DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 43.7 - - 43.9 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 102 - - 98 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4274 - - 4379 - - 3931 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3407 - - 3599 - - 3237 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5474 - - 5579 - - 5131 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3479 - - 3602 - - 3826 - - 7441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 320 - - 303 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 20 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 305 - - 300 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1203 - - 1045 - - 971 - - -1846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4271 - - 4534 - - 4160 - - 3078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -156 - - -34 - - 247 - - -2952 ODpotential blCL - - - 5630 - - 5613 - - 4884 - - 4184 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 60 - - 70 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 43.7 - - 43.9 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 28.0 - - 29.9 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 43.4 - - 43.7 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 26.9 - - 28.9 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 102 - - 98 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4274 - - 4379 - - 3931 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97812 9 119 11 131 10 148 7 216 97812 90416 10 178 10 144 7 171 6 190 90416 84715 13 172 5 195 4 140 7 166 84715 79979 19 162 13 212 5 233 5 128 79979 75881 14 138 15 174 10 195 4 189 75881 72249 8 183 13 158 8 191 7 203 72249 68955 12 190 13 164 10 186 10 166 68955 65913 14 202 11 177 9 220 10 203 65913 63072 21 203 22 209 16 225 14 201 63072 60287 21 214 25 219 25 226 22 215 60287 57348 30 216 29 215 31 210 29 219 57348 54287 29 214 28 215 32 206 32 213 54287 51363 32 220 30 219 31 208 26 214 51363 48727 39 218 35 224 30 218 30 228 48727 46366 42 215 38 223 32 219 35 230 46366 44231 39 211 36 215 28 216 33 231 44231 42284 33 210 31 215 26 227 29 237 42284 40499 31 218 30 223 29 238 30 240 40499 38854 34 222 33 227 32 242 27 236 38854 37326 35 222 34 224 32 240 25 243 37326 35900 34 220 29 222 28 241 26 249 35900 34539 36 216 24 226 25 253 22 257 34539 33179 35 211 22 234 27 259 25 276 33179 31795 31 207 20 244 26 262 27 276 31795 30387 24 204 19 251 24 268 26 276 30387 28934 19 213 19 258 24 278 26 287 28934 27423 18 230 19 261 25 285 32 298 27423 25854 18 227 20 256 28 293 36 300 25854 24222 17 224 21 249 33 301 34 298 24222 22525 16 227 19 251 36 307 32 296 22525 20760 15 231 18 270 38 312 31 295 20760 18924 14 237 19 287 37 315 31 296 18924 17008 12 249 21 294 32 311 31 296 17008 15051 11 274 20 300 27 307 32 296 15051 13162 14 291 21 299 25 305 32 297 13162 11445 14 297 22 301 27 304 33 298 11445 9929 12 321 18 303 27 298 33 292 9929 8595 13 325 19 304 27 296 31 288 8595 7412 13 325 21 304 27 297 30 289 7412 6357 15*324 21*305 26 298 29 291 6357 5418 18*321 22*305 23*299 28 293 5418 4587 18 320 22 305 22*300 26 294 4587 3851 18 320 21 305 21 300 24 295 3851 3190 18 320 21 306 20 300 22 295 3190 2605 17 319 21 306 20 300 19 295 2605 2115 17 319 20 305 19 300 17 294 2115 1739 16 319 19 306 18 300 14 292 1739 1480 15 318 17 306 16 300 10 289 1480 1322 13 318 15 306 14 299 8*287 1322 1232 9 318 10 306 9 299 4*284 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography