DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.8 - - 21.9 - - 21.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 61 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2157 - - 2142 - - 221 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2095 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3227 - - 3212 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 699 - - 619 - - 1726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 283 - - 208 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 237 - - 224 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -391 - - -1593 - - -3482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3618 - - 4805 - - 4773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10425 - - -12491 - - -14240 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13652 - - 15703 - - 15531 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 79 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.8 - - 21.9 - - 21.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 6.7 - - 4.5 - - 4.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 18.0 - - 21.8 - - 22.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 5.9 - - 3.7 - - 3.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 61 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2157 - - 2142 - - 221 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 14 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95820 28 350 30 360 31 001 95820 89029 32 343 31 352 28 354 89029 83640 29 334 31 338 21 347 83640 79088 13 331 23 319 20 342 79088 75106 11 325 25 295 29 319 75106 71544 15 304 23 285 34 306 71544 68284 13 329 17 298 26 298 68284 65264 17 331 16 316 15 302 65264 62445 17 326 22 334 14 318 62445 59695 23 330 33 321 29 320 59695 56826 31 316 35 310 36 305 56826 53843 30 325 27 310 33 288 53843 50980 37 333 36 327 38 297 50980 48394 52 331 45 319 40 304 48394 46067 60 326 45 321 39 304 46067 43944 62 326 47 323 43 309 43944 41997 59 326 52 320 48 307 41997 40206 59 326 55 314 52 306 40206 38553 62 326 54 309 51 303 38553 37026 63 326 54 313 47 303 37026 35610 62 328 57 315 48 307 35610 34262 61 329 58 312 60 305 34262 32915 60 331 54 309 60 300 32915 31545 62 333 47 310 55 302 31545 30148 69 334 54 318 56 309 30148 28706 74 334 66 320 65 304 28706 27207 73 335 73 321 69 297 27207 25646 72 337 74 322 64 302 25646 24014 76 339 69 323 56 309 24014 22314 79 340 64 323 50 307 22314 20546 75 340 64 319 47 302 20546 18705 69 343 65 316 44 301 18705 16785 56 348 50 319 43 301 16785 14826 43 342 36 333 45 300 14826 12933 37 339 29 325 40 297 12933 11207 37 340 30 313 32 285 11207 9675 36 343 32 307 28 280 9675 8319 30 347 24 311 27 274 8319 7124 20 347 21 310 28 270 7124 6068 14 341 19 300 25 265 6068 5135 11 319 17 284 23 257 5135 4314 11 279 16 261 24 248 4314 3594 10*256 15*232 24 235 3594 2955 8*240 14*226 24 220 2955 2394 7 237 13 225 22 211 2394 1927 7 236 13 224 21 207 1927 1567 7 235 12 223 19 204 1567 1320 7 235 11 223 15*201 1320 1170 6 235 10 223 13*200 1170 1083 6 235 8 223 8 200 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography