DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 77.9 - - 83.6 - - 81.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 86 - - 190 - - 54 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1217 - - 394 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 2607 - - 4037 - - 2607 - - - Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 2625 - - 4754 - - 3931 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1146 - - 2100 - - 2373 - - 2011 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 49 - - 261 - - 122 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 17 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction 038 - - 205 - - 232 - - 232 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 14 - - 23 - - 18 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8337 - - -5131 - - -5088 - - -4911 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10961 - - 7756 - - 9842 - - 8842 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -17534 - - -13455 - - -12056 - - -11383 - - - ODpotential blCL 20158 - - 16080 - - 16810 - - 15314 - - - blCL maxRH 18 - - 41 - - 41 - - 43 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 77.9 - - 83.6 - - 81.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 53.2 - - 49.7 - - 52.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.4 - - 77.8 - - 82.8 - - 82.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.8 - - 51.9 - - 48.4 - - 51.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 86 - - 190 - - 54 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1217 - - 394 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96789 25 272 24 267 34 279 27 279 96789 89552 13 276 14 287 19 263 24 295 89552 84010 5 048 5 223 10 266 11 289 84010 79436 2 002 2 124 3 186 3 187 79436 75521 9 127 8 165 10 169 8 103 75521 72072 8 118 5 146 10 145 11 129 72072 68955 2 171 4 214 1 329 3 046 68955 66106 2 201 1 143 3 335 4 021 66106 63468 7 046 4 043 3 037 3 355 63468 60917 8 056 4 016 3 034 3 276 60917 58265 3 330 4 354 3 358 1 319 58265 55511 12 266 8 321 7 312 5 340 55511 52867 12 254 13 267 17 278 14 314 52867 50479 10 276 11 246 17 241 21 265 50479 48347 14 297 6 263 12 226 18 245 48347 46419 15 302 5 309 7 204 13 222 46419 44645 16 301 10 294 8 236 7 228 44645 42997 14 280 15 278 12 260 9 249 42997 41455 8 289 13 265 9 233 10 225 41455 40006 8 259 6 230 12 207 15 210 40006 38637 10 256 6 185 13 191 16 201 38637 37312 10 254 8 205 14 198 16 204 37312 35966 3 231 8 207 13 194 17 199 35966 34572 3 153 6 182 12 191 17 193 34572 33131 10 157 12 181 16 186 20 198 33131 31630 15 155 18 180 18 195 19 211 31630 30061 12 159 16 181 16 194 14 203 30061 28424 6 150 9 168 12 178 14 183 28424 26720 6 158 9 182 12 188 16 199 26720 24950 10 163 14 184 17 190 21 206 24950 23116 15 159 18 178 21 193 20 209 23116 21211 18 165 19 182 20 199 18 208 21211 19225 18 178 18 192 19 203 18 204 19225 17199 18 181 16 196 15 202 16 203 17199 15246 17 168 13 190 12 197 11 205 15246 13469 13 150 11 173 12 189 10 199 13469 11888 12 143 11 159 11 187 9 200 11888 10481 10 148 10 153 9 180 6 190 10481 9225 6 147 7 146 6 156 5 137 9225 8104 3 144 5 132 5 118 5 101 8104 7106 1 141 4 103 5 078 4 058 7106 6220 1 313 4 083 4 063 3 012 6220 5435 3 318 4 083 2*041 3 328 5435 4728 3 322 3 091 1*310 3 309 4728 4101 3 325 3 099 1 245 2*290 4101 3576 3 331 2 102 3 231 2*246 3576 3171 2 348 1 146 4 228 3 231 3171 2892 2 021 2 210 5 226 4 230 2892 2721 3*039 3*212 5 226 4 227 2721 2623 3*037 3*213 4 225 4 226 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography