DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 13.8 - - 13.1 - - 5.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1492 - - 1357 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1517 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2692 - - 2557 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 552 - - 699 - - 1300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 228 - - 150 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 343 - - 331 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 832 - - 588 - - -672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1860 - - 1969 - - 1901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 412 - - 129 - - -11398 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2280 - - 2428 - - 12627 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 13.8 - - 13.1 - - 5.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 10.2 - - 9.0 - - 1.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 13.4 - - 13.1 - - 6.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 9.2 - - 8.6 - - 2.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1492 - - 1357 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 62 210 64 213 64 220 96248 88800 79 219 79 216 74 218 88800 83069 77 220 75 221 72 222 83069 78341 70 215 68 228 60 223 78341 74252 65 218 64 229 57 229 74252 70609 61 223 61 234 56 235 70609 67299 55 226 59 236 54 239 67299 64269 50 227 54 235 49 239 64269 61472 48 227 46 232 44 234 61472 58755 46 229 42 231 42 226 58755 55910 45 232 41 230 41 224 55910 52945 47 235 40 227 38 228 52945 50108 48 232 39 228 35 235 50108 47558 44 227 39 231 31 238 47558 45278 38 224 36 234 28 238 45278 43212 32 219 32 234 25 240 43212 41325 29 216 29 230 26 236 41325 39596 27 214 28 225 29 231 39596 38005 25 212 26 222 29 226 38005 36529 24 208 25 221 26 223 36529 35152 24 205 23 207 21 226 35152 33837 33 190 29 193 24 228 33837 32527 40 170 38 167 39 189 32527 31196 39 197 32 198 40 183 31196 29840 47 208 39 201 39 201 29840 28432 50 202 42 195 54 210 28432 26951 48 195 42 195 50 207 26951 25399 48 195 41 206 45 210 25399 23779 46 201 39 214 43 208 23779 22090 52 228 43 221 41 211 22090 20335 25 237 27 217 24 217 20335 18515 10 152 18 155 14 207 18515 16626 10 154 14 176 4 262 16626 14708 2 018 9 021 14 025 14708 12862 13 024 19 020 16 028 12862 11181 16 037 22 024 17 022 11181 9684 17 038 23 021 18 020 9684 8353 19 030 24 020 20 018 8353 7172 22 024 25 021 22 013 7172 6125 24 025 25 022 24 009 6125 5200 25 026 26 020 26 006 5200 4388 27 023 28 013 30 360 4388 3678 26 016 28 360 33 353 3678 3051 21*004 25*349 34 343 3051 2503 16*346 21*336 32 333 2503 2047 15 344 20 331 26 328 2047 1699 14 342 18 329 20 324 1699 1459 13 341 16 328 15 321 1459 1313 11 341 13 327 12 319 1313 1229 8 340 9 326 5*317 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography