DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 92.8 - - 90.7 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 481 - - 481 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8362 - - 10520 - - 9056 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11217 - - 12986 - - 10844 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13211 - - 15369 - - 13905 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1971 - - 1651 - - 2990 - - 942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 667 - - 720 - - 428 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 064 - - 071 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 3 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -924 - - -1215 - - -3028 - - -8024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14135 - - 16585 - - 16934 - - 13180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3446 - - -3682 - - -5878 - - -13010 ODpotential blCL - - - 16657 - - 19051 - - 19783 - - 18165 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 70 - - 84 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 92.8 - - 90.7 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 37.2 - - 33.8 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 89.4 - - 89.3 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.7 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 481 - - 481 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8362 - - 10520 - - 9056 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98981 38 105 30 105 23 081 32 080 98981 91508 37 104 38 105 31 110 26 097 91508 85727 37 094 36 102 33 105 27 098 85727 80932 33 096 30 101 31 091 35 097 80932 76821 30 098 26 102 28 091 34 094 76821 73207 28 094 23 103 25 095 26 096 73207 69954 25 088 24 107 22 094 20 095 69954 66977 23 078 22 106 18 097 18 084 66977 64228 17 078 16 093 16 099 16 085 64228 61578 13 092 14 064 18 088 18 083 61578 58838 15 095 14 075 16 074 18 071 58838 56023 16 073 16 092 12 056 15 061 56023 53348 15 051 15 079 11 043 15 040 53348 50944 13 035 15 051 10 058 15 032 50944 48788 9 033 15 038 11 078 8 044 48788 46825 7 045 13 041 14 058 11 073 46825 45019 13 091 15 059 16 039 16 052 45019 43344 18 098 18 062 19 047 22 040 43344 41781 17 103 21 066 22 069 22 047 41781 40308 16 104 24 077 21 075 22 051 40308 38919 16 103 24 085 23 073 22 054 38919 37585 16 098 20 079 26 071 22 063 37585 36241 16 091 17 076 27 073 21 067 36241 34860 17 085 17 077 26 071 20 068 34860 33447 15 086 15 079 21 065 18 068 33447 31990 12 091 11 088 15 053 17 057 31990 30480 9 083 8 080 10 052 16 049 30480 28921 7 074 7 070 9 046 14 041 28921 27313 7 087 5 062 10 032 13 033 27313 25658 6 099 4 047 10 028 14 038 25658 23962 6 104 3 057 11 034 15 050 23962 22223 10 134 4 123 7 038 14 053 22223 20432 16 138 4 141 4 025 14 052 20432 18620 10 119 7 058 6 062 14 050 18620 16880 14 079 9*049 3 044 14 030 16880 15296 17 066 6*040 3*360 13 342 15296 13878 16*057 6 039 3*014 12 326 13878 12605 15*054 6 043 3 024 8 347 12605 11459 11 050 6 049 4 053 7 035 11459 10425 8 046 6 060 6 069 7 060 10425 9494 4 036 7 068 7 074 6 080 9494 8659 3 032 8 073 8 078 7 117 8659 7909 3 027 8 077 9 079 10 139 7909 7228 2 023 9 079 9 081 13 148 7228 6617 2 014 9 082 10 081 16 153 6617 6101 1 003 10 083 10 082 17 156 6101 5700 1 359 10 083 10 081 16 158 5700 5422 1 356 10 084 10 082 13 159 5422 5253 1 357 9 084 10 082 9 160 5253 5155 1 351 9 084 9 081 5*161 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography