DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.2 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 390 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3451 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 736 - - 1550 - - 1102 - - 1325 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 72 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 151 - - 221 - - 214 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -4 - - 6 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 374 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -6878 - - -2719 - - -315 - - -1437 - - -147 ODpotential blCL 9955 - - 5796 - - 3766 - - 4514 - - 3224 blCL maxRH 97 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.2 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 51.9 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 53.2 - - 55.8 - - 53.3 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.4 - - 51.3 - - 53.3 - - 51.8 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 390 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 90 - - 101 - - 102 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96516 9 265 16 307 14 310 8 297 26 276 96516 89381 3 079 5 315 9 317 6 324 12 329 89381 83870 4 062 8 333 14 326 13 009 11 003 83870 79296 3 328 4 280 13 313 16 332 15 006 79296 75344 16 001 5 003 15 301 18 318 23 351 75344 71857 22 318 13 335 19 318 16 324 21 329 71857 68727 17 317 16 328 15 327 13 328 17 329 68727 65855 21 322 20 310 20 307 17 303 16 314 65855 63188 36 316 31 299 29 288 28 288 24 296 63188 60607 42 302 39 301 37 294 35 288 33 286 60607 57909 43 292 47 293 47 298 51 298 40 290 57909 55091 44 294 53 287 60 294 62 290 53 286 55091 52381 55 297 61 289 61 286 60 284 58 281 52381 49926 72 294 63 291 61 291 59 293 65 286 49926 47715 76 288 71 293 71 293 70 295 71 286 47715 45702 77 292 80 291 78 289 79 294 75 292 45702 43860 84 291 83 288 82 286 85 289 84 289 43860 42167 76 281 80 281 79 281 80 282 84 281 42167 40601 65 272 74 274 74 277 73 277 75 275 40601 39147 56 272 62 273 66 276 70 276 62 272 39147 37788 53 279 57 277 59 277 65 276 52 274 37788 36481 53 285 56 282 55 282 60 276 49 276 36481 35159 52 287 56 285 55 284 56 277 50 276 35159 33792 53 287 59 288 55 284 52 278 51 278 33792 32384 61 288 62 289 53 283 49 275 51 274 32384 30921 64 290 63 291 51 285 47 271 50 264 30921 29391 64 288 63 293 53 288 50 269 51 261 29391 27796 64 283 60 292 55 288 54 271 52 265 27796 26138 66 279 56 284 57 282 56 275 51 272 26138 24419 66 279 58 279 60 279 55 278 52 272 24419 22642 64 279 59 280 60 279 54 279 52 272 22642 20802 61 278 57 280 58 281 55 281 49 274 20802 18896 59 282 56 282 57 283 56 283 46 274 18896 16963 56 286 48 285 50 282 53 281 43 276 16963 15105 50 286 37 288 41 278 48 280 41 279 15105 13414 42 283 30 288 33 276 40 280 38 282 13414 11908 35 282 27 288 27 276 32 280 31 283 11908 10566 32 284 25 291 24 278 26 279 26 280 10566 9368 31 285 24 297 19 284 23 278 22 273 9368 8298 28 284 22 302 15 293 20 279 19 265 8298 7346 24 285 19 305 15 288 18 279 17 257 7346 6502 20 288 16 304 13 281 15 278 16 251 6502 5753 15 291 14 300 10 278 14 276 15 246 5753 5079 12 299 11 298 8 273 13 271 14 242 5079 4482 9 312 8 295 5 255 12 259 14 238 4482 3982 8 333 6 293 4 223 10 244 13 234 3982 3597 8 354 4 278 4*220 10 226 12 232 3597 3332 8 007 2 243 4*220 8 218 10 230 3332 3170 7*012 1 203 4 220 6*216 8*230 3170 3077 5*019 1*151 3 222 4*214 5*231 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography