DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.6 - - 52.5 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 338 - - 115 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 998 - - 3005 - - 1596 - - 363 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 5498 - - 3974 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4535 - - 6542 - - 5133 - - 3900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1326 - - 1502 - - 2611 - - 2397 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 415 - - 234 - - 86 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 199 - - 232 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 38 - - 54 - - 61 - - 39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1212 - - 1808 - - 1606 - - 1264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3323 - - 4734 - - 3528 - - 2636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 562 - - 1372 - - 1071 - - 503 ODpotential blCL - - - 3973 - - 5170 - - 4062 - - 3397 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.6 - - 52.5 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 44.8 - - 45.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 55.5 - - 52.5 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 44.4 - - 45.8 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 338 - - 115 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 998 - - 3005 - - 1596 - - 363 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 87 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97571 19 291 24 283 32 286 33 299 97571 90187 25 292 25 301 25 295 31 303 90187 84485 26 278 29 296 22 305 25 304 84485 79754 19 283 27 292 23 310 25 297 79754 75717 15 285 19 288 21 312 17 299 75717 72168 15 283 16 291 16 304 11 323 72168 68941 19 276 21 275 20 284 17 307 68941 65947 22 260 25 256 25 261 22 271 65947 63157 23 260 26 251 26 260 28 246 63157 60458 25 263 30 255 35 258 34 250 60458 57636 32 260 38 252 40 254 38 251 57636 54701 39 263 43 262 46 256 46 253 54701 51901 52 261 52 257 48 252 44 254 51901 49376 55 263 54 263 48 260 48 266 49376 47104 67 264 68 263 63 261 64 263 47104 45043 80 256 81 255 78 253 73 255 45043 43158 83 252 84 248 77 246 70 249 43158 41418 81 251 75 247 70 247 65 252 41418 39802 80 252 76 251 74 251 69 255 39802 38297 82 252 86 250 81 248 74 255 38297 36894 79 251 86 245 84 245 78 254 36894 35553 72 249 77 245 84 243 81 252 35553 34211 64 251 73 247 84 243 79 250 34211 32838 61 256 72 246 83 242 73 249 32838 31435 61 258 71 245 79 241 74 249 31435 29983 53 253 67 245 73 240 78 248 29983 28468 49 247 62 243 68 238 79 248 28468 26891 47 247 57 241 66 238 75 248 26891 25255 47 250 53 239 66 239 69 249 25255 23563 47 254 54 240 68 239 60 252 23563 21822 45 253 57 242 64 238 50 255 21822 20025 43 248 52 243 57 237 44 257 20025 18162 43 249 47 242 52 236 43 257 18162 16263 43 251 47 241 50 235 40 259 16263 14433 39 253 46 245 47 237 38 261 14433 12765 33 256 40 245 43 242 33 267 12765 11280 28 257 33 246 35 240 29 272 11280 9960 23 256 26 246 25 241 26 273 9960 8785 18 255 19 243 18 246 23 272 8785 7737 15 250 13 231 14 243 21 271 7737 6806 11 236 12*217 12 235 19 268 6806 5981 9 211 12*207 12 233 17 264 5981 5249 11 192 12 201 13*233 15 264 5249 4590 13*181 13 198 14*233 14 264 4590 4003 13*178 13 197 14 233 13*264 4003 3512 13 178 13 197 14 233 12*264 3512 3133 13 178 13 197 13 232 12 264 3133 2872 12 178 12 198 13 231 10 263 2872 2713 11 179 11 197 12 231 9 263 2713 2621 8 180 9 198 9 231 6 262 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography