DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.6 - - 55.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 80 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3733 - - 2978 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 2352 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1323 - - 4276 - - 3522 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2306 - - 1422 - - 2086 - - 2845 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 287 - - 139 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 211 - - 207 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 17 - - 15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2243 - - 1045 - - 604 - - -1000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3566 - - 3231 - - 2918 - - 1560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8181 - - 349 - - -565 - - -3189 ODpotential blCL - - - 9504 - - 3927 - - 4087 - - 3749 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 94 - - 88 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.6 - - 55.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 43.6 - - 44.5 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 55.0 - - 55.2 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 42.3 - - 43.2 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 80 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3733 - - 2978 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 76 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96806 28 114 22 113 20 110 21 106 96806 89582 27 111 23 115 23 116 22 107 89582 83996 18 108 18 122 18 100 21 102 83996 79368 13 131 13 148 3 121 11 107 79368 75367 7 160 7 184 3 137 5 112 75367 71820 7 181 8 234 7 232 4 231 71820 68599 7 193 7 222 9 203 5 207 68599 65625 11 216 13 260 16 233 16 240 65625 62869 17 237 23 264 21 245 19 245 62869 60197 24 251 26 259 21 257 18 256 60197 57410 31 252 30 251 30 261 28 251 57410 54532 36 262 35 255 42 255 41 251 54532 51794 49 269 43 264 47 256 49 258 51794 49327 58 266 52 261 55 260 64 264 49327 47119 58 268 59 257 63 257 68 261 47119 45143 64 273 64 263 66 254 69 255 45143 43363 75 275 64 270 65 254 69 249 43363 41725 75 278 66 282 62 268 62 256 41725 40193 76 286 68 279 65 269 64 263 40193 38749 74 282 66 266 66 257 67 256 38749 37381 75 274 69 257 68 250 67 246 37381 36051 75 269 71 257 69 251 67 245 36051 34695 75 269 71 259 69 255 66 250 34695 33288 76 271 70 263 67 257 63 252 33288 31831 78 270 70 262 66 255 63 250 31831 30305 78 267 70 260 67 253 63 248 30305 28697 76 266 71 257 68 253 64 249 28697 27011 70 265 71 257 68 253 63 250 27011 25249 61 265 66 259 68 255 62 249 25249 23409 52 267 59 259 68 256 61 250 23409 21492 44 270 51 258 60 254 58 252 21492 19492 43 271 44 259 50 246 52 250 19492 17407 44 271 41 260 43 242 47 245 17407 15283 41 257 36 260 38 243 43 240 15283 13241 35 237 32 246 34 238 38 234 13241 11385 33 216 31 224 32 227 35 226 11385 9743 30 201 33 212 33 217 33 216 9743 8295 27 191 33 203 33 206 32 206 8295 7018 24 184 30 195 30 198 33 199 7018 5891 21 183 24 194 24 194 31 196 5891 4898 19 189 17*201 19 194 28 197 4898 4027 17 198 15*204 17*196 25 200 4027 3260 17 204 13 207 15*199 22 200 3260 2575 16 205 11 211 14 204 19 198 2575 1970 15 201 11 214 13 208 16 194 1970 1466 13*193 10 215 12 211 14 191 1466 1079 10*186 9 217 11 213 10 189 1079 814 8 185 9 218 10 215 7 185 814 652 7 184 8 218 9 216 4*174 652 560 5 184 6 218 6 217 2*141 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography