DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.5 - - 72.4 - - 79.6 - - 73.5 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 108 - - 57 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 2132 - - 742 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1457 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1191 - - 2678 - - 1287 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 139 - - 1160 - - 1399 - - 1097 - - 439 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 143 - - 266 - - 152 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 087 - - 292 - - 275 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6510 - - -5313 - - -6387 - - -5575 - - -1883 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7071 - - 6504 - - 9066 - - 6862 - - 2444 sfcLCL ODpotential -16246 - - -13005 - - -12371 - - -12481 - - -11215 ODpotential blCL 16807 - - 14196 - - 15049 - - 13768 - - 11776 blCL maxRH 23 - - 37 - - 82 - - 35 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.5 - - 72.4 - - 79.6 - - 73.5 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 46.3 - - 42.1 - - 45.7 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 72.0 - - 78.8 - - 73.0 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 44.9 - - 40.9 - - 44.5 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 108 - - 57 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 2132 - - 742 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96554 31 266 34 281 42 285 40 287 40 290 96554 89355 27 283 25 296 30 285 27 294 24 291 89355 83874 22 295 20 296 20 286 23 298 20 305 83874 79331 15 315 14 275 20 273 23 303 19 318 79331 75404 10 293 13 281 19 271 22 302 17 323 75404 71919 12 284 12 272 15 281 16 294 13 313 71919 68756 15 283 8 253 14 267 11 283 13 291 68756 65857 20 282 8 269 15 257 13 262 15 265 65857 63181 24 275 15 282 16 263 17 258 15 270 63181 60595 31 259 26 271 31 271 27 267 24 268 60595 57897 33 252 32 259 34 264 32 263 28 262 57897 55084 33 249 35 249 36 250 34 250 33 253 55084 52384 36 250 38 244 39 240 37 246 40 244 52384 49935 46 251 44 247 44 241 44 247 45 241 49935 47719 50 247 48 242 51 240 52 243 50 242 47719 45690 49 244 47 237 53 235 53 237 55 237 45690 43819 48 245 48 236 51 233 51 236 52 233 43819 42087 43 241 46 232 47 230 49 234 42 234 42087 40486 38 231 39 225 44 224 45 229 39 241 40486 39005 41 229 41 216 41 218 41 224 42 239 39005 37624 50 228 45 213 41 214 41 224 44 231 37624 36298 49 224 48 211 45 209 46 221 44 224 36298 34959 40 222 49 211 49 206 50 216 43 221 34959 33571 39 220 47 210 51 208 49 213 42 223 33571 32133 36 219 44 209 50 208 48 216 42 225 32133 30626 32 219 42 210 43 207 48 219 40 232 30626 29038 32 214 41 211 39 207 43 221 38 234 29038 27370 35 210 39 212 37 208 35 214 33 237 27370 25623 33 214 36 209 34 207 30 204 25 232 25623 23800 29 219 30 206 31 205 26 205 18 218 23800 21904 23 217 26 209 26 202 19 205 14 208 21904 19924 18 210 23 210 23 202 14 191 12 182 19924 17853 14 208 19 213 18 201 12 178 13 170 17853 15728 9 212 14 216 12 207 12 173 12 171 15728 13667 11 202 11 207 9 189 13 175 12 172 13667 11784 11 197 9 193 11 173 11 179 12 173 11784 10106 9 199 6 184 11 177 10 184 12 184 10106 8612 6 205 6 176 10 179 10 191 11 196 8612 7285 3 192 6 168 9 176 10 193 10 207 7285 6108 1 144 6 167 8 176 9 193 9 213 6108 5068 1 148 6 171 7 178 6 195 6 216 5068 4155 1 196 4 175 5 187 3 231 3 250 4155 3352 1 251 3 171 3*214 4 308 4 325 3352 2637 1 342 2 149 3*278 7 300 7 325 2637 2009 2 044 2 115 4 291 12 282 10 303 2009 1488 4 054 4*111 4 293 12*277 12 287 1488 1090 5 058 3*100 5 294 12*275 10 270 1090 819 6 062 2 083 4 295 11 275 9 247 819 655 5*063 2 080 4 296 10 275 7 235 655 561 3*066 2 079 4 295 8 274 4*223 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography