DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 73.2 - - 68.6 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 103 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5341 - - 4621 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8665 - - 7563 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10190 - - 9470 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3886 - - 4714 - - 3408 - - 3026 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 523 - - 348 - - 56 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 18 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 112 - - 156 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 30 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 476 - - 462 - - -1658 - - -1687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9715 - - 9008 - - 6813 - - 6842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -577 - - -1425 - - -4364 - - -4693 ODpotential blCL - - - 10767 - - 10895 - - 9519 - - 9848 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 92 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 660 - - 1280 - - 760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 73.2 - - 68.6 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 51.3 - - 56.1 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 72.0 - - 69.2 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 50.0 - - 54.8 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 103 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5341 - - 4621 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 69 - - 92 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97911 20 241 23 252 20 271 16 275 97911 90539 11 210 19 245 15 260 14 299 90539 84845 6 127 2 247 9 215 11 293 84845 80134 11 010 7 102 3 114 6 178 80134 76079 4 342 5 028 6 076 7 107 76079 72505 5 159 3 293 7 018 8 040 72505 69307 5 095 7 178 7 306 13 340 69307 66413 7 061 6 120 6 222 12 319 66413 63748 9 040 5 027 1 224 7 303 63748 61161 13 356 10 003 10 016 2 268 61161 58449 16 316 11 324 14 348 8 334 58449 55634 21 306 21 291 20 298 20 312 55634 52945 26 311 31 293 27 299 28 310 52945 50512 39 306 46 288 42 297 39 301 50512 48324 49 295 52 288 50 293 44 294 48324 46329 51 291 58 292 54 295 47 296 46329 44492 54 291 64 296 61 299 52 302 44492 42786 58 292 68 295 69 301 61 303 42786 41194 60 295 69 294 73 299 69 301 41194 39701 63 299 71 295 77 297 74 299 39701 38303 66 300 71 296 80 296 76 297 38303 36966 66 301 72 298 81 295 75 296 36966 35624 66 304 72 298 78 293 74 294 35624 34251 64 306 71 296 74 292 72 293 34251 32851 59 308 68 296 70 291 70 292 32851 31412 53 306 63 297 68 291 68 292 31412 29925 51 305 57 299 64 293 63 295 29925 28392 51 310 53 302 57 301 54 300 28392 26817 42 314 48 307 47 307 37 303 26817 25199 24 313 32 308 32 307 32 305 25199 23543 14 307 13 306 19 305 19 311 23543 21846 13 313 10 320 6 331 7 336 21846 20098 11 316 9 325 9 309 7 051 20098 18326 4 343 8 338 6 343 7 075 18326 16619 4 018 6 349 6 358 9 052 16619 15061 4 340 4 356 6 011 7 356 15061 13670 5 332 4 356 6 024 8 342 13670 12425 5 338 3 008 6 044 6 358 12425 11306 5 343 2 042 6 069 4 016 11306 10295 2*024 3*094 6 083 3 061 10295 9386 3*096 3*102 6 089 4 107 9386 8571 4 097 3 109 6 098 7 122 8571 7840 5 098 4 112 5 105 10 126 7840 7176 5 097 4 112 5 114 13 128 7176 6580 5 096 3 114 4 120 16 127 6580 6077 6 094 3 114 4 130 16 127 6077 5686 6 093 3 115 4 140 13 124 5686 5415 6 093 3 115 4 146 9 114 5415 5250 6 091 3 114 3*152 5*095 5250 5155 5 092 3 113 3*156 4*081 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography