DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1704z - - 1706z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 64.8 - - 76.7 - - 81.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 88 - - 314 - - 201 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 742 - - 2935 - - 3628 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 710 - - 2614 - - 2957 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1482 - - 3675 - - 4368 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 312 - - 678 - - 930 - - 1314 - - 4446 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 173 - - 398 - - 369 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 040 - - 058 - - 085 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1319 - - -2822 - - -4994 - - -5554 - - -7445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2046 - - 4304 - - 8670 - - 9923 - - 8174 sfcLCL ODpotential -9576 - - -8794 - - -8545 - - -8413 - - -10785 ODpotential blCL 10303 - - 10276 - - 12220 - - 12781 - - 11514 blCL maxRH 65 - - 55 - - 45 - - 48 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 64.8 - - 76.7 - - 81.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 48.6 - - 41.3 - - 40.7 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.5 - - 64.2 - - 74.8 - - 80.4 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 47.3 - - 40.3 - - 39.7 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 88 - - 314 - - 201 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 742 - - 2935 - - 3628 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97476 13 279 10 240 17 259 15 265 18 293 97476 90189 10 316 1 155 9 289 5 273 7 302 90189 84561 13 353 7 025 1 231 2 001 6 297 84561 79889 7 342 7 346 4 345 2 009 6 312 79889 75869 4 004 9 338 4 057 4 232 6 298 75869 72317 7 303 10 323 6 009 2 342 3 323 72317 69093 1 340 8 309 11 316 14 330 13 337 69093 66119 15 340 10 341 10 309 18 304 20 320 66119 63364 26 317 17 321 15 298 21 292 25 313 63364 60685 29 306 24 312 22 285 24 300 31 309 60685 57872 34 300 32 300 33 289 41 292 42 292 57872 54946 39 301 39 294 39 287 42 281 42 289 54946 52148 51 299 48 296 44 299 45 292 49 292 52148 49638 59 290 55 290 56 295 58 294 63 286 49638 47409 55 289 61 285 66 292 70 291 66 286 47409 45406 56 293 61 284 72 288 71 292 73 287 45406 43587 61 288 59 286 72 288 75 294 78 283 43587 41932 61 287 60 288 73 290 80 291 80 281 41932 40408 60 290 62 288 75 288 85 291 82 282 40408 38978 59 290 59 285 75 284 89 291 87 282 38978 37622 59 286 57 285 69 282 87 288 88 281 37622 36302 55 283 56 287 63 283 85 285 86 282 36302 34955 52 285 56 287 58 284 75 282 79 284 34955 33551 49 286 52 282 53 286 64 281 69 286 33551 32097 46 289 44 281 52 286 56 282 63 283 32097 30580 44 291 43 282 48 282 51 283 54 283 30580 28989 43 291 42 281 45 282 47 282 47 288 28989 27323 43 292 40 280 43 283 44 282 42 290 27323 25579 42 293 37 280 41 285 36 284 36 288 25579 23757 39 292 36 281 38 286 31 288 33 285 23757 21858 36 288 34 283 35 287 29 288 24 284 21858 19880 34 279 34 281 33 285 27 288 20 284 19880 17823 36 275 34 276 32 275 27 276 19 270 17823 15733 34 273 31 275 30 268 28 265 19 251 15733 13715 31 279 23 289 20 280 21 275 14 258 13715 11871 28 291 21 303 17 302 10 291 8 217 11871 10226 26 304 21 308 16 303 8 298 7 202 10226 8759 26 316 21 318 14 314 5 291 9 193 8759 7450 24 319 19 328 11 341 2 202 11 185 7450 6287 24 312 18 327 9 346 4 182 11 172 6287 5260 26 301 18 328 9 003 5*133 12 151 5260 4355 25 298 19 356 9*056 6*096 11 131 4355 3556 22 312 18 023 7*058 7 090 11 106 3556 2840 19 331 16 033 7 058 7 086 12 094 2840 2207 15 349 16 045 7 058 7 084 12 086 2207 1679 18 003 15*044 7 058 7 081 13 080 1679 1273 24 011 11*040 7 057 7 079 13 077 1273 994 19 007 10 040 7 057 7 078 12 074 994 825 16*006 9 039 6 058 7 078 10*072 825 728 8*003 8 040 6 057 6 078 7*069 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography