DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.5 - - 79.7 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2500 - - 2372 - - 1127 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2304 - - 2241 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3570 - - 3442 - - 2197 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2083 - - 1897 - - 2304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 291 - - 291 - - 65 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 123 - - 122 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 600 - - 462 - - 379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2971 - - 2980 - - 1818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 259 - - -72 - - -674 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3311 - - 3514 - - 2871 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 430 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.5 - - 79.7 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 70.0 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.9 - - 79.0 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 69.5 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2500 - - 2372 - - 1127 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99682 39 093 20 082 33 067 99682 92188 24 097 20 085 23 078 92188 86396 17 103 18 091 18 086 86396 81581 14 078 20 105 9 098 81581 77434 14 050 19 103 5 108 77434 73762 12 055 10 083 6 071 73762 70431 5 068 6 080 4 058 70431 67378 3 087 2 003 4 093 67378 64557 2 241 5 272 3 343 64557 61834 10 235 8 245 12 284 61834 59020 10 217 11 244 18 276 59020 56129 7 326 14 234 17 252 56129 53414 24 283 18 262 12 253 53414 51029 34 258 27 285 18 283 51029 48911 33 249 36 268 31 288 48911 46970 29 259 36 253 42 270 46970 45171 32 269 31 264 42 262 45171 43493 40 270 35 270 41 262 43493 41919 46 273 39 272 37 256 41919 40433 38 275 38 273 36 251 40433 39023 34 275 39 274 34 252 39023 37651 32 278 40 276 33 258 37651 36249 28 283 39 278 30 266 36249 34788 26 280 33 272 30 270 34788 33273 28 265 27 264 34 274 33273 31690 27 253 26 258 32 276 31690 30029 21 247 25 261 26 261 30029 28289 17 249 22 253 24 256 28289 26475 16 260 16 243 21 255 26475 24587 16 273 14 244 19 245 24587 22627 14 274 11 261 17 252 22627 20588 9 281 13 271 15 257 20588 18465 10 294 13 266 14 273 18465 16304 10 268 14 246 16 277 16304 14225 10 235 12 240 18 277 14225 12337 10 221 13 260 17 277 12337 10662 11 219 13 261 15 273 10662 9175 14 214 11 261 10 254 9175 7854 12 201 10 247 9 242 7854 6682 11 186 9 234 7 227 6682 5647 9 174 7 218 8 206 5647 4736 8 161 7 196 8 191 4736 3932 9*142 7*163 9 173 3932 3212 10*131 10*135 10 154 3212 2576 10 125 12 123 10*147 2576 2045 10 123 12 120 10*141 2045 1637 10 121 12 119 9 138 1637 1357 10 120 11 118 8 136 1357 1186 9 119 11 118 7 135 1186 1088 8 118 9 117 5 133 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography