DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 63.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.1 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 47 - - 70 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 605 - - 1632 - - 1128 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1318 - - 2346 - - 1841 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 277 - - 927 - - 1205 - - 1126 - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 133 - - 217 - - 112 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 024 - - 352 - - 005 - - 012 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -702 - - -1319 - - -1367 - - -1263 - - -394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1431 - - 2637 - - 3713 - - 3104 - - 1124 sfcLCL ODpotential -8123 - - -7199 - - -6606 - - -5916 - - -5693 ODpotential blCL 8852 - - 8517 - - 8952 - - 7757 - - 6423 blCL maxRH 78 - - 77 - - 70 - - 67 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 63.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.1 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 54.3 - - 54.4 - - 56.2 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 62.8 - - 67.4 - - 67.0 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.7 - - 53.1 - - 53.1 - - 54.9 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 47 - - 70 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 605 - - 1632 - - 1128 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96660 17 097 12 090 9 135 11 045 9 096 96660 89521 13 097 16 090 9 119 5 027 7 073 89521 83973 10 074 12 075 9 071 5 087 10 020 83973 79381 14 048 9 049 13 021 11 038 17 025 79381 75448 21 014 10 012 19 356 15 356 21 015 75448 71991 20 342 14 335 21 328 18 356 23 351 71991 68888 27 344 21 359 22 321 21 324 23 333 68888 66038 41 312 35 320 30 327 28 324 24 321 66038 63383 38 304 37 301 39 301 38 311 28 306 63383 60788 39 309 42 300 45 299 45 296 35 295 60788 58060 51 302 52 294 56 291 56 291 47 293 58060 55210 64 287 59 285 60 281 62 287 56 288 55210 52489 65 279 64 279 67 270 68 282 64 285 52489 50054 62 276 66 269 75 265 76 272 70 281 50054 47873 66 278 67 270 74 265 76 267 76 272 47873 45889 74 276 75 275 72 270 75 270 76 268 45889 44070 85 273 80 272 76 272 76 274 77 269 44070 42401 87 269 79 271 78 271 81 273 80 269 42401 40862 84 268 77 269 77 267 79 269 78 267 40862 39422 80 273 76 271 76 266 76 267 74 266 39422 38058 77 274 77 272 75 267 75 265 73 267 38058 36732 70 277 76 272 72 266 72 267 70 268 36732 35377 69 280 73 274 70 265 69 267 68 268 35377 33965 72 278 72 276 69 267 66 265 65 266 33965 32498 71 274 65 275 67 271 64 266 63 263 32498 30962 69 272 60 273 65 272 62 267 60 263 30962 29348 65 274 59 272 59 272 60 272 60 265 29348 27655 64 278 59 271 56 272 63 272 61 272 27655 25882 60 282 56 271 56 275 62 273 60 276 25882 24028 52 281 48 275 52 277 57 278 57 278 24028 22095 43 278 39 278 45 277 49 284 50 279 22095 20078 33 287 33 273 37 277 38 285 44 288 20078 17974 28 292 28 277 32 279 27 287 36 295 17974 15829 26 290 25 282 29 279 27 289 24 291 15829 13764 23 299 19 291 21 288 22 289 20 298 13764 11886 19 303 17 300 18 301 17 294 16 302 11886 10216 16 301 19 306 18 306 16 305 14 320 10216 8734 10 295 20 316 18 315 16 317 14 339 8734 7418 6 289 16 329 15 334 15 341 14 352 7418 6252 6 307 10 338 10 349 13 004 15 359 6252 5220 6 326 8 341 7 003 11 015 12 006 5220 4314 6 344 9 346 7 013 9 021 9 011 4314 3516 5 357 9 348 8 013 9 022 9 011 3516 2806 4 002 8 349 8*011 9 019 10 011 2806 2181 3 359 7 347 7*009 8*017 9 012 2181 1661 3 353 6*347 7 007 8*014 8 011 1661 1264 2 344 4*354 7 003 7 012 7 006 1264 990 2 358 4 352 6 001 7 011 6 357 990 824 2*012 3 350 6 001 6 009 4*351 824 730 2*024 3 351 5 360 5 009 2*348 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography