DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 81.2 - - 85.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 144 - - 81 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6986 - - 3432 - - 6797 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9979 - - 6865 - - 8824 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11835 - - 8281 - - 11646 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2979 - - 4815 - - 3987 - - 1660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 574 - - 348 - - 346 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 110 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 113 - - 083 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -6 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1065 - - 292 - - 73 - - -543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10771 - - 7990 - - 11574 - - 5698 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -472 - - -2148 - - -1633 - - -4206 ODpotential blCL - - - 12307 - - 10429 - - 13279 - - 9361 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 91 - - 84 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 2220 - - 330 - - 1920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 81.2 - - 85.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 63.2 - - 52.4 - - 64.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 79.7 - - 84.6 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 62.0 - - 52.2 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 144 - - 81 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6986 - - 3432 - - 6797 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 64 - - 36 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 13 - - 9 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98675 30 098 26 120 27 099 30 082 98675 91277 32 109 27 107 25 093 27 092 91277 85581 29 100 29 098 26 089 26 091 85581 80839 25 097 29 090 28 094 25 087 80839 76739 21 104 26 096 24 090 25 091 76739 73113 17 081 21 098 15 091 20 084 73113 69855 19 062 15 093 12 110 15 078 69855 66897 18 075 12 102 15 099 13 093 66897 64177 15 105 11 109 17 085 14 089 64177 61562 10 114 11 118 14 075 13 082 61562 58859 8 105 12 123 6 054 12 056 58859 56088 14 091 14 098 5 102 10 048 56088 53479 19 070 16 073 11 086 13 067 53479 51140 19 049 19 066 14 063 15 060 51140 49024 22 033 21 056 17 063 16 048 49024 47078 22 032 23 044 20 059 19 045 47078 45270 21 038 23 039 23 055 21 045 45270 43581 19 048 19 039 22 052 20 047 43581 41992 19 056 17 049 18 051 19 046 41992 40495 20 052 19 059 17 050 15 045 40495 39086 22 045 22 060 18 056 14 051 39086 37734 25 039 22 056 19 061 15 056 37734 36374 27 043 22 053 20 058 15 050 36374 34976 26 042 21 059 20 057 15 047 34976 33545 23 050 20 067 18 066 13 053 33545 32067 19 062 15 073 17 074 12 066 32067 30533 17 077 12 083 14 081 14 073 30533 28947 19 079 14 074 11 084 15 072 28947 27313 24 067 18 073 11 071 16 062 27313 25638 24 067 21 068 13 073 15 053 25638 23930 21 065 17 062 15 062 15 054 23930 22182 18 060 10 053 14 063 14 070 22182 20386 15 063 9 048 11 060 13 098 20386 18570 11 072 7 042 8 024 15 067 18570 16828 8 077 5 032 8 005 19 031 16828 15246 8 096 4 037 9 022 20 015 15246 13836 10 105 6 041 10 035 17 013 13836 12570 10*106 7 040 10*055 13 019 12570 11429 6*101 7 044 10*058 11 031 11429 10399 4 087 7 055 10 071 10 049 10399 9471 2 039 6 078 10 078 10 068 9471 8640 2 002 6*098 11 083 10 084 8640 7893 2 320 7*110 11 087 9 105 7893 7214 2 309 7 113 11 089 13 132 7214 6606 3 298 7 114 11 092 21 138 6606 6094 3 292 7 114 11 093 24 136 6094 5697 3 287 7 113 10 094 23 136 5697 5421 3 286 6 113 10 094 19 135 5421 5252 3 286 6 113 9 095 16 135 5252 5155 3 287 6 113 8 095 10*135 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography