DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.8 - - 86.2 - - 90.5 - - - - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 454 - - 563 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1597 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3680 - - 4554 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3982 - - 5134 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1054 - - 1285 - - 2524 - - - - - 1489 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 241 - - 396 - - - - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 240 - - 238 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 30 - - 42 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6063 - - -5033 - - -5187 - - - - - -6497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8687 - - 9016 - - 10321 - - - - - 9123 sfcLCL ODpotential -10253 - - -7298 - - -7157 - - - - - -10404 ODpotential blCL 12877 - - 11280 - - 12291 - - - - - 13029 blCL maxRH 83 - - 69 - - 57 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 50 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 78.8 - - 86.2 - - 90.5 - - - - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 55.8 - - 54.3 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.8 - - 84.2 - - 88.0 - - - - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.1 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 454 - - 563 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1597 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99122 40 115 40 117 39 108 49 103 99122 91676 52 108 47 116 43 113 37 099 91676 85939 50 099 45 116 46 118 33 100 85939 81145 35 089 35 103 38 114 35 099 81145 77021 22 098 23 094 30 104 31 103 77021 73404 24 118 18 105 19 108 27 110 73404 70154 27 116 20 120 18 115 25 105 70154 67174 19 102 22 125 19 136 15 098 67174 64417 11 125 19 113 21 132 11 131 64417 61757 19 161 16 134 20 135 16 142 61757 58996 25 152 22 165 20 174 17 146 58996 56149 22 158 21 179 19 182 13 138 56149 53447 27 166 31 193 28 197 17 194 53447 51029 35 177 39 180 39 196 35 206 51029 48872 35 186 36 178 45 189 44 203 48872 46914 33 197 34 187 44 190 48 201 46914 45112 37 196 40 195 43 196 46 196 45112 43439 38 190 42 193 41 207 39 194 43439 41870 33 192 35 193 31 232 36 200 41870 40385 28 200 31 195 31 244 31 219 40385 38977 26 201 30 198 29 235 35 245 38977 37617 26 201 30 198 29 213 42 251 37617 36237 29 199 30 199 33 201 43 249 36237 34807 33 195 29 200 33 203 35 234 34807 33333 34 191 31 189 33 201 31 224 33333 31803 32 187 30 183 32 193 30 209 31803 30205 29 180 27 167 31 180 28 215 30205 28542 21 189 21 177 22 172 23 216 28542 26812 21 226 19 205 18 194 17 202 26812 25016 20 213 20 211 18 209 13 210 25016 23159 20 201 20 215 16 213 10 241 23159 21236 21 192 20 212 15 211 9 246 21236 19244 17 185 19 199 15 203 8 224 19244 17226 12 169 14 188 11 188 8 184 17226 15288 9 159 9 183 7 176 12 142 15288 13524 6 160 5 201 3 157 11 128 13524 11949 4 146 2 242 3 104 6 122 11949 10540 3 130 2 356 4 079 3 104 10540 9278 3 118 2 017 3 070 1 033 9278 8150 2 099 3 028 2 063 4 347 8150 7143 1 027 3 026 1 272 8 337 7143 6249 3 339 3 004 4 265 9 327 6249 5456 5 338 4 336 6*265 10 318 5456 4742 7 341 4 325 6*259 9 312 4742 4109 8 343 4*315 6 248 8 309 4109 3580 9 342 3*263 8 235 7 309 3580 3173 7 339 5 241 9 231 5 298 3173 2892 5 330 6 235 9 229 4 280 2892 2722 4*315 6 233 9 227 3*271 2722 2624 3*305 6 230 8 227 2*266 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography