DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 82.8 - - 76.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 464 - - 313 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 925 - - 721 - - 295 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 830 - - 1030 - - 800 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1322 - - 1470 - - 1266 - - 839 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 417 - - 355 - - 344 - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 306 - - 247 - - 79 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 270 - - 268 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5001 - - -5627 - - -3811 - - -1483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6323 - - 7097 - - 5078 - - 2323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13946 - - -13611 - - -13325 - - -13902 ODpotential blCL - - - 15268 - - 15081 - - 14591 - - 14741 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 44 - - 58 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 82.8 - - 76.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 54.1 - - 56.4 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 80.2 - - 74.4 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 53.6 - - 56.1 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 464 - - 313 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 925 - - 721 - - 295 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98872 41 107 36 111 32 112 36 102 98872 91436 32 095 36 102 30 104 30 110 91436 85709 26 099 26 105 33 104 28 091 85709 80962 24 115 22 104 27 100 26 099 80962 76875 26 106 21 107 20 104 28 090 76875 73262 24 096 22 107 19 105 20 084 73262 70005 18 090 22 105 21 102 17 104 70005 67024 15 084 16 103 19 090 15 106 67024 64273 9 074 11 094 14 085 14 085 64273 61627 10 107 8 101 12 092 14 074 61627 58883 7 077 6 075 7 112 4 074 58883 56060 2 173 1 182 2 065 3 136 56060 53383 7 274 7 284 5 310 4 345 53383 50984 16 293 16 286 15 287 13 311 50984 48841 26 286 25 282 24 279 22 290 48841 46894 34 282 31 282 33 280 29 289 46894 45095 41 275 39 279 39 276 35 283 45095 43416 40 268 42 275 40 273 38 279 43416 41838 38 267 42 273 39 272 40 277 41838 40347 39 269 41 271 39 272 41 275 40347 38935 40 270 39 271 39 272 41 272 38935 37564 39 269 37 271 40 273 40 273 37564 36167 37 270 36 274 41 275 39 275 36167 34715 38 272 35 278 38 277 38 277 34715 33207 35 274 35 279 36 278 36 277 33207 31629 32 274 31 277 34 279 34 278 31629 29969 31 274 30 276 30 278 30 277 29969 28227 28 277 29 277 30 278 27 280 28227 26401 24 280 25 276 27 279 23 284 26401 24494 23 285 22 276 24 274 22 283 24494 22509 25 281 24 278 22 275 20 282 22509 20439 29 282 27 277 25 274 22 278 20439 18278 24 292 19 282 23 278 20 284 18278 16076 14 290 9 279 12 269 10 278 16076 13955 9 267 7 269 6 256 3 261 13955 12023 6 296 4 268 2 250 2 173 12023 10306 5 325 3 283 2 267 2 238 10306 8783 2 328 2 272 2 236 3 249 8783 7429 0 008 2 248 3 223 4 232 7429 6228 2 043 1 215 3 234 4 241 6228 5165 2 057 2 216 2 259 3 260 5165 4230 1 057 2 237 4 290 4 300 4230 3405 1 250 4 258 5 301 7 313 3405 2671 4 253 8 270 9 296 9 318 2671 2026 5 254 11 271 12 277 9 290 2026 1497 5*262 12*270 12*269 8 270 1497 1095 5*269 12*269 12*268 8*265 1095 822 5 272 12 270 12 267 7*263 822 656 5 273 11 270 11 268 6 264 656 561 4 275 10 271 9 268 5 265 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography