DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1000z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 50.8 - - 53.9 - - 56.4 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 700 - - 577 - - 176 - - 146 BL Depth Hcrit 1070 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top 1431 - - 1770 - - 1647 - - 1246 - - 1216 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 798 - - 566 - - 600 - - 570 - - 621 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 94 - - 86 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 089 - - 115 - - 119 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1570 - - 181 - - 370 - - 160 - - 129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3001 - - 1589 - - 1277 - - 1086 - - 1087 sfcLCL ODpotential -10163 - - -8250 - - -6060 - - 51 - - -3490 ODpotential blCL 11594 - - 10020 - - 7707 - - 1195 - - 4706 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 140 - - 200 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 50.8 - - 53.9 - - 56.4 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 47.7 - - 51.9 - - 56.2 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 51.0 - - 54.2 - - 56.8 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 47.3 - - 51.8 - - 56.2 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 700 - - 577 - - 176 - - 146 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98382 23 070 19 086 17 087 13 037 15 078 98382 90924 9 063 11 093 7 049 8 098 8 060 90924 85195 6 086 4 074 4 171 3 098 10 019 85195 80460 6 094 3 320 6 245 1 356 6 019 80460 76378 2 027 3 260 9 230 9 284 8 337 76378 72759 6 305 2 233 7 221 11 249 13 292 72759 69480 9 293 5 277 4 242 7 194 10 250 69480 66458 11 252 8 273 5 252 6 251 7 248 66458 63648 14 224 11 244 10 236 16 264 8 273 63648 60926 16 235 14 246 12 249 18 247 14 263 60926 58098 21 235 19 251 16 258 17 247 16 258 58098 55182 25 233 24 247 24 251 23 250 19 260 55182 52420 33 247 27 251 28 243 28 238 25 248 52420 49945 34 244 35 251 37 246 42 235 35 242 49945 47755 40 236 53 230 55 229 57 225 49 234 47755 45805 48 234 53 227 52 217 54 212 59 221 45805 44032 68 236 50 242 44 218 53 213 57 215 44032 42386 79 233 60 241 53 227 58 222 50 220 42386 40842 79 232 75 231 68 230 64 222 48 227 40842 39386 77 232 74 227 70 228 71 220 49 227 39386 38007 78 232 72 225 68 225 73 220 53 227 38007 36670 73 232 71 224 67 224 64 221 57 224 36670 35309 66 226 68 225 62 225 60 220 60 217 35309 33896 60 214 66 225 56 224 58 216 61 211 33896 32432 56 217 65 225 52 223 55 214 57 210 32432 30902 51 224 60 225 53 220 56 212 52 211 30902 29293 42 219 54 222 59 217 56 210 51 212 29293 27607 37 210 52 219 61 215 53 209 52 213 27607 25843 31 201 48 217 59 214 51 210 46 217 25843 24002 28 201 44 213 56 212 49 210 43 217 24002 22088 31 202 42 207 55 206 49 208 43 215 22088 20100 37 201 38 203 47 203 49 206 41 215 20100 18035 41 187 38 194 44 206 48 205 36 216 18035 15938 37 187 40 191 43 209 47 205 33 215 15938 13922 36 179 43 189 37 207 45 202 31 213 13922 12091 37 175 43 183 37 209 42 196 30 211 12091 10463 30 171 41 172 34 208 38 194 33 208 10463 9011 27 165 37 160 31 193 33 193 37 202 9011 7720 27 170 33 147 29 179 28 192 43 199 7720 6573 28 171 28 134 24 165 27 188 46 194 6573 5559 27 152 26 129 22 166 30 185 46 186 5559 4663 27 130 26 127 22 167 30 179 45 182 4663 3873 30 121 29 122 22 165 28 172 42 178 3873 3164 35 114 31 117 24 144 25 158 38 169 3164 2538 38 104 30 109 28 126 24 147 34 160 2538 2017 35 095 25*096 27*122 22 140 30 149 2017 1619 28*089 21*090 22*117 18 130 24 140 1619 1347 23*087 19 089 20 115 13*122 18*133 1347 1181 20 086 16 088 17 114 11*120 15*130 1181 1087 14 085 12 087 12 112 8 118 10 128 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography