DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 30.4 - - 29.9 - - 27.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 19 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1398 - - 1469 - - 1178 - - 275 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2598 - - 2669 - - 2378 - - 1475 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1471 - - 2474 - - 2822 - - 2418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 129 - - 97 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 332 - - 319 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 850 - - 956 - - 703 - - -34 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1749 - - 1713 - - 1675 - - 1509 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 310 - - 370 - - 300 - - -537 ODpotential blCL - - - 2288 - - 2299 - - 2078 - - 2012 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 30.4 - - 29.9 - - 27.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 27.4 - - 27.1 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 30.5 - - 30.0 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.2 - - 26.7 - - 26.6 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 19 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1398 - - 1469 - - 1178 - - 275 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96332 12 213 6 231 8 220 17 229 96332 89244 7 265 9 204 12 212 15 233 89244 83755 11 245 14 215 11 228 9 212 83755 79149 16 216 15 222 14 229 11 238 79149 75148 12 198 18 212 20 228 18 235 75148 71600 13 202 18 200 19 227 19 230 71600 68362 18 226 19 218 23 227 20 251 68362 65364 26 232 26 220 27 227 30 241 65364 62578 25 230 29 214 30 220 33 217 62578 59870 31 250 28 222 26 213 30 229 59870 57036 42 241 34 237 37 237 41 234 57036 54093 47 230 47 231 45 244 50 234 54093 51268 42 226 47 234 61 237 53 233 51268 48694 49 239 64 227 62 230 55 233 48694 46365 51 232 54 227 60 237 61 236 46365 44240 54 249 66 237 68 239 64 237 44240 42289 68 248 71 237 71 240 63 243 42289 40493 73 241 70 240 72 242 67 247 40493 38829 73 243 70 241 71 240 69 245 38829 37278 80 245 70 240 68 239 66 245 37278 35827 88 242 72 240 68 243 65 249 35827 34435 95 238 75 240 74 244 67 249 34435 33035 94 235 79 239 77 240 68 246 33035 31601 89 234 82 236 76 235 66 242 31601 30136 88 235 85 234 75 232 61 241 30136 28629 89 236 91 233 74 233 61 245 28629 27070 90 235 97 231 73 233 62 245 27070 25461 88 235 99 230 71 234 58 244 25461 23806 84 235 96 231 68 235 51 246 23806 22107 81 236 86 232 63 236 46 251 22107 20363 80 235 72 229 54 237 42 254 20363 18567 76 232 62 226 44 239 36 254 18567 16699 70 229 51 231 35 252 33 263 16699 14791 56 232 39 243 29 265 30 275 14791 12943 32 227 28 257 25 279 23 278 12943 11260 23 240 22 266 19 285 17 285 11260 9767 19 268 18 271 17 290 14 297 9767 8447 13 281 13 279 13 305 13 324 8447 7278 4 328 5 299 8 326 14 340 7278 6238 6 070 3 044 9 338 13 345 6238 5314 9 089 3 029 12 340 15 346 5314 4498 9 093 5 360 16 338 17 344 4498 3777 9 092 8 347 17 334 19 337 3777 3132 8*080 9*339 17 329 22 329 3132 2563 7*058 9*336 16*325 22 321 2563 2087 6 039 9 333 15*321 19 316 2087 1722 6 036 9 332 14 319 16*311 1722 1471 5 034 8 330 12 317 13*308 1471 1318 5 032 7 329 10 316 10 306 1318 1231 4 030 5 328 7 315 6 304 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography