DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.5 - - 47.8 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 108 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5258 - - 4258 - - 1559 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4281 - - 3519 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6458 - - 5458 - - 2759 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3758 - - 4343 - - 3918 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 347 - - 318 - - 79 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 281 - - 287 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 884 - - 473 - - -123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5574 - - 4986 - - 2882 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 334 - - -333 - - -961 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6124 - - 5791 - - 3720 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 80 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.5 - - 47.8 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 30.4 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.1 - - 47.5 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.5 - - 29.7 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 108 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5258 - - 4258 - - 1559 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 82 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98055 9 180 4 028 4 299 98055 90650 3 135 7 317 8 319 90650 84946 5 048 4 242 7 010 84946 80192 5 020 4 159 7 346 80192 76087 3 040 1 178 3 246 76087 72444 3 213 6 262 2 287 72444 69120 5 194 6 230 8 279 69120 66058 5 242 7 241 9 267 66058 63218 5 236 5 241 5 284 63218 60447 10 257 8 285 13 264 60447 57551 19 243 16 269 14 269 57551 54536 22 246 22 248 17 271 54536 51642 34 244 26 246 27 252 51642 49035 37 246 33 251 28 246 49035 46704 48 243 38 252 32 246 46704 44594 54 235 45 247 37 242 44594 42666 57 230 48 239 36 242 42666 40891 58 228 51 233 39 245 40891 39247 57 226 55 228 43 243 39247 37720 58 228 58 226 47 238 37720 36293 63 232 63 228 51 232 36293 34926 73 235 74 227 55 225 34926 33553 90 233 85 224 58 219 33553 32145 110 230 97 221 61 217 32145 30707 122 227 108 218 65 217 30707 29224 119 226 114 216 69 218 29224 27683 114 228 113 217 71 218 27683 26084 113 229 107 221 66 218 26084 24427 102 231 94 225 61 220 24427 22704 76 232 66 229 58 222 22704 20913 59 235 55 233 54 225 20913 19051 54 238 52 234 46 232 19051 17112 52 240 49 237 37 240 17112 15137 50 241 42 241 34 246 15137 13242 43 245 36 249 29 253 13242 11532 25 248 25 261 23 255 11532 10017 22 255 22 271 21 261 10017 8668 22 259 21 272 20 271 8668 7464 21*266 19 275 18 280 7464 6393 18*275 16*281 16 289 6393 5442 17 279 16*284 16 300 5442 4604 17 280 15 286 16 306 4604 3862 17 282 15 287 15 309 3862 3197 16 282 15 288 14*312 3197 2609 15 283 15 288 12*317 2609 2117 15 283 15 288 10 321 2117 1740 14 283 14 288 9 324 1740 1480 13 283 13 288 8 325 1480 1322 11 283 12 289 7 326 1322 1232 8 283 8 289 5 327 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography