DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 70.1 - - 74.6 - - 69.8 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 14 - - 57 - - -3 - - -162 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 604 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2624 - - 4141 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1059 - - 1951 - - 2125 - - 1151 - - 123 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 30 - - 143 - - 8 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 098 - - 035 - - 025 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -6 - - -10 - - -20 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10119 - - -8094 - - -6448 - - -7874 - - -8252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12744 - - 10719 - - 10590 - - 10499 - - 10877 sfcLCL ODpotential -19426 - - -15541 - - -13745 - - -15181 - - -17210 ODpotential blCL 22050 - - 18165 - - 17886 - - 17805 - - 19834 blCL maxRH 21 - - 35 - - 35 - - 29 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 70.1 - - 74.6 - - 69.8 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 32.9 - - 37.7 - - 33.6 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 71.3 - - 74.9 - - 72.6 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 31.9 - - 36.4 - - 32.3 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 14 - - 57 - - -3 - - -162 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 604 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 5 068 6 071 7 202 9 313 11 316 96483 89353 15 108 16 104 12 110 9 072 13 100 89353 83803 19 101 18 102 15 103 11 075 20 067 83803 79201 19 092 16 103 14 079 12 070 14 051 79201 75245 22 076 16 096 16 055 16 049 13 052 75245 71743 18 060 11 061 10 044 13 034 14 043 71743 68570 16 024 13 030 9 022 11 026 13 029 68570 65661 18 340 19 359 20 002 11 010 14 011 65661 62979 18 314 19 332 24 343 15 346 17 351 62979 60399 17 316 16 320 23 322 19 337 16 333 60399 57718 25 321 18 331 20 311 20 329 14 318 57718 54930 30 312 24 335 18 311 23 316 18 302 54930 52259 28 298 29 319 24 323 24 320 18 297 52259 49852 21 297 25 303 26 311 25 322 16 329 49852 47701 12 348 16 321 13 314 20 310 15 336 47701 45766 17 012 10 345 5 332 10 287 11 294 45766 44007 16 030 18 046 14 068 7 235 8 211 44007 42382 15 037 24 056 21 065 16 104 15 133 42382 40863 11 111 18 072 20 066 20 096 23 098 40863 39437 25 128 20 091 16 079 18 116 22 095 39437 38092 29 118 21 099 15 106 23 134 19 105 38092 36790 29 110 25 111 17 126 25 138 18 124 36790 35469 30 105 28 116 22 134 22 143 16 133 35469 34098 30 101 28 116 24 136 19 152 19 139 34098 32683 26 097 27 114 23 134 17 152 21 150 32683 31208 24 089 24 114 20 133 15 140 17 152 31208 29662 20 088 19 109 16 133 11 126 13 139 29662 28049 14 091 13 106 11 122 10 107 10 121 28049 26370 13 070 8 082 6 102 11 095 9 090 26370 24625 12 056 5 073 4 069 11 098 7 073 24625 22816 10 048 8 051 8 051 12 095 8 072 22816 20939 13 032 11 041 10 051 10 086 9 089 20939 18987 18 030 14 041 10 053 9 080 7 097 18987 16996 21 035 13 040 9 046 8 071 6 049 16996 15076 20 041 11 031 8 027 7 044 13 036 15076 13328 16 046 8 020 8 014 10 018 18 042 13328 11771 12 051 7 024 8 011 12 009 17 041 11771 10384 12 049 8 037 7 016 13 011 14 044 10384 9145 11 047 8 045 5 022 12 018 12 051 9145 8038 10 055 6 055 4 029 9 026 11 061 8038 7051 9 070 5 082 3 036 8 035 11 069 7051 6177 8 087 4 118 3 043 8 045 12 074 6177 5399 7 101 4 141 3 054 10 053 13 077 5399 4700 6 111 4 144 3*056 12 059 16 077 4700 4079 5 116 3 140 3*045 13 062 19 075 4079 3559 5 114 3 132 4 038 14 063 21 075 3559 3158 5 106 3 112 4 034 12 061 21 075 3158 2884 4 099 3 103 3 028 8 056 19 069 2884 2717 3*084 3*098 3 025 5*048 15*062 2717 2623 4*051 2*092 2 021 1*331 9*057 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography