DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 41.8 - - 45.7 - - 38.4 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 56 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 487 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 6601 - - 7987 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 912 - - 1456 - - 806 - - 1483 - - 1310 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 31 - - 133 - - 3 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 095 - - 133 - - 163 - - 118 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1844 - - -2281 - - -612 - - -665 - - -1306 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8445 - - 8883 - - 8600 - - 7266 - - 7908 sfcLCL ODpotential -11146 - - -11210 - - -9051 - - -9482 - - -10183 ODpotential blCL 17747 - - 17811 - - 17038 - - 16083 - - 16784 blCL maxRH 68 - - 73 - - 72 - - 80 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 41.8 - - 45.7 - - 38.4 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.2 - - 26.3 - - 31.1 - - 29.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 45.6 - - 47.9 - - 45.0 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 25.2 - - 30.0 - - 28.8 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 56 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 487 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95959 24 303 20 314 13 300 13 311 14 304 95959 89009 11 327 15 303 14 310 12 016 7 327 89009 83623 12 349 13 296 15 311 11 359 10 003 83623 79115 10 349 7 297 14 298 15 310 12 352 79115 75190 8 336 5 304 12 304 13 295 12 328 75190 71693 7 311 8 288 11 276 12 299 11 307 71693 68501 9 295 6 306 11 261 17 271 13 301 68501 65558 12 286 14 286 14 262 16 256 16 287 65558 62845 20 265 15 271 15 278 16 294 22 303 62845 60232 20 256 24 277 26 280 27 267 29 278 60232 57519 29 263 25 262 26 263 32 262 31 258 57519 54695 37 273 31 264 30 258 35 255 32 251 54695 51982 52 271 48 270 38 257 39 257 37 248 51982 49537 61 261 61 264 57 261 54 259 47 250 49537 47355 60 262 68 259 74 257 76 256 73 252 47355 45391 62 267 69 259 73 255 80 250 80 244 45391 43614 65 269 68 262 68 260 71 248 72 238 43614 41981 58 266 61 263 61 260 64 248 66 237 41981 40455 47 263 49 263 53 252 58 243 54 236 40455 39017 45 266 45 266 52 249 55 241 47 235 39017 37665 48 269 45 264 47 249 52 240 50 236 37665 36368 44 266 43 255 44 246 46 240 50 235 36368 35068 37 258 38 250 44 242 40 239 46 231 35068 33740 32 250 32 248 39 237 37 236 42 227 33740 32388 28 252 28 243 34 227 37 232 40 227 32388 30999 24 250 27 234 36 222 35 226 39 226 30999 29563 20 236 26 222 38 216 35 221 39 222 29563 28089 20 215 30 209 39 213 36 220 39 217 28089 26586 24 204 32 212 38 212 38 218 41 211 26586 25062 28 215 33 217 36 211 38 211 42 207 25062 23518 30 225 33 218 35 207 37 202 42 203 23518 21945 27 234 31 221 35 204 38 196 41 200 21945 20331 20 241 27 221 33 201 39 192 41 198 20331 18706 12 234 22 216 30 196 39 189 42 194 18706 17150 14 227 21 207 30 192 38 187 41 191 17150 15736 20 220 22 201 30 189 37 187 39 191 15736 14472 24 212 25 199 31 190 35 188 36 191 14472 13337 25 206 28 199 31 193 33 190 33 194 13337 12312 24 201 28 200 30 196 30 193 31 197 12312 11384 23 198 27 201 29 200 28 197 28 199 11384 10546 21 196 25 200 27 203 24 201 24 198 10546 9793 19 195 23 198 24 206 21 203 21 194 9793 9113 17 192 20 194 21 206 17 201 19 189 9113 8494 15 189 17 193 17*203 15 193 17 183 8494 7937 12 182 14 188 12*192 11 177 15 175 7937 7465 9 174 10 176 7 170 9 154 11 162 7465 7099 6 157 6 159 5 143 8 136 8 139 7099 6845 3 150 3 132 4 132 6 123 6 122 6845 6689 3*091 3*110 4 126 4*097 4*094 6689 6600 2*020 2*066 4 116 2*030 2*357 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography