DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 86.4 - - 87.5 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 589 - - 315 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 297 - - 1075 - - 790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4175 - - 3853 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3834 - - 4612 - - 4327 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 488 - - 550 - - 840 - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 353 - - 258 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 209 - - 239 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 40 - - 33 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5520 - - -4396 - - -5385 - - -2677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9354 - - 9008 - - 9713 - - 5301 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12101 - - -9802 - - -10652 - - -10783 ODpotential blCL - - - 15935 - - 14414 - - 14979 - - 13407 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 47 - - 46 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 86.4 - - 87.5 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 56.0 - - 54.2 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 83.7 - - 86.0 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 56.0 - - 54.1 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 589 - - 315 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 297 - - 1075 - - 790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99185 39 106 38 119 33 112 34 097 99185 91645 39 107 38 119 32 109 29 098 91645 85856 37 100 33 106 34 106 32 108 85856 81090 33 098 29 098 33 093 35 099 81090 77012 29 096 24 092 30 092 33 090 77012 73413 25 106 19 096 25 094 28 095 73413 70141 21 111 17 113 16 089 23 089 70141 67138 18 096 21 118 12 116 11 095 67138 64374 15 094 17 105 13 125 10 115 64374 61721 10 107 14 104 15 102 9 111 61721 58991 3 072 6 140 6 073 7 104 58991 56174 7 151 10 212 7 232 2 274 56174 53502 10 149 12 202 8 253 8 307 53502 51127 2 341 5 150 8 205 6 251 51127 48998 6 310 7 328 1 261 5 215 48998 47043 2 342 11 305 5 243 6 235 47043 45232 3 259 11 295 7 217 7 239 45232 43543 6 275 12 292 6 227 6 249 43543 41957 11 285 12 286 5 259 4 270 41957 40462 13 286 11 268 8 274 6 281 40462 39050 13 284 11 252 13 278 9 281 39050 37685 13 279 11 254 15 269 10 268 37685 36300 13 270 10 262 16 261 13 260 36300 34868 13 264 10 267 15 259 13 256 34868 33390 10 263 7 271 10 274 11 252 33390 31854 4 250 4 287 4 295 6 243 31854 30251 6 162 2 218 2 177 6 215 30251 28584 8 135 5 168 7 162 4 190 28584 26852 7 119 5 149 4 154 2 089 26852 25055 8 113 4 131 3 129 2 051 25055 23199 9 105 4 143 4 119 2 076 23199 21283 7 113 6 182 2 117 0 191 21283 19299 7 159 7 199 2 198 7 241 19299 17281 10 193 14 219 10 237 11 231 17281 15332 11 226 16 228 15 243 11 230 15332 13551 14 252 16 241 14 255 11 248 13551 11959 16 262 17 261 14 271 11 272 11959 10538 17 267 19 275 15 282 12 289 10538 9266 16 269 19 281 15 289 10 297 9266 8130 14 271 17 287 14 290 9 295 8130 7120 13 271 14 292 11 284 8 281 7120 6227 10 269 10 296 8 271 7 274 6227 5434 7 265 6 298 6 264 7 269 5434 4724 4 263 2*247 5*262 6 270 4724 4094 2*247 4*211 5*255 4 273 4094 3569 3*221 6 209 6 241 1 264 3569 3166 4 219 8 209 7 237 2 128 3166 2889 5 217 8 210 7 234 3 151 2889 2720 5 219 8 210 7 233 3*160 2720 2623 5 218 8 210 6 231 2*162 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography