DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 58.4 - - 56.2 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 47 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 331 - - 940 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1044 - - 1652 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1644 - - 1560 - - 1553 - - 1345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 54 - - 148 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 215 - - 216 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 28 - - 475 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1016 - - 1178 - - 729 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -412 - - 181 - - -269 - - -452 ODpotential blCL - - - 1456 - - 1471 - - 998 - - 1181 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 58.4 - - 56.2 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 55.8 - - 55.8 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 58.1 - - 56.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 55.3 - - 55.9 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 47 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 331 - - 940 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96356 14 111 4 298 9 045 10 082 96356 89290 6 024 7 302 7 025 12 027 89290 83788 7 341 8 001 7 030 4 350 83788 79220 3 334 4 035 4 327 8 318 79220 75286 15 335 10 332 10 333 9 299 75286 71803 18 352 15 324 22 336 17 331 71803 68664 33 332 32 329 28 335 26 345 68664 65783 36 317 35 314 35 318 29 334 65783 63089 31 306 32 306 34 305 37 304 63089 60489 30 305 33 303 41 304 42 295 60489 57781 34 302 38 297 45 293 43 287 57781 54941 47 292 40 289 43 283 43 288 54941 52198 49 271 44 299 48 300 59 306 52198 49729 55 290 77 307 75 301 89 301 49729 47530 87 296 104 297 104 293 101 291 47530 45543 91 288 92 288 92 283 92 284 45543 43726 80 277 81 278 83 277 79 279 43726 42048 68 277 73 277 73 277 69 281 42048 40487 71 292 71 288 68 292 70 297 40487 39038 78 296 77 298 77 297 80 301 39038 37686 78 285 77 293 75 291 78 296 37686 36375 81 283 76 279 75 283 79 286 36375 35032 82 284 76 278 76 282 84 280 35032 33626 82 283 76 280 77 281 85 279 33626 32164 77 281 75 289 78 278 81 280 32164 30632 74 278 76 291 72 276 76 282 30632 29019 72 277 70 284 61 276 74 279 29019 27334 71 280 62 280 66 280 71 271 27334 25575 70 284 67 288 69 279 64 268 25575 23739 69 281 63 285 61 270 57 287 23739 21828 65 279 62 283 62 278 52 290 21828 19832 61 278 60 276 63 284 54 280 19832 17745 59 278 57 277 57 281 58 282 17745 15622 54 276 51 282 53 283 51 288 15622 13578 48 274 47 287 48 291 43 294 13578 11719 39 273 44 287 44 297 37 291 11719 10068 35 275 40 292 40 300 37 286 10068 8603 32 280 38 300 35 299 36 285 8603 7303 27 285 36 299 30 289 32 285 7303 6153 22 286 33 291 27 280 27 280 6153 5139 21 284 27 279 25 268 21 274 5139 4250 18 278 24 264 24 255 18 269 4250 3469 13 266 23 253 23 248 21 262 3469 2771 17 259 22 246 21 242 23 251 2771 2157 17 256 19*235 20 235 21 237 2157 1645 15 249 17*221 17 227 18 222 1645 1254 11*237 15 214 15 222 15 208 1254 985 8*230 13 213 12 219 13 204 985 822 7 227 12 212 10*217 10*203 822 729 5 225 9 212 6*216 6*203 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography