DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 52.2 - - 50.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 55 - - -3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 275 - - 1722 - - 200 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3812 - - 5259 - - 3737 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1332 - - 2281 - - 3003 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 206 - - 37 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 000 - - 040 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -39 - - -8 - - -9 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -705 - - 610 - - 17 - - -1143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4518 - - 4649 - - 3720 - - 3765 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3918 - - -1798 - - -2137 - - -5142 ODpotential blCL - - - 7730 - - 7057 - - 5874 - - 7764 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 68 - - 69 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 52.2 - - 50.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 40.9 - - 43.5 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 52.4 - - 51.8 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 39.7 - - 42.2 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 55 - - -3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 275 - - 1722 - - 200 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96295 5 345 19 296 16 331 9 324 96295 89229 10 336 9 342 6 343 10 331 89229 83787 4 356 15 303 7 334 18 329 83787 79259 5 352 5 290 7 267 16 291 79259 75341 20 299 10 331 10 322 9 284 75341 71838 27 266 27 289 24 292 19 283 71838 68632 28 240 35 261 31 276 26 272 68632 65661 28 238 36 247 32 257 29 263 65661 62888 26 244 33 244 30 248 29 254 62888 60189 28 253 32 248 31 257 27 258 60189 57375 35 250 34 244 33 262 31 263 57375 54467 38 252 32 241 34 254 33 256 54467 51691 40 259 32 249 32 250 32 255 51691 49183 48 255 40 254 35 258 34 268 49183 46938 58 248 49 254 43 258 41 270 46938 44917 64 243 57 252 50 255 46 258 44917 43070 63 244 59 252 50 252 40 252 43070 41358 63 247 59 254 46 258 40 261 41358 39767 67 245 59 253 52 261 44 266 39767 38288 68 244 63 250 63 258 48 266 38288 36911 72 245 72 246 67 253 57 264 36911 35593 79 243 78 243 65 251 65 261 35593 34264 82 242 75 244 62 251 67 258 34264 32893 86 245 71 248 62 254 63 259 32893 31486 92 247 67 252 58 257 61 261 31486 30034 92 248 62 253 48 260 58 264 30034 28525 79 247 53 253 39 261 42 269 28525 26959 64 246 48 254 30 277 29 283 26959 25334 58 246 43 256 27 287 24 296 25334 23652 58 246 40 259 24 288 21 310 23652 21914 59 247 35 263 17 308 19 326 21914 20111 39 255 21 283 17 342 18 342 20111 18238 21 283 17 314 19 355 18 358 18238 16330 17 303 18 310 20 352 18 008 16330 14492 16 303 19 305 18 343 17 011 14492 12822 15 312 19 315 14 334 16 015 12822 11336 13 327 15 330 11 336 14 020 11336 10013 12 344 11 347 8 346 11 024 10013 8834 10 346 7 002 6 004 8 029 8834 7782 9 337 6 012 6 041 5 046 7782 6844 9 335 9 018 9 058 5 071 6844 6011 10 343 11 019 10 059 7 077 6011 5271 13 354 11*019 10 056 9 077 5271 4604 15 002 10*014 10 051 13 076 4604 4011 16*007 8 006 8*047 16 070 4011 3516 14*008 7 360 7*043 17 066 3516 3135 11 006 6 353 5 039 15 061 3135 2872 10 004 5 346 3 036 12 059 2872 2712 9 002 5 343 2 041 9*055 2712 2621 6 360 4 339 2 046 5*052 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography