DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 79.6 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 427 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1060 - - 1139 - - - - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1035 - - 1167 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1605 - - 1684 - - - - - 847 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 360 - - 444 - - - - - 419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 319 - - - - - 56 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 257 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2962 - - -4926 - - - - - -1777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4568 - - 6610 - - - - - 2625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14276 - - -14521 - - - - - -14731 ODpotential blCL - - - 15881 - - 16205 - - - - - 15578 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 47 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 79.6 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 53.1 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 77.0 - - - - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 52.5 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 427 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1060 - - 1139 - - - - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99460 51 112 45 110 32 114 99460 91932 36 108 36 111 41 109 91932 86142 26 124 31 114 41 103 86142 81360 31 123 26 119 31 096 81360 77243 28 110 25 123 27 102 77243 73614 27 116 26 119 24 117 73614 70334 25 115 24 120 20 113 70334 67329 15 101 22 110 11 085 67329 64561 12 145 14 113 10 135 64561 61892 16 156 9 163 13 111 61892 59130 5 174 11 195 4 184 59130 56301 10 237 15 222 13 227 56301 53638 19 237 20 236 19 237 53638 51256 26 267 22 248 22 238 51256 49115 38 266 30 262 20 268 49115 47155 38 262 35 270 23 275 47155 45338 38 266 38 266 29 271 45338 43641 37 268 38 265 30 261 43641 42045 34 268 35 267 31 262 42045 40539 34 280 35 281 31 262 40539 39112 38 289 39 288 28 275 39112 37730 39 289 43 287 29 279 37730 36326 40 283 44 284 33 280 36326 34864 40 279 41 282 35 279 34864 33346 39 275 37 276 34 275 33346 31757 38 278 36 273 33 272 31757 30083 38 282 36 275 32 279 30083 28326 36 281 35 274 30 278 28326 26485 30 275 31 273 30 277 26485 24566 25 263 27 260 27 273 24566 22566 23 255 27 254 25 271 22566 20479 21 260 24 261 19 269 20479 18305 16 273 18 266 13 269 18305 16091 10 282 11 262 8 254 16091 13954 6 296 6 260 7 262 13954 12007 2 315 4 241 4 286 12007 10281 2 337 2 243 3 318 10281 8752 4 329 3 309 3 303 8752 7398 5 316 6 308 3 279 7398 6198 6 311 6 306 4 281 6198 5138 7 310 7 308 6 294 5138 4206 9 313 9 314 9 303 4206 3388 10 314 10 319 12 311 3388 2661 10 309 9 312 12 320 2661 2023 8*280 9*281 10 307 2023 1496 8*257 11*259 11 261 1496 1096 9 255 11 257 12*240 1096 822 8 256 11 256 12*236 822 656 8 256 10 256 10 235 656 561 7 257 9 255 7 234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography