DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.1 - - 56.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - -5 - - 19 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 907 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 230 - - 897 - - 733 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 16 - - 92 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 056 - - 077 - - 042 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4244 - - -4593 - - -3321 - - -2143 - - -2982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4804 - - 5154 - - 4228 - - 2704 - - 3543 sfcLCL ODpotential -17124 - - -15176 - - -10058 - - -8956 - - -14621 ODpotential blCL 17684 - - 15736 - - 10965 - - 9517 - - 15182 blCL maxRH 34 - - 33 - - 52 - - 56 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.1 - - 56.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 36.7 - - 50.4 - - 55.3 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 57.2 - - 66.3 - - 66.2 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 35.6 - - 49.2 - - 53.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - -5 - - 19 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96314 40 066 30 091 17 065 23 080 32 087 96314 89418 44 084 43 096 14 107 28 082 35 084 89418 84067 52 091 38 108 26 102 31 093 37 082 84067 79553 43 093 40 099 37 100 34 102 35 087 79553 75609 36 103 33 092 32 099 26 096 26 091 75609 72100 29 087 21 091 23 097 21 089 23 088 72100 68909 20 071 21 068 23 077 23 090 23 089 68909 65984 15 072 12 062 20 048 18 047 25 058 65984 63304 17 076 12 108 7 035 8 014 16 037 63304 60725 30 047 24 068 11 095 5 071 9 024 60725 58027 27 017 31 031 25 048 16 052 7 018 58027 55221 18 028 30 021 25 031 27 051 21 066 55221 52548 35 035 39 016 40 013 45 016 49 035 52548 50145 43 014 43 005 38 003 46 359 53 010 50145 47972 42 356 32 356 27 001 36 359 47 005 47972 45969 32 000 24 015 22 037 35 023 35 016 45969 44123 34 050 39 055 38 056 36 045 18 034 44123 42419 57 054 60 055 53 061 40 072 26 105 42419 40837 68 047 69 052 65 063 53 080 52 102 40837 39365 65 042 65 056 69 064 58 079 66 096 39365 37989 47 042 51 053 60 061 55 081 66 094 37989 36662 38 086 40 080 46 064 48 085 60 095 36662 35313 59 104 48 113 42 095 47 094 56 102 35313 33915 65 104 49 119 35 104 46 101 56 112 33915 32468 57 103 43 112 34 101 47 104 49 119 32468 30953 48 100 40 100 38 097 49 104 43 121 30953 29354 45 095 42 094 39 093 48 104 42 119 29354 27669 39 086 44 092 40 093 44 103 39 117 27669 25899 37 080 44 090 42 096 42 106 37 112 25899 24045 36 083 43 090 43 100 37 116 35 109 24045 22110 34 091 39 095 41 106 33 124 32 112 22110 20087 29 101 34 098 36 112 30 125 27 115 20087 17969 23 101 29 103 31 113 25 117 23 107 17969 15804 20 090 26 108 26 115 22 104 20 092 15804 13716 20 089 23 110 20 132 19 104 16 096 13716 11817 18 104 21 117 17 150 14 110 8 126 11817 10129 11 117 16 127 11 160 10 135 5 189 10129 8630 5 129 9 146 5 172 5 100 2 093 8630 7297 2 157 5 177 3 236 4 027 6 048 7297 6116 2 204 7 195 7 251 5 327 10 025 6116 5074 3 208 8 205 8 257 6 313 11 006 5074 4159 2 196 7 213 7 274 6 321 11 358 4159 3355 2 176 5 224 6 302 5 342 11 358 3355 2639 1 124 3 235 5 336 5 008 9 003 2639 2010 2 101 2 246 5 007 4 033 7 015 2010 1488 7 098 1 153 6 058 6 064 8 056 1488 1090 11 091 4 101 6*078 8 070 12 075 1090 818 12 081 7 083 5*078 7 063 12 079 818 654 9 068 6 073 4 077 5 055 8*070 654 561 4*054 2*056 4 076 3*042 4*062 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography