DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 54.4 - - 54.3 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 118 - - 26 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3486 - - 3934 - - 4259 - - 2034 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5337 - - 5229 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6546 - - 6995 - - 7319 - - 5094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1262 - - 2231 - - 2485 - - 2872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 322 - - 202 - - 113 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 44 - - 9 - - 7 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 213 - - 248 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 41 - - 56 - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 895 - - 611 - - 675 - - 73 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5652 - - 6384 - - 6645 - - 5021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 442 - - 47 - - -166 - - -740 ODpotential blCL - - - 6104 - - 6948 - - 7485 - - 5834 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 54.4 - - 54.3 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 37.1 - - 35.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 36.7 - - 35.5 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 118 - - 26 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3486 - - 3934 - - 4259 - - 2034 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97843 17 239 24 254 29 258 23 274 97843 90348 21 253 26 261 26 273 24 276 90348 84623 20 261 20 259 19 274 15 278 84623 79903 16 265 16 266 17 278 14 284 79903 75842 14 278 14 275 17 276 15 285 75842 72249 15 289 13 283 18 280 16 299 72249 68993 16 287 17 274 22 288 21 299 68993 66005 18 278 21 263 22 280 22 297 66005 63233 19 273 25 258 23 275 23 285 63233 60534 24 273 28 264 26 275 24 279 60534 57704 28 277 29 272 27 271 24 271 57704 54755 29 270 29 275 26 264 26 265 54755 51935 33 265 30 266 28 264 29 264 51935 49397 38 256 37 251 33 260 30 268 49397 47122 36 251 37 238 38 248 29 263 47122 45054 39 255 33 240 34 234 27 250 45054 43158 52 255 37 247 30 235 27 240 43158 41405 64 249 46 248 38 240 27 235 41405 39776 67 241 56 242 43 238 26 230 39776 38258 67 239 62 232 43 238 22 228 38258 36841 65 244 60 232 46 240 20 236 36841 35489 71 248 59 238 48 242 19 241 35489 34137 79 248 63 241 48 241 16 243 34137 32757 84 247 65 242 44 239 13 247 32757 31355 82 247 60 244 36 238 8 246 31355 29917 73 249 47 248 24 236 2 142 29917 28434 63 251 35 252 12 228 9 086 28434 26902 52 252 27 254 6 212 16 077 26902 25317 36 250 22 252 3 178 20 080 25317 23676 20 245 18 242 2 173 18 083 23676 21980 13 230 15 233 2 167 13 092 21980 20220 13 231 14 234 2 073 12 101 20220 18391 6 222 8 232 2 076 11 104 18391 16531 4 102 5 143 4 133 4 112 16531 14739 7 088 10 108 8 161 2 322 14739 13108 4 110 8 106 11 149 3 047 13108 11652 9 116 9 103 6 138 7 071 11652 10354 8 124 6 110 3 257 6 074 10354 9198 5 140 1 142 5 265 2 227 9198 8167 5 164 2 235 6*258 2 234 8167 7246 3*169 3*237 6*255 2 248 7246 6429 2*181 3*235 6 250 1 296 6429 5702 2 230 2 227 5 249 2*351 5702 5046 3 258 1 213 4 246 3*002 5046 4461 3 264 1 205 3 243 3 000 4461 3970 4 263 1 191 3 241 3 000 3970 3591 4 264 1 187 2 241 3 001 3591 3328 4 262 1 179 2 241 3 360 3328 3168 4 263 1 174 2 241 3 001 3168 3077 3 260 1 175 2 240 2 001 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography