DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 66.4 - - 73.8 - - 72.7 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 63 - - 140 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 799 - - 2165 - - 934 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1546 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1344 - - 2710 - - 1479 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 314 - - 1199 - - 1209 - - 2164 - - 313 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 158 - - 278 - - 133 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 21 - - 41 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 081 - - 212 - - 269 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1434 - - -3469 - - -4595 - - -4842 - - -1331 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1994 - - 4813 - - 7305 - - 6321 - - 1892 sfcLCL ODpotential -13995 - - -13622 - - -13077 - - -13545 - - -11729 ODpotential blCL 14555 - - 14966 - - 15787 - - 15024 - - 12290 blCL maxRH 62 - - 49 - - 59 - - 55 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 66.4 - - 73.8 - - 72.7 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 47.6 - - 44.0 - - 47.2 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 65.9 - - 72.8 - - 72.7 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 46.4 - - 43.1 - - 46.6 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 63 - - 140 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 799 - - 2165 - - 934 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97029 25 271 27 287 33 286 28 284 31 276 97029 89866 17 286 18 283 21 279 24 295 21 291 89866 84340 12 279 15 278 14 272 18 290 19 301 84340 79730 6 281 6 268 9 272 10 290 11 290 79730 75729 2 057 3 160 8 251 8 307 5 291 75729 72190 4 066 6 110 7 206 8 299 6 331 72190 69002 2 055 3 150 3 225 8 288 6 286 69002 66074 3 039 2 182 3 270 8 311 5 308 66074 63358 3 324 2 045 3 318 6 296 5 280 63358 60744 4 021 1 137 5 289 5 312 3 237 60744 58028 4 354 6 065 1 238 4 345 3 037 58028 55234 12 024 12 009 7 006 11 021 15 018 55234 52593 7 026 6 038 3 047 5 061 9 347 52593 50205 28 066 25 066 19 091 18 054 17 040 50205 48052 45 038 38 045 28 047 24 046 20 039 48052 46093 38 037 37 023 33 020 22 034 22 026 46093 44290 23 052 16 018 22 014 23 022 26 012 44290 42613 22 089 10 359 12 026 19 009 25 006 42613 41041 29 073 14 020 21 039 17 022 25 015 41041 39564 50 051 37 049 32 035 23 028 29 021 39564 38175 63 043 49 035 39 032 27 028 29 022 38175 36833 65 041 49 033 40 028 28 027 25 023 36833 35467 65 043 48 034 36 024 28 027 21 022 35467 34046 61 044 46 039 32 024 27 027 19 026 34046 32571 59 041 43 045 31 023 26 026 19 033 32571 31029 53 039 42 045 32 026 25 023 19 035 31029 29405 45 030 42 041 29 029 23 020 19 030 29405 27700 39 024 37 034 26 032 21 014 20 025 27700 25911 33 031 31 028 24 028 20 009 20 023 25911 24041 31 034 28 022 23 020 22 006 21 022 24041 22091 29 036 25 021 23 011 24 010 23 022 22091 20055 25 039 21 027 21 008 25 016 25 025 20055 17926 23 036 20 024 19 013 26 020 27 028 17926 15750 21 028 19 028 20 019 25 023 26 033 15750 13652 19 028 17 031 19 025 22 031 23 036 13652 11746 17 037 13 036 17 032 19 039 20 036 11746 10057 14 052 11 054 12 039 15 040 17 036 10057 8563 8 066 8 064 9 052 10 045 13 031 8563 7242 2 133 2 093 5 060 6 047 9 020 7242 6076 4 177 3 206 1 247 2 350 5 357 6076 5047 4 186 4 212 4 239 5 274 4 307 5047 4145 3 186 3 204 4 225 6 268 3 276 4145 3350 1 101 2 195 3*205 4 269 1 309 3350 2640 2 048 1 161 2*201 2 293 2 043 2640 2013 4 072 1 139 1 205 2 290 2 020 2013 1492 8 085 2*120 1 211 3*277 4 337 1492 1093 9 089 2*097 1 228 4*272 5 302 1093 820 8 090 1 079 1 232 4 269 5 276 820 655 5 084 1 074 1 234 4 269 4*252 655 561 1*065 1 069 1 237 3 268 3*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography