DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.3 - - 50.1 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 78 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 671 - - 2249 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1378 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1383 - - 2961 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1250 - - 2101 - - 3122 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 237 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 009 - - 026 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -399 - - 814 - - -1040 - - -128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1782 - - 2147 - - 1768 - - 856 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2144 - - 310 - - -1336 - - -1858 ODpotential blCL - - - 3527 - - 2651 - - 2064 - - 2586 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 94 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.3 - - 50.1 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 45.6 - - 45.1 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 51.7 - - 50.2 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 78 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 671 - - 2249 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 74 - - 63 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 19 038 16 014 18 040 19 030 96349 89251 16 037 14 049 10 072 16 024 89251 83768 11 032 8 050 11 045 7 073 83768 79222 2 064 2 243 12 342 4 072 79222 75266 5 254 9 258 11 315 8 287 75266 71727 11 259 15 274 10 303 17 292 71727 68496 11 256 15 282 8 292 17 289 68496 65507 13 273 19 286 16 310 20 307 65507 62730 15 268 20 286 23 296 23 296 62730 60040 11 275 16 269 20 281 18 292 60040 57233 15 292 15 285 22 288 22 300 57233 54329 26 294 21 289 25 291 19 304 54329 51552 25 281 20 292 21 279 21 320 51552 49048 23 279 21 308 13 286 25 314 49048 46814 23 290 25 313 11 338 16 307 46814 44795 26 296 22 311 20 011 7 325 44795 42950 23 297 17 326 33 360 20 012 42950 41264 15 303 17 349 37 356 40 030 41264 39716 17 323 26 006 29 013 68 033 39716 38279 20 325 34 007 50 027 91 027 38279 36932 20 337 38 011 70 027 90 024 36932 35628 25 348 39 022 75 026 80 027 35628 34303 25 348 43 032 71 029 75 037 34303 32930 23 355 46 035 68 034 77 046 32930 31506 26 012 45 034 69 039 77 050 31506 30014 31 016 42 031 70 044 75 052 30014 28442 34 012 42 029 67 048 73 052 28442 26793 36 010 41 025 60 044 64 054 26793 25066 37 012 38 023 48 042 54 056 25066 23263 37 015 35 023 38 033 47 054 23263 21387 34 017 33 020 32 022 38 046 21387 19437 31 016 32 015 26 019 29 032 19437 17405 29 015 29 013 24 016 19 023 17405 15328 25 021 25 013 23 011 16 022 15328 13319 21 029 20 019 20 009 15 023 13319 11490 18 027 16 024 15 013 13 026 11490 9866 15 022 13 026 12 027 10 028 9866 8430 11 006 11 027 11 043 10 030 8430 7159 9 348 10 020 11 048 12 029 7159 6037 9 351 10 007 11 037 14 027 6037 5047 10 359 10 003 12 024 17 020 5047 4178 10 007 10 011 12 018 21 013 4178 3413 11 013 10*013 12 020 22 008 3413 2731 11 014 10*012 11 022 22 006 2731 2129 11 011 10 011 10 025 20 007 2129 1627 9*007 9 009 10 026 17 014 1627 1243 7*003 9 008 9 027 13 023 1243 979 5 357 8 007 8 027 9 032 979 820 4 356 7 006 7 027 6*040 820 728 4 352 6 007 5*026 3*060 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography