DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 62.4 - - 65.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 115 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 180 - - 1140 - - 1780 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1250 - - 2210 - - 2850 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 271 - - 1306 - - 2292 - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 212 - - 163 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 206 - - 234 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1315 - - -1663 - - -2222 - - -1493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2566 - - 3873 - - 5072 - - 2579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9000 - - -7191 - - -6869 - - -5360 ODpotential blCL - - - 10250 - - 9401 - - 9719 - - 6446 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 69 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 62.4 - - 65.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 49.5 - - 47.5 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 61.9 - - 65.6 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 48.4 - - 46.8 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 115 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 180 - - 1140 - - 1780 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 0 043 9 274 6 285 3 020 97226 90044 7 062 2 164 3 223 7 006 90044 84520 6 050 2 118 4 265 8 360 84520 79929 5 005 3 023 5 307 4 044 79929 75968 4 320 3 358 7 315 3 024 75968 72466 4 296 2 286 8 304 7 313 72466 69290 5 313 3 279 9 295 7 303 69290 66359 13 322 10 297 15 294 15 310 66359 63642 21 294 16 305 14 296 17 297 63642 61009 26 291 25 299 18 301 20 292 61009 58261 33 289 31 288 29 291 32 301 58261 55413 38 281 41 285 41 288 43 294 55413 52691 44 278 46 282 47 282 48 289 52691 50228 46 278 52 286 48 286 51 291 50228 48009 49 281 58 286 59 292 60 300 48009 45990 53 279 62 282 69 293 68 302 45990 44131 56 277 64 282 73 292 72 300 44131 42406 58 278 67 286 74 291 75 297 42406 40793 61 286 69 289 75 291 77 296 40793 39277 66 290 70 289 76 293 78 297 39277 37849 68 291 71 291 76 294 76 299 37849 36471 67 295 71 293 74 297 73 302 36471 35080 55 294 65 298 69 299 64 304 35080 33648 44 288 54 301 63 302 54 308 33648 32180 32 285 43 293 61 303 48 313 32180 30658 25 285 33 293 58 301 45 312 30658 29067 21 279 31 302 48 294 45 311 29067 27407 20 277 29 298 41 283 44 308 27407 25673 21 281 29 273 38 284 41 302 25673 23865 19 288 27 271 37 282 39 301 23865 21982 18 294 24 276 36 284 38 302 21982 20020 18 297 21 278 35 294 36 306 20020 17976 15 296 18 281 25 294 29 310 17976 15888 16 292 18 281 19 297 23 315 15888 13866 14 269 19 279 17 290 18 319 13866 12024 11 247 19 269 16 290 16 325 12024 10387 11 242 17 262 15 290 14 328 10387 8936 10 227 15 254 15 289 13 323 8936 7652 9 228 14 247 14 286 14 323 7652 6515 9 233 13 246 14 284 15 323 6515 5511 7 239 11 247 14 280 15 308 5511 4627 7 251 9 241 13 269 15 289 4627 3846 10 247 9 234 11 257 12 275 3846 3147 11 235 11 227 9*244 10 263 3147 2529 12 224 11*218 7*236 8 246 2529 2013 14 214 9*208 6 234 6 227 2013 1618 13 210 9 207 6 234 6 213 1618 1346 10*209 8 205 6 233 5 200 1346 1181 6*210 7 205 5 233 4 184 1181 1086 5 211 6 205 5 232 4*177 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography