DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 82 - - 12 - - -84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 1272 - - 1474 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1679 - - 2342 - - 2544 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 681 - - 432 - - 716 - - 1213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 204 - - 138 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 22 - - 24 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 248 - - 224 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 10 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -528 - - -612 - - -167 - - -425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2207 - - 2955 - - 2711 - - 1511 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6967 - - -5601 - - -5813 - - -6399 ODpotential blCL - - - 8646 - - 7943 - - 8357 - - 7485 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 88 - - 74 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 39.8 - - 44.9 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 48.9 - - 53.5 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 38.5 - - 43.6 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 82 - - 12 - - -84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 1272 - - 1474 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 50 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95799 28 324 27 314 27 327 22 321 95799 88679 36 320 28 312 31 317 30 321 88679 83245 30 306 25 312 29 314 22 322 83245 78693 32 303 32 309 35 307 30 310 78693 74743 42 300 37 295 36 288 38 297 74743 71267 41 280 33 274 31 272 38 289 71267 68127 44 277 34 281 35 279 43 283 68127 65232 54 280 49 283 46 280 50 279 65232 62536 63 277 54 272 51 276 49 286 62536 59926 64 269 52 271 59 284 54 288 59926 57197 60 264 60 276 66 279 50 280 57197 54311 58 270 63 275 54 267 46 282 54311 51504 59 275 56 274 43 276 55 294 51504 48963 57 275 56 288 60 289 73 292 48963 46701 63 281 73 291 78 284 82 283 46701 44661 76 274 85 282 81 275 78 278 44661 42788 79 261 81 277 74 271 68 282 42788 41054 67 254 72 278 66 276 70 294 41054 39453 63 274 70 283 70 289 81 294 39453 37979 78 282 71 283 78 290 82 290 37979 36615 87 275 70 281 77 287 80 291 36615 35317 72 262 66 282 75 287 88 296 35317 34013 45 260 61 287 71 292 90 295 34013 32663 49 287 63 297 71 294 84 292 32663 31266 82 308 67 299 71 292 81 289 31266 29806 96 312 70 298 71 288 79 287 29806 28269 87 311 75 300 72 290 73 284 28269 26660 79 311 78 300 71 291 68 281 26660 24975 77 300 74 298 64 287 63 280 24975 23216 74 290 67 293 57 285 57 281 23216 21388 70 288 59 285 55 287 54 279 21388 19486 67 282 56 282 53 289 54 278 19486 17506 67 280 60 287 58 288 49 278 17506 15485 71 278 62 293 52 278 46 272 15485 13536 65 274 63 291 46 275 46 264 13536 11761 48 271 59 279 47 271 48 264 11761 10180 43 268 50 269 48 265 47 261 10180 8772 45 266 47 263 49 256 45 256 8772 7520 46 267 45 266 48 253 41 255 7520 6405 49 269 42 270 44 253 40 257 6405 5416 51 274 41 270 40 253 42 254 5416 4544 53 278 42 268 39 250 44 251 4544 3775 53 274 41 263 37 243 45 245 3775 3090 50 265 38 259 34*235 45 233 3090 2488 42 251 29*251 28*226 43 224 2488 1987 35*243 25*248 26 224 39 219 1987 1603 31*241 24 248 24 223 33 216 1603 1338 27 240 22 247 22 223 26 214 1338 1177 23 240 19 247 19 222 21*213 1177 1086 16 240 15 247 14 222 13*212 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography