DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 70.2 - - 67.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 306 - - 217 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 1122 - - 872 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 874 - - 1095 - - 797 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1610 - - 1668 - - 1417 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 548 - - 612 - - 460 - - 681 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 289 - - 236 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 266 - - 257 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2385 - - -2770 - - -2334 - - -1573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3995 - - 4439 - - 3752 - - 2134 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9949 - - -9378 - - -9224 - - -10277 ODpotential blCL - - - 11559 - - 11046 - - 10641 - - 10838 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 59 - - 66 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 70.2 - - 67.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 52.9 - - 53.6 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 68.3 - - 66.5 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 51.7 - - 52.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 306 - - 217 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 1122 - - 872 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98447 15 128 12 136 7 134 10 110 98447 91018 20 115 15 132 13 111 16 100 91018 85318 21 117 16 134 13 107 14 093 85318 80566 19 129 20 121 14 099 16 074 80566 76476 17 135 16 117 18 092 14 093 76476 72880 12 132 12 124 12 092 10 094 72880 69638 9 137 8 135 8 089 11 079 69638 66650 9 166 9 169 2 230 9 056 66650 63866 9 181 8 181 5 203 4 142 63866 61154 8 236 10 206 10 232 7 220 61154 58315 19 257 16 238 16 236 16 239 58315 55370 30 264 25 260 22 254 21 252 55370 52562 40 263 35 267 29 261 28 255 52562 50035 44 264 42 266 38 265 34 258 50035 47768 48 270 45 266 45 267 40 265 47768 45725 54 271 49 268 50 267 46 269 45725 43875 60 272 53 272 54 266 51 269 43875 42183 65 274 58 275 56 268 55 269 42183 40623 68 277 61 277 57 271 55 271 40623 39170 68 278 60 279 57 275 53 274 39170 37803 67 279 59 280 55 278 51 277 37803 36479 64 280 58 282 53 280 50 279 36479 35128 63 280 55 282 49 284 48 280 35128 33723 61 278 53 283 47 287 44 283 33723 32267 53 277 47 282 44 285 41 285 32267 30745 46 277 40 284 40 280 38 284 30745 29146 43 281 39 289 35 283 29 288 29146 27471 38 283 35 290 24 296 14 302 27471 25715 28 288 24 293 18 314 8 340 25715 23878 21 300 17 308 17 322 6 005 23878 21958 20 302 15 313 15 320 6 005 21958 19948 19 293 15 299 12 310 6 325 19948 17845 18 288 16 286 12 293 7 294 17845 15699 15 296 13 283 13 283 10 289 15699 13632 12 306 10 286 10 280 10 286 13632 11750 10 315 8 303 7 292 10 295 11750 10076 8 319 7 316 5 306 8 305 10076 8590 6 322 6 324 4 326 7 312 8590 7270 4 331 5 341 4 358 4 323 7270 6100 5 344 6 358 5 028 4 039 6100 5066 5 360 6 007 7 020 7 039 5066 4155 6 014 6 006 10 348 9 355 4155 3353 7 020 5 344 12 334 13 340 3353 2639 6 007 5 308 12 317 15 339 2639 2010 4*328 8*279 12 286 12 330 2010 1488 4*264 10*267 13*263 9 286 1488 1091 5 262 11 266 13*258 10 244 1091 819 5 264 10 266 12 256 10 236 819 655 4 264 10 266 11 256 9*234 655 561 4 264 8 266 9 256 6*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography