DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 79.6 - - - - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 161 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2127 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4631 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4335 - - 5664 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2478 - - 2680 - - - - - 2664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 301 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 206 - - - - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 30 - - - - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7084 - - -5899 - - - - - -7433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11419 - - 11563 - - - - - 10058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14605 - - -11816 - - - - - -14131 ODpotential blCL - - - 18940 - - 17480 - - - - - 16755 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 79 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 79.6 - - - - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 38.1 - - - - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 79.1 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 36.9 - - - - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 161 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2127 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 15 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96187 13 280 18 274 17 284 96187 89032 7 027 12 293 4 300 89032 83544 10 010 10 347 8 009 83544 79016 18 341 18 320 15 347 79016 75141 31 341 22 322 25 349 75141 71717 35 335 25 319 29 339 71717 68622 33 328 28 320 26 335 68622 65783 25 320 24 310 28 326 65783 63151 20 326 17 298 25 303 63151 60598 25 318 22 301 25 298 60598 57924 29 301 27 291 28 308 57924 55135 29 294 31 289 35 308 55135 52458 26 295 29 293 40 301 52458 50034 25 293 34 300 41 296 50034 47849 25 289 34 297 37 292 47849 45865 32 297 30 296 37 297 45865 44058 39 301 37 302 45 299 44058 42410 43 299 49 301 53 289 42410 40888 45 311 52 298 52 287 40888 39457 50 313 49 297 54 284 39457 38103 48 309 47 295 51 281 38103 36792 43 305 46 295 46 282 36792 35459 43 304 40 296 46 281 35459 34077 37 303 38 292 46 275 34077 32651 34 301 39 291 44 276 32651 31167 38 299 39 284 42 284 31167 29612 38 296 41 280 40 287 29612 27990 31 291 35 278 38 282 27990 26303 26 290 30 276 40 271 26303 24553 23 286 29 272 40 275 24553 22741 22 279 27 271 38 285 22741 20864 18 278 20 271 25 284 20864 18918 11 286 11 279 13 280 18918 16940 8 312 7 292 8 283 16940 15034 8 331 6 309 9 291 15034 13293 7 343 6 329 9 296 13293 11740 5 358 5 337 8 294 11740 10356 4 028 3 353 6 276 10356 9121 4 058 2 042 5 243 9121 8018 3 088 2 089 4 215 8018 7037 3 132 3 092 4 205 7037 6166 4 154 2*096 3 212 6166 5393 4 161 2*165 3 239 5393 4697 4*170 3 196 3 268 4697 4079 3*152 5 207 4 291 4079 3561 3 143 6 210 5 309 3561 3162 3 160 6 212 5 325 3162 2887 3 174 6 212 5 340 2887 2719 3 178 6 212 5*351 2719 2623 3 182 6 211 5*357 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography