DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 58.4 - - 55.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 274 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1550 - - 2902 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5698 - - 6677 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6399 - - 7751 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 583 - - 994 - - 3288 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 388 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 232 - - 212 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4497 - - -4423 - - -5945 - - -2572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10896 - - 12175 - - 11100 - - 7725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10438 - - -9059 - - -11296 - - -10129 ODpotential blCL - - - 16837 - - 16810 - - 16450 - - 15282 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 68 - - 71 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 58.4 - - 55.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 23.2 - - 25.0 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 56.4 - - 56.4 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 23.2 - - 25.0 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 274 - - -18 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1550 - - 2902 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96040 20 295 8 278 14 269 17 238 96040 88940 8 244 4 301 9 284 2 267 88940 83472 12 215 13 290 15 282 11 319 83472 78954 4 254 7 252 12 271 13 272 78954 75056 15 286 9 267 12 291 13 272 75056 71589 20 271 21 277 20 296 18 310 71589 68453 18 263 23 267 23 282 25 306 68453 65587 19 295 18 279 20 278 22 294 65587 62929 28 303 26 290 25 288 22 281 62929 60349 30 291 32 291 29 287 27 282 60349 57663 33 283 35 290 32 286 34 285 57663 54878 36 275 36 282 37 283 40 286 54878 52205 37 274 40 268 42 276 46 286 52205 49778 42 275 42 266 43 272 48 284 49778 47585 48 273 44 273 43 278 48 283 47585 45587 52 269 48 277 46 280 49 281 45587 43755 55 266 54 274 52 278 51 279 43755 42069 60 262 57 268 56 271 54 275 42069 40506 67 256 62 259 59 260 57 268 40506 39052 69 254 67 254 62 254 60 257 39052 37699 67 257 67 255 63 253 61 251 37699 36409 63 262 62 259 59 255 63 250 36409 35112 59 262 60 269 54 261 62 252 35112 33780 56 265 60 269 52 266 58 255 33780 32415 57 265 60 266 52 266 56 258 32415 31006 59 265 60 263 54 265 55 261 31006 29544 56 269 58 264 57 263 56 265 29544 28033 51 272 54 270 56 265 54 270 28033 26475 48 272 48 271 49 271 47 274 26475 24874 47 269 46 270 43 276 42 279 24874 23233 45 266 46 272 42 281 39 285 23233 21549 42 267 45 274 41 282 35 291 21549 19815 38 272 41 275 40 282 33 294 19815 18061 34 278 35 275 39 283 34 293 18061 16380 30 280 31 276 36 283 35 290 16380 14850 28 280 28 277 33 282 34 288 14850 13482 26 277 27 278 31 280 34 287 13482 12256 24 273 25 278 29 280 34 286 12256 11154 21 267 22 276 26 280 34 287 11154 10161 18 259 19 271 23 277 32 287 10161 9270 18 252 18 262 19 268 28 283 9270 8474 19 243 15*252 15 257 23 273 8474 7760 19 231 12*237 14 251 19 261 7760 7112 18 217 12 234 13 238 17 250 7112 6532 14*207 11 231 12 228 17 245 6532 6043 12*207 11 230 12 222 16 237 6043 5665 12 207 11 230 12 218 14 220 5665 5403 11 208 10 229 11 215 14 201 5403 5244 11 209 10 229 9*213 10 202 5244 5153 9 209 9 229 7*212 6*203 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography