DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 56.4 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 395 - - 202 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8493 - - 6269 - - 4068 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 7405 - - 5280 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9563 - - 7339 - - 5138 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2228 - - 4442 - - 4620 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 610 - - 442 - - 78 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 306 - - 311 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - -1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 914 - - -274 - - -2128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8650 - - 7613 - - 7266 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 577 - - -861 - - -3361 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8986 - - 8200 - - 8499 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 56.4 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.4 - - 26.7 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.3 - - 55.5 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.3 - - 25.7 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 395 - - 202 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8493 - - 6269 - - 4068 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 77 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97968 15 175 9 183 3 231 97968 90521 7 164 10 187 5 277 90521 84806 9 174 5 229 7 192 84806 80051 3 169 10 181 1 276 80051 75956 2 095 11 169 4 278 75956 72334 1 336 2 121 6 201 72334 69029 6 176 7 288 6 293 69029 65988 3 213 7 251 8 310 65988 63169 8 279 8 298 14 300 63169 60426 12 263 16 247 15 262 60426 57536 18 298 12 290 15 294 57536 54533 31 278 28 293 32 290 54533 51686 34 265 34 274 35 278 51686 49124 38 274 34 272 34 277 49124 46820 48 275 43 273 41 281 46820 44734 54 273 50 274 48 282 44734 42830 58 270 56 276 52 282 42830 41079 61 270 61 275 55 283 41079 39461 65 272 64 272 59 281 39461 37959 70 273 66 272 62 278 37959 36561 73 271 70 273 63 278 36561 35224 78 270 74 274 66 278 35224 33881 87 269 77 274 70 277 33881 32499 91 267 81 274 73 275 32499 31076 88 267 84 273 75 273 31076 29595 84 269 84 272 75 272 29595 28040 81 269 82 272 76 272 28040 26416 79 272 80 273 72 277 26416 24722 79 275 73 275 63 282 24722 22964 75 278 60 279 54 285 22964 21141 65 281 53 283 48 286 21141 19245 57 283 49 285 46 288 19245 17272 53 283 46 288 45 289 17272 15265 51 284 44 291 43 291 15265 13341 42 292 42 288 45 283 13341 11598 32 296 35 282 40 277 11598 10052 30*296 33 283 34 279 10052 8674 27*299 29 285 26 282 8674 7448 23 303 23*290 21 287 7448 6356 22 304 18*297 17 293 6356 5387 20 307 18 298 15*300 5387 4531 19 308 15 310 14*308 4531 3773 19 309 15 315 13 313 3773 3094 18 309 15 318 13 317 3094 2493 17 310 14 320 13 320 2493 1991 17 311 14 321 12 323 1991 1605 16 311 13 322 11 325 1605 1340 15 311 13 323 10 326 1340 1178 14 312 12 324 9 326 1178 1086 12 312 10 324 6 327 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography