DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 66.1 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 205 - - 230 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2310 - - 2747 - - 2226 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1814 - - 2174 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2855 - - 3291 - - 2771 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 551 - - 1496 - - 3952 - - 3214 - - 3371 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 321 - - 353 - - 183 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 217 - - 259 - - 214 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 8 - - 31 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1473 - - -3533 - - -2333 - - -992 - - -1854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2033 - - 6388 - - 5625 - - 3763 - - 2415 sfcLCL ODpotential -8212 - - -7605 - - -3225 - - -2121 - - -2743 ODpotential blCL 8772 - - 10460 - - 6516 - - 4892 - - 3304 blCL maxRH 70 - - 82 - - 99 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 130 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 66.1 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 40.1 - - 47.8 - - 52.7 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 64.7 - - 69.0 - - 67.3 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 39.0 - - 47.0 - - 52.1 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 205 - - 230 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2310 - - 2747 - - 2226 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 95 - - 101 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97422 40 281 47 273 57 272 53 295 40 295 97422 90047 35 279 32 288 41 268 45 280 44 286 90047 84377 34 273 32 275 31 272 33 270 39 285 84377 79685 25 271 32 261 26 278 24 270 24 274 79685 75644 20 278 23 267 22 275 22 277 18 268 75644 72079 22 265 17 263 19 266 16 286 8 284 72079 68846 19 265 13 245 19 249 21 265 14 279 68846 65872 15 274 13 238 19 239 23 246 18 258 65872 63121 22 272 17 239 17 227 18 241 13 244 63121 60447 30 257 20 253 16 232 12 244 19 231 60447 57650 37 250 26 256 24 238 25 240 29 231 57650 54735 41 243 34 250 33 238 38 236 29 232 54735 51934 39 240 39 245 37 235 41 233 33 234 51934 49413 40 245 41 245 39 240 40 231 41 231 49413 47165 45 248 45 244 44 243 40 232 45 230 47165 45135 46 248 46 238 50 237 42 240 46 234 45135 43290 48 247 46 235 47 227 49 240 55 235 43290 41609 46 239 47 225 47 215 49 229 63 231 41609 40071 43 238 50 219 54 208 44 224 66 230 40071 38640 43 243 51 218 56 202 48 224 69 231 38640 37289 47 243 51 218 56 202 51 220 71 229 37289 35977 48 242 49 222 54 204 52 214 70 226 35977 34637 48 242 48 226 52 208 52 213 69 226 34637 33241 48 244 48 229 50 210 53 215 70 225 33241 31791 50 248 48 229 49 211 55 217 71 224 31791 30272 51 248 48 228 52 212 56 219 72 224 30272 28672 53 242 52 225 55 215 57 222 72 224 28672 26990 58 234 59 226 58 220 57 224 71 224 26990 25228 61 230 64 226 62 222 58 221 66 219 25228 23388 62 231 64 227 65 220 63 216 63 212 23388 21475 59 231 60 226 66 218 66 214 64 208 21475 19485 55 226 53 222 61 217 64 213 64 209 19485 17416 51 220 48 215 55 213 57 211 60 208 17416 15313 46 212 46 209 51 207 49 210 52 207 15313 13297 42 206 44 204 48 208 43 213 45 210 13297 11469 36 204 40 202 46 209 39 211 42 212 11469 9845 30 202 34 203 42 207 34 207 40 208 9845 8399 27 198 29 206 33 199 29 206 36 200 8399 7116 25 197 25 209 23 188 27 203 31 199 7116 5977 23 201 23 213 19 187 25 200 29 206 5977 4971 22 207 21 215 16 191 25 200 28 211 4971 4087 21 212 18 213 12 201 24 202 26 212 4087 3307 19 214 14*208 10*219 23*205 24 213 3307 2611 15 215 10*208 9*239 23*209 22 217 2611 1996 10 217 7 214 10 256 22 212 20 223 1996 1483 7 216 6 217 10 261 21 214 18 231 1483 1090 5 205 6 222 11 266 20 216 16 237 1090 819 2 178 5 226 10 267 18 218 13 241 819 655 2 075 5 228 10 269 15 219 11 243 655 561 2*059 4 229 8 270 9 221 7*247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography