DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.5 - - 70.6 - - 67.6 - - 67.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 59 - - 30 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 665 - - 306 - - 1323 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5514 - - 5155 - - 6172 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1638 - - 2135 - - 1828 - - 1415 - - 709 Hgt.Variab. W* 107 - - 122 - - 157 - - 35 - - 29 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 10 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 220 - - 199 - - 200 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 359 - - -742 - - 1017 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5155 - - 5897 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -1624 - - -4033 - - 127 - - -2936 - - -4270 ODpotential blCL 7138 - - 9188 - - 6045 - - 8091 - - 9425 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 1230 - - 870 - - 1560 - - 1520 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m 67.5 - - 70.6 - - 67.6 - - 67.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.1 - - 61.7 - - 64.6 - - 64.1 - - 61.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.1 - - 67.5 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.4 - - 60.4 - - 63.9 - - 63.6 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 59 - - 30 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 665 - - 306 - - 1323 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 99 - - 101 - - 88 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97789 28 260 29 279 26 260 22 279 26 259 97789 90445 15 265 20 249 26 250 24 275 24 289 90445 84804 8 267 11 217 18 219 17 266 18 304 84804 80116 6 265 5 192 9 199 11 217 5 279 80116 76086 4 293 5 144 7 161 6 206 8 163 76086 72565 3 103 8 137 8 165 8 187 2 164 72565 69392 7 137 7 130 3 142 11 153 6 092 69392 66484 11 139 4 157 1 162 4 134 9 118 66484 63811 8 129 9 145 10 154 6 207 6 125 63811 61248 7 206 8 198 10 172 10 200 5 271 61248 58598 16 214 19 212 16 222 14 213 14 234 58598 55865 22 214 25 209 25 216 25 222 26 218 55865 53257 30 225 31 222 31 215 33 220 32 217 53257 50897 36 222 32 219 35 214 39 216 38 217 50897 48764 39 216 31 213 36 213 39 215 41 216 48764 46811 39 204 36 218 38 216 40 213 42 216 46811 45003 34 203 40 214 40 214 41 209 44 215 45003 43313 32 217 38 214 40 221 42 217 45 220 43313 41725 35 227 38 226 43 225 45 225 48 225 41725 40231 36 220 41 230 44 222 46 224 49 222 40231 38826 37 218 42 222 44 211 47 216 50 216 38826 37477 38 221 41 213 43 206 47 205 50 210 37477 36118 37 222 42 213 42 207 47 212 49 211 36118 34722 37 219 42 211 38 204 47 209 48 209 34722 33295 41 211 42 203 34 208 48 201 50 200 33295 31825 41 204 43 204 39 203 46 207 51 199 31825 30306 40 212 43 206 42 204 44 215 47 204 30306 28741 35 216 41 209 44 204 43 217 43 212 28741 27126 32 209 41 209 44 206 41 213 40 216 27126 25467 33 206 42 209 42 209 40 208 38 224 25467 23769 32 204 42 209 42 214 39 204 37 221 23769 22024 29 204 40 209 43 221 39 208 36 212 22024 20227 27 206 40 208 43 227 38 221 35 216 20227 18418 26 211 38 206 42 234 35 236 33 232 18418 16689 25 213 36 206 39 242 32 243 30 247 16689 15123 25 215 34 212 33 245 28 244 26 257 15123 13728 25 216 32 219 27 238 23 238 22 259 13728 12476 25 217 30 225 24 226 20 231 17 250 12476 11348 27 220 28 230 22 218 18 225 15 236 11348 10331 28 224 26 233 21 213 17 221 14 222 10331 9414 26 223 24 233 20 209 16 219 14 211 9414 8592 20 216 22 232 19 205 15 218 14 202 8592 7855 14 212 19 231 16 198 14 216 14 196 7855 7184 8 222 15 231 13 194 13 213 14 192 7184 6584 7 244 8 231 12*198 12 208 14 184 6584 6078 7 246 3 224 12*198 10 203 15 166 6078 5686 7*244 2 222 11 199 8 199 18 151 5686 5415 5*246 2 220 10 200 7 198 13 150 5415 5250 5 246 2*220 10 200 6*198 9*150 5250 5155 4 245 2*220 8 200 4*200 3*153 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography