DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 45.1 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 55 - - 20 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2969 - - 1114 - - 304 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6793 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7818 - - 5963 - - 5153 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 846 - - 1533 - - 2944 - - 2425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 418 - - 170 - - 81 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 14 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 084 - - 093 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3215 - - -739 - - -4514 - - -5193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11034 - - 6703 - - 9667 - - 10348 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9580 - - -8885 - - -11707 - - -12257 ODpotential blCL - - - 17398 - - 14848 - - 16860 - - 17411 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 300 - - 180 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 45.1 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.7 - - 34.0 - - 26.7 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 44.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 33.0 - - 25.9 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 55 - - 20 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2969 - - 1114 - - 304 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97213 33 258 37 268 42 283 40 296 97213 89896 25 278 22 255 28 275 31 283 89896 84259 15 277 16 267 20 272 22 287 84259 79577 12 254 14 283 16 293 16 304 79577 75578 8 288 6 286 12 317 15 312 75578 72085 8 355 7 341 7 332 8 320 72085 68940 9 342 14 358 12 354 10 015 68940 66056 19 314 21 330 19 333 16 351 66056 63405 16 312 16 325 14 318 15 332 63405 60846 18 327 16 317 17 310 20 318 60846 58157 25 311 19 296 22 298 23 301 58157 55336 39 301 29 293 34 292 34 291 55336 52612 51 289 42 278 42 282 42 288 52612 50139 50 282 47 272 46 281 52 284 50139 47907 48 284 48 273 47 295 49 284 47907 45869 51 284 49 289 56 301 49 299 45869 43999 47 278 60 286 66 294 69 313 43999 42284 40 264 59 267 66 284 82 307 42284 40702 37 257 44 261 53 280 80 296 40702 39232 39 260 42 273 48 289 74 294 39232 37862 43 261 46 279 53 299 67 302 37862 36556 45 261 50 278 57 301 65 308 36556 35248 43 260 51 276 60 297 67 310 35248 33908 43 254 49 272 61 293 70 311 33908 32536 46 249 44 265 52 286 65 307 32536 31123 46 249 42 262 45 277 50 297 31123 29662 45 252 43 259 39 276 40 291 29662 28153 44 257 44 256 36 280 33 294 28153 26595 44 260 41 254 37 284 31 298 26595 24987 38 258 37 256 36 283 31 299 24987 23333 30 251 41 264 33 285 32 301 23333 21631 27 253 27 249 23 271 26 302 21631 19881 21 261 28 253 23 269 15 286 19881 18111 12 280 23 248 21 254 14 270 18111 16407 11 270 18 233 17 247 16 271 16407 14853 14 229 15 222 12 236 15 270 14853 13468 17 209 12 217 9 219 12 270 13468 12227 11 207 7 217 7 185 7 229 12227 11114 4 194 4 210 9 164 10 173 11114 10120 4 146 5 158 12 131 13 122 10120 9233 9 113 11 120 19 107 20 097 9233 8444 16*092 23 105 23 096 20 092 8444 7738 18*088 28 102 24 092 19 092 7738 7097 19 087 26 099 19 091 17 097 7097 6523 19 085 21 093 15 091 15 106 6523 6038 19 084 18*087 14 091 13 116 6038 5663 19 083 16*085 13 092 10 125 5663 5403 18 082 15 084 12 093 7 132 5403 5245 17 082 13 083 11 093 5*136 5245 5154 14 081 11 083 8*093 3*136 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography