DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.4 - - 16.2 - - 17.8 - - 11.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 55 - - 18 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 518 - - 1051 - - 1341 - - 1357 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1718 - - 2251 - - 2541 - - 2557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1061 - - 873 - - 1932 - - 932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 159 - - 120 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 93 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 0 - - 7 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 057 - - 299 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 8 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -59 - - 341 - - 727 - - 518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1777 - - 1910 - - 1814 - - 2039 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5563 - - -2636 - - 67 - - -1620 ODpotential blCL - - - 7281 - - 4887 - - 2474 - - 4177 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 95 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.4 - - 16.2 - - 17.8 - - 11.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 12.3 - - 14.3 - - 6.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.5 - - 16.0 - - 18.0 - - 11.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 11.5 - - 13.9 - - 6.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 55 - - 18 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 518 - - 1051 - - 1341 - - 1357 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 80 - - 92 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95330 140 228 132 230 133 235 147 234 95330 88068 110 236 121 231 112 239 111 237 88068 82565 81 244 95 233 91 237 100 246 82565 78082 66 245 73 232 77 233 88 243 78082 74262 60 241 64 236 72 236 77 234 74262 70855 59 236 64 241 71 238 64 227 70855 67712 59 233 67 242 65 231 58 229 67712 64772 56 232 66 239 60 228 61 237 64772 62017 58 238 68 236 60 233 69 242 62017 59337 70 242 72 233 69 239 74 241 59337 56531 78 236 71 235 79 237 76 237 56531 53593 79 236 81 239 83 234 80 234 53593 50759 85 240 89 235 85 232 83 234 50759 48184 96 240 89 233 85 230 86 234 48184 45857 98 238 86 232 84 231 90 233 45857 43728 95 239 87 234 88 233 95 232 43728 41769 97 239 93 236 94 233 97 230 41769 39958 105 237 99 236 98 232 97 228 39958 38278 111 232 104 235 100 231 96 229 38278 36718 115 232 107 234 100 230 99 230 36718 35267 120 232 109 234 98 230 102 229 35267 33881 123 230 110 232 97 230 102 226 33881 32486 126 230 109 229 96 229 99 225 32486 31054 128 229 108 227 96 229 95 225 31054 29592 130 227 103 228 98 228 92 225 29592 28088 125 227 98 229 101 226 89 225 28088 26534 110 229 92 229 102 222 86 224 26534 24933 93 230 82 225 98 219 82 222 24933 23289 76 232 75 224 93 218 77 219 23289 21608 63 230 69 223 87 218 71 215 21608 19887 61 229 66 221 80 219 67 212 19887 18103 60 228 68 223 72 218 60 211 18103 16249 58 228 69 228 68 217 48 212 16249 14368 54 230 61 231 59 219 32 209 14368 12564 43 233 46 232 38 216 28 199 12564 10926 29 234 29 232 26 204 28 207 10926 9476 14 208 19 201 29 199 20 219 9476 8195 6 188 19 179 28 194 12 229 8195 7058 10 217 16 198 18 196 6 254 7058 6049 17 185 17 206 11 218 6 286 6049 5156 24 156 17 197 9 224 10 306 5156 4369 29 136 16 179 9 228 15 309 4369 3675 28 124 15 161 7 238 20 309 3675 3056 23 120 11 158 6*266 23*311 3056 2509 15 119 5*159 7*292 22*311 2509 2053 10*116 0*111 7 299 21 310 2053 1702 6*109 0 057 7 301 18 310 1702 1461 3 098 0 048 7 302 15 309 1461 1314 3 093 0 014 6 303 12 309 1314 1230 2 088 0 031 4 303 7 308 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography