DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 59.5 - - 64.1 - - 60.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 114 - - 223 - - 14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 980 - - 2864 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 4028 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3302 - - 5186 - - 4489 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 659 - - 1189 - - 1530 - - 1437 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 199 - - 355 - - 131 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 18 - - 22 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 196 - - 202 - - 209 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -11 - - -12 - - -13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -181 - - 214 - - 385 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 3483 - - 4972 - - 4104 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -6842 - - -4483 - - -3029 - - -492 - - -1067 ODpotential blCL 9180 - - 7785 - - 8215 - - 4981 - - 3405 blCL maxRH 97 - - 85 - - 81 - - 88 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 59.5 - - 64.1 - - 60.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.9 - - 52.1 - - 50.1 - - 50.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 58.7 - - 62.6 - - 60.1 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 51.8 - - 49.9 - - 50.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 114 - - 223 - - 14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 980 - - 2864 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 40 - - 24 - - 51 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 52 296 42 300 41 291 38 284 43 293 96468 89337 31 294 29 295 31 289 32 295 30 306 89337 83839 26 292 24 288 24 293 28 293 25 306 83839 79298 25 293 20 293 22 293 27 297 24 302 79298 75368 20 275 27 283 26 283 30 295 25 300 75368 71857 18 267 27 276 26 281 27 274 28 284 71857 68669 20 268 26 267 27 279 22 271 27 275 68669 65749 16 267 19 261 24 276 20 270 20 278 65749 63037 14 258 18 258 21 268 21 254 21 273 63037 60394 18 249 22 248 20 261 23 241 23 255 60394 57620 29 247 25 242 33 243 25 248 27 261 57620 54736 40 248 33 242 42 236 39 242 38 243 54736 51993 59 243 51 241 53 232 45 232 37 231 51993 49519 70 232 69 233 69 225 47 233 43 239 49519 47291 78 227 83 224 80 218 63 226 49 227 47291 45264 78 226 88 219 82 216 72 218 49 217 45264 43406 81 230 85 218 84 214 67 211 45 216 43406 41688 83 233 84 219 81 212 58 213 44 221 41688 40092 85 231 89 221 84 215 71 215 48 223 40092 38606 82 228 88 217 94 214 79 212 56 217 38606 37218 75 225 87 218 96 211 81 212 64 211 37218 35891 72 224 87 219 91 210 85 213 61 210 35891 34557 70 222 84 217 88 213 86 210 59 210 34557 33185 66 214 75 212 81 208 78 206 62 209 33185 31779 61 208 70 204 74 201 69 204 60 202 31779 30323 54 206 64 199 70 199 66 202 57 198 30323 28799 50 209 57 203 62 198 62 199 56 198 28799 27209 48 210 51 205 55 198 55 194 50 200 27209 25554 44 207 46 204 51 196 46 194 43 205 25554 23835 38 207 42 205 46 194 41 201 38 206 23835 22057 33 206 40 207 41 197 38 204 34 204 22057 20213 30 203 38 204 39 200 35 198 32 203 20213 18296 27 199 34 199 39 199 33 193 31 197 18296 16344 27 195 33 195 39 192 33 190 32 191 16344 14464 28 189 34 191 39 187 33 190 33 187 14464 12754 29 185 35 188 36 180 33 185 33 183 12754 11233 30 179 35 179 37 172 34 178 33 178 11233 9878 31 172 36 171 38 169 36 173 35 172 9878 8670 32 170 36 166 37 171 37 172 37 169 8670 7591 33 173 36 167 34 177 35 176 37 169 7591 6630 33 178 35 170 31 186 31 184 36 173 6630 5780 31 182 34 175 27*195 27 194 34 182 5780 5025 29 187 32 180 25*201 23*201 32 191 5025 4348 26 192 30 186 24 202 21*205 30 201 4348 3748 23 198 26*191 23 202 20 207 28 207 3748 3246 21 204 22*195 22 202 19 209 24 209 3246 2860 19 205 19 196 21 202 18 210 21 209 2860 2593 16 204 18 197 20 202 16 211 17 210 2593 2431 13*204 16 197 18 202 14 211 14*211 2431 2338 6*201 10 198 12 202 9 212 7*213 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography