DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 57.8 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 214 - - 43 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1670 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3900 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4157 - - 4731 - - 4053 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1181 - - 1394 - - 1300 - - 608 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 295 - - 146 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 349 - - 010 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - -11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 246 - - -1183 - - -1496 - - -605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3911 - - 5915 - - 5549 - - 3682 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7630 - - -8901 - - -9878 - - -10022 ODpotential blCL - - - 11787 - - 13632 - - 13931 - - 13099 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 57.8 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.7 - - 45.0 - - 44.3 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 58.7 - - 57.3 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 44.4 - - 44.0 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 214 - - 43 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1670 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96733 18 355 5 293 16 299 11 324 96733 89549 14 355 14 332 16 310 13 322 89549 84028 14 345 19 353 7 034 6 332 84028 79456 7 332 18 316 17 313 18 324 79456 75526 4 045 11 356 7 324 9 331 75526 72028 21 307 21 330 13 358 13 001 72028 68842 15 293 25 301 26 322 26 328 68842 65933 3 281 18 266 27 296 27 305 65933 63254 9 340 8 278 21 277 23 280 63254 60658 26 316 19 308 16 297 20 267 60658 57959 42 298 34 304 28 311 25 306 57959 55174 48 288 46 293 41 297 39 303 55174 52518 47 289 48 289 44 287 46 295 52518 50128 51 297 52 291 48 292 52 293 50128 47983 59 295 58 295 56 296 54 297 47983 46025 62 293 62 294 62 299 61 300 46025 44220 62 293 62 293 64 295 64 297 44220 42545 62 292 60 290 61 289 64 292 42545 40985 61 291 58 287 57 287 59 288 40985 39526 58 291 56 286 54 292 49 291 39526 38160 55 292 54 291 51 292 39 293 38160 36847 52 292 51 300 45 298 33 304 36847 35520 48 295 50 308 40 310 30 310 35520 34147 45 298 45 313 36 319 28 310 34147 32731 40 298 42 312 35 321 29 310 32731 31256 37 296 41 305 34 313 31 314 31256 29713 37 295 38 300 34 305 30 312 29713 28104 36 296 34 300 33 304 28 303 28104 26428 36 298 32 306 32 304 28 298 26428 24689 36 302 32 310 31 302 30 297 24689 22889 33 304 32 310 31 304 31 305 22889 21024 31 304 29 307 32 312 31 314 21024 19089 32 300 28 302 30 310 28 311 19089 17122 32 297 30 301 29 307 27 307 17122 15228 32 296 32 303 29 313 27 311 15228 13505 32 297 31 306 27 322 24 320 13505 11973 30 298 29 311 25 330 21 329 11973 10610 27 301 25 314 22 335 17 337 10610 9398 22 304 19 317 19 337 16 344 9398 8318 16 306 14 321 16 340 16 347 8318 7358 12 310 9 332 12 345 14 347 7358 6509 8 317 7 345 9 350 13 347 6509 5756 4 318 5 345 8 352 13 351 5756 5079 3 351 4*339 8 355 15 359 5079 4480 3*021 3*343 8*360 19 005 4480 3980 5*031 4 349 8*006 21 008 3980 3595 5 031 4 351 8 010 21 010 3595 3330 5 031 4 352 8 011 18 011 3330 3169 4 031 3 352 7 012 14 013 3169 3077 4 029 3 352 6 012 7*014 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography