DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 70.1 - - 65.2 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 366 - - 169 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1066 - - 1400 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 853 - - 1321 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1611 - - 1945 - - 1557 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 498 - - 407 - - 416 - - 709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 324 - - 225 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 262 - - 256 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -138 - - -1630 - - -937 - - -355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1749 - - 3575 - - 2494 - - 916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7903 - - -7967 - - -8487 - - -9699 ODpotential blCL - - - 9514 - - 9912 - - 10044 - - 10260 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 79 - - 84 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 70.1 - - 65.2 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.4 - - 56.2 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 67.9 - - 64.0 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 56.0 - - 56.0 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 366 - - 169 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1066 - - 1400 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 15 - - 34 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98234 5 317 9 204 10 242 7 224 98234 90881 4 095 2 220 1 164 4 359 90881 85231 6 093 6 012 8 065 8 068 85231 80543 9 084 5 085 10 048 10 072 80543 76505 10 082 6 097 6 041 6 087 76505 72939 7 068 8 097 7 108 4 090 72939 69705 4 110 4 079 6 090 9 106 69705 66717 6 146 3 210 3 339 8 073 66717 63928 5 170 7 156 5 241 4 321 63928 61218 7 191 7 225 10 236 11 251 61218 58388 9 218 14 229 14 247 13 261 58388 55459 13 277 18 260 20 261 21 260 55459 52670 19 266 21 244 21 250 21 261 52670 50163 17 264 23 256 30 267 30 271 50163 47931 27 274 29 263 33 263 30 271 47931 45927 31 273 22 271 21 267 21 277 45927 44110 26 290 21 312 21 300 23 304 44110 42448 27 312 30 312 23 306 24 308 42448 40910 28 320 28 310 21 314 21 330 40910 39469 27 338 22 317 24 344 29 345 39469 38110 36 355 28 337 39 351 29 344 38110 36791 44 355 38 342 45 346 25 346 36791 35442 48 353 43 340 41 342 22 350 35442 34033 48 351 42 340 37 344 23 340 34033 32567 49 351 40 346 34 351 29 336 32567 31029 47 352 42 350 35 353 35 339 31029 29410 44 350 42 348 36 356 34 338 29410 27709 42 346 38 344 35 354 30 335 27709 25924 39 347 35 344 31 347 29 336 25924 24056 32 351 30 348 25 342 28 345 24056 22110 25 353 23 350 20 341 21 342 22110 20080 22 355 17 345 17 339 16 334 20080 17961 19 355 14 350 16 335 13 338 17961 15801 14 356 10 355 11 338 10 343 15801 13722 10 003 6 001 5 349 5 350 13722 11832 8 354 5 360 2 021 1 097 11832 10150 7 347 5 339 3 358 1 163 10150 8651 6 001 5 333 4 334 1 321 8651 7316 5 005 4 321 4 322 3 321 7316 6131 4 357 3 300 4 311 4 312 6131 5083 2 350 3 276 4 299 5 300 5083 4164 1 182 4 255 5 293 5 295 4164 3355 3 213 6 255 6 301 5 308 3355 2636 5 232 9 260 8 289 6 332 2636 2006 7*259 10*262 11*269 5 316 2006 1486 7*261 11*262 13*257 7 259 1486 1090 7 262 11 262 13 255 9 239 1090 819 6 261 10 263 12 255 8 231 819 655 5 262 10 263 11 255 6*226 655 561 5 262 8 263 9 254 3*229 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography