DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 56.6 - - 60.2 - - 60.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 20 - - 57 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 652 - - 2119 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1196 - - 2663 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1935 - - 2303 - - 2271 - - 4895 - - 1149 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 99 - - 212 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 254 - - 235 - - 035 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -68 - - 401 - - 805 - - -1248 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 629 - - 795 - - 1858 - - 1809 - - 733 sfcLCL ODpotential -1316 - - 103 - - 330 - - -1815 - - -2217 ODpotential blCL 1877 - - 1093 - - 2333 - - 2376 - - 2778 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 97 - - 89 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 200 - - 170 - - 130 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 56.6 - - 60.2 - - 60.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 55.0 - - 53.9 - - 54.5 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 56.4 - - 59.6 - - 61.1 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.7 - - 54.6 - - 52.8 - - 53.4 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 20 - - 57 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 652 - - 2119 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 102 - - 89 - - 57 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96381 11 312 12 319 20 300 17 326 15 296 96381 89390 11 016 7 036 6 022 8 336 18 047 89390 83963 7 061 7 066 10 033 6 038 13 036 83963 79431 8 052 8 042 6 063 7 044 9 028 79431 75506 11 085 7 044 5 069 2 083 8 024 75506 72018 9 082 4 125 4 020 6 033 7 073 72018 68857 5 005 10 119 6 230 3 327 1 100 68857 65961 0 152 10 075 7 183 4 009 3 203 65961 63277 8 248 7 334 7 206 6 270 4 310 63277 60670 8 218 6 239 17 196 19 218 15 200 60670 57932 18 237 15 223 13 192 19 190 16 186 57932 55056 31 220 27 229 16 224 23 205 22 203 55056 52283 36 216 35 216 26 224 28 202 29 195 52283 49780 38 220 39 213 28 215 23 197 26 190 49780 47535 40 218 40 212 28 219 23 207 24 204 47535 45484 37 212 42 210 32 220 33 203 30 205 45484 43593 36 220 38 203 37 211 34 194 35 191 43593 41847 48 229 34 200 40 207 33 196 37 190 41847 40230 65 225 36 211 44 211 36 209 42 202 40230 38721 82 217 51 217 46 214 47 217 52 208 38721 37302 98 214 62 218 55 214 64 214 63 207 37302 35938 101 211 72 217 67 212 84 212 81 204 35938 34564 103 211 84 215 81 213 100 209 101 202 34564 33145 113 212 99 213 97 213 108 208 112 201 33145 31678 119 212 113 213 107 213 106 209 106 202 31678 30151 116 210 118 213 103 213 100 210 93 202 30151 28555 112 209 115 210 96 211 87 208 86 199 28555 26886 107 206 104 207 89 207 80 205 83 199 26886 25142 100 204 92 207 80 208 78 205 73 201 25142 23325 90 203 83 210 71 209 69 208 60 196 23325 21435 76 202 86 211 67 204 59 206 54 191 21435 19466 67 201 84 210 61 202 51 201 48 191 19466 17410 61 195 68 206 57 207 44 195 39 191 17410 15313 63 186 51 188 52 204 41 189 33 179 15313 13292 68 183 56 176 43 194 40 185 34 168 13292 11456 68 189 54 182 32 191 34 185 38 170 11456 9828 54 202 35 199 21 200 23 185 29 175 9828 8386 26 212 17 196 16 202 12 187 22 175 8386 7109 11 230 12 183 14 185 9 187 16 167 7109 5973 8 244 11 176 11 178 10 177 12 151 5973 4969 5 258 9 177 8 176 11 158 9 136 4969 4085 5 270 7 180 6 180 10 145 6 136 4085 3306 6 281 5 192 5*185 7 132 3 131 3306 2609 8 283 4 212 3*201 5 109 2 082 2609 1994 7 281 4 234 2 226 4 076 4 062 1994 1481 6 280 6*251 2 243 4 060 6 065 1481 1088 5 273 6*253 2 251 4 050 7 063 1088 818 4 257 6 254 2 256 3 045 6 052 818 654 3*236 5 254 2 256 3*040 3*034 654 561 2*220 4 254 2 257 3*035 2*021 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography