DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 55.5 - - 62.5 - - 62.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 236 - - 384 - - 189 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1714 - - 3845 - - 4398 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3973 - - 5716 - - 5843 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4774 - - 6906 - - 7459 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 937 - - 1103 - - 1136 - - 1130 - - 1981 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 311 - - 474 - - 391 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 172 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 272 - - 008 - - 353 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - 27 - - 32 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2435 - - -1385 - - -1201 - - -53 - - -1953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5512 - - 6160 - - 8107 - - 7512 - - 5031 sfcLCL ODpotential -9911 - - -7633 - - -5803 - - -3835 - - -6299 ODpotential blCL 12988 - - 12407 - - 12709 - - 11294 - - 9376 blCL maxRH 75 - - 73 - - 68 - - 84 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 55.5 - - 62.5 - - 62.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 39.2 - - 37.6 - - 40.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 53.8 - - 60.3 - - 61.1 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 38.0 - - 36.5 - - 39.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 236 - - 384 - - 189 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1714 - - 3845 - - 4398 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97341 54 286 55 275 53 275 49 291 43 294 97341 89954 50 277 52 275 54 276 52 284 49 279 89954 84237 45 268 46 270 49 275 48 271 48 267 84237 79462 37 270 39 259 45 265 49 263 45 265 79462 75363 36 271 32 262 38 261 43 263 39 274 75363 71768 33 268 29 270 27 265 33 261 31 270 71768 68532 32 273 27 276 22 265 27 262 26 273 68532 65571 29 278 25 276 22 273 23 272 23 275 65571 62819 24 285 21 274 23 281 23 276 21 281 62819 60137 25 293 21 283 25 281 26 284 24 295 60137 57332 25 290 24 286 25 278 27 287 26 293 57332 54429 24 282 26 283 25 284 26 289 30 289 54429 51668 25 285 28 285 31 288 28 289 31 286 51668 49192 26 291 30 285 36 286 30 290 30 292 49192 46976 25 294 28 280 35 279 33 291 32 295 46976 44971 25 301 23 281 32 275 37 287 35 288 44971 43155 26 300 25 293 29 282 34 283 35 282 43155 41504 23 293 28 294 30 291 32 291 34 282 41504 39984 19 281 28 297 35 291 37 290 38 284 39984 38570 18 272 28 299 37 287 42 289 40 280 38570 37241 19 269 28 298 36 289 42 289 38 281 37241 35958 19 270 26 297 35 291 39 290 39 278 35958 34657 20 281 25 296 34 288 37 291 38 277 34657 33312 25 282 22 292 32 285 36 290 37 279 33312 31924 29 273 23 285 32 286 34 289 34 283 31924 30481 28 269 27 277 32 286 33 290 31 283 30481 28974 26 269 31 275 33 283 31 292 29 278 28974 27404 24 271 32 272 35 281 30 288 25 279 27404 25776 23 274 30 267 34 277 33 279 27 280 25776 24094 24 280 28 276 32 282 28 279 31 279 24094 22359 25 286 27 288 30 285 23 284 28 279 22359 20560 22 293 26 296 27 277 22 278 23 280 20560 18693 17 296 22 298 21 272 21 269 20 279 18693 16795 14 294 17 292 16 274 17 272 18 284 16795 14967 10 287 11 277 14 278 14 283 17 297 14967 13303 7 279 9 254 13 278 12 294 16 307 13303 11819 5 270 7 247 13 278 12 300 15 313 11819 10495 4 264 7 250 11 277 12 303 14 317 10495 9312 4 276 6 257 9 270 9 303 13 322 9312 8255 5 293 5 263 5 251 2*356 10 316 8255 7314 6 297 5 268 2*090 3*030 6 298 7314 6479 6 292 5 271 2*076 3 027 3 242 6479 5738 5 259 5 263 2 067 4 007 1 204 5738 5070 4 222 5*262 1 056 4 355 4 040 5070 4477 4 188 5*272 1 330 5 339 8 022 4477 3979 4 173 6 273 1 290 5 334 10 010 3979 3596 1 203 6 272 2 280 5 330 10 003 3596 3331 0 244 6 271 2 276 5 328 9 359 3331 3170 2*338 6 270 2 275 4 326 7 356 3170 3077 2*357 5 269 2 274 4 325 4*353 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography