DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 58.4 - - 61.0 - - 59.8 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 151 - - 164 - - 45 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1910 - - 2935 - - 2403 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1546 - - 2320 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2622 - - 3647 - - 3116 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 288 - - 1977 - - 2701 - - 2278 - - 2122 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 269 - - 320 - - 195 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 181 - - 240 - - 259 - - 277 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -207 - - -127 - - 177 - - -337 - - -863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 935 - - 2749 - - 3471 - - 3453 - - 1591 sfcLCL ODpotential -5205 - - -942 - - -193 - - -1108 - - -3081 ODpotential blCL 5933 - - 3564 - - 3840 - - 4224 - - 3809 blCL maxRH 85 - - 85 - - 91 - - 87 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 58.4 - - 61.0 - - 59.8 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.2 - - 47.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 57.3 - - 59.9 - - 59.6 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.9 - - 48.4 - - 47.8 - - 46.8 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 151 - - 164 - - 45 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1910 - - 2935 - - 2403 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 39 - - 65 - - 47 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96825 39 283 41 290 39 285 38 278 39 295 96825 89765 26 296 31 289 27 287 23 272 34 275 89765 84300 26 275 25 279 28 275 26 275 27 275 84300 79712 25 259 21 260 31 262 30 273 21 281 79712 75735 23 255 22 253 29 258 28 271 18 274 75735 72194 18 261 20 251 25 255 26 264 21 266 72194 68959 21 270 20 260 22 251 23 255 24 265 68959 65970 22 272 22 267 22 250 19 255 21 268 65970 63191 23 265 20 269 19 252 18 265 17 271 63191 60494 24 260 15 274 14 255 20 275 16 274 60494 57676 25 266 14 283 13 263 23 279 20 285 57676 54750 28 263 18 284 16 282 24 274 25 284 54750 51957 33 258 25 278 22 287 27 272 27 288 51957 49441 38 253 31 268 31 281 29 277 32 289 49441 47182 42 248 40 258 38 274 34 275 34 285 47182 45137 41 246 46 250 44 264 38 272 33 283 45137 43265 43 254 52 247 53 257 42 270 34 284 43265 41533 51 257 62 244 60 250 48 265 37 280 41533 39918 62 256 70 242 68 243 58 257 40 275 39918 38406 73 252 79 241 79 239 69 250 44 269 38406 36982 81 247 87 240 88 238 82 244 48 261 36982 35611 85 244 91 238 96 237 91 240 54 253 35611 34223 85 243 93 237 103 238 96 238 61 247 34223 32788 84 247 91 238 101 238 94 238 67 243 32788 31310 95 251 86 239 89 237 85 238 69 241 31310 29777 94 250 80 241 78 237 75 236 69 239 29777 28182 81 249 75 242 71 236 72 233 64 233 28182 26527 67 244 66 242 66 235 71 229 60 228 26527 24808 57 242 56 238 59 232 65 226 58 227 24808 23026 51 237 51 234 53 228 57 225 55 225 23026 21180 47 232 47 232 50 226 49 224 48 224 21180 19263 42 233 42 232 47 224 43 221 39 223 19263 17264 35 232 34 233 41 224 38 218 32 224 17264 15225 27 226 27 226 34 221 34 217 29 224 15225 13256 22 220 24 220 28 215 31 218 27 221 13256 11463 19 213 22 218 24 216 29 220 25 223 11463 9866 18 211 19 217 22 220 27 224 21 224 9866 8447 15 211 17 210 20 220 23 229 16 222 8447 7187 10 200 16 202 17 212 17 225 14 215 7187 6067 7 178 14 200 14 215 13 208 15 214 6067 5076 4 175 12 207 13 219 12 208 13 221 5076 4204 2 229 11 222 11*231 11 219 12 241 4204 3436 5 262 11 237 9*250 9*245 12 263 3436 2749 8 275 9*245 9 257 9*272 12 289 2749 2143 10 281 8*244 10 261 10 276 12 305 2143 1638 10 282 7 240 10 261 10 277 13 308 1638 1250 7 273 7 239 9 262 10 278 12 306 1250 983 5 232 6 238 9 262 9 279 11 303 983 821 5*203 6 238 9 262 8 279 7 298 821 728 3*181 5 238 7 263 7 280 4*291 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography