DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 303 - - 36 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3619 - - 7825 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7242 - - 10570 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8468 - - 12674 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3217 - - 4491 - - 11698 - - 1250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 427 - - 565 - - 97 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 16 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 213 - - 253 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1913 - - 620 - - -6299 - - -3299 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10382 - - 12055 - - 11456 - - 8454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4363 - - -894 - - -7964 - - -6695 ODpotential blCL - - - 12831 - - 13568 - - 13120 - - 11850 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - 99 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 1080 - - 1180 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 52.3 - - 53.1 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 85.4 - - 85.1 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 51.7 - - 52.6 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 303 - - 36 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3619 - - 7825 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 96 - - 96 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98850 36 082 37 097 37 089 43 081 98850 91417 37 093 40 099 30 108 37 094 91417 85673 36 092 37 100 31 110 32 094 85673 80897 33 089 32 095 31 100 31 082 80897 76794 25 092 30 093 32 096 31 085 76794 73200 21 108 20 093 28 085 28 095 73200 69973 20 116 12 100 14 075 22 089 69973 67007 18 116 8 089 10 079 17 085 67007 64254 18 114 9 114 7 090 15 079 64254 61597 15 099 13 125 6 104 7 073 61597 58853 3 040 11 121 3 159 2 239 58853 56032 8 273 2 320 4 274 4 269 56032 53353 6 233 11 270 8 291 3 315 53353 50945 2 089 4 219 3 250 1 209 50945 48783 4 099 4 166 1 207 3 108 48783 46821 9 125 9 148 5 161 3 115 46821 45020 7 141 10 145 9 168 3 163 45020 43347 8 188 5 202 9 173 6 196 43347 41778 11 184 9 219 5 175 6 179 41778 40301 8 175 9 207 6 210 3 189 40301 38911 4 181 7 209 5 211 5 079 38911 37577 1 214 6 204 1 227 12 050 37577 36233 1 347 5 188 1 073 12 043 36233 34850 3 014 3 114 2 145 7 064 34850 33435 4 030 6 074 5 151 4 102 33435 31974 3 041 6 076 7 142 6 139 31974 30460 4 144 5 124 9 162 6 166 30460 28895 7 139 6 155 10 179 8 204 28895 27281 8 140 6 198 10 187 10 217 27281 25622 9 153 8 208 9 193 10 214 25622 23924 8 149 8 204 8 188 8 204 23924 22182 7 199 6 200 7 172 7 195 22182 20392 10 209 8 205 6 190 7 185 20392 18586 11 207 9 206 7 192 6 193 18586 16854 13 203 11 202 8 192 6 198 16854 15279 12 201 11 203 8 194 8 192 15279 13870 11 208 10*206 8 197 9 190 13870 12602 10 212 8*211 8 204 9 192 12602 11459 10 211 8 212 7 211 8 199 11459 10425 9 215 7 212 6 218 7 213 10425 9495 7 222 7 213 5 229 6 231 9495 8661 4*231 6 213 5 239 5 242 8661 7911 4*240 6 214 5 248 5 246 7911 7229 4 242 6 214 4 252 4 238 7229 6618 4 244 5 215 4 253 3 211 6618 6102 5 244 5 214 4 253 4 175 6102 5701 5 245 5 215 4 255 7 155 5701 5423 5 245 5 214 4 254 7 148 5423 5253 5 245 4 214 4*253 6 144 5253 5155 4 246 4 215 3*253 5*143 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography