DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 72.4 - - 65.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 154 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3691 - - 5027 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7120 - - 8001 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8540 - - 9876 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3201 - - 2254 - - 5170 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 385 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 54 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 063 - - 213 - - 208 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3082 - - -2575 - - -6137 - - -4408 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11622 - - 12452 - - 11292 - - 9562 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7736 - - -6619 - - -11236 - - -11570 ODpotential blCL - - - 16276 - - 16495 - - 16391 - - 16724 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 92 - - 73 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 72.4 - - 65.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 71.0 - - 68.9 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 35.6 - - 34.5 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 154 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3691 - - 5027 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 69 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96130 57 267 51 257 58 257 53 258 96130 89002 33 275 31 261 35 257 32 259 89002 83517 23 275 23 270 28 268 25 276 83517 78976 21 266 23 283 25 288 22 301 78976 75080 20 276 22 300 21 312 16 310 75080 71655 25 277 24 308 25 327 18 328 71655 68555 19 277 26 287 29 320 22 322 68555 65713 17 283 20 275 21 285 19 274 65713 63104 19 266 18 267 15 265 16 249 63104 60588 26 251 25 254 19 254 22 244 60588 57954 39 247 36 245 35 244 37 251 57954 55206 46 241 47 235 47 237 48 243 55206 52568 48 242 46 236 51 234 51 236 52568 50179 56 245 55 244 58 237 57 235 50179 48023 62 241 64 244 60 241 61 238 48023 46060 61 239 61 243 59 241 62 242 46060 44261 56 240 55 239 53 243 54 246 44261 42602 49 244 46 241 48 245 44 253 42602 41056 44 246 42 244 38 245 44 257 41056 39606 40 248 42 245 32 244 44 255 39606 38245 35 250 42 249 32 245 38 256 38245 36939 33 247 38 247 34 248 32 258 36939 35623 31 249 32 241 33 249 30 258 35623 34270 26 249 28 240 29 252 28 256 34270 32884 23 246 25 237 29 257 27 257 32884 31451 18 240 22 235 24 247 26 250 31451 29963 19 244 23 240 21 239 22 230 29963 28425 19 244 22 231 20 227 22 223 28425 26844 16 240 18 223 23 211 25 212 26844 25224 14 227 15 217 23 203 26 209 25224 23562 14 213 16 213 21 205 25 210 23562 21852 16 207 18 218 19 213 23 218 21852 20088 17 211 19 224 18 226 20 229 20088 18304 16 223 18 229 17 240 17 245 18304 16592 14 238 16 234 16 250 15 258 16592 15033 14 254 14 247 15 258 13 265 15033 13642 13 265 13 260 13 266 12 263 13642 12394 11 271 11 265 11 272 11 252 12394 11273 8 267 8 252 8 265 10 239 11273 10264 6 258 6*222 7 245 10 225 10264 9357 3*260 6*217 7 233 10 217 9357 8547 1*293 6 215 7 228 10 212 8547 7819 1 030 6 213 8 223 9 210 7819 7159 1 050 6 212 8 220 9 208 7159 6567 2 067 6 212 8 216 9 205 6567 6068 2 077 6 212 9 214 10 201 6068 5680 2 085 6 211 9 212 11 198 5680 5412 2 088 6 211 8 210 11 198 5412 5248 2 093 6 211 7*210 7*203 5248 5154 2 091 5 212 5*208 4*204 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography