DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 43.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1013 - - 2772 - - 465 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2213 - - 3972 - - 1665 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1889 - - 1805 - - 4532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 53 - - 114 - - 48 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 23 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 259 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 18 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 852 - - 1617 - - -473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1361 - - 2355 - - 2138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 222 - - 519 - - -1207 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1991 - - 3453 - - 2872 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 43.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 37.5 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.6 - - 44.0 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.7 - - 36.5 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1013 - - 2772 - - 465 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96542 14 195 8 249 7 248 96542 89318 10 230 12 266 6 289 89318 83745 9 280 11 245 9 282 83745 79125 11 288 9 254 10 273 79125 75164 9 258 12 276 10 244 75164 71664 14 296 10 296 9 268 71664 68475 17 270 16 295 12 267 68475 65524 19 277 20 289 16 277 65524 62769 27 265 22 275 22 271 62769 60082 25 254 22 258 25 248 60082 57266 30 260 27 257 24 244 57266 54335 37 258 39 258 36 255 54335 51535 45 248 42 247 50 252 51535 49007 48 244 46 247 55 243 49007 46729 51 246 57 247 57 238 46729 44654 66 235 67 237 62 236 44654 42754 89 214 77 225 69 231 42754 41016 91 206 82 218 76 227 41016 39423 86 221 88 221 93 223 39423 37957 108 226 111 219 112 216 37957 36597 105 219 125 213 120 210 36597 35290 104 217 122 210 126 209 35290 33962 103 215 119 209 127 210 33962 32581 100 211 118 210 126 212 32581 31151 98 207 117 209 123 214 31151 29658 98 209 114 207 118 214 29658 28094 99 211 110 205 113 213 28094 26460 98 213 106 202 110 212 26460 24752 96 215 107 202 109 213 24752 22976 92 216 111 210 107 218 22976 21136 89 215 109 221 101 225 21136 19230 89 219 91 229 91 231 19230 17257 83 227 72 234 77 236 17257 15250 71 228 62 241 66 237 15250 13316 63 225 60 247 58 232 13316 11551 63 225 61 243 59 227 11551 9980 65 229 60 239 59 229 9980 8592 62 232 51 238 53 238 8592 7377 53 230 41 238 43 251 7377 6315 41 227 34 241 36 262 6315 5380 29 233 29 249 32 264 5380 4556 21 247 28*254 29 262 4556 3827 20 253 27*256 27 259 3827 3173 20 253 26 258 25 257 3173 2593 19*252 26 259 23 255 2593 2108 17*252 24 260 21 254 2108 1735 15 252 22 261 18*253 1735 1478 12 252 18 261 14*252 1478 1321 10 251 15 261 11 251 1321 1232 6 250 9 260 6 249 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography