DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 85.7 - - 81.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 359 - - 189 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 847 - - 1310 - - 921 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1255 - - 728 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1393 - - 1856 - - 1467 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 415 - - 625 - - 454 - - 526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 316 - - 227 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 275 - - 258 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3433 - - -5647 - - -4959 - - -3151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4826 - - 7503 - - 6426 - - 3712 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10427 - - -10263 - - -10636 - - -11425 ODpotential blCL - - - 11820 - - 12119 - - 12103 - - 11986 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 60 - - 57 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 85.7 - - 81.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 55.2 - - 56.1 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 83.4 - - 80.3 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 54.7 - - 55.7 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 359 - - 189 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 847 - - 1310 - - 921 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99147 27 107 19 116 21 105 26 096 99147 91716 22 120 20 113 17 116 24 083 91716 85978 23 103 15 127 16 097 19 103 85978 81210 16 103 19 110 15 098 16 101 81210 77101 15 112 15 100 17 104 15 099 77101 73475 17 103 13 108 14 107 11 097 73475 70183 12 100 7 120 6 121 7 083 70183 67162 9 115 9 129 8 137 3 138 67162 64373 4 183 4 140 3 136 2 148 64373 61675 10 199 7 216 7 210 6 237 61675 58869 18 216 20 228 14 251 6 237 58869 55963 22 222 27 221 30 241 23 252 55963 53206 27 234 28 230 37 235 37 240 53206 50746 41 245 43 246 45 245 45 251 50746 48552 50 246 52 246 53 249 57 252 48552 46557 53 248 53 248 58 247 60 250 46557 44717 52 241 54 246 59 245 62 249 44717 43008 51 236 55 243 58 241 61 246 43008 41418 48 238 50 235 53 237 57 240 41418 39939 44 242 47 231 50 233 54 233 39939 38556 40 244 43 233 46 233 51 230 38556 37215 38 243 40 235 42 235 46 230 37215 35843 38 241 38 235 40 233 42 229 35843 34414 40 234 39 234 37 233 41 228 34414 32929 37 229 40 233 35 235 38 226 32929 31376 36 227 38 227 36 232 37 225 31376 29742 37 225 37 225 35 231 34 229 29742 28026 35 225 34 227 31 234 28 232 28026 26227 32 229 30 231 25 233 20 228 26227 24346 27 228 24 231 21 222 19 212 24346 22384 24 222 22 225 20 214 20 206 22384 20336 26 217 23 223 21 218 20 212 20336 18205 28 220 26 224 24 223 21 222 18205 16033 30 225 28 223 27 224 23 223 16033 13936 28 229 27 222 27 224 24 224 13936 12022 25 228 24 222 23 223 22 224 12022 10316 21 227 20 221 18 221 18 221 10316 8797 17 223 17 218 15 217 15 214 8797 7444 14 212 15 210 13 207 13 207 7444 6240 12 201 13 202 12 198 12 204 6240 5174 11 199 12 204 10 200 10 208 5174 4238 9 205 9 218 7 221 8 235 4238 3415 6 215 6 248 5 296 7 285 3415 2683 3 235 5 293 8 326 8 328 2683 2041 3 310 6*290 7 313 10 333 2041 1509 3*289 8*279 9*267 8 311 1509 1103 4*275 8 275 9*260 7 261 1103 826 4 275 8 274 9 258 8 236 826 657 4 275 8 273 9 258 7 228 657 561 3 275 7 273 7 257 5*225 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography