DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 85.0 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 264 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3533 - - 7080 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7277 - - 9889 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 8382 - - 11929 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3867 - - 3169 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 468 - - 517 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 208 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1595 - - 677 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9977 - - 11252 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3599 - - -592 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 11981 - - 12521 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 88 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 330 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 85.0 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 53.0 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 82.8 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 53.0 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 264 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3533 - - 7080 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97824 19 294 26 257 97824 90524 13 292 14 289 90524 84876 8 311 15 321 84876 80211 9 345 8 336 80211 76222 5 299 7 339 76222 72699 4 160 5 310 72699 69515 3 103 1 085 69515 66604 1 117 4 076 66604 63925 8 165 3 175 63925 61354 11 178 9 212 61354 58695 15 186 16 196 58695 55977 17 184 20 182 55977 53415 14 219 13 204 53415 51108 18 247 16 245 51108 49010 18 238 18 235 49010 47069 18 245 19 230 47069 45261 21 244 23 228 45261 43569 22 232 25 222 43569 41976 22 212 27 221 41976 40473 25 215 28 221 40473 39057 27 226 28 225 39057 37695 27 228 29 228 37695 36324 28 226 29 224 36324 34917 28 223 28 224 34917 33478 28 223 27 226 33478 31994 28 222 28 220 31994 30457 29 220 30 218 30457 28871 30 219 31 220 28871 27238 31 221 33 222 27238 25565 32 225 33 219 25565 23860 29 230 31 219 23860 22116 25 227 28 219 22116 20328 23 218 26 219 20328 18523 22 211 23 223 18523 16795 21 215 19 231 16795 15224 20 218 18 232 15224 13819 16 215 18 231 13819 12558 12 200 16*225 12558 11422 9 184 14*213 11422 10396 8 193 14 210 10396 9473 10 213 14 209 9473 8645 12*215 13 208 8645 7901 13*215 14 208 7901 7223 13 214 14 207 7223 6615 13 214 13 207 6615 6101 13 214 13 207 6101 5701 13 215 13 206 5701 5423 12 215 13 206 5423 5254 12 215 12 206 5254 5156 10 214 11 206 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography