DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 58.6 - - 55.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 459 - - 186 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3490 - - 4562 - - 2809 - - 211 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5892 - - 6806 - - 5127 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7027 - - 8099 - - 6346 - - 3748 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 984 - - 1099 - - 2643 - - 3158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 447 - - 528 - - 332 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 243 - - 245 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 47 - - 73 - - 65 - - 54 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 847 - - 1272 - - 1608 - - 941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6180 - - 6828 - - 4738 - - 2808 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5226 - - 932 - - 1108 - - 210 ODpotential blCL - - - 12253 - - 7167 - - 5238 - - 3538 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 90 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 58.6 - - 55.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 37.6 - - 44.0 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 57.1 - - 55.5 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 37.1 - - 43.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 459 - - 186 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3490 - - 4562 - - 2809 - - 211 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 61 - - 81 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97926 19 228 25 241 31 264 27 273 97926 90474 24 255 26 267 21 262 18 272 90474 84711 24 258 24 272 25 282 16 289 84711 79933 14 270 18 254 25 274 23 287 79933 75863 14 308 9 238 15 262 17 282 75863 72281 18 283 15 283 10 272 9 287 72281 69043 17 258 23 263 20 279 22 279 69043 66087 11 253 17 251 21 252 21 250 66087 63331 19 285 14 278 18 278 18 282 63331 60633 31 278 31 287 35 283 32 283 60633 57815 40 263 44 269 43 267 39 265 57815 54889 43 257 48 259 41 255 39 258 54889 52088 48 265 50 256 43 254 43 262 52088 49565 57 265 52 257 54 258 52 257 49565 47310 67 256 61 252 65 249 53 249 47310 45271 72 237 74 240 63 244 53 246 45271 43406 73 240 76 236 62 246 58 244 43406 41680 88 249 86 240 66 246 72 245 41680 40073 111 249 103 240 70 245 85 242 40073 38566 123 245 116 239 75 243 96 240 38566 37150 128 243 126 237 82 241 102 238 37150 35792 130 243 134 236 92 239 104 236 35792 34429 132 242 135 236 102 239 105 235 34429 33031 136 241 130 238 113 239 112 234 33031 31600 131 241 121 240 117 238 112 232 31600 30124 107 244 113 238 116 239 99 233 30124 28597 96 239 98 236 102 241 81 234 28597 27018 90 240 84 243 78 246 68 236 27018 25384 76 249 70 249 66 250 56 240 25384 23694 67 252 63 252 61 252 42 242 23694 21950 63 251 61 253 54 252 33 240 21950 20140 62 250 55 253 44 252 30 240 20140 18256 55 250 45 249 38 251 26 242 18256 16335 45 250 36 249 32 252 23 247 16335 14484 34 253 30 252 27 252 22 248 14484 12799 26 258 26 252 23 255 21 254 12799 11306 20 259 20 251 20 265 20 263 11306 9983 17 257 14 256 15 276 18 268 9983 8807 15 261 12*255 12 280 15 261 8807 7758 14*260 11*254 12 280 13 254 7758 6825 13*259 12 251 12*271 12 254 6825 5997 13 257 13 247 13*263 12 253 5997 5262 12 255 15 244 13 253 13 249 5262 4599 12 252 15 241 14 246 13 247 4599 4010 12 249 16 239 14 242 13*243 4010 3516 11 246 16 238 14 239 13*240 3516 3136 11 244 16 236 14 237 12 238 3136 2873 11 242 15 236 13 236 11 237 2873 2713 10 241 14 235 12 235 10 235 2713 2621 8 240 11 234 9 234 7 235 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography