DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 63.6 - - 69.4 - - 69.3 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 128 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 650 - - 1635 - - 1487 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1299 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1362 - - 2348 - - 2201 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 177 - - 996 - - 909 - - 1065 - - 405 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 144 - - 248 - - 149 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 21 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 135 - - 113 - - 348 - - 015 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1240 - - -2308 - - -2340 - - -1911 - - -876 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1969 - - 3670 - - 4688 - - 4112 - - 1605 sfcLCL ODpotential -13625 - - -11990 - - -10591 - - -10020 - - -10645 ODpotential blCL 14354 - - 13352 - - 12939 - - 12221 - - 11374 blCL maxRH 60 - - 59 - - 61 - - 68 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 63.6 - - 69.4 - - 69.3 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 50.2 - - 51.6 - - 53.9 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 63.0 - - 68.4 - - 69.2 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 48.9 - - 50.4 - - 53.3 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 128 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 650 - - 1635 - - 1487 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96994 25 274 26 296 32 286 28 288 29 274 96994 89840 17 292 17 278 22 287 22 296 22 294 89840 84327 13 287 15 272 14 277 18 289 17 299 84327 79728 8 276 7 276 10 267 11 285 12 299 79728 75735 3 351 4 177 9 244 8 278 10 321 75735 72198 1 074 6 127 7 200 8 280 7 303 72198 68999 3 021 1 123 6 239 12 306 6 290 68999 66061 4 352 2 332 4 267 10 306 7 276 66061 63345 5 336 5 312 4 290 7 320 7 252 63345 60727 4 283 1 273 6 277 6 293 4 273 60727 58017 5 030 4 041 5 336 4 346 2 313 58017 55238 7 358 9 045 3 017 9 001 11 322 55238 52602 10 065 13 066 6 100 6 046 10 005 52602 50215 38 047 29 043 20 042 16 038 18 021 50215 48061 41 025 35 024 27 032 24 029 23 014 48061 46100 26 016 30 006 26 012 25 011 27 001 46100 44299 17 056 17 358 24 355 25 355 30 351 44299 42622 16 069 8 033 17 015 22 353 27 356 42622 41051 30 050 29 039 22 029 21 004 31 006 41051 39575 56 044 37 034 32 026 26 015 32 008 39575 38185 61 037 40 028 39 022 30 016 30 010 38185 36842 61 033 43 023 41 020 30 017 27 014 36842 35476 60 033 43 022 38 019 27 019 25 013 35476 34057 57 034 41 023 35 016 25 023 23 011 34057 32586 53 034 41 022 32 015 25 028 20 011 32586 31048 47 032 41 020 31 019 25 023 20 013 31048 29430 39 028 38 022 31 019 25 017 22 014 29430 27732 36 025 33 028 27 014 25 012 23 013 27732 25950 34 022 29 025 22 013 24 008 23 013 25950 24087 33 020 26 018 23 013 25 004 24 014 24087 22147 32 024 23 013 25 014 26 004 24 017 22147 20124 26 030 22 013 25 015 26 006 25 021 20124 18010 21 027 20 015 24 011 26 011 26 025 18010 15850 19 023 20 016 23 010 26 016 24 030 15850 13767 17 026 17 023 22 020 24 019 22 032 13767 11873 20 031 16 029 19 032 20 028 19 034 11873 10193 18 043 14 031 16 039 16 041 17 035 10193 8705 14 049 13 034 12 041 14 042 14 033 8705 7388 11 045 13 037 11 041 11 036 13 029 7388 6224 10 040 13 040 11 047 10 034 12 028 6224 5198 10 041 11 043 9 053 9 039 11 028 5198 4299 11 043 7 044 6 054 6 039 10 026 4299 3507 10 044 5 045 3 051 4 031 9 024 3507 2801 8 044 3 057 2*024 3*021 8 022 2801 2178 7 048 3 100 2*006 3*018 6 029 2178 1659 4 054 3*119 2 352 3 018 5 043 1659 1262 1 086 2*114 2 345 3 014 6 051 1262 989 2 151 2 112 2 339 3 012 5 045 989 824 3*154 1 111 2 336 3 011 5*040 824 729 3*135 1 114 2 332 2 008 3*037 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography