DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.8 - - 89.1 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 533 - - 180 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6819 - - 8054 - - 5273 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10000 - - 11011 - - 8281 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11668 - - 12903 - - 10122 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1918 - - 4155 - - 5536 - - 2554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 643 - - 682 - - 413 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 048 - - 080 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -17 - - -17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -573 - - -563 - - -4260 - - -3796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12241 - - 13467 - - 14383 - - 8953 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3618 - - -2679 - - -6258 - - -7571 ODpotential blCL - - - 15286 - - 15582 - - 16380 - - 12727 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 44 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 340 - - 460 - - 0 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.8 - - 89.1 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 49.1 - - 43.5 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.0 - - 87.4 - - 87.3 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 49.0 - - 43.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 533 - - 180 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6819 - - 8054 - - 5273 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98449 31 095 31 090 27 095 23 088 98449 90943 28 099 24 096 25 087 25 079 90943 85203 27 098 30 097 25 085 30 079 85203 80467 25 089 27 102 19 094 24 077 80467 76407 21 086 21 095 21 093 17 089 76407 72842 18 094 23 096 21 094 19 107 72842 69623 12 097 18 076 19 079 20 101 69623 66673 6 103 6 078 15 050 22 070 66673 63959 5 091 11 140 7 063 13 044 63959 61369 7 130 17 112 11 148 3 113 61369 58692 17 123 9 106 9 104 4 067 58692 55946 8 046 9 138 5 164 6 306 55946 53356 13 327 8 342 9 333 8 347 53356 51025 19 319 18 339 15 337 6 348 51025 48915 23 318 17 343 12 335 4 335 48915 46966 24 323 19 337 16 334 12 329 46966 45153 25 325 24 327 19 322 16 317 45153 43458 24 325 25 323 20 319 18 315 43458 41868 22 328 24 324 19 321 18 318 41868 40373 20 333 20 327 17 322 19 324 40373 38969 18 332 16 333 14 329 21 330 38969 37625 16 332 17 347 14 336 19 335 37625 36277 15 347 18 351 15 347 15 341 36277 34892 16 002 22 359 17 000 17 355 34892 33474 27 016 27 008 20 005 21 358 33474 32010 34 021 27 014 21 006 19 003 32010 30494 31 022 23 021 19 009 15 011 30494 28927 21 030 20 023 17 014 16 011 28927 27313 20 034 15 023 18 016 16 016 27313 25655 26 033 21 036 20 016 17 028 25655 23953 21 035 28 044 22 038 18 055 23953 22199 14 043 12 045 19 028 20 061 22199 20388 12 048 7 046 14 355 16 023 20388 18566 13 064 6 050 9 337 21 340 18566 16831 13 072 4 058 8 311 21 320 16831 15256 12 069 3 013 9 309 21 308 15256 13845 8 069 4*348 8 312 20 308 13845 12577 4*066 5*351 6 321 17 316 12577 11433 4*025 5 001 4 351 12 331 11433 10402 4 013 5 014 4*037 7 008 10402 9476 4 013 7 037 6*064 7 058 9476 8645 4 014 9 051 9 074 9 085 8645 7899 4 021 10 058 10 079 11 107 7899 7220 4 027 11 061 11 081 15 127 7220 6611 3 034 12 063 12 082 21 133 6611 6097 4 040 12 065 12 083 22 134 6097 5698 3 042 12 067 12 083 21 134 5698 5422 3 047 12 067 12 083 18 133 5422 5253 3 046 12 067 11 084 15*132 5253 5156 3 047 11 067 10 083 9*130 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography