DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 71.9 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 287 - - - - - -99 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 43 - - 2652 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 5195 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3580 - - 6189 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 829 - - 2820 - - - - - 527 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 383 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 18 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 062 - - 070 - - - - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -135 - - -95 - - - - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9636 - - -8575 - - - - - -12732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13216 - - 14765 - - - - - 15356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19099 - - -17022 - - - - - -21568 ODpotential blCL - - - 22679 - - 23211 - - - - - 24191 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 66 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 71.9 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.4 - - 15.9 - - - - - 4.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 71.1 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 14.7 - - - - - 3.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 287 - - - - - -99 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 43 - - 2652 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96947 30 265 36 269 40 279 96947 89655 12 229 26 252 30 283 89655 84093 9 220 14 232 22 287 84093 79524 10 233 7 234 13 280 79524 75601 2 307 7 286 4 235 75601 72112 12 296 11 309 4 343 72112 68937 16 263 17 300 13 314 68937 66016 15 283 19 298 19 306 66016 63311 21 289 23 286 20 306 63311 60698 22 300 21 280 23 298 60698 57968 33 295 28 283 28 294 57968 55122 42 279 38 284 34 283 55122 52389 42 276 42 282 36 279 52389 49908 40 281 43 281 40 276 49908 47672 45 287 47 282 43 279 47672 45635 52 287 49 285 47 278 45635 43764 56 285 51 285 46 276 43764 42048 59 277 56 278 44 275 42048 40473 54 272 58 268 42 276 40473 39017 47 278 54 265 38 278 39017 37659 47 280 47 266 33 274 37659 36356 47 279 43 267 25 272 36356 35041 46 277 41 267 23 273 35041 33681 45 273 39 268 24 267 33681 32277 39 283 35 269 25 264 32277 30814 37 278 29 270 24 259 30814 29280 38 273 26 280 26 257 29280 27679 33 278 23 286 22 258 27679 26014 27 290 22 289 8 297 26014 24285 26 297 22 289 7 315 24285 22490 25 302 19 293 9 314 22490 20625 23 308 16 303 10 325 20625 18690 20 320 12 324 9 347 18690 16727 16 329 11 345 8 003 16727 14840 12 322 10 355 7 022 14840 13122 11 319 9 357 8 036 13122 11593 10 340 8 001 8 043 11593 10231 12 354 6 007 8 069 10231 9016 7 002 2 067 8 086 9016 7932 3 104 5 134 8 103 7932 6967 4 120 6*128 8 118 6967 6111 5 094 7*098 10 115 6111 5350 8 069 13 076 10 106 5350 4665 20 063 20 069 13 082 4665 4055 29*063 23 068 16 067 4055 3545 32*063 23 066 24 066 3545 3151 31 063 22 066 26 067 3151 2880 28 062 20 066 22 066 2880 2716 23 062 18 065 16*063 2716 2622 14 061 12 065 9*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography