DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 405 - - 193 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 3423 - - 2057 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4502 - - 5878 - - 4611 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5325 - - 6960 - - 5594 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1235 - - 1353 - - 2038 - - 2385 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 462 - - 305 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 258 - - 261 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 41 - - 32 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -174 - - -388 - - -855 - - -1844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5499 - - 7348 - - 6450 - - 4467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4171 - - -3827 - - -3622 - - -5910 ODpotential blCL - - - 9496 - - 10787 - - 9216 - - 8533 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 64 - - 64 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 40.5 - - 43.3 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 62.1 - - 61.8 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 39.4 - - 42.6 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 405 - - 193 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1788 - - 3423 - - 2057 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97507 35 270 48 280 47 295 42 303 97507 90169 33 279 33 280 32 289 36 288 90169 84469 31 280 31 281 31 283 33 276 84469 79709 27 273 33 272 36 281 33 273 79709 75599 31 274 33 267 37 275 33 272 75599 71968 33 273 31 267 33 267 29 269 71968 68689 32 261 33 260 29 261 28 276 68689 65686 31 256 33 259 29 266 30 278 65686 62904 27 257 31 261 31 267 29 276 62904 60206 24 263 29 265 30 264 28 276 60206 57397 23 271 27 270 27 267 30 281 57397 54493 24 281 28 278 26 275 30 282 54493 51727 27 285 27 280 23 282 26 287 51727 49238 28 291 25 290 25 296 29 296 49238 47013 33 296 30 298 30 303 30 298 47013 45002 41 293 36 294 33 302 25 307 45002 43168 41 292 34 291 33 301 29 313 43168 41486 37 300 30 306 34 300 28 316 41486 39937 39 329 33 322 34 304 30 322 39937 38499 51 340 38 325 34 309 32 339 38499 37154 54 340 40 320 35 315 37 339 37154 35862 51 335 39 316 37 317 36 338 35862 34556 46 338 37 319 36 318 34 339 34556 33207 43 347 35 324 33 320 33 338 33207 31820 43 352 34 327 33 326 33 332 31820 30381 45 354 34 331 34 330 33 327 30381 28878 47 354 36 338 33 333 30 327 28878 27310 47 355 37 345 31 337 28 334 27310 25676 43 357 35 349 28 342 27 333 25676 23980 35 002 33 350 26 345 24 332 23980 22225 29 006 28 352 23 346 24 334 22225 20405 25 005 22 351 19 345 23 335 20405 18510 20 352 19 348 16 344 19 336 18510 16574 18 342 17 342 15 345 16 339 16574 14705 18 343 16 334 14 347 14 347 14705 13002 16 346 14 331 13 347 13 355 13002 11484 13 346 11 330 10 346 12 358 11484 10134 8 340 8 335 7 341 9 354 10134 8930 4 334 4 346 3 331 6 340 8930 7857 4 350 4*348 3 314 4 315 7857 6902 6 354 4*327 5 309 4 297 6902 6056 7*346 4 307 5*307 5 304 6056 5305 6*335 4 293 6*298 6 311 5305 4630 5 322 6 251 6 279 7 314 4630 4031 4 297 7 245 7 260 7 311 4031 3530 5 277 8 240 7 252 7 302 3530 3144 5 264 9 239 7 248 6 292 3144 2877 5 258 9 238 7 245 4 285 2877 2715 5 253 8 237 7 244 3*282 2715 2622 4 250 7 236 6 242 2*283 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography