DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.5 - - 50.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3221 - - 1625 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2338 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4421 - - 2825 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2145 - - 2715 - - 2813 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 247 - - 116 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 25 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 252 - - 274 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 22 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 499 - - 268 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3922 - - 2557 - - 1232 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2115 - - -1159 - - -671 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6536 - - 3984 - - 1903 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.5 - - 50.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.4 - - 43.7 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 51.0 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.1 - - 42.5 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3221 - - 1625 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 85 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 22 242 21 236 15 243 96298 89111 21 246 23 239 17 255 89111 83557 23 234 30 250 33 240 83557 78922 30 287 16 253 21 246 78922 74891 48 276 33 266 38 273 74891 71332 46 259 49 266 50 270 71332 68117 44 275 53 266 51 267 68117 65145 60 285 61 270 53 275 65145 62386 65 275 71 269 61 278 62386 59728 58 272 72 264 66 274 59728 56951 60 285 58 270 66 270 56951 54051 75 288 72 287 72 271 54051 51265 88 285 86 285 79 273 51265 48737 95 283 90 280 86 275 48737 46464 96 281 89 278 87 280 46464 44408 91 278 87 276 89 285 44408 42541 83 277 83 276 105 289 42541 40848 79 281 87 282 127 287 40848 39308 84 287 107 288 141 282 39308 37885 99 293 129 289 142 281 37885 36550 129 296 143 290 147 284 36550 35259 155 297 147 289 150 284 35259 33945 156 296 142 287 145 283 33945 32582 144 293 132 284 138 282 32582 31175 132 289 121 279 131 281 31175 29708 126 284 117 274 121 279 29708 28169 125 279 116 272 102 271 28169 26558 122 274 110 272 95 262 26558 24875 116 268 102 274 95 266 24875 23121 110 269 98 275 94 268 23121 21294 109 276 98 270 97 262 21294 19386 104 280 95 265 101 262 19386 17405 93 276 90 260 90 269 17405 15401 83 272 79 252 66 269 15401 13474 75 271 62 247 62 249 13474 11717 70 271 50 256 68 238 11717 10154 64 269 49 275 61 234 10154 8767 58 270 46 272 55 233 8767 7535 53 272 46 264 47 238 7535 6445 49 271 43 259 41 247 6445 5480 44 267 36 254 37 257 5480 4633 37*261 30 251 35 261 4633 3885 32*256 25 253 32 260 3885 3215 29 253 22*259 29 256 3215 2622 27 251 18*268 23 251 2622 2126 25 251 16 274 19 247 2126 1745 23 250 15 276 14 246 1745 1483 20 250 13 279 10 242 1483 1324 16 250 10 280 7 241 1324 1232 11 249 7 280 3*239 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography