DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 93.8 - - - - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 512 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7766 - - 8395 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10755 - - 11272 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12615 - - 13244 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1282 - - 1793 - - - - - 2821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 663 - - 682 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 365 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 094 - - - - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 629 - - -1012 - - - - - -4919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11987 - - 14256 - - - - - 10075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2257 - - -3362 - - - - - -9585 ODpotential blCL - - - 14872 - - 16606 - - - - - 14741 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 59 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 130 - - - - - 720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 93.8 - - - - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 48.5 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.5 - - 90.3 - - - - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 48.4 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 512 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7766 - - 8395 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99162 49 106 45 109 38 084 99162 91622 53 098 52 096 52 103 91622 85859 45 094 50 093 51 097 85859 81108 35 103 38 100 45 082 81108 76997 32 103 30 105 35 077 76997 73360 29 097 28 095 30 096 73360 70096 28 102 25 086 32 100 70096 67139 32 108 27 103 27 085 67139 64416 31 100 33 114 21 070 64416 61771 22 076 31 102 18 091 61771 59045 15 045 22 075 20 095 59045 56285 17 103 16 063 20 072 56285 53687 31 109 17 101 16 057 53687 51348 34 099 23 124 12 108 51348 49238 28 104 25 124 22 118 49238 47299 22 115 22 124 23 109 47299 45497 20 133 20 140 23 103 45497 43808 22 149 21 157 20 104 43808 42218 21 152 19 164 13 103 42218 40718 20 151 18 163 5 130 40718 39304 18 149 18 152 4 187 39304 37942 17 145 16 142 4 143 37942 36570 19 137 16 142 10 121 36570 35162 22 125 18 139 14 126 35162 33724 21 120 18 135 16 132 33724 32244 20 124 16 125 16 130 32244 30712 19 132 14 115 16 130 30712 29129 19 136 13 113 16 128 29129 27496 23 132 15 119 16 100 27496 25820 22 120 15 117 19 080 25820 24106 16 114 11 111 21 068 24106 22349 12 109 8 096 21 070 22349 20542 13 093 9 086 19 073 20542 18717 18 081 12 080 17 069 18717 16963 19 076 13 076 17 056 16963 15364 15 078 11 066 18 050 15364 13931 10 082 3*054 19 037 13931 12644 4*045 2*073 16 007 12644 11488 3*028 3 083 13 343 11488 10447 2 024 3 091 9 349 10447 9510 1 017 5 096 5 009 9510 8672 0 219 6 096 1 109 8672 7919 1 206 7 097 8 160 7919 7236 1 197 8 097 14 154 7236 6623 2 194 8 096 19 145 6623 6105 2 194 9 095 21 142 6105 5703 2 190 9 094 19 141 5703 5424 2 193 9 094 16 142 5424 5254 2 190 9 094 13*141 5254 5156 2 189 8 094 7*140 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography