DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 80.8 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 103 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8210 - - 4483 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10950 - - 7424 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13059 - - 9332 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3675 - - 6127 - - - - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 338 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 051 - - 157 - - - - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 666 - - -610 - - - - - -2159 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12394 - - 9943 - - - - - 7315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -143 - - -2550 - - - - - -5720 ODpotential blCL - - - 13202 - - 11882 - - - - - 10875 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 950 - - - - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 80.8 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 54.8 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 80.1 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 54.0 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 103 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8210 - - 4483 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 94 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98846 42 094 36 105 37 083 98846 91431 46 103 39 102 34 083 91431 85699 45 100 39 094 36 087 85699 80934 41 089 36 088 34 087 80934 76850 37 087 29 087 35 092 76850 73261 27 091 24 096 31 086 73261 70031 20 099 18 088 28 077 70031 67069 15 101 18 093 25 069 67069 64325 15 092 22 100 16 055 64325 61678 16 074 16 106 6 056 61678 58935 13 058 12 107 5 044 58935 56112 6 047 7 070 6 042 56112 53436 3 044 5 057 3 060 53436 51034 1 100 5 036 2 067 51034 48877 6 114 2 183 3 023 48877 46911 7 085 8 150 5 350 46911 45094 10 035 4 106 3 343 45094 43403 7 006 10 009 13 052 43403 41824 3 097 14 344 12 028 41824 40342 8 100 1 034 6 011 40342 38946 18 069 7 097 6 042 38946 37602 22 054 5 085 9 056 37602 36247 17 044 2 030 10 066 36247 34858 14 044 4 028 12 081 34858 33439 13 050 7 049 17 093 33439 31980 11 061 8 055 20 100 31980 30468 13 075 7 057 21 098 30468 28903 14 083 8 065 19 092 28903 27288 12 084 9 095 18 087 27288 25627 11 083 10 117 17 088 25627 23927 10 090 8 137 15 103 23927 22182 12 089 8 161 15 121 22182 20386 15 083 2 258 15 122 20386 18569 19 071 2 231 11 102 18569 16827 16 066 5 219 4 099 16827 15244 10 058 5 247 3 200 15244 13833 9*056 5 256 8 202 13833 12567 8*055 4 254 10 193 12567 11427 7 053 3 234 10 183 11427 10398 6 052 3 205 11 171 10398 9472 5 051 4*189 13 161 9472 8641 4 049 5*167 14 153 8641 7896 4 050 5 162 15 146 7896 7218 3 048 6 158 16 141 7218 6610 3 045 6 155 17 138 6610 6096 3 043 5 153 16 137 6096 5698 2 045 5 151 14 136 5698 5421 2 046 5 151 11 135 5421 5252 2 044 5 150 8 130 5252 5155 2 045 5 149 5*126 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography