DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 449 - - - - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1421 - - 1532 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1279 - - 1461 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1966 - - 2077 - - - - - 746 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 427 - - 464 - - - - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 357 - - - - - 77 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 273 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1576 - - -2967 - - - - - -322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3543 - - 5044 - - - - - 1068 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9100 - - -9437 - - - - - -11321 ODpotential blCL - - - 11066 - - 11514 - - - - - 12067 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 64 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 77.3 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.4 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 74.7 - - - - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 57.0 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 449 - - - - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1421 - - 1532 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 0 - - - - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99248 41 103 32 100 35 102 99248 91816 34 113 30 095 35 095 91816 86061 33 111 28 103 30 098 86061 81271 29 103 30 116 21 110 81271 77154 21 101 25 117 18 101 77154 73529 15 096 17 112 15 081 73529 70248 13 092 10 117 17 073 70248 67229 10 097 10 131 13 068 67229 64433 9 099 7 146 5 058 64433 61729 11 139 9 172 2 214 61729 58917 7 161 12 175 13 212 58917 55996 22 230 16 223 14 209 55996 53203 30 221 30 225 24 237 53203 50695 29 228 36 235 45 244 50695 48469 36 232 42 234 68 239 48469 46473 35 229 46 248 70 237 46473 44658 35 244 49 245 66 239 44658 42996 40 254 45 240 63 243 42996 41455 40 250 46 245 61 245 41455 40001 34 240 46 243 59 243 40001 38619 32 236 41 240 55 242 38619 37273 31 232 39 240 53 238 37273 35895 30 228 36 240 51 230 35895 34456 28 228 33 239 49 225 34456 32959 26 232 30 237 49 225 32959 31394 24 229 29 232 48 224 31394 29747 25 226 28 229 45 223 29747 28018 27 229 29 228 41 222 28018 26206 27 231 29 226 38 222 26206 24312 23 230 28 220 35 224 24312 22337 21 227 26 218 27 228 22337 20277 19 227 22 214 20 222 20277 18128 19 221 18 210 19 201 18128 15936 19 214 16 204 18 194 15936 13823 17 203 16 191 16 192 13823 11903 15 190 17 182 15 195 11903 10198 13 179 16 180 16 197 10198 8687 12 164 15 180 18 186 8687 7346 11 158 15 177 18 172 7346 6156 11 158 14 172 13 162 6156 5104 12 157 11 166 7 146 5104 4179 10 152 8 166 3 092 4179 3365 7 150 4 179 5 343 3365 2642 2 192 4*265 8 312 2642 2009 4*270 8*274 12 283 2009 1488 5*270 10 272 13 265 1488 1091 5 269 11 272 12 253 1091 819 5 269 11 272 11*251 819 655 5 271 10 272 9*250 655 561 4 270 9 272 7 250 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography