DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 63.1 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 56 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 969 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 561 - - 1514 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 849 - - 625 - - - - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 158 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 287 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -82 - - 277 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 643 - - 1237 - - - - - 561 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4297 - - 59 - - - - - -9100 ODpotential blCL - - - 4858 - - 1455 - - - - - 9661 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 63.1 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.6 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 62.6 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 59.0 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 56 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 969 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 93 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96396 16 050 13 049 4 007 96396 89385 10 031 12 026 11 073 89385 83941 11 002 10 322 13 022 83941 79378 5 017 5 347 6 358 79378 75419 2 062 7 307 13 350 75419 71916 11 030 2 046 10 342 71916 68751 20 333 14 339 3 102 68751 65840 29 308 34 299 21 358 65840 63156 25 316 31 283 31 310 63156 60578 29 305 28 276 37 294 60578 57896 34 279 32 290 43 292 57896 55102 38 284 44 297 47 294 55102 52416 60 287 59 299 65 306 52416 49985 81 282 85 292 80 303 49985 47801 84 284 94 286 84 293 47801 45819 84 293 89 284 84 290 45819 44015 96 294 87 289 79 294 44015 42363 100 294 87 296 68 298 42363 40834 99 296 85 299 60 302 40834 39398 96 296 82 300 55 306 39398 38040 91 296 78 298 51 309 38040 36719 85 299 71 297 51 315 36719 35372 82 306 65 299 53 316 35372 33966 77 310 59 306 55 313 33966 32506 73 311 59 303 54 309 32506 30975 72 313 54 304 51 308 30975 29360 66 312 56 320 47 311 29360 27660 58 303 52 320 47 310 27660 25873 64 295 51 311 48 306 25873 23999 66 297 57 304 52 303 23999 22044 63 303 59 303 54 306 22044 20005 59 305 58 305 55 310 20005 17878 53 308 58 311 52 316 17878 15709 48 311 58 314 49 319 15709 13621 44 315 53 319 48 321 13621 11723 36 311 45 319 41 321 11723 10039 31 307 38 317 36 320 10039 8546 28 306 33 322 35 322 8546 7222 21 303 27 328 34 327 7222 6049 15 308 22 333 28 329 6049 5018 14 324 20 337 20 328 5018 4116 18 332 21 338 12 325 4116 3325 20 329 20 340 8 326 3325 2621 17 323 15 343 7 331 2621 2000 12 315 11*338 7 327 2000 1484 7 300 6*305 8 312 1484 1089 3 278 5 285 9 295 1089 818 0 179 5 280 8 280 818 654 1*069 5 279 6*267 654 561 0*043 4 277 3*256 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography