DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.0 - - 69.0 - - 75.4 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 76 - - 15 - - 106 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1000 - - 306 - - 3321 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5138 - - 6583 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5849 - - 5155 - - 8170 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1013 - - 2292 - - 2530 - - - - - 1732 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 82 - - 305 - - - - - 36 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 239 - - 226 - - - - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -1 - - -7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 694 - - -661 - - 989 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5155 - - 5817 - - 7181 - - - - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential 205 - - -3661 - - -1190 - - - - - -2337 ODpotential blCL 5644 - - 8816 - - 9360 - - - - - 7492 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE 1120 - - 680 - - 1490 - - - - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m 66.0 - - 69.0 - - 75.4 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.8 - - 60.7 - - 61.0 - - - - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 68.7 - - 74.5 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.3 - - 59.7 - - 60.1 - - - - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 76 - - 15 - - 106 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1000 - - 306 - - 3321 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98920 40 103 43 105 32 103 30 087 98920 91442 44 086 43 099 37 103 22 086 91442 85645 43 083 38 089 42 096 30 088 85645 80850 31 086 32 083 42 086 40 083 80850 76770 22 094 28 090 33 084 40 081 76770 73192 22 091 24 102 24 101 34 077 73192 69960 26 097 21 107 21 105 27 074 69960 67002 31 096 19 106 16 097 22 074 67002 64279 25 089 19 105 16 100 17 069 64279 61650 17 086 23 111 20 104 12 093 61650 58918 13 092 24 097 21 106 14 119 58918 56090 22 088 26 091 24 103 25 101 56090 53399 33 077 38 077 36 088 35 080 53399 50985 37 069 42 065 43 079 38 074 50985 48822 35 074 32 065 38 070 35 071 48822 46855 35 083 25 080 28 056 28 063 46855 45048 30 075 25 083 19 052 23 046 45048 43369 22 053 23 070 18 053 21 036 43369 41795 18 035 21 068 20 062 15 021 41795 40317 18 045 20 075 22 068 12 358 40317 38925 18 049 18 078 18 066 12 340 38925 37584 17 049 15 079 11 059 10 342 37584 36232 14 043 11 070 7 047 8 347 36232 34840 8 017 11 078 7 058 7 344 34840 33415 10 314 10 086 4 062 5 337 33415 31944 13 308 9 330 7 347 8 000 31944 30418 13 301 11 316 8 351 6 359 30418 28842 10 281 9 320 7 336 4 263 28842 27220 10 251 9 323 7 320 3 239 27220 25555 10 231 8 313 8 292 4 282 25555 23850 8 228 8 293 12 283 6 282 23850 22102 4 240 8 272 12 269 7 285 22102 20303 1 246 11 269 12 264 8 297 20303 18486 2 182 14 280 12 268 9 299 18486 16747 3 177 15 277 11 266 8 302 16747 15168 5 176 15 265 11 255 7 302 15168 13760 7 176 14 254 12 251 5 293 13760 12498 10 178 13 247 13 250 5 274 12498 11364 13 181 12 244 13 247 6 239 11364 10343 16 186 12 238 13 241 8 216 10343 9425 19 190 12 231 13 236 11 207 9425 8601 20 194 12 224 11*231 12 201 8601 7861 20 200 13 222 10*229 13 196 7861 7189 20 206 12 224 9 227 14 193 7189 6588 20 210 11 228 9 226 12 198 6588 6082 18*212 9 234 8 225 13 196 6082 5689 17*213 8 238 7 224 13 196 5689 5417 16 214 6 239 7 222 11 198 5417 5251 14 214 5*239 6 223 10*199 5251 5155 12 214 4*239 6 223 7*203 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography