DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 64.3 - - 63.8 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 369 - - 225 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1608 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 909 - - 1643 - - 1487 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1811 - - 2321 - - 2304 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 578 - - 442 - - 530 - - 1681 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 341 - - 288 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 266 - - 276 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 407 - - -654 - - -1090 - - -800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1404 - - 2975 - - 3395 - - 1529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 558 - - -9602 - - -10411 - - -11196 ODpotential blCL - - - 1253 - - 11923 - - 12715 - - 11925 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 79 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 64.3 - - 63.8 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 53.7 - - 51.4 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 62.4 - - 62.5 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 53.3 - - 51.1 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 369 - - 225 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 1608 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 46 - - 16 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99075 20 118 19 135 9 112 12 056 99075 91618 15 101 18 107 16 120 13 107 91618 85877 12 116 11 098 21 100 18 122 85877 81108 14 136 7 141 12 088 18 107 81108 76982 17 120 10 178 3 147 9 088 76982 73341 9 106 11 151 8 171 3 134 73341 70052 7 187 6 232 2 246 6 094 70052 67023 9 182 10 208 11 230 5 306 67023 64216 7 220 9 209 12 219 9 242 64216 61499 9 239 11 227 8 242 11 255 61499 58667 13 258 18 245 22 246 22 250 58667 55734 20 272 23 245 26 245 27 251 55734 52944 26 275 29 260 35 261 40 259 52944 50446 32 280 38 273 47 267 50 263 50446 48202 38 281 50 279 58 269 56 264 48202 46158 43 283 55 276 62 268 61 266 46158 44289 42 283 57 274 65 269 70 267 44289 42570 40 282 57 274 68 268 74 266 42570 40974 39 280 51 274 67 268 73 264 40974 39483 35 276 44 272 61 267 70 262 39483 38083 32 264 39 267 52 265 68 260 38083 36734 30 253 35 262 45 260 65 256 36734 35367 28 248 34 260 42 253 58 253 35367 33949 27 247 36 260 41 246 52 247 33949 32480 25 246 35 260 42 248 50 240 32480 30942 22 243 30 258 42 251 47 239 30942 29323 19 242 25 247 40 251 43 238 29323 27623 17 247 26 240 33 244 43 232 27623 25841 16 258 26 236 31 234 43 228 25841 23980 16 253 27 233 32 233 39 227 23980 22046 18 243 27 237 29 233 33 225 22046 20032 18 239 22 236 26 232 28 217 20032 17931 16 235 20 233 22 229 25 212 17931 15786 14 230 18 227 19 226 22 208 15786 13718 11 219 16 222 16 221 18 203 13718 11834 11 207 14 211 13 214 16 198 11834 10162 12 206 13 209 12 208 15 194 10162 8678 13 206 13 209 13 203 15 194 8678 7362 13 207 13 208 14 201 15 198 7362 6197 14 209 13 208 14 202 15 204 6197 5168 13 215 12 209 14 205 15 214 5168 4265 13 220 12 211 14 215 15 220 4265 3472 13 237 12 230 14 232 14 238 3472 2769 15 256 13*253 15*262 15 267 2769 2155 15*261 14*263 16*274 17 277 2155 1645 14*260 14 265 16 276 15 276 1645 1255 13 258 14 266 16 276 14 275 1255 986 12 258 13 267 15 277 12 273 986 822 11 257 12 267 14 277 10*271 822 729 9 257 10 266 11 277 6*269 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography