DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 88.1 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 248 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7467 - - 8404 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10473 - - 10916 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12316 - - 13253 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3305 - - 4129 - - - - - 247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 635 - - 541 - - - - - 32 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 22 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 290 - - - - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 26 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 105 - - 618 - - - - - -2739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12211 - - 12636 - - - - - 7894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1130 - - -797 - - - - - -6836 ODpotential blCL - - - 13446 - - 14050 - - - - - 11991 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 99 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 510 - - - - - 900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 88.1 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 50.1 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 86.0 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 49.7 - - - - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 248 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7467 - - 8404 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 95 - - - - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98681 18 117 11 166 22 070 98681 91237 24 104 23 114 21 085 91237 85501 24 106 28 104 17 098 85501 80733 23 112 25 097 19 104 80733 76619 23 100 21 098 19 104 76619 72991 20 106 17 102 16 099 72991 69731 15 113 14 114 11 094 69731 66762 9 147 10 129 8 086 66762 64030 8 169 5 165 6 113 64030 61392 5 162 6 184 3 139 61392 58677 5 128 5 195 2 063 58677 55922 7 047 3 037 9 014 55922 53327 7 039 7 002 13 329 53327 50984 15 042 12 050 5 315 50984 48861 23 016 18 026 8 012 48861 46917 29 003 26 015 15 019 46917 45119 32 357 30 003 21 011 45119 43441 32 355 30 356 29 009 43441 41863 30 356 30 351 33 003 41863 40375 26 358 27 350 30 359 40375 38973 23 358 23 351 22 359 38973 37627 19 356 18 354 21 356 37627 36273 13 353 12 349 18 345 36273 34883 11 351 9 339 15 338 34883 33461 9 343 9 352 11 332 33461 31994 6 331 8 346 6 320 31994 30471 4 332 7 331 3 348 30471 28898 2 358 5 307 5 334 28898 27278 4 068 3 277 6 321 27278 25619 6 069 1 207 4 317 25619 23921 6 039 2 341 3 352 23921 22178 6 348 8 334 9 355 22178 20388 6 322 9 329 12 359 20388 18582 6 329 8 333 11 004 18582 16853 4 337 5 301 11 336 16853 15281 1 326 5 289 9 327 15281 13873 1 101 4*285 8 321 13873 12605 2*344 4*286 8 308 12605 11461 4*322 4 286 8 299 11461 10428 5 312 4 286 7 287 10428 9497 6 288 5 286 6 274 9497 8662 7 277 5 286 4 249 8662 7912 7 273 5 288 4 213 7912 7230 8 270 5 291 7 194 7230 6618 8 268 5 294 9 187 6618 6101 8 266 5 297 10 180 6101 5700 8 264 4 300 12 170 5700 5422 8 263 4 301 12 161 5422 5253 8 263 4 302 10 159 5253 5155 7 262 4 302 5*158 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography