DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.3 - - 23.1 - - 34.4 - - 33.5 - - 27.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 57 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 302 - - 303 - - 303 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit 5134 - - 5135 - - 5136 - - 5136 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top 5151 - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 298 - - 497 - - 1288 - - 1026 - - 210 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 110 - - 99 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 051 - - 293 - - 335 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5151 - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5152 - - 5152 sfcLCL ODpotential -8070 - - -6597 - - -1682 - - -2784 - - -5879 ODpotential blCL 13221 - - 11749 - - 6834 - - 7936 - - 11031 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 88 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.3 - - 23.1 - - 34.4 - - 33.5 - - 27.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.6 - - 21.7 - - 31.8 - - 29.6 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.8 - - 22.4 - - 34.0 - - 33.5 - - 27.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 21.2 - - 31.1 - - 29.1 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 57 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 302 - - 303 - - 303 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 104 - - 99 - - 53 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 70 244 76 250 69 246 75 251 79 257 96322 89247 82 265 77 257 76 263 87 265 76 267 89247 83751 71 266 71 260 71 264 80 268 74 274 83751 79111 51 262 55 267 51 261 53 262 65 273 79111 75107 37 267 38 266 35 260 42 254 56 266 75107 71606 37 281 24 258 26 250 36 256 44 256 71606 68473 37 268 27 266 23 259 28 268 32 266 68473 65599 38 250 31 241 18 267 24 275 37 276 65599 62927 35 246 21 231 38 261 48 252 45 260 62927 60337 45 248 53 245 61 240 60 249 50 258 60337 57632 60 244 63 234 65 240 61 252 57 257 57632 54798 66 243 60 234 63 242 58 251 62 255 54798 52049 61 234 57 238 61 253 62 258 71 255 52049 49548 51 230 60 248 71 260 73 261 82 255 49548 47309 50 247 74 257 81 260 85 259 92 256 47309 45293 68 261 88 256 86 257 93 256 98 255 45293 43454 89 260 96 254 91 257 95 256 97 257 43454 41757 102 253 99 253 97 256 95 261 99 262 41757 40187 103 252 98 254 100 256 96 268 104 267 40187 38730 96 254 95 255 100 260 99 273 108 272 38730 37370 89 255 91 255 100 265 104 276 111 276 37370 36071 90 260 92 259 101 271 105 278 114 279 36071 34767 98 264 102 269 103 277 106 279 114 281 34767 33427 106 265 110 274 106 280 105 279 111 281 33427 32057 110 265 116 274 106 280 103 279 107 278 32057 30647 109 263 118 271 106 280 101 279 104 276 30647 29186 110 262 117 269 105 278 97 280 101 275 29186 27678 113 259 113 267 105 277 94 281 94 277 27678 26126 114 258 106 265 103 277 93 281 88 282 26126 24530 110 258 99 266 100 278 92 282 85 286 24530 22893 99 262 90 269 96 278 90 285 83 288 22893 21205 79 265 77 273 90 280 86 289 81 289 21205 19463 64 261 67 273 77 284 79 290 77 292 19463 17708 57 260 54 269 64 287 66 290 69 295 17708 16040 49 267 46 272 54 288 50 295 56 297 16040 14539 40 273 48 278 52 285 39 301 43 300 14539 13204 37 271 51 279 52 281 35 302 34 300 13204 12012 45 274 46 282 53 279 34 302 30 300 12012 10942 50 278 40 290 49 282 33 301 29 300 10942 9982 48 277 37 294 41 285 33 298 30 300 9982 9120 45 276 35 292 36 287 32 295 32 302 9120 8350 39 273 32 287 33 287 30 295 32 303 8350 7661 33 268 28 282 30 286 28 295 32 305 7661 7036 26 261 23 275 25 282 23 296 30 308 7036 6477 19 253 17 269 20 279 18 295 25 310 6477 6006 10 242 9 267 15 279 12 296 18 312 6006 5642 3 232 2 305 11 284 8 303 9 310 5642 5392 4 069 3 051 8 289 5 314 2 293 5392 5239 5*068 3*051 7*291 4 322 1*141 5239 5152 4*068 3*051 6*293 2*335 2*109 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography