DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 78.8 - - 81.8 - - 78.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 330 - - 357 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4208 - - 10482 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 7741 - - 12789 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 9057 - - 15331 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 380 - - 5672 - - 3731 - - 11413 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* 76 - - 468 - - 651 - - 81 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 278 - - 260 - - 283 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -9 - - 11 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2086 - - -8346 - - -4007 - - -13617 - - -11365 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7240 - - 17404 - - 19339 - - 18773 - - 16521 sfcLCL ODpotential -7575 - - -10689 - - -5816 - - -15807 - - -15646 ODpotential blCL 12729 - - 19746 - - 21147 - - 20962 - - 20801 blCL maxRH 73 - - 93 - - 82 - - 76 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 370 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 78.8 - - 81.8 - - 78.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.6 - - 19.7 - - 13.4 - - 13.0 - - 12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 76.4 - - 79.3 - - 77.9 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 19.6 - - 13.3 - - 12.9 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 330 - - 357 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4208 - - 10482 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 73 - - 27 - - 4 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96505 21 268 39 258 37 268 35 278 27 276 96505 89289 14 271 25 263 24 254 21 269 24 264 89289 83744 26 273 11 267 17 231 19 255 22 272 83744 79177 19 291 8 264 12 258 10 252 17 268 79177 75295 8 326 4 285 6 270 8 315 11 279 75295 71903 9 021 6 342 5 311 13 347 9 344 71903 68853 9 002 8 351 9 326 10 003 8 014 68853 66053 11 048 14 026 14 356 10 313 7 317 66053 63458 2 334 10 056 11 049 3 046 5 318 63458 60935 15 322 9 342 5 348 12 331 6 332 60935 58280 34 321 23 319 17 321 18 331 19 328 58280 55501 46 316 30 314 27 309 25 311 21 317 55501 52818 49 303 36 303 34 304 31 300 25 303 52818 50367 49 290 44 296 41 295 34 298 31 289 50367 48138 49 279 48 285 45 285 38 279 39 282 48138 46092 49 270 50 273 48 274 42 271 43 280 46092 44201 49 267 51 265 50 269 45 269 46 276 44201 42442 47 262 50 260 50 264 46 267 47 270 42442 40803 48 256 47 258 48 261 46 266 48 265 40803 39280 49 251 45 256 46 259 45 263 47 263 39280 37877 49 248 46 253 45 255 42 261 44 265 37877 36563 45 250 46 246 44 247 40 262 42 267 36563 35265 39 252 44 243 41 245 39 254 41 266 35265 33939 32 249 43 234 38 248 37 240 41 264 33939 32583 29 243 42 227 39 244 35 243 38 261 32583 31182 31 234 39 229 40 231 34 249 36 258 31182 29727 31 229 39 231 38 228 35 245 34 258 29727 28220 30 220 38 228 38 228 35 239 34 254 28220 26665 31 215 36 228 37 228 35 234 36 244 26665 25068 31 218 33 229 34 228 34 229 39 236 25068 23432 31 226 30 226 31 226 32 228 37 236 23432 21753 28 230 28 221 28 226 31 231 30 241 21753 20024 25 234 26 221 26 232 32 233 25 246 20024 18274 26 245 26 231 25 245 29 231 21 243 18274 16589 27 256 28 244 23*253 25 228 19 239 16589 15050 25 264 27 248 20*254 22 228 18 239 15050 13671 23 266 25 248 17 254 16 233 15 239 13671 12431 20 261 21 247 15 255 13 241 12 234 12431 11313 18 249 18 246 12 258 12 247 10 223 11313 10303 12 244 16 250 11 260 11 262 10 213 10303 9394 6 267 12*257 11 262 11 271 10 211 9394 8579 7 308 10*271 11 264 11 273 9 218 8579 7846 10 315 9 280 10 265 11 277 7 238 7846 7180 12 309 9 281 10 266 11 279 6 284 7180 6583 15 299 9 281 10 266 11 281 8 315 6583 6079 14 276 9 279 10 267 11 282 9 325 6079 5687 12 236 9 278 10 267 11 283 9 329 5687 5416 11 225 8 277 9 268 11 283 8 330 5416 5250 8 232 8 276 9 267 10*283 6*331 5250 5155 5*236 7 276 8 267 8*283 4*334 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography