DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 71.4 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 500 - - 307 - - 46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 3243 - - 1906 - - 390 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3529 - - 4577 - - 3433 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4255 - - 5565 - - 4229 - - 2711 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 636 - - 1242 - - 1966 - - 372 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 382 - - 483 - - 344 - - 107 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 226 - - 270 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2189 - - -2856 - - -3314 - - -837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6444 - - 8421 - - 7544 - - 3548 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8092 - - -7658 - - -7585 - - -9149 ODpotential blCL - - - 12347 - - 13223 - - 11814 - - 11860 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 53 - - 54 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 71.4 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 43.9 - - 46.3 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 69.9 - - 69.3 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 43.4 - - 46.0 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 500 - - 307 - - 46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 3243 - - 1906 - - 390 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98492 15 119 20 104 14 120 18 093 98492 91034 14 112 12 112 18 094 15 082 91034 85314 6 127 7 075 21 096 15 089 85314 80562 4 094 5 055 11 077 17 090 80562 76456 3 046 5 113 4 029 13 061 76456 72822 4 157 6 166 1 188 8 060 72822 69519 6 190 6 203 5 235 3 019 69519 66474 8 224 8 220 9 248 8 293 66474 63649 11 251 9 263 11 261 12 271 63649 60911 16 259 17 279 15 278 15 270 60911 58062 15 266 21 274 18 277 17 270 58062 55116 18 276 23 270 21 282 18 284 55116 52310 22 279 25 265 24 282 24 290 52310 49799 23 286 22 262 26 276 25 289 49799 47563 22 290 17 282 24 274 30 293 47563 45558 17 294 19 304 21 300 31 300 45558 43749 14 315 19 330 23 323 21 312 43749 42093 15 337 22 355 25 346 22 333 42093 40558 15 332 27 005 28 349 28 347 40558 39117 16 327 29 007 28 343 34 346 39117 37757 16 330 28 008 28 345 37 339 37757 36441 16 332 23 003 29 348 39 333 36441 35109 15 324 18 353 31 348 33 333 35109 33734 12 327 17 348 30 346 28 326 33734 32315 9 342 17 344 28 344 31 328 32315 30840 10 341 15 336 23 346 32 334 30840 29294 11 339 13 331 19 345 29 334 29294 27681 12 339 13 334 16 337 25 332 27681 25996 14 333 13 343 16 333 22 323 25996 24246 16 327 14 346 16 334 20 312 24246 22431 14 310 16 330 14 338 19 307 22431 20546 11 305 16 311 15 315 19 306 20546 18586 11 296 14 298 14 300 20 303 18586 16592 12 268 13 272 15 281 19 296 16592 14671 12 247 14 250 17 260 20 284 14671 12924 11 223 14 232 17 246 19 269 12924 11369 10 201 13 214 16 237 18 255 11369 9987 10 194 14 204 16 229 17 248 9987 8755 10 195 14 199 15 213 16 243 8755 7657 10 199 14 193 13 191 14 232 7657 6680 12 201 11 184 12 178 12 205 6680 5816 13 198 9*186 11 176 11 180 5816 5049 12 196 8*199 10 186 11 182 5049 4360 10*207 7 210 8*204 10 205 4360 3751 8*223 7 227 7*254 9 229 3751 3244 8 229 7 235 8 270 12 286 3244 2857 8 232 7 241 8 273 14*300 2857 2592 8 235 7 243 8 275 13*301 2592 2430 7 236 7 245 8 276 12 301 2430 2338 7 236 6 246 7 276 8 301 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography