DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 49.1 - - 55.1 - - 51.9 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - 34 - - 63 - - -32 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 279 - - 353 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 991 - - 1065 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 195 - - 193 - - 292 - - 344 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 91 - - 121 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 069 - - 070 - - 067 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -10 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -469 - - -1063 - - -1768 - - -1709 - - -1099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1197 - - 2054 - - 2833 - - 2437 - - 1827 sfcLCL ODpotential -15081 - - -13887 - - -12990 - - -13380 - - -14938 ODpotential blCL 15809 - - 14878 - - 14055 - - 14108 - - 15666 blCL maxRH 77 - - 76 - - 67 - - 64 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 49.1 - - 55.1 - - 51.9 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 43.0 - - 45.5 - - 44.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 48.7 - - 54.6 - - 53.2 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 43.2 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - 34 - - 63 - - -32 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 279 - - 353 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96522 25 005 26 344 33 347 25 333 32 329 96522 89514 19 021 21 042 8 007 12 329 23 328 89514 84011 18 049 19 060 10 057 8 028 16 006 84011 79399 19 062 11 072 11 027 14 021 22 036 79399 75421 15 037 14 067 11 030 12 010 24 026 75421 71923 7 018 15 037 10 026 12 011 20 013 71923 68769 12 003 14 358 15 000 16 012 19 020 68769 65873 14 356 16 343 20 355 25 013 22 012 65873 63198 14 011 15 345 17 350 18 002 21 001 63198 60611 15 023 13 341 14 344 13 347 18 353 60611 57905 12 013 14 337 16 328 15 346 15 350 57905 55098 9 354 12 345 14 321 16 342 12 345 55098 52412 9 349 12 017 5 300 13 338 9 324 52412 49983 7 351 10 035 3 094 3 320 6 318 49983 47791 2 322 4 014 4 075 1 331 4 357 47791 45798 3 099 3 195 1 292 3 275 8 036 45798 43975 6 088 7 175 6 212 9 205 7 009 43975 42303 7 079 8 127 11 160 16 169 10 213 42303 40761 7 255 2 244 6 163 15 165 18 181 40761 39319 21 222 16 215 11 215 9 179 18 159 39319 37955 23 202 20 205 19 217 9 228 14 153 37955 36633 18 193 20 206 24 215 18 236 11 179 36633 35289 16 204 22 213 25 215 24 228 17 204 35289 33893 18 222 23 220 24 219 24 223 23 212 33893 32445 21 230 24 225 24 226 23 227 27 220 32445 30930 25 227 26 225 28 227 27 234 21 225 30930 29336 24 226 26 226 30 226 30 236 18 236 29336 27663 17 227 21 226 25 229 27 240 17 235 27663 25907 12 230 16 234 18 239 19 252 14 258 25907 24069 13 252 14 253 15 253 15 265 9 293 24069 22150 12 302 9 270 11 279 10 293 8 335 22150 20147 7 344 4 312 6 296 7 307 7 002 20147 18056 6 022 6 351 6 336 9 341 5 360 18056 15917 8 006 6 006 7 004 8 002 6 005 15917 13847 8 010 7 018 8 021 9 024 9 021 13847 11957 7 003 8 023 9 028 11 031 12 030 11957 10275 9 001 9 022 9 028 12 033 12 035 10275 8779 9 005 9 027 9 032 11 042 12 038 8779 7451 10 013 10 033 11 038 11 047 12 035 7451 6273 12 021 13 037 12 042 11 047 13 029 6273 5231 14 027 13 038 12 039 11 040 13 028 5231 4315 14 027 12 033 12 039 11 034 12 023 4315 3509 15 028 12 030 12 044 12 035 12 016 3509 2791 15 030 11 041 12 059 14 042 13 021 2791 2162 14 042 11 063 14 075 15 051 15 034 2162 1641 15 064 14 077 16 077 17 061 16 047 1641 1248 19 074 15*073 16*072 17 066 17 061 1248 980 18 070 14*070 14*070 15 066 16 067 980 820 15*067 12 068 13 070 13 065 13*068 820 728 7*066 8 068 9 070 7*067 6*069 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography