DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.5 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -87 - - -31 - - -59 - - -62 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 479 - - 364 - - 286 - - 749 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 17 - - 22 - - 19 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 120 - - 114 - - 100 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -10 - - -13 - - -16 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4922 - - -6443 - - -3868 - - -3554 - - -3366 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7999 - - 9521 - - 6945 - - 6631 - - 6443 sfcLCL ODpotential -16966 - - -16380 - - -12850 - - -12754 - - -11993 ODpotential blCL 20043 - - 19457 - - 15927 - - 15831 - - 15070 blCL maxRH 82 - - 92 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 43.5 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 21.3 - - 31.0 - - 30.6 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 55.5 - - 52.7 - - 51.8 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 20.2 - - 29.8 - - 29.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -87 - - -31 - - -59 - - -62 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 68 - - 102 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96421 48 052 33 039 37 032 36 043 39 043 96421 89344 40 056 32 045 28 031 36 042 34 058 89344 83871 38 061 37 060 27 046 28 045 33 054 83871 79304 32 069 38 068 26 056 25 050 32 040 79304 75334 26 063 28 074 26 058 21 053 23 036 75334 71809 16 043 17 065 18 053 14 044 15 039 71809 68622 16 023 13 039 12 048 9 013 10 029 68622 65708 16 014 11 018 8 049 4 321 9 029 65708 63016 14 343 11 351 7 013 2 323 6 023 63016 60405 11 324 8 326 8 327 1 330 1 186 60405 57668 6 345 6 307 5 288 1 351 5 187 57668 54812 1 115 2 261 3 213 7 259 4 199 54812 52084 5 161 6 211 11 214 16 241 15 225 52084 49647 5 176 8 200 16 202 27 219 24 209 49647 47499 16 202 19 208 33 215 28 220 21 211 47499 45581 22 194 42 209 61 228 40 229 39 231 45581 43832 31 210 62 218 95 230 70 232 69 237 43832 42213 37 219 96 224 110 227 101 237 105 230 42213 40696 50 220 105 225 105 224 104 234 98 230 40696 39263 55 219 109 224 97 225 82 230 84 229 39263 37907 55 221 104 221 97 224 84 222 75 225 37907 36595 53 223 102 220 96 224 83 224 71 223 36595 35263 51 225 99 221 93 224 83 225 66 219 35263 33885 49 225 80 222 82 225 84 228 64 215 33885 32462 47 221 55 218 59 223 80 229 62 217 32462 30982 47 217 40 211 40 214 68 227 67 225 30982 29434 45 215 30 199 32 204 47 215 61 230 29434 27826 35 212 26 185 27 190 33 196 51 229 27826 26157 25 207 24 177 26 178 32 183 35 225 26157 24432 28 200 17 157 27 170 34 186 24 211 24432 22652 23 196 16 141 32 167 35 190 24 190 22652 20810 8 130 20 144 34 174 29 185 27 180 20810 18898 15 134 23 159 32 185 27 191 22 180 18898 16955 21 152 25 167 29 188 28 209 18 194 16955 15088 22 150 24 170 26 188 24 215 16 208 15088 13391 20 137 22 163 26 178 21 210 15 204 13391 11883 23 123 20 151 29 153 22 192 14 178 11883 10543 25 120 19 153 27 135 23 152 13 173 10543 9345 26 126 24 165 23 134 23 144 13 171 9345 8276 26 133 29 166 19 151 22 153 14 161 8276 7326 27 138 32 163 20 166 23 159 13 165 7326 6486 28 140 33 159 22 171 25 160 12 171 6486 5740 27 140 31 157 24 170 26 157 10 173 5740 5071 27 139 28 155 27 167 27 154 7 173 5071 4476 26 140 26 156 28 161 27 152 6 170 4476 3978 25 142 24 157 28 155 26 148 7 170 3978 3595 24 143 22 159 25 148 21 143 10 160 3595 3330 19 139 17 159 19 138 16 135 10 149 3330 3169 14*129 12*157 13*126 11*120 8*138 3169 3077 7*098 5*120 7*114 6*100 4*111 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography