DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.2 - - 75.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 606 - - 349 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1269 - - 764 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3853 - - 4322 - - 3861 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4195 - - 4806 - - 4301 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 454 - - 617 - - 626 - - 1162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 376 - - 265 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 211 - - 220 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 41 - - 32 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2444 - - -2629 - - -3225 - - -1763 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6639 - - 7436 - - 7527 - - 4387 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10577 - - -9260 - - -10398 - - -10901 ODpotential blCL - - - 14772 - - 14066 - - 14699 - - 13525 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 62 - - 54 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.2 - - 75.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 53.6 - - 51.7 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 74.8 - - 74.1 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 53.4 - - 51.6 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 606 - - 349 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1269 - - 764 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98825 38 108 38 112 25 109 32 087 98825 91369 33 099 34 110 29 110 29 098 91369 85613 26 093 29 103 27 102 30 108 85613 80835 23 116 25 100 28 098 28 097 80835 76731 25 127 17 084 24 100 23 102 76731 73108 19 104 9 085 18 090 19 098 73108 69831 11 083 10 108 11 100 15 069 69831 66823 10 084 8 094 7 094 10 056 66823 64049 11 061 5 103 3 053 6 031 64049 61394 6 357 7 085 6 063 1 121 61394 58653 5 283 3 343 7 020 5 141 58653 55814 12 271 12 262 13 285 6 286 55814 53102 22 259 23 259 24 266 21 276 53102 50663 29 255 35 252 36 260 31 269 50663 48477 37 253 42 254 44 257 42 259 48477 46498 46 250 46 250 47 248 47 250 46498 44687 47 247 44 249 46 249 46 250 44687 43008 45 244 42 248 45 252 44 255 43008 41438 44 243 42 246 44 248 42 256 41438 39959 42 246 39 246 43 247 42 254 39959 38561 37 248 37 245 40 243 41 253 38561 37212 37 251 36 245 39 243 39 250 37212 35847 36 256 34 248 36 247 37 251 35847 34439 34 258 31 251 32 251 32 255 34439 32990 33 260 29 253 30 251 27 252 32990 31485 31 260 29 258 29 254 26 254 31485 29911 29 260 30 260 28 254 25 258 29911 28275 29 262 30 255 29 246 26 252 28275 26575 32 260 29 256 27 241 25 240 26575 24809 32 265 27 258 25 252 24 250 24809 22976 26 264 25 256 22 256 22 252 22976 21072 22 257 21 255 19 254 20 252 21072 19094 18 245 17 250 17 253 17 252 19094 17082 15 239 15 250 15 255 15 247 17082 15145 12 238 12 249 12 256 13 245 15145 13380 10 234 11 240 10 258 13 249 13380 11806 9 230 10 231 10 251 13 256 11806 10400 9 232 9 232 9 245 12 258 10400 9145 8 237 7 242 9 243 10 256 9145 8027 7 237 7 250 8 247 9 255 8027 7032 6 232 6 250 7 249 9 258 7032 6154 5 226 5 244 6 250 7 257 6154 5376 4 221 4*230 5 256 6 254 5376 4679 3*208 4*214 3*249 5 246 4679 4063 4*199 6 210 3*229 4 225 4063 3549 5 202 7 211 5 221 3 174 3549 3155 6 204 8 211 6 219 4 168 3155 2883 7 206 9 212 7 218 4 177 2883 2717 7 206 9 212 7 218 4*181 2717 2623 7 207 8 212 6 218 4*183 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography