DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 227 - - 126 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 271 - - 1275 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 1293 - - 1211 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1011 - - 2015 - - 2332 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 298 - - 515 - - 573 - - 1805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 268 - - 237 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 19 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 160 - - 167 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1665 - - -1800 - - -1093 - - -667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2677 - - 3816 - - 3425 - - 1394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11463 - - -9863 - - -9948 - - -1250 ODpotential blCL - - - 12474 - - 11878 - - 12280 - - 1977 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 90 - - 86 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 43.0 - - 44.4 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 55.9 - - 56.2 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 42.8 - - 44.2 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 227 - - 126 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 271 - - 1275 - - 1592 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 61 - - 42 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96934 34 096 31 078 36 092 26 086 96934 89783 30 083 24 072 23 080 22 071 89783 84188 22 079 20 080 14 090 15 062 84188 79517 13 063 14 091 8 070 7 067 79517 75493 8 090 8 099 1 115 1 325 75493 71931 9 043 5 053 3 108 4 198 71931 68687 12 301 10 324 10 315 5 023 68687 65695 19 260 14 285 16 283 15 296 65695 62937 15 253 19 270 19 283 22 282 62937 60271 24 295 23 280 21 280 25 270 60271 57479 42 273 44 276 38 286 40 280 57479 54577 55 270 56 271 51 282 49 283 54577 51816 72 275 69 268 65 270 58 270 51816 49357 78 272 70 270 68 273 62 282 49357 47157 79 272 73 275 74 278 79 290 47157 45156 78 274 74 278 81 279 100 282 45156 43335 79 280 80 281 93 279 115 272 43335 41667 90 282 98 280 110 280 118 268 41667 40125 101 281 120 279 132 281 121 272 40125 38690 100 281 125 278 124 279 126 273 38690 37337 90 283 114 277 114 275 119 271 37337 36025 86 278 102 277 109 275 112 271 36025 34690 88 273 91 277 97 273 101 270 34690 33301 86 270 82 275 89 271 100 267 33301 31858 74 272 75 270 85 271 99 266 31858 30345 65 271 74 268 81 267 92 266 30345 28753 54 268 70 270 79 263 79 265 28753 27084 49 271 61 269 71 261 73 263 27084 25338 52 271 61 258 58 261 74 260 25338 23517 59 262 62 251 50 261 73 256 23517 21624 61 260 63 253 50 259 68 256 21624 19654 57 258 58 257 53 253 61 256 19654 17606 41 263 46 261 50 252 55 254 17606 15524 39 260 38 253 47 256 51 253 15524 13515 35 259 37 249 42 254 49 253 13515 11676 29 258 35 244 36 247 37 251 11676 10036 27 258 29 235 29 237 27 247 10036 8576 30 261 22 227 29 239 29 246 8576 7277 27 248 20 229 27 245 31 244 7277 6125 20 220 21 223 24 243 28 234 6125 5109 13 201 21 198 24 228 25 215 5109 4214 13 182 22 176 24 207 26 203 4214 3430 10 174 22 169 23 191 34 198 3430 2737 7 182 20 172 21*178 37 190 2737 2133 8 202 18*169 20*170 34 180 2133 1630 19 194 15*162 20 168 30 174 1630 1245 19*192 15 161 20 167 27 171 1245 980 13*184 14 160 19 166 23 168 980 819 12 183 13 160 18 165 20*167 819 726 9 182 12 159 14 165 14*166 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography