DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 84.4 - - 83.4 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 332 - - 97 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5610 - - 6991 - - 6612 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8982 - - 9937 - - 8848 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10459 - - 11840 - - 11461 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1711 - - 2960 - - 2927 - - 4662 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 581 - - 556 - - 363 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 103 - - 102 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 471 - - 1010 - - 82 - - -3290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9988 - - 10831 - - 11379 - - 8446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2018 - - -220 - - -1333 - - -5956 ODpotential blCL - - - 12477 - - 12060 - - 12794 - - 11111 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 83 - - 85 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 460 - - 40 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 84.4 - - 83.4 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.9 - - 54.3 - - 51.0 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 82.0 - - 82.2 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 54.2 - - 50.9 - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 332 - - 97 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5610 - - 6991 - - 6612 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 39 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98644 24 115 18 107 14 106 24 079 98644 91246 22 129 22 081 25 086 28 098 91246 85523 26 100 22 089 28 086 29 085 85523 80765 25 074 25 098 23 093 24 078 80765 76681 14 066 23 098 15 091 14 076 76681 73081 12 083 13 103 11 069 12 062 73081 69831 19 089 6 109 8 079 11 063 69831 66848 22 083 10 122 6 119 8 067 66848 64098 20 073 17 108 11 123 13 101 64098 61479 13 070 18 095 18 097 19 109 61479 58803 8 095 14 095 14 065 18 086 58803 56067 12 090 14 102 10 057 16 066 56067 53471 18 074 17 087 12 087 14 062 53471 51129 23 069 18 075 14 085 14 066 51129 49014 25 060 19 064 15 074 16 066 49014 47074 27 055 21 057 18 067 17 064 47074 45272 28 048 21 054 18 065 17 071 45272 43583 25 040 20 051 18 063 18 077 43583 41995 22 035 18 055 17 060 18 074 41995 40498 19 044 19 056 17 055 20 071 40498 39088 22 057 19 059 18 054 23 068 39088 37735 26 052 22 063 20 056 25 066 37735 36371 30 044 28 060 23 056 24 065 36371 34970 31 043 30 060 28 060 24 063 34970 33537 29 055 29 065 28 063 27 069 33537 32061 27 062 25 059 27 071 29 074 32061 30530 23 068 24 062 26 073 28 076 30530 28946 20 069 24 074 24 083 24 083 28946 27313 20 075 23 080 21 088 20 095 27313 25638 17 084 15 087 14 100 16 099 25638 23925 16 096 10 106 10 103 13 096 23925 22169 19 109 9 119 10 088 14 085 22169 20364 20 117 9 107 12 080 16 079 20364 18543 20 115 11 094 12 074 17 075 18543 16798 19 109 11 081 14 063 20 058 16798 15212 16 099 6 079 7 038 16 037 15212 13798 12 090 5 080 5 041 13 009 13798 12533 9 085 5*084 6*072 9 010 12533 11396 9*087 7*094 10*097 7 046 11396 10371 9*089 8 100 10 098 7 074 10371 9449 9 089 9 101 11 102 9 104 9449 8623 9 089 10 103 12 103 13 123 8623 7882 9 088 10 104 12 104 18 126 7882 7208 9 087 11 105 13 104 23 127 7208 6603 9 086 11 105 13 104 24 126 6603 6092 10 085 11 106 13 104 23 125 6092 5696 9 083 11 106 13 104 21 125 5696 5420 9 083 11 106 12 104 16 123 5420 5252 9 082 11 106 12 104 14 122 5252 5155 8 083 10 106 10 104 9*121 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography