DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 64.4 - - 60.4 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 112 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 208 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3745 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1604 - - 1178 - - 1436 - - 819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 120 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 182 - - 147 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 20 - - 7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4768 - - -2815 - - -2434 - - -793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7392 - - 6561 - - 5058 - - 3416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11377 - - -8139 - - -8066 - - -8422 ODpotential blCL - - - 14000 - - 11884 - - 10689 - - 11045 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 75 - - 73 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 64.4 - - 60.4 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 64.2 - - 61.5 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 44.0 - - 46.7 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 112 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 208 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 8 327 21 273 18 284 24 322 96229 89102 15 313 15 286 13 307 13 310 89102 83595 18 287 16 315 10 324 10 286 83595 79044 16 274 19 298 15 308 13 303 79044 75124 16 288 18 303 20 284 16 303 75124 71645 18 285 16 310 17 281 18 282 71645 68501 17 271 15 270 15 274 15 258 68501 65627 20 246 19 245 16 255 15 247 65627 62959 27 241 23 236 24 243 23 232 62959 60372 38 241 34 241 31 247 30 236 60372 57678 53 238 49 237 45 243 41 244 57678 54876 58 234 57 234 55 236 51 242 54876 52191 60 234 64 231 62 231 62 230 52191 49765 63 238 65 232 67 230 69 227 49765 47577 73 240 75 238 81 235 78 232 47577 45583 86 235 86 234 90 231 91 230 45583 43757 89 231 91 231 93 232 91 229 43757 42072 86 235 92 234 92 235 91 233 42072 40514 92 237 98 235 97 237 98 235 40514 39067 96 236 103 234 101 236 104 233 39067 37709 96 237 99 233 98 237 99 236 37709 36397 92 238 90 231 90 234 93 234 36397 35064 83 238 82 229 84 231 89 229 35064 33682 69 241 74 232 81 229 81 226 33682 32256 61 242 65 233 72 228 72 226 32256 30774 59 241 60 232 65 226 66 226 30774 29228 58 238 58 232 63 222 65 221 29228 27624 58 235 56 231 63 216 57 216 27624 25959 56 234 57 231 57 219 53 218 25959 24236 53 233 55 232 52 226 51 220 24236 22454 50 234 52 235 47 231 46 218 22454 20604 47 237 49 236 44 234 42 218 20604 18680 44 238 47 237 43 235 39 219 18680 16717 40 234 42 236 42 234 37 220 16717 14824 36 227 37 229 38 230 35 219 14824 13100 33 222 33 221 33 225 33 216 13100 11567 29 221 29 220 29 222 30 215 11567 10203 25 222 24 219 24 219 25 212 10203 8986 20 220 20 218 20 215 21 208 8986 7902 16 217 17 212 18 209 19 203 7902 6936 13 211 15 205 16 202 18 197 6936 6082 11 204 13 198 15 192 18 187 6082 5323 10 192 11 185 14 178 17 175 5323 4641 9 177 10 170 13 161 16 163 4641 4037 8 167 7*161 11 145 13 150 4037 3533 4 162 6*171 9 142 9 142 3533 3144 2 164 5 180 8 145 8 146 3144 2877 1 223 5 185 7 146 7 141 2877 2715 1*297 5 189 6*148 5*128 2715 2622 1*298 5 191 3*147 2*067 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography