DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 95.9 - - 93.2 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 444 - - 273 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3750 - - 5701 - - 2369 - - 163 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4832 - - 6482 - - 3738 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6074 - - 8025 - - 4693 - - 2486 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1311 - - 1093 - - 3574 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 560 - - 356 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 26 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 276 - - 322 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 20 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9562 - - -8606 - - -9544 - - -8457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15637 - - 16631 - - 14238 - - 10944 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17156 - - -14899 - - -15675 - - -16734 ODpotential blCL - - - 23230 - - 22924 - - 20368 - - 19220 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 60 - - 46 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 95.9 - - 93.2 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 30.4 - - 38.8 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.1 - - 93.1 - - 91.2 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 29.7 - - 38.4 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 444 - - 273 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3750 - - 5701 - - 2369 - - 163 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98872 41 105 37 113 31 111 36 099 98872 91425 31 096 35 102 29 103 28 109 91425 85690 25 099 27 104 33 104 28 094 85690 80944 25 112 21 097 27 103 25 098 80944 76861 27 104 20 105 20 100 27 091 76861 73248 23 099 23 108 19 102 22 084 73248 69994 20 087 22 106 22 104 16 105 69994 67014 15 076 15 100 17 096 15 107 67014 64258 10 075 12 092 14 084 14 087 64258 61612 10 104 6 089 11 078 12 080 61612 58875 7 060 6 099 7 126 6 068 58875 56058 2 144 1 025 4 072 1 055 56058 53389 5 274 5 282 5 307 4 353 53389 50994 17 292 17 286 16 289 12 314 50994 48852 27 288 25 283 26 284 21 296 48852 46904 36 284 34 285 35 284 31 294 46904 45104 41 276 39 278 39 277 37 285 45104 43425 41 270 40 275 40 275 42 281 43425 41848 38 270 40 274 40 274 44 278 41848 40358 39 272 40 273 40 273 43 277 40358 38951 40 273 39 271 39 272 42 275 38951 37593 37 275 38 271 37 274 40 275 37593 36216 36 274 36 277 38 276 38 275 36216 34791 36 274 34 280 37 279 37 277 34791 33320 33 277 33 282 36 281 36 279 33320 31788 30 277 29 281 34 280 37 279 31788 30186 30 275 29 276 30 281 32 280 30186 28515 28 277 29 277 28 278 26 281 28515 26774 23 280 25 277 28 279 24 285 26774 24966 20 283 21 275 26 278 23 287 24966 23095 21 284 20 276 23 274 23 283 23095 21155 25 284 25 278 22 273 21 280 21155 19137 27 289 25 285 25 281 22 284 19137 17084 20 293 17 286 20 279 18 280 17084 15108 13 282 11 278 12 271 10 272 15108 13309 7 285 6 270 7 262 4 255 13309 11707 6 312 4 278 4 258 2 228 11707 10280 6 315 5 288 4 250 3 267 10280 9006 6 305 4*271 5 185 5 258 9006 7870 4 300 3*260 7 164 6 199 7870 6860 2*291 3 261 6 162 6 188 6860 5966 2*271 3 266 4 171 6 205 5966 5171 2 271 4 273 1*247 5 227 5171 4456 2 272 4 279 5*312 4 258 4456 3822 2 271 5 283 9 321 6 314 3822 3293 2 273 5 285 10 322 10 327 3293 2886 2 270 5 287 10 323 11 327 2886 2607 2 273 5 287 10 324 10*328 2607 2437 2 270 5 287 10 323 9*327 2437 2340 2 272 5 287 8 323 5 327 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography