DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.4 - - 39.6 - - 39.7 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 47 - - 131 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2913 - - 4416 - - 1928 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 9052 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 10413 - - 11916 - - 9428 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1332 - - 2682 - - 2821 - - 3449 - - 5359 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 40 - - 311 - - 147 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 205 - - 201 - - 223 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 16 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - -13 - - -23 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -599 - - -1123 - - 1835 - - 3111 - - 1995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7199 - - 7724 - - 8578 - - 8806 - - 7434 sfcLCL ODpotential -5930 - - -5401 - - -1441 - - 50 - - -2308 ODpotential blCL 12530 - - 12001 - - 11854 - - 11866 - - 11736 blCL maxRH 85 - - 77 - - 62 - - 67 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.4 - - 39.6 - - 39.7 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 23.7 - - 25.0 - - 24.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 41.6 - - 43.6 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 22.6 - - 24.0 - - 23.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 47 - - 131 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2913 - - 4416 - - 1928 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96963 31 097 26 085 24 087 23 104 11 086 96963 89782 29 095 18 103 19 086 19 108 16 090 89782 84136 21 095 16 102 14 066 17 111 12 099 84136 79425 11 083 10 091 6 075 11 085 11 083 79425 75366 6 086 7 080 4 167 1 019 6 026 75366 71773 7 031 5 050 4 178 4 264 4 345 71773 68502 7 300 9 305 5 287 7 280 6 323 68502 65484 9 289 11 282 5 298 12 277 14 283 65484 62685 19 275 21 261 18 271 20 265 21 263 62685 59960 19 272 20 258 26 269 28 264 22 271 59960 57093 31 263 35 256 38 265 43 263 34 271 57093 54095 39 243 40 246 45 249 51 251 43 255 54095 51237 42 264 41 256 51 255 51 255 45 248 51237 48688 59 269 58 257 62 254 52 262 48 258 48688 46413 71 260 69 253 66 252 60 260 59 260 46413 44350 71 260 68 255 67 252 68 253 68 252 44350 42471 76 263 72 260 71 256 72 251 73 251 42471 40753 85 259 83 258 80 257 80 254 80 254 40753 39173 82 254 84 252 87 254 90 255 84 254 39173 37712 78 257 83 254 85 252 94 254 87 256 37712 36359 85 260 93 257 91 254 98 255 93 259 36359 35079 97 258 105 254 103 254 101 256 101 260 35079 33812 109 254 105 249 103 250 102 255 105 259 33812 32533 113 252 102 248 97 250 99 253 103 259 32533 31243 110 252 98 249 92 252 96 253 104 259 31243 29927 103 252 92 249 89 253 91 254 102 258 29927 28574 94 253 87 251 87 255 85 254 96 258 28574 27184 85 253 80 253 83 256 81 254 89 259 27184 25762 79 253 72 255 78 257 77 255 80 261 25762 24310 71 253 66 255 69 258 72 257 68 263 24310 22835 63 256 61 255 59 258 64 258 57 262 22835 21331 56 259 56 255 54 256 54 256 49 261 21331 19792 50 262 52 255 55 253 51 252 46 260 19792 18243 47 264 48 257 54 251 48 251 44 259 18243 16762 45 261 43 257 50 249 42 250 40 256 16762 15418 41 255 38 256 44 249 36 249 36 250 15418 14217 34 249 33 252 37 247 31 247 33 245 14217 13135 26 244 29 246 30 244 26 243 31 244 13135 12154 20 241 26 240 25 236 21*235 28 245 12154 11264 16 238 24 242 22 227 18*227 25 247 11264 10457 14 241 22 249 18*220 16 221 21 247 10457 9728 12 246 17 255 13*214 14 219 19*247 9728 9069 10 244 11 256 9 206 12 218 16*246 9069 8465 8 233 7 250 8 200 10 219 14 245 8465 7920 6 216 6 237 8 196 8 222 12 245 7920 7456 5 195 5 225 7 196 6 226 10 246 7456 7094 5 170 5 210 7 195 5 234 9 246 7094 6843 4 146 4 191 6 195 4 243 7 245 6843 6688 3*131 3*184 5 194 3 253 4 245 6688 6600 1*106 3*185 4 192 3 261 3 246 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography