DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.8 - - 59.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -26 - - -25 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3078 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1034 - - 1681 - - 519 - - 707 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 29 - - 17 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 163 - - 132 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 0 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7278 - - -4751 - - -3465 - - -7268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10356 - - 7830 - - 6543 - - 10345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16168 - - -12168 - - -10506 - - -17007 ODpotential blCL - - - 19245 - - 15246 - - 13584 - - 20084 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 58 - - 52 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.8 - - 59.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.3 - - 40.6 - - 42.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 65.0 - - 62.5 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.2 - - 39.4 - - 40.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - -26 - - -25 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96365 41 088 19 081 30 083 41 086 96365 89417 36 095 31 092 28 094 40 081 89417 84005 26 105 31 086 28 088 25 095 84005 79477 24 105 21 113 22 077 18 100 79477 75548 20 092 18 131 9 096 13 063 75548 72050 19 080 16 106 8 114 10 047 72050 68872 16 080 15 088 10 096 3 060 68872 65943 11 071 14 064 12 070 5 090 65943 63224 4 085 8 046 8 050 6 047 63224 60594 4 223 10 330 8 006 9 026 60594 57889 5 004 7 320 14 332 15 008 57889 55115 12 025 9 000 8 324 13 343 55115 52452 17 013 10 025 8 323 23 343 52452 50035 3 245 15 008 9 345 11 334 50035 47858 15 140 7 193 14 303 13 315 47858 45859 16 110 16 136 9 234 16 304 45859 44003 13 069 13 091 9 149 9 276 44003 42275 5 036 14 054 18 089 13 110 42275 40676 3 227 8 028 20 054 24 060 40676 39204 22 156 7 153 9 055 12 057 39204 37841 30 146 29 155 22 157 17 135 37841 36539 29 143 30 146 25 146 21 125 36539 35225 28 141 28 137 23 134 20 115 35225 33867 25 139 24 128 21 124 20 106 33867 32466 23 134 22 117 21 107 21 093 32466 31013 24 136 22 121 20 104 20 101 31013 29497 25 141 24 134 18 120 18 122 29497 27918 22 143 23 146 16 142 14 132 27918 26272 19 138 19 153 14 153 11 128 26272 24561 21 135 16 147 9 136 9 114 24561 22787 21 130 16 136 16 106 16 101 22787 20944 20 115 17 120 24 089 25 091 20944 19028 17 102 20 098 26 086 26 090 19028 17075 18 091 23 090 26 089 25 093 17075 15197 22 087 23 094 24 092 21 095 15197 13493 20 096 19 104 18 101 17 112 13493 11978 15 100 15 106 13 111 13 124 11978 10629 11 101 15 093 12 104 11 126 10629 9425 13 127 15 104 12 088 12 101 9425 8349 16 145 16 124 10 095 12 070 8349 7389 20 157 20 144 9 134 10 058 7389 6538 23 165 23 156 13 160 5 121 6538 5782 24 170 24 164 17 169 9 175 5782 5103 24 175 25 168 20 172 10 189 5103 4499 22 180 24 169 21 172 9 196 4499 3993 19 184 22 169 22 169 8 195 3993 3604 15 189 17 167 19 163 8 185 3604 3334 11 189 12 166 13 155 7 173 3334 3171 9 187 10*165 10*149 5 167 3171 3077 2*159 7*163 4*132 2*132 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography