DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.5 - - 73.0 - - 73.3 - - 71.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - 226 - - 374 - - 162 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2088 - - 1921 - - 702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4704 - - 4717 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 5625 - - 5458 - - 4239 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 718 - - 1500 - - 1662 - - 2373 - - 1273 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 327 - - 372 - - 202 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 329 - - 266 - - 263 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - 21 - - 40 - - 25 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5203 - - -4706 - - -2320 - - -3159 - - -2932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7827 - - 10332 - - 7778 - - 7399 - - 5557 sfcLCL ODpotential -13061 - - -10721 - - -6906 - - -7290 - - -7752 ODpotential blCL 15684 - - 16346 - - 12364 - - 11529 - - 10376 blCL maxRH 28 - - 44 - - 51 - - 48 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.5 - - 73.0 - - 73.3 - - 71.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 36.9 - - 48.2 - - 48.4 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.8 - - 72.2 - - 71.7 - - 71.2 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 35.7 - - 47.2 - - 47.6 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - 226 - - 374 - - 162 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2088 - - 1921 - - 702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96837 47 282 39 283 45 275 42 274 54 270 96837 89547 33 289 30 272 35 276 40 279 38 282 89547 84025 22 289 21 276 24 292 26 286 25 290 84025 79470 17 304 9 298 16 276 19 281 18 313 79470 75537 15 321 9 320 11 248 12 278 12 329 75537 72046 12 325 9 333 5 217 6 273 6 302 72046 68873 11 308 11 336 2 269 3 324 4 294 68873 65937 13 300 12 319 6 300 9 312 7 297 65937 63200 16 287 12 301 10 287 14 287 12 272 63200 60544 18 280 15 281 15 281 18 278 17 270 60544 57768 24 278 22 275 21 282 20 271 21 269 57768 54878 29 277 29 271 28 277 24 268 31 266 54878 52117 32 274 32 267 35 275 30 268 37 258 52117 49628 35 265 35 264 41 267 34 273 33 261 49628 47396 34 267 36 263 41 266 39 274 33 270 47396 45379 35 273 36 257 37 264 42 267 40 273 45379 43545 38 283 32 266 34 256 42 264 42 274 43545 41870 43 281 36 274 32 261 39 263 43 278 41870 40328 40 264 39 267 33 267 37 265 42 281 40328 38895 38 254 38 256 32 268 39 271 43 285 38895 37553 37 247 36 250 32 264 40 273 47 287 37553 36261 32 244 36 250 32 261 38 273 50 289 36261 34952 30 239 32 250 30 256 35 272 50 290 34952 33595 29 237 29 251 28 253 34 270 46 293 33595 32194 29 235 28 253 27 255 33 267 39 287 32194 30739 28 237 26 253 28 258 30 271 35 283 30739 29218 25 246 26 251 27 260 28 275 31 281 29218 27630 24 254 25 252 25 263 27 276 26 276 27630 25976 23 258 23 258 24 269 27 269 23 267 25976 24260 20 266 19 264 22 274 25 261 25 256 24260 22485 17 280 16 269 20 275 23 259 25 251 22485 20642 14 294 13 271 17 268 20 257 23 248 20642 18724 11 309 10 270 16 259 19 249 23 240 18724 16768 8 313 8 263 15 254 19 243 25 235 16768 14879 8 302 8 256 13 254 17 241 21 234 14879 13159 8 284 8 272 9 262 11 244 15 229 13159 11628 8 291 9 279 8 272 7 247 11 225 11628 10263 11 313 9 299 7 281 6 258 10 237 10263 9044 14 316 12 316 6 304 7 272 9 259 9044 7955 14 315 15 327 9 331 7 299 9 287 7955 6984 12 320 14 340 12 334 10 318 12 319 6984 6124 13 335 14*350 12*326 12 318 16 330 6124 5361 17 349 14*346 10*309 12 312 19 334 5361 4673 21 356 13 341 8 293 11*302 19 337 4673 4062 23 358 11 331 8 263 7*285 18 339 4062 3550 20 359 10 319 8 250 6 268 15 338 3550 3155 16 002 9 313 8 243 6 257 11 339 3155 2883 13 007 8 307 9 239 6 250 7 339 2883 2717 10*010 7 302 8 238 6 248 5*341 2717 2623 6*010 6 297 7 235 5 245 3*349 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography