DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.3 - - 20.9 - - 12.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1942 - - 1962 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1775 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3142 - - 3162 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 828 - - 730 - - 1612 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 237 - - 148 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 308 - - 308 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1144 - - 946 - - -727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1998 - - 2216 - - 1957 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 677 - - 507 - - -7588 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2465 - - 2655 - - 8818 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.3 - - 20.9 - - 12.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 18.1 - - 15.8 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.1 - - 21.0 - - 15.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 17.1 - - 15.2 - - 11.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1942 - - 1962 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 96 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95657 23 346 17 328 25 350 95657 88883 16 295 18 306 22 325 88883 83504 20 320 19 296 18 314 83504 78937 19 296 24 293 20 303 78937 74942 16 283 22 277 21 288 74942 71377 11 291 18 264 19 278 71377 68110 17 285 18 270 20 271 68110 65080 20 272 19 275 20 266 65080 62254 20 269 20 273 20 267 62254 59498 25 274 22 266 23 259 59498 56596 27 274 23 260 24 257 56596 53559 28 272 24 269 25 262 53559 50648 32 272 28 281 27 270 50648 48027 35 269 34 280 30 276 48027 45684 34 262 37 274 31 278 45684 43569 32 261 37 268 30 277 43569 41642 30 266 35 268 29 276 41642 39870 30 277 33 268 28 275 39870 38231 32 285 32 267 28 276 38231 36706 34 287 32 264 28 278 36706 35285 35 288 30 264 30 279 35285 33930 34 288 28 268 31 276 33930 32576 29 284 27 274 29 273 32576 31201 21 282 26 272 23 273 31201 29813 16 275 22 263 20 274 29813 28395 14 264 18 280 21 259 28395 26924 13 278 19 295 16 269 26924 25388 19 303 20 298 18 286 25388 23781 24 313 20 301 22 289 23781 22104 26 319 21 303 22 293 22104 20363 29 322 22 310 22 296 20363 18551 31 326 23 321 20 304 18551 16662 30 331 24 327 21 316 16662 14738 29 336 23 333 22 321 14738 12888 28 340 23 341 20 326 12888 11207 27 348 22 354 17 340 11207 9714 26 352 24 003 21 356 9714 8388 24 354 24 005 25 003 8388 7211 24 356 24 003 28 006 7211 6165 26 351 24 359 28 006 6165 5241 27 341 25 348 26 000 5241 4430 26 327 26 329 26 349 4430 3718 23*315 25*314 27 332 3718 3085 20*309 22*309 29 319 3085 2529 19 309 20 308 27 314 2529 2065 18 308 19 308 23 314 2065 1709 17 308 17 308 19 314 1709 1464 15 308 15 308 14 314 1464 1315 13 308 12 308 10 313 1315 1230 8 308 8 308 4*312 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography