DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 54.1 - - 60.1 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 42 - - 50 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 688 - - 1505 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1232 - - 2049 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 455 - - 865 - - 1361 - - - - - 921 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 132 - - 187 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 119 - - 308 - - - - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - 3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -346 - - -361 - - -488 - - - - - -328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 906 - - 1593 - - 2537 - - - - - 888 sfcLCL ODpotential -5509 - - -4895 - - -3833 - - - - - -4497 ODpotential blCL 6069 - - 6127 - - 5882 - - - - - 5057 blCL maxRH 80 - - 83 - - 75 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 54.1 - - 60.1 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 49.2 - - 51.0 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 53.7 - - 59.7 - - - - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 48.0 - - 49.7 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 42 - - 50 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 688 - - 1505 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 34 - - 0 - - - - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 14 096 12 073 5 108 6 113 96514 89445 15 103 21 095 14 134 11 092 89445 83969 24 105 14 108 18 103 14 059 83969 79385 23 093 18 129 17 138 11 088 79385 75424 12 095 14 108 12 127 12 114 75424 71916 5 124 9 126 3 131 8 099 71916 68728 1 303 11 159 6 188 3 199 68728 65790 4 240 10 163 7 175 8 190 65790 63057 6 167 9 172 6 267 7 197 63057 60394 6 149 6 124 11 251 10 212 60394 57600 7 185 5 032 9 208 5 142 57600 54716 10 140 4 047 8 096 10 001 54716 51974 16 072 12 067 15 055 21 031 51974 49493 27 049 20 057 20 036 31 024 49493 47261 29 045 26 055 26 038 30 043 47261 45239 30 049 34 062 34 052 38 049 45239 43394 39 052 47 066 46 060 43 049 43394 41693 49 047 59 060 57 060 53 053 41693 40113 60 042 67 053 69 055 71 040 40113 38647 60 041 75 052 80 050 88 035 38647 37284 62 047 86 052 88 048 99 043 37284 35967 69 052 98 051 99 047 105 047 35967 34622 79 053 106 050 111 048 105 050 34622 33219 87 053 105 049 119 049 106 051 33219 31760 88 054 95 049 121 048 105 057 31760 30234 83 056 82 049 121 052 99 057 30234 28630 68 060 68 047 109 060 94 052 28630 26950 57 069 56 047 65 055 93 045 26950 25192 53 073 50 050 42 050 95 041 25192 23355 48 073 46 052 38 053 91 042 23355 21448 42 073 41 053 38 049 68 046 21448 19474 38 070 35 055 40 043 41 062 19474 17420 38 064 30 057 41 045 36 076 17420 15320 36 063 25 058 34 056 31 078 15320 13297 30 071 22 071 23 069 26 080 13297 11462 26 080 22 081 15 073 19 086 11462 9834 23 080 21 082 8 099 13 089 9834 8389 19 069 17 077 6 122 8 069 8389 7105 17 052 12 075 4 091 4 324 7105 5966 16 041 8 087 2 341 7 270 5966 4959 16 032 7 109 5 276 9 269 4959 4074 14 030 7 123 7 265 9 271 4074 3293 13 039 7 132 7 265 7 272 3293 2598 13 046 7 136 7*277 4 275 2598 1985 13 051 9 124 6*297 1 307 1985 1475 9 067 11*122 7 308 2 001 1475 1084 6 097 10*121 6 310 3 349 1084 816 5 132 8 119 6 311 2 314 816 653 5*167 7 118 6 312 2 224 653 560 4*176 5 117 5 312 2*198 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography