DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 59.3 - - 64.2 - - 62.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 168 - - 277 - - 65 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 579 - - 1225 - - 1036 - - 11 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4133 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4116 - - 4762 - - 4573 - - 3548 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1317 - - 766 - - 906 - - 1037 - - 1043 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 193 - - 288 - - 168 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 173 - - 175 - - 174 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - 20 - - 26 - - 22 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -972 - - -422 - - -1424 - - -47 - - 892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3596 - - 4539 - - 6187 - - 4621 - - 2656 sfcLCL ODpotential -9994 - - -8208 - - -7362 - - -5727 - - 19 ODpotential blCL 12617 - - 12324 - - 12124 - - 10300 - - 3529 blCL maxRH 76 - - 73 - - 71 - - 81 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 59.3 - - 64.2 - - 62.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.8 - - 48.4 - - 46.1 - - 50.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 58.8 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 47.5 - - 45.7 - - 50.7 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 168 - - 277 - - 65 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 579 - - 1225 - - 1036 - - 11 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97132 34 271 38 268 34 289 37 264 47 279 97132 89819 20 273 27 267 30 264 30 266 31 282 89819 84230 14 284 16 273 22 247 23 269 24 268 84230 79612 15 270 16 275 17 250 19 276 21 261 79612 75621 13 269 19 261 22 258 21 269 20 262 75621 72092 15 285 17 257 25 259 20 265 21 255 72092 68889 20 278 15 264 22 258 19 267 18 249 68889 65920 23 268 15 257 22 246 20 258 18 257 65920 63148 26 267 18 254 23 241 27 253 19 259 63148 60452 29 276 22 253 25 243 28 246 26 271 60452 57646 36 264 26 249 30 252 37 248 32 252 57646 54736 40 259 32 249 36 250 36 246 31 254 54736 51956 40 258 34 253 37 256 39 255 36 258 51956 49473 44 253 40 253 43 253 45 252 42 251 49473 47282 42 249 40 250 43 247 44 248 39 250 47282 45322 43 258 35 253 40 248 41 254 41 251 45322 43549 52 263 43 258 42 253 44 251 43 243 43549 41926 54 261 50 265 43 257 42 253 39 232 41926 40419 51 262 52 263 40 259 40 257 36 233 40419 39001 43 259 49 264 41 254 33 256 35 237 39001 37659 38 265 44 268 38 259 31 248 36 237 37659 36358 42 272 39 261 30 269 32 245 37 237 36358 35036 37 271 31 243 28 254 30 242 36 241 35036 33666 33 270 24 248 26 240 28 238 35 243 33666 32253 28 280 19 258 20 234 26 236 31 239 32253 30786 27 283 17 271 19 244 23 236 29 233 30786 29253 30 278 19 268 17 252 25 242 29 230 29253 27654 28 267 20 263 19 255 27 245 28 232 27654 25992 24 258 21 254 22 250 28 248 26 234 25992 24267 23 259 22 257 22 249 26 247 24 236 24267 22480 20 254 22 257 20 255 24 245 24 239 22480 20626 20 258 21 250 21 262 21 250 21 249 20626 18699 18 261 17 256 20 257 20 259 18 258 18699 16737 15 261 13 265 16 254 17 259 15 256 16737 14846 13 263 11 268 13 257 14 259 12 248 14846 13121 12 263 10 263 12 260 11 265 10 248 13121 11583 12 263 11 254 11 260 9 267 9 245 11583 10212 12 265 11 248 10 258 8 267 7 235 10212 8988 11 266 10 246 8 251 6 237 7 208 8988 7898 9 266 8 236 6 215 5 195 9 181 7898 6930 6 261 7 207 6 185 6 166 11 166 6930 6075 4 247 7 186 6 170 6 153 11 155 6075 5318 3 213 7 177 7*167 7 157 10 155 5318 4639 4 196 6*173 7*166 7*163 9 170 4639 4037 5 181 6*168 7 170 7*168 7*172 4037 3534 6 169 6 168 7 174 7 173 7*179 3534 3146 6 146 6 174 8 178 7 175 6 178 3146 2879 7 129 6 178 8 181 7 177 5 172 2879 2715 6*105 6 179 7 183 6 179 3 169 2715 2622 5*073 5 182 6 184 5 181 2 168 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography