DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.8 - - 77.0 - - 79.5 - - 75.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 405 - - 423 - - 61 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5435 - - 6785 - - 3100 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 8782 - - 9879 - - 5845 - - - Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 10284 - - 11634 - - 7949 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 269 - - 2800 - - 2419 - - 3406 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 545 - - 595 - - 241 - - - W* B/S 5 - - 17 - - 14 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction 246 - - 013 - - 031 - - 050 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 11 - - -9 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9266 - - -6427 - - -5313 - - -8236 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14421 - - 16712 - - 16947 - - 16186 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -19078 - - -13097 - - -11455 - - -14320 - - - ODpotential blCL 24232 - - 23381 - - 23089 - - 22269 - - - blCL maxRH 40 - - 58 - - 55 - - 62 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 60.8 - - 77.0 - - 79.5 - - 75.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.4 - - 21.3 - - 22.6 - - 22.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 74.3 - - 76.6 - - 74.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 21.1 - - 22.4 - - 22.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 405 - - 423 - - 61 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5435 - - 6785 - - 3100 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96932 31 291 33 268 32 267 35 267 96932 89640 34 264 33 271 27 283 23 280 89640 84098 27 268 21 272 18 277 21 277 84098 79483 6 288 5 119 6 234 10 295 79483 75506 6 044 11 094 7 118 5 304 75506 72004 15 049 14 059 12 081 5 036 72004 68852 17 038 12 059 11 078 8 053 68852 65980 14 020 14 047 12 070 12 048 65980 63337 9 022 13 017 13 029 16 025 63337 60788 7 028 11 039 7 350 12 340 60788 58107 20 017 21 025 15 006 14 002 58107 55313 30 355 30 003 23 009 22 006 55313 52667 31 350 28 354 29 003 24 008 52667 50290 27 353 18 348 24 349 20 012 50290 48145 21 010 17 013 18 005 21 027 48145 46188 28 024 29 030 27 032 35 027 46188 44407 43 024 48 024 42 028 39 028 44407 42776 53 017 52 022 40 028 31 029 42776 41255 56 015 47 031 36 034 30 047 41255 39820 51 011 44 036 38 038 27 042 39820 38463 46 014 45 039 37 039 23 031 38463 37156 48 019 47 040 35 039 24 027 37156 35838 52 029 48 037 32 035 25 021 35838 34480 53 035 46 030 31 026 22 007 34480 33087 53 039 43 025 31 012 22 354 33087 31648 52 043 40 023 31 006 26 358 31648 30156 50 046 38 023 30 002 29 005 30156 28613 47 048 34 026 28 358 27 005 28613 27021 43 046 33 034 27 356 25 002 27021 25382 35 048 26 039 26 355 25 357 25382 23701 29 041 21 029 21 001 27 356 23701 21971 26 034 23 018 22 004 31 002 21971 20187 27 023 26 025 27 010 34 013 20187 18384 29 013 27 032 19 030 29 023 18384 16656 26 007 24 028 17 035 20 031 16656 15088 23 005 18 025 15 024 15 028 15088 13691 20 010 13 028 9 001 13 015 13691 12440 15 011 8 022 6*345 10 002 12440 11314 11 009 5*009 6*348 9 357 11314 10300 8 002 5*008 6 355 7 003 10300 9389 9 002 6 009 6 005 8 023 9389 8573 10 012 6 010 7 027 9*033 8573 7842 12 021 6 012 9 039 12*046 7842 7178 13 022 6 013 9 042 13 049 7178 6582 12 016 6 015 10 044 13 050 6582 6078 10 356 6 017 10 046 14 051 6078 5688 10 321 6 019 11 047 13 051 5688 5416 8 294 6 019 10 048 13 052 5416 5250 5*259 5 019 10 048 13 052 5250 5155 3*246 5 020 9 049 11 052 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography