DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 84.8 - - 80.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 494 - - 237 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 807 - - 1676 - - 845 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3906 - - 4589 - - 3809 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4344 - - 5213 - - 4382 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1430 - - 1110 - - 1049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 386 - - 241 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 206 - - 210 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 43 - - 34 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2644 - - -1902 - - -1557 - - -1109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6988 - - 7115 - - 5940 - - 3733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6741 - - -4758 - - -5753 - - -6859 ODpotential blCL - - - 11085 - - 9971 - - 10135 - - 9483 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 65 - - 68 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 390 - - 330 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 84.8 - - 80.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 62.4 - - 63.4 - - 63.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 82.6 - - 79.9 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 62.3 - - 63.4 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 494 - - 237 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 807 - - 1676 - - 845 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98736 10 209 1 192 6 077 4 031 98736 91317 9 153 12 149 6 162 4 073 91317 85581 9 102 17 141 11 154 3 098 85581 80810 12 093 14 120 12 142 11 145 80810 76703 6 122 3 071 11 092 11 107 76703 73088 4 168 5 142 6 057 8 062 73088 69825 4 273 2 100 5 038 8 062 69825 66829 4 228 8 310 4 019 7 036 66829 64071 7 166 9 276 6 308 7 331 64071 61431 2 264 5 253 9 305 8 322 61431 58723 4 296 7 218 12 268 13 283 58723 55956 10 310 6 270 13 268 12 291 55956 53332 16 284 16 276 20 278 17 287 53332 50972 17 290 16 279 16 276 18 268 50972 48850 21 299 19 304 17 290 18 269 48850 46907 20 300 18 299 20 287 18 266 46907 45108 18 294 15 287 20 282 18 274 45108 43427 16 280 14 278 20 280 19 279 43427 41846 16 259 15 269 19 276 18 268 41846 40353 17 256 18 257 19 273 19 263 40353 38942 17 260 19 253 20 266 21 266 38942 37579 17 264 21 252 23 266 24 272 37579 36198 19 263 24 251 25 266 22 274 36198 34769 23 252 26 251 25 263 21 269 34769 33298 22 256 23 260 22 260 22 258 33298 31770 20 272 19 266 21 255 22 250 31770 30172 17 286 13 257 18 243 20 239 30172 28510 9 293 10 221 15 225 17 232 28510 26780 6 255 12 225 14 230 15 229 26780 24984 10 232 16 223 18 221 17 223 24984 23124 10 216 14 212 15 209 19 199 23124 21193 8 208 11 194 16 185 21 206 21193 19189 9 198 12 189 15 196 18 218 19189 17157 12 209 13 215 14 218 16 227 17157 15209 16 218 16 230 16 233 17 235 15209 13440 15 229 17 234 17 239 18 238 13440 11866 15 241 16 240 18 239 19 239 11866 10461 16 247 15 238 17 239 19 239 10461 9205 15 248 15 236 17 236 19 237 9205 8083 13 247 14 238 16 237 16 237 8083 7086 10 239 11 239 13 238 14 236 7086 6203 7 220 8 230 10 238 11 233 6203 5419 5 195 6*214 7 238 8 228 5419 4715 3*182 6*206 5*226 6 224 4715 4090 3*195 7 205 5*214 4 229 4090 3567 4 209 8 206 7 209 2 225 3567 3166 5 213 9 207 7 209 2 182 3166 2888 6 214 9 207 8 209 2 168 2888 2720 6 214 9 208 7 210 2*166 2720 2623 5 215 8 209 7 210 2*170 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography