DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.5 - - 68.9 - - 73.2 - - 68.5 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -55 - - 23 - - 59 - - 13 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 339 - - 1744 - - 707 - - 288 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1053 - - 2458 - - 1421 - - 1001 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 900 - - 2109 - - 1104 - - 597 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 95 - - 214 - - 103 - - 38 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 078 - - 269 - - 265 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1394 - - -2178 - - -1014 - - -994 - - -142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2123 - - 3231 - - 3472 - - 2415 - - 1143 sfcLCL ODpotential -8422 - - -6331 - - -4250 - - -4720 - - -4915 ODpotential blCL 9151 - - 7384 - - 6708 - - 6141 - - 5916 blCL maxRH 57 - - 63 - - 85 - - 74 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 100 - - 380 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.5 - - 68.9 - - 73.2 - - 68.5 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.8 - - 57.2 - - 60.3 - - 60.3 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 68.7 - - 72.7 - - 68.4 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.1 - - 55.9 - - 59.0 - - 59.1 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -55 - - 23 - - 59 - - 13 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 339 - - 1744 - - 707 - - 288 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96587 15 123 11 063 6 096 6 128 2 088 96587 89422 12 084 6 090 5 102 3 045 4 030 89422 83896 4 025 7 040 6 322 13 005 8 049 83896 79317 2 331 6 010 12 341 14 345 14 006 79317 75402 12 000 9 006 12 336 12 333 12 326 75402 71969 23 332 21 346 16 339 19 337 13 326 71969 68865 32 321 29 320 25 330 26 323 20 315 68865 65999 34 303 32 308 30 305 29 308 27 310 65999 63313 37 279 35 302 37 294 37 302 40 302 63313 60696 36 280 45 282 44 285 42 290 46 290 60696 57955 44 287 49 283 45 281 47 284 50 286 57955 55103 62 282 58 287 57 284 57 280 53 282 55103 52369 76 273 65 277 65 280 60 279 56 280 52369 49894 70 270 64 271 68 277 59 277 54 281 49894 47669 71 274 64 267 67 273 66 277 59 283 47669 45651 77 271 62 274 66 274 72 271 65 276 45651 43800 79 265 68 282 67 278 64 272 59 268 43800 42089 74 261 75 278 66 278 62 279 54 274 42089 40508 71 263 78 270 70 273 70 275 63 277 40508 39051 77 263 82 263 73 264 72 271 66 273 39051 37694 79 257 77 259 68 260 74 276 64 279 37694 36380 73 254 69 262 65 263 74 277 64 283 36380 35040 66 260 67 262 65 264 68 279 62 277 35040 33643 70 272 65 262 66 263 69 278 62 271 33643 32190 74 272 62 261 72 261 72 273 62 266 32190 30666 69 266 61 260 75 263 72 269 63 264 30666 29059 65 263 65 258 73 264 71 270 62 267 29059 27371 63 260 69 261 70 265 68 272 60 269 27371 25607 63 255 73 265 67 266 62 269 58 267 25607 23763 60 247 68 270 62 268 58 264 56 264 23763 21841 55 243 55 273 51 267 51 259 53 259 21841 19842 39 243 46 255 49 255 47 256 51 252 19842 17758 34 237 38 243 55 252 49 257 46 256 17758 15638 30 227 29 234 35 240 42 261 37 260 15638 13609 21 214 24 225 30 237 27 243 30 255 13609 11769 13 198 21 217 24 227 26 236 24 243 11769 10135 12 202 18 219 19 222 24 237 22 234 10135 8680 10 223 15 235 13 228 19 234 22 238 8680 7384 8 247 11 255 9 237 16 240 18 237 7384 6230 7 266 9 274 7 239 13 242 13 236 6230 5207 7 288 5 281 6 239 11 240 11 239 5207 4306 6 305 2 287 6 247 11 243 11 244 4306 3511 3 338 1 133 7 256 11 248 11 247 3511 2801 4 064 4 122 7*262 10 253 11 248 2801 2175 10 083 6 119 6*269 8 258 11 256 2175 1656 13 088 7 107 6 270 7*262 11 266 1656 1260 13 091 6*093 6 269 6*265 10*274 1260 988 13 089 4*080 5 269 6 265 9*276 988 823 10 082 4 077 5 268 5 266 8 276 823 729 6*075 3 077 4 268 4 265 5 276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography