DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 59.6 - - 58.6 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 166 - - 23 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2602 - - 2730 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2095 - - 2213 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3315 - - 3443 - - 2880 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2156 - - 2007 - - 2204 - - 2857 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 321 - - 170 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 280 - - 285 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 732 - - 420 - - -360 - - -1280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2583 - - 3023 - - 3240 - - 2008 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 317 - - -249 - - -1803 - - -2392 ODpotential blCL - - - 2998 - - 3692 - - 4683 - - 3120 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 95 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 59.6 - - 58.6 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 48.8 - - 47.0 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 58.5 - - 58.4 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 47.6 - - 45.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 166 - - 23 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2602 - - 2730 - - 2167 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 78 - - 100 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97793 17 234 23 250 30 259 23 283 97793 90303 18 266 21 271 23 265 24 274 90303 84582 19 261 23 275 21 291 15 273 84582 79853 17 269 17 259 21 296 12 288 79853 75779 14 283 13 259 20 287 15 298 75779 72191 14 290 14 285 15 272 18 297 72191 68949 11 281 16 285 15 276 19 295 68949 65963 13 286 19 281 19 288 20 303 65963 63187 17 288 21 277 23 290 20 299 63187 60484 17 284 21 276 23 287 19 282 60484 57649 20 283 21 277 22 279 18 281 57649 54703 25 281 21 269 19 274 20 287 54703 51887 26 275 21 255 19 275 18 270 51887 49350 24 266 21 249 19 266 15 267 49350 47076 24 256 20 253 19 257 12 270 47076 45011 26 252 20 255 17 247 9 258 45011 43116 27 247 22 251 14 245 6 240 43116 41366 27 244 24 246 11 246 2 139 41366 39745 23 243 21 238 10 241 7 067 39745 38239 20 243 16 233 8 221 12 061 38239 36838 18 240 13 231 4 162 20 065 36838 35498 14 241 11 218 6 105 25 064 35498 34146 8 249 7 154 12 097 24 068 34146 32753 5 258 14 082 27 085 31 085 32753 31326 4 103 24 068 40 083 46 082 31326 29852 19 090 29 076 57 072 51 069 29852 28308 27 083 42 085 45 061 50 067 28308 26684 33 088 48 082 43 067 48 069 26684 24978 41 086 43 081 40 071 42 075 24978 23194 32 089 39 080 33 074 32 083 23194 21337 25 085 33 079 30 084 26 092 21337 19399 19 084 25 079 28 100 24 103 19399 17378 15 088 14 071 18 092 18 095 17378 15311 13 090 11 077 11 076 13 075 15311 13317 12 089 10 096 7 085 11 033 13317 11503 15 090 9 108 7 086 10 011 11503 9891 14 092 11 094 7 071 7 017 9891 8460 8 107 9 087 4 080 7 032 8460 7190 7 152 6 078 3 179 4 022 7190 6066 6 187 2 129 7 196 1 291 6066 5073 6 227 3 210 8 209 4 244 5073 4201 7 256 4 233 7 251 7 273 4201 3433 8*271 6*272 9*272 11 286 3433 2747 8*274 8*280 12*285 13 290 2747 2142 8 274 9 281 13 285 14 288 2142 1638 8 274 9 280 14 285 13 283 1638 1250 8 273 9 280 13 285 13 279 1250 983 8 274 8 279 13 285 11 276 983 821 7 273 8 278 11 284 9 275 821 728 6 273 7 277 8 283 6*272 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography