DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 53.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -34 - - 35 - - 71 - - 6 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 732 - - 824 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 4269 - - 4361 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1713 - - 1277 - - 1406 - - 2329 - - 1987 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 131 - - 171 - - 21 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 151 - - 152 - - 146 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1441 - - 1134 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2621 - - 2828 - - 3228 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -8273 - - 224 - - -1298 - - -618 - - -80 ODpotential blCL 10895 - - 4045 - - 5659 - - 3241 - - 2703 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 87 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 53.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 50.2 - - 50.6 - - 53.1 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 54.0 - - 55.8 - - 54.9 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 49.2 - - 49.3 - - 52.9 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -34 - - 35 - - 71 - - 6 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 732 - - 824 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 78 - - 47 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96004 9 009 18 334 13 333 14 359 15 336 96004 88933 13 046 11 014 9 338 12 009 12 032 88933 83497 14 025 9 016 9 334 9 350 9 028 83497 79000 9 019 6 004 10 336 7 003 10 010 79000 75105 9 038 2 336 11 314 5 307 6 360 75105 71621 5 016 3 043 6 259 4 261 5 274 71621 68461 1 264 5 265 7 256 4 249 9 236 68461 65566 9 244 17 263 21 284 9 282 9 227 65566 62877 14 257 20 248 25 267 22 269 20 259 62877 60257 13 253 22 238 28 245 30 266 22 261 60257 57510 21 252 24 236 29 236 32 256 31 248 57510 54658 31 256 29 252 30 240 34 243 43 246 54658 51950 39 259 35 252 37 236 43 233 52 242 51950 49517 39 260 39 252 39 234 47 228 56 238 49517 47328 42 269 47 261 45 247 47 235 57 236 47328 45336 52 273 58 262 57 251 57 249 53 238 45336 43519 59 267 62 257 64 249 66 255 46 246 43519 41851 58 261 61 251 64 247 71 252 53 253 41851 40307 50 261 59 246 63 243 68 247 59 248 40307 38871 44 272 56 249 61 241 66 247 93 255 38871 37523 44 276 51 256 60 242 69 253 100 257 37523 36222 41 273 51 261 60 245 71 254 88 258 36222 34902 43 270 54 261 60 248 69 249 75 258 34902 33537 46 266 55 257 57 250 63 247 60 253 33537 32130 46 264 52 250 54 250 59 243 52 242 32130 30664 44 263 49 242 53 251 60 247 51 240 30664 29130 41 260 44 239 48 248 55 254 48 241 29130 27534 37 257 41 236 45 246 48 252 50 238 27534 25873 35 254 41 236 42 245 42 244 55 237 25873 24145 34 254 40 242 39 250 41 239 54 231 24145 22354 34 259 36 253 37 249 40 233 51 227 22354 20498 37 266 35 260 36 242 40 228 46 226 20498 18576 37 270 35 257 36 239 41 229 43 226 18576 16619 33 268 34 256 35 241 39 231 41 226 16619 14730 28 263 30 255 32 242 37 232 40 226 14730 13008 24 259 25 250 28 238 35 232 37 224 13008 11479 20 256 21 241 25 229 34 228 32 220 11479 10124 17 249 18 229 23 221 31 221 26 210 10124 8922 15 235 16 214 22 213 28 209 24 200 8922 7851 12 219 14 197 22 207 26 195 24 191 7851 6897 11 199 14 182 20 206 24 186 25 187 6897 6053 12 182 15 174 17 203 22 182 24 186 6053 5303 12 170 15 172 15 196 20 178 21 183 5303 4629 14 163 15*170 13*182 17 168 20 179 4629 4030 15 157 14*163 11*164 15 156 19 177 4030 3529 16 147 13 151 11 150 13 147 18 174 3529 3142 16 131 12 146 11 148 11 144 17 173 3142 2877 15 122 11 146 10 148 10 145 15 170 2877 2714 12*118 10 146 9 149 8*147 12*169 2714 2622 6*107 7 147 7 149 6*149 8*168 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography