DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.9 - - 55.4 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 5 - - 55 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 955 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1500 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 255 - - 577 - - 668 - - 1733 - - 491 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 20 - - 159 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 084 - - 062 - - 269 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -759 - - -1165 - - -643 - - -847 - - -308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1319 - - 1725 - - 2143 - - 1408 - - 868 sfcLCL ODpotential -11873 - - -10508 - - -7070 - - -5700 - - -8591 ODpotential blCL 12433 - - 11068 - - 8570 - - 6261 - - 9151 blCL maxRH 78 - - 77 - - 82 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.9 - - 55.4 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.4 - - 50.1 - - 55.9 - - 58.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 55.5 - - 62.7 - - 63.0 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 49.2 - - 54.9 - - 57.3 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 5 - - 55 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 955 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 6 - - 26 - - 39 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96485 15 073 9 026 16 014 16 025 9 039 96485 89561 14 103 13 077 8 073 11 043 12 026 89561 84155 18 108 23 108 15 122 10 105 11 036 84155 79573 18 111 21 113 17 117 12 135 0 089 79573 75593 10 099 13 105 13 099 15 108 7 158 75593 72077 5 074 7 097 5 101 5 031 7 057 72077 68908 4 015 2 070 4 219 10 290 6 333 68908 66007 7 301 9 272 13 291 13 311 11 306 66007 63340 20 287 16 274 17 298 17 299 19 280 63340 60786 24 277 24 283 23 285 27 280 31 270 60786 58131 31 284 32 289 31 281 39 286 36 278 58131 55363 37 287 40 288 43 279 50 286 46 285 55363 52700 43 283 48 281 54 275 58 281 52 288 52700 50282 38 283 52 278 57 275 60 279 58 289 50282 48099 39 305 51 289 51 287 54 280 58 280 48099 46098 51 313 55 301 51 304 59 304 52 293 46098 44250 63 310 71 306 75 308 84 307 80 308 44250 42552 75 303 86 300 89 299 88 294 90 298 42552 40983 78 300 86 296 78 293 78 290 80 287 40983 39512 68 308 70 299 68 310 62 304 65 290 39512 38128 65 319 65 305 75 319 66 317 64 299 38128 36795 71 318 62 297 70 308 65 304 75 295 36795 35436 67 311 64 298 66 301 68 297 76 292 35436 34016 63 305 65 299 65 299 69 298 72 289 34016 32536 64 301 64 298 65 296 69 297 70 288 32536 30983 65 294 63 298 65 298 68 295 71 290 30983 29347 64 294 61 295 65 300 69 297 70 295 29347 27633 62 293 59 292 62 303 63 301 69 299 27633 25837 58 285 56 291 56 305 55 304 65 301 25837 23963 54 283 46 284 50 302 47 300 57 296 23963 22014 50 289 47 287 47 290 48 299 54 291 22014 19986 45 295 47 288 41 288 51 299 52 288 19986 17871 41 300 41 293 40 297 48 295 47 290 17871 15712 34 301 34 303 38 298 40 295 41 296 15712 13632 24 300 26 305 27 298 33 298 31 295 13632 11740 16 304 17 300 22 291 26 292 25 295 11740 10059 10 314 13 299 19 290 22 291 22 295 10059 8568 8 333 10 311 15 298 19 299 20 303 8568 7245 8 353 8 333 12 309 16 312 18 314 7245 6073 10 355 8 348 11 324 13 324 16 323 6073 5038 13 350 10 347 12 337 12 333 14 332 5038 4131 15 345 11 347 12 346 11 341 13 332 4131 3333 16 344 12 349 12 353 11 339 14 330 3333 2624 15 345 12 352 12 358 11 332 15 332 2624 2001 13 347 9 356 8*005 9 320 12 336 2001 1484 7 357 5 026 4*052 6 295 6 330 1484 1089 5 051 7 085 4 064 6 285 2 292 1089 818 6 077 7 096 4 065 5 278 2 235 818 654 4 069 3 097 3 065 4 274 2 219 654 560 1*030 0*084 3 066 3*269 2*207 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography