DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 89.7 - - 85.7 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 493 - - 397 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8987 - - 11313 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11740 - - 13528 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13836 - - 16162 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 902 - - 1426 - - 12180 - - 773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 689 - - 691 - - 90 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 76 - - 26 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 115 - - 114 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 20 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1671 - - 2537 - - -7428 - - -706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12165 - - 13626 - - 12585 - - 5861 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 181 - - 1393 - - -8904 - - -4422 ODpotential blCL - - - 13655 - - 14769 - - 14060 - - 9577 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 81 - - 100 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 450 - - 350 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 89.7 - - 85.7 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 47.3 - - 48.2 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 86.8 - - 85.8 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 47.2 - - 47.5 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 493 - - 397 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8987 - - 11313 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 98 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 34 091 30 113 21 100 30 082 98769 91291 32 099 24 100 31 096 30 084 91291 85550 29 098 23 094 30 091 32 083 85550 80831 27 101 29 093 26 087 29 085 80831 76795 25 100 31 092 22 091 26 085 76795 73236 24 106 28 099 20 094 20 087 73236 70016 22 110 23 110 16 098 15 087 70016 67060 18 111 16 124 13 101 11 089 67060 64319 14 100 13 128 10 101 9 100 64319 61661 6 123 9 109 8 090 10 106 61661 58911 10 140 7 121 5 116 8 088 58911 56108 12 136 7 127 4 160 2 045 56108 53464 15 086 10 083 3 066 2 038 53464 51087 18 026 16 030 15 038 12 056 51087 48945 22 013 17 013 17 023 17 023 48945 46984 23 017 17 016 16 010 20 002 46984 45168 25 027 18 026 17 004 23 352 45168 43472 29 031 21 032 17 014 24 354 43472 41877 30 035 24 035 18 027 25 001 41877 40373 26 044 23 044 18 031 25 001 40373 38953 24 057 20 054 17 046 21 005 38953 37588 23 067 18 072 16 061 12 035 37588 36218 24 075 16 099 14 092 11 099 36218 34819 22 080 17 105 16 112 15 125 34819 33395 19 093 16 101 15 117 17 129 33395 31932 18 105 14 101 15 120 16 128 31932 30417 18 122 12 118 15 124 15 127 30417 28854 20 138 14 136 13 122 14 122 28854 27244 21 148 13 144 12 117 15 119 27244 25590 21 148 13 149 11 116 16 119 25590 23897 22 144 14 157 8 124 14 116 23897 22157 21 140 14 156 5 143 11 112 22157 20366 19 131 13 142 1 086 3 052 20366 18554 17 122 10 132 3 335 5 007 18554 16816 11 115 1*112 3 346 10 340 16816 15239 9*081 1*119 2 010 13 330 15239 13832 8*054 2 116 3 086 10 323 13832 12567 7 052 2 115 7 103 4 270 12567 11426 3 060 3 118 9 109 7 195 11426 10397 2 065 4 117 10 109 11 174 10397 9471 1 110 6 117 11 111 15 157 9471 8640 1 172 6 115 12 112 21 143 8640 7895 2 185 7 114 12 113 26 138 7895 7218 2 192 8 114 12 113 28 136 7218 6610 2 197 8 113 12 113 26 135 6610 6096 3 197 8 113 12 114 22 134 6096 5697 3 200 8 112 11 114 17 129 5697 5421 3 198 8 113 11 114 11 116 5421 5252 3 199 8 113 10*114 7 098 5252 5155 3 198 7 113 8*114 4*084 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography