DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 57.2 - - 54.1 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 49 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 979 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 897 - - 1523 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 656 - - 896 - - 1339 - - 662 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 156 - - 12 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 072 - - 078 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1606 - - -1284 - - -1405 - - -1125 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2504 - - 2807 - - 1965 - - 1685 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9444 - - -6388 - - -6713 - - -10289 ODpotential blCL - - - 10341 - - 7911 - - 7273 - - 10849 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 67 - - 68 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 57.2 - - 54.1 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 47.0 - - 47.7 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 56.7 - - 55.1 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 45.7 - - 46.6 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 49 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 353 - - 979 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96595 46 068 37 065 32 083 31 090 96595 89482 31 071 25 079 22 093 24 068 89482 83992 33 059 24 062 27 077 23 065 83992 79420 25 058 18 063 22 067 24 077 79420 75451 17 073 12 051 21 063 26 068 75451 71925 21 057 12 039 21 049 25 065 71925 68719 19 051 16 063 20 057 27 061 68719 65766 19 037 25 052 28 067 26 065 65766 63031 23 036 25 030 33 044 31 049 63031 60395 29 042 23 037 29 035 26 038 60395 57653 32 033 29 040 32 046 32 044 57653 54812 40 028 41 030 45 035 43 036 54812 52118 49 025 55 031 53 032 50 036 52118 49704 67 024 67 028 58 030 53 037 49704 47530 77 017 65 021 57 024 56 034 47530 45543 70 014 59 021 57 021 62 026 45543 43717 64 018 58 020 60 014 65 020 43717 42027 66 019 66 015 63 009 73 016 42027 40457 70 019 76 011 64 008 74 011 40457 38994 84 024 88 017 76 024 66 015 38994 37628 108 028 117 024 109 031 74 023 37628 36316 108 024 122 024 107 027 81 025 36316 34979 96 013 108 024 106 024 84 024 34979 33583 97 012 96 021 106 022 84 025 33583 32128 93 011 86 012 105 023 83 025 32128 30599 82 005 80 004 100 024 82 025 30599 28983 70 003 81 003 91 021 83 023 28983 27280 53 002 81 005 80 015 80 023 27280 25494 46 001 68 004 77 012 73 022 25494 23629 44 359 54 357 66 012 68 022 23629 21687 44 358 44 347 46 008 60 023 21687 19664 44 000 39 344 38 353 43 021 19664 17561 45 007 37 356 31 340 28 016 17561 15424 45 012 38 008 29 357 25 003 15424 13372 42 015 37 011 32 015 23 009 13372 11509 35 024 30 025 30 023 26 025 11509 9857 30 035 26 039 23 037 21 032 9857 8396 24 045 18 046 17 045 13 030 8396 7101 19 050 12 045 13 036 11 017 7101 5956 16 056 8 038 11 020 12 018 5956 4947 10 080 4 058 9 005 12 021 4947 4061 8 110 4 086 9 005 11 023 4061 3281 7 098 3 055 9 016 10 024 3281 2586 7 068 5 046 9 029 9 025 2586 1975 10 059 7*060 9 049 9 035 1975 1468 12 069 9*070 11 071 10 061 1468 1080 10*073 8 072 11 081 10 083 1080 813 6*072 8 072 9 082 8 090 813 652 5 071 7 073 7 081 5*087 652 560 4 068 5 073 3*078 1*083 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography