DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 82.3 - - - - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 378 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 1108 - - - - - 296 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 874 - - 1126 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1628 - - 1654 - - - - - 841 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 737 - - 454 - - - - - 367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 306 - - - - - 79 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 277 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5322 - - -5996 - - - - - -1120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6950 - - 7650 - - - - - 1961 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13390 - - -14024 - - - - - -12786 ODpotential blCL - - - 15018 - - 15678 - - - - - 13627 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 38 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 82.3 - - - - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 51.2 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.4 - - 80.1 - - - - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 50.2 - - - - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 378 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 1108 - - - - - 296 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98703 20 108 11 099 21 100 98703 91219 19 109 19 101 11 080 91219 85480 17 105 22 095 16 097 85480 80737 19 099 19 099 23 087 80737 76649 16 098 20 099 20 076 76649 73039 19 098 10 096 15 074 73039 69778 18 088 10 123 13 072 69778 66777 8 093 10 110 6 085 66777 64006 6 082 7 122 4 074 64006 61339 8 006 3 073 5 063 61339 58571 12 308 3 005 5 307 58571 55717 12 294 9 314 6 276 55717 53013 16 286 17 288 9 323 53013 50587 18 277 21 279 16 310 50587 48414 19 285 23 281 22 288 48414 46438 21 288 26 280 27 277 46438 44623 24 293 25 284 28 272 44623 42941 27 303 24 296 27 272 42941 41373 30 309 26 303 26 274 41373 39898 32 309 29 304 25 281 39898 38506 32 308 30 304 25 287 38506 37157 31 307 30 303 24 292 37157 35783 29 306 29 300 24 298 35783 34355 29 304 27 298 24 301 34355 32875 30 304 27 298 26 303 32875 31326 31 304 27 301 28 300 31326 29695 29 306 27 304 29 297 29695 27982 24 304 24 303 27 298 27982 26187 18 306 21 301 26 303 26187 24311 14 315 17 314 27 316 24311 22357 11 333 17 338 22 333 22357 20318 10 352 12 003 14 357 20318 18190 10 015 11 038 10 024 18190 16012 11 025 11 043 13 037 16012 13905 8 024 8 036 15 039 13905 11984 5 034 5 015 14 039 11984 10276 8 053 3 014 11 044 10276 8757 12 040 5 044 8 048 8757 7406 12 020 7 047 6 041 7406 6208 10 007 9 036 7 029 6208 5148 9 007 9 021 9 027 5148 4217 9 009 9 015 9 015 4217 3396 7 002 8 005 11 355 3396 2666 4 327 6 339 11 342 2666 2025 6*276 9*289 9 319 2025 1496 7*264 12*277 8 277 1496 1095 7 263 12 277 7*260 1095 822 7 263 12 277 6*259 822 656 6 263 11 277 6 258 656 561 5 263 9 277 5 258 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography