DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 55.6 - - 53.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 69 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 496 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 846 - - 1209 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 299 - - 663 - - 758 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 67 - - 136 - - 11 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 036 - - 038 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1055 - - -1180 - - -985 - - -752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1901 - - 2389 - - 1713 - - 1480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11647 - - -9900 - - -9924 - - -12995 ODpotential blCL - - - 12493 - - 11109 - - 10652 - - 13723 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 76 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 55.6 - - 53.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 47.9 - - 48.9 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 46.8 - - 48.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 69 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 496 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96557 24 040 28 049 33 078 30 085 96557 89655 45 078 39 083 41 087 46 094 89655 84173 34 079 31 083 36 100 44 094 84173 79595 23 091 20 082 26 098 31 092 79595 75665 20 100 16 091 21 084 25 083 75665 72195 19 079 15 099 13 089 16 066 72195 69056 16 063 16 086 13 106 7 067 69056 66163 5 054 7 062 11 090 7 084 66163 63476 1 024 5 344 7 050 6 051 63476 60877 3 338 11 319 5 018 6 009 60877 58166 8 345 14 324 8 346 8 331 58166 55345 13 339 16 316 17 319 16 332 55345 52632 14 327 18 309 23 320 18 336 52632 50159 15 312 19 306 23 311 29 325 50159 47916 14 299 21 301 23 295 31 312 47916 45877 14 299 20 289 26 291 26 301 45877 44011 17 297 16 291 25 293 29 322 44011 42291 18 295 20 312 26 309 31 312 42291 40701 21 295 23 323 28 319 32 331 40701 39230 21 295 32 323 34 349 29 356 39230 37857 17 312 28 309 49 354 61 352 37857 36533 19 339 19 321 65 354 70 348 36533 35187 34 350 42 333 76 354 64 352 35187 33785 52 346 45 328 64 349 59 356 33785 32328 52 346 37 328 41 342 46 358 32328 30800 43 356 26 335 27 328 34 346 30800 29193 34 005 21 347 25 314 26 331 29193 27505 27 010 17 356 17 322 25 324 27505 25734 19 351 23 324 18 308 24 327 25734 23882 17 337 28 326 25 312 21 306 23882 21957 15 315 19 323 21 326 21 294 21957 19957 13 305 11 321 15 314 20 295 19957 17871 11 302 9 305 14 303 18 296 17871 15739 8 305 7 296 12 309 14 302 15739 13683 5 294 5 286 9 307 10 303 13683 11811 3 266 4 277 6 288 7 294 11811 10147 4 252 4 271 4 269 6 268 10147 8669 5 214 4 242 3 255 5 251 8669 7357 8 194 5 218 3 256 4 231 7357 6194 9 187 6 204 3 249 4 204 6194 5167 9 182 8 195 4 220 5 177 5167 4264 9 175 9 188 5 200 6 165 4264 3471 9 170 9 186 4 204 5 152 3471 2766 6 168 6 192 3 262 2 104 2766 2149 3 175 2 204 4 296 3 049 2149 1637 2 133 1 018 2 330 5 064 1637 1246 7 091 3*035 4 046 10 083 1246 980 7*076 3*035 5 044 12 084 980 819 7*072 3 037 4 042 10*082 819 728 4 070 3 034 3*038 6*079 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography