DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.2 - - 73.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 604 - - 343 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 900 - - 1470 - - 1005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4026 - - 4472 - - 4026 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4437 - - 5007 - - 4542 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 548 - - 636 - - 741 - - 1344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 395 - - 288 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 210 - - 228 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 41 - - 34 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1818 - - -2523 - - -3444 - - -2327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6255 - - 7530 - - 7986 - - 4951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12340 - - -11590 - - -13035 - - -13536 ODpotential blCL - - - 16777 - - 16597 - - 17577 - - 16160 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 62 - - 52 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.2 - - 73.7 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 50.2 - - 47.8 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 71.6 - - 72.3 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 50.0 - - 47.7 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 511 - - 604 - - 343 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 900 - - 1470 - - 1005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98615 34 121 23 114 24 110 27 086 98615 91143 34 100 21 112 25 099 25 100 91143 85417 23 095 24 102 21 093 25 097 85417 80685 17 112 20 096 18 093 20 089 80685 76619 21 115 13 101 18 086 14 086 76619 73019 23 094 10 127 13 082 13 084 73019 69743 12 090 13 134 6 104 12 076 69743 66745 6 138 12 121 9 121 4 103 66745 63998 6 132 10 148 3 154 5 067 63998 61356 3 353 8 170 7 205 5 295 61356 58615 12 283 3 250 4 232 5 225 58615 55793 19 264 13 276 13 270 12 257 55793 53125 22 248 19 260 24 259 25 261 53125 50737 30 262 32 262 32 260 33 262 50737 48590 41 260 41 260 39 258 40 262 48590 46632 46 262 47 259 46 259 46 262 46632 44827 49 262 52 258 49 258 46 261 44827 43151 55 259 55 258 51 257 46 260 43151 41584 60 255 58 256 52 256 48 257 41584 40111 62 254 59 254 55 252 49 251 40111 38721 59 258 57 254 54 250 48 248 38721 37378 56 262 54 258 51 252 44 251 37378 36016 53 264 51 262 49 256 42 255 36016 34607 50 265 49 264 48 258 43 255 34607 33154 48 264 49 264 47 258 44 254 33154 31643 48 264 49 264 46 256 43 252 31643 30062 49 265 49 262 45 256 43 251 30062 28412 46 267 46 269 44 258 41 255 28412 26692 36 265 38 271 40 263 38 257 26692 24905 32 266 34 268 33 265 34 263 24905 23057 35 269 36 268 32 269 30 265 23057 21139 34 271 34 269 33 275 30 271 21139 19141 32 272 29 267 29 275 28 274 19141 17106 27 270 25 261 24 269 22 271 17106 15147 20 268 20 257 20 264 18 267 15147 13364 15 264 16 255 15 260 15 262 13364 11780 12 260 12 254 11 255 12 257 11780 10373 11 260 10 257 9 256 10 255 10373 9122 10 270 9 263 9 264 8 264 9122 8010 9 285 8 269 9 272 8 277 8010 7021 9 300 7 279 8 275 9 286 7021 6147 8 310 4 285 7 276 8 289 6147 5372 6 313 3*230 5 277 7 287 5372 4678 2*293 4*209 4*264 5 283 4678 4063 3*224 6 208 4*240 3 281 4063 3550 5 215 7 210 6 230 1 243 3550 3155 6 214 8 211 7 227 2 185 3155 2883 7 214 9 212 7 225 3 192 2883 2717 7 213 8 212 7 224 3*195 2717 2623 6 213 8 212 6 224 3*196 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography