DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 85.3 - - 80.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 430 - - 171 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 972 - - 2754 - - 608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4003 - - 5373 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4509 - - 6291 - - 4145 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2181 - - 4998 - - 3243 - - 1449 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 435 - - 193 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 247 - - 239 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 37 - - 30 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4368 - - -3995 - - -3383 - - -3735 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8877 - - 10286 - - 7529 - - 6360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6905 - - -6674 - - -5981 - - -7966 ODpotential blCL - - - 11414 - - 12965 - - 10126 - - 10591 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 57 - - 64 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 410 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 85.3 - - 80.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 49.1 - - 56.4 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 83.4 - - 79.9 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 49.0 - - 56.4 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 430 - - 171 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 972 - - 2754 - - 608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98419 7 110 8 188 9 197 9 252 98419 91004 13 132 11 128 4 136 4 125 91004 85276 14 114 10 124 9 108 6 080 85276 80545 12 092 14 107 11 124 3 101 80545 76505 8 085 14 091 16 105 8 114 76505 72946 8 099 7 077 15 072 15 092 72946 69725 5 125 4 132 5 048 9 042 69725 66768 6 169 4 225 0 176 3 331 66768 64024 8 159 7 249 6 276 5 240 64024 61359 10 257 12 251 13 280 9 272 61359 58571 20 248 18 251 20 267 15 266 58571 55677 22 250 26 245 28 260 26 266 55677 52916 28 253 34 248 34 255 31 265 52916 50444 31 260 31 252 33 260 34 266 50444 48240 30 260 28 266 34 267 34 268 48240 46247 32 263 31 273 35 268 34 268 46247 44425 33 266 32 262 34 265 35 262 44425 42751 34 270 35 270 37 267 36 259 42751 41200 36 274 40 273 44 270 36 261 41200 39748 38 277 40 273 44 267 40 261 39748 38374 36 276 38 274 41 267 40 260 38374 37044 34 277 33 272 37 263 38 259 37044 35693 32 276 31 274 35 254 37 259 35693 34292 31 273 30 272 33 251 34 259 34292 32846 29 268 28 268 32 254 32 256 32846 31340 27 268 27 265 32 259 33 257 31340 29768 27 270 28 264 31 264 31 258 29768 28135 25 272 22 272 25 268 27 262 28135 26440 21 275 17 280 17 281 23 265 26440 24681 17 274 15 275 13 291 19 272 24681 22860 15 275 15 273 11 292 15 276 22860 20970 14 284 15 273 14 282 13 279 20970 19004 12 280 13 268 14 277 14 278 19004 17003 9 276 9 253 10 260 11 267 17003 15079 4 264 6 252 6 238 7 237 15079 13334 5 244 9 244 4 238 6 212 13334 11784 9 227 13 236 7 242 7 222 11784 10404 11 228 14 238 11 243 10 229 10404 9168 11 241 11 248 12 249 11 236 9168 8062 9 257 8 264 11 258 11 244 8062 7075 8 268 6*278 10 269 11 253 7075 6198 5 266 5*278 8 276 10 261 6198 5419 4 256 5 268 7 279 9 268 5419 4716 3*250 5 256 6*275 7 277 4716 4092 4*248 6 243 5*262 6 289 4092 3570 4 241 7 236 6 242 6 304 3570 3167 5 236 8 232 6 234 6 317 3167 2889 6 232 8 230 6 231 5 326 2889 2720 6 231 8 229 6 230 4*340 2720 2624 5 229 7 228 6 229 3*355 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography