DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.6 - - 65.3 - - 68.0 - - 65.9 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 113 - - 374 - - 305 - - 31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1382 - - 2933 - - 3835 - - 2282 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5096 - - 6799 - - 7422 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6231 - - 7782 - - 8684 - - 7131 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1458 - - 2043 - - 1964 - - 2643 - - 1457 Hgt.Variab. W* 226 - - 432 - - 441 - - 173 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 17 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 071 - - 054 - - 065 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -10 - - -13 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1077 - - 922 - - 602 - - -23 - - -1273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 6860 - - 8082 - - 7154 - - 6427 sfcLCL ODpotential 124 - - 180 - - -439 - - -1752 - - -4481 ODpotential blCL 6107 - - 7602 - - 9123 - - 8883 - - 9635 blCL maxRH 97 - - 93 - - 100 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.6 - - 65.3 - - 68.0 - - 65.9 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.6 - - 52.8 - - 50.3 - - 52.2 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 62.8 - - 65.9 - - 65.5 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.5 - - 52.7 - - 50.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 113 - - 374 - - 305 - - 31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1382 - - 2933 - - 3835 - - 2282 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 74 - - 100 - - 86 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98069 6 175 11 225 8 245 6 303 2 119 98069 90686 10 128 14 163 11 183 9 204 4 341 90686 84995 8 116 15 131 18 153 14 178 2 202 84995 80272 8 069 11 102 12 144 10 136 9 120 80272 76226 8 028 11 073 15 112 8 109 11 129 76226 72662 3 048 11 062 13 079 9 061 13 085 72662 69462 3 133 11 049 15 040 12 073 15 060 69462 66569 6 142 7 073 9 034 14 051 14 073 66569 63916 14 123 8 080 7 119 8 019 13 048 63916 61368 17 082 8 086 8 111 2 078 6 020 61368 58734 15 024 5 070 2 080 1 222 2 237 58734 56013 17 337 11 345 9 348 6 333 6 300 56013 53417 18 307 16 321 17 327 17 328 17 325 53417 51074 19 301 19 309 21 315 25 318 28 311 51074 48951 17 294 19 298 20 307 26 310 29 302 48951 46998 16 297 16 286 20 299 24 310 27 303 46998 45185 19 306 16 293 19 297 23 306 25 301 45185 43491 21 306 18 299 18 293 21 300 24 298 43491 41902 22 305 17 295 17 290 21 296 23 299 41902 40404 24 308 15 303 15 291 23 293 22 297 40404 38993 23 313 17 314 15 297 21 290 21 291 38993 37635 19 327 18 311 16 299 18 293 21 287 37635 36267 18 338 14 309 14 291 18 290 19 281 36267 34858 13 331 11 309 11 288 17 289 18 285 34858 33413 11 286 13 282 12 290 15 292 15 299 33413 31927 15 274 19 264 18 287 15 296 14 305 31927 30396 13 295 15 262 17 272 16 285 14 296 30396 28823 10 322 8 286 11 265 13 270 12 289 28823 27206 7 356 6 309 6 300 5 285 3 317 27206 25545 13 054 2 349 3 336 2 050 3 067 25545 23842 13 055 5 073 3 026 5 068 5 058 23842 22086 10 053 7 060 5 033 4 047 6 028 22086 20274 8 040 9 054 9 049 9 065 6 049 20274 18441 6 358 6 021 5 056 7 075 9 082 18441 16683 6 311 7 298 3 297 0 117 4 076 16683 15090 6 282 8 269 7 270 4 288 3 326 15090 13677 5 273 6 249 4 224 3 191 3 247 13677 12418 3 212 4 298 4 178 7 174 6 188 12418 11290 5 152 1 325 4 163 4 191 3 169 11290 10274 6 121 5 087 4 069 4 044 8 069 10274 9364 11 101 9 075 7*055 12 049 18 059 9364 8553 17 086 13 072 9*053 16 054 21 059 8553 7825 22 073 16*071 12 053 17 058 21 062 7825 7164 24 067 17*071 13 054 16*061 21 067 7164 6571 22*066 18 071 13 055 15*063 20 072 6571 6071 20*064 18 072 13 055 15 064 19 075 6071 5682 17 062 18 072 13 055 14 065 17 077 5682 5413 16 062 17 072 13 056 14 066 14 075 5413 5249 15 061 16 072 12 055 12 066 10 072 5249 5154 12 061 14 072 11 055 10 066 6*067 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography