DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 73.3 - - 71.7 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 269 - - 61 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1458 - - 4479 - - 1226 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1123 - - 3523 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2003 - - 5024 - - 1771 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1301 - - 1428 - - 3214 - - 543 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 432 - - 172 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 333 - - 269 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4354 - - -5005 - - -6235 - - -3209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6357 - - 10030 - - 8006 - - 3770 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14543 - - -14753 - - -14373 - - -13456 ODpotential blCL - - - 16546 - - 19777 - - 16144 - - 14017 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 43 - - 41 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 73.3 - - 71.7 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 31.3 - - 38.8 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 71.6 - - 71.1 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 30.7 - - 38.4 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 269 - - 61 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1458 - - 4479 - - 1226 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97498 17 305 12 321 12 322 17 306 97498 90269 7 331 11 306 13 322 13 010 90269 84657 7 341 8 294 7 351 6 012 84657 80004 5 041 5 274 5 340 4 021 80004 76012 6 054 2 202 4 280 6 016 76012 72500 3 357 2 276 1 271 3 316 72500 69323 8 269 5 246 4 289 4 274 69323 66398 8 256 9 228 11 273 9 324 66398 63692 8 287 5 251 9 260 13 299 63692 61073 11 304 10 307 8 286 15 289 61073 58343 20 300 14 296 14 316 17 317 58343 55505 24 312 22 317 27 331 25 327 55505 52784 31 322 37 325 38 327 31 332 52784 50329 38 327 46 327 45 331 42 337 50329 48126 48 334 49 331 51 336 51 344 48126 46126 56 337 54 338 63 343 60 350 46126 44286 60 338 64 339 70 346 68 351 44286 42575 63 339 70 339 75 348 74 348 42575 40981 68 342 73 342 77 348 78 346 40981 39490 74 346 77 347 80 347 79 346 39490 38094 77 348 77 350 85 349 81 348 38094 36753 73 351 77 352 89 350 83 349 36753 35392 76 357 74 352 85 351 79 350 35392 33977 80 001 70 355 77 351 72 350 33977 32507 74 356 69 357 70 351 67 352 32507 30967 74 354 70 357 67 354 64 352 30967 29344 72 356 68 357 70 359 61 354 29344 27635 68 357 60 357 68 360 58 356 27635 25841 60 356 54 357 61 358 56 356 25841 23961 52 355 50 356 52 359 56 356 23961 21999 49 356 46 357 47 001 53 360 21999 19953 49 357 43 357 44 360 45 004 19953 17822 48 358 42 358 40 000 39 008 17822 15654 46 001 42 007 37 008 34 011 15654 13568 44 003 40 013 34 016 29 013 13568 11677 41 005 32 018 29 022 23 017 11677 10002 38 008 24 042 24 036 18 031 10002 8519 35 009 24 059 23 049 14 046 8519 7204 31 006 21 059 19 054 14 057 7204 6042 27 006 13*034 15 046 13 058 6042 5018 24 010 11*017 12 035 9 039 5018 4122 20 014 9 003 10 024 7 026 4122 3332 17 013 9 344 8 006 10 020 3332 2626 13*004 8 326 7 335 14 006 2626 2004 8*345 9 313 7*291 18 356 2004 1487 5 315 9 307 8*274 17 350 1487 1091 5 310 9 303 8 269 11 337 1091 820 4 309 9 301 8 267 6 296 820 655 4 306 8 300 8 265 5*247 655 561 4 305 7 299 6 264 4*221 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography