DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 46.2 - - 45.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 73 - - -22 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1928 - - 1790 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3128 - - 2990 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1577 - - 1728 - - 2757 - - 2050 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 212 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 218 - - 213 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 747 - - 99 - - -871 - - -57 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2381 - - 2891 - - 2104 - - 1289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 300 - - -1126 - - -2412 - - -1595 ODpotential blCL - - - 2828 - - 4116 - - 3645 - - 2827 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 87 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 46.2 - - 45.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 37.7 - - 40.8 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 46.1 - - 47.3 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 37.0 - - 40.4 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 73 - - -22 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1928 - - 1790 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 48 - - 93 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95797 69 254 78 249 76 252 70 251 95797 88759 40 262 40 251 51 259 42 260 88759 83358 23 262 22 257 36 262 27 281 83358 78844 16 273 22 267 28 264 24 274 78844 74897 22 268 23 269 22 271 19 281 74897 71363 19 253 17 262 23 268 31 275 71363 68147 14 262 18 255 26 253 36 262 68147 65185 24 253 20 254 19 232 31 250 65185 62420 26 241 16 277 18 275 19 237 62420 59711 26 250 35 278 24 283 28 261 59711 56874 36 251 43 253 31 267 41 265 56874 53932 37 250 41 244 47 261 43 263 53932 51117 35 254 42 250 52 263 41 267 51117 48580 42 264 46 261 51 266 52 281 48580 46309 51 260 53 262 59 266 63 276 46309 44253 53 258 55 256 66 260 70 265 44253 42373 55 264 52 255 67 257 70 261 42373 40636 63 264 59 262 68 261 67 262 40636 39019 66 262 70 263 72 265 67 265 39019 37506 68 263 78 261 77 267 68 268 37506 36089 74 264 82 259 83 267 70 270 36089 34730 79 261 84 257 89 264 77 271 34730 33360 77 257 85 257 89 262 79 271 33360 31952 72 254 88 258 93 266 76 272 31952 30513 69 253 92 258 104 269 76 274 30513 29031 69 252 93 257 109 268 79 275 29031 27499 68 250 91 256 106 269 80 274 27499 25918 67 251 92 256 96 270 79 273 25918 24286 66 252 91 252 81 269 73 272 24286 22598 65 251 88 248 69 270 66 273 22598 20850 65 251 83 246 62 273 61 274 20850 19029 65 253 73 249 55 276 58 274 19029 17128 64 256 62 252 50 277 54 274 17128 15184 57 258 54 254 49 274 53 275 15184 13304 49 256 49 260 49 273 53 277 13304 11588 44 254 48 268 44 271 52 277 11588 10060 42 254 46 272 41 270 45 277 10060 8703 39 257 42 274 40 270 42 277 8703 7495 35 261 40 272 40 270 42 278 7495 6420 33 263 37 266 38 268 42 277 6420 5466 29 261 33 259 36 265 41 276 5466 4623 25 259 29 252 33 261 39 273 4623 3878 21 253 25 244 30 256 36 271 3878 3209 17*247 21*234 28 248 31 266 3209 2618 14*242 16*224 26 241 27 260 2618 2123 12 241 14 218 23 233 22 253 2123 1743 11 240 12 216 18 229 18 247 1743 1482 9 239 11 215 13 224 13 242 1482 1323 8 238 9 214 10*220 10 238 1323 1232 5 237 7 212 5*213 4*228 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography