DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.6 - - 74.9 - - 78.6 - - 75.8 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 81 - - 416 - - 351 - - 19 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 5505 - - 6845 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8849 - - 9846 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5587 - - 10354 - - 11694 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1483 - - 1255 - - 1405 - - 8205 - - 2942 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 553 - - 562 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S 7 - - 24 - - 26 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 046 - - 061 - - 084 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - -9 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2358 - - 437 - - 113 - - -6348 - - -3828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7945 - - 9918 - - 11582 - - 11503 - - 8983 sfcLCL ODpotential -5580 - - -4082 - - -3722 - - -8203 - - -9582 ODpotential blCL 11167 - - 14436 - - 15416 - - 13358 - - 14737 blCL maxRH 78 - - 74 - - 74 - - 90 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 60 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 66.6 - - 74.9 - - 78.6 - - 75.8 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 49.0 - - 45.3 - - 43.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.6 - - 72.1 - - 75.9 - - 75.3 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.3 - - 48.8 - - 45.2 - - 43.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 81 - - 416 - - 351 - - 19 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 5505 - - 6845 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97896 10 312 10 209 13 251 16 239 8 281 97896 90524 5 128 9 167 11 229 8 276 10 351 90524 84852 5 123 6 109 11 150 6 173 3 298 84852 80147 1 235 2 343 8 119 7 118 2 077 80147 76106 3 116 2 268 4 025 8 080 9 095 76106 72539 5 072 11 176 3 003 5 020 11 028 72539 69340 10 045 6 125 7 093 3 058 12 353 69340 66433 9 037 6 060 8 076 6 067 9 357 66433 63764 12 033 8 058 8 065 6 025 12 341 63764 61207 19 019 12 007 9 022 8 016 11 350 61207 58553 20 347 22 343 19 344 18 333 16 328 58553 55795 30 323 30 327 27 326 28 310 22 303 55795 53146 38 316 35 317 35 315 36 305 27 295 53146 50738 42 319 37 315 42 312 42 306 38 307 50738 48562 45 318 41 315 45 312 47 308 50 311 48562 46574 47 315 43 313 47 312 49 307 56 309 46574 44739 48 310 43 311 49 309 50 306 58 305 44739 43032 49 307 44 310 50 308 53 307 59 302 43032 41436 49 304 44 309 51 309 56 306 58 301 41436 39941 46 304 42 308 51 311 56 305 56 302 39941 38538 43 309 39 306 46 311 52 302 54 302 38538 37197 43 311 37 305 40 305 47 297 51 299 37197 35850 41 306 34 298 39 298 44 293 49 296 35850 34469 38 302 34 294 37 292 43 291 48 296 34469 33060 38 298 34 294 36 292 43 291 48 295 33060 31610 37 293 36 293 36 296 43 293 47 297 31610 30111 36 293 36 291 37 298 41 299 44 304 30111 28565 34 293 32 291 36 297 37 303 40 309 28565 26974 28 294 29 290 32 292 33 302 34 307 26974 25340 24 295 26 292 28 291 30 301 28 298 25340 23667 20 300 23 291 25 291 28 300 25 296 23667 21949 14 303 18 286 20 287 24 298 21 303 21949 20180 10 296 14 286 14 284 17 297 14 311 20180 18391 7 298 9 273 11 270 10 302 6 313 18391 16670 6 350 5 277 7 266 6 322 2 005 16670 15100 4 001 4 285 4 311 6 318 7 034 15100 13698 4 340 4 334 4 325 10 286 10 341 13698 12444 7 340 7 354 4*329 9 279 11 302 12444 11318 10 356 7*360 4*333 5 262 5 341 11318 10304 11 006 5*013 3 342 3 252 7 060 10304 9393 8 014 4 021 3 044 1 143 6 086 9393 8577 5 024 4 035 4 063 4 101 7 123 8577 7845 5 014 4 047 5 071 7 093 10 138 7845 7179 3 335 4 055 5 076 9 089 14 139 7179 6583 4 214 4 060 6 078 10 087 16 137 6583 6078 7 187 5 064 7 080 10 086 16 134 6078 5687 7*183 5 067 7 081 10 086 13 131 5687 5416 5*184 5 067 7 081 10 085 9 123 5416 5250 4 184 5 068 7 081 9*085 6*116 5250 5155 4 186 5 068 6 082 8*084 4*109 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography