DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 79.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 253 - - 99 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2089 - - 2829 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1910 - - 1958 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2829 - - 3569 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 611 - - 1187 - - 2133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 328 - - 267 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 337 - - 293 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1865 - - -3290 - - -3909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4694 - - 6860 - - 4639 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5470 - - -7943 - - -9670 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8299 - - 11512 - - 10399 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 52 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 79.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 52.0 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.2 - - 78.7 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.5 - - 51.7 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 253 - - 99 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2089 - - 2829 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97646 26 284 26 287 30 283 97646 90436 15 294 25 274 27 287 90436 84833 12 263 25 277 26 294 84833 80153 11 276 15 275 23 296 80153 76133 10 298 12 298 20 292 76133 72600 13 292 17 281 17 288 72600 69420 9 318 13 286 13 290 69420 66516 17 325 16 287 12 298 66516 63832 20 289 18 282 18 313 63832 61237 20 267 24 285 21 298 61237 58542 26 271 24 284 28 291 58542 55754 29 274 32 285 33 277 55754 53087 30 288 33 277 32 282 53087 50672 30 300 33 278 30 282 50672 48491 35 320 33 283 31 305 48491 46498 47 321 41 297 42 309 46498 44657 56 315 48 300 49 300 44657 42939 57 311 47 303 48 300 42939 41327 47 308 46 314 56 306 41327 39814 40 303 47 318 66 309 39814 38390 39 301 53 316 69 311 38390 37016 35 309 66 311 68 313 37016 35625 35 318 62 314 68 312 35625 34185 36 316 46 318 64 315 34185 32696 36 314 39 323 52 315 32696 31149 38 320 43 331 36 325 31149 29523 39 324 43 331 35 336 29523 27812 37 328 43 327 42 339 27812 26015 34 329 42 325 36 338 26015 24138 30 327 30 321 29 333 24138 22190 28 330 27 316 24 320 22190 20164 25 335 22 315 22 308 20164 18053 23 335 18 318 21 298 18053 15903 25 331 18 321 16 297 15903 13835 20 336 21 318 16 305 13835 11958 22 344 22 308 20 300 11958 10293 25 342 21 306 23 288 10293 8814 25 338 20 309 22 283 8814 7497 23 344 19 315 19 286 7497 6325 21 351 16 326 14 292 6325 5288 19 345 12 333 11 292 5288 4375 18 345 10*319 11 283 4375 3568 14*350 7*296 12 268 3568 2848 6*339 6 293 10 249 2848 2212 6 336 6 293 8 245 2212 1682 5 336 6 293 7 246 1682 1275 5 336 5 292 6 247 1275 995 5 336 5 293 5 246 995 825 5 336 5 294 4*240 825 728 4 337 4 294 3*235 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography