DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 67.7 - - 73.3 - - 73.9 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 368 - - 477 - - 233 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2430 - - 4092 - - 4676 - - 353 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4614 - - 5973 - - 6151 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5492 - - 7154 - - 7738 - - 3414 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 753 - - 1193 - - 1439 - - 1580 - - 970 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 398 - - 516 - - 426 - - 38 W* B/S 2 - - 17 - - 15 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 233 - - 266 - - 253 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2232 - - -2719 - - -3414 - - -2514 - - -2047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5309 - - 8211 - - 10568 - - 10253 - - 5461 sfcLCL ODpotential -9864 - - -11227 - - -11237 - - -9951 - - -6163 ODpotential blCL 12941 - - 16719 - - 18391 - - 17689 - - 9577 blCL maxRH 61 - - 54 - - 50 - - 57 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 67.7 - - 73.3 - - 73.9 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 42.4 - - 37.5 - - 39.4 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 65.5 - - 70.5 - - 72.2 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 42.0 - - 37.1 - - 39.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 368 - - 477 - - 233 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2430 - - 4092 - - 4676 - - 353 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98950 18 121 15 103 13 147 8 118 7 082 98950 91483 24 101 20 107 15 131 8 123 12 085 91483 85741 18 085 19 088 20 115 11 112 16 083 85741 80993 15 098 15 084 17 088 21 097 16 094 80993 76902 10 097 12 086 10 082 18 092 18 089 76902 73284 11 109 13 120 7 087 13 087 11 088 73284 70001 9 069 7 100 5 068 9 066 6 098 70001 66984 3 355 8 155 5 196 4 287 3 111 66984 64177 14 288 4 326 2 172 5 205 5 200 64177 61461 14 256 11 269 10 268 14 265 13 276 61461 58661 17 282 13 265 14 261 16 255 14 263 58661 55768 25 279 17 278 16 277 14 265 11 245 55768 53015 28 278 26 284 26 279 31 278 27 276 53015 50557 33 281 33 278 36 272 43 268 42 265 50557 48358 36 286 35 279 38 273 46 266 47 260 48358 46353 40 288 39 283 43 277 47 268 49 266 46353 44509 43 279 42 277 47 274 48 269 50 268 44509 42802 45 273 45 275 47 271 48 273 50 273 42802 41212 47 271 43 278 46 272 51 276 54 277 41212 39723 46 272 44 277 44 272 52 273 56 276 39723 38322 44 274 46 271 43 271 51 269 54 274 38322 36974 44 274 50 265 42 272 49 270 51 273 36974 35613 46 268 52 261 41 274 46 273 49 274 35613 34211 49 263 51 261 41 274 43 273 48 275 34211 32769 48 261 49 262 42 273 42 271 47 275 32769 31274 46 260 46 264 42 272 43 269 45 273 31274 29715 44 260 43 265 42 272 44 269 44 269 29715 28093 41 259 40 264 40 271 44 270 44 268 28093 26408 40 260 38 266 40 268 41 272 44 270 26408 24664 36 260 37 267 40 266 39 270 41 271 24664 22864 33 265 35 267 40 263 38 268 39 270 22864 20998 30 269 34 268 41 261 39 268 39 269 20998 19059 29 271 34 269 41 260 40 268 39 270 19059 17088 29 273 33 268 39 262 39 268 37 270 17088 15197 28 274 29 266 35 264 36 268 34 268 15197 13483 24 272 25 264 29 262 30 268 30 262 13483 11964 19 270 22 261 24 258 24 263 26 257 11964 10615 15 271 18 260 20 254 16 253 20 250 10615 9414 11 274 15 260 14 255 6 234 15 224 9414 8342 8 277 12 262 8 259 3*235 10 182 8342 7388 6 273 10 261 5*268 4*246 9 144 7388 6540 5 254 6 256 5*270 4 250 7 144 6540 5786 6 231 3*233 5 270 6 253 4 183 5786 5106 7 223 3*231 6 268 7 254 5 225 5106 4502 6 220 4 232 7 266 8 254 5 272 4502 3995 5 234 4 233 7 265 8 255 8 308 3995 3605 4 276 5 233 8 263 8 254 10*311 3605 3336 4 299 5 233 8 263 8 254 10*309 3336 3172 3 316 5 233 8 262 8 254 9 307 3172 3078 2*336 4 232 7 262 7 254 6 305 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography