DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -28 - - -21 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 388 - - 131 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1588 - - 1331 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1474 - - 2211 - - 3460 - - 3253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 54 - - 26 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 196 - - 202 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -5 - - -2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1090 - - -601 - - -534 - - -157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2678 - - 1932 - - 1766 - - 1389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4653 - - -2308 - - -1604 - - -1083 ODpotential blCL - - - 6241 - - 3639 - - 2836 - - 2315 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 34.2 - - 35.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 40.1 - - 40.5 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 33.9 - - 35.2 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -28 - - -21 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 388 - - 131 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 100 - - 75 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96817 8 075 13 111 10 073 17 097 96817 89603 9 107 12 139 5 139 8 109 89603 83984 10 138 6 139 9 192 5 187 83984 79282 11 178 5 162 11 193 8 230 79282 75198 12 228 8 253 9 187 21 231 75198 71584 18 227 19 215 10 253 13 197 71584 68307 17 222 16 198 22 231 25 233 68307 65284 25 253 20 262 24 229 32 227 65284 62465 38 237 36 260 30 244 26 241 62465 59720 41 226 37 240 35 236 34 242 59720 56856 37 235 33 235 35 233 40 230 56856 53873 44 260 39 251 41 250 40 224 53873 51000 63 257 59 253 54 255 49 239 51000 48406 73 244 71 243 68 246 65 249 48406 46096 69 237 73 233 79 238 79 247 46096 44028 67 240 71 233 82 234 85 236 44028 42160 77 246 76 236 84 230 86 228 42160 40453 91 242 89 232 90 230 89 228 40453 38881 95 233 98 227 103 228 94 228 38881 37428 95 231 104 225 111 222 103 227 37428 36077 96 235 104 225 111 219 111 223 36077 34789 96 236 102 226 108 220 111 220 34789 33489 95 234 101 227 110 221 111 219 33489 32140 94 233 99 229 113 221 112 219 32140 30745 93 234 95 232 112 222 109 220 30745 29291 91 236 93 236 109 225 103 222 29291 27766 89 237 93 239 106 225 101 223 27766 26169 85 238 92 239 100 225 99 224 26169 24498 80 240 86 236 97 229 94 227 24498 22760 75 240 81 234 95 231 85 232 22760 20961 68 238 76 234 86 231 78 238 20961 19092 63 239 70 234 74 231 73 239 19092 17146 63 241 63 231 68 234 63 237 17146 15161 64 243 55 228 65 239 55 236 15161 13247 59 241 51 230 57 241 53 238 13247 11508 49 229 49 235 47 242 51 242 11508 9969 44 216 45 243 41 245 48 246 9969 8605 44 217 43 249 38 248 44 245 8605 7394 46 223 43 249 35 250 39 243 7394 6323 49 226 44 244 32 250 33 243 6323 5379 52 223 45 238 29 249 23 244 5379 4550 55 216 44 231 28 245 19 255 4550 3819 53 208 42 224 28 242 20 273 3819 3165 48 201 37 216 27 237 21 285 3165 2586 40 195 32 210 25 229 21 296 2586 2103 33 188 27 207 20 222 19 302 2103 1732 27*183 22 203 16 217 18 303 1732 1476 23*181 17*199 12 210 14 303 1476 1320 19 179 14*198 10*207 10*302 1320 1232 11 177 8 194 5*202 5*300 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography