DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 57.3 - - 62.0 - - 60.1 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -76 - - 10 - - 98 - - 21 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 218 - - 1252 - - 552 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3279 - - 4314 - - 3613 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 977 - - 3492 - - 2987 - - 267 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 71 - - 216 - - 103 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 036 - - 020 - - 011 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -11 - - -8 - - -8 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1842 - - -3278 - - -3703 - - -3499 - - -3136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4919 - - 6557 - - 8017 - - 7112 - - 6213 sfcLCL ODpotential -8159 - - -7999 - - -8152 - - -8037 - - -11313 ODpotential blCL 11236 - - 11278 - - 12466 - - 11650 - - 14390 blCL maxRH 44 - - 66 - - 79 - - 49 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 57.3 - - 62.0 - - 60.1 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 39.6 - - 37.8 - - 40.0 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 57.2 - - 61.1 - - 59.9 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 38.4 - - 36.6 - - 38.8 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -76 - - 10 - - 98 - - 21 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 218 - - 1252 - - 552 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96450 10 128 1 128 4 063 13 115 11 168 96450 89350 15 108 9 095 15 106 19 097 18 120 89350 83884 15 106 8 097 12 103 17 088 17 089 83884 79322 17 115 8 114 3 118 8 077 13 064 79322 75378 11 119 9 124 5 178 3 055 9 047 75378 71891 4 131 8 146 4 200 4 125 5 040 71891 68742 4 129 7 151 2 271 2 068 2 083 68742 65851 1 028 5 179 5 272 3 218 6 248 65851 63167 7 283 10 253 14 273 9 239 16 245 63167 60558 10 269 18 249 18 267 11 271 11 248 60558 57827 11 256 17 258 17 260 12 271 10 269 57827 54985 15 272 13 276 16 250 17 275 17 284 54985 52265 19 270 14 298 12 265 18 268 17 295 52265 49812 20 264 23 311 11 314 18 300 24 306 49812 47606 16 274 24 310 22 315 23 305 21 304 47606 45589 26 315 21 316 22 329 23 329 30 329 45589 43731 29 332 20 328 35 332 46 338 49 326 43731 42018 32 342 37 343 43 334 68 319 67 315 42018 40433 48 346 48 341 51 334 43 324 39 311 40433 38969 50 353 47 346 42 343 31 030 36 029 38969 37625 58 001 43 001 42 015 50 027 52 027 37625 36346 62 002 47 001 52 028 56 020 47 017 36346 35053 67 354 52 354 44 019 42 016 39 005 35053 33714 70 349 54 348 36 359 28 009 37 355 33714 32330 69 352 57 346 39 345 30 360 36 349 32330 30886 66 358 59 348 40 343 35 357 35 347 30886 29373 59 003 48 357 39 352 34 356 31 352 29373 27791 50 012 43 017 32 008 31 358 27 015 27791 26141 45 032 40 034 26 025 31 006 23 023 26141 24429 36 032 33 035 24 018 26 006 19 004 24429 22657 20 023 24 016 26 355 22 351 25 339 22657 20818 13 015 20 351 28 351 21 346 31 329 20818 18908 9 004 16 336 22 349 19 351 28 332 18908 16964 12 342 13 332 16 331 18 341 17 339 16964 15094 16 334 12 332 13 328 16 333 10 345 15094 13396 18 331 12 332 11 334 13 324 9 339 13396 11889 16 333 12 331 10 337 11 320 11 325 11889 10551 13 341 11 332 10 335 11 321 14 318 10551 9359 11 355 8 339 10 334 11 323 15 319 9359 8295 9 013 6 353 9 340 11 327 15 325 8295 7347 8 029 6 007 9 351 10 335 13 335 7347 6506 8 035 6 015 9 001 9 345 12 348 6506 5759 9 035 7 020 9 008 8 354 12 001 5759 5085 10 033 8 026 9 014 8 001 12 009 5085 4486 12 032 10 031 9*017 8 005 13 013 4486 3984 13 033 11 034 8*020 7*008 15 013 3984 3597 15 033 11 035 7 020 6*011 15 012 3597 3331 15 033 10*036 7 021 6 011 13 013 3331 3169 14*032 8*036 6 020 5 011 10*015 3169 3077 8*036 6 035 5 020 4 011 6*017 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography