DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 72.0 - - 75.7 - - 70.8 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 327 - - 290 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2528 - - 3770 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 6455 - - 7358 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7377 - - 8619 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 943 - - 1084 - - 1590 - - 3513 - - 1028 Hgt.Variab. W* 95 - - 394 - - 433 - - 10 - - 12 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 192 - - 182 - - 166 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1785 - - -2819 - - -2812 - - -4674 - - -860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6939 - - 10196 - - 11432 - - 9829 - - 6014 sfcLCL ODpotential -7032 - - -6324 - - -5955 - - -8580 - - -5804 ODpotential blCL 12186 - - 13701 - - 14574 - - 13735 - - 10958 blCL maxRH 98 - - 86 - - 82 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 50 - - 110 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 72.0 - - 75.7 - - 70.8 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 45.1 - - 43.3 - - 45.5 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.7 - - 69.6 - - 73.5 - - 70.8 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 44.9 - - 43.2 - - 45.4 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 327 - - 290 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2528 - - 3770 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 46 - - 30 - - 59 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97669 18 238 25 229 36 254 29 269 24 278 97669 90275 18 238 17 240 22 249 17 265 14 276 90275 84631 14 253 16 267 13 247 12 264 9 259 84631 79970 14 263 10 277 8 235 12 253 8 260 79970 75965 11 290 5 279 6 210 12 236 11 250 75965 72425 8 280 3 272 2 079 6 185 8 225 72425 69225 5 309 2 265 2 003 4 188 8 222 69225 66301 7 292 3 034 2 090 6 146 6 182 66301 63614 13 205 9 242 3 277 2 205 4 194 63614 61027 13 208 19 219 13 248 9 279 4 261 61027 58342 12 205 16 209 16 235 13 267 17 234 58342 55570 18 248 12 225 16 237 14 241 20 230 55570 52929 22 249 21 239 23 243 20 245 25 235 52929 50542 32 258 26 247 29 250 30 252 29 247 50542 48391 38 248 35 247 36 247 38 250 35 247 48391 46423 35 243 36 238 39 239 40 245 37 240 46423 44605 33 240 36 230 40 236 43 241 37 241 44605 42908 34 235 37 225 40 232 43 238 38 242 42908 41317 38 232 40 226 41 227 45 233 38 238 41317 39827 41 231 43 221 44 222 47 227 41 233 39827 38437 44 225 46 211 48 216 48 220 47 230 38437 37115 48 216 50 206 54 205 54 218 50 228 37115 35789 47 212 51 202 55 202 59 211 48 224 35789 34427 44 216 49 206 53 206 55 207 47 224 34427 33031 42 217 49 211 50 211 49 206 44 223 33031 31589 41 213 45 213 48 214 46 210 41 221 31589 30095 41 212 42 209 47 215 47 211 39 218 30095 28551 42 213 42 211 44 217 46 212 36 217 28551 26958 43 213 43 216 40 219 42 217 35 217 26958 25319 42 213 40 217 38 219 40 217 35 214 25319 23640 35 217 35 215 35 218 34 210 35 213 23640 21917 29 223 30 209 30 215 29 210 35 211 21917 20149 26 227 25 209 27 213 24 213 27 200 20149 18364 19 230 20 218 23 220 21 219 21 192 18364 16652 13 235 17 228 20 229 19 229 15 195 16652 15091 14 221 15 234 18 235 17 235 12 206 15091 13695 15 212 12 230 14 236 14 238 11 214 13695 12440 14 216 8 217 9 226 10 236 10 212 12440 11311 13 227 6 197 7 202 7 220 11 208 11311 10294 13 235 6 193 7 192 7 198 13 209 10294 9380 14 235 8 204 9*186 8 187 15 213 9380 8562 15 225 12 206 11*182 11 177 17 205 8562 7831 17 211 14*199 11 182 13 170 20 191 7831 7166 19 204 15*192 12 182 14 167 23 179 7166 6571 23 193 15 191 12 182 14 166 23 160 6571 6070 23 185 15 191 12 183 14 167 27 142 6070 5682 21 184 15 191 12 183 14 166 23 141 5682 5413 17 185 14 192 12 183 13 166 17 140 5413 5249 15 186 13 192 11 183 11*166 15 140 5249 5154 11*187 11 192 10 183 8*166 7*138 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography