DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 64.3 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 467 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3443 - - 3416 - - - - - 241 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5944 - - 5909 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6980 - - 6953 - - - - - 3778 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1106 - - 1987 - - - - - 1519 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 481 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 265 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 16 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 59 - - - - - 26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 646 - - 887 - - - - - -519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6334 - - 6067 - - - - - 4297 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -23 - - 322 - - - - - -7234 ODpotential blCL - - - 7003 - - 6631 - - - - - 11012 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 93 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 64.3 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 46.7 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 62.6 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 46.4 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 467 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3443 - - 3416 - - - - - 241 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 72 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98311 6 071 15 049 11 135 98311 90886 9 136 9 090 15 064 90886 85159 15 132 9 124 18 052 85159 80419 18 113 11 151 15 053 80419 76362 15 099 14 124 9 070 76362 72790 11 114 10 117 12 079 72790 69556 5 133 6 165 6 084 69556 66576 8 192 12 157 14 151 66576 63799 16 239 14 228 5 219 63799 61101 22 225 26 237 24 255 61101 58285 18 225 24 247 30 245 58285 55353 23 259 26 257 28 249 55353 52561 35 269 27 262 32 272 52561 50061 41 270 35 265 41 273 50061 47827 41 271 39 270 44 275 47827 45801 41 275 40 274 47 283 45801 43953 44 281 44 284 52 289 43953 42259 48 289 51 287 55 293 42259 40698 52 291 56 286 56 293 40698 39245 54 291 53 285 53 292 39245 37880 53 291 47 291 50 296 37880 36564 51 293 46 298 52 301 36564 35230 51 299 49 302 53 301 35230 33850 51 304 52 302 53 299 33850 32426 53 308 54 300 52 297 32426 30945 54 309 52 300 51 296 30945 29397 52 310 49 301 50 302 29397 27782 51 312 46 303 49 309 27782 26100 52 317 46 305 46 309 26100 24353 51 320 47 307 44 304 24353 22544 46 321 46 310 43 304 22544 20666 42 319 42 314 39 309 20666 18718 41 317 36 317 33 311 18718 16741 39 318 33 318 31 311 16741 14840 35 320 32 325 30 314 14840 13109 31 323 32 330 29 322 13109 11566 28 329 29 338 28 331 11566 10191 25 337 25 349 26 337 10191 8967 22 347 17 353 24 340 8967 7879 18*351 14*345 21 340 7879 6914 12*347 11*333 19 338 6914 6064 10 335 9 305 15 334 6064 5311 9 326 8 283 11 329 5311 4634 8 306 10 254 8 317 4634 4035 8 299 11 245 6*295 4035 3532 8 291 12 240 6*266 3532 3145 8 284 12 238 6 253 3145 2878 8 280 12 236 5 246 2878 2715 8 277 11 234 5 242 2715 2622 7 274 9 233 4 240 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography