DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 66.5 - - 60.5 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 254 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2597 - - 4426 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6452 - - 7803 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7446 - - 9275 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1281 - - 1579 - - 4949 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 375 - - 436 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 308 - - 331 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1966 - - -786 - - -4093 - - -2160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9413 - - 10061 - - 9248 - - 7315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4865 - - -3126 - - -7612 - - -7658 ODpotential blCL - - - 12311 - - 12401 - - 12766 - - 12812 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 81 - - 73 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 66.5 - - 60.5 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 40.1 - - 38.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 64.5 - - 62.1 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 40.1 - - 38.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 254 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2597 - - 4426 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96354 44 249 42 250 52 264 44 281 96354 89207 33 264 36 264 36 275 33 293 89207 83674 24 289 28 283 23 290 26 286 83674 79114 18 301 18 291 16 311 15 296 79114 75202 15 302 15 297 17 296 12 351 75202 71745 5 287 14 308 12 318 12 334 71745 68613 7 298 12 307 16 336 9 348 68613 65739 15 297 9 263 16 287 19 291 65739 63110 12 271 9 248 16 221 19 240 63110 60589 20 259 19 288 15 259 17 274 60589 57941 42 255 33 286 23 281 26 291 57941 55141 61 247 49 259 39 254 39 270 55141 52414 72 240 63 242 55 249 54 254 52414 49948 83 245 82 244 82 247 77 246 49948 47767 92 247 97 243 96 241 92 245 47767 45818 79 245 84 239 81 239 92 245 45818 44047 63 250 64 245 74 249 76 244 44047 42413 64 261 61 260 75 256 75 259 42413 40882 65 266 66 268 76 260 81 266 40882 39443 66 264 73 271 77 261 79 267 39443 38089 63 258 74 268 76 261 79 266 38089 36785 62 256 72 264 71 259 80 265 36785 35471 63 251 68 260 67 256 72 264 35471 34117 66 245 64 257 67 256 65 259 34117 32727 66 245 62 254 67 257 63 253 32727 31289 60 246 62 251 64 259 62 253 31289 29796 56 245 63 252 62 259 57 255 29796 28256 56 247 63 257 59 259 53 256 28256 26670 53 249 59 260 55 258 51 256 26670 25042 48 248 53 258 51 254 51 255 25042 23377 46 249 51 256 48 252 48 253 23377 21670 45 252 48 256 45 252 44 254 21670 19917 41 254 42 256 40 253 38 257 19917 18150 36 250 36 252 35 252 32 262 18150 16456 34 245 33 248 31 252 28 266 16456 14914 31 243 30 245 27 254 25 269 14914 13536 27 246 26 246 23 264 24 275 13536 12301 24 253 22 257 21 281 23 285 12301 11191 23 263 20 275 17 294 21 293 11191 10192 23 274 17 288 12 305 16 299 10192 9297 25 281 13*305 6 331 7 299 9297 8497 25 286 12*308 6 349 1 226 8497 7780 23*288 12 309 7 347 3 066 7780 7129 20*288 12 309 7 344 7 052 7129 6546 18 286 12 308 8 341 10 053 6546 6054 18 285 12 308 8 338 12 056 6054 5672 17 284 12 307 8 336 11 058 5672 5408 16 284 11 307 8 334 9 061 5408 5246 15 283 11 307 7 333 6*064 5246 5154 13 283 10 307 5*331 4*066 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography