DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 56.6 - - 58.1 - - 56.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 729 - - 729 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1077 - - 1033 - - 1394 - - 1151 - - 1287 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 18 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 225 - - 035 - - 064 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -127 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 729 - - 856 - - 729 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential -1454 - - -285 - - -1060 - - -915 - - -1121 ODpotential blCL 2183 - - 1014 - - 1789 - - 1644 - - 1850 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 56.6 - - 58.1 - - 56.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.2 - - 56.4 - - 56.8 - - 55.8 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 56.7 - - 58.2 - - 56.6 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 56.4 - - 56.5 - - 55.7 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 96 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 4 270 10 324 15 323 8 328 20 280 96480 89374 8 062 11 014 12 011 5 045 9 308 89374 83861 10 045 4 322 11 334 10 015 11 017 83861 79280 12 352 10 359 12 325 16 358 21 012 79280 75330 10 358 10 318 14 294 20 314 27 341 75330 71862 17 348 12 005 6 303 13 314 14 320 71862 68718 24 321 22 316 19 310 15 315 11 325 68718 65815 31 319 29 298 26 303 22 303 23 300 65815 63127 37 304 33 300 35 299 32 295 30 287 63127 60525 39 288 41 291 41 293 40 295 37 283 60525 57805 43 284 47 291 51 288 52 291 47 291 57805 54965 49 288 54 284 59 282 64 281 60 277 54965 52235 62 294 58 283 57 285 59 283 59 275 52235 49764 73 291 63 290 66 294 69 293 71 281 49764 47546 81 290 79 293 79 294 80 292 74 283 47546 45529 92 289 91 290 87 290 90 292 84 291 45529 43687 94 281 96 282 92 283 97 287 96 286 43687 41998 87 274 92 276 90 277 91 278 90 276 41998 40445 78 277 84 272 83 272 81 271 77 272 40445 39002 75 292 72 274 73 272 72 273 67 269 39002 37642 73 294 64 277 65 279 70 278 61 269 37642 36322 71 291 73 295 68 290 70 278 59 267 36322 34976 71 289 80 294 74 289 70 275 58 269 34976 33574 71 286 80 293 76 286 70 277 56 272 33574 32120 74 282 76 292 75 285 68 276 52 274 32120 30598 75 280 70 285 70 280 64 275 50 276 30598 28995 77 279 72 280 71 281 63 276 52 275 28995 27312 78 287 76 280 73 285 62 277 58 270 27312 25547 71 288 81 285 66 285 63 277 64 266 25547 23703 60 282 70 287 60 280 65 276 64 266 23703 21785 58 282 58 281 54 270 60 276 62 271 21785 19791 50 284 52 282 45 279 50 280 60 275 19791 17714 47 276 47 287 41 285 44 281 58 278 17714 15597 46 270 45 277 40 287 39 279 45 278 15597 13560 43 264 35 274 40 275 35 262 36 269 13560 11709 35 268 29 272 34 265 33 250 33 260 11709 10066 28 298 23 277 24 259 25 243 32 257 10066 8610 27 318 20 291 11 256 20 231 32 249 8610 7317 25 311 16 291 9 280 12 208 32 243 7317 6171 18 304 11 279 8 266 10 205 29 246 6171 5158 7 286 8 263 7 243 9 212 25 245 5158 4267 8 255 7 251 6 220 8 213 22 235 4267 3482 11 254 5 237 5 198 7 209 24 224 3482 2781 13 250 5 222 5 187 5 200 25 214 2781 2164 15 244 6 217 4 180 2 179 24 205 2164 1650 14 237 6 223 1 133 3 073 21 197 1650 1257 11 222 6 226 4 036 7 070 16 189 1257 987 10 213 5 231 3 040 6 067 11 178 987 823 7*212 3*232 3*038 5*066 7*168 823 729 3*213 1*225 2*035 3*064 3*160 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography