DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 61.0 - - 65.9 - - 63.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 94 - - 210 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1080 - - 2301 - - 1181 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4819 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4617 - - 5838 - - 4718 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1350 - - 1305 - - 1118 - - 1645 - - 1467 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 201 - - 326 - - 125 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 18 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 305 - - 268 - - 231 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 17 - - 25 - - 22 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2045 - - -1246 - - -1433 - - -636 - - -1442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4668 - - 5864 - - 7271 - - 5354 - - 4065 sfcLCL ODpotential -13604 - - -11418 - - -10164 - - -8235 - - -10608 ODpotential blCL 16227 - - 16035 - - 16002 - - 12953 - - 13231 blCL maxRH 50 - - 56 - - 56 - - 72 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 61.0 - - 65.9 - - 63.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 44.4 - - 43.1 - - 49.2 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 61.1 - - 65.3 - - 64.3 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 43.2 - - 42.3 - - 48.8 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 94 - - 210 - - 22 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1080 - - 2301 - - 1181 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96833 61 276 57 286 54 272 55 272 65 278 96833 89727 34 277 44 282 36 282 37 276 39 283 89727 84240 19 278 32 272 31 282 28 297 26 297 84240 79673 13 308 21 259 22 276 21 299 28 302 79673 75734 14 295 13 283 14 292 15 288 25 283 75734 72245 15 299 16 294 17 317 15 306 18 282 72245 69067 15 304 14 287 15 312 19 306 18 310 69067 66123 14 280 15 273 18 288 23 302 23 309 66123 63396 18 296 14 280 18 283 21 292 23 301 63396 60771 27 309 15 315 16 291 17 295 22 303 60771 58043 28 297 24 302 22 300 22 294 23 291 58043 55216 28 297 31 299 30 299 29 303 25 293 55216 52517 37 298 37 297 36 295 36 303 32 296 52517 50075 49 292 44 294 43 289 42 291 38 292 50075 47870 56 290 51 290 49 285 49 285 48 288 47870 45858 64 285 58 289 58 285 55 284 55 286 45858 44013 72 283 63 288 61 284 60 283 57 283 44013 42315 78 285 67 287 63 284 62 283 57 283 42315 40740 78 287 69 285 64 285 61 283 57 284 40740 39268 77 289 68 285 62 285 60 282 56 285 39268 37887 77 287 64 287 57 285 56 282 52 285 37887 36560 71 287 58 288 52 287 49 284 46 285 36560 35222 64 287 51 288 48 288 42 284 40 284 35222 33843 59 286 48 287 46 288 36 284 35 285 33843 32427 58 285 46 283 41 285 32 287 29 285 32427 30958 57 288 46 284 37 285 31 284 28 285 30958 29423 57 290 47 286 39 286 32 283 30 285 29423 27821 55 290 48 287 42 286 34 287 31 288 27821 26149 53 290 49 290 44 287 37 292 33 293 26149 24411 50 291 45 291 44 291 37 298 33 296 24411 22608 47 294 42 289 41 294 36 303 29 299 22608 20734 45 302 38 292 36 298 34 305 27 301 20734 18783 44 310 35 301 31 302 31 308 26 306 18783 16796 41 315 32 307 28 306 28 316 21 314 16796 14882 37 315 30 310 26 310 26 322 16 322 14882 13140 35 314 28 313 23 313 21 323 12 329 13140 11592 33 317 26 317 19 316 16 323 8 331 11592 10217 29 323 21 322 14 320 11 329 3 331 10217 8994 25 331 17 331 10 334 4 353 3 118 8994 7907 21 338 13 340 7 001 3 048 7 111 7907 6942 17 341 10 348 9 027 9 045 10 095 6942 6089 13 337 9 355 8*021 9 037 12 082 6089 5331 11 331 8 357 4*355 4*017 12 070 5331 4650 12 334 8*348 3 309 2*355 11 062 4650 4045 11 340 7*331 4 264 3 235 9 053 4045 3539 9 349 6 309 4 253 4 229 7 040 3539 3149 8 000 6 299 5 246 4 225 5 025 3149 2879 6 013 5 291 5 242 5 224 4 009 2879 2716 4*038 5 286 5 240 4 224 3*358 2716 2622 3*056 4 281 5 240 4 223 2*355 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography