DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 43.7 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 84 - - 100 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1799 - - 2115 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3442 - - 3881 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4859 - - 5175 - - 4023 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2067 - - 1597 - - 1189 - - 1685 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 228 - - 255 - - 103 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 042 - - 071 - - 030 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1208 - - 1281 - - 749 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 3651 - - 3894 - - 3274 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential -2347 - - 253 - - 416 - - -195 - - -4723 ODpotential blCL 5423 - - 4606 - - 4759 - - 4218 - - 7799 blCL maxRH 89 - - 95 - - 99 - - 96 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 43.8 - - 45.1 - - 43.7 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 38.5 - - 38.7 - - 40.0 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 43.0 - - 44.2 - - 43.5 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 37.3 - - 37.5 - - 39.2 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 84 - - 100 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1799 - - 2115 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 81 - - 97 - - 86 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96763 10 120 7 128 3 093 8 151 4 262 96763 89627 12 119 10 086 5 078 8 122 8 115 89627 84112 14 108 9 084 8 112 7 076 12 073 84112 79534 13 085 10 108 8 111 8 078 8 061 79534 75588 8 067 10 107 7 105 8 055 6 036 75588 72097 7 059 9 074 6 080 7 050 4 101 72097 68916 6 043 6 074 6 340 9 028 7 039 68916 65974 8 358 7 068 5 315 9 005 11 350 65974 63241 12 335 9 021 4 349 9 351 9 332 63241 60581 15 340 14 360 10 351 11 349 15 330 60581 57794 19 339 18 358 15 001 15 350 21 351 57794 54900 20 343 26 006 24 011 24 355 38 355 54900 52143 23 358 31 006 37 010 31 000 43 358 52143 49655 29 006 37 009 42 009 38 011 48 003 49655 47413 35 010 43 011 45 011 43 015 50 007 47413 45368 36 013 45 014 47 014 48 018 54 013 45368 43483 41 022 45 019 51 015 55 019 58 017 43483 41735 49 022 49 024 52 016 59 019 62 019 41735 40105 49 018 49 025 51 019 61 020 70 021 40105 38580 50 010 51 026 54 022 64 021 78 020 38580 37146 36 004 49 024 59 024 66 022 79 019 37146 35770 24 034 46 031 63 025 69 025 77 021 35770 34387 30 051 47 031 60 027 75 024 76 023 34387 32974 36 049 44 037 57 031 76 025 76 024 32974 31540 35 040 46 048 54 035 76 027 75 025 31540 30077 20 048 46 050 51 050 68 029 72 025 30077 28575 14 090 40 053 60 050 64 039 66 029 28575 27028 17 113 34 070 56 051 62 042 60 031 27028 25429 24 114 38 092 52 079 56 063 55 041 25429 23776 29 113 47 104 62 093 57 076 53 043 23776 22065 24 110 53 108 64 097 58 071 51 043 22065 20290 15 088 54 111 56 097 56 067 50 054 20290 18445 12 034 54 114 51 091 57 079 47 067 18445 16568 13 004 45 116 48 089 57 094 41 075 16568 14760 11 359 36 113 41 093 49 098 35 083 14760 13119 7 000 29 113 31 094 39 093 29 088 13119 11660 5 027 22 117 24 093 34 078 24 081 11660 10358 5 054 14 114 20 091 29 075 20 068 10358 9195 5 073 9 096 17 088 23 091 17 069 9195 8156 4 101 8 070 15 082 17 109 13 080 8156 7230 4 130 7 058 12 076 12 109 10 080 7230 6411 5 141 6 050 9 075 7 091 8 065 6411 5682 6 144 6 041 7*076 5 048 7 044 5682 5027 5 141 6*039 6*072 5 021 6 022 5027 4446 5 130 6*041 6 071 6*022 5 356 4446 3958 4 120 5 041 5 071 5*027 5 339 3958 3583 4 115 5 043 5 071 5 030 5 340 3583 3324 3 108 4 044 5 071 5 030 5 351 3324 3166 3 096 4 045 5 071 5 031 4 004 3166 3076 2*076 4 044 4 071 4 031 3*011 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography