DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 51.8 - - 55.6 - - 52.8 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 138 - - 192 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2420 - - 3846 - - 2403 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 6700 - - 7890 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 7920 - - 9346 - - 7903 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3029 - - 1708 - - 1865 - - 2229 - - 3153 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 292 - - 379 - - 57 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 25 - - 21 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 302 - - 308 - - 321 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 21 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - 19 - - 17 - - 18 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -884 - - -202 - - -989 - - -2831 - - -3714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5483 - - 8123 - - 10336 - - 10734 - - 8314 sfcLCL ODpotential -4201 - - -3452 - - -4830 - - -7855 - - -10453 ODpotential blCL 8800 - - 11372 - - 14176 - - 15758 - - 15052 blCL maxRH 90 - - 64 - - 49 - - 48 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 51.8 - - 55.6 - - 52.8 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.1 - - 32.3 - - 26.4 - - 22.0 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 51.9 - - 55.5 - - 54.0 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 31.8 - - 25.9 - - 21.7 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 138 - - 192 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2420 - - 3846 - - 2403 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97497 10 011 14 044 10 354 18 355 12 005 97497 90384 10 005 14 018 8 002 11 346 13 006 90384 84819 6 335 3 260 6 352 9 026 5 338 84819 80162 0 129 9 189 12 354 5 290 6 303 80162 76135 0 280 7 157 9 260 4 348 4 182 76135 72559 3 280 3 327 14 213 7 305 6 026 72559 69283 10 281 5 222 13 208 14 251 8 324 69283 66245 10 263 8 242 4 081 13 237 17 279 66245 63422 15 270 20 258 10 299 5 210 12 235 63422 60680 15 260 16 236 19 250 21 281 15 269 60680 57823 7 234 9 193 32 245 39 266 36 283 57823 54878 23 280 18 255 25 243 27 256 30 281 54878 52064 39 276 39 281 37 295 20 287 25 304 52064 49517 41 278 53 281 55 286 48 300 49 306 49517 47238 46 284 53 275 53 278 59 292 51 304 47238 45182 45 282 49 275 50 283 57 294 53 308 45182 43315 41 280 52 282 54 294 54 302 58 309 43315 41613 38 275 58 282 56 300 54 302 56 314 41613 40051 36 272 57 277 57 298 49 307 59 329 40051 38609 38 273 54 274 55 293 58 329 80 340 38609 37273 41 276 49 272 53 295 81 339 94 342 37273 35997 45 277 41 273 56 304 98 339 96 341 35997 34707 46 275 37 285 60 310 93 334 90 336 34707 33380 47 271 48 296 62 313 84 328 90 328 33380 32022 46 268 52 293 63 315 82 325 80 325 32022 30622 45 267 54 290 64 317 81 324 72 327 30622 29167 44 267 55 296 65 320 77 324 65 327 29167 27659 43 272 50 306 66 322 72 324 60 325 27659 26100 44 277 53 317 65 322 68 322 56 324 26100 24490 44 282 56 320 63 322 65 320 54 321 24490 22834 44 289 57 316 60 320 61 319 53 318 22834 21128 45 299 59 313 59 318 56 319 52 317 21128 19365 47 309 57 313 57 317 51 318 50 317 19365 17578 46 312 51 311 52 315 47 316 47 319 17578 15864 42 312 45 308 49 314 45 316 45 323 15864 14305 37 313 42 306 48 312 45 317 44 326 14305 12916 33 314 41 305 47 312 44 318 42 329 12916 11676 31 314 39 305 45 311 42 321 40 330 11676 10566 31 312 36 306 41 311 39 323 36 331 10566 9571 32 309 33 306 35*311 37 325 33 332 9571 8681 31 306 28*305 31*310 34*325 31 333 8681 7888 28 304 24*304 29 309 31*324 29 333 7888 7179 24 302 20 303 27 308 28 323 27 332 7179 6538 19 300 17 302 25 307 25 322 24 331 6538 5964 14 295 14 301 24 307 23 321 21 328 5964 5480 9 284 13 301 22 307 20 321 17 326 5480 5106 5 262 11 301 20 307 18 321 13 327 5106 4847 3 212 10 301 18 306 15 321 8 329 4847 4689 3*177 9 300 15 306 12 321 5*332 4689 4598 4*154 6 299 9 305 6 320 3*101 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography