DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - 65.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 315 - - 123 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 759 - - 1068 - - 797 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1052 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1304 - - 1613 - - 1342 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 464 - - 459 - - 479 - - 1108 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 283 - - 187 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 261 - - 268 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -394 - - -1191 - - -378 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1698 - - 2804 - - 1720 - - 561 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7337 - - -6802 - - -7993 - - -197 ODpotential blCL - - - 8641 - - 8415 - - 9335 - - 758 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 83 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - 65.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.3 - - 61.7 - - 59.6 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 70.4 - - 64.5 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 61.4 - - 59.5 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 315 - - 123 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 759 - - 1068 - - 797 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 30 - - 81 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97870 9 110 5 151 4 013 4 083 97870 90596 10 085 10 114 2 137 10 070 90596 84954 9 083 12 101 4 142 9 041 84954 80285 12 087 8 071 5 089 7 053 80285 76277 13 072 10 045 8 062 9 042 76277 72742 12 065 9 031 11 037 11 030 72742 69547 10 049 7 014 10 004 12 005 69547 66612 14 357 14 349 14 349 12 341 66612 63891 19 346 19 346 17 353 12 334 63891 61259 22 334 22 334 21 339 16 333 61259 58525 21 319 21 325 27 330 22 341 58525 55711 27 315 31 309 32 318 29 335 55711 53024 30 296 30 296 27 312 31 332 53024 50588 31 300 29 304 26 313 30 329 50588 48388 40 296 31 303 27 319 22 337 48388 46379 47 289 37 290 28 327 29 007 46379 44522 52 281 43 285 29 329 40 009 44522 42790 51 276 44 284 28 318 40 006 42790 41164 43 271 41 279 27 303 31 354 41164 39635 39 269 39 276 32 290 32 344 39635 38197 34 266 37 266 32 282 24 312 38197 36816 29 258 34 256 33 271 25 291 36816 35420 27 256 31 248 32 263 27 276 35420 33977 27 254 30 245 32 252 27 262 33977 32488 28 253 31 245 32 244 28 255 32488 30933 28 251 31 244 33 241 29 254 30933 29299 27 246 29 242 31 239 27 256 29299 27586 25 242 25 241 25 238 24 255 27586 25793 21 240 20 245 16 241 19 257 25793 23921 18 241 15 254 9 246 11 250 23921 21978 16 241 12 253 9 232 10 230 21978 19961 15 230 14 226 14 220 15 224 19961 17861 16 208 18 214 17 217 18 221 17861 15718 18 187 19 203 15 204 16 215 15718 13650 18 175 16 188 12 183 13 203 13650 11766 19 160 15 170 13 174 11 178 11766 10094 18 145 14 153 15 164 11 165 10094 8607 15 135 13 143 17 152 14 147 8607 7285 12 133 11 142 15 143 15 131 7285 6109 8 132 8 143 10 146 11 123 6109 5067 6 125 6 151 8 168 5 149 5067 4151 3 114 4 174 7 182 4 220 4151 3346 0 080 5 206 5 222 5 253 3346 2630 3 294 6 238 9 273 8 263 2630 2005 6 276 10*257 15 271 13 264 2005 1487 6*256 10*259 14*269 13 264 1487 1092 6*250 11 260 14*268 11 264 1092 820 5 250 10 261 13 269 8 262 820 655 5 250 10 262 12 269 7 262 655 561 4 252 8 262 9 268 5*261 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography