DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 171 - - 42 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1657 - - 1782 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1799 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1874 - - 2727 - - 2852 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 459 - - 529 - - 660 - - 1115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 270 - - 178 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - 23 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 216 - - 212 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1924 - - -2985 - - -3174 - - -2382 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3799 - - 5712 - - 6027 - - 3468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15511 - - -14401 - - -13891 - - -12332 ODpotential blCL - - - 17385 - - 17128 - - 16743 - - 13418 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 52 - - 50 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 37.0 - - 37.5 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 57.1 - - 59.6 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 36.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 171 - - 42 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1657 - - 1782 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97519 5 289 9 193 14 226 11 256 97519 90281 4 148 3 279 6 252 3 275 90281 84690 3 220 6 293 8 253 4 281 84690 80018 3 287 10 267 11 257 8 290 80018 75978 9 308 13 262 15 255 19 271 75978 72413 13 304 9 282 11 251 23 252 72413 69201 16 285 16 288 15 280 18 253 69201 66248 25 263 26 281 24 281 19 282 66248 63503 23 260 28 269 29 269 28 267 63503 60855 21 283 26 263 29 268 30 258 60855 58115 31 289 29 273 31 273 30 267 58115 55275 37 285 37 278 37 275 35 275 55275 52556 41 287 40 277 42 274 36 271 52556 50110 46 289 39 276 38 268 34 270 50110 47913 46 291 37 274 34 260 37 264 47913 45915 44 287 36 275 35 257 36 255 45915 44092 36 282 37 268 36 255 39 251 44092 42419 27 286 36 258 38 252 39 244 42419 40870 24 292 32 255 36 247 37 238 40870 39418 23 295 30 256 33 238 37 230 39418 38046 22 294 29 253 35 233 36 228 38046 36716 18 287 29 250 34 233 35 228 36716 35363 15 277 26 254 30 233 33 229 35363 33954 14 285 23 261 27 234 32 226 33954 32494 14 299 19 263 25 235 31 221 32494 30967 16 305 16 264 24 234 27 218 30967 29361 15 296 15 262 22 234 24 219 29361 27676 14 286 14 263 19 233 23 226 27676 25914 14 291 13 269 15 234 23 240 25914 24075 13 303 12 280 14 240 25 251 24075 22160 12 305 13 275 17 247 24 253 22160 20159 12 299 15 266 19 250 22 248 20159 18068 13 286 15 256 18 248 21 248 18068 15937 13 278 14 265 15 249 18 249 15937 13892 12 278 14 263 14 251 14 246 13892 12041 15 265 16 261 14 262 11 248 12041 10399 19 255 17 256 15 249 13 243 10399 8939 23 245 20 244 19 239 16 244 8939 7641 27 235 25 239 24 240 19 249 7641 6491 30 233 30 237 27 241 23 252 6491 5475 32 235 33 236 30 240 26 252 5475 4583 34 237 36 234 33 236 31 246 4583 3802 35 238 37 229 34 231 34 238 3802 3110 37 233 34*225 28*218 34 227 3110 2502 36 229 27*218 26*214 33 219 2502 1995 32*227 26 217 25 213 31 214 1995 1607 26*225 25 216 24 212 28 211 1607 1340 23 225 23 216 21 211 21 207 1340 1178 20 224 20 216 19 211 17*206 1178 1086 15 224 15 215 14 211 10*204 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography