DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 60.3 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 170 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 1458 - - - - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5421 - - 5472 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6369 - - 6307 - - - - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2047 - - 1673 - - - - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 266 - - - - - 73 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 055 - - - - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1215 - - 1153 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5154 - - 5154 - - - - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 291 - - 370 - - - - - -190 ODpotential blCL - - - 6078 - - 5937 - - - - - 5344 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 110 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 60.3 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 55.9 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 58.9 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 55.6 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 170 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 1458 - - - - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 93 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97994 2 192 10 248 8 274 97994 90627 6 069 8 147 13 344 90627 84994 6 116 8 072 12 046 84994 80318 10 080 11 065 16 066 80318 76287 14 025 12 079 13 063 76287 72739 5 049 8 018 16 069 72739 69548 11 127 1 062 16 039 69548 66648 8 072 8 087 9 044 66648 63978 2 086 6 017 11 055 63978 61402 8 086 4 020 15 360 61402 58755 11 098 5 165 12 308 58755 56036 13 334 7 040 7 310 56036 53427 22 302 16 314 18 313 53427 51044 24 285 23 291 20 310 51044 48878 27 276 26 282 33 310 48878 46889 28 267 30 275 39 296 46889 45049 28 260 34 268 39 287 45049 43333 30 256 38 264 39 282 43333 41724 34 252 38 258 41 274 41724 40211 37 250 38 256 44 268 40211 38788 39 250 38 254 44 263 38788 37424 39 248 40 248 43 256 37424 36056 37 245 41 242 43 250 36056 34653 34 242 42 238 45 245 34653 33222 31 240 40 236 46 237 33222 31750 28 243 34 233 46 231 31750 30228 26 243 29 232 50 229 30228 28656 28 240 28 232 52 230 28656 27036 31 238 28 238 46 234 27036 25371 30 237 29 242 37 242 25371 23666 27 240 28 243 31 254 23666 21917 22 242 26 246 28 263 21917 20121 16 238 24 244 24 274 20121 18313 13 221 20 237 18 287 18313 16583 10 215 14 236 9 295 16583 15015 6 284 3 277 4 111 15015 13619 5 321 3 044 9 115 13619 12369 3 066 5 069 9 134 12369 11246 5 099 5 075 7 165 11246 10235 8 088 4 078 6 172 10235 9328 10 076 6 073 7 136 9328 8518 12 065 9 065 10 094 8518 7794 13 053 11 060 15 064 7794 7139 14 049 13 056 18 053 7139 6552 14*048 13*056 19 049 6552 6058 13*047 13*056 18 049 6058 5674 13 047 13 055 17 049 5674 5410 12 047 13 055 15 049 5410 5247 11 047 12 055 13*049 5247 5154 10 047 10 055 10*049 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography