DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 54.9 - - 54.7 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - -8 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 163 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2243 - - 875 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1836 - - 4233 - - 3353 - - 3085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 41 - - 14 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 192 - - 127 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 685 - - -1063 - - -1142 - - -242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1558 - - 1938 - - 1871 - - 970 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -760 - - -2040 - - -2634 - - -1192 ODpotential blCL - - - 3003 - - 2915 - - 3363 - - 1920 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 100 - - 96 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 160 - - 140 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 54.9 - - 54.7 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.8 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 55.4 - - 55.9 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 47.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - -8 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 163 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 101 - - 85 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96212 24 287 24 328 11 324 15 304 96212 89150 13 302 17 305 14 311 10 316 89150 83675 10 321 19 272 17 283 12 271 83675 79117 18 284 15 291 13 287 10 292 79117 75152 22 254 24 263 27 242 28 255 75152 71647 14 244 24 248 25 231 25 224 71647 68465 16 242 20 237 14 235 16 225 68465 65501 31 226 32 234 31 247 25 236 65501 62722 45 218 45 228 43 235 36 234 62722 59998 49 209 43 225 48 229 41 235 59998 57127 45 221 51 223 60 233 58 236 57127 54136 56 232 66 222 79 222 76 225 54136 51281 65 232 73 223 80 217 76 222 51281 48723 72 231 76 227 76 226 72 227 48723 46447 91 228 90 230 87 230 79 230 46447 44397 111 219 108 224 105 223 96 226 44397 42531 117 213 114 219 109 215 107 217 42531 40819 116 209 118 216 102 211 102 209 40819 39231 117 208 121 213 96 213 89 204 39231 37748 122 207 120 209 97 218 83 207 37748 36359 128 205 120 209 103 218 83 211 36359 35025 129 204 127 208 102 213 83 212 35025 33680 132 205 133 205 95 212 81 213 33680 32297 135 203 135 201 91 217 79 216 32297 30880 136 198 133 198 96 220 81 217 30880 29409 135 195 129 196 94 220 86 214 29409 27866 124 193 122 195 89 220 88 211 27866 26249 113 190 116 194 84 216 85 210 26249 24554 112 191 108 195 73 214 82 211 24554 22786 117 195 101 198 58 217 79 214 22786 20952 120 200 92 204 51 221 67 213 20952 19056 107 206 85 211 51 217 52 206 19056 17086 85 216 76 219 54 213 50 205 17086 15075 62 225 64 227 52 210 49 205 15075 13133 49 221 48 232 43 204 48 205 13133 11362 48 215 36 231 39 199 48 206 11362 9786 45 216 31 223 37 199 49 205 9786 8385 38 219 29 208 36 197 49 203 8385 7139 32 228 30 195 37 194 50 202 7139 6031 27 236 28 189 38 192 49 200 6031 5054 22 234 23 188 36 189 48 197 5054 4192 18 226 18 191 32 184 46 192 4192 3429 17 219 16 195 28 179 43 187 3429 2745 17*216 15 196 23 176 38 182 2745 2141 16*215 14 197 19 173 37 182 2141 1637 14 213 12 197 15 169 33 180 1637 1249 13 213 11 196 12 163 26 179 1249 983 11 212 9*195 8 152 19 177 983 821 10 213 7*194 6*141 15 175 821 728 7 214 5 191 4*127 7*169 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography