DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.6 - - 41.0 - - 47.9 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 0 - - 56 - - -37 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2498 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 6601 - - 9998 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1320 - - 1809 - - 1494 - - 2953 - - 1696 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 222 - - 5 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 19 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 256 - - 273 - - 240 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 20 - - 13 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -33 - - -31 - - -44 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -844 - - -2351 - - -2801 - - -1607 - - -187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7445 - - 8952 - - 12800 - - 8208 - - 6788 sfcLCL ODpotential -7060 - - -8020 - - -7773 - - -7613 - - -6470 ODpotential blCL 13661 - - 14621 - - 17771 - - 14214 - - 13071 blCL maxRH 83 - - 83 - - 82 - - 80 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.6 - - 41.0 - - 47.9 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 25.0 - - 15.1 - - 24.9 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 43.9 - - 50.1 - - 43.4 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 24.4 - - 14.5 - - 24.8 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 0 - - 56 - - -37 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2498 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 32 - - 27 - - 20 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 27 022 22 008 21 008 27 022 23 042 96305 89372 22 356 21 006 16 007 24 359 23 027 89372 83922 20 349 17 002 15 015 14 358 14 346 83922 79344 22 316 17 338 17 329 16 353 18 324 79344 75369 21 313 14 321 21 312 17 335 14 334 75369 71817 23 315 9 331 17 295 21 335 17 337 71817 68592 22 306 11 313 17 295 24 319 25 323 68592 65637 27 299 19 320 21 323 21 296 23 317 65637 62898 34 296 20 330 12 360 18 294 26 303 62898 60244 50 295 56 291 32 307 43 297 41 290 60244 57480 58 292 60 295 62 301 59 295 52 296 57480 54608 70 293 72 297 70 296 67 295 66 293 54608 51874 73 289 79 292 73 295 69 297 78 291 51874 49404 73 291 81 294 77 298 79 295 80 290 49404 47162 84 295 89 301 90 300 88 292 86 295 47162 45113 93 297 102 302 106 298 96 293 100 294 45113 43237 93 299 110 297 109 295 101 295 99 292 43237 41510 98 303 100 297 96 296 96 297 93 296 41510 39916 119 306 95 304 95 302 97 303 100 304 39916 38446 144 306 109 308 107 305 108 304 113 305 38446 37095 150 305 123 305 116 303 111 302 115 299 37095 35827 150 305 130 300 118 302 102 299 107 290 35827 34566 145 306 132 301 112 300 96 295 105 287 34566 33274 122 306 129 305 106 298 100 292 103 287 33274 31957 90 298 111 306 99 298 104 291 100 288 31957 30604 93 292 92 303 86 299 98 293 97 291 30604 29209 95 290 81 299 80 302 91 295 91 296 29209 27774 84 291 77 295 75 304 78 292 75 302 27774 26307 68 292 76 293 70 304 55 289 74 301 26307 24809 61 289 70 296 64 303 53 289 69 302 24809 23284 62 286 58 297 59 302 50 289 61 302 23284 21728 57 282 56 293 55 301 47 290 58 299 21728 20136 53 279 55 286 52 300 40 292 59 294 20136 18535 49 279 49 279 45 297 34 290 50 288 18535 17004 46 281 44 276 38 289 33 284 36 274 17004 15610 43 285 41 278 34 284 36 279 38 264 15610 14364 41 287 40 282 33 280 38 276 40 261 14364 13244 40 288 40 285 33 278 39 274 40 260 13244 12233 39 288 40 287 33 277 40 273 42 263 12233 11318 38 288 39 288 32 277 40 273 43 267 11318 10494 38 287 37 289 31*277 39 273 44 271 10494 9753 37 287 34 289 28*278 36 273 43 273 9753 9085 36 288 31 289 24 278 32 272 40 274 9085 8475 33 290 28 289 20 275 28 270 34 271 8475 7925 27 293 23 289 17 271 24 263 27 266 7925 7459 20 297 18 286 16 268 22 254 22 255 7459 7096 14 299 13 274 15 264 20 245 20 242 7096 6843 9 291 10 258 14 263 18 238 18 234 6843 6688 4*253 7*234 12 261 14*236 14*230 6688 6600 4*162 4*202 8 260 7*238 6*231 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography