DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.8 - - - - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 407 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 833 - - 1088 - - - - - 228 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 995 - - 1290 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1546 - - 1802 - - - - - 941 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 333 - - 336 - - - - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 309 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 267 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -522 - - -1915 - - - - - -872 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2069 - - 3717 - - - - - 1814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9045 - - -9134 - - - - - -11007 ODpotential blCL - - - 10591 - - 10936 - - - - - 11948 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 74 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.8 - - - - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.3 - - 57.0 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.5 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 56.7 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 407 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 833 - - 1088 - - - - - 228 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 0 - - - - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98765 5 213 11 187 2 275 98765 91318 8 198 4 122 7 220 91318 85574 6 191 2 237 3 142 85574 80789 3 181 5 204 3 003 80789 76662 3 182 3 237 4 011 76662 73021 3 129 4 237 3 311 73021 69748 1 054 5 243 6 356 69748 66762 2 105 6 235 4 332 66762 63999 6 299 9 292 9 356 63999 61339 10 277 15 267 17 301 61339 58593 13 293 15 277 23 284 58593 55757 28 284 27 275 33 281 55757 53070 39 279 40 275 42 276 53070 50675 49 275 50 274 52 280 50675 48537 55 272 57 271 58 280 48537 46594 56 276 60 276 58 282 46594 44805 60 282 60 284 62 291 44805 43134 61 284 61 286 64 292 43134 41561 61 284 58 286 63 290 41561 40074 59 282 54 284 60 289 40074 38663 55 283 52 283 58 289 38663 37293 49 283 49 282 54 289 37293 35895 44 281 45 279 48 284 35895 34442 42 281 42 275 46 277 34442 32936 41 284 40 276 45 278 32936 31367 40 287 39 279 43 274 31367 29726 40 290 38 282 43 271 29726 28010 40 288 37 283 43 274 28010 26210 39 286 38 288 40 277 26210 24329 37 280 38 292 38 278 24329 22370 33 277 35 288 36 279 22370 20327 31 277 34 284 31 280 20327 18190 28 273 29 283 28 283 18190 16007 24 271 19 287 21 282 16007 13910 18 274 13 299 11 274 13910 12011 14 279 10 297 6 277 12011 10325 12 278 9 282 7 289 10325 8828 10 274 10 272 8 291 8828 7496 10 272 11 271 8 292 7496 6312 10 277 11 275 9 295 6312 5265 11 281 12 278 9 292 5265 4344 12 282 13 281 10 283 4344 3533 14 283 15 284 12 279 3533 2811 16 279 16 279 16 284 2811 2177 15 268 15*270 18 286 2177 1655 14*259 14*267 16 278 1655 1258 13*257 14 267 14 267 1258 987 12 257 13 268 12*263 987 823 11 256 12 267 10*261 823 729 9 256 10 267 6 260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography