DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 64.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 46 - - 134 - - 36 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 599 - - 1311 - - 1359 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2751 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2921 - - 3633 - - 3682 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 526 - - 932 - - 924 - - 505 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 140 - - 242 - - 166 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 032 - - 023 - - 034 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2168 - - -3902 - - -6358 - - -5610 - - -3759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4506 - - 6824 - - 9991 - - 9293 - - 6098 sfcLCL ODpotential -13994 - - -13099 - - -14301 - - -13588 - - -13859 ODpotential blCL 16332 - - 16020 - - 17934 - - 17270 - - 16198 blCL maxRH 42 - - 48 - - 53 - - 43 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 64.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.3 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 43.4 - - 38.3 - - 41.1 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 64.3 - - 72.5 - - 73.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 42.1 - - 37.0 - - 39.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 46 - - 134 - - 36 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 599 - - 1311 - - 1359 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96506 13 276 8 316 11 281 8 277 8 286 96506 89339 3 335 5 084 7 224 5 236 6 041 89339 83845 7 094 9 107 2 073 8 102 10 084 83845 79283 8 076 7 069 7 043 9 046 14 073 79283 75351 15 060 14 046 7 077 5 034 12 027 75351 71909 16 022 19 027 20 033 21 037 14 031 71909 68799 16 016 10 030 16 011 18 004 17 020 68799 65925 22 359 18 013 16 006 17 017 22 023 65925 63271 32 354 31 002 29 002 29 009 31 004 63271 60719 41 348 33 353 30 349 30 352 29 353 60719 58049 41 339 28 346 27 343 29 355 26 003 58049 55256 38 335 29 345 33 348 37 356 29 011 55256 52575 38 334 40 342 40 346 47 355 41 005 52575 50169 42 353 44 345 41 353 46 355 40 003 50169 48031 65 001 55 004 48 010 48 011 41 018 48031 46111 66 348 57 359 53 008 54 009 52 007 46111 44363 52 344 46 344 49 355 49 002 50 352 44363 42743 35 012 44 341 45 356 41 007 43 352 42743 41221 43 021 41 341 36 004 35 015 38 353 41221 39780 45 017 41 342 36 011 34 014 37 359 39780 38415 46 009 41 345 43 010 35 010 39 006 38415 37090 46 002 42 351 39 359 38 005 45 007 37090 35744 49 351 43 355 43 359 38 000 49 006 35744 34348 55 345 44 356 45 003 38 002 48 004 34348 32905 57 343 46 355 43 000 40 005 46 003 32905 31400 56 346 46 353 39 354 40 004 42 005 31400 29824 52 350 42 353 34 351 39 003 38 006 29824 28177 47 353 38 356 33 352 37 001 35 004 28177 26460 42 353 36 357 31 355 34 357 36 005 26460 24677 35 347 34 355 30 355 32 357 37 007 24677 22828 32 342 34 350 30 352 32 359 36 006 22828 20905 33 341 34 347 30 349 31 359 32 002 20905 18903 35 346 32 346 30 350 30 359 28 356 18903 16866 34 355 28 346 29 349 27 356 24 347 16866 14905 31 003 25 349 28 349 25 354 22 342 14905 13122 27 010 24 355 27 353 24 355 19 347 13122 11537 23 016 22 006 23 360 22 359 15 352 11537 10127 21 019 20 017 19 009 17 007 13 355 10127 8871 21 016 18 021 17 016 14 017 11 004 8871 7750 22 014 16 022 15 021 12 023 11 015 7750 6753 23 016 16 026 14 021 11 027 11 019 6753 5871 23 021 17 033 14 023 12 031 13 018 5871 5090 24 023 19 036 16 028 13 029 16 017 5090 4393 26 019 23 033 17 026 13 024 20 015 4393 3777 29 015 24 029 15*024 11*030 21 017 3777 3263 30 010 23*027 14*023 10*033 19 021 3263 2869 26 007 16*031 13 023 10 034 16 029 2869 2598 19 005 14 033 12 023 9 034 13 034 2598 2433 12*005 12 033 11 023 8 035 9*037 2433 2339 5*008 8 034 8 023 6 036 5*039 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography