DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 58.5 - - 58.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 122 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 876 - - 2721 - - 2758 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 2056 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1588 - - 3434 - - 3471 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1760 - - 2147 - - 1995 - - 2215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 291 - - 179 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 055 - - 054 - - 015 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -492 - - 20 - - 179 - - -442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2080 - - 3414 - - 3292 - - 1171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1965 - - -878 - - -2115 - - -2132 ODpotential blCL - - - 3553 - - 4312 - - 5586 - - 2861 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 75 - - 74 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 90 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 58.5 - - 58.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 46.3 - - 47.2 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 57.5 - - 58.8 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 45.0 - - 46.0 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 122 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 876 - - 2721 - - 2758 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 1 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96523 31 083 27 071 34 101 26 086 96523 89486 30 080 24 093 26 091 30 086 89486 84011 24 079 24 102 23 098 25 088 84011 79417 22 082 21 096 23 104 21 097 79417 75430 18 087 15 098 16 109 14 096 75430 71896 13 096 9 077 9 100 10 111 71896 68690 9 086 4 097 3 147 5 062 68690 65736 4 325 1 273 4 224 4 334 65736 62994 6 247 8 270 9 236 8 276 62994 60323 5 232 9 268 8 257 8 257 60323 57517 6 269 9 292 7 274 11 295 57517 54586 7 290 9 288 11 297 12 305 54586 51781 7 303 6 309 8 310 20 327 51781 49268 13 318 16 325 23 327 26 342 49268 47020 14 312 18 332 24 330 28 337 47020 44975 8 326 14 344 19 339 26 332 44975 43094 12 006 12 008 18 346 24 339 43094 41352 17 009 18 007 24 005 30 344 41352 39736 26 015 27 002 31 358 36 349 39736 38240 36 014 37 009 33 355 40 356 38240 36854 43 011 49 010 37 008 47 000 36854 35530 44 012 57 008 48 015 47 001 35530 34198 48 026 61 014 56 013 47 006 34198 32826 60 029 67 021 57 017 48 006 32826 31408 66 026 71 025 56 026 42 018 31408 29924 68 027 70 029 58 028 45 027 29924 28364 64 031 67 032 62 020 49 021 28364 26724 61 035 64 028 63 027 50 017 26724 25003 49 038 60 028 59 031 52 017 25003 23205 35 045 51 033 49 033 48 023 23205 21337 24 048 36 038 39 028 41 030 21337 19394 14 042 23 047 31 029 36 031 19394 17376 9 058 19 049 25 036 29 029 17376 15320 12 056 17 054 22 041 23 028 15320 13337 14 049 18 063 19 053 19 030 13337 11530 12 070 15 078 17 065 15 037 11530 9923 13 105 12 098 15 070 13 049 9923 8496 13 117 9 108 14 069 13 055 8496 7227 10 116 9 109 13 066 13 056 7227 6101 6 120 7 105 11 056 14 051 6101 5104 6 137 6 098 11 041 15 042 5104 4227 6 132 4 079 10*026 15 022 4227 3454 5 112 5*064 10*018 15 008 3454 2763 5 093 5*058 10 016 12 359 2763 2152 6 075 6 055 9 015 10 349 2152 1644 8*058 6 054 9 013 9 339 1644 1253 9*055 5 052 8 013 8 329 1253 984 8 055 5 052 8 012 7 320 984 822 7 055 5 052 7 012 5*311 822 729 6 055 4 051 5 011 3*305 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography