DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 64.8 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 292 - - - - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 991 - - - - - 550 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1160 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1414 - - 1704 - - - - - 1262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 398 - - 310 - - - - - 407 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 274 - - - - - 85 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 268 - - - - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -165 - - -472 - - - - - 182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 2176 - - - - - 1080 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10196 - - -9390 - - - - - -11210 ODpotential blCL - - - 11610 - - 11094 - - - - - 12472 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 86 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 64.8 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 57.7 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 63.0 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 56.5 - - - - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 292 - - - - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 991 - - - - - 550 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 43 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98062 9 236 8 234 1 228 98062 90625 13 212 6 249 7 251 90625 84905 11 188 8 226 2 308 84905 80186 7 130 10 212 7 005 80186 76139 8 092 3 175 5 342 76139 72566 2 031 3 091 5 333 72566 69341 1 033 2 109 4 012 69341 66383 2 303 4 286 9 021 66383 63629 3 041 7 252 6 351 63629 60958 9 253 8 272 8 310 60958 58170 8 241 12 243 11 264 58170 55263 21 257 15 246 17 251 55263 52479 30 240 26 240 22 245 52479 49976 31 222 31 238 26 241 49976 47744 27 217 32 227 29 239 47744 45736 29 221 32 222 33 240 45736 43915 37 219 35 221 34 234 43915 42249 46 211 43 214 37 230 42249 40706 52 208 49 209 42 226 40706 39263 52 208 51 207 47 217 39263 37904 52 210 49 210 46 216 37904 36587 55 210 50 211 46 220 36587 35241 57 208 53 207 47 217 35241 33840 57 209 52 206 49 207 33840 32387 56 211 51 209 47 209 32387 30869 53 210 50 211 46 212 30869 29269 49 208 48 211 46 208 29269 27587 45 204 43 209 45 209 27587 25823 40 200 40 204 38 214 25823 23978 36 195 39 198 33 215 23978 22057 34 194 35 193 34 199 22057 20057 32 199 32 199 34 194 20057 17976 35 205 44 210 36 199 17976 15848 41 206 54 202 41 197 15848 13786 44 205 50 206 38 193 13786 11903 44 210 43 214 33 193 11903 10223 38 216 35 221 29 214 10223 8727 25 210 25 211 27 225 8727 7398 20 196 23 196 24 223 7398 6221 23 190 24 196 19 228 6221 5183 23 186 24 199 15 249 5183 4275 22 186 24 201 16 278 4275 3477 20 191 22 203 20 295 3477 2768 17 202 19 212 22 300 2768 2148 12 223 16*232 21 295 2148 1637 9*257 13*263 18*273 1637 1249 9*265 13 269 16*262 1249 983 8 266 12 270 14 259 983 821 8 267 11 271 12 258 821 729 7 266 9 271 9 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography