DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 70.4 - - 68.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 465 - - 299 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2216 - - 2176 - - 1593 - - 622 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1790 - - 1951 - - 1410 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2761 - - 2721 - - 2138 - - 1166 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 736 - - 616 - - 585 - - 887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 407 - - 317 - - 98 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 275 - - 271 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 249 - - -1152 - - -1294 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2512 - - 3873 - - 3432 - - 1914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 231 - - -8622 - - -9447 - - -11387 ODpotential blCL - - - 2530 - - 11343 - - 11585 - - 12553 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 82 - - 78 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 70.4 - - 68.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 55.3 - - 55.2 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 67.8 - - 66.6 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 54.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 465 - - 299 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2216 - - 2176 - - 1593 - - 622 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 27 - - 13 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98830 30 096 31 115 22 117 25 100 98830 91297 22 090 30 092 25 112 19 095 91297 85520 21 116 18 085 25 089 21 106 85520 80762 21 110 9 097 17 072 21 093 80762 76676 14 104 9 113 10 062 18 073 76676 73057 15 102 6 113 8 076 13 068 73057 69779 9 080 10 144 5 153 7 063 69779 66778 7 088 10 136 8 136 4 114 66778 64019 6 032 10 162 3 095 6 083 64019 61352 12 250 4 204 3 244 1 300 61352 58578 10 238 12 247 12 261 13 272 58578 55718 17 256 21 249 23 259 21 268 55718 52995 30 258 29 245 33 250 32 258 52995 50549 38 262 38 252 40 252 40 261 50549 48357 47 267 48 259 50 258 50 265 48357 46362 60 266 55 260 56 260 57 267 46362 44528 70 262 63 261 65 262 65 271 44528 42832 76 260 70 258 72 261 68 269 42832 41249 79 258 74 254 74 258 67 267 41249 39763 78 259 73 253 71 257 64 267 39763 38359 76 261 71 256 70 259 61 269 38359 36997 75 261 71 258 70 260 60 271 36997 35614 73 263 71 257 66 261 54 272 35614 34180 67 265 69 259 58 262 45 276 34180 32696 57 263 66 260 50 265 41 282 32696 31143 54 261 56 260 41 269 38 285 31143 29508 51 262 46 259 36 270 34 285 29508 27792 49 266 41 262 34 268 33 280 27792 25990 46 272 37 266 35 263 35 275 25990 24104 39 272 32 268 34 262 36 273 24104 22137 29 268 28 265 28 264 30 269 22137 20088 20 265 21 258 22 264 21 268 20088 17952 15 255 16 251 16 258 15 266 17952 15772 11 241 13 233 14 253 11 259 15772 13669 11 234 13 223 11 245 7 253 13669 11761 10 235 9 227 8 221 6 218 11761 10075 8 252 4 262 3 254 2 267 10075 8582 7 272 4 309 3 307 6 340 8582 7257 5 275 2 322 1 347 3 343 7257 6082 5 195 3 155 3 136 4 153 6082 5044 11 175 7 165 3 135 6 143 5044 4132 11 175 5 166 3 058 3 068 4132 3332 6*195 3*211 3 339 7 348 3332 2622 4*260 9*275 8*288 9 311 2622 2000 5 275 12 275 13*273 14 282 2000 1485 5 278 12 275 14 271 14*270 1485 1090 5 280 12 275 14 270 13*264 1090 820 5 282 12 275 13 270 12 262 820 655 5 281 11 275 12 270 11 260 655 561 4 282 10 275 10 269 8 260 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography