DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 61.4 - - 71.4 - - 69.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 27 - - -8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1000 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 561 - - 1545 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 135 - - 318 - - 1457 - - 1867 - - 290 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 143 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 060 - - 091 - - 015 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5055 - - -4193 - - -4344 - - -3268 - - -980 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5615 - - 4754 - - 5890 - - 3830 - - 1541 sfcLCL ODpotential -16552 - - -12852 - - -9833 - - -8146 - - -9839 ODpotential blCL 17112 - - 13413 - - 11378 - - 8708 - - 10400 blCL maxRH 29 - - 36 - - 40 - - 51 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 61.4 - - 71.4 - - 69.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 43.2 - - 48.0 - - 54.4 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.7 - - 61.7 - - 71.2 - - 69.7 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 42.1 - - 46.7 - - 53.1 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 27 - - -8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1000 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95793 50 284 50 297 55 290 50 296 47 285 95793 88777 26 296 23 318 30 282 33 297 32 301 88777 83356 21 329 12 333 18 277 24 300 27 318 83356 78852 21 343 11 347 6 302 9 287 19 307 78852 74976 19 316 15 344 8 002 3 187 16 256 74976 71546 18 266 17 314 14 340 4 311 10 244 71546 68431 8 244 18 278 17 312 17 312 5 015 68431 65562 13 336 18 255 17 283 27 295 13 326 65562 62911 25 318 10 265 15 262 33 272 20 283 62911 60352 34 298 11 298 11 253 31 256 23 259 60352 57666 35 286 20 295 20 272 37 264 30 257 57666 54865 33 283 30 283 29 269 41 263 33 257 54865 52177 29 292 31 279 29 265 38 263 33 264 52177 49736 40 293 31 286 32 279 41 277 45 272 49736 47533 42 286 37 281 40 278 45 267 46 266 47533 45524 39 281 39 277 41 273 42 262 40 259 45524 43678 36 279 37 275 38 264 39 263 40 253 43678 41980 37 286 38 267 39 254 40 255 43 250 41980 40429 47 288 39 265 40 248 42 249 44 247 40429 39001 43 286 44 271 36 259 42 235 41 240 39001 37661 40 274 39 260 35 262 36 233 38 240 37661 36357 38 269 33 255 34 253 31 239 34 243 36357 35022 37 268 31 253 35 251 30 241 30 241 35022 33627 34 269 29 250 30 248 31 236 28 237 33627 32176 35 266 29 245 29 239 28 237 34 225 32176 30655 36 262 30 237 32 226 27 229 33 218 30655 29052 35 260 30 228 34 218 32 219 33 209 29052 27369 29 250 29 219 36 212 38 207 40 200 27369 25605 23 233 27 213 34 206 41 203 45 199 25605 23766 20 221 24 206 32 202 38 207 45 199 23766 21854 20 214 23 206 30 207 33 205 40 195 21854 19857 21 216 23 205 30 209 31 205 35 197 19857 17767 19 220 21 198 27 202 31 209 31 207 17767 15632 17 229 18 207 24 204 29 213 27 216 15632 13572 17 226 18 219 22 213 24 215 22 221 13572 11695 16 223 19 215 20 210 21 216 18 220 11695 10026 13 225 15 212 17 200 18 212 15 212 10026 8544 7 210 10 202 14 194 15 206 13 204 8544 7228 5 168 9 191 12 195 13 203 12 206 7228 6064 6 137 9 181 11 199 11 204 12 213 6064 5035 6 129 10 171 9 199 9 204 11 217 5035 4131 6 122 9 167 8 197 8 196 7 219 4131 3336 5 111 8 167 6 191 7 180 3 257 3336 2628 5 108 7 169 5 172 6 172 4 319 2628 2004 6 113 8 173 4*151 3 161 6 321 2004 1485 8 117 10 166 4*113 3 094 6 308 1485 1089 9 113 10 147 4 089 4 059 6 278 1089 818 9 105 8 120 4 085 4 041 6 237 818 654 6 094 5*099 4 082 3*028 5*208 654 561 3*076 2*060 3 080 2*015 3*197 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography