DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 437 - - 212 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1179 - - 885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4084 - - 4204 - - 3805 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4585 - - 4716 - - 4422 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 893 - - 918 - - 1102 - - 988 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 332 - - 238 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 233 - - 254 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 37 - - 28 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1427 - - -1731 - - -1640 - - -1468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6012 - - 6448 - - 6062 - - 4091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4946 - - -4196 - - -4570 - - -6087 ODpotential blCL - - - 9531 - - 8912 - - 8992 - - 8710 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 64 - - 63 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 150 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 67.9 - - 67.7 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 49.7 - - 50.2 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 437 - - 212 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1179 - - 885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97534 13 297 11 284 18 275 21 283 97534 90067 10 283 11 313 18 312 22 336 90067 84415 9 347 8 323 16 331 17 346 84415 79768 9 355 14 321 13 332 14 336 79768 75770 7 326 15 318 14 332 13 323 75770 72236 7 331 9 303 14 327 12 306 72236 69028 12 320 11 288 11 310 14 306 69028 66069 14 303 13 289 10 291 15 295 66069 63314 16 288 18 292 14 288 17 291 63314 60638 18 280 24 283 24 290 22 287 60638 57852 20 280 28 275 27 285 22 298 57852 54964 23 282 26 278 34 293 32 306 54964 52216 26 288 28 284 39 294 45 301 52216 49757 28 287 27 291 36 297 46 293 49757 47555 22 283 25 304 33 304 40 294 47555 45559 16 299 23 325 33 314 45 302 45559 43743 16 325 25 335 40 321 46 307 43743 42075 20 354 33 352 42 326 45 311 42075 40523 29 017 41 356 42 331 49 316 40523 39065 37 023 43 358 42 336 52 319 39065 37692 40 019 41 359 42 340 52 322 37692 36369 37 025 38 002 44 342 53 325 36369 35030 36 032 36 007 43 342 55 325 35030 33647 35 036 37 010 42 341 53 322 33647 32226 35 039 37 011 41 340 49 320 32226 30757 36 040 36 012 36 342 44 321 30757 29223 36 042 35 013 33 347 39 324 29223 27623 33 045 34 016 31 352 36 329 27623 25956 30 049 31 022 29 358 35 338 25956 24225 27 053 27 023 28 002 34 343 24225 22438 23 048 25 021 28 004 31 344 22438 20586 24 035 24 021 28 007 28 346 20586 18661 23 036 22 026 25 005 27 350 18661 16700 17 056 16 038 20 001 24 355 16700 14815 10 075 9 054 12 010 19 360 14815 13107 8 096 7 057 11 037 11 009 13107 11590 9 099 9 055 14 050 8 030 11590 10235 8 093 13 052 12 045 7 027 10235 9023 10 088 14 047 11 031 7 349 9023 7937 13 072 13 041 10 006 10 329 7937 6969 15 051 11 030 11 339 13 328 6969 6109 16 029 8 008 12 325 15 329 6109 5346 14 021 5*347 11 316 16 329 5346 4659 9*012 3*293 8*305 14 328 4659 4050 4*337 4 239 6*286 10 326 4050 3540 3 287 6 229 6 258 6 330 3540 3149 4 262 7 226 6 248 2 338 3149 2880 5 253 8 225 6 243 0 194 2880 2716 5 249 8 225 6 240 1*170 2716 2622 5 245 7 224 5 238 1*164 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography