DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 93.9 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 525 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8229 - - 9275 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11149 - - 12008 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13078 - - 14124 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1297 - - 1436 - - - - - 2499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 684 - - 712 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 098 - - - - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -414 - - 209 - - - - - -3692 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13492 - - 13915 - - - - - 8848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3995 - - -3400 - - - - - -8568 ODpotential blCL - - - 17073 - - 17524 - - - - - 13724 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 57 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 460 - - - - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 93.9 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 50.1 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.9 - - 90.4 - - - - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 49.9 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 525 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8229 - - 9275 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99050 50 108 44 121 36 084 99050 91488 51 098 45 104 49 098 91488 85676 40 085 51 100 54 098 85676 80932 22 093 39 095 43 093 80932 76885 24 115 27 088 34 095 76885 73293 41 113 22 087 30 101 73293 70042 43 105 27 108 25 099 70042 67087 30 095 35 115 24 087 67087 64361 19 083 37 112 23 084 64361 61722 15 066 26 108 22 102 61722 59012 17 063 19 087 21 110 59012 56254 17 097 16 076 20 100 56254 53638 35 128 14 112 19 085 53638 51275 50 125 34 132 13 125 51275 49141 45 117 45 129 29 142 49141 47188 41 118 47 124 38 138 47188 45378 39 118 45 119 42 134 45378 43687 37 120 41 121 42 134 43687 42095 35 120 40 125 40 134 42095 40595 33 121 35 125 36 134 40595 39181 31 123 31 125 35 136 39181 37823 28 126 33 127 35 130 37823 36459 25 130 35 128 38 126 36459 35060 22 135 32 130 37 123 35060 33632 17 132 23 130 30 115 33632 32160 15 119 16 129 28 110 32160 30634 15 116 14 121 25 115 30634 29057 18 119 14 115 19 110 29057 27433 19 118 12 107 14 079 27433 25766 16 121 10 096 15 059 25766 24056 12 127 8 067 16 060 24056 22297 8 139 7 020 14 065 22297 20488 7 120 7 019 12 071 20488 18664 9 091 6 046 12 071 18664 16917 13 084 6 076 15 066 16917 15326 14 084 3*067 16 043 15326 13900 8*080 1*069 13 008 13900 12619 5*081 1 090 11 338 12619 11464 5 084 2 097 9 340 11464 10425 5 086 4 100 6 009 10425 9490 6 086 6 100 6 062 9490 8654 6 089 7 099 7 096 8654 7904 7 089 9 099 10 123 7904 7224 7 090 9 098 17 133 7224 6614 8 090 10 098 25 131 6614 6100 8 090 11 097 24 131 6100 5700 8 090 11 097 22 130 5700 5423 8 090 11 097 19 130 5423 5253 8 090 10 096 17*129 5253 5156 7 090 10 096 11*128 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography