DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.2 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 124 - - 21 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 1576 - - 2116 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 1528 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1613 - - 2580 - - 3120 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 554 - - 744 - - 120 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 243 - - 157 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 212 - - 195 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1767 - - -2949 - - -2680 - - -1353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3380 - - 5529 - - 5800 - - 2359 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15204 - - -15160 - - -14410 - - -13606 ODpotential blCL - - - 16817 - - 17740 - - 17530 - - 14612 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 51 - - 48 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.2 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 36.0 - - 36.9 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 55.4 - - 58.2 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 35.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 124 - - 21 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 1576 - - 2116 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97560 7 263 3 190 14 246 11 279 97560 90307 6 227 9 252 9 265 5 266 90307 84719 4 235 6 254 14 254 6 244 84719 80050 1 279 3 240 15 257 11 274 80050 76021 2 334 4 268 11 252 16 278 76021 72469 6 290 8 268 9 248 17 270 72469 69265 12 269 14 264 12 260 16 257 69265 66326 14 273 16 275 13 281 14 255 66326 63595 21 285 20 278 21 289 19 278 63595 60947 26 293 22 279 27 279 29 270 60947 58197 29 300 27 285 30 276 30 274 58197 55363 35 290 32 284 31 283 30 285 55363 52659 33 291 32 287 31 282 29 277 52659 50223 39 308 31 299 28 279 27 267 50223 48039 48 311 34 303 26 284 26 264 48039 46056 47 316 35 305 26 293 22 267 46056 44238 43 320 33 305 27 297 21 268 44238 42565 29 324 26 312 23 296 18 258 42565 41013 22 336 19 318 16 300 15 242 41013 39558 15 329 14 309 13 299 17 232 39558 38181 11 322 11 306 12 291 15 215 38181 36844 9 316 11 310 12 290 14 211 36844 35482 11 322 13 315 12 295 12 221 35482 34067 16 322 15 320 11 297 11 218 34067 32601 18 316 15 322 11 294 11 212 32601 31065 19 318 15 312 13 282 10 219 31065 29446 18 327 14 301 13 274 9 218 29446 27746 14 335 12 289 12 268 8 231 27746 25965 10 314 11 278 11 268 8 246 25965 24110 15 298 13 276 15 265 14 254 24110 22183 16 291 14 271 18 264 18 248 22183 20172 17 282 15 268 18 257 18 246 20172 18066 19 275 16 262 18 251 17 252 18066 15911 17 257 17 250 19 245 18 250 15911 13841 17 251 16 240 17 234 19 240 13841 11971 14 239 16 242 15 234 19 235 11971 10321 12 226 14 242 13 234 15 237 10321 8859 11 223 14 227 13 224 14 233 8859 7561 11 220 15 219 14 217 15 225 7561 6409 14 214 17 218 16 215 17 217 6409 5394 17 214 21 215 18 210 20 208 5394 4504 20 216 23 213 22 207 23 206 4504 3724 22 215 24 214 21*203 21 205 3724 3033 24 215 22*215 18*198 18 201 3033 2424 23 217 16*213 17 196 18 194 2424 1917 21*216 16 212 16 195 18 189 1917 1528 17*214 15 212 15 194 17 184 1528 1260 14 213 14 212 13 194 15 176 1260 1098 12 213 13 211 12 193 13*172 1098 1006 10 213 10 211 9 193 5*163 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography