DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.0 - - 76.9 - - 82.8 - - 78.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 92 - - 486 - - 556 - - 361 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 623 - - 386 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 2607 - - 3840 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3789 - - 4160 - - 3923 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 953 - - 394 - - 594 - - 623 - - 975 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 204 - - 288 - - 213 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 189 - - 183 - - 171 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 28 - - 36 - - 35 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4893 - - -2483 - - -4020 - - -2819 - - -4394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7517 - - 6272 - - 8180 - - 6742 - - 7018 sfcLCL ODpotential -13819 - - -9083 - - -9955 - - -8838 - - -12406 ODpotential blCL 16443 - - 12872 - - 14115 - - 12761 - - 15030 blCL maxRH 69 - - 76 - - 85 - - 94 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.0 - - 76.9 - - 82.8 - - 78.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.6 - - 58.4 - - 56.1 - - 57.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.9 - - 74.8 - - 80.4 - - 76.8 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 58.3 - - 56.0 - - 57.8 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 92 - - 486 - - 556 - - 361 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 623 - - 386 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 39 - - 75 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99189 34 090 30 105 28 116 27 111 27 088 99189 91741 34 104 32 103 32 106 29 113 25 102 91741 85988 32 108 29 108 34 102 31 104 24 106 85988 81176 25 104 27 116 30 107 29 099 23 105 81176 77020 22 102 22 116 23 111 23 102 25 106 77020 73369 19 112 18 111 18 107 20 109 22 106 73369 70093 15 119 16 124 15 120 14 112 14 102 70093 67098 16 132 20 137 19 139 11 143 10 119 67098 64338 17 138 16 139 15 139 11 155 11 120 64338 61676 14 158 12 157 11 151 12 160 9 139 61676 58922 16 177 20 152 21 157 20 163 17 177 58922 56107 13 183 23 158 24 163 23 168 26 183 56107 53448 22 202 21 185 26 181 28 182 33 179 53448 51059 37 194 32 194 33 181 35 181 35 179 51059 48908 42 191 41 188 38 182 35 180 34 178 48908 46935 40 196 45 185 43 185 31 192 30 182 46935 45111 36 204 39 191 47 184 35 193 25 192 45111 43411 36 208 35 197 40 188 43 181 29 193 43411 41820 38 203 35 202 35 196 44 176 33 193 41820 40321 40 195 37 204 36 201 41 188 38 183 40321 38904 42 195 41 202 42 205 38 197 45 174 38904 37537 46 191 50 199 45 200 38 190 38 176 37537 36152 49 194 53 195 46 192 36 187 34 180 36152 34721 38 203 45 202 42 191 33 185 32 181 34721 33246 30 215 30 211 30 195 35 181 32 181 33246 31715 25 223 22 216 22 187 33 179 33 182 31715 30121 18 210 15 188 22 175 21 176 28 178 30121 28458 19 175 19 171 22 168 24 168 26 173 28458 26727 25 157 26 157 27 153 32 159 34 164 26727 24937 28 142 34 144 38 144 37 151 39 154 24937 23092 30 140 36 139 43 140 42 142 41 142 23092 21186 28 142 33 144 39 143 35 143 36 142 21186 19209 23 145 26 151 27 150 25 146 28 143 19209 17196 16 156 17 157 20 154 19 140 22 138 17196 15251 11 162 12 165 16 154 14 145 18 128 15251 13477 8 179 12 181 14 159 9 157 15 124 13477 11893 7 193 12 187 12 172 7 167 13 125 11893 10478 7 198 11 189 10 178 8 168 12 137 10478 9215 6 197 11 189 9 177 10 162 12 160 9215 8087 7 190 10 178 10 168 13 159 14 174 8087 7084 6 183 11 163 11 157 15 160 14 177 7084 6197 5 180 11 152 12 151 16 158 14 173 6197 5412 4 188 10 144 10 147 15 154 14 167 5412 4707 3 213 7 141 9*153 13 153 13 157 4707 4083 3 264 5*152 8*167 12*160 13 148 4083 3562 3 300 4*167 8 178 12*166 11 143 3562 3162 3 299 6 188 9 186 12 170 9 144 3162 2887 2 283 6 195 9 190 12 174 8 143 2887 2719 2*271 6 197 9 191 11 175 5*134 2719 2623 2*266 6 199 8 194 9 177 2*115 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography