DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 302 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1907 - - 3980 - - 6511 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8536 - - 10198 - - 10324 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9407 - - 11480 - - 14011 - - 7803 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2142 - - 3549 - - 2627 - - 5153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 452 - - 268 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 163 - - 203 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - 24 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - -21 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2694 - - -1263 - - 1316 - - -3317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12101 - - 12744 - - 12696 - - 11121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5811 - - -3766 - - -1592 - - -7500 ODpotential blCL - - - 15218 - - 15246 - - 15603 - - 15303 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 78 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 30.0 - - 30.7 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 63.7 - - 65.9 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 29.9 - - 30.6 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 302 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1907 - - 3980 - - 6511 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 10 - - 67 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 6 242 6 273 5 340 9 328 98246 90879 10 230 9 279 5 297 9 351 90879 85201 5 250 7 291 5 313 3 319 85201 80526 3 057 2 160 3 256 6 282 80526 76506 4 010 1 080 0 045 4 001 76506 72937 3 291 3 252 7 276 9 297 72937 69707 6 299 3 332 5 246 8 296 69707 66721 12 247 13 284 13 277 12 293 66721 63928 12 222 8 265 14 264 15 275 63928 61211 17 265 16 267 19 279 20 281 61211 58372 26 261 25 253 26 270 26 276 58372 55428 32 264 35 261 37 265 34 268 55428 52621 40 255 45 255 47 263 42 265 52621 50097 49 249 50 250 56 260 53 260 50097 47836 55 250 58 251 65 255 60 258 47836 45778 63 253 67 251 71 252 63 256 45778 43890 72 253 75 252 74 252 66 254 43890 42150 76 251 78 250 77 251 69 253 42150 40536 74 252 78 249 75 250 71 250 40536 39035 72 253 75 249 71 249 69 248 39035 37646 70 253 71 249 65 248 62 246 37646 36341 70 252 67 247 58 245 57 244 36341 35054 68 253 61 244 50 241 53 241 35054 33749 63 253 56 242 45 238 46 231 33749 32419 57 252 53 243 42 243 42 226 32419 31053 52 251 51 245 50 240 42 232 31053 29643 48 248 48 248 52 240 43 234 29643 28195 42 245 47 251 50 238 46 233 28195 26711 42 247 47 250 47 236 47 231 26711 25196 44 246 46 246 43 236 45 231 25196 23652 43 242 44 241 41 236 41 233 23652 22076 40 238 42 238 40 237 38 236 22076 20464 36 237 39 234 38 238 38 242 20464 18843 31 235 35 230 37 238 40 241 18843 17292 27 230 30 227 34 235 35 238 17292 15881 25 225 27 224 32 230 28 232 15881 14615 21 218 25 221 30*226 24 226 14615 13473 18 213 25 217 27*218 22 216 13473 12439 15 208 24*211 23 212 21 203 12439 11501 13 202 22*204 21 209 20 195 11501 10650 12 197 18 193 17 205 18 190 10650 9883 10*196 13 179 14 201 14 187 9883 9189 9*189 11 168 11 196 11 183 9189 8555 8 183 10 154 9 190 7 174 8555 7982 5 170 9 148 8 182 4*154 7982 7496 5 157 9 145 7 176 4*108 7496 7118 5 151 9 142 7 173 5 079 7118 6855 5 147 9 141 6 171 5 065 6855 6694 4 145 8 140 6 169 4 052 6694 6601 4 142 7 139 5 168 2 029 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography