DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 62.4 - - 67.7 - - 62.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 375 - - 287 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1501 - - 3619 - - 5390 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7328 - - 8603 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 6350 - - 8468 - - 10239 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1048 - - 887 - - 874 - - 4886 - - 1202 Hgt.Variab. W* 206 - - 464 - - 485 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 7 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 022 - - 307 - - 049 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 3 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2742 - - -2259 - - -2196 - - -5592 - - -2878 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9092 - - 10728 - - 12436 - - 10747 - - 8032 sfcLCL ODpotential -13078 - - -11958 - - -10783 - - -14704 - - -13635 ODpotential blCL 19428 - - 20426 - - 21022 - - 19858 - - 18789 blCL maxRH 54 - - 53 - - 67 - - 43 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 62.4 - - 67.7 - - 62.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 33.4 - - 31.0 - - 33.8 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 59.8 - - 65.5 - - 63.4 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 33.3 - - 30.9 - - 33.8 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 375 - - 287 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1501 - - 3619 - - 5390 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 53 258 49 276 47 264 42 258 51 266 97226 89933 40 260 39 273 36 276 31 275 33 265 89933 84330 18 275 23 251 23 266 25 278 23 292 84330 79699 4 008 14 236 15 259 16 281 18 316 79699 75723 10 052 7 160 5 249 7 294 11 336 75723 72218 14 054 14 087 5 109 3 331 3 015 72218 69056 12 021 12 062 7 099 3 139 1 264 69056 66157 9 348 7 041 7 070 5 104 5 132 66157 63462 4 317 5 278 1 347 3 265 3 055 63462 60852 5 288 7 270 10 250 12 242 11 273 60852 58148 13 315 17 317 15 289 15 289 19 264 58148 55391 30 300 35 303 34 308 31 310 26 293 55391 52790 40 275 40 296 41 307 41 302 42 300 52790 50448 45 303 48 300 56 305 53 299 55 291 50448 48349 59 310 59 305 68 305 61 299 63 288 48349 46429 62 317 69 313 73 311 65 306 64 296 46429 44650 70 325 76 318 77 315 71 312 68 305 44650 42988 80 326 79 320 77 316 75 315 73 304 42988 41425 84 323 81 320 77 317 75 313 76 301 41425 39951 83 321 81 321 76 316 74 311 75 301 39951 38562 82 322 80 322 74 314 74 312 72 301 38562 37231 78 324 78 322 71 314 74 313 67 299 37231 35893 74 325 75 322 67 313 71 313 64 295 35893 34521 70 327 70 322 67 310 67 311 62 293 34521 33115 62 325 65 320 65 308 65 310 60 292 33115 31664 53 316 59 321 59 308 61 309 60 292 31664 30158 49 310 50 315 49 305 51 305 57 296 30158 28602 49 311 45 306 44 296 45 296 48 293 28602 26999 51 314 44 304 44 289 45 287 43 284 26999 25350 52 312 45 304 44 291 44 284 42 282 25350 23660 51 308 43 304 42 296 40 292 39 288 23660 21922 49 306 43 307 41 300 37 305 36 297 21922 20130 44 308 40 308 41 302 34 311 32 304 20130 18316 37 308 37 302 39 303 36 311 29 308 18316 16574 33 304 34 298 36 304 35 311 29 312 16574 14995 32 299 31 298 34 309 33 313 28 315 14995 13590 31 299 29 301 33 313 31 318 27 316 13590 12334 28 299 26 307 29 311 30 316 26 318 12334 11209 25 299 24 310 16*298 19 297 23 315 11209 10200 21 302 22 309 9*290 10 266 18 299 10200 9299 19 306 14 314 8 289 8 269 12 255 9299 8496 16 321 7*349 5 295 5 281 8 234 8496 7777 15 357 7*008 2 312 3 343 3 213 7777 7126 20 018 7 016 2 337 5 029 5 087 7126 6543 20*022 7 021 1 016 8 041 11 068 6543 6052 19*023 7 026 2 040 9 045 14 061 6052 5672 16 025 7 028 2 052 10 046 13 059 5672 5407 14 027 7 030 2 053 10 047 11 057 5407 5246 12 028 7 031 2 057 9*048 8*057 5246 5154 10 029 6 032 2 058 7*049 4*058 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography