DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 44.7 - - 41.1 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 254 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1239 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5247 - - 5441 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5803 - - 6088 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 359 - - 375 - - 826 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 284 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 086 - - 085 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -333 - - -1030 - - -1210 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6137 - - 7119 - - 6363 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10420 - - -9930 - - -11968 - - -12450 ODpotential blCL - - - 16223 - - 16018 - - 17121 - - 17603 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 80 - - 73 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 44.7 - - 41.1 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 31.6 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 31.6 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 254 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1239 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 21 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96378 49 269 54 256 62 261 58 267 96378 89229 37 277 37 259 43 273 30 281 89229 83784 26 280 22 291 21 281 21 303 83784 79254 19 278 18 316 8 303 16 339 79254 75331 9 294 15 331 8 356 13 004 75331 71863 8 002 15 352 15 016 14 035 71863 68733 9 016 12 012 18 019 16 027 68733 65863 11 006 10 014 14 009 19 023 65863 63207 13 339 14 006 13 349 16 350 63207 60646 15 323 17 338 14 341 15 321 60646 57979 21 315 18 319 16 317 17 317 57979 55198 23 297 22 305 20 306 22 307 55198 52536 30 292 29 297 28 297 27 298 52536 50134 38 288 34 288 33 296 32 300 50134 47971 42 284 45 292 54 294 53 294 47971 46009 56 285 64 285 64 284 60 285 46009 44213 67 283 69 283 68 284 64 286 44213 42552 73 281 72 284 71 286 74 289 42552 41002 70 281 72 286 72 287 83 289 41002 39549 60 279 65 286 65 287 81 287 39549 38183 51 273 55 283 57 286 67 284 38183 36877 51 270 51 276 49 287 55 287 36877 35566 51 275 51 272 44 284 49 289 35566 34222 50 280 47 277 45 281 47 287 34222 32843 46 284 40 289 46 284 48 287 32843 31418 39 290 30 284 41 295 45 291 31418 29937 26 300 25 276 30 293 41 299 29937 28405 23 288 29 279 27 280 32 303 28405 26822 26 278 30 284 26 283 22 294 26822 25194 24 285 28 287 25 289 18 288 25194 23521 18 291 24 291 22 293 16 291 23521 21797 12 298 16 291 15 290 13 299 21797 20017 9 292 11 286 9 291 7 298 20017 18215 7 238 9 260 5 286 3 321 18215 16487 8 198 8 226 3 254 1 050 16487 14921 7 191 7 195 3 164 5 144 14921 13529 7 206 5 185 5 145 7 152 13529 12285 7 220 4 201 4 148 6 160 12285 11168 8 224 5 215 4 171 5 174 11168 10164 8 222 5 214 4 198 4 196 10164 9263 9 220 7 208 5 226 4 220 9263 8458 10 208 13 199 8 228 6 220 8458 7738 13 179 15 191 10 213 8 205 7738 7089 14 152 12 182 10 201 9 192 7089 6510 12 122 8*141 7 172 10 186 6510 6025 11*076 8*090 6 114 11 151 6025 5652 11*069 8 086 9 091 12 124 5652 5396 11 069 8 084 9 088 8 105 5396 5241 11 068 8 084 8*086 5*079 5241 5153 10 068 7 083 6*085 3*055 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography