DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 72.2 - - 77.8 - - 73.2 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 147 - - 227 - - 90 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 612 - - 826 - - 599 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 771 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 698 - - 1157 - - 1371 - - 1145 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 407 - - 333 - - 489 - - 423 - - 705 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 187 - - 234 - - 156 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 331 - - 276 - - 277 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -738 - - -2848 - - -4376 - - -2964 - - -2424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1436 - - 4005 - - 5747 - - 4109 - - 2985 sfcLCL ODpotential -11310 - - -10290 - - -10434 - - -10143 - - -11043 ODpotential blCL 12008 - - 11447 - - 11805 - - 11288 - - 11604 blCL maxRH 85 - - 90 - - 84 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 72.2 - - 77.8 - - 73.2 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.1 - - 56.9 - - 55.0 - - 57.3 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 71.2 - - 76.2 - - 72.4 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 55.9 - - 54.3 - - 56.7 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 147 - - 227 - - 90 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 612 - - 826 - - 599 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 59 - - 38 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99421 31 108 34 104 25 102 29 102 29 099 99421 91925 33 102 34 109 25 116 26 102 23 094 91925 86141 26 100 24 109 24 112 20 091 23 091 86141 81333 26 111 16 110 22 099 19 105 17 087 81333 77201 25 115 16 114 19 099 19 112 17 097 77201 73568 17 121 16 115 16 095 20 110 15 090 73568 70286 14 136 19 128 14 117 15 108 11 075 70286 67265 15 141 19 134 16 132 18 123 11 110 67265 64470 12 140 15 159 16 151 13 132 19 137 64470 61779 12 153 24 167 19 179 12 170 14 143 61779 58986 18 177 24 177 28 177 19 185 10 195 58986 56101 25 181 29 185 27 182 28 177 24 192 56101 53363 31 199 35 192 32 200 26 192 29 183 53363 50910 37 202 42 191 45 197 41 208 32 195 50910 48725 45 211 43 195 53 192 53 199 43 205 48725 46754 54 216 46 203 54 191 53 192 48 199 46754 44943 58 213 49 208 52 194 48 191 46 193 44943 43252 64 207 48 207 49 199 45 195 45 195 43252 41661 71 200 57 204 49 197 45 200 44 198 41661 40159 71 196 67 199 53 198 49 200 44 198 40159 38735 69 193 78 195 57 199 58 200 48 195 38735 37355 68 193 82 192 60 199 67 197 55 195 37355 35953 66 194 70 191 59 199 67 195 60 196 35953 34499 63 194 49 187 51 193 59 195 58 193 34499 32993 60 201 44 180 47 187 47 197 53 190 32993 31419 48 210 41 183 40 185 42 189 46 191 31419 29767 32 204 38 187 36 186 42 181 39 191 29767 28033 27 204 35 191 39 182 36 180 36 191 28033 26215 25 201 32 193 36 177 32 179 36 189 26215 24315 28 196 26 192 31 175 31 182 36 185 24315 22339 29 191 21 194 26 181 28 183 32 192 22339 20285 31 186 21 197 22 196 20 178 19 197 20285 18150 36 175 21 203 19 225 9 241 7 187 18150 15980 32 162 27 169 12 240 10 277 2 269 15980 13891 18 170 24 174 10 216 7 194 1 280 13891 11984 19 200 22 203 16 185 16 172 3 198 11984 10281 22 214 22 216 18 175 18 169 8 193 10281 8764 23 225 23 213 17 174 16 170 12 190 8764 7414 17 230 23 199 17 174 15 174 14 187 7414 6214 11 207 23 188 17 175 14 175 14 176 6214 5152 9 181 24 186 14 173 12 173 11 168 5152 4220 8 183 22 189 10 178 11 178 4 157 4220 3400 5 214 19 194 7 209 7 201 2 022 3400 2670 5 248 13 202 9 250 7 260 5 339 2670 2030 6 255 8 218 11 270 10 277 8 304 2030 1501 7 251 4*247 10*276 10*280 7 295 1501 1099 7 251 3*328 10*276 8*278 2 300 1099 824 6*253 3 331 10 276 8 277 0 289 824 657 5*256 3 332 9 276 7 277 0 250 657 561 4 257 3 332 7 277 6 277 0*253 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography