DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 36.0 - - 33.5 - - 28.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 224 - - 23 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 2044 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5825 - - 5975 - - 5135 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6611 - - 6893 - - 5152 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 527 - - 444 - - 1900 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 322 - - 80 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 18 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 073 - - 066 - - 071 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4371 - - -4951 - - -4915 - - -502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10983 - - 11845 - - 10068 - - 5655 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17926 - - -18033 - - -18332 - - -13259 ODpotential blCL - - - 24537 - - 24926 - - 23484 - - 18411 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 89 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 36.0 - - 33.5 - - 28.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.3 - - 3.4 - - 8.5 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 34.5 - - 33.1 - - 28.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.3 - - 3.4 - - 8.4 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 224 - - 23 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 2044 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 91 - - 58 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96232 29 266 20 265 25 254 31 298 96232 89079 25 276 22 276 17 301 22 303 89079 83547 19 278 22 277 20 338 16 324 83547 78973 12 283 19 301 27 320 20 320 78973 75065 3 016 15 309 23 319 25 314 75065 71632 14 005 6 329 18 294 25 310 71632 68522 19 321 13 349 16 264 22 286 68522 65659 21 282 24 318 18 299 21 289 65659 62999 32 283 26 288 29 288 29 298 62999 60423 40 277 30 285 37 287 41 302 60423 57730 46 252 48 257 49 266 49 272 57730 54919 51 250 52 251 54 251 57 248 54919 52232 56 248 54 261 46 255 55 257 52232 49814 64 256 67 258 63 266 63 266 49814 47658 79 262 77 250 77 263 71 265 47658 45720 91 264 75 251 79 257 71 265 45720 43962 87 252 69 252 72 254 65 267 43962 42343 77 249 63 259 69 261 57 273 42343 40828 74 252 64 265 66 268 59 281 40828 39399 71 252 66 268 67 277 66 280 39399 38049 64 249 65 264 70 280 68 275 38049 36747 59 248 64 262 68 277 67 281 36747 35434 54 250 61 264 65 270 62 287 35434 34083 51 260 56 265 59 267 56 282 34083 32698 50 271 52 267 53 270 54 273 32698 31268 43 271 52 276 49 274 51 273 31268 29783 40 270 46 275 47 280 46 281 29783 28245 41 280 42 272 43 277 42 280 28245 26657 42 279 39 266 39 267 41 271 26657 25022 40 266 37 267 38 266 40 271 25022 23350 36 262 38 273 37 275 38 276 23350 21637 31 263 38 274 35 280 35 281 21637 19875 29 266 35 276 30 282 32 281 19875 18094 31 262 31 271 27 286 28 280 18094 16383 32 262 28 265 24 283 24 277 16383 14826 30 256 26 267 21 278 19 276 14826 13436 26 250 26 264 21 277 16 283 13436 12191 22 246 23 257 22 268 17 283 12191 11072 19 241 22 251 22 257 18 275 11072 10070 19 222 20 248 21 251 15 270 10070 9176 17 199 16 230 15 238 10 279 9176 8382 16 158 12 189 10 196 3 318 8382 7675 21 113 11 105 9 124 3 122 7675 7037 23*085 18*070 16 079 9 128 7037 6472 23*074 19*067 18 073 14 112 6472 6001 22 073 19 067 18 072 14 093 6001 5639 22 072 19 066 17 072 12 075 5639 5390 21 072 18 066 17 071 10 070 5390 5239 20 072 17 065 15*071 9*069 5239 5152 16 071 14 065 11*071 7*068 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography