DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 72.7 - - 79.5 - - 79.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 35 - - 63 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 1184 - - 1035 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1060 - - 1899 - - 1749 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 600 - - 1082 - - 1193 - - 585 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 106 - - 193 - - 103 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 068 - - 055 - - 057 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -4 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4384 - - -2618 - - -3124 - - -2773 - - -2183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5114 - - 3679 - - 5023 - - 4523 - - 2913 sfcLCL ODpotential -17159 - - -11649 - - -9733 - - -9864 - - -11774 ODpotential blCL 17888 - - 12709 - - 11632 - - 11613 - - 12504 blCL maxRH 29 - - 60 - - 50 - - 49 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 72.7 - - 79.5 - - 79.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 59.2 - - 60.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 72.3 - - 79.0 - - 80.1 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.0 - - 57.9 - - 58.8 - - 60.9 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 35 - - 63 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 1184 - - 1035 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 21 253 24 286 19 259 20 281 13 258 96685 89497 2 041 6 192 11 296 14 269 5 241 89497 83998 12 114 8 156 4 246 3 244 2 058 83998 79439 15 097 9 094 14 179 4 249 6 045 79439 75527 8 072 13 088 15 159 6 197 3 052 75527 72075 2 186 13 102 10 112 9 155 2 216 72075 68949 4 151 7 088 9 057 11 137 6 181 68949 66080 5 018 1 281 8 001 9 076 6 150 66080 63435 7 037 2 234 7 286 8 001 7 006 63435 60885 10 016 4 324 6 279 8 322 13 320 60885 58229 9 302 8 322 8 307 10 324 12 306 58229 55456 11 271 10 304 12 281 13 280 15 294 55456 52785 16 302 19 311 16 293 16 262 21 249 52785 50383 27 276 25 290 21 300 18 280 17 264 50383 48234 27 258 28 262 30 269 29 269 27 286 48234 46289 26 275 24 257 29 260 31 255 35 264 46289 44523 30 281 24 282 23 272 24 260 27 258 44523 42892 32 283 30 290 24 293 25 283 23 265 42892 41363 31 278 34 283 28 290 30 280 26 270 41363 39917 33 265 39 279 33 278 35 277 30 271 39917 38544 34 266 38 273 35 269 36 263 36 264 38544 37208 34 272 37 267 34 269 35 260 38 257 37208 35843 32 284 37 267 33 268 35 265 34 255 35843 34421 36 291 35 273 33 267 38 270 31 258 34421 32945 35 289 33 285 33 270 39 274 37 264 32945 31398 26 278 30 292 31 274 38 277 38 265 31398 29768 20 265 25 275 25 271 37 279 36 264 29768 28054 25 268 28 264 26 257 32 264 34 261 28054 26256 29 267 33 267 31 259 33 257 30 258 26256 24376 28 268 30 277 31 269 36 266 31 264 24376 22422 26 267 26 279 24 275 28 271 27 263 22422 20388 22 272 21 278 19 271 20 264 22 249 20388 18263 18 279 16 276 16 264 17 256 21 237 18263 16088 11 304 10 282 10 240 12 238 20 226 16088 13984 6 005 2 172 11 198 14 212 18 220 13984 12067 3 104 6 157 11 207 12 214 12 212 12067 10371 3 165 7 171 9 198 7 209 6 190 10371 8870 2 013 6 151 6 172 5 184 3 202 8870 7538 8 012 7 106 4 132 4 146 2 199 7538 6357 11 012 6 091 4 072 4 114 2 169 6357 5311 11 013 5 072 6 041 5 094 1 154 5311 4392 9 021 3 053 6 033 4 083 1 126 4392 3581 7 031 2 055 6 033 4 070 2 080 3581 2858 7 036 4 098 4 042 6 061 4 078 2858 2220 6 043 7 100 5*050 8*057 7 068 2220 1687 6 051 10 091 6*053 8*055 8 056 1687 1279 7 064 9*079 6 055 8 057 8 046 1279 998 8 071 7*069 6 056 7 058 7 038 998 828 7 076 7 068 5 057 6 058 5 034 828 730 6*073 5 068 5 057 5 060 4*035 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography