DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 48.8 - - 52.9 - - 52.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 32 - - 78 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 468 - - 1475 - - 928 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3528 - - 4535 - - 3989 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 604 - - 1089 - - 1261 - - 1274 - - 672 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 116 - - 219 - - 110 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 198 - - 195 - - 208 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 1 - - -7 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2306 - - -2794 - - -2067 - - -1683 - - -4707 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5382 - - 6323 - - 6602 - - 5672 - - 7785 sfcLCL ODpotential -13782 - - -11249 - - -11674 - - -9232 - - -15219 ODpotential blCL 16858 - - 14777 - - 16209 - - 13221 - - 18296 blCL maxRH 43 - - 83 - - 89 - - 55 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 48.8 - - 52.9 - - 52.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 32.2 - - 35.0 - - 38.6 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 48.5 - - 52.2 - - 52.3 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.8 - - 31.1 - - 33.8 - - 37.4 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 32 - - 78 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 468 - - 1475 - - 928 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96823 25 106 24 107 14 106 14 091 14 106 96823 89636 25 097 24 105 14 122 13 096 13 088 89636 84079 18 095 16 109 12 118 10 097 11 080 84079 79463 7 087 9 143 2 167 5 089 2 095 79463 75490 1 147 5 173 2 269 5 045 3 016 75490 71974 6 230 13 252 10 280 12 294 13 338 71974 68782 12 253 17 243 16 259 17 261 16 299 68782 65849 12 235 14 266 14 275 19 266 18 285 65849 63124 25 263 26 272 20 263 24 264 20 273 63124 60478 38 265 34 268 31 263 31 267 26 276 60478 57713 46 259 44 268 40 266 44 268 39 275 57713 54852 50 254 48 258 48 256 51 261 50 268 54852 52133 44 253 44 248 50 256 52 262 51 272 52133 49691 37 274 48 262 58 261 65 274 67 280 49691 47515 56 274 63 265 71 265 78 269 75 275 47515 45560 74 259 72 260 74 261 78 265 73 272 45560 43783 75 251 70 257 71 262 71 272 67 273 43783 42149 70 253 69 251 66 270 69 282 61 286 42149 40629 67 253 65 249 65 269 70 284 75 306 40629 39201 66 252 62 252 67 262 69 285 77 305 39201 37853 65 255 61 256 63 258 66 286 71 300 37853 36547 64 261 61 256 60 255 61 285 66 295 36547 35219 62 261 61 256 59 254 58 281 65 292 35219 33841 60 260 60 257 57 254 58 274 63 290 33841 32416 57 261 57 260 55 254 56 266 61 286 32416 30932 53 263 52 260 51 252 50 261 58 277 30932 29383 50 265 46 257 45 250 46 255 54 270 29383 27777 47 264 40 254 40 248 44 252 46 268 27777 26112 45 258 37 248 37 246 39 249 41 264 26112 24389 44 252 38 245 36 245 36 247 37 255 24389 22611 41 250 38 246 36 247 35 249 36 247 22611 20771 37 248 37 247 35 249 34 251 33 246 20771 18862 35 244 35 246 34 249 32 252 28 250 18862 16922 32 239 33 245 32 250 29 250 24 250 16922 15057 29 237 29 244 29 249 26 251 20 251 15057 13363 27 235 25 243 25 247 22 251 16 254 13363 11856 27 231 23 239 20 242 18 246 12 247 11856 10513 26 225 20 228 17 232 14 232 10 221 10513 9315 24 214 18 212 17 211 16 215 13 200 9315 8249 24 202 19 198 19 197 18 206 16 194 8249 7303 25 197 20 193 20 193 18 202 16 192 7303 6468 26 197 20 194 18 194 16 198 14 188 6468 5727 25 199 21 199 15 196 14 195 12 182 5727 5061 22 204 20 203 13*196 11 193 10 175 5061 4469 17 209 17 206 9*194 8*196 8 168 4469 3974 13 214 13 206 7 195 5*204 6 166 3974 3592 10 214 9*203 7 195 5 208 4 159 3592 3328 8 211 6*199 7 196 4 209 3 133 3328 3168 6 209 5 199 6 197 4 211 3*090 3168 3077 1*206 4 197 5 198 3 210 3*065 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography