DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 51.1 - - 49.2 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 12 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 787 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1644 - - 1499 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3959 - - 3596 - - 3935 - - 3521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 101 - - 15 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 218 - - 231 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -134 - - -6 - - -344 - - -166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1778 - - 1505 - - 1072 - - 894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1079 - - -617 - - -660 - - -527 ODpotential blCL - - - 2723 - - 2116 - - 1388 - - 1255 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 200 - - 120 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 51.1 - - 49.2 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 47.0 - - 47.1 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 51.0 - - 49.3 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 46.3 - - 46.7 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 12 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 787 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 99 - - 101 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96110 20 344 25 337 23 351 12 336 96110 89111 16 339 27 334 17 019 14 343 89111 83685 8 320 14 343 10 358 19 342 83685 79120 11 297 15 331 2 340 15 346 79120 75148 11 040 11 264 17 251 21 287 75148 71627 16 299 9 089 10 198 12 243 71627 68419 31 239 19 266 7 293 11 224 68419 65436 25 227 32 240 18 260 16 256 65436 62645 12 229 28 229 23 236 22 242 62645 59924 14 241 19 228 21 244 23 254 59924 57088 26 255 18 246 25 249 24 252 57088 54140 38 255 31 246 28 251 29 264 54140 51325 44 250 39 253 35 260 33 272 51325 48797 49 251 50 260 41 264 37 266 48797 46527 56 252 55 255 48 256 38 263 46527 44463 63 246 58 247 50 245 39 267 44463 42573 68 241 60 243 44 245 41 266 42573 40834 68 240 60 242 46 256 43 262 40834 39220 69 239 62 243 54 256 42 259 39220 37713 72 239 66 245 57 250 41 261 37713 36300 81 240 72 245 55 246 41 262 36300 34944 99 239 82 241 53 244 41 262 34944 33577 113 235 90 237 51 242 38 260 33577 32171 115 232 89 233 47 240 33 261 32171 30730 113 231 81 233 41 246 25 272 30730 29243 106 232 74 234 36 252 21 297 29243 27697 95 234 65 236 30 259 24 289 27697 26093 81 236 47 237 21 275 26 271 26093 24431 67 238 31 243 20 286 25 262 24431 22703 60 240 23 251 19 286 25 267 22703 20899 56 239 17 268 20 283 27 266 20899 19011 58 238 22 277 21 274 25 262 19011 17034 47 244 26 265 23 264 21 260 17034 15018 34 245 23 250 24 259 20 242 15018 13076 25 246 24 238 26 252 19 234 13076 11310 27 249 29 234 26 249 21 255 11310 9738 29 247 30 234 26 248 22 271 9738 8341 31 244 31 233 25 248 22 292 8341 7101 32 240 32 232 25 249 23 305 7101 5998 34 237 33 229 25 250 22 306 5998 5023 34 233 33 226 24 249 20 300 5023 4164 33 231 33 224 24 247 18 294 4164 3406 31 228 32 222 23 245 17 291 3406 2728 29 222 30 221 22 243 16 287 2728 2128 27*215 28 221 21 241 14 278 2128 1628 24*209 26*220 19 239 12 261 1628 1244 21 206 23*219 16 235 10 242 1244 980 19 205 20 219 13 233 9 235 980 820 17 205 17 218 11 232 8*232 820 728 11 205 11 218 8*231 5*230 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography