DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 90.1 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 427 - - - - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1897 - - 5989 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3451 - - 6697 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4220 - - 8312 - - - - - 2665 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1296 - - 1947 - - - - - 900 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 354 - - 563 - - - - - 72 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 25 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 174 - - - - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 27 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4686 - - -3731 - - - - - -3858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8907 - - 12044 - - - - - 6523 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9611 - - -8113 - - - - - -9711 ODpotential blCL - - - 13831 - - 16425 - - - - - 12376 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 35 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 90.1 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 45.1 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 87.4 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 44.4 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 427 - - - - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1897 - - 5989 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 24 101 20 102 14 098 98786 91318 18 106 20 092 14 089 91318 85587 18 105 12 073 18 089 85587 80850 19 107 6 108 21 090 80850 76786 20 109 9 144 22 085 76786 73189 19 107 13 125 17 075 73189 69934 16 094 15 094 15 066 69934 66955 13 095 13 086 15 058 66955 64204 9 090 9 078 17 072 64204 61540 9 082 5 106 13 046 61540 58767 5 095 6 129 8 028 58767 55895 4 306 3 093 4 292 55895 53157 12 265 6 294 7 259 53157 50687 18 265 11 269 11 277 50687 48468 22 266 17 269 14 282 48468 46448 24 271 20 265 20 277 46448 44603 27 271 25 268 26 277 44603 42909 29 268 31 272 32 277 42909 41338 30 273 31 273 37 278 41338 39867 32 280 31 280 38 277 39867 38479 34 284 31 287 37 277 38479 37140 36 285 33 290 34 279 37140 35784 36 284 34 287 32 284 35784 34381 35 282 31 285 29 288 34381 32935 29 282 26 285 22 292 32935 31432 21 285 18 289 16 301 31432 29860 19 289 15 287 15 307 29860 28219 21 286 16 287 15 306 28219 26506 23 282 18 284 16 304 26506 24724 23 278 18 280 15 295 24724 22876 20 274 15 275 12 297 22876 20960 15 268 12 264 9 312 20960 18967 10 262 9 256 6 304 18967 16937 9 239 9 245 4 277 16937 14982 7 214 9 230 3 211 14982 13202 6 182 10 207 3 217 13202 11618 6 173 11 195 5 260 11618 10206 6 182 9 183 8 217 10206 8946 6 188 7*164 9 157 8946 7821 7 176 6*160 12 114 7821 6820 8 163 5 161 10 089 6820 5933 9 153 4 164 7 071 5933 5146 9 140 4 171 3 055 5146 4438 7*137 4 181 0 000 4438 3811 6*144 4 187 2 251 3811 3286 5 153 4 190 4 286 3286 2883 5 157 3 193 6*292 2883 2605 5 160 3 195 6*294 2605 2436 4 160 3 196 6 294 2436 2340 4 161 3 195 5 295 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography