DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/16 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 49.8 - - 58.1 - - 53.1 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 69 - - 112 - - -8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 141 - - 2070 - - 814 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 6335 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 5641 - - 7570 - - 6314 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 843 - - 1126 - - 1669 - - 2038 - - 2086 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 91 - - 259 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 192 - - 274 - - 289 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -2 - - 8 - - 22 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5272 - - -5715 - - -5801 - - -5596 - - -5239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9871 - - 11356 - - 13372 - - 11911 - - 9839 sfcLCL ODpotential -16463 - - -14931 - - -13781 - - -14889 - - -14198 ODpotential blCL 21062 - - 20572 - - 21351 - - 21203 - - 18797 blCL maxRH 36 - - 42 - - 51 - - 84 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 49.8 - - 58.1 - - 53.1 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.1 - - 16.5 - - 15.5 - - 17.2 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.0 - - 50.1 - - 58.1 - - 56.3 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.1 - - 15.5 - - 14.5 - - 16.1 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 69 - - 112 - - -8 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 141 - - 2070 - - 814 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96390 27 330 22 315 28 327 29 322 20 305 96390 89542 21 336 17 312 16 307 24 317 16 327 89542 84140 12 326 14 312 12 289 16 286 18 313 84140 79592 9 309 7 291 15 285 15 278 14 282 79592 75632 10 309 6 252 17 274 16 271 10 269 75632 72112 19 291 10 289 18 272 15 272 14 289 72112 68913 19 265 14 282 19 275 15 269 14 287 68913 65949 15 265 17 267 18 274 15 280 13 288 65949 63176 16 266 16 272 17 264 20 285 18 272 63176 60478 12 292 15 276 16 251 22 277 24 266 60478 57679 18 301 10 287 13 278 21 280 23 269 57679 54801 18 305 12 323 15 292 21 284 18 297 54801 52074 20 324 13 351 18 324 24 307 21 309 52074 49629 19 351 29 343 25 323 25 313 27 310 49629 47428 30 349 31 340 14 337 43 320 46 307 47428 45421 26 354 26 353 46 341 47 311 54 303 45421 43584 34 022 44 360 56 331 51 315 57 307 43584 41891 49 009 55 353 51 328 61 312 62 315 41891 40309 51 001 50 351 42 325 55 305 66 316 40309 38823 35 014 36 009 32 323 46 295 62 311 38823 37432 31 052 31 022 29 322 42 287 53 305 37432 36102 39 064 31 022 27 324 41 277 45 301 36102 34769 37 053 31 022 14 339 36 268 46 303 34769 33408 33 039 31 020 10 356 19 244 62 306 33408 32027 31 018 29 025 13 334 22 249 79 306 32027 30609 33 001 25 034 15 319 27 257 86 306 30609 29138 31 005 24 023 19 322 33 265 76 307 29138 27615 28 006 25 007 26 325 39 271 49 304 27615 26042 29 002 26 357 25 327 44 276 45 293 26042 24424 32 358 27 349 22 324 47 282 50 286 24424 22763 33 356 24 347 20 313 47 288 56 284 22763 21055 29 355 19 347 21 305 45 290 58 286 21055 19296 24 354 15 344 20 299 41 288 56 290 19296 17520 19 352 13 338 20 292 37 286 49 292 17520 15820 16 350 13 329 21 285 34 288 41 295 15820 14275 14 350 13 320 23 283 31 292 36 298 14275 12899 12 349 13 311 24 285 28 296 33 302 12899 11668 11 347 13 303 23 290 26 298 32 303 11668 10563 11 345 13 297 21 296 25 299 32 302 10563 9571 11 344 12 293 19 299 24 299 32 300 9571 8683 11 340 12 292 17 298 24 298 31 297 8683 7891 11 336 11 290 14*295 23 297 28 294 7891 7182 9 329 9 289 10*290 21 296 24 291 7182 6541 7 316 7 284 8 283 19*294 18 286 6541 5967 4 296 5*270 7 272 16*293 12 277 5967 5483 3 282 3*234 6 263 13 291 7 260 5483 5107 1 276 2 189 5 257 10 288 5 223 5107 4847 0 313 2 179 4 255 7 284 5 177 4847 4689 2*093 2 176 4 252 4 279 5*159 4689 4598 3*105 2 167 3 249 2 279 4*147 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography