DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 47.2 - - 45.9 - - 47.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 72 - - 29 - - 33 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 735 - - 16 - - 685 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 4272 - - 2622 - - 4222 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2201 - - 1556 - - 2965 - - 1901 - - 2870 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 159 - - 33 - - 122 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 157 - - 155 - - 170 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 10 - - 15 - - 13 - - 26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1391 - - 1 - - 1372 - - -174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2621 - - 2881 - - 2621 - - 2850 - - 2797 sfcLCL ODpotential -1812 - - 475 - - -652 - - 307 - - -1613 ODpotential blCL 4434 - - 3797 - - 3274 - - 3915 - - 4235 blCL maxRH 92 - - 99 - - 101 - - 95 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 47.2 - - 45.9 - - 47.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 43.7 - - 44.1 - - 44.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 47.4 - - 46.4 - - 48.4 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 42.9 - - 43.7 - - 43.8 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 72 - - 29 - - 33 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 735 - - 16 - - 685 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 95 - - 103 - - 81 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96639 35 093 22 104 18 084 28 095 18 119 96639 89493 23 104 17 105 13 082 21 106 13 111 89493 83964 12 124 15 117 10 086 17 113 9 131 83964 79343 9 099 12 127 6 105 9 110 9 124 79343 75346 3 123 6 170 5 146 4 217 4 191 75346 71818 9 167 11 203 7 226 6 221 2 254 71818 68613 4 196 9 212 11 239 16 233 10 282 68613 65658 19 229 16 222 16 225 20 243 19 247 65658 62913 17 194 18 223 25 240 27 244 24 241 62913 60238 22 234 27 227 34 229 31 237 35 249 60238 57434 36 249 36 239 40 237 41 231 42 241 57434 54517 54 242 46 240 51 241 51 238 58 245 54517 51741 66 245 60 242 66 243 71 248 72 247 51741 49259 79 247 74 242 80 241 87 245 85 250 49259 47049 85 244 80 242 83 242 90 244 95 249 47049 45052 88 244 85 244 83 246 91 246 99 247 45052 43225 90 244 89 245 87 248 95 245 99 244 43225 41551 93 247 93 246 95 245 97 243 99 242 41551 40014 97 246 96 244 101 242 102 246 104 242 40014 38593 93 245 94 244 101 243 111 247 111 241 38593 37257 88 248 94 247 104 248 112 246 113 240 37257 35962 89 251 96 246 106 249 111 246 113 240 35962 34646 87 247 95 248 106 249 111 246 112 240 34646 33282 87 245 90 248 101 250 108 246 110 241 33282 31875 85 243 88 246 93 250 104 247 107 241 31875 30409 80 240 85 244 86 247 96 247 104 243 30409 28877 78 238 83 240 84 241 86 243 98 246 28877 27283 77 238 84 240 85 236 83 239 87 243 27283 25626 71 238 81 241 83 237 84 238 77 240 25626 23905 64 235 73 238 74 240 79 240 73 240 23905 22124 59 232 67 234 66 238 68 240 67 242 22124 20276 57 229 63 232 62 237 60 236 59 241 20276 18358 55 230 57 230 57 235 54 236 51 237 18358 16408 52 231 52 229 53 232 50 238 47 234 16408 14530 49 228 49 228 52 227 50 237 41 234 14530 12828 46 223 45 226 47 228 40 237 33 236 12828 11322 43 217 40 222 38 225 26 237 23 232 11322 9988 37 212 33 218 28 224 17 240 16 227 9988 8800 32 206 28 213 20 217 12 244 13 219 8800 7742 28 200 23 203 17 201 8 233 12 202 7742 6804 24 193 20 192 17 192 9 208 12 184 6804 5977 21 188 18 187 17 188 11 193 12 170 5977 5244 19 183 17 184 16 185 12 186 13 170 5244 4585 17 180 14*180 16 181 11*184 12 171 4585 4000 15 174 12*170 14 172 10*178 11 173 4000 3510 14 165 11 156 13 160 8 171 10 174 3510 3132 13 151 10 152 11 154 7 167 9 169 3132 2871 12 141 10 152 10 153 6 167 8 161 2871 2712 10*135 9 152 9*153 6 167 6*160 2712 2621 5*132 6 155 6*154 5 167 3*166 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography