DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 64.4 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 393 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1499 - - 1663 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1303 - - 1533 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2043 - - 2207 - - - - - 699 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 671 - - 701 - - - - - 1378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 354 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 273 - - - - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1656 - - -2128 - - - - - -850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3699 - - 4335 - - - - - 1549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7523 - - -7323 - - - - - -8369 ODpotential blCL - - - 9566 - - 9530 - - - - - 9068 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 74 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 64.4 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 47.4 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.5 - - 62.2 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 46.5 - - - - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 393 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1499 - - 1663 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 0 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97246 47 275 58 281 49 291 97246 89903 43 279 46 275 44 281 89903 84253 35 276 36 267 37 281 84253 79565 29 274 26 265 26 277 79565 75542 22 270 25 268 14 278 75542 71991 15 271 20 262 13 270 71991 68771 11 283 19 246 16 258 68771 65813 13 285 15 231 17 245 65813 63081 21 268 14 255 12 236 63081 60430 24 253 25 243 17 241 60430 57656 36 264 35 258 27 258 57656 54772 50 250 51 246 38 252 54772 52001 47 244 52 240 43 245 52001 49482 48 249 54 245 53 247 49482 47217 59 256 59 246 58 245 47217 45169 60 258 58 249 53 248 45169 43315 60 260 59 254 51 252 43315 41629 57 252 54 251 49 256 41629 40087 44 248 45 250 57 268 40087 38659 37 252 42 245 55 266 38659 37316 34 254 35 245 53 263 37316 36012 31 259 36 255 53 260 36012 34679 29 264 36 257 52 260 34679 33288 28 262 34 253 49 259 33288 31843 28 250 34 255 45 255 31843 30330 32 238 34 260 42 246 30330 28737 32 235 33 258 41 236 28737 27063 30 233 32 246 41 230 27063 25307 28 231 32 237 41 229 25307 23473 28 230 32 230 38 228 23473 21565 29 228 33 226 36 221 21565 19577 30 223 33 221 36 213 19577 17507 27 217 33 212 33 209 17507 15397 25 214 32 204 32 204 15397 13363 24 212 28 203 30 201 13363 11512 23 209 24 202 28 198 11512 9867 20 208 21 198 26 196 9867 8408 19 204 18 192 25 194 8408 7112 20 198 18 183 23 194 7112 5965 22 195 19 179 21 195 5965 4952 21 194 17 177 18 198 4952 4061 19 192 12 182 15 204 4061 3278 15 190 8 204 13 221 3278 2581 10*197 9*254 14 243 2581 1972 5*250 12*271 14 265 1972 1467 6 266 13 273 13 275 1467 1080 6 270 13 274 12 276 1080 814 6 273 12 274 11*277 814 653 6 274 11 275 9*277 653 560 5 274 9 275 6 278 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography