DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 401 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4499 - - 7643 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6147 - - 8754 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7562 - - 10705 - - - - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2387 - - 1346 - - - - - 5324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 465 - - 606 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 58 - - 98 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 233 - - - - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 43 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4505 - - -2884 - - - - - -6577 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12068 - - 13590 - - - - - 9656 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9937 - - -7016 - - - - - -11308 ODpotential blCL - - - 17499 - - 17721 - - - - - 14386 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 49 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 32.0 - - - - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 79.0 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 30.8 - - - - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 401 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4499 - - 7643 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 8 085 4 100 2 025 98156 90715 6 143 5 250 8 027 90715 84989 5 138 9 228 4 354 84989 80240 6 136 7 181 1 168 80240 76142 5 135 3 092 1 225 76142 72517 5 185 6 354 3 047 72517 69246 5 202 6 298 4 005 69246 66243 6 305 4 289 8 354 66243 63459 5 325 3 272 14 319 63459 60766 16 007 9 010 14 296 60766 57960 21 330 14 338 14 327 57960 55061 12 331 16 329 16 341 55061 52310 19 344 19 323 22 352 52310 49851 14 346 16 333 25 350 49851 47675 23 024 20 020 16 338 47675 45732 29 035 30 041 12 005 45732 43963 39 041 37 039 16 008 43963 42321 41 044 37 038 23 007 42321 40779 41 050 35 037 27 005 40779 39327 40 053 33 038 28 005 39327 37957 40 051 31 038 28 007 37957 36636 37 047 30 038 27 008 36636 35299 33 045 28 037 22 006 35299 33920 31 042 27 035 19 005 33920 32500 31 042 26 034 18 005 32500 31027 30 043 24 037 19 004 31027 29489 28 040 22 033 19 003 29489 27888 28 036 21 026 18 000 27888 26225 27 036 21 022 19 358 26225 24506 24 035 21 019 21 003 24506 22735 24 030 20 017 22 007 22735 20905 25 031 19 022 20 008 20905 19005 20 040 14 026 15 009 19005 17073 12 043 9 019 11 002 17073 15215 6 041 4 020 7 000 15215 13526 2 089 2 188 6 008 13526 12020 5 145 6*178 6 010 12020 10674 5 148 2*180 4 044 10674 9471 3 162 1 199 4 063 9471 8397 1*144 1 210 5 040 8397 7438 1*015 1 231 6 024 7438 6585 1 011 1 246 7 013 6585 5824 1 013 1 249 7 003 5824 5138 2 008 1 256 8 354 5138 4526 2 009 1 259 9 344 4526 4012 2 006 1 260 9 335 4012 3615 2 006 1 260 9 325 3615 3341 1 003 1 259 8 315 3341 3174 1 003 1 263 7 309 3174 3078 1 357 1 259 4*302 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography