DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 78.5 - - 76.9 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 393 - - 223 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 800 - - 1222 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 944 - - 1380 - - 1116 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1513 - - 1936 - - 1784 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 372 - - 462 - - 396 - - 688 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 318 - - 252 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 275 - - 282 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1094 - - -3208 - - -3445 - - -1803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2607 - - 5144 - - 5229 - - 2533 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9192 - - -9010 - - -9905 - - -10899 ODpotential blCL - - - 10705 - - 10946 - - 11689 - - 11629 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 62 - - 57 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 78.5 - - 76.9 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.9 - - 58.7 - - 56.8 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 76.2 - - 75.3 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 56.4 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 393 - - 223 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 800 - - 1222 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99196 25 105 19 108 17 113 26 092 99196 91763 22 114 20 110 15 123 22 091 91763 86011 22 105 19 112 18 105 17 105 86011 81240 18 097 16 107 16 097 16 106 81240 77132 15 112 14 096 15 103 14 108 77132 73502 17 108 12 124 10 109 11 093 73502 70206 13 092 11 128 6 140 4 083 70206 67177 9 115 10 131 8 144 2 198 67177 64376 6 131 3 144 5 146 4 141 64376 61665 10 223 4 202 3 173 4 173 61665 58848 18 220 19 227 19 252 8 254 58848 55934 20 213 27 220 32 235 26 252 55934 53162 25 228 29 228 35 230 35 241 53162 50686 39 242 43 245 44 246 45 248 50686 48484 50 242 53 245 54 248 53 249 48484 46484 54 243 54 246 58 248 54 248 46484 44641 54 241 53 245 57 246 55 247 44641 42935 52 238 53 240 55 242 56 245 42935 41349 51 239 51 235 53 237 56 239 41349 39874 48 240 50 232 52 233 53 235 39874 38494 45 240 46 233 50 234 52 236 38494 37157 43 239 44 235 48 235 49 235 37157 35789 43 236 44 235 45 235 47 232 35789 34364 44 231 44 234 42 237 45 231 34364 32886 43 229 44 233 40 236 42 230 32886 31338 41 228 43 231 40 233 40 229 31338 29711 41 227 41 229 40 230 38 228 29711 28006 38 228 41 230 38 230 35 230 28006 26219 35 229 36 231 33 233 29 231 26219 24350 32 228 30 230 27 229 24 222 24350 22398 30 225 28 226 26 223 25 214 22398 20361 31 227 29 227 26 226 24 220 20361 18237 31 227 29 227 27 229 23 226 18237 16075 32 224 32 225 31 227 28 226 16075 13992 33 223 32 222 32 224 31 225 13992 12092 33 225 31 223 30 222 29 223 12092 10399 30 228 28 224 27 222 26 222 10399 8893 23 224 23 219 23 218 22 219 8893 7551 17 211 20 209 20 211 20 212 7551 6359 15 202 18 205 18 210 19 210 6359 5303 13 206 15 210 15 217 17 218 5303 4375 10 219 12 220 12 228 15 232 4375 3558 8 235 10 236 10 246 13 252 3558 2831 7 243 8 257 9 274 12 267 2831 2193 8 274 9*274 10*286 13 280 2193 1666 8*276 10*276 11*285 14 282 1666 1265 8*272 10 276 11 282 12 275 1265 991 8 270 10 274 11 281 11 271 991 824 7 268 10 275 10 280 9*268 824 730 6 268 8 274 8 279 6*266 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography