DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 84.9 - - 80.8 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 146 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7858 - - 6047 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10686 - - 8812 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12707 - - 10896 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4175 - - 5949 - - 8798 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 600 - - 419 - - 70 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 166 - - 138 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 20 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 753 - - 19 - - -3815 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11955 - - 10878 - - 8971 - - 5449 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -489 - - -1937 - - -5788 - - -4460 ODpotential blCL - - - 13196 - - 12833 - - 10944 - - 9615 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 93 - - 97 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 760 - - 1170 - - 1780 - - 1960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 84.9 - - 80.8 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 54.7 - - 58.9 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 83.5 - - 80.4 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 53.9 - - 58.4 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 146 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7858 - - 6047 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 72 - - 89 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98697 26 101 21 111 16 104 27 096 98697 91354 29 087 32 116 24 117 14 097 91354 85615 29 082 35 110 26 110 18 107 85615 80796 27 101 35 096 31 094 34 108 80796 76676 24 120 29 081 33 091 37 095 76676 73103 22 127 20 088 27 091 29 083 73103 69889 22 120 16 121 17 096 18 075 69889 66915 20 102 21 127 13 101 12 074 66915 64151 13 086 19 108 13 094 11 100 64151 61496 8 103 11 102 12 085 12 106 61496 58763 8 129 5 161 3 116 6 093 58763 55970 11 114 9 164 8 221 1 316 55970 53329 11 050 12 110 10 182 4 273 53329 50957 13 006 15 040 13 101 8 104 50957 48826 9 040 18 002 18 040 17 052 48826 46884 13 063 10 022 21 011 21 032 46884 45090 18 048 15 052 17 020 21 028 45090 43414 18 041 15 046 19 030 20 039 43414 41838 15 055 9 055 17 025 19 042 41838 40353 15 073 9 079 9 035 15 031 40353 38952 14 083 8 080 7 058 10 025 38952 37606 13 093 6 086 7 069 7 031 37606 36254 13 099 7 102 8 076 6 041 36254 34865 13 100 8 110 8 079 6 049 34865 33445 13 100 9 113 8 085 5 050 33445 31982 11 091 8 114 6 101 3 075 31982 30466 9 080 6 104 5 130 3 108 30466 28901 8 082 6 082 6 144 2 121 28901 27287 9 098 8 070 8 128 3 115 27287 25629 10 120 8 070 9 114 6 112 25629 23930 10 129 5 083 8 107 8 110 23930 22186 7 130 3 100 5 098 7 109 22186 20389 6 152 0 089 3 126 7 110 20389 18574 7 173 1 125 2 050 5 116 18574 16832 7 171 4 192 1 099 3 108 16832 15250 8 149 5 192 6 165 1 256 15250 13840 8*142 5 187 8 159 2 252 13840 12574 4*150 5 176 8 151 3 211 12574 11432 3 201 6*172 8 148 5 185 11432 10400 5 227 7*170 7 147 7 173 10400 9471 6 228 7 169 7 147 10 160 9471 8639 6 228 8 168 6 145 14 146 8639 7893 6 227 8 166 4 143 20 137 7893 7215 7 226 8 166 3 140 26 133 7215 6608 7 225 8 165 3 135 28 132 6608 6094 7 224 8 163 3 133 25 132 6094 5696 7 223 7 163 3 133 20 132 5696 5420 7 223 7 161 3 134 13 130 5420 5252 6 224 7 162 3*137 7 121 5252 5155 6 223 6 161 3*138 2*098 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography