DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 52.5 - - 58.9 - - 57.3 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 14 - - 60 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 876 - - 379 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 821 - - 1588 - - 1091 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 304 - - 1207 - - 1253 - - 338 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 51 - - 160 - - 58 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 279 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 076 - - 017 - - 054 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 6 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1482 - - -1976 - - -1836 - - -1399 - - -614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2210 - - 2797 - - 3425 - - 2490 - - 1342 sfcLCL ODpotential -12318 - - -11021 - - -8653 - - -8123 - - -8540 ODpotential blCL 13046 - - 11842 - - 10241 - - 9214 - - 9268 blCL maxRH 60 - - 64 - - 93 - - 79 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 52.5 - - 58.9 - - 57.3 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 43.1 - - 46.6 - - 49.0 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 52.4 - - 58.3 - - 57.2 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 42.2 - - 45.3 - - 48.2 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 14 - - 60 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 876 - - 379 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 71 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95699 20 056 17 067 15 338 17 072 8 080 95699 88805 18 046 19 053 18 045 19 064 16 071 88805 83453 18 058 13 055 18 056 17 042 24 049 83453 78978 20 064 12 059 14 063 17 024 25 039 78978 75115 19 049 17 062 12 083 11 007 19 040 75115 71699 20 032 20 057 14 071 11 008 16 042 71699 68603 18 024 20 042 15 051 14 019 18 046 68603 65751 17 016 18 026 19 024 18 018 20 032 65751 63104 16 009 17 016 18 010 16 004 20 008 63104 60535 16 000 16 003 15 357 15 347 20 345 60535 57840 19 347 18 357 15 334 17 335 20 333 57840 55021 22 339 20 336 17 324 19 321 19 322 55021 52302 25 328 20 311 21 316 23 311 20 309 52302 49830 28 317 25 303 25 308 26 304 19 305 49830 47594 29 316 26 300 25 303 26 291 20 291 47594 45547 31 304 27 298 25 300 21 291 16 290 45547 43651 25 288 28 286 26 287 22 290 16 306 43651 41885 21 298 20 278 26 265 27 277 16 302 41885 40235 29 289 19 273 20 260 22 251 11 293 40235 38692 37 261 25 260 17 254 16 238 9 296 38692 37260 36 245 23 242 30 239 26 222 14 240 37260 35906 35 242 24 233 32 214 21 210 15 208 35906 34550 43 238 33 226 26 222 23 226 18 198 34550 33163 55 235 36 225 33 228 29 218 33 190 33163 31742 54 233 38 222 35 215 29 209 35 184 31742 30253 41 230 38 221 35 204 29 201 33 182 30253 28683 37 230 34 224 32 203 26 203 31 181 28683 27029 29 234 31 225 26 204 23 200 30 177 27029 25293 23 234 30 218 26 201 21 199 29 170 25293 23477 27 217 32 204 30 194 21 193 30 167 23477 21586 32 211 31 202 35 189 28 184 31 166 21586 19618 28 216 29 204 38 195 35 180 30 167 19618 17573 21 213 24 202 37 201 35 186 30 174 17573 15490 12 168 16 192 30 211 28 192 31 169 15490 13480 12 185 17 195 23 208 21 167 23 150 13480 11648 17 197 15 188 22 197 21 139 20 133 11648 10017 18 200 12 182 21 183 21 141 21 144 10017 8564 13 205 11 176 19 159 21 143 23 155 8564 7273 9 213 12 175 17 147 18 150 18 161 7273 6128 7 214 12 177 13 164 13 162 12 163 6128 5118 5 201 13 180 11 182 10 174 9 169 5118 4231 5 187 13 186 10 196 9 190 7 184 4231 3450 5 189 12 194 10 210 8 204 6 202 3450 2755 4 191 11 204 8 227 6 211 5 216 2755 2143 3 194 10 215 6 239 3 218 5 232 2143 1635 2 178 7 212 2*245 0 222 2 227 1635 1246 5 119 4 163 0*308 3*054 4 116 1246 980 10 089 4*095 0 003 3*054 6 091 980 820 9*077 3*079 0 037 3 054 5 076 820 728 6*071 2 074 0 046 2 056 3*061 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography