DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 84.1 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 384 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1044 - - - - - 296 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 830 - - 1251 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1360 - - 1758 - - - - - 1009 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 293 - - 327 - - - - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 301 - - - - - 73 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 267 - - - - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5506 - - -6793 - - - - - -3787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6866 - - 8552 - - - - - 4796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12272 - - -12603 - - - - - -13471 ODpotential blCL - - - 13632 - - 14361 - - - - - 14480 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 34 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 84.1 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.6 - - 49.6 - - - - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.8 - - 81.8 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 48.7 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 384 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1044 - - - - - 296 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99412 42 112 45 108 33 109 99412 91882 38 113 35 112 33 100 91882 86055 34 114 32 105 32 104 86055 81230 28 114 26 107 31 109 81230 77110 26 101 21 107 28 105 77110 73495 26 107 20 121 24 100 73495 70229 22 104 21 125 17 100 70229 67229 16 127 14 141 15 122 67229 64454 9 141 12 149 13 119 64454 61770 18 167 11 175 12 134 61770 58966 18 173 20 179 8 192 58966 56066 22 209 23 202 17 221 56066 53302 37 207 36 211 27 218 53302 50807 35 212 45 215 36 220 50807 48574 48 220 54 217 45 224 48574 46564 56 217 55 214 52 228 46564 44742 53 219 51 215 56 229 44742 43063 52 225 51 221 58 229 43063 41494 51 229 50 225 58 227 41494 40017 51 231 49 225 56 224 40017 38618 51 232 48 225 55 223 38618 37261 51 231 46 225 54 224 37261 35875 51 230 45 226 52 229 35875 34434 48 232 46 226 51 233 34434 32939 48 234 45 225 47 234 32939 31379 46 234 41 224 40 233 31379 29744 40 231 42 224 36 231 29744 28031 36 228 40 225 33 230 28031 26238 35 229 36 223 32 229 26238 24365 30 229 31 223 30 229 24365 22411 25 230 26 222 26 232 22411 20368 21 229 22 220 22 224 20368 18236 21 225 20 229 17 225 18236 16066 17 230 15 237 10 205 16066 13979 10 225 9 235 8 172 13979 12085 7 230 7 233 5 164 12085 10401 6 246 6 251 2 183 10401 8902 6 251 6 256 2 280 8902 7564 4 247 6 250 5 285 7564 6374 4 243 7 248 8 282 6374 5320 3 264 7 261 12 286 5320 4391 5 289 9 274 16 292 4391 3572 7 292 13 285 19 296 3572 2843 10 287 15 285 22 302 2843 2200 11 276 14*276 21 303 2200 1669 10*258 13*269 16 290 1669 1266 9*252 13 267 12*259 1266 991 9 252 12 266 11*251 991 825 8 251 11 265 10 249 825 730 7 252 10 264 7 248 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography