DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 64.4 - - 72.6 - - 71.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 90 - - 163 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 2547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1875 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1539 - - 3092 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 290 - - 815 - - 1233 - - 3826 - - 588 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 185 - - 305 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 334 - - 330 - - 323 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -496 - - -1092 - - -807 - - -3026 - - -367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1056 - - 2631 - - 3899 - - 3588 - - 928 sfcLCL ODpotential -9727 - - -6665 - - -3406 - - -5037 - - -5305 ODpotential blCL 10287 - - 8204 - - 6498 - - 5599 - - 5866 blCL maxRH 78 - - 79 - - 82 - - 75 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 64.4 - - 72.6 - - 71.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 54.9 - - 57.5 - - 58.2 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 63.7 - - 71.4 - - 72.2 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 54.2 - - 57.0 - - 57.7 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 90 - - 163 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 2547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 18 - - 29 - - 0 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96745 6 268 7 342 8 356 6 357 8 354 96745 89564 10 351 8 311 15 338 13 328 9 016 89564 84007 16 338 8 351 14 345 18 324 14 004 84007 79389 10 009 8 351 10 344 19 335 16 347 79389 75424 12 354 12 338 13 327 18 336 12 337 75424 71923 20 333 18 340 15 329 16 340 10 354 71923 68752 19 310 19 333 18 319 24 337 19 353 68752 65851 18 302 21 315 22 315 26 329 23 333 65851 63179 20 316 20 307 20 312 23 318 21 317 63179 60589 23 316 20 311 17 305 21 311 18 306 60589 57880 29 299 25 303 21 295 23 309 21 308 57880 55072 37 287 33 284 32 278 35 296 30 300 55072 52389 41 288 37 283 37 277 39 281 35 294 52389 49974 47 291 41 288 41 281 45 285 43 293 49974 47813 53 290 48 287 53 285 53 288 48 294 47813 45853 54 289 49 287 54 283 54 289 53 293 45853 44059 55 291 51 294 51 289 52 296 52 296 44059 42409 52 292 51 298 49 299 49 297 45 307 42409 40879 46 290 43 298 46 299 43 302 46 316 40879 39443 40 294 38 294 40 300 41 309 44 318 39443 38082 35 304 36 294 37 299 42 310 42 317 38082 36758 34 309 33 297 35 289 42 305 40 317 36758 35404 33 312 31 302 33 285 40 304 41 320 35404 33991 31 311 30 306 31 287 37 305 40 319 33991 32522 28 308 28 308 30 286 37 304 38 316 32522 30980 27 304 27 311 29 282 34 298 35 314 30980 29355 29 306 28 311 29 280 31 288 32 314 29355 27648 31 310 30 308 29 281 30 287 30 312 27648 25862 30 311 30 305 29 292 28 288 25 308 25862 24000 29 309 29 304 26 299 26 293 21 311 24000 22061 29 306 28 305 25 304 23 299 18 312 22061 20037 28 304 28 304 28 311 24 308 19 311 20037 17919 29 306 30 308 32 316 27 316 21 317 17919 15753 31 313 30 315 33 319 31 321 25 323 15753 13661 29 318 27 313 29 319 31 324 29 330 13661 11757 26 317 22 308 23 319 26 327 29 337 11757 10069 20 313 19 308 21 322 20 335 24 343 10069 8578 15 322 16 318 19 331 17 346 20 346 8578 7261 13 346 13 340 16 341 15 360 17 348 7261 6095 13 005 12 357 13 355 14 013 16 350 6095 5065 13 010 11 005 12 009 12 025 14 350 5065 4158 13 009 10 008 12 008 10 029 11 350 4158 3359 13 005 11 008 10*356 9 020 8 355 3359 2647 14 001 12 004 8*343 9 002 6 014 2647 2019 15 357 10*001 8 333 9 346 8 019 2019 1496 14 354 5*353 7 328 8 337 11 008 1496 1096 9 348 3 328 7 324 8 333 10 355 1096 822 2 299 2 322 7 322 8 330 6 333 822 656 4 214 2 318 6 320 7*327 3 297 656 561 4*200 2 318 5 320 5*323 3*253 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography