DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.2 - - 96.8 - - 95.2 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 489 - - 124 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7632 - - 14327 - - 14614 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10653 - - 16152 - - 15226 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12481 - - 19176 - - 19463 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6270 - - 1777 - - 1777 - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 663 - - 804 - - 513 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 309 - - 320 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -3 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2896 - - 788 - - 912 - - -10656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15378 - - 18389 - - 18552 - - 15813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6061 - - -807 - - -284 - - -14221 ODpotential blCL - - - 18542 - - 19983 - - 19747 - - 19377 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 64 - - 82 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 30 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.2 - - 96.8 - - 95.2 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 32.6 - - 30.6 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.0 - - 93.7 - - 93.9 - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 32.4 - - 30.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 515 - - 489 - - 124 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7632 - - 14327 - - 14614 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98393 32 117 29 114 28 093 30 098 98393 90947 24 122 31 103 20 102 29 095 90947 85216 18 108 23 104 16 101 23 092 85216 80479 19 107 17 109 16 111 17 082 80479 76424 13 086 16 099 16 097 18 094 76424 72849 8 099 15 085 16 085 17 100 72849 69632 14 107 11 086 18 092 11 095 69632 66692 17 098 8 108 14 088 12 085 66692 63974 20 096 13 093 13 091 15 077 63974 61361 12 110 11 076 12 088 13 078 61361 58673 11 080 4 127 5 067 8 043 58673 55915 10 336 4 222 10 249 9 299 55915 53304 18 317 12 291 14 255 16 261 53304 50949 22 307 19 284 21 271 23 278 50949 48815 28 292 27 279 31 270 28 278 48815 46854 32 276 35 274 33 263 29 274 46854 45032 32 269 36 267 33 269 36 272 45032 43329 35 273 38 267 37 266 38 269 43329 41725 40 278 39 266 40 265 40 268 41725 40209 44 273 42 265 42 267 40 265 40209 38778 48 267 44 262 43 264 38 264 38778 37406 47 268 44 256 44 259 36 261 37406 36033 41 271 40 255 41 258 36 267 36033 34638 36 271 35 252 36 259 39 272 34638 33224 31 271 31 254 26 261 37 270 33224 31774 24 278 22 248 17 258 33 266 31774 30273 15 281 14 205 16 236 23 274 30273 28723 12 282 8 245 12 236 14 265 28723 27128 9 282 8 276 8 278 11 258 27128 25489 7 283 5 297 10 289 6 288 25489 23815 8 278 4 303 7 297 3 304 23815 22102 7 277 9 319 8 333 5 009 22102 20342 6 319 14*322 11*346 9 355 20342 18562 8 347 12*327 12*342 10 341 18562 16849 5 031 12 323 12 337 12 327 16849 15283 4 033 12 321 13 332 15 319 15283 13879 3 005 12 319 14 328 17 315 13879 12614 4*319 12 315 14 322 18 312 12614 11473 5*304 13 310 15 318 19 310 11473 10442 8 296 14 305 15 315 20 309 10442 9511 12 293 15 302 16 312 20 308 9511 8676 16 291 15 300 16 311 21 307 8676 7925 19 290 15 298 16 309 21 306 7925 7242 20 289 16 297 16 308 21 304 7242 6628 21 288 16 296 16 307 21 303 6628 6108 21 288 16 295 16 306 20 302 6108 5704 20 287 15 294 15 306 19 300 5704 5425 20 287 15 294 15 305 16 298 5425 5254 19 287 14 294 14 305 12*296 5254 5156 16 286 13 294 12 305 7*292 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography