DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 68.9 - - 58.1 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 217 - - -26 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1968 - - 2541 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5940 - - 6328 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6817 - - 7390 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 821 - - 1565 - - 1698 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 344 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 019 - - 038 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7953 - - -7298 - - -6810 - - -4671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14771 - - 14689 - - 11965 - - 9825 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11971 - - -11035 - - -12902 - - -12573 ODpotential blCL - - - 18788 - - 18425 - - 18056 - - 17727 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 37 - - 33 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 68.9 - - 58.1 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 22.5 - - 24.3 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 67.1 - - 59.9 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 22.5 - - 24.4 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 217 - - -26 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1968 - - 2541 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96402 40 269 34 250 48 269 49 260 96402 89214 22 269 25 261 22 275 27 274 89214 83663 11 248 21 274 17 273 21 294 83663 79056 6 252 10 265 18 268 19 303 79056 75103 10 295 5 277 18 260 24 312 75103 71629 15 291 10 297 18 262 23 296 71629 68495 21 289 17 297 18 284 21 288 68495 65624 26 291 24 289 24 296 23 299 65624 62977 28 286 27 292 29 297 28 307 62977 60422 30 286 31 299 32 296 32 303 60422 57759 36 293 34 303 31 300 33 297 57759 54990 38 290 36 299 30 304 30 296 54990 52334 38 286 40 294 32 300 30 301 52334 49930 34 287 39 291 32 297 35 305 49930 47764 31 297 34 295 29 300 37 297 47764 45794 32 301 32 300 32 301 32 297 45794 43993 28 296 29 298 30 292 35 299 43993 42334 25 313 24 314 22 293 34 293 42334 40791 27 322 23 323 18 307 27 294 40791 39348 24 318 20 328 16 313 23 300 39348 37995 21 316 20 329 17 324 16 303 37995 36696 19 319 22 326 24 326 14 322 36696 35388 17 321 22 319 29 318 20 326 35388 34043 15 322 21 312 28 313 24 321 34043 32665 14 321 20 308 29 315 27 317 32665 31243 15 322 20 307 31 315 29 316 31243 29766 13 323 19 308 30 314 28 323 29766 28239 10 327 15 305 28 313 25 330 28239 26665 9 332 12 300 24 308 22 334 26665 25048 8 336 9 300 19 300 17 324 25048 23394 7 344 7 324 13 295 16 307 23394 21704 4 019 6 334 6 330 8 315 21704 19969 9 068 4 072 3 350 4 311 19969 18210 10 060 8 079 3 071 2 322 18210 16515 9 029 6 032 5 015 4 351 16515 14967 10 014 9 356 9 007 7 008 14967 13582 11 360 12 346 12 007 8 000 13582 12340 12 350 12 345 12 006 8 359 12340 11223 13 346 12 360 12 018 8 005 11223 10217 15 348 15 015 14 029 8 016 10217 9314 17 353 16 020 15 036 9 030 9314 8506 19 000 16 019 14 038 10 041 8506 7783 20 001 15*017 14 031 11 045 7783 7128 19*355 15*016 15 023 13 043 7128 6543 17*352 15 018 17 023 16 034 6543 6051 16 353 15 019 17 026 18 030 6051 5670 16 354 15 020 16 029 16 033 5670 5407 15 354 14 020 14 033 13 034 5407 5246 14 354 13 021 11*034 8*033 5246 5154 12 355 11 021 6*038 5*031 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography