DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 63.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 236 - - 285 - - 74 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3806 - - 6678 - - 6773 - - 2962 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 9974 - - 12280 - - 11390 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 11306 - - 14178 - - 14273 - - 10462 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2864 - - 2514 - - 2247 - - 2024 - - 2858 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 412 - - 526 - - 338 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 57 - - 27 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 284 - - 230 - - 202 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 16 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - -15 - - 10 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -799 - - 1864 - - 3130 - - 3004 - - 1226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7401 - - 9442 - - 11048 - - 11269 - - 9237 sfcLCL ODpotential -5295 - - -1083 - - 1407 - - 1353 - - -2885 ODpotential blCL 11897 - - 12389 - - 12771 - - 12920 - - 13347 blCL maxRH 70 - - 67 - - 78 - - 89 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 90 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 63.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 40.0 - - 38.1 - - 36.8 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 59.7 - - 64.4 - - 65.3 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.9 - - 36.7 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 236 - - 285 - - 74 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3806 - - 6678 - - 6773 - - 2962 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 58 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98310 13 218 11 240 14 235 13 240 12 251 98310 90918 7 184 9 211 7 242 6 233 9 214 90918 85246 12 170 6 198 5 201 5 264 1 124 85246 80556 7 179 4 204 5 163 2 325 6 060 80556 76516 5 036 8 170 4 197 4 295 8 006 76516 72947 8 347 3 152 1 233 4 243 6 316 72947 69710 6 288 4 180 5 228 9 258 4 245 69710 66715 10 243 7 219 9 218 13 249 9 267 66715 63918 10 221 8 225 12 219 16 226 15 260 63918 61197 16 244 13 245 14 227 16 227 20 245 61197 58355 29 237 19 235 20 214 21 228 23 233 58355 55404 33 233 27 232 28 233 26 239 29 238 55404 52595 37 225 37 226 39 234 37 239 35 239 52595 50079 36 235 33 227 40 237 41 240 36 241 50079 47840 42 238 39 237 44 239 44 238 42 245 47840 45824 39 235 41 228 38 251 38 245 42 237 45824 43998 33 236 35 248 42 259 41 258 36 252 43998 42337 30 256 37 259 38 256 34 255 27 241 42337 40803 36 267 27 276 30 297 26 292 31 290 40803 39373 25 263 25 306 35 299 34 296 42 303 39373 38036 22 311 32 325 34 311 33 302 38 302 38036 36755 30 333 37 331 47 322 32 309 32 300 36755 35470 36 339 39 332 52 325 34 310 29 297 35470 34152 36 340 39 330 51 324 36 309 27 292 34152 32809 31 337 39 329 43 331 36 307 26 289 32809 31428 24 325 39 329 32 328 32 306 22 287 31428 30001 21 311 35 331 27 317 27 316 15 271 30001 28532 21 307 27 332 28 312 21 324 15 260 28532 27025 18 304 25 327 29 309 20 315 20 263 27025 25484 16 299 25 323 27 303 20 293 23 271 25484 23908 16 295 21 318 24 298 21 286 23 282 23908 22294 17 291 17 304 20 294 22 289 21 291 22294 20639 16 292 15 287 16 286 20 289 18 292 20639 18973 14 297 14 283 13 274 18 286 15 286 18973 17384 14 301 12 297 13 281 15 290 15 283 17384 15943 14 306 12 311 14 294 14 296 12 282 15943 14658 11 317 11 317 13*303 12*296 9 285 14658 13502 9 331 9 319 11*307 7*289 7 287 13502 12459 7 337 8 323 8 304 6 234 6 266 12459 11514 6 337 7*327 4 278 7 225 6 241 11514 10660 6 333 6*331 4 222 8 202 7*218 10660 9890 5 331 5 330 5 206 9 195 8*204 9890 9195 5 332 3 314 6 195 9 190 11 196 9195 8559 5 335 2 262 6 187 9 186 12 191 8559 7985 4 333 2 202 6 181 9 183 12 188 7985 7499 3 328 3 189 7 176 9 180 12 186 7499 7119 2 309 3 178 7 173 9 179 10 185 7119 6855 1 253 3 173 6 172 8 178 8 182 6855 6694 1*213 3 169 6 171 8 177 5 174 6694 6601 1*232 3 167 5 168 7 175 1 098 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography