DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.4 - - 64.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 134 - - 98 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 621 - - 1765 - - 826 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1270 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1165 - - 2310 - - 1370 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 754 - - 1916 - - 490 - - 749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 261 - - 179 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 269 - - 267 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3176 - - -4282 - - -1534 - - -967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4341 - - 6592 - - 2904 - - 1528 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8677 - - -8057 - - -5517 - - -5890 ODpotential blCL - - - 9842 - - 10367 - - 6887 - - 6451 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 89 - - 92 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.4 - - 64.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 48.6 - - 53.3 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 74.3 - - 63.3 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 47.4 - - 52.6 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 134 - - 98 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 621 - - 1765 - - 826 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 56 - - 69 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96582 38 292 33 283 45 273 48 282 96582 89334 26 284 34 273 37 289 34 291 89334 83839 20 266 32 279 29 286 25 299 83839 79291 16 279 27 278 20 286 19 299 79291 75344 16 300 21 274 15 300 14 308 75344 71839 19 285 19 291 19 318 17 317 71839 68674 21 263 27 287 27 304 27 297 68674 65772 17 273 29 274 30 285 29 297 65772 63055 25 291 29 273 34 274 33 288 63055 60383 30 287 33 288 36 265 35 269 60383 57582 38 280 35 282 35 275 40 277 57582 54686 39 287 43 287 49 281 57 277 54686 51938 55 278 55 278 60 273 57 262 51938 49458 54 270 63 270 57 268 40 268 49458 47215 48 278 59 272 54 280 53 283 47215 45178 85 292 64 285 66 286 72 278 45178 43336 147 287 100 284 86 280 89 277 43336 41662 155 284 121 281 102 278 113 279 41662 40118 144 283 115 280 101 279 124 280 40118 38672 129 283 99 276 90 279 119 281 38672 37310 96 284 85 268 82 275 97 277 37310 35998 76 278 79 263 76 265 81 272 35998 34666 69 272 74 261 72 261 79 269 34666 33279 56 262 69 258 70 257 78 267 33279 31837 53 258 63 258 68 255 76 268 31837 30326 47 254 56 258 60 252 68 273 30326 28737 43 257 47 256 43 247 61 276 28737 27067 40 263 38 257 37 258 56 280 27067 25313 36 256 33 257 34 252 53 283 25313 23478 31 257 30 255 29 244 50 285 23478 21566 32 271 24 254 26 249 41 275 21566 19576 41 255 25 255 30 263 28 264 19576 17508 35 237 25 250 31 266 21 278 17508 15407 25 250 22 247 33 259 34 275 15407 13390 19 270 23 250 36 231 48 252 13390 11558 11 263 23 247 31 234 42 232 11558 9926 8 241 17 234 20 259 31 215 9926 8471 7 229 13 216 19 278 22 216 8471 7175 5 225 10 213 21 283 19 248 7175 6023 4 223 9 219 22 286 15 280 6023 5006 4 230 9 229 21 287 9 334 5006 4110 4 240 8 241 18 288 11 353 4110 3321 4 259 7 254 15 286 12 347 3321 2617 4 288 7*263 15 280 11 340 2617 1996 4 303 7*266 17 274 8 321 1996 1480 3*282 8 268 16*269 8 274 1480 1087 3*230 8 270 16*268 10 257 1087 817 3 221 8 271 15 267 9 257 817 654 3 220 7 272 13 267 7*258 654 561 3 220 6 271 9 267 4*260 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography