DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 85.8 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 583 - - - - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 1354 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3890 - - 4378 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4258 - - 4891 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 829 - - - - - 1229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 379 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 226 - - - - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3001 - - -3778 - - - - - -2342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7259 - - 8669 - - - - - 4967 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7899 - - -6850 - - - - - -7972 ODpotential blCL - - - 12157 - - 11741 - - - - - 10596 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 79 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 85.8 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 56.9 - - - - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 83.2 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 56.7 - - - - - 60.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 583 - - - - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 1354 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 15 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99337 50 109 44 107 40 112 99337 91813 38 111 37 108 35 090 91813 86019 25 109 32 104 33 089 86019 81229 27 103 33 098 36 096 81229 77124 29 101 28 096 31 094 77124 73508 28 098 22 102 24 099 73508 70239 23 090 21 103 20 106 70239 67231 17 090 16 101 21 099 67231 64450 12 119 11 116 17 083 64450 61780 8 143 10 148 14 071 61780 59029 11 152 15 164 7 102 59029 56223 16 147 20 169 15 163 56223 53581 22 162 27 169 23 173 53581 51209 25 164 25 166 24 173 51209 49073 16 204 13 174 16 170 49073 47121 19 234 11 233 10 165 47121 45309 23 237 16 238 7 221 45309 43614 28 226 20 230 11 245 43614 42022 29 215 21 222 14 243 42022 40521 27 207 21 217 14 239 40521 39103 26 204 21 215 14 233 39103 37731 26 207 23 214 15 239 37731 36338 26 211 26 215 19 252 36338 34894 26 213 28 222 22 256 34894 33406 28 210 29 226 20 251 33406 31861 30 206 30 224 16 244 31861 30251 31 211 28 223 15 231 30251 28576 28 215 23 221 11 229 28576 26838 22 211 18 209 11 203 26838 25035 18 204 14 197 13 176 25035 23169 15 195 13 186 14 151 23169 21236 11 172 11 166 14 139 21236 19236 11 158 10 156 12 125 19236 17207 12 156 10 140 11 103 17207 15256 13 161 9 130 11 103 15256 13480 13 163 9 135 13 112 13480 11899 11 162 10 136 12 117 11899 10488 9 167 11 133 9 139 10488 9226 7 182 8 133 7 165 9226 8099 5 185 6 131 7 199 8099 7095 4 164 5 158 7 221 7095 6207 5 146 3 194 6 232 6207 5420 5 146 3*236 5 236 5420 4713 5*154 4*236 5 237 4713 4088 5*162 6 230 3 226 4088 3566 6 177 7 226 3 169 3566 3164 7 186 8 224 4 159 3164 2888 7 191 9 223 4 168 2888 2720 7 193 8 223 4*173 2720 2623 7 195 8 222 3*174 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography