DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 84.8 - - 84.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 295 - - 89 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6328 - - 7066 - - 6941 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9562 - - 9936 - - 9000 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11177 - - 11915 - - 11790 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 3470 - - 2767 - - 3148 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 606 - - 536 - - 357 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 136 - - 143 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 6 - - 21 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 642 - - 573 - - 556 - - -2236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10536 - - 11343 - - 11235 - - 7392 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -421 - - -702 - - -857 - - -5255 ODpotential blCL - - - 11598 - - 12617 - - 12647 - - 10411 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 98 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 280 - - 270 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 84.8 - - 84.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 52.4 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 82.4 - - 83.1 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 52.3 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 295 - - 89 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6328 - - 7066 - - 6941 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 91 - - 53 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98653 32 087 32 102 27 102 31 088 98653 91219 28 100 28 115 33 101 29 083 91219 85463 25 094 28 112 29 101 29 094 85463 80719 19 094 25 095 25 091 28 101 80719 76670 14 111 15 097 18 078 27 091 76670 73087 11 113 11 135 11 070 14 078 73087 69827 10 099 16 118 14 118 4 088 69827 66835 9 117 10 099 14 121 12 118 66835 64100 15 098 4 091 7 099 15 100 64100 61509 16 085 12 095 8 076 14 084 61509 58846 10 085 16 092 13 088 14 068 58846 56098 11 097 16 083 18 095 16 065 56098 53483 21 094 18 084 20 086 19 076 53483 51133 24 083 22 078 21 080 22 075 51133 49018 22 068 23 070 22 073 21 078 49018 47074 19 059 21 062 22 057 23 071 47074 45267 16 047 17 047 22 046 23 060 45267 43576 15 057 14 043 21 040 22 058 43576 41987 19 079 15 071 18 045 20 057 41987 40488 22 083 19 087 15 070 18 066 40488 39075 19 076 24 094 22 092 20 083 39075 37718 13 075 23 094 27 101 23 095 37718 36355 11 106 21 088 24 083 22 100 36355 34958 20 117 22 087 16 069 22 085 34958 33536 20 125 20 109 12 091 18 063 33536 32070 16 129 12 123 15 116 15 080 32070 30548 12 124 9 115 14 116 13 106 30548 28972 10 117 11 102 14 122 11 100 28972 27344 11 111 14 127 13 144 10 110 27344 25673 15 112 15 132 13 143 11 119 25673 23962 18 113 11 128 12 135 12 124 23962 22205 16 127 7 136 8 120 9 089 22205 20398 15 140 6 158 5 096 11 071 20398 18572 13 140 6 146 8 081 15 078 18572 16822 11 131 5 122 12 056 16 078 16822 15234 9 127 3 138 7 026 10 062 15234 13819 9 128 3 137 3 059 5 042 13819 12553 7 124 6*135 6*134 1 107 12553 11414 6*127 7*136 8*142 2 177 11414 10386 6*128 8 136 9 143 3 180 10386 9461 6 128 9 137 10 143 5 165 9461 8632 6 129 10 136 11 143 10 153 8632 7888 6 129 10 136 11 143 15 145 7888 7212 6 129 10 135 11 143 21 140 7212 6607 6 129 11 135 11 142 24 138 6607 6094 6 129 11 135 11 142 23 137 6094 5697 6 128 11 134 11 142 20 137 5697 5421 6 128 10 134 11 142 16 137 5421 5252 6 128 10 134 10 143 13*136 5252 5156 5 128 9 134 9 142 8*135 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography