DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 58.6 - - 63.6 - - 63.6 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 432 - - 379 - - 97 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 917 - - 3837 - - 5364 - - 4974 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 7543 - - 8698 - - 7636 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5766 - - 8686 - - 10213 - - 9823 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 731 - - 1074 - - 1187 - - 1510 - - 2024 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 496 - - 530 - - 328 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 131 - - 145 - - 150 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1040 - - -1764 - - -1784 - - -2830 - - -5756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6806 - - 10450 - - 11997 - - 12654 - - 10911 sfcLCL ODpotential -7760 - - -6290 - - -5397 - - -6725 - - -11594 ODpotential blCL 13526 - - 14976 - - 15610 - - 16548 - - 16748 blCL maxRH 78 - - 84 - - 89 - - 82 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 58.6 - - 63.6 - - 63.6 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 30.8 - - 28.9 - - 26.1 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 55.9 - - 61.1 - - 62.5 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.1 - - 30.5 - - 28.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 432 - - 379 - - 97 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 917 - - 3837 - - 5364 - - 4974 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 34 - - 55 - - 29 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97054 42 273 39 271 38 259 47 275 44 282 97054 89704 31 269 38 271 35 265 41 265 38 273 89704 84084 25 281 27 271 27 272 32 273 28 278 84084 79432 18 287 16 286 17 279 17 279 22 295 79432 75449 9 318 9 310 9 314 12 294 17 302 75449 71955 17 344 10 350 11 320 12 327 17 324 71955 68828 17 324 16 346 15 340 15 344 16 338 68828 65978 11 332 19 341 18 345 15 329 16 323 65978 63349 15 340 19 325 19 329 16 319 16 298 63349 60804 21 314 27 316 23 321 21 322 18 297 60804 58114 33 308 35 307 31 316 32 312 25 309 58114 55280 46 298 45 293 43 288 44 290 44 287 55280 52549 57 289 49 284 49 284 52 287 53 288 52549 50069 57 285 50 291 56 286 56 284 57 290 50069 47831 53 292 58 295 56 288 61 284 64 288 47831 45805 66 306 71 297 68 293 67 287 74 286 45805 43977 77 309 75 294 81 291 74 286 82 285 43977 42318 86 323 78 297 82 290 80 287 86 288 42318 40784 88 325 81 300 83 296 82 287 91 288 40784 39345 80 311 83 296 84 293 77 291 93 287 39345 37986 82 306 88 297 90 294 82 296 91 289 37986 36678 75 298 87 300 89 298 86 298 90 292 36678 35357 72 300 77 302 86 299 86 299 89 294 35357 33998 67 302 67 303 80 299 84 297 87 293 33998 32605 62 301 61 305 71 299 83 296 85 289 32605 31167 55 294 57 300 64 299 77 293 80 287 31167 29684 50 289 54 295 63 299 71 290 73 286 29684 28159 46 291 42 288 57 296 66 292 69 286 28159 26587 43 295 35 287 54 294 60 300 66 286 26587 24970 36 293 33 289 47 296 52 300 61 288 24970 23311 32 294 29 291 35 291 46 295 53 293 23311 21606 29 295 24 294 28 289 34 302 41 294 21606 19857 26 296 23 296 21 294 26 301 34 287 19857 18095 19 299 19 296 21 298 25 295 37 276 18095 16404 9 304 10 283 16 287 24 291 28 272 16404 14868 3 318 3 229 11 259 21 289 20 271 14868 13496 1 171 3 236 9 254 18 281 18 274 13496 12265 4 141 5 197 8 241 15 275 16 273 12265 11158 5 126 9 158 6*183 5 231 13 267 11158 10163 6 116 8 144 6*160 5*168 8 254 10163 9270 8 110 8*136 6 156 6*161 3 219 9270 8474 9 111 8*134 7 151 8 153 3 162 8474 7762 9 123 8 134 7 145 9 151 6 155 7762 7115 11 129 9 132 8 142 9 149 11 149 7115 6536 15 127 9 132 8 140 10 149 16 144 6536 6048 15*125 9 130 8 137 10 149 20 140 6048 5669 11*118 8 129 8 135 10 148 20 140 5669 5406 10 116 8 127 8 135 10 147 16 140 5406 5246 9 115 8 128 8 134 9 147 13*140 5246 5154 8 114 7 126 7 134 8 147 7*139 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography