DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 57.4 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 10 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 729 - - 869 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1840 - - 2425 - - - - - 1818 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 52 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 213 - - - - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -41 - - -102 - - - - - -149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 770 - - 971 - - - - - 877 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -414 - - -383 - - - - - -774 ODpotential blCL - - - 1143 - - 1252 - - - - - 1502 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 57.4 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 55.6 - - - - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 57.3 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 55.3 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 10 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96260 14 311 8 322 10 331 96260 89164 10 007 8 324 15 319 89164 83667 11 020 6 314 13 340 83667 79102 13 330 12 310 13 344 79102 75171 10 334 10 305 15 331 75171 71698 21 284 20 289 16 304 71698 68557 21 271 20 274 16 270 68557 65659 17 263 17 251 18 245 65659 62951 22 248 22 245 27 241 62951 60320 31 248 29 247 35 244 60320 57570 45 257 43 250 45 252 57570 54707 52 257 52 250 62 246 54707 51962 58 260 61 253 66 242 51962 49480 73 262 81 258 75 251 49480 47255 88 253 89 253 88 250 47255 45237 79 248 88 247 86 249 45237 43386 79 254 86 246 87 252 43386 41680 92 256 91 251 93 252 41680 40109 97 254 97 250 101 251 40109 38660 88 250 94 248 110 246 38660 37312 79 241 86 244 102 244 37312 36013 75 244 83 246 95 244 36013 34688 77 252 81 248 90 246 34688 33308 78 254 79 249 86 246 33308 31874 75 254 78 251 83 245 31874 30372 71 255 77 253 80 244 30372 28791 66 257 76 253 78 245 28791 27130 65 258 74 252 74 246 27130 25388 66 259 66 251 71 248 25388 23566 68 259 64 253 70 249 23566 21667 69 257 70 253 66 250 21667 19689 73 253 71 252 61 251 19689 17627 69 249 62 254 59 257 17627 15522 63 248 58 257 53 260 15522 13490 55 250 59 258 48 257 13490 11644 48 253 56 257 45 255 11644 10005 43 258 49 252 41 256 10005 8552 38 257 41 246 39 256 8552 7263 30 238 36 243 37 254 7263 6122 30 224 32 237 34 248 6122 5115 33 228 31 225 33 242 5115 4232 34 230 31 221 34 236 4232 3454 35 228 31 221 34 227 3454 2761 33 223 30 221 33 218 2761 2150 31 218 28 220 31 210 2150 1642 27 211 25 217 28 205 1642 1252 23 205 21 215 23 200 1252 984 19 203 18*214 19 200 984 822 16*203 15*213 16 200 822 728 10*203 10 213 9*201 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography