DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.3 - - 69.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 364 - - 211 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1122 - - 1268 - - 1002 - - 189 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 994 - - 1232 - - 884 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1667 - - 1813 - - 1547 - - 734 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 525 - - 603 - - 421 - - 591 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 316 - - 244 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 257 - - 248 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2126 - - -3348 - - -2961 - - -1567 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3793 - - 5161 - - 4508 - - 2301 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10440 - - -10866 - - -10530 - - -11226 ODpotential blCL - - - 12107 - - 12679 - - 12077 - - 11960 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 57 - - 59 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.3 - - 69.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 50.8 - - 51.7 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 69.2 - - 67.9 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 49.8 - - 51.0 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 364 - - 211 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1122 - - 1268 - - 1002 - - 189 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98150 4 141 1 022 5 210 5 257 98150 90671 8 175 4 228 0 325 2 012 90671 84943 4 147 11 214 4 347 4 047 84943 80210 7 083 11 206 5 307 5 036 80210 76137 6 065 4 157 2 202 4 329 76137 72555 5 338 5 026 2 049 4 360 72555 69328 6 283 4 331 7 336 7 014 69328 66366 7 258 6 272 10 311 8 325 66366 63618 7 268 9 262 13 295 14 305 63618 60943 7 266 14 248 17 277 17 288 60943 58144 7 289 13 245 19 262 21 274 58144 55259 10 284 8 256 14 257 18 254 55259 52532 7 313 8 295 10 269 14 258 52532 50093 8 311 13 290 16 282 18 276 50093 47908 5 277 13 270 19 269 22 274 47908 45912 6 344 15 313 18 289 20 280 45912 44081 17 341 17 314 21 300 24 298 44081 42408 18 334 15 314 21 306 25 307 42408 40868 15 322 17 317 20 312 22 310 40868 39427 10 316 18 316 19 311 22 319 39427 38066 9 017 16 313 19 313 23 326 38066 36743 14 026 17 317 22 320 20 327 36743 35393 14 018 21 319 24 323 18 322 35393 33986 12 012 22 314 24 321 18 314 33986 32524 10 008 22 309 23 320 21 311 32524 30991 10 359 20 304 22 317 23 314 30991 29376 9 342 17 300 22 315 24 318 29376 27677 11 335 20 309 20 319 23 320 27677 25892 10 340 16 316 19 330 22 321 25892 24025 8 327 14 315 17 332 20 326 24025 22078 12 328 13 313 16 329 18 329 22078 20047 11 338 11 312 14 323 16 329 20047 17928 9 341 11 313 12 317 16 332 17928 15764 8 336 9 317 11 313 14 329 15764 13677 8 335 7 317 9 320 14 328 13677 11778 10 343 8 333 9 338 11 338 11778 10094 10 008 8 353 11 350 10 347 10094 8600 10 024 8 007 12 353 11 350 8600 7275 11 021 8 003 13 354 13 348 7275 6100 12 010 10 357 12 357 14 340 6100 5062 11 001 10 354 11 357 15 331 5062 4151 10 355 11 340 12 344 15 324 4151 3349 9 345 11 328 13 334 14 323 3349 2635 7 327 9 310 11 322 13 322 2635 2007 6*287 10*275 10*280 11 300 2007 1487 7*264 11*259 12*251 12 265 1487 1090 7 261 11 257 13 248 13 243 1090 819 7 263 11 257 12 247 12*235 819 655 6 262 10 256 12 246 10*231 655 561 5 263 9 256 9 247 6 229 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography