DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.1 - - 53.0 - - 62.2 - - 56.8 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -68 - - 0 - - 36 - - -18 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 729 - - 1031 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 321 - - 557 - - 473 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 20 - - 101 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 069 - - 068 - - 059 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - -3 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1309 - - -2655 - - -2732 - - -2015 - - -2545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2037 - - 3384 - - 3763 - - 2744 - - 3273 sfcLCL ODpotential -14863 - - -13828 - - -11031 - - -11926 - - -15369 ODpotential blCL 15591 - - 14557 - - 12062 - - 12655 - - 16097 blCL maxRH 56 - - 57 - - 59 - - 62 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.1 - - 53.0 - - 62.2 - - 56.8 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.4 - - 41.4 - - 48.8 - - 47.7 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 53.1 - - 61.8 - - 57.7 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 40.2 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -68 - - 0 - - 36 - - -18 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 42 062 30 088 28 064 28 079 38 084 96358 89464 46 085 45 094 27 091 29 084 34 084 89464 84110 48 092 48 100 32 107 34 089 34 080 84110 79601 44 100 40 097 35 103 34 098 33 086 79601 75653 36 100 31 097 31 103 27 100 29 091 75653 72134 25 092 26 086 25 091 19 091 23 097 72134 68938 18 085 18 068 24 064 23 078 28 075 68938 66015 20 066 9 082 12 053 13 049 23 055 66015 63334 25 072 12 086 4 097 3 334 12 040 63334 60739 28 027 29 052 19 073 8 057 6 028 60739 58028 20 025 28 029 24 042 18 053 10 046 58028 55225 21 039 27 016 30 024 37 038 28 064 55225 52569 35 023 37 009 35 003 43 006 45 020 52569 50185 40 005 34 003 26 007 40 348 45 360 50185 48019 30 356 26 013 20 018 34 004 39 003 48019 46021 19 003 23 034 26 041 35 023 33 029 46021 44174 30 051 36 045 38 050 39 051 32 051 44174 42463 57 047 55 046 51 054 47 070 37 086 42463 40875 72 041 72 046 67 060 53 081 52 092 40875 39399 69 037 66 048 67 063 53 082 59 092 39399 38021 44 045 46 049 54 056 49 084 60 093 38021 36697 40 099 38 079 39 067 43 092 56 097 36697 35352 65 109 50 108 42 101 41 098 52 106 35352 33957 65 108 55 113 46 111 45 095 50 113 33957 32512 49 102 53 111 44 107 49 098 48 122 32512 30998 44 100 43 106 43 100 47 106 42 126 30998 29403 41 100 35 097 40 098 45 112 38 124 29403 27725 34 090 36 089 38 098 41 113 38 123 27725 25961 33 081 39 084 38 098 37 115 35 119 25961 24113 33 076 41 085 38 101 34 117 33 112 24113 22185 30 077 38 092 37 110 30 118 30 115 22185 20170 23 091 32 101 32 119 25 128 25 124 20170 18064 19 108 24 105 23 119 20 125 16 116 18064 15911 17 107 21 118 19 117 16 110 16 096 15911 13831 16 104 20 123 17 130 13 116 12 099 13831 11936 15 114 18 129 15 143 12 137 5 111 11936 10251 14 131 13 144 10 150 7 146 1 076 10251 8757 10 149 9 163 6 175 2 148 4 029 8757 7431 6 163 7 178 4 205 1 252 8 003 7431 6256 5 182 6 199 4 228 3 284 12 349 6256 5218 6 193 5 223 4 246 5 292 14 346 5218 4306 5 202 6 242 4 266 6 303 14 345 4306 3506 5 213 5 249 5 283 6 320 13 348 3506 2793 2 210 2 243 3 289 5 345 12 359 2793 2167 2 118 2 109 0 201 4 038 13 024 2167 1649 7 086 7 091 3 097 7 062 14 042 1649 1253 14 080 11 083 5*074 12 062 15 053 1253 983 16 078 12 073 5*069 11 059 13 062 983 821 13*075 9*070 4 067 9*059 10 061 821 728 7*072 6*069 3 067 6*059 6*059 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography