DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 76.2 - - 80.1 - - 75.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 326 - - 264 - - -9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 412 - - 3408 - - 7057 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 7122 - - 9869 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 8257 - - 11906 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 455 - - 2951 - - 1628 - - 7406 - - 621 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 435 - - 516 - - 21 - - 6 W* B/S 6 - - 23 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 153 - - 128 - - 125 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 21 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1858 - - -1998 - - 317 - - -5091 - - -1034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7120 - - 10255 - - 11589 - - 10246 - - 6189 sfcLCL ODpotential -6797 - - -4835 - - -2281 - - -7148 - - -6740 ODpotential blCL 12058 - - 13092 - - 14187 - - 12303 - - 11895 blCL maxRH 79 - - 62 - - 82 - - 85 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 76.2 - - 80.1 - - 75.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 48.9 - - 46.9 - - 48.0 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 73.7 - - 78.0 - - 75.5 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.1 - - 48.7 - - 46.8 - - 47.9 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 326 - - 264 - - -9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 412 - - 3408 - - 7057 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 29 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97633 24 285 17 292 18 257 26 268 27 266 97633 90303 16 296 15 288 16 273 19 273 20 278 90303 84700 18 311 17 304 15 306 8 314 14 304 84700 80068 12 296 23 303 21 332 15 002 5 019 80068 76081 6 293 13 279 20 322 14 351 14 025 76081 72558 2 083 3 123 7 285 10 303 17 357 72558 69367 8 116 3 148 2 202 7 271 12 324 69367 66452 10 105 6 172 5 152 6 213 4 259 66452 63781 4 071 7 143 7 136 8 162 8 203 63781 61234 2 208 5 191 2 146 6 133 8 169 61234 58597 12 215 12 203 7 222 4 230 5 187 58597 55858 10 213 16 198 17 217 18 230 18 230 55858 53247 17 247 19 224 21 227 25 238 24 240 53247 50895 23 249 25 238 27 239 29 240 28 249 50895 48770 31 252 32 244 30 244 32 243 31 243 48770 46812 34 255 30 250 29 256 29 237 29 241 46812 44987 37 268 32 263 35 266 38 263 38 258 44987 43284 39 275 36 267 37 265 44 266 41 266 43284 41694 37 278 33 267 35 264 37 266 30 270 41694 40212 31 283 29 270 29 270 32 274 24 277 40212 38826 28 286 25 277 28 272 25 277 26 286 38826 37499 28 289 24 287 26 278 20 271 23 284 37499 36162 34 289 25 292 23 279 22 265 21 274 36162 34787 34 287 21 290 18 279 22 263 19 270 34787 33378 28 282 18 293 16 274 21 264 17 276 33378 31923 23 285 19 297 17 273 18 265 18 281 31923 30414 23 291 20 289 16 272 16 267 16 267 30414 28851 22 297 18 280 15 268 14 267 15 253 28851 27236 19 301 15 274 15 264 12 260 14 245 27236 25573 16 303 13 269 14 263 10 254 12 238 25573 23868 13 302 12 267 12 265 8 250 11 226 23868 22119 11 284 9 263 10 268 7 250 10 223 22119 20319 11 296 5 277 6 265 5 242 9 230 20319 18503 9 330 3 329 3 264 3 197 6 219 18503 16763 6 004 2 357 1 293 2 169 2 181 16763 15180 5 041 2 237 3 282 1 289 3 087 15180 13767 4 077 4 181 3 246 4 302 2 080 13767 12501 5 092 5 159 3*156 2 312 2 146 12501 11363 6 109 6 155 4*147 1 013 3 154 11363 10339 8 114 6 153 4 143 4 112 5 146 10339 9418 9 111 6 147 5 137 6 117 5 133 9418 8595 9 109 4*145 5 131 8 120 7 119 8595 7855 8 109 4*147 5 127 10 123 7 111 7855 7184 5 103 4 149 6 123 10 125 6 119 7184 6583 3 093 3 152 6 120 11 126 8 138 6583 6076 1 211 3 155 6 119 11 127 12 141 6076 5685 4 231 3 157 6 117 11 127 18 141 5685 5414 5*235 3 160 6 116 10 127 14 142 5414 5249 4*242 3 160 6 116 9*126 10*141 5249 5155 3 242 3 160 6 116 7*125 4*137 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography