DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 59.1 - - 62.8 - - 60.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 227 - - 305 - - 163 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 2359 - - 2580 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1886 - - 2150 - - 1148 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 671 - - 2903 - - 3124 - - 2054 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1346 - - 1320 - - 1830 - - 917 - - 1133 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 334 - - 380 - - 258 - - 9 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 276 - - 274 - - 273 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -639 - - -122 - - -499 - - -1040 - - -920 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1310 - - 3025 - - 3623 - - 3094 - - 1480 sfcLCL ODpotential -3926 - - -1556 - - -1762 - - -3911 - - -3709 ODpotential blCL 4597 - - 4459 - - 4886 - - 5965 - - 4269 blCL maxRH 87 - - 83 - - 77 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 59.1 - - 62.8 - - 60.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.1 - - 47.9 - - 49.0 - - 49.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 57.6 - - 60.9 - - 59.7 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 46.8 - - 47.9 - - 48.4 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 227 - - 305 - - 163 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 2359 - - 2580 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 31 - - 6 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97636 24 307 25 298 25 293 24 297 29 310 97636 90283 19 304 19 293 23 301 21 307 26 316 90283 84641 17 298 15 299 16 288 22 307 25 311 84641 79973 20 289 16 295 10 279 18 291 20 298 79973 75956 18 286 18 268 17 283 15 282 15 290 75956 72380 17 276 17 248 18 274 12 255 11 248 72380 69112 19 258 18 246 21 263 15 251 15 247 69112 66096 21 248 20 252 25 254 20 257 19 252 66096 63292 21 240 23 253 26 255 22 263 20 250 63292 60571 18 246 23 247 26 254 23 261 20 255 60571 57731 17 262 20 255 22 251 22 259 19 263 57731 54790 21 263 21 258 21 256 22 261 21 267 54790 51994 24 263 21 252 23 262 25 266 24 273 51994 49489 26 268 20 264 26 257 28 272 26 280 49489 47263 29 272 23 276 26 255 29 274 28 285 47263 45259 32 271 27 273 25 269 28 272 30 277 45259 43431 35 274 29 277 29 283 28 283 28 294 43431 41753 36 277 32 276 28 284 31 291 26 297 41753 40196 40 274 31 276 28 292 28 285 20 296 40196 38735 39 272 34 275 26 292 26 329 16 304 38735 37359 41 273 36 271 21 298 31 357 18 350 37359 36032 40 275 34 271 20 319 39 009 29 013 36032 34687 38 279 30 280 24 337 44 011 34 010 34687 33293 40 279 30 287 27 348 49 013 34 006 33293 31848 45 272 32 286 26 353 50 013 33 005 31848 30332 51 266 32 281 26 351 49 012 31 003 30332 28736 53 266 34 278 25 347 46 008 30 359 28736 27060 53 266 39 275 24 346 43 003 31 351 27060 25306 52 263 44 270 24 350 40 003 33 344 25306 23473 53 263 44 266 24 353 32 355 32 340 23473 21564 50 267 43 267 22 356 28 328 28 341 21564 19574 40 269 41 269 19 351 30 316 23 331 19574 17499 32 265 31 281 17 335 26 327 24 324 17499 15383 22 270 12 314 8 340 18 346 22 338 15383 13349 14 284 8 283 5 321 12 357 18 360 13349 11502 6 274 7 257 5 329 6 003 12 007 11502 9864 2 256 4 214 1 344 3 037 7 352 9864 8413 1 151 4 165 3 153 3 099 5 333 8413 7127 2 160 3 127 4 136 4 089 3 027 7127 5986 3 193 1 094 4 107 6 067 11 048 5986 4977 4 186 1 252 2 092 6 047 10 034 4977 4089 3 175 2 253 1 294 5 013 9 359 4089 3306 2 195 4*272 5*279 6 335 12 340 3306 2607 4 285 6*277 8*275 7*308 13 328 2607 1991 6 293 7 276 9 274 11*278 12 312 1991 1478 6 310 7 276 10 274 11 274 11 290 1478 1086 4 294 6 276 10 274 11 272 10 266 1086 817 3*253 6 276 10 273 11 271 9 249 817 654 3*215 6 276 9 274 10 271 7 238 654 560 2 214 5 276 8 274 8 270 5*230 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography