DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 71.7 - - 70.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 392 - - 137 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2330 - - 5184 - - 3114 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4469 - - 6767 - - 4726 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5392 - - 8245 - - 6175 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2608 - - 3217 - - 2311 - - 1242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 524 - - 312 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 018 - - 359 - - 005 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -7 - - -13 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4811 - - -3918 - - -4738 - - -3722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10203 - - 12164 - - 10913 - - 6801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7752 - - -7480 - - -9673 - - -9702 ODpotential blCL - - - 13144 - - 15725 - - 15848 - - 12780 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 40 - - 34 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 71.7 - - 70.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 28.6 - - 32.8 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 69.3 - - 68.9 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 28.0 - - 32.4 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 392 - - 137 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2330 - - 5184 - - 3114 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98199 7 101 8 202 10 197 10 247 98199 90833 4 109 7 154 3 196 4 250 90833 85166 5 110 2 204 4 016 1 309 85166 80476 4 200 4 316 2 338 0 033 80476 76436 5 120 4 319 3 003 8 074 76436 72871 15 073 7 093 7 085 4 059 72871 69658 2 113 7 025 7 038 7 062 69658 66709 10 128 8 166 1 261 1 072 66709 63975 9 262 10 282 13 297 9 298 63975 61319 13 224 16 239 16 243 13 256 61319 58545 11 266 12 250 20 267 19 280 58545 55665 23 280 21 270 27 264 26 283 55665 52918 32 273 24 272 29 286 34 293 52918 50440 36 273 29 278 37 280 33 298 50440 48196 35 276 31 285 35 285 41 304 48196 46144 31 288 38 290 43 296 46 300 46144 44251 44 294 47 291 51 295 45 296 44251 42490 52 289 55 289 50 292 39 303 42490 40847 58 281 56 285 45 296 43 316 40847 39313 54 282 49 290 39 302 50 323 39313 37883 45 291 47 299 35 319 49 337 37883 36516 41 288 38 297 42 335 50 356 36516 35147 30 302 39 334 54 334 62 010 35147 33751 36 331 49 341 58 346 71 010 33751 32330 42 333 52 350 63 003 73 008 32330 30868 41 340 65 004 73 012 76 012 30868 29346 46 352 76 008 77 014 80 018 29346 27761 53 358 75 008 75 013 79 020 27761 26110 57 359 74 006 74 009 70 017 26110 24398 57 359 71 006 72 005 66 013 24398 22628 54 001 64 005 74 006 67 012 22628 20796 49 359 62 002 69 012 64 016 20796 18897 41 354 55 359 55 016 54 020 18897 16969 30 351 40 003 43 017 45 022 16969 15118 21 353 28 011 33 023 36 024 15118 13435 18 354 23 018 24 033 27 029 13435 11937 19 352 21 016 19 044 21 033 11937 10601 18 349 20 011 16 045 18 037 10601 9405 16 351 18 008 15 035 17 040 9405 8336 13 357 16*005 15 023 16 042 8336 7380 12 004 14*001 15 012 16 040 7380 6532 10 009 13 358 14*006 17 033 6532 5779 8*014 12 358 14*004 18 025 5779 5100 6*017 12 358 15 004 18 020 5100 4498 5 019 12 359 15 005 17 016 4498 3993 4 018 12 359 14 005 16 008 3993 3604 4 017 11 359 14 006 14 001 3604 3335 3 016 11 358 13 006 12 359 3335 3171 3 018 10 358 12 006 10*360 3171 3078 2 015 8 358 9 006 5*003 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography