DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 80.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 482 - - 595 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 800 - - 1389 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3945 - - 4408 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4337 - - 4926 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1384 - - 725 - - 971 - - - - - 1287 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 299 - - 385 - - - - - 25 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 218 - - 220 - - - - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 31 - - 45 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3129 - - -2503 - - -3106 - - - - - -3707 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5754 - - 6841 - - 8032 - - - - - 6331 sfcLCL ODpotential -9931 - - -6941 - - -6271 - - - - - -9781 ODpotential blCL 12555 - - 11278 - - 11197 - - - - - 12405 blCL maxRH 81 - - 75 - - 78 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 80.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.7 - - - - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 78.4 - - 82.5 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 59.4 - - 58.6 - - - - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 482 - - 595 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 800 - - 1389 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 13 - - - - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99239 41 103 43 102 36 119 26 094 99239 91680 38 101 38 109 35 105 33 105 91680 85873 35 100 34 108 32 097 37 109 85873 81094 34 100 28 102 30 102 33 101 81094 76991 33 096 27 108 25 105 25 096 76991 73369 26 094 28 108 22 103 21 101 73369 70106 18 088 21 101 16 096 21 107 70106 67129 14 106 15 100 12 091 19 086 67129 64379 15 106 16 124 16 117 17 055 64379 61714 13 101 18 134 21 126 14 066 61714 58959 14 114 15 134 20 133 13 116 58959 56159 19 118 20 138 25 145 17 151 56159 53522 21 131 22 153 26 151 19 150 53522 51151 21 146 28 156 23 159 16 141 51151 49014 16 154 30 148 23 155 18 135 49014 47059 13 171 19 145 22 148 18 124 47059 45250 16 166 15 143 15 148 15 117 45250 43561 12 161 9 137 11 157 11 117 43561 41972 11 171 4 143 7 157 9 121 41972 40473 14 156 6 138 7 143 13 110 40473 39057 13 126 14 120 14 129 14 114 39057 37690 10 133 18 115 19 127 16 131 37690 36302 10 148 16 125 15 133 15 142 36302 34865 13 152 15 145 12 147 10 154 34865 33384 12 169 12 174 10 166 7 148 33384 31844 8 196 9 183 10 150 8 131 31844 30231 5 223 8 193 10 141 6 140 30231 28549 6 236 10 218 6 169 8 104 28549 26802 6 210 11 214 7 197 11 102 26802 24995 7 172 12 201 8 201 10 122 24995 23129 11 168 14 178 12 185 10 139 23129 21201 18 150 16 172 13 174 10 149 21201 19204 18 142 14 178 10 166 11 150 19204 17178 15 131 11 170 9 159 12 151 17178 15230 12 135 11 171 10 169 13 148 15230 13458 13 147 12 174 11 172 13 149 13458 11877 12 154 10 180 11 181 11 161 11877 10468 8 165 7 186 8 183 10 177 10468 9209 3 209 6 195 7 179 9 189 9209 8085 5 273 4 207 7 179 10 201 8085 7085 8 281 3 227 6 185 10 217 7085 6200 9 281 3 244 5 194 9 231 6200 5416 8 280 3 247 4*212 8 243 5416 4712 6 277 2*237 5*221 7 249 4712 4088 4 265 2*224 6 220 5 247 4088 3566 2 266 4 219 8 220 2 222 3566 3165 1 249 5 218 9 220 3 178 3165 2888 2 236 6 217 9 220 4 178 2888 2720 2*233 6 217 9 220 4*181 2720 2623 2*230 6 217 8 219 3*183 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography