DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 118 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 913 - - 2919 - - 2251 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 5050 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4450 - - 6456 - - 5788 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1362 - - 3159 - - 4359 - - 1166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 190 - - 303 - - 106 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 062 - - 054 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 34 - - 21 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1251 - - 513 - - -1105 - - -736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3199 - - 5944 - - 6893 - - 3358 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 116 - - -1759 - - -4211 - - -4216 ODpotential blCL - - - 4334 - - 8215 - - 9999 - - 6838 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 65 - - 57 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 40.8 - - 36.4 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 57.7 - - 58.4 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 39.5 - - 35.2 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 118 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 913 - - 2919 - - 2251 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95484 60 267 64 282 61 274 70 274 95484 88590 34 280 38 264 43 277 40 286 88590 83266 27 297 34 265 36 283 34 290 83266 78787 21 289 29 276 29 296 28 291 78787 74901 16 282 24 291 26 297 22 294 74901 71452 14 274 24 299 29 293 23 303 71452 68319 14 259 27 297 28 286 26 299 68319 65435 10 240 21 281 21 279 25 287 65435 62758 4 262 13 273 21 273 20 278 62758 60152 15 305 19 286 25 273 20 282 60152 57414 25 289 24 286 29 277 29 281 57414 54555 27 282 26 283 31 284 38 276 54555 51812 28 285 30 288 32 286 37 276 51812 49326 32 292 35 290 29 299 32 292 49326 47080 33 304 34 298 30 312 36 308 47080 45030 36 314 40 304 43 307 51 316 45030 43158 41 313 47 307 61 302 67 314 43158 41449 46 309 55 307 71 304 77 314 41449 39886 51 316 60 312 77 309 91 322 39886 38441 54 322 65 319 81 315 101 326 38441 37092 52 329 68 328 84 324 101 328 37092 35791 65 344 74 336 92 332 99 330 35791 34472 81 347 81 341 97 335 99 332 34472 33106 89 346 86 342 97 335 100 333 33106 31697 91 344 86 340 94 335 100 333 31697 30232 89 345 84 340 90 334 99 335 30232 28703 87 346 81 341 86 335 95 338 28703 27114 77 341 80 340 86 339 91 339 27114 25465 69 334 77 337 84 337 87 336 25465 23755 63 329 70 331 78 330 87 344 23755 21985 58 328 64 329 77 331 81 349 21985 20151 54 333 60 332 72 342 66 347 20151 18255 47 337 54 334 63 347 51 348 18255 16338 40 337 45 331 50 346 37 357 16338 14501 33 338 34 330 35 347 28 006 14501 12832 24 338 23 337 25 353 26 013 12832 11346 15 340 13 354 16 006 25 017 11346 10022 7 004 10 043 15 027 25 025 10022 8839 9 050 14 057 18 041 27 035 8839 7785 16 063 18 056 20 048 28 043 7785 6846 21 065 19*058 21 050 29 049 6846 6014 20 062 18*058 20*051 28 052 6014 5275 16 059 16 059 18*051 26 055 5275 4609 10*058 14 060 15 052 24 056 4609 4017 6*060 11 063 12 054 20 055 4017 3520 2 075 9 066 9 055 16 050 3520 3138 1 137 8 070 7 058 10 041 3138 2874 1 167 6 074 6 061 6 033 2874 2714 2 180 5 080 4 064 3*015 2714 2621 2 188 3 090 3 072 3*279 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography