DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 61.1 - - - - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 478 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2101 - - 3141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4823 - - 5703 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5638 - - 6678 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 872 - - 870 - - - - - 2996 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 472 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 252 - - - - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 37 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 632 - - -421 - - - - - -2852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5007 - - 7100 - - - - - 5476 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6777 - - -6086 - - - - - -9856 ODpotential blCL - - - 12415 - - 12764 - - - - - 12479 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 70 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 61.1 - - - - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 39.2 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 59.3 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 38.3 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 478 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2101 - - 3141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97672 27 291 34 281 36 306 97672 90314 29 283 24 290 25 299 90314 84615 30 271 27 294 19 310 84615 79865 17 288 26 287 25 302 79865 75799 12 299 16 255 23 274 75799 72233 13 298 13 283 12 268 72233 68997 18 269 23 286 9 328 68997 66008 14 235 23 252 20 308 66008 63247 12 271 18 241 22 276 63247 60599 26 307 13 291 16 283 60599 57840 37 274 26 292 29 291 57840 54966 48 283 44 284 47 285 54966 52216 61 279 61 278 61 274 52216 49732 68 269 72 272 66 269 49732 47504 72 281 80 275 71 276 47504 45492 91 284 96 280 86 281 45492 43660 105 276 109 278 92 278 43660 41974 99 273 107 273 98 273 41974 40415 96 275 102 275 105 276 40415 38964 97 281 107 280 120 280 38964 37599 90 281 109 282 132 283 37599 36278 86 279 98 279 118 283 36278 34943 79 274 79 275 85 278 34943 33567 66 271 69 277 78 276 33567 32152 62 271 67 277 77 275 32152 30680 63 269 65 280 72 277 30680 29139 64 265 64 277 70 279 29139 27533 63 264 64 270 69 281 27533 25862 62 267 64 269 67 284 25862 24130 62 271 62 271 65 289 24130 22339 62 269 59 272 63 292 22339 20484 58 272 55 274 60 291 20484 18558 56 277 49 279 55 291 18558 16601 50 279 43 282 52 297 16601 14717 43 281 38 282 47 300 14717 13001 38 282 33 283 42 299 13001 11474 35 282 29 289 36 298 11474 10117 31 283 24 298 30 298 10117 8908 27 286 19 311 23 300 8908 7834 21 290 13 320 18 307 7834 6880 12 288 6*314 15 320 6880 6037 7*274 5*296 14 332 6037 5291 5*237 4 281 12 338 5291 4621 5 212 6 252 11 336 4621 4026 6 208 6 247 10 328 4026 3526 6 206 7 240 10 318 3526 3141 7 206 8 238 9 309 3141 2876 7 205 8 236 7 302 2876 2715 6 205 8 235 5*298 2715 2622 6 206 7 234 3*298 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography