DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1000z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.3 - - 69.5 - - 71.6 - - 73.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 34 - - 26 - - 35 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 272 - - 970 - - 1435 - - 1239 - - 232 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1012 - - 1710 - - 2175 - - 1979 - - 972 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 995 - - 1805 - - 1945 - - 2238 - - 3119 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 141 - - 155 - - 162 - - 45 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 20 - - 21 - - 23 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 163 - - 157 - - 167 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 285 - - 671 - - 974 - - 806 - - -18 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1039 - - 1201 - - 1173 - - 990 sfcLCL ODpotential -194 - - 180 - - 378 - - 139 - - -766 ODpotential blCL 1206 - - 1530 - - 1797 - - 1840 - - 1738 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 340 - - 450 - - 760 - - 1500 - - 930 CAPE Temp@2m 65.3 - - 69.5 - - 71.6 - - 73.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.3 - - 66.9 - - 68.2 - - 70.1 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.6 - - 69.4 - - 71.7 - - 73.3 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.2 - - 66.5 - - 67.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 34 - - 26 - - 35 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 272 - - 970 - - 1435 - - 1239 - - 232 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98323 8 112 20 085 13 101 17 071 14 064 98323 90890 10 087 11 085 8 092 11 087 13 052 90890 85165 13 051 4 115 8 059 7 056 10 035 85165 80427 11 050 7 106 8 062 2 030 10 030 80427 76343 8 047 10 113 5 079 5 303 9 047 76343 72724 4 034 6 073 9 120 9 264 5 340 72724 69451 5 114 3 005 6 123 9 216 4 267 69451 66448 4 237 1 257 9 254 10 224 6 293 66448 63661 12 246 4 207 17 244 15 236 10 270 63661 60972 17 230 9 248 19 238 17 236 13 249 60972 58179 25 228 19 246 20 234 15 234 16 237 58179 55283 29 223 26 254 19 242 13 233 21 235 55283 52526 29 223 33 238 25 245 25 235 26 231 52526 50061 31 214 40 200 40 220 42 221 36 223 50061 47874 31 218 38 207 39 201 41 210 49 210 47874 45914 47 232 37 224 31 201 43 202 42 190 45914 44132 48 232 37 219 38 211 42 200 34 194 44132 42481 44 232 44 218 45 204 43 205 33 210 42481 40936 39 214 51 212 50 208 50 211 49 204 40936 39479 42 210 51 204 57 204 59 209 60 197 39479 38097 45 213 52 203 61 205 72 203 56 196 38097 36752 44 216 55 203 64 209 65 203 47 200 36752 35380 41 218 57 196 63 204 60 199 42 202 35380 33953 37 222 51 194 58 202 55 195 41 201 33953 32472 35 224 46 197 47 199 51 192 36 197 32472 30925 37 220 44 198 46 190 44 190 33 189 30925 29297 41 217 43 197 44 187 42 190 35 187 29297 27591 40 217 41 194 38 191 40 191 33 191 27591 25806 38 215 41 188 37 192 41 190 33 194 25806 23945 36 210 41 184 38 195 42 189 33 185 23945 22011 34 204 41 185 40 194 44 190 34 177 22011 19998 33 207 42 191 43 189 45 191 34 177 19998 17903 37 210 45 193 45 187 47 192 35 176 17903 15769 42 209 45 189 47 189 49 193 37 179 15769 13715 44 206 44 186 48 191 49 194 36 180 13715 11852 44 205 44 185 45 192 46 193 34 179 11852 10200 42 205 44 183 45 189 43 187 35 180 10200 8732 40 201 43 182 46 186 42 182 38 183 8732 7427 39 196 43 183 46 186 42 179 41 188 7427 6269 34 192 37 183 44 183 40 177 42 192 6269 5245 32 191 33 189 42 179 39 174 43 191 5245 4343 35 193 32 188 39 173 36 171 42 188 4343 3546 36 191 32 182 36 169 34 169 40 184 3546 2833 34 184 30 173 32 164 32 168 37 181 2833 2202 31 173 29*171 30*163 31*169 34 179 2202 1676 26 163 25*166 25*160 27*168 31 178 1676 1272 22*158 21 162 22 157 25 167 27 175 1272 994 18*154 19 161 20 157 22 167 23*174 994 825 16 153 17 161 18 156 20 167 20*173 825 728 11 152 13 160 14 156 15 167 14 173 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography