DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 53.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 66 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 1605 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 818 - - 2149 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1039 - - 1205 - - 2661 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 202 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 066 - - 046 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2257 - - -1450 - - -1877 - - -662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3075 - - 3599 - - 2437 - - 1223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11125 - - -8530 - - -6642 - - -8471 ODpotential blCL - - - 11943 - - 10679 - - 7202 - - 9031 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 68 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 53.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 42.0 - - 45.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 54.9 - - 54.3 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 40.8 - - 44.1 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 66 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 1605 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96398 14 080 14 028 30 046 22 066 96398 89342 18 064 11 056 15 047 13 067 89342 83876 8 062 10 052 2 342 12 004 83876 79311 7 352 7 018 4 294 9 328 79311 75338 6 307 8 338 10 337 2 338 75338 71793 4 282 8 307 14 334 8 018 71793 68570 10 333 12 301 15 320 15 349 68570 65620 20 322 11 292 13 311 13 331 65620 62899 18 306 10 300 10 331 8 354 62899 60252 15 311 15 316 13 340 11 012 60252 57469 12 338 14 331 16 336 13 345 57469 54573 17 339 14 329 15 331 14 336 54573 51813 16 319 12 327 13 342 15 359 51813 49334 8 323 17 330 16 334 17 358 49334 47123 17 024 19 319 13 347 8 324 47123 45127 29 002 17 353 12 043 7 101 45127 43289 36 355 31 002 35 014 24 020 43289 41603 26 341 45 360 54 011 48 014 41603 40057 17 341 44 015 59 024 56 033 40057 38610 20 003 57 033 73 037 58 052 38610 37241 34 029 69 032 81 041 63 062 37241 35911 62 031 74 030 89 043 78 062 35911 34559 63 025 75 028 94 043 89 061 34559 33155 54 018 71 025 94 043 88 061 33155 31700 41 011 58 019 88 042 79 055 31700 30178 35 004 54 008 83 038 75 044 30178 28582 34 002 53 354 70 030 73 038 28582 26920 36 004 46 347 57 024 61 040 26920 25185 42 008 40 359 44 029 55 046 25185 23370 41 013 30 008 39 028 54 048 23370 21478 26 013 29 357 37 025 51 041 21478 19502 28 346 35 358 35 022 47 034 19502 17437 30 344 33 005 32 022 39 033 17437 15330 26 353 23 009 22 021 25 033 15330 13300 23 007 18 011 16 004 16 022 13300 11456 20 021 17 014 15 009 12 023 11456 9817 16 026 13 014 10 022 8 042 9817 8360 13 029 9 014 7 013 6 042 8360 7067 10 042 5 017 6 003 5 029 7067 5924 9 055 5 016 6 009 5 039 5924 4918 8 057 7 020 7 021 6 052 4918 4036 7 059 8 032 6 031 6 061 4036 3261 5 062 8 043 5 037 7 062 3261 2572 4 068 6*056 4 045 7 058 2572 1965 4 081 5*066 4 056 8 060 1965 1461 5 114 5 067 5 058 12 072 1461 1075 6*132 4 066 5 053 14 080 1075 811 5*139 4 065 5 051 12 079 811 651 3 145 4 064 4 048 9*073 651 560 2 144 3 064 3*046 3*065 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography