DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 66.3 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 465 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1470 - - 3014 - - - - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4385 - - 5600 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5007 - - 6551 - - - - - 3841 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 1152 - - - - - 1118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 463 - - - - - 79 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 215 - - - - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 44 - - - - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -913 - - 11 - - - - - 1040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5920 - - 6541 - - - - - 2801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4583 - - -2785 - - - - - 361 ODpotential blCL - - - 9590 - - 9336 - - - - - 3480 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 72 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 66.3 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 46.5 - - - - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 64.6 - - - - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 45.8 - - - - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 465 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1470 - - 3014 - - - - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97527 27 290 31 281 25 296 97527 90133 23 295 26 296 25 284 90133 84454 17 277 24 300 21 287 84454 79763 11 283 19 282 20 303 79763 75743 12 316 13 268 19 308 75743 72198 19 310 16 278 16 303 72198 68975 24 283 21 283 18 304 68975 65983 26 272 24 274 24 287 65983 63197 25 273 20 275 25 270 63197 60506 29 283 23 278 26 264 60506 57706 39 276 33 265 30 270 57706 54798 45 275 40 271 41 273 54798 52020 53 267 50 266 50 271 52020 49521 56 270 52 271 60 270 49521 47287 64 274 61 276 65 270 47287 45272 74 267 67 267 70 274 45272 43443 72 267 67 270 77 274 43443 41768 76 276 75 282 84 275 41768 40214 89 276 90 279 92 275 40214 38760 96 271 95 271 97 272 38760 37399 96 267 89 269 100 270 37399 36094 92 262 86 270 101 269 36094 34774 79 269 87 269 98 270 34774 33410 79 274 86 268 88 271 33410 32004 82 276 84 269 76 272 32004 30545 81 276 83 273 67 273 30545 29019 79 269 80 273 62 276 29019 27428 83 267 77 277 61 277 27428 25770 76 271 75 275 59 279 25770 24045 67 275 75 277 58 280 24045 22258 58 275 64 278 56 283 22258 20406 49 270 52 276 51 283 20406 18484 40 260 44 270 45 280 18484 16532 34 258 39 268 37 277 16532 14662 28 260 35 267 29 275 14662 12964 22 266 27 269 23 273 12964 11455 18 274 18 269 19 273 11455 10110 15 281 12 270 14 275 10110 8909 12 288 9 277 12 278 8909 7837 11 291 7 280 12 276 7837 6883 9 288 5*253 11 271 6883 6040 8 288 6*226 9 264 6040 5292 5*288 7 218 7 254 5292 4620 2*243 8 215 5 235 4620 4024 3 219 8 214 4*194 4024 3526 5 212 9 213 5*185 3526 3142 6 210 9 213 6 184 3142 2876 6 210 9 213 6 186 2876 2714 6 210 9 213 5 187 2714 2622 6 209 8 214 4 188 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography