DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 65.2 - - 56.3 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 148 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 1705 - - 936 - - 858 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 1422 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 849 - - 2445 - - 1676 - - 1598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 243 - - 2734 - - 1911 - - 1537 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 258 - - 72 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 194 - - 267 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 16 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1363 - - -1805 - - 683 - - 631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2212 - - 4251 - - 993 - - 967 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6916 - - -3019 - - 238 - - 266 ODpotential blCL - - - 7765 - - 5464 - - 1438 - - 1332 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 190 - - 230 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 65.2 - - 56.3 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 48.9 - - 54.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 64.4 - - 56.5 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 48.6 - - 53.8 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 148 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 1705 - - 936 - - 858 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 71 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96129 60 268 65 255 67 259 67 261 96129 89009 40 270 40 266 39 271 40 273 89009 83540 26 277 28 270 27 289 26 282 83540 78975 21 289 22 286 20 294 19 289 78975 75022 21 289 21 299 16 294 21 292 75022 71532 17 280 20 292 19 304 17 297 71532 68350 12 304 22 294 20 297 14 306 68350 65387 19 313 23 292 25 299 26 319 65387 62627 28 296 27 296 30 289 32 304 62627 59950 34 281 31 293 31 290 30 297 59950 57140 35 284 34 286 33 290 38 289 57140 54212 39 284 39 278 37 284 43 290 54212 51421 42 276 40 276 42 283 51 288 51421 48915 41 270 45 278 51 278 54 278 48915 46668 44 273 51 274 54 269 48 272 46668 44626 48 263 49 259 50 263 41 275 44626 42755 46 266 45 259 51 277 44 281 42755 41028 63 277 55 276 59 275 47 283 41028 39426 72 256 74 271 59 268 47 280 39426 37928 68 248 76 255 52 267 46 275 37928 36522 65 245 66 239 54 268 42 272 36522 35174 63 252 56 244 61 267 37 277 35174 33819 67 262 75 265 68 264 33 285 33819 32434 73 262 90 261 68 264 31 289 32434 31022 77 260 88 251 61 266 30 291 31022 29563 80 256 88 244 51 267 28 283 29563 28038 80 249 83 244 43 268 27 275 28038 26436 80 239 72 256 40 270 26 280 26436 24757 73 244 59 269 41 270 24 296 24757 23004 63 248 52 265 41 267 24 307 23004 21177 59 248 55 260 40 270 25 309 21177 19265 54 246 53 259 41 275 24 310 19265 17265 45 243 43 259 38 276 24 304 17265 15219 42 245 37 259 33 278 23 295 15219 13245 36 242 35 258 28 274 22 286 13245 11446 26 238 33 261 24 271 20 273 11446 9844 21 238 32 258 23 263 22 278 9844 8421 19 245 28 246 24 258 22 295 8421 7160 18 246 24 231 25 262 22 319 7160 6042 17 244 20 220 22 268 27 334 6042 5053 14 244 20 211 20 267 26 335 5053 4183 9 237 21 206 21 269 21 340 4183 3417 10 226 22 206 21 270 21 351 3417 2734 15 227 21*205 20 269 24 357 2734 2132 14 217 18*201 19*269 25 355 2132 1629 15 185 15 193 18*268 24*353 1629 1245 15 181 14 192 15 267 23*351 1245 979 12*178 13 192 14 266 21 349 979 819 10*177 13 191 12 265 18 349 819 726 6 176 11 191 10 266 14 348 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography