DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 60.5 - - 65.3 - - 60.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 269 - - 235 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2951 - - 4752 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6710 - - 8021 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7800 - - 9601 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 401 - - 1095 - - 1345 - - 5703 - - 751 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 389 - - 436 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S 4 - - 13 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 165 - - 224 - - 173 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -569 - - -1089 - - -1164 - - -4518 - - -1145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5723 - - 8889 - - 10765 - - 9672 - - 6299 sfcLCL ODpotential -6060 - - -6135 - - -5395 - - -9646 - - -7731 ODpotential blCL 11213 - - 13935 - - 14996 - - 14800 - - 12885 blCL maxRH 70 - - 61 - - 56 - - 55 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 60.5 - - 65.3 - - 60.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 58.6 - - 63.4 - - 62.4 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.5 - - 39.1 - - 35.7 - - 35.8 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 269 - - 235 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2951 - - 4752 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96757 66 276 60 274 62 257 61 267 70 267 96757 89431 49 288 46 285 40 285 38 279 44 274 89431 83838 28 286 36 288 34 305 34 308 19 325 83838 79236 19 302 25 288 31 294 36 308 26 340 79236 75290 18 315 19 300 26 295 26 303 23 332 75290 71823 20 327 20 318 22 316 20 309 22 323 71823 68698 19 322 19 317 23 319 21 310 26 324 68698 65840 21 323 21 313 23 313 25 312 30 317 65840 63212 21 325 18 307 22 306 22 309 27 298 63212 60682 22 323 16 310 17 297 16 310 22 280 60682 58049 30 318 20 313 20 304 20 304 21 293 58049 55330 47 316 36 300 31 293 26 304 30 314 55330 52742 50 297 48 284 48 286 40 296 41 297 52742 50396 42 293 47 289 46 281 37 281 41 291 50396 48261 38 318 40 300 27 297 28 285 41 298 48261 46301 44 325 40 316 35 325 42 309 47 304 46301 44486 49 321 44 320 51 324 51 315 52 302 44486 42792 50 319 44 321 53 322 52 312 51 302 42792 41201 47 310 42 318 49 324 47 315 45 310 41201 39702 34 306 40 310 47 327 43 321 43 327 39702 38289 30 308 42 297 47 330 43 329 44 335 38289 36931 26 312 34 298 46 325 44 338 46 337 36931 35569 22 320 23 303 43 310 42 331 42 334 35569 34180 26 334 21 319 29 299 35 317 39 327 34180 32763 22 326 25 327 20 324 26 306 37 314 32763 31303 22 300 21 305 25 335 22 324 26 305 31303 29793 20 294 22 293 25 317 26 337 18 335 29793 28238 17 297 18 296 23 301 24 336 20 003 28238 26644 13 297 11 306 16 297 20 318 18 010 26644 25021 7 306 6 336 9 297 12 305 13 354 25021 23370 3 042 6 046 1 020 4 317 7 340 23370 21676 6 075 8 064 5 075 2 049 5 020 21676 19929 6 095 6 078 4 068 3 071 4 063 19929 18162 5 116 4 112 2 088 3 081 4 105 18162 16463 2 205 1 273 3 308 2 360 3 111 16463 14916 5 276 8 289 9 303 7 318 1 314 14916 13536 7 288 11 294 13 303 13 309 6 309 13536 12300 6 303 12 298 13 309 15 310 10 314 12300 11189 4 313 9 302 10 315 10 318 13 318 11189 10189 2 326 6 298 3*293 5 321 11 312 10189 9294 2 030 4 289 3*241 2 310 6 301 9294 8495 3 060 3*217 3 231 1 236 5 286 8495 7778 4 084 5*173 3 224 2 202 6 244 7778 7128 7 098 6 169 3 222 3 185 8 212 7128 6545 9 096 6 166 3 219 4 180 11 187 6545 6053 10 092 6 162 3 219 4 178 12 173 6053 5672 9 087 5 161 3 219 4 175 10 168 5672 5408 8 076 5 160 3 219 4 174 5 157 5408 5246 6 056 5 159 3 217 4 175 1*119 5246 5154 3*044 4 159 3 218 3*173 2*012 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography