DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 86.1 - - 84.2 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 218 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 990 - - 347 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 3913 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2625 - - 4527 - - 3884 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2150 - - 2685 - - 1706 - - 1566 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 253 - - 122 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 225 - - 217 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 25 - - 18 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6104 - - -5851 - - -6030 - - -6187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8729 - - 10378 - - 9915 - - 8813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13203 - - -11576 - - -11873 - - -13858 ODpotential blCL - - - 15828 - - 16103 - - 15757 - - 16483 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 31 - - 31 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 90 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 86.1 - - 84.2 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 49.9 - - 50.1 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 85.3 - - 84.2 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 218 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 990 - - 347 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96806 26 301 35 282 41 286 34 316 96806 89613 13 296 23 283 18 287 19 315 89613 84119 7 234 15 296 9 319 7 336 84119 79564 6 158 7 246 4 326 4 033 79564 75641 9 110 2 182 1 046 3 051 75641 72178 11 093 3 077 3 136 1 326 72178 69053 6 056 5 014 2 066 5 336 69053 66189 5 004 6 360 7 039 6 337 66189 63551 6 351 7 350 11 026 8 004 63551 61011 4 012 3 306 11 004 8 015 61011 58363 9 003 1 336 5 343 5 323 58363 55601 11 348 4 002 2 329 4 294 55601 52950 7 323 8 307 6 315 7 337 52950 50550 5 285 9 273 10 289 10 320 50550 48392 6 319 5 264 9 240 13 254 48392 46431 7 294 4 266 7 204 14 224 46431 44627 17 247 11 257 9 255 12 228 44627 42956 19 219 15 231 13 237 14 226 42956 41399 17 206 16 206 17 214 19 212 41399 39943 22 198 20 204 23 210 25 202 39943 38576 24 196 23 206 27 207 28 198 38576 37258 24 198 25 203 26 207 26 200 37258 35921 25 198 25 200 26 207 24 203 35921 34535 27 199 25 203 25 209 23 205 34535 33102 27 199 24 208 24 213 21 209 33102 31609 25 202 23 214 23 216 19 210 31609 30046 23 206 20 216 23 215 20 207 30046 28413 19 212 17 219 22 210 19 202 28413 26713 12 218 13 210 19 206 17 191 26713 24946 6 197 11 187 19 199 17 183 24946 23116 9 166 15 167 20 189 21 186 23116 21216 17 162 22 176 26 184 27 183 21216 19236 23 173 30 175 31 182 30 180 19236 17216 25 180 30 177 27 188 24 184 17216 15266 19 192 20 184 14 188 12 176 15266 13487 11 203 8 182 6 156 8 140 13487 11902 5 192 4 144 6 121 10 126 11902 10490 4 165 5 135 7 123 12 135 10490 9232 4 155 5 130 9 128 13 143 9232 8110 3 142 6 122 10 123 12 145 8110 7111 1 112 6 105 8 116 11 149 7111 6226 1 041 4 071 4 113 10 157 6226 5440 3 021 3 052 2 102 7 159 5440 4732 3 020 2*035 1 286 4 159 4732 4104 3 022 1*252 1*262 2 160 4104 3577 2 027 3 227 2*221 1 285 3577 3171 1 003 4 224 3 216 3 318 3171 2891 2 252 5 222 4 216 4 335 2891 2721 2*243 5 223 4 217 4*354 2721 2624 2*238 5 220 4 217 4*005 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography