DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.0 - - 90.9 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 99 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4370 - - 4726 - - 1066 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3781 - - 3784 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5440 - - 5796 - - 2136 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2613 - - 3528 - - 5392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 338 - - 87 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 231 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 976 - - 456 - - -1536 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4464 - - 5341 - - 3672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -457 - - -1468 - - -3307 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5897 - - 7264 - - 5443 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 74 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2770 - - 2920 - - 3400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.0 - - 90.9 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 70.9 - - 73.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.3 - - 90.7 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 70.0 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 99 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4370 - - 4726 - - 1066 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99566 27 100 21 083 32 079 99566 92003 25 097 21 096 20 072 92003 86188 22 101 21 096 16 087 86188 81380 18 091 18 101 19 089 81380 77243 15 088 14 097 16 088 77243 73589 12 077 11 090 12 084 73589 70295 10 091 9 080 10 069 70295 67268 10 115 3 067 8 057 67268 64452 10 128 6 085 0 149 64452 61727 10 160 5 120 10 164 61727 58913 4 205 5 180 3 136 58913 56022 16 229 18 215 15 239 56022 53293 20 222 20 221 23 231 53293 50860 19 228 26 224 27 230 50860 48679 29 234 32 231 31 242 48679 46695 36 234 38 241 39 245 46695 44882 39 237 39 234 46 239 44882 43209 37 241 36 233 49 236 43209 41641 34 240 41 238 50 238 41641 40162 34 247 43 247 52 237 40162 38763 32 247 44 252 50 232 38763 37407 33 245 44 254 44 228 37407 36024 38 247 42 242 40 233 36024 34584 42 251 42 232 39 230 34584 33088 42 251 41 232 40 230 33088 31528 42 248 39 238 35 234 31528 29889 41 246 37 243 30 239 29889 28172 42 248 37 244 28 249 28172 26375 44 250 37 249 31 249 26375 24500 42 251 38 257 39 247 24500 22557 40 248 41 255 43 247 22557 20542 39 244 42 247 40 245 20542 18453 35 246 36 238 34 244 18453 16331 31 250 30 236 31 245 16331 14287 29 252 21 247 25 243 14287 12421 28 253 21 260 17 239 12421 10755 26 254 27 257 15 243 10755 9270 22 252 28 249 17 241 9270 7950 22 244 26 241 20 236 7950 6776 22 239 24*233 21 230 6776 5733 21*236 22*231 20 227 5733 4810 17*229 20 230 19 225 4810 3992 17 228 19 230 18 226 3992 3259 16 227 18 230 16 229 3259 2609 16 227 17 231 14*234 2609 2067 15 226 17 231 10*245 2067 1650 14 227 16 232 9 249 1650 1363 13 226 15 232 8 252 1363 1188 12 226 14 232 7 253 1188 1089 10 225 11 232 5 254 1089 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography