DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.2 - - 64.0 - - 67.4 - - 64.7 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 324 - - 228 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3704 - - 5166 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7343 - - 8318 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8553 - - 10015 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 513 - - 2230 - - 1623 - - 6138 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 445 - - 442 - - 39 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 298 - - 293 - - 275 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1007 - - -3259 - - -3382 - - -8020 - - -5777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6161 - - 11813 - - 13398 - - 13174 - - 10932 sfcLCL ODpotential -6196 - - -7246 - - -7384 - - -12302 - - -12721 ODpotential blCL 11350 - - 15799 - - 17399 - - 17456 - - 17875 blCL maxRH 77 - - 66 - - 86 - - 78 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.2 - - 64.0 - - 67.4 - - 64.7 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 30.3 - - 26.6 - - 25.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 61.7 - - 65.6 - - 64.5 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.3 - - 30.2 - - 26.6 - - 25.0 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 324 - - 228 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3704 - - 5166 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 43 - - 11 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 15 252 13 230 7 306 16 224 17 290 96622 89377 10 202 8 236 17 202 11 292 4 037 89377 83865 9 096 3 159 18 176 9 296 11 060 83865 79316 7 049 4 113 10 136 2 251 7 057 79316 75393 6 354 10 123 5 166 9 093 3 032 75393 71934 6 000 7 110 5 220 4 129 7 016 71934 68798 8 271 4 020 4 120 12 179 3 238 68798 65926 9 216 7 295 4 312 1 214 9 207 65926 63289 10 243 10 278 7 283 9 320 6 242 63289 60757 14 234 20 234 16 263 13 283 10 266 60757 58104 15 251 25 240 20 276 17 265 18 251 58104 55312 21 258 36 234 33 255 27 271 28 256 55312 52602 33 240 42 230 49 230 39 248 40 244 52602 50148 39 243 47 241 55 226 49 238 43 251 50148 47951 54 248 67 240 76 231 73 236 56 258 47951 45955 70 241 82 233 86 229 88 232 75 248 45955 44119 77 236 74 230 75 232 62 233 72 245 44119 42421 79 237 64 233 70 243 56 250 67 246 42421 40844 85 242 67 242 93 246 88 250 77 245 40844 39379 98 241 81 248 119 242 120 244 102 245 39379 38013 117 240 104 246 118 239 113 240 117 242 38013 36706 110 240 115 242 116 239 113 239 114 240 36706 35390 87 241 119 242 113 241 113 239 111 240 35390 34036 77 240 104 245 97 242 110 239 109 239 34036 32651 75 235 79 248 75 244 96 239 98 239 32651 31230 74 234 68 246 63 245 75 239 79 237 31230 29762 70 232 67 239 59 241 58 242 62 237 29762 28246 64 229 63 234 56 239 51 241 46 232 28246 26681 63 229 57 232 50 233 45 240 38 226 26681 25070 62 234 55 234 45 229 32 252 29 234 25070 23420 57 243 50 242 40 251 30 254 24 274 23420 21726 42 250 42 249 35 264 23 274 17 283 21726 19974 28 257 35 255 28 268 16 292 13 295 19974 18201 19 258 25 261 21 274 15 294 13 318 18201 16497 17 270 19 262 17 277 14 293 11 333 16497 14947 18 286 17 261 14 273 12 285 7 335 14947 13564 16 300 14 262 12 264 9 267 6 302 13564 12325 13 305 10 259 9 254 6 238 7 269 12325 11213 10 302 7 252 6 268 2 184 6 227 11213 10214 10 290 4 284 6*298 0 126 5 170 10214 9316 10 278 6*310 7*300 1 287 4 154 9316 8514 12 274 8*307 7 299 4 284 3 190 8514 7793 14 278 9 304 8 296 6 281 4 249 7793 7139 16 286 9 301 8 294 7 280 7 276 7139 6553 19 292 9 298 8 291 8 278 8 284 6553 6059 20 295 9 295 9 288 8 277 9 289 6059 5675 20 293 9 293 9 288 8 276 9 294 5675 5409 16 287 9 291 8 287 8 276 9 296 5409 5247 11*277 9 290 8 286 7*275 7*298 5247 5154 6*265 8 290 7 286 6*275 5*298 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography