DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 61.2 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 152 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 411 - - 1814 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1353 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 955 - - 2358 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2447 - - 2475 - - - - - 2916 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 272 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 250 - - - - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -101 - - 684 - - - - - -724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1056 - - 1674 - - - - - 1284 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -369 - - 289 - - - - - -1819 ODpotential blCL - - - 1324 - - 2069 - - - - - 2379 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 430 - - 840 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 61.2 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 55.7 - - - - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 60.2 - - - - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 54.6 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 152 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 411 - - 1814 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 95 - - - - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97292 50 279 54 273 59 288 97292 89850 40 273 40 278 42 288 89850 84197 32 271 27 280 23 288 84197 79560 23 274 26 280 18 280 79560 75579 22 276 23 280 21 281 75579 72056 22 273 18 280 24 274 72056 68846 18 263 19 275 23 273 68846 65865 14 263 20 274 20 269 65865 63072 15 261 22 270 17 261 63072 60348 18 253 24 261 18 263 60348 57503 21 250 22 259 21 266 57503 54560 21 250 20 258 24 266 54560 51758 19 245 19 260 22 264 51758 49231 15 251 19 264 20 268 49231 46951 15 258 20 263 21 272 46951 44872 20 248 23 254 21 273 44872 42963 26 239 26 253 26 268 42963 41203 30 233 29 248 30 266 41203 39578 28 228 29 241 31 266 39578 38069 29 228 32 239 30 262 38069 36657 34 227 34 232 30 262 36657 35303 39 230 32 230 32 265 35303 33938 49 228 32 233 33 269 33938 32533 59 224 37 237 32 268 32533 31095 65 223 45 237 29 258 31095 29613 66 223 51 234 31 240 29613 28075 61 222 52 235 36 230 28075 26468 54 219 51 236 34 229 26468 24782 49 217 48 234 32 235 24782 23015 46 217 45 231 30 241 23015 21169 43 216 43 226 28 243 21169 19239 40 216 41 222 26 242 19239 17219 38 218 38 221 25 241 17219 15152 32 215 33 220 25 242 15152 13160 26 209 26 211 25 244 13160 11350 26 207 26 208 23 243 11350 9742 23 205 23 199 21 232 9742 8316 20 209 22 193 20 227 8316 7050 19 211 20 194 19 225 7050 5927 15 214 17 197 19 220 5927 4933 13 217 15 203 18 214 4933 4058 12 221 14 210 18 211 4058 3286 11 226 13 222 17 214 3286 2595 11 229 12*236 16 221 2595 1984 11 231 12*241 15 232 1984 1475 11 235 12 249 14 244 1475 1085 10*237 11 251 12 255 1085 817 9*239 11 253 10 264 817 654 8 240 10 254 7 269 654 560 6 240 8 255 4*272 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography