DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 62.1 - - 68.8 - - 65.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 260 - - 278 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2422 - - 4966 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6303 - - 8256 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7271 - - 9815 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 53 - - 1238 - - 1683 - - 6754 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 359 - - 466 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 18 - - 43 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 285 - - 308 - - 097 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5517 - - -7584 - - -6148 - - -10185 - - -9377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10670 - - 14856 - - 15963 - - 15340 - - 14532 sfcLCL ODpotential -16130 - - -13748 - - -10760 - - -15526 - - -18168 ODpotential blCL 21283 - - 21019 - - 20575 - - 20680 - - 23322 blCL maxRH 45 - - 53 - - 56 - - 64 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 62.1 - - 68.8 - - 65.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.0 - - 15.3 - - 16.6 - - 16.5 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 60.2 - - 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.9 - - 15.2 - - 16.5 - - 16.4 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 260 - - 278 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2422 - - 4966 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96523 19 228 11 247 24 238 18 262 15 264 96523 89311 10 271 10 250 12 254 13 284 6 308 89311 83764 7 294 9 266 8 289 7 300 9 347 83764 79171 7 289 8 286 7 308 2 292 6 330 79171 75234 8 322 4 296 3 326 3 322 4 326 75234 71769 8 356 3 017 4 086 2 333 2 226 71769 68644 1 016 4 017 5 063 1 024 4 160 68644 65791 3 115 2 321 2 027 3 072 2 212 65791 63173 2 161 4 237 5 269 1 345 3 310 63173 60638 5 193 9 249 12 264 7 295 10 296 60638 57982 10 246 12 229 18 248 16 252 21 251 57982 55226 17 267 13 262 16 240 17 234 27 242 55226 52580 28 267 18 251 15 230 22 225 28 234 52580 50172 26 284 14 257 18 246 23 229 27 234 50172 47990 37 278 31 259 28 247 29 244 32 238 47990 45994 47 261 38 253 33 243 36 238 38 232 45994 44155 47 252 39 247 37 240 38 233 40 226 44155 42445 41 251 38 244 39 238 39 232 43 229 42445 40851 35 254 35 243 38 240 41 235 52 236 40851 39368 30 259 27 245 36 241 45 243 63 243 39368 37992 24 269 22 246 30 241 43 246 67 245 37992 36684 20 276 18 245 26 235 33 243 57 247 36684 35373 18 278 14 242 25 220 29 239 38 240 35373 34028 17 277 14 237 26 213 31 225 32 229 34028 32651 15 271 15 231 26 213 36 215 35 230 32651 31232 15 250 18 224 27 217 37 214 36 231 31232 29764 18 243 22 230 26 221 32 217 35 228 29764 28250 20 261 19 243 20 223 26 218 31 223 28250 26686 23 274 17 252 18 226 24 221 29 222 26686 25075 24 277 16 253 19 232 22 228 27 225 25075 23419 23 273 16 253 18 235 20 233 23 230 23419 21717 22 266 15 251 16 235 19 233 18 232 21717 19964 20 260 15 250 15 238 17 230 15 227 19964 18193 18 257 13 247 14 242 15 233 13 223 18193 16495 16 261 13 243 14 247 14 241 12 232 16495 14949 15 272 14 249 15 256 14 251 11 247 14949 13567 15 283 15 258 16 266 14 267 11 261 13567 12327 15 290 15 273 15 278 10 286 11 279 12327 11211 14 293 13 292 10 297 3 315 9 296 11211 10208 15 299 12 306 5*320 1 317 3 303 10208 9309 13 305 10 316 4*323 0 139 1 191 9309 8506 12 308 7 322 3 324 1 131 3 137 8506 7786 11 310 5*319 2 318 2 114 5 133 7786 7132 9 313 4*306 2 308 3 104 8 132 7132 6547 7 320 4 292 2 296 4 097 9 123 6547 6054 5 328 4 285 1 278 4 096 10 105 6054 5672 4 337 3 276 1 267 4 095 11 089 5672 5407 4 339 3 270 1 260 4 095 10 078 5407 5246 5*337 3 271 1 256 4 095 6*064 5246 5154 3*340 3 268 1 256 3*097 4*055 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography