DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 60.4 - - 63.9 - - 59.5 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 307 - - 254 - - -27 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2210 - - 3205 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6197 - - 6876 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7059 - - 8054 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 408 - - 923 - - 1595 - - 3305 - - 249 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 368 - - 391 - - 9 - - 15 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 19 - - 19 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 201 - - 207 - - 201 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - -9 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -258 - - 242 - - -1896 - - -554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 7318 - - 7812 - - 7051 - - 5708 sfcLCL ODpotential -5290 - - -2846 - - -1712 - - -5094 - - -6025 ODpotential blCL 10443 - - 9905 - - 9766 - - 10248 - - 11179 blCL maxRH 92 - - 86 - - 84 - - 81 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 320 - - 460 - - 400 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 60.4 - - 63.9 - - 59.5 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.9 - - 46.1 - - 47.2 - - 46.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 58.3 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 46.0 - - 47.2 - - 46.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 307 - - 254 - - -27 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2210 - - 3205 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 46 - - 37 - - 25 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 27 261 37 285 31 270 31 274 37 274 96331 89163 24 276 28 272 34 272 25 269 31 296 89163 83668 17 279 18 256 24 271 16 280 19 291 83668 79090 14 285 12 270 13 269 20 274 21 283 79090 75141 19 281 20 294 15 284 17 262 21 277 75141 71652 18 272 19 277 12 316 11 286 13 241 71652 68471 24 279 24 273 28 294 19 306 15 277 68471 65560 28 274 29 270 32 278 29 298 26 302 65560 62896 22 286 24 275 26 273 32 297 26 307 62896 60314 21 303 22 281 26 271 35 288 30 287 60314 57618 27 295 31 275 35 268 38 275 41 270 57618 54834 38 284 43 269 46 268 46 274 50 274 54834 52181 52 281 49 273 53 269 58 276 64 277 52181 49787 61 278 57 276 63 271 72 273 78 273 49787 47635 68 275 69 274 76 270 84 273 87 270 47635 45681 75 276 79 275 86 273 91 275 94 272 45681 43889 84 281 90 280 96 278 98 278 101 276 43889 42232 94 284 99 282 103 280 103 280 106 278 42232 40682 101 285 102 282 106 281 106 280 111 278 40682 39225 105 284 102 282 107 280 108 280 116 278 39225 37854 104 283 102 281 107 279 108 279 118 279 37854 36538 101 283 102 279 105 278 106 278 113 278 36538 35215 96 282 100 279 103 278 104 278 105 277 35215 33859 88 280 94 278 100 279 98 278 97 279 33859 32480 80 275 87 277 91 282 90 280 89 279 32480 31068 72 272 83 275 84 283 83 280 82 278 31068 29610 67 274 82 275 84 282 81 281 80 279 29610 28102 62 276 79 274 81 280 77 280 76 280 28102 26545 54 274 70 272 76 278 70 279 68 279 26545 24946 45 266 55 271 67 279 61 281 61 277 24946 23313 40 258 43 266 52 282 51 285 53 274 23313 21640 37 260 40 268 41 279 45 279 45 273 21640 19914 34 263 38 275 36 279 39 269 39 274 19914 18163 31 262 35 276 33 289 32 274 34 275 18163 16476 29 256 32 272 32 296 29 287 31 274 16476 14936 27 252 29 266 30 290 28 289 30 273 14936 13559 24 251 25 259 28 278 29 281 31 272 13559 12326 19 253 21 249 26 266 28 272 32 271 12326 11218 18 258 18 243 24 255 25 261 31 271 11218 10221 18 260 18 246 23 247 24 254 28 268 10221 9325 19 256 20 245 22 239 23 247 24 262 9325 8522 21 244 23 234 20*222 21 236 22 259 8522 7802 25 233 24 223 19*212 20 226 21 256 7802 7146 25 225 21*209 19 208 19 219 21 249 7146 6559 23 214 20*202 19 207 18 214 21 240 6559 6062 24 198 19 201 19 206 18 209 19 228 6062 5677 23 189 19 200 19 205 17 206 17 210 5677 5410 16 190 18 200 18 205 14 204 14 203 5410 5247 12 196 17 200 17 204 11 202 8*207 5247 5154 7*203 14 200 14 205 7*201 4*212 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography