DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 81.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 264 - - 170 - - 183 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 260 - - 729 - - 905 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 2607 - - 2607 - - 3699 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3797 - - 4266 - - 4442 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1038 - - 992 - - 2241 - - 1740 - - 1554 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 169 - - 205 - - 226 - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 18 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 174 - - 136 - - 175 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 23 - - -11 - - 18 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2108 - - -2194 - - -2595 - - -2018 - - -3409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4733 - - 5991 - - 6862 - - 6460 - - 6035 sfcLCL ODpotential -7899 - - -5939 - - -5319 - - -4769 - - -7237 ODpotential blCL 10523 - - 9736 - - 9585 - - 9211 - - 9862 blCL maxRH 75 - - 100 - - 101 - - 97 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 60 - - 90 - - 340 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 81.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.8 - - 60.5 - - 59.5 - - 61.7 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 76.8 - - 80.0 - - 80.4 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.1 - - 60.4 - - 59.3 - - 61.6 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 264 - - 170 - - 183 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 260 - - 729 - - 905 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 101 - - 103 - - 89 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99110 44 109 35 106 33 106 36 099 41 092 99110 91656 45 096 42 108 37 112 31 102 31 097 91656 85903 33 093 37 102 35 108 36 109 29 108 85903 81128 18 100 28 098 33 100 37 111 31 104 81128 77024 20 114 24 100 24 093 26 099 32 092 77024 73400 27 106 19 102 22 089 24 089 26 087 73400 70122 23 102 20 117 21 105 24 096 22 099 70122 67126 19 129 19 118 22 112 21 088 23 097 67126 64367 17 130 16 124 17 134 13 123 19 092 64367 61701 12 132 25 142 25 150 22 170 21 146 61701 58929 19 139 26 144 27 151 24 167 22 163 58929 56075 23 137 23 173 21 169 20 165 20 164 56075 53368 34 150 37 176 33 196 30 189 24 183 53368 50944 36 144 42 156 46 153 40 174 32 184 50944 48781 24 159 36 150 44 144 39 172 37 180 48781 46819 21 187 37 158 32 152 39 171 35 176 46819 45014 25 201 36 166 40 169 35 175 30 176 45014 43333 34 204 30 173 29 169 35 179 29 178 43333 41759 39 192 28 184 29 173 36 178 34 175 41759 40274 41 186 32 191 36 172 37 174 37 171 40274 38873 40 183 40 180 42 169 39 171 39 170 38873 37518 39 180 44 163 44 163 40 169 39 171 37518 36142 38 174 41 158 46 154 42 167 39 173 36142 34717 39 163 36 159 45 154 45 164 39 173 34717 33245 38 173 29 166 40 160 44 159 40 171 33245 31714 38 195 27 187 34 164 39 160 41 171 31714 30115 31 172 29 166 33 164 38 163 39 171 30115 28454 31 160 35 161 28 174 33 167 34 168 28454 26729 26 170 32 153 25 172 26 169 30 172 26729 24938 22 170 26 156 20 160 23 169 29 177 24938 23086 21 156 23 149 16 151 22 156 23 181 23086 21167 21 145 25 135 15 153 24 167 20 179 21167 19182 21 140 25 132 14 143 19 185 22 185 19182 17167 19 139 17 132 8 121 12 207 17 204 17167 15230 16 148 9 151 2 052 7 223 11 222 15230 13465 13 165 7 181 4 293 5 242 6 237 13465 11891 11 174 9 186 5 273 3 264 3 230 11891 10487 10 171 9 185 3 271 1 313 3 161 10487 9234 10 164 10 179 0 359 0 285 5 124 9234 8114 10 161 10 172 3 110 2 041 6 119 8114 7115 10 160 11 166 7 131 7 053 6 096 7115 6229 9 160 12 158 10 135 10 056 7 061 6229 5441 8 160 11 151 13 133 9 064 7 033 5441 4732 7 158 10 146 14*129 7*072 8 013 4732 4102 5 156 8*146 13*128 3*093 8 000 4102 3575 3 153 6*157 10 133 2 170 6 351 3575 3170 1 163 6 172 9 138 3 189 4 337 3170 2891 1 244 7 180 9 143 3 197 3 305 2891 2721 1*252 6 183 8 146 3 200 2*290 2721 2624 1*251 6 186 7 151 3 203 2*279 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography