DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 62.0 - - 66.6 - - 60.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 252 - - 232 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2355 - - 3980 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6244 - - 7424 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7204 - - 8829 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 231 - - 807 - - 1260 - - 5202 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 352 - - 408 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 019 - - 138 - - 151 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 8 - - -3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2795 - - -5712 - - -5468 - - -7916 - - -4728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7948 - - 12917 - - 14298 - - 13070 - - 9883 sfcLCL ODpotential -12376 - - -12102 - - -11679 - - -15022 - - -14229 ODpotential blCL 17529 - - 19306 - - 20508 - - 20176 - - 19383 blCL maxRH 41 - - 45 - - 49 - - 54 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 62.0 - - 66.6 - - 60.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 23.7 - - 22.0 - - 21.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 60.0 - - 64.6 - - 63.7 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 23.7 - - 22.0 - - 21.8 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 252 - - 232 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2355 - - 3980 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96286 21 258 28 254 33 246 36 272 34 262 96286 89034 19 267 22 271 17 278 27 289 18 275 89034 83535 7 284 11 278 9 272 20 281 17 322 83535 79005 12 342 6 295 6 286 11 271 17 319 79005 75102 12 334 5 289 9 299 9 287 12 301 75102 71653 7 317 2 273 7 240 6 253 12 271 71653 68542 8 263 11 301 9 296 4 306 9 254 68542 65701 13 252 16 287 16 300 10 323 8 268 65701 63068 15 293 15 282 17 282 20 309 14 283 63068 60513 15 285 22 283 28 267 31 293 24 285 60513 57847 20 275 29 277 35 267 37 279 35 279 57847 55083 29 278 35 278 36 267 38 274 38 271 55083 52438 38 280 40 277 36 274 36 277 39 277 52438 50037 43 279 44 272 43 278 35 281 46 276 50037 47865 45 276 46 268 47 274 44 280 47 274 47865 45891 47 274 47 266 49 275 49 283 47 268 45891 44102 49 274 52 275 51 282 48 282 39 271 44102 42459 46 279 52 283 51 286 41 279 61 291 42459 40926 40 305 41 295 39 282 44 285 86 292 40926 39490 46 330 37 311 27 302 51 288 88 294 39490 38136 59 332 44 324 29 321 56 289 79 296 38136 36833 67 331 47 325 34 317 59 291 64 300 36833 35519 63 331 42 319 39 310 56 294 48 291 35519 34171 54 333 37 314 37 304 51 294 38 272 34171 32793 44 332 38 311 38 295 46 298 33 267 32793 31371 37 322 38 310 40 291 34 291 29 270 31371 29894 33 309 36 304 37 289 30 280 32 263 29894 28366 32 298 37 295 37 287 30 274 36 260 28366 26785 32 292 38 290 39 290 28 271 35 260 26785 25159 32 294 34 288 37 291 27 279 28 266 25159 23491 32 299 29 288 31 285 24 276 22 270 23491 21779 29 300 25 284 26 280 21 265 21 268 21779 20015 27 299 22 280 22 277 17 261 20 267 20015 18230 25 303 18 284 20 275 14 259 18 269 18230 16516 22 310 15 292 17 276 13 258 17 270 16516 14955 20 317 12 298 13 282 12 259 16 270 14955 13563 19 322 10 303 11 288 11 264 16 269 13563 12317 18 323 9 305 10 287 12 270 17 268 12317 11199 18 321 10 301 9 286 10 265 16 266 11199 10196 18 319 11 299 6 275 8 235 14 260 10196 9297 17 318 13 303 3*248 8 227 7 236 9297 8497 16 321 12 310 2*223 7 223 4 195 8497 7780 13 334 9*335 2 183 7 218 4 209 7780 7129 13 359 8*010 2 146 6 209 5 217 7129 6546 16 014 8 015 3 131 5 194 4 208 6546 6054 17 019 8 019 3 124 4 178 4 189 6054 5672 16 017 8 022 3 118 4 164 3 160 5672 5407 13 009 8 024 3 117 4 154 3 128 5407 5246 8 008 8 025 3 116 4*150 2*086 5246 5154 4*013 7 025 3 116 3*151 1*065 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography