DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.0 - - 69.8 - - 68.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 130 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 577 - - 1640 - - 1007 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1284 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1289 - - 2353 - - 1720 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 177 - - 674 - - 879 - - 1211 - - 427 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 133 - - 246 - - 74 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 002 - - 348 - - 311 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -434 - - -4382 - - -5424 - - -5026 - - -841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1163 - - 5671 - - 7778 - - 6746 - - 1570 sfcLCL ODpotential -10277 - - -14612 - - -14365 - - -13445 - - -10486 ODpotential blCL 11006 - - 15901 - - 16718 - - 15165 - - 11215 blCL maxRH 75 - - 46 - - 68 - - 41 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.0 - - 69.8 - - 68.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.4 - - 41.3 - - 38.8 - - 41.8 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 62.6 - - 69.0 - - 68.6 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 40.3 - - 37.9 - - 41.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 130 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 577 - - 1640 - - 1007 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 43 286 37 293 40 284 41 283 49 285 96248 89263 21 303 24 292 23 285 25 286 28 294 89263 83869 13 315 13 279 21 285 17 308 15 285 83869 79366 10 285 9 272 18 285 12 324 11 268 79366 75452 9 298 10 274 18 271 13 284 10 306 75452 71985 13 326 5 271 16 261 15 271 14 303 71985 68850 16 319 12 311 12 286 13 283 12 300 68850 65962 18 313 12 325 7 286 11 300 13 308 65962 63280 15 310 14 342 10 330 11 290 19 318 63280 60693 11 328 13 335 7 334 10 312 19 301 60693 58006 17 342 10 349 11 344 10 307 16 308 58006 55227 26 345 23 344 16 335 21 318 19 302 55227 52575 33 355 25 341 22 346 26 325 20 305 52575 50179 42 351 31 349 29 345 27 329 22 300 50179 48018 45 358 34 352 30 352 26 332 23 307 48018 46045 51 003 40 001 36 356 36 333 30 319 46045 44231 51 008 45 359 43 346 45 333 40 327 44231 42553 54 012 47 357 46 343 50 331 47 332 42553 40990 58 014 47 357 43 343 48 330 49 335 40990 39523 55 013 44 356 38 346 41 334 44 335 39523 38141 49 012 42 353 34 348 37 340 41 335 38141 36802 42 012 42 351 31 347 36 344 40 337 36802 35438 41 007 41 349 29 350 35 345 37 338 35438 34018 45 358 37 348 28 348 32 344 33 337 34018 32546 43 354 33 347 27 343 22 344 28 337 32546 31006 37 354 26 338 25 333 19 342 21 329 31006 29385 33 353 24 330 30 322 21 332 18 328 29385 27686 27 001 25 329 28 323 25 317 20 327 27686 25908 21 359 23 332 23 321 22 314 25 320 25908 24057 17 353 19 336 19 320 22 320 24 316 24057 22133 19 351 15 340 19 325 23 327 23 317 22133 20125 24 359 18 345 20 334 24 332 19 328 20125 18023 28 005 23 351 21 343 22 338 18 342 18023 15874 31 006 23 360 20 352 19 354 15 354 15874 13800 30 009 20 010 17 003 17 009 13 012 13800 11913 25 013 16 012 14 011 14 023 13 024 11913 10236 20 014 14 008 14 012 13 028 12 028 10236 8746 16 010 14 006 14 015 13 030 12 027 8746 7422 14 005 13 005 13 017 13 032 13 028 7422 6248 14 001 11 005 11 017 12 031 13 027 6248 5212 14 357 10 007 10 016 11 029 12 024 5212 4303 13 353 11 003 11 014 11 028 15 019 4303 3506 12 350 11 356 12 009 11 021 14 012 3506 2797 10 352 11 354 10*002 8 007 10 003 2797 2173 9 356 9 001 7*350 6*333 8 349 2173 1656 6 350 7*007 6 349 6*318 6 334 1656 1259 5 321 5*009 6 347 6 311 6 315 1259 988 4 289 3 359 5 345 5 309 5 294 988 823 2*250 2 358 5 343 5 308 3*271 823 729 1*214 2 354 4 342 4 306 2*249 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography