DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.9 - - 67.9 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 112 - - 28 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 1697 - - 3102 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 819 - - 1262 - - 819 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 835 - - 2457 - - 3862 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1815 - - 936 - - 2930 - - 4093 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 237 - - 184 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 27 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 307 - - 308 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1082 - - -2873 - - -2539 - - -3637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1917 - - 5330 - - 6401 - - 4472 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6835 - - -7330 - - -4375 - - -7027 ODpotential blCL - - - 7670 - - 9787 - - 8237 - - 7862 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 80 - - 70 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.9 - - 67.9 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 46.2 - - 42.5 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 66.2 - - 67.8 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 45.7 - - 42.3 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 112 - - 28 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 1697 - - 3102 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95432 45 270 48 274 46 261 53 266 95432 88598 39 285 34 275 32 271 39 287 88598 83304 35 277 30 292 28 282 28 284 83304 78856 28 287 25 285 29 283 24 277 78856 74964 23 296 22 295 32 289 31 304 74964 71519 21 297 22 286 30 288 34 299 71519 68400 22 321 24 300 30 295 31 293 68400 65512 37 310 30 299 34 293 35 299 65512 62812 39 298 35 298 38 298 43 299 62812 60172 37 308 44 297 46 293 44 296 60172 57394 50 310 49 293 54 297 51 294 57394 54512 65 310 56 294 61 290 60 294 54512 51768 64 288 62 291 61 287 60 286 51768 49294 62 286 63 292 66 297 63 294 49294 47079 58 291 74 292 80 295 75 292 47079 45084 62 298 78 282 78 283 75 284 45084 43267 89 298 69 289 70 283 75 295 43267 41586 100 287 77 306 68 298 86 301 41586 40024 85 286 101 306 89 294 102 290 40024 38567 86 294 111 298 87 290 94 284 38567 37190 103 294 103 294 90 290 91 284 37190 35855 110 290 96 296 92 291 93 283 35855 34493 106 286 98 299 93 289 94 285 34493 33079 101 282 103 301 97 288 99 291 33079 31621 97 282 108 298 99 288 105 293 31621 30105 88 282 110 295 101 290 103 290 30105 28509 80 281 108 295 103 290 104 288 28509 26833 73 279 102 298 101 290 103 284 26833 25079 67 278 92 301 92 289 104 280 25079 23252 66 273 77 292 80 285 100 278 23252 21361 64 275 77 276 74 277 89 279 21361 19404 64 277 79 271 76 271 80 277 19404 17372 64 276 81 270 76 273 77 282 17372 15307 67 277 74 270 65 279 66 289 15307 13328 68 277 62 268 55 283 52 292 13328 11535 63 279 56 271 52 284 44 292 11535 9945 52 280 49 286 45 288 41 292 9945 8533 45 281 45 287 40 286 42 299 8533 7279 42 278 42 285 38 290 41 309 7279 6167 39 274 28 306 35 305 38 313 6167 5184 36 272 32 317 33 306 33 311 5184 4318 36 281 34 321 30*307 33 316 4318 3552 34 286 33 322 30*307 34 319 3552 2866 33 279 32*321 29 308 34 319 2866 2258 34 269 23*310 28 308 34 319 2258 1750 31 265 22 307 28 308 32 318 1750 1360 27 262 20 307 26 308 28 315 1360 1091 23 261 19 306 24 308 21 313 1091 928 20*260 18 306 21 308 18*312 928 835 15*260 14 306 17 308 12*311 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography