DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.7 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 452 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3201 - - 2905 - - - - - 1013 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2441 - - 2501 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3746 - - 3450 - - - - - 1557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 870 - - 895 - - - - - 1383 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 445 - - - - - 93 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 276 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 725 - - -569 - - - - - -1057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3021 - - 4019 - - - - - 2614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 436 - - -11703 - - - - - -13828 ODpotential blCL - - - 3310 - - 15153 - - - - - 15385 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 86 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.7 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 51.0 - - - - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 64.5 - - - - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 50.4 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 452 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3201 - - 2905 - - - - - 1013 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 43 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99081 29 118 26 107 22 116 99081 91577 32 110 23 118 26 095 91577 85807 25 105 18 105 24 084 85807 81011 19 118 17 118 22 086 81011 76876 18 111 18 119 14 082 76876 73226 13 100 13 107 10 116 73226 69921 7 119 7 101 12 099 69921 66884 3 106 3 058 11 058 66884 64074 5 017 2 320 8 359 64074 61382 2 340 9 288 6 261 61382 58598 17 329 14 314 6 188 58598 55711 27 310 25 298 24 316 55711 52977 32 305 27 299 43 298 52977 50539 42 307 38 317 51 294 50539 48371 52 311 58 320 60 294 48371 46415 57 311 67 310 63 298 46415 44617 54 314 64 307 66 306 44617 42944 53 318 60 307 71 309 42944 41372 55 320 57 310 72 311 41372 39890 55 320 56 310 72 313 39890 38488 54 317 54 308 71 314 38488 37129 53 315 54 306 68 310 37129 35745 51 314 54 307 62 304 35745 34303 50 313 54 307 62 303 34303 32806 49 310 52 308 62 302 32806 31236 48 305 49 308 61 298 31236 29583 48 299 49 309 61 294 29583 27846 49 296 47 307 60 295 27846 26023 53 295 47 296 57 300 26023 24115 57 294 50 293 55 301 24115 22122 59 294 54 295 56 302 22122 20042 59 297 55 300 52 306 20042 17877 53 306 51 303 46 306 17877 15677 46 309 45 303 44 307 15677 13565 42 304 40 306 37 313 13565 11656 38 305 33 310 25 320 11656 9971 28 306 26 311 18 313 9971 8481 20 300 21 306 18 314 8481 7165 16 294 17 307 17 326 7165 6004 14 299 13 318 14 330 6004 4982 9 303 10 329 12 323 4982 4088 9*298 9*313 12 320 4088 3304 10*295 10*297 13 315 3304 2607 11 288 13 281 13 306 2607 1992 12 285 15 274 15*291 1992 1481 12 284 15 272 15*279 1481 1088 12 282 15 271 15 274 1088 819 11 281 15 270 14 271 819 654 11 280 14 269 12 269 654 561 8 280 11 268 8 266 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography