DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 74.2 - - 83.1 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 269 - - 402 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 1030 - - 1156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 985 - - 1170 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 672 - - 1575 - - 1702 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 320 - - 298 - - 456 - - - - - 626 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 266 - - 315 - - - - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 261 - - 260 - - - - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1303 - - -3975 - - -6172 - - - - - -2272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1975 - - 5550 - - 7874 - - - - - 2834 sfcLCL ODpotential -16901 - - -15902 - - -16737 - - - - - -15601 ODpotential blCL 17573 - - 17477 - - 18439 - - - - - 16163 blCL maxRH 78 - - 52 - - 38 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 74.2 - - 83.1 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 52.4 - - 51.3 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 72.4 - - 80.7 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 51.7 - - 50.6 - - - - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 269 - - 402 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 1030 - - 1156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99552 49 098 46 116 38 116 36 100 99552 92059 43 109 39 110 38 114 32 098 92059 86265 36 112 35 102 37 106 32 107 86265 81456 31 110 28 105 31 101 33 109 81456 77330 24 116 27 109 27 108 29 100 77330 73699 24 119 25 115 25 117 24 106 73699 70416 26 123 27 129 20 121 24 104 70416 67406 25 122 25 136 18 138 18 098 67406 64632 17 114 18 133 18 137 13 116 64632 61962 9 111 18 138 17 152 12 161 61962 59200 8 149 13 153 19 164 9 181 59200 56378 10 193 9 198 13 182 13 234 56378 53721 15 220 21 222 21 226 23 227 53721 51334 22 225 27 220 30 230 26 235 51334 49183 25 221 29 219 35 227 27 247 49183 47217 25 219 27 218 30 223 30 256 47217 45401 22 210 24 216 31 219 33 255 45401 43708 15 197 21 201 32 219 33 248 43708 42119 11 197 18 188 26 217 33 241 42119 40618 7 239 15 188 21 213 33 235 40618 39196 13 251 14 202 20 208 31 229 39196 37817 18 229 17 206 22 204 30 223 37817 36414 18 226 20 207 26 201 29 219 36414 34958 20 224 21 214 24 197 28 207 34958 33448 15 240 14 232 13 204 29 188 33448 31866 12 268 7 257 7 186 25 179 31866 30199 14 283 7 268 7 194 22 173 30199 28446 14 289 9 265 9 202 19 168 28446 26607 11 288 9 259 9 204 17 165 26607 24686 12 285 10 265 8 220 16 161 24686 22683 12 273 10 265 8 230 14 166 22683 20592 11 266 9 248 8 223 12 177 20592 18407 9 256 10 228 11 215 11 189 18407 16178 7 248 12 227 12 223 8 192 16178 14035 6 257 11 235 11 238 3 223 14035 12087 4 264 8 231 9 240 3 295 12087 10356 3 279 6 225 7 236 3 322 10356 8817 5 292 5 244 6 245 3 313 8817 7449 7 306 7 278 6 273 5 292 7449 6237 6 329 6 291 6 294 6 292 6237 5168 5 342 4 298 5 305 6 296 5168 4229 4 340 4 307 5 318 8 303 4229 3405 6 330 5 318 5 327 11 311 3405 2673 8 322 6 322 5 315 13 323 2673 2032 9 306 5*300 6*280 11 316 2032 1501 7 272 6*262 9*261 10 271 1501 1099 7 252 6 261 10 260 11 240 1099 823 5*235 6 261 10 259 11 234 823 657 3*216 5 261 9 260 10*233 657 562 2 220 5 262 8 260 6*231 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography