DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.2 - - 29.2 - - 22.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1313 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2513 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1632 - - 4159 - - 1080 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 153 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 247 - - 226 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 250 - - -820 - - -437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2263 - - 2051 - - 1668 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -712 - - -1696 - - -2511 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3225 - - 2927 - - 3742 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.2 - - 29.2 - - 22.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 21.8 - - 24.7 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.3 - - 30.5 - - 26.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.9 - - 24.2 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1313 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 88 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 93687 105 235 107 239 91 235 93687 87026 91 244 88 249 82 245 87026 81882 84 248 75 253 80 249 81882 77615 69 239 66 248 75 247 77615 73889 55 240 59 239 66 248 73889 70524 46 252 55 240 61 254 70524 67418 46 259 54 252 60 259 67418 64514 49 261 59 260 60 262 64514 61783 51 256 60 258 62 266 61783 59114 53 251 56 255 64 268 59114 56322 55 252 57 256 63 262 56322 53414 60 257 59 256 58 252 53414 50614 62 257 61 256 56 251 50614 48069 61 254 65 258 58 255 48069 45772 64 253 69 258 58 258 45772 43682 66 256 71 255 59 259 43682 41767 66 254 70 252 60 258 41767 40002 62 250 68 250 61 256 40002 38371 57 252 64 252 63 255 38371 36859 59 262 62 255 66 255 36859 35454 68 267 63 260 64 255 35454 34116 76 264 67 264 60 256 34116 32774 78 260 73 263 58 260 32774 31400 72 259 77 259 59 263 31400 29995 64 262 73 258 61 263 29995 28552 60 265 64 259 60 261 28552 27060 60 265 59 261 57 259 27060 25516 59 266 58 259 53 257 25516 23915 59 269 57 258 48 259 23915 22249 59 268 56 258 46 260 22249 20515 58 267 53 259 45 260 20515 18704 55 266 50 263 44 262 18704 16813 52 266 47 268 42 266 16813 14882 51 267 46 270 41 270 14882 13020 49 268 46 272 40 271 13020 11328 46 271 45 274 39 269 11328 9823 43 273 43 274 35 270 9823 8484 40 275 40 272 30 269 8484 7295 39 278 39 269 29 270 7295 6243 40 274 39 265 32 270 6243 5314 41 268 38 260 35 264 5314 4498 39 264 35 257 36 258 4498 3778 34 260 33 253 35 251 3778 3134 29 255 30 250 33 245 3134 2564 23*251 26 246 31 239 2564 2088 18*249 22 242 25 235 2088 1722 15 248 17 239 19 232 1722 1471 13 247 13 235 12 221 1471 1318 11 246 10 233 8*208 1318 1231 7 245 5*226 4*181 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography