DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 59.4 - - 60.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 51 - - 7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 864 - - 1017 - - 656 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 710 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1604 - - 1757 - - 1396 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 508 - - 615 - - 927 - - 1058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 151 - - 69 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 173 - - 166 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 109 - - 77 - - 109 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1495 - - 1680 - - 1287 - - 727 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3698 - - -6576 - - -223 - - -502 ODpotential blCL - - - 5302 - - 8333 - - 1619 - - 1230 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 59.4 - - 60.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 54.6 - - 57.7 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 59.1 - - 61.0 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 54.5 - - 57.6 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 51 - - 7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 864 - - 1017 - - 656 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96198 64 268 64 266 62 266 77 266 96198 89242 42 269 39 275 43 274 42 279 89242 83874 27 281 30 270 27 289 22 283 83874 79404 16 298 18 279 16 297 16 301 79404 75522 12 313 11 320 12 302 15 318 75522 72071 15 311 12 350 10 312 12 322 72071 68923 15 309 13 337 11 319 12 320 68923 66001 17 324 16 322 16 306 17 311 66001 63275 21 322 17 320 16 307 21 308 63275 60637 22 306 19 315 19 311 19 305 60637 57899 18 314 23 312 19 319 19 321 57899 55077 31 314 28 311 28 316 21 326 55077 52416 35 294 34 302 31 311 30 314 52416 50057 30 308 33 316 32 319 31 309 50057 47949 38 321 37 330 33 320 31 306 47949 46022 43 311 38 323 38 313 27 292 46022 44244 42 307 28 314 31 307 23 284 44244 42591 40 305 33 300 24 291 25 277 42591 41044 36 302 36 287 22 274 31 268 41044 39589 32 306 36 283 23 264 30 263 39589 38211 25 316 28 287 23 256 27 249 38211 36871 21 320 23 287 20 246 27 244 36871 35501 19 319 17 281 17 235 27 243 35501 34074 13 298 12 271 18 225 23 241 34074 32594 12 264 16 251 18 227 21 240 32594 31048 14 265 19 246 20 240 22 234 31048 29421 20 279 17 247 20 269 21 234 29421 27711 25 279 21 259 19 263 23 248 27711 25919 21 275 22 267 18 265 25 252 25919 24052 20 271 25 274 29 268 32 252 24052 22111 24 269 27 276 30 262 35 248 22111 20086 24 264 23 277 27 252 34 241 20086 17972 22 256 19 269 27 248 31 239 17972 15810 22 246 16 241 26 245 24 237 15810 13728 18 253 17 240 19 231 24 224 13728 11841 15 244 22 210 21 218 23 225 11841 10173 17 228 22 221 21 213 25 219 10173 8697 21 216 23 221 21 214 29 211 8697 7390 25 205 25 220 26 219 31 212 7390 6230 28 204 28 216 30 220 32 218 6230 5205 26 208 29 216 33 215 30 217 5205 4302 21 212 28 212 35 210 29 211 4302 3505 17 205 28 205 34 203 30 202 3505 2795 19 190 25 196 31 193 32 194 2795 2170 22 174 23*190 27 180 32 184 2170 1652 21*169 17*175 22*171 28 170 1652 1257 17*164 16 173 19*167 23 159 1257 986 15 163 15 173 17 166 19 156 986 821 14 162 14 173 15 165 17*155 821 727 11 161 11 172 11 164 12*153 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography