DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 74.4 - - 72.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 338 - - -11 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 3768 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6218 - - 7410 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7045 - - 8617 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1040 - - 1258 - - 4474 - - 104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 455 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 214 - - 218 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -9 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7495 - - -7895 - - -11863 - - -7348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14541 - - 16513 - - 17019 - - 12503 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12842 - - -12518 - - -17133 - - -15228 ODpotential blCL - - - 19887 - - 21135 - - 22288 - - 20382 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 57 - - 87 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 74.4 - - 72.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 19.8 - - 15.6 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 72.1 - - 72.5 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 19.7 - - 15.6 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 338 - - -11 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 3768 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 3 250 3 237 5 054 16 071 96499 89401 6 125 7 159 6 190 2 301 89401 83920 8 161 3 152 6 176 3 214 83920 79328 10 186 6 247 2 291 1 218 79328 75356 9 196 9 214 7 244 8 270 75356 71853 7 220 8 234 12 249 8 257 71853 68695 12 256 13 263 13 251 12 253 68695 65822 11 267 8 266 13 265 14 244 65822 63192 20 262 19 270 19 261 14 261 63192 60651 29 265 26 272 36 271 24 278 60651 57985 42 270 43 268 47 268 43 270 57985 55205 48 265 46 264 52 265 51 263 55205 52535 48 264 51 264 55 261 57 261 52535 50122 58 267 59 260 57 258 62 262 50122 47953 64 262 63 255 63 260 64 263 47953 45983 64 259 62 257 68 262 65 264 45983 44182 62 264 66 265 64 266 67 266 44182 42524 60 270 64 271 64 276 68 272 42524 40985 55 270 63 279 74 285 72 284 40985 39550 46 267 63 284 74 287 72 286 39550 38202 39 262 61 285 68 283 68 282 38202 36905 40 262 58 286 63 280 65 278 36905 35595 41 265 54 286 58 281 63 278 35595 34247 41 266 45 283 55 282 63 278 34247 32865 41 267 40 276 52 281 64 279 32865 31437 39 263 41 273 49 281 64 277 31437 29956 36 258 43 274 47 282 57 276 29956 28423 34 254 47 275 46 281 46 275 28423 26842 36 259 49 273 44 276 40 267 26842 25217 41 269 48 267 40 271 37 255 25217 23554 43 272 46 261 36 263 35 248 23554 21848 40 272 43 259 37 253 36 249 21848 20089 34 273 39 259 37 249 37 252 20089 18309 27 276 35 256 35 246 37 254 18309 16600 21 275 30 253 34 243 36 253 16600 15044 19 270 24 251 33 241 35 251 15044 13656 19 264 20 249 32 241 34 253 13656 12411 19 258 20 247 30 243 32 257 12411 11291 17 251 20 243 29 243 30 258 11291 10281 16 242 20 238 26 240 28 252 10281 9372 16 237 19*227 23 234 27 240 9372 8558 19 233 18*217 20 225 28 227 8558 7828 21 227 18 215 19 222 27 219 7828 7165 21*222 18 214 18 220 23 212 7165 6572 19*218 18 213 18 220 19 203 6572 6070 18 217 18 213 17 219 18 192 6070 5681 18 217 18 212 16 219 18 183 5681 5412 17 217 17 212 15 218 16 181 5412 5248 16 217 16 212 13*218 10*184 5248 5154 13 217 14 212 10*218 5*187 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography