DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 72.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 38 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5168 - - 4378 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4406 - - 2918 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6368 - - 5578 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3354 - - 2921 - - 4995 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 256 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 296 - - 304 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1602 - - 854 - - -1516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4766 - - 4724 - - 2750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -263 - - -619 - - -3126 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6631 - - 6197 - - 4360 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 74 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 230 - - 180 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 72.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 56.1 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.7 - - 72.9 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.2 - - 55.0 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 38 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5168 - - 4378 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99526 19 091 18 076 17 075 99526 92026 17 100 15 094 12 075 92026 86212 16 079 12 104 7 080 86212 81368 7 067 9 103 5 054 81368 77191 2 048 8 073 5 080 77191 73490 2 080 6 018 7 063 73490 70132 5 194 1 308 6 355 70132 67040 3 217 7 291 7 287 67040 64175 4 258 7 261 8 288 64175 61393 12 263 8 272 10 247 61393 58489 15 235 12 277 16 271 58489 55481 19 276 24 263 18 271 55481 52622 34 262 33 268 37 270 52622 50069 41 247 45 255 42 261 50069 47790 44 254 46 253 40 259 47790 45724 52 255 52 260 55 273 45724 43839 53 253 54 258 61 269 43839 42107 63 260 58 266 65 268 42107 40512 83 258 76 263 76 272 40512 39034 92 253 80 258 97 272 39034 37651 90 254 77 258 120 271 37651 36312 88 256 77 258 125 272 36312 34952 81 258 79 259 109 276 34952 33546 75 261 79 259 91 279 33546 32099 69 258 76 261 75 281 32099 30595 63 257 73 263 63 279 30595 29019 60 258 70 265 55 274 29019 27367 58 256 64 266 52 271 27367 25638 57 259 56 266 50 271 25638 23831 54 265 50 261 49 273 23831 21950 49 262 50 258 45 276 21950 19993 45 257 50 261 39 278 19993 17958 42 257 45 264 38 279 17958 15887 39 261 41 267 38 278 15887 13894 37 271 36 276 35 276 13894 12089 35 281 32 279 31 275 12089 10492 29 286 30 277 29 276 10492 9074 28 291 28 278 27 282 9074 7810 27 294 25 283 23 288 7810 6685 26*295 22 288 21 291 6685 5685 25*296 20*295 19 293 5685 4802 22 296 19*297 18 297 4802 4020 21 296 18 303 17 302 4020 3317 19 296 17 304 16 305 3317 2695 18 297 16 306 15 306 2695 2174 17 297 16 306 14 307 2174 1774 16 297 15 307 12 307 1774 1498 15 297 13 307 10 306 1498 1330 13 297 11 308 7*304 1330 1234 9 297 8 308 3*301 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography