DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 56.8 - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 33 - - 88 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 200 - - 1185 - - 885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 744 - - 1730 - - 1429 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 606 - - 1123 - - 1974 - - 337 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 80 - - 200 - - 104 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 295 - - 348 - - 290 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -297 - - -1543 - - -2299 - - -1921 - - -195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 858 - - 2287 - - 4029 - - 3350 - - 756 sfcLCL ODpotential -7702 - - -6401 - - -5377 - - -4818 - - -5417 ODpotential blCL 8262 - - 7145 - - 7107 - - 6247 - - 5978 blCL maxRH 80 - - 74 - - 61 - - 62 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 56.8 - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 49.1 - - 51.3 - - 53.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 56.4 - - 66.0 - - 66.4 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 48.3 - - 50.0 - - 52.7 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 33 - - 88 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 200 - - 1185 - - 885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96492 14 122 1 358 8 084 15 118 14 175 96492 89390 15 117 11 108 13 097 19 094 17 114 89390 83919 14 115 11 113 10 119 14 095 16 093 83919 79356 15 116 8 118 6 127 6 094 9 065 79356 75417 12 116 10 129 7 152 4 099 5 062 75417 71930 7 126 10 136 2 225 3 060 7 062 71930 68765 2 269 4 137 5 254 1 167 5 002 68765 65854 7 272 5 238 7 251 4 212 7 259 65854 63158 9 252 11 236 9 248 4 250 10 245 63158 60550 12 255 13 268 12 286 5 272 11 254 60550 57818 12 258 12 267 16 279 12 269 14 255 57818 54972 14 281 11 284 18 270 17 268 14 269 54972 52252 20 279 13 288 15 247 16 290 19 301 52252 49801 19 280 22 308 13 307 25 297 22 296 49801 47593 26 301 29 299 14 306 20 302 24 315 47593 45570 24 315 24 311 25 330 26 324 37 326 45570 43712 20 337 23 337 41 330 52 319 61 315 43712 42006 40 332 47 326 59 320 65 303 64 304 42006 40434 48 336 49 327 44 330 48 289 35 316 40434 38985 45 343 40 346 41 360 33 351 43 010 38985 37634 55 346 40 355 52 005 53 011 54 007 37634 36334 65 341 39 347 51 004 51 013 49 004 36334 35012 65 338 40 342 35 010 38 012 40 355 35012 33634 60 343 42 334 30 359 30 008 33 348 33634 32201 53 352 43 331 31 345 26 001 30 344 32201 30693 48 356 41 340 29 342 25 354 29 339 30693 29100 42 356 35 357 28 337 28 343 27 331 29100 27420 35 005 22 019 26 326 31 342 25 318 27420 25654 29 020 20 017 14 338 27 338 11 341 25654 23802 24 015 19 359 12 334 21 349 10 327 23802 21866 21 341 23 344 17 329 20 345 25 302 21866 19843 17 320 23 337 16 345 17 328 29 308 19843 17730 13 297 20 321 15 334 13 314 25 312 17730 15578 13 295 17 295 19 323 12 312 16 313 15578 13508 10 308 11 297 15 315 10 323 10 306 13508 11632 7 300 7 285 9 305 10 306 8 310 11632 9974 5 318 5 275 7 288 10 297 11 308 9974 8507 4 354 5 283 7 289 11 296 13 307 8507 7205 4 001 6 296 7 305 10 309 14 316 7205 6049 6 006 5 320 7 326 9 325 13 331 6049 5027 8 020 5 352 7 354 8 344 11 349 5027 4127 9 032 5 014 7 020 6 004 10 004 4127 3334 9 032 5 015 8 029 5 008 8 012 3334 2625 9 021 5 010 8 023 4 342 7 013 2625 2002 8 007 5 356 6*012 5 310 8 007 2002 1484 7 357 6 346 4*350 7*296 8 352 1484 1088 4 332 5 333 3 348 7*292 5 320 1088 817 4 285 3*307 3 346 7 290 5 251 817 654 5*279 2*295 3 346 6 289 5*213 654 561 3*273 2 295 3 346 5 288 4*201 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography