DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.5 - - 73.0 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 442 - - 297 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 981 - - 1232 - - 1077 - - 575 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1135 - - 1411 - - 1211 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1694 - - 1946 - - 1790 - - 1288 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 342 - - 478 - - 387 - - 355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 332 - - 278 - - 118 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 271 - - 278 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -680 - - -2336 - - -2626 - - -637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2374 - - 4283 - - 4416 - - 1925 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11541 - - -11611 - - -12451 - - -12957 ODpotential blCL - - - 13235 - - 13557 - - 14241 - - 14245 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 73 - - 68 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.5 - - 73.0 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 58.3 - - 56.4 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 72.0 - - 71.2 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 57.9 - - 56.0 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 442 - - 297 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 981 - - 1232 - - 1077 - - 575 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99185 26 102 26 109 32 105 29 109 99185 91657 20 125 23 108 29 113 28 099 91657 85860 28 120 23 126 20 117 22 106 85860 81062 23 108 23 113 18 108 23 109 81062 76940 20 113 19 122 13 105 22 103 76940 73298 18 114 16 130 12 141 14 067 73298 70003 13 120 10 114 14 117 8 070 70003 66984 12 112 7 137 9 096 9 075 66984 64202 11 105 8 146 3 168 4 126 64202 61523 5 072 5 148 2 212 3 201 61523 58742 11 291 9 207 7 261 6 254 58742 55867 20 265 18 247 20 263 20 265 55867 53135 30 260 28 259 28 258 30 262 53135 50689 40 261 37 264 34 256 38 261 50689 48503 48 260 45 262 43 259 46 261 48503 46528 53 259 49 258 49 261 52 258 46528 44720 50 259 47 254 49 261 53 256 44720 43044 45 261 42 253 46 260 50 258 43044 41477 40 261 38 256 43 260 47 258 41477 40002 36 264 35 260 39 262 43 257 40002 38606 34 266 32 260 37 265 40 258 38606 37250 32 263 31 258 34 261 36 258 37250 35867 30 257 29 252 32 256 33 255 35867 34426 29 253 29 248 30 253 31 255 34426 32932 28 247 29 248 28 245 29 252 32932 31374 27 253 27 250 26 241 26 248 31374 29743 27 257 24 253 22 239 22 246 29743 28037 30 253 25 248 21 236 20 239 28037 26251 33 241 27 239 21 232 19 226 26251 24385 31 234 28 236 21 224 16 219 24385 22436 30 232 28 234 22 221 17 213 22436 20394 27 230 26 230 23 210 21 202 20394 18256 23 226 23 226 23 207 22 200 18256 16071 18 222 20 220 19 219 13 203 16071 13963 14 208 19 216 15 223 14 205 13963 12046 12 193 17 212 13 216 13 205 12046 10345 10 185 13 202 13 203 12 207 10345 8838 9 181 12 191 14 198 11 212 8838 7501 9 189 10 189 13 200 11 213 7501 6317 9 195 8 193 12 202 10 212 6317 5270 8 197 8 197 11 204 11 213 5270 4348 9 200 9 199 12 205 11 211 4348 3536 11 207 11 206 12 213 11 210 3536 2810 11 217 11 219 12 225 12 216 2810 2176 9*239 10*244 11*254 12 245 2176 1655 8*263 10*267 12*276 12*271 1655 1259 8 267 10 271 12 278 12*278 1259 988 8 268 10 272 12 278 11 279 988 823 8 269 9 272 11 278 10 279 823 729 7 269 8 272 9 278 8 279 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography