DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.6 - - 57.8 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 303 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 3821 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6078 - - 7407 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6904 - - 8670 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1170 - - 934 - - 4161 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 439 - - 12 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 24 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 250 - - 225 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6311 - - -8847 - - -12353 - - -8373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13216 - - 17517 - - 17508 - - 13527 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15656 - - -16685 - - -20474 - - -18538 ODpotential blCL - - - 22560 - - 25355 - - 25628 - - 23691 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 54 - - 60 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.6 - - 57.8 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.2 - - 1.0 - - -0.5 - - 5.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 57.5 - - 58.4 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.1 - - 0.9 - - -0.8 - - 5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 303 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 3821 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96361 31 248 22 243 28 246 28 275 96361 89153 15 240 21 268 25 261 20 296 89153 83617 6 259 15 258 14 269 18 296 83617 79044 9 296 9 256 7 328 10 299 79044 75119 8 306 8 310 11 360 5 012 75119 71649 6 015 9 342 9 358 7 040 71649 68514 10 046 4 340 4 337 6 033 68514 65660 13 026 3 068 2 078 2 015 65660 63032 11 352 5 356 7 024 1 323 63032 60480 16 303 10 325 9 329 6 315 60480 57813 22 287 16 309 16 281 17 283 57813 55041 32 270 27 289 23 280 31 274 55041 52378 34 272 34 285 29 284 35 263 52378 49962 34 278 34 281 29 278 34 263 49962 47781 35 273 32 279 28 280 35 264 47781 45798 36 275 33 272 33 276 39 270 45798 43984 31 276 28 276 34 269 40 280 43984 42313 28 280 29 281 29 272 37 283 42313 40763 32 289 35 290 28 296 32 284 40763 39317 32 294 51 281 42 281 35 285 39317 37964 31 290 55 276 46 273 39 279 37964 36668 31 279 51 276 43 278 39 278 36668 35363 29 271 41 278 33 282 36 285 35363 34022 17 252 30 287 25 277 24 293 34022 32649 10 217 26 290 19 278 9 287 32649 31232 8 138 16 272 17 292 10 260 31232 29763 12 091 16 206 16 273 15 255 29763 28245 8 107 19 196 15 230 8 246 28245 26680 6 180 13 213 9 209 12 213 26680 25069 5 246 5 267 3 185 11 196 25069 23414 10 317 5 324 3 211 7 186 23414 21710 12 322 5 290 8 237 11 219 21710 19950 9 332 7 267 14 241 17 239 19950 18169 8 352 8 269 17 252 18 252 18169 16457 10 007 9 277 16 268 16 266 16457 14902 11 008 9 290 14 289 12 290 14902 13515 10 001 9 312 10 310 8 307 13515 12275 8 353 10 339 10 347 5 320 12275 11162 5 354 11 003 12 015 3 013 11162 10161 3 018 8 019 8 015 4 058 10161 9265 2 079 2*343 5 003 2 027 9265 8467 3 094 2*289 4 347 4 014 8467 7754 2 124 3 266 2 289 5 001 7754 7108 4*231 3 254 3 250 5 310 7108 6531 6*233 4 246 4 238 5 286 6531 6044 7 234 4 242 5 234 5 261 6044 5666 7 235 4 238 5 230 5 244 5666 5404 7 235 4 237 5 228 4 246 5404 5245 6 235 4 236 5*227 2 278 5245 5153 6 235 4 236 4*225 1*318 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography