DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 70.9 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 344 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2184 - - 3141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1726 - - 2608 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2728 - - 3686 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 894 - - 1202 - - - - - 1711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 421 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 314 - - - - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 11 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1646 - - -2283 - - - - - -2866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4374 - - 5969 - - - - - 3427 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8679 - - -8327 - - - - - -9790 ODpotential blCL - - - 11407 - - 12013 - - - - - 10351 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 56 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 70.9 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 46.7 - - - - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 68.9 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 45.5 - - - - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 344 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2184 - - 3141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98170 7 242 12 287 3 252 98170 90698 3 223 11 287 11 305 90698 84978 7 318 2 304 7 295 84978 80247 6 294 8 293 9 332 80247 76177 8 250 10 268 12 015 76177 72569 7 286 10 260 23 339 72569 69312 4 068 7 181 24 306 69312 66327 25 317 4 307 16 279 66327 63526 33 293 20 293 15 279 63526 60782 26 278 31 282 25 300 60782 57922 24 274 34 279 32 298 57922 54960 34 280 40 286 31 298 54960 52145 44 287 46 288 38 306 52145 49641 50 289 47 289 45 300 49641 47420 49 292 47 296 40 304 47420 45429 58 301 52 304 53 311 45429 43636 52 290 53 299 47 301 43636 41988 40 302 37 307 30 322 41988 40449 49 326 54 333 47 345 40449 39010 73 329 77 336 69 340 39010 37657 86 322 81 331 69 333 37657 36346 88 314 70 328 64 328 36346 35006 87 311 66 322 65 326 35006 33609 81 314 63 317 67 329 33609 32156 74 317 59 316 67 332 32156 30633 72 322 57 315 58 327 30633 29028 68 325 56 319 47 320 29028 27340 60 328 54 324 41 323 27340 25567 54 334 55 327 40 327 25567 23709 52 341 54 327 43 327 23709 21771 51 347 46 327 46 330 21771 19751 44 344 37 329 43 329 19751 17651 36 334 33 334 37 316 17651 15517 33 335 31 340 32 314 15517 13465 32 346 29 347 28 323 13465 11602 30 354 28 355 26 333 11602 9947 28 358 25 359 23 340 9947 8480 26 359 21 004 21 346 8480 7178 23 355 19 007 19 351 7178 6024 21 348 19 001 18 352 6024 5004 20 344 18 349 18 349 5004 4107 19 342 15*333 18 344 4107 3318 17*337 14*325 18 340 3318 2616 13*327 14 320 18 337 2616 1998 12 324 13 314 16 331 1998 1484 11 321 13 310 14 318 1484 1090 10 320 12 307 11 299 1090 819 9 318 12 306 10 287 819 655 9 317 11 306 8*278 655 561 7 314 9 304 5*267 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography