DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.5 - - 78.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 359 - - 272 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 776 - - 1423 - - 733 - - 299 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 949 - - 1511 - - 940 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1490 - - 2137 - - 1446 - - 1013 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 553 - - 823 - - 373 - - 282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 328 - - 239 - - 89 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 301 - - 293 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4364 - - -6013 - - -4514 - - -2572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5854 - - 8150 - - 5960 - - 3585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11469 - - -11823 - - -12380 - - -13505 ODpotential blCL - - - 12959 - - 13960 - - 13826 - - 14518 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 38 - - 50 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.5 - - 78.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 54.6 - - 54.7 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 85.3 - - 76.2 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 53.6 - - 54.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 359 - - 272 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 776 - - 1423 - - 733 - - 299 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98658 25 113 21 107 22 099 19 106 98658 91223 17 092 16 057 19 089 24 109 91223 85490 15 093 11 081 12 074 20 092 85490 80731 19 107 13 121 12 070 18 070 80731 76653 18 089 11 119 12 083 17 072 76653 73061 17 110 6 100 13 081 18 076 73061 69811 17 099 8 135 9 077 14 048 69811 66836 14 094 10 132 7 110 8 042 66836 64086 10 076 9 131 5 106 4 070 64086 61425 5 010 5 064 2 125 0 114 61425 58661 4 333 5 298 2 305 2 292 58661 55806 10 345 3 287 4 308 3 282 55806 53081 17 306 10 298 15 297 13 297 53081 50623 21 296 16 294 20 289 19 292 50623 48418 25 295 23 303 23 298 20 290 48418 46413 27 292 30 299 27 298 24 294 46413 44574 26 285 31 296 28 298 26 299 44574 42885 25 284 30 298 28 303 26 303 42885 41318 25 290 31 298 30 308 27 308 41318 39850 27 294 31 303 31 310 28 310 39850 38463 27 293 34 313 32 311 27 306 38463 37117 26 290 36 318 31 311 26 301 37117 35742 26 291 35 320 29 309 26 297 35742 34313 26 296 32 322 26 308 26 298 34313 32831 26 303 31 318 25 310 26 305 32831 31284 24 307 33 313 28 313 28 311 31284 29659 22 308 31 310 30 315 28 315 29659 27956 22 309 27 309 29 316 25 317 27956 26173 18 306 22 306 26 315 21 320 26173 24309 17 300 19 303 22 315 19 321 24309 22367 15 305 15 315 18 317 17 320 22367 20343 16 323 12 329 14 317 15 318 20343 18229 15 329 11 334 12 316 13 314 18229 16068 12 331 10 330 12 308 13 298 16068 13980 10 336 10 325 12 296 15 282 13980 12079 10 346 10 330 11 291 14 280 12079 10389 10 357 9 330 8 277 10 286 10389 8888 10 007 6 338 5 267 8 299 8888 7554 8 015 4 359 4 290 8 317 7554 6367 5 034 4 355 6 315 6 333 6367 5316 4 078 2 002 8 320 6 342 5316 4388 3 066 2 354 8 319 5 332 4388 3570 2 038 4 322 9 312 6 309 3570 2839 1 323 6 310 9 302 9 286 2839 2196 4 267 8*306 12 289 12 267 2196 1665 5*271 9*304 12*293 13 270 1665 1264 5*276 10 302 12*294 12*284 1264 990 5 276 10 300 12 294 10*288 990 824 5 275 10 299 11 293 9 288 824 730 5 274 8 297 9 292 7 288 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography