DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.3 - - 93.5 - - 90.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 480 - - 54 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11432 - - 14816 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13766 - - 16548 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16281 - - 19665 - - 5156 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2909 - - 1589 - - 16292 - - 13552 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 753 - - 808 - - 107 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 30 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 321 - - 291 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 17 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1624 - - 836 - - -13047 - - -11188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17906 - - 18830 - - 18204 - - 16345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3462 - - 439 - - -14042 - - -13579 ODpotential blCL - - - 19743 - - 19226 - - 19198 - - 18735 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 80 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.3 - - 93.5 - - 90.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 27.2 - - 27.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 90.2 - - 89.7 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 27.0 - - 27.0 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 480 - - 54 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11432 - - 14816 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 98 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98407 23 114 18 126 10 076 13 082 98407 90966 18 106 21 097 18 099 22 072 90966 85238 19 109 13 115 16 084 20 062 85238 80477 25 111 21 118 15 104 19 090 80477 76390 21 093 26 098 18 101 20 108 76390 72812 13 091 15 084 18 091 21 102 72812 69598 18 116 13 110 16 104 19 099 69598 66655 14 116 16 123 10 099 15 100 66655 63950 14 137 14 135 4 081 10 082 63950 61359 4 147 13 146 6 170 7 115 61359 58667 10 194 2 180 9 163 10 153 58667 55877 12 231 15 244 12 270 10 249 55877 53228 15 237 17 244 13 239 17 257 53228 50841 19 281 17 281 15 278 19 269 50841 48677 22 285 24 275 23 273 25 272 48677 46688 26 269 27 256 26 261 29 271 46688 44849 29 253 27 252 28 252 31 258 44849 43140 27 256 26 260 27 248 30 244 43140 41546 25 273 27 270 26 249 29 237 41546 40054 27 285 26 277 25 256 26 240 40054 38655 26 287 25 284 23 264 23 252 38655 37316 24 296 25 288 23 273 22 270 37316 35974 25 305 24 297 25 280 24 284 35974 34596 25 302 25 303 28 281 24 288 34596 33187 16 320 22 301 29 283 23 287 33187 31736 21 359 17 295 27 282 21 281 31736 30233 23 000 14 300 24 268 20 276 30233 28679 18 352 16 306 17 264 18 278 28679 27077 14 341 17 307 16 279 16 287 27077 25430 12 340 9 314 7 279 16 299 25430 23744 11 339 5 356 4 097 16 275 23744 22020 8 317 6 340 8 074 9 255 22020 20262 5 271 7*003 8 061 4 020 20262 18491 5 104 7*016 8 044 5 027 18491 16785 7*070 7 014 7 029 5 043 16785 15226 8*014 6 008 7 017 5 048 15226 13827 9 004 5 358 6 002 5 047 13827 12569 9 356 5 338 6 348 5 044 12569 11432 10 340 5 316 6 336 4 045 11432 10406 10 323 6 302 6 324 4 049 10406 9481 11 312 6 293 6 316 4 063 9481 8651 11 306 7 286 6 311 4 078 8651 7905 11 301 7 282 6 307 5 088 7905 7226 11 298 8 278 6 303 6 093 7226 6617 11 294 8 276 6 300 7 094 6617 6101 11 291 8 274 6 298 7 090 6101 5701 11 288 8 273 6 297 6 083 5701 5423 10 287 8 273 6 296 4 065 5423 5253 10 287 8 272 5*295 3*051 5253 5156 9 286 7 271 5*291 2*041 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography