DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 69.7 - - 71.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 255 - - 122 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 4127 - - 4474 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 3426 - - 3279 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1546 - - 4867 - - 5214 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2612 - - 770 - - 808 - - 3885 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 413 - - 333 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 053 - - 030 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4640 - - -2305 - - -2144 - - -4882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6186 - - 7172 - - 7358 - - 5610 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14193 - - -9981 - - -9789 - - -14244 ODpotential blCL - - - 15739 - - 14848 - - 15003 - - 14972 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 63 - - 63 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 69.7 - - 71.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 41.0 - - 41.5 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 68.2 - - 70.2 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 40.3 - - 40.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 255 - - 122 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 806 - - 4127 - - 4474 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98059 12 264 18 244 29 231 31 251 98059 90690 18 255 22 235 22 252 22 253 90690 84985 20 249 21 249 22 253 18 266 84985 80239 11 235 19 253 19 261 17 273 80239 76161 8 292 13 240 14 261 14 291 76161 72578 15 308 11 286 9 280 14 300 72578 69350 17 294 12 291 13 277 18 302 69350 66391 16 296 16 295 18 291 21 307 66391 63654 24 298 23 289 23 292 24 297 63654 61003 32 289 26 286 27 291 25 292 61003 58239 36 284 33 282 33 286 29 291 58239 55383 45 285 41 280 41 281 36 285 55383 52669 48 283 45 278 45 275 44 275 52669 50230 50 282 46 282 48 273 51 269 50230 48044 56 279 51 287 49 278 53 267 48044 46062 61 277 56 286 50 281 54 269 46062 44247 63 277 61 279 50 279 51 269 44247 42569 58 281 60 277 52 278 46 273 42569 41005 55 289 57 279 51 282 44 278 41005 39535 54 294 50 280 50 284 44 278 39535 38147 50 304 46 285 45 284 42 281 38147 36804 48 314 42 288 39 287 41 281 36804 35438 47 319 39 294 35 291 38 280 35438 34020 46 321 37 302 32 297 36 279 34020 32548 43 318 36 307 32 299 35 280 32548 31008 40 314 35 308 32 298 35 277 31008 29385 39 315 33 304 31 293 35 274 29385 27682 38 319 31 300 31 289 32 281 27682 25899 37 319 29 299 30 288 27 286 25899 24035 31 312 28 296 30 291 28 291 24035 22091 31 307 29 295 30 290 29 288 22091 20058 30 303 29 288 31 288 29 289 20058 17936 28 298 27 291 28 287 26 295 17936 15777 26 299 24 288 27 284 24 296 15777 13700 24 298 23 288 25 288 23 294 13700 11809 25 301 22 291 23 294 20 296 11809 10134 24 306 20 298 19 292 18 297 10134 8654 22 312 18 306 15 301 15 301 8654 7346 20 318 18 319 12 324 11 320 7346 6192 18 329 13 330 6*323 8 313 6192 5178 14 354 5*002 3*009 3 295 5178 4288 13 010 4*042 3 022 1 043 4288 3503 11 012 4 049 3 028 3 057 3503 2800 11 036 5 053 3 031 4 057 2800 2178 12 048 5 055 4 034 4 057 2178 1659 11*048 5 056 4 037 5 054 1659 1262 9*041 5 056 4 037 6 053 1262 988 7 039 5 057 4 038 6 052 988 822 6 038 5 057 4 037 6*051 822 727 6 038 4 057 4 038 5*052 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography