DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 73.3 - - 70.0 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 423 - - 213 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 3229 - - 1509 - - 138 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3188 - - 4517 - - 3031 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3894 - - 5551 - - 3831 - - 2460 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 612 - - 1310 - - 1663 - - 490 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 455 - - 281 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 261 - - 294 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1676 - - -2800 - - -3391 - - -898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5571 - - 8352 - - 7222 - - 3358 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8022 - - -8340 - - -9307 - - -8011 ODpotential blCL - - - 11916 - - 13891 - - 13138 - - 10471 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 64 - - 54 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 73.3 - - 70.0 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 44.7 - - 46.4 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 70.7 - - 68.4 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 44.5 - - 46.3 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 423 - - 213 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 3229 - - 1509 - - 138 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98880 20 124 14 119 18 129 6 131 98880 91508 11 120 15 126 18 127 15 123 91508 85797 13 135 14 129 16 109 18 117 85797 81040 15 147 10 135 13 091 17 115 81040 76926 12 142 9 158 7 137 10 112 76926 73290 7 147 14 159 8 162 8 116 73290 70013 9 202 11 187 4 195 4 103 70013 67001 12 185 15 207 7 228 2 163 67001 64200 10 162 13 198 12 226 8 261 64200 61504 6 240 9 201 11 212 10 241 61504 58700 14 228 13 227 12 226 11 231 58700 55768 17 230 21 231 20 244 17 252 55768 52962 23 246 31 236 34 245 33 248 52962 50445 33 257 36 242 40 242 42 243 50445 48194 44 259 44 252 46 247 48 247 48194 46148 54 258 54 254 56 248 54 247 46148 44268 62 255 62 252 64 247 59 249 44268 42528 67 253 67 250 67 246 64 248 42528 40906 71 251 70 250 67 245 66 247 40906 39390 73 248 74 247 67 243 68 246 39390 37969 73 246 76 241 69 240 70 244 37969 36607 74 245 76 238 74 239 71 243 36607 35240 76 242 79 237 77 236 71 239 35240 33841 75 240 81 237 78 235 72 235 33841 32409 72 240 79 236 76 236 71 234 32409 30928 67 242 74 237 73 237 66 235 30928 29380 65 245 69 238 68 238 61 240 29380 27766 60 245 66 239 64 239 56 245 27766 26083 52 246 58 236 60 237 53 248 26083 24332 46 246 49 237 54 237 48 251 24332 22515 39 249 42 243 45 244 41 249 22515 20625 35 252 36 250 37 251 39 244 20625 18657 30 253 31 256 33 255 38 242 18657 16653 26 251 29 255 29 253 33 241 16653 14722 23 249 28 249 27 249 28 244 14722 12966 20 249 25 246 24 246 23 248 12966 11405 17 252 21 244 21 242 19 244 11405 10017 13 256 16 243 16 238 17 230 10017 8782 10 253 12 239 11 221 16 217 8782 7681 8 240 9 236 9 182 14 203 7681 6702 7 228 6 238 9 172 11 180 6702 5835 6 228 6*246 8 179 9 178 5835 5066 8 240 6*251 6 198 9 200 5066 4375 9*247 7 257 6*225 9 228 4375 3763 9*249 7 261 8*283 9 250 3763 3252 9 249 8 262 10 294 12 291 3252 2862 9 249 8 265 11 297 14 304 2862 2594 9 249 8 265 11 297 13*306 2594 2431 8 250 7 265 10 297 11*306 2431 2338 7 250 7 266 9 297 7 305 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography