DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 83.1 - - 86.0 - - 81.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 461 - - 571 - - 346 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1143 - - 1860 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4184 - - 4756 - - 3781 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4680 - - 5397 - - 4194 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1122 - - 2458 - - 3471 - - 1394 - - 1151 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 332 - - 419 - - 251 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 218 - - 216 - - 217 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 33 - - 41 - - 34 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9535 - - -7683 - - -6347 - - -5209 - - -5433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12159 - - 12363 - - 11744 - - 9404 - - 8057 sfcLCL ODpotential -18699 - - -14906 - - -11859 - - -11317 - - -12920 ODpotential blCL 21323 - - 19586 - - 17256 - - 15511 - - 15544 blCL maxRH 40 - - 41 - - 40 - - 40 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 83.1 - - 86.0 - - 81.5 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 38.0 - - 43.4 - - 49.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.1 - - 80.9 - - 83.4 - - 79.9 - - 74.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 37.7 - - 43.1 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 461 - - 571 - - 346 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1143 - - 1860 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98840 37 094 36 111 30 105 27 098 32 081 98840 91368 31 106 28 109 24 116 22 113 23 081 91368 85619 23 101 22 101 23 112 24 105 20 101 85619 80861 19 096 20 105 20 095 25 094 26 098 80861 76773 15 089 20 105 20 103 20 088 25 084 76773 73176 17 092 20 109 20 104 22 103 19 087 73176 69937 14 099 18 104 14 105 19 083 21 090 69937 66970 12 099 14 093 15 107 11 096 17 076 66970 64233 15 095 11 091 16 093 11 124 8 088 64233 61596 13 089 12 113 8 103 11 097 10 112 61596 58863 9 091 12 113 7 152 3 117 5 071 58863 56048 1 284 3 117 3 185 4 235 3 344 56048 53375 11 271 7 272 8 263 13 264 12 291 53375 50973 19 275 13 279 12 286 14 276 16 276 50973 48805 24 280 19 290 17 301 16 291 16 282 48805 46815 27 283 24 290 22 289 20 289 18 292 46815 44973 26 288 26 284 26 288 23 292 21 299 44973 43256 28 290 27 281 27 287 25 293 21 300 43256 41641 30 290 26 278 28 284 26 292 22 303 41641 40116 32 282 27 275 28 281 28 291 25 294 40116 38677 33 275 26 270 27 278 30 283 30 284 38677 37297 28 269 22 263 27 275 29 273 30 276 37297 35909 21 262 18 261 25 272 28 265 29 272 35909 34487 18 262 16 256 21 267 25 259 28 269 34487 33030 16 249 14 241 18 256 23 253 26 265 33030 31519 14 232 13 217 17 239 21 246 25 262 31519 29941 13 208 14 195 16 217 20 242 25 260 29941 28297 14 193 14 188 15 200 19 240 24 257 28297 26587 13 179 13 190 15 194 17 232 22 249 26587 24813 13 166 13 181 16 190 16 216 19 236 24813 22976 14 156 13 171 17 184 18 197 17 210 22976 21073 15 151 14 181 18 181 20 185 18 194 21073 19096 17 157 18 187 19 188 20 184 19 181 19096 17083 20 153 20 188 20 192 18 185 18 175 17083 15143 22 146 18 186 20 187 17 180 16 176 15143 13380 18 141 16 190 19 187 18 185 14 187 13380 11814 14 170 17 203 18 197 18 197 12 200 11814 10421 16 199 19 213 18 209 16 209 11 210 10421 9177 19 212 19 218 17 216 14 215 10 211 9177 8065 19 220 17 221 14 218 11 214 9 205 8065 7072 17 225 14 223 10 219 8 207 8 199 7072 6192 13 226 11 224 8 218 6 207 7 202 6192 5410 10 224 7 222 6*219 4 221 5 217 5410 4707 7 219 5*220 5*218 3*230 4 246 4707 4084 4 218 4*219 6 216 4*223 4 264 4084 3564 2 233 5 219 7 216 6 217 4 275 3564 3163 2 278 6 218 8 216 7 216 2 262 3163 2887 3 290 7 218 9 215 7 215 2 227 2887 2719 3*299 7 218 9 216 7 216 2*217 2719 2623 2*297 6 219 8 216 7 216 2*216 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography