DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 29.1 - - 30.9 - - 27.3 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 2 - - 41 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 695 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6582 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 8195 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2475 - - 2803 - - 1293 - - 1547 - - 673 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 16 - - 132 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 223 - - 224 - - 228 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 17 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -23 - - -32 - - -35 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1023 - - -1022 - - 1459 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7624 - - 7623 - - 6736 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -6539 - - -5585 - - -2101 - - -4568 - - -4268 ODpotential blCL 13139 - - 12185 - - 10296 - - 11168 - - 10868 blCL maxRH 89 - - 97 - - 97 - - 87 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 29.1 - - 30.9 - - 27.3 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 19.2 - - 24.7 - - 24.1 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 32.1 - - 33.4 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 18.2 - - 24.2 - - 24.1 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 2 - - 41 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 695 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 90 - - 86 - - 49 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 14 086 8 075 10 059 18 058 13 043 96342 89168 17 043 18 061 8 057 16 018 19 032 89168 83612 21 020 16 058 6 047 17 004 25 039 83612 78974 11 026 18 043 14 072 16 008 24 019 78974 74949 14 042 15 015 16 001 17 350 21 018 74949 71364 11 015 9 334 17 354 17 349 17 357 71364 68127 23 330 29 324 25 349 32 006 26 355 68127 65172 36 307 38 315 35 332 35 339 26 328 65172 62440 30 317 33 311 36 298 42 302 19 310 62440 59785 22 312 23 309 34 304 39 291 31 312 59785 56998 24 322 32 326 43 309 43 305 49 307 56998 54104 49 315 53 314 53 310 55 312 52 303 54104 51352 61 306 66 306 60 309 64 310 54 301 51352 48884 72 307 70 301 65 305 67 307 58 305 48884 46674 76 304 71 298 70 301 68 305 64 307 46674 44669 75 300 80 302 73 302 68 304 68 306 44669 42836 78 302 93 302 78 303 69 303 67 306 42836 41149 90 304 98 298 82 301 72 304 62 305 41149 39588 104 307 96 296 86 301 79 305 56 306 39588 38135 113 308 98 299 92 301 85 301 55 309 38135 36782 116 308 106 302 97 301 88 297 59 309 36782 35498 116 308 110 302 97 300 86 295 65 306 35498 34222 117 310 106 303 95 301 85 296 69 301 34222 32931 112 312 98 306 92 304 86 298 73 297 32931 31628 103 314 94 309 92 307 85 299 76 295 31628 30299 94 315 90 311 92 307 82 300 78 293 30299 28933 84 312 84 312 86 307 78 300 75 292 28933 27529 75 306 79 315 78 306 74 300 69 292 27529 26090 71 305 72 316 70 305 70 300 64 294 26090 24619 72 309 65 312 63 303 67 301 58 298 24619 23118 71 310 63 305 59 300 64 302 53 303 23118 21584 69 311 60 301 57 300 60 302 49 306 21584 20013 63 310 56 303 53 302 55 302 46 306 20013 18432 50 304 50 307 47 305 53 304 43 306 18432 16918 36 293 44 307 42 307 50 305 42 305 16918 15539 31 290 40 306 40 309 48 307 42 303 15539 14305 29 290 36 304 37 311 45 308 41 304 14305 13195 28 291 32 300 35 311 42 307 40 308 13195 12193 26 293 27 297 33 308 38 305 40 311 12193 11287 25 296 23 293 28 303 34 301 39 312 11287 10467 23 299 19 290 22 297 31 296 38 311 10467 9729 22 302 15 284 17 286 27 290 37 307 9729 9064 20 305 12 273 14 268 24 282 34 301 9064 8457 17 306 11 257 15*248 21 267 30 293 8457 7910 14 306 12 242 16*232 22 250 25 281 7910 7448 11 303 14 235 16 224 22 238 22 266 7448 7088 9 291 13 228 15 222 21 232 20 250 7088 6839 8 276 11 222 14 220 17 229 17 238 6839 6686 6*263 8*220 12 220 12*224 13*233 6686 6599 4*237 5*218 7 220 5*210 4*194 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography