DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 77.5 - - 76.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 450 - - 221 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4070 - - 6106 - - 3772 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5104 - - 6806 - - 4691 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6393 - - 8429 - - 6094 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1398 - - 1194 - - 2907 - - 1231 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 574 - - 386 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 195 - - 251 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 24 - - 31 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -444 - - -658 - - -2835 - - -4625 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6837 - - 9088 - - 8930 - - 6964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5055 - - -4880 - - -7235 - - -12045 ODpotential blCL - - - 11448 - - 13309 - - 13329 - - 14383 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 74 - - 63 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 77.5 - - 76.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 45.5 - - 45.5 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 74.9 - - 75.0 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 45.3 - - 45.3 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 450 - - 221 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4070 - - 6106 - - 3772 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98854 17 102 13 123 11 096 15 073 98854 91423 13 111 13 107 14 119 11 086 91423 85702 17 120 12 131 11 115 8 076 85702 80952 22 117 15 141 10 105 11 093 80952 76855 20 115 15 133 9 111 12 113 76855 73231 16 094 16 115 11 106 13 123 73231 69957 6 100 9 125 9 118 11 109 69957 66958 11 143 10 148 7 172 2 219 66958 64180 6 241 6 144 6 161 7 214 64180 61493 16 232 9 261 6 226 5 227 61493 58678 21 206 23 235 21 245 20 240 58678 55758 19 228 28 233 32 241 31 239 55758 52987 37 262 37 253 39 251 42 254 52987 50507 55 259 53 259 52 259 64 261 50507 48293 65 255 67 257 69 259 84 259 48293 46282 73 251 75 253 81 256 94 256 46282 44431 74 250 78 250 86 253 96 253 44431 42712 75 251 76 249 86 252 94 254 42712 41108 74 251 76 250 85 253 95 256 41108 39611 74 253 77 252 84 255 93 257 39611 38208 75 255 78 254 84 258 90 258 38208 36861 73 254 76 253 85 258 87 258 36861 35499 68 252 73 251 83 256 84 257 35499 34091 64 248 69 250 77 253 80 255 34091 32640 62 247 66 250 71 250 74 252 32640 31132 60 245 64 250 65 249 70 249 31132 29556 57 243 62 247 60 248 65 247 29556 27914 55 243 57 243 60 246 59 247 27914 26204 51 243 50 242 55 245 56 247 26204 24429 48 242 46 242 48 245 49 246 24429 22593 46 241 42 243 42 247 41 244 22593 20688 43 238 39 244 39 249 37 244 20688 18706 39 235 39 245 38 248 36 244 18706 16691 34 233 38 242 37 245 35 240 16691 14754 32 233 36 238 34 241 33 237 14754 12993 32 234 33 232 32 235 31 232 12993 11428 29 232 28 221 29 221 30 223 11428 10037 23 224 21 205 23 199 27 206 10037 8799 18 209 13*189 15 174 23 180 8799 7699 15 193 9*186 12 167 18 160 7699 6721 13*186 8 188 10*168 14 154 6721 5853 11*188 8 192 7*174 10 144 5853 5083 10 193 8 195 4 191 7 126 5083 4391 9 199 8 198 3 239 5 091 4391 3776 9 204 7 201 4 281 5 029 3776 3263 9 208 7 203 5 285 8 349 3263 2870 8 210 7 205 5 289 10 333 2870 2598 8 211 7 205 6 289 9 329 2598 2433 7 211 6 205 5 290 8 327 2433 2338 7 212 6 206 5 290 5*325 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography