DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 39 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1558 - - 1784 - - 1485 - - 647 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 710 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2298 - - 2524 - - 2225 - - 1387 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1647 - - 1461 - - 1967 - - 2676 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 181 - - 100 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 17 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 253 - - 249 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1064 - - 1143 - - 925 - - 288 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1234 - - 1381 - - 1300 - - 1099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 382 - - 525 - - 278 - - -278 ODpotential blCL - - - 1916 - - 1999 - - 1947 - - 1665 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 52.3 - - 50.2 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 55.9 - - 53.7 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 51.3 - - 49.6 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 39 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1558 - - 1784 - - 1485 - - 647 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96094 62 256 74 262 81 268 60 263 96094 89114 45 266 43 274 40 262 50 273 89114 83700 30 280 28 277 27 266 35 284 83700 79190 13 289 21 266 19 273 25 297 79190 75298 11 322 10 256 16 262 23 282 75298 71855 13 296 5 319 8 257 17 254 71855 68725 8 265 7 311 4 256 7 231 68725 65819 7 235 7 270 7 277 2 261 65819 63100 4 222 5 252 7 260 7 284 63100 60463 2 251 8 242 12 266 13 255 60463 57709 7 247 11 233 15 244 13 237 57709 54840 14 242 12 222 17 221 22 229 54840 52093 19 225 17 222 25 216 26 209 52093 49609 24 208 24 210 33 199 28 221 49609 47380 27 213 29 201 21 210 37 230 47380 45365 33 207 30 224 36 231 31 236 45365 43524 34 215 48 225 43 229 46 246 43524 41831 45 223 57 214 55 222 52 229 41831 40260 50 215 56 210 62 209 44 210 40260 38782 50 213 56 207 59 202 40 222 38782 37384 65 209 58 205 52 212 45 228 37384 36033 92 195 62 202 54 217 51 229 36033 34666 105 190 70 198 54 218 54 230 34666 33254 106 190 75 198 57 224 54 231 33254 31796 82 193 74 199 61 222 55 234 31796 30274 70 198 74 205 63 218 59 234 30274 28675 69 204 74 206 64 220 60 231 28675 27003 72 208 68 205 65 223 61 224 27003 25256 73 213 64 209 62 221 56 222 25256 23433 68 217 67 214 58 225 53 226 23433 21531 64 220 65 217 57 234 54 235 21531 19545 47 221 57 217 56 235 56 238 19545 17475 41 205 47 215 50 234 54 237 17475 15371 44 203 42 220 43 235 50 236 15371 13353 46 205 41 222 43 236 46 237 13353 11522 45 207 39 226 38 239 42 240 11522 9897 46 203 34 232 32 238 39 244 9897 8456 40 201 31 229 31 239 33 246 8456 7182 35 198 28 234 31 246 29 252 7182 6054 35 196 26 237 29 248 28 259 6054 5055 32 202 27 231 22 257 26 261 5055 4182 23 218 26 235 22 258 22 261 4182 3419 19 235 24 244 22 257 21 258 3419 2737 18*237 21*250 21*255 21 256 2737 2135 18*237 20*252 19*251 20 252 2135 1632 17 237 19 253 18 249 18*249 1632 1246 15 237 18 253 17 248 15*246 1246 980 14 237 17 253 15 247 14 244 980 819 13 236 15 254 13 246 12 243 819 726 11 236 12 254 10 245 9 242 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography