DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.0 - - 70.6 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 464 - - 283 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1785 - - 1982 - - 1381 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1555 - - 1802 - - 1241 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2330 - - 2527 - - 1926 - - 886 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 613 - - 680 - - 518 - - 610 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 393 - - 296 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 272 - - 262 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1038 - - -2153 - - -1705 - - -810 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3368 - - 4680 - - 3631 - - 1696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7931 - - -8142 - - -8658 - - -10169 ODpotential blCL - - - 10261 - - 10669 - - 10584 - - 11055 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 73 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.0 - - 70.6 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 56.6 - - 56.7 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - 68.9 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 56.2 - - 56.5 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 464 - - 283 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1785 - - 1982 - - 1381 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 0 - - 6 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99199 36 111 30 110 28 095 39 103 99199 91802 32 116 26 125 25 100 32 102 91802 86099 28 120 29 125 25 118 24 100 86099 81350 21 110 28 114 28 123 16 107 81350 77243 18 113 18 110 24 114 16 100 77243 73593 15 113 15 110 17 108 18 098 73593 70286 17 104 13 125 8 118 12 104 70286 67250 13 102 18 142 9 144 7 102 67250 64441 10 145 14 139 14 149 9 145 64441 61723 15 140 15 190 8 178 9 145 61723 58886 12 201 19 186 13 202 14 175 58886 55937 26 218 21 207 21 221 16 207 55937 53120 35 215 28 219 27 220 22 224 53120 50591 35 215 36 223 35 231 33 241 50591 48340 30 220 38 221 43 230 41 238 48340 46313 31 234 37 227 44 228 42 236 46313 44473 31 239 36 234 40 233 40 241 44473 42790 27 246 34 236 43 242 39 247 42790 41235 26 252 31 240 47 243 42 249 41235 39778 26 251 30 252 45 242 44 247 39778 38401 25 251 30 258 39 244 41 246 38401 37061 24 250 28 260 35 248 37 246 37061 35690 23 246 25 260 33 249 35 247 35690 34261 23 243 22 254 30 250 35 245 34261 32775 21 241 21 247 28 245 32 243 32775 31221 19 238 19 243 26 240 30 242 31221 29585 18 235 19 243 23 239 29 236 29585 27869 17 233 18 240 21 238 25 235 27869 26067 16 232 18 237 20 237 22 231 26067 24184 15 223 16 229 18 230 20 223 24184 22220 17 218 17 219 18 219 19 216 22220 20173 18 214 17 216 17 212 17 212 20173 18040 18 210 15 211 14 206 13 201 18040 15864 15 208 13 205 13 200 11 187 15864 13765 11 205 11 202 10 200 10 187 13765 11854 10 193 10 197 9 197 10 192 11854 10157 11 178 11 189 10 188 12 198 10157 8651 11 172 11 185 11 184 15 198 8651 7315 11 174 12 186 13 173 17 184 7315 6130 13 176 13 180 14 158 18 167 6130 5084 16 176 13 171 10 156 13 152 5084 4165 15 181 10 167 3 150 7 127 4165 3358 10 195 6 179 3 323 4 019 3358 2640 5*259 6*269 7 294 7 325 2640 2012 6*271 9*274 13*268 8 287 2012 1490 6 272 10 272 14*263 11 258 1490 1093 6 272 11 273 14 262 11*245 1093 821 6 271 10 271 13 261 10*242 821 655 5 273 10 272 12 261 9 240 655 561 5 272 8 272 10 260 6 240 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography