DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 70.8 - - 74.3 - - 69.4 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 272 - - 254 - - -17 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 693 - - 2178 - - 3243 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 6146 - - 6909 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5542 - - 7027 - - 8092 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 616 - - 889 - - 1262 - - 2559 - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* 136 - - 355 - - 394 - - 22 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 205 - - 196 - - 185 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -11 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 388 - - 166 - - 168 - - -1559 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5155 - - 6861 - - 7925 - - 6714 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -110 - - -3108 - - -2780 - - -5909 - - -4772 ODpotential blCL 5652 - - 10135 - - 10872 - - 11064 - - 9927 blCL maxRH 97 - - 83 - - 79 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 580 - - 850 - - 770 - - 1700 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 70.8 - - 74.3 - - 69.4 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.9 - - 58.1 - - 56.9 - - 57.3 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 68.8 - - 72.3 - - 70.0 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.6 - - 57.6 - - 56.7 - - 57.3 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 272 - - 254 - - -17 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 693 - - 2178 - - 3243 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 34 - - 17 - - 3 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97309 59 274 64 279 58 270 64 267 54 267 97309 90069 37 278 36 282 35 274 33 279 30 284 90069 84493 19 293 16 270 17 287 23 322 16 311 84493 79882 7 338 4 304 8 308 12 329 16 333 79882 75917 9 015 8 021 6 030 5 033 12 347 75917 72417 10 356 6 029 4 003 6 002 10 357 72417 69248 2 009 10 053 3 041 8 037 11 014 69248 66318 5 321 6 336 6 352 7 038 6 003 66318 63587 10 290 7 222 6 345 9 002 0 115 63587 60958 24 256 13 257 17 283 16 302 8 261 60958 58260 24 264 30 255 30 268 23 286 9 300 58260 55502 34 281 36 276 33 273 32 286 27 294 55502 52894 44 280 47 279 46 278 53 278 48 286 52894 50568 59 276 57 273 58 275 66 274 57 281 50568 48486 65 275 56 267 66 269 69 272 58 280 48486 46575 63 276 52 263 62 261 67 269 61 278 46575 44798 61 272 51 264 60 260 63 265 61 274 44798 43135 60 269 52 267 59 263 60 263 59 269 43135 41575 56 269 54 270 58 265 58 262 57 265 41575 40106 50 270 55 269 57 262 56 260 54 262 40106 38723 45 270 51 265 58 257 53 259 51 258 38723 37396 42 272 48 262 57 257 52 256 48 254 37396 36057 40 274 48 262 56 260 52 253 46 251 36057 34681 41 274 48 263 54 261 52 253 45 249 34681 33273 43 273 47 262 51 257 51 256 44 248 33273 31824 44 273 45 261 47 251 50 256 43 248 31824 30324 44 271 40 257 42 246 49 253 43 249 30324 28776 42 267 37 252 40 242 47 248 44 249 28776 27179 39 266 33 250 38 240 45 244 45 248 27179 25537 36 265 30 248 37 237 44 243 44 246 25537 23849 32 263 29 245 36 236 43 245 43 245 23849 22111 28 260 29 243 36 236 41 246 43 246 22111 20319 25 260 27 244 36 238 39 244 42 247 20319 18505 22 264 25 247 35 240 37 240 40 245 18505 16767 20 269 22 249 31 241 35 239 38 241 16767 15187 18 272 19 246 26 237 32 240 36 239 15187 13778 16 271 15 236 21 231 30 240 35 244 13778 12517 16 264 14 228 18 229 27 238 34 253 12517 11381 16 258 13 229 17 231 25 237 33 262 11381 10357 15 252 14 232 20 227 25 235 31 264 10357 9435 16 243 17 229 22 221 25 228 31 259 9435 8609 18 232 20 224 19*210 24 218 30 243 8609 7868 22 224 21 219 18*199 23 210 30 225 7868 7195 22 217 18*211 18 197 21 197 30 213 7195 6592 20 208 15*205 18 196 21 188 31 199 6592 6083 19 200 15 204 18 195 20 186 30 188 6083 5689 16*199 14 205 17 195 19 185 25 184 5689 5417 14*200 14 205 16 195 17 185 18 186 5417 5250 12 201 13 205 15 194 15*185 14*188 5250 5155 10 201 11 205 13 195 10*185 7*193 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography