DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 77.9 - - 74.8 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 458 - - 242 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 537 - - 256 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 3754 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3646 - - 4074 - - 3793 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 365 - - 506 - - 654 - - 700 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 259 - - 164 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 189 - - 181 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 35 - - 30 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3271 - - -3371 - - -3228 - - -2320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6918 - - 7445 - - 7021 - - 4944 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8231 - - -7566 - - -8572 - - -9841 ODpotential blCL - - - 11877 - - 11640 - - 12365 - - 12465 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 54 - - 53 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 77.9 - - 74.8 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 54.3 - - 53.1 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 75.8 - - 73.8 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 53.7 - - 52.7 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 458 - - 242 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 537 - - 256 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97772 12 252 11 235 9 256 9 275 97772 90342 13 247 12 259 14 248 10 254 90342 84629 8 242 17 237 15 272 4 248 84629 79898 7 271 7 239 12 267 2 285 79898 75857 7 323 2 058 7 268 3 306 75857 72326 9 334 5 328 7 353 4 006 72326 69135 5 009 9 300 6 352 8 342 69135 66194 4 019 8 293 7 312 9 330 66194 63465 6 332 4 295 7 295 7 325 63465 60827 7 305 2 260 6 286 5 301 60827 58088 6 289 4 240 6 262 8 273 58088 55266 5 290 8 261 9 278 13 267 55266 52586 6 301 11 270 10 277 13 254 52586 50176 10 328 9 296 12 289 12 255 50176 48020 19 316 20 305 21 295 16 274 48020 46074 21 309 22 299 24 288 23 280 46074 44302 21 324 19 308 22 291 25 285 44302 42663 22 334 19 323 21 300 22 286 42663 41128 20 339 18 332 16 300 17 282 41128 39682 19 341 15 337 12 295 15 274 39682 38316 20 343 13 341 11 294 12 270 38316 36996 20 347 12 351 9 295 11 269 36996 35658 19 347 12 357 7 295 8 257 35658 34272 17 342 12 354 6 296 7 252 34272 32843 14 327 11 347 6 300 6 260 32843 31355 13 315 10 324 9 295 6 272 31355 29799 12 307 10 310 11 293 8 279 29799 28175 9 301 8 304 10 292 8 279 28175 26481 7 308 6 299 7 278 6 260 26481 24721 6 321 3 301 3 251 4 214 24721 22898 4 342 1 287 2 179 4 147 22898 21006 2 059 2 198 3 177 5 147 21006 19039 3 130 3 190 3 172 5 163 19039 17039 3 154 3 166 3 162 4 157 17039 15114 5 159 5 154 7 128 8 131 15114 13361 10 153 10 141 12 115 14 111 13361 11799 13 151 13 138 14 106 15 101 11799 10404 14 149 13 142 14 119 14 109 10404 9156 14 147 14 148 14 140 12 132 9156 8042 14 143 15 152 15 158 12 157 8042 7049 12 134 15 154 16 166 13 170 7049 6170 8 121 13 154 14 169 12 175 6170 5390 4 084 10 145 10 164 11 175 5390 4690 4 038 6 145 8 154 9 164 4690 4070 3*023 6*159 7*160 7 149 4070 3553 1*283 7*180 8*173 7 147 3553 3156 4 228 8 188 8 179 7 148 3156 2883 5 226 8 192 8 183 5 141 2883 2718 5 222 8 194 8 185 4*135 2718 2623 5 221 7 196 7 187 2*115 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography