DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 54.3 - - 54.6 - - 55.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 7 - - 31 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 995 - - 212 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 4056 - - 3272 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 580 - - 1371 - - 1231 - - 3719 - - 809 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 25 - - 142 - - 42 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 237 - - 207 - - 336 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -2 - - 6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4923 - - -2524 - - -532 - - -1550 - - -157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8000 - - 5602 - - 4588 - - 4823 - - 3234 sfcLCL ODpotential -11419 - - -5827 - - -3575 - - -3517 - - -3843 ODpotential blCL 14496 - - 8904 - - 7631 - - 6789 - - 6920 blCL maxRH 90 - - 95 - - 89 - - 94 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 54.3 - - 54.6 - - 55.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.3 - - 40.5 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 54.3 - - 54.3 - - 55.4 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.2 - - 39.0 - - 43.8 - - 43.6 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 7 - - 31 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 995 - - 212 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 79 - - 57 - - 75 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95562 5 051 18 276 25 306 22 322 10 251 95562 88712 18 057 9 052 9 350 13 351 5 108 88712 83390 17 030 13 045 14 031 16 023 10 062 83390 78935 11 023 13 036 11 031 18 025 16 019 78935 75086 11 036 18 047 7 047 13 020 19 007 75086 71679 16 033 18 043 11 052 7 007 17 012 71679 68581 18 023 14 027 16 033 9 014 12 015 68581 65723 18 004 14 009 21 016 15 010 9 012 65723 63066 17 351 16 001 19 004 16 358 9 017 63066 60484 17 345 17 346 19 347 17 345 11 351 60484 57780 15 336 18 338 20 332 19 331 15 336 57780 54953 14 331 17 339 15 313 17 312 16 317 54953 52223 15 324 13 326 12 297 18 303 15 315 52223 49741 20 327 13 306 14 294 21 297 16 319 49741 47491 21 317 14 310 13 293 20 291 17 314 47491 45431 17 309 14 309 11 305 16 296 14 313 45431 43526 15 303 11 317 8 332 11 304 9 317 43526 41755 11 290 4 331 10 005 6 341 6 349 41755 40101 5 292 5 064 3 348 10 005 10 025 40101 38559 5 290 7 046 6 099 8 349 16 031 38559 37124 8 230 1 292 7 079 3 083 17 022 37124 35761 8 180 2 184 7 083 10 111 18 024 35761 34404 6 155 8 180 5 097 13 091 16 017 34404 33025 7 179 11 178 6 126 16 072 11 044 33025 31627 16 193 15 184 6 158 16 063 18 058 31627 30194 26 176 21 175 14 186 10 072 22 064 30194 28710 32 163 24 163 28 159 13 106 30 072 28710 27173 31 164 30 160 40 144 26 110 31 064 27173 25572 30 168 35 160 40 147 25 113 31 060 25572 23910 26 167 32 163 31 165 16 113 30 062 23910 22189 26 167 26 167 17 165 8 076 31 059 22189 20405 29 168 23 167 9 121 17 064 27 060 20405 18552 28 160 21 169 10 138 17 072 19 072 18552 16670 22 161 16 166 11 114 15 081 12 080 16670 14860 19 163 14 161 12 097 15 083 11 082 14860 13217 16 161 14 156 12 098 17 077 14 099 13217 11755 11 158 15 156 12 103 18 075 19 110 11755 10449 7 172 15 157 10 109 16 074 20 109 10449 9279 7 184 11 151 8 114 13 081 19 108 9279 8232 5 174 9 140 6 115 12 096 17 115 8232 7297 3 136 7 134 5 124 11 112 15 127 7297 6467 3 101 6 135 4 154 11 127 11 135 6467 5729 3 086 5 137 4 185 9 136 7 132 5729 5064 2 081 3 139 5 199 5 124 3 118 5064 4472 1 112 2 152 4*203 2 042 2 060 4472 3976 0 243 2 190 3*206 3 353 2 023 3976 3594 2 319 2 210 3 208 3 344 1 020 3594 3330 2 330 2 219 3 206 3*339 1 132 3330 3169 3*340 1*244 3 208 2*338 2*147 3169 3077 2*001 1*237 3 208 2 335 2*142 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography