DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 82.1 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 47 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 392 - - 1195 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 714 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1106 - - 1910 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 673 - - 906 - - - - - 885 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 183 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 033 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5206 - - -4981 - - - - - -3289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6312 - - 6892 - - - - - 4019 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11824 - - -10611 - - - - - -10255 ODpotential blCL - - - 12930 - - 12521 - - - - - 10985 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 37 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 82.1 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 81.7 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 53.4 - - - - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 47 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 392 - - 1195 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 18 323 17 307 18 294 96486 89352 3 341 3 291 6 284 89352 83890 7 126 2 312 0 159 83890 79364 8 132 2 246 2 011 79364 75467 7 146 4 260 2 019 75467 72029 7 113 6 220 4 309 72029 68919 7 020 5 257 7 347 68919 66064 10 350 5 283 10 335 66064 63430 13 321 5 324 6 300 63430 60890 15 286 12 319 4 264 60890 58234 19 263 16 293 10 284 58234 55461 26 270 22 271 23 287 55461 52791 34 279 28 262 34 284 52791 50354 36 267 31 261 36 271 50354 48140 34 259 34 252 36 258 48140 46118 36 256 36 251 40 252 46118 44263 40 250 43 247 43 249 44263 42555 45 242 46 242 45 243 42555 40976 50 232 49 236 46 238 40976 39508 49 232 50 231 47 235 39508 38135 51 235 47 231 47 233 38135 36809 56 233 47 230 48 230 36809 35459 55 230 50 229 48 228 35459 34056 52 230 51 228 50 223 34056 32600 51 230 50 229 50 221 32600 31075 48 231 50 228 47 224 31075 29468 44 228 49 228 44 228 29468 27780 41 225 46 227 41 229 27780 26009 37 225 42 224 39 226 26009 24158 35 221 38 223 37 225 24158 22230 32 218 34 221 33 224 22230 20220 30 216 31 219 29 219 20220 18124 30 214 27 221 21 220 18124 15986 24 219 19 232 11 215 15986 13922 12 215 10 221 10 194 13922 12040 4 177 6 177 10 187 12040 10362 5 135 8 144 8 191 10362 8867 6 116 8 126 4 207 8867 7539 6 097 6 101 1 241 7539 6361 6 075 6 070 2 354 6361 5317 7 039 8 053 4 357 5317 4398 9 024 8 040 6 359 4398 3587 10 024 8 031 7 354 3587 2862 12 032 8 027 6 346 2862 2222 13 037 7*028 4 328 2222 1689 12 038 7*031 4 300 1689 1279 9*039 7 033 4 284 1279 998 5*043 6 033 4 275 998 828 5 044 5 034 3 263 828 730 4 045 5 034 2*254 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography