DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 60.0 - - 65.7 - - 63.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 207 - - 415 - - 273 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 836 - - 1586 - - 1853 - - 1497 - - 678 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1297 - - 1682 - - 1315 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 1380 - - 2130 - - 2397 - - 2042 - - 1222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 822 - - 555 - - 572 - - 516 - - 829 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 283 - - 372 - - 301 - - 99 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 275 - - 277 - - 272 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 289 - - 303 - - -516 - - -632 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1091 - - 1827 - - 2914 - - 2674 - - 1406 sfcLCL ODpotential 138 - - 357 - - -6649 - - -7249 - - -8575 ODpotential blCL 1242 - - 1773 - - 9046 - - 9291 - - 9797 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 88 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 60.0 - - 65.7 - - 63.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 54.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.9 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 58.7 - - 63.5 - - 62.1 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 53.2 - - 54.3 - - 53.6 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 207 - - 415 - - 273 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 836 - - 1586 - - 1853 - - 1497 - - 678 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 102 - - 59 - - 51 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 16 092 16 120 18 124 17 153 9 084 98465 90970 19 126 5 154 14 139 8 057 17 096 90970 85193 13 145 7 144 11 119 7 034 15 108 85193 80436 3 142 9 159 6 038 9 099 12 128 80436 76357 3 202 11 189 7 323 5 142 3 109 76357 72746 6 250 4 181 11 251 8 237 8 308 72746 69467 9 246 4 286 13 226 9 243 8 293 69467 66441 7 254 8 264 11 226 9 259 8 289 66441 63629 6 275 11 244 11 245 13 260 11 281 63629 60907 10 287 13 252 15 264 16 265 16 268 60907 58071 16 280 18 265 19 269 19 264 19 263 58071 55138 20 278 20 268 21 258 24 261 20 270 55138 52359 22 273 20 276 19 249 24 256 22 274 52359 49869 21 264 23 281 13 249 20 253 23 268 49869 47639 17 258 21 270 12 266 15 264 20 262 47639 45623 13 260 15 256 12 268 14 284 14 265 45623 43796 11 255 10 250 8 266 11 296 10 272 43796 42128 7 238 8 218 5 283 9 298 9 288 42128 40587 5 229 7 185 4 294 7 294 9 289 40587 39145 6 224 6 193 5 278 8 292 8 286 39145 37785 9 219 9 208 7 264 10 288 10 282 37785 36466 9 230 9 215 9 263 12 286 11 278 36466 35119 10 248 8 234 9 272 11 295 9 284 35119 33715 8 269 6 251 7 280 9 306 7 305 33715 32258 4 288 2 213 1 194 6 314 6 331 32258 30732 2 314 3 129 4 107 2 353 6 348 30732 29123 3 003 4 121 5 131 2 163 4 322 29123 27432 3 259 4 138 4 138 2 132 3 264 27432 25659 3 216 4 123 4 103 2 093 3 254 25659 23809 2 175 3 098 2 062 2 043 2 276 23809 21883 3 210 1 276 1 048 2 033 4 288 21883 19874 4 209 3 237 5 194 3 183 5 235 19874 17779 7 210 6 223 9 212 7 199 6 225 17779 15642 7 213 7 213 11 196 10 199 6 224 15642 13577 7 192 7 179 14 177 12 184 9 194 13577 11697 6 189 8 161 14 171 14 170 11 183 11697 10025 7 190 7 148 12 159 13 156 12 175 10025 8539 7 169 6 128 9 141 11 146 10 166 8539 7219 8 144 8 114 7 127 9 141 8 158 7219 6047 10 127 9 109 7 124 8 144 8 148 6047 5013 11 118 9 116 7 137 7 144 6 134 5013 4104 10 133 8 148 5 161 3 132 4 100 4104 3308 9 175 7 195 4 222 1 258 1 347 3308 2603 10 232 9*256 11*273 9*277 8 283 2603 1986 10 259 9*272 13*276 13*273 13 276 1986 1475 8*267 9 275 13 277 13 272 12*272 1475 1085 6*268 9 276 13 277 13 272 11*269 1085 817 5 268 9 277 13 277 13 272 10 268 817 654 5 268 8 278 12 276 12 272 9 268 654 561 4 269 7 278 10 276 10 272 7 267 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography