DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 73.2 - - 80.3 - - 80.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 44 - - 71 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 351 - - 1408 - - 1143 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 - - - Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1065 - - 2122 - - 1857 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 750 - - 1368 - - 1686 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 112 - - 209 - - 108 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 16 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction 046 - - 066 - - 059 - - 302 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4131 - - -2598 - - -3152 - - -3339 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4861 - - 3663 - - 5274 - - 5197 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -16436 - - -10481 - - -9870 - - -9525 - - - ODpotential blCL 17165 - - 11546 - - 11992 - - 11382 - - - blCL maxRH 33 - - 61 - - 50 - - 47 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 73.2 - - 80.3 - - 80.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 59.8 - - 59.9 - - 60.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.0 - - 72.8 - - 79.7 - - 81.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 58.5 - - 58.5 - - 59.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 44 - - 71 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 351 - - 1408 - - 1143 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 17 286 8 230 29 267 22 287 96659 89537 6 272 9 310 10 263 20 318 89537 84031 5 093 8 247 4 330 7 280 84031 79481 5 124 7 192 8 339 6 140 79481 75567 7 145 5 117 5 215 5 079 75567 72090 4 146 7 104 10 184 2 088 72090 68945 3 140 4 109 8 178 5 212 68945 66075 3 025 3 240 4 184 7 194 66075 63435 8 303 10 248 7 272 5 227 63435 60886 11 265 16 236 16 259 15 274 60886 58220 15 249 18 250 19 258 20 264 58220 55445 15 262 18 270 17 257 19 248 55445 52791 19 279 21 288 17 265 20 258 52791 50393 25 257 29 272 26 276 24 281 50393 48229 22 241 28 240 34 242 33 260 48229 46261 29 268 29 241 34 228 36 234 46261 44470 31 257 30 257 29 240 31 230 44470 42820 30 262 41 258 39 251 41 243 42820 41282 35 263 52 249 51 246 55 240 41282 39833 43 250 51 243 51 241 55 237 39833 38460 43 244 48 240 49 236 55 233 38460 37125 40 239 44 235 48 233 54 231 37125 35761 40 235 44 233 47 230 52 230 35761 34340 42 234 43 231 47 228 52 230 34340 32866 43 236 43 227 47 226 51 229 32866 31324 44 238 43 230 45 226 49 227 31324 29701 43 235 45 234 47 230 49 230 29701 27994 43 232 41 237 43 235 44 237 27994 26203 41 228 41 232 35 234 37 236 26203 24327 36 225 41 226 36 233 35 237 24327 22372 32 225 37 224 34 235 34 239 22372 20335 32 222 35 222 31 238 29 243 20335 18211 32 222 34 221 28 245 22 254 18211 16047 29 225 27 230 20 247 17 254 16047 13963 24 236 21 238 16 260 15 255 13963 12063 22 238 20 245 15 261 14 265 12063 10372 21 240 18 247 15 250 13 264 10372 8872 16 244 14 238 14 240 12 253 8872 7543 9 239 10 227 11 234 12 244 7543 6365 3 219 6 211 8 225 10 234 6365 5321 0 348 3 184 5 220 9 225 5321 4402 2 351 1 127 2 217 8 221 4402 3591 2 006 1 033 1 224 5 223 3591 2867 2 041 2 052 1 054 2 254 2867 2227 3 062 3 085 2*057 3*305 2227 1693 4 070 4 086 3*057 4*306 1693 1283 4 070 7*071 3 059 4 303 1283 1000 3 061 6*066 2 060 4 300 1000 829 3 050 5 066 2 063 4 300 829 731 3*046 4 066 2 061 3 298 731 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography