DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 61.9 - - 64.6 - - 53.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 250 - - 217 - - -37 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1920 - - 2729 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5925 - - 6465 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6769 - - 7578 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 1187 - - 1288 - - 1353 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 328 - - 352 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 16 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 273 - - 277 - - 254 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6431 - - -9085 - - -9427 - - -9316 - - -7080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11585 - - 15855 - - 17006 - - 14471 - - 12234 sfcLCL ODpotential -17437 - - -15608 - - -15393 - - -17998 - - -17883 ODpotential blCL 22590 - - 22377 - - 22971 - - 23152 - - 23036 blCL maxRH 23 - - 30 - - 26 - - 23 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 61.9 - - 64.6 - - 53.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.3 - - 10.7 - - 8.1 - - 9.5 - - 11.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 60.0 - - 62.9 - - 56.6 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.1 - - 10.6 - - 8.0 - - 9.5 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 250 - - 217 - - -37 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1920 - - 2729 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 21 267 18 294 26 248 25 275 39 273 96426 89222 24 293 15 269 20 274 21 273 22 272 89222 83652 14 282 16 268 21 301 18 281 16 335 83652 79030 7 263 17 260 21 288 18 288 14 346 79030 75066 11 339 15 267 15 296 10 282 11 312 75066 71579 26 316 15 299 12 302 8 277 10 298 71579 68427 31 298 25 308 19 307 16 314 13 326 68427 65534 32 290 32 301 28 298 27 311 24 318 65534 62875 35 286 34 291 31 283 33 299 32 305 62875 60324 38 280 34 281 35 277 35 288 38 295 60324 57670 39 279 37 279 39 280 39 278 42 281 57670 54907 42 277 41 280 41 281 41 275 45 274 54907 52259 46 270 43 279 45 277 47 279 51 279 52259 49870 50 269 50 278 50 274 56 280 59 280 49870 47727 57 272 56 274 57 273 63 276 65 278 47727 45779 63 275 58 268 59 271 63 271 67 270 45779 43993 65 275 59 265 57 272 58 269 65 264 43993 42341 65 273 55 267 52 274 48 270 59 261 42341 40797 64 272 50 272 46 277 28 287 50 258 40797 39351 61 272 47 278 37 284 12 328 21 256 39351 37997 57 272 41 280 27 289 10 357 2 149 37997 36700 50 274 34 283 15 289 7 331 1 079 36700 35393 38 282 30 284 6 354 3 347 1 086 35393 34050 34 285 22 292 14 021 13 068 5 124 34050 32676 22 291 19 299 16 026 21 075 11 118 32676 31261 8 068 12 293 20 044 26 083 19 108 31261 29794 26 081 17 106 14 040 27 087 23 087 29794 28277 29 073 20 090 11 082 20 094 21 071 28277 26710 25 061 19 059 15 080 11 104 15 057 26710 25100 21 046 21 047 15 068 10 125 13 039 25100 23449 20 037 22 044 14 051 7 045 14 026 23449 21748 21 037 23 043 17 041 17 029 16 028 21748 19990 22 046 20 048 14 045 15 043 15 026 19990 18211 17 049 15 062 10 058 8 046 9 013 18211 16502 10 008 8 079 7 086 5 027 7 349 16502 14947 15 298 1 019 3 133 1 246 10 325 14947 13560 16 291 15 276 10 282 9 300 14 323 13560 12319 15 292 17 274 15 285 12 309 13 334 12319 11203 15 292 15 277 15 283 13 308 14 336 11203 10198 14 291 14 281 15 283 14 300 16 326 10198 9295 13 294 14 286 16 285 17 293 19 311 9295 8489 13 300 15 288 17 284 20 285 23 297 8489 7769 14 305 16 289 17*281 21 278 27 286 7769 7117 14 309 15*286 17*280 21 273 29 278 7117 6536 14 312 14*280 17 278 20 271 29 274 6536 6046 13 313 14 275 17 277 20 271 29 273 6046 5667 13 310 14 272 16 277 18 269 26 272 5667 5404 12 305 13 270 16 276 16 265 20 266 5404 5245 8*290 12 269 15 276 12*261 14 255 5245 5153 4*273 11 268 12 275 7*254 7*241 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography