DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 61.1 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 290 - - 76 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3860 - - 6366 - - 5931 - - 1156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10063 - - 12046 - - 10805 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11360 - - 13866 - - 13431 - - 8656 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1485 - - 1225 - - 1746 - - 3948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 522 - - 326 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 22 - - 63 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 003 - - 092 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 19 - - 12 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2005 - - 3421 - - 3181 - - 410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9355 - - 10445 - - 10250 - - 8246 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -875 - - 1635 - - 1249 - - -3498 ODpotential blCL - - - 12235 - - 12231 - - 12182 - - 12154 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 89 - - 90 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 61.1 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.6 - - 38.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 61.9 - - 62.8 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 38.0 - - 38.6 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 290 - - 76 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3860 - - 6366 - - 5931 - - 1156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 56 - - 61 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98195 10 296 13 303 16 313 13 292 98195 90882 15 328 14 330 13 324 19 306 90882 85241 20 332 15 327 19 317 20 324 85241 80565 16 315 13 318 19 309 20 342 80565 76541 14 310 14 318 14 294 21 334 76541 72980 12 304 15 325 11 300 16 321 72980 69747 18 292 16 319 15 307 14 331 69747 66764 17 282 17 299 19 304 16 329 66764 63990 17 288 16 286 17 301 14 310 63990 61299 19 285 16 282 17 303 14 298 61299 58486 18 278 19 276 21 295 19 302 58486 55567 16 274 20 273 24 282 23 296 55567 52783 15 274 21 275 22 279 20 286 52783 50280 15 281 19 281 18 289 14 301 50280 48038 16 290 15 292 16 298 17 325 48038 46005 16 297 14 305 15 302 19 341 46005 44140 17 311 15 325 15 324 20 348 44140 42418 19 313 19 331 18 339 22 353 42418 40822 20 311 20 327 19 342 22 350 40822 39337 19 315 19 324 20 335 20 340 39337 37956 21 321 19 324 21 323 17 329 37956 36646 25 318 21 324 21 313 16 323 36646 35342 26 315 23 323 20 310 17 314 35342 34013 25 316 23 321 20 313 16 304 34013 32664 23 318 21 323 19 317 13 306 32664 31281 22 318 19 324 16 319 10 319 31281 29860 23 317 21 320 16 323 10 329 29860 28401 22 318 22 319 17 320 11 328 28401 26905 20 322 21 324 17 323 12 325 26905 25374 18 323 19 325 15 324 12 326 25374 23811 16 324 17 324 14 323 11 325 23811 22212 16 331 15 330 12 328 10 329 22212 20572 16 343 14 342 11 343 9 342 20572 18919 16 350 14 349 13 360 10 011 18919 17339 16 354 16 351 15 002 13 026 17339 15904 17 357 17 352 15 002 14 021 15904 14622 18 002 15*356 14 354 13 009 14622 13471 17 006 12*353 13*346 12 359 13471 12432 16 007 11 350 10*344 10 352 12432 11491 14*003 9 348 6 338 8 346 11491 10639 11*356 6 346 1 315 5 328 10639 9873 8 347 4 351 1 173 3 294 9873 9180 6 341 2 028 3 150 3*249 9180 8547 4 338 2 091 4 140 4*202 8547 7977 2 341 3 111 5 134 5 172 7977 7493 1 007 3 115 5 132 6 154 7493 7116 1 057 4 115 5 129 6 142 7116 6854 1 086 4 115 5 127 5 133 6854 6693 1 093 4 114 5 127 3 125 6693 6601 1 097 4 115 4 125 2 121 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography