DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.9 - - 46.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -69 - - -48 - - -118 - - -256 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2604 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 977 - - 921 - - 629 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 32 - - 26 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 22 - - 10 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 060 - - 055 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -145 - - -136 - - -49 - - -65 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5238 - - -5804 - - -4813 - - -5655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7861 - - 8426 - - 7435 - - 8277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13403 - - -12111 - - -11478 - - -15266 ODpotential blCL - - - 16025 - - 14733 - - 14100 - - 17888 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 26 - - 26 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.9 - - 46.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 23.0 - - 24.0 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.7 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 21.8 - - 22.8 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -69 - - -48 - - -118 - - -256 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96552 33 255 47 256 36 266 32 269 96552 89338 19 261 24 256 26 278 22 286 89338 83817 17 264 16 251 17 267 19 284 83817 79241 14 263 17 265 14 272 15 292 79241 75282 13 267 15 279 19 273 14 286 75282 71760 14 302 12 292 20 282 19 304 71760 68568 18 304 14 307 11 280 19 313 68568 65628 21 301 25 315 11 316 21 315 65628 62881 20 297 27 303 18 304 24 312 62881 60209 15 317 22 309 21 326 26 329 60209 57418 20 342 30 333 31 334 27 332 57418 54511 33 330 34 334 36 334 34 345 54511 51739 36 328 38 339 43 340 45 353 51739 49258 38 337 43 341 49 344 53 354 49258 47039 40 337 42 340 49 345 56 352 47039 45030 39 335 40 340 50 347 55 350 45030 43199 42 336 39 339 51 347 52 356 43199 41525 45 339 40 341 49 347 52 000 41525 39983 49 342 42 342 45 348 49 001 39983 38551 53 339 44 338 43 349 45 001 38551 37214 56 337 44 332 43 345 42 359 37214 35927 58 336 45 327 43 337 41 356 35927 34625 61 335 48 325 41 332 41 353 34625 33283 63 334 51 325 39 332 38 348 33283 31904 63 334 51 328 38 335 34 343 31904 30471 62 333 50 331 37 341 31 345 30471 28970 59 337 48 334 36 345 31 354 28970 27400 51 341 43 340 32 345 32 360 27400 25759 41 341 36 342 28 343 30 359 25759 24051 36 339 32 343 24 348 25 008 24051 22278 33 341 31 347 26 358 23 027 22278 20433 33 346 31 354 28 003 25 032 20433 18512 30 352 29 003 26 017 25 033 18512 16557 25 360 25 017 25 034 22 042 16557 14682 20 358 23 019 25 028 20 038 14682 12984 16 349 19 019 21 028 17 025 12984 11473 12 346 11 038 15 045 13 033 11473 10127 9 353 7 078 10 074 9 060 10127 8925 9 012 8 106 10 104 9 092 8925 7854 12 030 9 101 11 109 10 105 7854 6898 18 041 11 082 12 100 11 098 6898 6051 29 051 16 069 13 087 12 085 6051 5299 38 054 27 062 20 070 18 066 5299 4622 46 057 36 060 28 064 27 060 4622 4022 51 060 41 061 34 062 35 059 4022 3521 50 062 40 061 36 063 41 061 3521 3137 43 063 36 062 33 062 40 064 3137 2872 34 062 30 061 25 061 32 065 2872 2712 26*061 24*060 19*059 23*063 2712 2621 14*058 14*058 10*055 13*059 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography