DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.6 - - 69.9 - - 70.0 - - 70.0 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 92 - - 74 - - 68 - - 45 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1508 - - 2212 - - 2063 - - 1630 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5560 - - 5287 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6357 - - 7061 - - 6912 - - 6479 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1580 - - 2055 - - 1816 - - 2518 - - 3104 Hgt.Variab. W* 224 - - 241 - - 228 - - 187 - - 59 W* B/S 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 098 - - 092 - - 079 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 9 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1202 - - 1632 - - 1727 - - 1324 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5155 - - 5429 - - 5186 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential 137 - - 230 - - 107 - - -14 - - -1086 ODpotential blCL 6220 - - 6831 - - 6805 - - 6493 - - 6241 blCL maxRH 96 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 530 - - 870 - - 1210 - - 1380 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m 67.6 - - 69.9 - - 70.0 - - 70.0 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.9 - - 63.2 - - 64.2 - - 64.8 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 68.9 - - 69.2 - - 69.3 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.4 - - 62.3 - - 63.5 - - 64.3 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 92 - - 74 - - 68 - - 45 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1508 - - 2212 - - 2063 - - 1630 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 102 - - 102 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98850 45 106 47 097 45 107 40 099 39 088 98850 91372 44 086 43 088 45 097 36 092 42 093 91372 85645 38 078 41 087 47 090 42 090 45 098 85645 80908 33 086 37 088 43 085 45 088 48 095 80908 76833 30 101 30 095 37 089 41 094 44 093 76833 73239 29 099 28 105 28 099 31 098 35 092 73239 69997 26 091 31 109 23 111 23 088 27 085 69997 67028 25 088 38 103 26 117 21 100 21 087 67028 64290 29 081 42 094 33 105 24 117 22 104 64290 61665 28 075 37 090 35 096 30 105 32 095 61665 58969 20 107 26 098 29 086 30 090 35 089 58969 56207 31 126 22 130 21 091 28 086 32 085 56207 53588 40 113 27 126 22 108 26 096 25 093 53588 51227 41 098 33 112 26 112 23 109 23 092 51227 49087 32 095 32 107 27 107 20 103 17 094 49087 47127 28 111 29 101 24 105 18 101 13 107 47127 45315 26 097 27 102 24 106 18 102 13 111 45315 43623 18 081 24 099 22 109 16 104 15 095 43623 42029 11 066 20 079 19 106 13 109 14 090 42029 40526 3 102 17 062 11 091 6 106 9 099 40526 39114 2 150 9 061 8 068 3 110 3 056 39114 37761 3 085 5 067 5 051 1 234 4 337 37761 36400 2 072 2 084 3 044 1 276 4 290 36400 35000 2 128 1 146 1 055 1 327 4 251 35000 33566 2 107 2 174 2 214 2 290 6 239 33566 32086 4 084 4 191 4 232 4 295 7 256 32086 30553 2 078 5 198 5 230 5 285 7 264 30553 28969 1 277 5 228 4 251 5 295 5 293 28969 27337 1 175 3 235 4 273 6 322 8 327 27337 25661 5 144 4 214 6 260 7 314 9 321 25661 23943 9 147 5 231 7 271 8 305 9 310 23943 22182 10 145 6 237 8 276 8 289 10 307 22182 20372 11 134 7 225 8 270 7 290 9 298 20372 18546 7 130 5 210 6 257 5 308 8 316 18546 16793 4 129 4 212 4 242 6 352 8 357 16793 15197 3 161 5 231 5 235 7 334 7 025 15197 13774 4 157 5 218 7 247 7 306 7 016 13774 12501 6 148 6 204 8 262 7 297 8 357 12501 11359 6 147 5 194 7 262 4 314 8 008 11359 10332 5 153 4 172 5 254 3 030 8 045 10332 9410 4 155 4 126 2 207 5 075 8 058 9410 8587 2 139 5 111 4 116 7 082 6 083 8587 7852 2 106 5 108 7 101 9 082 5 107 7852 7185 3 082 5*103 8*095 10 080 6 118 7185 6586 4*076 5*103 8*093 11*079 7 127 6586 6081 4*073 5 099 8 092 11*079 8 129 6081 5689 4 072 5 098 8 092 11 079 8 128 5689 5417 4 068 5 097 8 091 11 079 8 128 5417 5251 4 067 4 095 8 090 10 078 7*128 5251 5155 4 067 4 094 7 090 9 078 6*127 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography