DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.0 - - 78.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 317 - - 53 - - 7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 926 - - 5655 - - 1999 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8859 - - 5139 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5775 - - 10504 - - 6848 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 885 - - 3024 - - 5701 - - 3402 - - 1481 Hgt.Variab. W* 177 - - 511 - - 222 - - 73 - - 40 W* B/S 4 - - 29 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 115 - - 038 - - 099 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 3 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 320 - - 621 - - -1193 - - -716 - - -86 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5456 - - 9884 - - 8042 - - 5872 - - 5241 sfcLCL ODpotential -3117 - - -617 - - -3225 - - -3134 - - -3926 ODpotential blCL 8892 - - 11121 - - 10073 - - 8289 - - 9081 blCL maxRH 87 - - 92 - - 98 - - 92 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 900 - - 590 - - 1310 - - 2080 - - 990 CAPE Temp@2m 67.0 - - 78.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.2 - - 52.8 - - 57.8 - - 62.8 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.1 - - 76.2 - - 75.0 - - 71.2 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.6 - - 52.4 - - 56.6 - - 61.8 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 317 - - 53 - - 7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 926 - - 5655 - - 1999 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 69 - - 93 - - 68 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98092 25 079 33 099 32 128 17 150 21 076 98092 90780 19 078 30 102 28 106 21 117 24 095 90780 85117 18 106 27 110 24 109 20 095 26 097 85117 80404 22 114 22 110 23 104 16 093 21 086 80404 76336 21 106 17 109 22 091 15 108 17 087 76336 72751 15 088 16 095 19 082 21 102 16 109 72751 69514 8 110 15 095 14 095 16 090 20 103 69514 66538 13 143 17 102 14 105 11 109 17 094 66538 63799 14 131 12 112 14 107 11 112 10 118 63799 61169 10 089 11 114 5 089 10 071 12 111 61169 58452 15 076 6 162 1 245 10 026 8 053 58452 55670 15 013 1 041 7 266 15 297 11 327 55670 53043 23 322 12 320 10 288 17 277 18 298 53043 50688 31 310 24 317 21 310 20 304 21 298 50688 48568 37 302 34 305 33 302 33 307 29 305 48568 46630 41 297 39 300 41 300 43 306 42 304 46630 44841 47 295 46 297 49 298 49 304 48 299 44841 43175 52 293 50 294 54 292 54 297 49 296 43175 41612 55 290 54 292 56 287 55 289 50 291 41612 40142 54 291 54 291 54 284 54 283 49 287 40142 38757 54 296 52 292 53 285 54 283 49 286 38757 37425 53 301 49 295 51 290 52 288 48 288 37425 36083 50 306 46 301 48 298 48 296 46 294 36083 34705 48 310 44 306 46 304 45 304 44 301 34705 33294 46 312 43 307 44 306 43 307 44 305 33294 31838 42 313 41 309 40 309 40 309 39 308 31838 30327 34 313 33 309 29 311 30 309 31 311 30327 28767 25 316 23 307 15 306 21 305 24 308 28767 27159 18 321 15 303 16 307 15 293 17 300 27159 25507 14 320 10 284 13 294 11 271 12 277 25507 23814 8 316 9 254 9 282 12 271 11 262 23814 22077 3 261 8 245 12 272 14 284 8 279 22077 20286 3 212 8 249 9 268 12 296 9 302 20286 18477 6 276 6 268 8 275 10 299 9 316 18477 16743 6 284 6 286 5 283 9 319 9 332 16743 15165 4 312 3 289 1 250 10 324 8 341 15165 13758 2 080 2 314 1 145 9 326 8 337 13758 12497 7 118 3 054 3 108 6 351 7 356 12497 11363 7 112 5*097 4 099 6 049 7 031 11363 10341 5 089 5*110 5 088 8 079 6 063 10341 9421 5 071 4 115 5 082 10 107 6 092 9421 8597 5 063 4 117 5 075 14 123 7 107 8597 7858 2 050 3 117 6 068 15 125 8 114 7858 7187 4 242 3 117 6*059 15 124 13 124 7187 6587 9 229 3 115 6*047 12 118 20 128 6587 6081 10*221 2 115 6 040 10 113 24 129 6081 5689 9*219 2 112 6 036 8 105 22 129 5689 5417 8 219 2 110 6 035 7 102 16 127 5417 5251 7 220 2 110 6 033 7*100 12*124 5251 5155 6 220 2 106 5 033 6*099 5*115 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography