DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 57.6 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 77 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 553 - - 1444 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1265 - - 2156 - - 1531 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 465 - - 602 - - 1041 - - 1397 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 139 - - 202 - - 60 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 302 - - 314 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 274 - - 395 - - 43 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 991 - - 1762 - - 1488 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 20 - - -6325 - - -470 - - -216 ODpotential blCL - - - 1245 - - 8481 - - 2001 - - 945 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 57.6 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 56.9 - - 55.4 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 77 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 553 - - 1444 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 68 - - 78 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96540 8 338 3 038 4 222 3 352 96540 89404 6 065 4 192 5 352 14 079 89404 83890 3 064 1 186 6 006 11 069 83890 79306 5 083 5 227 7 282 4 003 79306 75343 5 033 8 212 12 256 9 287 75343 71821 3 295 10 232 12 247 15 267 71821 68624 9 237 13 248 12 243 15 254 68624 65679 15 252 12 245 13 256 13 263 65679 62940 20 247 17 256 19 261 19 277 62940 60296 17 243 19 254 22 259 24 275 60296 57542 22 279 23 269 24 261 23 265 57542 54690 19 280 23 275 28 276 31 273 54690 51980 23 283 31 281 39 278 32 260 51980 49539 25 271 37 276 41 283 38 270 49539 47340 27 280 36 277 43 280 49 280 47340 45341 27 287 39 279 43 275 55 278 45341 43516 26 295 41 278 48 277 57 275 43516 41846 28 300 39 277 52 280 55 275 41846 40304 31 305 35 282 48 281 50 275 40304 38866 37 307 35 291 42 284 45 275 38866 37516 37 307 37 294 39 287 45 276 37516 36207 37 305 35 296 39 290 45 275 36207 34869 31 303 33 294 40 293 46 277 34869 33475 26 301 33 286 39 296 46 279 33475 32028 19 298 33 283 36 298 40 287 32028 30516 16 298 31 293 33 298 36 291 30516 28930 20 303 28 303 33 297 34 292 28930 27271 21 320 25 306 33 295 30 298 27271 25535 21 336 25 308 32 295 39 305 25535 23719 22 337 25 314 31 301 38 304 23719 21824 24 339 27 328 30 311 36 310 21824 19845 26 347 29 337 33 323 38 316 19845 17773 28 349 31 334 35 330 36 317 17773 15654 33 349 32 334 34 333 33 318 15654 13608 32 349 29 335 32 333 31 322 13608 11745 28 350 25 336 29 335 28 326 11745 10089 23 357 22 340 23 335 25 331 10089 8619 19 004 18 351 19 338 19 332 8619 7314 14 004 13 356 14 346 15 333 7314 6156 9 351 10 340 10 344 10 334 6156 5135 7 325 9 317 8 330 6 331 5135 4239 4 306 6 309 4 318 3 312 4239 3453 3 267 2 275 1 289 2 288 3453 2755 4 232 2*286 1 333 4 286 2755 2143 5 232 3*311 2 325 5 305 2143 1637 5*249 4 306 3*320 6 320 1637 1249 5*261 4 300 3*317 5 324 1249 983 5 264 4 297 3 314 5 327 983 821 4 265 4 297 3 311 4*328 821 729 4 265 3 295 3 312 3*329 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography