DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 69.5 - - 64.3 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 31 - - -13 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 499 - - 1550 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1699 - - 2750 - - 1234 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 684 - - 1213 - - 1851 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 163 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 217 - - 182 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1413 - - -1780 - - -1806 - - -882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3112 - - 4530 - - 3040 - - 2116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6608 - - -6663 - - -6704 - - -8269 ODpotential blCL - - - 8307 - - 9413 - - 7938 - - 9502 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 79 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 69.5 - - 64.3 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 53.9 - - 55.2 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 69.5 - - 66.8 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 52.8 - - 54.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 31 - - -13 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 499 - - 1550 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95320 82 253 95 250 98 258 89 257 95320 88516 60 263 66 262 62 258 58 265 88516 83267 46 269 47 275 44 259 44 272 83267 78889 32 275 36 281 33 272 32 280 78889 75087 24 275 26 279 27 287 25 290 75087 71688 19 285 17 279 22 282 23 290 71688 68579 18 304 18 285 20 278 20 283 68579 65694 17 314 19 287 22 275 18 281 65694 62998 16 314 15 283 17 275 17 273 62998 60386 16 304 10 285 9 271 11 262 60386 57674 19 297 15 294 11 275 13 270 57674 54879 25 297 25 291 21 267 17 264 54879 52237 35 298 28 292 22 272 16 247 52237 49872 36 296 30 291 26 270 20 232 49872 47741 38 293 33 284 24 260 25 227 47741 45795 41 293 35 278 36 259 34 243 45795 44009 48 294 38 271 46 256 37 245 44009 42347 49 285 45 267 45 256 39 252 42347 40797 39 262 50 266 42 260 36 269 40797 39345 31 253 49 260 42 274 38 279 39345 37973 28 254 47 255 44 283 39 276 37973 36645 29 254 45 261 43 281 37 275 36645 35294 31 250 41 267 40 276 36 281 35294 33892 31 243 38 271 36 279 37 283 33892 32439 30 233 38 276 36 288 32 282 32439 30923 28 242 41 279 35 291 24 265 30923 29332 28 276 38 276 30 284 22 247 29332 27665 35 286 35 268 23 271 23 228 27665 25920 37 285 34 264 29 250 30 222 25920 24098 39 282 33 266 31 245 34 225 24098 22199 40 279 33 266 30 245 38 228 22199 20218 38 271 33 257 30 244 39 232 20218 18152 35 263 32 242 33 240 34 233 18152 16049 32 259 32 238 35 240 30 236 16049 14025 31 260 30 242 32 242 24 237 14025 12189 30 264 27 248 27 243 20 233 12189 10560 30 265 26 252 21 247 18 232 10560 9116 30 261 26 252 18 252 16 236 9116 7831 29 255 26 253 18 255 15 238 7831 6690 26 252 24 254 17 257 13 242 6690 5680 22 256 22 255 16 258 11 246 5680 4789 18 264 18 255 14 253 10 247 4789 4002 17 270 16 251 14 242 10 244 4002 3299 17 267 14*241 16 229 13 231 3299 2677 16 255 11*226 16 216 18 217 2677 2160 16 235 9 216 13 208 20 204 2160 1764 13*228 8 215 11 203 16 191 1764 1492 10*223 7 214 9 198 11 176 1492 1327 8 221 6 213 7*193 7 164 1327 1233 5 217 5 211 3*182 4*153 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography