DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.7 - - 35.0 - - 40.3 - - 36.8 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 379 - - 328 - - -16 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 389 - - 2053 - - 2594 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 6134 - - 6501 - - 5136 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top 5238 - - 6902 - - 7443 - - 5152 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1156 - - 527 - - 741 - - 2310 - - 690 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 384 - - 396 - - 0 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 22 - - 18 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 044 - - 042 - - 051 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -16 - - -10 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1009 - - -3353 - - -4785 - - -6863 - - -4301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6247 - - 10255 - - 12228 - - 12015 - - 9453 sfcLCL ODpotential -11964 - - -13018 - - -13578 - - -16954 - - -16142 ODpotential blCL 17202 - - 19920 - - 21021 - - 22106 - - 21294 blCL maxRH 72 - - 46 - - 47 - - 51 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.7 - - 35.0 - - 40.3 - - 36.8 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.1 - - 8.8 - - 5.4 - - 3.1 - - 6.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.3 - - 33.0 - - 38.3 - - 37.1 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 8.9 - - 5.4 - - 3.1 - - 6.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 379 - - 328 - - -16 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 389 - - 2053 - - 2594 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 30 245 34 256 41 254 44 276 42 274 96628 89384 33 262 36 263 31 279 30 263 32 277 89384 83851 20 271 22 268 15 284 11 256 17 255 83851 79265 12 307 7 270 8 247 16 285 8 284 79265 75313 18 282 6 303 5 308 13 277 8 304 75313 71815 17 240 7 300 5 299 9 287 11 293 71815 68653 15 231 9 264 13 258 11 284 11 265 68653 65738 11 248 12 237 17 247 15 250 12 263 65738 63011 20 273 21 255 20 260 22 254 19 280 63011 60355 29 264 30 253 29 248 29 248 28 267 60355 57581 40 246 37 255 36 249 34 249 33 256 57581 54704 45 243 43 250 41 255 35 252 34 257 54704 51959 47 251 47 249 42 255 34 258 36 249 51959 49497 55 252 48 252 44 246 39 260 40 242 49497 47302 63 248 51 255 48 247 45 248 46 239 47302 45315 67 247 58 253 58 251 52 248 49 242 45315 43499 73 246 67 248 71 249 67 249 59 246 43499 41834 84 245 77 245 79 246 80 245 74 245 41834 40300 93 243 86 244 84 244 87 240 83 241 40300 38871 97 243 93 243 87 245 85 238 87 236 38871 37528 99 243 95 241 89 244 81 241 86 235 37528 36239 97 244 94 240 92 243 84 242 80 238 36239 34946 95 246 89 241 92 243 87 243 80 243 34946 33619 91 248 84 243 85 245 85 244 78 244 33619 32261 83 251 80 246 78 247 78 247 73 247 32261 30861 78 253 76 248 73 249 69 249 65 248 30861 29409 73 253 71 251 67 250 61 250 57 249 29409 27909 69 254 65 252 61 252 54 251 50 249 27909 26361 66 255 61 253 56 255 48 254 42 248 26361 24766 62 254 58 256 52 259 43 258 36 250 24766 23127 57 255 51 257 46 260 39 260 32 252 23127 21439 50 258 44 258 38 260 33 260 28 255 21439 19696 44 259 37 262 29 263 25 263 23 258 19696 17931 38 262 29 271 23 266 17 272 13 266 17931 16237 32 266 21 279 16 271 12 277 4 302 16237 14698 27 271 15 292 11 280 7 275 2 053 14698 13327 19 286 12 310 5 301 3 283 5 086 13327 12103 15 310 11 321 6 005 6 048 10 085 12103 11006 14 326 11 318 8 357 9 046 13 090 11006 10023 15 360 9 325 8 338 10 039 14 089 10023 9142 25 027 12 013 12 023 13 038 15 082 9142 8359 36 036 23 034 18 037 15 040 16 073 8359 7662 41 044 28 041 19*040 14 045 17 064 7662 7033 40 050 26*042 19*041 15 048 16 059 7033 6475 36 048 24*043 19 042 15 049 16 055 6475 6006 31 038 23 043 19 042 15 050 15 054 6006 5644 27 032 22 043 18 043 14 051 14 055 5644 5393 23*031 21 044 17 043 13 051 12 053 5393 5240 20*031 20 044 17 043 12 052 8*048 5240 5152 15 032 16 044 14 043 9*051 5*043 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography