DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 57.6 - - 66.0 - - 64.2 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 37 - - 79 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 2215 - - 191 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 1230 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 913 - - 2760 - - 735 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 832 - - 1367 - - 3943 - - 846 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 101 - - 239 - - 44 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 26 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 232 - - 084 - - 089 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -124 - - -1441 - - -1215 - - -2766 - - -1497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 684 - - 2354 - - 3976 - - 3501 - - 2058 sfcLCL ODpotential -7919 - - -6416 - - -5119 - - -6163 - - -7916 ODpotential blCL 8479 - - 7329 - - 7879 - - 6898 - - 8477 blCL maxRH 87 - - 74 - - 94 - - 59 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 57.6 - - 66.0 - - 64.2 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 49.6 - - 50.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 57.4 - - 65.3 - - 64.5 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 48.7 - - 49.4 - - 49.7 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 37 - - 79 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 2215 - - 191 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 0 - - 77 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96755 17 108 17 081 11 084 21 118 16 108 96755 89616 21 107 19 098 13 117 18 107 26 095 89616 84049 21 109 14 105 11 090 21 118 18 095 84049 79423 14 097 10 134 8 040 19 103 17 117 79423 75440 11 071 8 153 3 040 10 098 10 095 75440 71914 3 047 1 271 4 012 5 126 3 092 71914 68713 6 144 8 252 6 291 3 236 3 078 68713 65756 6 337 12 270 10 287 7 258 6 295 65756 63012 16 300 14 273 16 266 15 254 14 268 63012 60351 19 286 16 278 17 260 18 249 17 261 60351 57562 25 273 23 281 23 267 22 255 23 262 57562 54660 36 273 31 271 32 255 29 249 34 250 54660 51888 37 275 33 267 31 255 31 262 32 258 51888 49378 43 280 42 267 44 262 40 267 41 279 49378 47112 51 276 51 268 52 260 53 264 57 272 47112 45055 61 272 60 275 57 268 60 267 60 261 45055 43187 54 267 69 268 73 267 76 263 66 262 43187 41494 53 297 63 265 78 269 70 267 72 264 41494 39954 95 314 58 271 74 275 87 283 84 266 39954 38540 87 305 61 277 76 279 92 277 87 257 38540 37214 76 297 65 278 76 277 75 271 78 254 37214 35918 77 291 70 278 73 275 75 270 83 255 35918 34591 76 283 71 276 70 273 74 266 85 255 34591 33205 73 286 64 272 66 268 71 263 84 257 33205 31765 68 286 58 268 57 266 67 262 73 258 31765 30258 59 285 54 264 52 268 62 264 60 256 30258 28671 55 278 51 265 53 271 52 264 53 252 28671 27006 54 273 49 267 57 276 47 260 47 255 27006 25261 57 272 50 271 55 277 46 260 46 262 25261 23438 59 273 54 276 56 268 48 262 49 264 23438 21536 59 273 56 274 58 263 52 259 49 258 21536 19554 56 273 53 267 56 257 52 256 50 251 19554 17491 47 276 48 270 49 267 43 268 49 251 17491 15391 34 292 34 283 32 268 26 275 32 254 15391 13366 27 307 19 286 17 252 21 244 22 244 13366 11522 18 321 10 293 10 236 20 234 18 227 11522 9884 13 337 9 026 4 136 11 226 13 204 9884 8428 14 351 16 046 10 093 7 194 11 187 8428 7133 19 012 20 050 16 086 6 155 11 181 7133 5986 21 022 19 052 16 084 6 106 7 184 5986 4974 19 026 17 052 13 081 6 066 3 151 4974 4086 17 032 15 051 10 074 6 065 4 084 4086 3304 16 038 14 050 9*075 7 072 7 059 3304 2606 17 040 14 049 7*081 8 081 9 053 2606 1991 17 037 12 046 6 085 10 088 10 058 1991 1479 14 033 8 042 5 084 10 088 12 070 1479 1087 7 037 2*031 5 084 9 088 13 078 1087 817 2 097 1*245 5 084 8*088 11 076 817 654 3*171 1 225 4 083 7*089 8*070 654 561 4*187 1 234 4 084 5 089 4*063 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography