DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 69.0 - - 63.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - 59 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 588 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3078 - - 3650 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 531 - - 852 - - 1014 - - 435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 141 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 175 - - 224 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 3 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5977 - - -6365 - - -3435 - - -4213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9056 - - 10016 - - 6513 - - 7290 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13499 - - -12883 - - -9580 - - -12468 ODpotential blCL - - - 16577 - - 16533 - - 12658 - - 15545 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 33 - - 46 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 69.0 - - 63.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 36.3 - - 45.7 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 68.4 - - 64.7 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 35.1 - - 44.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -23 - - 59 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 588 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96209 20 358 17 332 20 311 19 315 96209 89220 12 025 11 348 13 340 14 002 89220 83820 14 066 9 016 13 014 15 012 83820 79307 16 061 11 026 14 020 15 028 79307 75393 13 050 11 024 17 013 19 028 75393 71921 12 037 13 026 19 021 18 030 71921 68771 17 030 14 026 19 026 18 036 68771 65876 17 017 15 021 18 017 22 032 65876 63198 14 010 15 001 17 358 24 014 63198 60607 15 356 12 339 15 349 17 353 60607 57904 19 350 12 349 11 348 13 348 57904 55088 16 348 14 356 7 011 9 339 55088 52386 9 357 9 359 8 029 5 004 52386 49940 5 036 3 032 2 062 4 347 49940 47734 2 186 4 024 7 083 2 161 47734 45730 7 180 4 221 5 052 5 134 45730 43897 8 177 11 207 8 246 4 238 43897 42212 5 248 7 213 10 215 10 210 42212 40650 9 256 11 242 12 217 11 195 40650 39187 12 240 18 238 13 232 11 210 39187 37815 17 232 22 235 16 242 15 235 37815 36500 21 228 24 237 21 250 25 247 36500 35176 20 224 24 241 26 250 34 248 35176 33811 16 218 21 234 28 249 37 246 33811 32407 11 206 15 215 27 246 34 246 32407 30951 9 188 9 186 22 235 30 245 30951 29432 11 188 7 166 14 203 24 242 29432 27854 13 184 10 176 9 160 15 199 27854 26218 12 182 11 182 6 164 13 154 26218 24523 10 182 11 173 6 180 10 156 24523 22766 8 175 10 173 7 169 8 159 22766 20942 7 176 7 170 7 151 7 135 20942 19043 4 194 4 156 5 134 9 118 19043 17108 3 062 5 120 5 123 7 126 17108 15243 6 065 5 108 5 135 5 133 15243 13542 8 061 5 093 4 138 4 142 13542 12025 7 064 5 090 3 150 5 160 12025 10671 5 075 3 117 4 176 7 169 10671 9459 2 148 3 191 5 189 9 175 9459 8377 5 196 6 202 7 195 10 177 8377 7412 8 201 8 202 7 197 10 178 7412 6556 9 199 10 196 8 201 9 180 6556 5796 10 197 11 192 9 207 7 193 5796 5111 11 189 12 189 10 216 7 217 5111 4503 13 178 12 188 10 221 8 232 4503 3995 13 170 11*184 10 218 9 238 3995 3604 12 157 7*175 8 216 8 237 3604 3335 11 139 6 176 7 219 6 232 3335 3171 8*124 6 174 5*222 4 231 3171 3077 5*107 5 174 3*224 2*255 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography