DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 68.7 - - 72.6 - - 67.4 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 314 - - 253 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 591 - - 2502 - - 5277 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 6425 - - 8458 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5440 - - 7351 - - 10126 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 920 - - 3758 - - 3362 - - 5312 - - 1519 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 388 - - 462 - - 18 - - 25 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 219 - - 185 - - 182 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 234 - - -142 - - 707 - - -2527 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5206 - - 7494 - - 9420 - - 7682 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -3316 - - -1582 - - -923 - - -4810 - - -2573 ODpotential blCL 8756 - - 8933 - - 11049 - - 9965 - - 7727 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 75 - - 82 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 660 - - 750 - - 460 - - 440 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 68.7 - - 72.6 - - 67.4 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.0 - - 53.4 - - 48.9 - - 51.3 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 66.4 - - 70.5 - - 67.6 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 53.1 - - 48.7 - - 51.3 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 314 - - 253 - - -7 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 591 - - 2502 - - 5277 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 15 - - 0 - - 29 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97496 41 264 47 275 43 265 42 276 40 276 97496 90111 29 264 29 264 33 272 30 258 34 261 90111 84460 23 274 20 248 25 269 22 271 26 264 84460 79806 21 272 18 256 19 248 19 273 19 277 79806 75811 17 270 15 261 16 262 12 258 16 261 75811 72278 16 287 10 249 15 258 13 255 17 250 72278 69087 16 281 11 250 17 221 15 243 19 241 69087 66170 21 264 17 260 16 213 12 231 16 225 66170 63470 24 243 23 259 18 230 17 265 7 244 63470 60852 25 241 28 250 24 249 27 255 17 269 60852 58149 27 247 32 235 32 242 37 237 35 247 58149 55373 35 261 34 237 37 236 41 224 40 229 55373 52715 53 267 40 251 47 253 43 248 44 247 52715 50311 69 259 58 257 63 255 59 256 60 254 50311 48155 73 252 69 251 75 252 77 252 78 255 48155 46197 76 248 74 242 84 246 97 244 91 247 46197 44403 78 248 76 241 87 241 109 234 98 239 44403 42744 73 251 75 245 89 238 110 228 109 228 42744 41191 68 251 84 240 88 237 104 228 100 226 41191 39731 69 249 81 234 86 239 100 228 93 227 39731 38353 68 247 80 230 83 239 94 233 91 227 38353 37027 63 249 84 227 77 234 83 238 89 237 37027 35692 58 251 83 227 73 232 74 237 76 247 35692 34324 50 251 77 235 70 231 71 237 66 251 34324 32926 47 248 65 249 66 236 73 245 59 251 32926 31488 43 244 53 255 57 249 59 255 47 253 31488 30000 37 245 44 256 48 255 45 250 31 243 30000 28463 34 251 33 254 36 255 36 242 25 229 28463 26875 34 254 26 257 25 248 29 245 25 215 26875 25240 34 258 23 262 20 246 19 241 23 207 25240 23564 29 260 20 263 17 248 13 239 15 206 23564 21848 23 255 17 255 15 244 9 236 5 214 21848 20083 15 244 14 241 14 231 10 228 6 215 20083 18295 12 236 12 231 14 223 12 225 8 204 18295 16579 10 239 11 231 12 237 10 216 3 180 16579 15021 6 235 11 222 10 263 5 233 4 100 15021 13631 3 208 12 209 8 264 2 264 7 104 13631 12388 4 156 10 192 4 239 0 201 10 115 12388 11269 7 134 8 161 4 206 2 178 10 131 11269 10261 7 123 6 133 5*192 4 184 11 155 10261 9354 4 126 4 146 5*187 6 184 14 173 9354 8543 4 221 5 200 6 185 9 183 18 182 8543 7816 12 229 8*217 6 185 11 182 19 184 7816 7155 17 223 9*218 7 185 13 182 20 184 7155 6564 19 219 9 219 7 185 14 181 19 184 6564 6066 18 217 9 219 7 185 14 181 16 187 6066 5680 15*210 9 220 7 185 14 181 14 189 5680 5412 12*208 8 221 7 185 13 181 12 190 5412 5249 10 208 8 222 7 186 11*182 10*191 5249 5154 8 209 7 222 6 186 8*182 7*192 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography