DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.5 - - 45.5 - - 52.5 - - 50.1 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 227 - - 238 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1712 - - 2548 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5743 - - 6364 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 6561 - - 7397 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 761 - - 611 - - 692 - - 2940 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 305 - - 354 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 199 - - 223 - - 176 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1547 - - -1952 - - -1589 - - -3160 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6700 - - 8513 - - 8987 - - 8314 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential -13706 - - -10642 - - -8429 - - -10579 - - -9960 ODpotential blCL 18858 - - 17203 - - 15826 - - 15733 - - 15113 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 78 - - 74 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.5 - - 45.5 - - 52.5 - - 50.1 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 26.6 - - 31.4 - - 32.0 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.0 - - 43.6 - - 50.7 - - 52.1 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 26.7 - - 31.4 - - 32.0 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 227 - - 238 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1712 - - 2548 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 91 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95930 28 302 36 286 41 274 47 298 45 298 95930 88820 26 311 25 306 28 308 31 301 37 294 88820 83324 26 316 25 331 19 331 27 318 33 312 83324 78756 27 320 24 326 22 329 27 314 37 327 78756 74829 22 312 25 313 26 324 20 309 35 321 74829 71393 22 320 24 299 29 314 24 321 32 305 71393 68309 27 311 27 309 31 310 32 312 34 309 68309 65485 34 303 32 307 32 303 32 301 36 302 65485 62877 42 284 35 301 36 297 36 295 36 293 62877 60349 47 277 42 280 43 288 41 299 35 295 60349 57690 51 273 42 281 46 285 47 295 42 302 57690 54944 50 279 49 289 48 291 51 300 58 302 54944 52333 55 292 66 285 62 286 66 287 66 283 52333 49971 74 272 70 274 66 279 63 269 58 279 49971 47863 67 269 64 272 61 280 58 287 50 300 47863 45970 63 291 53 296 69 300 59 313 61 326 45970 44231 78 299 80 300 97 299 88 298 71 314 44231 42607 84 294 104 297 98 292 92 288 79 295 42607 41084 83 291 105 298 96 295 89 290 77 288 41084 39645 80 289 97 299 87 300 82 291 72 289 39645 38285 79 287 87 300 80 299 67 293 67 289 38285 36973 77 294 82 306 79 301 59 292 64 288 36973 35648 72 303 75 311 77 303 61 300 59 294 35648 34284 71 310 63 309 76 313 65 316 54 301 34284 32887 66 312 58 305 65 319 64 328 60 318 32887 31444 54 308 55 304 51 313 59 332 62 330 31444 29947 51 305 51 304 45 306 46 327 56 342 29947 28404 47 309 47 305 42 309 35 315 36 332 28404 26813 43 314 42 308 38 312 29 309 29 316 26813 25177 35 305 39 309 36 314 28 313 24 309 25177 23500 33 302 35 307 34 316 28 314 22 303 23500 21775 32 306 29 306 29 310 27 308 25 299 21775 19999 30 309 26 306 25 299 25 295 26 297 19999 18205 27 311 23 302 24 298 24 299 26 295 18205 16485 23 313 19 297 20 301 20 308 23 301 16485 14922 20 316 14 302 16 306 16 310 18 308 14922 13528 17 319 11 324 12 310 13 299 12 304 13528 12280 12 330 8 350 9 306 12 277 11 290 12280 11158 6 353 6 017 6 288 13 256 12 282 11158 10151 2 013 4 084 6 234 15 249 13 285 10151 9249 2 222 4 117 8 229 12 261 14 281 9249 8446 5 196 2 191 7 234 6 283 14 275 8446 7732 5 179 6 214 6*227 4 288 10 266 7732 7089 5 187 10*205 6*222 3 261 7 244 7089 6516 6 177 9*199 6 223 3 226 6 221 6516 6033 6 155 8 199 6 223 3 205 6 198 6033 5659 7 134 8 199 5 224 3 194 5 171 5659 5401 7 119 7 198 5 224 4 187 4 150 5401 5243 5*110 7 198 5 224 4*181 2*128 5243 5153 3*108 6 198 5 224 3*176 1*108 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography