DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.2 - - 70.2 - - 76.0 - - 69.3 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -133 - - -33 - - 51 - - -1 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 339 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2607 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3876 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 867 - - 3044 - - 1281 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 25 - - 115 - - 7 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 069 - - 079 - - 081 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -45 - - -20 - - -23 - - -12 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7281 - - -7058 - - -7734 - - -6139 - - -8304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9905 - - 9682 - - 11610 - - 8763 - - 10928 sfcLCL ODpotential -16862 - - -14169 - - -14363 - - -13476 - - -16901 ODpotential blCL 19485 - - 16793 - - 18239 - - 16100 - - 19525 blCL maxRH 23 - - 34 - - 32 - - 29 - - 19 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.2 - - 70.2 - - 76.0 - - 69.3 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 37.5 - - 34.5 - - 40.5 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 72.8 - - 76.3 - - 71.6 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 36.3 - - 33.3 - - 39.2 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -133 - - -33 - - 51 - - -1 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 339 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96537 18 126 13 058 10 093 27 052 13 037 96537 89420 19 095 23 093 18 092 15 068 19 057 89420 83847 12 079 18 080 14 079 2 106 12 037 83847 79245 12 058 12 075 12 051 5 331 10 039 79245 75299 14 066 11 061 12 040 8 003 12 053 75299 71810 12 063 9 059 8 040 10 013 13 066 71810 68661 12 051 7 037 11 022 13 010 12 062 68661 65787 11 009 8 005 14 013 13 001 15 027 65787 63129 14 000 9 346 12 353 12 348 15 350 63129 60548 15 339 10 340 13 319 12 319 15 333 60548 57854 17 325 11 328 16 309 13 300 16 302 57854 55059 22 317 15 318 17 303 14 295 20 293 55059 52380 26 305 17 322 14 295 14 280 20 276 52380 49958 23 294 16 322 11 313 7 299 11 260 49958 47785 12 290 7 263 13 294 11 307 4 334 47785 45814 13 055 15 102 11 185 15 229 12 266 45814 44027 6 032 16 058 20 104 17 154 19 187 44027 42395 16 176 6 131 10 090 17 116 24 130 42395 40876 24 166 15 176 10 160 14 126 22 106 40876 39447 20 147 18 147 16 153 19 137 18 115 39447 38100 17 140 17 144 18 145 21 144 19 136 38100 36800 15 140 17 139 19 138 21 160 20 149 36800 35480 14 137 19 144 20 139 22 171 19 158 35480 34112 14 135 20 149 20 146 22 172 18 165 34112 32699 16 137 20 152 21 156 21 171 21 174 32699 31227 14 135 19 149 22 158 19 172 22 174 31227 29685 10 124 17 139 20 153 16 173 19 173 29685 28073 8 115 14 126 14 148 13 158 16 177 28073 26393 7 102 12 110 12 132 13 150 13 178 26393 24646 7 086 11 117 10 143 11 161 10 167 24646 22835 8 091 9 140 7 174 6 150 6 160 22835 20955 6 118 6 179 4 226 3 048 3 118 20955 18998 3 130 5 207 4 249 5 008 4 066 18998 17000 5 016 1 300 2 272 3 003 6 046 17000 15072 6 353 3 356 3 005 4 008 7 037 15072 13317 7 347 6 017 6 031 4 006 6 033 13317 11756 11 009 12 029 10 043 5 022 7 034 11756 10365 14 021 13 028 10 046 9 030 8 032 10365 9125 11 031 9 030 7 055 8 032 8 032 9125 8019 8 055 6 047 5 080 5 046 6 048 8019 7036 6 078 6 071 6 102 5 081 6 074 7036 6165 5 097 5 095 8 112 7 101 5 095 6165 5392 6 108 7 111 9 106 9 104 5 109 5392 4696 7 109 8 109 11 095 10 099 6 112 4696 4077 9 099 11 099 12*084 11 087 6 106 4077 3559 14 084 14 088 12*079 11 076 7 096 3559 3160 17 080 16 080 10 078 9 071 8 089 3160 2885 15 079 13 078 8 078 6 071 11 072 2885 2718 13*071 10*074 6 081 4*074 9*061 2718 2623 9*060 4*069 4 086 0*128 7*055 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography