DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 70.2 - - 68.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 242 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1848 - - 4678 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5870 - - 7975 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6697 - - 9527 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1365 - - 1835 - - 5871 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 437 - - 38 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 244 - - 237 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -10 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3393 - - -2294 - - -6210 - - -2333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10091 - - 11821 - - 11366 - - 7487 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8280 - - -5902 - - -10085 - - -7540 ODpotential blCL - - - 14977 - - 15429 - - 15240 - - 12694 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 91 - - 88 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 70.2 - - 68.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 36.2 - - 36.6 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 68.3 - - 68.4 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 36.1 - - 36.5 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 242 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1848 - - 4678 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 62 - - 52 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 15 055 5 042 6 340 15 044 96311 89234 22 086 16 097 10 110 10 078 89234 83761 17 101 13 097 10 111 12 097 83761 79217 14 108 6 061 11 100 15 101 79217 75283 11 095 7 066 7 107 9 080 75283 71809 3 075 5 044 5 128 3 061 71809 68685 5 087 6 181 6 256 6 314 68685 65832 10 318 11 243 15 241 13 264 65832 63212 20 285 22 279 18 282 13 286 63212 60693 27 272 28 279 27 280 16 290 60693 58058 33 267 38 280 31 270 22 255 58058 55301 39 267 41 270 36 240 37 217 55301 52642 45 271 50 249 47 239 49 227 52642 50217 57 251 66 252 63 252 58 244 50217 48020 74 249 77 253 75 257 71 252 48020 46011 82 250 82 249 82 252 83 249 46011 44157 87 246 91 245 90 243 90 242 44157 42442 92 244 100 243 96 240 95 240 42442 40863 103 243 99 243 89 243 93 245 40863 39407 99 243 85 247 80 248 84 250 39407 38050 79 244 77 251 72 253 78 253 38050 36750 68 249 73 254 69 255 76 254 36750 35438 67 254 73 255 70 257 74 253 35438 34089 66 257 73 256 70 256 73 253 34089 32708 71 257 74 256 73 256 76 256 32708 31285 72 255 78 256 80 257 82 258 31285 29816 63 249 77 255 83 258 84 258 29816 28298 69 249 71 254 79 258 79 257 28298 26731 70 251 71 253 72 255 71 255 26731 25116 67 257 72 254 71 251 66 255 25116 23460 61 260 73 258 70 252 61 257 23460 21758 54 263 61 265 62 256 53 254 21758 20008 43 264 42 265 48 259 42 246 20008 18243 34 254 32 249 36 254 36 245 18243 16546 28 249 32 244 36 251 33 255 16546 14996 29 253 31 251 34 257 30 268 14996 13612 30 256 27 256 29 265 24 278 13612 12372 27 258 22 260 21 274 19 283 12372 11256 23 260 17 260 13 279 14 279 11256 10253 19 263 12*253 5 276 9 262 10253 9350 15 265 11*248 4 263 6 241 9350 8542 12 265 11 246 4 252 6 225 8542 7817 11 260 11 245 5 247 6 219 7817 7158 11*251 11 244 5 244 7 216 7158 6568 11*241 10 243 6 241 9 212 6568 6068 11 238 10 241 6 239 10 210 6068 5681 11 236 10 241 6 239 11 208 5681 5412 10 236 9 240 6 238 10 208 5412 5248 10 236 9 239 5*237 7*208 5248 5154 9 235 8 240 4*237 4*206 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography