DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 64.7 - - 72.1 - - 73.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 222 - - 337 - - 184 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 540 - - 1056 - - 1234 - - 1020 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 955 - - 1191 - - 832 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 1084 - - 1601 - - 1779 - - 1565 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 410 - - 422 - - 576 - - 692 - - 730 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 255 - - 306 - - 235 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 256 - - 257 - - 254 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -144 - - -1237 - - -3083 - - -4302 - - -2443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1228 - - 2838 - - 4862 - - 5868 - - 3005 sfcLCL ODpotential -12671 - - -11000 - - -11413 - - -13294 - - -12884 ODpotential blCL 13755 - - 12601 - - 13192 - - 14859 - - 13445 blCL maxRH 92 - - 74 - - 59 - - 47 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 64.7 - - 72.1 - - 73.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.1 - - 54.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.0 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 63.3 - - 70.2 - - 72.0 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.5 - - 53.1 - - 51.9 - - 49.0 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 222 - - 337 - - 184 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 540 - - 1056 - - 1234 - - 1020 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98481 17 121 20 123 11 099 20 085 14 112 98481 91035 16 099 19 105 12 104 13 067 14 077 91035 85304 17 075 19 099 15 110 14 094 18 084 85304 80567 16 086 19 108 14 097 19 113 20 084 80567 76512 20 088 17 099 20 101 15 103 22 079 76512 72944 15 085 14 083 22 095 15 088 17 073 72944 69734 14 105 10 088 14 085 15 071 14 071 69734 66801 12 082 7 083 8 080 12 067 11 064 66801 64079 10 068 6 054 7 048 10 070 10 064 64079 61428 7 046 4 059 7 360 11 025 9 043 61428 58657 11 001 7 053 6 010 13 004 8 007 58657 55798 19 332 12 018 10 016 14 004 14 013 55798 53089 32 339 26 353 23 356 25 357 25 007 53089 50659 36 335 33 350 31 001 27 356 30 350 50659 48493 38 351 44 359 44 356 36 347 35 341 48493 46527 52 356 49 348 43 341 40 341 36 334 46527 44712 51 355 44 346 43 336 43 340 45 334 44712 43025 54 353 44 342 44 331 46 335 53 334 43025 41452 53 348 41 337 43 330 50 332 55 333 41452 39975 48 347 40 336 42 330 51 330 56 334 39975 38580 45 346 42 333 42 330 51 330 57 336 38580 37228 46 342 43 331 43 328 52 333 56 336 37228 35851 47 337 43 329 44 326 52 336 54 336 35851 34418 46 337 42 329 45 325 47 335 53 335 34418 32930 44 340 41 330 44 326 42 333 49 338 32930 31371 45 343 36 333 37 329 38 333 41 337 31371 29731 46 344 33 335 32 331 35 334 36 335 29731 28006 45 345 38 337 34 334 32 332 34 334 28006 26194 37 342 40 337 36 334 35 333 32 334 26194 24299 29 326 36 333 34 334 36 339 34 337 24299 22323 32 322 34 322 30 334 32 339 32 342 22323 20258 25 322 29 316 28 338 27 342 25 344 20258 18103 19 317 25 313 24 326 22 355 20 351 18103 15908 13 315 17 315 18 318 17 346 14 357 15908 13796 9 315 10 310 10 312 13 325 11 345 13796 11877 5 327 7 304 8 300 11 317 11 330 11877 10175 2 309 5 301 8 301 10 321 12 331 10175 8665 5 306 6 313 8 312 11 329 14 336 8665 7328 6 332 6 323 9 324 14 335 15 338 7328 6144 6 353 7 327 11 330 15 343 15 341 6144 5097 8 351 9 329 12 340 17 350 16 341 5097 4178 10 344 10 332 15 346 19 348 18 340 4178 3370 12 339 13 337 16 341 18 341 20 339 3370 2651 14 334 13 332 13 331 14 329 18 336 2651 2020 11 325 9*307 9*283 10*294 14 325 2020 1496 7*278 9*258 11*259 11*259 11 292 1496 1096 6*244 9 255 11 257 11 254 11 260 1096 822 6 239 9 255 11 256 11 252 10 244 822 656 5 239 8 255 10 255 10 251 9 238 656 561 4 239 7 255 9 255 8 250 6*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography