DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.6 - - 81.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 303 - - 101 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7609 - - 11391 - - 12515 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9897 - - 13425 - - 13348 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12458 - - 16240 - - 17364 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5410 - - 4322 - - 2439 - - 1055 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 634 - - 454 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 24 - - 50 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 233 - - 037 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 18 - - 89 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 780 - - 522 - - 1372 - - -8283 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11679 - - 15719 - - 15993 - - 13438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -458 - - -73 - - 719 - - -10931 ODpotential blCL - - - 12916 - - 16313 - - 16645 - - 16086 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 220 - - 150 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.6 - - 81.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 30.0 - - 28.7 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 79.2 - - 80.3 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 29.9 - - 28.7 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 303 - - 101 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7609 - - 11391 - - 12515 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 89 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98258 12 113 15 140 7 175 3 062 98258 90817 11 115 10 150 2 140 9 054 90817 85071 14 129 9 110 6 098 12 041 85071 80321 15 109 14 103 15 096 9 080 80321 76258 8 130 14 077 15 071 14 098 76258 72681 9 145 1 258 4 014 7 058 72681 69449 8 039 5 183 2 274 6 147 69449 66463 8 307 4 237 6 302 5 105 66463 63684 17 224 15 242 12 261 11 289 63684 61006 13 226 12 237 14 244 16 277 61006 58215 24 257 16 254 17 249 20 270 58215 55327 27 263 19 260 24 256 28 266 55327 52588 27 273 25 267 28 261 31 268 52588 50132 33 276 30 269 32 268 34 271 50132 47937 36 277 35 269 33 273 32 270 47937 45956 41 272 38 270 33 276 30 276 45956 44151 43 262 37 269 33 274 32 278 44151 42486 40 263 34 269 33 270 32 274 42486 40929 39 268 33 272 32 269 28 275 40929 39463 38 270 37 273 32 274 30 288 39463 38085 37 270 40 270 36 277 39 292 38085 36764 34 266 41 265 39 274 40 286 36764 35436 30 265 36 262 38 271 35 273 35436 34080 30 274 31 263 33 269 26 270 34080 32700 22 279 22 268 31 261 22 283 32700 31280 12 292 16 283 22 259 22 274 31280 29811 10 306 9 287 15 270 15 277 29811 28299 9 291 10 296 12 283 10 286 28299 26744 9 267 12 290 10 296 9 299 26744 25144 10 266 12 272 9 299 8 317 25144 23500 10 261 12 269 5 310 10 313 23500 21812 17 243 9 274 1 011 3 317 21812 20078 17 244 4 313 2 227 1 274 20078 18319 5 202 3 349 3*234 3 267 18319 16627 6 164 3*341 3*247 4 279 16627 15083 6 157 3*322 3 260 4 269 15083 13702 4*144 3 305 2 280 4 249 13702 12461 3*106 3 259 2 304 4 237 12461 11340 3 105 4 241 1 339 4 228 11340 10328 3 103 5 231 2 020 4 224 10328 9416 3 102 6 227 3 045 3 219 9416 8597 3 104 7 224 4 056 2 217 8597 7862 3 106 7 222 5 060 1 211 7862 7192 4 106 8 220 6 062 1 027 7192 6592 4 107 8 218 7 064 2 026 6592 6084 4 109 8 217 7 064 4 027 6084 5691 4 109 8 217 7 064 6 028 5691 5417 4 109 8 217 7 063 7 025 5417 5251 4 109 8 217 7 062 6*025 5251 5155 4 110 7 216 6 062 3*029 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography