DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 86.3 - - 88.6 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 18 - - 81 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8822 - - 307 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11543 - - 5139 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13671 - - 5156 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3728 - - 12243 - - 12287 - - 841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 656 - - 98 - - 124 - - 60 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 082 - - 034 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 213 - - -6051 - - -7411 - - -364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13459 - - 11207 - - 12567 - - 5520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -844 - - -7957 - - -8748 - - -4493 ODpotential blCL - - - 14515 - - 13113 - - 13904 - - 9648 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 1430 - - 970 - - 2370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 86.3 - - 88.6 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 54.7 - - 51.0 - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 86.0 - - 87.5 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 53.5 - - 50.6 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 18 - - 81 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8822 - - 307 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 98 - - 92 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98735 33 101 25 105 25 099 21 090 98735 91235 30 105 29 098 26 099 24 087 91235 85485 28 100 30 094 26 088 27 088 85485 80732 22 102 26 104 20 071 27 080 80732 76657 20 101 22 109 16 074 22 074 76657 73079 22 094 19 104 18 098 20 078 73079 69853 16 088 16 089 21 105 20 094 69853 66889 7 107 11 077 17 107 18 107 66889 64139 11 173 13 141 8 153 6 115 64139 61476 15 166 16 160 12 208 9 236 61476 58721 11 183 11 175 11 211 11 235 58721 55912 15 259 8 250 7 206 8 234 55912 53280 12 235 13 235 12 247 12 252 53280 50934 8 229 12 213 14 220 15 245 50934 48819 15 274 15 254 16 254 17 253 48819 46874 19 273 21 250 18 249 18 256 46874 45066 19 241 20 234 20 253 22 258 45066 43376 16 227 20 244 22 253 23 251 43376 41789 19 272 24 255 24 257 23 246 41789 40298 29 279 28 260 26 263 23 248 40298 38900 22 254 29 261 27 265 19 249 38900 37560 21 230 30 254 26 264 18 236 37560 36213 22 222 28 239 24 254 18 220 36213 34828 22 217 25 229 23 232 16 220 34828 33410 22 209 21 226 21 227 12 200 33410 31945 19 194 16 222 17 235 12 212 31945 30427 15 188 12 219 14 240 11 219 30427 28857 11 184 11 212 13 231 9 219 28857 27239 8 181 9 198 8 209 8 227 27239 25578 7 191 8 210 6 207 7 219 25578 23880 5 209 8 203 7 208 7 213 23880 22136 7 211 7 211 8 209 6 207 22136 20342 12 204 8 219 9 196 8 199 20342 18533 14 194 8 226 10 186 9 189 18533 16801 11 172 7 226 10 196 8 161 16801 15224 11 160 6 222 10 201 5 102 15224 13817 7*156 5 216 8 198 5 073 13817 12555 2*123 4 212 6 186 3 072 12555 11417 2 020 2 203 6 180 0 298 11417 10390 3 005 1 171 4 167 3 269 10390 9465 4 348 1 122 3 144 5 269 9465 8636 6 330 1 089 2 108 6 272 8636 7891 7 323 2 077 2 075 8 269 7891 7214 8 319 2 068 3 058 9 261 7214 6606 8 316 2 071 3 046 9 245 6606 6093 8 315 2 073 3 040 9 218 6093 5696 8 314 2 076 3 038 12 192 5696 5420 8 314 2 076 3 034 13 178 5420 5252 8 314 2*076 3*034 12 174 5252 5155 8 313 2*082 3*034 9*171 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography