DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 60.4 - - 66.2 - - 63.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 137 - - 209 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1331 - - 3402 - - 2421 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1041 - - 2774 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2043 - - 4115 - - 3133 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 1521 - - 1036 - - 1693 - - 729 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 231 - - 364 - - 176 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 013 - - 007 - - 319 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -783 - - -3329 - - -2950 - - -2784 - - -2011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1511 - - 5372 - - 7065 - - 5917 - - 2740 sfcLCL ODpotential -10961 - - -10659 - - -9839 - - -9961 - - -10979 ODpotential blCL 11689 - - 12702 - - 13954 - - 13094 - - 11708 blCL maxRH 69 - - 51 - - 66 - - 74 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 60.4 - - 66.2 - - 63.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 39.6 - - 37.9 - - 40.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 59.4 - - 64.9 - - 63.8 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 39.1 - - 37.2 - - 40.0 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 137 - - 209 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1331 - - 3402 - - 2421 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96861 26 272 35 291 26 266 35 264 44 270 96861 89646 12 276 24 263 19 279 18 284 23 260 89646 84105 14 311 19 255 19 268 16 279 24 267 84105 79496 18 290 17 248 27 255 23 270 26 279 79496 75507 20 271 13 240 25 243 21 262 21 275 75507 71961 26 264 15 256 19 237 21 252 17 276 71961 68733 24 265 18 259 21 242 24 259 17 286 68733 65752 20 274 18 251 23 243 27 260 20 279 65752 62978 23 269 16 258 22 246 26 258 21 270 62978 60279 26 273 20 267 23 254 26 264 23 265 60279 57451 32 271 26 263 27 256 28 267 25 262 57451 54510 34 267 29 260 28 260 30 262 27 264 54510 51713 36 264 30 261 30 262 31 262 28 262 51713 49214 34 267 31 267 32 260 30 267 27 263 49214 47000 36 273 33 273 32 262 32 265 29 261 47000 45019 36 269 36 270 33 268 31 262 31 261 45019 43233 36 275 42 275 39 273 34 264 35 257 43233 41607 39 280 54 273 50 267 45 264 39 257 41607 40106 43 282 54 267 54 258 52 251 48 243 40106 38701 44 284 50 263 50 257 46 246 48 241 38701 37369 45 287 47 270 46 263 45 254 41 237 37369 36074 46 296 47 273 44 270 46 267 38 242 36074 34750 52 303 46 274 44 270 43 278 35 246 34750 33368 52 305 44 276 43 272 41 278 33 249 33368 31932 47 299 42 279 41 274 40 275 32 255 31932 30428 49 307 39 282 41 272 38 271 28 260 30428 28842 44 298 37 287 38 275 38 264 27 243 28842 27176 35 283 33 286 34 276 41 265 30 247 27176 25428 36 276 31 276 36 270 40 267 31 247 25428 23605 34 280 28 284 31 271 39 265 28 256 23605 21712 30 284 20 292 18 270 26 264 22 266 21712 19742 27 279 14 300 10 278 15 264 15 250 19742 17684 22 281 14 312 10 313 7 307 6 306 17684 15581 17 290 15 319 11 343 8 354 5 008 15581 13550 15 301 14 325 12 359 9 019 9 029 13550 11699 13 313 12 341 10 002 8 036 9 043 11699 10053 10 320 9 001 8 009 6 041 8 046 10053 8591 8 333 7 017 7 015 6 040 7 051 8591 7293 6 358 6 041 6 017 7 039 7 049 7293 6143 7 008 7 036 6 021 7 048 7 058 6143 5130 7 003 10 017 9 017 8 039 10 057 5130 4243 8 007 12 006 9*009 7 010 10 051 4243 3464 10 010 12 002 9*008 7*349 6 053 3464 2770 10 009 10 007 8 007 7*335 2 037 2770 2157 10 010 8*013 8 008 8 320 3 316 2157 1645 9 011 7*013 8 007 8 317 6 303 1645 1254 8 009 6 013 7 007 8 314 8 298 1254 985 7 010 5 013 7 007 8 313 7 293 985 822 6 021 5 011 6 006 7 312 4*284 822 729 4*036 4 012 5 006 6 311 3*273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography