DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 82.4 - - 81.3 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 534 - - 508 - - 98 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7033 - - 8903 - - 7265 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10178 - - 11685 - - 9334 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11882 - - 13752 - - 12114 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1669 - - 1492 - - 2742 - - 3762 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 652 - - 694 - - 375 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 20 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 270 - - 275 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3811 - - -2979 - - -4518 - - -9191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15694 - - 16732 - - 16633 - - 14347 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8917 - - -6273 - - -8144 - - -15448 ODpotential blCL - - - 20799 - - 20025 - - 20258 - - 20603 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 84 - - 79 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 82.4 - - 81.3 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 26.1 - - 25.7 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 79.3 - - 80.3 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.6 - - 26.0 - - 25.7 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 534 - - 508 - - 98 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7033 - - 8903 - - 7265 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 36 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97995 6 199 8 184 6 257 6 310 97995 90569 10 207 13 211 11 279 6 294 90569 84820 6 281 11 229 13 254 15 262 84820 80038 21 301 12 323 15 297 17 296 80038 75946 23 271 20 299 13 280 13 278 75946 72353 12 269 17 312 12 290 10 299 72353 69114 6 247 17 279 22 298 14 308 69114 66157 13 289 14 264 15 280 16 288 66157 63455 20 335 13 273 15 281 11 258 63455 60843 36 297 29 291 23 282 11 276 60843 58112 48 289 40 293 38 292 37 293 58112 55296 56 286 57 287 56 291 51 286 55296 52631 72 280 72 279 69 283 61 282 52631 50251 79 276 77 271 75 277 69 274 50251 48139 76 278 75 269 79 269 75 266 48139 46235 75 285 73 275 74 269 77 270 46235 44479 79 290 74 282 73 275 84 276 44479 42837 81 291 78 285 80 280 84 276 42837 41288 81 289 80 284 85 278 80 273 41288 39823 81 286 81 282 86 276 76 272 39823 38441 82 284 83 281 83 275 72 275 38441 37112 79 284 81 279 81 275 70 278 37112 35774 77 285 77 279 80 277 69 277 35774 34398 75 287 75 278 76 279 71 273 34398 32991 75 289 75 279 73 281 71 271 32991 31540 76 290 76 281 73 283 71 275 31540 30035 77 287 78 280 76 283 69 280 30035 28481 76 282 77 278 77 281 69 281 28481 26881 71 277 75 276 73 276 70 278 26881 25243 63 276 71 273 68 270 73 271 25243 23574 59 275 66 272 63 267 72 268 23574 21863 59 277 63 274 59 268 68 269 21863 20100 55 279 57 279 53 274 62 269 20100 18319 49 279 50 280 46 278 54 266 18319 16614 43 274 43 276 42 276 43 256 16614 15065 38 268 36*272 37 270 35 251 15065 13682 33 268 23*269 25 268 30 253 13682 12440 25*271 18 268 22*269 26 257 12440 11321 18*276 18 268 21*270 22 261 11321 10311 16 281 18 269 21 271 20 266 10311 9402 14 285 17 269 21 272 18 272 9402 8586 13 286 17 270 21 275 16 276 8586 7854 13 287 17 271 21 276 14 280 7854 7187 13 288 17 272 20 277 13 286 7187 6589 13 288 16 273 20 278 12 291 6589 6083 12 289 16 273 20 279 11 295 6083 5690 12 290 15 273 19 279 10 298 5690 5417 11 290 15 274 19 279 7 298 5417 5251 11 289 14 274 17 280 5*295 5251 5155 10 290 13 274 14 280 3*288 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography