DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 33.5 - - 32.2 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 18 - - -28 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 889 - - 2068 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2089 - - 3268 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2013 - - 951 - - 2109 - - 1059 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 146 - - 13 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 210 - - 158 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 96 - - 1073 - - -350 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1993 - - 2195 - - 1581 - - 1403 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1038 - - 366 - - -1419 - - -5644 ODpotential blCL - - - 3127 - - 2902 - - 2650 - - 6875 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 98 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 33.5 - - 32.2 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 28.3 - - 29.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 - - 33.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 27.4 - - 29.3 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 18 - - -28 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 889 - - 2068 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 93 - - 62 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 93756 74 260 80 278 67 284 71 288 93756 87117 67 269 69 276 71 280 73 291 87117 81924 66 271 63 274 73 276 76 288 81924 77549 65 264 60 268 67 274 74 279 77549 73747 60 259 58 262 63 271 68 270 73747 70365 57 260 59 262 62 265 62 267 70365 67265 57 264 60 264 62 263 62 266 67265 64378 58 267 62 266 64 264 61 265 64378 61669 59 266 62 266 63 262 61 266 61669 59020 62 259 62 263 60 260 58 264 59020 56238 61 253 62 256 62 259 60 259 56238 53334 56 252 62 249 66 257 63 255 53334 50554 52 255 59 249 64 255 61 252 50554 48050 52 259 58 253 63 257 58 252 48050 45802 55 261 62 256 62 256 58 254 45802 43758 58 264 64 257 63 253 64 252 43758 41888 59 266 62 257 65 247 69 245 41888 40169 58 267 56 258 66 240 69 241 40169 38588 58 271 55 263 63 240 71 240 38588 37134 57 276 61 264 62 244 69 240 37134 35789 53 287 65 262 64 243 66 241 35789 34504 58 294 64 260 70 244 71 238 34504 33211 71 289 64 261 74 243 75 235 33211 31882 73 287 60 265 75 240 75 231 31882 30513 69 292 59 264 70 237 74 227 30513 29087 71 297 60 259 64 236 72 227 29087 27587 69 301 57 256 60 236 70 229 27587 26012 59 297 53 254 57 236 68 226 26012 24362 52 290 49 254 57 237 63 220 24362 22638 47 283 45 258 57 240 62 218 22638 20844 46 274 44 262 54 240 61 220 20844 18978 46 268 45 259 49 236 58 224 18978 17040 43 266 45 258 48 232 55 227 17040 15075 39 264 45 261 50 230 52 229 15075 13192 36 262 43 264 52 230 45 232 13192 11483 35 260 39 260 48 232 42 236 11483 9962 33 256 36 253 42 236 45 233 9962 8609 32 251 34 248 37 241 46 225 8609 7406 29 247 33 244 35 245 42 219 7406 6335 25 247 32 241 33 242 39 215 6335 5387 21 252 29 237 32 233 40 215 5387 4553 20 258 27 229 32 219 43 213 4553 3818 20 257 24*221 31 203 42 205 3818 3161 20 250 21*215 28 190 41 194 3161 2582 19 238 19 212 24 179 36 184 2582 2099 17*229 17 210 21 172 30 173 2099 1729 14*224 14 208 18 167 25 167 1729 1474 11 221 12 206 14 163 19 163 1474 1320 9 219 10 206 11 161 15 162 1320 1231 6 218 7 204 6*158 7*158 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography