DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 49.4 - - 48.8 - - 45.6 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -12 - - 65 - - 28 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2020 - - 2028 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 543 - - 543 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 2563 - - 2571 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1083 - - 4277 - - 1798 - - 1589 - - 4143 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 19 - - 215 - - 166 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 17 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 229 - - 252 - - 303 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -5 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -653 - - -821 - - 942 - - 979 - - -690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1213 - - 1381 - - 1621 - - 1592 - - 1250 sfcLCL ODpotential -2210 - - -1331 - - 327 - - 386 - - -1639 ODpotential blCL 2770 - - 1891 - - 2236 - - 2185 - - 2199 blCL maxRH 98 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 220 - - 60 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 49.4 - - 48.8 - - 45.6 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 49.7 - - 48.3 - - 45.3 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.8 - - 44.7 - - 42.5 - - 39.5 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -12 - - 65 - - 28 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2020 - - 2028 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 95 - - 94 - - 101 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96822 31 112 25 110 28 104 27 107 23 123 96822 89610 26 110 27 107 19 122 17 099 23 111 89610 84022 16 109 21 111 16 139 5 114 14 089 84022 79377 9 123 12 113 12 142 6 168 12 049 79377 75363 5 056 8 150 6 176 6 111 4 018 75363 71812 9 230 4 212 12 227 4 157 4 095 71812 68575 6 238 2 205 12 233 13 242 7 292 68575 65584 22 252 10 278 6 244 12 228 9 226 65584 62793 31 246 17 262 11 255 13 244 11 241 62793 60061 32 231 30 247 30 256 28 249 22 260 60061 57190 26 240 39 248 36 254 29 265 33 268 57190 54193 38 270 39 262 40 264 40 268 37 271 54193 51314 49 273 46 272 47 267 46 274 45 281 51314 48714 68 275 58 273 61 272 64 274 58 274 48714 46385 77 268 67 271 68 272 65 272 60 280 46385 44282 73 264 74 266 72 269 65 272 65 277 44282 42362 67 268 73 264 69 271 70 279 62 277 42362 40595 67 271 69 272 72 277 77 280 70 281 40595 38957 67 276 78 279 82 276 83 281 69 279 38957 37426 77 279 88 278 89 276 95 279 70 282 37426 35988 89 276 98 274 98 276 102 275 75 281 35988 34604 99 268 110 271 116 272 103 270 78 278 34604 33208 101 258 119 265 127 263 104 265 80 274 33208 31771 84 262 109 260 114 255 101 263 85 272 31771 30303 82 277 91 265 97 261 97 261 93 271 30303 28793 89 282 92 276 100 265 99 260 99 269 28793 27232 93 282 98 280 103 265 105 262 101 264 27232 25621 94 280 99 280 105 265 104 262 103 261 25621 23960 90 280 95 280 105 265 96 261 93 264 23960 22251 82 280 91 279 104 267 90 260 75 267 22251 20479 71 280 76 279 97 269 81 257 76 264 20479 18622 65 283 66 281 80 269 70 252 74 261 18622 16679 59 279 65 280 60 260 64 249 67 261 16679 14693 48 273 61 277 54 252 64 253 57 260 14693 12773 46 270 50 264 52 250 61 258 47 252 12773 11026 45 265 50 264 51 253 51 261 36 254 11026 9473 40 261 49 261 51 255 46 263 42 269 9473 8093 38 254 48 258 52 261 41 262 47 277 8093 6868 34 247 47 253 49 268 31 260 44 280 6868 5779 32 241 48 249 41 272 22 263 39 278 5779 4815 31 240 49 245 34 270 21 282 36 272 4815 3964 31 242 48 243 30 265 24 296 34 266 3964 3214 30 245 47 241 26*261 24*301 33 260 3214 2543 29 248 44 238 22*257 23*302 33 256 2543 1949 28 250 41 237 19 254 21 303 32 253 1949 1453 25 251 36 235 17 251 19 303 29 249 1453 1072 20 249 32 233 15 249 18 303 24 244 1072 810 14 244 26 231 14 248 15 303 18 238 810 651 9*239 22 230 12 247 13 304 14*235 651 560 4*236 13*229 9 245 9 304 8*232 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography