DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 45.2 - - 47.6 - - 44.0 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 27 - - 50 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1717 - - 2769 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 8210 - - 6584 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 9217 - - 10269 - - 8956 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3027 - - 2220 - - 1801 - - 2233 - - 2716 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 168 - - 232 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 15 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 296 - - 300 - - 291 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -25 - - -10 - - -13 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1519 - - 950 - - 1493 - - 1103 - - -791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8120 - - 8267 - - 8776 - - 7853 - - 7393 sfcLCL ODpotential -6439 - - -4010 - - -2611 - - -4331 - - -7451 ODpotential blCL 13040 - - 13227 - - 12880 - - 13287 - - 14052 blCL maxRH 59 - - 65 - - 67 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 45.2 - - 47.6 - - 44.0 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 32.2 - - 32.3 - - 32.9 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 49.8 - - 50.6 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 31.0 - - 31.1 - - 31.6 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 27 - - 50 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1717 - - 2769 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95949 30 297 26 284 30 284 36 288 30 313 95949 89094 27 306 16 292 17 294 21 302 22 307 89094 83753 22 303 14 305 16 293 23 316 15 322 83753 79260 12 330 14 324 18 296 18 307 11 322 79260 75346 12 349 12 319 13 299 11 298 8 310 75346 71860 13 320 14 311 9 316 18 296 12 330 71860 68689 14 317 15 312 10 348 14 291 17 323 68689 65766 13 319 12 320 19 340 5 025 12 305 65766 63042 19 323 18 336 27 328 20 359 22 358 63042 60408 26 318 20 318 36 307 34 307 34 304 60408 57679 21 316 29 309 29 301 27 300 32 306 57679 54840 26 305 31 301 28 306 43 318 31 312 54840 52095 29 300 32 302 49 294 49 299 32 319 52095 49598 34 299 44 303 48 289 41 290 61 319 49598 47371 43 295 55 299 44 302 56 321 68 320 47371 45365 51 293 53 299 50 310 72 318 69 325 45365 43542 53 292 47 303 55 308 74 311 69 321 43542 41877 51 294 50 308 56 302 61 299 55 302 41877 40344 54 304 50 303 54 294 41 283 37 293 40344 38914 63 306 44 297 44 295 29 289 32 289 38914 37577 65 301 38 304 38 313 42 314 31 307 37577 36304 61 296 44 323 51 332 53 317 36 310 36304 35033 55 300 68 335 60 330 53 312 42 303 35033 33738 54 310 74 336 59 325 50 302 44 299 33738 32420 56 315 63 335 53 317 42 300 43 298 32420 31064 59 316 52 335 51 315 40 299 41 296 31064 29664 60 316 52 341 52 326 44 292 40 299 29664 28220 59 314 53 344 45 334 45 289 45 305 28220 26735 58 311 45 340 30 331 43 286 48 306 26735 25214 55 309 39 322 24 317 43 280 43 306 25214 23661 49 309 37 310 23 309 43 283 37 304 23661 22073 43 310 37 298 28 304 44 292 34 306 22073 20447 42 301 41 286 33 306 46 302 35 308 20447 18809 44 296 41 285 33 309 50 307 35 309 18809 17240 41 299 38 292 32 312 51 310 36 311 17240 15811 33 303 33 299 30 312 46 313 36 313 15811 14534 25 302 27 301 27 310 33 317 34 316 14534 13386 22 300 24 299 25 309 23 316 29 318 13386 12351 21 299 23 296 23 308 18 316 23 319 12351 11417 21 299 22 295 21 308 15 317 17 318 11417 10574 21 300 22 294 18*308 13 318 12 314 10574 9817 22 302 22*295 16*307 11 316 9 304 9817 9134 21 305 21*296 13 305 11*312 8 288 9134 8511 20 310 20 298 10 301 11*306 9 277 8511 7950 18 315 17 298 9 297 10 300 12 272 7950 7475 14 318 14 297 8 295 9 292 13 268 7475 7105 10 321 11 291 8 293 7 283 14 264 7105 6848 7 319 10 288 7 292 6 270 12 263 6848 6690 3*298 8 285 6 292 4 243 9*261 6690 6600 1*228 6 285 5 291 2 206 4*255 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography