DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 60.7 - - - - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 55 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2460 - - 2445 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1850 - - 1232 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3173 - - 3158 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2815 - - 3203 - - - - - 3746 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 228 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 13 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 127 - - - - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 949 - - 617 - - - - - -1307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2224 - - 2541 - - - - - 2036 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 61 - - -394 - - - - - -2557 ODpotential blCL - - - 3112 - - 3552 - - - - - 3286 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 94 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 290 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 60.7 - - - - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 51.9 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 60.2 - - - - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 50.6 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 55 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2460 - - 2445 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 77 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98584 6 124 7 080 10 129 98584 91118 10 117 6 157 11 104 91118 85376 11 114 7 143 9 088 85376 80615 10 121 7 106 8 058 80615 76527 13 124 9 127 11 062 76527 72923 12 125 10 134 7 087 72923 69647 12 144 9 149 7 151 69647 66616 16 153 13 161 14 176 66616 63791 11 178 10 173 12 185 63791 61043 14 182 14 209 11 219 61043 58174 5 184 14 202 12 220 58174 55199 4 274 8 211 9 226 55199 52349 10 281 7 250 5 272 52349 49786 12 270 10 259 14 310 49786 47496 8 296 11 324 16 289 47496 45409 13 335 18 323 18 309 45409 43493 18 330 18 318 23 322 43493 41726 24 332 23 331 29 327 41726 40087 26 324 28 325 29 326 40087 38556 21 323 25 311 23 334 38556 37119 26 354 14 321 35 360 37119 35737 31 348 21 352 44 360 35737 34343 31 342 31 342 46 002 34343 32909 27 344 34 335 52 008 32909 31450 22 347 27 347 67 016 31450 29950 16 355 23 356 73 022 29950 28385 8 344 12 008 77 032 28385 26747 12 163 8 071 79 036 26747 25034 10 138 8 073 66 037 25034 23249 14 090 9 077 36 034 23249 21396 15 088 9 078 23 032 21396 19464 13 086 13 080 25 031 19464 17444 8 097 21 080 22 030 17444 15377 9 113 23 080 20 028 15377 13383 10 125 21 077 20 026 13383 11569 12 132 16 089 20 028 11569 9958 15 134 16 109 19 036 9958 8528 17 136 19 115 17 042 8528 7257 20 138 22 118 15 049 7257 6130 22 140 24 122 12 059 6130 5131 24 141 23 128 8 075 5131 4251 24 139 21 131 7 102 4251 3475 23*135 19*132 7 123 3475 2781 22*130 16*130 8 127 2781 2166 20 123 14 127 9 124 2166 1653 19 118 13 126 9 120 1653 1259 18 116 12 125 8 117 1259 988 16 114 11 125 7 114 988 824 15 114 10 125 5*111 824 729 11 112 8 125 2*101 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography