DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - - - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 42 - - 63 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 327 - - 1543 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3059 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3387 - - 4604 - - - - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 733 - - 1938 - - 2426 - - - - - 1075 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 205 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction 020 - - 071 - - 153 - - - - - 051 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -7 - - 3 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1170 - - -728 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 4557 - - 5332 - - - - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -2955 - - -3645 - - -3396 - - - - - -2081 ODpotential blCL 6031 - - 7032 - - 8000 - - - - - 5158 blCL maxRH 93 - - 80 - - 65 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - - - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.6 - - 39.8 - - 40.5 - - - - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 48.7 - - 52.5 - - - - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.3 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 42 - - 63 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 327 - - 1543 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 12 067 9 060 5 135 3 119 96539 89442 16 124 23 082 17 126 9 064 89442 83953 16 108 17 126 7 089 10 076 83953 79385 16 079 20 133 11 128 11 082 79385 75422 13 091 9 129 15 131 11 103 75422 71914 9 136 3 114 11 136 6 115 71914 68736 7 140 9 145 4 188 2 210 68736 65799 2 149 13 149 6 251 7 221 65799 63056 4 219 10 152 9 241 12 186 63056 60387 5 215 6 163 8 221 10 152 60387 57607 4 211 4 074 9 148 1 216 57607 54725 7 147 7 000 6 049 7 029 54725 51971 18 084 10 087 7 035 11 010 51971 49470 24 050 26 066 16 057 6 349 49470 47206 21 033 24 052 27 062 27 044 47206 45160 18 046 25 058 39 052 42 042 45160 43304 24 049 32 059 42 055 46 045 43304 41598 28 043 39 056 49 061 58 047 41598 40016 28 049 50 061 59 058 69 048 40016 38536 34 054 61 057 67 055 78 050 38536 37148 45 052 67 053 73 052 86 049 37148 35819 51 048 71 051 76 050 92 049 35819 34482 46 047 72 049 79 051 98 050 34482 33109 46 056 74 050 83 051 105 053 33109 31699 60 057 75 050 86 051 106 053 31699 30240 56 059 65 052 80 050 97 050 30240 28724 47 060 46 052 66 049 86 046 28724 27156 36 074 37 061 49 051 74 047 27156 25538 33 093 38 067 41 058 61 050 25538 23872 38 095 39 065 40 062 51 060 23872 22154 40 083 38 062 39 062 50 070 22154 20374 39 073 38 064 38 062 50 074 20374 18522 36 074 33 067 36 064 47 076 18522 16639 34 085 29 070 32 066 38 079 16639 14826 33 095 29 077 28 072 31 085 14826 13177 33 100 33 087 27 081 26 089 13177 11710 31 105 35 095 27 088 22 086 11710 10404 29 108 35 103 26 093 19 085 10404 9236 25 110 32 107 25 099 18 077 9236 8193 20 107 27 106 23 104 17 061 8193 7262 14 096 22 103 19 103 12 050 7262 6438 10 078 20 104 15 100 6 051 6438 5704 7 061 17 108 11 098 1 014 5704 5045 8 037 12 107 7*103 5 294 5045 4458 10 024 7 105 4*116 7 298 4458 3967 14 020 4 105 2 155 6 306 3967 3588 16 019 2*093 2 166 3 328 3588 3327 15 019 2*072 2 173 2 015 3327 3168 13*018 2 070 2 176 2*045 3168 3077 7*020 2 071 2 181 2*051 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography