DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 68.5 - - 74.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -83 - - 4 - - 135 - - 8 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2624 - - 1920 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4882 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 6161 - - 5457 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 226 - - 3478 - - 1374 - - 1355 - - 975 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 27 - - 300 - - 122 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 068 - - 117 - - 063 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - -31 - - 25 - - 12 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7086 - - -6621 - - -5108 - - -5694 - - -7276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9710 - - 9245 - - 11269 - - 11152 - - 9900 sfcLCL ODpotential -15588 - - -14696 - - -10650 - - -11287 - - -14582 ODpotential blCL 18211 - - 17320 - - 16811 - - 16744 - - 17206 blCL maxRH 35 - - 36 - - 41 - - 41 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 68.5 - - 74.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 37.5 - - 33.9 - - 32.6 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 69.4 - - 73.7 - - 72.6 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 36.1 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -83 - - 4 - - 135 - - 8 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2624 - - 1920 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95926 40 278 45 291 57 272 46 284 40 289 95926 88821 17 287 24 288 39 274 35 281 29 307 88821 83349 20 320 17 295 25 289 26 288 27 297 83349 78809 20 313 16 316 12 319 13 303 25 270 78809 74925 19 300 13 309 10 332 8 332 18 272 74925 71528 22 320 10 294 11 315 10 324 13 320 71528 68468 22 294 12 309 11 305 14 296 10 348 68468 65642 26 264 17 310 16 313 15 294 12 351 65642 63018 4 269 19 282 20 293 23 296 12 329 63018 60482 29 333 14 262 22 274 28 281 17 291 60482 57823 41 312 16 320 16 285 25 275 22 270 57823 55031 43 295 31 305 28 297 30 285 25 278 55031 52343 36 286 31 296 28 293 31 282 26 284 52343 49913 32 284 26 298 25 289 32 277 26 284 49913 47723 33 290 31 293 27 283 33 274 29 283 47723 45723 34 288 34 282 29 284 31 272 30 280 45723 43882 31 288 31 276 27 284 26 276 28 273 43882 42181 31 288 25 280 22 278 19 268 24 264 42181 40610 28 264 27 275 22 267 15 247 24 238 40610 39160 21 253 28 264 22 267 15 249 20 240 39160 37807 19 283 16 246 18 263 17 233 19 237 37807 36507 21 301 13 258 9 253 10 201 19 209 36507 35190 21 301 12 269 7 253 5 173 11 184 35190 33825 19 294 12 261 8 230 5 186 7 195 33825 32415 16 302 9 257 7 227 9 185 10 196 32415 30948 16 326 5 251 3 188 9 160 10 198 30948 29414 13 335 4 284 3 109 10 132 10 157 29414 27816 8 351 3 031 9 115 13 141 14 147 27816 26150 11 026 8 073 14 124 18 132 25 145 26150 24418 14 034 10 077 15 124 20 133 27 146 24418 22624 13 050 9 092 14 135 20 143 24 155 22624 20764 10 064 9 107 13 145 19 153 20 166 20764 18831 9 080 9 101 11 151 17 161 16 168 18831 16860 8 087 8 097 9 152 14 167 14 165 16860 14959 9 087 9 099 9 149 12 172 9 163 14959 13225 9 088 10 097 10 142 9 180 5 160 13225 11680 9 090 11 090 10 135 7 181 3 127 11680 10302 8 089 10 086 9 128 5 176 3 075 10302 9072 6 095 8 088 7 122 3 165 2 061 9072 7974 4 111 5 096 6 115 3 143 2 099 7974 6996 2 148 3 100 6*105 4 121 3 129 6996 6131 2 239 1 098 6*105 4*097 4 146 6131 5364 2 255 0 034 5 112 3*087 3 161 5364 4675 3 257 0 124 4 121 2 079 1 155 4675 4062 2 253 1 095 4 122 2 063 0 090 4062 3549 1 167 5 094 3 117 1 048 5 077 3549 3154 1 124 8 075 3 123 1 038 8 066 3154 2882 8 068 7 067 3 130 1 034 11 057 2882 2717 9*061 6*065 2 135 1 017 9*050 2717 2623 8*054 4*062 2 144 1 001 7*042 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography