DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 64.6 - - 66.3 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 107 - - 37 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 568 - - 1605 - - 2245 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1482 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1638 - - 2675 - - 3315 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 209 - - 1417 - - 1787 - - 514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 232 - - 183 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 163 - - 147 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -791 - - -1819 - - -1952 - - -789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2429 - - 4494 - - 5267 - - 1875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7057 - - -6687 - - -6060 - - -6740 ODpotential blCL - - - 8695 - - 9362 - - 9375 - - 7826 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 66 - - 59 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 64.6 - - 66.3 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.7 - - 49.0 - - 47.3 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 64.0 - - 66.2 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 47.9 - - 46.7 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 107 - - 37 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 568 - - 1605 - - 2245 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97328 9 254 7 264 10 263 8 286 97328 90164 3 020 4 264 3 028 2 289 90164 84628 11 066 3 170 5 018 5 038 84628 80012 12 087 6 127 3 294 11 035 80012 76031 10 077 8 122 4 227 9 030 76031 72516 8 028 10 079 7 170 1 127 72516 69331 11 010 11 073 2 172 2 196 69331 66392 10 319 11 040 1 260 2 347 66392 63660 11 285 11 346 3 033 3 351 63660 61008 15 281 17 317 6 355 4 344 61008 58240 13 283 23 308 15 310 17 323 58240 55376 26 322 26 304 22 311 22 309 55376 52661 44 307 38 303 35 310 34 314 52661 50234 42 291 40 292 37 297 40 308 50234 48057 28 297 31 296 27 290 32 296 48057 46071 33 331 28 323 32 327 31 329 46071 44242 49 336 48 323 51 321 46 325 44242 42561 63 317 59 312 58 308 56 314 42561 41006 63 314 55 303 54 309 56 315 41006 39549 69 329 56 322 53 321 54 320 39549 38172 78 330 65 328 59 329 55 324 38172 36835 75 328 66 328 63 328 56 323 36835 35471 69 328 61 325 61 324 55 322 35471 34050 64 329 54 313 54 323 53 329 34050 32577 61 326 54 310 53 311 49 326 32577 31036 61 322 52 308 56 309 50 318 31036 29414 55 312 51 311 55 311 52 317 29414 27714 54 312 48 315 50 315 51 319 27714 25938 40 314 45 319 43 319 41 326 25938 24088 27 314 27 314 32 324 30 328 24088 22163 23 309 24 312 25 311 27 326 22163 20156 24 312 23 327 20 316 23 326 20156 18067 18 314 17 330 15 326 15 322 18067 15941 15 311 15 320 16 322 14 328 15941 13896 14 319 13 320 14 323 12 341 13896 12041 10 291 11 324 8 323 6 328 12041 10401 7 268 8 299 8 317 3 276 10401 8948 3 267 5 270 8 283 4 277 8948 7658 1 284 1 273 4 267 3 268 7658 6514 1 082 2 098 2 111 3 150 6514 5505 2 142 3 163 4 123 5 145 5505 4618 5 179 5 176 5 160 5 174 4618 3836 7 189 7 180 8*163 7 187 3836 3138 9 199 9*176 8*159 10 178 3138 2520 13 194 9*166 8 153 12 170 2520 2006 14*176 9 163 8 144 14 161 2006 1612 10*163 8 162 8 142 15 148 1612 1342 8 158 8 161 8 139 13 136 1342 1179 7 157 7 161 7 139 11 130 1179 1086 6 156 6 160 6 138 5*125 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography