DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 49 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 120 - - 1012 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 664 - - 1557 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 498 - - 681 - - 1628 - - 477 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 59 - - 159 - - 9 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 029 - - 272 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1509 - - -1661 - - -1058 - - -148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2173 - - 3219 - - 1619 - - 708 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10473 - - -8473 - - -8009 - - -10343 ODpotential blCL - - - 11137 - - 10030 - - 8570 - - 10903 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 65 - - 76 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 51.2 - - 54.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 62.6 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 49.9 - - 54.0 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 49 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 120 - - 1012 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96522 22 034 22 036 26 076 22 065 96522 89616 37 071 35 080 38 087 43 087 89616 84140 27 076 27 079 30 097 40 094 84140 79574 21 086 18 072 22 092 30 088 79574 75657 19 090 15 082 18 083 25 086 75657 72195 22 085 16 100 15 090 19 077 72195 69049 19 081 18 092 15 096 10 063 69049 66154 9 073 11 078 15 089 8 078 66154 63467 2 007 6 018 10 067 9 068 63467 60867 5 334 7 332 9 026 9 031 60867 58164 10 348 10 335 8 357 7 357 58164 55352 13 359 13 332 11 340 14 332 55352 52647 13 338 18 321 16 327 19 333 52647 50181 11 310 19 311 20 318 20 325 50181 47941 10 302 18 303 21 307 21 313 47941 45894 11 310 16 302 23 302 26 305 45894 44021 15 314 16 304 23 304 27 309 44021 42300 18 309 16 307 19 313 30 322 42300 40707 17 301 21 323 24 330 29 333 40707 39234 17 300 24 320 32 340 34 006 39234 37861 16 311 25 320 42 352 54 011 37861 36536 22 331 24 337 49 350 72 000 36536 35183 29 341 30 354 50 346 73 359 35183 33773 36 351 43 346 43 344 66 008 33773 32309 44 355 45 342 35 339 53 014 32309 30779 44 356 37 346 28 339 31 343 30779 29174 34 357 32 360 20 338 30 328 29174 27486 27 355 23 002 19 328 22 311 27486 25712 24 355 21 334 24 323 21 304 25712 23852 18 345 26 330 29 329 25 304 23852 21916 13 331 21 335 23 340 24 315 21916 19902 9 312 13 341 15 327 18 318 19902 17800 10 295 6 331 13 319 17 312 17800 15653 8 292 3 344 12 323 15 320 15653 13580 5 278 2 339 10 326 10 331 13580 11693 4 260 3 314 7 328 5 338 11693 10017 4 247 5 300 5 331 2 326 10017 8529 4 218 4 261 3 321 1 325 8529 7209 6 198 5 230 2 278 1 142 7209 6040 8 189 6 217 2 229 4 146 6040 5008 8 185 7 208 4 185 6 148 5008 4104 9 175 8 193 5 166 6 146 4104 3310 9 167 7 180 4 148 4 118 3310 2606 5 155 4 162 3 055 4 033 2606 1988 2 084 2*070 4 015 5 012 1988 1476 3 047 2*044 3 324 5 012 1476 1084 3 062 2 033 4 293 2 360 1084 815 3*065 2 023 4 282 1 195 815 653 1*052 1 019 3*276 3 170 653 560 1 043 1 014 3*272 3*159 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography