DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 80.4 - - 79.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 136 - - 3 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 447 - - 3964 - - 2722 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 5889 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3984 - - 7501 - - 6259 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3550 - - 1733 - - 2760 - - 1009 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 353 - - 145 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 075 - - 080 - - 071 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -55 - - -17 - - -29 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6411 - - -5247 - - -6618 - - -9225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10395 - - 12748 - - 12878 - - 11850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13414 - - -11994 - - -13042 - - -16624 ODpotential blCL - - - 17398 - - 19495 - - 19301 - - 19248 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 53 - - 78 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 80.4 - - 79.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 33.8 - - 32.5 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 80.1 - - 80.5 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 32.5 - - 31.4 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 136 - - 3 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 447 - - 3964 - - 2722 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96436 27 305 22 287 24 296 21 282 96436 89264 15 308 19 281 24 296 17 332 89264 83763 11 299 17 288 24 296 23 328 83763 79195 17 305 16 301 19 315 20 329 79195 75270 20 310 20 298 21 312 24 320 75270 71830 20 318 22 309 23 308 25 320 71830 68741 23 318 29 319 25 321 22 330 68741 65898 25 312 32 323 25 329 18 329 65898 63254 25 316 29 320 26 332 19 320 63254 60690 23 317 24 315 24 322 23 320 60690 58004 23 321 24 317 24 318 27 323 58004 55201 26 315 26 307 26 311 29 317 55201 52510 24 311 23 300 26 296 28 311 52510 50069 19 307 20 299 24 288 30 301 50069 47869 21 307 25 307 24 291 30 294 47869 45878 26 310 30 308 26 299 30 295 45878 44070 35 315 32 310 30 306 32 301 44070 42410 39 315 34 317 30 307 34 302 42410 40870 41 320 39 324 33 320 30 309 40870 39434 43 323 44 321 43 319 35 318 39434 38087 41 323 43 321 46 313 45 317 38087 36788 36 324 41 325 43 314 48 316 36788 35468 32 329 34 324 42 313 43 316 35468 34101 29 330 26 320 38 308 37 309 34101 32690 26 327 23 318 34 306 36 310 32690 31220 23 326 24 313 30 301 37 311 31220 29681 22 326 24 312 28 299 35 311 29681 28075 23 329 24 315 25 299 30 312 28075 26400 24 331 25 316 24 298 26 308 26400 24656 22 325 25 305 25 290 27 292 24656 22846 19 304 25 292 25 286 27 287 22846 20967 17 300 23 288 24 296 25 293 20967 19013 16 318 19 298 21 312 20 311 19013 17021 16 344 14 323 18 325 17 329 17021 15098 15 355 13 349 17 340 16 352 15098 13343 12 350 10 001 16 356 18 011 13343 11779 9 343 9 005 15 011 17 019 11779 10385 8 351 9 015 13 022 14 023 10385 9144 7 010 10 028 10 043 11 028 9144 8036 5 033 8*052 9 068 8 038 8036 7050 3 083 8*073 10*076 6 052 7050 6177 4 119 9 078 11*074 7 064 6177 5401 7 114 9 079 12 072 9 067 5401 4702 11 099 9 079 12 071 11 066 4702 4082 14*087 9 081 11 070 15 060 4082 3562 16*077 8 082 10 069 15 058 3562 3162 15 075 7 084 9 069 14 053 3162 2887 13 074 6 085 8 068 12 048 2887 2719 11 073 6 087 6 068 10*041 2719 2623 7 073 4 091 5 070 7*036 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography