DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 112 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2795 - - 2920 - - 2953 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2274 - - 2498 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3865 - - 3990 - - 4023 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1235 - - 2013 - - 1569 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 267 - - 289 - - 103 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 025 - - 017 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1128 - - 881 - - 916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2737 - - 3110 - - 3108 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 710 - - 254 - - 30 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3155 - - 3736 - - 3993 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 100 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 62.6 - - 62.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.3 - - 72.4 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 62.0 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 112 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2795 - - 2920 - - 2953 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 87 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99689 34 100 26 096 25 083 99689 92167 28 092 26 091 28 083 92167 86375 24 087 26 086 25 091 86375 81576 21 087 20 085 22 097 81576 77431 17 091 13 105 15 083 77431 73758 17 104 10 116 8 077 73758 70437 15 092 9 123 6 069 70437 67384 13 090 7 105 6 053 67384 64551 9 066 8 123 3 305 64551 61810 3 063 4 037 2 310 61810 58949 4 030 6 337 8 333 58949 55984 12 316 10 315 14 316 55984 53170 15 323 15 329 17 330 53170 50646 23 320 25 328 26 324 50646 48391 27 331 29 332 28 321 48391 46345 41 341 39 338 33 330 46345 44465 47 335 42 328 40 332 44465 42730 46 338 42 332 44 332 42730 41125 47 345 45 342 46 336 41125 39632 53 351 51 345 52 341 39632 38232 61 351 56 344 55 342 38232 36880 64 351 63 341 55 340 36880 35509 59 348 65 340 54 339 35509 34087 53 346 60 339 52 339 34087 32616 49 346 55 338 52 337 32616 31081 48 341 49 337 50 337 31081 29468 45 338 44 339 46 336 29468 27778 39 339 37 345 42 340 27778 26012 33 341 33 345 34 340 26012 24171 30 342 32 335 32 338 24171 22256 28 344 30 331 30 337 22256 20262 30 348 27 334 27 342 20262 18180 29 358 26 353 23 348 18180 16055 23 002 23 001 21 345 16055 14007 18 000 19 354 21 345 14007 12148 19 001 19 004 20 357 12148 10503 18 009 19 017 17 009 10503 9043 14 013 16 014 14 021 9043 7748 11 016 13 014 12 034 7748 6599 11 018 13 021 13 030 6599 5583 12 027 13 025 14 016 5583 4688 14 030 14*025 13*010 4688 3897 14*029 14*024 13*011 3897 3188 14*028 13 020 11 019 3188 2560 13 026 12 017 10 024 2560 2035 12 025 12 015 10 028 2035 1631 12 024 11 013 10 030 1631 1353 11 023 11 012 9 031 1353 1184 10 023 10 012 8 033 1184 1088 8 023 8 012 6 034 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography