DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 74.7 - - 67.0 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 214 - - -18 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2014 - - 5259 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5992 - - 8359 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6863 - - 10108 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1558 - - 3288 - - 5488 - - 516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 333 - - 436 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 19 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 238 - - 231 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -13 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5384 - - -2256 - - -6047 - - -4209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12248 - - 12364 - - 11202 - - 9364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9119 - - -4467 - - -10673 - - -10429 ODpotential blCL - - - 15982 - - 14575 - - 15828 - - 15583 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 68 - - 67 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 74.7 - - 67.0 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 38.0 - - 36.0 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 73.1 - - 69.7 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 38.0 - - 36.0 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 214 - - -18 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2014 - - 5259 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 53 249 59 237 64 251 58 259 96441 89263 33 254 40 249 44 260 40 270 89263 83731 24 275 23 269 20 259 26 261 83731 79147 24 292 16 293 9 283 12 269 79147 75203 20 308 18 309 12 309 10 305 75203 71733 19 312 18 322 11 344 7 326 71733 68600 15 275 22 314 15 332 14 305 68600 65735 9 265 19 272 12 277 11 287 65735 63104 9 243 11 230 15 230 16 249 63104 60565 13 258 20 241 25 238 19 241 60565 57918 37 247 42 252 37 253 36 255 57918 55158 52 243 52 250 45 246 47 244 55158 52498 58 247 58 245 52 239 53 238 52498 50083 64 246 67 243 65 241 64 240 50083 47913 66 243 71 239 76 239 75 236 47913 45944 63 242 65 237 73 235 76 237 45944 44142 59 243 60 241 68 239 74 239 44142 42481 57 247 58 249 72 250 75 249 42481 40938 58 250 63 254 76 255 79 254 40938 39492 58 252 66 253 76 255 81 254 39492 38129 54 251 63 249 72 256 81 254 38129 36817 52 248 60 247 66 255 77 259 36817 35495 51 242 57 244 64 250 73 262 35495 34136 50 240 52 241 64 246 73 263 34136 32746 49 237 48 238 60 243 64 257 32746 31314 47 236 47 237 55 243 57 248 31314 29829 45 236 45 240 51 244 52 248 29829 28298 43 236 42 245 47 247 45 255 28298 26723 40 236 40 247 44 249 41 258 26723 25105 36 236 39 244 41 247 39 255 25105 23449 32 238 37 238 38 242 38 249 23449 21748 29 238 36 235 37 239 37 245 21748 19997 27 236 34 231 36 242 36 243 19997 18225 25 232 31 228 36 246 34 242 18225 16525 24 228 29 227 35 246 32 239 16525 14978 23 224 29 227 34 242 30 235 14978 13600 22 223 29 228 33 238 27 231 13600 12367 21 224 28 231 30 236 24 228 12367 11257 21 228 25 236 26 238 20 226 11257 10256 22 231 21*239 20 241 16 222 10256 9354 23 231 20*239 16 242 11 222 9354 8546 25 228 20 239 15 242 8 236 8546 7821 26 225 19 238 15 242 6 265 7821 7161 25*224 19 238 15 241 7 298 7161 6569 22*223 19 237 15 241 10 314 6569 6069 19 222 18 236 14 240 11 318 6069 5682 18 222 18 236 13 239 9 317 5682 5413 17 222 17 236 12 236 5 306 5413 5249 16 222 16 236 9*233 2 272 5249 5154 13 222 14 235 5*231 1*219 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography