DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 38.7 - - 37.8 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - 21 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1604 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 726 - - 2344 - - 726 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 823 - - 1731 - - 4367 - - 4167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 140 - - 14 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 25 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 351 - - 328 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -510 - - 729 - - -751 - - -525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1236 - - 1615 - - 1477 - - 1251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7241 - - 231 - - -1450 - - -1625 ODpotential blCL - - - 7967 - - 2113 - - 2176 - - 2351 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 38.7 - - 37.8 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 34.3 - - 34.1 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 38.9 - - 38.9 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 33.7 - - 33.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - 21 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1604 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 88 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96181 19 248 40 261 34 257 35 261 96181 89000 17 294 24 268 25 279 20 302 89000 83519 12 313 12 260 25 278 23 308 83519 78986 19 327 10 306 20 248 22 283 78986 75032 24 302 20 305 19 276 25 284 75032 71498 21 301 25 301 23 296 18 303 71498 68277 23 300 25 309 33 307 26 325 68277 65317 26 314 28 308 40 294 38 317 65317 62584 38 307 35 305 49 295 50 305 62584 59938 40 300 44 309 58 292 54 292 59938 57175 60 314 57 302 57 297 55 295 57175 54292 71 311 58 303 56 304 65 307 54292 51514 71 308 69 313 70 309 77 306 51514 48998 73 313 81 310 85 305 85 305 48998 46740 81 317 90 307 91 304 92 305 46740 44693 93 316 97 307 94 309 95 307 44693 42811 99 312 100 309 98 313 101 311 42811 41069 101 312 100 314 102 314 107 313 41069 39454 101 315 105 319 107 312 113 314 39454 37961 105 320 111 320 113 311 124 314 37961 36575 112 323 115 320 121 313 134 313 36575 35248 120 323 120 320 130 314 139 314 35248 33904 128 324 126 321 132 316 139 315 33904 32513 131 325 132 322 133 318 136 315 32513 31075 130 323 134 322 132 319 131 313 31075 29571 129 319 132 321 130 317 125 314 29571 27989 128 317 130 321 127 316 123 315 27989 26329 126 316 127 321 125 317 122 316 26329 24591 121 312 124 322 118 320 120 319 24591 22784 114 312 118 324 111 322 116 321 22784 20914 115 319 109 324 104 323 106 322 20914 18975 113 321 104 327 101 323 100 326 18975 16960 96 316 95 330 95 326 92 328 16960 14909 87 309 80 328 84 330 83 327 14909 12938 79 315 63 326 71 330 73 327 12938 11151 66 322 55 328 61 327 64 327 11151 9571 57 323 54 333 55 328 59 329 9571 8174 51 324 52 339 51 331 54 334 8174 6941 46 324 45 341 47 334 46 335 6941 5855 42 330 41 339 40 333 37 334 5855 4902 42 337 40 340 32 330 34 335 4902 4068 44 338 38 348 32 332 34 335 4068 3331 45 346 35 351 30 333 34 336 3331 2671 42 353 35*352 29 333 33 336 2671 2088 40 353 29*351 27 334 33 336 2088 1600 37 347 28 351 24 333 30 335 1600 1227 31 338 25 351 21 332 26 332 1227 970 25 333 23 351 17 330 20 328 970 814 22*332 20 350 15*330 18*327 814 725 15*331 16 350 10*328 11*325 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography