DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 60.8 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 191 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3077 - - 3836 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2315 - - 2905 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3621 - - 4381 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2460 - - 2751 - - - - - 3131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 373 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 308 - - - - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 511 - - 735 - - - - - -765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3110 - - 3646 - - - - - 1325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -277 - - 184 - - - - - -2034 ODpotential blCL - - - 3898 - - 4197 - - - - - 2594 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 84 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 240 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 60.8 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 46.9 - - - - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 59.6 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 45.8 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 191 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3077 - - 3836 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 35 - - - - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97315 47 277 60 272 55 281 97315 89957 56 279 57 274 51 281 89957 84256 51 275 47 272 48 277 84256 79522 43 272 36 272 43 277 79522 75459 35 268 30 275 37 274 75459 71870 27 263 33 261 30 272 71870 68612 24 263 34 253 29 281 68612 65617 21 264 30 254 30 275 65617 62841 21 263 26 256 29 265 62841 60144 26 264 26 275 25 260 60144 57320 27 273 28 279 18 274 57320 54387 26 278 24 285 24 302 54387 51591 27 289 24 296 30 302 51591 49076 28 289 30 297 34 308 49076 46823 24 290 34 297 35 309 46823 44779 26 299 36 297 33 311 44779 42905 27 299 34 302 33 318 42905 41177 25 298 32 308 37 331 41177 39579 23 306 30 313 41 332 39579 38092 25 314 28 327 42 336 38092 36701 27 319 32 341 43 338 36701 35363 26 329 40 344 40 344 35363 34014 23 325 44 345 39 352 34014 32630 30 348 47 351 39 359 32630 31213 37 350 52 356 42 006 31213 29740 41 006 50 004 44 009 29740 28194 53 015 55 009 42 011 28194 26575 53 015 59 004 36 005 26575 24881 42 012 56 004 27 005 24881 23109 26 009 51 009 24 008 23109 21255 14 003 43 014 25 002 21255 19314 11 357 29 020 27 006 19314 17282 10 356 18 025 28 011 17282 15203 9 004 10 023 27 014 15203 13197 10 022 9 015 22 019 13197 11372 11 031 7 006 15 015 11372 9756 11 025 4 015 5 359 9756 8325 10 004 3 037 6 330 8325 7057 10 339 4 349 9 320 7057 5933 11 333 8 334 8 330 5933 4938 11 329 8*331 10 339 4938 4061 11*324 8*326 11 340 4061 3288 10*315 9 319 13 340 3288 2596 10 307 9 308 15 338 2596 1985 10 303 9 304 15 333 1985 1476 10 301 9 301 14 324 1476 1085 9 300 9 300 11 310 1085 817 8 299 9 298 9 292 817 654 8 298 8 298 7 278 654 560 7 298 7 298 4*261 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography