DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 65.8 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 84 - - 187 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 576 - - 1649 - - 599 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 3084 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2898 - - 3971 - - 2921 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 70 - - 902 - - 1483 - - 1622 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 151 - - 278 - - 63 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 047 - - 050 - - 041 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 5 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5384 - - -6636 - - -6020 - - -5633 - - -3522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7723 - - 9535 - - 9992 - - 8555 - - 5861 sfcLCL ODpotential -15841 - - -14346 - - -11965 - - -11375 - - -11770 ODpotential blCL 18179 - - 17244 - - 15936 - - 14296 - - 14108 blCL maxRH 25 - - 44 - - 57 - - 41 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 65.8 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 32.7 - - 35.4 - - 38.5 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.4 - - 65.1 - - 69.4 - - 67.4 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 32.1 - - 34.9 - - 38.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 84 - - 187 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 576 - - 1649 - - 599 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96654 60 285 51 292 47 289 44 284 51 285 96654 89546 32 276 38 283 35 293 30 296 33 300 89546 84049 20 276 27 275 31 282 31 296 34 302 84049 79496 20 312 15 285 25 279 26 285 31 294 79496 75572 25 299 18 290 24 281 21 288 26 297 75572 72076 29 287 24 278 29 283 29 295 26 298 72076 68880 32 281 27 277 29 280 29 290 26 292 68880 65932 30 279 28 274 26 275 28 290 28 293 65932 63214 30 279 30 277 26 289 28 291 28 301 63214 60605 32 282 32 277 28 292 30 294 32 304 60605 57881 33 279 30 277 32 291 36 291 36 297 57881 55041 33 279 29 280 36 285 38 290 35 301 55041 52330 37 275 34 279 37 284 37 292 36 301 52330 49893 44 271 38 273 37 288 35 294 34 307 49893 47699 48 262 44 264 37 286 38 295 40 314 47699 45696 48 258 48 256 40 272 40 286 41 303 45696 43857 50 253 50 247 48 251 42 268 36 288 43857 42166 53 246 53 240 56 245 51 258 38 278 42166 40605 49 238 52 238 58 241 59 247 43 262 40605 39159 44 237 48 237 54 240 56 240 51 247 39159 37808 42 239 46 239 52 239 54 234 57 241 37808 36503 45 238 46 242 51 241 51 234 54 239 36503 35178 43 236 44 240 49 240 48 237 50 238 35178 33808 42 233 41 238 47 239 47 238 45 238 33808 32395 40 231 40 237 44 237 46 236 43 240 32395 30922 37 229 37 236 41 236 42 234 40 242 30922 29380 36 225 34 235 38 236 37 236 38 246 29380 27769 34 225 31 235 33 236 33 240 36 252 27769 26089 29 227 27 236 28 240 30 242 33 253 26089 24340 22 229 24 233 26 244 27 243 31 252 24340 22526 19 228 22 226 25 242 26 244 29 259 22526 20642 19 226 23 224 25 238 26 247 29 267 20642 18683 21 226 24 231 24 241 25 251 26 270 18683 16687 21 236 23 242 23 246 22 259 22 272 16687 14761 18 245 20 248 19 255 18 271 16 279 14761 13006 13 245 16 250 16 265 15 285 12 291 13006 11443 10 235 12 254 13 270 12 296 9 303 11443 10051 8 228 8 264 9 278 10 309 7 321 10051 8809 5 214 4 271 5 290 8 323 7 342 8809 7702 3 181 1 238 2 281 6 338 6 357 7702 6717 2 161 1 165 1 194 5 355 4 011 6717 5845 2 139 1 155 1 178 5 009 4 028 5845 5074 1 087 1 146 0 077 5 013 4 036 5074 4382 2 065 1 093 2*040 7 016 6 025 4382 3770 3 056 2 041 3*042 8 021 8 011 3770 3258 4 062 3*036 4 048 8*030 12 015 3258 2866 4 071 4*044 5 051 7*038 13 017 2866 2595 5 080 4 047 5 053 7 041 12 020 2595 2432 4 083 4 049 5 053 7 042 9*022 2432 2338 2*091 3 048 4 053 5 044 5*024 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography