DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 67.7 - - 62.6 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 108 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 101 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3638 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1386 - - 890 - - 1373 - - 845 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 94 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 229 - - 179 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 18 - - 13 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6040 - - -3660 - - -2647 - - -2144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8664 - - 7298 - - 5271 - - 4767 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13781 - - -10273 - - -9791 - - -11260 ODpotential blCL - - - 16404 - - 13911 - - 12415 - - 13883 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 69 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 67.7 - - 62.6 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 45.0 - - 48.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 67.5 - - 63.5 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 44.1 - - 48.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 108 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 101 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 20 252 27 270 19 266 14 290 96331 89239 1 125 9 277 4 252 4 263 89239 83745 6 320 13 288 7 342 8 290 83745 79180 10 295 11 314 7 313 7 289 79180 75233 13 301 17 325 15 328 17 339 75233 71757 5 332 11 332 14 313 19 331 71757 68635 15 006 13 005 11 353 20 348 68635 65782 29 325 29 328 27 330 31 320 65782 63151 28 336 26 321 22 323 23 312 63151 60602 34 344 31 324 27 334 21 338 60602 57919 34 330 39 317 40 330 38 324 57919 55133 42 311 54 309 58 306 57 300 55133 52477 50 297 58 297 54 291 47 287 52477 50067 48 301 52 304 55 315 55 313 50067 47889 57 315 64 316 76 312 76 313 47889 45907 61 304 61 302 71 301 75 303 45907 44088 60 296 60 294 64 293 64 293 44088 42412 55 291 55 291 56 292 58 292 42412 40862 51 286 43 292 47 285 46 293 40862 39415 43 283 42 293 39 283 39 291 39415 38050 40 284 43 286 35 283 40 285 38050 36731 37 286 40 283 38 285 38 281 36731 35394 36 288 41 285 40 287 37 278 35394 34013 36 287 42 289 40 288 40 281 34013 32589 40 289 43 291 39 288 43 285 32589 31109 45 290 42 289 39 290 40 285 31109 29559 49 286 42 283 38 289 38 282 29559 27941 50 281 45 280 39 287 39 278 27941 26258 46 279 47 280 40 285 41 280 26258 24512 45 277 49 280 41 285 45 284 24512 22704 46 276 48 279 42 283 45 283 22704 20825 48 278 47 281 43 280 45 279 20825 18869 46 279 45 282 42 280 43 279 18869 16876 43 279 42 281 41 281 40 283 16876 14959 38 280 39 280 40 281 38 286 14959 13217 34 277 35 278 38 281 37 286 13217 11666 31 276 33 277 37 281 36 285 11666 10284 29 279 32 279 36 284 35 286 10284 9051 27 283 30 282 35 287 32 288 9051 7950 24 285 28 286 33 290 29 289 7950 6973 21 285 25 289 30 293 25 289 6973 6108 18 285 21 291 25 292 19 287 6108 5343 14 279 15 290 17 288 12 277 5343 4656 9 268 9 284 9 279 7 253 4656 4047 6 240 5*273 4 264 5 209 4047 3539 3 217 3*246 3 200 4 181 3539 3148 2 199 3 227 4 180 3 162 3148 2880 1 214 4 225 4 178 4 142 2880 2716 1*255 4 223 4*179 4*135 2716 2622 0*266 3 223 3*179 3*115 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography