DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 73.9 - - - - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 156 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1168 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 906 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1190 - - 1713 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 469 - - 854 - - - - - 435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 239 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 280 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3143 - - -3773 - - - - - -1187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4334 - - 5486 - - - - - 1749 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12131 - - -10202 - - - - - -10319 ODpotential blCL - - - 13321 - - 11915 - - - - - 10880 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 47 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 73.9 - - - - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 52.0 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 72.7 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 50.7 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 156 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1168 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96673 32 266 27 277 29 263 96673 89456 14 289 20 278 19 298 89456 83925 4 236 14 270 14 316 83925 79362 2 233 8 282 9 302 79362 75444 7 328 6 329 9 327 75444 71986 14 327 10 325 10 340 71986 68856 6 335 5 296 6 314 68856 65980 8 342 9 293 11 295 65980 63329 12 306 13 277 17 297 63329 60781 15 274 17 285 22 290 60781 58117 24 268 25 278 26 298 58117 55330 31 273 33 284 37 299 55330 52659 46 289 44 281 41 281 52659 50220 45 281 35 280 33 285 50220 47998 41 292 45 299 49 313 47998 45989 49 298 54 298 60 305 45989 44171 41 280 53 289 50 296 44171 42510 26 268 38 289 31 287 42510 40966 34 337 23 292 22 299 40966 39515 71 348 38 359 27 318 39515 38149 79 347 55 353 36 327 38149 36825 72 346 51 347 35 329 36825 35475 62 344 42 340 28 315 35475 34066 46 341 35 334 32 299 34066 32600 37 330 27 313 40 298 32600 31062 31 313 30 300 43 292 31062 29439 25 287 30 298 36 282 29439 27731 23 278 30 300 33 281 27731 25938 20 288 28 297 30 280 25938 24064 20 290 23 295 28 283 24064 22114 21 272 22 277 30 290 22114 20080 21 261 22 269 30 294 20080 17956 21 264 22 270 28 295 17956 15791 20 281 21 281 24 298 15791 13706 19 295 17 292 18 308 13706 11812 15 298 15 299 14 321 11812 10129 14 296 13 305 12 323 10129 8632 14 301 11 308 12 318 8632 7302 11 301 9 301 12 315 7302 6124 10 297 7 297 11 318 6124 5083 8 295 5 307 8 326 5083 4169 6 297 3 321 5 343 4169 3365 4 297 2 345 6 343 3365 2648 3 311 3 349 8 340 2648 2017 4 322 4*318 9 332 2017 1493 5*314 5*287 8 302 1493 1093 5*307 5 280 9 264 1093 820 5 306 5 279 10 247 820 655 4 307 5 277 8 241 655 561 4 307 4 277 5*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography