DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 61.7 - - 63.9 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 281 - - 114 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2944 - - 4333 - - 4430 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2291 - - 3445 - - 3045 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3488 - - 4877 - - 4974 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 899 - - 985 - - 3274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 439 - - 331 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 355 - - 016 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -326 - - -565 - - -934 - - -3363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3814 - - 5443 - - 5908 - - 3925 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9959 - - -8453 - - -8544 - - -11667 ODpotential blCL - - - 13447 - - 13330 - - 13518 - - 12228 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 65 - - 64 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 61.7 - - 63.9 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 39.9 - - 40.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 60.2 - - 63.1 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 38.7 - - 38.9 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 281 - - 114 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2944 - - 4333 - - 4430 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96707 30 281 39 277 32 276 30 274 96707 89408 30 267 37 261 34 273 25 281 89408 83878 13 283 16 273 17 259 21 266 83878 79335 14 299 12 304 7 208 13 230 79335 75399 23 283 24 284 14 286 9 317 75399 71887 20 273 27 271 26 281 21 301 71887 68704 10 282 17 275 21 273 24 290 68704 65779 16 305 15 282 16 279 22 281 65779 63061 25 295 21 288 20 308 23 291 63061 60429 31 292 25 291 26 300 25 299 60429 57673 37 289 34 295 32 292 30 304 57673 54794 43 279 46 290 42 291 40 293 54794 52033 45 276 51 285 50 289 45 289 52033 49540 47 279 51 282 52 285 48 288 49540 47301 48 283 52 282 51 287 47 289 47301 45275 49 289 52 286 50 295 46 288 45275 43434 54 297 52 290 51 296 45 292 43434 41760 55 294 53 294 52 293 48 291 41760 40223 51 290 53 294 52 294 47 296 40223 38792 49 292 53 292 52 292 46 301 38792 37442 48 293 52 291 50 293 44 302 37442 36130 49 296 51 296 48 299 44 302 36130 34789 50 301 52 301 49 302 45 301 34789 33392 52 303 54 303 50 303 46 301 33392 31940 53 302 56 305 52 306 47 305 31940 30419 55 300 57 306 55 310 49 312 30419 28817 55 299 57 305 57 311 51 316 28817 27133 56 297 57 306 58 311 52 318 27133 25364 56 297 56 311 58 314 51 320 25364 23516 52 297 51 312 53 318 48 323 23516 21596 46 298 44 309 43 316 43 326 21596 19602 42 304 41 312 38 316 36 328 19602 17527 42 311 38 318 36 320 33 328 17527 15410 43 316 36 323 32 325 30 330 15410 13365 41 319 34 326 30 335 27 337 13365 11502 35 326 30 334 28 344 26 346 11502 9847 29 332 28 343 27 354 24 356 9847 8381 28 339 26 352 26 006 21 010 8381 7087 24 348 21 000 22 021 18 024 7087 5946 16 349 13 010 14*032 14 028 5946 4943 13 353 9*007 11*028 12 018 4943 4064 13*354 9*005 11 025 12 015 4064 3290 12*353 9 001 11 020 13 015 3290 2599 12 352 9 357 10 014 14 015 2599 1987 12 351 9 354 10 010 15 013 1987 1477 12 349 9 351 10 008 14 010 1477 1086 11 348 9 349 9 005 13 006 1086 817 10 348 8 348 9 005 10 359 817 654 9 347 8 347 8 004 8*353 654 561 8 347 7 346 7 003 4*341 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography