DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 84.6 - - 92.8 - - 91.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 80 - - 156 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 385 - - 1559 - - 702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1326 - - 715 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 730 - - 1099 - - 2273 - - 1417 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 65 - - 748 - - 1919 - - 2070 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 131 - - 256 - - 119 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 060 - - 049 - - 308 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6512 - - -7369 - - -8560 - - -8664 - - -4273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7242 - - 8469 - - 10834 - - 10082 - - 5003 sfcLCL ODpotential -14878 - - -12052 - - -12870 - - -11840 - - -11287 ODpotential blCL 15608 - - 13151 - - 15143 - - 13257 - - 12017 blCL maxRH 37 - - 38 - - 54 - - 43 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 84.6 - - 92.8 - - 91.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 50.6 - - 48.0 - - 49.6 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.4 - - 84.3 - - 91.6 - - 90.9 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.7 - - 49.8 - - 47.2 - - 49.0 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 80 - - 156 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 385 - - 1559 - - 702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97781 11 262 8 270 11 259 11 276 6 346 97781 90573 3 170 2 134 2 278 3 284 8 033 90573 85009 10 094 11 085 11 068 10 077 6 064 85009 80388 15 057 14 089 11 061 13 066 10 056 80388 76420 15 025 16 059 14 070 17 064 16 059 76420 72916 13 039 15 044 16 067 19 066 16 062 72916 69737 12 054 17 051 14 073 16 059 13 059 69737 66817 6 043 11 071 8 087 9 063 10 050 66817 64108 5 086 9 085 8 126 3 064 7 050 64108 61474 3 352 2 122 4 189 6 285 9 338 61474 58728 5 249 5 271 4 239 9 243 12 270 58728 55890 18 251 18 281 15 282 15 280 17 275 55890 53188 33 256 37 264 33 268 29 278 29 287 53188 50752 46 248 39 261 41 269 46 281 42 292 50752 48562 45 251 44 262 49 270 59 280 59 281 48562 46565 48 251 50 261 56 273 63 273 65 277 46565 44726 49 248 53 260 59 270 66 271 69 279 44726 43016 51 246 54 255 57 266 63 271 70 279 43016 41412 53 242 56 249 56 261 61 274 70 283 41412 39902 56 237 59 243 55 256 60 274 71 286 39902 38474 56 231 60 235 55 250 56 266 66 283 38474 37093 52 225 57 224 54 242 52 260 61 276 37093 35693 44 219 51 211 51 228 49 255 59 270 35693 34244 36 212 46 196 50 208 46 243 57 268 34244 32745 32 206 45 187 50 193 46 223 54 265 32745 31182 33 201 45 188 50 190 50 204 46 249 31182 29551 31 195 43 188 47 194 53 197 46 222 29551 27855 31 187 40 185 43 195 50 198 50 212 27855 26086 32 180 37 184 40 192 44 200 47 207 26086 24236 31 177 35 182 37 189 38 195 38 203 24236 22310 28 175 34 182 34 185 33 190 32 196 22310 20302 26 177 33 184 32 182 29 187 26 189 20302 18208 26 178 28 183 29 180 25 180 22 174 18208 16070 24 176 23 183 24 174 24 173 25 166 16070 14003 18 178 18 180 19 171 24 165 30 158 14003 12117 12 197 16 178 17 167 20 159 26 159 12117 10436 7 203 13 181 17 156 14 157 13 166 10436 8939 6 182 10 181 12 147 11 155 5 168 8939 7604 8 162 10 175 9 153 9 157 3 203 7604 6415 9 152 11 167 7 163 6 168 4 217 6415 5361 9 132 11 157 7 166 4 191 2 229 5361 4431 9 108 9 141 5 157 3 250 3 283 4431 3610 8 090 8 114 4 117 3 295 5 286 3610 2875 7 070 7 095 4*068 4 330 6 286 2875 2227 7 057 5 079 5*054 5 331 6 287 2227 1688 7 055 5 067 6 048 5*321 8 285 1688 1277 7 056 6*061 5 047 6*311 9 289 1277 996 7 061 6*060 5 048 6 308 8 295 996 826 6*072 5 060 5 047 5 306 6 298 826 730 5*074 4 060 4 047 4 305 3*289 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography