DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.0 - - 83.8 - - 85.4 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 15 - - 55 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12151 - - 440 - - 1990 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14168 - - 5140 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17000 - - 5289 - - 6839 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1387 - - 10393 - - 8542 - - 282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 690 - - 110 - - 203 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 43 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 035 - - 324 - - 182 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - -5 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3435 - - -3684 - - -3848 - - -3788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13565 - - 8973 - - 10688 - - 8945 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1515 - - -6360 - - -6131 - - -7812 ODpotential blCL - - - 15485 - - 11649 - - 12970 - - 12968 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 97 - - 84 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 580 - - 2570 - - 1440 - - 570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.0 - - 83.8 - - 85.4 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 61.7 - - 56.0 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.4 - - 83.7 - - 84.7 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 60.2 - - 55.9 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 15 - - 55 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12151 - - 440 - - 1990 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 90 - - 36 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98771 18 101 8 138 6 084 15 078 98771 91303 28 095 25 117 16 112 19 090 91303 85544 26 102 26 107 21 112 20 088 85544 80758 19 101 25 104 21 099 21 097 80758 76638 14 091 23 089 20 097 21 093 76638 73034 11 112 16 080 19 094 17 094 73034 69803 8 118 11 097 13 098 12 108 69803 66836 9 163 4 102 9 092 6 127 66836 64090 8 158 7 183 1 242 3 148 64090 61453 7 155 11 176 3 231 2 156 61453 58743 1 132 1 174 1 001 1 092 58743 55975 3 259 6 299 11 337 9 357 55975 53357 3 355 0 314 6 296 8 336 53357 50998 10 338 9 336 7 311 14 335 50998 48879 16 337 14 336 10 328 16 337 48879 46947 25 351 20 347 16 354 19 354 46947 45162 28 354 22 347 21 346 21 358 45162 43495 24 355 24 348 22 346 21 002 43495 41926 20 353 25 352 22 355 21 356 41926 40445 16 354 22 353 25 356 22 352 40445 39048 13 002 16 351 26 355 20 359 39048 37706 13 006 10 346 21 004 17 009 37706 36352 10 358 7 353 14 359 16 008 36352 34958 7 358 6 338 12 338 13 009 34958 33530 7 350 5 330 10 327 11 008 33530 32058 8 329 7 330 8 337 9 353 32058 30532 9 321 9 328 9 353 7 354 30532 28958 6 327 7 341 11 358 7 010 28958 27336 3 048 4 013 8 009 8 032 27336 25669 5 082 2 085 3 025 6 035 25669 23962 5 070 2 107 3 087 1 016 23962 22214 4 080 1 064 3 063 2 022 22214 20419 3 064 2 332 3 025 4 348 20419 18609 4*040 4 016 6 343 8 356 18609 16876 6*053 4 076 14 002 13 002 16876 15298 6 052 5 100 15 011 11 014 15298 13885 5 044 6 107 12 015 7 034 13885 12614 5 040 5 104 8 015 3 061 12614 11467 4 036 5 096 4 008 2 150 11467 10432 3 029 4 083 1 255 6 179 10432 9500 2 017 3 060 4 191 10 181 9500 8665 2 001 3 030 6 184 13 178 8665 7914 1 339 4 007 10 181 15 171 7914 7232 1 310 5 350 12*181 18 161 7232 6620 1 286 6 339 12*181 19 154 6620 6103 1 272 8 331 12 181 18 152 6103 5702 1 271 8 327 12 181 18 150 5702 5423 2 269 7*327 11 182 15 151 5423 5253 1 264 6*326 11 182 8*151 5253 5156 1 262 5 323 9 182 4*146 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography