DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 73.1 - - 76.8 - - 68.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 284 - - 225 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3806 - - 6773 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7374 - - 9556 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8655 - - 11622 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 2343 - - 1842 - - 6226 - - 73 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 430 - - 482 - - 0 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 256 - - 263 - - 279 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -8 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6851 - - -5673 - - -3263 - - -8037 - - -5722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12006 - - 14329 - - 14886 - - 13193 - - 10877 sfcLCL ODpotential -16527 - - -11378 - - -8489 - - -15392 - - -15214 ODpotential blCL 21681 - - 20033 - - 20111 - - 20547 - - 20369 blCL maxRH 43 - - 52 - - 47 - - 34 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 73.1 - - 76.8 - - 68.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 28.3 - - 29.2 - - 28.6 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 71.0 - - 74.9 - - 71.8 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 28.2 - - 29.2 - - 28.5 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 284 - - 225 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3806 - - 6773 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 56 264 66 264 58 247 71 259 71 266 96873 89665 50 259 51 272 45 259 53 257 54 270 89665 84094 41 270 38 255 40 271 39 263 37 271 84094 79469 25 274 26 261 30 282 25 289 17 268 79469 75489 15 286 14 255 18 289 16 317 5 233 75489 71993 12 326 4 274 7 273 5 295 2 286 71993 68859 9 329 6 321 3 272 6 222 6 316 68859 66003 5 357 9 306 7 290 5 286 9 322 66003 63378 11 354 4 324 7 275 7 276 11 283 63378 60861 11 304 8 346 6 353 4 307 10 245 60861 58237 11 281 16 297 13 319 12 328 6 294 58237 55498 16 287 17 266 18 273 17 294 12 304 55498 52873 22 297 18 282 17 275 15 282 12 280 52873 50497 28 288 24 294 19 287 16 286 13 271 50497 48356 24 264 23 281 23 273 19 274 17 267 48356 46405 16 251 19 264 23 264 21 263 22 270 46405 44610 13 274 18 263 21 259 19 266 21 268 44610 42945 13 279 17 268 19 260 16 268 20 270 42945 41391 14 271 15 278 17 262 13 254 19 265 41391 39932 13 280 14 285 14 265 11 242 16 254 39932 38559 12 305 13 302 11 282 9 240 11 228 38559 37239 14 324 14 316 11 305 5 251 6 216 37239 35909 11 304 12 320 9 312 2 310 1 336 35909 34543 10 292 9 301 7 298 2 342 3 037 34543 33142 10 300 8 282 7 261 2 287 4 088 33142 31697 8 301 9 275 7 255 3 285 4 088 31697 30198 5 285 10 267 8 257 4 307 4 037 30198 28650 3 269 10 256 8 255 3 273 5 021 28650 27054 2 292 9 231 9 232 7 218 2 007 27054 25412 4 245 11 219 12 225 8 217 2 235 25412 23726 7 246 12 224 13 232 9 214 4 213 23726 21989 3 243 8 232 10 224 10 205 10 202 21989 20197 3 106 3 217 7 202 10 197 11 206 20197 18384 6 115 3 181 7 202 10 219 10 232 18384 16648 0 054 5 212 12 229 11 234 15 255 16648 15075 5 318 8 238 11 241 11 238 17 259 15075 13677 9 340 6 273 8 273 8 249 13 253 13677 12428 12 318 6 324 7*272 5 262 9 243 12428 11306 17 295 9 297 7*268 4 254 5 220 11306 10295 18 282 13 280 8 267 5 248 4 176 10295 9385 17 277 14*272 8 264 5 255 3 155 9385 8571 15 279 12*266 8 263 6 263 3 167 8571 7839 14 283 10 260 8 262 7 269 3 197 7839 7174 14 284 10 256 8 261 7 274 2 245 7174 6579 14 279 9 255 8 260 8 278 3 289 6579 6075 13 271 9 253 7 259 8 279 4 311 6075 5684 11 262 9 251 7 258 8 281 4 316 5684 5414 9 253 8 251 7 259 8 282 4 317 5414 5249 7*245 8 250 7 258 7*280 3*311 5249 5155 3*227 7 249 6 259 5*279 2*307 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography