DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 57.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 110 - - 64 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1243 - - 2170 - - 1465 - - 746 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 1661 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1983 - - 2910 - - 2205 - - 1486 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1044 - - 906 - - 1159 - - 2252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 265 - - 193 - - 90 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 015 - - 339 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -620 - - -836 - - 840 - - 488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2603 - - 3746 - - 1365 - - 998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6963 - - -7093 - - -430 - - -48 ODpotential blCL - - - 8946 - - 10003 - - 2635 - - 1534 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 57.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 43.2 - - 48.0 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 56.6 - - 51.3 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 42.0 - - 46.9 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 110 - - 64 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1243 - - 2170 - - 1465 - - 746 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97917 10 236 10 246 9 261 5 297 97917 90509 10 248 9 239 14 243 12 222 90509 84787 10 210 12 212 8 235 14 246 84787 80042 10 222 15 224 15 222 18 244 80042 75937 9 207 14 214 16 222 11 237 75937 72276 10 247 13 246 18 250 15 240 72276 68950 14 260 14 257 18 237 17 238 68950 65896 21 284 18 274 18 265 16 269 65896 63072 31 270 27 261 35 270 28 285 63072 60342 34 266 36 268 38 249 35 270 60342 57500 44 270 38 266 41 270 40 271 57500 54557 40 263 35 276 47 266 48 270 54557 51767 44 288 57 285 50 267 59 273 51767 49281 67 289 77 281 58 273 72 267 49281 47068 85 279 88 273 70 275 79 266 47068 45076 92 274 87 270 86 275 84 270 45076 43260 86 275 89 271 97 277 90 271 43260 41590 84 278 93 275 108 277 101 271 41590 40039 91 279 98 279 120 277 112 270 40039 38584 107 279 102 280 125 276 116 270 38584 37208 118 280 103 279 126 275 115 270 37208 35875 110 278 105 278 120 274 115 269 35875 34518 92 271 107 278 105 272 113 269 34518 33109 85 260 93 274 91 268 108 271 33109 31653 84 257 76 264 80 261 97 270 31653 30140 80 251 73 257 75 247 82 264 30140 28557 74 247 72 253 76 246 74 256 28557 26896 66 245 70 253 72 245 58 245 26896 25159 59 244 65 256 67 246 51 231 25159 23343 55 245 61 255 64 249 57 230 23343 21450 53 252 56 253 59 247 58 229 21450 19474 47 252 51 255 44 235 59 232 19474 17413 47 250 42 251 35 221 59 239 17413 15313 41 259 35 244 27 216 61 249 15313 13291 23 250 26 230 22 220 60 251 13291 11451 27 242 28 237 20 228 51 243 11451 9822 34 245 31 237 18 237 33 245 9822 8385 29 240 29 236 18 238 21 269 8385 7117 17 227 18 239 16 245 15 288 7117 5999 7 260 10 201 13 265 12 297 5999 5015 10 340 3 355 13 293 17 331 5015 4154 10 341 5 006 15 306 25 341 4154 3398 9 326 6*010 15 322 25 341 3398 2721 11 002 8*015 15*338 19 338 2721 2123 13*007 8 015 15*340 14 334 2123 1624 12*006 8 016 15 340 11*331 1624 1241 11 005 8 015 14 339 8*327 1241 978 10 003 7 015 13 339 7 326 978 818 9 003 7 015 11 339 6 326 818 726 7 002 6 015 10 339 5 326 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography