DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 68.7 - - 71.7 - - 70.5 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -83 - - 84 - - 195 - - 29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1688 - - 3548 - - 2599 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 5709 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 5225 - - 7085 - - 6136 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 226 - - 2335 - - 1558 - - 1845 - - 4007 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 223 - - 370 - - 185 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 23 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 198 - - 259 - - 290 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - 14 - - 23 - - 23 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6614 - - -6038 - - -4571 - - -4759 - - -6175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9238 - - 11264 - - 11656 - - 10895 - - 8799 sfcLCL ODpotential -15951 - - -13808 - - -11744 - - -11498 - - -13850 ODpotential blCL 18574 - - 19033 - - 18829 - - 17634 - - 16473 blCL maxRH 41 - - 42 - - 44 - - 42 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 68.7 - - 71.7 - - 70.5 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 28.7 - - 29.8 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 68.6 - - 70.9 - - 70.8 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 27.5 - - 28.6 - - 31.0 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -83 - - 84 - - 195 - - 29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1688 - - 3548 - - 2599 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 23 128 8 097 10 086 19 114 8 133 96631 89508 20 101 21 099 13 102 17 117 8 100 89508 84022 19 070 16 091 13 116 10 092 11 090 84022 79439 17 071 12 098 6 105 7 076 12 061 79439 75483 9 077 9 102 4 053 9 094 9 047 75483 71998 3 133 7 101 5 040 10 101 10 081 71998 68845 2 109 4 125 5 357 6 069 13 075 68845 65940 3 179 4 184 5 289 3 320 9 013 65940 63256 2 243 6 198 9 259 9 260 11 293 63256 60671 9 291 5 218 10 254 12 256 14 258 60671 57964 10 283 11 256 14 268 12 258 14 242 57964 55120 13 276 17 266 18 272 19 288 18 301 55120 52399 15 309 17 284 22 274 30 291 33 296 52399 49968 22 305 15 289 18 278 26 286 23 282 49968 47779 10 322 9 311 9 278 17 312 17 301 47779 45773 25 358 20 355 16 347 22 325 21 313 45773 43925 40 347 41 352 33 351 24 344 23 341 43925 42232 54 349 56 347 49 348 38 356 55 343 42232 40685 55 343 50 340 42 342 46 354 53 341 40685 39252 41 345 36 349 29 335 39 331 38 332 39252 37910 29 030 14 010 22 003 27 324 23 328 37910 36617 50 041 22 048 10 003 18 308 7 014 36617 35309 55 042 32 026 16 024 12 296 13 009 35309 33954 45 048 32 024 14 007 6 320 22 343 33954 32551 30 047 25 040 11 359 7 344 29 331 32551 31086 27 024 19 049 12 015 9 351 31 331 31086 29550 30 006 17 021 17 354 14 342 23 335 29550 27944 29 004 22 357 20 351 21 332 16 345 27944 26269 23 014 26 360 19 355 23 338 18 338 26269 24524 20 012 21 008 17 001 21 346 21 337 24524 22713 19 007 9 003 14 354 17 353 19 338 22713 20831 19 360 9 010 10 341 13 347 14 337 20831 18873 16 006 12 011 8 351 12 336 11 335 18873 16878 14 022 13 003 9 004 11 341 9 344 16878 14957 13 032 13 005 10 014 10 358 5 354 14957 13209 12 033 10 022 8 030 8 020 3 357 13209 11657 9 031 6 037 5 033 6 041 3 355 11657 10278 6 025 3 059 3 023 4 050 3 357 10278 9050 4 024 2 116 1 353 4 053 3 359 9050 7956 2 027 2 172 1*283 5 045 3 354 7956 6984 1 046 4 177 1*290 5*038 3 348 6984 6122 1 139 4 178 2 292 5*021 3 338 6122 5358 1 139 4*185 2 283 3 350 4 336 5358 4670 3 117 4*191 3 261 3 300 4 329 4670 4059 4 107 3 190 4 256 3 270 5 322 4059 3548 8 089 3 193 4 250 4 257 6 322 3548 3154 11 079 3 203 5 246 4 252 5 324 3154 2882 12 069 3 211 5 244 4 250 5 335 2882 2717 10*061 3 213 5 243 4 248 5*345 2717 2622 8*053 3 215 4 241 4 247 4*352 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography