DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.9 - - 71.4 - - 75.0 - - 70.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -70 - - 111 - - 194 - - 8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2168 - - 193 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4692 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 5705 - - 3730 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 171 - - 3613 - - 2356 - - 2790 - - 1460 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 51 - - 311 - - 51 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 18 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 227 - - 230 - - 242 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -33 - - 16 - - 26 - - 17 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7419 - - -8005 - - -6159 - - -4046 - - -5498 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10042 - - 10629 - - 11865 - - 7777 - - 8122 sfcLCL ODpotential -15469 - - -14178 - - -11660 - - -8483 - - -12026 ODpotential blCL 18092 - - 16802 - - 17365 - - 12213 - - 14650 blCL maxRH 20 - - 25 - - 29 - - 42 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.9 - - 71.4 - - 75.0 - - 70.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 34.3 - - 32.2 - - 45.5 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.3 - - 71.2 - - 74.3 - - 70.8 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.1 - - 33.2 - - 31.2 - - 45.1 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -70 - - 111 - - 194 - - 8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2168 - - 193 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96899 41 290 48 290 49 288 45 285 56 287 96899 89680 27 294 29 296 37 286 32 293 40 301 89680 84169 21 301 23 291 26 294 33 298 32 311 84169 79607 26 298 23 292 25 310 27 300 32 313 79607 75651 25 302 23 291 27 308 26 305 34 307 75651 72150 23 314 22 290 27 295 28 297 29 306 72150 68987 24 306 22 285 30 291 27 296 24 305 68987 66095 24 293 21 279 27 281 27 300 21 302 66095 63428 22 290 17 267 21 267 25 285 23 285 63428 60864 26 281 14 257 19 258 27 268 25 259 60864 58207 14 294 15 259 21 256 26 254 22 259 58207 55452 30 301 23 284 23 269 31 271 35 277 55452 52832 42 280 40 271 39 266 44 264 47 266 52832 50470 32 258 37 252 41 248 41 249 47 252 50470 48323 12 256 29 243 34 238 33 251 40 256 48323 46347 16 324 20 296 27 280 36 276 42 271 46347 44518 46 323 44 311 44 298 44 290 48 284 44518 42821 63 319 57 310 54 301 53 297 52 287 42821 41238 58 324 54 315 52 307 54 297 54 288 41238 39752 47 328 40 322 46 313 37 300 50 291 39752 38351 34 332 28 328 33 319 31 302 40 290 38351 37000 26 001 17 336 20 335 27 298 28 287 37000 35637 30 024 11 034 12 334 26 301 22 292 35637 34229 38 024 21 036 8 353 20 317 22 298 34229 32777 45 019 29 020 15 013 15 335 23 297 32777 31267 47 031 33 021 22 012 16 356 23 301 31267 29684 40 036 31 036 24 022 17 013 16 304 29684 28031 27 011 22 034 24 046 18 041 6 353 28031 26309 20 359 20 009 17 033 16 026 6 038 26309 24520 9 010 14 010 15 019 17 001 9 012 24520 22678 7 285 6 291 5 066 12 034 10 041 22678 20791 10 260 9 246 7 220 5 118 2 143 20791 18847 6 263 6 239 8 212 8 211 9 225 18847 16872 4 281 4 258 4 228 6 225 6 219 16872 14969 4 345 2 328 0 261 1 242 3 185 14969 13236 5 024 3 053 2 102 2 078 2 136 13236 11691 7 039 6 077 5 114 4 110 3 082 11691 10311 8 070 8 105 8 124 7 125 5 089 10311 9080 11 089 9 117 9 125 7 125 5 111 9080 7983 15 094 9 123 8 121 5 109 7 134 7983 7007 13 099 8 129 4 095 6 064 5 137 7007 6141 11 109 6 134 3*079 6 041 3 116 6141 5373 10 111 4 149 1*077 5 025 3 079 5373 4681 11 107 3 158 1 240 4 008 4 063 4681 4067 12 100 1 157 3 234 2*343 6 049 4067 3553 12 092 1 210 4 230 2*260 7 037 3553 3157 12 085 2 224 5 229 3 242 7 028 3157 2883 10 074 3 227 5 227 3 239 7 022 2883 2718 8*065 3*227 5 226 3 237 6*017 2718 2623 7*056 3*228 5 226 3 236 5*015 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography