DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 27 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1020 - - 553 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1563 - - 1097 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2141 - - 2328 - - 2212 - - 3169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 128 - - 68 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 258 - - 262 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -306 - - 710 - - 369 - - -44 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 866 - - 853 - - 728 - - 604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1298 - - 344 - - 33 - - -450 ODpotential blCL - - - 1858 - - 1219 - - 1064 - - 1010 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 140 - - 110 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 51.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 53.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 50.9 - - 50.3 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 27 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1020 - - 553 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96157 24 293 21 298 20 312 18 301 96157 89091 17 324 15 306 17 323 17 321 89091 83628 14 286 13 303 12 309 15 316 83628 79078 9 294 12 317 11 300 15 297 79078 75141 14 276 14 288 9 311 15 277 75141 71638 21 246 18 255 15 281 15 252 71638 68447 22 239 24 241 18 262 19 248 68447 65485 21 247 28 231 25 243 24 239 65485 62704 29 251 27 235 24 244 28 232 62704 59981 33 243 33 253 34 253 27 234 59981 57127 37 249 43 248 41 251 33 254 57127 54169 38 243 48 242 48 249 43 253 54169 51348 37 251 49 246 50 247 44 249 51348 48801 43 257 52 245 49 248 46 255 48801 46521 59 254 53 248 53 251 58 257 46521 44463 71 247 59 251 61 252 61 254 44463 42585 75 244 67 251 65 249 67 252 42585 40860 76 243 74 245 64 248 74 246 40860 39264 85 241 77 241 73 248 75 243 39264 37778 96 239 81 240 78 245 77 243 37778 36388 117 240 92 240 78 244 80 242 36388 35054 132 238 100 239 82 244 81 240 35054 33708 133 236 109 237 86 243 78 240 33708 32322 133 236 117 236 92 242 76 242 32322 30901 123 236 115 236 92 239 77 241 30901 29427 112 230 106 235 79 237 70 237 29427 27883 113 227 92 235 62 243 59 237 27883 26270 110 230 74 238 59 251 51 243 26270 24585 91 238 56 227 56 251 46 246 24585 22823 58 246 47 219 51 249 43 244 22823 20985 44 246 42 221 43 240 38 240 20985 19065 35 244 36 229 41 241 37 238 19065 17060 30 242 36 243 40 248 34 241 17060 15011 27 238 35 246 34 263 28 252 15011 13038 24 227 33 245 21 262 14 246 13038 11249 24 219 29 244 18 247 11 229 11249 9659 23 212 29 240 18 237 12 226 9659 8247 25 208 27 234 19 229 14 243 8247 6991 27 210 25 224 19 226 15 263 6991 5877 28 212 22 219 18 227 17 280 5877 4891 29 213 20 224 15 233 17 284 4891 4023 28 212 18 233 14 241 15 281 4023 3258 25 213 16 242 12 249 14 280 3258 2575 20 211 15 248 10 254 13 279 2575 1971 15 205 13*252 10 256 12 278 1971 1467 13 195 11*256 9*259 11 275 1467 1080 10 185 10 257 8*261 9 271 1080 814 8 179 9 259 7 262 7 262 814 653 5 170 8 260 6 264 5 255 653 560 2*141 6 260 4 264 3*244 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography