DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 77.8 - - 82.4 - - 80.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 363 - - 368 - - 16 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4673 - - 8986 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 8139 - - 11592 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 9522 - - 13835 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 3497 - - 2622 - - 10660 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 500 - - 625 - - 71 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 234 - - 237 - - 235 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -8 - - -9 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9503 - - -8488 - - -5023 - - -12972 - - -8586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14658 - - 18011 - - 18858 - - 18128 - - 13742 sfcLCL ODpotential -16475 - - -12772 - - -7704 - - -16191 - - -14432 ODpotential blCL 21629 - - 22294 - - 21539 - - 21346 - - 19587 blCL maxRH 27 - - 35 - - 34 - - 31 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 77.8 - - 82.4 - - 80.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.7 - - 16.0 - - 16.3 - - 17.8 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 75.2 - - 79.6 - - 79.6 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.6 - - 16.0 - - 16.2 - - 17.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 363 - - 368 - - 16 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4673 - - 8986 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96389 25 283 35 281 24 280 33 271 29 290 96389 89197 22 278 26 266 28 264 25 296 21 287 89197 83698 19 292 17 277 21 263 19 276 19 281 83698 79141 10 257 13 280 13 286 13 266 20 287 79141 75231 10 332 8 315 7 330 12 323 15 322 75231 71812 13 329 16 336 16 358 16 005 15 001 71812 68738 14 349 17 324 22 345 21 354 20 017 68738 65915 15 341 19 325 27 334 25 347 23 356 65915 63301 21 350 28 347 28 335 26 344 23 350 63301 60776 34 337 31 349 26 334 24 331 26 329 60776 58139 41 330 37 329 34 313 35 315 38 316 58139 55385 47 315 40 318 37 307 41 308 44 310 55385 52727 50 302 43 308 44 297 44 299 48 302 52727 50307 50 298 45 299 46 292 45 291 48 293 50307 48120 51 301 46 296 45 290 44 288 44 290 48120 46124 50 302 47 292 45 288 42 287 39 285 46124 44285 47 300 47 286 47 286 44 283 39 279 44285 42576 46 297 50 284 50 282 46 277 43 271 42576 40982 46 291 52 279 51 275 50 269 48 263 40982 39494 46 283 49 277 50 274 52 266 50 259 39494 38104 43 277 45 276 45 276 49 269 47 258 38104 36781 39 275 40 273 41 279 43 272 40 260 36781 35463 33 273 34 269 37 278 38 271 33 263 35463 34121 25 265 27 264 33 274 36 270 29 265 34121 32756 19 260 23 265 30 273 35 271 28 265 32756 31350 19 272 23 272 28 277 33 271 27 264 31350 29892 23 289 25 284 28 285 31 274 26 264 29892 28383 27 297 28 291 29 291 31 278 24 266 28383 26825 30 301 28 294 30 291 31 279 23 270 26825 25219 29 301 26 295 30 290 30 279 24 274 25219 23568 24 294 22 292 26 289 27 282 23 277 23568 21870 21 281 19 284 22 283 22 283 19 278 21870 20119 20 267 19 281 18 280 17 278 17 273 20119 18348 19 276 18 277 14 284 14 273 17 269 18348 16646 21 293 18 278 14 278 13 265 19 267 16646 15094 22 293 18 277 15*268 12 247 20 259 15094 13707 20 290 19 270 13*255 10 231 21 249 13707 12461 17 291 17 263 12 250 10 228 21 242 12461 11337 15 294 13 258 10 238 9 229 20 238 11337 10324 13 295 8*249 10 236 9 229 18 236 10324 9410 12 293 7*241 10 233 9 230 15 232 9410 8591 12 288 7 238 10 232 9 231 13 228 8591 7856 11 285 8 236 10 230 9 233 12 223 7856 7188 10 284 8 234 9 229 9 233 12 213 7188 6588 10 284 8 233 9 228 8 235 12 196 6588 6081 10 281 8 232 9 228 8 235 13 181 6081 5689 10 270 8 230 8 227 8 235 13 177 5689 5416 8 257 8 230 8 228 8 235 10 180 5416 5250 7*250 8 230 8 227 7*236 6*178 5250 5155 4*231 7 229 7 226 6*235 4*177 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography