DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 90.6 - - 87.9 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 450 - - 77 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8768 - - 10642 - - 8863 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11568 - - 13049 - - 10275 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13617 - - 15491 - - 13712 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 1320 - - 3430 - - 3758 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 687 - - 706 - - 370 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 71 - - 36 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 088 - - 113 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 22 - - 31 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1280 - - 1301 - - 306 - - -5525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12338 - - 14191 - - 13407 - - 10682 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 200 - - 566 - - -779 - - -8514 ODpotential blCL - - - 13417 - - 14925 - - 14491 - - 13670 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 79 - - 90 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 150 - - 180 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 90.6 - - 87.9 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 45.7 - - 46.7 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 87.5 - - 86.9 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 45.7 - - 46.7 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 504 - - 450 - - 77 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8768 - - 10642 - - 8863 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 62 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98852 33 100 27 121 33 082 28 080 98852 91415 39 092 33 119 24 088 31 084 91415 85669 32 090 38 094 25 105 27 083 85669 80895 24 100 34 089 28 102 23 089 80895 76798 22 103 28 087 29 094 24 101 76798 73183 25 106 23 096 27 097 28 101 73183 69922 24 099 22 112 23 097 26 096 69922 66951 20 100 20 118 16 104 21 095 66951 64219 18 124 15 108 13 100 16 091 64219 61592 16 108 15 109 8 084 9 072 61592 58870 10 129 10 114 6 114 6 046 58870 56082 17 096 11 156 5 169 5 004 56082 53449 20 025 17 064 12 107 9 132 53449 51069 22 009 21 022 22 027 21 064 51069 48922 26 016 26 019 29 017 30 029 48922 46963 28 009 30 021 33 022 34 022 46963 45151 26 011 32 023 35 023 36 019 45151 43458 24 020 26 024 33 021 37 016 43458 41870 21 026 24 031 30 015 33 019 41870 40375 20 045 22 044 25 024 32 019 40375 38969 20 059 22 059 20 054 27 016 38969 37621 20 060 22 071 19 066 14 032 37621 36268 23 074 22 061 17 076 16 079 36268 34881 21 072 19 057 22 082 18 087 34881 33462 19 078 15 086 22 076 22 088 33462 31998 20 096 26 119 22 082 26 080 31998 30481 25 111 27 125 22 097 23 082 30481 28915 25 119 22 123 19 115 24 103 28915 27301 23 120 20 122 18 122 23 110 27301 25639 23 120 20 121 19 118 21 105 25639 23937 24 121 21 119 17 116 19 105 23937 22196 24 121 21 127 15 125 14 101 22196 20405 20 125 18 133 12 131 13 097 20405 18591 12 124 12 129 5 096 16 100 18591 16846 8 107 4*082 3 348 10 068 16846 15261 6 082 3*048 3 351 10 353 15261 13848 7*035 3 049 2*009 10 341 13848 12580 7*034 3 057 3*081 7 344 12580 11436 6 034 3 067 5 101 2 307 11436 10404 3 040 3 084 7 109 6 192 10404 9476 2 044 4 093 8 112 12 176 9476 8644 1 060 4 098 9 115 16 169 8644 7898 1 103 5 102 9 116 20 159 7898 7220 1 157 5 104 10 117 24 149 7220 6611 1 191 5 106 10 118 26 144 6611 6098 1 193 5 107 10 119 25 144 6098 5699 2 199 6 107 10 119 22 144 5699 5422 2 198 6 108 10 118 17 145 5422 5253 2 198 5 108 9 119 14*146 5253 5156 1 201 5 108 8 119 7*146 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography