DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.4 - - 70.3 - - 63.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -119 - - -5 - - 49 - - -56 - - -152 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 270 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3807 - - 2623 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 3001 - - 3219 - - 660 - - 115 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 23 - - 106 - - 19 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 11 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 078 - - 085 - - 056 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -43 - - -26 - - -29 - - -29 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5044 - - -6079 - - -5972 - - -6621 - - -7969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7668 - - 8704 - - 9780 - - 9244 - - 10593 sfcLCL ODpotential -14669 - - -13471 - - -13011 - - -14576 - - -16761 ODpotential blCL 17292 - - 16095 - - 16818 - - 17199 - - 19385 blCL maxRH 34 - - 26 - - 25 - - 30 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.4 - - 70.3 - - 63.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 37.9 - - 37.0 - - 33.0 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 68.1 - - 71.0 - - 67.1 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 36.7 - - 35.7 - - 31.7 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -119 - - -5 - - 49 - - -56 - - -152 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 270 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 3 312 14 357 4 297 4 288 12 292 96353 89191 9 010 7 011 1 200 1 059 9 352 89191 83643 13 357 5 057 7 029 11 055 10 074 83643 79034 10 348 9 037 8 360 12 045 15 046 79034 75083 11 336 7 322 17 007 11 033 14 043 75083 71608 23 339 15 302 21 345 24 007 20 045 71608 68472 19 320 16 316 16 333 22 330 20 357 68472 65604 16 308 19 330 15 332 18 309 17 340 65604 62947 19 313 21 324 20 331 17 310 17 321 62947 60372 20 309 23 319 23 326 18 315 19 314 60372 57682 22 297 22 311 23 312 20 311 19 307 57682 54884 24 298 22 308 22 305 22 313 22 312 54884 52209 28 305 27 307 29 303 30 313 32 308 52209 49796 35 302 33 301 37 300 39 308 38 308 49796 47632 39 302 37 300 40 300 41 309 38 305 47632 45674 45 302 38 305 41 302 40 312 32 310 45674 43897 49 304 41 309 39 304 40 316 14 319 43897 42263 53 306 42 309 39 309 40 322 11 008 42263 40733 56 304 44 310 38 316 38 322 30 023 40733 39292 58 302 47 312 37 320 34 322 40 024 39292 37934 59 304 50 314 36 324 30 325 37 019 37934 36625 62 307 51 313 34 327 27 333 24 024 36625 35306 65 307 50 311 30 331 23 339 28 077 35306 33945 62 306 44 312 27 344 20 348 38 077 33945 32539 60 305 34 320 24 356 20 359 40 069 32539 31073 56 306 27 333 21 007 22 006 34 074 31073 29536 51 307 24 344 19 016 24 008 28 061 29536 27934 44 311 24 001 18 022 25 006 28 049 27934 26267 36 317 27 008 19 016 26 006 25 043 26267 24537 31 326 27 008 19 010 25 009 22 013 24537 22743 29 334 26 010 18 012 24 013 21 003 22743 20874 28 336 22 002 17 016 22 011 19 009 20874 18926 25 337 22 354 17 014 22 005 19 006 18926 16937 22 344 21 355 19 018 21 011 18 010 16937 15016 21 353 18 001 19 026 19 028 16 026 15016 13267 19 354 16 013 17 036 18 041 16 040 13267 11713 15 343 13 026 17 042 18 042 16 041 11713 10329 11 332 10 036 16 049 16 046 15 035 10329 9095 8 329 7 045 12 060 15 055 14 036 9095 7994 7 351 6 058 10 075 12 065 13 047 7994 7015 7 011 5 084 9 095 9 077 11 059 7015 6147 5 029 7 101 10 109 8 091 9 073 6147 5377 4 062 8 107 10 110 9 103 9 091 5377 4685 6 078 10 107 11 102 11 100 9 103 4685 4070 8 077 12 101 13*089 13 090 11 102 4070 3554 12 072 13 093 13*085 20 077 14 089 3554 3157 14 068 13 085 12 084 20 070 18 077 3157 2883 14 065 10 080 10 085 16 067 18 072 2883 2717 12*059 7*078 8 086 12*063 15*064 2717 2623 9*053 3*079 5 092 6*056 9*056 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography