DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 78.5 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 70 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4631 - - 307 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8172 - - 5139 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9480 - - 5156 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3251 - - 7711 - - - - - 1200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 530 - - 126 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 59 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 0 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 088 - - - - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 540 - - -3355 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8940 - - 8511 - - - - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1542 - - -4893 - - - - - -3194 ODpotential blCL - - - 11022 - - 10049 - - - - - 8349 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1400 - - 1510 - - - - - 2560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 78.5 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 58.6 - - - - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 77.6 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 57.6 - - - - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 70 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4631 - - 307 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 87 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98964 42 116 40 114 32 078 98964 91459 43 096 47 101 35 090 91459 85706 40 085 41 093 42 096 85706 80961 28 082 30 086 40 089 80961 76900 27 095 27 082 38 080 76900 73320 33 097 29 092 35 073 73320 70078 32 092 27 097 26 073 70078 67097 25 086 18 095 19 066 67097 64337 19 079 16 100 15 063 64337 61679 22 085 18 100 12 077 61679 58925 24 077 20 085 14 083 58925 56090 22 071 22 078 19 075 56090 53404 24 069 27 076 25 077 53404 50988 22 062 31 066 29 078 50988 48815 15 052 25 058 28 075 48815 46839 14 053 15 057 25 062 46839 45020 19 012 14 049 17 036 45020 43334 22 354 12 328 12 359 43334 41760 22 329 12 317 14 320 41760 40284 26 298 15 322 16 307 40284 38894 25 292 16 314 17 305 38894 37559 21 301 15 294 18 308 37559 36213 23 305 17 282 21 305 36213 34829 24 303 14 279 21 297 34829 33413 22 297 11 283 21 291 33413 31951 20 295 11 292 20 289 31951 30432 19 302 11 290 18 287 30432 28862 16 305 11 306 15 294 28862 27245 12 295 12 309 13 307 27245 25583 12 282 12 298 12 311 25583 23881 11 273 14 291 11 313 23881 22135 9 290 14 286 9 305 22135 20339 9 309 13 284 8 295 20339 18525 12 307 11 289 7 297 18525 16788 9 297 10 286 8 313 16788 15209 3 308 8 264 10 326 15209 13800 2 289 7 253 10 322 13800 12536 5 249 6 256 11 298 12536 11397 5 261 5 258 12 267 11397 10371 3*253 4 256 13 248 10371 9447 4*221 2 256 13 234 9447 8619 6 221 1 252 13 221 8619 7876 7 220 1 237 15 206 7876 7200 8 221 0 181 18 189 7200 6596 8 221 0 113 20 170 6596 6087 8 222 0 096 20 166 6087 5692 8 222 0 083 17 171 5692 5418 8 223 0 091 12 182 5418 5251 7 222 0*081 10*188 5251 5155 7 222 0*088 6*195 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography