DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.8 - - 78.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 400 - - 257 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 894 - - 1069 - - 722 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 886 - - 1108 - - 730 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1440 - - 1615 - - 1267 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 303 - - 296 - - 366 - - 522 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 307 - - 232 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 262 - - 260 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4020 - - -6155 - - -5196 - - -3095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5461 - - 7770 - - 6463 - - 3656 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14357 - - -15183 - - -15344 - - -15541 ODpotential blCL - - - 15797 - - 16798 - - 16611 - - 16102 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 39 - - 46 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.8 - - 78.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 52.3 - - 52.7 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 81.4 - - 76.7 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 51.6 - - 52.3 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 400 - - 257 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 894 - - 1069 - - 722 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99306 39 107 35 115 33 121 27 107 99306 91816 37 103 33 110 34 102 36 102 91816 86039 28 094 33 105 31 105 34 089 86039 81260 23 105 27 098 27 103 23 084 81260 77161 20 110 22 107 18 085 19 094 77161 73528 18 110 21 113 16 089 15 089 73528 70235 16 110 19 097 20 105 18 090 70235 67222 20 115 12 091 16 098 18 101 67222 64452 16 103 9 124 8 098 13 082 64452 61790 14 090 10 150 3 159 6 059 61790 59041 5 089 9 154 4 216 0 307 59041 56230 1 240 8 196 11 221 9 235 56230 53575 10 278 7 246 9 224 12 237 53575 51191 20 267 16 264 15 261 16 254 51191 49047 27 259 24 259 26 263 23 266 49047 47090 32 258 31 260 34 261 31 272 47090 45282 35 254 35 258 36 260 36 270 45282 43593 35 256 36 258 35 262 38 265 43593 42005 35 259 35 258 35 262 37 262 42005 40503 36 260 34 257 35 258 37 261 40503 39081 36 259 35 259 36 255 38 258 39081 37700 36 258 37 263 35 256 37 257 37700 36293 36 256 35 264 35 260 36 256 36293 34828 35 258 31 262 31 264 33 261 34828 33307 33 263 31 263 27 265 28 263 33307 31717 25 264 27 263 27 266 26 268 31717 30043 19 260 22 261 23 270 24 273 30043 28289 16 268 17 266 17 270 18 273 28289 26456 12 278 14 270 13 266 14 256 26456 24545 10 280 12 266 11 268 10 245 24545 22556 11 268 14 258 13 261 11 249 22556 20481 14 257 16 255 16 264 14 267 20481 18317 16 251 17 257 14 271 10 279 18317 16111 13 256 13 257 11 271 8 283 16111 13985 9 258 10 257 9 274 7 289 13985 12049 9 263 9 259 8 271 5 284 12049 10330 11 266 10 264 8 266 5 260 10330 8804 11 268 9 266 7 259 6 234 8804 7449 9 264 8 256 7 247 7 220 7449 6247 6 247 8 242 8 242 9 218 6247 5182 5 236 8 240 9 245 8 229 5182 4246 5 240 8 247 9 255 6 262 4246 3421 4 247 7 256 8 267 5 311 3421 2686 4 241 6 258 8 271 7 336 2686 2040 5 243 7*260 9 266 7 324 2040 1506 6*252 9*260 10*260 7 281 1506 1101 6*259 9 261 11*260 8 252 1101 824 6 261 9 262 10 260 7 245 824 657 6 262 9 262 10 260 6 244 657 561 5 263 7 263 8 261 4*244 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography