DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 54.4 - - 59.2 - - 57.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 42 - - 54 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 360 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1072 - - 1887 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 204 - - 800 - - 1014 - - 2157 - - 846 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 175 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 001 - - 011 - - 346 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1000 - - -710 - - -880 - - -1224 - - -257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1728 - - 1782 - - 2767 - - 1953 - - 985 sfcLCL ODpotential -9401 - - -6374 - - -6797 - - -6552 - - -7426 ODpotential blCL 10129 - - 7446 - - 8684 - - 7281 - - 8154 blCL maxRH 67 - - 82 - - 73 - - 74 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 54.4 - - 59.2 - - 57.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 49.3 - - 49.7 - - 51.1 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.3 - - 53.9 - - 58.8 - - 57.7 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 48.2 - - 48.4 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 42 - - 54 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 360 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96561 11 116 13 111 3 252 7 017 10 094 96561 89428 14 114 9 097 7 126 6 349 8 057 89428 83923 10 093 6 062 9 115 2 053 3 040 83923 79338 9 087 6 091 6 122 7 081 2 071 79338 75372 8 105 9 139 4 173 2 092 6 102 75372 71857 2 129 10 141 2 235 5 224 2 089 71857 68676 7 189 7 157 6 275 5 235 4 234 68676 65744 6 184 7 198 7 239 8 257 6 241 65744 63006 3 240 3 214 11 211 12 233 8 266 63006 60347 2 238 2 241 7 201 15 226 15 268 60347 57583 7 276 8 308 3 336 4 214 9 235 57583 54723 9 281 11 305 9 309 10 320 3 219 54723 51995 7 324 7 352 3 024 10 307 6 304 51995 49552 10 022 12 333 12 000 9 354 12 006 49552 47373 17 053 13 033 16 356 18 348 21 001 47373 45393 32 064 22 074 15 017 15 356 21 350 45393 43571 48 026 36 042 30 043 17 036 20 354 43571 41882 47 011 38 019 37 027 26 033 22 003 41882 40310 40 016 33 019 35 019 29 014 26 005 40310 38841 34 027 33 017 35 021 30 012 28 012 38841 37463 37 021 34 004 35 011 32 017 28 022 37463 36139 39 013 32 008 33 011 30 017 24 026 36139 34797 39 014 33 014 30 013 26 015 25 023 34797 33402 38 023 35 019 29 019 23 014 24 019 33402 31958 39 031 35 023 31 023 23 017 22 012 31958 30451 42 030 36 027 31 022 26 019 18 014 30451 28867 47 026 38 028 32 024 27 020 16 025 28867 27202 49 021 39 026 32 025 27 019 20 026 27202 25457 48 023 39 025 32 026 28 024 25 023 25457 23633 49 029 37 024 33 028 29 028 28 021 23633 21735 46 034 33 027 31 029 30 027 30 020 21735 19755 40 038 29 036 29 028 32 024 33 020 19755 17686 36 040 30 039 28 028 33 025 35 021 17686 15569 31 043 30 042 28 035 30 029 35 023 15569 13526 23 046 26 045 22 046 22 034 28 025 13526 11670 19 054 22 052 13 060 12 029 22 021 11670 10023 15 060 17 068 10 084 3 040 15 021 10023 8563 8 049 11 077 7 104 0 316 10 015 8563 7271 8 008 6 057 4 081 2 020 8 012 7271 6129 12 344 6 016 6 033 6 033 6 014 6129 5121 13 338 9 357 10 022 9 023 7 018 5121 4237 14 334 11 354 11 018 11 024 9 014 4237 3458 15 330 13 350 11 019 13 021 10 007 3458 2762 13 331 11 351 10 020 10 017 9 001 2762 2150 11 337 9 352 8*020 6 011 7 354 2150 1641 8 348 6 353 5*013 4 358 4 344 1641 1252 6 008 4*005 5 013 3 358 3 337 1252 984 5 023 3*003 5 009 3 355 2 343 984 822 4 037 3 360 4 008 2*351 1 010 822 728 3*051 2 358 3 008 2*346 1*034 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography