DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 62.1 - - 66.7 - - 62.2 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 122 - - 275 - - 66 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 258 - - 1277 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4170 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3795 - - 4814 - - 4530 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1494 - - 926 - - 951 - - 968 - - 1839 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 134 - - 292 - - 167 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 100 - - 163 - - 181 - - 190 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 15 - - 29 - - 29 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1238 - - -2328 - - -2712 - - 268 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3861 - - 6123 - - 7527 - - 4262 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -10651 - - -9976 - - -9222 - - -6046 - - -7293 ODpotential blCL 13274 - - 13771 - - 14036 - - 10576 - - 9916 blCL maxRH 62 - - 53 - - 50 - - 85 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 62.1 - - 66.7 - - 62.2 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.7 - - 44.5 - - 42.9 - - 52.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 62.0 - - 65.7 - - 62.4 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.3 - - 43.3 - - 42.4 - - 52.3 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 122 - - 275 - - 66 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 258 - - 1277 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97270 27 254 34 264 42 268 32 266 40 280 97270 89922 21 279 22 263 29 270 23 282 22 280 89922 84297 18 283 15 257 19 282 18 292 18 282 84297 79680 10 272 14 264 15 288 15 289 15 297 79680 75703 9 275 12 281 13 279 16 274 14 296 75703 72166 14 283 10 283 13 270 21 267 15 276 72166 68952 18 284 11 270 14 269 18 276 16 268 68952 65990 21 282 16 275 17 274 18 282 14 272 65990 63233 23 278 21 272 22 263 22 272 16 283 63233 60552 21 281 19 273 23 267 25 265 21 276 60552 57757 24 287 23 280 28 269 35 271 26 269 57757 54869 33 283 27 279 33 268 36 265 26 276 54869 52124 39 283 33 284 36 278 39 276 38 274 52124 49669 45 283 42 286 47 274 46 269 48 267 49669 47488 45 284 46 285 48 277 45 270 51 266 47488 45532 48 290 45 288 50 278 45 273 48 267 45532 43755 48 292 45 292 45 278 42 271 42 267 43755 42118 47 295 47 294 42 281 41 271 42 267 42118 40590 47 294 48 295 42 286 40 272 44 266 40590 39157 42 297 43 295 42 291 38 278 44 260 39157 37809 38 293 35 288 41 294 39 285 43 256 37809 36507 33 288 31 285 36 294 39 288 37 258 36507 35186 30 289 27 283 30 292 37 287 35 264 35186 33816 30 292 26 283 28 289 35 281 36 270 33816 32400 31 296 25 283 27 284 33 276 35 271 32400 30928 30 295 26 281 26 277 30 278 32 269 30928 29389 28 289 26 280 27 277 27 279 31 269 29389 27783 24 287 25 279 28 273 26 280 30 269 27783 26110 23 292 23 278 26 268 27 279 28 269 26110 24371 23 298 22 278 23 269 26 270 26 273 24371 22571 21 300 22 278 23 268 23 267 25 268 22571 20707 18 298 20 276 23 269 23 263 25 257 20707 18770 15 290 18 272 21 274 21 262 24 255 18770 16798 13 285 16 269 19 283 18 270 21 262 16798 14898 14 290 15 277 17 279 17 276 17 268 14898 13167 15 297 14 287 15 273 18 264 17 264 13167 11623 15 300 13 287 13 266 18 256 17 264 11623 10245 13 299 12 281 12 262 17 257 16 268 10245 9014 12 297 11 275 11 261 14 260 14 271 9014 7919 10 292 11 271 10 260 11 258 11 267 7919 6946 9 287 9 265 8 252 9 247 9 250 6946 6089 8 283 8 253 6 231 6 229 8 227 6089 5329 6 276 6 232 6*205 6 203 7 210 5329 4648 3 262 4 200 7*185 7*189 6 196 4648 4044 2 215 5*163 8 178 7*187 5 189 4044 3538 2 177 5*154 8 180 7 189 3 170 3538 3148 2 153 6 160 8 182 7 190 2 134 3148 2880 3 120 6 165 8 183 7 191 3 112 2880 2716 3*097 6 169 8 184 7 192 2*096 2716 2622 3*086 5 172 7 186 6 193 2*082 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography