DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.9 - - 64.1 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 184 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 3633 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5489 - - 7062 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6225 - - 8482 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1114 - - 2279 - - 3324 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 367 - - 0 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 240 - - 215 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -6 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9618 - - -9102 - - -10500 - - -8656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15843 - - 17585 - - 15656 - - 13810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15383 - - -13878 - - -17377 - - -16932 ODpotential blCL - - - 21608 - - 22360 - - 22532 - - 22086 blCL maxRH - - - 21 - - 22 - - 20 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.9 - - 64.1 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.0 - - 14.6 - - 14.3 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 72.1 - - 68.4 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 14.3 - - 14.2 - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 184 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 3633 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 49 271 44 265 52 267 46 275 96331 89170 41 276 36 278 39 275 34 279 89170 83657 34 266 32 275 36 274 29 291 83657 79087 28 253 29 264 33 269 30 290 79087 75158 20 259 24 267 22 266 24 276 75158 71710 17 259 20 268 14 268 16 253 71710 68623 13 253 13 240 14 258 14 244 68623 65821 11 244 9 208 9 229 9 222 65821 63254 13 228 12 209 12 225 12 203 63254 60776 21 222 13 240 10 224 11 183 60776 58187 19 227 17 234 11 253 7 230 58187 55483 21 235 21 230 19 255 18 266 55483 52877 23 231 29 228 28 250 30 267 52877 50506 18 231 27 219 31 237 33 258 50506 48354 15 257 18 227 25 219 31 241 48354 46375 17 274 15 255 18 224 27 231 46375 44540 19 268 18 263 18 234 21 229 44540 42831 20 268 18 262 18 237 21 244 42831 41234 20 276 15 270 13 232 21 246 41234 39734 17 279 12 284 8 245 17 234 39734 38327 13 280 12 291 7 282 12 227 38327 36982 11 285 12 293 9 308 5 229 36982 35636 10 281 9 295 11 317 4 355 35636 34263 7 272 8 297 10 324 11 012 34263 32869 5 271 7 302 8 335 12 019 32869 31443 5 311 7 325 7 358 12 042 31443 29971 9 330 9 352 9 023 12 051 29971 28452 11 342 11 016 12 043 16 062 28452 26884 13 350 13 016 16 046 19 060 26884 25268 13 353 14 009 14 039 18 059 25268 23608 12 355 13 014 13 040 16 065 23608 21900 9 004 9 029 11 055 12 078 21900 20138 5 021 5 047 8 070 8 094 20138 18352 0 299 0 239 2 086 5 101 18352 16633 4 196 4 229 3 240 2 125 16633 15067 6 205 7 241 6 257 2 251 15067 13667 8 213 8 235 8 255 4 267 13667 12413 9 207 9 224 9 244 6 261 12413 11285 9 199 8 213 9 232 8 253 11285 10271 8 200 7 219 7 227 9 243 10271 9359 7 216 8 238 5 234 9 232 9359 8545 8 237 8*241 4 242 9 223 8545 7817 11 248 9*241 6 239 9 216 7817 7155 13 248 9 241 6 234 8 214 7155 6563 14*245 9 240 7 229 7 216 6563 6064 13*243 9 239 8 224 8 223 6064 5678 12 241 9 239 8 221 9 223 5678 5410 11 240 8 238 8 219 9 218 5410 5248 10 241 8 238 7*217 6*223 5248 5154 9 240 7 238 5*215 4*221 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography