DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 80.6 - - - - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 387 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1191 - - 2063 - - - - - 311 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3633 - - 4359 - - - - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4253 - - 5125 - - - - - 3373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 626 - - 1091 - - - - - 490 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 387 - - - - - 67 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 237 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3069 - - -5622 - - - - - -861 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7322 - - 10747 - - - - - 4234 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7479 - - -8906 - - - - - -7600 ODpotential blCL - - - 11732 - - 14031 - - - - - 10973 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 80.6 - - - - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.1 - - 44.1 - - - - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 78.1 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 43.0 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 387 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1191 - - 2063 - - - - - 311 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98045 10 236 5 224 2 057 98045 90638 8 202 6 267 5 238 90638 84932 9 185 11 237 5 316 84932 80194 6 187 11 221 7 324 80194 76132 4 160 3 174 3 299 76132 72567 2 216 1 358 2 349 72567 69356 2 233 6 302 6 001 69356 66401 5 300 10 267 9 351 66401 63650 4 307 8 237 6 359 63650 60973 10 267 5 242 8 327 60973 58185 10 252 9 259 11 264 58185 55302 18 231 15 247 16 250 55302 52548 21 228 22 235 22 239 52548 50062 21 231 26 232 24 231 50062 47836 25 227 27 234 27 229 47836 45825 32 220 31 231 28 229 45825 43999 39 205 36 211 29 225 43999 42329 43 200 39 200 30 220 42329 40785 44 200 41 198 35 211 40785 39344 42 201 40 196 37 209 39344 37990 43 199 39 197 37 208 37990 36683 41 198 39 191 33 202 36683 35360 41 200 37 192 32 196 35360 33993 40 201 35 195 29 193 33993 32586 37 201 33 200 25 196 32586 31126 35 202 32 203 24 200 31126 29598 35 202 32 204 28 196 29598 28007 35 198 32 202 29 187 28007 26350 34 193 32 199 28 183 26350 24630 27 188 29 190 25 185 24630 22852 21 179 26 178 24 178 22852 21015 20 180 24 176 28 171 21015 19112 27 189 32 186 39 166 19112 17178 42 190 44 181 42 162 17178 15312 48 187 41 177 36 159 15312 13608 40 188 31 177 28 165 13608 12085 30 188 23 175 20 182 12085 10724 23 188 19 174 12 199 10724 9507 18 199 15 174 8 209 9507 8418 15 208 13 174 5 198 8418 7445 13 205 13 174 4 158 7445 6581 13 192 12 178 5 142 6581 5812 15 178 10 190 3 151 5812 5120 15 168 8*219 2 203 5120 4508 11*166 8*232 7 246 4508 3997 7*191 9 236 12 243 3997 3605 7 197 9 238 14*240 3605 3336 7 202 9 238 13*239 3336 3172 6 204 9 239 12 239 3172 3078 6 206 8 239 8 239 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography