DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 53.3 - - 55.7 - - 54.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 100 - - 189 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5314 - - 4141 - - 2525 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 3799 - - 3309 - - 1360 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 6026 - - 4853 - - 3237 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6293 - - 2225 - - 4744 - - 3848 - - 3439 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 343 - - 385 - - 232 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 290 - - 289 - - 298 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -8 - - -5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -556 - - 2464 - - 337 - - -188 - - -914 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1284 - - 3562 - - 4516 - - 3425 - - 1642 sfcLCL ODpotential -1218 - - 674 - - -626 - - -1270 - - -1745 ODpotential blCL 1946 - - 5352 - - 5479 - - 4507 - - 2473 blCL maxRH 99 - - 75 - - 80 - - 88 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 130 - - 120 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 53.3 - - 55.7 - - 54.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.0 - - 40.5 - - 38.5 - - 41.9 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 52.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.8 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.5 - - 39.2 - - 37.3 - - 40.6 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 100 - - 189 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5314 - - 4141 - - 2525 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 0 - - 20 - - 53 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97126 20 297 33 275 42 278 38 285 38 282 97126 89809 42 265 40 279 35 286 34 292 32 289 89809 84148 24 271 32 280 33 273 42 275 35 288 84148 79420 12 323 18 264 27 252 35 264 34 275 79420 75337 31 286 16 318 16 275 24 270 24 271 75337 71705 41 268 23 296 15 296 20 281 19 287 71705 68379 29 257 25 273 30 278 29 273 23 289 68379 65311 18 267 28 258 34 261 31 267 26 276 65311 62468 23 269 29 249 35 254 36 276 28 276 62468 59705 35 270 34 255 41 250 43 263 30 285 59705 56826 42 266 44 267 44 265 43 269 46 285 56826 53860 60 273 62 269 64 269 55 271 59 274 53860 51044 67 269 67 263 65 266 60 268 63 267 51044 48525 71 277 63 274 63 272 62 268 60 267 48525 46282 83 280 73 282 73 271 67 271 65 271 46282 44252 96 274 82 275 80 266 73 271 69 271 44252 42396 95 270 85 270 83 265 78 270 69 271 42396 40688 96 271 91 269 90 265 82 267 68 270 40688 39108 104 270 96 268 97 264 85 263 68 268 39108 37639 105 269 99 270 102 261 84 260 66 268 37639 36270 102 272 106 272 104 261 83 259 63 267 36270 34963 100 273 111 272 107 261 79 258 61 267 34963 33654 94 271 107 272 104 261 73 260 58 268 33654 32307 86 271 98 270 92 261 68 264 56 266 32307 30917 80 273 83 267 77 261 67 265 54 265 30917 29462 78 275 75 272 67 261 65 265 52 267 29462 27929 80 277 79 277 63 263 63 264 50 270 27929 26318 82 278 79 276 62 263 60 263 48 272 26318 24628 84 277 76 275 60 263 55 265 45 270 24628 22863 79 272 74 274 57 268 49 270 40 268 22863 21028 74 272 70 273 57 270 47 272 35 274 21028 19114 67 273 63 274 57 270 45 270 37 277 19114 17116 54 275 53 278 48 274 40 269 35 272 17116 15080 42 278 41 276 42 276 36 273 31 267 15080 13117 35 276 35 274 37 272 30 279 24 264 13117 11330 32 273 34 269 28 276 18 276 20 257 11330 9749 31 269 28 276 11 282 7 219 15 241 9749 8349 25 261 18 292 4 293 10 188 12 219 8349 7107 21 263 13*297 4 290 8 210 12 213 7107 6005 19 276 10*294 5 286 6 253 11 223 6005 5028 19 286 10 292 6*286 7 282 9 244 5028 4168 18 291 10 291 7*288 9 294 9 268 4168 3409 18 294 10 290 8 290 10*297 12 283 3409 2730 16 297 9 290 8 289 12*298 13 289 2730 2130 15 299 9 289 9 289 13 299 14 289 2130 1630 12 300 9 289 9 289 13 298 14 290 1630 1245 9 298 9 289 9 288 13 298 13 289 1245 980 6 287 8 288 8 288 12 298 11 289 980 820 4 277 8 288 8 288 11 297 8 287 820 728 2*260 6 287 7 288 8 297 4*285 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography