DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.6 - - 81.4 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 441 - - 149 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 4515 - - 2785 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4373 - - 6751 - - 5001 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5030 - - 8052 - - 6322 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3239 - - 2033 - - 3156 - - 1633 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 517 - - 307 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 197 - - 219 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 46 - - 27 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4588 - - -2639 - - -3330 - - -3545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9619 - - 10692 - - 9653 - - 6169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9762 - - -8790 - - -9542 - - -9078 ODpotential blCL - - - 14792 - - 16842 - - 15864 - - 11702 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 55 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 84.6 - - 81.4 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 46.6 - - 48.1 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 82.7 - - 80.9 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 46.5 - - 48.0 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 441 - - 149 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 4515 - - 2785 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98467 9 107 11 153 6 142 4 131 98467 91060 15 105 14 123 12 129 7 141 91060 85359 11 108 11 106 13 121 8 129 85359 80639 11 144 10 138 7 114 11 071 80639 76573 8 133 7 144 6 140 8 057 76573 72983 8 130 5 125 9 109 10 118 72983 69737 9 121 9 182 5 046 7 048 69737 66764 7 094 13 175 3 268 9 019 66764 64021 6 055 8 225 12 232 7 271 64021 61374 15 305 2 275 10 192 9 224 61374 58617 29 258 21 273 17 274 18 265 58617 55763 34 241 39 245 37 259 35 259 55763 53048 30 252 39 245 42 247 43 250 53048 50605 37 266 40 255 42 250 44 251 50605 48415 54 263 57 257 51 258 55 255 48415 46432 76 257 76 254 70 255 68 256 46432 44611 86 252 85 249 89 248 80 252 44611 42920 84 251 94 245 108 243 98 247 42920 41335 82 251 95 245 108 241 113 243 41335 39839 77 252 82 245 95 241 106 242 39839 38425 81 251 78 242 79 239 91 243 38425 37063 82 248 78 238 78 239 77 244 37063 35690 77 249 74 238 75 238 74 243 35690 34280 62 248 65 239 65 237 65 240 34280 32834 56 241 56 232 58 236 55 237 32834 31332 51 239 52 231 56 236 55 240 31332 29759 45 244 43 232 49 245 49 242 29759 28119 39 247 36 235 39 233 38 244 28119 26418 32 250 32 239 33 231 35 228 26418 24655 26 251 31 241 30 239 29 230 24655 22832 24 242 30 242 29 243 23 235 22832 20940 23 229 27 243 24 245 19 226 20940 18975 22 223 25 237 20 235 19 213 18975 16977 20 226 22 234 17 228 20 216 16977 15053 17 223 18 234 14 220 19 216 15053 13305 14 218 13 222 15 206 20 208 13305 11751 12 218 12 207 16 195 21 199 11751 10368 11 217 11 197 16 189 22 197 10368 9133 10 210 10*192 14 188 21 198 9133 8031 10 202 9*190 12 193 18 201 8031 7049 8 197 9 191 10*201 15 204 7049 6178 7 192 9 193 9*207 12 208 6178 5403 7*174 9 194 8 213 10 213 5403 4705 6*165 9 197 6 220 7 219 4705 4085 6 170 10 200 6 225 5 221 4085 3565 6 180 10 203 6 225 3 230 3565 3164 6 186 10 204 6 225 1 189 3164 2888 6 191 10 205 6 225 2 152 2888 2719 6 193 10 205 6 225 3*134 2719 2623 6 195 8 207 5 225 2*127 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography