DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 75.1 - - 75.4 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 268 - - 94 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1378 - - 5755 - - 6264 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2816 - - 6322 - - 6062 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3700 - - 8078 - - 8587 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2779 - - 1569 - - 2489 - - 592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 482 - - 356 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 150 - - 213 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 17 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6571 - - -4161 - - -4220 - - -4570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10271 - - 12239 - - 12808 - - 6908 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12042 - - -9144 - - -9304 - - -9471 ODpotential blCL - - - 15742 - - 17222 - - 17891 - - 11809 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 82 - - 72 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 75.1 - - 75.4 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 29.3 - - 26.9 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 73.3 - - 74.5 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 28.0 - - 25.8 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 268 - - 94 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1378 - - 5755 - - 6264 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96930 36 283 38 285 34 286 39 291 96930 89729 25 285 29 290 31 297 34 310 89729 84197 19 299 14 294 25 303 24 319 84197 79595 15 310 15 289 19 300 19 321 79595 75634 12 315 13 293 13 298 17 312 75634 72153 10 325 10 297 8 315 12 308 72153 69007 11 331 13 299 12 330 9 323 69007 66104 13 319 16 294 13 320 9 317 66104 63393 14 287 16 257 16 288 14 282 63393 60752 15 257 15 255 24 261 22 257 60752 57979 20 263 25 273 23 269 25 258 57979 55067 40 268 39 272 39 265 36 252 55067 52246 48 254 46 269 44 264 42 264 52246 49688 45 262 56 270 61 269 56 266 49688 47419 52 262 66 266 62 260 57 265 47419 45402 48 251 53 256 54 245 51 260 45402 43584 31 262 41 259 46 248 53 257 43584 41912 42 283 47 277 46 262 55 258 41912 40356 59 282 59 277 48 270 53 260 40356 38902 67 277 66 268 53 267 48 264 38902 37542 79 272 79 263 57 257 42 262 37542 36236 75 274 82 264 59 254 41 249 36236 34911 54 267 60 268 63 259 42 236 34911 33538 37 251 32 248 60 271 44 245 33538 32121 27 242 25 233 38 272 35 269 32121 30648 23 247 23 238 26 249 20 262 30648 29111 18 239 22 245 21 239 20 237 29111 27506 14 213 19 248 16 237 18 229 27506 25833 17 202 16 232 16 231 17 223 25833 24095 21 199 17 214 16 225 16 224 24095 22298 23 201 16 202 13 216 11 217 22298 20438 24 219 15 211 13 208 7 209 20438 18501 21 231 12 215 11 202 10 204 18501 16525 13 218 11 197 11 190 14 202 16525 14621 9 191 14 190 13 182 16 202 14621 12891 7 165 14 185 14 185 17 193 12891 11353 7 142 14 183 14 186 17 181 11353 9984 8 141 12 182 8 183 14 166 9984 8763 8 149 9*178 7*191 10 150 8763 7672 8 162 7*170 7*198 9 153 7672 6700 9 172 6 168 7 205 8 171 6700 5838 10 175 6 161 7 210 7 188 5838 5073 10 174 5 147 8 213 8 200 5073 4385 9 162 5 141 8 217 8 205 4385 3773 8*136 5 135 8 219 4 215 3773 3261 7*114 5 132 8 221 4 317 3261 2868 7 110 5 129 8 221 9 329 2868 2597 6 107 5 128 7 222 9 331 2597 2433 6 107 5 127 7 223 8 333 2433 2338 5 106 4 126 6 223 4*333 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography