DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 52.8 - - - - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 59 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 487 - - - - - 677 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4474 - - 2605 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5104 - - 4024 - - - - - 4214 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1197 - - 1272 - - - - - 2291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 126 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 186 - - - - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 39 - - 47 - - - - - 45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -357 - - 741 - - - - - 1058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5461 - - 3283 - - - - - 3156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3470 - - 1 - - - - - 1 ODpotential blCL - - - 8574 - - 4023 - - - - - 4213 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 52.8 - - - - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 47.5 - - - - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 53.2 - - - - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 47.5 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 59 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 487 - - - - - 677 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 102 - - - - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97630 24 267 35 272 30 292 97630 90278 31 279 31 277 25 302 90278 84580 26 270 26 282 26 294 84580 79849 16 262 23 275 19 280 79849 75780 16 294 22 273 16 286 75780 72192 20 272 20 276 19 271 72192 68964 16 253 17 273 18 278 68964 66002 17 247 28 247 24 276 66002 63248 19 252 27 247 22 269 63248 60583 17 259 18 262 26 259 60583 57802 21 255 20 263 29 261 57802 54905 38 251 39 248 39 271 54905 52139 50 252 45 246 53 270 52139 49652 56 252 58 259 59 273 49652 47420 57 255 64 261 64 272 47420 45399 60 260 61 257 64 269 45399 43559 70 257 59 257 64 267 43559 41866 73 253 64 258 68 266 41866 40295 72 256 71 258 70 264 40295 38827 78 260 78 261 71 264 38827 37452 83 259 85 262 73 267 37452 36132 87 255 90 260 74 270 36132 34801 85 249 92 256 73 274 34801 33431 81 244 93 252 73 276 33431 32023 76 242 91 250 73 274 32023 30563 68 239 87 248 72 271 30563 29038 64 237 83 245 70 268 29038 27447 63 237 78 244 67 267 27447 25789 63 238 75 247 64 267 25789 24064 63 239 73 249 61 268 24064 22276 60 238 68 248 60 268 22276 20419 56 234 63 248 57 266 20419 18487 54 232 60 251 55 262 18487 16522 54 234 52 251 53 262 16522 14633 53 231 47 247 51 260 14633 12917 50 226 44 242 47 255 12917 11393 47 222 44 237 43 251 11393 10040 41 223 42 232 39 250 10040 8840 35 225 37 233 32 250 8840 7778 30 229 32 233 23 247 7778 6837 25 230 29 230 16 248 6837 6006 20 222 25 224 13 253 6006 5269 16*206 21 213 12 260 5269 4605 14*189 17*200 13*265 4605 4014 14 177 16*191 14*267 4014 3519 14 175 15 186 14 265 3519 3137 14 175 14 184 13 262 3137 2874 13 175 13 184 11 260 2874 2714 12 176 12 184 9 258 2714 2621 10 177 8 184 5 256 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography