DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.6 - - 26.0 - - 23.8 - - 26.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 42 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1346 - - 1167 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8846 - - 8667 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 971 - - 685 - - 1179 - - 818 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 172 - - 159 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 216 - - 221 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -55 - - -31 - - -32 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 977 - - 2068 - - 2 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7869 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9253 - - 1025 - - -8250 - - -6872 ODpotential blCL - - - 18099 - - 7642 - - 14850 - - 13472 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 97 - - 97 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.6 - - 26.0 - - 23.8 - - 26.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.6 - - 23.6 - - 22.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 28.4 - - 27.2 - - 29.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 22.9 - - 23.3 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 42 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1346 - - 1167 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 88 - - 87 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 15 062 10 036 18 036 18 066 96304 89268 11 049 12 050 11 046 13 059 89268 83744 15 014 13 026 13 038 5 019 83744 79116 11 025 11 336 12 356 9 020 79116 75119 10 349 15 314 19 338 23 355 75119 71580 6 034 11 307 23 293 27 330 71580 68368 29 344 23 312 29 295 27 313 68368 65413 41 290 31 307 26 309 26 314 65413 62661 33 296 42 314 31 321 36 314 62661 59985 32 302 42 301 43 306 46 304 59985 57186 34 306 47 306 55 301 51 298 57186 54279 48 306 61 300 63 299 57 300 54279 51506 62 299 60 293 65 299 62 299 51506 49025 66 302 53 300 65 303 67 302 49025 46817 78 309 67 313 81 310 84 305 46817 44834 100 308 96 314 107 305 108 298 44834 43045 104 298 124 304 120 296 110 289 43045 41413 95 304 121 294 115 290 102 286 41413 39900 115 319 103 302 101 290 96 289 39900 38479 124 320 106 314 94 301 94 294 38479 37143 123 317 108 313 99 302 98 296 37143 35865 122 315 104 307 93 299 100 296 35865 34581 117 310 103 303 98 297 94 297 34581 33267 114 305 105 301 100 297 87 298 33267 31927 114 304 106 302 103 297 95 295 31927 30554 114 304 104 302 106 297 105 292 30554 29141 111 305 100 302 106 298 105 291 29141 27692 106 306 93 301 103 298 102 292 27692 26210 103 305 87 300 97 298 98 291 26210 24699 100 302 86 298 91 298 94 290 24699 23166 98 299 87 297 87 298 89 290 23166 21605 93 297 89 295 86 297 85 291 21605 20013 77 294 87 294 85 295 82 293 20013 18416 59 286 83 294 81 293 78 293 18416 16892 47 279 78 297 76 294 74 293 16892 15511 40 279 72 298 72 296 71 291 15511 14276 36 279 66 296 71 298 68 290 14276 13167 33 276 60 289 70 298 65 288 13167 12165 30 268 52 279 66 296 63 286 12165 11259 27 257 43 266 60 291 61 282 11259 10442 25 245 35 250 51 285 58 277 10442 9708 24 234 29 233 41 278 53 272 9708 9047 24*226 26*223 32 270 47 267 9047 8443 23*224 24*218 25 257 40 261 8443 7900 22 224 21 216 22 239 33 252 7900 7440 18 225 18 214 20 227 27 240 7440 7084 14 226 16 214 17 222 23 231 7084 6837 12 226 14 215 14 222 18 224 6837 6686 11 226 13 215 10*219 12*216 6686 6599 7 226 8 215 5*205 5*197 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography