DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 58.7 - - 61.3 - - 63.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 20 - - 77 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 147 - - 678 - - 955 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 691 - - 1223 - - 1499 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 874 - - 1105 - - 1020 - - 1367 - - 875 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 60 - - 155 - - 148 - - 4 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 288 - - 262 - - 289 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -487 - - 21 - - 298 - - 297 - - -12 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1048 - - 670 - - 925 - - 1202 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential -6134 - - -217 - - 110 - - -184 - - -2436 ODpotential blCL 6695 - - 908 - - 1113 - - 1683 - - 2997 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 58.7 - - 61.3 - - 63.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.2 - - 60.4 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.8 - - 58.5 - - 60.7 - - 63.5 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.1 - - 57.4 - - 58.6 - - 59.8 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 20 - - 77 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 147 - - 678 - - 955 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 84 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 18 098 16 100 11 136 16 079 12 102 96490 89365 10 089 16 108 9 117 14 099 11 069 89365 83847 6 053 7 080 8 015 4 043 11 019 83847 79257 2 331 6 090 7 069 8 074 10 023 79257 75300 8 345 10 348 11 334 14 343 17 350 75300 71838 17 318 12 358 7 311 12 317 17 352 71838 68719 21 327 22 333 15 323 13 325 18 356 68719 65842 32 323 30 319 30 311 26 309 25 320 65842 63188 41 304 33 309 37 311 41 307 33 304 63188 60612 39 284 38 298 43 308 48 305 36 298 60612 57903 43 285 46 293 47 297 50 297 47 295 57903 55078 52 283 49 285 48 282 55 289 59 294 55078 52378 52 276 51 280 52 272 59 280 63 279 52378 49954 51 275 58 279 59 274 60 281 61 272 49954 47788 71 280 69 275 69 273 71 271 73 276 47788 45830 82 272 76 268 74 264 79 265 83 272 45830 44043 81 269 72 267 72 260 85 262 85 269 44043 42391 80 273 74 273 79 262 85 268 83 270 42391 40849 82 274 77 269 85 263 85 272 81 270 40849 39402 86 271 81 266 85 266 84 271 80 270 39402 38032 85 268 80 266 85 267 80 269 79 272 38032 36699 81 269 79 269 83 270 76 269 75 274 36699 35338 79 272 77 271 79 270 74 268 72 272 35338 33917 79 274 73 271 76 270 72 266 69 270 33917 32441 79 275 71 270 76 270 69 266 69 268 32441 30893 78 273 70 269 78 270 68 266 70 268 30893 29263 76 271 72 266 74 268 69 263 69 271 29263 27551 77 267 74 263 73 267 71 260 68 272 27551 25756 80 265 75 262 75 265 73 260 61 271 25756 23882 76 263 75 265 73 268 71 264 57 272 23882 21939 70 265 71 267 69 270 68 269 56 270 21939 19921 64 268 66 268 68 270 66 273 57 269 19921 17813 61 267 63 271 63 269 62 276 55 273 17813 15660 49 270 43 273 54 271 55 275 55 279 15660 13583 30 271 28 277 39 272 41 277 44 284 13583 11699 22 272 24 265 29 267 33 282 31 292 11699 10027 21 277 24 264 26 268 30 280 26 291 10027 8545 18 273 21 273 18 282 21 288 23 296 8545 7228 13 268 15 270 12 300 12 297 15 294 7228 6063 12 274 12 263 8 303 5 284 8 273 6063 5035 14 289 11 267 7 296 3 278 6 247 5035 4133 17 292 11 265 6 293 1 267 4 235 4133 3339 18 280 10 263 6 292 1 350 1 231 3339 2631 15 266 10 253 7 283 3 340 1 350 2631 2007 11 259 9 249 7 272 4*316 4 332 2007 1488 9 255 8 255 5*264 5*295 6 317 1488 1092 6 248 5 271 4*262 5 289 5 289 1092 820 2 222 3*284 4 262 5 287 5 243 820 655 2*155 3*288 3 261 5 286 5*226 655 561 1*184 3 288 3 260 4 285 3*220 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography