DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.1 - - 90.7 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 418 - - 229 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2335 - - 4661 - - 2142 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3726 - - 5633 - - 3511 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4659 - - 6984 - - 4466 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1562 - - 1308 - - 2795 - - 488 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 359 - - 513 - - 324 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 27 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 258 - - 328 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 20 - - 13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9375 - - -7054 - - -8717 - - -7172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14035 - - 14039 - - 13184 - - 9511 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16334 - - -12723 - - -14254 - - -15271 ODpotential blCL - - - 20993 - - 19707 - - 18720 - - 17610 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 65 - - 47 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.1 - - 90.7 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 39.6 - - 41.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.9 - - 90.5 - - 88.9 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 39.2 - - 40.8 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 418 - - 229 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2335 - - 4661 - - 2142 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99256 31 133 26 109 22 107 22 108 99256 91720 28 120 32 112 30 115 22 109 91720 85918 28 107 27 112 24 109 26 093 85918 81123 27 098 25 116 20 105 21 100 81123 77002 22 089 20 115 18 091 20 104 77002 73366 17 100 16 109 17 084 19 093 73366 70091 13 109 16 107 13 101 16 084 70091 67095 16 103 13 109 11 117 11 099 67095 64329 11 089 12 119 13 126 11 109 64329 61666 4 172 5 124 10 111 13 134 61666 58897 15 184 16 181 14 193 13 168 58897 56033 16 194 25 188 26 205 21 218 56033 53312 27 216 30 206 31 211 32 218 53312 50866 37 218 37 222 35 224 36 229 50866 48682 44 226 49 224 45 229 41 238 48682 46718 50 233 50 226 48 228 43 240 46718 44925 50 236 45 232 43 231 40 240 44925 43263 50 237 41 235 38 231 39 236 43263 41706 48 238 38 233 34 232 36 230 41706 40237 46 242 36 237 31 236 34 226 40237 38848 45 246 34 239 30 241 33 225 38848 37502 42 247 33 235 31 242 30 227 37502 36135 38 242 31 232 31 240 29 230 36135 34717 36 238 32 231 32 238 29 229 34717 33253 34 233 32 232 31 237 28 228 33253 31728 34 226 34 234 29 238 26 230 31728 30133 36 220 34 236 32 238 29 234 30133 28472 34 231 34 231 35 240 31 235 28472 26741 28 236 30 223 33 240 30 233 26741 24941 23 225 27 220 28 229 27 230 24941 23075 25 222 24 225 25 226 26 228 23075 21138 23 226 20 229 20 232 21 227 21138 19125 20 227 17 230 16 234 15 223 19125 17076 17 223 16 223 14 225 12 215 17076 15102 16 221 16 223 13 222 10 218 15102 13304 14 224 14 230 12 227 8 223 13304 11702 11 233 11 244 9 237 6 226 11702 10274 8 245 9 257 7 251 4 239 10274 9001 6 254 7 254 6 241 5 253 9001 7865 5 255 4*229 5 194 6 226 7865 6854 4 247 3*226 5 161 7 200 6854 5960 4 235 3 232 4 151 5 192 5960 5166 4*226 3 242 1*149 3 194 5166 4452 4*225 3 259 2*330 1 230 4452 3819 4 226 4 271 6 329 3 322 3819 3290 4 228 4 276 8 329 8 330 3290 2884 3 229 4 279 8 328 11 333 2884 2605 3 230 4 281 8 328 10 335 2605 2436 3 230 4 282 8 328 9 336 2436 2339 3 231 4 281 7 327 4*334 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography