DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 65.1 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 486 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2652 - - 2816 - - - - - 945 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2250 - - 2617 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3365 - - 3528 - - - - - 1658 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 915 - - 716 - - - - - 663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 450 - - - - - 106 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 269 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 718 - - -446 - - - - - -932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2647 - - 3974 - - - - - 2590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 780 - - -11181 - - - - - -12658 ODpotential blCL - - - 2585 - - 14709 - - - - - 14316 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 65.1 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 50.2 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 62.7 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 49.7 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 486 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2652 - - 2816 - - - - - 945 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 50 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99121 26 116 24 107 22 115 99121 91618 33 113 19 119 24 095 91618 85836 26 106 18 113 26 086 85836 81039 17 118 17 121 20 077 81039 76908 18 106 17 129 11 099 76908 73251 11 114 14 120 9 112 73251 69936 6 127 4 091 10 095 69936 66894 4 040 3 324 11 034 66894 64089 6 354 5 287 3 256 64089 61383 7 320 8 307 6 227 61383 58579 17 318 15 303 12 327 58579 55691 26 301 19 292 25 308 55691 52942 38 310 30 303 39 296 52942 50476 48 309 45 312 52 296 50476 48280 59 314 65 316 64 293 48280 46299 67 311 73 307 68 300 46299 44490 64 311 73 306 75 308 44490 42815 63 315 71 307 79 311 42815 41247 66 318 70 312 80 313 41247 39771 67 319 70 313 81 313 39771 38375 66 318 67 309 81 311 38375 37020 65 316 65 307 80 308 37020 35638 63 315 65 309 77 304 35638 34198 63 316 64 309 72 303 34198 32706 63 317 63 308 66 303 32706 31145 62 316 62 310 63 304 31145 29502 58 311 61 309 63 301 29502 27774 56 304 61 310 62 301 27774 25964 56 299 56 305 60 303 25964 24073 57 297 55 296 60 307 24073 22102 60 296 58 296 62 308 22102 20048 63 300 57 302 53 311 20048 17911 56 304 53 304 44 310 17911 15737 51 307 49 306 43 310 15737 13649 47 313 44 316 40 316 13649 11762 36 309 32 323 30 326 11762 10098 27 302 21 319 19 332 10098 8628 22 300 18 310 15 328 8628 7326 18 306 15 315 14 327 7326 6173 14 314 12 321 12 338 6173 5155 10 310 11 306 11 341 5155 4261 11 291 12*283 11 326 4261 3474 14*284 13*274 13 306 3474 2773 15*283 15 271 14 291 2773 2157 16 281 16 270 14*270 2157 1646 16 280 16 268 14*250 1646 1255 15 279 16 267 13 247 1255 986 14 279 15 267 13 246 986 823 13 278 14 266 11 244 823 729 10 278 11 266 8 243 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography