DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 82.6 - - 72.2 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 74 - - 21 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7885 - - 2337 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10779 - - 5884 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12734 - - 7186 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3522 - - 7164 - - 2843 - - 1541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 631 - - 271 - - 91 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 131 - - 103 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 815 - - -1825 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11920 - - 9011 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -364 - - -4069 - - -1217 - - -3141 ODpotential blCL - - - 13098 - - 11255 - - 6372 - - 8296 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 98 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 1720 - - 2800 - - 2210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 82.6 - - 72.2 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 60.3 - - 67.7 - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 81.6 - - 71.7 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 58.9 - - 66.8 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 74 - - 21 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7885 - - 2337 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 91 - - 100 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 12 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98541 26 100 30 129 20 090 28 093 98541 91018 29 107 24 116 24 090 24 085 91018 85262 28 105 23 104 25 103 22 093 85262 80517 22 104 27 094 24 104 25 096 80517 76441 21 098 27 090 24 093 27 092 76441 72851 25 110 20 092 19 085 23 083 72851 69626 21 109 14 115 15 095 17 079 69626 66683 14 088 10 105 14 101 15 082 66683 63975 10 070 5 105 8 077 13 081 63975 61380 7 120 5 132 7 033 13 039 61380 58711 1 059 9 195 2 232 10 304 58711 55979 14 244 17 213 18 235 16 253 55979 53389 27 245 21 238 28 242 24 249 53389 51053 30 238 26 251 27 252 23 253 51053 48936 27 226 27 253 25 266 25 262 48936 46990 26 264 28 257 33 268 32 266 46990 45188 35 272 31 259 35 263 36 265 45188 43507 39 273 32 260 32 257 34 258 43507 41929 39 277 30 263 27 251 35 248 41929 40440 37 277 31 266 24 247 40 242 40440 39036 29 259 33 252 25 241 35 236 39036 37683 27 251 35 240 28 240 30 231 37683 36320 28 248 33 238 29 235 30 229 36320 34919 27 240 26 237 24 230 33 232 34919 33485 26 235 24 240 26 232 30 228 33485 32003 25 236 24 249 24 238 28 223 32003 30467 24 238 21 258 23 246 27 233 30467 28885 23 239 16 250 22 253 26 257 28885 27262 22 242 10 258 17 258 17 288 27262 25594 18 240 9 235 13 256 11 309 25594 23884 18 214 12 207 9 261 9 263 23884 22130 23 189 12 209 8 264 7 218 22130 20330 19 185 13 208 11 243 6 262 20330 18513 20 174 14 200 17 222 9 249 18513 16776 19 153 13 188 16 207 5 231 16776 15202 18 138 11 181 14 186 3 138 15202 13797 14*127 9 172 13 173 5 093 13797 12536 8*110 9 163 8 170 8 081 12536 11399 4 070 9 157 3 154 8 075 11399 10373 4 069 9 152 3 076 7 076 10373 9449 4 068 9 147 6 089 6 097 9449 8622 3 071 9 144 10 106 9 138 8622 7880 3 076 9 142 12 112 14 151 7880 7206 3 083 9*139 12 113 20 148 7206 6601 3 091 8*137 10 111 24 142 6601 6090 3 095 8 133 9 107 22 139 6090 5695 3 099 7 130 9 105 19 139 5695 5420 3 102 7 128 8 104 14 141 5420 5252 2 103 6 127 8 103 11*141 5252 5155 2 102 5 127 7*103 6*142 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography