DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 88.8 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 534 - - 503 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11240 - - 12975 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13633 - - 15040 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16089 - - 17824 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2186 - - 1416 - - - - - 961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 761 - - 783 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 137 - - - - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 48 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2203 - - -1156 - - - - - -10184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18293 - - 18981 - - - - - 15339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6336 - - -3554 - - - - - -15528 ODpotential blCL - - - 22425 - - 21378 - - - - - 20683 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 76 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 88.8 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 22.0 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 85.5 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 21.9 - - - - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 534 - - 503 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11240 - - 12975 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98104 2 080 3 125 5 028 98104 90677 8 146 3 136 8 022 90677 84966 5 128 6 149 5 033 84966 80224 7 344 5 084 6 081 80224 76142 2 085 7 012 10 038 76142 72542 6 101 4 011 13 340 72542 69301 8 350 1 015 14 320 69301 66355 11 005 3 291 11 305 66355 63657 17 323 11 296 15 303 63657 61065 23 292 19 302 19 296 61065 58382 26 283 22 303 19 300 58382 55599 28 279 34 285 28 296 55599 52923 41 271 40 264 44 280 52923 50505 47 266 45 266 54 272 50505 48342 50 275 56 276 64 275 48342 46378 59 278 70 275 69 274 46378 44572 63 279 71 277 67 274 44572 42898 61 280 65 280 63 277 42898 41338 56 280 54 281 56 281 41338 39879 50 281 49 282 53 283 39879 38512 45 282 47 285 54 282 38512 37198 44 281 43 278 56 281 37198 35870 42 279 38 271 54 284 35870 34505 37 278 38 270 49 287 34505 33108 32 284 36 277 40 287 33108 31671 29 286 35 278 30 283 31671 30181 27 280 35 276 27 282 30181 28639 24 280 32 276 28 282 28639 27046 19 277 25 277 25 286 27046 25411 14 254 21 274 18 302 25411 23736 11 222 16 264 13 313 23736 22015 7 186 14 268 13 300 22015 20244 8 134 11 255 16 284 20244 18455 13 100 3*183 16 291 18455 16739 15*090 3*164 15 300 16739 15176 13*093 4 159 13 291 15176 13777 12 094 4 153 12 273 13777 12519 10 098 6 146 13 255 12519 11384 7 113 7 140 14 241 11384 10361 7 115 8 137 14 231 10361 9439 7 118 8 134 14 217 9439 8613 7 120 9 132 15 196 8613 7872 7 121 9 131 16 181 7872 7199 7 122 10 130 21 162 7199 6596 7 123 10 128 26 149 6596 6087 7 124 10 127 27 145 6087 5692 6 125 10 127 26 144 5692 5418 6 124 10 127 21 146 5418 5251 6 124 10 127 17*146 5251 5155 6 124 9 127 8*145 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography