DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 63.1 - - 60.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 50 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1166 - - 670 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3487 - - 2992 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 755 - - 1266 - - 1097 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 172 - - 87 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 028 - - 028 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5426 - - -5035 - - -4116 - - -3837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7764 - - 8523 - - 7108 - - 6175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11712 - - -11174 - - -10508 - - -11914 ODpotential blCL - - - 14050 - - 14661 - - 13500 - - 14252 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 72 - - 66 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 63.1 - - 60.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 34.2 - - 37.6 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.5 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 33.0 - - 36.5 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 50 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1166 - - 670 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95637 48 288 48 284 46 282 56 275 95637 88696 25 284 37 281 34 303 35 287 88696 83348 13 277 25 277 25 304 22 306 83348 78887 8 273 14 286 16 296 19 302 78887 75018 8 282 12 290 15 294 16 295 75018 71576 11 300 13 268 11 261 17 289 71576 68443 19 301 10 286 14 302 9 283 68443 65543 28 282 26 291 23 282 17 306 65543 62853 32 254 33 257 33 277 34 288 62853 60271 25 242 29 258 42 279 34 273 60271 57563 39 265 42 269 46 270 35 263 57563 54717 49 251 55 259 46 259 42 268 54717 51980 45 246 51 249 51 257 52 269 51980 49516 40 254 46 249 58 261 58 265 49516 47305 46 262 50 258 61 264 58 262 47305 45289 52 259 55 258 62 260 57 258 45289 43435 53 254 54 255 58 253 52 256 43435 41723 53 251 52 256 48 247 47 254 41723 40139 47 242 50 254 39 247 44 249 40139 38674 38 235 45 245 41 259 39 252 38674 37325 33 225 36 236 49 267 44 258 37325 36040 28 230 30 229 41 259 47 249 36040 34734 27 238 28 237 33 247 38 240 34734 33379 30 219 28 234 34 247 35 248 33379 31980 34 203 31 223 35 251 38 261 31980 30522 38 201 32 221 28 245 34 257 30522 29002 43 204 35 219 26 234 25 245 29002 27420 43 210 34 222 26 232 22 239 27420 25772 38 221 30 231 25 238 23 241 25772 24056 33 230 28 232 25 238 23 243 24056 22274 31 227 28 224 26 236 23 246 22274 20420 30 221 30 224 27 240 22 247 20420 18489 30 224 30 234 25 245 19 246 18489 16519 27 236 26 247 21 249 16 248 16519 14617 24 245 22 252 18 252 13 259 14617 12884 20 249 19 254 15 254 12 272 12884 11339 16 253 13 259 10 248 9 276 11339 9962 11 263 8 269 5 243 6 276 9962 8733 7 293 2 281 2 245 3 296 8733 7638 6 331 2 081 1 240 2 326 7638 6665 5 353 4 083 1 299 2 342 6665 5805 5 020 5 076 3 344 3 006 5805 5042 6 036 6 060 5 003 6 021 5042 4359 6 039 8 036 8 011 9 020 4359 3753 6 036 9*025 10 016 13 016 3753 3247 6 035 9*026 10*019 16 014 3247 2859 6 038 9 028 9*026 17 015 2859 2592 5 041 8 028 8 028 15 017 2592 2431 3*051 7 029 7 029 10*021 2431 2338 1*067 6 029 5 030 4*031 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography