DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 66.8 - - 65.6 - - 59.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 481 - - 485 - - 89 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 841 - - 4783 - - 4650 - - 3177 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 8325 - - 8221 - - 6283 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5690 - - 9632 - - 9499 - - 8026 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 488 - - 1801 - - 1511 - - 1182 - - 2081 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 553 - - 549 - - 274 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 25 - - 21 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 007 - - 027 - - 039 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - 3 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2650 - - -3225 - - -2467 - - -4545 - - -5103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8340 - - 12857 - - 11966 - - 12572 - - 10256 sfcLCL ODpotential -6468 - - -8936 - - -8549 - - -11886 - - -13831 ODpotential blCL 12158 - - 18568 - - 18048 - - 19912 - - 18984 blCL maxRH 54 - - 45 - - 49 - - 38 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 66.8 - - 65.6 - - 59.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 28.2 - - 31.0 - - 22.7 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 64.2 - - 62.8 - - 58.6 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 28.1 - - 31.0 - - 22.8 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 481 - - 485 - - 89 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 841 - - 4783 - - 4650 - - 3177 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 20 255 23 271 20 241 31 256 35 276 96646 89413 24 263 19 272 21 267 27 274 25 300 89413 83932 19 272 21 255 32 275 31 285 21 293 83932 79395 11 287 17 249 24 254 21 279 21 291 79395 75460 13 311 11 245 14 275 15 274 25 302 75460 71970 23 312 24 290 22 286 22 271 29 287 71970 68822 21 296 21 286 17 281 21 265 30 269 68822 65944 22 268 17 285 18 284 21 272 30 272 65944 63281 21 239 30 276 25 275 27 269 32 274 63281 60689 33 258 39 258 34 259 32 262 36 270 60689 57969 47 230 39 246 39 257 38 269 38 273 57969 55141 41 239 42 257 44 261 44 269 43 277 55141 52443 38 256 45 258 44 260 45 263 47 274 52443 50007 36 260 42 260 43 260 46 262 50 268 50007 47814 42 273 46 265 48 268 47 265 50 265 47814 45818 55 270 51 263 53 267 47 270 47 270 45818 44001 55 259 46 267 45 280 40 280 44 274 44001 42348 37 273 43 287 45 295 40 288 38 282 42348 40825 44 295 46 289 35 301 38 291 35 292 40825 39399 48 293 29 299 27 297 28 296 30 292 39399 38055 44 291 20 341 23 326 24 308 25 293 38055 36762 34 348 34 359 25 336 24 318 25 299 36762 35460 52 009 42 353 27 336 27 316 24 302 35460 34121 65 004 43 349 28 335 29 319 22 302 34121 32749 65 360 43 348 29 334 30 325 20 304 32749 31330 61 001 44 347 31 332 30 330 22 309 31330 29856 57 004 44 346 34 331 31 333 26 316 29856 28327 53 004 44 344 37 330 31 332 29 319 28327 26749 50 000 43 342 40 329 33 330 33 319 26749 25126 46 003 43 342 42 329 36 327 33 317 25126 23462 43 007 40 342 42 328 39 324 32 315 23462 21750 39 355 32 340 39 328 39 320 30 314 21750 19983 36 341 28 339 33 327 36 316 26 311 19983 18194 35 343 32 339 31 330 31 319 23 313 18194 16475 33 339 36 336 32 329 28 327 20 325 16475 14911 32 329 31 332 28 325 27 334 20 341 14911 13519 30 330 25 346 20 327 20 335 19 346 13519 12279 31 339 22 007 14 001 15 335 13 339 12279 11166 33 348 23 017 18 026 14 351 9 326 11166 10166 34 354 23*009 19*026 15 013 8 327 10166 9268 36 357 25*006 20*026 18 031 8 360 9268 8467 38 357 25 006 20 026 19*037 13 035 8467 7753 37 354 26 006 21 026 20*038 20 046 7753 7109 36 349 26 007 22 027 20 039 24 050 7109 6532 33 338 26 007 22 027 20 039 25 053 6532 6045 29*325 26 007 22 027 20 039 24 054 6045 5667 24*315 25 007 21 027 19 039 23 053 5667 5405 22 313 24 007 21 027 19 040 19 051 5405 5245 19 312 22 007 19 027 17 040 15 049 5245 5153 14 311 19 008 17 028 14 040 9*049 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography