DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.6 - - 83.7 - - 87.9 - - 77.5 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 203 - - 325 - - 250 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1258 - - 1887 - - 995 - - 278 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1239 - - 1827 - - 1107 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 730 - - 1972 - - 2601 - - 1708 - - 991 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 348 - - 836 - - 1323 - - 334 - - 358 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 263 - - 350 - - 257 - - 69 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 303 - - 296 - - 283 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7042 - - -5973 - - -6673 - - -3816 - - -1613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7773 - - 7945 - - 9274 - - 5524 - - 2604 sfcLCL ODpotential -14822 - - -11338 - - -11706 - - -10230 - - -10089 ODpotential blCL 15552 - - 13310 - - 14307 - - 11938 - - 11080 blCL maxRH 29 - - 39 - - 38 - - 54 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.6 - - 83.7 - - 87.9 - - 77.5 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 56.0 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.6 - - 82.2 - - 85.8 - - 75.9 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 50.5 - - 48.7 - - 55.5 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 203 - - 325 - - 250 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1258 - - 1887 - - 995 - - 278 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98295 11 120 13 139 5 120 13 087 16 114 98295 90873 17 114 15 150 6 153 2 152 14 113 90873 85146 11 125 8 169 7 193 3 225 7 134 85146 80376 7 150 8 188 8 211 4 262 5 176 80376 76259 3 118 7 179 5 218 4 133 4 192 76259 72632 4 079 6 137 4 194 6 126 2 134 72632 69363 6 074 7 132 6 189 5 180 2 341 69363 66362 5 044 4 146 5 194 6 222 3 327 66362 63584 4 358 2 202 5 245 7 270 4 291 63584 60908 9 330 1 310 6 231 11 265 12 266 60908 58140 16 309 6 306 8 235 13 243 15 262 58140 55287 19 294 15 289 13 257 16 248 17 256 55287 52571 21 288 21 281 18 268 20 264 20 260 52571 50122 21 283 23 270 23 278 25 271 26 267 50122 47919 21 266 24 271 24 284 28 274 33 273 47919 45918 23 258 27 266 24 280 28 270 35 272 45918 44092 26 261 27 248 26 273 26 270 34 269 44092 42416 32 259 29 247 31 247 28 272 29 264 42416 40863 39 255 40 244 38 239 36 247 26 254 40863 39416 39 255 40 244 41 237 40 235 31 247 39416 38055 37 254 37 246 36 241 36 235 36 239 38055 36736 35 254 35 245 35 241 36 236 34 237 36736 35390 31 255 32 244 35 241 36 237 33 237 35390 33988 29 253 29 242 32 239 33 239 31 238 33988 32534 25 255 27 240 28 239 28 241 28 241 32534 31010 22 256 25 237 25 240 25 245 27 245 31010 29406 22 251 24 236 25 240 27 245 27 246 29406 27723 20 243 23 235 25 240 28 241 27 241 27723 25958 16 242 23 237 24 243 25 237 26 237 25958 24112 15 248 22 245 22 253 21 245 22 234 24112 22191 15 252 20 253 19 259 17 249 18 229 22191 20189 16 253 17 255 15 255 15 246 16 224 20189 18097 11 263 12 261 11 253 10 231 14 210 18097 15957 6 266 7 251 6 238 8 191 14 197 15957 13891 2 200 4 187 6 205 8 187 11 198 13891 12010 2 069 7 139 6 174 7 188 7 208 12010 10334 5 052 8 122 7 161 8 188 7 203 10334 8843 5 066 6 097 6 144 7 181 8 193 8843 7517 5 072 8 044 5 113 5 181 6 188 7517 6337 4 055 10 034 5 068 1 207 4 186 6337 5292 5 008 11 034 7 032 4 337 3 221 5292 4370 8 345 12 035 7 020 5 331 5 250 4370 3557 7 359 12 037 5 007 6 306 8 248 3557 2831 9 029 10 030 5*328 10 285 13 250 2831 2194 14 035 7*001 8*301 14*278 16 249 2194 1666 15 032 5*310 9 297 14*281 16 252 1666 1265 11 028 5 305 9 294 14 283 12*265 1265 990 4 031 5 299 9 293 14 284 9*274 990 824 1*082 5 297 9 292 13 284 8 277 824 730 1*128 4 295 8 291 10 283 6 278 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography