DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.9 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 491 - - 162 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6719 - - 9348 - - 8858 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9902 - - 12033 - - 10967 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11568 - - 14197 - - 13707 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2391 - - 1654 - - 2026 - - 3897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 631 - - 697 - - 474 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 099 - - 099 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -8 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -577 - - 534 - - -1755 - - -5924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12146 - - 13664 - - 15462 - - 11081 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3006 - - -2081 - - -5472 - - -10548 ODpotential blCL - - - 14574 - - 16278 - - 19179 - - 15704 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 66 - - 60 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.9 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 48.4 - - 40.1 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 87.6 - - 88.8 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 48.2 - - 39.9 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 491 - - 162 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6719 - - 9348 - - 8858 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98974 45 098 37 107 39 095 48 094 98974 91492 48 094 42 110 35 096 41 090 91492 85740 39 102 45 097 42 100 39 092 85740 80962 32 094 44 094 44 100 39 099 80962 76850 31 084 36 092 37 093 43 091 76850 73243 33 103 32 099 31 085 42 079 73243 70011 42 107 33 106 28 090 31 081 70011 67056 39 100 30 107 25 109 23 095 67056 64320 31 091 28 102 27 110 24 104 64320 61690 24 080 28 087 27 097 25 104 61690 58999 20 081 30 074 27 087 24 108 58999 56248 22 096 24 081 23 081 24 092 56248 53627 22 113 23 118 21 101 22 083 53627 51265 30 119 27 126 24 119 20 108 51265 49145 33 111 21 125 21 120 18 120 49145 47206 23 108 13 140 15 131 13 108 47206 45405 20 136 15 145 15 151 9 132 45405 43716 23 140 17 136 10 154 6 129 43716 42126 17 127 14 120 12 137 8 105 42126 40627 14 114 15 122 15 123 14 111 40627 39216 16 127 19 127 17 120 17 125 39216 37859 20 134 19 128 16 119 16 124 37859 36492 19 129 17 131 13 122 16 118 36492 35088 18 120 17 136 13 128 18 116 35088 33651 19 117 21 139 14 131 17 114 33651 32173 19 118 23 139 16 125 17 113 32173 30641 19 124 22 134 18 123 17 116 30641 29062 21 131 20 129 18 124 18 120 29062 27434 22 133 20 127 19 123 19 118 27434 25760 21 129 21 127 20 123 18 120 25760 24046 20 130 17 126 17 120 17 126 24046 22288 14 138 12 129 13 114 15 120 22288 20480 6 113 8 116 10 105 14 112 20480 18654 4 093 8 093 10 096 14 102 18654 16903 3 120 7 097 9 084 15 097 16903 15310 4 096 4*098 5 071 12 085 15310 13889 6 082 4*101 5*086 7 056 13889 12616 7*090 5 102 6*092 7 053 12616 11468 8*096 5 102 7 095 8 072 11468 10433 8 097 6 101 8 098 9 090 10433 9501 8 097 7 100 8 099 11 105 9501 8665 8 098 7 099 9 101 13 115 8665 7915 8 098 8 099 10 101 15 120 7915 7233 8 097 8 098 10 101 17 123 7233 6621 8 096 9 097 10 102 18 125 6621 6103 8 096 9 096 10 101 18 126 6103 5702 9 095 9 095 10 102 17 126 5702 5423 8 094 9 096 10 102 14 125 5423 5253 8 094 8 096 10 101 10*123 5253 5156 8 094 8 095 9 101 6*118 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography