DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 54.0 - - 56.6 - - 55.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 25 - - 36 - - 9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1061 - - 1253 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 4598 - - 4790 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2733 - - 2217 - - 2097 - - 1666 - - 2464 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 31 - - 151 - - 108 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 207 - - 191 - - 178 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 40 - - 43 - - 20 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1514 - - 1955 - - -102 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 2622 - - 3084 - - 2836 - - 2725 sfcLCL ODpotential -1320 - - -72 - - 268 - - 656 - - -2441 ODpotential blCL 3943 - - 2695 - - 4330 - - 4134 - - 5064 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 40 - - 60 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 54.0 - - 56.6 - - 55.9 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.2 - - 53.9 - - 52.0 - - 52.3 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 54.5 - - 57.0 - - 56.8 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.7 - - 53.7 - - 51.0 - - 51.5 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 25 - - 36 - - 9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1061 - - 1253 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 96 - - 87 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97070 53 269 57 277 55 274 59 272 52 276 97070 89822 40 272 41 272 40 267 43 269 40 275 89822 84272 30 281 29 265 29 262 30 268 30 282 84272 79656 24 290 22 265 22 263 20 272 22 288 79656 75656 27 273 25 257 23 266 17 264 23 260 75656 72120 23 251 28 245 26 254 18 262 21 251 72120 68903 19 248 27 226 26 242 22 263 22 254 68903 65918 25 246 22 217 28 248 25 259 25 253 65918 63132 27 253 27 246 37 246 31 250 33 250 63132 60432 31 257 34 243 37 237 37 241 37 243 60432 57615 37 254 29 232 33 244 37 244 35 248 57615 54700 41 257 34 260 39 256 44 255 42 257 54700 51932 50 259 48 262 48 257 54 252 52 257 51932 49455 56 258 53 259 53 256 59 252 59 261 49455 47247 55 256 55 258 58 257 64 255 67 264 47247 45250 53 254 57 256 62 256 66 256 76 262 45250 43423 50 253 55 253 60 254 65 255 79 261 43423 41738 47 257 52 252 55 252 63 255 78 263 41738 40177 46 259 48 254 49 250 60 256 74 263 40177 38724 44 262 46 257 45 248 57 257 68 266 38724 37366 43 265 42 256 41 247 54 258 66 269 37366 36064 40 266 36 254 39 244 51 258 64 271 36064 34747 38 265 30 254 36 240 48 255 63 271 34747 33383 35 263 27 255 34 232 45 252 63 270 33383 31975 34 261 26 256 33 226 45 251 58 269 31975 30514 33 258 26 256 32 227 48 250 49 266 30514 28991 32 252 27 256 30 230 47 249 43 261 28991 27406 30 248 29 256 29 233 43 247 42 255 27406 25753 28 243 30 256 28 236 39 245 40 255 25753 24032 27 241 31 257 26 243 36 244 38 257 24032 22247 26 252 32 253 27 249 33 242 37 259 22247 20399 22 266 30 245 27 249 29 242 36 259 20399 18482 13 279 32 242 28 245 26 244 31 256 18482 16535 14 274 30 238 28 243 22 241 24 252 16535 14669 26 222 23 232 26 237 20 241 20 238 14669 12976 26 186 16 223 22 230 18 245 18 235 12976 11467 18 159 15 217 19 228 17 244 16 243 11467 10118 10 155 16 207 19 217 15 231 12 246 10118 8911 8 215 14 197 17 206 15 215 8 236 8911 7836 12 220 13 191 16 195 15 206 8 216 7836 6881 13 203 14 188 16 190 15 203 9 203 6881 6039 15 190 14 190 15 188 14 200 11 196 6039 5293 15 185 14 195 15 190 12*195 11 192 5293 4622 12 180 12 203 14*191 11*189 10 188 4622 4026 10 174 11 205 13*191 10 182 8 177 4026 3527 8 170 11 206 12 190 9 175 8 158 3527 3142 7 162 10 207 12 190 9 171 8 138 3142 2876 5 150 8 207 11 190 8 171 9 123 2876 2714 4*144 7*207 10 190 7 169 8*112 2714 2622 2*132 5*208 7 191 5 170 5*098 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography