DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.4 - - 25.8 - - 29.4 - - 24.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 24 - - 47 - - -24 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 788 - - 1483 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 8288 - - 8983 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2538 - - 1405 - - 1136 - - 1954 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 120 - - 184 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 15 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 270 - - 254 - - 232 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - -29 - - -35 - - -44 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1150 - - -76 - - 804 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7750 - - 8365 - - 8180 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -7478 - - -6409 - - -5582 - - -6316 - - -5356 ODpotential blCL 14078 - - 14697 - - 14565 - - 12916 - - 11956 blCL maxRH 55 - - 53 - - 54 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.4 - - 25.8 - - 29.4 - - 24.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.0 - - 12.6 - - 16.9 - - 19.0 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 28.4 - - 31.8 - - 28.8 - - 28.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.2 - - 11.5 - - 15.7 - - 18.3 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 24 - - 47 - - -24 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 788 - - 1483 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95963 17 306 27 295 28 316 22 329 26 311 95963 88980 19 317 17 298 18 316 23 311 23 317 88980 83488 14 334 11 289 16 303 19 300 24 321 83488 78904 12 325 9 342 9 297 19 319 27 321 78904 74936 23 314 14 298 10 279 17 312 26 317 74936 71416 17 300 10 294 11 304 23 298 33 287 71416 68243 18 293 22 286 23 321 28 294 30 265 68243 65322 20 278 17 281 15 290 14 296 18 279 65322 62562 4 270 9 275 24 278 24 306 14 306 62562 59849 22 309 45 291 54 286 58 291 58 299 59849 57024 64 290 63 291 66 290 66 291 67 294 57024 54106 75 284 72 286 71 293 74 291 74 288 54106 51324 76 281 76 287 78 291 79 289 77 284 51324 48822 76 286 81 290 84 288 83 289 76 286 48822 46585 84 292 87 291 90 288 86 290 76 292 46585 44557 93 292 92 290 93 288 89 292 82 296 44557 42699 98 289 94 287 94 287 94 293 94 295 42699 40987 99 287 93 286 96 287 99 291 105 292 40987 39409 98 287 94 287 99 287 104 288 111 290 39409 37963 101 289 99 289 103 287 107 287 126 296 37963 36632 109 290 105 288 105 286 112 288 155 302 36632 35366 117 290 109 286 106 287 118 290 160 302 35366 34098 123 289 112 285 110 289 125 290 139 298 34098 32805 123 288 113 284 116 289 128 288 124 291 32805 31491 118 287 112 284 117 288 126 289 129 286 31491 30142 111 287 111 285 116 288 123 289 126 285 30142 28752 106 286 109 287 113 287 119 289 121 287 28752 27325 102 287 105 289 109 288 115 289 115 289 27325 25867 98 288 98 290 102 290 111 290 111 293 25867 24383 96 291 91 290 91 292 100 292 103 297 24383 22881 95 294 85 290 79 291 82 292 80 300 22881 21361 90 295 80 290 71 288 67 288 55 294 21361 19810 81 294 75 292 66 285 60 283 49 281 19810 18249 72 290 70 293 62 283 57 280 52 269 18249 16754 65 286 64 292 59 282 53 279 54 267 16754 15396 63 283 58 291 56 282 49 278 52 268 15396 14184 61 283 53 288 53 283 45 278 50 268 14184 13094 59 283 49 286 50 283 42 277 48 267 13094 12110 55 285 44 285 46 284 40 276 47 265 12110 11220 51 287 39 286 41 285 38 275 45 264 11220 10413 46 288 35 287 35 285 36 273 43 264 10413 9687 41 290 30 289 29 283 33 271 39 265 9687 9031 36 292 25 289 24*279 30 269 33 265 9031 8433 31 293 21*288 19*272 27 265 26 263 8433 7894 26 294 17*283 16 259 24 258 19 257 7894 7437 21 295 13 275 15 250 21 247 15 248 7437 7082 17 293 10 263 14 245 19 237 14 233 7082 6836 13 288 8 256 13 243 17 231 13 224 6836 6685 10*281 7 251 12 242 13*229 8*202 6685 6599 3*208 5 246 8 241 6*229 4*145 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography