DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 70.3 - - 63.8 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 363 - - 122 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2283 - - 5812 - - 1927 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4857 - - 7700 - - 4270 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5820 - - 9349 - - 5464 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1062 - - 1019 - - 3351 - - 2298 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 527 - - 253 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 573 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 345 - - 082 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 72 - - 37 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2292 - - -3821 - - -1704 - - -3080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8112 - - 13170 - - 7168 - - 5703 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12858 - - -13484 - - -4481 - - -13858 ODpotential blCL - - - 18678 - - 22833 - - 9945 - - 16481 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 36 - - 61 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 70.3 - - 63.8 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 21.3 - - 41.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 68.9 - - 63.4 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 20.9 - - 41.4 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 363 - - 122 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2283 - - 5812 - - 1927 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97518 14 289 20 300 18 307 16 303 97518 90287 12 318 16 306 14 297 14 324 90287 84696 11 312 17 287 13 316 13 330 84696 80053 9 323 11 271 14 308 10 347 80053 76051 6 343 5 307 9 294 8 344 76051 72526 4 020 6 285 5 338 3 014 72526 69352 6 339 8 201 4 326 3 069 69352 66436 3 298 6 208 7 276 5 294 66436 63729 6 262 7 239 9 233 9 264 63729 61096 11 286 13 278 12 283 9 298 61096 58346 19 277 18 265 23 284 23 305 58346 55501 25 265 17 260 25 284 35 296 55501 52788 32 286 28 295 36 307 38 304 52788 50333 44 285 45 306 44 311 44 308 50333 48118 46 290 54 307 49 310 49 304 48118 46098 49 301 55 310 50 309 48 305 46098 44243 48 309 54 312 52 311 47 314 44243 42526 46 314 54 315 55 316 52 329 42526 40930 45 319 53 319 57 322 56 337 40930 39434 43 313 52 323 57 327 61 342 39434 38031 39 301 48 324 56 330 65 344 38031 36689 36 298 42 326 55 329 68 346 36689 35340 34 304 36 329 50 327 66 344 35340 33956 34 310 35 331 46 330 59 342 33956 32532 35 314 36 333 45 335 56 345 32532 31051 37 318 37 334 45 337 58 347 31051 29499 38 320 38 334 44 337 59 348 29499 27877 37 315 38 332 42 334 55 345 27877 26187 36 305 38 325 42 331 47 339 26187 24430 36 300 38 318 41 328 43 336 24430 22610 37 306 39 317 40 328 41 338 22610 20718 40 318 41 321 41 331 41 339 20718 18748 44 324 46 326 42 335 40 341 18748 16742 46 325 50 327 41 340 39 346 16742 14815 45 325 52 326 41 346 37 354 14815 13070 42 326 49 329 40 353 33 004 13070 11527 35 329 38 335 33 004 28 014 11527 10161 30 335 22*345 23 025 23 021 10161 8947 27 344 13*358 18 038 21 030 8947 7869 26 355 12 358 16 037 20 040 7869 6912 24 001 11 354 13 037 20 049 6912 6066 19*000 10 350 10*036 19 055 6066 5314 14*353 9 342 6*035 17 059 5314 4638 12 346 8 336 3 033 15 061 4638 4037 11 340 7 328 0 195 12 063 4037 3533 11 334 7 322 2 209 8 062 3533 3145 10 328 6 317 3 213 4 059 3145 2878 9 324 6 313 3 212 2 064 2878 2715 8 321 6 311 3 213 1*078 2715 2622 7 317 5 305 3 212 0*080 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography