DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.9 - - 72.0 - - 80.7 - - 77.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 269 - - 399 - - 264 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 279 - - 747 - - 1205 - - 1022 - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 950 - - 1372 - - 1144 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 991 - - 1461 - - 1919 - - 1736 - - 1015 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 277 - - 384 - - 491 - - 323 - - 360 Hgt.Variab. W* 89 - - 240 - - 319 - - 264 - - 70 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 250 - - 262 - - 268 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1097 - - -4117 - - -5885 - - -4903 - - -1947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2088 - - 5579 - - 7804 - - 6640 - - 2962 sfcLCL ODpotential -14548 - - -13972 - - -13656 - - -13339 - - -13134 ODpotential blCL 15539 - - 15433 - - 15575 - - 15075 - - 14149 blCL maxRH 77 - - 52 - - 39 - - 45 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.9 - - 72.0 - - 80.7 - - 77.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 50.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.1 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 70.4 - - 78.3 - - 75.4 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.7 - - 49.8 - - 48.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 269 - - 399 - - 264 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 279 - - 747 - - 1205 - - 1022 - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99404 32 102 23 105 25 107 25 102 25 100 99404 91904 29 097 27 124 23 110 23 104 21 084 91904 86091 27 107 30 116 21 106 23 111 21 098 86091 81257 25 113 23 108 20 120 21 110 23 106 81257 77108 19 119 17 112 24 129 15 110 22 110 77108 73452 15 123 11 113 17 120 15 123 14 112 73452 70151 14 123 12 150 10 146 18 132 9 111 70151 67131 10 150 16 159 11 158 13 151 8 146 67131 64344 15 187 14 174 14 167 12 202 7 173 64344 61654 18 184 18 191 17 190 18 201 11 192 61654 58861 17 183 24 199 28 204 24 206 21 215 58861 55996 23 230 27 197 36 200 35 207 33 211 55996 53284 41 236 35 217 41 208 42 212 41 212 53284 50848 55 228 50 224 52 218 53 217 50 214 50848 48661 65 226 60 224 59 218 61 216 58 212 48661 46667 72 224 66 225 64 218 65 216 63 213 46667 44827 72 222 70 223 67 217 67 215 64 212 44827 43112 76 221 72 219 71 213 69 213 66 209 43112 41510 81 219 78 215 79 211 76 211 72 209 41510 40013 77 218 79 216 81 213 81 213 81 213 40013 38606 63 219 75 220 77 217 81 212 84 213 38606 37242 54 222 68 221 69 219 78 212 76 212 37242 35853 50 225 58 220 59 215 71 216 67 212 35853 34412 49 229 49 220 48 208 55 216 59 212 34412 32922 47 227 43 218 45 207 45 209 53 210 32922 31366 46 218 42 213 44 204 41 205 49 207 31366 29730 47 218 45 212 43 201 41 196 47 209 29730 28015 47 217 48 206 48 198 48 195 49 201 28015 26223 46 207 50 197 53 196 55 194 56 194 26223 24354 45 201 46 195 51 194 56 191 57 191 24354 22406 44 197 42 198 43 198 51 191 51 192 22406 20376 37 197 35 203 35 203 36 194 40 191 20376 18258 28 205 27 203 28 198 28 196 32 193 18258 16094 24 210 22 206 25 202 27 198 26 199 16094 14002 21 219 20 211 23 206 22 205 23 198 14002 12094 18 227 16 215 19 209 17 207 18 193 12094 10394 15 230 13 213 14 205 13 203 13 189 10394 8882 12 238 11 211 12 204 11 203 10 188 8882 7537 9 243 10 211 10 210 9 209 7 195 7537 6345 6 246 8 210 9 212 8 211 6 212 6345 5291 4 254 7 213 8 210 9 211 7 230 5291 4364 5 283 6 235 8 216 9 224 8 251 4364 3548 8 296 7 273 7 248 10 245 10 263 3548 2823 11 296 9 288 9 266 12 269 14 273 2823 2187 13 288 9 279 10*265 14*272 16 279 2187 1661 12 272 9*254 10*263 13*270 14 274 1661 1261 11*249 9*251 10 262 13 268 11*263 1261 989 9*236 9 250 10 262 12 268 10*259 989 824 8 235 8 250 9 262 11 267 9 258 824 729 6 233 7 251 8 261 9 266 7 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography