DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 68.3 - - 65.3 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 116 - - 7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1490 - - 440 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3978 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 5027 - - 3977 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3107 - - 1498 - - 1717 - - 1840 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 237 - - 69 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 193 - - 280 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - 15 - - 11 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7312 - - -5318 - - -5013 - - -5967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9935 - - 10346 - - 8991 - - 8590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13597 - - -11347 - - -11203 - - -13966 ODpotential blCL - - - 16220 - - 16374 - - 15180 - - 16589 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 84 - - 69 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 68.3 - - 65.3 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 32.4 - - 35.4 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 68.2 - - 66.0 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 31.2 - - 34.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 116 - - 7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1490 - - 440 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 13 049 2 210 2 308 8 016 96012 89022 20 034 4 060 10 032 12 023 89022 83634 13 034 13 026 17 038 17 025 83634 79142 7 072 15 006 16 021 18 012 79142 75262 11 063 13 023 15 028 14 014 75262 71809 11 042 14 018 20 034 15 036 71809 68674 12 036 14 019 19 027 17 035 68674 65792 16 026 15 019 14 016 17 036 65792 63125 18 011 18 353 17 344 24 010 63125 60557 18 355 21 342 22 330 27 353 60557 57873 19 342 23 345 22 332 25 336 57873 55066 22 330 24 336 23 330 24 321 55066 52371 25 329 27 324 29 322 31 315 52371 49940 37 323 37 316 37 314 40 315 49940 47747 39 316 36 312 37 304 44 304 47747 45739 37 317 36 313 38 299 45 297 45739 43881 40 313 43 305 41 295 44 292 43881 42149 40 305 44 298 39 298 39 297 42149 40536 37 310 38 302 46 298 37 306 40536 39045 36 318 38 311 44 301 40 305 39045 37669 42 312 40 315 44 308 43 301 37669 36365 44 306 41 313 44 310 38 301 36365 35054 34 311 39 317 42 310 39 296 35054 33696 32 312 35 316 37 311 40 293 33696 32292 31 315 33 300 33 311 36 301 32292 30830 30 324 29 294 28 306 26 309 30830 29300 30 326 24 299 26 306 20 306 29300 27705 29 326 21 313 23 304 23 298 27705 26043 26 326 21 321 20 304 23 292 26043 24317 23 328 20 324 17 310 20 292 24317 22527 23 333 20 329 17 326 16 306 22527 20672 23 337 20 335 20 340 16 334 20672 18745 24 335 22 334 23 340 20 345 18745 16781 26 329 23 328 24 333 23 343 16781 14884 25 326 23 324 24 327 23 341 14884 13153 23 328 22 326 23 327 21 343 13153 11610 19 332 18 332 20 332 18 346 11610 10235 14 334 14 337 16 338 14 349 10235 9009 8 333 8 337 11 343 11 350 9009 7917 3 328 4 328 6 344 7 348 7917 6948 0 186 0 310 2 334 3 342 6948 6091 4 149 3 133 1 300 1 324 6091 5332 6 144 5*129 2 353 1 273 5332 4650 5 142 3*131 3 359 1 278 4650 4045 4 137 2 167 3*347 2 296 4045 3538 4 112 2 208 2*305 1 288 3538 3148 4 082 2 214 2 282 1 039 3148 2879 4 071 3 217 3 273 2 052 2879 2716 4*066 3 218 2 264 3*050 2716 2622 3*061 3 218 2 262 3*042 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography