DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 85.3 - - - - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 568 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 715 - - 1316 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3875 - - 4345 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4252 - - 4853 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 625 - - 1045 - - - - - 819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 372 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 206 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 41 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4484 - - -4875 - - - - - -4061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8736 - - 9729 - - - - - 6686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9636 - - -7948 - - - - - -10081 ODpotential blCL - - - 13888 - - 12801 - - - - - 12705 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 74 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 85.3 - - - - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 51.8 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.8 - - 82.7 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 51.8 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 568 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 715 - - 1316 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99060 44 117 28 103 41 104 99060 91632 39 104 35 104 39 097 91632 85906 37 108 34 108 31 088 85906 81156 35 107 33 104 26 090 81156 77063 27 107 31 097 26 101 77063 73441 21 110 23 094 25 100 73441 70165 16 109 16 116 20 094 70165 67164 15 109 13 136 17 079 67164 64394 16 092 14 162 8 064 64394 61720 9 105 14 145 1 247 61720 58944 9 188 11 182 6 224 58944 56076 20 215 14 226 15 241 56076 53335 25 224 21 234 17 230 53335 50884 33 249 38 258 34 250 50884 48715 40 249 46 244 49 248 48715 46746 37 244 38 259 47 239 46746 44938 33 258 40 267 44 251 44938 43266 35 270 40 266 48 258 43266 41703 31 272 41 267 41 262 41703 40234 28 272 38 269 36 267 40234 38845 26 268 30 270 33 265 38845 37498 24 262 28 271 27 260 37498 36132 24 258 27 272 27 258 36132 34719 26 249 23 271 27 257 34719 33261 27 246 21 267 22 253 33261 31744 24 246 20 258 20 251 31744 30158 21 247 23 256 17 249 30158 28504 19 237 21 254 16 240 28504 26781 18 233 19 241 20 232 26781 24993 17 242 19 240 22 232 24993 23142 16 246 18 247 18 229 23142 21223 14 223 12 233 15 218 21223 19229 14 202 16 201 16 199 19229 17202 16 197 20 186 15 193 17202 15255 16 194 18 178 12 185 15255 13482 13 177 14 172 11 173 13482 11902 11 163 12 161 11 171 11902 10492 10 156 11 153 11 174 10492 9231 9 157 10 150 12 180 9231 8105 8 155 9 150 12 187 8105 7102 7 142 9 153 12 195 7102 6214 6 131 7 152 10 200 6214 5427 5 134 5*162 7 206 5427 4721 3*145 4*190 5 210 4721 4094 2*206 6 202 3 212 4094 3570 4 220 8 208 2 229 3570 3166 5 219 9 210 1 197 3166 2889 6 219 9 211 2 182 2889 2720 6 219 9 211 1*175 2720 2623 6 219 8 212 1*179 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography