DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 61.8 - - 47.7 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 271 - - 5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1991 - - 3781 - - 304 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5955 - - 7338 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6840 - - 8630 - - 5153 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1867 - - 2170 - - 1805 - - 1486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 423 - - 48 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 12 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 064 - - 043 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 36 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8387 - - -7085 - - -7328 - - -5116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15228 - - 15716 - - 12482 - - 10268 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15393 - - -13328 - - -16447 - - -16267 ODpotential blCL - - - 22233 - - 21958 - - 21600 - - 21419 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 83 - - 75 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 61.8 - - 47.7 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.3 - - 10.9 - - 11.8 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 59.7 - - 47.5 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.2 - - 10.8 - - 11.6 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 271 - - 5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1991 - - 3781 - - 304 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 33 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96115 5 212 9 324 8 005 8 088 96115 89031 12 086 5 097 13 052 12 053 89031 83571 4 086 8 122 4 076 6 030 83571 79041 2 258 3 204 6 275 11 322 79041 75134 11 250 8 259 8 238 10 287 75134 71671 9 202 16 259 14 279 12 283 71671 68505 15 268 19 265 25 272 23 273 68505 65601 15 278 19 266 26 274 25 276 65601 62935 21 304 21 282 25 278 19 275 62935 60352 33 301 27 292 25 287 23 291 60352 57643 45 282 38 288 38 289 37 290 57643 54835 53 272 51 279 49 283 51 282 54835 52165 55 271 56 276 54 280 56 276 52165 49766 54 272 56 272 55 279 55 273 49766 47606 50 275 54 271 54 274 52 276 47606 45626 51 274 53 268 52 270 53 270 45626 43803 56 273 56 270 57 266 58 268 43803 42130 69 272 68 264 69 259 69 263 42130 40594 77 265 78 258 77 258 76 257 40594 39162 74 265 78 259 78 259 78 256 39162 37814 72 273 76 261 78 260 77 257 37814 36516 74 277 74 262 77 261 75 260 36516 35207 73 278 71 265 76 262 72 261 35207 33861 74 277 69 270 74 264 68 264 33861 32482 73 276 69 274 69 268 63 267 32482 31059 70 281 67 276 65 271 61 270 31059 29582 63 287 65 280 60 272 59 271 29582 28056 54 284 60 283 55 273 54 270 28056 26486 47 279 54 283 52 275 49 273 26486 24875 41 275 48 280 49 277 46 277 24875 23224 37 275 43 277 46 280 43 280 23224 21528 36 278 39 279 43 281 40 283 21528 19780 35 284 36 284 39 281 39 285 19780 18011 34 288 34 287 35 283 37 287 18011 16312 31 286 33 284 32 287 35 289 16312 14766 28 279 31 278 31 289 32 291 14766 13387 25 273 29 274 29 288 30 293 13387 12154 23 271 25 275 26 283 27 293 12154 11050 19 272 18 273 20 264 21 280 11050 10060 15 275 9 259 15 232 14 236 10060 9174 11 277 5*251 13 214 14 198 9174 8385 8 283 3*244 9 192 14 164 8385 7681 6 287 1 087 6 152 13 112 7681 7048 5*285 4 066 11 063 20 069 7048 6486 4*276 6 063 17 045 28 055 6486 6015 4 267 7 062 18 043 29 048 6015 5649 4 261 7 062 18 043 27 045 5649 5396 4 257 8 062 17 043 23 044 5396 5242 4 254 8 062 15 043 20 044 5242 5152 3 253 7 062 12*043 13*044 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography