DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.0 - - 99.4 - - 95.1 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 503 - - 501 - - 162 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12435 - - 14119 - - 7907 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14594 - - 15993 - - 10228 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17284 - - 18968 - - 12756 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 877 - - 898 - - 5538 - - 1547 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 773 - - 806 - - 456 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 29 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 011 - - 066 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 53 - - 81 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1967 - - -1454 - - -6081 - - -6671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19252 - - 20423 - - 18838 - - 11827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5864 - - -4605 - - -9568 - - -10323 ODpotential blCL - - - 23148 - - 23573 - - 22324 - - 15479 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 60 - - 46 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.0 - - 99.4 - - 95.1 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 25.9 - - 29.4 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.7 - - 95.9 - - 93.6 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 25.6 - - 29.3 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 503 - - 501 - - 162 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12435 - - 14119 - - 7907 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98752 33 105 42 104 44 110 39 109 98752 91265 31 098 35 111 35 107 35 100 91265 85517 30 108 31 109 29 097 36 093 85517 80740 28 113 24 108 23 101 30 091 80740 76621 27 099 27 112 19 100 23 090 76621 72988 20 092 31 094 22 105 20 113 72988 69737 19 110 13 084 26 090 22 110 69737 66777 15 104 12 114 15 077 22 082 66777 64041 16 116 12 105 9 095 14 083 64041 61409 10 122 13 145 3 158 8 016 61409 58710 4 144 9 145 6 189 7 262 58710 55962 9 304 8 285 6 285 7 269 55962 53361 20 287 20 284 18 291 16 290 53361 51012 28 290 28 292 28 293 25 298 51012 48887 31 294 31 293 31 293 28 301 48887 46942 29 300 29 295 28 295 26 306 46942 45144 28 304 27 295 24 297 25 312 45144 43470 21 294 22 289 22 292 23 311 43470 41902 17 282 18 277 18 280 22 300 41902 40428 16 282 16 273 17 274 19 291 40428 39039 17 288 15 280 16 265 18 284 39039 37703 16 282 15 277 18 259 18 271 37703 36358 15 274 15 272 17 258 18 267 36358 34977 14 272 14 271 16 260 15 265 34977 33565 14 276 13 277 13 269 10 268 33565 32109 13 286 12 295 10 295 5 290 32109 30599 12 304 13 316 12 331 5 016 30599 29038 13 323 14 326 13 347 8 047 29038 27428 14 348 12 345 11 002 9 062 27428 25768 13 001 10 003 9 006 9 069 25768 24063 8 353 7 353 9 347 8 048 24063 22309 3 325 7 331 9 343 11 008 22309 20504 7 022 6*357 10 019 16 358 20504 18680 9*024 4*248 6 301 15 353 18680 16935 10*355 3 274 8 287 14 311 16935 15347 10 355 4 305 7 292 13 307 15347 13925 10 354 4 336 4*317 9 325 13925 12647 9 353 5 356 4*016 7 012 12647 11496 9 350 6 010 6 050 9 041 11496 10458 8 349 7 019 9 060 10 055 10458 9522 8 347 8 024 11 065 11 068 9522 8683 7 345 9 028 13 068 11 085 8683 7929 7 344 9 031 14 070 12 101 7929 7242 6 342 10 032 15 071 14 115 7242 6627 6 341 10 034 15 072 17 122 6627 6108 6 341 10 035 15 072 19 123 6108 5704 5 340 10 036 15 072 19 123 5704 5425 5 340 10 036 15 073 16 123 5425 5254 5 339 10 036 14 073 12*122 5254 5156 5 339 9 036 12 073 7*122 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography