DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 57.5 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 164 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2506 - - 2738 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1734 - - 2031 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3050 - - 3282 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2938 - - 2545 - - - - - 2291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 317 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 276 - - - - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 343 - - 392 - - - - - -913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2707 - - 2891 - - - - - 1473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -92 - - -533 - - - - - -2231 ODpotential blCL - - - 3142 - - 3815 - - - - - 2791 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 90 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 90 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 57.5 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 46.9 - - - - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 56.4 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 45.6 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 164 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2506 - - 2738 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 59 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97502 26 285 39 283 33 310 97502 90134 27 294 29 284 31 297 90134 84506 22 293 23 292 24 291 84506 79843 18 275 21 285 21 292 79843 75802 17 268 18 270 21 280 75802 72211 17 264 16 249 16 259 72211 68943 19 256 17 246 14 253 68943 65921 19 248 19 240 15 259 65921 63107 17 246 20 235 17 263 63107 60369 19 252 18 244 18 265 60369 57507 23 255 19 258 20 261 57507 54538 24 255 21 259 22 265 54538 51711 20 257 22 260 26 268 51711 49174 21 272 23 264 28 268 49174 46908 26 282 29 268 31 270 46908 44860 32 286 30 277 34 271 44860 42998 41 284 34 291 40 272 42998 41297 43 284 43 294 45 266 41297 39727 43 282 45 288 37 268 39727 38273 34 284 36 295 37 278 38273 36924 29 339 35 312 40 277 36924 35631 46 352 33 317 42 278 35631 34318 49 355 32 323 43 279 34318 32951 52 002 33 326 42 281 32951 31530 52 002 34 329 40 285 31530 30041 51 004 37 333 39 289 30041 28472 51 004 38 338 39 291 28472 26825 51 011 36 342 37 292 26825 25096 47 012 35 343 34 291 25096 23288 41 002 36 343 31 291 23288 21398 35 345 33 348 30 292 21398 19420 29 334 28 348 29 296 19420 17352 24 334 24 339 24 305 17352 15241 18 334 18 340 18 315 15241 13213 15 335 12 349 12 330 13213 11379 12 356 9 360 7 347 11379 9758 10 010 8 002 3 088 9758 8323 4 328 5 009 8 112 8323 7053 7 284 7 019 8 082 7053 5927 9 306 7 026 5 050 5927 4931 9 322 6 012 6 346 4931 4054 8 328 5*341 9 324 4054 3281 7*329 5*315 11 312 3281 2590 6*323 6 284 12 303 2590 1980 5 305 7 272 13 293 1980 1472 5 294 7 269 13 280 1472 1083 4 288 7 268 12 268 1083 816 4 284 7 267 11 259 816 653 4 284 7 266 9 252 653 560 4 283 6 265 5*246 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography