DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.3 - - - - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 65 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1848 - - 3910 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 543 - - 2371 - - - - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2392 - - 4453 - - - - - 559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5008 - - 6186 - - - - - 3281 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 280 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 26 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 304 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 11 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 173 - - 1343 - - - - - -874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2219 - - 3110 - - - - - 1433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -931 - - 12 - - - - - -1765 ODpotential blCL - - - 3323 - - 4441 - - - - - 2324 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 98 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 270 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.3 - - - - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 36.6 - - - - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 48.0 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 35.4 - - - - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 65 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1848 - - 3910 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 92 - - - - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96623 29 114 24 106 22 097 96623 89464 26 100 20 115 19 093 89464 83913 13 075 17 109 12 105 83913 79280 6 112 10 105 8 130 79280 75268 5 113 5 098 5 078 75268 71707 10 100 1 294 7 030 71707 68468 10 063 4 144 4 276 68468 65474 18 309 3 308 4 306 65474 62683 13 290 9 234 8 275 62683 59975 15 299 16 303 9 332 59975 57155 28 292 31 290 30 307 57155 54223 37 298 31 276 33 291 54223 51403 41 306 35 292 36 295 51403 48844 55 306 45 298 44 300 48844 46541 65 294 52 302 50 294 46541 44449 64 291 57 305 50 298 44449 42530 66 297 62 306 57 312 42530 40760 70 298 67 305 69 314 40760 39124 72 297 73 302 77 309 39124 37602 75 296 78 299 77 305 37602 36174 78 296 82 297 72 309 36174 34804 83 295 85 296 74 317 34804 33429 92 290 90 291 79 323 33429 32025 97 282 87 287 82 325 32025 30594 94 278 81 294 84 326 30594 29117 85 284 83 301 85 327 29117 27574 84 297 89 304 87 327 27574 25958 90 301 92 304 88 327 25958 24265 92 299 91 304 88 328 24265 22497 92 298 86 304 89 328 22497 20656 88 298 79 305 87 328 20656 18739 79 299 76 307 79 328 18739 16743 71 303 72 305 70 327 16743 14710 66 304 64 303 65 325 14710 12758 44 307 48 307 53 329 12758 11002 29 296 33 311 38 329 11002 9456 33 280 31 307 35 326 9456 8083 38 276 31 305 40 327 8083 6859 42 281 32 306 42 329 6859 5771 43 285 31 307 41 332 5771 4806 41 290 31*308 38 332 4806 3956 39 293 30*307 36 330 3956 3206 38 294 29 306 34 328 3206 2535 35*294 27 304 31 326 2535 1943 33*293 26 303 26 322 1943 1448 29 292 25 302 20 317 1448 1069 26 291 24 301 15 308 1069 808 22 290 22 300 11 295 808 650 19 290 19 300 9 285 650 559 12 289 13 299 4*269 559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography