DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.1 - - 74.5 - - 78.0 - - 74.2 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 460 - - 441 - - 51 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5195 - - 7524 - - 6587 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 8639 - - 10497 - - 8129 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 10044 - - 12373 - - 11436 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2253 - - 2506 - - 2419 - - 3475 - - 2188 Hgt.Variab. W* 114 - - 561 - - 626 - - 293 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 26 - - 22 - - 18 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 317 - - 311 - - 309 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 6 - - -3 - - -8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9479 - - -7475 - - -6356 - - -6127 - - -5865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14634 - - 17520 - - 18730 - - 17563 - - 11019 sfcLCL ODpotential -15279 - - -11273 - - -9676 - - -9864 - - -13391 ODpotential blCL 20433 - - 21317 - - 22049 - - 21300 - - 18545 blCL maxRH 50 - - 32 - - 83 - - 59 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.1 - - 74.5 - - 78.0 - - 74.2 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.2 - - 14.8 - - 12.5 - - 14.4 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 71.9 - - 75.3 - - 73.6 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 14.6 - - 12.4 - - 14.3 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 460 - - 441 - - 51 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5195 - - 7524 - - 6587 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96949 38 229 39 260 31 238 37 249 44 265 96949 89600 12 237 27 255 25 250 25 237 31 255 89600 83954 18 270 27 247 37 262 29 258 26 261 83954 79271 25 262 26 252 27 251 27 268 23 283 79271 75233 14 279 18 285 9 232 15 238 14 309 75233 71670 16 350 12 288 11 307 9 247 9 297 71670 68479 24 264 5 228 11 279 4 321 9 297 68479 65578 30 250 20 297 13 294 13 352 17 355 65578 62873 29 283 24 306 36 295 39 293 24 308 62873 60248 38 300 29 297 38 292 40 290 36 285 60248 57544 46 289 36 293 33 285 42 303 46 287 57544 54739 50 281 41 291 43 291 48 300 48 287 54739 52043 56 281 49 289 58 290 51 290 54 304 52043 49615 64 285 61 287 63 288 62 296 71 299 49615 47453 73 288 71 286 72 294 80 293 70 288 47453 45486 80 287 78 286 83 293 81 286 49 297 45486 43682 83 282 83 286 82 288 56 296 60 315 43682 42030 78 279 89 283 74 291 61 316 61 320 42030 40498 75 281 89 279 76 296 73 310 63 330 40498 39070 79 282 84 284 78 293 75 297 66 335 39070 37737 83 279 85 290 68 288 73 288 61 335 37737 36461 84 276 82 290 54 293 66 287 54 334 36461 35178 84 277 77 289 55 297 55 296 47 330 35178 33857 83 279 67 289 53 300 54 307 45 325 33857 32502 77 279 56 288 55 304 54 312 44 316 32502 31100 62 280 51 291 56 305 53 312 45 307 31100 29642 45 288 53 300 56 306 52 310 47 302 29642 28132 38 303 53 304 55 307 52 310 49 305 28132 26574 38 314 49 305 53 309 55 313 54 309 26574 24973 38 320 45 307 51 309 59 315 57 309 24973 23331 38 323 41 309 50 308 58 315 58 307 23331 21639 39 323 38 312 48 308 55 313 58 310 21639 19889 39 321 36 316 46 308 51 309 61 317 19889 18120 40 317 35 322 44 310 47 310 54 319 18120 16425 40 314 35 328 39 314 40 316 42 311 16425 14884 39 311 34 334 33 320 30 324 32 297 14884 13510 39 309 34 336 27*323 20 321 26 288 13510 12279 39 307 34 335 23*318 18*315 27 287 12279 11170 40 307 32 330 22 315 18*313 28 288 11170 10170 42 307 29*324 22 314 18 312 26 289 10170 9271 45 307 28*320 22 312 18 311 19 293 9271 8467 47 307 27 319 23 311 18 309 7 315 8467 7750 47 307 27 318 23 309 19 308 13 053 7750 7104 46 307 26 316 23 309 18 307 24 054 7104 6529 42 305 26 316 22 308 18 307 26 053 6529 6044 34 304 25 315 22 307 18 306 26 053 6044 5667 29 302 24 314 21 307 17 306 25 053 5667 5405 25 301 22 314 21 306 17 305 23 053 5405 5246 22*300 21 313 19 306 15 305 20*054 5246 5154 15*299 18 313 17 306 13 304 15*054 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography