DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 83.6 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 530 - - 336 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3009 - - 4492 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6952 - - 7973 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7858 - - 9341 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2715 - - 6209 - - - - - 2167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 483 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 31 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 174 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -14 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -675 - - 132 - - - - - -2443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8533 - - 9209 - - - - - 7599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2647 - - -1589 - - - - - -6538 ODpotential blCL - - - 10505 - - 10930 - - - - - 11693 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 89 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 1750 - - 2160 - - - - - 1240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 83.6 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 60.4 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 81.2 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 60.1 - - - - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 530 - - 336 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3009 - - 4492 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 58 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98609 32 084 35 095 28 091 98609 91116 30 101 25 095 21 064 91116 85363 26 110 19 108 19 076 85363 80589 19 100 19 092 27 078 80589 76499 19 092 19 089 22 075 76499 72923 14 078 18 098 23 084 72923 69707 12 103 15 098 18 080 69707 66759 13 092 13 103 14 072 66759 64040 9 055 5 082 8 086 64040 61433 17 131 7 118 4 104 61433 58761 9 055 12 119 2 204 58761 56026 16 316 7 338 8 053 56026 53423 17 310 12 309 8 331 53423 51061 23 314 17 310 13 323 51061 48919 30 289 29 290 25 315 48919 46961 30 273 29 278 28 307 46961 45153 20 279 22 281 22 298 45153 43464 15 296 14 296 17 297 43464 41877 19 305 12 317 14 299 41877 40379 20 308 14 325 12 308 40379 38967 22 322 16 327 11 316 38967 37608 24 335 17 322 12 319 37608 36238 20 341 20 320 16 316 36238 34830 21 344 24 325 19 319 34830 33393 15 348 25 329 22 347 33393 31918 6 342 19 327 34 011 31918 30394 4 012 16 334 33 014 30394 28826 7 347 18 348 18 002 28826 27218 7 300 18 345 13 353 27218 25567 7 275 14 336 15 359 25567 23877 8 287 9 333 15 004 23877 22144 11 274 9 314 12 009 22144 20366 11 261 11 309 12 034 20366 18569 10 268 10 316 15 034 18569 16841 9 284 10 319 16 011 16841 15265 7 275 10 318 18 353 15265 13853 3 282 10 315 18 342 13853 12585 2 198 9 314 15 333 12585 11441 5 174 8 306 13 326 11441 10407 7 187 6 290 10 321 10407 9477 7 194 4*268 6 312 9477 8644 6 193 3*246 1 285 8644 7897 3*162 3 197 3 159 7897 7218 3*115 3 174 7 146 7218 6610 6 089 3 167 12 146 6610 6097 7 085 3 157 15 149 6097 5698 7 083 4 154 14 151 5698 5422 8 082 4 151 11 153 5422 5252 8 081 4 150 8 155 5252 5155 7 081 3 150 4*156 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography