DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 56.7 - - 54.9 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 7 - - 13 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 337 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 729 - - 1050 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1817 - - 1680 - - 1652 - - 1574 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 59 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 222 - - 258 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -438 - - 190 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1167 - - 860 - - 729 - - 728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1146 - - -108 - - -79 - - -80 ODpotential blCL - - - 1875 - - 1158 - - 808 - - 808 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 56.7 - - 54.9 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 55.4 - - 54.6 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 56.7 - - 54.8 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 55.2 - - 54.4 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 7 - - 13 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 337 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95997 10 334 9 284 20 325 11 287 95997 88990 13 312 12 329 12 338 12 349 88990 83544 11 296 18 322 12 354 11 333 83544 79001 10 327 13 297 12 312 14 320 79001 75076 15 303 10 288 9 298 14 308 75076 71589 19 289 13 284 14 280 16 279 71589 68425 20 273 17 270 22 260 21 271 68425 65504 19 254 18 242 24 251 25 263 65504 62781 28 249 24 239 29 246 28 246 62781 60133 39 246 34 248 32 246 30 246 60133 57362 49 246 48 251 44 249 42 246 57362 54488 64 240 61 244 59 244 57 237 54488 51739 66 237 66 239 63 244 63 231 51739 49248 66 247 63 244 66 252 62 234 49248 47010 83 243 79 243 83 248 72 239 47010 44989 101 235 101 237 95 239 89 238 44989 43146 95 235 100 233 99 237 96 236 43146 41450 94 242 94 236 100 240 98 235 41450 39889 109 243 105 239 107 235 116 231 39889 38446 124 240 124 239 120 232 142 229 38446 37091 127 238 130 238 128 233 131 231 37091 35779 118 239 120 238 115 234 113 231 35779 34449 107 242 110 239 101 235 100 228 34449 33068 98 239 102 237 96 235 96 227 33068 31635 94 238 96 236 94 235 89 231 31635 30138 91 242 89 240 87 237 77 234 30138 28568 80 241 82 238 77 241 71 232 28568 26921 73 237 77 236 71 243 68 234 26921 25196 65 236 70 240 67 243 63 240 25196 23393 55 235 63 241 64 242 59 239 23393 21516 52 237 59 241 59 244 55 237 21516 19558 52 240 56 241 54 244 52 233 19558 17515 54 240 54 239 51 243 48 232 17515 15433 53 236 51 232 47 237 43 228 15433 13425 50 234 48 230 44 230 39 224 13425 11599 40 233 42 232 35 227 35 223 11599 9976 32 231 35 228 26 220 30 225 9976 8534 29 246 25 220 20 201 26 223 8534 7252 28 255 19 241 17 186 22 210 7252 6117 25 250 19 246 13 201 19 197 6117 5115 23 240 21 237 13 225 16 197 5115 4234 24 231 22 231 13 233 12 205 4234 3457 26 225 21 228 12 228 9 213 3457 2763 27 220 19 226 11 224 8 218 2763 2152 26 214 16 222 9 225 7 225 2152 1642 23 206 14 220 6 239 5 243 1642 1252 20 203 12*221 5 251 3 277 1252 984 17 204 10*221 5 255 3 285 984 822 14*205 9 222 4*256 2 289 822 728 9*207 6 222 3*258 2*291 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography