DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 69.0 - - 76.5 - - 74.0 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 240 - - 360 - - 196 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1517 - - 2197 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1466 - - 2072 - - 1441 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 2231 - - 2910 - - 2306 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 571 - - 449 - - 743 - - 847 - - 884 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 292 - - 376 - - 276 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 273 - - 285 - - 281 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -386 - - -556 - - -1591 - - -1163 - - -240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1115 - - 2787 - - 4502 - - 3469 - - 969 sfcLCL ODpotential -10249 - - -6644 - - -5638 - - -7726 - - -9740 ODpotential blCL 10978 - - 8875 - - 8548 - - 10032 - - 10469 blCL maxRH 90 - - 85 - - 75 - - 78 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 69.0 - - 76.5 - - 74.0 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 59.2 - - 61.1 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 67.5 - - 74.3 - - 72.8 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.3 - - 58.7 - - 58.9 - - 60.9 - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 240 - - 360 - - 196 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1517 - - 2197 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 42 - - 0 - - 12 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98213 13 052 12 093 10 116 10 122 2 328 98213 90894 15 082 17 086 12 110 8 099 12 087 90894 85219 13 108 16 080 12 110 8 105 15 065 85219 80508 13 110 12 095 8 095 10 103 13 056 80508 76473 14 094 12 090 8 105 9 090 10 064 76473 72911 11 072 10 080 8 096 8 074 10 067 72911 69682 6 081 5 079 5 063 6 069 6 058 69682 66705 6 081 3 099 2 348 7 045 5 047 66705 63946 4 354 3 079 3 177 2 313 5 343 63946 61287 6 350 2 246 3 262 1 254 2 334 61287 58525 10 303 3 266 8 268 8 296 8 312 58525 55678 16 300 13 302 15 299 18 308 19 312 55678 52983 24 294 18 284 21 281 23 291 25 299 52983 50560 18 287 20 309 20 292 26 307 30 306 50560 48376 34 312 36 306 34 300 39 307 33 308 48376 46377 43 292 40 294 42 294 43 302 37 314 46377 44534 39 284 38 292 42 290 41 303 41 322 44534 42833 36 293 42 296 41 297 42 309 46 321 42833 41259 42 302 44 299 44 300 42 309 44 310 41259 39786 48 301 44 300 43 302 39 306 39 302 39786 38394 50 299 44 302 44 301 37 303 33 315 38394 37045 51 300 47 306 44 300 37 306 36 324 37045 35672 49 300 48 307 45 303 40 310 41 320 35672 34245 48 300 50 307 48 307 45 313 45 316 34245 32764 47 302 50 308 49 312 49 315 46 319 32764 31215 47 303 48 311 46 316 45 317 42 323 31215 29587 47 303 47 313 44 318 38 318 37 324 29587 27879 46 306 45 316 42 319 34 321 32 321 27879 26091 39 302 39 314 35 318 31 323 26 319 26091 24222 31 297 30 306 29 310 27 315 22 308 24222 22273 26 299 24 299 26 298 24 303 23 299 22273 20241 23 304 22 292 23 292 24 301 22 303 20241 18122 17 310 18 289 20 287 21 301 19 310 18122 15959 14 305 17 301 17 296 18 300 17 312 15959 13871 15 281 14 294 14 311 15 306 14 313 13871 11972 11 283 15 275 11 302 11 314 9 312 11972 10285 10 299 13 278 11 287 8 311 7 305 10285 8789 11 325 11 295 10 291 7 298 6 299 8789 7463 13 337 11 315 9 307 7 300 5 293 7463 6290 14 341 12 327 11 319 7 313 3 293 6290 5254 15 340 14 333 12 328 7 319 3 298 5254 4342 15 335 15 331 11 335 8 316 5 303 4342 3538 16 329 15 324 10*325 10 307 7 299 3538 2820 16 321 14*313 10*300 12*295 12 301 2820 2188 15 311 12*291 11 289 13*286 15 300 2188 1665 13 288 11 271 11 284 13 281 14 293 1665 1265 12 255 10 268 11 281 13 280 11 273 1265 991 10 229 10 267 11 279 12 278 9 263 991 825 8*220 9 265 10 278 11 277 8 260 825 729 4*218 8 265 9 276 9 276 5*257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography