DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 49.0 - - 50.9 - - 52.0 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 46 - - 23 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 195 - - 1330 - - 1786 - - 3419 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4582 - - 4582 - - 4582 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 5695 - - 6830 - - 7286 - - 8919 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3054 - - 2055 - - 3428 - - 2443 - - 5914 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 172 - - 158 - - 178 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 192 - - 209 - - 242 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 11 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 9 - - 16 - - 22 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 565 - - 1957 - - 1814 - - 2518 - - -1329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5130 - - 4873 - - 5472 - - 6401 - - 5928 sfcLCL ODpotential -1791 - - 311 - - -449 - - -343 - - -4059 ODpotential blCL 7486 - - 6519 - - 7735 - - 9262 - - 8658 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 101 - - 91 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 130 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 49.0 - - 50.9 - - 52.0 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 43.2 - - 42.6 - - 39.7 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 42.5 - - 41.5 - - 38.4 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 46 - - 23 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 195 - - 1330 - - 1786 - - 3419 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 99 - - 103 - - 63 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99061 11 155 4 232 3 257 3 321 5 192 99061 91704 4 080 5 161 5 272 4 339 6 076 91704 86005 4 013 11 110 3 171 1 055 8 034 86005 81248 1 233 10 077 7 127 3 163 6 338 81248 77139 4 116 1 181 2 126 2 132 3 321 77139 73486 1 112 6 187 3 250 5 145 3 215 73486 70152 8 235 4 167 4 240 3 160 4 167 70152 67072 12 218 4 219 3 241 4 198 4 174 67072 64204 9 202 9 240 9 244 8 255 2 196 64204 61404 5 237 15 212 18 209 15 237 6 202 61404 58453 17 229 8 214 15 193 19 217 8 220 58453 55380 24 205 13 229 12 210 17 210 10 217 55380 52462 15 190 20 212 19 216 16 217 14 202 52462 49854 13 221 18 214 21 215 19 215 18 216 49854 47520 22 214 19 216 21 220 24 226 26 220 47520 45410 23 213 22 215 27 218 30 221 31 220 45410 43482 23 203 25 205 26 210 30 220 32 219 43482 41706 21 190 24 191 26 212 29 223 34 216 41706 40063 23 197 23 190 28 209 31 224 34 217 40063 38538 28 184 24 188 27 201 33 225 35 221 38538 37123 32 162 24 169 26 192 33 227 36 223 37123 35783 31 158 28 154 25 179 30 223 35 226 35783 34450 31 170 36 149 26 157 25 218 32 227 34450 33094 32 175 37 144 31 139 19 209 29 229 33094 31718 30 172 35 143 34 128 15 196 27 231 31718 30308 25 167 33 142 35 123 13 180 26 233 30308 28851 20 166 31 140 36 121 13 158 25 233 28851 27348 19 166 29 140 35 121 13 143 23 231 27348 25799 17 164 28 142 31 124 13 141 21 230 25799 24208 15 161 26 145 26 127 12 157 20 229 24208 22577 14 159 23 146 24 130 13 183 21 231 22577 20900 14 159 21 148 23 135 13 200 23 234 20900 19168 14 155 19 147 21 142 12 214 21 238 19168 17412 13 143 19 146 17 155 10 216 17 235 17412 15724 12 146 18 155 14 199 11 231 15 227 15724 14190 8 160 15 160 18 226 14 236 14 221 14190 12829 5 201 11 164 19 238 13 237 13 223 12829 11616 5 229 9 175 20 241 12 229 11 226 11616 10529 7 229 9 197 21 242 13 229 10 235 10529 9551 8 222 10 216 21 240 15*237 11 251 9551 8672 8 219 12 223 19 238 16*241 14 255 8672 7886 8 221 13 223 18*235 16 242 17 254 7886 7183 8 224 14*218 15*228 15 242 17 252 7183 6543 9 226 15*207 13 220 14 242 16 250 6543 5970 10*224 15 195 11 208 13 242 14 247 5970 5486 11*205 15 188 10 198 12 242 12 242 5486 5110 10 183 14 186 8 190 10 241 9 235 5110 4849 9 173 13 185 7 187 9 240 7 222 4849 4690 8 170 11 184 6 184 7 240 5*200 4690 4598 4 166 6 186 4 181 4 240 3*167 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography