DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 92.1 - - 84.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 523 - - 244 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8033 - - 12324 - - 535 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10986 - - 14089 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12882 - - 17173 - - 5384 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4290 - - 1722 - - 4089 - - 1399 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 677 - - 623 - - 111 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 35 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 019 - - 153 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 37 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 582 - - 3954 - - -3952 - - -835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12301 - - 13219 - - 9337 - - 5991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1120 - - 1849 - - -6826 - - -5514 ODpotential blCL - - - 14002 - - 15324 - - 12210 - - 10670 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 99 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1010 - - 850 - - 2190 - - 2850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 92.1 - - 84.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 51.4 - - 60.7 - - 66.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.9 - - 90.1 - - 84.2 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 50.3 - - 59.7 - - 64.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 523 - - 244 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8033 - - 12324 - - 535 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 94 - - 69 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98396 25 110 23 111 23 050 29 053 98396 90958 34 089 33 097 24 099 20 068 90958 85231 25 079 27 086 26 103 27 105 85231 80498 19 087 19 078 25 079 29 094 80498 76427 22 095 21 089 22 087 26 089 76427 72839 20 095 23 092 21 101 21 086 72839 69619 18 102 21 099 19 103 16 087 69619 66681 19 113 18 114 14 095 15 092 66681 63977 15 120 16 114 9 106 14 087 63977 61377 15 154 9 123 3 072 8 110 61377 58705 16 178 15 178 5 205 6 193 58705 55975 15 203 15 222 11 213 12 203 55975 53370 15 254 21 249 16 249 13 233 53370 51014 34 261 29 252 25 257 25 260 51014 48893 40 253 35 251 36 261 36 263 48893 46953 42 252 39 251 42 254 41 255 46953 45156 43 257 40 253 43 251 42 256 45156 43472 42 259 40 258 40 251 43 256 43472 41887 39 253 38 256 37 252 43 254 41887 40391 38 250 37 249 35 251 43 254 40391 38981 37 250 37 248 35 252 42 255 38981 37629 36 251 35 250 33 255 37 258 37629 36271 35 256 34 254 30 251 27 260 36271 34876 34 264 32 257 30 255 26 261 34876 33451 30 261 29 256 27 257 25 263 33451 31984 25 253 26 253 23 250 18 266 31984 30467 21 252 23 254 19 251 10 267 30467 28900 20 267 21 264 18 262 12 273 28900 27285 19 278 19 273 16 269 13 283 27285 25625 18 276 18 276 15 275 14 281 25625 23925 15 262 16 276 14 271 12 273 23925 22184 13 246 8 287 10 281 9 257 22184 20395 9 267 9 289 7 295 8 301 20395 18590 7 335 5*288 8 311 10 305 18590 16864 7 044 4*289 11 322 16 320 16864 15291 9 069 2 314 9 327 15 323 15291 13879 8*063 2 343 6 345 11 324 13879 12608 6*022 2 359 5 016 5 328 12608 11462 6 008 3 019 5 039 1 247 11462 10427 5 352 4 030 5 058 6 196 10427 9494 5 321 4 034 5 079 9 190 9494 8657 5 279 5 036 6 105 10 183 8657 7906 6 262 5 036 7 126 10 176 7906 7223 6 257 6 037 9 136 13 162 7223 6612 7 252 6 037 9 138 18 150 6612 6098 7 249 6 038 9 141 22 145 6098 5699 7 246 6 038 9 147 19 146 5699 5422 7 246 6 037 8*151 14 148 5422 5253 7 245 6 037 8*153 9*152 5253 5156 6 244 5 037 7 152 3*169 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography