DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.2 - - 14.6 - - 5.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 22 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2158 - - 1631 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1993 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3358 - - 2831 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 814 - - 777 - - 1334 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 250 - - 136 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 302 - - 317 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1123 - - 256 - - -1127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2235 - - 2575 - - 2357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 752 - - -8087 - - -10584 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2606 - - 10918 - - 11814 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 87 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.2 - - 14.6 - - 5.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 10.1 - - 7.9 - - -0.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 14.9 - - 14.5 - - 10.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 9.0 - - 7.0 - - 5.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 22 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2158 - - 1631 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 89 - - 49 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95534 81 223 68 230 80 223 95534 88354 61 216 59 238 70 237 88354 82866 49 237 57 252 63 244 82866 78281 51 255 55 256 57 255 78281 74311 49 258 52 260 55 263 74311 70796 43 254 48 262 48 262 70796 67599 40 257 40 259 41 259 67599 64636 43 263 33 257 37 261 64636 61862 45 267 34 267 39 267 61862 59153 47 273 39 272 44 270 59153 56311 47 273 42 271 47 268 56311 53344 45 267 43 264 46 262 53344 50497 44 263 42 256 46 257 50497 47928 46 260 43 254 47 260 47928 45623 50 256 45 254 51 259 45623 43533 52 253 45 251 52 249 43533 41629 51 252 44 251 50 243 41629 39881 52 252 44 254 47 242 39881 38262 52 253 47 255 46 248 38262 36760 53 255 48 253 47 249 36760 35366 55 254 51 252 42 253 35366 34039 52 252 55 248 41 265 34039 32710 49 253 53 245 52 250 32710 31357 45 254 54 249 54 245 31357 29985 43 259 57 252 59 249 29985 28565 45 263 58 250 62 252 28565 27074 49 258 58 250 52 251 27074 25514 54 253 59 250 44 251 25514 23881 56 255 57 249 47 252 23881 22176 53 259 57 248 47 255 22176 20400 46 261 51 248 42 258 20400 18553 37 259 43 252 39 256 18553 16637 30 261 37 259 35 253 16637 14696 28 277 34 266 26 254 14696 12839 26 286 31 273 23 264 12839 11156 25 287 28 278 23 269 11156 9664 23 288 25 282 20 272 9664 8339 21 292 21 288 17 281 8339 7164 20 298 19 295 15 292 7164 6123 19 301 19 301 15 302 6123 5204 19 303 19 307 15 309 5204 4400 16 304 18 311 14 313 4400 3695 12*303 16 315 13 316 3695 3068 11*302 12*317 11 322 3068 2516 11 302 10*318 9 332 2516 2056 11 302 10 317 9 342 2056 1704 10 302 9 317 8 343 1704 1461 9 302 8 317 7 340 1461 1314 8 302 7 318 4*330 1314 1230 6 302 5 317 3*326 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography