DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 86.4 - - 76.3 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 193 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6727 - - 7965 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9795 - - 10417 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11576 - - 12814 - - 5156 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3252 - - 4457 - - 1392 - - 673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 577 - - 490 - - 51 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 67 - - 95 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 109 - - 166 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 39 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 883 - - 597 - - -819 - - -274 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10694 - - 12217 - - 5975 - - 5430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -853 - - -908 - - -4131 - - -4222 ODpotential blCL - - - 12429 - - 13722 - - 9287 - - 9378 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 85 - - 97 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1280 - - 780 - - 3650 - - 2220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 86.4 - - 76.3 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 50.3 - - 66.8 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 84.6 - - 76.6 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 50.0 - - 65.7 - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 193 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6727 - - 7965 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 41 - - 87 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98301 25 099 18 112 9 118 5 067 98301 90911 20 081 20 092 12 104 15 071 90911 85250 18 064 18 072 21 073 20 062 85250 80566 12 074 16 076 26 061 26 056 80566 76535 15 099 15 083 19 060 25 054 76535 72980 17 073 15 071 12 068 19 061 72980 69771 15 055 14 065 8 066 13 069 69771 66828 10 069 10 055 9 042 8 060 66828 64103 12 090 11 092 5 032 2 349 64103 61472 7 049 9 090 6 054 5 010 61472 58742 4 047 5 323 9 005 13 018 58742 55935 6 002 8 279 14 301 21 333 55935 53285 10 006 7 295 14 277 20 313 53285 50910 17 321 13 296 18 291 21 302 50910 48774 20 293 18 289 22 290 23 289 48774 46819 18 260 21 268 21 285 26 275 46819 45008 14 237 21 240 22 266 28 254 45008 43317 13 266 17 233 23 247 25 246 43317 41729 33 274 24 259 23 244 26 251 41729 40237 56 261 42 255 41 259 30 255 40237 38839 48 253 46 251 51 252 36 255 38839 37500 37 242 35 248 41 242 37 248 37500 36157 27 229 31 242 43 238 34 236 36157 34775 22 224 26 235 36 230 31 230 34775 33358 19 225 23 231 26 222 29 234 33358 31896 21 227 17 235 22 229 26 233 31896 30381 20 226 18 237 24 238 21 235 30381 28817 19 217 22 224 22 231 18 243 28817 27205 20 205 22 213 18 214 17 246 27205 25549 21 190 20 209 23 213 16 228 25549 23853 23 192 18 213 15 205 14 209 23853 22112 24 196 20 210 13 204 15 220 22112 20319 23 195 16 204 11 203 12 231 20319 18509 20 195 13 207 13 207 12 230 18509 16777 13 179 7 207 10 196 11 216 16777 15205 6 142 3 203 6 179 12 201 15205 13802 6 099 1*197 4 141 12 190 13802 12541 6*071 1*178 5 100 9 182 12541 11405 5*056 1 161 7 081 6 174 11405 10380 4 046 1 141 8 072 2 153 10380 9456 2 020 1 123 10 065 2 041 9456 8629 2 315 1 117 11 060 5 035 8629 7886 3 286 1 104 11 054 8 044 7886 7211 3 279 1 095 11 049 10 059 7211 6605 3 272 1 086 9 045 12 070 6605 6093 4 270 2 077 7 039 13 080 6093 5695 4 267 2 070 3 039 12 089 5695 5420 4 264 2 072 1 102 11 098 5420 5252 3 265 2 072 1*165 9*102 5252 5156 3 266 2 067 1*166 6*101 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography