DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 72.6 - - 83.5 - - 83.6 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 181 - - 276 - - 95 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 770 - - 1919 - - 1165 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 714 - - 1796 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1483 - - 2634 - - 1879 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 566 - - 1131 - - 1901 - - 364 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 212 - - 330 - - 196 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 14 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 276 - - 295 - - 289 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -70 - - -3390 - - -5896 - - -6472 - - -2563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 799 - - 4873 - - 8530 - - 8352 - - 3292 sfcLCL ODpotential -11471 - - -10320 - - -11574 - - -11892 - - -11311 ODpotential blCL 12200 - - 11803 - - 14208 - - 13771 - - 12040 blCL maxRH 83 - - 57 - - 35 - - 34 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 72.6 - - 83.5 - - 83.6 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.9 - - 49.7 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 71.4 - - 81.7 - - 82.7 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 53.5 - - 48.2 - - 49.3 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 181 - - 276 - - 95 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 770 - - 1919 - - 1165 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98393 13 227 11 245 11 192 9 229 9 254 98393 90982 2 019 4 257 3 213 5 222 6 275 90982 85294 12 072 3 065 2 101 1 054 1 171 85294 80588 13 087 8 113 2 358 5 088 6 088 80588 76534 6 088 11 104 3 111 3 073 6 067 76534 72949 9 111 9 103 2 155 4 359 4 048 72949 69707 1 204 4 098 8 142 3 221 2 174 69707 66718 10 231 7 249 2 280 3 186 5 157 66718 63930 8 223 12 218 14 252 11 267 2 303 63930 61216 9 236 14 215 19 242 19 259 14 289 61216 58384 18 257 18 250 20 249 23 252 22 265 58384 55448 22 252 22 259 22 260 24 254 24 254 55448 52647 23 260 23 260 27 262 29 260 27 257 52647 50141 24 267 22 256 29 259 30 268 28 261 50141 47919 26 273 21 259 28 256 30 266 23 271 47919 45928 25 259 23 258 25 252 28 265 25 291 45928 44130 17 262 20 273 19 255 23 259 25 289 44130 42489 16 288 22 299 17 290 15 268 17 270 42489 40969 22 317 22 309 20 298 14 282 10 265 40969 39537 26 323 21 311 19 283 19 275 13 270 39537 38178 23 323 21 312 14 275 19 261 20 255 38178 36858 19 325 20 311 11 277 17 249 21 247 36858 35509 16 332 17 310 10 272 12 232 19 236 35509 34104 13 341 13 306 11 257 11 222 18 231 34104 32645 12 353 14 290 14 249 15 235 19 235 32645 31118 13 333 14 279 15 253 17 240 21 234 31118 29510 15 316 13 273 16 255 19 244 21 234 29510 27820 16 307 12 269 17 257 22 247 22 236 27820 26047 12 312 10 268 14 248 20 253 21 241 26047 24194 9 314 7 278 13 239 13 247 16 234 24194 22261 10 307 8 287 11 245 11 240 14 220 22261 20244 14 312 11 299 10 267 10 250 10 222 20244 18138 13 318 10 312 7 289 7 266 6 200 18138 15987 11 322 5 322 4 255 6 258 6 203 15987 13911 8 288 7 262 8 255 8 275 4 246 13911 12019 8 253 8 246 8 251 8 274 2 244 12019 10336 6 250 6 228 7 229 6 246 4 209 10336 8842 4 248 6 217 7 219 7 227 6 213 8842 7516 3 238 5 211 6 219 7 215 7 211 7516 6339 3 229 5 201 6 212 7 204 7 204 6339 5297 3 228 5 192 6 200 7 193 8 195 5297 4379 3 242 4 180 5 193 6 184 8 189 4379 3569 2 258 4 169 3 183 2 138 5 176 3569 2845 2 282 3 170 1*322 1 075 2 143 2845 2206 2 277 1 189 3*315 1*006 1 358 2206 1675 3 268 2*284 4 299 3*300 5 309 1675 1270 5 261 2*281 4 293 4 289 8 301 1270 993 5 255 3 277 4 288 4 287 8 294 993 825 3*244 3 274 4 287 4 285 7 289 825 729 1*199 3 273 4 285 4 284 3*278 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography