DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.2 - - 71.6 - - 81.4 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 273 - - 404 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 674 - - 1137 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 886 - - 1325 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 852 - - 1387 - - 1850 - - - - - 1020 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 306 - - 343 - - 369 - - - - - 364 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 232 - - 314 - - - - - 70 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 244 - - 262 - - - - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1254 - - -3394 - - -6073 - - - - - -1769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2107 - - 4781 - - 7923 - - - - - 2789 sfcLCL ODpotential -16073 - - -15453 - - -16948 - - - - - -15685 ODpotential blCL 16925 - - 16840 - - 18798 - - - - - 16705 blCL maxRH 77 - - 59 - - 38 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.2 - - 71.6 - - 81.4 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 50.0 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 69.8 - - 79.1 - - - - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.1 - - 52.9 - - 49.3 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 273 - - 404 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 674 - - 1137 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99594 49 098 49 116 40 116 35 101 99594 92116 40 109 38 111 36 112 33 101 92116 86313 34 111 30 099 34 108 32 103 86313 81492 29 114 25 104 30 103 30 104 81492 77365 25 121 26 114 25 109 27 106 77365 73728 22 119 27 119 24 112 25 109 73728 70435 22 124 23 127 17 119 21 104 70435 67422 22 115 20 137 17 146 14 095 67422 64646 16 109 18 140 19 146 11 145 64646 61972 5 131 19 133 19 150 10 164 61972 59208 11 184 11 158 17 173 7 229 59208 56378 12 192 14 207 16 200 18 222 56378 53696 11 227 19 223 20 232 25 231 53696 51291 22 237 24 222 24 233 28 240 51291 49136 28 225 28 225 31 229 31 251 49136 47170 29 216 29 223 33 227 35 257 47170 45355 25 211 29 214 33 224 38 251 45355 43665 17 217 25 203 30 215 37 247 43665 42078 14 267 18 202 27 207 34 244 42078 40582 17 264 13 226 24 204 34 238 40582 39165 22 254 15 242 22 207 33 229 39165 37790 25 246 19 239 24 209 32 222 37790 36393 27 246 23 232 28 213 33 215 36393 34945 27 251 24 237 28 219 33 204 34945 33442 23 263 20 252 18 223 31 197 33442 31867 23 273 16 263 14 224 25 197 31867 30207 25 278 17 267 13 236 23 192 30207 28463 24 282 18 267 14 246 19 192 28463 26633 22 280 19 266 14 251 17 190 26633 24721 23 278 20 268 14 259 14 193 24721 22728 24 279 19 271 13 257 13 201 22728 20647 19 278 17 267 13 245 14 196 20647 18474 16 268 15 250 14 235 14 198 18474 16260 15 252 15 240 15 231 10 205 16260 14130 16 248 15 237 16 237 8 233 14130 12194 14 251 15 238 17 242 8 258 12194 10473 11 254 13 240 15 244 8 268 10473 8945 9 255 13 242 13 244 7 270 8945 7587 9 261 12 246 12 247 6 277 7587 6384 7 275 10 251 11 251 7 291 6384 5321 7 299 7 254 8 254 8 297 5321 4387 9 314 6 270 7 263 9 295 4387 3565 10 318 7 283 8 275 12 288 3565 2835 10 311 8 283 10 273 14 283 2835 2194 10 291 9 262 11*266 15 279 2194 1664 10 264 9*247 11*263 14 266 1664 1264 11 243 9*244 11 262 13*252 1264 990 10*235 9 244 11 262 12*249 990 824 8*232 8 244 10 262 10 249 824 729 5 232 7 244 9 261 7 249 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography