DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 92.8 - - 89.4 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 385 - - 106 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8403 - - 9093 - - 4798 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9686 - - 10357 - - 6225 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11940 - - 12630 - - 8335 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 1103 - - 4298 - - 3645 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 624 - - 328 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 34 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 035 - - 289 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 47 - - 92 - - 48 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -921 - - -1102 - - -4462 - - -7848 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12861 - - 13733 - - 12798 - - 10474 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7843 - - -7150 - - -10544 - - -15990 ODpotential blCL - - - 19783 - - 19780 - - 18879 - - 18615 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 69 - - 58 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 92.8 - - 89.4 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 41.1 - - 42.2 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.8 - - 91.1 - - 89.3 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 41.1 - - 42.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 385 - - 106 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8403 - - 9093 - - 4798 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98006 9 274 20 264 17 260 15 309 98006 90624 8 259 14 235 9 257 10 298 90624 84968 6 204 10 194 4 263 8 232 84968 80273 4 075 5 146 4 017 6 089 80273 76239 8 091 3 103 3 074 11 052 76239 72716 9 081 7 113 8 100 9 078 72716 69557 11 088 9 141 8 083 13 078 69557 66662 11 099 8 118 7 102 12 066 66662 63985 7 096 7 074 5 081 8 061 63985 61402 9 091 7 073 1 167 4 317 61402 58734 9 319 6 351 6 293 9 265 58734 55991 18 300 15 301 17 295 16 291 55991 53382 31 293 29 300 31 298 34 303 53382 51029 39 295 39 298 43 299 48 299 51029 48896 47 296 43 301 49 298 51 299 48896 46932 49 297 47 299 51 297 53 300 46932 45109 49 300 48 299 52 299 55 300 45109 43406 51 303 48 302 53 303 56 301 43406 41810 51 306 47 303 54 304 54 300 41810 40305 50 307 46 303 53 302 52 299 40305 38884 48 307 46 304 51 302 51 302 38884 37511 47 307 47 304 51 305 51 307 37511 36122 45 302 46 302 50 307 49 309 36122 34689 44 297 44 300 50 306 48 309 34689 33215 42 299 41 303 48 307 45 312 33215 31688 36 308 35 305 41 309 39 315 31688 30096 32 315 29 307 33 308 31 314 30096 28438 28 313 26 310 28 309 25 312 28438 26714 24 306 25 308 25 310 22 308 26714 24923 22 305 23 306 23 306 22 305 24923 23069 19 313 19 305 21 301 20 306 23069 21146 13 318 14 306 15 303 15 311 21146 19148 8 321 8 316 8 304 9 317 19148 17122 3 081 3 348 2 034 3 047 17122 15184 9 064 6 046 8 063 10 092 15184 13426 12*063 12*053 14 053 14 077 13426 11863 11*056 10*049 14 043 16 066 11863 10470 12 053 9 044 13 035 13 063 10470 9224 11 048 7 038 10*024 11 061 9224 8108 10 044 6 033 7*007 7 051 8108 7112 9 041 4 023 6 337 4 029 7112 6228 7 038 2 011 6 308 3 328 6228 5442 5 036 1 313 7 289 5 295 5442 4734 4 034 1 250 8 274 7 292 4734 4105 2 024 2 233 8 267 9 299 4105 3578 1 358 3 230 9 262 10 307 3578 3172 1 271 4 226 9 260 10 317 3172 2892 1 242 4 226 9 258 9 328 2892 2721 1 242 4 224 8 257 7*340 2721 2624 2 233 4 224 7 255 5*360 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography