DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.1 - - 79.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 342 - - 197 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 1103 - - 672 - - 171 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1266 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1395 - - 1817 - - 1386 - - 884 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 429 - - 531 - - 383 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 294 - - 208 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 278 - - 279 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5919 - - -7332 - - -5435 - - -2442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7314 - - 9149 - - 6822 - - 3326 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12257 - - -12633 - - -12520 - - -12235 ODpotential blCL - - - 13652 - - 14450 - - 13906 - - 13119 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 86 - - 52 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.1 - - 79.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 50.0 - - 52.2 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 84.9 - - 77.6 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 49.4 - - 51.9 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 342 - - 197 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 1103 - - 672 - - 171 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98840 4 203 6 163 1 095 5 168 98840 91402 6 192 2 357 3 115 3 145 91402 85659 8 177 2 290 1 296 5 035 85659 80880 5 108 2 227 4 279 10 024 80880 76760 5 067 4 064 2 030 7 003 76760 73143 4 107 4 044 9 025 6 040 73143 69886 7 086 3 093 7 011 10 016 69886 66903 8 075 3 105 4 017 8 008 66903 64153 7 083 3 191 4 316 9 343 64153 61507 1 239 4 261 6 277 6 306 61507 58773 5 287 7 262 11 264 15 297 58773 55952 17 280 18 265 22 262 22 272 55952 53277 26 265 26 251 27 254 28 257 53277 50882 29 259 28 255 29 261 33 257 50882 48730 30 259 31 260 36 269 41 262 48730 46762 33 259 37 258 43 271 50 268 46762 44943 35 255 42 252 50 262 58 266 44943 43251 37 252 44 247 53 252 61 261 43251 41670 39 254 45 255 52 253 61 257 41670 40184 42 258 46 263 52 261 60 259 40184 38775 41 263 47 263 53 269 57 262 38775 37406 39 265 45 262 50 270 55 265 37406 36009 37 265 42 261 50 263 53 265 36009 34557 36 265 39 261 48 261 50 265 34557 33053 35 266 40 260 44 261 48 266 33053 31481 34 268 39 260 41 265 47 266 31481 29830 34 264 37 265 38 270 44 272 29830 28103 30 263 33 269 32 272 36 276 28103 26299 29 261 31 275 30 281 32 280 26299 24414 29 258 31 275 31 284 31 294 24414 22450 28 251 28 276 29 275 28 288 22450 20400 26 243 24 256 26 259 26 277 20400 18272 21 237 24 242 24 246 23 259 18272 16109 18 235 21 236 24 247 21 251 16109 14023 17 234 18 239 21 252 20 254 14023 12121 16 239 17 249 18 258 16 261 12121 10427 14 248 15 258 15 266 12 263 10427 8919 9 260 12 269 13 274 11 265 8919 7575 5 261 9 265 11 276 12 272 7575 6380 4 268 8 259 12 271 12 274 6380 5321 7 299 9 275 13 265 15 274 5321 4389 9 300 12 285 16 271 18 284 4389 3569 11 292 16 289 18 285 20 294 3569 2838 13 288 17 292 19 294 21 301 2838 2197 14 286 15*289 18 293 21 300 2197 1667 12*282 13*281 16*286 17 290 1667 1265 10*273 13 278 14*281 13 273 1265 990 9 271 12 277 13 280 10*266 990 824 8 270 11 276 12 278 9*263 824 730 7 268 9 275 10 277 6 262 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography