DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.3 - - 58.0 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 232 - - -23 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 2696 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5922 - - 6464 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6754 - - 7545 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 921 - - 1165 - - 1772 - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 358 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 253 - - 261 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3910 - - -3845 - - -5100 - - -3532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10664 - - 11390 - - 10254 - - 8687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10849 - - -9062 - - -12439 - - -12852 ODpotential blCL - - - 17603 - - 16607 - - 17593 - - 18006 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 58 - - 66 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.3 - - 58.0 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 32.5 - - 31.5 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 62.4 - - 60.0 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 32.5 - - 31.5 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 232 - - -23 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 2696 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95586 39 299 42 276 48 277 61 273 95586 88541 43 294 41 295 48 301 49 297 88541 83149 42 305 40 313 47 315 44 319 83149 78676 41 313 39 320 40 317 45 327 78676 74822 39 313 33 328 30 325 39 329 74822 71417 32 316 33 328 27 320 30 332 71417 68339 31 325 31 319 27 320 29 328 68339 65522 31 322 29 320 26 319 26 312 65522 62922 33 312 32 320 24 328 22 301 62922 60404 35 302 36 297 29 311 23 298 60404 57767 42 300 43 297 34 303 22 304 57767 55015 52 285 53 293 47 297 40 293 55015 52391 53 271 55 271 54 279 47 280 52391 50067 44 270 44 264 42 275 35 259 50067 48001 42 315 36 297 41 303 41 292 48001 46117 52 311 48 306 50 300 57 276 46117 44381 58 289 59 291 60 289 58 269 44381 42762 64 280 62 288 62 284 50 275 42762 41236 60 290 55 290 59 283 44 278 41236 39790 61 300 49 289 54 283 43 283 39790 38425 59 306 47 300 50 288 42 301 38425 37108 54 313 47 304 46 292 40 307 37108 35779 52 315 46 313 41 290 36 289 35779 34410 50 316 43 317 37 297 33 292 34410 33007 46 317 39 310 35 308 29 295 33007 31560 39 315 40 316 32 309 28 266 31560 30058 30 311 32 305 29 293 22 280 30058 28504 23 307 29 284 30 277 23 263 28504 26902 27 285 31 282 28 270 28 254 26902 25261 27 282 33 281 26 270 24 253 25261 23584 26 305 26 283 19 284 18 259 23584 21862 27 320 22 305 16 292 13 261 21862 20087 25 323 19 311 16 294 11 269 20087 18290 22 318 17 302 18 293 13 278 18290 16570 19 314 15 301 19 296 16 291 16570 15008 17 303 18 305 20 304 19 303 15008 13615 19 290 21 309 22 312 20 312 13615 12369 20 292 22 310 23 318 21 319 12369 11248 17 295 20 307 23 320 21 321 11248 10238 13 291 17 301 22 318 21 321 10238 9331 10 283 13 290 20 313 22 320 9331 8519 9 276 11 274 19 303 23 316 8519 7792 9 272 9*261 16 288 24 310 7792 7134 9*270 9*257 14 275 23 300 7134 6546 8*267 9 254 13 270 21 286 6546 6052 8 264 9 253 13 269 20 275 6052 5671 8 262 9 251 13 268 18 271 5671 5406 7 260 9 250 12 267 15 269 5406 5246 7 258 9 250 10*264 11*258 5246 5154 6 258 8 250 6*261 6*241 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography