DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 84.3 - - 81.3 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 532 - - 301 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 379 - - 1026 - - 403 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3612 - - 4125 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3916 - - 4563 - - 3940 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 584 - - 774 - - 730 - - 938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 337 - - 204 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 195 - - 207 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 37 - - 28 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4432 - - -4653 - - -4256 - - -2523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8348 - - 9217 - - 8197 - - 5147 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11744 - - -11407 - - -11274 - - -11530 ODpotential blCL - - - 15660 - - 15970 - - 15214 - - 14154 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 44 - - 48 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 84.3 - - 81.3 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 52.9 - - 54.4 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 81.8 - - 79.8 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 52.6 - - 54.2 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 532 - - 301 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 379 - - 1026 - - 403 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98701 17 099 16 134 13 077 23 074 98701 91191 19 104 21 110 13 106 10 089 91191 85428 21 128 19 090 17 110 11 094 85428 80682 17 120 14 092 19 085 18 090 80682 76607 14 117 13 106 19 085 18 090 76607 73001 16 115 11 097 16 088 15 106 73001 69735 14 093 11 098 13 082 14 107 69735 66750 7 091 8 109 7 062 14 069 66750 64000 6 113 5 131 3 237 11 034 64000 61355 4 139 4 201 7 261 6 311 61355 58617 8 296 5 240 8 259 7 279 58617 55793 12 244 12 259 10 266 12 279 55793 53109 10 265 12 262 10 263 11 283 53109 50689 19 279 18 284 17 287 17 296 50689 48520 19 277 18 267 17 265 17 277 48520 46554 17 299 12 271 13 266 14 280 46554 44748 16 305 12 304 12 293 14 284 44748 43075 16 311 13 318 15 326 17 335 43075 41519 18 318 17 341 22 340 21 348 41519 40058 17 325 22 347 21 342 20 353 40058 38679 21 345 23 348 17 350 21 359 38679 37348 26 353 21 350 17 359 21 359 37348 35999 26 001 19 357 20 004 19 356 35999 34603 26 007 23 008 23 004 17 355 34603 33161 29 010 27 011 22 004 16 352 33161 31659 30 011 29 011 20 001 15 348 31659 30086 27 010 27 012 19 358 15 344 30086 28443 23 005 23 012 16 354 18 340 28443 26732 20 004 16 008 17 341 21 338 26732 24954 18 009 9 008 18 334 21 333 24954 23110 12 348 8 340 17 330 19 325 23110 21195 11 307 11 307 18 333 17 321 21195 19203 7 306 10 304 18 339 14 323 19203 17177 4 343 8 316 14 343 10 327 17177 15227 7 009 8 349 11 350 8 336 15227 13451 8 014 9 018 9 011 6 357 13451 11869 4 062 6 064 6 050 2 035 11869 10460 7 126 8 120 7 102 3 156 10460 9202 10 133 11 120 8 119 5 165 9202 8080 12 125 11 114 10 131 5 178 8080 7081 11 114 11 123 10 145 4 191 7081 6196 9 095 10 129 9 152 4 208 6196 5412 7 079 7 132 7 160 3 230 5412 4707 4 073 4*150 3 172 2 250 4707 4083 2*096 5*171 3*192 2 263 4083 3562 3*191 7 193 4*202 0 353 3562 3162 5 207 8 197 5 207 2 136 3162 2887 6 209 8 201 6 209 2 174 2887 2719 6 210 8 202 6 209 3*181 2719 2623 6 211 7 203 5 210 2*182 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography