DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 61.0 - - 64.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 147 - - 168 - - 42 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2071 - - 3622 - - 2440 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1485 - - 2663 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2615 - - 4167 - - 2984 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 266 - - 1952 - - 2326 - - 2213 - - 2462 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 275 - - 346 - - 191 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 259 - - 259 - - 270 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -337 - - -822 - - -343 - - -468 - - -562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 897 - - 3437 - - 4510 - - 3453 - - 1123 sfcLCL ODpotential -5110 - - -2153 - - -604 - - -1139 - - -2420 ODpotential blCL 5670 - - 4768 - - 4771 - - 4123 - - 2981 blCL maxRH 85 - - 81 - - 98 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 61.0 - - 64.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 47.9 - - 46.9 - - 48.7 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 59.9 - - 63.5 - - 61.6 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 47.3 - - 46.4 - - 48.4 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 147 - - 168 - - 42 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2071 - - 3622 - - 2440 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 24 - - 94 - - 49 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96907 42 284 47 287 43 281 47 274 42 289 96907 89795 35 282 35 283 32 289 27 270 39 278 89795 84308 24 278 26 265 32 279 25 269 29 272 84308 79730 21 267 22 271 31 264 29 275 19 276 79730 75756 25 254 21 271 28 252 30 276 18 282 75756 72219 23 248 21 256 25 241 25 264 21 268 72219 68996 19 261 23 253 23 244 22 246 23 252 68996 66009 21 275 23 252 22 257 19 250 20 247 66009 63217 26 268 21 254 21 263 19 265 17 262 63217 60508 28 259 18 266 18 257 20 267 19 279 60508 57695 30 261 19 277 15 254 23 274 21 290 57695 54783 34 264 23 270 19 265 27 273 26 285 54783 52001 39 261 31 260 27 269 29 269 28 275 52001 49492 46 253 38 257 34 272 32 270 30 274 49492 47240 50 245 46 256 42 270 37 271 35 274 47240 45204 51 245 56 253 51 264 44 271 37 275 45204 43346 55 251 68 251 64 256 52 267 40 276 43346 41632 63 254 80 248 79 249 65 260 45 272 41632 40038 74 254 95 245 102 244 85 251 53 262 40038 38548 85 252 111 242 139 240 116 243 66 250 38548 37148 97 249 119 240 158 237 148 240 87 242 37148 35794 102 245 122 239 155 237 160 239 109 239 35794 34416 111 241 122 239 138 239 159 238 123 237 34416 32981 116 238 114 240 119 240 135 239 126 237 32981 31493 111 245 101 240 100 237 104 237 113 237 31493 29942 99 253 94 241 84 233 92 236 88 237 29942 28326 86 257 87 242 81 234 88 231 78 233 28326 26649 70 259 74 245 76 237 84 229 73 228 26649 24908 53 253 60 245 68 240 75 234 72 229 24908 23099 44 246 48 239 56 238 66 237 68 232 23099 21228 40 237 44 233 48 229 49 232 56 233 21228 19284 39 234 42 231 44 226 42 220 42 224 19284 17258 34 233 37 234 40 232 41 220 39 219 17258 15188 27 227 27 233 31 233 33 227 36 225 15188 13195 22 215 22 222 22 221 27 221 26 228 13195 11384 21 209 20 214 20 211 25 217 21 223 11384 9773 19 210 18 215 19 216 21 219 19 226 9773 8341 17 212 18 210 19 215 19 216 16 225 8341 7068 18 210 19 202 19 207 18 209 16 217 7068 5940 19 207 19 202 17 208 16 207 16 217 5940 4942 17 211 16 211 13*214 13 214 13 225 4942 4064 12 227 12 227 9*230 11 229 10 251 4064 3290 9 254 9*248 8 254 10*250 9 276 3290 2598 8 282 6*261 8 262 10*268 11 289 2598 1987 5 302 4 258 8 265 10 270 12 298 1987 1478 3 328 3 259 8 267 10 270 12 296 1478 1086 1 103 3 258 8 268 10 270 11 290 1086 817 3 143 2 260 7 269 9 270 9 282 817 654 4 144 2 260 7 270 9 271 5*267 654 561 2*152 2 263 6 270 7 270 3*247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography