DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 73.0 - - 71.7 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 583 - - 539 - - 162 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2516 - - 4492 - - 3212 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6589 - - 8130 - - 6689 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7365 - - 9341 - - 8061 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1040 - - 4105 - - 4243 - - 1514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 563 - - 337 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 092 - - 094 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1998 - - -221 - - -1557 - - -1130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9563 - - 9619 - - 6285 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4663 - - -1281 - - -3261 - - -6379 ODpotential blCL - - - 12028 - - 10622 - - 11322 - - 11533 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 75 - - 76 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 550 - - 470 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 73.0 - - 71.7 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 48.5 - - 47.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 69.8 - - 70.3 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 48.5 - - 47.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 583 - - 539 - - 162 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2516 - - 4492 - - 3212 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97993 5 221 8 299 14 298 17 351 97993 90586 10 207 9 262 12 312 11 345 90586 84877 7 201 9 214 7 280 4 324 84877 80135 5 319 6 233 10 274 11 293 80135 76053 7 283 6 276 11 250 17 267 76053 72463 11 251 14 290 11 269 10 281 72463 69223 12 252 15 273 15 288 16 286 69223 66264 8 212 8 260 16 236 21 279 66264 63552 6 209 7 261 15 171 5 192 63552 60919 20 275 16 293 6 273 11 077 60919 58149 45 251 47 252 38 257 38 258 58149 55330 52 240 53 246 56 254 55 251 55330 52676 58 251 59 244 60 250 50 249 52676 50264 70 245 68 237 62 244 51 247 50264 48077 77 242 74 238 64 245 57 248 48077 46076 83 243 82 241 70 244 68 247 46076 44233 89 242 90 243 77 242 80 245 44233 42527 95 242 99 243 85 240 91 242 42527 40941 98 241 104 242 95 238 98 240 40941 39460 97 239 105 241 104 238 102 238 39460 38075 91 237 101 240 106 237 105 237 38075 36749 87 235 95 238 101 236 106 236 36749 35420 85 232 91 236 95 234 103 235 35420 34058 86 231 90 234 92 232 99 234 34058 32667 85 232 89 232 91 231 97 235 32667 31234 83 232 88 231 91 230 95 236 31234 29751 82 233 85 232 89 230 90 234 29751 28223 79 235 81 232 85 229 86 234 28223 26653 72 237 77 234 81 229 80 235 26653 25048 64 240 70 238 77 233 72 238 25048 23410 57 241 64 241 72 238 58 239 23410 21735 51 242 57 241 63 241 48 235 21735 20011 46 242 51 241 51 242 43 233 20011 18262 41 243 44 242 43 241 41 235 18262 16575 37 242 35 240 36 242 37 235 16575 15033 32 242 28 234 29 241 32 233 15033 13650 26 238 24 228 24 238 27 229 13650 12407 21 222 19 220 19 229 22 226 12407 11287 16 209 15 208 15 214 16 225 11287 10276 9 200 10 191 12 194 11 227 10276 9366 7 192 7*158 9 163 5 225 9366 8551 7 174 6*131 9*129 1 195 8551 7819 7*135 7 113 10*117 5 091 7819 7156 10*087 9 092 12 099 14 091 7156 6564 11 083 10 087 13 093 20 092 6564 6066 12 082 10 083 13 089 20 092 6066 5680 12 080 11 082 13 088 18 088 5680 5412 12 080 11 080 13 087 16 084 5412 5249 11 080 11 080 12 086 13 083 5249 5154 10 080 10 079 11 085 9*082 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography