DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.6 - - 66.7 - - 62.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 63 - - 159 - - 24 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 2937 - - 1463 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 2140 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1511 - - 3482 - - 2008 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 240 - - 1748 - - 1711 - - 2275 - - 2114 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 163 - - 317 - - 136 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 16 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 228 - - 216 - - 276 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1989 - - -2816 - - -1542 - - -809 - - -1412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2550 - - 4327 - - 5024 - - 2817 - - 1973 sfcLCL ODpotential -11119 - - -9003 - - -5694 - - -2061 - - -3487 ODpotential blCL 11679 - - 10514 - - 9176 - - 4069 - - 4048 blCL maxRH 55 - - 94 - - 92 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.6 - - 66.7 - - 62.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 44.7 - - 46.6 - - 51.8 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 61.1 - - 65.6 - - 62.2 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 44.2 - - 46.0 - - 51.4 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 63 - - 159 - - 24 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 2937 - - 1463 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 77 - - 68 - - 73 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96799 35 258 42 268 48 272 49 273 53 273 96799 89575 24 249 30 273 30 274 30 260 34 276 89575 84052 22 260 26 270 25 270 24 276 24 276 84052 79450 20 258 29 264 26 260 26 281 23 273 79450 75460 14 263 27 254 25 253 24 263 24 269 75460 71916 14 282 23 235 25 246 25 249 22 259 71916 68689 18 275 21 224 26 244 24 255 27 257 68689 65704 26 262 20 240 27 242 24 259 29 247 65704 62916 32 254 20 254 29 245 27 261 29 243 62916 60196 30 253 20 254 30 240 32 262 29 253 60196 57357 31 256 22 251 30 244 36 260 32 263 57357 54433 33 252 26 258 29 255 38 253 38 266 54433 51659 31 259 31 259 28 265 40 252 41 262 51659 49165 31 268 30 254 31 266 40 254 40 258 49165 46927 30 269 29 249 35 261 37 258 40 258 46927 44902 28 268 29 250 38 254 39 261 41 262 44902 43057 25 263 32 253 39 251 40 262 41 263 43057 41365 25 269 34 250 38 252 41 261 38 262 41365 39802 31 269 33 253 37 255 40 250 38 260 39802 38349 32 252 36 256 40 252 37 244 39 255 38349 36992 23 241 38 252 41 244 38 240 38 249 36992 35688 25 246 37 248 40 236 37 234 38 241 35688 34368 27 239 35 248 40 233 37 234 38 236 34368 32997 24 234 32 249 38 232 39 234 37 234 32997 31576 22 241 29 243 32 227 39 232 37 231 31576 30089 21 235 30 234 27 228 35 233 37 224 30089 28525 27 229 30 233 27 235 32 235 35 221 28525 26879 28 233 30 233 32 235 30 233 37 222 26879 25150 28 235 30 228 32 239 31 221 38 225 25150 23340 25 236 30 229 29 238 30 221 36 229 23340 21452 21 243 30 238 28 231 29 230 33 236 21452 19481 21 236 25 241 29 230 33 230 32 243 19481 17424 20 230 20 231 31 233 35 233 31 243 17424 15327 14 227 17 240 30 225 27 231 30 241 15327 13305 14 228 15 239 24 214 20 239 27 236 13305 11467 11 219 18 222 15 230 16 249 19 239 11467 9838 7 208 18 209 13 234 17 247 11 243 9838 8394 6 213 16 196 15 212 15 229 11 228 8394 7112 6 217 14 184 15 199 14 206 15 210 7112 5976 6 219 11 179 14 187 13 186 13 186 5976 4972 5 230 8 185 11 181 10 185 9 168 4972 4087 4 229 6 202 7*180 8 198 6 164 4087 3307 3 212 6 222 5*192 7 223 2 188 3307 2610 3 192 6 234 4 203 8*257 4 259 2610 1994 2 174 5*235 4 217 9*274 7 277 1994 1482 3 156 4*229 3 225 9 276 7 284 1482 1088 3 135 3 227 3 234 9 276 6 283 1088 818 4 113 2 228 3 239 8 276 5 274 818 654 3 093 2 231 3 240 7 276 4*262 654 561 2*083 2 232 3 242 6 276 2*252 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography