DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 89.0 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 497 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7020 - - 10004 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10175 - - 12579 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11869 - - 14853 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1995 - - 1775 - - - - - 2636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 656 - - 716 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 159 - - - - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 20 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -249 - - 1139 - - - - - -5425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12118 - - 13714 - - - - - 10581 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3321 - - -44 - - - - - -8574 ODpotential blCL - - - 15190 - - 14897 - - - - - 13729 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 65 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 340 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 89.0 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 46.2 - - - - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 85.7 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 46.1 - - - - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 497 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7020 - - 10004 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98969 50 106 42 106 38 092 98969 91448 41 106 35 114 40 087 91448 85643 32 111 31 091 37 083 85643 80849 32 108 29 089 29 080 80849 76754 32 097 30 102 25 087 76754 73152 31 094 27 096 24 095 73152 69904 26 077 23 092 25 097 69904 66941 22 089 19 098 28 096 66941 64219 16 088 13 122 24 075 64219 61608 10 083 11 113 21 062 61608 58913 18 108 14 077 20 059 58913 56145 28 089 22 075 19 055 56145 53519 36 066 31 069 22 063 53519 51143 41 049 42 056 29 069 51143 48990 38 044 41 052 33 058 48990 47013 33 046 36 055 34 058 47013 45182 32 047 34 060 33 060 45182 43471 32 045 33 057 34 060 43471 41864 34 049 33 064 35 054 41864 40348 36 050 36 066 33 052 40348 38918 36 046 39 063 33 059 38918 37546 28 059 26 055 30 060 37546 36176 21 079 16 048 23 063 36176 34783 21 094 12 078 18 067 34783 33368 22 097 15 097 15 069 33368 31912 21 086 15 096 13 066 31912 30404 22 070 16 075 13 068 30404 28846 18 072 17 059 14 071 28846 27241 13 078 12 052 15 060 27241 25590 10 056 13 048 16 055 25590 23895 11 036 16 044 16 063 23895 22157 12 039 14 052 16 068 22157 20369 12 062 14 066 19 076 20369 18559 13 083 9 078 19 055 18559 16821 13 084 4 080 22 013 16821 15241 11 071 1*066 19 347 15241 13831 9 076 1*094 12 329 13831 12564 6*106 1 134 6 296 12564 11424 5*149 3 154 6 221 11424 10395 5 158 4 159 10 197 10395 9468 6 164 6 161 12 187 9468 8637 6 168 7 162 14 176 8637 7891 7 171 7 162 16 164 7891 7213 7 172 8 162 21 149 7213 6606 8 173 9 161 27 140 6606 6094 8 174 9 161 27 138 6094 5697 8 174 9 161 25 137 5697 5421 7 174 9 161 21 137 5421 5252 7 175 9 162 18 137 5252 5155 7 175 8 161 11*137 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography