DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 75.7 - - 73.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 482 - - 206 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1260 - - 2028 - - 1243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4233 - - 4847 - - 4048 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4797 - - 5565 - - 4780 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 675 - - 829 - - 1024 - - 1343 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 407 - - 261 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 249 - - 251 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 38 - - 32 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2270 - - -2329 - - -1730 - - -1818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7068 - - 7894 - - 6510 - - 4442 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9064 - - -8179 - - -7565 - - -9788 ODpotential blCL - - - 13861 - - 13744 - - 12345 - - 12412 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 57 - - 65 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 75.7 - - 73.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 50.2 - - 53.5 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 73.6 - - 72.2 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 50.1 - - 53.5 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 387 - - 482 - - 206 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1260 - - 2028 - - 1243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98653 24 087 15 105 13 084 21 049 98653 91285 30 085 20 099 17 088 15 060 91285 85619 27 095 18 091 23 088 16 086 85619 80906 18 094 18 082 22 073 24 092 80906 76842 16 101 17 090 20 070 25 086 76842 73243 19 100 16 105 18 072 21 083 73243 69979 18 091 16 109 11 091 18 082 69979 66988 10 100 9 092 10 086 10 081 66988 64227 9 093 4 184 5 037 8 090 64227 61573 9 070 4 126 2 255 6 008 61573 58822 10 299 5 294 8 300 15 331 58822 55986 12 279 16 258 21 267 24 286 55986 53303 16 300 18 277 22 278 24 287 53303 50891 29 299 26 299 29 296 28 307 50891 48721 39 298 33 301 37 299 36 303 48721 46737 46 298 37 302 38 298 41 301 46737 44899 48 298 40 302 41 298 45 299 44899 43183 48 296 42 300 45 299 47 297 43183 41570 48 292 44 299 46 301 47 298 41570 40052 47 290 46 298 47 302 47 301 40052 38621 47 288 45 294 47 302 47 302 38621 37243 46 287 43 292 47 302 49 302 37243 35853 45 287 41 290 46 299 50 303 35853 34422 42 284 40 291 41 298 48 304 34422 32955 40 281 39 291 39 302 41 303 32955 31438 38 281 39 290 39 301 35 305 31438 29858 38 283 41 289 42 300 33 308 29858 28210 36 280 43 284 47 297 36 307 28210 26493 35 275 41 279 48 294 36 306 26493 24714 32 271 35 277 43 292 32 309 24714 22878 28 266 30 272 35 286 28 311 22878 20978 24 263 26 266 29 280 24 305 20978 19008 20 260 24 261 25 277 21 300 19008 17005 19 260 22 261 23 275 18 296 17005 15076 19 261 21 261 21 274 16 289 15076 13319 19 266 19 264 19 273 15 282 13319 11752 17 270 17 267 17 272 15 274 11752 10356 15 272 14 272 14 270 14 268 10356 9111 12 275 11 280 11 270 12 262 9111 8002 10 282 8 293 7 264 9 254 8002 7016 8 292 6 311 5 263 7 249 7016 6145 7 311 4*318 5 282 6 259 6145 5373 6*326 3*299 5*300 5 287 5373 4679 4*318 3 282 4*291 6 309 4679 4064 3 279 6 248 5 264 6 320 4064 3551 4 258 7 242 6 246 5 323 3551 3156 5 247 7 237 7 241 2 322 3156 2883 6 241 8 236 7 238 1 301 2883 2718 6 240 8 235 7 236 0*316 2718 2623 5 238 7 233 6 236 0*328 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography