DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.8 - - 68.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 629 - - 371 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 2218 - - 1650 - - 49 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4129 - - 5050 - - 4508 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4582 - - 5755 - - 5187 - - 3586 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 643 - - 741 - - 826 - - 866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 459 - - 349 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 218 - - 229 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 46 - - 41 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -288 - - -1046 - - -494 - - -249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4870 - - 6802 - - 5681 - - 3835 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10793 - - -9982 - - -9455 - - -10700 ODpotential blCL - - - 15375 - - 15737 - - 14642 - - 14286 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 74 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.8 - - 68.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.8 - - 49.8 - - 52.0 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 68.3 - - 66.7 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 49.7 - - 51.9 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 629 - - 371 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 2218 - - 1650 - - 49 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - 16 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99009 39 101 31 128 22 110 20 084 99009 91478 32 105 26 109 24 099 28 089 91478 85690 23 089 24 093 29 099 25 087 85690 80917 16 092 21 087 30 096 25 102 80917 76815 18 111 13 089 24 086 27 098 76815 73184 19 103 12 107 15 088 16 096 73184 69898 10 073 10 101 8 094 9 107 69898 66873 2 096 7 109 4 166 6 084 66873 64067 4 327 3 174 7 228 1 255 64067 61348 6 211 5 165 9 250 9 276 61348 58543 14 285 13 300 16 307 17 301 58543 55673 25 261 29 271 32 288 30 298 55673 52952 24 273 37 259 42 272 43 283 52952 50519 41 290 46 276 49 274 50 279 50519 48351 52 289 57 286 58 285 57 282 48351 46388 57 284 64 284 66 286 64 283 46388 44583 60 283 65 281 68 283 66 282 44583 42905 61 283 64 277 66 279 67 280 42905 41332 60 285 64 277 66 278 67 279 41332 39850 58 285 65 279 66 279 66 278 39850 38448 56 284 63 281 66 280 66 277 38448 37093 57 287 62 285 65 283 66 278 37093 35722 57 288 63 289 65 288 65 282 35722 34305 57 289 61 291 64 290 63 285 34305 32847 56 292 58 290 59 290 59 287 32847 31336 54 291 55 287 55 289 55 288 31336 29762 52 284 53 286 51 287 52 287 29762 28124 50 280 51 286 47 287 49 283 28124 26419 47 280 48 286 45 289 46 285 26419 24648 43 284 45 288 45 290 44 288 24648 22814 39 287 42 292 43 292 41 289 22814 20912 36 290 38 293 39 292 38 289 20912 18937 33 294 35 290 36 291 36 294 18937 16928 32 295 35 286 37 293 36 302 16928 14993 34 296 36 291 37 299 34 308 14993 13230 34 298 35 298 35 304 30 314 13230 11662 30 300 30 302 31 310 26 319 11662 10268 26 302 24 304 26 317 24 324 10268 9029 23 305 19 309 23 323 23 326 9029 7929 19 308 16 316 20 325 22 325 7929 6954 16 309 11 318 15 320 20 321 6954 6094 10 305 5*294 10 314 17 312 6094 5332 4 291 4*237 5*286 12 306 5332 4649 2*192 6 222 4*262 7 293 4649 4044 6*165 8 217 6 233 3*266 4044 3538 8 169 9 216 8 227 3*199 3538 3148 9 173 9 215 8 225 5 195 3148 2880 9 177 9 215 8 223 5 196 2880 2716 9 178 9 215 8 223 5 197 2716 2622 7 180 8 214 7 223 4 198 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography