DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 75.7 - - 79.5 - - 74.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 445 - - 515 - - 302 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 265 - - 818 - - 242 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 3970 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3802 - - 4355 - - 3779 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 715 - - 450 - - 599 - - 524 - - 747 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 202 - - 309 - - 172 - - 27 W* B/S 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 209 - - 202 - - 189 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 31 - - 33 - - 31 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5804 - - -3409 - - -3587 - - -2836 - - -1452 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8428 - - 7212 - - 7942 - - 6615 - - 4076 sfcLCL ODpotential -12703 - - -7930 - - -7584 - - -7794 - - -9074 ODpotential blCL 15327 - - 11732 - - 11939 - - 11573 - - 11698 blCL maxRH 37 - - 57 - - 53 - - 58 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 75.7 - - 79.5 - - 74.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 53.2 - - 53.7 - - 54.7 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.5 - - 73.8 - - 77.2 - - 73.4 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - 54.5 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 445 - - 515 - - 302 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 265 - - 818 - - 242 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98231 18 110 12 106 12 122 9 099 15 099 98231 90848 16 095 20 123 6 139 16 108 9 092 90848 85150 12 081 17 134 7 158 12 103 9 146 85150 80381 11 110 7 130 9 124 6 107 14 144 80381 76255 7 120 7 154 10 130 6 125 14 134 76255 72610 8 130 9 161 8 164 5 125 12 120 72610 69325 13 118 12 150 11 190 4 159 6 091 69325 66322 6 086 14 129 12 172 7 202 1 130 66322 63569 3 034 3 045 5 120 5 192 5 239 63569 60933 5 009 8 338 5 329 4 286 8 235 60933 58202 12 351 11 345 6 356 6 253 10 249 58202 55382 16 333 12 325 9 338 5 258 12 248 55382 52689 13 314 8 286 10 285 9 254 11 251 52689 50248 9 288 10 235 14 257 15 255 12 269 50248 48050 12 275 13 247 17 254 17 258 14 279 48050 46060 18 271 15 252 19 245 18 252 16 271 46060 44243 20 267 16 253 18 231 22 230 16 254 44243 42573 20 265 20 256 17 234 22 215 21 227 42573 41025 19 265 22 252 20 239 21 223 22 217 41025 39579 18 270 21 251 22 237 21 231 20 217 39579 38218 16 279 19 254 21 236 21 230 19 216 38218 36904 14 275 17 255 19 233 21 225 20 211 36904 35572 12 265 15 255 18 234 19 222 19 212 35572 34191 10 262 15 255 16 240 16 224 16 218 34191 32766 11 275 15 260 14 254 12 230 12 220 32766 31283 12 281 14 272 13 272 8 243 8 224 31283 29732 12 285 11 271 10 277 6 246 8 217 29732 28111 9 287 8 252 8 263 7 235 10 210 28111 26421 5 291 5 231 8 246 8 222 11 198 26421 24668 5 292 5 230 7 227 8 209 11 188 24668 22854 7 283 5 232 8 209 9 206 10 184 22854 20970 5 274 3 208 8 196 8 203 8 188 20970 19010 3 251 2 117 5 153 7 173 11 190 19010 17013 7 171 3 131 6 116 10 147 12 158 17013 15089 13 155 7 160 10 126 12 129 13 123 15089 13338 17 140 15 153 15 131 14 121 13 096 13338 11779 16 137 20 144 15 128 13 123 14 083 11779 10387 10 138 22 133 15 128 13 137 10 122 10387 9143 6 128 20 125 15 132 15 154 12 163 9143 8031 2 097 11 118 16 135 16 164 14 181 8031 7040 2 029 7 093 14 135 16 171 12 194 7040 6162 3 345 4 075 9 133 13 174 9 204 6162 5382 4 351 2 041 4 128 8 166 6 209 5382 4681 5 001 1 004 3*139 4 147 3 201 4681 4062 4 005 0*299 3*172 5*163 2 178 4062 3547 4 003 3*207 5 201 6*181 4 162 3547 3153 3 357 5 209 6 204 7 188 5 156 3153 2882 2 336 6 209 7 207 7 192 5 156 2882 2717 1*289 6 210 7 207 7 193 4*158 2717 2623 1*263 6 210 6 209 7 196 3*163 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography