DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 93.9 - - - - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 503 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8098 - - 9824 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11022 - - 12436 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12947 - - 14673 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1485 - - 1791 - - - - - 4954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 670 - - 714 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 59 - - 38 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 073 - - - - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 473 - - -479 - - - - - -6019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12475 - - 15153 - - - - - 11176 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2645 - - -3202 - - - - - -8613 ODpotential blCL - - - 15592 - - 17875 - - - - - 13769 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 56 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 40 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.5 - - 93.9 - - - - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 44.8 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.1 - - 90.6 - - - - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 44.6 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 503 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8098 - - 9824 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 41 089 36 106 35 096 98946 91437 31 098 36 107 27 087 91437 85652 35 106 32 095 21 084 85652 80854 40 102 31 100 29 096 80854 76750 41 092 31 109 37 085 76750 73169 37 083 32 107 37 078 73169 69957 25 077 29 095 32 077 69957 67026 20 091 27 084 26 088 67026 64325 21 108 23 080 24 100 64325 61718 24 101 22 093 26 098 61718 59015 32 093 25 100 23 095 59015 56237 39 085 29 095 20 097 56237 53606 40 088 34 092 24 101 53606 51240 43 091 38 092 32 106 51240 49110 42 087 42 092 39 107 49110 47159 40 085 42 092 41 105 47159 45354 39 082 40 093 38 107 45354 43671 40 083 38 093 32 107 43671 42092 41 087 38 095 27 110 42092 40601 38 089 38 096 25 110 40601 39194 33 091 36 096 24 107 39194 37841 31 092 31 095 24 106 37841 36482 30 091 29 094 27 110 36482 35089 31 091 27 099 29 110 35089 33664 30 093 24 101 28 107 33664 32192 29 095 24 103 31 104 32192 30666 28 100 26 106 34 105 30666 29088 29 106 26 108 34 107 29088 27462 31 109 23 111 30 099 27462 25791 27 113 22 118 33 090 25791 24079 16 106 10 103 29 089 24079 22319 11 069 10 047 24 085 22319 20503 10 050 15 028 24 074 20503 18671 10 048 14 035 20 045 18671 16923 8 062 9 040 14 005 16923 15335 6 069 4*013 11 327 15335 13913 7*005 3*005 7 309 13913 12636 6*359 3 006 3 300 12636 11485 5 002 2 024 1 188 11485 10446 4 004 2 055 4 168 10446 9511 3 007 3 075 7 166 9511 8673 1 006 4 085 11 162 8673 7921 1 004 5 089 14 157 7921 7237 0 358 5 091 18 150 7237 6624 0 187 6 093 20 144 6624 6106 1 187 7 093 19 141 6106 5703 1 191 7 092 17 139 5703 5424 1 191 7 092 14 135 5424 5254 1 193 7 092 10*133 5254 5156 1 191 6 093 6*130 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography