DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 56.7 - - 59.9 - - 56.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 128 - - 223 - - 19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 740 - - 2253 - - 1570 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 4330 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3801 - - 5314 - - 4632 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 327 - - 695 - - 1192 - - 1668 - - 1299 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 190 - - 330 - - 131 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 12 - - 20 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 202 - - 212 - - 213 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 7 - - 17 - - 14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -201 - - 511 - - 315 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 4002 - - 4803 - - 4317 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -6643 - - -4441 - - -2171 - - -1840 - - -196 ODpotential blCL 9720 - - 8242 - - 7485 - - 6472 - - 3273 blCL maxRH 95 - - 82 - - 86 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 56.7 - - 59.9 - - 56.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.0 - - 49.6 - - 49.3 - - 48.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 55.8 - - 58.3 - - 56.6 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 49.1 - - 48.9 - - 48.2 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 128 - - 223 - - 19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 740 - - 2253 - - 1570 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 28 - - 43 - - 36 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 52 296 41 299 41 291 40 284 45 293 96481 89345 30 293 30 293 33 288 32 292 28 309 89345 83858 28 291 25 290 24 298 28 297 28 303 83858 79310 26 293 23 297 25 294 28 298 22 303 79310 75380 21 278 27 286 24 281 30 291 26 301 75380 71867 18 276 25 272 26 284 26 281 28 285 71867 68679 18 274 26 268 27 279 22 273 24 279 68679 65758 15 275 20 268 24 276 21 265 21 285 65758 63044 15 259 20 257 22 266 22 251 25 265 63044 60405 16 245 23 251 21 266 22 250 24 255 60405 57642 31 251 28 246 36 246 30 246 22 264 57642 54761 45 250 39 245 47 237 43 237 37 247 54761 52017 60 240 58 239 61 230 48 236 39 236 52017 49541 70 233 74 231 77 224 50 231 44 238 49541 47310 77 228 84 223 85 218 65 222 49 224 47310 45285 77 228 86 219 85 215 72 215 53 217 45285 43429 80 232 85 220 84 215 66 210 50 210 43429 41715 83 234 84 221 82 215 61 217 45 215 41715 40123 85 233 86 223 84 217 77 218 51 220 40123 38640 83 231 85 220 94 216 82 214 61 215 38640 37254 75 228 85 219 96 211 82 212 69 209 37254 35932 70 226 85 220 90 212 86 213 65 209 35932 34603 67 223 81 219 87 214 87 211 64 209 34603 33239 63 215 73 215 80 211 80 208 65 204 33239 31845 59 209 68 207 72 204 71 205 60 197 31845 30405 54 208 62 202 69 201 68 202 57 194 30405 28902 50 210 55 204 62 199 62 198 55 195 28902 27337 48 211 50 207 54 199 52 194 48 198 27337 25713 43 208 45 206 49 196 45 195 41 203 25713 24030 37 209 40 205 44 193 42 199 38 204 24030 22293 31 207 38 207 40 196 38 200 35 202 22293 20496 28 203 37 204 39 201 33 197 32 201 20496 18632 25 199 34 199 39 201 31 194 31 196 18632 16738 24 196 33 196 39 194 32 192 32 191 16738 14915 25 190 33 193 39 189 34 192 34 190 14915 13258 27 188 34 188 37 183 34 190 34 188 13258 11783 28 183 35 181 37 174 35 182 33 183 11783 10469 29 175 36 172 38 170 37 177 35 176 10469 9295 31 169 36 166 37 170 38 173 37 170 9295 8246 32 169 35 165 36 175 36 173 36 167 8246 7308 32 173 34 169 33 183 33 178 35 168 7308 6475 31 178 33 174 29 192 28 187 33 174 6475 5734 30 183 31 178 25*202 24 197 32 183 5734 5066 27 188 28 184 22*209 21*205 29 195 5066 4474 24 195 24 191 21 211 19*210 26 206 4474 3977 21 203 19*197 20 212 18 212 22 214 3977 3594 17 211 14*201 19 213 17 213 18 217 3594 3330 13 215 13 202 18 213 16 214 14 218 3330 3169 10*214 11 202 17 214 14 214 11*218 3169 3077 2*212 9 203 12 215 9 214 6*220 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography