DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 73.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 388 - - 42 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5261 - - 6897 - - 3943 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8630 - - 9934 - - 5860 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10110 - - 11746 - - 8792 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1821 - - 1686 - - 4765 - - 3959 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 533 - - 583 - - 232 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 307 - - 283 - - 013 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -4 - - 53 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -655 - - -567 - - -2410 - - -3903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10765 - - 12313 - - 11203 - - 9058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6874 - - -4907 - - -3787 - - -7741 ODpotential blCL - - - 16984 - - 16653 - - 12579 - - 12896 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 66 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 73.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 40.8 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 74.7 - - 72.7 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 40.6 - - 41.8 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 388 - - 42 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5261 - - 6897 - - 3943 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98041 8 252 13 236 14 272 9 325 98041 90681 5 082 9 170 5 210 5 324 90681 85029 11 122 8 091 6 127 3 110 85029 80345 12 136 10 050 9 061 16 078 80345 76324 13 133 7 044 9 063 21 059 76324 72790 11 089 8 100 9 080 14 057 72790 69606 12 074 7 090 7 082 6 054 69606 66700 7 098 8 050 11 063 12 047 66700 64025 6 142 5 149 4 029 7 039 64025 61442 4 142 9 141 5 176 8 132 61442 58752 6 217 13 233 16 260 6 307 58752 55990 12 268 16 250 20 252 24 270 55990 53378 23 262 24 250 26 258 31 255 53378 51012 31 279 24 257 23 261 25 247 51012 48859 44 285 31 275 26 280 24 265 48859 46877 53 281 41 278 35 281 31 279 46877 45039 58 276 46 274 42 277 38 279 45039 43323 60 274 48 269 45 269 41 275 43323 41712 62 271 52 264 47 262 42 269 41712 40194 64 266 55 259 46 256 41 264 40194 38767 65 260 55 255 42 252 39 260 38767 37397 64 256 51 252 41 248 36 254 37397 36024 57 253 46 251 42 245 35 250 36024 34618 48 251 39 252 40 242 34 248 34618 33188 41 249 33 260 33 243 29 249 33188 31720 34 247 27 265 28 248 24 254 31720 30203 23 234 22 272 23 245 24 257 30203 28638 13 205 18 264 19 250 22 255 28638 27025 14 216 19 254 17 247 19 255 27025 25366 17 225 21 255 17 241 18 245 25366 23665 17 233 23 251 19 243 18 232 23665 21913 17 240 25 242 20 247 17 238 21913 20111 13 242 26 236 22 252 15 253 20111 18299 12 240 24 238 23 252 15 258 18299 16572 14 238 20 241 22 244 17 247 16572 15010 18 242 17 242 20 238 19 243 15010 13620 20 252 13 247 10 242 16 229 13620 12378 20 259 8*272 5 273 10 217 12378 11262 18 266 7*284 6 295 3 265 11262 10258 13*282 8 286 6 327 9 006 10258 9356 9*296 8 286 8*346 16 016 9356 8548 8 303 8 286 10*001 20 021 8548 7822 7 307 9 284 11 009 22 025 7822 7163 7 309 9 283 12 012 23 026 7163 6571 6 310 10 282 12 015 23 027 6571 6071 6 313 10 281 12 016 21 029 6071 5683 5 314 10 281 12 017 18 031 5683 5413 5 315 9 280 12 018 14 033 5413 5249 5 315 9 279 12 018 11*034 5249 5155 4 315 9 279 10 019 6*036 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography