DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 55.2 - - 54.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -3 - - -17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 201 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 728 - - 914 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2299 - - 3291 - - 3558 - - 1333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 7 - - 35 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 197 - - 191 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -202 - - -471 - - -442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 728 - - 1116 - - 1200 - - 1170 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -522 - - -639 - - -1082 - - -3191 ODpotential blCL - - - 1250 - - 1553 - - 1811 - - 3919 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 130 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 55.2 - - 54.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.8 - - 51.6 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 55.4 - - 55.0 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 52.4 - - 51.1 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -3 - - -17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 201 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 74 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95972 34 001 31 006 30 004 22 004 95972 89024 26 033 28 020 23 023 19 017 89024 83614 15 043 13 011 19 012 14 024 83614 79082 9 046 6 351 12 359 9 349 79082 75144 4 035 6 314 7 338 8 318 75144 71648 3 202 5 294 4 016 2 299 71648 68470 4 179 6 245 7 278 6 237 68470 65540 1 109 5 203 10 236 13 231 65540 62817 10 278 6 263 10 256 15 246 62817 60181 16 267 15 267 15 264 16 253 60181 57422 14 261 19 257 18 248 19 250 57422 54542 20 254 23 255 24 248 24 246 54542 51783 23 251 29 259 31 253 28 251 51783 49294 27 257 34 257 38 252 32 257 49294 47061 32 250 32 252 40 249 37 250 47061 45032 36 240 31 249 34 246 37 249 45032 43175 35 231 33 249 38 250 39 257 43175 41465 31 230 36 248 47 245 42 267 41465 39883 31 231 40 248 42 248 52 270 39883 38412 29 227 39 248 40 259 54 274 38412 37040 25 221 38 253 41 264 61 279 37040 35723 19 224 39 256 46 267 68 280 35723 34385 19 233 38 264 48 266 71 279 34385 32994 21 225 38 274 45 266 68 276 32994 31553 23 203 42 278 42 269 65 275 31553 30048 28 180 49 278 44 269 61 275 30048 28468 38 160 51 278 42 267 57 275 28468 26814 48 144 49 280 40 270 52 273 26814 25083 49 138 48 281 45 269 47 271 25083 23284 45 143 46 276 49 267 42 262 23284 21417 41 151 37 267 45 273 35 262 21417 19466 40 155 27 267 37 269 33 265 19466 17423 36 161 17 268 30 267 34 270 17423 15335 32 178 11 247 26 264 28 271 15335 13324 29 195 18 233 24 264 22 267 13324 11505 25 208 24 230 22 257 20 259 11505 9896 21 213 25 217 20 250 20 249 9896 8470 22 207 24 211 17 247 19 240 8470 7203 25 204 25 218 17 234 19 233 7203 6079 27 207 27 223 20 218 19 225 6079 5084 28 213 29 224 24 207 20 214 5084 4209 27 223 28 220 27 202 22 201 4209 3438 28 230 27 216 28 200 25 191 3438 2750 27 231 25 213 27 199 27 186 2750 2144 25 229 22 210 25 198 27 185 2144 1638 21 226 19 205 23 196 24 183 1638 1250 17 221 16 201 19 194 19 179 1250 983 14 218 14*199 15 193 13 171 983 821 11 217 12*198 12*192 9 160 821 728 6*216 8 197 7*191 4*131 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography