DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.0 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.3 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 378 - - 305 - - -12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 454 - - 5012 - - 5874 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 8424 - - 9012 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5303 - - 9861 - - 10723 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2145 - - 1346 - - 1289 - - 4965 - - 1663 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 520 - - 510 - - 19 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 26 - - 23 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 261 - - 266 - - 297 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1256 - - 313 - - 445 - - -3508 - - -2753 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6559 - - 9548 - - 10279 - - 8663 - - 7907 sfcLCL ODpotential -4592 - - -3204 - - -3165 - - -7380 - - -8712 ODpotential blCL 9895 - - 13065 - - 13888 - - 12535 - - 13866 blCL maxRH 68 - - 70 - - 72 - - 76 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 130 - - 190 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.0 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.3 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.6 - - 49.8 - - 48.3 - - 48.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.4 - - 72.0 - - 73.8 - - 68.4 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.4 - - 49.7 - - 48.2 - - 48.0 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 378 - - 305 - - -12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 454 - - 5012 - - 5874 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97446 56 265 62 273 62 273 54 269 55 267 97446 90106 34 268 33 265 35 275 34 281 36 277 90106 84468 13 295 13 270 19 275 19 294 18 291 84468 79857 8 341 6 335 8 268 10 284 9 324 79857 75900 5 037 9 017 4 029 2 035 5 345 75900 72390 7 068 10 050 9 064 7 059 7 049 72390 69198 5 043 9 036 10 057 9 053 8 085 69198 66262 6 354 3 079 7 049 6 045 6 089 66262 63562 12 035 2 214 6 317 11 349 7 044 63562 60961 15 345 8 057 1 293 3 317 8 016 60961 58265 4 354 9 306 10 345 5 350 14 295 58265 55508 2 238 11 111 2 231 15 316 18 294 55508 52884 35 293 26 294 30 285 32 287 21 276 52884 50495 31 271 41 282 32 286 34 286 26 278 50495 48322 34 253 33 251 38 282 42 279 34 288 48322 46334 43 270 45 257 43 278 40 273 44 298 46334 44506 51 271 57 268 50 276 40 287 53 303 44506 42811 54 266 63 265 59 275 54 296 60 306 42811 41230 57 264 68 261 61 272 58 292 65 308 41230 39753 59 263 66 259 56 267 50 283 67 310 39753 38375 61 263 64 258 53 267 46 299 66 314 38375 37063 65 263 64 259 54 276 49 309 65 317 37063 35748 68 261 63 260 58 281 48 306 63 315 35748 34398 70 260 62 260 57 281 46 300 59 308 34398 33015 71 259 60 261 53 285 45 300 55 298 33015 31584 69 258 59 262 49 290 44 299 52 288 31584 30095 66 258 57 262 46 293 43 296 54 288 30095 28555 62 259 54 261 43 294 42 293 54 288 28555 26964 61 258 51 261 41 292 42 291 54 290 26964 25324 63 255 47 261 42 287 43 289 55 292 25324 23640 65 251 44 262 43 283 44 291 54 290 23640 21907 66 248 41 264 42 280 44 294 50 287 21907 20119 64 246 39 268 43 277 42 293 44 284 20119 18314 59 244 38 271 44 274 37 285 39 279 18314 16586 53 242 37 270 44 272 37 277 37 275 16586 15019 48 241 38 261 42 269 42 278 38 278 15019 13626 46 243 38 253 40 264 46 276 40 278 13626 12380 44 248 37 251 36 262 40 266 40 274 12380 11259 42 253 35 257 28*262 32 258 38 270 11259 10250 41 257 31*260 24*263 27 259 35 271 10250 9343 39 259 28*260 24 264 24 265 33 278 9343 8533 36 258 27 261 24 265 23 273 32 287 8533 7807 33 256 27 261 24 266 22 285 31 295 7807 7148 30 254 27 261 24 266 22 291 31 303 7148 6559 27 253 27 262 23 267 22 294 31 312 6559 6063 25 254 26 262 23 267 21 295 27 318 6063 5678 21 252 25 262 22 267 20 296 22 322 5678 5411 16*248 24 262 21 268 18 297 16 325 5411 5248 13*246 22 262 20 268 16*297 13 325 5248 5154 11 245 18 262 16 268 12*297 7*325 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography