DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 77.3 - - 73.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 324 - - 212 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 971 - - 1131 - - 788 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 832 - - 1114 - - 686 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1516 - - 1677 - - 1333 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 308 - - 508 - - 429 - - 689 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 295 - - 226 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 267 - - 256 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2007 - - -4397 - - -4131 - - -2775 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3523 - - 6074 - - 5465 - - 3336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12534 - - -13176 - - -13699 - - -13312 ODpotential blCL - - - 14050 - - 14853 - - 15032 - - 13873 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 47 - - 51 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 77.3 - - 73.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 52.9 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.7 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 51.7 - - 50.7 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 324 - - 212 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 971 - - 1131 - - 788 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98661 15 163 10 109 14 124 11 128 98661 91160 16 153 9 117 8 165 5 108 91160 85406 12 137 10 171 7 116 9 120 85406 80627 10 109 13 156 8 077 12 106 80627 76500 10 096 9 132 12 099 14 093 76500 72874 10 127 9 119 11 088 10 093 72874 69624 12 114 7 166 7 131 7 090 69624 66654 6 095 9 150 3 154 5 007 66654 63902 5 297 5 331 6 346 6 343 63902 61238 8 276 14 282 16 300 13 322 61238 58459 9 307 14 266 20 280 22 291 58459 55585 19 306 17 288 29 291 30 293 55585 52864 32 297 31 298 36 292 38 288 52864 50427 39 297 41 297 40 293 41 289 50427 48240 43 299 44 292 43 289 47 289 48240 46252 48 302 47 293 47 290 54 292 46252 44430 52 303 52 296 53 292 61 293 44430 42747 54 301 58 297 58 292 69 292 42747 41180 56 300 61 298 64 293 71 290 41180 39708 57 298 58 297 66 294 70 289 39708 38317 54 298 56 296 62 292 66 289 38317 36967 45 294 51 294 57 291 62 287 36967 35591 37 285 42 284 52 289 59 288 35591 34160 32 280 41 276 46 283 54 286 34160 32676 27 271 37 272 43 278 50 280 32676 31126 26 266 30 260 37 277 46 275 31126 29495 24 273 27 257 32 268 42 276 29495 27788 24 284 25 260 28 260 34 275 27788 26003 24 290 23 266 27 257 28 263 26003 24136 25 294 23 280 26 259 28 255 24136 22186 24 296 22 286 25 267 28 263 22186 20145 19 286 21 281 25 273 25 279 20145 18009 18 277 18 282 22 280 21 286 18009 15831 12 268 12 275 12 285 15 282 15831 13737 7 243 9 264 8 285 10 279 13737 11838 4 226 7 257 6 285 7 295 11838 10154 3 257 5 272 4 294 7 302 10154 8658 4 294 4 289 4 302 7 302 8658 7329 4 283 3 285 3 311 6 303 7329 6148 3 282 2 275 3 325 7 305 6148 5103 2 299 1 273 4 330 8 305 5103 4184 1 319 1 262 6 329 11 307 4184 3374 1 228 3 259 8 325 12 315 3374 2653 3 230 7 266 9 305 12 321 2653 2019 5*243 9*268 12 279 10 308 2019 1494 6*250 10*267 12*261 10 260 1494 1095 6 255 10 267 12*257 12 235 1095 821 6 258 10 268 12 256 11 230 821 656 5 259 9 268 11 256 10 229 656 561 5 260 8 269 9 255 6*228 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography