DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.3 - - 64.3 - - 73.0 - - 72.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 109 - - 159 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1008 - - 3192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 2329 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1553 - - 3738 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 274 - - 1007 - - 1695 - - 4107 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 196 - - 327 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 26 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 065 - - 330 - - 351 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 5 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -702 - - -3190 - - -3568 - - -6132 - - -1697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1262 - - 4743 - - 7307 - - 6694 - - 2258 sfcLCL ODpotential -10499 - - -9553 - - -9341 - - -11449 - - -9394 ODpotential blCL 11059 - - 11106 - - 13079 - - 12011 - - 9955 blCL maxRH 75 - - 55 - - 50 - - 36 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.3 - - 64.3 - - 73.0 - - 72.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.0 - - 45.8 - - 43.1 - - 45.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.9 - - 63.5 - - 71.9 - - 72.8 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 45.1 - - 42.4 - - 44.4 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 109 - - 159 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1008 - - 3192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96515 44 287 49 281 44 301 38 293 39 294 96515 89523 25 300 24 281 30 296 24 294 33 310 89523 84083 24 307 19 317 17 277 25 284 32 314 84083 79518 25 293 21 309 10 278 23 281 26 306 79518 75566 20 288 20 291 11 283 13 280 16 293 75566 72078 18 294 19 298 16 282 9 288 8 298 72078 68921 19 312 15 297 21 284 16 299 14 325 68921 66008 19 308 12 315 16 294 17 301 20 313 66008 63297 19 320 14 323 12 305 15 296 21 304 63297 60658 23 320 16 317 15 307 14 294 20 303 60658 57895 23 302 19 300 18 290 18 304 21 311 57895 55025 27 290 23 285 24 292 23 315 18 320 55025 52287 33 279 29 279 29 299 29 323 17 326 52287 49822 37 270 37 275 35 301 33 321 17 352 49822 47608 44 274 35 282 35 296 32 322 29 357 47608 45601 44 280 38 286 31 301 38 324 37 352 45601 43762 43 286 38 287 40 311 39 308 46 343 43762 42059 41 285 39 291 42 303 28 306 45 333 42059 40474 40 287 40 295 37 296 32 320 39 325 40474 38997 42 292 40 294 33 313 39 339 34 009 38997 37624 44 293 36 289 36 320 53 006 68 027 37624 36308 44 292 32 297 38 322 69 015 83 022 36308 34969 45 291 36 310 36 324 72 014 86 020 34969 33570 47 289 36 314 33 342 62 015 80 023 33570 32117 49 286 36 320 38 357 50 011 69 026 32117 30598 48 282 37 318 42 356 39 355 56 028 30598 29003 41 280 36 319 38 348 36 344 42 013 29003 27333 34 282 36 321 34 341 36 338 38 357 27333 25583 33 291 36 320 30 344 38 332 36 345 25583 23753 36 301 36 321 27 347 38 330 37 337 23753 21845 37 307 36 327 26 349 35 332 38 331 21845 19851 37 310 34 333 27 351 33 334 36 329 19851 17764 36 319 36 337 28 352 32 339 32 329 17764 15629 35 334 36 349 27 357 26 352 28 330 15629 13569 34 350 32 007 23 004 23 011 25 333 13569 11693 30 003 27 018 21 014 24 013 22 345 11693 10027 25 022 21 020 20 029 24 011 20 359 10027 8549 22 042 17 017 15 027 22 016 19 015 8549 7236 17 038 15 010 15 006 20 020 17 029 7236 6072 16 013 16 008 16 006 20 019 18 038 6072 5044 17 006 17 009 15 007 18 023 18 039 5044 4139 16 008 17 009 12*360 16 029 17 036 4139 3344 16 012 17 011 10*349 13 033 14 029 3344 2635 14 015 14 015 9 337 10 029 7 022 2635 2012 12 015 10*020 9 329 7 021 3 020 2012 1492 9 015 4*037 8 323 5 010 2 043 1492 1094 6 020 1 078 8 320 5 003 1 061 1094 821 2 049 1 095 7 317 4 357 1 207 821 655 2 133 1 099 7 316 3*354 3*207 655 561 3*145 1 106 6 315 3*351 3*203 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography