DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 61.4 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 42 - - 1558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4277 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3579 - - 5095 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 892 - - 2392 - - - - - 5156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 283 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 21 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 054 - - - - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 12 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -209 - - -107 - - - - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5910 - - -5761 - - - - - -8945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9490 - - 10857 - - - - - 11568 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13024 - - -11669 - - - - - -15342 ODpotential blCL - - - 16603 - - 16764 - - - - - 17965 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 98 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 61.4 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 22.9 - - - - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 61.0 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 21.8 - - - - - 12.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 42 - - 1558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 91 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96383 34 280 33 277 29 289 96383 89210 18 292 19 274 23 288 89210 83739 14 305 10 273 16 282 83739 79223 15 330 8 262 10 309 79223 75306 8 338 6 275 9 323 75306 71817 4 039 0 272 9 307 71817 68651 7 007 3 122 4 271 68651 65726 10 294 6 335 2 288 65726 62984 15 278 15 301 10 303 62984 60307 20 270 22 286 22 288 60307 57509 23 269 24 278 23 277 57509 54596 30 287 29 287 22 305 54596 51806 39 277 32 283 24 303 51806 49278 36 273 31 292 23 293 49278 46996 31 282 33 301 29 320 46996 44933 33 291 38 305 34 355 44933 43064 33 307 34 308 45 012 43064 41351 41 334 29 316 56 016 41351 39764 49 333 29 360 62 013 39764 38294 44 338 63 012 68 015 38294 36936 51 009 72 007 75 021 36936 35646 76 025 61 009 87 031 35646 34351 96 029 68 027 99 036 34351 33016 99 028 87 035 100 036 33016 31643 84 023 87 033 94 035 31643 30214 70 015 76 027 92 034 30214 28718 63 007 67 020 93 034 28718 27153 66 004 58 007 93 033 27153 25520 66 003 57 359 91 032 25520 23821 57 359 58 358 86 029 23821 22065 46 355 54 354 79 027 22065 20248 37 350 51 353 71 027 20248 18363 34 344 45 352 63 030 18363 16447 32 342 37 353 52 031 16447 14600 30 345 28 355 41 028 14600 12919 24 347 20 356 33 025 12919 11421 18 344 15 358 27 026 11421 10086 14 346 14 009 24 027 10086 8895 13 000 14 023 24 028 8895 7832 14 021 13 037 24 029 7832 6885 18 037 14 049 23 032 6885 6045 24 047 17 055 22 035 6045 5299 30 053 20*056 20 040 5299 4627 37 055 22*055 18 043 4627 4030 39*057 23 055 15 045 4030 3529 39*058 22 054 11 044 3529 3143 36 058 21 053 8 038 3143 2877 31 058 19 052 5 021 2877 2715 26 057 16 051 4*003 2715 2622 16 054 10 050 3*345 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography