DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 53 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 367 - - 2657 - - 1193 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1188 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1079 - - 3370 - - 1905 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2238 - - 2184 - - 2909 - - 691 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 226 - - 69 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 23 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 335 - - 071 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1084 - - 961 - - 145 - - -192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2163 - - 2410 - - 1760 - - 920 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2552 - - 382 - - -610 - - -2637 ODpotential blCL - - - 3631 - - 2988 - - 2515 - - 3365 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 92 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 49.8 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 57.2 - - 56.9 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 48.6 - - 50.5 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 53 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 367 - - 2657 - - 1193 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 67 - - 74 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96543 19 304 28 294 36 311 39 293 96543 89359 12 300 18 297 18 323 14 295 89359 83831 12 303 13 288 16 307 16 304 83831 79247 9 281 13 277 15 290 22 299 79247 75299 11 272 14 283 14 282 19 283 75299 71785 17 266 18 278 16 291 14 265 71785 68575 17 251 21 267 21 287 16 267 68575 65614 16 248 22 262 19 274 20 264 65614 62857 18 261 20 261 19 276 20 257 62857 60171 19 256 22 263 23 278 21 272 60171 57363 16 247 21 255 25 273 21 276 57363 54456 14 273 18 262 20 271 22 283 54456 51698 14 291 13 278 16 265 16 281 51698 49214 11 305 12 318 5 263 8 315 49214 46981 10 319 15 332 13 356 19 340 46981 44961 4 324 9 334 17 358 18 331 44961 43135 12 061 13 077 11 007 29 358 43135 41479 25 050 28 038 32 016 29 017 41479 39946 38 036 39 029 35 024 42 018 39946 38505 47 038 40 045 34 046 49 015 38505 37149 58 051 48 056 46 046 45 023 37149 35839 66 058 64 046 55 042 41 029 35839 34511 75 052 72 040 53 042 39 027 34511 33132 80 047 70 041 47 045 42 022 33132 31701 78 046 64 043 47 042 45 021 31701 30203 74 048 58 043 47 039 47 023 30203 28625 70 060 54 043 45 039 48 024 28625 26965 63 063 50 047 43 039 50 025 26965 25222 56 053 47 054 40 043 51 025 25222 23398 44 050 47 049 40 038 50 025 23398 21493 17 064 43 049 45 028 45 031 21493 19508 3 036 16 049 33 041 35 030 19508 17452 1 264 2 025 11 065 15 021 17452 15368 3 184 2 123 5 054 12 332 15368 13360 9 195 4 161 5 047 11 334 13360 11533 13 187 10 169 5 158 5 309 11533 9916 14 180 14 172 7 173 5 226 9916 8484 17 180 15 180 6 205 7 246 8484 7214 19 180 13 182 5 231 6 262 7214 6088 18 179 12 184 5 229 5 275 6088 5092 16 179 8 184 5 190 3 288 5092 4217 15 180 4 182 4 165 2 301 4217 3445 14 184 2*183 3 129 2 320 3445 2754 13 187 1*324 3 093 2 339 2754 2145 12 189 2 340 5*074 3 028 2145 1638 11 189 2 336 5*072 5 047 1638 1250 7*189 2 336 5 071 7 048 1250 983 3*188 2 331 5 070 8 046 983 821 3 190 2 330 4 071 6 046 821 728 2 191 2 331 3 070 4*049 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography