DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 89.6 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 283 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1323 - - 3793 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1168 - - 3198 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2037 - - 4508 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1661 - - 1336 - - - - - 366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 418 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 33 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 068 - - - - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6572 - - -7322 - - - - - -4015 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8609 - - 11831 - - - - - 4745 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13830 - - -12660 - - - - - -11079 ODpotential blCL - - - 15867 - - 17168 - - - - - 11809 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 73 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 89.6 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 40.4 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.1 - - 87.6 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 39.5 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 283 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1323 - - 3793 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99081 18 137 18 138 4 146 99081 91614 12 130 16 143 9 086 91614 85824 12 120 9 144 11 121 85824 81014 14 125 11 123 16 107 81014 76897 16 119 14 113 19 089 76897 73282 16 112 20 116 16 106 73282 70025 15 104 15 090 18 116 70025 67042 12 112 13 102 15 105 67042 64280 8 142 6 112 10 088 64280 61603 11 165 8 200 6 343 61603 58820 10 200 15 211 17 257 58820 55955 20 229 25 225 26 237 55955 53238 29 237 38 232 34 248 53238 50800 43 247 49 242 52 242 50800 48619 56 249 58 244 60 233 48619 46637 64 247 72 245 61 240 46637 44815 69 244 87 241 78 244 44815 43123 69 243 88 238 85 241 43123 41534 65 243 76 239 87 239 41534 40033 58 242 64 240 83 238 40033 38618 50 242 57 240 79 238 38618 37258 44 244 49 238 69 239 37258 35879 39 244 47 238 60 236 35879 34441 38 242 46 239 54 235 34441 32950 37 241 42 240 46 239 32950 31393 33 241 40 242 34 237 31393 29759 28 241 34 242 26 232 29759 28044 25 237 26 239 23 230 28044 26246 24 230 24 236 19 225 26246 24367 23 229 23 235 17 221 24367 22412 21 226 21 229 19 232 22412 20377 18 219 17 213 21 237 20377 18259 15 210 18 209 18 237 18259 16101 15 217 20 224 12 225 16101 14017 18 234 23 239 7 210 14017 12117 20 242 20 247 5 180 12117 10426 18 243 15 246 7 159 10426 8919 12 227 13 237 7 180 8919 7578 10 188 11 214 9 196 7578 6387 12 166 13 187 12 194 6387 5335 12 156 11*174 11 186 5335 4409 9 153 3*139 6 166 4409 3594 6 147 2 084 5 087 3594 2866 4 120 3 061 5 058 2866 2222 5*073 3 057 5 031 2222 1685 5*051 3 055 6 346 1685 1276 5 048 3 053 8 321 1276 996 5 046 3 049 8 308 996 827 4 046 2 050 6*299 827 730 4 045 2 050 5*295 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography