DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 0.4 - - 7.7 - - 10.7 - - 7.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 89 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 1267 - - 1012 - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1213 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1780 - - 2467 - - 2212 - - 1486 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 488 - - 660 - - 1252 - - 1257 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 196 - - 112 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 131 - - 118 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1611 - - 268 - - 197 - - -397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3391 - - 2199 - - 2015 - - 1883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -23745 - - -20055 - - -295 - - -21752 ODpotential blCL - - - 25525 - - 22522 - - 2507 - - 23238 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 88 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 0.4 - - 7.7 - - 10.7 - - 7.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -9.5 - - 3.0 - - 6.7 - - 4.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 0.2 - - 7.5 - - 10.9 - - 8.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -10.4 - - 2.1 - - 6.5 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 89 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 1267 - - 1012 - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 46 - - 53 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94645 125 234 132 232 146 237 149 234 94645 87671 99 243 115 233 118 240 118 238 87671 82393 84 245 99 236 99 241 96 249 82393 78013 77 243 86 240 84 247 86 253 78013 74215 70 250 75 248 73 249 77 250 74215 70828 70 256 73 256 63 248 66 247 70828 67728 73 254 76 257 60 254 61 250 67728 64846 77 249 78 253 64 258 62 257 64846 62149 80 250 79 250 69 258 67 257 62149 59520 86 254 78 249 74 258 73 256 59520 56765 92 255 76 254 83 256 82 258 56765 53896 97 257 81 261 90 254 91 258 53896 51146 101 260 87 263 95 256 101 257 51146 48659 104 263 92 264 101 258 109 255 48659 46422 113 265 101 264 105 258 110 254 46422 44389 121 264 109 262 110 258 113 252 44389 42539 123 265 115 260 117 257 115 252 42539 40847 127 265 116 261 122 257 129 253 40847 39288 133 265 126 265 138 257 145 248 39288 37850 140 265 149 259 158 253 145 239 37850 36513 148 260 144 252 162 248 137 232 36513 35218 153 257 144 250 153 243 133 232 35218 33893 151 258 148 248 144 244 131 230 33893 32511 148 258 146 248 138 243 131 232 32511 31075 144 257 142 247 136 241 132 234 31075 29570 140 256 143 247 134 239 133 233 29570 27984 136 254 145 248 133 239 128 232 27984 26321 127 252 140 247 130 241 116 233 26321 24580 116 253 130 244 122 242 103 234 24580 22765 108 254 118 244 109 242 95 235 22765 20882 102 254 103 245 102 241 87 238 20882 18931 93 253 86 245 95 240 77 238 18931 16916 75 252 73 242 79 237 70 236 16916 14882 57 250 65 236 68 232 64 229 14882 12947 47 251 59 234 58 231 54 221 12947 11213 40 254 47 238 43 233 43 219 11213 9686 30 253 33 241 27 229 37 219 9686 8336 18 249 22 232 16 214 26 220 8336 7146 11 241 16 208 13 187 15 211 7146 6100 9 230 12 172 20 160 14 176 6100 5182 7 206 13 154 30 150 26 155 5182 4381 6 171 15 147 32 145 37 142 4381 3679 6 146 19 144 28 139 39 133 3679 3055 6 122 19 142 23 131 36 123 3055 2506 6 107 14*137 18*122 29 117 2506 2049 6*102 10*132 16*119 22 113 2049 1700 4*100 9 131 14 118 17*111 1700 1459 3 093 8 131 12 117 13*109 1459 1313 2 091 7 131 9 116 10 108 1313 1230 2 090 5 130 6 115 6 104 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography