DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 64.8 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 101 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1033 - - 2444 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1634 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1577 - - 2989 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 840 - - 1374 - - - - - 639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 272 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 011 - - - - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3562 - - -2466 - - - - - -1353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5139 - - 5455 - - - - - 1914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11082 - - -7315 - - - - - -5555 ODpotential blCL - - - 12659 - - 10304 - - - - - 6116 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 56 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 64.8 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 43.1 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 64.0 - - - - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 41.9 - - - - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 101 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1033 - - 2444 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 26 306 23 293 25 308 96328 89229 14 315 14 306 11 309 89229 83756 8 357 5 263 9 303 83756 79211 8 343 6 349 6 006 79211 75272 1 027 7 273 10 354 75272 71786 10 358 2 304 8 334 71786 68628 14 334 7 309 7 328 68628 65701 16 317 7 298 10 313 65701 62968 20 322 11 320 7 308 62968 60300 22 312 13 326 7 357 60300 57491 19 300 15 320 17 351 57491 54579 16 325 18 328 14 350 54579 51808 19 351 19 341 17 026 51808 49318 30 349 26 005 26 030 49318 47092 30 344 44 012 53 037 47092 45099 35 003 53 010 75 022 45099 43309 53 017 59 017 78 021 43309 41672 68 025 74 024 84 030 41672 40159 78 025 83 026 92 036 40159 38742 76 028 85 029 97 040 38742 37401 80 039 90 033 102 043 37401 36098 88 044 93 036 103 044 36098 34767 88 039 93 037 101 045 34767 33381 89 032 89 035 96 044 33381 31942 90 030 82 032 91 042 31942 30434 82 026 78 030 88 041 30434 28843 72 019 75 029 84 041 28843 27169 69 017 72 028 79 041 27169 25411 67 018 68 026 70 038 25411 23572 57 018 65 026 63 031 23572 21655 48 007 63 025 62 027 21655 19658 47 359 58 021 60 030 19658 17577 40 354 52 015 54 035 17577 15455 35 002 48 013 48 038 15455 13410 35 013 43 009 38 038 13410 11551 36 015 35 007 29 035 11551 9901 34 026 28 020 23 032 9901 8440 31 039 26 037 19 028 8440 7148 21 045 22 040 16 024 7148 6003 12 043 16 028 15 024 6003 4993 7 014 16 023 16 027 4993 4104 9 010 15 026 17 029 4104 3321 11 013 10*025 16 029 3321 2621 12 008 7*018 13 028 2621 2002 10*004 6 012 11 025 2002 1486 5*351 6 009 9 016 1486 1091 3 336 5 008 7 359 1091 819 3 334 5 006 4 330 819 655 2 331 4 006 3*274 655 561 2 329 4 005 3*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography