DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 63.3 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 156 - - 235 - - 103 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 1144 - - 661 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1038 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1257 - - 1689 - - 1206 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 272 - - 582 - - 705 - - 563 - - 431 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 199 - - 267 - - 170 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 287 - - 283 - - 282 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -682 - - -1920 - - -2954 - - -3401 - - -659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1242 - - 3177 - - 4644 - - 4607 - - 1220 sfcLCL ODpotential -11278 - - -9940 - - -9509 - - -10107 - - -9243 ODpotential blCL 11838 - - 11197 - - 11198 - - 11313 - - 9804 blCL maxRH 77 - - 69 - - 57 - - 54 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 63.3 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.5 - - 50.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 62.0 - - 68.0 - - 67.4 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 50.3 - - 50.2 - - 49.3 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 156 - - 235 - - 103 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 1144 - - 661 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 46 286 34 301 42 288 43 281 48 284 96592 89345 23 307 24 283 34 280 36 288 36 297 89345 83860 18 309 21 275 26 279 25 295 26 303 83860 79331 21 293 17 286 21 289 19 301 17 321 79331 75419 22 290 15 301 19 283 20 304 17 311 75419 71950 19 276 15 296 16 268 19 298 21 316 71950 68794 18 271 14 282 13 275 17 293 21 321 68794 65867 21 276 14 276 17 283 18 291 19 300 65867 63147 20 271 14 278 19 276 21 278 21 286 63147 60515 24 269 19 285 20 272 21 263 23 270 60515 57763 32 260 29 273 28 267 25 262 24 264 57763 54892 39 251 37 255 37 257 32 264 30 260 54892 52135 43 246 41 245 42 251 39 258 34 256 52135 49649 44 245 43 240 42 250 40 253 33 259 49649 47426 43 251 40 241 43 252 38 254 36 265 47426 45421 45 255 37 250 41 248 36 258 38 266 45421 43604 42 252 34 261 34 251 34 262 33 268 43604 41950 30 263 32 269 26 259 32 256 34 262 41950 40428 29 283 28 280 22 276 22 256 27 238 40428 39009 26 290 24 287 22 290 19 269 19 240 39009 37665 22 314 19 295 19 290 21 264 19 256 37665 36358 21 320 17 305 14 292 21 250 21 265 36358 35021 19 312 14 309 13 288 19 236 20 266 35021 33625 17 300 14 321 12 284 18 226 18 258 33625 32173 17 302 12 316 7 267 21 242 17 251 32173 30653 20 296 14 279 14 251 21 252 16 252 30653 29052 24 284 19 270 19 256 23 244 17 256 29052 27370 26 278 19 268 20 249 23 241 18 254 27370 25611 25 280 18 261 21 238 22 241 17 245 25611 23778 21 280 18 259 19 243 19 239 14 238 23778 21870 16 271 16 262 16 248 13 244 13 229 21870 19879 11 265 12 263 11 238 11 225 11 218 19879 17802 6 252 9 252 9 225 10 209 8 210 17802 15681 2 266 5 236 7 225 7 219 6 221 15681 13629 2 002 4 254 5 238 6 242 6 253 13629 11755 3 348 5 305 4 282 4 270 6 269 11755 10084 3 329 4 321 2 318 3 298 6 271 10084 8598 1 246 1 258 2 227 2 276 5 268 8598 7278 3 218 3 182 4 197 2 229 5 255 7278 6108 4 212 4 177 5 180 3 190 4 233 6108 5074 3 204 4 174 5 168 3 156 2 205 5074 4164 1 169 4 172 4 159 2 111 4 059 4164 3361 1 116 3 183 2 144 3 056 7 044 3361 2644 1 148 3 208 1 323 4 018 7 022 2644 2013 2 195 3 246 4*296 4 339 7 003 2013 1489 3 237 3*273 6*285 5*295 5 342 1489 1091 4 252 4*283 6 283 6*283 5 282 1091 819 4 261 4 288 6 282 6 282 6 253 819 654 3 261 4 288 6 282 6 282 5*247 654 561 3*257 3 289 5 283 5 281 3*244 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography