DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 123 - - 24 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3479 - - 3192 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 2601 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1492 - - 4191 - - 3904 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3287 - - 1940 - - 2551 - - 4064 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 317 - - 195 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - 9 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 147 - - 259 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1506 - - 32 - - -367 - - -926 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2998 - - 4160 - - 4271 - - 1654 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2875 - - -1655 - - -2477 - - -2181 ODpotential blCL - - - 4367 - - 5846 - - 6381 - - 2909 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 77 - - 72 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 34.4 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 49.5 - - 50.2 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 33.7 - - 33.1 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 123 - - 24 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3479 - - 3192 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96662 25 126 20 098 27 090 33 117 96662 89506 26 116 18 114 18 109 25 096 89506 83949 19 107 17 116 16 130 12 109 83949 79296 11 116 8 107 8 133 11 107 79296 75253 4 102 5 135 5 169 7 012 75253 71685 4 171 2 266 5 186 3 291 71685 68447 3 120 7 257 4 242 6 247 68447 65451 12 338 11 288 6 295 9 261 65451 62669 24 301 17 306 15 318 10 293 62669 59972 22 287 22 295 23 308 17 287 59972 57152 23 309 26 297 31 300 21 295 57152 54227 33 304 34 302 39 294 32 298 54227 51435 39 302 43 305 43 295 35 295 51435 48913 45 300 47 299 47 295 46 295 48913 46647 49 300 48 298 50 294 54 290 46647 44593 51 296 49 297 51 293 56 287 44593 42717 51 298 53 299 51 297 56 293 42717 40987 55 299 56 298 56 300 63 296 40987 39383 56 296 57 299 59 302 68 298 39383 37894 60 294 61 300 64 304 75 300 37894 36507 66 289 66 300 72 302 75 300 36507 35181 63 287 63 297 72 299 77 308 35181 33843 53 286 53 296 69 304 87 314 33843 32461 40 282 42 296 67 305 91 313 32461 31035 32 281 36 302 59 304 86 313 31035 29554 30 282 33 303 45 301 79 314 29554 28001 28 285 23 299 35 306 70 315 28001 26379 26 281 21 294 34 302 57 313 26379 24686 23 275 21 284 28 289 43 306 24686 22919 19 280 18 280 22 288 39 302 22919 21076 20 285 12 282 18 284 37 305 21076 19152 23 291 11 280 14 266 38 308 19152 17142 19 319 12 282 11 226 37 306 17142 15088 18 330 11 292 11 226 31 311 15088 13111 15 331 10 302 11 252 23 305 13111 11320 11 323 9 311 10 281 17 285 11320 9731 8 317 6 311 8 279 15 275 9731 8322 6 315 3 309 6 259 11 283 8322 7074 4 318 1 222 5 255 9 285 7074 5973 2 341 3 169 4 259 6 248 5973 5002 2 001 4*146 3 257 6 200 5002 4148 3 349 4*144 3*256 6 184 4148 3394 3 325 3 143 3*255 4 177 3394 2719 2 297 3 145 4 258 3 155 2719 2122 2 212 3 147 4 258 3 131 2122 1624 3*185 2 149 4 260 3 116 1624 1242 3*183 2 157 4 260 3 106 1242 979 3 184 2 160 4 259 2 096 979 819 2 186 2 162 4 261 1*077 819 728 2 185 2 163 3 260 1*042 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography