DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 96.2 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 401 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1512 - - 3188 - - - - - 127 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3085 - - 4473 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3835 - - 5512 - - - - - 2450 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 664 - - 1966 - - - - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 446 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 334 - - - - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 14 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8099 - - -7845 - - - - - -6654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11935 - - 13358 - - - - - 9104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13442 - - -11432 - - - - - -13287 ODpotential blCL - - - 17277 - - 16944 - - - - - 15737 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 68 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 96.2 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 45.8 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 93.6 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 401 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1512 - - 3188 - - - - - 127 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99430 37 110 39 104 35 092 99430 91922 35 107 37 107 31 095 91922 86147 30 105 34 109 25 093 86147 81353 26 101 30 105 24 098 81353 77230 24 101 25 109 25 105 77230 73593 20 105 20 105 24 111 73593 70295 18 115 13 107 22 096 70295 67272 10 137 10 103 14 079 67272 64481 12 149 4 201 9 071 64481 61805 10 130 7 183 2 359 61805 59048 9 155 9 185 1 232 59048 56208 10 170 10 197 3 260 56208 53523 9 187 12 184 10 219 53523 51137 11 195 13 183 17 228 51137 49001 11 199 14 197 25 210 49001 47047 11 203 16 195 24 198 47047 45237 13 210 16 203 21 189 45237 43550 17 215 20 213 20 196 43550 41968 19 213 21 212 22 207 41968 40479 17 220 19 208 25 209 40479 39071 18 240 19 217 25 204 39071 37710 17 247 21 223 22 196 37710 36327 19 238 21 226 24 204 36327 34893 20 239 19 239 21 211 34893 33412 15 243 13 238 16 212 33412 31873 11 248 7 234 14 217 31873 30267 13 249 9 247 11 218 30267 28595 15 252 12 253 10 229 28595 26853 13 241 10 234 9 234 26853 25045 11 209 8 199 6 208 25045 23177 17 193 12 190 6 161 23177 21245 21 186 14 194 9 118 21245 19239 22 169 15 174 14 119 19239 17193 16 159 14 154 15 122 17193 15215 11 134 13 137 11 125 15215 13406 9 104 13 122 9 138 13406 11789 11 073 14 095 7 153 11789 10346 11 055 12 069 4 110 10346 9059 9 030 11 040 11 055 9059 7911 9 017 11 022 12 047 7911 6891 9 017 9 015 9 040 6891 5988 8 018 6*005 5 032 5988 5187 6 015 4*352 1 033 5187 4468 4*355 4 342 1 095 4468 3830 3*331 5 332 1 054 3830 3297 4 319 5 329 6 338 3297 2888 4 313 5 328 10 333 2888 2607 4 309 5 326 10*332 2607 2437 4 308 5 326 8*331 2437 2340 3 308 5 325 5 328 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography