DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.7 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 136 - - 62 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 383 - - 1216 - - 762 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2622 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2704 - - 3538 - - 3083 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 428 - - 1451 - - 526 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 231 - - 151 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 039 - - 075 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -117 - - -1314 - - -256 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2821 - - 4853 - - 3340 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4632 - - -4626 - - -3873 - - -6191 ODpotential blCL - - - 7336 - - 8164 - - 6956 - - 8528 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 68 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.7 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 41.9 - - 43.2 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 54.0 - - 49.1 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 40.8 - - 42.7 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 136 - - 62 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 383 - - 1216 - - 762 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 0 - - 38 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95212 62 285 56 284 51 286 61 273 95212 88403 33 289 40 287 40 296 42 286 88403 83123 12 283 28 285 32 297 31 302 83123 78681 4 302 21 278 28 296 28 323 78681 74810 7 331 17 291 25 294 27 318 74810 71385 11 299 17 306 19 295 20 308 71385 68273 15 266 17 298 19 299 20 302 68273 65392 15 284 18 293 23 295 26 291 65392 62709 16 290 20 288 26 287 24 285 62709 60091 14 291 19 283 26 280 26 286 60091 57338 17 306 20 298 26 279 30 283 57338 54468 29 302 30 303 27 290 32 283 54468 51717 33 296 34 300 33 299 28 296 51717 49229 32 303 36 301 40 301 30 315 49229 46991 37 308 42 299 48 303 43 316 46991 44968 44 306 51 299 56 307 55 309 44968 43142 48 309 53 309 61 311 63 316 43142 41479 50 322 55 322 63 318 77 326 41479 39947 57 334 59 331 76 325 88 327 39947 38519 65 343 64 338 85 326 101 330 38519 37175 75 347 74 340 85 329 100 329 37175 35874 83 346 88 340 86 334 87 330 35874 34550 88 343 97 339 89 336 84 333 34550 33179 90 341 97 339 91 335 84 336 33179 31764 89 340 93 340 91 334 86 338 31764 30292 87 339 88 339 91 336 85 342 30292 28752 86 339 84 341 88 338 82 344 28752 27148 79 339 82 342 84 341 79 347 27148 25479 69 337 76 338 77 342 74 349 25479 23752 61 337 67 339 69 341 66 343 23752 21968 56 339 66 349 63 339 64 347 21968 20114 57 344 71 002 67 360 59 003 20114 18188 57 350 65 007 62 011 47 014 18188 16237 48 355 51 003 46 009 34 022 16237 14368 37 359 37 360 36 007 25 029 14368 12668 29 009 29 007 27 013 19 036 12668 11155 23 021 25 021 20 026 12 055 11155 9807 19 023 21 032 14 037 12 083 9807 8605 16 027 16 036 11 044 11 083 8605 7532 15 036 11 033 10 046 9 068 7532 6579 15 041 9 058 12 066 9 065 6579 5737 14 040 10 083 13 075 8 069 5737 4990 13 040 10 089 8 066 7 047 4990 4320 11 037 7 082 4 017 7 007 4320 3725 9 028 4*038 4 015 9 356 3725 3228 8 034 4*037 7*067 9 359 3228 2847 7*049 4 038 7*074 7 022 2847 2585 4*066 4 041 7 075 5 064 2585 2427 4 067 4 042 7 076 4*093 2427 2337 3 068 3 042 6 076 2*102 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography