DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.4 - - 81.8 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 445 - - 28 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7113 - - 8798 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10206 - - 11536 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11962 - - 13647 - - 5156 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2470 - - 3552 - - 8989 - - 1951 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 635 - - 661 - - 95 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 210 - - 29 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 112 - - 124 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 25 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 756 - - 588 - - -3686 - - -1431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11207 - - 13059 - - 8843 - - 6587 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -734 - - -308 - - -5611 - - -4661 ODpotential blCL - - - 12696 - - 13955 - - 10767 - - 9817 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 92 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 830 - - 790 - - 2270 - - 2470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.4 - - 81.8 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 49.5 - - 60.3 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 86.3 - - 81.3 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 49.4 - - 59.4 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 445 - - 28 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7113 - - 8798 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 66 - - 86 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98758 35 087 39 102 31 104 32 084 98758 91309 32 093 30 095 29 092 30 080 91309 85597 36 092 29 100 30 083 30 084 85597 80856 35 089 29 102 27 088 33 090 80856 76771 21 086 31 092 26 103 27 088 76771 73180 15 101 22 085 24 099 21 092 73180 69943 19 128 14 101 15 078 20 078 69943 66978 18 111 16 120 10 095 14 057 66978 64249 14 111 18 099 11 104 8 040 64249 61620 5 058 12 069 12 113 5 129 61620 58892 5 216 5 310 9 358 12 034 58892 56091 5 160 9 196 11 284 12 324 56091 53428 11 324 12 309 8 304 11 299 53428 51024 27 309 29 314 32 324 37 322 51024 48863 21 297 27 304 37 309 41 308 48863 46887 15 286 22 293 25 284 33 289 46887 45068 20 304 19 297 19 270 25 277 45068 43380 24 311 20 310 18 306 20 311 43380 41808 30 314 27 321 32 316 38 324 41808 40334 37 315 37 318 38 312 49 323 40334 38946 40 314 39 309 37 299 41 317 38946 37611 35 311 36 291 38 292 34 301 37611 36263 28 304 36 279 36 286 32 293 36263 34874 29 295 33 287 31 279 29 289 34874 33452 36 298 31 307 22 277 24 288 33452 31992 27 314 24 331 7 291 16 278 31992 30480 12 332 6 344 8 295 9 291 30480 28918 5 008 1 135 11 308 6 298 28918 27306 6 024 4 015 10 329 4 359 27306 25650 9 024 8 012 9 016 5 066 25650 23954 14 060 10 060 11 044 12 062 23954 22211 10 065 11 059 13 054 21 060 22211 20414 5 093 7 045 11 050 21 065 20414 18597 6 112 3 019 8 035 19 042 18597 16856 8 088 6 347 8 025 18 011 16856 15276 10 060 7 344 9 003 14 002 15276 13861 10 044 6*346 7 357 9 013 13861 12591 7*038 3*005 3 005 3 034 12591 11446 5*029 2 020 1 090 5 157 11446 10414 3 023 3 107 3 125 9 161 10414 9484 1 007 4 117 6 135 12 160 9484 8652 1 229 5 119 8 138 14 157 8652 7904 2 217 6 120 8 136 16 155 7904 7224 2 214 6 120 8 135 16 154 7224 6614 3 211 7 121 8 133 16 154 6614 6099 3 208 7 121 8 130 15 158 6099 5700 3 206 7 121 7 128 12 163 5700 5422 3 206 7 121 7 126 9 170 5422 5253 3 205 7 121 7*125 6*173 5253 5156 3 206 7 121 6*124 4*172 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography