DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.6 - - 66.6 - - 77.5 - - 77.0 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 72 - - 238 - - 321 - - 175 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 370 - - 949 - - 1585 - - 1318 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1069 - - 1602 - - 1215 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1082 - - 1661 - - 2299 - - 2032 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 342 - - 274 - - 513 - - 738 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 252 - - 328 - - 253 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 254 - - 279 - - 281 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -195 - - -1845 - - -4963 - - -5418 - - -2624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1277 - - 3506 - - 7262 - - 7450 - - 3353 sfcLCL ODpotential -11725 - - -10657 - - -12807 - - -14434 - - -13088 ODpotential blCL 12807 - - 12318 - - 15106 - - 16466 - - 13817 blCL maxRH 94 - - 69 - - 55 - - 43 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.6 - - 66.6 - - 77.5 - - 77.0 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 53.9 - - 48.6 - - 47.3 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 65.1 - - 75.5 - - 75.8 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 52.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.3 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 72 - - 238 - - 321 - - 175 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 370 - - 949 - - 1585 - - 1318 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98497 20 115 23 128 13 089 21 087 18 112 98497 91052 14 110 17 106 11 106 13 066 15 080 91052 85338 18 085 18 100 12 115 16 096 15 081 85338 80604 16 078 21 100 16 118 16 112 20 087 80604 76539 17 084 18 099 23 101 13 117 21 075 76539 72967 13 087 12 090 19 088 15 090 17 074 72967 69759 13 092 9 082 14 088 15 078 14 069 69759 66822 12 088 7 060 10 076 14 080 10 091 66822 64090 11 057 4 094 5 005 12 038 7 106 64090 61429 7 044 7 082 5 347 13 005 11 029 61429 58659 12 001 9 049 4 053 6 355 7 344 58659 55805 19 332 19 350 10 013 10 014 10 006 55805 53094 31 336 26 338 29 344 28 347 23 355 53094 50659 31 337 32 356 32 356 29 341 30 338 50659 48487 39 351 50 354 40 349 34 342 33 333 48487 46514 56 345 49 340 42 337 38 337 37 329 46514 44694 54 345 45 338 44 334 42 336 48 330 44694 43007 56 343 45 332 47 329 49 331 55 330 43007 41435 55 338 43 328 47 326 54 327 57 328 41435 39957 51 337 42 326 47 326 54 324 59 327 39957 38561 47 336 43 323 45 325 54 324 60 329 38561 37209 46 334 45 322 44 324 54 325 61 330 37209 35834 46 330 46 322 44 322 54 328 58 330 35834 34404 46 328 45 322 42 322 49 329 55 329 34404 32920 46 330 42 323 38 323 43 327 52 330 32920 31368 45 333 37 325 32 325 39 326 44 330 31368 29735 47 333 37 327 34 329 37 326 37 328 29735 28018 47 334 40 328 39 328 36 325 34 327 28018 26216 41 334 40 328 40 326 38 325 33 325 26216 24331 33 318 37 326 37 325 38 330 35 328 24331 22369 33 311 35 320 33 327 31 333 32 334 22369 20322 26 298 29 316 30 329 26 334 26 335 20322 18184 21 294 26 299 25 336 25 340 21 335 18184 16006 17 299 21 300 21 315 20 346 17 345 16006 13910 12 290 15 294 16 302 16 328 13 336 13910 12006 10 287 12 289 12 297 13 311 13 325 12006 10316 10 291 9 289 10 303 13 312 12 315 10316 8818 10 311 8 300 9 315 13 322 12 313 8818 7488 9 330 8 315 10 322 13 332 11 324 7488 6309 8 333 9 319 12 328 13 337 10 332 6309 5267 8 329 12 324 14 332 13 340 10 328 5267 4350 10 328 13 328 14 335 15 338 13 323 4350 3542 14 327 13 331 14 333 16 330 19 327 3542 2821 16 324 12 324 13*324 15 322 24 327 2821 2187 15 311 11*308 10*292 13*301 22 321 2187 1663 12 278 10*259 10 280 13*285 16 306 1663 1264 11*246 10 253 10 276 12 281 12 273 1264 991 10*241 10 253 10 273 12 280 11 266 991 824 9 240 9 252 9 272 11 278 9 262 824 729 7 240 8 252 8 272 9 276 7*260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography