DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 66.0 - - 64.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 151 - - 48 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1302 - - 2962 - - 1802 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 969 - - 2371 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2014 - - 3674 - - 2515 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 681 - - 1269 - - 2021 - - 853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 328 - - 201 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 350 - - 295 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4936 - - -4127 - - -3965 - - -3613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6951 - - 7801 - - 6480 - - 4341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13813 - - -12615 - - -11859 - - -12854 ODpotential blCL - - - 15827 - - 16289 - - 14374 - - 13582 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 53 - - 61 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 66.0 - - 64.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 34.5 - - 38.6 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 64.8 - - 63.9 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 33.4 - - 37.4 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 151 - - 48 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1302 - - 2962 - - 1802 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97271 54 271 62 268 63 279 61 278 97271 89922 55 272 57 271 56 279 49 278 89922 84258 49 272 48 275 40 273 38 279 84258 79546 37 273 31 273 31 270 31 271 79546 75494 23 279 22 266 23 279 20 267 75494 71927 19 286 16 277 18 290 12 287 71927 68708 15 286 17 280 17 287 17 309 68708 65758 18 302 20 291 17 289 20 309 65758 63021 20 306 23 297 19 297 20 315 63021 60361 23 310 26 301 25 310 22 327 60361 57589 26 311 24 311 28 314 25 329 57589 54715 31 319 24 324 27 319 28 322 54715 51966 33 321 26 321 26 315 29 319 51966 49482 30 319 27 313 28 315 29 319 49482 47241 28 324 27 311 28 304 29 315 47241 45200 32 328 29 317 25 307 28 302 45200 43332 35 324 31 321 27 314 31 303 43332 41629 36 323 33 317 35 325 31 311 41629 40083 36 324 35 315 45 318 37 324 40083 38663 33 325 38 315 44 306 47 315 38663 37331 33 333 35 319 42 306 47 304 37331 36038 34 344 33 325 44 306 45 302 36038 34718 36 345 37 329 43 305 42 306 34718 33342 36 341 39 332 38 306 41 310 33342 31911 35 338 38 337 33 309 39 309 31911 30412 34 340 35 336 32 311 30 300 30412 28834 30 339 30 334 26 309 25 300 28834 27174 27 339 28 336 23 313 23 303 27174 25432 26 343 26 336 24 318 21 304 25432 23610 27 340 25 338 24 322 18 299 23610 21710 26 334 26 345 21 326 15 296 21710 19726 24 330 24 342 18 329 14 299 19726 17654 22 328 22 331 16 326 15 308 17654 15539 18 324 20 327 17 326 14 324 15539 13500 15 334 15 324 16 329 13 338 13500 11649 12 346 10 330 13 327 13 344 11649 10007 10 357 8 340 11 327 12 346 10007 8554 10 007 6 001 6 329 10 345 8554 7268 13 009 8 022 2 078 4 316 7268 6129 15 359 11 015 3 109 3 279 6129 5123 13 350 11 007 5 052 1 309 5123 4238 10 001 8*004 7 027 2 035 4238 3459 13 021 7*358 6 008 3 018 3459 2763 16 023 7 356 7*328 4 326 2763 2149 15*022 7 352 9*301 10 311 2149 1640 11*021 6 348 9 296 12 309 1640 1251 10 020 6 342 10 294 12 304 1251 984 9 020 5 340 9 293 10 299 984 821 8 020 5 340 9 292 7 294 821 728 6 019 4 337 7 292 4*289 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography