DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 77.7 - - 68.8 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 255 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 4964 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7100 - - 8217 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8238 - - 9813 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2172 - - 1975 - - 3653 - - 105 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 453 - - 18 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 268 - - 266 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -9 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7433 - - -6374 - - -9326 - - -7590 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15671 - - 16188 - - 14482 - - 12744 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13335 - - -11923 - - -16146 - - -16060 ODpotential blCL - - - 21573 - - 21736 - - 21301 - - 21214 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 37 - - 33 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 77.7 - - 68.8 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 24.4 - - 23.8 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 75.6 - - 71.8 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 24.3 - - 23.8 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 255 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 4964 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96993 41 269 39 262 47 265 40 270 96993 89704 34 266 32 261 38 266 37 276 89704 84112 23 257 25 269 28 269 29 280 84112 79490 14 265 19 257 19 275 17 275 79490 75508 14 292 13 253 14 289 17 295 75508 71990 16 284 15 271 20 284 20 308 71990 68815 16 274 17 280 18 265 17 288 68815 65906 13 268 17 295 15 271 26 286 65906 63249 19 280 24 285 24 282 27 287 63249 60710 26 271 30 279 29 283 22 283 60710 58060 28 272 33 273 31 281 26 279 58060 55297 32 272 35 275 32 282 32 287 55297 52648 39 279 38 277 33 287 36 290 52648 50248 40 279 42 279 36 283 40 295 50248 48093 44 281 41 284 42 290 43 293 48093 46143 44 286 42 294 38 290 38 285 46143 44355 43 292 37 299 33 294 31 284 44355 42695 44 292 34 315 36 307 26 292 42695 41142 42 293 38 318 37 317 28 306 41142 39684 38 302 38 311 34 319 36 309 39684 38319 34 312 31 309 27 311 38 306 38319 37013 33 317 29 314 24 305 35 301 37013 35698 31 313 30 314 23 303 33 297 35698 34346 30 302 30 311 23 302 32 290 34346 32964 28 295 30 307 24 299 32 284 32964 31539 25 297 29 306 27 295 32 285 31539 30062 25 304 29 307 28 294 32 294 30062 28535 26 308 28 308 29 297 34 302 28535 26959 26 310 27 307 28 299 33 300 26959 25336 24 311 26 305 27 294 30 291 25336 23669 20 317 23 303 24 287 28 282 23669 21953 16 316 18 297 22 282 28 279 21953 20181 17 308 18 288 22 289 26 288 20181 18388 20 303 21 297 20 302 21 305 18388 16669 20 306 21 306 18 313 17 319 16669 15106 16 309 17 310 18 317 16 320 15106 13708 13 311 14 306 18 312 16 313 13708 12453 13 310 13 296 19 303 17 302 12453 11323 15 298 14 282 21 294 18 294 11323 10305 17 286 14*271 21 282 22 288 10305 9391 19 277 15*269 20 271 25 283 9391 8573 19*272 15 268 19 268 25 277 8573 7841 17*270 15 268 18 269 24 273 7841 7176 16 268 15 268 18 271 23 271 7176 6579 16 267 15 268 17 272 22 270 6579 6075 16 267 15 269 16 274 21 271 6075 5684 15 266 15 269 15 274 19 270 5684 5414 14 265 14 269 13 272 14 265 5414 5249 13 265 13 269 10*270 9 247 5249 5154 12 265 12 268 6*266 5*230 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography