DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 65.3 - - 70.7 - - 63.5 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 108 - - 180 - - 51 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 839 - - 2528 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 2074 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1552 - - 3242 - - 1725 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 190 - - 1349 - - 1986 - - 916 - - 745 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 185 - - 314 - - 152 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 124 - - 255 - - 289 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 6 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2932 - - -4335 - - -3720 - - -1812 - - -403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3661 - - 5887 - - 6963 - - 3537 - - 1132 sfcLCL ODpotential -14075 - - -12655 - - -10393 - - -7946 - - -8245 ODpotential blCL 14804 - - 14207 - - 13635 - - 9671 - - 8974 blCL maxRH 46 - - 44 - - 88 - - 67 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 65.3 - - 70.7 - - 63.5 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 42.4 - - 42.9 - - 50.7 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 64.5 - - 69.5 - - 63.3 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 41.8 - - 42.3 - - 50.3 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 108 - - 180 - - 51 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 839 - - 2528 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 52 - - 0 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97317 10 234 5 223 9 311 2 232 12 268 97317 90041 8 110 6 141 2 034 2 053 3 331 90041 84437 14 068 6 113 6 136 5 289 10 343 84437 79804 10 020 1 154 3 115 5 324 6 009 79804 75834 4 025 1 250 3 315 9 340 9 044 75834 72320 9 319 3 189 7 257 8 280 7 358 72320 69117 10 258 4 259 8 244 10 231 7 273 69117 66162 8 261 5 246 7 231 11 206 11 242 66162 63417 11 285 9 244 10 238 9 219 12 239 63417 60741 12 283 12 242 12 234 13 234 15 242 60741 57928 14 282 11 262 9 236 16 227 19 236 57928 54998 20 263 14 263 15 262 17 246 17 245 54998 52194 22 246 19 250 22 260 21 258 20 267 52194 49665 20 241 18 235 23 245 26 252 26 261 49665 47406 19 245 19 225 23 239 28 248 29 264 47406 45371 19 249 20 237 23 251 27 263 26 267 45371 43525 19 256 23 249 28 269 31 279 25 283 43525 41845 22 264 27 255 33 270 34 286 37 296 41845 40300 26 264 29 257 34 266 36 289 41 292 40300 38859 26 264 30 261 33 265 36 287 39 292 38859 37499 26 267 35 261 34 264 35 286 41 289 37499 36184 25 275 35 257 37 261 34 283 42 287 36184 34850 23 285 32 257 38 258 32 276 44 284 34850 33465 24 284 29 257 38 258 33 267 45 283 33465 32026 25 270 28 257 37 257 35 266 41 280 32026 30517 26 262 29 257 36 254 39 266 34 267 30517 28933 24 258 28 258 34 252 40 263 36 265 28933 27276 20 258 27 258 31 252 36 260 39 265 27276 25539 17 267 27 257 29 253 33 258 37 268 25539 23724 18 276 25 261 28 254 32 258 34 263 23724 21834 16 280 22 264 27 255 30 250 31 260 21834 19860 14 288 18 261 23 254 28 244 30 259 19860 17792 12 298 15 273 20 254 24 241 29 258 17792 15674 10 299 14 279 16 258 21 249 28 263 15674 13626 10 282 14 282 14 261 18 260 23 274 13626 11762 10 275 11 282 11 256 16 260 17 274 11762 10105 7 276 7 266 11 248 16 259 14 266 10105 8636 5 265 6 236 12 241 13 254 13 258 8636 7334 5 229 8 206 13 218 11 228 13 236 7334 6181 6 203 10 195 14 201 13 202 15 218 6181 5165 6 198 9 191 12 193 12 187 17 202 5165 4272 5 199 8 190 8 199 9 186 18 190 4272 3485 5 206 7 188 5*218 5 200 15 187 3485 2782 6 213 5 179 4*234 3 251 11 190 2782 2162 6 226 3 171 4 252 7*291 9 207 2162 1648 5 251 2*140 5 259 9*291 9 236 1648 1255 4 278 1*125 5 260 9 289 9 254 1255 986 3 294 1 123 5 262 9 289 8 262 986 822 1*328 1 124 5 261 8 288 6*264 822 729 2*038 1 126 4 261 6 287 4*270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography