DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 79.7 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4880 - - 4902 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4022 - - 2303 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6080 - - 6102 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3352 - - 3244 - - 5510 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 229 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 287 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1372 - - 1047 - - -1186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4708 - - 5055 - - 2421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -547 - - -730 - - -2985 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6627 - - 6832 - - 4220 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 78 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 270 - - 150 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 79.7 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 61.6 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.9 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 60.3 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4880 - - 4902 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 3 - - 12 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99761 28 093 21 092 22 066 99761 92165 23 084 17 082 19 077 92165 86289 19 078 15 076 19 072 86289 81415 15 081 13 076 17 072 81415 77235 13 085 12 077 11 066 77235 73560 13 073 11 079 6 070 73560 70240 7 055 11 037 6 061 70240 67185 4 020 8 349 8 344 67185 64353 5 009 5 342 7 305 64353 61619 13 319 13 329 9 325 61619 58775 16 289 15 304 12 309 58775 55827 20 280 22 294 20 299 55827 53025 24 281 30 280 31 283 53025 50521 24 277 29 277 30 274 50521 48296 26 292 34 298 29 287 48296 46317 39 302 46 300 46 286 46317 44534 43 297 53 285 50 276 44534 42883 31 314 39 275 50 256 42883 41331 48 349 17 312 57 258 41331 39866 56 343 33 326 43 268 39866 38480 55 339 46 320 37 276 38480 37138 57 337 54 313 40 281 37138 35769 50 336 48 309 44 280 35769 34344 42 325 40 295 48 277 34344 32864 43 315 41 286 50 280 32864 31318 46 308 41 287 52 283 31318 29692 50 305 47 288 51 281 29692 27986 48 309 50 293 49 280 27986 26198 38 306 44 294 49 282 26198 24335 29 298 35 305 48 284 24335 22402 26 296 32 305 43 288 22402 20395 22 298 30 296 35 289 20395 18306 19 300 23 288 27 284 18306 16184 18 301 19 283 20 270 16184 14145 16 294 15 291 17 271 14145 12297 14 294 13 294 17 278 12297 10662 13 288 17 292 18 286 10662 9215 14 289 17 296 18 294 9215 7930 14 293 16 298 16 296 7930 6785 13*294 14*297 13 290 6785 5767 11*292 11*292 10 278 5767 4866 8 286 10 290 8 262 4866 4069 7 284 8 286 8 247 4069 3354 6 283 7 284 10 233 3354 2720 5 283 6 284 11 227 2720 2190 5 282 6 284 11 225 2190 1783 4 282 5 283 10 223 1783 1503 4 282 5 284 9 219 1503 1332 4 282 4 284 6*215 1332 1235 3 282 3 282 3*209 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography