3780 3267 18 199 13 211 13 216 15*225 3267 2872 18 199 13 211 12 217 13*231 2872 2600 17 200 12 212 12 217 12 233 2600 2434 15 201 11 213 11 217 11 235 2434 2339 11 201 10 213 9 218 8 239 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography