DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 77.2 - - 73.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 570 - - 288 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1120 - - 1973 - - 1033 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4166 - - 4840 - - 4003 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4657 - - 5510 - - 4570 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1124 - - 1760 - - 1417 - - 1376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 426 - - 274 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 203 - - 205 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 48 - - 37 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4069 - - -3512 - - -3032 - - -2403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8726 - - 9022 - - 7602 - - 5027 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11143 - - -10677 - - -9509 - - -9807 ODpotential blCL - - - 15800 - - 16187 - - 14079 - - 12431 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 47 - - 52 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 77.2 - - 73.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 46.7 - - 48.8 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.7 - - 74.8 - - 71.9 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 46.6 - - 48.8 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 570 - - 288 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1120 - - 1973 - - 1033 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98887 17 114 18 114 9 105 15 079 98887 91453 20 106 19 092 18 103 18 093 91453 85726 19 087 21 099 23 098 21 104 85726 80982 15 090 18 108 19 105 22 083 80982 76900 14 128 9 120 14 091 17 089 76900 73291 16 146 8 135 8 088 13 087 73291 70028 11 158 6 141 7 083 6 055 70028 67022 6 147 3 151 5 142 4 243 67022 64235 15 214 6 242 2 206 10 200 64235 61542 19 211 19 235 9 263 3 269 61542 58739 18 199 28 214 26 235 20 254 58739 55863 22 237 31 232 38 234 38 247 55863 53158 42 253 46 252 50 250 54 249 53158 50744 64 256 66 255 64 254 69 253 50744 48575 73 256 74 254 74 252 78 255 48575 46593 80 260 79 254 79 250 83 253 46593 44764 87 259 84 254 83 249 87 251 44764 43063 91 258 88 256 87 252 91 252 43063 41471 92 261 90 257 90 253 93 253 41471 39973 91 262 90 258 90 255 92 255 39973 38561 87 262 89 259 90 257 90 256 38561 37200 84 263 86 260 89 258 90 254 37200 35823 79 262 82 259 87 258 88 255 35823 34400 74 258 77 257 81 257 85 256 34400 32934 71 254 73 254 76 254 80 255 32934 31413 67 252 69 251 72 250 76 253 31413 29825 65 252 65 250 69 249 72 251 29825 28169 60 253 61 250 66 250 68 251 28169 26446 53 253 56 250 60 251 61 251 26446 24663 50 252 52 250 54 250 55 249 24663 22823 44 251 47 251 49 249 50 248 22823 20917 39 251 42 250 44 247 46 247 20917 18939 35 250 38 246 39 246 42 246 18939 16930 31 246 35 242 36 246 39 247 16930 15000 29 241 33 239 33 245 34 249 15000 13247 29 238 31 237 29 246 30 251 13247 11688 29 236 29 238 25 247 26 251 11688 10302 27 235 27 237 23 247 24 252 10302 9068 25 233 24 236 21 247 22 252 9068 7969 24 231 21 236 19 245 19 252 7969 6991 21 229 18 234 16 243 17 249 6991 6127 17 222 13*226 13 235 14 241 6127 5360 13 202 11*212 10 226 11 229 5360 4671 11*181 10 202 8*215 9 215 4671 4060 11*171 10 200 7*207 6 195 4060 3548 11 171 11 200 8 204 5 175 3548 3154 11 175 11 202 9 205 6 162 3154 2883 10 178 11 203 8 205 5 155 2883 2717 10 179 11 203 8 205 5*150 2717 2623 8 182 9 204 7 206 3*144 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography