DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.3 - - 51.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 237 - - 269 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4140 - - 4841 - - 2909 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3738 - - 4333 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5210 - - 5911 - - 3979 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2424 - - 5542 - - 6436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 405 - - 446 - - 80 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 274 - - 274 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 13 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -22 - - -8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -132 - - -64 - - -2725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5342 - - 5976 - - 6704 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -558 - - -956 - - -4038 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5768 - - 6867 - - 8017 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.3 - - 51.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.6 - - 29.2 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.4 - - 50.5 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.1 - - 28.5 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 237 - - 269 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4140 - - 4841 - - 2909 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 74 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97783 7 288 15 331 9 339 97783 90393 6 301 14 269 21 333 90393 84710 4 292 7 252 10 311 84710 79958 5 246 7 280 3 247 79958 75811 7 256 10 248 11 298 75811 72146 15 243 15 257 21 283 72146 68846 16 248 18 265 22 263 68846 65805 19 262 20 262 16 266 65805 62958 22 273 24 279 16 289 62958 60183 29 271 34 282 33 286 60183 57284 36 271 42 269 36 278 57284 54267 41 268 40 266 42 282 54267 51390 40 267 47 270 47 277 51390 48806 45 270 44 267 45 278 48806 46491 45 272 44 276 50 281 46491 44397 53 276 54 276 56 278 44397 42485 61 270 58 274 55 276 42485 40723 57 266 59 274 54 279 40723 39088 56 272 60 275 54 280 39088 37564 57 272 61 277 55 282 37564 36139 59 272 63 279 60 286 36139 34776 60 273 63 280 66 287 34776 33409 62 277 64 283 69 285 33409 32008 61 280 64 284 67 285 32008 30578 59 284 64 286 66 289 30578 29109 55 287 61 288 67 292 29109 27586 48 288 57 290 67 293 27586 25999 40 290 52 291 65 294 25999 24343 34 294 49 290 63 298 24343 22620 32 294 48 290 61 299 22620 20834 31 294 45 290 57 294 20834 18984 33 294 42 290 52 291 18984 17061 33 285 41 290 49 287 17061 15099 41 281 40 287 46 287 15099 13205 43 276 40 276 44 284 13205 11481 40 274 41 260 40 277 11481 9956 40 266 40 264 30 263 9956 8601 37 263 37 269 28 263 8601 7390 28 267 32 272 26 263 7390 6311 23 274 27*273 22 267 6311 5352 18*276 22*273 18 273 5352 4503 16*276 18 273 16*282 4503 3753 16 275 17 273 14*294 3753 3080 15 275 14 274 14 301 3080 2483 15 274 14 275 13 306 2483 1985 14 273 13 275 13 309 1985 1602 14 273 12 275 13 311 1602 1338 13 273 11 275 12 312 1338 1178 12 272 10 275 10 313 1178 1086 10 272 9 275 7 314 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography