DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 86.5 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 217 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 3998 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2625 - - 4642 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2231 - - 3015 - - - - - 1710 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 263 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 213 - - - - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 28 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6827 - - -6587 - - - - - -7202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9453 - - 11229 - - - - - 9827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13217 - - -12085 - - - - - -15078 ODpotential blCL - - - 15842 - - 16727 - - - - - 17702 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 37 - - - - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 86.5 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 46.4 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 85.6 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 45.2 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 217 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 28 305 29 296 24 275 96596 89405 8 306 13 275 12 300 89405 83934 4 113 11 224 7 329 83934 79411 10 090 4 186 7 354 79411 75511 10 084 2 126 10 009 75511 72061 8 072 3 337 7 012 72061 68938 8 047 9 009 6 033 68938 66078 12 032 9 032 9 043 66078 63449 13 029 11 039 12 037 63449 60918 10 035 9 018 10 032 60918 58281 11 021 8 015 9 007 58281 55539 10 348 8 007 10 002 55539 52897 8 348 5 338 11 353 52897 50484 7 321 4 303 9 292 50484 48298 7 293 7 255 13 260 48298 46303 12 272 11 248 13 248 46303 44468 17 237 19 238 15 232 44468 42773 21 210 24 228 20 227 42773 41204 23 210 25 216 27 228 41204 39745 31 216 27 217 34 224 39745 38377 33 214 32 221 42 219 38377 37060 27 211 30 215 44 214 37060 35725 27 209 30 210 41 214 35725 34344 29 207 30 208 37 216 34344 32915 32 203 33 206 35 216 32915 31427 36 201 36 204 34 211 31427 29871 39 200 37 203 36 208 29871 28247 39 197 35 200 39 208 28247 26555 37 194 34 198 40 205 26555 24796 36 193 33 198 39 202 24796 22971 35 191 32 198 41 199 22971 21073 34 188 32 196 40 197 21073 19100 32 186 33 193 37 196 19100 17091 28 181 33 189 34 194 17091 15158 26 175 31 186 29 196 15158 13399 25 179 27 190 22 200 13399 11833 20 188 20 196 17 201 11833 10437 15 198 13 200 13 201 10437 9190 11 205 9 206 12 204 9190 8076 9 203 6 207 12 209 8076 7083 7 194 4 195 13 213 7083 6203 7 183 4 179 13 219 6203 5420 7 176 3 173 12 226 5420 4716 4 161 3*188 10 234 4716 4092 2 152 3*202 7 245 4092 3569 1 298 5 212 5 256 3569 3167 3 291 6 214 3 290 3167 2889 3 273 6 215 3 316 2889 2720 3*267 6 215 2*341 2720 2623 3*264 5 215 2*002 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography