DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 82.7 - - 82.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 151 - - 16 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 148 - - 2728 - - 2183 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 5040 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3685 - - 6265 - - 5720 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4128 - - 3482 - - 3362 - - 247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 322 - - 165 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 068 - - 051 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - -37 - - -21 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7392 - - -6614 - - -6760 - - -9264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11077 - - 12880 - - 12480 - - 11888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14683 - - -15221 - - -14855 - - -19010 ODpotential blCL - - - 18368 - - 21486 - - 20575 - - 21634 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 75 - - 75 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 82.7 - - 82.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 35.3 - - 37.0 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 82.2 - - 83.0 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 34.1 - - 35.8 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 151 - - 16 - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 148 - - 2728 - - 2183 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96718 26 249 28 269 19 259 35 257 96718 89496 13 148 13 244 14 257 13 291 89496 84010 9 139 5 113 15 196 13 273 84010 79411 6 094 9 109 7 150 1 353 79411 75436 9 108 11 113 5 161 11 075 75436 71956 20 087 13 163 7 098 13 068 71956 68837 22 061 13 094 4 116 12 058 68837 65983 9 028 14 047 7 073 14 015 65983 63345 18 056 10 044 9 019 15 352 63345 60796 34 043 16 035 6 010 10 346 60796 58134 31 027 26 026 22 045 20 050 58134 55377 29 030 27 014 26 030 23 034 55377 52744 31 037 24 023 24 012 20 006 52744 50355 43 045 34 042 29 033 19 030 50355 48209 48 031 38 036 38 038 32 040 48209 46272 31 014 21 019 34 022 33 035 46272 44501 20 024 14 359 24 350 23 034 44501 42859 34 060 14 027 18 357 19 049 42859 41321 39 052 26 039 19 039 21 055 41321 39869 38 039 35 030 27 039 21 043 39869 38497 36 028 36 018 29 030 28 030 38497 37171 38 021 34 017 29 026 30 032 37171 35826 36 018 32 022 28 023 23 028 35826 34433 30 017 29 023 23 017 16 350 34433 32995 25 020 24 022 18 012 19 351 32995 31499 23 028 19 015 15 006 19 003 31499 29932 22 025 19 005 15 358 22 016 29932 28297 28 005 24 010 18 006 22 018 28297 26591 32 359 28 023 23 017 26 022 26591 24818 36 005 33 026 28 018 31 023 24818 22979 42 012 36 019 32 018 34 022 22979 21070 46 016 34 012 36 020 37 024 21070 19088 41 017 31 014 34 022 36 031 19088 17074 28 015 28 019 29 024 30 037 17074 15138 21 009 24 013 25 025 24 037 15138 13377 19 011 20 004 24 023 21 035 13377 11811 14 020 18 004 22 020 18 034 11811 10417 11 032 12 011 17 018 13 032 10417 9174 8 041 6 031 13 018 10 027 9174 8064 6 056 4 055 11 025 8 020 8064 7074 4 075 5*063 10 037 8 017 7074 6197 4 084 8*066 10*046 8 020 6197 5416 5 079 12 066 11*050 10 027 5416 4714 8 068 14 067 11 051 11 036 4714 4090 10*063 13 068 10 051 13 042 4090 3568 10*059 13 068 8 051 15 045 3568 3165 8 056 12 069 7 050 16 046 3165 2888 6 056 10 069 6 050 14 044 2888 2719 5 056 9 070 5 050 11*040 2719 2623 3 053 6 073 3 053 7*036 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography