DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 74.2 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 436 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1059 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1043 - - 1172 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1604 - - 1686 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 357 - - 400 - - - - - 585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 321 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 262 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2095 - - -2606 - - - - - -1032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3700 - - 4292 - - - - - 1593 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9722 - - -9821 - - - - - -11788 ODpotential blCL - - - 11326 - - 11507 - - - - - 12349 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 68 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 74.2 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 57.5 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 71.7 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 57.2 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 436 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1059 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98773 9 198 9 178 5 339 98773 91311 7 175 7 146 6 203 91311 85575 5 178 4 192 6 160 85575 80798 4 152 5 169 2 045 80798 76669 3 171 1 142 3 047 76669 73031 9 126 1 253 4 004 73031 69752 2 032 4 302 5 022 69752 66757 6 109 7 222 8 337 66757 64002 7 319 6 273 5 335 64002 61353 9 301 11 298 15 308 61353 58619 11 271 16 268 24 290 58619 55806 22 286 20 265 29 278 55806 53138 36 282 35 275 37 280 53138 50754 48 275 47 274 46 281 50754 48625 49 270 52 271 50 278 48625 46686 48 276 53 275 49 280 46686 44895 52 282 54 285 49 289 44895 43223 55 284 54 287 50 291 43223 41647 54 283 52 287 50 289 41647 40156 52 284 49 285 50 288 40156 38741 48 284 46 285 48 290 38741 37366 42 281 43 283 44 289 37366 35961 38 277 38 277 41 287 35961 34501 36 277 34 277 39 284 34501 32989 35 281 33 276 41 284 32989 31414 35 284 31 279 41 280 31414 29766 34 288 29 282 41 277 29766 28039 35 292 30 285 36 279 28039 26228 34 285 31 284 33 276 26228 24334 33 280 33 288 32 276 24334 22361 28 275 33 290 29 279 22361 20301 28 269 30 289 25 285 20301 18148 28 271 27 282 24 285 18148 15944 25 267 24 275 20 284 15944 13824 26 259 22 271 10 284 13824 11908 29 253 21 268 5 266 11908 10213 27 257 18 269 3 251 10213 8709 20 266 14 274 3 277 8709 7372 12 272 10 269 7 286 7372 6183 8 285 9 271 9 291 6183 5129 8 302 8 284 8 297 5129 4202 9 312 9 296 8 303 4202 3386 10 315 9 299 9 309 3386 2660 9 309 9 288 10 323 2660 2023 8*278 11*271 9 329 2023 1496 9*263 12*263 7 291 1496 1095 9 263 12 262 9 249 1095 821 9 262 12 262 9 239 821 656 8 263 11 262 8 236 656 561 7 263 9 262 5*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography