DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 56.3 - - 65.2 - - 60.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - -6 - - 22 - - -15 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 328 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 873 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 313 - - 462 - - 398 - - 146 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 18 - - 91 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 069 - - 068 - - 049 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -2 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3365 - - -3541 - - -2854 - - -2642 - - -2640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3925 - - 4101 - - 3727 - - 3203 - - 3200 sfcLCL ODpotential -17828 - - -14743 - - -11645 - - -12453 - - -15600 ODpotential blCL 18388 - - 15303 - - 12518 - - 13014 - - 16160 blCL maxRH 35 - - 46 - - 54 - - 50 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 56.3 - - 65.2 - - 60.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 41.0 - - 51.1 - - 48.3 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 56.9 - - 65.2 - - 61.9 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 39.8 - - 49.9 - - 47.1 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - -6 - - 22 - - -15 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 328 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 24 018 23 359 33 349 24 332 34 332 96550 89523 19 031 22 047 10 040 8 339 23 324 89523 83995 20 063 16 073 9 053 8 031 13 005 83995 79375 19 067 12 075 10 021 14 022 21 037 79375 75412 13 035 12 060 8 019 14 026 19 024 75412 71921 7 347 14 027 8 026 12 018 18 017 71921 68767 7 004 16 353 14 360 16 003 20 019 68767 65876 11 020 14 340 18 351 17 008 23 019 65876 63201 15 018 13 337 17 349 14 359 21 002 63201 60609 14 016 9 342 15 343 13 350 17 345 60609 57905 11 013 11 348 13 334 15 351 12 342 57905 55101 8 354 9 359 6 326 11 348 10 357 55101 52413 6 003 8 033 1 079 3 309 7 007 52413 49980 4 041 10 030 7 078 2 133 2 347 49980 47792 4 069 1 017 3 063 4 049 1 145 47792 45803 4 089 5 193 5 223 2 284 4 045 45803 43981 7 126 9 165 12 190 13 198 5 248 43981 42310 5 098 12 117 15 149 18 161 12 223 42310 40763 9 231 9 186 9 170 15 160 17 192 40763 39317 19 195 17 201 12 198 12 169 19 163 39317 37954 20 182 20 202 17 204 9 195 16 149 37954 36633 18 185 20 201 21 207 16 214 15 180 36633 35291 17 198 21 207 24 206 22 211 20 203 35291 33895 17 215 22 212 25 207 24 212 26 208 33895 32447 21 222 23 216 25 213 29 216 32 210 32447 30930 25 218 26 215 25 220 30 220 33 214 30930 29330 22 217 26 210 27 219 27 225 20 218 29330 27648 17 219 23 212 25 214 24 221 14 207 27648 25884 11 220 19 218 21 220 23 232 9 205 25884 24037 7 239 13 227 16 232 15 250 6 298 24037 22109 6 266 9 246 10 243 9 278 6 336 22109 20093 7 317 8 279 6 296 5 352 6 028 20093 17988 8 002 5 021 6 046 7 052 9 061 17988 15833 14 042 12 058 10 061 11 059 11 057 15833 13750 14 039 11 048 10 053 14 053 16 065 13750 11849 10 025 10 040 11 049 14 057 17 069 11849 10157 9 026 9 039 10 050 12 061 16 070 10157 8654 10 030 9 043 9 049 11 063 13 066 8654 7319 11 036 10 052 8 050 9 060 11 060 7319 6134 12 040 8 054 7 046 7 051 10 059 6134 5086 11 037 5 040 6 037 6 052 7 059 5086 4165 9 036 2 000 5 041 5 066 4 048 4165 3357 5 046 2 002 4 055 4 081 3 000 3357 2637 4 060 2 032 5 072 4 086 4 358 2637 2006 4 064 3 059 6 084 5 087 5 013 2006 1484 7 084 7 087 10 083 11 083 8 056 1484 1086 12 082 12 086 12*076 15 076 15 074 1086 816 14 076 12 080 10*071 13 070 16 076 816 653 11*066 10 075 9 069 11*065 12 070 653 560 4*052 4*069 6 064 4*049 4*056 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography