DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 48.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.9 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 313 - - 321 - - -2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2460 - - 3987 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6387 - - 7556 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 7309 - - 8836 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 890 - - 929 - - 5088 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 383 - - 454 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 179 - - 216 - - 217 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2951 - - -4291 - - -4026 - - -7530 - - -2581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8103 - - 11601 - - 12862 - - 12685 - - 7735 sfcLCL ODpotential -15637 - - -13551 - - -12532 - - -16462 - - -13319 ODpotential blCL 20789 - - 20860 - - 21368 - - 21616 - - 18472 blCL maxRH 37 - - 38 - - 38 - - 37 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 48.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.9 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.5 - - 15.7 - - 15.6 - - 14.6 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.9 - - 45.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.7 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.5 - - 15.5 - - 15.5 - - 14.6 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 313 - - 321 - - -2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2460 - - 3987 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96138 52 243 44 247 67 240 51 262 64 258 96138 88972 45 253 44 265 53 257 54 273 48 270 88972 83516 36 269 44 273 44 275 50 271 34 283 83516 78969 34 287 35 287 32 292 40 265 29 291 78969 75020 30 301 30 303 28 301 29 261 27 277 75020 71514 36 298 31 312 28 320 20 293 22 280 71514 68345 38 299 30 314 30 322 26 320 21 307 68345 65459 38 294 27 298 32 302 33 323 29 316 65459 62819 32 301 29 293 35 291 38 316 37 309 62819 60283 37 306 37 294 41 296 45 311 42 310 60283 57628 46 305 48 296 46 301 48 305 47 306 57628 54846 61 300 60 306 54 306 51 305 52 299 54846 52173 76 300 68 304 60 300 59 307 58 297 52173 49757 81 297 72 296 66 293 66 298 63 297 49757 47580 78 294 72 292 71 293 68 293 67 302 47580 45596 78 295 74 291 73 292 70 294 74 301 45596 43783 74 295 73 293 72 292 71 291 76 292 43783 42121 70 293 73 291 71 293 67 297 70 286 42121 40581 63 302 63 292 66 288 63 294 63 292 40581 39143 58 309 54 301 61 284 56 285 58 289 39143 37800 57 313 53 305 54 295 52 290 50 285 37800 36514 55 310 54 307 54 303 50 301 48 292 36514 35216 55 306 55 307 55 302 53 304 48 294 35216 33881 58 308 55 307 55 300 54 307 48 295 33881 32511 59 311 55 308 56 302 55 306 46 297 32511 31096 55 309 53 308 55 304 54 307 43 307 31096 29626 50 304 51 304 51 304 49 312 41 316 29626 28106 45 301 49 295 49 302 49 311 38 318 28106 26535 42 305 49 295 48 303 49 310 36 317 26535 24919 38 311 47 301 45 312 49 315 33 319 24919 23262 36 316 43 304 38 320 41 321 28 323 23262 21559 35 320 38 303 35 318 33 323 25 324 21559 19806 33 323 32 305 34 311 28 318 22 323 19806 18032 27 328 26 309 31 302 23 315 20 317 18032 16327 21 334 20 313 27 300 22 311 20 314 16327 14777 17 330 17 321 22 302 22 307 22 315 14777 13397 14 317 16 322 18 308 22 311 22 319 13397 12166 11 299 14 317 15 314 20 317 22 325 12166 11063 9 284 12 305 14 310 16 320 21 325 11063 10075 7 269 11 290 10 304 9 324 19 311 10075 9191 4 241 10 274 5*251 7 318 14 289 9191 8404 3 153 8 245 5*228 5 302 11 269 8404 7701 6 105 8*201 6 221 4 268 9 243 7701 7066 6 094 8*184 7 217 5 237 7 203 7066 6498 5 099 8 181 7 215 5 225 9 155 6498 6021 4 135 8 178 7 213 5 221 10 122 6021 5652 6 152 7 177 7 212 5 219 11 094 5652 5397 7 150 7 176 7 211 5 217 10 080 5397 5242 4 146 7 175 7 212 5*216 8*074 5242 5153 2*137 6 175 7 211 4*217 5*072 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography