DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 89.3 - - 85.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 347 - - 177 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1057 - - 1307 - - 892 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 956 - - 1247 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1602 - - 1853 - - 1438 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 416 - - 780 - - 534 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 313 - - 220 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 274 - - 257 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5213 - - -7196 - - -6642 - - -4472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6816 - - 9050 - - 8080 - - 5034 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11328 - - -11615 - - -12116 - - -12388 ODpotential blCL - - - 12930 - - 13468 - - 13554 - - 12950 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 63 - - 53 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 89.3 - - 85.2 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 52.1 - - 52.3 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 87.2 - - 83.8 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.8 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 347 - - 177 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1057 - - 1307 - - 892 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99123 22 109 21 100 21 104 26 093 99123 91676 26 114 19 114 22 096 21 084 91676 85930 20 101 23 107 17 101 20 093 85930 81146 17 085 22 101 15 104 19 101 81146 77036 12 101 17 105 13 095 14 074 77036 73423 11 104 12 108 8 100 10 067 73423 70152 9 104 8 082 12 103 10 086 70152 67137 10 108 4 129 7 077 10 099 67137 64346 5 083 9 140 3 172 2 122 64346 61661 10 211 6 219 3 248 3 322 61661 58879 17 190 19 215 19 234 15 258 58879 56002 16 220 25 222 26 233 21 247 56002 53272 26 231 36 222 40 229 40 239 53272 50830 33 239 36 231 43 229 47 234 50830 48640 44 250 43 246 46 241 48 246 48640 46648 57 252 60 250 62 248 65 253 46648 44816 66 247 66 244 69 245 72 252 44816 43115 66 244 65 244 65 246 71 251 43115 41523 62 245 64 246 59 248 66 249 41523 40030 57 245 57 245 54 240 59 248 40030 38626 47 246 49 244 51 236 52 239 38626 37270 42 246 39 242 45 235 52 236 37270 35891 42 243 38 240 42 230 48 236 35891 34459 42 238 40 236 41 232 42 231 34459 32974 41 236 41 235 39 232 40 228 32974 31416 39 233 39 232 39 229 39 226 31416 29777 36 230 37 230 38 227 36 226 29777 28056 36 224 37 227 38 227 34 222 28056 26254 33 221 35 226 38 226 34 217 26254 24368 27 216 30 220 37 224 32 219 24368 22404 26 216 30 216 33 224 27 213 22404 20358 27 222 29 217 27 220 25 207 20358 18226 27 223 28 220 24 218 22 206 18226 16054 25 222 25 222 22 222 17 207 16054 13960 21 220 21 222 20 224 15 220 13960 12047 19 220 18 221 18 221 15 220 12047 10341 16 222 15 223 15 221 15 214 10341 8819 13 224 13 227 12 226 13 212 8819 7464 11 228 10 233 9 234 10 219 7464 6259 9 238 9 243 8 250 7 241 6259 5192 7 249 7 253 7 264 5 274 5192 4255 5 264 5 266 5 279 4 298 4255 3429 4 291 3 304 6 325 5 320 3429 2695 5 325 4 314 8 331 8 334 2695 2050 5*328 5*297 7 310 10 332 2050 1516 4*297 7*279 9*266 8 312 1516 1107 4 284 8 274 9*258 8 267 1107 828 4 281 8 272 9 257 8 239 828 658 3 280 7 272 9 256 7*230 658 562 3 279 7 272 7 256 5*226 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography