DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 58.9 - - 65.9 - - 65.2 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 85 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 163 - - 1506 - - 1242 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 707 - - 2051 - - 1787 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 768 - - 1116 - - 1734 - - 568 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 72 - - 215 - - 118 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 280 - - 318 - - 286 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2949 - - -3535 - - -3301 - - -1672 - - -117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3509 - - 4243 - - 5352 - - 3459 - - 677 sfcLCL ODpotential -14286 - - -11414 - - -9720 - - -4906 - - -5769 ODpotential blCL 14846 - - 12121 - - 11771 - - 6693 - - 6329 blCL maxRH 43 - - 53 - - 59 - - 65 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 58.9 - - 65.9 - - 65.2 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 42.9 - - 44.9 - - 52.3 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 58.6 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 41.7 - - 43.7 - - 51.3 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 85 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 163 - - 1506 - - 1242 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96727 26 127 13 071 10 101 17 107 23 110 96727 89614 24 092 23 096 17 106 24 120 17 089 89614 84111 23 097 18 106 14 103 18 103 8 090 84111 79530 16 089 16 124 6 093 11 083 9 064 79530 75572 12 047 13 118 5 144 3 360 14 043 75572 72064 6 359 4 089 5 122 2 194 8 030 72064 68894 4 256 2 001 2 291 1 163 4 031 68894 65981 5 237 5 267 4 274 3 211 4 330 65981 63273 9 276 12 257 12 291 8 273 8 278 63273 60646 14 255 14 255 18 269 13 276 13 289 60646 57898 12 251 15 256 22 266 25 291 24 297 57898 55044 21 277 17 269 25 268 33 276 36 279 55044 52327 22 272 18 262 21 254 29 278 30 272 52327 49877 28 300 25 307 22 285 34 283 32 276 49877 47658 39 301 39 300 37 293 34 279 35 275 47658 45638 47 312 45 305 41 302 38 296 49 298 45638 43821 60 314 58 313 62 311 65 311 64 307 43821 42180 46 306 58 306 48 302 70 301 72 302 42180 40661 23 293 44 295 27 288 34 287 53 294 40661 39234 22 310 25 282 25 300 14 263 54 284 39234 37878 34 345 24 301 26 317 19 292 50 286 37878 36562 56 349 25 325 31 318 29 314 40 287 36562 35220 58 343 22 318 28 313 31 313 36 295 35220 33821 53 343 22 291 24 297 26 307 38 301 33821 32366 46 343 35 284 24 275 18 291 40 304 32366 30837 30 335 36 282 31 270 16 272 36 294 30837 29223 19 310 24 273 35 275 30 275 40 279 29223 27522 20 289 26 272 34 274 47 294 44 280 27522 25734 25 291 32 280 34 267 55 298 47 289 25734 23866 31 291 37 288 37 274 50 300 47 293 23866 21924 33 287 37 296 43 281 38 292 42 285 21924 19896 29 291 33 294 38 279 37 275 39 278 19896 17778 24 292 26 284 31 269 37 278 39 277 17778 15621 18 273 21 277 24 263 31 271 34 279 15621 13547 13 258 21 268 20 266 25 266 30 273 13547 11663 8 266 19 265 18 281 20 266 26 270 11663 9992 5 303 14 270 14 295 15 273 22 275 9992 8510 7 332 9 273 12 299 11 286 17 282 8510 7196 6 347 7 282 10 302 10 296 13 289 7196 6033 4 355 5 293 9 311 9 302 10 304 6033 5008 3 328 4 304 8 326 8 315 9 323 5008 4110 2 269 3 309 7 342 7 330 9 341 4110 3321 2 228 3 309 7 351 7 333 12 351 3321 2617 2 216 3 324 7*353 7 317 15 352 2617 1998 1 190 4 338 5*335 9*295 17 351 1998 1482 1 121 3 348 4 317 9*289 13 344 1482 1088 2 065 1 004 3 314 9 286 8 318 1088 818 3 046 1*302 3 309 9 284 6 272 818 654 2 036 1*275 3 309 8 284 5 237 654 560 2*070 1 283 3 309 6 282 4*224 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography