DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 56.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5374 - - 4336 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4308 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6574 - - 5536 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2703 - - 3134 - - 4350 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 124 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 22 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 266 - - 271 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1949 - - 965 - - -1420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4625 - - 4571 - - 2653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 847 - - -261 - - -3258 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5727 - - 5797 - - 4491 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 230 - - 70 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 56.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.7 - - 40.5 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 57.3 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.7 - - 39.7 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5374 - - 4336 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 71 - - 31 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97655 46 240 42 247 42 223 97655 90334 37 230 41 243 48 237 90334 84669 37 227 42 236 36 241 84669 79949 31 234 36 229 24 247 79949 75841 20 224 26 225 27 253 75841 72208 17 208 25 229 33 255 72208 68953 22 233 30 235 27 248 68953 65957 25 229 25 232 21 238 65957 63141 23 236 25 237 22 250 63141 60391 35 247 34 242 32 254 60391 57524 47 242 42 243 39 255 57524 54551 51 234 48 245 47 254 54551 51714 53 236 58 243 57 248 51714 49163 59 237 64 242 63 246 49163 46872 63 240 68 244 68 247 46872 44794 72 243 73 244 74 249 44794 42896 80 241 76 244 80 250 42896 41152 82 238 81 244 85 250 41152 39537 83 240 86 244 89 249 39537 38032 91 242 91 244 92 249 38032 36627 102 241 96 245 95 250 36627 35286 111 238 102 245 98 251 35286 33941 114 236 107 244 104 253 33941 32557 113 235 108 243 112 253 32557 31133 110 237 108 244 116 253 31133 29648 111 239 109 246 113 254 29648 28092 111 240 112 248 109 256 28092 26465 106 242 108 249 108 259 26465 24765 94 244 94 249 104 263 24765 22998 77 246 76 251 89 263 22998 21177 62 249 61 251 65 262 21177 19299 50 251 46 250 50 263 19299 17354 41 253 36 253 44 266 17354 15374 35 257 31 258 40 270 15374 13464 31 263 28 265 35 269 13464 11724 27 265 29 270 32 268 11724 10176 26 266 30 268 31 270 10176 8801 28 266 30 265 30 272 8801 7578 28*266 29 265 29 272 7578 6490 28*265 28 266 28 270 6490 5525 27 265 27*268 27 269 5525 4673 25 266 26*269 26 268 4673 3918 24 265 25 270 26 268 3918 3240 23 266 24 271 25 268 3240 2640 22 266 23 272 24 268 2640 2138 21 266 21 272 22 267 2138 1752 20 266 19 273 19 267 1752 1486 18 266 16 273 13 264 1486 1325 15 266 13 273 9*258 1325 1233 10 266 8 273 4*237 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography