DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.0 - - 61.1 - - 57.9 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 15 - - 53 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 194 - - 694 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 738 - - 1238 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 153 - - 436 - - 751 - - 935 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 64 - - 143 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 062 - - 051 - - 056 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1512 - - -1913 - - -1661 - - -1394 - - -1756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2073 - - 2652 - - 2899 - - 1955 - - 2316 sfcLCL ODpotential -15243 - - -12542 - - -10436 - - -9845 - - -14703 ODpotential blCL 15803 - - 13280 - - 11674 - - 10406 - - 15263 blCL maxRH 61 - - 65 - - 69 - - 69 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.0 - - 61.1 - - 57.9 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 44.8 - - 50.7 - - 51.6 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 54.0 - - 60.7 - - 59.0 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 43.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 15 - - 53 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 194 - - 694 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 17 072 17 053 15 104 13 077 4 091 96349 89252 13 069 18 086 15 080 17 072 21 081 89252 83745 19 089 20 089 14 070 18 087 21 079 83745 79154 14 065 24 074 17 066 16 088 22 073 79154 75205 8 041 14 054 20 057 17 077 21 069 75205 71713 15 019 8 006 18 027 15 052 18 065 71713 68546 21 357 13 340 17 344 19 007 17 029 68546 65642 19 345 16 332 15 328 19 347 15 339 65642 62958 20 337 17 327 16 315 25 339 18 344 62958 60359 23 315 19 331 16 317 24 321 20 324 60359 57645 25 317 23 334 18 324 21 312 21 319 57645 54827 34 310 32 321 26 322 26 312 28 321 54827 52139 41 302 38 313 34 312 30 308 33 315 52139 49731 46 302 40 308 35 306 34 307 36 317 49731 47588 49 301 39 308 36 309 31 312 34 297 47588 45655 47 306 40 315 32 329 24 342 20 324 45655 43900 43 313 42 313 38 001 37 025 21 017 43900 42291 38 316 38 306 37 358 51 025 24 030 42291 40788 35 319 34 322 32 349 49 009 22 039 40788 39368 33 328 34 330 21 019 24 343 21 043 39368 38017 32 334 25 005 32 063 10 054 27 052 38017 36701 28 333 37 039 43 056 21 062 32 055 36701 35354 24 338 40 037 44 048 28 048 32 049 35354 33948 22 349 36 021 41 062 29 041 29 045 33948 32488 23 359 33 003 29 060 24 041 23 054 32488 30959 22 001 27 358 28 016 18 037 18 057 30959 29349 18 357 21 355 30 002 19 034 13 044 29349 27657 15 353 20 354 24 357 22 026 8 034 27657 25885 17 355 18 354 21 356 20 352 14 358 25885 24029 19 001 14 359 15 352 18 335 17 338 24029 22090 18 357 11 334 12 329 14 318 15 328 22090 20061 18 345 17 313 17 317 16 316 17 325 20061 17939 21 345 17 327 18 329 15 334 17 335 17939 15770 20 346 16 342 15 342 14 354 14 350 15770 13675 17 348 13 344 11 344 12 349 11 360 13675 11766 14 357 9 346 8 339 10 342 9 000 11766 10070 12 000 8 355 7 338 10 343 8 004 10070 8570 13 350 10 355 6 342 11 346 9 004 8570 7243 13 341 12 354 7 349 12 351 10 001 7243 6069 13 342 12 000 8 001 11 001 10 002 6069 5034 12 352 11 009 8 014 11 015 10 010 5034 4126 12 359 10 012 8 019 10 025 11 019 4126 3327 11 359 10 007 8 015 10 025 12 020 3327 2617 9 354 9 001 8 012 9 023 11 019 2617 1993 7 010 7 022 7 027 8 035 10 019 1993 1477 10 062 11 064 8*052 11 060 12 041 1477 1084 14 078 12 072 7*052 11 066 14 062 1084 815 14 076 10*069 7 050 10 064 13 073 815 653 10*065 8*065 6 050 8*062 10 072 653 560 4*046 4 059 5 049 4*056 3*053 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography