DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 71.3 - - 68.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 443 - - 250 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2278 - - 2578 - - 1847 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1888 - - 2242 - - 1532 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2823 - - 3123 - - 2392 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1033 - - 1132 - - 859 - - 1360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 423 - - 312 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 271 - - 267 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -185 - - -881 - - -682 - - -324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3008 - - 4004 - - 3075 - - 885 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1735 - - -2299 - - -4000 - - -5648 ODpotential blCL - - - 4558 - - 5422 - - 6392 - - 6209 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 81 - - 86 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 71.3 - - 68.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 55.7 - - 56.8 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 69.0 - - 66.8 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 55.4 - - 56.6 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 443 - - 250 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2278 - - 2578 - - 1847 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 25 - - 43 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98978 16 113 13 099 12 079 15 082 98978 91580 20 091 20 094 13 106 13 090 91580 85843 22 093 17 091 21 096 16 097 85843 81068 19 086 17 094 13 077 19 085 81068 76962 9 073 12 076 15 088 15 071 76962 73345 6 100 3 103 11 058 13 078 73345 70070 3 052 2 360 3 061 7 050 70070 67053 6 239 7 288 2 009 6 057 67053 64241 9 218 13 256 8 269 2 021 64241 61510 10 224 16 239 17 261 12 299 61510 58670 16 240 17 244 20 263 23 277 58670 55741 29 275 27 270 30 278 30 282 55741 52978 39 275 34 273 37 283 37 291 52978 50523 46 280 42 264 44 270 38 284 50523 48333 48 266 39 289 41 284 39 286 48333 46347 43 305 47 297 44 289 42 281 46347 44526 59 300 47 292 47 286 43 280 44526 42842 58 299 50 295 50 288 44 283 42842 41275 58 299 53 292 52 286 45 285 41275 39806 56 300 53 290 51 283 42 285 39806 38419 54 309 53 295 47 283 38 283 38419 37071 60 316 55 299 46 289 35 287 37071 35694 63 317 56 303 47 291 35 288 35694 34257 60 315 53 306 47 293 35 285 34257 32761 57 313 51 310 46 298 35 279 32761 31193 55 312 49 307 45 301 35 276 31193 29539 56 313 49 303 43 300 35 275 29539 27802 53 311 48 300 40 295 35 277 27802 25981 48 305 47 297 40 293 34 284 25981 24074 44 307 43 292 40 294 33 291 24074 22085 36 297 37 285 37 289 34 292 22085 20014 36 274 36 277 36 280 35 286 20014 17859 34 272 36 273 36 280 34 286 17859 15671 27 270 32 277 32 283 30 289 15671 13573 28 265 28 269 26 285 26 285 13573 11675 23 267 21 264 22 280 20 284 11675 9996 21 258 17 253 15 272 15 285 9996 8513 20 243 16 245 12 255 10 265 8513 7202 18 237 16 245 12 243 9 241 7202 6043 14 242 15 242 11 237 8 237 6043 5019 11 247 12 236 10 235 7 244 5019 4119 9 249 9 241 9 240 6 260 4119 3327 7*256 9*260 9 252 7 281 3327 2622 7*262 10*266 10*264 9 285 2622 2001 7 265 11 270 11*267 12 281 2001 1486 7 266 11 271 12 267 12 276 1486 1091 7 268 12 272 12 267 10 269 1091 820 6 268 11 273 12 268 9 266 820 655 6 269 11 273 11 268 8*264 655 561 5 269 9 273 9 268 5*263 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography