DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 47.6 - - 55.6 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 85 - - -13 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 937 - - 507 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1532 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2298 - - 2137 - - 1707 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 417 - - 337 - - 1035 - - 874 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 184 - - 63 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 26 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 153 - - 157 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -10 - - -9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1097 - - -611 - - -987 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3395 - - 2748 - - 2694 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11090 - - -10154 - - -7585 - - -5230 ODpotential blCL - - - 13388 - - 12291 - - 9292 - - 6463 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 89 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 50 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 47.6 - - 55.6 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 39.7 - - 47.8 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 47.5 - - 56.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 38.8 - - 47.2 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 85 - - -13 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 937 - - 507 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 55 - - 76 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 10 014 10 006 8 344 9 300 96272 89226 10 012 2 352 5 300 11 345 89226 83780 3 032 5 122 8 273 9 320 83780 79220 11 295 14 312 10 313 3 101 79220 75236 18 251 18 266 22 278 13 288 75236 71701 10 210 13 252 19 265 12 258 71701 68492 20 268 19 275 26 274 22 256 68492 65541 44 276 42 268 39 264 34 254 65541 62803 52 258 56 262 39 269 41 263 62803 60151 49 260 62 268 59 273 58 268 60151 57394 56 266 69 264 68 264 67 262 57394 54529 64 267 65 255 68 256 63 257 54529 51779 72 259 58 252 63 260 62 257 51779 49289 72 250 62 259 79 257 73 256 49289 47058 69 248 81 256 79 249 80 250 47058 45050 66 254 79 249 75 248 84 248 45050 43239 68 263 64 263 73 252 81 248 43239 41597 96 286 89 281 87 264 78 251 41597 40084 118 281 93 276 93 261 81 252 40084 38667 99 273 83 271 93 255 78 250 38667 37323 89 267 74 266 90 253 76 249 37323 36017 81 260 62 259 86 251 69 249 36017 34682 73 257 62 256 82 248 71 244 34682 33295 69 257 63 257 79 245 76 237 33295 31858 65 260 63 256 78 245 77 234 31858 30360 60 262 63 254 78 245 77 234 30360 28787 55 256 62 249 77 244 77 237 28787 27141 57 249 60 249 75 243 76 243 27141 25418 61 245 57 249 70 243 76 248 25418 23620 59 243 53 246 67 243 75 248 23620 21753 55 243 49 241 69 243 71 244 21753 19815 50 243 48 243 68 242 66 240 19815 17800 45 236 49 246 64 240 62 240 17800 15748 47 225 55 241 58 239 60 243 15748 13775 49 220 58 235 56 234 60 243 13775 11984 51 220 53 230 55 228 62 240 11984 10393 53 219 53 222 53 226 63 236 10393 8977 53 216 57 216 52 225 65 233 8977 7716 48 215 59 215 53 224 65 228 7716 6595 43 215 57 214 52 220 63 223 6595 5602 42 209 55 212 50 214 61 217 5602 4726 43 198 54 206 48 204 58 211 4726 3952 43 180 51 197 47 194 56 206 3952 3260 43 157 45 184 43 183 50 200 3260 2649 40*149 37*166 37 169 42 190 2649 2142 35*147 31*155 32 160 33 177 2142 1754 33 147 29 154 28*158 27 168 1754 1487 29 147 26 153 24*157 22 163 1487 1326 24 146 21 152 19 157 18*161 1326 1233 14 146 13 151 11 156 10*160 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography