DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 82.3 - - 75.0 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 304 - - -20 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4029 - - 5606 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7645 - - 8798 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8878 - - 10455 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1639 - - 2090 - - 4614 - - 384 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 501 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 291 - - 292 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -7 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5960 - - -6704 - - -10747 - - -8909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14838 - - 17160 - - 15903 - - 14065 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10866 - - -12183 - - -16796 - - -16743 ODpotential blCL - - - 19744 - - 22638 - - 21951 - - 21898 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 53 - - 55 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 82.3 - - 75.0 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 24.6 - - 23.7 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 80.1 - - 76.8 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 24.4 - - 23.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 304 - - -20 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4029 - - 5606 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 17 220 17 253 20 286 24 314 98093 90662 8 264 3 235 11 295 12 273 90662 84922 11 209 7 276 6 244 10 242 84922 80162 8 182 12 232 13 263 12 253 80162 76078 2 242 15 223 14 273 7 285 76078 72460 6 271 5 184 16 242 5 327 72460 69156 13 252 12 296 18 248 13 282 69156 66158 19 249 14 288 11 281 19 277 66158 63468 19 258 14 275 12 323 7 319 63468 60890 21 256 22 272 20 295 15 315 60890 58215 26 261 29 270 28 279 27 269 58215 55488 30 270 29 272 28 278 27 268 55488 52911 33 269 32 274 29 283 33 285 52911 50586 38 265 36 271 38 276 42 280 50586 48490 39 272 41 271 46 270 50 274 48490 46581 43 280 47 274 50 271 53 275 46581 44818 45 284 50 279 52 274 54 277 44818 43169 47 286 52 281 55 277 55 279 43169 41612 48 284 52 279 57 281 56 280 41612 40142 49 282 53 278 57 282 58 280 40142 38753 48 277 52 279 56 282 60 284 38753 37418 45 271 49 280 52 283 62 288 37418 36074 41 265 46 273 46 282 55 288 36074 34694 38 266 45 268 45 275 46 286 34694 33282 36 269 42 271 42 269 41 283 33282 31824 35 268 36 272 39 272 39 281 31824 30313 35 262 34 273 37 280 39 279 30313 28750 34 253 33 268 33 280 36 279 28750 27137 34 246 33 262 31 277 31 280 27137 25482 32 243 32 256 31 277 28 279 25482 23792 30 243 31 251 28 281 26 280 23792 22061 26 246 27 252 25 282 24 286 22061 20281 20 262 22 260 23 283 21 297 20281 18482 15 283 18 272 22 290 18 306 18482 16754 12 297 16 281 22 299 17 313 16754 15178 14 300 17 292 21 307 18 317 15178 13768 18 296 20 298 21 311 19 318 13768 12503 23 290 22 299 21 313 20 318 12503 11363 27 285 21*297 21 313 21 318 11363 10336 29 281 19*293 19 309 22 317 10336 9414 27*276 19 292 16 303 23 314 9414 8591 23*270 19 291 15 300 23 308 8591 7854 21 266 18 291 15 298 22 300 7854 7185 21 265 18 291 14 298 22 295 7185 6586 20 265 18 290 14 298 22 295 6586 6080 20 265 18 290 14 298 21 296 6080 5688 19 265 17 290 13 297 19 295 5688 5416 18 265 17 290 11 296 14 291 5416 5250 17 265 16 290 9*294 9*280 5250 5155 15 265 14 290 6*292 5*267 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography