DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 58.6 - - 54.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 45 - - -16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 645 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 729 - - 1357 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 401 - - 650 - - 811 - - 345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 137 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 049 - - 064 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2501 - - -2632 - - -2021 - - -2089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3231 - - 3989 - - 2750 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11663 - - -10552 - - -10261 - - -12558 ODpotential blCL - - - 12392 - - 11909 - - 10990 - - 13286 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 55 - - 63 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 58.6 - - 54.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 44.2 - - 45.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 58.3 - - 55.1 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 42.9 - - 44.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 45 - - -16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 645 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96300 20 013 21 025 13 030 14 349 96300 89351 18 050 24 044 24 053 24 051 89351 83880 15 062 17 046 27 061 24 069 83880 79314 12 068 9 047 22 050 19 068 79314 75384 12 073 8 056 19 036 22 050 75384 71907 11 050 9 054 14 026 18 049 71907 68754 11 012 9 003 12 026 16 040 68754 65845 10 008 9 324 13 342 17 005 65845 63144 16 011 10 347 15 336 20 335 63144 60537 23 355 18 001 20 343 22 340 60537 57811 32 342 27 342 25 337 23 339 57811 54961 37 333 35 337 30 333 30 345 54961 52222 39 324 35 326 36 329 39 340 52222 49752 36 318 35 325 37 333 41 340 49752 47540 33 320 34 329 39 339 41 345 47540 45535 31 321 35 334 40 344 43 350 45535 43702 31 311 37 326 41 345 44 355 43702 42011 34 304 35 315 40 340 43 351 42011 40441 40 290 36 301 33 325 35 344 40441 38981 43 282 42 288 31 302 29 337 38981 37617 46 283 42 279 38 290 33 316 37617 36308 51 284 39 281 39 280 36 301 36308 34983 56 283 42 285 32 291 35 299 34983 33603 53 283 41 287 26 299 28 306 33603 32167 41 289 30 291 20 297 22 302 32167 30662 31 290 24 297 18 303 17 292 30662 29074 23 287 23 295 18 307 15 297 29074 27404 21 284 22 295 18 309 15 305 27404 25650 23 288 22 300 18 314 15 317 25650 23817 23 296 20 305 19 319 14 328 23817 21906 22 304 18 312 19 324 12 340 21906 19913 18 319 15 325 17 330 12 344 19913 17837 10 327 10 326 14 335 12 346 17837 15717 7 328 6 320 12 333 11 356 15717 13668 9 348 7 347 10 342 12 009 13668 11799 8 012 7 020 8 002 12 015 11799 10133 9 034 9 027 8 024 11 020 10133 8654 8 036 10 025 10 031 12 024 8654 7342 7 037 9 022 11 030 13 024 7342 6181 6 038 8 015 12 027 13 024 6181 5155 6 036 8 010 12 027 13 023 5155 4256 5 033 8 010 13 028 14 021 4256 3466 5 026 9 013 14 029 15 023 3466 2764 4 021 9 021 14 035 16 026 2764 2148 4 043 9 037 14 043 16 027 2148 1637 7 065 9*046 14 051 16 029 1637 1248 9 068 9*049 13 058 12 037 1248 982 9 064 9 049 11 060 8 052 982 820 7*061 8 049 9*062 6 058 820 728 4*058 6 051 5*064 1*085 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography