DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 62.4 - - 63.2 - - 62.9 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 33 - - 50 - - 23 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 306 - - 306 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1499 - - 1630 - - 1856 - - 1802 - - 1436 Hgt.Variab. W* 84 - - 94 - - 107 - - 83 - - 56 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 093 - - 106 - - 104 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -60 - - -187 - - -201 - - -134 ODpotential blCL 5154 - - 5215 - - 5342 - - 5356 - - 5289 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 340 - - 420 - - 330 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 62.4 - - 63.2 - - 62.9 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.0 - - 61.8 - - 62.0 - - 62.0 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 61.7 - - 62.4 - - 62.4 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.9 - - 61.4 - - 61.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 33 - - 50 - - 23 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 306 - - 306 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98520 45 100 38 101 33 099 34 102 32 086 98520 91077 40 097 38 098 41 103 33 096 42 089 91077 85328 35 090 39 089 38 097 35 101 42 087 85328 80582 34 092 36 087 36 095 34 095 36 091 80582 76517 31 086 29 096 32 095 29 086 35 093 76517 72935 30 092 24 113 25 094 26 087 27 082 72935 69713 32 098 23 113 18 097 23 082 20 084 69713 66778 27 088 24 112 19 110 21 094 18 083 66778 64083 21 083 23 098 21 100 22 087 14 093 64083 61476 18 077 21 092 18 089 18 071 17 101 61476 58762 21 052 17 086 15 085 14 075 15 076 58762 55971 21 033 20 048 16 052 15 066 15 060 55971 53335 17 355 15 016 17 037 11 037 11 027 53335 50968 9 340 12 348 13 014 10 009 8 356 50968 48829 7 325 9 324 11 337 10 337 9 343 48829 46866 5 295 6 305 10 307 12 295 12 312 46866 45053 4 305 5 293 10 284 15 279 13 297 45053 43368 10 297 8 280 13 275 14 270 13 288 43368 41789 15 280 12 266 15 260 20 261 21 268 41789 40301 17 274 13 255 23 246 28 248 29 251 40301 38901 15 257 14 251 28 242 29 239 35 241 38901 37557 10 219 17 243 24 236 29 240 35 234 37557 36204 11 197 18 229 17 234 28 243 32 232 36204 34812 11 188 19 219 14 235 26 243 29 235 34812 33387 11 186 22 213 17 208 20 234 25 232 33387 31916 11 186 22 209 21 201 16 211 24 218 31916 30393 11 172 18 215 23 202 18 201 22 211 30393 28820 10 160 16 211 20 209 20 203 22 214 28820 27199 11 150 14 183 17 198 18 203 21 205 27199 25532 11 153 14 173 14 196 15 202 18 199 25532 23823 9 168 14 178 13 191 15 187 14 196 23823 22069 8 166 15 186 13 189 15 182 12 192 22069 20265 6 175 15 188 13 193 14 188 10 191 20265 18445 5 168 13 179 12 184 10 187 9 183 18445 16703 6 157 12 164 13 166 11 171 9 171 16703 15121 8 117 11 139 12 154 12 151 11 154 15121 13709 13 106 12 127 12 145 11 136 12 143 13709 12445 15 108 13 117 12 138 10 133 11 134 12445 11311 16 107 14 111 12 142 9 146 9 128 11311 10291 19 104 14 111 11 147 10 150 9 127 10291 9377 20 101 15 114 12 141 10 143 11 123 9377 8560 20 097 16 115 14 131 12 127 16 119 8560 7829 19 092 17 114 15 124 14 117 18 117 7829 7166 19 089 16 111 15 121 15 114 17 116 7166 6572 18 087 15 107 14 118 14 112 16 114 6572 6070 17 082 14 101 13 114 14 110 15 111 6070 5682 16 079 13 097 12 110 13 108 13 106 5682 5413 14 077 11 095 11 109 12 106 11 102 5413 5249 12 076 10*094 10*108 10*105 9*100 5249 5155 10*075 8*093 8*106 8*104 7*099 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography