DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 45 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 1081 - - 195 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2268 - - 2281 - - 1395 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 780 - - 866 - - 2362 - - 3116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 152 - - 23 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 288 - - 307 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3366 - - -1414 - - -1029 - - -660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5634 - - 3695 - - 2424 - - 1893 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11245 - - -7981 - - -2502 - - -1390 ODpotential blCL - - - 13513 - - 10262 - - 3897 - - 2622 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 42.8 - - 44.0 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 54.5 - - 51.0 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 42.2 - - 43.7 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 45 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 1081 - - 195 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 101 - - 101 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96770 25 251 35 255 31 274 23 252 96770 89690 14 245 21 254 19 264 18 265 89690 84203 8 185 13 245 15 268 15 277 84203 79610 4 162 9 247 13 267 15 270 79610 75640 2 302 6 252 12 265 16 275 75640 72128 10 311 7 296 9 254 14 281 72128 68924 23 290 18 293 9 237 18 268 68924 65965 24 269 21 265 26 273 23 259 65965 63220 20 250 29 256 30 261 30 264 63220 60559 27 263 37 258 35 254 43 270 60559 57792 36 257 38 256 45 251 54 259 57792 54934 40 253 42 253 48 254 54 257 54934 52209 44 253 47 253 53 259 58 262 52209 49748 44 254 52 255 56 258 63 260 49748 47529 48 265 59 259 60 260 62 258 47529 45499 58 265 65 260 65 260 62 260 45499 43629 56 255 64 254 68 258 65 262 43629 41902 47 244 57 247 69 252 71 261 41902 40321 47 264 57 258 67 252 79 261 40321 38876 55 277 64 265 67 260 81 262 38876 37531 58 282 65 265 67 263 77 264 37531 36228 58 283 63 267 67 262 75 265 36228 34896 57 282 63 271 66 261 74 265 34896 33508 56 282 62 272 66 262 72 263 33508 32065 56 281 58 269 66 264 71 263 32065 30554 54 277 57 267 68 267 71 267 30554 28965 50 275 56 268 70 269 73 274 28965 27297 48 274 57 269 71 271 72 277 27297 25547 45 268 57 270 71 275 69 273 25547 23717 41 260 55 271 68 278 67 270 23717 21814 36 257 53 273 65 275 66 268 21814 19839 32 260 50 276 62 268 63 268 19839 17788 30 269 45 277 59 267 58 267 17788 15700 32 273 46 276 53 270 53 266 15700 13693 33 272 47 272 51 271 50 268 13693 11869 33 272 46 271 53 272 48 271 11869 10253 33 271 42 272 53 273 46 273 10253 8826 32 269 39 272 48 275 45 275 8826 7567 29 267 37 274 41 277 42 276 7567 6457 25 267 34 277 36 278 37 282 6457 5484 23 271 31 280 32 279 31 293 5484 4633 22 280 27 280 29 285 27 305 4633 3883 24 286 25 281 27 293 26 313 3883 3213 24 285 24 283 24 301 27 311 3213 2620 22*282 21*286 20 305 26 308 2620 2125 15*277 16*287 16 307 24 306 2125 1744 12 277 11 288 13 307 20 304 1744 1482 10 277 10 288 11*307 15 302 1482 1323 9 277 8 289 9*307 12 301 1323 1232 6 278 6 288 5 307 6*300 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography