DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.4 - - 52.9 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 248 - - 75 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2480 - - 3128 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 2184 - - 1889 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1950 - - 3220 - - 3868 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 554 - - 1184 - - 1489 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 344 - - 250 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 326 - - 312 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5680 - - -6761 - - -7250 - - -7702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7630 - - 9982 - - 11118 - - 8429 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20261 - - -20455 - - -20133 - - -21956 ODpotential blCL - - - 22211 - - 23675 - - 24001 - - 22683 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 46 - - 47 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.4 - - 52.9 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.0 - - 10.1 - - 6.5 - - 8.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 50.1 - - 52.5 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 9.8 - - 6.1 - - 8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 248 - - 75 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2480 - - 3128 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95630 34 275 36 281 39 277 45 271 95630 88738 28 298 30 295 27 284 32 281 88738 83375 27 303 31 290 26 294 18 302 83375 78875 27 305 29 293 31 299 27 323 78875 74979 25 306 23 304 26 295 30 312 74979 71539 22 316 24 309 24 310 25 310 71539 68411 25 313 29 307 30 304 26 307 68411 65509 33 310 33 306 32 302 26 304 65509 62800 41 300 36 301 37 301 35 303 62800 60164 42 293 40 292 40 294 45 302 60164 57414 44 290 40 292 45 291 49 296 57414 54570 46 299 47 295 49 290 56 291 54570 51855 60 307 53 300 55 291 61 289 51855 49403 72 293 63 297 58 288 62 289 49403 47196 75 291 67 295 58 291 63 287 47196 45185 76 296 72 297 64 296 61 286 45185 43345 81 298 81 296 73 297 67 292 43345 41657 91 294 87 288 85 292 86 297 41657 40094 100 294 86 286 91 290 92 296 40094 38633 109 295 85 288 88 292 91 298 38633 37257 110 294 87 291 80 294 91 302 37257 35925 107 296 89 292 78 297 90 302 35925 34570 100 297 91 290 81 294 87 298 34570 33167 92 294 90 288 84 296 82 298 33167 31717 92 295 88 291 88 291 82 299 31717 30200 92 296 86 292 86 292 83 295 30200 28598 92 297 83 293 81 293 80 297 28598 26916 93 299 81 296 79 294 78 297 26916 25157 95 301 83 296 77 295 74 297 25157 23321 98 302 86 300 74 296 75 297 23321 21412 92 304 86 305 76 302 73 302 21412 19423 86 305 80 306 75 306 74 307 19423 17352 82 309 73 307 69 306 69 311 17352 15245 77 312 67 313 63 308 59 310 15245 13222 63 314 60 315 54 316 49 309 13222 11390 48 317 46 313 47 318 43 313 11390 9772 44 317 37 315 39 312 39 318 9772 8349 45 318 36 323 33 316 34 320 8349 7094 40 322 34 325 32 323 30 323 7094 5986 36 329 30 328 29 324 28 329 5986 5007 33 334 27 334 25 324 26 330 5007 4148 30 336 23 338 18*314 24 330 4148 3390 28 340 18*335 18*312 20 324 3390 2714 26 351 14*327 17 312 18 317 2714 2118 23*353 13 326 17 312 17 317 2118 1620 17*350 13 326 17 312 16 319 1620 1238 16 350 13 326 16 312 15 319 1238 976 15 350 12 326 16 312 13 316 976 816 14 350 11 326 14 312 11*313 816 726 11 349 10 325 12 311 5*304 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography