DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.1 - - 69.5 - - 71.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 94 - - 98 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 655 - - 2202 - - 1805 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1618 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1367 - - 2916 - - 2518 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 284 - - 514 - - 954 - - 1909 - - 545 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 167 - - 261 - - 123 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 293 - - 023 - - 351 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -121 - - -1933 - - -1616 - - -2680 - - -1165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 849 - - 3300 - - 4532 - - 5198 - - 1894 sfcLCL ODpotential -9818 - - -8858 - - -6747 - - -9125 - - -7519 ODpotential blCL 10546 - - 10225 - - 9663 - - 11643 - - 8248 blCL maxRH 89 - - 67 - - 61 - - 49 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.1 - - 69.5 - - 71.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 48.4 - - 52.3 - - 51.0 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 59.4 - - 68.6 - - 71.4 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 47.2 - - 51.0 - - 49.8 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 94 - - 98 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 655 - - 2202 - - 1805 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 7 010 9 065 6 209 10 236 9 250 96322 89183 11 034 9 091 4 201 8 290 11 014 89183 83699 14 017 12 036 6 004 4 351 11 045 83699 79139 11 023 11 020 7 347 11 040 18 044 79139 75221 10 357 16 026 14 349 18 019 17 025 75221 71759 12 322 14 348 15 342 15 001 27 018 71759 68632 17 309 21 341 28 339 29 349 31 356 68632 65777 22 319 24 335 30 329 30 334 29 349 65777 63123 24 315 22 327 28 323 31 326 29 341 63123 60540 32 321 26 327 27 316 33 328 31 328 60540 57821 40 315 35 316 30 314 36 319 37 321 57821 54984 39 304 39 309 40 305 40 315 43 320 54984 52270 43 301 46 304 45 306 53 317 49 325 52270 49822 48 297 51 305 60 310 62 309 53 323 49822 47628 53 298 59 304 61 302 59 308 54 325 47628 45665 61 298 58 298 54 296 65 334 76 336 45665 43909 61 297 49 300 58 326 71 328 68 321 43909 42294 55 303 51 322 63 327 52 328 55 321 42294 40779 50 310 60 327 49 331 41 345 44 350 40779 39350 54 314 60 325 52 004 54 008 39 001 39350 37991 56 312 52 324 67 010 61 014 50 011 37991 36667 57 309 50 354 74 008 64 011 57 015 36667 35316 54 308 62 011 71 005 66 003 59 009 35316 33912 51 306 72 011 68 004 64 359 59 360 33912 32454 49 307 65 007 64 003 61 357 61 351 32454 30927 46 316 55 000 60 000 57 356 61 345 30927 29323 50 330 48 351 54 355 55 354 59 345 29323 27641 54 336 45 344 49 346 52 351 55 342 27641 25873 47 328 44 341 49 338 50 344 52 340 25873 24019 44 313 44 340 50 337 51 339 49 339 24019 22084 46 308 47 344 47 339 48 335 44 336 22084 20066 37 310 46 348 42 341 44 329 40 330 20066 17957 37 303 36 334 35 338 41 329 40 331 17957 15805 39 306 31 322 31 328 36 333 38 339 15805 13733 36 311 28 317 30 324 32 337 32 349 13733 11854 32 312 26 317 28 329 30 340 26 354 11854 10189 29 314 24 318 28 337 27 344 23 353 10189 8713 27 319 21 324 26 344 24 351 21 355 8713 7405 24 324 18 334 21 351 22 001 18 008 7405 6244 21 329 16 341 17 359 18 010 16 026 6244 5219 19 331 16 344 15 003 15 017 15 037 5219 4317 18 334 15 347 13 012 13 013 16 035 4317 3522 17 337 15 352 12*022 12 003 16 027 3522 2812 16 339 13 358 10*024 11*357 14 016 2812 2186 13 336 11 356 10 024 9*354 12 003 2186 1665 11 320 8*344 9 024 9 352 11 344 1665 1265 8 276 4*298 8 023 8 351 11 328 1265 991 8 231 4 292 8 022 7 349 9 317 991 824 8 214 4 290 7 022 6 348 6 308 824 729 4*212 4 289 6 022 5 347 4*298 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography