DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.9 - - 66.1 - - 74.0 - - 72.1 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 126 - - 220 - - 28 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 396 - - 1291 - - 644 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2891 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2718 - - 3614 - - 2967 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 504 - - 1365 - - 1396 - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 152 - - 270 - - 109 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 080 - - 119 - - 093 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1091 - - -5218 - - -5631 - - -5574 - - -2581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3429 - - 7936 - - 9245 - - 8541 - - 4919 sfcLCL ODpotential -12644 - - -13229 - - -11727 - - -11677 - - -11413 ODpotential blCL 14982 - - 15947 - - 15341 - - 14644 - - 13751 blCL maxRH 60 - - 40 - - 37 - - 38 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.9 - - 66.1 - - 74.0 - - 72.1 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 40.0 - - 42.0 - - 43.2 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 65.0 - - 72.4 - - 71.7 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.6 - - 39.6 - - 41.7 - - 43.0 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 126 - - 220 - - 28 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 396 - - 1291 - - 644 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97044 23 279 24 267 30 290 24 290 22 296 97044 89888 21 303 16 299 22 280 24 286 21 285 89888 84351 16 320 15 309 16 269 21 294 17 290 84351 79757 9 285 11 334 11 252 16 290 15 318 79757 75802 4 261 8 349 2 267 7 266 12 306 75802 72314 6 321 5 336 5 006 3 199 8 280 72314 69162 7 311 5 297 10 346 3 089 4 267 69162 66261 7 273 4 267 9 301 2 298 5 292 66261 63570 9 275 6 258 10 258 12 255 11 275 63570 60976 13 298 10 278 11 268 14 251 16 251 60976 58280 19 299 19 276 17 272 17 268 19 248 58280 55492 27 280 27 273 27 271 27 277 22 267 55492 52836 35 273 32 279 30 267 35 268 27 267 52836 50448 39 274 37 287 27 274 30 262 29 253 50448 48302 38 279 38 285 31 278 26 268 32 250 48302 46341 36 283 36 277 34 270 32 266 34 248 46341 44534 34 287 34 274 34 265 36 255 34 248 44534 42859 34 285 30 275 31 259 37 247 35 251 42859 41292 32 275 28 272 30 255 37 247 39 251 41292 39817 27 269 27 261 26 252 35 246 39 250 39817 38427 25 260 26 253 23 246 29 241 36 248 38427 37086 22 255 24 251 20 245 21 234 29 240 37086 35728 21 261 22 248 22 233 20 232 24 233 35728 34324 21 267 21 246 24 221 20 219 20 225 34324 32879 19 276 22 249 21 224 20 206 17 193 32879 31378 21 280 15 250 20 231 17 209 14 182 31378 29804 21 279 15 259 15 254 12 224 19 185 29804 28156 21 285 16 275 13 262 9 238 15 183 28156 26434 15 299 8 288 9 236 9 231 13 182 26434 24642 2 343 2 207 9 207 11 218 15 185 24642 22789 8 062 7 122 9 188 12 216 12 193 22789 20873 3 049 5 123 9 187 10 215 8 199 20873 18885 1 274 6 173 11 195 9 212 7 188 18885 16865 1 210 7 181 11 187 9 208 7 186 16865 14917 1 217 7 186 9 184 7 204 7 193 14917 13142 3 247 4 192 6 190 5 204 5 200 13142 11560 1 213 4 200 4 196 2 188 5 201 11560 10149 3 093 5 164 4 191 2 159 5 194 10149 8891 6 087 7 135 5 189 2 158 6 182 8891 7770 7 084 8 138 6 211 2 197 6 173 7770 6773 6 076 8 147 9 220 6 229 5 173 6773 5891 5 066 7 154 10 212 9 223 5 183 5891 5110 6 065 6 156 10 202 8 218 5 193 5110 4409 7 062 5 153 6 196 6 216 5 202 4409 3788 9 062 5 143 4*185 4 203 3 215 3788 3270 10 067 6 116 3*141 3*128 3 192 3270 2872 11 075 6*090 3 119 4*096 4 142 2872 2598 11 079 6*081 3 114 4 093 6 111 2598 2432 8*080 5 080 3 111 4 092 6*090 2432 2338 4*082 5 078 3 109 4 090 4*079 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography