DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 357 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 855 - - 1570 - - - - - 400 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 973 - - 1614 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1569 - - 2284 - - - - - 1113 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 602 - - 914 - - - - - 596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 337 - - - - - 60 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 277 - - - - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5415 - - -6659 - - - - - -4451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6984 - - 8943 - - - - - 5564 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11912 - - -13030 - - - - - -12450 ODpotential blCL - - - 13481 - - 15314 - - - - - 13563 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 89 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 51.0 - - - - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 85.3 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 50.1 - - - - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 357 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 855 - - 1570 - - - - - 400 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 55 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99287 34 114 33 117 32 104 99287 91783 34 117 30 117 27 107 91783 86012 35 115 31 107 30 110 86012 81240 34 105 29 110 32 110 81240 77141 23 101 26 118 30 103 77141 73518 16 125 24 118 21 095 73518 70227 23 123 22 115 15 104 70227 67199 26 112 26 123 12 109 67199 64415 22 104 23 130 11 128 64415 61762 13 097 17 121 18 139 61762 59017 10 167 18 171 20 133 59017 56174 21 167 30 173 21 178 56174 53473 23 172 28 172 28 178 53473 51044 25 181 26 180 32 169 51044 48860 23 181 27 181 29 177 48860 46877 20 178 25 183 24 194 46877 45055 17 182 21 192 27 209 45055 43358 18 182 22 193 29 205 43358 41766 18 185 23 184 30 195 41766 40265 21 197 23 190 34 194 40265 38846 23 201 27 190 35 198 38846 37470 25 196 32 190 34 200 37470 36070 28 191 33 187 33 199 36070 34616 30 187 32 184 32 199 34616 33110 31 187 31 182 32 199 33110 31536 30 192 31 184 32 199 31536 29881 30 196 32 191 31 199 29881 28146 29 195 32 196 30 201 28146 26335 26 194 29 196 29 202 26335 24449 22 197 24 194 27 201 24449 22487 22 198 22 197 25 197 22487 20444 21 198 23 195 24 191 20444 18315 21 195 23 194 24 191 18315 16141 18 176 21 190 23 189 16141 14042 16 164 20 179 22 186 14042 12130 14 178 17 182 20 186 12130 10429 10 197 13 185 18 185 10429 8918 6 206 10 174 15 179 8918 7574 3 239 8 160 15 173 7574 6382 3 317 6 155 15 170 6382 5326 4 345 3 173 14 177 5326 4396 2 344 3 229 13 196 4396 3578 2 279 8 250 13 214 3578 2850 5 254 10*257 13 227 2850 2210 7 251 10*269 13 243 2210 1679 7*257 10 277 12 269 1679 1274 7*263 10 278 11*291 1274 996 6 264 10 279 10*296 996 827 6 265 9 280 9 296 827 730 5 265 8 279 7 297 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography