DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 86.7 - - 85.2 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 498 - - 189 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5548 - - 6894 - - 6163 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8986 - - 10036 - - 8987 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10397 - - 11743 - - 11012 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2121 - - 3053 - - 3215 - - 3646 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 609 - - 632 - - 442 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 071 - - 069 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -6 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 172 - - 346 - - -559 - - -3612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10226 - - 11398 - - 11572 - - 8768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1675 - - -984 - - -2003 - - -7076 ODpotential blCL - - - 12072 - - 12727 - - 13015 - - 12232 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 80 - - 83 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 660 - - 340 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 86.7 - - 85.2 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 54.1 - - 52.0 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 83.5 - - 83.5 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 54.0 - - 51.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 498 - - 189 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5548 - - 6894 - - 6163 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 20 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98881 37 095 47 100 38 111 36 079 98881 91427 45 097 43 100 39 098 42 083 91427 85701 50 101 38 098 42 084 42 080 85701 80963 43 095 39 095 43 081 40 090 80963 76886 37 086 42 092 39 087 41 096 76886 73282 36 085 40 087 36 091 40 087 73282 70023 29 081 31 088 29 088 35 080 70023 67038 16 085 26 094 23 078 27 079 67038 64294 13 092 22 090 18 085 20 076 64294 61659 12 094 19 098 17 088 18 067 61659 58938 17 095 19 102 13 088 12 064 58938 56152 23 071 21 073 17 078 12 068 56152 53518 22 054 20 046 19 051 14 062 53518 51151 18 058 18 034 20 028 16 032 51151 49017 15 052 16 027 17 010 19 006 49017 47062 19 043 15 024 15 006 17 357 47062 45255 22 033 16 023 15 024 12 015 45255 43567 25 009 21 013 20 025 14 034 43567 41981 26 339 20 358 23 012 18 030 41981 40487 20 333 15 331 23 005 18 025 40487 39078 13 354 14 314 19 352 18 015 39078 37724 14 006 12 308 14 352 19 012 37724 36360 17 002 10 314 15 359 21 008 36360 34958 20 360 10 334 19 350 23 002 34958 33524 21 000 16 353 18 343 23 354 33524 32048 19 356 19 350 16 337 20 346 32048 30520 16 350 15 347 13 345 15 339 30520 28941 13 359 11 357 13 353 12 327 28941 27314 14 011 12 008 12 358 12 332 27314 25646 19 010 11 015 16 002 17 352 25646 23947 23 021 14 019 17 003 22 358 23947 22208 31 030 18 032 16 012 21 002 22208 20415 29 025 19 034 19 016 22 008 20415 18599 32 004 19 028 24 011 27 021 18599 16856 34 006 21 023 23 357 28 034 16856 15269 33 015 20 020 19 349 24 039 15269 13849 23 012 15 008 17 351 20 038 13849 12576 10 357 9*007 11 008 18 034 12576 11431 2 047 6*040 9*039 17 033 11431 10399 6*077 7 054 9*047 14 035 10399 9470 8*070 8 061 9 055 11 051 9470 8639 9 069 9 071 11 067 9 077 8639 7893 10 069 10 075 12 072 11 095 7893 7216 11 069 10 077 13 074 13 099 7216 6609 12 069 11 079 13 075 14 096 6609 6095 12 069 11 081 14 075 14 092 6095 5697 12 069 11 081 14 076 14 088 5697 5421 12 069 11 082 13 076 12 084 5421 5252 11 069 11 082 13 076 9*081 5252 5156 10 069 10 082 11 076 6*079 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography