DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 74.4 - - 70.4 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 467 - - 315 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 1632 - - 1142 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1395 - - 1715 - - 1273 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1997 - - 2346 - - 1856 - - 1274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 508 - - 536 - - 432 - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 371 - - 289 - - 115 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 273 - - 275 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2096 - - -2829 - - -2575 - - -1002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4093 - - 5175 - - 4431 - - 2276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9797 - - -10131 - - -10566 - - -12022 ODpotential blCL - - - 11794 - - 12477 - - 12422 - - 13296 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 63 - - 67 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 74.4 - - 70.4 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 54.3 - - 53.5 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 71.8 - - 68.6 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 53.7 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 467 - - 315 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 1632 - - 1142 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98807 31 117 26 124 20 110 26 098 98807 91315 22 112 20 114 23 106 21 100 91315 85573 21 109 19 111 23 099 20 097 85573 80813 20 103 18 101 20 106 16 093 80813 76715 14 096 8 087 15 099 16 095 76715 73089 11 105 11 139 4 075 16 072 73089 69806 10 112 9 112 3 116 9 041 69806 66810 3 096 7 131 6 153 3 087 66810 64040 3 179 2 146 5 133 2 151 64040 61359 2 260 3 228 2 304 3 249 61359 58580 13 260 9 254 8 292 6 297 58580 55707 22 254 22 256 24 268 22 282 55707 52973 29 266 31 260 32 264 32 270 52973 50521 42 268 41 266 41 268 41 267 50521 48332 49 266 47 265 47 268 46 268 48332 46351 50 267 50 264 49 268 48 268 46351 44537 53 268 52 265 52 267 51 269 44537 42858 54 267 51 266 52 268 50 269 42858 41293 54 265 48 268 50 269 49 269 41293 39822 51 265 45 270 47 270 47 269 39822 38432 47 265 43 269 44 271 44 269 38432 37082 45 263 41 266 42 271 42 271 37082 35706 43 264 40 264 42 268 42 270 35706 34274 43 269 39 264 40 265 40 269 34274 32788 44 273 39 264 39 266 38 269 32788 31235 44 275 40 264 39 269 37 272 31235 29601 40 277 40 266 38 269 36 271 29601 27886 33 276 40 272 37 270 34 270 27886 26088 28 275 31 271 33 267 30 269 26088 24210 25 277 26 268 26 265 26 267 24210 22255 22 279 24 266 22 263 23 267 22255 20216 19 277 23 264 22 267 21 274 20216 18087 15 283 15 270 16 276 13 282 18087 15920 7 288 8 277 8 312 4 314 15920 13835 4 291 3 310 6 007 5 024 13835 11941 4 022 3 008 6 018 8 023 11941 10262 7 030 5 004 8 011 11 015 10262 8771 9 022 10 358 9 019 11 009 8771 7447 7 017 9 350 9 028 10 010 7447 6271 4 026 3 335 7 016 10 024 6271 5233 2 015 2 232 4 346 8 024 5233 4320 1 307 5 222 5 279 5 331 4320 3517 3 251 7 237 9 263 8 280 3517 2801 8 249 9*255 12 262 12 259 2801 2173 10*253 10*270 13*270 14 260 2173 1653 10*255 11 273 13*275 13*267 1653 1258 10 255 11 273 13 275 12*270 1258 988 9 256 11 274 13 276 12 271 988 823 9 256 10 274 12 276 10 271 823 729 8 256 9 274 10 275 8 271 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography