DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.0 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 385 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 2528 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3922 - - 5178 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4424 - - 6065 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1530 - - 2654 - - - - - 1907 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 411 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 235 - - - - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 42 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1494 - - -874 - - - - - -647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5918 - - 6939 - - - - - 3270 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4347 - - -3196 - - - - - -3497 ODpotential blCL - - - 8771 - - 9261 - - - - - 6120 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.0 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 49.5 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 69.4 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 48.7 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 385 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 2528 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 23 - - - - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97353 38 277 38 265 63 276 97353 89923 40 267 40 272 44 279 89923 84250 22 262 30 271 30 292 84250 79607 14 283 16 268 22 290 79607 75630 12 293 10 274 12 286 75630 72107 8 282 11 260 8 301 72107 68907 8 284 14 248 9 289 68907 65953 7 333 11 244 9 265 65953 63190 11 330 8 262 11 240 63190 60507 19 275 20 274 18 273 60507 57703 23 260 25 260 24 261 57703 54785 27 262 25 259 27 250 54785 51995 31 258 30 260 27 252 51995 49481 30 256 38 264 37 257 49481 47233 40 259 45 256 38 253 47233 45201 43 258 45 254 39 255 45201 43349 52 263 45 258 43 252 43349 41653 63 259 49 256 51 246 41653 40093 68 254 58 249 56 242 40093 38649 69 255 63 247 59 240 38649 37302 73 256 65 246 62 237 37302 36013 69 255 62 245 61 232 36013 34710 62 253 57 242 55 229 34710 33365 58 247 54 237 51 231 33365 31981 55 247 50 239 49 230 31981 30540 48 246 45 235 46 224 30540 29030 44 241 45 230 46 224 29030 27451 46 244 45 237 46 228 27451 25803 45 248 41 246 45 232 25803 24089 40 250 36 252 43 237 24089 22316 35 252 31 252 34 250 22316 20484 29 253 29 250 23 257 20484 18583 26 256 28 256 20 244 18583 16646 23 262 25 262 25 236 16646 14777 20 271 20 265 24 236 14777 13071 18 280 17 265 22 240 13071 11551 18 284 17 268 20 245 11551 10196 18 283 17 271 20 251 10196 8986 19 281 17 272 19 257 8986 7906 18 282 16 273 19 260 7906 6944 18 283 15 274 19 263 6944 6091 16 282 12*267 19 267 6091 5333 14 277 10*257 18 271 5333 4652 9*272 9 241 15 275 4652 4047 5*255 9 233 10 275 4047 3539 5 237 9 230 6 271 3539 3149 5 231 9 228 3 235 3149 2880 6 227 9 226 2 209 2880 2716 6 224 9 226 2*201 2716 2622 5 223 8 225 2*202 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography