DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 62.2 - - 62.7 - - 62.0 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 121 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 123 - - 1189 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 835 - - 1902 - - 1448 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 217 - - 994 - - 853 - - 868 - - 638 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 61 - - 219 - - 117 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 264 - - 259 - - 279 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1755 - - -3407 - - -1386 - - -1680 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2485 - - 4243 - - 3288 - - 3128 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential -7618 - - -7399 - - -4807 - - -5110 - - -5597 ODpotential blCL 8347 - - 8234 - - 6709 - - 6558 - - 6326 blCL maxRH 54 - - 49 - - 71 - - 69 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 62.2 - - 62.7 - - 62.0 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 46.5 - - 50.9 - - 51.0 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 62.0 - - 61.7 - - 61.7 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 49.7 - - 50.1 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 121 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 123 - - 1189 - - 735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 11 152 5 080 6 227 4 315 3 182 96170 89131 16 082 7 083 9 082 10 096 13 113 89131 83701 18 086 5 119 14 105 14 110 18 107 83701 79168 14 081 8 130 11 102 8 130 14 072 79168 75246 12 062 8 111 5 113 5 136 8 046 75246 71789 6 084 6 101 6 139 3 236 6 009 71789 68665 7 134 6 117 5 144 5 207 2 299 68665 65781 8 176 10 193 6 235 5 162 7 202 65781 63085 11 190 14 203 11 243 3 223 8 237 63085 60452 11 199 11 215 13 225 11 245 16 265 60452 57698 12 220 14 255 12 231 15 254 17 257 57698 54839 14 235 21 267 12 270 16 262 14 236 54839 52098 15 255 20 264 19 282 17 252 16 229 52098 49611 15 271 18 256 25 260 19 240 18 239 49611 47363 14 271 16 248 25 243 21 233 18 249 47363 45310 14 271 12 239 24 234 20 240 16 263 45310 43432 12 260 12 248 22 238 19 264 16 302 43432 41707 7 254 11 269 22 252 24 285 26 316 41707 40104 6 254 14 307 16 256 21 286 24 306 40104 38605 8 241 22 311 1 357 11 293 31 319 38605 37209 11 247 21 290 9 003 27 359 40 353 37209 35884 12 245 17 279 20 010 58 017 62 017 35884 34553 10 209 6 311 42 010 85 017 80 012 34553 33168 21 167 7 048 42 004 69 008 84 006 33168 31725 40 159 2 095 16 360 71 003 85 006 31725 30210 48 154 18 158 5 006 54 002 84 009 30210 28618 43 160 28 144 9 138 12 009 68 010 28618 26963 34 165 26 154 10 151 6 054 21 013 26963 25246 31 174 17 175 2 181 1 182 8 094 25246 23455 25 179 16 172 4 208 6 191 7 128 23455 21587 20 164 13 154 7 163 9 203 8 218 21587 19638 16 160 10 154 10 152 9 195 6 228 19638 17604 12 173 8 178 11 152 9 184 7 203 17604 15525 15 194 10 187 11 173 9 194 4 264 15525 13516 18 186 18 192 15 197 8 215 5 317 13516 11685 18 177 22 191 18 198 8 220 4 315 11685 10056 18 176 21 188 16 192 10 209 1 292 10056 8607 16 172 20 181 14 181 11 198 3 207 8607 7318 14 168 19 179 11 182 10 189 6 210 7318 6172 12 171 13 186 4 219 8 187 6 211 6172 5157 8 183 9 197 3 281 4 190 5 216 5157 4263 6 207 7 204 4 266 3 216 3 223 4263 3475 5 227 6 205 6 245 3 237 3 217 3475 2773 5 232 7 207 7 256 3 245 4 219 2773 2155 5 235 8 210 6*261 2 253 4 237 2155 1642 5 239 8 215 6*261 3*276 5 266 1642 1251 4 239 7 220 6 260 4*280 7 273 1251 983 4 225 4*229 5 258 4 280 7 270 983 821 3*190 2*265 5 259 4 278 6*264 821 729 2*141 2 264 4 258 4 278 3*258 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography