DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 60.8 - - - - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 196 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2347 - - 3222 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3294 - - 4241 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4669 - - 5544 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1532 - - 2967 - - - - - 2473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 355 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 209 - - - - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1338 - - 553 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3331 - - 4991 - - - - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 442 - - -426 - - - - - -319 ODpotential blCL - - - 4227 - - 5970 - - - - - 2657 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 87 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 180 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 60.8 - - - - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 46.8 - - - - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 59.4 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 46.2 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 196 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2347 - - 3222 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 49 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97473 10 347 6 010 6 037 97473 90224 10 016 8 066 15 343 90224 84635 7 026 10 051 13 337 84635 80021 6 271 12 333 8 069 80021 76043 1 112 10 276 11 014 76043 72515 7 309 6 260 12 314 72515 69320 10 286 6 263 10 273 69320 66377 13 244 14 262 10 247 66377 63621 18 229 19 245 9 213 63621 60921 19 232 21 241 9 238 60921 58097 20 226 24 237 21 258 58097 55175 17 228 24 224 28 259 55175 52380 20 249 23 221 26 265 52380 49844 27 257 22 238 29 277 49844 47559 32 252 26 250 33 276 47559 45485 32 250 27 252 32 275 45485 43585 32 247 25 263 31 285 43585 41828 25 237 22 280 36 291 41828 40194 22 261 23 284 37 292 40194 38668 22 248 26 293 35 293 38668 37241 8 252 29 294 33 301 37241 35874 14 299 26 304 33 311 35874 34503 18 296 32 332 36 321 34503 33100 13 307 43 339 42 325 33100 31668 16 360 50 341 51 325 31668 30196 33 008 51 344 48 328 30196 28670 40 359 46 342 47 339 28670 27086 35 351 41 346 48 351 27086 25442 28 351 36 348 42 357 25442 23735 20 006 26 346 36 358 23735 21965 12 021 25 338 33 350 21965 20128 7 360 21 329 29 342 20128 18220 5 349 18 321 22 334 18220 16279 3 360 14 324 20 330 16279 14407 2 265 8 318 20 328 14407 12703 6 222 6 289 20 330 12703 11186 7 214 5 264 19 336 11186 9832 6 208 4 248 16 335 9832 8626 6 205 4 233 13 327 8626 7551 5 211 4 222 10 321 7551 6597 7 225 5 216 9 306 6597 5754 9 228 6*213 10 295 5754 5007 10*225 6*212 10 288 5007 4335 11*222 7 208 9 283 4335 3739 11 221 8 208 9 280 3739 3240 11 222 8 209 8 275 3240 2856 11 222 8 209 7 270 2856 2591 10 222 8 209 6 269 2591 2430 9 222 7 210 5*268 2430 2338 7 222 6 209 3*270 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography