DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 55.5 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - -12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1872 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3072 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 764 - - 1969 - - 786 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 218 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 178 - - 187 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4219 - - -3343 - - -1245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7291 - - 4576 - - 2477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14383 - - -10314 - - -11464 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17455 - - 11547 - - 12696 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 55.5 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.5 - - 40.1 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.4 - - 57.0 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.4 - - 39.2 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - -12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1872 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97249 29 260 30 272 32 262 97249 90102 21 259 34 261 30 267 90102 84541 15 284 28 250 33 275 84541 79891 29 286 27 269 32 278 79891 75869 33 267 36 292 33 277 75869 72326 25 261 34 284 33 270 72326 69139 22 273 27 277 31 267 69139 66210 27 277 31 275 32 276 66210 63485 31 272 37 273 36 277 63485 60841 35 279 39 281 43 284 60841 58085 44 278 46 272 51 283 58085 55251 53 277 54 269 58 264 55251 52578 66 264 63 268 58 261 52578 50177 72 256 70 254 64 261 50177 48017 83 251 71 244 71 256 48017 46049 88 251 74 245 75 249 46049 44240 97 251 88 245 81 242 44240 42566 105 247 101 244 95 239 42566 41002 108 243 111 240 106 234 41002 39530 104 240 113 237 115 229 39530 38135 96 240 115 236 113 229 38135 36780 92 241 107 236 104 229 36780 35402 89 240 94 233 97 229 35402 33974 85 237 89 229 87 229 33974 32499 79 237 83 231 79 225 32499 30960 69 244 74 231 69 221 30960 29340 62 250 60 234 65 227 29340 27639 60 246 45 247 58 228 27639 25860 57 239 41 254 51 229 25860 24008 51 236 47 265 45 239 24008 22091 35 265 46 272 30 253 22091 20105 18 259 22 261 22 258 20105 18040 19 225 21 231 16 246 18040 15936 19 198 28 231 18 244 15936 13908 16 171 26 231 20 259 13908 12066 15 190 12 220 19 271 12066 10433 17 196 15 239 13 245 10433 8986 22 201 22 215 12 221 8986 7707 26 205 28 192 15 233 7707 6578 26 208 25 178 21 225 6578 5583 24 213 17 181 27 210 5583 4708 21 213 14 193 29 201 4708 3937 19 207 15 198 28 201 3937 3248 15*196 16 201 26 203 3248 2641 11*181 15 198 22 198 2641 2136 10 179 13 192 19 184 2136 1750 10 177 11 190 16 173 1750 1485 9 177 9 188 11 164 1485 1324 8 175 7*188 7 158 1324 1232 6 174 4*187 3*144 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography