DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 57.5 - - - - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 503 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2930 - - 3734 - - - - - 28 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5331 - - 6180 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6467 - - 7271 - - - - - 3565 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1053 - - 987 - - - - - 2470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 508 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 226 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 51 - - - - - 31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1253 - - 250 - - - - - -1210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5215 - - 7021 - - - - - 4775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 751 - - -3696 - - - - - -6523 ODpotential blCL - - - 5716 - - 10967 - - - - - 10088 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 86 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 57.5 - - - - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 35.7 - - - - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 55.6 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 35.1 - - - - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 503 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2930 - - 3734 - - - - - 28 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 44 - - - - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97577 24 271 33 280 29 305 97577 90223 24 292 24 293 31 311 90223 84580 22 318 20 312 24 302 84580 79904 13 293 16 301 14 313 79904 75861 7 289 11 259 17 293 75861 72276 6 226 9 230 14 246 72276 69025 8 253 5 276 10 219 69025 66028 22 244 18 248 8 265 66028 63229 21 242 28 243 17 270 63229 60507 23 243 32 243 28 263 60507 57657 27 247 33 247 37 256 57657 54695 38 252 40 255 46 250 54695 51891 51 253 49 254 49 255 51891 49378 59 258 55 259 48 262 49378 47135 68 263 63 263 60 267 47135 45113 74 261 67 263 81 263 45113 43268 76 261 70 264 81 258 43268 41573 82 262 74 264 77 265 41573 40010 85 261 75 263 94 273 40010 38557 85 262 75 263 105 271 38557 37194 85 262 73 268 106 269 37194 35885 84 265 73 271 103 268 35885 34565 88 271 67 272 97 269 34565 33206 90 271 62 272 90 271 33206 31810 85 267 60 273 72 272 31810 30364 79 265 60 273 59 273 30364 28855 68 263 61 272 59 273 28855 27281 59 263 59 270 53 278 27281 25641 56 264 54 270 39 267 25641 23938 50 266 50 272 31 274 23938 22172 39 268 46 276 30 291 22172 20337 31 271 40 275 29 301 20337 18428 30 267 38 273 29 299 18428 16483 29 265 37 275 32 296 16483 14609 27 273 35 282 33 297 14609 12907 24 285 31 287 29 301 12907 11395 21 294 25 288 24 304 11395 10051 18 300 19 290 20 304 10051 8854 13 302 12 289 17 308 8854 7789 8 283 7*268 15 317 7789 6843 7*254 6*242 12 324 6843 6009 8*242 7 235 9 322 6009 5269 8 237 9 227 7 310 5269 4605 8 234 10 223 7 291 4605 4014 8 231 10 222 7*276 4014 3519 8 228 11 222 6*262 3519 3137 8 227 11 221 6 249 3137 2874 8 225 11 221 5 238 2874 2714 7 224 10 221 4 234 2714 2622 6 223 9 221 3 229 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography