DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.8 - - 43.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 74 - - -35 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 854 - - 659 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2604 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4391 - - 4196 - - 3725 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1043 - - 835 - - 1418 - - 1047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 164 - - 52 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 29 - - 25 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 001 - - 013 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 22 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -118 - - -114 - - -119 - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -254 - - -804 - - -621 - - -1235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4645 - - 5001 - - 4346 - - 3857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8802 - - -9225 - - -9134 - - -10492 ODpotential blCL - - - 13193 - - 13421 - - 12859 - - 13114 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 56 - - 59 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.8 - - 43.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 34.1 - - 34.1 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 47.1 - - 45.6 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 32.9 - - 32.8 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 74 - - -35 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 854 - - 659 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 37 246 27 255 29 257 25 252 96426 89185 24 289 28 266 27 275 27 273 89185 83693 24 340 10 321 11 299 21 291 83693 79120 26 308 19 307 12 319 18 297 79120 75160 20 278 26 270 23 281 20 269 75160 71656 8 289 15 245 17 262 19 230 71656 68445 21 293 17 262 14 265 16 248 68445 65452 33 281 33 272 24 279 18 269 65452 62661 39 272 42 276 37 283 26 288 62661 59966 35 266 38 268 42 279 35 288 59966 57164 25 261 32 276 38 277 38 281 57164 54244 16 285 35 291 34 287 36 282 54244 51438 30 296 39 295 38 293 36 291 51438 48909 49 293 44 294 44 295 42 308 48909 46658 63 289 53 295 51 301 51 311 46658 44634 67 290 61 294 59 301 55 307 44634 42792 70 290 61 292 60 299 54 307 42792 41093 68 289 59 295 60 299 54 316 41093 39520 64 297 62 301 60 303 61 327 39520 38062 71 310 67 307 62 313 69 331 38062 36711 83 311 72 312 66 322 70 333 36711 35428 85 307 75 313 68 327 67 336 35428 34144 74 310 74 313 66 329 66 339 34144 32823 69 322 70 316 62 330 67 340 32823 31465 72 331 68 321 59 329 66 340 31465 30051 77 334 68 325 57 328 63 340 30051 28570 79 335 70 326 56 326 62 340 28570 27022 81 334 71 326 56 325 63 337 27022 25407 81 332 72 326 56 324 64 335 25407 23731 81 331 73 325 56 324 61 332 23731 21994 81 330 73 325 56 324 57 331 21994 20189 80 329 72 325 55 324 52 332 20189 18308 78 328 70 326 54 326 49 339 18308 16386 74 325 67 327 52 330 48 345 16386 14527 72 323 66 330 53 335 48 350 14527 12831 71 323 64 335 55 340 49 354 12831 11321 70 326 60 340 55 345 48 357 11321 9979 68 329 55 345 53 349 42 359 9979 8787 65 332 49 350 48 352 32 000 8787 7729 60 336 44 355 41 357 27 009 7729 6791 54 339 39 359 37 005 27 024 6791 5963 50 344 37 002 37 013 31 037 5963 5230 46 348 38 003 39 015 36 042 5230 4573 41*353 37*004 38 016 39 039 4573 3990 37*357 35*003 36*016 39 032 3990 3502 34 358 33 002 33*015 36 026 3502 3127 31 358 30 000 29 014 30 023 3127 2868 28 358 27 359 24 013 22 021 2868 2711 24 357 22 358 20 012 17*020 2711 2621 14 355 14 357 11 010 9*018 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography