DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 48.1 - - 49.6 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 41 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2235 - - 625 - - 701 - - 451 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4789 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5772 - - 4162 - - 4238 - - 3988 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1893 - - 2298 - - 2336 - - 2436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 122 - - 72 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 248 - - 289 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - 24 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1556 - - 852 - - 991 - - 820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4216 - - 3310 - - 3248 - - 3169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 795 - - 5 - - -49 - - -275 ODpotential blCL - - - 4977 - - 4157 - - 4287 - - 4263 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 48.1 - - 49.6 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 42.8 - - 44.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 48.5 - - 50.3 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 42.5 - - 44.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 41 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2235 - - 625 - - 701 - - 451 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 102 - - 102 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97520 5 193 11 282 15 304 9 336 97520 90166 4 112 3 193 6 304 7 006 90166 84519 10 089 12 118 7 113 5 074 84519 79827 16 088 12 107 10 084 8 080 79827 75786 9 120 8 107 12 083 9 101 75786 72216 12 109 10 131 5 088 7 089 72216 68977 9 096 12 124 3 125 7 089 68977 65991 6 116 9 131 9 176 3 200 65991 63206 6 156 9 158 11 193 7 206 63206 60494 10 205 10 208 13 196 12 229 60494 57656 14 225 13 232 6 187 10 221 57656 54705 22 244 26 265 23 277 20 278 54705 51896 30 251 29 256 34 269 28 277 51896 49386 28 263 26 272 35 271 29 282 49386 47146 34 273 29 278 37 277 36 282 47146 45120 41 275 38 292 39 279 43 280 45120 43271 43 276 46 293 43 288 48 278 43271 41570 43 278 51 290 50 293 48 275 41570 39991 45 281 53 289 57 291 49 280 39991 38515 48 280 54 288 64 288 55 282 38515 37132 46 278 55 288 72 287 61 278 37132 35804 43 284 55 289 76 284 64 273 35804 34464 42 287 53 290 77 282 64 270 34464 33085 37 303 51 293 72 282 61 270 33085 31671 42 309 49 300 64 281 57 272 31671 30213 42 306 49 309 54 280 50 276 30213 28700 43 313 48 313 46 283 42 281 28700 27132 45 323 44 314 43 287 36 284 27132 25507 49 325 40 314 41 290 30 288 25507 23822 50 323 38 313 39 296 26 296 23822 22075 49 319 37 314 37 300 26 305 22075 20259 48 317 36 316 34 307 25 312 20259 18367 44 319 33 318 30 312 23 317 18367 16438 38 320 28 317 25 313 23 322 16438 14576 31 315 25 315 23 318 23 324 14576 12879 26 306 24 314 22 325 23 326 12879 11367 21 302 22 312 21 330 23 330 11367 10022 19 305 17 318 19 332 23 331 10022 8827 19 310 14 309 16 320 21 331 8827 7767 17 308 11 286 13 301 18 330 7767 6827 14 299 11 272 12 290 14 328 6827 5997 11*288 11 266 11 286 11 326 5997 5261 9*275 11 260 10 284 9 321 5261 4598 8 261 10*256 9*284 7 309 4598 4010 7 254 10*252 8*286 6*301 4010 3516 7 250 10 250 7 289 5*299 3516 3136 7 246 9 248 6 290 4 294 3136 2873 7 244 9 246 6 291 3 294 2873 2713 6 243 8 245 5 291 2 294 2713 2621 6 242 6 243 4 291 2 290 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography