DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.5 - - 61.9 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 399 - - 179 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1168 - - 1841 - - 1562 - - 719 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1197 - - 1832 - - 1376 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1881 - - 2554 - - 2275 - - 1431 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 525 - - 552 - - 659 - - 1152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 366 - - 265 - - 96 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 259 - - 273 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 79 - - -719 - - 157 - - 250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1802 - - 3273 - - 2118 - - 1181 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 347 - - -4852 - - 237 - - 81 ODpotential blCL - - - 1534 - - 7406 - - 2038 - - 1350 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.5 - - 61.9 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 54.6 - - 55.0 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 64.4 - - 60.7 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 54.3 - - 54.9 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 399 - - 179 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1168 - - 1841 - - 1562 - - 719 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 54 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 15 119 14 113 16 134 11 154 98941 91554 15 133 12 122 16 139 11 132 91554 85818 10 133 9 130 10 118 12 136 85818 81054 6 173 7 141 10 108 9 122 81054 76950 4 150 11 164 5 124 8 110 76950 73317 8 187 13 168 8 183 5 135 73317 70024 13 186 12 212 6 218 2 191 70024 66996 10 176 14 206 9 235 4 253 66996 64200 5 228 11 194 10 233 6 260 64200 61494 11 239 13 223 11 227 7 225 61494 58661 10 216 16 235 15 235 11 230 58661 55711 14 249 23 240 22 243 19 256 55711 52894 23 254 26 242 28 246 31 253 52894 50353 30 252 30 245 33 244 33 250 50353 48066 37 258 37 254 39 247 39 250 48066 45985 48 261 50 253 40 248 45 251 45985 44077 55 258 48 254 51 262 48 247 44077 42316 57 260 56 256 60 257 46 239 42316 40672 60 258 59 251 61 247 38 245 40672 39130 63 253 61 247 60 243 50 268 39130 37686 70 248 68 245 63 244 61 263 37686 36302 73 245 74 242 69 245 66 251 36302 34905 75 243 77 240 73 240 67 241 34905 33466 77 244 80 238 76 232 64 234 33466 31993 78 244 82 234 79 228 66 231 31993 30472 76 242 81 233 75 229 70 230 30472 28884 71 240 77 233 66 236 73 233 28884 27220 61 241 68 240 65 244 72 238 27220 25479 52 246 62 247 63 248 64 243 25479 23661 47 250 54 248 57 251 53 242 23661 21771 47 256 50 253 49 248 48 234 21771 19796 42 264 42 248 45 237 50 233 19796 17728 32 253 44 241 49 234 48 240 17728 15615 33 249 39 247 45 252 34 253 15615 13581 27 259 27 261 26 272 19 256 13581 11733 16 275 16 273 13 226 13 221 11733 10088 15 264 10 234 17 221 17 218 10088 8625 13 254 14 231 19 229 19 236 8625 7326 11 264 14 249 15 241 14 247 7326 6175 10 272 11 262 10 245 10 243 6175 5158 11 271 10 267 9 246 9 246 5158 4263 12 270 11 259 10 245 10 254 4263 3476 14 268 14 256 14 260 13 267 3476 2775 15 257 16*256 16*269 15 271 2775 2160 15*244 16*258 16*272 15 269 2160 1648 14*241 16 259 16 273 15*267 1648 1256 14 240 16 259 16 273 13*265 1256 986 13 239 15 259 15 273 12 264 986 823 12 239 14 259 13 273 10 263 823 729 9 239 11 259 10 273 7 262 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography