DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 75.1 - - 68.8 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 304 - - 140 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 2435 - - 1017 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1065 - - 2199 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1755 - - 3148 - - 1730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 520 - - 1955 - - 468 - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 368 - - 212 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 315 - - 289 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2368 - - -4472 - - -3249 - - -577 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4123 - - 7620 - - 4979 - - 1306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6473 - - -7874 - - -8297 - - -7987 ODpotential blCL - - - 8228 - - 11022 - - 10027 - - 8716 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 49 - - 57 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 75.1 - - 68.8 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 44.2 - - 49.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 73.1 - - 67.7 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 43.6 - - 49.5 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 304 - - 140 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 2435 - - 1017 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98238 6 071 6 184 8 210 8 232 98238 90867 8 090 3 147 7 150 4 192 90867 85187 1 048 5 012 5 090 2 045 85187 80485 7 104 5 359 9 039 7 048 80485 76450 12 093 2 160 8 001 8 053 76450 72892 3 086 6 078 4 093 3 053 72892 69669 10 176 4 260 4 321 4 014 69669 66706 5 168 6 242 6 276 6 281 66706 63957 10 242 12 252 13 275 8 271 63957 61292 13 235 13 236 18 281 11 275 61292 58512 13 278 12 260 21 268 17 284 58512 55628 22 286 16 273 21 276 22 287 55628 52871 26 280 24 288 25 290 26 307 52871 50372 28 281 31 295 32 302 34 308 50372 48117 32 294 37 298 37 303 42 307 48117 46063 38 296 39 299 37 301 46 311 46063 44178 38 293 38 308 33 315 43 325 44178 42444 35 296 37 314 37 331 46 328 42444 40839 36 312 36 327 42 337 35 351 40839 39343 35 326 44 343 45 348 56 019 39343 37944 24 344 48 346 62 009 71 017 37944 36601 47 356 47 349 72 014 77 021 36601 35245 56 353 48 007 64 015 83 023 35245 33841 62 007 63 025 63 022 84 023 33841 32383 79 019 71 022 70 025 82 026 32383 30855 88 019 70 015 72 025 81 029 30855 29245 87 016 72 010 69 019 76 032 29245 27556 82 013 74 004 65 014 65 026 27556 25787 76 013 67 009 62 013 59 018 25787 23941 69 011 59 013 59 011 53 014 23941 22018 66 010 55 010 53 010 50 012 22018 20010 66 014 54 010 51 013 49 015 20010 17910 55 014 52 014 46 019 47 023 17910 15764 35 009 43 016 40 020 40 024 15764 13699 23 004 30 017 28 024 30 024 13699 11831 20 000 23 020 18 037 19 036 11831 10179 18 360 19 025 15 055 13 056 10179 8712 17 359 16 026 14 059 11 064 8712 7406 16 358 17 024 13 046 11 051 7406 6245 13 358 19 016 13 031 11 033 6245 5217 11 005 18 009 15 018 15 020 5217 4312 11 016 15 003 16 007 18 009 4312 3513 11 026 11*352 15 353 18 351 3513 2800 9 025 9*336 15 326 19 331 2800 2172 6*003 8 318 15*305 19 320 2172 1653 5*282 8 313 13*292 15 310 1653 1257 5 275 8 307 13 289 11 280 1257 987 5 271 8 304 12 287 9 256 987 823 5 270 8 302 12 286 7*248 823 729 4 269 7 301 9 285 4*243 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography