DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.4 - - 87.2 - - 91.8 - - 87.1 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 328 - - 395 - - 116 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4717 - - 6843 - - 2311 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 6797 - - 8557 - - 4517 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2625 - - 8254 - - 10380 - - 5848 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5558 - - 1647 - - 1420 - - 3638 - - 3012 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 475 - - 572 - - 265 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 15 - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 145 - - 139 - - 179 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 15 - - 27 - - 34 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6989 - - -3236 - - -2271 - - -5527 - - -7079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9615 - - 11491 - - 12651 - - 11375 - - 9705 sfcLCL ODpotential -14645 - - -8655 - - -6506 - - -9630 - - -13380 ODpotential blCL 17270 - - 16909 - - 16886 - - 15478 - - 16005 blCL maxRH 48 - - 42 - - 47 - - 43 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.4 - - 87.2 - - 91.8 - - 87.1 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.8 - - 45.8 - - 45.1 - - 46.3 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.9 - - 85.9 - - 90.2 - - 86.9 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 45.7 - - 45.0 - - 46.3 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 328 - - 395 - - 116 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4717 - - 6843 - - 2311 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97774 15 245 18 264 16 279 10 277 9 328 97774 90529 0 228 7 227 11 236 13 266 9 332 90529 84938 6 076 4 119 6 189 4 293 5 009 84938 80285 11 051 7 085 5 113 7 052 6 031 80285 76296 14 039 12 059 12 075 12 067 10 064 76296 72795 11 040 13 047 12 063 16 072 11 084 72795 69641 8 072 13 058 10 060 16 058 13 078 69641 66742 6 090 11 089 5 080 9 047 13 052 66742 64056 9 082 6 088 1 099 2 340 7 008 64056 61467 4 076 4 076 1 107 1 205 3 021 61467 58774 4 251 5 257 7 242 9 266 9 285 58774 55998 18 289 13 290 13 276 15 279 18 271 55998 53367 36 272 31 280 27 284 24 283 24 280 53367 50992 46 269 42 268 36 273 36 273 33 282 50992 48845 50 267 46 268 42 269 43 267 40 283 48845 46879 52 267 50 268 47 269 46 269 41 280 46879 45061 52 267 52 268 49 270 47 271 39 280 45061 43362 53 269 53 272 49 273 44 276 42 285 43362 41766 56 267 54 272 50 276 46 281 45 286 41766 40259 57 265 52 269 50 274 47 280 45 287 40259 38834 52 265 48 266 47 270 45 278 43 294 38834 37454 43 264 43 263 41 271 42 278 43 296 37454 36056 37 260 39 259 36 270 38 282 42 289 36056 34618 34 254 34 255 33 266 34 283 36 286 34618 33144 27 246 28 244 28 259 33 279 31 285 33144 31617 21 236 22 224 25 242 28 272 30 284 31617 30027 17 219 18 208 22 219 23 247 22 267 30027 28381 13 195 18 191 21 199 19 213 19 245 28381 26672 12 172 17 185 22 190 19 195 13 223 26672 24894 12 184 18 174 22 182 20 183 12 208 24894 23050 15 176 21 162 24 174 21 176 13 193 23050 21135 17 165 26 164 26 169 22 169 17 173 21135 19146 14 159 29 162 29 163 23 161 22 161 19146 17127 18 153 27 158 28 158 22 155 21 152 17127 15191 19 132 22 150 23 153 18 145 19 142 15191 13434 21 116 20 143 22 143 15 133 16 124 13434 11870 22 111 21 133 20 123 15 118 15 095 11870 10473 22 114 20 127 18*117 15 107 16 087 10473 9220 22 119 17*130 16*121 14 108 14 096 9220 8101 21 123 16*138 16 124 13 114 10 109 8101 7103 20 126 16 143 15 131 11 122 7 140 7103 6219 19 129 16 145 13 138 9*137 6 167 6219 5434 19 131 15 145 13 143 8*148 5 189 5434 4729 18 132 15 146 12 148 8 168 3 213 4729 4101 16 134 15 146 12 154 9 183 3 246 4101 3575 13 134 14 147 11 158 9 187 3 277 3575 3170 10 131 14 148 11 161 9 189 3 304 3170 2891 8 120 13 149 10 163 9 190 3 329 2891 2721 6*094 12 150 10 165 8 191 4*353 2721 2624 5*072 9 152 8 167 7 192 4*001 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography