DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 79.9 - - 74.8 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 42 - - 29 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7783 - - 1904 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10752 - - 5278 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12632 - - 6753 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2646 - - 7967 - - 2184 - - 753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 655 - - 229 - - 99 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 172 - - 229 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 752 - - -1487 - - -464 - - -61 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11880 - - 8240 - - 5620 - - 5216 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -668 - - -4064 - - -3468 - - -3713 ODpotential blCL - - - 13300 - - 10817 - - 8624 - - 8868 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 90 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 2210 - - 3350 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 79.9 - - 74.8 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 61.1 - - 67.0 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 79.1 - - 74.2 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 59.8 - - 66.0 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 42 - - 29 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7783 - - 1904 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 59 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 12 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98953 54 106 43 099 35 094 41 078 98953 91456 53 090 43 100 38 100 41 087 91456 85696 45 096 39 100 38 098 45 096 85696 80962 39 101 31 099 38 096 42 091 80962 76910 31 101 27 098 35 092 37 083 76910 73334 30 107 22 098 33 081 31 081 73334 70106 30 099 21 107 27 077 28 083 70106 67140 25 092 22 110 21 086 23 083 67140 64382 16 081 24 101 19 092 18 091 64382 61720 10 080 22 091 18 095 17 091 61720 58976 6 075 13 084 13 086 12 080 58976 56156 3 129 1 359 6 026 10 042 56156 53476 4 090 5 243 5 305 8 356 53476 51066 5 071 7 180 12 237 7 283 51066 48899 7 032 12 110 13 188 11 232 48899 46923 10 343 13 051 8 138 9 191 46923 45099 6 355 11 009 13 072 11 108 45099 43400 10 064 15 021 17 048 18 052 43400 41814 11 058 13 018 12 058 21 033 41814 40327 13 050 8 050 13 051 21 030 40327 38930 14 048 13 070 15 046 18 042 38930 37591 16 056 15 069 15 056 21 070 37591 36245 19 060 15 075 16 052 29 069 36245 34863 19 059 14 079 16 043 30 062 34863 33449 18 065 10 076 16 039 27 056 33449 31989 18 081 11 072 17 041 27 048 31989 30474 19 093 8 060 16 042 28 046 30474 28909 19 098 10 059 17 051 28 051 28909 27298 19 100 10 063 18 056 27 054 27298 25641 21 101 12 069 21 056 26 059 25641 23944 20 111 13 075 19 059 23 063 23944 22201 16 124 12 077 17 069 18 060 22201 20406 9 122 10 069 17 058 18 072 20406 18591 10 127 8 067 16 049 22 069 18591 16848 7 138 4 056 13 047 18 053 16848 15263 7 148 3 350 13 055 14 035 15263 13848 8*138 4 321 12 062 8 018 13848 12578 5*127 3 308 9 060 4 344 12578 11433 1 142 2 268 4 055 3 232 11433 10402 1 202 3 210 1 216 6 200 10402 9473 2 210 5 186 5 220 9 183 9473 8641 3 212 5 181 9 217 12 172 8641 7894 4 208 6 176 12 218 14 167 7894 7215 4 206 6*175 13 223 15 165 7215 6607 5 204 5*174 12 228 16 164 6607 6094 5 202 5 172 10 230 16 162 6094 5696 5 201 5 171 8 230 16 161 5696 5420 5 200 5 171 8 229 13 162 5420 5252 5 201 5 171 7*229 10 163 5252 5155 5 201 5 170 6*229 4*165 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography