DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 48.4 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - -48 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 555 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1755 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 629 - - 738 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 106 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 184 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 8 - - -325 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1747 - - 1558 - - 1232 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8139 - - -8065 - - -8767 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9894 - - 9298 - - 9999 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 83 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 120 - - 290 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 48.4 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.7 - - 45.7 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.6 - - 50.5 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - -48 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 555 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 60 - - 34 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95460 34 237 42 250 51 241 95460 88362 37 241 33 247 44 248 88362 82935 44 239 46 251 47 248 82935 78463 44 246 50 241 46 247 78463 74611 52 254 51 243 57 252 74611 71207 58 256 57 247 63 248 71207 68128 62 254 63 253 65 249 68128 65299 60 255 64 260 65 252 65299 62663 66 262 70 263 62 256 62663 60085 75 261 74 264 67 258 60085 57364 76 260 76 263 75 257 57364 54517 82 261 78 259 80 256 54517 51788 84 258 80 260 85 258 51788 49324 81 257 86 259 88 255 49324 47104 80 262 84 256 87 248 47104 45085 81 267 77 258 80 244 45085 43236 76 267 77 264 70 248 43236 41551 64 260 79 263 72 259 41551 40020 49 249 75 255 80 260 40020 38608 42 246 63 241 75 253 38608 37278 41 243 61 240 65 252 37278 35985 43 244 61 246 64 247 35985 34665 45 247 58 246 68 243 34665 33291 49 248 57 248 66 241 33291 31865 56 244 58 251 65 238 31865 30372 62 239 57 252 65 238 30372 28801 62 239 56 249 68 242 28801 27153 59 241 55 244 73 244 27153 25429 57 244 54 241 76 242 25429 23634 57 246 53 241 74 240 23634 21772 56 247 55 244 69 240 21772 19838 56 247 59 245 66 240 19838 17825 56 247 61 243 62 240 17825 15773 55 248 60 237 60 239 15773 13798 52 248 60 233 59 240 13798 12002 50 249 61 233 60 242 12002 10407 49 251 61 236 60 241 10407 8991 50 252 57 239 59 239 8991 7730 49 252 52 240 56 236 7730 6607 46 251 49 240 51 234 6607 5610 44 248 47 238 48 234 5610 4729 41 242 47 235 49 233 4729 3949 40 233 48 232 53 231 3949 3252 39 222 48 226 54 226 3252 2640 35 210 44 215 48 216 2640 2134 27*202 36 204 38 204 2134 1748 21*194 26 196 28 195 1748 1484 17 189 19 190 20 185 1484 1324 14 187 15*187 15 179 1324 1232 9 184 8*184 7*171 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography