DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 83.1 - - 79.2 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 412 - - 127 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1812 - - 598 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3748 - - 4652 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4161 - - 5349 - - 4135 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1782 - - 2553 - - 2329 - - 1639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 373 - - 174 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 193 - - 208 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 36 - - 25 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5096 - - -5386 - - -4502 - - -4144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9257 - - 10736 - - 8637 - - 6768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8994 - - -8417 - - -8510 - - -9006 ODpotential blCL - - - 13155 - - 13766 - - 12645 - - 11630 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 57 - - 60 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 83.1 - - 79.2 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 44.9 - - 50.3 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 81.2 - - 78.8 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 44.8 - - 50.3 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 412 - - 127 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1812 - - 598 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97879 8 251 12 253 20 276 7 295 97879 90574 5 251 4 222 8 252 7 276 90574 84919 2 181 4 230 4 334 4 299 84919 80224 9 065 5 106 3 069 3 027 80224 76196 12 078 7 080 5 070 10 038 76196 72669 13 067 9 078 9 048 13 039 72669 69497 13 058 7 058 9 025 11 039 69497 66587 13 034 12 015 9 015 10 012 66587 63888 10 012 14 358 9 004 7 353 63888 61271 11 353 14 349 13 347 9 346 61271 58551 17 330 18 331 22 328 18 332 58551 55745 21 312 23 299 28 302 26 308 55745 53073 24 314 24 291 30 286 32 297 53073 50658 27 314 26 292 33 280 35 281 50658 48478 33 312 34 294 37 282 41 277 48478 46479 42 301 40 292 44 283 48 273 46479 44628 42 290 43 290 46 280 46 271 44628 42901 40 284 44 286 47 279 47 276 42901 41285 38 286 44 276 47 276 50 277 41285 39768 36 283 42 272 46 271 47 272 39768 38344 36 277 39 270 46 265 43 264 38344 36979 34 274 35 268 44 261 42 261 36979 35604 31 273 33 265 38 257 40 256 35604 34193 29 269 32 262 36 252 36 247 34193 32744 25 264 31 262 35 250 34 244 32744 31237 22 258 29 262 32 247 32 245 31237 29660 21 252 25 257 27 242 29 246 29660 28012 21 247 23 257 21 236 27 242 28012 26300 21 228 20 246 20 231 27 239 26300 24530 21 215 20 220 22 229 27 241 24530 22708 23 209 22 209 22 229 26 240 22708 20830 19 203 19 206 19 229 24 242 20830 18884 13 200 15 198 14 218 18 236 18884 16908 8 209 11 195 10 206 13 217 16908 15009 6 213 10 196 12 204 12 210 15009 13281 7 211 10 199 13 208 13 216 13281 11741 11 206 12 205 15 209 15 224 11741 10365 13 197 13 202 15 211 16 230 10365 9133 13 195 14 203 15 217 16 233 9133 8030 12 199 14 205 15 221 15 235 8030 7047 11 203 12 205 12 225 13 236 7047 6174 10 197 10 200 10 221 11 232 6174 5399 9 187 8*192 8 213 9 222 5399 4702 8*170 8*189 6*208 7 217 4702 4082 7*166 8 190 4*206 5 214 4082 3563 7 174 8 192 5 208 3 209 3563 3163 7 181 9 195 6 208 2 204 3163 2887 7 187 9 197 6 209 1 167 2887 2719 7 190 8 198 6 211 1*110 2719 2623 6 193 7 200 5 212 1*087 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography