DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 108 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 459 - - 771 - - 378 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1171 - - 1484 - - 1090 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 367 - - 533 - - 679 - - 385 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 181 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 069 - - 047 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -338 - - -210 - - -568 - - -59 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1509 - - 1694 - - 1658 - - 787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9849 - - -8891 - - -9131 - - -10762 ODpotential blCL - - - 11020 - - 10375 - - 10221 - - 11490 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 89 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.2 - - 46.8 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 51.2 - - 51.6 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 46.2 - - 46.2 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 108 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 459 - - 771 - - 378 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 58 - - 28 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96750 20 087 20 073 25 089 27 101 96750 89554 24 086 20 092 32 090 29 100 89554 83953 18 100 17 089 31 078 29 094 83953 79297 20 103 12 101 19 066 27 083 79297 75284 19 089 12 104 11 057 20 070 75284 71726 12 047 11 091 10 031 19 070 71726 68491 11 022 5 051 11 004 18 046 68491 65529 14 011 4 007 10 323 16 004 65529 62788 16 346 13 352 9 317 13 334 62788 60126 18 330 19 327 16 320 15 326 60126 57341 17 306 21 303 21 309 18 312 57341 54450 22 294 25 294 27 300 21 303 54450 51694 26 294 30 287 31 290 26 308 51694 49228 27 294 30 277 32 287 29 302 49228 47030 27 283 27 282 30 289 25 306 47030 45049 24 279 24 298 25 294 20 320 45049 43243 23 286 22 322 23 331 18 002 43243 41583 20 283 21 326 24 357 31 029 41583 40050 19 284 18 320 27 019 61 040 40050 38621 20 292 14 330 34 027 65 041 38621 37281 22 283 11 348 37 029 69 041 37281 35985 20 278 12 356 32 028 78 038 35985 34661 16 282 13 337 28 024 74 038 34661 33283 15 279 12 317 24 023 46 039 33283 31855 16 269 10 306 19 022 28 035 31855 30362 14 276 10 307 16 011 25 029 30362 28790 12 291 11 306 14 355 22 032 28790 27137 12 305 13 296 12 337 16 027 27137 25406 13 306 14 296 12 321 10 355 25406 23595 13 297 14 302 13 314 12 318 23595 21707 14 297 14 303 15 310 15 309 21707 19735 15 294 14 301 16 306 18 318 19735 17674 14 279 13 290 15 297 18 318 17674 15568 12 272 14 285 13 302 16 315 15568 13535 9 269 11 288 9 305 11 306 13535 11683 7 264 8 283 6 295 10 300 11683 10037 6 267 6 267 6 278 9 302 10037 8575 6 280 5 268 6 279 9 313 8575 7277 5 282 3 274 4 281 7 320 7277 6127 3 270 3 278 3 279 6 324 6127 5111 3 257 3 278 3 283 5 331 5111 4221 3 260 3 290 2 299 5 343 4221 3439 3 282 2 335 1 301 5 350 3439 2744 2 296 2 033 1 261 6 002 2744 2133 0 104 5 071 1 088 6 013 2133 1628 8 098 9*070 5 054 6 051 1628 1242 10*083 9*069 7*049 12 074 1242 979 9*080 9 069 7*048 12 076 979 819 8 080 8 070 6 047 10*077 819 728 6 078 6 070 4 047 5*080 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography