DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 66.6 - - 72.7 - - 68.5 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 169 - - 272 - - 170 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1199 - - 1693 - - 1009 - - 119 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 950 - - 1466 - - 759 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1744 - - 2237 - - 1554 - - 663 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 635 - - 618 - - 1180 - - 677 - - 672 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 244 - - 318 - - 228 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 281 - - 281 - - 257 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -587 - - -1470 - - -2050 - - -1622 - - -738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1147 - - 3214 - - 4288 - - 3176 - - 1401 sfcLCL ODpotential -6812 - - -5058 - - -4316 - - -4615 - - -5739 ODpotential blCL 7372 - - 6802 - - 6553 - - 6169 - - 6402 blCL maxRH 87 - - 74 - - 66 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 200 - - 300 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 66.6 - - 72.7 - - 68.5 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.2 - - 54.5 - - 55.9 - - 56.5 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 67.3 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.9 - - 53.4 - - 54.9 - - 55.9 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 169 - - 272 - - 170 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1199 - - 1693 - - 1009 - - 119 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96670 36 292 31 280 40 276 35 281 38 279 96670 89399 30 291 23 296 29 278 31 279 35 279 89399 83909 19 298 17 310 23 269 29 280 25 291 83909 79393 17 316 11 307 20 275 25 285 20 299 79393 75490 20 318 11 300 15 262 20 283 18 300 75490 72020 18 316 12 289 10 258 11 285 11 293 72020 68846 15 308 13 292 12 271 9 284 10 303 68846 65894 17 302 12 304 15 271 17 282 15 283 65894 63141 18 296 13 322 15 274 16 273 15 277 63141 60465 22 284 19 295 13 279 16 287 19 279 60465 57673 25 277 24 283 19 288 21 275 20 271 57673 54773 26 276 27 265 28 271 23 264 25 266 54773 51987 24 276 26 255 31 262 24 264 27 259 51987 49467 30 270 27 260 29 263 29 269 28 262 49467 47208 35 266 32 268 31 266 35 269 31 265 47208 45169 38 264 38 266 35 266 36 267 34 267 45169 43319 43 264 40 262 36 260 38 267 41 269 43319 41631 44 264 38 264 37 256 44 267 46 266 41631 40081 43 257 40 264 38 259 47 265 46 265 40081 38644 44 251 38 259 40 261 46 263 45 267 38644 37299 42 248 34 261 41 259 43 261 45 268 37299 35999 40 251 31 263 41 257 41 260 43 268 35999 34676 39 254 33 262 41 255 42 261 40 265 34676 33300 40 253 34 260 41 256 43 261 38 259 33300 31870 40 252 34 258 40 258 43 260 38 256 31870 30370 38 254 36 257 39 259 42 260 37 257 30370 28786 38 255 37 256 38 258 40 262 35 259 28786 27122 38 251 37 256 37 255 37 263 34 256 27122 25377 36 246 35 252 36 254 34 260 33 252 25377 23553 32 245 35 242 32 254 32 254 32 250 23553 21653 28 245 33 239 27 249 28 252 29 245 21653 19673 24 246 28 241 25 243 25 245 26 243 19673 17608 19 243 23 242 23 241 23 245 25 244 17608 15501 16 237 18 244 21 249 20 249 20 250 15501 13471 13 233 15 238 16 260 15 255 14 250 13471 11626 9 247 11 244 12 263 11 267 9 253 11626 9985 8 287 9 265 12 280 11 277 8 262 9985 8524 14 312 10 293 11 294 11 276 9 262 8524 7222 19 319 14 312 11 297 11 275 11 266 7222 6064 21 323 15 314 10 311 9 289 10 282 6064 5038 21 328 14 318 8 336 8 311 10 292 5038 4135 21 336 13 332 8 348 9 324 11 301 4135 3340 22 345 14 354 9 335 10 320 11 315 3340 2630 21 347 13 355 9*318 11 308 11 328 2630 2004 17 343 8*343 9*291 12*281 10 319 2004 1485 8 320 4*286 10 281 12*261 9 278 1485 1089 7 262 4 281 10 279 12 257 11 245 1089 819 7 235 4 280 10 277 12 255 10*236 819 655 5 224 4 278 9 277 11 255 9*233 655 561 3*223 3 278 8 276 9 253 6 232 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography