DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.6 - - 76.8 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 441 - - 266 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2278 - - 4527 - - 2850 - - 222 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3693 - - 5550 - - 4085 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4601 - - 6850 - - 5173 - - 2544 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1128 - - 1247 - - 2314 - - 822 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 360 - - 519 - - 376 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 21 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 357 - - 348 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 14 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3927 - - -4493 - - -4536 - - -3793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8528 - - 11344 - - 9709 - - 6337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9663 - - -9532 - - -9243 - - -9819 ODpotential blCL - - - 14264 - - 16382 - - 14416 - - 12363 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 33 - - 37 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.6 - - 76.8 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 36.9 - - 42.3 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 76.0 - - 74.9 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 35.9 - - 41.7 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 441 - - 266 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2278 - - 4527 - - 2850 - - 222 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98462 15 136 12 145 7 147 8 110 98462 91025 19 110 14 132 14 113 16 100 91025 85318 22 116 15 135 12 110 13 086 85318 80563 19 120 19 120 14 091 16 076 80563 76470 18 130 17 104 18 088 14 093 76470 72873 12 128 13 123 13 088 12 099 72873 69629 12 156 8 131 9 090 10 075 69629 66644 10 156 11 172 2 232 8 067 66644 63864 7 176 7 170 5 178 3 141 63864 61157 7 228 7 198 6 233 6 218 61157 58325 17 254 15 237 16 240 15 242 58325 55387 28 263 24 259 22 252 21 250 55387 52583 38 262 35 265 29 258 28 255 52583 50058 46 264 42 267 36 262 34 259 50058 47796 47 268 46 266 44 267 40 265 47796 45755 54 271 49 266 50 267 46 268 45755 43906 60 272 52 269 54 266 51 268 43906 42216 65 274 56 274 56 266 55 267 42216 40656 67 275 59 276 57 269 56 268 40656 39203 67 276 59 277 57 273 54 270 39203 37838 65 277 58 277 56 276 52 273 37838 36523 64 276 56 279 53 279 50 275 36523 35189 61 277 53 279 50 281 48 277 35189 33808 60 277 51 281 48 284 44 279 33808 32384 55 276 49 282 45 283 40 283 32384 30906 46 275 42 282 39 279 37 283 30906 29362 40 277 36 282 35 278 35 282 29362 27751 37 281 34 283 29 285 28 286 27751 26074 31 285 30 283 22 297 17 297 26074 24333 25 289 21 290 18 311 10 318 24333 22525 23 291 15 305 15 318 8 344 22525 20644 19 290 15 305 11 318 7 336 20644 18683 17 286 16 291 12 301 5 306 18683 16685 14 292 15 284 13 286 8 289 16685 14763 11 303 12 286 11 283 10 287 14763 13013 8 313 8 293 7 288 8 295 13013 11453 7 321 5 306 4 299 6 311 11453 10061 7 325 4 326 3 326 5 321 10061 8820 6 328 3 342 3 343 5 320 8820 7713 4 331 2*360 3 025 5 316 7713 6730 1 347 3*008 4 038 4 353 6730 5861 2 356 3 007 5*030 7 025 5861 5090 4*015 4 002 6*013 10 026 5090 4397 6*021 4 358 8 360 12 018 4397 3781 6 020 5 353 10 345 13 004 3781 3266 6 019 6 351 11 342 14 344 3266 2871 6 018 6 351 11 341 14 334 2871 2599 6 017 6 350 11 340 12*331 2599 2434 6 016 6 349 10 339 11*331 2434 2339 5 016 5 350 9 339 7 329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography