DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 61.8 - - 58.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 70 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1487 - - 4177 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 2548 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2031 - - 4721 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1579 - - 1912 - - 5220 - - 1633 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 285 - - 16 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 216 - - 167 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 34 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -794 - - 734 - - -2233 - - -332 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2825 - - 3988 - - 2794 - - 892 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5170 - - -83 - - -2951 - - -2163 ODpotential blCL - - - 7201 - - 4804 - - 3512 - - 2723 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 95 - - 88 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 70 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 61.8 - - 58.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 46.1 - - 47.5 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 61.4 - - 58.4 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 44.9 - - 46.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 70 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1487 - - 4177 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - 51 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96819 27 085 20 073 33 104 34 096 96819 89650 28 097 18 101 33 098 32 090 89650 84071 24 108 20 118 19 101 25 084 84071 79415 21 111 17 107 15 105 17 078 79415 75405 11 098 14 117 7 115 11 080 75405 71858 7 094 9 107 8 166 7 103 71858 68628 6 343 4 157 4 179 4 106 68628 65650 6 249 3 255 7 223 8 259 65650 62892 9 245 18 238 13 237 12 233 62892 60210 10 221 19 207 14 236 20 205 60210 57368 12 267 12 243 19 239 16 219 57368 54390 27 265 28 259 27 243 25 253 54390 51547 42 251 41 250 41 247 36 248 51547 48986 47 245 45 246 46 241 46 242 48986 46687 48 248 49 246 52 238 51 239 46687 44605 55 247 54 241 57 239 51 235 44605 42708 56 241 55 236 58 238 47 232 42708 40963 53 243 54 234 56 236 43 230 40963 39343 59 243 59 234 57 237 44 232 39343 37829 70 241 69 232 62 238 49 234 37829 36410 81 237 77 230 69 234 55 232 36410 35052 81 234 80 228 72 229 59 228 35052 33690 73 231 86 223 73 225 68 224 33690 32301 70 231 90 221 78 222 81 221 32301 30884 75 229 85 221 82 220 88 220 30884 29414 71 224 82 222 74 220 89 219 29414 27876 66 225 79 223 64 222 82 218 27876 26266 63 224 75 220 62 224 73 217 26266 24584 60 219 74 214 59 221 67 216 24584 22829 59 215 74 212 56 217 63 213 22829 21001 59 211 68 211 50 215 59 207 21001 19096 60 209 60 206 46 217 52 202 19096 17106 59 209 57 203 53 216 50 195 17106 15069 54 210 54 202 57 209 53 191 15069 13095 44 207 50 200 53 201 55 192 13095 11295 35 205 44 196 51 197 56 195 11295 9695 31 204 41 192 49 193 53 196 9695 8276 31 204 37 190 46 192 46 197 8276 7017 30 206 31 190 42 192 40 198 7017 5901 27 209 22 193 37 192 37 197 5901 4914 24 209 19*199 34 190 35 197 4914 4044 21 207 17*204 31 188 34 199 4044 3275 18 204 16 210 27 185 32 200 3275 2587 17*197 16 215 23 182 31 200 2587 1979 16*192 15 219 20 180 28 196 1979 1472 14 190 14 221 17 179 27 190 1472 1083 13 190 14 223 15 178 22 187 1083 815 11 191 13 224 11 176 15 187 815 653 10 191 11 225 9*174 9 187 653 560 6 193 8 227 5*167 2*174 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography