DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 79.9 - - 77.0 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 259 - - 99 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1975 - - 889 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4666 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4305 - - 5512 - - 4426 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1609 - - 2324 - - 2394 - - 1728 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 336 - - 189 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 184 - - 181 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 30 - - 22 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9347 - - -8530 - - -5987 - - -5353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13652 - - 14043 - - 10413 - - 7977 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15445 - - -13625 - - -10383 - - -10690 ODpotential blCL - - - 19750 - - 19137 - - 14809 - - 13314 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 80 - - 63 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 79.9 - - 77.0 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.1 - - 27.2 - - 40.5 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 78.9 - - 76.8 - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 26.1 - - 39.3 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 259 - - 99 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1975 - - 889 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96721 35 295 41 281 41 275 49 279 96721 89417 27 281 33 281 32 288 38 290 89417 83882 20 280 23 290 25 293 29 300 83882 79338 13 286 20 294 20 298 21 310 79338 75432 9 294 21 288 18 306 14 325 75432 71953 9 305 17 280 20 295 18 325 71953 68783 9 307 14 278 21 284 25 306 68783 65881 11 304 11 278 17 281 25 293 65881 63197 16 297 14 294 17 284 19 282 63197 60573 25 287 26 286 20 282 21 283 60573 57810 32 277 35 283 34 286 33 286 57810 54942 35 279 44 277 46 279 44 283 54942 52205 38 275 40 278 46 280 47 279 52205 49727 36 275 40 285 44 285 45 283 49727 47495 32 279 41 285 46 288 49 291 47495 45490 29 287 40 282 49 289 52 296 45490 43681 26 289 32 275 44 287 50 294 43681 42022 25 282 21 269 34 282 44 290 42022 40483 24 279 20 282 27 274 34 291 40483 39046 24 275 24 288 21 279 27 290 39046 37698 22 272 23 281 23 291 28 295 37698 36402 20 275 20 276 27 296 32 300 36402 35088 18 279 18 276 26 297 31 303 35088 33727 16 270 17 278 24 292 26 301 33727 32319 17 263 17 279 23 282 22 296 32319 30852 18 259 17 259 18 274 20 294 30852 29319 20 249 21 245 19 262 20 294 29319 27720 23 243 24 245 23 254 18 288 27720 26057 24 238 27 247 25 255 17 289 26057 24336 24 234 28 246 23 263 14 281 24336 22558 26 235 26 246 20 269 13 274 22558 20713 24 233 27 243 19 272 14 274 20713 18793 35 234 35 244 22 269 15 272 18793 16837 40 232 36 245 25 263 18 264 16837 14951 39 231 32 246 27 259 22 256 14951 13230 33 236 28 248 27 257 24 251 13230 11694 28 238 24 250 26 255 26 248 11694 10321 24 239 20 248 24 254 25 248 10321 9092 20 242 18 243 20 247 23 245 9092 7993 17 243 16 239 18 239 22 243 7993 7015 13 239 13 232 16 234 20 244 7015 6147 10 227 10*220 13 227 17 244 6147 5377 8 212 8*198 10 213 14 244 5377 4685 6*195 8 182 8*194 10 239 4685 4070 5*182 8 179 7*179 7 228 4070 3555 4 186 8 180 6 178 4 233 3555 3159 4 198 8 184 7 181 2 252 3159 2885 4 202 8 185 6 183 1 290 2885 2718 4 205 8 187 6 185 1*012 2718 2623 4 207 7 188 5 187 1*016 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography