DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 49.4 - - 53.8 - - 50.9 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 393 - - 392 - - 39 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2391 - - 3275 - - 2313 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6398 - - 7073 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 7240 - - 8124 - - 7162 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 653 - - 1015 - - 928 - - 1152 - - 822 Hgt.Variab. W* 95 - - 409 - - 454 - - 187 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 125 - - 124 - - 121 - - 107 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7456 - - -9776 - - -9577 - - -8974 - - -8480 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12609 - - 17017 - - 17702 - - 16137 - - 13634 sfcLCL ODpotential -21117 - - -20630 - - -19295 - - -19057 - - -20763 ODpotential blCL 26269 - - 27870 - - 27419 - - 26219 - - 25916 blCL maxRH 86 - - 78 - - 78 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 49.4 - - 53.8 - - 50.9 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.6 - - -6.3 - - -5.2 - - -0.8 - - -0.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.8 - - 46.9 - - 51.2 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.7 - - -6.5 - - -5.3 - - -0.8 - - -0.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 393 - - 392 - - 39 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 2391 - - 3275 - - 2313 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 10 - - 11 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96722 3 292 4 062 4 246 10 304 17 333 96722 89500 5 309 3 171 1 209 5 204 8 342 89500 83926 2 358 13 201 6 217 5 271 8 332 83926 79328 8 003 7 200 5 169 6 236 2 273 79328 75371 5 341 2 015 3 004 5 312 8 015 75371 71868 2 060 2 309 6 263 9 299 9 320 71868 68716 17 323 13 322 7 329 9 322 7 297 68716 65837 22 284 20 290 23 313 24 324 12 342 65837 63180 19 276 21 277 30 294 32 305 26 314 63180 60620 23 292 24 282 36 293 41 296 35 301 60620 57953 38 290 38 282 47 287 48 294 44 299 57953 55171 51 287 47 277 54 285 54 286 52 294 55171 52497 57 284 50 277 54 276 55 280 55 290 52497 50075 64 284 53 281 53 275 55 279 56 286 50075 47894 67 282 61 278 60 278 59 281 57 287 47894 45909 68 281 68 275 69 275 67 279 59 287 45909 44090 68 283 69 275 75 273 72 274 64 282 44090 42415 71 285 70 277 72 276 71 276 68 277 42415 40869 76 285 73 279 75 280 77 284 73 277 40869 39431 77 283 73 279 76 280 80 283 77 274 39431 38082 73 278 70 280 74 279 80 279 75 274 38082 36784 66 273 70 279 71 278 77 278 72 279 36784 35474 59 278 71 277 69 278 72 283 68 284 35474 34124 54 280 69 276 66 280 69 287 62 292 34124 32744 55 282 59 277 60 283 66 288 54 295 32744 31319 55 282 52 278 53 284 54 287 44 288 31319 29843 54 281 48 282 48 281 44 286 39 284 29843 28316 50 282 45 289 44 285 40 284 39 282 28316 26739 46 285 41 289 36 288 38 280 38 283 26739 25114 42 286 37 287 33 286 35 282 35 289 25114 23445 38 285 33 283 32 283 31 285 31 294 23445 21727 32 284 29 283 29 280 28 286 25 295 21727 19953 26 283 25 286 25 279 26 287 22 296 19953 18158 21 282 21 285 21 278 24 287 21 300 18158 16435 21 283 16 280 19 272 22 281 19 309 16435 14868 20 283 14 276 16 264 19 273 18 310 14868 13471 16 278 12 274 13 257 17 264 16 299 13471 12222 10 264 8 262 9 248 14 256 15 280 12222 11105 5 261 6 248 7 244 10 246 12 261 11105 10106 3 185 6 186 5 193 8 220 10 235 10106 9212 9 164 9 155 7 138 7 178 11 207 9212 8419 11 128 12 127 10*127 7 139 10 190 8419 7711 17 102 14*126 11*125 9*124 10 177 7711 7072 21 091 15*125 12 125 11*122 11 156 7072 6502 20 094 15 125 12 125 11 121 16 137 6502 6023 20 110 15 125 12 124 12 121 22 130 6023 5654 18 115 14 124 12 124 12 120 20 129 5654 5398 12 112 14 124 12 123 11 120 13 127 5398 5242 10 110 13 124 11 124 11 120 10*122 5242 5153 8*106 11 123 10 123 9 119 4*107 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography