DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 70.2 - - 66.2 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 344 - - 161 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1094 - - 1521 - - 1053 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 937 - - 1394 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1639 - - 2065 - - 1598 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 460 - - 387 - - 454 - - 896 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 327 - - 224 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 263 - - 260 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2558 - - -2949 - - -2187 - - -474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4197 - - 5014 - - 3785 - - 1035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10775 - - -10855 - - -9513 - - -9498 ODpotential blCL - - - 12414 - - 12920 - - 11111 - - 10059 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 61 - - 68 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 70.2 - - 66.2 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 50.4 - - 51.7 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 50.0 - - 51.5 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 344 - - 161 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1094 - - 1521 - - 1053 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98446 8 081 8 151 4 136 6 146 98446 91066 10 091 12 134 12 165 2 135 91066 85399 7 143 9 102 7 101 8 153 85399 80682 10 155 4 136 4 002 6 086 80682 76605 4 136 5 141 2 071 6 028 76605 73018 1 302 4 122 3 068 5 025 73018 69780 2 143 5 183 2 199 2 029 69780 66797 3 223 5 228 1 244 4 013 66797 64024 6 246 9 241 8 236 9 269 64024 61339 14 257 14 258 13 260 15 256 61339 58534 19 253 21 251 19 259 18 259 58534 55629 20 265 24 257 24 257 23 267 55629 52870 22 270 26 261 29 255 30 267 52870 50397 24 268 29 261 32 257 35 263 50397 48178 27 262 32 256 35 257 41 261 48178 46156 30 256 34 249 40 255 46 255 46156 44295 33 255 35 246 43 252 50 252 44295 42569 35 253 36 245 43 248 53 250 42569 40959 35 247 38 242 42 246 55 247 40959 39451 38 246 40 237 45 244 54 246 39451 38037 41 244 43 234 49 240 54 246 38037 36679 45 242 42 234 49 239 54 243 36679 35310 46 238 40 233 46 237 51 240 35310 33897 46 237 41 238 42 237 53 235 33897 32431 44 244 42 237 44 241 52 235 32431 30895 37 243 39 237 47 242 49 237 30895 29276 33 241 36 241 45 244 48 236 29276 27577 34 242 37 243 40 244 43 234 27577 25798 35 242 37 243 37 244 41 234 25798 23938 31 244 32 243 35 243 36 236 23938 21997 28 242 30 242 33 242 32 237 21997 19971 27 241 27 242 32 239 29 238 19971 17855 24 242 25 238 29 239 27 240 17855 15696 21 240 24 235 25 240 21 239 15696 13617 20 238 23 233 21 238 18 229 13617 11729 20 235 22 230 19 231 18 220 11729 10053 20 231 21 226 19 220 19 212 10053 8567 20 227 20 221 21 212 19 206 8567 7247 18 221 19 218 22 205 19 202 7247 6076 17 215 19 215 21 200 18 198 6076 5040 16 209 17 211 18 196 16 192 5040 4130 15 203 13 210 14 198 13 195 4130 3329 13 202 9 224 9 224 8 215 3329 2617 9 219 8*259 9 266 5 252 2617 1993 7*252 9*264 11*266 6 265 1993 1478 6*260 10 263 11*260 9 257 1478 1086 6 262 10 263 12 260 9 249 1086 817 6 263 10 263 11 260 8 247 817 654 5 265 9 263 10 260 7*245 654 561 5 266 8 262 8 260 4*245 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography