DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.2 - - 25.8 - - 29.6 - - 25.9 - - 21.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 20 - - 54 - - -11 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 431 - - 553 - - 815 - - 527 - - 437 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 29 - - 41 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 171 - - 162 - - 166 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -8 - - -5 - - -6 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1094 - - -1730 - - -1570 - - -742 - - -818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7694 - - 8331 - - 8170 - - 7342 - - 7418 sfcLCL ODpotential -14271 - - -13400 - - -12981 - - -13519 - - -14795 ODpotential blCL 20871 - - 20000 - - 19581 - - 20119 - - 21395 blCL maxRH 74 - - 61 - - 60 - - 55 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.2 - - 25.8 - - 29.6 - - 25.9 - - 21.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.7 - - 13.2 - - 17.6 - - 17.5 - - 12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 28.4 - - 31.7 - - 31.0 - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.6 - - 12.8 - - 16.8 - - 16.3 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 20 - - 54 - - -11 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95918 77 014 81 005 76 354 72 355 63 354 95918 88909 84 011 82 011 69 354 75 356 69 003 88909 83467 82 010 76 012 70 002 69 356 72 006 83467 78925 72 358 67 004 69 005 64 001 66 010 78925 75001 65 349 63 001 66 005 62 004 59 012 75001 71536 60 348 60 357 63 004 56 002 47 007 71536 68404 55 355 50 352 56 003 49 000 37 001 68404 65515 50 346 42 343 49 355 44 001 33 350 65515 62816 43 339 40 339 50 343 44 352 31 344 62816 60182 46 346 36 344 42 344 33 349 33 344 60182 57421 43 337 40 333 40 333 30 343 34 333 57421 54552 41 330 36 324 39 319 36 328 37 331 54552 51831 39 321 39 320 40 311 39 311 42 323 51831 49411 39 317 42 315 38 311 39 298 41 313 49411 47265 43 315 40 308 38 306 35 294 40 297 47265 45337 48 307 36 313 36 302 31 297 40 281 45337 43583 43 306 33 330 29 299 33 294 36 271 43583 41967 34 306 34 333 26 323 28 286 29 272 41967 40461 28 305 33 321 31 340 24 302 17 292 40461 39049 28 310 33 314 30 334 28 325 14 321 39049 37723 30 315 31 321 26 330 30 330 15 329 37723 36453 33 319 27 328 24 334 27 328 15 328 36453 35180 34 323 28 350 22 345 24 331 15 328 35180 33876 35 324 32 353 20 352 23 340 14 323 33876 32545 34 324 33 348 20 351 20 346 11 315 32545 31176 36 318 32 342 22 354 15 354 9 314 31176 29762 38 312 31 333 25 004 12 002 10 320 29762 28306 38 312 30 333 26 011 11 003 9 317 28306 26811 39 316 29 341 22 011 12 360 9 303 26811 25279 38 317 28 343 16 347 13 359 9 303 25279 23712 35 314 26 337 16 320 13 353 10 322 23712 22107 33 311 27 332 16 306 13 328 9 336 22107 20460 31 314 26 327 20 301 18 315 10 332 20460 18802 29 318 24 325 22 307 21 312 15 332 18802 17218 28 322 21 322 21 310 21 310 21 341 17218 15780 26 324 18 317 19 311 20 308 22 342 15780 14495 24 324 16 310 17 312 19 309 20 335 14495 13343 21 321 14 309 16 311 17 310 19 326 13343 12303 17 317 13 307 16 309 16 315 19 325 12303 11365 14 310 12 305 14 306 15 319 19 327 11365 10519 11 303 10 305 12 302 13 322 17 327 10519 9762 8 295 9 303 9 295 11 322 14 324 9762 9081 6 286 7 299 7 287 8 318 9 315 9081 8463 5 266 5 286 5 267 4 305 5 288 8463 7910 5 243 3 260 4 232 2 225 5 227 7910 7444 5 213 3 211 4 197 4 173 6 196 7444 7085 5 194 4 182 5 167 6 156 8 178 7085 6837 5 176 4 171 5 162 6 156 8 169 6837 6685 5*176 4*172 5*160 5*163 7*174 6685 6599 3*197 3*170 4*155 4*169 4*188 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography