DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.1 - - 52.7 - - 55.6 - - 53.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 12 - - 86 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 198 - - 1547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3259 - - 4607 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 188 - - 1145 - - 1071 - - 2320 - - 532 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 65 - - 223 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 17 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 329 - - 272 - - 134 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -2 - - 10 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2061 - - -2083 - - -463 - - -1055 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5138 - - 5342 - - 5070 - - 4132 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -8875 - - -6625 - - -4399 - - -4366 - - -5241 ODpotential blCL 11952 - - 9884 - - 9006 - - 7443 - - 8318 blCL maxRH 62 - - 63 - - 67 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.1 - - 52.7 - - 55.6 - - 53.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 40.0 - - 43.9 - - 46.1 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 52.6 - - 54.9 - - 53.5 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 38.8 - - 42.6 - - 45.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 12 - - 86 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 198 - - 1547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95529 21 282 31 298 35 283 31 277 49 274 95529 88639 3 324 13 315 15 291 18 291 25 291 88639 83298 9 026 8 315 10 303 15 309 13 312 83298 78858 12 022 7 334 8 318 11 329 7 345 78858 75017 11 032 4 353 7 342 8 335 4 342 75017 71602 13 039 3 019 5 346 5 329 7 325 71602 68491 9 029 4 010 6 350 3 334 8 310 68491 65613 4 007 5 347 9 338 6 343 10 316 65613 62932 5 358 5 319 11 322 10 323 11 309 62932 60331 11 340 6 330 10 302 14 307 14 306 60331 57614 13 327 12 321 14 303 19 301 16 305 57614 54779 14 318 19 306 18 295 22 301 19 301 54779 52049 14 307 20 298 19 296 23 301 20 295 52049 49565 15 309 21 307 19 300 24 300 24 314 49565 47317 18 319 21 310 21 299 27 306 33 315 47317 45261 22 327 20 311 23 307 30 314 33 314 45261 43371 20 328 21 314 26 317 32 323 33 331 43371 41632 26 342 22 342 26 323 39 334 44 339 41632 40031 31 351 29 352 27 336 42 342 48 340 40031 38548 34 360 35 006 36 000 42 352 49 351 38548 37167 35 018 54 012 52 008 43 004 52 001 37167 35850 59 018 67 010 68 013 62 008 65 001 35850 34533 68 017 74 010 81 014 70 002 73 356 34533 33184 71 020 74 011 80 013 71 001 71 353 33184 31800 70 019 66 013 69 012 73 003 69 356 31800 30364 65 018 60 015 62 012 73 006 68 359 30364 28865 52 021 57 013 61 012 68 006 71 357 28865 27304 41 023 50 010 61 011 64 005 74 356 27304 25681 27 022 42 012 60 009 60 007 74 358 25681 23999 26 016 33 016 55 008 56 008 67 000 23999 22263 31 013 26 015 46 007 54 008 61 001 22263 20467 30 014 28 012 38 006 54 008 55 002 20467 18604 25 013 31 011 33 002 47 006 51 003 18604 16709 19 014 26 006 29 357 38 359 46 001 16709 14884 15 019 19 356 25 351 29 351 40 354 14884 13225 13 021 15 349 19 340 23 342 31 346 13225 11751 13 016 12 353 16 329 18 331 22 339 11751 10439 12 003 12 357 14 326 16 325 16 331 10439 9266 11 348 13 357 13 324 13 325 13 324 9266 8218 9 337 12 353 13 320 12 324 10 320 8218 7283 7 330 11 344 12 314 11 323 7 319 7283 6453 6 325 8 335 11 309 9 322 6 329 6453 5716 4 326 7 327 8 302 7 322 4 342 5716 5053 4 333 6 320 5*292 3 313 3 327 5053 4464 4 343 5 319 3*283 1 282 2 280 4464 3971 5 352 5 325 2 276 1 247 3 232 3971 3590 6 356 5 336 2 271 0 083 4 199 3590 3328 7 358 4*336 2 266 0 111 3 175 3328 3168 6*358 4*332 2 263 0*124 2*147 3168 3077 5*002 2 326 2 262 0*134 2*096 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography