DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 76.1 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 461 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 894 - - 1560 - - - - - 386 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1101 - - 1658 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1607 - - 2273 - - - - - 1099 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 279 - - 393 - - - - - 542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 364 - - - - - 68 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 266 - - - - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1408 - - -3829 - - - - - -1502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3015 - - 6102 - - - - - 2601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11901 - - -13316 - - - - - -12674 ODpotential blCL - - - 13508 - - 15589 - - - - - 13773 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 55 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 76.1 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 52.2 - - - - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 73.6 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 51.7 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 461 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 894 - - 1560 - - - - - 386 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 0 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99339 38 098 47 113 31 102 99339 91835 35 115 30 110 27 097 91835 86040 36 117 24 112 29 095 86040 81241 32 108 25 109 29 106 81241 77123 28 114 23 110 26 107 77123 73495 26 113 17 118 26 102 73495 70217 13 114 18 131 17 089 70217 67218 13 130 11 137 10 127 67218 64470 8 155 12 161 4 167 64470 61815 14 181 7 199 8 183 61815 59046 18 205 17 221 8 250 59046 56210 22 211 23 213 25 228 56210 53539 27 217 31 218 33 231 53539 51130 41 229 42 224 38 240 51130 48950 52 231 51 225 44 236 48950 46953 60 228 56 225 50 230 46953 45109 65 225 60 225 55 229 45109 43394 68 223 61 225 57 229 43394 41786 71 222 62 224 58 228 41786 40271 75 223 67 224 62 228 40271 38836 79 224 74 222 67 228 38836 37444 81 223 76 222 70 225 37444 36027 80 223 73 223 68 221 36027 34556 74 223 68 222 65 219 34556 33035 64 223 65 219 61 218 33035 31456 56 222 57 220 56 220 31456 29801 45 222 47 224 49 224 29801 28070 39 229 41 229 39 228 28070 26262 36 230 38 228 37 230 26262 24374 35 227 36 227 36 231 24374 22410 34 225 36 225 36 231 22410 20363 33 224 34 226 33 232 20363 18227 32 228 30 230 30 234 18227 16045 29 231 29 233 27 234 16045 13943 26 232 28 233 22 233 13943 12033 22 232 25 233 15 230 12033 10338 18 232 20 235 11 229 10338 8835 14 237 15 236 8 229 8835 7500 11 245 12 242 7 241 7500 6315 9 257 11 249 7 258 6315 5268 8 272 10 260 9 277 5268 4348 10 284 11 274 11 289 4348 3538 10 288 12 282 14 291 3538 2816 11 285 13*278 16 291 2816 2183 12 274 13*270 16 287 2183 1660 11*259 14 267 14 268 1660 1262 11*256 13 266 13*250 1262 989 11 254 13 265 12*247 989 824 10 253 12 264 11 246 824 729 8 254 10 263 8 245 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography