DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 75.7 - - 67.0 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 23 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1132 - - 342 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 561 - - 1677 - - 887 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 367 - - 3125 - - 641 - - 278 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 146 - - 67 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 064 - - 151 - - 252 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4817 - - -6361 - - -2932 - - -1089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5378 - - 8038 - - 3820 - - 1650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9303 - - -9446 - - -6811 - - -6946 ODpotential blCL - - - 9864 - - 11123 - - 7698 - - 7507 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 27 - - 55 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 75.7 - - 67.0 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 42.6 - - 52.4 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 75.6 - - 67.2 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 41.4 - - 51.4 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 23 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1132 - - 342 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96133 7 333 16 346 5 022 3 236 96133 89089 15 060 7 044 10 012 15 064 89089 83665 15 070 7 127 5 062 5 026 83665 79137 11 050 3 128 6 065 3 096 79137 75217 4 084 4 121 6 044 10 079 75217 71761 11 149 6 117 6 112 10 094 71761 68641 7 149 6 085 9 101 5 131 68641 65765 6 116 3 228 6 107 6 177 65765 63079 12 108 7 174 7 158 8 181 63079 60456 11 103 8 156 13 185 8 179 60456 57707 11 098 12 135 14 174 11 177 57707 54852 11 105 17 115 15 159 16 177 54852 52114 7 122 16 107 16 152 17 189 52114 49624 7 136 10 121 13 146 17 193 49624 47369 12 150 7 158 7 173 16 178 47369 45317 16 147 14 160 13 195 10 164 45317 43437 24 149 20 153 18 185 11 188 43437 41705 36 140 29 156 22 157 22 174 41705 40102 40 146 39 157 31 160 32 167 40102 38610 55 153 61 154 47 167 36 162 38610 37223 68 150 74 149 67 158 51 160 37223 35906 73 141 77 147 76 151 71 153 35906 34582 72 136 75 145 71 148 75 147 34582 33209 68 140 71 143 67 148 70 147 33209 31780 60 146 69 143 63 148 64 151 31780 30282 59 149 68 143 59 148 56 150 30282 28704 58 148 67 143 55 150 55 147 28704 27045 56 145 64 144 49 152 51 148 27045 25306 55 145 57 146 43 153 45 152 25306 23491 51 149 48 148 41 153 40 161 23491 21604 43 156 41 150 40 150 38 161 21604 19635 37 158 37 150 39 147 39 154 19635 17580 34 159 35 153 37 152 38 150 17580 15484 31 163 31 160 32 158 26 159 15484 13464 26 167 26 168 25 164 18 165 13464 11623 22 163 21 170 17 168 16 173 11623 9983 17 162 16 169 13 172 15 177 9983 8524 15 182 12 177 11 170 15 174 8524 7225 16 200 11 189 10 173 13 176 7225 6071 17 211 10 192 9 175 12 182 6071 5047 18 216 8 191 8 167 12 182 5047 4145 18 219 7 188 7 156 11 179 4145 3348 16 220 7 183 5 146 9 172 3348 2637 13 217 7 177 3 141 7 164 2637 2010 10 208 7*169 1 230 4 151 2010 1489 12 185 6*159 6 264 1 272 1489 1092 11 167 5 152 8*254 3 305 1092 819 7 138 4 149 8*252 4 302 819 654 4 111 4 143 7 252 2*291 654 561 3*064 3 139 5 251 1*271 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography