DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 58.3 - - 62.1 - - 60.6 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 156 - - 290 - - 137 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 410 - - 1642 - - 1349 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4452 - - 3945 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3947 - - 5179 - - 4886 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 670 - - 767 - - 1075 - - 1380 - - 1499 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 170 - - 326 - - 238 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 123 - - 192 - - 192 - - 241 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 21 - - 31 - - 34 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1352 - - -742 - - -10 - - 154 - - -398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3975 - - 4689 - - 5190 - - 4732 - - 3021 sfcLCL ODpotential -8639 - - -5093 - - -3087 - - -2257 - - -4472 ODpotential blCL 11262 - - 9040 - - 8266 - - 7143 - - 7095 blCL maxRH 59 - - 70 - - 80 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 58.3 - - 62.1 - - 60.6 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 46.7 - - 48.3 - - 48.8 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 57.8 - - 61.0 - - 60.3 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 45.5 - - 47.2 - - 48.2 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 156 - - 290 - - 137 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 410 - - 1642 - - 1349 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 26 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 34 286 27 300 24 267 32 279 37 270 96607 89329 21 285 18 299 21 260 25 272 25 293 89329 83758 10 263 15 274 22 279 19 280 21 294 83758 79188 9 266 18 251 27 276 22 279 17 295 79188 75252 13 283 16 247 28 267 23 272 20 293 75252 71761 16 281 16 257 27 271 24 269 24 275 71761 68596 17 274 16 244 27 268 24 266 24 271 68596 65671 19 267 16 249 24 257 26 260 26 273 65671 62935 21 264 15 264 19 242 28 247 27 267 62935 60273 18 249 14 270 14 244 26 244 27 261 60273 57498 14 248 16 252 12 258 17 252 19 254 57498 54617 11 248 13 232 12 278 16 279 14 294 54617 51874 2 295 7 215 12 297 13 303 13 327 51874 49412 5 004 4 012 7 332 16 341 23 341 49412 47202 12 070 14 044 13 039 20 355 28 334 47202 45186 23 066 25 049 21 037 23 002 26 344 45186 43335 28 064 28 049 24 031 28 003 37 346 43335 41641 37 063 30 059 24 037 28 009 38 344 41641 40093 47 058 40 062 31 048 30 026 28 355 40093 38658 51 058 47 062 42 048 37 042 35 009 38658 37313 54 054 50 060 48 048 47 033 49 004 37313 36017 57 051 53 055 53 043 59 020 54 002 36017 34705 56 051 55 051 57 037 61 016 50 006 34705 33346 55 050 52 049 56 036 57 021 46 009 33346 31944 54 052 49 048 51 038 52 028 43 011 31944 30487 54 054 50 046 50 037 50 029 43 012 30487 28963 53 053 51 043 51 035 49 028 43 013 28963 27373 53 051 51 044 49 038 46 027 42 017 27373 25717 52 048 51 047 48 049 41 034 39 023 25717 24002 51 046 50 050 45 056 36 047 32 025 24002 22230 46 052 45 058 39 059 28 047 26 028 22230 20394 39 060 39 062 33 066 23 049 23 025 20394 18489 34 058 35 066 29 067 21 049 22 023 18489 16550 29 057 31 069 26 061 21 048 23 026 16550 14684 23 061 24 068 23 057 21 048 21 031 14684 12986 16 076 18 074 21 059 20 049 18 034 12986 11475 12 093 16 085 21 066 20 052 14 033 11475 10127 10 097 16 089 21 069 17 055 11 031 10127 8922 11 094 16 087 20 068 14 052 8 026 8922 7848 14 084 16 084 17 063 11 042 3 359 7848 6892 15 071 14 080 13 059 6 019 3 257 6892 6047 15 064 12 073 8 067 4 349 6 237 6047 5297 12 069 9 067 3*102 3*295 7 231 5297 4623 10 084 6 066 3*163 3*262 6 233 4623 4025 9 110 3*073 5 188 6 243 4 245 4025 3525 10 128 2*177 6 194 7 239 3 250 3525 3141 11 134 4 191 7 198 7 237 2 248 3141 2876 10 134 4 195 7 199 7 236 2 251 2876 2715 9*133 4 197 7 200 7 236 1*259 2715 2622 5*123 4 197 6 201 6 235 1*274 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography