DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 60.2 - - 57.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 42 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 639 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2961 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 418 - - 807 - - 974 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 135 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 153 - - 113 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6678 - - -3589 - - -1963 - - -1684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9016 - - 6551 - - 4302 - - 4022 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14775 - - -10033 - - -7726 - - -11401 ODpotential blCL - - - 17113 - - 12994 - - 10064 - - 13739 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 45 - - 61 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 60.2 - - 57.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 59.7 - - 57.9 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 38.9 - - 45.8 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 42 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 639 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 28 047 33 060 43 068 40 070 96236 89366 37 070 39 088 45 084 37 084 89366 83945 33 072 35 087 40 083 40 090 83945 79376 29 077 28 078 32 070 40 077 79376 75433 22 074 24 078 24 071 29 065 75433 71958 18 061 18 073 21 067 20 063 71958 68808 14 061 17 046 21 056 20 072 68808 65904 14 065 17 034 19 029 21 051 65904 63218 14 044 18 024 19 013 17 018 63218 60626 14 027 17 022 19 015 22 016 60626 57919 21 353 25 356 23 348 22 006 57919 55102 22 353 21 342 22 351 26 015 55102 52404 36 011 36 004 40 002 47 007 52404 49975 49 005 50 008 46 002 50 002 49975 47794 55 008 54 012 46 011 49 011 47794 45806 58 009 58 011 57 012 57 013 45806 43971 56 010 58 010 59 010 59 017 43971 42261 54 011 56 014 55 012 56 020 42261 40663 51 013 55 018 53 020 53 026 40663 39169 48 015 52 020 56 025 50 037 39169 37773 40 020 46 021 49 026 50 041 37773 36435 28 030 38 022 42 025 48 038 36435 35089 23 038 28 027 38 031 42 041 35089 33706 26 033 24 043 31 050 34 060 33706 32283 23 029 27 044 33 068 37 082 32283 30811 19 038 29 038 35 063 44 083 30811 29277 17 044 20 053 36 051 43 075 29277 27677 16 041 17 064 35 047 39 082 27677 26009 15 034 17 066 29 053 37 095 26009 24272 14 037 17 066 26 066 36 100 24272 22467 16 044 17 070 25 081 33 099 22467 20589 17 050 17 080 23 093 30 096 20589 18632 16 061 18 090 20 097 27 101 18632 16638 14 058 16 092 16 103 20 104 16638 14714 13 041 12 085 12 102 16 095 14714 12960 13 028 10 070 9 094 13 095 12960 11397 14 027 9 065 8 090 10 112 11397 10005 13 034 7 074 6 094 7 125 10005 8765 8 032 5 073 4 099 4 144 8765 7662 2 350 2 131 2 128 4 181 7662 6683 4 214 6 184 3 182 5 196 6683 5816 11 191 11 190 7 190 8 190 5816 5050 18 182 15 190 12 189 11 185 5050 4363 23 179 15 189 16 186 12 184 4363 3756 23 177 13 182 15 182 10 181 3756 3249 20 177 10*173 10 172 7 176 3249 2859 14 176 5*156 6 147 5 158 2859 2592 8 176 4 153 4 125 5 123 2592 2430 5*171 4 152 4*117 5*097 2430 2338 2*037 4 150 3*113 3*074 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography