DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 68.0 - - 64.6 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 371 - - 269 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1044 - - 1145 - - 946 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 914 - - 1146 - - 923 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1589 - - 1689 - - 1491 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 451 - - 440 - - 300 - - 837 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 307 - - 258 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 267 - - 265 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -61 - - -1330 - - -1270 - - -623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1650 - - 3020 - - 2761 - - 1184 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9296 - - -9077 - - -9934 - - -11153 ODpotential blCL - - - 10885 - - 10766 - - 11425 - - 11714 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 78 - - 80 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 68.0 - - 64.6 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 56.7 - - 54.5 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 65.7 - - 62.9 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 55.8 - - 54.0 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 371 - - 269 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1044 - - 1145 - - 946 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 14 - - 22 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98551 5 043 15 067 12 069 13 053 98551 91080 13 100 10 078 12 071 11 069 91080 85353 15 101 10 099 13 071 17 077 85353 80614 19 090 13 100 12 068 20 077 80614 76541 16 083 14 103 15 070 18 072 76541 72965 10 091 15 081 15 083 16 075 72965 69743 10 110 10 080 13 085 14 069 69743 66780 12 109 4 099 9 074 12 055 66780 64027 10 090 4 094 5 069 9 044 64027 61353 4 055 3 039 3 055 5 035 61353 58551 3 305 6 284 6 284 7 330 58551 55629 6 276 10 283 10 283 11 292 55629 52836 12 281 14 286 14 309 16 320 52836 50334 13 291 15 313 19 323 20 328 50334 48114 16 314 15 316 19 338 23 348 48114 46129 13 343 23 351 26 354 38 004 46129 44335 27 359 28 001 44 004 57 000 44335 42689 36 011 43 007 63 003 75 358 42689 41152 46 015 49 009 72 003 73 355 41152 39700 46 017 51 008 61 002 63 353 39700 38325 39 013 49 010 47 001 54 352 38325 36988 31 006 43 006 41 005 48 353 36988 35620 23 004 35 006 36 007 45 354 35620 34193 20 005 30 009 33 003 38 357 34193 32709 17 007 24 358 26 360 33 350 32709 31154 16 010 19 351 23 350 29 343 31154 29518 11 021 14 353 21 340 24 340 29518 27799 5 034 5 343 16 338 20 334 27799 25997 2 304 4 272 9 323 15 325 25997 24115 6 295 8 295 10 303 10 308 24115 22157 5 310 6 318 10 312 10 311 22157 20117 3 314 3 353 7 324 7 321 20117 17989 2 079 2 094 2 010 3 324 17989 15818 5 088 6 107 4 104 1 120 15818 13727 6 120 5 102 6 095 4 108 13727 11826 9 148 5 137 4 090 4 089 11826 10134 8 150 6 156 3 138 1 057 10134 8630 4 155 3 183 3 176 2 295 8630 7293 2 170 2 204 2 195 3 279 7293 6108 3 246 3 241 2 244 5 288 6108 5063 7 258 6 265 4 280 7 301 5063 4145 10 265 8 277 7 293 10 310 4145 3339 10 275 9 287 9 303 12 319 3339 2622 9 287 9 284 10 300 12 327 2622 1995 10*283 10*272 12*281 10 314 1995 1478 9*265 11*267 13*267 9 266 1478 1085 8 262 12 266 13 264 10 243 1085 817 8 261 11 267 12 264 10 240 817 654 8 261 11 267 12 264 9*239 654 561 6 260 9 267 9 263 6*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography