DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 65.9 - - 65.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 53 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1103 - - 371 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1648 - - 915 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 625 - - 1164 - - 2419 - - 607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 171 - - 49 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 345 - - 349 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4064 - - -3551 - - -2865 - - -1027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4624 - - 5199 - - 3780 - - 1588 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11701 - - -9344 - - -6973 - - -7555 ODpotential blCL - - - 12261 - - 10992 - - 7888 - - 8116 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 46 - - 56 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 65.9 - - 65.8 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 45.4 - - 51.4 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 65.5 - - 66.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 44.2 - - 50.2 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 53 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1103 - - 371 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95617 47 289 48 285 45 284 55 279 95617 88689 27 284 36 282 31 306 33 285 88689 83344 13 274 24 281 26 305 23 303 83344 78887 9 287 13 288 18 296 19 303 78887 75019 10 286 13 284 13 296 16 299 75019 71577 6 285 11 259 15 281 17 287 71577 68441 19 297 13 296 10 284 10 277 68441 65537 29 277 24 288 22 300 19 313 65537 62847 30 252 31 255 37 277 31 282 62847 60249 23 253 36 269 38 271 33 271 60249 57522 43 267 44 267 44 268 38 270 57522 54674 51 251 51 254 51 264 46 272 54674 51946 46 246 51 250 59 264 53 270 51946 49487 41 254 51 255 61 262 54 265 49487 47274 46 260 55 258 58 259 54 261 47274 45258 52 260 58 257 56 256 52 259 45258 43405 55 256 56 254 52 253 47 258 43405 41691 55 249 51 253 48 255 46 259 41691 40105 50 241 48 251 42 255 42 256 40105 38643 41 234 46 245 46 263 35 255 38643 37290 38 231 42 235 55 263 38 259 37290 35992 37 239 38 236 45 254 48 250 35992 34669 36 238 37 237 42 246 49 239 34669 33289 35 223 35 238 43 247 51 252 33289 31856 39 210 34 230 42 249 40 250 31856 30358 44 206 35 228 37 242 39 252 30358 28782 47 210 36 226 32 234 33 241 28782 27132 45 221 36 229 31 235 29 242 27132 25403 41 235 35 234 31 237 28 242 25403 23591 37 232 34 233 30 240 27 245 23591 21701 34 224 32 234 26 244 21 247 21701 19726 33 229 30 241 23 248 18 254 19726 17660 29 244 27 247 22 250 18 264 17660 15544 26 246 25 252 22 256 16 274 15544 13499 22 245 22 253 18 263 14 280 13499 11634 17 252 15 251 13 266 10 290 11634 9976 11 267 6 257 7 264 7 294 9976 8505 5 312 2 325 3 302 2 296 8505 7198 6 009 4 012 3 348 2 019 7198 6041 6 022 5 028 5 357 4 017 6041 5020 7 020 7 028 7 360 8 008 5020 4122 8 012 8 027 8 010 10 014 4122 3332 8 007 9 029 9 019 10 020 3332 2627 8 002 9 025 7 015 9 019 2627 2005 7 353 8*014 5 008 10 014 2005 1487 6 347 6*353 5 359 12 006 1487 1091 5 341 5 346 5*354 12 001 1091 819 4 336 5 342 4*351 8 356 819 655 3 320 4 340 4 350 3*337 655 561 2*303 3 341 3 346 2*242 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography