DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 81.8 - - 79.5 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 312 - - 154 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1555 - - 3585 - - 1063 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1244 - - 2917 - - 735 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2101 - - 4131 - - 1608 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2195 - - 4784 - - 3989 - - 534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 427 - - 226 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 289 - - 273 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6500 - - -5958 - - -7669 - - -4721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8601 - - 10089 - - 9278 - - 5283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11316 - - -11212 - - -12413 - - -10603 ODpotential blCL - - - 13417 - - 15343 - - 14021 - - 11164 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 37 - - 29 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 81.8 - - 79.5 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 39.3 - - 40.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 79.9 - - 78.3 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 38.1 - - 39.7 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 312 - - 154 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1555 - - 3585 - - 1063 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98168 8 221 4 307 6 254 4 052 98168 90690 3 066 6 153 6 222 8 334 90690 84959 1 211 5 131 6 168 3 238 84959 80228 7 195 3 259 3 135 3 069 80228 76154 2 159 7 206 5 305 5 035 76154 72553 1 180 4 177 2 269 4 300 72553 69284 1 292 4 295 1 336 5 204 69284 66257 7 276 9 275 11 319 2 353 66257 63440 2 259 8 241 12 290 9 312 63440 60716 12 319 6 277 10 302 14 325 60716 57886 14 309 12 307 14 310 19 322 57886 54960 14 319 13 325 11 309 13 309 54960 52171 26 315 24 328 22 329 18 337 52171 49674 31 305 28 309 27 313 25 325 49674 47452 26 309 25 311 25 309 27 319 47452 45445 26 328 24 324 22 316 26 321 45445 43621 32 334 29 336 23 335 27 332 43621 41952 38 337 35 342 29 341 28 340 41952 40408 43 343 38 344 33 341 28 352 40408 38969 49 344 41 343 34 341 29 002 38969 37618 50 343 40 341 33 342 31 005 37618 36309 49 344 38 341 32 341 31 006 36309 34976 47 356 36 342 30 338 29 008 34976 33587 45 010 35 344 29 336 28 014 33587 32143 42 008 34 346 29 340 27 018 32143 30630 43 000 34 352 30 350 27 017 30630 29036 41 001 34 357 33 002 28 013 29036 27363 34 002 34 000 35 011 29 014 27363 25608 29 360 34 004 35 016 31 017 25608 23774 28 357 35 007 34 021 30 020 23774 21861 29 000 33 009 33 021 29 020 21861 19864 28 008 31 011 31 018 27 019 19864 17774 26 007 27 011 27 016 24 018 17774 15637 25 005 24 011 24 016 22 019 15637 13576 21 014 20 015 22 021 19 024 13576 11703 17 023 14 021 17 025 14 027 11703 10044 16 011 11 017 12 031 11 023 10044 8576 14 005 10 017 13 032 11 036 8576 7272 10 011 10 015 12 024 12 037 7272 6112 9 024 8 007 12 008 13 028 6112 5084 9 035 7 352 12 350 14 015 5084 4177 9 043 6*337 13 337 15 001 4177 3376 7 049 6*315 13 327 18 352 3376 2659 4*050 7 299 12 314 20 347 2659 2027 1*022 7 290 12*293 20 343 2027 1501 1 280 8 283 12*279 15 333 1501 1099 1 272 9 281 11 273 9 305 1099 824 2 270 8 279 11 270 6 262 824 657 1 269 8 278 10 269 5 239 657 561 1 268 7 278 8 268 4*226 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography