DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 75.1 - - 80.5 - - 76.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 346 - - 441 - - 194 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 280 - - 1248 - - 458 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 4250 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3817 - - 4785 - - 3995 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 819 - - 579 - - 586 - - 693 - - 1236 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 189 - - 336 - - 183 - - 27 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 16 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 187 - - 258 - - 222 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 24 - - 27 - - 32 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3751 - - -1802 - - -2478 - - -1841 - - -715 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6376 - - 5620 - - 7264 - - 5836 - - 3339 sfcLCL ODpotential -9407 - - -6031 - - -5720 - - -5766 - - -5646 ODpotential blCL 12031 - - 9848 - - 10505 - - 9761 - - 8270 blCL maxRH 63 - - 92 - - 86 - - 89 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 100 - - 130 - - 280 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 75.1 - - 80.5 - - 76.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 59.3 - - 57.6 - - 60.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 73.5 - - 78.6 - - 76.0 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 59.1 - - 57.5 - - 60.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 346 - - 441 - - 194 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 280 - - 1248 - - 458 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 67 - - 44 - - 57 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 18 079 22 098 14 130 10 147 7 055 98075 90703 16 093 16 083 12 127 7 104 7 067 90703 85020 16 074 16 088 12 109 8 077 9 092 85020 80316 13 052 16 076 14 101 13 090 12 093 80316 76287 11 078 12 071 15 098 13 088 17 087 76287 72755 14 132 8 088 13 081 13 081 18 090 72755 69558 17 112 12 122 13 087 14 069 17 073 69558 66618 17 072 16 121 11 109 12 085 12 066 66618 63904 12 057 14 081 12 097 12 092 10 092 63904 61292 3 060 9 047 13 081 11 099 7 074 61292 58575 3 116 2 165 3 034 5 050 7 054 58575 55767 3 087 5 162 8 222 12 259 11 298 55767 53103 7 287 0 024 6 235 15 236 18 259 53103 50713 14 277 10 255 11 252 14 252 20 248 50713 48566 19 275 14 260 18 264 22 263 16 256 48566 46602 22 270 18 260 24 258 21 257 20 263 46602 44778 27 270 23 256 27 249 20 256 30 258 44778 43078 28 264 25 253 27 249 28 258 46 249 43078 41489 26 260 26 251 30 252 42 249 52 241 41489 40002 24 256 26 248 32 250 45 238 47 229 40002 38610 28 252 30 242 38 236 41 218 42 209 38610 37271 45 234 39 230 46 216 39 212 39 213 37271 35907 51 222 44 215 42 218 36 224 34 213 35907 34493 50 220 47 212 38 217 35 226 30 216 34493 33030 45 221 44 215 40 210 35 222 27 218 33030 31507 31 232 28 234 37 208 36 215 26 220 31507 29912 19 268 8 260 21 219 37 205 26 217 29912 28249 9 276 7 195 3 196 30 194 28 212 28249 26520 2 223 14 186 8 142 9 146 32 206 26520 24725 3 179 14 179 10 145 17 104 38 197 24725 22871 3 163 12 169 11 140 18 125 37 179 22871 20959 1 138 8 152 14 134 16 127 31 133 20959 18993 3 277 6 116 13 121 14 120 30 101 18993 17006 2 303 7 074 12 108 16 112 26 101 17006 15095 3 073 8 078 12 101 17 103 25 090 15095 13352 5 068 9 093 13 108 18 100 22 079 13352 11794 5 094 9 105 14 114 15 101 16 077 11794 10400 8 125 8 114 15 115 11 116 10 088 10400 9154 10 138 5 123 13 113 10 133 6 131 9154 8041 8 144 2 132 8 111 9 146 7 184 8041 7050 4 140 1 286 3 099 7 145 9 201 7050 6173 0 078 3 322 2 331 3 146 10 212 6173 5394 3 321 3 337 3*321 2 279 9 219 5394 4695 5 323 2 342 2*308 4 287 8 222 4695 4075 5 318 1*105 3 283 4*255 5 210 4075 3558 4 315 3*161 4 256 6*228 4 182 3558 3159 3 320 4 185 5 248 7 223 4 146 3159 2885 2 343 5 191 6 243 7 220 3 125 2885 2718 2*351 5 195 6 241 7 219 3*121 2718 2623 2*355 5 195 5 239 6 220 2*125 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography