DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 55.0 - - 53.4 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 78 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 2558 - - 140 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1459 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1600 - - 3101 - - 684 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1557 - - 2558 - - 4381 - - 1774 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 149 - - 248 - - 31 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 323 - - 330 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -473 - - 175 - - -1552 - - -428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2073 - - 2926 - - 2236 - - 989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2153 - - -809 - - -2241 - - -1905 ODpotential blCL - - - 3753 - - 3910 - - 2925 - - 2465 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 83 - - 81 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 55.0 - - 53.4 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 44.3 - - 45.8 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 54.3 - - 53.7 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 43.0 - - 44.7 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 78 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 2558 - - 140 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 32 - - 24 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96321 20 033 11 015 15 037 16 004 96321 89217 14 036 9 050 10 014 14 042 89217 83763 5 019 9 052 7 026 6 061 83763 79242 4 193 5 314 9 012 4 056 79242 75300 6 236 12 278 10 324 14 306 75300 71765 10 261 15 275 9 286 22 283 71765 68517 14 267 18 284 7 276 19 266 68517 65504 16 272 21 284 12 277 11 274 65504 62719 17 269 20 274 16 275 14 301 62719 60053 14 261 17 261 20 279 18 287 60053 57273 17 277 16 266 20 278 21 294 57273 54369 23 282 17 281 23 291 28 303 54369 51588 25 282 24 288 23 283 28 302 51588 49081 27 278 24 280 14 282 25 285 49081 46832 27 268 22 283 16 322 17 280 46832 44802 26 270 22 299 26 332 10 328 44802 42961 27 284 23 308 26 330 18 014 42961 41275 26 283 22 305 20 334 30 006 41275 39717 23 278 18 304 17 006 29 013 39717 38257 18 282 17 323 38 025 43 031 38257 36886 19 308 17 340 55 035 65 033 36886 35568 22 310 21 360 62 030 78 034 35568 34238 22 302 31 011 57 026 80 036 34238 32861 18 300 35 016 52 033 78 044 32861 31434 16 329 34 017 58 043 82 051 31434 29941 21 356 31 014 62 044 82 053 29941 28369 27 010 29 014 60 041 74 054 28369 26720 30 015 30 016 49 035 62 056 26720 24991 30 016 32 020 41 029 54 058 24991 23185 29 015 34 021 39 024 42 053 23185 21309 28 015 33 018 33 023 35 042 21309 19358 26 016 31 016 28 024 27 039 19358 17321 26 021 29 017 26 022 21 036 17321 15233 23 027 25 023 26 020 20 036 15233 13214 19 026 20 033 22 023 19 039 13214 11377 16 018 17 037 17 033 16 040 11377 9745 11 005 14 034 12 046 12 035 9745 8302 6 339 12 021 10 055 11 023 8302 7026 13 304 11 357 10 048 11 015 7026 5899 17 309 10 346 9 032 13 012 5899 4905 18 323 10 350 8 038 13 006 4905 4032 19 334 10 347 7 037 10 358 4032 3264 20 340 10*339 6 026 9 358 3264 2576 17 342 9*327 6 008 10 005 2576 1971 12*341 9 324 6 352 12 011 1971 1466 8*332 9 322 5 343 14 012 1466 1079 5 321 8 321 5 339 13 009 1079 813 4 315 8 320 5*335 11 009 813 652 4 312 7 320 4*332 8 005 652 560 3 310 6 318 3 329 4*001 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography