DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.7 - - 70.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 436 - - 237 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2911 - - 3083 - - 1380 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2370 - - 2625 - - 1187 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3456 - - 3628 - - 1925 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1503 - - 2263 - - 817 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 447 - - 279 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 275 - - 267 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -309 - - -1501 - - -2727 - - -2292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3765 - - 5129 - - 4653 - - 2853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1707 - - -2682 - - -5387 - - -6969 ODpotential blCL - - - 5163 - - 6310 - - 7312 - - 7530 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 82 - - 62 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.7 - - 70.1 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.7 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 72.3 - - 68.6 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 53.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 436 - - 237 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2911 - - 3083 - - 1380 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98958 16 137 7 103 13 120 9 110 98958 91515 14 124 11 128 11 107 15 098 91515 85768 15 112 19 138 12 123 12 091 85768 80991 17 098 18 125 15 118 9 103 80991 76882 17 098 15 115 13 106 14 122 76882 73258 15 108 15 114 11 081 14 119 73258 69976 9 098 11 120 7 141 7 128 69976 66954 3 160 8 146 8 164 8 160 66954 64151 11 198 11 213 7 232 3 194 64151 61434 12 203 14 228 14 248 9 267 61434 58596 16 218 20 230 20 237 21 246 58596 55663 19 248 21 237 25 236 29 242 55663 52885 28 258 27 256 31 244 34 247 52885 50398 36 260 37 260 36 250 38 250 50398 48171 43 259 43 256 40 256 40 248 48171 46149 48 255 48 252 45 258 43 248 46149 44300 50 253 50 251 50 256 49 248 44300 42597 52 253 53 252 54 253 54 248 42597 41015 55 253 56 254 57 253 56 248 41015 39531 58 253 61 255 61 254 59 249 39531 38132 62 251 63 252 64 254 61 251 38132 36776 64 251 65 251 66 252 64 251 36776 35394 65 250 65 251 66 252 66 251 35394 33957 65 250 65 250 64 252 65 251 33957 32467 64 250 64 249 63 253 63 252 32467 30913 63 251 61 250 61 253 58 254 30913 29277 62 253 59 252 58 253 55 257 29277 27561 61 254 57 253 55 254 52 257 27561 25762 56 254 53 252 50 253 49 255 25762 23883 48 255 47 251 46 250 45 252 23883 21929 42 256 43 252 43 251 43 252 21929 19894 39 256 41 251 39 253 38 253 19894 17774 39 259 40 252 37 253 34 252 17774 15611 37 258 37 254 35 254 32 251 15611 13528 33 252 33 253 31 253 27 251 13528 11645 25 246 25 252 21 246 18 236 11645 9984 18 254 15 250 13 231 14 206 9984 8517 11 257 10 262 7 231 9 188 8517 7214 8 289 10 271 5 255 4 201 7214 6058 9 312 5 284 5 287 3 267 6058 5035 7 325 2 287 5 310 4 296 5035 4134 4*332 2*274 5 316 6 324 4134 3341 2*310 3*274 6 306 9 334 3341 2633 2 290 4 274 9 287 12 328 2633 2009 2 282 8 275 12*272 12 315 2009 1490 3 277 9 275 13*269 12 297 1490 1093 3 274 10 275 13 267 10 273 1093 820 2 274 9 275 13 266 9 249 820 655 2 274 9 275 12 266 7 239 655 561 2 274 8 275 9 266 5*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography