DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 87.6 - - 85.6 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 533 - - 244 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 703 - - 1391 - - 783 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3858 - - 4390 - - 3763 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4240 - - 4928 - - 4320 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 880 - - 1082 - - 1259 - - 1026 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 371 - - 236 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 248 - - 235 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 33 - - 34 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5835 - - -6329 - - -5994 - - -5450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10075 - - 11257 - - 10315 - - 8075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12737 - - -10962 - - -11348 - - -12358 ODpotential blCL - - - 16977 - - 15890 - - 15668 - - 14982 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 73 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 87.6 - - 85.6 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 47.5 - - 49.7 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 85.2 - - 84.6 - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.7 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 533 - - 244 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 703 - - 1391 - - 783 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 0 - - 57 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99090 39 108 33 105 30 114 22 115 99090 91599 45 100 36 111 28 112 30 090 91599 85859 36 098 35 107 30 102 34 087 85859 81112 27 098 24 103 28 092 27 087 81112 77028 23 097 19 102 25 088 21 089 77028 73421 25 089 21 103 22 085 21 098 73421 70157 22 091 22 110 16 095 17 086 70157 67162 18 111 12 108 16 096 15 082 67162 64398 13 093 7 109 12 082 15 077 64398 61737 4 090 2 117 6 116 8 076 61737 58985 11 203 8 219 5 209 4 181 58985 56142 14 215 18 226 17 221 15 223 56142 53426 26 234 28 227 29 232 23 245 53426 50990 34 233 38 235 40 244 33 246 50990 48821 39 247 48 250 45 252 41 253 48821 46864 45 252 41 249 46 252 44 254 46864 45073 47 255 37 253 41 255 40 257 45073 43410 45 250 37 254 40 260 38 258 43410 41848 35 240 37 253 40 261 38 258 41848 40374 29 222 33 243 40 258 40 260 40374 38980 26 212 33 232 36 248 41 262 38980 37630 22 213 33 229 33 245 37 262 37630 36259 19 229 27 228 33 247 34 259 36259 34839 19 231 24 225 31 247 33 255 34839 33373 26 230 23 222 29 246 33 249 33373 31848 30 229 27 222 30 245 28 240 31848 30254 33 222 31 226 29 237 28 244 30254 28591 35 225 33 229 28 235 30 240 28591 26861 33 233 32 231 29 237 29 237 26861 25063 28 235 30 233 26 238 27 242 25063 23202 23 232 27 232 24 232 22 231 23202 21274 19 218 23 228 23 225 21 222 21274 19274 16 216 18 222 21 217 22 217 19274 17243 15 211 13 216 15 210 20 212 17243 15289 16 200 13 199 12 201 18 214 15289 13509 16 197 12 195 12 194 15 217 13509 11922 12 198 10 186 11 188 13 219 11922 10507 7 194 8 165 10 170 12 214 10507 9244 5 204 7 146 10 160 11 208 9244 8116 4 223 6 138 9 169 9 202 8116 7112 3 229 4 164 6 193 8 203 7112 6223 3 229 3 236 4 234 7 205 6223 5434 3 237 4*271 5 266 5 212 5434 4726 3*252 5*270 6*272 4 231 4726 4098 3*253 5 260 5*259 3 250 4098 3572 4 243 6 248 6 237 3 282 3572 3168 6 237 7 242 7 231 1 293 3168 2890 6 235 7 238 7 228 1 245 2890 2720 6 233 7 235 7 227 1*235 2720 2623 6 231 6 235 6 226 1*238 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography