DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.6 - - 69.6 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 447 - - 293 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1294 - - 1463 - - 1085 - - 422 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1160 - - 1411 - - 1044 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1839 - - 2008 - - 1630 - - 967 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 412 - - 370 - - 456 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 352 - - 277 - - 86 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 258 - - 253 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -638 - - -2119 - - -2329 - - -981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2477 - - 4127 - - 3959 - - 1949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12669 - - -12650 - - -12938 - - -13241 ODpotential blCL - - - 14508 - - 14658 - - 14568 - - 14208 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 72 - - 69 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.6 - - 69.6 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.7 - - 54.4 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 68.2 - - 67.8 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 54.1 - - 54.0 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 447 - - 293 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1294 - - 1463 - - 1085 - - 422 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99372 28 110 30 113 26 107 29 097 99372 91798 32 104 29 111 31 096 32 104 91798 85972 27 099 29 102 28 104 33 102 85972 81174 22 114 25 105 26 106 29 104 81174 77071 23 119 19 111 24 097 25 100 77071 73457 22 110 21 111 21 108 19 093 73457 70188 19 116 16 110 18 115 15 099 70188 67197 17 119 14 130 13 103 13 101 67197 64441 15 147 11 146 10 137 10 098 64441 61786 14 166 11 175 9 184 5 182 61786 59021 16 212 14 216 15 231 6 240 59021 56173 25 217 26 226 26 225 20 228 56173 53490 28 235 32 230 28 236 25 226 53490 51082 34 250 32 243 30 246 29 247 51082 48904 49 253 47 253 43 256 42 260 48904 46911 58 246 59 249 55 253 54 259 46911 45072 62 243 63 247 62 251 62 257 45072 43360 68 244 67 245 67 248 65 254 43360 41753 70 242 68 243 68 244 66 249 41753 40231 66 248 65 248 64 249 65 253 40231 38783 65 257 64 256 60 256 62 264 38783 37376 63 258 64 255 60 258 60 267 37376 35953 65 262 64 260 64 261 60 265 35953 34490 60 274 58 271 57 272 59 273 34490 32987 47 278 44 276 44 273 50 278 32987 31423 40 270 39 267 41 266 46 270 31423 29784 43 262 44 261 46 266 50 272 29784 28063 50 263 50 266 50 271 56 277 28063 26259 50 268 51 272 50 279 59 279 26259 24372 44 273 47 275 47 282 58 282 24372 22401 42 279 40 275 43 279 53 285 22401 20344 36 272 36 273 37 277 43 283 20344 18201 27 267 29 269 30 277 32 279 18201 16011 19 272 20 270 22 273 24 279 16011 13892 17 271 17 274 18 277 18 280 13892 11957 17 276 17 283 17 289 16 291 11957 10237 14 284 13 296 13 304 13 307 10237 8711 11 293 10 309 10 320 9 323 8711 7358 8 305 9 320 9 329 9 332 7358 6159 7 309 9 326 9 331 10 333 6159 5102 5 310 8 329 8 332 11 332 5102 4175 3 319 6 330 7 333 12 329 4175 3362 5 334 7 325 9 331 13 329 3362 2640 5 317 7 299 9 316 13 325 2640 2009 7*269 10*265 12*270 10 297 2009 1488 8*259 12*259 14*255 12 258 1488 1091 8 258 12 258 14 253 13*245 1091 820 8 257 11 258 13 252 12*242 820 655 8 257 11 257 12 252 11 240 655 561 6 258 9 258 10 251 8 239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography