DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 66.4 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 231 - - 65 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4817 - - 5269 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4399 - - 3910 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6017 - - 6469 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1098 - - 1126 - - 5104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 431 - - 301 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 120 - - 136 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1904 - - -912 - - -3286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7921 - - 7381 - - 4520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7672 - - -5917 - - -5051 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13689 - - 12386 - - 6284 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 88 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 66.4 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.1 - - 38.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.2 - - 66.2 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.9 - - 37.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 231 - - 65 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4817 - - 5269 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98604 15 090 4 055 19 053 98604 91133 7 108 9 103 7 038 91133 85391 8 162 11 094 4 071 85391 80614 7 105 7 107 4 037 80614 76486 7 085 3 087 4 043 76486 72831 4 096 6 327 5 012 72831 69519 3 019 4 279 4 340 69519 66472 4 319 6 297 7 327 66472 63661 4 275 10 295 12 297 63661 60951 13 302 12 289 16 277 60951 58119 24 284 22 293 20 282 58119 55182 33 273 31 288 29 283 55182 52394 36 271 38 284 34 285 52394 49905 39 280 46 269 40 272 49905 47699 51 272 45 261 44 271 47699 45726 49 272 49 272 57 272 45726 43948 81 270 75 270 68 264 43948 42321 89 267 81 263 72 258 42321 40804 87 267 77 260 69 256 40804 39372 82 269 74 260 62 256 39372 38015 78 268 70 258 60 258 38015 36695 79 266 67 258 56 259 36695 35346 76 266 62 261 53 262 35346 33938 71 268 58 266 50 263 33938 32474 69 265 59 268 48 262 32474 30939 69 264 60 266 49 263 30939 29321 67 264 60 262 51 263 29321 27620 63 259 58 260 52 263 27620 25839 53 254 54 262 52 264 25839 23979 32 266 48 267 49 266 23979 22048 26 284 42 264 42 269 22048 20042 27 281 31 256 32 266 20042 17961 18 289 8 306 21 246 17961 15857 7 338 5 050 5 076 15857 13851 4 040 7 121 16 084 13851 12035 6 079 10 129 16 121 12035 10420 8 098 11 132 18 135 10420 8986 9 120 12 138 20 136 8986 7719 10 127 13 142 18 140 7719 6599 10*126 13*141 17 146 6599 5611 9*124 13*140 18 148 5611 4738 10 123 13 139 20 147 4738 3966 10 122 12 137 21 145 3966 3275 10 120 12 136 23 142 3275 2663 10 119 12 134 23 140 2663 2153 9 118 11 133 21 137 2153 1761 9 116 11 133 18 133 1761 1491 8 116 10 132 13 127 1491 1327 7 116 9 131 9 123 1327 1233 6 114 6 131 5*119 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography