DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 50.0 - - 60.6 - - 53.7 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 310 - - 245 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 1672 - - 3296 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5805 - - 6931 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5676 - - 6521 - - 8145 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 428 - - 432 - - 932 - - 2626 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 336 - - 390 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 124 - - 203 - - 207 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -11 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -280 - - -2084 - - -2213 - - -3563 - - -1292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5956 - - 8606 - - 10359 - - 8717 - - 6445 sfcLCL ODpotential -10552 - - -9714 - - -8497 - - -11571 - - -11242 ODpotential blCL 16228 - - 16235 - - 16642 - - 16725 - - 16395 blCL maxRH 84 - - 68 - - 53 - - 52 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 50.0 - - 60.6 - - 53.7 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 30.7 - - 33.3 - - 33.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 - - 47.9 - - 58.7 - - 55.9 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 30.7 - - 33.3 - - 33.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 310 - - 245 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 1672 - - 3296 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96363 37 265 50 258 47 280 52 272 51 285 96363 89269 39 271 44 269 36 266 35 274 39 283 89269 83767 31 266 36 277 29 264 26 282 26 282 83767 79162 19 281 24 281 27 278 22 266 20 268 79162 75205 16 301 20 281 28 276 22 270 19 281 75205 71738 13 272 19 271 30 262 25 278 20 297 71738 68594 17 272 19 262 28 258 27 291 20 300 68594 65681 31 274 23 256 28 272 32 285 25 281 65681 62974 36 264 29 256 34 274 37 275 32 276 62974 60360 34 264 35 259 37 268 39 271 41 279 60360 57643 38 273 40 269 38 268 40 268 46 276 57643 54831 47 274 46 276 43 273 39 273 46 271 54831 52151 51 272 50 276 49 275 41 280 44 275 52151 49745 51 271 51 272 51 272 44 280 47 278 49745 47592 52 269 52 274 49 275 45 282 47 281 47592 45641 49 269 54 278 51 282 47 290 50 289 45641 43860 41 280 47 279 52 282 52 292 53 295 43860 42223 39 286 43 288 45 282 49 292 48 301 42223 40706 29 272 38 277 43 281 48 293 48 299 40706 39288 13 257 18 243 30 269 46 281 46 290 39288 37954 19 355 9 309 18 292 30 278 45 276 37954 36671 28 357 19 343 25 321 25 313 34 280 36671 35379 29 340 17 327 28 320 30 328 26 298 35379 34051 22 330 16 310 30 321 30 335 25 299 34051 32688 10 342 11 298 31 321 26 347 27 305 32688 31282 12 353 11 308 30 322 25 354 32 337 31282 29826 15 357 11 318 28 324 27 357 36 350 29826 28320 18 006 13 325 28 326 33 358 32 352 28320 26762 16 001 14 324 27 330 40 001 31 357 26762 25157 8 015 13 309 27 336 46 004 29 003 25157 23507 7 296 14 298 26 337 39 005 20 002 23507 21804 18 297 19 306 22 332 31 351 16 345 21804 20042 22 313 23 320 22 328 30 345 18 338 20042 18256 21 318 21 331 24 329 24 343 19 340 18256 16537 17 301 16 318 22 331 22 339 19 339 16537 14972 16 290 14 296 15 318 18 334 17 338 14972 13576 13 286 11 286 12 290 12 308 13 330 13576 12326 11 273 10 270 11 271 12 279 12 302 12326 11202 10 255 11 256 12 262 14 271 15 287 11202 10193 11 238 12 244 13 255 16 265 17 275 10193 9290 11 213 14 227 14 242 16 258 17 264 9290 8485 13 192 16 212 12*216 13 254 17 258 8485 7767 15 179 15 198 11*206 10 244 15 255 7767 7116 17 148 12*184 11 204 8 226 11 255 7116 6535 17 116 6*139 11 203 9 216 7 248 6535 6045 15*081 6 126 11 203 9 211 5 221 6045 5666 14*072 6 121 10 202 10 207 5 174 5666 5404 14 071 6 118 10 202 9 206 5 143 5404 5245 13 071 6 116 10 202 7*206 2 120 5245 5153 10 070 5 115 9 202 5*207 1*065 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography