DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 54.7 - - 56.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 146 - - 122 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 2140 - - 1961 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1701 - - 1481 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1714 - - 2852 - - 2673 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1828 - - 1946 - - 1868 - - 2671 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 278 - - 256 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 271 - - 267 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 385 - - 460 - - 188 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1329 - - 2392 - - 2485 - - 1477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 333 - - 333 - - -63 - - -1657 ODpotential blCL - - - 1381 - - 2519 - - 2736 - - 2386 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 54.7 - - 56.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 46.9 - - 47.8 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 53.7 - - 55.1 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 46.2 - - 47.1 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 146 - - 122 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 2140 - - 1961 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97503 4 077 5 285 9 334 11 351 97503 90171 4 155 3 343 8 009 6 051 90171 84547 8 116 6 105 5 017 5 084 84547 79873 9 102 11 106 5 070 4 094 79873 75842 6 104 8 096 5 057 6 070 75842 72278 7 119 3 078 3 053 7 084 72278 69024 6 105 4 129 3 165 5 121 69024 66002 3 174 7 182 5 174 5 201 66002 63184 6 210 11 197 5 214 5 205 63184 60447 10 222 10 201 10 239 5 271 60447 57598 8 242 5 242 8 247 6 262 57598 54642 13 269 9 280 9 313 7 336 54642 51815 10 274 12 302 19 311 21 327 51815 49286 11 313 13 315 21 310 25 323 49286 47033 18 320 17 337 21 320 25 334 47033 44998 24 329 22 338 27 335 30 340 44998 43140 24 341 31 334 33 341 31 342 43140 41428 31 346 40 334 39 347 33 354 41428 39836 40 347 42 336 42 347 39 356 39836 38352 45 352 40 339 42 348 43 355 38352 36962 48 356 38 344 42 351 43 356 36962 35627 48 357 38 352 40 354 41 001 35627 34283 49 359 38 357 39 357 47 013 34283 32903 47 359 38 001 38 001 52 015 32903 31486 42 001 40 003 38 005 48 012 31486 30009 35 000 41 005 39 008 43 012 30009 28453 33 355 37 003 40 010 42 015 28453 26817 33 351 32 355 37 007 42 018 26817 25100 34 357 30 347 31 000 37 017 25100 23308 35 004 29 347 25 353 28 011 23308 21442 36 003 30 351 22 352 21 008 21442 19493 34 001 30 354 22 352 19 008 19493 17454 30 004 29 354 22 353 19 007 17454 15370 30 004 27 356 22 354 20 002 15370 13359 32 006 25 357 22 355 20 358 13359 11532 32 006 23 357 21 355 19 356 11532 9912 30 002 21 359 19 352 16 356 9912 8476 25 001 18 360 15 347 15 012 8476 7201 20 004 14 002 15 357 20 027 7201 6072 14 350 10 008 13 011 19 030 6072 5077 8 314 5 349 9 024 14 029 5077 4205 7 272 4 283 6 026 9 027 4205 3437 9 265 6*269 3 342 6 017 3437 2749 10 268 8*271 5*275 4 348 2749 2142 10*268 9 271 8*268 7 303 2142 1637 9*267 9 271 8 267 8 289 1637 1249 9 265 9 271 8 266 9 282 1249 983 8 264 9 270 8 266 8 277 983 821 7 264 8 270 8 266 6*273 821 729 6 263 7 270 7 265 4*270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography