DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 70.3 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 454 - - - - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1611 - - 2270 - - - - - 771 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1332 - - 2183 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2324 - - 2983 - - - - - 1484 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1236 - - 739 - - - - - 604 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 409 - - - - - 117 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 268 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 419 - - -560 - - - - - 104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1905 - - 3543 - - - - - 1380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 370 - - -6396 - - - - - -70 ODpotential blCL - - - 1954 - - 9379 - - - - - 1554 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 89 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 70.3 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 57.2 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 67.9 - - - - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 56.9 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 454 - - - - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1611 - - 2270 - - - - - 771 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 54 - - - - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99267 29 109 28 109 30 115 99267 91778 25 120 23 112 24 108 91778 86013 22 118 26 112 20 108 86013 81239 20 121 19 120 16 112 81239 77124 19 123 16 143 15 088 77124 73483 15 105 13 148 9 088 73483 70185 7 151 11 158 7 115 70185 67158 7 139 12 167 4 168 67158 64359 5 228 8 190 9 185 64359 61645 12 230 15 218 14 220 61645 58809 17 226 18 224 19 227 58809 55862 17 228 24 226 21 224 55862 53039 18 233 26 224 22 232 53039 50495 19 237 26 222 25 242 50495 48220 18 244 24 222 29 243 48220 46163 18 255 21 229 33 242 46163 44288 20 263 21 248 31 246 44288 42572 19 272 23 263 29 260 42572 40994 17 281 20 273 30 269 40994 39526 13 290 19 288 30 275 39526 38147 11 307 16 298 30 277 38147 36809 10 317 15 310 30 274 36809 35446 9 312 16 310 29 269 35446 34028 8 289 16 302 28 267 34028 32559 8 262 14 292 28 268 32559 31021 9 250 12 279 26 268 31021 29401 9 246 12 265 24 268 29401 27701 9 247 12 256 21 258 27701 25922 9 242 13 254 21 246 25922 24068 8 230 12 245 21 236 24068 22136 8 236 12 230 22 227 22136 20118 9 227 11 215 20 223 20118 18008 11 216 12 211 17 216 18008 15853 13 204 13 208 14 202 15853 13775 13 192 13 192 13 194 13775 11885 13 191 15 185 13 186 11885 10209 13 194 15 188 12 185 10209 8724 14 198 16 194 12 193 8724 7406 15 200 16 198 14 196 7406 6238 17 195 16 197 16 194 6238 5204 17 191 16 190 17 191 5204 4295 13 202 14 193 15 198 4295 3496 9 239 10*219 13 219 3496 2787 9*257 10*258 13 260 2787 2166 8*254 11 266 14 277 2166 1651 7 246 11 269 13*277 1651 1258 7 246 11 271 12*275 1258 987 6 246 11 271 11 274 987 823 6 246 10 271 10 274 823 729 5 246 9 271 7 273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography