DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 135 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6409 - - 6116 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4844 - - 4586 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7149 - - 6856 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4495 - - 6151 - - 9855 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 387 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 24 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 248 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1057 - - -269 - - -5403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6092 - - 7125 - - 6131 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -267 - - -1031 - - -6085 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7416 - - 7887 - - 6813 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 130 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.2 - - 33.4 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 61.8 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.9 - - 32.5 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 135 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6409 - - 6116 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 82 - - 73 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97774 7 293 11 303 15 313 97774 90436 9 276 10 304 10 320 90436 84745 10 218 14 262 15 309 84745 80000 7 226 13 244 13 288 80000 75904 6 272 17 235 14 273 75904 72279 16 271 19 253 18 256 72279 68989 24 256 21 265 29 258 68989 65962 28 254 34 265 32 256 65962 63143 33 262 34 260 25 264 63143 60401 47 265 40 272 38 276 60401 57546 56 263 49 268 46 270 57546 54575 59 259 55 268 50 273 54575 51727 64 264 64 266 60 277 51727 49169 76 256 71 263 70 276 49169 46891 68 255 74 262 78 271 46891 44836 73 270 79 264 80 267 44836 42956 87 270 85 264 83 266 42956 41216 95 267 91 264 88 266 41216 39598 99 266 95 263 92 268 39598 38094 103 267 100 265 98 270 38094 36694 107 267 108 268 101 270 36694 35360 106 266 109 268 95 271 35360 34022 104 269 101 268 83 272 34022 32642 104 271 94 270 79 274 32642 31216 103 272 90 271 82 275 31216 29727 101 271 90 271 85 275 29727 28159 98 271 89 271 81 275 28159 26513 94 271 84 273 76 280 26513 24792 89 271 80 275 75 282 24792 22999 84 273 76 278 75 282 22999 21135 79 277 73 280 72 284 21135 19193 74 279 67 283 69 285 19193 17176 63 277 62 284 62 289 17176 15136 54 278 47 289 49 297 15136 13191 42 287 35 288 38 299 13191 11427 33 287 33 286 33 291 11427 9854 31 284 32 284 30 282 9854 8454 28*276 29 275 27 269 8454 7206 24*266 27*266 26 266 7206 6094 21 255 26*255 25 264 6094 5107 21 250 25 252 24 261 5107 4234 20 245 25 250 24 259 4234 3462 19 244 25 248 23 258 3462 2770 19 242 24 246 22 256 2770 2158 18 241 24 245 21 254 2158 1647 18 241 23 244 20 252 1647 1255 17 241 23 244 18 251 1255 984 17 240 22 243 15 249 984 821 15 240 20 243 13*248 821 727 13 240 16 243 9*247 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography