DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.5 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 284 - - 423 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1211 - - 1461 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1126 - - 1399 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1756 - - 2007 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 504 - - 482 - - - - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 345 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 258 - - - - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2640 - - -4132 - - - - - -2489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4397 - - 6140 - - - - - 3050 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10010 - - -10427 - - - - - -11614 ODpotential blCL - - - 11766 - - 12434 - - - - - 12175 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 52 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.5 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 51.8 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 74.0 - - - - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 51.3 - - - - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 284 - - 423 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1211 - - 1461 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99136 29 103 20 117 17 092 99136 91679 27 124 18 117 20 069 91679 85914 20 121 17 127 16 095 85914 81128 14 106 15 125 17 132 81128 77008 12 128 10 109 17 129 77008 73368 13 112 8 141 11 102 73368 70069 8 115 8 124 7 094 70069 67045 10 103 6 091 7 080 67045 64259 5 305 6 099 6 028 64259 61569 12 212 3 285 4 336 61569 58765 6 279 9 225 10 248 58765 55857 25 264 20 242 24 271 55857 53087 35 261 33 249 37 262 53087 50599 48 266 43 259 43 261 50599 48367 56 263 49 261 47 265 48367 46333 57 260 50 259 52 264 46333 44460 59 261 53 258 57 263 44460 42730 64 259 56 254 59 261 42730 41124 64 256 55 250 57 257 41124 39626 62 256 53 245 53 256 39626 38222 61 254 53 244 50 255 38222 36868 58 251 51 244 45 254 36868 35496 56 251 49 244 42 255 35496 34073 54 252 46 246 42 254 34073 32599 53 251 44 248 43 253 32599 31057 52 249 45 247 42 254 31057 29436 49 248 45 247 39 256 29436 27734 44 248 44 248 38 257 27734 25948 40 249 42 251 38 257 25948 24077 38 253 40 253 38 257 24077 22124 37 255 37 256 36 256 22124 20087 35 255 33 257 31 257 20087 17967 25 261 26 250 25 261 17967 15809 16 261 20 246 19 257 15809 13728 13 255 17 246 16 256 13728 11833 15 252 16 247 15 256 11833 10148 19 255 17 253 14 248 10148 8651 21 257 18 258 10 251 8651 7320 16 257 14 258 8 260 7320 6138 11 254 9 252 7 271 6138 5093 9 240 8 241 8 281 5093 4174 9 244 8 251 9 290 4174 3368 8 265 9 282 11 305 3368 2650 8 289 10 285 12 316 2650 2019 7*275 11*269 11 311 2019 1495 8*259 12*260 11 285 1495 1095 8 256 12 259 12 252 1095 821 8 256 12 257 11 231 821 656 7 256 11 257 10*225 656 561 6 256 9 257 6*221 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography