DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 57.7 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - -10 - - 14 - - -11 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 320 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 865 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 189 - - 748 - - 688 - - 117 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 15 - - 84 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 063 - - 068 - - 047 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4490 - - -5081 - - -3522 - - -1955 - - -2787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5050 - - 5641 - - 4387 - - 2516 - - 3347 sfcLCL ODpotential -17451 - - -15775 - - -10865 - - -10161 - - -15003 ODpotential blCL 18011 - - 16335 - - 11730 - - 10722 - - 15563 blCL maxRH 31 - - 29 - - 51 - - 59 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 57.7 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 36.1 - - 51.4 - - 56.2 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 59.2 - - 68.0 - - 66.4 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 35.1 - - 50.2 - - 54.9 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - -10 - - 14 - - -11 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 320 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 21 088 14 077 18 063 11 092 29 107 96269 89350 33 085 18 100 19 094 25 085 29 086 89350 83967 31 082 26 085 18 095 26 082 20 082 83967 79453 26 083 22 082 14 066 24 076 21 082 79453 75534 27 086 18 094 10 058 15 049 20 070 75534 72054 24 076 22 089 15 094 10 061 19 073 72054 68890 13 029 21 065 20 093 12 083 18 092 68890 65987 2 350 10 037 16 068 18 048 15 072 65987 63315 14 106 3 222 3 216 9 021 7 024 63315 60734 27 043 17 066 16 099 9 162 11 290 60734 58035 22 002 24 025 36 050 32 085 23 126 58035 55258 14 305 22 337 32 005 34 039 32 067 55258 52634 16 128 6 309 14 328 21 358 28 033 52634 50250 34 079 26 102 15 146 12 281 19 005 50250 48078 44 061 45 087 29 118 18 151 5 278 48078 46083 48 057 49 081 37 105 29 133 13 175 46083 44242 42 067 45 078 39 099 29 134 21 155 44242 42529 30 079 37 084 36 098 32 129 28 144 42529 40935 22 127 25 092 32 094 32 105 32 133 40935 39462 40 149 22 142 23 102 23 116 30 096 39462 38094 47 142 33 146 26 144 31 153 23 118 38094 36773 50 138 40 143 32 152 38 157 30 157 36773 35428 47 140 36 144 34 152 40 157 40 168 35428 34027 44 132 37 134 33 147 40 158 43 166 34027 32573 40 120 40 127 31 141 39 159 39 162 32573 31049 33 114 33 125 35 144 38 162 36 160 31049 29441 29 122 27 127 37 146 35 162 34 158 29441 27750 27 125 25 126 29 140 31 151 29 150 27750 25978 25 121 23 118 26 122 28 143 26 133 25978 24125 22 112 25 110 29 107 27 131 28 129 24125 22190 22 103 26 111 30 108 29 123 26 121 22190 20166 21 109 25 119 28 116 28 118 24 118 20166 18048 21 119 24 126 22 121 22 118 19 113 18048 15882 19 121 23 130 16 123 16 109 13 093 15882 13789 15 115 20 134 13 124 11 091 10 063 13789 11880 11 123 16 150 10 145 8 109 6 051 11880 10182 9 152 9 158 8 192 3 077 8 041 10182 8673 8 170 6 184 8 221 3 033 8 060 8673 7332 7 171 8 199 12 228 2 045 6 086 7332 6144 5 160 10 203 16 228 0 107 4 114 6144 5095 4 143 10 206 18 229 2 223 3 143 5095 4175 2 131 8 205 16 231 3 217 3 154 4175 3366 1 093 6 199 11 233 2 186 3 137 3366 2647 1 066 3 179 5 225 2 139 3 106 2647 2015 2 078 2 137 2 163 3 083 5 083 2015 1491 5 099 3 114 3 099 6 074 10 090 1491 1091 7 095 6 097 6*079 9 073 15 090 1091 818 8 084 9 083 5*070 8 063 14 085 818 654 6 065 7 072 5 067 6 058 9 072 654 560 3*051 2*063 4 065 3*047 4*058 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography