DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.3 - - 52.3 - - 58.3 - - 54.2 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 231 - - 264 - - -13 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2261 - - 4029 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 6145 - - 7513 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 7110 - - 8878 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 137 - - 1458 - - 1000 - - 3906 - - 218 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 337 - - 427 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S 4 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 145 - - 217 - - 213 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4465 - - -7549 - - -8042 - - -10588 - - -6168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9617 - - 14660 - - 16921 - - 15742 - - 11321 sfcLCL ODpotential -18610 - - -17324 - - -16262 - - -19416 - - -16949 ODpotential blCL 23762 - - 24434 - - 25140 - - 24570 - - 22102 blCL maxRH 88 - - 76 - - 85 - - 77 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.3 - - 52.3 - - 58.3 - - 54.2 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.6 - - 6.7 - - 2.3 - - 3.8 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.9 - - 50.6 - - 56.4 - - 55.1 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.0 - - 6.1 - - 2.0 - - 3.6 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 231 - - 264 - - -13 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2261 - - 4029 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 5 - - 41 - - 8 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96321 48 251 44 261 44 253 42 269 37 260 96321 89028 56 263 49 267 42 257 40 270 32 294 89028 83489 49 272 50 271 37 264 40 273 35 300 83489 78907 37 283 40 272 32 275 35 282 33 290 78907 74975 36 281 31 285 27 279 30 283 31 287 74975 71512 35 273 29 290 25 280 28 278 32 284 71512 68391 32 277 31 289 27 292 31 292 33 287 68391 65555 30 284 34 285 33 295 35 298 32 296 65555 62937 28 297 35 281 37 284 37 285 34 294 62937 60395 33 310 33 278 36 279 37 284 37 284 60395 57747 42 300 37 284 38 278 45 278 46 275 57747 55000 51 287 45 277 42 273 49 268 55 266 55000 52364 59 278 50 271 48 278 55 269 59 263 52364 49966 61 275 54 276 59 275 65 272 65 269 49966 47795 59 276 61 274 64 274 75 270 77 273 47795 45817 59 281 68 273 71 272 81 276 84 273 45817 44015 60 289 78 273 79 274 88 275 96 267 44015 42365 66 297 85 275 96 269 97 269 102 265 42365 40830 74 292 86 277 101 270 102 269 102 266 40830 39384 75 284 88 277 98 273 103 269 99 269 39384 38021 73 288 87 277 93 276 96 270 95 271 38021 36712 65 288 79 280 87 279 86 270 88 268 36712 35391 62 283 72 286 78 279 77 276 78 266 35391 34034 61 276 64 288 70 279 65 279 68 270 34034 32647 59 272 59 286 65 279 61 284 63 277 32647 31216 59 274 57 286 55 277 59 282 57 280 31216 29730 57 278 52 290 45 281 57 274 53 275 29730 28194 44 272 41 276 42 275 57 271 54 268 28194 26613 31 277 37 267 44 265 47 271 52 267 26613 24990 26 287 34 266 42 264 42 275 42 269 24990 23330 24 290 30 269 35 269 41 280 35 277 23330 21626 23 294 26 277 28 272 31 276 32 282 21626 19870 24 304 22 285 22 271 25 270 30 281 19870 18096 24 313 18 301 17 270 23 264 29 277 18096 16395 24 316 16 307 16 276 23 262 27 275 16395 14850 22 314 17 305 16 280 23 264 25 278 14850 13472 20 314 16 305 17 281 21 270 24 280 13472 12238 18 317 15 308 16 282 19 273 23 279 12238 11130 16 319 14 312 14 284 16 274 21 274 11130 10135 15 323 11 316 10 281 11 273 20 266 10135 9244 11 343 5 312 5*228 5 255 19 257 9244 8449 9 026 3 220 5*220 5 221 18 247 8449 7738 10 060 5*184 5 217 6 212 17 238 7738 7095 10 069 4*161 5 217 7 212 15 230 7095 6520 9 070 4 149 5 217 8 212 14 224 6520 6036 7 062 4 144 5 217 8 212 14 215 6036 5661 6 040 4 139 5 216 8 211 15 203 5661 5402 4 014 4 135 5 217 8 212 14 199 5402 5244 2*003 4 135 5 218 7*212 10*204 5244 5153 2*195 4 134 5 218 5*213 5*209 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography