DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 64.3 - - 66.5 - - 61.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -10 - - 26 - - -40 - - -174 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 84 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3621 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1376 - - 1581 - - 2054 - - 789 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 25 - - 64 - - 20 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 075 - - 075 - - 048 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -14 - - -7 - - -25 - - -50 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7749 - - -4463 - - -1795 - - -3342 - - -5202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10373 - - 7086 - - 5416 - - 5966 - - 7825 sfcLCL ODpotential -16089 - - -11412 - - -6944 - - -9941 - - -14728 ODpotential blCL 18712 - - 14035 - - 10565 - - 12565 - - 17351 blCL maxRH 21 - - 29 - - 55 - - 36 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 64.3 - - 66.5 - - 61.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.9 - - 42.8 - - 51.9 - - 45.0 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.1 - - 65.9 - - 67.0 - - 65.4 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.8 - - 41.6 - - 50.6 - - 43.5 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -10 - - 26 - - -40 - - -174 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 84 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96348 17 293 11 262 13 280 16 240 20 268 96348 89249 6 275 1 307 7 258 9 270 9 321 89249 83776 7 187 4 298 6 273 8 297 6 333 83776 79222 2 197 4 287 7 283 7 290 4 344 79222 75283 5 358 5 253 14 285 12 305 11 355 75283 71788 8 346 7 250 18 282 17 298 13 338 71788 68609 13 322 6 270 16 279 17 296 14 317 68609 65678 15 305 10 301 15 286 16 294 17 310 65678 62960 19 294 17 299 16 288 17 291 17 302 62960 60325 23 295 21 297 21 298 20 298 18 295 60325 57577 28 299 26 297 22 304 25 303 21 300 57577 54733 32 293 26 303 26 303 32 299 26 304 54733 52032 31 293 29 303 30 297 35 290 29 302 52032 49606 27 295 30 293 33 293 37 287 30 299 49606 47435 29 300 32 294 32 295 33 292 30 302 47435 45480 33 306 29 299 32 288 30 290 31 304 45480 43707 33 308 32 318 30 313 23 297 29 292 43707 42074 27 316 28 318 24 323 9 356 17 283 42074 40554 22 313 20 309 14 340 14 015 8 026 40554 39135 9 336 3 348 5 332 7 302 15 038 39135 37801 24 056 23 105 13 153 18 209 3 023 37801 36514 42 071 36 095 28 125 24 169 21 183 36514 35209 30 061 35 095 34 117 19 152 23 167 35209 33858 17 037 26 104 27 120 9 127 18 135 33858 32463 13 029 18 100 16 132 11 092 17 121 32463 31008 12 015 11 081 8 113 16 096 15 121 31008 29480 11 015 11 056 10 051 12 064 15 113 29480 27881 13 015 12 046 13 028 16 050 12 094 27881 26210 14 008 12 032 10 033 16 063 12 074 26210 24473 12 357 14 028 10 056 13 070 9 087 24473 22673 10 336 15 009 11 045 8 066 6 127 22673 20804 12 328 8 334 6 324 6 020 2 134 20804 18856 17 340 8 308 6 324 7 017 3 310 18856 16873 25 355 14 340 9 352 7 016 6 337 16873 14962 29 001 21 349 13 352 9 005 11 352 14962 13220 26 001 24 353 17 352 13 007 17 003 13220 11668 21 358 23 357 18 355 16 011 20 010 11668 10286 15 355 18 359 17 359 15 015 19 017 10286 9056 11 357 14 359 14 001 13 020 14 026 9056 7960 8 001 12 000 9 005 9 026 9 040 7960 6985 5 359 9 005 5 030 5 039 6 063 6985 6123 3 345 6 016 6 085 4 079 5 094 6123 5357 2 320 4 042 7 106 5 111 5 117 5357 4669 1 276 4 086 8 107 7 102 5 125 4669 4058 1 259 4 109 7*093 10 083 5 122 4058 3546 1 249 5 106 6*075 17 070 8 096 3546 3152 0 114 5 089 4 072 16 062 11 079 3152 2880 2 063 4 076 3 075 13 058 14 065 2880 2716 3*055 4*074 2 080 10*053 14*058 2716 2622 3*046 2*075 1 090 5*048 9*052 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography