DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.1 - - 74.5 - - 79.5 - - 77.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 353 - - 360 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4468 - - 8789 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7968 - - 11418 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 9317 - - 13638 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 189 - - 2301 - - 1721 - - 10031 - - 405 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 488 - - 615 - - 77 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 19 - - 27 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 009 - - 322 - - 337 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 20 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5518 - - -5913 - - -3278 - - -12091 - - -8143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10672 - - 15230 - - 16917 - - 17247 - - 13299 sfcLCL ODpotential -13225 - - -9889 - - -6786 - - -16473 - - -15374 ODpotential blCL 18379 - - 19206 - - 20424 - - 21628 - - 20529 blCL maxRH 35 - - 32 - - 37 - - 46 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.1 - - 74.5 - - 79.5 - - 77.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 25.4 - - 22.5 - - 19.6 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 71.9 - - 76.9 - - 77.2 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 25.3 - - 22.5 - - 19.5 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 353 - - 360 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4468 - - 8789 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96653 11 271 26 284 23 261 21 305 19 292 96653 89413 9 313 13 282 10 265 18 286 13 332 89413 83843 15 294 13 266 6 285 16 274 17 305 83843 79215 8 273 17 261 10 299 9 255 12 285 79215 75220 1 283 11 247 18 267 21 268 18 290 75220 71703 15 305 4 186 16 236 24 252 17 289 71703 68568 21 292 17 313 11 305 13 300 20 344 68568 65745 17 306 19 304 25 314 26 328 32 338 65745 63150 20 336 17 331 26 326 28 338 33 339 63150 60619 41 339 45 341 44 336 42 333 44 329 60619 57977 61 329 56 330 54 326 48 324 49 317 57977 55237 56 314 54 321 54 318 47 322 47 316 55237 52601 52 316 51 317 51 312 46 318 48 314 52601 50206 58 318 55 317 53 310 50 311 52 309 50206 48046 65 312 61 313 59 310 57 311 55 310 48046 46074 66 308 66 307 64 307 60 311 59 311 46074 44257 65 305 67 302 65 301 60 308 63 309 44257 42572 63 306 66 301 64 300 60 305 64 306 42572 41003 60 310 61 302 63 305 58 303 62 306 41003 39540 59 312 57 303 61 311 55 303 59 308 39540 38175 57 312 57 307 59 314 49 304 56 312 38175 36871 57 313 57 311 56 314 47 307 54 315 36871 35559 56 314 54 312 53 314 47 314 52 320 35559 34211 53 313 52 313 51 316 48 323 52 325 34211 32830 51 312 51 316 52 322 49 327 51 328 32830 31407 51 316 47 320 49 325 48 326 50 332 31407 29932 49 321 44 325 43 327 45 324 48 335 29932 28409 46 326 44 331 42 332 42 321 43 331 28409 26839 44 329 42 334 39 334 41 321 39 324 26839 25224 41 328 36 331 35 329 41 324 37 320 25224 23566 38 324 32 323 33 323 41 328 36 321 23566 21860 38 322 34 319 32 320 38 329 36 325 21860 20100 37 329 34 324 32 322 33 328 33 327 20100 18317 34 336 28 333 27 327 30 326 29 326 18317 16604 28 332 22 337 21 335 22 329 25 325 16604 15045 23 321 18 336 16 329 10 326 19 323 15045 13654 20 323 16 333 9*313 4 320 12 304 13654 12410 17 328 15 329 8*309 4 324 7 250 12410 11292 14 327 13 320 7 310 4 324 6 225 11292 10285 11 320 10 313 6 310 4 324 5 243 10285 9378 7 317 6*320 5 316 4 325 5 270 9378 8565 6 329 5*340 4 323 4 328 5 287 8565 7835 6 353 5 001 3 332 4 331 3 313 7835 7171 9 002 5 008 3 340 4 332 2 017 7171 6576 9 356 5 013 3 353 4 335 5 067 6576 6074 5 324 5 016 3 360 4 336 7 075 6074 5684 5 256 5 019 2 006 4 335 9 076 5684 5414 6 218 5 019 2 008 4 336 8 074 5414 5249 5*218 5 020 2 010 4*337 5*069 5249 5155 2*229 4 020 2 013 3*337 3*068 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography