DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 70.8 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 180 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1371 - - 2416 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5475 - - 6210 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6220 - - 7265 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2009 - - 2006 - - - - - 2738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 330 - - - - - 48 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 062 - - - - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1065 - - 1659 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5155 - - 5606 - - - - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 37 - - 161 - - - - - -1251 ODpotential blCL - - - 6183 - - 7104 - - - - - 6406 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 92 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1160 - - 1080 - - - - - 1430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 70.8 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.7 - - 63.2 - - - - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 69.3 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 62.2 - - - - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 180 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1371 - - 2416 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 69 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98403 12 095 18 095 13 065 98403 90948 14 084 12 094 17 034 90948 85243 15 095 21 093 13 056 85243 80537 16 093 19 090 13 065 80537 76480 14 072 11 082 14 080 76480 72884 11 060 12 065 16 067 72884 69632 9 072 10 074 17 046 69632 66680 7 093 7 058 11 064 66680 63983 6 111 6 004 9 067 63983 61384 6 108 5 354 10 007 61384 58693 1 093 3 292 9 302 58693 55932 9 239 11 272 16 302 55932 53317 15 259 17 266 25 288 53317 50967 17 275 16 259 29 275 50967 48849 26 291 23 284 34 275 48849 46910 40 280 41 274 41 267 46910 45116 45 251 49 265 42 255 45116 43439 45 235 49 256 42 244 43439 41859 40 238 47 242 43 238 41859 40366 36 246 45 230 43 239 40366 38959 35 244 42 227 47 245 38959 37606 35 240 40 233 48 246 37606 36246 33 241 35 240 38 246 36246 34848 29 244 28 239 37 248 34848 33418 24 244 25 236 36 247 33418 31944 21 233 24 238 25 241 31944 30416 19 212 22 247 17 242 30416 28836 12 234 19 256 15 247 28836 27210 10 266 17 266 19 281 27210 25541 7 251 14 278 22 292 25541 23835 7 233 10 288 18 298 23835 22089 6 249 8 306 15 308 22089 20294 5 307 11 312 14 329 20294 18481 4 004 7 334 13 344 18481 16744 8 049 6 058 11 003 16744 15165 8 063 6 068 16 020 15165 13756 5 056 4 016 23 022 13756 12493 3 039 6 004 23 024 12493 11356 2 050 6 021 19 029 11356 10332 2 055 6 035 14 025 10332 9412 3 054 7 046 9 025 9412 8590 5 061 8 054 5 052 8590 7854 7 066 9*055 4 106 7854 7187 8 066 9*058 5 133 7187 6589 8*065 9 060 5 132 6589 6083 9*064 9 063 5 127 6083 5690 9 063 9 064 5 119 5690 5418 9 064 9 064 5 114 5418 5251 8 064 9 065 4*114 5251 5155 7 064 8 066 3*112 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography