DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 87.3 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 572 - - 544 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9276 - - 11454 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12047 - - 13825 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14125 - - 16303 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2052 - - 1872 - - - - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 732 - - 773 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 233 - - - - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6305 - - -4640 - - - - - -14458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20431 - - 20944 - - - - - 19614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11562 - - -8295 - - - - - -20163 ODpotential blCL - - - 25687 - - 24598 - - - - - 25318 blCL maxRH - - - 22 - - 28 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 87.3 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.3 - - 11.2 - - - - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 84.1 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.1 - - 11.1 - - - - - 5.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 572 - - 544 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9276 - - 11454 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98005 8 195 21 250 18 013 98005 90604 9 114 2 211 8 314 90604 84938 7 068 8 089 3 148 84938 80225 4 196 7 100 5 070 80225 76149 3 021 9 074 5 073 76149 72556 10 313 6 072 3 100 72556 69316 8 177 8 191 2 274 69316 66346 13 161 17 203 10 219 66346 63616 13 179 20 203 10 202 63616 61000 10 268 13 240 12 169 61000 58256 26 248 25 252 6 213 58256 55389 43 223 35 229 27 224 55389 52659 39 213 36 219 37 214 52659 50201 37 227 38 225 37 224 50201 47994 42 234 41 226 38 229 47994 45999 42 229 37 224 38 231 45999 44180 42 223 33 225 32 230 44180 42507 35 223 23 233 19 236 42507 40954 24 226 6 269 13 201 40954 39505 15 237 6 343 13 172 39505 38148 11 251 6 347 9 167 38148 36846 10 255 5 309 8 222 36846 35537 11 251 6 244 13 235 35537 34193 11 252 8 221 16 234 34193 32818 12 258 8 221 16 231 32818 31401 14 263 8 236 12 231 31401 29934 18 264 11 246 11 228 29934 28419 20 261 12 247 11 221 28419 26854 20 253 11 267 8 210 26854 25243 21 250 14 282 3 257 25243 23586 27 243 20 272 12 322 23586 21886 35 235 29 255 26 257 21886 20146 41 229 37 245 26 251 20146 18390 41 227 38 242 22 252 18390 16695 37 231 32*241 19 251 16695 15147 30*235 24*238 16 249 15147 13758 21*237 22 236 14 246 13758 12508 17 236 21 234 13 240 12508 11380 16 236 21 234 13 234 11380 10362 15 236 21 233 13 226 10362 9444 15 235 21 232 13 218 9444 8620 14 234 21 231 14 212 8620 7881 14 234 21 231 14 207 7881 7207 13 233 21 230 14 202 7207 6603 13 232 20 230 14 197 6603 6091 12 232 20 229 14 192 6091 5695 12 232 20 229 12 186 5695 5419 11 232 19 229 10 181 5419 5251 11 232 18 229 6*178 5251 5155 10 232 16 229 4*176 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography