DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.8 - - 51.8 - - 55.2 - - 52.9 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -75 - - 24 - - 59 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 386 - - 1310 - - 153 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3446 - - 4371 - - 3214 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 886 - - 1481 - - 1841 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 99 - - 190 - - 26 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 009 - - 358 - - 320 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -13 - - 5 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -340 - - -1364 - - -1154 - - -829 - - -543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3417 - - 4810 - - 5525 - - 4043 - - 3620 sfcLCL ODpotential -6602 - - -5467 - - -4817 - - -4030 - - -6285 ODpotential blCL 9679 - - 8913 - - 9188 - - 7244 - - 9362 blCL maxRH 67 - - 61 - - 61 - - 70 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.8 - - 51.8 - - 55.2 - - 52.9 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 41.5 - - 41.7 - - 45.9 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.6 - - 51.6 - - 54.6 - - 53.4 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.2 - - 40.3 - - 40.5 - - 44.6 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -75 - - 24 - - 59 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 386 - - 1310 - - 153 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 7 093 8 123 10 268 8 011 12 072 96497 89415 4 079 10 068 9 124 4 029 9 080 89415 83916 6 084 5 081 7 093 2 054 5 069 83916 79314 10 108 3 183 2 317 0 094 2 009 79314 75358 5 117 5 172 6 257 3 328 2 350 75358 71867 1 107 5 184 8 230 7 297 6 312 71867 68698 4 226 6 183 9 219 8 244 10 279 68698 65765 10 242 7 184 9 225 9 220 12 253 65765 63022 8 240 6 185 9 207 9 244 10 230 63022 60363 5 244 7 183 4 206 16 234 9 226 60363 57599 8 238 3 251 3 270 11 239 10 233 57599 54731 4 271 14 308 9 336 9 310 4 313 54731 52000 6 339 14 325 13 349 8 353 11 342 52000 49549 18 024 13 022 17 007 15 013 14 359 49549 47346 30 034 23 050 19 013 23 001 21 005 47346 45340 38 032 30 048 24 024 28 001 31 359 45340 43504 40 033 34 046 28 038 32 004 31 355 43504 41815 43 039 51 040 38 053 30 026 29 013 41815 40249 63 031 60 021 52 030 38 045 27 032 40249 38781 66 028 58 016 54 016 47 025 36 024 38781 37404 65 036 56 024 51 017 49 013 42 014 37404 36089 66 045 56 027 50 025 47 015 42 017 36089 34769 69 041 56 028 49 027 46 020 43 023 34769 33410 69 034 56 030 49 028 46 024 44 017 33410 32013 69 030 57 029 50 026 46 025 44 018 32013 30565 69 033 56 028 50 024 45 022 44 023 30565 29052 69 038 56 034 50 028 45 022 44 027 29052 27476 69 041 57 039 51 033 46 025 44 028 27476 25841 68 041 57 038 52 035 46 029 43 024 25841 24144 69 036 59 038 53 037 46 029 44 019 24144 22389 70 036 59 039 52 041 46 030 45 022 22389 20571 59 044 52 044 46 040 40 031 42 024 20571 18688 40 050 39 052 36 042 33 031 35 024 18688 16781 28 046 28 061 27 050 24 034 26 018 16781 14952 24 038 22 065 20 052 17 039 20 016 14952 13290 21 046 19 067 14 048 11 047 13 011 13290 11808 19 060 16 069 10 049 8 056 6 332 11808 10486 16 068 15 071 9 068 7 067 5 271 10486 9304 13 069 11 068 8 077 6 083 6 259 9304 8248 10 062 6 055 6 063 4 083 4 271 8248 7307 9 043 3 036 3 041 2 048 2 290 7307 6473 10 023 5 019 3 014 2 001 2 337 6473 5732 12 010 9 009 7 006 3 348 2 359 5732 5064 15 002 13 004 8 001 5 353 3 005 5064 4472 19 359 16 003 7*357 4 345 5 009 4472 3975 21 359 16 005 5*360 3 332 5 013 3975 3593 22 003 15*008 4 358 3 326 5 017 3593 3329 19 006 11*009 4 357 3*325 4 029 3329 3169 16*008 10 009 3 357 2*321 3 046 3169 3077 9*012 6 008 3 357 2 319 3*054 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography