DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 83.4 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 320 - - 85 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2756 - - 307 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6630 - - 5139 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7605 - - 5156 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4331 - - 10864 - - - - - 2621 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 407 - - 138 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 20 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 197 - - - - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1387 - - -4480 - - - - - -2739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8992 - - 9636 - - - - - 7896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3457 - - -6141 - - - - - -5830 ODpotential blCL - - - 11062 - - 11297 - - - - - 10986 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 89 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 1650 - - 2020 - - - - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 83.4 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.2 - - 58.5 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 82.4 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 57.2 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 320 - - 85 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2756 - - 307 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 55 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99080 42 099 40 111 33 089 99080 91588 43 095 41 105 38 101 91588 85815 43 096 39 103 36 099 85815 81035 33 098 33 096 35 090 81035 76921 26 094 27 096 34 089 76921 73296 24 100 24 110 32 086 73296 70035 25 107 24 117 29 087 70035 67054 22 103 23 106 23 087 67054 64311 18 083 22 095 19 099 64311 61679 13 078 19 088 14 102 61679 58949 5 069 12 091 7 108 58949 56123 7 000 2 098 4 041 56123 53431 8 334 4 282 10 349 53431 51007 4 311 1 162 4 327 51007 48833 6 246 4 122 8 076 48833 46863 7 115 12 108 9 058 46863 45057 12 073 14 088 8 052 45057 43380 11 086 16 068 10 049 43380 41811 25 098 17 066 9 027 41811 40332 28 097 15 076 8 021 40332 38937 22 086 15 085 7 068 38937 37596 15 061 16 071 15 087 37596 36248 16 051 15 047 18 086 36248 34866 13 050 14 053 19 081 34866 33453 9 043 9 075 19 077 33453 31995 6 054 10 095 17 073 31995 30484 8 101 9 105 13 069 30484 28923 10 129 10 104 12 072 28923 27313 11 147 11 107 10 072 27313 25659 12 157 9 115 8 089 25659 23963 13 156 4 136 10 109 23963 22222 9 158 7 160 11 098 22222 20425 8 174 5 157 8 080 20425 18607 11 181 6 160 4 024 18607 16864 15 175 6 176 7 332 16864 15280 17 210 5 193 7 309 15280 13865 18 239 3 207 4 293 13865 12595 14 256 3 207 2 259 12595 11451 11 254 3 198 4 204 11451 10418 10 247 3 194 6 191 10418 9487 9 243 4 189 8 178 9487 8653 8 241 4 186 11 163 8653 7905 5*234 4 184 16 152 7905 7224 2*173 4 185 21 145 7224 6615 3 137 3 185 26 140 6615 6099 3 131 3 187 26 139 6099 5699 3 126 2 192 22 140 5699 5422 3 122 2 193 16 141 5422 5253 3 122 1*196 13*141 5253 5156 3 121 1*197 7*140 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography