DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.5 - - 16.9 - - 15.5 - - 11.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 49 - - -14 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 301 - - 1108 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1501 - - 2308 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 372 - - 1017 - - 1964 - - 854 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 156 - - 10 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 170 - - 150 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1702 - - -1930 - - -1965 - - -1101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3203 - - 4238 - - 3195 - - 2331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11850 - - -9078 - - -8720 - - -10403 ODpotential blCL - - - 13351 - - 11386 - - 9950 - - 11633 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 86 - - 79 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.5 - - 16.9 - - 15.5 - - 11.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.8 - - 2.8 - - 6.0 - - 5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 16.6 - - 17.5 - - 14.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.6 - - 1.6 - - 5.1 - - 5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 49 - - -14 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 301 - - 1108 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 42 - - 16 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95332 30 221 42 231 42 235 45 224 95332 88157 30 234 41 231 38 241 42 233 88157 82580 34 247 48 243 50 250 44 239 82580 77898 36 243 51 241 50 246 48 244 77898 73844 36 245 43 236 48 244 47 250 73844 70251 39 248 43 240 50 242 49 252 70251 66982 49 255 50 249 52 245 49 254 66982 63954 58 255 57 251 56 256 55 257 63954 61131 64 253 64 255 66 259 61 258 61131 58391 69 251 73 253 69 259 68 260 58391 55537 71 246 74 249 70 259 72 258 55537 52580 68 245 69 249 69 258 70 257 52580 49760 69 247 66 254 70 258 69 259 49760 47233 69 246 66 256 72 257 71 262 47233 44984 66 246 68 255 74 258 75 264 44984 42957 66 250 70 253 73 259 78 265 42957 41108 65 250 70 253 70 260 79 262 41108 39406 60 250 68 254 69 260 78 260 39406 37828 57 255 65 255 70 259 75 260 37828 36359 59 261 64 256 71 257 72 261 36359 34988 62 263 65 256 69 254 71 262 34988 33681 61 263 66 257 66 251 70 264 33681 32372 56 266 65 257 61 251 71 265 32372 31033 55 272 60 254 60 248 73 264 31033 29663 52 274 55 247 58 242 73 263 29663 28249 50 273 58 246 58 241 68 260 28249 26779 50 273 57 249 58 245 66 254 26779 25257 47 273 54 252 56 247 61 242 25257 23676 44 275 55 253 55 249 54 233 23676 22030 45 274 55 253 54 252 51 232 22030 20313 48 269 52 253 52 256 49 235 20313 18520 48 265 48 251 48 260 46 237 18520 16646 46 266 46 252 45 258 42 236 16646 14729 42 264 45 252 42 251 40 238 14729 12878 35 263 41 249 40 245 42 240 12878 11193 30 263 35 245 38 240 43 239 11193 9694 28 261 28 241 36 239 40 235 9694 8367 25 258 24 237 34 237 34 230 8367 7191 21 257 21 234 31 232 29 227 7191 6151 16 260 20 230 28 226 29 224 6151 5234 12 268 17 227 25 222 31 222 5234 4428 10 274 14 228 22 217 32 215 4428 3718 10 272 11 231 19 209 32 205 3718 3085 11 268 10 226 17 198 30 191 3085 2527 10 260 8*210 14 186 28 174 2527 2063 8 237 6*177 12 172 26 165 2063 1707 5*200 5 170 11 165 22 160 1707 1463 3*153 4 167 9 160 15 156 1463 1315 3 149 4 165 7 155 11*154 1315 1230 2 145 3 164 4*150 5*147 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography