DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 81.1 - - - - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 264 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 984 - - 2930 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2499 - - 4135 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3307 - - 5253 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1081 - - 2261 - - - - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 376 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 219 - - - - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11050 - - -10164 - - - - - -8225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14358 - - 15418 - - - - - 10565 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18817 - - -16808 - - - - - -18335 ODpotential blCL - - - 22124 - - 22061 - - - - - 20674 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 22 - - - - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 81.1 - - - - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 21.4 - - - - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 79.2 - - - - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 20.8 - - - - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 264 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 984 - - 2930 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 12 274 15 278 21 290 97719 90445 8 280 6 254 9 298 90445 84851 7 238 7 260 4 004 84851 80204 5 183 6 231 7 021 80204 76206 6 153 4 198 6 047 76206 72683 8 130 9 173 2 055 72683 69504 6 111 10 147 4 222 69504 66584 2 073 5 116 4 191 66584 63879 2 322 2 020 5 318 63879 61281 6 012 4 086 8 312 61281 58592 20 342 13 357 4 257 58592 55793 22 320 25 328 18 341 55793 53115 24 338 32 344 29 342 53115 50707 39 353 39 352 37 356 50707 48531 50 350 45 349 47 358 48531 46537 54 347 51 349 52 357 46537 44694 60 347 57 351 55 360 44694 42980 64 347 61 354 59 004 42980 41378 65 348 65 357 61 009 41378 39873 65 353 65 004 63 011 39873 38455 66 001 64 007 61 018 38455 37088 60 005 59 014 60 024 37088 35712 52 014 57 022 60 036 35712 34303 57 023 56 034 58 046 34303 32859 64 027 55 046 53 055 32859 31361 62 036 56 060 54 067 31361 29795 56 041 63 074 58 072 29795 28160 49 038 61 072 60 072 28160 26455 44 040 52 057 60 073 26455 24678 42 050 46 048 61 076 24678 22832 42 055 43 054 62 080 22832 20913 39 055 42 063 56 084 20913 18916 34 050 41 070 44 079 18916 16885 28 042 34 071 34 075 16885 14930 24 035 26 068 30 085 14930 13152 18 038 21 066 29 096 13152 11570 13 052 19 072 25 098 11570 10160 11 082 15 081 20 094 10160 8902 9 110 9 087 18 086 8902 7779 6 166 1 147 17 077 7779 6781 14 203 10 226 15 071 6781 5897 20 203 12*220 12 059 5897 5115 21 202 11*218 9 027 5115 4413 18 203 9 218 8 353 4413 3792 12*197 8 219 8 344 3792 3273 6*176 8 219 6 024 3273 2874 4 162 7 220 8 070 2874 2600 4 157 7 220 9 081 2600 2434 4 154 7 220 7*081 2434 2339 3 154 6 220 4*079 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography