DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 62.6 - - 65.4 - - 57.1 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 293 - - 240 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3693 - - 4105 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 7299 - - 7533 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 8542 - - 8954 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 214 - - 1707 - - 1712 - - 4807 - - 104 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 430 - - 417 - - 8 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 295 - - 292 - - 311 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -7 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3059 - - -4047 - - -5180 - - -6899 - - -4632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8212 - - 12590 - - 14134 - - 12054 - - 9786 sfcLCL ODpotential -11244 - - -9461 - - -9858 - - -13133 - - -12650 ODpotential blCL 16397 - - 18003 - - 18812 - - 18287 - - 17804 blCL maxRH 52 - - 34 - - 30 - - 33 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 62.6 - - 65.4 - - 57.1 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 25.4 - - 21.3 - - 22.6 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 60.5 - - 63.5 - - 60.3 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 25.3 - - 21.2 - - 22.6 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 293 - - 240 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3693 - - 4105 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96517 38 258 50 271 40 264 49 262 49 265 96517 89363 32 272 36 264 32 267 32 264 33 278 89363 83859 26 261 28 265 31 255 34 264 29 286 83859 79273 18 264 27 248 22 264 29 262 22 280 79273 75318 16 284 17 227 18 292 19 278 14 292 75318 71818 15 278 15 254 26 283 22 289 24 305 71818 68663 10 265 19 262 27 261 23 272 28 278 68663 65782 14 270 15 270 21 239 22 245 26 248 65782 63102 23 258 20 279 21 256 26 262 27 252 63102 60482 36 255 37 268 37 266 40 272 36 266 60482 57744 45 250 53 259 48 263 48 268 45 263 57744 54910 49 249 54 252 46 261 50 261 50 261 54910 52211 47 253 48 250 47 261 49 257 54 259 52211 49781 47 258 49 255 52 257 51 254 58 255 49781 47592 53 261 56 257 57 257 53 259 60 256 47592 45600 61 259 63 257 62 259 55 261 57 258 45600 43780 67 254 65 255 63 259 57 260 56 263 43780 42101 68 251 66 252 66 259 61 263 57 265 42101 40541 65 256 67 253 70 257 64 262 58 265 40541 39086 68 261 70 258 71 258 63 262 58 264 39086 37729 72 264 74 261 71 262 64 266 61 265 37729 36437 73 265 74 262 73 263 66 267 65 265 36437 35141 71 264 72 262 74 263 67 266 66 263 35141 33810 66 264 66 262 72 264 66 265 65 263 33810 32448 60 265 59 263 69 265 64 265 61 265 32448 31044 52 265 52 264 62 265 59 267 52 268 31044 29591 48 261 48 264 55 265 53 270 39 277 29591 28092 47 260 46 264 49 263 45 272 30 286 28092 26547 45 261 44 265 43 265 40 274 22 295 26547 24957 41 265 41 267 38 270 36 277 16 313 24957 23322 36 270 37 270 34 276 30 281 19 315 23322 21636 32 274 32 275 31 282 25 288 21 306 21636 19894 28 276 28 280 26 287 21 294 21 302 19894 18129 25 279 25 285 20 294 18 298 18 301 18129 16433 24 283 24 290 17 304 15 302 15 303 16433 14888 23 284 23 294 15 312 13 305 14 310 14888 13506 23 285 21 295 15 315 12 307 14 315 13506 12270 23 287 19 293 15 316 10 311 12 311 12270 11162 21 291 16 295 13 314 5 329 10 303 11162 10169 18 295 13 302 11 310 4 019 5 278 10169 9278 15 300 11*305 11*303 5 022 1 211 9278 8484 13 308 10*304 11*299 6 006 4 021 8484 7770 12 315 10 301 11 296 6 352 6 022 7770 7122 11 320 10 297 12 294 7 342 7 027 7122 6542 12 322 10 293 12 291 8 336 7 035 6542 6051 14 320 10 290 12 290 8 331 7 039 6051 5671 16 317 10 288 11 288 8 327 6 037 5671 5407 14 314 10 286 11 287 7 323 5 029 5407 5246 10*309 9 286 11 287 6*317 3*017 5246 5154 4*297 8 285 10 287 4*311 2*011 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography