DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 54.3 - - 50.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 210 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 634 - - 1787 - - 954 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6584 - - 8439 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8134 - - 9287 - - 8454 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1143 - - 1719 - - 1538 - - 2948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 189 - - 307 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 184 - - 165 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -14 - - -8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1942 - - -1962 - - -1407 - - -2123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10077 - - 11249 - - 9861 - - 8725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8759 - - -7674 - - -6813 - - -8176 ODpotential blCL - - - 16893 - - 16961 - - 15267 - - 14777 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 49 - - 50 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 54.3 - - 50.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 28.0 - - 30.3 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 55.4 - - 53.3 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 27.6 - - 30.1 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 210 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 634 - - 1787 - - 954 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97543 6 279 11 289 5 321 8 307 97543 90304 6 286 12 276 13 336 9 324 90304 84718 2 237 8 277 16 318 6 307 84718 80076 4 323 3 342 9 324 4 312 80076 76063 13 313 7 331 8 308 9 326 76063 72505 11 276 9 268 10 264 13 295 72505 69284 14 271 12 272 12 276 12 281 69284 66321 16 266 14 269 17 265 14 262 66321 63566 18 266 19 271 24 261 21 262 63566 60894 25 257 23 264 28 253 27 251 60894 58111 30 256 29 254 34 249 28 249 58111 55227 39 257 36 251 37 249 35 245 55227 52480 50 254 48 251 43 247 42 239 52480 50016 55 248 55 248 50 244 48 237 50016 47806 54 246 57 245 54 246 51 240 47806 45793 52 248 55 244 55 247 53 243 45793 43940 52 250 51 243 54 247 55 243 43940 42221 49 249 47 243 51 244 55 242 42221 40617 45 250 44 243 49 241 53 240 40617 39115 43 250 43 245 49 241 52 240 39115 37718 40 251 45 246 52 245 51 242 37718 36399 37 253 46 246 51 245 48 242 36399 35096 34 253 43 246 47 242 45 239 35096 33775 33 248 35 244 41 240 42 238 33775 32435 31 238 30 243 34 238 38 236 32435 31062 31 236 29 241 31 234 37 233 31062 29646 31 238 30 239 32 234 36 230 29646 28190 30 239 30 239 33 232 35 226 28190 26697 27 239 28 239 31 228 32 223 26697 25171 24 235 26 234 28 227 28 221 25171 23617 22 229 24 229 24 226 24 217 23617 22031 19 223 23 225 22 224 22 211 22031 20407 18 220 22 220 20 220 19 204 20407 18774 17 223 20 217 19 212 16 201 18774 17211 16 228 17 219 17 206 14 198 17211 15791 14 232 15 221 15 207 13 203 15791 14524 13 232 13 223 12 212 11 203 14524 13387 13 225 13 224 11 220 10 202 13387 12359 14 216 13 225 12 230 11 205 12359 11429 15 212 14 226 13 233 12 203 11429 10587 17 210 16 224 14 229 13 198 10587 9830 17 207 15*218 14 219 14 193 9830 9146 16 202 13*212 13 207 15 189 9146 8520 14*198 11 203 12*197 15 184 8520 7957 10*192 8 178 10*186 12 177 7957 7480 7 171 8 166 7 169 9 169 7480 7108 5 145 8 161 6 155 6 155 7108 6849 5 142 7 158 5 149 3 131 6849 6691 4 137 7 156 4 143 3*087 6691 6600 4 134 6 153 3 135 1*015 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography