DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 77.7 - - 77.4 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 446 - - 266 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1364 - - 1594 - - 1155 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1252 - - 1507 - - 1067 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1909 - - 2139 - - 1701 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 426 - - 567 - - 707 - - 878 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 362 - - 274 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 260 - - 254 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1981 - - -3831 - - -4199 - - -3076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3890 - - 5971 - - 5900 - - 3637 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12180 - - -13062 - - -13123 - - -14469 ODpotential blCL - - - 14089 - - 15201 - - 14824 - - 15030 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 55 - - 50 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 77.7 - - 77.4 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 53.8 - - 53.8 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 75.1 - - 75.6 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 53.3 - - 53.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 446 - - 266 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1364 - - 1594 - - 1155 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99210 36 108 37 118 31 116 32 110 99210 91674 31 122 28 120 32 095 32 090 91674 85901 26 121 28 112 27 099 28 093 85901 81134 28 117 27 108 26 117 22 109 81134 77020 28 109 27 115 23 114 21 115 77020 73393 20 111 25 115 22 111 21 104 73393 70140 19 107 19 117 19 118 15 099 70140 67170 13 128 12 112 15 129 14 107 67170 64422 20 146 7 152 12 143 12 110 64422 61763 19 148 14 161 12 158 11 145 61763 59011 10 182 11 167 10 169 11 178 59011 56172 17 193 16 206 13 205 8 209 56172 53472 18 195 22 197 22 201 17 227 53472 51060 15 211 20 184 24 192 24 207 51060 48907 17 232 17 230 16 226 18 204 48907 46941 24 241 24 241 22 252 17 242 46941 45121 32 240 31 234 29 254 25 253 45121 43421 37 235 36 232 33 244 30 249 43421 41824 40 233 38 232 36 236 35 243 41824 40316 42 231 40 232 38 235 38 239 40316 38887 44 230 42 231 42 234 41 234 38887 37498 45 229 44 229 44 229 45 230 37498 36080 47 227 47 224 47 229 47 228 36080 34606 52 227 51 226 49 234 49 232 34606 33081 52 230 51 229 49 235 49 234 33081 31490 46 236 46 233 44 237 44 238 31490 29820 37 240 39 234 39 233 37 237 29820 28075 35 236 34 229 36 230 35 234 28075 26256 28 240 29 234 32 236 33 236 26256 24362 22 238 23 234 24 242 26 242 24362 22391 21 234 22 229 19 230 20 228 22391 20336 20 236 21 232 19 224 22 220 20336 18188 19 245 19 240 19 230 21 224 18188 15989 18 241 17 238 16 236 15 233 15989 13868 17 238 14 237 9 237 8 219 13868 11940 13 247 11 247 6 255 3 211 11940 10229 10 259 7 258 3 266 1 308 10229 8712 8 266 5 261 2 251 2 305 8712 7365 6 264 4 261 2 247 3 277 7365 6172 3 269 3 268 1 263 4 280 6172 5117 2 272 3 281 2 294 6 292 5117 4192 2 315 4 315 5 326 9 309 4192 3380 6 330 7 325 10 330 12 321 3380 2659 8 318 7*308 10 318 12 327 2659 2026 7*281 9*271 10*279 11 316 2026 1500 8*260 11 261 12*259 9 283 1500 1099 8 258 11 258 12 255 10 252 1099 824 7 257 11 257 12 253 9 241 824 657 7 257 10 256 11 252 8 237 657 561 6 257 9 256 9 251 6*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography