DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 54.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.3 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 27 - - 28 - - 10 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 323 - - 578 - - 398 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3384 - - 3639 - - 3459 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 638 - - 1335 - - 1770 - - 1941 - - 1319 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 90 - - 112 - - 70 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 13 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 061 - - 077 - - 115 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - -18 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 297 - - 562 - - 382 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3087 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -4221 - - -1511 - - -690 - - -15 - - -14 ODpotential blCL 7298 - - 4895 - - 4329 - - 3474 - - 3091 blCL maxRH 92 - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 60 - - 90 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 54.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.3 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 51.1 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 53.7 - - 55.2 - - 52.3 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.3 - - 50.1 - - 52.3 - - 50.9 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 27 - - 28 - - 10 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 323 - - 578 - - 398 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 100 - - 102 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96453 6 049 5 318 6 344 7 343 8 209 96453 89416 19 058 18 108 8 021 13 069 11 073 89416 83964 10 078 14 113 5 080 9 055 9 087 83964 79420 9 090 11 079 9 135 3 012 12 054 79420 75486 12 084 6 065 7 151 3 265 10 037 75486 71993 3 047 6 053 8 122 4 221 5 012 71993 68822 3 158 3 010 7 155 7 195 1 328 68822 65898 11 170 4 303 2 112 3 152 5 111 65898 63184 13 160 9 190 10 222 14 234 8 245 63184 60545 13 151 15 184 22 199 19 199 18 224 60545 57772 10 164 16 189 19 204 23 201 25 217 57772 54862 31 202 28 197 30 194 33 190 33 196 54862 52053 38 183 32 168 31 173 31 180 31 189 52053 49511 29 180 25 160 24 165 25 187 25 195 49511 47232 32 189 25 183 25 188 29 192 24 200 47232 45161 44 178 45 176 39 180 33 183 24 196 45161 43264 43 162 49 163 40 161 31 171 28 191 43264 41515 32 171 42 157 34 159 31 167 31 187 41515 39894 45 196 34 150 30 158 31 158 29 178 39894 38385 81 182 31 169 31 163 29 148 23 159 38385 36982 96 176 62 184 45 162 34 143 20 130 36982 35652 105 170 69 171 58 153 45 128 22 108 35652 34326 97 166 59 163 53 144 57 119 39 087 34326 32972 99 168 54 156 50 141 56 112 57 073 32972 31589 93 169 44 153 50 141 48 104 57 067 31589 30157 81 166 45 153 50 138 49 108 51 068 30157 28664 74 160 47 152 50 133 46 108 48 065 28664 27108 70 158 46 149 47 131 45 104 44 071 27108 25491 68 161 45 145 45 131 44 104 39 080 25491 23817 65 163 43 141 42 132 41 107 36 082 23817 22092 61 164 42 139 40 134 37 111 31 085 22092 20309 57 164 41 134 38 133 33 116 29 096 20309 18462 56 148 40 123 34 132 31 119 29 102 18462 16585 44 121 37 116 31 134 28 117 25 103 16585 14779 34 097 30 114 31 136 26 117 19 108 14779 13138 29 092 25 114 32 138 26 131 13 122 13138 11677 23 096 21 118 34 138 29 143 11 150 11677 10376 16 102 20 120 36 138 31 147 13 173 10376 9214 12 122 23 125 39 136 32 147 15 182 9214 8175 13 144 26 132 42 134 35 145 16 179 8175 7251 15 152 29 136 42 131 37 144 16 172 7251 6431 16 155 28 139 39 126 36 141 14 170 6431 5700 14 163 24 137 33 120 34 137 11 176 5700 5042 11 178 17 130 28 112 31 133 8 191 5042 4456 9 185 13 116 23 102 29 128 6 206 4456 3966 7 177 11 102 19*092 26 124 5 220 3966 3588 4 147 9*081 16*080 23*119 5 230 3588 3327 3 076 7*063 14 077 20*116 4 239 3327 3168 5*040 6 061 12 075 17 115 4*240 3168 3077 4*032 5 059 9 075 11 113 3*243 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography