DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 53.6 - - 56.9 - - 57.0 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 132 - - 175 - - 69 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 235 - - 672 - - 647 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 3772 - - 4209 - - 4184 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1186 - - 702 - - 675 - - 908 - - 1199 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 132 - - 206 - - 150 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 223 - - 201 - - 233 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 17 - - 26 - - 22 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 966 - - 1088 - - 1112 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2621 - - 2806 - - 3122 - - 3072 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -5610 - - 421 - - 372 - - 290 - - -7710 ODpotential blCL 8232 - - 3351 - - 3837 - - 3894 - - 10333 blCL maxRH 96 - - 98 - - 98 - - 98 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 53.6 - - 56.9 - - 57.0 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 50.3 - - 52.2 - - 52.5 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 53.3 - - 56.3 - - 57.1 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.2 - - 51.8 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 132 - - 175 - - 69 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 235 - - 672 - - 647 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 92 - - 92 - - 93 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96712 27 311 30 291 35 289 33 298 28 298 96712 89420 19 293 20 264 26 282 20 278 18 304 89420 83857 15 255 16 256 24 274 20 275 22 297 83857 79264 14 275 18 248 28 264 27 284 25 304 79264 75332 24 298 19 273 26 254 31 268 30 287 75332 71863 30 286 26 295 21 270 26 249 31 266 71863 68698 32 268 28 279 26 276 27 272 24 257 68698 65768 33 258 31 264 33 277 30 281 20 286 65768 63047 26 255 29 262 32 273 30 283 28 300 63047 60422 16 281 21 266 29 269 33 277 32 291 60422 57682 16 291 18 279 26 266 32 272 28 278 57682 54820 29 299 25 300 27 297 33 287 27 288 54820 52075 44 289 39 295 41 297 42 292 36 297 52075 49608 42 285 41 284 44 290 45 292 39 299 49608 47414 35 291 37 287 46 298 45 304 45 308 47414 45453 38 314 37 300 48 294 54 301 50 303 45453 43686 37 314 27 320 33 318 35 338 36 319 43686 42073 30 347 51 355 49 353 46 354 35 338 42073 40576 51 001 65 356 60 354 47 350 32 343 40576 39166 62 359 61 354 55 350 40 340 27 340 39166 37830 60 358 53 351 43 350 37 336 26 333 37830 36536 56 355 48 350 34 356 34 336 25 327 36536 35220 54 354 45 355 32 359 31 333 26 324 35220 33854 51 353 42 360 33 355 30 327 27 322 33854 32443 48 354 41 002 35 352 30 323 27 321 32443 30974 46 356 41 004 35 351 31 323 29 321 30974 29434 45 356 39 004 34 350 32 322 33 323 29434 27825 43 354 34 358 32 348 33 324 36 325 27825 26147 41 355 34 349 32 344 32 330 35 328 26147 24402 38 358 33 345 33 337 33 337 32 331 24402 22594 35 357 30 350 32 332 32 341 31 337 22594 20719 27 353 28 355 29 335 31 339 31 347 20719 18770 20 350 23 352 26 341 30 337 32 356 18770 16789 16 348 15 341 24 348 24 336 30 358 16789 14884 16 347 13 338 22 352 19 339 26 355 14884 13150 17 347 14 342 19 349 18 343 23 356 13150 11604 18 347 17 345 17 347 18 345 22 001 11604 10227 18 346 18 345 16 346 20 349 24 004 10227 8996 17 342 17 345 15 346 23 352 28 004 8996 7899 14 328 15 343 15 346 24 354 30 002 7899 6925 11 307 13 336 13 345 23 355 30 357 6925 6066 10 291 11 327 10 343 18 354 27 352 6066 5306 8 281 9 316 7 341 10 351 22 345 5306 4626 6 257 6 313 3*337 5*334 15 337 4626 4026 5 229 2*297 2*192 3*260 10 327 4026 3525 5 189 2*233 4 198 4 236 5 314 3525 3140 6 158 3 224 5 201 4 229 3 304 3140 2875 6 142 3 221 6 203 5 227 2 288 2875 2714 5*139 3 219 6 204 5 227 1*276 2714 2622 3*123 3 221 5 204 4 225 1*267 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography