DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.4 - - 26.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 73 - - -2 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 1674 - - 1143 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1862 - - 2874 - - 2343 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 658 - - 1105 - - 1993 - - 756 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 208 - - 62 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 201 - - 200 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -956 - - -608 - - -541 - - -627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2819 - - 3482 - - 2884 - - 1858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7323 - - -4894 - - -2674 - - -3974 ODpotential blCL - - - 9185 - - 7768 - - 5017 - - 5205 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 88 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.4 - - 26.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.4 - - 20.1 - - 24.2 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 30.7 - - 32.8 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.3 - - 19.0 - - 23.2 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 73 - - -2 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 1674 - - 1143 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 52 - - 95 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96838 13 074 11 099 12 088 8 077 96838 89643 13 084 12 110 11 093 9 119 89643 83997 11 114 10 118 6 152 7 119 83997 79254 12 141 7 128 6 171 4 341 79254 75151 12 174 11 194 9 223 6 254 75151 71521 9 211 13 189 16 230 7 233 71521 68215 14 242 15 238 26 227 16 233 68215 65158 18 231 25 245 29 232 22 238 65158 62314 13 249 24 234 27 229 31 245 62314 59559 22 270 19 230 29 223 34 240 59559 56676 43 263 28 247 33 248 32 240 56676 53670 50 242 46 248 43 260 35 247 53670 50801 47 238 54 245 53 255 54 253 50801 48228 50 239 61 239 62 242 62 246 48228 45922 55 238 64 235 59 243 57 252 45922 43831 54 245 60 235 67 253 72 257 43831 41928 63 253 66 243 82 248 83 246 41928 40189 72 248 73 240 87 236 78 241 40189 38582 73 241 69 241 79 229 70 248 38582 37084 70 241 74 253 66 231 74 260 37084 35680 73 246 89 253 66 249 85 265 35680 34338 79 248 102 245 87 256 98 262 34338 32993 87 249 106 239 107 248 106 254 32993 31614 92 249 107 235 112 238 105 247 31614 30199 93 250 105 235 104 235 97 244 30199 28732 89 252 102 236 96 237 91 250 28732 27206 83 252 97 237 95 241 90 255 27206 25627 79 250 85 239 92 244 85 259 25627 23995 77 251 76 238 82 242 77 261 23995 22309 73 256 77 237 79 237 72 259 22309 20568 65 262 74 241 77 240 73 259 20568 18761 56 262 61 243 66 251 73 264 18761 16878 50 257 52 244 54 254 66 268 16878 14956 42 252 48 244 48 254 58 263 14956 13099 39 250 46 243 45 254 56 260 13099 11405 40 252 43 245 46 254 54 264 11405 9894 41 254 42 251 47 253 47 266 9894 8549 40 254 43 254 45 252 42 265 8549 7354 38 254 43 254 41 253 38 263 7354 6295 34 252 40 253 36 254 34 262 6295 5359 30 249 32 251 31 251 32 261 5359 4533 26 242 26 245 26 243 30 258 4533 3804 21 230 21 235 22 232 28 251 3804 3151 18 208 15*221 19 220 25 239 3151 2574 18 184 10*207 15*210 24 226 2574 2093 16*173 9 201 13*204 21 214 2093 1725 13*169 8 199 12 201 15 199 1725 1472 11 167 7 198 10 198 11 180 1472 1319 9 166 6 196 8 196 8*170 1319 1231 6 166 5 195 5 196 4*163 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography