DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.2 - - 21.0 - - 18.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 154 - - 27 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2465 - - 1953 - - 363 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2443 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3665 - - 3153 - - 1563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 852 - - 623 - - 1742 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 296 - - 154 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 304 - - 313 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 943 - - 255 - - -589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2722 - - 2899 - - 2152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 676 - - -8972 - - -10458 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2989 - - 12125 - - 12021 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 85 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.2 - - 21.0 - - 18.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.0 - - 13.1 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.6 - - 21.1 - - 19.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.0 - - 12.4 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 154 - - 27 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2465 - - 1953 - - 363 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 39 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95682 39 001 36 355 41 356 95682 88711 23 353 24 337 28 339 88711 83263 22 336 24 338 18 350 83263 78677 15 010 24 338 27 341 78677 74676 12 356 18 331 20 321 74676 71076 12 299 16 336 22 336 71076 67768 20 238 20 252 29 271 67768 64734 21 256 18 244 22 251 64734 61920 37 262 31 270 29 269 61920 59173 49 251 44 258 43 258 59173 56289 52 246 54 248 50 254 56289 53309 55 248 60 247 58 258 53309 50506 64 250 64 246 66 253 50506 48004 69 250 63 247 67 244 48004 45755 69 250 64 253 63 247 45755 43714 69 251 69 256 67 256 43714 41859 73 253 77 257 75 258 41859 40161 77 253 81 255 80 257 40161 38594 80 251 82 254 86 257 38594 37138 78 249 81 255 92 255 37138 35777 74 248 80 258 93 254 35777 34474 69 253 81 260 93 258 34474 33169 67 261 84 262 94 261 33169 31837 71 266 91 264 98 260 31837 30470 75 268 95 263 92 258 30470 29046 76 270 93 264 76 256 29046 27553 74 273 90 267 72 257 27553 25985 69 277 84 270 71 256 25985 24341 64 283 75 270 68 253 24341 22622 59 285 67 269 64 248 22622 20835 54 287 61 269 56 248 20835 18976 49 288 54 272 50 251 18976 17036 45 288 45 278 44 247 17036 15054 42 289 39 283 34 242 15054 13142 40 291 35 285 25 242 13142 11404 37 292 32 289 19 247 11404 9862 35 294 29 293 14 255 9862 8497 32 298 27 297 12 264 8497 7288 29 301 24 300 10 271 7288 6219 28 302 22 302 9 274 6219 5277 27 304 20 306 9 274 5277 4454 21 303 17 309 9 276 4454 3735 18*302 14*308 9 280 3735 3098 18*303 12*309 10 289 3098 2538 18 303 11 312 9 297 2538 2071 17 304 11 313 8 306 2071 1713 16 304 10 315 6*314 1713 1466 15 304 9 316 5*319 1466 1316 13 304 8 316 3 324 1316 1230 9 305 5 317 1 329 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography