DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 70.2 - - 68.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 377 - - 173 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1921 - - 4708 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4653 - - 6858 - - 5304 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5458 - - 8245 - - 6613 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2208 - - 1020 - - 2099 - - 2434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 343 - - 503 - - 338 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 21 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 086 - - 260 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - 49 - - 37 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6492 - - -3536 - - -2403 - - -3662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11951 - - 11782 - - 9016 - - 6286 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14729 - - -10012 - - -8520 - - -10328 ODpotential blCL - - - 20187 - - 18257 - - 15133 - - 12951 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 58 - - 53 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 70.2 - - 68.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.7 - - 27.4 - - 37.8 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 26.3 - - 36.8 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 377 - - 173 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1921 - - 4708 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97556 36 273 49 276 44 278 40 284 97556 90161 37 254 42 260 42 271 38 287 90161 84464 36 265 33 254 32 258 31 267 84464 79741 38 280 28 266 24 256 28 247 79741 75667 38 273 32 270 23 268 25 258 75667 72081 34 259 35 264 30 278 21 274 72081 68851 24 260 29 256 31 276 21 284 68851 65885 17 267 25 251 31 272 26 283 65885 63133 19 272 22 258 28 271 24 287 63133 60465 26 282 20 280 23 290 23 299 60465 57683 30 281 25 285 25 290 24 301 57683 54795 31 283 28 292 25 295 26 299 54795 52035 33 294 32 299 27 298 29 299 52035 49547 34 296 34 297 30 293 31 299 49547 47314 32 289 33 291 32 288 31 295 47314 45290 29 289 30 289 31 287 29 290 45290 43444 28 299 28 293 29 291 26 297 43444 41754 31 309 27 298 29 294 27 301 41754 40200 34 310 27 303 26 294 25 298 40200 38761 35 306 30 304 22 306 20 306 38761 37419 35 304 33 301 24 318 20 322 37419 36130 35 303 34 299 25 318 21 331 36130 34827 34 304 31 299 24 318 20 334 34827 33479 33 307 28 300 22 318 19 335 33479 32087 32 310 26 306 21 317 18 334 32087 30641 32 310 24 309 20 318 16 333 30641 29127 31 308 24 308 18 322 15 331 29127 27547 30 306 25 306 16 324 12 333 27547 25898 28 304 25 309 16 325 9 339 25898 24182 26 307 25 315 17 325 7 334 24182 22404 24 315 24 319 18 325 8 322 22404 20557 22 324 22 319 18 324 12 313 20557 18638 20 328 20 320 17 321 14 304 18638 16681 17 327 18 320 17 319 13 304 16681 14793 15 323 17 319 15 320 11 314 14793 13072 14 320 15 321 13 330 8 329 13072 11541 14 324 13 333 11 341 6 345 11541 10180 14 343 10 358 7 360 3 048 10180 8970 11 007 8*044 8 030 3 126 8970 7892 7 053 8*069 9 034 4 080 7892 6934 8 087 7 071 6*018 8 049 6934 6085 10*083 6 077 4*344 7 021 6085 5330 13*080 5 081 3 303 7 002 5330 4650 15 077 4 092 5 269 7 338 4650 4046 15 076 3 110 7 251 8 327 4046 3539 14 075 3 128 7 245 9 327 3539 3149 13 077 3 143 8 243 10 331 3149 2880 11 078 3 156 7 241 9 334 2880 2716 9 080 3 161 7 240 8*338 2716 2622 6 086 3 169 6 238 5*349 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography