DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 80.6 - - 83.1 - - 83.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 72 - - 352 - - 199 - - 52 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 862 - - 9068 - - 11963 - - 10867 - - 2139 BL Depth Hcrit 6586 - - 14317 - - 16280 - - 14048 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 8362 - - 16568 - - 19463 - - 18367 - - 9639 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3689 - - 1777 - - 937 - - 2323 - - 9764 Hgt.Variab. W* 171 - - 630 - - 573 - - 361 - - 50 W* B/S 5 - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 227 - - 231 - - 207 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -20 - - -10 - - -11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2013 - - 3243 - - 5244 - - 3664 - - -2782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10376 - - 13326 - - 14220 - - 14704 - - 12421 sfcLCL ODpotential -5609 - - 1335 - - 2741 - - 1439 - - -6195 ODpotential blCL 13971 - - 15233 - - 16722 - - 16928 - - 15834 blCL maxRH 97 - - 75 - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 340 - - 430 - - 580 - - 380 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 80.6 - - 83.1 - - 83.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 44.7 - - 43.3 - - 41.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.6 - - 81.0 - - 84.2 - - 85.3 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 44.0 - - 42.7 - - 40.5 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 72 - - 352 - - 199 - - 52 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 862 - - 9068 - - 11963 - - 10867 - - 2139 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 0 - - 97 - - 103 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99842 42 102 36 100 38 097 27 106 34 095 99842 92266 35 106 27 105 28 097 31 097 29 106 92266 86419 30 104 27 115 23 105 23 091 27 106 86419 81579 27 089 31 104 24 118 17 112 22 094 81579 77425 18 091 22 107 19 121 17 113 21 094 77425 73763 16 109 18 106 15 129 15 107 18 096 73763 70447 13 117 13 085 18 126 12 108 16 112 70447 67404 12 108 10 110 13 117 8 132 5 125 67404 64598 11 117 10 121 9 137 5 182 2 128 64598 61893 10 138 5 129 12 121 13 167 9 206 61893 59090 15 180 11 215 5 180 7 159 14 181 59090 56192 11 197 19 202 21 214 16 240 9 209 56192 53430 29 228 30 221 27 222 24 235 17 236 53430 50949 49 219 51 221 45 227 34 235 30 247 50949 48738 51 209 61 212 59 223 49 229 51 237 48738 46745 43 228 52 219 62 217 61 221 56 226 46745 44917 57 238 52 232 52 223 53 220 49 224 44917 43223 64 235 53 233 50 233 46 230 47 232 43223 41640 63 233 51 230 50 237 48 237 48 233 41640 40157 57 233 49 232 48 237 47 237 47 232 40157 38767 54 231 48 234 46 238 46 235 48 234 38767 37441 49 228 46 234 44 237 46 234 50 235 37441 36112 44 224 42 232 41 236 46 233 49 232 36112 34754 39 221 36 227 39 236 46 234 50 230 34754 33371 38 226 34 226 38 236 45 236 51 231 33371 31953 41 228 34 227 38 235 43 237 50 235 31953 30491 42 228 34 229 37 233 39 236 46 238 30491 28989 37 236 33 229 32 231 33 231 37 238 28989 27449 31 243 24 225 27 219 30 221 31 231 27449 25875 23 244 22 195 28 204 29 215 29 226 25875 24276 17 245 20 202 25 211 27 219 24 226 24276 22646 16 233 16 227 22 224 22 226 21 229 22646 20979 17 231 19 248 20*236 14 228 17 231 20979 19302 20 236 21 251 13*249 9*224 13 222 19302 17698 20 237 17*252 10 252 8*210 9 201 17698 16235 18 235 15*248 9 251 8 204 7 192 16235 14922 16 235 13 239 8 231 8 202 6 186 14922 13739 14 238 11 233 8 227 8 202 5 180 13739 12666 11 241 9 232 8 224 8 203 5 172 12666 11692 7 232 9 232 8 223 8 206 5 163 11692 10809 5 195 8 228 8 220 7 208 6 153 10809 10012 5 161 7 223 8 218 7 210 6*147 10012 9292 7 148 6 206 8 217 7 212 7*144 9292 8633 7*140 6 201 8 216 7 213 7 140 8633 8038 7*127 6 194 8 215 7 215 7 143 8038 7534 7 112 6 188 7 213 6 215 7 139 7534 7140 6 111 5 184 7 214 6 216 8 136 7140 6867 6 111 5 180 7 213 6 217 7 138 6867 6699 5 112 5 179 7 213 6 216 6 138 6699 6603 4 113 4 177 6 212 5 216 4 140 6603 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography