DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 65.5 - - 71.2 - - 67.4 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 174 - - 255 - - 149 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1071 - - 1840 - - 1297 - - 178 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1030 - - 1725 - - 1114 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1784 - - 2554 - - 2010 - - 891 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 462 - - 565 - - 1423 - - 790 - - 794 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 237 - - 321 - - 239 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 271 - - 284 - - 285 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -810 - - -1525 - - -1688 - - -1454 - - -627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1538 - - 3309 - - 4242 - - 3464 - - 1518 sfcLCL ODpotential -6900 - - -5022 - - -3858 - - -4370 - - -5336 ODpotential blCL 7628 - - 6806 - - 6412 - - 6380 - - 6227 blCL maxRH 82 - - 71 - - 79 - - 73 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 190 - - 70 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 65.5 - - 71.2 - - 67.4 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 53.6 - - 55.2 - - 54.7 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 64.3 - - 69.6 - - 66.4 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.0 - - 52.5 - - 54.1 - - 54.0 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 174 - - 255 - - 149 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1071 - - 1840 - - 1297 - - 178 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 0 - - 17 - - 0 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 31 293 26 284 36 277 36 281 36 279 96616 89377 28 290 22 294 30 275 28 279 32 288 89377 83883 20 302 16 315 25 268 28 286 24 291 83883 79364 22 313 16 318 19 266 25 286 23 293 79364 75474 22 314 14 302 15 277 21 284 19 299 75474 72009 20 311 17 287 14 292 16 283 14 297 72009 68832 19 309 14 282 15 283 13 288 13 299 68832 65882 18 310 9 312 15 271 19 277 16 284 65882 63125 23 303 17 309 19 273 15 272 17 281 63125 60442 26 285 22 296 15 284 20 287 22 281 60442 57645 24 278 26 285 20 283 23 279 23 269 57645 54743 25 278 27 271 28 270 20 270 22 264 54743 51956 26 275 27 259 28 261 20 271 21 263 51956 49430 32 272 26 260 23 263 24 267 23 263 49430 47165 36 266 31 267 27 269 30 268 26 264 47165 45118 37 263 38 265 34 268 34 267 30 262 45118 43262 40 264 39 262 36 260 35 264 34 263 43262 41567 41 265 37 261 36 256 41 265 40 264 41567 40011 41 257 36 261 37 256 47 262 42 264 40011 38572 41 251 35 258 38 254 46 259 44 263 38572 37228 39 252 33 255 39 252 43 257 44 262 37228 35929 37 254 34 256 40 251 42 256 44 261 35929 34608 37 254 36 259 41 251 41 256 43 259 34608 33234 39 252 37 259 42 251 41 256 41 256 33234 31809 39 251 38 254 41 252 42 256 40 254 31809 30316 38 253 38 251 40 253 42 257 40 252 30316 28743 38 255 38 250 40 255 42 257 40 251 28743 27089 38 252 37 252 40 254 40 258 37 251 27089 25354 39 246 34 253 39 249 36 256 35 250 25354 23542 36 245 31 249 37 249 35 251 34 246 23542 21660 30 245 29 244 31 248 32 246 32 240 21660 19700 25 241 27 242 27 245 27 243 28 235 19700 17655 19 237 23 238 24 243 24 242 25 235 17655 15565 16 239 18 241 21 245 21 241 22 240 15565 13551 14 238 14 241 16 248 16 242 17 242 13551 11720 12 242 12 244 13 253 14 249 11 235 11720 10092 11 273 11 264 11 266 13 256 10 233 10092 8642 16 299 13 290 12 269 13 257 11 239 8642 7350 20 304 15 296 11 273 13 260 12 248 7350 6201 20 308 15 296 8 291 10 270 10 258 6201 5183 19 317 12 307 7 311 8 281 10 270 5183 4286 19 330 10 330 7 317 8 290 11 276 4286 3494 19 338 9 342 9 310 11 295 13 281 3494 2787 19 338 10 327 10*298 14 295 15 290 2787 2165 18 329 10*306 10*289 14*291 16 297 2165 1649 15 312 8*281 10 286 13*287 15 292 1649 1256 10 279 8 270 10 284 13 286 12 279 1256 986 8 233 7 267 10 282 12 285 10*272 986 823 7 223 7 266 9 281 12 284 8*270 823 729 3*218 6 266 8 280 9 283 5 267 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography