DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 7.2 - - 19.5 - - 24.6 - - 17.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 47 - - -12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 868 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 706 - - 708 - - 708 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 927 - - 1608 - - 860 - - 725 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 597 - - 390 - - 1407 - - 140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 142 - - 23 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 22 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 210 - - 214 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1360 - - -1414 - - -1910 - - -917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2287 - - 3023 - - 2770 - - 1642 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -23108 - - -20022 - - -18181 - - -18900 ODpotential blCL - - - 24035 - - 21630 - - 19041 - - 19625 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 85 - - 60 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 7.2 - - 19.5 - - 24.6 - - 17.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.4 - - 9.2 - - 15.4 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 7.5 - - 19.4 - - 25.8 - - 20.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.0 - - 8.1 - - 14.7 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 47 - - -12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 868 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95490 42 323 52 321 53 328 52 323 95490 88712 44 331 53 320 53 313 54 315 88712 83421 48 330 43 320 48 307 48 317 83421 78953 40 320 37 311 45 298 44 310 78953 75067 35 319 33 305 42 293 43 292 75067 71604 33 322 33 297 41 293 42 290 71604 68440 26 311 36 297 45 299 41 304 68440 65512 24 306 37 295 43 302 43 307 65512 62802 34 318 36 292 37 300 40 302 62802 60178 37 310 34 299 28 298 45 295 60178 57411 39 315 34 317 26 299 45 292 57411 54512 45 311 36 317 39 295 46 300 54512 51735 54 302 44 302 44 295 46 298 51735 49235 53 307 46 299 47 302 53 307 49235 47008 62 306 56 308 57 302 61 306 47008 44992 61 302 65 302 62 301 60 308 44992 43145 62 304 64 307 59 314 62 315 43145 41448 67 306 64 307 61 312 61 314 41448 39887 68 302 63 303 62 303 59 308 39887 38448 64 321 62 303 64 301 60 301 38448 37108 72 330 62 306 64 305 60 303 37108 35819 79 328 66 305 69 307 68 306 35819 34506 77 322 68 302 71 305 70 301 34506 33137 70 316 68 299 69 302 71 298 33137 31712 66 314 66 303 67 302 71 294 31712 30215 65 313 65 312 66 303 70 296 30215 28637 64 313 67 315 68 305 67 297 28637 26977 63 312 65 311 68 303 65 295 26977 25238 62 312 62 307 66 300 67 296 25238 23420 62 310 61 305 64 300 67 301 23420 21528 64 307 61 307 65 305 68 304 21528 19553 67 310 63 309 66 308 67 306 19553 17488 66 314 64 308 66 308 63 307 17488 15376 64 314 60 306 63 306 56 306 15376 13337 65 313 58 305 58 302 50 307 13337 11481 55 312 53 302 52 294 44 305 11481 9833 42 297 46 293 49 293 40 302 9833 8372 44 289 45 285 42 298 37 301 8372 7077 43 277 45 271 42 291 33 311 7077 5931 42 268 45 268 43 283 26 320 5931 4924 46 262 47 265 40 281 26 316 4924 4052 44 250 47 257 43 272 29 292 4052 3302 41 241 46 247 40 258 33 272 3302 2642 41 230 41 236 31 246 33 260 2642 2062 39 214 32*219 25 235 27 246 2062 1580 33 201 25*212 19 223 21 231 1580 1213 26 196 24 211 17 220 21 207 1213 962 21*193 22 210 15*217 17 196 962 810 19*192 20 209 13*215 15*193 810 724 14 191 16 209 9 214 7*187 724 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography