DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 100.3 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 256 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 3773 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1032 - - 2973 - - - - - 546 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1922 - - 4320 - - - - - 563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1335 - - 2225 - - - - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 403 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 032 - - - - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9573 - - -9267 - - - - - -7294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11495 - - 13588 - - - - - 7857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15295 - - -13324 - - - - - -13740 ODpotential blCL - - - 17217 - - 17644 - - - - - 14303 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 90 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.1 - - 100.3 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 42.7 - - - - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.0 - - 98.5 - - - - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 41.8 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 256 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1376 - - 3773 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 62 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99045 17 120 20 120 6 098 99045 91548 15 134 11 122 14 095 91548 85743 13 129 12 129 14 117 85743 80959 13 117 10 123 10 112 80959 76864 11 100 9 113 9 117 76864 73254 13 090 14 113 10 108 73254 69989 14 092 15 099 10 099 69989 67011 15 114 12 094 7 085 67011 64276 13 118 6 115 8 080 64276 61642 4 129 9 183 5 021 61642 58910 2 291 7 185 3 274 58910 56101 16 236 15 235 14 265 56101 53445 24 241 24 246 19 252 53445 51066 36 243 33 248 25 259 51066 48930 37 242 36 247 29 256 48930 46981 36 246 34 244 28 253 46981 45180 36 248 33 246 27 256 45180 43497 38 249 34 249 27 259 43497 41914 40 250 33 247 28 259 41914 40420 40 244 31 249 29 253 40420 39005 37 233 31 250 27 248 39005 37631 33 229 32 243 26 247 37631 36229 26 232 29 234 23 245 36229 34767 20 250 22 227 20 241 34767 33249 20 264 16 227 19 247 33249 31662 24 249 17 231 20 245 31662 29996 25 230 23 222 23 236 29996 28249 23 227 20 230 24 231 28249 26424 18 243 13 237 21 227 26424 24523 22 234 18 235 20 220 24523 22549 17 223 13 224 19 210 22549 20496 16 206 14 192 15 200 20496 18355 17 196 16 196 10 192 18355 16168 14 189 14 199 7 189 16168 14055 8 188 10 202 5 203 14055 12127 5 171 6 193 2 202 12127 10409 5 150 5 165 1 202 10409 8879 4 135 5 149 2 238 8879 7517 3 114 3 132 5 237 7517 6309 2 101 2 073 3 238 6309 5241 2 079 4*045 1 042 5241 4301 2 057 4*045 2 011 4301 3471 3 049 4 042 5 346 3471 2731 3 054 3 038 8 349 2731 2078 3*048 3 033 12 351 2078 1535 2*022 2 020 12 343 1535 1119 2 004 2 011 9 324 1119 834 2 350 2 005 5 279 834 661 2 348 2 002 5*235 661 563 2 344 2 001 4*222 563 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography