DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 57.4 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 102 - - 135 - - 47 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 973 - - 2127 - - 2022 - - 122 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1707 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1685 - - 2840 - - 2734 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 378 - - 789 - - 1071 - - 879 - - 1876 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 280 - - 197 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 265 - - 289 - - 288 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -80 - - -142 - - 529 - - -110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1765 - - 2982 - - 2205 - - 945 sfcLCL ODpotential -6083 - - -4044 - - -4840 - - -3343 - - -457 ODpotential blCL 6811 - - 5729 - - 7680 - - 6077 - - 1292 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 80 - - 88 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 57.4 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 52.3 - - 52.4 - - 53.3 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 56.7 - - 61.8 - - 60.0 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.4 - - 51.4 - - 51.2 - - 52.2 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 102 - - 135 - - 47 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 973 - - 2127 - - 2022 - - 122 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 52 - - 19 - - 52 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96207 9 313 12 275 15 281 15 314 15 322 96207 89122 10 332 8 343 12 299 14 327 9 339 89122 83689 17 333 13 002 13 320 9 335 10 008 83689 79197 12 319 14 347 12 324 12 346 17 004 79197 75341 5 345 9 332 14 308 14 338 14 355 75341 71919 15 323 10 298 17 264 13 295 16 334 71919 68788 17 287 13 290 17 269 17 281 19 297 68788 65888 19 267 20 276 22 265 22 274 23 279 65888 63189 26 268 25 265 29 268 31 268 32 269 63189 60562 34 270 34 268 38 265 40 261 41 261 60562 57800 40 267 43 265 43 265 44 265 43 258 57800 54908 42 269 46 265 46 267 50 268 50 265 54908 52125 49 274 53 270 53 267 56 266 58 265 52125 49610 57 271 58 267 59 262 57 266 58 266 49610 47349 56 272 61 269 57 267 56 269 54 268 47349 45300 56 276 63 271 64 269 53 268 53 269 45300 43434 56 275 60 272 57 271 50 273 48 271 43434 41734 52 277 54 275 48 278 47 276 43 278 41734 40173 47 284 48 275 46 280 43 277 42 280 40173 38724 40 288 39 274 44 273 40 277 41 276 38724 37372 38 296 36 278 35 275 37 271 36 278 37372 36076 36 301 29 287 32 282 30 277 35 287 36076 34761 35 301 28 293 27 286 29 290 35 291 34761 33391 33 301 25 294 22 288 29 293 32 286 33391 31966 30 303 22 296 18 287 24 290 27 288 31966 30471 29 306 21 295 15 291 19 287 27 285 30471 28895 29 310 20 300 13 296 16 284 24 276 28895 27234 29 310 21 311 12 310 13 274 21 268 27234 25489 27 308 21 320 14 315 11 274 19 260 25489 23664 24 311 19 321 17 309 13 281 18 268 23664 21765 21 321 17 317 21 305 18 291 19 285 21765 19786 20 330 16 315 19 306 18 292 19 296 19786 17716 19 335 16 323 17 315 14 294 17 289 17716 15597 18 341 16 329 14 323 13 302 12 290 15597 13549 16 341 11 340 10 331 7 312 7 276 13549 11684 11 342 5 354 6 326 4 275 7 253 11684 10028 8 349 3 019 0 002 4 230 7 230 10028 8565 6 010 2 087 3 149 4 218 7 209 8565 7271 6 041 4 121 5 162 4 228 6 209 7271 6127 7 054 6 120 6 165 4 228 6 211 6127 5119 6 050 6 113 5 159 4 218 5 201 5119 4234 6 000 3 090 3 139 3 245 3 211 4234 3455 9 331 3 005 1*039 3 286 4 293 3455 2761 12 324 6 336 2*321 7*294 10 316 2761 2151 15 325 6*324 3 296 9*291 11 315 2151 1642 15 325 4*289 3 289 9 289 11 308 1642 1253 12 317 4 262 4 284 9 288 10 297 1253 985 7 300 4 258 4 279 9 287 9*289 985 822 4 265 4 257 4 279 8 286 7*285 822 729 2*226 3 257 3 278 7 284 5 281 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography