DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 94.0 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 553 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 599 - - 1808 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3791 - - 4711 - - - - - 2608 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4136 - - 5345 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2228 - - 4051 - - - - - 1205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 411 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 240 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 46 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6454 - - -6234 - - - - - -6601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10590 - - 11579 - - - - - 9226 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10226 - - -8487 - - - - - -11008 ODpotential blCL - - - 14362 - - 13832 - - - - - 13633 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 73 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 94.0 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 52.1 - - - - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.9 - - 91.5 - - - - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 52.0 - - - - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 553 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 599 - - 1808 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99133 46 099 48 114 41 103 99133 91615 38 109 43 108 43 100 91615 85855 36 115 40 107 35 100 85855 81093 31 113 32 107 32 103 81093 76988 32 109 29 106 28 096 76988 73363 33 105 25 105 25 100 73363 70100 24 094 25 105 27 103 70100 67126 15 101 21 104 24 105 67126 64387 20 130 18 135 14 115 64387 61745 23 134 25 142 10 139 61745 58995 21 154 24 162 15 147 58995 56139 27 177 26 184 14 161 56139 53423 33 189 35 197 20 198 53423 51008 33 186 41 198 32 217 51008 48859 31 210 43 194 42 205 48859 46892 41 227 42 211 40 205 46892 45068 44 231 43 222 38 218 45068 43376 41 225 41 220 38 215 43376 41797 40 214 37 219 40 204 41797 40312 39 212 35 215 38 201 40312 38913 35 217 36 210 35 208 38913 37561 33 219 35 212 36 217 37561 36188 33 222 33 216 34 226 36188 34769 34 230 31 221 28 227 34769 33306 35 236 28 226 24 214 33306 31785 31 238 24 220 22 212 31785 30195 25 238 23 202 20 209 30195 28536 20 226 23 198 20 205 28536 26807 15 223 20 206 19 201 26807 25014 13 201 14 183 16 191 25014 23162 14 193 13 174 12 188 23162 21250 14 202 10 186 7 205 21250 19267 12 221 6 183 8 242 19267 17250 9 218 2 178 8 222 17250 15308 9 208 1 149 12 163 15308 13540 7 204 3 198 17 144 13540 11962 4 206 3 195 14 147 11962 10554 1 325 2 124 6 151 10554 9293 6 003 3 100 2 175 9293 8165 10 004 2 068 3 334 8165 7159 11 002 3 341 7 334 7159 6266 12 355 6 309 8 327 6266 5471 11 345 7*291 9 321 5471 4756 10*337 7*262 9 314 4756 4120 6*323 8 248 8 314 4120 3587 4 282 9 237 7 315 3587 3177 5 258 9 233 3 322 3177 2894 6 248 10 231 2 292 2894 2723 6 244 9 230 1*269 2723 2624 5 241 8 229 1*253 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography