DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 67.9 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 563 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2120 - - 2618 - - - - - 625 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3684 - - 4120 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4441 - - 4940 - - - - - 2946 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 603 - - 714 - - - - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 467 - - - - - 128 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 300 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -147 - - -2112 - - - - - -1147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4588 - - 7053 - - - - - 4094 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10624 - - -12404 - - - - - -13930 ODpotential blCL - - - 15065 - - 17344 - - - - - 16876 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 63 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 67.9 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 45.1 - - - - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 64.9 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 44.8 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 563 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2120 - - 2618 - - - - - 625 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99067 33 118 28 108 22 112 99067 91568 29 108 21 118 26 093 91568 85797 25 103 19 104 24 085 85797 81007 22 113 20 115 21 087 81007 76870 17 112 15 116 15 084 76870 73221 12 097 14 111 11 104 73221 69920 7 115 12 111 9 096 69920 66883 2 284 6 354 11 062 66883 64075 5 106 2 145 2 006 64075 61379 8 312 8 289 4 311 61379 58597 8 309 12 292 5 266 58597 55722 26 320 26 307 21 313 55722 52995 36 311 29 302 42 297 52995 50561 43 302 36 312 49 295 50561 48395 48 304 55 319 57 297 48395 46443 53 308 64 310 61 300 46443 44649 51 312 61 306 64 304 44649 42977 50 318 56 307 67 307 42977 41406 51 319 53 308 68 310 41406 39924 51 318 51 306 66 312 39924 38525 50 316 50 304 66 315 38525 37175 48 314 49 303 62 309 37175 35809 46 312 49 303 57 302 35809 34395 45 307 48 304 55 300 34395 32935 44 301 47 306 55 297 32935 31414 45 297 45 306 56 295 31414 29820 46 294 44 303 56 292 29820 28154 49 294 44 297 56 292 28154 26416 53 293 45 292 55 296 26416 24607 56 291 47 292 53 298 24607 22730 57 293 52 294 54 299 22730 20778 59 294 55 297 54 303 20778 18754 56 302 52 301 49 304 18754 16703 48 309 46 302 46 305 16703 14737 43 304 42 302 40 309 14737 12957 41 302 38 304 30 312 12957 11379 36 304 33 307 23 306 11379 9980 27 303 27 304 20 301 9980 8738 20 296 21 296 17 302 8738 7636 17 288 16 293 12 303 7636 6659 12 274 9 284 9 304 6659 5797 9 255 6 283 7 311 5797 5035 8*267 7*293 7 328 5035 4351 9*287 8*297 9 336 4351 3746 10 291 9 299 15 323 3746 3243 10 292 10 300 18*313 3243 2857 10 292 10 300 17*310 2857 2592 10 292 10 300 16 309 2592 2431 9 292 9 300 15 309 2431 2338 8 292 8 300 9 308 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography