DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.6 - - 71.0 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 114 - - 34 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 333 - - 1077 - - 1588 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 711 - - 711 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1073 - - 1817 - - 2328 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 433 - - 592 - - 903 - - 1484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 202 - - 155 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 097 - - 108 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3999 - - -5220 - - -5308 - - -4816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5072 - - 7037 - - 7636 - - 5544 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10298 - - -9482 - - -8525 - - -8963 ODpotential blCL - - - 11371 - - 11299 - - 10853 - - 9691 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 87 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 240 - - 230 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.6 - - 71.0 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 40.0 - - 40.6 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 66.9 - - 70.8 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 39.5 - - 40.3 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 114 - - 34 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 333 - - 1077 - - 1588 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 47 - - 84 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96213 72 250 83 253 84 262 79 266 96213 89268 48 265 50 256 55 262 52 269 89268 83900 33 274 35 259 38 259 42 264 83900 79419 28 276 29 280 23 273 30 266 79419 75524 29 275 31 289 24 287 26 288 75524 72054 29 279 29 285 29 283 31 295 72054 68894 30 282 27 285 29 284 33 290 68894 65969 28 278 25 284 29 283 32 285 65969 63233 29 274 27 281 29 276 29 282 63233 60567 34 281 31 272 30 283 26 287 60567 57786 40 274 32 261 35 274 33 288 57786 54915 39 267 33 252 33 268 37 282 54915 52183 43 267 37 256 38 258 40 274 52183 49729 46 264 43 260 38 261 35 265 49729 47542 44 262 48 257 42 260 28 265 47542 45571 41 256 46 247 41 245 34 258 45571 43786 66 244 63 225 45 237 39 250 43786 42163 70 241 63 222 54 229 42 245 42163 40660 57 242 49 226 56 223 43 240 40660 39241 53 248 43 224 53 225 39 244 39241 37892 47 251 39 225 49 225 36 251 37892 36577 42 252 42 226 47 221 34 250 36577 35230 39 255 45 227 47 216 34 247 35230 33822 37 257 46 231 48 217 35 245 33822 32358 36 258 43 235 47 222 35 244 32358 30820 35 259 38 240 42 229 34 241 30820 29197 35 258 36 242 38 231 34 240 29197 27490 36 253 34 240 36 235 33 244 27490 25705 35 247 25 244 29 252 32 237 25705 23847 31 245 12 248 16 245 32 225 23847 21913 20 261 7 263 9 220 28 237 21913 19897 12 269 8 253 8 234 20 244 19897 17798 14 213 22 214 15 249 13 268 17798 15667 11 219 19 179 21 204 9 270 15667 13634 12 246 15 175 22 186 15 159 13634 11794 12 228 18 187 22 184 15 171 11794 10153 16 220 23 191 19 197 15 179 10153 8691 17 218 22 190 15 211 14 176 8691 7389 15 208 18 197 10 211 13 172 7389 6230 10 182 10 199 6 205 12 163 6230 5205 6 136 7 177 4 168 12 159 5205 4301 6 114 7 148 7 148 11 162 4301 3506 5 139 8 135 10 134 10 158 3506 2798 7 165 9 134 12*120 8 139 2798 2176 12 170 11*115 12*111 9 121 2176 1658 16 148 11*099 12 109 10 112 1658 1261 15*137 10 097 11 107 10 105 1261 987 12*129 10 096 11 106 9 097 987 822 10 129 9 095 10 105 8*086 822 727 8 128 8 095 8 104 4*069 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography