DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 82.5 - - 77.4 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 206 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5389 - - 5607 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8748 - - 8663 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10238 - - 10456 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2872 - - 2935 - - 4676 - - 1360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 545 - - 456 - - 94 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 19 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 176 - - 141 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 27 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 515 - - 994 - - -1524 - - -353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9723 - - 9463 - - 6680 - - 5508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -669 - - -734 - - -4234 - - -3700 ODpotential blCL - - - 10907 - - 11190 - - 9389 - - 8855 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 93 - - 98 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 1510 - - 3010 - - 2380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 82.5 - - 77.4 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 58.3 - - 65.0 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 80.7 - - 77.0 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 57.1 - - 63.8 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 206 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5389 - - 5607 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 71 - - 94 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98914 35 088 29 106 30 119 25 087 98914 91392 40 104 33 115 33 094 37 098 91392 85634 39 107 34 113 34 094 40 092 85634 80896 32 105 29 112 32 102 33 087 80896 76810 23 099 24 109 23 101 27 091 76810 73181 13 110 23 101 21 101 20 099 73181 69904 12 120 19 095 18 104 17 109 69904 66925 16 129 14 100 15 107 12 106 66925 64185 12 120 11 103 12 091 8 091 64185 61547 5 117 6 079 12 095 10 096 61547 58806 8 178 5 231 2 325 7 061 58806 55987 8 213 11 231 10 253 15 318 55987 53328 12 255 13 246 17 271 22 304 53328 50943 20 268 19 267 19 279 22 299 50943 48800 21 236 20 251 16 259 17 279 48800 46848 24 208 28 219 18 243 15 258 46848 45050 23 209 27 213 23 237 17 238 45050 43380 23 234 23 231 26 230 17 225 43380 41812 26 246 24 239 23 242 13 233 41812 40333 26 244 28 246 23 270 18 275 40333 38938 24 240 28 247 26 278 31 275 38938 37596 24 239 27 233 23 268 31 268 37596 36242 24 242 26 227 22 253 21 262 36242 34848 24 245 25 232 20 234 9 244 34848 33421 24 241 24 234 18 229 8 209 33421 31949 21 234 16 235 12 228 15 207 31949 30427 16 229 15 238 10 220 18 222 30427 28860 13 221 12 246 10 228 14 234 28860 27248 7 204 7 239 8 227 12 258 27248 25592 8 154 6 194 5 230 10 277 25592 23896 7 165 7 182 6 260 8 340 23896 22151 3 222 3 202 8 277 9 352 22151 20356 4 271 2 144 5 283 4 350 20356 18544 3 233 1 135 3 327 6 043 18544 16808 3 043 4 322 7 355 11 029 16808 15231 6 045 5 328 9 348 12 010 15231 13821 3 022 4 318 8 340 12 003 13821 12555 3 357 3 311 7 334 10 350 12555 11414 3 339 2*263 5 330 7 338 11414 10385 3*284 3*201 3 325 2 239 10385 9459 4*255 3 192 0 235 6 195 9459 8630 6 222 4 181 4 154 8 183 8630 7885 7 218 5 176 7 152 11 171 7885 7209 7 215 5 173 9 150 14 158 7209 6603 7 213 5 171 10 147 19 145 6603 6091 8 210 5 168 10 144 23 139 6091 5695 7 208 5 167 8 142 20 139 5695 5420 7 208 5 166 7 141 15 138 5420 5252 7 207 5 166 6 141 12 137 5252 5155 7 207 5 166 6*141 7*136 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography