DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 61.8 - - - - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 33 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 1256 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 545 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2159 - - 1800 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2129 - - 2538 - - - - - 2795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 149 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 258 - - - - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 284 - - 496 - - - - - -84 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1875 - - 1305 - - - - - 645 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -254 - - 84 - - - - - -453 ODpotential blCL - - - 2413 - - 1716 - - - - - 1014 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 520 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 61.8 - - - - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 57.8 - - - - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 61.4 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 57.2 - - - - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 33 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 1256 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 89 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 10 342 10 018 7 033 97492 90248 11 028 7 050 17 338 90248 84669 6 348 12 040 10 337 84669 80043 4 239 12 322 9 062 80043 76047 5 318 7 276 10 352 76047 72518 8 314 6 265 13 299 72518 69327 5 269 8 267 10 264 69327 66378 12 247 15 259 9 224 66378 63611 18 239 20 247 10 229 63611 60905 19 227 22 245 16 252 60905 58085 18 225 23 237 23 260 58085 55169 18 239 21 225 25 263 55169 52367 20 258 20 233 24 271 52367 49822 27 264 23 245 31 277 49822 47535 30 261 24 246 33 277 47535 45465 28 264 24 255 30 282 45465 43570 27 263 23 275 30 293 43570 41814 19 264 24 292 33 294 41814 40181 20 279 27 299 33 294 40181 38657 19 273 28 303 30 299 38657 37227 9 287 29 309 31 310 37227 35850 15 328 33 327 33 319 35850 34463 19 335 46 342 38 326 34463 33040 28 351 61 344 44 332 33040 31581 35 349 65 340 50 331 31581 30074 36 357 58 342 45 342 30074 28501 34 353 51 346 48 358 28501 26855 29 347 45 348 51 000 26855 25128 22 346 39 352 49 007 25128 23320 20 342 26 351 41 012 23320 21431 16 345 20 334 31 009 21431 19461 9 355 14 312 29 354 19461 17408 5 348 13 297 26 341 17408 15317 6 336 9 305 21 339 15317 13303 3 331 6 322 19 336 13303 11470 2 277 3 319 14 333 11470 9841 4 253 2 246 12 335 9841 8395 6 225 4 215 11 327 8395 7111 7 234 6 224 9 322 7111 5972 8 240 8 229 9 321 5972 4966 9 229 9 226 9 323 4966 4081 9 222 10 229 10 311 4081 3303 9 227 10 236 11 307 3303 2607 9*231 10 246 11 308 2607 1993 8*231 10*250 10 307 1993 1481 5 229 9*256 10 304 1481 1089 4 232 9 258 9 297 1089 818 4 234 8 259 7 288 818 655 3 235 8 260 5*282 655 561 3 236 6 260 3*275 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography