DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.6 - - 65.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.9 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - -11 - - 13 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 147 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3684 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1730 - - 2542 - - 1713 - - 2083 - - 1770 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 22 - - 64 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 106 - - 200 - - 330 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - -7 - - 14 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -11695 - - -10347 - - -4891 - - -5191 - - -7013 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14319 - - 12971 - - 8575 - - 7815 - - 9637 sfcLCL ODpotential -20759 - - -18952 - - -11844 - - -12103 - - -14839 ODpotential blCL 23382 - - 21576 - - 15528 - - 14726 - - 17462 blCL maxRH 83 - - 87 - - 95 - - 95 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.6 - - 65.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.9 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.4 - - 18.6 - - 38.5 - - 40.2 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 67.8 - - 67.2 - - 66.4 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.2 - - 17.8 - - 37.3 - - 38.9 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - -11 - - 13 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 147 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 47 - - 80 - - 79 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 48 095 33 075 30 051 32 054 26 065 96609 89516 41 098 34 089 31 077 35 068 25 077 89516 83972 34 077 34 088 30 080 30 082 25 084 83972 79361 32 074 26 080 23 079 21 085 20 066 79361 75386 25 076 20 083 19 066 19 075 21 058 75386 71862 21 077 21 072 16 046 18 053 24 049 71862 68685 20 063 17 072 10 034 16 020 22 033 68685 65779 17 032 17 057 12 044 15 005 19 022 65779 63091 19 015 14 036 11 033 15 009 18 016 63091 60496 18 000 15 019 10 023 13 004 16 014 60496 57799 19 342 20 003 19 353 23 352 20 001 57799 55011 22 343 21 348 23 341 26 340 28 348 55011 52352 28 347 26 343 24 342 26 332 30 338 52352 49948 28 341 27 335 23 339 25 326 30 320 49948 47781 29 336 24 327 24 326 26 317 25 314 47781 45801 29 331 23 325 22 316 23 304 21 310 45801 43969 27 325 21 316 20 311 21 296 20 310 43969 42260 24 304 20 294 22 291 21 293 21 300 42260 40663 20 304 20 293 22 278 25 277 21 280 40663 39181 26 275 24 275 25 273 23 272 25 278 39181 37808 28 275 30 265 28 263 27 263 34 265 37808 36498 30 276 33 265 28 265 29 268 27 259 36498 35179 28 271 32 266 29 265 33 271 24 262 35179 33819 25 264 29 265 27 268 35 266 28 264 33819 32418 22 267 22 254 29 265 33 273 29 263 32418 30959 19 276 18 266 25 261 26 282 28 259 30959 29429 19 284 19 279 21 268 19 277 27 262 29429 27832 20 288 20 276 18 269 18 270 23 268 27832 26165 21 284 18 264 19 279 18 276 20 269 26165 24431 20 248 21 266 21 283 17 275 23 268 24431 22634 17 234 21 255 21 275 20 270 24 276 22634 20771 14 236 21 239 21 266 21 276 21 290 20771 18836 13 247 20 245 20 264 22 278 22 294 18836 16862 12 262 15 260 17 270 21 287 22 299 16862 14957 12 266 13 266 15 281 18 298 20 306 14957 13218 11 269 11 271 13 288 15 308 18 315 13218 11667 10 269 9 279 11 293 13 313 14 327 11667 10284 8 261 7 291 8 300 12 315 11 332 10284 9052 6 256 4 310 6 311 10 318 9 333 9052 7954 5 266 3 338 4 323 8 328 8 333 7954 6979 3 282 1 352 2 317 7 340 8 340 6979 6116 3 299 1 199 1 281 5 351 8 348 6116 5350 1 292 2 184 2 210 3 360 7 349 5350 4663 0 231 3 180 2 172 2 015 7 347 4663 4054 0 208 3 178 2*151 3 030 5 338 4054 3545 2 086 3 169 2*155 2 028 5 336 3545 3152 3 082 2 179 3 201 1 356 3 336 3152 2881 7 072 2 106 3 206 1 342 2 342 2881 2717 7*065 2*073 3 209 1*304 2*003 2717 2622 6*052 1*047 3 208 1*289 2*013 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography