DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 56.2 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 43 - - 98 - - 4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 680 - - 1521 - - 1187 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1393 - - 2234 - - 1900 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 842 - - 1541 - - 1134 - - 1129 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 130 - - 223 - - 89 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 112 - - 057 - - 053 - - 008 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -643 - - -1009 - - -1193 - - -1028 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1372 - - 2402 - - 3427 - - 2928 - - 900 sfcLCL ODpotential -5103 - - -5324 - - -5986 - - -5071 - - -6119 ODpotential blCL 5831 - - 6717 - - 8220 - - 6971 - - 6847 blCL maxRH 89 - - 76 - - 80 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 56.2 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.4 - - 48.7 - - 48.0 - - 49.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.9 - - 55.9 - - 59.3 - - 59.2 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 47.8 - - 46.7 - - 48.1 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 43 - - 98 - - 4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 680 - - 1521 - - 1187 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 2 - - 19 - - 20 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95835 43 312 51 311 50 296 60 318 50 302 95835 88841 40 325 35 321 35 313 38 315 41 309 88841 83419 37 325 24 332 25 317 30 314 32 313 83419 78900 26 326 19 316 21 319 29 318 26 324 78900 74998 21 342 21 310 26 321 27 334 20 337 74998 71548 28 330 24 312 30 325 26 332 19 323 71548 68422 26 307 24 305 35 316 28 320 17 308 68422 65537 15 298 23 294 32 302 26 309 19 296 65537 62847 20 296 19 297 29 300 27 309 21 301 62847 60235 25 286 32 305 33 297 39 301 30 310 60235 57512 38 294 39 299 37 284 45 280 41 284 57512 54678 49 287 40 287 34 278 38 259 38 266 54678 51942 43 281 32 282 29 287 28 284 31 284 51942 49456 35 290 35 307 41 302 41 300 41 292 49456 47224 45 305 51 308 50 293 48 291 46 293 47224 45199 54 298 58 295 51 284 48 287 49 291 45199 43340 58 291 59 280 51 282 45 288 47 288 43340 41624 57 281 50 269 53 276 44 284 44 289 41624 40034 51 266 38 263 52 270 43 278 44 293 40034 38559 39 260 36 267 48 271 40 280 43 295 38559 37191 38 294 39 277 45 274 38 288 43 294 37191 35887 42 301 38 277 44 273 40 288 41 293 35887 34570 42 297 34 284 46 274 46 280 36 302 34570 33206 41 292 45 296 50 273 52 275 34 313 33206 31794 36 304 47 298 45 274 46 270 33 317 31794 30316 36 313 47 292 39 269 42 269 32 319 30316 28758 35 307 42 284 35 271 39 276 31 318 28758 27117 36 296 37 276 39 273 33 281 30 316 27117 25393 38 288 41 275 44 276 33 288 28 314 25393 23586 39 291 44 280 42 276 31 294 27 311 23586 21697 38 300 37 280 38 278 29 294 26 309 21697 19726 34 309 28 286 35 277 28 286 25 307 19726 17666 24 304 23 291 31 277 28 286 25 310 17666 15560 23 290 24 291 28 289 29 298 25 313 15560 13526 24 288 25 300 27 305 28 306 25 312 13526 11675 23 290 23 308 26 317 24 314 24 311 11675 10031 22 295 21 312 21 325 19 329 24 324 10031 8572 20 305 17 319 17 334 16 351 16 341 8572 7278 16 319 13 329 15 344 11 011 7 005 7278 6131 12 331 9 337 12 354 9 024 5 029 6131 5120 10 346 7 353 10 005 8 029 5 013 5120 4233 8 358 6 025 8 015 7 023 7 005 4233 3454 6 354 7 047 6 035 6 012 10 003 3454 2760 4 335 7 062 7*052 6 008 12 002 2760 2148 2 324 8 063 7*053 6*007 12 005 2148 1639 1 320 8*059 7 053 6*008 11 017 1639 1250 1 324 7*057 7 053 6 008 11 030 1250 983 1 316 5 057 7 054 6 008 10 038 983 821 1 148 4 058 6 054 5 007 7 041 821 728 2*112 4 058 5 055 4 005 4*045 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography