DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.2 - - 24.1 - - 27.7 - - 26.8 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 1 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1071 - - 729 - - 1666 - - 2642 - - 1492 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 25 - - 16 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 187 - - 214 - - 243 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -7 - - -12 - - -13 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1633 - - -216 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8234 - - 6817 - - 6599 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -8070 - - -6489 - - -4668 - - -3162 - - -3999 ODpotential blCL 14670 - - 13089 - - 11268 - - 9762 - - 10599 blCL maxRH 88 - - 84 - - 92 - - 92 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.2 - - 24.1 - - 27.7 - - 26.8 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.0 - - 17.9 - - 22.8 - - 22.9 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.3 - - 26.8 - - 30.6 - - 33.4 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.9 - - 17.2 - - 21.7 - - 23.9 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 1 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 36 - - 70 - - 68 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 41 082 24 078 30 087 29 083 28 091 96607 89476 34 071 21 063 26 074 29 072 29 080 89476 83962 28 065 15 071 17 065 26 039 29 055 83962 79390 23 056 21 074 17 077 14 029 25 043 79390 75438 25 029 30 032 27 045 11 036 20 015 75438 71949 20 025 25 020 26 039 13 035 16 007 71949 68791 14 025 18 024 19 026 18 020 12 031 68791 65861 23 018 21 017 16 007 21 003 15 015 65861 63124 24 005 26 013 17 350 17 343 13 338 63124 60474 29 011 28 015 15 355 19 344 20 333 60474 57730 33 012 30 010 22 352 30 331 23 325 57730 54873 37 011 35 354 30 343 32 338 25 346 54873 52107 39 356 39 341 38 347 41 352 38 342 52107 49594 40 345 41 348 53 351 53 348 51 347 49594 47329 43 357 54 356 61 349 59 349 64 345 47329 45263 57 002 66 351 67 351 69 347 74 340 45263 43357 67 355 71 349 72 346 76 341 78 334 43357 41592 65 351 72 349 70 345 73 339 72 334 41592 39950 60 354 71 351 67 348 65 341 68 339 39950 38418 62 001 73 357 71 354 68 348 71 343 38418 36989 69 006 79 000 82 354 78 349 76 339 36989 35641 88 004 88 356 88 347 83 344 77 336 35641 34317 102 358 92 349 82 341 76 335 75 336 34317 32989 104 355 93 349 75 341 63 328 71 334 32989 31659 102 356 94 351 76 346 60 331 65 328 31659 30308 100 357 93 351 79 348 60 332 62 324 30308 28925 97 355 88 350 78 347 59 333 59 322 28925 27509 95 354 84 348 75 344 58 336 58 322 27509 26060 88 356 81 349 70 342 58 338 55 322 26060 24579 61 357 76 350 65 342 58 339 51 323 24579 23070 51 348 66 350 59 342 56 337 48 327 23070 21528 49 339 57 345 54 341 53 336 46 331 21528 19948 43 333 49 339 49 337 48 333 44 332 19948 18359 38 332 44 333 45 332 43 331 42 331 18359 16842 33 333 40 328 41 327 39 330 40 328 16842 15466 29 333 35 323 38 323 37 328 39 325 15466 14239 26 330 30 318 33 320 34 327 37 322 14239 13138 22 325 25 312 29 318 32 327 35 321 13138 12145 20 318 22 307 26 316 30 327 33 321 12145 11247 18 310 20 302 24 313 28 326 32 323 11247 10437 16 307 18 300 22 309 26 322 32 324 10437 9707 15 309 17 302 17 303 24 318 31 322 9707 9049 15 316 16 303 14 295 21 313 29 319 9049 8448 14 321 14 298 12 278 18 308 24 316 8448 7906 13 320 12 286 11 254 15 298 18 311 7906 7446 10 312 9 264 10 232 12 282 12 297 7446 7088 6 296 6 233 8 217 10 265 11 272 7088 6839 3 259 5 201 6 202 7 241 11 254 6839 6686 3*225 4*183 5*194 5*224 10*243 6686 6599 2*220 3*171 3*187 3*199 5*228 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography