DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 62.0 - - 66.1 - - 63.7 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 368 - - 456 - - 226 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 852 - - 1606 - - 802 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 3937 - - 4525 - - 3756 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4389 - - 5143 - - 4339 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1275 - - 816 - - 1006 - - 1135 - - 1395 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 281 - - 373 - - 234 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 178 - - 187 - - 200 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 29 - - 40 - - 30 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2975 - - -2122 - - -2035 - - -2367 - - -2482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5598 - - 6511 - - 7178 - - 6707 - - 5105 sfcLCL ODpotential -11234 - - -8512 - - -6673 - - -8000 - - -9355 ODpotential blCL 13857 - - 12901 - - 11816 - - 12339 - - 11978 blCL maxRH 56 - - 58 - - 57 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 62.0 - - 66.1 - - 63.7 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 42.6 - - 43.7 - - 43.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 60.5 - - 64.3 - - 62.8 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 41.8 - - 42.8 - - 42.8 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 368 - - 456 - - 226 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 852 - - 1606 - - 802 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97574 33 290 35 270 41 266 39 284 37 287 97574 90201 28 266 34 276 33 276 38 288 33 295 90201 84489 24 261 28 263 28 273 31 291 24 287 84489 79766 21 285 19 268 24 258 27 268 23 264 79766 75728 28 271 19 282 20 262 22 270 18 269 75728 72168 28 262 24 273 19 277 19 288 16 287 72168 68936 18 262 20 253 21 260 21 273 21 278 68936 65963 10 273 18 239 25 237 27 253 25 266 65963 63222 15 272 14 257 17 245 23 247 21 253 63222 60578 22 252 17 275 13 257 19 239 20 236 60578 57817 31 245 25 261 22 252 24 239 25 239 57817 54940 37 241 35 246 34 242 35 236 34 239 54940 52183 35 243 44 248 41 246 42 242 42 241 52183 49697 46 251 50 250 49 250 48 246 48 240 49697 47472 49 254 55 251 53 252 50 247 51 241 47472 45462 50 258 55 252 55 249 50 248 47 245 45462 43639 45 253 48 251 49 243 48 244 44 247 43639 41978 27 256 34 233 40 237 44 236 41 240 41978 40449 13 293 21 212 36 224 42 232 41 234 40449 39019 13 307 16 187 36 214 47 233 41 233 39019 37671 13 306 16 186 35 206 50 237 44 231 37671 36368 15 293 17 199 36 209 50 242 44 224 36368 35043 19 279 21 213 37 215 46 242 42 225 35043 33669 22 261 24 219 38 219 45 235 41 232 33669 32249 25 252 29 219 38 219 44 233 41 238 32249 30770 28 250 33 223 37 222 40 234 38 231 30770 29224 29 246 33 230 39 222 34 227 32 218 29224 27617 29 240 32 236 39 223 34 218 34 216 27617 25952 29 240 31 241 38 223 35 219 36 207 25952 24224 28 247 31 243 35 226 36 217 38 207 24224 22432 26 248 30 240 32 228 35 217 39 209 22432 20570 24 237 29 233 30 225 34 219 38 213 20570 18635 23 224 28 225 29 222 33 222 33 220 18635 16667 23 213 25 217 27 218 29 222 29 222 16667 14775 22 212 22 212 24 214 25 220 26 219 14775 13056 21 214 20 209 21 209 22 216 25 214 13056 11526 20 214 18 206 19 202 20 209 24 211 11526 10164 18 213 17 203 17 199 19 204 23 210 10164 8949 17 216 15 202 16 195 17 198 21 210 8949 7866 15 220 13 198 15 191 16 195 19 210 7866 6905 13 220 11 192 13 184 14 193 16 211 6905 6055 12 216 10 182 10 176 12 191 13 212 6055 5303 11 202 9 173 9*175 8 190 10 214 5303 4627 10 184 8*168 9*177 6*188 8 215 4627 4029 10 169 7*169 9 183 6*192 6 216 4029 3527 8 162 8 173 10 188 6 198 4 208 3527 3142 6 156 8 179 10 191 7 202 4 190 3142 2876 5 147 8 183 10 193 7 203 4 182 2876 2714 3*125 8 186 9 195 7 205 3*178 2714 2622 2*074 7 188 8 196 6 207 2*181 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography