DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 38.4 - - 40.9 - - 38.0 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 73 - - 72 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 83 - - 1942 - - 3083 - - 2631 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 7998 - - 8856 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 7583 - - 9442 - - 10583 - - 10131 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1534 - - 1542 - - 1379 - - 1188 - - 2144 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 232 - - 270 - - 36 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 357 - - 353 - - 064 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - -11 - - 10 - - 6 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 984 - - 2289 - - 3083 - - 3531 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 7153 - - 7500 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -4054 - - -3079 - - -1287 - - 1106 - - -2147 ODpotential blCL 11637 - - 12521 - - 11870 - - 9025 - - 8748 blCL maxRH 68 - - 71 - - 78 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 38.4 - - 40.9 - - 38.0 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.0 - - 30.2 - - 31.3 - - 34.0 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 40.5 - - 43.0 - - 41.8 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 29.0 - - 30.0 - - 32.8 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 73 - - 72 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 83 - - 1942 - - 3083 - - 2631 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 55 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96297 9 310 24 280 27 315 21 317 23 310 96297 89483 8 338 9 344 12 308 12 337 19 334 89483 84147 8 005 8 027 3 264 5 350 12 331 84147 79651 4 331 3 230 1 291 2 270 7 323 79651 75717 2 290 8 220 8 283 8 271 6 305 75717 72202 4 002 7 223 13 249 14 256 9 261 72202 69011 7 299 9 231 12 242 13 257 8 258 69011 66071 12 250 11 247 10 257 13 263 11 278 66071 63337 15 240 12 240 14 271 17 280 20 273 63337 60685 13 247 14 252 18 243 21 256 23 250 60685 57914 15 276 12 231 18 227 14 242 13 245 57914 55023 25 282 24 273 22 270 31 276 15 289 55023 52253 30 283 35 256 37 253 35 255 27 265 52253 49764 35 276 28 234 37 229 26 226 27 259 49764 47537 32 279 20 225 22 238 23 252 26 277 47537 45520 29 292 28 286 25 298 32 277 29 291 45520 43690 34 299 37 292 26 292 33 294 34 313 43690 42017 29 296 35 292 28 295 34 309 53 319 42017 40463 21 280 27 288 32 298 45 314 74 310 40463 39011 19 291 22 287 36 303 54 314 83 311 39011 37652 29 312 19 295 40 314 55 315 88 313 37652 36354 34 324 33 327 46 323 54 320 95 313 36354 35053 36 336 51 330 56 332 57 328 93 313 35053 33720 45 346 56 331 69 335 63 330 78 312 33720 32365 59 348 61 338 77 334 68 328 63 310 32365 30977 65 346 69 338 77 333 70 326 59 321 30977 29552 60 348 63 342 74 334 68 327 58 328 29552 28093 56 358 55 355 64 338 66 335 50 335 28093 26601 58 003 53 002 54 351 61 347 44 343 26601 25079 58 001 54 003 53 005 53 355 41 352 25079 23532 55 002 56 005 58 008 48 359 39 358 23532 21954 53 006 56 005 61 007 49 005 39 008 21954 20339 52 010 53 006 60 010 52 013 41 019 20339 18710 45 010 50 008 53 014 55 019 40 028 18710 17147 32 006 46 010 47 017 53 024 35 035 17147 15722 24 001 36 009 41 019 45 030 29 038 15722 14447 20 356 25 004 31 017 33 031 25 041 14447 13302 18 351 17 358 20 006 20 014 22 039 13302 12271 17 349 14 352 16 351 16 350 17 028 12271 11341 18 348 12 349 13*342 13 351 14 002 11341 10503 18 349 11 349 9*338 8*356 12 003 10503 9754 18 349 10*351 6 342 5*004 8 036 9754 9082 16 350 10*350 5 351 4 014 6 080 9082 8471 20 350 12 356 4 358 3 045 6 122 8471 7922 21*348 12 358 4 004 3 085 5 154 7922 7456 21*345 12 358 4 006 3 103 5 186 7456 7093 20 343 12 358 4 010 4 112 6 222 7093 6842 17 339 11 358 3 015 4 117 7 238 6842 6688 13 334 10 358 3 016 3 121 6*244 6688 6600 5 320 7 358 3 017 2 126 4*250 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography