DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 63.6 - - 68.4 - - 58.9 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 249 - - 218 - - -24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1798 - - 3718 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5837 - - 7201 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6647 - - 8567 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 950 - - 4767 - - 2705 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 321 - - 391 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 266 - - 289 - - 286 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -4 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1696 - - -3058 - - -3279 - - -5499 - - -4243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6850 - - 9706 - - 11847 - - 10654 - - 9397 sfcLCL ODpotential -7896 - - -5805 - - -5022 - - -9811 - - -11739 ODpotential blCL 13049 - - 12452 - - 13589 - - 14965 - - 16893 blCL maxRH 77 - - 79 - - 75 - - 34 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 63.6 - - 68.4 - - 58.9 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 38.9 - - 34.2 - - 30.4 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 61.6 - - 66.7 - - 61.0 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 38.8 - - 34.1 - - 30.4 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 249 - - 218 - - -24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1798 - - 3718 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96265 11 286 10 288 14 234 22 278 19 292 96265 89204 13 067 14 069 15 098 10 102 13 107 89204 83791 16 087 12 084 18 083 16 097 17 078 83791 79296 16 091 15 094 16 082 19 094 19 061 79296 75395 19 075 18 100 16 086 20 096 17 077 75395 71921 17 071 17 110 13 082 16 084 13 099 71921 68769 12 066 13 110 9 098 9 064 11 072 68769 65886 5 069 8 051 10 065 7 072 7 075 65886 63247 6 051 10 001 14 009 14 012 11 015 63247 60728 10 031 11 358 15 358 18 356 16 007 60728 58103 15 016 17 000 18 359 19 353 22 356 58103 55356 17 351 22 355 22 005 21 351 24 345 55356 52693 22 349 23 347 26 359 23 345 28 344 52693 50258 27 323 20 334 28 344 25 342 31 348 50258 48047 26 311 20 333 26 335 24 347 29 351 48047 46019 26 311 24 323 25 336 24 352 26 355 46019 44143 28 294 24 297 26 335 28 350 26 358 44143 42397 34 270 25 281 27 307 33 345 32 001 42397 40768 40 262 28 277 30 287 36 337 39 359 40768 39247 46 260 29 277 28 281 36 325 39 354 39247 37830 53 259 29 275 25 281 25 307 33 333 37830 36485 59 255 33 270 26 291 16 302 32 313 36485 35144 61 249 40 262 27 295 16 321 23 307 35144 33780 61 249 46 252 27 291 23 346 13 326 33780 32402 62 252 46 250 25 285 30 348 20 002 32402 30995 61 254 44 254 23 286 29 341 28 001 30995 29544 53 257 43 258 21 289 23 338 34 006 29544 28046 41 259 39 261 21 284 21 348 37 010 28046 26497 32 257 30 262 22 276 21 356 35 005 26497 24903 26 256 26 262 21 273 21 355 32 000 24903 23268 25 260 23 262 20 282 22 352 30 003 23268 21588 25 260 21 261 19 292 22 355 29 005 21588 19853 24 263 18 262 18 293 23 338 25 355 19853 18095 23 266 15 267 14 280 20 321 22 347 18095 16408 23 265 15 271 12 278 14 309 19 329 16408 14874 23 263 17 266 13 281 11 290 14 313 14874 13506 21 263 18 262 15 274 12 280 11 312 13506 12279 16 265 17 261 15 277 13 281 11 309 12279 11175 13 269 15 262 14 286 15 288 13 306 11175 10181 11 272 14 263 14 292 17 292 16 302 10181 9288 11 272 12 265 13*294 19 294 18 299 9288 8489 11 271 12 267 13*294 18 294 21 297 8489 7774 13 269 13 270 13 292 17 295 23 294 7774 7124 15 267 14*271 14 290 17 295 23 290 7124 6542 17 266 14*269 14 289 17 295 23 289 6542 6051 19 266 14 267 14 287 16 294 22 291 6051 5671 18 265 14 265 14 286 16 293 20 292 5671 5407 16 263 13 264 13 286 13 291 14 289 5407 5246 12 259 12 264 12 286 10*288 8*280 5246 5154 7*255 10 264 11 285 6*286 4*263 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography