DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 45.4 - - 48.5 - - 48.5 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 117 - - 125 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2250 - - 2517 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5865 - - 6080 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 7099 - - 7366 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 616 - - 1227 - - 1254 - - 3621 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 274 - - 289 - - 18 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 261 - - 302 - - 286 - - 307 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -4 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1539 - - 1198 - - -2000 - - -2962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5152 - - 5560 - - 6168 - - 7154 - - 8116 sfcLCL ODpotential -2281 - - 547 - - 274 - - -5977 - - -13462 ODpotential blCL 7433 - - 6552 - - 7092 - - 11130 - - 18615 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 83 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 45.4 - - 48.5 - - 48.5 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 39.0 - - 39.4 - - 35.2 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.0 - - 44.1 - - 47.3 - - 50.0 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 38.1 - - 38.8 - - 34.6 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 117 - - 125 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2250 - - 2517 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 101 - - 101 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96080 8 295 18 282 17 312 17 314 19 310 96080 89048 19 038 7 020 8 355 6 031 10 355 89048 83638 16 018 9 068 7 040 3 061 19 027 83638 79142 16 011 12 038 10 043 7 042 16 034 79142 75232 10 016 16 022 9 062 9 024 11 057 75232 71755 7 019 12 019 10 102 8 008 10 050 71755 68612 6 026 8 015 8 082 7 035 11 047 68612 65731 5 013 1 265 6 352 4 002 10 029 65731 63059 11 317 7 286 14 335 5 303 18 001 63059 60453 13 282 17 276 20 319 12 304 27 342 60453 57700 18 279 20 270 21 294 17 304 19 305 57700 54838 27 263 21 269 23 288 23 298 22 275 54838 52117 29 262 24 276 30 285 28 293 29 275 52117 49668 31 266 29 280 35 276 32 293 32 274 49668 47469 34 264 33 282 38 270 37 293 30 281 47469 45477 34 263 35 283 37 268 39 290 31 292 45477 43655 35 265 37 280 39 270 41 286 30 288 43655 41972 34 268 38 277 41 273 41 282 27 281 41972 40403 33 274 37 277 41 272 41 278 25 279 40403 38936 32 275 39 277 39 275 40 274 25 281 38936 37564 32 272 40 275 37 278 34 277 24 279 37564 36259 20 283 35 277 33 277 32 281 18 288 36259 34958 20 309 32 285 26 282 25 291 11 330 34958 33636 15 308 23 310 15 321 15 317 23 024 33636 32291 9 316 16 321 11 015 9 350 30 030 32291 30904 8 355 12 020 17 030 10 016 28 028 30904 29462 8 009 15 005 20 031 12 011 25 030 29462 27969 23 027 16 350 19 024 13 359 24 032 27969 26425 31 009 15 342 16 014 14 353 25 023 26425 24835 33 001 13 340 15 004 13 358 26 026 24835 23203 28 019 11 341 15 002 14 009 21 030 23203 21521 24 030 11 347 15 357 17 020 17 019 21521 19782 17 018 12 358 17 359 21 031 19 017 19782 18020 12 351 14 007 19 019 27 033 24 016 18020 16330 11 324 17 024 22 031 31 030 24 010 16330 14794 9 330 18 036 23 026 32 030 23 004 14794 13424 5 354 16 038 21 020 28 029 22 003 13424 12197 2 014 11 035 17 016 25 022 22 006 12197 11097 3 243 5 031 14 012 23 014 22 010 11097 10111 7 252 2 307 13 005 21 005 22 014 10111 9227 9 270 5 277 13 349 16 352 22 015 9227 8437 9 281 6 303 11 333 13 341 21 011 8437 7731 9 285 6*310 10*318 13 332 19 005 7731 7090 9 287 6*308 10*300 12 324 18 351 7090 6516 9 290 6 304 10 289 11 320 20 328 6516 6033 11 293 6 301 10 284 11 317 23 311 6033 5659 11 288 5 298 10 282 9 315 22 304 5659 5400 10 280 5 296 10 280 8 313 15 297 5400 5243 7 268 5 295 9 279 6 309 9*286 5243 5153 5*261 4 295 8 278 4*307 5*267 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography