DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 60.4 - - 68.7 - - 67.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 112 - - 445 - - 423 - - 46 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2231 - - 5186 - - 4031 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6310 - - 8599 - - 6096 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5425 - - 7080 - - 10035 - - 8880 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 296 - - 975 - - 977 - - 1745 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 418 - - 544 - - 239 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 234 - - 238 - - 243 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -9 - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7273 - - -8389 - - -6414 - - -7481 - - -8276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12698 - - 15470 - - 16450 - - 16362 - - 13430 sfcLCL ODpotential -19098 - - -16648 - - -13383 - - -14699 - - -18301 ODpotential blCL 24523 - - 23728 - - 23418 - - 23579 - - 23455 blCL maxRH 62 - - 50 - - 61 - - 71 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 60.4 - - 68.7 - - 67.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.5 - - 11.0 - - 14.4 - - 14.2 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 57.7 - - 65.9 - - 67.1 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.5 - - 10.9 - - 14.3 - - 14.1 - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 112 - - 445 - - 423 - - 46 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2231 - - 5186 - - 4031 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97108 37 267 39 277 37 271 41 278 41 270 97108 89772 25 272 37 259 41 265 40 278 36 282 89772 84160 29 284 25 276 25 264 39 269 33 291 84160 79499 30 282 15 293 13 264 11 235 22 285 79499 75495 11 315 5 310 1 230 5 209 5 343 75495 71998 13 032 9 049 10 047 10 046 12 045 71998 68863 9 054 11 044 12 019 18 005 15 033 68863 65982 14 036 13 042 8 036 13 358 10 014 65982 63301 22 027 19 028 13 058 14 025 13 015 63301 60700 31 008 28 011 24 023 20 020 19 008 60700 58011 33 001 31 000 27 001 22 009 20 017 58011 55231 38 353 34 351 31 355 25 357 15 011 55231 52556 37 342 34 357 33 006 30 011 19 008 52556 50135 38 009 45 015 49 013 40 015 32 357 50135 47961 64 019 64 017 62 015 52 010 44 003 47961 45995 90 013 77 020 73 014 61 008 52 006 45995 44204 101 013 88 020 75 013 68 009 57 006 44204 42553 96 015 92 019 78 013 71 009 58 008 42553 41016 84 020 92 019 79 014 71 010 57 012 41016 39574 88 033 89 021 74 014 66 010 54 012 39574 38215 90 039 87 020 66 013 53 002 49 011 38215 36910 86 038 84 020 61 015 48 358 46 007 36910 35595 76 033 69 028 59 015 45 357 45 005 35595 34245 65 028 63 037 56 012 41 357 44 004 34245 32862 64 027 57 040 51 009 38 354 43 003 32862 31436 58 019 49 038 43 009 34 352 39 359 31436 29955 52 009 44 027 37 010 30 352 33 353 29955 28424 50 008 41 013 36 013 29 349 30 345 28424 26843 48 019 40 006 33 013 27 344 28 339 26843 25215 46 027 39 005 27 004 23 334 27 331 25215 23544 39 017 36 006 21 351 17 321 26 319 23544 21826 36 012 31 002 21 330 17 308 25 309 21826 20054 33 016 23 349 23 317 24 310 27 306 20054 18262 28 007 16 339 22 313 26 315 28 305 18262 16545 23 349 13 341 19 312 24 318 28 306 16545 14985 19 329 14 331 17 311 22 320 25 310 14985 13592 14 303 15 309 17 309 20 318 21 314 13592 12347 11 288 16 295 17 310 18 315 18 316 12347 11227 8 280 12 287 13 299 15 305 19 306 11227 10220 6 267 8 277 10*259 11 276 23 289 10220 9318 6 258 6 260 10*252 11*260 24 278 9318 8512 6 260 8 240 10 247 11*254 23 273 8512 7791 7 249 10 238 10 241 11 247 19 268 7791 7137 10 241 12*236 10 238 11 243 16 254 7137 6551 14 236 12*235 10 235 11 241 15 235 6551 6057 17 223 12 235 10 231 11 239 16 221 6057 5674 17*218 12 234 10 230 11 238 17 211 5674 5408 14*219 11 234 10 229 10 237 15 208 5408 5246 12 220 10 234 9 228 10 237 10*207 5246 5154 10 220 9 234 9 228 8 236 5*204 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography