DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.5 - - 68.1 - - 69.0 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 48 - - 85 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 635 - - 1668 - - 1585 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1089 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1348 - - 2382 - - 2298 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 142 - - 704 - - 1108 - - 1178 - - 615 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 139 - - 229 - - 114 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 038 - - 025 - - 005 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2506 - - -3803 - - -3547 - - -3547 - - -1615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3234 - - 5151 - - 5929 - - 5845 - - 2344 sfcLCL ODpotential -13634 - - -12241 - - -10812 - - -10010 - - -8594 ODpotential blCL 14362 - - 13589 - - 13194 - - 12308 - - 9323 blCL maxRH 42 - - 46 - - 43 - - 44 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.5 - - 68.1 - - 69.0 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 42.2 - - 45.2 - - 46.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 61.1 - - 67.4 - - 69.1 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 40.9 - - 43.9 - - 45.2 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 48 - - 85 - - 0 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 635 - - 1668 - - 1585 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96563 9 288 20 296 12 288 24 292 14 293 96563 89362 7 059 3 274 13 263 16 319 7 314 89362 83851 9 294 2 250 14 263 16 314 7 329 83851 79274 18 275 9 306 14 284 16 297 17 336 79274 75352 15 292 10 304 18 287 16 290 23 333 75352 71897 18 307 11 313 19 291 18 294 22 320 71897 68756 19 306 15 303 22 292 21 302 23 298 68756 65856 24 312 22 304 25 299 25 305 26 293 65856 63161 30 307 26 304 24 304 25 299 29 297 63161 60548 33 302 27 300 23 309 26 297 32 300 60548 57814 34 298 30 304 28 309 30 301 33 308 57814 54964 35 298 35 304 33 302 36 311 36 315 54964 52236 38 298 37 294 37 299 43 307 40 316 52236 49777 38 301 38 292 41 300 46 303 40 313 49777 47580 40 302 42 300 44 304 46 307 42 313 47580 45603 44 300 47 302 45 306 45 304 43 308 45603 43814 45 295 48 299 43 305 43 304 44 304 43814 42175 48 294 46 294 45 304 44 307 42 301 42175 40656 50 293 46 292 47 302 46 309 37 309 40656 39233 52 289 47 294 47 299 47 306 36 317 39233 37887 53 286 48 296 46 298 46 302 38 319 37887 36579 54 284 48 296 43 296 45 298 40 314 36579 35241 55 283 46 295 41 297 45 295 38 305 35241 33848 55 283 44 295 40 300 42 295 37 301 33848 32401 56 285 43 297 41 300 43 296 38 302 32401 30888 56 284 43 299 42 297 44 296 40 308 30888 29296 53 286 43 300 43 300 43 304 44 312 29296 27621 49 294 42 299 43 305 44 312 46 315 27621 25860 45 299 42 298 43 309 45 317 43 314 25860 24014 42 302 41 299 42 305 43 317 40 310 24014 22086 42 302 41 301 42 303 39 309 37 308 22086 20070 42 303 39 300 38 303 37 306 34 307 20070 17964 38 307 36 300 33 297 32 305 30 306 17964 15818 32 312 29 306 28 302 27 304 25 306 15818 13754 26 319 21 315 20 307 20 304 20 311 13754 11878 21 325 16 319 15 308 14 303 15 315 11878 10211 17 332 12 325 12 312 11 313 10 322 10211 8731 14 340 8 329 10 318 11 326 8 334 8731 7415 9 348 5 317 7 315 9 333 8 346 7415 6247 7 343 5 309 7 319 8 338 8 356 6247 5215 8 338 5 331 7 333 8 349 8 006 5215 4308 9 346 6 355 5 358 7 005 9 020 4308 3511 8 348 6 011 5 027 7 014 9 027 3511 2801 5 015 5 036 6*031 6*009 8 021 2801 2176 8 052 9 041 6*027 6*007 8 001 2176 1658 13 046 10*040 6 026 5 005 9 339 1658 1261 13 042 7*038 5 026 5 005 10 322 1261 989 9 046 5 039 5 025 4 004 9 312 989 823 4 060 5 038 4 024 4 002 7 306 823 729 1*107 4 039 4 023 3 002 4*300 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography