DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 60.4 - - 63.2 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 83 - - 5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 773 - - 1163 - - 1529 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1843 - - 2233 - - 2599 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 472 - - 582 - - 764 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 191 - - 98 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 149 - - 160 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14 - - -691 - - -1187 - - -454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1857 - - 2924 - - 3786 - - 1540 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4773 - - -3671 - - -3633 - - -4186 ODpotential blCL - - - 6616 - - 5904 - - 6232 - - 5272 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 60.4 - - 63.2 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 60.1 - - 63.6 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 50.9 - - 50.1 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 83 - - 5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 773 - - 1163 - - 1529 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 49 - - 56 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 28 254 30 267 31 265 36 272 96627 89556 17 250 24 250 25 268 22 274 89556 84065 15 250 16 236 21 259 16 277 84065 79495 16 265 14 252 16 248 16 254 79495 75550 15 268 15 263 13 255 12 242 75550 72054 11 258 16 266 15 262 12 249 72054 68884 8 251 15 249 15 261 15 256 68884 65961 7 258 13 238 15 254 17 249 65961 63242 11 269 15 243 17 246 17 238 63242 60600 18 257 16 249 17 253 17 231 60600 57834 23 251 23 251 24 246 24 232 57834 54959 30 249 28 240 28 231 27 223 54959 52207 32 250 31 252 25 227 21 225 52207 49717 45 245 39 248 31 239 37 243 49717 47487 42 235 51 239 47 232 47 232 47487 45480 44 240 51 230 54 229 49 229 45480 43653 50 235 55 237 63 229 54 230 43653 41969 56 238 69 237 69 229 61 226 41969 40410 65 239 78 234 72 229 66 224 40410 38956 68 236 77 230 71 230 68 222 38956 37591 65 237 71 223 68 229 62 221 37591 36275 65 239 61 222 64 225 56 220 36275 34941 62 239 59 225 62 218 51 218 34941 33554 55 237 59 227 61 219 52 221 33554 32114 46 232 58 229 59 222 56 222 32114 30606 40 228 56 231 57 227 54 223 30606 29019 41 230 51 231 55 228 47 226 29019 27352 45 235 45 232 50 227 41 231 27352 25606 45 239 47 241 41 227 40 238 25606 23782 46 243 47 238 39 231 43 239 23782 21883 49 247 44 239 43 232 42 233 21883 19905 50 251 43 242 45 229 42 230 19905 17850 51 249 44 235 39 216 36 231 17850 15766 43 235 41 229 30 219 24 233 15766 13763 27 224 32 219 30 221 21 243 13763 11944 22 218 24 214 26 224 18 250 11944 10330 20 219 22 215 23 227 11 245 10330 8898 19 209 20 215 19 221 7 238 8898 7625 19 201 20 209 20 211 9 210 7625 6495 17 195 20 202 22 207 16 199 6495 5495 16 194 19 197 22 206 20 197 5495 4613 15 192 19 196 21 204 22 196 4613 3833 13 190 19 193 21 199 22 198 3833 3134 16 183 19 184 19*189 24 199 3134 2516 21 158 16*167 15*166 24 192 2516 2002 20*139 12*151 14 161 22 179 2002 1610 17*134 11 150 13 159 18 161 1610 1342 16 132 11 148 12 158 14 153 1342 1179 14 132 10 148 11 156 12 151 1179 1086 10 131 8 147 8 155 7*149 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography