DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 59.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 345 - - 326 - - 140 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2786 - - 8437 - - 12065 - - 12528 - - 3660 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 13796 - - 16711 - - 16418 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 10286 - - 15937 - - 19565 - - 20028 - - 11160 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4963 - - 2174 - - 1462 - - 1552 - - 5848 Hgt.Variab. W* 166 - - 611 - - 675 - - 517 - - 42 W* B/S 5 - - 20 - - 18 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 298 - - 289 - - 311 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 14 - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 37 - - -20 - - -79 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -431 - - 2437 - - 4775 - - 5410 - - -111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10717 - - 13501 - - 14791 - - 14618 - - 11272 sfcLCL ODpotential -4491 - - -278 - - 3085 - - 3705 - - -3652 ODpotential blCL 14777 - - 16215 - - 16480 - - 16323 - - 14812 blCL maxRH 62 - - 59 - - 100 - - 98 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 90 - - 120 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 59.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 23.0 - - 21.5 - - 21.9 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 60.1 - - 64.5 - - 65.0 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 21.8 - - 20.4 - - 21.0 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 345 - - 326 - - 140 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2786 - - 8437 - - 12065 - - 12528 - - 3660 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 101 - - 92 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97673 8 220 22 217 23 262 12 296 11 199 97673 90191 4 212 10 229 14 246 13 252 11 257 90191 84449 4 238 6 242 11 245 13 245 12 285 84449 79713 5 271 6 288 6 252 9 272 13 297 79713 75636 4 030 7 301 5 294 12 307 16 309 75636 72040 10 001 7 327 4 346 13 314 15 314 72040 68782 10 343 8 318 7 308 14 302 16 312 68782 65782 10 315 12 315 11 299 13 300 14 310 65782 62992 12 319 16 312 15 307 16 317 15 309 62992 60282 17 319 17 301 18 309 23 319 19 305 60282 57446 17 318 15 298 18 309 26 303 23 303 57446 54498 17 318 15 306 19 304 25 286 26 302 54498 51682 18 306 17 302 21 294 22 289 28 297 51682 49148 19 302 19 298 24 288 22 305 27 288 49148 46888 20 310 20 303 24 283 26 308 26 285 46888 44862 21 308 19 308 21 282 27 300 23 285 44862 43026 19 294 19 311 18 286 25 291 19 301 43026 41346 15 301 19 307 15 291 20 287 18 326 41346 39803 25 299 16 304 10 303 13 301 16 325 39803 38381 33 277 21 303 11 338 10 328 9 303 38381 37064 29 268 28 290 17 335 9 342 2 341 37064 35810 26 304 32 285 24 315 10 358 9 049 35810 34555 33 314 27 289 25 303 13 358 16 051 34555 33273 35 307 25 293 22 300 14 348 21 040 33273 31971 37 305 25 299 19 303 13 336 21 037 31971 30635 36 308 25 307 19 307 11 335 20 037 30635 29258 32 308 23 317 18 311 10 335 17 039 29258 27842 24 302 23 317 16 320 10 326 13 044 27842 26391 22 306 23 314 13 328 7 324 9 044 26391 24907 22 306 19 312 11 322 4 326 7 034 24907 23393 21 298 13 314 13 310 5 270 7 360 23393 21847 18 287 11 322 12 304 7 303 9 309 21847 20264 17 288 12 328 11*314 9*325 7 289 20264 18672 17 288 14 328 11*316 9*329 4 306 18672 17146 18 287 13*325 10 313 9 329 4 358 17146 15756 17 287 13*315 9 306 9 328 6 012 15756 14509 15 290 11 304 8 300 9 325 7 011 14509 13385 13 292 9 299 7 292 8 319 8 007 13385 12367 12 295 8 298 7 282 7 312 10 000 12367 11443 11 300 6 295 6 274 6 302 11*352 11443 10605 9*310 5 293 6 268 5 293 11*344 10605 9849 7*327 4 288 6 262 5 283 12 337 9849 9165 5 343 3 282 6 258 4 275 12 328 9165 8538 6 005 2 272 5 254 4 267 12 318 8538 7972 7 014 1 251 5 250 4 262 12 307 7972 7491 8 015 1 216 5 247 4 261 12 296 7491 7115 8 008 1 175 5 246 4 258 12 285 7115 6853 6 001 1 156 5 245 4 256 12 277 6853 6693 5 358 1 152 4 244 4 256 10 273 6693 6601 3 356 1 143 4 242 3 256 5 264 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography