DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 80.4 - - 65.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 487 - - 31 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7914 - - 9816 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10738 - - 12415 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12763 - - 14665 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2604 - - 2754 - - 3203 - - 1424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 604 - - 707 - - 102 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 221 - - 130 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -73 - - 137 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1273 - - 1866 - - -150 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14036 - - 12800 - - 5306 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3111 - - 172 - - -1630 - - -2090 ODpotential blCL - - - 15874 - - 14493 - - 6785 - - 7245 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 90 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 670 - - 2310 - - 2090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 80.4 - - 65.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 41.7 - - 59.7 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 77.2 - - 65.5 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 41.6 - - 58.5 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 487 - - 31 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7914 - - 9816 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 59 - - 96 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98004 3 110 3 192 6 304 10 013 98004 90624 15 070 8 095 6 339 9 070 90624 84966 17 081 11 095 6 070 12 065 84966 80247 11 097 14 084 15 105 8 117 80247 76179 6 118 16 078 19 081 11 104 76179 72593 7 092 8 104 8 070 4 037 72593 69355 7 163 7 184 6 123 1 122 69355 66366 7 145 7 150 15 203 4 099 66366 63587 19 231 12 232 11 252 8 255 63587 60923 28 210 23 213 15 251 15 233 60923 58171 24 185 23 203 21 218 11 193 58171 55286 16 225 19 241 18 245 11 247 55286 52499 35 251 41 256 43 254 38 248 52499 50002 54 241 49 244 49 249 50 243 50002 47784 60 225 49 233 49 246 52 242 47784 45791 57 214 47 223 49 234 50 241 45791 43983 55 208 46 214 46 220 46 237 43983 42327 54 205 46 210 43 213 40 228 42327 40795 53 207 47 209 40 211 36 216 40795 39366 54 215 51 213 39 211 32 211 39366 38024 55 224 53 217 40 211 29 212 38024 36732 54 230 54 219 41 213 28 213 36732 35427 51 232 53 215 40 218 28 213 35427 34084 48 229 52 210 37 228 29 214 34084 32709 46 223 51 208 34 232 30 215 32709 31291 47 219 50 211 33 234 28 221 31291 29823 48 217 48 216 34 234 27 230 29823 28305 45 219 48 221 35 233 29 235 28305 26739 42 222 48 227 39 237 36 235 26739 25127 40 223 44 230 43 239 43 235 25127 23475 38 223 41 233 43 240 45 238 23475 21777 38 225 46 236 38 243 44 242 21777 20026 39 229 46 241 31 252 40 244 20026 18252 39 237 42 247 29 260 36 243 18252 16549 33 243 28 257 28 265 27 240 16549 14999 27 235 23*258 27 267 16 244 14999 13615 23*216 21*255 24 266 12 266 13615 12375 19*201 18 247 19 259 14 286 12375 11261 15 194 16 238 14 243 16 293 11261 10257 12 198 15 227 12 220 17 296 10257 9355 11 204 13 217 11 193 17 296 9355 8546 10 214 12 206 12 167 15 290 8546 7820 9 227 11 195 14 149 12 268 7820 7160 8 240 10 187 14 145 12 235 7160 6568 8 244 9 181 13 145 13 222 6568 6068 8 247 9 174 13 137 13 218 6068 5681 8 248 8 169 13 134 13 213 5681 5413 8 249 8 167 13 132 12 211 5413 5249 7 249 8 166 12*131 11*209 5249 5155 7 250 7 163 10*130 9*208 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography