DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 68.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 144 - - 200 - - 29 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1506 - - 3790 - - 2801 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 1053 - - 2869 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2050 - - 4335 - - 3346 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 237 - - 1650 - - 1315 - - 2406 - - 1450 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 244 - - 371 - - 176 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 19 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 024 - - 023 - - 338 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -5 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -898 - - -2320 - - -2524 - - -3022 - - -3114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1458 - - 4370 - - 6859 - - 6368 - - 3675 sfcLCL ODpotential -11817 - - -9734 - - -8474 - - -9129 - - -11699 ODpotential blCL 12377 - - 11784 - - 12809 - - 12475 - - 12260 blCL maxRH 73 - - 61 - - 85 - - 71 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 62.0 - - 69.3 - - 68.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 44.9 - - 41.2 - - 42.7 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 60.9 - - 67.8 - - 68.3 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 40.6 - - 42.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 144 - - 200 - - 29 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1506 - - 3790 - - 2801 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96894 28 264 36 291 25 266 37 264 49 271 96894 89684 12 285 23 258 20 275 16 283 21 263 89684 84153 14 308 18 255 20 272 16 285 20 267 84153 79542 17 287 16 253 23 261 21 268 25 270 79542 75549 17 275 11 246 21 248 21 268 23 266 75549 71997 19 273 9 242 18 230 21 261 19 267 71997 68764 21 264 13 250 20 241 23 256 18 281 68764 65780 23 261 19 249 23 249 27 261 22 277 65780 63010 25 271 19 258 25 246 28 260 22 271 63010 60316 27 276 20 265 23 247 27 259 22 266 60316 57486 31 271 23 260 25 256 27 260 26 259 57486 54545 32 268 27 260 27 255 29 264 28 254 54545 51753 37 261 28 261 28 256 31 266 28 260 51753 49264 33 262 32 264 33 258 34 257 30 262 49264 47055 38 270 36 264 37 260 33 259 30 260 47055 45075 38 269 36 267 37 262 36 259 33 259 45075 43290 32 271 44 273 38 269 40 260 44 252 43290 41670 42 283 52 265 54 261 53 253 50 245 41670 40175 46 281 47 266 53 253 50 248 47 249 40175 38765 43 285 45 266 47 250 42 250 44 236 38765 37428 43 289 42 265 42 260 36 252 38 234 37428 36127 44 292 41 270 41 264 34 263 31 238 36127 34798 44 295 38 277 39 265 33 260 28 238 34798 33410 40 299 38 282 37 268 31 273 24 237 33410 31968 38 305 37 279 34 271 30 265 21 239 31968 30455 39 313 33 275 32 275 31 257 17 246 30455 28862 36 308 30 279 32 277 32 251 19 244 28862 27189 34 278 29 282 33 267 32 247 24 234 27189 25436 33 278 31 284 33 265 30 253 24 230 25436 23602 23 284 27 278 32 267 31 258 22 243 23602 21693 22 273 26 278 32 271 33 262 20 274 21693 19705 24 269 24 276 28 271 28 269 13 269 19705 17630 25 279 25 277 21 277 20 271 4 225 17630 15508 27 281 21 285 13 292 8 284 5 057 15508 13458 24 286 15 298 10 309 5 335 6 049 13458 11592 21 291 13 304 9 317 6 348 6 054 11592 9935 16 300 10 306 8 323 7 352 5 055 9935 8463 10 311 5 311 5 325 7 349 4 048 8463 7159 6 324 3 332 1 357 2 346 3 042 7159 6006 5 354 3 010 3 052 3 064 1 085 6006 4991 4 025 4 011 5*038 5 047 2 117 4991 4101 4 038 5 011 5*032 4*034 2 074 4101 3318 5 038 6 015 4 027 4*013 3 048 3318 2618 6 045 5*024 4 024 4 355 5 048 2618 2000 7 054 4*027 3 021 4 337 7 050 2000 1485 7 053 3 024 3 017 4 325 8 049 1485 1090 5 050 3 023 3 014 4 322 8 047 1090 819 4 051 3 023 2 013 4 320 6 045 819 655 3*055 2 022 2 014 4 319 3*042 655 561 2*059 2 023 2 014 3 318 1*043 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography