DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 69.7 - - 70.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 119 - - 14 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 338 - - 3890 - - 3708 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 3249 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1408 - - 4960 - - 4778 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 479 - - 1159 - - 4196 - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 328 - - 187 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 15 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 305 - - 296 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1805 - - -1493 - - -2610 - - -3090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3213 - - 6454 - - 7388 - - 4177 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5560 - - -4930 - - -5405 - - -5992 ODpotential blCL - - - 6968 - - 9890 - - 10183 - - 7079 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 50 - - 48 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 69.7 - - 70.1 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 45.1 - - 41.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 69.3 - - 70.5 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 43.8 - - 40.2 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 119 - - 14 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 338 - - 3890 - - 3708 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97396 34 244 37 261 33 246 41 246 97396 90131 20 257 31 251 35 259 28 266 90131 84540 15 261 20 254 32 261 24 279 84540 79902 14 257 18 264 22 263 18 280 79902 75879 11 280 19 272 16 271 13 289 75879 72303 13 283 20 285 16 285 14 281 72303 69058 15 294 17 287 19 281 17 294 69058 66063 22 296 20 284 25 275 20 292 66063 63267 26 282 23 274 27 278 23 293 63267 60553 24 279 27 269 34 277 28 288 60553 57725 31 278 31 271 36 274 35 286 57725 54790 40 283 34 278 41 274 41 281 54790 51986 48 279 42 278 48 269 51 275 51986 49463 55 276 52 276 52 266 55 272 49463 47202 60 273 56 274 57 277 57 275 47202 45155 61 271 62 282 66 281 59 276 45155 43285 62 277 71 281 66 278 64 284 43285 41571 70 283 75 277 75 284 82 288 41571 39996 80 280 79 274 90 283 93 281 39996 38541 81 275 85 276 89 280 96 286 38541 37184 78 277 88 278 88 288 103 285 37184 35881 80 283 87 279 93 289 102 284 35881 34556 82 285 87 282 93 286 100 289 34556 33181 81 286 88 284 91 286 103 294 33181 31753 82 287 86 284 92 287 105 295 31753 30257 82 287 83 285 92 287 104 291 30257 28683 83 289 81 286 93 286 103 290 28683 27032 85 292 82 286 93 286 103 294 27032 25306 83 292 82 285 92 288 99 294 25306 23506 82 291 81 284 88 291 96 291 23506 21634 79 296 80 284 81 289 89 289 21634 19690 61 294 77 289 79 288 80 289 19690 17672 52 286 65 289 71 288 71 291 17672 15622 49 283 55 286 61 282 62 294 15622 13652 41 280 52 283 53 279 54 293 13652 11862 37 277 48 286 47 290 49 294 11862 10276 30 284 42 288 42 301 45 298 10276 8866 25 291 38 290 36 308 42 304 8866 7612 23 301 36 296 33 311 37 304 7612 6494 23 309 34 304 29 310 31 300 6494 5500 23 311 28*309 26*307 28 294 5500 4623 21 310 20*309 23*299 27 291 4623 3846 17 305 18 307 21 297 27 290 3846 3149 14 305 15 305 20 296 26 289 3149 2532 11 315 15 304 19 295 26 288 2532 2016 7 348 14 304 19 295 25 287 2016 1619 7*349 13 304 18 295 23 284 1619 1346 5*342 13 304 16 294 18 278 1346 1181 5 343 12 303 14 294 15*275 1181 1087 4 340 9 303 11 293 7*269 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography