DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 51.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -11 - - 49 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 554 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3615 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 655 - - 821 - - 721 - - 592 - - 573 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 19 - - 134 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 11 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 177 - - 225 - - 249 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - 9 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5577 - - -3238 - - -697 - - -876 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8654 - - 6315 - - 4312 - - 3953 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -12849 - - -8988 - - -6861 - - -6628 - - -6066 ODpotential blCL 15926 - - 12065 - - 10476 - - 9705 - - 9143 blCL maxRH 97 - - 90 - - 90 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 55.5 - - 55.0 - - 51.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.5 - - 38.9 - - 46.8 - - 45.0 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.5 - - 56.5 - - 54.6 - - 52.1 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 37.9 - - 45.6 - - 43.8 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -11 - - 49 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 554 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 58 - - 60 - - 89 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95720 13 057 9 012 15 328 8 032 3 284 95720 88787 16 043 11 055 10 020 10 051 13 053 88787 83416 16 058 12 054 12 041 14 048 23 051 83416 78941 16 067 10 061 11 046 13 032 23 039 78941 75086 20 050 12 074 10 060 9 023 18 032 75086 71674 21 027 16 057 12 068 10 038 16 041 71674 68584 22 015 15 036 14 043 11 025 19 043 68584 65746 19 013 16 020 15 020 16 012 21 038 65746 63111 17 007 16 006 15 003 17 004 18 017 63111 60551 18 346 18 359 16 344 14 350 14 351 60551 57863 20 330 20 337 17 338 16 328 14 323 57863 55050 21 328 20 320 21 322 23 311 19 314 55050 52343 25 324 23 309 25 308 28 303 24 309 52343 49882 33 316 28 304 28 300 31 295 29 298 49882 47649 37 306 33 300 30 300 27 292 24 289 47649 45597 31 289 33 282 34 288 31 285 22 295 45597 43693 24 298 23 278 30 271 32 265 27 291 43693 41917 33 300 23 282 26 267 26 264 28 276 41917 40257 42 280 32 273 25 269 32 256 30 254 40257 38722 44 260 33 260 38 243 36 239 30 239 38722 37306 39 257 35 242 41 234 35 229 32 232 37306 35969 39 253 37 234 45 229 35 227 39 220 35969 34639 49 249 44 240 42 230 34 229 38 212 34639 33281 66 242 49 239 41 227 39 230 32 204 33281 31896 60 242 46 235 37 218 42 221 26 190 31896 30462 44 244 40 231 38 212 37 199 25 183 30462 28965 38 238 37 230 40 216 36 204 26 181 28965 27402 36 236 33 227 34 217 32 205 29 183 27402 25772 30 238 29 224 29 212 26 207 34 189 25772 24079 25 228 27 216 32 211 21 208 39 194 24079 22327 26 216 29 207 32 203 25 192 41 197 22327 20517 26 211 25 194 34 201 38 191 43 198 20517 18643 23 208 25 186 32 195 38 189 48 187 18643 16749 18 204 24 189 32 191 34 181 39 186 16749 14934 14 201 20 191 29 195 31 173 29 172 14934 13279 13 208 19 199 25 194 23 170 28 149 13279 11798 12 206 18 201 20 177 19 164 27 143 11798 10474 11 198 15 198 15 157 21 155 24 144 10474 9292 10 197 13 193 14 150 20 152 21 150 9292 8236 9 198 12 191 14 154 17 156 18 155 8236 7296 9 198 12 187 15 163 15 165 15 157 7296 6463 9 200 12 183 16 172 14 180 13 163 6463 5722 9 206 13 182 16 179 13 195 12 177 5722 5055 9 216 13 183 15 192 13 212 9 200 5055 4463 8 223 14 186 15 206 12 227 8 220 4463 3969 8 226 14 188 14*217 11 235 7 231 3969 3588 7 223 13 189 12*223 9 237 7 232 3588 3327 5 216 11 187 11 225 7 240 6 232 3327 3168 5*210 9 184 10 226 5*244 5*235 3168 3077 2*209 3*177 8 227 3*249 2*248 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography