DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 80.8 - - 85.5 - - 83.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 405 - - 360 - - 33 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 4800 - - 7538 - - 6210 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8279 - - 10410 - - 7102 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 5155 - - 9649 - - 12387 - - 11059 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1782 - - 1573 - - 1336 - - 2489 - - 2361 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 523 - - 584 - - 249 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 181 - - 125 - - 125 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1517 - - -1136 - - -109 - - -549 - - -2929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6673 - - 10786 - - 12496 - - 11608 - - 8084 sfcLCL ODpotential -6151 - - -4585 - - -2748 - - -3056 - - -6715 ODpotential blCL 11306 - - 14234 - - 15135 - - 14115 - - 11870 blCL maxRH 91 - - 89 - - 79 - - 93 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 230 - - 220 - - 440 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 80.8 - - 85.5 - - 83.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.4 - - 51.2 - - 48.3 - - 50.0 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.9 - - 78.0 - - 82.8 - - 82.5 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.2 - - 51.0 - - 48.2 - - 50.0 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 405 - - 360 - - 33 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 4800 - - 7538 - - 6210 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 54 - - 18 - - 74 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98760 31 110 37 090 25 116 14 091 25 060 98760 91329 35 087 32 097 27 100 26 077 26 082 91329 85608 32 079 31 099 33 096 29 088 29 088 85608 80874 31 093 26 100 32 090 28 092 32 085 80874 76802 35 091 21 096 31 085 28 088 29 082 76802 73211 30 082 21 088 27 082 30 084 26 081 73211 69970 20 089 21 100 20 085 23 079 24 075 69970 67000 17 108 22 108 16 097 17 090 16 073 67000 64254 18 097 23 103 20 100 18 093 13 090 64254 61600 14 091 19 094 23 096 15 092 17 090 61600 58852 13 080 14 088 15 084 14 093 14 080 58852 56035 10 086 11 086 10 063 11 056 13 074 56035 53365 11 042 16 086 9 083 10 028 12 033 53365 50966 16 009 22 064 12 092 7 068 6 006 50966 48820 11 015 23 032 14 053 17 039 14 041 48820 46877 16 036 21 015 20 015 28 012 27 028 46877 45090 28 035 21 022 20 010 24 001 31 007 45090 43422 31 035 26 031 21 022 20 022 24 006 43422 41856 32 040 28 035 22 028 22 038 19 018 41856 40381 32 046 29 044 22 039 25 043 21 035 40381 38992 30 053 24 046 21 042 24 047 22 041 38992 37657 20 039 15 028 16 028 17 043 17 046 37657 36313 15 018 12 017 14 021 11 034 12 052 36313 34934 14 011 9 043 8 035 7 011 9 063 34934 33520 12 003 8 068 4 085 6 358 6 054 33520 32059 7 356 6 063 3 088 2 327 7 043 32059 30543 2 024 4 078 3 122 6 205 3 038 30543 28979 3 093 7 129 12 154 10 177 5 184 28979 27364 6 124 13 131 14 143 10 168 7 163 27364 25702 10 144 10 161 11 162 12 175 8 160 25702 24000 13 171 12 186 14 181 16 180 11 183 24000 22251 18 177 17 182 17 183 17 184 11 189 22251 20448 16 170 19 173 18 184 15 188 11 180 20448 18624 12 158 20 172 17 189 13 196 10 173 18624 16872 9 130 17 171 16 192 11 210 9 175 16872 15276 9 082 13 171 12 190 8 215 7 182 15276 13850 10 056 8 161 7 170 5 176 7 186 13850 12573 8 057 4 118 6*136 7 141 8 178 12573 11426 6 075 3 074 7*130 9*135 7 169 11426 10393 4 089 2*177 7 128 10*131 6 161 10393 9464 4 170 9*181 8 128 11 128 6 151 9464 8631 11 191 9 181 8 125 12 126 8 140 8631 7884 17 195 10 181 8 125 13 125 11 136 7884 7207 22 192 10 181 8 124 13 124 18 131 7207 6601 22 191 10 181 9 124 13 123 26 128 6601 6090 19 192 10 181 8 123 13 122 26 127 6090 5694 15 195 10 181 8 122 13 122 24 127 5694 5419 12 198 9 181 8 121 13 122 21 126 5419 5252 10*200 9 181 8 122 12 122 18 125 5252 5155 8*201 8 181 8 121 10 121 12*124 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography