DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 67.8 - - 70.2 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 284 - - 188 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2316 - - 4354 - - 4860 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4330 - - 6020 - - 6206 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5377 - - 7415 - - 7922 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1398 - - 1125 - - 1377 - - 2419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 455 - - 408 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 359 - - 359 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 246 - - 184 - - -701 - - -3300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5131 - - 7231 - - 8624 - - 6378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3344 - - -4244 - - -4490 - - -8158 ODpotential blCL - - - 8721 - - 11659 - - 12412 - - 11236 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 69 - - 62 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 67.8 - - 70.2 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 46.7 - - 43.0 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 66.0 - - 68.7 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 45.4 - - 41.9 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 284 - - 188 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2316 - - 4354 - - 4860 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98264 9 159 9 076 16 122 13 133 98264 90831 19 126 13 127 8 112 12 104 90831 85142 18 125 14 136 8 093 19 071 85142 80427 16 118 15 124 11 083 18 072 80427 76367 8 103 14 098 10 100 13 085 76367 72793 9 139 9 089 11 100 13 089 72793 69554 13 158 8 187 6 129 4 088 69554 66572 13 136 16 177 9 201 10 220 66572 63808 8 241 7 209 5 219 11 211 63808 61111 22 257 19 262 11 263 10 228 61111 58269 29 254 27 256 21 256 13 254 58269 55314 28 253 29 247 30 250 27 260 55314 52509 32 265 32 255 35 253 35 262 52509 50000 39 272 40 266 39 264 41 267 50000 47762 47 277 46 273 44 273 45 271 47762 45740 54 280 54 280 55 277 53 275 45740 43901 62 282 62 282 63 279 61 278 43901 42217 68 282 69 284 66 281 65 280 42217 40658 74 284 75 285 71 283 67 283 40658 39203 77 286 75 286 70 285 69 285 39203 37834 75 284 71 286 66 287 68 286 37834 36518 70 283 68 285 61 287 62 286 36518 35191 67 284 63 284 58 286 57 286 35191 33823 66 283 60 284 56 285 54 285 33823 32413 64 287 60 284 56 288 52 285 32413 30947 55 289 58 287 56 291 52 290 30947 29413 44 288 48 288 49 292 49 292 29413 27819 39 289 38 286 39 292 43 293 27819 26165 38 292 32 288 31 292 35 294 26165 24453 36 294 30 291 27 294 28 295 24453 22684 32 295 28 295 26 296 26 297 22684 20850 27 295 26 298 24 303 25 306 20850 18946 26 292 24 297 22 309 21 316 18946 17009 26 292 21 298 19 313 17 325 17009 15145 25 299 19 303 17 317 14 331 15145 13450 22 310 16 312 14 324 12 336 13450 11944 18 321 14 321 12 334 10 342 11944 10603 14 328 11 328 10 343 9 347 10603 9406 13 329 10 335 7 349 9 350 9406 8336 12 330 8*347 7*350 9 343 8336 7382 9 335 6*357 7*354 8 335 7382 6536 8 358 6 358 7 357 8 335 6536 5783 7*017 6 359 8 359 8 347 5783 5105 5*017 6 001 8 360 9 359 5105 4502 4 010 6 360 8 001 11 002 4502 3996 4 003 5 359 8 001 12 358 3996 3606 3 356 5 358 8 002 12 354 3606 3336 3 353 5 356 8 002 10 350 3336 3172 3 348 4 355 7 001 8*348 3172 3078 3 344 4 354 6 001 5*347 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography