DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.0 - - 49.8 - - 47.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 160 - - 190 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1379 - - 3296 - - 1022 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 6019 - - 7471 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 6879 - - 8796 - - 6522 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2038 - - 1783 - - 1696 - - 3444 - - 2184 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 252 - - 357 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 32 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 224 - - 205 - - 175 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3088 - - -3863 - - -3625 - - -4953 - - -5236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7687 - - 10742 - - 12421 - - 11476 - - 9835 sfcLCL ODpotential -9440 - - -9658 - - -10345 - - -11994 - - -13691 ODpotential blCL 14038 - - 16537 - - 19141 - - 18516 - - 18290 blCL maxRH 55 - - 48 - - 74 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.0 - - 49.8 - - 47.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.8 - - 13.2 - - 11.4 - - 13.9 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.2 - - 43.7 - - 49.4 - - 49.9 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 13.0 - - 11.2 - - 13.5 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 160 - - 190 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1379 - - 3296 - - 1022 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 56 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97412 11 257 19 232 15 287 10 286 17 297 97412 90150 15 252 8 210 17 255 19 283 19 310 90150 84540 13 288 6 351 24 177 13 256 19 291 84540 79882 10 266 22 282 22 318 7 334 9 288 79882 75831 6 298 16 214 31 272 28 279 23 299 75831 72227 25 301 14 317 17 249 30 256 32 277 72227 68967 37 275 29 305 13 291 15 268 21 269 68967 65968 41 270 44 285 31 300 19 313 8 291 65968 63168 36 261 48 273 40 286 31 300 12 309 63168 60441 32 268 43 272 41 275 38 286 27 290 60441 57587 32 283 38 273 42 276 42 274 33 280 57587 54623 39 289 37 271 45 273 45 271 43 270 54623 51804 48 289 38 276 49 275 47 275 46 272 51804 49275 55 285 44 280 50 278 52 271 54 272 49275 47011 60 281 50 280 50 276 52 268 57 267 47011 44966 63 281 52 277 48 274 54 275 56 267 44966 43106 66 284 52 273 48 277 57 273 56 267 43106 41399 66 284 53 273 53 278 57 271 55 270 41399 39820 65 282 57 277 56 275 57 277 58 275 39820 38357 64 281 60 277 57 278 63 282 62 275 38357 37005 63 279 56 273 61 283 68 281 66 277 37005 35729 62 278 51 281 63 285 68 279 72 279 35729 34455 60 279 62 294 62 285 63 279 72 277 34455 33145 58 281 66 296 59 283 57 276 67 274 33145 31801 55 283 60 296 53 281 55 273 62 273 31801 30410 53 285 53 297 48 282 54 272 57 274 30410 28962 50 287 50 298 45 283 52 273 54 273 28962 27462 47 288 47 302 44 284 50 274 52 272 27462 25910 44 290 43 305 42 284 49 271 48 269 25910 24308 43 291 36 303 40 281 46 268 45 267 24308 22660 42 289 31 295 37 278 42 268 42 266 22660 20963 40 287 32 289 34 275 38 269 38 265 20963 19212 37 286 34 286 30 273 34 269 34 262 19212 17442 34 286 31 284 27 273 30 268 31 257 17442 15746 30 286 26 283 24 273 25 266 27 253 15746 14208 25 283 21 281 20 271 21 262 23 249 14208 12839 20 276 16 277 16 265 18 256 20 246 12839 11617 15 264 11 267 13 253 16 249 17 242 11617 10521 10 243 8 250 11 237 15 243 15 237 10521 9538 7 213 6 230 10*226 13 239 12 231 9538 8656 6 189 5 213 8*220 10 235 11 223 8656 7869 6 172 5 202 6 214 8 227 10 215 7869 7166 6 159 4*196 6 207 7 215 9 208 7166 6528 6 149 3*204 4 194 6*198 9 202 6528 5957 5 139 1 217 4 190 6*183 9 196 5957 5476 4 134 1 226 4 191 6 176 8 189 5476 5104 3 129 1 239 3 195 6 174 8 178 5104 4845 3 113 1 244 3 197 5 172 7 163 4845 4688 2*092 1 243 3 199 4 169 5*145 4688 4598 3*082 1 249 2 204 2 167 4*110 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography