DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.3 - - 87.1 - - 97.2 - - 80.3 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 84 - - 192 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 608 - - 1990 - - 469 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 546 - - 1555 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 562 - - 1154 - - 2537 - - 1015 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 854 - - 5854 - - 359 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 153 - - 297 - - 145 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 082 - - 035 - - 260 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 7 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4279 - - -8685 - - -9519 - - -5395 - - -2723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4841 - - 9840 - - 12057 - - 6411 - - 3285 sfcLCL ODpotential -13400 - - -14981 - - -13180 - - -10159 - - -10270 ODpotential blCL 13962 - - 16135 - - 15717 - - 11174 - - 10832 blCL maxRH 32 - - 36 - - 62 - - 60 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.3 - - 87.1 - - 97.2 - - 80.3 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 46.5 - - 46.1 - - 54.7 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.9 - - 86.6 - - 95.7 - - 79.5 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 45.7 - - 45.4 - - 54.4 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 84 - - 192 - - 96 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 608 - - 1990 - - 469 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97776 13 261 9 284 11 268 12 274 6 354 97776 90550 4 227 5 129 1 313 2 210 7 022 90550 84984 7 080 10 090 6 090 6 059 6 040 84984 80368 12 059 14 079 11 074 14 065 10 063 80368 76391 15 043 16 058 14 059 18 061 16 070 76391 72882 14 049 15 053 16 053 19 061 20 068 72882 69709 8 054 16 059 14 073 16 058 15 062 69709 66798 6 064 12 079 11 089 11 070 9 061 66798 64092 8 071 9 093 7 132 2 079 8 046 64092 61465 6 004 3 048 4 189 5 278 6 319 61465 58734 7 216 7 267 5 253 10 230 10 253 58734 55913 20 253 18 284 16 293 16 280 18 283 55913 53230 37 262 42 265 38 269 34 275 29 279 53230 50810 43 248 45 260 49 272 43 282 42 289 50810 48626 46 255 55 264 60 275 57 277 57 280 48626 46639 54 257 62 266 65 273 63 273 63 280 46639 44812 58 255 66 266 67 271 65 272 70 284 44812 43111 56 252 65 263 68 271 69 277 70 282 43111 41512 55 250 61 259 63 268 72 281 70 285 41512 40004 56 248 59 254 59 262 72 283 72 288 40004 38576 57 243 59 248 56 257 67 279 72 289 38576 37191 55 235 59 240 55 254 60 271 65 285 37191 35785 51 228 55 229 54 246 55 266 60 276 35785 34332 44 220 49 213 51 231 51 262 57 272 34332 32828 37 209 44 196 48 210 46 252 53 270 32828 31256 35 202 44 187 50 195 44 228 45 262 31256 29610 33 199 43 187 49 193 48 206 40 240 29610 27894 32 191 39 188 43 197 49 201 45 222 27894 26105 31 182 36 188 38 197 45 204 46 213 26105 24238 30 173 34 188 34 194 39 203 39 210 24238 22289 28 169 33 184 32 190 34 196 32 205 22289 20256 26 170 34 182 31 184 30 193 27 199 20256 18136 26 172 31 175 28 180 25 186 20 193 18136 15972 23 171 26 168 25 170 23 171 21 179 15972 13885 19 165 21 166 21 157 23 161 23 164 13885 11986 18 160 19 159 16 152 16 149 20 141 11986 10295 14 163 18 145 13 152 10 156 11 130 10295 8789 10 164 17 133 14 148 10 156 9 121 8789 7446 9 147 15 127 14 147 7 158 2 085 7446 6252 10 130 13 127 13 147 4 152 4 290 6252 5193 11 129 10 127 10 143 2 098 6 286 5193 4259 10 127 8 130 8 130 4 021 5 303 4259 3435 7 118 6 131 6 108 6 343 6 330 3435 2699 6 102 5 115 5*078 9 305 8 317 2699 2051 6 092 6 094 4*062 15 281 9 305 2051 1514 5 087 8*089 3 046 15 273 8 293 1514 1105 3 088 7*087 2 018 12*263 6 269 1105 826 1 107 5 081 2 010 11*260 4 232 826 657 1*177 4 078 2 006 10 259 3*209 657 562 2*186 3 075 2 002 8 260 2*209 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography