DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 71.4 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 434 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1054 - - 1154 - - - - - 572 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 978 - - 1183 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1599 - - 1699 - - - - - 1117 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 346 - - 406 - - - - - 518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 323 - - - - - 114 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 271 - - - - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -285 - - -2158 - - - - - -166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1884 - - 3857 - - - - - 1283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9476 - - -9741 - - - - - -11678 ODpotential blCL - - - 11075 - - 11440 - - - - - 12795 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 74 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 71.4 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 69.0 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 55.9 - - - - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 434 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1054 - - 1154 - - - - - 572 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 0 - - - - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99167 37 107 37 102 34 110 99167 91682 28 111 24 109 38 099 91682 85927 30 117 23 106 30 083 85927 81157 29 104 23 109 23 086 81157 77054 22 090 24 113 20 105 77054 73438 19 102 23 104 20 098 73438 70168 16 090 14 108 15 088 70168 67173 13 097 11 113 11 079 67173 64413 12 102 6 123 8 098 64413 61748 4 172 7 116 7 136 61748 58967 13 216 13 211 10 174 58967 56084 18 234 21 210 15 234 56084 53341 33 230 37 232 36 245 53341 50883 39 226 46 234 55 241 50883 48678 39 234 46 234 56 235 48678 46664 57 250 57 247 62 250 46664 44806 70 246 73 245 78 248 44806 43078 66 242 74 242 81 243 43078 41466 59 238 60 240 67 243 41466 39958 55 236 53 239 57 244 39958 38539 56 238 52 238 56 244 38539 37166 57 239 53 236 55 242 37166 35775 58 239 52 237 56 240 35775 34336 54 240 49 240 55 242 34336 32844 48 240 44 239 46 240 32844 31284 42 234 42 232 40 235 31284 29638 42 227 43 226 39 233 29638 27908 44 226 46 229 42 237 27908 26090 46 235 45 235 41 243 26090 24187 24 236 27 238 37 248 24187 22214 13 232 19 227 22 263 22214 20171 10 236 15 233 14 251 20171 18044 8 238 11 241 11 241 18044 15867 11 227 14 245 11 254 15867 13764 13 218 11 230 8 253 13764 11852 11 221 10 209 7 241 11852 10155 9 232 11 201 7 227 10155 8651 8 231 10 208 9 200 8651 7316 8 216 10 207 10 192 7316 6130 8 199 11 202 10 193 6130 5080 8 193 11 200 8 202 5080 4157 8 196 10 204 5 226 4157 3345 7 201 8 221 6 269 3345 2625 6 227 8 250 8 277 2625 1997 8*262 10*268 11 275 1997 1481 8*264 11*271 12*267 1481 1087 8 264 11 271 11*261 1087 818 8 264 11 271 10 259 818 654 7 264 10 271 9 259 654 561 6 264 9 272 6 258 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography