DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 61.4 - - 61.7 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 71 - - 71 - - 13 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1082 - - 996 - - 1279 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5931 - - 5845 - - 6128 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1620 - - 1998 - - 1736 - - 2073 - - 1854 Hgt.Variab. W* 149 - - 180 - - 195 - - 70 - - 45 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 172 - - 169 - - 147 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 777 - - 691 - - 974 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5154 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential 1 - - -101 - - 144 - - -456 - - -430 ODpotential blCL 5930 - - 5946 - - 5984 - - 5610 - - 5584 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 790 - - 1150 - - 1150 - - 830 - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 61.4 - - 61.7 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.5 - - 58.5 - - 58.2 - - 58.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 60.6 - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 57.9 - - 57.6 - - 57.9 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 71 - - 71 - - 13 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1082 - - 996 - - 1279 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 35 247 33 254 42 265 30 287 21 273 97599 90217 17 239 23 264 19 251 21 256 27 260 90217 84563 9 230 13 271 8 255 13 229 18 264 84563 79888 4 252 10 262 10 254 12 248 8 283 79888 75878 7 281 4 215 8 246 14 260 9 288 75878 72338 12 290 2 296 4 207 8 265 12 295 72338 69150 11 296 5 310 2 154 2 229 9 264 69150 66249 12 248 8 268 5 310 3 057 7 142 66249 63565 16 175 10 222 12 257 6 283 3 287 63565 60975 15 139 14 203 19 218 15 224 17 231 60975 58298 8 198 15 212 16 211 20 218 24 212 58298 55510 19 247 22 241 17 232 21 215 23 215 55510 52830 39 237 29 230 27 240 32 237 32 245 52830 50410 47 229 36 235 47 228 46 234 48 243 50410 48227 52 227 46 233 44 220 51 234 57 234 48227 46229 56 223 44 228 44 239 71 237 52 235 46229 44398 62 227 49 231 65 241 74 224 54 249 44398 42724 72 226 58 229 62 232 59 225 69 247 42724 41175 67 220 61 224 56 223 56 249 74 242 41175 39718 57 215 60 214 46 234 60 251 68 241 39718 38345 56 213 59 207 49 233 55 247 65 234 38345 37029 59 209 50 205 52 217 54 240 64 230 37029 35704 57 211 45 205 47 206 55 237 61 232 35704 34340 55 214 46 204 45 204 46 241 57 229 34340 32943 53 216 45 202 43 206 33 242 50 223 32943 31502 49 217 45 202 38 210 34 208 35 211 31502 30008 44 216 44 205 35 213 36 199 34 209 30008 28465 40 216 44 208 35 216 33 205 37 207 28465 26876 36 221 44 216 38 221 34 213 35 206 26876 25245 34 223 42 223 37 228 38 223 30 210 25245 23575 29 222 34 225 36 234 34 234 23 218 23575 21861 22 219 28 219 32 236 27 246 19 221 21861 20095 19 203 26 211 26 229 23 250 16 219 20095 18309 21 199 24 211 23 219 20 244 17 221 18309 16596 22 207 22 214 22 216 16 233 18 225 16596 15039 21 217 17 215 21 216 14 227 15 227 15039 13648 18 222 14 208 19 214 14 230 13 224 13648 12399 19 224 14 208 16 210 15 229 10 221 12399 11274 21 225 16 204 16 205 17 220 9 211 11274 10261 24 225 18 195 17 200 18 210 13 190 10261 9350 25 221 19 189 17 199 17 202 18 184 9350 8536 25 212 20 182 17 197 14 194 20 181 8536 7808 23 206 19 179 16 194 14 182 21 177 7808 7148 21 198 19 177 15 183 14 166 22 168 7148 6560 19 189 18 176 14*175 14 158 21 163 6560 6063 18*187 17*174 13*171 13 153 19 162 6063 5678 16*187 16*173 13 169 12 150 17 162 5678 5411 14 187 15 172 12 168 11 148 14 162 5411 5248 13 188 14 172 12 167 10 148 12*162 5248 5154 10 188 11 171 9 167 8*147 8*162 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography