DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 53.0 - - 56.2 - - 55.0 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 19 - - 21 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 263 - - 22 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 3800 - - 3559 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1557 - - 2355 - - 2119 - - 1745 - - 1450 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 31 - - 82 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 342 - - 168 - - 215 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -18 - - 29 - - 17 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -572 - - -1051 - - -329 - - 432 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3194 - - 3674 - - 4129 - - 3127 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential -4526 - - -4148 - - -3049 - - -1900 - - -2826 ODpotential blCL 7148 - - 6771 - - 6849 - - 5459 - - 5448 blCL maxRH 98 - - 101 - - 99 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 60 - - 30 - - 210 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 53.0 - - 56.2 - - 55.0 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.8 - - 46.0 - - 47.1 - - 50.2 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 53.5 - - 56.8 - - 55.7 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 45.9 - - 49.5 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 19 - - 21 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 263 - - 22 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 102 - - 96 - - 86 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95649 9 299 25 271 38 284 30 294 23 273 95649 88740 6 006 10 258 18 295 17 304 13 301 88740 83390 5 322 8 350 8 328 10 338 12 329 83390 78918 10 319 12 002 10 347 12 005 11 360 78918 75059 10 004 11 001 14 350 14 006 13 022 75059 71652 14 021 8 027 9 360 11 350 14 013 71652 68561 20 006 10 022 8 351 10 340 14 354 68561 65713 20 350 17 009 11 357 11 349 13 350 65713 63069 16 339 20 350 16 346 13 353 10 350 63069 60504 14 333 19 336 18 327 17 338 12 346 60504 57811 14 333 16 328 17 329 16 310 15 338 57811 54986 19 318 15 314 17 310 13 307 12 312 54986 52260 21 306 15 299 17 307 18 299 16 315 52260 49778 21 301 15 271 19 284 20 291 21 309 49778 47524 23 291 19 274 21 261 21 295 20 295 47524 45456 24 290 25 268 21 261 21 274 17 280 45456 43540 26 283 25 266 16 267 15 255 16 263 43540 41755 25 265 22 261 15 280 11 263 12 247 41755 40094 27 253 23 247 23 260 16 263 12 265 40094 38547 36 249 29 234 29 228 26 235 19 249 38547 37112 39 246 36 232 27 228 24 230 22 234 37112 35753 52 248 47 239 31 237 32 233 26 234 35753 34396 72 240 56 234 45 231 41 230 33 231 34396 33008 77 233 62 230 55 228 45 224 38 229 33008 31590 70 230 61 227 60 225 49 222 39 228 31590 30130 67 230 56 225 61 223 46 223 35 228 30130 28619 56 228 50 224 54 223 39 221 28 227 28619 27056 43 223 41 221 47 221 34 215 23 218 27056 25436 36 215 31 213 42 215 33 212 23 214 25436 23756 32 211 28 203 38 207 32 211 23 209 23756 22017 29 211 30 200 38 205 31 208 22 196 22017 20211 27 213 33 203 36 207 29 207 22 184 20211 18334 23 212 32 198 27 200 26 204 23 185 18334 16423 22 205 32 201 26 194 24 194 22 193 16423 14584 20 199 30 217 24 199 21 199 19 208 14584 12908 19 186 26 223 21 202 19 211 17 223 12908 11414 18 161 25 202 17 213 16 223 12 238 11414 10079 16 138 22 171 12 227 11 232 6 252 10079 8884 14 125 20 147 9 221 6 223 2 264 8884 7818 9 122 18 135 9 189 3 175 2 080 7818 6869 6 136 15 133 11 165 5 138 6 103 6869 6029 6 155 11 139 11 147 7 124 8 109 6029 5284 6 168 7 150 10 135 6 118 10 110 5284 4613 5 182 4 167 9 136 5 107 10 113 4613 4019 4 198 2 242 7*145 4*099 9 114 4019 3522 2 221 4 308 6*155 1*153 7 120 3522 3138 2 291 6 335 6 167 2 214 6 124 3138 2874 3 341 6 342 5 173 2 223 5 129 2874 2713 4*001 6*345 5 176 3 226 3*134 2713 2621 4*009 5*346 4 179 2 224 2*146 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography