DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.0 - - 70.5 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 357 - - 68 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6635 - - 8150 - - 6769 - - 1955 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12290 - - 13574 - - 11322 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14135 - - 15650 - - 14269 - - 9455 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2151 - - 1569 - - 2180 - - 4666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 608 - - 331 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 242 - - 245 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 14 - - 11 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -26 - - -30 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 557 - - 96 - - -1824 - - -5208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13579 - - 15555 - - 16094 - - 14664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2391 - - -3560 - - -6365 - - -11343 ODpotential blCL - - - 16526 - - 19210 - - 20634 - - 20798 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 86 - - 82 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.0 - - 70.5 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 26.3 - - 22.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 72.5 - - 72.6 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 26.0 - - 22.3 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 357 - - 68 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6635 - - 8150 - - 6769 - - 1955 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 44 - - 27 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98657 16 243 21 269 22 270 28 284 98657 91238 17 262 20 280 19 278 18 277 91238 85471 15 281 11 249 14 269 16 281 85471 80702 16 281 10 273 9 279 12 275 80702 76621 9 266 14 271 12 318 4 271 76621 73016 2 311 6 277 11 291 9 321 73016 69762 11 304 7 328 10 270 13 315 69762 66769 13 310 12 328 8 302 11 315 66769 63981 14 307 16 318 13 333 10 324 63981 61271 15 296 23 303 17 321 10 321 61271 58440 23 272 26 274 25 292 19 300 58440 55514 27 276 28 275 39 281 37 290 55514 52746 40 285 43 283 48 280 46 282 52746 50281 59 286 60 284 64 279 62 277 50281 48091 79 278 76 273 73 270 71 268 48091 46117 84 281 82 279 78 273 75 268 46117 44307 96 288 94 286 88 278 86 271 44307 42629 109 289 101 284 95 277 97 271 42629 41058 109 285 99 280 95 274 98 269 41058 39583 104 282 98 278 93 273 94 267 39583 38201 100 283 94 277 89 273 88 266 38201 36882 96 283 90 277 86 272 84 264 36882 35563 93 282 88 275 82 270 82 262 35563 34214 93 280 87 271 80 268 81 261 34214 32845 90 280 87 269 78 266 79 259 32845 31444 81 281 85 271 76 265 77 257 31444 30000 72 282 80 273 76 266 75 259 30000 28517 66 280 72 274 75 266 71 261 28517 27003 63 278 62 273 71 266 65 261 27003 25461 59 275 56 269 64 268 60 258 25461 23892 54 273 53 265 56 269 53 257 23892 22292 50 270 50 263 48 265 46 257 22292 20653 46 269 48 262 44 262 42 256 20653 19003 40 267 45 262 41 261 38 255 19003 17423 35 266 41 263 37 263 35 253 17423 15988 32 264 33*263 32 264 32 251 15988 14703 29*262 22*256 25*265 30 249 14703 13548 26*258 18 246 18*258 29 245 13548 12502 21 250 18 243 16 250 28 243 12502 11553 19 244 18 242 16 247 26 243 11553 10693 17 239 18 241 16 246 24 243 10693 9918 16 236 17 239 16 245 20*244 9918 9217 15 231 17 238 16 243 17*242 9217 8577 14 227 17 237 16 241 14 242 8577 7999 13 222 16 236 16 240 13 245 7999 7508 13 219 16 235 15 239 12 246 7508 7125 12 216 15 235 14 238 11 244 7125 6859 11 215 14 234 14 238 9 241 6859 6695 10 213 13 234 12 237 6 235 6695 6602 8 212 10 233 9 237 3 231 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography