DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 61.3 - - 58.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 293 - - 79 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1640 - - 2186 - - 1627 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1470 - - 2002 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2352 - - 2899 - - 2339 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 543 - - 625 - - 807 - - 1890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 350 - - 206 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 269 - - 278 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -461 - - -1056 - - -1325 - - -1252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2814 - - 3955 - - 3664 - - 1980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8094 - - -7646 - - -8412 - - -8895 ODpotential blCL - - - 10446 - - 10545 - - 10751 - - 9623 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 78 - - 90 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 61.3 - - 58.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 46.6 - - 45.1 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 59.6 - - 58.0 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 46.1 - - 44.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 293 - - 79 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1640 - - 2186 - - 1627 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 14 - - 58 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97762 20 286 22 307 23 288 27 300 97762 90485 18 287 17 286 20 299 16 311 90485 84848 8 276 14 278 13 278 13 305 84848 80166 4 330 6 257 9 272 11 283 80166 76140 9 311 3 278 8 281 7 294 76140 72588 10 270 9 293 8 297 5 311 72588 69368 8 266 8 267 6 282 2 257 69368 66391 11 251 13 250 13 267 8 247 66391 63623 15 233 20 246 15 260 13 253 63623 60935 17 223 21 237 19 244 20 251 60935 58120 19 226 26 236 28 236 27 233 58120 55196 29 234 36 239 35 236 32 230 55196 52403 41 242 47 238 46 240 40 235 52403 49888 50 241 55 232 56 234 53 235 49888 47633 55 239 60 232 60 230 61 228 47633 45578 60 238 66 234 66 230 67 228 45578 43686 63 237 71 235 75 232 79 229 43686 41938 62 235 75 236 82 232 85 228 41938 40316 61 235 76 235 85 232 85 227 40316 38804 59 234 76 233 87 233 86 228 38804 37393 57 235 73 232 87 232 86 228 37393 36050 55 234 68 228 81 229 84 227 36050 34702 54 230 63 224 72 224 80 222 34702 33310 49 228 56 226 63 223 77 217 33310 31868 43 229 52 226 61 224 75 219 31868 30359 42 229 48 225 62 224 73 220 30359 28771 42 228 48 226 60 226 67 218 28771 27106 41 230 48 229 57 228 64 215 27106 25361 38 231 46 231 54 226 61 217 25361 23538 35 231 44 229 51 224 57 219 23538 21643 34 233 40 226 47 223 52 220 21643 19666 31 230 36 223 41 220 45 219 19666 17602 30 224 31 222 35 217 37 215 17602 15499 26 220 26 223 28 215 31 212 15499 13476 22 215 25 221 26 214 29 208 13476 11638 22 213 25 220 26 214 30 207 11638 10004 24 215 27 217 28 212 31 205 10004 8552 25 218 27 215 28 210 30 201 8552 7261 24 218 26 214 27 209 29 198 7261 6116 20 218 23 211 25 204 28 195 6116 5104 16 220 20 203 22 195 26 194 5104 4217 13 220 16 203 19 198 21 199 4217 3439 12 242 11*231 13 225 13 225 3439 2750 12*264 11*265 12*268 12 274 2750 2143 12*268 12 269 13*277 13 288 2143 1638 11 269 12 270 13 278 13 288 1638 1250 11 268 12 271 13 279 12 285 1250 983 10 268 12 271 12 279 10 280 983 821 10 268 11 271 11 279 7 272 821 728 8 268 9 270 8 279 3*263 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography