DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 57.0 - - 63.8 - - 62.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -67 - - 14 - - 69 - - 3 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 123 - - 501 - - 298 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 835 - - 1214 - - 1011 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 293 - - 347 - - 468 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 58 - - 140 - - 56 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 082 - - 095 - - 079 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -6 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2071 - - -2860 - - -2467 - - -1713 - - -767 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2799 - - 3695 - - 3681 - - 2724 - - 1496 sfcLCL ODpotential -13778 - - -11466 - - -8423 - - -7679 - - -9509 ODpotential blCL 14506 - - 12301 - - 9637 - - 8690 - - 10238 blCL maxRH 53 - - 56 - - 60 - - 69 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 57.0 - - 63.8 - - 62.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 43.9 - - 50.5 - - 52.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 57.0 - - 63.3 - - 62.1 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 42.7 - - 49.3 - - 51.9 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -67 - - 14 - - 69 - - 3 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 123 - - 501 - - 298 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95729 54 282 52 299 59 290 54 299 50 282 95729 88751 30 311 21 317 32 287 37 300 33 307 88751 83350 23 332 13 342 17 277 24 293 29 321 83350 78851 16 333 17 355 5 314 11 276 21 310 78851 74968 16 307 14 335 11 019 2 151 15 263 74968 71524 15 276 14 293 16 337 5 348 6 241 71524 68391 9 304 15 262 20 298 20 313 9 337 68391 65519 15 326 12 258 17 265 28 287 16 306 65519 62871 27 310 13 293 13 248 29 263 20 269 62871 60302 29 292 18 292 14 257 30 265 25 260 60302 57609 31 281 24 283 23 268 40 267 34 259 57609 54807 32 277 33 274 35 263 44 262 37 253 54807 52116 29 295 33 272 36 265 40 263 33 260 52116 49670 42 290 39 283 36 282 47 275 46 269 49670 47468 45 285 42 277 42 274 47 263 48 261 47468 45462 43 283 40 271 43 265 43 260 43 257 45462 43615 44 285 38 268 42 262 42 257 44 255 43615 41920 47 280 40 269 44 257 43 251 48 246 41920 40376 45 279 48 265 46 254 47 248 48 243 40376 38953 41 278 51 264 43 255 43 253 40 245 38953 37614 39 275 48 257 38 255 42 248 35 250 37614 36312 38 269 44 252 40 251 38 242 35 252 36312 34977 39 264 40 253 37 243 35 241 35 245 34977 33584 35 265 38 256 36 236 37 241 37 232 33584 32136 39 265 40 252 40 234 37 235 38 222 32136 30621 44 262 42 238 43 226 37 225 40 217 30621 29025 40 254 42 232 45 221 42 220 42 213 29025 27350 34 245 39 228 45 218 47 217 46 208 27350 25596 31 233 36 223 42 219 49 213 51 208 25596 23766 30 222 33 217 40 221 44 213 52 207 23766 21865 28 223 34 215 38 220 40 213 47 204 21865 19881 27 233 35 213 37 215 38 213 43 206 19881 17807 28 244 31 210 33 211 36 214 38 214 17807 15688 27 241 27 222 28 217 33 218 34 224 15688 13645 25 228 26 221 27 224 29 220 28 227 13645 11787 18 233 21 221 24 225 24 221 21 218 11787 10133 12 235 14 219 17 219 18 214 18 202 10133 8664 9 214 10 212 12 209 15 205 16 198 8664 7360 8 182 9 201 10 197 13 197 14 205 7360 6204 7 165 8 179 9 187 11 195 12 219 6204 5183 5 166 7 168 9 174 9 193 11 230 5183 4285 4 155 7 160 9 170 8 192 11 240 4285 3493 4 144 7 157 9 176 8 195 10 245 3493 2787 5 130 7 159 10 179 7 198 8 241 2787 2166 7 117 7 160 10 171 5 186 4 243 2166 1649 10 111 8 142 9 144 5 126 2 191 1649 1255 14 102 12 103 10*101 8*089 7 107 1255 984 15 089 12*086 9*096 7*080 11 086 984 821 13*082 10*083 9 095 6 079 9*077 821 729 7*078 7 082 7 094 5 078 6*076 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography