DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 58.3 - - 66.4 - - 60.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 243 - - 240 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1266 - - 4336 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5450 - - 7710 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6115 - - 9185 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 797 - - 2417 - - 4951 - - 157 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 283 - - 425 - - 8 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 229 - - 249 - - 276 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -14 - - -24 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5885 - - -5119 - - -2450 - - -6849 - - -5738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11039 - - 11234 - - 11635 - - 12004 - - 10892 sfcLCL ODpotential -16956 - - -10245 - - -5021 - - -11033 - - -12014 ODpotential blCL 22109 - - 16360 - - 14206 - - 16187 - - 17168 blCL maxRH 85 - - 89 - - 81 - - 79 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 58.3 - - 66.4 - - 60.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.0 - - 27.3 - - 33.2 - - 26.4 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 56.6 - - 64.6 - - 62.9 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.9 - - 27.3 - - 33.1 - - 26.3 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 243 - - 240 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1266 - - 4336 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 56 - - 23 - - 16 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96046 32 248 38 262 49 250 55 268 51 268 96046 88907 31 265 34 259 37 252 41 264 38 260 88907 83415 18 282 25 246 26 252 29 269 32 276 83415 78896 28 281 33 266 32 273 29 275 30 287 78896 75016 36 267 40 263 39 273 30 271 28 279 75016 71575 27 276 31 265 33 274 30 272 24 286 71575 68444 25 301 23 298 26 295 26 286 24 301 68444 65575 31 290 25 298 25 295 24 286 27 291 65575 62950 35 273 32 282 30 286 24 287 26 279 62950 60433 35 277 36 282 32 290 28 306 25 292 60433 57789 33 287 37 286 33 293 34 297 28 290 57789 55013 36 294 40 288 37 283 40 277 35 277 55013 52346 44 292 43 282 42 276 46 273 41 272 52346 49929 51 288 45 273 48 269 51 268 47 269 49929 47736 55 276 46 268 49 266 52 264 51 268 47736 45723 54 270 48 267 53 266 58 267 59 267 45723 43867 55 276 55 268 60 264 61 265 61 264 43867 42158 61 282 60 273 63 270 58 268 60 260 42158 40594 68 287 65 278 68 274 66 271 67 257 40594 39153 77 281 73 281 73 269 75 263 75 254 39153 37804 76 280 78 279 73 265 76 256 77 252 37804 36507 71 283 77 277 71 267 64 259 73 252 36507 35200 68 283 73 273 69 272 60 266 66 254 35200 33857 65 279 67 271 69 276 61 265 61 258 33857 32481 60 277 60 271 62 273 57 263 60 260 32481 31061 52 277 53 266 55 264 53 260 57 261 31061 29589 45 279 46 261 50 258 49 256 53 264 29589 28067 43 278 43 264 50 257 47 254 54 265 28067 26498 44 274 46 263 50 258 48 257 53 266 26498 24887 44 271 46 261 47 260 46 260 45 268 24887 23245 41 267 43 259 42 259 43 266 40 264 23245 21564 37 263 39 257 38 256 40 268 32 260 21564 19834 32 267 32 258 34 254 38 263 27 266 19834 18084 27 276 24 263 29 252 36 260 27 270 18084 16403 23 285 19 266 24 251 32 260 27 270 16403 14875 23 288 18 268 22 253 29 263 25 271 14875 13510 25 284 19 268 22 255 26 265 23 273 13510 12286 28 279 21 266 23 256 23 266 22 276 12286 11183 28 273 22 263 23 256 21 266 20 279 11183 10190 26 267 23 259 21 255 18 267 18 280 10190 9297 24 260 23 256 19*252 15 268 16 279 9297 8497 24 255 24 255 18*251 11 269 14 278 8497 7780 23 249 24 252 18 250 9 270 12 278 7780 7130 23 242 25 246 18 249 9 272 9 278 7130 6547 23 234 23*236 18 248 9 274 6 275 6547 6055 22 228 20*231 17 248 8 275 4 273 6055 5673 20 225 16 229 17 247 8 277 3 280 5673 5408 16 227 16 229 16 247 8 276 3 290 5408 5247 12*234 15 228 15 247 6 276 2*294 5247 5154 7*238 12 228 13 247 4*276 1*299 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography