DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 69.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 301 - - 49 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2921 - - 1116 - - 215 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2745 - - 4176 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3446 - - 5244 - - 3438 - - 2536 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 692 - - 2336 - - 3632 - - 368 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 393 - - 156 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 210 - - 234 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 15 - - 14 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4187 - - -4465 - - -5036 - - -1096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7633 - - 9710 - - 8475 - - 3632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8704 - - -9388 - - -8595 - - -7042 ODpotential blCL - - - 12150 - - 14632 - - 12033 - - 9578 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 68 - - 82 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 69.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 37.8 - - 40.2 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 70.4 - - 68.7 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 37.6 - - 40.1 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 301 - - 49 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2921 - - 1116 - - 215 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 26 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97817 23 294 24 299 26 299 27 295 97817 90528 19 272 18 296 19 288 19 311 90528 84873 16 281 17 276 19 290 18 295 84873 80186 11 299 9 275 12 271 15 298 80186 76163 8 310 5 287 8 290 12 310 76163 72607 11 285 7 283 11 296 9 312 72607 69385 8 260 8 271 9 293 8 297 69385 66415 12 225 15 256 16 268 10 245 66415 63654 16 213 22 239 16 257 11 238 63654 60968 16 223 23 236 21 237 21 234 60968 58171 22 239 26 232 29 233 29 234 58171 55280 32 241 36 234 38 235 35 233 55280 52519 40 242 46 240 46 238 44 234 52519 50028 46 242 53 242 53 235 53 231 50028 47794 50 239 56 240 58 233 61 229 47794 45763 50 238 58 239 63 234 67 230 45763 43895 51 238 61 238 69 236 76 232 43895 42160 50 239 61 238 73 236 84 232 42160 40539 48 241 60 240 75 237 88 232 40539 39024 47 241 59 240 76 237 88 233 39024 37610 47 237 56 239 74 236 88 235 37610 36261 46 235 51 236 70 235 83 235 36261 34908 44 234 51 231 64 230 73 230 34908 33525 43 232 50 227 59 227 66 223 33525 32110 43 229 49 228 56 227 65 224 32110 30640 42 230 47 229 56 228 65 224 30640 29100 39 233 45 228 54 227 63 222 29100 27493 38 237 43 226 50 225 55 221 27493 25819 37 236 41 231 44 228 47 222 25819 24080 35 234 37 236 39 233 43 222 24080 22275 31 236 33 237 36 231 41 222 22275 20401 28 235 30 235 34 228 38 224 20401 18450 25 228 28 230 30 226 33 221 18450 16469 22 225 27 223 26 224 30 214 16469 14567 21 225 27 221 25 222 29 209 14567 12840 23 224 28 221 25 220 28 208 12840 11305 26 220 28 219 26 217 26 208 11305 9938 27 217 27 216 26 213 25 208 9938 8719 25 216 25 214 24 207 24 206 8719 7630 23 216 23 214 21 199 23 204 7630 6662 20 217 19 211 17 189 21 199 6662 5804 18 216 16*206 15 184 19 192 5804 5042 17 213 12*204 13 182 16 184 5042 4358 16 209 9 206 10 182 13 179 4358 3751 13*210 9 210 7*188 8 176 3751 3245 7*231 8 212 3*220 3 242 3245 2857 6 239 8 214 3 232 9 304 2857 2591 6 242 7 216 3 238 9*308 2591 2430 6 243 7 217 3 242 8*309 2430 2338 5 243 6 217 3 246 5 309 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography