DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 60.3 - - 67.1 - - 66.5 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 192 - - 286 - - 155 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1530 - - 1732 - - 1117 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1235 - - 1508 - - 796 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2074 - - 2277 - - 1662 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1157 - - 461 - - 734 - - 967 - - 743 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 274 - - 325 - - 229 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 278 - - 279 - - 267 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -184 - - -831 - - -1870 - - -2313 - - -1067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 744 - - 2905 - - 4147 - - 3975 - - 1627 sfcLCL ODpotential -8470 - - -8130 - - -7793 - - -8149 - - -8835 ODpotential blCL 9030 - - 10204 - - 10070 - - 9811 - - 9395 blCL maxRH 96 - - 78 - - 66 - - 64 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 60.3 - - 67.1 - - 66.5 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 49.7 - - 51.1 - - 51.2 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 59.0 - - 65.3 - - 65.3 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.8 - - 48.6 - - 50.0 - - 50.4 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 192 - - 286 - - 155 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1530 - - 1732 - - 1117 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96549 37 290 34 295 41 283 34 297 40 290 96549 89361 26 312 28 287 30 292 30 299 26 309 89361 83897 24 323 22 294 25 300 24 306 24 319 83897 79378 21 326 17 319 22 309 21 315 23 319 79378 75487 20 336 15 338 15 314 19 312 23 324 75487 72041 15 325 14 339 11 316 15 315 19 319 72041 68895 17 323 12 329 11 301 15 308 18 307 68895 65973 21 309 8 312 13 288 17 299 20 302 65973 63237 23 292 14 299 15 285 18 290 20 298 63237 60564 27 280 20 290 16 285 19 281 23 294 60564 57765 30 281 29 292 25 290 25 282 26 289 57765 54870 36 282 37 285 31 286 31 285 29 285 54870 52123 36 287 37 286 34 288 37 288 34 285 52123 49655 43 289 42 290 41 287 43 285 39 278 49655 47433 45 289 45 288 43 283 45 280 43 277 47433 45417 47 293 44 287 40 278 48 272 47 269 45417 43586 49 296 43 289 38 278 40 266 40 263 43586 41920 51 293 44 289 39 280 38 274 37 268 41920 40389 50 288 44 286 41 279 46 275 44 269 40389 38964 48 289 44 285 44 280 47 270 48 266 38964 37617 45 293 44 284 44 277 45 269 43 260 37617 36308 46 296 43 285 41 273 40 272 38 258 36308 34972 46 297 43 287 38 273 36 272 36 257 34972 33579 44 298 42 290 36 275 34 274 35 258 33579 32132 40 298 37 292 33 279 32 272 34 261 32132 30615 33 295 31 287 30 282 30 270 33 263 30615 29015 28 291 27 278 27 278 29 272 31 264 29015 27334 23 285 26 270 25 274 28 272 30 265 27334 25569 20 280 24 266 23 268 23 269 29 265 25569 23726 20 287 21 266 19 258 21 261 28 264 23726 21808 19 292 19 273 17 260 19 258 25 267 21808 19811 14 293 17 279 15 265 14 264 21 276 19811 17726 13 290 14 279 13 269 11 272 14 282 17726 15595 12 304 11 291 11 283 8 286 9 277 15595 13539 11 302 11 297 11 296 9 308 7 311 13539 11666 11 295 11 312 12 314 11 329 10 340 11666 10000 11 297 12 327 12 334 12 340 14 343 10000 8520 11 306 12 335 11 345 12 342 15 340 8520 7206 11 314 12 335 11 346 12 342 16 336 7206 6043 12 319 12 335 12 345 13 347 16 334 6043 5015 13 325 13 339 12 347 13 350 16 333 5015 4113 13 329 14 341 13 349 15 346 18 333 4113 3321 13 327 14 339 12 344 14 339 18 332 3321 2615 12 322 12*332 8*324 11 327 16 331 2615 1994 12 321 7*289 8*288 9*296 13 322 1994 1480 9 307 7 279 8 280 10*272 10 293 1480 1086 8 277 7 276 8 276 10 267 11 261 1086 817 7 252 7 273 8 275 10 265 10 243 817 654 6*242 6 272 8 273 9 265 8 237 654 560 4*240 5 272 7 273 8 264 5*232 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography