DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 47.3 - - 52.8 - - 48.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 310 - - 291 - - -19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1772 - - 3011 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5878 - - 6780 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6621 - - 7860 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 482 - - 598 - - 955 - - 2675 - - 233 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 343 - - 401 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 23 - - 21 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 048 - - 051 - - 043 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -20 - - -16 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3323 - - -2130 - - -2561 - - -4586 - - -2267 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8477 - - 8751 - - 10421 - - 9740 - - 7420 sfcLCL ODpotential -13907 - - -9241 - - -8584 - - -10783 - - -11919 ODpotential blCL 19060 - - 15862 - - 16444 - - 15936 - - 17072 blCL maxRH 49 - - 61 - - 58 - - 51 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 47.3 - - 52.8 - - 48.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 27.3 - - 25.4 - - 24.4 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.8 - - 45.5 - - 50.9 - - 49.2 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 27.1 - - 25.2 - - 24.3 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 310 - - 291 - - -19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1772 - - 3011 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96183 15 290 9 315 17 275 16 303 16 340 96183 89165 11 056 10 087 8 069 13 048 14 017 89165 83738 19 077 14 087 17 069 18 073 14 045 83738 79216 23 070 15 087 18 071 18 074 20 069 79216 75304 27 056 19 089 17 085 17 079 19 078 75304 71835 22 042 17 077 15 083 13 072 17 068 71835 68701 15 054 16 066 12 080 9 057 12 069 68701 65824 13 062 17 042 14 058 11 045 20 058 65824 63164 13 045 16 015 14 030 22 037 18 047 63164 60591 12 026 20 358 20 023 17 010 8 348 60591 57866 20 358 28 346 18 336 19 002 21 351 57866 55033 26 336 26 319 24 337 43 339 36 332 55033 52344 29 324 31 323 39 334 38 321 35 312 52344 49908 31 304 40 316 39 322 20 321 22 345 49908 47712 33 298 42 302 34 305 28 357 36 003 47712 45727 36 295 45 292 27 322 42 349 37 351 45727 43918 36 293 37 299 37 332 43 335 34 000 43918 42250 38 298 42 323 43 330 39 324 31 012 42250 40699 36 301 43 325 36 328 26 332 50 025 40699 39247 27 290 38 314 26 336 35 012 58 025 39247 37888 18 286 36 300 28 004 49 020 57 022 37888 36587 16 293 30 297 32 017 58 024 53 017 36587 35279 24 020 20 317 37 019 59 025 47 011 35279 33936 38 031 19 346 42 020 53 024 42 004 33936 32564 34 028 19 354 45 024 43 018 36 001 32564 31152 28 017 14 345 34 025 32 359 32 349 31152 29686 24 009 20 326 22 359 30 331 28 330 29686 28169 23 359 26 321 22 328 34 325 32 329 28169 26601 25 342 28 322 27 321 38 330 37 334 26601 24985 28 335 31 331 31 332 38 329 37 334 24985 23323 29 338 31 344 35 344 38 325 35 334 23323 21612 29 341 34 354 38 354 37 328 35 334 21612 19848 28 342 34 356 37 355 39 343 35 337 19848 18065 27 340 31 003 32 357 41 356 33 343 18065 16360 26 334 23 000 24 359 34 007 28 356 16360 14815 21 326 17 344 18 358 20 357 24 003 14815 13440 13 320 12 319 17 349 17 342 20 005 13440 12212 10 352 8 304 15 331 18 342 17 005 12212 11109 15 034 6 355 12 300 17 344 16 007 11109 10117 20 047 15 040 8 295 12 341 14 012 10117 9228 23 047 24 051 8 037 10 006 12 019 9228 8435 27 047 30 056 19*052 13 033 11 030 8435 7726 33 058 33 057 22*052 16 040 12 043 7726 7085 38 066 32*055 22 051 16 040 14 051 7085 6513 37 066 26*049 21 051 16 040 15 055 6513 6032 33 058 24 048 21 051 16 040 14 055 6032 5659 29 047 23 048 21 051 15 041 11 051 5659 5400 24 037 22 048 20 051 14 042 9 047 5400 5243 21*034 21 048 18 051 12*042 6*040 5243 5153 12*034 17 048 15 051 9*043 4*036 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography