DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 81.2 - - 75.1 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 165 - - 72 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1393 - - 5665 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 4228 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1938 - - 6210 - - 1604 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1829 - - 1944 - - 1483 - - 548 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 412 - - 182 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 182 - - 279 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 12 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7227 - - -6573 - - -7275 - - -4868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9165 - - 12783 - - 8879 - - 5429 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13656 - - -13491 - - -13116 - - -12447 ODpotential blCL - - - 15594 - - 19701 - - 14720 - - 13008 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 75 - - 25 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 81.2 - - 75.1 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 26.8 - - 38.4 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 80.0 - - 74.5 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 25.6 - - 37.2 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 165 - - 72 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1393 - - 5665 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97051 38 278 33 261 38 276 40 288 97051 89773 23 288 21 268 25 274 28 279 89773 84227 20 287 17 277 15 286 17 282 84227 79647 16 264 17 270 13 300 12 301 79647 75689 9 255 18 257 14 300 12 309 75689 72194 8 292 17 265 14 297 11 318 72194 69037 13 297 15 280 14 300 10 328 69037 66130 19 279 18 295 19 298 14 317 66130 63424 20 274 20 283 21 291 17 300 63424 60786 23 273 23 272 28 271 22 281 60786 58007 27 268 28 265 29 262 24 272 58007 55094 29 265 26 257 28 253 33 257 55094 52293 28 259 29 258 29 244 36 250 52293 49763 29 258 34 259 29 251 32 253 49763 47495 30 258 34 255 34 255 31 260 47495 45442 29 257 32 249 34 252 31 264 45442 43577 29 264 26 255 31 253 32 266 43577 41878 31 263 28 259 27 258 32 267 41878 40315 24 257 26 254 25 267 29 265 40315 38862 19 253 18 256 20 264 24 267 38862 37501 16 209 12 215 15 240 22 268 37501 36192 9 190 16 197 19 204 17 258 36192 34867 11 200 18 188 18 195 14 234 34867 33490 13 203 16 188 15 208 14 217 33490 32060 11 212 13 193 12 220 14 216 32060 30560 11 207 11 198 9 235 12 220 30560 28977 10 195 11 195 8 222 10 219 28977 27314 8 183 10 181 10 188 8 201 27314 25568 10 165 11 169 12 180 11 184 25568 23739 12 139 12 157 12 172 13 175 23739 21826 13 120 12 144 13 149 15 160 21826 19827 14 114 11 135 11 137 14 154 19827 17737 12 114 10 129 9 125 11 145 17737 15605 8 104 8 124 8 115 9 141 15605 13552 9 092 11 120 8 121 7 147 13552 11684 12 109 13 132 10 136 7 154 11684 10024 11 149 14 143 13 146 8 161 10024 8550 14 174 15 157 15 152 11 158 8550 7243 15 185 16*171 14 152 10 152 7243 6083 18 188 14*176 12 153 7 150 6083 5057 20 187 13 178 10 157 2 092 5057 4152 20 186 12 180 6 171 4 019 4152 3354 17 183 11 182 4 228 5 343 3354 2641 15 174 10 184 7 277 7 304 2641 2013 11*158 10 186 12*283 11 285 2013 1492 7*138 9 188 13*281 12 281 1492 1094 6 130 8 189 13 279 10 274 1094 820 6 127 8 190 13 278 8 252 820 656 5 125 7 190 12 278 6 228 656 561 4 125 6 190 9 277 3*200 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography