DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.5 - - 80.6 - - 85.0 - - 81.1 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 163 - - 351 - - 506 - - 53 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2150 - - 5852 - - 10342 - - 6465 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5929 - - 9055 - - 12866 - - 8082 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6999 - - 10701 - - 15191 - - 11314 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1451 - - 3159 - - 2007 - - 4219 - - 1907 Hgt.Variab. W* 295 - - 533 - - 728 - - 294 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 20 - - 27 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 275 - - 265 - - 280 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 16 - - 25 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -27 - - -4 - - -20 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10240 - - -6588 - - -2632 - - -5177 - - -9168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17240 - - 17290 - - 17824 - - 16492 - - 14324 sfcLCL ODpotential -16324 - - -9964 - - -5575 - - -9158 - - -13668 ODpotential blCL 23323 - - 20665 - - 20766 - - 20472 - - 18823 blCL maxRH 83 - - 88 - - 84 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.5 - - 80.6 - - 85.0 - - 81.1 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 22.0 - - 23.6 - - 26.3 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.2 - - 78.1 - - 82.1 - - 80.4 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.7 - - 21.9 - - 23.6 - - 26.1 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 163 - - 351 - - 506 - - 53 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2150 - - 5852 - - 10342 - - 6465 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 52 - - 35 - - 101 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97812 21 242 11 225 24 214 21 257 20 287 97812 90318 16 271 15 226 14 240 19 259 17 273 90318 84576 8 242 10 239 7 260 8 230 14 240 84576 79849 5 272 7 277 8 275 8 313 4 327 79849 75815 4 032 7 248 2 316 11 338 6 010 75815 72261 8 079 4 287 8 026 7 071 12 060 72261 69039 9 040 9 056 3 307 3 332 12 007 69039 66119 11 276 7 353 20 105 8 151 12 262 66119 63469 9 306 11 281 10 332 3 224 4 102 63469 60903 15 335 9 237 21 314 8 004 7 007 60903 58186 38 268 31 265 43 275 39 284 30 299 58186 55354 45 238 49 257 53 257 55 269 53 277 55354 52662 44 245 55 253 56 250 61 258 66 268 52662 50247 64 265 61 259 59 257 66 256 70 262 50247 48096 82 273 76 272 71 272 78 268 70 270 48096 46169 98 279 99 280 90 279 89 278 97 278 46169 44414 107 278 106 277 99 278 107 279 109 275 44414 42779 99 276 105 277 99 278 110 277 100 273 42779 41238 90 270 101 279 96 281 100 276 94 272 41238 39783 87 266 88 278 90 282 79 276 91 275 39783 38411 84 267 80 278 79 276 75 275 78 274 38411 37092 81 270 81 275 73 274 74 276 70 269 37092 35762 78 270 84 271 71 276 73 279 70 268 35762 34394 76 271 83 272 69 274 70 278 69 266 34394 32992 73 271 79 273 70 275 69 274 68 266 32992 31547 71 270 76 272 69 280 71 270 64 271 31547 30051 71 271 74 268 66 280 71 268 64 278 30051 28506 72 272 71 267 69 276 68 266 66 279 28506 26916 72 273 66 267 68 270 66 267 65 274 26916 25283 69 274 61 267 65 267 64 271 65 265 25283 23614 64 275 56 268 62 268 61 274 61 263 23614 21900 58 275 56 267 57 269 57 275 55 266 21900 20136 52 274 57 265 55 265 55 273 50 266 20136 18356 48 273 56 260 53 258 51 268 46 257 18356 16651 46 270 54 256 48*253 40 259 39 251 16651 15101 42 266 52 256 40*253 31 254 30 252 15101 13716 37 263 49 260 34 255 27 256 26 257 13716 12471 33 261 44 265 30 260 25 259 24 259 12471 11347 29 261 35*270 28 262 24*263 21 261 11347 10332 27 265 29*273 26 268 22*269 18 262 10332 9418 27 272 25 274 25 270 21 275 15 262 9418 8599 27 282 21 275 25 272 20 279 13 265 8599 7863 27 289 19 276 25 274 20 281 11 271 7863 7194 24*292 18 276 24 275 19 283 9 284 7194 6593 20*290 18 276 24 276 19 284 8 301 6593 6085 17 288 17 276 23 276 19 285 8 315 6085 5691 15 286 16 276 22 277 18 285 7 323 5691 5418 13 284 15 276 22 277 17 286 6 332 5418 5251 12 284 15 276 21 277 16 286 4*344 5251 5155 10 283 13 276 18 277 13 286 3*347 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography