DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 79.7 - - 80.0 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 173 - - 51 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3766 - - 4313 - - 6156 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3494 - - 3924 - - 4502 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4966 - - 5513 - - 7356 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1925 - - 3606 - - 2263 - - 6720 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 367 - - 390 - - 313 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 279 - - 285 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 602 - - 476 - - 1876 - - -2417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4364 - - 5037 - - 5480 - - 3652 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1024 - - -1093 - - 478 - - -3869 ODpotential blCL - - - 5990 - - 6606 - - 6878 - - 5103 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 69 - - 76 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 810 - - 730 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 79.7 - - 80.0 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.3 - - 61.5 - - 59.9 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.7 - - 78.9 - - 79.9 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 60.3 - - 58.7 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 173 - - 51 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3766 - - 4313 - - 6156 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99360 36 076 34 087 24 078 20 068 99360 91811 33 074 33 089 21 073 23 078 91811 86017 23 075 27 078 17 084 20 070 86017 81201 16 082 17 071 17 081 17 072 81201 77038 12 085 14 074 11 079 14 075 77038 73351 9 079 11 075 11 080 9 070 73351 70010 9 103 6 081 8 078 9 074 70010 66944 6 113 1 328 5 001 7 044 66944 64113 1 034 4 164 1 180 3 243 64113 61380 6 271 8 285 1 276 6 216 61380 58538 7 192 11 220 10 276 12 244 58538 55594 17 264 15 242 19 256 16 234 55594 52784 30 249 25 244 27 259 24 247 52784 50266 42 239 36 245 36 250 31 250 50266 48015 51 226 43 239 41 241 39 246 48015 45970 56 216 47 235 45 235 43 240 45970 44093 58 221 56 232 52 232 49 233 44093 42363 70 224 72 227 67 228 56 227 42363 40762 81 221 90 221 84 218 68 223 40762 39270 90 219 96 218 89 214 76 220 39270 37872 96 218 96 216 89 212 78 219 37872 36528 96 217 98 212 89 212 75 218 36528 35168 93 217 99 212 86 215 68 217 35168 33760 85 217 96 215 79 221 62 223 33760 32307 75 219 86 220 67 227 55 228 32307 30795 66 221 71 228 55 236 49 232 30795 29209 55 227 59 234 49 241 44 234 29209 27548 46 234 49 238 42 242 40 236 27548 25816 39 239 43 240 37 244 37 239 25816 24011 35 249 40 241 34 252 34 242 24011 22132 33 254 39 242 32 258 31 245 22132 20172 28 252 35 245 31 256 30 246 20172 18129 24 257 31 250 29 251 29 249 18129 16052 25 268 27 253 26 253 24 254 16052 14049 27 271 23 263 21 262 18 260 14049 12226 26 270 20 271 19 266 16 270 12226 10608 20 271 16 266 16 261 17 277 10608 9171 17 274 14 263 15 266 16 274 9171 7894 16 277 13 266 16*270 15 271 7894 6756 17 281 13 269 16*276 14 274 6756 5745 17*284 13*273 15 281 13 279 5745 4851 15*282 13*276 15 283 12 284 4851 4058 13 278 13 277 14 286 12 286 4058 3346 13 277 13 278 14 287 11 288 3346 2715 12 277 13 280 13 288 11 289 2715 2187 12 277 12 280 13 289 10 290 2187 1782 11 277 12 281 12 290 9 290 1782 1502 10 278 11 282 11 290 7 289 1502 1332 9 277 10 282 10 290 5 286 1332 1234 7 278 8 282 7 290 2*280 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography