DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 74.8 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 325 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3698 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 4095 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1505 - - 596 - - - - - 809 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 236 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 189 - - - - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 25 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3011 - - -2198 - - - - - -1633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5635 - - 6294 - - - - - 4257 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10525 - - -8756 - - - - - -9889 ODpotential blCL - - - 13149 - - 12851 - - - - - 12513 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 74.8 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 56.2 - - - - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 73.4 - - - - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 55.4 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 325 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 37 292 44 294 34 281 96496 89295 18 285 29 282 26 314 89295 83842 7 276 21 275 22 316 83842 79333 4 314 9 258 18 298 79333 75436 5 006 2 279 10 271 75436 71992 6 329 7 358 5 241 71992 68887 7 288 7 350 2 250 68887 66047 5 322 3 264 2 030 66047 63428 6 016 5 218 4 032 63428 60901 2 044 7 219 3 359 60901 58259 4 191 11 207 8 263 58259 55506 9 213 13 203 18 237 55506 52857 11 239 15 226 22 231 52857 50441 16 266 17 228 19 226 50441 48254 8 231 17 217 19 225 48254 46259 3 285 6 169 23 225 46259 44420 12 278 5 272 18 191 44420 42721 10 176 8 190 19 195 42721 41152 11 134 17 165 25 193 41152 39693 14 149 23 156 36 184 39693 38329 20 161 25 166 40 178 38329 37014 22 165 29 176 37 177 37014 35682 25 161 30 176 38 181 35682 34300 26 152 33 170 33 184 34300 32873 28 148 32 167 30 184 32873 31387 28 139 29 163 27 189 31387 29830 28 140 27 172 25 192 29830 28202 27 148 23 189 23 188 28202 26506 20 173 20 196 23 186 26506 24744 13 197 13 201 20 185 24744 22918 9 197 7 189 17 183 22918 21023 7 171 8 169 13 165 21023 19052 4 142 6 166 14 150 19052 17047 2 116 4 193 9 158 17047 15113 3 168 7 225 4 188 15113 13351 7 196 9 233 3 216 13351 11782 8 204 9 235 3 227 11782 10384 7 215 8 230 4 224 10384 9137 6 234 6 222 4 231 9137 8023 6 258 4 214 5 228 8023 7033 5 281 3 184 5 220 7033 6157 5 304 4 156 5 207 6157 5381 3 313 5 152 5 194 5381 4684 2 348 4*151 5 177 4684 4068 1 099 3*158 4 170 4068 3552 1 150 4 182 4 165 3552 3156 3 192 5 194 4 142 3156 2884 4 198 6 198 4 131 2884 2717 4*200 6 200 4*124 2717 2623 4*201 5 202 2*108 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography