DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 4 - - 14 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 641 - - 906 - - 371 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 988 - - 988 - - 988 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1575 - - 1645 - - 1910 - - 1375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 765 - - 981 - - 697 - - 1058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 64 - - 99 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 095 - - 107 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -373 - - -90 - - 433 - - -854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1948 - - 1735 - - 1477 - - 2229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12949 - - -11277 - - 114 - - -9579 ODpotential blCL - - - 14524 - - 12922 - - 1796 - - 10954 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 20 - - 110 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 32.5 - - 34.4 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 36.6 - - 37.2 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 34.0 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 4 - - 14 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 641 - - 906 - - 371 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95891 40 293 35 270 52 276 45 293 95891 88976 33 300 28 292 38 293 39 294 88976 83606 30 299 31 309 28 306 31 292 83606 79105 27 306 31 313 26 306 29 310 79105 75196 23 313 27 309 25 300 32 319 75196 71719 23 313 26 302 26 295 30 316 71719 68547 26 300 24 287 28 301 31 313 68547 65608 24 291 24 284 33 298 32 298 65608 62868 26 293 31 280 36 295 33 285 62868 60214 39 289 36 283 41 289 32 284 60214 57445 46 286 41 278 44 286 38 294 57445 54554 47 283 39 277 47 283 48 288 54554 51776 45 276 42 284 47 279 50 280 51776 49268 42 276 50 282 52 267 53 275 49268 47017 54 274 57 269 50 264 52 270 47017 44970 57 268 56 260 48 269 51 272 44970 43094 51 276 59 270 51 271 50 276 43094 41364 45 283 62 273 52 270 48 277 41364 39757 62 272 68 264 54 271 51 279 39757 38251 76 261 74 261 60 269 51 276 38251 36836 78 257 83 257 70 262 43 271 36836 35475 77 259 86 252 77 258 41 268 35475 34100 79 262 89 250 86 252 43 263 34100 32685 81 263 89 249 92 247 42 260 32685 31237 78 264 88 249 90 244 41 257 31237 29749 73 265 86 246 84 244 43 250 29749 28211 70 266 83 242 74 243 35 246 28211 26614 68 266 79 239 60 240 31 257 26614 24943 64 265 78 240 57 235 31 259 24943 23192 58 264 77 243 59 230 30 259 23192 21365 56 266 76 245 62 228 31 258 21365 19457 52 267 73 249 62 225 32 257 19457 17463 53 258 67 255 52 232 31 256 17463 15426 52 257 55 263 39 256 28 256 15426 13461 47 263 35 265 35 277 24 272 13461 11672 45 258 32 264 35 286 26 287 11672 10079 35 266 27 264 29 290 26 295 10079 8660 26 277 16 263 25 293 23 294 8660 7394 25 247 10 239 18 287 21 289 7394 6266 27 209 17 197 4 246 21 281 6266 5267 20 213 24 185 7 195 10 289 5267 4394 15 184 24 182 17 167 6 017 4394 3633 12 167 22 148 23 161 4 066 3633 2959 14 121 23 123 22 147 8 119 2959 2370 17 114 22 115 19*122 16 100 2370 1881 18*103 19*099 16*108 20 082 1881 1508 16*098 17*096 15 107 19*077 1508 1250 14 097 16 095 14 106 17*075 1250 1094 12 097 14 094 12 106 15 075 1094 1005 9 096 10 093 9 106 10 074 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography