DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 71.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 423 - - 298 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1040 - - 1210 - - 1024 - - 566 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 932 - - 1217 - - 1004 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1585 - - 1755 - - 1569 - - 1111 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 353 - - 443 - - 347 - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 325 - - 273 - - 111 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 270 - - 268 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -173 - - -1580 - - -1413 - - -387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1758 - - 3335 - - 2983 - - 1498 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12022 - - -11758 - - -11771 - - -13134 ODpotential blCL - - - 13607 - - 13513 - - 13340 - - 14245 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 82 - - 84 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 71.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 59.2 - - 57.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 58.7 - - 57.3 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 423 - - 298 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1040 - - 1210 - - 1024 - - 566 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 27 - - 35 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99109 28 104 27 109 32 103 32 108 99109 91603 23 126 22 107 27 111 28 106 91603 85827 27 117 20 124 20 118 22 101 85827 81043 23 104 21 119 18 107 22 107 81043 76923 19 111 18 106 14 109 19 099 76923 73274 16 120 18 132 8 132 12 076 73274 69971 17 111 12 125 11 114 9 072 69971 66959 17 097 11 136 10 113 7 087 66959 64192 12 100 14 144 5 164 3 119 64192 61525 4 121 7 128 5 163 5 184 61525 58755 4 243 9 241 8 265 6 252 58755 55890 16 271 17 245 19 252 17 265 55890 53167 29 261 26 255 26 254 28 263 53167 50730 40 262 34 260 34 258 37 262 50730 48558 49 258 42 259 41 258 43 259 48558 46590 50 255 47 255 47 258 47 257 46590 44784 50 255 49 254 49 259 48 257 44784 43108 48 257 45 252 48 258 48 259 43108 41539 40 258 37 253 43 258 45 260 41539 40061 34 260 32 258 37 259 39 260 40061 38662 30 263 28 260 33 262 35 261 38662 37301 28 261 25 257 29 260 31 262 37301 35911 27 256 25 250 25 255 28 257 35911 34463 26 250 26 246 25 249 26 247 34463 32965 24 250 24 244 25 243 25 241 32965 31400 20 248 21 238 20 240 22 243 31400 29754 19 252 20 233 18 238 18 238 29754 28033 22 248 19 232 16 225 14 234 28033 26233 22 249 14 240 14 200 12 198 26233 24351 19 243 12 238 12 189 13 175 24351 22388 19 227 13 215 11 178 15 159 22388 20333 22 213 18 192 17 172 18 164 20333 18183 23 209 23 184 23 181 16 177 18183 15984 19 213 19 200 16 192 13 182 15984 13861 20 208 17 212 11 190 10 175 13861 11928 16 205 16 208 14 188 10 182 11928 10212 10 187 14 191 16 188 13 191 10212 8695 9 167 14 182 15 188 15 186 8695 7351 10 168 13 188 13 187 14 178 7351 6158 11 180 12 192 12 185 12 176 6158 5103 13 178 11 189 10 185 8 180 5103 4176 14 175 9 187 7 194 4 192 4176 3360 13 176 7 198 3 234 1 317 3360 2635 8 191 6 239 6 273 4 310 2635 2003 5*257 10*270 11*275 8 281 2003 1484 7*270 11*270 12*270 11*268 1484 1089 7 271 11 270 12 268 10*262 1089 819 6 271 11 270 12 268 10 261 819 655 6 272 10 270 11 267 9 260 655 561 5 271 9 270 9 267 6 260 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography