DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.4 - - 89.8 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 436 - - 263 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2964 - - 4489 - - 1871 - - 351 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4241 - - 5516 - - 3364 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5287 - - 6813 - - 4195 - - 2674 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1727 - - 1976 - - 3373 - - 679 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 515 - - 325 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 36 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 304 - - 324 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 18 - - 6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6093 - - -5311 - - -7467 - - -9161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11380 - - 12124 - - 11662 - - 11835 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11683 - - -8943 - - -10909 - - -17474 ODpotential blCL - - - 16970 - - 15756 - - 15104 - - 20148 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 84 - - 93 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.4 - - 89.8 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 46.2 - - 46.8 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 88.6 - - 87.9 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 45.7 - - 46.3 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 436 - - 263 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2964 - - 4489 - - 1871 - - 351 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 34 - - 72 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99144 27 099 33 115 31 109 28 105 99144 91649 25 106 25 102 29 102 29 096 91649 85887 32 113 23 099 31 104 29 103 85887 81116 28 111 21 093 27 098 31 105 81116 77019 22 111 16 098 19 092 27 092 77019 73415 23 105 18 120 11 092 19 075 73415 70158 23 090 23 119 13 117 12 090 70158 67157 19 089 25 108 15 121 10 128 67157 64385 12 090 21 093 16 112 13 137 64385 61736 5 121 13 089 15 097 15 105 61736 59005 11 182 9 168 11 140 9 143 59005 56184 25 168 21 180 16 183 13 171 56184 53503 28 177 28 179 24 189 19 182 53503 51093 28 187 27 183 23 180 22 180 51093 48927 30 182 27 191 20 188 19 172 48927 46951 32 164 29 183 20 203 13 183 46951 45127 29 152 29 169 22 194 14 216 45127 43424 24 149 27 154 24 177 19 202 43424 41828 20 151 23 151 24 166 21 170 41828 40331 20 156 23 160 23 164 20 159 40331 38920 21 167 28 167 23 168 21 157 38920 37555 23 170 29 165 23 167 20 158 37555 36171 24 170 27 167 21 166 16 164 36171 34739 25 170 26 171 22 171 18 183 34739 33263 26 172 28 171 25 175 19 180 33263 31726 29 170 30 172 25 176 17 178 31726 30118 26 176 27 178 22 180 16 177 30118 28443 26 187 24 188 18 181 17 173 28443 26701 22 190 19 197 15 188 17 176 26701 24893 22 199 18 212 9 208 17 180 24893 23022 22 200 18 211 8 191 15 185 23022 21082 22 196 18 205 10 185 11 180 21082 19070 18 191 18 195 14 178 10 167 19070 17026 19 190 18 187 16 189 9 185 17026 15059 20 186 18 183 13 206 8 205 15059 13267 16 191 14 186 11 219 8 209 13267 11670 13 218 11 213 9 227 7 215 11670 10245 13 241 9 245 7 238 4 243 10245 8975 12 251 8 263 5 249 4 278 8975 7841 10 252 5 264 2 241 4 269 7841 6832 8 245 2*256 1 187 4 240 6832 5939 6*225 2*257 1 165 4 215 5939 5147 3*215 2 273 0 287 4 230 5147 4436 3 219 2 293 2*319 4 263 4436 3807 2 227 3 312 6*326 8 305 3807 3282 2 233 3 317 8 325 13 317 3282 2880 2 241 4 317 8 324 13*321 2880 2604 1 248 4 320 8 324 11*321 2604 2436 1 245 4 319 8 324 10 322 2436 2339 1 249 3 319 7 323 6 321 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography