DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 67.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 196 - - 36 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1008 - - 2174 - - 2088 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1860 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1720 - - 2887 - - 2801 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 657 - - 1158 - - 1447 - - 490 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 185 - - 308 - - 175 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 019 - - 327 - - 325 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2026 - - -3934 - - -4814 - - -3538 - - -1440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2754 - - 5654 - - 7701 - - 6340 - - 2169 sfcLCL ODpotential -14418 - - -13597 - - -12913 - - -12229 - - -11810 ODpotential blCL 15146 - - 15317 - - 15800 - - 15030 - - 12539 blCL maxRH 47 - - 45 - - 39 - - 47 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 67.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 40.3 - - 38.3 - - 42.1 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 61.4 - - 68.0 - - 67.0 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.7 - - 39.1 - - 37.6 - - 41.6 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 196 - - 36 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1008 - - 2174 - - 2088 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97377 8 307 10 307 11 289 9 253 15 275 97377 90096 10 044 8 040 6 328 2 333 5 001 90096 84501 13 037 11 030 8 342 8 009 12 038 84501 79887 11 355 11 009 5 020 7 012 9 028 79887 75924 5 323 13 315 5 313 11 353 9 045 75924 72406 4 033 6 331 7 225 7 295 6 292 72406 69209 10 291 13 297 4 266 5 246 7 241 69209 66250 8 207 15 257 11 273 10 270 8 218 66250 63482 1 301 9 236 11 236 15 273 11 254 63482 60791 11 291 9 259 10 243 18 262 18 275 60791 57995 10 276 9 247 11 241 16 235 18 260 57995 55099 17 293 10 279 13 251 13 239 15 247 55099 52325 22 290 18 287 18 275 19 269 17 265 52325 49818 29 298 25 291 24 288 25 279 23 269 49818 47563 34 310 27 299 26 287 26 277 27 268 47563 45526 35 316 27 312 24 277 25 275 25 275 45526 43689 34 323 25 320 18 277 20 279 22 281 43689 42017 33 334 25 328 14 311 13 297 18 283 42017 40472 34 346 27 337 22 336 15 339 16 298 40472 39026 39 354 30 346 30 337 23 342 19 314 39026 37667 43 357 32 352 32 340 28 338 22 325 37667 36355 45 359 33 354 32 344 29 339 25 329 36355 35021 42 003 31 358 30 346 27 338 25 331 35021 33633 38 008 28 001 28 350 25 336 23 331 33633 32193 37 010 27 003 24 355 22 340 21 333 32193 30686 37 009 27 004 21 358 19 346 19 339 30686 29098 38 007 27 000 21 001 18 353 18 344 29098 27429 38 009 28 354 23 002 19 359 16 344 27429 25677 36 014 27 356 23 359 21 000 17 343 25677 23845 33 010 25 006 22 001 22 358 18 342 23845 21935 29 015 24 010 21 008 22 358 18 346 21935 19940 27 018 22 011 19 012 20 005 17 355 19940 17855 25 013 20 009 17 008 20 009 16 001 17855 15720 23 018 18 013 16 008 19 007 15 005 15720 13656 21 033 15 027 13 011 16 006 13 012 13656 11777 20 038 13 039 9 015 11 000 10 012 11777 10109 19 035 13 049 7 036 10 005 8 012 10109 8631 17 039 12 062 7 059 9 026 6 026 8631 7325 14 040 10 061 4 048 5 042 4 029 7325 6173 12 032 9 049 2 352 3 049 4 048 6173 5159 13 014 10 031 4 028 4 049 5 062 5159 4268 14 356 11 017 8 012 5 029 4 066 4268 3483 12 001 10 012 8*001 5*003 4 050 3483 2782 14 027 11 020 6*343 6*350 4 007 2782 2164 18 029 11*023 5 334 6 332 6 334 2164 1649 12 028 8*021 5 326 6 320 9 321 1649 1255 5 032 6 019 5 320 6 317 11 314 1255 986 2 106 5 017 5 316 6 315 9 306 986 822 4 144 4 017 5 313 6 314 6*301 822 729 4*137 4 017 4 313 5 313 3*293 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography