DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 66.0 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 401 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2954 - - 5046 - - - - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6840 - - 8472 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7803 - - 9895 - - - - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1124 - - 1520 - - - - - 948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 531 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 264 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -10 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6168 - - -5348 - - - - - -7968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13972 - - 15244 - - - - - 13122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15364 - - -13544 - - - - - -17724 ODpotential blCL - - - 23167 - - 23439 - - - - - 22878 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 41 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 66.0 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.9 - - 16.7 - - - - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 63.5 - - - - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 16.6 - - - - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 401 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2954 - - 5046 - - - - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96526 12 265 10 253 10 309 96526 89436 3 260 13 198 16 299 89436 83946 8 243 11 185 11 290 83946 79342 3 190 4 123 5 313 79342 75355 4 318 11 275 9 326 75355 71817 6 221 12 263 6 345 71817 68593 6 104 12 252 19 269 68593 65656 6 146 15 242 14 291 65656 62955 15 293 22 255 8 321 62955 60317 40 268 25 244 20 211 60317 57587 57 271 47 270 44 257 57587 54786 77 259 75 270 72 276 54786 52112 73 254 89 269 84 274 52112 49707 82 264 96 267 93 266 49707 47573 95 264 96 261 98 257 47573 45651 97 260 90 258 97 253 45651 43884 91 259 88 262 99 254 43884 42237 83 259 91 265 103 253 42237 40694 76 262 94 265 105 253 40694 39243 76 265 95 265 105 254 39243 37878 80 268 95 265 102 256 37878 36569 86 270 95 264 97 257 36569 35251 91 271 92 261 91 258 35251 33897 89 270 89 257 89 258 33897 32511 84 266 86 255 91 256 32511 31081 86 264 86 257 95 254 31081 29600 88 259 86 259 97 255 29600 28070 85 252 87 260 98 258 28070 26494 85 252 89 259 99 261 26494 24875 87 257 90 259 97 262 24875 23218 87 261 90 260 95 261 23218 21519 81 262 86 261 89 260 21519 19776 74 262 79 260 80 258 19776 18020 68 261 73 260 69 258 18020 16343 64 259 69 261 60 256 16343 14822 61 260 66 263 49 248 14822 13466 59 262 61 263 42 235 13466 12250 57 265 52 262 38 234 12250 11156 53 267 43 260 33 244 11156 10170 49 269 30*259 28 256 10170 9283 43 267 26*260 24 264 9283 8489 35*263 25 262 20 269 8489 7776 27*260 24 263 17 272 7776 7128 23 260 23 264 14 274 7128 6546 20 260 23 265 11 279 6546 6054 19 260 22 266 9 288 6054 5673 18 260 21 267 7 296 5673 5408 17 260 20 267 4 301 5408 5247 16 260 19 267 2*298 5247 5154 14 260 16 268 1*286 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography