DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 62.2 - - 68.5 - - 69.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 304 - - 413 - - 202 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3415 - - 5628 - - 6405 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 5307 - - 7146 - - 7415 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 6476 - - 8689 - - 9467 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2202 - - 1401 - - 1305 - - 1276 - - 3460 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 422 - - 551 - - 455 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 16 - - 116 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 001 - - 059 - - 014 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 26 - - 43 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3157 - - -2104 - - -1865 - - -931 - - -4228 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6234 - - 8581 - - 10555 - - 10399 - - 7305 sfcLCL ODpotential -9754 - - -9345 - - -7962 - - -6211 - - -9653 ODpotential blCL 12831 - - 15821 - - 16651 - - 15678 - - 12730 blCL maxRH 47 - - 47 - - 50 - - 61 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 62.2 - - 68.5 - - 69.2 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 35.3 - - 32.7 - - 34.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 60.3 - - 66.0 - - 67.7 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 34.1 - - 31.4 - - 32.9 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 304 - - 413 - - 202 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3415 - - 5628 - - 6405 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97610 17 319 19 301 21 294 31 296 25 317 97610 90232 24 318 19 332 18 316 27 312 23 332 90232 84618 18 312 20 315 21 325 19 339 19 344 84618 79978 17 312 10 303 18 304 17 330 13 330 79978 75957 16 290 9 299 13 295 12 307 14 299 75957 72380 15 262 13 293 10 284 11 284 17 289 72380 69137 19 251 19 287 12 284 10 284 15 282 69137 66151 22 255 20 275 15 283 13 289 13 274 66151 63371 22 263 20 261 20 274 17 282 17 284 63371 60676 21 262 21 254 22 265 20 274 21 282 60676 57867 20 270 22 259 23 266 21 279 21 282 57867 54955 22 273 23 264 24 268 24 284 21 283 54955 52183 24 275 22 260 26 265 27 279 22 287 52183 49707 27 285 20 266 26 262 29 277 24 291 49707 47506 35 285 23 278 24 265 26 274 21 297 47506 45524 46 273 29 280 22 269 21 265 16 293 45524 43718 48 267 32 272 21 268 12 286 10 327 43718 42060 39 267 29 272 16 281 14 310 12 336 42060 40522 26 282 19 282 9 282 6 282 3 335 40522 39077 17 309 9 290 3 350 3 038 10 040 39077 37711 31 002 24 014 20 029 17 035 15 037 37711 36393 44 007 38 010 28 027 22 035 19 035 36393 35059 49 008 42 008 30 019 24 033 21 032 35059 33681 46 009 40 009 30 015 27 026 21 028 33681 32263 38 007 35 012 27 016 26 012 22 017 32263 30795 26 333 34 018 28 020 22 007 24 005 30795 29268 31 308 27 007 27 017 21 011 24 357 29268 27680 32 319 26 349 24 008 23 013 24 355 27680 26029 30 333 29 346 25 359 25 000 26 001 26029 24316 24 334 28 354 29 016 30 012 31 005 24316 22549 24 322 20 342 22 025 24 034 29 022 22549 20722 20 319 18 318 12 001 12 026 17 026 20722 18827 15 301 16 314 13 329 13 346 15 357 18827 16901 13 296 17 302 16 323 18 347 19 357 16901 15050 12 311 16 303 17 326 18 352 19 009 15050 13367 12 334 13 316 14 339 15 004 17 014 13367 11873 14 348 9 336 6 006 9 045 12 022 11873 10542 15 355 6 007 3 087 5*085 8 038 10542 9352 14 003 4 077 2*108 2*060 3 051 9352 8291 13 006 6 110 2*092 2 040 2 143 8291 7346 9 355 6 090 1 088 3 023 2 118 7346 6508 5 315 5*045 1 077 3 014 6 049 6508 5763 6 270 5*017 1 063 4 011 11 034 5763 5091 6 260 5 009 1 049 4 005 14 029 5091 4493 4 263 5 003 1 023 4 004 15 026 4493 3990 3 276 5 357 1 009 4 003 15 022 3990 3602 2 318 5 353 1 355 4 001 14 019 3602 3334 3 360 5 350 1 352 4 000 12 018 3334 3171 3*010 5 349 1 347 4 001 9 018 3171 3077 2*019 4 347 1 343 4 358 5*019 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography