DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 90.7 - - 88.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 282 - - 58 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1197 - - 4018 - - 3015 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2774 - - 4986 - - 3096 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3521 - - 6341 - - 5338 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2217 - - 6241 - - 6930 - - 1414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 429 - - 232 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 052 - - 059 - - 050 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 20 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10066 - - -8134 - - -8285 - - -7784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13588 - - 14476 - - 13623 - - 10123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16871 - - -13975 - - -14196 - - -15439 ODpotential blCL - - - 20392 - - 20316 - - 19534 - - 17778 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 64 - - 55 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 90.7 - - 88.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 34.8 - - 36.7 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.8 - - 88.6 - - 88.0 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 34.3 - - 36.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 282 - - 58 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1197 - - 4018 - - 3015 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 4 301 5 040 6 057 1 312 97823 90557 4 060 4 067 5 350 7 043 90557 84936 2 093 6 020 6 030 8 058 84936 80276 4 120 11 011 13 037 14 062 80276 76273 14 095 9 048 11 039 12 049 76273 72754 21 077 12 082 10 044 12 065 72754 69587 16 084 9 092 6 028 13 040 69587 66691 13 065 6 096 3 017 12 020 66691 64003 12 024 8 058 4 048 10 359 64003 61396 14 016 7 351 9 341 12 341 61396 58679 18 350 12 340 13 321 18 321 58679 55871 23 314 20 317 19 318 22 308 55871 53203 27 310 25 312 24 313 23 315 53203 50791 29 310 33 306 34 296 33 312 50791 48614 31 307 33 303 35 293 36 299 48614 46623 32 307 35 306 37 293 36 290 46623 44786 40 304 38 302 39 290 39 285 44786 43076 43 302 39 298 37 287 38 283 43076 41477 41 303 39 296 36 286 37 281 41477 39978 41 302 39 296 35 286 35 279 39978 38568 40 300 38 296 36 287 34 280 38568 37209 37 299 34 292 35 286 34 283 37209 35831 33 298 31 289 34 285 32 284 35831 34405 31 295 29 286 32 284 30 284 34405 32938 30 291 28 284 29 283 26 282 32938 31417 29 287 28 281 29 279 26 277 31417 29832 25 284 25 279 27 276 26 274 29832 28178 22 280 22 277 23 276 24 275 28178 26453 20 275 19 272 21 276 20 274 26453 24663 18 275 17 271 18 270 17 267 24663 22810 16 274 13 268 14 263 17 257 22810 20889 11 272 9 253 11 248 16 244 20889 18895 5 255 7 226 8 236 12 227 18895 16870 6 183 10 181 8 210 9 206 16870 14927 16 163 16 173 12 173 12 155 14927 13166 18 164 17 171 17 158 16 155 13166 11599 15 174 12 166 15 150 17 156 11599 10201 11 171 10 155 12 154 15 153 10201 8949 8 158 8 147 9 159 13 153 8949 7828 5 146 6 150 7 159 11 154 7828 6828 5 137 4*151 5 143 9 161 6828 5942 5 122 3*110 4*113 7 177 5942 5155 7 086 6 060 5*061 7 179 5155 4447 11 057 7 056 6 053 4 146 4447 3819 13*047 7 055 7 049 4 085 3819 3292 12*047 8 056 7 048 5 068 3292 2887 11 052 8 056 7 047 4 069 2887 2607 10 054 8 057 7 048 4 066 2607 2437 9 055 7 057 7 047 2 073 2437 2339 7 056 7 057 6 047 1*109 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography