DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.4 - - 36.6 - - 36.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 91 - - 41 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1981 - - 2420 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1578 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2118 - - 3051 - - 3490 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 792 - - 1853 - - 1295 - - 1821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 232 - - 190 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 360 - - 000 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 73 - - 283 - - 872 - - -976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2045 - - 2768 - - 2618 - - 2061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1719 - - -540 - - 637 - - -3064 ODpotential blCL - - - 3837 - - 3591 - - 2853 - - 4149 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - 95 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.4 - - 36.6 - - 36.8 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 28.5 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 36.5 - - 37.0 - - 33.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 28.0 - - 29.1 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 91 - - 41 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1981 - - 2420 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 86 - - 80 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95926 13 242 23 254 32 251 25 281 95926 88848 10 007 1 324 2 243 8 289 88848 83387 8 350 6 040 2 205 4 264 83387 78829 3 293 6 001 8 013 4 049 78829 74885 7 001 2 011 8 340 4 025 74885 71389 14 346 8 006 8 326 4 344 71389 68206 11 323 12 349 9 351 8 326 68206 65256 14 347 12 323 13 339 11 333 65256 62497 20 340 10 308 16 331 15 329 62497 59807 25 336 14 337 20 324 20 321 59807 56979 25 333 20 342 21 323 23 329 56979 54032 25 341 28 339 24 322 28 335 54032 51214 33 348 31 336 24 333 33 330 51214 48670 38 347 34 341 32 344 33 333 48670 46389 42 345 37 343 39 341 37 341 46389 44324 42 344 38 343 41 342 42 341 44324 42431 44 346 42 348 42 344 44 342 42431 40684 47 347 48 352 44 347 47 347 40684 39061 49 349 52 350 47 353 52 348 39061 37545 51 350 53 347 51 355 52 351 37545 36126 53 348 52 346 52 352 51 359 36126 34767 53 346 47 346 50 353 55 005 34767 33403 50 345 44 350 51 000 59 005 33403 32006 50 343 44 353 53 004 61 006 32006 30578 48 339 43 355 56 007 62 009 30578 29104 45 338 42 360 57 009 61 011 29104 27569 44 339 43 004 56 011 59 014 27569 25970 43 338 45 005 55 014 54 017 25970 24305 41 336 46 005 52 017 50 020 24305 22574 40 337 45 004 48 021 48 023 22574 20778 38 336 40 004 46 021 46 024 20778 18909 37 336 35 009 42 019 44 024 18909 16963 32 339 33 010 35 015 40 023 16963 14980 25 341 27 009 27 017 34 020 14980 13070 21 358 24 008 24 013 29 016 13070 11338 20 025 24 003 23 013 24 014 11338 9800 22 033 17 006 19 013 21 016 9800 8441 21 029 6 040 14 014 22 023 8441 7243 17 028 8 015 15 011 23 024 7243 6182 13 030 12 008 16 012 22 025 6182 5241 13 023 15 020 18 013 20 025 5241 4410 15 016 17 020 21 010 20 021 4410 3674 18 014 19*011 21*007 23 012 3674 3018 24 013 19*002 20*003 28 001 3018 2437 25*008 19 000 20 001 28 355 2437 1954 22*359 19 360 19 360 26 351 1954 1583 21 358 18 359 18 359 22 348 1583 1328 19 357 17 359 17 358 18 345 1328 1173 17 356 15 358 15 358 15*344 1173 1085 12 355 12 358 11 357 8*341 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography