DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 66.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -33 - - 82 - - 203 - - 15 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 617 - - 1503 - - 664 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3764 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3678 - - 4564 - - 3725 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 985 - - 1349 - - 1460 - - 94 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 158 - - 280 - - 91 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 136 - - 152 - - 114 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -634 - - -3640 - - -4206 - - -4089 - - -4525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3712 - - 7318 - - 8770 - - 7814 - - 7603 sfcLCL ODpotential -10058 - - -11120 - - -10762 - - -10507 - - -13802 ODpotential blCL 13136 - - 14798 - - 15326 - - 14232 - - 16880 blCL maxRH 60 - - 63 - - 50 - - 45 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 66.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 45.2 - - 43.4 - - 45.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 65.6 - - 69.5 - - 68.3 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.5 - - 44.1 - - 42.8 - - 44.8 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -33 - - 82 - - 203 - - 15 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 617 - - 1503 - - 664 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96754 10 349 7 359 3 239 16 282 19 321 96754 89573 12 357 6 001 7 323 6 326 6 344 89573 84031 14 332 14 322 13 351 12 018 12 037 84031 79425 15 341 10 321 13 337 14 011 15 023 79425 75462 13 354 8 354 12 311 13 351 15 012 75462 71976 18 337 13 009 6 337 8 004 12 358 71976 68823 16 330 11 339 12 334 12 347 13 007 68823 65923 13 334 12 322 14 338 11 323 17 348 65923 63232 15 339 12 324 13 331 7 294 15 317 63232 60626 16 322 12 313 14 298 15 287 20 291 60626 57929 21 300 19 300 22 299 26 301 20 298 57929 55149 24 301 29 289 29 288 33 299 22 308 55149 52492 36 287 33 287 35 290 39 292 30 301 52492 50097 40 281 37 292 39 295 43 289 41 293 50097 47957 36 290 36 299 37 295 39 294 40 295 47957 46025 36 312 30 313 31 298 34 302 33 298 46025 44264 40 323 38 324 32 310 31 302 31 300 44264 42636 44 323 40 326 34 314 30 308 31 300 42636 41108 44 324 43 332 35 329 31 322 29 308 41108 39664 42 325 44 335 34 337 27 334 23 325 39664 38298 39 330 40 333 31 340 22 337 17 333 38298 36981 34 333 34 331 28 337 22 326 13 326 36981 35647 31 335 29 330 25 334 21 322 13 322 35647 34269 30 335 26 333 23 335 19 321 13 320 34269 32848 27 326 23 337 23 329 17 321 14 320 32848 31369 24 324 21 331 18 318 16 318 15 315 31369 29821 26 327 21 332 16 317 16 306 15 298 29821 28205 30 323 23 323 15 323 13 305 12 309 28205 26526 29 318 23 320 17 340 13 342 10 340 26526 24785 27 312 22 324 20 351 17 002 11 009 24785 22989 25 314 22 331 21 354 18 005 14 015 22989 21131 22 318 21 338 20 354 17 001 15 029 21131 19202 19 326 19 345 19 353 17 355 15 030 19202 17241 17 342 16 354 16 359 16 359 16 028 17241 15353 17 351 14 002 15 007 15 013 16 035 15353 13630 17 357 15 013 14 019 12 031 16 045 13630 12092 16 008 14 020 12 028 11 045 13 059 12092 10720 14 021 10 026 9 032 9 055 10 077 10720 9497 13 032 8 041 5 048 6 063 9 095 9497 8407 11 047 6 084 5 135 5 145 10 121 8407 7437 8 106 12 145 13 159 12 165 14 146 7437 6577 13 146 19 159 15 169 13 170 18 158 6577 5814 15 157 21 166 14 175 11 177 18 164 5814 5126 14 158 20 168 14*176 9 183 17 166 5126 4516 13 146 19 164 10*168 6 176 16 161 4516 4004 13 128 15*154 8 151 4*133 15 149 4004 3609 13 111 10*141 7 147 4*114 14 133 3609 3337 12 097 8 134 7 146 4 114 12 118 3337 3172 10*087 7 134 7 145 4 113 9*104 3172 3078 6*077 6 132 6 145 4 115 5*088 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography