DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 67.8 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 559 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 227 - - 638 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3853 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3764 - - 4175 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 398 - - 479 - - - - - 1317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 292 - - - - - 34 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 185 - - - - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 45 - - - - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1197 - - -502 - - - - - -187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4961 - - 4677 - - - - - 2810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7602 - - -7142 - - - - - -8166 ODpotential blCL - - - 11366 - - 11317 - - - - - 10789 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 88 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 67.8 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 56.1 - - - - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 65.6 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 55.8 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 559 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 227 - - 638 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 52 - - - - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98053 7 191 4 269 5 006 98053 90653 5 180 11 220 1 265 90653 84964 7 235 9 238 9 243 84964 80239 9 223 10 258 6 308 80239 76167 7 206 6 235 8 302 76167 72598 0 244 2 263 7 284 72598 69385 7 272 7 272 7 331 69385 66419 5 256 9 264 9 294 66419 63665 4 300 10 257 4 294 63665 61000 8 265 14 250 6 295 61000 58229 10 246 15 237 12 263 58229 55365 12 244 14 236 16 255 55365 52624 20 231 17 238 21 237 52624 50147 26 227 23 245 23 232 50147 47930 27 224 27 232 26 229 47930 45933 26 212 28 218 27 223 45933 44118 27 202 27 203 25 215 44118 42450 30 193 27 196 25 211 42450 40900 28 194 29 192 24 207 40900 39449 25 193 24 192 25 199 39449 38084 22 194 21 193 25 199 38084 36766 22 193 18 190 24 203 36766 35427 21 183 18 187 23 202 35427 34038 21 178 21 181 24 200 34038 32604 23 176 24 169 24 192 32604 31112 23 174 27 160 22 191 31112 29551 22 171 29 155 22 184 29551 27925 21 166 30 150 25 167 27925 26237 20 161 31 144 28 159 26237 24490 21 147 29 136 29 152 24490 22685 20 131 23 129 27 147 22685 20815 22 152 21 135 24 144 20815 18872 36 157 32 145 22 142 18872 16895 40 154 39 142 19 135 16895 14988 36 149 40 138 16 119 14988 13249 35 147 38 137 16 104 13249 11696 32 142 33 134 15 105 11696 10309 29 135 29 129 14 125 10309 9070 26 127 26 123 15 148 9070 7963 23 119 25 119 15 161 7963 6978 17 110 22 120 15 166 6978 6108 12 098 18 120 15 166 6108 5338 8 086 14 130 13 161 5338 4649 5 094 12*144 11 156 4649 4042 3*132 11*170 10 157 4042 3535 5*177 11 183 8 165 3535 3147 7 191 11 188 7 164 3147 2878 8 194 11 190 6 168 2878 2716 8 196 11 192 5*170 2716 2622 7 197 9 194 4*175 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography