DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 67.6 - - - - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 131 - - 86 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 1940 - - 1026 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5735 - - 5138 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5155 - - 6789 - - 5875 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2110 - - 1931 - - 1954 - - - - - 2162 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 276 - - 194 - - - - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 050 - - 051 - - - - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 10 - - -3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1634 - - 720 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - - - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -222 - - 316 - - 88 - - - - - -1371 ODpotential blCL 5377 - - 6473 - - 5787 - - - - - 6526 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE 680 - - 1210 - - 1160 - - - - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 67.6 - - - - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.8 - - 64.5 - - 64.9 - - - - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.5 - - 68.7 - - 66.5 - - - - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.6 - - 63.5 - - 64.3 - - - - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 131 - - 86 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 1940 - - 1026 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 98 - - - - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98873 64 103 51 117 37 113 47 083 98873 91396 44 101 47 099 44 107 40 089 91396 85652 42 087 43 086 45 100 42 099 85652 80899 38 082 41 081 44 094 46 103 80899 76815 31 093 34 089 36 084 42 097 76815 73215 32 104 30 104 27 093 40 084 73215 69972 37 094 31 103 29 103 31 082 69972 67012 38 091 31 107 31 099 28 083 67012 64295 33 092 36 100 30 099 27 080 64295 61696 24 096 34 092 33 095 20 088 61696 58994 23 095 28 097 30 089 25 088 58994 56206 28 085 26 103 20 091 30 069 56206 53565 33 081 26 089 22 083 28 062 53565 51184 30 080 25 080 25 074 24 057 51184 49031 29 080 24 069 24 066 22 043 49031 47061 30 073 21 063 22 057 19 033 47061 45242 28 064 18 066 17 055 16 029 45242 43546 22 049 17 060 13 054 16 014 43546 41955 14 020 15 038 14 030 14 352 41955 40457 17 348 13 005 14 011 14 335 40457 39049 18 333 15 346 12 347 17 319 39049 37697 15 327 14 337 12 327 25 311 37697 36334 12 325 11 336 11 317 27 306 36334 34931 10 328 8 337 10 304 27 303 34931 33495 9 355 7 348 9 296 26 303 33495 32015 11 016 8 354 10 313 23 301 32015 30483 9 008 8 336 12 329 21 313 30483 28898 7 340 10 321 12 328 24 334 28898 27261 7 334 11 312 11 316 21 346 27261 25579 9 330 12 304 12 314 18 329 25579 23865 8 326 10 306 10 310 19 315 23865 22114 5 319 9 309 8 318 16 323 22114 20314 2 343 8 306 12 313 13 342 20314 18493 2 043 4 318 8 305 13 001 18493 16744 4 036 1 025 5 352 11 022 16744 15155 7 025 3 043 6 045 10 031 15155 13740 7 024 4 007 6 076 10 026 13740 12475 4 038 4 337 4 121 11 041 12475 11338 4 060 5 357 2 138 16 053 11338 10316 3 056 6 016 3 073 19 059 10316 9399 2 044 6 020 6 065 20 064 9399 8579 2 024 6 026 9 066 18 073 8579 7845 2 014 6 034 10 064 15 082 7845 7179 3 012 6*043 11 061 14 089 7179 6583 3 014 6*046 11 058 14 094 6583 6079 3 020 7 049 11*054 14 096 6079 5688 3 032 7 050 11*052 13 094 5688 5416 3 035 7 051 10 051 11 089 5416 5250 3*039 7 051 10 050 9*085 5250 5155 3*038 6 051 9 049 6*083 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography