DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 64.8 - - 70.9 - - 69.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 70 - - 139 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1436 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1166 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1082 - - 2149 - - 836 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 801 - - 1221 - - 2195 - - 556 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 122 - - 240 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 19 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 078 - - 081 - - 073 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1465 - - -3228 - - -3740 - - -4277 - - -253 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2194 - - 4310 - - 5889 - - 5114 - - 982 sfcLCL ODpotential -12045 - - -10572 - - -9636 - - -10134 - - -8718 ODpotential blCL 12774 - - 11654 - - 11785 - - 10970 - - 9447 blCL maxRH 60 - - 56 - - 47 - - 47 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 64.8 - - 70.9 - - 69.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 48.8 - - 48.0 - - 49.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 64.1 - - 70.0 - - 69.7 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.7 - - 48.1 - - 47.3 - - 49.2 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 70 - - 139 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1436 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96710 37 289 43 287 51 293 42 288 50 291 96710 89603 27 291 26 297 32 291 31 294 37 300 89603 84124 20 299 24 302 24 300 25 299 26 292 84124 79578 21 302 19 295 25 290 21 294 27 306 79578 75632 16 287 17 287 19 280 25 291 32 307 75632 72110 12 290 21 273 23 287 28 281 35 289 72110 68915 24 280 24 263 30 279 25 281 30 287 68915 65981 27 263 19 250 27 271 21 271 27 275 65981 63270 20 261 21 257 28 270 21 262 24 257 63270 60649 36 283 28 260 32 261 29 258 31 254 60649 57927 40 266 35 248 38 255 40 248 42 254 57927 55132 33 245 39 242 46 244 49 245 47 236 55132 52475 31 264 39 242 46 241 51 247 45 240 52475 50072 47 276 47 261 51 253 57 252 50 251 50072 47904 59 271 57 264 57 257 67 259 61 258 47904 45929 58 266 61 263 65 259 78 258 81 259 45929 44119 56 263 63 261 68 256 74 253 88 255 44119 42444 54 260 62 258 68 253 66 249 80 249 42444 40884 49 257 55 252 59 248 60 248 72 246 40884 39419 44 259 48 248 52 243 58 246 67 245 39419 38035 42 273 42 254 47 240 53 238 59 239 38035 36693 46 285 44 268 44 248 49 236 57 233 36693 35323 46 291 47 271 44 250 46 237 54 227 35323 33900 42 294 43 270 45 250 48 241 48 224 33900 32425 36 294 37 264 40 245 47 241 45 222 32425 30882 26 289 32 253 39 239 46 227 46 221 30882 29257 18 280 28 241 37 232 45 226 43 226 29257 27556 14 259 23 231 32 229 38 221 37 229 27556 25779 13 276 17 225 24 219 30 211 35 227 25779 23924 7 270 13 199 20 201 28 199 34 224 23924 21995 5 250 14 186 21 194 27 200 32 215 21995 19989 7 220 13 194 22 205 25 205 30 206 19989 17900 8 214 14 196 23 208 25 202 28 199 17900 15772 9 196 15 194 22 197 25 195 25 198 15772 13723 12 193 19 196 23 197 23 202 23 202 13723 11856 15 191 20 206 22 212 21 211 24 198 11856 10195 14 190 19 213 21 220 19 211 24 191 10195 8718 13 186 18 204 20 216 20 210 24 190 8718 7405 12 186 18 196 21 206 22 211 23 193 7405 6241 13 188 18 194 21 199 22 209 22 195 6241 5211 13 188 15 196 20 194 20 203 21 195 5211 4307 11 186 12 195 16 190 16 194 19 190 4307 3510 9 181 9 193 12 187 12 191 15 183 3510 2800 6 167 6 189 6 177 7 192 9 176 2800 2174 4 142 4 167 1*118 1 179 3 155 2174 1655 3 110 4 128 2*085 1 095 3 293 1655 1259 2 087 5*094 2 081 2 071 8 300 1259 987 3 084 4*079 2 081 2*072 8 299 987 823 3*090 3 077 2 080 2*073 6 298 823 729 3*081 3 078 2 079 1 072 4*293 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography