DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.6 - - 69.0 - - 64.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 105 - - 185 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 643 - - 75 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 4180 - - 3612 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 674 - - 1649 - - 1200 - - 905 - - 1010 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 50 - - 205 - - 49 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 168 - - 172 - - 173 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 11 - - 22 - - 15 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2561 - - -3867 - - -3432 - - -1531 - - -3545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5184 - - 6490 - - 7612 - - 5143 - - 6168 sfcLCL ODpotential -13885 - - -13055 - - -12164 - - -8880 - - -13475 ODpotential blCL 16508 - - 15678 - - 16344 - - 12492 - - 16098 blCL maxRH 50 - - 79 - - 74 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 64.6 - - 69.0 - - 64.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 45.5 - - 44.9 - - 50.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.2 - - 64.5 - - 68.2 - - 64.7 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 44.7 - - 44.1 - - 50.6 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 105 - - 185 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 643 - - 75 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96973 43 286 33 291 29 274 33 276 32 287 96973 89857 28 285 26 279 25 262 27 286 26 294 89857 84347 27 289 17 269 28 284 19 276 23 288 84347 79733 22 274 13 295 20 283 14 284 18 295 79733 75745 16 273 14 306 9 265 14 299 15 287 75745 72226 7 290 14 289 7 274 13 308 11 314 72226 69052 6 331 11 265 13 278 14 286 12 303 69052 66145 10 296 11 247 16 266 15 263 14 284 66145 63465 12 284 12 255 18 260 16 275 17 285 63465 60876 18 280 14 279 17 266 19 283 22 287 60876 58176 21 283 17 295 18 273 25 276 29 282 58176 55377 23 282 19 285 22 275 27 268 35 277 55377 52709 25 277 22 281 24 283 25 280 31 272 52709 50307 28 276 26 280 26 283 24 299 22 280 50307 48144 28 277 24 266 29 259 28 292 25 297 48144 46167 28 276 22 263 27 244 31 273 34 301 46167 44342 30 276 26 271 30 248 26 257 40 298 44342 42643 35 277 38 261 34 241 33 257 42 292 42643 41055 52 263 45 261 40 252 38 250 40 286 41055 39564 66 267 58 264 60 251 44 247 36 280 39564 38164 77 267 65 259 67 247 52 248 37 261 38164 36828 77 262 70 253 69 244 62 247 46 250 36828 35489 80 259 73 249 66 242 61 246 57 245 35489 34113 76 260 69 249 60 240 58 246 60 239 34113 32695 64 263 58 250 53 242 54 243 59 237 32695 31216 53 259 46 247 48 242 48 239 57 237 31216 29665 51 259 41 250 45 239 47 239 53 235 29665 28047 49 262 40 254 41 241 45 240 45 235 28047 26360 46 263 40 250 37 245 40 244 39 239 26360 24609 42 259 41 246 37 249 34 251 34 245 24609 22795 40 258 42 248 39 250 35 250 31 248 22795 20912 33 262 39 257 37 251 34 254 28 255 20912 18950 27 266 32 257 32 259 27 260 22 258 18950 16948 22 270 26 260 26 263 22 268 17 261 16948 15016 18 273 20 264 20 263 17 265 15 252 15016 13256 12 276 14 261 15 254 14 249 14 243 13256 11691 7 270 9 243 11 238 11 235 11 235 11691 10300 5 241 8 224 10 224 9 225 7 231 10300 9062 6 216 8 218 9 219 7 222 4 227 9062 7961 7 201 8 213 8 215 7 217 4 217 7961 6984 8 191 9 207 8 209 6 212 5 207 6984 6120 9 180 9 199 8 206 6 201 5 202 6120 5354 10 169 9 187 7 189 6 184 6 197 5354 4666 10 161 9 169 6*169 5 161 5 184 4666 4056 9 152 8 153 6*162 4*149 4 169 4056 3545 7 149 6 142 6 166 5*163 2 157 3545 3152 6 146 4 153 6 174 5 171 1 159 3152 2881 5 140 3 169 6 179 4 175 1 125 2881 2716 3*108 3*176 6 182 4 179 1*073 2716 2622 2*051 3*180 5 184 3 182 1*038 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography