DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 66.3 - - 64.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 428 - - 62 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2979 - - 4512 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6877 - - 8069 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7828 - - 9361 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 743 - - 1448 - - 4983 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 457 - - 521 - - 111 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 196 - - 214 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5591 - - -5626 - - -9108 - - -5840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13420 - - 14988 - - 14263 - - 10994 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12638 - - -11591 - - -15205 - - -14443 ODpotential blCL - - - 20466 - - 20952 - - 20359 - - 19597 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 31 - - 28 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 66.3 - - 64.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 18.6 - - 20.6 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 63.6 - - 64.0 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 18.5 - - 20.6 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 428 - - 62 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2979 - - 4512 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96566 38 276 34 294 34 276 39 283 96566 89285 28 265 26 260 30 286 30 297 89285 83759 23 278 25 255 27 286 23 288 83759 79191 20 291 27 262 29 281 22 281 79191 75254 22 287 26 287 30 275 24 285 75254 71774 24 277 26 301 29 285 27 300 71774 68629 28 283 25 295 30 286 35 296 68629 65757 35 289 27 301 29 292 37 290 65757 63110 36 287 32 301 31 294 36 288 63110 60552 36 288 35 296 34 300 29 291 60552 57874 38 293 41 297 34 303 25 301 57874 55074 41 291 44 298 35 305 30 306 55074 52385 45 285 47 293 40 303 36 307 52385 49955 47 283 48 290 45 297 44 306 49955 47772 42 282 47 290 44 293 46 304 47772 45792 37 287 43 290 39 295 44 301 45792 43984 36 290 37 293 37 294 40 296 43984 42322 34 292 33 296 32 290 33 293 42322 40785 33 296 32 298 28 293 28 299 40785 39352 33 297 33 296 27 298 24 303 39352 38008 34 294 36 294 29 302 21 306 38008 36718 34 292 38 292 31 300 19 311 36718 35420 36 290 38 289 34 294 21 312 35420 34088 36 291 37 287 35 290 23 307 34088 32724 36 296 35 287 33 291 22 303 32724 31315 32 297 33 288 30 293 21 301 31315 29853 28 295 31 291 27 297 19 300 29853 28338 28 295 30 291 27 300 19 302 28338 26773 31 296 31 290 29 300 20 306 26773 25160 33 297 29 292 27 299 22 307 25160 23504 29 298 26 293 25 301 22 309 23504 21798 23 300 24 291 24 303 23 310 21798 20037 19 295 22 287 25 299 24 309 20037 18252 17 296 19 287 24 293 24 307 18252 16538 16 292 18 294 21 293 21 306 16538 14979 12 283 17 297 18 300 17 307 14979 13588 9 268 15 293 17 308 14 313 13588 12342 1 196 11 285 15 308 13 318 12342 11223 7 083 2 255 10 309 13 313 11223 10217 6 093 4*199 6 295 13 294 10217 9314 4 130 5*196 6 256 14 271 9314 8508 6*163 6 195 7 236 15 256 8508 7788 7*168 7 195 8 225 15 247 7788 7134 8 169 7 196 8 219 15 239 7134 6550 8 170 8 197 9 217 15 230 6550 6056 8 171 8 197 9 216 16 224 6056 5674 8 171 8 198 9 215 16 219 5674 5408 7 171 8 198 9 214 15 216 5408 5246 7 171 8 198 8 214 10*214 5246 5154 7 171 7 197 7*214 6*211 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography