DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.8 - - 63.4 - - 64.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 130 - - 155 - - 50 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1126 - - 1620 - - 1309 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1231 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1670 - - 2164 - - 1853 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 995 - - 569 - - 802 - - 1162 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 218 - - 265 - - 175 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 250 - - 294 - - 279 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -67 - - -709 - - -1524 - - -1711 - - -965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 627 - - 2379 - - 3688 - - 3564 - - 1525 sfcLCL ODpotential -9871 - - -8574 - - -7738 - - -8239 - - -8803 ODpotential blCL 10431 - - 10244 - - 9902 - - 10092 - - 9363 blCL maxRH 96 - - 82 - - 68 - - 66 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.8 - - 63.4 - - 64.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 47.5 - - 49.4 - - 50.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 54.9 - - 62.2 - - 63.9 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 48.1 - - 49.7 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 130 - - 155 - - 50 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1126 - - 1620 - - 1309 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 22 299 19 283 33 283 24 295 22 292 96514 89317 10 280 13 293 21 277 19 301 11 329 89317 83814 13 284 11 266 12 267 15 269 10 304 83814 79252 17 289 13 267 16 264 21 263 18 299 79252 75305 14 290 12 272 17 263 20 265 23 298 75305 71798 20 290 12 285 16 296 14 261 17 292 71798 68617 20 283 19 278 24 288 17 286 18 305 68617 65696 22 279 22 277 28 280 24 297 22 307 65696 62985 22 277 20 278 27 271 27 292 24 299 62985 60342 26 293 19 292 23 271 29 288 26 300 60342 57569 35 292 27 303 26 287 34 292 30 299 57569 54688 43 282 37 299 35 290 38 295 35 291 54688 51941 45 282 41 295 38 294 41 301 34 299 51941 49479 41 296 46 297 47 300 51 306 44 309 49479 47306 44 302 46 291 47 296 51 303 48 307 47306 45373 36 318 40 320 41 318 42 309 46 305 45373 43627 64 334 60 332 53 328 44 320 42 309 43627 42023 64 327 64 330 55 325 44 323 38 309 42023 40525 54 330 60 329 53 322 44 320 37 305 40525 39109 51 334 54 327 50 322 42 315 38 301 39109 37762 50 337 48 327 46 321 36 312 40 297 37762 36450 51 340 44 333 44 322 33 306 40 293 36450 35105 49 339 42 336 42 322 33 303 40 294 35105 33702 47 339 40 334 41 319 35 301 42 300 33702 32242 46 340 39 331 40 316 36 298 40 310 32242 30714 46 341 39 328 39 314 37 297 39 314 30714 29105 46 340 38 326 39 312 38 300 39 314 29105 27414 47 336 37 326 42 316 35 307 40 314 27414 25638 48 330 39 324 45 320 36 313 43 315 25638 23783 47 324 43 321 44 328 38 319 46 320 23783 21855 45 320 44 319 42 337 42 330 50 326 21855 19846 42 322 44 318 41 342 46 336 50 330 19846 17746 39 326 39 322 38 347 46 339 47 332 17746 15602 33 325 34 325 36 355 40 337 40 335 15602 13536 26 328 28 323 30 354 35 333 34 336 13536 11660 21 334 23 315 28 343 29 338 32 338 11660 9994 17 334 20 315 26 334 25 342 30 343 9994 8514 17 331 20 324 24 330 24 345 27 349 8514 7200 19 334 20 335 22 337 23 352 25 356 7200 6036 18 338 19 345 19 350 19 002 21 003 6036 5008 15 342 17 352 16 002 14 017 16 008 5008 4107 11 339 14 357 13 011 11 024 12 008 4107 3315 9 329 11 358 11 008 10 007 11 005 3315 2612 8 308 7 348 8*358 9 348 12 356 2612 1993 7 277 4*282 5*304 7*301 11 344 1993 1479 9 253 4*252 5 295 8*284 8 321 1479 1086 10 241 4 250 5 291 7 280 7 284 1086 817 8 229 4 249 5 290 7 278 7 250 817 654 6 215 4 249 4 289 7 276 6 230 654 560 3*210 3 250 4 289 6 276 4*222 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography