DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 58.1 - - 61.3 - - 59.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 105 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 194 - - 1533 - - 751 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3504 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3255 - - 4594 - - 3812 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 322 - - 1487 - - 1720 - - 1781 - - 429 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 67 - - 236 - - 123 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 026 - - 010 - - 011 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5464 - - -3989 - - -2616 - - -2981 - - -535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8541 - - 7245 - - 7210 - - 6793 - - 3612 sfcLCL ODpotential -15228 - - -11160 - - -9362 - - -8921 - - -6764 ODpotential blCL 18305 - - 14415 - - 13956 - - 12733 - - 9841 blCL maxRH 49 - - 51 - - 84 - - 61 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 58.1 - - 61.3 - - 59.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 37.5 - - 40.7 - - 40.7 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 58.0 - - 60.4 - - 59.1 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 36.1 - - 39.5 - - 39.6 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 105 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 194 - - 1533 - - 751 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96691 17 131 14 075 13 106 20 107 24 119 96691 89579 23 089 23 097 20 100 20 114 18 078 89579 84080 23 092 18 099 13 094 20 105 8 073 84080 79507 19 088 13 111 7 104 11 094 11 063 79507 75552 13 069 14 118 3 097 5 109 13 041 75552 72053 6 039 10 095 2 119 1 113 9 035 72053 68891 3 243 1 030 1 323 2 352 5 053 68891 65980 9 196 3 266 6 292 4 296 3 290 65980 63274 5 231 9 239 8 271 6 273 6 270 63274 60648 12 276 15 257 14 284 14 282 12 279 60648 57910 12 261 18 253 21 268 19 286 22 303 57910 55064 16 277 18 254 24 267 33 284 34 285 55064 52351 25 280 15 264 24 258 29 269 29 275 52351 49909 24 299 18 315 17 287 28 290 29 281 49909 47707 39 310 39 311 32 298 31 284 33 275 47707 45691 44 315 43 313 34 293 27 298 34 294 45691 43850 54 324 52 319 51 321 55 322 53 318 43850 42187 49 322 55 315 51 324 64 315 73 317 42187 40666 27 319 37 301 35 321 33 313 70 307 40666 39246 22 332 24 283 25 306 19 313 57 298 39246 37909 25 337 17 320 25 307 23 300 25 283 37909 36619 38 359 26 346 22 316 26 280 19 293 36619 35308 48 001 26 340 17 304 27 260 27 308 35308 33949 45 358 23 333 15 278 27 262 32 314 33949 32546 30 353 20 330 25 278 26 277 33 314 32546 31086 23 348 18 306 31 282 28 284 30 306 31086 29556 19 340 21 293 24 274 28 279 24 295 29556 27956 15 320 26 296 23 271 28 279 32 291 27956 26288 20 308 28 296 27 278 29 291 41 302 26288 24560 28 313 26 290 32 287 32 302 41 307 24560 22777 24 314 24 289 31 293 33 304 32 295 22777 20928 17 311 23 290 26 291 36 300 31 280 20928 19005 17 309 19 291 21 282 35 294 32 284 19005 17051 16 306 18 292 18 273 26 282 31 286 17051 15176 12 301 18 291 18 277 20 271 26 281 15176 13472 8 312 14 291 17 282 17 273 22 273 13472 11954 5 342 10 291 15 288 13 285 19 273 11954 10602 5 351 7 292 12 295 11 303 14 278 10602 9394 5 343 6 301 9 306 9 321 11 289 9394 8317 5 337 4 322 7 323 8 336 9 306 8317 7359 5 329 3 350 6 338 7 348 8 323 7359 6512 4 325 3 008 6 352 6 357 9 335 6512 5760 4 324 3 015 6 004 6 002 9 342 5760 5085 3 324 3 011 7*008 6 005 10 345 5085 4485 3 324 3 006 7*009 6 005 12 351 4485 3984 3 324 3 008 7 010 6*009 13 357 3984 3598 3 329 3 017 7 011 6*010 13 001 3598 3331 4 338 3*025 7 011 5 011 12 004 3331 3170 3*342 2*028 6 010 5 012 10*007 3170 3077 3*350 1 025 5 009 4 011 6*011 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography