DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 77.5 - - 69.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 337 - - 115 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1045 - - 577 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 897 - - 1222 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1457 - - 1758 - - 1290 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 443 - - 340 - - 280 - - 555 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 288 - - 165 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 280 - - 286 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2294 - - -4354 - - -2930 - - -4211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3752 - - 6112 - - 4220 - - 4941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10668 - - -11375 - - -12030 - - -13713 ODpotential blCL - - - 12125 - - 13133 - - 13320 - - 14443 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 96 - - 80 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 77.5 - - 69.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - 53.4 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 75.5 - - 68.2 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 53.1 - - 53.1 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 337 - - 115 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1045 - - 577 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 83 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99229 31 102 31 113 29 107 29 110 99229 91724 26 110 26 109 29 105 27 088 91724 85948 24 112 21 099 28 108 29 095 85948 81168 20 107 18 095 26 096 32 107 81168 77075 23 106 19 105 21 091 29 098 77075 73467 23 104 20 116 16 091 23 083 73467 70199 23 098 24 115 12 110 16 079 70199 67191 24 093 25 111 18 131 11 092 67191 64415 12 108 21 099 20 116 11 118 64415 61758 11 125 9 093 16 098 14 120 61758 59012 14 186 9 175 8 130 12 127 59012 56179 28 187 25 184 19 192 12 189 56179 53489 30 184 31 193 26 194 20 205 53489 51070 32 194 32 201 27 189 25 195 51070 48900 36 197 34 197 26 192 25 184 48900 46927 38 197 36 195 27 201 22 189 46927 45108 39 192 37 197 29 204 21 205 45108 43412 38 178 38 183 30 197 23 208 43412 41819 36 174 35 175 29 184 27 190 41819 40321 34 176 35 175 29 177 30 181 40321 38904 32 174 35 179 30 178 29 183 38904 37527 31 174 35 178 32 178 28 181 37527 36123 31 184 36 175 32 175 28 180 36123 34663 33 191 36 178 32 178 28 187 34663 33151 35 185 37 183 32 182 27 189 33151 31571 38 182 37 186 31 185 26 188 31571 29909 37 183 33 190 29 190 24 189 29909 28167 33 193 28 196 27 187 23 191 28167 26346 32 205 28 205 25 193 23 184 26346 24447 30 209 27 210 21 196 21 184 24447 22473 32 208 30 214 20 205 20 191 22473 20417 34 200 31 200 23 209 24 193 20417 18276 34 190 33 189 25 205 26 204 18276 16098 32 192 31 191 27 208 24 219 16098 14002 28 207 25 204 25 209 22 225 14002 12091 25 222 21 222 23 212 19 217 12091 10389 24 232 26 241 21 228 16 220 10389 8875 19 236 20 248 17 234 12 227 8875 7532 10 226 12 244 12 215 9 212 7532 6342 8 198 8 222 10 199 10 213 6342 5291 8 190 8 203 10 204 12 242 5291 4370 7 208 8 205 11 221 14 275 4370 3558 7 238 7 219 12 241 17 294 3558 2834 8 242 6 235 13 254 15 296 2834 2197 8 242 6*259 12 265 12 283 2197 1670 7*257 7*279 11*279 10 276 1670 1267 7*264 8 280 9*286 9 272 1267 992 7 265 8 280 9 286 7 272 992 825 6 266 8 280 8 286 6*272 825 730 6 266 7 279 7 285 4*273 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography