DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.9 - - 57.4 - - 56.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 15 - - 58 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 146 - - 1500 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 690 - - 2045 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 675 - - 754 - - 2063 - - 696 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 58 - - 190 - - 7 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 038 - - 037 - - 347 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1577 - - -2088 - - -1154 - - -1506 - - -428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2137 - - 2778 - - 3199 - - 2067 - - 989 sfcLCL ODpotential -14537 - - -11907 - - -8949 - - -6792 - - -13011 ODpotential blCL 15097 - - 12597 - - 10994 - - 7353 - - 13571 blCL maxRH 57 - - 65 - - 69 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.9 - - 57.4 - - 56.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 40.9 - - 45.5 - - 49.6 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 50.8 - - 57.0 - - 57.3 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 39.8 - - 44.3 - - 48.3 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 15 - - 58 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 146 - - 1500 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96748 57 097 54 095 34 091 42 092 37 088 96748 89617 50 095 50 099 43 098 42 094 46 091 89617 84087 36 090 46 093 46 096 43 097 50 094 84087 79450 30 083 35 083 42 095 38 101 45 093 79450 75424 23 090 27 089 30 094 30 093 32 083 75424 71852 25 075 22 075 23 100 24 085 26 086 71852 68599 17 045 16 056 15 081 16 069 23 066 68599 65609 7 032 13 034 10 039 15 050 20 064 65609 62839 7 031 10 008 13 353 20 011 23 050 62839 60160 11 009 7 360 11 317 18 343 22 025 60160 57379 19 343 9 351 8 321 15 344 19 003 57379 54510 26 326 16 347 15 326 15 328 15 346 54510 51781 30 315 16 343 15 346 12 335 17 015 51781 49349 26 313 27 004 25 006 17 007 30 007 49349 47206 27 348 33 359 31 015 28 020 21 019 47206 45268 37 347 35 355 37 019 42 038 38 045 45268 43486 39 337 35 351 41 015 58 038 61 041 43486 41844 32 321 30 350 40 012 67 029 76 044 41844 40317 16 332 28 358 40 013 72 026 88 043 40317 38884 38 029 31 007 42 016 63 020 91 040 38884 37531 40 026 33 008 48 025 51 020 88 038 37531 36219 33 011 32 006 49 031 49 038 83 039 36219 34882 36 006 32 005 46 027 55 046 81 040 34882 33489 41 004 29 000 40 020 58 046 76 040 33489 32044 42 005 30 349 36 013 58 043 67 039 32044 30535 34 354 34 346 36 004 57 039 61 036 30535 28947 31 346 37 348 39 360 54 033 52 031 28947 27279 31 344 38 348 43 003 50 024 44 023 27279 25525 30 345 36 343 44 007 45 017 42 018 25525 23686 31 342 33 341 41 007 45 029 35 015 23686 21766 33 338 31 343 35 000 42 028 31 011 21766 19755 34 337 32 344 35 352 39 019 29 007 19755 17650 32 329 31 339 34 352 32 005 29 004 17650 15495 31 327 30 330 30 346 32 350 29 003 15495 13418 29 325 30 326 30 335 31 343 28 360 13418 11537 25 325 28 328 29 329 28 340 25 354 11537 9875 21 328 24 332 26 330 26 340 22 351 9875 8408 19 334 21 335 23 334 23 341 17 352 8408 7110 17 341 19 340 19 340 20 343 14 355 7110 5961 16 347 16 348 16 349 18 348 13 358 5961 4946 14 351 14 352 14 357 15 354 12 003 4946 4055 13 352 11 351 14 000 14 359 12 005 4055 3273 12 350 9 348 12 002 12 360 12 003 3273 2577 10 348 8 344 9*007 8 354 11 357 2577 1967 7 358 6 344 4*024 4 344 7 356 1967 1462 6 046 4 000 3 038 3 353 6 037 1462 1076 9 073 4 048 3 041 2 008 9 070 1076 811 10 075 3*051 3 042 2 010 9 081 811 652 7*069 2*039 3 042 1*004 6*082 652 560 3*050 1 038 2 042 1*347 2*082 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography