DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.0 - - 26.8 - - 27.9 - - 27.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 46 - - 23 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1414 - - 2034 - - 1939 - - 664 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 708 - - 708 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2154 - - 2774 - - 2679 - - 1404 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1407 - - 782 - - 880 - - 1600 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 187 - - 148 - - 88 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 261 - - 231 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 732 - - 999 - - 830 - - 274 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1422 - - 1775 - - 1850 - - 1130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 345 - - 659 - - 468 - - -78 ODpotential blCL - - - 1809 - - 2115 - - 2211 - - 1482 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.0 - - 26.8 - - 27.9 - - 27.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 21.8 - - 22.6 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 26.6 - - 27.9 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 20.8 - - 21.8 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 46 - - 23 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1414 - - 2034 - - 1939 - - 664 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95030 49 274 53 279 54 280 58 281 95030 88146 42 279 42 285 48 286 54 283 88146 82800 43 298 40 284 40 287 45 284 82800 78326 43 307 41 280 43 292 43 295 78326 74417 41 304 42 286 54 296 51 297 74417 70936 47 295 48 291 60 289 53 293 70936 67780 47 287 46 288 52 288 53 301 67780 64876 44 292 43 294 52 297 67 303 64876 62182 48 301 50 299 59 296 66 293 62182 59549 59 299 58 296 62 291 59 289 59549 56766 67 291 61 290 60 291 57 295 56766 53842 64 292 58 293 58 297 67 300 53842 51037 65 304 60 305 65 305 75 298 51037 48520 73 305 73 307 74 301 77 296 48520 46273 75 302 82 298 76 296 80 296 46273 44246 75 300 76 293 76 300 80 298 44246 42394 77 305 75 309 85 307 91 306 42394 40692 92 310 102 311 99 307 111 304 40692 39124 101 308 114 306 115 305 123 301 39124 37671 102 308 114 305 131 304 137 298 37671 36317 106 314 120 309 139 304 146 295 36317 35011 120 320 132 312 146 305 146 294 35011 33682 136 323 136 312 150 305 144 296 33682 32302 138 323 133 311 150 304 145 298 32302 30870 134 323 129 310 152 305 140 297 30870 29375 128 322 118 312 146 308 132 298 29375 27809 124 322 109 311 121 306 116 299 27809 26176 118 321 103 307 102 300 92 298 26176 24474 112 319 101 305 97 300 79 292 24474 22696 100 316 98 306 94 299 83 292 22696 20840 80 310 87 303 90 298 79 287 20840 18904 67 305 72 304 82 297 74 286 18904 16882 58 303 62 303 73 295 78 290 16882 14823 50 300 54 297 55 292 72 284 14823 12853 45 299 45 293 46 296 48 279 12853 11076 45 303 38 297 37 304 32 285 11076 9504 46 309 38 300 27 298 31 280 9504 8116 38 311 35 306 24 301 29 283 8116 6889 25 306 30 303 29 297 27 287 6889 5803 18 309 20 298 26 293 18 284 5803 4846 12 319 10 298 15 282 11 307 4846 4010 5 321 6 287 8 252 13 316 4010 3277 4 302 7*266 6*237 5 263 3277 2628 5*285 7*264 5*234 7 163 2628 2057 6*268 7 261 4 233 7 149 2057 1581 7 261 6 260 3 230 6*147 1581 1216 7 259 6 259 3 229 6*146 1216 964 6 258 6 259 3 228 6 147 964 812 6 257 5 259 3 228 5 148 812 725 5 257 5 259 2 228 4 150 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography