DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 57.0 - - 53.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 121 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 146 - - 534 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3683 - - 4071 - - 3697 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1684 - - 914 - - 1117 - - 1434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 169 - - 39 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 183 - - 262 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 22 - - 15 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3987 - - -1214 - - 50 - - -1175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7671 - - 5285 - - 3647 - - 3797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13649 - - -9206 - - -6662 - - -10843 ODpotential blCL - - - 17332 - - 13277 - - 10359 - - 13465 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 85 - - 80 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 57.0 - - 53.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 43.0 - - 46.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 56.8 - - 54.6 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 42.1 - - 46.3 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 121 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 146 - - 534 - - 160 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96503 38 098 27 086 28 086 34 076 96503 89378 39 081 25 087 27 073 29 082 89378 83882 35 065 23 082 21 067 26 064 83882 79297 33 064 23 076 14 080 23 045 79297 75312 28 076 19 069 14 070 15 043 75312 71764 21 087 15 073 14 059 12 051 71764 68538 11 100 11 046 13 050 8 045 68538 65564 2 313 10 331 16 009 8 003 65564 62811 9 305 12 302 16 328 12 310 62811 60148 15 327 11 296 12 295 15 291 60148 57363 22 309 14 312 18 305 24 325 57363 54483 20 272 15 272 23 293 27 306 54483 51747 19 313 15 313 21 297 25 296 51747 49293 28 310 27 313 25 304 32 305 49293 47104 24 278 26 290 34 308 34 304 47104 45136 18 298 31 300 37 305 40 328 45136 43363 30 315 37 294 36 294 45 311 43363 41744 27 298 37 292 42 284 34 311 41744 40231 24 257 37 294 47 283 30 319 40231 38800 26 259 34 283 51 286 33 345 38800 37449 26 266 34 282 53 289 54 005 37449 36147 25 268 34 287 49 296 69 007 36147 34831 24 263 34 288 41 311 76 007 34831 33470 26 269 34 282 37 333 73 007 33470 32068 28 275 35 280 38 344 58 001 32068 30615 29 272 36 286 38 341 43 345 30615 29097 30 271 37 303 39 333 41 327 29097 27511 31 289 34 307 39 321 42 321 27511 25856 24 301 32 301 34 312 47 319 25856 24138 16 306 28 296 31 310 48 319 24138 22358 17 310 25 289 31 314 46 322 22358 20512 17 314 25 287 28 321 45 332 20512 18593 15 306 25 293 24 334 40 340 18593 16640 13 295 24 311 21 348 31 339 16640 14754 11 296 24 326 20 356 24 331 14754 13034 8 308 23 333 20 358 22 325 13034 11500 7 343 19 335 19 355 21 324 11500 10134 9 014 13 341 16 347 20 322 10134 8919 12 027 8 359 13 338 20 321 8919 7837 13 030 6 031 12 332 20 321 7837 6879 10 032 5 060 11 329 19 322 6879 6033 6 032 4 084 10 328 18 324 6033 5284 4 028 4 101 8 329 17 326 5284 4613 2 016 3*100 6 327 15 327 4613 4018 1*348 3*142 4*316 12 326 4018 3521 1*311 4 179 3*277 9 324 3521 3138 1 293 5 188 3 264 6 320 3138 2874 1 270 5 190 4 256 5 325 2874 2713 1 249 5 192 3 252 4*337 2713 2621 1 246 5 194 3 249 2*005 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography