DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.1 - - 61.3 - - 60.7 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 92 - - 143 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1522 - - 2040 - - 1625 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1616 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 2235 - - 2753 - - 2337 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1069 - - 1421 - - 1642 - - 2364 - - 1305 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 213 - - 271 - - 163 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 246 - - 231 - - 271 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 70 - - -809 - - -1160 - - -710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 2165 - - 3562 - - 3497 - - 1439 sfcLCL ODpotential -1926 - - -1174 - - -3057 - - -2964 - - -4058 ODpotential blCL 2655 - - 3409 - - 5810 - - 5301 - - 4787 blCL maxRH 92 - - 98 - - 97 - - 91 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.1 - - 61.3 - - 60.7 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 51.1 - - 48.2 - - 47.8 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 57.3 - - 60.2 - - 60.5 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 50.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.4 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 92 - - 143 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1522 - - 2040 - - 1625 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 90 - - 86 - - 64 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96768 44 276 48 280 42 278 47 270 42 280 96768 89602 34 279 34 276 35 278 33 270 31 290 89602 84091 29 275 25 271 31 276 23 272 30 281 84091 79501 27 263 22 273 27 270 21 274 28 272 79501 75516 23 248 26 263 26 258 23 270 21 265 75516 71968 26 254 25 249 25 243 22 260 16 258 71968 68728 26 257 23 241 22 243 18 251 19 259 68728 65724 21 255 23 242 22 246 19 244 21 258 65724 62922 25 259 24 242 24 248 24 243 24 253 62922 60193 27 246 25 238 27 245 27 245 25 254 60193 57341 26 247 24 240 27 241 27 255 26 256 57341 54393 29 259 27 251 27 244 32 258 30 255 54393 51597 36 260 36 258 33 253 39 254 36 255 51597 49090 43 255 44 253 39 252 44 250 38 252 49090 46847 45 251 44 249 42 250 46 249 41 251 46847 44819 42 251 44 248 45 251 50 247 47 249 44819 42971 41 260 44 249 48 250 51 247 50 247 42971 41276 44 265 44 247 49 246 51 248 52 247 41276 39710 45 264 43 244 47 242 54 248 55 248 39710 38257 44 261 43 241 49 243 55 244 57 245 38257 36906 42 259 43 238 55 235 51 241 58 240 36906 35609 43 259 43 238 52 229 49 240 58 236 35609 34286 44 260 43 237 49 229 49 238 57 235 34286 32905 42 262 43 239 48 231 49 235 56 234 32905 31473 41 264 44 242 47 233 50 234 55 234 31473 29977 41 265 45 244 46 237 49 234 53 234 29977 28404 38 266 45 246 43 240 47 235 51 234 28404 26754 32 267 44 248 41 243 47 236 48 233 26754 25027 26 264 39 248 41 243 46 237 46 233 25027 23227 25 261 36 250 37 242 41 234 44 234 23227 21358 26 248 33 247 33 243 37 232 40 235 21358 19415 28 240 29 239 30 243 31 230 35 235 19415 17390 30 236 27 230 29 236 25 231 28 232 17390 15328 23 232 27 233 26 231 18 230 22 228 15328 13345 14 236 23 236 21 234 16 223 17 214 13345 11542 14 265 16 248 16 232 16 233 13 213 11542 9937 12 252 12 238 14 230 14 237 10 216 9937 8508 8 229 10 216 11 226 11 230 8 212 8508 7238 7 211 10 201 9 220 9 217 7 199 7238 6110 9 208 9 205 8 224 8 200 10 184 6110 5111 11 205 10 212 7 227 9 192 11 179 5111 4232 11 203 10 218 7 221 9 202 9 188 4232 3456 10 207 9 225 7 219 9 216 7 207 3456 2762 8 223 8*235 7*223 8*239 6 234 2762 2151 7 241 7*244 7*228 8*266 6 270 2151 1642 6 258 7 247 7 231 8 271 8 286 1642 1253 5 268 7 247 7 232 8 272 8 288 1253 984 4 265 6 247 7 233 8 274 7 287 984 822 2*248 6 247 6 234 7 274 5*284 822 729 1*206 5 247 5 234 6 273 3*278 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography