DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 34.6 - - - - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -10 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - - - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6601 - - - - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1657 - - 1729 - - - - - 1722 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 0 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 230 - - - - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -44 - - - - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6599 - - 6600 - - - - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -648 - - -1695 - - - - - -2022 ODpotential blCL - - - 7248 - - 8296 - - - - - 8623 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 34.6 - - - - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 34.2 - - - - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - - - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 34.2 - - - - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -10 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 90 - - - - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95968 20 348 18 339 32 333 95968 88950 24 320 26 309 18 317 88950 83471 24 303 23 317 13 309 83471 78907 25 292 30 303 20 327 78907 74968 28 304 31 281 29 304 74968 71501 31 304 25 292 25 305 71501 68373 35 299 29 302 18 299 68373 65474 42 292 44 282 23 291 65474 62755 50 286 52 279 44 274 62755 60100 60 281 59 277 63 261 60100 57319 66 282 69 276 72 264 57319 54419 75 282 76 277 73 267 54419 51637 86 278 83 276 78 268 51637 49133 85 274 86 274 84 266 49133 46896 82 275 87 271 88 264 46896 44874 90 277 90 268 89 264 44874 43025 96 274 92 267 89 264 43025 41325 98 271 96 268 93 263 41325 39764 101 270 103 267 100 262 39764 38328 103 268 105 264 104 260 38328 37000 100 267 103 261 106 260 37000 35736 96 267 98 260 107 259 35736 34470 94 267 95 261 106 257 34470 33176 93 268 92 262 101 257 33176 31857 94 269 91 263 96 258 31857 30504 93 271 89 263 92 258 30504 29111 88 270 88 263 88 254 29111 27683 83 268 85 262 86 250 27683 26221 78 266 80 261 87 250 26221 24728 74 266 77 261 86 253 24728 23207 71 266 74 261 82 254 23207 21656 71 266 71 260 74 253 21656 20069 73 266 68 258 68 253 20069 18476 73 268 66 257 65 257 18476 16953 70 270 65 257 61 261 16953 15571 66 270 64 259 56 263 15571 14336 64 269 63 261 55 264 14336 13226 62 267 64 263 55 264 13226 12223 60 263 64 264 57 264 12223 11315 55 258 63 264 59 263 11315 10494 48 251 58 262 60 262 10494 9754 40 242 52 261 59 261 9754 9087 35 233 45 259 56 260 9087 8477 31 226 37 255 51 258 8477 7927 26 220 30 250 44 255 7927 7461 21 215 23 241 37 251 7461 7097 16 211 19 233 29 244 7097 6844 12 210 15 228 22 237 6844 6689 8*208 12*228 16*233 6689 6600 4*208 6*227 7*233 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography