DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 42.4 - - 45.0 - - 36.8 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 19 - - 89 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 525 - - 16 - - 0 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 8025 - - 6601 - - 7500 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1236 - - 1508 - - 615 - - 906 - - 656 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 29 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 204 - - 193 - - 171 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 22 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -8 - - -9 - - -4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5239 - - -6530 - - -3825 - - -2580 - - -2104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13265 - - 13131 - - 11325 - - 9182 - - 8705 sfcLCL ODpotential -13757 - - -14612 - - -10957 - - -11279 - - -11649 ODpotential blCL 21782 - - 21213 - - 18457 - - 17880 - - 18250 blCL maxRH 91 - - 74 - - 57 - - 67 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 42.4 - - 45.0 - - 36.8 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.6 - - 8.8 - - 19.0 - - 20.3 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 45.6 - - 47.0 - - 43.5 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.9 - - 8.1 - - 18.5 - - 19.9 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 19 - - 89 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 525 - - 16 - - 0 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95782 52 025 45 006 53 005 57 016 57 028 95782 88982 33 026 45 019 34 016 36 008 41 004 88982 83674 30 039 31 028 30 030 23 030 32 015 83674 79186 37 025 27 024 35 020 30 023 38 024 79186 75286 41 012 35 016 31 009 40 011 33 024 75286 71823 31 010 24 020 18 020 29 010 28 023 71823 68659 14 085 9 042 16 020 21 020 22 015 68659 65726 23 005 30 010 23 012 22 008 24 014 65726 62990 45 346 43 345 36 353 29 352 30 357 62990 60349 38 347 35 328 39 338 36 339 37 333 60349 57620 33 331 33 337 35 332 35 326 34 321 57620 54795 44 327 37 338 35 336 29 329 30 329 54795 52084 50 324 45 335 40 339 38 343 35 338 52084 49627 54 318 51 325 49 330 50 328 41 331 49627 47417 55 317 48 320 50 319 52 318 46 321 47417 45410 57 319 44 318 46 312 48 313 46 317 45410 43575 57 319 42 312 40 306 42 309 41 320 43575 41887 54 319 37 309 33 299 37 305 37 313 41887 40323 50 324 32 307 25 293 33 298 33 292 40323 38869 43 329 29 310 21 298 36 288 35 284 38869 37516 36 331 30 312 27 297 37 273 38 279 37516 36229 42 327 32 309 30 287 36 257 37 261 36229 34944 46 318 34 307 28 287 35 248 36 248 34944 33635 46 309 37 307 24 285 35 247 37 248 33635 32309 44 307 37 308 25 277 35 249 42 250 32309 30958 43 310 34 310 28 273 34 253 41 250 30958 29566 42 315 34 316 32 278 34 266 38 254 29566 28134 45 321 38 318 34 286 33 278 36 263 28134 26665 47 325 42 318 36 297 31 290 34 270 26665 25158 47 326 42 320 38 307 32 298 34 282 25158 23619 47 325 41 321 38 312 32 301 35 291 23619 22042 45 324 38 319 36 315 31 304 34 295 22042 20422 44 321 37 316 35 318 30 310 32 298 20422 18787 42 320 35 314 33 319 30 316 31 302 18787 17221 40 320 33 313 30 318 29 319 29 306 17221 15796 39 321 31 314 28 316 26 318 27 308 15796 14522 37 323 29 315 26 315 23 316 24 308 14522 13377 35 325 27 316 24 314 21 314 22 307 13377 12343 33 326 25 317 22 314 18 313 19 304 12343 11408 32 328 23 319 20 313 16 311 16 302 11408 10564 30 329 20 321 18 311 13 308 13 299 10564 9805 28 331 17 323 16 307 11 300 10 293 9805 9122 27 332 14 324 13 298 9 286 7 280 9122 8498 24*333 10 317 11 279 9 257 7 256 8498 7938 21*333 6 285 10*253 9 233 7 233 7938 7464 16 334 7 238 8*223 10 213 7 211 7464 7097 11 337 7 217 7 187 9 193 7 194 7097 6844 7 336 6 210 7 184 7 177 7 186 6844 6689 3 310 4*203 6 181 5*169 5*181 6689 6600 3 226 2*191 5 178 3*162 3*183 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography