DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.3 - - 95.2 - - 93.4 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 408 - - 210 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2059 - - 5524 - - 3214 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3523 - - 6306 - - 4261 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4383 - - 7848 - - 5538 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1815 - - 3402 - - 4493 - - 596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 538 - - 361 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 39 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 337 - - 351 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 19 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7585 - - -5214 - - -7165 - - -7847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11969 - - 13063 - - 12703 - - 10187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10765 - - -7388 - - -9611 - - -13221 ODpotential blCL - - - 15148 - - 15236 - - 15149 - - 15561 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - 55 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.3 - - 95.2 - - 93.4 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 45.7 - - 45.7 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 92.6 - - 91.8 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 45.4 - - 45.4 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 408 - - 210 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2059 - - 5524 - - 3214 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99115 23 107 23 103 20 105 26 094 99115 91663 26 110 19 115 22 100 21 082 91663 85920 21 105 22 109 17 099 19 096 85920 81148 17 087 23 098 15 105 19 097 81148 77039 13 102 17 099 13 093 14 072 77039 73418 12 103 13 117 10 115 12 066 73418 70140 9 101 10 093 12 096 8 081 70140 67128 10 113 5 076 10 065 12 130 67128 64344 9 111 9 157 1 145 3 072 64344 61661 6 213 6 188 6 211 3 324 61661 58882 17 196 19 217 19 233 15 266 58882 56017 14 219 23 220 22 228 18 232 56017 53299 26 229 36 226 37 234 37 241 53299 50866 33 235 38 228 45 226 46 234 50866 48681 41 249 41 247 45 239 45 247 48681 46693 56 256 56 253 60 251 62 256 46693 44864 66 250 66 247 69 247 71 255 44864 43163 66 243 63 242 64 247 69 252 43163 41571 61 246 62 246 59 249 65 250 41571 40076 56 246 57 245 55 242 59 249 40076 38672 46 247 49 244 53 236 52 242 38672 37321 41 246 38 240 46 236 53 237 37321 35955 41 243 35 240 40 233 48 239 35955 34547 41 239 38 239 38 232 40 233 34547 33095 39 237 38 235 37 230 37 230 33095 31582 38 234 36 233 37 226 35 227 31582 29999 36 231 35 231 35 225 32 224 29999 28349 36 225 35 228 34 225 31 218 28349 26628 33 221 35 226 34 224 32 215 26628 24840 29 217 34 222 34 222 29 212 24840 22988 26 217 31 219 29 219 28 206 22988 21065 26 218 27 215 25 214 24 201 21065 19071 27 218 24 213 22 210 21 201 19071 17044 25 217 22 215 19 213 16 196 17044 15093 22 217 21 218 19 221 13 198 15093 13313 17 219 19 217 19 225 11 209 13313 11723 14 221 16 216 17 223 11 211 11723 10301 11 222 13 217 13 215 10 204 10301 9028 9 221 9 221 7 209 10 199 9028 7891 7 219 5*228 4 200 8 201 7891 6876 6 228 2*252 1 173 5 207 6876 5978 5 244 2 280 2*021 3 227 5978 5180 4 267 2 324 3*005 2 280 5180 4463 3*313 3 342 6 356 3 317 4463 3827 3*351 3 351 8 351 6 335 3827 3295 4 356 4 356 8 350 10 338 3295 2887 4 358 4 359 8 348 12 336 2887 2607 4 358 4 359 8 348 11 336 2607 2437 4 360 4 001 8 348 9*335 2437 2340 4 357 4 360 7 347 5*335 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography