DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 78.7 - - 78.4 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 365 - - 135 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1540 - - 3508 - - 3634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3873 - - 5433 - - 5092 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4601 - - 6570 - - 6696 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 775 - - 1622 - - 1806 - - 1002 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 449 - - 327 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 31 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 329 - - 342 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 19 - - 26 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4370 - - -3744 - - -3485 - - -3835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8972 - - 10315 - - 10182 - - 6913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8431 - - -6437 - - -6381 - - -9381 ODpotential blCL - - - 13032 - - 13007 - - 13077 - - 12459 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 44 - - 47 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 78.7 - - 78.4 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 44.0 - - 44.4 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 76.4 - - 77.3 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 43.6 - - 44.1 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 365 - - 135 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1540 - - 3508 - - 3634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98213 1 040 9 186 9 234 5 235 98213 90856 5 126 2 244 3 164 2 118 90856 85229 3 102 4 102 7 054 10 094 85229 80551 8 089 4 100 8 046 9 046 80551 76507 8 080 5 084 7 078 8 017 76507 72933 8 078 7 098 4 083 6 099 72933 69698 5 107 6 091 8 108 9 118 69698 66707 5 142 1 287 2 070 10 095 66707 63925 7 130 9 170 8 240 4 256 63925 61233 4 181 8 185 11 215 8 251 61233 58418 7 234 12 238 11 250 14 252 58418 55499 11 250 16 230 14 267 16 269 55499 52714 16 267 18 262 25 262 22 265 52714 50210 23 261 23 250 24 253 26 271 50210 47975 21 247 24 264 32 263 29 266 47975 45960 24 267 28 271 28 266 25 268 45960 44131 27 277 20 291 17 274 20 291 44131 42462 23 290 25 312 21 309 22 309 42462 40922 23 313 26 311 22 313 15 316 40922 39480 25 326 23 316 18 323 16 003 39480 38124 28 343 22 343 26 354 28 356 38124 36818 37 355 31 353 41 354 27 358 36818 35494 44 356 40 351 44 347 27 011 35494 34123 47 355 42 350 39 345 25 010 34123 32708 47 355 43 350 34 350 24 357 32708 31236 45 354 44 351 33 357 32 350 31236 29696 44 354 43 350 35 357 37 351 29696 28091 42 355 40 349 36 353 32 350 28091 26423 39 357 38 350 32 350 29 346 26423 24692 36 360 32 355 27 351 27 345 24692 22904 33 357 26 358 21 356 22 344 22904 21054 27 357 23 354 18 351 16 343 21054 19133 22 000 18 354 18 348 15 347 19133 17183 20 005 13 011 14 353 12 359 17183 15310 17 009 12 027 10 016 7 036 15310 13608 12 012 12 025 8 039 6 084 13608 12090 10 024 10 021 8 046 6 093 12090 10733 10 028 7 018 7 039 4 077 10733 9517 10 023 7 006 7 019 4 038 9517 8428 10 021 8 004 7 013 6 009 8428 7456 11 021 8 009 4*011 8 001 7456 6594 11 020 5*009 4*003 7 356 6594 5827 9 015 4*004 4 349 2 347 5827 5137 5*004 3 352 4 342 1 079 5137 4523 2*318 3 331 4 337 2 081 4523 4009 2 285 3 315 4 336 8 057 4009 3613 3 273 3 305 4 334 11 055 3613 3340 3 266 3 296 4 333 11 057 3340 3173 3 262 3 294 4 333 9*059 3173 3078 3 259 3 291 3 330 5*063 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography