DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.2 - - 35.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 193 - - 104 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2407 - - 3129 - - 3022 - - 1436 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2091 - - 2900 - - 2483 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3477 - - 4199 - - 4092 - - 2506 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 731 - - 1041 - - 1149 - - 895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 346 - - 280 - - 85 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 158 - - 124 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 322 - - -280 - - -207 - - -200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3155 - - 4479 - - 4300 - - 2706 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3532 - - -3694 - - -9894 - - -11603 ODpotential blCL - - - 7009 - - 7893 - - 13986 - - 14109 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 89 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.2 - - 35.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 19.5 - - 20.6 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 34.3 - - 35.0 - - 30.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 18.3 - - 19.7 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 193 - - 104 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2407 - - 3129 - - 3022 - - 1436 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 55 - - 77 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96359 6 201 3 260 7 186 14 254 96359 89179 2 049 4 180 10 244 12 299 89179 83611 5 323 1 042 12 235 15 297 83611 78977 12 282 6 260 5 290 6 235 78977 74947 13 261 15 271 16 283 13 295 74947 71367 11 268 17 253 19 271 20 291 71367 68122 14 274 19 253 23 267 24 282 68122 65125 29 278 25 275 28 286 35 287 65125 62328 34 273 37 274 37 282 39 265 62328 59588 32 292 36 272 40 283 36 286 59588 56719 59 295 46 286 54 283 51 287 56719 53773 66 283 59 284 61 272 60 277 53773 50987 64 278 63 280 60 274 63 277 50987 48487 65 282 66 281 64 280 68 273 48487 46248 74 288 74 282 73 282 69 272 46248 44217 85 287 83 283 83 285 73 275 44217 42360 96 284 96 281 96 283 85 279 42360 40661 104 281 106 275 101 275 97 277 40661 39109 110 279 109 268 99 271 97 274 39109 37682 111 279 100 273 94 275 97 272 37682 36354 121 284 107 280 99 279 98 274 36354 35078 130 281 113 278 103 279 97 273 35078 33780 124 274 111 274 104 278 95 269 33780 32429 114 274 106 274 103 277 91 268 32429 31029 111 280 102 277 102 278 86 265 31029 29565 111 282 102 282 99 277 83 262 29565 28026 110 283 102 284 92 279 80 262 28026 26410 107 284 100 281 89 282 77 264 26410 24715 105 283 97 277 87 281 74 267 24715 22945 106 283 95 276 86 282 72 269 22945 21103 102 282 91 277 85 281 69 271 21103 19185 90 280 79 276 77 276 64 269 19185 17187 85 274 75 272 71 267 58 265 17187 15149 75 274 73 271 65 263 56 262 15149 13186 61 291 59 273 55 259 51 259 13186 11405 47 298 57 279 48 262 43 253 11405 9835 29 286 33 297 41 256 40 243 9835 8454 18 276 15 276 24 258 36 235 8454 7232 12 289 14 244 17 250 23 212 7232 6153 9 300 11 230 14 239 12 173 6153 5205 4 272 9 207 10 197 12 145 5205 4373 4 186 8*168 9*158 15 142 4373 3643 6*154 8*160 10*142 19 135 3643 2993 7*140 8 158 13 128 20*121 2993 2421 7 138 8 158 14 122 19*113 2421 1944 6 140 8 157 14 120 19 111 1944 1578 6 140 8 157 14 119 18 109 1578 1325 5 140 7 157 13 118 16 108 1325 1172 5 140 7 157 13 117 14 108 1172 1084 4 141 6 157 10 117 10 107 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography