DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 39.8 - - 35.1 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 21 - - -21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1649 - - 2793 - - 2021 - - 830 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9149 - - 10293 - - 9521 - - 8330 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2358 - - 2714 - - 1861 - - 1714 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 185 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - 23 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 221 - - 229 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 16 - - 25 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -47 - - -32 - - -74 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2550 - - 3693 - - 2922 - - 1731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 110 - - 1479 - - 167 - - 814 ODpotential blCL - - - 9039 - - 8814 - - 9354 - - 7516 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 92 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 180 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 39.8 - - 35.1 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 34.6 - - 32.5 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 42.2 - - 39.4 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 33.4 - - 31.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 21 - - -21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1649 - - 2793 - - 2021 - - 830 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 69 - - 35 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95734 36 320 43 326 33 333 38 340 95734 88745 28 317 29 324 36 328 31 329 88745 83328 27 318 29 310 34 328 27 322 83328 78812 26 311 27 298 39 312 27 318 78812 74909 19 318 25 298 29 297 28 309 74909 71442 24 310 26 299 24 303 27 305 71442 68273 18 287 28 281 21 280 31 277 68273 65350 30 283 22 280 14 283 15 284 65350 62595 49 260 33 269 17 312 25 312 62595 59842 53 246 57 250 31 246 49 272 59842 56933 57 239 53 238 62 231 66 239 56933 53950 57 238 56 238 54 238 56 233 53950 51153 59 241 58 240 44 252 36 255 51153 48649 63 238 59 241 50 259 49 285 48649 46375 68 235 64 240 65 256 70 270 46375 44312 70 234 70 239 80 249 89 253 44312 42448 74 237 77 239 89 241 92 250 42448 40748 82 239 82 239 88 239 97 245 40748 39188 87 238 85 240 85 241 89 241 39188 37751 86 236 87 239 82 243 79 249 37751 36414 82 235 86 236 81 244 86 258 36414 35144 78 237 80 235 79 244 98 256 35144 33882 72 239 71 235 76 245 101 253 33882 32601 67 239 66 234 73 245 98 252 32601 31302 64 238 63 233 66 241 94 252 31302 29975 63 237 61 233 58 236 89 251 29975 28614 62 237 58 236 54 235 79 248 28614 27220 60 237 55 238 55 238 67 243 27220 25796 58 238 53 240 55 241 59 240 25796 24345 55 238 49 241 51 241 56 241 24345 22871 52 239 45 243 46 234 53 241 22871 21369 48 239 42 244 42 229 51 240 21369 19832 46 239 39 243 37 227 51 241 19832 18283 45 238 37 241 35 229 47 238 18283 16797 44 239 37 239 33 233 41 230 16797 15444 43 240 37 238 32 234 41 227 15444 14232 42 241 37 237 32 235 43 227 14232 13141 40 241 36 236 32 236 43 227 13141 12154 38 240 33 232 33 237 43 224 12154 11260 35 239 31 230 34 237 41 222 11260 10450 31 239 27*229 33 236 39 221 10450 9720 29*239 24*227 32*234 36 222 9720 9060 27*239 21 224 30*232 34 225 9060 8457 26 237 19 222 28 230 31*226 8457 7913 23 234 17 219 26 228 28*224 7913 7452 19 230 16 218 23 228 25 220 7452 7092 15 228 15 217 20 228 21 215 7092 6842 13 227 13 217 15 227 16 211 6842 6688 11 226 12 216 12 228 12 208 6688 6599 7 228 8 217 6 226 5 200 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography