DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 69.3 - - 75.0 - - 71.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 343 - - 464 - - 260 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2435 - - 4457 - - 2099 - - 434 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3851 - - 5506 - - 3519 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4757 - - 6780 - - 4421 - - 2756 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 413 - - 1140 - - 1548 - - 2121 - - 598 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 386 - - 522 - - 335 - - 87 W* B/S 3 - - 19 - - 16 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 253 - - 262 - - 294 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 8 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2058 - - -3435 - - -2574 - - -3061 - - 191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4397 - - 8192 - - 9355 - - 7482 - - 2565 sfcLCL ODpotential -10901 - - -12094 - - -9933 - - -8765 - - -4424 ODpotential blCL 13239 - - 16851 - - 16713 - - 13186 - - 7180 blCL maxRH 63 - - 52 - - 54 - - 58 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 69.3 - - 75.0 - - 71.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.7 - - 41.5 - - 41.9 - - 46.8 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 67.2 - - 72.3 - - 69.8 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.7 - - 46.7 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 343 - - 464 - - 260 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2435 - - 4457 - - 2099 - - 434 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98962 18 117 15 099 12 151 8 121 6 077 98962 91488 24 100 21 106 16 128 8 111 12 085 91488 85744 17 084 19 087 20 113 12 110 14 084 85744 81006 14 100 14 086 18 094 19 097 18 090 81006 76915 10 104 12 090 9 074 18 090 16 087 76915 73287 12 118 12 111 6 104 13 086 10 097 73287 70002 7 068 9 109 4 075 8 058 6 071 70002 66981 5 010 6 140 4 213 4 257 4 100 66981 64169 11 289 8 302 0 150 8 237 6 252 64169 61452 13 273 12 265 13 272 15 270 12 263 61452 58645 21 279 12 260 16 259 17 261 15 260 58645 55749 24 277 18 284 16 275 19 269 15 259 55749 52998 29 281 27 286 27 280 31 273 28 277 52998 50535 33 280 34 280 38 274 42 268 44 265 50535 48327 36 285 37 281 40 275 47 266 48 263 48327 46317 40 289 42 284 45 277 49 267 50 267 46317 44470 44 280 43 279 49 272 50 268 50 268 44470 42760 47 274 42 277 50 271 50 274 52 276 42760 41168 48 271 40 281 50 273 54 277 55 278 41168 39678 50 271 38 284 48 272 56 274 54 277 39678 38277 49 271 38 281 47 272 54 271 52 274 38277 36927 48 271 40 275 45 272 51 270 50 272 36927 35561 47 268 43 271 44 273 48 272 47 273 35561 34151 48 263 44 268 42 273 46 273 42 278 34151 32697 48 261 44 266 42 273 45 272 39 280 32697 31183 46 261 42 267 44 270 45 271 40 278 31183 29600 43 261 41 270 44 271 46 270 42 274 29600 27948 40 259 39 272 42 274 47 270 43 270 27948 26229 38 261 38 271 40 273 45 272 44 270 26229 24445 35 262 37 269 40 269 41 271 43 272 24445 22599 32 268 37 268 41 265 39 269 43 270 22599 20682 29 271 38 267 42 262 39 270 42 268 20682 18686 29 272 38 266 41 261 39 270 41 270 18686 16656 30 272 35 266 39 263 38 270 37 269 16656 14707 28 272 30 265 35 264 34 268 34 268 14707 12944 23 270 25 262 29 260 29 264 29 261 12944 11382 18 266 21 258 24 253 24 257 24 253 11382 9997 14 262 17 255 19 249 19 247 19 244 9997 8765 11 261 14 253 14 243 13 217 15 222 8765 7667 9 262 11 252 9*234 11 190 14 190 7667 6691 8 258 9 249 6*238 10 184 14 182 6691 5826 7 250 7 244 5 246 8 192 12 193 5826 5059 7 241 5*235 6 254 6*215 11 218 5059 4370 7 240 4*243 6 263 7*267 10 241 4370 3760 6 245 4 248 7 270 11 293 12 283 3760 3252 5 269 4 254 7 272 11 296 17 304 3252 2862 5 304 4 258 7 275 12 297 17*307 2862 2594 6 318 4 261 7 276 12 298 16*307 2594 2432 5*325 4 262 7 276 11 298 14 307 2432 2338 1*332 3 263 6 276 9 298 9 307 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography