DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 97.2 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 429 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3739 - - 7649 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6023 - - 9245 - - - - - 2608 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7276 - - 11186 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4446 - - 2769 - - - - - 3209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 611 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 28 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 193 - - - - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 46 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4047 - - -683 - - - - - -6671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11323 - - 11870 - - - - - 9296 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6184 - - -1731 - - - - - -10698 ODpotential blCL - - - 13460 - - 12917 - - - - - 13323 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 79 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 180 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 97.2 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 54.0 - - - - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.1 - - 95.4 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 53.7 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 429 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3739 - - 7649 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 15 - - - - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98945 24 116 31 110 13 093 98945 91510 23 110 26 114 22 091 91510 85759 21 115 20 108 19 097 85759 80961 16 120 15 107 16 104 80961 76833 14 113 15 129 11 104 76833 73196 12 116 13 113 9 088 73196 69920 12 102 12 099 10 104 69920 66939 12 097 10 119 10 090 66939 64213 8 088 6 112 8 045 64213 61606 7 148 6 150 8 061 61606 58899 8 126 6 154 5 123 58899 56123 9 104 7 160 2 275 56123 53498 12 213 10 215 11 276 53498 51134 17 223 14 234 14 239 51134 49009 19 228 19 238 15 241 49009 47070 23 222 24 232 18 262 47070 45274 26 224 27 229 20 254 45274 43594 28 225 28 231 22 243 43594 42014 29 227 29 232 23 244 42014 40524 30 230 30 231 23 240 40524 39114 32 234 29 231 22 235 39114 37750 33 235 29 236 22 237 37750 36366 31 236 29 240 21 239 36366 34932 27 238 26 241 19 239 34932 33454 24 232 22 241 19 246 33454 31916 20 224 17 226 16 242 31916 30311 20 227 15 221 14 226 30311 28640 19 215 15 214 13 231 28640 26905 16 205 14 201 8 207 26905 25105 10 187 8 179 8 153 25105 23244 8 154 7 147 7 144 23244 21320 10 136 7 128 6 134 21320 19327 10 126 9 126 5 135 19327 17301 7 130 8 125 8 102 17301 15352 8 135 8 128 11 102 15352 13576 9 143 8 121 11 094 13576 11993 9 151 6*100 12 074 11993 10578 9 160 5*091 10 055 10578 9312 8 166 3 094 8 030 9312 8179 6*158 2 117 6 000 8179 7169 3*139 3 176 6 326 7169 6272 2 127 4 194 6 301 6272 5476 1 152 6 210 7 291 5476 4759 2 187 8 213 9 291 4759 4123 3 209 9 213 10 297 4123 3590 5 214 9 214 10 302 3590 3179 5 215 10 215 9 305 3179 2895 6 215 10 215 7 310 2895 2723 6 216 9 214 6*314 2723 2624 5 216 8 214 4*323 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography