DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 9.6 - - 21.3 - - 24.9 - - 20.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 86 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 275 - - 1312 - - 1617 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1475 - - 2512 - - 2817 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 273 - - 615 - - 1625 - - 3000 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 198 - - 121 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 79 - - 48 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 154 - - 209 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -163 - - 738 - - 476 - - -533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1638 - - 1774 - - 2341 - - 1764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9504 - - 490 - - -35 - - -1700 ODpotential blCL - - - 10979 - - 2022 - - 2852 - - 2931 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 9.6 - - 21.3 - - 24.9 - - 20.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.2 - - 18.2 - - 19.2 - - 17.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.4 - - 20.9 - - 25.0 - - 22.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.0 - - 17.1 - - 18.5 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 86 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 275 - - 1312 - - 1617 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 92 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95927 76 216 75 223 76 222 71 229 95927 88696 62 215 72 218 58 234 60 230 88696 83126 50 231 61 226 62 245 54 246 83126 78529 44 245 48 227 54 245 49 250 78529 74570 39 248 39 237 45 236 41 253 74570 71047 36 254 37 262 41 250 38 248 71047 67813 38 264 43 268 41 261 38 263 67813 64815 36 269 44 264 45 263 43 274 64815 62031 35 270 45 263 46 261 46 272 62031 59329 36 269 45 265 45 266 44 266 59329 56491 38 273 47 265 47 270 43 262 56491 53519 42 279 50 266 51 270 44 260 53519 50661 45 282 53 266 56 270 47 259 50661 48075 48 280 51 265 58 268 48 259 48075 45753 48 277 49 264 56 266 48 261 45753 43649 47 275 47 265 52 263 50 260 43649 41733 49 272 47 267 50 259 53 257 41733 39976 47 270 47 265 49 257 51 251 39976 38349 43 267 46 263 49 257 47 250 38349 36837 41 264 46 263 47 259 44 253 36837 35427 42 260 46 263 46 260 41 254 35427 34084 40 252 46 261 46 261 40 255 34084 32741 37 245 47 257 48 259 43 256 32741 31371 35 242 46 252 48 256 48 255 31371 29976 33 241 41 248 44 254 50 254 29976 28539 32 239 37 246 41 255 49 253 28539 27043 31 237 35 245 39 254 47 254 27043 25485 29 234 34 239 37 252 45 254 25485 23859 27 232 33 230 36 253 39 253 23859 22168 22 226 31 223 35 255 34 252 22168 20414 20 209 29 220 33 255 31 250 20414 18591 19 197 27 220 31 252 28 244 18591 16697 18 200 26 218 28 246 26 236 16697 14766 17 209 25 209 24 244 25 228 14766 12906 15 218 23 199 20 242 24 223 12906 11213 13 224 21 201 17 222 20 222 11213 9711 14 228 19 208 17 204 17 217 9711 8383 13 235 15 211 17 206 16 208 8383 7211 12 243 11 214 15 208 14 207 7211 6178 9 247 8 219 12 214 11 235 6178 5266 7 245 8 226 11 228 11 257 5266 4462 5 241 8 230 10 233 9 251 4462 3750 4 245 7 230 9 228 8 243 3750 3112 3 282 5 224 6*225 7 234 3112 2549 6 301 2*201 3*218 6 224 2549 2078 6 298 1*182 1 208 5 212 2078 1716 4*291 1 157 1 198 3 188 1716 1468 1*291 1 140 0 189 2 152 1468 1317 0 041 1 126 0 180 2*142 1317 1231 0 025 1 112 0 155 2*142 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography