DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.6 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 516 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1754 - - 2866 - - - - - 506 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3396 - - 4293 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4076 - - 5188 - - - - - 2827 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 858 - - 1304 - - - - - 657 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 469 - - - - - 55 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 332 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2854 - - -2712 - - - - - -2021 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6931 - - 7900 - - - - - 4849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10015 - - -8736 - - - - - -9237 ODpotential blCL - - - 14091 - - 13924 - - - - - 12064 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 53 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.6 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 41.0 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 64.8 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 40.4 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 516 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1754 - - 2866 - - - - - 506 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 6 236 11 289 3 265 98173 90699 5 243 8 289 9 314 90699 84972 5 315 3 274 9 285 84972 80237 8 296 7 284 7 333 80237 76168 8 276 8 276 12 353 76168 72577 6 253 11 255 14 343 72577 69313 5 007 6 261 21 316 69313 66311 14 322 2 278 24 291 66311 63529 26 297 8 277 19 277 63529 60806 33 286 25 283 18 286 60806 57936 29 280 38 285 29 299 57936 54962 32 275 45 288 36 299 54962 52151 41 277 48 286 40 303 52151 49659 48 281 45 281 45 296 49659 47444 50 286 43 288 38 291 47444 45444 55 298 48 298 45 309 45444 43638 59 290 52 299 57 302 43638 41983 49 291 42 300 40 300 41983 40441 50 319 52 334 39 341 40441 39000 68 325 75 337 66 343 39000 37648 81 321 78 333 72 336 37648 36346 87 314 72 324 68 330 36346 35024 89 310 68 314 66 328 35024 33653 86 311 63 311 64 328 33653 32238 82 313 61 309 59 325 32238 30765 76 316 59 311 53 324 30765 29222 73 321 56 317 49 329 29222 27608 66 324 54 322 49 334 27608 25923 59 330 54 325 48 332 25923 24168 55 339 53 324 49 328 24168 22347 56 348 46 324 50 332 22347 20459 49 345 37 325 45 331 20459 18504 38 331 32 328 36 320 18504 16520 33 328 30 334 28 314 16520 14613 31 337 27 344 23 316 14613 12876 29 346 25 355 21 324 12876 11328 27 352 24 359 20 333 11328 9950 25 356 20 001 21 340 9950 8722 22 358 17 006 21 345 8722 7628 21 356 17 011 21 349 7628 6656 20 352 18 009 22 353 6656 5798 20 349 18*001 22 356 5798 5037 20 346 17*350 22 355 5037 4355 19*340 18 334 23 346 4355 3751 17*326 18 330 23 334 3751 3246 17 321 18 328 21 322 3246 2860 16 320 18 327 18*313 2860 2593 15 319 17 326 16*310 2593 2431 14 318 16 326 14 309 2431 2338 11 317 12 326 9 308 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography