DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 63.8 - - 66.4 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 204 - - 236 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1494 - - 2657 - - 2934 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 2217 - - 2474 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2207 - - 3370 - - 3647 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2102 - - 1084 - - 1095 - - 2704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 332 - - 359 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 262 - - 272 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -8 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 400 - - 87 - - -757 - - -1391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1807 - - 3283 - - 4404 - - 2120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 273 - - -62 - - -5674 - - -6431 ODpotential blCL - - - 1934 - - 3432 - - 9321 - - 7160 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 80 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 63.8 - - 66.4 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 51.9 - - 49.6 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 62.6 - - 64.9 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 51.5 - - 49.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 204 - - 236 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1494 - - 2657 - - 2934 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 68 - - 18 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99000 10 096 11 104 10 100 8 072 99000 91620 11 102 14 095 9 102 13 080 91620 85895 10 105 14 080 14 101 14 087 85895 81119 8 104 7 081 13 101 14 093 81119 77006 8 128 9 118 11 096 8 085 77006 73373 9 172 4 196 5 083 8 126 73373 70072 12 159 12 209 6 205 4 141 70072 67025 3 194 8 225 2 226 5 184 67025 64201 17 230 17 242 12 264 6 252 64201 61459 16 212 19 221 15 244 13 238 61459 58588 14 239 19 223 21 246 19 242 58588 55609 29 244 30 242 33 245 30 254 55609 52769 40 246 44 247 43 246 41 257 52769 50212 49 248 54 247 51 249 49 257 50212 47922 57 251 60 246 59 254 56 261 47922 45848 62 253 65 249 69 257 65 259 45848 43950 64 255 71 251 77 256 69 258 43950 42207 69 256 78 253 83 254 79 258 42207 40602 73 254 82 252 84 249 85 251 40602 39113 73 253 85 250 77 249 78 247 39113 37725 71 253 83 246 79 257 74 258 37725 36401 69 253 80 244 83 256 84 259 36401 35059 67 253 76 243 76 245 82 254 35059 33658 64 250 72 242 71 240 76 254 33658 32202 61 249 67 244 69 252 75 254 32202 30674 57 249 62 246 67 259 72 254 30674 29061 53 247 57 245 63 257 69 258 29061 27366 48 245 54 244 61 251 66 261 27366 25589 43 247 50 245 58 248 61 261 25589 23737 40 247 45 246 56 248 55 251 23737 21811 39 244 44 246 51 248 59 248 21811 19802 35 243 42 247 46 249 56 249 19802 17707 32 239 35 242 40 249 48 247 17707 15577 29 238 31 238 34 240 39 243 15577 13532 24 236 27 238 31 237 33 240 13532 11680 21 226 23 235 26 236 27 241 11680 10039 19 221 20 230 21 236 21 242 10039 8583 16 217 19 228 18 235 17 243 8583 7290 15 214 17 224 17 233 16 244 7290 6144 15 208 16 217 16 216 16 242 6144 5133 13 211 14 211 15 218 17 236 5133 4246 9 242 11 224 12*243 16 251 4246 3467 9 261 9*241 13*264 17 272 3467 2773 9*264 9*255 14 270 18 278 2773 2160 9*267 9 262 15 273 17 278 2160 1649 9 268 9 263 15 274 16 278 1649 1257 8 268 9 264 15 274 15 278 1257 987 8 268 9 265 14 275 13 277 987 823 7 267 8 265 13 275 10*277 823 729 6 267 7 265 11 275 7*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography