DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.3 - - 58.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 96 - - 1 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 749 - - 314 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1015 - - 1462 - - 1027 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 449 - - 571 - - 573 - - 149 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 176 - - 54 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 064 - - 062 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2187 - - -2082 - - -2098 - - -1508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3203 - - 3545 - - 3125 - - 2236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9786 - - -8666 - - -8859 - - -11012 ODpotential blCL - - - 10801 - - 10128 - - 9886 - - 11740 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 64 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.3 - - 58.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 47.7 - - 48.2 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 59.7 - - 58.9 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 46.5 - - 47.1 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 96 - - 1 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 749 - - 314 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95655 46 302 41 305 55 303 48 279 95655 88699 29 309 34 307 45 305 33 306 88699 83329 21 316 31 307 29 311 27 308 83329 78835 16 310 25 309 25 318 22 309 78835 74953 13 312 19 309 23 305 23 312 74953 71528 12 310 16 307 23 294 23 310 71528 68433 14 312 18 305 19 291 16 300 68433 65578 20 305 21 297 20 294 13 286 65578 62914 20 305 24 289 22 295 14 288 62914 60329 23 303 27 284 25 293 21 296 60329 57631 22 295 26 284 30 297 27 309 57631 54822 28 304 33 296 40 299 38 296 54822 52126 35 306 34 305 34 295 33 280 52126 49685 37 311 35 320 39 328 25 316 49685 47497 44 316 54 321 55 323 43 323 47497 45531 53 315 63 309 62 308 42 303 45531 43742 50 311 55 298 46 291 28 306 43742 42081 38 323 28 326 20 316 27 338 42081 40538 59 010 40 004 46 355 45 340 40538 39109 73 004 65 353 63 344 54 340 39109 37764 89 353 75 346 60 336 57 339 37764 36454 88 349 70 342 57 344 52 337 36454 35114 87 349 61 347 49 351 43 333 35114 33714 74 354 49 346 38 342 37 340 33714 32261 59 350 46 343 28 344 28 342 32261 30741 55 349 53 336 38 321 21 332 30741 29140 47 350 49 343 42 322 28 309 29140 27458 42 004 32 342 32 325 43 295 27458 25699 27 356 15 327 19 284 42 282 25699 23864 28 328 23 319 27 281 41 276 23864 21950 26 325 28 324 31 301 37 290 21950 19949 25 315 22 315 22 306 30 285 19949 17862 22 310 22 300 18 290 26 265 17862 15731 17 308 20 294 18 274 26 260 15731 13678 12 304 17 290 16 267 23 269 13678 11813 10 302 14 290 15 275 17 280 11813 10156 8 304 11 293 12 286 10 286 10156 8682 5 308 7 297 9 294 7 289 8682 7372 4 287 4 296 6 288 4 282 7372 6209 4 289 2 316 3 286 2 258 6209 5184 2 350 2 042 0 166 1 245 5184 4284 3 052 4 084 3 112 0 279 4284 3491 5 056 8 088 5 109 1 076 3491 2785 5 046 10 076 6 100 1 079 2785 2162 8 039 11 065 8 085 2 085 2162 1646 11 040 11*063 10 071 5 093 1646 1252 11*044 11*063 10*063 9 086 1252 983 10*046 10 064 9*062 11 072 983 821 7 048 9 064 8 062 9*064 821 728 5 050 7 065 6 061 5*060 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography