DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 54.8 - - 61.7 - - 53.9 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 263 - - 198 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1760 - - 3681 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5824 - - 7129 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 6609 - - 8530 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 748 - - 1627 - - 4403 - - 123 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 324 - - 377 - - 6 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 13 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 248 - - 290 - - 254 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -9 - - -2 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2485 - - -5356 - - -7046 - - -9710 - - -7888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7638 - - 11966 - - 15577 - - 14864 - - 13042 sfcLCL ODpotential -13193 - - -12536 - - -12998 - - -17307 - - -16891 ODpotential blCL 18345 - - 19145 - - 21528 - - 22461 - - 22044 blCL maxRH 48 - - 33 - - 26 - - 26 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 54.8 - - 61.7 - - 53.9 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 20.8 - - 11.5 - - 7.5 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.4 - - 52.9 - - 60.0 - - 58.6 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 20.7 - - 11.4 - - 7.4 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 263 - - 198 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1760 - - 3681 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96275 27 266 30 280 29 255 24 288 31 254 96275 89066 32 275 21 280 21 290 28 250 22 300 89066 83478 21 270 19 277 22 303 25 258 26 300 83478 78846 18 280 20 269 24 269 28 294 28 306 78846 74906 27 293 22 270 22 260 27 301 23 303 74906 71455 38 297 30 284 25 284 27 289 17 295 71455 68345 42 291 39 286 36 302 31 284 22 310 68345 65495 38 279 40 286 43 291 35 301 27 286 65495 62870 32 276 38 286 41 275 41 294 29 286 62870 60327 30 285 38 279 39 270 42 275 43 295 60327 57647 37 275 41 267 44 272 45 273 49 279 57647 54867 44 270 45 263 46 272 46 270 53 265 54867 52236 48 270 49 268 48 274 50 267 58 262 52236 49871 56 270 54 272 53 273 53 267 60 265 49871 47732 60 270 59 271 58 272 57 268 62 266 47732 45772 62 271 62 270 64 270 61 267 65 267 45772 43962 63 272 62 271 67 268 66 267 69 268 43962 42282 67 272 63 273 66 267 70 266 74 267 42282 40713 71 268 67 273 68 270 70 266 74 266 40713 39239 69 266 71 271 71 272 69 268 73 266 39239 37856 66 270 68 269 71 273 67 270 69 268 37856 36536 61 271 61 269 67 270 66 272 67 273 36536 35215 54 273 54 269 61 266 63 269 67 273 35215 33867 45 282 49 277 57 268 60 268 65 270 33867 32491 42 297 48 288 53 275 57 273 60 272 32491 31076 44 305 48 292 51 280 55 279 58 276 31076 29611 45 306 46 291 52 281 54 279 56 277 29611 28098 43 305 44 291 51 282 53 281 54 282 28098 26538 39 304 40 291 47 285 50 284 48 283 26538 24936 35 306 35 294 41 286 44 285 43 281 24936 23295 32 307 30 292 36 283 38 286 39 280 23295 21609 30 309 26 288 31 277 35 287 34 284 21609 19871 26 315 20 293 24 277 31 287 30 290 19871 18109 21 320 16 303 19 281 26 283 27 293 18109 16414 16 320 14 301 18 287 22 285 25 295 16414 14869 12 310 13 290 18 292 20 295 23 301 14869 13488 11 299 13 292 17 301 19 306 21 310 13488 12253 11 296 13 299 16 310 18 314 18 318 12253 11146 10 290 12 308 13 323 15 321 16 321 11146 10153 9 284 10 315 10 338 8 332 12 325 10153 9263 8 278 8 319 8*338 4 017 7 324 9263 8468 8 270 8 314 7*325 3 030 2 312 8468 7757 9 260 9 294 6 305 2 033 2 261 7757 7111 9 253 11*270 5 292 1 017 3 255 7111 6533 11 248 11*253 5 284 1 346 4 268 6533 6045 11 233 10 248 5 277 1 319 4 273 6045 5667 12 218 10 247 5 273 2 298 4 277 5667 5404 10 215 10 246 5 269 2 280 4 281 5404 5245 7 229 9 245 5 268 2*264 3 289 5245 5153 4*235 8 245 5 268 2*254 1*291 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography