DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 78.7 - - 77.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 134 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4412 - - 4091 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7864 - - 7236 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9261 - - 8940 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3605 - - 3664 - - 8725 - - 506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 345 - - 44 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 029 - - 129 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 404 - - 90 - - -2701 - - -4338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8857 - - 8851 - - 7857 - - 9494 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1002 - - -1364 - - -4999 - - -8251 ODpotential blCL - - - 10263 - - 10304 - - 10155 - - 13406 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 830 - - 800 - - 1010 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 78.7 - - 77.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 57.2 - - 59.8 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 77.3 - - 77.6 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 57.0 - - 58.5 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 134 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4412 - - 4091 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 101 - - 100 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98213 15 104 6 082 10 088 15 060 98213 90841 16 095 15 110 7 112 17 039 90841 85150 13 071 21 092 12 116 14 062 85150 80408 14 067 18 073 17 079 17 084 80408 76334 8 072 13 081 15 070 16 078 76334 72768 7 107 9 049 14 058 17 080 72768 69572 10 103 8 061 14 043 14 059 69572 66663 8 045 10 050 14 041 17 043 66663 63994 10 035 8 015 12 032 18 039 63994 61424 4 043 4 340 14 342 17 348 61424 58753 7 358 6 005 10 339 15 314 58753 55998 25 342 23 349 22 001 16 353 55998 53399 50 311 43 324 45 331 34 337 53399 51082 55 307 53 310 57 316 47 326 51082 48979 51 313 55 309 59 312 55 320 48979 47036 51 314 56 310 54 311 54 311 47036 45227 51 312 57 308 52 311 59 311 45227 43534 53 307 56 305 54 307 61 310 43534 41944 56 304 55 300 58 303 61 308 41944 40441 55 301 56 295 60 300 60 307 40441 39022 49 294 55 290 56 296 57 306 39022 37656 47 289 50 287 55 291 55 301 37656 36283 49 287 48 284 53 287 52 294 36283 34875 50 287 50 284 51 286 50 289 34875 33438 48 290 49 287 48 290 45 288 33438 31960 43 295 47 288 43 293 40 295 31960 30432 38 299 41 292 37 296 36 302 30432 28857 35 302 35 300 30 304 25 302 28857 27237 31 305 28 304 23 311 19 306 27237 25572 25 305 20 307 18 308 16 297 25572 23870 19 301 16 301 15 300 13 297 23870 22127 17 298 14 300 11 301 9 308 22127 20332 16 289 13 289 11 304 10 308 20332 18516 13 277 14 279 11 303 14 302 18516 16776 12 276 14 279 14 285 15 301 16776 15197 10 275 10 284 12 314 12 297 15197 13789 10 284 8 295 9 338 7 285 13789 12528 9 307 8 313 7 011 4 285 12528 11392 8 323 7 318 7 036 1 293 11392 10367 5 334 6 337 7 048 2 091 10367 9445 2*025 4*006 6 056 4 078 9445 8619 3*050 4*015 6 060 7 065 8619 7877 3 056 4 019 6 067 10 059 7877 7204 3 057 4 026 5 075 13 056 7204 6600 3 060 4 031 4 086 15 054 6600 6090 4 062 4 035 3 099 15 054 6090 5694 4 064 4 041 3 109 14 053 5694 5419 4 064 3 043 3 117 11 053 5419 5251 4 064 3 044 2*123 7*052 5251 5155 4 064 3 045 2*129 4*051 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography