DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 49.2 - - - - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 99 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1332 - - 2999 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3745 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3653 - - 5320 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3701 - - 2111 - - - - - 1848 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 283 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 210 - - - - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -20 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 950 - - 1923 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2703 - - 3397 - - - - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 125 - - 582 - - - - - -696 ODpotential blCL - - - 3528 - - 4738 - - - - - 3033 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 140 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 49.2 - - - - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 42.5 - - - - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 48.6 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 41.3 - - - - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 99 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1332 - - 2999 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 81 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96645 26 084 22 069 23 088 96645 89509 26 098 25 114 21 087 89509 83965 27 097 24 113 25 092 83965 79347 26 104 21 102 26 097 79347 75361 19 104 12 090 24 101 75361 71836 12 088 12 079 13 120 71836 68661 6 179 5 064 2 077 68661 65729 8 131 7 188 6 278 65729 62979 4 297 14 122 17 185 62979 60307 18 207 11 186 9 155 60307 57484 24 185 19 206 4 253 57484 54508 17 197 23 199 21 227 54508 51651 30 216 27 212 32 224 51651 49087 31 213 31 222 31 220 49087 46802 30 229 38 230 25 234 46802 44736 41 237 49 227 28 247 44736 42843 49 231 55 223 30 241 42843 41098 52 232 50 225 30 232 41098 39480 56 237 49 235 29 231 39480 37972 66 236 57 239 31 236 37972 36558 77 228 66 234 34 239 36558 35199 79 220 71 225 35 238 35199 33833 77 219 67 219 34 234 33833 32437 73 223 60 219 32 228 32437 31021 72 227 57 222 34 223 31021 29574 68 226 57 222 34 224 29574 28084 59 220 56 221 37 229 28084 26545 52 218 51 220 38 229 26545 24947 46 222 45 219 35 226 24947 23288 42 225 40 219 32 224 23288 21569 40 225 38 216 28 227 21569 19784 39 221 39 216 25 229 19784 17925 41 217 37 223 20 233 17925 16027 42 218 32 231 16 236 16027 14195 38 219 28 239 12 235 14195 12526 28 221 26 243 11 230 12526 11037 22 226 25 242 11 224 11037 9711 22 226 25 237 13 221 9711 8526 25 222 26 229 15 221 8526 7470 28 219 28 222 17 222 7470 6531 30 216 29 219 19 224 6531 5700 29 215 28*217 21 224 5700 4963 29 213 28*215 21 225 4963 4301 28 211 26 212 22 224 4301 3715 26*207 24 210 22 221 3715 3224 24*204 23 208 21 217 3224 2847 22 202 21 208 19 213 2847 2586 20 201 20 207 16 212 2586 2428 18 201 18 207 14 212 2428 2337 11 200 12 206 7*213 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography