DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 68.2 - - 76.1 - - 74.1 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 67 - - 132 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 629 - - 2271 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1576 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1174 - - 2816 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 971 - - 1542 - - 3844 - - 639 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 144 - - 275 - - 10 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 064 - - 073 - - 041 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2603 - - -4079 - - -4230 - - -5629 - - -2113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3164 - - 5253 - - 7046 - - 6191 - - 2674 sfcLCL ODpotential -12972 - - -11756 - - -10312 - - -11876 - - -10865 ODpotential blCL 13533 - - 12930 - - 13128 - - 12438 - - 11426 blCL maxRH 48 - - 47 - - 47 - - 43 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 68.2 - - 76.1 - - 74.1 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 47.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.4 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 67.7 - - 75.2 - - 75.0 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 46.9 - - 46.8 - - 48.6 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 67 - - 132 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 629 - - 2271 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 47 298 38 290 52 283 49 302 53 293 96575 89517 30 304 26 301 28 282 27 295 34 294 89517 84055 22 301 28 303 26 306 18 300 23 300 84055 79496 13 306 26 287 30 306 26 300 23 303 79496 75553 13 310 15 270 19 289 28 287 19 311 75553 72056 20 314 14 304 11 303 22 289 22 310 72056 68897 25 302 20 305 16 306 19 287 19 288 68897 65993 19 288 18 294 21 299 16 298 10 302 65993 63309 12 282 16 290 27 284 29 305 27 310 63309 60746 25 309 20 266 33 266 31 298 32 293 60746 58103 24 294 19 307 21 292 24 294 24 283 58103 55351 45 319 40 319 27 312 20 295 20 284 55351 52696 47 320 46 327 37 326 30 316 28 310 52696 50281 44 318 46 332 48 330 44 320 46 313 50281 48102 40 319 47 335 58 330 59 317 57 309 48102 46117 50 332 55 333 63 327 64 315 59 305 46117 44289 64 328 59 326 61 320 60 315 58 304 44289 42592 58 323 53 319 53 315 54 318 51 304 42592 41007 43 325 44 330 44 328 49 329 40 313 41007 39520 28 323 45 343 47 344 57 344 42 346 39520 38116 22 323 46 344 54 349 66 346 55 351 38116 36752 23 328 38 340 61 354 65 347 66 345 36752 35362 27 326 29 328 48 357 58 352 59 347 35362 33922 29 328 30 325 34 345 38 350 52 351 33922 32437 29 338 29 333 32 330 30 330 41 359 32437 30890 23 351 20 337 20 335 28 331 27 348 30890 29268 14 338 14 339 16 343 9 338 30 341 29268 27577 12 348 11 334 14 340 6 243 14 331 27577 25814 16 011 11 327 19 330 5 229 6 259 25814 23972 15 005 16 325 17 330 14 334 3 195 23972 22046 15 349 15 330 12 333 19 328 4 012 22046 20036 12 025 11 344 9 352 13 323 9 349 20036 17939 16 069 8 013 9 002 2 326 10 352 17939 15792 11 066 10 062 7 006 5 043 8 018 15792 13711 9 027 9 091 8 098 7 066 4 070 13711 11812 7 030 3 046 6 113 7 076 5 125 11812 10124 5 061 1 024 3 073 5 080 6 124 10124 8626 3 062 1 013 1 056 2 044 3 101 8626 7298 4 032 2 034 2 117 1 018 1 081 7298 6121 5 029 4 052 3 126 1 046 1 284 6121 5083 7 031 6 056 4 099 3 057 1 240 5083 4171 7 033 8 050 5 062 6 031 2 041 4171 3369 7 039 8 048 5*058 5 023 4 030 3369 2654 9 043 9 049 5*064 4 026 5 019 2654 2024 10 048 9 052 5 072 4 040 7 033 2024 1500 8 053 7*060 5 075 3 050 9 052 1500 1099 6 065 5*067 5 077 3 049 8 061 1099 823 3 074 3 064 5 078 3 054 5 062 823 657 1*025 3 061 4 077 2*052 2 050 657 561 1*290 2 060 4 078 1*041 0*292 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography