DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 64.8 - - 72.2 - - 69.8 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 93 - - 154 - - 8 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 667 - - 1600 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1347 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1380 - - 2313 - - 1298 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 653 - - 834 - - 1314 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 163 - - 257 - - 72 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 025 - - 033 - - 055 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1294 - - -3087 - - -3702 - - -3571 - - -2066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2023 - - 4467 - - 6016 - - 4870 - - 2795 sfcLCL ODpotential -13157 - - -12476 - - -11718 - - -11717 - - -12857 ODpotential blCL 13886 - - 13856 - - 14031 - - 13015 - - 13586 blCL maxRH 61 - - 56 - - 49 - - 50 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 64.8 - - 72.2 - - 69.8 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 48.1 - - 48.7 - - 51.3 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.5 - - 64.1 - - 71.1 - - 70.0 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 47.5 - - 48.1 - - 50.8 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 93 - - 154 - - 8 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 667 - - 1600 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96793 9 040 8 068 5 068 6 302 9 013 96793 89604 8 004 8 036 6 021 10 034 7 050 89604 84049 11 013 8 358 12 354 11 037 13 058 84049 79440 16 350 11 344 14 326 11 040 15 034 79440 75479 15 349 11 352 9 331 9 011 14 021 75479 71996 14 341 12 017 7 352 7 352 10 016 71996 68845 12 344 9 335 14 325 13 343 12 003 68845 65938 12 326 11 315 12 319 13 328 13 345 65938 63229 14 332 13 317 8 330 16 307 19 326 63229 60612 20 318 16 315 13 302 19 286 19 291 60612 57912 21 298 21 309 16 305 16 299 9 285 57912 55115 28 298 25 288 25 295 32 300 23 299 55115 52433 38 282 30 288 39 293 40 289 27 293 52433 50019 37 278 38 286 43 288 44 289 46 292 50019 47872 35 292 37 297 40 291 44 283 48 290 47872 45950 38 309 40 305 39 300 36 285 38 290 45950 44205 43 308 40 311 39 300 34 292 33 289 44205 42586 47 310 43 323 37 307 33 300 32 289 42586 41062 49 311 44 327 34 321 32 307 30 292 41062 39622 46 311 39 330 33 329 25 313 23 297 39622 38256 41 317 35 331 28 328 19 311 13 297 38256 36929 35 320 32 327 23 325 15 311 13 277 36929 35574 31 323 29 321 24 316 16 305 14 271 35574 34160 29 329 28 320 26 313 17 312 14 271 34160 32690 29 322 28 317 24 310 16 302 14 276 32690 31149 32 318 26 310 19 303 16 302 14 288 31149 29526 29 315 20 299 17 293 20 308 14 305 29526 27822 29 310 20 304 22 299 23 313 15 321 27822 26038 33 309 28 309 24 313 23 325 16 340 26038 24177 29 311 32 316 24 322 23 337 14 351 24177 22242 28 314 28 318 21 324 20 338 12 010 22242 20223 24 321 20 319 18 323 15 336 10 008 20223 18115 19 337 17 321 13 318 11 331 7 341 18115 15962 18 347 14 338 10 328 8 326 7 311 15962 13884 16 354 13 358 6 357 4 322 5 297 13884 11987 14 004 11 009 6 030 3 058 3 148 11987 10298 11 021 8 030 5 054 5 085 8 133 10298 8799 8 030 6 044 4 062 5 087 9 128 8799 7469 6 031 5 051 3 051 4 076 9 134 7469 6291 8 039 5 063 3 049 4 065 8 151 6291 5252 10 039 6 064 3 070 3 063 7 169 5252 4338 12 031 6 049 4 072 3 073 7 184 4338 3534 12 022 6 029 5 054 4 074 5 185 3534 2817 14 021 8 028 7*038 6 059 4 155 2817 2187 16 020 10 029 7*031 8 052 5 100 2187 1663 13 014 9*027 7 032 8*052 10 082 1663 1263 8 009 7*025 7 033 8*054 15 075 1263 989 3 027 6 025 7 033 8 056 15 070 989 823 2*091 5 025 6 034 7 056 12*066 823 729 2*125 4 025 5 033 5 056 6*064 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography