DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 467 - - 311 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1294 - - 1182 - - 590 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1184 - - 1465 - - 1297 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1716 - - 2007 - - 1896 - - 1303 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 245 - - 397 - - 419 - - 416 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 343 - - 291 - - 107 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 275 - - 276 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1956 - - -4482 - - -3150 - - -895 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3673 - - 6490 - - 5046 - - 2198 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13366 - - -14142 - - -13380 - - -13101 ODpotential blCL - - - 15082 - - 16149 - - 15276 - - 14404 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 51 - - 62 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 50.6 - - 53.1 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 73.5 - - 70.6 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 50.1 - - 52.8 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 467 - - 311 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1003 - - 1294 - - 1182 - - 590 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99324 41 116 33 108 36 107 36 089 99324 91843 35 103 33 107 31 103 31 096 91843 86107 26 107 31 102 29 102 28 103 86107 81337 26 118 25 106 26 097 27 104 81337 77207 26 105 22 110 22 097 25 104 77207 73560 21 101 21 105 20 104 19 102 73560 70272 21 112 16 124 15 117 15 108 70272 67260 14 120 16 130 16 128 12 111 67260 64481 12 147 10 135 11 115 12 115 64481 61812 16 148 14 158 7 180 7 136 61812 59045 20 173 22 187 12 211 8 186 59045 56184 19 185 23 188 23 198 23 206 56184 53474 23 217 27 212 31 212 30 217 53474 51047 36 227 39 222 43 219 41 224 51047 48872 46 225 47 218 52 217 51 221 48872 46894 49 225 51 217 56 217 58 217 46894 45069 56 217 59 218 62 217 62 217 45069 43369 64 214 62 217 67 217 61 219 43369 41776 66 214 65 216 69 218 59 221 41776 40276 65 214 64 215 66 217 62 219 40276 38859 63 213 60 212 63 216 64 214 38859 37484 59 216 58 212 61 216 63 213 37484 36084 57 216 56 214 57 216 59 218 36084 34628 52 216 50 215 52 216 55 219 34628 33119 46 220 44 215 47 217 50 220 33119 31546 42 222 42 217 42 217 47 221 31546 29895 39 221 40 218 42 219 45 219 29895 28163 36 223 36 220 41 222 43 220 28163 26349 31 230 29 219 34 220 41 223 26349 24453 27 225 25 217 27 214 38 222 24453 22482 26 214 25 213 25 212 32 219 22482 20432 27 207 28 209 25 213 27 217 20432 18296 27 205 27 211 24 212 26 212 18296 16115 24 203 24 208 23 210 25 207 16115 14010 22 206 22 202 22 207 21 204 14010 12094 20 205 20 203 19 203 17 201 12094 10389 16 200 17 204 15 201 14 200 10389 8873 13 197 14 203 13 205 13 203 8873 7525 9 202 10 207 11 213 10 213 7525 6330 6 212 7 221 9 226 8 229 6330 5275 4 231 5 246 7 246 8 256 5275 4348 4 288 6 284 8 265 9 272 4348 3534 6 304 9 295 10 277 12 277 3534 2810 9 302 12 291 15 286 15 283 2810 2177 11*290 13*282 17*283 17 286 2177 1656 10*268 13*278 17*279 16*275 1656 1260 10 264 13 276 16 277 15*267 1260 989 10 263 13 274 16 275 14 265 989 824 9 262 12 273 14 274 12 264 824 729 8 261 10 272 11 273 9 263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography