DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.7 - - 77.1 - - 79.4 - - 70.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 332 - - 445 - - 298 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 944 - - 993 - - 768 - - 277 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 977 - - 1072 - - 820 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 685 - - 1490 - - 1538 - - 1313 - - 822 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 305 - - 383 - - 315 - - 419 - - 503 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 276 - - 310 - - 248 - - 88 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 281 - - 277 - - 279 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5303 - - -5360 - - -4440 - - -1479 - - -387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5988 - - 6850 - - 5979 - - 2792 - - 1209 sfcLCL ODpotential -14886 - - -12639 - - -10826 - - -9052 - - -10360 ODpotential blCL 15571 - - 14129 - - 12364 - - 10365 - - 11182 blCL maxRH 41 - - 43 - - 52 - - 83 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.7 - - 77.1 - - 79.4 - - 70.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 49.4 - - 55.4 - - 59.9 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 75.0 - - 76.7 - - 68.6 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.4 - - 48.8 - - 54.9 - - 59.7 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 332 - - 445 - - 298 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 944 - - 993 - - 768 - - 277 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98281 12 116 17 124 7 109 15 087 17 110 98281 90864 16 115 14 145 11 141 3 088 16 110 90864 85144 11 124 11 157 5 168 3 164 7 123 85144 80384 8 147 8 181 6 208 2 162 5 171 80384 76271 6 127 5 185 5 207 2 114 6 176 76271 72633 5 098 6 153 5 209 4 158 4 149 72633 69350 7 075 7 147 7 200 7 181 2 319 69350 66347 4 057 5 138 7 182 7 190 4 307 66347 63579 2 326 2 142 4 217 4 235 5 257 63579 60919 6 334 1 306 6 247 9 268 9 251 60919 58165 16 311 7 310 6 231 12 244 12 263 58165 55320 18 295 11 289 7 247 14 242 15 263 55320 52609 19 288 15 281 13 278 16 261 17 268 52609 50167 16 275 19 274 19 287 19 276 21 278 50167 47971 16 260 22 266 21 294 22 284 27 282 47971 45973 18 260 21 251 22 288 23 286 31 282 45973 44141 23 261 22 243 25 257 24 288 30 277 44141 42456 30 256 28 242 29 236 26 267 21 264 42456 40900 36 253 34 243 35 228 33 236 23 258 40900 39453 36 250 35 242 35 232 35 227 33 244 39453 38091 34 249 31 244 34 232 31 228 34 234 38091 36769 31 249 30 245 32 232 30 227 30 231 36769 35420 29 247 28 243 29 236 29 230 26 231 35420 34015 26 248 26 242 27 237 27 235 24 232 34015 32554 21 250 23 242 26 235 26 237 23 236 32554 31024 17 248 21 240 25 237 25 237 23 234 31024 29412 15 241 20 239 24 237 23 233 24 232 29412 27718 14 229 19 237 21 236 21 228 23 232 27718 25941 13 236 18 235 17 241 19 227 21 231 25941 24083 14 251 17 243 15 248 16 228 18 224 24083 22148 12 254 15 246 14 259 15 227 16 216 22148 20129 8 238 12 233 13 254 12 225 14 203 20129 18017 3 251 8 217 9 245 8 207 14 178 18017 15856 2 204 6 183 7 210 8 177 15 166 15856 13769 6 098 9 143 8 200 9 192 12 175 13769 11869 10 074 9 127 9 197 9 205 10 190 11869 10179 9 061 7 106 8 183 9 201 10 196 10179 8676 7 054 8 079 6 156 9 192 11 193 8676 7340 4 053 7 061 5 135 8 184 11 193 7340 6152 3 056 4 036 3 121 5 182 8 207 6152 5103 3 057 2 014 1 112 2 199 4 248 5103 4179 4 039 1 301 0 279 3 289 6 286 4179 3367 5 019 1 299 2 282 6 293 9 292 3367 2644 6 003 2 317 4 283 10 289 13 279 2644 2009 4 348 5 295 8*284 17 278 13 277 2009 1487 4 298 7*284 11*278 16*277 12 276 1487 1091 8 277 8*281 12 277 15*279 10*278 1091 819 8*273 8 282 12 277 13 279 8*277 819 655 5*268 7 281 11 276 12 279 7 276 655 561 3 266 6 280 9 277 10 279 5 276 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography