DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 88.4 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 321 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 928 - - 1252 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 743 - - 1188 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1474 - - 1798 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 990 - - 1992 - - - - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 300 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 283 - - - - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6994 - - -7700 - - - - - -2546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8469 - - 9498 - - - - - 3107 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13066 - - -12224 - - - - - -11234 ODpotential blCL - - - 14540 - - 14022 - - - - - 11795 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 84 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 88.4 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 49.0 - - - - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 86.4 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 48.4 - - - - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 321 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 928 - - 1252 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99071 19 134 17 130 5 094 99071 91587 16 118 20 149 12 108 91587 85805 13 119 13 137 14 108 85805 81018 11 128 10 104 19 101 81018 76894 15 128 12 109 18 100 76894 73267 20 112 15 119 15 108 73267 70019 15 106 16 099 15 118 70019 67044 12 107 9 083 16 095 67044 64288 6 109 7 101 14 082 64288 61618 7 173 9 173 3 003 61618 58834 11 187 17 200 12 245 58834 55978 17 236 25 237 23 251 55978 53279 33 234 46 239 36 243 53279 50855 48 242 58 235 50 233 50855 48680 60 252 61 239 53 234 48680 46707 79 253 69 247 61 244 46707 44892 89 246 83 245 71 242 44892 43200 88 240 84 239 75 239 43200 41610 79 242 79 239 76 239 41610 40110 71 243 77 235 77 238 40110 38691 58 241 71 237 77 236 38691 37318 54 237 58 242 73 234 37318 35924 54 239 57 240 60 239 35924 34478 54 241 55 236 49 238 34478 32980 45 243 48 238 46 226 32980 31411 38 244 41 246 38 219 31411 29763 32 244 32 240 27 210 29763 28034 28 237 26 236 20 212 28034 26224 25 236 24 235 21 221 26224 24334 24 233 21 232 22 226 24334 22369 21 227 21 223 21 224 22369 20324 17 217 28 229 19 224 20324 18192 18 214 26 230 13 226 18192 16016 23 227 19 229 10 231 16016 13916 23 235 15 221 9 239 13916 12003 18 236 14 223 7 230 12003 10298 15 234 12 221 7 210 10298 8782 13 234 11 220 9 196 8782 7433 11 223 10 216 12 186 7433 6235 9 194 9 197 13 177 6235 5174 9 163 9 170 9 171 5174 4241 9 153 8 156 3 132 4241 3419 9 145 4 145 3 036 3419 2686 7 132 2 141 4 352 2686 2041 5 107 2*290 5 322 2041 1507 2*058 6*286 8 295 1507 1101 2*315 7 284 8 277 1101 824 2 310 7 283 6 255 824 657 2 307 7 283 5 244 657 561 2 305 6 282 3*241 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography