DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 90.5 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 449 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7559 - - 9269 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10550 - - 11923 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12408 - - 14118 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3177 - - 3376 - - - - - 3177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 639 - - 674 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 080 - - - - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 960 - - 770 - - - - - -3648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11449 - - 13349 - - - - - 8805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -338 - - -916 - - - - - -7589 ODpotential blCL - - - 12746 - - 15034 - - - - - 12745 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 88 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 1120 - - 870 - - - - - 1660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 90.5 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 49.4 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 87.4 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 49.3 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 449 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7559 - - 9269 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 53 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99023 47 103 35 111 32 095 99023 91513 41 094 38 098 42 087 91513 85734 45 089 41 094 45 085 85734 80968 44 090 43 094 36 094 80968 76891 34 096 38 093 31 098 76891 73291 26 105 30 090 31 090 73291 70029 24 104 25 093 30 082 70029 67050 23 100 22 101 24 083 67050 64317 25 097 19 104 21 100 64317 61680 22 099 18 099 19 086 61680 58947 16 108 14 099 18 065 58947 56142 14 109 12 094 16 046 56142 53484 15 095 14 084 12 042 53484 51093 20 087 18 096 7 058 51093 48938 21 068 18 079 11 081 48938 46959 19 060 18 071 15 072 46959 45126 19 063 19 064 16 054 45126 43419 20 060 20 047 19 042 43419 41826 17 046 20 029 19 032 41826 40332 16 025 15 011 19 014 40332 38929 27 012 14 005 13 354 38929 37585 36 358 20 015 3 306 37585 36233 40 353 26 006 4 211 36233 34843 37 356 26 358 9 160 34843 33421 26 004 7 031 3 116 33421 31964 12 017 7 357 4 315 31964 30459 13 343 13 356 3 019 30459 28905 13 332 13 002 10 048 28905 27302 8 359 10 006 18 057 27302 25656 6 034 7 020 21 056 25656 23966 7 085 6 050 21 051 23966 22231 14 093 13 080 21 047 22231 20446 19 088 18 071 20 043 20446 18640 19 084 18 060 21 046 18640 16902 15 071 13 048 21 055 16902 15315 11 059 8*043 20 061 15315 13893 9 052 6*051 15 054 13893 12616 8*052 6 057 10 029 12616 11465 6*057 6 063 7 010 11465 10427 5 059 6 074 6 032 10427 9493 5 061 6 080 4 075 9493 8656 5 066 7 087 6 125 8656 7906 5 070 7 089 11 138 7906 7225 5 072 7 092 20 136 7225 6615 4 075 8 094 25 133 6615 6100 4 077 8 095 24 133 6100 5700 4 079 8 096 22 132 5700 5423 4 079 8 096 19 132 5423 5253 4 080 8 096 17*131 5253 5156 4 079 7 096 11*131 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography