DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 44.1 - - 39.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 205 - - 2047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7705 - - 9547 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 898 - - 2483 - - 5667 - - 4910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 59 - - 101 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 17 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 236 - - 180 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 21 - - 10 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -55 - - -7 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1004 - - 1291 - - -681 - - -258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6702 - - 8256 - - 7282 - - 6859 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3852 - - -3815 - - -4885 - - -4255 ODpotential blCL - - - 11557 - - 13362 - - 11486 - - 10856 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 77 - - 73 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 44.1 - - 39.1 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 30.9 - - 30.2 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 47.1 - - 45.9 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 29.6 - - 29.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 205 - - 2047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 8 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95747 33 298 31 325 34 316 25 323 95747 88709 31 310 31 314 36 316 28 328 88709 83253 24 304 32 293 38 302 34 308 83253 78737 19 305 22 287 28 307 29 310 78737 74824 29 290 19 289 21 298 28 303 74824 71342 34 274 29 282 26 287 32 286 71342 68191 36 278 33 281 27 296 32 290 68191 65294 42 271 43 271 40 281 30 283 65294 62584 51 254 58 253 52 249 40 251 62584 59931 54 251 59 242 49 240 45 242 59931 57165 56 251 58 250 60 261 52 254 57165 54311 64 252 71 252 81 250 66 254 54311 51579 86 249 84 243 82 239 78 247 51579 49100 95 242 83 241 71 242 85 240 49100 46868 84 242 76 248 78 252 87 244 46868 44851 80 253 83 256 94 255 102 250 44851 43019 103 257 101 256 108 253 116 248 43019 41347 129 252 127 250 122 249 125 242 41347 39813 143 247 145 245 144 244 128 238 39813 38390 140 247 144 245 142 240 123 234 38390 37061 132 248 127 242 122 238 119 232 37061 35788 117 244 119 235 114 234 117 231 35788 34512 105 236 125 233 111 232 112 232 34512 33205 101 234 119 231 107 231 101 233 33205 31877 90 236 110 231 94 235 88 234 31877 30518 83 241 99 233 87 241 82 240 30518 29122 80 245 79 235 79 244 71 244 29122 27693 79 245 71 238 73 243 60 244 27693 26229 79 244 72 239 66 241 54 241 26229 24736 79 242 74 240 58 241 51 238 24736 23217 79 241 75 239 54 242 49 234 23217 21668 76 241 74 237 51 242 46 233 21668 20082 69 241 71 234 51 243 43 234 20082 18485 61 240 67 231 53 243 40 236 18485 16959 53 240 63 231 52 240 38 239 16959 15574 47 238 60 233 48 235 36 243 15574 14339 44 233 56 232 43 231 36 245 14339 13231 41 228 54 233 39 229 35 240 13231 12231 38 222 50 234 36 226 32 231 12231 11328 36 216 43 233 33 219 29 223 11328 10509 34 214 36 230 30 212 22 216 10509 9771 31 213 30*228 27 211 23 209 9771 9102 28 212 26*230 24 212 23 202 9102 8490 25 204 22 233 20 213 23 196 8490 7937 20*191 20 235 17 211 23 191 7937 7466 15*180 16 237 13 206 21 187 7466 7100 10 164 12 241 10 195 17 181 7100 6845 6 141 9 244 7 180 11 168 6845 6689 4 120 7 248 4*164 6*141 6689 6600 3 088 5 253 2*102 3*073 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography