DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 64.2 - - 69.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 108 - - 459 - - 553 - - 302 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 625 - - 1203 - - 818 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 3814 - - 4259 - - 3867 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4162 - - 4740 - - 4355 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1353 - - 451 - - 672 - - 851 - - 1203 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 271 - - 359 - - 259 - - 18 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 208 - - 210 - - 222 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 28 - - 40 - - 35 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1219 - - -971 - - -1933 - - -2044 - - -1407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3842 - - 5133 - - 6673 - - 6399 - - 4030 sfcLCL ODpotential -8178 - - -6097 - - -5657 - - -6290 - - -7551 ODpotential blCL 10801 - - 10259 - - 10397 - - 10645 - - 10174 blCL maxRH 81 - - 80 - - 67 - - 63 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 64.2 - - 69.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 50.7 - - 49.7 - - 49.8 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 62.3 - - 67.6 - - 67.5 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 50.4 - - 49.3 - - 49.5 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 108 - - 459 - - 553 - - 302 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 625 - - 1203 - - 818 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98391 23 097 19 134 21 116 15 157 9 047 98391 90931 6 079 18 130 7 106 20 101 17 114 90931 85209 9 165 14 144 4 152 14 071 21 108 85209 80464 10 148 6 124 14 120 5 092 16 074 80464 76366 11 149 2 165 13 119 9 147 9 055 76366 72735 9 148 7 169 8 191 4 133 7 066 72735 69447 3 165 5 188 12 206 6 221 2 266 69447 66433 7 259 7 287 11 222 9 239 7 264 66433 63645 12 255 13 277 15 246 13 256 12 266 63645 60947 14 267 15 270 19 260 18 265 17 275 60947 58135 22 276 21 272 21 271 22 270 21 275 58135 55223 26 270 27 270 25 270 27 273 26 275 55223 52448 29 267 30 271 26 265 30 267 32 270 52448 49955 31 271 30 266 27 268 28 265 33 266 49955 47726 32 272 29 261 27 272 28 267 34 269 47726 45710 32 267 29 256 27 270 28 269 32 270 45710 43868 32 260 28 253 26 263 26 274 27 270 43868 42170 32 253 29 250 24 256 25 275 24 283 42170 40595 28 246 27 246 19 249 18 276 19 290 40595 39125 20 238 22 240 12 230 11 285 13 316 39125 37751 13 230 15 226 8 180 5 295 12 343 37751 36434 11 221 12 200 8 136 3 035 11 005 36434 35108 11 209 11 190 8 120 7 065 13 033 35108 33739 12 198 12 197 8 126 8 068 14 036 33739 32329 15 196 13 201 9 135 6 071 12 030 32329 30864 17 204 12 199 8 149 5 069 9 026 30864 29331 16 215 13 203 8 167 3 080 6 019 29331 27733 15 217 11 214 7 178 1 130 3 009 27733 26068 15 226 10 217 6 184 1 183 1 336 26068 24340 14 235 11 230 6 203 2 258 2 271 24340 22550 13 234 12 241 7 225 4 279 3 293 22550 20692 10 239 10 249 7 227 4 291 3 310 20692 18760 6 237 9 244 6 212 4 289 3 356 18760 16792 2 206 6 212 5 191 3 243 2 014 16792 14897 7 218 6 209 7 182 4 196 3 154 14897 13172 8 174 8 163 11 159 8 150 8 139 13172 11635 12 154 12 147 13 149 11 140 10 131 11635 10263 13 154 14 145 14 142 12 144 9 133 10263 9038 10 163 13 147 14 139 12 155 7 145 9038 7944 7 180 12 147 13 146 12 173 7 176 7944 6970 4 195 10 145 11 153 10 185 7 201 6970 6107 2 208 8 141 6 156 6 202 6 218 6107 5341 2 257 5 147 4*172 4 232 4 242 5341 4654 3 291 3*180 4*198 4*244 3 264 4654 4045 2 279 3*199 6 207 5*232 3 271 4045 3538 1 236 4 206 7 210 6 224 2 234 3538 3148 2 220 5 208 8 211 7 221 3 198 3148 2880 2 220 6 211 8 213 8 219 3 197 2880 2716 3*221 6 211 8 212 7 219 3*197 2716 2622 3*221 6 212 7 213 6 218 3*199 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography