DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 63.6 - - 62.3 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 490 - - 79 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3699 - - 5989 - - 4372 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7485 - - 9298 - - 7035 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8548 - - 10838 - - 9221 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1017 - - 1685 - - 3217 - - 5515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 519 - - 600 - - 294 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 37 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 092 - - 099 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 342 - - 515 - - -546 - - -3648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8206 - - 10323 - - 9768 - - 8802 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -568 - - 12 - - -1713 - - -5682 ODpotential blCL - - - 9116 - - 10826 - - 10934 - - 10836 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 94 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 63.6 - - 62.3 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 36.2 - - 37.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 60.6 - - 61.2 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 36.0 - - 37.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 490 - - 79 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3699 - - 5989 - - 4372 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 75 - - 79 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97944 23 221 18 214 19 245 7 277 97944 90511 19 220 13 226 14 226 15 253 90511 84777 17 229 24 222 16 235 16 247 84777 80013 13 251 24 229 23 252 19 262 80013 75928 13 249 13 239 14 269 12 268 75928 72333 20 269 9 319 5 351 4 252 72333 69079 16 254 19 284 13 298 13 317 69079 66099 12 221 25 256 25 266 25 289 66099 63371 9 227 22 243 27 260 36 271 63371 60755 16 266 20 267 27 267 33 269 60755 58023 34 282 27 283 33 276 31 279 58023 55170 50 279 42 278 44 275 45 277 55170 52448 60 276 57 274 57 275 53 273 52448 49996 68 277 65 276 68 283 62 278 49996 47788 76 285 75 282 79 281 72 279 47788 45780 90 283 85 279 83 284 77 285 45780 43947 93 278 90 278 88 285 86 290 43947 42259 87 274 90 276 90 283 93 291 42259 40688 80 276 84 275 85 280 91 290 40688 39220 80 278 79 277 81 279 85 288 39220 37852 79 275 79 277 81 280 81 286 37852 36551 81 276 81 276 82 280 80 286 36551 35250 80 281 81 279 82 280 81 284 35250 33912 72 282 74 284 81 283 81 284 33912 32540 64 277 68 283 74 286 80 286 32540 31124 58 273 66 279 66 288 74 292 31124 29656 54 274 61 278 63 287 66 295 29656 28137 52 276 56 278 60 285 59 292 28137 26570 50 277 54 277 57 284 56 287 26570 24957 47 276 51 276 55 283 53 286 24957 23301 44 277 48 275 51 282 51 287 23301 21599 41 280 43 278 47 282 48 288 21599 19845 38 282 38 282 43 284 46 290 19845 18077 34 281 32 285 40 286 45 289 18077 16386 29 281 28 286 31 284 43 290 16386 14852 22 283 21 288 22 279 37 293 14852 13483 13 294 14 291 18 276 25 294 13483 12259 9 326 6 285 11 263 12 292 12259 11160 8 347 1*243 6 224 3 326 11160 10172 4 349 1*178 5 168 7 082 10172 9284 4*107 1 132 5*154 11 087 9284 8489 7*104 2 107 6*125 13 093 8489 7776 8 100 3 096 7 108 14 100 7776 7127 9 097 4 091 8 100 15 104 7127 6546 9 095 4 085 8 096 16 106 6546 6054 9 092 5 083 8 093 16 105 6054 5673 9 090 5 081 9 091 14 101 5673 5408 9 089 5 079 9 090 12 095 5408 5247 9 089 5 079 8 090 10*092 5247 5154 8 088 5 078 7 089 7*089 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography