DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 41.1 - - 39.7 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 29 - - 8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2085 - - 2033 - - 2001 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3285 - - 3233 - - 3201 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1325 - - 1549 - - 1434 - - 1380 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 168 - - 124 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 16 - - 22 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 253 - - 245 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 14 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 9 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1166 - - 1450 - - 1188 - - -367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2119 - - 1783 - - 2013 - - 1599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 12 - - 643 - - 156 - - -6726 ODpotential blCL - - - 3273 - - 2590 - - 3045 - - 7958 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 96 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 41.1 - - 39.7 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 37.5 - - 35.1 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 41.5 - - 40.3 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 36.6 - - 34.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 29 - - 8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2085 - - 2033 - - 2001 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 100 - - 82 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95461 18 249 29 248 38 265 28 269 95461 88212 68 242 63 250 57 262 54 270 88212 82782 66 232 72 247 62 257 54 269 82782 78332 59 238 66 241 56 252 48 267 78332 74471 62 244 54 236 54 254 52 256 74471 71044 65 244 56 248 59 250 53 248 71044 67929 70 248 67 251 61 244 58 250 67929 65034 79 252 72 245 64 246 63 254 65034 62319 82 246 73 245 73 251 71 257 62319 59669 80 238 79 249 80 250 79 256 59669 56893 76 240 85 246 82 246 81 251 56893 53997 80 245 90 240 84 245 79 248 53997 51210 95 245 94 236 88 244 80 251 51210 48697 106 240 96 235 91 242 86 250 48697 46454 105 235 97 237 91 240 88 244 46454 44421 100 233 98 238 89 240 79 240 44421 42551 102 235 102 241 86 241 73 245 42551 40816 111 234 107 240 87 241 83 251 40816 39205 119 230 112 235 91 238 101 249 39205 37712 122 226 112 231 97 234 115 241 37712 36323 124 226 110 231 105 233 119 234 36323 34991 128 228 109 234 108 231 113 229 34991 33641 132 228 108 237 108 232 102 232 33641 32245 132 227 105 239 108 234 106 240 32245 30818 131 226 107 238 109 235 116 241 30818 29349 132 228 108 234 107 233 113 237 29349 27819 126 233 98 231 101 230 101 234 27819 26224 109 233 92 230 96 229 93 239 26224 24557 94 230 91 230 95 230 91 244 24557 22819 91 226 91 230 93 231 89 245 22819 21014 92 225 90 230 90 234 86 247 21014 19139 92 226 87 233 86 237 84 251 19139 17191 92 232 83 237 81 240 79 256 17191 15212 93 239 80 242 71 243 69 260 15212 13311 89 243 74 244 60 245 60 262 13311 11583 72 244 61 245 51 246 57 262 11583 10045 56 237 47 249 47 248 55 262 10045 8676 51 232 40 256 45 252 52 261 8676 7456 50 235 37 261 43 254 50 262 7456 6372 45 246 34 262 41 255 48 263 6372 5415 41 256 29 258 38 255 47 262 5415 4574 38 260 23 253 35 253 44 259 4574 3835 34*259 21*251 31*249 41 255 3835 3175 30*257 20*252 29*246 37 249 3175 2592 27 256 18 253 27 245 33 243 2592 2106 24 255 17 253 24 245 27 240 2106 1733 20 255 15 253 20 244 19 238 1733 1476 16 255 12 253 16 243 11 233 1476 1321 13 254 10 253 13 242 6*210 1321 1232 7 253 6 252 8 241 4*148 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography