DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 58.0 - - 55.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 399 - - 30 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3783 - - 4482 - - 2791 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7447 - - 8025 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8632 - - 9331 - - 7640 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1384 - - 1258 - - 2025 - - 310 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 467 - - 510 - - 184 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 32 - - 24 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 295 - - 314 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -5 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 613 - - -872 - - -2096 - - -3094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8019 - - 10204 - - 9737 - - 8247 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1652 - - -4373 - - -6735 - - -12075 ODpotential blCL - - - 10284 - - 13704 - - 14375 - - 17228 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 59 - - 55 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 58.0 - - 55.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 31.0 - - 31.2 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 55.8 - - 55.5 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 30.9 - - 31.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 399 - - 30 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3783 - - 4482 - - 2791 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96442 8 294 10 104 3 235 5 025 96442 89312 6 148 8 146 5 126 8 045 89312 83821 11 134 5 159 3 121 8 058 83821 79248 12 098 8 162 4 161 6 016 79248 75299 7 090 6 100 5 108 4 027 75299 71804 2 214 2 066 3 037 7 093 71804 68644 0 262 2 312 1 098 3 086 68644 65751 1 073 4 317 2 191 4 247 65751 63099 13 334 7 021 5 093 5 150 63099 60550 23 263 20 292 15 287 14 256 60550 57878 49 240 39 257 26 262 24 257 57878 55112 37 237 33 259 25 264 24 265 55112 52465 36 260 32 268 30 275 27 288 52465 50062 46 270 34 271 36 283 38 293 50062 47890 41 273 43 274 48 280 46 282 47890 45897 46 280 57 273 56 271 49 277 45897 44050 58 275 65 268 53 266 48 278 44050 42331 60 269 59 257 52 273 53 283 42331 40725 56 267 48 251 59 284 58 286 40725 39225 55 264 56 270 67 289 59 289 39225 37828 55 261 68 287 69 289 60 293 37828 36504 50 264 80 289 69 286 57 292 36504 35184 48 279 87 287 68 286 51 289 35184 33836 60 289 85 291 62 290 44 286 33836 32461 69 293 72 307 55 297 39 294 32461 31048 68 292 64 320 52 315 37 307 31048 29585 68 283 72 332 52 324 33 317 29585 28075 65 278 76 330 51 322 30 319 28075 26517 53 273 79 323 52 313 30 312 26517 24912 53 272 81 318 55 307 32 307 24912 23264 47 286 81 318 58 306 35 308 23264 21568 39 308 78 322 60 306 36 313 21568 19819 36 321 67 326 58 310 36 319 19819 18048 34 323 54 325 53 320 34 329 18048 16347 33 317 42 323 44 331 33 341 16347 14802 31 309 32 323 36 335 32 347 14802 13427 29 303 27 325 30 334 32 348 13427 12202 29 299 28 324 28 335 30 346 12202 11108 30 294 31 316 29 337 28 347 11108 10127 32 289 33*304 30 335 27 351 10127 9246 32*283 33*297 28 327 27 352 9246 8457 32*282 33 296 27 318 27 345 8457 7749 32 281 33 295 27*316 29 333 7749 7105 32 280 33 295 26*315 30 323 7105 6529 32 279 33 294 26 314 31 316 6529 6043 31 279 32 294 25 313 28 311 6043 5666 30 278 31 293 24 313 25 307 5666 5404 28 278 29 293 22 313 19 299 5404 5245 26 278 27 293 20 312 15 295 5245 5153 20 277 21 293 15 312 7*288 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography