DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 83.5 - - 81.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 405 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5435 - - 7786 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8796 - - 10666 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10284 - - 12635 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1802 - - 1979 - - 9218 - - 483 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 614 - - 96 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 066 - - 078 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7891 - - -7237 - - -14259 - - -9768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18176 - - 19873 - - 19415 - - 14924 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13243 - - -12312 - - -19539 - - -18359 ODpotential blCL - - - 23527 - - 24947 - - 24694 - - 23514 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 32 - - 33 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 83.5 - - 81.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.1 - - 13.1 - - 13.6 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 80.7 - - 80.8 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 12.9 - - 13.5 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 405 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5435 - - 7786 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97005 41 276 33 278 36 280 32 289 97005 89686 25 265 28 269 29 282 21 303 89686 84094 19 264 9 262 16 268 17 304 84094 79493 3 237 7 184 2 320 3 317 79493 75563 12 054 11 125 1 074 8 043 75563 72107 12 067 3 117 9 049 13 057 72107 68977 15 074 4 106 10 059 13 068 68977 66087 11 067 8 066 8 041 10 047 66087 63408 5 080 6 034 6 360 9 030 63408 60829 6 033 7 029 3 023 5 014 60829 58160 11 001 15 358 9 013 6 028 58160 55396 16 355 17 001 17 357 8 006 55396 52745 18 003 18 007 26 355 15 017 52745 50352 21 000 18 353 24 343 24 357 50352 48217 18 352 14 347 17 341 21 346 48217 46290 16 353 16 001 12 002 19 354 46290 44522 21 007 25 357 17 020 27 016 44522 42882 27 002 29 355 28 028 30 031 42882 41348 30 001 33 001 39 037 37 039 41348 39901 33 005 40 015 46 037 44 038 39901 38539 37 006 49 020 52 035 46 035 38539 37230 40 007 53 019 54 033 46 034 37230 35911 44 009 52 017 53 032 46 033 35911 34555 46 015 49 018 49 031 46 033 34555 33164 46 020 45 021 43 030 43 033 33164 31727 44 023 42 021 39 029 41 033 31727 30236 41 024 38 019 37 026 39 033 30236 28692 39 025 35 014 35 021 39 032 28692 27098 38 024 34 012 34 016 39 030 27098 25456 36 023 35 016 34 014 38 023 25456 23770 34 022 36 021 35 015 37 018 23770 22034 33 022 36 021 36 016 38 018 22034 20245 31 022 35 019 36 019 37 019 20245 18438 29 022 30 020 31 019 34 021 18438 16708 22 025 25 014 25 013 31 020 16708 15135 14 047 17 005 21 354 29 011 15135 13731 16 066 9*013 14 337 22 349 13731 12473 20 067 6*039 9 338 18 314 12473 11341 17 069 5 047 7 349 14 317 11341 10321 12*068 5 055 5 007 9 324 10321 9404 11*067 5 064 4 040 4 333 9404 8584 11 068 5 069 5 062 0 245 8584 7848 11 069 6 072 6 069 5 191 7848 7180 11 070 6 077 7 073 10 186 7180 6582 10 072 6 079 7 076 14 177 6582 6077 10 073 6 081 7 077 17 168 6077 5686 10 074 6 081 7 078 16 166 5686 5415 10 074 6 082 7 078 12 167 5415 5249 9 074 6 083 7*078 8*171 5249 5155 9 075 6 082 6*078 5*177 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography