DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.6 - - 66.2 - - 70.7 - - 67.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 86 - - 249 - - 38 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 779 - - 2560 - - 1602 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 5065 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4316 - - 6097 - - 5139 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2705 - - 2076 - - 1277 - - 1424 - - 2036 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 176 - - 356 - - 165 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 256 - - 228 - - 226 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 15 - - 30 - - 31 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4337 - - -2552 - - -2680 - - -2513 - - -3024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6961 - - 6868 - - 8778 - - 7652 - - 5647 sfcLCL ODpotential -12245 - - -9939 - - -8381 - - -8612 - - -11220 ODpotential blCL 14869 - - 14255 - - 14478 - - 13751 - - 13843 blCL maxRH 59 - - 46 - - 46 - - 48 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.6 - - 66.2 - - 70.7 - - 67.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 45.4 - - 41.4 - - 42.9 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.1 - - 66.1 - - 69.6 - - 67.5 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 44.1 - - 40.6 - - 42.5 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 86 - - 249 - - 38 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 779 - - 2560 - - 1602 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97205 21 278 30 262 22 283 21 265 19 269 97205 89917 12 253 14 252 18 267 19 287 11 271 89917 84323 8 212 4 262 12 251 12 293 10 261 84323 79694 3 189 4 304 9 252 13 288 8 272 79694 75727 5 290 5 327 7 282 9 286 5 285 75727 72227 7 303 7 301 12 296 8 297 5 337 72227 69033 7 290 6 264 10 280 11 275 11 308 69033 66078 12 300 4 261 7 264 9 263 14 287 66078 63330 19 274 10 284 12 275 11 266 15 278 63330 60655 18 272 11 269 16 263 17 252 19 270 60655 57854 18 279 11 261 15 262 16 252 23 276 57854 54947 26 271 20 272 22 275 20 275 27 275 54947 52189 29 265 24 272 23 276 28 282 28 288 52189 49729 30 285 25 286 28 282 32 281 31 295 49729 47546 37 289 28 291 30 302 29 293 35 298 47546 45582 37 295 36 301 43 309 41 310 32 299 45582 43800 46 302 45 300 43 303 48 305 36 305 43800 42165 46 296 46 302 38 305 37 310 38 298 42165 40641 36 300 41 301 37 313 34 323 31 303 40641 39208 40 308 37 302 38 317 36 329 32 321 39208 37855 44 311 35 306 39 318 37 328 36 324 37855 36547 46 313 36 313 36 320 36 326 37 319 36547 35219 46 313 40 318 34 325 37 325 37 315 35219 33845 45 309 42 319 37 325 37 324 36 312 33845 32428 43 302 38 323 38 321 38 323 36 312 32428 30955 40 293 33 330 36 317 36 322 36 314 30955 29416 38 288 30 338 34 316 33 315 34 317 29416 27813 33 282 26 342 30 315 36 305 30 317 27813 26146 27 282 24 353 23 313 33 309 26 307 26146 24416 24 283 20 357 17 317 27 317 24 304 24416 22623 25 275 16 321 15 329 21 318 25 311 22623 20761 22 285 18 289 16 340 18 319 26 315 20761 18822 19 297 17 291 15 328 15 323 24 316 18822 16844 16 298 14 296 13 307 13 316 19 315 16844 14936 14 297 12 295 12 301 14 307 15 311 14936 13197 13 295 10 286 11 300 14 306 14 309 13197 11649 10 296 7 280 10 298 12 310 14 311 11649 10269 6 299 4 268 6 282 9 309 12 315 10269 9039 3 305 2 261 4 256 5 297 9 317 9039 7943 2 316 2 285 3 260 5 284 8 318 7943 6968 2 299 3 286 3 258 5 279 7 316 6968 6107 2 293 3 278 3*246 4 270 6 308 6107 5344 3 302 3 279 4*240 4*259 5 296 5344 4659 3 304 3*291 4 234 5*241 5 293 4659 4052 3 308 2*298 5 229 6 229 5 302 4052 3543 1 285 2 280 6 226 7 224 5 323 3543 3151 0 176 3 247 6 225 7 222 5 340 3151 2881 1 081 3 238 6 224 7 222 4 356 2881 2717 3*073 3 234 6 223 6 220 4*010 2717 2622 3*066 3 232 6 222 5 220 4*015 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography