DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 82.7 - - 78.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 285 - - 93 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1398 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1262 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1332 - - 1944 - - 1234 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 565 - - 989 - - 716 - - 310 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 300 - - 163 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 282 - - 256 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4201 - - -6192 - - -5772 - - -2777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5533 - - 8136 - - 7006 - - 3338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12381 - - -13353 - - -13723 - - -13825 ODpotential blCL - - - 13713 - - 15297 - - 14957 - - 14386 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 36 - - 39 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 82.7 - - 78.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 49.1 - - 49.9 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 80.8 - - 77.6 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 48.5 - - 49.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 285 - - 93 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1398 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98037 3 102 7 175 10 247 5 260 98037 90741 1 032 4 260 4 195 2 079 90741 85103 1 288 7 248 6 314 6 096 85103 80414 2 280 5 236 4 300 8 357 80414 76392 3 140 3 292 2 029 7 356 76392 72847 3 069 1 235 2 004 9 001 72847 69643 2 034 0 271 2 026 4 073 69643 66687 0 147 5 293 9 336 4 073 66687 63936 1 181 8 251 10 279 11 301 63936 61293 1 295 4 244 6 230 12 269 61293 58549 13 292 11 310 9 307 7 274 58549 55709 20 285 21 295 24 300 20 308 55709 53004 16 300 20 298 23 302 26 299 53004 50560 30 330 28 323 30 322 26 318 50560 48362 39 331 33 323 36 321 34 321 48362 46364 41 333 34 326 38 316 37 319 46364 44530 40 337 33 337 33 323 34 325 44530 42840 37 350 32 349 28 341 29 337 42840 41268 38 001 31 001 26 358 26 349 41268 39794 39 008 32 010 26 004 24 003 39794 38403 41 012 32 014 26 001 22 012 38403 37056 42 013 33 014 25 359 22 013 37056 35684 41 006 32 012 24 001 20 005 35684 34257 40 357 31 006 22 004 18 001 34257 32776 43 353 32 351 22 356 14 357 32776 31224 45 353 31 348 23 347 14 351 31224 29588 42 358 30 354 20 347 16 340 29588 27869 37 008 26 352 20 344 16 325 27869 26067 35 014 23 349 22 338 18 322 26067 24186 35 013 22 351 23 335 22 330 24186 22227 35 011 22 001 23 342 25 332 22227 20185 35 012 24 008 23 352 24 334 20185 18055 35 020 27 013 21 007 19 347 18055 15883 31 028 27 022 22 022 15 005 15883 13788 23 035 23 028 21 029 15 020 13788 11881 16 042 17 029 19 028 16 027 11881 10184 13 040 12 020 17 021 16 029 10184 8678 11 033 11 007 16 011 16 026 8678 7344 12 008 14 000 16 007 15 025 7344 6162 16 005 17 009 17 011 17 029 6162 5118 19 005 18 010 17 006 19 022 5118 4199 19 006 18 005 18 357 19 006 4199 3389 16 007 16 354 17 346 19 351 3389 2667 12 004 14 340 16 334 18 343 2667 2031 8 351 10*306 12 314 14 342 2031 1502 4*308 10*287 11*275 8 326 1502 1099 3*283 10 282 10*259 7 259 1099 822 3 280 10 280 10 256 10 229 822 656 3 280 9 279 9 255 8 217 656 561 2 279 8 278 8 254 5*214 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography