DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 68.4 - - 75.6 - - 65.9 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 136 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 401 - - 1753 - - 731 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1233 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 946 - - 2298 - - 1275 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 140 - - 968 - - 1245 - - 750 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 116 - - 256 - - 99 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 27 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 068 - - 274 - - 257 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5445 - - -7500 - - -7522 - - -2336 - - -208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6005 - - 8446 - - 9820 - - 3611 - - 769 sfcLCL ODpotential -18796 - - -17224 - - -16108 - - -10845 - - -10654 ODpotential blCL 19356 - - 18170 - - 18406 - - 12120 - - 11215 blCL maxRH 28 - - 26 - - 26 - - 62 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 68.4 - - 75.6 - - 65.9 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 34.3 - - 35.1 - - 52.3 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 68.2 - - 74.9 - - 66.1 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 33.2 - - 34.2 - - 51.8 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 55 - - 136 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 401 - - 1753 - - 731 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 55 292 40 285 47 277 50 275 53 286 96401 89329 32 291 25 275 32 284 30 284 27 296 89329 83897 22 286 19 286 21 272 23 286 25 296 83897 79370 10 275 21 292 16 269 14 274 26 287 79370 75454 7 271 22 289 19 279 10 274 25 284 75454 71973 7 284 15 277 21 273 15 284 25 287 71973 68795 11 303 9 261 21 264 20 278 23 283 68795 65874 14 293 11 277 20 253 25 267 25 276 65874 63191 15 269 16 280 19 251 28 262 27 263 63191 60608 17 269 19 275 20 259 26 263 30 255 60608 57912 25 278 25 276 25 268 30 262 33 253 57912 55108 29 279 28 275 30 272 34 259 37 249 55108 52424 29 287 32 273 37 272 41 263 41 259 52424 50011 27 291 33 272 42 266 48 262 51 267 50011 47854 32 295 40 278 47 266 52 263 56 265 47854 45899 39 290 45 278 50 268 52 269 54 268 45899 44115 39 284 45 276 48 269 52 277 52 270 44115 42473 39 284 45 280 46 274 49 276 51 274 42473 40939 38 288 45 284 43 282 46 275 51 274 40939 39490 32 299 37 282 41 283 43 273 51 274 39490 38117 30 307 30 279 39 277 41 272 48 273 38117 36784 29 305 31 283 36 271 40 272 46 273 36784 35427 27 295 31 286 34 271 40 276 42 275 35427 34015 27 293 31 292 31 276 36 286 33 279 34015 32552 26 300 29 302 23 286 35 291 28 284 32552 31020 22 315 22 304 18 288 25 285 28 281 31020 29406 15 336 13 312 15 273 20 277 27 273 29406 27707 11 001 8 320 8 246 18 263 25 265 27707 25922 13 019 7 358 3 223 13 242 22 253 25922 24052 16 027 9 020 1 012 8 228 18 253 24052 22101 16 022 9 032 1 014 6 244 16 262 22101 20070 13 018 8 022 2 306 9 267 16 292 20070 17951 11 027 6 007 5 305 10 278 17 300 17951 15786 9 031 6 343 8 312 11 294 14 291 15786 13694 7 021 7 327 9 316 11 313 11 297 13694 11789 5 002 6 317 9 318 8 326 7 307 11789 10095 4 016 5 309 7 314 5 332 4 296 10095 8593 5 025 4 314 4 305 4 300 3 248 8593 7262 7 024 5 325 3 291 6 286 5 253 7262 6085 5 031 4 313 2 224 5 271 5 255 6085 5048 2 060 3 236 6 201 5 260 4 229 5048 4138 2 110 6 189 8 210 5 272 2 204 4138 3340 3 116 7 183 7 218 6 290 1 299 3340 2629 3 120 6 187 5*245 8 295 4 351 2629 2004 3 143 5 189 6*267 10 281 5 349 2004 1487 3 164 4 184 8 273 11*264 5 313 1487 1091 3 142 3*167 8 276 11*259 7 275 1091 819 4 115 1*103 8 277 11 257 6 257 819 655 4 091 1 060 7 277 9 256 4*230 655 561 2*083 1 047 6 278 6 254 3*204 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography