DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 48.5 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 53 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1416 - - 4292 - - 1946 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 2405 - - 543 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1959 - - 4835 - - 2490 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4445 - - 3009 - - 2876 - - 4145 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 268 - - 154 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 275 - - 265 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -545 - - 1641 - - 536 - - -519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2504 - - 3195 - - 1954 - - 1079 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1942 - - 511 - - -173 - - -1357 ODpotential blCL - - - 3901 - - 4324 - - 2663 - - 1917 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 95 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 140 - - 140 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 48.5 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 36.6 - - 41.2 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 48.2 - - 47.5 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 35.4 - - 40.0 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 53 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1416 - - 4292 - - 1946 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 79 - - 70 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96691 25 100 22 110 24 107 30 114 96691 89538 31 108 19 126 23 103 24 106 89538 83987 23 110 16 106 15 096 20 100 83987 79358 15 095 10 093 12 131 9 055 79358 75357 8 086 8 054 10 095 1 344 75357 71814 3 284 5 334 5 024 4 116 71814 68576 5 203 8 192 5 224 3 304 68576 65570 15 262 8 275 5 211 9 240 65570 62772 17 239 25 254 21 256 22 297 62772 60059 17 296 6 257 18 226 25 262 60059 57207 34 289 28 308 22 318 13 301 57207 54238 39 277 45 286 40 296 36 306 54238 51425 37 284 42 270 46 283 44 289 51425 48895 33 300 38 297 43 293 41 291 48895 46622 55 307 55 308 49 303 49 290 46622 44562 71 300 69 306 59 301 53 298 44562 42675 80 299 77 299 66 298 59 307 42675 40939 91 298 77 295 73 301 74 305 40939 39344 99 296 82 299 89 302 95 301 39344 37871 101 296 93 297 105 298 115 294 37871 36492 99 297 101 296 111 293 119 287 36492 35159 97 298 103 295 109 291 119 282 35159 33802 96 300 101 294 109 292 118 280 33802 32396 96 300 100 295 116 293 121 280 32396 30947 97 299 104 296 123 294 128 282 30947 29438 95 299 108 297 127 295 125 284 29438 27854 92 300 98 298 122 297 117 286 27854 26194 89 302 90 304 107 299 106 292 26194 24460 86 304 88 308 92 301 96 295 24460 22657 83 305 85 310 83 304 93 302 22657 20791 80 306 79 311 76 307 87 307 20791 18857 76 309 68 312 74 310 73 308 18857 16846 73 312 62 317 68 316 63 310 16846 14806 63 315 61 316 54 318 53 318 14806 12851 51 320 49 312 42 310 41 318 12851 11081 37 322 39 310 36 306 32 303 11081 9514 26 317 34 311 24 307 32 286 9514 8124 25 304 28 307 21 309 24 289 8124 6891 25 304 22 297 21 310 18 278 6891 5797 25 308 19*288 20 313 16 269 5797 4829 23 313 18*285 17 317 15 273 4829 3975 22 318 17 281 13 319 12 275 3975 3221 20 324 15 275 10 311 10 269 3221 2547 16*332 13 272 8*294 8 262 2547 1951 11*341 13 270 7*273 7 255 1951 1454 8 349 12 268 7 266 5 246 1454 1072 6 352 12 267 7 264 4 229 1072 810 6 352 11 267 7 262 3 204 810 651 5 353 10 267 6 261 3*184 651 560 4 353 8 266 5 261 2*171 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography