DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.1 - - 65.5 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 197 - - -13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1805 - - 5046 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5811 - - 8153 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6654 - - 9895 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2863 - - 1976 - - 4602 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 418 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 244 - - 263 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4843 - - -3232 - - -6538 - - -5186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11498 - - 13127 - - 11694 - - 10341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9922 - - -7983 - - -13096 - - -12648 ODpotential blCL - - - 16576 - - 17878 - - 18251 - - 17802 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 78 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.1 - - 65.5 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 33.4 - - 32.6 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 71.3 - - 68.4 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 33.4 - - 32.6 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 197 - - -13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1805 - - 5046 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96295 41 268 44 268 40 272 42 282 96295 89101 27 266 31 275 29 275 33 275 89101 83604 19 286 21 278 23 271 26 286 83604 79062 23 306 12 309 17 280 20 304 79062 75136 24 307 19 317 16 297 20 302 75136 71681 22 304 23 311 19 305 19 293 71681 68593 18 294 19 303 25 314 19 283 68593 65794 14 285 16 275 14 273 20 272 65794 63212 20 254 24 252 19 243 22 266 63212 60715 30 235 33 242 26 254 24 259 60715 58109 43 227 44 239 41 264 31 256 58109 55401 50 229 53 235 46 256 38 256 55401 52797 50 231 54 229 51 240 45 255 52797 50426 47 231 52 229 53 230 51 246 50426 48276 46 230 52 228 54 225 56 237 48276 46305 49 229 50 231 54 226 57 232 46305 44484 46 235 48 245 49 240 54 236 44484 42800 47 246 50 250 50 254 52 246 42800 41244 50 250 51 248 47 256 49 250 41244 39794 52 250 49 248 42 253 44 252 39794 38429 50 251 43 255 36 255 40 252 38429 37117 46 252 39 259 31 255 36 249 37117 35795 44 253 39 259 30 255 32 249 35795 34436 43 254 40 260 31 255 30 254 34436 33046 39 255 40 260 34 256 30 262 33046 31611 39 263 38 262 35 255 29 258 31611 30120 36 263 37 259 34 250 28 232 30120 28574 32 249 33 252 32 241 28 221 28574 26978 31 233 32 245 29 242 28 229 26978 25338 28 226 30 243 27 255 25 248 25338 23657 23 219 27 247 29 274 25 262 23657 21928 20 225 24 255 30 282 22 272 21928 20146 16 237 22 263 27 281 16 278 20146 18348 14 251 19 269 23 276 13 283 18348 16626 13 266 15 273 16 275 12 290 16626 15060 13 277 13 279 12 280 11 295 15060 13662 13 274 11 286 10 286 11 299 13662 12411 12 259 11 284 9 294 11 301 12411 11286 10 245 10 269 8 293 11 303 11286 10274 8 229 9*252 7 283 10 305 10274 9365 6 222 9*249 7 270 9 306 9365 8552 7 236 10 248 7 262 9 304 8552 7822 10 238 9 246 8 262 9 297 7822 7161 11*232 9 244 9 264 8 286 7161 6568 11*229 9 243 9 265 9 277 6568 6068 11 227 9 241 10 266 9 276 6068 5681 11 227 9 240 10 266 9 277 5681 5412 10 227 8 240 9 266 8 278 5412 5248 9 227 8 239 8*264 4*277 5248 5154 8 227 7 239 5*263 3*276 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography