DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 82.8 - - 78.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 433 - - 259 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1928 - - 6133 - - 1837 - - 279 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3464 - - 6820 - - 3338 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4250 - - 8456 - - 4160 - - 2601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2377 - - 2215 - - 4725 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 571 - - 323 - - 54 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 25 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 255 - - 300 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 15 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5892 - - -3287 - - -5336 - - -3086 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10143 - - 11743 - - 9496 - - 5687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10238 - - -7101 - - -8667 - - -8261 ODpotential blCL - - - 14488 - - 15557 - - 12827 - - 10862 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 39 - - 37 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 82.8 - - 78.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 38.9 - - 45.2 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 80.1 - - 77.0 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 38.0 - - 44.7 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 433 - - 259 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1928 - - 6133 - - 1837 - - 279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98154 5 147 7 142 3 186 4 062 98154 90719 13 126 4 171 1 203 6 051 90719 85005 8 170 4 227 4 103 4 183 85005 80273 12 196 7 231 1 240 4 213 80273 76180 13 192 9 212 5 202 3 218 76180 72548 2 170 7 163 8 199 3 225 72548 69266 5 288 0 113 3 199 3 173 69266 66253 4 298 4 297 3 063 1 151 66253 63466 5 289 8 280 8 318 8 333 63466 60774 5 334 7 285 9 305 9 312 60774 57969 9 332 9 296 15 312 13 324 57969 55071 14 335 10 315 17 296 19 311 55071 52322 19 317 16 312 17 304 19 310 52322 49863 19 333 19 317 18 308 19 314 49863 47681 31 334 23 331 19 332 18 329 47681 45726 27 334 24 326 23 326 24 330 45726 43945 24 348 22 337 22 321 24 322 43945 42295 29 001 27 349 21 327 24 317 42295 40755 33 358 31 348 23 332 25 323 40755 39307 33 354 33 344 24 336 25 330 39307 37939 30 351 34 345 24 339 24 330 37939 36617 27 350 34 348 23 344 21 326 36617 35275 26 354 34 350 22 349 18 327 35275 33885 26 001 32 352 20 349 16 325 33885 32449 25 359 27 351 17 341 16 317 32449 30954 24 351 24 351 15 340 13 324 30954 29389 26 356 23 357 14 339 10 332 29389 27756 24 005 22 351 18 325 10 329 27756 26060 19 358 20 342 20 324 14 332 26060 24301 16 354 18 347 15 331 13 334 24301 22481 14 350 14 341 10 328 9 330 22481 20592 12 348 12 327 10 324 8 335 20592 18634 12 349 7 316 9 316 6 335 18634 16648 8 329 7 291 8 306 4 334 16648 14738 5 321 6 261 6 311 3 037 14738 12997 2 321 6 224 7 267 2 317 12997 11445 2 306 5 210 8 220 7 246 11445 10063 4 284 3 201 8 178 10 224 10063 8830 6 276 2*197 8 171 10 209 8830 7727 7 271 3*203 8 180 8 202 7727 6745 7 263 3 218 7 194 7 209 6745 5873 5 246 3 236 7 215 8 225 5873 5099 4 225 4 248 7 234 9 236 5099 4402 3*228 5 256 7*258 9 244 4402 3784 4*241 6 268 9*291 8 255 3784 3267 4 250 6 271 10 300 9 292 3267 2871 5 252 6 273 11 302 11*315 2871 2599 5 254 6 274 11 303 10*318 2599 2433 5 255 6 275 10 303 9 319 2433 2339 4 255 6 274 9 303 6 318 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography