DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 54.2 - - 57.7 - - 48.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 222 - - 568 - - 540 - - 155 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1668 - - 2082 - - 2700 - - 2262 - - 1696 BL Depth Hcrit 5704 - - 6247 - - 6714 - - 5985 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 6517 - - 6931 - - 7549 - - 7111 - - 6545 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 320 - - 337 - - 459 - - 388 - - 663 Hgt.Variab. W* 300 - - 442 - - 474 - - 295 - - 153 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 36 - - 31 - - 29 - - 29 - - 30 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 035 - - 043 - - 043 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 11 - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -14 - - -14 - - -16 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 221 - - -770 - - -1179 - - 504 - - 713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6296 - - 7702 - - 8729 - - 6607 - - 5832 sfcLCL ODpotential -8969 - - -9285 - - -8918 - - -9402 - - -10021 ODpotential blCL 15486 - - 16216 - - 16467 - - 16513 - - 16566 blCL maxRH 89 - - 86 - - 77 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 54.2 - - 57.7 - - 48.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 38.5 - - 37.5 - - 37.3 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 51.4 - - 54.8 - - 47.0 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.7 - - 38.5 - - 37.4 - - 37.2 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 222 - - 568 - - 540 - - 155 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1668 - - 2082 - - 2700 - - 2262 - - 1696 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 45 - - 7 - - 88 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97008 37 275 41 268 42 272 45 279 40 280 97008 89655 27 269 30 266 34 266 35 272 33 286 89655 84071 20 271 21 275 24 254 27 271 32 285 84071 79445 18 294 14 279 13 245 19 268 26 284 79445 75486 18 288 12 279 9 268 14 268 16 287 75486 72005 18 256 7 262 9 250 14 273 14 296 72005 68865 12 242 10 293 7 261 12 278 13 281 68865 66006 7 268 14 290 7 304 8 276 10 278 66006 63378 8 249 13 274 11 289 10 257 11 283 63378 60840 10 221 10 267 12 265 13 256 14 269 60840 58193 12 236 11 256 13 278 12 280 13 258 58193 55439 17 234 17 256 16 282 13 281 11 262 55439 52788 15 239 19 245 19 263 18 265 13 277 52788 50374 15 259 18 244 22 247 22 255 18 273 50374 48187 19 257 19 249 21 247 21 248 21 266 48187 46188 21 244 18 242 19 251 17 255 18 265 46188 44349 21 239 15 251 18 246 18 267 16 267 44349 42657 17 233 15 265 14 256 15 256 15 249 42657 41092 16 233 16 232 16 245 16 238 20 238 41092 39637 20 225 22 217 22 228 18 231 15 217 39637 38279 17 227 21 202 23 209 22 222 19 216 38279 36976 17 217 19 186 21 189 22 197 23 199 36976 35664 16 202 17 179 20 179 21 187 22 192 35664 34316 11 195 14 178 17 183 18 185 21 191 34316 32936 8 202 12 183 15 191 17 194 19 197 32936 31512 8 202 12 187 14 200 17 204 19 206 31512 30033 7 203 11 191 15 211 17 216 19 215 30033 28501 6 217 8 201 15 225 15 235 16 228 28501 26917 7 239 7 225 11 241 13 254 11 257 26917 25281 7 256 7 242 10 253 8 264 4 263 25281 23602 6 260 6 248 9 248 7 273 4 301 23602 21881 5 228 6 238 8 251 6 279 7 328 21881 20110 6 196 5 224 3 245 3 179 3 309 20110 18312 1 211 2 057 3 099 2 135 2 280 18312 16578 12 344 8 358 7 347 10 341 8 337 16578 14995 16 335 11 324 14 322 15 326 11 322 14995 13577 15 321 11 295 14 301 14 313 12 307 13577 12306 13 315 10 272 13 280 13 301 12 296 12306 11164 9 324 10 259 12 263 12 289 11 291 11164 10141 7 012 9 247 9 249 12 288 10 290 10141 9228 10 059 7 233 2 251 6 299 3 312 9228 8420 19 063 5 058 15 046 13 040 15 051 8420 7707 29 051 23 040 27*044 27*043 30 050 7707 7070 38 035 32*035 30*043 30*042 34*047 7070 6503 39*031 33*035 30 043 30 042 33*046 6503 6027 39*030 33 035 30 043 30 043 32 046 6027 5657 38 030 32 035 29 043 30 043 30 046 5657 5400 36 030 31 035 28 043 28 043 28 046 5400 5243 33 031 29 035 26 043 26 043 26 047 5243 5153 23 032 22 035 21 043 19 043 18 047 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography