DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 53.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -207 - - -144 - - -111 - - -172 - - -158 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 194 - - 221 - - 344 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 25 - - 26 - - 26 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 056 - - 049 - - 054 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -56 - - -46 - - -50 - - -56 - - -54 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4770 - - -3892 - - -3309 - - -3736 - - -2642 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7393 - - 6515 - - 5932 - - 6359 - - 5265 sfcLCL ODpotential -15970 - - -12137 - - -11633 - - -12426 - - -9751 ODpotential blCL 18592 - - 14760 - - 14256 - - 15049 - - 12374 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 90 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 53.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 58.5 - - 57.1 - - 58.4 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.1 - - 33.3 - - 35.6 - - 33.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -207 - - -144 - - -111 - - -172 - - -158 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 102 - - 95 - - 58 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 41 055 32 036 32 010 34 024 30 050 96310 89241 40 059 35 048 25 016 36 034 33 057 89241 83778 33 066 32 068 26 040 32 038 35 056 83778 79220 27 066 28 076 29 054 23 037 31 043 79220 75265 20 043 21 062 26 058 19 032 23 033 75265 71765 19 013 16 032 19 042 14 015 18 020 71765 68606 12 357 14 026 11 023 10 341 17 359 68606 65701 6 357 11 023 6 022 6 319 12 338 65701 63010 7 336 13 018 2 353 1 308 4 287 63010 60399 7 297 10 353 4 273 3 240 3 155 60399 57672 3 274 6 281 8 252 6 230 3 229 57672 54840 7 270 13 240 11 239 14 229 12 254 54840 52142 20 245 21 241 18 236 22 230 23 242 52142 49742 31 228 29 238 30 241 36 232 32 230 49742 47623 33 217 39 234 41 227 43 227 39 234 47623 45722 27 222 49 238 59 237 63 236 70 237 45722 43990 56 225 86 241 90 236 91 231 90 224 43990 42377 66 225 107 231 102 231 83 224 85 223 42377 40856 60 231 98 230 92 234 81 226 73 221 40856 39417 59 237 91 232 83 231 78 227 69 219 39417 38054 68 240 86 234 77 228 76 228 62 215 38054 36734 78 241 75 237 73 225 73 228 55 215 36734 35391 80 243 65 239 67 222 67 228 52 217 35391 33999 77 243 55 238 59 222 62 227 52 213 33999 32561 78 241 46 237 44 222 60 221 47 208 32561 31066 75 241 46 237 46 224 50 214 37 217 31066 29504 55 241 55 235 57 234 43 227 33 227 29504 27874 46 245 65 234 50 239 47 242 24 194 27874 26179 41 253 47 233 38 212 38 240 16 204 26179 24422 29 257 24 223 35 205 26 196 23 171 24422 22605 12 241 17 198 31 193 26 186 31 163 22605 20721 18 164 20 169 29 183 29 198 28 170 20721 18768 25 144 25 161 30 179 27 200 25 182 18768 16782 26 142 28 172 27 186 21 194 24 179 16782 14874 25 145 27 176 23 191 16 190 21 169 14874 13143 25 146 23 175 19 189 10 186 14 158 13143 11604 27 144 20 175 15 184 6 187 8 160 11604 10235 28 141 19 174 12 182 5 209 6 175 10235 9014 28 137 17 160 11 174 6 228 5 188 9014 7925 26 135 15 150 11 161 6 226 3 187 7925 6956 22 135 17 155 11 150 4 207 2 170 6956 6098 16 138 22 155 10 146 4 168 5 164 6098 5337 13 137 26 146 9 146 6 145 7 160 5337 4653 13 126 25 136 9 145 7 126 7 151 4653 4046 15 112 18 131 9 136 8 110 7 136 4046 3538 20 093 15 123 10 107 15 086 8 103 3538 3147 26 077 14 102 12 084 24 066 17 068 3147 2878 23 067 16 075 16 057 24 061 20 062 2878 2715 18*060 14*063 15*053 20*058 18*059 2715 2622 11*053 10*056 10*049 11*054 11*054 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography