DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 83.8 - - 76.7 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 351 - - 197 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1206 - - 2199 - - 828 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1061 - - 1899 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1751 - - 2745 - - 1373 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 808 - - 2100 - - 470 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 373 - - 222 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 287 - - 266 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5163 - - -6027 - - -4978 - - -1812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6915 - - 8773 - - 6351 - - 2373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13353 - - -12597 - - -12659 - - -11890 ODpotential blCL - - - 15104 - - 15342 - - 14032 - - 12451 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 33 - - 46 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 83.8 - - 76.7 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 47.4 - - 51.2 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 81.6 - - 75.2 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 46.7 - - 50.8 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 351 - - 197 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1206 - - 2199 - - 828 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 7 092 7 092 17 139 3 136 98845 91420 14 133 5 133 7 105 10 099 91420 85659 11 103 14 133 5 091 14 070 85659 80884 10 073 16 110 12 092 13 076 80884 76807 13 082 17 109 11 083 14 094 76807 73216 15 093 14 109 11 090 14 092 73216 69957 14 095 11 116 6 067 11 058 69957 66959 6 117 4 106 4 035 7 027 66959 64177 6 107 7 176 10 249 6 296 64177 61491 10 276 3 288 11 240 11 272 61491 58698 16 258 15 270 14 251 16 258 58698 55805 24 268 28 266 27 261 26 262 55805 53056 32 266 37 260 36 255 36 259 53056 50587 41 262 44 261 47 259 49 259 50587 48370 47 264 50 262 54 257 59 257 48370 46352 50 262 50 262 58 256 64 257 46352 44499 48 260 46 263 59 256 64 257 44499 42785 45 260 44 264 56 254 59 256 42785 41192 38 261 40 262 46 255 54 256 41192 39705 31 267 35 257 41 260 44 253 39705 38310 32 268 28 265 38 264 38 259 38310 36963 31 265 27 276 36 261 36 263 36963 35594 32 264 26 276 31 267 34 266 35594 34173 33 264 26 273 28 278 30 269 34173 32698 30 267 27 271 25 277 27 273 32698 31151 27 273 27 271 23 271 26 270 31151 29520 23 277 25 270 24 270 25 265 29520 27812 23 274 25 269 25 269 23 262 27812 26023 23 273 25 272 25 270 22 259 26023 24151 20 273 24 272 22 272 21 257 24151 22196 15 277 17 269 15 258 16 248 22196 20156 11 272 13 266 8 247 14 241 20156 18031 15 263 16 259 12 258 14 248 18031 15859 16 258 19 252 17 258 14 255 15859 13762 13 251 16 251 13 259 10 246 13762 11855 12 238 15 245 12 250 11 237 11855 10164 11 242 11 243 11 239 10 225 10164 8666 7 251 6 233 8 212 10 198 8666 7338 3 248 4 195 8 186 13 179 7338 6158 3 189 6 165 9 159 13 160 6158 5114 5 166 7 151 6 140 7 124 5114 4195 8 163 5 140 4 098 7 077 4195 3384 9 160 3*133 3 037 6 045 3384 2660 6 160 1*293 4 355 6 011 2660 2024 1*170 4 292 7 298 7 338 2024 1497 2*299 6 287 11*272 7 298 1497 1095 2 301 6 286 11*267 6 260 1095 821 2 302 7 285 11 266 6 245 821 656 2 301 6 284 10 265 5 240 656 561 2 300 6 283 8 265 3*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography