DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 49.4 - - 47.2 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 22 - - 10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1558 - - 989 - - 2055 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2046 - - 2628 - - 2059 - - 3125 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1540 - - 1606 - - 1907 - - 1373 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 141 - - 93 - - 82 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 18 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 287 - - 001 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 765 - - 986 - - 780 - - 1176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1281 - - 1642 - - 1279 - - 1949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 320 - - 414 - - 329 - - 436 ODpotential blCL - - - 1726 - - 2214 - - 1730 - - 2689 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 49.4 - - 47.2 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 45.9 - - 45.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 49.6 - - 47.4 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 45.2 - - 44.9 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 22 - - 10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1558 - - 989 - - 2055 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95398 56 272 67 261 69 272 62 266 95398 88658 35 271 44 268 46 276 38 277 88658 83433 26 293 30 271 31 278 31 291 83433 79020 25 290 22 273 19 271 26 285 79020 75155 20 300 16 262 19 267 19 277 75155 71700 19 296 11 238 16 264 19 263 71700 68549 15 272 10 239 14 260 19 258 68549 65630 14 269 12 255 15 250 20 261 65630 62900 15 272 13 256 21 233 21 259 62900 60234 17 261 17 255 21 229 21 254 60234 57430 19 252 22 268 19 243 20 260 57430 54507 21 247 28 264 23 257 25 265 54507 51716 24 244 32 252 30 256 29 263 51716 49200 25 246 34 247 34 250 32 259 49200 46942 32 249 36 249 33 248 32 257 46942 44897 36 247 38 252 30 251 31 257 44897 43029 37 251 37 251 29 254 32 257 43029 41309 36 251 35 250 28 252 30 256 41309 39715 31 254 32 251 25 251 25 256 39715 38227 30 256 29 257 22 263 23 257 38227 36839 30 253 30 261 26 276 22 260 36839 35517 27 251 30 253 28 267 28 261 35517 34190 26 258 22 264 18 279 33 258 34190 32820 23 271 26 313 24 292 35 254 32820 31404 27 290 24 310 25 285 35 254 31404 29922 25 290 25 276 27 278 36 265 29922 28360 22 307 29 274 32 282 38 273 28360 26722 24 311 32 276 35 280 33 270 26722 25009 25 307 30 272 28 280 30 269 25009 23224 24 312 25 273 22 265 28 287 23224 21375 18 313 20 284 21 255 28 313 21375 19452 16 295 17 302 15 286 29 328 19452 17445 16 303 15 292 18 305 27 329 17445 15393 11 303 14 295 18 307 25 325 15393 13414 7 274 11 286 19 305 29 327 13414 11614 10 274 8 300 17 297 30 333 11614 10018 11 283 9 298 18 289 27 335 10018 8607 13 282 9 281 17 304 17 331 8607 7360 12 276 11 282 14 313 13 337 7360 6259 10 281 11 310 6 327 14 338 6259 5292 9 283 14 333 10 008 15 348 5292 4449 10 274 14 324 16 014 23 002 4449 3707 14 268 14 314 21 010 26*004 3707 3044 15 262 13*297 22 008 26*004 3044 2458 14*249 12*293 22*006 25 004 2458 1968 12*239 10 287 21*004 24 004 1968 1592 11 237 10 286 19 002 22 004 1592 1333 10 235 9 285 17 000 19 003 1333 1175 9 235 8 285 15 359 16 003 1175 1085 7 235 7 285 11 359 11 002 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography