DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 63.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.7 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 80 - - 153 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 2170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1749 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1655 - - 2883 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 163 - - 1146 - - 1111 - - 2742 - - 441 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 176 - - 284 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 006 - - 345 - - 030 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -730 - - -3513 - - -3808 - - -5806 - - -1472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1458 - - 5169 - - 6692 - - 6535 - - 2201 sfcLCL ODpotential -9875 - - -10363 - - -9516 - - -11319 - - -9243 ODpotential blCL 10603 - - 12018 - - 12399 - - 12048 - - 9972 blCL maxRH 69 - - 50 - - 70 - - 36 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 63.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.7 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 43.9 - - 42.9 - - 43.0 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.9 - - 63.0 - - 68.5 - - 69.7 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 43.0 - - 42.1 - - 42.2 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 80 - - 153 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 2170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96479 42 291 42 280 40 299 40 296 37 300 96479 89478 22 298 23 286 28 304 18 300 27 305 89478 84055 21 310 19 317 17 280 18 294 30 314 84055 79520 24 310 20 321 9 280 19 279 30 309 79520 75572 20 295 20 303 9 316 12 281 18 299 75572 72070 18 297 17 293 15 292 11 311 10 305 72070 68899 17 306 13 290 19 287 18 303 11 322 68899 65983 14 315 10 323 14 294 18 300 19 314 65983 63277 18 315 16 327 14 311 17 302 24 305 63277 60654 22 311 20 312 17 310 16 307 23 306 60654 57898 23 304 19 292 20 298 19 311 19 315 57898 55022 27 291 22 284 24 299 26 322 21 327 55022 52272 30 279 30 282 29 305 29 326 18 325 52272 49797 36 274 34 286 33 301 33 335 26 343 49797 47584 40 280 36 286 31 306 41 327 29 354 47584 45582 39 285 34 291 37 312 36 314 40 350 45582 43751 37 286 35 300 35 308 32 317 46 335 43751 42059 38 291 40 301 30 316 33 323 44 325 42059 40483 38 293 39 292 39 327 33 342 33 338 40483 39013 36 298 32 297 43 328 45 006 42 013 39013 37641 38 301 35 310 42 336 68 014 63 021 37641 36324 37 299 39 312 42 348 86 016 77 019 36324 34987 35 302 37 307 47 357 90 017 81 014 34987 33592 40 307 31 326 49 358 80 016 76 020 33592 32143 49 303 39 340 47 352 67 021 65 025 32143 30628 52 292 42 331 45 348 48 007 56 028 30628 29035 48 285 42 333 43 342 45 346 46 020 29035 27363 41 290 40 342 41 333 42 341 42 004 27363 25614 41 302 37 354 35 329 42 334 41 350 25614 23788 44 308 37 354 30 329 42 330 40 342 23788 21884 43 311 39 348 29 331 41 327 40 337 21884 19897 41 319 38 346 29 337 37 328 37 334 19897 17823 38 333 34 345 28 343 31 328 31 334 17823 15705 37 347 29 350 23 350 22 331 26 330 15705 13662 32 354 25 357 19 360 16 348 24 330 13662 11802 27 356 25 006 17 011 16 356 21 339 11802 10149 24 008 24 019 16 024 17 360 18 349 10149 8681 19 030 17 027 12 029 16 008 15 356 8681 7377 14 035 13 020 11 009 15 014 13 009 7377 6219 15 014 14 009 14 357 16 016 14 025 6219 5195 19 359 15 002 17 357 18 020 16 034 5195 4294 19 355 14 358 17 001 21 025 17 038 4294 3501 16 357 12 353 14*002 19 025 16 034 3501 2794 13 003 11 355 10*353 15 027 15 023 2794 2172 11 011 11*006 9 348 10 030 11 008 2172 1655 10 014 9*010 8 344 9 031 8 346 1655 1259 7 012 5 006 7 341 8 031 9 325 1259 988 3 016 5 005 7 339 7 031 7 310 988 823 1 114 4 003 6 337 6 030 5 299 823 729 2*113 3 002 5 337 4*030 4*289 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography