DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 71 - - -21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 1007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1209 - - 1720 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 448 - - 670 - - 1718 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 181 - - 20 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 045 - - 044 - - 040 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -12 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2319 - - -2808 - - -2862 - - -1649 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3528 - - 4528 - - 3591 - - 2377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9639 - - -9410 - - -7256 - - -8251 ODpotential blCL - - - 10848 - - 11130 - - 7985 - - 8979 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 49 - - 53 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 38.5 - - 42.0 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 55.1 - - 55.9 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 37.2 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 71 - - -21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 1007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95093 56 290 50 291 47 295 57 274 95093 88333 33 288 38 291 36 302 40 284 88333 83079 16 299 24 289 28 302 25 312 83079 78656 8 318 21 287 29 296 26 325 78656 74797 5 337 19 293 26 296 25 316 74797 71369 8 301 17 292 21 300 20 316 71369 68245 13 282 17 295 20 306 23 314 68245 65362 18 283 22 293 23 299 24 299 65362 62679 17 289 19 287 22 285 22 294 62679 60056 16 308 14 297 24 285 28 291 60056 57296 21 307 22 303 27 288 31 285 57296 54419 28 299 29 302 30 295 30 288 54419 51662 30 300 33 298 35 302 29 300 51662 49173 32 310 37 298 39 307 36 314 49173 46944 39 313 41 299 46 308 46 316 46944 44937 45 310 48 301 55 308 52 309 44937 43121 47 315 49 313 58 314 58 320 43121 41466 49 330 54 325 66 322 73 324 41466 39941 59 340 60 332 80 324 86 327 39941 38517 68 344 72 337 85 325 96 328 38517 37171 78 344 86 341 85 329 91 327 37171 35861 87 342 96 341 86 333 78 328 35861 34522 92 340 98 338 88 334 77 333 34522 33131 92 338 94 337 88 333 82 339 33131 31688 90 338 90 338 88 334 88 338 31688 30176 87 339 84 340 87 337 85 341 30176 28583 83 340 79 341 82 340 79 346 28583 26911 75 338 74 341 75 342 72 348 26911 25167 63 337 62 337 66 342 64 352 25167 23352 61 343 52 338 60 344 57 347 23352 21467 66 353 53 348 59 351 53 348 21467 19504 63 000 59 003 59 012 49 011 19504 17461 53 004 55 010 55 024 39 020 17461 15385 41 006 40 009 39 018 28 020 15385 13390 28 008 31 014 29 020 21 034 13390 11575 22 012 27 031 25 040 18 048 11575 9958 25 033 27 043 20 052 12 051 9958 8522 29 045 22 047 11 057 8 068 8522 7245 28 051 13 046 7 058 7 070 7245 6112 22 047 9 054 6 061 5 049 6112 5109 16 050 11 086 8 072 5 016 5109 4227 15 067 12 094 9 069 7 024 4227 3450 15 079 11 082 13 052 11 046 3450 2757 15 070 17 051 21 045 17 048 2757 2146 21 049 22*043 23 043 23 040 2146 1638 23 044 21*043 21 041 21 035 1638 1250 21*044 19 044 17 041 15 035 1250 983 17*044 17 044 14 041 8 036 983 821 14 044 15 045 12*040 3 035 821 728 9 045 10 045 7*040 1*247 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography