DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.8 - - 83.9 - - 91.1 - - 88.7 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 308 - - 356 - - 162 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 65 - - 3376 - - 15580 - - 13716 - - 5602 BL Depth Hcrit 6585 - - 9747 - - 19667 - - 17513 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 7565 - - 10876 - - 23080 - - 21216 - - 13102 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1109 - - 6120 - - 1695 - - 2484 - - 8206 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 433 - - 758 - - 562 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 23 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 194 - - 217 - - 230 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 18 - - 23 - - 19 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -18 - - -12 - - -46 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9420 - - -7830 - - 2435 - - 1232 - - -4870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16986 - - 18706 - - 20646 - - 19985 - - 17973 sfcLCL ODpotential -14452 - - -11324 - - 224 - - -2709 - - -9448 ODpotential blCL 22017 - - 22200 - - 22856 - - 23925 - - 22550 blCL maxRH 74 - - 79 - - 85 - - 73 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.8 - - 83.9 - - 91.1 - - 88.7 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.9 - - 24.6 - - 22.2 - - 23.1 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.3 - - 84.5 - - 91.5 - - 90.1 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 23.6 - - 21.0 - - 22.0 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 308 - - 356 - - 162 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 65 - - 3376 - - 15580 - - 13716 - - 5602 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 17 - - 40 - - 0 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99791 33 111 29 112 33 097 32 103 26 110 99791 92197 30 094 30 109 28 106 21 099 31 096 92197 86355 27 099 22 109 20 107 23 098 24 081 86355 81529 22 115 19 112 18 094 19 105 20 084 81529 77377 20 117 15 108 13 122 19 114 13 088 77377 73717 17 103 12 119 15 126 9 102 16 114 73717 70416 7 140 14 128 5 118 6 130 14 108 70416 67397 10 178 6 139 6 171 7 139 8 103 67397 64601 14 212 5 251 7 199 3 264 2 119 64601 61902 17 217 13 218 12 218 8 191 17 186 61902 59121 15 226 13 217 15 221 14 222 14 214 59121 56268 17 229 27 215 36 228 35 226 27 225 56268 53563 32 225 38 217 47 220 43 217 38 217 53563 51135 50 231 49 228 52 221 46 224 46 220 51135 48953 56 233 61 234 60 226 54 229 53 224 48953 46961 60 234 69 232 65 228 61 229 56 229 46961 45126 65 236 69 228 65 229 65 225 63 230 45126 43424 67 238 64 232 62 227 63 220 67 224 43424 41834 66 236 62 238 56 235 56 223 62 221 41834 40342 65 236 64 238 66 244 53 234 56 234 40342 38943 66 238 65 237 71 244 56 243 59 241 38943 37608 61 239 61 234 65 240 56 241 57 238 37608 36270 54 240 54 232 55 234 56 234 54 233 36270 34904 48 240 48 234 53 229 56 228 56 227 34904 33514 43 238 44 234 51 226 55 229 58 225 33514 32084 38 240 39 233 48 225 49 232 53 225 32084 30612 34 243 35 232 41 222 43 228 47 223 30612 29104 31 250 29 230 34 212 40 219 44 220 29104 27561 28 245 26 222 34 208 37 214 39 221 27561 25991 28 218 26 210 36 208 35 214 33 225 25991 24394 32 189 28 212 35*213 33 215 29 229 24394 22762 35 184 32 220 33*220 29*217 28 230 22762 21090 32 190 34 220 33 221 27*218 28 226 21090 19404 28 194 34 210 33 218 27 222 27 220 19404 17785 25 195 32 203 29 217 27 224 24 214 17785 16308 23 201 29 202 25 216 26 226 22 208 16308 14983 24 210 27 208 24 216 23 229 21 206 14983 13788 28 213 27 215 21 214 22 231 20*205 13788 12705 30 214 25 218 19 214 21 232 18*205 12705 11723 31 215 24*218 18 214 19 237 15 206 11723 10834 30 216 22*216 18 215 18 239 12 211 10834 10032 28 217 19 210 17 215 18 240 10 221 10032 9307 25 216 14 199 17 215 17 241 8 235 9307 8645 20 211 12 188 16 215 17 242 8 249 8645 8047 14*200 11 177 16 216 16 242 7 259 8047 7539 8*176 11 174 15 216 16 242 7 264 7539 7144 6 144 10 171 14 216 15 243 7 266 7144 6869 4 131 10 169 13 216 14 243 6 271 6869 6700 3 122 9 168 12 216 13 243 4 278 6700 6603 1 109 8 167 10 216 10 243 3 286 6603 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography