DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 62.7 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 309 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1806 - - 3430 - - - - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5748 - - 7117 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6655 - - 8279 - - - - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 596 - - 1338 - - - - - 780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 427 - - - - - 42 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 21 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 145 - - - - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 750 - - -876 - - - - - -171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5905 - - 9156 - - - - - 5325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3986 - - -7136 - - - - - -8451 ODpotential blCL - - - 10641 - - 15415 - - - - - 13605 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 66 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 62.7 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 40.4 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 60.4 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 40.3 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 309 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1806 - - 3430 - - - - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 0 - - - - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 19 049 18 057 7 030 96262 89174 19 077 17 052 20 054 89174 83690 17 089 10 074 16 061 83690 79125 12 107 9 095 10 088 79125 75203 8 125 9 093 17 080 75203 71750 4 170 2 061 8 071 71750 68644 3 138 4 121 1 187 68644 65805 10 326 3 020 8 206 65805 63188 27 272 20 294 10 296 63188 60663 37 256 37 271 25 271 60663 58034 42 251 44 266 40 266 58034 55305 46 251 46 258 48 266 55305 52677 48 258 47 253 54 263 52677 50282 55 265 52 262 60 256 50282 48119 65 256 67 258 69 250 48119 46148 85 254 89 254 84 250 46148 44340 100 255 101 253 94 249 44340 42662 107 255 105 250 101 249 42662 41096 102 259 106 248 107 247 41096 39626 91 262 102 249 107 245 39626 38242 81 261 90 252 96 247 38242 36914 70 259 75 248 82 248 36914 35584 55 252 56 238 76 247 35584 34222 46 249 44 235 72 245 34222 32834 43 254 46 239 71 248 32834 31407 45 260 47 244 69 252 31407 29929 45 265 46 247 64 253 29929 28399 43 259 48 250 60 252 28399 26822 44 249 47 248 55 252 26822 25198 43 250 43 242 47 254 25198 23533 37 255 37 243 40 253 23533 21820 32 257 32 246 34 246 21820 20055 27 258 29 248 28 239 20055 18268 21 257 25 254 25 242 18268 16547 17 262 21 263 22 251 16547 14979 16 267 17 269 19 258 14979 13578 13 253 12 267 15 259 13578 12324 6 219 7 235 12 249 12324 11200 5 137 7 183 11 235 11200 10194 6 113 8 167 12 225 10194 9294 5 106 5 171 11 215 9294 8492 4 105 4*169 7 204 8492 7774 3 135 4*166 5 192 7774 7123 5*124 4 159 6 177 7123 6541 6*113 4 148 8 159 6541 6050 6 108 4 138 10 144 6050 5670 6 104 4 130 8 128 5670 5406 6 101 4 126 6 103 5406 5246 6 099 4 125 4*079 5246 5154 5 099 3 123 3*060 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography