DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 44.3 - - 48.2 - - 43.7 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 94 - - 95 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 161 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 7661 - - 8129 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 789 - - 642 - - 1068 - - 2370 - - 1482 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 167 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 166 - - 190 - - 176 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 6 - - -11 - - 3 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1345 - - -1971 - - -2240 - - -2634 - - -1793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7946 - - 9632 - - 10369 - - 9235 - - 8395 sfcLCL ODpotential -8336 - - -7073 - - -6444 - - -7976 - - -7851 ODpotential blCL 14937 - - 14734 - - 14573 - - 14577 - - 14452 blCL maxRH 88 - - 92 - - 90 - - 79 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 44.3 - - 48.2 - - 43.7 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 25.4 - - 26.0 - - 26.5 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 46.4 - - 50.2 - - 49.8 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 25.2 - - 25.8 - - 26.3 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 94 - - 95 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 161 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 68 - - 60 - - 16 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95930 14 000 8 001 21 351 21 025 12 010 95930 89078 20 033 11 024 15 017 20 012 23 020 89078 83738 20 026 18 026 10 070 16 354 19 004 83738 79270 18 018 20 032 10 073 13 335 15 356 79270 75380 15 007 12 025 8 041 7 331 13 003 75380 71905 15 006 9 358 5 357 9 311 11 350 71905 68740 10 331 11 316 8 329 11 320 12 328 68740 65816 16 299 16 303 14 316 13 290 15 298 65816 63095 14 296 19 298 14 312 14 269 21 291 63095 60456 24 290 23 284 23 304 19 282 24 274 60456 57694 32 267 28 269 27 281 19 281 22 261 57694 54812 42 257 32 269 35 285 38 270 47 256 54812 52070 45 258 47 264 43 273 51 265 49 260 52070 49611 48 261 52 263 60 257 62 263 62 267 49611 47397 55 263 63 261 71 257 69 260 63 261 47397 45389 65 264 75 258 77 258 73 259 61 257 45389 43551 73 262 74 255 78 254 77 258 59 258 43551 41859 74 262 64 256 71 251 77 255 68 258 41859 40293 69 263 62 262 61 253 74 252 79 256 40293 38839 66 265 64 264 57 256 68 251 80 252 38839 37486 67 266 66 262 59 258 61 252 76 250 37486 36197 69 265 67 259 60 258 58 256 72 251 36197 34907 70 264 66 257 58 256 56 259 70 253 34907 33591 69 263 63 259 54 252 53 260 67 253 33591 32254 63 265 58 264 46 250 50 257 61 250 32254 30887 57 270 47 268 41 250 46 252 54 245 30887 29482 50 270 40 266 40 247 42 246 51 238 29482 28037 42 265 39 262 39 245 38 242 50 234 28037 26553 37 266 39 261 37 244 35 244 47 234 26553 25036 33 263 38 261 36 242 34 249 44 236 25036 23492 29 253 35 255 38 241 33 255 43 241 23492 21918 27 250 34 249 41 243 34 257 43 245 21918 20306 29 253 34 244 44 245 36 256 41 247 20306 18683 32 254 35 242 44 245 40 252 40 245 18683 17129 34 255 34 243 42 244 43 247 42 239 17129 15722 33 255 32 246 38 243 44 244 43 234 15722 14468 30 255 30 246 35 242 42 243 40 230 14468 13341 27 255 27 240 33 239 38 242 36 226 13341 12323 24 252 25 234 31 235 33 239 32 223 12323 11399 23 247 24 227 28 233 31 233 29 220 11399 10564 23 241 23 220 25 230 29 227 26 216 10564 9811 22 234 22 215 22 226 26 220 23 212 9811 9131 20 226 20 211 20 221 24 213 21 209 9131 8509 16 220 18 207 17*215 21 209 20 206 8509 7948 12 211 15*203 14*211 17 206 20 202 7948 7473 9 198 11*192 9 191 13 203 15 191 7473 7104 7 170 6 164 7 179 8 196 10 174 7104 6847 5 149 5 148 6 173 4 179 7 152 6847 6691 5*114 4 139 5 169 2*131 5*118 6691 6600 3*065 4 131 4 161 2*079 3*071 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography