DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.7 - - 86.5 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 443 - - 77 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 10393 - - 6309 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 12839 - - 8402 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 15242 - - 11158 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1462 - - 4992 - - 1937 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 698 - - 330 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 19 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 083 - - 121 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 547 - - -1639 - - -1597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 14696 - - 12798 - - 6754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2157 - - -3051 - - -5138 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17399 - - 14209 - - 10294 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 53 - - 85 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 160 - - 2120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.7 - - 86.5 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.6 - - 48.0 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.6 - - 85.6 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.5 - - 48.0 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 443 - - 77 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 10393 - - 6309 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98651 4 132 11 078 21 065 98651 91215 23 113 18 096 25 081 91215 85483 31 110 25 105 22 085 85483 80713 25 102 25 095 21 096 80713 76602 20 091 22 089 23 092 76602 73011 15 068 18 068 23 090 73011 69796 9 080 12 070 21 086 69796 66851 8 104 7 099 11 082 66851 64122 8 097 7 132 3 115 64122 61482 4 116 4 124 1 136 61482 58755 2 177 4 048 5 069 58755 55972 3 141 5 016 6 054 55972 53342 9 102 4 092 3 082 53342 50973 12 072 10 068 9 077 50973 48843 12 056 12 063 11 055 48843 46902 12 043 13 063 13 054 46902 45107 14 036 14 053 15 057 45107 43433 13 035 14 047 16 059 43433 41860 11 036 12 048 17 061 41860 40376 12 039 12 048 16 058 40376 38977 11 038 12 060 14 050 38977 37632 7 046 11 071 10 038 37632 36278 6 088 10 061 6 071 36278 34888 6 108 7 067 6 097 34888 33468 3 116 4 115 3 083 33468 32006 1 220 5 154 6 130 32006 30488 1 285 3 123 11 145 30488 28916 1 093 5 086 7 138 28916 27297 2 080 5 086 5 098 27297 25634 2 130 3 112 6 085 25634 23932 6 137 4 150 5 087 23932 22188 7 098 5 117 8 093 22188 20393 7 070 7 093 11 081 20393 18581 8 098 7 061 13 071 18581 16845 6 065 9 355 16 061 16845 15265 4*044 9 347 14 037 15265 13851 4*049 6 358 11 020 13851 12581 4 056 4 031 8 019 12581 11437 4 067 5*091 4 050 11437 10405 5 080 8*112 5 099 10405 9477 7 085 11 119 6 133 9477 8645 8 088 12 121 10 151 8645 7898 8 090 14 122 16 154 7898 7219 9 091 14 122 22 149 7219 6610 10 092 14 123 27 140 6610 6096 10 092 15 123 26 137 6096 5698 10 092 15 123 23 136 5698 5422 10 092 14 123 19 136 5422 5253 10 092 13 123 16*135 5253 5156 9 092 11 123 10*134 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography