DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 65.8 - - 74.8 - - 74.4 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 86 - - 136 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 720 - - 1969 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1374 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1265 - - 2514 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 215 - - 1039 - - 1201 - - 3111 - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 162 - - 264 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 036 - - 064 - - 049 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -6 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1766 - - -3991 - - -5204 - - -6176 - - -2566 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2326 - - 5256 - - 7719 - - 6738 - - 3128 sfcLCL ODpotential -14423 - - -13873 - - -13253 - - -13180 - - -11863 ODpotential blCL 14983 - - 15138 - - 15767 - - 13742 - - 12424 blCL maxRH 62 - - 48 - - 38 - - 37 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 65.8 - - 74.8 - - 74.4 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 45.2 - - 43.3 - - 47.2 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 65.0 - - 73.7 - - 75.1 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.2 - - 44.6 - - 42.5 - - 46.5 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 86 - - 136 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 720 - - 1969 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 54 288 46 272 56 279 55 283 52 290 96531 89452 35 288 27 283 31 285 34 279 43 289 89452 83986 27 284 25 303 13 296 18 262 36 283 83986 79446 27 286 27 304 15 302 15 291 25 285 79446 75514 26 294 24 290 27 286 26 300 24 302 75514 72006 20 300 19 276 31 277 31 294 28 297 72006 68812 21 308 19 280 31 279 34 284 30 285 68812 65874 28 285 20 277 28 272 30 273 32 277 65874 63157 31 270 20 273 25 266 29 267 33 275 63157 60527 34 268 25 271 27 266 30 260 32 264 60527 57780 44 264 32 266 30 266 32 263 32 266 57780 54940 48 256 34 264 34 262 39 261 37 262 54940 52246 46 255 36 267 34 260 39 260 36 259 52246 49836 42 261 39 275 38 272 40 271 37 263 49836 47689 48 271 42 274 40 272 40 269 40 269 47689 45751 50 269 44 271 42 265 37 263 39 267 45751 43980 49 274 45 282 38 272 34 273 35 269 43980 42343 49 279 45 281 37 285 34 281 33 273 42343 40816 40 278 38 273 38 283 31 277 31 268 40816 39379 33 285 33 274 36 274 32 272 31 260 39379 38018 32 286 34 274 33 268 32 268 35 257 38018 36697 31 284 32 270 32 267 31 265 35 253 36697 35348 32 284 31 268 31 263 32 264 33 252 35348 33941 31 284 30 271 29 256 31 256 32 246 33941 32480 30 283 28 274 27 254 29 245 30 240 32480 30953 27 285 24 276 24 259 26 242 29 235 30953 29344 24 291 23 283 21 264 22 243 26 230 29344 27652 23 293 22 279 21 263 21 245 24 231 27652 25876 22 292 19 267 21 255 22 249 24 236 25876 24017 18 289 17 253 21 248 22 249 23 242 24017 22076 13 277 17 248 21 254 22 257 21 255 22076 20051 13 264 19 263 21 270 19 269 17 262 20051 17935 14 262 19 276 18 274 16 267 17 254 17935 15772 14 259 17 278 15 266 14 252 17 249 15772 13685 17 254 16 265 14 257 13 251 14 255 13685 11789 19 262 14 259 12 253 10 264 6 273 11789 10109 15 276 8 263 7 238 6 267 3 321 10109 8618 11 297 4 263 4 228 3 271 4 005 8618 7294 7 307 3 217 5 238 3 289 3 027 7294 6119 3 293 4 206 5 247 3 300 2 043 6119 5081 2 209 4 209 4 260 3 310 2 089 5081 4169 3 202 2 216 1 278 2 339 4 096 4169 3366 1 226 1 028 2 065 2 040 4 077 3366 2651 3 007 3 041 4*067 3 053 4 045 2651 2022 6 014 5 047 4*066 3 061 5 039 2022 1499 8 014 5*046 4 064 3 063 7 045 1499 1098 8 014 5*040 4 062 2 058 7 046 1098 823 6 024 4 036 4 063 2 056 5 043 823 656 3 050 4 033 4 063 2*053 3 035 656 561 1*118 3 031 3 063 1*049 0*081 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography