DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 80.7 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 199 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 661 - - 1653 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1491 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1374 - - 2367 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 753 - - 1094 - - - - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 281 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 060 - - - - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6368 - - -8205 - - - - - -6811 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7742 - - 10573 - - - - - 7541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16093 - - -16814 - - - - - -17424 ODpotential blCL - - - 17467 - - 19181 - - - - - 18154 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 23 - - - - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 80.7 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 37.5 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 79.2 - - - - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 36.7 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 199 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 661 - - 1653 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97734 9 299 7 279 15 287 97734 90437 4 241 8 264 8 336 90437 84834 3 237 6 258 6 008 84834 80192 3 205 5 250 8 028 80192 76199 6 129 4 193 8 024 76199 72676 7 095 9 161 1 285 72676 69496 4 124 9 152 3 241 69496 66581 4 165 5 158 4 285 66581 63892 2 009 1 171 6 256 63892 61300 10 344 5 011 10 217 61300 58590 16 328 14 338 9 350 58590 55788 21 327 21 327 23 325 55788 53138 25 346 21 344 19 348 53138 50745 34 345 31 349 32 002 50745 48575 42 342 40 345 42 353 48575 46588 48 343 47 346 46 351 46588 44753 55 345 53 348 48 353 44753 43048 62 348 59 352 49 358 43048 41452 64 350 61 354 50 004 41452 39952 64 354 59 360 50 002 39952 38537 64 002 59 007 48 009 38537 37166 61 009 54 012 46 020 37166 35780 54 020 48 023 45 032 35780 34356 56 027 44 035 43 040 34356 32888 56 025 47 056 41 056 32888 31351 51 031 51 071 43 070 31351 29731 50 046 53 076 44 074 29731 28027 48 054 52 078 42 074 28027 26240 40 053 47 077 43 075 26240 24370 34 054 42 072 45 077 24370 22417 34 057 35 066 44 084 22417 20377 35 061 29 064 36 091 20377 18246 29 068 29 073 25 083 18246 16072 22 060 26 083 23 073 16072 13976 19 050 21 084 21 086 13976 12069 15 055 17 083 20 107 12069 10376 13 075 17 090 19 115 10376 8874 13 089 15 098 18 111 8874 7539 12 092 11 103 16 101 7539 6354 11 096 7 114 15 086 6354 5305 9 106 6 137 14 074 5305 4384 8 114 6 151 13 062 4384 3573 8 120 4 151 15 048 3573 2850 8 113 2*102 15 040 2850 2211 10 100 4*060 11 033 2211 1680 9*086 5 059 7 016 1680 1273 8*076 5 059 6 350 1273 995 8 074 5 061 5 336 995 826 7 072 5 061 4*329 826 730 5 073 4 062 3*326 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography