DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 81.4 - - 75.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 384 - - 262 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1293 - - 4556 - - 1495 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1317 - - 3904 - - 1477 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2006 - - 5270 - - 2209 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1255 - - 3150 - - 1126 - - 907 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 492 - - 299 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 44 - - 22 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 355 - - 295 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 13 - - -5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3665 - - -3431 - - -5202 - - -4888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5671 - - 8701 - - 7411 - - 5617 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6566 - - -6147 - - -9764 - - -10643 ODpotential blCL - - - 8572 - - 11417 - - 11973 - - 11372 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 42 - - 56 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 81.4 - - 75.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 45.5 - - 45.8 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 79.1 - - 74.0 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 44.6 - - 45.2 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 384 - - 262 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1293 - - 4556 - - 1495 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98953 24 119 27 106 22 119 23 100 98953 91503 21 094 25 092 27 107 27 103 91503 85777 18 091 19 103 24 087 27 096 85777 81018 20 105 19 104 14 094 26 082 81018 76905 21 112 19 096 15 105 16 084 76905 73272 18 117 13 099 16 085 15 110 73272 69981 12 119 9 113 11 095 10 085 69981 66948 9 136 7 115 7 095 7 096 66948 64131 6 142 2 138 3 106 4 073 64131 61396 3 143 1 208 2 156 3 215 61396 58540 2 295 5 281 8 311 5 299 58540 55581 11 282 14 281 18 296 16 314 55581 52760 20 313 15 302 18 304 22 309 52760 50219 30 304 24 301 26 309 26 307 50219 47935 33 302 29 305 34 312 31 310 47935 45864 36 303 35 312 37 296 32 308 45864 43974 42 301 42 293 24 297 24 336 43974 42241 43 296 28 311 39 345 42 345 42241 40649 45 295 29 321 44 337 51 335 40649 39166 43 292 35 335 42 338 50 341 39166 37780 40 298 40 343 42 347 50 353 37780 36453 43 299 38 353 43 357 54 004 36453 35109 43 300 32 021 45 005 60 007 35109 33709 38 303 48 045 45 009 60 008 33709 32253 30 307 61 043 45 009 58 009 32253 30726 24 320 61 040 42 008 54 010 30726 29118 22 330 58 039 42 007 51 010 29118 27430 21 330 55 039 42 012 49 009 27430 25662 18 328 55 037 41 014 48 007 25662 23817 16 331 55 038 38 011 45 007 23817 21896 17 330 53 042 32 011 43 007 21896 19897 16 329 47 044 30 018 42 007 19897 17820 12 340 40 041 34 024 35 013 17820 15710 10 013 31 036 36 032 28 030 15710 13679 10 067 24 036 30 041 23 050 13679 11828 10 056 16 045 21 051 19 069 11828 10183 14 046 15 058 14 058 18 081 10183 8722 13 054 16 052 12 052 14 082 8722 7422 11 060 15 044 12 039 12 061 7422 6265 9 067 11*043 12 032 13 035 6265 5239 7 070 7*037 10 022 13 020 5239 4333 6 071 6 033 8 360 12 350 4333 3534 6 063 5 027 10 330 16 330 3534 2819 5 057 4 355 12*312 18 324 2819 2189 2*067 4 323 14*299 16 317 2189 1665 0*213 5 307 14 296 12 297 1665 1266 1 237 5 300 14 294 9 269 1266 992 2 240 5 297 14 293 9 263 992 825 2 244 5 296 13 292 8 261 825 729 2 243 5 294 10 291 6*259 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography