DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 72.3 - - 65.2 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 5 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 345 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 561 - - 890 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 153 - - 1194 - - 799 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 77 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 064 - - 313 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3925 - - -3894 - - -1582 - - -507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4486 - - 4784 - - 2143 - - 1068 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14630 - - -9513 - - -7532 - - -9578 ODpotential blCL - - - 15191 - - 10403 - - 8093 - - 10139 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 47 - - 69 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 72.3 - - 65.2 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 53.5 - - 57.7 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 72.5 - - 65.7 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 52.3 - - 56.7 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 5 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 345 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96386 43 090 20 076 32 085 42 087 96386 89437 37 090 32 096 27 094 39 089 89437 84014 26 106 27 088 30 088 26 096 84014 79478 24 109 18 111 22 077 20 088 79478 75548 20 089 19 126 8 091 14 064 75548 72060 21 084 19 110 8 122 10 059 72060 68888 16 074 18 088 12 099 6 085 68888 65954 9 073 12 059 15 061 6 088 65954 63230 2 090 6 032 9 038 8 056 63230 60605 8 238 12 308 13 017 17 036 60605 57904 5 027 7 320 16 344 17 015 57904 55128 15 018 12 011 8 331 14 344 55128 52467 12 029 9 010 15 325 18 329 52467 50047 9 004 7 020 7 349 20 330 50047 47861 6 155 3 310 7 004 9 313 47861 45862 12 130 7 168 6 270 10 297 45862 44011 15 073 11 106 6 141 8 291 44011 42290 12 028 20 076 20 088 8 088 42290 40693 7 213 7 028 19 038 25 066 40693 39216 23 174 10 168 8 046 18 049 39216 37844 20 160 21 165 12 152 10 138 37844 36526 21 157 21 158 18 150 16 136 36526 35185 24 157 20 150 17 138 16 129 35185 33789 22 148 18 141 17 130 16 088 33789 32342 20 137 18 125 16 113 18 085 32342 30828 21 135 20 129 16 118 15 105 30828 29232 21 138 21 138 15 133 12 110 29232 27554 20 138 18 135 13 135 12 104 27554 25791 20 136 16 129 14 116 14 109 25791 23943 19 130 17 129 15 096 18 093 23943 22012 16 121 16 109 21 081 22 088 22012 19992 14 101 18 089 25 082 23 092 19992 17879 21 081 23 091 25 089 22 095 17879 15718 25 085 24 095 23 093 22 095 15718 13635 21 094 20 100 18 096 17 102 13635 11746 15 106 14 102 14 096 12 110 11746 10073 7 109 8 099 10 091 9 097 10073 8589 5 176 7 150 3 134 6 072 8589 7271 12 181 15 173 9 186 2 160 7271 6101 18 188 20 181 15 190 7 197 6101 5066 19 194 19 189 16 195 10 205 5066 4156 16 199 15 193 14 193 8 210 4156 3355 13 198 12 193 14 184 3 208 3355 2640 9 190 9 185 12 177 1 066 2640 2011 6 181 7 175 6 166 4 052 2011 1489 9 174 6 159 1 107 4 064 1489 1091 8 144 4*097 2 348 4 059 1091 819 9 104 3*070 3 338 2 018 819 654 7*078 3 063 3*323 2*295 654 561 3*054 2 058 3*313 2*270 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography