DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 16.8 - - 23.4 - - 20.7 - - 18.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 46 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 773 - - 1370 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1973 - - 2570 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 980 - - 1182 - - 1542 - - 384 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 165 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 138 - - 107 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1129 - - -577 - - -272 - - -259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3102 - - 3147 - - 1502 - - 1489 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9682 - - -4278 - - -1999 - - -3772 ODpotential blCL - - - 11655 - - 6848 - - 3229 - - 5002 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 92 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 16.8 - - 23.4 - - 20.7 - - 18.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.8 - - 14.1 - - 18.7 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 23.1 - - 22.7 - - 20.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.8 - - 13.0 - - 19.8 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 46 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 773 - - 1370 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 67 - - 96 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96176 15 094 4 027 9 038 5 082 96176 88902 15 130 6 146 6 131 3 206 88902 83244 6 210 10 174 11 266 15 267 83244 78565 19 247 19 224 26 242 18 256 78565 74522 22 254 26 252 24 250 33 267 74522 70939 27 240 39 232 40 243 45 251 70939 67690 39 253 38 224 52 245 49 244 67690 64682 53 254 47 248 58 244 55 248 64682 61879 65 252 61 248 58 246 61 252 61879 59147 71 251 67 248 66 249 71 250 59147 56288 78 249 78 248 76 249 78 252 56288 53314 81 242 88 246 86 251 87 256 53314 50460 80 241 92 246 91 251 94 252 50460 47890 81 247 90 247 89 251 93 247 47890 45597 86 251 91 247 92 253 94 249 45597 43529 93 250 97 248 102 253 103 253 43529 41644 96 248 102 248 109 250 110 253 41644 39906 98 248 104 247 108 249 114 250 39906 38290 98 248 104 248 108 251 116 247 38290 36782 97 249 104 250 113 253 116 247 36782 35374 98 250 107 251 119 252 122 249 35374 34031 100 249 112 250 119 249 129 249 34031 32682 96 247 112 249 114 246 126 248 32682 31299 89 248 107 248 106 245 117 249 31299 29889 88 248 104 248 100 250 109 250 29889 28442 83 247 105 249 103 252 103 251 28442 26942 80 250 107 247 106 251 101 251 26942 25381 83 253 102 244 103 248 100 251 25381 23753 83 252 89 242 98 247 100 251 23753 22060 78 249 81 241 93 249 99 251 22060 20304 71 247 78 241 85 246 96 249 20304 18489 62 245 72 241 79 244 89 248 18489 16617 57 246 64 242 72 243 73 250 16617 14721 57 249 62 243 66 238 58 246 14721 12891 57 250 62 239 61 239 54 243 12891 11223 53 251 62 236 53 244 47 244 11223 9742 46 252 55 240 44 246 38 247 9742 8430 40 254 40 245 36 245 33 246 8430 7263 36 257 29 245 31 239 32 243 7263 6224 33 263 24 242 29 227 32 241 6224 5302 30 269 21 237 28 214 32 237 5302 4488 26 275 18 230 26 206 33 229 4488 3769 21 282 13 222 21 202 33 220 3769 3125 15 288 8*208 16 191 30 212 3125 2555 10 290 5*173 13 172 25 203 2555 2081 5*289 4 135 10 151 19 189 2081 1717 2*271 4 130 8 140 15 171 1717 1467 2 271 3 127 6 130 9 157 1467 1317 2 267 3 124 4 120 5 150 1317 1230 1 269 3 122 2*107 1*143 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography