DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 90.7 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 395 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 3489 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4902 - - 5913 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5668 - - 7026 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2177 - - 2953 - - - - - 1893 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 457 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 232 - - - - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 47 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3679 - - -4000 - - - - - -3946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9348 - - 11026 - - - - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6874 - - -6731 - - - - - -8109 ODpotential blCL - - - 12542 - - 13757 - - - - - 10733 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 91 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 30 - - - - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 90.7 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 51.2 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 89.0 - - - - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 51.2 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 395 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 3489 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 64 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99043 34 118 23 113 19 100 99043 91574 34 107 25 124 26 091 91574 85817 27 103 26 126 26 091 85817 81043 17 103 21 099 18 101 81043 76945 13 112 19 097 18 099 76945 73343 12 121 8 117 14 100 73343 70079 11 118 11 138 14 109 70079 67063 7 114 10 114 9 105 67063 64276 5 071 2 158 2 001 64276 61602 5 091 12 195 4 222 61602 58840 6 285 9 243 15 290 58840 55991 14 260 25 242 31 263 55991 53290 26 262 42 271 42 267 53290 50872 43 272 48 266 58 272 50872 48707 55 264 53 269 67 264 48707 46732 57 260 65 267 71 258 46732 44904 59 263 66 264 74 259 44904 43196 62 260 64 263 79 262 43196 41593 62 256 62 262 79 260 41593 40085 62 257 60 258 73 259 40085 38670 61 260 58 253 63 255 38670 37317 59 259 57 249 57 251 37317 35953 54 256 54 248 54 247 35953 34543 50 252 52 246 52 245 34543 33088 48 246 51 242 52 248 33088 31575 45 243 50 239 52 252 31575 29996 39 238 46 240 47 256 29996 28352 34 231 40 241 40 256 28352 26640 29 233 38 238 37 251 26640 24862 24 239 38 233 37 245 24862 23020 24 242 37 232 34 243 23020 21113 27 238 35 230 33 244 21113 19136 28 232 35 229 32 244 19136 17129 26 225 34 228 30 243 17129 15198 24 223 31 231 26 242 15198 13440 22 225 26 232 23 242 13440 11874 19 231 21 235 20 244 11874 10476 17 237 16 240 19 243 10476 9225 15 237 13 241 17 246 9225 8106 15 241 11 244 15 250 8106 7108 13 249 9*245 13 253 7108 6224 11*257 8*242 10 254 6224 5438 7*254 8 238 8 257 5438 4731 5 233 8 234 7 259 4731 4103 6 221 9 230 5 262 4103 3576 6 217 10 228 3 268 3576 3171 7 214 10 226 2 258 3171 2891 7 214 10 225 1 199 2891 2721 7 213 9 224 1*174 2721 2623 6 214 8 225 1*175 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography