DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 71.3 - - 68.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 319 - - 134 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 727 - - 1199 - - 918 - - 320 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1315 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1440 - - 1912 - - 1631 - - 1032 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 415 - - 475 - - 382 - - 473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 295 - - 202 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 257 - - 267 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1035 - - -2440 - - -2080 - - -247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2475 - - 4353 - - 3711 - - 1280 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9055 - - -8522 - - -9419 - - -8922 ODpotential blCL - - - 10495 - - 10434 - - 11050 - - 9954 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 89 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 71.3 - - 68.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 54.8 - - 54.6 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 69.2 - - 67.3 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 54.4 - - 54.5 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 319 - - 134 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 727 - - 1199 - - 918 - - 320 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 56 - - 39 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98395 16 091 13 067 6 095 8 071 98395 91071 19 085 18 093 11 066 16 040 91071 85419 12 066 18 104 13 072 15 040 85419 80740 11 061 14 079 18 068 16 076 80740 76695 7 060 8 060 14 068 16 070 76695 73100 3 105 4 001 9 054 13 051 73100 69843 5 156 3 309 4 057 9 044 69843 66848 3 144 1 244 1 062 4 016 66848 64077 1 163 1 221 1 267 3 258 64077 61394 4 236 5 272 5 299 4 271 61394 58589 6 223 10 258 10 270 9 277 58589 55676 7 241 12 250 16 268 14 277 55676 52902 12 252 16 243 21 259 19 263 52902 50406 15 247 20 233 21 245 20 251 50406 48166 19 259 19 245 19 250 18 248 48166 46127 24 269 23 254 24 244 20 238 46127 44255 30 262 28 239 27 227 22 229 44255 42522 40 235 31 228 28 221 27 227 42522 40906 36 224 35 223 31 223 34 222 40906 39393 32 223 43 218 37 215 42 214 39393 37973 33 220 43 211 40 208 44 207 37973 36610 28 209 41 196 40 198 42 198 36610 35237 23 189 39 179 40 186 38 184 35237 33824 25 188 33 181 38 173 38 161 33824 32366 31 196 31 181 37 172 39 145 32366 30840 34 201 32 186 35 176 37 148 30840 29232 33 199 35 189 30 179 39 155 29232 27544 27 196 37 188 26 183 45 166 27544 25777 17 192 35 178 22 188 43 180 25777 23938 13 176 35 167 16 196 22 196 23938 22023 12 172 31 161 15 218 12 155 22023 20025 11 179 23 144 17 195 17 155 20025 17945 14 178 18 139 30 155 24 163 17945 15827 14 178 14 165 24 138 30 153 15827 13784 13 176 17 185 14 167 29 147 13784 11917 12 177 16 195 12 192 22 153 11917 10251 11 181 15 198 11 179 16 174 10251 8768 10 186 13 200 12 181 10 189 8768 7447 8 192 11 204 11 191 8 203 7447 6275 6 194 9 209 10 206 6 217 6275 5240 5 192 7 221 9 225 5 237 5240 4328 6 211 7 237 9 239 5 272 4328 3523 8 226 8 241 10 241 6 282 3523 2806 11 224 9 244 11 239 7 270 2806 2175 12 233 10*252 11 250 11 269 2175 1654 10*239 10*256 10*263 12 271 1654 1259 9*241 10 257 10*266 12*270 1259 988 9 242 10 258 10 266 10*269 988 823 8 243 9 258 9 267 9 269 823 729 7 243 8 258 8 267 6 269 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography