DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.9 - - 49.0 - - 56.3 - - 53.2 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 313 - - 281 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1481 - - 2251 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5670 - - 6200 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6330 - - 7100 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 449 - - 1308 - - 2689 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 324 - - 359 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 032 - - 031 - - 090 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -5 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6163 - - -6551 - - -8352 - - -10115 - - -5796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11317 - - 12882 - - 15453 - - 15270 - - 10950 sfcLCL ODpotential -17115 - - -15037 - - -16016 - - -18588 - - -16771 ODpotential blCL 22268 - - 21367 - - 23116 - - 23742 - - 21924 blCL maxRH 48 - - 32 - - 35 - - 59 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.9 - - 49.0 - - 56.3 - - 53.2 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.4 - - 11.3 - - 7.0 - - 5.0 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 46.9 - - 54.3 - - 54.3 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.4 - - 11.3 - - 6.8 - - 4.8 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 313 - - 281 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1481 - - 2251 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96004 16 266 19 270 20 239 34 238 29 252 96004 88869 7 265 16 238 14 250 19 254 24 270 88869 83417 15 256 15 270 18 263 20 277 24 267 83417 78911 20 232 20 273 25 267 21 273 17 271 78911 75010 21 246 28 258 33 286 24 284 19 285 75010 71544 17 272 31 257 33 275 31 280 31 286 71544 68427 15 287 23 267 21 266 25 263 31 272 68427 65579 34 309 30 308 21 304 17 279 21 290 65579 62939 41 287 37 295 33 299 29 299 31 302 62939 60392 36 272 39 279 39 286 37 292 39 302 60392 57740 28 288 36 284 36 288 38 286 42 299 57740 54975 41 304 40 295 37 295 39 285 45 293 54975 52317 51 296 42 292 44 294 46 285 48 286 52317 49904 52 284 47 290 51 288 49 285 48 286 49904 47720 47 287 53 291 56 287 50 288 49 288 47720 45717 55 298 57 292 55 286 53 289 51 283 45717 43861 63 297 58 295 51 288 57 285 52 286 43861 42136 66 295 58 294 47 291 57 285 57 305 42136 40536 62 294 54 288 48 301 49 294 67 305 40536 39063 54 291 48 286 50 304 52 311 63 309 39063 37714 48 278 43 298 49 307 60 314 59 311 37714 36433 45 267 44 309 48 311 54 310 58 311 36433 35143 35 282 44 315 49 313 49 304 55 310 35143 33815 34 309 42 318 50 313 45 302 49 304 33815 32455 38 321 38 316 50 317 43 304 43 300 32455 31052 38 324 34 310 42 320 43 306 34 295 31052 29595 36 318 31 305 32 311 41 304 33 290 29595 28088 36 306 31 300 31 300 37 301 38 295 28088 26533 38 301 35 298 33 301 37 302 41 299 26533 24931 38 303 37 302 32 303 36 299 38 297 24931 23287 39 304 35 307 32 304 32 296 32 290 23287 21594 40 309 30 311 29 303 28 298 27 284 21594 19849 37 314 23 316 22 301 22 298 22 276 19849 18085 29 311 17 317 15 300 15 300 18 262 18085 16392 25 305 14 313 12 297 11 297 14 255 16392 14851 21 296 14 308 12 306 9 296 10 256 14851 13474 20 284 14 305 12 311 8 306 8 268 13474 12241 20 282 14 304 12 310 8 315 7 289 12241 11133 18 291 13 309 10 311 8 309 8 301 11133 10138 13 312 11 321 7 316 7 284 10 297 10138 9245 12 357 7 336 5 320 8 256 12 281 9245 8449 16 017 7 354 5 337 8 249 12 249 8449 7740 19 022 9 013 7*007 6 236 13 225 7740 7097 21 021 14 020 8*023 3 202 11 228 7097 6522 23 014 14*026 9 029 3 122 9 231 6522 6036 23 006 14*029 9 032 5 099 7 209 6036 5660 21 355 14 031 9 034 6 093 5 169 5660 5401 16 346 13 033 9 035 7 090 5 123 5401 5243 11*341 12 033 9 036 6*091 4*106 5243 5153 5*335 11 034 8 037 5*090 3*113 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography