DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.7 - - 47.0 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 362 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2535 - - 3606 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6487 - - 7304 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7384 - - 8455 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1209 - - 966 - - 3991 - - 330 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 407 - - 457 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 055 - - 052 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -12 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3417 - - -2524 - - -4750 - - -2662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10801 - - 10980 - - 9903 - - 7816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9499 - - -9349 - - -12828 - - -13482 ODpotential blCL - - - 16883 - - 17804 - - 17981 - - 18635 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 72 - - 62 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.7 - - 47.0 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 20.9 - - 22.0 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 48.4 - - 46.6 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 20.8 - - 22.1 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 362 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2535 - - 3606 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96352 35 247 31 260 31 276 29 266 96352 89108 25 265 22 259 25 267 30 272 89108 83591 11 288 19 273 18 280 18 286 83591 79049 11 320 14 276 16 291 13 316 79049 75122 15 321 10 319 10 274 10 307 75122 71641 14 322 12 347 3 304 11 304 71641 68506 17 320 12 337 7 357 12 329 68506 65638 21 304 15 319 15 342 15 354 65638 62968 23 303 21 302 23 321 19 341 62968 60370 28 298 25 288 27 304 24 324 60370 57658 33 290 36 291 34 296 30 305 57658 54846 47 287 48 286 44 290 44 296 54846 52161 59 285 58 283 55 285 59 283 52161 49742 71 282 68 281 63 288 67 276 49742 47570 82 277 74 280 69 287 67 279 47570 45600 87 272 83 279 72 287 68 284 45600 43799 85 274 84 278 75 284 71 286 43799 42142 92 279 90 279 79 282 75 284 42142 40607 108 279 108 274 90 282 92 278 40607 39168 110 278 108 272 101 278 98 274 39168 37813 105 280 103 276 100 277 92 276 37813 36510 98 282 99 279 94 280 81 282 36510 35199 82 285 87 283 83 286 56 293 35199 33856 61 290 66 286 63 288 44 302 33856 32485 44 298 51 284 47 285 33 316 32485 31071 39 313 36 297 34 308 31 002 31071 29610 38 318 35 331 40 332 44 022 29610 28100 37 318 40 347 43 332 44 023 28100 26540 39 311 41 348 42 329 38 012 26540 24931 43 312 41 343 41 330 36 360 24931 23275 48 319 42 341 41 335 37 357 23275 21569 50 324 44 342 41 340 36 354 21569 19808 45 328 43 343 40 343 35 351 19808 18025 35 325 40 346 37 352 34 357 18025 16312 31 319 34 348 34 000 33 009 16312 14756 30 318 27 343 28 357 34 022 14756 13374 27 321 24 335 23 341 30 027 13374 12147 22 323 25 342 21 332 19 024 12147 11050 14 317 23 349 20 346 12 009 11050 10066 5 341 15 357 17 007 10 003 10066 9185 13 053 11*038 15 033 12 024 9185 8401 21 059 14*051 15 047 15 050 8401 7703 21*059 15 053 16 050 16 064 7703 7071 20*058 16 055 16 050 16 069 7071 6505 20 057 16 055 16 051 16 069 6505 6027 19 057 16 056 16 052 15 070 6027 5656 19 058 16 057 15 052 14 071 5656 5399 18 057 15 057 14 052 11 069 5399 5243 17 057 15 057 13 053 6*063 5243 5153 14 058 13 057 10*052 4*062 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography