DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 87.1 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 361 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9267 - - 11995 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11854 - - 14032 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14116 - - 16844 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1727 - - 787 - - - - - 383 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 645 - - 684 - - - - - 41 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 34 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 066 - - - - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1323 - - 2207 - - - - - -1140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12794 - - 14637 - - - - - 6295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1807 - - 992 - - - - - -4987 ODpotential blCL - - - 15923 - - 15852 - - - - - 10142 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 91 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 50 - - - - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 87.1 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 40.3 - - - - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.6 - - 84.4 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 40.1 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 361 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9267 - - 11995 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 66 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98312 8 175 18 220 8 295 98312 90883 9 071 8 129 4 082 90883 85181 14 105 18 112 6 072 85181 80473 15 093 13 115 4 090 80473 76434 13 079 13 107 10 088 76434 72863 12 096 8 068 19 076 72863 69632 11 086 9 090 21 069 69632 66670 14 086 14 078 16 070 66670 63945 12 082 11 063 10 081 63945 61331 7 086 6 084 10 071 61331 58627 5 106 5 176 5 306 58627 55860 9 246 13 267 15 283 55860 53239 19 262 24 270 17 272 53239 50873 22 273 24 277 19 267 50873 48735 24 287 27 286 24 275 48735 46776 28 284 30 280 30 271 46776 44966 32 273 33 271 38 266 44966 43281 33 271 35 268 39 261 43281 41702 35 275 35 267 35 260 41702 40218 35 276 34 265 34 261 40218 38824 32 276 31 264 33 255 38824 37488 27 282 28 262 30 252 37488 36142 25 285 26 263 28 255 36142 34759 27 284 25 262 22 256 34759 33345 27 286 25 268 16 255 33345 31887 26 290 25 282 16 256 31887 30371 24 292 22 287 14 256 30371 28802 19 288 18 294 12 249 28802 27183 17 281 14 285 10 248 27183 25521 14 270 14 273 10 258 25521 23820 12 264 13 263 8 263 23820 22077 9 264 11 258 6 260 22077 20289 6 292 8 272 3 089 20289 18488 6 320 7*302 2 046 18488 16762 8 341 4*327 10 311 16762 15195 6*006 3 339 13 311 15195 13793 4*042 3 352 9 328 13793 12534 4 065 2 019 5 011 12534 11398 4 077 3 062 4 082 11398 10375 4 075 4 078 7 119 10375 9452 3 061 5 082 10 127 9452 8625 3 049 6 084 14 126 8625 7883 3 039 7 086 18 125 7883 7208 3 035 8 086 22 126 7208 6603 3 029 8 087 24 126 6603 6091 3 027 8 086 23 126 6091 5694 3 027 9 086 19 124 5694 5419 2 024 8 086 13 115 5419 5252 2 026 8 086 8*102 5252 5155 2 025 8 086 4*090 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography