DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 67.6 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -65 - - 57 - - 188 - - 31 - - -92 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2773 - - 2428 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 5130 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 6310 - - 5965 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 2731 - - 4056 - - 3911 - - 1057 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 43 - - 338 - - 183 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 15 - - 4 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 063 - - 068 - - 048 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - -27 - - -42 - - 29 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3143 - - -4224 - - -2853 - - -2541 - - -6158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5766 - - 6848 - - 9163 - - 8506 - - 8782 sfcLCL ODpotential -8290 - - -7476 - - -6192 - - -5551 - - -11072 ODpotential blCL 10913 - - 10100 - - 12502 - - 11516 - - 13695 blCL maxRH 45 - - 44 - - 35 - - 43 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 67.6 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 42.4 - - 37.9 - - 39.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 63.2 - - 68.3 - - 67.9 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 41.2 - - 36.6 - - 38.6 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -65 - - 57 - - 188 - - 31 - - -92 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2773 - - 2428 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96404 7 091 6 115 5 129 2 098 7 153 96404 89269 12 091 7 081 11 077 19 102 14 112 89269 83815 12 102 6 114 5 079 21 084 12 082 83815 79282 11 108 11 122 1 200 10 065 13 068 79282 75345 7 128 10 123 3 245 6 356 14 068 75345 71856 7 137 7 135 2 207 5 302 11 048 71856 68713 6 102 5 109 3 143 1 206 5 001 68713 65839 4 099 4 080 3 122 4 081 2 237 65839 63179 4 223 2 034 2 036 6 064 2 166 63179 60591 9 254 2 318 0 184 3 108 5 194 60591 57873 8 251 6 282 2 260 5 268 6 266 57873 55032 8 249 8 255 5 250 13 261 10 296 55032 52300 10 262 7 241 7 269 10 264 12 287 52300 49827 12 282 6 265 12 290 7 291 13 299 49827 47605 9 293 5 273 12 283 14 309 12 311 47605 45586 8 308 5 310 10 292 13 319 31 336 45586 43730 13 337 10 335 7 324 34 347 43 345 43730 42010 12 348 19 350 27 353 38 341 52 346 42010 40407 18 358 26 342 36 347 31 354 48 348 40407 38919 34 016 31 355 35 003 40 007 37 357 38919 37547 47 018 50 017 46 021 50 006 52 026 37547 36251 61 012 63 017 58 016 53 009 81 031 36251 34944 68 014 63 020 69 010 57 022 81 029 34944 33592 71 019 64 022 72 013 60 025 78 030 33592 32197 68 022 72 022 72 020 66 014 63 025 32197 30743 64 022 80 021 72 022 68 012 55 015 30743 29219 59 023 73 022 71 021 67 019 57 017 29219 27626 48 025 65 026 71 028 65 031 55 027 27626 25965 31 029 55 030 61 033 60 038 50 036 25965 24235 17 022 40 031 43 035 44 036 45 040 24235 22444 14 031 25 027 30 036 34 024 37 039 22444 20588 14 040 17 020 22 026 33 018 32 023 20588 18661 13 054 15 022 17 015 34 019 30 017 18661 16701 14 057 13 030 14 017 31 023 26 023 16701 14818 14 053 11 037 12 027 24 026 20 026 14818 13107 13 051 12 046 13 032 19 025 15 020 13107 11584 12 042 12 041 13 031 15 026 13 018 11584 10226 10 031 10 040 11 040 12 035 11 019 10226 9013 7 027 9 054 11 056 11 045 10 021 9013 7928 6 041 9 075 12 065 10 052 10 025 7928 6962 7 057 10 084 14*066 10 055 11 030 6962 6104 9 061 12 080 15*067 9*054 13 034 6104 5344 11 061 14 075 16 067 7*051 16 035 5344 4659 12 062 16 071 17 068 6 048 19 037 4659 4051 14 062 16 068 16 068 4 046 22 037 4051 3542 16 062 14 065 15 068 3 044 24 034 3542 3150 16 062 11 062 13 069 2 043 24 031 3150 2880 14 060 8 062 12 070 1 045 20 030 2880 2716 11*054 6*063 10 071 1 043 15*029 2716 2622 7*046 4*065 7 075 0 061 9*028 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography