DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 64.6 - - 70.3 - - 69.2 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 59 - - 90 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1782 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 713 - - 1264 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1329 - - 2495 - - 2439 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 868 - - 1090 - - 1262 - - 549 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 144 - - 239 - - 129 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 126 - - 261 - - 295 - - 304 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3130 - - -2762 - - -2390 - - -1717 - - -1051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3860 - - 4092 - - 4885 - - 4156 - - 1780 sfcLCL ODpotential -12144 - - -9882 - - -8174 - - -7660 - - -8338 ODpotential blCL 12873 - - 11211 - - 10669 - - 10099 - - 9067 blCL maxRH 42 - - 56 - - 60 - - 61 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 64.6 - - 70.3 - - 69.2 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 49.5 - - 51.5 - - 53.5 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 64.0 - - 69.6 - - 69.1 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.0 - - 48.1 - - 50.2 - - 52.2 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 59 - - 90 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1782 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96195 11 343 16 318 12 280 13 287 12 285 96195 89086 14 326 6 282 9 308 9 295 12 316 89086 83598 9 329 6 327 11 316 14 282 16 323 83598 79046 2 357 8 344 11 277 16 286 14 323 79046 75128 8 336 7 339 10 276 11 306 11 310 75128 71663 9 329 8 308 10 287 10 321 6 280 71663 68516 7 296 9 291 12 298 14 327 9 316 68516 65610 8 238 12 262 14 288 13 320 10 306 65610 62917 8 264 5 315 7 288 6 300 8 265 62917 60303 3 290 7 355 10 343 6 359 2 342 60303 57568 5 075 7 044 9 015 9 026 12 019 57568 54730 22 050 11 049 8 068 6 037 12 005 54730 52024 28 040 14 036 10 053 8 048 6 026 52024 49579 31 047 20 051 12 034 12 011 13 005 49579 47383 29 053 23 046 16 024 16 359 20 340 47383 45399 27 058 24 044 14 034 11 353 21 336 45399 43593 33 042 30 033 22 021 13 008 24 343 43593 41939 34 033 34 018 27 015 21 009 25 348 41939 40411 32 032 33 017 25 010 28 000 31 347 40411 38981 34 032 31 020 22 004 28 354 34 346 38981 37634 36 030 30 024 21 003 27 355 30 340 37634 36328 38 030 30 025 21 006 26 359 23 340 36328 34998 40 029 32 025 24 010 25 002 22 348 34998 33613 43 026 35 025 27 011 23 004 23 350 33613 32175 45 023 36 023 28 010 21 011 20 354 32175 30670 44 021 36 022 27 013 21 019 16 005 30670 29085 41 024 36 024 28 020 23 023 15 013 29085 27420 37 029 34 031 26 029 22 023 16 015 27420 25672 34 035 31 034 23 032 20 019 18 012 25672 23841 32 053 23 048 17 031 19 016 21 009 23841 21927 26 061 20 064 12 039 19 017 25 008 21927 19928 24 054 19 050 16 022 20 016 24 008 19928 17847 25 057 20 043 21 026 22 018 21 004 17847 15727 20 058 16 046 18 038 19 031 16 001 15727 13681 17 050 13 047 13 037 14 025 9 001 13681 11815 17 051 12 036 11 027 13 014 12 359 11815 10157 17 052 11 030 10 016 13 013 16 004 10157 8686 15 045 12 023 11 012 12 018 15 009 8686 7380 12 039 12 023 11 014 10 019 13 014 7380 6223 9 054 8 031 7 017 9 018 12 011 6223 5200 8 069 5 059 3 313 8 009 11 359 5200 4301 7 082 4 101 4 269 5 343 11 352 4301 3510 6 100 2 157 4 273 4 322 8 357 3510 2803 3 138 3 228 4*294 4*317 5 013 2803 2179 2 207 4 248 4*298 5*311 4 019 2179 1660 4 212 4*251 4 296 6 306 4 356 1660 1262 4 202 3*261 4 295 6 302 7 325 1262 989 4 183 2 262 4 292 5 301 7 318 989 824 4*154 2 259 4 290 5 299 6 311 824 729 3*126 2 258 4 289 4 298 4*304 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography