DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 62.5 - - 53.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 121 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2138 - - 3895 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5634 - - 7065 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6987 - - 8744 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2317 - - 5202 - - 2294 - - 1559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 334 - - 27 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 28 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 231 - - 294 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1094 - - 404 - - 0 - - -1210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5894 - - 8341 - - 5154 - - 6364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1025 - - -1435 - - -2392 - - -6716 ODpotential blCL - - - 8012 - - 10179 - - 7546 - - 11870 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 90 - - 79 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 180 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 62.5 - - 53.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 43.5 - - 48.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 61.7 - - 53.8 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 42.8 - - 48.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 121 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2138 - - 3895 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 61 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96604 50 277 46 277 32 276 39 273 96604 89449 37 275 32 272 31 282 24 282 89449 83955 21 280 19 277 29 269 20 299 83955 79399 10 280 11 292 17 260 19 295 79399 75461 7 323 10 289 8 255 13 281 75461 71976 9 282 2 300 3 185 5 254 71976 68825 7 297 8 337 2 086 4 132 68825 65939 5 321 7 354 1 219 3 355 65939 63287 9 324 9 356 7 095 13 237 63287 60749 9 330 13 352 9 002 9 246 60749 58088 30 261 30 274 24 299 12 265 58088 55310 36 260 41 259 37 261 24 261 55310 52662 40 273 40 267 37 255 30 252 52662 50265 43 270 43 271 35 265 38 241 50265 48091 49 260 51 256 43 264 40 247 48091 46095 57 244 63 245 51 257 46 257 46095 44254 57 237 69 244 57 254 56 258 44254 42544 55 239 70 244 62 248 65 250 42544 40944 60 241 67 242 55 240 57 239 40944 39434 66 240 58 238 42 233 49 242 39434 38013 67 236 46 235 37 248 53 258 38013 36665 66 233 38 241 62 267 64 262 36665 35330 64 235 43 257 74 258 69 256 35330 33973 64 240 58 262 65 249 67 249 33973 32587 68 242 69 254 47 250 61 248 32587 31158 71 236 72 241 46 268 59 250 31158 29674 75 228 58 242 53 270 59 253 29674 28140 78 221 53 258 56 268 59 256 28140 26558 81 220 56 264 56 266 58 257 26558 24933 83 218 58 265 55 265 56 257 24933 23273 85 216 61 268 55 265 51 256 23273 21573 84 216 63 270 55 267 46 255 21573 19822 79 219 58 260 55 269 42 252 19822 18050 75 224 54 241 53 265 41 248 18050 16349 67 230 54 235 52 253 41 245 16349 14807 59 232 54 237 49 236 42 244 14807 13436 54 230 53 238 44 225 42 241 13436 12215 52 228 51 238 40 224 40 233 12215 11119 50 229 46 238 36 229 39 225 11119 10133 46 233 42 236 32 235 36 224 10133 9246 42 236 38*234 29 242 31 228 9246 8453 37 235 34*232 26 254 25 240 8453 7744 31 232 31 230 25 267 22 258 7744 7100 26*228 30 230 25 280 21 276 7100 6525 23*223 28 231 24 290 21 293 6525 6041 20 220 27 231 22 294 20 304 6041 5665 19 219 26 231 19 295 17 307 5665 5404 18 219 24 231 15 295 11 308 5404 5245 16 218 22 231 13*294 7*308 5245 5154 13 218 17 231 8*294 3*296 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography