DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 72.5 - - 76.3 - - 72.3 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -47 - - 109 - - 190 - - -1 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 359 - - 2670 - - 302 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 5044 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3896 - - 6207 - - 3839 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 2429 - - 1687 - - 2980 - - 351 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 142 - - 331 - - 32 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 119 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 177 - - 223 - - 275 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - 12 - - 25 - - 13 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7893 - - -7221 - - -5784 - - -6697 - - -8392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10517 - - 11118 - - 11992 - - 10537 - - 11016 sfcLCL ODpotential -15849 - - -13135 - - -10795 - - -12190 - - -15657 ODpotential blCL 18472 - - 17031 - - 17002 - - 16029 - - 18280 blCL maxRH 27 - - 51 - - 49 - - 28 - - 22 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 72.5 - - 76.3 - - 72.3 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 33.3 - - 33.0 - - 35.7 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.1 - - 72.2 - - 75.6 - - 73.3 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 32.2 - - 32.0 - - 34.7 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -47 - - 109 - - 190 - - -1 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 359 - - 2670 - - 302 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96735 51 289 46 277 57 280 54 296 48 288 96735 89560 38 295 34 294 36 290 34 295 34 295 89560 84050 32 295 30 303 26 304 25 296 27 299 84050 79507 21 294 23 296 23 299 28 294 28 311 79507 75596 23 304 24 298 20 307 28 293 27 314 75596 72127 27 306 25 306 20 311 25 294 24 310 72127 68977 26 303 22 304 20 306 21 300 20 305 68977 66085 23 297 21 304 21 299 24 308 17 313 66085 63419 24 298 23 301 25 297 24 313 18 324 63419 60853 26 301 20 301 24 301 31 316 23 313 60853 58179 24 315 23 315 31 309 25 296 24 283 58179 55396 29 321 25 307 22 312 21 322 26 307 55396 52742 31 324 22 336 32 346 39 333 36 326 52742 50351 37 328 39 340 42 336 46 333 34 341 50351 48185 40 324 41 328 40 325 41 341 37 352 48185 46191 39 327 36 333 35 334 42 355 42 351 46191 44341 34 334 38 349 41 348 49 353 48 347 44341 42620 32 329 40 347 41 348 49 349 55 341 42620 41017 30 320 31 334 35 337 44 347 53 339 41017 39517 24 309 27 318 35 319 34 345 44 343 39517 38109 25 270 20 285 36 315 31 337 32 356 38109 36750 29 251 28 270 28 317 33 335 26 350 36750 35382 31 248 31 262 22 285 32 333 31 347 35382 33977 29 249 34 256 25 277 17 310 37 347 33977 32534 28 255 33 249 32 262 20 274 26 337 32534 31044 26 256 30 253 34 256 28 258 20 310 31044 29496 23 258 26 258 30 263 29 261 23 292 29496 27891 20 260 22 264 24 271 23 269 24 288 27891 26226 16 270 15 276 18 279 14 275 18 283 26226 24496 11 300 11 298 12 288 8 297 11 284 24496 22704 10 332 10 319 9 305 8 335 6 308 22704 20841 12 355 9 333 8 321 9 344 6 334 20841 18903 12 001 8 352 6 329 8 335 7 343 18903 16927 10 349 9 007 6 349 7 336 6 350 16927 15021 8 346 8 012 6 010 6 351 5 011 15021 13283 7 356 7 019 7 026 6 013 7 025 13283 11731 9 005 10 032 8 040 9 029 11 033 11731 10346 10 013 12 044 10 057 11 044 13 053 10346 9107 10 020 12 061 14 071 13 059 15 069 9107 8002 9 026 13 073 14 074 13 066 16 080 8002 7020 7 035 12 082 10*070 11 061 13 088 7020 6151 5 047 9 090 5*062 8 047 11 094 6151 5380 4 067 7 099 3 059 6 034 10 101 5380 4687 3 095 5 104 0 341 4 013 10 103 4687 4071 4 104 3*108 2 239 3*344 11 101 4071 3555 6 089 2*126 3 236 2*303 11 093 3555 3158 7 083 2 170 4 233 2 278 11 083 3158 2884 9 072 2 192 4 231 2 264 11 075 2884 2718 7*069 2 201 4 230 2 262 8*066 2718 2622 6*060 2 205 4 229 2 260 6*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography