DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 81.4 - - 72.6 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 340 - - 148 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 769 - - 1375 - - 740 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 1287 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1314 - - 1920 - - 1285 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 625 - - 528 - - 499 - - 538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 315 - - 194 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 272 - - 259 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5793 - - -5273 - - -3282 - - -1038 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7107 - - 7193 - - 4568 - - 1599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10750 - - -9863 - - -9394 - - -9868 ODpotential blCL - - - 12064 - - 11783 - - 10679 - - 10429 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 43 - - 60 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 81.4 - - 72.6 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 52.2 - - 54.8 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 79.3 - - 71.4 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 51.8 - - 54.5 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 340 - - 148 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 769 - - 1375 - - 740 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98271 6 209 3 157 9 188 3 239 98271 90895 3 138 7 104 6 168 3 093 90895 85252 6 086 4 119 6 109 4 108 85252 80574 5 047 5 119 5 109 11 117 80574 76530 1 085 2 100 6 107 10 097 76530 72964 6 165 3 247 6 038 5 053 72964 69741 5 149 7 175 2 151 5 183 69741 66757 5 199 4 247 4 207 4 188 66757 63974 8 194 10 214 10 207 9 243 63974 61271 15 251 16 262 11 247 10 209 61271 58432 22 237 24 253 23 264 14 275 58432 55486 21 227 27 239 33 250 29 263 55486 52692 21 241 25 226 31 238 33 257 52692 50197 20 259 23 243 31 246 34 250 50197 47982 24 269 25 251 29 247 31 244 47982 45990 22 283 21 265 26 255 29 249 45990 44186 21 300 25 293 31 276 33 267 44186 42537 21 309 28 304 35 283 41 275 42537 41003 22 313 25 305 33 284 37 276 41003 39556 19 312 23 301 30 280 34 270 39556 38182 15 311 19 292 26 281 31 268 38182 36846 9 320 16 280 23 278 28 268 36846 35483 9 295 16 277 23 276 23 266 35483 34064 11 290 14 284 22 278 23 263 34064 32592 11 268 11 285 21 269 19 263 32592 31049 13 235 10 260 17 261 17 258 31049 29424 18 225 14 226 14 242 18 245 29424 27721 19 225 19 220 19 236 21 245 27721 25938 16 228 17 219 20 241 21 252 25938 24076 13 233 15 217 18 244 20 250 24076 22133 12 229 15 217 15 237 18 243 22133 20106 12 231 15 222 15 227 17 234 20106 17994 9 225 13 213 14 219 16 230 17994 15837 10 188 15 192 14 204 14 228 15837 13756 15 187 20 190 15 201 13 220 13756 11863 17 198 20 196 14 204 15 211 11863 10180 16 205 16 205 13 209 17 215 10180 8683 12 209 12 207 13 212 15 222 8683 7350 9 208 12 206 12 210 13 222 7350 6163 9 211 11 210 11 206 12 211 6163 5111 10 206 10 216 8 211 10 207 5111 4186 10 202 9 221 7 238 8 228 4186 3372 10 207 8 243 9 274 6 272 3372 2649 9 222 11 263 12 280 7 311 2649 2016 8 246 13*270 12 274 8 304 2016 1491 7*274 13*272 11*263 8 274 1491 1093 7*277 14 272 10*259 9 249 1093 820 7 278 13 272 10 259 8 241 820 655 7 278 12 272 9 259 6*237 655 561 6 277 10 272 7 259 4*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography