DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.4 - - 84.7 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 488 - - 303 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1726 - - 3317 - - 1732 - - 313 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3341 - - 4629 - - 3302 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4049 - - 5641 - - 4056 - - 2636 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1330 - - 1839 - - 1967 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 482 - - 331 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 18 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 323 - - 328 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8732 - - -8281 - - -7985 - - -5538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12782 - - 13922 - - 12041 - - 8174 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16978 - - -15313 - - -14868 - - -14749 ODpotential blCL - - - 21027 - - 20954 - - 18924 - - 17385 blCL maxRH - - - 21 - - 20 - - 25 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.4 - - 84.7 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 34.5 - - 40.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 84.6 - - 82.6 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 34.0 - - 40.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 488 - - 303 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1726 - - 3317 - - 1732 - - 313 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99173 36 109 37 118 32 113 33 109 99173 91648 31 121 28 120 33 095 32 088 91648 85878 26 121 28 111 27 102 29 093 85878 81119 29 118 28 108 26 115 20 110 81119 77013 29 110 27 112 25 114 21 112 77013 73384 21 107 24 112 23 108 21 105 73384 70127 17 105 18 116 19 122 17 097 70127 67158 15 133 14 115 14 118 13 105 67158 64415 18 146 11 148 11 144 15 116 64415 61765 18 135 12 164 12 154 10 138 61765 59017 11 168 12 162 12 168 9 188 59017 56180 17 185 14 191 16 187 13 214 56180 53482 17 182 19 191 18 196 17 212 53482 51072 10 190 18 184 19 198 22 203 51072 48923 14 239 13 206 13 220 16 200 48923 46962 25 238 19 237 15 253 12 243 46962 45145 33 237 29 237 23 249 19 257 45145 43447 36 230 35 229 31 236 25 248 43447 41851 39 225 38 225 34 234 30 240 41851 40347 41 225 39 227 33 233 32 234 40347 38925 39 226 39 230 34 233 34 233 38925 37548 38 226 39 228 37 229 39 231 37548 36151 43 226 43 225 42 228 44 230 36151 34707 49 229 48 225 46 230 47 230 34707 33219 50 230 49 227 45 232 46 232 33219 31675 44 230 45 229 43 234 44 236 31675 30063 37 235 38 230 39 233 38 236 30063 28385 34 234 35 231 36 230 35 231 28385 26646 33 234 32 235 33 234 32 235 26646 24847 29 236 28 233 28 237 26 237 24847 22988 22 237 22 227 23 235 23 233 22988 21060 17 238 18 229 19 232 21 228 21060 19053 17 237 15 234 15 233 17 225 19053 17005 18 236 16 237 13 231 14 224 17005 15028 18 237 16 239 12 229 12 224 15028 13228 16 240 14 240 10 230 8 222 13228 11628 13 245 10 242 7 234 5 219 11628 10205 9 256 7 245 5 239 3 233 10205 8937 7 267 5 252 4 245 3 263 8937 7809 6 274 3 242 3 227 5 254 7809 6807 5 270 2 195 2 169 6 247 6807 5920 4 248 1*162 2 129 5 253 5920 5133 3 206 0*322 1 067 4 279 5133 4426 1*176 2 327 4*343 4 310 4426 3800 1*320 6 324 9*330 8 332 3800 3277 4 328 6 323 11 329 14 329 3277 2877 4 327 7 323 11 327 14*325 2877 2602 5 325 7 321 11 326 13*323 2602 2435 5 326 7 322 10 327 11 323 2435 2339 4 325 6 321 9 326 7 322 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography