DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 53.8 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -195 - - -154 - - -272 - - -324 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 711 - - 762 - - 377 - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 34 - - 30 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 058 - - 056 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -80 - - -77 - - -76 - - -78 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5214 - - -5311 - - -5375 - - -5677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7837 - - 7934 - - 7999 - - 8299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13473 - - -13006 - - -14355 - - -15617 ODpotential blCL - - - 16096 - - 15629 - - 16978 - - 18239 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 25 - - 39 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 53.8 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 28.9 - - 25.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 57.6 - - 56.7 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 27.7 - - 24.6 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -195 - - -154 - - -272 - - -324 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 32 072 15 051 25 039 29 049 96483 89338 18 069 16 069 22 032 30 044 89338 83833 6 069 20 047 21 032 20 027 83833 79254 7 033 21 032 15 046 12 012 79254 75279 11 359 22 008 11 039 8 359 75279 71754 15 335 19 347 10 008 9 018 71754 68561 13 316 15 322 9 339 11 009 68561 65633 10 286 12 294 9 311 13 353 65633 62928 11 260 12 281 12 309 14 343 62928 60313 8 270 13 271 14 308 10 324 60313 57577 7 310 13 264 14 305 10 288 57577 54720 4 294 10 259 12 288 11 269 54720 51990 8 258 7 284 9 278 11 238 51990 49545 11 257 8 268 10 267 4 231 49545 47372 9 262 6 248 14 226 13 243 47372 45422 16 238 9 246 16 241 22 250 45422 43649 22 221 17 249 26 240 37 238 43649 42019 25 221 25 244 32 237 42 235 42019 40505 35 223 34 243 43 244 56 246 40505 39078 45 227 46 241 71 248 67 245 39078 37727 58 235 58 243 81 242 68 246 37727 36418 71 237 67 243 81 240 69 245 36418 35088 73 235 69 241 84 238 69 242 35088 33706 60 233 64 237 83 240 67 243 33706 32277 40 228 51 231 81 243 65 247 32277 30788 26 228 37 223 64 244 56 245 30788 29233 17 230 33 222 38 232 44 234 29233 27620 6 230 30 226 35 228 44 222 27620 25946 9 079 18 219 42 239 45 234 25946 24210 16 097 7 161 26 245 30 248 24210 22416 16 127 8 140 8 149 6 183 22416 20557 17 138 4 164 16 134 21 141 20557 18628 21 120 5 128 13 137 15 147 18628 16664 30 103 10 104 13 131 15 136 16664 14771 36 096 20 105 19 122 18 122 14771 13049 31 096 25 103 21 116 21 114 13049 11521 25 096 24 104 19 115 20 107 11521 10165 19 100 19 116 19 120 18 111 10165 8958 17 110 20 126 19 125 15 121 8958 7881 18 110 21 128 18 128 14 127 7881 6923 20 105 21 126 18 128 14 129 6923 6073 23 099 21 121 18 123 15 124 6073 5318 27 093 23 113 19 115 18 115 5318 4638 31 086 27 096 22 097 21 105 4638 4034 41 077 35 076 30 076 26 094 4034 3529 44 071 41 067 38 066 36 078 3529 3141 42 067 40 063 39 062 38 070 3141 2875 35 064 34 062 34 061 33 066 2875 2714 27*062 27*060 25*059 26*063 2714 2621 16*059 15*058 15*056 15*058 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography