DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.7 - - 77.3 - - 78.4 - - 78.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 106 - - 493 - - 270 - - 157 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1231 - - 4720 - - 5117 - - 4853 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8284 - - 8391 - - 7888 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6080 - - 9569 - - 9966 - - 9702 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1335 - - 2249 - - 4476 - - 5957 - - 3081 Hgt.Variab. W* 221 - - 556 - - 477 - - 384 - - 34 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 145 - - 113 - - 087 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 7 - - 26 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 560 - - 756 - - 484 - - -373 - - -1826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5520 - - 8814 - - 9482 - - 10076 - - 6981 sfcLCL ODpotential -3448 - - -945 - - -1434 - - -2432 - - -5326 ODpotential blCL 9528 - - 10514 - - 11400 - - 12134 - - 10481 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 78 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 1880 - - 1910 - - 1670 - - 1380 - - 1580 CAPE Temp@2m 67.7 - - 77.3 - - 78.4 - - 78.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.6 - - 56.0 - - 54.3 - - 51.8 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 74.1 - - 76.5 - - 77.1 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.5 - - 51.7 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 106 - - 493 - - 270 - - 157 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1231 - - 4720 - - 5117 - - 4853 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 16 - - 12 - - 44 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98401 4 022 17 073 16 145 7 144 5 081 98401 90911 13 085 14 097 14 111 9 140 6 129 90911 85138 18 105 9 128 13 088 12 122 9 123 85138 80367 19 102 15 121 12 076 16 091 18 117 80367 76280 17 094 15 119 13 107 18 068 23 099 76280 72687 14 071 14 102 18 106 14 072 19 081 72687 69466 10 070 11 091 13 085 11 072 17 074 69466 66531 10 072 7 108 12 061 10 060 18 066 66531 63842 9 113 8 095 8 048 9 037 14 039 63842 61258 12 080 8 164 6 211 3 230 9 334 61258 58546 4 152 7 125 6 131 3 111 4 221 58546 55714 12 236 12 247 13 266 10 279 6 259 55714 52988 14 263 21 264 21 273 20 271 17 264 52988 50519 28 266 32 263 29 258 34 256 35 246 50519 48315 40 270 41 272 39 263 39 252 38 240 48315 46333 55 276 50 277 47 268 42 261 40 258 46333 44521 66 277 55 276 54 270 53 266 52 268 44521 42841 66 275 50 274 49 264 57 262 59 262 42841 41272 56 272 40 267 39 259 47 259 55 254 41272 39801 48 265 37 262 34 255 38 258 46 248 39801 38422 42 256 35 251 32 244 37 255 37 247 38422 37106 39 256 32 237 32 228 38 250 30 249 37106 35786 34 260 30 231 31 226 37 248 26 249 35786 34432 28 265 28 224 31 231 36 246 29 245 34432 33045 22 260 28 230 30 234 35 249 30 237 33045 31611 20 242 27 235 27 237 29 250 28 229 31611 30121 20 229 25 238 22 242 24 253 24 222 30121 28579 18 227 22 237 19 245 18 248 22 221 28579 26987 17 237 18 232 15 245 16 251 19 233 26987 25351 18 249 14 222 16 239 13 243 15 254 25351 23677 20 255 11 224 14 243 13 246 9 272 23677 21956 19 260 10 254 12 252 10 245 5 269 21956 20184 15 259 11 288 10 268 10 231 4 260 20184 18396 9 344 11 287 11 269 11 236 5 287 18396 16685 15 349 8 306 10 272 11 249 9 311 16685 15127 15 347 8 005 5 292 9 249 9 325 15127 13733 12 349 6 011 2 316 7 241 8 337 13733 12482 2 028 3 285 1 093 3 180 6 356 12482 11355 14 152 4 209 3 116 7 113 4 022 11355 10338 18 153 7*177 6*118 10*104 4 061 10338 9421 14 159 8*165 7*117 14*097 7 087 9421 8599 12 158 9 157 9 116 15 093 12 112 8599 7863 11 153 9 149 10 114 16 090 17 126 7863 7193 10 150 10 143 10 113 17 087 22 130 7193 6593 10*144 10 140 10 112 17 084 22 132 6593 6085 9*144 10 136 10 112 17 082 21 132 6085 5691 8 144 10 134 10 111 17 081 19 131 5691 5418 8 144 10 133 10 111 17 081 16 129 5418 5251 7 144 9 132 10 110 16 080 12*127 5251 5155 6 144 9 132 9 110 13 080 8*125 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography