DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.3 - - 70.9 - - 81.2 - - 76.0 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 302 - - 425 - - 307 - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 651 - - 1146 - - 990 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 906 - - 1342 - - 1158 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 850 - - 1364 - - 1860 - - 1704 - - 1054 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 282 - - 288 - - 404 - - 286 - - 336 Hgt.Variab. W* 76 - - 237 - - 320 - - 273 - - 103 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 269 - - 274 - - 283 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -269 - - -2965 - - -5281 - - -3761 - - -1344 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1119 - - 4329 - - 7142 - - 5465 - - 2398 sfcLCL ODpotential -14805 - - -14103 - - -13971 - - -13358 - - -14195 ODpotential blCL 15655 - - 15467 - - 15831 - - 15062 - - 15249 blCL maxRH 93 - - 64 - - 44 - - 56 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.3 - - 70.9 - - 81.2 - - 76.0 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.8 - - 54.7 - - 52.9 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.8 - - 69.0 - - 78.7 - - 74.2 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.5 - - 54.1 - - 52.4 - - 54.7 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 302 - - 425 - - 307 - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 651 - - 1146 - - 990 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99142 40 104 41 108 43 106 41 113 36 094 99142 91670 39 100 34 110 33 109 33 108 35 104 91670 85892 37 100 29 103 34 111 29 108 33 104 85892 81103 34 100 30 107 31 117 25 102 28 105 81103 76991 32 098 27 105 26 114 22 111 22 091 76991 73367 25 078 25 087 25 111 26 121 20 086 73367 70098 17 102 19 081 25 085 30 113 19 109 70098 67101 22 105 18 093 14 085 23 076 24 096 67101 64338 15 085 18 075 14 100 18 064 21 075 64338 61695 10 112 15 075 14 085 15 077 18 075 61695 58958 15 107 13 108 12 078 9 084 10 074 58958 56120 13 085 14 141 4 157 4 044 5 010 56120 53415 2 335 13 131 11 185 8 253 9 261 53415 50992 14 274 3 090 10 161 12 233 12 239 50992 48821 19 275 18 283 5 299 8 260 12 257 48821 46841 22 268 25 276 19 283 16 280 18 285 46841 45018 19 270 25 274 25 276 24 275 24 290 45018 43322 17 275 24 269 27 273 27 273 28 290 43322 41733 20 275 21 260 27 266 29 274 32 285 41733 40237 21 272 19 261 26 261 30 271 35 280 40237 38823 19 275 18 277 22 266 28 268 34 276 38823 37454 20 284 21 286 23 275 28 271 33 274 37454 36061 23 285 23 282 25 278 28 271 32 271 36061 34613 25 278 24 279 25 277 27 271 30 269 34613 33113 26 270 25 276 27 273 27 271 27 268 33113 31546 28 265 28 272 30 271 27 268 26 265 31546 29900 31 263 29 269 31 268 28 263 28 261 29900 28175 26 266 24 266 24 268 28 260 28 255 28175 26372 17 255 16 250 14 251 23 256 25 246 26372 24491 17 250 17 239 16 241 22 242 23 236 24491 22535 13 250 14 237 15 234 21 242 21 243 22535 20494 10 233 13 225 13 217 13 223 14 234 20494 18360 11 200 14 209 15 212 14 219 11 228 18360 16179 14 191 18 199 18 211 13 228 9 243 16179 14071 12 197 18 196 16 208 13 228 9 242 14071 12147 11 205 14 204 14 206 12 224 10 230 12147 10434 10 215 12 220 13 212 11 222 9 218 10434 8913 10 226 11 229 12 226 10 230 8 211 8913 7562 8 229 10 234 10 237 9 233 7 212 7562 6363 6 232 8 238 9 240 9 234 7 218 6363 5304 4 237 6 240 8 244 9 240 8 236 5304 4373 3 254 5 251 7 249 9 250 9 254 4373 3554 4 266 5 264 8 261 11 248 10 262 3554 2824 6 263 7 262 10 256 13 250 12 261 2824 2185 9 253 9 259 10*261 14*262 14 262 2185 1658 11 259 9*266 10*272 13*280 15 272 1658 1260 11 267 9*269 10 274 14 283 13*280 1260 988 8*271 9 269 10 274 13 284 12*283 988 824 6*273 8 268 9 274 12 283 11 282 824 729 4 275 7 268 8 274 10 283 8 282 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography