DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.8 - - 78.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4502 - - 4869 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3855 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5702 - - 6069 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2220 - - 2018 - - 3632 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 350 - - 206 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 22 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 253 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 931 - - 1817 - - -1030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4771 - - 4253 - - 2264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -265 - - -449 - - -3418 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5967 - - 6518 - - 4652 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 83 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 440 - - 470 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.8 - - 78.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.9 - - 63.3 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.4 - - 79.2 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.7 - - 62.0 - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4502 - - 4869 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 74 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98266 10 129 10 098 11 010 98266 90845 12 113 4 112 3 006 90845 85139 10 085 4 223 7 059 85139 80416 11 066 2 117 5 037 80416 76358 5 015 4 081 5 004 76358 72777 7 012 7 046 4 289 72777 69540 12 004 11 008 6 317 69540 66558 11 318 8 334 9 338 66558 63791 4 288 14 328 16 317 63791 61116 13 312 17 308 13 328 61116 58328 24 305 21 316 16 337 58328 55438 26 287 29 300 29 302 55438 52701 29 279 34 291 29 284 52701 50259 35 282 41 285 29 286 50259 48090 40 273 42 264 32 277 48090 46140 34 268 32 253 31 270 46140 44361 24 271 30 259 33 267 44361 42715 26 264 32 272 30 264 42715 41170 29 248 29 288 27 261 41170 39711 31 235 30 289 28 263 39711 38328 28 229 34 282 30 267 38328 36987 23 233 37 280 32 272 36987 35619 25 250 37 279 33 272 35619 34196 33 259 35 275 34 268 34196 32722 39 252 33 272 33 265 32722 31180 43 251 31 271 31 260 31180 29559 44 256 35 270 30 254 29559 27861 45 259 46 263 39 261 27861 26087 45 259 53 256 49 262 26087 24240 44 258 52 258 47 260 24240 22324 43 257 43 262 37 266 22324 20339 45 257 31 273 32 277 20339 18281 47 254 30 276 33 282 18281 16184 49 250 33 275 34 279 16184 14163 45 248 35 273 36 281 14163 12325 42 249 34 271 37 284 12325 10691 39 252 33 267 38 287 10691 9236 38 255 31 263 37 286 9236 7940 36 254 29 258 36 281 7940 6788 33 253 27*255 37 273 6788 5766 29*249 26*254 37 263 5766 4865 25*246 25 254 34 254 4865 4068 24 245 24 254 30 248 4068 3353 23 244 23 253 28 246 3353 2719 22 243 22 253 25 247 2719 2190 21 243 21 253 21 248 2190 1783 20 242 19 252 16 249 1783 1503 18 242 16 252 10 245 1503 1332 15 241 13 252 6 234 1332 1234 11 241 8 250 3*193 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography