DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/25 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.2 - - 58.7 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 250 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 786 - - 2883 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 4833 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3847 - - 5945 - - 3718 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1157 - - 1309 - - 1810 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 372 - - 114 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 325 - - 009 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 9 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4245 - - -2964 - - 97 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8092 - - 8909 - - 3621 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11479 - - -9653 - - -1155 - - -4297 ODpotential blCL - - - 15326 - - 15598 - - 4873 - - 7374 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 84 - - 98 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.2 - - 58.7 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 37.9 - - 53.4 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 64.5 - - 58.3 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 37.4 - - 53.3 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 250 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 786 - - 2883 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 36 - - 92 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97153 36 286 34 270 40 261 49 271 97153 89944 23 269 31 264 37 274 34 283 89944 84354 21 269 32 260 34 279 27 283 84354 79681 25 274 32 270 30 279 25 280 79681 75650 24 268 30 276 31 284 24 294 75650 72098 21 267 27 278 28 284 21 302 72098 68884 17 269 20 278 21 279 17 290 68884 65920 22 293 20 286 22 286 22 293 65920 63164 31 283 30 293 33 294 35 296 63164 60516 41 280 41 283 39 296 44 302 60516 57812 43 275 41 287 41 306 47 310 57812 55048 42 291 45 307 56 309 52 304 55048 52411 60 300 56 301 54 301 48 300 52411 50017 57 283 50 286 47 299 43 304 50017 47849 39 286 41 310 44 320 42 317 47849 45868 57 328 76 334 69 335 60 329 45868 44056 96 329 106 327 95 328 88 324 44056 42401 102 319 105 316 103 318 100 318 42401 40865 93 311 94 312 102 313 95 314 40865 39419 75 307 80 314 97 312 87 310 39419 38051 69 307 75 319 83 320 83 307 38051 36726 69 306 76 319 88 329 79 307 36726 35384 66 304 71 312 91 328 76 308 35384 33998 61 303 68 306 85 324 75 309 33998 32573 48 295 67 304 73 316 77 307 32573 31091 43 281 63 304 68 306 78 307 31091 29541 44 276 53 293 69 305 73 307 29541 27927 48 279 51 281 57 296 61 303 27927 26253 46 280 53 278 54 285 51 292 26253 24521 42 278 52 278 56 286 55 282 24521 22732 41 270 46 277 55 283 55 282 22732 20880 43 263 44 269 51 275 52 281 20880 18961 42 263 46 266 50 271 50 279 18961 17012 39 266 46 271 48 275 47 283 17012 15138 36 272 42 276 40 282 40 284 15138 13436 33 277 36 279 31 290 29 283 13436 11923 28 277 30 279 25 294 18 283 11923 10579 23 276 24 280 21 288 12 290 10579 9379 18 277 18 279 17 285 12 295 9379 8310 14 281 14 280 13 289 14 290 8310 7357 12 290 10 290 11 299 15 286 7357 6513 10 303 7*314 10 305 14 284 6513 5763 9 315 7*328 7 311 12 281 5763 5088 9 322 7 328 6 321 9 280 5088 4488 9 323 7 326 5 345 7 274 4488 3986 8*321 7 325 6*003 5 265 3986 3598 7*318 7 323 6*008 3 327 3598 3332 7 315 7 321 6 009 6 015 3332 3170 6 312 6 320 5 010 6*020 3170 3077 5 311 6 320 5 008 4*023 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography