DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.9 - - 40.4 - - 43.7 - - 38.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 1 - - 6 - - -14 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 266 - - 1131 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 5766 - - 6631 - - 4599 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2028 - - 2530 - - 2205 - - 2205 - - 1208 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 47 - - 95 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 261 - - 285 - - 141 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -10 - - 14 - - -17 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 266 - - 493 - - -665 - - -649 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4598 - - 5500 - - 6138 - - 5264 - - 5248 sfcLCL ODpotential -2804 - - -2119 - - -2436 - - -4765 - - -5642 ODpotential blCL 7403 - - 7885 - - 9067 - - 9364 - - 10240 blCL maxRH 89 - - 81 - - 75 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.9 - - 40.4 - - 43.7 - - 38.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 32.3 - - 32.8 - - 31.2 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.1 - - 41.5 - - 44.7 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 31.1 - - 31.6 - - 30.0 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 1 - - 6 - - -14 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 266 - - 1131 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 26 - - 0 - - 9 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96860 45 042 47 037 34 049 36 033 32 047 96860 89811 29 041 34 022 27 044 24 032 25 041 89811 84267 19 052 14 009 27 021 14 022 20 028 84267 79637 18 032 5 031 20 004 12 043 18 026 79637 75628 18 017 9 015 9 342 14 021 8 038 75628 72046 14 344 9 005 2 158 9 339 2 332 72046 68772 12 318 6 331 6 309 5 341 5 234 68772 65741 13 317 5 300 8 278 9 298 6 215 65741 62918 18 313 10 312 10 272 21 290 10 276 62918 60205 20 301 16 300 16 293 15 300 23 278 60205 57407 25 295 23 292 10 231 15 238 20 266 57407 54505 40 297 28 290 41 275 25 300 12 310 54505 51727 59 295 41 285 48 274 45 289 31 300 51727 49234 62 296 51 298 46 286 50 282 48 292 49234 47017 69 301 65 299 54 295 54 279 56 279 47017 45016 79 298 74 290 61 291 54 277 53 274 45016 43180 80 294 72 284 64 290 54 280 51 281 43180 41484 74 292 64 286 63 293 59 289 56 286 41484 39916 68 300 62 298 66 298 66 295 61 288 39916 38464 76 313 78 308 83 299 75 297 64 291 38464 37112 101 310 98 306 94 298 81 296 67 289 37112 35817 114 307 110 302 94 297 80 291 70 285 35817 34513 118 308 112 298 92 296 79 288 72 282 34513 33171 117 306 108 297 90 294 79 287 74 280 33171 31795 114 303 104 298 88 293 81 287 74 280 31795 30373 110 303 99 298 86 292 82 286 75 281 30373 28897 109 304 96 298 86 291 82 285 75 281 28897 27373 106 303 94 299 85 290 79 285 73 282 27373 25803 99 304 91 301 82 290 75 285 68 282 25803 24190 95 308 87 303 78 292 71 284 62 281 24190 22538 87 309 80 304 75 294 68 283 58 278 22538 20842 79 304 73 304 71 296 67 284 58 276 20842 19097 73 299 70 304 64 298 65 285 57 277 19097 17338 63 298 69 304 58 301 59 286 49 279 17338 15657 52 299 65 304 53 303 50 288 38 281 15657 14132 44 300 56 304 48 303 43 293 31 282 14132 12775 40 300 47 305 44 303 36 298 25 284 12775 11563 39 299 39 306 39 302 31 302 21 286 11563 10476 38 298 34 306 34 299 27 302 17 288 10476 9501 37 296 32 303 30 296 24 301 14 290 9501 8626 34 294 30 300 26 292 20 299 11 291 8626 7845 30 290 28 296 23 290 16 296 9 290 7845 7147 26 286 24 293 19*288 12 289 8 286 7147 6513 21 280 19 290 14*288 8 275 7 278 6513 5947 14 271 13*287 11 287 6 244 6 267 5947 5469 8 252 8*282 8 285 6 215 4 246 5469 5099 5 205 5 270 6 281 6 196 4 205 5099 4843 6 156 2 226 5 278 6 172 5 151 4843 4687 7*144 2 180 4 274 5*161 5*140 4687 4597 4*128 2 154 2 272 4*141 4*126 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography