DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.1 - - 54.0 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 233 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3282 - - 4447 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6977 - - 7780 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8131 - - 9296 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1278 - - 1483 - - 5034 - - 629 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 410 - - 424 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 15 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 296 - - 313 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2158 - - -2414 - - -4696 - - -2438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10290 - - 11711 - - 9850 - - 7591 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6038 - - -5966 - - -8919 - - -9167 ODpotential blCL - - - 14169 - - 15262 - - 14073 - - 14320 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 61 - - 60 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.1 - - 54.0 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 28.6 - - 29.1 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 60.3 - - 56.9 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 28.6 - - 29.0 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 233 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3282 - - 4447 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96338 14 081 10 077 7 060 6 080 96338 89177 17 054 14 090 6 054 6 026 89177 83681 7 012 8 079 4 123 4 060 83681 79119 2 068 6 050 8 058 4 119 79119 75171 8 286 6 319 2 264 6 337 75171 71678 5 265 9 310 4 334 12 354 71678 68508 5 274 11 289 11 282 15 348 68508 65594 17 272 13 294 21 274 19 280 65594 62931 24 256 27 275 23 288 21 279 62931 60350 31 269 31 263 31 285 28 286 60350 57633 46 272 42 262 41 273 39 263 57633 54795 56 261 54 252 53 263 50 263 54795 52067 60 255 59 258 62 263 60 266 52067 49624 68 267 79 270 75 268 71 266 49624 47468 89 265 92 264 84 265 78 264 47468 45530 101 254 93 259 85 259 83 259 45530 43762 99 254 98 262 92 260 91 259 43762 42127 107 261 113 261 106 261 103 259 42127 40594 118 263 123 256 118 258 112 257 40594 39147 120 257 125 254 124 256 117 256 39147 37782 118 252 125 256 126 256 119 257 37782 36468 119 253 125 258 127 256 120 258 36468 35142 120 255 126 260 125 257 120 259 35142 33778 121 258 128 260 123 259 118 261 33778 32380 106 259 119 260 115 262 112 263 32380 30941 86 259 101 261 103 264 102 266 30941 29451 75 257 87 263 93 266 94 269 29451 27918 69 257 81 264 88 268 88 270 27918 26349 63 258 76 264 83 269 83 271 26349 24745 58 259 69 265 75 269 76 274 24745 23106 53 261 62 266 67 269 64 275 23106 21425 47 268 56 268 60 269 54 273 21425 19696 43 276 48 270 53 272 48 273 19696 17951 41 279 40 272 47 273 44 273 17951 16280 39 275 37 275 42 277 41 274 16280 14761 37 269 36 278 39 281 38 275 14761 13405 34 262 34 279 36 285 38 275 13405 12188 31 260 31 282 31 287 36 277 12188 11093 29 265 28 287 23 289 32 283 11093 10109 28 277 22*292 14 292 24 290 10109 9226 26 287 15*297 10 303 16 295 9226 8437 23*290 15 297 9 311 11 302 8437 7730 20*288 15 297 10 314 9 318 7730 7088 20 288 15 296 10 315 8 341 7088 6513 19 287 15 296 10 315 8 024 6513 6030 19 286 15 296 10 315 13 046 6030 5658 18 285 14 295 10 316 15 046 5658 5400 17 284 14 295 9 316 13 046 5400 5243 16 284 13 295 7*314 10*048 5243 5153 13 284 11 295 5*313 5*052 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography