DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.6 - - 52.9 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 154 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1388 - - 2718 - - 1588 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4582 - - 6962 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6888 - - 8218 - - 7088 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2015 - - 2043 - - 3409 - - 1923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 314 - - 45 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 241 - - 271 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - 20 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3049 - - -2138 - - -2187 - - -3057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9937 - - 10357 - - 9275 - - 7656 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8571 - - -5994 - - -5210 - - -9455 ODpotential blCL - - - 15459 - - 14212 - - 12298 - - 14054 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 97 - - 91 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.6 - - 52.9 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 24.3 - - 28.4 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 53.3 - - 54.4 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 23.9 - - 28.0 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 154 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1388 - - 2718 - - 1588 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 87 - - 65 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97285 12 017 19 009 16 001 18 005 97285 90247 11 059 11 343 16 354 13 004 90247 84734 5 055 5 345 13 360 6 003 84734 80094 4 022 4 348 10 340 5 020 80094 76051 8 298 3 354 6 288 8 300 76051 72474 15 270 10 290 4 245 7 275 72474 69232 14 241 17 274 11 284 11 311 69232 66240 14 237 17 253 21 272 16 289 66240 63462 17 256 17 241 19 262 20 271 63462 60763 23 270 21 266 19 278 20 252 60763 57929 24 269 21 262 22 271 16 258 57929 54982 24 267 25 269 29 276 28 279 54982 52178 23 263 30 270 34 271 31 282 52178 49664 23 276 30 268 33 275 33 278 49664 47418 32 279 28 265 34 274 32 277 47418 45382 28 273 28 273 31 277 30 284 45382 43517 22 286 28 286 31 288 31 294 43517 41801 26 304 31 298 33 292 34 294 41801 40227 33 307 29 310 29 286 33 281 40227 38778 29 300 31 319 21 296 26 290 38778 37433 23 300 31 318 35 324 32 297 37433 36147 24 315 31 320 47 323 31 293 36147 34851 30 316 32 323 46 318 29 290 34851 33516 34 311 35 326 27 340 28 287 33516 32145 36 312 37 325 27 350 28 285 32145 30727 35 311 33 319 33 337 28 289 30727 29253 30 306 27 310 39 330 31 293 29253 27726 28 303 24 308 38 325 34 294 27726 26149 30 300 24 308 32 326 34 296 26149 24524 30 300 25 307 26 319 30 300 24524 22854 29 302 24 307 25 308 25 303 22854 21135 25 307 24 303 25 303 22 304 21135 19363 21 309 26 300 22 302 20 301 19363 17571 17 307 27 301 20 301 20 296 17571 15854 15 307 25 301 21 298 20 291 15854 14297 15 309 23 296 21 295 21 290 14297 12913 17 310 21 292 18 293 20 291 12913 11678 19 312 18 289 15 293 17 292 11678 10573 19 315 16 287 13 292 13 292 10573 9581 18 318 13 286 12 288 10 293 9581 8692 16 319 10*283 12 285 9 297 8692 7898 13 316 8*274 12 281 10 299 7898 7188 10*313 6 261 12*278 13 297 7188 6544 6*305 5 244 12*274 15 293 6544 5968 3 279 4 224 12 272 15 288 5968 5483 2 227 4 216 11 270 11 285 5483 5108 2 211 4 212 10 269 6 282 5108 4848 2 206 4 211 9 268 1 258 4848 4689 2 204 3 212 7 267 3*119 4689 4598 2 203 3 215 4 267 4*110 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography