DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 56.6 - - 59.0 - - 58.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 117 - - 103 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1413 - - 1897 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 3945 - - 4250 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4950 - - 5434 - - 5371 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2516 - - 1301 - - 2015 - - 2173 - - 3023 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 236 - - 252 - - 114 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 14 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 281 - - 306 - - 336 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 16 - - 14 - - -8 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 1433 - - 1594 - - 1930 - - -1348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 3518 - - 3840 - - 3442 - - 3971 sfcLCL ODpotential -1072 - - 417 - - 148 - - 151 - - -4708 ODpotential blCL 3695 - - 4533 - - 5286 - - 5220 - - 7331 blCL maxRH 95 - - 91 - - 91 - - 90 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 50 - - 220 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 56.6 - - 59.0 - - 58.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 - - 52.4 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 56.4 - - 58.8 - - 59.5 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.5 - - 49.0 - - 49.9 - - 51.2 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 117 - - 103 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1413 - - 1897 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 63 - - 62 - - 61 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97496 9 292 12 281 8 283 14 308 17 300 97496 90197 6 340 10 322 8 324 8 005 8 340 90197 84608 12 029 6 329 10 305 13 344 15 019 84608 79983 16 027 5 084 7 287 10 342 15 008 79983 76026 14 008 9 036 6 016 7 019 11 360 76026 72542 5 349 6 026 9 020 8 032 8 003 72542 69365 6 015 6 029 6 012 10 009 10 026 69365 66413 4 310 2 044 1 131 8 314 6 013 66413 63663 8 270 3 031 5 116 7 264 3 303 63663 60989 17 258 10 300 4 355 6 146 13 248 60989 58208 14 241 14 280 16 283 12 298 11 278 58208 55307 20 273 20 279 24 280 25 300 17 311 55307 52517 28 285 23 289 34 290 46 276 44 267 52517 50016 41 290 40 292 40 272 40 275 44 282 50016 47769 47 289 45 282 34 280 34 294 37 298 47769 45720 51 286 42 280 34 306 39 312 32 305 45720 43827 51 283 38 289 41 310 44 317 37 319 43827 42072 44 285 37 301 41 312 50 318 49 326 42072 40442 38 291 37 308 47 315 57 316 56 325 40442 38929 38 298 47 312 56 310 58 312 55 327 38929 37516 42 299 53 307 55 309 51 315 49 335 37516 36159 41 297 45 299 47 312 45 324 47 342 36159 34794 37 298 36 301 46 322 49 333 57 346 34794 33389 35 299 34 312 49 332 55 339 67 349 33389 31948 30 301 33 317 50 337 65 342 72 350 31948 30455 26 313 29 315 51 338 75 343 72 352 30455 28899 19 327 26 296 48 336 83 341 72 354 28899 27285 15 354 25 287 44 334 85 340 70 354 27285 25617 16 348 25 289 40 333 80 340 68 355 25617 23897 20 331 25 295 40 334 67 339 69 355 23897 22120 26 327 25 300 40 333 54 339 66 355 22120 20279 26 324 26 302 38 330 45 337 54 357 20279 18378 23 326 26 306 34 327 39 330 37 000 18378 16457 21 334 23 312 31 324 35 327 27 014 16457 14613 19 341 19 314 28 324 28 330 20 029 14613 12938 17 339 16 313 22 326 20 335 16 050 12938 11444 15 329 14 316 17 322 15 336 17 070 11444 10110 14 320 13 321 13 317 12 339 21 074 10110 8917 14 313 12 326 11 316 11 347 23 073 8917 7850 13 312 11 329 9 326 9 355 22 071 7850 6899 12 312 10 329 8 343 10 001 19 067 6899 6056 9 313 8 329 8*341 10*359 17 061 6056 5307 6 311 6*330 7*337 10*354 15 055 5307 4633 3 297 4*323 6 321 9 344 13 052 4633 4034 1 260 3 294 6 305 9 335 12 049 4034 3532 1 164 3 278 6 297 8 329 10 046 3532 3145 2 144 4 267 6 290 8 325 8 045 3145 2878 2 127 4 260 6 285 7 323 6 046 2878 2715 2*100 4 257 5 282 7 320 5*047 2715 2622 1*076 3 255 5 280 5 318 3*046 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography