DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 64.3 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 158 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 2683 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1440 - - 2192 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2500 - - 3396 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1696 - - 1920 - - - - - 1260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 322 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 299 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1150 - - -656 - - - - - -1001 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3650 - - 4052 - - - - - 1730 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4352 - - -3042 - - - - - -4237 ODpotential blCL - - - 6852 - - 6438 - - - - - 4966 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 66 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 64.3 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 49.2 - - - - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 63.2 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 47.9 - - - - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 158 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 2683 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97511 28 286 37 290 29 291 97511 90112 30 274 37 286 27 299 90112 84439 22 276 29 277 23 304 84439 79760 19 295 20 272 22 293 79760 75736 19 302 15 281 18 286 75736 72161 18 298 13 294 15 281 72161 68907 16 285 18 285 18 268 68907 65914 17 274 18 281 20 271 65914 63128 19 265 18 275 18 274 63128 60414 19 272 19 270 19 279 60414 57578 24 269 22 273 23 288 57578 54634 26 271 29 274 29 289 54634 51820 32 273 37 274 37 283 51820 49296 36 267 41 270 42 277 49296 47046 37 274 39 273 43 277 47046 45014 47 278 45 279 46 279 45014 43163 49 278 47 280 48 277 43163 41467 55 290 55 287 45 275 41467 39908 75 284 67 278 47 282 39908 38461 82 279 75 275 53 279 38461 37116 79 277 75 276 44 280 37116 35827 64 288 67 279 42 283 35827 34512 61 297 62 281 42 277 34512 33140 67 293 56 287 39 281 33140 31713 69 292 54 290 36 287 31713 30217 63 297 52 291 35 289 30217 28641 52 301 47 296 35 288 28641 26985 45 304 35 297 33 291 26985 25251 36 316 26 301 29 291 25251 23443 26 325 18 309 22 289 23443 21565 17 337 13 324 11 282 21565 19605 13 349 6 332 7 281 19605 17558 12 343 5 340 6 310 17558 15466 11 334 8 325 3 001 15466 13447 12 330 11 331 6 045 13447 11610 14 329 12 326 8 042 11610 9978 14 334 10 322 8 035 9978 8532 13 351 6 327 7 023 8532 7251 12 009 4 342 6 004 7251 6118 12 018 4 343 5 003 6118 5117 11 018 5 334 5 004 5117 4236 10 011 5 324 5 341 4236 3458 10 003 6*316 6 317 3458 2763 8*356 6*309 9 304 2763 2151 6*335 6 302 11 297 2151 1642 5 323 7 298 11 287 1642 1252 5 318 7 295 10 275 1252 984 5 314 7 293 8 268 984 822 5 312 6 293 7*262 822 729 4 310 6 292 4*256 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography