DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 93.5 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 364 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9736 - - 11742 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12361 - - 13838 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14585 - - 16591 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3045 - - 2634 - - - - - 745 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 711 - - 684 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 20 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 230 - - - - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 18 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 650 - - 1720 - - - - - -2642 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13936 - - 14872 - - - - - 7799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -194 - - 713 - - - - - -6870 ODpotential blCL - - - 14779 - - 15878 - - - - - 12026 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 89 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 450 - - - - - 1470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 93.5 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 45.6 - - - - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.8 - - 90.9 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 45.1 - - - - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 500 - - 364 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9736 - - 11742 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 56 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98859 31 104 32 104 29 087 98859 91345 43 103 38 100 28 084 91345 85560 36 096 39 100 26 087 85560 80774 27 093 32 104 26 086 80774 76666 22 094 27 100 26 093 76666 73051 15 106 23 092 29 102 73051 69808 16 130 18 089 25 106 69808 66847 17 129 13 114 18 105 66847 64107 14 141 13 143 7 076 64107 61456 17 150 16 164 6 270 61456 58708 8 148 13 172 11 226 58708 55908 11 293 9 210 13 192 55908 53291 15 282 15 265 7 238 53291 50952 15 249 19 246 14 282 50952 48842 20 231 20 230 18 280 48842 46907 23 235 18 237 20 273 46907 45113 22 230 20 242 19 267 45113 43440 20 215 22 242 17 265 43440 41868 19 227 23 242 19 266 41868 40386 19 256 23 240 24 273 40386 38990 24 266 22 242 27 272 38990 37648 24 264 21 247 24 270 37648 36295 17 246 21 249 20 274 36295 34906 14 207 19 237 13 261 34906 33485 14 202 17 235 9 244 33485 32019 10 200 17 237 8 231 32019 30500 12 232 17 233 7 227 30500 28932 12 218 16 230 8 226 28932 27316 10 220 14 241 9 235 27316 25657 8 215 11 254 8 251 25657 23957 7 207 9 259 8 257 23957 22213 9 199 8 263 7 262 22213 20419 10 210 8 268 9 268 20419 18609 11 207 7 267 12 275 18609 16874 10 196 7*264 15 277 16874 15297 8*199 6*260 13 273 15297 13884 6*219 6 255 12 278 13884 12613 5 226 6 249 11 280 12613 11466 4 226 6 241 10 278 11466 10431 4 227 6 231 8 266 10431 9498 4 225 7 225 6 230 9498 8662 5 226 7 221 8 197 8662 7912 5 226 7 216 10 180 7912 7229 5 224 7 214 12 169 7229 6617 5 224 7 211 14 158 6617 6101 5 224 7 210 18 149 6101 5700 5 223 7 207 18 146 5700 5423 5 223 7 207 12 148 5423 5253 5 224 7 207 6*149 5253 5156 5 223 7 206 2*155 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography