DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 47.1 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 58 - - 33 - - 20 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 435 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5137 - - 5136 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 5284 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1377 - - 1537 - - 1575 - - 1427 - - 1286 Hgt.Variab. W* 89 - - 125 - - 92 - - 78 - - 73 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 072 - - 063 - - 064 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 131 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential -139 - - 65 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 5292 - - 5219 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 220 - - 350 - - 230 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 47.1 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 46.5 - - 45.6 - - 46.2 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 45.4 - - 46.0 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 45.5 - - 46.2 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 58 - - 33 - - 20 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 435 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97161 63 261 67 269 61 256 60 262 65 267 97161 89745 46 267 49 272 46 265 47 273 46 274 89745 84098 32 277 30 262 38 275 34 275 32 273 84098 79505 23 277 23 262 27 267 24 279 19 268 79505 75558 15 263 19 260 20 252 24 288 13 304 75558 72056 9 257 16 241 17 253 25 281 20 303 72056 68882 7 270 12 232 9 261 17 257 21 287 68882 65971 13 306 6 274 8 300 9 242 15 268 65971 63278 17 290 13 302 16 310 9 296 11 276 63278 60675 17 292 17 291 23 298 20 307 16 301 60675 57978 20 294 20 293 23 288 27 295 17 299 57978 55182 26 285 23 281 25 278 28 280 24 313 55182 52500 33 275 29 283 27 278 31 289 39 308 52500 50075 37 273 36 278 33 284 39 289 44 300 50075 47889 43 269 44 270 43 277 40 283 42 291 47889 45892 48 262 55 261 46 263 45 274 43 281 45892 44055 68 268 66 255 50 253 57 266 48 268 44055 42350 85 257 75 251 54 254 65 257 50 262 42350 40760 91 251 75 251 54 256 64 254 49 255 40760 39273 88 247 75 251 52 258 62 249 49 248 39273 37879 77 244 78 251 54 262 60 247 56 250 37879 36544 67 246 83 251 62 263 57 251 63 256 36544 35204 67 250 85 253 71 261 55 254 68 263 35204 33837 73 251 78 252 76 257 54 259 71 266 33837 32449 74 251 71 249 77 254 58 263 72 259 32449 31027 68 251 71 245 71 252 59 264 76 253 31027 29562 55 250 65 242 66 247 48 263 60 253 29562 28056 37 245 54 241 58 244 40 251 37 251 28056 26505 25 230 45 242 49 243 38 248 28 255 26505 24907 25 222 37 240 41 242 36 246 22 255 24907 23264 26 217 32 235 35 236 32 246 21 248 23264 21573 27 216 30 232 31 228 26 238 25 239 21573 19831 27 215 29 229 29 224 22 229 31 231 19831 18069 25 216 28 228 28 221 21 227 25 228 18069 16379 22 217 29 225 25 218 21 221 20 225 16379 14842 17 216 29 217 22 223 18 209 17 212 14842 13470 13 209 26 211 20 219 16 196 16 182 13470 12240 11 191 22 210 19 208 13 200 13 173 12240 11132 9 178 18 211 19 199 11 212 7 175 11132 10136 8 174 16 197 18 193 10 215 5 155 10136 9243 8 171 13 177 16 175 8 204 7 113 9243 8447 8 159 9 143 13 143 6 151 11 088 8447 7735 9 135 12 113 14 103 9 102 17 076 7735 7092 12 109 16 093 18 075 16 073 22 072 7092 6519 13 091 17 079 19 067 18 067 22 067 6519 6036 13 073 17 075 19 065 18 065 21 064 6036 5661 12 058 16 073 18 064 17 065 19 063 5661 5402 11 056 15*072 16 064 15 064 17 062 5402 5244 11 056 13*072 14*063 13 064 15 061 5244 5153 9*055 11 072 11*063 10*064 12*061 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography