DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 54.8 - - 54.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 95 - - 64 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 1806 - - 1827 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 950 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1948 - - 2350 - - 2371 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2037 - - 2477 - - 1940 - - 2423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 229 - - 202 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 274 - - 267 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 531 - - 281 - - 365 - - -722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1417 - - 2069 - - 2007 - - 1282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 314 - - -121 - - 81 - - -1329 ODpotential blCL - - - 1634 - - 2471 - - 2290 - - 1889 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 54.8 - - 54.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 47.9 - - 47.8 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 54.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 95 - - 64 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 1806 - - 1827 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97507 3 061 7 284 11 311 13 333 97507 90176 3 184 2 333 10 346 6 053 90176 84554 11 126 7 105 5 033 6 066 84554 79873 9 096 13 107 6 085 6 100 79873 75833 10 103 7 093 6 050 6 086 75833 72257 9 098 4 094 5 071 9 073 72257 69007 7 098 4 143 5 130 5 097 69007 65999 3 142 8 177 6 178 10 200 65999 63191 7 183 9 191 7 224 8 204 63191 60457 8 231 9 195 7 229 2 247 60457 57607 12 221 7 204 11 257 7 272 57607 54654 12 264 10 284 8 269 6 303 54654 51835 16 274 11 288 17 307 17 323 51835 49306 15 300 16 310 24 305 24 322 49306 47053 18 311 22 322 27 311 27 322 47053 45017 25 319 25 325 28 318 30 330 45017 43159 31 326 29 326 31 328 32 331 43159 41447 31 331 37 329 35 336 31 338 41447 39856 34 341 42 328 40 338 34 345 39856 38367 40 348 43 327 41 336 38 348 38367 36972 44 352 42 329 41 336 38 347 36972 35630 48 354 41 336 39 338 35 350 35630 34278 49 353 38 343 36 341 36 356 34278 32890 42 353 36 351 34 347 36 001 32890 31464 35 354 37 354 34 355 35 004 31464 29977 33 351 34 352 36 359 36 008 29977 28412 35 348 30 350 36 357 35 013 28412 26771 36 348 30 348 32 351 32 014 26771 25052 34 352 29 346 29 345 26 011 25052 23256 31 356 29 347 27 342 21 008 23256 21383 30 359 31 347 26 345 19 008 21383 19422 30 002 32 348 26 349 19 005 19422 17371 30 358 31 348 26 352 19 360 17371 15274 28 352 29 350 25 352 20 353 15274 13250 29 353 27 356 24 352 21 350 13250 11409 30 359 26 002 23 353 21 352 11409 9777 27 004 23 002 22 354 22 356 9777 8328 21 357 19 357 20 355 21 356 8328 7044 15 346 14 000 16 355 19 353 7044 5910 9 328 8 350 9 356 15 005 5910 4913 9 298 6 324 6 340 11 014 4913 4038 11 292 7 304 6 305 9 004 4038 3267 12 292 8 291 7 285 7 345 3267 2579 13 291 12*281 10*274 7 319 2579 1972 13*289 13*276 12*270 8 292 1972 1467 13*286 13 275 12 268 9 273 1467 1080 12 284 13 274 12 267 9 262 1080 814 11 283 12 273 11 265 8 257 814 652 9 281 11 272 10 265 6 252 652 560 7 280 8 270 8 264 4*248 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography