DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 76.5 - - 74.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 372 - - 164 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1807 - - 2573 - - 1342 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1508 - - 2190 - - 1006 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2352 - - 3118 - - 1887 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1002 - - 1837 - - 1368 - - 562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 399 - - 245 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 281 - - 258 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1739 - - -2235 - - -2879 - - -1263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4091 - - 5353 - - 4766 - - 1824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7472 - - -6444 - - -8732 - - -9700 ODpotential blCL - - - 9824 - - 9562 - - 10619 - - 10261 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 64 - - 60 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 76.5 - - 74.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 55.1 - - 55.7 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 74.2 - - 73.3 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 54.8 - - 55.5 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 372 - - 164 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1807 - - 2573 - - 1342 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98791 16 100 11 095 11 089 14 074 98791 91439 24 087 14 098 13 085 14 073 91439 85768 15 089 15 084 16 086 19 087 85768 81031 14 124 6 082 15 068 16 070 81031 76946 13 116 5 097 9 067 13 061 76946 73338 13 112 7 096 5 094 10 059 73338 70064 9 107 7 104 3 086 7 074 70064 67052 3 115 5 165 3 284 3 049 67052 64266 1 124 6 199 5 263 3 295 64266 61582 3 255 10 229 12 258 12 283 61582 58800 9 273 12 229 18 261 19 279 58800 55936 12 279 13 233 21 262 23 267 55936 53215 20 282 18 278 22 278 21 279 53215 50770 32 290 29 293 32 292 34 294 50770 48577 39 298 39 296 40 290 41 292 48577 46577 44 298 43 297 44 291 44 290 46577 44731 47 296 45 297 47 292 48 292 44731 43011 46 294 48 297 48 295 53 295 43011 41399 46 292 49 296 48 297 56 296 41399 39881 45 291 48 295 47 297 55 295 39881 38446 45 294 47 294 46 296 49 293 38446 37062 45 299 43 296 43 297 47 290 37062 35664 40 306 39 304 39 300 42 294 35664 34224 40 313 35 311 37 306 33 296 34224 32742 40 313 35 318 34 313 31 302 32742 31193 35 318 34 326 34 323 29 306 31193 29562 31 328 30 336 33 330 27 313 29562 27847 26 334 29 349 28 338 26 321 27847 26046 21 338 27 353 24 351 21 327 26046 24160 20 333 22 346 20 005 12 335 24160 22194 21 319 19 344 18 355 10 340 22194 20142 22 304 17 351 16 348 12 343 20142 18005 20 317 17 357 15 354 13 351 18005 15827 17 334 16 004 14 003 12 358 15827 13730 13 347 15 009 15 017 13 013 13730 11823 9 353 12 006 14 028 13 031 11823 10130 8 009 10 009 11 030 11 043 10130 8630 10 023 9 018 9 036 8 036 8630 7300 11 022 10 022 12 041 10 020 7300 6123 11 014 12 028 15 037 13 010 6123 5085 11 015 10 025 13 027 12 009 5085 4174 11 015 7 004 11 004 10 357 4174 3371 10 001 6*341 9 343 11 347 3371 2655 8*341 6*310 8 306 12 342 2655 2024 6*305 8 283 10*270 12 334 2024 1498 6 293 9 278 11*262 9 315 1498 1097 5 288 9 276 11 259 8 270 1097 822 5 285 9 275 11 257 9 232 822 656 5 283 9 273 10 256 8 219 656 561 4 283 7 273 8 255 5*214 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography