DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 67.4 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 341 - - - - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1248 - - 1523 - - - - - 490 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1048 - - 1398 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1792 - - 2068 - - - - - 1034 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 510 - - 369 - - - - - 1103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 328 - - - - - 106 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 276 - - - - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 303 - - -249 - - - - - -10 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1489 - - 2317 - - - - - 1044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 365 - - -11009 - - - - - -197 ODpotential blCL - - - 1427 - - 13077 - - - - - 1231 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 94 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 67.4 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 59.0 - - - - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 65.3 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 58.4 - - - - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 341 - - - - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1248 - - 1523 - - - - - 490 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 77 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98751 31 124 31 108 28 115 98751 91277 29 117 26 129 30 104 91277 85533 26 128 19 130 21 084 85533 80772 29 129 14 130 10 098 80772 76672 20 118 14 143 11 136 76672 73049 12 129 12 138 14 102 73049 69782 13 132 10 125 9 100 69782 66795 11 115 7 131 9 120 66795 64043 5 116 8 127 8 135 64043 61387 1 186 7 188 8 143 61387 58631 5 215 16 206 12 215 58631 55798 7 233 20 200 21 228 55798 53108 20 242 19 219 30 233 53108 50688 31 241 26 234 34 231 50688 48518 38 248 35 247 36 242 48518 46547 48 254 49 250 54 253 46547 44730 60 254 56 249 61 249 44730 43038 63 253 60 253 65 247 43038 41453 64 263 61 257 69 250 41453 39961 71 267 65 262 70 250 39961 38549 68 269 72 264 66 250 38549 37182 59 273 75 266 63 252 37182 35790 56 277 68 270 57 255 35790 34346 48 283 55 276 54 255 34346 32850 34 276 35 276 48 252 32850 31284 27 265 25 257 38 251 31284 29635 18 258 26 254 30 242 29635 27904 10 234 17 255 29 234 27904 26098 9 210 11 225 21 224 26098 24217 7 211 9 212 16 205 24217 22259 4 214 5 193 15 196 22259 20216 9 199 8 154 15 174 20216 18083 18 185 13 158 22 146 18083 15901 23 169 19 164 24 138 15901 13792 18 157 18 153 23 145 13792 11867 14 139 16 148 24 160 11867 10153 17 127 17 149 21 175 10153 8635 14 111 12 146 14 187 8635 7290 6 107 6 151 10 170 7290 6100 3 098 4 188 10 161 6100 5050 2 144 5 214 10 161 5050 4130 5 169 7 197 9 177 4130 3327 7 203 9 208 8 228 3327 2617 9 240 10*250 13 264 2617 1997 9*258 13*273 14 272 1997 1483 9*265 13 276 13 273 1483 1089 9 268 13 277 12*272 1089 819 8 268 13 277 10*272 819 655 7 269 12 278 9 273 655 561 6 269 10 278 7 272 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography