DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 52.5 - - 54.2 - - 47.5 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 15 - - 37 - - 13 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 305 - - 1103 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 5154 - - 5952 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 328 - - 2179 - - 1397 - - 1015 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 73 - - 149 - - 71 - - 75 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 020 - - 110 - - 073 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -303 - - 242 - - -2103 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5457 - - 5710 - - 7256 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential -4461 - - -2831 - - -2341 - - -7706 - - -3492 ODpotential blCL 9615 - - 7985 - - 8293 - - 12859 - - 8645 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 52.5 - - 54.2 - - 47.5 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.9 - - 46.2 - - 46.7 - - 33.7 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 52.1 - - 53.6 - - 47.0 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 33.2 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 15 - - 37 - - 13 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 305 - - 1103 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 88 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96126 59 257 59 264 64 256 64 259 68 259 96126 88953 51 253 65 260 62 257 58 260 58 255 88953 83483 39 270 50 258 56 258 52 264 50 266 83483 78962 34 275 30 267 35 255 40 261 42 272 78962 75077 25 269 22 274 21 261 24 262 30 269 75077 71638 20 272 20 254 19 254 21 263 22 272 71638 68515 12 287 11 264 18 261 20 254 22 275 68515 65655 16 285 13 297 14 278 18 251 21 253 65655 63014 25 271 21 274 15 285 16 260 18 258 63014 60459 25 279 26 266 23 269 22 263 29 259 60459 57803 25 283 26 268 23 262 27 258 29 252 57803 55034 28 270 26 260 31 265 29 256 37 257 55034 52354 35 262 32 251 40 255 38 256 45 248 52354 49909 42 260 40 249 46 249 43 249 44 245 49909 47682 48 260 48 253 49 251 43 257 43 248 47682 45632 55 257 54 256 54 256 49 260 46 252 45632 43734 59 253 61 250 62 255 58 257 51 255 43734 41974 62 250 64 244 67 251 63 250 60 254 41974 40356 66 245 61 240 66 243 61 246 70 251 40356 38883 69 243 67 235 63 237 60 248 69 247 38883 37533 66 238 71 236 62 239 61 248 63 250 37533 36248 60 237 69 238 66 241 63 243 63 253 36248 34955 58 240 66 238 68 241 63 240 62 249 34955 33628 56 244 63 240 66 243 63 240 60 242 33628 32269 49 247 58 241 63 245 64 243 57 239 32269 30870 49 249 54 241 60 244 63 248 53 241 30870 29420 53 252 53 242 57 245 58 251 45 241 29420 27923 55 254 50 245 54 249 54 251 43 241 27923 26376 54 254 48 248 51 248 50 249 43 242 26376 24782 48 254 44 252 47 248 47 248 43 241 24782 23145 41 253 37 254 42 249 43 248 42 240 23145 21460 35 250 35 251 35 248 37 247 42 240 21460 19724 32 242 35 246 34 244 34 245 40 239 19724 17967 33 231 37 243 36 241 34 243 39 239 17967 16282 35 229 38 240 38 238 35 241 37 239 16282 14752 32 233 39 234 40 235 36 238 35 237 14752 13387 27 239 40 227 40 233 36 235 33 233 13387 12167 21 230 38 221 38 234 34 233 30 226 12167 11072 17 218 33 216 35 235 30 230 28 221 11072 10088 15 205 25 206 30 232 26 227 26 217 10088 9209 14 189 18 197 25 225 20 222 23 213 9209 8424 12 177 12 186 20 216 15 209 20 213 8424 7721 9 187 6 171 16 206 11 185 18 213 7721 7081 8 256 2 190 11 188 9 160 15 210 7081 6507 13 293 4 307 7 152 8 112 9 197 6507 6025 18 308 5 331 7*118 12 078 5 134 6025 5654 19 314 4 346 7*113 13 074 7 092 5654 5398 12 312 3 005 7 110 13 074 7 088 5398 5242 8*301 3*012 6 109 12 073 7*088 5242 5153 3*248 2*020 6 108 9*073 6*087 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography