DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 60.3 - - 60.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -65 - - -30 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 16 - - 198 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 711 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1527 - - 728 - - 938 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1999 - - 3569 - - 2485 - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 22 - - 44 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 23 - - 24 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 193 - - 188 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -395 - - -647 - - 13 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1922 - - 1375 - - 925 - - 727 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1837 - - -1577 - - -871 - - -760 ODpotential blCL - - - 3364 - - 2305 - - 1809 - - 1488 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 810 - - 570 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 60.3 - - 60.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 56.2 - - 57.6 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 61.7 - - 60.8 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 55.7 - - 57.3 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -65 - - -30 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 16 - - 198 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 23 243 19 270 21 264 24 251 96454 89320 9 246 13 252 16 264 14 269 89320 83786 6 276 8 249 13 258 12 278 83786 79152 5 280 8 255 8 253 15 289 79152 75147 9 292 12 269 5 221 13 282 75147 71600 9 295 14 277 5 257 10 294 71600 68382 16 307 14 285 12 278 16 303 68382 65415 23 302 17 278 15 279 14 273 65415 62651 24 274 21 262 18 249 16 270 62651 59962 23 258 22 239 22 243 21 269 59962 57153 22 250 14 249 19 251 23 265 57153 54220 32 259 28 252 25 265 25 266 54220 51393 42 256 38 245 39 254 27 263 51393 48824 47 254 49 248 44 247 37 247 48824 46520 63 244 66 241 57 238 53 241 46520 44441 66 238 72 234 66 238 61 237 44441 42551 67 239 74 234 68 229 67 223 42551 40828 71 238 71 233 64 222 63 222 40828 39248 71 234 65 227 65 224 77 224 39248 37796 63 228 63 223 67 226 88 217 37796 36454 59 232 64 224 65 230 84 213 36454 35174 64 235 66 222 66 236 84 199 35174 33879 67 234 68 221 65 234 83 199 33879 32529 65 233 62 225 64 228 80 197 32529 31128 62 233 57 232 61 224 77 195 31128 29661 59 234 54 234 59 222 75 195 29661 28115 55 236 53 230 62 218 73 196 28115 26491 52 238 53 226 64 216 70 196 26491 24790 54 237 58 228 63 216 66 198 24790 23015 58 236 62 228 63 217 65 203 23015 21171 58 233 63 225 65 215 69 210 21171 19252 55 228 62 223 67 212 73 216 19252 17253 50 218 62 219 69 211 75 219 17253 15217 47 211 64 215 73 210 70 223 15217 13257 49 204 66 213 74 209 63 225 13257 11472 53 202 66 213 70 209 56 223 11472 9884 53 203 64 212 61 211 50 217 9884 8472 57 207 61 216 51 214 47 208 8472 7216 61 212 59 222 50 214 51 204 7216 6100 64 216 62 217 59 208 54 203 6100 5110 67 216 66 208 65 199 57 203 5110 4237 67 211 64 201 62 195 57 203 4237 3465 62 205 62 200 58 192 54 201 3465 2773 56 201 57 198 54 192 50 198 2773 2160 50 197 53 197 50 192 46 195 2160 1648 44*195 48 196 45 191 40 191 1648 1256 39*194 43 195 39 190 35 189 1256 986 34 193 37 194 34*189 30 187 986 821 30 193 32*194 29*188 26*187 821 727 22 192 23*193 21 187 19*186 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography