DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 73.3 - - 70.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 293 - - 127 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 1702 - - 1183 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1270 - - 1651 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2068 - - 2415 - - 1896 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 477 - - 710 - - 708 - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 322 - - 216 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 274 - - 276 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -57 - - -2782 - - -3480 - - -1182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2125 - - 5197 - - 5376 - - 1911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5620 - - -7525 - - -9409 - - -9970 ODpotential blCL - - - 7688 - - 9940 - - 11305 - - 10699 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 62 - - 55 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 73.3 - - 70.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 53.1 - - 49.4 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 71.4 - - 69.3 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 52.7 - - 49.1 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 293 - - 127 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 1702 - - 1183 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98399 11 139 11 130 10 148 8 268 98399 91047 5 141 8 126 4 099 7 090 91047 85395 1 114 3 107 5 082 9 086 85395 80694 6 066 2 106 4 063 4 106 80694 76637 7 045 6 099 3 101 1 274 76637 73054 5 081 7 354 7 055 4 048 73054 69809 2 097 2 283 5 009 3 002 69809 66815 6 188 9 258 6 308 5 326 66815 64024 4 132 11 228 6 285 3 339 64024 61295 11 290 11 259 16 271 12 282 61295 58450 17 273 13 254 16 271 20 272 58450 55522 23 266 20 268 20 277 19 275 55522 52750 24 273 22 269 21 287 20 299 52750 50279 29 288 24 286 24 291 22 298 50279 48078 26 291 28 301 24 298 23 292 48078 46086 25 291 25 302 21 304 21 285 46086 44261 28 303 23 302 22 307 20 283 44261 42572 36 298 28 303 27 304 23 289 42572 40997 38 287 32 287 31 297 26 291 40997 39519 36 273 36 272 33 286 29 288 39519 38125 37 270 39 269 39 278 29 282 38125 36776 38 273 39 271 44 274 34 279 36776 35407 39 275 39 271 43 274 41 277 35407 33987 38 274 37 269 38 274 41 276 33987 32516 37 272 33 267 33 275 36 269 32516 30979 36 272 30 269 31 272 31 269 30979 29362 33 271 29 267 30 267 29 273 29362 27665 30 265 31 258 29 266 30 272 27665 25885 31 261 33 264 28 271 27 271 25885 24027 34 269 31 276 26 279 22 273 24027 22090 33 275 30 286 25 286 18 274 22090 20069 30 265 27 280 21 287 17 269 20069 17957 32 256 28 267 23 270 19 263 17957 15802 30 254 28 260 24 267 20 266 15802 13729 28 247 26 254 23 256 20 258 13729 11849 26 245 23 251 22 248 21 251 11849 10181 21 248 19 252 20 247 20 246 10181 8702 17 256 15 253 15 245 17 241 8702 7390 14 262 11 252 12 246 13 235 7390 6227 12 258 8 255 10 249 11 233 6227 5198 10 263 7 271 10 260 9 244 5198 4294 9 277 8 290 11 274 9 260 4294 3500 10 290 10 295 13 286 12 278 3500 2792 12 292 11*288 15 291 14 292 2792 2170 12*284 11*279 15*287 16 302 2170 1653 11*275 11 275 14*280 14 294 1653 1258 11 272 11 273 13 277 11 269 1258 987 10 270 11 272 13 275 9 244 987 823 10 269 10 271 12 274 7*233 823 729 8 268 9 271 9 273 4*226 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography