DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 59.9 - - 65.6 - - 62.6 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 361 - - 311 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 585 - - 1950 - - 2758 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6049 - - 6610 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5434 - - 6799 - - 7607 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 585 - - 684 - - 1032 - - 2622 - - 712 Hgt.Variab. W* 148 - - 373 - - 398 - - 39 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 203 - - 209 - - 208 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2213 - - -2660 - - -2897 - - -3873 - - -1003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7648 - - 9459 - - 10505 - - 9027 - - 6157 sfcLCL ODpotential -12702 - - -10518 - - -9117 - - -10293 - - -9163 ODpotential blCL 18136 - - 17317 - - 16724 - - 15447 - - 14317 blCL maxRH 71 - - 86 - - 77 - - 74 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 59.9 - - 65.6 - - 62.6 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 36.6 - - 37.6 - - 41.0 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 57.5 - - 63.3 - - 62.3 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 36.3 - - 37.4 - - 41.0 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 361 - - 311 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 585 - - 1950 - - 2758 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 43 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98055 24 296 22 265 33 276 22 288 23 285 98055 90739 15 234 20 273 19 276 21 283 21 293 90739 85070 7 225 13 275 10 267 16 272 14 296 85070 80364 8 294 10 244 7 279 10 276 10 263 80364 76310 4 308 5 249 5 273 7 299 6 319 76310 72737 3 027 2 268 4 279 6 281 12 000 72737 69518 6 020 6 020 4 007 5 286 7 340 69518 66564 9 028 8 035 3 082 3 325 4 333 66564 63852 8 012 4 007 3 312 8 356 7 023 63852 61278 6 013 4 332 2 309 7 318 5 005 61278 58629 15 323 9 331 5 003 2 291 4 267 58629 55890 14 272 15 303 8 320 3 322 3 282 55890 53270 10 252 18 285 15 278 13 270 9 266 53270 50902 16 305 20 280 19 269 19 263 16 259 50902 48761 26 303 22 280 22 273 22 267 19 264 48761 46794 29 295 24 280 24 272 23 269 20 262 46794 44968 31 284 25 275 23 272 23 267 20 256 44968 43263 32 277 25 269 23 271 22 265 21 251 43263 41662 32 272 26 264 25 268 24 262 24 252 41662 40156 33 269 27 261 27 264 27 261 26 253 40156 38741 34 267 27 258 29 259 28 260 26 257 38741 37386 33 266 28 255 30 256 30 261 28 260 37386 36024 32 263 30 252 31 255 32 261 29 263 36024 34626 31 261 31 251 34 253 32 257 32 263 34626 33197 30 261 31 250 34 247 32 254 34 260 33197 31724 29 263 29 249 33 241 33 252 35 255 31724 30202 26 265 27 247 31 235 37 246 33 249 30202 28638 25 262 25 250 29 235 40 242 34 245 28638 27036 27 255 26 253 25 243 29 239 33 246 27036 25393 27 252 29 252 23 254 18 248 22 242 25393 23707 23 250 29 248 21 265 16 273 15 260 23707 21974 19 238 25 244 21 270 16 280 13 275 21974 20187 17 232 21 239 19 261 14 271 11 266 20187 18384 12 234 18 242 18 253 14 261 10 257 18384 16656 8 242 14 246 15 258 12 263 8 261 16656 15081 9 241 10 242 12 264 11 278 6 289 15081 13673 11 225 10 230 9 259 10 288 6 314 13673 12410 11 217 10 219 10 242 9 289 6 326 12410 11274 10 218 11 216 10 232 8 271 5 315 11274 10251 9 221 11 217 9 229 7 252 4 267 10251 9336 10 221 12 216 9 226 6 250 6 239 9336 8519 13 219 13 215 9 217 5 242 7 237 8519 7791 15 217 13 210 8*208 5 212 7 233 7791 7132 16 214 11*203 8*207 7 201 8 224 7132 6544 15 211 11*202 8 208 8 203 11 210 6544 6050 14 206 11 202 8 210 8 205 16 191 6050 5670 13*200 10 203 8 210 8 206 17 183 5670 5406 10*199 10 204 8 211 8 207 13 187 5406 5246 9 200 9 204 8 212 8 207 10*192 5246 5154 7 200 8 205 7 211 6*208 5*198 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography