DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 72.6 - - 65.9 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 416 - - 214 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1241 - - 1501 - - 1133 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1128 - - 1423 - - 970 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1786 - - 2046 - - 1677 - - 698 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 565 - - 445 - - 491 - - 1145 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 346 - - 252 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 264 - - 264 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1508 - - -2557 - - -1064 - - -94 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3294 - - 4604 - - 2742 - - 792 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9754 - - -10264 - - -9122 - - -347 ODpotential blCL - - - 11540 - - 12310 - - 10799 - - 1045 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 67 - - 85 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 72.6 - - 65.9 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.4 - - 55.7 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 70.1 - - 64.5 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 54.1 - - 55.5 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 416 - - 214 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1241 - - 1501 - - 1133 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - 39 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98746 6 140 8 118 9 117 13 102 98746 91365 12 125 12 130 7 137 10 110 91365 85657 14 131 11 147 7 146 10 137 85657 80897 12 141 11 167 4 142 7 132 80897 76779 10 138 10 166 5 174 4 168 76779 73144 3 134 6 160 5 183 7 189 73144 69864 5 233 4 226 2 156 7 179 69864 66854 9 217 9 263 3 248 2 073 66854 64071 5 197 10 247 7 255 3 314 64071 61381 7 266 11 234 11 272 10 305 61381 58584 11 259 16 244 22 258 20 276 58584 55696 17 281 20 257 26 253 27 257 55696 52950 36 280 36 271 36 267 35 267 52950 50479 51 271 50 267 50 269 45 271 50479 48262 58 272 61 270 66 269 59 270 48262 46243 67 273 69 267 73 264 70 264 46243 44378 71 271 74 264 74 262 73 262 44378 42647 70 270 75 264 73 264 73 262 42647 41038 67 267 70 264 71 263 70 263 41038 39536 62 261 67 261 68 260 67 264 39536 38132 59 259 62 260 63 257 67 261 38132 36781 62 265 60 265 60 262 63 258 36781 35411 66 264 64 264 62 267 60 264 35411 33988 67 262 64 261 63 266 63 266 33988 32514 60 260 56 257 59 263 65 265 32514 30971 50 260 48 256 53 259 60 264 30971 29348 46 263 43 260 46 257 50 261 29348 27647 43 264 41 265 42 260 42 259 27647 25862 40 260 37 266 39 262 38 263 25862 23995 39 252 32 264 32 263 34 262 23995 22047 32 252 31 259 28 262 29 261 22047 20016 31 263 31 258 24 262 25 263 20016 17896 24 265 21 258 18 261 17 259 17896 15734 19 258 17 256 14 265 10 256 15734 13647 13 251 13 252 11 262 7 255 13647 11749 8 233 11 236 9 247 5 257 11749 10068 4 226 8 220 7 240 3 272 10068 8578 3 187 7 206 6 220 3 243 8578 7256 6 183 8 200 6 204 4 180 7256 6085 7 191 9 206 6 200 5 180 6085 5048 8 206 9 215 7 188 6 180 5048 4135 9 211 9 213 5 192 6 185 4135 3332 8 211 7 219 4 234 4 216 3332 2619 7 220 7*241 7 266 7 255 2619 1997 6*238 10*260 12*267 12 263 1997 1482 6*247 11 264 13*265 12 262 1482 1089 6 252 11 264 13 264 11 261 1089 818 5 254 11 265 13 263 10*259 818 654 5 255 11 265 12 264 9*258 654 561 4 256 9 266 9 263 6 257 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography