DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 64.6 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 282 - - 454 - - 317 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 445 - - 1076 - - 1301 - - 1104 - - 656 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1033 - - 1297 - - 1076 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 989 - - 1620 - - 1846 - - 1648 - - 1200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 532 - - 401 - - 405 - - 415 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 275 - - 341 - - 286 - - 104 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 260 - - 265 - - 263 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -170 - - -946 - - -2332 - - -1358 - - -352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1159 - - 2566 - - 4179 - - 3006 - - 1552 sfcLCL ODpotential -9111 - - -8360 - - -9466 - - -9676 - - -10422 ODpotential blCL 10100 - - 9980 - - 11312 - - 11324 - - 11622 blCL maxRH 92 - - 82 - - 70 - - 80 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 64.6 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 54.2 - - 52.7 - - 53.3 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 61.8 - - 66.5 - - 62.6 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 53.5 - - 52.1 - - 53.0 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 282 - - 454 - - 317 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 445 - - 1076 - - 1301 - - 1104 - - 656 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 28 - - 0 - - 21 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98928 35 109 26 105 29 107 27 105 27 106 98928 91464 37 105 28 114 24 106 20 110 27 094 91464 85723 33 093 33 109 21 112 20 106 22 104 85723 80966 24 095 27 101 24 101 20 099 24 105 80966 76872 20 104 21 101 20 101 21 097 21 097 76872 73245 17 096 17 111 19 098 17 106 15 093 73245 69957 12 102 10 118 8 090 12 102 13 098 69957 66933 11 103 13 159 4 128 3 122 9 097 66933 64120 4 088 8 146 3 139 3 127 3 130 64120 61390 1 014 3 175 3 257 1 194 2 280 61390 58553 8 325 5 324 12 277 8 293 7 286 58553 55622 19 302 16 304 17 282 16 295 16 299 55622 52834 23 301 25 307 22 294 26 299 26 295 52834 50323 30 302 32 308 30 300 29 293 29 300 50323 48065 35 299 37 303 30 300 34 295 41 299 48065 46022 35 302 35 302 32 303 38 294 49 296 46022 44160 34 309 33 308 36 308 39 295 48 293 44160 42450 29 307 34 314 38 316 41 297 47 296 42450 40869 23 302 32 317 39 322 43 298 49 295 40869 39392 19 294 30 320 39 324 44 299 51 294 39392 38002 15 288 31 318 37 327 43 298 54 294 38002 36658 13 308 29 312 36 329 42 298 55 294 36658 35292 16 311 25 307 35 330 40 300 52 293 35292 33875 19 308 23 313 34 331 38 303 49 296 33875 32408 22 310 23 317 33 329 35 306 46 297 32408 30878 26 317 23 316 30 330 33 312 41 295 30878 29269 26 326 22 321 30 332 33 316 37 298 29269 27579 24 331 25 326 31 332 32 313 36 301 27579 25809 25 332 29 334 31 331 30 315 35 301 25809 23957 26 336 30 342 31 334 30 320 31 302 23957 22023 26 342 27 343 32 340 28 320 28 307 22023 20001 26 348 23 343 31 348 23 331 25 311 20001 17887 26 347 22 349 26 351 18 341 20 306 17887 15725 23 345 23 355 20 350 16 339 17 314 15725 13642 18 344 21 357 15 360 14 333 15 323 13642 11750 10 342 13 346 11 006 12 329 15 328 11750 10069 4 321 6 330 6 353 9 320 12 332 10069 8577 2 229 4 275 5 267 8 309 9 325 8577 7252 1 186 4 233 5 219 6 298 7 307 7252 6078 1 037 3 216 5 204 6 262 8 278 6078 5041 3 354 2 225 3 209 8 254 11 267 5041 4130 6 329 3 265 7 256 8 261 12 271 4130 3328 8 319 5 269 10 261 10 263 12 280 3328 2615 8 309 8 249 12 259 13 262 12 283 2615 1992 7 267 9*250 12*262 13*263 12 270 1992 1479 8 246 9*257 13*264 14*262 12*259 1479 1087 7*247 9 260 13 265 14 263 11*257 1087 818 5*247 9 261 12 266 13 263 11 256 818 654 5 247 8 263 12 266 12 263 10 256 654 561 4 249 7 263 10 266 10 263 7 257 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography