DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.0 - - 46.5 - - 55.1 - - 51.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 154 - - 252 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1412 - - 2931 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 5403 - - 6670 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 6261 - - 7780 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 893 - - 1507 - - 4032 - - 541 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 256 - - 379 - - 9 - - 46 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 7 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 264 - - 287 - - 336 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -9 - - -7 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3637 - - -4257 - - -4704 - - -6018 - - -3233 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8790 - - 10518 - - 12485 - - 11171 - - 8387 sfcLCL ODpotential -14624 - - -11496 - - -10037 - - -13407 - - -13861 ODpotential blCL 19776 - - 17757 - - 17817 - - 18560 - - 19014 blCL maxRH 94 - - 87 - - 37 - - 37 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.0 - - 46.5 - - 55.1 - - 51.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 18.9 - - 18.6 - - 20.7 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 45.3 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.8 - - 18.1 - - 18.2 - - 20.4 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 154 - - 252 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1412 - - 2931 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96411 71 248 79 242 80 243 70 255 70 248 96411 89105 82 252 87 249 86 254 81 267 71 267 89105 83534 69 263 73 252 72 258 72 271 64 279 83534 78963 48 273 45 252 47 250 57 262 46 274 78963 75027 39 273 35 269 29 255 47 248 42 271 75027 71534 37 269 37 279 25 280 37 263 46 285 71534 68402 44 274 41 280 29 280 36 270 44 285 68402 65548 47 267 43 275 35 277 37 273 41 269 65548 62892 45 259 46 269 44 277 42 274 40 268 62892 60318 47 261 51 265 53 279 48 286 44 284 60318 57653 50 260 55 266 59 278 55 290 47 292 57653 54891 54 264 58 268 62 280 59 294 48 301 54891 52230 62 267 61 268 61 278 59 297 55 308 52230 49804 66 266 63 269 63 282 62 298 58 303 49804 47603 75 265 68 272 68 284 60 291 57 296 47603 45593 79 264 75 272 68 287 62 288 61 296 45593 43754 97 269 82 272 75 286 70 288 76 294 43754 42074 133 269 102 271 85 278 81 288 100 293 42074 40529 147 266 125 270 93 275 87 290 119 294 40529 39091 148 267 136 268 103 275 91 292 114 294 39091 37745 141 269 139 266 107 275 91 291 89 292 37745 36451 130 268 138 263 105 277 85 286 81 292 36451 35146 123 267 131 268 102 276 69 288 72 292 35146 33803 116 269 113 269 93 274 61 299 60 305 33803 32433 103 266 96 265 78 279 63 305 58 323 32433 31025 93 259 91 261 73 287 66 304 58 326 31025 29567 85 256 92 260 72 287 67 300 58 318 29567 28060 78 256 90 260 66 286 65 298 59 311 28060 26504 74 262 84 263 59 288 61 300 62 309 26504 24900 64 270 74 264 53 297 58 301 60 310 24900 23249 60 268 64 264 53 306 57 304 57 312 23249 21548 59 262 56 266 50 309 54 310 54 315 21548 19792 54 257 49 269 46 303 50 320 49 319 19792 18017 48 262 42 275 46 293 46 324 44 326 18017 16319 43 269 35 281 43 292 40 320 41 332 16319 14780 40 274 29 286 36 296 35 311 37 330 14780 13412 39 276 24 285 29 298 32 305 33 326 13412 12188 33 278 20 280 24 298 29 305 30 320 12188 11089 21 279 16 277 19 298 23 305 27 317 11089 10102 15 274 13 273 15 299 16 305 24 320 10102 9217 12 269 13 273 13 300 9 313 22 326 9217 8428 10 267 14 273 12*297 7 322 20 334 8428 7722 9 265 16 273 12*293 6 326 20 337 7722 7082 8 263 17 272 12 290 6 327 21 335 7082 6511 8 260 16*269 12 287 6 333 20 330 6511 6029 9 257 15*266 12 285 5 335 17 326 6029 5657 9 249 15 264 12 284 5 336 10 324 5657 5399 9 242 14 263 12 282 5 337 4 314 5399 5243 8*236 13 262 11 282 4 336 1*281 5243 5153 5*224 11 262 10 282 3*336 1*202 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography