DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 70.1 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 147 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2452 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1993 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1788 - - 3165 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1675 - - 2340 - - - - - 651 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 305 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 111 - - 21 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 256 - - - - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4521 - - -4127 - - - - - -1757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6309 - - 7292 - - - - - 2486 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11726 - - -10400 - - - - - -6463 ODpotential blCL - - - 13514 - - 13565 - - - - - 7192 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 75 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 70.1 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 40.8 - - - - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 69.0 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 39.5 - - - - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 147 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2452 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97116 54 276 61 274 56 283 97116 89848 47 279 49 279 46 280 89848 84245 36 283 36 278 35 277 84245 79572 25 278 31 273 26 284 79572 75544 17 272 26 263 21 288 75544 71987 14 275 17 264 18 278 71987 68771 15 270 14 274 17 278 68771 65820 17 283 15 278 17 273 65820 63091 18 296 16 291 15 268 63091 60445 20 301 22 288 17 281 60445 57676 20 287 25 277 27 275 57676 54797 21 284 27 278 32 270 54797 52034 26 295 33 282 46 274 52034 49525 31 296 39 275 53 270 49525 47267 36 296 41 275 51 267 47267 45224 37 295 43 279 44 267 45224 43366 35 295 40 278 41 267 43366 41669 33 295 36 272 36 258 41669 40114 30 289 30 270 32 257 40114 38682 24 284 31 270 36 249 38682 37346 21 286 34 271 33 240 37346 36049 22 292 34 270 35 237 36049 34721 25 285 32 266 34 238 34721 33336 28 278 29 264 32 242 33336 31897 27 278 26 260 31 239 31897 30389 25 277 25 256 33 231 30389 28800 22 276 25 249 30 229 28800 27131 22 269 19 250 26 229 27131 25384 22 270 17 241 24 228 25384 23566 20 267 17 229 28 216 23566 21677 19 267 14 223 26 210 21677 19707 13 268 13 216 22 212 19707 17653 11 249 14 214 19 210 17653 15555 6 235 12 217 15 203 15555 13530 5 214 9 213 12 187 13530 11686 4 213 7 206 13 197 11686 10051 4 195 8 208 17 202 10051 8602 5 179 11 204 22 186 8602 7316 5 179 14 192 20 174 7316 6176 6 177 15 179 13 160 6176 5165 7 176 12 178 9 158 5165 4275 8 174 8 185 6 156 4275 3489 7 173 4*194 4 160 3489 2786 6 169 3*211 2 211 2786 2165 3*154 2 252 5 266 2165 1649 1*103 3 263 8 284 1649 1256 0 016 3 267 10 287 1256 986 0 340 3 267 9 285 986 822 1 323 3 267 7*283 822 729 1 314 3 266 4*280 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography