DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.8 - - 48.2 - - 52.4 - - 50.9 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -47 - - 13 - - 45 - - -23 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 288 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 728 - - 1001 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 141 - - 367 - - 266 - - 299 - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 27 - - 102 - - 16 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 078 - - 086 - - 074 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - -9 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1064 - - -1990 - - -1843 - - -1660 - - -1331 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1792 - - 2718 - - 2844 - - 2388 - - 2059 sfcLCL ODpotential -14419 - - -12245 - - -10807 - - -8971 - - -10635 ODpotential blCL 15146 - - 12973 - - 11808 - - 9699 - - 11363 blCL maxRH 67 - - 65 - - 67 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.8 - - 48.2 - - 52.4 - - 50.9 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 39.3 - - 42.9 - - 43.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 48.1 - - 52.0 - - 52.0 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 38.1 - - 41.7 - - 42.2 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -47 - - 13 - - 45 - - -23 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 288 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96500 48 048 33 048 41 036 36 046 37 044 96500 89442 45 048 31 054 30 036 34 051 25 058 89442 83959 41 056 38 055 24 051 33 040 27 057 83959 79362 34 068 38 056 26 060 29 039 31 043 79362 75382 29 071 30 056 24 067 20 052 26 036 75382 71856 19 060 19 056 18 062 13 067 17 033 71856 68663 15 030 11 056 14 033 11 039 10 025 68663 65732 17 014 10 051 12 021 7 011 7 021 65732 63017 15 352 10 029 11 023 4 319 3 036 63017 60390 11 341 9 022 7 041 3 299 5 071 60390 57648 2 016 5 027 5 058 2 074 4 098 57648 54790 4 111 3 110 4 202 4 227 4 154 54790 52054 8 130 4 151 8 201 8 205 11 195 52054 49599 8 129 10 181 11 186 17 218 13 200 49599 47420 7 169 12 181 17 195 24 210 21 211 47420 45483 13 205 21 200 31 212 25 218 32 231 45483 43736 23 217 44 201 57 223 55 229 66 241 43736 42122 31 226 63 206 94 222 102 231 99 235 42122 40609 38 221 75 213 101 222 113 229 95 229 40609 39177 32 221 74 216 98 223 110 228 97 228 39177 37814 31 227 63 216 88 222 106 228 99 228 37814 36484 34 227 48 215 64 216 92 228 99 230 36484 35124 32 225 36 218 44 208 68 223 92 234 35124 33709 30 223 28 216 27 196 44 203 71 236 33709 32241 31 221 23 199 26 192 33 176 53 232 32241 30706 31 219 19 187 28 196 29 167 35 216 30706 29095 31 219 13 200 29 199 27 166 32 197 29095 27407 26 223 9 200 29 197 29 168 35 187 27407 25643 16 157 13 190 25 193 31 172 37 185 25643 23801 21 125 19 183 23 185 31 182 32 181 23801 21880 24 136 22 170 25 178 30 191 29 189 21880 19871 29 132 21 151 27 169 28 196 25 194 19871 17774 28 112 24 133 19 168 21 182 18 196 17774 15639 25 104 25 124 13 155 18 148 16 207 15639 13583 23 108 22 126 14 152 16 131 16 206 13583 11719 19 122 22 142 17 158 15 138 16 182 11719 10070 13 155 23 159 21 165 19 152 20 166 10070 8612 10 175 20 175 23 173 23 157 22 155 8612 7317 3 284 16 183 23 181 23 163 17 150 7317 6168 7 320 11 197 20 189 20 184 10 148 6168 5152 6 312 11 228 14 201 16 210 5 163 5152 4259 5 278 14 246 12 210 14 223 3 220 4259 3472 6 267 14 251 10 221 11 222 3 204 3472 2770 4 270 9 245 7 219 9 193 6 155 2770 2151 1 309 5 218 6 189 11 164 10 141 2151 1637 4 073 5 163 8 133 13 142 15 123 1637 1245 12 081 9 108 12*095 15 110 19 100 1245 979 15 075 9 084 12*087 13 085 17 085 979 819 12 071 8*081 10 086 9 076 14*079 819 728 7*069 6*078 8 085 5*074 7*077 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography