DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 67.4 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5064 - - 5565 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4263 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6264 - - 6765 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1513 - - 1291 - - 5370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 363 - - 181 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 27 - - 29 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 275 - - 280 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 19 - - 25 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1102 - - 1947 - - -1966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5163 - - 4819 - - 3200 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -636 - - 510 - - -2897 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6900 - - 6255 - - 4131 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 67.4 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.9 - - 50.4 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 68.3 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.7 - - 49.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5064 - - 5565 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 5 - - 88 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98846 9 230 8 276 15 275 98846 91399 6 220 9 255 12 276 91399 85638 13 228 17 240 10 249 85638 80851 11 217 18 227 13 253 80851 76722 12 243 20 233 17 240 76722 73065 3 190 11 190 13 229 73065 69755 11 232 11 262 16 230 69755 66731 24 235 14 230 10 227 66731 63920 18 242 19 254 14 276 63920 61180 28 254 31 249 29 256 61180 58357 32 251 29 261 32 259 58357 55462 39 251 43 267 43 265 55462 52711 61 248 63 255 60 259 52711 50240 71 245 73 241 74 257 50240 48019 76 247 80 240 87 250 48019 46003 81 248 90 243 99 243 46003 44162 89 249 98 246 106 239 44162 42471 100 252 103 249 108 239 42471 40898 109 252 109 252 110 242 40898 39420 111 251 115 252 109 245 39420 38019 111 252 116 249 109 251 38019 36659 111 255 113 248 112 255 36659 35273 111 257 109 252 113 255 35273 33829 112 258 108 254 113 253 33829 32330 112 258 107 251 115 251 32330 30766 108 260 107 248 114 248 30766 29129 103 260 111 255 111 248 29129 27424 96 258 107 259 109 251 27424 25651 87 252 91 255 98 255 25651 23818 85 249 82 251 82 258 23818 21924 84 249 79 252 74 259 21924 19955 80 254 76 256 71 261 19955 17906 73 259 70 261 67 265 17906 15823 66 264 64 265 61 267 15823 13818 60 266 60 268 55 268 13818 11999 57 268 57 270 51 268 11999 10388 55 270 54 273 48 271 10388 8965 51 272 48 274 44 274 8965 7711 44 272 39*276 39 274 7711 6600 34*271 36*278 35 275 6600 5614 30*273 35 278 32 278 5614 4743 30 274 32 280 28 283 4743 3972 29 274 30 281 26 292 3972 3281 28 275 29 281 24 300 3281 2669 27 276 27 282 23 303 2669 2157 25 276 25 282 21 305 2157 1764 24 276 23 282 19 307 1764 1492 22 277 20 283 15 308 1492 1328 18 277 17 283 12*307 1328 1234 12 277 10 282 7*308 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography