DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 49.5 - - 58.0 - - 52.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 280 - - 262 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1438 - - 3062 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 5610 - - 6780 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 6287 - - 7911 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 758 - - 1268 - - 2899 - - 210 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 309 - - 389 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 249 - - 262 - - 259 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -11 - - -8 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5739 - - -8460 - - -8304 - - -9477 - - -7133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10891 - - 14748 - - 16216 - - 14631 - - 12286 sfcLCL ODpotential -19763 - - -17923 - - -15759 - - -17992 - - -17782 ODpotential blCL 24915 - - 24210 - - 23670 - - 23145 - - 22935 blCL maxRH 25 - - 25 - - 34 - - 47 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 49.5 - - 58.0 - - 52.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.4 - - 3.6 - - 5.2 - - 6.9 - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 47.5 - - 56.0 - - 53.9 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.3 - - 3.6 - - 5.2 - - 6.7 - - 7.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 280 - - 262 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1438 - - 3062 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96286 19 092 18 044 16 061 29 053 23 043 96286 89181 29 069 25 070 26 072 25 075 21 067 89181 83672 25 058 15 076 13 083 17 073 13 087 83672 79102 13 033 7 118 3 051 6 030 12 044 79102 75169 3 057 5 179 5 248 2 321 7 009 75169 71690 3 040 11 204 9 251 9 255 6 294 71690 68521 4 343 11 191 7 247 10 260 13 285 68521 65598 7 310 5 289 5 262 12 249 18 264 65598 62893 18 274 12 330 9 294 13 288 14 276 62893 60273 29 290 32 305 25 309 21 306 23 286 60273 57558 37 290 42 288 35 300 36 298 39 289 57558 54763 44 287 43 283 40 286 46 286 51 287 54763 52102 49 292 42 293 44 290 50 283 57 286 52102 49703 55 292 44 299 49 295 54 284 63 285 49703 47548 58 292 51 298 53 294 60 287 68 284 47548 45588 62 294 56 296 59 294 67 290 69 287 45588 43784 62 292 60 293 66 293 72 292 68 288 43784 42107 60 294 60 293 70 294 70 293 65 292 42107 40546 56 294 56 294 65 293 67 293 70 292 40546 39091 46 295 54 291 57 293 65 294 74 291 39091 37738 47 305 46 283 54 288 63 293 68 292 37738 36448 50 302 45 291 52 281 59 293 58 294 36448 35154 51 298 48 295 47 281 54 296 53 297 35154 33825 49 298 50 295 45 287 50 295 49 297 33825 32464 48 303 50 296 45 291 44 287 45 293 32464 31062 49 308 49 299 45 294 41 288 41 286 31062 29611 48 312 48 303 44 297 42 291 39 286 29611 28111 45 314 46 306 44 300 42 295 37 291 28111 26562 44 317 43 310 44 306 43 300 37 297 26562 24965 43 321 40 314 42 310 44 305 40 299 24965 23322 40 323 37 319 38 310 39 309 39 301 23322 21630 38 322 35 324 34 310 34 308 35 305 21630 19882 35 328 32 330 31 313 32 308 32 309 19882 18109 33 329 30 329 29 312 30 309 31 310 18109 16405 32 316 29 314 29 307 29 309 29 312 16405 14852 34 304 30 302 30 305 29 309 28 315 14852 13467 34 300 32 301 29 310 29 313 26 318 13467 12230 30 300 30 306 27 314 25 322 23 321 12230 11123 24 301 25 309 24 315 19 329 18 319 11123 10131 19 306 21 311 20 314 14 326 14 315 10131 9241 15 312 17 307 17 305 13 312 14 308 9241 8448 12 316 14 297 14*278 12 288 14 295 8448 7738 11 306 14 282 14*265 11 267 14 283 7738 7095 12 280 15 267 14 263 11 262 12 273 7095 6521 16 262 15*257 14 262 11 262 10 259 6521 6037 19 255 14*251 14 261 11 262 9 249 6037 5662 19 252 13 249 13 261 11 262 8 248 5662 5402 15 250 12 248 13 260 10 261 8 247 5402 5244 12*249 12 247 12 260 8 260 5*237 5244 5153 7*246 10 246 11 260 5*259 4*225 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography