DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.3 - - 59.1 - - 56.4 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 133 - - 191 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 336 - - 2106 - - 2132 - - 2096 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1477 - - 1661 - - 1218 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 880 - - 2650 - - 2676 - - 2640 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1912 - - 1085 - - 1284 - - 860 - - 2356 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 271 - - 306 - - 241 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 252 - - 275 - - 274 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 64 - - 582 - - 463 - - 595 - - -888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 816 - - 2068 - - 2213 - - 2045 - - 1449 sfcLCL ODpotential -190 - - 318 - - 224 - - 336 - - -1157 ODpotential blCL 1070 - - 2332 - - 2452 - - 2304 - - 1717 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.3 - - 59.1 - - 56.4 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 50.2 - - 51.3 - - 49.4 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 56.3 - - 57.8 - - 55.9 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 49.2 - - 50.3 - - 48.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 133 - - 191 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 336 - - 2106 - - 2132 - - 2096 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 95 - - 96 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97955 17 269 19 266 21 275 15 259 22 267 97955 90504 9 301 8 285 7 286 4 283 11 280 90504 84796 4 318 4 022 5 324 5 349 6 351 84796 80108 8 078 9 081 1 101 9 031 5 036 80108 76117 12 076 9 101 5 186 10 005 13 075 76117 72594 8 097 14 074 9 138 5 147 7 041 72594 69387 5 121 4 108 2 202 7 185 1 314 69387 66422 6 221 1 111 1 139 10 211 7 219 66422 63646 19 233 21 227 16 242 19 239 13 231 63646 60941 18 236 25 230 28 230 25 235 22 234 60941 58124 20 245 24 241 29 228 27 234 31 233 58124 55192 34 255 32 250 34 237 32 239 37 237 55192 52364 48 260 42 251 41 245 42 245 44 240 52364 49795 56 255 53 249 51 249 50 243 47 240 49795 47487 60 250 57 245 54 244 50 240 47 237 47487 45400 62 247 58 239 55 239 48 237 44 234 45400 43510 62 245 55 236 59 238 50 237 45 235 43510 41786 62 247 53 239 59 237 54 236 45 234 41786 40194 67 250 59 243 62 239 60 234 45 238 40194 38716 75 248 70 242 72 239 68 233 60 231 38716 37336 76 243 71 239 76 237 71 229 59 225 37336 36009 67 241 67 238 70 236 64 228 48 229 36009 34667 55 243 58 238 62 238 56 231 45 233 34667 33280 48 245 52 237 56 239 50 231 41 230 33280 31847 46 240 48 235 52 238 48 229 40 228 31847 30346 43 235 46 233 50 237 47 229 41 230 30346 28763 37 238 43 231 48 236 46 230 39 232 28763 27096 37 238 41 233 45 235 43 234 36 233 27096 25345 33 239 37 237 42 235 38 236 30 233 25345 23513 28 245 31 243 34 237 31 235 25 230 23513 21601 24 246 26 245 25 237 24 235 21 225 21601 19605 18 248 20 241 21 231 19 230 16 222 19605 17526 13 232 17 238 18 233 16 227 15 220 17526 15406 11 222 16 239 15 238 14 231 14 227 15406 13362 11 217 14 237 12 244 11 231 12 231 13362 11501 13 214 12 230 11 237 11 228 10 225 11501 9850 14 211 12 224 11 229 10 228 9 223 9850 8387 12 212 11 225 10 229 9 229 8 226 8387 7091 10 215 10 220 10 228 9 231 6 221 7091 5944 10 199 11 194 12 201 9 210 6 207 5944 4930 11 188 14 177 15 183 12 184 9 195 4930 4041 12 205 12 188 12 192 12 196 10 198 4041 3263 11 244 9*214 9*229 11*243 11 233 3263 2575 12 254 8*225 11*259 13*266 13 262 2575 1971 11 251 8 247 13 274 14 273 13 270 1971 1467 10 244 8 256 13 277 14 275 13 271 1467 1080 8*237 8 260 13 278 14 276 12 272 1080 814 6*230 7 263 12 280 13 277 11 273 814 652 5 230 7 265 11 280 12 278 9*273 652 560 4 230 6 267 9 281 9 279 5*274 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography