DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 39.9 - - 36.2 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - -20 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 32 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1232 - - 1232 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 702 - - 2342 - - 1838 - - 958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 164 - - 161 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -862 - - -1185 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2094 - - 2417 - - 1232 - - 1232 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5323 - - -3252 - - -1313 - - -2381 ODpotential blCL - - - 6555 - - 4484 - - 2545 - - 3613 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 95 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 39.9 - - 36.2 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 33.4 - - 35.1 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 41.2 - - 38.4 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 32.3 - - 35.7 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - -20 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 32 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 81 - - 95 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94594 67 291 71 278 56 288 54 285 94594 87900 63 293 60 288 53 291 54 283 87900 82602 57 290 57 288 53 291 56 290 82602 78129 52 285 53 284 55 287 58 299 78129 74213 51 284 54 280 58 284 61 299 74213 70703 54 280 55 275 58 280 62 295 70703 67501 58 275 56 269 53 274 60 288 67501 64540 59 270 52 260 50 263 55 275 64540 61780 57 264 49 253 48 255 51 260 61780 59099 52 258 50 251 51 255 52 253 59099 56292 49 255 52 251 55 252 53 248 56292 53362 54 247 58 250 57 248 51 245 53362 50556 57 245 61 250 60 247 56 240 50556 48033 62 246 66 244 69 242 61 240 48033 45782 65 243 75 235 74 239 67 237 45782 43760 69 239 77 229 76 236 67 228 43760 41921 72 236 79 227 79 231 70 230 41921 40224 76 236 84 225 80 227 77 225 40224 38658 85 234 89 224 88 225 82 217 38658 37217 96 232 95 227 99 224 87 216 37217 35880 107 234 106 233 106 224 92 217 35880 34598 121 237 118 236 109 225 100 217 34598 33302 128 235 121 237 112 223 118 211 33302 31961 123 235 114 234 114 222 118 210 31961 30574 118 238 103 230 115 221 112 213 30574 29125 111 240 99 226 111 222 109 213 29125 27603 103 234 97 223 103 222 106 214 27603 26009 104 229 94 223 96 220 97 215 26009 24347 104 227 96 223 94 219 89 210 24347 22619 100 228 97 223 95 219 88 207 22619 20828 87 229 90 222 92 218 81 208 20828 18967 72 232 81 222 85 221 76 209 18967 17031 64 230 70 222 75 220 69 213 17031 15066 61 225 54 221 63 218 58 216 15066 13180 56 225 48 224 53 221 49 211 13180 11470 51 229 46 224 45 222 46 211 11470 9950 49 231 44 222 39 221 39 210 9950 8602 47 229 42 221 34 219 29 207 8602 7405 45 227 39 221 30 219 22 208 7405 6342 43 226 35 220 27 220 18 210 6342 5400 41 225 32 220 24 219 17 212 5400 4569 39 224 29 222 23 216 16 210 4569 3834 36 223 27 221 23 211 16 208 3834 3175 34 223 26 216 23 206 17 207 3175 2593 30 220 23 208 20 202 17 207 2593 2107 22 214 18 199 16 196 16 205 2107 1734 14 199 14 189 12 189 12 200 1734 1477 10 173 11 176 10 180 8 191 1477 1321 7*160 8*169 7*171 5*173 1321 1232 4*146 5*164 3*161 3*153 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography