DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 56.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 26 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2290 - - 2230 - - 1590 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2270 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3490 - - 3430 - - 2790 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 755 - - 711 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 280 - - 177 - - 62 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 359 - - 360 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1225 - - 1017 - - 1116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2266 - - 2413 - - 1674 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 678 - - 332 - - 233 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2812 - - 3098 - - 2557 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 56.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.3 - - 50.0 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.4 - - 56.4 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.0 - - 48.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 26 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2290 - - 2230 - - 1590 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 99 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 20 235 31 253 25 281 96873 89645 16 232 15 259 18 269 89645 84135 20 266 21 288 15 265 84135 79541 17 254 17 279 19 301 79541 75551 18 264 25 264 25 286 75551 72005 22 259 20 247 27 259 72005 68784 16 268 10 255 19 249 68784 65811 24 263 23 278 23 268 65811 63039 37 246 34 255 28 255 63039 60326 38 250 32 252 29 267 60326 57484 45 263 44 267 41 270 57484 54545 49 262 53 265 43 267 54545 51750 47 259 51 257 42 262 51750 49241 43 258 44 258 41 259 49241 46998 41 264 41 262 42 266 46998 44985 42 269 42 262 42 270 44985 43174 46 269 42 270 36 272 43174 41519 44 262 35 278 31 276 41519 39982 36 254 28 281 29 286 39982 38546 30 256 27 290 33 309 38546 37201 27 269 28 300 42 321 37201 35903 24 284 31 306 47 326 35903 34585 23 303 32 311 44 328 34585 33216 23 323 32 315 40 327 33216 31799 23 334 32 319 37 328 31799 30318 19 342 31 322 33 325 30318 28761 19 351 28 324 30 320 28761 27128 22 351 27 327 28 321 27128 25419 24 349 25 326 24 323 25419 23635 22 353 22 328 20 323 23635 21779 17 358 21 346 18 326 21779 19844 13 358 21 002 14 334 19844 17824 14 358 18 359 14 351 17824 15762 16 004 15 002 14 357 15762 13774 17 005 16 015 13 008 13774 11970 13 010 14 028 12 024 11970 10367 10 011 14 033 12 036 10367 8945 9 014 14 032 12 042 8945 7679 9 019 15 030 13 046 7679 6556 10 020 14 027 13 049 6556 5562 12 016 14 024 12 052 5562 4690 13 015 12 017 11 049 4690 3923 10*003 10*004 11 038 3923 3242 10*360 10*002 11*028 3242 2641 10 359 10 000 11*023 2641 2139 10 359 9 360 11 019 2139 1753 9 359 9 359 10 016 1753 1487 9 359 8 359 9 013 1487 1325 8 358 7 357 7 011 1325 1233 6 358 5 357 4 010 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography