DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 52.5 - - 50.3 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 85 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 934 - - 1930 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1634 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2134 - - 3130 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1215 - - 1201 - - 2244 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 229 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 265 - - 232 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1729 - - -1549 - - -2080 - - -794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3864 - - 4679 - - 3313 - - 2026 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7455 - - -5095 - - -5692 - - -8482 ODpotential blCL - - - 9589 - - 8225 - - 6925 - - 9714 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 79 - - 67 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 52.5 - - 50.3 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 36.7 - - 40.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 52.2 - - 52.4 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 35.7 - - 39.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 85 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 934 - - 1930 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95616 72 246 72 236 87 239 80 244 95616 88763 60 244 63 245 65 247 61 253 88763 83418 56 244 58 254 59 255 53 266 83418 78946 42 253 47 258 45 259 44 265 78946 75067 32 264 35 262 33 266 32 263 75067 71603 27 269 27 267 28 274 23 271 71603 68431 30 278 26 278 29 279 26 287 68431 65492 35 278 28 276 30 272 31 285 65492 62753 38 280 30 273 28 271 34 284 62753 60093 39 281 32 281 29 285 36 285 60093 57312 36 279 34 288 32 286 37 282 57312 54415 34 280 38 286 34 290 37 284 54415 51650 38 284 42 282 40 293 39 295 51650 49176 47 283 47 279 45 288 43 295 49176 46978 50 281 48 278 47 283 43 289 46978 44996 53 282 50 283 46 285 41 285 44996 43186 57 283 54 287 47 290 39 296 43186 41523 63 284 57 289 49 295 43 302 41523 39989 70 286 60 289 53 299 41 304 39989 38561 79 287 64 289 54 298 42 312 38561 37222 86 285 68 289 50 296 34 321 37222 35929 87 285 67 290 43 303 30 335 35929 34613 86 286 65 294 39 318 27 345 34613 33245 84 287 64 297 40 327 25 349 33245 31827 80 289 59 299 42 328 22 347 31827 30342 75 292 50 305 42 323 22 340 30342 28778 69 294 46 311 41 318 23 336 28778 27137 62 296 44 313 42 315 29 324 27137 25418 56 297 46 309 45 312 33 313 25418 23622 51 297 49 303 46 310 34 314 23622 21756 49 299 50 300 45 310 35 316 21756 19813 47 300 49 299 43 310 35 314 19813 17789 43 298 47 300 43 308 34 311 17789 15730 38 297 43 302 44 308 35 308 15730 13753 36 300 40 303 44 310 36 307 13753 11957 35 308 38 305 41 312 34 309 11957 10357 35 315 38 308 38 310 32 309 10357 8935 37 318 38 309 37 307 30 306 8935 7673 38 316 38 307 39 303 31 302 7673 6555 36 311 36 303 39 298 33 296 6555 5566 30 303 34 296 37 291 35 290 5566 4697 24 293 30 289 32 284 36 284 4697 3930 20 282 26 283 28 276 35 278 3930 3245 19 273 20*276 24 268 32 270 3245 2639 17*264 15*267 20 260 27 262 2639 2135 13*257 13 265 16 254 24 253 2135 1748 9 252 12 265 12 251 21 242 1748 1483 8 251 11 265 10 248 13 235 1483 1323 6 250 10 265 7*244 8 222 1323 1232 5 249 7 265 3*232 4*187 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography