DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 43.6 - - 46.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 96 - - 1 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 347 - - 1437 - - 1524 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1069 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1417 - - 2507 - - 2594 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 486 - - 564 - - 689 - - 1203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 215 - - 88 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 269 - - 247 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -754 - - -563 - - -551 - - -152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2171 - - 3070 - - 3145 - - 1237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11967 - - -10386 - - -9416 - - -10488 ODpotential blCL - - - 13384 - - 12893 - - 12010 - - 11573 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - 73 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 43.6 - - 46.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 34.2 - - 36.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 43.2 - - 46.4 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 32.9 - - 35.1 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 96 - - 1 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 347 - - 1437 - - 1524 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 26 - - 0 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95645 68 261 69 255 66 265 60 267 95645 88716 41 268 42 265 46 266 43 260 88716 83340 26 271 32 261 35 269 29 267 83340 78892 20 278 24 275 21 272 26 282 78892 75052 15 283 18 277 16 275 23 283 75052 71620 15 284 16 273 17 283 21 289 71620 68471 17 285 16 268 20 276 20 287 68471 65541 16 276 14 257 20 265 18 284 65541 62803 16 270 13 267 19 272 18 271 62803 60137 18 275 17 272 20 275 18 267 60137 57351 22 277 20 278 22 279 21 275 57351 54456 25 281 24 279 25 281 22 285 54456 51689 27 285 27 281 28 285 25 292 51689 49191 28 286 28 282 27 286 26 288 49191 46946 26 284 27 284 25 287 27 291 46946 44914 24 287 27 288 24 294 25 291 44914 43062 27 291 27 295 25 302 24 306 43062 41363 30 294 27 302 25 310 31 304 41363 39797 30 299 30 306 31 315 31 299 39797 38340 29 304 34 308 37 314 22 314 38340 36969 31 308 34 309 36 314 41 336 36969 35657 34 303 33 310 32 320 53 340 35657 34343 36 291 34 310 30 329 58 352 34343 32985 35 284 34 309 33 338 62 354 32985 31572 38 280 34 313 37 339 65 349 31572 30091 41 275 35 313 40 330 61 360 30091 28533 40 277 36 308 36 321 47 005 28533 26905 36 281 38 298 34 326 37 343 26905 25207 36 285 44 289 36 328 35 328 25207 23436 38 287 44 285 34 329 31 327 23436 21591 38 290 38 288 30 327 30 325 21591 19664 35 298 34 296 29 308 28 321 19664 17649 32 308 30 301 29 300 25 312 17649 15590 29 320 26 306 26 294 26 302 15590 13604 27 328 25 308 26 291 25 295 13604 11797 28 331 27 308 29 288 24 290 11797 10189 28 330 27 308 30 286 27 282 10189 8761 26 329 26 308 29 287 30 278 8761 7490 21 330 23 307 25 288 29 279 7490 6364 18 328 20 304 23 285 27 279 6364 5369 15 328 17 303 22 281 26 277 5369 4496 12 321 15 300 20 275 25 272 4496 3730 11 314 14 290 19 264 25 265 3730 3053 12 307 14*278 16*252 24 257 3053 2461 13 298 12*272 14*249 21 251 2461 1969 12 287 11 269 14 248 20 250 1969 1592 10*279 11 269 13 247 19 249 1592 1332 7*273 10 268 11 246 16 248 1332 1175 6 272 9 268 10 246 12*247 1175 1085 5 272 8 268 8 245 6*244 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography