DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.0 - - 27.2 - - 24.8 - - 21.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 127 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 666 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7572 - - 8166 - - 7660 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 555 - - 706 - - 694 - - 1260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 187 - - 8 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 192 - - 181 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -7 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1928 - - -2073 - - -2109 - - -3303 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9501 - - 10239 - - 9770 - - 9903 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9463 - - -8445 - - -9066 - - -10815 ODpotential blCL - - - 17035 - - 16611 - - 16726 - - 17415 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 74 - - 80 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.0 - - 27.2 - - 24.8 - - 21.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.2 - - 6.0 - - 5.7 - - 1.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 29.0 - - 28.0 - - 26.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.9 - - 5.6 - - 5.3 - - 1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 127 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 666 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97079 76 092 63 091 68 082 70 085 97079 89900 71 092 64 093 67 079 75 086 89900 84289 52 096 61 095 64 085 71 089 84289 79557 40 093 42 086 58 079 66 087 79557 75442 32 079 30 084 34 070 49 073 75442 71805 17 069 22 060 22 080 28 066 71805 68505 13 057 17 039 19 062 19 054 68505 65450 14 012 16 357 20 016 19 045 65450 62605 13 358 9 330 16 343 21 011 62605 59846 20 349 13 359 15 330 23 349 59846 56973 28 333 25 337 21 328 30 332 56973 53997 30 319 28 324 25 327 31 319 53997 51160 30 314 32 320 30 323 30 320 51160 48617 36 315 40 313 32 322 34 322 48617 46358 44 311 42 308 37 320 36 318 46358 44319 45 307 45 312 41 315 35 318 44319 42454 48 316 52 315 44 315 39 320 42454 40741 62 312 57 310 49 313 46 316 40741 39159 70 303 59 304 52 309 49 311 39159 37693 71 295 57 299 52 308 45 306 37693 36334 66 291 54 297 52 308 44 305 36334 35055 65 293 56 300 55 303 49 299 35055 33798 74 296 61 301 57 296 53 288 33798 32533 83 295 67 298 62 292 55 279 32533 31255 80 303 70 300 60 295 49 278 31255 29945 71 310 66 306 55 298 45 284 29945 28593 65 309 61 308 52 301 45 284 28593 27204 60 307 60 301 53 303 41 281 27204 25780 54 308 59 300 52 303 38 279 25780 24325 49 311 50 307 47 303 40 274 24325 22845 46 316 44 312 41 303 41 266 22845 21334 45 320 45 314 38 303 39 259 21334 19788 44 322 44 315 36 304 34 254 19788 18231 41 324 41 316 33 306 28 250 18231 16739 36 326 38 316 31 312 21 252 16739 15382 33 328 32 314 29 317 14 263 15382 14167 30 328 27 314 28 321 12 268 14167 13074 27 327 23 318 22 323 11 264 13074 12087 24 324 20 321 15 324 10 255 12087 11195 21 321 17 322 9 321 9 242 11195 10389 16 317 13 317 4 304 9 228 10389 9664 12 313 10 305 3 253 9 214 9664 9012 8 303 7 282 5 219 9 204 9012 8416 5 279 7*246 7 215 8 196 8416 7882 3*228 7*205 8*210 7 181 7882 7429 4*180 7 195 7*200 6 159 7429 7078 5 175 7 190 6 185 5 134 7078 6833 5 172 6 186 4 170 4 113 6833 6684 5 171 6 183 3 151 3*099 6684 6599 4 168 5 181 2 128 2*089 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography