DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.3 - - 63.8 - - 68.0 - - 63.5 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 202 - - 231 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1173 - - 2011 - - 2878 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5924 - - 6602 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6022 - - 6860 - - 7727 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 604 - - 953 - - 1938 - - 3528 - - 1290 Hgt.Variab. W* 186 - - 312 - - 367 - - 42 - - 27 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 197 - - 192 - - 119 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 1 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 868 - - 1138 - - 877 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5722 - - 6851 - - 5155 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential 121 - - 365 - - -95 - - -1723 - - -514 ODpotential blCL 5901 - - 6495 - - 7822 - - 6878 - - 5668 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 93 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 210 - - 200 - - 340 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 59.3 - - 63.8 - - 68.0 - - 63.5 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - 58.3 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.4 - - 62.1 - - 66.1 - - 63.6 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 55.9 - - 55.1 - - 57.8 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 202 - - 231 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1173 - - 2011 - - 2878 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 98 - - 71 - - 90 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97486 49 266 45 268 47 262 52 268 55 274 97486 90193 34 266 32 273 32 267 36 272 34 282 90193 84573 21 271 23 273 24 276 22 287 21 297 84573 79918 12 281 14 287 13 286 12 292 14 300 79918 75915 7 297 10 296 9 315 7 302 11 299 75915 72389 5 320 3 297 4 329 3 342 10 325 72389 69198 5 285 1 183 5 258 5 219 9 263 69198 66272 7 256 2 212 5 247 8 178 12 199 66272 63563 14 264 15 229 15 250 9 259 4 185 63563 60945 23 264 20 245 21 246 15 264 8 277 60945 58233 32 254 29 258 31 254 24 267 21 267 58233 55446 30 262 45 273 42 276 44 278 41 286 55446 52827 62 277 66 273 65 273 64 276 64 279 52827 50502 81 280 81 280 78 283 74 283 74 280 50502 48420 96 284 92 284 87 290 84 288 81 283 48420 46519 100 284 94 285 92 289 89 289 86 284 46519 44757 100 286 92 286 90 289 87 290 86 286 44757 43106 99 288 92 288 87 291 82 289 82 286 43106 41552 97 288 89 290 85 294 80 287 78 286 41552 40085 95 287 85 293 80 294 78 287 75 287 40085 38701 91 287 79 291 73 290 73 285 73 288 38701 37371 87 285 75 288 68 287 67 284 71 294 37371 36032 83 284 74 287 67 286 61 285 64 298 36032 34656 82 286 73 288 67 281 56 285 56 298 34656 33248 81 288 70 289 65 279 54 285 50 298 33248 31793 77 288 65 292 64 277 52 291 44 291 31793 30283 67 287 64 295 63 275 50 296 43 282 30283 28719 62 282 60 295 59 277 46 293 41 276 28719 27106 62 278 53 291 52 291 45 287 37 274 27106 25450 58 278 51 288 48 299 40 282 30 270 25450 23752 47 277 48 284 47 295 34 284 25 266 23752 22008 37 276 40 277 42 287 32 291 22 266 22008 20215 32 273 27 262 32 273 28 287 21 266 20215 18406 27 269 26 257 29 264 25 271 21 267 18406 16671 23 265 25 253 26 259 25 266 21 266 16671 15094 20 266 24 250 22 254 25 262 21 261 15094 13685 17 265 21 251 20 248 22 259 19 257 13685 12424 15 264 18 253 17 245 19 256 16 251 12424 11293 14 264 17 252 15 246 14 249 13 241 11293 10276 14 261 16 247 13 244 11 238 12 230 10276 9365 15 253 16 241 12 238 10 223 12 218 9365 8549 17 240 14 235 10 230 9 203 11 205 8549 7819 18 226 12 222 9*216 9 186 10 195 7819 7156 18 217 10*206 8*199 9 170 10 185 7156 6564 17 215 9*198 8 193 9 160 10 153 6564 6065 13*213 8 197 8 192 8 144 12 128 6065 5679 10*212 8 197 7 190 8 133 12 124 5679 5412 9 212 7 197 7 189 8 126 10 121 5412 5248 9 212 7 197 7 188 7*122 8 118 5248 5154 7 213 6 198 6 188 6*119 6*115 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography