DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.3 - - 65.5 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 402 - - 256 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1070 - - 1245 - - 1071 - - 164 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 946 - - 1233 - - 992 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1614 - - 1790 - - 1616 - - 708 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 453 - - 386 - - 430 - - 1100 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 323 - - 263 - - 81 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 276 - - 275 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 22 - - -848 - - -371 - - -84 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1592 - - 2638 - - 1987 - - 792 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10464 - - -10608 - - -11037 - - -276 ODpotential blCL - - - 12078 - - 12398 - - 12653 - - 984 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 89 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.3 - - 65.5 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.6 - - 59.4 - - 58.6 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 66.9 - - 64.0 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 58.3 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 402 - - 256 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1070 - - 1245 - - 1071 - - 164 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 57 - - 80 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98633 25 117 30 107 31 114 29 112 98633 91159 29 119 24 119 20 111 26 090 91159 85425 25 112 19 123 21 110 21 088 85425 80682 21 109 14 115 19 104 19 106 80682 76608 18 102 12 126 10 096 19 093 76608 73017 16 103 14 131 9 118 9 092 73017 69786 15 089 16 122 13 128 10 121 69786 66831 9 094 11 119 11 129 11 113 66831 64093 10 135 9 106 7 121 7 089 64093 61455 10 135 2 096 1 180 4 038 61455 58720 5 111 4 223 5 230 7 261 58720 55895 4 251 7 238 8 240 11 248 55895 53204 15 265 14 246 14 252 16 264 53204 50780 18 267 16 246 19 253 23 263 50780 48595 24 264 19 259 26 268 26 266 48595 46597 26 266 25 268 32 275 31 272 46597 44754 25 272 26 273 33 275 35 275 44754 43039 26 276 28 276 30 273 38 275 43039 41433 23 270 27 275 29 268 40 273 41433 39924 14 257 21 272 26 263 38 269 39924 38501 8 190 12 259 19 264 34 263 38501 37128 12 146 4 221 8 236 23 254 37128 35740 13 134 6 141 9 166 14 228 35740 34305 12 122 8 146 11 152 14 185 34305 32826 10 120 7 167 10 166 19 164 32826 31277 6 127 6 201 5 181 16 171 31277 29645 4 147 5 212 3 190 11 190 29645 27930 7 154 5 201 3 199 8 215 27930 26131 12 144 7 168 4 180 5 206 26131 24250 15 129 13 147 7 164 7 165 24250 22292 13 122 13 141 10 152 9 157 22292 20252 8 134 12 143 14 141 11 150 20252 18124 15 150 15 143 17 133 19 132 18124 15948 20 147 18 143 16 129 19 125 15948 13845 12 120 13 131 14 118 13 115 13845 11923 15 086 14 098 15 104 13 095 11923 10209 13 073 13 093 12 096 11 081 10209 8687 7 047 8 065 9 072 8 060 8687 7337 4 348 4 352 4 019 4 028 7337 6142 8 293 13 294 10 291 11 289 6142 5088 11 280 20 278 20 278 18 281 5088 4160 11 257 17 283 18 285 15 285 4160 3344 11 227 10 257 13 269 11 260 3344 2624 11 229 10 245 14 258 11 246 2624 1998 10*254 12*270 15*268 13 265 1998 1483 8*275 13*275 15*274 12 272 1483 1090 8 281 13 276 14 275 11 272 1090 819 7 282 12 276 13 275 10*272 819 655 7 284 12 276 12 275 8*272 655 561 6 285 10 277 10 275 6 272 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography