DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 438 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1077 - - 1173 - - - - - 432 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1040 - - 1198 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1622 - - 1719 - - - - - 976 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 378 - - 410 - - - - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 325 - - - - - 92 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - - - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -879 - - -2442 - - - - - -800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2501 - - 4161 - - - - - 1776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11884 - - -11839 - - - - - -13034 ODpotential blCL - - - 13506 - - 13558 - - - - - 14010 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 71 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 55.9 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 69.5 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 55.4 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 438 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1077 - - 1173 - - - - - 432 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 0 - - - - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99491 41 108 35 102 37 094 99491 91961 34 112 31 108 32 105 91961 86156 29 104 29 109 30 102 86156 81349 27 104 26 106 27 097 81349 77228 24 094 23 100 21 107 77228 73597 21 091 19 099 22 095 73597 70319 18 092 16 107 18 084 70319 67308 13 120 14 127 14 089 67308 64521 9 123 16 137 11 107 64521 61831 10 165 17 177 6 116 61831 59045 17 188 17 188 11 198 59045 56176 27 195 32 205 20 206 56176 53460 34 186 41 198 41 213 53460 51042 40 206 49 200 53 208 51042 48886 56 211 60 203 59 212 48886 46925 61 211 62 208 60 210 46925 45107 63 217 64 219 56 221 45107 43404 69 222 69 222 61 225 43404 41804 73 224 71 220 68 228 41804 40297 75 223 74 222 72 232 40297 38869 76 223 77 226 77 236 38869 37480 72 219 74 226 75 235 37480 36063 69 214 67 219 71 233 36063 34589 66 212 65 215 66 230 34589 33064 60 213 61 215 61 226 33064 31480 54 212 55 218 55 222 31480 29823 51 214 50 220 51 218 29823 28089 50 217 48 217 47 215 28089 26273 46 214 47 214 41 214 26273 24373 44 211 43 214 32 207 24373 22397 36 211 34 213 27 192 22397 20338 27 204 28 204 28 183 20338 18189 24 196 27 198 28 182 18189 15991 23 188 25 192 25 189 15991 13867 20 188 21 189 21 197 13867 11936 16 187 17 190 17 195 11936 10222 13 182 12 190 15 186 10222 8703 11 180 10 185 14 185 8703 7357 12 176 9 181 12 189 7357 6164 15 171 9 183 11 189 6164 5108 16 171 9 186 11 188 5108 4180 15 174 8 192 7 206 4180 3365 11 183 7 210 4 276 3365 2641 6 215 6 243 6 318 2641 2008 6*258 8*262 7 297 2008 1487 7*262 10*265 9 263 1487 1090 7 264 10 266 10*252 1090 819 7 265 10 266 9*252 819 655 6 266 10 267 8 251 655 561 6 267 8 267 6 251 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography