DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 54.9 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 149 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 2074 - - - - - 237 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6584 - - 8519 - - - - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8717 - - 9574 - - - - - 7737 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1713 - - 2081 - - - - - 2081 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 290 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 149 - - - - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1599 - - 1777 - - - - - 1137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7118 - - 7797 - - - - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1292 - - -679 - - - - - -637 ODpotential blCL - - - 10009 - - 10253 - - - - - 8374 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 180 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 54.9 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 43.3 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 56.4 - - - - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 42.8 - - - - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 149 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1217 - - 2074 - - - - - 237 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 76 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97371 6 167 2 245 4 307 97371 90179 11 126 3 216 4 086 90179 84614 13 128 6 164 6 093 84614 79985 12 149 5 191 6 115 79985 76005 3 158 10 187 0 239 76005 72492 7 239 6 186 3 286 72492 69297 8 245 6 227 2 282 69297 66340 8 254 5 203 2 251 66340 63584 9 265 6 206 13 262 63584 60907 14 245 8 230 7 269 60907 58090 21 247 13 257 23 247 58090 55168 29 231 31 233 40 228 55168 52402 28 224 39 217 38 212 52402 49900 48 237 55 234 36 225 49900 47642 67 231 67 230 50 231 47642 45586 73 225 65 226 63 223 45586 43703 76 221 65 227 72 213 43703 41978 79 221 72 225 82 209 41978 40391 79 222 80 221 88 206 40391 38916 79 222 84 218 89 204 38916 37542 80 219 85 215 89 202 37542 36236 77 216 85 212 89 200 36236 34935 70 214 84 209 88 198 34935 33611 62 214 82 207 86 196 33611 32269 58 215 80 207 83 195 32269 30895 56 215 78 207 80 196 30895 29479 53 215 76 209 76 198 29479 28029 50 214 74 211 63 199 28029 26546 46 213 71 212 35 195 26546 25033 43 213 63 212 32 198 25033 23494 40 213 56 213 36 201 23494 21921 38 214 49 213 36 201 21921 20309 38 214 42 211 35 199 20309 18687 40 214 38 211 34 196 18687 17136 38 209 35 210 34 194 17136 15728 35 205 33 208 33 193 15728 14469 32 204 31 203 31 195 14469 13338 28 204 30 201 30 193 13338 12317 24 204 29 201 30 188 12317 11393 21 202 27 200 30 185 11393 10558 19 199 24 196 29 187 10558 9807 17 191 19*187 28 193 9807 9129 15*180 16*174 26 200 9129 8509 13*165 13 162 23 211 8509 7950 10 152 10 144 21*221 7950 7475 8 132 10 135 18*229 7475 7106 7 123 10 133 15 236 7106 6848 6 120 9 132 11 243 6848 6691 6 119 9 131 9 250 6691 6601 5 118 7 131 4 266 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography