DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 5.7 - - 9.7 - - 8.7 - - 1.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 146 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 1878 - - 1477 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1604 - - 1997 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2677 - - 3078 - - 2677 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 699 - - 801 - - 1399 - - 2131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 265 - - 36 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 303 - - 291 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -149 - - -23 - - -156 - - -1036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2826 - - 3101 - - 2833 - - 2265 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4507 - - -2813 - - -1976 - - -9480 ODpotential blCL - - - 7184 - - 5891 - - 4653 - - 10709 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 78 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 5.7 - - 9.7 - - 8.7 - - 1.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.9 - - 0.7 - - 1.0 - - -3.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 5.3 - - 9.2 - - 9.0 - - 6.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.9 - - -0.2 - - 0.7 - - 0.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 146 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 1878 - - 1477 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 12 - - 36 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95826 12 192 15 271 9 264 6 248 95826 88548 6 176 11 228 15 236 16 244 88548 82905 12 252 9 211 16 232 19 236 82905 78208 31 236 23 241 26 254 27 266 78208 74144 25 249 30 238 33 248 37 252 74144 70537 32 246 35 246 36 256 44 251 70537 67261 37 247 46 248 53 255 56 250 67261 64246 50 250 60 243 61 245 62 244 64246 61441 60 246 61 241 60 241 64 242 61441 58708 65 246 65 247 64 246 64 242 58708 55840 79 251 73 249 69 249 69 244 55840 52858 91 252 78 248 76 250 77 248 52858 50023 93 250 84 248 86 250 86 249 50023 47484 96 248 91 247 95 249 92 247 47484 45213 98 246 95 247 101 247 91 247 45213 43155 98 246 97 247 100 245 90 249 43155 41277 99 247 99 248 99 244 89 249 41277 39549 102 249 98 249 98 246 90 249 39549 37949 103 249 97 251 96 248 91 250 37949 36462 104 250 96 252 91 248 90 250 36462 35074 107 249 97 252 84 249 88 249 35074 33747 110 249 100 251 81 252 84 249 33747 32417 109 249 99 251 84 252 80 251 32417 31060 105 250 97 251 87 250 78 252 31060 29677 101 252 95 253 88 250 77 251 29677 28252 99 255 93 256 86 253 75 253 28252 26770 96 257 92 258 83 256 75 257 26770 25230 93 260 91 259 84 258 76 260 25230 23625 94 262 88 261 84 258 74 261 23625 21949 94 265 85 264 82 259 71 262 21949 20204 92 267 81 265 78 264 69 266 20204 18384 88 271 77 268 73 270 66 272 18384 16487 86 280 74 274 68 276 61 278 16487 14554 80 285 69 281 62 283 55 285 14554 12697 69 291 62 289 55 289 50 291 12697 11016 59 298 53 296 47 294 45 295 11016 9533 48 306 43 302 39 300 38 296 9533 8225 40 316 35 308 33 300 31 297 8225 7070 37 324 30 313 28 298 28 298 7070 6049 36 328 28 318 26 296 26 296 6049 5149 34 329 27 318 24 295 24 292 5149 4360 31 328 26 316 22 292 22 288 4360 3666 28 324 23*312 19 289 19 283 3666 3048 22*316 17*306 16*288 16 282 3048 2504 16*308 15 303 13*289 14 286 2504 2049 15 306 14 303 11 290 11 293 2049 1699 14 306 13 302 10 291 8 302 1699 1459 12 306 12 302 9 292 5 305 1459 1313 10 305 10 302 7 292 2 303 1313 1229 7 306 7 303 5 292 0*206 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography