DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 86.8 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 195 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1118 - - 2861 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 2177 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1663 - - 3407 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1875 - - - - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 335 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 29 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 253 - - - - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9285 - - -11131 - - - - - -5981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10949 - - 14539 - - - - - 6542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18512 - - -18415 - - - - - -16587 ODpotential blCL - - - 20175 - - 21822 - - - - - 17148 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 20 - - - - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 86.8 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 24.9 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 85.3 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 24.0 - - - - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 195 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1118 - - 2861 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97733 11 281 13 277 19 291 97733 90447 7 275 6 268 8 312 90447 84843 5 226 7 254 5 009 84843 80197 5 208 7 245 7 033 80197 76200 6 160 7 208 6 028 76200 72676 6 128 10 175 1 350 72676 69499 5 118 9 152 4 224 69499 66577 1 030 4 115 2 200 66577 63876 3 180 4 184 8 301 63876 61291 8 008 6 050 4 269 61291 58591 19 334 16 342 4 337 58591 55788 21 321 25 329 24 330 55788 53133 27 347 27 346 25 345 53133 50737 39 351 35 352 34 004 50737 48563 47 346 42 348 45 356 48563 46572 51 345 48 347 51 354 46572 44733 56 345 54 349 52 356 44733 43023 62 347 59 352 53 002 43023 41423 63 348 62 354 56 006 41423 39918 64 350 62 359 57 007 39918 38496 64 358 63 007 56 012 38496 37119 63 005 60 011 55 023 37119 35725 55 014 55 020 54 032 35725 34291 56 024 53 031 52 040 34291 32812 61 026 52 048 48 055 32812 31267 61 032 53 063 48 067 31267 29642 57 043 60 077 52 071 29642 27936 51 045 59 077 54 072 27936 26145 44 043 50 066 54 073 26145 24268 42 049 43 053 55 077 24268 22309 43 058 39 053 54 082 22309 20261 39 061 38 064 48 086 20261 18124 31 055 36 072 36 078 18124 15943 25 041 30 072 29 073 15943 13840 21 038 23 069 27 086 13840 11928 16 044 17 077 25 097 11928 10229 12 065 12 088 23 097 10229 8719 10 089 12 104 22 094 8719 7378 9 112 8 122 17 090 7378 6189 9 131 5 190 11 082 6189 5138 10 146 11 217 5 060 5138 4216 10 143 9 214 5 019 4216 3404 9 135 5*206 6 018 3404 2680 9 128 3*213 7 020 2680 2041 9*118 2 236 7 026 2041 1510 7*105 2 258 7 030 1510 1104 6 098 2 273 5 028 1104 825 6 093 2 280 1 023 825 657 5 089 2 285 2 194 657 561 4 089 2 286 3*188 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography