DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 75.9 - - 72.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 407 - - 265 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 1097 - - 959 - - 530 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 889 - - 1130 - - 925 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1495 - - 1642 - - 1504 - - 1074 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 288 - - 385 - - 324 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 311 - - 257 - - 120 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 275 - - 270 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -592 - - -2879 - - -2147 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2087 - - 4521 - - 3651 - - 1368 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9865 - - -10340 - - -10206 - - -11608 ODpotential blCL - - - 11360 - - 11982 - - 11710 - - 12682 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 64 - - 71 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 75.9 - - 72.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 58.1 - - 58.2 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 73.4 - - 70.5 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 57.5 - - 57.8 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 407 - - 265 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 1097 - - 959 - - 530 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99146 37 112 30 108 32 096 39 098 99146 91664 29 113 23 098 26 119 24 088 91664 85921 24 102 26 114 23 112 21 108 85921 81151 19 092 27 104 19 113 24 100 81151 77042 17 115 21 099 21 102 23 091 77042 73423 25 123 17 112 17 098 21 089 73423 70155 15 101 15 110 15 098 18 086 70155 67165 12 100 9 113 12 099 12 105 67165 64406 8 115 8 148 9 122 9 113 64406 61738 6 163 8 220 3 183 5 126 61738 58965 7 217 10 244 6 266 2 188 58965 56097 16 232 18 236 18 247 13 261 56097 53373 18 259 17 235 29 225 30 238 53373 50930 27 259 24 243 25 230 29 224 50930 48725 39 254 40 260 34 259 34 253 48725 46712 49 245 54 248 56 248 59 249 46712 44860 48 247 53 245 56 244 66 240 44860 43136 50 259 52 252 60 246 65 243 43136 41528 57 263 56 255 62 248 66 250 41528 40024 60 265 56 257 56 247 58 248 40024 38612 57 265 52 259 45 252 48 245 38612 37252 49 264 44 259 36 253 39 245 37252 35868 34 254 32 250 29 239 31 240 35868 34428 28 237 30 233 32 219 28 239 34428 32930 22 243 33 232 33 220 29 240 32930 31361 18 254 31 231 33 225 31 237 31361 29708 12 262 16 233 24 221 29 224 29708 27971 10 267 11 234 12 207 25 202 27971 26163 10 266 9 237 10 219 13 153 26163 24278 9 264 7 247 8 223 8 154 24278 22305 6 250 5 243 4 217 8 154 22305 20244 4 205 3 172 5 168 10 162 20244 18096 6 167 6 154 8 164 13 170 18096 15908 7 169 7 161 9 167 12 176 15908 13802 9 180 8 174 8 174 8 172 13802 11885 10 171 9 179 8 183 6 170 11885 10183 11 159 12 176 11 180 9 189 10183 8674 9 151 12 173 12 176 14 187 8674 7334 7 151 11 175 13 173 15 178 7334 6144 6 168 11 180 12 176 12 180 6144 5094 7 180 11 185 10 184 7 207 5094 4171 8 180 10 189 6 205 4 278 4171 3359 7 184 8 203 5 261 8 292 3359 2638 4 209 6 239 9 283 12 277 2638 2006 4*266 8*272 12*281 13 272 2006 1485 4*269 9*274 13*273 13 265 1485 1090 5 269 10 275 13 270 11*259 1090 819 5 270 10 275 12 269 10*258 819 655 4 271 9 275 11 268 9 257 655 561 4 272 8 275 9 268 7 257 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography