DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 59.6 - - 56.8 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 111 - - 73 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 1664 - - 1447 - - 712 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1237 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1261 - - 2376 - - 2159 - - 1424 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 1088 - - 857 - - 1506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 240 - - 198 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 275 - - 281 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 357 - - 432 - - 649 - - 353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 904 - - 1944 - - 1510 - - 1071 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 103 - - -1930 - - 267 - - 79 ODpotential blCL - - - 1158 - - 4306 - - 1892 - - 1345 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 59.6 - - 56.8 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 53.6 - - 52.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 56.2 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 52.4 - - 52.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 111 - - 73 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 1664 - - 1447 - - 712 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 92 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 8 057 6 128 3 011 6 051 96376 89280 6 045 4 033 4 004 1 006 89280 83815 13 009 6 026 8 331 12 359 83815 79290 6 343 8 350 10 346 12 009 79290 75408 11 347 16 341 16 341 15 009 75408 71987 15 330 14 319 14 323 18 337 71987 68893 19 330 14 319 20 318 17 318 68893 66023 24 299 27 296 24 297 25 310 66023 63334 32 296 39 284 38 291 33 297 63334 60712 40 282 42 276 44 282 42 291 60712 57965 37 276 49 276 48 278 47 282 57965 55096 42 286 51 275 53 275 48 273 55096 52338 49 280 55 277 54 274 46 274 52338 49838 53 273 62 275 57 270 51 272 49838 47582 56 265 61 268 55 265 54 264 47582 45518 53 263 58 258 53 263 54 266 45518 43615 57 262 58 251 55 264 63 271 43615 41857 61 257 61 253 64 265 72 266 41857 40226 65 255 70 255 75 261 70 256 40226 38702 73 252 76 250 73 254 60 255 38702 37269 84 246 78 245 67 252 59 265 37269 35890 87 238 82 242 71 256 74 265 35890 34503 83 232 93 242 87 254 90 259 34503 33079 83 234 95 243 98 247 97 253 33079 31617 82 238 94 242 99 241 93 250 31617 30102 81 240 93 238 93 241 88 251 30102 28520 84 239 89 239 87 244 84 251 28520 26866 82 238 83 241 79 247 80 252 26866 25133 80 237 74 243 74 248 81 254 25133 23322 79 237 67 245 67 249 79 254 23322 21437 76 239 63 246 59 254 72 252 21437 19476 67 241 58 246 53 256 64 250 19476 17432 61 243 54 246 46 250 57 247 17432 15348 55 242 50 246 44 245 47 248 15348 13346 39 237 37 250 33 244 33 244 13346 11529 28 235 23 247 22 232 24 238 11529 9916 22 232 14 233 18 225 20 230 9916 8485 17 220 12 212 17 219 19 227 8485 7213 16 212 13 212 16 221 17 231 7213 6085 15 211 15 219 16 231 15 235 6085 5088 15 215 14 226 15 240 13 241 5088 4210 14 224 13 237 12 249 12 252 4210 3438 11 238 11 253 11 260 13 268 3438 2749 9 260 10*267 11*270 12 276 2749 2142 8 270 10*273 11*279 12 281 2142 1637 7*265 10 275 11 281 12*282 1637 1249 6*260 10 276 11 282 11*283 1249 983 6 257 10 276 10 283 10 284 983 821 5 257 9 277 9 282 9 284 821 729 4 257 7 276 7 282 6 283 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography