DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.7 - - 55.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 750 - - 280 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1820 - - 1350 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1312 - - 1201 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 81 - - 35 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 111 - - 119 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 533 - - 264 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1287 - - 1086 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 227 - - 35 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1593 - - 1315 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 110 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.7 - - 55.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.7 - - 54.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.0 - - 55.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.6 - - 54.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 750 - - 280 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97377 16 305 13 286 97377 90217 5 291 5 261 90217 84666 6 235 5 294 84666 80043 10 243 12 277 80043 76048 9 242 15 258 76048 72507 6 231 14 241 72507 69298 7 247 15 239 69298 66351 15 253 17 245 66351 63629 20 260 19 264 63629 60989 31 251 26 259 60989 58243 35 248 36 245 58243 55408 44 248 41 253 55408 52695 64 250 57 264 52695 50266 83 241 89 246 50266 48104 88 240 91 239 48104 46129 93 243 87 242 46129 44308 99 245 102 248 44308 42623 104 244 110 244 42623 41050 104 244 108 244 41050 39568 103 246 109 247 39568 38166 104 248 108 247 38166 36807 105 248 104 246 36807 35424 102 245 100 243 35424 33988 99 242 100 241 33988 32502 97 239 98 239 32502 30948 96 240 94 234 30948 29312 98 246 94 232 29312 27601 88 258 93 240 27601 25824 71 256 86 247 25824 23985 63 244 70 246 23985 22076 66 241 64 241 22076 20081 58 249 66 238 20081 18004 46 248 60 251 18004 15897 38 230 48 255 15897 13873 30 217 38 245 13873 12033 30 223 38 233 12033 10399 30 219 38 226 10399 8946 27 215 34 224 8946 7655 24 209 30 218 7655 6509 21 200 29 208 6509 5493 22 193 31 204 5493 4599 22 180 33 195 4599 3813 20 155 29 178 3813 3116 19 132 24 155 3116 2506 17 120 21 136 2506 1998 16*117 20 132 1998 1609 14*112 17*127 1609 1341 13 111 14*121 1341 1179 11 111 12 119 1179 1086 8 109 8 117 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography