DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 53.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 52 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1237 - - 759 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4774 - - 4296 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2722 - - 3481 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 146 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 244 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 37 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1771 - - 1266 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3003 - - 3030 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 839 - - 217 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 3935 - - 4079 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 130 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 53.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 49.5 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 54.2 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 48.8 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 52 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1237 - - 759 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97803 27 278 31 294 97803 90524 17 282 18 285 90524 84908 15 290 10 294 84908 80234 12 283 9 286 80234 76202 10 262 10 274 76202 72652 4 221 10 257 72652 69463 5 204 9 228 69463 66550 5 212 9 200 66550 63853 6 253 11 207 63853 61231 12 229 14 210 61231 58471 22 239 19 223 58471 55590 31 235 23 241 55590 52837 33 241 28 252 52837 50361 38 241 38 249 50361 48134 41 241 46 243 48134 46100 43 244 53 240 46100 44220 47 248 57 235 44220 42466 53 248 59 234 42466 40820 61 244 66 238 40820 39273 69 242 72 240 39273 37819 67 243 69 239 37819 36423 68 242 62 238 36423 35024 62 242 57 245 35024 33595 50 247 54 245 33595 32137 43 250 46 239 32137 30630 38 253 27 265 30630 29065 33 259 32 301 29065 27441 27 272 35 310 27441 25756 24 286 34 327 25756 24009 22 294 39 341 24009 22203 25 275 42 349 22203 20329 33 248 42 350 20329 18387 36 241 32 333 18387 16427 30 241 27 287 16427 14557 24 244 24 260 14557 12861 28 238 27 256 12861 11358 25 230 24 252 11358 10027 20 223 19 247 10027 8845 17 217 17 245 8845 7793 15 214 14 246 7793 6854 15 215 13 248 6854 6022 13 217 11 249 6022 5281 12*219 10 248 5281 4614 10*220 9*247 4614 4021 9 222 9*245 4021 3523 9 221 9 244 3523 3140 8 221 8 244 3140 2875 8 221 8 243 2875 2714 8 221 7 243 2714 2622 6 222 6 243 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography