DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 52.7 - - 59.0 - - 54.6 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 18 - - 93 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 774 - - 312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2337 - - 3096 - - 2633 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 569 - - 833 - - 798 - - 165 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 30 - - 175 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 073 - - 005 - - 056 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 3 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4397 - - -3713 - - -3092 - - -1505 - - -755 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6735 - - 6051 - - 6188 - - 4138 - - 3093 sfcLCL ODpotential -17444 - - -13430 - - -11123 - - -9948 - - -11601 ODpotential blCL 19781 - - 15767 - - 14219 - - 12581 - - 13939 blCL maxRH 53 - - 46 - - 63 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 52.7 - - 59.0 - - 54.6 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.2 - - 35.0 - - 40.4 - - 44.8 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 52.5 - - 58.2 - - 54.9 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 33.7 - - 39.5 - - 44.2 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 18 - - 93 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 774 - - 312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96367 25 105 17 106 12 119 15 103 11 153 96367 89260 20 085 16 109 11 101 11 084 14 095 89260 83759 14 089 14 095 11 089 9 060 13 075 83759 79203 15 093 11 062 9 074 15 044 14 053 79203 75299 14 057 7 066 6 055 7 026 9 039 75299 71851 13 043 7 063 10 021 10 016 14 014 71851 68737 8 028 5 019 10 008 10 343 16 345 68737 65879 7 350 7 018 11 014 10 353 14 315 65879 63223 11 352 19 353 19 350 18 345 17 335 63223 60662 13 352 20 352 20 340 22 341 24 336 60662 58005 13 351 19 352 17 339 20 336 23 330 58005 55240 21 355 23 010 20 351 23 329 26 316 55240 52580 27 010 27 003 22 337 25 316 29 317 52580 50161 30 010 26 351 23 330 27 327 32 324 50161 47974 28 009 30 001 32 345 36 337 32 330 47974 45975 38 010 40 357 40 347 42 339 37 337 45975 44134 48 006 44 352 45 345 46 337 43 341 44134 42431 50 005 45 353 49 348 48 339 51 347 42431 40850 55 014 51 002 50 359 52 350 58 350 40850 39382 73 018 63 006 57 004 61 356 58 347 39382 38012 85 016 74 011 61 009 66 003 53 352 38012 36694 87 017 84 017 75 013 69 007 51 357 36694 35354 86 017 99 020 83 013 66 007 51 360 35354 33965 83 016 95 017 77 010 67 008 57 359 33965 32535 82 016 83 014 70 008 72 005 63 356 32535 31048 80 016 74 013 68 007 70 003 64 356 31048 29492 78 016 71 011 70 006 65 004 60 356 29492 27869 73 017 71 011 72 005 61 005 53 356 27869 26174 66 018 67 012 68 004 60 003 50 352 26174 24408 61 015 57 014 62 002 57 359 50 346 24408 22574 58 009 48 014 55 359 51 359 49 344 22574 20670 55 003 47 009 47 000 46 359 43 344 20670 18691 54 002 48 007 40 008 42 356 37 346 18691 16677 50 008 43 009 35 013 36 358 36 352 16677 14742 44 011 35 012 29 011 29 001 36 360 14742 12983 39 009 30 011 25 007 26 002 32 006 12983 11418 36 008 27 010 23 003 25 004 27 009 11418 10022 33 011 23 011 20 001 23 005 23 008 10022 8777 29 016 21 011 17 000 20 005 20 004 8777 7667 25 018 19 007 15 359 18 000 17 003 7667 6683 22 018 18 003 15 358 16 358 14 007 6683 5814 21 015 18 003 15 358 16 358 13 011 5814 5045 20 012 18 002 15 358 15 002 13 012 5045 4357 19 008 17 358 14 353 15 003 14 011 4357 3749 16 007 16 352 11 346 12 002 13 007 3749 3243 12 006 13 349 6*344 7 022 12 004 3243 2856 7 006 7 351 4*000 6*051 8 011 2856 2590 2 014 3 001 4 005 6*055 3 049 2590 2429 2 169 1 061 3 008 6 057 3*130 2429 2338 2*173 1*073 3 008 4 058 3*146 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography