DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 78.4 - - 73.3 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 397 - - 198 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 791 - - 1597 - - 1190 - - 364 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 908 - - 1655 - - 1155 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1504 - - 2310 - - 1903 - - 1077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 544 - - 596 - - 587 - - 668 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 350 - - 251 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 252 - - 272 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1331 - - -2579 - - -2379 - - -1250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2835 - - 4890 - - 4282 - - 2328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9410 - - -8739 - - -9694 - - -10746 ODpotential blCL - - - 10914 - - 11049 - - 11597 - - 11823 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 81 - - 68 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 90 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 78.4 - - 73.3 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 59.5 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 76.1 - - 71.9 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 59.0 - - 56.7 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 397 - - 198 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 791 - - 1597 - - 1190 - - 364 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 26 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 25 103 24 097 27 103 24 109 99261 91791 20 096 22 106 20 104 19 093 91791 86011 22 108 19 107 15 089 18 090 86011 81213 22 108 16 098 14 103 17 072 81213 77086 18 105 15 105 9 089 20 071 77086 73439 14 114 10 112 11 056 15 073 73439 70137 9 088 8 103 6 083 8 050 70137 67101 5 112 5 079 7 100 2 309 67101 64292 4 101 1 209 4 045 1 353 64292 61577 2 041 4 238 5 307 4 331 61577 58761 2 310 4 237 8 268 7 289 58761 55854 8 257 7 256 9 247 9 255 55854 53083 11 245 10 237 11 251 11 239 53083 50591 13 230 15 223 17 238 17 231 50591 48361 14 224 18 226 21 231 22 234 48361 46337 15 241 19 230 22 226 26 237 46337 44475 20 241 22 238 24 228 28 230 44475 42750 24 230 28 235 25 228 26 225 42750 41145 28 227 29 224 24 223 23 216 41145 39646 31 223 29 219 25 217 22 209 39646 38240 29 218 29 216 25 216 20 202 38240 36884 22 213 25 218 24 216 18 200 36884 35507 20 204 18 213 20 215 15 198 35507 34080 18 213 14 201 13 208 11 189 34080 32604 15 226 14 211 9 190 11 175 32604 31063 12 215 15 217 11 190 11 169 31063 29446 8 182 15 213 14 192 9 177 29446 27750 8 154 14 192 16 196 10 206 27750 25976 8 161 11 186 17 212 11 214 25976 24126 7 211 8 211 12 221 8 217 24126 22201 8 222 9 215 11 220 8 224 22201 20193 7 202 6 204 7 223 7 227 20193 18099 9 193 8 208 5 220 7 213 18099 15958 11 199 11 205 6 218 9 207 15958 13889 11 207 11 204 9 216 11 209 13889 11999 12 214 12 210 12 213 12 213 11999 10315 14 217 13 211 13 214 11 213 10315 8816 15 214 15 210 13 213 10 207 8816 7483 15 213 14 211 12 212 11 210 7483 6300 13 212 13 209 13 210 14 210 6300 5254 12 207 15 199 16 205 17 207 5254 4334 14 199 17 189 19 200 20 205 4334 3524 16 193 17 190 19 204 21 205 3524 2805 17 194 15*202 17 214 20 208 2805 2176 14 200 10*227 13*239 18 217 2176 1656 9*212 9 253 12*268 14 238 1656 1260 6*235 10 258 11 272 11*261 1260 989 5 241 9 260 11 274 10*267 989 824 5 244 9 260 10 275 9 270 824 729 5 246 8 261 9 274 7 270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography