DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.0 - - 96.2 - - 94.7 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 506 - - 153 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9731 - - 10892 - - 9534 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12349 - - 13322 - - 11449 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14580 - - 15741 - - 14383 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1469 - - 1617 - - 3010 - - 3167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 707 - - 742 - - 477 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 21 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 032 - - 056 - - 091 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -8 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 48 - - -559 - - -1881 - - -6840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14533 - - 16301 - - 16265 - - 11996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3806 - - -2895 - - -5502 - - -12025 ODpotential blCL - - - 18386 - - 18636 - - 19885 - - 17181 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 70 - - 70 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.0 - - 96.2 - - 94.7 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 41.8 - - 40.8 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.7 - - 92.8 - - 93.1 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 41.6 - - 40.6 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 506 - - 153 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9731 - - 10892 - - 9534 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98957 52 095 35 108 22 100 27 075 98957 91426 33 090 36 100 36 098 39 085 91426 85661 22 084 30 088 37 093 41 092 85661 80902 29 091 32 090 33 090 35 095 80902 76814 35 098 32 092 28 091 31 092 76814 73215 33 104 30 095 28 087 26 091 73215 69969 26 105 27 103 26 087 23 090 69969 66989 22 095 27 104 27 099 26 091 66989 64241 21 083 26 098 28 104 32 095 64241 61626 21 088 24 091 26 100 31 103 61626 58953 24 097 22 087 24 091 28 105 58953 56211 29 104 24 098 23 084 26 096 56211 53596 36 105 30 111 27 098 24 102 53596 51230 42 104 38 114 32 112 25 113 51230 49092 41 102 43 110 38 115 32 114 49092 47135 39 103 43 105 43 112 40 112 47135 45323 39 101 40 104 43 110 44 114 45323 43633 35 095 37 106 42 106 43 113 43633 42048 26 093 34 100 41 103 41 107 42048 40556 22 095 29 095 36 101 39 104 40556 39151 21 095 28 099 31 102 35 105 39151 37801 19 095 30 101 30 098 33 104 37801 36443 18 096 30 098 31 093 37 102 36443 35052 19 097 27 093 30 095 40 100 35052 33631 20 099 24 088 26 097 39 104 33631 32167 22 101 24 088 24 090 29 104 32167 30647 23 102 22 092 24 089 24 099 30647 29075 23 101 19 097 19 090 21 086 29075 27454 22 105 18 102 15 095 16 081 27454 25788 22 114 18 108 17 103 14 079 25788 24079 22 115 17 098 18 092 16 073 24079 22322 19 105 17 087 18 083 21 075 22322 20511 19 098 15 078 17 071 24 076 20511 18682 14 080 10 059 12 046 23 064 18682 16928 13 066 7*358 7 314 23 011 16928 15336 14*048 7*355 7*298 19 330 15336 13916 13*036 6 358 5*294 13 319 13916 12640 12 029 6 008 2 297 9 324 12640 11489 10 025 6 027 1 066 5 319 11489 10450 7 023 6 048 2 092 3 264 10450 9514 5 026 7 067 4 096 6 206 9514 8676 4 031 8 076 6 096 10 186 8676 7923 3 038 9 081 7 096 14 174 7923 7239 2 050 10 084 8 095 18 163 7239 6625 2 070 11 086 8 094 21 154 6625 6106 2 084 11 088 9 094 21 150 6106 5704 2 095 11 088 9 094 20 149 5704 5424 2 103 11 089 9 094 16 148 5424 5254 2 102 11 089 9 094 12*147 5254 5156 2 102 10 089 8 093 7*147 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography