DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 63.0 - - 71.7 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 23 - - 40 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1012 - - 1725 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 711 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 728 - - 1752 - - 2465 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 915 - - 1043 - - 911 - - 1306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 144 - - 195 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 18 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 167 - - 168 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1385 - - -1087 - - -1410 - - -1253 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2113 - - 2839 - - 3875 - - 1982 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11115 - - -9611 - - -7448 - - -7970 ODpotential blCL - - - 11843 - - 11363 - - 9913 - - 8699 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 860 - - 710 - - 770 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 63.0 - - 71.7 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 53.0 - - 57.1 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 63.2 - - 71.6 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 51.7 - - 55.8 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 23 - - 40 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1012 - - 1725 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 98 - - 21 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98302 3 218 1 176 5 266 11 279 98302 90865 2 128 8 213 7 228 9 285 90865 85132 2 065 9 219 3 260 5 298 85132 80363 2 125 6 197 5 232 6 281 80363 76245 2 164 2 212 5 195 4 264 76245 72614 2 210 1 280 3 164 4 226 72614 69337 1 218 3 302 5 289 4 296 69337 66325 2 307 5 272 10 284 9 306 66325 63533 6 309 7 287 10 292 11 293 63533 60834 9 295 11 287 12 302 11 286 60834 58029 12 297 12 296 15 298 14 289 58029 55129 16 317 15 304 15 294 15 292 55129 52376 23 323 15 316 12 299 13 305 52376 49909 21 326 13 317 8 294 10 292 49909 47695 18 324 12 304 9 293 11 285 47695 45677 19 303 13 269 12 283 15 283 45677 43829 21 290 14 273 17 256 24 272 43829 42133 22 283 21 277 25 255 29 260 42133 40571 28 286 33 283 35 269 33 262 40571 39122 37 282 35 277 41 263 30 261 39122 37767 38 276 34 270 37 263 31 251 37767 36457 35 268 35 263 33 260 26 250 36457 35121 37 260 34 263 30 260 26 248 35121 33730 38 259 30 270 31 262 28 253 33730 32287 40 261 30 275 35 264 29 258 32287 30774 45 262 30 275 43 267 32 268 30774 29180 44 265 29 277 45 269 33 275 29180 27505 36 267 31 279 36 270 29 274 27505 25752 28 278 32 279 31 265 28 275 25752 23925 31 291 33 281 31 281 28 282 23925 22023 35 291 33 284 29 281 32 288 22023 20036 35 299 30 296 26 286 22 280 20036 17966 32 301 29 298 27 288 23 283 17966 15854 34 291 33 285 32 280 28 279 15854 13808 37 288 38 286 31 287 26 270 13808 11935 35 292 31 290 18 280 23 268 11935 10265 30 279 22 289 19 265 21 258 10265 8778 28 271 24 268 32 267 22 266 8778 7454 25 288 24 243 35 254 26 274 7454 6280 25 280 12 244 28 236 22 260 6280 5244 30 244 17 248 18 225 22 226 5244 4335 33 228 27 234 17 225 28 203 4335 3535 34 205 31 212 20 204 28 196 3535 2821 35 189 29 191 20*187 26 184 2821 2192 34 179 26*177 17*172 24 167 2192 1668 29 172 22*169 16 168 21 154 1668 1267 22 161 19 167 15 167 18 146 1267 991 16 154 17 165 14 165 14 138 991 824 14*153 15 165 12 165 12*135 824 728 10*151 12 164 10 164 7*133 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography