DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 67.9 - - 66.7 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 62 - - -4 - - -115 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 354 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3891 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1132 - - 2275 - - 2643 - - 119 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 125 - - 15 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 061 - - 063 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -4 - - -13 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5677 - - -4558 - - -7015 - - -7433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8300 - - 8449 - - 9638 - - 10056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12667 - - -10106 - - -13530 - - -15638 ODpotential blCL - - - 15290 - - 13997 - - 16153 - - 18261 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 69 - - 55 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 67.9 - - 66.7 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.1 - - 40.3 - - 34.0 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 68.1 - - 67.9 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 39.0 - - 32.8 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 62 - - -4 - - -115 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 354 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 14 038 12 048 22 084 16 069 96278 89227 17 070 15 069 18 076 13 063 89227 83757 22 078 17 077 17 057 23 054 83757 79204 20 091 14 065 18 053 23 051 79204 75277 20 087 12 046 22 051 21 049 75277 71807 17 083 10 062 20 045 17 055 71807 68660 16 055 10 045 18 047 18 055 68660 65765 18 041 20 033 20 033 21 041 65765 63089 17 034 18 034 18 022 18 019 63089 60502 17 013 17 028 14 015 15 001 60502 57800 21 353 21 015 17 354 19 359 57800 54981 23 338 21 347 22 329 27 350 54981 52276 25 335 25 322 28 315 33 331 52276 49834 26 321 29 310 29 321 31 320 49834 47636 23 303 28 296 29 318 31 319 47636 45627 24 297 26 288 30 312 35 316 45627 43776 26 291 23 290 31 306 36 312 43776 42068 27 293 22 302 31 298 36 306 42068 40487 29 301 25 315 28 304 33 304 40487 39019 29 304 25 318 29 308 29 306 39019 37651 27 317 29 325 29 320 26 311 37651 36346 20 319 24 313 31 318 22 322 36346 35035 11 352 18 321 26 304 21 320 35035 33681 21 010 20 341 21 319 21 303 33681 32283 21 003 21 338 22 325 21 290 32283 30824 14 353 22 330 24 320 19 299 30824 29296 13 335 23 321 26 318 20 304 29296 27699 18 334 22 322 26 321 21 313 27699 26038 17 329 18 325 24 322 21 325 26038 24313 17 322 16 322 21 319 21 324 24313 22527 20 322 15 319 19 316 21 319 22527 20676 23 323 18 318 19 317 22 319 20676 18752 26 320 22 318 21 323 22 324 18752 16791 26 317 26 318 24 325 25 326 16791 14897 24 315 24 321 26 325 28 327 14897 13169 20 316 20 327 23 326 27 332 13169 11629 17 322 17 333 20 330 23 340 11629 10256 15 330 15 336 16 339 16 351 10256 9033 11 342 12 342 12 352 8 007 9033 7943 7 012 6 002 6 014 3 053 7943 6974 6 067 4 073 5 076 2 105 6974 6115 7 099 5 103 6 099 3 129 6115 5353 8 105 7 091 7 091 4 132 5353 4667 8 103 8 078 9 080 6 118 4667 4057 9 097 8*067 10 071 7 102 4057 3545 9 090 6*060 8 065 11 088 3545 3152 8 082 4 059 6 063 13 080 3152 2880 6 072 2 063 3 062 13 072 2880 2716 4*068 2 064 2*066 12*063 2716 2622 1*058 1 072 1*069 8*057 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography