DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 94.6 - - - - - 84.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 534 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3259 - - 3606 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5748 - - 6094 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6796 - - 7143 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3731 - - 4194 - - - - - 3154 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 453 - - 511 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 225 - - - - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - 45 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5437 - - -3846 - - - - - -6855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12233 - - 10989 - - - - - 9480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7416 - - -5770 - - - - - -10968 ODpotential blCL - - - 14212 - - 12913 - - - - - 13593 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 87 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 600 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 94.6 - - - - - 84.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 55.3 - - - - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.2 - - 92.2 - - - - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 55.2 - - - - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 534 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3259 - - 3606 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 49 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98905 28 109 29 106 26 104 98905 91473 33 111 30 126 25 097 91473 85747 30 101 30 110 29 101 85747 81002 25 090 25 100 27 095 81002 76925 21 104 21 099 22 099 76925 73317 20 100 12 101 19 087 73317 70040 21 098 12 124 16 087 70040 67035 19 082 15 115 9 089 67035 64262 10 039 10 117 4 067 64262 61603 4 284 7 132 3 177 61603 58856 8 228 14 183 4 146 58856 56025 23 266 16 203 20 239 56025 53351 36 246 29 242 33 243 53351 50959 46 260 37 254 38 257 50959 48814 52 252 47 256 48 258 48814 46855 54 248 50 252 51 253 46855 45038 57 248 52 252 49 251 45038 43337 60 248 55 252 53 256 43337 41737 60 246 58 246 57 256 41737 40229 58 239 57 240 57 253 40229 38805 56 232 53 236 53 247 38805 37435 55 231 51 229 51 241 37435 36056 53 229 51 227 48 233 36056 34637 46 228 48 228 49 222 34637 33175 41 229 44 227 49 225 33175 31656 41 229 42 225 47 230 31656 30067 43 227 43 227 46 229 30067 28414 43 227 40 227 41 224 28414 26699 39 226 37 218 37 223 26699 24922 33 220 37 210 38 228 24922 23087 27 211 36 204 37 227 23087 21187 24 210 32 205 33 220 21187 19215 25 215 29 210 29 216 19215 17210 25 215 28 212 25 217 17210 15276 22 211 26 216 24 218 15276 13512 19 208 22 217 22 219 13512 11937 17 210 18 218 20 219 11937 10530 15 211 15 218 17 222 10530 9270 13 212 12 219 13 225 9270 8144 10 216 9 221 10 230 8144 7140 7*226 7*225 9 243 7140 6249 6*245 6*227 8 258 6249 5458 5 261 6 228 8 273 5458 4746 6 265 7 227 9 282 4746 4114 7 261 8 225 9 287 4114 3584 7 254 9 222 9 289 3584 3176 8 248 9 222 8 288 3176 2894 8 244 10 221 6 287 2894 2722 8 243 9 221 5*282 2722 2624 7 240 8 221 3*283 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography