DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 60.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 34 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1046 - - 2416 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1590 - - 2961 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2228 - - 1711 - - 3273 - - 1852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 193 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 22 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 174 - - 142 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -334 - - 603 - - -1067 - - -342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1924 - - 2358 - - 1628 - - 903 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1064 - - -150 - - -2051 - - -1694 ODpotential blCL - - - 2654 - - 3111 - - 2612 - - 2255 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 93 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 60.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 51.6 - - 52.0 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 59.9 - - 58.2 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 50.6 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 34 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1046 - - 2416 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 71 - - 98 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96084 20 303 20 311 17 311 22 302 96084 89012 18 319 10 320 13 308 17 306 89012 83555 15 305 17 293 12 328 10 334 83555 78998 8 269 14 290 18 292 13 282 78998 75071 11 280 11 293 15 291 8 287 75071 71581 19 265 20 252 20 266 16 265 71581 68396 18 254 25 247 24 247 20 251 68396 65454 19 240 19 233 26 241 21 241 65454 62719 31 230 14 212 32 231 29 231 62719 60064 40 227 18 227 36 227 35 224 60064 57275 45 232 38 237 40 242 43 240 57275 54380 55 235 65 240 67 236 79 223 54380 51620 67 234 85 228 80 219 82 213 51620 49108 77 235 81 225 74 227 71 224 49108 46834 86 234 78 235 88 235 92 236 46834 44775 94 228 96 230 102 231 122 234 44775 42892 100 223 110 220 104 223 127 227 42892 41154 102 221 115 218 111 217 118 223 41154 39547 110 222 125 216 113 212 108 223 39547 38059 122 219 132 213 105 209 103 223 38059 36677 125 215 127 210 96 208 96 224 36677 35357 120 214 115 208 89 208 91 222 35357 34030 108 214 102 209 88 205 89 218 34030 32667 93 214 94 211 87 204 89 216 32667 31260 83 215 90 215 82 207 91 217 31260 29788 82 218 75 219 70 209 93 220 29788 28236 71 219 53 215 58 206 88 224 28236 26606 53 219 56 203 57 202 77 226 26606 24896 57 210 57 201 61 200 64 223 24896 23108 56 206 60 203 68 203 58 218 23108 21245 54 207 61 207 73 209 58 215 21245 19301 48 208 56 211 70 213 66 213 19301 17272 45 208 51 213 63 211 67 216 17272 15201 44 207 48 212 57 206 56 216 15201 13203 44 206 45 209 53 201 45 211 13203 11386 44 205 43 205 52 197 42 210 11386 9772 42 206 42 204 52 197 42 213 9772 8340 40 206 41 203 50 198 41 212 8340 7066 38 204 39 199 47 199 40 205 7066 5938 36 200 37 191 44 197 42 194 5938 4940 34 197 36 184 40 192 45 188 4940 4063 31 196 34 181 37 186 46 185 4063 3289 27 197 31*179 35 180 44 182 3289 2597 23 196 28*177 33 176 42 178 2597 1986 19*196 25 175 30 172 37 173 1986 1477 15*195 22 174 25 167 31 167 1477 1086 12 195 20 172 20 161 24 161 1086 817 10 195 18 172 15 154 17 153 817 654 8 195 15 171 13*150 13*148 654 561 6 196 10 169 7*142 6*136 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography