DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 63.1 - - 58.8 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -81 - - 10 - - -67 - - -225 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 827 - - 1795 - - 899 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 32 - - 22 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 19 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 072 - - 060 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -49 - - -95 - - -39 - - -61 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6536 - - -7948 - - -7094 - - -7162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9160 - - 10572 - - 9717 - - 9785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13800 - - -15448 - - -13888 - - -15387 ODpotential blCL - - - 16423 - - 18071 - - 16511 - - 18010 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 79 - - 58 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 63.1 - - 58.8 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 26.4 - - 26.0 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 63.9 - - 61.7 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 25.2 - - 24.9 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -81 - - 10 - - -67 - - -225 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96014 23 359 13 030 23 050 19 060 96014 89110 26 050 18 072 28 071 26 079 89110 83716 30 064 22 071 29 069 27 078 83716 79205 23 068 24 066 27 071 28 076 79205 75294 18 058 25 057 26 060 31 073 75294 71834 13 067 18 040 20 045 26 059 71834 68704 13 055 16 054 15 050 21 059 68704 65817 15 015 17 031 16 035 20 046 65817 63141 14 010 16 006 19 006 20 028 63141 60546 20 013 20 001 22 356 24 018 60546 57838 23 011 27 010 29 356 32 003 57838 55033 31 019 28 001 29 346 29 344 55033 52337 37 017 31 019 25 010 21 012 52337 49884 46 013 45 018 44 022 39 025 49884 47673 51 012 50 014 51 018 46 021 47673 45660 51 015 51 015 52 016 49 019 45660 43810 51 016 50 017 51 017 50 021 43810 42091 51 016 49 018 49 018 50 024 42091 40486 43 007 45 016 45 022 46 027 40486 38985 28 004 37 008 40 024 43 032 38985 37582 24 007 28 001 32 023 38 030 37582 36240 28 004 24 357 25 022 30 020 36240 34895 26 340 23 004 25 033 23 037 34895 33519 28 323 23 353 20 039 23 065 33519 32114 19 320 26 328 14 026 28 077 32114 30662 20 345 21 327 14 008 24 074 30662 29148 17 339 19 344 15 000 19 074 29148 27571 14 334 19 348 14 004 21 083 27571 25929 13 350 15 354 12 012 28 084 25929 24223 12 002 10 012 12 029 26 081 24223 22452 10 008 7 035 12 055 20 075 22452 20611 8 020 8 065 12 074 18 071 20611 18693 9 050 10 080 13 068 16 079 18693 16736 13 064 13 069 14 058 14 087 16736 14844 16 057 15 053 13 063 15 093 14844 13119 16 042 14 048 14 075 17 092 13119 11584 14 046 15 067 18 081 19 089 11584 10221 16 072 19 081 20 085 20 090 10221 9007 18 085 19 088 18 088 18 097 9007 7923 16 095 15 100 15 097 18 102 7923 6958 16 102 15 109 16 107 19 105 6958 6103 17 106 16 110 18 107 20 104 6103 5342 18 106 18 105 20 101 23 098 5342 4657 21 098 21 093 24 089 26 089 4657 4048 26 089 26 081 29 079 32 079 4048 3539 31 079 27 076 30 073 36 073 3539 3147 30 074 25 073 28 069 35 070 3147 2878 25 072 21 071 21 066 30 068 2878 2715 18*070 17*070 15*064 21*065 2715 2622 10*067 10*069 9*060 12*060 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography