DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 75.8 - - 79.4 - - 75.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 426 - - 422 - - 31 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4353 - - 7668 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7944 - - 10594 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 9202 - - 12517 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 390 - - 4285 - - 2906 - - 8573 - - 117 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 515 - - 621 - - 89 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 19 - - 18 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 296 - - 285 - - 276 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8392 - - -7525 - - -6000 - - -12330 - - -8496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13547 - - 16728 - - 18517 - - 17485 - - 13651 sfcLCL ODpotential -15180 - - -11669 - - -10273 - - -16811 - - -15087 ODpotential blCL 20334 - - 20871 - - 22790 - - 21966 - - 20241 blCL maxRH 46 - - 47 - - 53 - - 79 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 75.8 - - 79.4 - - 75.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 19.8 - - 14.9 - - 16.5 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 73.0 - - 76.7 - - 75.3 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 19.6 - - 14.7 - - 16.4 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 426 - - 422 - - 31 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4353 - - 7668 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96730 23 229 37 243 38 238 42 262 34 267 96730 89400 31 257 29 258 27 224 37 246 37 262 89400 83804 27 249 28 252 28 237 34 246 32 257 83804 79133 26 261 23 248 25 259 23 245 27 255 79133 75113 26 253 26 254 28 262 25 265 22 268 75113 71602 26 264 27 247 31 272 22 264 11 286 71602 68450 24 293 28 271 29 272 21 281 23 301 68450 65593 24 293 21 270 26 279 37 295 36 291 65593 62997 21 295 23 306 31 295 38 290 36 284 62997 60484 28 306 34 307 37 295 33 278 36 284 60484 57835 34 301 37 299 34 284 31 284 34 292 57835 55052 37 290 34 294 30 285 36 292 34 296 55052 52364 37 289 31 286 36 287 43 296 41 291 52364 49925 36 292 32 284 40 291 46 292 47 286 49925 47733 33 293 34 290 46 296 46 289 51 285 47733 45754 31 298 43 299 50 295 49 287 57 286 45754 43960 36 303 47 299 45 296 47 287 56 283 43960 42320 35 310 42 309 46 309 49 298 52 288 42320 40794 39 329 52 326 54 315 58 306 56 292 40794 39361 55 339 58 328 57 317 57 299 58 291 39361 38010 61 340 55 326 50 318 53 296 57 291 38010 36710 59 338 52 324 45 316 49 297 54 294 36710 35401 57 336 48 321 45 316 46 296 52 296 35401 34055 54 337 42 318 43 315 46 295 48 297 34055 32677 40 344 40 315 41 311 46 295 44 297 32677 31256 33 340 40 307 41 307 47 296 41 296 31256 29784 36 338 39 302 42 306 49 298 40 294 29784 28263 37 339 38 304 44 306 50 299 41 293 28263 26696 38 337 39 310 46 305 49 301 45 292 26696 25085 38 335 39 312 47 303 46 302 47 293 25085 23434 37 333 34 312 43 301 42 301 47 294 23434 21739 34 332 28 314 38 298 38 302 43 293 21739 19994 31 331 24 311 33 293 34 305 39 294 19994 18230 28 334 21 304 27 289 32 304 36 297 18230 16538 23 320 19 295 21 285 31 297 34 297 16538 14998 19 314 18 293 18 284 31 290 36 290 14998 13623 16 323 15 301 17*287 27 282 38 279 13623 12390 15 332 11 314 17*287 24 276 38 273 12390 11278 17 333 11 325 18 286 24 276 36 273 11278 10275 20 325 11 324 18 286 24 276 33 275 10275 9372 24 313 14*314 18 285 23 276 30 277 9372 8562 26 304 17*304 19 285 23 276 27 279 8562 7834 28 296 19 298 19 284 23 276 25 280 7834 7172 28 292 19 296 19 284 23 276 23 281 7172 6578 26 288 20 295 19 283 22 277 21 282 6578 6075 25 283 19 293 19 283 22 277 19 281 6075 5685 23 275 19 293 18 282 21 276 17 278 5685 5414 18 269 18 292 17 282 20 276 13 274 5414 5249 14*262 17 292 17 282 18*276 9 267 5249 5154 9*256 15 291 15 282 14*276 6*258 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography