DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 50.3 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 90 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3544 - - 1850 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4502 - - 2759 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5865 - - 4171 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2296 - - 2349 - - - - - 2805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 230 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 305 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1194 - - 774 - - - - - -658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4671 - - 3397 - - - - - 2996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 351 - - 90 - - - - - -1861 ODpotential blCL - - - 5514 - - 4081 - - - - - 4199 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 99 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 50.3 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 43.8 - - - - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 49.6 - - - - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 43.0 - - - - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 90 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3544 - - 1850 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 97 - - - - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97537 31 277 35 285 32 294 97537 90187 30 281 40 285 27 302 90187 84520 31 282 29 284 26 303 84520 79822 26 284 24 281 22 291 79822 75786 14 295 17 268 18 292 75786 72214 14 306 13 293 15 308 72214 68968 18 273 21 276 17 308 68968 65967 13 248 18 249 21 284 65967 63189 10 275 11 219 20 277 63189 60510 22 272 11 250 25 274 60510 57720 32 277 26 270 29 271 57720 54820 38 283 34 280 33 282 54820 52035 48 274 43 278 43 278 52035 49519 52 269 48 276 50 274 49519 47262 57 274 57 279 53 274 47262 45218 63 276 68 276 61 282 45218 43361 70 278 73 275 70 280 43361 41660 80 281 74 280 76 283 41660 40095 90 280 90 284 89 284 40095 38640 95 277 100 280 95 280 38640 37274 97 276 101 277 92 279 37274 35959 95 275 99 277 90 281 35959 34630 91 274 96 280 87 286 34630 33258 85 274 94 282 84 287 33258 31842 82 275 98 284 82 286 31842 30369 78 278 89 287 81 287 30369 28827 71 277 73 284 78 292 28827 27216 70 272 68 281 75 291 27216 25541 65 272 67 281 66 289 25541 23808 62 277 57 284 53 293 23808 22020 57 283 50 287 49 295 22020 20165 52 289 45 287 46 296 20165 18238 48 292 44 286 42 301 18238 16273 47 294 44 290 38 306 16273 14379 45 299 42 295 32 306 14379 12657 37 299 35 299 27 301 12657 11128 28 297 27 297 23 299 11128 9772 21 294 15 291 20 301 9772 8570 14 294 6 285 13 312 8570 7505 11 299 4 274 6 334 7505 6560 9*302 5 286 5 025 6560 5724 9*302 7 296 10 032 5724 4983 7 301 9 302 14 028 4983 4317 6 299 10*304 15 019 4317 3727 6 297 11*305 15 009 3727 3232 6 295 11 305 15 002 3232 2852 6 293 11 305 14 359 2852 2589 6 293 10 305 12 357 2589 2429 5 292 9 305 9*356 2429 2338 5 292 7 305 5*356 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography