DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 84.8 - - 80.9 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 471 - - 311 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1803 - - 4049 - - 1519 - - 378 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3400 - - 5193 - - 3158 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4125 - - 6372 - - 3842 - - 2700 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1128 - - 1433 - - 2373 - - 424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 510 - - 321 - - 90 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 16 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 248 - - 294 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6103 - - -5216 - - -6172 - - -4099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10229 - - 11589 - - 10015 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13835 - - -11336 - - -12616 - - -12759 ODpotential blCL - - - 17960 - - 17708 - - 16458 - - 15459 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 32 - - 34 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 84.8 - - 80.9 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 41.9 - - 45.2 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 82.0 - - 78.8 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 41.3 - - 44.8 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 471 - - 311 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1803 - - 4049 - - 1519 - - 378 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 35 098 30 115 23 117 24 093 98941 91471 24 098 31 101 25 113 27 107 91471 85712 23 123 21 098 24 099 30 104 85712 80933 23 118 16 109 23 085 24 105 80933 76815 21 092 12 101 14 088 21 080 76815 73172 11 071 8 077 13 089 16 077 73172 69884 6 077 10 092 9 077 12 071 69884 66872 9 056 5 096 5 055 9 051 66872 64095 7 093 6 082 4 028 7 032 64095 61425 4 043 6 050 3 014 6 021 61425 58646 6 270 6 293 8 280 10 331 58646 55763 15 277 17 274 17 265 20 289 55763 53011 24 275 25 270 23 266 26 274 53011 50534 30 266 35 263 30 270 28 268 50534 48319 33 261 36 257 34 269 29 264 48319 46320 35 260 36 253 39 264 29 265 46320 44499 41 265 36 256 41 262 28 268 44499 42820 47 265 37 263 38 262 24 275 42820 41257 48 263 39 265 35 266 18 287 41257 39792 48 260 38 265 30 271 13 302 39792 38412 46 263 35 266 26 274 9 336 38412 37078 42 267 29 267 22 281 11 010 37078 35724 34 266 27 269 20 285 14 005 35724 34324 30 264 25 267 18 293 14 344 34324 32880 29 265 20 270 13 314 11 319 32880 31377 27 270 15 287 11 336 8 301 31377 29802 26 275 13 301 9 325 9 304 29802 28157 24 279 13 294 11 298 11 302 28157 26440 22 281 15 283 15 290 12 297 26440 24657 19 282 17 275 15 288 13 290 24657 22809 16 278 18 271 15 278 15 275 22809 20891 14 270 16 268 16 268 18 268 20891 18899 10 261 15 263 17 263 19 267 18899 16871 10 254 13 261 15 263 17 270 16871 14916 12 252 12 259 12 266 13 271 14916 13135 13 254 11 261 10 261 11 270 13135 11548 11 260 10 267 9 254 11 263 11548 10138 10 272 9 276 7 253 11 254 10138 8884 9 281 8 279 4 241 10 246 8884 7767 8 276 5 255 5 181 10 237 7767 6773 7 256 4*230 6 175 8 219 6773 5893 7 231 5*232 6 184 7 217 5893 5112 7 215 5 237 6 209 8 231 5112 4410 7*214 6 243 6*235 9 242 4410 3789 6*226 6 250 8*277 10 259 3789 3270 6 232 7 254 10 294 13 291 3270 2872 6 236 7 256 11 297 13*304 2872 2600 6 237 7 257 11 298 12*305 2600 2434 5 239 7 256 10 298 11 305 2434 2339 5 240 6 257 9 297 8 305 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography