DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 75.4 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 420 - - - - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 962 - - 1058 - - - - - 316 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 918 - - 1107 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1506 - - 1603 - - - - - 861 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 236 - - 303 - - - - - 390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 310 - - - - - 80 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 261 - - - - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1635 - - -3734 - - - - - -1886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3141 - - 5337 - - - - - 2748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12495 - - -13208 - - - - - -14027 ODpotential blCL - - - 14001 - - 14811 - - - - - 14888 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 56 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 75.4 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 54.4 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 73.0 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 53.7 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 420 - - - - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 962 - - 1058 - - - - - 316 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99254 35 116 23 101 28 106 99254 91698 31 112 25 102 25 101 91698 85878 27 112 24 108 26 092 85878 81059 30 117 23 099 21 098 81059 76949 30 103 22 109 20 104 76949 73341 20 097 19 102 18 095 73341 70074 18 098 14 135 14 105 70074 67073 12 096 8 125 13 113 67073 64301 9 140 4 122 11 112 64301 61636 10 175 11 183 6 129 61636 58873 10 204 18 195 12 229 58873 56034 20 248 19 220 26 232 56034 53356 29 240 25 239 34 227 53356 50946 30 249 27 241 37 238 50946 48771 41 262 33 249 40 244 48771 46785 51 257 45 254 46 252 46785 44955 54 256 56 251 56 251 44955 43252 58 257 61 247 60 248 43252 41650 60 254 63 250 63 245 41650 40135 60 259 65 255 58 248 40135 38706 53 262 57 260 49 255 38706 37325 48 258 47 260 46 264 37325 35925 42 259 42 256 44 263 35925 34479 39 262 41 259 43 276 34479 32995 37 267 39 273 49 284 32995 31449 35 273 45 287 52 290 31449 29818 40 282 55 294 50 292 29818 28102 47 284 57 294 48 290 28102 26299 47 285 53 294 43 289 26299 24408 47 290 46 295 39 291 24408 22435 44 292 36 291 36 288 22435 20375 42 291 35 290 31 288 20375 18224 38 292 33 293 32 289 18224 16027 27 295 26 294 29 294 16027 13907 17 299 18 292 22 301 13907 11982 14 300 14 288 14 304 11982 10273 10 298 12 291 9 302 10273 8754 7 294 10 296 7 302 8754 7404 7 300 10 302 7 303 7404 6206 7 313 7 311 6 304 6206 5146 5 334 4 319 5 298 5146 4214 4 025 1 343 6 295 4214 3394 5 051 1 327 10 304 3394 2664 3 038 3 293 11 318 2664 2024 2*304 6*272 10 305 2024 1496 5*256 10*261 10 264 1496 1096 5 259 10 260 12*245 1096 822 5 261 10 260 11*242 822 656 5 263 9 261 10 241 656 561 4 264 8 261 7 241 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography