DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.1 - - 51.8 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 45 - - -35 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 819 - - 1475 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1531 - - 2187 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2571 - - 3512 - - 3998 - - 2847 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 180 - - 17 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 22 - - 11 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 197 - - 182 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 209 - - 431 - - -559 - - -198 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1322 - - 1756 - - 1288 - - 926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -462 - - -609 - - -1616 - - -687 ODpotential blCL - - - 1993 - - 2796 - - 2345 - - 1415 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 97 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 300 - - 250 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.1 - - 51.8 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 53.8 - - 52.8 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 47.6 - - 48.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 45 - - -35 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 819 - - 1475 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 87 - - 78 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96141 17 347 19 312 25 348 12 321 96141 89108 15 307 20 324 16 346 17 327 89108 83682 12 322 17 315 13 309 23 302 83682 79153 15 291 17 330 7 319 8 349 79153 75195 24 252 22 261 27 264 21 281 75195 71680 18 219 24 216 26 223 20 259 71680 68490 9 192 16 195 16 198 14 217 68490 65512 18 230 24 236 19 235 16 225 65512 62701 44 239 42 239 37 241 34 227 62701 59954 58 231 52 233 48 232 38 246 59954 57098 59 235 49 237 48 243 44 245 57098 54157 53 237 52 242 45 249 49 249 54157 51363 53 243 59 246 49 247 47 238 51363 48848 62 244 55 248 46 248 48 250 48848 46579 66 241 69 251 66 258 56 254 46579 44510 68 244 75 244 84 252 70 248 44510 42618 77 249 80 244 86 250 80 243 42618 40884 85 245 91 244 88 250 90 245 40884 39283 90 241 93 244 97 250 101 247 39283 37805 92 240 102 248 111 249 119 250 37805 36434 95 240 117 252 123 248 140 250 36434 35124 97 241 127 252 125 248 149 248 35124 33793 97 242 129 251 124 248 148 247 33793 32408 95 243 126 250 124 246 144 246 32408 30974 95 243 121 251 124 245 139 246 30974 29479 93 240 118 251 122 245 133 245 29479 27911 85 235 114 248 121 245 123 244 27911 26275 75 232 104 242 121 244 111 243 26275 24571 74 228 92 234 119 243 102 241 24571 22800 76 227 85 229 112 242 98 240 22800 20960 75 228 81 227 97 239 93 238 20960 19048 71 228 75 227 82 237 81 233 19048 17067 67 224 66 230 71 237 68 224 17067 15053 63 222 56 227 59 231 61 219 15053 13108 56 223 50 222 54 225 59 226 13108 11336 49 224 49 216 54 222 60 229 11336 9762 45 223 48 214 52 218 58 230 9762 8363 45 223 47 213 49 215 52 229 8363 7122 44 225 44 216 48 214 48 230 7122 6020 43 227 40 218 49 210 47 230 6020 5042 41 228 37 216 49 206 46 229 5042 4180 38 227 34 212 48 204 45 228 4180 3418 34 225 31 208 46 202 44 225 3418 2737 29 222 29*204 43 199 42 222 2737 2135 24 219 27*201 38 196 39 218 2135 1633 20*218 24 197 33 191 35 215 1633 1247 16*217 22 195 27 187 30 213 1247 982 14 217 20 195 22 184 25 212 982 820 13 218 17 195 18*183 22 211 820 728 9 218 12 194 11*182 13*211 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography