DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 69.6 - - 74.7 - - 74.7 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 197 - - 541 - - 474 - - 107 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1500 - - 6012 - - 7971 - - 7232 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5546 - - 9353 - - 10891 - - 9391 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6349 - - 10861 - - 12820 - - 12081 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1464 - - 2299 - - 2350 - - 2528 - - 5189 Hgt.Variab. W* 279 - - 621 - - 653 - - 386 - - 14 W* B/S 6 - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 197 - - 238 - - 235 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 7 - - -9 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -723 - - -23 - - 503 - - -213 - - -5333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7072 - - 10885 - - 12317 - - 12294 - - 10488 sfcLCL ODpotential -2978 - - -630 - - -393 - - -2028 - - -7597 ODpotential blCL 9327 - - 11491 - - 13213 - - 14109 - - 12752 blCL maxRH 84 - - 87 - - 77 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 70 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 69.6 - - 74.7 - - 74.7 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 39.6 - - 38.3 - - 38.5 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 66.3 - - 71.7 - - 73.7 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 39.4 - - 38.2 - - 38.4 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 197 - - 541 - - 474 - - 107 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1500 - - 6012 - - 7971 - - 7232 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 50 - - 8 - - 53 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98059 16 220 6 202 4 186 13 310 11 015 98059 90584 8 280 8 262 5 244 9 268 13 302 90584 84805 15 294 12 277 13 259 9 258 18 280 84805 80041 21 284 16 274 19 269 13 280 13 284 80041 75962 16 252 20 273 18 273 14 289 19 287 75962 72380 10 236 17 279 14 289 20 301 11 314 72380 69133 12 271 18 279 24 283 23 291 22 307 69133 66166 11 291 20 264 24 269 26 287 33 288 66166 63458 20 298 11 292 18 259 29 277 29 265 63458 60836 30 291 24 303 26 289 33 286 24 276 60836 58087 50 282 53 285 49 282 44 289 37 288 58087 55239 54 273 58 276 58 279 58 286 58 287 55239 52529 57 282 68 283 68 284 66 282 69 285 52529 50093 69 282 77 283 77 285 71 283 75 284 50093 47908 76 286 79 285 83 288 79 288 81 283 47908 45940 88 291 88 291 90 290 87 289 87 285 45940 44159 105 293 91 292 97 290 96 288 92 288 44159 42519 110 294 86 293 100 292 100 286 93 289 42519 40984 100 294 85 296 98 296 98 287 94 289 40984 39538 91 296 86 298 94 297 93 289 95 289 39538 38175 93 301 85 299 85 296 88 289 96 290 38175 36864 97 302 82 297 81 296 87 288 94 289 36864 35544 94 300 78 292 80 296 85 286 92 289 35544 34185 88 294 77 289 77 293 83 285 90 289 34185 32794 87 293 79 288 76 289 83 284 88 290 32794 31360 83 294 80 288 80 286 81 286 84 291 31360 29874 76 299 80 290 81 287 77 286 80 290 29874 28339 70 300 74 290 76 286 72 283 79 290 28339 26757 56 296 65 288 69 280 70 278 74 290 26757 25134 44 289 57 284 61 272 66 276 69 289 25134 23474 38 290 48 283 53 273 53 274 62 283 23474 21771 37 291 42 285 44 283 42 275 45 269 21771 20018 38 290 41 286 41 289 36 278 42 264 20018 18246 39 289 40 285 39 291 30 284 35 266 18246 16549 37 290 36 288 33 291 27 283 29 283 16549 15008 30 293 27 292 22 290 24 279 23 286 15008 13631 24 297 17 297 14*277 17 270 19 275 13631 12397 18 300 10 284 13*274 13*250 19 261 12397 11285 13 297 7*250 11 263 12*246 19 251 11285 10280 8 288 7*215 10 241 12 243 18 244 10280 9376 3 252 7 203 10 235 12 239 16 237 9376 8566 2 179 7 198 10 230 12 236 14 228 8566 7837 3 161 7 195 10 227 12 233 14 221 7837 7175 6 184 7 193 10 225 12 231 14 214 7175 6580 10*193 7 192 10 222 12 230 15 208 6580 6077 9*195 7 191 10 221 12 228 15 205 6077 5686 9 196 7 190 10 220 12 227 15 204 5686 5415 9 197 7 190 10 220 11 227 14 205 5415 5250 8 197 7 190 10 220 11 226 11*206 5250 5155 7 198 6 190 9 219 10 226 7*206 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography