DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 87.6 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 367 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8008 - - 9091 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10957 - - 11673 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12857 - - 13940 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2152 - - 3428 - - - - - 2646 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 672 - - 626 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 126 - - - - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 21 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 366 - - 1050 - - - - - -3128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12492 - - 12890 - - - - - 8284 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1370 - - -337 - - - - - -6202 ODpotential blCL - - - 14227 - - 14277 - - - - - 11358 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 88 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 280 - - - - - 1120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 87.6 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 48.6 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 84.9 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 48.5 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 367 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8008 - - 9091 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98864 30 110 36 100 31 092 98864 91413 36 098 29 121 26 087 91413 85667 33 094 27 111 31 094 85667 80914 21 095 27 097 33 090 80914 76849 19 100 28 090 28 095 76849 73252 25 104 23 100 22 095 73252 69982 31 102 21 118 18 090 69982 66993 29 087 16 113 17 086 66993 64255 18 070 12 106 18 106 64255 61623 4 059 17 099 16 089 61623 58895 4 125 17 090 7 067 58895 56104 11 052 9 060 8 011 56104 53477 17 031 5 027 3 316 53477 51105 26 012 16 009 7 032 51105 48953 27 006 26 358 21 002 48953 46980 24 004 30 355 31 353 46980 45157 25 357 30 358 32 355 45157 43456 21 353 30 004 33 004 43456 41864 15 356 23 004 32 017 41864 40374 15 000 16 027 29 017 40374 38977 12 023 17 059 22 022 38977 37637 20 051 22 088 18 035 37637 36292 27 055 25 105 21 084 36292 34911 34 065 29 100 27 096 34911 33495 36 068 30 088 28 096 33495 32032 31 067 28 082 29 097 32032 30514 26 071 24 085 29 090 30514 28944 25 077 20 078 29 083 28944 27326 24 086 19 068 26 079 27326 25663 23 087 21 073 23 082 25663 23960 24 085 21 087 22 106 23960 22211 19 089 18 087 19 116 22211 20410 13 080 14 090 13 108 20410 18588 11 085 9 094 11 096 18588 16842 14 083 4 083 9 041 16842 15259 15 069 3*083 11 356 15259 13845 11*067 4*095 10 345 13845 12577 6*089 4 105 7 338 12577 11433 6 092 5 114 3 304 11433 10402 6 094 6 125 4 204 10402 9474 6 097 7 129 8 188 9474 8643 7 097 8 130 11 179 8643 7896 7 098 9 131 14 166 7896 7218 7 098 9 133 18 153 7218 6610 7 098 9 133 25 144 6610 6096 7 097 10 133 25 142 6096 5698 7 096 10 134 23 142 5698 5421 7 097 9 133 19 141 5421 5253 7 097 9 134 16*141 5253 5156 6 096 8 134 10*140 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography