DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 79.3 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 409 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 689 - - 1042 - - - - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1092 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1234 - - 1588 - - - - - 831 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 394 - - 286 - - - - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 306 - - - - - 64 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 268 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1548 - - -3195 - - - - - -813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2782 - - 4784 - - - - - 1644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11931 - - -11601 - - - - - -13295 ODpotential blCL - - - 13165 - - 13189 - - - - - 14126 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 72 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 79.3 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.1 - - 60.6 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 77.0 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 60.1 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 409 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 689 - - 1042 - - - - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 0 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99442 36 109 39 105 37 093 99442 91945 33 108 35 107 31 091 91945 86167 30 107 32 108 27 094 86167 81374 24 102 29 105 24 097 81374 77252 22 103 26 110 24 105 77252 73612 20 106 17 109 24 110 73612 70311 18 108 14 109 22 096 70311 67282 9 149 7 097 13 081 67282 64489 12 146 4 193 9 053 64489 61809 14 134 7 188 3 249 61809 59050 8 163 10 198 3 196 59050 56210 9 204 11 202 3 330 56210 53518 12 191 11 192 8 228 53518 51125 12 191 13 193 18 227 51125 48990 12 211 12 204 25 213 48990 47036 12 218 14 205 24 201 47036 45227 15 212 18 209 23 191 45227 43539 20 218 24 217 21 198 43539 41957 21 218 25 212 22 206 41957 40466 23 224 23 210 26 206 40466 39054 23 235 24 220 28 202 39054 37681 22 248 23 226 26 201 37681 36279 21 243 22 230 27 209 36279 34817 21 239 21 233 21 214 34817 33300 16 244 15 235 17 224 33300 31714 13 245 11 237 16 228 31714 30051 14 241 12 243 15 232 30051 28307 15 247 12 248 15 239 28307 26483 14 238 8 233 12 238 26483 24579 14 207 9 207 7 208 24579 22601 21 193 15 198 8 159 22601 20543 25 187 19 191 7 136 20543 18395 23 175 17 172 8 128 18395 16197 16 166 14 149 11 129 16197 14067 8 142 13 127 11 135 14067 12121 6 098 9 105 8 117 12121 10388 6 088 6 069 9 081 10388 8847 3 024 6 013 9 062 8847 7476 5 343 8 004 7 042 7476 6259 7 337 8 006 4 015 6259 5182 6 339 7 010 3 341 5182 4237 6 329 5 356 4 315 4237 3407 6 310 5 313 6 309 3407 2670 7 288 8 281 8 310 2670 2026 7 278 11*273 8 302 2026 1496 6*263 11*269 8 277 1496 1095 5*257 12 268 8*256 1095 821 5 259 11 268 7*252 821 656 5 260 10 268 7 251 656 561 4 260 9 268 5 251 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography