DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.4 - - - - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 538 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1166 - - 1595 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4199 - - 4547 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4703 - - 5132 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 693 - - 897 - - - - - 1617 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 333 - - 392 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 232 - - - - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 40 - - - - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1312 - - -1057 - - - - - -1260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6015 - - 6189 - - - - - 3884 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6696 - - -5507 - - - - - -8962 ODpotential blCL - - - 11399 - - 10639 - - - - - 11585 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 73 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.4 - - - - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 50.1 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 66.2 - - - - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 49.6 - - - - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 538 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1166 - - 1595 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98237 3 273 10 275 8 336 98237 90770 5 190 6 251 7 310 90770 85003 5 279 6 256 12 286 85003 80239 9 280 7 281 7 272 80239 76152 8 253 14 271 10 308 76152 72560 4 232 13 265 8 346 72560 69316 7 317 13 303 12 332 69316 66331 16 305 16 306 19 296 66331 63566 18 284 19 279 21 280 63566 60871 21 265 22 275 23 274 60871 58046 30 265 28 278 30 278 58046 55120 41 271 39 277 37 279 55120 52341 46 275 49 274 43 277 52341 49848 52 277 53 272 46 275 49848 47623 56 276 54 273 47 273 47623 45614 58 276 52 274 44 292 45614 43785 58 279 52 277 48 295 43785 42112 57 281 55 278 54 295 42112 40566 51 276 56 277 55 294 40566 39120 46 273 53 278 45 306 39120 37758 47 277 48 283 41 324 37758 36444 49 285 54 296 45 327 36444 35116 55 294 58 297 50 316 35116 33745 58 295 56 293 53 308 33745 32335 52 289 53 291 51 302 32335 30869 46 284 53 291 48 302 30869 29336 47 293 53 291 44 307 29336 27736 50 303 52 292 42 312 27736 26068 46 305 51 297 41 317 26068 24333 44 306 49 301 39 322 24333 22535 44 306 42 305 35 326 22535 20668 40 301 36 307 31 329 20668 18725 38 297 32 301 29 326 18725 16749 35 298 29 295 27 320 16749 14847 30 304 27 298 24 320 14847 13117 27 311 25 303 22 325 13117 11576 25 314 22 307 20 330 11576 10203 24 319 20 310 21 333 10203 8982 25 326 18 313 23 334 8982 7896 27 332 17 318 26 334 7896 6932 28 335 15 321 25 330 6932 6080 25 337 11 322 22 326 6080 5324 19*336 6*309 17 322 5324 4644 11*326 4*263 10 321 4644 4040 7 297 6 236 3 327 4040 3535 7 272 7 230 1 162 3535 3147 8 263 8 227 4 169 3147 2879 8 257 8 225 4 171 2879 2716 7 254 8 224 4*174 2716 2622 7 251 7 224 3*174 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography