DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.6 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 74 - - - - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 2337 - - - - - 551 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5138 - - 5718 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5155 - - 7186 - - - - - 5400 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2539 - - 1337 - - - - - 1774 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 251 - - - - - 122 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 074 - - - - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -8 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -155 - - -86 - - - - - 246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5311 - - 7272 - - - - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1717 - - -4366 - - - - - 24 ODpotential blCL - - - 6872 - - 11552 - - - - - 5376 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 130 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.6 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 53.1 - - - - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 66.7 - - - - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 51.8 - - - - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 74 - - - - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 2337 - - - - - 551 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 87 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98021 27 266 32 246 26 282 98021 90616 18 241 19 243 17 290 90616 84947 13 193 12 252 11 286 84947 80246 9 140 9 221 4 197 80246 76199 7 114 10 173 2 171 76199 72639 3 146 11 140 1 166 72639 69438 4 112 10 097 7 109 69438 66516 10 142 5 106 9 103 66516 63831 11 154 10 165 6 106 63831 61262 5 206 4 203 4 126 61262 58598 17 192 11 222 6 250 58598 55840 20 200 22 199 19 218 55840 53215 18 199 24 196 22 211 53215 50847 21 228 25 212 25 225 50847 48708 28 227 30 223 29 225 48708 46745 33 227 36 225 34 220 46745 44922 39 225 40 225 35 222 44922 43220 43 222 45 225 41 229 43220 41626 47 221 50 224 46 230 41626 40131 49 220 53 223 51 228 40131 38725 51 218 55 219 52 218 38725 37379 52 214 55 212 53 213 37379 36029 51 205 56 204 49 212 36029 34645 51 194 56 198 41 211 34645 33228 50 189 55 193 43 212 33228 31764 50 192 53 194 40 209 31764 30243 52 197 50 200 40 208 30243 28672 49 204 41 203 40 202 28672 27051 40 214 35 207 39 193 27051 25385 31 218 30 215 35 190 25385 23678 23 214 29 220 30 196 23678 21928 19 214 29 225 23 196 21928 20131 21 221 24 235 15 182 20131 18320 25 232 23 245 11 154 18320 16587 23 240 17 249 9 107 16587 15016 20 240 11 241 11 067 15016 13619 15 233 8 219 14 051 13619 12370 11 220 6 189 16 051 12370 11247 7 204 5 164 17 056 11247 10234 5 175 5 147 22 056 10234 9324 6 158 5 145 27 051 9324 8513 8 150 3 126 30 048 8513 7789 7 137 5*064 34 045 7789 7135 5 109 7*063 35 043 7135 6550 5 059 8 070 35 042 6550 6057 6 049 9 074 34 042 6057 5674 6 047 9 078 31 041 5674 5409 6 046 9 080 27*041 5409 5247 5*047 8 080 25*041 5247 5154 5*046 7 081 18 041 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography