DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 35.1 - - 41.4 - - 38.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 1 - - 28 - - -10 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 193 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4580 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 5693 - - 4599 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1045 - - 1606 - - 1631 - - 1673 - - 920 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 16 - - 78 - - 10 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 154 - - 176 - - 141 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -9 - - 4 - - -7 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1720 - - -1693 - - -714 - - -1082 - - -978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6318 - - 6292 - - 6407 - - 5682 - - 5576 sfcLCL ODpotential -8763 - - -7439 - - -5251 - - -5915 - - -7153 ODpotential blCL 13361 - - 12037 - - 10944 - - 10514 - - 11751 blCL maxRH 74 - - 84 - - 82 - - 88 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 35.1 - - 41.4 - - 38.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.9 - - 24.1 - - 29.8 - - 30.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 37.2 - - 42.1 - - 41.8 - - 38.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 23.0 - - 28.6 - - 28.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 1 - - 28 - - -10 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 193 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 37 - - 30 - - 54 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95268 45 310 65 321 65 324 72 322 63 314 95268 88622 54 324 49 322 49 322 59 316 54 318 88622 83362 44 327 38 322 45 317 48 323 49 322 83362 78903 44 321 35 320 42 319 43 329 46 321 78903 75023 48 315 38 317 41 321 46 330 42 326 75023 71575 40 316 34 318 40 318 49 321 36 331 71575 68418 37 327 32 322 38 320 43 319 35 336 68418 65480 43 322 36 324 36 323 45 330 43 332 65480 62748 47 311 37 325 37 328 49 324 45 327 62748 60101 46 312 40 326 44 323 43 322 46 327 60101 57340 48 315 42 325 40 324 42 326 50 322 57340 54481 48 323 47 328 40 335 48 321 52 322 54481 51756 51 331 55 328 53 333 51 322 49 326 51756 49298 57 327 59 327 55 333 56 323 47 334 49298 47091 60 323 64 330 65 329 53 325 51 332 47091 45097 64 325 66 330 63 322 60 328 57 335 45097 43312 68 336 65 332 58 330 70 323 83 318 43312 41713 82 347 80 336 70 336 82 319 86 313 41713 40224 98 345 94 335 85 329 75 321 76 314 40224 38814 107 340 95 334 87 325 65 323 72 314 38814 37480 104 338 92 335 84 324 62 319 65 317 37480 36195 97 339 88 335 82 323 61 319 57 314 36195 34897 92 339 84 334 78 321 61 320 54 304 34897 33559 87 337 81 329 71 318 62 319 55 301 33559 32185 78 325 78 323 63 316 62 319 55 299 32185 30762 75 321 76 323 56 316 62 317 54 298 30762 29281 72 323 73 323 55 316 60 314 52 297 29281 27742 69 323 68 322 55 317 53 310 49 295 27742 26151 65 323 64 320 55 316 43 309 45 293 26151 24511 62 323 58 323 53 314 35 312 39 293 24511 22828 59 324 52 327 46 315 33 313 35 292 22828 21099 55 325 46 330 39 317 38 308 32 295 21099 19320 51 328 41 327 34 316 41 300 33 299 19320 17524 50 330 38 320 33 313 38 290 35 299 17524 15804 49 331 36 314 33 308 34 286 35 295 15804 14245 46 331 32 309 31 302 30 284 33 290 14245 12859 41 330 27 305 28 298 27 283 30 285 12859 11623 36 328 23 301 25 295 25 282 28 280 11623 10517 31 327 19 298 23 291 23 282 26 276 10517 9526 27 326 15 294 21 286 21 280 24 272 9526 8640 24 323 11 287 18 283 18 279 22 269 8640 7851 21 320 8 275 15 279 15 276 20 265 7851 7147 18 317 6 254 12 272 11 267 17 259 7147 6511 14 315 6 228 8 256 8 249 14 249 6511 5943 10 318 7 208 6*215 8 211 12 229 5943 5466 5 331 7 193 6*184 9 187 10 201 5466 5097 3 021 6 180 6 176 8 177 10 181 5097 4842 4 071 5 163 6 173 8 169 10 165 4842 4686 5*087 4*158 5 172 6*161 8*160 4686 4597 4*097 3*150 3 171 3*141 4*140 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography