DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 39.3 - - 42.8 - - 41.4 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 1 - - 94 - - -7 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 344 - - 1961 - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 8211 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 7844 - - 9461 - - 9074 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2558 - - 1672 - - 1399 - - 1545 - - 2662 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 51 - - 249 - - 53 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 13 - - 23 - - 20 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 231 - - 232 - - 229 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 17 - - 23 - - 20 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -29 - - -29 - - -51 - - -44 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1400 - - -48 - - 1564 - - 828 - - -1235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8002 - - 7893 - - 7897 - - 8246 - - 7837 sfcLCL ODpotential -7529 - - -4882 - - -3005 - - -3625 - - -7243 ODpotential blCL 14130 - - 12726 - - 12466 - - 12699 - - 13844 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 87 - - 77 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 39.3 - - 42.8 - - 41.4 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 28.0 - - 31.3 - - 28.4 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 42.2 - - 44.8 - - 44.8 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 26.8 - - 30.0 - - 27.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 1 - - 94 - - -7 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 344 - - 1961 - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 101 - - 48 - - 9 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96889 14 032 15 037 13 062 12 044 21 021 96889 89867 18 062 16 086 20 085 21 078 19 059 89867 84357 15 071 17 101 17 088 19 078 16 073 84357 79740 17 063 15 098 10 087 11 089 15 078 79740 75723 7 051 10 099 9 054 8 034 6 055 75723 72142 4 317 8 088 2 233 6 307 6 007 72142 68878 8 321 8 359 6 324 7 276 8 324 68878 65880 13 294 16 273 14 295 13 294 15 305 65880 63121 17 279 17 265 18 286 15 299 17 307 63121 60459 17 292 24 292 25 290 20 294 23 295 60459 57684 22 289 26 289 27 289 22 290 20 286 57684 54791 23 282 26 278 25 280 26 287 21 282 54791 51999 27 293 29 273 28 277 36 279 29 278 51999 49467 39 286 34 277 40 276 48 276 42 278 49467 47192 44 277 40 276 46 267 53 269 49 269 47192 45126 36 273 41 285 42 270 50 273 47 267 45126 43239 54 283 59 293 53 285 60 288 59 283 43239 41525 53 281 67 280 73 280 71 283 87 281 41525 39968 58 310 50 284 68 279 74 280 99 276 39968 38536 108 316 84 311 74 301 76 289 98 277 38536 37209 123 313 113 310 96 306 85 292 96 277 37209 35946 108 307 103 307 96 302 79 287 92 275 35946 34683 97 301 92 304 81 294 66 278 88 271 34683 33392 87 296 84 298 72 283 67 269 86 265 33392 32075 83 292 81 294 72 274 73 265 86 262 32075 30721 76 288 75 287 75 271 77 265 88 263 30721 29321 73 280 71 279 78 273 80 268 90 267 29321 27880 74 276 71 276 77 277 79 272 88 271 27880 26404 72 276 68 276 72 281 76 276 79 273 26404 24901 66 276 61 276 66 283 72 277 68 274 24901 23375 58 274 56 276 61 282 66 277 59 274 23375 21817 55 275 54 277 56 280 60 275 55 272 21817 20220 54 278 51 278 51 278 55 273 54 268 20220 18610 52 281 48 278 48 275 50 269 54 266 18610 17067 46 280 45 275 47 273 47 263 54 264 17067 15664 39 273 42 269 48 271 47 259 53 263 15664 14410 33 260 40 262 48 266 48 255 52 261 14410 13285 30 248 37 253 46 259 47 253 51 258 13285 12270 28 241 36 245 44 252 46 251 50 255 12270 11352 27 238 35 241 41 246 43 250 48 251 11352 10524 27 237 33 238 39 242 39 247 46 248 10524 9778 27 236 32 236 36*240 35 244 45 245 9778 9105 27 237 30 235 33*238 30*239 42 243 9105 8490 27 238 27 234 28 235 26*234 37 241 8490 7936 25 241 25*236 23 231 23 230 31 238 7936 7466 22 243 20*236 20 229 21 227 24 231 7466 7099 17 244 15 233 19 229 18 226 19 223 7099 6845 12 240 11 227 17 229 15 226 15 217 6845 6690 8*234 8 223 16 228 13 227 11*213 6690 6600 1*191 4 218 10 229 6 231 5*212 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography