DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 69.9 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 249 - - 381 - - 181 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1631 - - 2190 - - 1246 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1384 - - 1913 - - 986 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 2176 - - 2736 - - 1792 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 580 - - 649 - - 1270 - - 1440 - - 796 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 301 - - 382 - - 247 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 291 - - 288 - - 262 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -378 - - -1080 - - -2039 - - -2348 - - -1149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 939 - - 3256 - - 4775 - - 4141 - - 1710 sfcLCL ODpotential -10665 - - -8282 - - -6639 - - -7496 - - -9878 ODpotential blCL 11226 - - 10458 - - 9375 - - 9288 - - 10439 blCL maxRH 92 - - 81 - - 69 - - 67 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 69.9 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 57.5 - - 59.2 - - 60.7 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 68.3 - - 75.9 - - 75.6 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.0 - - 57.1 - - 58.9 - - 60.5 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 249 - - 381 - - 181 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1631 - - 2190 - - 1246 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98196 16 060 12 103 12 125 9 124 3 003 98196 90881 13 082 16 082 12 116 10 113 10 083 90881 85210 13 102 15 087 11 100 8 098 16 065 85210 80500 15 108 14 094 11 100 11 092 13 062 80500 76456 14 093 12 096 10 108 11 083 11 075 76456 72889 13 075 11 079 9 103 8 078 11 067 72889 69664 8 074 7 077 7 075 9 078 8 055 69664 66697 9 076 6 087 5 049 9 069 5 067 66697 63946 5 042 6 103 1 114 4 011 6 033 63946 61286 7 337 2 351 3 196 3 236 6 337 61286 58533 10 305 6 294 7 297 7 286 10 308 58533 55698 15 289 11 289 17 298 13 309 12 304 55698 53001 24 307 21 292 23 292 24 304 23 311 53001 50579 26 291 23 284 22 285 27 302 29 316 50579 48405 23 312 30 305 31 299 35 308 36 314 48405 46419 38 303 37 299 37 293 39 303 35 311 46419 44587 39 291 35 288 37 289 39 297 33 316 44587 42886 38 288 35 294 39 287 37 294 35 322 42886 41307 39 289 39 295 39 292 36 300 35 315 41307 39835 41 289 42 300 40 298 37 301 30 302 39835 38446 41 294 43 303 38 299 35 301 22 310 38446 37095 42 299 42 306 38 303 34 302 25 333 37095 35719 42 299 42 309 39 304 35 304 29 325 35719 34286 43 303 43 307 40 308 37 307 33 317 34286 32798 40 307 41 308 42 311 39 313 38 319 32798 31241 39 304 38 311 41 315 40 320 40 325 31241 29604 41 302 37 312 39 319 37 324 38 327 29604 27888 37 299 39 314 36 322 34 328 32 327 27888 26090 30 296 37 318 32 323 29 330 25 328 26090 24210 26 294 28 319 27 318 23 323 19 316 24210 22251 23 300 17 309 19 306 21 308 19 300 22251 20208 19 316 16 299 17 289 19 302 19 302 20208 18075 14 314 11 306 14 297 17 299 17 313 18075 15896 12 298 11 289 10 296 12 313 14 321 15896 13793 11 307 14 284 11 292 9 328 10 326 13793 11878 9 312 13 293 13 289 8 319 7 327 11878 10180 8 308 11 301 10 297 8 300 6 309 10180 8676 8 311 9 315 8 321 7 301 6 283 8676 7342 7 324 9 329 9 342 7 321 6 271 7342 6160 8 336 10 339 11 358 8 356 4 279 6160 5115 10 340 10 346 13 004 10 006 3 319 5115 4196 12 339 10 350 12 354 11 350 6 326 4196 3388 13 336 12 346 10*338 11 336 8 325 3388 2668 14 334 11*338 8*321 10 313 10 330 2668 2034 12 332 6*306 9 292 10*282 12 330 2034 1507 7 314 6 292 10 283 11*267 9 316 1507 1102 4 252 6 286 10 280 11 262 8 282 1102 825 5 221 5 284 10 277 11 260 8 245 825 657 4*214 5 282 9 277 10 259 7 232 657 561 3*215 5 282 8 277 8 258 5*228 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography