DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.6 - - 67.5 - - 75.5 - - 76.2 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 63 - - 109 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 619 - - 1353 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 812 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1163 - - 1898 - - 1264 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 137 - - 712 - - 1164 - - 1721 - - 287 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 147 - - 227 - - 119 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 248 - - 312 - - 297 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1242 - - -2867 - - -3310 - - -3315 - - -1610 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1803 - - 4030 - - 5208 - - 4579 - - 2172 sfcLCL ODpotential -13418 - - -11990 - - -10197 - - -9864 - - -10558 ODpotential blCL 13979 - - 13153 - - 12095 - - 11128 - - 11120 blCL maxRH 62 - - 56 - - 51 - - 52 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.6 - - 67.5 - - 75.5 - - 76.2 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.0 - - 52.2 - - 54.9 - - 58.2 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.5 - - 67.0 - - 74.6 - - 76.2 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 50.8 - - 53.6 - - 57.1 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 63 - - 109 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 619 - - 1353 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 14 280 6 330 11 281 8 270 7 276 96496 89340 1 003 8 102 5 232 4 253 6 032 89340 83854 7 071 10 090 4 093 7 082 10 096 83854 79292 11 106 6 077 6 090 7 049 15 063 79292 75368 15 039 15 046 11 073 11 066 13 044 75368 71923 13 029 14 032 16 031 18 045 15 039 71923 68807 18 027 12 058 11 021 13 012 17 024 68807 65935 23 359 21 016 21 015 19 022 23 022 65935 63286 33 353 31 001 30 359 29 003 28 003 63286 60734 39 344 29 350 27 346 28 351 26 359 60734 58059 38 336 24 346 24 349 28 356 26 004 58059 55260 38 336 29 353 33 349 38 357 31 010 55260 52580 42 339 43 345 41 347 48 353 41 001 52580 50181 44 357 46 348 41 355 43 355 35 002 50181 48044 62 003 58 005 47 011 47 014 43 018 48044 46124 63 348 56 000 51 007 54 008 51 004 46124 44378 51 342 47 343 49 353 50 359 48 348 44378 42758 33 006 48 335 44 356 40 004 41 350 42758 41236 35 019 44 337 36 003 34 011 36 353 41236 39794 39 015 41 342 38 011 33 009 36 359 39794 38424 41 007 41 349 43 003 36 005 39 003 38424 37088 42 354 43 354 43 358 38 358 44 004 37088 35724 51 346 43 355 44 360 36 356 46 003 35724 34300 54 343 44 354 43 002 36 001 45 360 34300 32820 54 342 45 353 40 359 38 004 42 358 32820 31268 54 345 43 352 36 352 39 001 38 001 31268 29633 52 350 38 354 33 350 37 000 35 006 29633 27915 47 354 36 357 31 352 34 360 34 007 27915 26114 42 354 35 356 31 354 33 357 36 008 26114 24230 36 350 34 351 30 353 34 356 38 007 24230 22266 33 345 34 344 31 349 34 357 36 004 22266 20214 34 344 34 345 31 349 32 356 31 360 20214 18072 35 348 30 344 30 350 28 355 26 352 18072 15887 34 356 27 344 27 348 24 354 22 340 15887 13783 30 002 25 346 26 347 22 352 20 339 13783 11872 26 005 23 354 24 353 20 357 16 351 11872 10177 22 008 19 009 19 004 17 005 12 001 10177 8674 20 010 18 023 15 016 12 013 10 007 8674 7339 19 017 18 025 14 024 10 020 10 012 7339 6155 21 021 19 024 15 025 10 027 10 018 6155 5109 24 022 20 027 18 026 13 037 12 019 5109 4191 26 020 22 031 20 031 14 040 13 022 4191 3386 28 019 22 032 16 034 11 040 10 027 3386 2667 27 018 20 030 10 031 7 033 10 029 2667 2033 20 015 12 030 5*012 5 003 11 024 2033 1505 10 009 4*030 3*323 4*323 11 011 1505 1101 3 344 1*259 3 313 4*302 8 356 1101 824 2 231 1 244 3 307 4 297 4 319 824 657 4*192 1 248 3 306 4 295 3*240 657 562 4*186 1 247 3 305 4 294 4*219 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography