DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 57.6 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 171 - - 216 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2624 - - 3881 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6327 - - 7324 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7473 - - 8730 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 612 - - 1691 - - 1304 - - 3836 - - 381 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 330 - - 397 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 269 - - 277 - - 283 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -5 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 933 - - 170 - - -1917 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 6540 - - 8560 - - 7072 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -2920 - - -995 - - -3449 - - -5772 - - -6128 ODpotential blCL 8073 - - 8468 - - 12179 - - 10926 - - 11282 blCL maxRH 91 - - 81 - - 73 - - 74 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 57.6 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.0 - - 47.3 - - 43.1 - - 44.5 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 56.7 - - 61.1 - - 58.8 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.5 - - 46.1 - - 42.7 - - 44.2 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 171 - - 216 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2624 - - 3881 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97133 55 276 59 266 57 259 62 264 54 267 97133 89758 40 275 47 276 45 270 51 274 47 279 89758 84153 28 278 37 280 37 280 35 285 35 294 84153 79555 22 301 19 282 23 282 27 290 26 303 79555 75617 18 310 15 294 18 295 17 282 20 297 75617 72140 18 310 18 313 18 306 10 310 13 307 72140 68980 15 314 16 315 18 308 16 332 13 328 68980 66059 13 320 13 305 16 293 22 314 16 320 66059 63364 16 304 17 295 18 291 25 306 20 303 63364 60782 24 280 25 279 25 283 27 294 23 295 60782 58103 25 268 26 271 29 274 30 278 30 294 58103 55317 27 269 29 265 34 264 34 268 37 279 55317 52649 31 273 31 267 35 262 36 268 38 275 52649 50238 35 276 36 273 38 268 45 269 45 275 50238 48072 39 276 41 274 44 270 51 267 50 271 48072 46101 42 275 47 272 47 273 49 269 55 269 46101 44290 43 273 47 272 50 273 48 270 64 269 44290 42611 38 270 45 273 50 271 47 270 67 270 42611 41044 34 265 44 270 49 270 48 271 62 269 41044 39575 30 266 39 266 49 268 48 272 53 271 39575 38197 30 271 33 272 40 265 43 274 45 273 38197 36879 31 274 32 275 35 270 38 273 36 273 36879 35556 29 277 28 277 32 271 37 272 36 272 35556 34198 29 279 26 285 26 282 35 271 38 275 34198 32806 30 275 28 287 27 298 26 278 36 272 32806 31371 25 280 26 286 28 301 22 300 27 267 31371 29887 22 283 21 284 27 291 22 297 20 279 29887 28358 22 284 16 291 21 285 21 296 18 288 28358 26781 18 285 13 295 13 291 15 302 16 296 26781 25158 14 289 12 283 11 294 10 313 12 307 25158 23492 13 290 12 275 13 285 8 319 9 323 23492 21779 15 277 15 272 14 281 9 317 7 346 21779 20014 18 269 18 269 16 282 9 315 7 359 20014 18227 16 271 18 268 16 285 9 314 8 357 18227 16512 14 278 15 271 16 282 10 307 9 356 16512 14953 13 285 13 277 14 279 11 298 9 353 14953 13563 12 283 13 282 13 280 11 295 9 340 13563 12318 11 274 13 281 13 286 11 295 10 328 12318 11202 10 269 13 279 13 292 10 296 10 320 11202 10199 8 273 11 278 11 290 10 286 9 317 10199 9299 8 282 9 281 9*283 8 271 9 312 9299 8497 8 285 9 284 9*281 8 266 10 301 8497 7779 9 285 8*280 8 279 8 270 11 290 7779 7128 11 284 8*276 8 278 8 275 11 282 7128 6545 12 281 8 272 8 277 9 278 11 277 6545 6053 12 279 8 269 8 277 9 282 10 276 6053 5671 11 276 8 267 8 275 9 283 10 282 5671 5407 7 266 8 265 7 275 8 284 8 288 5407 5246 6*261 8 265 7 274 7 284 4*278 5246 5154 5*260 7 265 7 275 5*283 3*260 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography