DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 79.8 - - 79.8 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 370 - - 185 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 4205 - - 4496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4071 - - 5990 - - 5922 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4883 - - 7268 - - 7558 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 891 - - 969 - - 1309 - - 2325 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 484 - - 395 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 43 - - 44 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 338 - - 008 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 25 - - 29 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5168 - - -4817 - - -3597 - - -4209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10052 - - 12086 - - 11156 - - 7288 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12755 - - -10443 - - -9180 - - -11293 ODpotential blCL - - - 17638 - - 17711 - - 16738 - - 14371 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 37 - - 41 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 79.8 - - 79.8 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 37.4 - - 41.5 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 77.6 - - 78.4 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 36.3 - - 40.4 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 370 - - 185 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 4205 - - 4496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97751 13 264 4 311 14 249 13 276 97751 90281 11 283 10 274 10 286 13 279 90281 84521 11 272 14 276 13 319 11 329 84521 79793 2 230 14 250 13 302 16 336 79793 75769 5 341 10 275 9 326 13 335 75769 72239 10 319 17 306 16 341 11 352 72239 69052 7 305 13 311 16 326 13 348 69052 66115 7 303 9 307 15 312 12 338 66115 63379 10 308 8 306 14 311 12 331 63379 60723 15 314 9 321 13 320 11 320 60723 57961 16 307 13 303 15 313 11 325 57961 55117 15 309 15 295 16 296 15 308 55117 52430 18 323 15 306 18 299 16 301 52430 50031 26 318 22 313 23 318 18 320 50031 47891 35 313 32 318 33 326 26 331 47891 45955 43 313 40 321 40 325 34 327 45955 44185 51 317 46 324 44 325 41 324 44185 42546 51 322 45 326 43 327 41 323 42546 41012 49 321 41 326 40 327 36 324 41012 39567 45 318 38 322 35 327 29 326 39567 38203 40 320 34 318 33 322 24 326 38203 36888 38 324 31 320 31 316 24 326 36888 35556 37 326 28 325 27 319 26 321 35556 34179 36 327 28 327 25 324 25 315 34179 32761 35 327 29 326 25 326 24 308 32761 31288 33 327 28 325 25 325 23 305 31288 29748 31 328 26 327 24 328 20 312 29748 28145 29 326 25 333 23 334 18 323 28145 26477 28 328 24 339 21 339 17 333 26477 24746 25 334 21 340 18 339 15 335 24746 22958 19 331 17 335 16 334 14 330 22958 21104 15 320 14 325 14 329 12 329 21104 19182 15 319 14 322 12 327 12 331 19182 17229 14 314 13 330 11 339 11 340 17229 15344 13 301 10 325 10 356 8 359 15344 13624 9 293 7 304 6 360 7 022 13624 12092 6 296 5 293 3 001 5 044 12092 10727 4 318 2 312 1 046 3 068 10727 9508 4 341 1 346 2 076 2 039 9508 8418 3 359 1 029 1*066 3 333 8418 7448 3 002 2*021 1*016 3 286 7448 6589 3 356 2*015 2 006 2 270 6589 5825 2 347 2 007 3 005 3 360 5825 5137 1*001 2 346 4 012 9 016 5137 4525 1*324 2 332 5 007 12 019 4525 4011 1 280 2 322 5 008 13 017 4011 3615 2 264 2 315 5 006 12 014 3615 3341 2 259 2 309 5 006 10 012 3341 3174 2 256 2 309 5 005 8 010 3174 3078 2 252 2 304 4 004 4*010 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography