DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 54.4 - - 62.0 - - 60.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 47 - - 231 - - 369 - - 199 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 431 - - 1963 - - 3807 - - 2297 - - 670 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3394 - - 4930 - - 3580 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2752 - - 4285 - - 6129 - - 4618 - - 2991 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 851 - - 708 - - 1182 - - 2338 - - 1110 Hgt.Variab. W* 113 - - 319 - - 464 - - 320 - - 100 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 18 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 213 - - 245 - - 296 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - 4 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 143 - - 435 - - 426 - - -385 - - -351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2609 - - 3850 - - 5703 - - 5003 - - 3342 sfcLCL ODpotential -5963 - - -3642 - - -395 - - -1362 - - -2347 ODpotential blCL 8715 - - 7927 - - 6524 - - 5980 - - 5338 blCL maxRH 93 - - 93 - - 82 - - 85 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 54.4 - - 62.0 - - 60.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 45.6 - - 45.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 52.8 - - 59.8 - - 59.1 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 44.8 - - 44.1 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 47 - - 231 - - 369 - - 199 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 431 - - 1963 - - 3807 - - 2297 - - 670 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 72 - - 27 - - 39 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98125 23 250 26 258 23 278 19 271 18 272 98125 90643 10 307 13 266 14 255 19 285 10 263 90643 84905 6 326 3 191 7 270 8 260 6 339 84905 80177 8 049 14 129 3 146 3 104 7 042 80177 76133 11 090 12 086 7 120 2 097 5 089 76133 72578 6 129 5 056 10 121 5 143 5 143 72578 69364 14 155 5 186 12 172 7 214 6 180 69364 66395 9 185 5 224 11 188 12 228 8 215 66395 63619 18 217 17 225 21 214 21 223 18 232 63619 60907 22 223 23 217 24 213 27 215 25 228 60907 58060 25 236 25 223 25 221 26 220 27 231 58060 55086 38 240 34 231 31 233 29 229 29 236 55086 52220 46 238 41 233 37 232 32 234 29 240 52220 49624 45 236 45 237 38 237 33 250 27 248 49624 47307 41 233 44 237 38 243 36 248 26 253 47307 45222 36 231 40 231 37 236 33 237 26 251 45222 43322 32 228 35 229 30 230 24 238 18 244 43322 41571 30 227 29 226 24 230 20 251 10 260 41571 39950 31 226 27 226 18 230 17 256 9 311 39950 38445 33 219 23 217 12 224 13 255 12 346 38445 37046 30 207 18 190 11 212 7 263 21 004 37046 35716 26 202 13 158 7 175 3 359 20 018 35716 34381 26 201 12 142 7 106 9 053 26 038 34381 33016 24 191 15 136 10 076 15 054 35 035 33016 31621 19 174 19 131 13 072 25 047 37 030 31621 30178 19 164 19 132 15 072 29 045 36 030 30178 28672 19 161 18 133 13 073 27 044 31 042 28672 27101 21 168 14 135 10 073 22 045 25 053 27101 25464 20 180 9 146 10 070 14 048 21 059 25464 23761 13 184 6 163 7 076 8 051 17 072 23761 21992 11 179 6 188 2 148 4 026 11 042 21992 20153 9 182 8 214 7 233 2 318 9 358 20153 18243 8 173 8 223 10 240 3 208 6 309 18243 16300 7 173 8 232 9 241 5 201 6 269 16300 14426 5 215 7 238 7 240 6 220 6 264 14426 12716 6 265 6 254 6 237 7 231 7 264 12716 11192 9 285 7 271 6 246 7 235 8 261 11192 9835 9 289 9 274 7 251 8 237 9 268 9835 8626 8 286 9 271 7 242 7 211 8 283 8626 7549 8 275 9 267 5 218 7 162 5 255 7549 6595 6 261 7 256 3*219 8 151 6 151 6595 5751 6 225 5 228 3*228 6 160 7 145 5751 5003 7 201 6 206 4 238 4*195 5 137 5003 4330 8 194 6*207 4 244 4*263 2 079 4330 3734 8 196 6*210 5 248 7 296 7 334 3734 3236 8 205 6 212 5 250 7 298 11*326 3236 2854 8*213 6 214 5 251 8 299 11*325 2854 2590 7*217 6 215 5 252 8 300 11 325 2590 2430 6 219 6 216 5 251 8 300 10 324 2430 2337 4 219 5 216 5 252 7 300 7 323 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography