DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 77.0 - - 75.6 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 273 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4401 - - 6290 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6359 - - 7974 - - 6812 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7938 - - 9827 - - 9239 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1502 - - 1225 - - 1511 - - 1998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 401 - - 503 - - 338 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 37 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 101 - - 116 - - 073 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 15 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -59 - - 44 - - 36 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7439 - - -5994 - - -4930 - - -8115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15377 - - 15821 - - 14170 - - 10738 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16542 - - -12605 - - -11483 - - -15523 ODpotential blCL - - - 24480 - - 22432 - - 20722 - - 18146 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 74 - - 62 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 77.0 - - 75.6 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.1 - - 15.9 - - 22.3 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 75.9 - - 75.6 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.9 - - 14.9 - - 21.2 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 273 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4401 - - 6290 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97250 30 271 43 269 46 276 54 284 97250 89937 26 274 25 280 29 267 34 288 89937 84348 19 273 20 281 18 274 17 291 84348 79726 7 266 14 259 13 296 10 303 79726 75746 2 019 11 249 12 306 8 310 75746 72236 10 312 4 295 9 328 7 336 72236 69074 13 292 11 295 14 327 12 350 69074 66177 12 293 15 298 16 322 16 344 66177 63492 14 282 17 287 18 297 17 320 63492 60878 14 285 20 275 22 271 20 285 60878 58126 22 275 23 270 27 261 29 279 58126 55242 29 276 28 266 33 252 37 264 55242 52469 34 275 32 263 36 257 38 262 52469 49954 38 264 36 265 36 265 38 262 49954 47686 40 261 37 264 38 269 40 264 47686 45628 36 262 35 262 40 269 37 267 45628 43752 32 266 34 263 42 270 34 274 43752 42037 33 273 34 262 39 271 35 284 42037 40461 33 277 32 262 35 277 37 287 40461 38996 30 267 24 264 31 279 35 284 38996 37627 23 264 18 265 25 267 32 281 37627 36316 20 266 17 267 18 262 22 271 36316 35000 19 265 16 255 18 261 17 262 35000 33647 17 263 12 257 18 262 21 259 33647 32252 14 264 11 254 18 264 19 258 32252 30799 13 274 9 268 15 272 16 261 30799 29275 9 258 9 249 14 282 15 271 29275 27683 6 202 7 222 13 284 11 276 27683 26022 6 202 4 216 8 255 11 274 26022 24294 3 198 0 210 6 256 10 270 24294 22502 2 165 1 147 3 265 6 263 22502 20641 3 123 3 146 1 319 3 250 20641 18709 4 108 4 130 2 098 1 191 18709 16746 4 074 4 109 3 094 2 154 16746 14856 4 060 5 090 4 091 2 113 14856 13135 4 053 6 077 4 084 3 051 13135 11603 4 061 7 095 7 077 3 055 11603 10240 6 109 10*109 12*080 4 113 10240 9025 11*116 11*109 11*075 6 086 9025 7940 13*118 11 110 8 073 10 068 7940 6973 14 121 10 112 5 070 9 052 6973 6115 15 119 9 114 2 063 8 042 6115 5352 17 107 9 116 1 310 6 020 5352 4666 19 095 8 119 2 260 5 360 4666 4056 19 087 7 122 3 251 5 334 4056 3546 19 085 7 127 4 248 5 318 3546 3153 18 084 6 130 4 246 5 312 3153 2882 17 083 6 132 4 244 3 314 2882 2717 15 083 6 134 4 244 2*327 2717 2622 10 084 5 137 4 242 2*346 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography