DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 56.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 194 - - 230 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 187 - - 688 - - 636 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 3692 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 3724 - - 4225 - - 4173 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 992 - - 559 - - 597 - - 715 - - 1004 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 140 - - 229 - - 187 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 264 - - 258 - - 223 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 21 - - 27 - - 26 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -822 - - 890 - - 874 - - 400 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3444 - - 2834 - - 3351 - - 3773 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -8495 - - 275 - - -3960 - - -4904 - - -6716 ODpotential blCL 11117 - - 3449 - - 8185 - - 9077 - - 9339 blCL maxRH 77 - - 95 - - 94 - - 86 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 210 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 56.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 52.8 - - 54.4 - - 52.5 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 55.6 - - 59.5 - - 59.9 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.3 - - 51.6 - - 53.1 - - 51.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 194 - - 230 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 187 - - 688 - - 636 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 79 - - 75 - - 46 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97728 10 103 2 148 4 200 4 213 11 359 97728 90314 8 105 15 093 11 125 10 134 6 040 90314 84631 11 091 16 086 11 122 9 124 6 130 84631 79942 8 093 12 097 9 098 9 093 8 105 79942 75912 3 077 6 103 4 037 8 055 6 063 75912 72361 8 051 6 124 1 341 4 009 6 065 72361 69167 11 024 2 136 5 313 7 328 10 351 69167 66237 13 345 5 019 5 320 6 293 10 297 66237 63517 18 310 13 310 15 314 13 317 15 311 63517 60869 21 291 25 289 25 296 22 302 21 292 60869 58082 29 275 31 280 32 279 27 284 26 279 58082 55155 35 271 34 277 33 274 33 282 37 284 55155 52341 43 271 39 271 40 274 44 282 44 287 52341 49800 45 269 41 268 43 275 48 280 48 286 49800 47528 44 270 44 270 46 276 46 284 47 286 47528 45482 46 272 46 273 45 276 46 291 47 294 45482 43623 49 269 46 274 38 280 45 294 47 301 43623 41918 51 262 46 271 38 289 43 302 49 311 41918 40345 53 258 45 269 41 292 47 310 49 318 40345 38881 55 256 44 265 38 286 45 312 50 325 38881 37511 55 255 46 258 32 289 41 320 52 326 37511 36194 54 255 46 255 30 296 42 328 51 325 36194 34864 51 256 42 254 23 299 42 332 44 324 34864 33493 44 256 33 250 16 304 38 340 38 329 33493 32086 34 252 24 246 9 301 31 343 35 334 32086 30630 27 253 21 244 6 292 24 342 32 332 30630 29114 24 254 18 240 7 285 21 341 28 329 29114 27532 21 256 15 239 8 282 20 340 27 331 27532 25884 20 252 16 243 9 281 20 340 27 337 25884 24171 22 246 17 242 12 283 19 338 26 341 24171 22396 23 246 17 247 12 283 18 331 23 342 22396 20553 22 251 17 255 10 279 16 320 20 336 20553 18639 20 256 16 262 10 275 13 312 17 332 18639 16691 18 263 17 270 12 274 13 305 15 334 16691 14812 16 280 18 279 14 280 14 305 14 338 14812 13101 14 294 16 288 14 293 12 318 13 340 13101 11575 14 302 14 300 13 308 12 328 13 336 11575 10213 14 309 14 313 12 318 12 327 13 329 10213 8995 14 315 15 321 11 325 13 323 14 324 8995 7907 14 320 16 325 10 331 14 323 15 323 7907 6938 13 323 16 327 12 339 14 323 17 326 6938 6079 12 322 16 329 12 338 12 322 17 329 6079 5318 12 320 15 329 10 330 9 317 15 329 5318 4635 10 319 12 329 6*317 5*301 11 327 4635 4032 8 319 8*327 4*290 3*245 6 323 4032 3529 5 313 4*294 5 264 4 223 2 317 3529 3142 3 297 4 266 6 253 5 220 1 181 3142 2876 2 290 5 256 6 246 6 219 2 168 2876 2714 1*294 5 250 6 244 6 219 2*163 2714 2622 1*302 4 247 5 243 5 217 1*166 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography