DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 64.1 - - 68.0 - - 65.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 375 - - 459 - - 237 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1174 - - 2207 - - 1503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 4169 - - 4977 - - 4285 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4711 - - 5744 - - 5040 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1290 - - 1373 - - 1127 - - 1330 - - 1415 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 314 - - 415 - - 293 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 20 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 253 - - 225 - - 244 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 28 - - 38 - - 33 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4636 - - -1940 - - -1523 - - -1547 - - -1471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7259 - - 6652 - - 7267 - - 6587 - - 4094 sfcLCL ODpotential -12561 - - -6573 - - -5815 - - -5599 - - -6691 ODpotential blCL 15184 - - 11284 - - 11559 - - 10639 - - 9314 blCL maxRH 52 - - 60 - - 75 - - 63 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 64.1 - - 68.0 - - 65.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 44.1 - - 45.2 - - 45.7 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 62.5 - - 66.1 - - 64.5 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 45.1 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 375 - - 459 - - 237 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1174 - - 2207 - - 1503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97656 18 316 13 315 19 273 26 282 31 315 97656 90273 16 322 17 307 20 326 18 314 21 336 90273 84637 16 332 9 321 19 325 19 340 13 351 84637 79982 12 300 9 339 10 344 15 350 11 343 79982 75958 4 295 8 347 4 350 11 345 8 327 75958 72393 10 335 7 315 4 288 9 336 8 310 72393 69168 16 293 9 295 8 320 5 327 7 305 69168 66191 22 234 12 275 12 292 9 294 9 316 66191 63418 14 232 16 264 17 272 16 278 16 294 63418 60728 15 263 24 249 24 257 25 280 22 276 60728 57932 23 271 28 261 30 255 29 268 27 276 57932 55036 30 276 31 260 30 261 28 263 30 273 55036 52270 41 256 33 260 35 260 40 264 36 268 52270 49793 47 258 42 267 40 276 41 257 36 257 49793 47600 50 263 52 266 51 265 46 272 39 265 47600 45611 69 259 77 247 65 248 62 248 45 269 45611 43790 86 252 79 246 73 243 66 242 61 241 43790 42128 91 254 82 252 72 250 68 248 62 241 42128 40587 96 256 88 254 82 253 80 251 68 248 40587 39135 98 256 90 253 86 252 87 248 76 249 39135 37762 97 255 90 252 88 252 89 247 80 248 37762 36433 96 254 89 252 90 251 88 249 79 250 36433 35086 94 255 87 251 91 251 86 250 72 255 35086 33694 90 258 84 253 90 251 80 253 58 261 33694 32261 69 266 77 258 80 256 65 263 37 263 32261 30773 47 270 62 265 58 262 38 271 14 258 30773 29225 31 259 38 262 32 260 19 270 2 291 29225 27618 23 263 28 244 27 253 15 250 6 040 27618 25948 23 275 30 244 25 253 12 260 8 049 25948 24215 25 262 32 261 24 262 13 265 3 277 24215 22423 29 265 32 271 23 276 16 264 9 281 22423 20563 28 278 26 272 22 280 18 299 12 313 20563 18632 27 281 23 278 18 290 17 317 11 328 18632 16669 25 272 21 275 16 283 13 314 7 313 16669 14780 23 261 18 272 16 274 13 281 10 278 14780 13062 20 263 16 271 15 274 14 272 15 275 13062 11534 17 274 13 273 13 277 11 274 13 279 11534 10176 14 288 9 274 10 278 7 281 7 284 10176 8964 11 300 5 279 5 276 3 262 4 278 8964 7885 9 312 2 322 0 280 2 200 3 301 7885 6923 8 324 5 011 2 013 3 282 5 308 6923 6072 10 337 7 017 1*336 5 297 7 308 6072 5316 11 345 7*011 2*247 5*295 8 304 5316 4637 12 351 4*000 3 237 5*279 7 302 4637 4036 12 356 2 295 6 224 5 253 5 303 4036 3532 11 358 4 244 7 223 6 241 2 320 3532 3145 9 359 5 234 8 223 7 236 1 080 3145 2878 7 358 5 230 8 222 7 233 1 135 2878 2715 5*357 5 228 8 222 7 232 1*140 2715 2622 3*348 5 227 7 222 6 231 1*149 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography