DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 30.8 - - 30.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 10 - - -11 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 418 - - 558 - - 139 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1618 - - 1758 - - 1339 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 726 - - 1418 - - 1814 - - 1308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 77 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 158 - - 153 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -345 - - 174 - - 108 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1963 - - 1584 - - 1231 - - 1231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5593 - - -795 - - -669 - - -1853 ODpotential blCL - - - 7211 - - 2553 - - 2008 - - 3084 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 30.8 - - 30.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.5 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 31.0 - - 31.8 - - 31.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 27.6 - - 29.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 10 - - -11 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 418 - - 558 - - 139 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 101 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94775 64 217 73 231 70 235 72 244 94775 87806 62 242 58 238 59 250 55 231 87806 82378 56 244 55 244 52 254 55 244 82378 77842 43 242 50 243 47 247 46 243 77842 73906 39 251 45 235 49 245 41 241 73906 70378 41 258 41 241 48 245 45 252 70378 67164 48 264 47 259 47 248 52 255 67164 64203 53 262 55 261 48 252 52 252 64203 61446 53 257 61 255 52 256 51 250 61446 58759 56 255 62 253 58 258 55 252 58759 55945 61 255 64 251 64 255 61 251 55945 53022 65 254 67 247 66 247 64 249 53022 50232 66 254 67 242 66 239 66 246 50232 47721 69 256 64 243 66 239 68 242 47721 45474 76 254 65 250 68 242 70 239 45474 43441 82 249 75 254 72 243 71 237 43441 41582 83 244 86 249 77 242 74 236 41582 39865 78 242 87 242 80 239 81 235 39865 38272 73 246 85 238 89 238 83 231 38272 36794 76 249 86 236 100 236 86 228 36794 35418 81 251 90 238 101 234 94 226 35418 34102 91 251 102 244 102 229 101 223 34102 32777 103 251 113 242 101 225 101 220 32777 31416 105 249 115 237 99 222 99 217 31416 30025 100 249 113 235 98 222 96 215 30025 28595 89 246 108 235 97 223 99 213 28595 27106 86 242 97 235 96 222 103 206 27106 25552 80 242 90 235 94 224 95 208 25552 23928 70 240 83 233 84 228 85 217 23928 22240 68 238 76 234 70 227 74 218 22240 20487 70 236 74 235 63 224 69 216 20487 18664 66 233 69 236 61 221 60 212 18664 16769 60 232 62 235 58 219 52 209 16769 14841 54 234 61 231 54 221 46 215 14841 12984 49 231 62 228 52 225 45 223 12984 11296 45 227 61 223 52 225 42 224 11296 9799 42 225 58 217 52 219 40 219 9799 8475 40 226 53 215 46 212 36 217 8475 7300 39 224 48 217 40 215 29 225 7300 6258 36 220 47 215 40 219 29 235 6258 5332 32 217 46 210 41 214 32 234 5332 4516 26 214 41 203 38 205 34 228 4516 3793 23 210 34 196 33 195 34 218 3793 3145 21 205 28 187 28 184 31 207 3145 2572 20 198 23 176 24 172 26 197 2572 2094 17 182 19*164 21 163 21 186 2094 1726 13*167 17*160 18 159 17 173 1726 1473 11*163 14 158 15*156 13 166 1473 1319 9 162 12 157 11*154 10 163 1319 1231 6 159 7 155 7 153 5*161 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography