DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 80.6 - - 82.6 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 166 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3093 - - 4691 - - 4744 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6869 - - 7857 - - 7478 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7942 - - 9540 - - 9593 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2300 - - 2705 - - 3121 - - 1932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 401 - - 324 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 179 - - 163 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 21 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 712 - - 1106 - - 175 - - -2565 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7230 - - 8435 - - 9418 - - 7720 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1731 - - -838 - - -1843 - - -6403 ODpotential blCL - - - 9673 - - 10378 - - 11436 - - 11558 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 78 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 1500 - - 1460 - - 1300 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 80.6 - - 82.6 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.5 - - 60.8 - - 58.5 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 79.0 - - 81.4 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 59.7 - - 58.0 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 166 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3093 - - 4691 - - 4744 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 32 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98430 32 098 30 124 23 102 27 095 98430 91000 31 097 27 092 22 100 27 102 91000 85304 27 105 28 086 22 089 25 096 85304 80568 19 097 25 103 23 083 22 083 80568 76492 18 096 19 097 21 092 20 089 76492 72911 14 093 20 082 19 097 18 096 72911 69693 14 114 15 078 20 082 16 089 69693 66754 15 119 11 134 8 068 20 068 66754 64040 15 123 13 129 2 103 15 059 64040 61424 10 100 13 118 10 143 4 081 61424 58732 2 084 8 148 7 143 6 188 58732 55987 5 281 8 226 10 240 8 254 55987 53394 13 257 14 248 18 253 13 261 53394 51051 18 244 24 263 23 259 16 249 51051 48929 24 250 31 255 29 254 22 245 48929 46985 26 242 31 245 32 250 27 243 46985 45185 24 244 28 240 33 248 29 244 45185 43506 25 255 27 238 33 245 29 244 43506 41928 25 256 27 240 33 236 29 244 41928 40439 26 261 28 242 33 227 30 244 40439 39033 32 263 28 241 32 226 30 246 39033 37680 28 244 30 244 31 235 31 247 37680 36318 21 235 29 240 29 243 31 248 36318 34920 22 237 26 241 27 247 28 247 34920 33490 21 247 26 249 26 244 25 240 33490 32018 18 254 16 254 26 245 23 232 32018 30493 19 246 13 256 18 248 20 233 30493 28918 21 237 14 269 12 226 16 238 28918 27293 20 246 17 257 9 253 10 229 27293 25625 15 247 15 248 11 246 8 253 25625 23918 13 268 13 244 12 248 10 284 23918 22169 9 292 10 262 10 271 10 292 22169 20371 10 290 9 316 6 345 7 333 20371 18559 9 237 9 297 15 013 15 018 18559 16827 8 199 9 277 15 350 22 008 16827 15251 9 194 11 285 16 330 21 350 15251 13841 4 199 11 279 16 314 19 330 13841 12573 2 225 7 259 13 302 16 322 12573 11431 1 306 6 241 8 281 11 305 11431 10400 2 335 5*222 5*225 6 263 10400 9473 4 293 6*192 7*181 5 206 9473 8642 6*249 6 186 8 171 8 177 8642 7896 8*215 6 181 8 165 12 164 7896 7219 10 203 6 177 8 162 16 157 7219 6611 10 200 6 176 8 158 18 152 6611 6098 10 199 6 173 8 156 18 151 6098 5698 10 198 6 171 8 154 16 151 5698 5422 10 197 5 170 8 153 14 151 5422 5253 9 197 5 170 7 152 10 151 5253 5155 8 196 5 169 7 152 5*148 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography