DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 73.1 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 433 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1251 - - - - - 333 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1026 - - 1251 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1592 - - 1796 - - - - - 878 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 316 - - 393 - - - - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 331 - - - - - 66 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 258 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2247 - - -3542 - - - - - -1583 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3839 - - 5338 - - - - - 2461 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11961 - - -12241 - - - - - -12693 ODpotential blCL - - - 13553 - - 14037 - - - - - 13571 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 59 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 73.1 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 52.0 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 70.7 - - - - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 51.4 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 433 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1251 - - - - - 333 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99464 42 108 37 110 28 111 99464 91970 36 103 34 117 30 107 91970 86187 27 105 33 115 25 098 86187 81389 25 110 28 114 21 102 81389 77273 22 120 26 114 25 102 77273 73631 27 124 17 108 25 100 73631 70333 21 115 15 130 19 107 70333 67310 21 122 17 135 10 125 67310 64517 11 121 20 135 12 137 64517 61822 13 165 12 164 11 144 61822 59018 20 163 20 193 15 180 59018 56120 31 184 36 191 21 197 56120 53361 36 184 40 193 36 201 53361 50897 35 206 47 200 51 201 50897 48708 48 216 52 212 56 201 48708 46724 61 223 66 219 59 213 46724 44895 74 222 74 216 66 217 44895 43191 77 219 74 216 71 217 43191 41593 75 221 74 218 75 217 41593 40084 74 224 73 219 78 219 40084 38657 72 222 69 215 76 219 38657 37274 67 218 63 210 70 217 37274 35869 63 217 60 211 65 215 35869 34413 59 217 57 211 61 215 34413 32907 56 216 55 210 56 214 32907 31336 54 215 53 210 52 212 31336 29686 52 214 52 212 50 213 29686 27955 48 212 48 214 46 215 27955 26148 43 211 43 212 41 211 26148 24267 39 210 40 212 39 206 24267 22309 40 209 41 213 35 204 22309 20262 36 206 37 210 30 200 20262 18123 28 206 33 204 25 197 18123 15938 21 200 25 206 21 202 15938 13831 16 187 19 197 19 197 13831 11916 12 179 19 185 20 194 11916 10216 11 192 17 185 19 194 10216 8705 14 204 16 188 18 192 8705 7361 15 201 16 189 17 189 7361 6167 14 193 15 192 15 191 6167 5111 12 193 13 200 12 197 5111 4183 10 205 11 211 9 209 4183 3368 8 229 7 234 5 262 3368 2646 7 252 8 263 7 322 2646 2014 8*256 10*261 8 299 2014 1491 8*254 12*258 10 255 1491 1093 8 255 12 257 11*238 1093 821 8 255 11 257 11*236 821 656 8 255 11 258 10 234 656 561 7 256 9 258 7 234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography