DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 74.7 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 576 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1756 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4108 - - 4680 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4562 - - 5293 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 741 - - 904 - - - - - 1305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 326 - - 413 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 223 - - - - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 43 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2243 - - -2292 - - - - - -1949 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6805 - - 7586 - - - - - 4573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8698 - - -7621 - - - - - -9703 ODpotential blCL - - - 13260 - - 12914 - - - - - 12327 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 65 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 74.7 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 50.3 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 72.3 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 50.1 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 576 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1756 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98639 25 118 21 118 10 093 98639 91182 23 113 25 126 13 096 91182 85449 23 093 21 115 18 101 85449 80696 20 095 15 102 19 105 80696 76611 15 117 16 104 16 088 76611 73005 11 129 9 115 13 084 73005 69746 8 137 10 164 10 064 69746 66763 6 139 11 164 3 305 66763 64020 3 138 3 138 5 229 64020 61365 9 247 12 256 6 290 61365 58579 16 221 16 236 17 250 58579 55671 20 242 19 240 19 249 55671 52896 27 255 25 259 30 276 52896 50428 31 250 33 257 33 261 50428 48236 21 277 21 249 25 315 48236 46263 25 302 22 312 32 323 46263 44468 28 336 38 329 35 344 44468 42804 36 339 41 338 51 005 42804 41243 38 335 43 341 63 002 41243 39773 34 323 44 334 68 356 39773 38386 29 321 40 322 66 353 38386 37046 26 330 33 314 61 351 37046 35689 26 342 30 311 57 349 35689 34286 21 337 14 309 55 349 34286 32838 16 330 12 294 46 351 32838 31331 16 315 21 300 32 334 31331 29753 17 305 26 308 34 319 29753 28110 17 294 20 308 35 324 28110 26407 18 281 18 291 26 321 26407 24639 19 282 19 277 22 286 24639 22807 19 272 19 275 26 277 22807 20906 19 262 18 265 27 278 20906 18932 18 264 18 257 23 280 18932 16927 14 272 15 258 18 276 16927 14998 10 274 13 254 16 268 14998 13245 9 261 13 251 17 267 13245 11688 10 252 13 250 16 274 11688 10303 11 256 12 246 12 282 10303 9070 10 266 10 243 10 297 9070 7971 10 277 8 244 9 315 7971 6993 10 284 6 246 10 329 6993 6127 8 289 4 252 9 332 6127 5358 6 293 4*240 8 329 5358 4668 5*287 4*236 5 320 4668 4056 5*275 7 224 3 313 4056 3545 6 258 8 223 0 332 3545 3152 7 248 9 221 2 191 3152 2882 7 244 9 221 3 199 2882 2717 7 242 9 220 3*202 2717 2623 6 240 8 220 3*202 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography