DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 208 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 5710 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6330 - - 8691 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7285 - - 10559 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2271 - - 1787 - - 4973 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 444 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 323 - - 264 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 20 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5916 - - -5234 - - -8016 - - -5545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13202 - - 15794 - - 13171 - - 10699 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9445 - - -9164 - - -12820 - - -12165 ODpotential blCL - - - 16730 - - 19723 - - 17974 - - 17319 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 50 - - 43 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.3 - - 17.0 - - 20.0 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 66.8 - - 62.9 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 16.9 - - 19.9 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 208 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 5710 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96417 21 295 8 258 27 264 27 277 96417 89198 14 302 20 274 27 286 22 291 89198 83656 16 274 25 269 18 294 10 300 83656 79051 4 270 16 287 21 289 14 316 79051 75076 11 281 15 283 11 289 15 284 75076 71590 14 277 7 292 6 226 14 279 71590 68443 15 304 22 302 15 319 18 321 68443 65554 27 290 26 286 28 287 27 294 65554 62895 31 274 27 278 32 284 36 282 62895 60329 38 277 33 280 38 276 40 269 60329 57652 41 281 39 276 43 274 43 275 57652 54868 48 283 52 279 53 279 56 281 54868 52213 61 281 67 279 64 277 64 277 52213 49824 74 279 79 278 72 278 71 279 49824 47681 85 275 88 274 81 273 84 271 47681 45737 90 274 91 272 88 268 92 268 45737 43957 94 276 93 273 92 268 98 267 43957 42306 99 277 99 273 101 268 105 266 42306 40762 104 279 104 273 112 268 111 267 40762 39310 107 280 107 274 116 268 109 268 39310 37945 108 280 108 277 106 272 101 273 37945 36636 102 279 104 280 100 278 96 274 36636 35318 93 278 92 281 99 280 96 274 35318 33962 84 277 82 279 89 277 96 279 33962 32572 74 276 74 276 81 275 88 283 32572 31136 63 276 65 276 72 275 75 281 31136 29648 58 279 57 275 60 273 61 276 29648 28117 58 281 51 275 52 275 49 268 28117 26542 57 281 50 278 47 278 44 266 26542 24924 52 280 50 281 46 282 42 267 24924 23268 44 277 46 283 45 285 41 270 23268 21571 34 271 39 281 42 285 38 274 21571 19832 26 267 33 275 35 280 33 275 19832 18080 23 268 27 273 28 279 26 273 18080 16401 22 271 24 275 25 286 21 276 16401 14870 20 278 23 277 23 288 20 278 14870 13501 17 290 21 280 21 287 18 279 13501 12274 14 309 15 283 16 286 15 275 12274 11171 13 331 6*295 8 276 10 260 11171 10179 15 343 4*310 1 240 7 228 10179 9289 17 344 4 318 0 270 3 208 9289 8492 18 335 4 324 2 282 1 237 8492 7778 18*322 5 324 4 276 1 013 7778 7128 18*311 5 326 5 276 2 029 7128 6546 18 308 5 327 6 274 3 041 6546 6054 17 305 5 327 6 273 4 044 6054 5672 17 304 5 327 7 272 4 040 5672 5408 16 302 5 327 6 271 4 027 5408 5246 15 302 5 327 5*268 3*022 5246 5154 13 301 4 327 3*264 3*018 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography