DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 92.5 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 189 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 525 - - 1758 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1553 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1239 - - 2472 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 693 - - 1276 - - - - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 284 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 047 - - - - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6434 - - -8495 - - - - - -1670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7673 - - 10967 - - - - - 2400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12116 - - -13299 - - - - - -9503 ODpotential blCL - - - 13355 - - 15771 - - - - - 10233 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 58 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 92.5 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.6 - - 47.2 - - - - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.6 - - 91.1 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 46.3 - - - - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 189 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 525 - - 1758 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97859 10 294 7 297 17 261 97859 90616 5 089 5 358 7 331 90616 85014 13 071 5 081 11 039 85014 80370 13 062 12 058 13 063 80370 76385 10 076 13 048 10 070 76385 72879 8 076 10 045 11 079 72879 69702 7 084 5 023 14 066 69702 66766 7 078 1 160 9 032 66766 64043 2 021 4 169 6 336 64043 61414 2 194 7 195 7 262 61414 58680 5 235 11 227 10 258 58680 55843 13 242 17 225 20 225 55843 53131 19 249 20 239 25 212 53131 50691 36 260 32 250 29 220 50691 48503 48 248 48 240 33 236 48503 46519 48 237 51 236 46 242 46519 44695 50 241 50 242 50 238 44695 43001 56 244 49 242 50 234 43001 41414 55 245 46 242 48 233 41414 39922 51 249 41 245 44 235 39922 38512 44 252 38 249 40 236 38512 37149 37 253 34 249 38 234 37149 35766 30 253 29 247 36 232 35766 34332 23 253 26 244 34 229 34332 32848 20 247 21 235 32 227 32848 31300 19 256 21 236 32 227 31300 29676 19 249 22 243 32 225 29676 27976 19 229 19 227 32 222 27976 26197 17 215 19 211 30 219 26197 24333 17 204 19 213 25 216 24333 22389 16 212 14 204 18 208 22389 20363 13 210 12 196 15 185 20363 18249 11 189 13 188 18 158 18249 16093 13 181 13 180 21 150 16093 14016 11 181 12 170 21 152 14016 12126 7 205 9 161 19 155 12126 10443 9 216 8 165 14 150 10443 8944 9 219 7 170 10 136 8944 7608 8 215 6 170 9 116 7608 6419 7 183 5 165 8 103 6419 5363 10 163 7 167 5 096 5363 4433 10 155 7 168 5 083 4433 3611 8 149 5 154 6 081 3611 2877 6 141 3*091 6 068 2877 2229 5 114 4*050 6 043 2229 1689 5 074 5 047 6 008 1689 1278 5*060 4 046 8 328 1278 996 4*057 4 046 8 313 996 827 3 057 4 044 7*302 827 730 3 057 3 043 4*293 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography