DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 55.9 - - 52.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 42 - - 16 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 828 - - 1610 - - 1247 - - 998 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1898 - - 2680 - - 2317 - - 2068 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2530 - - 1103 - - 1646 - - 1904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 178 - - 121 - - 60 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 214 - - 221 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 598 - - 1107 - - 924 - - 727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1300 - - 1573 - - 1393 - - 1341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -106 - - 463 - - 420 - - 118 ODpotential blCL - - - 2004 - - 2217 - - 1897 - - 1950 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 55.9 - - 52.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 52.4 - - 49.9 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 55.8 - - 52.9 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 51.6 - - 49.4 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 42 - - 16 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 828 - - 1610 - - 1247 - - 998 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95604 60 272 72 263 69 276 63 270 95604 88831 38 271 41 273 46 278 40 280 88831 83582 26 288 26 299 32 271 33 292 83582 79165 19 297 24 293 22 272 29 293 79165 75311 14 296 17 285 16 282 25 289 75311 71864 13 300 11 288 15 281 18 271 71864 68712 12 283 9 304 12 262 16 261 68712 65796 10 273 10 292 10 258 13 247 65796 63078 8 258 12 271 9 254 12 251 63078 60432 9 194 13 252 13 256 14 256 60432 57658 9 180 12 228 16 237 15 238 57658 54769 9 237 10 217 16 223 18 226 54769 52011 20 221 17 223 19 220 17 221 52011 49522 21 206 22 216 25 222 17 225 49522 47276 20 199 24 206 30 200 23 214 47276 45229 19 205 26 192 29 184 28 216 45229 43357 29 194 23 202 29 185 39 219 43357 41629 29 198 26 219 30 191 39 205 41629 40017 42 196 43 220 43 212 37 206 40017 38505 50 185 63 209 58 213 42 215 38505 37086 47 181 64 195 68 206 55 217 37086 35724 44 189 65 193 66 201 62 215 35724 34347 55 189 81 194 62 198 64 212 34347 32925 62 193 93 192 61 197 63 212 32925 31460 72 197 93 192 66 197 63 212 31460 29945 77 195 91 195 74 194 55 211 29945 28376 70 193 89 195 78 190 40 216 28376 26749 59 189 81 195 74 191 34 219 26749 25053 52 182 73 197 59 202 34 219 25053 23280 51 186 61 199 41 210 37 220 23280 21431 53 193 48 191 37 204 40 218 21431 19502 46 196 45 187 37 201 39 217 19502 17492 47 195 45 193 38 202 38 213 17492 15447 49 200 43 193 38 202 36 207 15447 13484 46 202 43 193 35 205 32 201 13484 11702 46 199 41 197 31 206 29 201 11702 10116 41 195 35 202 32 208 28 213 10116 8706 40 186 33 203 31 219 26 225 8706 7453 44 186 31 203 30 235 25 227 7453 6343 42 192 31 199 29 242 26 233 6343 5365 38 198 31 198 25 240 27 248 5365 4508 34 200 32 200 23 233 29 251 4508 3754 31 201 30 206 23 228 29 246 3754 3079 30 201 23*212 23 225 29 241 3079 2482 28 199 21*213 22*224 27*238 2482 1984 24*197 20 214 20*222 24*235 1984 1601 21*196 19 214 19 221 21 233 1601 1338 18 195 17 214 17 221 19 232 1338 1178 15 194 15 214 15 220 16 231 1178 1086 11 194 11 214 11 221 11 231 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography