DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 74.7 - - 70.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 417 - - 210 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1232 - - 1506 - - 1109 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1124 - - 1428 - - 947 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1777 - - 2051 - - 1654 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 553 - - 504 - - 584 - - 990 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 347 - - 249 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 262 - - 256 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2737 - - -3481 - - -2802 - - -2007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4515 - - 5532 - - 4456 - - 2568 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13604 - - -13527 - - -12492 - - -12659 ODpotential blCL - - - 15381 - - 15578 - - 14146 - - 13220 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 58 - - 62 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 74.7 - - 70.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 52.6 - - 53.0 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 72.3 - - 69.2 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 52.3 - - 52.9 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 417 - - 210 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1232 - - 1506 - - 1109 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98752 8 231 5 195 5 192 4 268 98752 91346 13 185 5 221 8 189 9 179 91346 85608 6 161 5 183 9 214 2 265 85608 80831 2 141 3 158 6 202 3 328 80831 76720 4 288 2 041 3 115 1 091 76720 73094 4 229 3 294 10 016 6 089 73094 69821 3 144 6 242 10 004 10 082 69821 66826 1 249 7 246 12 324 9 005 66826 64077 4 279 6 239 11 278 14 316 64077 61446 9 286 8 284 8 256 14 276 61446 58712 16 283 19 275 14 260 18 265 58712 55878 21 274 25 261 29 262 27 277 55878 53191 32 269 34 261 42 267 41 273 53191 50791 43 278 44 270 50 269 48 272 50791 48636 56 279 49 265 57 264 53 270 48636 46666 58 276 56 263 62 261 59 267 46666 44849 58 270 63 264 68 260 65 263 44849 43161 56 266 63 262 71 261 71 260 43161 41580 53 263 61 259 71 262 73 259 41580 40089 53 265 61 260 68 262 70 260 40089 38678 54 267 61 262 63 259 66 261 38678 37308 53 266 59 260 62 258 63 262 37308 35911 51 263 59 256 60 259 61 261 35911 34456 53 261 59 254 56 258 58 260 34456 32949 53 258 58 252 54 258 56 259 32949 31376 50 255 55 249 53 260 57 261 31376 29725 45 257 51 255 53 258 58 258 29725 27990 41 258 50 255 52 256 56 255 27990 26169 42 255 47 252 49 256 53 255 26169 24265 41 247 45 249 46 256 49 254 24265 22281 41 241 45 243 46 251 45 252 22281 20211 38 238 43 240 44 248 42 255 20211 18055 34 240 37 242 37 252 36 259 18055 15864 30 246 29 252 28 254 29 268 15864 13755 23 253 23 273 22 272 27 274 13755 11836 18 252 18 270 20 281 21 269 11836 10134 11 242 15 249 16 267 17 267 10134 8627 8 248 13 245 15 244 15 251 8627 7292 8 250 10 245 15 248 17 244 7292 6108 7 240 10 239 13 248 16 254 6108 5064 6 240 9 246 11 263 12 270 5064 4148 5 258 8 273 11 300 11 288 4148 3346 6 294 9 294 13 314 10 307 3346 2634 8 298 11*287 13 301 11 326 2634 2010 8*279 12*270 14*277 12 328 2010 1490 8*266 13 263 15*260 10 308 1490 1093 8 264 13 261 15 256 9 277 1093 821 8 264 13 260 14 254 8 250 821 656 7 264 12 260 13 253 7*239 656 561 6 264 10 259 10 251 5*232 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography