DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 53.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 399 - - 518 - - 285 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 1717 - - 3310 - - 3485 - - 1002 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 4102 - - 5385 - - 5332 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3315 - - 4777 - - 6371 - - 6546 - - 4063 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 745 - - 766 - - 1096 - - 1644 - - 1650 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 365 - - 496 - - 414 - - 87 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 205 - - 205 - - 247 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 239 - - 168 - - -218 - - -47 - - 38 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 4609 - - 6590 - - 6594 - - 4026 sfcLCL ODpotential 166 - - -3181 - - -3275 - - -1925 - - -1497 ODpotential blCL 3149 - - 7958 - - 9646 - - 8471 - - 5560 blCL maxRH 100 - - 89 - - 76 - - 74 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 53.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 43.8 - - 41.2 - - 40.9 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 51.2 - - 56.7 - - 57.5 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.2 - - 43.3 - - 40.4 - - 40.3 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 399 - - 518 - - 285 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 1717 - - 3310 - - 3485 - - 1002 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 57 - - 3 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97821 19 241 23 234 28 247 26 259 23 254 97821 90338 11 242 25 247 20 252 26 242 26 254 90338 84634 11 261 19 239 20 256 19 273 20 260 84634 79928 16 280 10 273 20 241 21 260 16 267 79928 75874 15 284 14 286 17 282 14 250 17 280 75874 72286 18 283 17 271 21 272 13 290 16 284 72286 69036 21 267 16 277 24 279 23 303 16 295 69036 66044 18 287 19 275 25 280 23 285 20 291 66044 63257 21 308 20 269 24 269 24 271 26 293 63257 60550 27 288 21 288 24 273 30 277 31 288 60550 57734 29 263 26 282 27 273 34 271 34 273 57734 54813 23 267 31 263 28 268 35 265 35 267 54813 52019 24 281 32 259 32 274 36 264 37 267 52019 49504 33 264 34 265 47 271 41 264 39 265 49504 47255 39 255 43 266 49 262 52 263 47 258 47255 45224 46 257 55 256 49 257 60 254 59 246 45224 43371 55 250 50 252 51 257 63 254 58 250 43371 41665 56 242 48 257 58 261 69 259 68 260 41665 40083 56 245 54 257 68 263 77 262 82 264 40083 38601 62 249 61 255 77 263 85 263 91 262 38601 37208 67 247 65 254 85 262 94 261 96 258 37208 35871 63 244 66 252 91 261 102 258 100 256 35871 34522 52 237 64 252 93 260 102 258 100 254 34522 33135 45 227 57 250 92 260 108 260 98 253 33135 31710 43 217 48 243 81 259 113 260 94 256 31710 30235 42 208 40 227 59 254 109 258 92 259 30235 28703 41 198 40 221 43 240 93 258 86 260 28703 27119 40 192 37 225 37 231 57 253 62 258 27119 25494 39 193 28 220 32 227 32 235 36 248 25494 23832 36 200 24 187 29 227 22 216 19 235 23832 22125 31 199 29 186 25 228 19 204 12 209 22125 20356 28 189 28 198 18 208 17 203 15 189 20356 18518 27 182 25 189 21 188 17 183 18 184 18518 16645 26 177 26 184 22 180 20 174 19 186 16645 14839 25 173 27 181 22 179 21 181 19 187 14839 13194 24 168 27 175 24 183 21 188 19 185 13194 11726 24 163 27 170 25 187 18 190 20 181 11726 10416 25 162 27 168 24 187 15 185 22 176 10416 9247 27 164 27 170 21 183 12 174 22 173 9247 8202 28 163 26 170 17 178 7 162 18 158 8202 7270 28 159 24 164 11 175 1*203 12 131 7270 6443 26 158 20 158 8*188 2*248 5 137 6443 5710 23 163 17 161 8*195 4 251 4 245 5710 5050 21 176 11*173 8 201 7 248 8 273 5050 4463 18 195 7*195 9 204 8 248 11*287 4463 3971 16 214 7 204 9 207 9 246 12*291 3971 3591 13 224 7 207 9 209 9 246 12 291 3591 3329 12*227 7 209 9 210 9 246 11 291 3329 3169 10*228 6 211 9 210 8 246 10 291 3169 3077 8 229 6 212 8 210 8 245 7 290 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography