DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 72.8 - - 71.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 73 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 1385 - - 1067 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1153 - - 2099 - - 1780 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 618 - - 864 - - 977 - - 475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 207 - - 104 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 073 - - 014 - - 306 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3471 - - -3337 - - -2989 - - -1483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4625 - - 5436 - - 4769 - - 2212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10811 - - -8974 - - -8614 - - -9119 ODpotential blCL - - - 11964 - - 11073 - - 10394 - - 9848 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 49 - - 51 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 72.8 - - 71.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.3 - - 52.0 - - 53.9 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 72.2 - - 72.1 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 73 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 1385 - - 1067 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 15 325 11 313 15 295 8 349 96366 89220 5 014 10 297 15 006 10 054 89220 83747 10 018 6 309 12 321 11 005 83747 79215 10 353 9 005 7 318 13 335 79215 75300 14 334 14 319 18 334 22 331 75300 71842 21 341 19 329 22 341 20 329 71842 68725 23 326 25 325 25 337 23 349 68725 65868 26 315 29 318 28 324 31 338 65868 63218 27 316 30 319 29 314 32 313 63218 60646 29 315 30 320 29 314 31 303 60646 57951 32 311 34 316 34 320 35 310 57951 55134 35 306 37 306 41 318 39 313 55134 52425 36 298 37 299 44 313 41 312 52425 49968 38 297 39 293 45 300 43 308 49968 47762 39 299 40 291 44 295 45 299 47762 45772 40 305 38 295 42 289 44 293 45772 43963 44 311 39 302 38 289 40 296 43963 42298 46 307 40 305 36 299 40 295 42298 40755 47 300 41 306 40 299 44 295 40755 39312 47 293 44 302 43 295 50 301 39312 37954 47 290 46 299 49 301 58 299 37954 36642 48 291 48 296 59 302 59 300 36642 35306 44 293 48 291 59 300 57 299 35306 33912 39 294 45 292 52 298 53 297 33912 32463 35 292 43 300 48 299 45 299 32463 30946 33 290 41 297 45 300 42 296 30946 29346 37 290 39 294 39 294 39 289 29346 27662 38 287 38 296 35 293 39 289 27662 25895 38 288 39 296 35 298 38 294 25895 24046 37 290 39 294 38 301 38 299 24046 22118 35 292 37 295 37 303 37 303 22118 20105 34 293 35 299 33 304 33 310 20105 18001 33 298 34 299 33 304 30 307 18001 15852 31 306 31 302 32 306 30 308 15852 13780 24 310 25 303 28 310 26 313 13780 11899 17 311 19 301 21 311 20 315 11899 10229 10 308 12 298 15 307 14 312 10229 8747 5 291 8 287 9 295 10 301 8747 7431 4 288 6 287 8 284 8 295 7431 6265 3 307 6 302 8 290 8 301 6265 5234 4 332 5 323 8 303 9 313 5234 4326 5 353 6 342 8 317 10 326 4326 3527 6 005 6 001 7 327 9 333 3527 2813 7 017 5 016 6 329 9 334 2813 2185 6 027 5*016 6*321 9 332 2185 1662 5 048 4*015 7*310 10 329 1662 1263 4*068 4 014 7 307 10 320 1263 990 3*071 4 013 7 304 9 308 990 824 2 072 3 013 6 302 6 297 824 729 2 076 3 013 5 300 4*288 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography