DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.6 - - 85.3 - - 88.4 - - 85.7 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 163 - - 285 - - 79 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1380 - - 5872 - - 3159 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3593 - - 7177 - - 4393 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 4443 - - 8935 - - 6222 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 209 - - 5642 - - 3217 - - 5319 - - 917 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 254 - - 493 - - 264 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 121 - - 153 - - 241 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -18 - - -9 - - 17 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7607 - - -8905 - - -4367 - - -5515 - - -6126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10687 - - 13349 - - 13303 - - 11738 - - 9206 sfcLCL ODpotential -15527 - - -14206 - - -8910 - - -9121 - - -10990 ODpotential blCL 18606 - - 18649 - - 17845 - - 15343 - - 14069 blCL maxRH 79 - - 71 - - 62 - - 60 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.6 - - 85.3 - - 88.4 - - 85.7 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 37.4 - - 40.4 - - 44.9 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.2 - - 83.9 - - 86.4 - - 84.9 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 36.6 - - 39.7 - - 44.4 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 163 - - 285 - - 79 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1380 - - 5872 - - 3159 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97770 13 257 11 277 13 279 11 272 8 353 97770 90533 3 247 2 112 2 262 3 270 9 014 90533 84964 8 068 10 108 4 097 6 062 7 030 84964 80343 11 059 13 072 10 090 12 062 7 059 80343 76367 14 054 17 057 14 068 14 050 10 071 76367 72860 16 054 15 061 15 052 17 051 14 077 72860 69695 11 038 16 064 13 073 15 057 16 069 69695 66783 7 073 12 062 12 087 11 078 11 058 66783 64078 8 073 9 086 6 111 3 088 7 035 64078 61461 2 058 1 023 2 168 4 286 8 325 61461 58747 8 222 7 263 8 265 10 266 13 258 58747 55942 19 260 17 280 14 292 14 280 15 273 55942 53266 39 262 43 270 40 276 33 277 28 279 53266 50854 49 253 47 260 45 271 41 281 41 287 50854 48681 52 261 51 262 54 272 54 275 55 281 48681 46702 65 263 64 266 59 269 58 274 58 282 46702 44880 71 259 71 266 63 270 61 275 64 287 44880 43182 68 256 68 265 65 270 62 276 67 284 43182 41586 59 256 63 262 64 271 65 280 66 285 41586 40080 52 254 59 259 61 266 68 285 66 288 40080 38657 49 249 57 255 58 262 67 284 68 291 38657 37285 48 242 55 248 55 260 62 277 62 288 37285 35902 48 238 52 240 54 255 59 270 56 278 35902 34482 44 230 46 228 50 243 54 267 52 273 34482 33027 36 217 40 210 45 223 49 259 48 274 33027 31518 32 205 39 193 44 201 45 237 44 268 31518 29946 31 202 39 189 45 195 46 211 40 250 29946 28320 30 200 38 188 42 196 47 203 42 225 28320 26641 27 193 35 189 38 196 39 207 43 211 26641 24903 23 179 30 189 32 195 32 205 35 210 24903 23102 21 166 28 188 30 188 31 199 31 205 23102 21235 22 167 29 185 28 186 30 195 29 200 21235 19300 23 170 28 173 26 183 26 188 23 194 19300 17336 23 163 28 163 24 177 20 181 20 183 17336 15448 23 158 25 156 24 163 20 179 23 176 15448 13729 24 155 22 150 22 150 21 159 26 161 13729 12198 25 151 19 149 20 144 16 134 23 154 12198 10830 25 150 17 152 14 145 8 098 16 142 10830 9605 20 149 16 154 10*152 6 086 10 111 9605 8506 15 139 17 154 9*160 3 079 7 072 8506 7524 13 124 18 153 9 161 1 270 5 032 7524 6652 14 118 19 152 9 159 4*251 5 339 6652 5874 14 119 19 148 9 156 7*247 7 309 5874 5174 13 117 19 142 9 151 9 242 8 297 5174 4550 12 113 18*138 10 149 10 240 9 290 4550 4027 11 109 15*129 10 146 11 240 9 289 4027 3624 10 103 13 120 9 145 11 239 9 278 3624 3345 9 098 12 118 9 143 11 239 8 258 3345 3176 8*094 11 117 9 144 10 239 6*239 3176 3079 5*080 9 117 7 143 8 239 3*240 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography