DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 81.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 191 - - 69 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2619 - - 2477 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2191 - - 1297 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3359 - - 3217 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1769 - - 1617 - - 873 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 324 - - 229 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 144 - - 139 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6207 - - -6318 - - -4091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9567 - - 9535 - - 4820 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10259 - - -10512 - - -9746 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13618 - - 13729 - - 10475 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 82 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 81.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.4 - - 42.1 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.4 - - 80.7 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.7 - - 41.4 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 191 - - 69 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2619 - - 2477 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 16 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97779 34 261 37 265 33 271 97779 90505 30 259 29 276 21 283 90505 84875 24 261 21 268 16 287 84875 80206 12 259 16 252 12 286 80206 76171 10 216 16 261 12 292 76171 72604 15 194 20 250 17 278 72604 69394 8 244 14 231 13 257 69394 66454 19 285 11 263 10 292 66454 63723 30 266 22 276 22 294 63723 61085 35 249 31 261 30 273 61085 58356 30 244 32 247 32 254 58356 55540 27 245 31 239 33 237 55540 52855 24 238 32 232 32 228 52855 50429 22 233 33 224 32 220 50429 48241 23 236 32 222 32 218 48241 46241 27 237 30 222 32 222 46241 44398 26 234 27 224 31 223 44398 42682 20 236 23 226 29 222 42682 41073 20 235 15 225 30 214 41073 39560 27 224 11 242 27 210 39560 38147 37 203 20 220 22 218 38147 36793 34 192 28 194 16 209 36793 35418 27 202 23 170 11 156 35418 33990 27 204 10 180 8 136 33990 32508 29 195 9 224 5 178 32508 30958 29 183 15 221 12 213 30958 29328 23 168 19 208 16 192 29328 27618 12 142 26 199 17 177 27618 25826 12 089 21 181 18 182 25826 23956 16 076 13 064 15 177 23956 22019 16 073 16 059 12 061 22019 20018 14 080 14 067 21 036 20018 17934 13 071 14 068 18 056 17934 15805 15 046 16 060 18 064 15805 13754 14 038 17 049 19 051 13754 11887 9 077 11 058 17 040 11887 10227 7 122 8 102 11 044 10227 8753 6 149 7 107 9 071 8753 7443 9 176 11 114 12 090 7443 6278 18 147 19 121 18 101 6278 5245 19 145 21 126 17 120 5245 4337 20 144 19 138 15 152 4337 3538 18*146 17*141 18 164 3538 2825 15*145 16*140 22 160 2825 2196 14 144 16 139 23 153 2196 1671 14 144 16 139 23 147 1671 1268 13 143 15 138 21 142 1268 992 13 142 15 138 17 136 992 823 12 142 14 138 14*134 823 728 11 142 11 137 7*130 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography