DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 94.2 - - 90.9 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 289 - - 21 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8944 - - 12908 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11733 - - 14626 - - 5140 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13793 - - 17757 - - 5156 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4686 - - 2721 - - 13059 - - 2652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 651 - - 79 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 23 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 214 - - 104 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 30 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1025 - - 2086 - - -10034 - - -7097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14818 - - 15672 - - 15190 - - 12253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2547 - - 1060 - - -11139 - - -10085 ODpotential blCL - - - 16340 - - 16697 - - 16295 - - 15241 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 100 - - 99 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 360 - - 130 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 94.2 - - 90.9 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 42.8 - - 41.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.4 - - 91.9 - - 90.5 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 42.7 - - 41.8 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 289 - - 21 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8944 - - 12908 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 102 - - 94 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98609 33 100 37 105 26 104 36 084 98609 91164 36 102 36 097 34 103 36 087 91164 85418 35 093 33 092 36 094 31 093 85418 80646 26 089 33 087 35 091 31 090 80646 76557 24 104 25 090 30 087 26 084 76557 72962 23 105 20 112 22 081 22 091 72962 69714 18 101 20 107 14 100 18 094 69714 66737 14 099 17 095 13 114 14 110 66737 63990 11 115 10 113 9 104 10 119 63990 61345 10 115 13 153 4 110 8 136 61345 58621 8 064 12 146 4 099 7 095 58621 55847 10 023 10 061 6 039 6 038 55847 53247 11 015 15 023 12 002 11 022 53247 50924 20 011 20 016 18 354 12 011 50924 48821 29 343 29 343 24 343 16 344 48821 46890 33 332 29 336 25 338 19 337 46890 45099 31 333 28 327 26 330 21 332 45099 43424 28 332 24 319 24 323 22 329 43424 41847 25 329 19 317 21 318 18 324 41847 40359 24 327 17 318 20 316 15 308 40359 38958 25 332 18 318 22 312 19 298 38958 37612 28 337 22 313 24 311 22 295 37612 36257 28 334 25 309 22 312 19 301 36257 34866 24 331 23 308 18 310 16 312 34866 33444 16 338 16 314 15 316 12 314 33444 31981 12 354 10 294 10 319 7 315 31981 30467 9 340 8 267 7 305 8 264 30467 28904 7 315 14 284 11 269 14 250 28904 27293 14 294 15 290 14 253 16 245 27293 25638 14 294 13 301 16 260 14 254 25638 23943 13 333 10 331 14 280 13 278 23943 22206 17 338 10 357 14 288 11 309 22206 20419 10 317 8 339 12 279 13 311 20419 18614 6 173 5*297 11 264 14 294 18614 16881 11 160 5*289 10 236 15 277 16881 15302 11 151 5 277 9 210 13 265 15302 13887 9*152 4 266 10 189 11 251 13887 12615 5*172 4 238 10 176 10 236 12615 11468 4 228 5 219 10 163 10 219 11468 10433 4 232 6 206 10 152 11 202 10433 9501 4 232 7 199 11 142 13 187 9501 8666 4 229 8 195 11 134 15 175 8666 7916 5 228 8 192 11 127 16 164 7916 7233 5 226 9 189 11 121 19 153 7233 6621 5 223 9 187 11 115 21 143 6621 6104 5 221 9 186 11 112 21 137 6104 5702 5 218 9 186 11 110 20 135 5702 5424 5 217 9 185 11 108 15 132 5424 5254 5 216 9 185 10 106 12*131 5254 5156 5 215 8 184 9*104 6*125 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography