DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 76.0 - - 75.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 231 - - 96 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2297 - - 2551 - - 1046 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 2030 - - 1721 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2147 - - 3037 - - 3291 - - 1786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 918 - - 1429 - - 1434 - - 845 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 329 - - 254 - - 100 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 7 - - 9 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 313 - - 002 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -623 - - -208 - - -20 - - -578 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2770 - - 3245 - - 3311 - - 2364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5567 - - -875 - - -296 - - -6522 ODpotential blCL - - - 7714 - - 3912 - - 3587 - - 8308 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 95 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 76.0 - - 75.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 64.1 - - 63.3 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 74.5 - - 74.8 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 63.8 - - 63.1 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 231 - - 96 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2297 - - 2551 - - 1046 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 81 - - 100 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97333 39 262 35 267 26 259 32 259 97333 90214 16 274 24 255 25 256 24 288 90214 84714 6 288 13 233 20 253 19 290 84714 80130 5 303 7 255 13 264 8 281 80130 76166 5 248 7 257 7 276 6 349 76166 72652 3 226 5 250 7 240 8 301 72652 69473 7 249 7 280 7 247 9 265 69473 66556 13 267 14 256 14 244 13 236 66556 63862 19 250 19 252 18 269 12 256 63862 61268 23 245 27 242 27 261 24 268 61268 58585 25 241 30 243 33 250 34 267 58585 55825 39 248 42 250 42 248 42 244 55825 53200 48 242 47 252 42 252 42 248 53200 50833 45 242 53 258 51 258 45 248 50833 48703 48 252 57 262 59 258 50 255 48703 46754 56 261 63 259 66 257 64 262 46754 44950 62 263 66 256 73 254 72 261 44950 43265 67 265 69 257 75 253 76 258 43265 41680 74 266 72 258 76 253 77 255 41680 40181 80 261 73 260 74 256 76 251 40181 38760 80 257 71 260 70 256 71 249 38760 37385 71 260 67 255 65 258 62 248 37385 35986 68 266 64 256 64 260 56 247 35986 34528 63 260 64 258 64 255 51 254 34528 33017 64 255 62 260 57 248 54 261 33017 31438 62 254 59 261 53 251 53 259 31438 29778 49 257 56 262 54 257 51 252 29778 28036 49 260 52 260 54 250 49 247 28036 26209 57 270 51 255 56 251 53 256 26209 24307 55 283 52 260 49 289 32 287 24307 22335 40 289 53 281 32 296 22 275 22335 20283 33 278 37 288 23 275 24 259 20283 18146 26 267 24 279 25 265 23 264 18146 15970 20 235 21 254 23 268 23 279 15970 13879 27 227 25 243 26 266 19 268 13879 11979 32 245 21 267 27 271 20 270 11979 10293 30 245 15 284 18 281 13 280 10293 8796 31 237 17 254 17 279 13 277 8796 7467 30 244 20 257 16 260 16 278 7467 6288 28 261 16 278 16 253 17 289 6288 5245 26 283 7 287 10 227 10 270 5245 4330 20 305 5 258 5 235 4 227 4330 3529 17 305 6*291 3*337 2 096 3529 2815 15 297 6*304 7*360 6 054 2815 2187 12*298 7 311 8 002 17*046 2187 1665 12*298 7 314 9 003 18*044 1665 1265 11 298 7 316 9 002 17 042 1265 990 11 297 7 317 9 003 16 041 990 823 10 297 7 318 9 002 14 040 823 728 8 297 6 318 8 003 11 040 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography