DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 60.8 - - 60.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 179 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2108 - - 3833 - - 3826 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2185 - - 3526 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3308 - - 5033 - - 5026 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1900 - - 1239 - - 1369 - - 2642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 365 - - 198 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 060 - - 059 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1906 - - -1360 - - -1233 - - -2289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5214 - - 6393 - - 6260 - - 3522 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10350 - - -9116 - - -9023 - - -10961 ODpotential blCL - - - 13658 - - 14149 - - 14049 - - 12194 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 55 - - 59 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 60.8 - - 60.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 37.6 - - 38.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 36.5 - - 37.2 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 179 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2108 - - 3833 - - 3826 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98569 7 110 10 155 11 203 6 300 98569 91176 7 110 8 173 5 212 3 159 91176 85454 7 114 5 160 5 187 1 049 85454 80710 3 101 3 108 4 175 4 173 80710 76603 7 312 2 319 2 239 4 197 76603 72963 5 288 5 271 5 318 8 337 72963 69697 7 342 5 326 2 024 5 324 69697 66705 12 304 11 311 6 338 9 335 66705 63934 8 302 9 284 12 302 15 314 63934 61263 11 316 9 286 14 292 13 299 61263 58473 17 307 13 292 17 290 11 294 58473 55573 21 293 19 290 19 290 13 305 55573 52803 23 282 22 286 22 286 15 305 52803 50309 24 276 23 279 24 283 18 301 50309 48072 27 269 24 270 24 277 20 287 48072 46040 29 262 24 265 24 271 21 276 46040 44179 32 258 26 260 25 264 22 263 44179 42462 34 254 27 262 22 262 21 252 42462 40868 34 254 25 264 18 261 16 250 40868 39378 33 252 21 266 12 260 9 263 39378 37983 32 250 17 277 6 284 1 352 37983 36639 28 252 12 278 5 297 7 031 36639 35278 26 253 9 272 3 289 8 036 35278 33867 20 256 8 302 3 021 12 053 33867 32407 15 276 12 322 8 013 14 044 32407 30883 16 293 13 322 11 007 14 035 30883 29286 14 307 11 329 11 015 14 037 29286 27614 13 336 12 358 14 028 15 042 27614 25866 18 358 17 013 17 030 15 046 25866 24043 24 014 21 015 18 028 16 047 24043 22145 25 023 24 019 19 027 16 043 22145 20167 22 025 25 027 20 033 16 044 20167 18100 22 023 25 035 21 039 17 048 18100 15986 24 029 22 038 21 038 18 049 15986 13949 26 043 20 045 19 039 18 050 13949 12100 24 049 19 053 17 045 17 052 12100 10460 21 046 18 055 16 051 16 054 10460 9008 20 044 17 054 16 057 15 061 9008 7725 20 050 18 058 16 065 14 069 7725 6596 20 055 17 066 13 068 12 068 6596 5604 21 059 14*067 9*061 11 061 5604 4731 20 066 11*062 9*060 10 062 4731 3961 17*074 10 061 9 060 9 065 3961 3270 14*076 10 061 8 059 9 068 3270 2660 11 074 10 060 8 059 9 069 2660 2150 10 072 9 060 8 058 8 069 2150 1759 9 070 9 059 7 058 8 068 1759 1489 8 069 8 058 7 057 6 065 1489 1326 7 068 7 058 6 056 4 059 1326 1233 5 068 6 057 4 055 3*058 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography