DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 210 - - 72 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 263 - - 2789 - - 3743 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 2346 - - 2290 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1003 - - 3529 - - 4483 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 361 - - 2178 - - 1873 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 339 - - 262 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 192 - - 192 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3000 - - -3542 - - -2532 - - -4980 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4003 - - 7071 - - 7016 - - 5710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6642 - - -5632 - - -4525 - - -8935 ODpotential blCL - - - 7645 - - 9161 - - 9008 - - 9664 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 78 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 46.1 - - 47.9 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 73.0 - - 75.5 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 45.9 - - 47.7 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 210 - - 72 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 263 - - 2789 - - 3743 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 31 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96760 37 243 47 255 48 261 51 267 96760 89601 20 255 27 256 31 257 33 263 89601 84067 17 262 18 264 22 253 26 262 84067 79470 20 265 12 256 17 244 25 260 79470 75521 20 266 10 254 13 251 19 251 75521 72036 18 261 12 266 14 270 11 244 72036 68866 17 252 17 263 17 271 14 271 68866 65938 18 240 19 248 25 261 24 271 65938 63221 18 238 22 243 26 251 28 256 63221 60583 20 255 23 243 26 251 29 251 60583 57815 29 245 28 246 34 247 34 254 57815 54934 31 239 36 239 36 243 40 258 54934 52190 36 241 35 243 40 250 46 258 52190 49727 45 245 42 251 41 253 52 260 49727 47533 49 243 43 251 45 256 51 263 47533 45555 48 243 43 250 47 257 51 269 45555 43755 46 245 44 249 47 255 49 272 43755 42100 46 246 44 249 43 257 47 274 42100 40564 47 248 46 246 44 257 44 268 40564 39123 46 246 42 244 43 254 39 268 39123 37761 45 244 41 247 36 254 37 270 37761 36438 41 243 41 244 32 262 35 275 36438 35089 32 245 40 241 33 263 34 279 35089 33685 31 245 36 240 33 259 29 283 33685 32230 31 243 30 239 32 253 25 288 32230 30712 31 247 26 239 23 244 22 283 30712 29118 31 252 23 242 18 241 18 272 29118 27451 26 248 21 237 15 237 14 257 27451 25707 22 245 19 229 16 231 13 249 25707 23884 21 251 17 214 19 229 14 251 23884 21980 19 260 18 214 21 230 16 256 21980 19987 17 267 16 229 22 231 18 254 19987 17899 13 258 14 232 20 228 19 248 17899 15761 8 244 12 225 19 229 17 235 15761 13707 8 245 12 244 17 241 13 243 13707 11850 11 248 16 271 21 261 21 259 11850 10202 10 267 22 280 24 268 23 250 10202 8731 14 291 18 272 19 263 18 236 8731 7422 18 293 11 263 13 249 16 226 7422 6258 15 288 7 247 11 213 17 222 6258 5230 8 272 10 216 14*196 17 210 5230 4327 5 240 13*199 14*193 18 198 4327 3533 7 217 13*194 14 193 19 192 3533 2822 8 198 13 193 14 192 19 188 2822 2193 9 195 13 192 14 192 20 184 2193 1669 12 199 12 192 14 192 20 180 1669 1267 13*197 12 192 13 191 19 177 1267 990 11*195 11 191 13 191 17 174 990 823 8 193 11 191 12 191 14*171 823 728 7 193 10 192 10 191 7*167 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography