DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.6 - - 56.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 69 - - 143 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 172 - - 1124 - - 632 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 3814 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3709 - - 4661 - - 4169 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1499 - - 1366 - - 1213 - - 1059 - - 1555 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 98 - - 231 - - 121 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 257 - - 266 - - 258 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 9 - - 23 - - 20 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -746 - - -334 - - 1020 - - 1426 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3369 - - 4043 - - 3641 - - 2743 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential -5216 - - -3804 - - -1314 - - 465 - - -2144 ODpotential blCL 7839 - - 7513 - - 5975 - - 3704 - - 4766 blCL maxRH 85 - - 82 - - 87 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.6 - - 56.1 - - 54.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 44.9 - - 49.0 - - 50.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 53.7 - - 55.7 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.8 - - 43.7 - - 47.8 - - 50.3 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 69 - - 143 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 172 - - 1124 - - 632 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 26 - - 48 - - 94 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95660 24 298 32 284 39 282 39 275 57 270 95660 88691 8 324 10 317 22 266 29 280 27 294 88691 83364 4 303 9 309 13 288 13 276 19 288 83364 78910 2 318 12 288 15 328 8 279 11 298 78910 75036 5 006 8 295 11 334 7 284 9 319 75036 71608 7 021 4 348 4 288 5 299 8 303 71608 68507 6 020 5 009 3 273 5 354 8 272 68507 65645 6 001 5 005 4 291 5 336 7 245 65645 62973 10 345 6 347 5 301 8 294 6 280 62973 60381 14 336 9 322 10 306 14 297 11 294 60381 57679 15 313 11 308 13 299 20 297 14 298 57679 54849 14 305 13 298 16 299 20 295 16 286 54849 52111 13 306 13 287 18 296 20 293 20 291 52111 49617 13 302 13 281 20 291 22 294 25 298 49617 47363 12 300 11 288 19 287 23 289 29 294 47363 45306 11 319 10 313 14 288 22 294 30 295 45306 43405 12 333 10 336 16 310 26 305 29 303 43405 41644 12 350 12 347 19 311 22 300 29 323 41644 40017 12 009 16 351 12 333 20 328 29 324 40017 38506 12 023 20 001 20 010 27 343 24 333 38506 37100 10 014 24 011 28 008 26 000 40 354 37100 35768 8 336 24 018 38 018 40 012 45 007 35768 34435 6 355 26 015 49 021 53 016 54 016 34435 33066 10 030 27 015 52 020 60 015 68 013 33066 31662 13 048 28 023 47 019 58 010 78 006 31662 30209 19 052 29 032 46 020 55 006 78 005 30209 28697 25 050 30 034 43 021 55 005 69 006 28697 27125 22 050 29 031 32 025 51 006 59 007 27125 25493 16 060 21 035 27 024 44 005 49 009 25493 23799 15 065 20 030 25 024 35 006 45 006 23799 22047 15 069 22 023 21 018 25 354 44 359 22047 20229 9 079 17 036 15 014 26 351 38 355 20229 18343 4 083 13 054 9 008 17 351 29 348 18343 16427 4 063 10 056 8 358 15 347 23 341 16427 14583 1 095 8 041 8 350 13 355 17 341 14583 12904 2 289 4 036 6 344 12 004 12 348 12904 11408 4 295 1 041 4 330 12 007 10 353 11408 10073 4 302 1 125 4 336 11 003 9 350 10073 8881 3 323 2 103 5 339 10 355 8 339 8881 7816 3 357 3 093 5 338 8 345 8 324 7816 6868 3 009 2 097 5 330 7 333 9 311 6868 6028 5 005 0 093 5 322 7 323 9 302 6028 5282 6 358 1 281 4*316 6 317 8 297 5282 4612 6 345 2 285 4*307 5*321 7 296 4612 4018 5 335 2*292 4 279 3*298 6 295 4018 3521 3 330 1*296 5 262 4 260 4 289 3521 3138 2 326 1 262 5 256 4 251 2 275 3138 2874 1 348 2 246 5 251 5 248 1 271 2874 2714 1*034 2 242 5 248 4 246 0*296 2714 2621 1*032 2 240 5 247 4 244 0*081 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography