DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 400 - - 230 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1254 - - 772 - - 284 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 986 - - 1236 - - 710 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1570 - - 1799 - - 1318 - - 829 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 310 - - 521 - - 413 - - 338 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 322 - - 228 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 269 - - 260 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2507 - - -4343 - - -3658 - - -969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4077 - - 6143 - - 4976 - - 1798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12807 - - -12356 - - -12461 - - -12542 ODpotential blCL - - - 14377 - - 14155 - - 13779 - - 13371 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 66 - - 58 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 54.3 - - 56.0 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 76.4 - - 73.9 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 53.8 - - 55.7 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 400 - - 230 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1254 - - 772 - - 284 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99257 28 106 27 099 31 111 22 115 99257 91747 25 110 32 100 30 105 24 109 91747 85957 24 094 25 108 25 097 29 099 85957 81171 21 093 18 112 19 086 27 081 81171 77067 18 103 15 116 15 089 20 070 77067 73457 19 101 16 121 13 107 16 076 73457 70189 20 090 13 109 12 093 14 093 70189 67179 18 084 14 111 11 084 13 094 67179 64403 11 099 9 112 6 065 12 084 64403 61733 5 165 12 139 5 180 8 081 61733 58959 11 191 10 180 11 179 5 201 58959 56092 13 214 16 204 13 189 17 199 56092 53359 21 230 23 216 23 216 23 211 53359 50897 38 231 37 227 36 231 34 228 50897 48705 48 236 47 232 51 233 49 235 48705 46736 47 239 47 236 55 234 57 235 46736 44943 50 246 46 238 57 238 56 235 44943 43280 53 243 52 241 57 240 53 237 43280 41718 55 240 51 240 53 242 52 237 41718 40242 54 241 46 238 51 241 53 235 40242 38843 54 242 46 237 50 241 54 239 38843 37483 53 242 48 238 49 241 51 240 37483 36093 52 241 48 237 48 240 49 239 36093 34644 51 240 46 236 44 236 48 240 34644 33140 49 241 45 236 41 234 46 239 33140 31568 46 241 43 237 38 236 40 237 31568 29913 40 237 37 240 36 236 33 237 29913 28177 35 234 31 241 32 239 30 239 28177 26358 30 233 28 230 27 239 30 237 26358 24455 27 228 26 225 23 227 28 233 24455 22473 23 233 24 234 22 221 25 229 22473 20407 21 235 22 234 19 227 22 229 20407 18252 18 241 19 226 16 222 18 228 18252 16052 16 233 16 235 13 228 14 221 16052 13929 12 245 13 259 10 255 9 245 13929 11997 8 256 12 278 9 294 8 298 11997 10280 6 271 9 285 6 310 6 328 10280 8755 5 278 7 288 4 288 4 337 8755 7401 5 281 6 298 6 293 3 320 7401 6201 4 292 5 306 7 304 4 308 6201 5142 4 300 4 311 6 308 5 308 5142 4212 3 300 3 312 6 315 6 316 4212 3393 4 303 4 325 7 324 7 323 3393 2664 4 303 5 313 7 319 9 330 2664 2024 5*289 5*290 8 296 8 315 2024 1496 5*267 7*271 10*264 8 274 1496 1095 5 265 8 269 11*260 10*250 1095 821 5 265 8 269 11 260 9*246 821 656 5 266 7 269 10 260 8 244 656 561 4 266 6 270 9 260 5 243 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography