DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 78.1 - - 74.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 422 - - 273 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 1191 - - 991 - - 368 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1072 - - 1372 - - 1128 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1638 - - 1905 - - 1705 - - 1080 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 315 - - 419 - - 293 - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 323 - - 263 - - 95 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 275 - - 284 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -826 - - -3062 - - -2215 - - -808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2464 - - 4967 - - 3920 - - 1888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10871 - - -11175 - - -11372 - - -12748 ODpotential blCL - - - 12509 - - 13080 - - 13077 - - 13828 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 68 - - 72 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 78.1 - - 74.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.3 - - 59.1 - - 59.5 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 75.6 - - 72.3 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 422 - - 273 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 1191 - - 991 - - 368 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99370 38 108 36 115 23 116 24 089 99370 91863 33 115 26 110 30 104 29 113 91863 86069 34 114 23 103 34 113 33 101 86069 81308 35 111 29 109 30 108 32 118 81308 77219 28 101 29 112 24 084 28 120 77219 73588 21 096 24 110 18 103 19 093 73588 70304 14 099 21 115 18 113 11 078 70304 67292 10 128 19 129 13 127 7 103 67292 64498 14 157 16 144 10 136 7 136 64498 61800 15 149 11 178 5 175 5 117 61800 59022 11 142 11 191 10 224 3 316 59022 56186 11 177 7 193 11 208 6 264 56186 53504 12 197 9 213 13 204 13 228 53504 51100 12 234 12 201 18 198 21 204 51100 48949 15 246 13 212 17 205 20 201 48949 46989 18 249 17 219 18 228 20 216 46989 45176 22 234 22 228 24 237 23 226 45176 43484 25 228 28 239 29 245 24 236 43484 41895 27 230 35 239 34 247 29 240 41895 40395 28 234 34 238 34 245 33 241 40395 38976 26 238 31 241 28 242 32 237 38976 37603 26 243 29 242 25 241 29 230 37603 36205 26 245 26 237 24 240 27 234 36205 34751 24 245 23 234 24 236 25 240 34751 33244 22 243 21 236 23 226 27 241 33244 31668 17 237 18 230 23 221 28 240 31668 30010 13 231 16 216 23 219 25 235 30010 28272 13 225 14 207 20 215 20 221 28272 26454 12 216 14 202 17 207 19 207 26454 24560 11 204 15 197 17 202 17 198 24560 22601 13 198 18 203 20 212 16 210 22601 20563 14 200 21 213 22 219 22 210 20563 18433 16 202 25 223 22 218 25 201 18433 16255 18 206 28 227 22 224 19 206 16255 14147 19 219 26 237 22 237 16 231 14147 12224 17 224 19 237 18 249 13 252 12224 10508 16 228 15 236 12 247 9 256 10508 8980 15 228 15 235 10 243 6 241 8980 7620 13 226 14 231 9 236 6 233 7620 6410 12 218 12 220 8 224 6 231 6410 5340 12 205 12 208 10 218 7 228 5340 4398 14 195 14 199 12 209 10 227 4398 3569 17 194 16 198 13 208 13 226 3569 2831 17 207 15 211 13 222 14 227 2831 2188 13 232 11*248 12*260 15 244 2188 1660 9*266 11*273 12*282 14 272 1660 1261 9*273 11 275 12 284 13*282 1261 989 9 274 11 276 12 284 12*284 989 824 8 274 10 275 11 284 11 284 824 729 7 274 9 275 9 283 8 283 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography