DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 66.1 - - - - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 228 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2796 - - 2270 - - - - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6696 - - 6147 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7645 - - 7119 - - - - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1205 - - 2134 - - - - - 1033 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 426 - - 336 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 078 - - 082 - - - - - 073 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 808 - - -59 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6837 - - 7178 - - - - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 119 - - -1619 - - - - - -3325 ODpotential blCL - - - 7526 - - 8738 - - - - - 8479 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 66.1 - - - - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 52.1 - - - - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 64.1 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 52.1 - - - - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 228 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2796 - - 2270 - - - - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 99 - - - - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98003 14 206 14 241 3 351 98003 90655 9 159 18 182 6 260 90655 85010 9 102 15 143 8 224 85010 80305 6 040 11 102 3 057 80305 76252 6 023 13 045 10 085 76252 72692 3 059 10 032 13 068 72692 69508 2 122 4 037 16 049 69508 66618 3 033 5 019 13 046 66618 63960 8 086 4 071 8 035 63960 61404 14 059 11 089 6 023 61404 58763 9 037 5 049 3 012 58763 56040 10 358 7 338 6 354 56040 53432 10 337 10 303 11 308 53432 51056 16 315 17 294 19 303 51056 48898 28 295 27 286 23 290 48898 46919 32 284 33 283 25 291 46919 45088 32 281 35 280 29 291 45088 43380 33 284 33 277 33 284 43380 41779 34 285 33 275 35 278 41779 40272 37 285 35 275 36 274 40272 38854 38 285 38 272 38 268 38854 37496 35 276 40 267 40 263 37496 36131 32 267 41 265 39 262 36131 34734 31 267 37 267 32 263 34734 33307 27 276 27 271 26 256 33307 31836 23 281 20 267 26 252 31836 30313 20 271 21 262 22 261 30313 28744 19 261 22 258 17 277 28744 27128 17 252 21 252 17 277 27128 25467 18 256 19 253 17 275 25467 23763 25 258 23 262 17 274 23763 22011 33 252 26 258 15 276 22011 20207 33 248 23 248 14 275 20207 18386 28 253 21 250 14 260 18386 16646 23 255 18 263 14 247 16646 15066 19 250 15 259 10 259 15066 13660 16 247 13 251 10 294 13660 12402 13 245 12 252 10 311 12402 11274 7 237 11 256 9 316 11274 10260 3 230 11 258 8 308 10260 9349 3 198 10 256 6 305 9349 8535 3 175 4 249 2 317 8535 7806 2*150 2 245 2 045 7806 7146 4*092 3*083 7 063 7146 6556 6 079 8*081 11 068 6556 6059 7 077 9 082 12 068 6059 5676 7 076 9 082 12 070 5676 5410 7 075 9 082 10 074 5410 5247 7 075 9 083 8*075 5247 5154 7 075 8 083 5*073 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography