DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 70.2 - - 76.3 - - 75.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 113 - - 270 - - 119 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1002 - - 2453 - - 1940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 4554 - - 3852 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4063 - - 5515 - - 5002 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 205 - - 897 - - 2075 - - 2849 - - 1266 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 209 - - 366 - - 260 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 151 - - 208 - - 266 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 3 - - 9 - - -8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10550 - - -6817 - - -5469 - - -5314 - - -3660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13628 - - 10880 - - 10985 - - 10317 - - 6738 sfcLCL ODpotential -19270 - - -12189 - - -9459 - - -9456 - - -9537 ODpotential blCL 22348 - - 16252 - - 14974 - - 14458 - - 12615 blCL maxRH 80 - - 85 - - 83 - - 51 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 70.2 - - 76.3 - - 75.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.3 - - 33.6 - - 38.9 - - 40.6 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 69.3 - - 74.5 - - 74.2 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.2 - - 32.5 - - 37.7 - - 39.4 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 113 - - 270 - - 119 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1002 - - 2453 - - 1940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 38 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 35 268 36 280 43 288 38 289 39 290 96609 89377 22 279 24 294 29 285 30 293 26 292 89377 83885 20 310 18 295 22 283 23 297 23 305 83885 79341 18 312 14 289 21 271 22 298 19 324 79341 75411 12 290 13 278 17 271 21 299 15 322 75411 71927 11 284 10 262 16 270 13 291 9 294 71927 68764 14 285 10 254 17 256 14 277 12 302 68764 65868 17 277 11 266 15 252 19 268 20 280 65868 63205 19 277 16 286 16 264 17 259 18 262 63205 60631 28 263 25 276 24 278 21 268 20 263 60631 57938 31 254 28 261 29 268 27 266 25 259 57938 55132 33 251 30 247 33 249 33 255 32 255 55132 52435 37 250 36 244 38 241 39 248 38 247 52435 49986 42 249 41 246 44 242 44 244 43 241 49986 47772 44 246 43 243 48 239 49 238 45 238 47772 45745 44 244 44 239 47 232 50 233 50 237 45745 43875 43 246 45 236 45 230 50 232 48 235 43875 42149 40 244 42 234 43 228 47 233 41 236 42149 40554 39 234 39 227 41 225 44 234 39 239 40554 39075 43 226 47 219 42 220 46 225 44 237 39075 37699 47 221 52 211 48 214 50 214 47 228 37699 36388 44 220 50 209 55 207 50 211 47 222 36388 35072 39 220 48 208 54 207 50 215 45 220 35072 33718 37 220 44 205 52 209 51 217 41 221 33718 32328 33 220 40 206 50 208 46 218 37 224 32328 30884 30 217 42 211 48 210 39 221 35 226 30884 29376 33 210 40 215 43 213 38 226 33 229 29376 27805 34 209 39 216 39 214 37 230 32 235 27805 26169 34 213 37 209 37 212 32 234 29 240 26169 24470 33 214 33 207 34 205 29 215 23 236 24470 22712 29 213 30 203 32 197 30 203 22 218 22712 20893 23 210 27 199 28 192 26 200 18 212 20893 19009 18 207 23 196 22 190 21 193 12 192 19009 17093 13 205 17 196 17 186 16 174 11 154 17093 15243 11 207 12 206 14 171 15 171 11 143 15243 13552 11 206 9 201 15 165 15 174 13 154 13552 12040 11 195 10 183 15 169 17 175 16 167 12040 10687 8 167 13 179 14 172 18 178 18 177 10687 9476 7 142 14 178 16 175 17 183 17 185 9476 8392 6 131 14 180 17 179 14 194 14 193 8392 7426 5 122 12 179 14 183 10 207 12 206 7426 6570 5 109 10 174 11 182 7 223 9 220 6570 5808 5 098 9 161 7*180 6 248 7 236 5808 5123 6 085 6 151 5*190 6*262 7 257 5123 4514 6 078 4*150 4 201 6*266 8 265 4514 4004 5 078 4*148 5 208 7 267 8 264 4004 3610 5 070 3 150 5 215 7 266 8 254 3610 3338 5 065 3 152 5 216 7 265 7 245 3338 3173 5*064 3 154 5 218 7 265 5*241 3173 3078 4*058 3 155 5 219 6 264 3*241 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography