DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 84.6 - - - - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 539 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 1201 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3764 - - 4255 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4085 - - 4738 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 432 - - 771 - - - - - 883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 357 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 206 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 39 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2606 - - -3758 - - - - - -2152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6692 - - 8497 - - - - - 4776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9321 - - -8591 - - - - - -9411 ODpotential blCL - - - 13406 - - 13329 - - - - - 12035 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 50 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 84.6 - - - - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 56.3 - - - - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 82.2 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 56.0 - - - - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 539 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 1201 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98624 19 105 15 099 19 066 98624 91142 23 099 14 092 11 088 91142 85396 15 095 20 099 15 091 85396 80649 15 103 14 093 23 095 80649 76569 18 110 12 106 25 098 76569 72965 17 111 13 125 21 087 72965 69708 17 104 12 125 12 086 69708 66729 13 080 7 118 10 102 66729 63981 4 068 4 149 7 072 63981 61334 1 197 4 197 5 316 61334 58592 3 269 4 222 9 266 58592 55762 8 260 6 266 11 245 55762 53073 10 258 10 257 8 237 53073 50655 11 274 8 256 7 283 50655 48488 5 304 3 275 10 296 48488 46520 4 014 5 325 10 286 46520 44713 4 358 9 326 9 262 44713 43036 6 316 10 323 10 251 43036 41471 8 287 9 311 10 250 41471 40002 7 295 7 311 11 242 40002 38618 10 327 8 328 15 235 38618 37280 14 331 11 339 19 236 37280 35924 15 332 13 337 16 239 35924 34521 17 333 15 329 11 235 34521 33076 16 334 13 323 8 240 33076 31573 15 333 10 323 5 271 31573 30001 14 334 9 329 5 316 30001 28359 17 332 10 327 6 343 28359 26649 16 329 10 313 8 356 26649 24871 13 327 7 290 8 001 24871 23029 11 313 6 285 7 358 23029 21119 13 281 7 286 6 009 21119 19136 13 257 11 255 4 002 19136 17122 9 242 9 252 4 306 17122 15187 5 217 9 238 3 277 15187 13426 6 171 10 215 0 222 13426 11856 9 159 11 194 3 136 11856 10455 10 148 11 173 4 160 10455 9202 11 140 12 150 5 172 9202 8082 10 137 12 134 6 180 8082 7084 8 138 12 139 7 185 7084 6200 5 141 9 144 6 190 6200 5415 2 154 5*154 5 197 5415 4710 1*174 4*187 4 202 4710 4086 1*178 5 200 2 216 4086 3564 3 199 7 208 1 193 3564 3163 5 204 8 210 1 142 3163 2887 6 207 8 212 1 173 2887 2719 6 208 8 212 1*183 2719 2623 6 209 7 213 1*191 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography