DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 61.0 - - 62.0 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 99 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1274 - - 2362 - - 3641 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 2080 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2344 - - 3432 - - 4711 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 671 - - 969 - - 1185 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 190 - - 266 - - 157 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 305 - - 306 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 68 - - -413 - - 310 - - -1382 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2276 - - 3845 - - 4401 - - 2468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5062 - - -5950 - - -6154 - - -3998 ODpotential blCL - - - 7406 - - 9382 - - 10865 - - 5084 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 71 - - 64 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 61.0 - - 62.0 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 48.0 - - 46.6 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 60.6 - - 62.4 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 46.8 - - 45.4 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 99 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1274 - - 2362 - - 3641 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97856 25 228 25 254 25 240 25 248 97856 90529 15 239 21 240 23 255 20 259 90529 84876 15 223 17 227 14 237 14 248 84876 80183 5 221 13 207 13 236 13 275 80183 76150 10 282 12 231 14 239 9 270 76150 72581 8 294 12 260 15 260 14 278 72581 69338 12 278 18 266 24 270 23 280 69338 66348 17 306 22 284 24 271 29 279 66348 63576 29 293 23 279 27 275 32 283 63576 60885 34 280 31 281 38 273 37 278 60885 58065 40 283 42 278 42 275 44 290 58065 55137 53 278 51 278 56 283 55 286 55137 52339 55 272 58 278 63 277 60 276 52339 49809 58 271 62 274 58 277 62 281 49809 47540 62 272 62 269 64 283 69 285 47540 45496 65 274 61 276 73 280 72 285 45496 43631 69 274 71 281 77 278 76 282 43631 41915 72 273 82 275 75 275 73 283 41915 40332 74 269 78 270 68 281 73 289 40332 38867 68 267 72 274 76 290 75 291 38867 37500 63 274 77 282 81 288 76 291 37500 36185 63 281 84 281 81 285 78 290 36185 34853 65 281 86 276 79 282 79 290 34853 33473 64 278 82 274 72 286 78 288 33473 32045 63 278 75 273 71 296 75 287 32045 30551 62 280 69 279 73 298 72 288 30551 28979 63 282 69 286 74 297 73 291 28979 27328 62 283 69 287 73 298 74 294 27328 25595 60 284 69 288 75 297 75 298 25595 23780 59 285 64 289 77 300 74 300 23780 21888 57 286 61 291 76 307 71 300 21888 19914 53 291 57 292 65 303 68 303 19914 17854 48 295 51 288 58 294 61 300 17854 15752 43 295 46 286 54 290 58 297 15752 13730 38 296 41 286 50 288 55 302 13730 11899 34 298 36 286 46 290 47 299 11899 10277 31 300 33 285 40 291 42 296 10277 8840 29 301 31 288 35 292 36 301 8840 7569 29 303 28 297 28 298 29 310 7569 6447 28 304 26 307 23 308 26 315 6447 5457 29 305 25 313 23*312 26 315 5457 4586 28 306 24 315 21*309 25 314 4586 3816 28 309 22*312 20 307 25 315 3816 3126 25 316 17*306 19 307 24 316 3126 2515 23*318 17 306 18 306 23 317 2515 2004 19*316 17 305 17 305 22 317 2004 1613 17 315 16 305 16 304 20 315 1613 1343 16 314 15 305 14 304 15 310 1343 1179 14 314 14 305 13 303 12*307 1179 1086 11 313 11 304 9 303 5*300 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography