DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 37 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 1598 - - 536 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2523 - - 2310 - - 1248 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1662 - - 2382 - - 2843 - - 2701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 168 - - 63 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 206 - - 244 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1004 - - 721 - - 182 - - -32 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1519 - - 1589 - - 1066 - - 760 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 500 - - 174 - - -200 - - -521 ODpotential blCL - - - 2023 - - 2136 - - 1448 - - 1249 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 49.8 - - 50.4 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 53.8 - - 52.4 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 48.8 - - 50.0 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 37 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 1598 - - 536 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96780 0 206 4 048 8 153 8 105 96780 89683 6 148 4 228 7 079 8 097 89683 84177 7 143 8 268 6 112 6 025 84177 79567 9 118 4 174 7 121 1 317 79567 75571 16 122 9 116 2 076 4 120 75571 72031 9 104 2 094 1 266 6 120 72031 68819 5 151 6 206 4 254 5 163 68819 65862 2 064 7 215 6 271 5 240 65862 63112 8 311 8 250 7 262 9 267 63112 60458 8 319 7 230 13 262 14 246 60458 57705 16 323 9 279 16 251 20 266 57705 54850 13 333 9 288 13 255 24 250 54850 52140 29 330 31 309 27 291 34 269 52140 49713 29 302 30 302 28 288 33 270 49713 47522 17 290 21 317 28 290 35 275 47522 45507 14 335 29 334 31 289 39 274 45507 43641 45 346 32 332 29 287 39 275 43641 41904 52 341 32 329 30 291 41 273 41904 40298 48 343 36 327 31 297 47 278 40298 38818 45 350 46 327 46 312 42 279 38818 37430 43 354 54 328 58 321 53 292 37430 36084 47 354 55 331 75 318 64 292 36084 34724 52 354 53 333 67 318 56 290 34724 33321 56 356 52 334 56 320 42 289 33321 31870 57 356 47 337 50 319 32 290 31870 30354 57 007 41 340 42 317 26 289 30354 28758 56 012 36 348 31 324 24 287 28758 27083 56 012 34 355 24 328 28 292 27083 25326 53 015 34 356 22 326 27 292 25326 23489 47 011 33 356 24 326 27 293 23489 21574 45 022 32 357 26 329 29 296 21574 19577 44 022 32 359 24 337 30 299 19577 17503 42 020 32 001 24 340 24 304 17503 15400 24 001 30 356 28 342 27 312 15400 13374 20 332 24 341 28 345 30 319 13374 11531 13 346 14 341 18 341 26 335 11531 9897 10 011 5 343 10 312 18 340 9897 8453 7 028 2 314 9 294 12 308 8453 7177 3 058 3 234 9 281 12 286 7177 6050 2 171 7 200 5 223 10 249 6050 5059 5 197 7 216 7 195 10 202 5059 4191 6 223 5 214 7 211 11 190 4191 3426 7 231 4 201 7 232 10 197 3426 2742 7*232 4*198 7 246 8 210 2742 2137 7*230 5*201 7 250 7 224 2137 1634 6 226 5 203 6 251 5 232 1634 1247 6 223 5 207 5*246 4 232 1247 982 6 221 5 210 5*244 4 226 982 821 5 221 5 212 4 243 3 220 821 728 4 221 4 212 3 241 2*211 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography