DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 - - 58.0 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 88 - - 105 - - 5 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1355 - - 1491 - - 590 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 3853 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4892 - - 5028 - - 4127 - - 3540 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2977 - - 1736 - - 1976 - - 2725 - - 3395 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 209 - - 228 - - 67 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 196 - - 181 - - 243 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 21 - - 22 - - 15 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -27 - - 1682 - - 1502 - - 1135 - - 918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2650 - - 3210 - - 3526 - - 2992 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -1649 - - 921 - - 661 - - -686 - - 392 ODpotential blCL 4272 - - 3971 - - 4367 - - 4813 - - 3148 blCL maxRH 97 - - 98 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 110 - - 130 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 - - 58.0 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.6 - - 52.4 - - 52.9 - - 53.7 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 - - 58.9 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 51.6 - - 52.1 - - 53.1 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 88 - - 105 - - 5 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1355 - - 1491 - - 590 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 93 - - 78 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97089 56 283 57 286 54 283 52 276 53 285 97089 89917 40 275 35 276 37 277 39 278 39 272 89917 84413 16 274 20 262 22 281 22 281 21 274 84413 79831 13 273 13 260 16 260 20 270 16 295 79831 75850 15 258 10 255 17 230 21 256 17 284 75850 72298 15 261 8 252 12 249 16 235 15 268 72298 69056 25 253 17 255 20 268 12 243 14 253 69056 66065 27 245 20 248 26 238 18 253 17 254 66065 63292 22 257 23 245 25 234 21 254 22 263 63292 60612 22 265 26 244 25 255 23 244 26 247 60612 57815 40 254 29 247 30 258 26 251 22 247 57815 54925 44 259 44 263 44 260 37 261 33 263 54925 52187 61 254 59 252 64 249 53 253 45 252 52187 49730 76 254 67 243 67 242 61 248 49 248 49730 47547 85 251 70 253 69 245 76 247 69 247 47547 45589 84 252 94 261 77 253 84 244 73 245 45589 43792 92 261 121 258 103 257 89 247 83 248 43792 42117 121 263 139 255 128 250 103 252 98 245 42117 40554 150 261 136 248 126 246 118 249 104 241 40554 39091 161 259 130 243 120 242 117 244 112 240 39091 37719 159 257 130 246 123 241 120 244 115 240 37719 36397 154 256 128 248 121 240 126 245 113 240 36397 35055 145 256 127 251 116 238 126 243 108 238 35055 33663 140 259 122 253 110 237 121 239 106 235 33663 32224 116 259 113 254 109 239 113 234 107 232 32224 30727 85 253 99 254 109 245 98 232 107 230 30727 29162 64 253 79 249 99 246 76 229 94 225 29162 27533 54 255 75 245 85 243 66 230 76 219 27533 25845 50 256 68 243 66 238 71 244 62 222 25845 24096 47 262 61 234 49 237 71 246 57 234 24096 22291 38 233 48 223 46 230 51 246 47 232 22291 20422 32 249 34 244 45 220 45 233 44 232 20422 18485 26 233 21 248 28 217 39 219 40 230 18485 16522 30 227 25 228 18 215 27 200 31 227 16522 14639 26 240 26 215 22 221 19 203 21 223 14639 12933 19 226 23 208 27 209 18 223 14 237 12933 11420 19 212 22 210 26 202 23 219 15 228 11420 10078 20 213 21 209 20 207 27 209 19 207 10078 8885 18 216 18 209 15 217 26 208 20 194 8885 7824 15 221 14 211 12 221 22 214 18 187 7824 6880 12 224 12 212 10 216 16 219 15 181 6880 6043 11 222 10 211 8 204 11 223 13 177 6043 5298 11 217 10*207 7*191 7 226 11 174 5298 4627 11 214 9*204 7*180 5*229 9 175 4627 4030 10 210 7 195 7 178 3*237 7*182 4030 3530 7 199 6 193 7 181 3 244 7*191 3530 3144 5 182 6 192 7 183 3 246 6 192 3144 2877 4 155 6 194 7 185 4 246 5 190 2877 2715 3*128 5 194 6 185 3 244 4 186 2715 2622 2*091 5 195 5 187 3 243 3 185 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography