DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.1 - - 25.3 - - 21.2 - - 14.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 54 - - -12 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 325 - - 1812 - - 31 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1525 - - 3012 - - 1231 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1642 - - 847 - - 1860 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 192 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 220 - - 169 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -773 - - 419 - - -666 - - -797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2298 - - 2594 - - 1897 - - 2027 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2565 - - -11256 - - -13373 - - -16883 ODpotential blCL - - - 4090 - - 14268 - - 14604 - - 18113 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 88 - - 79 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.1 - - 25.3 - - 21.2 - - 14.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 18.6 - - 17.5 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 25.2 - - 24.2 - - 18.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.0 - - 17.4 - - 17.6 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 54 - - -12 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 325 - - 1812 - - 31 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 51 - - 17 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94008 99 268 109 276 105 279 91 282 94008 87309 100 270 106 275 99 274 100 277 87309 82139 95 271 100 276 94 275 105 277 82139 77778 92 275 95 278 95 280 97 282 77778 73972 91 278 92 280 99 284 91 290 73972 70593 90 279 91 278 99 283 90 293 70593 67528 89 278 89 276 92 281 85 289 67528 64696 89 277 84 275 80 279 81 282 64696 62041 86 280 77 276 72 280 76 277 62041 59431 83 284 72 280 71 284 70 278 59431 56668 82 288 74 285 76 289 68 284 56668 53777 83 291 81 288 82 290 70 288 53777 51008 80 292 85 290 82 288 72 290 51008 48510 78 295 83 291 79 289 74 290 48510 46267 79 298 78 290 76 290 73 282 46267 44234 78 299 73 293 76 287 68 280 44234 42389 78 300 71 299 69 289 60 286 42389 40717 79 301 77 304 71 301 82 292 40717 39196 80 304 90 308 83 301 89 290 39196 37794 79 312 99 306 92 295 95 290 37794 36474 81 320 97 303 90 294 99 288 36474 35195 91 324 93 305 84 299 98 287 35195 33891 106 324 89 307 88 306 91 285 33891 32535 114 327 83 305 90 305 83 285 32535 31131 106 328 76 305 88 301 76 280 31131 29664 88 325 72 309 86 298 69 277 29664 28123 76 322 68 313 75 293 59 281 28123 26509 66 326 64 313 62 292 57 282 26509 24817 65 335 61 308 51 292 54 284 24817 23051 65 335 57 302 46 294 51 283 23051 21217 55 331 53 295 46 293 46 275 21217 19309 41 316 47 293 48 286 40 266 19309 17320 43 301 42 292 45 278 39 255 17320 15295 44 299 40 292 38 273 40 255 15295 13348 37 301 36 292 33 267 39 254 13348 11579 31 301 26 288 30 255 38 247 11579 10009 25 301 19 273 31 243 38 242 10009 8620 21 301 16 253 32 237 37 241 8620 7391 17 290 17 242 32 235 36 244 7391 6302 15 262 19 234 31 235 35 244 6302 5342 13 241 20 230 29 233 33 243 5342 4502 10 250 21 229 25 230 33 237 4502 3767 9 277 19 229 22 222 33 229 3767 3116 9 281 15*227 19 213 33 220 3116 2547 7 268 11*221 15 202 30 211 2547 2075 7 242 10 220 13 195 23 202 2075 1714 8*218 9 219 11 189 16 186 1714 1466 7*212 8 219 9 183 12 170 1466 1316 5 208 7 219 6*178 9 160 1316 1230 3 205 5 218 3*169 4*146 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography