DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 66.6 - - 70.2 - - 62.6 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 329 - - 255 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3033 - - 4909 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6837 - - 8177 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7882 - - 9758 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 692 - - 1689 - - 2130 - - 5465 - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 419 - - 452 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 263 - - 252 - - 283 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -14 - - -10 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1621 - - -2528 - - -2576 - - -5524 - - -4176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6776 - - 10410 - - 12335 - - 10678 - - 9331 sfcLCL ODpotential -6842 - - -6498 - - -6129 - - -10156 - - -9948 ODpotential blCL 11996 - - 14380 - - 15887 - - 15310 - - 15102 blCL maxRH 66 - - 50 - - 45 - - 53 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 66.6 - - 70.2 - - 62.6 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 38.7 - - 33.8 - - 34.0 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 64.4 - - 68.3 - - 65.2 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 38.7 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 329 - - 255 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3033 - - 4909 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96826 60 260 61 266 60 263 61 272 59 261 96826 89610 48 262 44 264 48 263 49 264 45 268 89610 84037 31 264 34 267 28 261 36 255 39 270 84037 79392 21 265 24 263 18 277 19 264 26 260 79392 75385 17 279 16 253 15 281 13 279 16 241 75385 71862 7 283 6 250 10 256 9 266 10 240 71862 68684 8 290 5 002 4 164 10 242 11 254 68684 65782 19 253 23 246 14 252 12 240 10 258 65782 63136 18 236 29 226 15 251 10 263 13 232 63136 60612 21 246 26 249 21 262 17 267 10 167 60612 57941 21 253 30 243 30 255 21 266 13 234 57941 55113 33 246 38 236 43 243 42 256 41 258 55113 52405 47 242 46 239 56 241 60 247 58 250 52405 49982 60 244 58 245 66 244 69 247 64 250 49982 47825 68 248 67 247 71 244 75 249 72 252 47825 45879 70 248 71 246 72 246 78 248 76 251 45879 44097 67 249 67 251 72 256 78 252 77 252 44097 42447 64 255 65 258 81 264 79 257 78 255 42447 40905 65 258 66 261 90 264 81 260 80 257 40905 39454 65 257 68 261 87 262 81 261 81 259 39454 38085 63 254 67 258 80 264 78 264 80 260 38085 36769 59 253 65 257 74 267 75 265 77 259 36769 35445 54 254 61 258 66 266 70 262 74 256 35445 34087 49 257 56 258 59 263 61 261 70 255 34087 32704 46 261 50 257 53 261 54 261 64 257 32704 31281 45 262 44 256 47 262 46 261 54 260 31281 29808 42 262 41 257 42 262 39 263 47 264 29808 28285 38 263 37 257 38 262 34 268 40 267 28285 26711 34 265 32 258 34 262 33 270 33 263 26711 25091 33 265 28 261 31 263 32 268 28 258 25091 23428 33 261 26 263 29 265 30 264 25 252 23428 21721 34 257 28 262 29 265 29 260 23 248 21721 19963 34 255 31 260 32 259 31 257 26 257 19963 18188 34 252 32 257 35 253 34 253 33 265 18188 16489 36 248 32 252 35 249 35 251 37 267 16489 14948 37 244 33 247 35 246 34 252 38 259 14948 13575 36 239 34 244 34 244 32 250 34 250 13575 12347 34 235 33 240 31 242 26 244 26 241 12347 11240 30 231 30 239 26 242 20 235 20 229 11240 10242 27 230 27 243 19*244 16 234 16 220 10242 9343 25 239 26 251 17*248 15 238 14 216 9343 8536 25 253 23*259 16 249 13 248 11 214 8536 7813 27 265 20*263 16 251 12 257 9 218 7813 7155 27 273 19 263 16 253 12 265 6 233 7155 6565 24 279 18 263 15 254 12 272 5 260 6565 6067 21 285 18 263 15 255 12 277 5 286 6067 5680 17 286 17 263 14 256 11 281 4 300 5680 5412 12 277 16 263 14 256 10 283 3 305 5412 5248 7*259 15 263 13 256 8 283 1 316 5248 5154 4*240 13 263 12 256 5*283 0*351 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography