DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.7 - - 38.1 - - 41.2 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 248 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1812 - - 2647 - - 3644 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1722 - - 2584 - - 2607 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 3651 - - 4648 - - 1005 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 622 - - 785 - - 793 - - 3195 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 356 - - 270 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 120 - - 155 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 0 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -540 - - -783 - - -1040 - - -3662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3356 - - 4434 - - 5689 - - 4667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5344 - - -10793 - - -11286 - - -13780 ODpotential blCL - - - 8160 - - 14444 - - 15934 - - 14785 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 94 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.7 - - 38.1 - - 41.2 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 22.4 - - 19.9 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 36.8 - - 40.7 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 21.2 - - 18.8 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 248 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1812 - - 2647 - - 3644 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 74 - - 85 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 12 232 8 251 11 223 18 262 96290 89151 1 152 8 220 13 253 15 276 89151 83602 1 349 2 128 16 238 14 294 83602 78967 15 291 9 288 8 282 15 267 78967 74959 10 269 13 259 11 285 12 272 74959 71407 15 292 17 292 13 286 12 270 71407 68174 23 264 30 270 26 283 21 284 68174 65195 23 238 30 260 34 273 27 286 65195 62426 42 285 41 266 50 274 44 282 62426 59726 43 263 46 268 54 264 48 270 59726 56887 36 272 51 280 48 273 43 278 56887 53944 58 291 70 279 64 281 59 281 53944 51158 74 279 74 272 71 273 70 276 51158 48671 74 271 74 270 69 269 73 272 48671 46456 70 277 71 272 72 274 71 274 46456 44452 78 286 80 280 82 279 76 278 44452 42623 99 287 98 282 97 277 85 275 42623 40953 114 280 108 275 105 271 90 268 40953 39419 127 275 117 268 107 264 92 266 39419 37997 134 271 122 264 104 262 91 265 37997 36665 133 270 121 264 103 262 87 267 36665 35381 127 272 116 266 99 264 85 269 35381 34072 123 276 111 268 93 270 82 268 34072 32706 123 278 106 273 93 275 82 268 32706 31287 121 279 106 277 96 278 81 270 31287 29805 112 280 102 279 92 280 77 272 29805 28252 102 280 97 278 86 280 70 266 28252 26625 100 281 94 276 78 279 64 268 26625 24922 99 279 93 275 76 279 61 267 24922 23142 100 274 90 273 74 277 59 267 23142 21288 102 272 87 272 69 272 57 266 21288 19356 99 270 87 272 68 269 55 260 19356 17345 94 277 85 270 71 261 55 255 17345 15291 87 285 77 273 70 258 60 258 15291 13305 82 287 64 277 56 263 57 257 13305 11503 61 299 58 286 53 267 47 252 11503 9908 36 290 39 295 49 266 41 247 9908 8503 32 273 24 278 40 271 34 232 8503 7264 29 276 20 263 27 283 25 220 7264 6168 22 284 13 261 11 299 12 224 6168 5202 16 288 7 246 3*140 9 164 5202 4358 12 299 3*158 7*145 16 135 4358 3618 10 331 4*126 7 149 16 125 3618 2956 9*002 4 122 8 153 15 123 2956 2372 9*003 4 120 8 157 14 125 2372 1884 9 004 4 119 8 159 13 126 1884 1509 8 005 4 118 8 161 11 127 1509 1251 8 005 4 117 8 163 10 125 1251 1095 7 005 4 117 7 163 7*122 1095 1005 6 005 3 119 7 163 4*119 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography