DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 14.2 - - 21.8 - - 24.9 - - 16.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 114 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1373 - - 1415 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1858 - - 2573 - - 2615 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 769 - - 508 - - 851 - - 326 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 222 - - 106 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 056 - - 125 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1521 - - -983 - - -1051 - - -1065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3379 - - 3556 - - 3666 - - 2296 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13534 - - -11097 - - -9548 - - -10265 ODpotential blCL - - - 15392 - - 13670 - - 12163 - - 11496 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 65 - - 80 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 14.2 - - 21.8 - - 24.9 - - 16.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.1 - - 10.7 - - 13.4 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.8 - - 21.2 - - 25.2 - - 20.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.0 - - 9.7 - - 12.4 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 114 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1373 - - 1415 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 18 051 21 047 19 047 19 045 96686 89604 18 061 14 062 13 050 11 045 89604 84045 16 060 15 049 10 065 9 047 84045 79363 12 069 7 053 6 357 11 016 79363 75286 11 044 7 059 4 261 9 337 75286 71665 8 026 6 313 5 281 8 330 71665 68360 9 340 6 255 11 270 12 309 68360 65304 9 296 6 266 13 268 15 287 65304 62466 8 270 15 301 15 285 14 285 62466 59702 17 278 25 290 20 285 16 282 59702 56805 23 284 28 278 25 275 25 271 56805 53802 28 292 29 269 27 268 30 264 53802 50939 35 284 29 271 29 268 33 264 50939 48370 41 281 31 274 35 267 37 264 48370 46070 43 280 34 272 37 267 38 263 46070 43987 43 283 37 274 43 270 42 264 43987 42088 50 281 45 278 47 271 46 266 42088 40345 54 278 53 276 51 272 53 263 40345 38739 53 281 55 277 54 273 57 262 38739 37251 58 285 63 280 62 275 63 262 37251 35869 72 283 81 273 74 272 72 259 35869 34554 84 279 87 272 87 268 81 258 34554 33237 85 278 97 274 99 267 95 257 33237 31883 87 279 98 275 106 265 103 254 31883 30491 88 279 88 274 95 266 95 254 30491 29050 87 283 85 274 81 267 79 256 29050 27543 84 285 82 274 76 267 65 254 27543 25965 78 285 75 276 71 270 59 257 25965 24315 72 288 66 281 63 269 51 261 24315 22595 68 294 59 283 55 269 47 261 22595 20810 61 295 55 284 47 273 41 261 20810 18952 57 296 54 283 43 278 37 261 18952 17017 51 297 50 284 41 279 33 267 17017 15043 43 300 42 287 38 280 27 276 15043 13148 39 306 34 289 31 282 22 273 13148 11428 36 310 30 291 26 288 18 266 11428 9900 34 315 25 296 20 290 14 268 9900 8541 29 322 21 305 15 293 10 262 8541 7334 21 336 16 310 10 298 8 245 7334 6263 16 009 9 321 6 299 7 215 6263 5320 16 033 6 026 1 164 8 186 5320 4493 15 036 10 066 7 124 11 167 4493 3767 12 032 13 073 11 123 15 154 3767 3120 9 032 12*070 10*125 16 147 3120 2552 6 016 8*062 7*126 16 142 2552 2079 4*354 6 056 6 126 14 138 2079 1717 4*356 6 055 6 124 12 133 1717 1468 3 358 5 051 5 125 9 128 1468 1317 3 001 5 051 4 124 6*120 1317 1231 2 002 4 051 3 123 4*118 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography