DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 55.6 - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 173 - - 301 - - 149 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1030 - - 1346 - - 1083 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 957 - - 1413 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1743 - - 2059 - - 1796 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1471 - - 440 - - 418 - - 545 - - 919 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 230 - - 304 - - 225 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 271 - - 278 - - 280 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -174 - - -1463 - - -2284 - - -1032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1917 - - 3522 - - 4081 - - 1761 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -7718 - - -7921 - - -8804 - - -9319 ODpotential blCL 728 - - 9461 - - 9980 - - 10600 - - 10048 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 74 - - 64 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 55.6 - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.1 - - 48.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.3 - - 54.4 - - 61.0 - - 62.2 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.4 - - 49.3 - - 49.0 - - 47.2 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 173 - - 301 - - 149 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1030 - - 1346 - - 1083 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 79 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96517 34 294 28 294 37 285 33 295 34 293 96517 89346 24 309 28 292 32 297 26 308 26 307 89346 83889 21 329 21 300 25 300 26 311 25 318 83889 79381 25 326 17 322 18 301 21 308 25 328 79381 75490 21 328 20 329 16 308 19 307 23 320 75490 72040 18 329 15 320 18 318 18 309 23 310 72040 68894 17 317 12 316 15 311 15 309 19 303 68894 65972 21 310 12 313 14 280 18 299 19 302 65972 63235 25 298 17 307 13 272 20 294 21 297 63235 60554 27 286 24 296 19 290 22 288 23 290 60554 57746 30 282 32 290 27 285 28 290 26 295 57746 54843 35 282 37 283 33 285 32 284 30 287 54843 52088 36 286 37 286 33 290 35 285 34 283 52088 49614 42 289 40 290 39 290 41 286 41 279 49614 47390 45 289 42 288 43 285 45 279 43 276 47390 45372 48 292 44 287 41 278 48 272 46 271 45372 43540 52 293 45 289 40 273 42 264 41 265 43540 41871 52 292 46 288 42 275 41 273 40 269 41871 40340 52 289 48 284 45 275 48 274 48 268 40340 38916 48 289 47 282 46 276 51 269 51 265 38916 37572 46 292 45 282 44 274 47 269 47 260 37572 36266 46 293 43 283 42 273 42 268 43 260 36266 34934 44 293 42 285 41 275 40 269 40 258 34934 33546 41 293 40 286 41 276 37 270 38 258 33546 32104 38 293 37 283 39 278 36 269 36 259 32104 30594 33 289 32 280 35 278 33 270 34 260 30594 29002 28 286 29 277 31 273 30 270 31 263 29002 27329 25 281 29 269 26 272 27 268 29 263 27329 25575 22 277 26 265 24 268 23 266 27 257 25575 23744 21 283 21 266 20 256 21 256 26 252 23744 21840 21 289 19 273 18 260 20 250 23 254 21840 19857 16 292 18 275 17 264 15 254 18 258 19857 17789 14 292 15 279 15 267 12 260 13 258 17789 15677 11 298 12 290 12 278 9 276 11 259 15677 13636 10 297 12 295 11 296 10 303 10 285 13636 11776 11 299 13 310 13 318 12 323 11 315 11776 10121 11 301 13 323 12 333 13 333 12 327 10121 8651 10 303 13 327 12 337 13 335 14 331 8651 7344 10 306 13 326 12 337 13 337 15 333 7344 6186 10 312 13 329 12 336 13 337 15 335 6186 5164 11 319 13 333 12 333 14 335 16 333 5164 4264 12 321 13 334 11 329 15 331 16 329 4264 3473 13 316 13 333 11 321 15 324 18 326 3473 2767 16 304 13 320 11 308 14 314 21 321 2767 2149 16 293 11*296 9*287 12*296 19 311 2149 1638 15 284 10*274 10*280 11*283 15 294 1638 1250 13 278 10 271 9 278 11 280 13 281 1250 983 11 275 9 269 9 277 10 279 11 276 983 821 9 273 9 269 9 276 10 278 8*273 821 729 7*271 7 268 7 275 8 277 5*272 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography