DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 84.8 - - 83.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 466 - - 292 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2290 - - 4273 - - 2019 - - 359 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3759 - - 5368 - - 3501 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4613 - - 6597 - - 4342 - - 2681 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1080 - - 1113 - - 2995 - - 558 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 518 - - 345 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 32 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 278 - - 314 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 17 - - 12 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5478 - - -4606 - - -6045 - - -4375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10092 - - 11204 - - 10388 - - 7056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13620 - - -11333 - - -13100 - - -13770 ODpotential blCL - - - 18233 - - 17930 - - 17442 - - 16451 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 37 - - 41 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 84.8 - - 83.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 43.7 - - 45.7 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.2 - - 82.1 - - 81.0 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 43.1 - - 45.2 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 466 - - 292 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2290 - - 4273 - - 2019 - - 359 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98857 26 107 32 102 28 103 36 114 98857 91373 28 122 22 122 24 099 26 113 91373 85643 26 112 21 124 15 122 19 091 85643 80885 18 112 17 118 16 114 15 086 80885 76777 16 120 11 128 14 099 12 099 76777 73156 16 115 12 116 15 122 10 093 73156 69890 10 137 12 126 10 118 9 102 69890 66892 11 153 9 165 7 170 4 075 66892 64119 7 117 9 155 8 165 2 162 64119 61451 1 182 5 178 5 196 3 231 61451 58683 9 233 11 215 10 233 7 244 58683 55828 15 266 13 258 15 253 16 251 55828 53118 27 256 25 261 25 255 24 252 53118 50687 35 253 35 256 36 255 33 253 50687 48509 40 255 41 251 41 255 37 254 48509 46533 41 258 39 248 39 251 36 254 46533 44718 40 257 36 247 37 248 36 252 44718 43036 37 256 33 248 34 246 34 250 43036 41463 34 254 31 247 32 245 31 248 41463 39986 32 251 31 245 30 243 29 248 39986 38594 33 249 32 243 30 241 29 247 38594 37252 33 249 34 244 32 241 33 245 37252 35896 32 249 35 246 36 243 39 239 35896 34493 31 248 36 250 39 245 40 237 34493 33043 29 248 34 251 39 248 39 241 33043 31533 25 247 31 251 36 251 36 244 31533 29953 24 248 31 251 34 253 34 244 29953 28305 23 247 30 250 37 253 33 248 28305 26589 21 246 26 250 32 254 33 257 26589 24808 19 251 21 258 29 278 29 269 24808 22962 19 261 19 265 33 278 27 268 22962 21039 18 267 18 265 30 291 19 275 21039 19033 17 273 16 261 19 288 12 277 19033 16986 16 275 15 258 11 254 10 247 16986 15008 14 276 13 259 8 244 9 218 15008 13207 10 290 8 275 4 273 4 203 13207 11604 7 317 5 316 2 356 4 150 11604 10178 3 346 1 346 1 019 2 184 10178 8912 2 016 2 125 4 164 6 241 8912 7786 4 020 1 106 7 146 5 200 7786 6787 5 032 1*134 7 142 7 141 6787 5906 3 036 1*196 5 148 4 147 5906 5124 1*081 1 250 2 182 3 177 5124 4421 1*220 3 268 2*268 2 213 4421 3797 2 242 4 281 6*311 3 297 3797 3276 2 251 4 283 8 314 8 323 3276 2876 2 253 5 286 8 315 9*323 2876 2602 3 255 5 285 8 314 9*323 2602 2435 3 256 5 285 8 315 8 322 2435 2339 2 256 5 284 7 314 6 321 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography