DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.6 - - 97.0 - - 93.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 395 - - 222 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 3239 - - 1891 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3156 - - 4510 - - 3325 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3902 - - 5564 - - 4215 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 927 - - 1991 - - 2288 - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 447 - - 309 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 335 - - 348 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 15 - - 8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11267 - - -9010 - - -8834 - - -5994 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15169 - - 14575 - - 13050 - - 8334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18719 - - -13077 - - -12946 - - -12636 ODpotential blCL - - - 22621 - - 18641 - - 17161 - - 14976 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 64 - - 63 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.6 - - 97.0 - - 93.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 41.1 - - 45.0 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.8 - - 94.4 - - 92.2 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 40.5 - - 44.6 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 395 - - 222 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 3239 - - 1891 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99366 34 108 36 098 32 117 17 103 99366 91878 35 104 32 106 26 109 25 090 91878 86089 30 117 29 106 26 098 31 099 86089 81284 28 106 24 098 31 106 26 097 81284 77159 23 103 21 109 31 091 26 109 77159 73525 20 107 19 124 17 087 25 090 73525 70244 17 095 17 123 10 092 10 059 70244 67244 12 110 8 100 8 082 8 084 67244 64459 7 086 3 047 6 035 10 055 64459 61763 5 012 1 009 1 266 7 354 61763 58981 5 292 2 281 3 219 7 282 58981 56137 12 239 10 285 7 307 5 311 56137 53449 12 211 13 255 11 281 5 292 53449 51039 18 190 17 217 21 242 11 270 51039 48882 19 189 26 199 29 210 24 232 48882 46922 16 209 25 194 28 204 25 216 46922 45115 27 219 26 213 25 224 22 235 45115 43434 34 216 31 218 29 227 23 234 43434 41857 32 217 28 214 28 224 24 229 41857 40371 28 220 24 214 26 221 23 227 40371 38968 23 221 22 213 23 219 23 226 38968 37612 19 216 19 210 23 217 22 225 37612 36240 16 213 17 207 22 218 22 225 36240 34819 12 216 13 207 18 223 19 229 34819 33352 9 223 9 205 15 224 14 232 33352 31825 10 229 5 217 12 227 11 223 31825 30228 10 227 2 247 7 232 8 225 30228 28562 6 202 3 204 5 198 5 203 28562 26827 3 162 2 137 4 157 5 184 26827 25024 3 166 2 068 3 066 2 154 25024 23154 4 136 1 212 4 027 2 073 23154 21215 8 128 5 182 2 020 3 066 21215 19204 11 132 6 160 3 040 6 072 19204 17159 9 126 5 094 7 074 9 078 17159 15186 12 105 7 083 8 081 8 077 15186 13383 12 104 6 050 7 076 5 050 13383 11773 11 085 14 041 10 056 8 040 11773 10335 15 056 16 036 12 041 12 039 10335 9050 16 044 16 028 14 031 15 042 9050 7904 15 035 14 020 14 026 14 041 7904 6886 13 030 10 014 9 022 12 031 6886 5985 11 026 5*001 5 027 10 018 5985 5186 8 019 4*349 4 027 6 004 5186 4468 4*004 4 340 5*016 4 355 4468 3831 3*341 5 334 6*355 4 344 3831 3298 3 328 5 331 7 349 8 332 3298 2889 3 322 6 330 8 347 10 330 2889 2608 3 318 6 329 8 345 10 330 2608 2438 3 317 5 330 7 345 8*330 2438 2340 3 317 5 329 7 344 4*327 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography