DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 92.3 - - 91.3 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 506 - - 456 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6864 - - 9570 - - 8807 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10019 - - 12178 - - 10946 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11713 - - 14419 - - 13656 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2132 - - 2730 - - 3602 - - 4542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 635 - - 685 - - 477 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 142 - - 128 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -81 - - 737 - - 195 - - -6413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11794 - - 13683 - - 13461 - - 11569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2615 - - -274 - - -1101 - - -9545 ODpotential blCL - - - 14328 - - 14693 - - 14757 - - 14701 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 86 - - 77 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 240 - - 240 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 92.3 - - 91.3 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 49.7 - - 49.8 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 89.3 - - 89.7 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 49.6 - - 49.6 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 506 - - 456 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6864 - - 9570 - - 8807 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 42 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 40 105 45 110 36 104 38 085 99027 91552 45 099 44 110 33 112 31 089 91552 85772 44 096 45 098 39 105 38 096 85772 80960 42 094 42 088 41 089 46 096 80960 76847 37 097 35 092 38 083 46 093 76847 73255 33 097 24 101 31 087 37 084 73255 70045 34 097 25 108 25 094 26 082 70045 67112 34 099 28 103 22 100 22 081 67112 64394 34 101 33 109 23 109 16 086 64394 61775 29 091 32 101 27 118 16 116 61775 59076 24 088 25 101 28 107 22 121 59076 56315 17 103 23 105 22 105 23 105 56315 53706 19 127 18 091 15 097 20 094 53706 51363 22 140 13 089 7 073 11 088 51363 49251 16 104 9 102 5 027 7 070 49251 47311 10 056 9 129 2 355 9 050 47311 45507 9 058 11 140 3 197 10 027 45507 43816 5 064 9 130 7 204 7 011 43816 42222 1 127 8 131 11 181 2 331 42222 40713 4 192 5 121 3 275 8 355 40713 39289 7 208 8 108 7 358 14 000 39289 37924 6 206 9 123 15 049 16 037 37924 36554 6 142 13 135 19 065 20 069 36554 35149 13 124 17 126 16 083 17 085 35149 33709 18 117 23 120 15 105 15 095 33709 32226 21 113 25 117 16 099 15 091 32226 30691 24 107 24 110 16 085 17 077 30691 29108 24 102 23 101 17 078 20 075 29108 27481 23 100 23 095 21 084 24 077 27481 25812 22 102 21 089 24 094 23 083 25812 24101 19 102 18 072 20 096 21 090 24101 22341 15 105 17 060 18 078 20 080 22341 20527 14 108 13 070 17 072 19 069 20527 18697 15 117 11 100 10 086 14 060 18697 16947 15 118 11 122 5 109 8 022 16947 15356 13 106 9*134 4 119 8 356 15356 13933 12 099 9*142 5*124 6 009 13933 12655 9*106 9 144 6*127 5 052 12655 11502 5*122 9 144 7 129 7 082 11502 10462 4 134 9 144 8 129 8 102 10462 9525 4 140 10 144 9 130 10 116 9525 8685 5 141 10 143 10 128 11 124 8685 7931 5 142 10 142 10 128 12 129 7931 7245 5 141 10 141 11 127 13 133 7245 6629 5 140 11 140 11 126 13 136 6629 6109 5 139 11 139 11 126 13 138 6109 5705 5 138 10 138 11 126 13 139 5705 5425 5 137 10 138 11 125 11 140 5425 5254 5 137 10 138 10 125 8*140 5254 5156 5 137 9 137 9 125 5*139 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography