DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.9 - - 62.0 - - 58.8 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 5 - - 46 - - -12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1111 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 433 - - 332 - - 560 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 23 - - 129 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 054 - - 067 - - 058 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1031 - - -2488 - - -2010 - - -1818 - - -1778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1591 - - 3049 - - 3122 - - 2379 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -15065 - - -13237 - - -11753 - - -11460 - - -14357 ODpotential blCL 15625 - - 13797 - - 12864 - - 12021 - - 14917 blCL maxRH 65 - - 58 - - 62 - - 62 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.9 - - 62.0 - - 58.8 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 44.0 - - 50.6 - - 50.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.4 - - 55.0 - - 61.6 - - 60.0 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 42.8 - - 49.4 - - 49.5 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 5 - - 46 - - -12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96594 26 100 18 066 16 066 32 062 25 089 96594 89512 25 088 25 081 21 090 18 077 20 086 89512 83934 17 066 22 077 18 087 7 065 13 043 83934 79329 16 073 14 075 17 051 9 029 16 028 79329 75394 13 077 14 086 15 045 8 024 15 022 75394 71910 16 065 13 095 10 046 7 030 14 023 71910 68737 11 046 8 071 11 034 11 040 12 041 68737 65815 7 040 8 030 15 004 14 018 9 039 65815 63115 9 022 9 007 11 342 17 349 9 356 63115 60520 12 011 13 354 8 314 17 335 11 342 60520 57832 20 353 19 346 11 329 14 333 10 337 57832 55037 26 339 17 345 12 337 11 330 7 323 55037 52352 16 314 13 341 11 338 7 344 4 336 52352 49928 7 312 9 323 10 318 6 356 6 014 49928 47759 9 012 4 319 9 291 5 317 8 008 47759 45801 17 026 8 057 1 165 9 197 3 301 45801 44015 20 039 18 053 14 064 10 123 9 160 44015 42373 15 049 17 078 16 089 17 126 15 150 42373 40847 5 280 6 121 6 119 15 119 22 130 40847 39415 18 218 19 202 13 205 15 157 19 127 39415 38060 21 203 20 199 17 193 20 176 16 166 38060 36744 17 193 19 194 20 197 20 184 19 177 36744 35400 13 198 18 190 17 205 20 192 17 176 35400 34001 12 209 17 191 18 206 22 196 16 186 34001 32547 10 209 16 195 20 199 26 202 20 202 32547 31023 7 222 15 193 19 197 27 205 22 208 31023 29415 9 249 14 210 16 200 22 204 24 219 29415 27723 10 270 13 221 14 215 18 205 20 226 27723 25946 8 285 13 235 15 228 14 208 13 225 25946 24085 10 302 11 255 14 240 14 220 10 229 24085 22143 15 291 16 271 14 256 12 230 11 241 22143 20114 18 304 15 281 16 272 12 272 10 263 20114 17987 17 324 12 292 13 283 11 304 8 311 17987 15817 15 331 9 307 9 302 4 321 4 358 15817 13733 12 333 9 327 9 322 5 322 3 028 13733 11837 10 340 11 345 9 342 6 348 2 070 11837 10149 10 354 10 007 7 359 5 005 1 039 10149 8648 11 002 11 029 6 024 5 020 2 022 8648 7314 13 011 12 038 8 042 6 026 4 015 7314 6130 15 021 12 047 8 045 8 026 7 016 6130 5082 17 024 11 050 9 043 11 024 9 019 5082 4161 18 025 9 049 9 043 12 024 11 018 4161 3352 17 027 7 052 8 046 11 028 11 016 3352 2633 16 032 5 055 7 047 10 033 11 020 2633 2003 15 046 5 072 8 061 11 046 10 035 2003 1482 16 066 9 086 12*070 13 061 13 055 1482 1086 18 076 12 078 13*070 14 069 15 069 1086 816 16 073 10 072 12 067 13 070 15 074 816 653 12*066 8 066 11 066 10*069 11 072 653 560 3*043 4*054 7 064 3*058 3*059 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography