DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 37.0 - - 40.1 - - 40.1 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - -13 - - 9 - - -22 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1109 - - 2336 - - 2579 - - 2211 - - 2033 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 10 - - 23 - - 9 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 173 - - 174 - - 167 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 4 - - 5 - - -10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -396 - - -902 - - -1176 - - -819 - - -225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4995 - - 5501 - - 5775 - - 5418 - - 4825 sfcLCL ODpotential -6816 - - -4370 - - -3879 - - -4537 - - -3376 ODpotential blCL 11414 - - 8969 - - 8478 - - 9136 - - 7975 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 37.0 - - 40.1 - - 40.1 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 29.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.5 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.0 - - 38.7 - - 41.1 - - 42.3 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.1 - - 28.9 - - 30.7 - - 32.3 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - -13 - - 9 - - -22 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95385 21 344 21 351 16 350 20 328 21 340 95385 88732 23 001 17 354 17 341 22 332 16 346 88732 83512 19 004 16 351 15 340 17 333 11 351 83512 79089 14 006 13 339 11 335 14 320 11 358 79089 75202 7 358 8 302 12 313 11 322 14 309 75202 71738 13 315 6 358 7 296 6 317 6 311 71738 68564 17 296 13 312 12 307 14 303 8 317 68564 65613 11 279 14 315 6 294 15 291 16 267 65613 62866 18 294 23 309 16 327 12 322 10 269 62866 60177 27 295 32 294 27 281 20 309 15 287 60177 57385 26 298 26 294 28 283 22 294 19 289 57385 54531 34 297 35 320 26 292 28 289 23 267 54531 51813 39 293 43 312 31 286 34 267 16 256 51813 49335 43 296 53 295 44 286 26 275 12 292 49335 47072 53 291 55 285 45 283 18 310 37 278 47072 45008 54 287 46 283 37 293 33 299 57 266 45008 43142 45 285 39 292 34 300 55 281 58 267 43142 41442 37 300 42 302 39 298 62 276 68 286 41442 39867 48 308 54 304 50 291 66 282 85 288 39867 38399 74 302 68 296 65 286 83 288 95 282 38399 37035 88 294 79 287 78 284 96 287 102 278 37035 35742 89 288 82 281 86 282 102 286 106 277 35742 34450 86 288 80 280 89 281 104 284 107 277 34450 33126 80 289 80 282 89 282 100 283 103 276 33126 31773 80 287 79 283 86 283 91 280 97 272 31773 30378 78 289 76 284 82 283 83 276 93 269 30378 28930 74 292 70 282 79 282 80 271 90 267 28930 27432 67 293 66 280 77 282 78 268 87 266 27432 25884 62 286 65 280 75 281 75 267 85 265 25884 24287 61 278 65 282 72 280 71 268 82 265 24287 22646 59 272 63 284 68 279 67 269 78 266 22646 20959 54 268 58 284 65 279 64 271 72 267 20959 19220 49 264 51 283 62 279 62 273 66 269 19220 17458 45 258 46 280 58 279 60 274 62 269 17458 15763 40 254 43 276 54 279 58 275 59 269 15763 14219 35 252 42 272 48 278 54 275 57 268 14219 12841 31 253 41 267 44 277 49 273 58 267 12841 11610 28 256 40 263 40 275 46 270 58 266 11610 10510 26 259 38 257 37 271 44 264 57 264 10510 9524 25 261 35 252 32 266 41 258 54 260 9524 8643 25 262 31 247 27 259 37 250 48 253 8643 7857 23 261 26 239 21 250 31 240 40 246 7857 7156 20 255 22 227 17 236 26 227 33 236 7156 6520 17 243 20 210 15 214 21 210 28 221 6520 5952 16 219 20 193 16 193 21 190 24 203 5952 5473 16 194 20 182 17 182 22 178 23 184 5473 5101 16 180 20 178 17 178 22 174 22 175 5101 4844 14 173 17 175 16 175 19 171 19 171 4844 4688 11*167 14*173 13*174 15*169 15*169 4688 4598 4*153 6*168 6*170 6*164 6*165 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography