DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 60.7 - - 66.6 - - 62.7 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 42 - - 336 - - 427 - - 256 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 371 - - 1574 - - 3111 - - 2772 - - 798 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3217 - - 4435 - - 4013 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2692 - - 3896 - - 5433 - - 5094 - - 3120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 531 - - 832 - - 1556 - - 1371 - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 334 - - 454 - - 368 - - 67 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 17 - - 20 - - 24 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 207 - - 200 - - 214 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -13 - - -30 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1857 - - -4149 - - -2540 - - -181 - - 145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4549 - - 8046 - - 7973 - - 5275 - - 2975 sfcLCL ODpotential -9139 - - -9604 - - -5731 - - -2542 - - -2001 ODpotential blCL 11831 - - 13500 - - 11164 - - 7636 - - 5121 blCL maxRH 65 - - 66 - - 70 - - 78 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 60.7 - - 66.6 - - 62.7 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 33.7 - - 39.7 - - 47.5 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 58.8 - - 64.4 - - 61.1 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 32.8 - - 38.7 - - 47.1 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 42 - - 336 - - 427 - - 256 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 371 - - 1574 - - 3111 - - 2772 - - 798 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97458 41 281 46 275 57 272 49 293 38 294 97458 90065 34 280 35 282 39 267 47 282 44 287 90065 84383 32 271 32 273 31 271 35 272 41 285 84383 79697 28 270 30 264 27 276 26 269 27 273 79697 75658 21 281 22 269 24 278 20 280 16 271 75658 72086 20 267 18 264 20 269 20 284 12 274 72086 68855 19 264 14 246 16 254 17 272 14 279 68855 65884 19 277 13 244 16 241 18 250 14 260 65884 63129 21 273 15 243 17 229 19 238 17 238 63129 60462 22 267 16 248 17 235 18 234 21 241 60462 57677 35 251 23 257 24 243 26 236 26 239 57677 54773 42 242 37 251 34 240 36 236 31 235 54773 51976 41 242 43 247 38 237 40 235 36 233 51976 49452 41 250 41 245 39 243 39 231 42 232 49452 47198 47 249 42 244 44 245 38 234 47 231 47198 45168 47 249 44 243 48 239 43 241 49 230 45168 43329 44 250 44 236 47 230 51 243 54 233 43329 41658 40 237 44 224 47 218 51 232 61 233 41658 40126 36 237 45 217 52 208 49 222 64 233 40126 38697 37 242 45 215 53 200 47 217 65 233 38697 37350 40 244 44 217 53 199 48 215 66 231 37350 36048 42 244 43 221 52 200 47 214 65 229 36048 34727 41 246 43 226 50 203 46 217 66 228 34727 33359 41 248 43 229 47 206 47 220 67 227 33359 31945 44 249 44 229 47 208 49 221 66 227 31945 30473 47 246 46 227 50 211 51 222 66 230 30473 28931 50 241 51 225 55 214 51 225 65 231 28931 27322 53 233 58 226 58 218 53 225 61 228 27322 25646 57 230 63 229 60 222 57 220 58 222 25646 23906 58 232 63 229 62 222 61 216 58 215 23906 22106 56 232 58 228 62 221 62 215 60 211 22106 20242 52 229 51 224 57 220 58 215 59 208 20242 18308 48 224 46 218 49 214 52 214 53 205 18308 16347 42 217 42 211 44 208 45 212 46 202 16347 14463 38 211 39 204 41 206 40 212 39 201 14463 12753 34 208 36 202 40 208 39 212 35 203 12753 11231 29 204 32 202 38 210 37 210 35 206 11231 9874 25 200 28 202 35 211 34 207 35 205 9874 8662 23 195 24 203 31 210 31 206 33 202 8662 7580 22 194 22 206 28 209 28 206 31 201 7580 6617 22 196 21 213 25 207 25 206 27 204 6617 5767 22 201 21 220 22*203 24*210 26 213 5767 5015 23 207 21 224 21*201 24*212 26 221 5015 4339 24 211 21*222 21 201 24 214 26 224 4339 3741 25 213 19*211 21 200 25 214 25 222 3741 3242 26 212 18 207 21 200 25 215 24*220 3242 2857 23*210 17 206 20 200 24 215 22*220 2857 2592 19*209 16 206 19 200 23 215 20 220 2592 2430 17 209 15 205 17 200 21 216 18 220 2430 2338 10 209 11 205 13 200 14 216 10 221 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography