DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 61.6 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 138 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1288 - - 2449 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1927 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2001 - - 3162 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2740 - - 2203 - - - - - 3677 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 292 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 210 - - - - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 687 - - 985 - - - - - -866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1314 - - 2177 - - - - - 1595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 482 - - 620 - - - - - -1399 ODpotential blCL - - - 1519 - - 2542 - - - - - 2128 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 1030 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 61.6 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 54.4 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 60.6 - - - - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 53.4 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 138 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1288 - - 2449 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97219 50 279 55 274 55 288 97219 89800 40 267 41 278 41 288 89800 84151 33 271 28 278 27 286 84151 79514 27 279 27 283 20 278 79514 75539 24 275 26 280 21 279 75539 72024 25 274 21 274 28 274 72024 68821 23 269 23 281 30 269 68821 65845 23 265 26 285 28 267 65845 63052 21 259 26 274 24 266 63052 60322 19 250 25 263 23 271 60322 57472 20 248 22 260 24 269 57472 54526 19 252 18 258 22 261 54526 51719 17 253 19 256 21 268 51719 49187 16 253 22 253 23 277 49187 46908 13 251 21 254 23 274 46908 44833 14 253 22 256 24 269 44833 42928 21 239 25 247 27 267 42928 41172 23 232 25 243 27 266 41172 39545 24 229 26 237 25 269 39545 38028 26 226 26 232 25 269 38028 36611 30 224 26 231 26 267 36611 35253 35 220 26 230 27 269 35253 33885 41 221 27 232 28 270 33885 32476 50 216 31 233 27 270 32476 31032 54 213 34 229 26 263 31032 29546 54 212 39 225 27 240 29546 28012 55 210 42 219 35 217 28012 26418 50 205 40 214 34 218 26418 24746 45 203 37 216 30 229 24746 22992 42 203 36 214 25 237 22992 21163 40 202 36 213 20 240 21163 19253 39 202 34 215 18 232 19253 17257 36 204 34 214 18 230 17257 15218 32 202 29 207 19 236 15218 13249 30 198 28 204 19 235 13249 11457 28 198 28 199 19 227 11457 9863 26 199 24 196 19 224 9863 8447 23 204 23 194 19 221 8447 7187 21 210 21 193 19 217 7187 6068 18 208 18 192 20 215 6068 5079 15 206 16 196 20 214 5079 4208 14 211 16 199 19 215 4208 3441 12 216 16*203 18 216 3441 2754 11 219 15*205 16 219 2754 2148 11*220 15 208 16 222 2148 1641 10*221 14 210 15 225 1641 1252 9 222 13 212 13 228 1252 985 8 223 12 213 11 230 985 822 7 224 11 214 9*231 822 729 6 224 9 215 6*232 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography