DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 60.6 - - 67.6 - - 67.5 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 306 - - 346 - - 95 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4267 - - 7797 - - 9265 - - 5233 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 10425 - - 13275 - - 13509 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 11767 - - 15297 - - 16765 - - 12733 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2139 - - 2023 - - 1850 - - 2018 - - 3658 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 465 - - 593 - - 410 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 228 - - 236 - - 240 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 16 - - 10 - - 11 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -21 - - -20 - - -30 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2429 - - 1682 - - 2880 - - 3498 - - 1974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9031 - - 10086 - - 12418 - - 13268 - - 10759 sfcLCL ODpotential -6661 - - -462 - - 706 - - 1397 - - -2299 ODpotential blCL 13263 - - 12229 - - 14591 - - 15368 - - 15032 blCL maxRH 77 - - 86 - - 82 - - 70 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 200 - - 250 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 60.6 - - 67.6 - - 67.5 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 39.1 - - 35.8 - - 32.0 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 61.4 - - 68.2 - - 69.5 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 38.9 - - 35.6 - - 31.8 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 306 - - 346 - - 95 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4267 - - 7797 - - 9265 - - 5233 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 43 - - 29 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98219 13 062 13 086 14 131 3 104 4 074 98219 90915 15 076 12 095 9 098 9 083 9 058 90915 85258 10 076 9 097 9 090 8 108 7 003 85258 80562 8 095 3 069 9 100 6 082 2 064 80562 76511 10 106 3 092 10 096 3 068 4 069 76511 72929 10 082 9 111 4 074 8 078 4 049 72929 69698 6 063 10 105 6 185 7 029 6 071 69698 66725 2 260 6 098 11 143 2 236 6 053 66725 63955 3 281 3 125 7 136 4 245 4 044 63955 61268 2 238 4 229 2 151 6 237 1 314 61268 58465 4 219 7 234 4 253 8 247 4 264 58465 55547 9 247 11 252 11 253 7 268 6 242 55547 52759 14 247 13 253 18 259 15 301 2 293 52759 50247 16 256 21 259 23 255 23 262 16 268 50247 47990 19 263 20 256 25 261 26 261 21 264 47990 45941 23 276 25 264 29 268 37 265 27 268 45941 44058 29 272 32 271 32 260 40 258 31 249 44058 42308 30 263 32 263 35 255 39 258 27 239 42308 40668 31 261 32 248 35 252 37 258 24 250 40668 39132 30 262 29 238 28 244 32 257 31 257 39132 37705 27 252 27 229 24 233 28 254 35 252 37705 36365 27 255 25 211 25 230 29 248 34 238 36365 35045 24 252 23 217 27 223 32 238 31 236 35045 33716 24 250 24 229 32 201 34 228 33 246 33716 32381 25 251 26 235 33 199 34 231 35 245 32381 31022 25 253 26 235 31 209 34 242 33 240 31022 29622 23 255 24 234 32 222 36 249 33 242 29622 28184 17 264 21 235 31 231 37 250 35 246 28184 26710 15 281 20 232 29 234 35 250 36 250 26710 25204 15 286 24 235 29 234 34 251 35 254 25204 23668 17 284 26 248 29 237 36 253 33 256 23668 22098 18 285 25 258 28 243 37 254 33 255 22098 20488 18 289 24 260 27 247 35 252 32 251 20488 18864 16 294 19 258 24 250 29 252 31 246 18864 17308 13 294 12 266 22 253 22*258 31 243 17308 15892 9 285 8 267 19*254 18*260 32 241 15892 14624 9 267 10 256 16*252 16 254 31 243 14624 13482 11 252 14 252 15 246 16 246 27*247 13482 12448 13 246 16*253 15 243 16 241 23*254 12448 11510 15 243 18*252 15 240 16 238 19 262 11510 10660 16 241 17 247 15 235 16 236 17 270 10660 9893 16 239 16 241 15 232 16 234 16 277 9893 9199 16 237 13 230 14 230 16 233 17 281 9199 8564 15 236 11 218 14 228 16 232 17 283 8564 7990 13 233 10 200 14 226 16 231 17 284 7990 7502 9 225 9 196 13 224 16 230 16 283 7502 7122 6 207 9 191 13 222 15 229 13 279 7122 6857 4 170 9 189 12 222 14 229 10 273 6857 6695 4*146 8 187 11 221 13 228 8 268 6695 6602 3*135 7 186 9 220 9 228 4 262 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography