DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.8 - - 62.2 - - 62.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 9 - - 125 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 1705 - - 962 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1163 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 661 - - 2249 - - 1506 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 798 - - 837 - - 1285 - - 579 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 51 - - 249 - - 118 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 139 - - 266 - - 280 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1728 - - -3614 - - -514 - - -1571 - - -63 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2288 - - 4275 - - 2764 - - 3078 - - 623 sfcLCL ODpotential -7941 - - -7650 - - -4554 - - -5200 - - -5858 ODpotential blCL 8501 - - 8311 - - 6803 - - 6706 - - 6418 blCL maxRH 54 - - 48 - - 79 - - 66 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.8 - - 62.2 - - 62.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 46.4 - - 52.2 - - 51.5 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 62.8 - - 61.2 - - 62.7 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 45.2 - - 51.1 - - 50.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 9 - - 125 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 1705 - - 962 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96161 9 184 7 078 6 254 2 347 4 157 96161 89106 15 096 2 109 9 082 9 108 15 109 89106 83690 20 093 4 135 11 095 10 123 16 100 83690 79170 17 072 9 100 12 115 8 129 11 070 79170 75257 10 064 12 107 8 124 6 142 9 052 75257 71802 7 095 10 109 4 131 4 163 6 027 71802 68678 6 125 4 121 3 173 6 172 6 294 68678 65797 8 182 9 202 9 233 4 179 6 246 65797 63100 10 181 15 207 12 243 5 249 10 247 63100 60469 9 187 15 210 11 225 11 254 15 253 60469 57721 11 231 12 237 9 219 14 252 15 251 57721 54864 13 243 16 261 10 254 14 245 13 241 54864 52125 14 256 14 266 16 269 12 236 13 227 52125 49641 16 270 13 255 19 261 13 234 14 233 49641 47394 15 265 16 236 20 249 17 236 14 244 47394 45341 15 258 17 228 23 237 20 238 14 258 45341 43457 15 254 15 234 22 232 19 245 10 292 43457 41719 13 257 15 258 19 231 15 269 18 318 41719 40106 12 260 16 280 15 242 18 299 25 314 40106 38604 12 263 16 287 6 240 15 306 25 322 38604 37201 15 244 16 273 3 058 14 345 29 347 37201 35857 17 230 13 261 15 016 25 002 45 008 35857 34506 14 241 6 292 26 003 54 017 67 015 34506 33113 12 200 9 003 18 348 57 016 89 010 33113 31668 21 157 11 344 11 347 50 006 92 009 31668 30152 25 156 5 180 12 327 27 000 83 013 30152 28567 31 161 16 157 6 270 18 002 42 015 28567 26920 32 161 17 146 8 142 9 360 13 021 26920 25205 30 167 20 159 10 138 4 160 9 066 25205 23408 27 181 18 155 12 158 8 147 11 088 23408 21529 21 177 13 137 11 136 7 146 5 191 21529 19569 16 168 9 156 10 136 8 164 10 269 19569 17523 13 179 8 180 8 144 9 172 11 281 17523 15428 18 187 11 191 9 197 6 177 7 281 15428 13405 20 181 18 189 15 212 5 195 3 277 13405 11565 17 174 20 185 16 202 8 204 1 233 11565 9928 16 171 19 186 15 190 9 195 2 165 9928 8471 15 170 17 183 14 183 9 179 4 142 8471 7173 14 169 16 176 12 175 9 176 4 143 7173 6020 13 170 15 170 10 171 9 181 4 162 6020 5000 12 179 14 172 7 176 8 189 4 182 5000 4103 11 195 13 180 4 196 5 202 2 199 4103 3313 9 211 11 188 7 249 3 254 2 355 3313 2609 8 230 9 194 9*261 6 288 3 343 2609 1989 7 245 7 194 8*266 6*288 4 317 1989 1476 6 243 9 186 8 266 6*282 7 285 1476 1084 3 214 9 173 8 265 6 280 10 266 1084 816 3 146 6*156 7 266 6 279 9 251 816 653 5 128 5*150 6 265 5 279 7 242 653 560 4*132 2 127 5 265 4 279 4*233 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography