DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 32.2 - - 40.7 - - 33.8 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -6 - - 40 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6582 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 6600 - - 6601 - - 6600 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 551 - - 610 - - 1230 - - 637 - - 501 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 37 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 193 - - 208 - - 192 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -10 - - -10 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3174 - - -2704 - - -3815 - - -2014 - - -1678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9775 - - 9304 - - 10416 - - 8614 - - 8280 sfcLCL ODpotential -14625 - - -12683 - - -12026 - - -10780 - - -11177 ODpotential blCL 21226 - - 19283 - - 18627 - - 17380 - - 17778 blCL maxRH 74 - - 72 - - 88 - - 95 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 32.2 - - 40.7 - - 33.8 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.6 - - 15.3 - - 18.8 - - 19.7 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 36.5 - - 43.1 - - 38.4 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.8 - - 14.7 - - 18.3 - - 19.2 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -6 - - 40 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 53 - - 81 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 33 032 29 021 18 030 27 010 32 006 96319 89417 24 009 21 356 19 031 13 360 24 332 89417 84063 25 349 21 352 22 006 17 344 20 318 84063 79555 20 331 13 349 19 351 15 350 14 309 79555 75596 14 348 16 341 21 317 22 345 17 324 75596 72061 9 343 12 337 19 304 19 324 14 327 72061 68850 18 345 15 329 15 297 16 323 18 312 68850 65905 26 338 21 328 21 320 19 313 21 303 65905 63182 25 329 30 319 29 310 23 319 21 321 63182 60553 28 315 29 310 30 289 41 295 45 294 60553 57825 26 311 24 296 27 296 44 282 53 284 57825 55001 28 317 36 316 45 292 45 289 52 284 55001 52289 42 317 38 303 47 288 52 292 47 282 52289 49817 49 308 38 297 44 293 52 288 52 291 49817 47576 42 298 38 303 43 296 53 292 66 290 47576 45534 35 306 46 312 43 299 61 292 68 286 45534 43657 40 318 60 309 53 297 64 290 67 288 43657 41926 54 317 56 299 56 292 64 289 70 291 41926 40324 51 317 41 284 56 290 67 285 72 288 40324 38843 30 332 46 305 58 289 64 280 71 281 38843 37470 38 339 62 309 58 287 61 279 68 277 37470 36171 51 333 65 311 59 287 60 273 66 276 36171 34884 51 330 49 311 59 289 58 267 62 277 34884 33581 43 329 43 308 49 290 55 267 59 279 33581 32262 40 327 35 310 32 284 51 267 57 277 32262 30907 37 325 24 307 38 280 49 263 55 272 30907 29506 27 322 27 292 40 280 47 262 63 276 29506 28066 24 304 34 290 38 280 43 264 62 282 28066 26591 26 296 36 289 35 282 39 270 57 283 26591 25082 27 296 35 287 31 285 35 276 51 282 25082 23542 31 295 36 288 32 290 34 281 46 283 23542 21967 32 291 36 286 35 289 34 286 42 286 21967 20352 30 279 33 280 36 284 34 291 39 291 20352 18723 29 272 33 280 35 279 32 295 34 296 18723 17162 28 274 32 278 33 276 31 301 29 294 17162 15741 25 276 29 273 32 275 31 306 28 290 15741 14471 23 275 27 269 30 275 31 307 28 287 14471 13331 22 273 25 266 29 275 32 306 29 288 13331 12306 20 272 24 264 30 276 32 304 30 290 12306 11379 19 269 23 260 30 277 31 300 31 291 11379 10542 17 266 22 256 30 278 29 297 31 291 10542 9789 17 262 22 252 28 278 24 294 29 291 9789 9111 16 256 22 248 25 276 18 291 25 288 9111 8492 16 250 21 244 21 270 13 283 20 283 8492 7934 15 241 19 237 17 257 11 256 16 271 7934 7462 13 231 16 228 14 241 12 227 15 255 7462 7096 10 217 12 218 10 217 13 208 14 241 7096 6842 8 210 8 206 8 207 10 197 10 230 6842 6688 5*198 5*189 7*203 7*190 6*216 6688 6600 3*201 3*167 5*198 4*187 2*159 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography