DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 65.3 - - 60.5 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 310 - - 76 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1675 - - 2037 - - 1500 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1168 - - 1739 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2220 - - 2582 - - 2044 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 607 - - 503 - - 584 - - 1666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 347 - - 197 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 267 - - 269 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -81 - - -1199 - - -1060 - - -1163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2301 - - 3782 - - 3104 - - 1724 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6397 - - -6342 - - -7197 - - -8278 ODpotential blCL - - - 8617 - - 8924 - - 9241 - - 8839 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 81 - - 80 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 65.3 - - 60.5 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 50.7 - - 48.9 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 63.5 - - 59.9 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 50.3 - - 48.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 310 - - 76 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1675 - - 2037 - - 1500 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 22 - - 20 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97806 22 293 22 302 24 297 27 297 97806 90513 21 277 19 295 22 289 19 307 90513 84867 10 273 16 273 14 289 16 299 84867 80180 10 308 8 262 12 272 13 296 80180 76153 9 300 6 296 10 281 11 302 76153 72598 9 280 7 290 9 305 7 316 72598 69379 8 275 6 279 7 294 5 288 69379 66411 13 231 15 250 14 268 8 253 66411 63647 16 205 22 238 17 264 13 252 63647 60956 17 224 23 237 21 242 19 237 60956 58145 20 233 25 237 28 232 27 230 58145 55238 30 239 36 236 36 232 34 232 55238 52466 41 244 47 238 47 238 45 236 52466 49968 48 242 53 239 56 236 55 235 49968 47728 51 239 58 238 60 233 63 229 47728 45689 54 239 62 237 66 234 68 229 45689 43814 56 238 66 236 73 235 81 231 43814 42076 55 236 67 237 78 234 89 231 42076 40455 53 237 66 237 80 234 89 230 40455 38941 51 241 65 237 82 235 86 230 38941 37528 51 239 63 236 80 235 86 231 37528 36176 50 235 59 232 75 234 82 231 36176 34815 47 231 56 228 68 228 75 228 34815 33411 47 231 57 228 61 225 70 220 33411 31962 46 231 54 228 55 226 68 221 31962 30444 46 232 51 228 55 226 68 223 30444 28847 44 233 50 227 56 226 65 221 28847 27171 42 235 48 228 53 227 57 217 27171 25414 40 235 42 234 48 231 51 216 25414 23577 36 234 39 237 45 231 48 220 23577 21663 31 237 36 233 43 227 46 223 21663 19663 29 233 34 231 38 226 41 223 19663 17576 27 226 30 226 33 222 36 221 17576 15450 23 225 27 224 28 220 30 218 15450 13408 22 218 25 219 24 218 28 214 13408 11553 23 216 26 218 24 218 27 211 11553 9907 24 217 25 219 24 217 26 207 9907 8445 23 219 24 220 23 215 25 203 8445 7146 21 223 22 220 23 211 24 199 7146 5992 20 224 20 218 22 201 22 192 5992 4972 18 219 19 212 20 188 20 187 4972 4076 16 209 15 205 15 184 14 193 4076 3292 13 213 10 217 9 211 6 227 3292 2596 8*263 10*258 10*268 6 305 2596 1984 8*273 11*266 13*271 10 297 1984 1475 8 274 12 266 13 269 11 281 1475 1085 7 273 12 267 13 268 11 269 1085 816 7 273 11 267 13 267 9 253 816 654 6 273 11 267 11 267 6*234 654 561 5 273 9 267 8 266 4*218 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography