DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 76.6 - - 73.8 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 346 - - 171 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 2914 - - 1548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1262 - - 2597 - - 1350 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1979 - - 3628 - - 2262 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 809 - - 1258 - - 1026 - - 730 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 407 - - 261 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 306 - - 284 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1644 - - -2192 - - -2913 - - -1050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3624 - - 5821 - - 5175 - - 1779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5618 - - -7095 - - -9343 - - -9321 ODpotential blCL - - - 7597 - - 10723 - - 11605 - - 10050 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 64 - - 59 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 76.6 - - 73.8 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 53.7 - - 53.9 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 74.4 - - 72.6 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 53.3 - - 53.7 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 346 - - 171 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 2914 - - 1548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98839 16 105 14 095 11 076 15 084 98839 91473 20 091 14 075 14 092 15 073 91473 85795 14 085 8 095 16 072 21 081 85795 81061 12 131 8 098 15 068 16 069 81061 76972 10 103 6 079 7 070 13 070 76972 73356 9 103 6 064 3 102 8 057 73356 70074 4 147 5 124 2 233 5 023 70074 67056 7 149 5 193 5 270 3 329 67056 64267 3 084 5 216 7 272 5 270 64267 61576 5 283 11 222 13 255 13 274 61576 58784 12 274 11 226 17 253 19 272 58784 55909 18 289 12 228 18 257 22 269 55909 53178 24 279 20 278 23 280 22 277 53178 50726 30 288 31 291 31 292 33 291 50726 48526 35 296 37 294 39 290 40 290 48526 46520 42 297 41 295 42 289 44 287 46520 44670 45 297 44 298 44 291 48 288 44670 42948 45 296 47 296 46 294 52 291 42948 41334 45 295 47 293 47 296 54 292 41334 39815 44 294 46 293 45 294 50 291 39815 38383 43 295 43 295 43 294 47 288 38383 37007 37 302 40 300 40 296 43 289 37007 35621 36 313 35 308 37 301 35 292 35621 34194 37 318 33 316 34 308 31 300 34194 32719 33 325 35 324 34 316 32 303 32719 31179 32 341 32 334 35 323 30 306 31179 29557 34 351 30 346 33 325 28 313 29557 27852 30 352 30 358 27 334 27 316 27852 26063 25 355 29 009 22 343 19 320 26063 24191 23 358 25 008 17 360 12 323 24191 22240 22 355 20 359 14 003 8 332 22240 20203 22 351 19 356 15 352 10 347 20203 18079 19 000 18 357 16 353 11 356 18079 15915 18 011 17 357 15 358 12 016 15915 13832 18 018 16 007 14 359 13 017 13832 11942 15 024 17 020 14 016 13 024 11942 10263 12 030 14 026 17 035 15 044 10263 8773 14 031 11 028 17 042 13 053 8773 7451 15 028 12 030 18 040 16 044 7451 6281 14 025 14 028 18 035 20 028 6281 5246 13 026 13 025 16 031 17 016 5246 4335 12 027 8*007 10 018 13 356 4335 3532 10 020 7*341 8 355 13 332 3532 2815 8 005 7 321 8*320 14 315 2815 2184 6*341 7 305 11*290 17 309 2184 1661 5*294 8 297 12 285 15 303 1661 1263 4 289 8 291 12 283 11 288 1263 989 4 282 8 289 12 282 8 271 989 824 4 280 7 288 11 281 7 264 824 729 4 278 7 286 9 280 4*260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography