DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 65.4 - - 63.5 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 338 - - 240 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 1597 - - 1282 - - 464 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1206 - - 1449 - - 1124 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2038 - - 2142 - - 1827 - - 1009 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 520 - - 674 - - 753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 332 - - 274 - - 67 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 283 - - 282 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 296 - - -292 - - -442 - - -211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1742 - - 2434 - - 2269 - - 1220 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 153 - - -6642 - - -7300 - - -8288 ODpotential blCL - - - 1885 - - 8784 - - 9127 - - 9297 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 95 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 65.4 - - 63.5 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 56.6 - - 55.4 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 63.4 - - 61.9 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 55.9 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 338 - - 240 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1493 - - 1597 - - 1282 - - 464 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 79 - - 76 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98231 7 087 6 124 14 130 13 134 98231 90838 7 126 9 139 11 144 9 119 90838 85160 7 199 5 177 3 121 6 082 85160 80426 13 204 5 209 2 062 6 110 80426 76317 8 190 9 232 2 263 3 071 76317 72665 3 222 10 209 8 244 5 308 72665 69358 1 232 8 216 10 258 9 300 69358 66335 2 263 7 249 10 261 9 293 66335 63545 8 290 8 262 10 264 11 289 63545 60843 12 291 11 257 13 263 14 284 60843 58029 13 281 12 254 13 273 15 277 58029 55122 14 274 13 266 15 283 17 275 55122 52357 15 274 16 267 19 277 19 272 52357 49878 16 275 17 265 18 272 18 264 49878 47669 17 277 14 258 17 260 18 260 47669 45684 12 258 13 233 15 237 18 249 45684 43884 6 243 15 207 16 215 16 228 43884 42234 5 253 13 196 15 209 13 221 42234 40699 6 252 11 215 15 218 14 234 40699 39256 6 247 12 230 15 226 15 233 39256 37888 8 240 15 236 15 242 14 241 37888 36558 9 239 16 242 16 257 14 255 36558 35199 10 242 14 243 17 258 17 259 35199 33784 10 241 11 240 13 255 16 259 33784 32317 8 239 11 237 11 252 11 248 32317 30784 9 258 11 255 10 245 8 235 30784 29171 13 271 13 259 11 241 9 226 29171 27478 13 270 14 260 10 250 7 239 27478 25702 9 272 10 258 8 266 6 293 25702 23845 6 259 7 226 7 235 3 248 23845 21910 5 266 4 232 3 192 2 170 21910 19893 3 250 5 237 3 159 4 162 19893 17793 6 214 8 227 5 202 5 188 17793 15655 7 204 11 215 10 208 11 210 15655 13597 8 208 12 204 13 199 13 208 13597 11724 8 208 11 201 13 195 14 204 11724 10057 9 199 12 203 13 204 14 207 10057 8574 9 211 12 208 14 208 13 205 8574 7254 11 223 12 205 14 203 10 195 7254 6080 11 213 12 195 12 191 8 183 6080 5041 12 185 12 184 12 182 7 177 5041 4127 14 178 11 184 10 188 4 176 4127 3325 13 197 8 207 7 229 3 219 3325 2614 9*229 9*265 13 271 10 260 2614 1993 7*269 11*281 14*279 12 271 1993 1479 7 289 11 283 14*281 11 275 1479 1087 7 294 11 284 13 282 9*273 1087 818 6 297 11 284 13 282 8*271 818 654 6 298 10 284 12 282 7 271 654 561 5 299 8 285 9 283 5 270 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography