DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 88.8 - - 80.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 364 - - 194 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1023 - - 627 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 969 - - 1055 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1636 - - 1569 - - 1173 - - 698 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 774 - - 609 - - 280 - - 398 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 293 - - 201 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 261 - - 252 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7235 - - -7441 - - -5498 - - -2657 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8871 - - 9010 - - 6671 - - 3355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12326 - - -12583 - - -12297 - - -11932 ODpotential blCL - - - 13962 - - 14152 - - 13470 - - 12630 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 74 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 88.8 - - 80.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 51.7 - - 53.9 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 86.5 - - 79.1 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 51.1 - - 53.6 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 364 - - 194 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1023 - - 627 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98830 5 125 10 129 6 107 5 143 98830 91392 8 170 5 066 7 092 7 120 91392 85656 10 154 3 288 2 096 9 054 85656 80876 6 121 2 184 1 286 9 031 80876 76754 6 091 3 105 5 014 6 028 76754 73135 5 068 4 077 8 024 7 040 73135 69878 6 063 5 081 5 029 9 030 69878 66896 9 079 5 119 2 018 7 008 66896 64148 6 104 2 163 2 310 7 358 64148 61504 3 107 3 251 5 278 11 316 61504 58776 4 283 6 259 9 273 12 287 58776 55973 10 279 11 244 16 258 18 264 55973 53312 17 256 20 239 24 251 26 260 53312 50930 19 255 19 247 21 257 28 257 50930 48787 20 248 23 251 27 269 29 265 48787 46821 23 250 29 251 35 270 39 271 46821 45003 28 252 35 252 41 257 47 266 45003 43314 29 254 37 251 41 250 50 257 43314 41737 29 255 35 253 39 261 49 257 41737 40251 29 259 35 259 43 269 46 261 40251 38841 29 264 35 265 41 266 46 269 38841 37471 29 269 34 267 40 263 46 269 37471 36073 28 268 33 267 40 264 46 264 36073 34619 27 267 33 266 39 263 44 263 34619 33108 28 269 31 262 38 263 40 263 33108 31527 29 268 30 262 37 262 37 266 31527 29863 31 260 30 264 35 267 36 272 29863 28121 32 258 32 266 31 275 30 283 28121 26305 26 261 26 272 26 279 25 286 26305 24410 24 263 23 278 24 281 22 283 24410 22434 23 250 21 276 23 281 20 281 22434 20372 21 232 21 250 19 262 19 277 20372 18229 18 225 20 236 20 249 18 258 18229 16050 16 228 18 236 18 244 19 253 16050 13945 14 233 15 243 17 246 15 257 13945 12024 13 236 13 248 15 256 11 261 12024 10315 11 247 12 257 13 265 9 264 10315 8794 10 263 11 271 11 272 8 272 8794 7441 7 285 8 282 9 278 8 286 7441 6238 6 307 6 297 8 284 10 293 6238 5174 6 319 7 312 9 302 11 292 5174 4237 7 322 10 319 12 317 14 295 4237 3414 9 323 11 317 14 318 14 306 3414 2681 10 319 11 308 14 311 14 325 2681 2038 9*306 12*280 14 292 12 332 2038 1505 7*276 13*265 14*267 8 301 1505 1100 8 271 13 261 13*253 10 248 1100 824 7 269 12 260 13 251 10*237 824 657 7 269 12 260 12 251 9*235 657 561 6 269 10 259 10 251 6 235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography