DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 56.3 - - 61.3 - - 58.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 73 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 322 - - 3278 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1945 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 866 - - 3822 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 403 - - 3984 - - 2708 - - 4636 - - 2349 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 84 - - 266 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 162 - - 264 - - 268 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -443 - - -1156 - - 595 - - -1435 - - -771 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1003 - - 2022 - - 3227 - - 1996 - - 1331 sfcLCL ODpotential -3014 - - -2142 - - -334 - - -2210 - - -2904 ODpotential blCL 3574 - - 3008 - - 4156 - - 2771 - - 3464 blCL maxRH 86 - - 99 - - 84 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 30 - - 60 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 56.3 - - 61.3 - - 58.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.2 - - 52.0 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 56.1 - - 60.6 - - 59.3 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 48.5 - - 47.9 - - 51.1 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 73 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 322 - - 3278 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 95 - - 36 - - 58 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96374 33 290 34 289 28 271 33 273 40 286 96374 89267 16 289 16 270 26 279 27 275 28 294 89267 83806 15 293 15 271 20 289 12 281 19 292 83806 79248 13 318 17 286 15 320 5 273 13 283 79248 75304 11 322 10 288 12 318 12 281 11 320 75304 71820 15 323 11 270 12 302 18 279 15 307 71820 68674 17 311 7 254 14 267 14 275 14 275 68674 65793 17 327 8 354 13 251 13 297 9 261 65793 63119 27 319 20 332 12 282 21 301 12 284 63119 60529 27 305 28 324 14 296 22 282 19 268 60529 57832 21 304 28 319 16 292 19 277 21 268 57832 55032 46 321 32 303 28 284 26 290 26 281 55032 52357 42 293 38 296 35 291 36 280 32 280 52357 49938 38 326 41 306 38 293 38 277 39 275 49938 47759 61 318 55 313 45 295 43 282 44 277 47759 45773 71 309 56 305 53 295 46 283 47 275 45773 43949 62 301 50 299 54 294 46 282 47 270 43949 42262 50 312 53 301 54 291 45 280 47 270 42262 40693 61 323 54 302 55 288 47 282 48 272 40693 39223 69 317 54 301 54 287 48 283 47 272 39223 37837 69 309 53 299 54 288 48 283 48 273 37837 36493 66 304 53 297 53 287 50 284 51 275 36493 35121 66 301 53 296 51 289 52 282 52 279 35121 33695 68 301 54 295 51 295 51 281 52 279 33695 32216 69 301 55 297 52 299 51 283 52 278 32216 30670 66 301 56 302 49 300 50 286 51 278 30670 29041 64 302 52 308 46 299 47 289 47 279 29041 27333 59 305 48 311 42 299 43 289 42 281 27333 25548 53 306 44 313 37 302 40 286 40 283 25548 23688 49 304 41 313 33 303 38 287 38 288 23688 21756 46 306 37 310 31 300 39 295 40 294 21756 19739 44 311 34 306 30 301 39 303 39 291 19739 17628 42 307 31 310 29 307 36 306 34 288 17628 15474 41 305 27 309 29 315 27 304 27 285 15474 13402 37 308 25 295 24 318 22 296 21 279 13402 11522 35 314 23 291 18 307 17 293 18 274 11522 9856 26 317 16 290 12 284 11 275 15 266 9856 8384 14 312 7 257 7 231 13 234 13 246 8384 7089 8 289 7 238 8 207 12 211 12 219 7089 5950 7 283 6 234 8 224 8 192 10 201 5950 4950 7 295 3 242 8 231 5 197 8 189 4950 4071 7 311 2 259 7*235 4 209 5 192 4071 3295 6 329 2 254 5*246 4 221 4 212 3295 2602 5 345 2 237 4 259 4 243 4 244 2602 1990 2 017 3 220 4 263 4 258 4 266 1990 1479 1 124 3 208 3 270 5 265 5 273 1479 1087 3 155 3*192 3 274 5 267 5 273 1087 817 5 142 2*176 3 277 5 268 4 268 817 654 4 118 1 156 3 279 4*268 2 242 654 560 3*106 1 151 3 281 3*268 1*205 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography