DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 85.5 - - 83.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 411 - - 126 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3507 - - 7740 - - 5354 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5892 - - 9299 - - 6763 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7044 - - 11277 - - 8891 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2097 - - 1127 - - 2991 - - 1348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 442 - - 605 - - 361 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 008 - - 356 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -75 - - -42 - - -68 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3900 - - -2111 - - -5027 - - -8510 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10944 - - 13389 - - 13918 - - 11135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7767 - - -6943 - - -11582 - - -17771 ODpotential blCL - - - 14811 - - 18220 - - 20473 - - 20395 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 53 - - 37 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 85.5 - - 83.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 35.1 - - 31.0 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 83.9 - - 83.3 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 34.8 - - 30.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 411 - - 126 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3507 - - 7740 - - 5354 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98079 7 013 13 170 16 220 13 298 98079 90731 6 102 5 111 6 165 3 016 90731 85059 8 129 2 292 5 067 10 075 85059 80364 6 112 2 184 7 034 10 065 80364 76334 8 119 2 133 8 036 9 059 76334 72787 13 115 6 069 10 042 10 045 72787 69592 3 069 8 059 6 070 8 091 69592 66670 11 093 9 076 9 077 6 095 66670 63966 6 277 4 350 6 064 4 159 63966 61345 8 240 16 262 8 275 5 215 61345 58608 7 142 8 221 9 287 7 278 58608 55763 25 280 22 287 26 296 19 306 55763 53042 35 270 32 279 34 287 29 307 53042 50577 36 283 34 273 37 283 40 303 50577 48352 36 309 32 286 38 288 48 306 48352 46324 47 318 39 310 43 304 60 310 46324 44465 57 314 54 312 55 310 64 311 44465 42745 62 314 60 312 63 310 62 315 42745 41143 62 323 57 324 58 320 58 322 41143 39651 61 334 58 331 59 325 57 330 39651 38260 61 344 59 342 60 331 53 336 38260 36926 67 348 62 350 58 337 51 347 36926 35577 67 353 64 000 53 349 51 355 35577 34184 68 003 69 008 56 003 53 000 34184 32748 74 008 74 010 60 007 55 002 32748 31256 71 009 74 010 61 005 56 360 31256 29696 65 012 69 011 60 004 56 355 29696 28068 62 019 65 012 59 004 54 351 28068 26372 63 022 62 013 59 004 53 350 26372 24609 62 023 62 013 59 003 52 353 24609 22782 56 027 59 013 59 003 51 356 22782 20886 45 032 54 013 60 007 52 001 20886 18917 38 028 45 012 59 015 51 009 18917 16917 33 020 36 015 56 021 50 019 16917 14996 28 017 33 021 49 025 46 026 14996 13256 26 020 34 026 36 029 41 030 13256 11712 26 025 29*022 26 031 34 034 11712 10340 28 031 24*015 21 028 27 040 10340 9115 30 036 23 014 19*021 21 043 9115 8019 30*038 21 011 18*011 18 039 8019 7039 28*039 20 009 18 007 15 029 7039 6170 25 039 19 007 19 360 15 020 6170 5396 23 038 18 006 20 354 16 017 5396 4699 21 035 17 005 20 351 19 015 4699 4080 19 034 16 003 20 350 22 011 4080 3561 18 032 15 002 20 349 21 009 3561 3162 16 030 14 360 19 348 16 011 3162 2886 15 029 13 359 18 347 13 011 2886 2719 13 029 12 358 16 347 10*012 2719 2623 10 027 9 356 11 345 6*014 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography