DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 47.5 - - 52.2 - - 51.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 236 - - 335 - - 158 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1093 - - 3040 - - 5087 - - 4203 - - 589 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 4940 - - 6634 - - 5602 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 4154 - - 6100 - - 8147 - - 7263 - - 3649 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1936 - - 1453 - - 1290 - - 2348 - - 3727 Hgt.Variab. W* 132 - - 376 - - 497 - - 363 - - 63 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 20 - - 16 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 330 - - 301 - - 285 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -3 - - 14 - - 33 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1078 - - 961 - - 1558 - - 870 - - -580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 5140 - - 6589 - - 6393 - - 4229 sfcLCL ODpotential 334 - - -908 - - 509 - - -44 - - -1655 ODpotential blCL 3820 - - 7008 - - 7638 - - 7307 - - 5304 blCL maxRH 96 - - 79 - - 88 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 47.5 - - 52.2 - - 51.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 35.8 - - 34.0 - - 34.4 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.4 - - 46.1 - - 50.3 - - 50.6 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 34.5 - - 32.8 - - 33.8 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 236 - - 335 - - 158 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1093 - - 3040 - - 5087 - - 4203 - - 589 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 15 - - 51 - - 50 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 20 272 31 281 35 282 37 288 38 292 97226 89889 38 277 43 274 38 278 34 292 37 288 89889 84212 29 283 32 273 36 275 37 278 38 278 84212 79475 25 281 8 269 28 259 41 266 32 277 79475 75372 37 271 21 299 22 264 34 256 28 278 75372 71734 42 270 30 286 14 288 14 266 27 272 71734 68437 31 277 30 274 28 288 26 291 24 271 68437 65396 27 277 31 264 41 264 40 274 27 279 65396 62568 29 267 33 255 43 254 45 262 33 276 62568 59828 36 265 37 258 46 261 47 265 37 276 59828 56971 49 273 41 273 52 264 51 268 49 278 56971 54021 72 275 62 269 61 263 62 270 68 273 54021 51239 79 270 72 265 66 264 64 264 75 264 51239 48757 69 274 70 272 64 267 62 270 67 260 48757 46527 81 279 81 279 72 274 76 276 69 270 46527 44498 100 271 95 275 86 272 88 269 82 270 44498 42645 102 268 100 268 93 266 89 262 93 266 42645 40945 104 273 100 269 97 266 89 265 93 262 40945 39373 110 272 107 271 105 266 104 266 89 262 39373 37905 109 270 110 269 110 265 115 260 87 263 37905 36535 106 271 109 268 113 265 110 254 85 265 36535 35230 105 272 110 271 114 263 106 255 80 266 35230 33928 104 274 112 273 112 262 114 258 74 266 33928 32597 102 274 112 273 109 262 114 257 69 266 32597 31236 98 274 109 273 108 261 108 254 66 266 31236 29828 93 273 104 274 104 264 102 254 62 266 29828 28360 86 274 91 272 96 266 94 256 59 268 28360 26831 77 274 82 269 86 264 87 257 56 268 26831 25241 73 275 77 269 83 261 81 258 53 269 25241 23594 71 274 71 270 76 262 74 261 48 272 23594 21894 69 271 67 268 67 265 67 267 45 275 21894 20133 66 268 63 267 60 266 58 270 43 274 20133 18303 60 270 57 269 52 267 48 272 39 271 18303 16443 54 271 50 270 45 267 40 270 35 270 16443 14659 50 270 47 270 41 270 36 268 31 271 14659 13039 48 272 44 272 37 274 32 268 28 272 13039 11596 43 275 39 277 29 278 23 267 23 272 11596 10308 35 276 30 280 16 271 12 249 18 262 10308 9157 28 272 21 276 5*247 5 220 13 224 9157 8131 24 266 15 272 3*243 4*215 11 196 8131 7216 21 264 11 281 3 261 3*236 8 189 7216 6404 17 266 9*301 4 296 3 274 3 181 6404 5681 13 276 9*322 5 309 4 284 1 070 5681 5029 11 293 10 329 6 310 5 290 4 030 5029 4449 11*316 10 331 6 310 5 292 5 020 4449 3962 12*321 10 332 6 310 5 293 6*011 3962 3585 12 322 10 332 7 309 5 293 6*006 3585 3326 11 323 9 332 7 309 5 292 5 001 3326 3168 10 322 9 332 6 308 5 292 5 001 3168 3076 7 323 7 331 6 308 4 293 4 358 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography