DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.5 - - 35.8 - - 38.5 - - 35.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 80 - - 97 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 472 - - 1885 - - 2947 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 8000 - - 8948 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 7972 - - 9385 - - 10447 - - 9145 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2065 - - 1657 - - 866 - - 1104 - - 2170 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 233 - - 290 - - 60 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 230 - - 227 - - 228 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -29 - - -27 - - -33 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 506 - - 2580 - - 2972 - - 2546 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7466 - - 6806 - - 7475 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -6381 - - -1830 - - 665 - - -2870 - - -4625 ODpotential blCL 14353 - - 11215 - - 9782 - - 12015 - - 11225 blCL maxRH 58 - - 79 - - 80 - - 79 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.5 - - 35.8 - - 38.5 - - 35.4 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 29.0 - - 28.9 - - 30.5 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 37.8 - - 40.5 - - 39.1 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.0 - - 27.8 - - 27.7 - - 29.6 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 80 - - 97 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 472 - - 1885 - - 2947 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 22 - - 17 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96280 20 267 32 270 34 273 30 271 36 281 96280 89257 16 285 19 276 28 271 25 295 25 287 89257 83836 16 280 10 252 17 265 16 296 15 288 83836 79279 10 280 6 265 7 249 12 286 15 287 79279 75325 9 276 7 259 11 261 14 274 9 270 75325 71799 19 269 7 271 6 256 7 237 12 262 71799 68573 22 257 15 259 13 262 18 264 20 258 68573 65593 20 236 25 241 28 248 29 270 20 281 65593 62814 21 254 25 234 28 243 35 264 28 272 62814 60106 28 256 18 243 27 243 35 252 35 253 60106 57271 28 263 26 260 29 251 32 253 36 248 57271 54325 38 260 37 258 34 255 33 261 34 252 54325 51520 42 255 38 257 37 252 41 257 36 260 51520 49003 43 255 39 259 39 251 43 253 40 260 49003 46762 40 263 42 259 42 255 42 254 42 257 46762 44743 41 270 43 259 46 259 41 258 43 256 44743 42907 47 277 44 265 49 260 44 267 45 257 42907 41225 52 277 50 266 50 261 50 269 48 264 41225 39678 55 273 54 262 52 265 53 265 55 266 39678 38245 55 272 57 257 56 264 53 261 60 262 38245 36909 56 275 58 256 60 259 51 260 59 260 36909 35636 59 279 57 256 62 254 54 261 57 263 35636 34366 61 281 55 257 61 252 60 258 56 266 34366 33076 61 281 53 259 59 252 62 254 56 265 33076 31769 60 282 52 263 57 253 62 253 57 262 31769 30432 60 284 52 264 54 256 61 254 56 261 30432 29054 59 286 50 263 53 259 61 256 54 261 29054 27638 55 283 48 265 53 259 58 259 51 262 27638 26186 53 277 47 266 52 258 53 261 49 265 26186 24699 55 275 46 267 50 260 47 263 47 267 24699 23183 52 275 45 269 45 261 42 263 45 269 23183 21636 45 271 42 269 41 261 39 262 42 270 21636 20052 42 264 40 263 39 261 38 264 38 270 20052 18457 39 261 40 260 37 261 36 265 34 270 18457 16932 36 260 36 259 34 261 33 265 32 270 16932 15546 31 262 32 257 31 259 29 262 30 269 15546 14309 27 266 28 256 28 255 26 259 28 264 14309 13198 22 269 24 254 26 252 24 258 26 259 13198 12195 18 269 21 250 24 248 22 256 24 255 12195 11288 13 263 18 244 22 246 20 254 22 251 11288 10469 10 251 17 239 19*241 18 252 20 247 10469 9732 9 237 17*235 17*236 17*248 18 242 9732 9068 10 228 17*235 16 232 15*242 16 238 9068 8461 11*227 16 233 16 228 15 235 15 234 8461 7915 12*229 15 230 15 225 15 229 14 233 7915 7452 13 229 14 227 15 223 14 223 13 233 7452 7091 11 227 13 225 14 222 13 219 12 232 7091 6841 9 223 11 224 13 221 11 217 10 230 6841 6688 6 216 10 224 12 220 9 214 7*225 6688 6599 4 212 7 222 8 219 5 212 3*229 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography