DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 86.3 - - 85.1 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 134 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8115 - - 8333 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10914 - - 10417 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12964 - - 13182 - - 5156 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2637 - - 3310 - - 11144 - - 7187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 615 - - 437 - - 86 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 70 - - 33 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 041 - - 099 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 978 - - 567 - - -6677 - - -4698 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11986 - - 12615 - - 11833 - - 9855 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -290 - - -547 - - -8083 - - -7411 ODpotential blCL - - - 13254 - - 13729 - - 13239 - - 12567 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 190 - - 310 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 86.3 - - 85.1 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 48.6 - - 50.8 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 84.8 - - 84.6 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 48.4 - - 50.2 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 134 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8115 - - 8333 - - 307 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 102 - - 87 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98739 36 113 23 125 13 098 21 062 98739 91295 25 126 22 095 15 103 18 086 91295 85578 22 106 21 102 21 101 16 101 85578 80842 26 090 21 094 27 095 23 096 80842 76766 26 090 19 097 25 095 24 084 76766 73179 23 100 17 112 14 093 20 080 73179 69943 16 101 17 109 11 098 16 084 69943 66983 12 096 15 102 16 093 12 077 66983 64257 15 076 14 108 20 101 7 096 64257 61635 14 067 11 120 17 095 12 126 61635 58926 13 100 9 119 11 078 13 097 58926 56156 10 081 9 122 8 086 9 066 56156 53541 9 026 7 092 8 089 10 065 53541 51186 9 053 11 063 13 070 16 067 51186 49057 13 068 14 071 14 075 16 060 49057 47102 14 049 15 064 16 070 16 059 47102 45291 14 027 15 059 14 060 15 050 45291 43602 10 034 10 055 8 065 9 043 43602 42018 1 228 8 239 10 226 5 259 42018 40523 11 209 9 208 12 208 6 199 40523 39112 11 182 10 194 11 194 6 173 39112 37753 10 173 10 180 9 190 9 163 37753 36383 6 167 11 166 5 200 7 165 36383 34976 3 127 11 158 4 181 5 161 34976 33538 5 121 9 158 6 159 5 156 33538 32060 8 126 6 169 8 161 6 166 32060 30534 8 106 7 187 8 172 6 173 30534 28958 8 085 11 182 8 201 7 185 28958 27334 7 079 9 174 10 212 6 223 27334 25666 5 096 4 191 5 184 7 239 25666 23958 4 128 5 229 2 186 4 221 23958 22206 4 157 5 245 3 295 2 230 22206 20405 4 157 2 281 4 338 4 279 20405 18588 3 136 4 352 6 344 5 346 18588 16851 4 061 3 346 6 339 7 360 16851 15275 5 042 3 346 5 341 5 357 15275 13866 5*057 2*351 3 351 3 058 13866 12599 4*066 2*358 1 028 5 098 12599 11456 4 070 2 007 2 075 6 101 11456 10424 3 072 2 027 2 091 6 104 10424 9494 2 060 2 039 3 097 7 109 9494 8660 1 044 2 047 3 100 7 114 8660 7911 1 011 3 052 3 100 8 118 7911 7230 1 344 3 055 4 102 8 121 7230 6619 1 330 3 055 4 101 8 122 6619 6102 1 315 3 056 3 101 7 120 6102 5701 1 309 3 057 3 099 6 114 5701 5423 1 309 3 057 3 098 4 098 5423 5253 1 307 3 056 3*097 3*072 5253 5156 1 311 3 054 3*099 3*061 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography