DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 298 - - 82 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1253 - - 3996 - - 1458 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3947 - - 6226 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4790 - - 7533 - - 4995 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3491 - - 2643 - - 2869 - - 3148 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 444 - - 209 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 198 - - 217 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 38 - - 23 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6531 - - -6831 - - -7517 - - -7480 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11321 - - 14364 - - 12512 - - 10104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12554 - - -12580 - - -13011 - - -12949 ODpotential blCL - - - 17344 - - 20113 - - 18006 - - 15573 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 80 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 21.7 - - 26.7 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 74.9 - - 72.5 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 20.6 - - 25.5 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 298 - - 82 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1253 - - 3996 - - 1458 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 21 - - 46 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97078 43 284 42 279 41 292 44 292 97078 89802 28 286 26 283 33 281 37 304 89802 84201 12 304 17 296 16 280 24 309 84201 79583 9 317 11 300 11 323 14 321 79583 75633 6 288 6 262 10 324 9 324 75633 72152 6 350 3 252 7 325 3 348 72152 69004 13 346 6 332 10 354 6 034 69004 66117 15 324 6 325 9 347 3 005 66117 63432 15 279 10 284 9 295 9 298 63432 60816 16 260 17 277 17 276 18 273 60816 58081 22 264 27 282 27 275 23 273 58081 55207 40 269 38 274 36 269 27 273 55207 52427 48 265 45 271 47 276 48 260 52427 49902 47 271 49 271 58 270 62 270 49902 47643 53 275 67 270 69 262 59 262 47643 45633 69 257 63 259 52 257 42 279 45633 43836 34 258 52 282 71 282 100 285 43836 42198 55 308 91 285 117 281 98 280 42198 40667 81 297 101 280 104 279 89 273 40667 39224 64 287 82 279 69 270 83 266 39224 37858 62 286 68 276 71 260 77 261 37858 36533 56 278 61 270 71 259 77 260 36533 35185 55 268 61 267 69 257 77 262 35185 33789 61 261 59 266 61 260 73 264 33789 32348 66 263 55 266 54 265 62 259 32348 30851 56 269 47 264 44 262 43 249 30851 29288 43 261 38 262 36 247 38 251 29288 27661 26 248 30 254 27 240 36 247 27661 25975 22 245 24 257 20 237 28 235 25975 24233 19 243 19 257 18 232 25 223 24233 22437 17 214 17 241 19 233 17 189 22437 20584 15 209 16 227 15 235 12 164 20584 18664 12 221 13 221 13 222 11 167 18664 16712 7 220 9 213 13 213 13 187 16712 14833 6 201 7 199 12 211 15 207 14833 13122 6 182 6 176 9 204 14 216 13122 11599 4 166 7 149 7 178 13 211 11599 10238 3 157 9 129 8 154 13 200 10238 9022 2 137 9 111 9 145 13 196 9022 7936 3 109 6*106 7 139 12 197 7936 6970 3 100 4*122 5 145 10 203 6970 6112 5 108 4 164 2 164 8 215 6112 5351 7*109 4 174 2*202 7 229 5351 4666 6*103 6 207 3*215 6 244 4666 4057 4 099 7 211 4 217 5 259 4057 3547 3 118 7 213 5 217 4 282 3547 3153 2 143 8 214 5 217 3 292 3153 2882 3 157 8 215 5 217 1 266 2882 2717 2 167 8 215 5 217 0*152 2717 2623 2 174 7 216 5 218 0*112 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography