DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 50.6 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 37 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 237 - - 323 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2558 - - 2644 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1671 - - 1943 - - 2441 - - 2085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 95 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 182 - - 177 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 221 - - 306 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 49 - - -61 - - -683 - - -444 ODpotential blCL - - - 2509 - - 2705 - - 3021 - - 2782 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 50.6 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 48.7 - - 48.8 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 49.8 - - 50.9 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 48.5 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 37 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 237 - - 323 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96084 19 301 21 313 20 306 22 304 96084 89012 16 322 12 299 12 298 18 306 89012 83549 14 313 11 303 11 329 7 315 83549 78999 12 268 18 279 19 294 11 281 78999 75075 9 298 9 294 16 285 9 286 75075 71584 16 275 14 263 19 265 18 266 71584 68403 19 253 27 246 28 242 23 243 68403 65470 18 242 25 232 29 230 21 236 65470 62751 19 247 15 226 28 230 24 238 62751 60104 24 242 16 240 33 228 31 229 60104 57307 43 233 37 242 37 242 36 235 57307 54405 59 235 66 240 72 232 82 228 54405 51656 73 231 87 226 82 219 95 215 51656 49150 82 234 86 225 82 229 81 217 49150 46880 93 234 90 232 103 236 103 237 46880 44835 107 225 110 224 109 231 129 235 44835 42967 108 223 116 219 109 223 131 226 42967 41245 109 221 117 220 116 216 120 222 41245 39650 119 220 127 217 115 211 110 222 39650 38170 126 218 134 212 103 210 103 224 38170 36796 128 215 127 209 93 212 99 224 36796 35489 127 215 112 209 90 211 93 224 35489 34182 109 216 99 209 88 207 88 221 34182 32843 86 215 91 211 87 203 87 217 32843 31467 80 216 89 214 85 206 90 217 31467 30034 78 217 86 218 77 213 95 219 30034 28531 73 217 71 223 64 216 95 223 28531 26962 63 218 53 218 52 214 81 228 26962 25328 54 215 58 208 51 206 66 230 25328 23628 50 210 60 204 56 202 58 228 23628 21866 48 210 59 206 66 205 51 221 21866 20037 45 211 55 213 71 210 57 212 20037 18136 42 212 50 217 70 213 66 213 18136 16200 40 210 46 216 62 211 62 217 16200 14335 41 208 44 210 54 204 50 216 14335 12636 43 204 44 205 51 198 44 210 12636 11124 44 201 45 201 53 195 44 209 11124 9778 44 199 48 199 56 194 45 210 9778 8578 42 199 49 198 55 195 44 209 8578 7512 41 201 49 195 53 196 43 204 7512 6566 40 201 46 191 49 196 46 197 6566 5731 40 199 42 188 47 193 49 193 5731 4990 39 199 39 186 46 188 49 191 4990 4323 37 200 36 185 45 185 49 190 4323 3731 34 202 33 185 42 183 47 189 3731 3235 31 204 29 184 37 182 42 187 3235 2853 27 206 25*183 31 181 36 186 2853 2590 23*207 21*183 26 180 30 184 2590 2429 20*207 19 182 22*179 25*184 2429 2338 12 207 12 181 12*177 14*182 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography