DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.3 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 14 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 600 - - 730 - - 568 - - 309 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1670 - - 1800 - - 1638 - - 1379 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 1209 - - 1051 - - 965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 91 - - 58 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 179 - - 163 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 458 - - 508 - - 436 - - 293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1212 - - 1292 - - 1203 - - 1086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 132 - - 225 - - 36 - - 41 ODpotential blCL - - - 1538 - - 1575 - - 1602 - - 1338 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.3 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 53.2 - - 53.7 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 55.4 - - 55.7 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 53.0 - - 53.6 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 14 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 600 - - 730 - - 568 - - 309 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95847 62 276 58 272 54 273 66 273 95847 89063 35 285 39 290 43 292 40 281 89063 83772 25 300 32 302 36 292 31 294 83772 79334 23 312 23 301 27 294 27 301 79334 75473 24 313 16 313 20 301 22 305 75473 72032 22 304 14 326 14 322 17 309 72032 68884 19 305 15 321 16 338 14 323 68884 65959 16 310 15 312 16 333 15 326 65959 63229 15 311 14 299 14 315 15 317 63229 60578 18 311 14 302 16 297 19 311 60578 57825 22 313 18 306 20 293 23 304 57825 54984 28 311 24 315 22 299 23 301 54984 52300 35 303 36 312 33 299 28 298 52300 49914 38 297 36 301 33 287 34 298 49914 47786 33 306 34 312 38 299 44 291 47786 45851 50 310 48 312 44 300 43 284 45851 44068 49 304 46 295 46 289 36 276 44068 42416 33 310 46 282 46 279 32 273 42416 40875 32 310 44 282 38 264 34 265 40875 39428 38 302 40 284 35 254 43 248 39428 38061 43 296 36 278 34 249 38 242 38061 36729 43 291 30 281 35 244 32 241 36729 35370 40 295 28 277 36 240 32 241 35370 33953 32 301 28 270 34 236 34 239 33953 32481 25 306 25 268 33 231 35 236 32481 30943 21 299 25 260 38 240 31 233 30943 29326 34 278 29 256 42 248 28 228 29326 27632 40 278 34 260 36 245 29 222 27632 25861 35 285 40 267 28 244 32 230 25861 24017 29 287 27 267 31 242 31 250 24017 22100 20 268 22 266 35 246 35 255 22100 20107 23 236 18 252 32 248 36 245 20107 18034 27 241 16 232 28 241 47 239 18034 15920 20 244 22 228 28 235 46 232 15920 13884 15 229 25 227 28 229 37 229 13884 12032 18 219 26 216 30 226 32 225 12032 10388 23 215 26 211 29 224 28 224 10388 8930 25 207 27 208 28 221 28 224 8930 7638 22 197 27 206 26 224 28 220 7638 6493 24 179 22 207 25 224 28 214 6493 5482 26 168 25 207 26 209 29 213 5482 4595 27 165 28 204 29 202 33 205 4595 3815 26 174 28 200 29 196 36 197 3815 3119 26 183 26 194 28 189 37 189 3119 2506 26 182 22 186 23 172 34 177 2506 1998 24*179 20*184 22*170 30 170 1998 1608 20*175 16*180 18*165 25*166 1608 1341 17 172 14 179 16 163 20*164 1341 1179 15 171 13 179 14 162 17 163 1179 1086 11 170 9 178 10 161 12 161 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography