DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 51.9 - - 53.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 51 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 653 - - 1102 - - 1514 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1723 - - 2172 - - 2584 - - 1196 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 535 - - 691 - - 569 - - 1058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 159 - - 96 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 096 - - 120 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1816 - - -3260 - - -3043 - - -2150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3539 - - 5432 - - 5627 - - 3346 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9668 - - -9476 - - -9967 - - -9328 ODpotential blCL - - - 11391 - - 11648 - - 12551 - - 10524 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 51.9 - - 53.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 32.6 - - 33.2 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.8 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 31.7 - - 32.4 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 51 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 653 - - 1102 - - 1514 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95946 64 261 71 258 74 260 73 263 95946 89025 46 262 50 257 55 259 50 270 89025 83675 37 270 38 269 39 265 41 263 83675 79191 32 262 33 275 32 275 33 270 79191 75304 24 265 30 267 28 270 28 281 75304 71842 25 275 28 268 31 271 31 280 71842 68676 24 272 33 268 38 264 35 272 68676 65744 32 267 33 270 33 259 34 272 65744 63003 37 271 32 269 32 271 36 280 63003 60323 43 273 36 272 41 281 41 273 60323 57522 46 269 51 274 51 277 47 272 57522 54628 53 265 60 267 56 267 54 270 54628 51883 57 264 61 262 59 262 59 270 51883 49430 63 269 61 264 58 269 63 272 49430 47247 70 269 66 267 67 275 67 275 47247 45281 72 271 72 269 79 272 78 273 45281 43499 73 273 74 271 84 269 84 271 43499 41871 77 276 82 274 89 271 101 274 41871 40361 87 278 95 276 95 272 110 277 40361 38937 89 279 103 275 96 274 118 277 38937 37585 85 279 102 274 97 274 118 277 37585 36267 81 276 103 277 96 273 117 279 36267 34922 78 276 91 278 93 273 102 284 34922 33528 75 276 81 277 90 270 83 284 33528 32089 73 275 76 274 86 271 75 279 32089 30586 72 274 69 271 81 276 73 271 30586 29002 68 274 66 272 72 274 69 267 29002 27338 66 274 66 267 64 274 64 274 27338 25593 65 274 64 267 63 274 59 277 25593 23771 64 272 61 271 59 272 53 275 23771 21876 60 272 58 274 52 271 50 280 21876 19906 55 277 55 275 47 277 41 280 19906 17851 53 282 52 278 44 282 37 284 17851 15755 50 280 48 280 41 286 35 284 15755 13738 45 274 38 286 34 285 32 278 13738 11906 41 283 28 270 23 264 26 270 11906 10279 33 299 26 265 19 268 17 280 10279 8838 24 293 22 275 15 272 9 263 8838 7563 22 291 18 282 13 258 8 246 7563 6433 17 303 14 293 11 257 6 237 6433 5434 13 325 10 309 7 270 5 220 5434 4554 13 343 7 335 2 272 4 177 4554 3780 12 353 5 023 3 144 6 148 3780 3091 10 017 4 069 4*140 5 117 3091 2486 10 059 4*099 4*125 5 077 2486 1985 9*076 4*098 5 120 7 082 1985 1600 8*078 3 096 4 118 10 094 1600 1337 6 079 3 096 4 117 10*093 1337 1177 6 079 3 096 4 117 9*092 1177 1086 5 079 3 096 3 118 5 091 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography