DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/08 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 74.8 - - 80.4 - - 80.0 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 404 - - 501 - - 298 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 300 - - 1866 - - 2977 - - 2441 - - 579 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4216 - - 5116 - - 4565 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3361 - - 4928 - - 6039 - - 5504 - - 3641 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 534 - - 943 - - 1320 - - 1461 - - 1060 Hgt.Variab. W* 112 - - 376 - - 473 - - 373 - - 34 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 190 - - 204 - - 229 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2569 - - -4947 - - -5070 - - -5037 - - -4098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5931 - - 9876 - - 11109 - - 10541 - - 7739 sfcLCL ODpotential -11089 - - -12451 - - -11741 - - -10836 - - -11170 ODpotential blCL 14450 - - 17379 - - 17780 - - 16340 - - 14811 blCL maxRH 58 - - 38 - - 35 - - 41 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 74.8 - - 80.4 - - 80.0 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 42.5 - - 42.5 - - 44.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.4 - - 72.4 - - 77.4 - - 77.9 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 41.9 - - 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 404 - - 501 - - 298 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 300 - - 1866 - - 2977 - - 2441 - - 579 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 40 108 40 107 39 103 38 106 36 097 98989 91523 30 111 35 105 36 116 33 102 35 097 91523 85767 25 110 25 106 33 105 29 111 29 091 85767 81010 24 109 23 121 23 107 27 108 21 095 81010 76922 24 105 25 118 23 113 25 114 21 106 76922 73291 22 100 24 116 28 112 26 116 24 102 73291 70001 21 105 27 119 22 127 19 114 21 109 70001 66998 14 109 22 130 17 135 13 116 18 102 66998 64243 13 131 22 133 14 132 14 126 16 114 64243 61599 14 134 14 134 13 124 11 127 17 113 61599 58853 14 151 15 171 13 176 10 182 5 131 58853 56013 19 161 24 183 28 190 25 196 18 215 56013 53318 9 180 21 194 25 189 26 200 31 216 53318 50910 31 238 30 223 29 214 29 219 33 219 50910 48747 47 235 41 227 40 226 39 228 37 231 48747 46775 52 234 44 229 48 228 49 231 50 234 46775 44963 60 236 47 234 54 230 58 230 61 233 44963 43279 68 235 58 237 63 232 66 231 66 234 43279 41701 71 234 72 237 72 232 70 230 66 234 41701 40213 71 233 77 235 75 232 71 231 65 235 40213 38808 71 233 72 233 75 233 70 232 65 235 38808 37453 72 232 68 232 72 232 71 232 67 233 37453 36082 75 232 69 232 68 229 69 231 66 234 36082 34667 74 233 70 233 66 230 64 230 62 233 34667 33209 71 234 68 234 64 232 62 233 60 233 33209 31695 68 234 64 233 61 232 59 233 58 233 31695 30117 63 234 60 234 57 233 56 230 54 231 30117 28479 55 231 55 232 52 232 50 230 49 231 28479 26780 49 228 51 230 49 231 47 230 46 230 26780 25020 45 229 45 231 45 232 46 229 44 229 25020 23203 41 231 39 231 39 229 43 228 43 229 23203 21321 33 230 35 229 33 225 40 224 41 228 21321 19368 27 224 31 224 32 222 36 222 37 227 19368 17383 25 221 30 220 31 223 32 220 32 226 17383 15472 24 217 27 218 29 222 29 219 28 224 15472 13732 24 213 26 214 28 219 27 220 26 223 13732 12180 25 210 25 212 27 219 24 222 23 218 12180 10798 25 205 24 208 24 218 20 218 21 207 10798 9563 23 197 23 204 21 213 16 209 19 193 9563 8463 21 188 22 197 18 206 13 199 17 181 8463 7483 21 177 20 191 16 195 11 191 15 170 7483 6615 22 169 18 185 12*191 8 189 11 152 6615 5843 22 166 17 179 10*195 6*208 8 134 5843 5148 20 167 14*176 10 199 6*221 5 132 5148 4531 17 168 11*183 10 203 7 228 4 224 4531 4015 14 171 10 189 10 206 8 229 8*242 4015 3617 10*181 10 192 10 209 8 231 9*242 3617 3342 7*190 10 194 10 210 8 231 9 242 3342 3175 6 195 9 195 9 211 8 232 8 242 3175 3079 4 198 8 196 8 211 7 232 6 242 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography