DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 54.9 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 67 - - 71 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 909 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1209 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1620 - - 2814 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1296 - - 1335 - - 1125 - - 3164 - - 2747 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 167 - - 230 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 076 - - 351 - - 345 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -11 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 81 - - 379 - - -1063 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1539 - - 2436 - - 1791 - - 900 sfcLCL ODpotential -892 - - -1659 - - -1907 - - -1474 - - -1060 ODpotential blCL 1620 - - 3279 - - 4721 - - 2202 - - 1788 blCL maxRH 99 - - 87 - - 86 - - 95 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 54.9 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 46.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 50.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.2 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 48.4 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 67 - - 71 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 909 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 50 - - 42 - - 80 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96776 14 123 8 109 3 118 8 110 5 157 96776 89653 4 100 8 069 8 096 9 161 3 071 89653 84148 6 077 8 110 7 079 8 107 7 084 84148 79569 12 087 9 096 7 088 5 098 12 083 79569 75617 14 083 10 100 4 073 9 076 13 086 75617 72109 10 060 8 094 1 016 11 051 9 059 72109 68924 6 045 7 078 1 186 8 011 10 015 68924 65989 8 002 8 034 4 015 10 004 10 352 65989 63252 12 351 10 008 5 347 11 343 8 330 63252 60590 16 337 16 016 13 006 12 353 18 344 60590 57821 17 354 24 005 19 008 17 010 17 353 57821 54948 27 004 31 009 25 014 28 015 32 008 54948 52196 38 009 40 008 38 012 43 005 40 001 52196 49712 47 014 46 008 50 012 49 009 49 003 49712 47476 51 017 51 013 60 016 56 011 54 004 47476 45437 55 018 57 016 62 014 58 012 57 009 45437 43562 59 019 58 018 62 014 60 018 59 014 43562 41824 63 021 60 020 65 017 67 020 65 022 41824 40203 66 022 66 022 68 019 75 018 83 024 40203 38685 67 023 71 023 72 018 82 016 100 017 38685 37257 68 027 73 022 73 017 83 014 109 008 37257 35882 72 025 71 023 74 016 80 014 100 009 35882 34486 64 030 67 025 72 015 77 013 84 011 34486 33051 62 032 64 026 68 016 72 012 78 014 33051 31585 52 033 60 029 61 019 65 013 72 014 31585 30073 40 056 50 041 55 026 54 013 60 011 30073 28497 43 074 44 060 47 034 46 027 46 010 28497 26853 51 075 44 074 40 050 42 029 41 013 26853 25132 51 073 43 078 35 057 37 031 35 018 25132 23337 45 080 42 081 28 069 31 032 29 017 23337 21471 43 092 40 085 29 082 23 041 24 019 21471 19523 44 097 37 089 27 081 20 047 24 023 19523 17486 43 096 34 090 23 096 18 053 25 030 17486 15402 42 094 31 085 18 097 17 067 25 039 15402 13390 36 093 28 088 19 087 18 078 21 046 13390 11558 29 090 25 098 20 099 17 086 15 060 11558 9932 29 084 22 093 17 111 13 078 12 082 9932 8489 25 088 17 092 8 079 4 049 6 068 8489 7210 19 097 13 102 9 026 9 349 4 054 7210 6078 15 095 8 083 13 025 12 014 5 029 6078 5080 12 089 8 035 13 026 13 034 6 357 5080 4205 10 074 9 018 11 021 9 037 6 340 4205 3436 12 062 8 027 9*013 6 028 5 327 3436 2750 14 057 10 053 5*358 5 015 5 323 2750 2143 16 052 12 068 5 353 4 004 6 318 2143 1638 18 045 12*072 5 350 4 355 8 315 1638 1250 17 041 11*075 4 348 4 349 7 315 1250 983 13 040 10 076 4 345 3 347 6 314 983 821 10*039 9 077 4 345 3 344 4 311 821 728 5*038 7 078 3 344 2*345 2*306 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography