DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.5 - - 64.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 175 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2049 - - 6321 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6000 - - 9060 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6898 - - 11170 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1526 - - 2558 - - 5586 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 434 - - 11 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 166 - - 086 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 31 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2987 - - -904 - - -5549 - - -3481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9886 - - 12075 - - 10704 - - 8636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5626 - - -2604 - - -8269 - - -8047 ODpotential blCL - - - 12524 - - 13774 - - 13424 - - 13201 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 90 - - 88 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.5 - - 64.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 35.4 - - 35.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 69.0 - - 65.7 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 35.3 - - 35.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 175 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2049 - - 6321 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 61 - - 53 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96877 54 259 50 269 58 277 44 291 96877 89711 42 269 43 260 43 278 43 283 89711 84186 34 275 35 259 33 281 32 292 84186 79573 21 272 20 259 21 282 21 297 79573 75585 7 274 8 276 9 267 16 292 75585 72061 2 244 4 353 2 203 6 292 72061 68882 8 322 11 000 2 036 7 317 68882 65971 3 251 6 292 11 350 11 345 65971 63280 4 062 14 214 24 232 19 254 63280 60690 20 292 23 280 12 241 26 225 60690 58020 42 255 43 264 27 271 28 251 58020 55248 56 236 49 249 43 263 32 260 55248 52572 60 233 53 238 51 249 43 260 52572 50146 60 231 60 235 60 243 57 252 50146 47966 62 230 67 233 69 237 67 240 47966 45990 66 228 72 233 77 232 73 233 45990 44182 71 229 80 231 85 229 79 231 44182 42511 83 233 89 227 94 229 90 230 42511 40952 97 233 99 226 105 229 100 229 40952 39489 102 232 106 226 106 226 104 229 39489 38112 99 233 106 228 102 225 101 230 38112 36794 95 232 102 229 100 227 95 228 36794 35470 93 230 98 233 98 230 92 224 35470 34111 92 229 95 235 94 231 86 221 34111 32722 91 228 92 233 90 229 84 220 32722 31288 88 227 90 230 88 228 82 219 31288 29800 80 228 88 229 90 230 81 219 29800 28262 72 232 83 230 87 229 80 217 28262 26677 68 235 71 231 81 225 78 217 26677 25049 65 230 68 227 73 222 75 218 25049 23382 66 222 68 221 69 219 71 220 23382 21675 63 220 63 220 63 222 64 224 21675 19928 54 223 56 222 54 229 54 228 19928 18170 44 223 48 226 49 235 44 231 18170 16485 38 219 41 227 45 235 38 232 16485 14951 34 215 33 225 35 232 35 232 14951 13579 31 214 27 220 23 225 29 225 13579 12347 26 212 21 209 15 206 24 212 12347 11237 21 207 14*191 12 185 20 200 11237 10236 18 204 12*183 12 177 16 185 10236 9336 15 207 11 178 11 171 16 179 9336 8530 12 205 10 172 11 165 16 174 8530 7806 10 191 9 166 10 156 15 161 7806 7148 8*144 8 160 9 143 14 147 7148 6558 9*113 7 155 8 125 14 134 6558 6061 10 107 7 151 8 113 13 114 6061 5676 10 106 7 148 8 102 13 086 5676 5409 10 103 7 147 8 094 11 072 5409 5247 9 104 6 146 7*089 8*063 5247 5154 8 103 6 145 5*086 4*055 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography