DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 54.6 - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 118 - - 157 - - 126 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 441 - - 1506 - - 1830 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1112 - - 1538 - - 1714 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1153 - - 2218 - - 2542 - - 2931 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1244 - - 1270 - - 1830 - - 1211 - - 2629 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 233 - - 274 - - 274 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 247 - - 251 - - 262 - - 280 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 305 - - 737 - - 523 - - 379 - - -738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 848 - - 1481 - - 2019 - - 2552 - - 1468 sfcLCL ODpotential 203 - - 470 - - 21 - - -394 - - -1110 ODpotential blCL 950 - - 1748 - - 2521 - - 3325 - - 1839 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 54.6 - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 - - 49.4 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 53.7 - - 56.7 - - 57.4 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.3 - - 49.8 - - 50.3 - - 48.3 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 118 - - 157 - - 126 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 441 - - 1506 - - 1830 - - 2219 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 91 - - 75 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97753 17 246 24 232 27 245 28 253 25 266 97753 90274 14 255 20 242 22 253 21 246 20 260 90274 84594 14 283 17 252 21 249 21 266 22 243 84594 79887 16 290 16 262 20 258 18 245 17 276 79887 75833 13 271 12 271 19 274 12 282 17 290 75833 72263 12 274 10 277 18 271 19 320 16 264 72263 69023 14 296 12 290 16 275 23 308 14 260 69023 66020 17 297 15 287 16 289 24 292 15 297 66020 63222 18 287 15 288 19 284 24 267 24 313 63222 60512 17 274 16 287 20 279 24 254 29 302 60512 57687 16 287 18 273 22 273 21 261 27 281 57687 54752 22 285 21 274 25 269 22 271 24 260 54752 51941 23 269 26 272 28 266 26 272 21 264 51941 49408 22 259 29 261 32 259 33 266 24 276 49408 47141 21 250 30 255 32 254 36 258 32 270 47141 45092 21 246 28 252 30 248 35 250 38 259 45092 43219 23 245 26 250 28 247 33 247 41 249 43219 41490 27 242 26 252 28 248 34 248 42 244 41490 39882 29 238 25 247 31 247 37 249 40 243 39882 38378 31 232 24 237 31 245 38 248 40 246 38378 36966 30 226 23 223 29 239 38 247 42 249 36966 35607 28 211 22 209 27 232 38 246 43 249 35607 34234 32 186 23 191 24 223 35 245 37 246 34234 32819 38 173 26 168 21 205 26 239 26 239 32819 31371 40 163 26 152 20 177 15 213 12 210 31371 29876 42 161 30 136 21 149 16 167 12 140 29876 28321 39 166 33 135 29 129 19 149 19 126 28321 26698 33 171 31 142 34 132 21 144 18 122 26698 24999 28 169 29 145 33 141 21 146 21 123 24999 23223 28 162 28 144 29 146 22 142 22 130 23223 21371 28 159 30 149 25 143 23 144 24 146 21371 19438 26 158 30 155 26 142 24 147 24 150 19438 17420 26 155 30 158 26 147 23 150 21 152 17420 15356 28 153 30 158 26 154 21 155 18 150 15356 13360 31 150 30 158 26 161 18 160 14 147 13360 11541 34 148 31 156 25 166 18 165 11 150 11541 9923 34 150 31 154 24 167 18 167 10 164 9923 8487 33 159 30 157 24 165 19 162 12 174 8487 7210 30 166 29 160 26 159 21 151 15 175 7210 6079 24 166 25 161 26 154 19 151 15 167 6079 5081 19 164 17 165 19 162 14 171 11 165 5081 4205 16 169 9 197 13 188 11 201 7 197 4205 3434 12 193 9 246 12 214 10*244 10 250 3434 2748 10 238 10*255 11*235 12*273 13 272 2748 2142 11 258 10*254 11*255 14 280 14 276 2142 1638 10 256 9 251 11 262 14 282 14 277 1638 1250 9*251 9 249 11 264 14 282 13 278 1250 983 8*248 8 249 10 265 13 282 12 277 983 821 7 247 8 248 10 266 12 283 10*277 821 729 5 247 6 248 8 267 10 282 6*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography