DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.3 - - 80.0 - - 86.2 - - 85.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 207 - - 242 - - 360 - - 95 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3392 - - 6530 - - 11478 - - 11472 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6936 - - 9411 - - 13606 - - 12475 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 8241 - - 11379 - - 16327 - - 16321 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2545 - - 2966 - - 3574 - - 2978 - - 322 Hgt.Variab. W* 373 - - 489 - - 673 - - 432 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 6 - - 15 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 278 - - 242 - - 257 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -5 - - 24 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4401 - - -2378 - - 940 - - 613 - - -9135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12643 - - 13757 - - 15388 - - 15709 - - 14291 sfcLCL ODpotential -7266 - - -4413 - - 284 - - -337 - - -11913 ODpotential blCL 15507 - - 15792 - - 16043 - - 16658 - - 17068 blCL maxRH 78 - - 98 - - 96 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 90 - - 270 - - 110 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 77.3 - - 80.0 - - 86.2 - - 85.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 37.3 - - 36.0 - - 33.6 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.6 - - 78.1 - - 83.7 - - 83.9 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 37.2 - - 35.9 - - 33.5 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 207 - - 242 - - 360 - - 95 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3392 - - 6530 - - 11478 - - 11472 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 91 - - 83 - - 97 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 2 167 7 129 7 211 3 014 10 025 98246 90781 5 098 8 135 9 151 4 348 4 040 90781 85016 8 109 7 172 13 168 5 227 1 120 85016 80231 7 175 12 167 4 178 8 154 9 186 80231 76129 11 167 9 168 7 176 7 164 8 173 76129 72533 8 117 7 174 4 180 2 075 7 125 72533 69294 8 021 6 128 7 201 8 248 6 272 69294 66352 6 328 6 343 3 056 7 192 7 270 66352 63658 6 282 13 251 12 286 7 308 4 288 63658 61070 12 333 12 238 10 221 11 268 6 273 61070 58365 21 297 8 296 4 301 12 162 14 154 58365 55524 38 271 38 265 31 278 34 282 33 275 55524 52797 52 268 51 261 52 263 54 267 54 269 52797 50346 63 264 60 259 61 261 64 263 62 269 50346 48157 70 258 66 258 68 262 74 264 72 270 48157 46180 76 262 72 261 76 262 81 265 83 270 46180 44370 89 266 82 262 84 262 88 265 91 269 44370 42694 94 265 89 261 91 261 95 263 96 266 42694 41128 92 262 92 258 95 259 99 260 98 263 41128 39654 87 260 93 256 97 257 101 258 101 263 39654 38266 84 259 92 254 98 256 100 258 99 264 38266 36936 82 257 89 254 94 256 93 259 89 267 36936 35604 81 257 86 256 88 256 83 259 78 267 35604 34241 80 260 83 258 81 258 73 261 71 266 34241 32850 73 262 77 256 75 257 68 262 67 267 32850 31419 60 260 70 254 70 255 65 260 63 265 31419 29940 50 254 64 253 66 254 63 257 60 263 29940 28418 46 250 59 252 63 253 61 256 56 263 28418 26852 44 251 55 251 60 254 57 259 47 266 26852 25246 43 253 52 252 54 257 50 265 36 272 25246 23601 44 252 49 254 46 262 39 271 29 278 23601 21909 41 253 44 252 40 261 31 274 29 271 21909 20168 37 254 40 247 35 255 29 265 28 246 20168 18407 36 252 36 240 27 248 24 256 24 238 18407 16710 34 248 34 230 24*245 23*255 20 236 16710 15160 30 236 29 212 19*241 19*255 15 235 15160 13770 23 215 21 197 18 240 19 255 13 238 13770 12519 17 184 13*199 17 240 18 256 12 243 12519 11390 13 160 7*227 16 241 17 257 11 250 11390 10371 4 152 6 256 15 242 16 258 10 260 10371 9452 4 338 6 275 15 242 15 258 10 270 9452 8627 10*326 7 284 14 243 14 259 10 280 8627 7886 15*318 7 287 14 243 14 259 10 290 7886 7212 19 316 7 289 13 244 14 259 10 298 7212 6606 19 315 7 290 13 244 13 259 11 303 6606 6094 19 315 7 291 12 244 13 259 10 307 6094 5697 18 314 7 292 12 245 12 260 10 309 5697 5420 18 314 7 292 12 245 12 259 8 311 5420 5252 16 315 6 292 11 245 11 259 6*314 5252 5155 14 314 6 293 10 245 10 260 4*315 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography