DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.8 - - 65.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 572 - - 601 - - 289 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1070 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1642 - - 1671 - - 1359 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 773 - - 1269 - - 1022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 125 - - 50 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 225 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 555 - - 584 - - 272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1087 - - 1087 - - 1087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 162 - - 104 - - -239 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1480 - - 1567 - - 1598 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 40 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.8 - - 65.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 63.6 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.8 - - 65.5 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 63.5 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 572 - - 601 - - 289 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97762 15 257 12 268 12 264 97762 90556 10 241 17 274 9 297 90556 84983 8 248 14 271 5 295 84983 80345 10 232 11 267 9 299 80345 76355 9 224 10 242 11 301 76355 72830 8 226 8 245 11 280 72830 69630 6 258 9 241 13 281 69630 66681 9 283 13 275 13 278 66681 63946 13 271 20 263 20 278 63946 61291 15 290 17 268 22 257 61291 58511 27 286 24 277 27 273 58511 55640 38 267 42 274 42 276 55640 52924 41 261 48 266 45 272 52924 50485 43 279 44 276 51 284 50485 48296 57 288 61 288 65 287 48296 46314 69 286 73 288 76 284 46314 44501 75 285 81 285 82 284 44501 42827 91 280 83 282 80 285 42827 41267 96 275 80 276 71 279 41267 39800 93 278 75 268 63 267 39800 38410 89 281 75 270 60 266 38410 37060 82 281 75 275 56 266 37060 35680 65 271 74 280 55 263 35680 34241 64 254 70 280 55 260 34241 32745 65 251 57 266 56 257 32745 31179 67 251 60 252 58 258 31179 29533 69 254 64 254 57 259 29533 27808 71 260 65 264 52 261 27808 26006 66 274 59 278 42 264 26006 24136 35 282 35 284 30 274 24136 22212 26 270 23 265 20 266 22212 20224 27 258 22 254 25 243 20224 18151 28 256 25 253 27 242 18151 16036 25 250 23 253 26 248 16036 13999 24 255 19 256 25 257 13999 12145 21 264 17 261 22 261 12145 10494 18 268 15 258 21 265 10494 9030 18 268 13 246 20 264 9030 7731 19 264 13 236 20 253 7731 6579 19 261 13 241 18 248 6579 5559 20 261 13 257 16 246 5559 4660 20 259 14 263 10 243 4660 3869 20 253 18 254 10 242 3869 3161 20 243 22 242 15 243 3161 2538 20 228 21 235 18 237 2538 2019 18*219 20*231 18 230 2019 1621 14*211 17*226 16*222 1621 1348 12 208 15 225 12*216 1348 1182 11 207 13 224 10 214 1182 1087 8 207 9 223 6 213 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography