DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.3 - - 65.7 - - 71.0 - - 64.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 249 - - 258 - - -9 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2083 - - 5401 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6043 - - 8561 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6932 - - 10250 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 2211 - - 3363 - - 7388 - - 1667 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 337 - - 468 - - 0 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 194 - - 191 - - 283 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 10 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7956 - - -8934 - - -5666 - - -8786 - - -4639 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13110 - - 15867 - - 15917 - - 13940 - - 9793 sfcLCL ODpotential -17150 - - -13669 - - -8729 - - -12966 - - -9328 ODpotential blCL 22303 - - 20601 - - 18979 - - 18120 - - 14482 blCL maxRH 74 - - 90 - - 91 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.3 - - 65.7 - - 71.0 - - 64.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.3 - - 14.2 - - 18.8 - - 21.8 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 63.8 - - 68.9 - - 65.2 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.1 - - 14.2 - - 18.8 - - 21.8 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 249 - - 258 - - -9 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2083 - - 5401 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 62 - - 66 - - 96 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96660 18 241 11 219 22 243 15 291 9 281 96660 89385 7 258 13 230 13 212 11 236 11 269 89385 83848 8 302 2 273 5 196 8 215 7 297 83848 79265 5 273 6 275 5 262 2 164 1 081 79265 75322 3 180 4 255 4 246 2 015 4 079 75322 71853 2 017 5 256 3 245 4 073 4 138 71853 68729 2 328 3 162 4 205 5 027 6 121 68729 65875 10 260 0 120 0 286 3 062 7 160 65875 63247 17 228 14 238 14 267 9 304 4 284 63247 60717 11 240 16 233 21 251 21 276 13 304 60717 58069 18 264 17 251 19 247 18 242 19 272 58069 55289 21 255 15 242 15 239 21 233 23 236 55289 52597 29 235 31 234 29 234 31 234 34 239 52597 50143 39 232 46 222 47 221 40 225 44 225 50143 47919 49 230 52 222 45 224 43 232 47 226 47919 45887 59 225 56 225 54 233 57 236 57 234 45887 44018 63 224 66 227 70 228 72 231 70 237 44018 42289 62 229 71 223 74 227 77 226 77 236 42289 40681 63 234 67 222 70 228 75 226 80 234 40681 39192 73 233 73 225 75 224 81 228 84 231 39192 37822 77 229 78 227 81 223 91 231 95 232 37822 36527 77 225 76 229 83 230 93 234 104 234 36527 35228 77 227 69 227 76 231 85 236 100 235 35228 33896 67 230 61 224 67 228 71 233 83 234 33896 32535 48 232 55 226 62 225 64 227 69 229 32535 31132 45 237 53 228 58 225 60 220 63 226 31132 29676 45 240 48 231 59 231 58 218 53 230 29676 28170 43 240 49 235 59 233 56 225 48 230 28170 26613 41 239 51 237 55 231 57 240 45 228 26613 25009 42 240 49 237 50 229 50 250 42 229 25009 23360 44 243 45 236 47 231 46 248 40 230 23360 21663 46 247 41 236 43 236 45 239 41 231 21663 19913 41 249 37 235 39 231 40 223 44 232 19913 18142 34 249 33 235 33 224 33 208 44 231 18142 16443 25 240 29 239 24 230 28 205 40 225 16443 14896 19 226 23 239 19 233 26 204 34 216 14896 13517 13 225 17 228 17 223 23 200 27 204 13517 12284 9 230 12 217 14 212 14 193 19 199 12284 11181 5 217 9 206 10*194 8 202 10 198 11181 10190 4 189 8 190 9*187 6 224 7 210 10190 9298 4 166 7 181 9 188 7 242 8 236 9298 8499 5 149 6 174 9 189 8 252 10 259 8499 7781 6 141 7 178 9 190 10 262 15 278 7781 7130 6 143 8*184 9 192 13 274 21 285 7130 6547 6 154 8*189 9 194 16 281 26 289 6547 6054 7 168 8 192 9 196 16 283 26 293 6054 5672 8 174 8 194 9 197 16 283 24 295 5672 5408 8 173 8 197 8 197 15 283 20 295 5408 5246 5 180 7 197 8 198 13*284 15*293 5246 5154 3*182 7 198 7 198 9*283 9*289 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography