DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 14.6 - - 23.3 - - 24.6 - - 18.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 83 - - 16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 480 - - 1748 - - 1559 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1680 - - 2948 - - 2759 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 535 - - 861 - - 2320 - - 2245 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 218 - - 123 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 175 - - 154 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -803 - - 746 - - 884 - - -392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2483 - - 2203 - - 1876 - - 1622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8723 - - 94 - - 187 - - -1747 ODpotential blCL - - - 10403 - - 2854 - - 2572 - - 2977 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 94 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 14.6 - - 23.3 - - 24.6 - - 18.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.1 - - 17.9 - - 20.7 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 14.6 - - 22.8 - - 24.8 - - 20.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.3 - - 16.8 - - 20.2 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 83 - - 16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 480 - - 1748 - - 1559 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 78 - - 88 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95677 83 227 72 238 69 235 72 233 95677 88590 50 257 58 243 58 258 45 248 88590 83126 41 266 49 234 48 259 41 259 83126 78552 37 272 36 233 37 249 38 264 78552 74569 35 273 39 259 33 249 33 264 74569 71002 37 272 40 263 34 258 33 263 71002 67739 37 265 34 260 34 263 34 261 67739 64723 34 255 30 259 31 261 31 254 64723 61912 32 249 30 262 29 261 29 250 61912 59173 33 253 33 265 30 267 29 255 59173 56300 37 258 36 264 37 266 33 258 56300 53303 39 260 37 260 41 261 38 259 53303 50428 37 257 38 259 41 254 40 258 50428 47832 34 254 38 256 40 252 39 257 47832 45500 32 253 36 251 38 251 37 259 45500 43379 33 253 34 247 37 247 38 260 43379 41436 35 252 33 245 36 241 36 255 41436 39648 36 249 32 243 35 237 36 248 39648 37997 38 246 32 241 32 236 34 244 37997 36467 39 240 34 241 30 240 31 240 36467 35042 37 233 36 239 30 241 29 241 35042 33687 35 230 41 232 29 238 27 239 33687 32344 35 224 40 229 29 233 24 227 32344 30988 37 220 36 227 27 237 22 218 30988 29613 39 211 31 234 27 246 18 235 29613 28190 37 203 32 240 26 246 20 248 28190 26701 31 207 30 232 26 246 22 248 26701 25146 28 212 29 221 26 244 20 247 25146 23529 22 216 31 215 26 236 18 257 23529 21856 19 226 26 206 25 221 18 255 21856 20131 17 230 18 207 19 216 16 237 20131 18343 17 243 14 212 16 224 12 226 18343 16482 15 255 12 219 14 231 14 245 16482 14585 12 242 12 213 14 228 14 252 14585 12759 10 218 15 206 15 226 13 255 12759 11099 10 198 16 205 16 219 12 257 11099 9625 12 188 16 203 17 216 13 250 9625 8319 13 192 16 202 17 218 13 242 8319 7162 12 201 16 204 17 221 13 239 7162 6137 12 208 15 207 18 218 14 235 6137 5232 13 208 15 208 16 206 17 225 5232 4434 15 201 15 208 13 190 18 209 4434 3729 18 192 15 206 13 175 18 189 3729 3098 21 182 12*198 13*164 19 174 3098 2539 22 172 10*180 13*157 20 163 2539 2073 20 165 9 176 12 155 19 155 2073 1714 16*160 9 173 11 153 16 150 1714 1466 11*157 8 171 10 151 13 146 1466 1316 9 156 7 171 8 150 9 144 1316 1230 6 155 5 170 6 149 4*142 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography