DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.7 - - 52.1 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 385 - - 62 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2576 - - 3561 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6575 - - 7290 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7425 - - 8410 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 416 - - 506 - - 3622 - - 1181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 440 - - 465 - - 112 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 154 - - 131 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7018 - - -6726 - - -9891 - - -8076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14444 - - 15136 - - 15046 - - 13229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17680 - - -15813 - - -18895 - - -17877 ODpotential blCL - - - 25105 - - 24223 - - 24049 - - 23030 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 92 - - 88 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.7 - - 52.1 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.4 - - 3.8 - - 4.7 - - 4.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 49.3 - - 51.3 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.5 - - 3.7 - - 4.5 - - 3.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 385 - - 62 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2576 - - 3561 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 69 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97009 32 262 37 246 47 264 42 276 97009 89687 38 271 28 260 31 251 36 262 89687 84074 30 265 26 263 29 266 36 271 84074 79403 20 252 30 273 25 275 26 291 79403 75393 12 249 18 284 7 315 10 321 75393 71860 2 173 15 323 13 011 8 045 71860 68673 9 031 15 045 16 023 14 028 68673 65764 20 013 13 054 13 016 24 013 65764 63085 20 007 14 020 12 358 23 353 63085 60476 17 350 15 009 4 297 18 347 60476 57728 23 353 27 342 23 340 21 345 57728 54868 39 338 38 333 38 345 29 352 54868 52135 42 323 42 332 48 335 40 342 52135 49675 46 330 49 336 48 331 50 343 49675 47471 52 331 55 332 53 338 55 346 47471 45466 59 323 56 330 57 338 57 349 45466 43623 61 321 57 326 59 335 58 351 43623 41922 60 334 56 322 62 333 61 351 41922 40344 63 342 57 331 61 331 61 347 40344 38875 62 334 66 342 58 328 53 340 38875 37512 57 318 66 337 60 327 47 332 37512 36222 58 315 60 326 64 322 46 322 36222 34938 62 316 60 322 63 320 48 310 34938 33623 66 319 62 319 64 319 50 309 33623 32278 66 320 63 315 64 315 52 316 32278 30890 59 317 65 312 64 312 54 324 30890 29449 50 307 66 308 62 312 55 331 29449 27956 53 303 63 308 59 313 56 339 27956 26414 56 302 58 308 57 314 53 348 26414 24824 53 303 54 304 55 314 47 354 24824 23191 49 304 51 303 54 314 43 354 23191 21508 47 302 46 306 52 314 41 352 21508 19768 45 300 41 306 48 313 39 340 19768 18006 42 297 41 302 45 310 36 327 18006 16315 40 292 41 297 43 308 31 326 16315 14780 39 290 40 295 42 309 26 326 14780 13411 38 291 37 296 38 314 26 322 13411 12184 35 299 32 299 31 318 29 326 12184 11081 30 312 26 300 26 320 31 330 11081 10089 24 321 20 297 22 316 28 328 10089 9200 17 312 8*287 12 315 21 316 9200 8409 10 286 3*159 1 318 12 306 8409 7704 6*172 4 156 1 132 4 332 7704 7068 7*162 4 154 3 132 4 042 7068 6501 7 159 4 152 4 132 5 091 6501 6024 7 157 5 152 4 132 8 121 6024 5654 7 156 5 152 5 132 11 126 5654 5399 7 155 5 151 5 133 9 124 5399 5242 7 155 4 151 5*132 7*120 5242 5153 6 154 4 153 4*131 5*114 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography