DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 49.9 - - 55.8 - - 55.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 62 - - 94 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 796 - - 402 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1102 - - 1508 - - 1115 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 268 - - 384 - - 558 - - 814 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 120 - - 175 - - 39 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 057 - - 043 - - 036 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -46 - - -384 - - -584 - - -733 - - -1213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 773 - - 1486 - - 2092 - - 1848 - - 1941 sfcLCL ODpotential -13127 - - -11097 - - -8641 - - -8281 - - -14277 ODpotential blCL 13854 - - 12199 - - 10149 - - 9396 - - 15005 blCL maxRH 93 - - 90 - - 84 - - 79 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 49.9 - - 55.8 - - 55.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 46.2 - - 49.4 - - 49.7 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 49.3 - - 55.1 - - 55.4 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 45.5 - - 48.5 - - 49.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 62 - - 94 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 796 - - 402 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 59 - - 35 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96291 19 105 23 072 15 080 16 088 17 080 96291 89156 18 069 27 070 10 087 14 057 18 060 89156 83646 15 056 17 077 8 067 12 039 15 044 83646 79061 12 045 13 056 16 035 14 035 12 048 79061 75098 9 062 11 032 17 014 18 028 19 024 75098 71589 18 026 10 327 18 349 22 346 27 022 71589 68423 22 332 20 323 28 327 28 330 35 355 68423 65552 30 323 30 325 28 324 28 319 33 333 65552 62909 22 311 29 304 32 312 26 317 32 310 62909 60346 26 323 33 305 34 292 36 310 42 299 60346 57677 41 309 40 316 38 293 45 302 41 287 57677 54909 50 293 52 310 44 309 45 309 38 294 54909 52240 50 293 53 300 53 300 54 295 47 296 52240 49813 51 304 58 299 59 296 59 294 54 294 49813 47633 55 309 61 299 61 300 66 299 63 298 47633 45662 56 310 58 302 63 306 69 300 69 300 45662 43862 61 314 61 312 64 306 69 302 69 302 43862 42201 69 318 69 314 69 308 70 306 66 303 42201 40655 74 317 76 311 74 308 73 311 66 306 40655 39207 75 317 79 312 75 310 75 314 68 309 39207 37842 78 321 81 316 76 312 74 316 69 311 37842 36522 80 323 81 319 76 314 73 316 72 313 36522 35177 76 325 78 320 74 316 71 316 72 313 35177 33778 74 326 77 321 72 318 70 319 71 313 33778 32324 73 325 75 323 68 321 68 320 70 314 32324 30802 69 325 74 325 69 323 66 319 64 314 30802 29202 62 328 72 326 67 324 67 323 61 315 29202 27522 53 332 57 325 57 325 59 327 61 320 27522 25758 47 333 45 324 48 323 48 325 61 327 25758 23911 47 330 47 327 46 323 47 325 54 330 23911 21986 45 324 43 322 46 322 50 326 48 329 21986 19974 45 320 37 323 43 319 48 327 41 331 19974 17874 37 315 37 329 37 320 41 321 38 333 17874 15731 31 314 34 329 34 322 37 323 34 332 15731 13666 30 322 32 328 32 328 30 330 30 337 13666 11790 25 335 29 332 27 333 22 337 23 338 11790 10125 23 350 25 342 23 341 18 350 18 336 10125 8650 24 001 23 354 21 355 18 359 15 340 8650 7341 25 006 21 005 19 005 15 006 11 352 7341 6182 22 010 17 015 16 009 13 015 10 011 6182 5158 19 016 14 019 13 008 11 017 11 017 5158 4258 17 024 12 019 11 003 12 007 11 016 4258 3465 16 028 13 021 10 358 14 358 13 016 3465 2761 14 023 14 017 11 359 13 356 15 014 2761 2143 11 022 12 017 10 009 11 001 15 014 2143 1633 10 046 10 039 8*031 8 019 14 023 1633 1245 13 074 10*054 7*041 7*034 11 048 1245 980 13 077 9*056 7 043 6*035 9 076 980 819 10 074 8 057 6 044 5 036 7*074 819 728 5*072 6 058 5 045 4 038 3*067 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography