DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.8 - - 67.6 - - 66.3 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 30 - - 163 - - 29 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 877 - - 400 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 4414 - - 3937 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1176 - - 1491 - - 1818 - - 1934 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 36 - - 220 - - 98 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 110 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 082 - - 170 - - 212 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -7 - - 14 - - 16 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6282 - - -4399 - - -3361 - - -4001 - - -1788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8906 - - 7022 - - 7776 - - 7939 - - 4411 sfcLCL ODpotential -12789 - - -9335 - - -7500 - - -8100 - - -7641 ODpotential blCL 15412 - - 11958 - - 11914 - - 12037 - - 10264 blCL maxRH 75 - - 62 - - 47 - - 40 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 62.8 - - 67.6 - - 66.3 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.6 - - 41.5 - - 42.8 - - 40.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 63.2 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.5 - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 39.8 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 30 - - 163 - - 29 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 877 - - 400 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96053 38 279 36 285 35 279 37 272 32 273 96053 88994 28 291 26 293 27 284 24 293 26 296 88994 83575 19 288 19 287 23 301 18 321 19 302 83575 79073 10 308 11 271 17 301 18 319 15 299 79073 75185 14 330 7 276 15 294 16 309 13 305 75185 71737 13 301 8 317 12 292 10 304 10 291 71737 68602 15 294 13 304 15 299 11 302 12 308 68602 65721 22 286 15 283 18 298 16 302 18 311 65721 63048 24 283 17 274 18 290 17 292 20 297 63048 60447 30 275 23 267 24 278 23 288 25 288 60447 57728 33 272 30 268 30 268 29 278 32 277 57728 54902 41 275 33 266 33 262 39 270 38 276 54902 52192 48 264 40 262 38 261 44 270 45 272 52192 49731 45 257 48 262 47 267 51 270 49 264 49731 47501 47 265 52 265 51 269 53 274 46 278 47501 45469 56 269 53 265 51 268 57 276 50 279 45469 43609 56 267 55 258 52 265 51 266 49 272 43609 41893 52 264 55 257 50 264 46 260 49 267 41893 40303 47 263 48 259 46 266 43 263 43 270 40303 38825 41 274 37 261 40 260 44 263 41 277 38825 37445 47 284 33 265 37 259 42 259 40 275 37445 36123 51 283 36 269 37 259 38 260 36 273 36123 34792 55 277 47 266 42 263 36 265 34 268 34792 33426 56 270 52 262 49 264 38 269 29 259 33426 32030 51 264 49 258 49 261 36 273 20 269 32030 30588 41 262 45 256 44 259 29 281 9 297 30588 29086 35 271 39 259 37 261 22 293 6 343 29086 27519 28 281 23 270 21 269 17 298 8 353 27519 25886 21 283 16 289 12 283 9 295 9 352 25886 24189 16 293 15 303 9 302 7 314 8 357 24189 22430 16 306 13 313 6 329 8 335 7 013 22430 20601 11 316 11 324 5 354 7 337 7 033 20601 18695 7 340 9 326 6 357 7 347 9 033 18695 16748 6 025 6 343 7 001 8 359 11 028 16748 14867 9 046 4 019 7 009 9 008 13 032 14867 13149 10 053 5 037 6 016 9 012 13 034 13149 11617 10 048 6 038 7 024 9 020 13 038 11617 10250 9 041 7 035 8 032 9 030 12 050 10250 9030 8 031 8 039 8 049 8 049 10 072 9030 7941 6 022 9 048 9 067 10 072 10 087 7941 6971 6 018 9 057 10 071 11 076 10 093 6971 6111 6 017 8 064 10 068 11 068 11 091 6111 5347 5 020 7 067 9 062 9 061 11 081 5347 4660 4 024 7 069 6*057 6 054 10 069 4660 4051 3 025 6 072 3*055 3*055 9 058 4051 3541 2 032 6 073 0 076 1*177 7 048 3541 3149 2 038 5 066 1 210 2 214 5 036 3149 2880 3 041 2 070 2 216 3 213 3 025 2880 2716 3*047 1*083 2 219 3 214 2*005 2716 2622 3*045 0*158 2 220 3 214 1*352 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography