DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.3 - - 75.8 - - 81.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 425 - - 482 - - 258 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 243 - - 804 - - 450 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 3951 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3780 - - 4341 - - 3987 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 822 - - 429 - - 804 - - 1020 - - 666 Hgt.Variab. W* 43 - - 193 - - 301 - - 202 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 244 - - 253 - - 255 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 29 - - 34 - - 27 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4473 - - -3896 - - -4508 - - -4438 - - -3626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7098 - - 7676 - - 8849 - - 8425 - - 6250 sfcLCL ODpotential -12081 - - -8684 - - -8890 - - -8834 - - -10687 ODpotential blCL 14705 - - 12464 - - 13231 - - 12821 - - 13311 blCL maxRH 48 - - 65 - - 65 - - 76 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.3 - - 75.8 - - 81.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 51.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.9 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 74.0 - - 79.5 - - 78.7 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 51.0 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 425 - - 482 - - 258 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 243 - - 804 - - 450 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98409 16 099 10 107 8 149 7 081 3 136 98409 90953 17 081 15 104 10 125 11 050 13 085 90953 85208 19 084 18 103 16 112 8 100 17 079 85208 80455 17 088 16 099 17 099 14 110 17 087 80455 76392 12 093 14 100 20 090 19 095 20 094 76392 72837 8 096 17 087 18 078 20 087 18 083 72837 69644 11 097 11 103 15 078 16 078 16 070 69644 66712 11 088 8 126 9 068 15 062 15 063 66712 63990 9 065 7 079 8 084 13 062 12 055 63990 61360 7 034 7 036 7 025 10 050 12 051 61360 58603 8 014 7 020 9 347 12 015 17 032 58603 55734 13 334 10 005 8 338 15 340 17 002 55734 53004 18 333 19 008 16 013 18 359 25 006 53004 50559 27 341 31 002 31 002 35 354 38 003 50559 48386 33 347 37 005 39 001 41 360 45 003 48386 46429 33 358 47 013 49 015 44 010 49 000 46429 44631 53 015 59 015 51 016 46 005 49 358 44631 42961 60 016 62 019 50 018 43 005 52 357 42961 41398 65 017 62 018 50 012 44 001 50 354 41398 39928 66 018 57 016 48 008 42 359 46 353 39928 38542 63 021 54 016 44 003 40 359 43 353 38542 37205 62 023 52 016 41 001 39 357 41 353 37205 35850 60 024 50 017 41 359 39 355 39 352 35850 34450 56 025 49 018 40 359 36 354 35 350 34450 33007 48 024 50 019 39 003 35 353 28 348 33007 31508 35 011 46 022 37 010 36 354 26 345 31508 29939 26 002 37 015 37 019 29 004 28 351 29939 28303 22 000 33 359 31 018 25 011 28 358 28303 26594 19 355 28 349 30 004 23 007 23 358 26594 24816 18 348 24 345 31 357 27 001 22 345 24816 22971 15 350 19 349 25 359 28 003 23 353 22971 21060 10 353 13 354 19 002 24 007 18 008 21060 19080 7 003 11 353 12 000 18 007 13 005 19080 17068 6 360 10 344 10 353 12 004 11 353 17068 15135 3 329 7 314 9 348 9 357 10 351 15135 13378 0 018 3 260 5 333 5 353 8 343 13378 11815 2 146 3 212 2 274 0 313 3 293 11815 10423 2 194 0 145 2 217 3 223 4 261 10423 9177 3 243 2 284 2 252 5 258 7 276 9177 8064 4 272 4 285 4 272 9 277 8 286 8064 7072 6 297 3 287 6 279 11 290 9 303 7072 6192 9 316 4 303 7 284 12 301 11 321 6192 5410 12 335 6 319 7 296 12 305 13 331 5410 4706 15 348 6 330 7*300 10 306 13 334 4706 4083 17 353 5*329 6*290 8*302 10 333 4083 3562 15 354 3*278 6 257 6*272 7 335 3562 3161 10 349 5 246 7 248 6 257 4 352 3161 2886 6 338 6 238 7 242 6 249 2 344 2886 2719 4*325 6 235 7 240 6 246 1*331 2719 2623 3*300 5 233 7 237 5 242 1*307 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography