DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 84.4 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 398 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5708 - - 10585 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8925 - - 12938 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10557 - - 15434 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3146 - - 2056 - - - - - 8576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 522 - - 678 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 286 - - - - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - 6 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -598 - - 909 - - - - - -8078 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11155 - - 14525 - - - - - 13234 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2230 - - 256 - - - - - -12369 ODpotential blCL - - - 12787 - - 15178 - - - - - 17524 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 60 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 84.4 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 37.9 - - - - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 81.5 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 37.8 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 398 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5708 - - 10585 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 91 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98352 21 104 22 121 8 029 98352 90885 14 101 17 103 16 071 90885 85145 22 111 16 093 24 080 85145 80404 23 107 18 098 21 096 80404 76344 18 105 14 108 18 083 76344 72764 14 098 13 112 17 083 72764 69523 16 103 14 100 16 090 69523 66565 18 100 15 118 11 083 66565 63858 11 116 14 127 9 101 63858 61263 15 136 13 151 6 172 61263 58564 5 092 14 152 14 175 58564 55750 13 232 7 183 7 238 55750 53054 17 216 13 212 20 247 53054 50630 15 236 18 227 25 232 50630 48450 21 248 21 241 26 233 48450 46454 27 243 28 240 26 242 46454 44609 32 237 33 242 30 241 44609 42895 34 230 38 239 33 240 42895 41296 39 231 44 238 35 235 41296 39800 44 237 45 240 29 234 39800 38400 38 242 41 241 26 240 38400 37064 22 240 32 238 22 239 37064 35726 10 264 7 225 14 256 35726 34358 13 307 2 268 9 262 34358 32964 13 314 6 279 3 257 32964 31528 9 294 10 253 11 321 31528 30040 8 299 12 243 9 322 30040 28504 12 311 8 253 7 284 28504 26922 16 295 10 320 8 283 26922 25295 19 273 17 321 10 326 25295 23629 19 259 21 305 15 347 23629 21921 15 260 19 289 16 353 21921 20165 14 289 17 277 15 004 20165 18390 18 329 14 280 17 022 18390 16686 21 341 12*288 14 004 16686 15135 21 342 12*289 9 312 15135 13749 19 338 12 289 8 286 13749 12502 20 332 11 289 7 280 12502 11377 19*326 11 288 7 280 11377 10360 18*316 11 287 7 282 10360 9443 16 306 11 285 7 285 9443 8621 14 294 11 285 7 287 8621 7882 13 285 10 283 7 287 7882 7209 13 281 10 283 7 289 7209 6604 12 280 10 282 7 289 6604 6093 12 279 10 282 6 289 6093 5696 12 279 9 281 6 288 5696 5420 11 279 9 281 5 286 5420 5252 11 279 9 281 5 283 5252 5155 10 278 8 281 3*281 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography