DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 85.9 - - 85.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 302 - - 74 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1487 - - 3227 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3745 - - 5158 - - 4194 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4549 - - 6290 - - 6038 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1190 - - 1614 - - 2073 - - 1026 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 411 - - 253 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 207 - - 219 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 13 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8260 - - -7438 - - -7520 - - -6192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12810 - - 13728 - - 13558 - - 9272 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15937 - - -13894 - - -13875 - - -15006 ODpotential blCL - - - 20486 - - 20184 - - 19913 - - 18085 blCL maxRH - - - 22 - - 36 - - 39 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 85.9 - - 85.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 36.3 - - 36.3 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 83.8 - - 84.2 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 35.7 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 302 - - 74 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1487 - - 3227 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97897 9 334 6 237 13 277 10 310 97897 90629 5 128 0 270 4 249 5 325 90629 85053 6 146 2 289 2 142 3 089 85053 80412 4 090 4 178 3 124 6 079 80412 76395 3 072 4 155 6 065 9 068 76395 72849 6 090 4 113 6 067 11 089 72849 69645 7 108 4 116 4 087 4 080 69645 66702 3 149 4 208 3 275 3 323 66702 63984 1 277 6 245 3 264 10 280 63984 61378 7 316 12 268 9 287 10 285 61378 58676 15 303 16 267 16 268 17 270 58676 55892 23 294 19 275 22 266 22 264 55892 53247 33 292 26 291 25 275 24 267 53247 50854 40 288 31 287 32 274 28 277 50854 48690 42 283 37 281 41 279 38 280 48690 46714 45 282 43 281 45 279 47 277 46714 44892 49 285 47 283 49 280 51 278 44892 43193 52 290 50 288 55 282 57 281 43193 41597 56 293 52 291 60 283 63 280 41597 40096 57 294 53 292 59 284 64 279 40096 38682 55 296 53 294 55 286 60 281 38682 37322 49 299 53 296 53 289 56 284 37322 35950 39 302 43 294 49 292 51 289 35950 34539 25 298 21 286 42 291 42 293 34539 33093 16 298 16 295 26 284 36 292 33093 31596 10 301 16 302 20 280 30 282 31596 30035 9 316 13 293 20 296 26 278 30035 28410 10 317 10 276 15 304 16 291 28410 26723 11 314 8 283 9 298 8 288 26723 24978 7 321 5 297 5 295 5 297 24978 23176 5 342 1 204 3 293 4 316 23176 21307 4 357 5 094 2 084 2 322 21307 19363 3 063 5 128 4 133 2 137 19363 17383 6 097 6 149 6 161 5 174 17383 15475 5 109 4 164 6 152 7 169 15475 13739 3 144 3 198 5 146 9 154 13739 12194 3 200 3 216 5 166 9 149 12194 10815 6 200 6 211 8 203 8 179 10815 9582 8 191 8 208 11 212 12 206 9582 8481 8 185 9 206 11 210 14 211 8481 7499 7 181 7 202 7 194 13 210 7499 6629 5 182 5*196 3*169 10 192 6629 5856 4 186 4*197 2*173 6 175 5856 5159 3*171 4 200 2 189 3 185 5159 4540 4*147 5 206 2 222 1 253 4540 4020 4 145 5 210 2 230 2 263 4020 3619 4 145 5 213 3 235 3 250 3619 3343 4 148 5 215 3 239 3 240 3343 3175 4 151 5 216 3 238 2*239 3175 3079 4 151 5 217 2 237 1*252 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography