DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 68.1 - - 73.0 - - 71.2 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 185 - - 238 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 787 - - 5103 - - 3692 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6585 - - 10962 - - 6585 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 8287 - - 12603 - - 11192 - - 6603 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 597 - - 3057 - - 5705 - - 7042 - - 2681 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 223 - - 453 - - 55 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 200 - - 234 - - 209 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 16 - - 14 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -21 - - -15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6303 - - -7184 - - -3304 - - -4091 - - -6292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12906 - - 15472 - - 15908 - - 15284 - - 12895 sfcLCL ODpotential -12863 - - -11285 - - -6420 - - -7218 - - -11164 ODpotential blCL 19465 - - 19572 - - 19023 - - 18410 - - 17767 blCL maxRH 55 - - 75 - - 89 - - 73 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 68.1 - - 73.0 - - 71.2 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 23.6 - - 26.1 - - 27.3 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 69.5 - - 74.0 - - 74.1 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 23.2 - - 25.8 - - 27.1 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 185 - - 238 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 787 - - 5103 - - 3692 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 2 228 1 235 8 246 2 013 6 209 97823 90545 4 046 1 313 4 289 6 044 7 050 90545 84911 12 056 5 157 4 298 6 336 12 044 84911 80244 9 019 4 107 2 230 9 336 16 030 80244 76231 9 356 4 039 0 166 7 332 10 332 76231 72705 9 339 7 355 5 329 8 307 6 325 72705 69510 11 343 14 344 13 326 14 325 10 359 69510 66568 15 338 17 333 18 338 19 318 21 323 66568 63855 16 334 14 321 18 331 18 334 23 314 63855 61230 23 320 19 320 24 307 24 324 23 309 61230 58473 30 304 26 316 25 291 28 304 25 304 58473 55596 34 296 29 309 25 294 31 293 26 303 55596 52847 32 288 31 301 25 307 31 292 25 307 52847 50377 28 289 30 297 28 312 26 295 24 312 50377 48164 31 294 28 299 29 306 20 305 23 317 48164 46153 34 288 27 303 27 301 21 314 17 323 46153 44305 32 281 28 299 23 302 19 309 13 335 44305 42595 32 277 30 289 23 289 13 315 13 333 42595 41005 34 278 32 275 26 274 14 307 9 345 41005 39523 31 266 24 273 26 264 22 279 9 347 39523 38145 24 246 26 246 28 254 26 263 11 286 38145 36843 21 244 23 226 26 233 23 249 14 263 36843 35548 22 247 27 228 26 237 19 249 12 242 35548 34231 21 246 29 236 27 246 19 255 8 230 34231 32891 24 254 26 252 27 248 21 251 7 235 32891 31515 28 269 23 263 26 252 22 253 7 243 31515 30094 32 275 24 266 26 257 20 258 8 251 30094 28633 35 273 27 267 25 262 18 262 11 254 28633 27132 38 267 30 268 26 266 20 261 15 260 27132 25597 36 264 30 268 27 267 22 259 19 263 25597 24031 32 263 29 262 26 265 23 258 21 262 24031 22429 27 264 28 256 26 256 23 256 21 266 22429 20784 23 274 27 260 27 251 23 254 21 265 20784 19126 23 285 26 269 27 258 23 262 21 260 19126 17537 23 290 23 280 24 269 20 277 19 259 17537 16089 20 289 21 288 21 276 17 285 15 263 16089 14792 17 285 18 287 18 278 17 285 13 271 14792 13623 15 279 15 276 16*277 16 278 12 280 13623 12564 14 273 14 263 14*273 15 268 13 286 12564 11603 13 271 13 255 13 266 15*257 15 286 11603 10733 12 269 12 252 12 256 14*244 16 281 10733 9949 11 267 10 251 10 244 14 232 16 273 9949 9240 11 266 9 249 9 223 13 219 16 264 9240 8592 10 264 7*242 9 206 12 205 16 253 8592 8008 8 263 6*228 9 196 11 194 14 240 8008 7513 7 258 5 209 9 190 10 184 12 225 7513 7127 4 245 5 191 9 185 10 178 9 210 7127 6859 3 226 5 184 8 182 9 175 6 196 6859 6696 2*168 5 178 8 180 8 172 3*169 6696 6602 1*144 4 176 7 177 6 168 0*137 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography