DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 77.1 - - 74.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 398 - - 261 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 753 - - 1133 - - 977 - - 310 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 942 - - 1320 - - 1104 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1467 - - 1847 - - 1690 - - 1023 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 424 - - 445 - - 297 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 312 - - 258 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - 277 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1662 - - -2856 - - -2531 - - -894 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3130 - - 4703 - - 4221 - - 1917 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10803 - - -10143 - - -10292 - - -11169 ODpotential blCL - - - 12270 - - 11990 - - 11982 - - 12192 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 76 - - 68 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 77.1 - - 74.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.5 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 74.7 - - 72.7 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 58.8 - - 58.2 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 398 - - 261 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 753 - - 1133 - - 977 - - 310 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 4 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99310 26 124 24 107 23 098 27 099 99310 91852 26 109 26 103 23 116 19 090 91852 86088 28 102 23 108 23 110 17 089 86088 81290 19 090 19 100 17 087 21 101 81290 77151 16 088 16 094 14 088 16 095 77151 73501 18 090 15 105 13 085 13 098 73501 70205 11 094 12 097 8 103 10 078 70205 67184 5 117 5 089 7 090 6 072 67184 64393 7 121 2 263 2 054 8 055 64393 61695 2 126 7 209 3 320 6 020 61695 58899 2 247 8 207 5 254 5 301 58899 56018 9 240 9 211 9 224 8 240 56018 53278 14 209 16 215 14 225 14 229 53278 50815 14 219 20 205 22 213 22 225 50815 48611 19 228 21 200 24 212 24 217 48611 46610 22 222 23 215 27 215 29 216 46610 44765 26 213 28 218 31 212 31 215 44765 43051 28 211 32 215 32 212 31 220 43051 41453 32 212 35 215 34 221 30 230 41453 39958 36 212 37 215 33 226 28 234 39958 38553 37 211 37 213 31 222 32 239 38553 37201 33 210 32 211 30 221 39 240 37201 35829 28 213 27 216 29 223 39 238 35829 34399 25 214 23 220 28 230 35 240 34399 32914 21 216 19 221 24 238 23 246 32914 31361 18 221 19 220 22 237 18 242 31361 29727 16 222 18 215 18 235 17 237 29727 28014 15 218 16 210 15 227 14 232 28014 26224 16 219 14 214 14 220 12 226 26224 24358 14 218 13 221 13 221 9 227 24358 22416 10 217 10 222 10 224 8 229 22416 20388 11 215 8 224 6 208 7 207 20388 18271 12 205 8 210 7 200 7 188 18271 16110 11 212 10 206 10 192 8 186 16110 14022 12 229 12 225 11 207 8 199 14022 12116 12 230 13 231 13 224 10 219 12116 10415 11 228 12 233 15 232 13 232 10415 8900 10 218 12 231 15 230 15 233 8900 7554 10 204 11 229 13 231 12 232 7554 6360 10 202 11 231 12 237 9 235 6360 5305 10 212 11 236 12 241 9 239 5305 4377 12 214 12 228 13 235 10 232 4377 3558 15 204 16 211 15 222 13 219 3558 2827 17 204 16 211 15 219 17 211 2827 2188 15 212 14*223 14*232 16 221 2188 1661 10*233 10*259 11*270 13 247 1661 1262 8*262 10 267 12 278 11*272 1262 989 7 265 10 269 11 279 10*276 989 824 7 266 10 269 11 279 9 277 824 730 6 266 8 269 9 279 7 278 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography