DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 64.2 - - 65.7 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 25 - - 42 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 797 - - 799 - - 1309 - - 956 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1071 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1867 - - 1869 - - 2379 - - 2026 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 782 - - 823 - - 651 - - 1207 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 112 - - 158 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 032 - - 047 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -25 - - 496 - - 406 - - 492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1892 - - 1373 - - 1973 - - 1534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6374 - - 261 - - 26 - - 121 ODpotential blCL - - - 8241 - - 1608 - - 2353 - - 1905 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 64.2 - - 65.7 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 61.8 - - 60.8 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 64.3 - - 65.7 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 61.7 - - 60.5 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 25 - - 42 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 797 - - 799 - - 1309 - - 956 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98963 15 097 15 075 12 036 19 057 98963 91603 9 076 9 098 5 081 13 026 91603 85922 6 062 3 036 2 187 11 353 85922 81183 4 016 5 283 4 018 2 301 81183 77073 2 218 8 265 14 286 9 324 77073 73420 3 269 7 246 17 265 18 290 73420 70119 17 321 9 287 13 276 17 270 70119 67089 19 296 13 299 15 286 16 271 67089 64280 16 268 18 295 15 289 13 285 64280 61582 14 294 18 269 22 270 26 286 61582 58804 24 276 21 273 26 268 28 285 58804 55949 30 262 30 267 32 270 37 289 55949 53251 35 274 37 270 37 267 39 274 53251 50829 49 267 45 284 46 278 41 269 50829 48653 53 264 65 282 63 279 55 281 48653 46687 65 268 72 272 67 276 64 282 46687 44890 73 260 66 263 64 267 61 275 44890 43225 67 262 60 267 61 262 58 269 43225 41666 61 275 58 270 55 267 57 267 41666 40195 66 289 56 274 57 269 57 267 40195 38801 75 293 56 272 61 270 56 269 38801 37446 77 289 57 269 61 271 57 274 37446 36063 72 280 60 270 61 272 57 278 36063 34622 71 276 62 272 59 273 54 281 34622 33125 67 272 59 269 56 274 53 281 33125 31559 65 275 57 266 55 276 53 278 31559 29909 63 276 54 272 52 274 53 277 29909 28180 58 273 54 275 51 272 50 278 28180 26370 54 272 51 273 47 269 48 274 26370 24484 53 271 48 272 45 269 44 266 24484 22529 49 267 48 271 47 273 42 276 22529 20494 47 265 45 270 47 280 40 286 20494 18371 45 268 40 270 38 284 35 291 18371 16208 41 267 36 278 33 283 32 285 16208 14132 34 269 34 277 29 279 33 284 14132 12248 32 273 34 268 32 275 29 281 12248 10574 32 273 35 260 32 270 24 280 10574 9088 27 277 30 257 29 275 17 301 9088 7771 23 277 15 263 21 277 19 304 7771 6603 22 274 9 287 14 268 22 300 6603 5571 21 273 7 300 10 271 19 291 5571 4664 17 264 6 306 8 288 13 287 4664 3868 8 232 4 283 7 316 6 322 3868 3161 6 176 3 329 7 023 9 018 3161 2538 6 137 12 034 10*045 10*024 2538 2019 7*100 12*035 10*046 10*025 2019 1622 6*094 11*033 9 047 9 025 1622 1348 6 092 10 031 9 048 9 025 1348 1182 5 092 9 031 8 049 8 025 1182 1087 4 091 7 031 6 049 6 025 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography