DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 72.8 - - 67.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 342 - - 251 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1223 - - 1007 - - 435 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 992 - - 1357 - - 1119 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1538 - - 1937 - - 1720 - - 1147 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 365 - - 560 - - 359 - - 479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 307 - - 259 - - 85 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 268 - - 278 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -847 - - -2765 - - -1744 - - -255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2385 - - 4702 - - 3464 - - 1403 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7950 - - -7878 - - -8202 - - -8986 ODpotential blCL - - - 9488 - - 9815 - - 9922 - - 10133 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 62 - - 73 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 72.8 - - 67.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.7 - - 54.6 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 70.7 - - 65.8 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 53.7 - - 54.0 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 342 - - 251 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1223 - - 1007 - - 435 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98197 5 154 8 118 2 116 6 074 98197 90763 13 101 6 149 3 268 6 065 90763 85036 7 159 3 222 8 134 6 212 85036 80290 16 185 10 219 2 187 5 245 80290 76191 11 171 6 215 4 240 1 057 76191 72563 5 167 4 155 6 202 4 277 72563 69284 1 338 1 293 2 110 4 159 69284 66268 4 312 4 335 1 356 2 079 66268 63469 5 317 6 308 5 333 5 310 63469 60762 4 345 7 272 9 325 7 314 60762 57953 9 353 5 297 13 307 12 322 57953 55052 13 333 10 314 15 302 15 313 55052 52302 14 327 15 317 16 306 15 321 52302 49844 24 340 19 332 15 316 17 321 49844 47666 27 329 23 329 19 329 20 330 47666 45714 21 335 24 328 24 323 24 327 45714 43930 25 357 27 344 24 327 26 324 43930 42279 32 360 30 349 23 329 26 320 42279 40739 34 357 31 346 25 329 25 319 40739 39291 34 353 31 342 26 331 24 325 39291 37920 33 351 31 342 25 331 22 331 37920 36590 31 351 30 343 22 333 20 329 36590 35232 29 354 29 346 20 343 18 325 35232 33818 27 360 28 349 18 348 15 329 33818 32351 25 003 26 352 16 348 12 332 32351 30815 23 355 22 351 13 346 9 336 30815 29198 25 353 19 000 11 347 6 343 29198 27500 25 357 16 007 12 329 6 327 27500 25725 21 359 16 345 15 326 10 329 25725 23878 19 356 16 343 13 335 11 333 23878 21957 16 353 12 003 7 347 8 333 21957 19955 12 342 7 351 5 325 7 339 19955 17869 9 345 5 336 3 332 5 009 17869 15747 6 347 4 295 3 311 2 040 15747 13702 5 322 3 302 2 326 2 153 13702 11840 2 310 2 256 1 019 4 163 11840 10183 1 145 4 209 2 237 4 183 10183 8712 1 168 4 205 3 210 4 189 8712 7403 2 211 4 209 4 201 5 210 7403 6241 2 203 4 215 6 221 8 225 6241 5210 2 177 6 229 10 228 12 224 5210 4302 3 186 9 238 14 223 15 219 4302 3501 5 205 12 237 15 219 17 214 3501 2788 8 219 12 236 15 223 18 219 2788 2162 10 236 11*245 14*244 18 236 2162 1646 9*256 10*265 13*275 16 259 1646 1254 8*263 10 268 13 279 14*274 1254 985 8 264 9 269 13 279 12*277 985 822 8 265 9 271 12 280 11 278 822 729 7 266 8 270 10 279 8 279 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography