DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 55.0 - - 58.0 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 211 - - 46 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2205 - - 2691 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 1926 - - 710 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1402 - - 2945 - - 3431 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 779 - - 944 - - 1924 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 314 - - 203 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 286 - - 293 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2944 - - -4523 - - -5000 - - -5111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4347 - - 7469 - - 8431 - - 5839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11957 - - -13638 - - -13541 - - -15769 ODpotential blCL - - - 13359 - - 16583 - - 16972 - - 16496 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 69 - - 46 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 55.0 - - 58.0 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 25.0 - - 23.6 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 54.0 - - 57.9 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 24.7 - - 23.5 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 211 - - 46 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2205 - - 2691 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95925 43 269 35 262 52 252 55 260 95925 88956 45 270 41 262 42 261 44 268 88956 83546 37 273 42 265 36 284 33 285 83546 79014 37 254 39 263 35 288 26 282 79014 75056 35 276 33 281 32 294 25 294 75056 71539 33 284 29 293 34 301 32 307 71539 68379 24 285 28 285 33 286 30 312 68379 65471 25 318 24 293 27 282 29 315 65471 62756 34 321 30 314 32 298 33 314 62756 60115 36 315 33 314 35 297 37 304 60115 57364 40 292 33 309 35 302 38 301 57364 54505 36 293 40 290 42 298 46 296 54505 51764 60 298 48 290 45 293 50 293 51764 49292 65 289 58 291 51 293 51 295 49292 47071 64 290 65 293 59 293 58 300 47071 45058 75 293 71 293 70 293 70 298 45058 43228 83 287 80 297 73 292 74 297 43228 41558 86 290 86 301 75 294 77 301 41558 40019 90 299 86 300 79 292 83 305 40019 38583 98 307 84 298 82 288 84 302 38583 37230 99 306 83 296 82 284 82 299 37230 35919 94 303 83 295 82 283 81 297 35919 34581 91 301 83 295 81 283 81 296 34581 33190 88 298 83 294 80 284 81 295 33190 31746 88 294 82 293 77 286 78 293 31746 30235 90 291 80 290 76 290 76 295 30235 28646 90 291 79 288 77 292 72 297 28646 26978 89 292 78 288 78 293 69 297 26978 25231 90 293 80 290 77 292 68 294 25231 23407 94 292 82 295 76 292 66 291 23407 21510 94 293 84 298 76 297 64 293 21510 19534 90 294 83 298 76 300 63 297 19534 17474 86 297 80 299 71 303 64 299 17474 15371 77 302 72 302 67 305 61 304 15371 13344 66 303 61 305 58 306 57 308 13344 11506 59 301 53 302 50 306 51 308 11506 9884 55 300 50 298 48 301 46 306 9884 8451 52 302 48 297 46 301 45 307 8451 7183 50 303 47 303 44 305 46 311 7183 6061 46 305 47 308 40 306 45 311 6061 5072 43 306 42 311 37 305 39 306 5072 4203 42 307 36 307 31*300 35 298 4203 3435 41 311 30*299 26*294 32 293 3435 2748 36 313 22*287 25 293 30 292 2748 2141 33 311 21 286 24 293 28 293 2141 1635 27*306 21 285 23 292 26 292 1635 1246 21*300 20 285 22 292 23 291 1246 979 19 299 19 285 21 292 18 285 979 818 17 298 18 285 18 292 16*283 818 726 13 298 15 284 15 292 6*273 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography