DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 64.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -19 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3358 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2934 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4558 - - 1234 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1099 - - 4098 - - 470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 302 - - 23 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 035 - - 025 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1924 - - -4709 - - -3060 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6482 - - 5943 - - 4293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10555 - - -12135 - - -11630 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15113 - - 13369 - - 12863 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 41 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 64.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.1 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.4 - - 42.2 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -19 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3358 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98436 9 236 10 336 12 315 98436 91108 5 214 8 304 11 303 91108 85420 6 268 11 301 8 329 85420 80683 5 289 12 297 11 332 80683 76601 0 241 10 282 14 335 76601 72997 4 020 5 241 10 321 72997 69738 8 360 1 201 7 304 69738 66749 9 347 2 360 6 307 66749 63982 7 305 4 333 7 340 63982 61294 4 227 5 279 10 326 61294 58485 6 246 7 240 8 265 58485 55580 10 242 10 244 9 230 55580 52819 13 217 13 225 13 213 52819 50341 18 211 15 214 16 209 50341 48120 22 194 19 204 16 206 48120 46103 21 178 22 187 16 210 46103 44249 29 178 25 179 19 205 44249 42530 34 172 27 170 20 194 42530 40927 35 161 25 163 20 187 40927 39424 34 164 20 156 20 174 39424 38009 39 166 16 154 15 149 38009 36648 34 160 14 147 11 114 36648 35273 21 141 11 091 13 087 35273 33853 15 114 19 044 19 070 33853 32388 12 104 27 033 22 065 32388 30863 15 074 27 033 31 073 30863 29264 21 069 25 044 23 064 29264 27590 22 081 26 062 17 053 27590 25836 21 089 26 079 16 049 25836 24005 22 089 25 092 15 045 24005 22101 23 090 26 090 17 044 22101 20122 21 091 26 087 21 046 20122 18064 22 077 27 082 23 049 18064 15967 26 068 26 058 25 051 15967 13947 26 063 25 052 27 055 13947 12110 23 058 26 051 26 058 12110 10483 22 057 27 055 24 064 10483 9041 20 055 26 059 22 068 9041 7762 20 052 24 063 22 065 7762 6630 23 052 25 060 25 061 6630 5633 25 050 28 052 29 056 5633 4756 22*042 27 041 29 052 4756 3982 20*035 25 035 28 050 3982 3287 19 035 24 034 26 048 3287 2672 18 034 22 034 23 042 2672 2158 17 034 20 033 22 035 2158 1763 16 034 17 032 18 026 1763 1492 15 034 13 030 13 017 1492 1327 13 034 10*028 8 013 1327 1233 9 033 6*025 4*007 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography