DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.3 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 471 - - - - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2191 - - 2333 - - - - - 459 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1839 - - 2072 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2735 - - 2878 - - - - - 1003 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 879 - - 834 - - - - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 351 - - 418 - - - - - 85 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 7 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 273 - - - - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -258 - - -1313 - - - - - -143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2993 - - 4191 - - - - - 1146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6774 - - -6668 - - - - - -7910 ODpotential blCL - - - 9509 - - 9546 - - - - - 8913 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 80 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.3 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 56.9 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 70.7 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 471 - - - - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2191 - - 2333 - - - - - 459 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 21 - - - - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99199 30 113 29 109 33 119 99199 91725 26 119 25 112 25 104 91725 85975 24 118 28 115 19 106 85975 81206 23 117 22 120 16 099 81206 77103 18 113 16 136 16 093 77103 73470 13 111 14 136 12 100 73470 70177 8 143 10 161 7 101 70177 67156 6 132 11 170 7 131 67156 64360 7 227 7 196 8 172 64360 61653 10 211 15 220 13 207 61653 58828 16 219 20 223 16 215 58828 55888 18 217 23 228 20 215 55888 53069 20 231 27 228 20 229 53069 50530 19 234 29 224 27 243 50530 48261 19 240 25 223 32 242 48261 46209 19 254 21 228 33 243 46209 44339 22 265 20 248 32 244 44339 42625 24 273 25 264 28 260 42625 41044 22 280 24 274 30 271 41044 39573 19 285 24 284 30 275 39573 38189 15 284 18 291 28 274 38189 36850 11 296 16 305 27 274 36850 35485 11 311 17 308 27 275 35485 34063 11 306 16 303 27 275 34063 32587 9 293 15 295 26 273 32587 31042 8 281 14 282 25 271 31042 29414 9 268 13 273 23 268 29414 27706 8 259 12 270 20 256 27706 25919 7 259 12 271 19 246 25919 24056 7 263 10 264 17 234 24056 22112 8 258 10 247 16 223 22112 20079 10 236 12 234 16 218 20079 17952 12 216 12 226 16 215 17952 15776 13 200 12 209 15 210 15776 13677 13 187 14 193 15 203 13677 11772 12 185 16 190 16 193 11772 10086 12 190 15 192 15 190 10086 8593 12 195 14 199 15 188 8593 7267 14 193 13 201 16 177 7267 6090 16 186 13 190 17 166 6090 5051 16 182 12 175 14 164 5051 4139 10 188 8 178 5 165 4139 3339 3*249 5*230 3 329 3339 2627 4*274 9*271 7 299 2627 2003 4 275 11 273 12 276 2003 1485 4 277 12 274 13 261 1485 1091 4 279 12 274 12*256 1091 820 4 281 12 274 11*253 820 655 4 280 11 274 10 253 655 561 4 280 9 273 7 252 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography