DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.2 - - 53.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 45 - - 60 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 625 - - 1488 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1337 - - 2201 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 506 - - 757 - - 1049 - - - - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 130 - - 194 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 009 - - 026 - - - - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -476 - - -620 - - -364 - - - - - -445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1204 - - 1957 - - 2565 - - - - - 1174 sfcLCL ODpotential -7477 - - -5872 - - -5263 - - - - - -5869 ODpotential blCL 8205 - - 7209 - - 7464 - - - - - 6598 blCL maxRH 74 - - 81 - - 77 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.2 - - 53.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 47.2 - - 48.9 - - - - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 52.6 - - 56.9 - - - - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.1 - - 45.9 - - 47.6 - - - - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 45 - - 60 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 625 - - 1488 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 23 - - 9 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 20 114 14 080 6 062 8 117 96496 89454 20 087 22 098 17 117 11 091 89454 83988 19 090 20 105 22 119 14 080 83988 79403 20 115 14 117 15 125 10 085 79403 75433 18 117 15 125 11 127 10 091 75433 71916 13 117 15 129 6 133 10 100 71916 68729 7 107 10 130 6 179 3 188 68729 65795 2 298 3 219 7 205 7 196 65795 63056 3 243 6 205 6 221 10 172 63056 60380 4 173 7 129 5 246 6 219 60380 57591 1 185 8 084 10 327 1 129 57591 54715 8 104 8 079 4 101 17 039 54715 51977 14 088 16 042 16 046 25 021 51977 49517 27 071 18 029 20 031 24 025 49517 47310 33 059 21 053 26 053 24 032 47310 45305 39 063 38 064 39 060 29 044 45305 43467 55 060 56 062 48 056 36 052 43467 41779 67 048 64 059 54 053 60 040 41779 40233 70 049 73 057 63 048 74 039 40233 38794 80 053 84 048 80 049 77 046 38794 37435 94 049 92 045 102 051 82 051 37435 36115 103 045 101 049 113 050 85 051 36115 34776 106 042 114 050 114 048 82 050 34776 33385 105 046 123 050 114 049 81 053 33385 31940 107 050 125 052 110 050 81 055 31940 30424 106 051 121 053 104 053 79 052 30424 28826 85 049 110 053 99 054 79 045 28826 27146 59 047 91 058 96 051 80 043 27146 25382 46 065 59 049 86 050 79 043 25382 23542 43 070 36 036 71 045 77 042 23542 21627 45 065 33 046 58 041 76 042 21627 19628 48 066 33 051 38 045 72 045 19628 17554 45 069 34 051 30 046 49 054 17554 15455 35 066 35 050 31 047 26 074 15455 13437 26 070 31 055 26 058 22 090 13437 11605 22 072 24 072 18 073 15 103 11605 9982 20 069 18 089 14 079 9 118 9982 8544 19 061 13 089 9 071 6 107 8544 7264 20 052 11 081 7 057 4 078 7264 6127 19 046 11 073 5 047 4 044 6127 5121 19 038 10 064 3 029 4 029 5121 4237 21 032 9 057 3 350 9 049 4237 3458 27 035 8 054 3 006 15 051 3458 2763 35 033 8 064 5*033 16 046 2763 2150 38 030 7 074 5*032 11 039 2150 1641 30 031 4*069 4 027 4 031 1641 1251 21 037 3*023 3 026 0 282 1251 984 14 047 2 009 3 022 1 232 984 821 9 059 2 003 2 019 2*224 821 729 4*102 2 356 2 020 1*217 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography