DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 67.2 - - 65.7 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 343 - - 230 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1543 - - 1620 - - 1489 - - 576 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1246 - - 1464 - - 1252 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2088 - - 2165 - - 2034 - - 1120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 700 - - 591 - - 543 - - 933 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 333 - - 283 - - 84 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 277 - - 267 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -108 - - -206 - - -73 - - -19 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2196 - - 2371 - - 2107 - - 1139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7703 - - -7736 - - -8228 - - -302 ODpotential blCL - - - 9791 - - 9901 - - 10262 - - 1422 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 97 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 67.2 - - 65.7 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 58.5 - - 58.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 65.2 - - 64.2 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 58.3 - - 58.1 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 343 - - 230 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1543 - - 1620 - - 1489 - - 576 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 90 - - 92 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99147 32 097 31 114 21 116 21 100 99147 91687 22 093 25 103 19 108 20 088 91687 85922 18 125 18 091 22 110 18 096 85922 81131 21 119 12 117 17 099 16 099 81131 77002 20 112 12 129 11 093 14 086 77002 73353 14 091 13 120 8 104 11 101 73353 70056 4 081 9 096 8 089 8 100 70056 67035 4 155 2 146 6 051 7 057 67035 64239 4 156 8 166 4 186 4 254 64239 61533 3 247 7 152 9 214 11 227 61533 58711 10 235 9 244 12 226 13 225 58711 55781 13 232 14 236 16 224 17 238 55781 52985 14 220 16 221 18 226 19 235 52985 50466 16 218 19 221 19 234 18 228 50466 48204 20 217 19 222 20 236 20 225 48204 46152 18 219 19 222 21 229 21 223 46152 44274 20 229 19 223 19 226 21 219 44274 42544 23 232 20 231 19 224 18 220 42544 40943 21 232 20 233 19 217 16 221 40943 39454 16 238 19 235 17 219 15 223 39454 38063 14 254 18 244 17 230 17 227 38063 36723 14 265 17 256 17 238 19 224 36723 35360 8 281 12 266 14 245 16 223 35360 33945 7 360 2 295 11 251 12 221 33945 32478 9 012 5 285 11 251 9 211 32478 30943 5 335 10 266 12 243 10 222 30943 29327 4 298 11 257 13 246 10 250 29327 27630 5 282 11 261 12 256 8 255 27630 25852 10 286 8 287 10 268 7 248 25852 23994 12 289 9 292 9 267 7 245 23994 22058 10 291 9 278 10 247 11 247 22058 20036 5 269 7 256 10 236 11 237 20036 17924 3 201 7 210 12 225 11 226 17924 15765 7 231 11 219 15 222 13 224 15765 13680 13 223 15 221 16 223 14 218 13680 11782 16 214 15 212 14 213 14 202 11782 10095 15 209 14 206 12 203 13 191 10095 8598 14 207 12 206 10 203 11 181 8598 7269 12 202 10 209 7 210 9 174 7269 6090 12 198 10 213 7 216 8 182 6090 5047 14 195 13 199 10 196 9 188 5047 4132 17 192 15 187 12 187 11 192 4132 3331 16 190 12 194 11 211 11 221 3331 2622 11*208 10*248 13*253 13 266 2622 2000 8*255 13*273 14*265 13 271 2000 1484 8 269 13 276 13 267 13*266 1484 1090 8 273 13 277 13 268 12*264 1090 820 8 275 12 278 12 269 10 263 820 655 7 277 11 279 11 268 9 262 655 561 6 278 9 279 9 268 7 263 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography