DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 93.0 - - - - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 344 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2645 - - 12278 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6028 - - 14249 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7494 - - 17127 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2448 - - 2322 - - - - - 3829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 684 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 309 - - - - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 28 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5312 - - 1704 - - - - - -7450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12806 - - 15423 - - - - - 12606 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7583 - - 514 - - - - - -10455 ODpotential blCL - - - 15077 - - 16613 - - - - - 15611 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 410 - - - - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 93.0 - - - - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 42.5 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 90.4 - - - - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 41.8 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 344 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2645 - - 12278 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 85 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98483 25 106 32 089 45 087 98483 91033 25 104 23 096 26 103 91033 85343 28 101 27 117 22 092 85343 80591 29 097 29 112 18 080 80591 76475 25 103 27 096 13 091 76475 72869 20 094 25 084 19 122 72869 69654 11 116 16 088 23 100 69654 66716 10 133 11 109 18 073 66716 64002 11 127 10 126 9 095 64002 61401 6 075 11 146 7 107 61401 58724 2 191 5 151 2 234 58724 55970 8 247 7 250 7 290 55970 53345 14 256 17 257 15 296 53345 50971 18 275 25 274 23 289 50971 48829 25 276 27 267 26 276 48829 46860 27 277 28 275 30 283 46860 45030 37 295 35 280 36 282 45030 43320 42 286 39 273 37 276 43320 41710 42 271 41 266 34 276 41710 40191 41 258 39 262 34 281 40191 38761 35 252 34 258 36 280 38761 37393 26 254 28 252 32 267 37393 36030 24 272 21 247 25 247 36030 34643 25 277 14 241 23 240 34643 33235 17 274 12 225 18 229 33235 31788 9 259 11 232 10 231 31788 30290 9 255 13 260 13 249 30290 28742 12 240 13 263 18 252 28742 27145 14 234 12 266 19 247 27145 25509 16 237 11 267 14 235 25509 23838 17 237 11 250 8 234 23838 22126 12 224 14 235 1 239 22126 20360 6 238 13 233 2 324 20360 18570 7 287 6*252 4 352 18570 16848 8 289 5*304 5 358 16848 15276 9 286 5 325 6 343 15276 13869 11 282 5 329 7 331 13869 12603 12 284 5 329 9 325 12603 11461 13 287 5 324 9 325 11461 10430 13 291 6 316 9 327 10430 9501 13 297 6 307 9 331 9501 8666 16 299 6 302 8 336 8666 7917 18*297 7 297 8 340 7917 7235 19*295 7 293 7 344 7235 6622 19 294 7 290 7 350 6622 6105 19 293 7 287 6 356 6105 5702 18 292 7 286 5 009 5702 5424 17 291 7 285 5 025 5424 5254 16 291 7 284 4*031 5254 5156 12 291 6 284 2*023 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography