DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.0 - - 66.6 - - 72.5 - - 67.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -238 - - -70 - - 40 - - -73 - - -181 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 2624 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 163 - - 656 - - 1627 - - 763 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 27 - - 40 - - 22 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 21 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 064 - - 065 - - 056 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -60 - - -50 - - -111 - - -43 - - -52 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6953 - - -7735 - - -10034 - - -8757 - - -8423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9577 - - 10359 - - 12659 - - 11382 - - 11048 sfcLCL ODpotential -16287 - - -15026 - - -17309 - - -16296 - - -17661 ODpotential blCL 18910 - - 17650 - - 19933 - - 18920 - - 20285 blCL maxRH 43 - - 28 - - 18 - - 19 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.0 - - 66.6 - - 72.5 - - 67.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 31.2 - - 26.6 - - 27.5 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.1 - - 69.6 - - 72.9 - - 70.6 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 29.9 - - 25.4 - - 26.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -238 - - -70 - - 40 - - -73 - - -181 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96209 22 078 12 341 10 059 13 110 21 077 96209 89231 24 096 15 100 15 100 22 081 28 085 89231 83845 26 090 27 110 12 106 19 060 21 092 83845 79360 31 082 27 093 15 103 15 071 14 080 79360 75469 28 085 21 093 19 093 13 092 12 074 75469 71992 22 089 16 096 18 086 15 087 21 081 71992 68834 20 074 17 092 9 094 16 069 21 078 68834 65949 11 049 12 063 8 092 12 067 10 084 65949 63283 9 098 7 030 9 043 13 071 6 074 63283 60706 19 067 6 228 12 334 7 012 3 120 60706 58031 32 014 6 081 3 109 5 244 3 189 58031 55246 25 004 21 017 18 023 10 072 9 045 55246 52571 7 012 12 062 9 019 8 045 15 039 52571 50154 13 108 28 097 15 123 12 141 10 092 50154 47978 35 085 39 088 34 114 27 143 19 131 47978 45983 43 076 45 091 44 108 36 124 25 139 45983 44137 40 071 48 088 48 102 47 109 34 129 44137 42427 26 081 41 071 46 092 48 102 46 115 42427 40848 28 124 23 090 37 085 42 103 47 111 40848 39390 42 134 30 124 33 098 41 115 44 117 39390 38033 56 129 43 121 35 111 42 124 45 130 38033 36729 60 123 45 116 39 116 45 125 52 137 36729 35408 54 122 39 115 42 117 48 123 54 135 35408 34040 51 118 35 115 44 117 50 121 50 134 34040 32628 53 108 36 114 42 117 49 121 45 133 32628 31160 53 098 42 116 39 117 46 121 41 130 31160 29621 41 096 44 115 38 115 42 119 37 125 29621 28013 31 098 40 112 37 113 41 116 36 117 28013 26336 30 097 35 103 36 112 42 115 36 115 26336 24591 30 098 28 091 37 112 43 115 36 113 24591 22781 29 099 21 082 37 110 43 115 36 113 22781 20899 30 098 21 083 37 106 41 114 36 113 20899 18941 32 095 28 091 37 102 39 113 34 113 18941 16947 36 093 35 094 36 100 35 109 32 110 16947 15025 38 091 38 093 35 099 32 104 29 103 15025 13276 36 091 37 094 34 098 29 099 26 094 13276 11722 31 093 33 098 31 100 25 094 21 086 11722 10342 26 097 28 105 28 104 22 093 16 084 10342 9110 23 102 25 112 24 109 18 099 13 095 9110 8012 22 107 23 118 20 116 16 112 14 110 8012 7032 22 110 21 120 18 121 15 123 15 114 7032 6162 24 109 20 117 19 121 16 123 17 110 6162 5389 25 106 19 108 20 113 15 112 19 101 5389 4692 26 096 20 094 23 095 20 086 22 088 4692 4073 27 083 28 080 27 079 28 071 26 077 4073 3555 36 073 34 074 28 070 32 065 30 073 3555 3156 35 070 33 072 26 067 30 063 30 070 3156 2883 29 067 26 070 23 065 23 061 26 068 2883 2717 21*063 19*068 19*064 17*058 19*064 2717 2623 12*057 11*064 11*062 9*056 11*058 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography