DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 42 - - -57 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1017 - - 1525 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2217 - - 2725 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1205 - - 985 - - 1871 - - 1205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 172 - - 21 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 19 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 161 - - 152 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 7 - - -212 - - -1166 - - -715 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2210 - - 2937 - - 2398 - - 1947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6815 - - -8688 - - -8983 - - -8382 ODpotential blCL - - - 9032 - - 11413 - - 10215 - - 9614 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 90 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 32.5 - - 32.8 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 41.2 - - 40.7 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 31.4 - - 32.3 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 42 - - -57 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1017 - - 1525 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 60 - - 55 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 4 012 13 326 15 320 12 011 96665 89422 2 022 11 326 13 327 11 037 89422 83768 12 355 6 134 11 252 8 277 83768 79071 14 272 2 288 5 250 7 255 79071 75013 12 222 9 267 19 256 24 255 75013 71445 21 259 20 256 24 252 21 254 71445 68201 22 272 29 260 22 257 27 266 68201 65204 31 269 33 262 31 265 38 261 65204 62436 35 269 43 259 39 264 39 264 62436 59742 39 266 46 257 46 264 40 266 59742 56914 42 265 49 258 54 252 46 261 56914 53978 52 265 56 254 55 257 56 259 53978 51186 60 260 62 257 67 260 66 259 51186 48684 61 258 69 261 74 254 70 251 48684 46444 65 261 73 257 74 252 71 247 46444 44409 68 258 72 254 83 250 82 252 44409 42548 72 258 78 255 85 246 97 245 42548 40848 80 257 86 254 88 245 93 239 40848 39287 83 256 88 252 93 245 88 239 39287 37840 85 256 89 250 101 244 98 238 37840 36489 85 250 90 249 109 241 110 234 36489 35194 82 249 93 251 111 242 113 233 35194 33882 81 250 94 251 109 244 111 235 33882 32523 77 248 93 251 104 241 113 238 32523 31118 75 246 91 251 97 237 112 239 31118 29650 73 243 85 249 90 239 110 238 29650 28109 68 244 74 246 85 240 105 239 28109 26500 65 249 70 244 81 240 95 239 26500 24822 65 252 71 248 74 242 82 235 24822 23076 65 255 73 248 71 240 76 234 23076 21261 63 258 73 246 71 239 71 235 21261 19372 64 260 72 245 73 240 67 235 19372 17405 67 260 69 245 73 241 67 238 17405 15402 67 253 65 244 69 240 65 245 15402 13470 60 243 59 243 62 237 56 247 13470 11710 47 243 55 242 58 231 49 248 11710 10144 38 252 50 238 56 227 47 249 10144 8754 35 261 45 231 56 225 47 245 8754 7520 33 266 38 222 57 225 50 237 7520 6427 31 262 34 214 58 221 55 228 6427 5460 26 251 32 207 56 212 58 218 5460 4610 21 239 33 198 53 200 60 207 4610 3861 16 230 31 189 46 187 57 196 3861 3194 14 222 27*178 40 171 50 185 3194 2605 12*211 23*165 38 161 44 176 2605 2114 9*197 21 162 35 157 38 168 2114 1738 7 181 19 159 30 155 31 162 1738 1479 6 178 17 158 24 154 24 159 1479 1322 5 176 14 157 19*153 20*158 1322 1232 4 174 9 155 11*152 10*157 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography