DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 62.9 - - 66.9 - - 65.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 252 - - 380 - - 254 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 619 - - 1577 - - 1867 - - 1570 - - 630 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1526 - - 1844 - - 1516 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1332 - - 2289 - - 2580 - - 2282 - - 1343 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 719 - - 514 - - 662 - - 611 - - 677 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 302 - - 364 - - 300 - - 91 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 258 - - 279 - - 281 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 297 - - -73 - - -644 - - -865 - - -465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1036 - - 2363 - - 3224 - - 3147 - - 1808 sfcLCL ODpotential 177 - - -6772 - - -6158 - - -6867 - - -8520 ODpotential blCL 1155 - - 9061 - - 8738 - - 9149 - - 9863 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 89 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 62.9 - - 66.9 - - 65.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 55.0 - - 55.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 61.3 - - 64.7 - - 63.8 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.6 - - 54.1 - - 54.5 - - 53.6 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 252 - - 380 - - 254 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 619 - - 1577 - - 1867 - - 1570 - - 630 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 66 - - 54 - - 41 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98475 18 109 17 123 16 129 11 144 12 093 98475 90985 16 122 5 141 11 114 8 080 17 100 90985 85239 12 119 6 150 9 130 4 092 9 086 85239 80474 7 141 7 152 3 160 6 109 6 113 80474 76361 5 176 8 167 3 217 3 221 3 127 76361 72732 3 254 10 176 7 270 7 234 2 212 72732 69455 8 279 4 234 10 263 6 209 2 247 69455 66439 8 271 8 306 11 244 5 233 6 290 66439 63629 7 276 12 277 12 241 11 266 13 286 63629 60897 10 297 15 248 15 250 16 273 16 282 60897 58051 17 290 16 251 16 255 20 263 19 277 58051 55117 19 276 16 266 17 259 21 258 20 265 55117 52335 19 272 17 277 15 256 19 263 19 258 52335 49843 20 266 20 283 12 247 18 260 19 264 49843 47615 18 257 21 276 11 257 16 259 19 271 47615 45603 13 252 17 257 13 274 13 272 16 268 45603 43777 11 254 12 242 13 277 11 297 11 261 43777 42113 9 253 8 230 10 270 13 307 6 291 42113 40575 8 243 7 216 7 258 12 294 9 314 40575 39134 9 236 8 224 6 257 9 287 9 303 39134 37776 11 239 10 233 6 268 7 293 8 290 37776 36458 10 243 10 238 7 272 8 302 7 292 36458 35114 5 241 9 233 7 278 7 327 5 316 35114 33716 3 218 6 210 4 284 6 337 4 326 33716 32265 1 272 3 187 3 296 4 332 5 315 32265 30746 4 328 0 063 3 316 4 340 6 329 30746 29143 4 355 3 095 1 245 3 333 7 341 29143 27458 3 309 2 081 3 188 1 233 4 325 27458 25693 3 229 2 160 4 184 3 171 2 248 25693 23852 4 147 5 133 5 177 3 151 2 217 23852 21936 3 124 4 119 2 160 4 124 3 206 21936 19937 2 158 1 168 1 171 3 138 4 202 19937 17855 3 179 4 182 5 195 6 188 6 198 17855 15733 5 195 7 177 9 205 9 199 7 200 15733 13688 8 188 8 182 12 192 12 193 10 198 13688 11825 9 191 7 192 13 185 14 182 12 191 11825 10168 9 205 6 201 12 183 11 174 11 182 10168 8694 8 197 6 179 9 180 7 167 7 169 8694 7382 7 172 7 160 7 174 6 174 4 163 7382 6216 7 155 7 143 7 168 7 184 3 177 6216 5185 8 149 7 138 9 180 9 182 4 201 5185 4277 8 159 8 167 12 200 11 195 7 208 4277 3480 10 185 11 205 12 227 11 219 10 224 3480 2773 13 219 13*231 12*255 12*256 15 249 2773 2155 15 239 11*251 13*274 13*278 16 263 2155 1644 13*245 10 258 14 279 14 281 15*273 1644 1253 10*249 10 260 13 280 14 282 14*276 1253 985 8 251 10 262 13 281 13 282 13 277 985 822 7 252 9 262 12 281 12 282 11 277 822 729 6 253 7 262 10 281 10 282 8 277 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography