DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 56.0 - - 58.9 - - 59.5 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 116 - - 219 - - 173 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 825 - - 1744 - - 1922 - - 2407 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1115 - - 1558 - - 1814 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 1369 - - 2288 - - 2466 - - 2951 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1859 - - 1871 - - 2083 - - 1197 - - 2693 Hgt.Variab. W* 101 - - 242 - - 308 - - 308 - - 9 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 266 - - 271 - - 273 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 273 - - 469 - - 225 - - -205 - - -665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1096 - - 1819 - - 2241 - - 3157 - - 1225 sfcLCL ODpotential 31 - - 267 - - -132 - - -2643 - - -1169 ODpotential blCL 1338 - - 2021 - - 2598 - - 5594 - - 1729 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 87 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 56.0 - - 58.9 - - 59.5 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.5 - - 49.9 - - 50.9 - - 47.5 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 55.0 - - 57.4 - - 58.4 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 49.2 - - 50.0 - - 46.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 116 - - 219 - - 173 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 825 - - 1744 - - 1922 - - 2407 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 96 - - 76 - - 49 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97762 18 240 21 240 28 247 26 255 22 271 97762 90322 10 261 26 236 19 248 23 257 25 247 90322 84627 12 270 16 250 21 251 25 240 17 245 84627 79909 17 272 12 277 19 262 15 276 19 276 79909 75854 16 281 14 282 17 263 15 291 14 260 75854 72259 15 281 15 272 19 285 15 285 11 298 72259 69001 17 285 12 270 22 274 18 277 20 309 69001 66021 20 285 13 293 17 270 18 285 24 298 66021 63253 19 285 19 286 17 280 26 299 24 288 63253 60552 19 294 22 277 22 277 29 282 27 281 60552 57722 25 275 23 273 25 276 30 255 29 273 57722 54785 27 263 23 269 26 276 27 247 29 268 54785 51984 25 270 26 267 31 268 26 265 28 267 51984 49462 26 269 31 262 40 259 36 276 31 268 49462 47203 29 259 35 258 40 254 43 268 38 264 47203 45153 31 256 34 255 38 253 47 255 48 255 45153 43278 38 250 35 255 39 257 46 248 54 252 43278 41556 44 241 36 256 44 259 48 249 58 252 41556 39965 45 237 39 254 50 258 52 254 70 256 39965 38477 46 239 41 251 55 258 60 257 82 257 38477 37077 48 240 39 248 57 257 71 258 90 255 37077 35720 42 232 38 245 59 255 79 257 94 253 35720 34339 35 218 35 239 59 252 82 255 91 253 34339 32906 36 201 30 227 53 250 80 255 84 255 32906 31428 37 191 28 208 42 245 67 255 71 257 31428 29897 38 182 27 199 31 237 46 251 47 256 29897 28309 38 177 23 190 28 225 28 231 22 248 28309 26664 37 179 24 163 28 221 25 220 8 214 26664 24953 33 182 31 160 28 221 19 201 8 170 24953 23168 28 180 30 170 20 208 16 189 14 146 23168 21306 26 171 27 172 20 178 16 172 16 153 21306 19360 26 168 26 169 23 168 21 156 18 164 19360 17323 25 168 26 170 22 164 22 164 21 171 17323 15241 24 164 26 169 22 168 21 174 20 179 15241 13231 24 160 26 167 21 176 19 178 18 181 13231 11401 24 158 26 166 21 181 16 182 17 178 11401 9774 26 160 26 167 21 182 14 178 17 172 9774 8331 29 163 25 168 20 180 13 170 18 162 8331 7050 31 166 23 168 19 175 14 159 15 154 7050 5916 30 172 19 173 18 168 14 153 9 157 5916 4915 24 183 9 196 11 175 8 176 2 197 4915 4038 16 196 6 261 8 194 6 233 5 287 4038 3267 9 230 7 278 6 223 10*267 12 285 3267 2580 7 268 6*277 8*255 13*272 16 280 2580 1974 7 274 6*270 11*270 14 273 17 277 1974 1469 6*275 5 266 11 271 14 273 16 273 1469 1081 6*276 5 264 12 272 14 273 15 271 1081 815 5 275 5 264 11 272 13 273 13 269 815 653 5 274 4 264 11 272 12 273 10 269 653 560 4 276 4 264 9 272 10 273 6*267 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography