DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 67.5 - - 66.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 209 - - 121 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1894 - - 2418 - - 1671 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1668 - - 2088 - - 1303 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2607 - - 3131 - - 2384 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 783 - - 785 - - 796 - - 1275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 334 - - 247 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 291 - - 289 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 134 - - -21 - - -421 - - -895 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2474 - - 3152 - - 2805 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7198 - - -6196 - - -6895 - - -8762 ODpotential blCL - - - 9805 - - 9327 - - 9279 - - 9491 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 87 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 67.5 - - 66.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 66.0 - - 65.3 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 54.9 - - 55.2 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 209 - - 121 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1894 - - 2418 - - 1671 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 47 - - 34 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98067 17 251 19 259 22 271 21 282 98067 90545 15 259 19 264 18 271 16 281 90545 84771 11 264 22 262 14 272 15 279 84771 80006 11 281 13 263 13 275 18 295 80006 75923 11 282 11 281 16 290 18 307 75923 72338 12 276 15 293 17 298 12 308 72338 69104 12 291 17 292 16 295 13 314 69104 66127 14 303 20 292 20 299 20 315 66127 63355 16 290 21 290 24 308 23 315 63355 60666 15 297 19 287 25 307 21 329 60666 57866 15 315 17 296 21 291 23 318 57866 54963 18 346 16 332 14 306 18 307 54963 52211 22 352 17 351 14 342 14 317 52211 49765 22 352 19 355 18 351 16 346 49765 47602 21 002 21 006 16 003 16 348 47602 45664 21 013 23 007 18 009 14 348 45664 43897 22 033 20 019 19 005 18 349 43897 42263 29 044 23 030 20 008 24 348 42263 40734 35 043 28 032 21 014 24 347 40734 39293 38 040 30 034 22 019 22 351 39293 37929 37 036 29 035 23 020 21 357 37929 36604 34 037 26 031 23 025 20 359 36604 35252 31 035 24 028 22 024 18 000 35252 33846 26 025 24 029 22 021 18 006 33846 32387 20 017 23 025 21 026 19 015 32387 30859 18 020 19 016 20 033 19 021 30859 29251 19 022 16 006 17 028 17 031 29251 27564 19 026 15 004 16 012 16 035 27564 25799 19 034 14 011 16 002 16 028 25799 23959 19 041 14 026 15 009 16 028 23959 22045 19 044 13 040 13 024 15 035 22045 20046 19 047 13 054 14 047 13 049 20046 17956 20 055 16 070 15 065 12 068 17956 15819 18 062 16 074 13 081 11 083 15819 13756 15 053 11 066 9 079 7 092 13756 11879 14 034 11 046 8 045 6 068 11879 10213 12 025 11 035 9 022 8 030 10213 8731 10 023 10 029 9 021 10 009 8731 7411 9 020 9 021 7 026 8 010 7411 6237 8 022 8 020 5 023 7 008 6237 5200 7 032 7 030 4 004 6 342 5200 4292 6 037 4 032 4 342 6 321 4292 3495 4 021 3*321 5 319 8 311 3495 2788 3*323 4*306 9*301 12 307 2788 2167 3*302 6 294 11*292 13 305 2167 1652 3 292 6 291 12 290 12 296 1652 1257 3 284 7 287 12 289 10 285 1257 987 4 281 7 285 12 288 9 280 987 823 3 279 6 285 11 287 7*275 823 729 3 278 6 284 9 286 5*272 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography