DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.4 - - 56.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 535 - - 115 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2046 - - 2488 - - 2391 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6150 - - 6547 - - 5915 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6895 - - 7337 - - 7240 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 414 - - 633 - - 861 - - 1998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 395 - - 460 - - 272 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 22 - - 19 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 059 - - 064 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -16 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -106 - - -875 - - -1347 - - -2073 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7001 - - 8213 - - 8588 - - 7226 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6350 - - -5922 - - -6730 - - -8731 ODpotential blCL - - - 13245 - - 13259 - - 13970 - - 13884 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.4 - - 56.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 39.3 - - 37.3 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 54.5 - - 55.9 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 39.3 - - 37.3 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 535 - - 115 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2046 - - 2488 - - 2391 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 77 - - 42 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97435 30 256 31 246 35 275 32 289 97435 90086 23 262 20 258 26 275 26 281 90086 84403 20 268 17 263 20 268 22 287 84403 79709 11 279 12 265 12 274 13 298 79709 75682 8 287 11 298 9 312 4 318 75682 72147 8 295 12 310 9 324 8 344 72147 68982 9 015 11 316 13 338 13 002 68982 66091 7 012 9 301 13 300 17 322 66091 63424 9 324 15 330 12 308 16 323 63424 60848 25 310 23 323 21 316 23 315 60848 58168 33 287 29 304 27 308 27 306 58168 55372 33 277 35 288 34 296 34 301 55372 52671 33 284 34 284 36 289 41 290 52671 50210 37 284 38 288 43 286 41 283 50210 47979 43 276 41 275 46 278 41 283 47979 45943 47 272 43 265 46 277 45 285 45943 44082 55 269 46 267 52 280 53 279 44082 42381 58 259 55 262 59 266 57 271 42381 40825 51 262 55 255 59 258 58 264 40825 39386 51 273 49 268 53 265 60 257 39386 38040 53 278 52 276 54 268 56 250 38040 36747 52 276 51 273 61 271 53 254 36747 35442 48 271 51 270 63 272 53 258 35442 34099 49 268 53 267 58 269 49 261 34099 32723 48 261 52 256 52 263 46 262 32723 31301 47 263 55 253 47 263 48 259 31301 29824 45 265 52 255 47 264 49 259 29824 28295 46 264 43 259 44 267 46 262 28295 26717 46 269 36 269 35 263 37 258 26717 25095 39 272 33 276 29 262 31 249 25095 23433 30 267 28 265 28 260 30 247 23433 21724 24 248 29 244 28 250 28 251 21724 19964 21 249 27 240 27 248 24 257 19964 18187 24 270 23 256 22 260 19 264 18187 16484 27 269 22 272 16 279 14 271 16484 14933 23 261 22 273 15 288 9 278 14933 13546 14 245 17 271 12 283 8 288 13546 12303 7 247 9 261 7 266 5 287 12303 11183 4 282 6 261 5 244 2 240 11183 10175 2 270 5 241 3 216 1 194 10175 9270 1 235 3 182 4 140 4 128 9270 8465 7 059 10 069 11 081 10 106 8465 7748 20 053 20*059 18*067 17 084 7748 7102 27*048 22*058 20*064 23 072 7102 6526 27*046 23 059 20 064 24 069 6526 6041 27 046 23 059 20 064 24 069 6041 5665 27 046 23 060 20 065 23 069 5665 5404 25 046 22 060 19 064 20 068 5404 5245 23 046 21 061 18 065 17 068 5245 5153 19 046 17 061 14 065 12*068 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography