DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 65.6 - - 73.6 - - 71.0 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 72 - - 136 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 703 - - 2195 - - 877 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1536 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1248 - - 2740 - - 1422 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 158 - - 933 - - 1141 - - 2336 - - 596 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 152 - - 274 - - 79 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 083 - - 329 - - 270 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3915 - - -5931 - - -5773 - - -4573 - - -1670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4475 - - 7179 - - 8513 - - 5995 - - 2231 sfcLCL ODpotential -16729 - - -16336 - - -13876 - - -12012 - - -11267 ODpotential blCL 17289 - - 17584 - - 16616 - - 13434 - - 11828 blCL maxRH 37 - - 40 - - 73 - - 41 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 65.6 - - 73.6 - - 71.0 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 36.8 - - 38.7 - - 47.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 65.0 - - 72.6 - - 71.5 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 36.0 - - 37.9 - - 46.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 72 - - 136 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 703 - - 2195 - - 877 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96327 45 283 39 295 44 280 45 282 46 281 96327 89299 21 296 29 291 23 284 27 290 31 294 89299 83887 15 311 22 280 25 292 15 310 22 286 83887 79385 13 295 13 264 25 286 12 310 15 271 79385 75473 10 294 10 253 21 275 19 287 11 288 75473 72000 11 322 8 272 17 265 21 273 14 295 72000 68858 17 325 9 310 10 270 14 281 16 299 68858 65971 18 308 13 329 9 288 11 291 15 311 65971 63289 19 317 16 346 4 328 7 276 15 319 63289 60693 18 316 21 338 14 339 11 329 16 327 60693 58004 13 340 17 337 13 345 14 332 16 323 58004 55234 23 353 17 001 15 357 19 327 20 321 55234 52594 33 357 22 000 19 349 24 335 22 317 52594 50207 39 003 34 356 25 358 29 338 21 314 50207 48053 43 006 36 001 32 355 26 341 19 319 48053 46081 55 007 41 008 38 003 30 348 24 330 46081 44263 58 012 49 006 44 360 39 345 34 338 44263 42578 62 018 52 004 45 355 47 342 45 341 42578 41008 67 018 51 005 42 356 47 341 49 343 41008 39537 64 017 48 007 40 360 43 344 46 343 39537 38150 55 017 46 006 38 358 39 348 41 345 38150 36808 49 013 46 002 37 355 36 350 39 348 36808 35441 49 007 44 001 37 354 34 350 37 349 35441 34018 48 005 43 359 34 351 27 349 35 350 34018 32542 44 005 38 357 30 344 23 345 27 344 32542 30998 41 008 32 351 28 335 21 336 20 340 30998 29373 39 018 29 351 28 332 27 332 20 338 29373 27669 38 021 27 353 28 334 28 325 25 331 27669 25888 34 015 24 355 23 336 23 325 25 323 25888 24030 30 030 21 359 17 338 20 327 24 325 24030 22092 25 022 19 004 14 339 21 334 22 334 22092 20065 30 004 20 358 18 346 23 344 22 345 20065 17945 34 009 24 001 23 356 24 354 22 357 17945 15778 32 013 25 010 24 006 23 008 20 016 15778 13689 27 015 19 014 21 016 21 025 20 031 13689 11788 23 016 16 013 17 017 18 030 20 035 11788 10097 20 014 16 014 15 017 16 028 19 034 10097 8596 19 012 16 015 15 020 14 028 19 030 8596 7264 18 011 15 016 14 022 13 029 18 026 7264 6087 17 008 15 016 13 022 13 028 17 024 6087 5050 17 008 15 015 13 022 13 027 16 020 5050 4143 16 008 14 014 12 016 10 027 14 018 4143 3346 14 007 13 011 8*005 6 019 10 016 3346 2637 11 003 10 010 5*350 4 002 6 021 2637 2012 8 358 7 019 4 333 3 318 6 030 2012 1492 4 352 4*054 3 326 4*285 6 043 1492 1094 2 350 3*082 3 320 4*273 5 057 1094 821 1 042 2 084 3 316 4 271 3 070 821 656 1 109 2 081 3 314 4 268 1*119 656 561 1*131 1 085 2 314 4 266 2*178 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography