DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.7 - - 83.5 - - 86.8 - - 85.1 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 185 - - 533 - - 433 - - 120 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2489 - - 7899 - - 9681 - - 8226 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6228 - - 10881 - - 12242 - - 10228 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 7338 - - 12748 - - 14530 - - 13075 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4531 - - 1423 - - 2514 - - 3856 - - 4911 Hgt.Variab. W* 324 - - 676 - - 676 - - 417 - - 12 W* B/S 7 - - 26 - - 19 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 157 - - 146 - - 146 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 12 - - 34 - - 17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1922 - - 719 - - 1431 - - -6 - - -6281 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9261 - - 12029 - - 13100 - - 13081 - - 11437 sfcLCL ODpotential -3670 - - -749 - - 434 - - -1229 - - -9130 ODpotential blCL 11008 - - 13497 - - 14096 - - 14304 - - 14285 blCL maxRH 66 - - 68 - - 83 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 150 - - 320 - - 110 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 75.7 - - 83.5 - - 86.8 - - 85.1 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 48.2 - - 46.8 - - 45.4 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.0 - - 80.0 - - 83.8 - - 83.9 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.7 - - 48.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.3 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 185 - - 533 - - 433 - - 120 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2489 - - 7899 - - 9681 - - 8226 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 26 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98945 37 099 30 094 34 104 31 095 29 073 98945 91473 48 092 41 101 41 102 33 092 37 088 91473 85701 45 088 45 092 41 104 36 096 38 090 85701 80912 31 090 34 085 35 095 37 095 36 093 80912 76807 22 088 27 090 29 086 30 088 36 094 76807 73208 21 098 24 103 23 088 24 086 27 089 73208 69977 23 100 21 113 20 102 18 092 19 089 69977 67019 21 098 18 108 19 104 16 111 13 085 67019 64277 12 086 18 084 17 105 16 117 7 108 64277 61624 4 089 11 078 14 090 16 108 10 138 61624 58867 4 081 5 113 7 088 10 064 16 108 58867 56033 8 072 2 153 1 054 5 005 14 062 56033 53359 16 068 8 083 5 101 2 040 13 026 53359 50961 20 055 19 072 12 093 5 094 10 022 50961 48803 22 046 22 065 16 091 10 088 9 050 48803 46835 19 046 24 065 20 082 15 094 13 067 46835 45021 17 057 24 065 21 073 19 086 17 073 45021 43333 19 065 23 066 19 067 20 077 20 067 43333 41750 22 062 22 065 16 065 19 072 22 061 41750 40260 25 058 20 059 16 060 19 071 22 065 40260 38860 24 050 19 055 16 057 19 070 20 071 38860 37517 23 040 18 051 17 065 18 073 16 077 37517 36167 19 032 16 049 16 074 16 087 13 100 36167 34780 14 018 13 055 15 079 14 094 15 113 34780 33363 11 037 12 062 13 080 12 090 14 108 33363 31903 15 068 13 078 13 081 12 079 12 095 31903 30392 21 067 16 079 14 075 15 078 10 094 30392 28832 24 062 16 094 10 095 14 076 10 087 28832 27224 23 068 18 107 13 120 9 103 9 070 27224 25570 28 078 17 106 12 123 8 118 10 050 25570 23875 28 072 13 104 10 120 7 104 11 042 23875 22136 21 068 11 110 10 114 7 088 9 051 22136 20348 13 080 12 114 10 106 10 078 11 070 20348 18540 11 098 12 110 11 092 14 045 21 065 18540 16806 14 097 9 105 6 084 9 006 19 036 16806 15230 15 105 6 116 3*111 8 002 12 357 15230 13823 16 114 5*141 3*129 3*048 8 354 13823 12559 15 113 5*148 3 139 3*089 3 012 12559 11419 10 103 5 150 5 144 6 136 2 136 11419 10391 5 080 5 153 6 147 7 143 7 155 10391 9466 3 001 5 154 7 148 9 146 12 156 9466 8637 4 291 5 158 7 147 10 147 15 155 8637 7893 5*238 5 160 8 147 10 149 17 153 7893 7216 8*217 5 162 8 147 10 149 19 151 7216 6609 8 209 5 164 9 147 11 149 20 149 6609 6096 8 207 5 165 9 147 11 150 20 149 6096 5697 8 207 5 166 9 146 11 150 19 149 5697 5421 8 207 4 165 9 147 10 150 15 149 5421 5252 7 207 4 166 8 146 10 150 11*148 5252 5155 7 207 4 167 8 146 9 150 6*147 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography