DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 83.9 - - 87.9 - - 86.1 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 194 - - 282 - - 60 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1032 - - 3434 - - 1877 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3411 - - 5292 - - 3063 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4094 - - 6496 - - 4940 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 3664 - - 5720 - - 6471 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 244 - - 411 - - 204 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 033 - - 034 - - 029 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -22 - - -8 - - -11 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6866 - - -8921 - - -7676 - - -8752 - - -6972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9945 - - 13015 - - 14173 - - 13693 - - 10051 sfcLCL ODpotential -16579 - - -16139 - - -14245 - - -15428 - - -15112 ODpotential blCL 19657 - - 20233 - - 20741 - - 20368 - - 18190 blCL maxRH 38 - - 40 - - 43 - - 41 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 83.9 - - 87.9 - - 86.1 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 37.6 - - 36.1 - - 36.6 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.5 - - 82.4 - - 85.9 - - 85.5 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 36.8 - - 35.3 - - 35.8 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 194 - - 282 - - 60 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1032 - - 3434 - - 1877 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97884 10 285 7 313 11 259 7 326 15 330 97884 90577 2 231 8 348 1 003 3 064 6 307 90577 84928 7 073 3 255 4 310 10 028 6 033 84928 80256 9 081 5 098 4 114 4 016 12 030 80256 76252 9 076 11 100 13 075 8 076 11 042 76252 72737 9 057 14 095 15 071 16 073 18 065 72737 69584 11 058 14 080 13 085 11 076 19 058 69584 66698 8 059 11 074 10 091 10 084 15 059 66698 64012 9 064 7 086 3 117 7 033 11 051 64012 61408 9 006 9 058 1 144 7 301 10 345 61408 58713 18 307 17 326 15 329 16 306 22 335 58713 55942 30 299 28 303 29 306 29 306 30 313 55942 53308 39 295 36 302 38 300 37 305 36 309 53308 50925 48 295 44 301 45 300 47 304 44 308 50925 48771 54 295 53 297 49 298 52 302 49 305 48771 46793 58 295 57 293 54 297 56 300 53 304 46793 44962 61 296 55 295 54 296 58 299 56 303 44962 43254 66 297 60 296 56 296 59 298 57 301 43254 41652 69 295 64 295 59 296 59 297 56 299 41652 40147 67 293 61 293 61 295 60 296 56 296 40147 38732 64 293 59 295 60 296 62 296 58 294 38732 37374 62 295 57 296 57 297 60 296 57 294 37374 36005 60 298 54 296 53 297 54 295 51 292 36005 34595 54 302 48 294 46 294 48 291 46 288 34595 33144 46 302 41 294 41 291 43 289 43 289 33144 31638 39 293 36 290 36 287 39 289 39 290 31638 30066 33 290 33 288 32 285 35 287 36 288 30066 28432 31 288 31 288 29 289 31 290 31 287 28432 26735 27 287 28 288 26 291 27 291 26 288 26735 24978 21 289 23 290 22 291 24 291 21 290 24978 23161 14 295 16 288 17 289 18 291 16 289 23161 21278 8 306 12 284 11 280 12 289 11 284 21278 19327 5 336 6 286 5 275 6 304 4 312 19327 17346 2 045 1 169 2 137 2 085 1 109 17346 15445 8 141 9 144 8 135 11 129 11 137 15445 13722 15 151 14 153 13 146 15 137 19 135 13722 12190 16 152 15 162 13 154 13 142 20 141 12190 10823 14 156 12 168 8 157 10 139 14 144 10823 9599 10 157 9 166 4 153 7 132 11 130 9599 8502 6 144 7 151 2 138 5 118 10 118 8502 7522 5 119 5 140 2 122 4 110 9 108 7522 6649 4 097 3 129 1*090 3 095 7 098 6649 5873 5 082 3 105 2*053 4 061 6 079 5873 5172 7 056 5 060 6 035 7*034 8 053 5172 4548 9 040 10*040 7 033 8*030 12 035 4548 4025 14 031 13*034 8 032 9 029 17 027 4025 3622 17 027 13 033 8 032 9 029 19 024 3622 3344 17 026 12 032 8 031 8 028 18 024 3344 3176 14 025 11 033 8 031 8 028 15 025 3176 3078 8*028 9 033 6 032 7 028 8*029 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography