DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 54.0 - - 55.6 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -9 - - -38 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 192 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 736 - - 560 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5670 - - 3172 - - 4855 - - 2507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 16 - - 19 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 209 - - 187 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -2 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1255 - - -762 - - -1675 - - -518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1992 - - 1322 - - 2235 - - 1078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2111 - - -1783 - - -2900 - - -1853 ODpotential blCL - - - 2847 - - 2343 - - 3460 - - 2413 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 97 - - 66 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 230 - - 220 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 54.0 - - 55.6 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 54.4 - - 57.2 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 49.2 - - 46.5 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -9 - - -38 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 192 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 87 - - 0 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96159 18 334 22 311 23 343 15 322 96159 89117 12 295 19 307 18 335 20 315 89117 83706 15 305 15 343 13 317 17 318 83706 79174 18 288 20 313 18 289 19 311 79174 75209 20 261 21 262 20 260 26 277 75209 71714 10 244 17 225 16 253 18 259 71714 68537 16 230 15 210 13 243 9 215 68537 65554 31 236 29 240 27 232 17 220 65554 62742 51 232 49 236 43 229 34 231 62742 60011 53 224 51 224 45 235 44 238 60011 57158 45 233 49 236 46 238 49 244 57158 54220 50 246 51 247 45 244 50 254 54220 51444 67 243 62 251 59 254 56 257 51444 48947 72 242 75 249 70 257 65 248 48947 46705 71 246 78 248 83 256 71 244 46705 44668 78 250 82 248 91 250 75 246 44668 42805 90 249 93 246 95 247 84 247 42805 41096 99 246 100 245 98 248 96 246 41096 39521 103 245 106 248 105 250 106 246 39521 38060 107 246 112 250 117 253 115 248 38060 36693 110 247 119 253 134 253 126 250 36693 35378 111 247 125 254 143 252 135 249 35378 34040 109 247 126 253 139 251 139 246 34040 32649 103 246 124 252 131 249 136 244 32649 31205 96 245 123 253 122 247 131 245 31205 29696 93 243 119 253 116 244 129 246 29696 28109 91 241 114 252 111 243 127 246 28109 26445 83 239 107 248 109 244 122 245 26445 24705 72 233 98 244 106 246 117 244 24705 22895 69 229 86 239 98 244 106 243 22895 21027 67 229 77 234 88 240 89 240 21027 19092 69 229 73 231 83 237 79 238 19092 17083 71 226 71 230 78 236 67 234 17083 15038 74 223 62 224 65 238 60 232 15038 13066 70 222 49 220 50 235 60 235 13066 11270 58 222 44 222 47 231 59 235 11270 9674 51 225 42 221 47 230 60 235 9674 8259 47 228 41 223 47 230 60 228 8259 7006 41 231 40 221 46 225 60 223 7006 5893 37 229 39 216 44 218 59 220 5893 4909 34 225 38 212 43 212 57 218 4909 4040 32 221 37 210 41 207 54 217 4040 3272 30 219 34 210 38 203 52 217 3272 2585 26 216 31 210 35 200 46 216 2585 1977 23 212 28 211 32 197 40 212 1977 1471 19 207 23 212 28 193 34 207 1471 1082 17 203 17 211 23 190 28 204 1082 815 14*202 12 210 18 189 22 203 815 653 12*201 9 210 15 188 17 204 653 560 7 201 5*209 7*187 8*208 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography