DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 54.3 - - 57.9 - - 58.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 75 - - 94 - - 78 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 668 - - 1000 - - 1638 - - 1670 - - 567 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1379 - - 1712 - - 2351 - - 2382 - - 1280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1685 - - 1801 - - 1552 - - 1748 - - 1647 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 174 - - 223 - - 212 - - 33 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 284 - - 278 - - 287 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 343 - - 457 - - 602 - - 344 - - 175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1036 - - 1255 - - 1749 - - 2038 - - 1105 sfcLCL ODpotential 139 - - 330 - - 380 - - -197 - - -177 ODpotential blCL 1240 - - 1382 - - 1971 - - 2579 - - 1457 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 54.3 - - 57.9 - - 58.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 51.3 - - 52.8 - - 51.9 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 53.7 - - 57.1 - - 57.6 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 50.9 - - 52.1 - - 51.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 75 - - 94 - - 78 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 668 - - 1000 - - 1638 - - 1670 - - 567 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 89 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97954 14 255 19 243 22 253 30 270 23 283 97954 90433 20 293 9 242 18 255 22 279 17 281 90433 84674 15 290 11 280 14 269 20 282 13 294 84674 79930 11 284 13 281 10 277 15 285 12 298 79930 75852 11 279 14 274 10 282 13 294 15 300 75852 72260 13 285 14 281 15 282 15 302 17 303 72260 69023 17 293 17 282 16 276 16 296 17 301 69023 66040 21 294 18 284 21 277 19 291 17 306 66040 63255 22 289 18 284 25 280 24 291 19 312 63255 60546 19 287 14 279 25 274 25 291 23 308 60546 57713 19 297 12 313 16 259 22 289 18 288 57713 54773 20 296 19 323 9 295 14 301 12 317 54773 51978 16 290 20 320 12 332 9 324 14 326 51978 49470 11 328 14 325 14 329 15 004 15 001 49470 47238 13 342 9 004 19 017 29 009 31 017 47238 45249 19 027 22 030 22 020 33 015 38 031 45249 43446 27 017 25 039 32 041 35 030 41 035 43446 41779 27 042 38 060 42 058 42 055 46 045 41779 40225 41 064 48 064 58 062 56 061 54 050 40225 38772 55 067 51 064 64 061 60 061 58 050 38772 37410 62 069 62 068 66 065 60 063 56 049 37410 36097 71 068 73 069 72 067 63 065 53 052 36097 34764 75 064 81 070 76 067 65 065 52 055 34764 33377 73 061 83 069 75 068 65 063 52 054 33377 31936 65 060 76 065 73 069 63 062 51 049 31936 30428 58 055 67 061 69 069 60 064 50 045 30428 28842 58 052 52 056 62 066 58 066 49 046 28842 27177 57 051 45 052 52 060 54 068 46 048 27177 25432 54 052 44 053 41 052 47 066 43 050 25432 23609 48 052 41 053 33 044 40 057 38 051 23609 21709 40 048 37 047 31 042 37 047 35 048 21709 19726 36 046 33 040 33 037 34 038 31 051 19726 17659 37 050 33 037 34 031 32 036 28 043 17659 15552 36 049 33 038 32 030 29 037 27 041 15552 13524 32 042 30 036 31 028 26 038 26 051 13524 11677 28 030 27 032 29 026 24 039 22 056 11677 10033 22 030 24 031 27 027 22 042 17 054 10033 8570 16 047 16 030 22 023 19 045 13 050 8570 7270 12 034 8 024 16 013 14 046 10 044 7270 6118 8 342 6 349 9 005 10 035 9 030 6118 5105 10 314 8 325 7 350 7 017 8 014 5105 4220 12 312 11 311 6 337 4 331 7 351 4220 3445 14 310 13 302 7 311 5 297 7 317 3445 2755 13 303 14 296 8*287 8*288 9 292 2755 2146 12 293 13*293 9*281 10*287 10 283 2146 1640 11*286 12*286 9 279 10 287 10*281 1640 1251 9*278 11 283 8 278 10 286 10*279 1251 984 8 275 10 283 8 277 10 286 9 279 984 822 7 274 9 282 8 276 9 286 7 277 822 729 5 273 7 281 6 276 7 286 5 275 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography