DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 59.3 - - 62.4 - - 62.3 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 38 - - 31 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 619 - - 1126 - - 352 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1331 - - 1839 - - 1065 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 349 - - 773 - - 895 - - 1271 - - 1172 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 126 - - 145 - - 34 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 034 - - 327 - - 116 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -210 - - -636 - - -217 - - -725 - - -131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 938 - - 1967 - - 2056 - - 1790 - - 860 sfcLCL ODpotential -5165 - - -4756 - - -3864 - - -4121 - - -2603 ODpotential blCL 5893 - - 6087 - - 5703 - - 5186 - - 3332 blCL maxRH 91 - - 95 - - 99 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 59.3 - - 62.4 - - 62.3 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.1 - - 53.1 - - 55.6 - - 56.7 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 58.9 - - 62.0 - - 62.8 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.0 - - 51.9 - - 54.5 - - 55.5 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 38 - - 31 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 619 - - 1126 - - 352 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 79 - - 98 - - 85 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96525 20 066 10 054 19 058 22 071 9 105 96525 89483 26 076 31 089 19 083 23 066 24 094 89483 84009 18 083 22 092 17 090 16 084 19 088 84009 79459 13 070 18 110 7 093 11 101 16 070 79459 75506 11 074 15 100 7 116 1 029 12 045 75506 71996 6 110 7 078 8 126 7 294 6 051 71996 68824 2 030 8 033 10 125 4 215 4 032 68824 65900 7 135 1 333 0 101 2 130 1 008 65900 63171 2 286 9 119 6 216 5 212 4 210 63171 60520 15 185 12 186 12 220 14 220 11 214 60520 57744 19 182 16 183 16 190 22 183 18 206 57744 54834 23 192 24 183 22 199 27 188 25 206 54834 52025 27 188 29 185 34 182 34 179 30 190 52025 49482 30 175 29 173 33 165 29 161 29 167 49482 47206 25 166 29 164 23 154 16 150 20 155 47206 45150 25 184 29 162 18 168 19 176 15 156 45150 43273 38 172 37 165 34 170 31 163 12 151 43273 41542 37 156 37 157 38 152 28 150 16 159 41542 39941 32 174 42 150 29 129 26 125 21 132 39941 38478 46 190 45 131 13 135 23 110 34 105 38478 37134 71 183 24 144 33 176 19 122 42 092 37134 35842 87 180 59 184 54 166 20 120 36 072 35842 34524 97 178 60 176 46 154 20 117 35 071 34524 33149 98 178 51 165 42 136 24 116 35 075 33149 31721 87 180 47 157 40 137 30 113 33 080 31721 30225 74 182 47 143 38 136 30 115 31 084 30225 28649 56 179 49 140 35 136 26 118 30 086 28649 26991 50 169 44 142 35 134 27 109 31 088 26991 25253 54 168 39 144 36 132 25 106 32 087 25253 23436 54 166 37 143 36 132 23 104 33 082 23436 21545 38 163 28 148 35 124 23 106 32 074 21545 19572 35 194 22 182 32 104 24 111 31 070 19572 17516 24 205 16 163 24 084 26 115 29 072 17516 15420 20 159 21 145 19 090 27 116 25 078 15420 13403 28 147 21 133 22 115 28 120 21 091 13403 11574 27 143 24 132 25 128 29 128 16 120 11574 9954 28 139 25 130 24 136 28 138 12 140 9954 8520 27 145 21 122 19 138 29 147 10 143 8520 7249 22 147 15 123 13 118 28 150 9 143 7249 6118 12 139 8 120 10 097 21 148 8 141 6118 5116 6 103 6 078 10 071 12 134 9 139 5116 4235 5 052 8 060 11 044 9 100 9 135 4235 3457 9 048 8 039 12 022 10 061 9 133 3457 2762 13 054 11 026 11 013 12 043 6 149 2762 2150 16 053 13 028 7*001 10 036 4 213 2150 1641 18 046 12*030 4*333 5 034 8 256 1641 1251 17 044 8*032 4 328 2*047 7 261 1251 984 13 049 6 034 4 324 1*082 5 255 984 822 9 054 5 034 4 322 0 130 3*243 822 729 4*061 4 035 3 321 0 144 2*227 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography