DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 62.2 - - 63.3 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 154 - - 5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 2929 - - 2831 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1466 - - 2357 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2393 - - 3641 - - 3543 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 933 - - 1416 - - 1851 - - 2350 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 329 - - 174 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 011 - - 009 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2255 - - -3011 - - -4078 - - -3897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4649 - - 6652 - - 7622 - - 4627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10517 - - -11543 - - -14068 - - -11024 ODpotential blCL - - - 12910 - - 15184 - - 17611 - - 11753 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 45 - - 54 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 62.2 - - 63.3 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 35.7 - - 32.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 61.1 - - 63.4 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 34.4 - - 31.5 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 154 - - 5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 2929 - - 2831 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97338 57 268 66 269 56 277 61 274 97338 89921 60 268 62 274 59 275 57 267 89921 84190 55 266 54 270 54 272 50 269 84190 79457 42 271 41 266 47 264 44 275 79457 75406 27 270 34 266 33 276 30 292 75406 71845 18 274 26 264 25 274 28 290 71845 68613 16 287 19 272 21 271 25 289 68613 65638 20 302 20 292 22 289 24 300 65638 62888 25 298 21 297 20 291 18 287 62888 60211 26 295 23 305 20 308 16 303 60211 57409 26 302 29 306 31 312 28 319 57409 54512 28 308 33 301 36 309 34 317 54512 51751 31 308 31 302 35 308 35 316 51751 49261 34 305 31 303 35 305 36 312 49261 47026 34 308 29 307 34 307 35 311 47026 45000 38 316 33 318 36 317 35 315 45000 43166 47 313 43 320 42 322 36 322 43166 41505 45 302 45 313 46 331 39 335 41505 39982 38 307 45 322 52 341 46 335 39982 38562 47 327 53 336 54 347 49 330 38562 37223 51 329 60 344 55 349 51 327 37223 35924 52 329 61 344 55 349 52 327 35924 34598 51 326 55 339 54 349 50 328 34598 33219 51 323 49 335 53 350 48 328 33219 31789 49 320 47 332 52 347 44 330 31789 30292 47 316 46 330 50 341 43 332 30292 28716 46 314 46 327 49 336 43 334 28716 27058 44 313 46 325 48 332 42 334 27058 25317 44 315 45 326 48 331 42 335 25317 23494 41 315 43 327 47 332 42 337 23494 21593 38 317 42 326 46 333 42 339 21593 19611 39 321 41 326 44 334 42 341 19611 17543 41 327 40 330 41 335 41 342 17543 15435 37 326 38 334 38 337 39 344 15435 13408 33 323 34 335 36 343 35 347 13408 11570 32 326 31 337 32 349 31 353 11570 9943 28 337 27 348 28 357 26 002 9943 8505 22 353 21 004 23 007 23 011 8505 7232 20 007 18 021 19 016 22 015 7232 6103 21 009 20 032 17 019 20 011 6103 5106 21 012 20 028 18 013 22 008 5106 4229 21 022 17*017 19*009 24 009 4229 3456 20 028 16*014 19*009 25 010 3456 2765 20*027 16 012 18 009 25 010 2765 2155 18*027 15 012 18 009 23 011 2155 1646 17 026 15 011 17 009 21 011 1646 1254 16 027 14 010 16 008 18 010 1254 985 15 027 13 009 14 008 13 010 985 822 13 026 12 009 12 008 9*011 822 729 9 026 9 008 9 007 4*013 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography