DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 37 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 119 - - 599 - - 1020 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 663 - - 1143 - - 1564 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1893 - - 2100 - - 2159 - - 2138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 116 - - 104 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 241 - - 258 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -183 - - 192 - - 103 - - -461 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 847 - - 952 - - 1461 - - 1021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -534 - - 0 - - -233 - - -2306 ODpotential blCL - - - 1197 - - 1143 - - 1797 - - 2866 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 50.2 - - 48.6 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 52.0 - - 52.8 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 49.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 37 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 119 - - 599 - - 1020 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 98 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96551 23 087 33 098 36 101 29 108 96551 89438 22 108 22 106 22 109 18 102 89438 83938 16 106 12 117 13 100 16 094 83938 79348 9 110 8 111 9 116 8 096 79348 75364 9 149 1 173 10 124 5 092 75364 71816 12 170 5 238 5 188 2 250 71816 68583 9 194 7 212 5 229 4 090 68583 65588 16 231 18 228 16 245 9 268 65588 62810 17 229 21 229 21 230 15 247 62810 60123 22 253 20 245 20 233 16 224 60123 57308 37 247 32 249 30 242 30 239 57308 54396 46 255 44 247 47 242 46 240 54396 51633 60 262 56 253 56 244 56 242 51633 49144 72 260 69 254 68 249 65 246 49144 46909 79 256 76 252 76 250 78 247 46909 44884 82 260 86 257 86 254 89 247 44884 43032 94 259 101 257 96 251 94 246 43032 41328 96 255 102 251 101 246 98 245 41328 39756 95 256 104 252 102 244 104 242 39756 38308 93 257 99 249 100 241 102 235 38308 36961 83 255 85 247 91 240 96 231 36961 35662 80 256 85 253 90 246 94 236 35662 34333 76 258 89 255 91 247 93 236 34333 32947 76 255 87 254 88 247 93 237 32947 31506 77 252 83 252 88 245 91 238 31506 29999 75 251 80 244 89 242 90 237 29999 28413 74 248 79 241 86 241 88 235 28413 26748 75 242 75 240 80 238 83 232 26748 25006 73 240 71 238 73 236 78 229 25006 23191 69 239 68 237 67 236 71 228 23191 21306 61 237 62 237 63 236 65 230 21306 19339 54 234 55 235 57 235 61 231 19339 17281 48 229 48 231 50 233 57 230 17281 15177 38 226 43 227 42 228 51 226 15177 13151 28 214 37 217 36 223 45 219 13151 11316 25 201 31 204 35 216 39 210 11316 9697 23 197 29 196 36 208 37 205 9697 8270 22 199 28 195 35 203 35 202 8270 7009 23 201 27 196 31 198 33 201 7009 5891 24 201 23 195 25 190 29 203 5891 4903 22 200 20 194 21 185 25 207 4903 4033 17 204 16 197 19 189 23 210 4033 3266 13 217 12 204 15 196 21 210 3266 2580 9 235 9 216 11 210 19 208 2580 1974 6 252 7 229 8*230 17 206 1974 1468 5 258 6*237 6*252 13 206 1468 1081 4 258 5*239 6 257 8 206 1081 814 2*242 5 241 5 260 4 201 814 653 2*228 4 242 5 262 1*155 653 560 1 228 4 242 4 265 2*075 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography