DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 63.1 - - 66.9 - - 62.7 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 143 - - 211 - - -5 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3106 - - 3323 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6584 - - 6901 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7955 - - 8172 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2324 - - 1888 - - 2639 - - 4509 - - 1573 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 327 - - 375 - - 17 - - 56 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 273 - - 271 - - 286 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1693 - - 713 - - -1582 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 6263 - - 7460 - - 6738 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -417 - - 441 - - -793 - - -3389 - - -455 ODpotential blCL 5571 - - 7514 - - 8965 - - 8544 - - 5609 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 84 - - 79 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 80 - - 200 - - 20 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 63.1 - - 66.9 - - 62.7 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 53.0 - - 51.6 - - 50.7 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 61.8 - - 65.1 - - 63.1 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.7 - - 52.3 - - 51.2 - - 50.5 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 143 - - 211 - - -5 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3106 - - 3323 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 99 - - 34 - - 16 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97418 51 261 51 268 47 275 48 284 52 282 97418 90066 35 265 37 276 35 269 35 278 38 274 90066 84421 25 281 25 287 23 276 28 272 25 279 84421 79764 20 286 18 297 17 285 21 283 18 303 79764 75787 17 262 17 272 13 280 14 289 13 294 75787 72293 10 254 15 233 9 287 4 293 3 297 72293 69122 5 279 11 229 16 271 10 273 5 295 69122 66189 16 264 18 236 13 233 13 219 16 232 66189 63476 21 240 11 260 24 262 13 255 18 229 63476 60855 24 249 38 247 33 253 16 237 21 229 60855 58117 31 235 33 233 26 235 27 259 28 262 58117 55295 25 215 22 265 48 261 52 256 49 258 55295 52634 43 265 59 254 55 245 54 248 55 259 52634 50258 75 247 62 241 40 247 46 259 54 261 50258 48126 63 253 53 280 44 272 56 276 60 273 48126 46179 44 266 64 287 72 280 74 281 83 280 46179 44393 41 270 64 287 88 280 86 281 100 281 44393 42736 37 254 63 288 92 282 92 283 108 282 42736 41180 36 218 61 289 91 282 95 284 108 282 41180 39711 46 183 61 288 85 282 97 282 105 280 39711 38327 43 173 58 288 78 281 96 280 101 278 38327 36998 43 184 53 282 71 281 90 282 97 277 36998 35663 33 196 51 269 62 280 73 283 89 277 35663 34297 25 188 46 267 47 272 55 277 68 271 34297 32905 26 185 40 264 46 262 45 252 52 262 32905 31470 29 202 35 257 47 254 40 252 44 258 31470 29981 35 220 34 258 40 248 34 266 38 251 29981 28439 35 236 33 265 33 246 32 265 34 246 28439 26847 33 251 32 270 31 245 33 253 34 247 26847 25207 31 263 31 270 32 246 33 248 36 257 25207 23523 27 277 31 266 31 249 31 249 38 260 23523 21797 24 291 31 265 29 256 28 247 36 255 21797 20028 20 295 28 274 29 268 27 248 35 253 20028 18241 20 295 25 286 28 280 26 258 31 249 18241 16526 21 299 21 287 24 287 24 273 25 237 16526 14969 18 301 19 277 21 285 22 287 21 233 14969 13580 16 298 17 270 20 278 18 287 15 245 13580 12337 14 294 15 267 20 279 17 282 15 270 12337 11221 12 290 14 265 16 276 17 282 18 285 11221 10218 10 288 13 267 11 267 12 279 17 287 10218 9318 10 289 11 269 9 265 7 271 15 284 9318 8513 11 298 9*272 9*268 5 273 11 271 8513 7793 11 305 7*274 8*270 5 280 9 261 7793 7138 11 301 7 274 9 271 5 287 6 263 7138 6552 11 293 6 274 9 272 6 288 1 287 6552 6058 11 286 6 273 9 271 6 288 4 079 6058 5675 10 278 6 271 8 271 6 288 5 081 5675 5409 9 275 5 270 8 272 6 288 5 081 5409 5248 8*273 5 270 8 271 5*288 5 081 5248 5154 7*272 5 270 7 271 4*286 4*082 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography