DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 79.2 - - 89.3 - - 81.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 154 - - 245 - - 97 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 671 - - 1107 - - 487 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 546 - - 1009 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1217 - - 1654 - - 1033 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 96 - - 434 - - 986 - - 324 - - 248 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 192 - - 263 - - 147 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 270 - - 282 - - 260 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1721 - - -4895 - - -6823 - - -4742 - - -1545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2282 - - 6112 - - 8478 - - 5775 - - 2106 sfcLCL ODpotential -10557 - - -9779 - - -9475 - - -8974 - - -9150 ODpotential blCL 11118 - - 10996 - - 11129 - - 10007 - - 9711 blCL maxRH 54 - - 59 - - 66 - - 57 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 79.2 - - 89.3 - - 81.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 54.9 - - 54.4 - - 58.6 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.1 - - 78.1 - - 87.5 - - 80.8 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.1 - - 54.3 - - 53.9 - - 58.3 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 154 - - 245 - - 97 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 671 - - 1107 - - 487 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97874 14 268 11 276 10 264 13 253 10 252 97874 90566 6 170 6 234 5 269 5 216 2 124 90566 84939 7 112 4 160 1 118 2 278 10 030 84939 80287 10 084 5 108 2 129 6 041 8 048 80287 76300 14 079 11 096 8 126 7 055 7 081 76300 72782 16 075 14 100 8 104 8 057 10 060 72782 69612 15 070 15 092 8 104 7 046 9 064 69612 66711 14 056 16 079 10 089 3 028 11 057 66711 64030 10 039 8 068 8 081 5 159 5 359 64030 61444 6 082 5 101 3 021 2 043 3 252 61444 58749 7 303 6 319 3 258 9 258 8 260 58749 55951 24 291 19 308 13 301 13 288 19 296 55951 53296 44 285 43 290 45 291 48 285 45 289 53296 50914 56 274 60 280 59 284 56 282 55 288 50914 48758 59 278 62 279 64 285 60 285 65 285 48758 46781 61 284 62 284 65 286 66 287 72 284 46781 44951 65 287 67 288 68 287 69 289 70 286 44951 43245 67 287 69 287 71 286 73 290 71 288 43245 41644 68 288 70 286 72 285 77 289 75 289 41644 40133 69 289 70 287 71 284 76 288 77 289 40133 38705 70 290 71 289 70 285 71 288 70 290 38705 37323 69 291 70 290 68 287 69 288 63 289 37323 35922 68 292 65 292 65 288 67 288 63 287 35922 34473 67 294 60 293 57 288 62 289 61 289 34473 32973 63 293 55 293 51 289 53 289 55 292 32973 31404 57 299 53 294 47 290 47 289 50 292 31404 29756 47 299 47 296 43 288 41 289 45 294 29756 28027 42 292 41 291 39 284 40 288 39 293 28027 26212 38 295 39 292 37 289 34 288 34 294 26212 24314 34 298 32 297 31 297 28 297 27 296 24314 22338 22 291 21 297 20 301 22 305 20 301 22338 20285 15 262 12 284 11 296 13 306 13 309 20285 18150 12 233 9 255 7 296 6 347 7 335 18150 15976 6 194 7 206 6 246 6 009 7 047 15976 13887 6 214 5 139 6 153 1 045 9 061 13887 11991 6 203 4 130 8 125 6 129 7 089 11991 10302 4 160 5 103 7 114 8 108 7 101 10302 8797 5 144 5 105 6 100 8 088 7 089 8797 7454 7 147 5 126 5 106 5 079 6 073 7454 6259 7 131 7 138 4 123 4 063 5 053 6259 5198 8 126 9 138 3 144 4 036 5 033 5198 4263 9 118 8 140 2 161 5 016 6 018 4263 3437 9 108 5 149 0 157 6 358 7 004 3437 2701 8 096 1 171 2 335 7 340 10 356 2701 2052 5 079 2 320 3*313 7 326 11 351 2052 1514 3 049 2*293 5*288 8 284 8 338 1514 1105 2 317 2*270 6 282 9*262 5 281 1105 826 3 284 2 268 6 280 9*260 6 238 826 657 3 265 2 272 5 280 9 260 5 222 657 561 3*250 2 271 5 279 7 259 3*216 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography