DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 56.1 - - 53.3 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 22 - - 3 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1546 - - 3529 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2258 - - 4241 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1188 - - 1338 - - 2701 - - 1966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 189 - - 19 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 211 - - 149 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -334 - - 1514 - - -878 - - -337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2592 - - 2727 - - 1607 - - 1065 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4305 - - 661 - - -1614 - - -1787 ODpotential blCL - - - 6563 - - 3580 - - 2343 - - 2515 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 56.1 - - 53.3 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 46.6 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 56.2 - - 53.3 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 45.8 - - 47.9 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 22 - - 3 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1546 - - 3529 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 101 - - 87 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96835 31 094 24 083 38 107 35 099 96835 89674 30 104 21 097 33 095 35 095 89674 84096 26 102 18 114 22 102 27 094 84096 79446 22 097 16 115 13 127 17 070 79446 75426 13 100 13 118 7 111 13 066 75426 71871 8 119 11 131 3 089 7 094 71871 68655 7 090 4 125 9 160 5 119 68655 65678 6 271 5 238 4 222 7 181 65678 62887 9 250 10 222 13 246 10 221 62887 60167 12 241 14 212 18 223 15 245 60167 57332 15 253 16 264 20 231 18 237 57332 54380 25 270 19 273 18 229 22 255 54380 51535 36 254 33 265 39 244 30 247 51535 48960 42 244 46 245 43 236 36 241 48960 46645 40 236 49 234 40 245 39 242 46645 44547 40 248 50 233 49 246 45 242 44547 42634 50 246 52 235 53 238 49 236 42634 40874 53 241 48 237 53 234 49 232 40874 39244 52 247 46 240 54 232 50 228 39244 37729 60 243 54 238 55 229 52 225 37729 36317 69 237 65 232 57 229 54 224 36317 34970 72 229 74 226 63 229 53 221 34970 33621 62 227 79 220 69 224 56 219 33621 32240 66 228 75 216 70 214 64 217 32240 30826 73 223 68 217 64 207 67 215 30826 29361 71 218 66 217 55 209 64 213 29361 27832 69 220 62 216 50 206 58 210 27832 26237 69 219 61 214 55 203 53 205 26237 24569 67 214 61 212 55 204 48 201 24569 22829 65 210 59 212 51 201 46 198 22829 21017 63 210 57 209 49 200 46 193 21017 19125 58 211 55 202 47 199 46 190 19125 17149 49 210 52 195 45 197 45 189 17149 15125 40 204 47 192 45 192 48 187 15125 13169 34 197 41 189 46 186 54 186 13169 11387 29 194 37 183 45 181 54 189 11387 9803 29 194 35 184 42 177 43 190 9803 8396 27 193 33 187 37 174 39 192 8396 7146 24 189 31 190 33 174 38 193 7146 6039 22 188 28 194 32 178 36 189 6039 5059 23 189 25*202 32 183 34 186 5059 4195 25 193 24*207 33 186 31 181 4195 3431 25 197 23 209 31 187 27 176 3431 2747 24*199 22 211 28 186 24 171 2747 2142 21*199 21 213 22 183 21 166 2142 1637 17 198 19 214 17 178 16 151 1637 1249 15 198 18 215 13 171 12 129 1249 982 14 198 16 215 9 162 10 104 982 821 12 199 13 215 7*157 9 096 821 728 8 199 9 216 5*149 5*090 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography