DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 67.4 - - 77.0 - - 74.6 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 174 - - 466 - - 428 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 871 - - 1797 - - 4086 - - 1964 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5992 - - 7735 - - 5236 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5720 - - 6646 - - 8935 - - 6813 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 288 - - 355 - - 1831 - - 3036 - - 927 Hgt.Variab. W* 223 - - 395 - - 505 - - 227 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 24 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 7 - - 4 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 081 - - 112 - - 098 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 8 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3113 - - -6189 - - -6288 - - -7476 - - -6004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8833 - - 12835 - - 15224 - - 14289 - - 11159 sfcLCL ODpotential -10984 - - -10919 - - -9119 - - -11019 - - -12440 ODpotential blCL 16704 - - 17565 - - 18054 - - 17832 - - 17594 blCL maxRH 62 - - 78 - - 91 - - 59 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 67.4 - - 77.0 - - 74.6 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 29.6 - - 28.0 - - 30.0 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 64.5 - - 74.1 - - 73.7 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 29.5 - - 28.0 - - 30.0 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 174 - - 466 - - 428 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 871 - - 1797 - - 4086 - - 1964 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 65 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97180 31 266 43 272 33 281 34 282 29 285 97180 89804 17 258 31 268 28 271 30 277 23 305 89804 84174 19 290 20 256 20 263 33 271 26 301 84174 79531 21 295 8 268 10 255 21 270 23 297 79531 75557 11 306 6 315 4 263 13 268 15 279 75557 72056 9 331 9 322 7 318 9 299 5 287 72056 68886 7 319 7 304 10 324 13 318 9 342 68886 65995 6 337 6 315 8 324 10 317 9 345 65995 63341 7 334 9 349 7 350 6 330 7 014 63341 60784 7 337 12 001 11 004 12 357 13 010 60784 58124 7 323 10 016 13 016 12 353 22 004 58124 55356 10 002 10 012 13 357 20 341 23 343 55356 52702 12 009 13 339 21 340 18 336 19 340 52702 50282 15 001 20 345 22 340 20 354 26 351 50282 48089 19 331 23 343 24 336 27 353 28 349 48089 46090 19 313 22 335 21 324 27 348 26 342 46090 44255 20 315 19 329 20 324 24 345 27 339 44255 42565 24 318 26 331 20 324 24 340 27 342 42565 41008 27 320 34 331 24 336 30 342 30 351 41008 39567 27 325 34 326 31 333 31 340 32 009 39567 38224 28 329 26 322 32 326 27 339 36 021 38224 36935 28 335 24 326 33 324 24 340 36 018 36935 35634 21 334 23 325 29 321 22 348 33 017 35634 34293 14 326 19 326 26 319 21 355 27 024 34293 32919 11 329 18 327 25 328 21 355 27 017 32919 31501 12 341 17 329 25 330 23 354 26 009 31501 30029 14 341 16 335 23 324 22 356 26 007 30029 28505 16 346 15 343 18 321 20 348 26 007 28505 26928 17 351 14 351 17 330 21 332 23 007 26928 25303 16 344 12 352 16 337 19 328 19 004 25303 23637 12 331 13 347 14 335 16 331 17 345 23637 21926 9 325 14 338 13 343 14 334 16 333 21926 20164 9 323 12 331 12 335 13 331 12 330 20164 18381 9 299 8 314 14 332 13 335 11 341 18381 16668 10 296 7 307 11 307 15 338 14 347 16668 15106 5 291 5 308 8 262 16 337 18 342 15106 13707 3 325 3 298 8 263 14 316 20 334 13707 12450 4 002 5 238 10 260 14 283 19 324 12450 11317 2 325 9 219 12 243 14 266 13 303 11317 10296 5 225 11 213 10 227 11 246 12 272 10296 9379 11 209 12 210 7*211 9 213 12 249 9379 8558 14 208 12 218 5*196 8 183 9 218 8558 7825 14 199 11 214 4 171 9 155 8 159 7825 7161 11 188 7*198 4 121 9*127 13 139 7161 6568 5 113 6*089 5 100 12*105 16 133 6568 6068 14*046 7 081 6 089 12 100 14 124 6068 5681 15*044 8 079 6 085 12 097 11 103 5681 5412 15 045 8 079 6 082 12 096 8 085 5412 5248 14 045 7 079 6 081 12 095 5 069 5248 5154 12 045 7 077 6 081 10 094 4*056 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography