DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 53.4 - - 49.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 35 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 653 - - 1471 - - 1154 - - 939 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1853 - - 2671 - - 2354 - - 2139 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1071 - - 1367 - - 1646 - - 1767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 160 - - 87 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 284 - - 291 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - 12 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 589 - - 966 - - 718 - - 583 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1265 - - 1705 - - 1636 - - 1556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 120 - - 368 - - 249 - - 103 ODpotential blCL - - - 1733 - - 2303 - - 2105 - - 2036 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 53.4 - - 49.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 50.0 - - 46.8 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 53.4 - - 50.1 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 35 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 653 - - 1471 - - 1154 - - 939 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97087 48 243 48 246 50 256 41 240 97087 90025 25 250 28 255 30 251 22 261 90025 84549 14 274 16 249 19 256 17 293 84549 79982 9 289 11 259 21 252 18 287 79982 76029 10 250 8 238 20 231 15 280 76029 72518 9 271 6 281 13 231 17 271 72518 69335 13 262 19 270 15 260 16 266 69335 66406 12 246 22 260 16 268 11 284 66406 63668 12 260 24 246 25 262 29 279 63668 60999 25 273 29 247 34 249 36 264 60999 58212 35 269 31 255 32 251 33 256 58212 55314 50 265 44 267 36 267 36 264 55314 52550 59 264 52 268 50 280 48 287 52550 50074 62 269 66 274 87 282 93 290 50074 47865 75 274 96 262 115 266 121 271 47865 45857 99 269 95 260 121 256 120 261 45857 43996 93 261 86 280 95 260 105 263 43996 42257 84 275 111 290 92 273 96 268 42257 40632 101 290 126 287 113 278 103 275 40632 39114 124 293 142 283 129 278 112 278 39114 37685 142 291 145 281 134 277 116 279 37685 36305 148 288 142 279 138 277 118 280 36305 34906 147 287 139 278 136 276 118 279 34906 33463 133 287 133 279 123 275 111 276 33463 31984 106 284 116 277 105 273 101 274 31984 30452 84 277 102 272 98 273 94 276 30452 28849 70 272 95 269 100 273 87 278 28849 27178 61 270 87 272 100 275 78 279 27178 25439 57 263 76 272 91 277 68 281 25439 23632 53 260 66 268 76 276 64 281 23632 21756 49 260 63 265 67 274 65 280 21756 19805 51 259 58 265 62 273 65 278 19805 17772 54 262 53 263 57 273 62 278 17772 15699 53 269 49 263 52 271 57 277 15699 13704 51 275 44 266 48 267 53 277 13704 11892 51 278 42 267 46 268 51 278 11892 10282 52 280 41 266 45 270 49 279 10282 8853 52 283 41 264 44 271 46 280 8853 7587 47 282 42 264 42 274 42 285 7587 6474 39 278 42 267 40 278 37 294 6474 5496 34 272 39 269 37 281 34 299 5496 4640 30 265 33 270 34 283 33 300 4640 3887 27 263 28 272 30 285 32 299 3887 3215 24 267 23*276 26 287 31 299 3215 2621 21 274 20*280 23*289 28*298 2621 2125 16*281 17 284 20*290 24*298 2125 1745 12*286 15 285 18 291 20 297 1745 1483 10 289 14 286 15 292 17 297 1483 1324 8 290 12 287 12 292 14 297 1324 1232 5 292 8 288 8 292 8 297 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography