DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.3 - - 75.9 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 563 - - 501 - - 93 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6539 - - 8557 - - 6585 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9797 - - 11396 - - 8779 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11388 - - 13406 - - 11434 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1617 - - 1682 - - 4535 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 648 - - 682 - - 356 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 20 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 263 - - 261 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2889 - - -2320 - - -3715 - - -8165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14278 - - 15727 - - 15149 - - 13321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7502 - - -5995 - - -6158 - - -12309 ODpotential blCL - - - 18890 - - 19401 - - 17592 - - 17464 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 72 - - 85 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.3 - - 75.9 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 26.5 - - 27.0 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 75.1 - - 74.8 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 26.4 - - 27.0 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 563 - - 501 - - 93 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6539 - - 8557 - - 6585 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 39 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 5 230 8 211 14 355 8 360 98071 90661 10 183 12 196 12 281 9 339 90661 84907 3 243 14 177 15 197 11 255 84907 80141 7 285 2 231 10 198 12 227 80141 76069 13 246 11 311 12 206 11 232 76069 72484 18 255 12 283 8 271 11 240 72484 69247 21 257 17 258 21 284 12 295 69247 66303 18 192 14 238 15 265 11 241 66303 63600 10 203 13 212 15 270 17 210 63600 60986 27 285 34 280 32 262 19 276 60986 58238 51 232 46 241 31 263 37 277 58238 55379 50 219 39 244 51 262 51 259 55379 52672 49 252 49 255 72 251 64 252 52672 50253 74 257 70 256 82 248 75 251 50253 48081 89 257 86 255 87 251 82 253 48081 46105 105 257 102 254 98 254 91 253 46105 44298 120 254 117 251 110 252 104 251 44298 42628 124 251 122 248 114 248 113 249 42628 41066 122 249 119 248 113 247 116 248 41066 39593 118 249 116 247 110 246 114 247 39593 38205 113 249 110 246 106 245 111 245 38205 36873 108 247 106 243 101 243 107 244 36873 35535 105 243 103 240 97 241 103 243 35535 34165 102 242 101 238 95 239 100 242 34165 32763 97 242 98 240 92 239 98 242 32763 31322 91 245 92 244 89 242 93 246 31322 29832 83 248 83 246 83 246 87 248 29832 28299 77 247 77 244 78 249 81 250 28299 26723 74 244 75 242 73 249 77 249 26723 25104 73 242 73 242 72 247 74 248 25104 23446 70 242 68 244 71 248 70 249 23446 21745 64 243 62 246 69 250 65 250 21745 20000 58 241 56 248 63 250 54 244 20000 18242 53 239 51 250 52 248 44 236 18242 16553 48 238 44 252 41 246 36 236 16553 15013 44 241 36 252 31 246 28 235 15013 13635 39 247 25*254 22 245 20 228 13635 12398 33*252 21*258 15*247 13 217 12398 11284 24*259 21 259 15*248 8 202 11284 10279 20 263 20 261 13 252 5 189 10279 9374 20 265 20 262 11 258 2 166 9374 8563 19 266 20 264 10 263 1 072 8563 7835 19 266 20 265 10 265 3 018 7835 7172 19 267 20 266 9 267 5 003 7172 6578 19 267 19 267 9 269 7 357 6578 6075 18 268 19 268 9 271 9 354 6075 5685 18 268 18 268 8 272 9 353 5685 5415 17 268 18 268 8 272 9 353 5415 5249 16 268 17 269 8 272 7*355 5249 5155 14 268 15 269 7 272 5*354 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography