DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 87.5 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 449 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1994 - - 4017 - - - - - 331 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 5153 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4317 - - 6340 - - - - - 2654 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 874 - - 1441 - - - - - 652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 501 - - - - - 59 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 22 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 198 - - - - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 21 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4547 - - -4984 - - - - - -5963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8865 - - 11324 - - - - - 8617 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10700 - - -10239 - - - - - -13228 ODpotential blCL - - - 15017 - - 16579 - - - - - 15882 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 58 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 87.5 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 46.0 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 84.8 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 45.5 - - - - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 449 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1994 - - 4017 - - - - - 331 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99488 43 109 34 099 37 093 99488 91946 33 109 32 109 32 102 91946 86132 28 104 30 111 31 103 86132 81331 27 106 25 106 27 102 81331 77217 27 095 23 101 22 105 77217 73591 22 087 21 100 21 093 73591 70314 19 101 17 104 17 077 70314 67304 13 123 14 135 15 093 67304 64521 9 123 17 133 14 092 64521 61831 9 170 13 190 7 078 61831 59047 16 182 20 187 10 198 59047 56191 23 198 28 201 20 199 56191 53488 35 191 44 201 39 208 53488 51080 40 201 48 197 49 206 51080 48931 51 209 52 200 53 211 48931 46972 55 212 55 208 53 211 46972 45156 57 214 58 220 50 218 45156 43454 60 220 62 221 53 225 43454 41855 64 223 63 220 61 229 41855 40348 67 224 66 223 65 231 40348 38923 67 222 70 227 68 236 38923 37545 67 221 69 226 69 238 37545 36146 65 218 64 219 66 235 36146 34698 63 215 62 215 62 231 34698 33208 60 214 60 216 58 227 33208 31666 55 212 56 219 54 224 31666 30063 50 212 48 221 49 220 30063 28398 46 216 43 218 43 216 28398 26666 42 214 43 217 38 212 26666 24865 41 212 40 216 33 208 24865 23001 37 211 32 211 28 199 23001 21070 30 204 28 201 26 185 21070 19064 26 195 27 194 25 175 19064 17020 27 186 27 190 22 176 17020 15048 24 186 27 191 19 182 15048 13250 18 188 22 192 16 190 13250 11649 14 187 16 190 14 195 11649 10222 12 183 13 184 15 198 10222 8951 11 175 12 179 16 197 8951 7820 13 166 11 175 16 188 7820 6816 14 160 8*170 12 174 6816 5929 13 164 6*172 9 167 5929 5143 12 172 5 178 7 163 5143 4436 8*175 5 194 5 156 4436 3808 5*190 4 208 2 133 3808 3283 5 201 4 217 4 354 3283 2881 5 206 4 224 7*341 2881 2604 4 209 4 227 7*339 2604 2436 4 210 3 229 7 337 2436 2339 4 211 3 230 5 337 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography