DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 69.9 - - 79.1 - - 73.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 249 - - 404 - - 258 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 671 - - 1059 - - 820 - - 291 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1100 - - 813 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1216 - - 1604 - - 1365 - - 836 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 617 - - 358 - - 288 - - 324 - - 488 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 225 - - 306 - - 242 - - 56 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 287 - - 276 - - 273 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -86 - - -1614 - - -3581 - - -2078 - - -272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 647 - - 2830 - - 5185 - - 3443 - - 1108 sfcLCL ODpotential -12486 - - -11512 - - -11366 - - -10970 - - -11711 ODpotential blCL 13047 - - 12728 - - 12970 - - 12335 - - 12547 blCL maxRH 97 - - 79 - - 68 - - 74 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 69.9 - - 79.1 - - 73.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.1 - - 59.3 - - 58.6 - - 60.3 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 68.3 - - 76.6 - - 71.6 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 58.8 - - 58.1 - - 60.0 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 249 - - 404 - - 258 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 671 - - 1059 - - 820 - - 291 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99220 28 105 27 106 27 111 16 115 24 081 99220 91792 25 115 24 102 29 107 23 114 21 104 91792 86047 24 103 24 110 24 107 23 119 19 099 86047 81259 18 103 22 109 22 113 22 104 17 119 81259 77130 19 114 14 111 16 105 22 100 18 102 77130 73486 17 104 17 136 11 110 18 081 19 102 73486 70180 11 093 16 117 11 135 9 077 12 080 70180 67152 9 071 10 098 12 128 8 140 4 070 67152 64366 4 037 7 110 8 122 5 108 5 111 64366 61680 1 272 7 146 4 182 3 263 2 336 61680 58894 3 237 5 154 5 233 5 263 6 285 58894 56033 8 233 6 235 10 245 10 268 7 265 56033 53323 9 233 9 236 11 227 14 250 11 232 53323 50893 13 223 14 231 16 218 19 236 16 233 50893 48718 15 233 18 219 20 212 22 222 21 229 48718 46739 22 240 21 221 21 217 22 213 24 219 46739 44916 29 232 26 220 25 222 24 214 27 218 44916 43220 34 222 31 215 31 219 30 215 30 214 43220 41631 38 213 36 210 37 215 37 213 34 213 41631 40136 41 210 38 208 39 212 43 210 40 211 40136 38725 41 209 35 207 38 208 45 206 44 208 38725 37359 38 208 33 207 36 205 43 206 44 205 37359 35967 35 208 30 206 32 203 40 207 43 202 35967 34518 33 208 26 206 27 201 33 207 38 202 34518 33016 30 208 23 207 22 199 25 205 30 203 33016 31447 24 208 20 204 20 196 21 203 24 206 31447 29800 19 202 16 197 18 193 21 202 22 208 29800 28076 11 206 13 184 16 189 20 200 21 208 28076 26275 3 171 10 162 13 182 15 209 16 210 26275 24395 3 192 8 157 11 171 10 206 10 210 24395 22437 5 218 5 193 8 160 9 169 10 188 22437 20397 8 203 11 211 5 193 7 143 11 160 20397 18268 10 191 17 204 11 214 6 189 9 147 18268 16088 11 201 16 205 13 221 7 213 6 167 16088 13979 5 222 10 215 11 223 8 228 5 195 13979 12053 2 287 6 199 9 212 8 219 6 202 12053 10336 2 279 6 207 8 205 9 213 7 204 10336 8806 4 264 7 220 8 213 8 213 7 205 8806 7444 5 264 7 224 8 214 8 215 6 210 7444 6234 5 266 7 219 8 206 9 213 7 219 6234 5164 6 264 7 211 8 201 9 206 8 218 5164 4223 6 257 6 220 7 200 7 202 7 218 4223 3396 7 240 6 230 6 210 4 230 6 231 3396 2661 9 218 6 205 5 239 5 283 5 253 2661 2019 9 217 6 207 8*270 9 282 7 258 2019 1492 8 247 4*258 10*275 11*275 9 273 1492 1093 5 260 5*285 11 276 11*273 8*276 1093 821 2 260 5 287 11 276 11 273 7*274 821 656 1*282 4 287 10 275 10 272 6 272 656 561 1*258 4 288 9 275 9 272 5 273 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography