DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 55.3 - - 61.8 - - 60.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 52 - - 101 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 583 - - 1101 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1295 - - 1814 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 358 - - 523 - - 824 - - 2322 - - 1436 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 133 - - 204 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 038 - - 023 - - 038 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -9 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -814 - - -2060 - - -2918 - - -4054 - - -2121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1542 - - 3355 - - 4732 - - 4783 - - 2849 sfcLCL ODpotential -8301 - - -7865 - - -7229 - - -8370 - - -8495 ODpotential blCL 9029 - - 9160 - - 9043 - - 9099 - - 9223 blCL maxRH 71 - - 62 - - 78 - - 44 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 55.3 - - 61.8 - - 60.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 54.9 - - 61.1 - - 61.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 42.4 - - 42.7 - - 41.2 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 52 - - 101 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 583 - - 1101 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96813 19 101 19 085 14 093 23 117 17 109 96813 89664 21 105 18 099 15 107 20 109 24 092 89664 84089 16 097 14 109 9 095 21 113 19 088 84089 79450 13 101 7 116 6 077 16 098 19 111 79450 75449 9 090 7 134 6 052 8 099 10 113 75449 71914 6 109 2 153 4 037 7 059 9 113 71914 68707 5 113 6 290 5 327 0 253 4 055 68707 65754 9 302 14 280 13 288 7 248 8 313 65754 63004 13 291 14 269 15 267 15 260 15 286 63004 60331 17 293 18 272 17 259 17 263 19 264 60331 57532 26 279 23 280 22 263 21 260 22 260 57532 54616 33 273 29 273 31 255 29 247 31 252 54616 51826 34 267 31 267 32 259 30 256 31 250 51826 49307 39 279 39 267 42 267 40 265 38 271 49307 47041 51 278 50 268 54 262 51 266 49 266 47041 44974 64 271 59 273 51 264 57 266 50 263 44974 43093 59 265 72 265 70 266 75 260 65 259 43093 41390 60 295 68 259 77 261 73 258 66 257 41390 39840 100 306 61 265 72 263 95 277 75 266 39840 38412 96 298 64 272 79 272 104 272 93 260 38412 37080 82 290 72 275 83 272 79 266 91 252 37080 35788 82 285 76 276 78 267 74 263 93 253 35788 34466 81 277 76 275 75 265 67 253 89 253 34466 33088 78 277 71 270 71 263 67 250 77 252 33088 31660 74 279 61 262 66 261 64 253 61 250 31660 30165 73 279 59 262 64 262 61 256 52 248 30165 28590 70 277 61 268 64 267 55 260 46 248 28590 26938 67 272 58 268 61 271 48 263 40 248 26938 25206 68 271 59 269 59 278 47 259 46 254 25206 23393 69 271 62 273 58 271 48 254 53 259 23393 21504 66 270 62 274 61 264 48 258 51 260 21504 19536 60 271 58 270 62 265 47 262 46 261 19536 17492 47 283 48 275 54 271 43 266 40 259 17492 15417 38 299 29 279 31 263 36 267 30 246 15417 13423 30 307 14 280 13 239 20 244 22 224 13423 11607 20 318 6 321 5 197 12 205 15 195 11607 9986 16 337 12 017 5 080 7 166 12 182 9986 8544 19 356 19 034 13 067 6 109 8 179 8544 7262 22 007 22 043 16 070 8 091 5 157 7262 6124 24 014 24 048 18 077 10 088 7 101 6124 5120 22 015 24 055 21 076 11 068 12 079 5120 4236 21 024 22 060 21 069 16 048 16 066 4236 3458 22 039 19 060 19 058 20 038 19 047 3458 2764 23 048 16 056 17 041 21 032 17 037 2764 2152 28 045 18 043 16*029 17 031 9 042 2152 1643 31 040 18*038 13*024 13 034 3 078 1643 1253 28 039 16*037 11 023 11 036 1 144 1253 985 19 042 13 037 10 023 9 037 2 191 985 822 14*044 11 038 9 022 7 037 3 189 822 728 6*051 8 039 7 023 4*038 2*186 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography