DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 53.0 - - 50.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 50 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 300 - - 1550 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1012 - - 2262 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 699 - - 888 - - 2128 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 187 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 022 - - 022 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1456 - - -1330 - - -1533 - - -466 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2468 - - 3592 - - 2261 - - 1194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10021 - - -8762 - - -7372 - - -8747 ODpotential blCL - - - 11033 - - 11024 - - 8100 - - 9475 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 64 - - 69 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 53.0 - - 50.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.2 - - 43.3 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 52.6 - - 50.9 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 38.9 - - 42.0 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 50 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 300 - - 1550 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96456 17 082 20 033 31 050 25 070 96456 89367 18 079 14 060 17 059 15 040 89367 83915 13 068 10 085 8 033 8 032 83915 79350 9 029 5 359 5 335 2 029 79350 75354 8 323 9 347 8 334 8 029 75354 71796 2 010 9 321 13 333 14 020 71796 68576 9 348 4 328 9 331 12 011 68576 65627 16 336 9 326 5 357 8 012 65627 62890 20 327 12 340 10 027 11 031 62890 60223 16 323 14 335 20 354 20 357 60223 57451 15 347 16 331 18 343 16 350 57451 54576 18 348 12 341 12 005 12 005 54576 51821 17 333 14 343 21 348 17 351 51821 49339 9 002 16 333 19 339 12 010 49339 47123 18 018 8 339 4 006 5 024 47123 45128 33 004 30 349 32 000 31 351 45128 43325 39 006 42 354 44 020 32 026 43325 41673 34 006 51 013 50 037 46 045 41673 40130 28 002 49 031 60 039 62 046 40130 38677 41 026 65 043 76 035 72 043 38677 37308 67 035 84 034 89 033 81 045 37308 35986 81 030 102 026 97 033 97 050 35986 34649 79 025 99 022 109 036 112 052 34649 33260 70 022 88 022 114 037 117 053 33260 31817 57 009 78 030 99 037 110 051 31817 30308 52 001 71 029 81 036 93 052 30308 28724 55 012 58 013 72 042 76 058 28724 27063 56 022 52 010 62 045 71 057 27063 25318 47 025 61 021 56 042 66 049 25318 23499 37 016 67 028 56 044 59 052 23499 21609 32 003 60 034 48 041 58 055 21609 19636 31 357 43 032 43 033 57 055 19636 17572 29 344 32 018 39 033 52 052 17572 15460 29 346 33 020 34 034 42 050 15460 13427 24 001 26 018 27 036 29 051 13427 11583 18 018 17 014 17 026 20 052 11583 9949 18 034 15 017 15 026 17 064 9949 8499 17 043 14 019 15 032 14 070 8499 7212 16 044 14 017 13 037 11 062 7212 6073 14 041 14 014 12 036 11 051 6073 5069 12 029 14 012 14 035 13 048 5069 4189 9 020 13 016 16 034 15 050 4189 3416 9 025 13 020 17 028 21 047 3416 2729 10 025 11*020 15 023 26 040 2729 2126 10 019 6*021 11 021 24 040 2126 1624 7 010 5 023 9 021 16 050 1624 1241 1*295 5 022 8 022 12 069 1241 978 3*222 4 023 7 022 10 077 978 819 3 219 4 023 5 023 7*078 819 728 3 217 3 022 4*022 4*079 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography