DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.3 - - 33.1 - - 28.5 - - 25.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 57 - - 65 - - 78 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 412 - - 303 - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5136 - - 5135 - - 5135 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5289 - - 5261 - - 5152 - - 5151 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 480 - - 597 - - 579 - - 511 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 122 - - 115 - - 121 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 087 - - 087 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 137 - - 109 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5151 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 96 - - 24 - - -30 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 5193 - - 5237 - - 5182 - - 5151 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.3 - - 33.1 - - 28.5 - - 25.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 32.5 - - 27.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 32.4 - - 27.6 - - 24.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 32.1 - - 27.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 57 - - 65 - - 78 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 412 - - 303 - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96047 75 253 67 243 75 255 75 262 96047 88870 72 258 66 258 63 262 66 267 88870 83392 59 261 63 262 63 271 60 267 83392 78860 46 264 44 262 54 265 51 269 78860 74945 36 267 33 261 40 261 46 270 74945 71502 29 270 32 257 30 262 37 268 71502 68418 27 272 27 258 26 258 24 261 68418 65573 25 262 22 255 24 256 23 272 65573 62918 27 254 26 275 35 262 38 257 62918 60366 33 260 42 270 46 256 44 250 60366 57705 45 247 47 252 50 256 48 253 57705 54907 42 243 51 243 55 258 55 248 54907 52200 48 246 54 243 60 254 58 246 52200 49731 52 243 53 244 62 248 62 246 49731 47491 53 243 53 245 60 244 66 244 47491 45437 53 246 55 243 56 241 68 242 45437 43543 59 246 60 238 57 239 72 240 43543 41787 69 238 68 235 64 237 77 235 41787 40154 70 231 74 232 69 233 78 231 40154 38629 68 237 76 235 70 237 75 229 38629 37201 85 244 87 239 83 241 74 230 37201 35842 101 240 99 236 102 239 79 232 35842 34490 97 235 101 232 114 232 88 231 34490 33120 84 229 101 229 112 225 96 228 33120 31734 80 226 99 228 107 220 98 224 31734 30315 82 225 90 227 105 216 95 219 30315 28857 81 225 79 226 96 215 91 217 28857 27359 77 226 75 226 88 215 91 217 27359 25826 75 228 72 226 80 216 89 219 25826 24262 76 232 71 225 72 217 83 221 24262 22670 71 233 71 227 68 219 70 224 22670 21042 67 232 66 228 64 222 60 227 21042 19367 60 236 56 228 54 222 60 228 19367 17672 46 239 47 228 46 226 51 225 17672 16043 37 240 43 228 43 234 51 224 16043 14561 31 239 44 229 46 244 48 224 14561 13237 29 234 45 230 50 250 44 226 13237 12047 32 229 46 229 48 250 41 234 12047 10977 37 224 46 225 44 244 38 246 10977 10013 37 218 43 220 40 234 36 250 10013 9145 35 209 39 216 37 224 33 247 9145 8367 31 204 35 210 35 218 30 240 8367 7669 26 198 30 201 31 212 26 233 7669 7035 21 191 26 190 25 199 22 222 7035 6469 17 173 19 172 18 179 16 205 6469 5997 12 133 11 137 11 138 9 182 5997 5636 11 095 9 096 11 094 6 084 5636 5389 10*091 9*090 10 090 6 077 5389 5238 10*089 9*088 10*088 6 075 5238 5151 8 087 8 086 8*087 5*075 5151 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography