DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 81.7 - - 80.2 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 264 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 555 - - 1148 - - 740 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1232 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1269 - - 1862 - - 1454 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 295 - - 820 - - 716 - - 359 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 274 - - 167 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 266 - - 295 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3318 - - -5131 - - -4611 - - -1161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4587 - - 6993 - - 6066 - - 1891 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13043 - - -13118 - - -12581 - - -12436 ODpotential blCL - - - 14312 - - 14980 - - 14035 - - 13166 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 43 - - 48 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 81.7 - - 80.2 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 53.8 - - 56.4 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 79.8 - - 79.4 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 53.3 - - 56.1 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 264 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 555 - - 1148 - - 740 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97867 4 256 4 294 15 272 11 316 97867 90620 8 020 2 207 4 270 4 243 90620 85028 4 351 3 271 5 037 1 108 85028 80385 3 075 2 331 6 041 6 009 80385 76388 5 075 2 240 5 355 7 021 76388 72853 2 086 1 087 1 002 6 056 72853 69647 3 161 3 311 1 228 1 023 69647 66700 3 216 5 246 5 272 7 290 66700 63981 8 301 9 254 7 277 11 285 63981 61360 17 299 13 270 11 276 13 279 61360 58638 20 287 17 271 19 270 19 282 58638 55830 26 288 23 273 28 267 28 268 55830 53164 35 286 32 283 34 278 32 273 53164 50759 45 282 42 281 42 276 38 273 50759 48590 48 280 44 279 43 278 43 276 48590 46610 47 281 43 278 46 278 51 272 46610 44782 46 283 45 278 53 277 56 271 44782 43081 46 284 49 280 56 275 61 275 43081 41488 45 284 50 282 54 276 66 275 41488 39989 40 287 50 284 52 276 62 273 39989 38576 34 290 48 283 50 277 56 274 38576 37210 27 282 41 280 47 280 51 275 37210 35825 19 279 27 273 42 277 41 275 35825 34392 13 276 18 266 30 265 32 273 34392 32911 8 288 14 266 23 261 28 264 32911 31363 9 296 14 272 20 275 25 255 31363 29733 11 299 14 265 18 282 20 261 29733 28023 11 314 15 262 13 270 12 238 28023 26237 13 316 12 272 11 266 10 234 26237 24373 10 308 8 270 9 261 9 234 24373 22426 7 296 7 225 6 230 10 227 22426 20391 3 250 10 189 10 197 12 217 20391 18263 2 193 8 194 10 192 12 212 18263 16091 4 203 7 206 7 197 8 206 16091 13995 4 227 5 217 5 192 6 189 13995 12088 4 236 5 209 6 181 7 182 12088 10391 3 213 6 197 8 189 8 181 10391 8885 3 190 8 201 10 199 10 191 8885 7548 4 187 10 204 11 203 12 202 7548 6362 6 185 11 204 12 203 12 207 6362 5314 6 185 10 204 11 200 11 203 5314 4392 7 179 10 202 9 192 10 192 4392 3577 7 171 10 203 7 180 8 177 3577 2849 8 172 8 206 4 172 6 164 2849 2207 9 183 6*217 1 202 4 170 2207 1673 8 205 5*258 4*301 4 233 1673 1268 5*240 5 267 6*298 7 284 1268 991 4*249 6 269 6 295 9 294 991 824 4 251 6 268 6 294 7*294 824 730 4 253 5 269 5 293 4*295 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography