DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 70.2 - - 69.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 336 - - 202 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 1176 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 944 - - 1150 - - 858 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1572 - - 1721 - - 1538 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 317 - - 497 - - 435 - - 750 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 301 - - 240 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 262 - - 255 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1300 - - -2435 - - -2118 - - -1101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2872 - - 4156 - - 3656 - - 1662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11037 - - -10993 - - -10741 - - -11940 ODpotential blCL - - - 12609 - - 12714 - - 12279 - - 12501 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 66 - - 68 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 70.2 - - 69.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.1 - - 54.0 - - 55.6 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 68.1 - - 68.3 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 53.0 - - 54.9 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 336 - - 202 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 1176 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97735 15 262 7 320 12 250 12 269 97735 90261 10 293 8 277 12 286 11 297 90261 84515 7 292 12 267 14 310 12 337 84515 79799 2 324 10 255 8 308 14 335 79799 75777 5 315 13 293 10 347 13 343 75777 72249 6 317 16 301 17 342 12 357 72249 69060 7 338 10 310 17 328 13 356 69060 66116 11 315 8 319 15 313 12 340 66116 63377 12 310 8 318 13 312 11 321 63377 60722 14 311 10 319 12 320 8 321 60722 57958 16 299 14 300 14 312 9 321 57958 55109 15 307 13 288 16 290 14 300 55109 52420 19 325 13 303 17 297 16 294 52420 50020 26 315 21 314 22 315 17 312 50020 47877 37 311 33 317 33 320 24 324 47877 45940 47 311 43 317 40 318 33 319 45940 44168 52 314 48 321 44 317 43 314 44168 42530 50 318 46 321 43 319 42 313 42530 40997 46 316 42 321 38 321 35 313 40997 39552 42 313 38 319 33 320 28 310 39552 38183 38 317 35 312 30 320 24 311 38183 36852 36 320 31 314 30 314 24 312 36852 35494 35 322 28 319 28 308 26 307 35494 34080 35 321 27 323 25 307 25 303 34080 32611 35 319 28 322 24 309 23 299 32611 31073 32 320 27 322 23 312 23 294 31073 29453 30 323 27 326 22 319 20 293 29453 27751 30 326 26 330 21 326 17 302 27751 25965 28 327 23 332 20 327 16 310 25965 24096 24 328 18 330 17 322 14 312 24096 22148 20 325 14 321 15 314 12 309 22148 20115 16 317 13 312 13 314 11 315 20115 17995 16 314 13 312 12 313 10 317 17995 15828 15 323 12 328 9 330 8 324 15828 13733 10 322 7 330 6 355 5 010 13733 11824 7 303 3 295 2 020 6 068 11824 10131 6 314 3 298 1 065 4 094 10131 8630 6 341 2 350 2 074 1 087 8630 7299 4 359 3 008 3 049 3 335 7299 6120 1 055 2 007 4 025 5 344 6120 5079 3 089 2 017 5 019 6 352 5079 4163 4 079 2 020 7 358 10 338 4163 3357 3 068 3 345 11 338 13 333 3357 2640 2 343 5 311 11 330 14 332 2640 2011 5*286 7*282 9*300 10 317 2011 1489 6*266 9*263 11*259 9 267 1489 1092 6 265 10 262 11 255 11 241 1092 820 6 265 9 262 11 253 10 234 820 655 6 265 9 262 10 253 9*232 655 561 5 266 8 262 8 252 6*231 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography