DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 69.3 - - 73.1 - - 69.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -123 - - 143 - - 203 - - -10 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 406 - - 1685 - - 852 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4369 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3943 - - 5222 - - 4389 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 431 - - 1149 - - 1500 - - 1575 - - 1596 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 162 - - 291 - - 59 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 20 - - 21 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 055 - - 049 - - 046 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -58 - - -98 - - -89 - - -89 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6903 - - -7379 - - -7483 - - -7257 - - -8188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9526 - - 11323 - - 12706 - - 11647 - - 10812 sfcLCL ODpotential -13643 - - -12862 - - -13638 - - -15104 - - -17903 ODpotential blCL 16266 - - 16805 - - 18860 - - 19493 - - 20526 blCL maxRH 29 - - 28 - - 42 - - 34 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 69.3 - - 73.1 - - 69.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 29.1 - - 26.6 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 69.1 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 28.0 - - 25.5 - - 26.9 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -123 - - 143 - - 203 - - -10 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 406 - - 1685 - - 852 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96529 50 284 48 289 58 267 60 281 59 277 96529 89426 35 281 38 282 37 289 32 271 35 285 89426 83963 21 286 36 286 31 299 19 306 24 288 83963 79434 16 301 25 286 25 292 21 308 24 293 79434 75527 18 312 15 286 23 294 21 289 20 299 75527 72048 16 320 12 295 19 307 23 291 19 312 72048 68882 16 324 10 278 14 289 20 293 21 318 68882 65981 12 308 9 314 6 266 9 275 14 297 65981 63289 13 321 12 346 2 345 2 020 8 330 63289 60681 22 321 16 339 17 326 22 327 20 323 60681 57979 21 310 15 328 24 320 23 332 13 334 57979 55179 17 334 15 340 17 345 18 005 34 005 55179 52514 27 356 23 349 20 009 36 355 43 343 52514 50124 40 338 35 348 33 004 48 347 37 336 50124 47972 39 327 40 340 42 360 47 350 33 346 47972 46006 35 326 34 327 44 002 47 002 36 000 46006 44197 26 336 29 358 44 016 43 014 38 008 44197 42513 31 018 40 032 51 035 41 029 39 016 42513 40931 50 027 57 039 64 040 44 036 45 017 40931 39439 61 020 78 031 71 036 51 032 51 012 39439 38036 65 014 89 025 76 029 59 026 57 011 38036 36691 71 013 89 020 79 020 65 020 61 014 36691 35339 77 012 85 015 78 012 67 014 60 016 35339 33952 73 011 78 017 74 010 64 011 56 016 33952 32529 68 016 73 026 70 016 60 012 51 013 32529 31056 58 028 74 030 67 024 55 016 48 013 31056 29515 59 033 76 029 66 026 53 023 46 016 29515 27908 58 027 77 030 65 026 52 022 44 017 27908 26234 59 021 75 036 64 034 52 020 43 013 26234 24493 58 019 69 035 62 041 50 028 40 010 24493 22688 53 018 62 026 57 034 49 033 35 014 22688 20810 43 017 58 017 55 021 47 026 32 020 20810 18854 33 012 50 018 52 019 46 020 33 024 18854 16858 30 007 36 020 42 023 41 024 34 027 16858 14936 29 005 26 013 30 025 32 031 32 031 14936 13188 25 000 20 003 21 020 24 032 30 035 13188 11636 21 353 16 351 17 014 21 030 30 038 11636 10257 16 343 14 342 16 014 21 026 30 040 10257 9029 13 334 13 341 17 019 22 026 32 040 9029 7938 12 334 13 351 19 027 24 028 33 040 7938 6968 13 346 14 008 21 036 26 034 33 039 6968 6110 15 004 16 026 24 042 27 039 31 040 6110 5348 18 018 20 040 25*046 27 043 29 043 5348 4663 22 032 25 050 25*048 26*046 27 048 4663 4055 27 042 26*054 24 049 24*047 24 053 4055 3545 32 049 25*055 22 049 22 047 21 056 3545 3152 32 054 22 055 20 049 19 046 16 056 3152 2881 27 055 19 055 17 048 15 045 13 054 2881 2717 20*054 16 055 15 048 12 045 9*047 2717 2622 12*050 10 054 10 048 7 044 6*043 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography