DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 79.4 - - 78.0 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 445 - - 238 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6966 - - 8680 - - 7760 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7374 - - 8889 - - 7811 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9289 - - 11003 - - 10082 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1785 - - 1310 - - 1780 - - 1817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 549 - - 647 - - 507 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 23 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 339 - - 356 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 34 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4827 - - -4178 - - -3163 - - -6623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14116 - - 15181 - - 13245 - - 8962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11766 - - -9317 - - -8463 - - -12173 ODpotential blCL - - - 21055 - - 20320 - - 18545 - - 14512 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 35 - - 35 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 79.4 - - 78.0 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.8 - - 19.9 - - 27.5 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 76.8 - - 76.3 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 18.8 - - 26.6 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 445 - - 238 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6966 - - 8680 - - 7760 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 8 220 5 312 6 256 5 040 98167 90690 2 014 8 159 8 220 7 332 90690 84957 3 193 4 142 7 160 3 258 84957 80233 7 232 4 186 1 213 2 055 80233 76160 3 138 5 254 2 325 4 058 76160 72554 1 132 5 187 3 301 5 333 72554 69290 4 267 3 194 3 286 4 239 69290 66265 7 261 6 290 7 328 2 172 66265 63443 4 289 12 271 13 301 10 315 63443 60720 6 315 7 247 10 276 12 305 60720 57887 16 310 10 303 14 308 16 322 57887 54953 17 305 13 311 15 301 18 312 54953 52169 20 309 21 330 18 328 17 330 52169 49680 29 305 32 313 28 315 24 321 49680 47457 29 309 31 308 28 306 27 313 47457 45444 27 319 24 311 23 309 28 312 45444 43611 30 324 25 332 22 325 28 326 43611 41938 35 328 32 340 27 336 30 335 41938 40395 40 334 38 341 32 338 29 343 40395 38958 49 338 40 339 35 338 29 349 38958 37611 53 339 40 339 34 337 28 351 37611 36313 54 338 40 341 33 334 28 353 36313 34996 50 354 38 344 31 328 26 356 34996 33631 44 001 36 347 30 326 26 003 33631 32221 42 360 34 346 29 329 26 012 32221 30753 43 000 33 349 28 337 26 016 30753 29216 40 003 33 356 28 349 28 016 29216 27613 33 000 33 359 30 359 31 015 27613 25943 29 356 33 000 31 007 31 017 25943 24205 27 355 33 002 32 014 30 019 24205 22404 29 359 32 005 32 017 29 020 22404 20531 28 006 30 008 30 015 29 020 20531 18579 26 001 28 008 30 014 28 019 18579 16589 26 359 26 003 28 015 27 022 16589 14671 21 007 22 006 23 021 21 027 14671 12929 18 015 16 006 15 024 14 034 12929 11382 15 012 6*355 7*027 10 025 11382 10008 9*008 4*350 6*028 8 009 10008 8782 4*001 4 348 6 024 10 010 8782 7689 4 355 4 344 7 016 12 013 7689 6716 4 351 5 340 8 005 13 013 6716 5852 4 350 5 338 9 355 14 009 5852 5085 4 350 6 337 11 348 14 002 5085 4393 4 350 6 337 11 344 15 352 4393 3780 4 350 6 335 12 342 17 342 3780 3266 4 350 6 334 12 341 17 333 3266 2871 4 349 6 335 12 340 15 328 2871 2599 4 349 6 334 11 339 12 326 2599 2434 4 348 6 334 11 338 10*327 2434 2339 4 349 5 334 9 339 5*326 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography