DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 53.7 - - 57.4 - - 57.9 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 24 - - 84 - - 56 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 579 - - 1519 - - 1621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1291 - - 2232 - - 2334 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1601 - - 1966 - - 2952 - - 1883 - - 1660 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 100 - - 211 - - 190 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 226 - - 267 - - 298 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -9 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 268 - - 441 - - 519 - - -91 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1023 - - 1791 - - 1815 - - 820 sfcLCL ODpotential -886 - - 9 - - -287 - - 72 - - -1424 ODpotential blCL 1614 - - 1282 - - 2519 - - 2262 - - 2153 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 95 - - 96 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 60 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 53.7 - - 57.4 - - 57.9 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 51.8 - - 52.1 - - 52.5 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 53.5 - - 56.7 - - 57.3 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.8 - - 51.5 - - 51.2 - - 51.7 - - 52.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 24 - - 84 - - 56 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 579 - - 1519 - - 1621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 101 - - 82 - - 84 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96275 19 306 16 337 10 312 11 318 16 310 96275 89161 7 293 9 325 8 323 15 335 16 347 89161 83716 4 270 6 004 5 337 9 329 13 354 83716 79210 7 348 14 011 14 001 11 359 14 008 79210 75339 8 335 12 350 15 327 21 332 18 349 75339 71922 4 355 7 333 8 293 15 302 18 324 71922 68819 20 312 18 321 14 305 12 286 14 292 68819 65941 26 285 23 287 25 293 18 293 19 291 65941 63254 31 279 27 267 34 275 33 281 32 284 63254 60640 37 283 29 264 40 264 39 272 38 274 60640 57893 41 282 30 272 40 267 40 275 39 273 57893 55019 43 283 38 279 44 271 47 276 44 274 55019 52256 46 282 44 286 51 277 53 280 48 280 52256 49754 54 279 51 288 59 276 61 274 59 275 49754 47493 58 273 53 282 58 274 59 272 55 270 47493 45425 52 273 51 284 54 285 61 285 54 285 45425 43526 59 282 56 283 52 291 64 286 66 289 43526 41784 65 280 65 277 55 286 60 289 65 288 41784 40181 62 276 60 278 61 280 59 285 58 288 40181 38700 57 283 54 286 57 281 52 284 49 286 38700 37318 57 291 55 292 52 294 42 302 41 307 37318 35986 61 296 57 296 53 303 44 319 47 323 35986 34637 64 296 57 300 54 307 50 324 49 330 34637 33241 65 295 57 301 53 313 51 321 50 333 33241 31797 65 294 56 301 52 314 48 322 54 330 31797 30290 66 293 55 300 48 310 47 325 55 325 30290 28709 68 292 53 301 46 312 42 322 50 330 28709 27052 69 292 53 304 45 314 38 324 46 331 27052 25317 67 292 54 305 44 313 37 325 42 327 25317 23504 65 293 53 304 45 314 39 323 37 326 23504 21615 61 297 50 304 45 314 39 324 34 329 21615 19643 51 298 45 306 41 313 39 325 33 333 19643 17581 39 301 39 310 34 314 34 320 33 338 17581 15476 30 309 34 313 31 318 25 322 29 335 15476 13449 24 306 30 316 25 329 16 333 21 335 13449 11608 20 300 23 314 17 340 10 351 14 343 11608 9975 16 304 17 306 13 339 8 356 9 001 9975 8529 9 303 11 303 10 332 7 353 7 045 8529 7248 7 301 5 300 5 312 5 008 8 071 7248 6114 8 304 1 296 1 232 6 062 7 074 6114 5113 10 309 5 254 3 192 5 075 7 068 5113 4234 12 302 8 258 4 214 3 062 6 060 4234 3459 13 293 8 262 4 249 2 024 6 048 3459 2766 13 286 8 261 4*265 3*332 6 025 2766 2154 11 276 7 257 4*270 5*306 6 353 2154 1644 10 257 6*242 3 267 6 300 8 327 1644 1253 9 239 5*228 3 266 6 296 9 311 1253 985 8 226 5 225 3 266 6 294 9 304 985 822 6 222 5 226 2 264 5 293 7*299 822 729 3*220 4 225 2 262 5 291 4*296 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography