DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 55.6 - - 61.3 - - 58.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 11 - - 90 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 922 - - 566 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3175 - - 3983 - - 3627 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 375 - - 1110 - - 975 - - 266 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 56 - - 190 - - 102 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 023 - - 048 - - 039 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -10 - - 2 - - -5 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3855 - - -2858 - - -2264 - - -1584 - - -3991 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6932 - - 6033 - - 6247 - - 5211 - - 7068 sfcLCL ODpotential -12007 - - -9169 - - -6955 - - -6720 - - -12347 ODpotential blCL 15084 - - 12344 - - 10938 - - 10347 - - 15424 blCL maxRH 28 - - 46 - - 54 - - 62 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 55.6 - - 61.3 - - 58.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 40.2 - - 44.8 - - 46.6 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 55.5 - - 60.6 - - 58.4 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 39.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.5 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 11 - - 90 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 922 - - 566 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95951 39 280 29 300 31 297 27 292 24 281 95951 88923 24 303 21 305 20 296 27 306 24 309 88923 83527 19 325 20 310 16 323 23 317 18 296 83527 79059 16 335 15 299 19 318 14 326 12 291 79059 75188 13 321 8 279 17 294 11 324 12 304 75188 71742 9 325 6 292 13 296 11 314 12 304 71742 68602 15 293 11 297 14 314 11 319 13 319 68602 65700 19 276 14 294 18 306 14 308 17 322 65700 63006 27 279 17 289 21 293 19 294 25 316 63006 60407 33 278 25 286 24 281 25 287 28 300 60407 57696 38 277 30 276 25 283 26 275 24 263 57696 54834 33 276 31 272 29 270 22 268 23 289 54834 52060 35 275 39 269 27 277 39 293 44 299 52060 49562 42 266 44 268 47 285 53 292 49 299 49562 47332 49 270 52 273 57 277 52 287 43 291 47332 45319 52 269 53 266 47 267 45 280 32 283 45319 43479 46 263 42 260 36 261 36 269 22 292 43479 41777 34 268 31 268 30 267 24 262 21 318 41777 40196 33 284 34 287 29 285 23 305 26 334 40196 38730 36 300 29 291 28 296 29 315 29 337 38730 37373 40 292 24 282 24 299 29 325 29 346 37373 36084 37 277 20 281 22 296 23 322 21 335 36084 34794 33 269 4 025 3 266 11 297 7 018 34794 33468 25 275 21 066 20 071 5 088 22 060 33468 32104 14 289 28 048 31 051 24 028 31 054 32104 30688 7 303 28 036 35 046 37 029 31 050 30688 29204 5 022 21 031 32 037 37 038 30 052 29204 27655 12 031 16 040 25 036 30 050 29 056 27655 26041 15 021 22 066 25 063 25 062 27 060 26041 24363 16 003 29 071 31 075 22 072 23 064 24363 22624 15 347 30 069 29 077 21 075 21 066 22624 20816 14 333 24 067 26 079 19 080 20 067 20816 18934 12 330 17 057 21 082 16 084 20 067 18934 17013 9 330 12 044 13 082 12 073 19 073 17013 15158 6 327 8 035 7 072 10 056 15 079 15158 13465 5 325 4 025 5 046 10 050 10 077 13465 11956 5 325 3 023 6 035 9 054 8 069 11956 10610 5 335 6 035 9 040 9 064 6 069 10610 9406 6 356 7 042 11 046 8 072 4 065 9406 8330 8 019 7 046 11 048 6 078 2 043 8330 7371 8 033 6 047 9 049 4 083 2 356 7371 6521 6 040 5 042 7 045 3 084 2 350 6521 5767 6 042 5 031 6 042 3 073 2 357 5767 5090 7 039 5 023 6 044 3 036 3 000 5090 4489 7 033 5 020 5 042 3 026 3 001 4489 3986 10 032 7 026 3*043 4*030 5 017 3986 3599 11 031 9 025 3*047 4*038 6 026 3599 3332 12 029 9*025 2 049 4 039 6 033 3332 3170 10*028 8*024 2 049 4 039 5*037 3170 3077 7*028 5 022 2 048 3 041 4*036 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography