DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.8 - - 40.7 - - 50.1 - - 46.4 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 81 - - 272 - - 203 - - -8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 822 - - 1076 - - 2188 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 5346 - - 6044 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5671 - - 5925 - - 7037 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 394 - - 348 - - 625 - - 1634 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* 170 - - 278 - - 319 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 081 - - 150 - - 130 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 5 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -358 - - -1733 - - -1011 - - -1927 - - -1069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6030 - - 7659 - - 8049 - - 7081 - - 6222 sfcLCL ODpotential -11094 - - -10477 - - -6947 - - -8803 - - -9107 ODpotential blCL 16765 - - 16402 - - 13984 - - 13956 - - 14260 blCL maxRH 89 - - 94 - - 83 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.8 - - 40.7 - - 50.1 - - 46.4 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.8 - - 25.5 - - 32.9 - - 33.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 38.8 - - 48.5 - - 46.8 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 25.6 - - 32.9 - - 33.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 81 - - 272 - - 203 - - -8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 822 - - 1076 - - 2188 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 76 - - 33 - - 57 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 13 343 15 324 7 332 5 322 5 340 96392 89206 9 038 1 100 10 312 9 321 16 355 89206 83660 16 331 2 299 7 360 8 268 6 303 83660 79063 20 306 9 286 9 320 10 273 10 307 79063 75122 14 287 9 281 7 290 11 314 12 321 75122 71637 21 271 19 286 19 290 21 298 16 321 71637 68478 21 279 22 278 22 289 20 278 19 269 68478 65581 23 270 19 276 21 300 16 292 18 270 65581 62891 28 269 31 277 33 283 27 304 23 276 62891 60280 36 268 41 262 45 260 43 280 34 278 60280 57561 41 276 43 261 50 261 52 268 50 282 57561 54756 53 274 55 266 61 266 66 262 67 267 54756 52070 62 264 64 257 69 261 71 256 66 259 52070 49649 65 262 69 266 72 267 71 258 79 266 49649 47505 78 270 83 269 83 267 81 263 99 265 47505 45583 95 269 98 267 91 264 95 261 113 258 45583 43831 117 264 112 263 110 259 105 257 112 256 43831 42208 118 263 117 263 116 258 110 256 119 254 42208 40681 118 264 115 263 116 259 112 256 123 251 40681 39233 117 265 110 263 111 260 112 256 124 251 39233 37862 113 265 105 261 106 261 109 256 123 253 37862 36541 106 265 100 261 104 263 108 256 121 256 36541 35212 96 261 100 261 99 261 108 259 111 258 35212 33848 85 258 96 261 88 256 100 262 103 258 33848 32453 73 250 90 259 95 257 91 256 103 256 32453 31015 64 250 82 255 99 260 86 252 94 255 31015 29527 60 254 69 249 80 255 84 253 74 254 29527 27993 59 259 60 247 65 249 75 252 69 250 27993 26414 53 256 54 251 56 249 56 245 64 248 26414 24799 49 256 50 250 52 251 46 248 48 246 24799 23153 46 256 49 252 51 253 43 252 32 256 23153 21469 44 258 47 262 48 257 37 264 27 281 21469 19743 41 263 42 265 43 262 31 275 21 289 19743 18002 38 266 37 264 37 262 30 272 20 271 18002 16330 36 265 35 263 33 262 30 266 23 263 16330 14807 34 264 33 259 31 264 30 265 23 270 14807 13448 31 259 31 257 31 264 29 266 23 277 13448 12229 28 251 30 256 30 265 28 269 24 275 12229 11131 27 246 29 256 28 264 27 272 26 270 11131 10142 25 243 29 252 27 261 26 272 27 264 10142 9253 21 240 27 245 25 250 24 266 27 257 9253 8457 17 231 23 235 21 232 20 254 25 249 8457 7743 15 206 20 218 14 207 15 234 24 241 7743 7096 13 179 15 198 9*181 11 202 23 231 7096 6517 8 105 8 170 8*160 9 166 20 217 6517 6031 15*061 7*089 8 153 9 149 19 201 6031 5657 15*057 7*083 8 147 9 139 18 183 5657 5399 15 057 8 081 7 143 8 134 11 186 5399 5242 14 057 7 081 7 142 7 132 8*198 5242 5153 11 056 7 081 7 140 5*130 4*221 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography