DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 64.1 - - 69.4 - - 68.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -62 - - 51 - - 219 - - 85 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 1631 - - 1572 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3898 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3513 - - 4693 - - 4634 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 828 - - 1653 - - 1441 - - 286 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 131 - - 300 - - 219 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 010 - - 010 - - 009 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -8 - - -12 - - -15 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4230 - - -4799 - - -5094 - - -4413 - - -2318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7308 - - 8312 - - 9787 - - 9048 - - 5396 sfcLCL ODpotential -13306 - - -10375 - - -12095 - - -11879 - - -11233 ODpotential blCL 16383 - - 13888 - - 16788 - - 16513 - - 14310 blCL maxRH 48 - - 48 - - 50 - - 66 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 64.1 - - 69.4 - - 68.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.8 - - 38.7 - - 37.4 - - 39.5 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 63.6 - - 67.9 - - 67.6 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 37.5 - - 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -62 - - 51 - - 219 - - 85 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 452 - - 1631 - - 1572 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96338 11 344 9 071 8 227 10 241 11 283 96338 89196 10 020 13 055 1 352 5 338 11 042 89196 83687 13 023 12 053 4 354 5 332 15 033 83687 79113 9 013 11 010 11 349 8 020 17 037 79113 75186 11 012 14 004 17 350 16 006 20 025 75186 71729 10 328 20 352 21 341 19 356 23 010 71729 68618 16 324 20 334 26 323 26 345 31 358 68618 65772 20 324 20 332 28 328 31 336 33 345 65772 63133 24 325 26 332 27 323 27 329 30 341 63133 60558 34 322 29 318 29 316 26 326 30 337 60558 57854 39 309 35 311 35 314 33 324 38 327 57854 55037 42 300 45 305 40 306 43 315 42 313 55037 52336 46 296 48 301 45 302 47 307 42 318 52336 49898 47 294 48 297 48 296 54 315 51 314 49898 47711 45 295 49 294 50 299 57 309 56 298 47711 45724 47 298 53 295 55 305 56 296 49 333 45724 43917 53 292 56 297 47 298 48 317 70 339 43917 42274 58 286 55 306 37 307 54 330 62 334 42274 40757 62 285 52 310 45 328 50 338 42 340 40757 39335 62 283 47 306 52 332 57 003 49 010 39335 37991 59 282 43 308 42 346 70 014 58 020 37991 36691 54 285 41 316 41 009 77 017 59 019 36691 35373 53 289 42 320 56 018 70 015 57 011 35373 34010 52 292 42 318 62 015 62 013 45 000 34010 32604 50 296 44 308 57 014 58 010 42 353 32604 31141 47 297 46 300 49 011 53 007 42 350 31141 29612 41 296 42 308 43 003 48 001 42 349 29612 28019 35 297 40 327 41 354 40 355 43 351 28019 26361 33 300 42 338 41 347 36 348 46 353 26361 24642 35 307 41 334 42 346 40 344 49 353 24642 22862 34 309 39 325 43 347 44 347 46 352 22862 21016 33 306 37 328 41 353 43 350 41 348 21016 19097 32 301 35 321 35 357 38 352 38 344 19097 17143 31 304 33 310 27 342 31 352 34 346 17143 15261 31 310 31 309 27 327 27 347 31 352 15261 13548 27 315 29 314 28 325 26 342 28 356 13548 12024 23 321 26 321 26 328 26 342 26 360 12024 10667 22 330 24 328 24 332 26 346 24 003 10667 9456 21 337 21 334 21 339 24 352 21 005 9456 8374 20 343 18 340 19 346 23 357 19 007 8374 7410 20 347 16 346 17 351 21 000 17 008 7410 6555 19 351 15 350 16 357 18 001 16 007 6555 5795 19 355 15 356 15 003 15 002 15 006 5795 5111 19 359 15 003 14*007 14*003 16 007 5111 4503 19 003 15 008 13*010 13*007 18 006 4503 3995 18 007 14 011 12 011 13 010 19 005 3995 3604 17 008 12*012 12 011 12 010 19 004 3604 3335 16 007 9*010 11 010 11 010 17 005 3335 3171 13*008 8 010 10 010 10 010 13 006 3171 3077 8*014 6 009 8 010 8 010 7*007 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography