DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 74.4 - - 82.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 282 - - 418 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 160 - - 1497 - - 1696 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1329 - - 1570 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 704 - - 2042 - - 2242 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 697 - - 443 - - 761 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 306 - - 362 - - - - - - W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 235 - - 286 - - 271 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1415 - - -3570 - - -4899 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2119 - - 5612 - - 7142 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -14530 - - -13720 - - -13045 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 15234 - - 15762 - - 15287 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 76 - - 55 - - 60 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 74.4 - - 82.4 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.1 - - 52.2 - - 53.4 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 72.6 - - 79.9 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.6 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 282 - - 418 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 160 - - 1497 - - 1696 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99201 37 106 37 101 40 104 99201 91712 41 106 35 101 35 108 91712 85961 35 105 31 100 30 100 85961 81199 32 105 25 118 21 096 81199 77101 28 099 26 114 22 112 77101 73491 20 091 27 106 23 116 73491 70230 17 116 21 104 19 133 70230 67228 19 128 12 130 14 123 67228 64452 13 137 12 146 15 150 64452 61787 15 137 15 153 22 159 61787 59043 13 154 19 175 23 181 59043 56232 8 201 19 182 23 195 56232 53557 24 233 25 208 30 209 53557 51145 40 225 40 217 46 215 51145 48980 54 220 52 219 55 216 48980 47003 67 221 64 219 62 214 47003 45172 71 218 70 218 66 213 45172 43464 71 217 71 216 68 214 43464 41861 66 217 65 213 68 213 41861 40350 59 215 59 212 65 208 40350 38922 56 214 55 210 62 207 38922 37537 52 215 51 211 55 209 37537 36127 49 216 48 211 48 212 36127 34665 48 215 45 214 43 212 34665 33153 50 215 43 217 40 211 33153 31574 47 217 41 219 38 213 31574 29911 40 219 36 220 39 213 29911 28167 38 218 32 219 37 214 28167 26342 33 219 33 213 35 214 26342 24436 28 219 31 212 34 211 24436 22451 26 220 27 213 32 214 22451 20384 24 220 25 212 27 214 20384 18231 23 217 24 214 24 215 18231 16034 21 215 22 219 21 220 16034 13915 17 214 18 220 18 218 13915 11985 14 214 14 215 15 214 11985 10271 10 211 12 216 13 216 10271 8751 9 205 10 224 10 225 8751 7401 8 209 9 229 8 237 7401 6206 6 213 7 229 6 244 6206 5150 3 209 4 238 4 266 5150 4223 2 332 3 292 4 335 4223 3409 8 330 8 332 7 339 3409 2684 11 332 10*332 7*323 2684 2047 14 336 7*311 8*287 2047 1516 10 328 6 285 10 271 1516 1110 5 278 6 280 10 269 1110 829 6*240 6 277 10 267 829 660 5*235 6 276 9 266 660 562 4 235 5 276 8 265 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography