DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 70.6 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 3 - - 37 - - -4 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 303 - - 757 - - 530 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1016 - - 1471 - - 1244 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 172 - - 587 - - 917 - - 1098 - - 374 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 69 - - 144 - - 73 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 052 - - 051 - - 053 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1881 - - -2048 - - -1909 - - -1615 - - -731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2610 - - 3064 - - 3380 - - 2860 - - 1461 sfcLCL ODpotential -10356 - - -6358 - - -5371 - - -5332 - - -6687 ODpotential blCL 11085 - - 7374 - - 6842 - - 6576 - - 7417 blCL maxRH 54 - - 66 - - 77 - - 65 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 70.6 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.1 - - 55.8 - - 58.9 - - 60.5 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 66.5 - - 70.6 - - 70.9 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.9 - - 54.5 - - 57.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 3 - - 37 - - -4 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 303 - - 757 - - 530 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96705 8 071 15 082 9 125 11 052 9 061 96705 89552 6 097 8 074 8 070 4 042 7 028 89552 83996 6 076 5 039 7 357 8 013 15 035 83996 79384 11 021 7 030 10 351 12 010 16 356 79384 75436 13 357 14 352 16 341 18 345 16 347 75436 71971 23 348 22 350 26 343 19 331 17 322 71971 68849 30 329 25 324 27 324 23 337 21 315 68849 65984 31 294 27 325 30 310 34 321 36 313 65984 63338 24 292 36 316 37 300 36 300 36 302 63338 60764 31 303 41 301 40 298 44 295 37 292 60764 58039 51 291 47 293 49 293 58 288 46 289 58039 55178 61 286 55 283 64 281 68 278 56 288 55178 52436 64 285 59 280 68 276 67 275 68 283 52436 49975 69 277 60 279 63 272 71 277 77 276 49975 47783 70 273 64 280 62 272 73 275 70 267 47783 45794 74 271 74 275 66 273 70 274 62 264 45794 43964 79 267 78 269 70 273 72 269 67 263 43964 42276 79 263 77 264 75 268 74 261 74 259 42276 40721 77 264 75 263 74 262 73 256 78 257 40721 39280 76 270 73 264 72 260 71 259 76 260 39280 37927 74 271 69 264 68 259 71 262 72 262 37927 36613 68 268 67 263 65 260 68 262 65 257 36613 35270 66 265 66 262 63 261 65 260 59 252 35270 33868 65 263 67 262 62 260 63 258 58 252 33868 32411 64 263 66 262 63 259 60 258 56 255 32411 30885 62 265 64 264 61 263 58 258 53 259 30885 29279 61 270 58 266 57 267 55 260 53 259 29279 27593 56 274 53 268 52 265 54 262 53 257 27593 25824 54 271 50 268 47 260 57 263 53 258 25824 23975 50 267 41 265 39 259 56 263 50 264 23975 22053 41 268 35 268 33 266 39 267 37 265 22053 20049 34 276 32 277 28 266 30 275 27 271 20049 17956 31 275 34 282 30 268 24 276 24 271 17956 15820 27 278 34 280 30 269 19 281 19 270 15820 13764 21 284 27 284 33 289 19 298 15 267 13764 11893 18 292 20 284 26 297 18 304 17 293 11893 10231 13 316 17 278 17 287 18 300 17 314 10231 8753 11 339 13 296 14 283 18 313 14 340 8753 7440 9 351 11 333 10 305 17 320 14 003 7440 6274 10 358 11 351 8 333 14 322 12 012 6274 5244 11 004 12 004 10 360 10 336 10 009 5244 4336 14 007 15 011 14 011 9 001 9 002 4336 3536 16 007 16 014 16 014 9 016 10 009 3536 2821 16 011 15 016 15 020 9 029 12 022 2821 2191 15 020 14 026 13 032 8 040 14 030 2191 1667 15 033 13 040 11*044 7 051 14 037 1667 1266 15 043 11*048 10*050 6*052 14 045 1266 991 12 052 8*051 9 051 5*053 13 048 991 825 7*060 6 053 8 052 5 053 9*049 825 730 4*072 5 053 6 053 4 053 5*052 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography