DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.4 - - 22.0 - - 19.0 - - 15.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 143 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4280 - - 4913 - - 3746 - - 3657 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9865 - - 10567 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11780 - - 12413 - - 11246 - - 11157 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1326 - - 1239 - - 1517 - - 1643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 382 - - 62 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 23 - - 26 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 306 - - 314 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 27 - - 22 - - 29 - - 29 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -37 - - -29 - - -24 - - -43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3259 - - 2917 - - 2261 - - 3424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8521 - - 9496 - - 8985 - - 7733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 376 - - 153 - - -495 - - 948 ODpotential blCL - - - 11404 - - 12260 - - 11741 - - 10209 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 72 - - 71 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.4 - - 22.0 - - 19.0 - - 15.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.5 - - 3.8 - - 3.2 - - 5.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 23.7 - - 21.9 - - 19.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 2.7 - - 2.5 - - 4.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 143 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4280 - - 4913 - - 3746 - - 3657 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 29 012 37 051 45 038 35 051 96229 89181 16 034 25 030 25 005 25 027 89181 83695 17 035 9 025 14 005 22 005 83695 79126 15 349 3 328 11 058 9 010 79126 75139 13 264 12 304 5 313 5 059 75139 71569 10 260 14 271 16 281 8 356 71569 68314 12 250 25 270 23 286 13 302 68314 65304 14 229 26 253 20 276 17 258 65304 62500 8 242 16 253 21 272 14 249 62500 59762 18 276 25 261 26 259 14 265 59762 56893 32 262 31 262 29 273 30 265 56893 53921 35 260 37 262 36 275 38 279 53921 51101 35 262 38 260 31 278 35 285 51101 48580 33 261 28 265 22 280 23 275 48580 46308 32 264 30 279 18 278 19 282 46308 44238 35 277 34 274 20 272 35 317 44238 42355 42 276 37 283 26 295 47 322 42355 40630 44 268 47 289 44 314 48 315 40630 39031 46 271 48 288 56 312 42 317 39031 37541 56 278 50 288 55 313 40 325 37541 36152 63 273 55 291 54 322 44 335 36152 34837 60 265 61 293 56 328 57 347 34837 33539 50 267 61 293 58 331 77 358 33539 32237 57 278 58 292 60 335 103 005 32237 30929 62 276 55 294 61 338 124 008 30929 29594 63 276 53 300 64 340 132 007 29594 28216 61 278 54 306 67 343 131 007 28216 26799 61 279 57 311 72 344 122 007 26799 25353 60 280 61 315 73 341 112 004 25353 23883 59 280 64 318 71 334 110 001 23883 22395 58 281 65 319 67 329 110 360 22395 20886 57 282 63 319 65 327 100 359 20886 19354 56 282 60 318 61 326 85 354 19354 17825 55 282 57 314 57 325 72 346 17825 16374 52 283 54 311 53 323 60 341 16374 15062 49 287 51 308 50 320 51 338 15062 13894 44 293 45 305 46 318 46 336 13894 12848 40 301 38*303 42 316 41 334 12848 11905 38*310 32*304 38*315 37*332 11905 11051 37*312 29 305 36*315 33*329 11051 10280 36 313 28 305 34 315 31 327 10280 9584 34 313 26 306 32 315 29 326 9584 8954 32 313 23 306 29 314 26 325 8954 8377 29 312 21 307 25 314 24 322 8377 7857 26 312 19 307 22 313 21 318 7857 7415 23 311 18 306 18 312 18 311 7415 7070 20 310 17 306 15 310 16 305 7070 6830 18 310 16 306 13 308 13 300 6830 6683 16 309 14 306 11 306 9 297 6683 6598 11 309 10 306 7 304 4 294 6598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography