DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 61.7 - - 67.2 - - 64.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 325 - - 345 - - 16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3183 - - 4478 - - 3005 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6947 - - 7966 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 8032 - - 9327 - - 7854 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 1109 - - 756 - - 1130 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 424 - - 484 - - 154 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 23 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 172 - - 201 - - 192 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - -5 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1716 - - -4575 - - -5110 - - -5862 - - -6118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6870 - - 12608 - - 14438 - - 13716 - - 11273 sfcLCL ODpotential -11475 - - -11497 - - -10897 - - -12120 - - -15456 ODpotential blCL 16628 - - 19529 - - 20224 - - 19974 - - 20610 blCL maxRH 55 - - 81 - - 88 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 61.7 - - 67.2 - - 64.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 24.7 - - 22.0 - - 22.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 59.5 - - 64.9 - - 64.0 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 24.5 - - 21.9 - - 22.5 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 325 - - 345 - - 16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3183 - - 4478 - - 3005 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 26 - - 53 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96501 4 197 9 000 14 084 6 056 6 085 96501 89354 13 083 3 092 11 091 3 028 5 054 89354 83847 12 060 3 156 3 116 2 271 6 358 83847 79272 9 067 2 086 1 283 3 341 6 035 79272 75318 4 068 8 180 6 270 5 323 5 042 75318 71827 1 133 6 211 8 324 3 351 3 095 71827 68676 4 151 10 214 13 276 12 296 6 003 68676 65793 3 289 5 203 11 242 16 260 12 287 65793 63141 8 249 10 278 12 245 18 248 19 269 63141 60583 19 273 19 269 18 264 21 254 21 266 60583 57922 28 262 27 267 28 271 30 272 30 273 57922 55164 35 269 35 260 38 265 37 271 34 266 55164 52520 40 270 35 255 40 262 36 264 38 255 52520 50123 37 265 36 259 40 262 36 258 41 253 50123 47957 33 271 37 263 41 261 38 257 42 258 47957 45972 33 276 39 263 44 260 40 262 45 264 45972 44137 36 277 41 264 45 262 41 266 48 268 44137 42434 38 274 45 267 48 267 44 273 49 270 42434 40854 39 275 47 268 50 272 45 276 48 275 40854 39389 46 281 51 267 52 275 43 278 45 278 39389 38029 53 282 54 266 54 275 46 285 46 274 38029 36735 54 281 53 267 54 272 53 275 50 264 36735 35436 51 282 52 271 53 272 48 274 47 261 35436 34102 49 284 51 272 48 279 40 275 45 264 34102 32734 49 286 51 273 45 283 40 271 44 268 32734 31323 49 286 51 274 45 281 41 269 43 271 31323 29859 49 286 51 278 46 278 43 270 40 274 29859 28343 46 288 49 281 46 278 43 270 36 278 28343 26779 40 293 45 284 43 279 40 271 35 275 26779 25170 32 295 41 284 38 281 36 274 36 268 25170 23515 25 298 37 285 35 285 32 276 38 268 23515 21809 22 301 27 287 30 286 26 276 29 263 21809 20047 17 311 18 279 21 276 22 265 22 253 20047 18263 12 345 8 270 12 252 20 249 19 244 18263 16547 12 009 1 322 7 202 17 227 19 235 16547 14985 12 021 4 076 7 161 15 204 19 222 14985 13591 11 028 6 085 9 146 15 188 20 210 13591 12342 8 022 6 091 10 149 14 184 20 206 12342 11220 4 341 4 101 8 168 13 187 19 207 11220 10212 5 305 1 117 7*184 10 192 18 211 10212 9309 7 312 2 199 7*193 8 188 18 214 9309 8503 7 323 3*179 8 195 8*187 18 216 8503 7783 7 336 3*176 8 199 9*190 17 216 7783 7130 7 001 4 175 8 201 9 191 14 210 7130 6547 8 022 3 172 9 203 9 192 13 202 6547 6054 8 035 3 170 9 204 10 192 14 199 6054 5673 7 042 3 168 9 206 9 193 15 198 5673 5408 6 037 3 168 9 206 9 193 13 200 5408 5246 5*019 3 168 9 206 9 193 8*207 5246 5154 2*009 3 169 8 207 7 193 4*211 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography