DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 87.9 - - 79.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 313 - - 133 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 15518 - - 17917 - - 7814 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 17188 - - 18798 - - 10005 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 20367 - - 22766 - - 12663 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3499 - - 2897 - - 3451 - - 2550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 844 - - 745 - - 425 - - 95 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 17 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 294 - - 001 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 115 - - -96 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1172 - - 3627 - - -1084 - - -465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19196 - - 19140 - - 13748 - - 5620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 80 - - 2916 - - -2903 - - -1944 ODpotential blCL - - - 20287 - - 19850 - - 15566 - - 7099 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 93 - - 74 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 230 - - 530 - - 2010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 87.9 - - 79.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 20.4 - - 37.0 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.7 - - 85.5 - - 78.5 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 20.3 - - 37.0 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 313 - - 133 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 15518 - - 17917 - - 7814 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 73 - - 0 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97952 15 174 18 199 10 264 7 303 97952 90468 7 211 12 192 8 254 8 274 90468 84749 4 225 10 194 10 245 3 280 84749 80033 4 242 8 166 11 203 2 042 80033 75971 3 168 6 206 8 182 7 194 75971 72406 6 131 2 210 3 163 9 188 72406 69203 14 229 9 271 6 305 5 044 69203 66252 18 246 16 250 15 262 14 301 66252 63517 16 263 18 253 19 261 21 283 63517 60884 19 267 20 258 24 260 28 275 60884 58146 25 266 21 262 24 265 30 265 58146 55311 29 264 27 269 30 273 29 265 55311 52612 33 264 31 270 30 268 26 255 52612 50179 32 266 34 271 28 267 23 258 50179 47989 34 270 37 271 32 276 35 275 47989 45998 41 268 43 270 47 272 45 272 45998 44165 47 264 47 266 51 266 42 275 44165 42466 50 263 47 269 48 275 45 282 42466 40885 51 262 50 271 55 277 50 282 40885 39412 49 260 46 267 58 267 50 279 39412 38035 46 261 40 264 46 265 44 279 38035 36716 42 263 35 268 38 275 40 281 36716 35393 36 259 35 269 34 278 38 278 35393 34047 31 258 37 267 36 280 37 278 34047 32684 30 265 38 263 39 275 37 284 32684 31283 29 267 35 261 38 274 34 287 31283 29832 27 264 32 265 38 276 33 289 29832 28332 25 260 31 270 34 280 33 286 28332 26784 22 255 25 272 29 283 31 276 26784 25190 19 260 12 284 26 280 26 265 25190 23552 16 274 8*300 21 273 22 267 23552 21862 13*291 8*297 18 260 20 274 21862 20116 8*286 8 291 16 246 19 276 20116 18347 4 268 9 285 13 239 19 275 18347 16642 7 278 9 283 9 240 17 271 16642 15085 10 277 9 283 5 261 15 266 15085 13690 11 275 9 285 4*309 12 265 13690 12437 12 269 9 288 8*343 9 273 12437 11307 13 265 9 292 12 355 6 301 11307 10290 13 260 8 297 15 000 6 353 10290 9375 13 256 8 302 18 002 11 027 9375 8557 13 254 8 305 19 003 19 045 8557 7826 13 251 8 309 20 003 27 053 7826 7164 13 249 8 311 21 004 30 056 7164 6572 12 247 8 314 21 004 30 056 6572 6071 12 246 8 315 21 004 29 056 6071 5683 12 244 8 316 21 004 28 056 5683 5414 12 244 8 316 20 004 26 056 5414 5249 11 243 7 317 19 004 23*056 5249 5155 10 243 7 317 16 004 17*056 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography