DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 62.5 - - 68.9 - - 68.9 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 292 - - 389 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2398 - - 5238 - - 4095 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6322 - - 8609 - - 6531 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5411 - - 7247 - - 10087 - - 8944 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 341 - - 1078 - - 1461 - - 3475 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 372 - - 531 - - 261 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 114 - - 147 - - 178 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 12 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5077 - - -3721 - - 8 - - -1135 - - -2716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10488 - - 10969 - - 10079 - - 10079 - - 7870 sfcLCL ODpotential -11902 - - -7348 - - -1623 - - -3004 - - -7346 ODpotential blCL 17313 - - 14595 - - 11710 - - 11948 - - 12500 blCL maxRH 81 - - 94 - - 92 - - 65 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 50 - - 420 - - 490 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 62.5 - - 68.9 - - 68.9 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.1 - - 32.4 - - 42.4 - - 42.5 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 60.3 - - 66.2 - - 68.1 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 32.5 - - 42.4 - - 42.5 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 292 - - 389 - - 59 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2398 - - 5238 - - 4095 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 76 - - 69 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 39 280 41 266 40 265 41 270 46 264 96609 89317 29 271 31 263 32 252 38 253 38 276 89317 83819 28 276 29 278 25 268 31 262 30 276 83819 79283 29 269 31 282 25 286 23 298 18 271 79283 75349 24 281 23 286 18 283 19 289 20 278 75349 71868 15 283 20 256 16 282 15 272 20 285 71868 68735 8 280 15 220 13 260 9 249 10 246 68735 65862 11 309 7 238 10 264 11 289 4 294 65862 63211 9 213 20 239 20 229 21 247 22 256 63211 60679 14 291 19 256 20 256 20 234 23 209 60679 58030 22 276 30 262 27 256 24 255 20 224 58030 55238 35 235 37 244 38 242 38 246 36 238 55238 52533 46 231 47 230 52 228 49 233 42 235 52533 50060 57 228 58 223 55 225 51 235 50 242 50060 47819 64 235 62 229 59 238 67 245 65 247 47819 45777 74 240 74 236 83 241 85 241 81 244 45777 43910 77 241 80 237 89 239 86 237 85 241 43910 42200 76 245 80 241 85 242 78 242 80 243 42200 40626 77 250 77 249 82 249 79 250 76 246 40626 39163 87 253 86 254 85 252 87 250 74 248 39163 37797 100 250 97 251 94 250 98 246 75 248 37797 36492 104 244 100 245 101 246 104 244 83 247 36492 35183 101 246 99 243 100 245 103 247 92 247 35183 33839 93 251 94 245 93 245 95 250 97 248 33839 32466 79 254 85 245 87 243 82 248 92 251 32466 31055 68 250 77 244 84 243 76 244 78 253 31055 29600 67 247 73 243 80 245 75 243 66 252 29600 28101 65 247 66 243 73 248 72 247 61 251 28101 26556 59 247 56 238 62 247 64 250 55 254 26556 24968 53 244 53 231 50 238 54 248 44 260 24968 23338 50 242 51 232 47 233 51 243 35 264 23338 21660 45 243 45 233 45 230 47 238 33 259 21660 19928 38 242 38 233 42 227 43 237 37 250 19928 18177 31 236 34 228 39 225 41 238 40 247 18177 16496 30 225 32 222 35 223 39 237 39 249 16496 14963 26 216 28 216 33 223 34 237 36 252 14963 13591 17 211 21 211 29 224 27 238 31 250 13591 12359 12 214 13 199 22 217 21 238 27 247 12359 11249 7 187 9 172 14 194 14 232 25 243 11249 10248 8 137 11 160 10*169 9 202 21 238 10248 9348 10 133 17 152 10*163 8*183 16 236 9348 8542 12 134 18 146 9 158 9*180 10 235 8542 7818 14 131 15*142 9 151 9 179 8 227 7818 7160 14 126 10*128 8 147 9 178 7 210 7160 6568 13 113 10 116 8 141 9 177 8 196 6568 6069 12 090 9 112 8 137 10 177 9 186 6069 5681 12*063 9 109 8 134 9 177 9 180 5681 5412 11*057 9 106 8 132 9 178 9 176 5412 5248 9 055 9 105 7 131 9 178 6 175 5248 5154 8 056 8 104 7 131 8 177 4*172 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography