DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 71.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 438 - - 304 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1314 - - 1545 - - 1088 - - 579 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1178 - - 1468 - - 1056 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1858 - - 2089 - - 1633 - - 1123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 444 - - 424 - - 413 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 357 - - 281 - - 111 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 270 - - 263 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -602 - - -1986 - - -1620 - - -327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2460 - - 4075 - - 3254 - - 1450 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10483 - - -10548 - - -10514 - - -12305 ODpotential blCL - - - 12341 - - 12637 - - 12147 - - 13428 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 72 - - 77 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 71.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 55.9 - - 56.0 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 55.3 - - 55.7 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 438 - - 304 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1314 - - 1545 - - 1088 - - 579 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - 7 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 33 117 23 126 19 111 25 095 98769 91278 26 109 22 117 23 102 21 094 91278 85531 21 105 22 108 25 100 20 094 85531 80782 22 102 19 096 20 103 17 097 80782 76699 18 109 8 095 13 092 19 090 76699 73078 13 096 9 143 3 076 14 069 73078 69797 9 099 12 131 2 130 8 043 69797 66798 6 092 9 118 6 128 3 083 66798 64031 1 268 3 128 4 135 2 146 64031 61362 3 298 1 191 1 195 4 225 61362 58592 12 258 12 253 9 292 8 307 58592 55732 23 249 23 251 24 262 23 276 55732 53019 27 260 29 260 30 259 28 267 53019 50578 36 267 38 266 40 265 38 269 50578 48392 44 269 47 264 47 265 46 267 48392 46413 49 265 51 263 48 265 48 263 46413 44601 51 265 52 264 48 267 46 263 44601 42923 51 266 51 262 48 267 46 265 42923 41356 51 265 51 261 48 268 45 266 41356 39882 49 264 49 262 46 268 42 269 39882 38489 47 265 45 263 44 267 38 270 38489 37136 45 262 42 262 42 265 36 270 37136 35754 41 261 38 260 41 264 36 267 35754 34316 37 264 34 260 39 263 38 266 34316 32825 36 266 32 262 35 262 37 264 32825 31266 36 269 33 263 33 263 33 261 31266 29626 37 274 34 264 33 265 29 263 29626 27905 39 278 33 266 33 264 28 266 27905 26098 36 280 31 270 32 266 28 266 26098 24207 29 278 28 269 31 267 27 266 24207 22235 22 278 24 266 27 264 25 265 22235 20175 19 275 21 261 24 261 24 266 20175 18022 19 273 21 265 21 270 19 280 18022 15828 12 266 14 263 12 281 9 290 15828 13718 7 251 8 252 4 297 2 324 13718 11806 2 326 3 293 3 354 5 004 11806 10113 4 006 4 333 6 000 9 360 10113 8613 5 356 5 336 6 002 12 354 8613 7283 3 348 5 327 5 360 8 344 7283 6105 2 352 3 315 3 001 3 333 6105 5065 2 356 2 304 3 359 2 327 5065 4150 1 340 2 299 4 342 4 319 4150 3344 2 315 3 286 6 325 7 323 3344 2628 4 290 7*275 8 298 9 305 2628 2001 6*268 10*270 13*271 11 281 2001 1483 7*264 11 269 14*265 12*265 1483 1089 7 264 12 270 14 263 11*258 1089 819 7 264 11 270 13 263 10 256 819 655 7 264 11 270 12 263 9 255 655 561 6 265 9 270 10 262 7 255 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography