DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 46.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.6 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 117 - - 150 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 570 - - 1816 - - 234 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 6304 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 6070 - - 7316 - - 5734 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1141 - - 1243 - - 2083 - - 3010 - - 1854 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 169 - - 271 - - 9 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 336 - - 223 - - 178 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 6 - - 12 - - 4 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3163 - - -4315 - - -4664 - - -5720 - - -4942 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7763 - - 10386 - - 11980 - - 11455 - - 9542 sfcLCL ODpotential -10319 - - -9815 - - -9595 - - -12694 - - -13476 ODpotential blCL 14918 - - 15885 - - 16911 - - 18428 - - 18075 blCL maxRH 64 - - 47 - - 41 - - 35 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 46.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.6 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 17.3 - - 16.7 - - 15.9 - - 17.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 46.2 - - 52.7 - - 52.9 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 17.0 - - 16.2 - - 15.3 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 117 - - 150 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 570 - - 1816 - - 234 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97346 16 278 25 291 22 277 19 282 25 268 97346 90217 16 299 22 275 23 290 18 296 15 265 90217 84683 11 304 11 267 17 274 15 299 10 285 84683 80058 4 315 6 257 13 270 13 293 8 315 80058 76044 3 337 4 249 12 286 11 295 8 305 76044 72471 7 314 2 292 8 274 10 295 11 287 72471 69226 13 301 10 296 9 277 11 295 11 283 69226 66235 14 283 15 284 15 277 15 279 15 282 66235 63448 15 280 17 274 20 278 21 275 21 278 63448 60735 20 280 18 275 21 272 25 267 24 273 60735 57896 27 273 23 282 23 270 24 265 23 272 57896 54948 32 264 30 275 27 269 25 271 23 270 54948 52143 33 257 31 269 27 272 25 268 23 268 52143 49635 35 264 33 272 30 279 26 273 23 264 49635 47389 35 267 33 270 30 276 26 280 16 274 47389 45353 32 264 29 269 27 275 27 287 21 309 45353 43512 30 277 24 280 21 281 22 271 17 288 43512 41830 33 289 21 293 11 311 10 223 10 210 41830 40258 37 287 21 309 19 007 15 046 9 160 40258 38781 38 277 25 318 29 008 30 027 11 068 38781 37412 38 269 28 313 34 002 34 021 17 046 37412 36121 37 264 24 297 28 352 29 025 20 082 36121 34831 39 257 11 300 20 356 24 068 23 088 34831 33503 46 259 11 350 27 041 31 078 22 084 33503 32139 66 261 17 351 48 054 35 071 23 085 32139 30728 72 259 19 328 58 059 35 066 24 086 30728 29259 68 263 23 297 58 066 35 068 23 083 29259 27738 59 265 30 280 39 066 34 081 24 092 27738 26162 50 263 38 273 20 049 24 090 28 112 26162 24536 46 262 45 271 11 025 13 073 21 120 24536 22868 43 262 44 269 8 347 11 055 12 101 22868 21155 41 264 39 268 12 296 8 038 10 074 21155 19388 37 269 35 269 21 279 6 031 7 054 19388 17600 30 275 31 274 25 276 5 303 4 091 17600 15881 24 278 25 277 22 274 12 284 5 162 15881 14321 18 279 20 276 18 269 15 279 7 233 14321 12931 13 280 16 274 15 263 15 273 11 262 12931 11692 8 283 12 272 12 256 13 265 14 267 11692 10581 4 290 8 269 9 248 11 255 14 266 10581 9585 3 309 5 265 7 240 9 245 13 262 9585 8693 2 349 4 254 6 232 8 234 10 254 8693 7898 3 020 3 236 5*229 7 222 7 240 7898 7187 4 016 2 207 3*219 6 206 6 222 7187 6543 6 009 1*205 2 216 6 190 5 209 6543 5968 6 003 1*330 1 213 5*176 5 205 5968 5483 6 357 2 341 1 221 5*171 4 201 5483 5107 5 353 2 339 1 233 4 174 3 192 5107 4847 4 346 2 332 1 236 3 182 3 165 4847 4689 2*341 2 328 1 243 2 190 3*140 4689 4598 1*075 1 322 1 244 1 203 3*115 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography