DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 79.7 - - 78.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 439 - - 73 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3520 - - 7878 - - 9611 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7317 - - 10778 - - 10763 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8369 - - 12727 - - 14460 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2258 - - 2238 - - 3037 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 633 - - 373 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 103 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 077 - - 136 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 3 - - 43 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4338 - - -2669 - - -718 - - -6681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12707 - - 15397 - - 15179 - - 11837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7719 - - -4529 - - -2178 - - -11669 ODpotential blCL - - - 16088 - - 17256 - - 16638 - - 16824 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 61 - - 78 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 79.7 - - 78.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 29.6 - - 29.9 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 76.7 - - 77.8 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 29.5 - - 29.8 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 439 - - 73 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3520 - - 7878 - - 9611 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97060 52 266 48 260 48 262 48 265 97060 89695 38 269 36 267 35 273 39 279 89695 84044 24 267 26 260 33 269 25 285 84044 79403 20 273 22 261 26 269 18 283 79403 75446 20 276 17 281 17 288 14 286 75446 71964 16 279 14 276 13 291 12 323 71964 68809 14 278 13 279 12 280 15 319 68809 65904 15 283 15 282 18 282 18 305 65904 63229 18 286 15 269 23 282 20 287 63229 60670 17 272 17 281 22 271 20 277 60670 58009 18 274 18 270 20 266 21 275 58009 55227 21 271 19 261 18 266 22 253 55227 52543 24 247 24 265 21 270 22 253 52543 50097 29 238 31 242 31 243 30 246 50097 47882 34 231 40 230 35 231 32 244 47882 45855 39 231 44 225 39 225 34 241 45855 43996 39 228 43 220 40 222 36 232 43996 42299 33 227 31 225 29 224 28 227 42299 40754 21 215 20 245 17 233 14 231 40754 39322 15 200 13 233 11 252 11 230 39322 37977 8 171 7 219 6 254 10 184 37977 36687 1 049 3 197 1 236 5 136 36687 35387 6 295 3 297 4 318 2 080 35387 34051 8 271 7 322 5 333 2 059 34051 32684 7 258 9 318 6 355 4 049 32684 31271 6 233 7 273 3 288 1 105 31271 29805 7 208 7 210 12 217 8 223 29805 28293 9 206 10 201 16 213 11 219 28293 26734 12 210 12 212 14 211 12 203 26734 25129 13 206 14 213 10 226 8 192 25129 23484 13 195 14 206 9 219 3 210 23484 21797 11 173 10 189 7 175 2 214 21797 20059 8 144 6 162 7 122 4 141 20059 18298 8 124 4 120 7 078 8 120 18298 16601 10 116 6 108 8 030 12 093 16601 15051 9 106 6 082 6*024 13 061 15051 13663 7 078 5*039 5*034 10 014 13663 12419 6 058 4*031 3 070 10 332 12419 11298 4 033 3 032 3 102 9 314 11298 10287 3 020 3 035 4 127 7 294 10287 9378 3 011 2 049 4 143 6 256 9378 8563 3*311 1 087 5 151 8 217 8563 7833 6*261 1 128 6 156 12 194 7833 7169 7 250 1 149 6 158 16 181 7169 6575 7 246 2 164 6 160 19 170 6575 6073 8 243 2 168 6 161 22 161 6073 5684 8 241 3 172 6 162 21 159 5684 5414 8 240 3 172 6 162 17 160 5414 5249 7 240 3 174 6 162 13*162 5249 5155 7 239 3 175 6 164 6*166 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography