DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 52.3 - - 52.6 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 19 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2155 - - 2363 - - 1272 - - 120 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 710 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2895 - - 3103 - - 2012 - - 860 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1423 - - 1377 - - 2052 - - 2432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 164 - - 70 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 255 - - 249 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1237 - - 1115 - - 390 - - -193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1658 - - 1988 - - 1622 - - 1053 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 508 - - 462 - - -332 - - -728 ODpotential blCL - - - 2387 - - 2641 - - 2344 - - 1588 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 52.3 - - 52.6 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 46.0 - - 48.0 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 52.4 - - 53.1 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 45.0 - - 47.3 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 19 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2155 - - 2363 - - 1272 - - 120 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95878 62 260 68 259 74 265 63 266 95878 88950 36 269 48 265 48 276 40 266 88950 83615 29 289 26 276 28 271 26 271 83615 79156 23 298 20 261 19 271 23 275 79156 75271 18 295 15 248 17 261 24 278 75271 71805 15 287 11 257 17 242 24 274 71805 68639 10 284 9 263 13 239 24 271 68639 65716 12 299 10 261 15 256 22 268 65716 62999 17 276 10 271 13 257 20 261 62999 60359 19 273 16 265 15 271 16 259 60359 57584 25 268 23 266 21 262 22 279 57584 54686 34 258 34 266 31 263 35 264 54686 51911 40 249 41 253 42 254 42 256 51911 49418 39 237 45 251 45 255 48 260 49418 47184 36 248 51 250 53 259 56 258 47184 45156 52 253 60 250 67 248 64 248 45156 43299 61 248 69 240 72 244 63 245 43299 41583 60 245 70 236 73 243 65 248 41583 39986 59 245 70 242 72 243 70 247 39986 38495 62 254 73 250 75 245 74 244 38495 37101 74 259 85 251 82 245 78 242 37101 35764 87 259 94 250 89 247 81 241 35764 34414 98 258 99 249 95 247 84 242 34414 33017 105 256 100 248 100 247 85 242 33017 31574 107 254 99 245 101 245 78 242 31574 30070 100 253 99 243 100 243 63 243 30070 28495 90 248 99 243 94 242 50 245 28495 26845 85 245 98 242 86 243 41 247 26845 25117 79 248 95 241 76 244 34 250 25117 23309 71 251 86 241 64 246 31 251 23309 21424 65 250 71 243 56 248 35 247 21424 19456 61 249 61 246 48 245 39 250 19456 17399 60 250 49 247 44 246 38 256 17399 15300 59 248 47 243 47 248 33 255 15300 13283 54 249 49 240 45 250 25 264 13283 11463 49 249 47 244 35 257 17 302 11463 9854 41 253 43 247 27 264 20 301 9854 8425 36 257 35 252 21 275 21 278 8425 7158 32 259 28 256 23 284 20 273 7158 6038 30 262 27 255 20 287 20 270 6038 5051 25 272 24 260 22 285 19 274 5051 4184 23 274 22 259 22 273 21 280 4184 3419 22*268 21*258 22 263 22 279 3419 2736 21*262 20*256 21 259 23 274 2736 2133 19 256 19 255 18*253 23 268 2133 1631 18 251 18 255 17*251 20 264 1631 1245 16 250 17 254 16 250 18 262 1245 979 15 249 16 254 14 249 14*260 979 818 14 248 14 254 12 248 12*260 818 726 11 247 11 254 9 246 8 257 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography