DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 80.2 - - 79.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 363 - - 126 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2159 - - 4401 - - 4915 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4322 - - 6126 - - 5984 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5221 - - 7464 - - 7977 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 945 - - 3037 - - 3088 - - 1398 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 484 - - 354 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 228 - - 291 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 20 - - 25 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5547 - - -4439 - - -3552 - - -3803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10768 - - 11904 - - 11530 - - 6881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11216 - - -9656 - - -8472 - - -9597 ODpotential blCL - - - 16437 - - 17120 - - 16449 - - 12675 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 45 - - 41 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 80.2 - - 79.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 38.5 - - 39.6 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 77.8 - - 78.4 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 38.0 - - 39.2 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 363 - - 126 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2159 - - 4401 - - 4915 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98341 11 129 11 114 8 162 6 253 98341 91000 12 096 10 119 9 094 8 094 91000 85361 11 085 10 118 7 087 11 072 85361 80668 11 092 8 099 9 102 6 083 80668 76615 9 073 8 072 8 088 2 038 76615 73033 3 100 7 035 13 070 7 122 73033 69786 7 185 4 297 5 017 3 048 69786 66794 7 163 6 239 7 285 1 192 66794 64012 6 228 11 252 12 275 5 309 64012 61311 8 262 10 248 12 275 10 287 61311 58495 15 266 17 250 19 265 16 275 58495 55576 27 265 23 255 25 267 22 277 55576 52804 28 260 23 263 26 273 26 279 52804 50331 26 273 24 273 23 280 24 283 50331 48131 29 275 25 276 22 289 22 288 48131 46142 26 282 24 286 23 291 21 288 46142 44325 26 287 21 293 23 289 18 281 44325 42646 24 297 21 297 23 286 16 289 42646 41077 24 298 24 292 27 277 21 285 41077 39604 24 294 28 287 31 270 29 277 39604 38219 27 291 30 283 34 270 33 272 38219 36885 30 287 30 281 34 274 35 272 36885 35538 27 279 27 282 32 274 33 271 35538 34148 24 276 26 285 30 269 31 268 34148 32720 23 280 22 274 28 264 30 265 32720 31239 22 281 22 266 29 263 29 264 31239 29695 18 288 24 266 29 263 29 265 29695 28089 18 269 26 265 28 266 27 270 28089 26422 24 268 26 265 25 270 23 271 26422 24695 29 269 26 266 23 272 21 263 24695 22909 26 264 24 266 21 270 20 258 22909 21058 23 253 22 266 19 266 18 256 21058 19135 22 250 20 267 18 263 17 256 19135 17178 20 255 18 265 17 260 15 257 17178 15294 19 259 18 259 18 257 15 263 15294 13582 18 261 19 251 17 251 15 267 13582 12060 19 254 21 244 18 245 15 265 12060 10704 20 248 21 243 15 240 17 257 10704 9494 16 243 16 243 9 229 17 250 9494 8412 12 232 10*233 3*228 15 234 8412 7447 11 217 6*223 2*249 11 213 7447 6589 11 209 5 225 2 282 9 192 6589 5825 10*198 5 225 2 294 7 172 5825 5136 6*180 5 228 3 295 5 134 5136 4524 4 166 5 230 4 294 6 073 4524 4010 4 164 5 232 4 294 11 046 4010 3614 4 162 5 234 4 293 11 039 3614 3340 4 165 5 234 4 294 10 037 3340 3174 3 166 5 234 4 294 8 038 3174 3078 3 165 5 235 4 293 5*040 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography