DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 3.6 - - 12.6 - - 13.2 - - 3.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 105 - - 7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2225 - - 2029 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 2046 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1401 - - 3425 - - 3229 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 949 - - 1523 - - 3787 - - 751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 253 - - 103 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 209 - - 208 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1251 - - 1142 - - 707 - - -797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2653 - - 2284 - - 2522 - - 2026 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9946 - - 577 - - -58 - - -2623 ODpotential blCL - - - 11347 - - 2848 - - 3287 - - 3852 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 92 - - 94 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 3.6 - - 12.6 - - 13.2 - - 3.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.5 - - 7.1 - - 6.6 - - -0.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 3.6 - - 12.2 - - 13.5 - - 7.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.2 - - 6.0 - - 5.9 - - 3.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 105 - - 7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2225 - - 2029 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 70 - - 75 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95594 129 225 124 220 141 221 158 224 95594 88324 136 233 133 223 145 233 150 231 88324 82779 126 236 134 233 127 237 127 229 82779 78181 94 228 112 230 105 233 99 225 78181 74172 73 223 90 222 88 225 84 228 74172 70586 59 233 77 222 75 221 79 235 70586 67325 56 243 76 235 72 234 81 239 67325 64326 58 243 77 244 75 246 79 241 64326 61532 57 243 73 246 75 249 74 241 61532 58802 60 243 72 244 74 246 71 242 58802 55941 65 240 78 238 75 242 74 244 55941 52966 67 237 77 234 75 239 77 241 52966 50105 70 238 70 239 71 237 75 236 50105 47512 75 237 69 244 67 242 72 239 47512 45182 74 235 70 245 68 247 72 241 45182 43066 67 241 72 245 70 248 70 241 43066 41127 68 247 70 244 70 248 68 243 41127 39337 74 250 68 245 69 249 66 244 39337 37675 81 252 72 249 70 251 66 245 37675 36129 90 252 78 251 74 251 69 246 36129 34691 97 248 81 249 79 248 72 246 34691 33320 95 244 83 246 80 245 73 244 33320 31946 86 243 82 245 76 244 69 242 31946 30540 82 245 79 247 74 246 65 241 30540 29110 84 247 78 249 77 248 61 242 29110 27649 84 248 78 250 78 248 57 243 27649 26150 82 249 78 250 74 247 53 243 26150 24605 82 249 77 250 68 247 49 243 24605 23004 83 248 74 251 64 249 47 245 23004 21344 83 247 68 248 61 250 44 247 21344 19631 78 247 62 245 58 250 39 249 19631 17867 68 246 57 242 53 248 35 249 17867 16046 56 243 51 239 48 245 33 248 16046 14197 48 244 47 237 44 245 34 251 14197 12419 43 246 40 235 38 248 33 256 12419 10811 37 248 34 232 30 250 25 263 10811 9389 29 249 32 231 23 245 17 276 9389 8130 25 254 28 229 18 239 18 284 8130 7013 26 263 24 227 17 234 19 285 7013 6020 29 270 22 228 17 228 18 281 6020 5139 28 275 21 229 17 222 17 274 5139 4362 22 280 19 226 17 218 17 265 4362 3673 16 285 15*221 16*215 18 258 3673 3056 12 286 13*216 15*212 20 252 3056 2510 9 274 11 209 13 210 20 247 2510 2052 7 246 10 207 12 207 19 243 2052 1702 6 219 9 206 11 206 16 238 1702 1460 5*197 8 205 9 204 11 231 1460 1313 4*192 7 205 8 204 7 217 1313 1229 3 188 5 204 5 203 4*203 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography