DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 81.8 - - 79.1 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 423 - - 15 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8260 - - 13786 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11120 - - 15608 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13109 - - 18635 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3911 - - 1307 - - 14036 - - 10069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 658 - - 755 - - 70 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 65 - - 35 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 159 - - 274 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -744 - - 3109 - - -10571 - - -7524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13853 - - 15527 - - 15727 - - 12680 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1915 - - 2182 - - -11555 - - -9508 ODpotential blCL - - - 15024 - - 16453 - - 16710 - - 14663 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 83 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 210 - - 50 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 81.8 - - 79.1 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 31.0 - - 27.6 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 78.8 - - 78.6 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 30.9 - - 27.5 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 423 - - 15 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8260 - - 13786 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 33 - - 100 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97102 45 261 48 250 50 270 47 273 97102 89734 29 269 41 268 39 267 41 276 89734 84105 31 278 24 267 29 267 31 286 84105 79453 28 268 19 270 22 271 27 289 79453 75462 19 268 18 293 19 276 22 291 75462 71944 9 285 15 301 12 290 15 298 71944 68770 12 303 13 306 17 320 9 314 68770 65875 21 301 16 294 21 307 13 319 65875 63211 21 291 17 292 21 293 15 304 63211 60640 21 283 23 285 24 285 25 298 60640 57945 27 268 27 270 26 278 29 288 57945 55120 28 265 30 270 26 274 31 277 55120 52407 34 264 34 264 30 268 32 270 52407 49954 36 257 35 260 36 265 32 271 49954 47742 36 254 36 261 38 265 30 269 47742 45735 33 250 37 258 40 263 30 270 45735 43916 24 243 32 242 43 261 35 267 43916 42250 21 268 18 230 32 229 40 253 42250 40706 23 280 13 251 15 236 28 228 40706 39272 21 277 17 281 15 260 16 236 39272 37934 16 269 24 266 17 283 14 252 37934 36649 12 262 23 263 22 290 15 268 36649 35353 10 256 21 266 25 281 19 278 35353 34020 9 262 22 269 26 278 19 279 34020 32654 10 286 18 269 25 281 20 273 32654 31243 13 297 11 272 22 279 19 265 31243 29778 12 298 8 284 15 269 16 259 29778 28260 9 289 9 279 10 266 12 238 28260 26693 6 284 6 283 12 268 10 242 26693 25084 8 255 7 276 14 262 14 263 25084 23438 10 240 10 267 11 258 18 263 23438 21748 13 222 13 263 3 287 12 265 21748 20011 12 197 10*247 4 079 9 248 20011 18255 12 143 3*131 4 104 11 249 18255 16567 15 116 4 123 4 111 12 252 16567 15031 15 111 4 126 3 114 11 246 15031 13657 9*097 4 129 2 123 9 233 13657 12423 4*060 4 138 1 143 7 218 12423 11308 4 050 4 151 1 176 6 193 11308 10300 3 043 4 164 1 209 6 167 10300 9392 2 357 5 173 1 229 7 140 9392 8578 3 311 5 179 1 241 9 124 8578 7846 3 294 5 185 1 256 11 113 7846 7181 4 287 5 188 1 266 13 107 7181 6584 4 280 6 191 2 271 14 100 6584 6080 5 276 6 192 2 279 15 092 6080 5688 5 273 6 194 2 279 14 083 5688 5416 5 272 6 195 2 282 13 073 5416 5250 5 272 6 195 2*280 12*070 5250 5155 4 272 5 196 2*274 7*071 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography