DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 69.7 - - 62.4 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 243 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3933 - - 5579 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7403 - - 8671 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8782 - - 10428 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2643 - - 2091 - - 4654 - - 322 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 464 - - 8 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 250 - - 280 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4131 - - -3375 - - -7081 - - -5153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12914 - - 13804 - - 12236 - - 10308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8010 - - -6982 - - -12204 - - -12265 ODpotential blCL - - - 16792 - - 17410 - - 17358 - - 17419 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 81 - - 71 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 69.7 - - 62.4 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 26.9 - - 27.0 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 67.8 - - 64.8 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.9 - - 26.8 - - 27.0 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 243 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3933 - - 5579 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 25 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96639 43 239 44 244 42 255 43 271 96639 89311 20 260 19 258 21 260 26 284 89311 83764 16 280 12 263 12 277 11 291 83764 79206 10 304 9 280 11 299 14 282 79206 75303 13 286 11 300 7 308 10 311 75303 71846 13 286 14 279 12 274 12 306 71846 68718 12 281 14 276 11 286 13 264 68718 65883 12 244 12 254 11 278 11 240 65883 63266 19 231 21 235 18 253 12 260 63266 60713 30 244 30 239 27 237 28 238 60713 58036 37 246 31 247 31 257 31 244 58036 55229 47 244 47 256 47 260 42 252 55229 52518 56 245 56 252 53 255 53 256 52518 50063 60 249 58 247 56 250 60 255 50063 47860 63 252 57 249 55 251 64 254 47860 45868 64 251 58 255 57 258 66 254 45868 44060 64 252 64 256 64 258 67 252 44060 42412 63 254 68 254 67 254 68 250 42412 40886 61 255 69 253 69 252 65 250 40886 39451 62 260 67 254 69 252 63 250 39451 38095 62 265 66 256 65 251 63 252 38095 36790 61 266 65 259 60 251 63 255 36790 35474 59 265 65 260 59 252 63 258 35474 34120 57 264 61 259 59 255 63 259 34120 32732 53 261 57 257 58 258 62 260 32732 31302 48 257 54 259 58 259 59 259 31302 29821 46 254 53 263 58 259 54 257 29821 28292 45 255 50 266 55 260 50 254 28292 26714 40 257 47 266 49 260 49 250 26714 25089 33 258 44 265 44 259 47 249 25089 23420 32 255 40 266 41 259 42 248 23420 21704 32 250 37 263 35 260 36 246 21704 19941 31 248 35 259 31 261 30 247 19941 18167 31 250 34 255 29 260 27 253 18167 16470 31 253 32 256 25 260 25 257 16470 14927 30 256 29 258 22 264 23 260 14927 13549 27 259 25 259 21 268 23 263 13549 12315 22 262 19 259 19 269 22 268 12315 11206 17 260 13*257 16 266 22 271 11206 10208 13 254 8*251 11 257 19 268 10208 9312 9*254 7 251 8 244 13 257 9312 8509 7*264 7 250 7 246 9 239 8509 7790 6 277 7 249 7 255 6 233 7790 7136 6 284 7 250 7 263 4 253 7136 6551 6 286 8 250 7 269 3 307 6551 6057 5 288 7 249 8 273 3 355 6057 5674 5 288 8 249 8 275 3 035 5674 5409 5 287 7 250 7 277 3 044 5409 5247 4 287 7 249 6 278 2*050 5247 5154 4 286 7 250 4*280 1*054 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography