DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 64.2 - - 59.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 18 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 611 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1155 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 255 - - 1315 - - 991 - - 252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 110 - - 16 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 060 - - 053 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4182 - - -3317 - - -2284 - - -2025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4743 - - 4473 - - 2845 - - 2585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13530 - - -10731 - - -8954 - - -12395 ODpotential blCL - - - 14090 - - 11886 - - 9515 - - 12955 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 49 - - 55 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 64.2 - - 59.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 47.1 - - 49.7 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 64.0 - - 61.1 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 18 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 611 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96280 22 348 14 016 8 012 14 355 96280 89318 17 038 23 038 24 050 21 057 89318 83851 12 052 14 027 23 056 21 070 83851 79290 8 056 8 020 18 047 18 060 79290 75364 8 044 7 033 17 044 19 047 75364 71896 6 031 6 016 16 029 19 049 71896 68752 10 023 8 011 13 021 16 032 68752 65858 11 355 12 341 15 343 17 349 65858 63169 11 005 10 340 14 323 17 324 63169 60555 18 357 16 353 17 340 19 335 60555 57819 31 341 26 346 26 339 25 343 57819 54970 38 332 33 339 29 337 31 348 54970 52234 38 326 34 326 33 330 41 344 52234 49760 32 318 33 324 37 332 44 341 49760 47539 30 323 32 329 37 339 42 346 47539 45532 28 316 33 325 38 342 42 355 45532 43702 30 313 34 323 38 342 44 356 43702 42015 35 308 34 313 34 334 38 351 42015 40451 37 300 36 300 31 313 34 350 40451 38995 38 289 40 283 36 296 33 326 38995 37637 38 288 39 278 41 281 37 305 37637 36332 42 289 41 282 37 281 40 293 36332 35003 43 287 44 280 34 288 34 299 35003 33615 43 287 46 280 34 290 26 310 33615 32171 47 290 48 285 36 292 19 313 32171 30659 42 294 42 294 29 297 16 311 30659 29066 26 295 29 298 21 302 15 310 29066 27389 17 287 20 294 20 304 15 310 27389 25628 18 286 20 296 22 309 17 319 25628 23785 21 297 21 305 24 317 18 330 23785 21863 21 311 21 318 22 322 18 344 21863 19858 17 329 16 339 18 338 16 354 19858 17768 9 337 9 355 13 349 15 357 17768 15633 8 007 7 019 10 001 15 003 15633 13569 11 037 10 048 9 032 13 022 13569 11685 12 035 11 051 10 050 11 036 11685 10006 10 035 10 042 10 041 10 039 10006 8518 7 046 8 040 10 034 8 035 8518 7199 5 063 6 040 9 034 7 030 7199 6035 4 084 4 047 6 040 6 027 6035 5007 3 112 1 075 4 049 7 021 5007 4106 3 136 1 140 2 067 8 022 4106 3315 3 143 1 139 3 045 9 027 3315 2610 3 132 2 067 4 034 8 030 2610 1990 4 123 3 053 7 045 9 042 1990 1476 6 112 6*064 12 064 11 062 1476 1084 8 099 7*062 13 068 13 076 1084 815 8 083 6 060 11 064 12 081 815 653 6 061 6 059 9 061 8*074 653 560 2*038 4 057 4*053 3*059 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography