DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.7 - - - - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 518 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 882 - - 2324 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3980 - - 5088 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4419 - - 5861 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1260 - - 2782 - - - - - 888 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 436 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 200 - - - - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 46 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6231 - - -7072 - - - - - -5633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10651 - - 12934 - - - - - 8258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10030 - - -9479 - - - - - -10545 ODpotential blCL - - - 14449 - - 15340 - - - - - 13170 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 80 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.7 - - - - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 46.0 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 91.4 - - - - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 46.0 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 518 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 882 - - 2324 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 80 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99071 27 113 22 132 23 082 99071 91642 16 112 26 110 22 094 91642 85900 17 112 27 100 27 109 85900 81133 18 108 23 093 24 103 81133 77019 16 113 17 106 23 102 77019 73393 20 112 19 115 23 083 73393 70115 17 111 13 127 16 098 70115 67116 12 138 16 122 13 093 67116 64345 18 160 10 167 13 092 64345 61663 21 158 21 185 4 309 61663 58884 13 165 20 186 15 249 58884 56024 12 229 18 192 26 218 56024 53322 26 247 25 239 32 232 53322 50904 38 237 37 241 36 234 50904 48742 41 243 43 248 41 237 48742 46772 41 245 48 254 47 241 46772 44957 40 246 49 254 53 242 44957 43267 41 246 49 253 50 242 43267 41686 42 247 44 253 44 241 41686 40202 41 249 39 247 41 241 40202 38802 40 249 35 240 39 238 38802 37448 41 245 34 243 36 236 37448 36075 41 240 36 242 36 238 36075 34658 41 239 38 236 36 242 34658 33202 39 236 39 236 36 240 33202 31689 38 230 39 238 34 240 31689 30106 37 232 37 240 30 241 30106 28454 32 236 31 242 23 238 28454 26735 26 232 24 232 20 222 26735 24953 25 221 24 219 22 216 24953 23114 24 214 25 210 21 216 23114 21214 22 209 24 207 17 209 21214 19244 22 212 20 213 13 199 19244 17242 24 218 18 218 10 190 17242 15310 22 219 15 227 8 188 15310 13543 19 216 13 216 6 191 13543 11963 16 216 12 202 6 197 11963 10550 12 219 11 193 7 201 10550 9284 9 219 10 187 7 204 9284 8153 7 207 9 179 8 207 8153 7144 6 186 8 171 7 216 7144 6250 7 173 6*174 6 226 6250 5456 7 164 6*184 5 246 5456 4742 7*156 6 190 5 263 4742 4109 6*158 8 200 5 275 4109 3580 6 169 9 203 4 292 3580 3172 6 176 10 206 2 313 3172 2892 7 183 10 206 0 109 2892 2721 6 187 10 207 0*133 2721 2624 6 188 9 208 0*112 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography