DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.4 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 434 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4916 - - 7115 - - - - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8416 - - 10159 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9765 - - 11964 - - - - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1243 - - 1640 - - - - - 154 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 611 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 22 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 250 - - - - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4759 - - -5208 - - - - - -9849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14525 - - 17173 - - - - - 15004 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9484 - - -9136 - - - - - -15366 ODpotential blCL - - - 19249 - - 21100 - - - - - 20520 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 46 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.4 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.3 - - 12.1 - - - - - 9.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 67.8 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 11.9 - - - - - 9.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 434 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4916 - - 7115 - - - - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96566 33 256 42 256 40 276 96566 89337 34 264 30 274 39 270 89337 83804 32 285 27 270 38 275 83804 79205 23 278 26 269 31 286 79205 75241 16 259 20 265 18 266 75241 71767 13 244 16 244 7 242 71767 68649 8 163 12 236 9 215 68649 65786 18 227 18 236 10 258 65786 63138 30 213 24 226 24 228 63138 60591 34 170 36 175 27 198 60591 57897 27 231 31 230 17 254 57897 55062 48 235 51 240 46 244 55062 52358 50 239 56 238 58 235 52358 49920 57 239 59 240 58 236 49920 47714 59 234 59 237 56 236 47714 45695 57 233 56 233 55 238 45695 43830 56 235 56 234 58 243 43830 42095 56 235 58 235 62 249 42095 40475 55 236 57 235 67 252 40475 38962 53 239 56 235 69 254 38962 37553 53 243 55 238 70 254 37553 36219 54 246 57 243 71 253 36219 34895 55 247 58 245 72 251 34895 33555 55 246 59 244 73 249 33555 32195 54 243 59 242 73 248 32195 30798 52 240 57 241 69 246 30798 29352 49 238 54 239 64 243 29352 27860 48 238 52 238 60 240 27860 26324 46 237 50 237 57 236 26324 24747 46 236 49 235 54 235 24747 23132 46 233 50 233 51 234 23132 21475 46 231 50 231 48 234 21475 19767 45 230 49 231 45 230 19767 18040 44 231 47 234 40 225 18040 16383 42 231 43 236 35 225 16383 14873 40 231 39 240 31 227 14873 13519 38 234 34 242 28 227 13519 12301 37 243 26*243 25 225 12301 11201 36 252 24*245 20 221 11201 10210 31*255 24 246 15 214 10210 9316 30*255 23 247 10 204 9316 8516 29 255 23 249 6 193 8516 7797 29 256 23 250 3 184 7797 7143 28 255 23 252 0 265 7143 6556 28 256 22 253 3 351 6556 6061 27 256 21 253 6 353 6061 5677 26 256 21 254 7 354 5677 5410 25 256 20 254 6 356 5410 5247 23 256 19 255 5*006 5247 5154 19 255 16 254 4*004 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography