DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 66.3 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 29 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1027 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1572 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 362 - - 1226 - - 1564 - - 474 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 142 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 302 - - 018 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3432 - - -3489 - - -2328 - - -636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3992 - - 5061 - - 2889 - - 1197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12464 - - -10631 - - -9503 - - -10489 ODpotential blCL - - - 13024 - - 12203 - - 10064 - - 11050 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 73 - - 59 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 66.3 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 46.4 - - 52.0 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 66.0 - - 63.4 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 29 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1027 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96090 24 041 10 076 14 068 19 048 96090 89093 29 055 19 064 18 061 17 045 89093 83695 21 071 16 056 23 052 17 058 83695 79181 17 087 12 058 22 037 21 038 79181 75275 18 074 14 062 16 047 18 034 75275 71822 17 048 21 046 17 060 18 060 71822 68695 17 033 21 031 19 043 25 055 68695 65816 15 028 17 024 21 022 22 035 65816 63153 14 020 16 010 22 001 22 016 63153 60583 19 016 19 358 22 341 25 000 60583 57889 19 005 20 350 20 333 24 344 57889 55067 20 352 21 344 20 331 22 331 55067 52355 21 337 21 329 24 321 27 317 52355 49907 28 322 28 318 33 317 33 310 49907 47701 33 318 32 312 35 307 34 300 47701 45679 33 316 31 305 34 301 31 299 45679 43806 35 309 34 297 37 293 35 301 43806 42059 37 302 33 297 32 289 37 290 42059 40431 36 302 33 300 34 290 35 284 40431 38932 39 296 43 286 41 286 41 279 38932 37566 44 284 38 287 49 277 46 271 37566 36266 39 287 39 290 50 276 49 270 36266 34938 37 290 42 289 49 275 48 271 34938 33549 38 287 42 285 43 266 41 271 33549 32105 36 282 40 281 37 265 32 269 32105 30594 33 278 31 283 35 265 28 265 30594 29000 29 274 31 271 32 262 23 268 29000 27326 26 277 26 271 26 262 20 276 27326 25572 27 287 23 287 15 270 22 263 25572 23740 26 294 23 293 12 286 22 250 23740 21835 22 296 22 282 17 279 21 256 21835 19849 21 297 20 281 20 275 23 264 19849 17772 20 298 16 285 17 267 17 267 17772 15641 17 298 14 274 13 265 8 263 15641 13578 13 298 11 271 10 267 6 238 13578 11698 10 290 9 264 10 269 7 236 11698 10024 7 299 6 262 8 275 6 250 10024 8535 4 275 5 228 6 262 5 236 8535 7214 7 228 7 219 6 244 6 211 7214 6046 9 220 8 216 6 233 6 187 6046 5016 9 210 8 219 6 228 6 174 5016 4112 8 202 8 222 5 220 5 169 4112 3319 7 203 6 226 4 207 4 163 3319 2613 5 211 4 237 3 198 2 140 2613 1993 5 213 3*239 1 218 2 046 1993 1479 6 191 2*258 1 030 1 002 1479 1086 6 140 1 310 2 048 1 332 1086 816 6 101 1 315 2 037 1 321 816 654 5 085 1 321 2*028 1*250 654 561 2*069 1 325 2*018 1*201 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography