DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.7 - - 59.6 - - 57.7 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 230 - - 307 - - 63 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1283 - - 2335 - - 1447 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2897 - - 3744 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3604 - - 4657 - - 3768 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 258 - - 678 - - 733 - - 904 - - 636 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 273 - - 367 - - 185 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 301 - - 298 - - 307 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1108 - - -1422 - - -1851 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 4712 - - 6079 - - 5619 - - 2435 sfcLCL ODpotential -11473 - - -10008 - - -9053 - - -9637 - - -9149 ODpotential blCL 13810 - - 13612 - - 13710 - - 13405 - - 11486 blCL maxRH 92 - - 78 - - 76 - - 88 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.7 - - 59.6 - - 57.7 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 42.3 - - 41.2 - - 41.3 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.7 - - 53.2 - - 57.7 - - 57.0 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 42.1 - - 41.0 - - 41.2 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 230 - - 307 - - 63 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1283 - - 2335 - - 1447 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 11 - - 3 - - 51 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97173 20 273 30 267 26 278 20 274 30 279 97173 89889 14 288 14 273 22 273 18 284 26 276 89889 84291 14 278 9 287 20 293 13 293 18 296 84291 79649 11 277 9 273 20 292 15 288 15 316 79649 75638 11 317 6 268 11 264 16 267 15 282 75638 72089 18 305 7 297 6 243 14 259 17 251 72089 68875 23 279 17 274 13 253 19 259 12 255 68875 65906 19 267 19 264 17 275 20 262 11 283 65906 63131 15 270 17 263 19 284 22 274 18 277 63131 60432 21 273 20 267 26 272 29 277 23 272 60432 57624 24 273 23 269 30 261 28 277 23 276 57624 54721 25 280 26 282 31 260 34 279 27 287 54721 51954 30 289 34 286 35 266 41 275 34 286 51954 49471 42 288 39 284 39 272 47 273 39 283 49471 47259 46 287 42 286 42 277 46 276 43 276 47259 45281 48 291 48 291 49 287 53 278 47 265 45281 43501 49 292 55 289 56 285 53 277 49 260 43501 41875 46 293 57 288 56 280 54 276 49 261 41875 40361 42 295 57 289 55 280 51 270 49 262 40361 38935 41 294 54 287 53 285 46 271 47 263 38935 37588 40 291 49 287 52 290 44 276 44 262 37588 36287 39 290 47 289 52 285 40 286 42 265 36287 34966 40 289 41 284 48 280 38 294 42 269 34966 33598 38 289 39 284 44 280 37 295 41 272 33598 32184 37 290 38 284 43 288 43 286 39 275 32184 30712 37 288 38 282 42 284 43 280 39 277 30712 29170 35 280 37 280 41 281 42 278 39 277 29170 27560 31 277 38 277 41 281 42 277 39 278 27560 25881 31 276 36 273 40 279 46 272 39 278 25881 24135 32 276 35 270 37 276 47 271 39 277 24135 22325 32 278 35 269 36 274 43 271 37 279 22325 20446 32 282 34 272 37 274 38 270 34 282 20446 18498 32 288 32 277 35 272 33 273 32 280 18498 16514 31 291 29 281 32 271 30 278 29 285 16514 14600 28 290 28 281 30 276 29 285 27 292 14600 12856 26 290 27 280 28 282 27 291 24 299 12856 11302 23 290 25 280 26 286 24 295 21 304 11302 9920 19 286 22 281 22 289 21 300 17 308 9920 8688 18 280 19 285 19 292 18 303 13 308 8688 7592 16 276 15 285 15 289 15 297 10 299 7592 6621 13 267 11 276 9 269 9 270 8 283 6621 5767 9 244 8 251 5 238 5 210 6 240 5767 5012 8 217 8 232 4*271 5 186 5 208 5012 4336 6 216 7 250 7*294 2*259 2 175 4336 3737 3 250 9*290 8 297 7*307 1 005 3737 3236 7 313 10*299 8 298 8 308 10 325 3236 2853 12 321 10 301 9 298 8 308 15 318 2853 2589 13 323 10 301 8 299 8 308 13 318 2589 2429 10*324 9 301 8 299 8 307 10 317 2429 2337 4*318 8 301 7 299 7 306 4*315 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography