DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 44.1 - - 48.1 - - 42.3 - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 15 - - 39 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 522 - - 1750 - - 909 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8022 - - 9250 - - 8409 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 1322 - - 1423 - - 1702 - - 1706 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 88 - - 177 - - 29 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 17 - - 22 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 288 - - 301 - - 295 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 22 - - 26 - - 20 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -43 - - -43 - - -41 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3210 - - -2981 - - -136 - - 850 - - -1146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9811 - - 11003 - - 9386 - - 7559 - - 7747 sfcLCL ODpotential -12940 - - -10483 - - -5327 - - -3959 - - -8224 ODpotential blCL 19541 - - 18505 - - 14577 - - 12368 - - 14825 blCL maxRH 62 - - 69 - - 79 - - 76 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 44.1 - - 48.1 - - 42.3 - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.4 - - 19.4 - - 30.1 - - 32.3 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 48.2 - - 50.8 - - 48.7 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 18.4 - - 29.6 - - 32.2 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 15 - - 39 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 522 - - 1750 - - 909 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 2 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96148 21 001 23 337 28 351 25 005 28 355 96148 89216 28 008 28 345 30 358 31 002 28 004 89216 83760 29 016 22 353 20 001 30 009 31 003 83760 79182 26 015 14 020 14 009 23 004 32 011 79182 75202 28 357 20 005 20 005 17 021 27 009 75202 71665 28 350 16 351 18 331 17 347 23 359 71665 68450 21 353 8 333 12 313 25 333 19 347 68450 65477 12 007 9 352 6 294 25 322 25 350 65477 62728 20 335 13 343 10 333 27 323 31 347 62728 60118 21 311 20 295 20 298 28 347 24 349 60118 57417 22 293 15 269 14 281 22 356 10 311 57417 54575 18 319 35 312 25 338 36 342 29 308 54575 51848 47 329 61 316 59 322 52 323 58 316 51848 49414 67 320 65 311 68 310 65 318 68 319 49414 47238 71 316 63 309 66 309 72 315 74 320 47238 45268 72 312 63 310 69 310 80 310 80 314 45268 43482 74 307 67 310 72 305 84 304 84 306 43482 41857 75 303 71 306 70 299 82 299 82 303 41857 40353 74 303 72 302 67 301 77 302 77 303 40353 38940 73 305 71 301 70 304 72 306 74 305 38940 37611 72 306 70 302 73 305 67 308 70 306 37611 36335 72 306 69 303 73 305 63 309 67 308 36335 35055 70 304 68 304 72 305 61 310 64 311 35055 33745 66 301 67 305 71 306 60 309 61 312 33745 32409 63 300 65 304 70 307 59 309 59 312 32409 31037 62 300 64 303 68 308 58 308 58 312 31037 29622 62 300 63 302 66 308 59 308 57 314 29622 28171 62 301 63 302 66 307 59 308 57 315 28171 26683 63 303 64 302 66 305 60 308 56 316 26683 25164 63 304 63 302 65 305 60 308 56 317 25164 23615 61 304 61 303 64 306 59 309 55 316 23615 22032 57 304 58 303 62 308 58 311 55 316 22032 20408 53 303 55 304 59 308 57 313 53 315 20408 18771 50 302 52 306 56 309 56 316 51 315 18771 17204 50 303 51 306 53 309 54 318 47 314 17204 15780 49 304 49 306 50 310 51 318 44 313 15780 14508 48 306 48 305 47 312 48 318 41 313 14508 13366 48 307 46 305 45 313 44 317 39 312 13366 12335 47 308 45 305 43 313 41 318 37 313 12335 11404 47 308 43 306 42 313 38 320 36 314 11404 10563 46 307 42 307 40 312 35 321 34 316 10563 9807 45 306 40 308 37*310 33 321 33 318 9807 9126 41 305 38 307 33*307 30 318 32 319 9126 8505 35 303 34*305 28 305 28*313 31 317 8505 7946 26 301 27*301 23 301 24*306 29 313 7946 7472 18 294 20 293 19 297 20 300 24 307 7472 7103 12 276 15 282 16 294 16 292 19 299 7103 6847 11 257 13 271 14 292 13 281 14 288 6847 6690 10*243 10 265 12 290 10 271 11*277 6690 6600 5*218 7 262 8 289 6 262 5*249 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography