DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.4 - - 69.5 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 304 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 4050 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6351 - - 7589 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7217 - - 8899 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1392 - - 1468 - - 4321 - - 599 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 450 - - 23 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 201 - - 190 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1559 - - -807 - - -3704 - - -1337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8777 - - 9706 - - 8859 - - 6491 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5732 - - -3741 - - -7494 - - -7800 ODpotential blCL - - - 12949 - - 12640 - - 12649 - - 12954 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 71 - - 66 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.4 - - 69.5 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 48.5 - - 48.5 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 71.1 - - 69.6 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 48.3 - - 48.4 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 304 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 4050 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97878 23 293 18 271 28 294 26 303 97878 90580 20 293 17 290 18 285 17 306 90580 84943 13 289 15 290 13 299 13 320 84943 80249 7 276 14 277 14 329 11 328 80249 76212 1 127 9 300 10 330 8 348 76212 72656 4 107 4 355 6 320 9 342 72656 69440 9 063 6 086 1 237 9 295 69440 66508 7 052 5 081 5 095 4 284 66508 63823 5 028 3 353 4 057 4 058 63823 61248 2 344 1 323 2 350 2 067 61248 58581 6 241 6 244 5 267 0 305 58581 55828 15 226 15 240 14 250 13 251 55828 53213 16 213 22 220 16 240 16 261 53213 50847 12 259 15 232 19 250 23 254 50847 48705 20 268 19 256 22 250 25 255 48705 46739 24 263 25 259 29 253 28 264 46739 44921 26 263 30 255 34 256 29 262 44921 43225 27 266 32 255 35 256 28 262 43225 41629 31 268 33 259 34 259 31 266 41629 40123 35 273 35 267 39 264 38 267 40123 38705 36 278 40 269 45 261 45 262 38705 37345 37 279 41 267 46 258 49 257 37345 35981 38 278 41 271 44 260 49 256 35981 34586 39 276 40 278 42 264 50 259 34586 33167 38 277 39 279 42 264 49 260 33167 31709 36 278 38 278 41 263 47 260 31709 30199 34 278 36 279 39 264 45 263 30199 28638 31 278 33 280 35 262 40 258 28638 27030 26 271 28 276 30 257 35 251 27030 25379 25 260 24 262 27 251 31 250 25379 23694 25 254 24 254 25 248 26 253 23694 21969 22 253 23 257 21 251 20 254 21969 20197 18 251 20 261 16 260 13 254 20197 18405 15 246 17 260 13 266 9 260 18405 16682 10 244 15 253 13 261 8 266 16682 15112 8 232 12 248 14 252 10 264 15112 13707 8 226 11 251 13 252 11 259 13707 12447 9 218 10 257 12 261 10 255 12447 11313 10 210 8 251 7 283 9 253 11313 10292 9 204 5 233 4 333 4 225 10292 9376 8 200 5*201 2 007 3 123 9376 8557 7 195 5*197 3 169 5 114 8557 7825 6*196 6 197 6 180 5 144 7825 7161 6*198 6 199 8 186 9 176 7161 6566 7 199 7 201 9 188 12 179 6566 6065 7 201 7 203 10 188 15 170 6065 5678 7 202 7 204 10 189 18 160 5678 5411 7 203 7 205 10 190 14 161 5411 5248 7 205 7 205 9*190 10 163 5248 5154 6 204 6 206 7*190 5*168 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography