DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 65.0 - - 63.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 268 - - 155 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 1307 - - 1145 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1115 - - 1361 - - 1017 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1773 - - 2020 - - 1858 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 422 - - 460 - - 515 - - 1097 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 292 - - 233 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 271 - - 277 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 209 - - -286 - - -319 - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1564 - - 2306 - - 2177 - - 1206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 296 - - -6755 - - -7978 - - -9947 ODpotential blCL - - - 1477 - - 8775 - - 9836 - - 10676 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 89 - - 89 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 65.0 - - 63.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 57.4 - - 56.0 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 63.3 - - 62.1 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 56.2 - - 55.1 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 268 - - 155 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 1307 - - 1145 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 55 - - 57 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97966 21 245 28 269 15 299 16 307 97966 90492 12 274 12 247 17 255 18 283 90492 84746 12 269 13 273 16 274 12 294 84746 79998 14 260 18 284 15 302 12 323 79998 75924 11 255 15 285 16 312 15 326 75924 72346 6 271 11 275 18 295 20 314 72346 69115 12 321 11 290 18 289 19 311 69115 66141 19 315 15 309 16 306 16 316 66141 63378 18 307 18 311 19 318 17 319 63378 60698 18 308 16 311 20 314 19 312 60698 57905 16 303 15 309 18 305 20 306 57905 55018 14 304 16 297 17 293 19 316 55018 52273 16 310 18 297 17 302 20 314 52273 49817 20 308 20 307 18 312 19 312 49817 47633 20 311 18 312 19 307 20 317 47633 45670 21 317 16 309 18 299 22 316 45670 43886 23 317 16 309 14 284 20 312 43886 42247 20 328 14 314 12 269 14 281 42247 40726 19 335 12 326 9 268 10 256 40726 39296 18 336 12 325 8 278 8 256 39296 37944 18 336 12 328 10 280 9 265 37944 36629 17 341 10 339 11 282 10 268 36629 35286 13 350 8 350 11 290 9 270 35286 33887 7 001 5 346 10 300 8 257 33887 32434 3 002 4 321 10 303 7 251 32434 30913 2 163 5 272 10 309 5 246 30913 29310 5 141 5 234 8 313 4 238 29310 27625 2 116 3 213 5 299 5 241 27625 25857 3 052 2 197 5 279 6 256 25857 24007 4 019 2 274 6 281 7 275 24007 22082 5 002 3 301 7 288 8 283 22082 20075 6 329 4 302 6 288 7 282 20075 17979 7 293 7 279 7 274 7 269 17979 15836 7 276 10 266 10 264 10 270 15836 13768 8 250 12 257 12 265 13 271 13768 11887 10 232 14 250 14 267 14 280 11887 10215 10 232 13 247 13 262 13 284 10215 8730 9 250 12 254 12 259 11 274 8730 7412 10 269 12 266 12 264 11 263 7412 6242 6 275 9 270 10 265 10 258 6242 5207 5 254 6 256 8 254 11 255 5207 4295 5 241 6 236 8 233 11 247 4295 3494 6 234 7 229 9 237 11 250 3494 2782 7 261 9 256 12 266 13 274 2782 2160 9*269 10*270 14*277 17 287 2160 1646 9*267 10*272 14*278 16 285 1646 1254 9 265 10 271 14 277 14 279 1254 985 8 265 10 271 13 277 12 277 985 822 8 265 9 271 12 276 10*275 822 729 6 265 8 270 10 276 7*273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography