DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 57.7 - - 57.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 3 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 164 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 708 - - 561 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2189 - - 4707 - - 4570 - - 1407 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 23 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 224 - - 190 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 10 - - -1068 - - -888 - - -839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 698 - - 1629 - - 1448 - - 1399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -387 - - -1417 - - -1608 - - -2859 ODpotential blCL - - - 1095 - - 1978 - - 2168 - - 3419 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 110 - - 90 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 57.7 - - 57.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 52.5 - - 52.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 57.9 - - 57.9 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 51.6 - - 51.5 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 3 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 164 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 97 - - 73 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95997 34 004 31 009 30 005 25 005 95997 89025 24 033 25 024 23 027 21 015 89025 83605 17 054 13 014 20 018 14 017 83605 79072 13 052 5 007 12 357 8 008 79072 75136 3 084 5 325 6 004 5 320 75136 71637 4 157 6 307 5 006 1 268 71637 68461 5 177 6 260 8 260 4 285 68461 65540 2 153 5 212 8 225 14 240 65540 62828 8 279 6 261 8 246 13 226 62828 60194 14 276 11 265 12 253 17 252 60194 57441 14 268 15 259 17 247 18 240 57441 54567 20 254 21 257 21 247 24 242 54567 51815 25 251 27 257 29 248 30 248 51815 49337 31 251 34 257 38 249 35 251 49337 47113 32 250 36 254 40 245 35 250 47113 45087 33 246 36 251 36 249 36 258 45087 43228 36 238 36 250 44 253 42 261 43228 41514 35 230 43 250 47 254 52 268 41514 39934 29 233 46 247 49 262 62 267 39934 38475 32 248 46 245 55 264 62 270 38475 37112 40 246 45 251 63 266 66 279 37112 35797 40 238 47 261 67 264 73 282 35797 34458 35 239 52 265 65 263 78 279 34458 33066 32 245 56 267 61 266 82 277 33066 31622 32 248 63 268 60 268 82 276 31622 30109 33 248 70 268 58 267 77 278 30109 28515 32 244 71 269 55 264 72 277 28515 26847 28 227 69 270 50 263 62 275 26847 25107 26 195 68 271 49 261 53 270 25107 23292 27 173 63 272 49 260 46 266 23292 21406 27 169 55 273 47 267 41 264 21406 19438 27 179 48 273 45 273 39 266 19438 17378 26 198 34 273 39 272 35 270 17378 15270 29 211 29 259 34 270 31 272 15270 13240 32 218 31 256 30 267 24 269 13240 11399 32 222 29 248 23 257 17 264 11399 9773 27 222 27 236 21 250 14 263 9773 8338 25 224 24 229 20 243 16 257 8338 7064 24 226 21 222 19 236 16 237 7064 5934 24 227 22 219 18 230 16 226 5934 4935 25 228 23 216 18 214 17 220 4935 4057 25 226 23 215 18 203 18 215 4057 3283 24 223 22 215 17 197 18 208 3283 2591 23 222 20 215 16 194 18 199 2591 1981 22 223 18 216 14 192 15 191 1981 1473 20 222 16 219 12 192 17 180 1473 1083 17 221 14 220 10 193 17 173 1083 815 14*220 13 221 7 193 12 164 815 653 12*220 11*222 5 193 8 154 653 560 7 220 7*224 2*190 3*126 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography