DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.4 - - 89.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 582 - - 331 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 482 - - 1146 - - 730 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3716 - - 4225 - - 3823 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4019 - - 4683 - - 4267 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 803 - - 1071 - - 1068 - - 815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 359 - - 256 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 182 - - 194 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 39 - - 35 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5848 - - -5645 - - -5043 - - -3886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9867 - - 10329 - - 9310 - - 6511 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10346 - - -9804 - - -10031 - - -10594 ODpotential blCL - - - 14365 - - 14487 - - 14298 - - 13219 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 59 - - 51 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 50 - - 130 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.4 - - 89.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 55.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 88.8 - - 88.0 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 55.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 582 - - 331 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 482 - - 1146 - - 730 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99152 43 114 37 112 40 099 43 086 99152 91664 39 103 35 107 33 097 41 089 91664 85915 34 102 39 101 37 105 33 095 85915 81158 33 100 38 101 34 107 32 106 81158 77066 30 106 29 095 30 104 31 105 77066 73461 27 108 23 099 26 092 29 105 73461 70209 27 108 22 111 16 102 21 091 70209 67217 22 108 20 132 15 120 13 093 67217 64451 16 094 18 130 16 115 16 096 64451 61791 10 117 14 128 16 122 13 110 61791 59055 12 128 14 128 18 133 15 138 59055 56266 13 154 13 163 14 178 12 184 56266 53633 19 186 22 178 29 195 24 207 53633 51264 38 208 37 205 37 202 34 213 51264 49122 53 200 49 203 42 193 41 199 49122 47161 56 194 50 200 45 190 41 192 47161 45342 52 192 49 190 49 189 44 191 45342 43644 46 193 50 186 53 189 48 189 43644 42050 44 191 48 182 50 189 49 188 42050 40547 45 190 45 183 45 193 46 192 40547 39128 36 201 36 191 37 190 35 201 39128 37758 30 215 30 194 24 190 32 193 37758 36367 26 203 26 197 22 187 25 180 36367 34926 27 183 26 190 25 182 23 175 34926 33440 27 180 29 186 30 187 26 185 33440 31899 23 173 27 190 28 199 26 199 31899 30294 17 166 20 193 21 204 25 209 30294 28626 13 164 19 186 18 196 25 205 28626 26893 12 161 20 178 18 185 26 196 26893 25097 11 173 20 176 20 182 25 186 25097 23245 11 191 20 178 18 185 23 182 23245 21327 11 184 19 183 17 187 20 183 21327 19336 10 164 17 189 16 190 17 189 19336 17309 10 161 15 190 15 184 14 180 17309 15355 12 169 14 186 13 180 14 171 15355 13574 12 173 13 178 12 175 15 170 13574 11985 13 185 13 174 13 174 15 173 11985 10567 12 192 12 179 14 173 15 177 10567 9298 12 202 12 188 14 181 14 183 9298 8163 12 205 11 188 12 189 13 191 8163 7150 12 195 11 184 12 192 13 201 7150 6252 11 179 12 175 12 194 11 210 6252 5457 11 165 11 167 9 189 9 215 5457 4742 10 157 9*168 7*182 6 211 4742 4109 8*160 9*173 6*183 3 204 4109 3579 8*169 10 179 8 191 2 186 3579 3171 9 178 10 184 8 195 3 166 3171 2892 9 183 10 187 8 198 3 167 2892 2721 9 186 10 189 8 199 3*170 2721 2624 8 188 9 190 7 200 2*173 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography