DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 66.4 - - 73.0 - - 73.0 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 113 - - 171 - - 61 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 653 - - 1537 - - 1114 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1385 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1366 - - 2251 - - 1828 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 180 - - 661 - - 1332 - - 1706 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 177 - - 269 - - 177 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 269 - - 308 - - 318 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2539 - - -4099 - - -4755 - - -4579 - - -1839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3268 - - 5466 - - 7006 - - 6407 - - 2568 sfcLCL ODpotential -12667 - - -11423 - - -11234 - - -10074 - - -9345 ODpotential blCL 13396 - - 12789 - - 13485 - - 11902 - - 10074 blCL maxRH 48 - - 46 - - 38 - - 42 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 66.4 - - 73.0 - - 73.0 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 45.4 - - 45.2 - - 47.7 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 65.5 - - 71.9 - - 72.5 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.9 - - 46.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 113 - - 171 - - 61 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 653 - - 1537 - - 1114 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96525 45 286 33 297 41 288 39 281 48 284 96525 89307 21 304 24 281 31 277 31 290 31 299 89307 83835 18 316 22 283 26 281 26 291 25 305 83835 79310 21 291 20 294 24 285 22 309 17 312 79310 75400 23 291 14 287 19 284 18 300 17 313 75400 71926 18 285 12 284 17 286 18 298 22 308 71926 68769 16 270 15 306 15 287 21 303 22 315 68769 65842 20 279 17 293 15 283 21 280 26 305 65842 63114 22 269 17 278 18 269 23 268 27 280 63114 60477 26 268 19 273 23 266 23 272 26 264 60477 57722 32 262 28 271 29 268 26 267 25 264 57722 54849 39 253 36 262 37 259 33 264 30 263 54849 52093 42 248 41 254 42 255 38 257 32 257 52093 49600 42 249 42 250 42 253 40 256 33 262 49600 47367 43 253 43 245 41 255 40 256 38 266 47367 45359 45 257 39 246 44 256 38 259 41 266 45359 43547 43 258 35 258 41 252 39 266 37 263 43547 41900 32 262 34 269 32 253 38 255 34 269 41900 40380 25 273 31 278 27 274 28 259 35 250 40380 38959 24 297 27 287 31 289 29 259 32 250 38959 37618 25 311 26 296 28 281 28 253 32 255 37618 36316 23 320 24 302 24 273 27 251 29 255 36316 34985 21 330 21 299 20 269 27 248 27 257 34985 33595 18 335 20 289 20 258 26 248 25 260 33595 32150 16 316 18 299 20 254 25 252 24 266 32150 30637 19 294 17 292 24 260 26 259 22 268 30637 29043 23 289 23 269 26 264 27 256 22 261 29043 27371 25 283 25 264 28 260 28 248 22 249 27371 25620 24 281 24 259 28 253 27 249 19 247 25620 23795 19 283 21 258 25 253 23 257 15 249 23795 21898 16 281 17 259 19 255 17 249 13 231 21898 19921 12 267 16 253 15 253 15 239 12 222 19921 17861 13 247 14 247 14 241 14 235 12 230 17861 15755 11 251 11 248 12 233 13 243 11 247 15755 13717 8 256 9 256 10 240 12 253 11 265 13717 11857 8 274 8 269 7 266 7 269 7 273 11857 10200 8 293 6 305 3 313 4 308 3 306 10200 8728 6 312 4 350 3 028 4 359 4 009 8728 7418 4 291 3 030 3 046 6 025 7 011 7418 6256 4 280 3 067 3 065 7 034 8 016 6256 5230 3 275 3 088 3 091 7 037 10 025 5230 4327 2 238 3 117 3 111 7 039 12 028 4327 3530 2 227 2 152 2 099 6 034 12 028 3530 2817 4 243 3 202 1*023 5 020 10 027 2817 2189 6 238 5 225 2*328 5*358 7 021 2189 1664 8 233 5*245 3 313 6*326 6 359 1664 1264 8 243 5*267 4 306 6 319 7 333 1264 989 6 260 5 270 4 301 6 316 8 320 989 824 4*280 5 269 4 297 6 314 6 313 824 729 2*336 4 270 3 295 5 311 4*306 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography