DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 55.2 - - 58.5 - - 50.4 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 307 - - 241 - - -20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2934 - - 3682 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6738 - - 7213 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7783 - - 8531 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 824 - - 1139 - - 1142 - - 2888 - - 331 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 404 - - 402 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 358 - - 347 - - 042 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3834 - - -3295 - - -4160 - - -5552 - - -2990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8987 - - 11078 - - 12692 - - 10706 - - 8143 sfcLCL ODpotential -13736 - - -11233 - - -11726 - - -14309 - - -12930 ODpotential blCL 18889 - - 19016 - - 20257 - - 19463 - - 18083 blCL maxRH 42 - - 45 - - 35 - - 37 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 55.2 - - 58.5 - - 50.4 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 24.8 - - 21.0 - - 22.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 53.0 - - 56.6 - - 51.9 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 24.8 - - 20.9 - - 22.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 307 - - 241 - - -20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2934 - - 3682 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 14 244 20 269 27 256 40 271 34 265 96454 89202 16 254 17 247 27 255 29 274 32 294 89202 83592 23 257 17 247 21 276 23 271 29 301 83592 78959 22 268 20 248 20 281 25 266 26 288 78959 75015 22 278 15 245 17 261 21 267 22 275 75015 71556 29 262 24 274 24 271 22 285 21 266 71556 68437 33 268 32 274 34 275 33 295 25 283 68437 65588 37 268 39 267 38 270 37 283 33 286 65588 62967 33 262 41 275 38 276 37 275 39 281 62967 60444 32 271 41 274 38 277 37 273 40 279 60444 57813 29 282 38 276 36 272 36 266 39 272 57813 55069 39 289 41 287 37 277 34 271 39 261 55069 52432 45 281 46 286 43 280 42 285 39 266 52432 50039 44 276 49 280 48 277 52 284 46 279 50039 47878 44 274 49 276 51 273 54 278 54 278 47878 45904 42 272 49 273 52 270 55 276 59 275 45904 44082 40 276 48 271 51 271 54 275 60 276 44082 42386 39 281 43 270 50 271 55 272 58 276 42386 40802 41 280 40 271 46 271 54 266 58 272 40802 39317 44 273 40 268 42 272 49 263 54 268 39317 37926 46 271 39 271 38 280 41 269 50 274 37926 36599 42 278 39 287 39 293 38 279 46 277 36599 35278 42 289 38 287 42 288 38 285 43 282 35278 33930 41 289 33 277 36 274 38 284 44 288 33930 32555 37 282 29 272 34 273 41 278 41 294 32555 31139 34 290 27 295 32 286 41 274 36 298 31139 29673 36 306 31 308 32 298 37 282 34 297 29673 28159 40 319 34 310 34 305 34 292 33 299 28159 26598 43 328 35 311 36 308 32 299 32 303 26598 24991 42 331 35 317 35 314 33 302 31 305 24991 23341 38 324 34 325 33 320 33 302 32 310 23341 21641 39 317 33 333 28 321 30 305 32 314 21641 19886 41 318 33 336 23 327 28 311 29 319 19886 18109 40 320 34 333 24 334 26 318 25 328 18109 16405 35 312 32 329 25 335 24 328 21 337 16405 14856 33 297 28 321 25 336 23 339 18 347 14856 13475 36 288 29 314 24 338 22 346 16 350 13475 12239 38 289 32 314 24 338 20 351 13 347 12239 11129 37 296 35 317 25 338 19 355 11 354 11129 10134 36 305 34 320 22 335 18 350 11 001 10134 9244 33 316 28 325 16*331 12 329 9 353 9244 8451 31 331 21*334 11*333 9 316 9 323 8451 7741 30 349 15*346 10 338 9 332 10 302 7741 7097 28 003 14 354 10 344 9 360 10 298 7097 6521 25 005 13 359 10 348 10 017 7 314 6521 6036 24 359 13 002 9 353 11 027 5 012 6036 5661 20 356 13 004 9 357 11 033 8 053 5661 5402 13 356 12 005 9 359 11 037 8 063 5402 5244 10*356 12 006 8 359 9*041 6*062 5244 5153 3*350 11 007 8 359 6*042 4*062 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography