DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 30.5 - - 26.8 - - 16.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 47 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 2161 - - 1688 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2837 - - 3361 - - 2888 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3437 - - 3531 - - 4526 - - 3376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 197 - - 71 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 27 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 216 - - 262 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 17 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 167 - - 1037 - - 404 - - -1222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2670 - - 2324 - - 2484 - - 2452 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -886 - - 227 - - -740 - - -3045 ODpotential blCL - - - 3723 - - 3134 - - 3628 - - 4275 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 96 - - 87 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 30.5 - - 26.8 - - 16.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 24.7 - - 20.4 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 30.6 - - 27.9 - - 20.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 23.8 - - 19.7 - - 11.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 47 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 2161 - - 1688 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 82 - - 47 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94751 61 230 67 251 74 233 79 233 94751 87802 54 240 63 239 68 239 71 247 87802 82504 41 231 56 228 52 234 60 233 82504 77992 42 245 53 236 51 229 61 237 77992 74001 58 263 58 250 55 246 76 255 74001 70477 75 264 70 254 72 258 76 256 70477 67290 83 254 76 255 84 256 68 251 67290 64321 78 245 72 248 85 248 68 246 64321 61532 68 242 67 239 81 243 73 241 61532 58809 65 239 68 238 77 241 76 239 58809 55948 67 238 78 241 71 239 79 240 55948 52961 74 242 83 238 67 240 83 242 52961 50102 84 245 82 239 72 245 87 244 50102 47537 94 245 88 246 86 247 94 247 47537 45253 103 243 105 248 101 244 103 246 45253 43197 111 241 116 242 111 240 110 243 43197 41326 115 238 118 237 114 238 112 241 41326 39604 115 236 120 234 114 236 111 239 39604 38009 117 234 119 232 115 236 112 239 38009 36520 120 233 116 232 118 237 114 239 36520 35128 119 231 111 232 122 236 117 238 35128 33797 118 230 109 234 124 235 117 238 33797 32464 121 230 113 237 125 236 119 239 32464 31103 126 230 124 239 129 238 126 240 31103 29717 132 231 136 238 135 240 133 240 29717 28286 138 232 145 238 140 241 136 239 28286 26792 141 232 149 239 143 241 136 240 26792 25234 143 232 145 239 143 241 135 241 25234 23613 141 232 135 238 138 240 131 242 23613 21929 132 232 125 238 130 241 125 243 21929 20181 115 234 117 238 121 242 120 245 20181 18363 98 235 109 239 112 243 116 249 18363 16474 87 232 97 242 102 245 106 250 16474 14557 78 233 82 240 89 245 90 247 14557 12722 66 240 71 238 74 243 78 248 12722 11064 59 244 54 242 60 244 69 251 11064 9602 51 243 47 243 46 246 57 251 9602 8314 45 242 44 240 40 247 44 249 8314 7171 41 243 41 237 40 249 36 247 7171 6152 38 245 38 234 42 254 33 248 6152 5248 35 246 36 230 42 255 30 249 5248 4449 34 243 32 226 42 256 27 249 4449 3742 33 238 30*223 40 258 25 248 3742 3108 31*234 26*219 38*259 22 246 3108 2547 29*231 23 217 35*260 20 244 2547 2077 25 228 21 215 31 261 18 243 2077 1716 21 226 19 214 27 262 15 241 1716 1467 18 225 17 213 23 263 10 233 1467 1317 15 224 14 213 19 263 7 218 1317 1230 9 222 9 212 11 263 4*191 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography