DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 11.2 - - 10.9 - - 4.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3518 - - 1058 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3016 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4718 - - 2258 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3364 - - 6385 - - 2882 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 302 - - 80 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 258 - - 265 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 822 - - 41 - - -1431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3896 - - 2217 - - 2660 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -106 - - -445 - - -3170 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4824 - - 2703 - - 4399 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 85 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 11.2 - - 10.9 - - 4.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -1.4 - - 5.9 - - -2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 10.8 - - 11.2 - - 7.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -2.4 - - 5.4 - - -1.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3518 - - 1058 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 35 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95493 41 254 48 229 43 240 95493 88372 26 233 38 236 33 251 88372 82802 48 244 48 247 53 241 82802 78196 56 226 45 215 47 224 78196 74201 36 215 28 191 29 222 74201 70570 37 241 46 268 42 255 70570 67233 65 250 81 259 67 254 67233 64156 81 243 92 245 80 246 64156 61291 86 235 94 236 87 243 61291 58518 89 229 93 235 92 244 58518 55642 91 230 94 236 95 244 55642 52672 96 232 94 237 99 244 52672 49851 96 232 95 240 103 243 49851 47326 94 235 98 240 103 241 47326 45065 97 238 99 239 101 240 45065 43009 101 239 99 239 100 242 43009 41123 103 239 99 240 100 245 41123 39382 102 239 98 241 101 247 39382 37767 102 239 97 242 102 247 37767 36264 101 239 97 242 103 247 36264 34858 101 239 96 241 102 246 34858 33511 100 237 95 242 99 246 33511 32156 97 237 92 244 95 247 32156 30765 93 238 91 247 90 249 30765 29346 91 242 90 250 85 251 29346 27886 93 244 88 252 80 252 27886 26382 94 245 89 254 74 253 26382 24839 91 247 90 255 69 252 24839 23248 87 249 89 259 67 253 23248 21596 81 250 88 262 65 257 21596 19880 76 250 87 264 63 261 19880 18094 71 249 84 264 61 266 18094 16234 65 249 78 267 58 271 16234 14344 58 251 72 268 55 273 14344 12529 51 253 64 267 50 276 12529 10888 46 254 56 262 46 279 10888 9440 40 252 47 256 42 279 9440 8165 33 252 35 250 39 275 8165 7036 28 252 30 251 39 269 7036 6035 24 252 29 253 40 265 6035 5149 21*252 28 255 39 263 5149 4368 19*253 26 257 34 261 4368 3677 17 254 23 260 29 259 3677 3058 14 258 20 261 26 257 3058 2511 13 259 17*263 24 255 2511 2053 13 261 14*265 21 255 2053 1702 12 261 12 265 17 254 1702 1460 11 262 10 266 13 251 1460 1313 10 262 8 266 8 246 1313 1229 7 262 6 265 4*235 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography