DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 75.5 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 284 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2580 - - 3667 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1959 - - 2943 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3125 - - 4212 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2134 - - 2681 - - - - - 817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 417 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 271 - - - - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5731 - - -4872 - - - - - -1975 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8856 - - 9085 - - - - - 2536 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12691 - - -10893 - - - - - -7476 ODpotential blCL - - - 15816 - - 15105 - - - - - 8037 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 76 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 75.5 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 37.6 - - - - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 73.7 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 36.4 - - - - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 284 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2580 - - 3667 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97176 55 275 58 275 56 286 97176 89910 45 281 49 279 44 278 89910 84308 34 282 37 273 38 273 84308 79621 26 274 32 271 30 281 79621 75577 20 262 27 262 23 290 75577 72013 16 273 19 258 20 280 72013 68791 17 274 17 271 20 275 68791 65837 19 279 18 279 19 269 65837 63113 20 288 16 287 16 270 63113 60474 20 301 21 291 19 279 60474 57716 22 293 26 282 28 274 57716 54848 21 289 28 280 31 275 54848 52097 27 299 34 284 48 277 52097 49601 33 299 41 279 55 271 49601 47346 38 299 42 282 56 270 47346 45298 38 300 47 284 51 271 45298 43434 37 300 44 284 44 270 43434 41729 35 297 38 277 37 262 41729 40167 32 290 32 275 33 259 40167 38729 27 287 31 276 35 251 38729 37388 26 292 33 277 31 235 37388 36090 25 292 30 274 30 232 36090 34760 27 280 28 269 30 235 34760 33372 28 275 25 268 29 233 33372 31928 27 277 25 257 30 230 31928 30414 24 266 27 252 29 232 30414 28819 22 264 22 256 29 237 28819 27142 23 267 19 251 31 235 27142 25385 21 267 18 232 30 225 25385 23555 16 264 15 227 26 212 23555 21649 14 263 14 224 22 210 21649 19660 12 259 13 215 20 207 19660 17585 9 246 12 204 18 205 17585 15467 6 227 12 205 15 209 15467 13422 6 223 10 208 13 197 13422 11565 5 216 9 210 15 189 11565 9920 5 205 9 204 18 182 9920 8463 5 196 12 189 17 170 8463 7169 6 183 13 173 14 163 7169 6021 6 175 11 164 11 175 6021 5004 6 168 9*162 6 171 5004 4108 6 161 4*171 1 184 4108 3318 6*155 2 207 3 286 3318 2613 5*150 3 268 7 266 2613 1993 4 143 5 286 10 270 1993 1479 3 138 6 287 9 274 1479 1086 3 134 7 287 8 264 1086 817 2 127 7 288 7 256 817 654 2 124 6 288 6*253 654 561 2 122 6 288 3*248 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography