DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 87.9 - - 86.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 535 - - 496 - - 61 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9511 - - 15373 - - 14461 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12208 - - 17031 - - 14157 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14360 - - 20222 - - 19310 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5008 - - 1750 - - 2543 - - 1319 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 721 - - 826 - - 404 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 27 - - 27 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 226 - - 224 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 31 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 11 - - -52 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1217 - - 1420 - - -857 - - -2191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15578 - - 18803 - - 20168 - - 7346 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3437 - - 235 - - -2342 - - -6662 ODpotential blCL - - - 17797 - - 19987 - - 21652 - - 11817 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 79 - - 83 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 30 - - 0 - - 3080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 87.9 - - 86.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 21.8 - - 14.2 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 84.9 - - 85.6 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 21.6 - - 14.1 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 535 - - 496 - - 61 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9511 - - 15373 - - 14461 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 15 - - 33 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97787 14 245 15 253 15 270 18 294 97787 90350 9 210 10 216 7 269 10 307 90350 84639 6 097 9 146 3 194 1 111 84639 79920 6 061 13 128 5 104 9 128 79920 75877 9 112 8 129 7 097 13 091 75877 72291 10 126 5 123 4 143 5 053 72291 69055 13 155 8 189 5 170 5 175 69055 66113 14 208 13 197 14 190 15 205 66113 63408 26 172 23 211 25 217 30 227 63408 60827 24 221 38 211 39 209 44 207 60827 58154 50 238 31 244 28 227 36 196 58154 55343 60 235 51 246 47 251 38 248 55343 52621 69 234 65 237 66 241 59 245 52621 50161 74 237 69 239 66 241 63 242 50161 47947 75 240 70 244 67 247 65 247 47947 45936 73 244 70 245 72 249 68 253 45936 44104 69 247 67 244 72 249 70 256 44104 42429 66 249 62 243 67 248 70 257 42429 40885 64 246 59 245 64 246 70 256 40885 39445 62 242 60 246 63 245 70 255 39445 38093 60 241 61 244 65 246 70 252 38093 36795 61 241 62 244 66 247 70 249 36795 35490 59 242 63 246 64 248 69 247 35490 34150 55 245 65 250 63 247 70 244 34150 32779 54 246 67 252 62 245 70 243 32779 31365 54 242 65 253 62 244 69 243 31365 29898 54 238 59 253 61 245 67 244 29898 28384 51 237 54 251 60 247 63 245 28384 26822 46 237 50 249 58 247 62 244 26822 25215 44 233 48 245 58 244 60 238 25215 23570 44 228 52 238 55 240 50 239 23570 21884 45 230 52*234 48 238 43 247 21884 20149 47 232 47*232 40*235 38 252 20149 18392 46 235 38 229 33*228 34 254 18392 16699 40 237 32 228 31 226 31 253 16699 15150 35*239 28 227 30 225 29 252 15150 13760 28*241 28 227 29 225 28 251 13760 12508 23 244 25 225 28 225 27 249 12508 11378 19 245 24 224 27 225 27 245 11378 10358 16 241 23 224 27 224 26 239 10358 9438 16 240 22 223 26 224 24 230 9438 8614 15 238 22 223 25 223 22 213 8614 7873 15 236 22 223 24 222 21 188 7873 7200 15 235 21 222 23 222 24 163 7200 6596 14 233 21 222 23 221 29 149 6596 6087 14 231 20 222 22 220 28 146 6087 5692 13 231 20 222 21 220 25 146 5692 5419 13 230 19 222 20 220 22 145 5419 5251 12 230 18 222 19 220 18*145 5251 5155 11 229 16 222 15 219 10*145 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography